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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNC0005088_Draft Renewal Comments_20161114SOUTHERN ENVIRONMENTAL LAW CENTER Telephone 828-258-2023 22 SOUTH PACK SQUARE. SUITE 700 Facsimile 828-258-2024 ASHEVILLE. NC 28801-3494 November 10, 2016 VIA EMAIL AND U.S. MAIL Wastewater Permitting Attn: Rogers Energy Complex 1617 Mail Service Center Raleigh, N.C., 27699-1617 jay.zimmerman@ncdenr.gov publiccomments@ncdenr.gov RECEtvED/NCDEQ/DWR NOV 14 2016 Water Quanty NIMitting Section Re: Draft NPDES Permit — Cliffside Steam Station, Rogers Energy Complex, #NC0005088 Dear Mr. Zimmerman: On behalf of MountainTrue, we submit the following comments on the draft renewal National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System ("NPDES") permit noticed for public comment by the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality ("DEQ") Division of Water Resources for Duke Energy's discharge of pollution from its Cliffside Steam Station ("Cliffside"). MountainTrue is a nonprofit organization dedicated to protecting streams, rivers, and groundwater from contamination. MountainTrue has members that use the Broad River for recreation, business, or educational purposes and that rely on groundwater as a source of drinking water, including groundwater in close proximity to the Cliffside plant. MountainTrue also works with its affiliate, the Broad River Alliance, in advocating for cleaner water, awareness and education of the Broad River, improved access, and broadened recreational opportunities within the Broad River Basin. For years, MountainTrue has advocated in the courts and public arena for proper cleanup and remediation of Duke Energy's unlined, leaking coal ash impoundments, including those at the Cliffside plant. Duke Energy's three unlined surface impoundments sprawl across 144 acres and contain a combined 7.8 million tons of coal ash.' EPA's recently published Effluent Limitation Guidelines ("BLG") rightly recognizes such "surface impoundments ... are largely ineffective at controlling discharges of toxic pollutants and nutrients." 80 Fed. Reg. 67838, 67840 (Nov. 3, 2015). Duke Energy's Cliffside plant is not different. The Broad River, which wraps around the northern perimeter of all three coal ash basins, is the eventual recipient of unlawful leaks and seeps emerging from the antiquated ash basins. Although Duke Energy plans to fully excavate only the smallest basin (Units 1-4 inactive) and remove it to the existing lined landfill on site, it 'See Duke Energy Ash Basin Metrics, h!Ltps://www.duke- energy.com/ /media/41f7548d440b45c98a8e96934b8cfae2.ashx (updated June 2, 2016). Charlottesville • Chapel Hill • Atlanta • Asheville a Birmingham • Charleston • Nashville • Richmond • Washington. DC 100% recycled paper intends to leave in place the two largest basins, where its own studies show the ash will remain submerged below the groundwater table. Duke Energy's models predict the ash basins will leach pollutants into groundwater, streams, and wetlands for centuries. On August 16, 2013, DEQ filed a verified complaint with the Mecklenburg County Superior Court in which DEQ itself stated that Duke's unpermitted discharges to the Broad River violate state law and that "without ... taking corrective action," they "pose[] a serious danger to the health, safety and welfare of the people of the State of North Carolina and serious harm to the water resources of the State." Verified Complaint & Motion for Injunctive Relief, State of North Carolina ex rel. N.C. DENR, DWQ v. Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, No. 13 CVS 14661 (Mecklenburg Co., May 24, 2013), ¶ 197.2 Over three years have passed since DEQ asked the court to enter a permanent injunction requiring Duke to "abate the violations" at its leaky ash basins at Cliffside in the enforcement suit, to which MountainTrue is also a party. To this day, the massive coal ash basins at the Cliffside plant continue to leak pollutants into groundwater, streams, and the Broad River. Instead of requiring compliance with the CWA, DEQ attempts through this draft permit to legitimate the antiquated ash basins with a novel permitting scheme that would give a failing wastewater treatment system permission to pollute through leaks and would convert streams and wetlands into disposal areas. DEQ does not enjoy unfettered discretion to simply give Duke a license to pollute as it wishes, but rather, is constrained to meet certain minimum requirements of the CWA.3 The permit, as currently proposed, violates the federal Clean Water Act and state law in many ways, including: • Converting natural streams and wetlands into Duke Energy's private "Effluent Channels" to convey pollution; • Ignoring unlimited discharges of pollution from the coal ash basins through hydrologically connected discharges to Suck Creek, the Broad River, and adjacent wetlands and streams; • Issuing a permit to pollute where water quality standards are already violated in Suck Creek and where waters are classified as protected critical areas; • Failing to develop water quality based effluent limitations that cover all point source discharges and protect the streams and wetlands actually receiving the polluted discharges; • Allowing unlimited discharges of pollutants like cadmium, selenium, arsenic, and many more, by flouting the requirement to set technology-based effluent limitations for discharged pollutants; 2 DEQ's complaint is available for download at https:Hdeq.nc.gov/news/hot-topics/coal-ash-nc/coal-ash- enforcement. 3 The State of North Carolina administers the State's NPDES permitting program, pursuant to authority delegated to it from the EPA. See 33 U.S.C. § 1342(b). 2 • Giving Duke a free pass to delay in complying with new limits in federal effluent guidelines; • Neglecting to define a compliance boundary around the active basin that stops Duke Energy from co-opting the Broad River into its wastewater treatment; and • Purporting to grant Duke Energy an enormous, and unjustifiable, mixing zone throughout a 12 -mile stretch of the Broad River to meet the standard for temperature with its thermal discharge, instead of requiring compliance at the point of discharge. For all of these reasons, which are explained more thoroughly below, DEQ must withdraw the defective permit and reissue for public comment a revised permit. 1) DEQ's Proposed Approach for Permitting Seepage from the Ash Basins Violates the Clean Water Act. DEQ's draft permit is the agency's latest effort to find a way to deal with Duke Energy's ash basins which are indisputably leaking coal ash pollutants into streams and the Broad River. Holding fast to its multi-year reluctance to actually require Duke Energy to eliminate these unplanned discharges and releases, DEQ tries in this draft permit to legitimate most seepage through a paper exercise. Like earlier proposals, this draft permit falls far short of achieving compliance with the law and does not require Duke Energy to stop its polluted seepage. Duke Energy reported 35 seeps "surrounding the active and inactive ash basins" at Cliffside. NCDEQ, Fact Sheet for NPDES Permit Development, NPDES No. NC0005088, at 8 [hereinafter "Permit Fact Sheet"]. Pollutants like arsenic, barium, beryllium, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, sulfate, total dissolved solids, thallium, and vanadium escape through seeps around the ClifM& plant, according to Duke Energy's own sampling. MountainTrue's sampling of seeps flowing towards the Broad River has similarly revealed numerous pollutants escaping from Duke Energy's coal ash basins. DEQ proposes to turn the majority of these seeps into effluent channels, even if the channels themselves are streams or emerge from wetlands. See Permit Fact Sheet at 8-9 & Table 8 (designating 21 seeps as effluent channels). The sum effect of DEQ's proposal is to authorize a wastewater treatment facility (the ash basins) to discharge through numerous leaks and seeps, rather than require them to contain the coal ash contamination they were ostensibly designed to hold. As to the remaining 14 seeps, DEQ proposes to ignore them altogether. In other words, DEQ proposes to "authorize" a leaking wastewater treatment facility, allowing coal ash polluted wastewater to escape through leaks and seeps instead of through the normal discharge. This defeats the purpose of the waste treatment system authorized by the permit. The basins ostensibly "treat" the waste streams they receive by settling in the basins. Water is discharged from the top of the basin via a riser system that leaves the more polluted wastewater and settled pollutants in the basin. If the basins are allowed to leak from their sides and bottom, this system is circumvented. 3 The discharge of water polluted with coal ash contaminants through seeps and leaks should not be permitted under the CWA, or else the entire purpose and function of the waste treatment system would be evaded. Instead, DEQ should require Duke Energy to stop the discharge of contaminated water by removing the source of contamination of those seeps—that is, the coal ash stored within the ash impoundments and submerged in groundwater at Cliffside plant should be removed and safely disposed of in dry, lined storage. The fact sheet alludes to this eventual outcome under a separate state process of closing the ash basins pursuant to the Coal Ash Management Act ("CAMA"): "the facility needs to dewater the ash pond by removing the interstitial water and excavate the ash to deposit it in landfills." Permit Fact Sheet at 5. Of course, if DEQ intends to follow through on requiring removal of the active ash basin, that would provide a legitimate means of abating polluted discharge under the CWA, and should be incorporated into this permit. As such, the dewatering and seep permitting would be instead "interim compliance measures" for the contemplated removal of ash. As written, however, the permit instead puts no end-point on pollution escaping through seepage, which is impermissible. A. Permitting Waters of the United States as "Effluent Channels" Violates the Clean Water Act and North Carolina Law. DEQ's chief permitting strategy for seeps in the draft Cliffside permit is to bestow on them the new label "seep outfalls" and identify them as "effluent channels" which flow into "receiving streams." In fact, DEQ decides all 21 seeps it views in need of a permit are, coincidentally, also "effluent channels" to convey Duke Energy's polluted discharge. Permit Fact Sheet at 8-9; Rogers Energy Complex Draft NPDES Permit, Permit No. 0005088, Conditions (A) 7 to A (24) [hereinafter "Draft NPDES Permit"]. These seeps, however, appear to be jurisdictional waters and ineligible for designations as effluent channels. Duke Energy has identified seeps S-3 and S-6 as "tributaries of Broad River," for example, in its own Discharge Assessment Plan. See Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Discharge Assessment Plan, Cliffside Steam Station, at Table 1 & Fig. 2 (April 2016) [hereinafter "DAP"].4 Seep S-3 appears to be a stream discharging to the Broad River north of inactive units 1-4. See DAP at Fig. 2. Seep S-6 is located downgradient from the downstream dam of the active ash basin and coincides with historical Suck Creek discharge. See id. at Fig. 1; Comprehensive Site Assessment, Fig. 2-3.1.5 Several seeps along the active impoundment on Suck Creek (5-14, S- 15, 5-16, 5-21) and the Broad River (S-2, 5-17, 5-18, 5-19, S -19a) also coincide with wetlands identified by Duke Energy. See Corrective Action Plan, Part 1 ("CAP I"), Fig. 1-5. Duke Energy itself has conceded that the `Broad River" and "all tributaries of the Broad River" are jurisdictional "waters of the United States." See Joint Factual Statement, U.S. v. Duke Energy, 4 Available at DEQ's website at the following link: https://ncdenr.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs- public/Water%200uality/NPDES%20Coal%20Ash/Seep%20ID%20Plans/April l 6assessmentplans/Topo%20and%2 ODAP_Cliffside _04.29.2016 FINALxdf 5 The DAP and CSA also identified other continuously -flowing seeps as tributaries of the Broad River, like S-1 and S-8, that are not receiving permit coverage. Ignoring these seeps is also erroneous, as addressed below. For the CAP 2 sampling round (September 2015), the 2B standard for mercury was also exceeded at Seep S-1. In No. 5:15 -CR -62-H, No. 5:1 5 -CR -67-H, No. 5:15 -CR -68-H (E.D.N.C), ¶ 22.6 As jurisdictional waters, these seeps cannot be permitted as effluent channels. Seeps that are jurisdictional waters of the United States cannot themselves be permitted as effluent channels to convey pollutants to other jurisdictional waters.7 The CWA provides no mechanism to convert such jurisdictional waters into point source discharges. The CWA "requires permits for the discharge of `pollutants' from any `point source' into `waters of the United States."' 40 C.F.R. § 122.1(b)(1) (emphasis added). By definition, a "point source" cannot be a "water of the United States;" a point source conveys pollutants to a water of the United States. Coal ash and coal ash wastewater are pollutants regulated under the Clean Water Act. See Joint Factual Statement, ¶ 20. In theory, an "effluent channel" could be a type of point source, but only if that effluent channel is not a "water of the United States." See 33 U.S.C. § 1362(14) (defining point source as "any discernible, confined and discrete conveyance, including but not limited to ... [a] channel"). In sum, jurisdictional waters cannot be point sources; instead, water quality standards must be met in the jurisdictional waterbody, meaning in the so-called seep. North Carolina law incorporates the same foundational assumption—that a point source cannot be a water of the United States. "Effluent channel means a discernable confined and discrete conveyance which is used for transporting treated wastewater to a receiving stream or other body of water." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2B .0202 (emphasis added). Restated, an effluent channel conveys wastewater to a receiving stream or body of water, the effluent channel cannot itself be the receiving stream. But North Carolina law goes beyond the federal CWA by prohibiting designation of an effluent channel if that channel "contain[s] natural waters except when such waters occur in direct response to rainfall events by overland runoff." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2B.0228(2). "Natural waters" includes ground and surface waters. As with the CWA, North Carolina law prohibits designation of an effluent channel if that channel contains natural, jurisdictional surface waters. North Carolina law also prohibits designation of an effluent channel if that channel contains groundwater. In other words, an effluent channel can only be designated if that channel would be dry except during rainfall events and as a result of transporting waste water. The seeps identified by Duke Energy include both jurisdictional surface water tributaries and are influenced by natural groundwater, preventing their designation as "effluent channels." This approach cannot be implemented consistent with federal and state law. B. The CWA Prohibits Ignoring Point Source Discharizes. After proposing to authorize through a paper exercise most of the seeps identified by Duke Energy, DEQ elects to simply ignore the remaining 14 seeps. North Carolina cannot turn a blind eye to pollutant discharges, even if it turns out they do not violate water quality standards ("WQS"). DEQ's fact statement provides little insight into this decision, stating only that the 6 Available at https://www.duke-energy.com/ /media/34a6a9fO7c39463d99cdd060358b782b.ashx 7 Although Duke Energy seeks to have these tributaries and wetlands deemed effluent channels, by its own admission, "Duke Energy does not yet have jurisdictional determination from the US Army Corps of Engineers" as to whether these seeps constitute jurisdictional waters of the United States. See Letter from Harry Sideris to Jeff Poupart (April 26, 2016) (on file with DEQ). 5 seeps were excluded "based on the low concentration of the constituents associated with coal ash and/or absence of a discharge to `Waters of the State."' Permit Fact Sheet at 8. The statement itself conveys a fundamental misunderstanding about the CWA. To be clear, the CWA concerns itself with any point source pollutant discharges, not just with discharges of pollutants that rise to a level that DEQ views as problematic. "The term `discharge of a pollutant' ... means any addition of any pollutant to navigable waters from any point source." 33 U.S.C. § 1362(12) (emphasis added); 40 C.F.R. § 122.2. As recognized by the 4t' Circuit, the statute clearly covers all additions, "no matter how small." W. Va. Highlands Conservancy, Inc. v. Huffman, 625 F.3d 159, 166-67 (4th Cir. 2010). Therefore, "low concentrations" of coal ash constituents do not get a free pass under the CWA. In addition, DEQ appears to ignore conveyance of pollutants by short hydrological connections from groundwater to surface water. Duke Energy cannot circumvent the CWA, however, based on a seep disappearing at the creek's edge, for example, when it reconnects with the waterbody via a short hydrological connection. Duke Energy's description of several seeps appears to fit this scenario, e.g., S-25 ("Water emerges from ground, flows 30 feet toward the Broad River, and then enters a sand bank"), S-26 ("no discernible flow except for drainage at edge of bank"). See Letter from H. Sideris to J. Poupart (March 7, 2016) (NPDES application update, on file with DEQ). As further discussed below, Duke Energy's own studies show that the unlined basins are discharging pollutants through surface and groundwater into the Broad River and Suck Creek. DEQ cannot ignore seeps that are evidence of point source discharges via groundwater. In sum, it appears DEQ has ignored 14 seeps based on an erroneous interpretation of the law. C. The Draft Permit Sets Inadequate Monitoring. Requirements for Seeps and Does Not Assure Permit Modifications for New Seeps Will Comply with Public Notice Requirements. Even if these seeps could be properly permitted as proposed by DEQ, the proposed conditions also set inadequate monitoring for current and future seeps, and also may bypass notice and comment requirements. At a minimum, more frequent monitoring of seeps would be needed to meaningfully assess compliance. The draft permit requires monthly monitoring of the seeps only for the first year; thereafter, monitoring is required only quarterly. There is no basis supplied for reduced frequency of sampling. This infrequent sampling is inadequate for several reasons. First, the flow and levels of contaminants in the seeps are likely to fluctuate based on weather and season, so four snapshots per year will make it impossible to accurately assess the amount of pollutants discharging into the Broad River, Suck Creek, and wetlands adjacent to Suck Creek. While DEQ has candidly admitted it would be difficult to accurately monitor the seeps even under the best of circumstances, infrequent sampling virtually guarantees the permit's effluent limits and flow requirements will not be enforced. Second, this arrangement makes it easier for the polluter to pick and choose sampling conditions that it views as ideal to avoid finding violations. It also makes identifying new seeps far less likely. Finally, this schedule falls short of the requirements of the CWA. EPA regulations mandate that all permit limits shall, unless impracticable, be stated as both daily maximum and average monthly discharge limitations. 40 C.F.R. § 122.45(d). Nothing in the fact sheet Cel demonstrates or suggests that monthly, or even daily, monitoring of seep discharges is impractical. For all these reasons, monitoring with increased frequency should be required. Because Cliffside's ash basins are expected to spring new seeps and leaks, the draft permit also tries to provide a path for Duke Energy to legitimate these future seeps. Draft Permit Conditon A. (49). First, it is apparent that DEQ intends to perpetuate the errors already described above for newly discovered seeps. In addition, it appears DEQ may intend to allow Duke Energy to evade public notice and comment and the opportunity for a public hearing and for judicial review, along with other requirements of the state NPDES permitting program, see 33 U.S.C. § 1342(b). The permit itself states that the new identified seep is not "permitted" until the permit is modified and the new seep is included and the "new outfall is established." But DEQ must clarify which procedures for permit modification it intends to follow for the inevitability that new seeps will arise. Any permit modifications, of course, must comply with public notice and comment procedures, and EPA oversight, under the CWA.B 2) The Draft Permit Fails to Account for Discharges of Wastewater Through Hydrologically Connected Groundwater. In addition to admitting numerous seeps and leaks discharging via surface water connections, Duke estimates that approximately 70,000 cubic feet—over 523,000 gallons—of contaminated groundwater is being discharged into the Broad River per day from the coal ash impoundments at Cliffside. Cliffside Corrective Action Plan, Part 2 ("CAP 2"), App. D, at 3. Nearly 90,000 gallons per day are being discharged into Suck Creek. Undoubtedly some of this contaminated groundwater is also being discharged into other jurisdictional streams and wetlands between the ash basins and Suck Creek and the Broad River, causing those tributaries to also violate North Carolina surface water standards. The CWA is a strict liability statute prohibiting the discharge of any pollutant to a water of the United States without a permit. 33 U.S.C. § 1311(a). Importantly, Duke Energy cannot evade the CWA by discharging pollutants through short, hydrological groundwater connections. DEQ erred in ignoring this significant discharge. EPA has stated repeatedly that the CWA applies to such hydrologically -connected groundwater discharges. 66 Fed. Reg. 2960, 3015 (Jan. 12, 2001) ("EPA is restating that the Agency interprets the Clean Water Act to apply to discharges of pollutants from a point source via ground water that has a direct hydrologic connection to surface water."); accord 56 Fed. Reg. 64876-01, 64892 (Dec. 12, 1991) ("the Act requires NPDES permits for discharges to groundwater where there is a direct hydrological connection between groundwaters and surface waters."); 55 Fed. Reg. 47990, 47997 (Nov. 16, 1990) (announcing stormwater runoff rules and explaining that discharges to groundwater are covered by the rule where there is a, hydrological connection between the groundwater and a nearby surface water body). 8 EPA's regulations authorize limited administrative changes to an active permit through minor modifications, none of which condone the addition of a new NPDES outfall through a mere administrative change by the agency. See 40 U.S.C. § 122.63. 7 In addition to EPA, "[t]he majority of courts have held that groundwaters that are hydrologically connected to surface waters are regulated waters of the United States, and that unpermitted discharges into such groundwaters are prohibited under section 1311." Friends of Santa Fe County v. LAC Minerals, Inc., 892 F. Supp. 1333, 1358 (D.N.M. 1995) (citations omitted). The United States Department of Justice ("DOJ") recently emphasized "EPA's longstanding position [] that a discharge from a point source to jurisdictional surface waters that moves through groundwater with a direct hydrological connection" comes under the purview of the CWA.9 As expressed by DOJ "it would hardly make sense for the CWA to encompass a polluter who discharges pollutants via a pipe running from the factory directly to the riverbank, but not a polluter who dumps the same pollutants into a man-made settling basin some distance short of the river and then allows the pollutants to seep into the river via the groundwater." Id. at 16 (quoting N. Cal. River Watch v. Mercer Fraser Co., No. 04-4620, 2005 WL 2122052, at *2 (N.D. Cal. Sept. 1, 2005)). The same applies here. As discharges to Suck Creek and the Broad River via hydrologically connected groundwater were not authorized under the current permit (and are therefore prohibited), they should not be authorized in the revised permit. Attempting to add it now may violate the anti -backsliding provision of the Clean Water Act. 33 U.S.C. § 1342(0); 40 C.F.R. § 122.44(1)(1) ("[W]hen a permit is renewed or reissued, interim effluent limitations, standards or conditions must be at least as stringent as the final effluent limitations, standards, or conditions in the previous permit ...... Instead, DEQ should require Duke Energy to stop the discharge of contaminated wastewater to waters of the US via hydrologically connected groundwater. Where, as here, Duke Energy's own studies submitted to DEQ have revealed the source waste (coal ash) is sitting in large unlined basins, submerged in groundwater, DEQ should require Duke Energy to arrest the ongoing source of contamination. 3) The Department Cannot Issue a Permit to a Facility that is Violating Surface Water Standards Even if discharges of hydrologically connected groundwater could be permitted, they cannot in this instance because discharges from the Cliffside plant are contributing to violations of surface water quality standards. NPDES permits control pollution by setting (1) limits based on the technology available to treat pollutants ("technology based effluent limits") and (2) any additional limits necessary to protect water quality ("water quality -based effluent limits") on the wastewater dischargers. 33 U.S.C. §§ 1311(b), 1314(b); 40 C.F.R. § 122.44(a)(1), (d). An NPDES permit must assure compliance with all statutory and regulatory requirements, including state water quality standards. 33 U.S.C. § 1342(a)(1)(A); 40 C.F.R. § 122.43(a); 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.01 18. 99 See Brief for the United States as Amicus Curiae in Support of Plaintiffs -Appellees, Hawaii Wildlife Fund v. County of Maui, at 5 (No. 15-17447, 9t' Cir.), attached as Ex. 1. Similarly, North Carolina law provides that "[n]o permit may be issued when the imposition of conditions cannot reasonably ensure compliance with applicable water quality standards." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.01 12(c); see also N.C. Gen. Stat. §§ 143 -215.6a -c (authorizing civil and criminal penalties and injunctive relief for violations for surface water standards). Discharge from the coal ash ponds is currently causing violations of surface water standards in blue line jurisdictional streams and seeps in the location of wetlands at the Cliffside plant, as documented by Duke Energy's own studies submitted to DEQ. Specifically, Duke Energy's groundwater to surface water interaction model predicts that lead and thallium surface water standards will be violated in Suck Creek as a result of the discharge of coal ash - contaminated groundwater into the stream. Cliffside CAP 2 at 32. Sampling data confirms that lead standards are being violated as well as standards for aluminum and copper. Id. Contamination of these surface waterbodies negatively impacts ecological health. Duke Energy's CAP 2 evaluated the ecological risk to "ecological receptors," chosen as surrogates for the range of receptors in given habitat. At Cliffside, "[a]quatic receptors include fish, benthic invertebrates, aquatic birds (represented by mallard duck and great blue heron), and aquatic mammals (represented by muskrat and river otter). Terrestrial receptors include birds, represented by American robin and red-tailed hawk, and mammals, represented by meadow vole and red fox." Cliffside CAP 2 at 41. Four potential exposure pathways were identified in the CAP 2. Unsurprisingly, the impact to wildlife in the areas surrounding Cliffside was significant, especially in the vicinity of Suck Creek. Specifically, "along Suck Creek between the steam station and the active ash basin, risks are above risk targets for aluminum for the muskrat and meadow vole, and are above risk targets for copper, manganese, selenium, and vanadium for the heron." Cliffside CAP 2 at 42. Risk was evaluated using hazard quotients with any quotient above 1 being "above target." In Suck Creek, risk of aluminum exposure to the meadow vole was given a hazard quotient of 81 and the risk of aluminum exposure to the muskrat was given a 42. Exposure of vanadium in Suck Creek received a hazard quotient of 21 for great blue heron. Id. These risks are significantly above target and have likely been causing adverse impacts to wildlife for decades. Furthermore, in light of the existing violations of water quality standards in Suck Creek, the new instream monitoring required in the permit is grossly inadequate and should at least be meaningful enough to ascertain future compliance in light of existing studies and sampling. See Draft NPDES Permit, Condition A. (30). First, the permit does not require sampling for aluminum or thallium, two pollutants that can be expected to violate water quality standards based Duke Energy's on sampling and modeling. So too, the sampling should include any additional pollutants that have exceeded standards in the seeps draining from the active ash basin. See CAP, Figures 2-2 and 2-3, CSA Table 7-9. Second, the permit requires sampling only twice a year; it is unclear how such infrequent monitoring will meaningfully track pollutant loading in a creek that receives 90,000 gallons per day of contaminated groundwater. It should at least be sampled as frequently as any "seepage outfalls" on Suck Creek. Finally, the upstream location proposed for sampling is only 100 feet from outfall 132; that is not'sufficiently upstream to reflect a sample unimpacted by the ash basin. 9 Even an improvement in this half-hearted instream sampling effort, though, will not address the root problem. To the extent the violation in Suck Creek is being caused by wastewater hydrologically connected through groundwater, we are aware of no technology which would remedy an ongoing violation of surface water quality standards and "ensure compliance with applicable water quality standards," except removal of the waste source. Regardless, the discharge cannot be permitted as long as surface water quality standards are violated in Suck Creek. 4) The Draft Permit Violates Requirements Applicable to Surface Waters Classified as Critical Areas. The Cliffside plant is located in a WS -IV "critical area." See Permit Fact Sheet at 1. "Critical area means the area adjacent to a water supply intake or reservoir where risk associated with pollution is greater than from the remaining portions of the watershed." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2B .0202(20). All waters within a critical area "shall meet the Maximum Contaminant Level concentrations considered safe for drinking, culinary, or food-processing purposes that are specified in the national drinking water regulations and in the North Carolina Rules Governing Public Water Supplies." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2B .0216(2). Those limits must be met in the Broad River, Suck Creek, and their tributaries. "Sources of water pollution that preclude any of these uses on either a short-term or long-term basis shall be considered to be violating a water quality standard." Id. Based on surface water samples collected by Duke Energy, it appears that the Cliffside plant is currently violating this standard. Unless the "source[] of water pollution" is removed, the Cliffside plant may violate this standard in perpetuity, preventing it from being permitted in compliance with North Carolina law. 5) The Reasonable Potential Analysis is Inadequate. The reasonable potential analysis completed as part of the permit renewal is inadequate because 1) it does not assess the impact of wastewater discharged through hydrologically connected groundwater and 2) the reasonable potential analysis is not performed for all jurisdictional waters receiving polluted discharge, nor for all pollutants of concern. Reasonable potential analysis seeks to determine "whether a discharge causes, has the reasonable potential to cause, or contributes to an in -stream excursion above a narrative or numeric criteria within a State water quality standard." 40 C.F.R. § 122.44(d)(1)(i) (emphasis added). As mentioned previously, Duke Energy is discharging approximately 523,000 gallons per day of contaminated groundwater into the Broad River from the coal ash impoundments at Cliffside. Cliffside CAP 2, App. D, at 3. Nearly 90,000 gallons per day are being discharged into Suck Creek. This significant discharge does not appear to have been included in the Department's reasonable potential analysis. The Department must redo its analysis incorporating the hydrologically connected discharge to more accurately determine if there is a reasonable potential to violate or contribute to a violation of surface water quality standards. This is particularly important for Suck Creek, which, Duke Energy's own sampling has found violates water quality standards. 10 The Department's reasonable potential analysis also appears to have incorrectly focused its analysis only on a contravention of water quality standards in Suck Creek and the Broad River, without assessing compliance in streams and wetlands. The Department cannot ignore other jurisdictional waters of the United States, including tributaries and wetlands receiving polluted discharges, for purposes of determining reasonable potential to violate surface water standards. For any tributaries or wetlands being impacted by wastewater contaminated with coal ash, the Department must determine if the discharge "causes, has the reasonable potential to cause, or contributes to an [] excursion above a narrative or numeric criteria within a State water quality standard" within the jurisdictional stream. 40 C.F.R. § 122.44(d)(1)(i). There is no authority for the Department to ignore discharges to jurisdictional streams. Additional reasonable potential analysis should include, at a minimum, tributaries coinciding with S-3, S-6, and wetlands in the area of 5-14, 5-15, 5-16, 5-21, at the toe of Suck Creek dam, and wetlands in the area of S-2, 5-17, S-18, S-19, S -19a. See CAP 1 Figs. 1-5, 2-2. Sampling in these tributaries and wetlands already indicates ongoing impacts from the ash basins. Concentrations in samples from seep S-6 have exceeded relevant surface water 2B standards, 21, and/or IMAC groundwater standards for boron, cobalt, iron, manganese, and vanadium. Concentrations in samples from seep S-3 have exceeded relevant standards for cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, thallium and total dissolved solids. Concentrations in seeps discharging from the active ash basin (upstream toe, adjacent to Suck Creek) have exceeded North Carolina surface water standards (2B) and 2L and/or IMAC groundwater standards (e.g., arsenic, chromium, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, selenium, and vanadium. CAP 1 Figs. 2-2 and 2-3, CSA Table 7-9). The reasonable potential analysis must be expanded to these water bodies, to determine whether the discharge has the potential to contribute to an exceedance of narrative or numeric standards. Finally, although Outfall 002 includes a limit for thallium based upon reasonable potential to violate water quality standards, no such limit is included during Outfall 002 during dewatering. This limit must be carried through to dewatering, especially considering thallium has also been identified by Duke Energy as a contaminant escaping through seeps and a contaminant expected to exceed water quality standard violations in Suck Creek from contaminated groundwater. Also specific to Outfall 002 dewatering, the condition related to net turbidity must be revised to protect water quality in the receiving stream. Note 8 to Condition A.(3) for dewatering states that "net turbidity shall not exceed 50 NTU ... measured by the difference between the effluent turbidity and the background turbidity." Allowing a 50 NTU increase over background conditions does not protect water quality in the Broad River. Instead, this term must be revised to reflect water quality in the receiving stream, which DEQ has already done in the Sutton NPDES permit: "The discharge from this facility shall not cause turbidity in the receiving stream to exceed 50 NTU. If the instream turbidity exceeds 50 NTU due to natural background conditions, the discharge cannot cause turbidity to increase in the receiving stream." NPDES Permit Modification NC0001422 (Dec. 7, 2015) Condition A.(2) note 5. 6) The Permit Fails to Impose Sufficiently Stringent Technology Based Effluent Limitations. DEQ's proposed draft permit falls short of the duty to impose technology-based effluent limits ("TBELs") on the pollutants being discharged at the Cliffside plant. The CWA requires this NPDES permit to include limits that reflect "the minimum level of control that must be 11 imposed in a permit." 40 C.F.R. § 125.3. In other words, the Cliffside permit must include TBELs that reflect the pollution reduction achievable by "application of the best available technology economically achievable" ("BAT"). 40 CFR § 125.3(a)(2)(iii)-(v). Whether or not Duke Energy implements the specific technology determined to be the BAT, it must comply with the effluent limitations that could be achieved by the BAT. The BAT sets a stringent treatment standard that requires "elimination of discharges of all pollutants if... such elimination is technologically and economically achievable." 33 U.S.C. § 1311(b)(2)(A). Technology-based permit limits are derived from one of two sources: (1) national effluent limitation guidelines ("ELGs") issued by EPA, 33 U.S.C. § 1314(b),.or (2) case-by-case determinations using the "best professional judgment" ("BPJ") of permit writers (33 U.S.C. § 1342(a)(1)(B); 40 C.F.R. § 125.3), when EPA has not issued an ELG for an industry or the ELG does not apply to certain pollutants. 40 C.F.R. § 125.3(c)(2), (3) (when ELGs "only apply to ... certain pollutants, other aspects or activities are subject to regulation on a case-by-case basis"). 10 EPA's current effluent limitation guidelines (ELGs) for coal-fired power plants do not define the treatment that is "technologically and economically achievable" for most of the waste streams relevant to the Cliffside permit.11 That does not, however, alleviate DEQ's responsibility to apply technology-based effluent limits, using BPJ, for pollutants not addressed in an ELG. DEQ neglects to include limits for many toxic pollutants (arsenic, selenium, cadmium), using BPJ. The requirement for TBELs is a critical part of moving polluters towards eliminating pollutant discharges based upon achievable reductions and cannot be overlooked. North Carolina regulations require that "[a]ny state NPDES permit will contain effluent limitations and standards required by ... the Clean Water Act which is hereby incorporated by reference including any subsequent amendments and editions." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H .0118. A. Effluent Limitations Must be Added to the Draft Permit. In this case, DEQ must add limits for additional pollutants. DEQ's fact sheet lists several pollutants that are discharged by Duke Energy through its ash pond outfall (002), but then fails to apply any limit on the discharge, much less a technology-based limit. This includes cadmium, selenium, arsenic, mercury, silver and nickel—all priority pollutants only subject to monitoring requirements in the draft permit. For silver and nickel, for example, the permit writer determined there was "no ELG for these parameters ... and no reasonable potential to exceed wqs." Permit Fact Sheet, Table 4. Under the same reasoning, Outfall 002 (ash basin) contains no limits or monitoring for other pollutants, like lead and sulfates, which have RPA limits at seep outfalls. This is particularly striking for lead, which has exceeded water quality standards in Suck Creek, according to Duke Energy. Cliffside CAP 2 at 32. The fact sheet gives no 10 When applying BPJ "[i]ndividual judgments []take the place of uniform national guidelines, but the technology- based standard remains the same." Texas Oil & GasAss'n v. U.S. E.P.A., i61 F.3d 923, 929 (5th Cir. 1998). In other words, the DWR must operate within strict sideboards when identifying BAT based on BPJ. 11 EPA issued recently ELGs for the steam electric industry, 80 Fed. Reg. 67894, November 3, 2015 (the "ELGs"), which are addressed below. 12 indication of any attempt to determine BAT in the absence of an ELG for any of these parameters. There are two steps in determining BAT under these circumstances. First, the permit writer must assess what technologies are "available." Second, the permit writer must assess which of the available technologies are economically achievable. The technology that obtains the highest reduction in pollutants and is also economically achievable is the BAT.12 DEQ must complete these steps and assign additional limits at outfalls, including for Outfall 002—luring normal operations and dewatering 13—as well as the seep outfalls (the seep permitting approach is problematic for several additional reasons discussed elsewhere). Furthermore, to ensure compliance with the North Carolina Total Maximum Daily Load for mercury, mercury limits must be added to all outfalls. B. The Department Has Not Justified Extended Deadlines for Compliance with New Effluent Limitations. As the Department recognizes, see Permit Fact Sheet at 2, new federal rules establish technology-based effluent limitations on the discharge of pollutants in fly ash transport water, bottom ash transport water, and wastewater from flue gas desulphurization ("FGD") systems, which must be met "as soon as possible beginning November 1, 2018, but no later than December 21, 2023." 40 C.F.R. § 423.12(h), (k), (g). Despite the presumption that the rule is effective November 1, 2018, the Department proposes to grant Duke's request to continue dumping FGD wastewater until the last possible date, December 21, 2023—more than six years from now and beyond the expected expiration date of this draft permit. Similarly, DEQ appears to accept Duke Energy's request to continue dumping wet -sluiced bottom through December 31, 2020, over four years from now. See Draft NPDES Permit, Conditions A. (1), A. (5.). In delegating state permitting authorities the responsibility of determining when the new limits will apply, EPA presumes that the "as soon as possible" date is November 1, 2018, "unless the permitting authority establishes a later date, after receiving information from the discharger." 40 C.F.R. § 423.11(t). Any determination that a later date is appropriate must be well- documented and reflect consideration, at a minimum, of the specific factors set forth in EPA's regulations. See id. To be clear, the phrase "as soon as possible" means November 1, 2018, unless the permitting authority establishes a later date after receiving information from the discharger and after making an independent judgment regarding the appropriateness of an extended compliance timeline. 80 Fed. Reg. at 67883. Indeed, "even after the permitting 12 The initial determination under BAT, technological availability, is "based on the performance of the single best - performing plant in an industrial field." Chem. Mfrs. Assn v. U.S. E.P.A., 870 F.2d 177,226 (5th Cir.), decision clarified on reh'g, 885 F.2d 253 (5th Cir. 1989); see Am. Paper Inst. v. Train, 543 F.2d 328, 346 (D.C. Cir. 1976) (BAT should "at a minimum, be established with reference to the best performer in any industrial category"). In short, if the technology is being utilized by any plant in the industry, it is available. See Kennecott v. U.S.E.P.A., 780 F.2d 445, 448 (4th Cir. 1985) (" In setting BAT, EPA uses not the average plant, but the optimally operating plant, the pilot plant which acts as a beacon to show what is possible"). 13 The dewatering conditions for Outfall 002 list the chromium limit twice in error and may indicate a different limit that DEQ intended to carry through to dewatering. At a minimum, all of the limits from Outfall 002 during normal operations should apply during the more intense dewatering phase, including the limits applicable during chemical metal cleaning (iron, copper), because chemicals associated with that process may have settled into the ash basin and be discharged at higher concentrations through interstitial water. 13 authority receives information from the discharger, it still may be appropriate to determine that November 1, 2018, is `as soon as possible' for that discharger." Id. at 67883, n.57. Importantly, EPA encourages permitting authorities to "provide a well-documented justification for how [they] determined the `as soon as possible' date in the fact sheet or administrative record for the permit," and to "explain why allowing additional time to meet the limitations is appropriate," if that is the authority's conclusion. See U.S. EPA, Technical Development Document for the Effluent Limitations Guidelines and Standards for the Steam Electric Power Generating Point Source Category (Sept. 2015), at 1411. Here, DEQ has neither explained why allowing additional time for compliance- is appropriate nor provided any documentation of its justification for additional time. See Permit Fact Sheet at 3 (bottom ash), 6 (FGD wastewater). Instead, DEQ merely offers perfunctory, non -explanatory statements for the extension of compliance deadlines for limits. For FGD wastewater, DEQ offers only: "Duke requested a compliance schedule to evaluate, install and test a new treatment system with a proposed compliance date of December 31, 2023. The permit will require compliance by this date." Permit Fact Sheet at 6. For bottom ash, the fact sheet lacks even this statement, offering only that "Duke has submitted the following proposed schedule: Bottom ash: December 31, 2020." This date that then gets incorporated into the permit.. Id. at 3. Merely reciting that Duke Energy requested the extension beyond'November 1, 2018, is not a "well-documented justification." In addition, there is ample evidence suggesting a sooner compliance date would be possible. According to EPA, "plants typically have one or two planned shut -downs annually and [] the length of these shutdowns is more than adequate to complete installation of relevant treatment and control technologies." 80 Fed. Reg. at 67854, n.27. There are several examples of plants that have completed fly and bottom ash conversion projects in less than three years, including Duke Energy's own Mayo Plant. See Duke Energy Progress, Inc., Mayo Steam Electric Generating Plant, Quarterly Progress Report (January — March 2015) ("Dry bottom ash handling system began construction on December 14, 2012. As of March 31, 2014, construction of this system was 100% complete."). At the South Carolina Electric & Gas Company Wateree plant, conversion to a closed-loop bottom ash handling system was completed in two and a half years. See Final Notes from Site Visit at South Carolina Electric & Gas Company's Wateree Station on January 24, 2013, EPA -HQ -OW -2009-0819-1917, at 2. In comments filed on the proposed rule, UWAG provided a case study of a >850 MW unit converting from wet handling to dry handling, in which the total time required from the start of conceptual engineering was 30- 36 months. See Comment submitted by Elizabeth E. Aldridge, Hunton & Williams on behalf of Utility Water Act Group (UWAG), EPA -HQ -OW -2009-0819-4655, at 84-85 & Att. 11.14 For FGD wastewater treatment systems, the American Public Power Association has estimated that installation could be completed in six to eight months. See Comment submitted by Theresa Pugh, Director of Environmental Services and Alex Hofmann, Energy and Environmental Services Manager, American Public Power Association (APPA), EPA -HQ -OW -2009-0819- 5140, at 37. At Duke's Mayo Plant, a partial zero liquid discharge system for FGD wastewater was completed in approximately two years. See Duke Energy Progress, Inc., Mayo Steam Electric Generating Plant, Quarterly Progress Report (January — March 2015) ("The partial Zero 14 Available at https://www.regulations.gov/contentStreamer?documentId=EPA-HQ-RCRA-2013-0209- 0034&attachmentNumbel=1 &disposition=attachment&contentType=zpdf. 14 Liquid Discharge system for FGD wastewater began construction on January 28, 2013. As of March 31, 2015, construction of this system was 100% complete.") Duke Energy has been aware of the need to comply with the new effluent limits since at least September 2015—when the final federal,rules were published—and should already have begun evaluating what changes would be needed at Cliffside and its other plants. As EPA stated in September 2015: "Regardless of when a plant's NPDES permit is ready for renewal, the plant should immediately begin evaluating how it intends to comply with the requirements of the final ELGs. In cases where significant changes in operation are appropriate, the plant should discuss such changes with the permitting authority and evaluate appropriate steps and a timeline for the changes, even prior to the permit renewal process." 80 Fed. Reg. at 67882-83 (emphasis added). Moreover, EPA's final effluent limits for FGD and coal ash transport water were also contained in the proposed rule issued June 7, 2013—on which proposal Duke submitted comments. In 2014, Duke Energy reported that "[m]ost, if not all, of the steam electric generating facilities the Duke Energy Registrants own are likely affected sources [and that] [r]equirements to comply with the final rule may begin as early as late 2018 for some facilities," Duke Energy, 2014 Annual Report and Form 10-K at 59. Duke Energy has for years been on notice of the impending need to upgrade wastewater treatment at its plants. With respect to bottom ash transport water, North Carolina law requires Duke Energy to convert to the dry handling of bottom ash by December 31, 2019. Allowing for the continued discharge of pollutants in bottom ash transport water after that date cannot be justified. Duke Energy does not explain its claimed need for a "12 month window to optimize the system." See Duke Energy Carolina, Supplemental Information Package (August 31, 2016) at 4. DEQ has offered no evidence that it has scrutinized or verified this claim. Moreover, Duke Energy has known that dry ash handling would be required since September 2014, when the Coal'Ash Management Act was passed. Accordingly, it should have commenced design of the systems needed to comply with that requirement years ago. 7) The Proposed Permit Violates North Carolina's Groundwater Rules A. DEQ Must Impose Conditions To Prevent Further Groundwater Contamination Because groundwater contamination is at or beyond the compliance boundary at Cliffside, the state groundwater rules prohibit DEQ from issuing the proposed NPDES permit for the Cliffside active ash basin. North Carolina's groundwater rules state that "the [Environmental Management] Commission will not approve any disposal system subject to the provisions of G.S. 143-215.1 which would result in a violation of a groundwater quality standard beyond a designated compliance boundary." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2L .0103(b)(2). This prohibition applies to the Cliffside permit. The draft permit states on its face that it is issued "in compliance with the provisions of North Carolina General Statute 143-215.1." Draft NPDES Permit at 1. The Cliffside coal ash basin is a qualifying "disposal system" for purposes of the Groundwater Rule with a compliance boundary set by the rule. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2L .0 107. Because DEQ issues this permit under authority delegated by the EMC in 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02A .0 105, this prohibition applies to DEQ as well. 15 There is an extensive history of documented groundwater contamination at the compliance boundary at Cliffside. Duke Energy's monitoring data, recently reported to the state, has shown exceedances for antimony, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, total dissolved solids, and vanadium in its compliance boundary monitoring wells. The majority of these exceedances represent violations, based upon Duke's own over-estimated background concentrations. Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E., Amended Expert Report, at 12 (Apr. 13, 2016) (36 of the 62 Compliance Boundary exceedances were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC) by HDR), attached as Ex. 2. In its enforcement case, DEQ alleged under oath numerous exceedances of the 2L standards at the Cliffside plant. Complaint at ¶¶ 57-63. On this record, DEQ cannot reissue a permit for a failing wastewater treatment system without imposing new conditions to correct this long track record of groundwater contamination. Because this disposal system is already resulting in violations of groundwater quality standards and will continue to do so, DEQ cannot issue the proposed NPDES permit without imposing conditions sufficient to ensure these violations will cease. Similarly, the Groundwater Rule bars the EMC (and DEQ acting on delegated authority) from approving an NPDES permit that would result in "the impairment of existing groundwater uses or increased risk to the health or safety of the public due to the operation of a waste disposal system." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2L .0103(b)(3). DEQ has already found Duke Energy's studies deficient, so far, to show its migrating coal ash pollution is not a threat to nearby water supply wells (receptors). In its February 2015 letter providing conditional approval for Duke Energy's Groundwater Assessment Plan, DEQ warned Duke Energy that the plan did "not provide a clear, cohesive description of how constituents of potential concern (COPCs) may migrate from the source(s) to the receptors through various pathways. ,15 In a draft letter highlighting deficiencies in Duke Energy's CSA for the Cliffside plant, the content of which DEQ staff'communicated verbally to Duke Energy and its consultants at several meetings held for that purpose, DEQ was similarly clear that the CSA Report "fails to fully explain the factors affecting the occurrence, movement, and transport of constituents that exceed groundwater quality standards as required by CAMA § 130A-309.211."16 The real-world data collected at the Cliffside site, in sharp contrast to the artificially constrained modeling by Duke Energy's consultant, confirm what common sense predicts: that residential wells pumping water out of the ground within a few hundred feet of the Cliffside coal ash disposal areas are at risk from Duke Energy's coal ash contamination. See Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E., Amended Expert Report, at 15-17, attached as Ex. 2. B. DEQ Must Define Compliance and Review Boundaries and Require Groundwater Monitoring Pursuant to the Groundwater Rule. The Groundwater Rule directs that "[t]he [compliance] boundary shall be established by the Director, or his designee at the time of permit issuance." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02L " Feb. 24, 2015 NCDENR Letter Conditional Approval of Revised Groundwater Assessment Work Plan for the Cliffside Steam Station, at 1. " Sept. 18, 2015 NCDENR Draft Letter Comprehensive Site Assessment Comments for the Cliffside Steam Station, at 3. 16 .0107(c) (emphasis added). The draft permit as distributed to the public for comment includes no map designating a compliance boundary for the Cliffside facility. However, Duke Energy has previously misdrawn its compliance boundary to extend onto property it owns on the other side of the Broad River. For example, in its Topographic Map and Discharge Assessment Plan submitted to DEQ pursuant to CAMA (dated April 29, 2016), the attached figure 2 shows the compliance boundary around the active ash basin on the opposite site of the Broad River from the ash basin discharge. 17 See supra; see also Cliffside CAP 2, Fig. 2-2 (extending compliance boundary across river). As one might surmise, this runs contrary to the law. The riverbed of the Broad River is not under "common ownership" with Duke Energy's power plant because the Broad River belongs to the people of North Carolina. Duke Energy's maps assert ownership of the submerged lands beneath the Broad, River at Cliffside. See Cliffside CSA, Fig. 4-6. Those maps suggest that the property boundary of the lands on either side of the river (Duke Energy owns parcels on both opposing riverbanks) extends to the centerpoint of the river. But Duke has no rightful claim of ownership to these submerged lands, which belong to the state of North Carolina as a matter of law. In North Carolina, "state lands" are defined as "all land and interests therein, title to which is vested in the State of North Carolina, or in any State agency, or in the State to the use of any agency, and specifically includes all ... submerged lands." N.C. Gen. Stat. § 146-64(6) (emphasis added). Submerged lands generally may not be conveyed in fee, though the state may grant easements therein, N.C. Gen. Stat. § 146-3(1), and may not be adversely possessed, N.C. Gen. Stat. § 1-45.1. Submerged lands are "[s]tate lands which lie beneath ... [a]ny navigable waters within the boundaries of this State." N.C. Gen. Stat. § 146-64(7)(a).18 Even if Duke Energy could theoretically own a navigable riverbed, the law still will not allow it to co-opt the Broad River into its compliance boundary. The General Assembly has clarified that "[m]ultiple contiguous properties under common ownership" may be treated as a single property for purposes of drawing the compliance boundary, but only if they are "permitted for use as a waste disposal system." See 2013 N.C. Sess. Laws 413, § 46(a) (amending N.C. Gen. Stat. § 143-215.1(i)). Duke Energy cannot claim, and DEQ cannot, as a matter of federal law incorporate, the Broad River (a water of the US) into Duke Energy's "waste disposal system." Even Duke Energy delineates the waste boundary within the perimeter of its active ash basin impoundment (Cliffside CSA, Fig. 2-2) and does not suggest it can deposit its coal ash directly in the Broad River. DEQ must specify a compliance boundary for the Cliffside plant that complies with the requirements of North Carolina law and facilitates credible measurement of groundwater compliance. To meet that task, the compliance boundary cannot be beneath a surface water 17 This map correctly reflects that there is no compliance boundary around the unpermitted inactive 5 ash basin. 18 Ownership of these submerged lands turns on the definition of "navigability," which is in turn defined by state law. The test for navigability in North Carolina is whether a body of water is "navigable in fact." Gwathmey v. State ex rel. Dept ofEnv't, Health, & Natural Res., 342 N.C. 287, 299,464 S.E.2d 674, 681 (1995); see N.C. Gen. Stat. § 146-64(4) ("`Navigable Waters' means all waters which are navigable in fact"). "[I]f a body of water in its natural condition can be navigated by watercraft, it is navigable in fact and, therefore, navigable in law, even if it has not been used for such purpose." Gwathmey, 342 N.C. at 301. "[N]avigability in fact by useful vessels, including small craft used for pleasure, constitutes navigability in law." Id. at 300. 17 body. If that boundary were drawn correctly, it would be even closer to Duke Energy's coal ash in the active ash basin, at a location where meeting groundwater standards will continue to require removing the buried waste. Finally, the permit must be amended to impose a robust groundwater monitoring program that complies with the requirements of the Groundwater Rule. Currently the draft permit states only that "[t]he permittee shall conduct groundwater monitoring to determine the compliance of this NPDES permitted facility with the current groundwater standards ... in accordance with the sampling plan approved by the Division. See Attachment 1." Draft Permit Condition A. (47.). But no "Attachment 1" is provided for public comment. Historically, DEQ has required Duke Energy to monitor groundwater contamination only at the compliance boundary. But the Groundwater Rule requires more. All lands within a compliance boundary carry the Restricted Designation under the Groundwater Rule; and all lands carrying the Restrict Designation must have a "monitoring system sufficient to detect changes in groundwater quality within the RS designated area." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02L .0104(b), (d). Under the Groundwater Rule, it is not enough to monitor at the compliance boundary to confirm violations after they happen; rather Duke Energy must monitor groundwater within the RS -designated compliance boundary to detect when "contaminant concentrations increase" so that "additional remedial action or monitoring" can be required if necessary. Id. at .0104(d). 8) DEQ Cannot Re -issue a Permit with Ongoing Violations of the Removed Substances Provision. The draft permit would designate a new category of "seep outfalls" designed to allow Duke Energy to operate a wastewater treatment system that leaks pollutants at locations other than its permitted "Outfall 002 — Ash Basin" discharge point. As discussed above, by definition, these leaks do not discharge through the permitted outfall structures, which include risers designed to ensure that settled pollutants remain in the lagoons and water is discharged from the top of the lagoon to the outfall discharge pipes. This change in policy impermissibly erodes a longstanding standard condition applicable to the existing permit, the draft permit, and other similar NPDES permits. Both the draft permit and the existing permit include an important standard condition in Part II, known as the Removed Substances provision which provides: "Solids, sludges ... or other pollutants removed in the course of treatment or control of wastewaters shall be utilized/disposed of... in a manner such as to prevent any pollutant from such materials from entering waters of the State or navigable waters of the United States." Part 11.C.6 (emphasis added). 19 This common-sense provision prohibits pollutants removed by waste treatment facilities from escaping out into surface and groundwater. As such, the provision is an essential implementation of state policy and good practice requiring pollutants removed from wastewater 19 Available on DEQ's website at http://portal.nedenr.org/c/document library/get_file?uuid=b32f8a66-541c-4cf5- 8ba6-03e381edb2da&groupId=38364. In through the operation of a wastewater treatment plant not to be summarily discharged into waters, in frustration of the core purpose of the state and federal pollution control programs. Duke Energy's own analysis has revealed that coal ash at Cliffside — the "removed substance" — is sitting as much as 60 feet below the groundwater table, and its own models predict up to 50 feet worth will remain submerged after dewatering. Duke Energy, Comprehensive Site Assessment Figures (geologic cross sections) [specific citation]; Duke CAP 1, part I (cap -in-place simulations). Groundwater is a water of the State. N.C. Gen. Stat. § 143- 212(6). Coal ash is a "pollutant" regulated under the Clean Water Act. See supra. The Department cannot authorize this ongoing violation of an existing permit term by purporting to issue a new permit with identical terms while the facility is in violation of the existing permit. The Department must require Duke Energy to remove the "removed substances" from the waters of the State. 9) The Proposed 12 -Mile Mixing Zone for Thermal Discharges Requires a Thermal Variance The draft permit purports to put Duke Energy's "point of compliance" for meeting the North Carolina's water quality standard for temperature 12 miles downstream at the "North Carolina /. South Carolina state line." E.g., Draft NPDES Permit, Condition A. (33). The draft permit does this by granting Duke Energy a "mixing zone" to assimilate thermal discharges in the Broad River that is 12 miles long, for purposes of achieving an ambient temperature of 32 degrees C (89.6 degrees F), which itself is defined in the permit as a weekly average. 20 The fact sheet then suggests that a thermal variance "is no longer necessary," and so does not require Duke Energy to justify a renewed variance for a permit. Permit Fact Sheet at 11. This, on its face, would allow Duke Energy to exceed the state's instantaneous temperature standard anywhere in a 12 -mile stretch of river, so long as a weekly average is obtained at the state line, without any demonstration that this would protect water quality in the Broad River. It appears DEQ believes it can circumvent the thermal variance procedure under the CWA by authorizing a 12 mile "mixing zone" for Duke Energy to meet the instantaneous water quality standard for temperature. Of course, this is not correct. North Carolina's applicable temperature standard provides that temperature "in no case" will exceed 32 degrees C (89.6 degrees F) for lower piedmont and coastal plain waters. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02B .0211. Departure from this limit is allowed on a "case-by-case" basis and in a "reasonable portion of the waterbody," but only through a thermal variance procedure under 316 (a) of the CWA, which is the federal thermal variance requirement. See 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02B .0208. DEQ has no authority to ascribe a giant "mixing zone" to assimilate thermal discharge in the Broad River, to avoid this required variance procedure from an instantaneous state water quality standard. EPA's own NPDES Permit Writers Manual is clear that "the use and size of the mixing zone must be limited such that the waterbody as a whole will not be impaired and such that all designated uses are maintained ...." (6.2.5.2 Mixing Zone Size) (emphasis added). 20 E.g., Condition A. (1) (n.1 l: "temperature mixing zone is defined as the area extending from the intake of the power plant to approximately twelve (12) miles downstream ...."), (n.12: "The ambient temperature shall be defined as the weekly average downstream water temperatures"). 19 The specific examples given are a "specific geometric shape" around an outfall and spatial limitations, like "1/4 of the stream width and 1/4 mile downstream." Similarly North Carolina's regulations require a mixing zone to be drawn so that it does not result in acute toxicity, offensive conditions, undesirable aquatic life or result in a dominance of nuisance species outside of the assigned mixing zone, or endangerment to the public health or welfare. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02B .0204. DEQ has provided no justification for a mixing zone of 12 miles long (aka, the whole waterbody for several miles) to meet an instantaneous temperature standard, nor could it. The purported "mixing zone" here is a de facto variance from the temperature standard which must comport with Section 316(a) of the CWA. Section 316(a) of the Clean Water Act provides narrow authority for a variance from water quality standards for temperature, to wit, but only when such effluent limits are "more stringent than necessary to assure the protection and propagation of a balanced, indigenous population of shellfish, fish, and wildlife." 33 U.S.C. § 1326(a). EPA regulations define a balanced, indigenous population as "a biotic community typically characterized by diversity, the capacity to sustain itself through cyclic seasonal changes, presence of necessary food chain species and by a lack of domination by pollution tolerant species." 40 C.F.R. § 125.71(c). An industrial discharger seeking a § 316(a) temperature variance bears the burden of demonstrating both (1) that effluent limits otherwise required by the CWA are "more stringent than necessary" to protect the balanced, indigenous population and (2) that the thermal discharge allowed by such a variance will protect the balanced, indigenous population in the future. See 33 U.S.C. § 1326; 40 C.F.R. § 125.73(a) (the applicant must demonstrate that water quality standards are more stringent than necessary); In Re Dominion Energy Brayton Point, 12 E.A.D. 490, 552 (2006) (EPA Environmental Appeals Board held that § 1326(a) and EPA regulations "clearly impose the burden of proving that the ... thermal effluent limitations are too stringent on the discharger seeking the variance"). Duke Energy must seek a 316(a) variance and submit a BIP demonstration showing that the cumulative impact of its thermal discharge has not caused a shift toward pollution tolerant species in Broad River or contributed to violations of other water quality standards before it can be granted permission to exceed the WQS for temperature in the Broad River .21 Duke Energy has failed to make any demonstration to support any variance from meeting WQS for temperature, much less a 12 -mile one. Absent a meritorious demonstration, Duke Energy must comply with water quality standards for temperature throughout the Broad River. 21 As we have stated in prior comments to DEQ, only the EMC can issue a variance from the temperature standard and the EMC as currently constituted cannot do so. To administer the Clean Water Act pursuant to delegated federal authority, the state "board or body which approves all or portions of permits shall not include as a member any person who receives, or has during the previous 2 years received, a significant portion of income directly or indirectly from permit holders or applicants for a permit." 40 C.F.R. § 123.25(c). A permit cannot issue in this instance because the delegated permitting authority, the EMC NPDES Committee, cannot meet its regulatory requirements for non -conflicted members. 20 10) Conclusion The draft permit is inconsistent with the requirements of North Carolina and federal law. The permit must be withdrawn, rewritten, and reissued for the public to comment on an NPDES permit that protects water quality and the public interest. Si y, Thomas Lodwick Austin DJ Gerken Amelia Y. Burnette Patrick Hunter Southern Environmental Law Center 22 South Pack Square, Suite 700 Asheville, NC 28801 828,-258-2023 djgerken@selcnc.org abumette@selcnc.org tlodwick@selcnc.org phunter@selcnc.org Counsel for MountainTrue Julie Mayfield Hartwell Carson 29 N Market Street, Suite 610 Asheville, NC 28801 Phone: (828) 258-8737 cc: Gina McCarthy, EPA Administrator Heather McTeer Toney, Regional Administrator, Region 4 21 Exhibit 1 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 1 of 45 No. 15-17447 IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT HAWAII WILDLIFE FUND; SIERRA CLUB -MAUI GROUP; SURFRIDER FOUNDATION; WEST MAUI PRESERVATION ASSOCIATION, RECEIVEDINCDEOAMYR Plaintiffs -Appellees, 0 COUNTY OF MAUI, Defendant -Appellant. On Appeal from the U.S. District Court, Dist. of Hawaii No. 12-cv-198, Hon. Susan Oki Mollway, District Judge NOV 14 2016 Water Quality on Permitting BRIEF FOR THE UNITED STATES AS AMICUS CURIAE IN SUPPORT OF PLAINTIFFS APPELLEES OF COUNSEL: KARYN WENDELOWSKI U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of General Counsel Washington, D.C. JOHN C. CRUDEN Assistant Attorney General AARON P. AVILA R. JUSTIN SMITH FREDERICK H. TURNER Attorneys, U.S. Dep't of Justice Env't & Natural Resources Div. P.O. Box 7415 Washington, DC 20044 (202) 305-0641 frederick.turner@usdoj.gov Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 2 of 45 TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF AUTHORITIES.................................................................... iii INTEREST OF THE UNITED STATES..................................................1 ISSUES PRESENTED..............................................................................2 STATEMENT OF THE CASE.................................................................. 3 I. STATUTORY BACKGROUND .......................... :...................................... 3 II. FACTUAL BACKGROUND................................................................... 6 III. PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND............................................................. 7 SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT.................................................................10 ARGUMENT...........................................................................................13 I. THE DISTRICT COURT'S DECISIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE LANGUAGE AND PURPOSE OF THE CWA...................................13 A. Discharges of Pollutants to Jurisdictional Surface Waters Through Groundwater with a Direct Hydrological Connection Properly Require CWA Permits ...........................14 B. The District Court's Decisions Give Full Effect- to Congress's Intent to Restore and Maintain the Nation's Waters.......................................................................20 C. The District Court's Finding of Liability is Consistent with EPA's Longstanding Position .......................................... 22 II. THE COUNTY IS LIABLE FOR UNPERMITTED DISCHARGES DUE TO THE "DIRECT HYDROLOGICAL CONNECTION" BETWEEN THE GROUNDWATER AND THE OCEAN ............................................. 26 III. THE DISTRICT COURT CORRECTLY HELD THAT THE COUNTY HAD FAIR NOTICE FOR PURPOSES OF CIVIL PENALTIES .................. 32 CONCLUSION.......................................................................................36 i Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 3 of 45 CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE........................................................37 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE.................................................................38 ii Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 4 of 45 TABLE OF AUTHORITIES Cases Bath Petrol. Storage, Inc. v. Sovas, 309 F. Supp. 2d 357 (N.D.N.Y. 2004) ............................................... 22 Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. NRDC, Inc., 467 U.S. 837 (1984).................................................................... 12,24 Friends of Sakonnet v. Dutra, 738 F. Supp. 623 (D.R.I. 1990)......................................................... 15 Greater Yellowstone Coal. v. Larson, 641 F. Supp. 2d 1120 (D. Idaho 2009) ........................................ 31,32 Haw. Wildlife Fund v. Cty. of Maui, No. 12-198, 2015 WL 328227 (D. Haw. Jan. 23, 2015) .... 6, 7, 8, 9, 28 Haw. Wildlife Fund v. Cty. of Maui, No. 12-198, 2015 WL 3903918 (D. Haw. June 25, 2015) ................... 9 Hawaii Wildlife Fund v. County of Maui, 24 F. Supp. 3.d 980 (D. Haw. 2014) .......................................... passim Headwaters, Inc. v. Talent Irrigation Dist., 243 F.3d 526 (9th Cir. 2001).............................................................. 5 Hernandez v. Esso Std. Oil Co., 599 F. Supp. 2d 175 (D.P.R. 2009) ................................................... 19 Hudson R. Fishermen's Assn v. City of New York, 751 F. Supp. 1088 (S.D.N.Y. 1990) .................................................. 22 Idaho Rural Council v. Bosma, 143 F. Supp. 2d 1169 (D. Idaho 2001) ............................ 11, 18, 19, 21 Inland Steel v. EPA, 901 F.2d 1419 (7th Cir. 1990).......................................................... 22 iii Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 5 of 45 In re EPA & Dept of Def. Final Rule, 803 F.3d 804 (6th Cir. 2015)............................................................. 24 McClellan Ecological Seepage Situation v. Cheney, No. 86-475, 20 Envtl. L. Rep. 20,877 (E.D. Cal. Apr. 30, 1990) ....... 31 McClellan Ecological Seepage Situation v. Cheney, 763 F. Supp. 431 (E.D. Cal. 1989) .................................................... 31 McClellan Ecological Seepage Situation v. Weinberger, 707 F. Supp. 1182 (E.D. Cal. 1988) .................................................. 30 N. Cal. River Watch v. City of Healdsburg, 496 F.3d 993 (9th Cir. 2007).............................................................. 8 N. Cal. River Watch v. Mercer Fraser Co., No. 04-4620, 2005 WL 2122052 (N.D. Cal. Sept. 1, 2005) ... 16, 17, 19 Nw. Envtl. Def. Ctr. v. Grabhorn, No. 08-548.,2009 WL 3672895 (D. Or. Oct. 30, 2009) ...................... 19 O'Leary v. Moyer's Landfill, Inc., 523 F. Supp. 642 (E.D. Pa. 1981) ...............................................:..... 15 Rapanos v. United States, 547 U.S. 715 (2006) ...................................................... 2, 8, 10, 15, 16 Rice v. Harken Expl. Co., 250 F.3d 264 (5th Cir. 2001) ...................................................... 19,20 S.F. Herring Ass'n v. Pac. Gas & Elec. Co., 81 F. Supp. 3d 847 (N.D. Cal. 2015) ................................................ 18 Sierra Club v. Abston Constr. Co., 620 F.2d 41 (5th Cir. 1980) .................................................. 10, 14, 15 Sierra Club v. El Paso Gold Mines, Inc., 421 F.3d 1133 (10th Cir. 2005) ........................................................ 16 iv Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 6 of 45 Sierra Club v. Va. Elec. & Power Co., No. 15-112, 2015 WL 6830301 (E.D. Va. Nov. 6, 2015) ................... 18 United States v. Approximately 64,695 Pounds of Shark Fins, 520 F.3d 976 (9th Cir. 2008)............................................................ 33 United States v. Riverside Bayview Homes, Inc., 474 U.S. 121 (1985).......................................................................... 20 United States v. Velsicol Chem. Corp., 438 F. Supp. 945 (W.D. Tenn. 1976) ................................................ 16 Vill. of Oconomowoc Lake v. Dayton Hudson Corp., 24 F.3d 962 (7th Cir. 1994).............................................................. 19 Wash. Wilderness Coal. v. Hecla Mining Co., 870 F. Supp. 983 (E.D. Wash. 1994) ................................................ 21 Yadkin Riverkeeper v. Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, No. 14-753, 2015 WL 6157706 (M.D.N.C..Oct. 20, 2015) ................ 18 Statutes 33 U.S.C. § 1251(a).................................................................................. 3 33 U.S.C. § 1311............................................................................. 3, 4, 14 33 U.S.C. § 1318(a)(A)........................................................................... 34 33 U.S.C. § 1319....................................................................................... 4 33 U.S.C. § 1319(d)............................................................................ 5,35 33 U.S.C. § 1341(a)................................................................................ 35 33 U.S.C. § 1341(a)(1)............................................................................ 31 33 U.S.C. § 1342............................................................................... 12 32 4 33 U.S.C. § 1342(a)................................................................................... 4 v Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 7 of 45 33 U.S.C. § 1342(b).................................................................................. 4 33 U.S.C. § 1342(d).................................................................................. 4 33 U.S.C. § 1344.................................................................................. 3,4 33 U.S.C. § 1362...................................................................................... 3 33 U.S.C. § 1362(6).................................................................................. 3 33 U.S.C. § 1362(7).............................................................................. 2,4 33 U.S.C. § 1362(8).................................................................................. 2 33 U.S.C. § 1362(12)(A)..................................................................... 3,14 33 U.S.C. § 1362(14)................................................................................ 4 33 U.S.C. § 1365...................................................................................... 4 Federal Reoister 39 Fed. Reg. 43,759 (Dec. 18, 1974) ........................................................ 4 55 Fed. Reg. 47,990 (Dec. 2, 1990) ........................................................ 23 56 Fed. Reg. 64,876 (Dec. 12, 1991) .................................................. 5, 23 66 Fed. Reg. 2960 (Jan. 12, 2001) ....................................... 12, 23, 24, 26 80 Fed. Reg. 37,054 (June 29, 2015) ............................................... 17,25 vi Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 8 of 45 The United States respectfully submits this brief as amicus curiae pursuant to Federal Rule of Appellate Procedure 29(a). INTEREST OF THE UNITED STATES The United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) implements the Clean Water Act (CWA), 33 U.S.C. §§ 1251-1387, together with the states. That includes promulgating regulations regarding the CWA's National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES). Id. § 1342. The United States participates as amicus curiae because it has an interest in the proper interpretation of the NPDES- permit provisions and the framework for analyzing whether discharges of pollutants to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater are subject to those provisions.' The United States also has an interest because it enforces the CWA and because it is a potential defendant in actions alleging the discharge of pollutants from federal facilities through groundwater. The United States agrees with the result the district court reached in this case and urges affirmance. In the United States' view,, a NPDES 1 We use the term "jurisdictional surface waters"' throughout this brief to mean "waters of the United States." C 1 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 9 of 45 permit is required here because the discharges from the Defendant - Appellant County of Maui's wastewater treatment facility are from a point source (i.e., the injection wells) to waters of the United States (i.e., the Pacific Ocean2). To be clear, the United States does not contend that groundwater is a point source, nor does the United States contend that groundwater is a water of the United States regulated by the Clean Water Act. Moreover, the United States does not agree with the district court's application of the "significant nexus" standard from Rapanos v. United States, 547 U.S. 715 (2006). ISSUES PRESENTED This amicus brief addresses the following issues: 1. Whether a discharge of pollutants from a point source to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater with a direct hydrological connection to jurisdictional surface waters is regulated under the CWA. 2. Whether the site-specific facts here give rise to a "discharge of a pollutant" under the CWA. 2 More specifically, into the Pacific Ocean that is part of the United States' territorial seas under the CWA. 33 U.S.C. § 1362(7), (8). 91 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 10 of 45 3. Whether the County had fair notice that it was subject to civil penalties for its discharges to jurisdictional surface waters without a NPDES permit. STATEMENT OF THE CASE I. STATUTORY BACKGROUND Congress enacted the Clean Water Act to "restore and maintain the chemical, physical, and biological integrity of the Nation's waters." 33 U.S.C. § 1251(a). Congress therefore prohibited any non -excepted "discharge of any pollutant" to "navigable waters" unless it is authorized by a permit. Id. §§ 1311, 1342, 1344, 1362. The CWA defines "discharge of a pollutant" as "any, addition of any pollutant to navigable waters from any point source." Id. § 1362(12)(A) (emphasis added). Pollutant means "dredged spoil, solid waste, incinerator, sewage, garbage, sewage sludge, munitions, chemical wastes, biological materials, radioactive materials, heat, wrecked or discarded equipment, rock, sand, cellar dirt and industrial, municipal, and agricultural waste discharged into water." Id. § 1362(6). The CWA defines "navigable waters" as "the waters of the United States, including the territorial seas"; and a point source is "any discernible, confined and discrete 3 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 11 of 45 conveyance, including but not limited to any pipe, ditch, channel, tunnel, conduit, well, discrete fissure, container, rolling stock, concentrated animal feeding operation, or vessel or other floating craft, from which pollutants are or may be discharged." Id. § 1362(7), (14). The CWA authorizes EPA to issue NPDES permits under Section 402(a), but EPA may authorize a state to administer its own NPDES program if EPA determines that it meets the statutory criteria. Id. § 1342(a), (b). When a state receives such authorization, EPA retains oversight and enforcement authorities. Id. §§ 1319, 1342(d). Hawaii obtained such permitting authority in 1974. See 39 Fed. Reg. 43,759 (Dec. 18, 1974). The CWA is a strict -liability regime that prohibits non -excepted discharges unless they are authorized by a CWA permit. Id. §§ 1311, 1342, 1344. An unpermitted discharge constitutes a violation of the CWA regardless of fault and is subject to enforcement by the state or federal government or a private citizen. Id. §§ 1319, 1365. To establish liability for a violation of the permit requirement, a plaintiff must show there was (1) a discharge (2) of a pollutant (3) to navigable waters (4) n Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 12 of 45 from a point source. Headwaters, Inc. v. Talent Irrigation Dist., 243 F.3d 526, 532 (9th Cir. 2001). The CWA includes a civil -penalty provision for those who violate the Act. 33 U.S.C. § 1319(d). When determining a civil -penalty amount, courts must consider "the seriousness of the violation or violations, the economic benefit (if any) resulting from the violation, any history of such violations, any good -faith efforts to comply with the applicable requirements, the economic impact of the penalty on the violator, and such other matters as justice may require." Id. EPA's longstanding position is that a discharge from a point source to jurisdictional surface waters that moves through groundwater with a direct hydrological connection comes under the purview of the CWA's permitting requirements. E.g., Amendments to the Water Quality Standards Regulations that Pertain to Standards on Indian Reservations, 56 Fed. Reg. 64,876, 64,982 (Dec. 12, 1991) ("[T]he affected ground waters are not considered `waters of the United States' but discharges to them are regulated because such discharges are effectively discharges to the directly connected surface waters."). 5 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 13 of 45 II. FACTUAL BACKGROUND The County operates the Lahaina Wastewater Reclamation Facility. Haw. Wildlife Fund v. Cty. of Maui, 24 F. Supp. 3d 980,-983 (D. Haw. 2014) [Hawaii 1]. The facility receives approximately four million gallons of sewage each day. Id. After treating the sewage, the facility releases three to five million gallons of effluent into four on-site injection wells. Id. at 983-84. The effluent travels into a shallow groundwater aquifer and then flows into the Pacific Ocean through the seafloor at points known as "submarine springs." Id. at 984; see also Haw. Wildlife Fund v. Cty. of Maui, No. 12-198, 2015 WL 328227, at *1 (D. Haw. Jan. 23, 2015) [Hawaii II]. EPA, the Hawaii Department of Health (DOH), and others conducted a tracer -dye study that confirmed this conclusion for injection wells 3 and 4. Hawaii I, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 984. According to the study, it took the leading edge of the dye 84 days to go from wells 3 and 4 to the ocean and about 64% of the dye injected into these wells was discharged from the submarine springs to the Pacific Ocean. Id. The dye's appearance in the ocean "conclusively demonstrated that a hydrogeologic connection exists." Id. at 985-86. 0 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 14 of 45 Although tracer dye was not placed into well 1 and dye from well 2 was not detected in the study, the County "acknowledge [d] that there is a hydrogeologic connection between wells 1 and 2 and the ocean." Hawaii 11, 2015 WL 328227, at *1-2. The tracer -dye study models indicated that, in some circumstances, treated effluent from well 2 would move along flowpaths similar to those traveled by the dye injected into wells 3 and 4 and emerge at the same springs. Supplemental Excerpts of Record (SER) 237, 240, 243. There is no dispute that given the proximity of wells 1 and 2, the modeling for well 2 predicts the flowpaths for discharges from well 1. Excerpts of Record (ER) 443; SER 189. III. PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND In April 2012, Plaintiffs -Appellees Hawaii Wildlife Fund, Sierra Club -Maui Group, Surfrider Foundation, and West Maui Preservation Association filed suit seeking to require the County to obtain and comply with a NPDES permit and to pay civil penalties. Hawaii 1, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 986. The district court issued three partial summary - judgment opinions in favor of Plaintiffs. The parties then entered into a settlement agreement, in which the County stipulated to terms 7 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 15 of 45 contingent on a final judgment that the County violated the CWA and that the County was "not immune from" civil penalties. Haw. Wildlife Fund v. Cty. of Maui, No. 12-198, ECF No. 259. The court entered final judgment in accordance with its opinions and the settlement agreement. The district court's'first opinion held the County liable under the CWA for unpermitted discharges from wells 3 and -4. Hawaii I, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 1000. The court started its analysis with the language and purpose of the CWA, and also relied on EPA's interpretation and case law. Id. at 995-96. The court explained that Plaintiffs "must show that pollutants can be directly traced from the injection wells to the ocean such that the discharge at the LWRF is a de facto discharge into the ocean." Id. at 998 (emphasis in.original). The court found that Plaintiffs had met this burden. Id. at 998-1000. The district court also found CWA liability under the "significant nexus" standard from Justice Kennedy's concurring opinion in Rapanos, 547 U.S. at 755-56, and the Ninth Circuit's application of that standard in Northern California River Watch v. City of Healdsburg, 496 F.3d 993, 999-1000 (9th Cir. 2007). Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 16 of 45 The district court's second opinion held the County liable for unpermitted discharges from wells 1 and 2. Hawaii II, 2015 WL 328227, at *6. The County "expressly conced[ed] that pollutants introduced by the County into wells 1 and 2 were making their way to the ocean," and the court rejected the County's argument that liability does not arise unless a pollutant passes through "a series of sequential point sources." Id. at *2-4. The district court's third opinion rejected the County's argument that it was not subject to civil penalties for its unpermitted discharges because it lacked fair notice. Haw. Wildlife Fund v. Cty. of Maui, No. 12-198, 2015 WL 3903918, at *6 (D. Haw. June 25, 2015) [Hawaii III]. The court determined that the County had notice because the discharges "clearly implicate[d] each statutory element." Id. at *4. The court further held that its adjudication of the first motion for partial summary -judgment provided notice to the County. Id. at *6. The parties then entered into a settlement agreement, in which the County stipulated that it would make good faith efforts to obtain and comply with a NPDES permit and that it would pay $100,000 in civil penalties and $2.5 million for a supplemental environmental Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 17 of 45 project, all contingent on a final judgment and ruling that the County violated the CWA and that the County was "not immune from" civil penalties. Haw. Wildlife Fund v. Cty. of Maui, No. 12-198, ECF No. 259. The district court then entered a final judgment. SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT The judgment should be affirmed because it is consistent with the language and purpose of the Clean Water Act and EPA's longstanding interpretation and practice of issuing NPDES permits for discharges of pollutants similar to the ones here. As Justice Scalia said in Rapanos, the statute's language prohibiting "any addition of any pollutant to navigable waters from any point source" does not limit liability only to discharges of pollutants directly to navigable waters. See Rapanos, 547 U.S. at 743 (plurality op.) (emphasis in original). Courts have interpreted the CWA as covering not only discharges of pollutants directly to navigable waters, but also discharges of pollutants that travel from a point source to navigable waters over the surface of the ground or through underground means. E.g., Sierra Club v. Abston Constr. Co., 620 F.2d 41, 44-45 (5th Cir. 1980). The discharges in this case fall squarely within the statutory language. 10 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 18 of 45 In the United States' view, a NPDES permit is required here because the discharges at issue are from a point source (i.e., the injection wells) to waters of the United States (i.e., the Pacific Ocean's coastal waters). To be clear, the United States views groundwater as neither a point source nor a water of the United States regulated by the CWA. The United States therefore agrees with the district court's conclusion that a NPDES permit was required here, but only to the extent that the court's analysis is consistent with the above -stated principles regarding groundwater. The district court's conclusions accord with the CWA's purpose. Congress enacted the CWA "to restore and maintain ... the country's waters"; and to achieve this goal, Congress created a strict -liability regime prohibiting discharges unless they are authorized under the CWA. Recognizing Congress's goals in the CWA, courts have concluded that in certain circumstances discharges of pollutants that reach navigable waters through groundwater fall squarely within the statute's terms. E.g., Idaho Rural Council v. Bosma, 143 F. Supp. 2d 1169, 1179-80 (D. Idaho 2001). 11 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 19 of 45 Even if Congress's intent on this issue had been ambiguous, EPA has clearly stated for decades that pollutants that move through groundwater can constitute discharges subject to the CWA, and that interpretation is entitled to Chevron deference. Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 467 U.S. 837, 842-43 (1984). It has been EPA's longstanding position that discharges moving through groundwater to a jurisdictional surface water are subject to CWA permitting requirements if there is a "direct hydrological connection" between the groundwater and the surface water. See NPDES Permit Regulation and Effluent Limitations Guidelines and Standards for Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations, 66 Fed. Reg. 2960, 3017 (Jan. 12, 2001). This formulation recognizes that some hydrological connections are too circuitous and attenuated to come under the CWA. Id. The County argues that the district court dispensed with the requirements that a discharge be "from a point source" and "to navigable water" because the effluent was discharged from a nonpoint source and because the effluent was discharged into groundwater, which is not covered by the CWA. Opening Brief (Op. Br.) at 21, 27, 30. 12 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 20 of 45 This attempt to bifurcate the movement of the pollutants into two separate events is inconsistent with the statute's language and purpose. It also ignores the undisputed fact that the pollutants moved through that groundwater to the ocean. The County's argument that no civil penalty should have been imposed because the County lacked fair notice lacks merit. The County was on notice both as a general matter—through the CWA's language and EPA's statements in rulemakings—and specifically—through communications from EPA to the County. In any event, the question of fair notice goes to the amount of the civil penalty, an amount the County stipulated to, and is only one of many factors informing a civil - penalty amount. ARGUMENT I. THE DISTRICT COURT'S DECISIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE LANGUAGE AND PURPOSE OF THE CWA. The district court's judgment holding the County liable under the CWA is consistent with the text and purpose of the statute. It is also consistent with EPA's long -held position governing when the CWA requires permits for discharges of pollutants that move to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater with a direct hydrological 13 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 21 of 45 connection. The County cannot recast the nature of the discharges to avoid that result. A. Discharges of Pollutants to Jurisdictional Surface Waters Through Groundwater with a Direct Hydrological Connection Properly Require CWA Permits. When Congress prohibited the unpermitted "discharge of any pollutant," it defined this term broadly as "any addition of any pollutant to navigable waters from any point source." 33 U.S.C. §§ 1311, 1362(12)(A). As the County concedes, "a point source does not need to discharge directly into navigable waters to trigger NPDES permitting." Op. Br. at 27. Because Congress did not limit the term "discharges of pollutants" to only direct discharges to navigable waters, discharges through groundwater may fall within the purview of the CWA. This reading of "discharge of a pollutant" has been applied in other similar contexts where discharges of pollutants have moved from a point source to navigable waters over the surface of the ground or by some other means. In Sierra Club v. Abston Construction, which addressed discharges from mining operations that traveled to navigable waters in part through surface runoff, the Fifth Circuit stated that "[g]ravity flow, resulting in a discharge into navigable body of water, 14 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 22 of 45 may be part of a point source discharge if the [discharger] at least initially collected and channeled the water and other materials."3 620 F.2d at 44-45; see also Friends of Sakonnet v. Dutra, 738 F. Supp. 623, 628, 630 (D.R.I. 1990) (defendant liable for discharge of "raw sewage [that] was running directly from the leaching field, on the surface of the ground for approximately 250 feet, into the [surface water]"); O'Leary v. Moyer's Landfill, Inc., 523 F. Supp. 642, 647 (E.D. Pa. 1981) ("[T]here is no requirement that the point source need be directly adjacent -to the waters it pollutes."). That Congress gave the term "discharge of a pollutant" a broad meaning finds support in cases where CWA liability attached for discharges from point sources that traveled through other means before reaching surface waters. See Rapanos, 547 U.S. at 743 (noting that courts have found violations of Section 301 "even if the pollutants discharged from a point source do not emit `directly into' covered 3 The County misconstrues the United States' position as amicus curiae in Abston Construction. See Op. Br. at 30-31. The United States took the position that discharges of pollutants that traveled indirectly from a point source to jurisdictional surface waters through surface runoff or the gravity flow of rainwater come within the scope of the CWA. Brief for the United States as Amicus Curiae, at 35-36, Sierra Club v. Abston Constr. Co., No. 77-2530 (5th Cir. 1980). 15 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 23 of 45 waters, but pass `through conveyances' in between") (citing Sierra Club v. El Paso Gold Mines, Inc., 421 F.3d 1133, 1137 (10th Cir. 2005) (defendant could be liable for discharges conveyed from its point -source mine shaft to jurisdictional surface water through a tunnel that defendant did not own); United States v. Velsicol Chem. Corp., 438 F. Supp. 945, 946-47 (W.D. Tenn. 1976) (holding that CWA covered pollutants discharged from defendant's point source to jurisdictional surface waters conveyed through a sewer system that the defendant did not own)). Because courts have interpreted the term "discharge of a pollutant" to cover discharges over the ground and through other means, exempting discharges through groundwater could lead to absurd results. As one court noted, "it would hardly make sense for the CWA to encompass a polluter who discharges pollutants via a pipe running from the factory directly to the riverbank, but not a polluter who dumps the same pollutants into a man-made settling basin some distance short of the river and then allows the pollutants to seep into the river via the groundwater." N. Cal. River Watch v. Mercer Fraser Co., No. 04-4620, 2005 WL 2122052, at *2 (N.D. Cal. Sept. 1, 2005). 16 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 24 of 45 The County concedes that discharges need not be direct and that a discharge through a conveyance requires a permit. Op. Br. at 27. The County argues, however, that the conveyance itself must be a point source and that because groundwater is not a point source, the. district court "impermissibly `transform[s] a nonpoint source into a point source."' Id. at 27-28, 33. The County's interpretation is flawed. Contrary to the County's argument, the district court did not eliminate the requirement that a discharge be "from a point source." All it said was that pollutants from a point source need not be emitted directly into covered waters. The case law does not require the means by which the pollutant discharged from a point source reaches a water of the United States to be a point source. While the County's statement that the statutory definition of "navigable waters" does not include groundwater is accurate, Op. Br. at 21, it is beside the point. There is no dispute that groundwater itself is not a "navigable water," 80 Fed. Reg. 37,054, 37,055 (June 29, 2015), but the district court's decisions hinge on the movement of pollutants to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater with a direct 17 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 25 of 45 hydrological connection. Such an addition of pollutants to navigable waters falls squarely within the CWA's scope. The County relies on the treatment of groundwater in legislative history, Op. Br. at 21-23, but this "only supports the unremarkable proposition with which all courts agree—that the CWA does not regulate `isolated/nontributary groundwater' which has no [effect] on surface water.". Bosma, 143 F. Supp. 2d at 1180. It does not undermine the conclusion that discharges of pollutants through groundwater to jurisdictional surface waters are subject to the NPDES program. The County contends that case law does not support the district court's interpretation, Op. Br. at 35-37, but this argument largely ignores the majority of the courts that have addressed this issue and concluded that discharges that move from a point source to jurisdictional surface waters via groundwater with a hydrological connection are subject to regulation under the CWA. See, e.g., Sierra Club v. Va. Elec. & Power Co., No. 15-112, 2015 WL 6830301 (E.D. Va. Nov. 6, 2015); Yadkin Riverkeeper v. Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, No. 14-753, 2015 WL 6157706 (M.D.N.C. Oct. 20, 2015); S.F. Herring Ass n v. Pac. Gas & Elec. Co., 81 F. Supp. 3d 847 (N.D. Cal. 2015); Hernandez Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 26 of 45 v. Esso Std. Oil Co., 599 F. Supp. 2d 175 (D.P.R. 2009); Nw. Envtl. Def. Ctr. v. Grabhorn, No. 08-548, 2009 WL 3672895 (D. Or. Oct. 30, 2009); Mercer Fraser, 2005 WL 2122052; Bosma, 143 F. Supp. 2d 1169. The County's reliance on other case law (Op. Br. at 35-36) is unavailing for three reasons. First, none of the cases are controlling precedent. Second, most of these decisions are inapposite because they do not address the issue of discharges of pollutants that move through groundwater to jurisdictional surface waters.. In Village of Oconomowoc Lake v. Dayton Hudson, Corp., the court examined whether groundwater itself was a navigable water, i.e., a water within the meaning of the CWA. 24 F.3d 962, 965 (7th Cir. 1994). That is distinct from whether a CWA permit is required when pollutants travel to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater with a direct hydrological connection. Third, these cases do not foreclose application of the CWA where a direct hydrological connection to jurisdictional surface waters can be found. In Rice v. Harken Exploration Co., the court concluded that a discharge of oil that might reach navigable waters by gradual, natural seepage was not the equivalent of a discharge to navigable waters. 250 19 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 27 of 45 F.3d 264, 271 (5th Cir. 2001). The court suggested, however, that it would be open to finding a discharge had occurred through groundwater when it underscored the plaintiffs' failure to provide any "evidence of a close, direct and proximate link between [the defendant's] discharges of oil and any resulting actual, identifiable oil contamination of a particular body of natural surface water." Id. at 272. B. The District Court's Decisions Give Full Effect to Congress's Intent to Restore and Maintain the Nation's Waters. Congress's purpose in enacting the CWA—to "restore and maintain the chemical, physical, and biological integrity of the Nation's waters"—embraced a "broad, systemic view ... of water quality." United States- v. Riverside Bayview Homes, Inc., 474 U.S. 121, 132 (1985). The County attempts to minimalize that goal. Adopting the County's theory would allow dischargers to avoid responsibility simply by discharging pollutants from a point source into jurisdictional surface waters through any means that was not direct. Courts have viewed the CWA's broad purpose of protecting the quality of navigable waters as a clear congressional signal that "any pollutant which enters such waters, whether directly or through Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 28 of 45 groundwater, is subject to regulation by NPDES permit." Wash. Wilderness Coal. u. Hecla Mining Co., 870 F. Supp. 983, 990 (E.D. Wash. 1994). "Stated even more simply, whether pollution is introduced by a visible, above -ground conduit or enters the surface water through the aquifer matters little to the fish, waterfowl, and recreational users which are affected by the degradation to our nation's rivers and streams." Bosma, 143 F. Supp. 2d at 1179-80. The state's authority to protect groundwater is in no way impaired by subjecting point sources to NPDES-permit requirements to protect surface waters. Thus, the County's argument that it should not be liable here because "preservation of states' authority over the regulation of groundwater" is a "co -equal" goal of the CWA misses the mark. Op. Br. at 34-35. This emphatically is not a case about the regulation of groundwater. Instead it is about the regulation of discharges of pollutants to waters of the United States. To the extent the County's argument relies on the regulatory scheme governing disposal into wells, Op. Br. at 24-27, that is flawed because the regulation of wells under the Safe Drinking Water Act's (SDWA) Underground Injection Control (UIC) program does not preclude or displace regulation under the 21 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 29 of 45 CWXs NPDES program.4 See Hudson R. Fishermen's Assn v. City of New York, 751 F. Supp. 1088, 1100 (S.D.N.Y. 1990), aff'd, 940 F.2d 649 (2d Cir. 1991) (objectives of the CWA and the SDWA are not "mutually exclusive"); see also Bath Petrol. Storage, Inc. v. Sovas, 309 F. Supp. 2d 357, 369 (N.D.N.Y. 2004). C. The District Court's Finding of Liability Is Consistent with EPA's Longstanding Position. EPA's longstanding position has been that point -source discharges of pollutants moving through groundwater to a jurisdictional surface water are subject to CWA permitting requirements if there is a "direct hydrological connection" between the groundwater and the surface water. EPA has repeatedly articulated this view in multiple rulemaking preambles. In 1990, EPA stated that "this rulemaking only addresses discharges to water of the United States, consequently discharges to ground waters are not covered by this rulemaking (unless there is a 4 The County misconstrues EPA's position in Inland Steel v. EPA, 901 F.2d 1419 (7th Cir. 1990). EPA argued that not all disposals into injection wells are discharges of pollutants under the CWA, and that the connection between the wells and navigable waters in that case was too attenuated to bring the discharges under the purview of the CWA. Id. at 1422-23. That position (embraced by the Seventh Circuit) does not mean that "injection into wells is not a discharge of pollutants requiring a NPDES permit." Op. Br. at 27. 22 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 30 of 45 hydrological connection between the ground water and a nearby surface water body)." NPDES Permit Application Regulations. for Storm Water Discharges, 55 Fed. Reg. 47,990, 47,997 (Dec. 2, 1990). And in the preamble to its final rule addressing water quality standards on Indian lands, EPA stated: [T]he Act requires NPDES permits for discharges to groundwater where there is a direct hydrological connection between groundwaters and surface waters. In these situations, the affected groundwaters are not considered "waters of the United States" but discharges to them are regulated because such discharges are effectively discharges to the directly connected surface waters. 56 Fed. Reg. at 64,982. In 2001, EPA reiterated its position: "As a legal and factual matter, EPA has made a determination that, in general, collected or channeled pollutants conveyed to surface waters via ground water can constitute a discharge subject to the Clean Water Act." 66 Fed. Reg. at 3017. EPA recognized that the determination was "a factual inquiry, like all point source determinations," adding: The time and distance by which a point source discharge is connected to surface waters via hydrologically connected surface waters will be affected by many site specific factors, such as geology, flow, and slope. Therefore, EPA is not proposing to establish any specific criteria beyond confining 23 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 31 of 45 the scope of the regulation to discharges to surface water via a "direct" hydrological connection. Id. A general hydrological connection between all groundwater and surface waters is insufficient; there must be evidence showing a direct hydrological connection between specific groundwater and specific surface waters. Id. To the extent there is statutory ambiguity about whether the CWA applies to discharges to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater, EPA's interpretation is entitled to Chevron deference. Chevron, 467 U.S. at 842-43. The County's contention that the direct -hydrological -connection standard is at odds with EPA's recently -stated position on whether groundwater is a jurisdictional water misinterprets EPA's statements. Op. Br. at 38-39. The Clean Water Rule, which was promulgated in June 2015 (and stayed by the Sixth Circuit pending further order of the court, see In re EPA & Dept of Def. Final Rule, 803 F.3d 804, 809 (6th Cir. 2015)), expressly excludes groundwater from the definition of "waters of the United States." 80 Fed. Reg. 37,054. But, as EPA clarified, the fact that groundwater itself is not jurisdictional under the CWA does not mean that pollutants that reach waters of the United 24 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 32 of 45 States through groundwater do not require CWA permits. "EPA agrees that the agency has a longstanding and consistent interpretation that the Clean Water Act may cover discharges of pollutants from point sources to surface water that occur via ground water that has a direct hydrologic connection to the surface water. Nothing in this rule changes or affects that longstanding interpretation, including the exclusion of groundwater from the definition of `waters of the United States."' See EPA, Response to Comments — Topic 10 Legal Analysis (June 30, 2015); available at http://www.epa.gov/cleanwaterrule/response-comments- clean-water-rule - definition -waters -unite d- states. The County erroneously attempts to conflate the jurisdictional exclusion of groundwater with the role that groundwater can play as the pathway through which pollutants from a point source reach jurisdictional surface waters.5 5 The district court stated that if the proposed Clean Water Rule was finalized, it "would likely mean that the groundwater under the [facility] could not itself be considered `waters of the United States"' and that this would affect whether Plaintiffs could also prevail under Healdsburg. Hawaii 1, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 1001. But the court erred in attempting to apply Healdsburg because the jurisdictional status of groundwater itself is irrelevant to whether discharges that move through groundwater to jurisdictional waters require NPDES permits. M, Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 33 of 45 II. THE COUNTY Is LIABLE FOR UNPERMITTED DISCHARGES DUE TO THE "DIRECT HYDROLOGICAL CONNECTION" BETWEEN THE GROUNDWATER AND THE OCEAN. Discharges of pollutants from a point source that move through groundwater are subject to CWA permitting requirements if there is a direct hydrological connection between the groundwater and a jurisdictional surface water.6 Ascertaining whether there is a direct hydrological connection is a fact -specific determination. 66 Fed. Reg. at 3017. To qualify as "direct," a pollutant must be able to proceed from the point of injection to the surface water without significant interruption. Relevant evidence includes the time it takes for a pollutant to move to surface waters, the distance it travels, and its traceability to the point source. These factors will be affected by the type of pollutant, geology, direction of groundwater flow, and evidence that the pollutant can or does reach jurisdictional surface waters. Id. Here, the district court correctly held that the County discharged pollutants to the ocean through groundwater. In Hawaii I, the court 6 Some courts refer to a "hydrological connection." The more accurate formulation, however, is a "direct hydrological connection," which recognizes that some connections are too circuitous and attenuated to be under the CWA's purview. 26 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 34 of 45 determined that a direct hydrological connection exists between the groundwater and the ocean. The tracer -dye study clearly established that the discharges moved from wells 3 and 4 to the ocean in relatively short order.? Hawaii I, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 984. The study concluded that after 84 days, the dye began to appear along the North Kaanapali Beach, half a mile from the facility. Id. The tracer -dye study also estimated that 64% of the treated effluent from wells 3 and 4 followed this route to the ocean. Id. Although the court's ultimate conclusion was correct, the court's alternative explanation for the County's liability under the "significant nexus" standard from Rapanos and Healdsburg was erroneous. Hawaii I, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 1004. Rapanos and Healdsburg applied the "significant nexus" standard in determining whether the receiving waters were "waters of the United States." In contrast, here, there is no dispute that the Pacific Ocean (the receiving water in this case), as a "territorial sea," is a "navigable water" under the CWA. This Court 7 Although this tracer -dye study simplified the analysis, such studies are not the only means of demonstrating a direct hydrological connection. It also is not necessary to trace the exact pathway that the pollutants take to establish that a direct hydrological connection exists. 27 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 35 of 45 should clarify that the "significant nexus" standard has no relevance here. In Hawaii II, the district court correctly held the County discharged pollutants from wells 1 and 2 to the ocean through groundwater. But the court's opinion did not go into great detail about the movement through groundwater because the County "expressly conced[ed] that pollutants introduced by the County into wells 1 and 2 were making their way to the ocean" and "acknowledge [d] that there is a hydrogeologic connection between wells 1 and 2 and the ocean." Hawaii II, 2015 WL 328227, at *2. There was additional evidence that a direct hydrological connection existed between wells 1 and 2 and the Pacific Ocean. First, the tracer -dye study models indicated that in some circumstances treated effluent from well 2 would move along flowpaths that were similar to those traveled by the dye injected into wells 3 and 4 and would emerge at the same submarine springs. SER 237, 240, 243. Because wells 3 and 4 are located between the springs and well 2, the flowpath for these discharges would be affected by the amount of effluent injected into each .well. SER 237. When most of the effluent was Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 36 of 45 injected into wells 3 and 4, the effluent from well 2 would travel northwesterly from the wells and not toward the springs; however, when well 2 received all of the effluent, the study indicated that the discharges would emerge at the springs. SER 240, 243. There was no dispute that given the proximity of wells 1 and 2, the modeling for well 2 predicts the pathways for discharges from well 1. ER 443, SER 189. Second, Plaintiffs' expert stated that the effluent discharged from wells 1 and 2 "will be conveyed ... relatively quickly (i.e., with first arrival at the ocean in a matter of months)" and concluded that "[s]ince the aquifer material and hydraulic gradient in the area of all four ... wells are similar, the groundwater flow will also be similar." SER 183. Although the County's expert argued that the point of entry for pollutants into the ocean from wells 1 and 2 could not be identified, the County did not dispute that the study showed effluent emerging at the same springs where the effluent from wells 3 and 4 emerged. Haw. Wildlife Fund u. Cty. of Maui, No. 12-198, ECF No. 136, at 16. Any fears about the implications of point -source discharges to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater with a direct hydrological connection being subject to NPDES-permit requirements 29 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 37 of 45 are unwarranted. Op. Br. at 43-44. EPA and states have been issuing permits for this type of discharge from a number of industries, including chemical plants, concentrated animal feeding operations, mines, and oil and gas waste -treatment facilities. See, e.g., NPDES Permit No. NM0022306, available at https://www.env.nm.gov/swqb/Permits/; NPDES Permit No. WA0023434, available at https://yosemite.epa. gov/r10/water.nsf/NPD ES+Permits/CurrentOR&W A821. Further, only those discharges that move through groundwater with a direct hydrological connection to surface waters are affected. That not all discharges through groundwater are subject to NPDES- permit requirements is shown by cases where the hydrological connections were too attenuated. In McClellan Ecological Seepage Situation (MESS) v. Weinberger, the court agreed with the plaintiff that discharges through groundwater may be subject to the CWA and allowed the parties to submit evidence on the issue. 707 F. Supp. 1182, 1196 (E.D. Cal. 1988). Based on evidence indicating that it would take "literally dozens, and perhaps hundreds, of years for any pollutants in the groundwater to reach surface waters," the court found that there 30 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 38 of 45 were no regulated discharges. MESS v. Cheney, 763 F. Supp. 431, 437 (E.D. Cal. 1989). And even after allowing the plaintiff an opportunity to provide more testimony at trial, the court ruled that the plaintiff had failed to meet its burden. MESS v. Cheney, No. 86-475, 20 Envtl. L. Rep. 20,877 (E.D. Cal. Apr. 30, 1990), vacated on other grounds, 47 F.3d 325, 331 (9th Cir. 1995). Likewise, in Greater Yellowstone Coalition v. Larson, evidence indicated that the connection to surface waters was too attenuated. 641 F. Supp: 2d 1120 (D. Idaho 2009), aff'd 628 F.3d 1143, 1153 (9th Cir. 2010). In that case, federal agencies determined that a CWA Section 401 certification was not required for a mining operation. Under Section 401, "[a]ny applicant for a Federal license or permit to conduct any activity ... which may result in any discharge into the navigable waters, shall provide the licensing or permitting agency a certification from the State ... that any such discharge will comply with the applicable provisions." 33 U.S.C. § 1341(a)(1). The agencies based their determination on evidence that before reaching surface waters, the pollutants would pass through hundreds of feet of overburden and bedrock, and then travel underground through soil and rock for one to 31 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 39 of 45 four miles. Greater Yellowstone, 641 F. Supp. 2d at 1139. Modeling predicted that the movement of peak concentrations would take between 60 and 420 years. Id. The court weighed competing evidence from the plaintiff and ultimately deferred to the agencies' determination that the hydrological connection was too attenuated. Id. at 1141. Unlike MESS and Greater Yellowstone, in which the connection was too attenuated, the discharges here resulted from a direct hydrological connection, and thus require a permit. III. THE DISTRICT COURT CORRECTLY HELD THAT THE COUNTY HAD FAIR NOTICE FOR PURPOSES OF CIVIL PENALTIES. In the Argument section of its brief, the County maintains that this Court should direct the district court to set aside any civil penalties "imposed on the County regardless of the outcome of the challenge to the district court's liability rulings" because it lacked fair notice. Op. Br. at 47. As an initial matter, the County would seemingly be precluded from appealing the fair -notice issue as to civil penalties because it stipulated to their amount in the settlement agreement. To the extent that the County has reserved its right to appeal the issue, however, the County's argument lacks merit. 32 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 40 of 45 This Court has held that a party may not be deprived of property through civil penalties without fair notice. See United States v.. Approximately 64,695 Pounds of Shark Fins, 520 F.3d 976, 980 (9th Cir. 2008). To provide notice, "a statute or regulation must `give the person of ordinary intelligence a reasonable opportunity to know what is prohibited so that he may act accordingly."' Id. This Court looks first to the language of the statute when determining whether a party had fair notice. Id. As discussed above, Congress used broad language in the CWA in defining the discharge of pollutants, and that expansiveness provides a reasonable opportunity for a person to know what the statute prohibits. The breadth of that language is only bolstered by the intent of the CWA. Moreover, EPA has made multiple public statements in rulemaking preambles that consistently described its interpretation that discharges of pollutants to jurisdictional surface waters through groundwater with a direct hydrological connection are subject to NPDES permitting under the CWA. Further, with respect to specific communications with the County, EPA sent two letters to the County in early 2010. In January 2010, EPA stated that it was "investigating the 33 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 41 of 45 possible discharge of pollutants to the coastal waters of the Pacific Ocean along the Kaanapali coast of Maui." SER `5. This investigation was spurred in part by a 2007 study concluding that much of the nitrogen in Kaanapali coastal waters came from the County's facility and a 2009 study that found the same nitrogen signature and other "wastewater presence" in the ocean. Hawaii 1, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 984. The letter continued: "In order to assess the impact of the [facility's] effluent on the coastal waters and determine compliance with the Act, EPA is requiring the County to sample the injected effluent, sample the coastal seeps, conduct an introduced tracer study, and submit reports on findings to EPA." SER 5. EPA required this sampling, monitoring, and reporting pursuant to CWA Section 308, under which "the [EPA] Administrator shall require the owner or operator of any point source" to provide the information. 33 U.S.C. § 1318(a)(A). The letter provided notice that there was evidence suggesting a hydrological connection. In March 2010, EPA responded to the County's request for a UIC permit renewal under the SDWA "by informing the County that recent studies `strongly suggest that effluent from the facility's injection wells is discharging into the near shore coastal zone of the Pacific Ocean." -- 34 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 42 of 45 Hawaii I, 24 F. Supp. 3d at 984 (quoting ER 122). As a result, EPA required the County to apply for a CWA Section 401 water -quality certification for its injection facilities as a prerequisite to EPA's issuance of a new UIC permit. ER 121-22; see 33 U.S.C. § 1341(a). The County's assertion that this letter did not put it on notice of potential CWA liability because the certification was related to its UIC permit rather than any obligations under the NPDES program is unavailing. Op. Br. at 56-57. A UIC permit does not preclude the need for a NPDES permit where required, and the March 2010 communication reiterated EPA's position that the discharges might be covered by the CWA, depending on the results of the ordered sampling, monitoring, and reporting. The County was on fair notice. In any event, fair notice is only one of many factors informing a civil -penalty amount, see 33 U.S.C. § 1319(d), and thus the County's argument that the penalty should be set aside for lack of fair notice alone is flawed. 35 Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 43 of 45 CONCLUSION For the foregoing reasons, the district court's judgment should be affirmed. OF COUNSEL: KARYN WENDELOWSKI U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of General Counsel Washington, D.C. May 31, 2016 90-12-14672 W: Respectfully submitted, JOHN C. CRUDEN Assistant Attorney General Is/ Frederick H. Turner FREDERICK H. TURNER AARON P. AVILA R. JUSTIN SMITH Attorneys, U.S. Dep't of Justice Env't & Natural Resources Div. P.O. Box 7415 Washington, DC 20044 (202) 305-0641 frederick.turner@usdoj.gov Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 44 of 45 CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE WITH TYPE VOLUME LIMITATION, TYPEFACE REQUIREMENTS, AND TYPE -STYLE REQUIREMENTS This brief complies with the type -volume limitation of Fed. R. App. P. 32(a)(7)(B) (for amicus briefs as provided by Fed. R. App. P. 29(d)) because it contains 6,904 words, excluding the parts of the brief exempted by Fed. R. App. P. 32(a)(7)(B)(iii). This brief complies with the typeface requirements of Fed. R. App. P. 32(a)(5) and the type -style requirements of Fed. R. App. P. 32(a)(6) because it has been prepared in a proportionally spaced typeface using Microsoft Word 14 -point Century Schoolbook. 37 I s / Frederick H. Turner FREDERICK H. TURNER U.S. Department of Justice Env't & Natural Resources Div. P.O. Box 7415 Washington, DC 20044 (202) 305-0641 frederick.turner@usdoj.gov Case: 15-17447, 05/31/2016, ID: 9997388, DktEntry: 40, Page 45 of 45 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that on May 31, 2016, I electronically filed the foregoing brief with the Clerk of the Court for the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit using the appellate CM/ECF system, which will serve the brief on the other participants in this case. I s /Frederick H. Turner FREDERICK H. TURNER U.S. Department of Justice Env't & Natural Resources Div. P.O. Box 7415 Washington, DC 20044 (202) 305-0641 frederick.turner@usdoj.gov Exhibit 2 Amended Expert Report of Douglas J. Cosler, Ph.D., P.E. Chemical Hydrogeologist Adaptive Groundwater Solutions LLC Charlotte, North Carolina Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basins Mooresboro, North Carolina RECEIVEDINCDEUDWR NOV 14 2016 Water Quality permitting Section April 13, 2016 Introduction Site Backaround The Cliffside Steam Station (CSS) is a coal-fired generating station owned by Duke Energy and located on a 1,000 -acre site in Mooresboro, Rutherford and Cleveland Counties, North Carolina, adjacent to the Broad River. CSS began operations 1940 with Units 1-4, followed later by Unit 5 (1972) and Unit 6 (2013). Units 5 and 6 are currently operating, but Units 1-4 were retired from service in 2011. An ash basin system has been historically used to dispose of coal combustion residuals ('coal ash") and other liquid discharges from the CSS coal combustion process. The ash basin system consists of an active ash basin (constructed in 1975 and expanded in 1980; used by Units 5 and 6), the Units 1-4 inactive ash basin (retired in 1977 upon reaching its capacity), and the Unit 5 inactive ash basin (retired at capacity in 1980, but local stormwater collects and infiltrates within its footprint). The active ash basin also contains an unlined dry ash storage area. Duke Energy performed voluntary groundwater monitoring around the active ash basin from August 2008 to August 2010 using wells installed in 1995/1996, 2005, and 2007. Compliance groundwater monitoring, required by a NPDES permit, has been performed by Duke starting in April 2011. Recent groundwater sampling results at Cliffside have indicated exceedances of 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Quality Standards (2L Standards). In response to this, the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NC DEQ) required Duke Energy to perform a groundwater assessment at the site and prepare a Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA) report. The Coal Ash Management Act of 2014 (CAMA) also required owners of surface impoundments containing coal combustion residuals (CCR) to conduct groundwater monitoring and assessment and prepare a CSA report. The recently -completed CSA (August 2015) prepared by HDR Engineering, Inc. of the Carolinas (HDR) determined that the source and cause of certain constituent regulatory exceedances at the CSS site is leaching from coal ash contained in the active and inactive ash basins and the ash storage area into underlying soil and groundwater. The Cliffside CSA report defined Constituents of Interest (COI) in soil, groundwater, and seeps that are attributable to coal ash handling and storage. CAMA also requires the submittal of a Corrective Action Plan (CAP); the CAP for the Cliffside site consists of two parts. CAP Part 1 (submitted to DEQ in November 2015) provides a summary of CSA findings, further evaluation and selection of COI, a site conceptual model (SCM), the development of groundwater flow and chemical transport models of the site, presentation and analysis of the results of the modeling, and a quantitative analysis of groundwater and surface water interactions. The CAP Part 2 contains proposed remedial methods for achieving groundwater quality restoration, conceptual plans for recommended corrective action, proposed future monitoring plans, and a risk assessment. 2 Information Reviewed My opinions are based upon an analysis and technical review of (i) hydrogeologic and chemical data collected at the Cliffside site; (ii) the analyses, interpretations, and conclusions presented in site -related technical documents and reports; (iii) the groundwater flow and chemical transport models constructed for the site (including model development, calibration, and simulations of remedial alternatives); (iv) the effectiveness of proposed remedial alternatives to achieve groundwater quality restoration; and (v) proposed future site monitoring. This amended report contains additional opinions based on my review of the recently -issued CAP Part 2 report. These opinions are subject to change as new information becomes available. As a basis for forming my opinions I reviewed the following documents and associated appendices: (1) Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (August 1'8, 2015); (2) Corrective Action Plan, Part 1, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (November 16, 2015); (3) Corrective Action Plan, Part 2, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (February 12, 2016); (4) Miscellaneous historical groundwater and soil concentration data for the Cliffside site collected prior to the CSA; and (5) Specific references cited in and listed at the end of4his report. Professional Qualifications I have advanced graduate degrees in Hydrogeology (Ph.D. Degree from The Ohio State University) and Civil and Environmental Engineering (Civil Engineer Degree from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology), and M.S. and B.S. degrees from Ohio State in Civil and Environmental Engineering. I have 36 years of experience as a chemical hydrogeologist and environmental engineer investigating and performing data analyses and computer modeling for a wide variety of projects. These projects include: investigation, remediation, and regulation of Superfund, RCRA, and other hazardous waste sites involving overburden and bedrock aquifers; ground water flow and chemical transport model development; natural attenuation/biodegradation assessments for chlorinated solvent and petroleum contamination sites; volatile organic compound vapor migration and exposure assessment; exposure modeling for health risk assessments; hydrologic impact assessment for minerals and coal mining; leachate collection system modeling and design for mine tailings disposal impoundments; and expert witness testimony and litigation support. I also develop commercial groundwater flow and chemical transport modeling software for the environmental industry. The types of sites I have investigated include: landfills, mining operations, manufactured gas plants, wood -treating facilities, chemical plants, water supply well fields, gasoline and fuel oil storage/delivery facilities, nuclear waste disposal sites, hazardous waste incinerators, and various industrial facilities. I 3 have investigated the following dissolved, nonaqueous-phase (LNAPL%DNAPL), and vapor -phase contaminants: chlorinated solvents, various metals, gasoline and fuel oil constituents, wood -treating products, coal tars, polychlorinated biphenyls, pesticides, dioxins and furans, phenolic compounds, flame retardants (PBDE), phthalates, radionuclides, and biological constituents. Summary of Opinions The following is a brief summary of the opinions developed in my report: • A total of 62 Compliance Boundary groundwater samples exceeded North Carolina groundwater standards for these COI: antimony, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, total dissolved solids, and vanadium. Of these 62' exceedances, 36 were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations by HDR; • The statistical analyses of shallow background groundwater- concentrations at the Cliffside site (well MW -24D) are invalid due to the characteristically slow rate of COI migration in groundwater; • There is a significant risk of chemical migration from the ash basin to neighboring private water supply wells in fractured bedrock; • Major limitations of the CAP groundwater flow and chemical transport models prevent simulation and analysis of off-site migration; • The CAP Closure Scenario simulations greatly underestimate (by factors of 10 or more) the time frames required to achieve meaningful groundwater concentration reductions in response to remedial actions; • For either the Existing Condition or Cap -in -Place Model Scenario groundwater concentrations of coal -ash constituents much higher than background levels will continue to exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary because saturated coal -ash material and secondary sources will remain in place; • Source -area mass removal included in the Excavation Scenario results in COI concentration reductions at the Compliance Boundary that are generally two to ten (2 - 10x) times greater compared to Cap -in -Place, best reduces impacts to surface water, and reduces cleanup times by factors of two to five (2 - 5x). Additional excavation of secondary sources would further accelerate concentration reductions; • The CAP simulations show that source excavation reduces groundwater concentrations for many COI below North Carolina groundwater standards (antimony, arsenic, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, nickel, thallium, vanadium), but cap -in-place closure does not; • CSA data show multiple exceedances of groundwater standards in bedrock not only at the compliance boundary but also inside the CB. However, the CAP Closure Scenarios do not address either concentration reduction or off-site chemical migration control in the fractured bedrock aquifer; 4 • Due to an incorrect boundary -condition representation of the active ash basin, the CAP models underestimate by a factor of two or more both the mass loading of COI into the Broad River and the corresponding Broad River water concentrations (attributable to coal ash ponds) estimated by the groundwater/surface-water mixing model; • The CAP Part 2 geochemical modeling and monitored natural attenuation (MNA) evaluations do not provide the required quantitative analyses of COI attenuation rates necessary to support MNA as a viable corrective action. The CAP 2 chemical transport modeling, which included attenuation by sorption, demonstrated that MNA is not an effective remedial option for several COI (e.g., antimony, arsenic, beryllium, boron, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, lead, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium); • Future Compliance Monitoring at the Cliffside site should include much more closely -spaced Compliance Wells to provide more accurate detection, and groundwater sampling frequency should be re-evaluated to allow valid statistical analyses of concentration variations. Hydrogeology of the Cliffside Site Introduction The groundwater system at the Cliffside site is an unconfined, connected system consisting of three basic flow layers: shallow, deep, and fractured bedrock. The shallow and deep layers consist of residual soil, saprolite (clay and coarser granular material formed by chemical weathering of bedrock), and weathered fractured rock (regolith). A transition zone at the base of the regolith is also present and consists of partially-weathered/fractured bedrock and lesser amounts of saprolite. The ash basin system overlies native soil and was constructed in historical drainage features formed from tributaries that flowed toward the Broad River using earthen embankment dams and dikes. As described in the CSA report, the active ash basin was formed by construction of two dams across natural drainages. At the upstream dam, Suck Creek was diverted through a canal and away from the ash basin to the Broad River, at its present-day configuration. The active ash basin downstream dam is located near the historical discharge point of Suck Creek into the Broad River. A large percentage of the coal ash lies below the groundwater table and is saturated. Groundwater flow through saturated coal ash and downward infiltration of rainwater through unsaturated coal ash leach COI into the subsurface beneath the basin and via seeps through the embankments. As described by HDR, groundwater flow in all three layers within the site boundary is generally from south to north toward the Broad River. Vertical groundwater flow between the three layers also occurs, and surface water ponding in the active ash basin effects flow directions locally. The CSA and CAP investigations assumed that all groundwater north of the ash basin system (overburden and bedrock 5 aquifers) discharges into the Broad River. However, these studies did not collect hydrogeologic data or perform data analyses or groundwater flow modeling to support this assumption. The CSA and CAP Parts 1 and 2 also did not analyze potential changes to site groundwater flow directions, or the risk of off- site migration of COI in the overburden or bedrock aquifers, caused by groundwater extraction from numerous private and public water supply wells located close to the site boundaries and near the Broad River. My report begins with a discussion of.significant errors in CSA data analysis and conceptual model development that contradict HDR's interpretation of three-dimensional groundwater flow patterns at the Cliffside site. This is followed by a presentation and discussion of measured exceedances of North Carolina groundwater standards at multiple locations on the ash basin compliance boundary. I then address several limitations of the CAP Parts 1 and 2 groundwater flow and chemical transport models and identify various model input data errors. Finally, I present my evaluations of the CAP Closure Scenario simulations and provide my opinions regarding the effectiveness of various remedial alternatives for restoring groundwater quality to North Carolina standards. Errors in Hydraulic Conductivity Test Analyses Background Throughout the CSA and CAP reports HDR provides interpretations and conclusions regarding the horizontal and vertical variations of groundwater flow directions and rates, and the fate and transport of COI dissolved in groundwater. The most important site-specific parameter that controls these time - dependent flow and transport mechanisms is the hydraulic conductivity (also referred to as "permeability") of the underlying soils and fractured bedrock (Bear, 1979). Hydraulic conductivity (length/time) is a media -specific measure of the rate at which water can flow through a porous (soil) or fractured (bedrock) porous medium. Groundwater flow and chemical transport rates are directly proportional to the product of hydraulic conductivity and the hydraulic gradient (hydraulic head difference between two points divided by the separation distance; e.g., the water table elevation slope at the Cliffside site). Therefore, accurate measurement of hydraulic conductivity is critical for understanding the current and future distributions of COI in soil and groundwater and for evaluating the effectiveness (e.g., cleanup times) of alternative remedial measures. In addition, the contrast in hydraulic conductivity between adjacent hydrogeologic units is the key factor in determining three-dimensional groundwater flow directions and the ultimate fate of dissolved COI. For example, at the Cliffside site accurate measurement of hydraulic conductivity is critical in evaluating the potential for: downward chemical migration into the fractured bedrock unit, off-site COI migration in the D overburden (soil) or fractured bedrock aquifers, groundwater flow and COI transport into or beneath the Broad River. A slug test is one of the standard field methods for measuring hydraulic conductivity (K) using a soil boring or installed monitoring well. Slug tests were performed in most of the overburden and bedrock wells at the Cliffside site. In this test the static water level in the open hole (boring) or well casing is suddenly increased or decreased and the resulting transient change in water level is recorded. Two commonly -used techniques for quickly changing the water level are the introduction (increases the water level) and removal (decreases the water level) of a solid rod, or "slug" into the boring or well casing. These tests are called "falling -head" and "rising -head" tests, respectively. Higher rates of water -level recovery correspond to higher values of K. The measurements of water level versus time are analyzed using mathematical models of the groundwater flow hydraulics and information regarding the well installation (e.g., length of the slotted monitoring well screen and well casing diameter) to compute an estimate of K. As discussed below, HDR made significant errors in all of their analyses of field slug test data. Their analysis errors caused the reported (CSA report) slug test hydraulic conductivity values to be as large as a factor of two (almost 100 percent) smaller than the correct K values. I discuss the impacts of these analysis errors on HDR's groundwater flow and chemical transport assessments and the CAP modeling later in my report. Overburden Slug Tests HDR analyzed all of the CSA overburden slug tests in shallow and deep wells with the Bouwer-Rice (1976) method using a vertical anisotropy, Av = Knorizonrat 1Kverttcat , that is as large as a factor of 100 lower than the values presented in the CSA report (e.g., compare geometric mean values in CSA Tables 11-10 and 11-11) and used in the CAP modeling (e.g., CAP 1 report Appendix C, Table 2), where K is hydraulic conductivity. Comparing CSA Tables 11-10 and 11-11, the measured A„for overburden soil units ranges from 4 to 50. In the calibrated CAP flow model A„ is on the order of 100 for overburden soil. However, the Bouwer-Rice slug test analyses assumed A„ = 1 for every monitoring well (CSA Appendix H). If the CAP 1 flow`nodel results (A„ — 100) are used in the Bouwer-Rice analyses all of the measured overburden hydraulic conductivity values increase by about 70 percent (factor of 1.7), depending on how the slug -test radius of influence was computed. Using the Tables 11-10/11-11 measured vertical anisotropies (A„ = 4 to 50) increases all of the measured overburden hydraulic conductivity values (CSA Table 11-4) by about 20-60 percent. Since every reported overburden K value in the CSA report (at least for new shallow and deep wells) is up to 70 percent too low, the actual average chemical transport rates in overburden soils are up to 70 7 percent greater than reported. This site -wide data reduction error also, affects the CAP flow and transport model calibrations. For example, the transport model developers significantly reduced laboratory measurements of the soil -water partition coefficient, Kd, for various COI during the transport model calibration based on comparisons of observed and simulated chemical migration rates. However, if the correct (i.e., higher) overburden Kvalues had been used in the model calibration the Kd values would not have been reduced as much (compared to laboratory values). The reason for this is, assuming linear equilibrium partitioning of COI with soil, the chemical migration rate is proportional to K/Kd (except for Kd << 1). The CAP 1 and 2 transport model history matching indicated that the simulated transport rate was too low, so the model developers reduced the model Kd. In other words, the reductions in calibrated Kd values would not have been as great if the correct (higher) K values were used in the first place. As discussed below, the CAP Part 2 transport modeling used Kd values that are generally a factor of about 10 larger than the CAP 1 values; however, the CAP 2 Kd's are still on the order of 10 times smaller than the measured site-specific Kd's reported in CAP 1 Appendix D and CAP 2 Appendix C. COI sorption to soil is important because, as discussed below, aquifer cleanup times (i.e., chemical flushing rates) are generally proportional to the chemical retardation factor, which is directly proportional to Kd, except when Kd << 1 (Zheng et al., 1991). Groundwater Flow Throughout the CSA and CAP reports HDR made several critical assumptions, not supported by data, regarding the horizontal and vertical groundwater flow directions near the boundaries of the Cliffside site which impacted their conclusions regarding the ultimate discharge locations for site groundwater and dissolved COI. Two examples discussed in this section are (i) the relationship between site groundwater and the Broad River and (ii) groundwater flow directions and the potential for offsite migration of COI. Broad River and the LeGrand Conceptual Model Most of the groundwater at the Cliffside site was apparently assumed to discharge into the Broad River (other than groundwater discharges to small streams such as Suck Creek) according to a generalized conceptual model (LeGrand, 2004) before actual site-specific hydrogeologic data were analyzed. Statements to this effect were made at numerous points in the CSA and CAP reports. However, HDR did not present any site-specific data analyses or groundwater flow modeling that would support this assumption in either report. In fact, as discussed below, the boundary conditions for the CAP Parts 1 and 2 flow models effectively forced site groundwater to discharge into the river at the downgradient model boundary. HDR continued to state this assumption in the CAP 2 report (e.g., Section 3.3.2) even though strong measured downward groundwater flow components exist next to the Broad River. In CAP 2 Section 3.3.2, HDR also states that "The Broad River serves as a hydrologic boundary for groundwater within the r;1 shallow, deep, and bedrock flow layers at the site." However, the river cannot be a "hydrologic boundary" for the deep and bedrock layers when the measured vertical flow direction in these layers is consistently downward at many locations next to the river (see discussion below), which demonstrates that HDR has not delineated this inferred 'lower boundary" used in the CAP models. HDR further states in CAP 2 Section 3.3.2 that "the approximate vertical extent of the groundwater impacts is generally limited to the shallow and deep flow layers, and vertical migration of CO/s is limited by the underlying bedrock." This statement ignores that fact that groundwater flow across the site is consistently downward from the impacted deep flow layer to the highly -fractured bedrock aquifer at many locations and that, as discussed below, 35 exceedances of North Carolina 2L and/or IMAC groundwater standards (and greater than background concentrations) were measured in samples collected from bedrock wells located inside the Compliance Boundary.. The LeGrand (2004) guidance document presents a general discussion of groundwater flow patterns that may occur near streams in the Piedmont and Mountain Region of North Carolina based on ground surface elevations (i.e., site topography and surface watershed boundaries). However, surface water and groundwater watersheds commonly do not coincide (Winter et al., 2003). Further, groundwater flow patterns and rates in bedrock have been found to be poorly related to topographic characteristics (Yin and Brook, 1992). LeGrand does not present or derive any mathematical equations or quantitative relationships for groundwater flow near rivers or streams. The author emphasizes that site-specific data must be collected in order to correctly evaluate river inflow or outflow. In strong contrast to the LeGrand generalizations, numerous detailed and sophisticated mathematical (analytical and numerical) river - aquifer models and highly -monitored field studies have been published in the scientific and engineering literature in the past several decades. What these investigations and applied hydraulic models show is that the water flow rate into or out of a river or stream and the depth of hydraulic influence within an underlying aquifer are highly sensitive to several factors, including: the transient river water surface elevation and slope; river bed topography; bed permeability and thickness; horizontal and vertical permeability (and thickness) of the different hydrogeologic units underlying the river; transient horizontal and vertical'hydraulic head variations in groundwater beneath and near the river; and groundwater extraction rates and screen elevations for neighboring pumping wells (e.g., Simon et al. 2015; McDonald and Harbaugh, 1988; Bear, 1979; Hantush, 1964). The CSA investigation did not: measure river bed permeability or thickness; characterize the river bathymetry; monitor transient water surface elevation variations at more than one location (one average value was used); collect river bed hydraulic gradient data; measure horizontal or vertical overburden or bedrock permeability beneath or on the northern side of the river; characterize the geology beneath or north of the river; measure hydraulic heads in the overburden or bedrock beneath or north of the river; or consider the hydraulic effects of groundwater extraction from nearby private water supply wells, as �7 discussed in the following section. With regard to the Cliffside site, much of the data that were collected in the CSA contradict the LeGrand hypothesis. A strong downward flow component (- 10 feet head difference) from deep overburden to bedrock was measured at the following locations next to the Broad River: GWA-21 (near several private bedrock supply wells), GWA-29, IB-3D/GWA-11 BRU, MW- 38D/MW-36BRU, and the entire area between the river and northern portion of the Active Ash Basin as generally bounded by the 650- to 725 -foot bedrock head contours (compare CSA Figures 6-6 and 6-7). The vertical flow direction from shallow to deep overburden is also downward in this area located between the Broad River and the Active Ash Basin (compare CSA Figures 6-5 and 6-6). In addition, downward groundwater flow was measured at several other locations across the site (CSA Table 11-13). A similar trend of downward groundwater flow from deep overburden to bedrock in these areas next to the river was measured in the CAP 2 investigation. Contour maps of vertical hydraulic gradient variations were not generated for the CSA or CAP Part 2, and HDR did not discuss the significance of downward hydraulic gradients next to the Broad River and at many other deep/bedrock monitoring well clusters. These downward groundwater flow measurements are consistent with the hydraulic conductivities of the bedrock and overburden being of similar magnitude, as discussed above. The strong and consistent measured downward groundwater flow components immediately adjacent to the Broad River and at other well clusters indicate that site groundwater is entering the deep fractured bedrock unit in these areas and that not all of the site groundwater discharges into the river as the site Conceptual Model and the CAP flow and transport models assume. The downward flow into bedrock may also be due in part to groundwater extraction from private bedrock water supply wells located near the eastern property boundary, but in the CSA and CAP investigations HDR assumed these factors related to the potential for off-site COI migration beneath the river were not important and did not evaluate them. Groundwater Flow Directions The CSA assumptions and analysis errors discussed above have had a strong effect on: the Conceptual Model development; the site hydrogeologic and COI transport assessment; the construction/calibration of the CAP flow and transport models; and the simulations of CAP Close Scenarios. The hydrogeologic assumptions should have been carefully evaluated and tested during the performance of the CSA and as part of the CAP groundwater flow model construction and calibration to determine whether they were valid. Instead, the hypotheses appear to have effectively guided the model development and led to inaccurate interpretations. As an illustration, because the permeability of the weathered bedrock is similar to the overlying soils at the Cliffside site the CSA and CAP interpretation that the bedrock acts as a lower confining layer for groundwater flow and chemical transport is incorrect. In addition, the similarity of the overburden and 10 bedrock aquifer permeability values increases the potential for off-site COI migration toward private water supply wells. Therefore, the CSA and CAP conclusions that (i) all site groundwater discharges into the Broad River and (ii) groundwater and dissolved coal -ash constituents are restricted from migrating to residential water supply wells are not consistent with the data. The CSA and CAP reports also did not adequately evaluate the three-dimensional groundwater flow field near and beneath the Broad River. Numerous private water supply wells are located in the following areas (CSA Figure 4-2): a few hundred feet north of the Broad River and immediately east of the Compliance Boundary for the Active Ash Basin, less than 1,500 feet from the Active and Unit 5 Inactive Ash Basins, and less than 1,500 feet from the Active Ash Basin and on the southern shore of the Broad River (close to the northeastern portion of the Compliance Boundary). Bedrock hydraulic head measurements (CSA Figure 6-8) for monitoring wells located next to the river (e.g., Wells GWA-32BR, GWA-11 BRU, GWA-29BR, and GWA-21 BR) indicate a strong easterly bedrock aquifer flow component from downgradient areas of the site toward these private wells on the southern shoreline. However, CSA Figure 6-8 does not show these head contours, and the CAP flow model boundary conditions artificially prevent groundwater from either flowing east or northeast beneath the Broad River (as underflow), or flowing toward the private wells neat the northeast Compliance Boundary. The CSA and CAP reports also do not address the large measured downward hydraulic gradients in the northern portion of the Active Ash Basin and near the river, and their potential relationship to offsite groundwater extraction from the bedrock aquifer. The CAP flow models were not properly constructed to allow evaluation of these observed three-dimensional flow patterns due to: the model no -flow boundary condition on•the eastern and western sides of the grid; the uniform specified head boundary condition in grid cells underlying the river (i.e., the sloping, west -to -east water surface elevation in the river was not represented in the model); and the fact that the CAP flow models did not include the effects of groundwater extraction from off-site water supply wells. Exceedances of Groundwater Standards In this section I compare measured groundwater concentrations in shallow, deep, and bedrock groundwater samples to North Carolina 2L and IMAC standards and show the following: (i) 60 measured exceedances for several COI at multiple locations on the Compliance Boundary (CB); (ii) an additional two CB exceedances based on chemical transport modeling I performed; (iii) 36 of the 62 Compliance Boundary exceedances were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC) by HDR; (iv) 37 of the 62 Compliance Boundary exceedances were greater than the maximum concentration at any background well from the same hydrogeologic unit (e.g., shallow, deep, or bedrock) for a particular constituent; (v) 12 more exceedances were measured in wells located on the Broad River; 11 (vi) 54 additional exceedances were observed in wells screened in the highly -permeable fractured bedrock unit underlying the ash basin system and located inside the CB; and (vii) the statistical analyses of groundwater concentrations at shallow monitoring well MW -24D for purposes of defining background levels were performed incorrectly. Throughout this report I reference the ash basin compliance boundary and the Duke Energy property boundary for the Cliffside site as drawn on maps developed by HDR (e.g., CSA Figure 6-2). My reference to the 'compliance boundary" is only for identification purposes and not an opinion that this boundary as drawn by HDR is accurate or legally correct. Summary of Exceedances Table 1 summarizes exceedances of 2L or IMAC standards in shallow, deep, and bedrock groundwater samples obtained from monitoring wells located: (i) on the Ash Basin Compliance Boundary (CB) as drawn by HDR; (ii) on the southern shore of the Broad River (RV), which is the downgradient boundary of the CAP groundwater flow and chemical transport models; (iii) bedrock wells (BR) located inside the CB; and (iv) modeled Compliance Boundary concentrations (CBM), using modeling techniques described below. The proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC) by HDR are also listed in Table 1. A total of 33 Compliance Boundary groundwater samples exceeded North Carolina 2L standards, and IMAC standards were exceeded in an additional 27 samples for these COI: antimony, boron, -chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, total dissolved solids, and vanadium. I estimated an additional two CB exceedances dowgradient from wells MW -11 S and GWA-27D for boron based on chemical transport modeling and measured upgradient concentrations (designated CBM in Table 1). In addition, 39 exceedances of 2L regulatory limits were observed in wells screened in the highly fractured bedrock unit located inside the CB. An additional 15 bedrock sample concentrations were greater than IMAC limits. Ten more 2L (plus two IMAC) exceedances were measured in wells located on the Broad River. A total of 29 of the 35 Compliance Boundary 2L (and 9 of 25 IMAC) exceedances were greater than the maximum concentration at any background well (from the same hydrogeologic unit; e.g., shallow or deep) for a particular constituent. All of the Broad River shoreline "RV" exceedances were greater than background levels. A total of 27 of the 39 bedrock 2L (and 8 of 15 IMAC) exceedances were greater than the maximum background concentration. A total of 36 of the 62 Compliance Boundary exceedances were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC) by HDR. 12 Note that the iso -concentration contours in all of the CSA Section 10 figures are not consistent, and are in many cases misleading, with regard to chemical transport mechanisms in the subsurface. For example, the iso -concentration contours in Section 10 generally closely encircle a monitoring well and infer no subsequent transport downgradient from the well location. This contouring problem is especially prevalent near the southern shore of the Broad River. Figure 10-65 (cobalt) is a good example of this practice. These closed contours at the downgradient property boundary suggest that COI transport beyond the farthest downgradient line of monitoring wells does not occur and that no COI migrate north of the southern shore of the river. However, the simulated (CAP model) "existing conditions" cobalt concentration contours in CAP Appendix C are 'open" at the Broad River, indicating transport beneath the river. Modeled Compliance Boundary Exceedances I computed Compliance Boundary (CB) concentrations labeled "CBM" with footnote "e" in Table 1 (MW - 11S and GWA-27D) using a calibrated one-dimensional, analytical chemical transport model (van Genuchten and Alves, 1982; Equation C5) because the CB at these locations was up to 400 feet downgradient from the wells and boron is highly mobile in the subsurface. I calibrated the analytical model to chemical -specific site conditions (i.e., determined model input parameter values) using CAP transport model simulated concentration versus time curves for "Existing Conditions" (CAP report Appendix C). The analytical model input parameters in my model were: groundwater pore velocity, chemical retardation factor, and longitudinal dispersivity. For each constituent, I used the calibrated analytical model to compute the concentration versus time curve immediately downgradient at the Compliance Boundary. Exceedances of Groundwater and Surface Water Standards in Seep Samples Concentrations in seeps discharging from the active ash basin (upstream toe, adjacent to Suck Creek) have exceeded North Carolina surface water standards (2B) and 2L and/or IMAC groundwater standards (e.g., arsenic, chromium, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, selenium, and vanadium; CAP Figures 2-2 and 2-3, CSA Table 7-9). Groundwater discharges to Suck Creek were confirmed by the CAP flow modeling. Elevated concentrations of boron, calcium, chloride, sulfate, and total dissolved solids were detected in a surface water sample from Suck Creek (SW -3) collected downgradient from the toe of the active ash basin upstream dam (page 90 of the CSA report). The CSA also identified other continuously -flowing seeps as tributaries of the Broad River [e.g., S-1, S-3, S-6, and S-8; refer to Table 1 in the Topographic Map and Discharge Assessment Plan(DAP)]. Seep S-3 is apparently part of a stream discharging to the Broad River north of inactive units 1-4 (DAP Figure 2). Seep S-6 is located downgradient from the downstream dam of the active ash basin and coincides with historical Suck Creek discharge (CSA Appendix I, Figure 1). Concentrations in samples from seep S-6 13 have exceeded relevant surface water 2B standards, and 2L and/or IMAC groundwater standards for boron, cobalt, iron, manganese, and vanadium. Concentrations in samples from seep S-3 have exceeded relevant surface water 2B standards for cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, thallium and total dissolved solids. For the CAP 2 sampling round (September 2015) the 2B standard for mercury was also exceeded at Seep S-1. Referring to my Table 1, 122 of the seep samples exceeded North Carolina groundwater standards (84 2L exceedances and 38 IMAC exceedances; CSA Table 7-11) for these COI: arsenic, barium, beryllium, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, sulfate, total dissolved solids, thallium, and vanadium. These samples were collected at the active ash basin; inactive ash basins 1-4 and 5; and the ash storage area. Statistical Analyses of Background Concentrations Appendix G of the CSA report presents statistical analyses of historical concentrations from Monitoring Wells MW -24D and MW-241DR, which HDR described as following methods specified by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA, 2009), in an attempt to establish background groundwater concentrations for the Cliffside site. As outlined in Sections 3.2.1 and 5.5.2 of the EPA guidance document these data must be checked to ensure that they are statistically independent and exhibit no pairwise correlation. Groundwater sampling data can be non -independent (i.e., autocorrelated) if the sampling frequency is too high (i.e., time interval between sampling events is too small) compared to the chemical migration rate in the aquifer (groundwater pore velocity divided by chemical retardation factor). Section 14 of the EPA guidance presents methods for ensuring that the Wells MW -24D and MW-24DR background data are not autocorrelated, but the analyses in CSA Appendix G did not include evaluations for statistical independence. As an illustration, "slow-moving" groundwater combined with high chemical retardation (i.e., large soil - water partition coefficients, Kd), which is the case at the Cliffside site, can lead to the same general volume of the chemical plume being repeatedly sampled when the monitoring events are closely spaced. Examining shallow wells at the Cliffside site, the shallow groundwater pore velocity (VP) is in the order of 70 ft/yr (CSA Table 11-14), which is representative of the pore velocity near well MW -241D. Note that shallow pore velocities are as much as a factor of 100 greater in many areas downgradient of the ash basin system (e.g., the active ash basin) due to much greater hydraulic gradients (- 10x larger) and larger hydraulic conductivity (- 10x greater) in these areas. In addition, groundwater pore velocities in deep overburden and in fractured bedrock are generally more than a factor of 1,000 greater than velocities in the shallow overburden (CSA Table 11-14). 14 The retardation factors, Rd, based on laboratory Kd measurements (Kd - 10 cm 3/g, or greater) are on the order of 100 (or greater) for many of the COI (except conservative parameters such as sulfate and boron). Therefore, the average shallow chemical migration rate at Cliffside (VP/Rd) is on the order of 0.7 ft/yr many of the non-conservative,C01 near well MW -241D, assuming linear equilibrium sorption (refer to discussion below). For quarterly sampling, the chemical migration distance between sampling rounds is about 0.2 feet for several COI, which is smaller than the sand pack diameter for the monitoring wells. Therefore, based on either quarterly or annual monitoring the shallow groundwater samples at Cliffside are basically representative of the same volume of the plume (i.e., the sandpack, depending on the well purge volume) for many COI, and any measured sample concentration changes are not due to real chemical transport effects in the aquifer. In this case, this means that the groundwater samples are non - independent and that the statistical analyses of background concentrations at Wells MW -24D do not satisfy the key requirements of the analysis method. CAP Groundwater Flow Model Underestimates Potential for Off -Site Chemical Migration My discussions in this section focus on limitations of the CAP groundwater flow model. I focus specifically on model boundary conditions representing the Broad River; the overall size of the model grid and no - flow boundary conditions on the western, southern, and eastern grid boundaries; groundwater flow in the fractured bedrock aquifer; and the potential for off-site groundwater flow in relation to groundwater extraction from numerous private and public water supply wells located close to the model boundaries, but not incorporated into the flow model Broad River Boundary Condition The CAP Parts 1 and 2 groundwater flow models force all Cliffside site groundwater along the northern model boundary to discharge directly into the Broad River and underestimate the potential for off-site flow and chemical migration in fractured bedrock. No -flow boundary conditions defined along the entire western, eastern, and southern model boundaries prevent any off-site groundwater flow and chemical transport in these areas (refer to Figures 1 and 5 in Appendix C of the CAP 1 Report). The bottom surface (bedrock) of the flow model is also assumed to be a no -flow boundary even though the hydraulic conductivity data and measured downward hydraulic gradients at several monitoring well clusters do not support this assumption. The only locations where groundwater and dissolved constituents are allowed to leave the CAP models are streams (e.g., Suck Creek and unnamed tributaries to the west), top -layer flood plain cells next to the Broad River, and the vertical array of cells underlying Broad River along the northern grid boundary; these cells are specified as constant -head boundary conditions in which the head is uniform with depth. 15 This hydraulic representation of the Broad River in the flow model is inaccurate for several reasons. First, the river bottom is assumed to extend all the way through the unconsolidated deposits and the fractured bedrock unit, which is not the case. Second, groundwater flow beneath and adjacent to the river is assumed to be horizontal with zero vertical flow component. Because this boundary condition does not allow groundwater to flow vertically in areas that underlie the river, the CAP models do not represent actual site hydrologic conditions. Further, groundwater flow at the Cliffside site is not strictly horizontal and, as discussed above, many of the vertical hydraulic gradient measurements (including next to the river) are downward. Third, as represented in the CAP models, neither the lower -permeability river bed sediments nor the smaller vertically hydraulic conductivity of underlying soils restricts the potential flow rate into or out of the river (i.e., a perfect hydraulic connection exists between the aquifer and the Broad River). The actual degree of aquifer -river hydraulic connection was not evaluated in the CSA. In summary, due to all of these factors the potential for site groundwater and dissolved constituents to migrate off-site northward beyond the Broad River or eastward as underflow beneath the river cannot be evaluated with the model. The CAP models should have represented the Broad River using a "leaky -type" (i.e., river) boundary condition in the top model layer (McDonald and Harbaugh, 1988), and the model grid should have extended farther north so that the above factors could have been evaluated during model calibration and sensitivity analyses. In their reviews of both the CAP 1 and 2 models (submitted with the CAP modeling appendices), the Electric Power Research Institute third -party peer review team also concluded that the Broad River should be modeled as a leaky boundary condition instead of using constant heads. The models also should have included groundwater extraction from the private water supply wells installed at many points close to the river bank. A river boundary condition incorporates the bed permeability and thickness, the river water surface elevation, and the simulated hydraulic head in the aquifer (at the base of the river bed) to dynamically specify a flux (flow rate per unit bed area) into or out of the groundwater model depending on the head difference between the river and aquifer. Typically, permeability and vertical hydraulic gradient measurements for the river bed (not collected in the CSA) and flow model calibration (three-dimensional matching of simulated and measured hydraulic head measurements in the aquifer) are used to determine a best -fit estimate of river bed conductance (permeability divided by thickness) in the model. HDR did not perform this routine analysis. Limitations of No -Flow Boundary Conditions and Small Model Domain Size The limited areal extent and depth of the CAP Parts 1 and 2 flow and transport model grids prevent the use of the models as unbiased computational tools that can be used to evaluate off-site migration of coal - ash constituents. For example, the model grids should have extended farther north and east to incorporate groundwater extraction from off-site private water -supply wells and allow three-dimensional 16 groundwater flow patterns to naturally develop. The eastern and western no -flow boundaries in the current CAP models artificially prevent any off-site flow or transport in either the bedrock or overburden aquifers. The same is true for the entire northern and southern model boundaries despite the fact that several private homes are located north and east of the Active Ash Basin, and the bedrock hydraulic head map (CSA Figure 6-7) exhibits a strong easterly flow component in this area. Some additional private water supply wells are also located close to the northern shore of the Broad River (CSA Figure 4-2). Artificial limitations created by the northern Broad River boundary condition -are outlined above. The bottom boundaries of the CAP models should extend much deeper because the hydraulic conductivity of the fractured bedrock zone is of the same order of magnitude as the overburden soils based on slug test results. In the present configuration the lower boundaries of the CAP Parts 1 and 2 model grids are only about 50 feet below the bedrock surface (Figure 2 in both the CAP 1 & 2 modeling appendices). Because several bedrock wells were screened to this depth the bedrock hydraulic conductivity data collected for the CSA demonstrate that imposing an impermeable model boundary at . this depth is incorrect (compare similarities of mean overburden and bedrock aquifer permeabilities in CSA Table 11-10). As discussed above, the strong downward hydraulic gradients between deep and bedrock wells in the northern portion of the Active Ash Basin also demonstrate that vertical and horizontal groundwater flow in bedrock is important, and these transport mechanisms need to be accurately simulated in the CAP models in order to accurately assess the potential for off-site chemical migration. Off -Site Groundwater Extraction lanored The CSA and CAP Parts 1 and 2 failed to examine the strong potential for coal -ash constituents from the Cliffside site to migrate with groundwater to private water supply wells located immediately east and northeast of the Active Ash Basin. COI may also potentially migrate to private wells located close to the northern Duke Energy property boundary on the northern side of the Broad River. CSA Figure 4-2 shows the locations of water supply wells near the site. The basis of my opinion includes the following: hydraulic conductivity measurements for the overburden and bedrock formations; three-dimensional variations in measured hydraulic head in the bedrock and overburden units; groundwater concentration data; and calculations of potential hydraulic head reductions (i.e., drawdown) that could be caused by off- site groundwater extraction. As discussed throughout my report, neither the CSA nor CAP Parts 1 or 2 investigations addressed the potential for off-site migration. COI's were detected in several water supply well samples (CSA Appendix B), but the CSA report did not plot these detections on a map and did not discuss their possible relationship to the Cliffside site. Appendix B also did not present the well construction details (e.g., well diameter and elevation range of the well screen or open bedrock interval) so that well dilution effects and potential chemical transport pathways in the bedrock unit could be evaluated. In addition, the CSA investigations and CAP Part 1 17 modeling did not include these areas east and north of the Cliffside site. The CAP Part 2 flow model did include a small number of residential wells (13 of the 100 neighboring private wells) located inside the undersized model domain (east of the active ash basin), but the CAP 2 modeling report (CAP 2, Appendix B) did not show simulated hydraulic head maps with these residential wells pumping and did not provide any discussion or analyses of the potential for these wells to capture COI dissolved in groundwater. The CAP Part 2 also did not increase the model grid size to incorporate the large number of residential water supply wells located immediately north of the Broad River and downgradient from the active ash basin in the northeastern portion of the site (CAP 2 Figure 3-3); fix the boundary condition problems; or correct the model input data errors I have outlined so that the flow and transport models could be used to more accurately analyze the potential for off-site chemical transport. Another important model input data error is the bedrock hydraulic conductivity, which is assumed in the CAP 1 and 2 flow models to be about a factor of ten (10x) lower than the overburden aquifer in different areas (Tables 2 in CAP 1 Appendix C and CAP 2 Appendix B). The bedrock slug test results show that the mean bedrock permeability is approximately the same as the overburden permeability. Also, in the CAP 1 model HDR assumed that the vertical bedrock permeability [ (KBR),,It j was the same as the horizontal value (i.e., vertical anisotropy, A„ = 1). Without justification or any field measurement of (KBR),t the CAP 2 model assumed A„ = 10-1,000 in bedrock; at several locations the model assumes the vertical bedrock permeability is 100 to 1;000 times smaller than the horizontal permeability. These vertical anisotropy values are extremely large, are highly variable across the site, and do not appear to be supported by data. By comparison, HDR assumed A„ = 2 in their hydraulic modeling of bedrock slug tests (CSA Appendix H). In an extensive hydrogeologic study and groundwater model of the Indian Creek Basin in the southwestern Piedmont of North Carolina by the U.S. Geological Survey (Daniel et al., 1989) a value of A„ = 1 in bedrock was used by the USGS. This study is especially relevant because the 146 -square -mile Indian Creek model area lies in parts of Catawba, Lincoln, and -Gaston Counties, North Carolina and is located in the general vicinity of the Cliffside site. Therefore, the CAP 1 and 2 flow models significantly restrict (incorrectly) groundwater from flowing from the overburden aquifer into the fractured bedrock unit, which causes the CAP transport models to underestimate the potential for off-site chemical migration. Model Significantly Underestimates Leakage Rate from Active Ash Basin The CAP Part 2 flow model underestimates leachate discharge from the active ash basin by as much as a factor of 180 in areas of ponded surface water (e.g., refer to CSA Figures 4-5 and 8-2). The CAP 1 model underestimates active basin leakage by as much as a factor of 330. As shown in Figure 5 of CAP 1, Appendix C, the CAP 1 flow model assumes a constant groundwater recharge rate (i.e., leakage rate) equal to 6.0 inches/year in the active ash basin and all other unlined areas of the site. In the CAP 2 flow model the active basin leakage rate is assumed to be 11 inches/year (Figure 5 of CAP 2, Appendix B). 18 However, CSA Figure 8-2 (cross-section A -A) shows that the vertical hydraulic gradient through the coal ash in the downgradient portion of the active ash basin is on the order of unity. Using Darcy's law and the mean vertical coal -ash permeability of 1.6E-4 cm/sec in CSA Table 11-11, the approximate vertical leakage rate out of the active basin is about 2,000 inches/year near the Broad River (i.e., -180 times greater than the specified CAP 2 recharge rate of 11 inches/year; and - 330 times greater than the specified CAP 1 recharge rate of 6 inches/year). The CAP flow models should have represented ponded areas of the active ash basin as either constant - head or leaky -type boundary conditions, which would have allowed the model to simulate a realistic leakage rate for the active ash basin. The major discrepancies between the measured shallow hydraulic head maps (CSA Figure 6-5 and CAP 2 Figure 2-2) and the CAP 1 and 2 simulated shallow head maps (Figure 14 in CAP 1, Appendix C; Figure 15 in CAP 2, Appendix B) clearly show that the CAP flow models significantly underestimate the hydraulic head beneath the active ash basin due to the fact that the modeled leakage rate from the active basin is much too low. Three related impacts of this incorrect active basin boundary condition are that the CAP models significantly underestimate: (i) vertical groundwater flow rates (by on the order of a factor of 200) through coal -ash source material in the vicinity of the downgradient portion of the active ash basin; (ii) horizontal groundwater flow and chemical transport rates downgradient from the active ash basin; and (iii) vertical flow rates from the overburden aquifer into the fractured bedrock unit beneath ponded areas. This incorrect boundary condition representation of the active ash basin also causes the CAP models to significantly underestimate (by on the order of a factor of two or more) both the mass loading of COI into the Broad River and the corresponding Broad River surface water concentrations (attributable to coal ash ponds) that HDR estimated with their mixing model (e.g., CAP 2 report Table 4-2 and Appendix D). CAP Chemical Transport Modeling Due to model calibration, model construction, and boundary -condition and input -data errors the CAP models significantly underestimate remediation time frames. As discussed in this section, reasons for this include significant underestimation of the chemical mass sorbed to soil, failure to account for slow chemical desorption rates, inaccurate analyses of water -table lowering due to capping, and flaws in the transport model calibration. Soil -Water Partition Coefficients and Model Calibration The fraction of chemical mass sorbed to soil can be represented by the soil -water partition coefficient, Kd (Lyman et al., 1982). Kd is an especially important parameter at the Cliffside site because for most of the 19 COI the bulk of the chemical mass in the soil is associated with the solid phase (i.e., sorbed to soil grains rather than dissolved in pore water). In effect, the solid fraction of the soil matrix acts as a large "storage reservoir" for chemical mass when Kd is large [e.g., metals, many chlorinated solvents, and highly - chlorinated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) compounds associated with coal tars and wood - treating fluids]. Kd is also a very important chemical transport parameter which is used to compute the chemical retardation factor, Rd, assuming linear equilibrium partitioning of mass between the soil (solid) and pore -water phases (Hemond and Fechner, 1994): Rd =1 + pb Kd In,, where pb is the soil matrix bulk dry density and ne is the effective soil porosity. For example, the chemical migration rate is directly proportional to hydraulic conductivity and inversely proportional to Rd. The total contaminant mass in an aquifer is also directly proportional to Rd, as well as aquifer cleanup times once the source is removed (e.g., Zheng et al., 1991). Accordingly, it is very important to use accurate Kd values in the CAP Closure Scenario modeling. Specifically, the CAP Part 1 transport modeling used Kd values that were typically factors of 10 -100 (i.e., one to two orders of magnitude) smaller than the measured site-specific Kd's reported in CAP Appendix D. In contrast, the CAP Part 2 transport modeling used Kd values that are generally a factor of about 10 larger than the CAP 1 values; however, the CAP 2 Kd's are still on the order of 10 times smaller than the measured site-specific Kd's reported in CAP 1 Appendix D and CAP 2 Appendix C. Further, soil -water partition coefficients for the CAP Parts 1 and 2 models are much smaller than most values presented in the literature for the COI (e.g., EPRI, 1984; Baes and Sharp, 1983). This means that, using the actual measured Kd's for the Cliffside site, the times required to reach North Carolina water quality standards at the Compliance Boundary are at least a factor of 10 longer (see additional discussion below) -than cleanup times predicted. by the CAP Parts 1 and 2 transport models for many COI. The CAP 1 modeling report (CAP 1 Appendix C; Section 4.8) argues that the major Kd reductions were needed due to the following: "The conceptual transport model specifies that COis enter the model from the shallow saturated source zones in the ash basins. When the measured Kd values are applied in the numerical model to CO/s migrating from the source zones, some COls do not reach the downgradient observation wells where they were observed in June/July 2015 at the end of the simulation period. The most appropriate method to calibrate the transport model in this case is to lower the Kd values until an acceptable agreement between measured and modeled concentrations is achieved. Thus, an effective Kd value results that likely represents the combined result of intermittent activities over the service life of the ash basin. These may include pond dredging, dewatering for dike construction, and ash grading and placement. This approach is expected to produce conservative results, as sorbed constituent mass is released and transported downgradient." 20 First, considering the approach that was used to develop the chemical transport model (history matching), it is not true that "the most appropriate method to calibrate the transport model is to lower the Kd values." The CAP Parts 1 and 2 transport models used an incorrect value (2.65 g/cm3) for the bulk density of overburden materials; this value is the density of a solid mass of mineral (e.g., quartz) with zero porosity. The bulk density should have been computed using the total porosity (n) values in CSA Table 11-1 using the following formula (e.g., Baes and Sharp, 1983): pb = 2.65 (1- n) Based on the Table 11-1 values Pb - 1.0 -1.9 g/cm3, which means that the Rd values for the CAP 1 and 2 models were as much as a factor of 2.65 (2.65/1.0) too high before HDR adjusted the Kd values during calibration. Also, as discussed earlier, the overburden slug test values were about 70 percent too low due to HDR's data analysis errors. Both of these errors (sorption rate and hydraulic conductivity) resulted in a modeled transport rate that was up to five times (5x) too low before calibration simply due to data input errors. At least two other important factors were not considered during the transport model calibration. At least two other important factors were not considered during the CAP 1 and 2 transport model calibrations. First, the groundwater flow models are based on average hydraulic conductivity (K) values within a material zone, but K distributions in aquifers are highly variable (e.g., varying by factors of 3-10, or more, over distances as small as a few feet: Gelhar, 1984, 1986, 1987; Gelhar and Axness, 1983; Rehfeldt et al., 1992; Rehfeldt and Gelhar, 1992; Molz, 2015). The Cliffside site hydrogeology certainly qualifies as "heterogeneous". This is very important to consider for the CAP transport model calibrations because it is the high -permeability zones and/or layers that control the time required (Tvaveq ) for a constituent to reach a downgradient observation point, and HDR used differences in observed versus simulated Ttra1e, (i.e., time to travel from sources zones to downgradient monitoring wells) as the justification for lowering measured Kd values. Second, the history matching that HDR performed is very sensitive to the assumed time at which the source (i.e., coal ash) is "turned on" and to the assumed distribution of source concentrations (fixed pore water concentrations) in source area cells. Section 5.3 of CAP 1 Appendix C explains that the source was activated 58 years ago in the model: "The model assumed an initial concentration of 0 within the groundwater system for all Cols at the beginning of operations approximately 58 years ago. A source term matching the pore water concentrations for each COI was applied within the Units 1-4 inactive ash basin, Unit 5 inactive ash basin, active ash basin and the ash storage area at the start of the calibration period. The source concentrations 21 were adjusted to match measured values in the downgradient monitoring wells that had exceedances of the 2L Standard for each COI in June 2095." For several reasons it is a major simplification (and generally inaccurate) to use 2015 ash pore water concentrations to define year -1957 source zone (fixed concentration) boundary conditions. These reasons include: coal ash was gradually and nonuniformly distributed (spatially and temporally) in ash basins throughout the 58 -year simulation period (not instantaneously in 1957); it is very difficult (or not possible) to accurately extrapolate geochemical or ash -water leaching conditions (i.e., predict COI pore - water concentrations) that existed during the 2015 sampling round to conditions that may .have existed in 1957 and thereafter; the actual source -area concentration distributions are highly nonuniform, but it is not clear from the CAP modeling reports how "... source concentrations were adjusted to match measured values... ", or if the source area concentrations were nonuniform. All of these uncertainties are further magnified when using history matching to calibrate a chemical transport model. Based on the above model input errors and major uncertainties in hydraulic -conductivity variations and source -term modeling, it is incorrect to simply reduce Kd values by factors of 10 to 100 below site measurements (and the large database of literature Kd values) based only on the transport model "history matching" exercises that HDR performed. My additional comments on the CAP Parts 1 and 2 transport modeling of Closure Scenarios are listed in the following section. Geochemical Modeling and Evaluation of Monitored Natural Attenuation The CAP Part 2 geochemical modeling results do not include quantitative analyses of COI attenuation rates at the Cliffside site and are only qualitative in nature. In addition, HDR did not incorporate any source/sink (e.g., precipitation/dissolution) terms representing geochemical reaction mechanisms in the CAP 2 chemical transport model to evaluate whether such reactions are important compared to groundwater concentration changes caused by advection, dispersion, and soil -water partitioning. In this regard, HDR states in Section 2.10 of CAP 2 Appendix B : "A physical -type modeling approach was used, as site-specific geochemical conditions are not understood or characterized at the scale and extent required for inclusion in the model." Indeed, the Electric Power Research Institute (e.g., EPRI, 1984; page S-8) has extensively reviewed subsurface chemical attenuation mechanisms applicable to the "utility waste environment" and concluded: (i) precipitation/dissolution has not been adequately studied; and (ii) "Quantitative predictions of chemical attenuation rates based upon mineralogy and groundwater composition cannot be made because only descriptive and qualitative information are available for adsorption/desorption mechanisms." Nonetheless, HDR performed the geochemical modeling to evaluate the technical basis for its MNA analysis; however, any quantitative MNA analysis must compare mass transport rates and changes (e.g., 22 grams/year per unit area normal to a groundwater pathline) in the aquifer for the various active transport mechanisms in order to determine whether MNA is a viable alternative (e.g., produces meaningful groundwater concentration reductions) at the Cliffside site. In Section 6.3.2 of the CAP 2 report HDR acknowledges that these quantitative evaluations were not performed in CAP 2 and indicated that they would need to be completed as part of a Tier III MNA assessment. Nevertheless, HDR suggested in the CAP 2 report that COI 'concentrations "will' or "may" attenuate over time without completing the necessary evaluations to reach these conclusions. HDR also states in CAP 2 Section 6.3.4 that "MNA is an effective correction action because CO/s will attenuate over time to restore groundwater quality at the CSS site...." and in CAP 2 Section 6.3.3 that "the groundwater model did not allow for removal of COI via co -precipitation with iron oxides, which likely resulted in an over -prediction of COI transport. Completion of the Tier 11 assessment described in Appendix H has addressed this issue." I saw no quantitative analysis or evidence in the CAP 2 report or related appendices to support these claims. In fact, the CAP 2 Appendix H emphasizes that much more geochemical data need to be collected and chemical transport modeling with a source/sink term must be performed in a Tier III assessment to further assess whether MNA is a viable remedial alternative. Therefore, the CAP 2 report fails to provide any quantitative evidence supporting COI attenuation due to co -precipitation with iron or manganese. The second component of COI attenuation evaluated in Appendix H is chemical sorption to soil. It is important to note that, although the CAP models did not incorporate a mechanism for co -precipitation with iron or manganese (or any COI sink term), the CAP models did simulate attenuation due to sorption. Even with the sorption attenuation mechanism included, CAP 2 Table 4-1 shows that for both the "existing conditions" and "cap -in-place" scenarios the following COI will exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the -Compliance Boundary 100 years into the future: antimony, arsenic, beryllium, boron, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, lead, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium. Further, my Table 1 shows that groundwater standards are currently exceeded at the Compliance Boundary for barium, cobalt, iron, manganese, nickel, and total dissolved solids (i.e., barium, cobalt, iron, manganese, nickel, and TDS contaminant plumes originating in the source areas have already reached the Compliance Boundary). ,The conclusions of the MNA Tier I analyses (CAP 2 Appendix H, page 18) were that arsenic, barium, beryllium, boron, chromium, cobalt, lead, thallium, and vanadium showed some evidence of attenuation and should be evaluated further in a Tier II evaluation. However, the CAP 2 modeling results in Table 4-1 (which included a significant amount of sorption attenuation) show that all of these COI currently exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary and are expected to exceed those standard 100 years into the future. All of these data and CAP 2 modeling results strongly contradict the CAP 2 conclusion that MNA is a viable corrective action at the Cliffside site. 23 Simulation of Closure Scenarios As discussed below, CAP 1 Closure Scenario simulations greatly underestimate (by factors of 10 or more) the time frames required to achieve meaningful groundwater concentration reductions in response to remedial actions. Compared to the Cap -in -Place (CIP) remedial alternative evaluated in the CAP Part 1, the Excavation Scenario results in COI concentration reductions at the Compliance Boundary that are generally two to ten times greater compared to Cap -in -Place and best reduces impacts to surface water. In addition, the time frames to achieve equivalent concentration reductions are at least factors of 2 to 5 (2 - 5x) shorter for excavation compared to cap -in-place for most of the COI; further, several COI concentrations reduce below 2L or IMAC standards with excavation but remain significantly higher than the groundwater standards with cap -in-place. Although the CAP 1 modeling showed that Source Excavation outperforms CIP, the CAP 2 modeling did not simulate an Excavation closure scenario. Nonetheless, the following comparisons between CIP and Excavation impacts on groundwater concentrations are valid for both the CAP 1 and 2 model results. This is because the main difference with the CAP 2 transport model (compared to CAP 1) is that concentration changes resulting from either CIP or Excavation (if it was evaluated in CAP 2) occur much more slowly (i.e., — 10x slower) in the CAP 2 model due to the much larger Kd (and Rd) values. The CAP 2 transport model also assumed uniform initial COI concentrations equal to HDR's proposed provisional background concentrations (PPBC), even though the PPBC exaggerate background levels (see above discussion) and there are no data to suggest that background concentrations should be spatially uniform. Despite these changes in the CAP 1 and 2 models, the relative differences in groundwater concentrations between the two closure scenarios remain about the same if the uniform starting (PPBC) COI concentrations are subtracted from the simulated concentration versus time curves. For these reasons the following discussions focus on the CAP 1 modeling results. Source Concentrations for Cap -in -Place Scenario In this scenario the CAP 1 flow model predicts cap -induced water -table declines equal to approximately 5 feet (relative to the Existing Conditions simulation) within the Units 1-4 inactive ash basins, 12 feet within the Unit 5 inactive ash basin (11 feet in the CAP 2 flow modeling), and 10 feet within the active ash basin (10 feet in CAP 2). However, the geologic cross-sections presented in the CSA show that the saturated coal ash thickness at several borings is as great as 30-60 feet. This means that under the simulated Cap -In -Place Scenario most of the coal -ash, which is the source of dissolved COI, would remain saturated and continue to leach constituents into groundwater in several parts of the ash basin system. The CAP 1 simulations ignored this fact and set all source concentrations equal to zero (i.e., assumed all coal ash was dewatered). Therefore, the simulated Cap -in -Place concentrations should be much higher than the values presented in the CAP Part 1. 24 The groundwater flow model simulations also exaggerate the hydraulic effects of the cap (i.e., overstates water table lowering) because the no -flow boundary conditions along the entire western, southern, and eastern grid boundaries prevent flow into the Ash Basin System when the laterally inward hydraulic gradients are created by capping. In addition, the base of the flow model is assumed to be impervious even though the bedrock aquifer hydraulic conductivity is about the same as the overburden aquifer; this artificially restricts upward flow from bedrock into the capped area and exaggerates predicted water table lowering. In addition, a site-specific distribution of groundwater recharge values should have been developed for this and the other simulation scenarios to take into account site-specific topography and soil types (e.g., runoff estimation) and climate data (precipitation, evapotranspiration, etc.; e.g., using the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers HELP Model; Schroeder et al., 1994). The CAP 1 flow model uses an assumed value of 6 inches year uniformly throughout the model domain even though the actual value is highly variable across the Ash Basin System and site land surface. Further, as discussed above, HDR should have used a leaky -type boundary condition to model ponded areas of the active ash basin. The predicted water table lowering due to capping is very sensitive to the model recharge value, so more effort should have been made to develop a site-specific recharge -rate distribution. Slow and Multirate Nonequilibrium Desorption of COI Since the 1980's the groundwater industry has learned how difficult it is to achieve water quality standards at remediation sites without using robust corrective actions such as source removal (Hadley and Newell, 2012, 2014; Siegel, 2014). Two of the key reasons for this in aqueous -phase contaminated soil are inherently low groundwater or remediation fluid flushing rates in low -permeability zones and slow, nonequilibrium chemical desorption from the soil matrix (Culver et al., 1997, 2000; Zheng et al., 2010). A good example of this is the "tailing effect" (i.e., very slow concentration reduction with time) that is commonly observed with pump -and -treat, hydraulic containment systems. These factors are also related to the "rebound effect" in which groundwater concentrations sometimes increase shortly after a remediation system is turned off (Sudicky and Illman, 2011; Hadley and Newell, 2014; Culver et al., 1997). The CAP 1 and 2 flow models use different permeability (K) zones, but the scale of these zones is very large and within each zone K is homogeneous even though large hydraulic conductivity variations (e.g., lognormal distribution) are known to exist at any field site over relatively small length scales (Molz, 2015). Moreover, the CAP transport models assume linear, equilibrium soil -water partitioning which corresponds to instantaneous COI release into flowing groundwater. The transport code (MT3D) has the capability of simulating single -rate nonequilibrium sorption, but the Close Scenario simulations did not utilize this modeling feature. Slow desorption of COI can also be expected at the Allen site because sorption rates 25 are generally highly variable, and multi -rate (Culver et al., 1997, 2000; Zheng et al., 2010), and Kd values are nonuniform spatially (Baes and Sharp, 1983; EPRI, 1984; De Wit et al., 1995). The CAP flow and transport models can be expected to significantly underestimate cleanup times required to meet groundwater standards at the compliance boundary because they do not incorporate these important physical mechanisms. Adequacy of the Kd Model for Transport Simulation The laboratory column experiment effluent data (e.g., CAP 1 Appendix D) generally gave very poor matches with the analytical (one-dimensional) transport model used to compute Kd values. Since the CAP transport model solves the same governing equations in three dimensions, the adequacy of the Kd modeling approach for long-term remedial simulations should have been evaluated in much more detail in the modeling appendix. The transport modeling also did not evaluate alternative nonlinear sorption models such as the Freundlich and Langmuir isotherms (Hemond and Fechner, 1994), which are input options in the MT31D transport code. Several of the batch equilibrium sorption experiments (CAP 1 Appendix D) exhibited nonlinear behavior, and such behavior is commonly observed in other studies (e.g., EPRI, 1984). However, HDR only computed linear sorption coefficients (i.e., Kd) for the Cliffside site in CAP Part 1. In CAP Part 2 HDR did fit Freundlich isotherms to the batch sorption data for selected COI (CAP 2 Appendix C, Tables 1-8) but did not use these Freundlich isotherm results in the CAP 2 transport modeling. De Wit et al. (1995) showed that the nonlinear sorption mechanism is similar in importance to aquifer heterogeneities in extending remediation time frames. Closure Scenario Time Frames As outlined in my report, the CAP Part 1 chemical transport model underestimates the time intervals required to achieve groundwater concentration reductions (i.e., achieve groundwater quality restoration) by factors that are at least on the order of 10 to 100. In other words, the CAP 1 transport model significantly overestimates the rate at which concentrations may reduce in response to remedial actions such as capping or source removal. This is due to several factors, including major errors in model input data, model calibration mistakes, field data analysis errors, and oversimplified model representation of field conditions (e.g., hydraulic conductivity) and transport mechanisms (e.g., chemical sorption/desorption). These limitations of transport models for realistically predicting cleanup times have been recognized by the groundwater industry for the past few decades based on hands-on experience at hundreds of extensively -monitored remediation sites. Even if we ignore the factors of 10 or more errors in cleanup time predictions with the CAP 1 model, the remediation time frames for the Excavation Scenarios are still more than two centuries for several 26 constituents due to slow groundwater flushing rates from secondary sources (surrounding residual soil) left in place after excavation and due to high chemical retardation factors for most of the COI. However, excavation of secondary -source material would further accelerate cleanup rates under this alternative. The CAP 1 simulated Cap -In -Place concentration reduction rates are much slower, compared to excavation, but are also incorrect (i.e., overestimated) because the cap -induced water -table lowering is insufficient to dewater all of the source -area coal ash, as discussed above, and the CAP 1 and 2 flow models overestimate cap -induced water -table lowering due to boundary condition errors. Furthermore, these simulation times are well beyond the prediction capabilities of any chemical transport model for a complex field site (especially one that is as geochemically complex as the Cliffside site). The historical model -calibration dataset (1957-2015) is also significantly smaller than the predictive (remediation) time frames. In addition, the "history matching" technique used to calibrate the transport model (e.g., major reduction in measured Kd values) was not performed correctly by HDR. Cap -In -Place versus Excavation Closure Scenarios Although the the CAP 1 model underestimates remediation time frames, the CAP 1 Closure Scenario simulations demonstrate several significant advantages of excavation for restoring site groundwater quality versus cap -in-place. First, predicted COI concentration reductions in groundwater downgradient from the ash basin system are generally factors of 2-10 greater with excavation compared to cap -in-place (e.g., refer to most of the simulated concentration versus time curves in CAP 1 Appendix C). Further, if HDR had correctly performed the CAP 1 cap -in-place simulations the predicted CIP concentrations would be much higher because predicted water -table lowering due to the cap would be insufficient to dewater all of the coal ash. Second, North Carolina 2L or IMAC standards for many COI (antimony, arsenic, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, nickel, thallium, vanadium) are not achieved by cap -in-place but are achieved by excavation (e.g., CAP 1 Appendix C Figures 13, 20, 21, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 33, 34, 36, 37, and 39). Third, the time frames to achieve equivalent concentration reductions are at least factors of 2 to 5 shorter for excavation compared to cap -in-place; further, several COI concentrations reduce below 2L or IMAC standards with excavation but remain significantly higher than the groundwater standards with cap -in-place. Even though the CAP 1 modeling demonstrated that the CIP closure alternative would be much less effective than excavation, and that CIP would only dewater about 20-40 percent of the saturated coal -ash thickness in many areas, HDR eliminated excavation from consideration in CAP 2. In Section 7.1 of the CAP 2 report HDR assumes that "Evaluation of the geochemical modeling indicated COls are attenuated by a combination of sorption and/or precipitation" and that "Based on review of the groundwater modeling results, COls with sorption coefficients similar to or greater than arsenic are immobilized by sorption , and/or precipitation .....". As discussed above, HDR provided no quantitative analysis or evidence in the CAP 2 report or related appendices to support this claim. Further, sorption is not a mechanism that 27 "immobilizes" a dissolved consituent; sorption only slows down the rate of transport proportional the chemical retardation factor. Considering that up to 80 percent of the coal -ash source material would remain saturated with CIP and that multiple exceedances of groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary currently exist (with no historical data to indicate that these Compliance Boundary concentrations are decreasing with time), it is not reasonable to make sweeping assumptions about future concentration changes. Tier III MNA analyses require rigorous quantitative evaluations using the CAP transport model with a source/sink term that incorporates geochemical reactions to support MNA as a viable corrective action. CAP 2 did not provide this information. As discussed above, the CAP Part 2 flow model did include a small number of residential wells (13 of the 100 neighboring private wells), but the CAP 2 modeling report (CAP 2, Appendix B) did not show simulated hydraulic head maps with these residential wells pumping and did not provide any discussion or analyses of the long-term potential for these wells to capture COI dissolved in groundwater. Further, the private bedrock wells that HDR chose to include in the CAP 2 model appear to be located upgradient from the active ash basin; HDR should have included all of the private wells located near the northern bank of the Broad River (in a downgradient direction from the ash basin system) and near the northeastern site boundary which is downgradient from the active ash basin, as I describe above. In CAP 2 section 4.1.5 HDR discusses that fact that the CAP 2 flow model was used to compute 1 -year, reverse particle pathlines for these bedrock residential wells (Figure 18 in CAP 2 Appendix B) to determine their short-term groundwater capture zones. However, the residential well reverse pathline tracing should have been performed for a much longer time period (e.g., from the beginning of coal ash disposal to the present) to evaluate whether COI may have migrated from source areas to these wells. In addition, if HDR had extended the CAP 2 model grid much farther to the north and east the capture zones for the remaining 87 private water supply wells could have been determined, as I discuss earlier in my report. The CAP Closure Scenarios do not include hydraulic containment remedial alternatives (e.g., gradient reversal) for the bedrock aquifer that would address the risk of off-site COI transport. As discussed above, the CSA data show many exceedances of groundwater standards in bedrock not only at the compliance boundary but also inside the CB. In addition, strong downward groundwater flow components from the deep overburden to bedrock aquifers were measured during the CSA at multiple locations across the site, including the southern shoreline of the Broad River. The cap -in-place alternative does not address either concentration reduction or off-site chemical migration control in the fractured bedrock aquifer. The CAP Parts 1 and 2 do not assess whether water quality standards will be achieved in the tributaries and wetlands between the ash basins and the Broad River [e.g., seep locations S-3 or S-6 (Broad River tributaries) or the wetland located along Suck Creek downgradient from the upstream dam of the active 28 ash basin] under -any closure scenario. As discussed above, for the cap -in-place scenario a significant fraction of the source material will remain saturated and dissolved COI will continue to migrate with groundwater toward these seep locations. Although unaddressed by the model, COI concentration decreases in groundwater and unsaturated zone pore water due to source removal would also reduce impacts to tributaries and wetlands that are influenced by the ash basins. Conclusions Based on my technical review and analyses of the referenced information for the Cliffside site I have reached the following conclusions: • A total of 62 Compliance Boundary groundwater samples exceeded North Carolina groundwater standards for these COI: antimony, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, manganese, sulfate, total dissolved solids, and vanadium. Of these 62 exceedances, 36 were greater than the proposed provisional background concentrations by HDR; • The statistical analyses of shallow background groundwater concentrations at the Cliffside site (well MW -24D) are invalid. The time periods between groundwater sample collection from this well are too small and the concentration data are not independent; • There is a significant risk of chemical migration from the ash basin to neighboring private water supply wells in fractured bedrock. The design of the CAP flow and transport models prevents the potential for off-site migration from being evaluated; • The limited CAP model domain size; the no -flow boundary conditions along the western, southern, and eastern boundaries; and incorrect hydraulic boundary condition representations of the Broad River and the active ash basin prevent simulation and analysis of off-site COI migration; • The CAP Closure Scenario simulations greatly underestimate (by factors of 10 or more) the time frames required to achieve meaningful groundwater concentration reductions in response to remedial actions. This is due to oversimplification of field fate and transport mechanisms in the CAP model and several model input errors; • The simulated water table lowering for the Cap -in -Place Scenario is more than a factor of five too small at several locations in the ash basin system in order to dewater all source material; and the actual cap -induced water table elevation reduction would be much less than predicted due to the incorrect no -flow boundary conditions. Therefore, the remediation time frames for this scenario would be much greater because.a large percentage of the source zone would still be active with the cap installed; 29 • For either the Existing Condition or Cap -in -Place Model Scenario groundwater concentrations of coal -ash constituents much higher than background levels will continue to exceed North Carolina groundwater standards at the Compliance Boundary because saturated coal -ash material and secondary sources will remain in place; • Due to an incorrect boundary -condition representation of the active ash basin, the CAP models underestimate by a factor of two or more both the mass loading of COI into the Broad River and the corresponding Broad River water concentrations (attributable to coal ash ponds) estimated by the groundwater/surface-water mixing model; • Source -area mass removal included in the Excavation Scenario results in COI concentration reductions at the Compliance Boundary that are generally two to ten (2 - 10x) times greater compared to Cap -in -Place and best reduces impacts to surface water. In addition, the time frames to achieve equivalent concentration reductions are factors of two to five (2 - 5x) shorter for excavation compared to cap -in-place, and source removal reduces the number of COI that will exceed North Carolina groundwater standards in the future. Additional excavation of secondary sources would further accelerate concentration reductions; • The CAP simulations show that source excavation reduces groundwater concentrations for many COI below North Carolina groundwater standards (antimony, arsenic, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, nickel, thallium, vanadium), but cap -in-place closure does not; • The CAP Part 2 geochemical modeling and monitored natural attenuation (MNA) evaluations do not provide the required quantitative analyses (e.g., numerical transport modeling) of COI attenuation rates necessary to support MNA as a viable corrective action and are only qualitative in nature. The CAP 2 chemical transport modeling, which included attenuation by sorption, demonstrated that MNA is not an effective remedial option for several COI (e.g., antimony, arsenic, beryllium, boron, chromium, hexavalent chromium, cobalt, lead, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium); • The CAP Closure Scenarios do not include hydraulic containment remedial alternatives for the bedrock aquifer and do not address the risk of off-site COI transport. CSA data show multiple exceedances of groundwater standards in bedrock not only at the compliance boundary but also inside the CB. 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