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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20181249 Ver 1_Attachment 1- 2018-02-22 SELC Comments to NCDOT re Complete 540 FEIS_20181217SOUTHERN ENVIRONMENTAL LAW CENTER Telephone 919-967-1450 601 WEST ROSEMARY STREET, SUITE 220 Facsimile 919-929-9421 CHAPEL HILL, NC 27516-2356 February 22, 2018 VIA E-MAIL AND U.S. MAIL Mr. Rodger Rochelle North Carolina Department of Transportation 1548 Mail Service Center Raleigh, NC 27699-1548 complete540@ncdot.gov RE: Comulete 540: Final Environmental Impact Statement Dear Mr. Rochelle: On behalf of Sound Rivers and Clean Air Carolina (the "Conservation Groups"), the Southern Environmental Law Center ("SELC") submits the attached comments on the Final Environmental Impact Statement ("FEIS") for the Complete 540 Toll Road. INTRODUCTION The FEIS fails entirely to address the concerns raised by the Conservation Groups in their comments on the Draft Environmental Impact Statement ("DEIS"). Moreover, the FEIS contains little new information and the additional facts that are provided only serve to raise further questions about the advisability of moving forward with this $2.2 billion project. It is clear from the FEIS that the North Carolina Department of Transportation ("NCDOT") and the Federal Highway Administration's ("FHWA") (collectively, the "Transportation Agencies") primary aim is nothing more than completing a loop: tidily filling in the last gap in a circle. Since the idea of an outer loop around Raleigh was first dreamed up in the late 1960s much has changed. The vibrant, educated workforce living and moving to the Raleigh area is much less interested in long commutes and suburban living. Instead, workers are searching for exciting urban opportunities. Employers are looking for strong mass transit systems and walkable, bikeable communities. Technology is changing—autonomous vehicles are fast coming online, ride-hailing is on the rise, and even drone technology looks set to change our mobility patterns. We are poised at a moment of enormous change, and this is therefore exactly the wrong time to consider a massive, unprecedented investment in the transportation system of the past. The Transportation Agencies should use this opportunity to reconsider alternative solutions. The FEIS illuminates that, expensive though this 28 mile highway is, it would not Charlottesville • Chapel Hill • Atlanta • Asheville • Birmingham • Charleston • Nashville • Richmond • Washington, DC actually even achieve one of the main purposes it was designed to achieve. Data included with the FEIS show that rather than improving congestion on surrounding roadways, the preferred alternative will actually make congestion worse. By contrast, the Conservation Groups present an alternative focused on upgrades to the existing highway system that would do a much better job of improving local congestion. The alternative would be much less expensive, would have significantly less impact on the natural environment, and would be available for all users, not just those able to pay an expensive toll. The FEIS does nothing to allay the Conservation Groups' concerns about the massive, unprecedented impacts from the project. The document details significant impacts to water quality and wetlands, but offers little information as to how such impacts will be mitigated. The document is woefully inadequate in describing the impacts to air quality and how the project and its associated growth will impact climate change—a concerning development given North Carolina's stated commitment to the Paris Accord. The document brushes off impacts to low income and minority communities, ignoring the fact that an entire mobile home park will be essentially obliterated and disregarding the fact that low-income families will not be able to pay the price of a costly toll with the false promise that they will get the benefit of congestion relief regardless. And the document punts on one of the key legal obstacles that has always faced this project: the existence of two federally protected species that lie in its path and will be thrown into jeopardy with construction. Despite knowing about this issue for decades, the Transportation Agencies have still failed to come up with more than a vague proposal to commit to a short-term experimental breeding population, without any guarantee of success or any plan for successful release into the wild. In short, the FEIS is a legally deficient document for a project that is a bad idea, a waste of money and a guarantee of nothing other than destruction of all that makes this part of our region special. As detailed further below we urge the Transportation Agencies to take a closer look at alternative solutions and to publish a Supplemental EIS. I. POOR PUBLIC PROCESS Throughout the Complete 540 project's development, the agencies have been slow to engage stakeholders and address concerns raised by the public. In particular, the Transportation Agencies failed to substantively address Conservation Groups' concerns and comments raised about the project's Draft Environmental Impact Statement ("DEIS"). The Transportation Agencies also misled the public about the project schedule, impairing the ability of Conservation Groups and other members of the public to effectively weigh in on the project. 1. The Agencies' Violated NEPA by Failing to Consider and Respond to the Conservation Group's Comments The Transportation Agencies' responses to the Conservation Groups' comments on the DEIS,1 were legally insufficient. Under NEPA, an agency must solicit comments on a DEIS, 40 C.F.R. § 1503.1, and must respond to substantive comments in the subsequent FEIS, 40 C.F.R. 1 Stakeholder Involvement Report, Appendix J3. 2 § 15029(b). The response must "discuss at appropriate points in the final statement any responsible opposing view which was not adequately discussed in the draft statement and shall indicate the agency's response to the issues raised." Id.; see also Robertson v. Methow T�alley Citizens Council, 490 U.S. 332, 350 n.13 (1989). In its responses the agency may: (1) Modify alternatives including the proposed action. (2) Develop and evaluate alternatives not previously given serious consideration by the agency. (3) Supplement, improve, or modify its analyses. (4) Make factual corrections. (5) Explain why the comments do not warrant further agency response, citing the sources, authorities, or reasons which support the agency's position and, if appropriate, indicate those circumstances which would trigger agency reappraisal or further response. 40 C.F.R. § 1503.4(a). The procedural requirements prescribed in NEPA's implementing regulations must be "strictly interpreted `to the fullest extent possible"' in accord with the policies implemented in NEPA. California v. Block, 690 F.2d 753, 769 (9th Cir. 1982) (quoting 42 U.S.C. § 4332). In order to fulfill this mandate, an agency must identify all opposing views raised in comments and provide a"good faith, reasoned analysis in response" to each. Block, 690 F.2d at 773 (quoting Silva v. Lynn, 482 F.2d 1282, 1285 (lst Cir. 1973)); Sierra Club v. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 701 F.2d 1011, 1030 (2d Cir. 1983) (same); see also Nat'l Audubon Soc y v. Dep't of Navy, 422 F.3d 174, 198 (4th Cir. 2005) (explaining that the test for NEPA compliance is objective good faith). Moreover, agencies must respond explicitly and directly to opposing views in a way that addresses the underlying issue raised. See Hughes River Watershed Conservancy v. Johnson, 165 F.3d 283, 288 (4th Cir. 1999) (agency must give "careful scientific scrutiny and respond[] to all legitimate concerns that are raised"); N. Carolina Wildlife Fed'n v. N. Carolina Dep't of Transp., 677 F.3d 596, 600 (4th Cir. 2012) (faulting responses that "failed to address the underlying issue"); Earth Island Inst. v. Carlton, 626 F.3d 462, 472 (9th Cir. 2010) (agency must respond "explicitly and directly"); Ctr. for Biological Diversity v. U.S. Forest Serv., 349 F.3d 1157, 1167 (9th Cir. 2003). Agencies must candidly acknowledge information revealed in public comments. N. Carolina Wildlife Fed'n, 677 F.3d at 603; see also Nat'l Audubon Soc y, 422 F.3d at 198 (explaining that NEPA requires "candid acknowledgement" of environmental harms). And agencies must give the comments of sister agencies special consideration. See Hughes River Watershed Conservancy, 165 F.3d at 288; Sierra Club v. U.S. Army Corps ofEngineers, 701 F.2d 1011, 1030 (2d Cir. 1983); see also 42 U.S.C. § 4332(C) (requiring consultation and solicitation of comments from any federal agency with jurisdiction or "special expertise") Nat'l Wildlife Fed'n v. Andrus, 440 F. Supp. 1245, 1253 (D.D.C. 1977) (implicit in obligation to consult with and obtain comments from sister agencies with expertise is obligation to consider and respond). The Transportation Agencies' responses—or lack thereof—to the Conservation Groups comments failed to satisfy their legal obligations to candidly acknowledge and respond to the concerns raised by Conservation Groups. First, the Transportation Agencies selected only limited portions of the Conservation Group's letter to respond to and ignored a number of significant concerns. These deficiencies are documented below in the substantive sections. Second, a large number of the agencies' responses merely stated that information that had been lacking in the DEIS had been studied further and the results of the investigations made available in the FEIS. See, e.g., Responses 9, 52. As SELC pointed out in its first comment letter, this late investigation of issues and delayed dissemination of information to the public undercuts the two core principles of NEPA: forcing thoughtful, informed agency decision-making and making information available to the public at a meaningful time. 40 C.F.R. § 1502.14; see Robertson v. Methow T�alley Citizens Council, 490 U.S. 332, 349 (1989) ("NEPA guarantees that the relevant information will be made available to the larger audience that may also play a role in both the decisionmaking process" and "provide[] a springboard for public comment."); Webster v. U.S. Dep't ofAgric., 685 F.3d 411, 421 (4th Cir. 2012) (an agency has not taken the required "hard look" at the environmental consequences of an action unless it has prepared an EIS in a way that "foster[s] both informed decision-making and informed public participation."). It is also important to document that NCDOT has made some significant missteps in its public review process. Internal NCDOT emails produced in response to a NC Public Records Act request revealed that at least some members of the agency attempted to stymie public participation in the NEPA process by intentionally obscuring the project's timeline from the public.2 In an internal email, the project manager for Complete 540 warned his supervisor not to reveal that the environmental review for Complete 540 would issue well ahead of schedule for fear that "likely litigants" would submit additional FOIA requests.3 In fact, the FEIS was issued eight months ahead of schedule, right before Christmas, making it challenging for the public to submit comments in a timely manner. NCDOT then continued to further confuse the public by publishing two different public comment deadlines. The first, February 1, 2018, was the deadline published in the FEIS, the second, March 23, 2018 was noted on the project website. Attorneys for the Conservation Groups alerted NCDOT to the confusion being created by these different deadlines but no clarifying action was taken.4 IL AN OUTDATED PROJECT 1. Changing Preferences Complete 540 was first included on transportation planning documents in 1968.5 Since that time much has changed. Urban loops around cities are no longer the preferred solution by urban planners seeking to grow vibrant sustainable communities. And our communities themselves are changing. The young, educated workforce that Wake County hopes to attract is less interested in suburban living and long commutes—instead there is a preference for walkable � Richard Stradling, NCDOT accused of misleading public about $2.2 billion highway project, TxE NEws & OBSExvEx, Jan. 24, 2018, available at http://www.newsobserver.com/news/traffic/artic1e196102254.htm1. Attachment 1. 3 E-mail from Brian F. Yamamoto, N.C. Dep't of Transp., to Tatia White, N.C. Dep't of Transp. (Sept. 13, 2017 9:35 AM). Attachment 2. 4 E-mail from Kym Hunter, S. Envt'1 Law Ctr., to Rodger Rochelle, N.C. Dep't of Transp., et al. (Feb. 5, 2018 1136 AM). Attachment 3. s Purpose and Need Statement 18 (20ll). � downtowns and robust public transit systems. Meanwhile, experiences in the Charlotte area have showed that North Carolinians are no fans of toll roads, and there are increasing concerns about the impact of tolls on equity. On top of all these demographic changes we are seeing an explosion of new technology. Autonomous vehicles are coming online much faster than previously anticipated and, coupled with ride hailing and ride sharing applications, look set to completely change the face of our transportation system long before the Complete 540 project would be finished. Even drone technology is poised to change the way we think about commerce and freight. In short, we are no longer living in 1968. What may have been a good idea in the past is no longer the best solution for Wake County. These changes are discussed in more detail below. The Transportation Agencies' failure to examine these new trends constitutes a clear violation of NEPA. Worse still, NCDOT's proposal to extend the 540 outer loop traps tomorrow's Triangle within yesterday's infrastructure. Introduced in the 1940's, loop roads were designed with the car-commuter in mind. By encircling cities with vast highways, planners aimed to keep vehicles moving and out of downtown. There is disagreement about whether loop roads met this twentieth-century aim,6 but there is wide agreement that they offer no solutions for future growth. Tired of long commutes and enticed by city amenities, more and more young professionals are leaving suburban life for downtown living.� With the growth from this "great inversion,"8 cities are no longer asking how to move vehicles around downtown but how to move people within it. Not only do loop roads fail answer to this twenty-first century question, they actively obstruct new solutions. One does not need to look beyond the Triangle itself to see the dangers of loop roads. Durham has spent almost two decades trying to rid itself of its downtown loop. It currently seeks funding to remove the "big gutter around downtown" and replace it with a pedestrian-friendly two-way street.9 The "decades-old design," explained the city, "does not support pedestrians, bicyclists or transit users who want to safely get around downtown or the businesses and retailers in the City's central business district. The loop also creates a barrier between downtown and adjoining low-income and minority neighborhoods."10 Durham wants to escape the loop, and it is in good company. 6 See Rene Lavanchy, Congestion-Beaters Or Roads to Hell: Is There Still a Place for Urban MotoYways?, THE Gu.��AN (July 8, 2014), https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2014/jul/08/congestion-roads-hell-urban-motorwa�. Attachment 4. � See Eric Jaffe, Is Gentrification the Result of Rich People's Quest for Shorter Commutes?, THE ATLANTIC (Nov. 19, 2015) https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/11/shorter-commutes-gentrification/416646/. Attachment 5. 8 Richard Florida, How and Why American Cities Are Coming Back, C�1y LAB (May 17, 2012), https://www.citylab.com/life/2012/OS/how-and-why-american-cities-are-comin�-back/2015/. Attachment 6. 9 Jeffrey C. Billman, Durham Applies for a Federal Grant to Two-Way the Loop, and It's About Damn Time, IIVDY WEEx (Oct. 18, 2017), https://www.indvweek.com/news/archives/2017/10/18/durham-a�plies-for-a-federal-grant- to-two-way-the-loop-and-its-about-damn-time. Attachment 7. lo Id. Attachment 7. 5 Beginning with Portland in 1974 and San Francisco in 1991, vibrant cities all over the country are escaping the confines of loop roads.l l Just last year, Rochester, New York tore down part of its downtown loop and replaced the twelve-lane highway with a walkable, tree-lined boulevard.12 Now Oakland, California wants to do the same with a stretch of I-980—a renovation that would open 21 new city blocks for development. 13 Rochester Mayor Lovely Warren explains the escape-the-loop phenomenon, "It gives us more space to develop. Before this, businesses had to stop development. They had nowhere to go because of that highway."14 The Triangle area is rapidly growing. NCDOT has an opportunity to address this growth with creative, twenty-first century solutions. Its proposed action instead threatens to strangle the Triangle within a twentieth-century mistake. 2. Autonomous Vehicles The FEIS is completely silent on an emerging technology that could have a significant impact on the purpose, need, and success of the Complete 540 project, as well as the efficacy of less damaging alternatives. Autonomous vehicles ("AVs") essentially use a variety of sensors to detect the vehicle's surroundings and feed that information to software that controls the vehicle's steering, braking and acceleration.15 "Connected" AVs can communicate with other AVs or infrastructure.16 AVs are generally defined by different levels of autonomy along a five-part continuum suggested by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration ("NHTSA"), from non-autonomous at "Level 0" through full autonomy at "Level 4".' � AVs will undoubtedly affect transportation in multiple ways that are relevant to planning the project or whether it is needed at all. The stated purpose and need for the Complete 540 project is to improve transportation mobility and to reduce forecast congestion on the existing roadway network."18 Mobility can be defined as the time and costs required for trave1.19 11 Lavanchy, supra note 6. Attachment 4. 12Freeways Without Futures, CoNGREss FOR TxE NEw URBANISM, https:Uwww.cnu.org/hi,ghways- boulevards/freeways-without-futures/2017#70 (last visited Feb. 21, 2018). Attachment 8. 13 Id. Attachment 8. 14 Id. Attachment 8. ls Self-Driving Cars Explained, Union of Concerned Scientists, https://www.ucsusa.org/clean-vehicles/how-self- driving-cars-work#.WoNOs3xG2Hs (last revised Jan. 26, 2017). Attachment 9. 16Id. Attachment 9. 17 JAMES M. ANDERSON, ET AL., RAND CORP., AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE TECHNOLOGY: A GUIDE FOR POLICYMAKERS xiii (2016), available at https://www.rand.or�/content/dam/randlpubs/research_reports/RR400/RR443- 2/RAND_RR443-2.pdf. Attachment 10. 18 Purpose and Need Statement (2011); see also FEIS iii. 19 See NAT'L ACADEMY OF SCI., KEY TRANSPORTATION INDICATORS: SUMMARY OF A WORKSHOP 16 (2002), available at https://www.nap.edu/read/10404/chapter/4. Attachment 11. 0 Congestion is simply traffic.20 AVs are expected to bring a wide variety of benefits and costs, from reducing crashes and improving access for those unable to drive, to potentially worsening sprawl.21 The types and extent of benefits depends in significant part on thoughtful planning.22 However, AVs will very likely improve both mobility and reduce congestion. By communicating with one another and coordinating traffic flows, AVs have the capacity to reduce urban traffic dramatically. The city of Boston has examined the effect of AVs on traffic as part of its Go Boston 20301ong term transportation plan, which aims to improve access to all Boston neighborhoods and improve safety and reliability of transportation.23 The BCG report examined the effect of AVs on traffic in a half-kilometer square section of downtown Boston under two scenarios, one in which there was a substantial shift to AVs and one in which there was a revolutionary shift.24 In the "substantial shift" scenario, traffic and travel time each fell by 11 %.ZS In the "revolutionary shift" scenario, the number of vehicles in the area fell by 28%, and average travel time declined by 30%.26 A recent analysis by MIT's Senseable City Lab determined that AVs using "slot-based intersections" rather than traditional traffic lights could achieve a two-fold increase in the intersection's capacity and dramatic reductions in delay,27 cutting travel delays to almost zero.28 AVs also will likely improve mobility in ways distinct from reduced congestion. One huge potential shift will be the intersection of AV transportation and ridesharing services akin to Lyft Line and UberPool. It is expected that as these two innovations combine, AV-based transportation will become considerably cheaper than car ownership.29 The cost per mile to 20 See Traffic Congestion and Reliability: Trends and Advanced Strategies for Congestion Mitigation, FHWA, https://ops.fhwa.dot. ov,� /con e� stion_report/chapter2.htm (last modified Feb. 1, 2017). Attachment 12. Z' See id. at 9-40, Attachment N; see also U. OF MICH. CENTER FOR SUSTAINABLE SYSTEMS, AUTONOMOUS VExiCLEs (2017), http://css.umich.edu/sites/default/files/Autonomous_Vehicles_Factsheet_CSS16-18_e2017.pdf. Attachment 13. �� See UNION OF CONCERNED SCIENTISTS, MAXIMIZING THE BENEFITS OF SELF-DRIVING VEHICLES (2017�, available at https://www.ucsusa.org/clean-vehicles/principles-self-driving- cars? ga-1.1595166691761058560.1485893388#.Wmn28H1G2Ht. Attachment 14. 23 NIKOLAUS LANG, ET AL., BCG, MAKING AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES A REALITY: LESSONS FROM BOSTON AND BEYOND (2017), available at http://ima,ge-src.bcg.com/Ima,ges/BCG-Making-Autonomous-Vehicles-a-Reality-Oct- 2017 tcm9-173687.pd£ Attachment 15. 24 Id. at 6-9. Attachment 15. �s Id. at 9. Attachment 15. 26 7d. Attachment 15. Z� REMI TACHET, ET AL., MASS. INST. OF TECH., REVISITING STREET INTERSECTIONS USING SLOT-BASED SYSTEMS (2016), available at http://senseable.mit.edu/papers/pdf/20160316_Tachet etal_RevisitingStreet PLOS.pdf. Attachment 16. Zg Light Traffic, MASS. ItvST. oF TECx., http://senseable.mit.edu/light-traffic/ (last visited Jan. 25, 2018). Attachment 17. Z9 NIKOLAUS LANG, ET AL., BCG, MAKING AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES A REALITY: LESSONS FROM BOSTON AND BEYOND 7(2017), available at http://ima,ge-src.bc,g.com/Ima,�esBCG-Making-Autonomous-Vehicles-a-Realit� Oct-2017_tcm9-173687.pdf. Attachment 15. 7 travel by shared electric AV could be 30-60% lower than to travel by private vehicle by 2025.30 In addition, AVs will improve mobility for those who are currently unable or unwilling to drive, such as the young, the elderly, and the blind.31 These effects are more than reasonably foreseeable. Between now and the time Complete 540 is finished, around 2040,32 AVs will become commonplace, likely comprising approximately half of the vehicle fleet and more than half of new vehicle sales. NCDOT itself projects that AVs will comprise 40-60% of vehicle sales, 20-40% of the vehicle fleet, and 30-50% of vehicle travel by 2040.33 Similarly, an independent transportation consultancy predicts that 25% of the U.S. fleet will be AVs by 2035,34 and Goldman Sachs has predicted that sales of Level 3 and 4 AV will pass 50% by 2030 and comprise 100% by 2040.35 AVs' share of the fleet and market will rise continuously between now and 2040, and experts predict that AVs will comprise a significant proportion of the vehicles on the road well before then. Seven different car companies have made announcements that they will have AVs ready for market by 2020,36 and the National League of Cities expects fully autonomous vehicles will be widely available for wealthy consumers and as fleet vehicles in transportation and freight enterprises by the same year.37 Even NCDOT's NC Readiness for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles ("CAV") report estimated introduction of Level 4 AVs into the passenger vehicle market by the year 2025.38 In an interview, NCDOT's Kevin Lacy said "I expect that before I hit 30 years with the department, 2023 to be precise, we will have autonomous vehicles on the roads."39 Tesla plans to undertake a cross-country road trip with an AV in the next three to six months.4o 30 MCKINSEY & CO., AN INTEGRATED PERSPECTIVE ON THE FUTURE OF MOBILITY 24 (2016), available at https://www.mckinsey. com/�/medialmckinsev/business%20functions/sustainability%20and%20resource%20produc tivitv/our%20insights/an%20inte,grated%20perspective%20on%20the%20future%20of%20mobilitv/an-inte rag ted_ perspective-on-the-future-of-mobility.ashx. Attachment 18. 31 JAMES M. ANDERSON, ET AL., RAND CORP., AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE TECHNOLOGY: A GUIDE FOR POLICYMAKERS xv (2016), available at https://www.rand.or�/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_revorts/RR400/RR443- 2/RAND_RR443-2.pd£ Attachment 10. 3z ICE Report ii. 33 Burt Tasaico, PowerPoint Presentation: Transportation Funding — Continued, slide 26 (Sept. 6, 2017), https://www.ncdot.gov/download/about/board/bot/archiveMeeting/2017/201709_MeetingArchive.pd£ Attachment 19. 34 JANE BIERSTEDT, ET AL., EFFECTS OF NEXT-GENERATION VEHICLES ON TRAVEL DEMAND AND HIGHWAY C.�AcrrY 10 (FP Think Working Grp., 2014), available at http://orfe.princeton.edul�alaink/Papers/FP NextGenVehicleWhitePaper012414.pdf. Attachment 20. 35 THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, INC., MONETIZING THE RISE OF AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES 15-16 (2015), available at http://�.iri.com.cn/acc/Res/CN RES/INVEST/2015/9/17/f70472c6-f4ad-4942-8eab-3cOlf3c717a7.pdf. Attachment 21. 36 CTR. FOR CITY SOLUTIONS AND APPLIED RESEARCH, NAT'L LEAGUE OF CITIES, CITY OF THE FUTURE: TECxtvoLOGY arry MoBiLi`rY 17 (2016), available at http://www.nlc.or�/sites/default/iiles/2016- 12/Citv%20of%20the%20Future%20FINAL%20WEB.pdf. Attachment 22. 37 Id. Attachment 22. 38 Kimley Horn et al., NC Readiness for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles 29 (Nov. 2016), available at http://www.ncay.or�/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/NC-Roadmap-for-CAV_Final_ALL.pd£ Attachment 23. 39 Gary Farger, NextGen Supply Chain with Kevin Lacy, North Carolina Department of Transportation, LOGISTICS MG1v1T., Nov. 13, 2017, available at : Moreover, NCDOT is actively planning for the advent of AVs outside the Complete 540 NEPA process. NCDOT is considering the effect AVs will have on funding upcoming projects.41 The agency continues actively to encourage the adoption of autonomous vehicles, citing reduction of congestion as a possible benefit.42 It has dedicated significant resources to AVs, including hiring an engineer whose entire career will be focused on the transition to autonomous vehicles.43 NCDOT officials have expressed a desire to work with AV manufacturers on building road networks which will support AVs in the future.44 Indeed, following NCDOT's acceptance into the USDOT pilot program for AVs,45 the agency is allowing AV companies to use the existing 540 toll road as a testing ground for the technology.46 The North Carolina General Assembly recently passed legislation regulating AVs47 apparently hoping to encourage AV testing within the state while laying the foundation for North Carolina to attract major components of the AV industry.48 In addition, stakeholders who have been http://www.lo isg ticsmgmt.com/article/next�en_supply chain with kevin lacy north carolina_department_of trans o�rt. Attachment 24. ao Cadie Thompson, Elon Musksays Tesla will launch its cross-country road trip in a self-driving car in 3 to 6 months, Bus. INSIDEx (Feb. 7, 2018, 7:25 PM), http://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-tesla-road-trip-in- autonomous-car-mid-2018-2018-2. Attachment 25. a' See Gary D. Robertson, NCDOT Chief.• Electric, driverless cars could dry up road funds, U.S. NEws & WoxLn RF,P. (Oct. 2, 2017, 6:42 PM), available at https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/north-carolina/articles/2017- 10-02/dot-chief-electric-driverless-cars-could-dry-up-road-funds. Attachment 26. 42 Joe Hummer, PowerPoint Presentarion: NCDOT Autonomous Vehicle Roadmap Policy, slide 5(Apr. 26, 2017), https://connect.ncdot.,gov/proj ects/planning/TPB%20Mode1%20User%20Groups/07 NCMUG_2017-04- 26_Present_5 AV_NCRoadMapPolicy JHummer_NCDOT.pd£ Attachment 27. a3 Gary Farger, NextGen Supply Chain with Kevin Lacy, North Carolina Department of Transportation, LoGISTICs MGMT., Nov. 13, 2017, available at http://www.logisticsm�mt.com/article/next�_suvplv chain_with_kevin_lac�north_carolina_department of trans o�rt. Attachment 24. 44 Sara Svehla, NC wants "open dialogue" on possibility of driverless cars, TxE DA�[,Y TAx HEEL, Jan. 21, 2015, available at http://www.dailytarheel.com/article/2015/O1/google-moves-forward-with-driverless-cars. Attachment 28. as Lauren K. Ohnesarge, Officials: What we know about the self-driving vehicle testing program coming to the Triangle ExpYessway, TRIANGLE BUs. J., Jan. 23, 2017, available at https://www.bizj ournals.com/trian,gle/news/2017/O 1 /23/officials-what-we-know-about-theautonomous- vehicle.html?s=print. Attachment 29. 46 Gary D. Robertson, NCDOT Chief.• Electric, driverless cars could dry up road funds, U.S. NEws& WoRLD REP. (Oct. 2, 2017, 6:42 PM), available at https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/north-carolina/articles/2017-10- 02/dot-chief-electric-driverless-cars-could-dr�p-road-funds. Attachment 26. 47 An Act to Regulate the Operation of Fully Autonomous Motor Vehicles on the Public Highways of this State, 2017 N.C. Laws S.L. 2017-166 (H.B. 469) (Dec. 1, 2017) (to be codified at N.C. GEN. STAT. Alvtv. §§ 20-18-400 to - 403), available at https://www.nclee.net/Sessions/2017/Bills/House/PDF/H469v7.pdf. Attachment 30. 48 Colin Campbell, Could driverless car regulations help attract testing to NC?, TxE NEws & OBSExvEx, Apr. 25, 2017, available at http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-�overnment/state-politics/article146718619.htm1, Attachment 31; Richard Stradling, Self-driving cars are coming soon. Will North Carolina be ready?, The News & Observer, Dec. O5, 2017, http://www.newsobserver.com/news/traffic/article188164719.htm1. Attachment 32. 0 actively involved with Complete 540 have expressed the importance of considering AVs in order to make smart transportation improvements49 because of the impact they may have.so Despite the clear evidence that AVs have the capacity to impact the primary purposes of the proposed Complete 540 project and relative feasibility of other less damaging alternatives, the FEIS fails to consider AVs at all. Failure to take a"hard look" at this key issue violates NEPA. Citizens to Pres. Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe, 401 U. S. 402, 416 (1971). 3. Delivery Drones Drone technology has taken off in recent years, in turn popularizing recreational drone use; 51 however, the devices also have huge potential as delivery vehicles and have already been deployed for this purpose. Delivery company Flirtey made the first urban drone delivery in the U.S. in Nevada in March 2016.52 In May 2016, DHL's parcelcopter made a delivery in the Bavarian mountains more than three times as quickly as a delivery truck.53 Alphabet's (Google) Project Wing began delivering Chipotle burritos to students at Virginia Tech in September 201654 and is expanding burrito delivery in Australia.ss Domino's Pizza made its first drone delivery in New Zealand in November 2016.56 Amazon's "Prime Air" delivery service made its first delivery in the U.K. in December 2016,57 and the company is testing drones in Canada, United Kingdom, and the Netherlands.58 Amazon Prime Air will provide delivery within 30 a9 Natalie Griffith, How the Triangle can leverage new transportation tech, REG'L TxAlvsP. ALL�A1vCE BLOG, May 26, 2017, http://letsgetmoving.org/rta-blo /g triangle-can-leverage-new-transportation-tecl�/. Attachment 33. so Lauren K. Ohnesorge, Officials: What we know about the self-driving vehicle testing pYogram coming to the Triangle ExpYessway, TxrANGLE BUS. J., Jan. 23, 2017, available at https://www.bizj ournals.com/triangle/news/2017/O 1 /23/officials-what-we-know-about-theautonomous- vehicle.html?s=print. Attachment 29. si See Richard Stradling, You may be able to fly your drones in most Raleigh city parks after all, THE NEWS & OsSExvEx, Feb. 13, 2018, available at http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics- �overnment/article199917369.htm1, Attachment 34; Ian Frazier, The Trippy, High-Speed World ofDrone Racing, TxE NEw Yo�x, Feb. 5, 2018, available at https://www.newvorker.com/ma�azine/2018/02/OS/the-tri�v-high_ s�eed-world-of-drone-racing. Attachment 35. sz Kelsey D. Atherton, The First Urban Drone Delivery Just Happened In Nevada, POPULAIz SCL, Mar 25, 2016, available at https://www.popsci.com/first-urban-drone-deliverv-successful. Attachment 36. s3 Kelsey D. Atherton, DHL Delivery Drone Is Three Times As Fast As A Car, PoPULAR SCI., May 9, 2016, available at https://www.popsci.com/dhl-delivery-drone-is-three-times-as-fast-as-car. Attachment 37. 54 Chipotle burrito drone delivery begins at Virginia Tech, WTKR.COM, Sept. 17, 2016, available at hrip://wtkr.com/2016/09/17/ o�ogle-drones-will-deliver-chipotle-burritos-at-virginia-tech/. Attachment 38. ss Nick Statt, Alphabet's Project Wing drones will deliver burritos to Australian homes, THE VERGE (Oct. 16, 2017), https://www.theverge.com/2017/10/16/16486208/alphbet-goo l�e-project-wing-drone-delivery-testing-australia. Attachment 39. 56 Andrew Meola, Shop online and get your items delivery by a drone delivery service: The future Amazon and Domino's have envisioned for us, BUS. INSIDEx (Jul. 18, 2017), http://www.businessinsider.com/deliverv-drones- market-service-2017-7. Attachment 40. 57 Amazon Prime Air, AMAZOtv.COM, INC., https://www.amazon.com/Amazon-Prime-Air/b?node=8037720011 (last visited Feb. 14, 2108). Attachment 41. 58 Dave Gershgorn, We Now Know Where Amazon Will Be Testing Their Delivery Drones, PoPULAR SCL, Feb. 1, 2016, https://www.popsci.com/we-now-know-where-amazon-will-be-testin�-their-delivery-drones. Attachment 42. 10 minutes and the company expects Prime Air drones to become "as normal as seeing mail trucks on the road."s9 Future congestion in the project area may be alleviated by the future deployment of delivery drones. Analysts expect drones primarily to reduce delivery time and costs at the "last mile" between a distribution center (or restaurant) and a customer's home; however, drones may also increase efficiency in supply chain deliveries.60 Drones themselves will of course avoid traffic,61 and they are expected to ease congestion.62 Delivery drones also will likely reduce greenhouse gas emissions compared to diesel delivery trucks, depending on factors such as warehouse usage and the cleanliness of the grid charging the drones.63 NCDOT has been "researching and investing in drone technology for years." 64 The agency has submitted a proposal to the Federal Aviation Administration for done medical supply delivery,65 and plans to use drones in natural disaster response.66 NCDOT already has established regulations for commercial drone use.67 And just a few weeks ago, the North Carolina Board of Transportation heard from North Carolina-based drone company Precision Hawk about its technologies and predictions for increasing drone use in coming years.68 Clearly, NCDOT sees the benefits delivery drones may bring and is expecting their use. As the agency considers options for Complete 540 it should be considering how the increased use of drones, alongside other technologies, will alter the transportation picture going forward. s9 Amazon PYime Air, AlvtAzoN.Colvt, INC., https://www.amazon.com/Amazon-Prime-Air/b?node=8037720011 (last visited Feb. 14, 2108). Attachment 41. 60 Jonathan Camhi, The Drone DeliveYy Report: Opportunities and challenges in automating logistics with drones, Bus. INSIDEx (May 18, 2017), http://www.businessinsider.com/the-drone-delivery-report-o�portunities-and- challenges-in-automating-lo�istics-with-drones-2017-5. Attachment 43. 61 See Hugo Gye, Now that's a special delivery: Domino's builds DRONE to deliver pizzas by air and beat the tra�c, D.�LY M.�L (June 5, 2013, 10:38 AM), http://www.dailvmail.co.uk/news/article-2336324/Dominos-builds- DRONE-deliver-pizzas-air-beat-traffic.html. Attachment 44. 62 See Ben Farmer, Drones to tackle traffic and deliver medical supplies in UK cities, TxE TELEG�x, Nov. 27, 2017, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/11/27/drones-tackle-traffic-deliver-medical-su�lies-uk-cities/. Attachment 45. 63 Joshuah K. Stolaroff, et al., Energy use and life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of drones for commercial package delivery, 9 NA'r[7� Co1v11v1c'tvs 409, Feb. 13, 2018, available at hrips:Uwww.nature.com/articles/s41467-017- 02411-5. Attachment 46. 64 Press Release: NCDOT Proposes Drone-Based Medical Supply Delivery, N.C. DEP'T oF T1tANSP., Feb. 5, 2018, https://a�ps.ncdot.gov/newsreleases/details.aspx?r=14824. Attachment 47. 6s press Release: NCDOT Proposes Drone-Based Medical Supply Delivery, N.C. DEP'T oF T�tvsP., Feb. 5, 2018, https://a�ps.ncdot.gov/newsreleases/details.aspx?r=14824. Attachment 47. 66 NCDOT using drones as new tool for natural disaster response, WAVY.COM (Sept. 1, 2017, 11:11 PM), http://wavy.com/2017/09/O1/ncdot-using-drones-as-new-tool-for-natural-disaster-response/. Attachment 48. 67 Commercial Operators, N.C. DEP'T oF TxAtvsP., https://www.ncdot.�ov/aviation/uas/operators/ (last visited Feb. 14, 2018). Attachment 49. 68 Agenda, Economic Development and Intergovernmental Relations Committee, Board of Transportation, Jan. 31, 2018. Attachment 50. 11 III. A BETTER ALTERNATIVE Rather than stay glued to this outdated vision of the past, the Conservation Groups recommend a different solution. The Groups have worked with expert transportation planner Walter Kulash to develop an alternative focused on upgrades to the existing infrastructure�n approach that can be taken incrementally over time as traffic congestion worsens. This solution has the benefit of being open to all users, not just those able to pay a pricey toll. The alternative is named "ACCESS2040." Mr. Kulash's full report is set out in full in Attachment 168. The alternative is however, summarized briefly below. The objectives of ACCESS2040 are to: 1. Achieve most of the benefits (mobility, congestion relief and regional connectivity) of Complete 540 at a fraction of its cost and environmental impact. 2. Attain objectives of mobility, congestion relief and regional connectivity by augmenting projects already recommended in plans adopted by the Capital Area Metropolitan Planning Organization (CAMPO). Important secondary objectives of ACCESS2040 are to: 3. Create transportation solutions for a wide range of users. 4. Guide the suburban growth in Southern Wake County into sustainable patterns. ACCESS2040 starts with a foundation of 52 projects selected from the 2040 Metropolitan Transportation Plan ("CAMPO MTP") adopted by the North Carolina Capital Area Metropolitan Planning Organization ("CAMPO"). Most of these projects are widening of roads to multi-lane divided arterials. To this base of improvements, ACCESS2040 would add a small mileage of extensions to existing roads and replacement of at-grade intersections with grade- separated intersections. These widenings and extensions would create continuous multi-lane arterial routes across southern Wake County in both the east-west and north-south directions. The improvements would form seven arterial (road or street) corridors. Upgrading these corridors would yield both: (1) increased all-mode capacity for local trips (within the study area); and (2) increased connectivity for external travel (trips with origin, destination or both outside the study area). East-west regional connectivity, an important purpose of the Complete 540 project, would be served by three corridors. ACCESS2040 anticipates an increase in transit travel as projected by the Wake County Transit Plan and the GoRaleigh five-year transit improvement plan. ACCESS 2040 meshes with projects for non-motorized (bicycle and pedestrian) travel as programmed in the CAMPO 2040 MTP. ACCESS2040 would complement these plans with road designs that immediately accommodate a wide range of users and anticipates and provides for future increases in non- automobile travel. The ACCESS2040 approach of building on a base of CAMPO 2040 MTP projects differs somewhat from the "IE" ("Improve Existing") alternatives that the Transportation Agencies 12 eliminated early in the process. The first tier screening selected only a limited ("fiscally constrained") number of the planned CAMPO projects, thereby eliminating almost all projects with more than a 15-20 year funding horizon. Nonetheless, Mr. Kulash points to the Transportation Agencies' analysis of Improve Existing 3-Arterials ("IE3-A") as an alternative that is most like ACCESS2040. Mr. Kulash notes that ACCESS2040 goes significantly further than IE3-A. One can assume that ACCESS2040 will achieve at least the same level of benefit as IE3-A. Specifically, Mr. Kulash notes that under the Transportation Agencies' analysis IE3-A would yield around one half of the mobility gains and more congestion relief than the New Location Highway.69 Tables in the Transportation Agencies' own traffic analysis show that a new location highway is expected to reduce congested VMT by just 12.06% in the study area while IE3-A is expected to improve the same measure by 22.49%.70 It is therefore reasonable to anticipate that ACCESS 2040 would likewise do a much better job of reducing congestion on existing roads—one of the primary stated purposes of the project. At the same time, while not producing the exact same result as a $2.2 billion new-location 70 mile per hour toll freeway, the alternative would make significant gains in mobility—the other project purpose. Coupled with this strong showing by ACCESS2040 in meeting the project purpose and need is the fact that it would be significantly less destructive to the environment, would cost significantly less just $294 million over costs already schedule in the CAMPO MTP—and perhaps most important, would be open to all users, not just those willing and able to pay a pricey toll. Due to these advantages, and the fact that ACCESS2040 out performs the preferred alternative on one of the primary purposes for the project, the Transportation Agencies must take a hard look at this solution, which is likely to be the Least Environmentally Damaging Practicable Alternative for purposes of Section 404 of the Clean Water Act. IV. THE ILLEGAL NEPA ANALYSIS In January 2016 the Conservation Groups submitted significant concerns about the DEIS. As noted above, the Transportation Agencies failed to adequately consider these comments. The vast majority of the concerns remain unaddressed, as noted below. The FEIS and supporting documents present a number of additional legal problems. The deficiencies and inconsistencies in the Transportation Agencies' analyses are discussed in detail below. 1. The Statement of Purpose and Need is Arbitrary and Capricious As noted in the previous comments, the Statement of Purpose and Need is essential to the NEPA process because it guides the agencies' scope of review. 40 C.F.R. § 1502.13. As stated by the United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, "[o]nly alternatives that accomplish the purposes of the proposed action are considered reasonable, and only reasonable alternatives require detailed study. So how the agency defines the purpose of the proposed action sets the contours for its exploration of available alternatives." Webster v. U.S. Dep't ofAgric., 685 F.3d 69 First Tier Concepts Screening and Traffic Reassessment at Tbls 2-8 (2017). 70 Id. at Tbl. 3. 13 411, 422 (4th Cir. 2012). Because the Statement of Purpose and Need forms the basis upon which to compare alternatives, an agency is not permitted "to contrive a purpose so slender as to define competing `reasonable alternatives' out of consideration." Simmons v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng'rs, 120 F.3d 664, 666 (7th Cir. 1997). Despite this key role, many of the previously identified concerns about the Statement of Purpose and Need for Complete 540 remain and others have emerged. A. The Preferred Alternative Does Not Meet One of the Two Stated Primary Purposes for the Project Perhaps the single biggest revelation in the FEIS is the fact that the preferred alternative does not, in fact meet one of the two stated primary purposes for the project. The FEIS states: Two primary purposes have been established for the Complete 540 project, based on general transportation problems in the Raleigh area and specific, more localized needs. The first purpose is to improve mobility within or through the study area during peak travel periods. The second purpose is to reduce forecast congestion on the existing roadway network within the project study area.�' The FEIS, however, demonstrates that the preferred alternative will not meet the second purpose. Not only would the preferred alternative not reduce forecast congestion on the existing roadway network, but NCDOT's own forecasts suggest that it will actually make congestion on a number of key roadways worse than if the road was not built at a1L This straightforward truth has been hidden from the public by NCDOT, who in public, disingenuously claim without support that "You can expect travel speeds to increase by 8 percent and more on arterials."72 The DEIS screened for the congestion relief purpose with three different "Measures of Effectiveness" ("MOE"s). The Conservation Groups discussed at length in previous comments, and reiterate again below how this general screening concept is utterly arbitrary. The three MOEs employed to assess alternatives for congestion relief were "Total Vehicle Hours Traveled (VHT) on the major roadway network in the project study area over an average daily period;" "Congested Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) on the major roadway network in the project study area during the PM peak travel period;" and "Congested VHT on the major roadway network in the project study area during the PM peak travel period."73 Obscured from the public, however, is the fact that these measures were all assessed on a system-wide basis with the Complete 540 factored into the results.74 As such, it is completely unknowable whether congestion relief would actually occur on the existing roads, or whether the improvements in VHT, VMT and Congested �' FEIS at 7, emphasis added. �� Community Meetings Will Provide Info on NC 540 Extension, WRAL.CONt (Feb. 20, 2018, 5:52 P1V�, available at http://www.wral.com/community-meetings-will-provide-info-on-nc-540-extension/17357806/ (when asked by counsel for the Conservation Groups to identify what this 8% improvement figure referred to, Mr. Rochelle was unable to identify his source). Attachment 51. 73 2004 Alternatives Development and Analysis Report at 2-8 74 Alternatives Development and Analysis Report (May 2014) at 2-12 - 2-18 (noting that the measures were calculated using the TRM). 14 VHT are all due to the high speeds and limited congestion on the Complete 540 project itself rather than any relief on existing roadways. Because the purpose and need of the project was to "reduce forecast congestion on the existing roadway network within the project study area," and not "reduce forecast congestion on a system-wide basis" these MOEs were completely useless to assess the ability of the project alternatives to meet the stated purpose and need. The Quantitative ICE study included with the FEIS, however, makes clear that the preferred alternative will not, in fact, reduce congestion on existing highways. The study shows that by 2040 the preferred alternative would result in 12 primary corridors with daily congested roadway mileage whereas under a no-build condition there would only be seven congested primary roadways.75 Similarly, in its review of PM congestion, the study shows that 23 corridors would be congested under a build condition compared to 21 under a No Build condition.76 Moreover, when compared to existing conditions, forecasts for the preferred alternative show reduced speeds and increased congestion for nearly every road link studied.�� This revelation is important for two key reasons. First, the results in the ICE study demonstrate that the preferred alternative does not meet one of two primary stated purposes for the project. Second, the ICE study further illuminates the inadequacy of the screening methodology in the DEIS, and makes clear that a full range of alternatives have not been assessed based on their ability to relieve congestion on existing highways, as NEPA requires. The Transportation Agencies' error and obfuscation is further compounded by their utter failure to address significant concerns raised about this topic during the DEIS review as the Conservation Groups and others attempted to get to the bottom of what impact the project would have on existing roadways. The issue was raised at the public hearing and was set forth in person during a question and answer session with Bradley Reynolds on December 8, 2015. Attorneys for the Conservation Groups were directed by NC Turnpike Authority staff to Mr. Reynolds as the correct person to answer questions about traffic forecasts. When the attorneys asked Mr. Reynolds what travel time savings would accrue to travelers who plan to continue using existing roads he stated that this issue had not been studied.'g Worse, in response to the Conservation Groups' written comments on this topic, the Transportation Agencies directed the Groups to "page 54 of the Community Impact Assessment."79 Here, the Conservation Groups were informed, it is explained that "drivers who do not use the roll road would nonetheless benefit from reduced congestion on existing roadways as a result of trafiic diversion onto the new roadway. Drivers who elect to use the toll road would be removed from the non-toll network, which would indirectly benefit the users of the non-toll network." This argument is also used to justify why the project would not have any negative impact on low-income or environmental justice communities. The response, and the Community 75 Quantitative ICE Report 75. 76 Quantitative ICE Report 77. �� Quantitative ICE Report 75-79. 78 See Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 35 n.171 (Jan. 8, 2016). Attachment 52. 79 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 69 to SELC Comments (2017). 15 Impact Assessment itself, is not just misleading, but wrong. The Quantitative ICE makes clear that in fact there will not be benefits to drivers who do not use the toll road. For many users commutes will, in fact, become more congested. The Transportation Agencies may argue that while the preferred alternative will make key corridors more congested, overall the entire FLUSA will see congestion reduction.80 This argument is unavailing for several reasons. First, the ICE study notes that the FLUSA-level congestion reduction is the result of relief on "many minor TRM links not identified as a major corridor."gl The ICE study does not identify which roads these are, and there is therefore no way for the Conservation Groups or the public to know who, if anyone uses these roadways as part of their commute and how the increased congestion on these "minor links" in a"no build" scenario would impact travel in general, particularly when compared to the "build" alternative where major links are more congested. It also is unclear whether the project itself was factored into this FLUSA level forecast, as it was in the MOE screening process. Second, when the statement of purpose and need was developed for the Complete 540 project, congestion relief on unidentified minor arterials was not discussed. Rather, the 2011 Statement of Purpose and Need report discussed existing poor levels of service on I-40, NC 42 and NC 50,82 and future poor levels of congestion on Ten-Ten Road and segments of US 1/64.83 In the very next paragraph, the Transportation Agencies stated that the "second purpose of the proposed action is to reduce forecast congestion on the existing roadway network within the project study area." The Report discussed congestion on these same roadways in more detail later in the report, noting that "several key roadway segments within traffic analysis area operate at an unacceptable LOS."84 And yet the Quantitative ICE study shows that the preferred alternative will actually result in more congestion on many of these exact roads.85 Finally, and most importantly, while the Quantitative ICE is helpful in demonstrating to the public, for the first time, that the preferred alternative will actually lead to increased congestion on area roadways, it does not fulfil the core task of NEPA—i.e. to compare a variety of alternatives and see how they meet the stated purpose and need. As noted above, and as illuminated by the results of the Quantitative ICE, the original MOE screening was entirely inadequate for this purpose. To comply with NEPA, the Transportation Agencies must go back and screen a reasonable range of alternatives, including upgrade alternatives like ACCESS2040, 80 ICE Report 74. 81 ICE Report 75. 82 Purpose and Need Statement 3. 83 Purpose and Need Statement 4. A4 Purpose and Need Statement 11. In a related, but separate point, the Conservation Groups note that no traffic counts were taken on Raleigh's Inner Loop, I 440, despite congestion on this corridor being noted in the Statement of Purpose and Need report. Significant improvements are being made to this corridor which may have a bearing on how congested it is and how many people would use Complete 540 as an alternative. As such, current and future congestion on I-440 should be studied and a variety of alternatives should be screened based on their ability to reduce congestion on this road and others. 85 See Quantitative ICE Report 75 (Table 35, showing that the Preferred Alternative will see increased congestion over a"no build" scenario on a variety of roadways including I-40). 16 and determine how they will meet the very specific stated purpose of improving forecast congestion on existing roadways. NEPA does not mandate the selection of any particular alternative; however, NEPA does require a comprehensive hard look at a reasonable range of alternatives, "and it must be taken objectively and in good faith, not as an exercise in form over substance, and not as a subterfuge designed to rationalize a decision already made." Forest Guardians v. USFWS, 611 F.3d 692, 712 (lOth Cir. 2010). The analysis presented to date has failed to live up to this mandate. B. The Statement of Purpose and Need Was Developed Using Old Data In previous comments, the Conservation Groups noted that the purpose and need for the project was developed based on an outdated 2008 model using stale 2008 traffic data.86 In response, the Agencies state that the 2008 model was the officially approved model at the time of first-tier screening in 2008. While this may be true, it is now a decade later and the Transportation Agencies have a responsibility to, at the very least, determine whether their reliance on that outdated data is still valid. See 1000 Friends of Wisconsin, Inc. v. USDOT, No. 11-C-0545, 2015 WL 2454271, at *7-8 (E.D. Wis. May 22, 2015) (agencies violated NEPA by failing to explain impact of updated demographic data, when new data could make discarded alternative viable); Dow AgroSciences LLC v. Nat'l Marine Fisheries Ser-v., 707 F.3d 462, 472 (4th Cir. 2013) (Defendants acted arbitrarily and capriciously because they "never adequately explained why [they] relied on older data despite the existence of new data and the potential drawbacks of using the older data."); Western Watersheds Project v. Abbey, 719 F.3d 1035, 1052 (9th Cir. 2013) ("[A]n agency errs when it relies on old data without showing that the data remain accurate."). The Transportation Agencies admit that there is more current data available, the TRM VS and TRM V6, which were used for the 2016 Complete 540 Preferred Alternative Traffic Forecast. The agencies have a responsibility to ensure that the purpose and need for the project remains valid based on this updated dataset. C. The Statement of Purpose and Need is Impermissibly Narrow and Favors a Toll Highway Over Any Other Alternative The Agencies failed entirely to respond to the Conservation Groups' concern that the stated purpose and need for the project was impermissibly narrow. The Transportation Agencies' "secondary purpose" is articulated as improving system linkage in the regional roadway network "by completing the 540 outer loop around the greater Raleigh area."87 This purpose is contrary to FHWA guidelines, which disapprove of linking roads for no purpose other than to link them. Moreover, the purpose is impermissible in that it results in the foregone conclusion that the alternative that the Transportation Agencies would select would be a highway completing the 540 Outer Loop.gg The Agencies only responded that alternatives were not 86 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 4-5 (Jan. 8, 2016). Attachment 52. 87 Id. at 6. Attachment 52. 88 Id. at 7. Attachment 52. 17 screened out solely for failure to meet this secondary purpose.89 This response does nothing to address SELC's comments that the secondary purpose is contrary to FHWA guidelines and demonstrates an impermissibly narrow focus. V. THE ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS IS ARBITRARY AND CAPRICIOUS NEPA requires that agencies "[r]igorously explore and objectively evaluate all reasonable alternatives." N.C. Wildlife Federation, 677 F.3d at 602 (citing 40 C.F.R. § 1502.14(a)). In turn, "[a]ccurate scientific analysis, expert agency comments, and public scrutiny are essential to implementing NEPA." 40 C.F.R. § 1500.1(b). Such accuracy ensures that agencies take a"hard look" at environmental effects of proposed projects and that relevant information is available to the public. Glickman, 81 F.3d at 445-46 (holding that the economic assumptions underlying an EIS are subject to "narrowly focused review" to determine whether they "impair[ed] fair consideration of a project's adverse environmental effects"). Moreover, agencies have a duty to "insure the professional integrity, including scientific integrity, of the discussions and analyses in environmental impact statements." Id. § 1502.24. The alternatives analysis, supported by thorough scientific, expert, and public review, is intended to be the "heart" of the impact statement. Id. § 1502.14. Despite this mandate, the DEIS only offers one true alternative: building an expensive, environmentally-destructive toll highway that completes the 540 Outer Loop. 1. An Arbitrary Screening Process As noted above and in our 2016 comments, the first-tier alternatives screening process in the DEIS relied heavily on a misleading MOE process. Not only did the MOE process use a misleading methodology to calculate congestion relief on existing roadways, but it arbitrarily exaggerated minor differences between project alternatives in order to eliminate alternatives the Transportation Agencies did not want to move forward.90 In response to this critique, the Transportation Agencies contended that the Conservation Groups' comment inappropriately focused on average daily speed and travel times to the exclusion of other MOEs. Not only does this response fail entirely to address the Conservation Groups' fundamental point, it overlooks the fact that these MOEs are key to an examination of which alternatives will meet the stated purpose and need. The Agencies contend that the MOE ranking system was intended to avoid setting arbitrary thresholds.91 But the system employed by NCDOT just replaced arbitrary thresholds with an arbitrary ranking system. Miniscule differences in MOE scores resulted in different rankings and the Transportation Agencies just blindly applied these ranking numbers to reject alternatives without any investigation into whether these differences were meaningful. In other words the ranking system in effect directly avoids meaningful analysis. Accordingly, the Transportation Agencies' secondary argument that all alternatives were subjected to the same analysis is also unavailing, because the analysis itself is flawed. 89 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 17 to SELC Comments (2017). 90 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 8-9. Attachment 52. 91 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Responses 20, 31 to SELC Comments. : 2. The Scale of the Project Has Not Been Justified In addition to failing to look at alternatives to the Complete 540 concept, NCDOT has failed entirely to consider and therefore to justify why a six-lane highway is necessary. Forecast traffic volumes for the freeway average just 42,000 per day—a volume that does not justify either six lanes or a 70 foot median. Rather, a four lane highway would be sufficient to meet the projected level of traffic. 3. Multi-Modal Transportation Was Not Adequately Considered The Conservation Groups' comments on the DEIS emphasized that the Agencies unfairly and summarily dismissed mass or multimodal transit by asserting without support that buses may increase travel times due to frequent stops and similar unsupported assertions.92 The Agencies did not respond to this comment. The Conservation Groups also noted that the Agencies asserted without support that an increase in mass transit would be too costly and would exceed the amount recovered from fares, when the Agencies are instead planning a project that will cost over $2 billion and lacks financial plans to support it.93 SELC explained that "[w]ithout more supporting data about bus costs, the comparative cost of bus service does not provide a rational basis for rejecting the mass transit/multi-modal alternative ."94 The Transportation Agencies chose not to respond to this final sentence. Rather, the Transportation Agencies responded that there was no connection between financing the toll highway and financing additional buses.95 This misses the point-- Conservation Group's concern was that dismissing mass transit as too expensive and unfunded is entirely arbitrary given Complete 540's funding situation. The FEIS persists in the same biased and inadequate review of mass transit or a combination of mass transit, park and ride options, TDM or TSM strategies. In particular, the FEIS fails to evaluate the projected increases in mass transit due to the recently-adopted Wake County Transit Plan, which will add new bus routes and increase frequency of existing routes throughout Wake County. The plan also calls for a commuter rail line from Garner to Durham and many bus rapid transit projects. During its first 10 years, the Wake County Transit Plan anticipates spending a significant $23 billion on transit improvements to triple bus service, invest in commuter rail, and establish bus rapid transit infrastructure.96 These substantial increases in mass transit availability are expected to in turn spur greater ridership throughout the County and alter commuting behavior,97 thus reducing traffic and calling into question the need 9z Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 19. Attachment 52. 93Id. Attachment 52. 94 Id. at 20. Attachment 52. 9s Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 40 to SELC Comments. 96 JARRETT WALKER + ASSOCIATES & KIMLEY HORN, WAKE TRANSIT PLAN: A WAKE COUNTY TRANSIT INVESTMENT STRATEGY REPORT 3(2016). Attachment 53. 97 Id. Attachment 53. 19 for the Complete 540 project. Such a significant expansion of mass transit within the project study area—costing the same amount as the Complete 540 project itself is anticipated to cost— warrants evaluation by the Transportation Agencies in relation to Complete 540. The FEIS further failed to evaluate any impacts that construction of the toll highway would have on implementation of the Wake County Transit Plan and transit ridership. The FEIS also failed to consider how transit vehicles may be able to use the toll road, whether they will be required to pay tolls, and whether park and ride lots may be built at exits to encourage mass transit use. 4. The Alternatives Analysis Fails to Analyze Traffic Patterns and Potential Travel Time Savings In previous comments, the Conservation Groups noted that the DEIS did not address two fundamental questions key to assessing alternatives: namely, where travelers in the project study area are going and how the alternatives will help them.98 In response, the Transportation Agencies simply stated that the project purpose does not draw a distinction between local and through traffic.99 The origin and destination of travelers is key, however, to assessing project alternatives. If, for example, the majority of trafiic is local rather than through traffic then non- highway alternatives such as increased mass transit will be able to play more of a role in increasing mobility and reducing congestion. Similarly, alternatives such as ACCESS2040 which focus on upgrades to the local road system will be more effective for local traffic than for travelers looking simply to pass through the county on a single high speed roadway. The Transportation Agencies' failure to consider this issue constitutes a failure to take a"hard look" under NEPA. Furthermore, the Transportation Agencies' lack of interest in understanding the traffic problem they are seeking to address further demonstrates their narrow, predetermined focus on simply "completing" the 540 Outer Loop. In comments on the DEIS, the Conservation Groups highlighted Transportation Agencies' wholly unsupported claim that the Complete 540 project would reduce travel times by 10 minutes or more.ioo In response, the Transportation Agencies admit that not all travelers will always save ten minutes. Documents attached to the FEIS illustrate that travel time savings will be even smaller than previously anticipated. Just as with the DEIS, the Transportation Agencies again bury this key piece of information in an appendix to a technical report. The tables in the Appendix continue to show great variation in the travel time savings for various representative trips within the project area—but the savings are overwhelmingly slim. Considering a11264 trips represented in the tables, the average amount of time saved when the 2040 No-Build ICE scenario is compared to the 2040 Preferred Alternative Build Scenario is 3.08 minutes�.36 minutes slower than the estimated time savings in the DEIS. Notably, trips during the peak morning hours 98 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 12. Attachment 52. 99 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 23 to SELC Comments; see also Community Impact Study 48-55 (2015) (reviewing community and environmental justice impacts in terms of relocations only). ioo Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 12. Attachment 52. 20 would save an average of only 2.75 minutes, while the time-savings in the peak evening hours would average 3.4 minutes. Though the average morning time savings saw an increase of a minute from the DEIS to the FEIS, the average evening time savings saw a decrease of 1.73 minutes. A full third of all trips studied would not experience any time savings at all, and, in fact, 15.2% of the trips would see their expected travel times increase. Fully half of the trips would see less than a minute saved, and 233, or 88.3% of the trips, would see less than 10 minutes saved. Even if the trips with at least 1 minute or more of time-savings are isolated, of which there are 121, the average time saved for the remaining trips is 6.7 minutes. And even then, while 264 representative trips are analyzed, there is no indication of which trips are most popular. In other words, there is no explanation or analysis of what percentage of commuters travel between any given origin and destination point, thus limiting the utility of the travel time savings estimates. The trip pairs with the highest travel time savings are between Holly Springs and Knightdale, Eastern Wake County, or Clayton, but despite repeated questions from the Conservation Groups, the Transportation Agencies have performed no investigation into how many travelers currently travel these routes, or how many are anticipated to do so in the future. Without this information, the selection of the preferred alternative and analysis of alternatives is completely arbitrary and without a rational basis. Given the high cost of the project, it is essential that decision-makers understand who is actually likely to pay a toll to use it. And despite the Transportation Agencies' argument to the contrary, FHWA has suggested in the past that it is appropriate to assess the economic efficiency of a project.101 To do so more information is required: who is going to use the road and what benefit will they get? 5. The Alternatives Analysis is Based on Arbitrary Traffic Forecasting Methodology The alternatives analysis in the FEIS reflects a highly arbitrary traffic forecasting methodology. While the 2016 forecasts were generated from the regional Travel Demand Model, the 2040 forecasts were developed by applying a compound annual growth rate to the 2016 Base Year No Build volumes.102 Failing to use a travel demand model for the basis of traffic forecasts is a highly unconventional way of doing traffic forecasts for a major facility such as Complete 540. Usually, the regional travel demand model is used to develop future year forecasts, both for the "build" and the "no build" cases, which are then "balanced/adjusted" for more detailed flows at specific intersections or turning movement. The method used here, which applies a compound growth rate to a diversion-adjusted base year estimate, has the effect of throwing away years of local model development and relying instead on a future unknown growth rate, but none of the interim growth or network changes between the base year and the future year. Moreover, the use of a 10 year historic growth rate to factor future congestion is highly unusual and needs to be further justified. Table 16 suggests that compound growth rates 'o' See Memorandum from Polly Trotenberg, Asst. Sec. of Transp. Pol'y, Fed. Highway Admin., to Secretarial Officers and Modal Administrators on Revised Departmental Guidance on Valuation of Travel Time in Economic Analysis 19, 21 (Sept. 28, 2011) (measuring value of travel time savings in dollars per person-hour), available at https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.dev/files/docs/vot_guidance_0928llapdf. Attachment 54. ioz project Level Traffic Forecast 2(2016). 21 within the study area will be 1.5-2 times the comparable rates for the region.lo3 Given the current high growth rates in other areas of the greater Raleigh modeling area, which are among the fastest in the state, this seems unlikely. The significant differences in modeled results versus observed counts present in table 15 of the Traffic Forecast report require further explanation.lo4 While some variation is expected, the large gulfs between the numbers call into question the validity of one or both data sets. 6. The Alternatives Analysis Ignores the Phenomenon of Induced Traffic In previous comments, the Conservation Groups outlined at length how the statement of purpose and need was created using a methodology that has been determined illegal by a long line of federal courts, including most recently the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of North Carolina. See Catawba Riverkeeper Found. v. N.C. Dep't of Transp., No. 5:15—CV-29—D, 2015 WL 1179646 (E.D.N.C. Mar. 13 2015). Evidently FHWA agreed with this concern, noting that at the very least "a sensitivity analysis or some other agreed upon evaluation method may be required to determine how the latest approved traffic model and socioeconomic data should be used prior to the conclusion of the NEPA process."los The FEIS attempts to partially fix this error by reviewing travel time savings and other traffic forecasts as compared to an "ICE no build" condition. While this is an important step in the right direction, there is more that must be done. First, the step is too little too late. The Transportation Agencies should have used this information earlier in the process when they, and the public, were screening alternatives. Second as noted blow in Section VI(5), the ICE analysis is fundamentally flawed and therefore the revised traffic assessments are too. VI. THE ANALYSIS OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS WAS ARBITRARY AND CAPRICIOUS The Transportation Agencies' preferred alternative would be one of the most environmentally- destructive highway projects in our state's history, impacting thousands of feet of streams, dozens of acres of wetlands and ponds, and corresponds to destructive indirect and cumulative impacts through shifting traffic and land use patterns. This project would also negatively impact low-income communities and communities of color—impacts which were not adequately evaluated by the Transportation Agencies. 1. The FEIS Does Not Adequately Evaluate Environmental Justice Impacts `Bnvironmental justice" ("EJ") is the fair treatment of all people under environmental laws, including the basic goals of equal protection from environmental hazards and equal access to the decision-making process in environmental matters.lo6 With roots in the Civil Rights '03 Id. at tbl. 16. ioa Id. at tbl. 15. ios E-mail from Clarence Coleman, FHWA, to Kiersten Bass, HNTB, et al. (Dec. 5, 2014 2:04 PM). Attachment 55. l06 See Environmental Justice, U.S. ENVT'L PROT. AGENCY, https://www.epa.,gov/environmentaljustice (last visited Feb. 12, 2018). Attachment 56. 22 Movement of the 1960s, environmental justice was established as a legal concept in the late 1970s,107 and took hold as a movement with the 1982 protest of a polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) landfill in Warren County, North Carolina.108 Over the following decades, recognition of EJ's importance has grown, although progress has been too slow in practice.lo9 A. The Transportation Agencies Were Required to Review EJ Impacts In 1994, President Clinton signed Executive Order 12898 the federal government's responsibility to address EJ."o The Order requires federal agencies, to the greatest extent practicable to "make achieving environmental justice part of its mission by identifying and addressing, as appropriate, disproportionately high and adverse human health or environmental effects of its programs, policies, and activities on minority populations and low-income populations.""' In keeping with EO 12898, the U.S. Department of Transportation ("USDOT") maintains both a department-wide order on environmental justice and an environmental justice strategy. According to USDOT Order 5610.2(a), It is the policy of DOT to promote the principles of environmental justice (as embodied in the Executive Order) through the incorporation of those principles in all DOT programs, policies, and activities. This will be done by fully considering environmental justice principles throughout planning and decision-making processes in the development of programs, policies, and activities, using the principles of the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA), Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 (Title VI) [and other laws and regulations.]"Z 'o' See Bean v. Sw. Waste Mgmt. Corp., 482 F. Supp. 673, 674 (S.D. Tex. 1979). ioa See Environmental Justice, U.S. ENVT'L PROT. AGENCY, https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice (last visited Feb. 12, 2018). Attachment 56. 109 See, e.g., Vann R. Newkirk II, Fighting Environmental Racism in North Carolina, TxE NEw YO�x, Jan. 16, 2016, https://www.newvorker.com/news/news-desk/fightin�-environmental-racism-in-north-carolina. Attachment 57. iio Exec. Order No. 12,898 § 1-101, 59 Fed. Reg. 7629, 7629 (Feb. 11, 1994), available at https://www.archives.gov/files/federal-re,gister/executive-arders/pdf/12898.pdf, Attachment 58; see also Cot�lciL ON ENVT'L QUALITY, ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE: GUIDANCE UNDER THE NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY ACT (1997), available at https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.gov/files/migrated/pmb/oepc/upload/EJ-under-NEPA.pdf, Attachment 59; N.C. DEP'T OF ENVT'L QUALITY, 1 GUIDANCE FOR ASSESSING INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE IMPACTS OF TRANSPORTATION PROJECTS IN NORTH CAROLINA I-28 to I-30 (2001), available at https://connect.ncdot. gov/resources/environmental/compliance%20euides%20and%20procedures/volume%2001 %2 Oassessment%20�uidance%20polic.%port.pdf, Attachment 60. "' Id. Attachment 60. 11z U.S. DEP'T OF TRANSP., DOT-OST-2O12-044, DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION UPDATED ENVIRONMENTAL JuST�CE Ox�Ex 5610.2(a) , available at https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/environmental iustice/ej_at dot/orders/order 56102a/dot56102a.pdf. Attachment 61. 23 USDOT and other agencies entered a Memorandum of Understanding on Environmental Justice and Executive Order 12898 in which they agreed to periodically review and update their EJ strategies.113 The USDOT released an updated strategy in November 2016.114 According to the USDOT's updated EJ strategy, the agency's guiding EJ principles are the following: To ensure the full and fair participation by all potentially affected communities in the transportation decision-making process; To avoid, minimize, or mitigate disproportionately high and adverse human health and environmental effects, including social and economic effects, on minority or low-income populations; and To prevent the denial of, reduction in, or significant delay in the receipt of benefits by minority or low-income populations.l ls The USDOT's responsibility to ensure compliance with EO 12898 is not affected by NCDOT's assumption of primary responsibility for a project.116 In addition, FHWA maintains a separate directive on EJ in order to carry out its "longstanding policy to actively ensure nondiscrimination in federally funded activities."ii' Recipients of federal funds,iig including NCDOT,19 are required to abide by EO 12898. NCDOT also encourages public participation in transportation planning to ensure environmental justice is incorporated into decisions about transportation policy and projects.12o � 13 ERIC H. HOLDER, ET AL., MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING ON ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE AND EXECUTIVE OR�Ex 12898, available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-02/documents/ej-mou-2011-08.pdf. Attachment 62. 14 Environmental Justice Strategy, U. S. DEP''r OF TxA1vSP. (Nov. 15, 2016), https://www.transportation.gov/policv/transportation-policv/environmental-justice-strategy. Attachment 63. "s Id. Attachment 63. 116 STEWARDSHIP AND OVERSIGHT AGREEMENT ON PROJECT ASSUMPTION AND PROGRAM OVERSIGHT BY AND BETWEEN FEDERAL HIGHWAY ADMINISTRATION, NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION AND THE NORTH CAROLINA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION 5(May 12, 2017), available at https://connect.ncdot. gov/proj ects/Roadway/RoadwayDesignAdministrativeDocuments/FHWA%20and%20NCD0 T%200versi,ght%20Agreement.pd£ Attachment 64. See 23 U.S.C. § 106(c); see also FEIS 17 (acknowledging applicability of Exec. Order 12,898). 117 FED. HIGHWAY ADMIN, ORDER 664O.23A, FHWA ACTIONS TO ADDRESS ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE IN MINORITY POPULATIONS AND IAW-INCOME POPULATIONS (2012), available at https://www.fhwa.dot.�ov/le�sregs/directives/orders/664023a.pdf. Attachment 65. "A See Brenda C. Kragh, et al., FHWA-HRT-16-003, Environmental Justice: The New Normal for Transportation, 79 PuB. Ro�s 5(2016), https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/publicroads/16marapr/02.cfm. Attachment 66. 19 Title VI Nondiscrimination Program, N.C. DEP'T OF TxA1vSP., https://www.ncdot.�ov/programs/titleVI/ (last visited Feb. 11, 2018). Attachment 67. izo Toolkit Resources, N.C. DEP'T OF TxA1vSP., https://connect.ncdot. gov/proj ects/toolkit/Lists/ToolKitResources/DispForm.aspx?ID=85108&ContentTyp eId=0x01 004BE04D804DOA8A49BA2BEDFA43E08771 (last visited Feb. 11, 2018). Attachment 68. 24 Separately, both agencies also must comply with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act and may not conduct a highway project in a way that discriminates based upon race, color, and national origin.121 Title VI defines a program or activity as "all of the operations of ... a department, agency ... or other instrumentality of a State or of a local government ... any part of which is extended Federal financial assistance." 42 U.S.C. § 2000d-4a. Accordingly, if any part of a state agency receives federal funds, the entire agency is covered by Title VL 122 NCDOT is a North Carolina state agency123 and is a recipient of federal funds, iz4 B. The EJ Impacts of Toll Roads Transportation projects generally raise EJ concerns when minority or low-income communities receive fewer benefits and may be disproportionately impacted by transportation investments.125 The FHWA defines the "adverse effects" that may be suffered by EJ communities as follows: The totality of significant individual or cumulative human health or environmental effects, including interrelated social and economic effects, which may include, but are not limited to: bodily impairment, infirmity, illness or death; air, noise, and water pollution and soil contamination; destruction or disruption of human-made or natural resources; destruction or diminution of aesthetic values; destruction or disruption of community cohesion or a community's economic vitality; destruction or disruption of the availability of public and private facilities and services; vibration; adverse employment effects; displacement of persons, businesses, farms, or nonprofit organizations; increased traffic congestion, isolation, exclusion or separation of minority or low-income individuals within a given community or from the broader community; and the denial of, reduction in, or significant delay in the receipt of, benefits of FHWA programs, policies, or activities.126 '�' 42 U.S.C. § 2000d; see Title VI of The Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Additional Nondiscrimination Requirements, U.S. DEP'T OF TxAtvsP., https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/civilrights/programs/tvi.cfm (last modified Feb. 9, 2018), Attachment 69; Title VI Nondiscrimination Program, N.C. DEP'T OF TxAlvsP., https://www.ncdot.gov/pro,grams/titleVU (last visited Feb. 11, 2018), Attachment 67. '�� See Ratliff u Wake ForestBaptistMed. Ctr., Na 1:13CV991, 2014 WL 197809, at *2, *2 n3 (M.D.N.C. Jan. 14, 2014); See also U.S. DEP'T OF 7USTICE, TITLE VI LEGAL M.�vU.�, § V(C) (2017), available at https://www.justice.gov/crt/fcs/T6manual5. Attachment 70. 123 See N.C. Gen. Stat. § 136-18. iza FEIS 5(stating that Complete 540 project would include federal funding); see 49 C.F.R. § 21.23(�. izs See JOLANDA PROZZI, ET AL., CTR. FOR TRANSP. RES. AT THE UNIV. OF TEX. AT AUSTIN, ASSESSING THE ENVIIZONMENTAL 7USTICE IMPACTS OF TOLL ROAD PROJECTS 2(2010), available at http://ctr.utexas.edu/w� content/uploads/pubs/0_6544_l .pdf (produced in cooperation with the Texas Department of Transportation and the Federal Highway Administration), Attachment 71; see also Richard Lazarus, Highways and Biways for Environmental Justice, 31 CUMB. L. REv. 569, 594 (2001) (stating that highway system in effect subsidizes those who live farther from urban centers, raising Title VI concern when disproportionately disfavoring minority residents), available at https://scholarship.law.�eorgetown.edu/c�i/viewcontent.c�i?artic1e=1537&context=facpub. Attachment 72. 1z6 FED. HIGHWAY ADMIN, ORDER 6E4O.23A, FHWA ACTIONS TO ADDRESS ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE IN MINORITY PoPtn,AT�oNs � Low-INco1v1E PoPur,AT�oNs § 5( fl(2012) (defining "adverse effects"), available at https://www.fhwa.dot. og v/le s�re,gs/directives/orders/664023a.pdf, Attachment 65. See also NAT'L Ac�Elv1Y oF 25 Tolls roads raise particular EJ concerns because the tolls themselves frequently disproportionately impact minority or low-income communities. In addition, like other major infrastructure projects, the roads impose a variety of proximity or footprint impacts that frequently disproportionately impact minority or low-income communities. Both concerns are discussed below. C. The Inequitable Impact of Tolls The cost imposed by a toll can have a number of economic impacts on users or potential users of the tolled facility, including changes in road use patterns, mobility, accessibility, travel reliability, trip-making behavior and trip purposes, disposable income and financial burden, and disposable time.127 The degree to which these impacts will disproportionately affect low-income and minority communities depends on a number of factors including how many lower-income drivers will use the road, how many low-income drivers are priced out of discretionary trips, the quality of available alternative transportation options, and how toll revenues are used.12g Accordingly, as FHWA recognizes in its 2011 Environmental Justice Emerging Trends and Best Practices Guidebook, "[c]onsideration of equity issues-such as who bears the burden of road pricing charges, who benefits from improved mobility, and how the revenues are used-is critical to ensure that road pricing programs effectively achieve environmental justice."129 As such, "[a] region that is considering implementation of road pricing should undertake studies to measure and assess potential impacts on disadvantaged communities at an early stage in the planning process."13o FHWA provides multiple data tools for conducing EJ analyses.131 FHWA has recognized for at least a decade that tolls have inequitable impacts that should be analyzed as environmental justice impacts under NEPA.132 In 2007, the metropolitan planning organization (MPO) for the Dallas-Fort Worth area studied the environmental justice SCI., EFFECTNE METHODS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL 7USTICE ASSESSMENT (2004�, available at http://www.trb.org/PublicationsBlurbs/152430.aspx. Attachment 73. 1z� NAT'L ACADEMY OF SCI., ASSESSING THE ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE EFFECTS OF TOLL IMPLEMENTATION OR R.�TE Cx.�vGEs: Gu�DEsoox.�vD TooLsox 2-3 (2018), available at http://www.trb.or�/Main/Blurbs/177062.aspx. Attachment 74. 128 JOLANDA PROZZI, ET AL., CTR. FOR TRANSP. RES. AT THE UNIV. OF TEX. AT AUSTIN, ASSESSING THE ENVIIZONMENTAL 7USTICE IMPACTS OF TOLL ROAD PROJECTS 2(2010), available at http://ctr.utexas.edu/w� content/uploads/pubs/0_6544_l .pdf. Attachment 71. 129 U. S. DEP'T OF TRANSP., ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE EMERGING TRENDS AND BEST PRACTICES GUIDEBOOK (2O 11 �, https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/environmental iustice/resources/guidebook 2011/,�uidebook04.cfm. Attachment 75. '3o Id. Attachment 75. 13' Resources: EJ Links - Data Tools and Resources, FHWA, https://www.fhwa.dot.eov/environment/environmental�ustice/resources/data_tools/ (last visited Feb. 12, 2018). Attachment 76. 132 Regional Tolling Analysis Informs NEPA Assessment of Cumulative Impacts on Low-Income Populations: Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas, FHWA, https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/environmental iustice/resources/ej_and_nepa/case_studies/case05.cfm (last visited Feb. 13, 2018). Attachment 77. 26 impacts of the tolled highways and high-occupancy vehicle ("HOV") lanes in its long range plan using a"Regional Tolling Analysis" ("RTA").133 The MPO used the RTA to model traffic demand and the impact that tolling would have on EJ populations throughout the planning area. FHWA explains that "Environmental justice impacts of tolling are typically a component of NEPA analysis during project development," but "individual project analyses did not address the potential cumulative impact of tolling."134 The RTA solved this problem. The FHWA describes the RTA as a"powerful tool for analysis of socio-cultural impacts and environmental justice" that has been "replicated in subsequent plans and emulated by other regions."13s The National Academy of Sciences ("NAS") recently released a guidebook and toolbox for analyzing the EJ impacts of tolls, which it specifically identifies as suited for the environmental reviews conducted by USDOT under NEPA.136 The NAS guidebook prescribes an eight-step process. First, project proponents should frame the project clearly in order to be able to focus on potential its EJ implications.137 Second, proponents should identify the applicable EJ review framework governing the decision.138 Third, proponents should identify the relevant decision-makers and stakeholders.139 This requires early and continuous communication and coordination to determine whether or not there is a potential for disproportionately high and adverse effects on minority and low-income populations; to ensure the full and fair participation by all potentially affected communities in the transportation decision-making process; and to prevent the denial of, reduction in, or significant delay in the receipt of benefits by minority and low-income populations,14o Fourth, proponents should determine the proper scope to measure and address the impacts of the project.14' This may involve adjusting the study area based on input from affected communities, and identifying who would be potentially affected by the toll implementation or rate change.142 Fifth, proponents should analyze and measure EJ impacts.143 This will involve 133 Regional Tolling Analysis Informs NEPA Assessment of Cumulative Impacts on Low-Income Populations: Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas, FHWA, https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/environmental iustice/resources/ej_and nepalcase_studies/case05.cfm (last visited Feb. 13, 2018). Attachment 77. 13a Id. Attachment 77. 13s Id. Attachment 77. 136 NAT'L ACADEMY OF SCI., ASSESSING THE ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE EFFECTS OF TOLL IMPLEMENTATION OR R.�TE Cx.�vGEs: Gu�DEsoox.�vv TooLBox (2018), http://www.trb.org/Main/Blurbs/177062.aspx. Attachment 74. 137 Id. at 9. Attachment 74. 138Id. at 19. Attachment 74. 139 Id. at 28. Attachment 74. '4o Id. Attachment 74. 14' Id. at 32. Attachment 74. 142 Id. Attachment 74. 143 Id. at 45. Attachment 74. 27 assessing impacts to mobility, access, and safety; social and economic impacts; physical and environmental impacts; and impacts to cultural and historic resources.144 The "toolbox" includes a tool to help determine who benefits and who is burdened by tolls, the size of the benefit or burden, and whether the benefits or burdens are significantly greater for EJ populations.'as Sixth, proponents should assess potential mitigation.la6 proponents should quantitatively analyze Mobile Source Air Toxics (MSATs) for any project with higher potential MSAT effects.14� Seventh, proponents should document the results of the analysis for decision-makers and the public.148 Finally, proponents should conduct post-implementation monitoring to ensure that commitments are met.149 Similarly, the Center for Transportation Research at The University of Texas at Austin has applied the following steps aimed at measuring EJ impacts: (1) analyze the impacts of a proposed toll road is to identify the populations that are potentially impacted by it; (2) identify the EJ populations that are impacted; (3) identify the additional impacts that would be caused by a toll road compared to a non-toll road alternative; (4) measure those impacts; (5) determine whether those impacts would be felt at a statistically significantly higher level by low-income and minority communities; and (6) identifies potential mitigation.iso D. The Proximity and Footprint Impacts of Highways Major highway projects have multiple footprint and proximity impacts that compound the injustice of the economic impacts discussed above.'s' proximity impacts include a wide variety of health hazards. For example, because highways impair air quality, living in close proximity increases risk for asthma and impaired lung function in children, for cardiac and pulmonary mortality, and likely for lung cancer.152 Stormwater runoff from highways can threaten public health.' S3 Road noise is associated with increased risk of heart attack,' S4 obesity,'ss and mental '4a Id. Attachment 74. '4s Id. Attachment 74. 146 Id. at 48. Attachment 74. 14� Id. at 58. Attachment 74. 148 Id. at 62. Attachment 74. 149 Id. at 67. Attachment 74. 15o JOLANDA PROZZI, ET AL., CTR. FOR TRANSP. RES. AT THE UNIV. OF TEX. AT AUSTIN, ASSESSING THE ENVIIZONMENTAL 7USTICE IMPACTS OF TOLL ROAD PROJECTS 4-7 (2010), available at http://ctr.utexas.edu/w� content/uploads/pubs/0_6544_l.pd£ Attachment 71. lsl See 7ULIANA MAANTAY ET AL., USEPA, PROXIMITY TO ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS: ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE .�vD ADVExsE HEALTx OuTCOMEs (2010), available at https://archive.epa.�ov/ncer/ej/web/pdf/maantay_pdf. Attachment 78. isz Doug Brugge et al., Near-highway pollutants in motor vehicle exhaust: A review of epidemiologic evidence of cardiac and pulmonary health risks, PUBMED CENTRAL (2007), available at https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1971259/, Attachment 79; Ju�,1ANA MAANTAY ET AL., USEPA, PROXIMITY TO ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS: ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE AND ADVERSE HEALTH OUTCOMES 62 (2O 1 O�, available at https://archive.epa.gov/ncer/ej/web/pdf/maantay�d£ Attachment 78. ls3 See Frequently Asked Questions, NCDOT, https://www.ncdot. o�v/pro,grams/environment/stormwater/fac�/ (last visited Feb. 11, 2018). Attachment 80. : health problems.ls6 Low-income and minority populations tend disproportionately to suffer from proximity impacts.ls� FHWA has committed to analyzing these impacts, specifically explaining that "[i]n order to determine if there are disproportionately high and adverse effects on EJ populations, there must have been a comparison with non-EJ population."158 FHWA has developed an extensive list of quantitative and subjective questions for conducting an EJ analysis.ls9 Environmental justice forms part of FHWA's `Bnvironmental Review Toolkit,"16o which includes ten case studies in which the responsible agency addressed EJ early in the NEPA process.161 EPA also has collected methods and models for measuring disproportionate proximity impacts.16z E. The Transportation Agencies' Failure to Analyze EJ Impacts The Transportation Agencies' discussion of EJ impacts in the FEIS was cursory and insufficient to satisfy NEPA and EO 12898.163 First, the Transportation Agencies concluded that low-income, minority, and elderly people live throughout the study area, but are not concentrated next to any of the DSAs.164 Second, the Agencies concluded that a"relatively small" number of isa Mette Se�rensen, et al., Road Traffic Noise and Incident Myocardial Infarction: A Prospective Cohort Study, PLOS One (2012), available at http://journals.plos.org/�losone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0039283. Attachment 81. iss Andrei Pyko et al., Exposure to tra�c noise and markers of obesity, Occupational Environmental Medicine (2015), available at http://oem.bmj.com/content/early/2015/04/28/oemed-2014-102516.fu11. Attachment 82. � 56 Ester Orban et al., Residential Road Traffic Noise and High Depressive Symptoms after Five Years of Follow-up: Results from the Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study, Environmental Health Perspectives (2016), available at https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/14-09400/#tabl. Attachment 83. ls� See JULIANA MAANTAY ET AL., USEPA, PROXIMITY TO ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS: ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE AIVD ADVExSE HEALTx OUTCOMES 18 (2010), available at https://archive.epa.gov/ncer/ej/web/pdf/maantay_pdf, Attachment 78;Tegan K. Boehmer et al., Residential Proximity to Major Highways — United States, 2010, CDC, https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.htm ("The greatest disparities were observed for race/ethnicity, nativity, and language spoken at home; the populations with the highest estimated percentage living within 150 meters of a major highway included members of racial and ethnic minority communities, foreign-born persons, and persons who speak a language other than English at home. ... consistent pattern was observed for poverty status . . . . "). Attachment 84. isa Environmental Justics: [sic] What You Should Know, FHWA, https://www.fhwa.dot.,�ov/wadiv/crp/ejwadiv.cfm (last visited Feb. 12, 2018). Attachment 85. ls9 Id. Attachment 85. 160 Environmental Review Toolkit: Environmental Topics: Environmental Justice, FHWA, https://www.environment.fhwa.dot.,gov/env topics/environmental iustice.aspx (last visited Feb. 12, 2018). Attachment 86. 16i Environmental Justice in NEPA Case Studies, FHWA, https://www.fhwa.dot.�ov/environment/environmental�ustice/resources/eLand_nepa/case_studies/case00.cfin (last visited Feb. 12, 2018). Attachment 87. 16z JULIANA MAANTAY, ET AL., USEPA, PROXIMITY TO ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS: ENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE AND ADVExsE HEALTx Ou`rCOMEs 21-45 (2010), https://archive.epa.gov/ncer/ej/web/pdf/maantay_pd£ Attachment 78. 163 See Final Environmental Impact Statement 17-19 (2017). 16a Id. at 17. 29 the displacements that would be required to build the preferred alternative would affect low- income residents.165 The Transportation Agencies further concluded that the proportion of people who would be displaced by the preferred alternative who are low-income is lower than the proportion of low-income people in the study area as a whole, and therefore displacement would not disproportionatel�y affect low-income residents.166 The Transportation Agencies claim to anticipate no EJ impacts. 67 The Agencies briefly and insufficiently addressed impacts to low-income communities and communities of color in the 2015 Community Impact Assessment ("CIA"). Here the agencies hurriedly dismissed any real consideration of toll impacts by stating that the continued availability of non-toll alternatives removes any impacts to low-income communities and communities of color.168 The CIA does not examine the impact of the cost of the toll, stating that this will be added after the traffic and revenue study.169 The Transportation Agencies conclude that "while low-income and minority populations are located in various parts of the Demographic Study Area, these populations are generally not concentrated within the [Direct Community Impact Area ("DCIA")]."170 The Transportation Agencies considered only whether the residential relocations required by the project would disproportionately affect low-income and minority populations, concluding that only small proportions of the people facing relocation would be low-income, and only one minority community would be affected, constituting a very small proportion of the relocations.'�' Notably, the CIA relies on the 2011 Community Characteristics Report,172 which is nearly a decade old and relies on 1990 and 2000 census data.' 73 The treatment of impacts to low-income communities and communities of color in the FEIS and supporting documents is wholly inadequate. First and most obviously, the Agencies failed to consider adequately the impacts of tolls themselves even though FHWA considers it standard to do so on the project level, and good practice to do so at the regional planning stage in order to capture the cumulative impacts of tolling. FHWA has produced a guidebook on conducting this analysis and has been aware of a tool to do so for at least a decade. Additionally, the NAS recently produced another helpful guidebook. However, the CIA merely dismisses most tolling impacts because of the availability of non-toll roads. This ignores two key facts: North Carolinian taxpayer resources are being poured into this project that the EJ communities will be unable to use; and moreover, while existing highways will continue to exist, the agencies' own analysis shows that several will get more congested once the toll road is in place. Thus, the 16s Id. at 17-19. 166Id. at 19. 167 Id. at v. 168 Community Impact Assessment 53-54 (2015). '69 Id. 53. '�o Id. 54. "' Id. 54-55. 17z Id. 1. 173 Community Characterisrics Report 7(2011). 30 low-income communities and communities of color are straddled with all the costs of the Complete 540 project, but will not get any of the benefit: failure to identify this fact for the public to consider is a clear violation of NEPA. Second, the Transportation Agencies did not analyze proximity impacts. The Transportation Agencies concluded that census data shows no particular concentration of low- income, minority, and elderly people next to a DSA. However, this falls far short of analyzing what the proximity impacts will be to those communities. Moreover, the Transportation Agencies' conclusion that these populations "do not appear to be concentrated in areas near any of the DSAs"174 is vague and provides little basis from which even to infer that proximity impacts will be small. Third, even the Transportation Agencies' analysis of displacements is insufficient. The Transportation Agencies provided a numeric review of the low-income people who would be displaced,175 but did not do so for minority displacements, merely stating that "Dreamland Mobile City neighborhood appears to be the sole cluster of minority residents affected by the DSAs" and would be affected by all DSAs, and therefore resulting minority relocations constitute "a very small proportion of the total relocations for each of the DSAs."176 Notably, the Transportation Agencies' conclusion that this impact may be written off because all DSAs would impact Dreamland fails to acknowledge that non-highway alternatives would not do so. In addition, the Transportation Agencies did not analyze whether elderly people would be disproportionately impacted by displacements. Fourth, although the Transportation Agencies acknowledged the project would displace multiple communities, they failed to take full account of its impacts. For example, the Transportation Agencies acknowledge that "[t]he Orange Corridor would also bisect the nearby Blue Skies Mobile Home Park, requiring relocations of several of the mobile homes, and the Fairview Wooded Acres neighborhood."177 Nevertheless, Blue Skies was not even included on the design public hearing maps.l'g When an SELC attorney asked about the park at the public meeting on February 21, 2018, noting that it was not represented on the public hearing maps, an NCDOT representative said he was not familiar with the park or its location. Not only would the highway bisect the community; according to residents, it may displace the well that supplies water to the residents of Blue Skies. Furthermore, Complete 540 will not greatly help and in many cases may worsen traffic along local roads, yet these are likely to be the routes used by low-income communities. For example, residents of the 70-East Mobile Acres & RV Park179 i�a Id. at 17. i�s Community Impact Assessment 55 (2015). 176 Id. at 54-55 (emphasis added). '�� Id. at 50; see id. at 51-52 (Tbl. 19). 178 See 2018 Complete 540 Design Public Meetings & Hearing Guide to Subdivision Locations Near the Preferred Alternative, available at https://xfer.services.ncdot.gov/PDEA/Web/Complete540/final-eis/design- maps/C540_Subdivision List.pdf, Attachment 88; see also Lisa Sorg, @lisasorg, TwiTTEx.CONt, https://twitter.com/lisasor�/status/966116968863617024, Attachment 89. 1'9 See GooGLE M�s, 70-East Mobile Acres & Rv Park, 117 Buffaloe Acres Ln, Garner, NC 27529, https://goo. 1� /maps/hKSw4pEMHYq (last visited Feb. 22, 2018). Attachment 90. 31 can be expected to use I-70—which the Quantitative ICE memo shows will become more congested if Complete 540 is built—and I-70 Business, which will barely benefit.lao For all these reasons, the Transportation Agencies' analysis of EJ impacts in the FEIS is wholly inadequate to satisfy NEPA, or the agencies' responsibilities pursuant to EO 12898. A full analysis should be prepared as part of a Supplemental EIS before the project is permitted to proceed. 2. The FEIS Does Not Adequately Evaluate Impacts to Threatened and Endangered Species Under the Endangered Species Act ("ESA"), federal agencies must ensure that "any action authorized, funded, or carried out by such agency ... is not likely to jeopardize the continued existence of any endangered species or threatened species or result in the destruction or adverse modification of habitat of such species which is determined ... to be critical." 16 U.S.C. § 1536(a)(2). In turn, regulations from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service ("USFWS") and National Marine Fisheries Service ("NMFS") declare that the term "[j]eopardize the continued existence of' means "to engage in an action that reasonably would be expected, directly or indirectly, to reduce appreciably the likelihood of both the survival and recovery of a listed species in the wild by reducing the reproduction, numbers, or distribution of that species." 50 C.F.R. § 402.02. In order to comply with the ESA's mandate to not conduct an action likely to jeopardize endangered or threatened species, the action agency must engage in the consultation process with the USFWS or NMFS. Thus, Section 7(a)(2) imposes a procedural requirement that agencies complete the required consultation process, and a substantive requirement to not take an action that would result in j eopardy to an endangered or threatened species. A population of dwarf wedgemussel, listed as endangered under the ESA, has long persisted in Swift Creek within the Complete 540 project area. This Swift Creek population of dwarf wedgemussel is considered essential to the recovery of the species, with the USFWS identifying this population as one that must be viable in order for the species to ever be downlisted from endangered to threatened.181 Similarly, the North Carolina Wildlife Resources Commission ("NCWRC") identifies the Swift Creek Watershed as essential for the continued survival of endangered or threatened aquatic species.182 The USFWS stresses that the Swift Creek dwarf wedgemussel population's viability is "vitally important," and that it "cannot understate the significance of this issue."183 Another mussel species, the yellow lance, is currently proposed to be listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act and also inhabits streams within the Swift Creek Watershed. The yellow lance is already listed as endangered by the State of North Carolina.184 Several other iso Quantitative ICE Report 75-76. lsl Dwarf Wedgemusse12007 Status Review 5. Attachment 91. 182 Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2(2016). 183 Letter from Gary Jordan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, P.E., NCDOT (Nov. 25, 2015), at 2. Attachment 92. isa See N.C. WILDLIFE REs. CoMM'N, Protected Wildlife Species of North Carolina (Oct. 2017). Attachment 93. 32 rare and state-listed aquatic species that have been identified in the Complete 540 project area, including the Neuse River Waterdog (state special concern), Carolina Madtom, Atlantic Pigtoe (state endangered), and Green Floater (state endangered) have been petitioned to be listed under the ESA.185 Additionally, the Neuse River which flows through the proposed Complete 540 action area, has been designated as critical habitat for the endangered Atlantic Sturgeon. The Complete 540 project as envisioned in the FEIS and supporting documents would jeopardize the continued existence of the dwarf wedgemussel and yellow lance mussel populations in violation of the ESA, may disrupt critical Atlantic Sturgeon habitat and harm spawning populations of sturgeon, and would result in severe impacts to other sensitive and rare species in the area. A. Building the Toll Road Would Result in Severe Direct, Indirect, and Cumulative Impacts to Rare Mussels The Biological Assessment (`BA")186 accompanying the Complete 540 FEIS documents a litany of likely impacts that would result from the project, reaching a biological conclusion of "likely to adversely affect" for both the endangered dwarf wedgemussel and the proposed to be listed as threatened yellow lance.' 87 This result is hardly surprising considering the direct effects of a massive highway crossing over essential habitat for the dwarf wedgemussel as well as the indirect and cumulative effects from future increased traffic and land development. In the most recent Status Review for the dwarf wedgemussel, the USFWS verified that four main factors listed in the species' 1993 recovery plan continue to constitute key threats to the species: impoundments, pollution, riverbank alteration, and siltation.188 The agencies' BA lists as threats to the dwarf wedegmussel and yellow lance: sedimentation, habitat alteration, toxic contaminants, hydrologic changes due to land use changes, changes in peak discharge of stormwater flow, changes in runoff volume changes in base flow, thermal pollution, invasive species, and loss of riparian buffers. Similarly, the USFWS's Yellow Lance Species Status Assessment highlights the negative impacts of road development on mussels, including land clearing, habitat fragmentation, increased impervious surfaces, sedimentation, heavy metal pollution, and changes in water temperatures and runoff patterns.189 Many of these threats are likely to result from or be exacerbated by the Complete 540 project.190 As highlighted in our previous comments on the DEIS, the USFWS has repeatedly warned NCDOT of its concerns with the project's impacts to the endangered dwarf iss See N.C. WILDLIFE REs. CoMM'N, Protected Wildlife Species of North Carolina (Oct. 2017), at 4, 6. Attachment 93. 's6 Two biological assessments accompany the FEIS—one for species under USFWS's jurisdiction, and one for the Atlantic Sturgeon, which falls under NMFS' jurisdiction. For simplicity, we refer to the main, USFWS biological assessment as the `Biological Assessment" or `BA" and specify when we are referring to the Atlantic Sturgeon BA. 187 Biological Assessment 77, TbL 19 (2017). 'sA Dwarf Wedgemusse12007 Status Review 11. Attachment 91. ls9 Yellow Lance Species Status Assessment Report (2017), at 42. Attachment 94. 190 Biological Assessment 32-33 (2017). 33 wedgemussel, and the USFWS has continued that drumbeat of concern after the DEIS. In fact, as NCDOT was selecting its preferred alternative, the Service reiterated that it "does have an issue of concern, as we have previously stated multiple times, with the overall project. The likely adverse effects on the dwarf wedgemussel are a serious concern," and the concerns persisted with the selection of DSA 2 as the preferred alternative.19i A later e-mail in this same chain warned that "it is still within the realm of possibility that USFWS could issue a Jeopardy Biological Opinion."19z Indeed, the USFWS's comments on the DEIS emphasized that the route ultimately selected by NCDOT as the preferred alternative is "very problematic" due to its "great potential to adversely affect the DWM since it crosses Swift Creek, tributaries to Swift Creek, and a significant portion of the watershed all downstream of Lake Benson."193 The comments also highlight that the interchanges with I-40 and the US 70 Bypass are "at a particularly unfavorable location for the DWM."194 The USFWS also stated that erosion and siltation from construction of the Complete 540 project, as well as indirect effects from water quality degradation due to induced growth would negatively impact the dwarf wedgemussel.195 Mussel species are particularly sensitive to even small changes in water quality, as recognized by the BA, which notes "early life stages of freshwater mussels are among the most sensitive aquatic organisms to various inorganic toxicants such as copper,"196 and even "[s]ediment accumulations of less than 25 mm (one inch) have been shown to cause high mortality in most mussel species."197 Sedimentation from projects can have far-reaching effects on downstream habitats—as noted in the BA, "[i]n 1997, a large plume of sediment in the Neuse River near New Bern was traced to a construction site along Crabtree Creek in Raleigh, over 180 miles upstream."198 A bridge project in Massachusetts devastated a dwarf wedgemussel population due to accelerated sedimentation and erosion.199 Unsuitable flow, or drought conditions, is a top threat to dwarf wedgemussels and yellow lance.200 The BA even states that "sufficient stormwater controls accompanying future development activities in any given watershed are essential for conservation of sensitive aquatic species such as DWM and Yellow Lance."2o1 191 E-mail from Gary Jordan, USFWS to Kiersten Bass, HNTB (Feb. 22, 2016 2:23 PM). Attachment 95. 19z E-mail from Gary Jordan, USFWS to Kiersten Bass, HNTB (Feb. 22, 2016 4:01 PM). Attachment 95. 193 Letter from Gary Jordan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, PE, NCDOT (Nov. 25, 2015), at 3. Attachment 92. '9a Letter from Gary Jordan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, PE, NCDOT (Nov. 25, 2015), at 3. Attachment 92. '9s Letter from Gary Jordan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, PE, NCDOT (Nov. 25, 2015), at 3. Attachment 92. 196 Biological Assessment 23 (2017). 197 Id. at 23. 19A Id. at 34. 199 Id. at 23. zoo Id. at 30. zoi Id. at 28. 34 Because of mussels' sensitivities, roadway runoff may be one of the most concerning aspects of the Complete 540 project. The BA documents the harmful pollutants contained in highway runoff, including heavy metals, sediment, pesticides, deicing salts, nutrients, and petroleum hydrocarbons—which can prove lethal to mussels, shorten mussel lifespans, and impact mussel health.202 Significantly, the Complete 540 project would cause "localized increased exposure to roadway runoff ' for the dwarf wedgemussel and yellow lance populations, "originating from 77 crossings draining to occupied habitat along the 540 alignment."203 The BA also predicts increased runoff from the existing roadway network "due to induced increases in traffic volumes" as a result of the project.204 The runoff from a massive toll-highway into known mussel-occupied habitat from a startling 77 crossings, in addition to induced traffic on existing roads, will almost certainly directly harm existing dwarf wedgemussels and yellow lance, as well as impair the chances of future individual mussels to persist in what will be severely degraded habitat. These roadway runoff impacts alone would jeopardize the continued existence of these mussel species. Both the dwarf wedgemussel and yellow lance populations in Swift Creek are also particularly susceptible to being wiped out by a single catastrophic event given their low numbers. As a high-speed facility that would likely serve much commercial trucking traffic, Complete 540 poses a high risk of toxic spills that would be devastating to the mussel populations in Swift Creek.205 The BA states that a toxic spill "event is likely to occur during the lifetime of the facility."206 While NCDOT proposes to include 1-2 hazardous spill basins within the vicinity of the toll highway's crossing of Complete 540, the BA fails to evaluate the efficacy of hazardous spill basins and to document what level of risk would persist with the proposed hazardous spill basins. Additionally, the BA fails to discuss what would happen if a hazardous spill occurred outside of the vicinity of the 1-2 hazardous spill basins. The BA also lacks detail about how these basins would be installed, including whether additional wetlands would be destroyed in order to create these basins. While the BA states that NCDOT has committed to "avoid" in-stream fill related impacts at the crossing of Swift Creek, a commitment to avoid is not the same as a commitment to prohibit or abstain.207 The BA fails to identify the impacts that would result if NCDOT does not in fact avoid in-stream fill impacts at the crossing of Swift Creek. Indeed, the BA declares that the preferred alternative would result in "multiple crossings of streams within Swift Creek and Lower Middle watersheds that will result in both the permanent and temporary loss (fill and realignment) of stream channel."208 Z°Z Id. at 40; id. at 23-25 (discussing harmful effects of toxic contaminants on mussels). zos Id. at 40. zoa Id. at 40. zos Id. at 49 ("[S]uch an event is likely to occur during the lifetime of the facility."). zo6 jd. at 49. 207 Id. at 36. 208 Id. at 46. 35 The crossings of at least three streams within a quarter-mile of known mussel-occupied habitat will require fill of stream channels, yet the BA fails to account for the likely impacts to water quality—such as water flow and sedimentation—that will almost certainly result from filling these streams.209 One of the identified stream crossings will result in a significant 443 liner feet of permanent fill in a stream that is less than a tenth of a mile away from known mussel-occupied habitat.210 The BA concludes that "[t]he permanent and temporary st[r]eam impacts associated with the construction of Complete 540 may have long-lived effects on the DWM and Yellow Lance's ability to colonize these areas in the future."Z11 The Swift Creek crossing is particularly concerning given its proximity to occupied mussel habitat. While the BA states that no permanent or temporary structures will be placed within Swift Creek, structures will be placed on the banks of the stream. An NCDOT engineer cautioned against making any promises about bank stability impacts as a result of these structures, noting "[t]here could be unforeseen bank failure during installation of drilled shafts nearby (i.e. 10 feet) the top of the bank," and "extreme weather events could possibly overtop erosion control devices at the bridge crossing resulting in loss of sediment into Swift Creek."2'2 Regardless of the direct fill of streams, the BA is forthright about the likelihood of areas within the Swift and Middle Creek watersheds being used for "staging, storing, refueling, borrow pit, or spoil areas," all of which are likely to negatively impact dwarf wedgemussels and yellow lance by altering water flow, exacerbating erosion, and increasing possible runoff and corresponding pollution.213 The BA makes no commitments about avoiding these impacts— rather than prohibiting the construction activities within a specific proximity of Swift Creek, NCDOT has merely agreed to "strongly discourage the contractor" from conducting the activities within .25 miles of Swift Creek.214 No similar limits for streams other than Swift Creek are mentioned. Indeed, an e-mail between NCDOT and a consultant reveals that NCDOT pushed to water down the consultant's language about the borrow and fill sites and limit commitments about locating borrow and fill sites.Zls Confusingly, the BA states that no permanent or temporary structures will be allowed within 10 feet of the top of stream banks216—but 10 feet is within applicable riparian buffers for the action area. Because riparian buffers help filter pollutants, promote stream channel stability, and maintain appropriate water and air temperatures, damage to these buffers can result in a host of detrimental impacts to water quality and in turn sensitive species like dwarf wedgemussels zo9 jd. at 36. zio Id. at 36. The stream in question, SDJ, is identified in Table 10 on page 35 as being 0.071 river miles away from occupied habitat. 21 Id. at 47. �'� E-mail from Christopher Murray, NCDOT, to Kiersten Bass, HNTB (Aug. 16, 2017, 7:47 AM). Attachment 96. z'3 Biological Assessment 39 (2017). zia ld. at 48. zis E-mail from Christopher Murray, NCDOT, to Kiersten Bass, HNTB (Aug. 16, 2017, 7:47 AM). Attachment 96. 216 Biological Assessment 38 (2017). 36 and yellow lance. In fact, as noted in the Phase 2 Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study, the NCWRC "recommends a minimum 200-foot native, forested buffer on perennial streams and a 100-foot forested buffer on intermittent streams in watersheds that support federally endangered and threatened aquatic species."217 In 2016, the Environmental Protection Agency specifically asked NCDOT whether it considered "wooded buffers under a permanent conservation easement, enhanced sediment and erosion control practices during construction," as possible management actions regarding the dwarf wedgemussel, but NCDOT does not appear to have considered such measures in its FEIS.Z18 Induced growth and traffic from building Complete 540 would exacerbate the harmful effects of all of the above-discussed threats by increasing impervious surface and in turn stormwater runoff, increasing roadway runoff and corresponding pollutants,219 and increasing the chance of a catastrophic hazardous spill by virtue of simply having more traffic and more people within the area. As predicted by USFWS: "indirect habitat loss is expected due to secondary development induced by the new road facility," and "[i]ncreased impervious surface and storm water runoff from additional development would likely further degrade the water quality of Swift Creek and its tributaries." 220 In fact, USFWS "believes that indirect effects from road-induced development are the greater concern," to dwarf wedgemussels.221 The USFWS also believes "cumulative habitat fragmentation effects will occur." 222 As acknowledged in the BA, increased impervious surfaces negatively impact water quality by changing stream flow, water temperatures, total suspended sediment, and pollutant loadings.223 Approximately 11 % of the land area within Wake County consists of impervious surfaces, well beyond the recommendation of NCWRC to limit impervious surfaces to 6 percent of a watershed to protect aquatic species.224 Similarly, the portion of Johnston County within the Swift Creek Watershed that consists of impervious surfaces is approximately 8.6%, again above the NCWRC recommendation.225 Complete 540 will only worsen these ratios of impervious surfaces—both directly from the interjection of 28 miles of six-lane highway as impervious surface, and indirectly from the land use changes and induced development. Given the �" DWM Viability Study — Phase 2 at 16 (2016). 218 E-mail from Cynthia Van Der Wiele, EPA, to Donnie Brew, NCDOT & Eric Midkiff, NCDOT (Feb. 11, 2016, 9:10 PM). Attachment 97. 219 Indirect and Cumularive Effects Memorandum (Quantitative ICE Assessment Memo #4) (Nov. 2017), at vi ("[I]t is logical to expect more urban land use changes and larger increases in impervious area under the 2040 Build scenario in this watershed."). 22° See, e.g., Letter from Gary Jardan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, PE, NCDOT (Nov. 25, 2015), at 3, Attachment 92; see also Dwarf Wedgemusse12007 Status Review, at 13 ("Development of adjacent uplands continues to be a significant and pervasive threat to southern populations."), Attachment 91. zzi Letter from Gary Jordan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, PE, NCDOT (Nov. 25, 2015), at 1, 4. Attachment 92. ZZZ Letter from Gary Jordan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, PE, NCDOT (Nov. 25, 2015), at 1. Attachment 92. zz3 Biological Assessment 27 (2017). zza Id. at 27. zzs Id. at 27. 37 placement of one interchange directly next to Swift Creek, the cumulative effects of adding additional impervious surface to the Swift Creek Watershed could be devastating to the mussel populations. B. Insufficient Information Impedes Full Review of the Impacts to Endangered and Threatened Mussels As alluded to above, the BA fails to adequately document likely impacts of the Complete 540 project to endangered and threatened species. The BA's section dedicated to evaluating the specific effects of the proposed Complete 540 highway on mussels glosses over the actual likely effects of the project and instead focuses on mitigation measures to reduce those unspecified likely effects. Often, the BA makes a statement about the difficulty of predicting certain activities, despite having clearly identified detrimental effects from such activities in preceding sections. The BA fails to give an honest assessment of the likely impacts from this specific proj ect. For example, the BA dodges an important analysis about sedimentation and erosion from construction, stating that predicting the amount of sedimentation likely to occur is difficult because it is "dependent on several factors, such as the frequency and duration of rainfall events that exceed the erosion control design devices, construction duration and adherence to proper maintenance of erosion control devices, and the promptness to respond and remediate erosion control failures."226 Most of these factors are directly within NCDOT's control, including maintenance of erosion control devices and remediation responding to erosion control failures. NCDOT should also be able to predict construction duration—and even rainfall events based on historical data. Given the detrimental impacts to mussel health associated with sedimentation, the BA should have thoroughly studied and analyzed these possible impacts. The BA also often limits its considerations of impacts to DWM and Yellow Lance to streams where they have been known to occur or recently found, even though adjacent streams are still within the species' respective ranges and well within the area likely to experience direct and indirect effects from Complete 540. The BA regularly neglects consideration of the specific impacts to host fish species and does not appear to be taking any conservation measures specifically to protect these necessary partners in mussel development. Although the BA makes passing reference to the importance of fish host species for mussel populations, the document barely touches on the likely impacts to fish host species. In their larval form, mussels are parasitic and require living off of particular fish host species. Different mussel species have different host fish species, and as such, documenting and protecting the associated iish species is essential to ensure future viability of the mussels. The BA identifies the likely fish host species for dwarf wedgemussels as Tessellated darter, Johnny darter, Mottled Scuplin, and possibly Fantail Darter,227 and for yellow lance as "some type of minnow," with White Shiner and Pinewoods Shiner as effective hosts in 226 Id. at 38. ��' Id. at 15-16. : laboratory tests,228 but nowhere does the BA document the current population numbers or range of these species within the Swift Creek Watershed. The BA's discussion of impacts to fish host species is brief and general and fails to discuss impacts to the specific host species most likely to be used by the dwarf wedgemussel or yellow lance. The BA should have discussed how the same threats to mussels—i.e. toxic contaminants, stormwater runoff, thermal pollution, roadway runoff, habitat destruction—would impact these fish host species. While the BA does acknowledge possible impacts such as fish "being crushed by construction materials, stranding in dewatered areas, physiological stress, and increased susceptibility to predation from dispersal, as well as acoustic related impacts," this list of possible impacts is incomplete.229 The BA also notes that the Complete 540 project would require "some of the longest water conveyances (culvert and pipe) throughout the Swift Creek and Middle Creek watersheds," which "have proven to be an impediment to fish migration and passage."230 Apparently no evaluation was done to determine whether host fish species occur in any of the streams impacted by the Complete 540 project.231 This glaring shortcoming of the BA must be rectified in order to determine the full extent of impacts to dwarf wedgemussels and yellow lance. The BA also fails to evaluate impacts from increased dust or debris during construction of the toll highway, and also fails to analyze impacts from ingress of heavy trucks. C. A Propagation Facility Cannot "Offset" Impacts to the endangered mussels or Comply with the ESA The FEIS and corresponding reports confirm the agencies' plans to circumvent the ESA's conservation mandate through a mussel propagation program that would only result in more mussels being doomed to attempting to survive in unsuitable habitat. NCDOT is poised to provide a mere $5 million to retrofit a facility for propagation purposes and to help fund the facility for just five years, but no agreements or memoranda of understanding have been finalizedZ32 The FEIS lacks details about when the proposed five-year agreement would begin or expire, or what would happen to the facility after those five years' worth of funds dry up. Other than explaining how the costs would be divided among Wake County and the NCWRC, the FEIS lacks any details of how the money would be spent or what it would cover. The FEIS fails to provide any cost breakdown or budget, making it impossible to tell whether $5 million will actually be enough to fund retrofitting and running the facility. There is no way to assess the reasonableness of this funding proposal without such details. ��g ld. at 19. zz91d. at 47. z3o Id. at 47. z31 Id. at 47 ("If host fish species were determined to occur in these streams. ...") 232 Final Environmental Impact Statement 58-60 (2017). 39 While the ESA permits agencies to incorporate conservation measures into a project in order to offset possible impacts, in order to satisfy the Section 7 requirement to not jeopardize the continued existence of the species in the wild, the agency must demonstrate that the measures are "reasonably specific, certain to occur, and capable of implementation; they must be subject to deadlines or otherwise—enforceable obligations; and most important, they must address the threats to the species in a way that satisfies the jeopardy and adverse modification standards." Ctr. for Biological Diversity v. Rumsfeld, 198 F. Supp. 2d 1139, 1152 (D. Ariz. 2002) (citing Sierra Club v. Marsh, 816 F.2d 1376 (9th Cir. 1987)). "[E]ven a sincere general commitment" to conservation measures is insufficient under the ESA "absent specific and binding plans." Nat'l Wildlife Fed'n v. NatZ Marine Fisheries Serv., 524 F.3d 917, 935-36 (9th Cir. 2008). As more fully detailed in the Conservation Groups' comments on the DEIS, the Transportation Agencies had been anticipating that the cost of the propagation facility would be above $7 million,233 which if correct, invites the question of where more than $2 million additional necessary funds will come from under NCDOT's current proposal. By comparison, a similar facility in Virginia cost $2.3 million to construct and $9.5 million to operate for 20 years.234 In a 2015 e-mail, NCDOT staff said that "the amount of funding for this conservation measure [augmentation] could then be justifiably increased," in the event "any other species of mussels are listed before completion of Complete 540."235 Yet NCDOT has apparently decreased what it is willing to spend on a propagation facility even as an additional mussel species—the Yellow Lance—has been set for being listed under the ESA. Indeed, NCDOT appears to explicitly want to limit its involvement as much as possible: "NCDOT would not be responsible for the construction, management, or success of the YMACC or its propagation goals."236 An e-mail from an NCDOT project manager shows NCDOT's desire to simply "cut a check ... after we agree on a figure" in an effort to deal with the mussel concerns.237 Another e-mail between NCDOT staff further documents NCDOT's desire to provide a"counter proposal" to the Service with an aim to keep NCDOT's dollar figure commitment "on the lower end of the pay spectrum."238 And another NCDOT document indicates that USFWS "wants NCDOT to take a lead role and accept responsibility for [propagation and augmentation] plan implementation" but NCDOT was aiming to find the "appropriate/minimal level of involvement for NCDOT that is commensurate with the Complete 540 proj effects."239 233 See e.g. Attachment to e-mail from Donnie Brew, NCDOT, to Jennifer Harris, et al. (Feb. 5, 2015 2:50 PM). Attachment 98. z3a E-mail from Sarah McRae to Donnie Brew, NCDOT, et aL (Apr. 21, 2015 11:38 AM). Attachment 99. z3s E-mail from Kenneth Medlin, NCDOT to Kiersten Bass, HNTB (June 5, 2015 11:39 AM). Attachment 99. Z36 Final Environmental Impact Statement 60 (2017). 237 E-mail from Brian F. Yamamoto, NCDOT, to Jennifer Harris, HNTB, and Kiersten R Bass, HNTB (Nov. 2, 2016). Attachment 100. 238 E-mail from Philip Harris, NCDOT, to Richard Hancock, NCDOT, et al. (Apr. 20, 2015 8:55 AM). Attachment 101. z39 Attachment to e-mail from Donnie Brew, NCDOT to Jennifer Harris, et al. (Feb. 5, 2015 2:50 PM). Attachment 98. .� NCDOT cannot simultaneously point to the propagation facility as a means of satisfying its ESA obligations while also attempting to distance itself from the facility and rely on other entities to implement the propagation project. See Oregon Nat. Desert Ass'n v. Tidwell, 716 F. Supp. 2d 982, 1003 (D. Or. 2010) (citing Nat'1 Wildlife Fed'n v. NMFS, 254 F. Supp.2d 1196, 1213 (D. Or. 2003)) ("The NMFS cannot rely on a third party to implement conservation measures that are not reasonably certain to occur."); Ctr. for Bio. Diversiry v. Rumsfeld, 198 F. Supp. 2d 1139, 1153 (rejecting suggested conservation measure where agency had "no authority ... over the implementation of this mitigation measure."). Given the limited scope of NCDOT's proposed funding of a propagation facility and the lack of commitment to ensure that the habitat in Swift Creek watershed will be hospitable for mussels after the toll road is constructed, NCDOT cannot satisfy its obligations under the ESA simply by paying for another agency to grow mussels in captivity. As detailed in our comments on the DEIS, the process of setting up a propagation plan and facility is time-consuming and should have started years ago;240 it can take years simply to collect broodstock, let alone raise them to an age suitable for release. An early scope of work document for consultants working with NCDOT reinforces the lengthy process of establishing a propagation facility, successfully propagating the mussels, and releasing the mussels. The scope of work anticipated that collection efforts would begin in 2014, with ongoing annual collection efforts for seven years from 2016 to 2023, and annual releases of mussels for 10 years.241 The scope of work also estimated that constructing the propagation facility would take at least two years' time.242 The North Carolina Dwarf Wedgemussel Work Group determined that three-year old dwarf wedgemussels are best suited for release, and a minimum of ten-years' of releases would need to occur in order to "potentially achieve viability in Swift Creek."Z43 In other words, a successful propagation plan will require at least 13 years from when sufficient broodstock is collected in order to potentially achieve viability-8 years more than what NCDOT is willing to contribute. As recently as September 2017, consultants for NCDOT expressed concern that "there has been little tangible progress in finalizing the plans for the facility and the funding and agreements necessary to implement the plans."244 Even if NCDOT could demonstrate that its funding proposal were sufficient to construct and operate a propagation facility, it has not demonstrated that dwarf wedgemussels and yellow lance from Swift Creek could be successfully propagated and reintroduced into the wild. The BA even admits that "there have not been any DWM population augmentation or re-introduction efforts using captive propagation.i245 In fact, past efforts by North Carolina State University zao Meeting Summary re: Dwarf Wedgemussel Coordination far Phase 2 study and Review of USFWS Recommendations (July 18, 2014), at 2(referring to the need to invesrigate population augmentarion feasibility as "a time sensitive recommendation that needs immediate action."), at 2. Attachment 102. z4' Scope of Work, Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2: Complete 540 — Triangle Expressway 2-3 (2014). Attachment 103. Z4Z Id. Attachment 103. z43 Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2 at 105 (2016) (emphasis added). zaa DAWSON & ASSOCIATES, ANALYSIS OF THE PROCESS AND SCHEDULES FOR THE COMPLETE S4O AND MID- CURRITUCK BRIDGE PRO.rECTS (2017). Attachment 104. 245 Biological Assessment of Potential Effects to Federally Listed Species 55 (2017). 41 ("NCSU") researchers to propagate dwarf wedgemussels failed to produce viable juveniles. Between 2009 and 2011, researchers at NCSU—partially funded by NCDOT—conducted two trials attempting to breed dwarf wedgemussels in captivity. These trials were largely unsuccessful: in 2009 all juveniles were dead after one year and in 2010 there was 100% mortality after two months.246 Researchers stated that propagation of dwarf wedgemussel is "very difficult relative to most other species we have propagated in NC" and, further, "additional studies are required to determine the best diet and culture conditions for this species."247 In particular, the researchers noted as difficulties: finding adults in the wild, females become gravid in winter when sampling is most challenging, and the small size of each dwarf wedgemussel makes it difficult to extract a large number of glochidia without damaging the mussel.Z48 To the extent NCDOT may believe it can satisfy the ESA by simply growing mussels in captivity, regardless of whether the mussels can be released later, the ESA's mandate is clear that the goal is recovery of the species in the wild. ESA implementing regulations specifically tie the Section 7 jeopardy analysis to "survival and recovery of a listed species in the wild." 50 C.F.R. § 402.02 (emphasis added). The ESA's statement of purpose underscores the point of the Act in conserving and recovering species in the wild by emphasizing protection of wild ecosystems: "The purposes of this chapter are to provide a means whereby the ecosystems upon which endangered species and threatened species may be conserved ...." 16 U.S.C. § 1531(b). NCDOT is well-aware of the challenges of successful propagation efforts, particularly those with dwarf wedgemussels in the Swift Creek Watershed. With the Clayton Bypass project, NCDOT funded dwarf wedgemussel propagation efforts, but could not find brood stock from Swift Creek to start the propagation attempts.Z49 Instead, broodstock from other locations were used to propagate 500 dwarf wedgemussels, but the mussels were never released due to concern of cross-contamination between different populations.250 A meeting summary document from 2014 raises the same concerns in the context of the Complete 540 project: It appears that augmentation would require DWM from Swift Creek to start the propagation process. There is some concern that there may not be sufficient gravid DWM in Swift Creek that can be discovered and collected to initiate and maintain a propagation and augmentation program.2s1 Given that few dwarf wedgemussels have been located in Swift Creek in recent years, it seems unlikely that sufficient broodstock could be collected—particularly without then harming 246 LEVINE, JAY AND ARTHUR BOGAN, NCDOT, FHWY/NC/2009-16, PROPAGATION AND CULTURE OF FEDERALLY LISTED FRESHWATER MUSSEL SPECIES 22-23 (2011�. Attachment 105. Z4� Id. at 23-24. Attachment 105. z4A Id. at 23. Attachment 105. z49 Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2 at 55 (2016). zso Id. zsi NCDOT, Meeting Summary re: Dwarf Wedgemussel Coordination for Phase 2 study and Review of USFWS Recommendations (July 18, 2014), at 2(referring to the need to investigate population augmentation feasibility as "a time sensitive recommendation that needs immediate action."), at 3. Attachment 102. 42 the remaining wild individuals' chances for survival in Swift Creek. Additionally, any propagation effort must be able to collect a sufficient number of broodstock to ensure adequate genetic diversity, and in turn, viability, in resulting offspring. Despite the documented difficulty of dwarf wedgemussel propagation specific to Swift Creek, the agencies here have failed to consider how efforts related to the Complete 540 project will overcome these seemingly insurmountable hurdles. At most, possibly three dwarf wedgemussels have been collected for propagation efforts to date. According to the Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2, three individual dwarf wedgemussels were collected in 2015 and transferred to a North Carolina Wildlife Resources Commission fish hatchery for propagation purposes.Z52 No further details are provided—there is no indication whether the three specimens were male, female, or gravid: key details for purposes of propagation. Three male dwarf wedgemussels would do little to further propagation efforts. Similarly, three individuals is an insufficient number to ensure adequate genetic diversity in any possible progeny. NCDOT does not even verify whether the three dwarf wedgemussels survived the transfer to the hatchery. At the same time, nowhere does NCDOT document having collected any yellow lance for propagation efforts. The BA provides no information about whether yellow lance have been successfully propagated in captivity or reintroduced. In light of these challenges to propagation efforts and the inherently time-consuming process of a potentially successful propagation facility, NCDOT's proposal to provide only five- years of funding is insufficient to even ensure the release of dwarf wedgemussels or yellow lance, let alone the viability of the Swift Creek populations after Complete 540 were built. Even if NCDOT's funding proposal were sufficient to cover a successful propagation and release effort, NCDOT has failed to demonstrate that mussels propagated in captivity could be successfully reintroduced to the wild. In particular, NCDOT has failed to show that reintroduced mussels would have suitable habitat to foster survival post-construction of Complete 540. Growing mussels in captivity would be a futile exercise if the habitat available is severely degraded and not conducive to survival. While Swift Creek Watershed has already experienced some water quality concerns and habitat degradation, the construction of the Complete 540 toll highway would only stand to worsen those impacts, as discussed above. The scientific community views captive breeding as a"last resort in species recovery and not a prophylactic or long-term solution" that must be carried out in conjunction with habitat restoNation to save an endangered species from extinction. 253 It is highly improbable that a captive breeding program could save a species from extinction when instituted in conjunction with habitat destruction. Notably, the list of threats to mussels in the agency's own BA almost exclusively pertain to habitat quality.254 Similarly, the most recent status review for the dwarf ZSZ Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2 at 99 (2016). 253 Snyder, et al., Limitations of Captive Breeding in Endangered Species Recovery, 10 CoNSERVATION BIOLOGY 338, 338 (1996), Attachment 106; see also Thomas, et al., Captive Breeding of the Endangered Freshwater Pearl Mussel Margaritifera Margaritifera, 12 ENDANGERED SPECIES REs. 1, 7(2010) ("[C]aptive breeding cannot be a substitute for habitat restoration."). Attachment 107. zsa Biological Assessment of Potential Effects to Federally Listed Species 32-33 (2017). 43 wedgemussel identifies impoundments, pollution, riverbank alteration, and siltation as the main threats to the species255—a11 of which pertain to habitat quality. A recent scientific study of dwarf wedgemussels identifies unsuitable physical habitat and low water quality because of contaminants as two of three of the top threats to dwarf wedgemussels in Swift Creek and Middle Creek.256 As noted in one of NCDOT's own studies incorporated into the FEIS, the North Carolina Dwarf Wedgemussel Work Group "identified `unsuitable physical habitat' as the most important threat to the Swift Creek population,"�s� and "the potential for this species to persist into the future in Swift Creek is highly dependent on habitat viability."258 This same study expresses doubt about the adequacy of propagation efforts in the face of habitat degradation: "if underlying conditions (habitat degradation) are not sufficient to sustain the population, the release of propagated individuals may not enhance viability even if the Allee effect is operating."259 This same report warns that "a propagation effort in and of itself will not maintain population viability," and "[r]ather, physical habitat and water quality will also need to be sufficient to maintain population viability."26o Propagation will not offset or overcome these harms to mussel habitat. In other words, NCDOT cannot avoid jeopardizing the continued existence of the dwarf wedgemussel or the yellow lance by funding—for a limited time—a propagation facility. D. Insufficient Analysis of Atlantic Sturgeon The Atlantic Sturgeon has been listed as endangered since 2012, and in August 2017, the NMFS designated critical habitat for the sturgeon. See Final Rule, Designation of Critical Habitat for the Endangered Atlantic Sturgeon, 82 Fed. Reg. 39160 (Aug. 17, 2017). This critical habitat determination includes the Neuse River throughout Wake and Johnston Counties. When the FEIS and technical reports were released to the public on the NCDOT website on December 22, 2017, the Atlantic Sturgeon Biological Assessment ("Sturgeon BA") was unavailable at that time. Instead, the link for this document led to a one-page placeholder document explaining that the BA was not complete, but that a copy of the draft Sturgeon BA would be provided upon request. On January 4, 2018, counsel for the Conservation Groups requested a copy of the draft Sturgeon BA, and in response on January 5, 2018, NCDOT staff stated the purpose of the placeholder document was to collect a list of interested individuals to whom to disseminate the final report upon its completion but made no mention of providing the zss Dwarf Wedgemusse12007 Status Review 11. Attachment 91. zsb Smith, et al., Developing a conservation strategy to mazimize persistence of an endangered freshwater mussel species while considering management effectiveness and cost, FxESxwATEx SCL, Dec. 2015, at tbl. 1. Attachment 108. 257 Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2 at 88 (2016). zsa Id. at 96. The study also states that the "chance of persistence" of dwarf wedgemussels in Swift Creek "is very tenuous, especially without active management and increased habitat protection." Id. at 102. zs9ld. at 104. z6o Id. at 105. .. draft Sturgeon BA as stated on the website.261 On January 5, 2018, the attorney again requested the draft Sturgeon BA as indicated by the placeholder document, but received no response.Z6Z A week later, on January 12, 2018, counsel again requested the draft Sturgeon BA, and NCDOT finally provided the draft Sturgeon BA on January 16, 2018.Z63 The Conservation Groups and their counsel were never notified by NCDOT of when the final version of the Sturgeon BA was available; instead, counsel found the final Sturgeon BA available online on February 1, 2018— the day of the close of the general public comment period. The Final Sturgeon BA identifies a host of likely harmful impacts that could result to Atlantic Sturgeon and its habitat due to roadway construction projects, including direct physical loss and alteration of stream habitat, acoustic effects from construction, increased chemical and thermal pollution from the project's construction as well as induced land changes, and temporary or permanent changes in water flow.264 The Sturgeon BA acknowledges that Complete 540 would cause many of these impacts, including temporary and permanent placement of fill in streams and on adjacent floodplains and consequent alteration of normal water flow patterns and volumes.265 Complete 540 would also increase pollution from highway runoff with the 77 stream crossings along the Complete 540 route that drain into critical habitat,266 as well as due to induced higher traffic volumes throughout Wake and Johnston County.267 While the Sturgeon BA downplays the significance of water quality impacts from induced growth268—suggesting a small increase over a No-Build scenario—Section VI(5) , below, details the flaws in the agencies' ICE analysis and how the impacts from induced growth are likely much greater. Much like the separate analysis for impacts to mussels, the Sturgeon BA's sections about the potential effects of Complete 540 are much more focused on discussing the agencies' supposed mitigation measures or alleged unknowns, rather than actually documenting the impacts that would result from construction and operation of Complete 540. The Sturgeon BA's final sections about conservation measures are similarly inadequate. For example, the Sturgeon BA claims that the Complete 540 project "is designed to not contribute sediments, toxicants, or pollutants into receiving waters where sturgeon occur," yet 261 E-mail from Rodger Rochelle, NCDOT, to Ramona McGee, SELC, et aL (Jan. 5, 2018 11:48 AM). Attachment 109. 26� E-mail from Ramona McGee, SELC, to Rodger Rochelle, NCDOT, et aL (Jan. 5, 2018 12:53 PM). Attachment 109. 263 E-mail from Ramona McGee, SELC, to Rodger Rochelle, NCDOT, et aL (Jan. 12, 2018 10:04 AM), Attachment 109; E-mail from Rodger Rochelle, NCDOT, to Ramona McGee, SELC & Kym Hunter, SELC (Jan. 16, 2018 7:03 PM). Attachment 109. z6a Biological Assessment of Potential Effects to the Atlantic Sturgeon 21-22 (2018). zbs jd. at 25. 266 Id. at 27, 35. 267 Id. at 31. z6A See Endangered and Threatened Species; Designation of Critical Habitat for Sturgeon, 82 Fed. Reg. 39,160, 39,225 (Aug. 17, 2017) ("Land development and commercial and recreational activities on a river can contribute to sediment deposition that affects water quality necessary for successful spawning and recruitment."). 45 the Sturgeon BA also acknowledges that juvenile sturgeon captured downriver from the action area were likely spawned upstream—which could include the action area.Z69 Indeed, in the publication of the final rule designating critical habitat for the Atlantic Sturgeon, NMFS highlighted recently-documented occurrences of Atlantic Sturgeon in the Neuse River, indicating that early and intermediate juveniles—while few in number—have regularly been found in the Neuse River. 82 Fed. Reg. at 39221. That the project is supposedly "designed to not contribute" harmful pollution and sedimentation also misses the point that the agency must not harm the sturgeon or its critical habitat, and ignores the reality that sediments, toxicants, and pollutants could flow downstream to wherever sturgeon do in fact occur. The Sturgeon BA also fails to explain how it will determine where sturgeon "are known to occur," which could be variable and differ in the future from historical occurrences with changes related to the removal of the Milburnie Dam. As discussed above regarding endangered mussels, toxic and hazardous spills pose additional threats to water quality. Importantly, "[w]ater of appropriate depth and absent physical barriers to passage" and "water quality" are two of the physical and biological features identified as being essential to adequate Critical Habitat for Atlantic Sturgeon. 82 Fed. Reg. at 39161. While the Sturgeon BA states that no construction would occur between August 15 and October 31 to avoid when Atlantic Sturgeon is most likely to be present, this moratorium does nothing to address permanent fill of channels, consequent disruptions in water flow, and altered levels of sediment and toxic pollutants. As for acoustic or noise impacts, the Sturgeon BA states without any justification that "given the location of the project in a lotic river with running water (as opposed to estuaries or slack water runs), noise effects from drilled shafts to Atlantic Sturgeon if present are anticipated to be insignificant."270 The Sturgeon BA fails to explain why the effects would be less, nor to document that the drilled shafts causing the acoustic impacts would be in locations with such "running waters" as opposed to slower-moving streams. Additionally, as observed in the Sturgeon BA, the drilled shafts for Complete 540 will actually be larger than the 36-inch diameter found to be not likely to adversely affect species in a separate Biological Evaluation.2�1 Much like the project's main BA for mussels, the Sturgeon BA fails to even attempt to document likely impacts from sedimentation and erosion likely to result from construction of the project, stating that predicting the amount of sedimentation likely to occur is difficult due to a number of factors.272 That something is difficult to predict is not a valid reason to omit such an analysis in a BA or NEPA documentation. The Sturgeon BA's discussion of effects from borrow/fill, staging and storage is similarly lacking and conclusory—simply saying that no effects are anticipated because "these areas are z69 Biological Assessment of Potential Effects to the Atlantic Sturgeon 15 (2018); see also id. at 40 (recognizing that suitable spawning habitat occurs upstream of the proj ect and that "it cannot be definitively concluded that the species is absent from this portion of the river."). 270 Id. at 33. �'i Id. at 32-33. 2'2 Id. at 25. .� regulated by NCDOT as part of project construction and will incorporate the specific PDCs in Appendix C."273 Yet an earlier section of the Sturgeon BA noted that borrow/fill, staging and storage sites outside of regulated buffers "still have the potential to affect water quality through sedimentation, erosion, and introduction of toxic compounds into streams via stormwater channels, ditches, and overland runoff or through losses during the hauling process."2�4 The Sturgeon BA also relies on wholly insufficient survey data in reaching its determinations about whether necessary physical or biological features of critical habitat are present in the project action area. The Sturgeon BA's entire assessment appears premised on a single day of qualitative sampling in November 2017.275 Even worse, this single survey appears to have been limited to the immediate area surrounding where Complete 540 would cross the Neuse River—no surveys were completed for tributaries or areas downriver, where effects of increased sedimentation, toxic pollution, thermal pollution, and changes in water flow are likely to be experienced as a result of the project. Moreover, as acknowledged in Appendix B to the Sturgeon BA, the waterflow on this day was well below the 35-year mean according to a nearby U.S. Geological Survey water gauge, and the "distance from the water surface to the top of the respective banks (TOB) was estimated" making the Sturgeon BA's conclusions about limited impacts to water quality and water flow even more circumspect.276 A geographically-limited single day of sampling fails to fairly assess seasonal and other changes in physical or biological features per the NMFS' explanation accompanying the critical habitat final rule: "As we have discussed, these PBFs may be ephemeral or vary spatially across time. Thus, areas designated as critical habitat are not required to have the indicated values at all times and within all parts of the area[.]" 82 Fed. Reg. at 39219. 277 In sum, the Sturgeon BA's conclusion that the project "may affect, not likely to adversely affect" critical habitat is unsupported. The information provided in the Sturgeon BA, coupled with the inadequacies of the ICE analysis completed by the agencies, suggests that the impacts to Atlantic Sturgeon are likely to be greater than what the Sturgeon BA predicts. E. Adverse Impacts to Other Species In addition to the dwarf wedgemussel and yellow lance, Swift Creek supports 11 other rare aquatic species,278 including a number that USFWS is currently studying to consider whether they should be proposed to be listed as endangered or threatened under the ESA.279 Yet the agencies nowhere study the likely impacts to these species or other species as a result of 273 Id. at 33-34. 274 Id. at 26. ��s Id. at 23; id. at App. B at 1. 276 Id. at App. B at 1. ��� See also id. at 39220 (explaining that "a snapshot in time" may be inadequate because the "exact location of a habitat feature may change over time (e.g., water depth fluctuates seasonally, as well as annually, and even hard substrate may shift position)."). Z�A See DWM Viability Study: Phase 1(Mar. 2014) at Table 1. Rare Aquatic Species in Swift Creek. Z�9 See Biological Assessment at 4. 47 Complete 540. Early on, NCDOT appeared poised to at least include information about the three species under review by the USFWS—the Atlantic Pigtoe, Carolina Madtom, and Neuse River Waterdog: "Given the high potential that some, or all, of these species will become listed prior to the completion of the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS), it was determined to be prudent to include the baseline for these three species [Atlantic Pigtoe, Carolina Madtom, and Neuse River Waterdog] in the BA."280 A recent consultant report recommended that NCDOT begin coordinating with USFWS about impacts to species "that may be under study before construction is completed."Z81 Despite these apparent plans and logic for including this species in the BA, the BA itself expressly does not include these species and provides no explanation for the omission.282 The referenced baseline data was apparently gathered by NCDOT's consultants, however, it was not disclosed in the BA or elsewhere in the FEIS and corresponding documents, leaving the public unable to comment on the adequacy of this data and the underlying methodology. In fact, an early Task Order for the Biological Assessment suggests that the baseline data for the Carolina Madtom is likely skewed because the surveys for this species were to be completed during mussel surveys, rather than during the ideal time for the species.283 Because the mussel BA and the Atlantic Sturgeon BA are the only documents accompanying the FEIS to address species impacts, this omission means that the FEIS fails to consider the impacts to these and other rare and sensitive aquatic species, violating the separate requirements of NEPA. In its comments on the DEIS, USFWS highlighted that the Complete 540 project would "have very substantial impacts on fish and wildlife resources, including impacts to streams, wetlands, upland forest and other habitat type .... in the form of direct loss of habitat and habitat fragmentation effects on remaining habitat."284 The comments also explain that USFWS's main concerns with the project relate to the "indirect habitat loss" anticipated from "secondary development induced by the new road facility."285 Despite these warnings from USFWS, NCDOT has failed to investigate or document these likely impacts to species other than those listed under the ESA. 280 Aquatic Species Survey Report (June 2017), at 1; see also id. at 52 ("The other target species, the Atlantic Pigtoe, Carolina Madtom, and Neuse River Waterdog will be included in the BA should they become proposed before the beginning ofproject construction."); H.W. Lochner, Inc., Scope of Services Task Order 12 (Sept. 14, 2016) at 1 ("Given the high potential that some, or all, of these species will become listed priar to the completion of the Final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), it is prudent to include these species in the Biological Assessment (BA) far this project."), Attachment 110. 281 Dawson & Associates, Analysis of the Process and Schedules for the Complete 540 and Mid-Currituck Bridge Projects (Sept. 2017), at 9. Attachment 104. 282 Biological Assessment at 4("These species [Atlantic Pigtoe, Carolina Madtom, Green Floater, and Neuse River Waterdog] are not addressed in this BA; however, Three Oaks has gathered baseline data for these species if they become formally listed during the development stages of this project.") 283 H.W. Lochner, Inc., Scope of Services Task Order 12 (Sept. 14, 2016) at 3("The ideal time to survey for Carolina Madtom is early Spring to Summer, but the timeline for this project does not allow for such surveys."). Attachment 110. Z84 Letter from Gary Jordan, USFWS, to Richard W. Hancock, PE, N.C. Dep't of Transp. (Nov. 25, 2015), at 1. Attachment 92. 285 Id. at 4. Attachment 92. .• 3. The FEIS Does Not Adequately Evaluate Impacts to Water Quality The FEIS confirms that the preferred alternative will impact 59,533 feet of streams, 145 acres of buffers, and 156 different wetlands comprising 69.5 acres. The Conservation Groups raised a number of concerns about this unprecedented level of impact in their earlier comments. Most of these comments were not responded to. For example, the Groups noted that the DEIS failed to explain how limits on development would affect the project and provided no information about the nature of Complete 540's impacts to the 6.7 affected acres of the Swift Creek Critical Watershed.286 The Agencies ignored this comment entirely. Similarly, the Conservation Groups pointed out that while the DEIS mentioned preventive measures such as sedimentation and erosion controls it did not contain any commitment that they would be followed and the measures would be unlikely to work.287 In response, the Agencies state that they are required to comply with the Sedimentation and Pollution Control Act and regulations, and will use Design Standards for Sensitive Watersheds throughout the project.288 However, this does not address the fundamental issue of whether these measures will successfully prevent contamination of the sensitive watersheds affected. The FEIS and corresponding reports continue to point to largely voluntary or non-binding measures as somehow reducing these water quality impacts. The Conservation Groups further noted that the DEIS lacked information concerning stream and water quality impacts and that the information it did contain was dated. This harmed the "NEPA process by failing to provide information necessary to the selection of a preferred alternative."289 Moreover, the DEIS contained scant documentation about Section 303(d) impaired waters, which are protected from addition of certain new pollutant under the Clean Water Act.290 To each of these comments, the Transportation Agencies responded merely that state and federal agencies participating in the process were satisfied with the information provided.291 But the NEPA process is not just for other state and federal agencies, it is designed to inform the public. The FEIS suffers from these same deficiencies—while it lists out the quantities of water bodies and wetlands impacted, nowhere does it provide any additional details about water quality impacts. The FEIS's Lower Swift Creek Water Quality Report was largely limited to reviewing water quality in relation to dwarf wedgemussel viability.292 Even then, this report relied on sampling only three sites solely within Swift Creek—not Middle Creek or any Z86 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 22. Attachment 52. 287 Id. at 22. Attachment 52. 288 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 44 to SELC Comments. Z89 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 22. Attachment 52. z90 Id. at 23. Attachment 52. z91 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 17 to SELC Comments. 292 Lower Swift Creek Water Quality Report 1(2016). .• other tributaries—from nine different days in 2014 and 2015.293 Even this limited study revealed copper levels that exceeded applicable water quality standards.Z94 Moreover, the record makes clear that USEPA, at least, was dissatisfied with the limited scope of the Transportation Agencies' review. In a series of e-mails from November 2014, USEPA repeatedly asked for more information about stream impacts and the "lack of bridging at sites with 1000+ lf of stream impact and 2 or more culverts."295 Then, in February 2016, USEPA was still seeking substantive responses from NCDOT regarding USEPA's concerns and comments on the DEIS.296 In particular, NCDOT's responses failed to "capture the EPA's concerns regarding floodways, and NCDOT still had failed to satisfy USEPA's questions about possible "further bridging to reduce project impacts," and "what additional avoidance and minimization measures" might be implemented. USEPA also questioned what specific BMPs NCDOT intended to implement and how such measures might "go beyond the standard practice to further reduce nutrients and capture sediment," or what stormwater mitigation measures would be employed. In a similar vein, the Conservation Groups noted that the DEIS and Natural Resources Technical Report failed to document the extent or nature of wetlands impacts.297 In response, the Agencies merely stated that NEPA does not prevent implementation of projects that harm wetlands.298 This response misses the point. NEPA emphatically does prevent implementing projects without taking a hard look at their environmental consequences. The FEIS similarly fails to take such a hard look. Nor is there any information in the FEIS regarding the mitigation that will be put in place to mitigate for the impacts of the wetlands loss. An internal NCDOT document reveals that "mitigation needs" for only Phase 2 of the project "include over 100,000 lf of stream and 85 acres of riparian wetlands," and that this mitigation "must be implemented in FY 2015-2016."299 As documented in the agencies' 2016 Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Report, finding sufficient mitigation sites within the appropriate area will prove challenging. The report observed that in the recent past "finding conservation areas within SCW has been very challenging," and that "many of the landowners in the watershed believe their land is highly sought after for developers and the County alike."3oo The Conservation Groups also noted that the Transportation Agencies' reliance in the DEIS on local riparian buffer ordinances failed to account for the fact that North Carolina legislation prevents localities from enacting, implementing, or enforcing riparian buffers that are 293 Id. at 3-4 z9a jd. at 6. Z95 E-mail from Cynthia Van Der Wiele, USEPA, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT, and Eric Alsmeyer, USACE (Nov. 14, 2014, 12:16 PM). Attachment 111. z96 E-mail from Cynthia Van Der Wiele, USEPA, to Donnie Brew, FWHA, and Eric Midkiff, NCDOT (Feb. 11, 2016, 9:10 PM). Attachment 97. Z9� Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 24. Attachment 52. z9a Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 49 to SELC Comments. z99 540 Transportation Project — Triangle Expressway Southeast Extension (2015). Attachment ll 2. soo Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2 53 (2016). 50 more protective than state or federal requirements, and it was therefore error for the Agencies to rely on these buffers to mitigate the impacts of the project.301 The Agencies provided no response to this key critique.302 And the FEIS and supporting documents fail to address this concern, instead still referencing the riparian buffers of different jurisdictions respective riparian buffers without accounting for the change in law.3o3 The Transportation Agencies also misrepresented and failed to address concerns about the preferred alternative's crossing of the Neuse River Trail and other Section 4(� resources. In the FEIS, Transportation Agencies claim that "[t]here was no expressed opposition by citizens to the proposed de minimis determinations for these resources [including the Neuse River Trail]."304 Conservation Groups provided extensive comments and concerns about the Transportation Agencies' proposed de minimis determinations.3os With regards to the Neuse River Trail in particular, Conservation Groups stated the impacts would be far greater than de minimis because users of the trail would now be subjected to increased traffic sounds and pollution and the eyesore of a giant toll highway—such impacts would adversely affect the experience of bicyclists, joggers, and walkers on this greenway, which currently does not have any comparable disturbances in this southern portion of the Trail.3o6 The Transportation Agencies' de minimis determinations regarding the Neuse River Trail and other resources are in error, and the agencies must acknowledge and address Conservation Groups' unanswered concerns. 4. The FEIS Does Not Adequately Evaluate Impacts to Air Quality In previous comments on the DEIS, the Conservation Groups noted that the DEIS Air Quality Analysis failed to document the effects that the project would have on concentrations of harmful criteria pollutants, and in particular on ozone levels.307 The Transportation Agencies responded that the analysis was sufficient under NCDOT and FHWA guidelines; ozone is assessed only at the system-wide planning level; ozone is produced only downwind and in sunlight; and the Complete 540 project is not expected to push Johnson or Wake Counties out of "attainment" status for ozone under the Clean Air Act.308 This response fails to address the 301 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 25. Attachment 52. 302 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 50-51 to SELC Comments (2017). 303 E.g. Biological Assessment 43 (2017); id.at 50-51; Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study — Phase 2 44 (2016) (acknowledging change of law and possible changes to buffer regulations). While the Dwarf Wedgemussel Viability Study noted future likely changes to buffer protections, the FEIS and technical reports nowhere updates or addresses this prediction. soa Final Environmental Impact Statement at 51. sos Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 49-52. Attachment 52. 306 Id. at 51. Attachment 52. 307 Id. at31. Attachment 52. 308 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 64 to SELC Comments. 51 substance of SELC's comment, which was the failure to analyze all the impacts of the project on all criteria pollutants. Now at the FEIS stage, the agencies still have not studied carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, volatile organic compounds, or particulate matter pollution likely to result from the project. Citing that Wake and Johnston counties' current levels of such harmful pollutants do not exceed federal requirements, the Transportation Agencies determined they did not need to study how the road would impact such pollutant levels. That Wake and Johnston Counties are currently in attainment is irrelevant to what would be the likely future impacts of Complete 540 on air quality, including localized air pollution levels due to increased traffic in the study area. A. The Evaluation of Toxic Pollutants from Cars is Inadequate In the Conservation Groups' comments on the DEIS, they also highlighted that the DEIS's Air Quality Report gave cursory treatment to potential increases in toxic air pollutants emitted by motor vehicles, known as mobile source air toxics ("MSATs"). Specifically, the Conservation Groups explained that the Transportation Agencies failed entirely to explain the health impacts from increases in MSATs, disclaimed analyzing MSATs on the basis of difficulty, and then claimed, without explanation or analysis, that new EPA vehicle requirements will result in lower MSAT emissions.3o9 The Transportation Agencies did not respond to these comments. As already noted, agencies may not skip NEPA analyses simply because the analyses are difficult. The Transportation Agencies responded that after selection of the preferred alternative they completed an Air Quality Report Addendum, but a detailed analysis of MSAT concentrations is not part of the analysis.310 The Transportation Agencies stated that "tools and techniques for assessing project-specific health outcomes as a result of lifetime MSAT exposure remain limited."311 Finally, the Transportation Agencies stated that FHWA guidance also anticipates MSAT concentrations to decline as a result of EPA fuel regulations.312 These responses did not meaningfully address the substance of Conservation Groups' comments, and these problems persist in the brief Air Quality Report accompanying the FEIS. The Transportation Agencies conducted a qualitative review of possible increases in MSATs, but failed to study the likely quantitative increases in MSATs, dismissing any likely increase as being offset by EPA's stringent new vehicle requirements by the year 2050. These requirements could take decades to begin to offset pollution increases, meaning that localized increased emissions of these harmful toxics could be present in local air quality for years before any offset is experienced in Southeastern Wake County. Moreover, the expectation that MSAT emissions will decrease in the future rests on a shaky foundation in light of the Trump Administration's 309 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 31-32. Attachment 52. 3'o Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 65 to SELC Comments. 311 Id. siz Id. 52 ongoing rollback of environmental regulations.313 For example, the Administration is reconsidering the "Corporate Average Fuel Economy" (CAFE) standard regulating greenhouse gas emissions from cars and trucks.314 Additionally, the Transportation Agencies' attempt to excuse their failure to analyze health impacts on the basis that "tools and techniques" are "limited" does not explain the Agencies' failure to attempt to do so with the tools admittedly at their disposal. The Transportation Agencies do have the tools to study health impacts from MSATs. For example, in March 2017, well before the release of the Complete 540 FEIS in late December 2017, FHWA released a paper explaining how to conduct quantitative analysis of MSAT emissions for a hypothetical ten-mile urban freeway expansion project.31s The Conservation Groups also noted that the DEIS should estimate the likely emissions exposures at important community locations, compare the human health costs of preferred alternative to at least one non-toll alternative, and model the health impacts of the increased MSAT exposure to the full extent practicable.316 The Agencies did not respond to these points. As explained previously, given that the preferred alternative would increase traffic and corresponding dirty tailpipe emissions—and that the highway would be located close to schools, day care centers, churches, and other community resources—the Transportation Agencies should study the air quality impacts of this project and provide the public with adequate information about the harmful air pollution effects of the road. B. The FEIS Contains No Analysis of Indirect and Cumulative Effects on Air Quality The Conservation Groups' concerns about the DEIS's lack of any analysis of indirect and cumulative impacts on air quality remain unanswered with the publication of the FEIS and corresponding reports. The FEIS, Air Quality Report, and ICE Memoranda are entirely silent on this topic—meaning that Conservation Groups' comments from the DEIS remain unanswered. The Conservation Groups previously highlighted that the DEIS and related documents wholly failed to consider the indirect and cumulative impacts on air quality in the project area, noting that Complete 540 will affect growth and land use patterns, and that the Transportation Agencies stated that they planned to conduct a quantitative assessment of the indirect effects of build and no-build scenarios only after a preferred alternative was selected.31' 313 See Regulatory Rollback Tracker, HARVARD LAw (2018) http://environment.law.harvard.edu/polic� initiative/re_u�y-rollback-tracker/. Attachment 113. 3i4 See EPA, DOT Open Comment Period on Reconsideration of GHG Standards for Cars and Light Trucks, USEPANEwSRELEASEs (Aug. 10, 2017), https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/epa-dot-open-comment-period- reconsideration-�he-standards-cars-and-li�ht-trucks. Attachment 114. 3is See C.D. Porter, et al., Quantitative Mobile Source Air Toxics Analysis for a Hypothetical Transportation Project, USDOT, FHWA TEC�viCAL REPOxT (Mar. 2017), https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/air quality/air_toxics/research_and_analysis/msat_hy�othetical/index.cfm. Attachment 115. 316 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 33. Attachment 52. 317 Id. at 33. 53 In response, the Transportation Agencies disclaimed any responsibility for analyzing traffic and land use patterns and, apparently, the ensuing environmental impact, stating that such analysis is "the responsibility of the local MPO as they develop their long range transportation plan."318 The Transportation Agencies further stated that any long-range transportation plan must be shown to be in conformity with the state's Clean Air Act State Implementation Plan ("SIP") to be approved, and that because Complete 540 "comes from a long-range plan that has been shown to be in conformity with the State Implementation Plan."319 This appears to be the basis for the Transportation Agencies' assertion that the project "is not expected" to push Johnson or Wake Counties out of attainment with the SIP, rendering that expectation suspect.320 The Agencies also stated that a quantitative analysis of the indirect and cumulative effects of the preferred alternative on land development was completed and included in the FEIS.321 The Agencies' response fails to meaningfully address the Conservation Groups' comment. First, the Transportation Agencies must conduct a full NEPA analysis and cannot pass their NEPA responsibilities to the MPOs. Second, the MPO's development of a long-term regional transportation plan does not substitute for a NEPA analysis in any case. Finding that a project will not result in CAA attainment violations is simply not the same as analyzing its air quality impacts as NEPA requires. For example, a project that will not result in attainment violations easily could cause localized air quality impacts that must be analyzed under NEPA's "hard look" requirement. Third, the Agencies do not explain what it means for Complete 540 to have "come from" the regional transportation plan and how that ensures that it will not result in attainment violations. Finally, the Quantitative ICE study included with the FEIS does not include an air quality analysis. C. The FEIS Contains No Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emissions The Conservation Groups also expressed concern that the DEIS and its corresponding Air Quality Analysis Report failed to include any reference to possible impacts on greenhouse gas emissions ("GHGs").322 In response, the Transportation Agencies merely state that "On Apri15, 2017, the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ) rescinded its guidance on greenhouse gas emissions and climate change" and FHWA policy does not require such analysis.323 This argument is a nonstarter: rather than explaining why the Agencies failed to conduct this analysis in the DEIS, the Transportation Agencies argue that because the Trump Administration has repealed climate change guidance they are no longer required to analyze GHGs. The Transportation Agencies are wrong. The response does not substantively address SELC's comment, nor does it address that irrespective of the rescinded guidance (which was intended to help agencies navigate a pre-existing legal requirement), an analysis of GHG impacts must legally be part of the agencies' "hard look" at environmental impacts likely to result from the 3's Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 66 to SELC Comments. 319 Id 3zo Id. at Response 64. szi Id 322 Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 34. Attachment 52. 323 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report at Response 67 to SELC Comments. 54 project. See, e.g., Sierra Club v. Fed. Energy Regulatory Comm'n, 867 F.3d 1357, 1373-74 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (holding FERC violated NEPA in not providing estimate of GHG emissions and rejecting argument that "it is impossible to know exactly what quantity of greenhouse gases will be emitted as a result of this project"); Ctr. For Biological Diversity v. Nat'l Highway Tra�c Safety Admin., 538 F.3d 1172, 1216-17 (9th Cir. 2008) (holding NHTSA was arbitrary and capricious when EA did not take hard look at climate change impacts of NHTSA Final Rule); High Country Conservation Advocates v. U.S. Forest Serv., 52 F. Supp. 3d 1174, 1190 (D. Colo. 2014) (holding FEIS violated NEPA where it failed to discuss impacts caused by GHG emissions); see also Aqualliance v. U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, No. 1:15-CV-754-LJO-BAM, 2018 WL 903746, at *39 (E.D. Cal. Feb. 15, 2018) (holding that failure to analyze impacts of climate change on project violated NEPA). With the FEIS, the Transportation Agencies still have not studied how the preferred alternative would contribute to GHG emissions. The transportation sector now leads the power sector as the top contributor of greenhouse gas emissions,324 making it even more important to consider how expensive, long-term transportation projects like this will impact such emissions. Governor Cooper recently committed North Carolina to reducing its share of greenhouse gas emissions in line with the Paris Accord, but this toll highway would be a step away from meeting those goals by fostering and increasing dirty automobile traffic through Wake County. 5. The FEIS Contains a Flawed and Inadequate Analysis of Indirect and Cumulative Effects NEPA requires consideration of indirect effects, defined as those effects that are "caused by the action and are later in time or farther removed in distance, but are still reasonably foreseeable." 40 C.F.R. § 1508.8(b). The CEQ regulations state that NEPA documents should specifically include "growth inducing effects and other effects related to induced changes in the pattern of land use, population density or growth rate, and related effects on air and water and other natural systems, including ecosystems." Id. Toll roads in high-growth urban areas have generally led to significant amounts of induced growth. 325 And the Transportation Agencies have long anticipated that the completion of the 5401oop would cause growth. NEPA documents identify the strong likelihood that it will do so,326 and USDOT, based on NCDOT's representations, expects that Complete 540 will cause 324 Tom Randall, America Crowns a New Pollution King, BLooMBERG NEWS (Dec. 4, 2017), https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-04/america-crowns-a-new-pollution-kin� Attachment 116. 325 Jeffrey Spivak, Toll Roads: The Route to Redevelopment?, U�Atv LAN� (Oct. 29, 2013), https://urbanland.uli.or�/industry-sectors/infrastructure-transit/toll-roads-the-route-to-redevelopment/. Attachment 117. 3z6 preferred Alternative Report 6(2016) ("Compared to the no-build scenario, however, the build scenarios could lead to more rapid growth and more intense development in some areas near proposed interchanges."); Qualitative ICE Report 8(2014) ("The project will add access points for properties, which will be most notable at the project's interchange locations, where nearby parcels will become attractive for higher intensity development such as retail and other commercial uses."); Community Characteristics Report 34 (2011) ("Areas near interchanges can become attractive locations for retail and other commercial land uses."). 55 $811 million in total economic impact through 2030.327 The FEIS and supporting documents acknowledge that Complete 540 would cause growth,328 but they fail to account sufficiently for the degree of "induced growth" and development to the area. Regional and local planners also expect the highway to cause growth. As the 2015 Community Impact Assessment states: While economic development is not an explicit component of the purpose of the Complete 540 project, local, regional, and state planners and elected officials believe the project would improve the economic competitiveness of the project area. The municipalities in the project area anticipate that the project will spur commercial and industrial growth near interchange areas, increasing local tax bases and providing new jobs for area workers.3z9 CAMPO has found that proximity to highway interchanges is one of the principal influences on where future development occurs33o and that the highway "should be a stimulus for economic development" in Garner.331 Johnston County planners expect that Complete 540 will "encourage development"332 and "facilitate growth."333 The county's economic development director expects Complete 540 to have a big impact on the county.334 Wake County planners share similar expectations. In a letter to NCDOT, the Director of Wake County Planning, Development and Inspections stated that the Orange Route has "played a key role in identifying areas for non-residential development," some of which are already being developed according to plan.33s The Wake Board of Commissioners expressed support for the Orange Route on the 327 Triangle ExpYessway, USDOT, https://www.transportation.gov/tifia/financed-projects/trian 1� e-expressway (last visited Feb. 14, 2018). Attachment 118. 328 See FEIS 23-24 (effects on water quality could be greater under build scenario due to induced growth) 62 (expected growth); ICE Memorandum 1, 24; Community Impact Assessment (2015). 3z9 Community Impact Assessment E-4 (2015); see also FEIS 23 ("local governments in the study area have adopted land use plans that include completion of the 540 Outer Loop"). 330 2040 Long-Range Transportation Plan 38 (2013), http://files.www.campo- nc.us/Plans/MTP/2040/2040_Joint MTP_Ch� 6 v5 4-1-13.pdf. Attachment 119. 331 Core Technical Team Meeting #2, SouTxEAST A�A STUDY 6(July 9, 2015), http://www.southeastareastudy.com/documents/20150709%20CTT%20Meeting%20Notes.pdf. Attachment 120. 332 2030 Comprehensive Plan, Johnston County, 25 (2009), http://www.johnstonnc.com/files/plannin /g comprehensive%20plan%2003-02-09.pdf, Attachment 121; see also On the Road 2017: Johnston County, Tx�AtvGLE Bus. J. (2017), https://www.bizjournals.com/trian,gle/news/2017/06/30/on-the-road-2017 johnston-counry.html?s=print (Johnston County leaders expect regional transportation plan to stimulate economic development), Attachment 122. 333 Integrated Planning For School And Community (IPSAC) Land Use Study Report, Johnston County Schools, 7 (2014), https://www.j ohnston.kl2.nc.us/cros/lib/NCO2214550/Centricity/Domain/94/20140428_JCS_LUS_FINAL.pdf. Attachment 123. 33a On the Road 2017: Johnston County, Tx�IVGLE BUS. J. (2017), https://www.bizj ournals.com/trianele/news/2017/06/30/on-the-road-2017-j ohnston-county.html?s=print. Attachment 122. 33s Final Stakeholder Involvement Report 434 (2017). 56 grounds that residents, businesses and property owners face uncertainty as long as different alternatives are under consideration.336 Municipalities in the study area also expect the highway to induce growth.337 In its comprehensive plan, Holly Springs anticipates that its "Northeast Gateway" community growth area will become "a commercial destination with a regional commercial center proposed for the future NC540 interchange,"338 and that this area will not face development pressure until Complete 540 is completed.339 planners expect Complete 540 to cause a"building boom" in Holly Springs.34o The town of Apex expects that Complete 540 may bring development pressure,341 and Wake Forest considers proximity to I-540, "which eventually will circle metropolitan Raleigh," important to its economic development.342 Fuquay-Varina expects through-trips to increase dramatically with Complete 540, creating "great opportunities" for growth343 while increasing traffic344 and creating a barrier between a portion of the town and the majority of Fuquay-Varina.34s State and municipal representatives have made their expectations clear during the NEPA process. State Senator Chad Barefoot testified that "540 is extremely important and critical to our economic future in this area of Wake County and we must build it."346 At a community meeting the representative from the Town of Apex stated that he believed Complete 540 would "make economic development explode" in the Garner area.347 Similarly, a representative from 336 Id. at 418. 33� See Ben Graham, Towns plan for development spurred by 540 expansion, T1uANGLE Bus. J., (2018), https://www.bizjournals.com/triangle/news/2018/O1/18/towns-plan-for-development-spurred-by-540.htm1 ("town officials in southern Wake County are already preparing for the new development that could come in the wake of the highway expansion"). Attachment 124. 33a Vision Holly Springs: Town of Holly Springs Comprehensive Plan Amended Supplement #4, 1-5, https://www.holl�springsnc.us/DocumentCenter/View/508. Attachment 125. 339Id. at 1-9. Attachment 125. 340 Kathryn Trogdon, Holly Springs talks growth impacts amid increasing population(2016), http://www.newsobserver.com/news/local/community/southwest-wake-news/article63386967.htm1. Attachment 126. 34' The Apex Comprehensive Plan, Apex, NC, 2(2013), available at http://www.ape�c.org/DocumentCenterNiew/494. Attachment 127. 34z Strategic Economic Development Action Plan for the Town of Wake Forest, North Carolina 8(2005), https://www.wakeforestnc.,�ov/Data/Sites/1/media/business/wakeforestecondevplan%209-20-OS.pdf. Attachment 128. 343 2035 Community Vision Land Use Plan, Fuquay-Varina, 55 (2017), https://www.fuqua� varina.org/documentcenter/view/2484. Attachment 129. 34a Id. at 38. Attachment 129. 345 Id. at ll 8. Attachment 129. 346 Final Stakeholder Involvement Report 262 (2017). 347 2014 Alternatives Development and Analysis Report, Attachment 4, Transportation Advisory Committee, December 12, 2012 Minutes at 4, available at https://xfer.services.ncdot.gov/PDEA/Web/Complete540/reports/C540_Alts_0514.pdf. Attachment 130. 57 Knightdale believed that economic growth would be inhibited until Complete 540 was built,34s and the representative from Holly Springs believed it growth would follow.349 Garner's town manager testified that the town's growth plans are "contingent on the development" of Complete 540 along the Orange Route.3so Representatives from the business community also expect Complete 540 to cause significant growth.351 The CEO of the Greater Raleigh Chamber of Commerce believes that "the Complete 540 project opens up the southern part of Wake County for expanded development and new commercial, industrial and office opportunities."352 The freeways chair of the Regional Transportation Alliance ("RTA") believes that Complete 540 is "an economic development issue, too, as companies considering expanding in North Carolina are looking at how a state's government supports vital infrastructure projects."353 The RTA believes, "if we build it, they can come." 3s4 The executive director of Holly Springs' Chamber of Commerce expects Complete 540 to enable expanded growth, pointing out that businesses consider freeway access when making decisions on location.3ss Indeed, Complete 540 is already affecting growth. Complete 540 will directly cause commercial and residential development in Apex, where the proposed Veridea development would be "almost impossible" without a new interchange, which will function as its "front door," 348 Id. at 5. Attachment 130. 349Id. at 6. Attachment 130. sso Final Stakeholder Involvement Report 272 (2017); see also id. at 505 (Town of Garner comments on DEIS concerning expected growth in corridor); Press Release: 540 accelerates, GARNER CxAMBER oF CoMMERCE (Dec. 22, 2017), http://business.�arnerchamber.com/news/details/news-release-12-22-2017 (declaring highway a"top freeway priority"), Attachment 131. 3s' See Rating Action: Moody's upgrades Triangle Expressway's (NC) senior lien revenue bonds rating to Baa2 from Baa3; outlookstable, MOO�Y'S IlvvESTOxs SExvICE (Dec. 21, 2017), https://www.moodvs.com/research/Mood,� up�rades-Triangle-Expressways-NGsenior-lien-revenue-bonds-rating--PR_904371552 (recognizing that Complete 540 could "lead to higher level of traffic and revenues on the corridor"). Attachment 132. ssz press Release: Big News! Complete 540 highway project ahead of schedule, GA�uvER C�BER OF COMMERCE (Dec. 22, 2017), http://business.,garnerchamber.com/news/details/big-news-complete-540-highway_project-ahead- of-schedule. Attachment 133. 353 See Lauren K. Ohnesorge, NCDOT Secretary: We want to accelerate I-540 project, TRIANGLE BUS. J., https://www.bizjournals.com/trian,gle/news/2017/07/14/ncdot-secretarv-we-want-to-accelerate-i-540.htm1(last visited Feb. 14, 2018). Attachment 134. ssa America's Most Forward-Moving Region: RTA 2018 Triangle Mobility Report, REG'L TRANSP. ALL. 8(2018), http://letsgetmoving.org/cros/wp-content/uploads/2018/O1/RTA-Final-printable.pd£ Attachment 135. sss Final Stakeholder Involvement Report 275 (2017); see also id. at 597 (email from Morrisville Chamber of Commerce to Complete 540 team expressing same); ICE Memorandum 4, ii (2017) (acknowledging growth and development patterns likely influenced by proximity to major transportation facilities and commercial and retail centers); Press Release: Big News! Complete 540 highway project ahead of schedule, GA�uvEx CxAMBEx OF CoMMExCE (Dec. 22, 2017), http://business.�arnerchamber.com/news/details/big-news-complete-540-highwa� project-ahead-of-schedule (explaining that Raleigh Chamber of Commerce CEO believes that "[w]hen recruiting companies, infrastructure is a critical selling point."), Attachment 133. : according to the town's transportation engineer.3s6 The Community Impact Assessment acknowledges that the project "is dependent upon construction of the Complete 540 project."3s� The development will include 2 million square feet of office/industrial space, 3.5 million square feet of retail and 8,000 residential units,358 and could bring 30,000 jobs.3s9 Furthermore, commercial developers are promoting new developments based on proximity to the route for Complete 540,36o as they do along the existing route.361 The towns of Fuquay-Varina362 and Holly Springs363 are doing the same. A. Existing Portions of I-540 Caused Extensive Growth Recent experience has shown that construction of a large highway in this area will cause substantial growth; this is precisely what happened following construction of the existing portions of I-540. Municipal planners expected growth from previous portions of I-540. The town engineer for Holly Springs expected it to "spark investment in western Holly Springs by encouraging more residential and commercial development in the area, where there are still many large pieces of undeveloped land" and making "existing subdivisions in the area more accessible and desirable."364 The mayor expected land prices to spike in the area near the interchange.36s 356 Kathryn Trogdon, New TriEx interchange to improve access to growing Apex, Holly Springs, TxE NEWS & OBSExvEx (May 04, 2016), http://www.newsobserver.com/news/local/communitv/southwest-wake- news/artic1e75408412.htm1. Attachment 136. 3s' Community Impact Assessment 42 (2015), https://xfer.services.ncdot.�ov/PDEA/Web/Complete540/reports/C540_CIA_0615.pd£ Attachment 137. ssa Veridea, Town of Apex Economic Development, https://www.apexnc.org/910/Veridea (last visited Feb. 14, 2018). Attachment 138. 3s9 Community Impact Assessment 42 (2015), https://xfer.services.ncdot.,gov/PDEA/Web/Complete540/reports/C540_CIA 0615.pdf. Attachment 137. 36o See, e.g., Fairview Village, Cary, NC, CASToINFo.coM, http://www.castoinfo.com/retail/portfolio/north- carolina/fairview-villa�e/ (last visited Feb. 14, 2018) ("Site is located less than 2 miles away from future Expressway Southeast Extension which will complete the I-540 Outer Loop around the greater Raleigh area."). Attachment 139. 361 See, e.g., Hilltop Shopping Center, CENTER MANAGEMENT, http://www.centermgmt.com/propert� brochure.aspx?id-1741 (noting location in Fuquay-Varina ` just minutes from the ever-expanding Triangle Expressway"), Attachment 140; Woodcreek, NOxTxSu�E REALTY, https://www.northside- realty.com/neighborhood/woodcreek-holl�prings-nc (last visited Feb. 14, 2018) ("Woodcreek is also located just a mile from Hwy 55 and the Triangle Expressway ...."), Attachment 141; Shopping CenterForLease, EDWA�S COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE, http://c.ymcdn.com/sites/www.ncchiro.org/resource/resm r/g Temporarv_files/Greenwood_Commons_Flyer.pdf, Attachment 142; Highcroft, KELLEx Wa,L��v1s, https://www.trian�lehomesandrealestate.com/nei,�hborhood/hi h,g croft (last visited Feb. 14, 2018), Attachment 143. 36z Infrastructure, FUQUAY-VARINA ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT, https://www.fuqua� varina.or,�/596/Infrastructure (last visited Feb. 14, 2018) ("proposed I-540 Southern Expressway ... will "even greater access"). Attachment 144. 363 2014 Developer's Luncheon: Come Grow With Us: An Update on Growth & Development in Holly Springs, Slide 30, https://www.holl�springsnc.us/DocumentCenterNiew/7089. Attachment 145. 36a Id. Attachment 145. 59 Following the 2011 opening of the Triangle Expressway building permits in Holly Springs rose 47 percent in 2011 and again in 2012.366 Similarly, the Town of Apex expected the 2012 portion of the Triangle Expressway to make Apex a"destination of choice" for employers, workers, and retailers.367 In its 2013 comprehensive plan, the first "supporting recommendation" for economic growth is to identify "new industrial/business/office park sites totaling 100-150 contiguous acres on NG55, US-64, US-1, and Jessie Drive to accommodate non-retail employment" because these roads "capitalize on access to NG540." 368 The third recommendation is to "[i]dentify and reserve at least one industrial/business park parcel over 50 acres near an NG540 interchange for a potential major employer relocation, taking advantage of the attractiveness of the confluence of three limited access highways" and maintain dialogue with the developers of Veridea.369 The planners were correct, and rapid growth followed. Beau Memory, Executive Director of the Turnpike Authority, declared, "[a] s a result of the Triangle Expressway, we're seeing an explosion of growth around the facility," adding that additional interchanges would also bring growth.370 Real estate developers have found the road was a"selling point for homebuyers."371 Shopping centers have sprung up, largely within a few miles of the road.3�2 The Triangle Expressway led to the development of the Holly Springs Towne Center shopping plaza.373 The expressway also "created new market opportunities for development" in Cary.3�4 In Knightdale, commercial building permits nearly quadrupled and permits for new homes nearly doubled as a result of the northern portion of I-540.3's Raleigh was "reshaped" between 1997 and 2007 "as I-540 has fueled a surge in residential, commercial and office development from Brier Creek near Raleigh-Durham 36s Id. Attachment 145. 366 Jeffrey Spivak, Toll Roads: The Route to Redevelopment?, U�Alv LArr� (2013), https://urbanland.uli.org/industry-sectors/infrastructure-transit/toll-roads-the-route-to-redevelopment/. Attachment 117. 36' The Apex Comprehensive Plan, Apex, NC, 2(2013), http://www.apexnc.org/DocumentCenter/View/494. Attachment 127. 368 Id. at 33. Attachment 127. 369Id. Attachment 127. 3�o Bruce Siceloff, Two new interchanges will bring more paying customers to Triangle ExpYessway, THE NEWS & OBSExvEx (Jul. 10, 2015), http://www.newsobserver.com/news/local/counties/wake-county/artic1e27000928.htm1. Attachment 146. 371 Id. Attachment 146. 372 Toll road credited for Holly Springs construction boom, WRAL.CONt (Oct. 4, 2012), http://www.wral.com/toll- road-credited-for-hollv-springs-construction-boom/11627169/. Attachment 147. 3�3 Kathryn Trogdon, New TriEx interchange to improve access to growing Apex, Holly Springs, TxE NEWS & OBSExvEx (May 04, 2016), http://www.newsobserver.com/news/local/community/southwest-wake- news/artic1e75408412.htm1. Attachment 136. 3�a Cary Community Plan 2040, 195, http://www.townofcary.or�/home/showdocument?id=14055. Attachment 148. 375 I-540 Speeds Growth in Knightdale, WRAL.colvl(June 19, 2007), http://www.wral.com/news/local/story/1501713/. Attachment 149. �1 International Airport to Wakefield on Raleigh's Northern end."376 "All this additional development has worsened congestions on the north-south roads that intersect I-540."377 Already by 2011, residents living on those roads complained of "having to wait five to ten minutes to make a left turn from their local streets onto arterials that intersect I-540" and of congestion at interchanges.378 "Transportation planners say that the loop will eventually be overwhelmed by the growth it is fueling, and traffic will be as congested as it was before the first section—from I-40 to U.S. 70—opened in January 1997."379 `But by then, hundreds of thousands more families will have established careers, homes and roots here, thanks in part to the Outer Loop."3so Independent analysis further demonstrates the impacts that the existing portions of NC 540 has had on housing growth. Between 1977 and 1997, housing grew gradually to the north and west of downtown Raleigh.381 But as NC 540 encircled the city between 1997 and 2012, these areas experienced dramatic growth.382 Analyses of the change in the number of housing units available in the Raleigh area between 1990 and 2016383 or 2000 and 2016,384 and the percentage change between 1990 and 2016385 all show the same stark pattern: startling growth near the existing portions of NC 540 and more modest growth elsewhere. The following map depicts the percentage change between 1990 and 2016: 3'6 Matthew Eisley & Bruce Siceloff, The News & Observer, Sept. 7, 2007. Attachment 150. 377 WILLIAM M. ROHE, THE RESEARCH TRIANGLE: FROM TOBACCO ROAD TO GLOBAL PROMINENCE 12S �2011�. Mareover the Turnpike Autharity found that the highest percentage of growth in traffic between 2001 and 2005, "occurred on I-540 and on various arterial roadways in Morrisville. This may be due to the opening of I-540 to the east between I-40 and US 1 in 1997." Attachment 150. N.C. TURNPIKE AUTHORITY, TRIANGLE EXPRESSWAY: COMPREHENSIVE TRAFFIC AND REVENUE STUDY 2-6 (2008�, https://www.ncdot.gov/projects/trian lg eexpressway/download/triex_200806CompTrafficRevenueStudy_pdf. Attachment 151. 378Id. at 125. Attachment 151. 379Id. (quoting Eisley & Siceloff, supra note 376 at A1). Attachment 150. sso jd. Attachment 150. 3s' NC 540 Alternatives, Growth Patterns (1977-1997). Attachment 152. 382 NC 540 Alternatives, Growth Patterns (1998-2018). Attachment 153. 3s3 NC 540 Alternatives, Growth Patterns (1990-2016). Attachment 154. 384 NC 540 Alternatives, Growth Patterns (2000-2016). Attachment 155. 385 NC 540 Alternatives, Growth Patterns, Percent (1990-2016). Attachment 156. 61 B. Interviews with Regional and Local Planners Revealed High Growth Expectations As part of the investigation into the indirect and cumulative effects of Complete 540, the Transportation Agencies interviewed local authorities in a series of ineetings. The summaries of these meetings provided in Appendix B to the "Memorandum on Local Jurisdiction Outreach and Methodology Updates (Quantitative ICE Assessment Memo #1)" (hereinafter ICE Memo 1) reveal high expectations for growth. Representatives from Angier "hope to improve commutes to Raleigh and RTP."386 Its town board is "trying to encourage quality growth and manage the wave of growth coming from the north."387 Representatives expected that the "Old Stage Road corridor could have more mixed use/commercial under the Complete 540 Build Scenario" and that "East Wimberly will 3s6 ICE Memo 1 at PDF 141. For convenience, page citations to ICE Memo 1 are to the page in the full document. The page number is preceded by "PDF" in these citations. 387 Id. at PDF 141. 62 likely develop under Build perhaps with some mixed use and commercial."388 Furthermore, "NC 55 will be more commercial at nodes under Build."389 More broadly, Local planners and the Town Mayor feel that completing NC 540 will make a significant difference in development. Under the Complete 540 No Build, NC 55 may need widening to handle traffic to 540. There would be pressure to increase the number of lanes on US 401. Piney Grove Wilbon may be expanded and NC 210 and Old Stage Road may be multi-lane.390 Representatives from Apex believed that some parcels in the eastern extraterritorial jurisdiction (ETJ) section of town could be "developed more densely as townhomes or apartments."391 Apex representatives noted that there "has been development interest in the area" around the existing NC 540 interchange with South Salem Street (Old US Highway 1) and mixed use development is planned for the area.392 The Veridea area west of NC 55, which will be mixed use and light industrial, is "slated for Transit-Oriented Development and mixed use."393 "The mixed use development planned around the existing NC 540 was spurred by the existing portion of the roadway," although it has been delayed by other factors.394 The town's planning director believed that the changes discussed in the meeting would occur regardless of the construction of Complete 540 because of existing access to NC 540.39s Representatives from Cary also expected growth. "The new Cary land use plan shows a large commercial area between Ten-Ten Road and I-540 as an employment center and this would only be likely if Complete 540 were built."396 Two mixed-use centers were recently built or started in this area.397 Representatives believed that the "I-540 Build alternative would accelerate development but not change density," although Cary would not be "completely built out by 2040" under either the build or no-build scenario.39s Clayton's town planner described the town as a"bedroom community primarily serving Wake County employers" where development is "driven by low land prices and proximity to employers in the industrial area of the town."399 Accordingly, representatives believe that the 388 Id. at PDF 141. 389 Id. at PDF 142. 390 Id. at PDF 142. 391 Id. at PDF 144. 39Z Id. at PDF 144. 393 Id. at PDF 144. 39a Id. at PDF 144. 39s Id. at PDF 144. 396 Id. at PDF 145. 397 Id. at PDF 145. 39a Id. at PDF 145. 399 Id. at PDF 149. 63 Complete 540 interchange with Rock Quarry Road will lead to more residential development in the area.400 They also believed that the "development of Complete 540 could put more pressure on th[e] area around NC State University property," where "[c]ommercial facilities and apartments may develop," resulting in "higher density residential development in the north and commercial development along US 70 Business."4o1 Because Fuquay-Varina's current land use plan was from 2006, representatives believed it reflected land use without I-540.402 "Town planners said higher density would occur under the Build scenario but it is hard to predict."4o3 Representatives believed that future development "will probably be suburban commercial and mixed-use" and will be concentrated around four nodes, foremost among them the "[v]icinity of I-540/ US 401," where planners anticipated that "the pace of commercial development would be accelerated with the Complete 540 Build Alternative" at I-540/ US 401,404 In addition, County representatives believed that development would be slower at the US 401/Ten-Ten Road intersection under the no-build scenario and that the build alternative would accelerate growth on the west side of town.4os Representatives believed that "[d]evelopment will follow infrastructure."4o6 Town of Garner representatives believed that "Some residential growth may result in the US 401/Swift Creek area under the Build Scenario," with the highest density near the Ten-Ten Road, although development would be limited by the Swift Creek Land Management Plan.4o� With Complete 540, "a Suburban Commercial Center may develop" near the interchange with Old Stage Road that would be smaller without Complete 540.408 At the interchange with Benson Road, Complete 540 would result in a"suburban commercial center" rather than a "neighborhood commercial center," and "development along Cleveland School Road would be bigger and denser."4o9 "Development pressures may increase the density of residential development" near the Complete 540 interchange with I-40.410 The area near the Complete 540 interchange with Rock Quarry Road could become a"suburban commercial center" whereas it would "likely be smaller and less dense" under the no-build scenario and a"neighborhood commercial center" is more likely.411 There would also be residential growth near the high aoo jd. at PDF 150. aoi jd. at PDF 150. aoz jd. at PDF 153. aos jd. at PDF 154. aoa Id. at PDF 154. aos Id. at PDF 154. ao6 Id. at PDF 155. ao� Id. at PDF 159. aoa Id. at PDF 159. ao9 Id. at PDF 159. aio Id. at PDF 159. all Id. at PDF 159. �' schoo1.412 "Overall, the Complete 540 project is anticipated to have a positive impact on growth in Garner" and the "increased development pressure" raises infrastructure questions that would be "less pressing" otherwise.413 Harnett County planners noted that "substantial development followed 6-8 years" after construction of NC 87 and "felt that the pace of development associated with Complete 540 could be quicker than the pace of development following the NC 87 project."414 planners believed that "[b]oth commercial and industrial development may occur under a No Build scenario, with growth happening sooner if Complete 540 is built."41s They "anticipate some development pressure for residential uses followed by commercial development would occur under the Build Alternative" most likely bringing mixed density development to NC 55, Eastern Parkway, and near Buckhorn-Duncan Road.416 Complete 540 would "increase development pressure within the FLUSA" by causing construction of a Food Lion just northwest of the boundary.417 County planners also believed Complete 540 would spur new road projects. Noting that CAMPO believes NC 55 will need to be widened but the project is unfunded, planners "feel that NC 55 would score better under NCDOT's prioritization formula if Complete 540 were constructed."418 Furthermore, they believed a widening project on Kennebec Church Road "will be more likely with Complete 540" and will likely result in higher and mixed density residential development.419 Holly Springs representatives "indicated that the area currently outside the ETJ to the west of the interchange would likely be high density residential development under the Build Scenario and small-lot residential under the No Build Scenario" and two mixed use centers on Sunset Lake Road "would be more likely to develop to this level of density."420 In addition, a "Suburban Commercial Center at the junction of Holly Springs Road and Kildaire Farm Road would likely be a Neighborhood Commercial Center under the No Build Scenario."421 "The Suburban Commercial Center at the junction of Holly Springs Road and Sunset Lake Road would likely [be designated] a Neighborhood Commercial Center under the No Build Scenario."422 Planners believed "the development in this area would be less intense" without Complete 540.423 Some parcels near the entrance to a mobile home park may "redevelop" and aiz jd. at PDF 159. 413 Id. at PDF 160. aia jd. at PDF 164. ais jd. at PDF 164. alb Id. at PDF 164. al� Id. at PDF 164. aisld. atPDF 165. a19 Id. at PDF 165. azo jd. at PDF 166. azi jd. atPDF 167. 422 Id. at PDF 167. 423 Id. at PDF 167. 65 "[s]ome growth" would be expected in the Northwest Holly Springs area.424 "The Town of Holly Spring Representatives stated that existing NC 540 has boosted the desirability of Holly Springs for growth."425 Furthermore, they believed that "[i]f Complete 540 is not built, the development intensity is not expected to shift to other areas. Instead it is likely to be less intense."4z6 Johnston County planning representatives believed that the area near the intersection of NC 42 and NC 50 "is much less likely to experience commercial development under the No Build Scenario."427 Near the Complete 540 interchange with NC 50, planners were "hoping that the Complete 540 project will funnel the Pleasant Grove traffic and some of the Smithfield traffic to the Complete 540 interchange with NC 50" because "[t]his would increase development potential in the area for the Build Scenario."428 In western Johnston County, planners expected Complete 540 to reduce traffic "between McGees Crossroads and I-40, which may spur development south of Middle Creek," which would most likely be small-lot residentia1.429 Town of Knightdale planners expected that "in general the Build scenario would accelerate mixed use development east and west of the I-540 alignment."43o At a"primary activity center" near the Poole Road/ I-540 interchange, "[m]ixed use development would occur under the No Build and commercial development is more likely under the Build."43' Raleigh planners expected that the area east of Complete 540 would see commercial development near the intersection of Poole and Hodge Roads.432 Planners hoped "to keep most growth inside the Complete 540 corridor."433 They believed that Complete 540 also would likely create "a couple of Suburban Commercial Centers ... on Auburn-Knightdale Road at Battle Bridge Road and Rock Quarry Road," also noting that the timing of construction of a few roads in the area was uncertain, but once built they would "possibly encourage a node of commercial activity."434 Complete 540 might lead to a suburban commercial center at Grasshopper, and under a no-build scenario such development was unlikely and would not be redistributed aza jd. at PDF 167. azs jd. at PDF 167. azb jd. at PDF 167. 427 Id. at PDF 171. aza Id. at PDF 171. az9 jd. at PDF 171. a3o Id. at PDF 174. 431 Id. atPDF 174. a3z Id. at PDF 178. a33 Id. at PDF 179. asa Id. at PDF 179-80. �� elsewhere.435 Planners also believed Complete 540 "might encourage additional growth" in historically slow-growing southeast Raleigh.436 Town of Smithfield planners noted that the "construction of the US 70 Bypass has significantly reduced traffic on US 70 Business, leaving the land along this facility ripe for development."437 "Overall, Complete 540 would improve commutes for Smithfield residents."438 The planners concluded, somewhat contradictorily, that "[a]lthough the Complete 540 project is unlikely to change the Place Types on parcels in Smithfield's jurisdiction, it may help development on these parcels come to fruition.i439 Wake County planners were joined by representatives from Fuquay-Varina. Those representatives expected Complete 540 would cause higher development density in the area north of the Complete 540 interchange with US 401,4ao Furthermore, "larger undeveloped parcels and some of the older subdivisions would convert to commercial" under the build scenario. 441 Growth at the development node would be slower under no-build and "only the big undeveloped parcels and some of the smaller parcels would be converted to commercial uses."442 Future development in the area of the Complete 540 interchange with Bells Lake Road, which will likely be annexed by Fuquay-Varina, would be "small scale and more contingent on the Build Scenario."443 Wake representatives believed that the area in Garner near the Complete 540 interchange with Old Stage Road "has the potential for major growth with undeveloped large parcels and redevelopment possibilities" and "might resemble the White Oak area" under a build scenario. 444 By contrast, under no-build, "development would occur at a lower level and be located along Ten-Ten Road to the south" and "[t]he amount of residential development associated with commercial development would also decrease."44s Also in Garner, development in the area at the Complete 540 interchange with NC 50 "may include a Neighborhood Commercial Center (gas station/dollar store type of development)" if Complete 540 is built. Town of Wendell planners, like the Town of Smithfield planners, somewhat contradictorily expected that Complete 540 "would not change place types, [but] it may increase the pace of development. a3s jd. at PDF 180. a36 Id. at PDF 180. a3� Id. at PDF 183. 438 Id. at PDF 183. 439 Id. at PDF 183. aao Id. at PDF 186. a41 Id. at PDF 186. aaz Id. at PDF 186. a43 Id. at PDF 186. aaa Id. at PDF 186-87. aas Id. at PDF 186-87. 67 C. The Quantitative ICE Study Lacks a Rational Basis and Employs an Arbitrary Methodology Despite this overwhelming consensus at all levels of government that the Complete 540 project will bring significant growth to the project area and will have a dramatic impact on land use, the Transportation Agencies assert in the Quantitative ICE analysis attached to the FEIS that the highway will, in fact, have a fairly negligible impact on growth patterns. The Quantitative ICE concludes that Complete 540 would only result in 7,000 more households in the study area by 2040, compared to a"no build scenario" and only a one percent difference in developed acreage between the two scenarios—equating to just 6,000 additional developed acres if the highway is constructed. This conclusion is hard to square with the myriad statements from state and local planners and politicians highlighted above, as well as with the very real experience of growth and development that has followed the existing segment of the 540 toll highway. The Quantitative ICE document is difficult to follow. The report is based on the assumption that because Wake County as a whole has grown at a fast rate over the past twenty years, the project area will see a high rate of development with or without the road.446 The report talks at length about the strong job market in the Raleigh area, the high quality of schools, and the relatively high median household income and notes that these factors will ensure continued growth in the FLUSA. This conclusion, however, takes an unjustified leap— suggesting that the growth that has been seen in the more dense, urban part of the county will naturally continue at a high pace in the more rural, undeveloped region even without a fast access toll road in place. This assumption is completely unsupported. The Transportation Agencies note that MPO forecasts for the region represent a"build" scenario, i.e., a scenario that reflects how growth would occur if the Complete 540 preferred alternative was constructed. To assess how much of the growth can be attributed to the highway, the Agencies were therefore required to create a"No Build" baseline scenario. To do so, the Transportation Agencies turned to a 2012 study by Duranton and Turner which looks at the effect of major highways on regional employment over a 20 year period.447 Duranton and Turner found a relationship between centerline miles of highway miles and changes in employment in a region. The Transportation Agencies used this relationship to determine a"rule of thumb" that there would be a 20 year impact of 1.5% employment growth for every 10 percent increase in highway stock.44a The use of the Duranton and Turner study in this way resulted in an arbitrary and capricious analysis of indirect and cumulative effects. The Duranton and Turner study was meant to look at overall average impact to regions. There is nothing in the study to suggest that it can be applied to reverse engineer the impact of a particular highway in a particular region of an individual city, as has been attempted in this case. Courts have been clear that reliance on studies that are not specific to the concerns of the particular project fail to satisfy NEPA. See, a46 See, e.g., Quantitative ICE Report 4. a4� See generally Gilles Duranton & Matthew A. Turner, Urban Growth and Transportation, REV. OF EC01v. STu��s, 2012. Attachment 157. 448 Id. at 15. Attachment 157. �: e.g., Nat'l Audubon Soc'y v. Dep't of the Navy, 422 F.3d 174, 193-94 (4th Cir. 2005) (holding that citations to studies that did not correspond exactly to the issue of concern was not sufficient to demonstrate that the agency had taken a"hard look"). The data in the Duranton/Turner study is primarily very historic, and in any case ends in 2003. As such, the data fails to acknowledge the shifting trends and preferences related to driving, public transportation and lifestyle preferences noted above that have occurred over the past 15 years. In addition to these errors in application, the entire forecast of the "indirect cumulative effect" of NC 540 on population growth appears to rest on the critical assumption that the impact of adding non-Interstate, tolled road mileage on regional job growth is the same as Interstate un-tolled roads. Even the report recognizes this key assumption, but provides no evidence at all that this would be the case: Although it will connect to interstate highways and will have similar design characteristics as an interstate highway, the proposed project is a tolled highway and will not be designated as an interstate highway. Most of the interstate highways included in the Duranton and Turner study were not tolled.449 Whether this assumption has the effect of increasing or decreasing the likely impact of the preferred alternative is open to question, but that assumption has not been studied here, and the Transportation Agencies have failed to "take a hard look" at how the highway will impact growth.4so Beyond the assumptions and leaps of logic that stem from totals derived from the Duranton and Turner study, the ICE analysis is further flawed in its failure to fully explain how growth is allocated in the study area. No data or description is provided as to exactly how the asserted reduction in development (households and jobs) under the No-Build scenario, is allocated to sub-area zones. This step is critical since it essentially determines the extent to which the Build scenario increases traffic near the proposed exits of NC 540. Therefore, without a detailed description of the method, its appropriateness cannot be determined. Further, there is no discussion of how commercial development, as opposed to `jobs' and `households' would be allocated. This is also a critical missing piece, since commercial development, particularly retail trade, has a very large effect on local traffic congestion, relative to housing. There is also no clear description as to exactly how the estimates of household and job differences between the `Build" and the "No-Build" scenarios are converted into acres of development. The ICE analysis takes a number of arbitrary steps to eliminate almost half the growth that it had found to be attributable to construction of preferred alternative by arbitrarily excluding areas of impacted counties that are deemed to be "outside" the study area to arrive at a projection a49Id. at 14. Attachment 157. aso E-mail from Brian F. Yamamoto, N.C. Dep't of Transp., to Brian Wert, N.C. Dep't of Transp., and Scott Slusser, N.C. Dep't of Transp. (May 5, 2016). Attachment 158. �• where the preferred alternative has just a one percent impact on development.4s1 This approach calls into question whether the correct study area has been used—if almost half the impact of the project is deemed to be outside of the defined zone. And, moreover, the results of the analysis, which show an extremely limited impact on jobs and development, call into question the wisdom of spending $2.2 billion on a new highway project. The results are further suspect given the contradictory statements of the local planners noted above. Given the apparently widespread impact of the project, another flaw of the Quantitative ICE is its failure to look at anything other than a"No Build" alternative and the preferred alternative. The analysis we have gives the reader no sense how alternative solutions, such as upgrades to existing highways, would impact jobs, growth and development. This is a fundamental flaw and fails the requirement of NEPA that alternatives should be presented in comparative fashion. D. The Quantitative ICE Calls Into Question the Purpose of the Project As noted above in Section IV(1) the Quantitative ICE demonstrates that the preferred alternative fails to meet one of the two primary purposes of the proj ect�o improve forecast congestion on existing roads. While the FEIS shows that the project would overall reduce daily congestion by 8000 VHT, it also shows the project would result in an increase of daily travel time by 3000 VHT. This means that the project would likely have a small positive impact on peak hour delay, but at a significant price of increasing delay throughout the remainder of the day. In other words, if you're a commuter using the full length of the road in the morning peak, this project would, on average, save some time, but for your spouse or on your return trip, daily traffic would actually be more congested on local streets, as your fellow residents converge to use the road and the development it attracts. The ICE also shows that primary benefits will flow to travelers on parallel routes to the proposed project, particularly Ten Ten Road, and Auburn-Knightdale Road, each of which would see traffic drops of about 35%, compared with the "No-Build" scenario. But other roads, particularly US 1 and NC 55, would see very large increases in congestion. The ICE report makes this clear, stating: The changes in traffic volumes show that many east-west roadways would see reductions in volumes, suggesting that trips will divert to the new facility. At the same time, many of the north-south roads, particularly those that access the Build Alternative from the south, would see greater than 10 percent forecasted increases in volumes. This pattern represents a predictable shift in traffic to the PA from existing east-west roads, many of which are congested today or forecasted to be congested in the future, such as NC 42 west of Fuquay-Varina.4s2 These increases in congestion on North-South roads should have been fully addressed and considered when the Transportation Agencies were screening for alternatives. Instead, the asi Quantitative ICE Report 18-34. asz Id. at 80-81. 70 agencies presented the false illusion that the preferred alternative would just generally provide ubiquitous congestion relief. It is imperative that the public be given the opportunity to study upgrades to the existing highway system such as ACCESS2040 and other alternative solutions with information about the full impact of the different project alternatives before them. In a similar vein, the Transportation Agencies had a duty to provide this more in depth look at induced growth at an earlier stage in the process and for a full range of alternatives to meet the requirements of other key federal laws including Section 4( fl of the Department of Transportation Act, Sections 401 and 404 of the Clean Water Act, the Endangered Species Act so that the appropriate permitting agencies, and the public could see how different alternatives and their indirect and cumulative impacts would affect the resources protected under the applicable statutes. VII. THE TRANSPORTATION AGENCIES HAVE NOT EXPLAINED HOW THEY WILL PAY FOR A$2.2 BILLION PROJECT In their comments on the DEIS, the Conservation Groups noted that the Transportation Agencies have thus far failed to provide a plan on finance for the project. The Agencies did not respond to this comment. The FEIS also fails to include any plan of fmance. Indeed, despite repeat questions, the Transportation Agencies have failed to answer the straight forward question of how much of the project cost is expected to be covered by toll revenue. Given the unprecedentedly high cost of the project, this information is key for the public and decisionmakers looking at alternative solutions. In responses to comments on the DEIS, the Transportation Agencies also point repeatedly to their traffic and revenue study to support the fact that the highway will support sufficient travelers to be economically viable. This document is extremely opaque�t generally lumps together the existing section of 540 alongside the extension, making it difiicult to assess how much additional revenue the extension itself will bring in. A careful reading, however suggests that in 2025 the first two segments of the toll highway would bring in just $11.5 million per year, rising to $51.7 million by 2029. If and when the remaining segment of the Complete 540 project is funded, built and opened, the projections suggest that by 2034 all three segments would bring in $122.1 million per year. Even under the most optimistic projections, the entire Complete 540 project is not expected to match revenue from existing 540 unti12051. Given the fact that the Complete 540 project will cost almost twice as much as the first stretch of 540 this low projection is surprising and calls into question the Transportation Agencies' investment in the $2.2 billion project. It is also likely that even these low revenue projections are overly optimistic. The planning level traffic and revenue study is surprisingly crude. It is generally understood good practice to use different values of travel time for different types of trips (home-based work, home-based non-work, non-home based, commercial, school, etc.) The typical values of travel 71 time recommended for traffic modeling are shown below, from a national best-practice publication that relates value of travel time to the region's wage rate:4s3 Commute; 40-50% of Wage Rate Personal Travel: 30�0% of Wage Rate On the Clock Travel: 100% of Wage Rate For the greater Raleigh area, the overall regional wage rate is about $24.234s4 (the median wage rate is about $ 18/hr). A typical value of travel time for commuters diverting to save time would average about $9-12/hr., and less for non-work trips. This rate does not appear to match up with the high toll rates and limited travel time savings that are expected from the Complete 540 project. The Traffic and Revenue study relies on a much higher value of time ($0.279 per minute ($16.74/hr.) during peak travel periods and $0.233 per minute ($13.98/hr.) during off- peak travel periods). If Value of Time is, in fact, lower than anticipated in the Traffic and Revenue Another hidden assumption in the traffic modeling is that all travelers have perfect knowledge and can discern even small travel time differences for different routes. But many studies show that travelers cannot discern time differences in travel situations of less than about 5 minutes, so a small time saving by using a toll road, even if real, would go undetected by most travelers. The models used here to forecast travel do not account for these limitations of human perception, nor do they account for other reasons for using a toll road. If the asserted value of travel times shown in Table 4.7 were assumed to be `seen' by all travelers, than not only are they too high, but also they are too widely applied. This means that the traffic and revenue forecasts for the Preferred Alternative are overestimated. The traffic and revenue study does not make clear the level of travel time savings it is relying upon for its projections and so it is difficult to determine if they match up with what has been published in the NEPA documents. Certainly, as noted above, the savings between travel time pairs included with the FEIS show that time savings will be extremely limited, even by 2040, further calling into validity the feasibility of this project. Given these uncertainties, the unprecedented high cost, and the relatively lower cost of other project alternatives, the Conservation Groups have asked repeatedly over the years how much of the project cost is expected to be covered by toll revenue. To date, the groups have gotten no answer. In public meetings in 2016, attorneys for the Conservation Groups were directed to NC Turnpike Authority employee Susan Pullium who promised to provide information on the assumptions had been used by regarding the percentage of the project that ass National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Analytical Travel Forecasting Approaches for Project-Level Planning and Design, Report 765, Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 20590, 2014, page 233, www.trb.org. Attachment 159. asa US Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational and Employment Statistics, May 2016. At https://www.bls.,gov/oes/current/oes_39580.htm. Attachment 160. 72 would be financed by tolls.4ss Ms. Pullium has never provided this information. The attorneys reiterated this request in a recent meeting with NC Turnpike Authority employees Rodger Rochelle and Beau Memory.4s6 Mr. Memory and Mr. Rochelle responded that they did not know how much of the project would be covered by toll revenue. The FEIS does not contain a financial plan for the preferred alternative. Given the extremely high cost, the fact that it is likely to saddle generations of North Carolinians with debt, the fact that the project has very limited utility, and the fact that there are much less expensive options available, this absence is extremely problematic. The public and local decisionmakers do not have the information they need to make an informed decision about advisability of moving forward with the project, and the resource agencies cannot determine if this project, or other alterantive solutions are "practicable." VIII. THE TRANSPORTATION AGENCIES CONTINUED TO ENGAGE IN PREDETERMINED DECISION-MAHING NCDOT's public comment period on the DEIS and its 17 new-location highway detailed study alternatives ("DSAs") closed on January 8, 2016. According to the final Preferred Alternative Report issued by NCDOT, a total of 1,476 public comments were received during this DEIS comment period.4s� Less than a month after the public comment period closed, on Feb 3, 2016, NCDOT officially announced that it had selected DSA 2, one of the DSAs including the Orange Corridor, as its recommended preferred alternative for the project—but an NCDOT draft press release shows that NCDOT had already selected DSA 2 as early as the morning of January 26, barely two weeks after the close of the public comment period.458 In that draft press release, NCDOT claims to have considered "public comments made during the public comment period that ran from Nov. 9, 2015 through Jan. 8, 2016," in reaching its recommendation about the preferred alternative.4s9 Yet according to a January 19, 2016 e-mail—one week before that January 26, 2016 press release recommending DSA 2 as the preferred alternative—NCDOT staff were still "compiling the public comments as the comment period ended last week," which were "staggering" in number.46o Eric Midkiff explained to a concerned citizen that the "decision on the selection of the preferred route for the Complete 540 project is likely to be made the latter ass Letter from Kym Hunter and Ramona H. McGee, SELC, to Eric Midkiff, P.E., NCDOT 35 n.171 (Jan. 8, 2016). Attachment 52. as6 Attorneys Ramona McGee and Kym Hunter met with Mr. Rochelle and Mr. Memory on January 30, 2018. as� preferred Alternative Report (Apr. 2016), at 9. asa E-mail and attachment from Ginny T. Inman, N.C. Dep't of Transp., to Steve Abbott, N.C. Dep't of Transp. and Mike R. Charbonneau, N.C. Dep't of Transp. (Jan. 26, 2016 9:13 AM). Attachment 161. as9 E-mail and attachment from Ginny T. Inman, N.C. Dep't of Transp., to Steve Abbott, N.C. Dep't of Transp. and Mike R. Charbonneau, N.C. Dep't of Transp. (Jan. 26, 2016 9:13 AM). Attachment 161. abo E-mail from Eric Midkiff, N.C. Dep't of Transp., to Jenny Mcdaniel (7an. 19, 2016 8:36 AM). Attachment 162. 73 part of March." 461 As of February 1, 2016, two days before NCDOT officially announced its recommended preferred alternative, consultants working for NCDOT were still "working on responses" to the Conservation Groups' comments on the Complete 540 DEIS by referencing responses to comments the Groups' counsel had made on an entirely different project.46z Given it seems unlikely that NCDOT could have reviewed and considered nearly 1,500 comments during the two-week period between the close of the public comment period and when NCDOT had internally chosen DSA 2 as its preferred alternative (particularly given the fact that NCDOT was still simply compiling the comments as of January 19). NCDOT either rushed its decision about selection of the preferred alternative, or had simply predetermined that it would select DSA 2 without regard to the comments it received. This is not surprising, s discussed in greater detail in comments on the DEIS, NCDOT has long favored, pushed for, and planned for a new-location toll highway along the Orange Corridor as the only real option for the Complete 540 project.463 For example, a collection of comments and responses on a 2014 draft Indirect and Cumulative Effects Report included a suggestion to label the Orange Route as having more severe "Future Population Shift" effects within a table about land use impacts, but the suggestion was rejected because "[w]e want to make it clear that Red would have a stronger effect in this category and do not suggest putting Orange/Lilac in this same category."464 A later version of this same document includes a response to this suggestion, stating "Orange/Lilac would have a stronger attraction for development than No-Build b/c of the proposed activity center along the corridor, and would likely be as strong as Red. Please move up one to make this evident."46s And yet the iinal version of the table in the Indirect and Cumulative Effects Report accompanying the DEIS lists Orange/Lilac below the Red Route.a66 A 2016 e-mail from NCDOT staff to consultants again illustrates the persistant bias against the Red Route, suggesting that a bullet point about the Red Route being disfavored by NMFS and USEPA be removed from a presentation.46' NCDOT's impossibly quick turnaround between the DEIS public comment period and the selection of the preferred alternative is another example of NCDOT's ongoing tunnel vision with regard to the Orange Corridor. 461 E-mail from Eric Midkiff, N.C. Dep't of Transp., to Jenny Mcdaniel (Jan. 19, 2016 8:36 AM). Attachment 162. a6z E-mail from Jennifer Harris, HNTB, to Christopher Werner, AECOM (Feb. 1, 2016 4:44 PM). Attachment 163. 463 See, e.g., e-mail from Hardin Watkins to Buck Kennedy et aL (Jan. 21, 2011) (reporting that NCTA stated "that in southern Wake County, the Orange Corridor is likely the only reasonable and feasible corridor"). Attachment 164. aba Comp540 Response to Comments Matrix (Oct. 31, 2014), at 3. Attachment 165. a6s Comp540 Response to Comments Matrix CS Comments (Nov. 12, 2014), at 3. Attachment 166. a66 DEIS Indirect and Cumulative Effects Report (Dec. 2014), 53 at Tbl. 9. 467 E-mail from Eric Midkiff, N.C. Dep't of Transp., to Kiersten Bass, HNTB, and Roy Bruce, HNTB (Feb. 10, 2016 2:03 PM). Attachment 167. 74 IX. CONCLUSION For the foregoing reasons the Conservation Groups submit that the FEIS for Complete 540 violates NEPA by failing to take a"hard look" at environmental impacts, failing to rationally analyze a reasonable range of alternatives, failing to adequately consider and respond to public comments, and illegally predetermining the outcome of the NEPA process. We urge the Transportation Agencies to go back to the drawing board and publish a Supplemental EIS looking at a range of less damaging alternatives, including less expensive upgrades to the existing highway system. Sincerely, Kym Hunter Staff Attorney ���. �; Ramona H. McGee Associate Attorney CC (via e-mail, w/attachments): Matthew Starr, Sound Rivers June Blotnick, Clean Air Carolina Sen. Tamara Barringer Sen. Chad Barefoot Sen. Brent Jackson Sen. Rick Horner Sen. Jim Davis Sen. Tom McInnis Rep. Linda Hunt Williams Rep. Nelson Dollar Rep. Darren Jackson Rep. Jeff Collins Rep. Kelly Hastings Rep. Frank Iler Rep. Phil Shepard Rep. John Torbett Rep. Becky Carney Rep. George Cleveland Rep. Michael Speciale 75 Commissioner Jessica Holmes Commissioner Sig Hutchinson Commissioner Matt Calabria Commissioner Ery Portman Commissioner James West Commissioner Greg Ford Commissioner John Burns Mayor Ronnie S. Williams Garner Mayor Dick Sears of Holly Springs Mayor Lance Olive of Apex Mayor Harold Weinbrecht of Cary Mayor Nancy McFarlane of Raleigh Mayor Steve Schewel of Durham Mayor Jody McLeod of Clayton Mayor James Roberson of Knightdale Mayor John W. Byrne of Fuquay-Varina Chair Michael S. Fox, NC Board of Transportation Vice Chair Nina Szlosberg-Landis, NC Board of Transportation Jeremy Tarr, Office of Governor Roy Cooper North Carolina Secretary of Transportation James Trogdon General Counsel, Chuck Watts, NCDOT Chris Lukasina, CAMPO Joe Milazzo, RTA Beau Memory, NCTA John F. Sullivan, III P.E., FHWA 76