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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNC0004961_5. RBSS CAP Part 2_Appx B_FINAL_20160212 Appendix B Groundwater Flow and Transport Model This page intentionally left blank Memorandum February 5, 2016 TO: Ed Sullivan and Tyler Hardin FROM: Bruce Hensel SUBJECT: RIVERBEND MODEL REVIEW Summary EPRI has reviewed the Riverbend model report and files provided by Duke Energy, HDR Engineering, Inc., and the University of North Carolina Charlotte. The review was performed by James Rumbaugh (Environmental Simulations, Inc.), with input by Chunmiao Zheng and myself. Based on this review, it is our opinion that, subject to the caveats below, this model is set-up and meets its flow and transport calibration objectives sufficiently to meet its final objective of predicting effects of corrective action alternatives on groundwater quality. The caveats associated with this opinion are: • Constant heads used to represent some boundaries may provide an unmitigated source of water for simulation of any corrective action alternatives that potentially involve pumping near those boundaries. If corrective actions involve pumping, consider an alternative to the constant heads below layer 5 representing the Catawba River. • Concentrations were added to the model via constant concentration boundaries. Use of this boundary condition may make it difficult for the model to simulate capping as a remedial strategy. However, since the closure scenarios include existing conditions and ash removal, this type of boundary condition is justified. Specific Comments Model Report, Setup, and Calibration a) Is the objective/purpose of modeling clearly defined? Yes. The objective and purpose of the modeling is clearly defined in Section 1.2 as consisting of three main activities: development of a calibrated steady-state flow model of current conditions, development of a historical transient model of constituent transport calibrated to current conditions, and predictive simulations of different corrective action options. b) Is the site description adequate? Yes. Section 1.1 of the report provides a description of the site that is adequate for evaluating the model for both flow and transport purposes. c) Is the conceptual model well described with appropriate assumptions? Yes. The conceptual model section contains subsections discussing the aquifer system framework, the groundwater flow system, hydrologic boundaries, hydraulic boundaries, sources and sinks, water budget, modeled constituents of interest, and constituent transport. Riverbend Model Review February 5, 2016 Page 2 The CSA report is referenced in describing aquifer properties. The rationale behind the choice of constituents to be modeled is discussed. d) Is the numerical model properly set up (steady state or transient; initial condition; boundary conditions; parameterization; etc.)? i) Appropriateness of the simulator The use of MODFLOW-NWT and MT3DMS to simulate groundwater flow and contaminant transport, respectively, are both appropriate for the modeling objectives and represent an industry standard in choice of simulators. ii) Discretization: temporal and spatial (x-y notably z) The spatial discretization for this model is a constant 20 ft, which is more than adequate to delineate differences in simulated heads and concentrations for all reasonable calibration and predictive purposes. For transport simulations, the Courant Number and the Grid Peclet Number can be used to determine whether discretization is numerically appropriate for a given model. In this model, transport time steps are automatically calculated by the simulator based on a specified Courant Number constraint of 1. This ensures that temporal discretization is appropriate for the spatial discretization of the model. The Grid Peclet Number (Pe_grid = ∆l/α) can be used to evaluate whether numerical dispersion dominates constituent transport based on spatial discretization and physical dispersion. Grid Peclet numbers preferably less than 2 and no more than 10 are generally recommended to minimize numerical dispersion. The lateral discretization (∆x = ∆y = 20 ft) for the entire model area, coupled with the longitudinal dispersivity of 80 feet file results in a Grid Peclet number of 0.25 in the entire model area. The transverse lateral dispersivity of 8 ft results in a Grid Peclet number of 2.5, which is well within the desired range. The vertical discretization is variable in contrast to the horizontal discretization. Because a considerable portion of the early transport in the model is vertical, special consideration of this discretization is warranted. Grid cells beneath the ash pond indicate cell thicknesses (∆z) in layers 5 through 7 range from about 20 to 45 ft. The transverse vertical dispersivity (αv) is 8.0 ft in the model. This results in a grid Peclet number (Pe_grid = ∆z/αv) up to a maximum value of about 5.6, which is well within the desired range. iii) Hydrologic framework – hydraulic properties Hydraulic properties were grouped by material type (ash, dike, saprolite, alluvium, transition zone, and bedrock) which are based on slug tests and the hydrostratigraphy of the site described in the CSA report. This approach is reasonable. iv) Boundary conditions The model boundary conditions consist of constant heads for the Catawba River and drains for the seeps and low areas. Recharge is applied in 2 zones at rates of 21.5 inches per year for the ash basins and 6.5 inches per year for the rest of the model. No-flow boundaries Riverbend Model Review February 5, 2016 Page 3 represent surface divides, which are assumed to also coincide with groundwater divides. These are all standard modeling practice. The transport model used constant concentration boundaries to input mass/concentration from the ash basins. These boundaries were placed in layers 1 to 4. Recharge was not used to add concentration to the model. This selection of transport model boundary conditions has two potential ramifications: • If there is a grid position within the simulated source area where one or more cells are dry in all source layers, then recharge from infiltration through the ash basin in these areas will enter the model with a concentration of zero, which does not agree with the conceptual model for this facility. This situation does occur in the southern part of the ash basin. However, the model was adjusted by placing constant concentration cells in layer 5 below the ash basin so that these areas would continue to be a source of the COIs. • The placement of constant concentration cells beneath the ash pond will inhibit the model’s ability to simulate capping, because lateral flow through these constant concentration cells will continue to add mass/concentration to the model even though leaching and infiltration may be greatly reduced by the cap. Simulation of other corrective actions, other than excavation, will also by affected because the concentration added to the model will not be representative of the capped facility. The only corrective action modeled currently is ash removal so this concern in not an issue at present. v) Initial conditions in transient simulations The flow model is run in steady state, where initial conditions are not relevant apart from numerical convergence, which was achieved. The transient transport model assumes a different initial concentration for each component simulated. These initial conditions are reasonable. vi) Convergence criteria and mass balance errors The head tolerance in the NWT packages of 1e-3 is more than adequate in ensuring head precision for the purposes of the model. The flow mass balance discrepancy in the MODFLOW Listing file of 0.0 percent is more than adequate in ensuring minimal flow mass balance errors. The cumulative concentration mass balance discrepancy from MT3DMS is less than or equal to 0.01 percent for all constituents (antimony, arsenic, boron, chromium, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium). These mass balance errors are more than adequate in ensuring minimal constituent mass balance errors. e) Is the calibration done properly and adequately? For flow calibration to heads, the Mean Absolute Error over the range in observed values is 6.5 percent, which is below the industry standard of 10 percent. The scaled RMS error and Standard Deviation are about 8.2 percent, also below the standard of 10 percent. In addition, there is no significant spatial bias in the distribution of residuals. Riverbend Model Review February 5, 2016 Page 4 The transport calibration is reasonable given the uncertainty involved with this type of modeling. In general, wells with high concentrations show high simulated concentrations for boron, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium. Likewise, wells showing low levels (or below detection) also exhibit low predicted concentrations in the model. The remaining constituents (antimony, arsenic, and chromium) did not have as good of match to measured data. In general, it is difficult to achieve strong concentration match for large numbers of modeled constituents, particularly if some are affected by geochemical reactions that are not simulated by MT3DMS. However, the constituents with good concentration match will enable use of the model to evaluate its stated objective. f) Discretization of calibration parameters Hydraulic properties were grouped by material type (ash, dike, saprolite, alluvium, transition zone, and bedrock). This is a reasonable approach. Recharge is grouped by infiltration within the ash basins and outside the basins. This is also a reasonable approach. i) Appropriateness of target as a metric of simulation objectives (e.g., calibrating primarily to heads when transport is the primary purpose) The flow model calibration to observed heads is adequate. Several plots also show simulated constituent concentrations in the context of several observed concentrations. Detailed tables of observed and simulated concentrations are also provided to document the transport calibration. g) Is the sensitivity analysis conducted and if so, correctly? i) Sensitivity Analysis approach (look for parameters which may be insensitive to flow but not to transport) A flow model sensitivity analysis was conducted whereby recharge rates, horizontal hydraulic conductivities, and vertical hydraulic conductivities were perturbed up and down by 20%. It is stated that water levels are most sensitive to horizontal hydraulic conductivity of the shallow aquifer, decreased recharge outside the ash basins, and increased recharge in the ash basins. The results are depicted in Table 4. This is a reasonable method for illustrating flow model sensitivity. Transport sensitivity analysis was not performed. Model Files: a) Can the model be run with the input files provided by the developer? Yes. b) Do the model results match those presented in the report? i) Independent check of input data vs. conceptual model/report Model inputs are consistent with what is described in the report. ii) Check of water balance vs. conceptual model The conceptual model does not present a comprehensive numerical water balance. Water enters the model as recharge from precipitation and the recharge rates noted in the conceptual Riverbend Model Review February 5, 2016 Page 5 model are consistent with those in the model. The constant heads along the Catawba River are primarily an exit boundary which is consistent with the conceptual water balance. Drains representing tributary streams and wetlands remove the remaining recharged water. iii) Independent check of model results vs. those reported Independently generated model results are consistent with what is described in the report. This page intentionally left blank Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Gaston County, NC Investigators: HDR Engineering, Inc. 440 S. Church St, Suite 1000 Charlotte, NC 28202 Contributors: William G. Langley, Ph.D., P.E. Dongwook Kim, Ph.D. UNC Charlotte / Lee College of Engineering Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering EPIC Building 3252 9201 University City Blvd. Charlotte, NC 28223 February 5, 2016 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 General Setting and Background ................................................................................... 1 1.2 Third Party Review ......................................................................................................... 2 2 Conceptual Model .................................................................................................................. 2 2.1 Geology and Hydrogeology ............................................................................................ 2 2.2 Hydrostratigraphic Layer Development .......................................................................... 3 2.3 Ash Basin and Ash Storage Areas ................................................................................. 4 2.3.1 Ash Basin ................................................................................................................ 4 2.3.2 Ash Storage Area .................................................................................................... 5 2.3.3 Cinder Storage Area ................................................................................................ 5 2.4 Groundwater Flow System ............................................................................................. 5 2.5 Hydrologic Boundaries ................................................................................................... 6 2.6 Hydraulic Boundaries ..................................................................................................... 6 2.7 Groundwater Sources and Sinks .................................................................................... 6 2.8 Water Balance ................................................................................................................ 6 2.9 Modeled Constituents of Interest .................................................................................... 6 2.10 COI Transport ................................................................................................................. 7 3 Computer Model .................................................................................................................... 7 3.1 Model Selection .............................................................................................................. 7 3.2 Model Description ........................................................................................................... 8 4 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Construction .......................................................... 8 4.1 Model Hydrostratigraphy ................................................................................................ 8 4.1.1 Existing Ground Surface ......................................................................................... 8 4.1.2 Pre-construction Surface ......................................................................................... 8 4.1.3 Pre-construction Surface with Dikes ....................................................................... 9 4.1.4 3-D Hydrostratigraphic Grids ................................................................................... 9 4.2 GMS MODFLOW Version 10 ......................................................................................... 9 4.3 Model Domain and Grid ................................................................................................ 11 4.4 Hydraulic Parameters ................................................................................................... 11 4.5 Flow Model Boundary Conditions ................................................................................. 12 4.6 Flow Model Sources and Sinks .................................................................................... 12 4.7 Flow Model Calibration Targets .................................................................................... 12 i Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 4.8 Transport Model Parameters ........................................................................................ 12 4.9 Transport Model Boundary Conditions ......................................................................... 13 4.10 Transport Model Sources and Sinks ............................................................................ 14 4.11 Transport Model Calibration Targets ............................................................................ 14 5 Model Calibration ................................................................................................................. 14 5.1 Flow Model Residual Analysis ...................................................................................... 14 5.2 Flow Model Sensitivity Analysis .................................................................................... 15 5.3 Transport Model Calibration and Sensitivity ................................................................. 16 5.4 Advective Travel Times ................................................................................................ 17 6 Simulation of CLosure Scenarios ........................................................................................ 17 6.1 Existing Conditions Scenario ........................................................................................ 17 6.2 Excavation Scenario ..................................................................................................... 17 7 Closure Scenario Results .................................................................................................... 18 7.1 Antimony ....................................................................................................................... 18 7.2 Arsenic .......................................................................................................................... 19 7.3 Boron ............................................................................................................................ 19 7.4 Chromium ..................................................................................................................... 19 7.5 Cobalt ........................................................................................................................... 19 7.6 Hexavalent Chromium .................................................................................................. 20 7.7 Sulfate .......................................................................................................................... 20 7.8 Thallium ........................................................................................................................ 20 7.9 Vanadium ..................................................................................................................... 20 7.10 Potential Groundwater Monitoring Locations at One Year’s Advective Travel Time Upgradient of Catawba River/Mountain Island Lake ............................................................... 20 8 Summary ............................................................................................................................. 21 8.1 Model Assumptions and Limitations ............................................................................. 21 8.2 Model Predictions ......................................................................................................... 22 9 References .......................................................................................................................... 22 TABLES Table 1 MODFLOW and MT3DMS Input Packages Utilized Table 2 Model Hydraulic Conductivity Table 3 Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head Table 4 Flow Parameter Sensitivity Analysis ii Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results Table 6 Predicted Advective Travel Times FIGURES Figure 1 Conceptual Groundwater Flow Model/Model Domain Figure 2 Model Domain North-South Cross Section (A-A’) Through Primary and Secondary Ash Basins Figure 3 Model Domain East-West Cross Section (B-B’) Through Primary and Secondary Ash Basins Figure 4 Numerical Model Boundary Conditions Figure 5 Model Recharge and Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells Figure 6 Observation Wells in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 7 Observation Wells in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 8 Observation Wells in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 9 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in S/M1 Layers (Model Layers 5-6) Figure 10 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in M2 Layers (Model Layer 7) Figure 11 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in Transition Zone Layers (Model Layer 8) Figure 12 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in Bedrock Layers (Model Layers 9-10) Figure 13 Hydraulic Head (feet) in M1 Layer (Model Layer 6) Figure 14 Particle Tracking Results Figure 15 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 16 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 17 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 18 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 19 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 20 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 21 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 22 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 23 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 24 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 25 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 26 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 27 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 28 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 29 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 30 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 31 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 32 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 33 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 34 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 35 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Bedrock Groundwater Zone iii Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 36 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 37 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 38 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 39 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 40 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 41 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 42 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 43 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 44 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 45 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 46 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 47 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 48 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 49 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 50 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 51 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 52 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 53 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 54 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 55 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 56 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 57 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 58 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 59 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 60 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 61 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 62 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 63 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 64 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 65 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 66 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 67 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 68 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 69 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 70 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 71 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 72 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 73 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 74 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 75 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-9D Figure 76 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 77 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone iv Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 78 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 79 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 80 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 81 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 82 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 83 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 84 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 85 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 86 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-5S 3 Figure 87 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 88 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 89 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 90 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 91 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 92 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 93 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 94 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 95 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 96 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 97 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 98 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 99 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 100 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 101 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 102 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 103 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 104 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 105 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 106 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 107 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 108 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 109 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 110 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 111 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 112 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 113 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone v Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 114 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 115 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 116 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 117 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 118 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 119 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 120 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 121 Water Level Drawdown at Hypothetical Pumping Wells between Ash Basin Waste Boundary and Mountain Island Lake ACRONYMS 2L Standard North Carolina groundwater standards as specified in T15A NCAC 02L 3-D three-dimensional CAP Corrective Action Plan COI constituent of interest CSA comprehensive site assessment EPRI Electric Power Research Institute HSL health screening level IMAC interim maximum allowable concentration MW megawatt NCDHHS North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services NRMSE normalized root mean square error PPBC proposed provisional background concentration RBSS Riverbend Steam Station RMS root mean squared TZ transition zone vi Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 1 INTRODUCTION The purpose of this study is to predict the groundwater flow and constituent transport that will occur as a result of different possible closure actions at the site. This study consists of three main activities: development of a calibrated steady-state flow model of site conditions observed in June/July 2015, development of a historical transient model of constituent transport calibrated to current conditions, and predictive simulations of the source removal operation 1.1 General Setting and Background Duke Energy owns the Riverbend Steam Station (RBSS), located on a 341 acre tract located adjacent to the Mountain Island Lake portion of the Catawba River near Mount Holly in Gaston County, North Carolina. RBSS is a former seven-unit coal-fired electricity generating facility with a capacity of 454 megawatts (MW). The station began commercial operation in 1929 with coal- fired Units 1-4. Units 5-7 began operating in 1952-1954 and all of the coal-fired units were located in a single power plant. Units 1-3 were retired from service in the 1970s, and Units 4-7 ceased operation on April 1, 2013. Initially, coal ash residue from the coal combustion process was deposited in a cinder storage area onsite. Following installation of precipitators and a wet sluicing system in 1957, coal ash residue was disposed of in the station’s ash basin system located adjacent to the station and Mountain Island Lake as shown on Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA) Report Figure 2-1)1(HDR 2015a).During its final years of operation, the plant was considered a cycling station and was brought online to supplement energy supply during peak demand periods. Duke Energy also operated four combustion turbine units at RBSS from 1969 until October 2012. The combustion turbine units could be fired by natural gas or oil and were located to the west of the coal-fired units. Refer to CSA Report Figure 2-4 for a map of site features. As described in the CSA Report, site groundwater exists in alluvium, soil, soil/saprolite, and bedrock and is consistent with a two-layer regolith-fractured rock system (CSA Report Figure 5- 3). The saturated zone is an unconfined, connected system without confining layers (CSA Report Figure 5-5) that is underlain by a massive meta-plutonic complex. The groundwater flow at the site is radial and groundwater flows to the north, east, and west and ultimately discharges to Mountain Island Lake (the main hydrological feature at the site). The topography at RBSS ranges from an approximate high elevation of 786 feet near the south edge of the property near Horseshoe Bend Beach Road to approximate low elevation of 646 feet at the northern boundary with Mountain Island Lake. The site slopes from south to north with an elevation difference of about 140 feet over an approximate distance of 3,500 horizontal feet. The natural drainage at the site follows the topography and generally flows from the south to the north, except where the natural drainage patterns have been modified by the existing ash basins, ash storage area, and other RBSS features. 1 Please refer to the Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Riverbend Steam Station, August 2015 (HDR 2015a) for more information and references CSA Report tables and figures. 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 1.2 Third Party Review The calibrated flow and transport model third-party peer review team was coordinated by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and included Dr. Chunmiao Zheng from the University of Alabama, James Rumbaugh from Environmental Simulations, Inc., and experienced modelers from Intera, Inc. The reviewers were provided with the conceptual site model, the Cliffside CSA Report (HDR 2015a), a draft model report, and digital model input and output files, allowing them to reconstruct the model for independent review. During the course of the review, the reviewers communicated with the modelers to better understand how the model was developed and calibrated. As a result of these communications, the model was modified and recalibrated, which allowed the reviewers to conclude that the model was constructed and calibrated sufficiently to achieve its primary objective of comparing the effects of closure alternatives on nearby groundwater quality. In addition, the reviewers identified limitations with the model, which are included in the discussion of model limitations later in this documentation. After EPRI acceptance of the initial RBSS groundwater model, the model was refined to incorporate post-CSA data. These changes did not affect the model structure or boundaries and did not deviate from EPRI guidelines. An independent review of the refined RBSS model was conducted by EPRI and found that the model was sufficient to meet the objective of predicting effects of corrective action alternatives on groundwater quality 2 CONCEPTUAL MODEL The site conceptual model used for the groundwater flow model is based primarily on information provided in the CSA Report. The CSA contains extensive detail and data related to most aspects of the site groundwater model used in this study. 2.1 Geology and Hydrogeology The RBSS is located within the area of the Charlotte terrane, which is a tectonostratigraphic terrane that has been defined in the southern and central Appalachians. The Charlotte terrane is in the western portion of the larger Carolina superterrane (CSA Report Figure 5-1). The northwest side of the Charlotte terrane is in contact with the Inner Piedmont zone along the northwest boundary of the Central Piedmont suture. This area’s higher metamorphic grade and potential tectonism along its boundaries distinguishes it from the Carolina terrane (to the southeast). At RBSS, the fractured bedrock is overlain by a mantle of unconsolidated material called regolith. The regolith includes residual soil and saprolite zones and, where present, alluvial deposits. The saprolite (a product of chemical weathering of the underlying bedrock) is typically composed of clay and coarser granular material, and reflects the texture and structure of the rock from which it was formed. The groundwater system at the RBSS is a two-medium system that is restricted to a local drainage basin. The bulk of groundwater occurs in a system of interconnected layers; residual soil/saprolite (shallow groundwater zone), and weathered rock overlying the fractured crystalline rock (i.e., bedrock groundwater zone). The weathered rock is called the transition zone, or deep 2 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin groundwater zone, and exists between the shallow and bedrock groundwater zones. Typically, the residual soil/saprolite is partially saturated and the water table fluctuates within it. Preferential groundwater flow occurs within the transition zone, as typically the permeability of the transition zone exceeds other zones. Also, shallower bedrock is more permeable than deeper bedrock as the fracture density decreases with depth. Generally, the groundwater flow at the site can be categorized as radial flow, with groundwater flowing from the south across the site to the north, northwest, and northeast and ultimately discharging to Mountain Island Lake. Groundwater in the southwest portion of the site (beneath the ash storage area) flows to the northwest below the cinder storage area to Mountain Island Lake. The groundwater contour maps constructed for the CSA Report depict these patterns (CSA Report Figures 6-5 to 6-7). 2.2 Hydrostratigraphic Layer Development Residual soil consists of clayey sand, silty sand, silty sand with gravel, micaceous silty sand, and gravel with silt and sand. The following materials were encountered during the site exploration and are consistent with material descriptions from previous site exploration studies. • Ash – Ash was encountered in borings advanced within the ash basin and ash storage areas, as well as in the dikes. Ash was generally described as gray to dark gray, non- plastic, loose to medium dense, dry to wet, fine to coarse-grained. • Fill – Fill material generally consisted of re-worked silts, clays, and sands that were borrowed from one area of the site and redistributed to other areas. Fill was generally classified as silty sand, clay with sand, clay, and sandy clay on the boring logs. Fill was used in the construction of dikes, and as cover for ash storage area. • Alluvium –Alluvium encountered in borings during the project was classified as clay and sand with clay. In some cases alluvium was logged beneath ash. • Residuum (Residual soils) – Residuum is the in-place weathered soil that consists primarily of silt with sand, clayey sand, sandy clay, clay with gravel, and clayey silts. Residuum varies in thickness and was relatively thin compared to the thickness of saprolite. • Saprolite/Weathered Rock – Saprolite is soil developed by in-place weathering of rock that retains remnant bedrock structure. Saprolite consists primarily of medium dense to very dense silty sand, sandy silt, sand, sand with gravel, sand with clay, clay with sand, and clay. Sand particle size ranges from fine to coarse grained. Much of the saprolite is micaceous. • Partially Weathered/Fractured Rock – Partially weathered (slight to moderate) and/or highly fractured rock encountered below auger refusal. • Bedrock – Resistant rock in boreholes was generally slightly weathered to fresh and relatively unfractured. 3 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Based on the CSA, the groundwater system is consistent with the regolith-fractured bedrock system. The material designations shown below (M1, M2, TZ, and BR) are used on the geologic cross-sections with transect locations in the CSA (CSA Report Figure 11-1). The ash, fill and alluvial layers are represented by A, F, and S, respectively, on cross sections and in tables in the CSA Report. The ranges for hydrostratigraphic layer properties measured at RBSS are provided in CSA Report Tables 11-7 through 11-11. To further define the hydrostratigraphic units, the following classification system was used based on standard penetration testing values, recovery (REC), and rock quality designation (RQD) collected during drilling and logging of boreholes. The ash, fill and alluvial layers are as encountered at the site. The natural system (except alluvium) includes the following layers: M1 – Soil/Saprolite: N<50 M2 – Saprolite/Weathered Rock: N>50 or REC<50% TZ – Transition Zone: REC>50% and RQD<50% BR – Bedrock: REC>85% and RQD>50%. Rock core runs that fell between the values for transition zone and Bedrock (REC<85% and RQD>50% or REC>85% and RQD<50%) were assigned a hydrostratigraphic layer based on a review of the borehole logs, rock core photographs, and geologic judgment. The same review was performed to determine the thickness of the transition zone just in case it extended into the next core run, which when reviewed alone might have met the bedrock criterion, because of potential core loss or fractured/jointed rock with indications of water movement (iron/manganese staining). 2.3 Ash Basin and Ash Storage Areas 2.3.1 Ash Basin The unlined ash basin is located 2,400 feet to the northeast of the power plant and adjacent to Mountain Island Lake, as shown on CSA Report Figure 2-2. The ash basin primary cell is impounded by an earthen embankment dam located on the west side of the ash basin; the secondary cell by an earthen embankment dam along the northeast side. The toe areas for both dams are in close proximity to Mountain Island Lake. An intermediate dam (or divider dike) was constructed in 1979 and consists of soil on top of the existing ash in the basin. This construction allows hydraulic communication between the primary and secondary cells. Borrow areas within the ash basin are depicted in some RBSS drawings, but are omitted from others. Based on information provided by Duke Energy, a dredge pond was located south of the primary cell, possibly in the current ash storage area. Between 1993 and 2000, the dredged ash was allowed to dry, and it is possible that some ash was moved offsite. The ash basin primary cell covers 41 acres, has a maximum pond elevation of 724 feet, and contains approximately 1.9 million cubic yards of ash. The secondary cell covers 28 acres, has a maximum pond elevation of 714 feet, and contains approximately 700,000 cubic yards of ash. The full pond elevation of Mountain Island Lake is 646.8 feet. 4 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin The ash basin system operated as an integral part of the site’s wastewater treatment system. This system received inflows from the ash removal system, station yard drain sump, and stormwater flows. During RBSS operations, inflows to the ash basin were variable due to the cyclical nature of station operations. The inflows from the ash removal system and the station yard drain sump were conveyed through sluice lines into the primary cell. Discharge from the primary cell to the secondary cell was conveyed through a concrete discharge tower located near the divider dike. Although the RBSS station is retired, wastewater effluent from other non-ash-related stations flows to the ash basin. Also, the water may be conveyed from the ash basin secondary cell (through a concrete discharge tower) to Mountain Island Lake. The concrete discharge tower drains through a 30-inch diameter corrugated metal pipe into a concrete-lined channel that flows to Mountain Island Lake. The pond level in the ash basin is controlled by the use of concrete stop logs and discharge from the basin has not occurred in over a year. 2.3.2 Ash Storage Area The ash storage area is located near the ash basin primary cell (CSA Report Figure 2-2). The footprint of the ash storage area covers 29 acres and contains approximately 1.5 million tons of ash. The ash storage area was constructed during two ash basin clean-out projects; the first in the 2000-2001 timeframe, and the second in late 2006 to early 2008. The clean-out projects were performed to provide additional capacity in the ash basins. The ash storage area is unlined and has a 1.5 to 2 feet thick soil/vegetation cover that is maintained. The stormwater runoff from the ash storage area is routed to the cinder storage area. 2.3.3 Cinder Storage Area The cinder storage area is located west/southwest of the ash basin primary cell, and northwest of the ash storage area (CSA Report Figure 2-2). The cinder storage area is located in a triangular area northeast of the coal pile and covers 13 acres. Following initial station operation in 1929 and prior to initial ash basin operation, bottom ash (cinders) generated as part of the coal combustion process were deposited in the cinder storage area (and other areas near the coal pile). This area was also used for ash storage prior to the use of the wet ash sluicing system which began in 1957. It is estimated that the cinder storage area contains 300,000 tons of ash. 2.4 Groundwater Flow System Groundwater recharge occurs from precipitation infiltration into the subsurface where the ground surface is permeable, and, at RBSS, this includes permeable ash within the ash basin system and dikes that contain the basins (where exposed). After infiltrating the ground surface, water in the unsaturated zone percolates downward to the water table, except where ponded water creates a groundwater mound as in the secondary cell of the ash basin. From the water table, groundwater moves laterally and downward through unconsolidated material (residual soil/saprolite) into the transition zone, then into fractured bedrock. The mean annual recharge to 5 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin shallow groundwater aquifers in the Piedmont ranges from 4.0 to 9.7 inches per year (Daniel 2001). Historical and current information regarding the RBSS ash basin system assembled by HDR during the CSA was used in developing the conceptual site model and ultimately the numerical groundwater flow models. Refer to CSA Report Figures 2-1 and 2-2 for locations of the RBSS ash basin system components. 2.5 Hydrologic Boundaries The major discharge location for the groundwater system at RBSS is Mountain Island Lake, the main hydrologic boundary that exists at the site. Local ditches, drainages, and streams also serve as shallow hydrologic boundaries. These smaller features are treated as internal water sink terms and represented as drain boundary conditions in the flow model. 2.6 Hydraulic Boundaries The groundwater flow system in the RBSS study area does not contain impermeable barriers or boundaries, with the exception of deep bedrock where fracture density is minimal. Natural groundwater divides exist along topographic divides, but the groundwater divides are result of local flow conditions (as opposed to flow barriers). 2.7 Groundwater Sources and Sinks Recharge, including that to the ash basins, is the major source of water to the groundwater system. Most of this water discharges to the hydrologic boundaries described above. One private well exists within a half mile radius of the RBSS (HDR 2015a). There are no public water supply wells near the site. The area of the model domain is not considered to be within a capture zone or zone of influence of any groundwater extraction well. 2.8 Water Balance Over an extended period of time, the rate of water inflow into the RBSS study area is equal to the rate of outflow out of the area. That is, there is no change in groundwater storage. Water enters the groundwater system through recharge and ultimately discharges to Mountain Island Lake and small-scale discharge locations. Recharge to the ash basins represents the summation of precipitation, evaporation, evapotranspiration, plant wastewater discharge, and discharge through the outlet structures. 2.9 Modeled Constituents of Interest As defined in the CSA Report, constituents are those chemicals or compounds that were identified in the approved groundwater assessment plans for sampling and analysis (HDR, 2015a). If a constituent exceeded its respective regulatory standard or screening level in the medium in which it was found, the constituent was then termed a COI. The COIs in ash basin 6 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin porewater at RBSS are: antimony, arsenic, boron, chromium 2, cobalt, hexavalent chromium, iron, lead, manganese, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium. Antimony, arsenic, boron, chromium, cobalt, hexavalent chromium, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium were considered in the transport simulations. Sulfate and boron occur at elevated levels in water infiltrating from ash basin systems, and are considered very mobile in groundwater as these constituents do not readily precipitate or adsorb to soils. Antimony, arsenic, chromium, cobalt, hexavalent chromium, thallium, and vanadium, also occur at elevated levels in infiltrating water, but are readily adsorbed to commonly occurring soil types. 2.10 COI Transport Constituents enter the ash basin system in the dissolved phase and solid phase as components of wastewater discharge. Some constituents are also naturally present in native soils and in groundwater beneath the ash basin. The accumulation and subsequent release of chemical constituents in the ash basin over time is complex. In the ash basin, constituents may incur phase changes via dissolution, precipitation, chemical reactions and sorption/desorption processes and mass is exchanged between the phases. The dissolved phase constituents may undergo some of these processes as they are transported in groundwater and flow downgradient from the ash basin. The following approach was used for transport modeling: • A physical type modeling approach was used, as site-specific geochemical conditions are not understood or characterized at the scale and extent required for inclusion in the model. • The flux of contaminant mass from the ash sources is not quantified, so it is not included in the conceptual site model or represented in the numerical model. As such, a simplified approach was used and the entry of constituents was represented in the model using a constant concentration in the saturated zone of the basin (which is continually flushed by water moving through the porous media). The constant concentration cells cover the ash basin cells and ash storage area sources and the concentrations for each of these sources were determined during transport model calibration. • The retardation effects of the COI (e.g., by adsorption onto solid surfaces) were collectively taken into account by specifying a linear soil-water partitioning coefficient (Kd). 3 COMPUTER MODEL 3.1 Model Selection The computer code MODFLOW solves the system of equations that quantify the flow of groundwater in three dimensions (3-D). MODFLOW can simulate steady-state and transient flow, as well as confined and water table conditions. Additional components of groundwater can be considered including pumping wells, recharge, evapotranspiration, rivers, streams, springs, 2 “Unless otherwise noted, references to chromium in this document indicate total chromium. 7 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin and lakes. The information assembled in the conceptual site model is translated into its numerical equivalent from which a solution is generated by MODFLOW. 3.2 Model Description The specific MODFLOW package chosen is NWT - a Newton formulation of MODFLOW-2005 specifically designed for improving the stability of solutions involving drying and re-wetting under water table conditions (Niswonger and Ibaraki 2011). The numerical code selected for the transport model is MT3DMS (Zheng and Wang 1999). MT3DMS is multi-species 3-D transport model that can simulate advection, dispersion/diffusion, and chemical reaction of the COI in groundwater flow systems and has a package that provides a link to the MODFLOW codes. The MODFLOW-NWT and MT3DMS input packages used to create the groundwater flow and transport models, and a brief description of their use, are provided in Table 1. 4 GROUNDWATER FLOW AND TRANSPORT MODEL CONSTRUCTION The flow and transport model was developed through a multi-step processes. First, a 3-D solids model of site hydrostratigraphy was constructed based using site construction and topographic data and field data. Next, the model domain was determined, from which a numerical value was produced. Flow parameters, assigned to the numerical grid, were adjusted during the steady- state flow model calibration process. Once the steady-state flow model was calibrated, a steady-state transport simulation for the selected COI was calibrated by adjusting transport parameters to nearly match the observed concentrations in selected monitoring wells. Three terrain surface models for RBSS were created using geographic information systems (GIS) software: 1) current existing surface, 2) pre-construction surface without ash and ash basin dikes, and 3) pre-construction surface with dikes but without ash. An interpolation tool in ArcGIS 10.3 software was used to generate the terrain surfaces as raster datasets with 20-foot cells. Each surface was created to cover the extent of the groundwater model domain. 4.1 Model Hydrostratigraphy The model hydrostatigraphy was developed using historical site construction drawings and borehole data to construct 3-D surfaces representing contacts between hydrostatigraphic units with properties provided in CSA Report Tables 11-7 through 11-11. 4.1.1 Existing Ground Surface Topographic and bathymetry elevation contours and spot elevations were produced from surveys conducted in 2014. Since these surveys did not cover the entire model extent, elevation data extracted as spot elevations from the North Carolina Floodplain Mapping Program’s 2010 LiDAR elevation data were used for the areas surrounding the surveys. At RBSS, simplified elevation contours were digitized along the river channels to depress the surface a small amount below water level. 4.1.2 Pre-construction Surface Elevation contours of the original ground surface were digitized in CAD from engineering drawings supplied by Duke Energy. These data were imported into GIS, and georeferenced. 8 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin These contours were trimmed to the areas underlying ash basins, dams, dikes and ash storage areas. The source data used in the existing surface were then replaced by the original surface data where there was overlap. Elevation data from coal storage areas were removed. The pre- construction surface was then created using the combination of original surface elevations, 2014 survey elevations, and 2010 LiDAR elevations. 4.1.3 Pre-construction Surface with Dikes Surface models of the ash basin dams and dikes were constructed from crest elevations as determined from the 2014 survey and slopes given on the engineering drawings. Only the sections of the dams and dikes facing the ash basins were modeled in this way. The 2014 survey data were used for dike/dam crests and outwardly facing surfaces. These surfaces were merged with the pre-construction surface. These GIS data sets were exported into formats readable by RockWorks and GMS MODFLOW. 4.1.4 3-D Hydrostratigraphic Grids The natural materials in the CSA boreholes and existing boreholes were assigned a hydrostratigraphic layer using the above classification scheme and judgment and the borehole data entered into RockWorks 16™ for 3-D modeling. In the portions of the area to be modeled for which borehole data is not available, dummy boreholes were used to extend the model to the model boundaries. These boreholes were based on the hydrostratigraphic thickness of the existing boreholes and the elevation of the existing boreholes based on the assumption that the hydrostratigraphic layers are a subdued replica of the original topography of the site and geologic judgment. A grid of the pre-construction ground surface (described above) was used to constrain the modeling of the natural layers. For gridding the data on a 20 foot x 20 foot grid across the area to be modeled, hybrid algorithm was used with inverse distance weighted two, triangulation weighted one, and declustering, smoothing, and densifying subroutines. The declustering option is used to remove duplicate points and de-cluster clustered points. The option creates a temporary grid with a z-value assigned based on the closet data point to the midpoint of a voxel. The smoothing option averages the z-values in a grid based on a filter size. For this modeling, the z-value is assigned the average of itself and that of the eight nodes immediately surrounding it. One smoothing pass is made. The densify option adds additional points to the xyz input by fitting a Delaunay triangulation network to the data and adding the midpoint of each triangle to the xyz input points. The net result is that the subsequent gridding process uses more control points and tends to constrain algorithms that may become creative in areas of little control. Only one densification pass is made. The completed model grids were exported in spreadsheet format for use in the groundwater flow and transport model. 4.2 GMS MODFLOW Version 10 The conceptual model approach to construct a MODFLOW simulation in GMS MODFLOW consists of employing GIS tools in a map module to develop a conceptual model of the site being modeled. The location of sources/sinks, layer parameters (such as hydraulic conductivity), and all other data necessary for the simulation can be defined at the conceptual model level. 9 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Once this model is complete, the grid is generated and the conceptual model is converted to the grid model and all of the cell-by-cell assignments are performed automatically. The following table presents the sequence of the steps used for the groundwater modeling. Steps 1 through 6 describe the creation of 3-D MODFLOW model. Step 1. Creating raster files for the model layer - Three surface layers (pre-construction, pre-construction with dike, and existing surface including dike and ash) using GIS and AutoCAD - Two subsurface layers (transition zone and bedrock) by converting 3-D scatter data Step 2. Creating the raster catalog to group the raster layers - Assigning horizons and materials for each layer Step 3. Creating horizon surfaces (i.e., triangulated irregular network (TIN)) from raster data - Used existing surface and bedrock rasters Step 4. Building solids from the raster catalog and TINs - Used raster data for the top and bottom elevations of the solids Step 5. Creating the conceptual model - Building model boundary, specified head boundary, and drain - Defining zones and assigning hydraulic conductivity and recharge rate - Importing observation wells and surface flow data Step 6. Creating the MODFLOW 3-D grid model - Converting the solids to 3-D grid model using boundary matching - Mapping the conceptual model to 3-D MODFLOW grid Step 7. Flow model calibration/sensitivity analysis - Initializing the MODFLOW model - Steady-state calibration with the trial and error method - Parameters: hydraulic conductivity and recharge rate - Used observation well and surface flow data Step 8. Setting the transport model (MT3DMS) - Species - Stress periods - Porosity and dispersion coefficient - Kd from the lab experiments - Recharge concentrations Step 9. Performing model simulations - Model scenarios – 1) Existing conditions scenario, 2) Excavation scenario 10 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 4.3 Model Domain and Grid The model domain encompasses the RBSS site, including a section of Mountain Island Lake and all site features relevant to the assessment of groundwater. Figure 1 shows the conceptual groundwater flow model and model domain. The model domain extends beyond the ash management areas to hydrologic boundaries so groundwater flow and COI transport through the area is accurately simulated without introducing artificial boundary effects. The bounding rectangle around the model domain extends 5,600 feet north to south and 7,900 feet east to west and has a grid consisting of 265,155 active cells. In plan view, the RBSS model domain is bounded by the following hydrologic features of the site: • the southern shore of Mountain Island Lake to the north, east, and west; • a drainage feature to the east; and • the presumed topographic groundwater divide south of the site approximated by the route of Horseshoe Bend Beach Road. The domain boundary was developed by manually digitizing two-foot LiDAR contours in ArcMap. The lower limit of the model domain coincides with an assumed maximum depth of water yielding fractures in bedrock. This was assumed to be 80 feet below the base of the transition zone across the site upper limit based on a review of boring logs contained in the CSA. There are a total of 10 model layers divided among the identified hydrostratigraphic units to simulate curvilinear flow with a vertical flow component. The units are represented by the model layers listed below: • Model layers 1 through 3 Ash material • Model layers 2 through 4 Dike and ash storage material • Model layer 5 M1 Saprolite and alluvium where present • Model layer 6 M1 Saprolite • Model layer 7 M2 Saprolite • Model layer 8 Transition zone • Model layers 9 and 10 Fractured bedrock The materials comprising each layer and typical layer thickness are shown in the north-south and east-west cross sections through the ash basin on Figures 2 and 3. 4.4 Hydraulic Parameters Horizontal hydraulic conductivity and the ratio of horizontal to vertical hydraulic conductivity, which are specific for each hydrostratigraphic unit, are the primary determinants of groundwater flow for a given set of boundary conditions. Measurements of these parameters from the CSA (CSA Report Tables 11-7 through 11-11) provide guidance for the flow model calibration. The hydraulic conductivity values used in the model are provided in Table 2. 11 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 4.5 Flow Model Boundary Conditions The boundary of the model domain was selected to coincide with physical hydrologic boundaries at Mountain Island Lake, drainage features, and no flow boundaries at topographic divides (Section 2.4 and Figure 4). At the Mountain Island Lake boundary, constant head boundaries were applied to those layers above fractured bedrock with bottom elevations below the water surface interpolated from photogrammetric surveys. Drainage features and other low areas act as shallow hydrologic boundaries. Physically they represent seep locations where the water table intersects the ground surface and groundwater is discharged. Internal drain boundaries were applied at these locations as shown on Figure 4. It is assumed that surface drainage is ultimately conveyed to an outfall to the Mountain Island Lake. 4.6 Flow Model Sources and Sinks Recharge is the only groundwater source considered in the model. Other than those described above, no other groundwater sources or sinks were identified. The mean annual recharge in the Piedmont ranges from 4.0 to 9.7 inches per year (Daniel 2001), and the recharge applied in the model is 21.5 inches/year for the ash basins and 6.5 inches/year across the rest of the model domain (Figure 5). 4.7 Flow Model Calibration Targets The steady-state flow model calibration targets are the 58 static water level measurements measured in June/July 2015. The observation wells included 29 wells screened in ash, ash dike, and shallow zone (S/M1/M2); 23 wells screened in the transition zone; and six wells screened in fractured bedrock. The observations wells in shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones are shown on Figures 6 through 8. 4.8 Transport Model Parameters The calibrated, steady state flow model was used to apply flow conditions for the transport models at the primary and secondary cells of the ash basin and the ash storage areas (CSA Report Figures 2-1 and 2-2). Although their approximate dates of operation are known, the sluiced ash loading histories for these locations are not available. In order to calibrate the transport model to existing conditions, constant concentration source zones were applied at the ash model layers in the ash basin cells and the layers where the water table occurs beneath the ash storage area starting from the date when each was placed in service (Figure 5). The relevant input parameters were the constant concentration at the source zone, the Kd for sorptive constituents (including all COIs, except for sulfate), the effective porosity, and the dispersivity tensor. The conceptual transport model specifies that COIs enter the model from the shallow saturated source zones in the ash basin. The range of Kd values applied was derived from UNCC laboratory measured values and adjusted to achieve calibration in the model. The most appropriate method to calibrate the transport model was to use the lower limit of measured Kd values to produce an acceptable agreement between measured and modeled concentrations. 12 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Thus, an effective Kd value results that likely represents the combined result of intermittent activities over the service life of the ash basin. These may include pond dredging, dewatering for dike construction, and ash grading, and placement. This approach is expected to produce conservative results, as sorbed constituent mass is released and transported downgradient. Kd values for the COIs were applied as follows: • Antimony: 12 mL/g • Arsenic: 250 mL/g • Boron: 2 mL/g • Chromium: 15 ml/g • Cobalt: 2 mL/g • Hexavalent chromium: 2 mL/g • Sulfate: conservative (sorption not modeled) • Thallium: 73 mL/g • Vanadium: 15 mL/g The velocity of COIs in groundwater is directly related to the effective porosity of the porous medium. A single effective porosity value of 0.10 was assigned to the ash and dike layers. For the S/M1 layers an effective porosity value of 0.05 was assigned. For the M2 layer an effective porosity value of 0.10 was assigned. The effective porosity values are within the range of estimated values from the CSA. For the transition zone and fractured bedrock, the porosities applied were 0.01 and 0.001, respectively. Dispersivity quantifies the degree to which mechanical dispersion of COIs occurs in advecting groundwater. Dispersivity values of 80 foot 8 foot, and 8 foot (longitudinal, transverse horizontal, transverse vertical) were applied in this model. Traditionally, dispersivity is estimated to be some fraction of the scale, or plume length (Zheng and Bennett, 2002). The commonly applied estimate is ten percent of the observation scale. In order to avoid artificial oscillation in the numerical solution to the advection dispersion equation, the grid Peclet number, or the ratio of grid spacing to longitudinal and transverse dispersivity, and the ratio of layer thickness to vertical dispersivity, should be less than two and no more than 10 to minimize numerical dispersion (Zheng and Bennett, 2002). The longitudinal and transverse dispersivity results in grid Peclet numbers of 0.25 and 2.5, which is within the acceptable range. The vertical discretization is more variable than the horizontal discretization with M1/M2 and fracture bedrock layers at approximately 20 to 40 feet, and the transition zone on the order of 10 feet or less. The variable vertical discretization results in grid Peclet numbers of 0.625 to 5, which is within the acceptable range. 4.9 Transport Model Boundary Conditions The transport model boundary conditions have an initial concentration of zero where water leaves the model. The background concentration used as initial concentrations for each COI is specified as the the proposed provisional background concentration (PPBC) identified in the RBSS Corrective Action Plan (CAP) Part 1 (HDR, 2015b). Exceptions are hexavalent chromium 13 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin and vanadium where 0.07 µg/L and 0.9 µg/L were used, respectively. Note that recharge does not have a specified concentration. The background concentrations for the COIs applied as initial concentrations are as follows: • Antimony: 1 µg/L • Arsenic: 1 µg/L • Boron: 50 µg/L • Chromium: 5 µg/L • Cobalt: 3 µg/L • Hexavalent chromium: 0.07 µg/L • Sulfate: 970 µg/L • Thallium: 0.2 µg/L • Vanadium: 0.9 µg/L 4.10 Transport Model Sources and Sinks The ash basin and ash storage area are the sources for COI in the model (CSA Report Figure ES-1). During the transport model calibration and the existing conditions scenario, the sources were modeled as constant concentration cells in the saturated ash layers of the ash basin primary and secondary cells, ash storage area and cinder storage area (Figure 5). Note that the transport model sinks correspond to the constant head and drain boundaries in the flow model. The groundwater and COI mass are removed as they enter the model grid cells comprising these boundaries. 4.11 Transport Model Calibration Targets The calibration targets are the measured antimony, chromium and sulfate concentrations for the June/July 2015 sampling event as shown in CSA Report Tables 7-5 and 10-6. 5 MODEL CALIBRATION 5.1 Flow Model Residual Analysis The flow model was calibrated to the water level measurements (or hydraulic head observations) measured in June/July 2015 in shallow, deep, and bedrock wells (Table 3). The observation data from this single point in time were used as a flow model calibration data set. The locations of the observation wells are provided on Figures 6 through 8. The initial trial-and- error calibration assumed homogeneous conditions in each model layer. Throughout the flow model calibration process, recharge was fixed at reasonable values early in the calibration process, and then calibration adjustments were made by adjusting hydraulic conductivity in the S/M1 layers (see Figure 9 for calibrated values), M2 layer (Figure 10), transition zone layer (Figure 11), and bedrock layers (Figure 12). The basis for delineating the zones within layers was to obtain the best calibration using values within the range of measurements made during the CSA. The model is most sensitive to recharge and hydraulic 14 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin conductivity in the upper, residual soil/saprolite layers (S/M1/M2). Both within and outside the ash basins, the model was less sensitive to vertical hydraulic conductivity. The calibrated flow model parameters are provided in Table 2. The measured and modeled water levels (post-calibration) are compared in Table 3. The calibrated flow model is steady- state and assumed to represent long term and average flow conditions for the site. This assumption should be verified as additional data are collected from the monitoring wells and additional monitoring wells are installed. The square root of the average square error (also called the root mean square error, or RMS error) is provided in Table 3. The model calibration goal is RMS error less than 10% of the change in head across the model domain; in this case the model calibration goal = 7.1 feet. The calibration goal was met as the RMS error = 5.82 feet. The ratio of the average RMS error to total measured head change is the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE). The NRMSE of the calibrated model is 8.11%. The hydraulic head contours for the M2 saprolite layer (model layer 6) in the calibrated model are shown on Figure 13. Overall, groundwater in the shallow aquifer, transition zone, and fractured bedrock at the site flows to the north, northeast, and northwest and discharges to Mountain Island Lake. Note that steep hydraulic gradients are associated with the dikes surrounding the ash basins. The hydraulic gradient is shallow in the lowlands to the east and west of the ash basins. 5.2 Flow Model Sensitivity Analysis It is important to understand the sensitivity of the flow model parameters on the predicted hydraulic head field, so that the affects of changing the parameters are known. The sensitivity of flow model parameters was tested by varying a subset of parameters by 20% above and below the values used in the calibrated flow model. The sensitivity was evaluated by re-running the model and comparing the NRMSE for each simulation (Table 4). A smaller NRMSE indicates that the model is better calibrated (i.e., model-predicted hydraulic head values better match the actual or observed values). Using this approach, it was determined that NRMSE is maximized and the flow model is most sensitive to positive or negative changes in horizontal hydraulic conductivity in the shallow aquifer, followed by decreased recharge outside of the ash basins. The least sensitive flow model parameter tested (minimized NRMSE) was decreased recharge within the ash basins. Also, the model was unaffected by changing the vertical hydraulic conductivity in the shallow groundwater zone and transition zone, horizontal flow is dominant groundwater in all three groundwater zones away from the ash basins. The calibration results comparing measured versus predicted model concentrations are provided in Table 5 for the modeled COIs. Table 5 also shows the calibration source concentrations in the active ash basin and the ash storage areas. The locations of the monitoring wells are provided on Figures 6, 7, and 8. These calibration parameters were used in the transport model to simulate the initial (2015) concentrations in the shallow, deep, and bedrock groundwater flow zones of each COI for the excavation scenario. 15 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 5.3 Transport Model Calibration and Sensitivity For the transport model calibration, the constant source concentrations were adjusted to minimize residual concentrations in target wells. Applying the low end of measured sorption coefficients for sorptive COIs was essential to achieve a reasonable calibration as discussed in Section 4.8. Dispersivity and porosity changes can also be applied for transport calibration, but their simultaneous effects on each COI must be considered. For the transport model calibration, the calibration parameters consisted of the constant source concentrations, porosity and the Kd for each COI. These parameters were adjusted to minimize residual concentrations in target wells. The model assumed initial concentrations within the groundwater system for all COIs at the beginning of ash basin operations approximately 58 years ago. A source term matching the pore water concentrations for each COI was applied within the active ash basin and the ash storage areas at the start of the calibration period. The source concentrations were adjusted within the range of pore water concentrations to match measured values in the downgradient monitoring wells that had exceedances of the North Carolina groundwater standard (2L Standard 3) or were greater than the Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration (IMAC 4) for each COI in June 2015. Monitoring wells with measured values below the 2L Standard or IMAC for each COI were also observed in the model during calibration, as it is also important to not overestimate the spatial or vertical extent of measured COIs. During transport model calibration, the flow model parameters were also modified within measured values as needed to provide a better constituent calibration. This iterative process provided a better flow and transport calibration as the spatial extent of elevated constituents provides insight into groundwater flow directions and velocities. The calibration results comparing measured versus predicted model concentrations are provided in Table 5 for the modeled COIs. Table 5 also shows the calibration source concentrations in the active ash basin and the ash storage areas. The locations of the monitoring wells are provided on Figures 6, 7, and 8. These calibration parameters were used in the transport model to simulate the initial (2015) concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater flow zones of each COI for the excavation scenario. Detailed sensitivity analyses for porosity, dispersivity, and sorption were not completed as part of CAP Part 2 as informal sensitivity analysis indicated that sensitive parameters did not change due to revisions to the model parameters. A decrease in the Kd resulted in an increase in the spatial extent in the modeled concentrations from the source areas. An increase in porosity and dispersivity also resulted in an increase in the spatial extent in the modeled concentrations from the source areas. 3 North Carolina Groundwater Rules; Title 15A, Subchapter 02L of the NC Administrative Code. 4 Appendix #1 of 15A NCAC Subchapter 02L Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to The Groundwaters of North Carolina, lists Interim Maximum Allowable Concentrations (IMACs). The IMACs were issued in 2010 and 2011; however, NCDENR has not established a 2L Standard for these constituents as described in 15A NCAC 02L.0202(c). For this reason, IMACs noted in this report are for reference only. 16 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 5.4 Advective Travel Times Particle tracking was performed during model calibration to determine if advective travel times are reasonable. Particles were placed in the shallow zone at wells located near the Mountain Island Lake, downgradient of the ash storage area and also near the northern model boundary. The particle tracks are shown on Figure 14 and predicted advective travel times are provided in Table 6. 6 SIMULATION OF CLOSURE SCENARIOS Two closure scenarios were modeled for the RBSS: an Existing Conditions scenario with ash sources left in place and an Excavation scenario with the accessible ash removed from the RBSS. Being predictive, these simulations produce flow and transport results for conditions that are beyond the range of those considered during the calibration. Thus, the model should be recalibrated and verified over time as new data become available in order to improve its accuracy and reduce its uncertainty. The model developed for existing conditions was applied without modification for the Existing Conditions scenario. For the Excavation scenario, the model layers containing ash in the ash basin (layers 1-4) were made inactive. The flow parameters for this model are identical to the Existing Conditions scenario, except for the removal of ash related layers and the same recharge rate was applied to the ash basin as the remainder of the site. 6.1 Existing Conditions Scenario The Existing Conditions scenario consists of modeling each COI using the calibrated model for steady-state flow and transient transport under the Existing Conditions across the site to estimate when steady state concentrations are reached at the Compliance Boundary. COI concentrations can only remain the same or increase for this scenario with source concentrations being held at their constant value over all time. Thereafter, the concentrations and discharge rates remain constant. This scenario represents the most conservative case in terms of groundwater concentrations on and off site, with COIs discharging to surface water at steady state. The time to achieve a steady state concentration plume depends on the source zone location relative to the Compliance Boundary and its loading history. Source zones close to the Compliance Boundary reach a steady state sooner. The time to steady-state concentration is also dependent on the sorptive characteristics of each COI. Sorptive COIs will be transient for a longer time period as their peak breakthrough concentration travels at a rate that is less than groundwater pore velocity. Use of lower effective porosity values will result in shorter times to achieve steady state for both sorptive and non-sorptive COIs. The use of lower total porosity will result in longer times for sorptive COIs (e.g., arsenic and chromium). 6.2 Excavation Scenario In the Excavation scenario, ash from the ash basin and ash storage area is removed and transported off-site. In the model, the constant concentration sources and ash above and below 17 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin the water table are removed. This scenario assumes recharge rates become equal to rates surrounding the ash basins (6.5 inches per year). Starting from the time that excavation is complete, COIs already present in the groundwater continue to migrate downgradient as clean water infiltrates from ground surface and recharges the aquifer at the water table. The COIs are flushed from the saturated zone beneath the source areas. COI migration is retarded relative to the pore water velocity as sorptive COIs adsorb to the soil/rock surfaces. The model uses the predicted concentration from the 2015 calibration as the initial concentration. 7 CLOSURE SCENARIO RESULTS Closure scenario results are presented as predicted concentration vs. time plots in downgradient monitor wells and as groundwater concentration maps for each of the nine modeled COI on Figures 15 through 120, as discussed in the following sub-sections. Concentration contours and concentration breakthrough curves are all referenced to a time zero that represents the time the closure action was implemented, which for the purposes of modeling is assumed to be 2015. Concentration contours and concentration breakthrough curves are referenced to 1957, since that is the year that the ash basin became effective. Constituent concentrations were analyzed at three downgradient monitoring wells: MW-3S, MW-5S, and MW-6S (Figure 6) for all COIs, except hexavalent chromium. Hexavalent chromium concentrations were analyzed at downgradient monitoring well MW-9D (Figure 7). Monitoring well MW-3S is located north of the primary and secondary ash basins and approximately 150 feet from the ash basin waste boundary and 120 feet from the Mountain Island Lake. Monitoring well MW-5S is located directly downgradient of the secondary ash basin approximately 60 feet from the ash basin waste boundary on the eastern side of the earthen embankment within 100 feet of the Mountain Island Lake. Monitoring well MW-6S is also located near the ash basin embankment and within 100 feet of the Mountain Island Lake. Monitoring well MW-9D is located northwest of the ash storage and cinder storage areas (downgradient) and also cross-gradient from the ash basin Primary Cell. Each of these wells is directly downgradient from either the ash basin, ash storage area, or cinder storage area and upgradient of the groundwater discharge locations at the Mountain Island Lake and ash basin Compliance Boundary. 7.1 Antimony Figures 15 through 17 show predicted antimony concentrations at downgradient monitoring wells for Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios. The concentration versus time curves show that antimony is predicted to be greater than the IMAC (1 µg/L) at MW-3S, MW-5S and MW-6S and remain above the IMAC for more than 100 years at all three monitoring wells modeled. Figures 18 to 20 show that initial (2015) antimony concentrations in shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones are greater than the IMAC. Figures 21-26 indicate antimony will continue to be greater than the IMAC at the Mountain Island Lake after 100 years in all groundwater zones under both the Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios. 18 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 7.2 Arsenic Figures 27 through 29 show predicted arsenic concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells for both scenarios. These figures show that predicted arsenic concentrations do not exceed the 2L Standard (10 µg/L) at the monitoring wells. Figures 30 to 32 show initial (2015) arsenic concentrations do not exceed the 2L Standard at the Mountain Island Lake. In 2115, arsenic is not predicted to exceed the 2L Standard at the Mountain Island Lake (Figures 33 to 35). For the Excavation scenario (Figures 36 to 38), arsenic remains less than the 2L Standard at the Mountain Island Lake. 7.3 Boron Figures 39 through 41 show predicted boron concentrations at downgradient monitoring wells for the modeled scenarios. The concentration versus time curves show that under the Existing Conditions scenario, boron concentrations will increase after 2015, but in all cases remain below the 2L Standard of 700 µg/L. Figures 42 to 44 show initial (2015) boron concentrations do not exceed the 2L Standard in any groundwater zones at the Mountain Island Lake. The predicted boron concentrations for Existing Conditions scenario and Excavation scenario are presented on Figures 45 to 50. After 100 years, boron does not exceed the 2L Standard at the Mountain Island Lake in either scenario in any groundwater zone. 7.4 Chromium Figures 51 through 53 show predicted chromium concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells for both scenarios. The concentration versus time curves show that chromium concentrations at the three monitoring wells will remain below the 2L Standard of 10 µg/L throughout the modeled period. Figures 54 to 56 show initial (2015) chromium concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones; chromium does not exceed the 2L Standard at Mountain Island Lake. The predicted concentrations for 2115 (Existing Conditions scenario) are presented on Figures 57 to 59; chromium does not exceed the 2L Standard at Mountain Island Lake. The same results are observed for the Excavation scenario (Figures 60 to 62) – chromium does not exceed the 2L Standard. 7.5 Cobalt Figures 63 through 65 show predicted cobalt concentrations versus time at downgradient monitoring wells for both scenarios. The concentration versus time curves for all three downgradient monitor wells show that cobalt remains elevated above the IMAC of 1 µg/L. Figures 66 to 68 show initial (2015) cobalt concentrations. Cobalt is elevated above the IMAC in shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones. The predicted 2115 cobalt concentrations for the Existing conditions scenario are presented on Figures 69 to 71, while the Excavation scenario results are on Figures 72 to 74. After 100 years, cobalt is predicted to exceed the IMAC at Mountain Island Lake for both scenarios within the shallow, deep, and bedrock groundwater zones. 19 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin 7.6 Hexavalent Chromium Figure 75 shows predicted hexavalent chromium concentrations at MW-9D downgradient of the ash storage area for both scenarios. The concentration versus time curves show hexavalent chromium remaining above the NCDHHS HSL groundwater standard of 0.07 µg/L throughout the modeled period. Figures 76 to 78 show initial (2015) hexavalent chromium concentrations above the NCDHHS HSL in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones. The predicted concentrations for the Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios are presented on Figures 79 to 84. After 100 years, hexavalent chromium is predicted to be greater than the NCDHHS HSL at Mountain Island Lake in both scenarios in all groundwater zones. 7.7 Sulfate Figures 85 through 87 show predicted sulfate concentrations at downgradient monitoring wells. The concentration versus time curves for all three monitoring wells show that sulfate remains below the 2L Standard of 250,000 µg/L for both model scenarios. Figures 88 to 90 show initial (2015) sulfate concentration below the 2L Standard in the shallow, deep, and bedrock groundwater zones. The predicted sulfate concentrations for the Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios are presented on Figures 91 to 96. After 100 years, sulfate is not predicted to exceed the 2L Standard at Mountain Island Lake for either scenario in any groundwater zone. 7.8 Thallium Figures 97 through 99 show predicted thallium concentrations at downgradient monitoring wells. The concentration versus time curves show that thallium remains above the IMAC of 0.2 µg/L at the three downgradient monitoring wells for both the Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios. Figures 100 to 102 show initial (2015) cobalt concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones. After 100 years, thallium is predicted to be greater than the IMAC at Mountain Island Lake under both the Existing Conditions scenario (Figures 103-105) and the Excavation scenario (Figures 106 to 108) in all groundwater zones. 7.9 Vanadium Figures 109 through 111 show predicted vanadium concentrations at downgradient monitoring wells. The concentration versus time curves show that vanadium remains elevated above the IMAC of 0.3 µg/L for both Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios. Figures 112 to 114 show initial (2015) vanadium concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones. After 100 years, vanadium is predicted to be greater than the IMAC at Mountain Island Lake under both the Existing Conditions scenario (Figures 115-117) and the Excavation scenario (Figures 118 to 120) in all groundwater zones. 7.10 Potential Groundwater Monitoring Locations at One Year’s Advective Travel Time Upgradient of Catawba River/Mountain Island Lake Particle tracking was performed using the excavation steady-state flow field to identify potential groundwater monitoring locations located one year’s advective travel time upgradient of Mountain Island Lake, the receiving surface water body for the site. Note that groundwater from 20 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin the ash basin, ash storage area, and cinder storage area sources discharge to Mountain Island Lake and in some cases do not reach a Compliance Boundary. The monitoring locations are shown on Figure 121 and are labeled extraction wells. A simulation was performed to demonstrate the steady-state effects of pumping the six wells at three gallons per minute and the area influenced by pumping (as represented by the drawdown contours shown in the figure). Note that, over time, the pumping the wells would capture a portion of the groundwater in the shallow zone that has been impacted by the ash basin and other source areas. However, a more detailed modeling analysis is needed to predict recovery rates and design an efficient pumping recovery system. 8 SUMMARY 8.1 Model Assumptions and Limitations The model assumptions include the following: • The steady-state flow model was calibrated to hydraulic heads measured at observation wells in June 2015 and considered the ash basin water level. The model is not calibrated to transient water levels over time, recharge, or river flow. A steady-state calibration does not consider groundwater storage and does not calibrate the groundwater flux into adjacent surface water bodies. • MODFLOW simulates flow through porous media, and groundwater flow in the bedrock groundwater zone is via fractures in the bedrock. A single domain MODFLOW modeling approach for simulating flow in the primary porous groundwater zones and bedrock was used for contaminant transport at the RBSS. • The model was calibrated by adjusting the constant source concentrations at the ash basins and ash storage area to reasonably match 2015 COI concentrations in groundwater. • For the purposes of numerical modeling and comparing closure scenarios, it is assumed that the selected closure scenario was completed in 2015. • Predictive simulations were performed and steady-state flow conditions were assumed from the time the ash basins and ash storage area were placed in service through the current time and through to the end of the predictive simulations (2265). • COI source zone concentrations at the ash basin and ash storage area were applied uniformly within each source area and assumed to be constant with respect to time for transport model calibration. • The uncertainty in model parameters and predictions has not been quantified; therefore, the error in the model predictions is not known. It is assumed the model results are suitable for a relative comparison of closure scenario options. 21 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin • Since Mountain Island Lake is modeled as a constant head boundary in the numerical model, it will not be possible to assess the effects of pumping wells or other groundwater sinks that are near the river. • The model does not account for varying geochemical conditions such as pH and redox potential that could affect COI mobility and change modeling results. 8.2 Model Predictions The model predictions are summarized as follows: • The model predicts that under Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios antimony, cobalt, thallium, and vanadium will be greater than their respective IMAC at Mountain Island Lake. Also, hexavalent chromium is predicted to be greater than the NCDHHS HSL at Mountain Island Lake. For these COIs, the background concentrations used for modeling is also above their respective IMAC or NCDHHS HSL, so the actual impact of the site sources on groundwater quality is unknown. • Model predictions do not show that COI concentrations will be effectively reduced by ash removal under the Excavation scenario. The COIs that are predicted to exceed 2L Standard, or be greater than the IMAC or NCDHHS HSL, will not achieve compliance with the standards within the time period modeled (2015-2265). • The model predicts that under Existing Conditions and Excavation scenarios arsenic, boron, chromium and sulfate will not exceed their respective 2L Standard at Mountain Island Lake. • Among the COIs, sulfate and boron are similar in that both are considered conservative; that is, neither has a strong affinity to attenuate nor adsorb to soil/rock surfaces. As a result, the model predicts similar behavior for both of these COIs, and other COIs with low Kd values—rapid and nearly complete reduction under the Excavation scenario. 9 REFERENCES Daniel, C.C., III, 2001, Estimating ground-water recharge in the North Carolina Piedmont for land use planning [abs.], in 2001 Abstracts with Programs, 50th Annual Meeting, Southeastern Section, April 5-6, 2001: Raleigh, N.C., The Geological Society of America, v. 33, no. 2, p. A-80. HDR. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Riverbend River Steam Station Ash Basin, August 2015a. HDR, 2015b. Corrective Action Plan Part 1. Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin. November, 2015. Niswonger, R.G., Panday, S., and Ibaraki, M. 2011. MODFLOW-NWT, A Newton formulation for MODFLOW-2005: U.S. Geological Survey Techniques and Methods 6-A37, 44 p. 22 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Zheng, C. and Bennett, G. Applied Contaminant Transport Modeling Second Edition, Wiley Interscience, 2002. Zheng, C. and P. Wang. 1999. MT3DMS, A modular three-dimensional multi-species transport model for simulation of advection, dispersion and chemical reactions of contaminants in groundwater systems, Documentation and Users Guide, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center Contract Report SERDP-99-1, Vicksburg, MS, 202 p. 23 Appendix B Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Attachments  Tables  Figures Attachments provided in electronic format on CAP Part 2 CD only. This page intentionally left blank Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Tables Table 1 MODFLOW and MT3DMS Input Packages Utilized Table 2 Model Hydraulic Conductivity Table 3 Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head Table 4 Flow Parameter Sensitivity Analysis Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results Table 6 Predicted Advective Travel Times Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 1 MODFLOW and MT3DMS Input Packages Utilized MODFLOW Input Package Description Name (NAM) Contains the names of the input and output files used in the model simulation and controls the active model program Basic (BAS) Specifies input packages used, model discretization, number of model stress periods, initial heads and active cells Discretization (DIS) Contains finite-difference grid information, including the number and spacing of rows and columns, number of layers in the grid, top and bottom model layer elevations and number of stress periods Specified Head and Concentration (CHD) Specifies a head and/or a concentration that remains constant throughout the simulation Drain (DRN) Acts as a “drain” to remove water from the groundwater system. Simulates drainage areas within the model Recharge (RCH) Simulates areal distribution of recharge to the groundwater system Newton Solver (NWT) Contains input values and the Newton and matrix solver options Upstream Weighting (UPW) Replaces the LPF and/or BCF packages and contains the input required for internal flow calculations Flow Transfer Link File (LMT) Used by MTDMS to obtain the location, type, and flow rates of all sources and sinks simulated in the flow model MT3DMS Input Package Description Flow Transfer Link File (FTL) Reads the LMT file produced by MODFLOW Basic Transport Package (BTN) Reads the MODFLOW data used for transport simulations and contains transport options and parameters Advection (ADV) Reads and solves the selected advection term Dispersion (DSP) Reads and solves the dispersion using the explicit finite- difference formulation Source and Sink Mixing (SSM) Reads and solves the concentration change due to sink/source mixing using the explicit finite-difference formulation Chemical Reaction (RCT) Reads and solves the concentration change due to chemical reactions using the explicit finite-difference formulation Generalized Conjugate Gradient (GCG) Solver Solves the matrix equations resulting from the implicit solution of the transport equation Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 2 Model Hydraulic Conductivity Model Layer Hydrostrati- graphic Unit Measured Value Range1 Calibrated Model Value Horizontal Hydraulic Conductivity (ft/day) Horizontal Hydraulic Conductivity (ft/day) Vertical Hydraulic Conductivity (ft/day) 1 - 4 Ash 17.13 - 0.59 2.000 0.900 2 - 4 Dike 0.41 - 0.04 0.003 0.003 5 - 6 M1 7.45 – 0.15 Z-18 0.110 0.100 Z-20 0.200 0.100 Z-21 0.400 0.200 Z-24 0.568 0.057 Z-30 1.000 1.000 Z-36 3.000 1.000 7 M2 6.42 – 0.09 Z-8 0.030 0.030 Z-19 0.110 0.100 Z-21 0.400 0.200 Z-24 0.568 0.057 Z-27 0.750 0.500 Z-34 2.000 1.000 Z-35 2.000 0.200 Z-37 5.000 0.600 8 Transition Zone 49.6 - 0.02 Z-23 0.500 0.200 Z-28 0.800 0.300 Z-31 1.500 0.600 9 – 10 Bedrock 1.23 - < 0.002 Z-2 0.003 0.003 Z-12 0.050 0.005 Z-26 0.600 0.060 1Range = geometric mean +/- one standard deviation (see CSA Report Tables 11-7 to 11-11) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 3 Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head Well Name Model Layer Observed Hydraulic Head (ft MSL) Predicted Hydraulic Head (ft MSL) Residual (ft) AB-7S 4 714.18 711.27 2.91 C-1S 4 653.31 656.06 -2.75 AB-8S 5 656.54 654.30 2.24 AS-1S 5 678.16 678.23 -0.07 AS-2S 5 694.09 695.08 -0.99 AS-3S 5 713.24 707.65 5.59 AS-3SA 5 713.01 707.62 5.39 C-2S 5 656.34 659.20 -2.86 GWA-10S 5 643.83 646.55 -2.72 GWA-22S 5 713.28 705.81 7.47 GWA-23S 5 705.93 703.92 2.01 GWA-4S 5 671.45 677.70 -6.25 GWA-5S 5 710.28 710.75 -0.47 GWA-6S 5 715.44 710.36 5.08 GWA-7S 5 670.07 664.56 5.51 GWA-8S 5 671.35 659.45 11.90 GWA-9S 5 648.23 651.18 -2.95 AB-7I 6 713.43 707.96 5.47 AS-3D 6 712.53 706.83 5.70 GWA-1S 6 661.09 656.71 4.38 GWA-2S 6 645.12 650.33 -5.21 GWA-3S 6 646.22 646.93 -0.71 GWA-3SA 6 645.22 646.81 -1.59 AB-2D 7 678.98 658.00 20.98 AB-7D 7 713.23 706.70 6.53 AB-8D 7 658.43 656.04 2.39 C-2D 7 653.46 657.99 -4.53 GWA-22D 7 708.80 704.34 4.46 GWA-3D 7 645.55 646.78 -1.23 GWA-4D 7 671.25 676.93 -5.68 GWA-6D 7 714.75 709.79 4.96 GWA-7D 7 670.83 664.75 6.08 GWA-9D 7 653.77 651.37 2.40 AB-3D 8 700.26 693.05 7.21 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 3. Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head (continued) Well Name Model Layer Observed Hydraulic Head (ft MSL) Predicted Hydraulic Head (ft MSL) Residual (ft) AB-5D 8 677.04 682.45 -5.41 AS-1D 8 675.37 679.11 -3.74 AS-2D 8 695.48 693.42 2.06 GWA-23D 8 704.85 701.64 3.21 GWA-8D 8 671.07 659.42 11.65 MW-15D 8 643.72 646.23 -2.51 MW-9D 8 647.92 648.19 -0.27 AB-4D 9 703.00 692.04 10.96 AB-6BRU 9 663.60 670.44 -6.84 GWA-10D 9 643.89 645.83 -1.94 GWA-1D 9 662.06 656.43 5.63 GWA-23BR 9 703.22 701.22 2.00 GWA-7BR 9 670.98 666.66 4.32 MW-15BR 9 643.83 645.82 -1.99 MW-7BR 9 711.72 704.55 7.17 MW-9BR 9 648.68 648.09 0.59 GWA-2BR 10 645.22 652.26 -7.04 SSE 1727.13 Max 715.44 OBS 51 Min 643.72 RMS 5.82 Max-Min 71.72 NRMSE 0.0811 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 4 Flow Parameter Sensitivity Analysis Parameter Calibrated Calibrated +20% Calibrated -20% NRMSR (Head) (ft) NRMSR (Head) (ft) % NRMSR (Head) (ft) % Shallow Zone Kh 0.0810 0.1040 28.40 0.0760 -6.17 Shallow Zone Kv 0.0810 0.00 0.0810 0.00 Transition Zone Kh 0.0880 8.64 0.0760 -6.17 Transition Zone Kv 0.0810 0.00 0.0810 0.00 Recharge ex. ash basin 0.0800 -1.23 0.1050 29.63 Recharge ash basin 0.0700 -13.58 0.1080 33.33 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Antimony Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 1 - 22 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 1 – 10 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 1 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 12 ml/g AB-1D 6.3 1.46 AB-1S 3.2 4.19 AB-2D 1 1.82 AB-2S 3.1 3.15 AB-3BR 0 1 AB-3D 0.22 1 AB-4D 1.2 1 AB-5D 1.2 1.19 AB-6BRU 0.32 1.1 AB-6S 1.8 3 AB-7D 7.5 1.42 AB-7I 1 4.29 AB-8D 0 1 AB-8S 0 1 AS-1D 3 1 AS-1S 0.26 1 AS-2D 1 1 AS-2S 0.21 1 AS-3D 1.6 1.93 C-2D 0 1 C-2S 0 1 GWA-10D 1.1 1 GWA-10S 0.5 1.19 GWA-1D 3.2 0.99 GWA-1S 0.28 0.97 GWA-20D 0 1 GWA-20S 0.22 1 GWA-22D 1.4 1 GWA-22S 2.2 1 GWA-23BR 0 1 GWA-23D 0 1 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Antimony (cont.) GWA-23S 0.24 1 GWA-2BR 0.24 1 GWA-2S 0 0.98 GWA-3D 0 0.97 GWA-3SA 0.77 0.97 GWA-3SA 0.77 0.97 GWA-4D 0 1 GWA-4S 0 0.97 GWA-5D 0 1 GWA-6D 0.25 1 GWA-6D 0.25 1 GWA-7BR 0.96 1 GWA-7D 0.17 1 GWA-7S 0 0.98 GWA-8D 0 1 GWA-8S 0 0.98 GWA-8S 0 0.98 GWA-9BR 4.5 1.35 GWA-9D 0.5 2.07 GWA-9S 0.5 2.53 MW-11DR 0.59 0.98 MW-15BR 0.25 1 MW-15D 0.74 1 MW-1S 0.5 1 MW-2D 0.5 1 MW-3D 0.5 1.12 MW-3S 0.5 1.47 MW-4D 0 1.23 MW-5D 0 1.34 MW-5S 0 2.48 MW-6D 0 2.57 MW-6S 0 3.88 MW-7BR 0.86 1 MW-8D 0.21 1 MW-8S 0.83 1 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Antimony (cont.) MW-9BR 2.3 1 MW-9D 2.7 1 Arsenic Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 1 - 25 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 1 – 1.5 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 1 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 250 ml/g GWA-9BR 10.70 1.00 GWA-20S 3.30 1.00 AB-7D 2.20 1.00 AS-1S 1.40 1.50 GWA-2BR 1.30 1.00 C-2D 1.30 1.00 MW-15D 1.00 1.00 GWA-6D 1.00 1.00 GWA-6D 1.00 1.00 AS-3D 0.97 1.00 GWA-5D 0.96 1.00 C-2S 0.95 1.00 GWA-1D 0.93 1.00 GWA-22D 0.91 1.00 GWA-23D 0.90 1.00 AB-1D 0.84 1.00 AB-6S 0.82 25.00 MW-15BR 0.78 1.00 AB-2D 0.72 1.04 MW-9BR 0.69 1.00 AS-1D 0.68 1.00 AS-2D 0.66 1.00 GWA-3D 0.65 1.00 AB-4D 0.65 1.00 GWA-20D 0.64 1.00 AB-3D 0.49 1.00 GWA-7D 0.48 1.00 AS-2S 0.42 1.00 MW-8D 0.32 1.00 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Arsenic (cont.) GWA-10D 0.29 1.00 GWA-7BR 0.29 1.00 MW-9D 0.28 1.00 GWA-2S 0.28 1.00 GWA-23BR 0.28 1.00 AB-5D 0.25 1.00 AB-6BRU 0.24 1.00 GWA-3SA 0.23 1.00 GWA-3SA 0.23 1.00 MW-7BR 0.23 1.00 GWA-4D 0.22 1.00 AB-2S 0.20 2.29 GWA-7S 0.20 1.00 AB-8D 0.17 1.00 AB-1S 0.17 2.83 GWA-9D 0.13 1.00 GWA-4S 0.00 1.00 MW-1S 0.00 1.00 GWA-23S 0.00 1.00 MW-8S 0.00 1.00 AB-8S 0.00 1.00 GWA-22S 0.00 1.00 MW-11DR 0.00 1.00 GWA-1S 0.00 0.99 MW-2D 0.00 1.00 MW-3D 0.00 1.00 MW-3S 0.00 1.00 AB-7I 0.00 1.22 GWA-10S 0.00 1.00 MW-4D 0.00 1.00 MW-5D 0.00 1.00 MW-5S 0.00 1.01 MW-6D 0.00 1.03 MW-6S 0.00 2.59 GWA-9S 0.00 1.18 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Arsenic (cont.) GWA-8S 0.00 1.00 GWA-8S 0.00 1.00 GWA-8D 0.00 1.00 Boron Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 200 – 2,400 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 300 – 2,200 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 200 - 300 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 2 ml/g AB-5SL 2,400.00 2,400.00 AB-6S 45.00 742.34 AB-7S 320.00 300.00 C-1S 300.00 200.00 AB-8S 220.00 289.13 AS-1S 2,200.00 2,200.00 AS-2S 0.00 300.00 C-2S 170.00 200.00 GWA-10S 170.00 190.05 GWA-22S 0.00 55.75 GWA-23S 0.00 165.65 GWA-4S 0.00 47.09 GWA-7S 0.00 46.88 GWA-8S 240.00 132.72 GWA-9S 200.00 233.34 AB-1S 0.00 295.58 AB-2S 0.00 248.89 AB-7I 0.00 169.49 AS-3D 27.00 154.20 GWA-1S 0.00 45.23 GWA-2S 460.00 122.27 GWA-3SA 0.00 67.32 MW-1S 300.00 257.53 MW-3S 260.00 194.82 MW-5S 330.00 243.79 MW-6S 230.00 267.01 MW-8S 0.00 49.51 AB-2D 160.00 215.11 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Boron (cont.) AB-7D 0.00 105.19 AB-8D 440.00 260.84 C-2D 0.00 137.28 GWA-20S 0.00 50.04 GWA-22D 0.00 50.51 GWA-3D 34.00 68.00 GWA-4D 0.00 49.80 GWA-6D 0.00 49.45 GWA-7D 0.00 48.23 GWA-9D 260.00 225.14 AB-1D 65.00 220.11 AB-3D 0.00 121.29 AB-5D 150.00 1,291.64 AS-1D 0.00 607.41 AS-2D 28.00 79.85 GWA-20D 0.00 50.11 GWA-23D 0.00 50.68 GWA-5D 0.00 49.91 GWA-8D 110.00 117.82 MW-15D 170.00 47.44 MW-2D 0.00 51.38 MW-3D 260.00 156.94 MW-4D 270.00 259.49 MW-5D 380.00 190.22 MW-6D 320.00 247.54 MW-8D 0.00 50.01 MW-9D 0.00 69.70 AB-3BR 0.00 109.56 AB-4D 0.00 55.65 AB-6BRU 480.00 939.04 GWA-10D 140.00 103.08 GWA-1D 33.00 46.63 GWA-22BR-A 0.00 50.06 GWA-23BR 0.00 50.23 GWA-7BR 0.00 49.37 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Boron (cont.) GWA-9BR 210.00 208.44 MW-11DR 320.00 45.84 MW-15BR 260.00 48.15 MW-7BR 0.00 49.84 MW-9BR 0.00 55.68 GWA-2BR 0.00 96.07 Chromium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 4 - 50 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 25 - 45 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 25 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 15 ml/g AS-1D 903 5.39 GWA-20D 186 5 GWA-22D 174 5 GWA-20S 133 5 GWA-23D 55 5 AB-3D 51 5.95 AB-1D 49.2 5 AS-2S 44.8 45 GWA-9BR 40.6 5.09 MW-9D 27 5 GWA-6D 24.8 5 GWA-6D 24.8 5 AB-7D 24.7 5.28 MW-7BR 24.7 5 GWA-5D 24.5 5 AS-3D 23.5 8.35 AS-2D 22.5 5.07 GWA-23BR 15.6 5 AB-2D 13 5.91 GWA-1S 11.6 4.87 GWA-2BR 7.4 5 AB-4D 7.4 5 GWA-8S 6.4 5.05 AS-1S 6.1 25 GWA-1D 6.1 4.98 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Chromium (cont.) GWA-10D 6.1 5 GWA-7BR 5.8 5 AB-5D 5.3 7.91 MW-15BR 4.9 5 GWA-8D 4.2 5.01 MW-8D 4.1 5 MW-9BR 4 5 AB-8S 3.8 4.23 GWA-7S 3.8 4.9 MW-2D 3.6 5 MW-15D 3.5 4.98 GWA-10S 3.5 4.93 GWA-7D 3.3 4.99 GWA-23S 3.2 8.92 GWA-2S 2.8 4.94 MW-5D 2.7 5 C-2D 2.5 6.61 MW-11DR 2.5 4.94 AB-2S 2.5 6 AB-6BRU 2.4 6.36 GWA-4D 2.1 5 GWA-4S 2.1 4.87 GWA-22S 1.9 4.85 MW-6D 1.9 5.06 AB-1S 1.8 5 MW-5S 1.7 4.97 MW-3D 1.7 4.99 AB-8D 1.4 4.61 MW-4D 1.4 5 AB-6S 1.2 50 GWA-3D 1.1 5.03 AB-7I 0.9 7.6 MW-8S 0.71 5 C-2S 0.64 25 MW-1S 0.57 4.53 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Chromium (cont.) GWA-3SA 0.53 5 GWA-3SA 0.53 5 MW-6S 0.5 5.15 MW-3S 0.44 4.96 GWA-9D 0.39 5.58 GWA-9S 0.32 5.73 Cobalt Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 3 - 70 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 13 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 13 - 15 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 2 ml/g AB-5SL 0.25 13 AB-6S 0.31 13 C-1S 102 15 AB-8S 0.55 12.99 AS-1S 5.4 13 AS-2S 12.4 13 C-2S 39.7 15 GWA-10S 10 9.55 GWA-22S 1.3 2.66 GWA-23S 3.3 7.99 GWA-4S 1.7 1.16 GWA-7S 1 2.37 GWA-8S 66.8 52.49 GWA-9S 50.1 46.15 AB-1S 15.9 14.96 AB-2S 17.1 45.41 AB-7I 1.6 2.53 AS-3D 0.16 10.11 GWA-1S 2.1 0.72 GWA-2S 0.34 9.77 GWA-3SA 18.4 7.2 MW-1S 61 42.92 MW-3S 0.14 8.3 MW-5S 1.9 14.84 MW-6S 0.2 27.93 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Cobalt (cont.) MW-8S 0.23 1.62 AB-2D 0.15 43.13 AB-7D 0.5 2.29 AB-8D 0.73 12.9 C-2D 0.5 13.61 GWA-20S 12.7 1.36 GWA-22D 3.4 1.67 GWA-3D 1.1 7.15 GWA-4D 0.52 1.19 GWA-6D 0.3 0.88 GWA-7D 0.63 2.2 GWA-9D 0.58 47.79 AB-1D 2.9 14.79 AB-3D 0.18 9.05 AB-5D 0.5 11.7 AS-1D 0.18 9.66 AS-2D 0.2 7.18 GWA-20D 1.9 1.44 GWA-23D 0.5 1.85 GWA-5D 0.21 0.96 GWA-8D 0.7 52.64 MW-15D 0.5 0.86 MW-2D 0.14 3.06 MW-3D 0.5 7.98 MW-4D 0.67 14.4 MW-5D 0.24 14.76 MW-6D 0.5 29.17 MW-8D 1.1 1.14 MW-9D 0.5 11.36 AB-3BR 1.64 8.7 AB-4D 0.18 6.92 AB-6BRU 1.8 13.9 GWA-10D 0.19 8.36 GWA-1D 0.55 0.74 GWA-22BR 1 1.38 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Cobalt (cont.) GWA-23BR 0.5 1.67 GWA-7BR 0.5 2.05 GWA-9BR 0.75 46.61 MW-11DR 0.5 0.74 MW-15BR 0.5 0.87 MW-7BR 0.5 0.92 MW-9BR 0.5 9.57 GWA-2BR 0.5 9.66 Hexavalent Chromium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.07 - 66 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 5 - 66 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 5 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 2 ml/g C-2D 2.53 3.04 C-2S 0.27 5 GWA-6D 20.6 0.07 MW-11DR 1.68 0.06 MW-9BR 4.2 2.52 MW-9D 22.1 8.48 Sulfate Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 1,000 – 60,000 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 5,000 – 230,000 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 60,000 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = no sorption AB-1D 22,800 30,166 AB-1S 690 30,083 AB-2D 22,700 38,154 AB-2S 1,000 35,147 AB-3D 144,000 125,850 AB-4D 13,100 33,824 AB-5D 56,300 58,690 AB-6BRU 83,500 52,148 AB-6S 15,700 60,000 AB-7D 46,500 31,279 AB-7I 6,300 34,258 AB-8D 136,000 125,324 AB-8S 132,000 134,753 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Sulfate (cont.) AS-1D 21,300 199,363 AS-1S 231,000 230,000 AS-2D 26,000 10,367 AS-2S 5,200 5,000 AS-3D 18,000 18,828 C-2D 1,900 113,016 C-2S 60,400 60,000 GWA-10D 25,900 21,120 GWA-10S 31,000 21,700 GWA-1D 8,700 1,936 GWA-1S 0 1,949 GWA-20D 376,000 28,160 GWA-20S 980 21,423 GWA-22D 23,500 4,663 GWA-22S 0 2,835 GWA-23BR 18,000 4,789 GWA-23D 10,600 4,840 GWA-23S 0 3,828 GWA-2BR 39,500 1,619 GWA-2S 36,100 1,609 GWA-3D 1,310,000 49,689 GWA-3SA 1,420,000 49,414 GWA-4D 4,400 38,885 GWA-4S 84,700 36,063 GWA-5D 5,000 1,542 GWA-6D 15,500 1,409 GWA-7BR 21,500 12,734 GWA-7D 32,300 12,006 GWA-7S 530 11,886 GWA-8D 23,800 36,026 GWA-8S 36,000 35,758 GWA-9D 33,200 33,657 GWA-9S 26,500 33,183 MW-11DR 36,000 1,365 MW-15BR 39,500 3,645 MW-15D 40,100 3,659 MW-1S 1,200 9,708 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Sulfate (cont.) MW-2D 720 4,293 MW-3D 26,700 18,974 MW-3S 29,900 18,959 MW-4D 30,900 29,472 MW-5D 44,600 29,533 MW-5S 10,200 29,488 MW-6D 34,600 31,231 MW-6S 36,700 31,082 MW-7BR 7,200 1,396 MW-8D 0 3,467 MW-8S 580 2,355 MW-9BR 18,000 59,743 MW-9D 27,600 58,751 Thallium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.48 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 0.2 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 0.2 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 73 ml/g AB-5SL 0.04 0.48 C-1S 0.06 0.48 AB-8S 0.02 0.38 AS-1S 0.08 0.2 AS-2S 0.11 0.2 C-2S 0.09 0.2 GWA-10S 0 0.2 GWA-22S 0.02 0.2 GWA-23S 0 0.2 GWA-4S 0 0.2 GWA-7S 0 0.2 GWA-8S 0.03 0.2 GWA-9S 0.04 0.22 AB-1S 0 0.26 AB-2S 0.07 0.25 AB-7I 0.05 0.21 AS-3D 0 0.2 GWA-1S 0 0.2 GWA-3SA 0 0.2 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Thallium (cont.) MW-1S 0 0.28 MW-3S 0 0.2 MW-5S 0 0.2 MW-6S 0 0.27 MW-8S 0.03 0.2 AB-2D 0.06 0.2 AB-7D 0 0.2 AB-8D 0 0.23 C-2D 0 0.2 GWA-20S 0.09 0.2 GWA-22D 0 0.2 GWA-3D 0 0.2 GWA-4D 0 0.2 GWA-6D 0 0.2 GWA-7D 0.02 0.2 GWA-9D 0 0.2 AB-1D 0.06 0.2 AB-3D 0.03 0.2 AB-5D 0 0.2 AS-1D 0 0.2 AS-2D 0 0.2 GWA-20D 3.2 0.2 GWA-23D 0 0.2 GWA-5D 0 0.2 GWA-8D 0 0.2 MW-15D 0 0.2 MW-2D 0 0.2 MW-3D 0 0.2 MW-4D 0 0.2 MW-5D 0 0.2 MW-6D 0 0.21 MW-8D 0 0.2 MW-9D 0 0.2 AB-3BR 0 0.2 AB-4D 0 0.2 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Thallium (cont.) AB-6BRU 0 0.2 GWA-10D 0 0.2 GWA-1D 0 0.2 GWA-22BR 0 0.2 GWA-23BR 0.08 0.2 GWA-7BR 0 0.2 GWA-9BR 0 0.2 MW-11DR 0 0.2 MW-7BR 0.06 0.2 MW-9BR 0.02 0.2 GWA-2BR 0 0.2 Vanadium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 5 - 200 µg/l Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 50 - 200 µg/l Cinder Storage Area Concentration Range = 50 µg/l Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 15 ml/g AB-5SL 151 200 AB-6S 25.2 200 C-1S 4 50 AB-8S 0.79 4.56 AS-1S 1.6 50 AS-2S 3.9 50 C-2S 0.52 50 GWA-10S 0.62 1.79 GWA-22S 0 0.95 GWA-23S 0 10.77 GWA-4S 0.84 0.88 GWA-7S 3.5 0.88 GWA-8S 0 2.09 GWA-9S 0.52 18.3 AB-1S 1.8 21.01 AB-2S 3.8 24.22 AB-7I 0 26.79 AS-3D 18.2 17.51 GWA-1S 7.9 0.88 GWA-2S 2.3 1.05 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Vanadium (cont.) GWA-3SA 1.3 1.18 MW-1S 0 3.7 MW-3S 0.6 3.45 MW-5S 0 9.29 MW-6S 0.35 21.02 MW-8S 0.32 0.9 AB-2D 32.4 14.11 AB-7D 40.5 3.64 AB-8D 2.7 3.03 C-2D 10.9 4.84 GWA-20S 23 0.9 GWA-22D 18.5 0.9 GWA-3D 4.6 1.23 GWA-4D 2.4 0.9 GWA-6D 28 0.9 GWA-7D 12.1 0.9 GWA-9D 2.8 13.25 AB-1D 20 2.98 AB-3D 11.5 5.12 AB-5D 12.5 13.77 AS-1D 14.4 1.85 AS-2D 34.6 0.99 GWA-20D 2.1 0.9 GWA-23D 34.1 0.9 GWA-5D 13.9 0.9 GWA-8D 5.5 1.15 MW-15D 22.4 0.9 MW-2D 4.7 0.9 MW-3D 6.2 1.42 MW-4D 1.1 1.87 MW-5D 8.6 2.3 MW-6D 3.8 10.82 MW-8D 4.1 0.9 MW-9D 12.8 0.9 AB-3BR 32.1 1.77 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 5 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (µg/L) Predicted Concentration (µg/L) Vanadium (cont.) AB-4D 24 0.9 AB-6BRU 18.6 6.97 GWA-10D 6.8 0.9 GWA-1D 21 0.9 GWA-22BR 4.33 0.9 GWA-23BR 5.3 0.9 GWA-7BR 10.9 0.9 GWA-9BR 67.5 3.44 MW-11DR 2.1 0.89 MW-15BR 2.2 0.9 MW-7BR 2.1 0.9 MW-9BR 7.8 0.9 GWA-2BR 11.8 0.9 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Predicted Advective Travel Times Groundwater Zone Monitoring Well Predicted Advective Travel Time to Model Boundary (days)1 Shallow MW-21S 110 AB-30S 168 MW-10 117 MW-9S 52 GWA-11S 544 GWA-10S 604 GWA-9S 2,157 Deep MW-21D 118 AB-30D 8 MW-10D 3 MW-9D 5 GWA-11D 68 GWA-10D 48 GWA-9D 426 Bedrock MW-9BR 153 GWA-2BR 58 GWA-23D 470 MW-7BR 7,125 GWA-7BR 384 1Computed travel time over 3D flow path using flow terms from the groundwater flow model Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figures Figure 1 Conceptual Groundwater Flow Model/Model Domain Figure 2 Model Domain North-South Cross Section (A-A’) Through Primary and Secondary Ash Basins Figure 3 Model Domain East-West Cross Section (B-B’) Through Primary and Secondary Ash Basins Figure 4 Numerical Model Boundary Conditions Figure 5 Model Recharge and Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells Figure 6 Observation Wells in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 7 Observation Wells in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 8 Observation Wells in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 9 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in S/M1 Layers (Model Layers 5-6) Figure 10 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in M2 Layers (Model Layer 7) Figure 11 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in Transition Zone Layers (Model Layer 8) Figure 12 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in Bedrock Layers (Model Layers 9-10) Figure 13 Hydraulic Head (feet) in M1 Layer (Model Layer 6) Figure 14 Particle Tracking Results Figure 15 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 16 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 17 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 18 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 19 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 20 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 21 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 22 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 23 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 24 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 25 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 26 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 27 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 28 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 29 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 30 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 31 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 32 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 33 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 34 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 35 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 36 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 37 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 38 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 39 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 40 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 41 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 42 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 43 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 44 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 45 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 46 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 47 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 48 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 49 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 50 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 51 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 52 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 53 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 54 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 55 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 56 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 57 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 58 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 59 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 60 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 61 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 62 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 63 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 64 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 65 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 66 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 67 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 68 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 69 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 70 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 71 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 72 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 73 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 74 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 75 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-9D Figure 76 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 77 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 78 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 79 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 80 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 81 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 82 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 83 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 84 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 85 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 86 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-5S 3 Figure 87 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 88 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 89 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 90 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 91 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 92 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 93 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 94 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 95 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 96 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 97 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 98 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 99 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 100 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 101 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 102 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 103 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 104 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 105 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 106 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 107 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 108 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 109 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Figure 110 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Figure 111 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Figure 112 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 113 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 114 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 115 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 116 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 117 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 118 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 119 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 120 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 121 Water Level Drawdown at Hypothetical Pumping Wells between Ash Basin Waste Boundary and Mountain Island Lake Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 1 Conceptual Groundwater Flow Model/Model Domain Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 2 Model Domain North-South Cross Section (A-A’) Through Primary and Secondary Ash Basins Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 3 Model Domain East-West Cross Section (B-B’) Through Primary and Secondary Ash Basins Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 4 Numerical Model Boundary Conditions Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 5 Model Recharge and Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 6 Observation Wells in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 7 Observation Wells in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 8 Observation Wells in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 9 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in S/M1 Layers (Model Layers 5-6) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 10 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in M2 Layers (Model Layer 7) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 11 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in Transition Zone Layers (Model Layer 8) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 12 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in Bedrock Layers (Model Layers 9-10) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 13 Hydraulic Head (feet) in M1 Layer (Model Layer 6) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 14 Particle Tracking Results Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 15 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 16 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-5S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 17 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 18 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 19 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 20 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 21 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 22 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 23 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 24 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 25 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 26 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Antimony in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 27 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 28 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-5S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin . Figure 29 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 30 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 31 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 32 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 33 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 34 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 35 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 36 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 37 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 38 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Arsenic in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 1 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 39 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 40 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-5S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 41 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 42 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 43 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 44 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 45 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 46 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 47 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 48 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 49 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 50 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Boron in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 50 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 51 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 52 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 53 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 54 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 55 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 56 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 57 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 58 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 59 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 60 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 61 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 62 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 µg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 63 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 64 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-5S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 65 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 66 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 67 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 68 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 69 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 70 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 71 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 72 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 73 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 74 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Cobalt in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 75 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-9D Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 76 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 77 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 78 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 79 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 80 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 81 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 82 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 83 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 84 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 µg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 0.089 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 85 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 86 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-5S 3 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 87 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 88 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 89 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 90 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 91 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 92 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 93 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 94 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 95 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 96 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Sulfate in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 970 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 97 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 98 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 99 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 100 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 101 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 102 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 103 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 104 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 105 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 106 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 107 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 108 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Thallium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 µg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.2 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 109 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-3S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 110 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-5S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 111 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 112 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 113 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 114 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 115 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 116 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 117 Existing Conditions Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 118 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 119 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 120 Excavation Scenario - 2115 Predicted Vanadium in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Riverbend Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 121 Water Level Drawdown at Hypothetical Pumping Wells between Ash Basin Waste Boundary and Mountain Island Lake Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 29.9 µg/L