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AN ALTE RNATIVE TO TH E
PROPOSED I-540 EXTENSION
Prepared by:
Walter Kulash, P.E.
Transportation Planning Consultant
P.O. Box 252, Little Switzerland, NC 29748
walterkulash@bellsouth.net
Prepared for:
Southern Environmental Law Center (SELC)
February 2018
1
Summary
Z
�
�'
Background
Objectives of the
Proposed Alternative
ACCESS2040
Concept Plan
:
11
11
11
5 Detailed 13
Description
Performance
of ACCESS2040
Cost of ACCESS2040
Cost Comparison,
ACCESS2040and
Comp/ete 540
Cost Effectiveness of
ACCESS2040
Appendix A
_..-- -- -
FIGURE 1 � r � �
NCDOT PREFERRED
_ COMPLETE 540 PROJECT 4 R�' � -" �
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Source: NCDOT
https://www. n cdot. g ov
ACCESS2040 is proposed as an alternative to Complete 540, a planned 28.4-mile six-lane toll road between the
existing terminus of NC 540 at NC 55 Bypass in Apex and US 64/264 in Knightdale. ACCESS2040 features seven
improved arterial road corridors —three east-west and four north-south —through the study area (southeast
Wake County) established by the Complete 540 project. Most of the improvements to the seven corridors
in ACCESS2040 would be projects identified as either funded or needed by the CAMPO 2040 Metropolitan
Transportation Plan (MTP). To this base of CAMPO 2040 MTP projects (predominantly widening of roads to a four-
or six-lane cross section and some grade-separated interchanges) ACCESS2040 would add segments of new road
to extend and connect existing roads, forming continuous routes throughout the study area.
The recommended designs for ACCESS2040 corridors are adaptations of the NCDOT standard multi-lane highway
cross sections. These adaptations, recognizing that the study area is already urbanizing and will continue to do so,
would accommodate all modes of travel and prepare the widened roads to serve as armatures for the expected
growth.
ACCESS2040 would meet the two primary purposes of the Complete 540 project:'
1. It would provide over half of the mobility gains attained by Complete 540. Within the entire Triangle region
(study area included) it would provide MORE congestion relief than Complete 540.
2. ACCESS2040 also meets the Complete 540 secondary purpose of providing direct connections between the
existing NC 540 terminus of Triangle Expressway in Holly Springs and US 64/264 in Knightdale or I-40 south
with three east-west corridors: Ten Ten Road, Tryon Road Corridor and NC 55/NC 42.
The difference in environmental impacts between ACCESS2040 and Complete 540 could hardly be starker.
ACCESS2040, building on long-planned improvements to the entire network of roads in the study area, has few
negative environmental impacts, few property takings and yields a network of improved arterial roads becoming
armatures for the inevitable growth. By contrast, Complete 540 has major negative environmental impacts (noise,
damage to wetlands), does little to shape the emerging urban growth of the study area and to the contrary
imposes a 70 MPH barrier through the center of the area.
The costs attributable solely to ACCESS2040 are "unfunded" projects (i.e., beyond year 2040) from the CAMPO
2040 MTP and projects not included anywhere in the CAMPO 2040 MTP. These costs attributable solely to
ACCESS2040 are only $ 294 million, or one-seventh of the $2.24 billion cost of the Complete 540 Preferred
Alternative. Even if ACCESS2040 were assessed with the cost of all of its components from the CAMPO 2040 MTP,
its total cost would be only $1.18 billion, or around one third of the total of $ 3.12 billion cost of the Preferred
Alternative similarly assessed with the cost of its supporting components from the CAMPO 2040 MTP.
ACCESS2040 would be a cost-effective use of public funds, yielding a positive benefit-cost ratio. This benefit/cost
relationship stands in sharp contrast to that of Complete 540, which fails to meet criteria for funding from either
"traditional" NCDOT (non-toll) sources or revenue-bond toll financing.
This report proposes ACCESS2040 as a more cost-efficient and environmentally sensitive
alternative to Complete 540, the proposed 18.4-mile toll road extension of NC 540 (Triangle
Expressway) through Southeast Wake County, NC. This extension of NC 540 has been adopted as
the Preferred Alternative of the Complete 540 project by NCDOT (Figure 1).
In arriving at this Preferred Alternative, NCDOT first identified twelve alternative concepts. In a
first tier screening, three alternatives (TDM, TSM and Mass Transit/Multi-Modal) were dismissed
as ineffective for meeting any of the project purposes of mobility, congestion relief or regional
connectivity. Travel demand and traffic performance for the remaining nine alternatives were
modeled with the Triangle Regional Mode) (TRM). Of the remaining nine alternatives, "build"
alternatives incorporating segments of new road and/or widening of existing roads, all but the
"New Location Highway" were eliminated as not ranking high enough in a"quartile analysis"
measuring the primary purposes "to improve mobility within or through the study area during peak
travel periods [and] to reduce forecast congestion on the existing roadway network".2
In a third-tier screening NCDOT analyzed 17 different route configurations (Detailed Study
Alternatives, or DSA's) for the "New Location Highway" alternative. Each DSA was built from some
combination of nine color-coded "preliminary corridor alternatives" segments.
In February 2016 the NCDOT recommended DSA 2 as the Complete 540 Preferred Alternative.
DSA 2 calls for 28.4 miles of new 6-lane limited access toll road connecting the existing I-540
terminus at NC 55 in Apex with US 64/264 in Knightdale and with 11 intermediate interchanges at
existing roads. The cost of the Preferred Alternative has been estimated by NCDOT at $2.24 billion.
In a 2017 update3 of the first tier screening process NCDOT updated the quartile ranking with year
2040 TRM outputs. NCDOT again found that only a"New Location Highway" (NC 540 extension
from Apex to Knightdale) would meet the project purposes.
The objectives of ACCESS2040 are to:
1. Achieve most of the benefits (mobility, congestion relief and regional connectivity) of Complete
540 at a fraction of its cost and environmental impact.
2. Attain objectives of mobility, congestion relief and regional connectivity by augmenting
projects already recommended in plans adopted by the Capital Area Metropolitan Planning
Organization (CAMPO).
Important secondary objectives of ACCESS2040 are to:
1. Create transportation solutions for a wide range of users.
2. Guide the suburban growth in Southern Wake County into sustainable patterns.
Cost Effective Congestion Relief and Regional Mobility
In its first tier screening of alternatives, treatment of all "ER" (Existing Road) alternatives, NCDOT
appears oblivious to the concept of cost effectiveness. Instead of assessing alternatives on the
basis of their benefits compared to their costs the NCDOT dismisses all of them except New
Location Highway for simply not being in the top quartile of the applied measures of effectiveness
(MOE's). The results suggest that the quartile ranking is inadequate as the sole measure for
screening alternatives. For example, the alternative Improve Existing 3-Arterials (IE3-A) yields
around one half of the mobility gains and more congestion relief than the New Location Highway.
Yet NCDOT dismisses it in the quartile ranking as not accomplishing project goals. In fact, the
reported performance of Alternative IE3-A suggests a promising and affordable (fiscally and
environmentally) alternative to Complete 540. ACCESS2040, an improvement over alternative
E13-A, should be considered as a strong, cost effective solution.
Build on Foundation of CAMPO Projects
ACCESS2040 starts with a foundation of 52 projects selected from the 2040 Metropolitan
Transportation Plan (hereinafter 2040 CAMPO MTP) adopted by the North Carolina Capital Area
Metropolitan Planning Organization (CAMPO). Most of these projects are widening of roads
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to multi-lane divided arterials. To this base of improvements, ACCESS2040 would add a small
mileage of extensions to existing roads. These widenings and extensions would create continuous
multi-lane arterial routes across southern Wake County in both the east-west and north-south
directions.
The ACCESS2040 approach of building on a base of CAMPO 2040 MTP projects differs somewhat
from the "IE" ("Improve Existing") alternatives that NCDOT eliminated. The first tier screening
selected only a limited ("fiscally constrained") number of the planned CAMPO projects, thereby
eliminating almost all projects with more than a 15-20 year funding horizon.
It should come as no surprise that an assembly of projects from the CAMPO 2040 MTP and
including Complete 540 would meet the travel needs of the study area. The CAMPO 2040 MTP
vision of "patterns of development that contribute to a distinctive place" and its goal to "manage
growth by linking land use patterns" steers the resulting plan toward more, improved and better-
connected local roads. The single limited- access 70-MPH spine of the Triangle Expressway
Extension in Complete 540 does little toward meeting this goal, and may even obstruct its
attainment. The travel demand forecast ("traffic") model underpinning the CAMPO 2040 MTP
project selection reflects travel desires of the residents of the area. The Triangle Expressway
extension, not emerging from this modeling process but rather superimposed on it as a"given,"
adds little to the ability of the other CAMPO projects to meet the forecast travel demand. The
cost-effectiveness test ("payback" period) for each CAMPO 2040 MTP project assures a plan that in
its entirety meets needs with projects whose benefits outweigh their costs.
All-Mode Travel
ACCESS2040 anticipates an increase in transit travel as projected by the Wake County Transit Plan
and the GoRaleigh five-year transit improvement plan. ACCESS 2040 also anticipates and meshes
with projects for non-motorized (bicycle and pedestrian) travel as programmed in the CAMPO
2040 MTP. ACCESS2040 would complement these plans with road designs that immediately
accommodate a wide range of users and anticipates and provides for future increases in non-
automobile travel.
By contrast, Complete 540 is concerned solely with a 70 MPH toll road completing a freeway or toll
road ring around the greater Raleigh area.
Future Urban Fabric
ACCESS2040 is designed to provide southern Wake County with a connected network of arterial
roads and streets serving as armatures for growth anticipated by the cities (Apex, Holly Springs,
3
Fuquay-Varina, Garner and Knightdale) within the study area. Further, ACCESS2040 would equip
these armatures for sustainable growth with design features such as street connectivity, attractive
routing for transit, large mileage of new sidewalk and selected grade-separated intersections. These
features would help guide suburban growth in Southern Wake County into sustainable patterns.
By contrast, the sole alternative seriously considered in the Complete 540 project is a six-lane 70 MPH
limited access toll road with no value as an armature for urban growth and no ability to transition
into a more useful form as growth occurs. To the contrary, as southern Wake County continues to
urbanize the Complete 540 increasingly becomes a barrier, separating the communities and their
population into "inside the beltway" and "outside the beltway" contingents. Rather than fostering
the growth of a dense network of local and collector streets that is essential for "smart growth",
Complete 540 would permanently restrict the development of north-south local and collector streets.
Table 1: Summary of Site-Specific Improvements
ACCES52040
Corridor Widen to Widen to New Grade-Separated
(Figure number) Four Lanes Six Lanes Roadway Interchanges
Tryon Road (3)
Ten Ten Road (3)
NC 55/NC 43 (3)
Holly Springs Road (4)
Lake Wheeler Road (4)
Qty
5
13
8
8
5
Miles Qty Miles Qty Miles
6.23 2 6.50 2 2.65 2
34.92 3 2.24
15.66 1 5.95 3
12.31
10.98
4 11.56
U S 401 (4)
NC 50 (4) 3
All Corridors (2) 42
12.39
92.59 7 24.01 5 4.89 5
Notes: Corridor improvements are summarized in Figure 2 and shown in detail in Figures 3 and 4
Qty—Number of road segments with improvement type indicated
Source: Appendix Tables A.1 through A.7
The overarching concept of ACCESS2040 consolidates and extends improvement projects identified
in the CAMPO 2040 MTP to form seven arterial (road or street) corridors (Figure 2).
The proposed improvement to these corridors would yield both: (1) increased all-mode capacity for
local trips (within the study area); and (2) increased connectivity for external travel (trips with origin,
destination or both outside the study area). East-west regional connectivity, an important purpose of
the Complete 540 project, would be served by three corridors.
In addition to improving capacity and mobility, the seven corridors would all serve as armatures of
continued growth.
For the seven corridors in ACCESS2040, site-specific improvements (Table 1 and Figures 2, 3 and 4)
a re:
1. Widening of roads, generally to a four-lane divided cross section
2. New road segments, extending and/or connecting existing roads
3. Replacement of at-grade intersection with grade-separated interchanges
In addition to the site-specific improvements identified in Table 1, three general improvements apply
throughout all corridors:
1. Provision on most widened roads for all modes (pedestrian, bicycle, transit) of travel
2. Incorporating subarea plans as developed in the CAMPO Southeast and Southwest area studies
3. Managing access, following the guidelines in the NCDOT Access Management Manual.
4
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East-West Corridors
Figure 3, Table 1 and Appendix Tables A.1 through A.3 summarize the three east-west corridors in
ACCESS2040.
Ten Ten Corridor—The Ten Ten Road corridor in ACCESS2040 would provide a continuous east-
west four-lane arterial route through the study area, connecting the existing Triangle Expressway
terminus at NC 55 Bypass in Apex with US 64/264 in Knightdale. With its connection to the Triangle
Expressway to the west, the Ten Ten corridor would accomplish a key purpose (accommodating
work trips between southern Wake County and the RTP) of the Complete 540 project. The Ten
Ten corridor would also meet the Complete 540 objective of providing a continuous route for
"external" trips (trips with neither origin nor destination within the study area).
At its western end, the Ten Ten corridor would begin with two spurs: (1) a new segment of Jessie
Drive connecting Ten Ten Road to Old Holly Springs Apex Road (Veridea Parkway) just north of its
interchange on the Triangle Expressway near Holly Springs and (2) a segment of Center Street in
Apex, transitioning into Ten Ten Road thereby connecting to US 1 and the Apex Peakway. The Ten
Ten corridor would continue eastward along Ten Ten Road to its intersection with Rand Road. The
corridor would then follow Rand Road to NC 50. After a short run on NC 50, the corridor would
follow the proposed extension of Ackerman Road, then onward on the existing Ackerman Road to
its intersection with White Oak Road. The route would then follow White Oak Road to Hicks Road,
where it would intersect with and follow a new segment of road taking it to Raynor Road. The route
then follows a sequence of Raynor Road, Auburn Knightdale Road and Hodge Road to just north of
Poole Road, where it would join a new road segment connecting to an interchange on US 64/264.
Tryon Corridor—This corridor, comprised mainly of Tryon Road and its extensions, would cross the
northern edge of the study area. At its western end, it would connect to the Triangle Expressway/
US 64 interchange in Apex, thereby accommodating work trips to and from RTP. At its eastern end,
the route would join the Ten Ten corridor, which would then connect with an interchange on US
64/264 in Knightdale. With this connection, the Tryon Road Corridor, like the Ten Ten Road corridor,
would meet the Complete 540 objective of regional linkage, by providing a continuous route for
trips between the Triangle Expressway in Apex and the US 64/264 interchange in Knightdale.
5
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From its western end at the Triangle Expressway to US 1, the Tryon Road corridor would follow US
64, which would be widened and upgraded to a six-lane freeway with interchanges replacing the
at-grade signalized intersections at Laura Duncan Road and Lake Pine Road. Between US 1 and
Rock Quarry Road, the route would follow a combination of existing four-lane Tryon Road and new
four lane extensions. The route would then follow a combination of Rock Quarry Road and Battle
Bridge Road, intersecting with the Auburn Knightdale Road segment of the Ten Ten Corridor, in turn
connecting to an interchange with US 64/264 in Knightdale.
NC 55/NC 42 Corridor—At its western end this corridor would connect directly with the existing
terminus of the Triangle Expressway, thereby accommodating travel from the southern study area
to the RTP, Durham and I-40 west. At its eastern end, the corridor would connect to I-40 and US 70,
thereby serving external regional east-west travel through the study area, for example between the
Triangle Expressway and I-40 to/from the south.
From its interchange with the Triangle Expressway at its western end to Dickens Road, the NC 55/
NC 42 route would follow NC 55, widened to six lanes. Within this segment of NC 55, two at-grade
intersections (at Old Holly Springs Apex Road and Ralph Stevens Road) would be replaced with
grade-separated interchanges. From Dickens Road southward the route would follow the existing
four-lane NC 55, then Judd Parkway eastward, continuing on NC 42 and US 401 to the grade-
separated interchange that would replace the signalized intersections at the US 401/NC 42/NC 55
junction. The route would then follow NC 42 widened to four lanes to its interchange with I-40 and
beyond to US 70 Business in Clayton. The eastern end of the corridor in Clayton would include a spur,
a four-lane extension of Guy Road between NC 42 and US 70, bypassing the center of Clayton.
North-South Corridors
Figure 4, Table 1 and Appendix Tables A-4 through A-7 summarize the four north-south corridors
in ACCESS2040. In addition to serving local trips (i.e., entirely within the study area) and serving as
armatures for growth, the north-south corridors would serve two regional travel needs: (1) connection
between residential trip origins (households) in southern Wake County and the major employment
destinations to the north (among them downtown Raleigh, NCSU and Rex Hospital) and (2)
connecting links to the three east- west corridors (Figure 3) all of which would connect directly to the
Triangle Expressway on the west and either US 64/264 or I-40 to the east.
Holly Springs Road Corridor—This corridor would link Holly Springs and Fuquay-Varina to large
employment centers, among them NCSU and Rex Hospital, in western Raleigh. From its southern
end at NC 55, the route would follow a combination of Holly Springs Road and Jones Franklin Road
to Western Boulevard.
�
Lake Wheeler Road Corridor—This corridor would connect the center of the study area to
employment, state government and commercial destinations in Downtown Raleigh, including the
state capitol area. With its interchange with I-40, the Lake Wheeler corridor would also comprise part
of a route between the center of the study area and the RTP.
The Lake Wheeler corridor is parallel to and serves much of the same area as US 401, and would
become increasingly important as a reliever to US 401.
Beginning at Hilltop Needmore Road, this corridor would follow Lake Wheeler Road northward to
South Saunders Street.
US 401 Corridor—This major arterial road would connect Fuquay-Varina and areas to the south of it
to Garner, Downtown Raleigh and I-40. The corridor would begin at NC 42 and would continue to
the US 401/US 70 interchange in Garner.
NC 50 Corridor—This corridor
would serve as an alternative to
I-40 for travel between the eastern
part of the study area and US 70, in
turn serving Garner and downtown
Raleigh. The corridor would begin
at NC 42 west of I-40, continuing
northward to the Timber Drive.
Cross Sections
The proposed cross section for
segments of road widening (49
segments) and road extensions
(three segments) included in the
seven ACCESSS2040 corridors
would be adaptations of standard
NCDOT cross sections for arterial
roads. Reflecting existing and
expected land use conditions along
these corridors, one of three cross
section options (Figure 5) would be
fitted:
Urban Raised Median—An
adaptation of the standard
NCDOT "raised median"
cross section to account for
anticipated future urban
conditions4. Adaptation would
involve: (a) substituting enclosed
drainage ("curb and gutter")
for the open swale drainage,
(b) verges of 10 feet outside
the curbs and (3) sidewalks
outside the verge on both sides
2.
3.
FIGURE 5
TYPICAL CROSS SECTIONS, ALTERNATIVE ACCESS2040
urcesHry
148'-155'
23'30' _
30' 8' 24'
w � oz
z w
�a
0 o Zo
� a�
QO -i� � ,r ",�. �
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_._=WALK OR
MULTI-USER
SIDEPATH
tZf�E3�ib'7�iR11
�o�
of the road, with the possibility
on selected road segments of substituting a multi-use trail for one or both of the sidewalks.
Indicators for the choice of the "Urban Raised Median" cross section are surroundings that are
already developed, proximity to commercial areas, fronting commercial destinations, school
zones, incorporated areas and areas zoned for intensive development.
Rural Raised Median—The standard NCDOT cross section recommended "when widening [an]
existing two lane-two way facility to four lanes with very restricted R/W [Right of Way]".5 Although
there is no firm definition by NCDOT of "very restricted" right of way, much of the road frontage
in the seven corridors included in the ACCESS2040 would likely require the "Rural Raised
Median" cross section.
Rural 46' Median— The standard NCDOT cross section for "widening or resurfacing" for "Use
when there are existing right of way constraints".6 This cross section is best for open country in
unincorporated areas, with minimal year 2040 projected development.
7
Figure 5 and Table 2 summarize the proposed cross sections.
Cross Section Element
Right of way (R/W) width (ft)
Number of lanes
Lane width (ft)
Median width (ft)
Median cross section
Roadside drainage
Sidewalks
Multi-use trail
Speed limit (miles per hour)
Median plantings greater
than 6" dbh
Roadside planting greater
than b" dbh
Table 2: ACCESS2040
Cross Section Summary
Cross Section Type
Urban Raised Rural Raised
Median Median
114-124
4
12
148-155
4
12
23-30
Raised
Curb & gutter
Both sides
In place of one
or both sidewalks
45
Permitted
Permitted in verge
23-30
Raised
Swale, ditch
No
Not in standard
R/W
45
Permitted
Prohibited in R/W
Notes: Cross sections adapted from NCDOT Roadway Design Manual, 1-2B
For six-lane cross section, add 24 feet to Right of Way (R/W) width
Rural
46' Median
171
4
12
46
Swale
Swale, ditch
No
Not in standard
R/W
55
Prohibited
Prohibited in R/W
Property Takings and Relocations Required for ACCESS 2040
Components of ACCESS2040 not included in the CAMPO MTP could require around twenty
residential relocations. Most of these relocations would be near the proposed extensions of Ten
Ten Road and some segments of new road in that corridor. ACCESS 2040 would not divide or
require access reconfiguration for any neighborhood developments.
In addition to relocations needed for its CAMPO 2040 MTP components, Complete 540 would
require 217 relocations (209 residential, five business and three non-profit) to accommodate the
proposed six-lane toll road and its interchanges. Complete 540 would also bisect or require access
reconfiguration for five neighborhood developments.
ACCESS2040 meets the two primary objectives' of the Complete 540 project "to improve mobility
and to reduce traffic congestion in the project area" and its secondary objective "to improve
system linkage in the area roadway network."
Improving Mobility and Reducing Traffic Congestion
The ability of ACCESS2040 to meet the primary objectives (mobility and congestion reduction) of
Complete 540 can be gauged from Alternative IE3-A (Improve Existing [Highways] 3-Arterial). IE3-A
is the first tier concept alternative that most closely resembles ACCESS2040, and can therefore
serve as a surrogate. Although Alternative IE3-A lacks some of the important components of
ACCESS2040, it nevertheless establishes a reasonable basis for gauging the minimum performance
of ACCESS2040.
Table 3 compares the attainment of Complete 540 objectives by Alternative IE3-A and therefore
the minimum attainment by its surrogate ACCESS2040 to that of the "New Location Highway".$
E:3
Table 3: Minimum Attainment of Measures of Effectiveness
Alternative IE3-A and ACCESS2040 versus New Location Highway (Complete 540)
Project Purpose
Improve Mobility
Year 2040 MOE
Travel Speed
Travel Time, RTP
Region Wide
PM Peak Daily
62% 57%
59%
Travel Time, Brier 44%
Creek
Reduce Congestion Reduction, VHT
Reduction,
Congested VMT
58%
Study Area
�
PM Peak Daily
52% 50 %
85% IE3-A and
ACCESS2040
Outperform NLH
Reduction, 63%
Congested VHT
Reduction, 87%
Congested
Roadway Mileage
IE 3-A and
ACCESSO40
Outperform NLH
IE3-A and
ACCESS2040
Outperform NLH
40 %
87 % IE3-A and
ACCESS2040
Outperform NLH
59 %
IE3-A and
ACCESS2040
Outperform NLH
IE3-A and
ACCESS2040
Outperform NLH
IE3-A and
ACCESS2040
Outperform NLH
Notes: MOE - Measure of Effectiveness
VHT - Vehicle Hours of Travel
VMT - Vehicle Miles of Travel
IE3-A - Alternative Improve Existing [Highways] 3-Arterial, as defined in first tier screening
NLH - New Location Highway (Triangle Expressway Extension)
MOE data from First Tier Concepts Screening and TrafFic Reassessment, December 12, 2017, Tables 2 through 8, and tables
titled "2040 Alternatives Analysis PM Travel Times" for "Origin: Research Triangle Park" and for "Origin: Brier Creek"
Percentage attainment for ACCESS 2040 is the ratio of improvement over "No Build" attained by Alternative IE3-A (referred
to as "Improve 3- Arterial in Tables 2-8 referenced above) to that attained by "New Location Highway ("NLH)"). Attainment
is difference between "No Build" and subject alternative.
ACCESS2040 would deliver more than half the mobility benefits of Complete 540:
• For all time/area categories of the most broad-based mobility MOE (travel speed)
ACCESS2040 would deliver over half the benefit of Complete 540.
• For the most comprehensive time/area category (daily, region-wide) of the travel speed MOE
ACCESS2040 would deliver 57 percent of the gain attained by Complete 540.
• For the more narrowly defined MOE's measuring travel times to/from RTP or Brier Creek
ACCESS 2040 would deliver 59 percent and 44 percent, respectively, of the reduction in travel
time attained by Complete 540.
The accomplishment by ACCESS2040 of at least 50 percent of the average speed increase
of Complete 540 is significant, despite what at first might appear to be low percentages of
attainment. Complete 540 gains much of its increase in average speed through the single measure
of a lengthy segment of high-speed (70 MPH) Triangle Expressway extension. That ACCESS2040
would accomplish around half of this speed increase should not be interpreted as a shortcoming in
ACESS2040, but rather more as an indication of the extensive improvement that could gained from
simply improving arterial roads, as does ACCESS2040.
0
In attaining the congestion relief purpose, ACCESS2040 would outperform Complete 540:
• For all three MOE's that directly measure congestion9, ACCESS2040 would provide more relief
than Complete 540, for both of the most wide-ranging time/area categories: daily within both
the region and study area.
• For the three congestion relief MOE's in the PM peak ACCESS2040 would attain from 59
percent to more than 100 percent of the Complete 540 attainment. That Complete 540
outperforms Alternative IE3-A and ACCESS2040 during the PM peak in no way indicates
overall superiority of Complete 540. Rather, the daily MOE's which include the peak period
indicate overall superiority of the Alternative IE3-A and ACCESS2040, confirming that the
small PM peak advantage shown for Complete 540 comes "at the expense" of a net daily
gain in congestion. Reducing congestion for only the PM peak could, in proper context, be
a reasonable MOE. However, reducing congestion during only the PM peak while increasing
it by a greater amount for the entire day is neither technically supportable as transportation
planning nor likely to be acceptable to the public.
The inclusion, in ACCESS2040, of some major improvements not included in its surrogate
Alternative IE3-A assures that ACCESS2040 would perform even better than indicated above in
Table 3:
Extension of Ten Ten Road corridor with new segments of four-lane divided road which would
provide a continuous four-lane route between Apex and Knightdale
Grade separations at some locations on NC 42 and widening it throughout, which would
provide a continuous and partially grade separated route between Holly Springs and Clayton
Widening of some segments of north-south routes on the Lake Wheeler Road and NC 50
corridors.
Improving System Linkage in the Area Roadway Network
ACCESS2040, with continuous multi-lane (four-lane or six-lane) roads in its Ten Ten Road and Tryon
Road corridors, would provide the same signature improvement in system linkage as Complete
540: arterial road connection between NC 540 in Apex/Holly Springs and US 64/264 in Knightdale.
In meeting this overarching goal of continuity between NC 540 and US 64/264, ACCESS 2040
would provide many more ancillary opportunities for system linkage than Complete 540. Complete
540would add to regional linkage with one limited-access toll road connecting to a single point
at either end (NC 540 and Us 64/264) with eleven intermediate access points (interchanges). By
contrast, ACCESS 2040 would provide three east-west multilane road links between numerous
origin/destination points (see Figure 2, 3 and 4). Each of these east-west routes would connect to
all north-south intersecting roads, rather than at just eleven interchanges as in Complete 540.
Table 4: ACCES52040
Cost Summary
Project Costs ($ millions)
Corridor In CAMPO 2040 MTP Not in CAMPO ACCESS2040
Through Horizon Beyond Horizon 2040 MTP Total
Year 2040 Year 2040
East-West Corridors
Tryon Road
Ten Ten Road
NC55&NC42
87.5
200.7
260.9
North-South Corridors
Holly Springs Road 99.6
Lake Wheeler Road 88.3
US 401
NC 50
112.7
36.8
Entire ACCESS2040
::.
14.8
112.5
51.0
0
8.6
0
56.4
243.3
10
1.9
48.5
0
�
�
�
�
50.4
104.2
361.7
311.9
99.6
96.9 _ I
112J �
93.2
1,180.2 J
The total cost of ACCESS2040 is $1,180 million (Table 4).
Three quarters (75 percent) of the entire cost of ACCESS2040 ($886 million of $1,180 million) is from
"financially feasible" projects (i.e. included in horizon years 2020, 2030 and 2040) in the CAMPO
2040 MTP. Another 21 percent ($243 million) of the cost of ACCESS2040 is from horizon year 2060
projects (planned but not yet funded) in the CAMPO 2040 MTP. Only four percent ($50 million) of
the cost of ACCESS2040 is from projects not included at all (i.e., neither funded nor unfunded) the
CAMPO 2040 MTP.
Two corridors account for over half of the cost of ACCESS2040. At $361 million (31 percent of
total cost) the widening and extension of Ten Ten Road is the costliest of the seven corridors in
ACCESS2040. This cost reflects widening of around 35 miles of road to four lanes, 2.2 miles of new
four-lane road and four reconfigured intersections (Appendix Table A.2). The NC 55/NC 42 route
is the second most costly at $313 million (26 percent of total cost). Most of this cost comes from 23
miles of widening and three grade-separated intersections (Appendix Table A.3).
The $50 million for projects in ACCESS2040 that are not included in the CAMPO 2040 MTP is
mostly for new road segments on the Ten Ten corridor.
The "financially feasible" components of the CAMPO 2040 MTP are common to both ACCESS2040
and Complete 540. In comparing the costs of the two alternatives (Table 5) the appropriate cost
measure is therefore the cost increment beyond that of the CAMPO 2040 MTP projects common to
both alternatives.
Table 5: Increment of Cost Beyond Horizon Year 2040,
CAMPO 2040 MTP
ACCESS2040 and Complete 540
Cost Increment
CAMPO 2040 MTP,
Horizon Year beyond 2040
Not in CAMPO
2040 MTP
Total increment beyond
CAMPO 2040 MTP Horizon
Year 2040
ACCESS2040 Complete 540
($ Million) ($ Million)
243.3
50.4 2,240.0
293.7 2,240.0
Although the documentation for Complete 540 offers no analysis of cost effectiveness for any of
the alternatives considered, project data does support a simplified approximation (Table 6) of such
analysis for ACESS2040 and Complete 540.
The ACCESS2040 Benefit/Cost ratio of 2.10 indicates a project whose benefits would far outweigh
its cost, indicating a sound investment. A Benefit/Cost ratio this high is not surprising, given that in
the CAMPO 2040 MTP, source of much of ACCESS2040, typically have ratios around 2.0 - 2.5.
The Complete 540 Benefit/Cost ratio of 0.47 reveals a project whose benefits would fail to cover
even one half of the project cost. Transportation project analysis guidelines recommend that only
"projects that can demonstrate a benefit/cost ratio equal to or greater than 1.0 can be regarded as
economically suitable".'o
11
Two other approaches confirm that Complete 540 would not come close to being a financially
feasible project:
1. NCDOT Strategic Transportation Investment
(STI) Prioritization and Programming
Process—This process includes a benefit/
cost component that compares monetized
travel time savings over a 10-year period to
the NCDOT share of the cost. For Complete
540, this 10-year benefit of travel time saving
would be around $530 million", indicating
that the NCDOT share could be at most
around one-quarter of the project's cost of
$2,200 and that toll financing would have
to "write down" the NCDOT cost to $530
million. However, as noted below nowhere
near this level of toll financing is anticipated.
2. Planning Level Traffic and Revenue Study,
May 2017—This report, the first projection
of revenue for Complete 540 as a toll road,
projects a Net Present Value (NPV) of toll
revenues of $1.155 million for the first 25
years of operation. These revenues are 52
percent (around one-halfl ofthe Complete
540 cost of $2,200 million, affirming earlier
admissions by NCDOT that the project is
far from feasible as a toll road unless heavily
subsidized by public funding.
Table 6: Cost Effectiveness, ACCES52040
and Complete 540
Travel Benefits,
Year 2050
Travel benefits,
Year 2025
Net Present Value
(NPV) of Travel
Benefits
Project Cost
Benefit/Cost
ACCESS2040
60.3
36.5
617.3
293.7
2.10
Complete 540
102.4
62.0
��: �
2,240.0
0.47
Notes: Travel benefits, Year 2050 - increased from year
2040 benefits as per Traffic and Revenue Report,
Table 4.16, Scenario 1
Travel benefits, Year 2025 - reduction from year 2040
based on reduction over same period, Traffic and
Revenue Report, Table 4.1 b, Scenario 1
Net Present Value (NPV) computed for 30 years, IRR
3.5%
Project Cost - Cost increment beyond CAMPO 2040
MTP projects, from Table 5
Results of the three above approaches to cost
effectiveness— cost effectiveness analysis in Table 6, the NCDOT Strategic 7ransportation
Investment guidelines and the Planning Level Traffic and Revenue Study—converge on two
findings:
1. Complete 540 is a poor use of public funding, falling far short of NCDOT STI and CAMPO
guidelines for cost effectiveness
2. Complete 540 is far from feasible as a toll-only project, earning revenue of less than half
that required to cover its cost. Inability of the project to offset its cost was foreseen in the
Alternatives Development and Analysis Report which concluded that "A completely non-tolled
(traditionally funded) scenario would not be reasonable" and further that "Traditional (non-
toll) transportation funding sufficient to fully fund this project is not likely in the foreseeable
future".'Z
As the mileage of proposed toll roads increases throughout the US, funding schemes that use
tolls to pay for part of the project and therefore "write down" to acceptable levels the remaining
publicly financed part are regularly claimed to be "innovative" public/private partnerships. In
reality, rather than innovative funding this type of "partnership" is an accounting device to mask
a project's lack of feasibility for either toll financing or for meeting cost-effectiveness criteria of
transportation agencies.
12
by-link description of the seven arterial road
corridors comprising ACCESS2040.
13
The following seven tables provide a link-
Table A.1: ACCESS2040
Tryon Road Corridor
Segment
US 64
US 64
US 64
Tryon Rd
Tryon Rd
Tryon Rd
Tryon Rd �
Tryon Rd �
Tryon Rd
Tryon Rd extension
Rock Quarry Rd
Rock Quarry Rd
Rock Quarry Rd
Battle Bridge Rd
From To
I-540 US 1
Interchange, US 64/Old Apex Rd
Interchange, US 64/Lake Pine Dr
US 1 Kildare Farm Rd
Kildare Farm Rd Lake Wheeler Rd
Lake Wheeler Rd Norfolk Southern RR
Norfolk Southern RR Existing Tryon Rd
Existing Tryon Rd S Wilmington St
S Wilmington St W Garner Rd
W Garner Rd Rock Quarry Rd
Intersection, Rock Quarry Rd/Sunnybrook Rd
Sunnybrook Rd New Hope Rd
New Hope Rd Battle Bridge Rd
Rock Quarry Rd Auburn Knightdale Rd
Miles Improvement I
5.70 Widen to six lanes
Interchange
Interchange
0.80 Widen to six lanes
2.49 Existing four lanes
1.30 Widen to four lanes
0.50 New four lane road �
0.09 Widen to four lanes
1.34 Existing four lane road
2.15 New four lane road
Reconfigure
1.09 Widen to four lanes
1.40 Widen to four lanes
1.85 Widen to four lanes
14
Table A.2: ACCESS2040
Ten Ten Road Corridor
Segment From To Miles Improvement CAMPO STIP (year)
Jessie Dr Old Holly Springs Rd NC 55 1.64 Widen to four lanes A218b (2040)
Jessie Dr NC 55 Ten Ten Rd 1.58 Widen to four lanes A218e (2060)
Ten Ten Rd Apex Peakway US 1 1.04 Widen to four lanes A166 (2030)
Ten Ten Rd US 1 � Holly Springs Rd 3.40 Widen to four lanes A114 (2030)
Ten Ten Rd Holly Springs Rd � Bells Lake Rd 1.95 Widen to four lanes A113 (2040)
Ten Ten Rd Bells Lake Road Old Stage Rd 5.10 Widen to four lanes A400a (2040)
Ten Ten Rd Old Stage Rd NC 50 3.43 Widen to four lanes A400b (2060)
Ten Ten Rd Ten Ten/Rand intersection Reconfigure intersection
Rand Rd Ten Ten Rd NC 50 � 1 JO Widen to four lanes
Rand Rd/ Rand Rd/NC 50 intersection Realign intersection
NC 50 Rand Rd Ackerman Rd ext (T A.7) Widen to four lanes A228a (2040)
NC 50 NC 50/proposed Ackerman Rd extension Realign intersection
Proposed Ackerman Rd NC 50 Bryan Rd 0.50 New four-lane road A577 (2040)
extension
Ackerman Rd Bryan Rd White Oak Rd
White Oak Rd Ackerman Rd � Hicks Rd
ACCESS2040 new segment White Oak Rd Raynor Rd
Raynor Rd & ACCESS2040 new segment Hodge Rd
Auburn Knightdale Rd
Hodge Rd Auburn Knightdale Rd Poole Rd
Hodge Rd Hodge Rd/ACCESS2040 new segment
ACCESS2040 new segment Poole Rd I-540/US 64
interchange
I-540/US 64 interchange Interchange modification
1.14 Widen to four lanes A577 (2040)
4.46 Widen to four lanes A143a (2040)
0.63 New four-lane road
7.58 Widen to four lanes A203 (2060)
1.90 Widen to four lanes A403c (2060)
Realign Hodge Rd
1.11 New four-lane road
Add ramps to/from S
15
Table A.3: ACCESS2040
NC 55/ NC 42Corridor
Segment
NC 55
NC 55
NC 55
NC 55 (Broad St)
Judd Pkwy
Judd Pkwy
From To
North Main St Dickens Rd
NC 55/Old Holly Springs Apex Rd
NC 55/Ralph Steven Rd intersection
Dickens Rd
NC 55
Products Rd
Judd Pkwy
Products Rd
US 401/NC 55/NC
42
US 401/ NC 55/NC
42 Intersection
US 401, NC 55, NC 42 Judd Pkwy
US 401/NC 42/NC 42
NC 42
NC 42
NC 42
NC 42
NC 42
NC 42
South connector (Guy
Road extension)
US 401/NC 55/NC 42 intersection
US 401 /NC 55 Old Stage Rd
Old Stage Rd John Adams Rd
John Adams Rd NC 50
NC 50 I-40
I-40 Amelia Church Rd
Amelia Church Rd US 70 Business
NC 42 US 70 Business
�
CAM PO 2040
Miles Improvement MTP # (year)
5.95 Widen to six lanes A98 (2030)
0.20 Grade separated A163a (2030)
interchange
0.20 Grade separated A160c (2060)
interchange
continue as four �
lane rd
1.50 Widen to four lane A207a2 (2040)
0.60 Widen to four lanes A207a3 (2020)
Add median, access A619c (2030)
1.18 management
Grade separated A637 (2030)
0.20 interchange
4.10 Widen to four lanes A407a (2060)
0.95 Widen to four lanes A407b1 (2060)
4.39 Widen to four lanes A407b2 (2040)
2.17 Widen to four lanes A407b3 (2030)
4.27 Widen to four lanes Jhns2b (2030)
2.07 Widen to four lanes Jhns2a (2030)
2.33 New four-lane Jhns3 (2030)
bypass
Table A.4: ACESS2040
Holly Springs Road Corridor
Segment From
Holly Springs Rd New Hill Rd
Holly Springs Rd Kildare Farm Rd
Connector
Holly Springs Rd Ten Ten Rd
Holly Springs Rd Penny Rd
Holly Springs Rd SE Cary Parkway
Jones Franklin Rd Holly Springs Rd
Jones Franklin Rd Dillard Dr
Jones Franklin Rd I-440
To
Kildare Farm Rd
Connector
Ten Ten Rd
Penny Rd
Cary Pkwy
Tryon Rd
Dillard Dr
I-440
Western Bv
CAM PO 2040
Miles Improvement MTP (Year)
4.44 Widen to 4 lanes A163a (2030)
0.84 Widen to 4 lanes A71 (2030)
1.22
2.22
0.61
0.67
1.22
1.09
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
A70 (2030)
A69 (2030)
A72 (2030)
A73a (2030)
A560b (2040)
A560a (2040)
16
Table A.S: ACCESS2040
Lake Wheeler Road Corridor
Segment
Lake Wheeler Rd
Lake Wheeler Rd
Lake Wheeler Rd
Lake Wheeler Rd
Lake Wheeler Rd
From
Hilltop Needmore Rd
Ten Ten Rd
Penny Rd
Tryon Rd
I-40
Lake Wheeler Rd Centennial Pkwy
To Miles
Ten Ten Rd 3.40
Penny Rd 3.55
Tryon Rd 1.79
I-40 1.30
Centennial Pkwy 0.32
S Saunders St 0.94
Table A.6: ACCESS2040
US 401 Corridor
Segment
US 401
US 401
US 401
US 401
From To
NC 55/42 Scott Rd
Scott Rd Tech Rd
Tech Rd Ten Ten Rd
Ten Ten Rd US70
Miles
3.32
1.58
1.07
5.59
Improvement
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
Widen to 4 lanes
Continue existing
fourlanes
Widen to 4 lanes
CAM PO 2040
MTP # (Year)
A136c (2040)
A136b (2040)
A136a (2030)
A43 (2040)
A136e (2060)
CAM PO 2040
Improvement MTP # (Year)
Widen to six lanes A619b (2040)
Widen to six lanes A619a (2040)
Widen to six lanes A480b (2020)
Widen to six lanes A480a (2030)
Table A.7: ACCESS2040
NC 50 Corridor
Segment From To Miles
NC 50 NC 210 NC 42 5.63
NC 50 NC 42 NC 1010 (Cleveland Rd) 1.85
NC 50 NC 1010 (Cleveland Rd) Timber Dr 4.91
CAMPO 2040
Improvement MTP # (Year)
Widen to four lanes A228c (2060)
Widen to four lanes A228b (2060)
Widen to four lanes A228a (2040)
17
' FEIS, Chapter 2
zAlternatives Development and Analysis Report, May 2014
3 First Tier Alternative Concepts Screening and Traffic Reassessment, December 12, 2017
"NCDOT Roadway Deign Manual, 23' - 30' Raised Medians, 1-2B, Figure 5
5 ibid., 30' — 36' Medians, 1-2B, Figure 1
6 ibid., 1-2B, Figures 2A and 2B
'Alternatives Development and Analysis Report, May 2014, Section 1, S-1
8 Synonymous terms for the extension of I-540, used as appropriate at various stages of the Complete 540 project, include
"New Location Highway", "Build Alternative", Triangle Expressway Southeast Extension", "DSA 2", "Preferred
Alternative " and recently simply "Complete 540". The terms are interchangeable.
9"Reduction, Congested VMT", "Reduction, Congested VHT" and "Reduction, Congested Roadway Mileage" are direct
measures of congestion. "Reduction, VMT" can indicate congestion reduction but also measures uncongested travel
that is simply faster or more direct.
10 Martin Wohl and Brian V. Martin, Traffic Systems Analysis for Engineers and Planners, section 8.4.2
"Travel benefits first ten years (2025-2035) from year 2040 benefit, First Tier Reassessment, Table 2 scaled to years 2025-
2035 as per traffic growth from Traffic and Revenue Study, Table 4.1 b, Scenario 1
1zAlternatives Development and Analysis Report, May 2014, pages 2-5
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