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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAmended NEBA Expert Report Belews Marshall RoxboroNET ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES TO ADDRESS ALLEGED RELEASES FROM COAL ASH IMPOUNDMENTS AT THE BELEWS CREEK, MARSHALL, AND ROXBORO STEAM STATIONS AMENDED Expert Opinion of: Joseph P. Nicolette Prepared by: EPS 1050 Crown Pointe Parkway, Suite 550 Atlanta, Georgia 30338 Tel: 404-315-9113 September 30, 2016 NET ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES TO ADDRESS ALLEGED RELEASES FROM COAL ASH IMPOUNDMENTS AT THE BELEWS CREEK, MARSHALL, AND ROXBORO STEAM STATIONS AMENDED Expert Opinion of: Joseph P. Nicolette EPS Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. 1050 Crown Pointe Pkwy, Suite 550 Atlanta, GA 30338 Tel: 404-315-9113 September 30, 2016 EPS NET ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES TO ADDRESS ALLEGED RELEASES FROM COAL ASH IMPOUNDMENTS AT THE BELEWS CREEK, MARSHALL, AND ROXBORO STEAM STATIONS AMENDED September 30, 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Background................................................................................................1 1.2 Summary of Opinions................................................................................ 2 1.3 Qualifications............................................................................................. 4 1.3.1 General...........................................................................................4 1.3.2 NEBA and Site Remediation Experience ........................................ 4 1.3.3 Ecosystem Service Valuation.......................................................... 5 2 NEBA AND APPLICATION TO SITE REMEDIATION...................................................... 6 2.1 What is NEBA?.......................................................................................... 6 2.1.1 Why is a NEBA Analysis Necessary for Developing Appropriate Remedial Actions for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro CoalAsh Basins?............................................................................ 8 2.1.2 Summary.......................................................................................14 2.1.3 Understanding Risks and Injury .................................................... 15 3 NEBA EVALUATION METHODS AND ANALYSIS....................................................... 17 3.1 Alternative Construction Analysis............................................................ 18 3.2 Traffic and Implementation Safety Risk Analysis ..................................... 20 3.3 Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis .................................................. 20 3.4 Human Health Risk Analysis.................................................................... 20 3.5 Ecological Habitat Service Analysis......................................................... 21 3.6 Cost Analysis........................................................................................... 32 4 NEBA SUMMARY RESULTS................................................................................... 33 4.1 Risks Driving Remedial Alternative Selection .......................................... 33 4.2 NEBA Assessment Parameter Evaluation ............................................... 40 4.2.1 Implementation Health and Safety Risks ...................................... 44 4.2.2 Truck Trips.................................................................................... 46 4.2.3 Air Emissions................................................................................ 48 4.2.4 Energy Use................................................................................... 50 DCN: HWIDENCO02A i September 30, 2016 EPS 4.2.5 Ecological Habitat Services........................................................... 52 4.2.6 Costs............................................................................................. 54 4.2.7 Each Site - Data Combined........................................................... 56 4.2.7.1 Belews Creek Steam Station ........................................... 56 4.2.7.2 Marshall Steam Station .................................................... 60 4.2.7.3 Roxboro Steam Station .................................................... 64 4.2.8 Cumulative Assessment................................................................ 68 5 OPINIONS............................................................................................................. 69 6 REFERENCES....................................................................................................... 73 7 EXPERT REPORTS REVIEWED................................................................................ 78 Appendices Appendix A Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis Appendix B Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis Appendix C Air Emissions and Energy Analysis Appendix D Human Health Risk Analysis Appendix E Ecological Habitat Services Appendix F Joseph Nicolette CV DCN: HWIDENC002A ii September 30, 2016 0 I INTRODUCTION I was retained on this project to conduct a net environmental benefit analysis (NEBA) of three remedial alternatives for the Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC or Duke Energy Progress, LLC ("Duke Energy") Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites. The three alternatives evaluated were monitored natural attenuation (MNA), cap -in-place with MNA (CIP), and comprehensive removal with NINA (Removal). The NEBA was used to compare how the remedial alternatives for each site differ with regard to their human and ecological chemical and physical risk profiles, environmental footprint (e.g., environmental and community benefits and costs); ecological habitat service value; human recreational use value; air emissions (e.g., greenhouse gases (GHG) and criteria pollutants); and monetary costs. Background on the development of the proposed remedial alternatives is provided in the following section, followed by a summary of my opinions, an overview of NEBA, my qualifications, the NEBA analysis, and, based on the NEBA, my overall opinions regarding appropriate remedial alternatives for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites. I reserve the right to supplement my opinions should additional information become available. 1.1 Background Coal ash stored in unlined basins associated with the Duke Energy Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites has resulted in some elevated metal concentrations in groundwater and limited on-site surface water features (e.g., seeps) at these sites. These sites are currently the subject of an enforcement action brought by the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ). Organizations represented by the Southern Environmental Law Center ("Intervenors") are also parties to this litigation. The litigation seeks to establish violations of state law concerning migration of constituents of interest from these basins to surface water and groundwater, and impose a remedy for such violations. After this litigation commenced, North Carolina enacted the Coal Ash Management Act (CAMA). CAMA, within the North Carolina General Assembly Session Law 2014-122, requires the owner of coal combustion waste surface impoundments (e.g., Duke Energy) to conduct groundwater monitoring, assessment and remedial activities as necessary at coal ash basins across the state. Duke Energy was required to submit a Groundwater Assessment Plan (GAP) to NCDEQ by December 31, 2014. Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA) documents that reported the results of site characterization activities were required to be submitted within 180 days of approval of the GAP. Information developed under the CSAs (HDR 2015a, 2015b; SynTerra 2015a) provided the data to be used to prepare Corrective Action Plans (CAPS) that were to be submitted to NCDEQ within 90 days of submittal of the CSA. An agreement between Duke Energy and NCDEQ resulted in breaking the CAP document into two parts: Part 1 and Part 2 (HDR 2015c, 2015d, 2016a, 2016b; SynTerra 2015b, 2016a). The CAP documents evaluated three alternatives (for DCN: HWIDENCO02A 1 September 30, 2016 EPS some criteria, only in a qualitative manner) for the remediation of on-site groundwater according to the following criteria: • Effectiveness; • Implementability/feasibility; • Environmental sustainability; • Cost; and • Stakeholder input. NCDEQ classified the impoundments as either "High", "Intermediate", or "Low risk". The CAMA specifies that any impoundments classified by NCDEQ as "High" be closed no later than December 31, 2019 by dewatering the waste and either a) excavating the ash and converting the impoundment to an industrial landfill, or b) excavating and transporting the waste off-site for disposal in an appropriately licensed landfill. "Intermediate" risk impoundments are required to be closed similarly to "High" risk impoundments, but under a closure deadline of December 31, 2024. Impoundments classified as "Low" by NCDEQ must be closed by December 31, 2029 either similarly to the "High" and "Intermediate" risk sites, or by dewatering to the extent practicable and capping the waste in place. The Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites were most recently proposed (May 18, 2016) to be classified as "Intermediate" by NCDEQ, which would require closure by dewatering the waste and either a) excavating the ash and converting the impoundment to an industrial landfill, or b) excavating and transporting the waste off-site for disposal in an appropriately licensed landfill. In the May 18, 2016 proposed classifications, surface water, dam safety, and groundwater were ranked individually'. A summary of my opinions regarding the overall net benefit associated with the proposed remedies to address alleged releases to groundwater and surface water is presented below. 1.2 Summary of Opinions • The Intervenors failed to take a holistic view of all of the environmental and community impacts and risks (environmental footprint) associated with alternative implementation during their remedial evaluation stage. This has skewed their remedy selection and leads ' It should be noted that there were recent amendments to the CAMA pursuant to NC House Bill 630 (ratified July 1, 2016 and signed by the governor on July 14, 2016). Important points associated with these amendments include: under the new 130A-309.21 l (c 1), Duke Energy must provide a permanent alternative water supply to nearby residents with drinking water wells. Generally, this will be by providing connection to municipal water, but there is a provision that allows for Duke Energy to provide a filtration system at the household's election in some circumstances. Duke Energy must provide permanent alternative water supply as soon as practical but no later than October 15, 2018; however, the Department may grant an extension of time of up to a year if needed. Also, under the new 130A - 0309.213(d), no later than 30 days after the deadline set in 130A-309.211(cl) or any extension granted thereunder, the Department shall issue a final classification for each impoundment. If an impoundment has established permanent water supplies as required by 130A-309.211(cI) and if it has rectified any dam safety deficiencies, it will be classified "Low" risk. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 2 September 30, 2016 0 them to advocate for a remedy (Removal) that is less protective of the environment and the community. • The Intervenors do not consider the environmental footprint of the Removal alternatives, nor do they consider methods to reduce the footprint of these alternatives at any of the three sites. Metrics that may have significant social and economic impacts (e.g., GHG emissions, extended truck traffic through local communities, pollutant emissions, energy and resource consumption) or ecological impacts (e.g., terrestrial and aquatic habitat disturbance associated with removal, capping, or the development of off-site disposal units) were not considered quantitatively by the Intervenors. • Developing a remedy should employ a NEBA evaluation to develop sustainable remedial alternatives that manage site risks while maximizing benefits and minimizing costs to the public. • Human health risks associated with implementation of the Removal alternative far outweigh the marginal, if any, human health risks given the current and projected future state of the groundwater condition. • The impact of metals in groundwater on groundwater ecosystem service flows provided by each individual site is marginal, if any. • The Removal alternative will cause more ecological injury through the destruction of habitat than the ecological injury projected by the risk assessment. • The Removal remedy that the Intervenors propose for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites does not appear to provide any net benefit to off-site ecological or human use services, over other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater harm to the environment compared to other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater risks (and nuisance) to the local community (via the extensive truck traffic) and to workers compared to other alternatives. • In comparing the CIP alternative to the Removal alternative, the Removal alternative has a much greater environmental footprint and creates significantly more environmental and community harm. This is consistent with the Tennessee Valley Authority findings in their review of CIP and Removal alternatives for coal ash as part of their programmatic Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) (Tennessee Valley Authority 2016). • The Intervenors base their arguments for Removal on risks based solely upon chemical concentrations of the constituents of interest (COIs) in groundwater and limited surface water seep areas. In doing so, they neglected to consider factors other than chemical concentrations during the implementation of their preferred remedial alternative that also have the potential to influence, either positively or negatively, human health and ecological risks and services. • The Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. DCN: HWIDENC002A 3 September 30, 2016 0 • There is no need to order closure, much less closure by Removal, to remedy the alleged violations in this case. A basic NEBA demonstrates that the Intervenors' proposed remedy (Removal) is clearly disproportionate to the risk. 1.3 Qualifications 1.3.1 General The basis for my opinions presented herein include my 30+ years of experience as an environmental consultant; my educational background; my research and professional experience in NEBA, remedial alternatives analysis, natural resource damage assessment (NRDA), and ecosystem servicez valuation; review of the CSA, CAP Part 1, and CAP Part 2 documents, and supplemental CSA's for each site (HDR 2015a through HDR 2015d; HDR 2016a through 2016d; SynTerra 2015a, 2015b; SynTerra 2016a, b); and analyses conducted at my direction. In addition, I conducted site visits at these three locations during the period of June 7-10, 2016. I hold an M.S. degree in Fisheries Management from the University of Minnesota (1983), a B.S. degree in Environmental Resource Management from Penn State University (1980), and am a certified fisheries scientist with the American Fisheries Society. My CV is provided in Appendix F. 1.3.2 NEBA and Site Remediation Experience I co-authored the first formalized NEBA framework for remediation and restoration of contaminated sites with co-authors from the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory in 2003 (Efroymson et al. 2003). The formalized NEBA framework has been recognized by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the USEPA, the USEPA Science Advisory Board (USEPA SAB)3, and the Australian Maritime Safety Authority. I have over 24 years of experience in the application of NEBA concepts and ecosystem service valuation approaches on over 75 projects with experience in over 16 countries. These projects have included NEBA approaches to compare land management alternatives and remediation alternatives for groundwater, sediment, and soils and at various sites. These projects have included work for the USEPA, the U.S. Department of Defense, and private industry. Example projects include Crab Orchard National Wildlife Refuge; National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Edwards Air Force Base; NASA Marshall Space Flight Center; Army Base Realignment and Closure sites in Washington, Alabama, California, and Illinois; Prince William Sound, Alaska; Hudson River, New York; Troutdale, Oregon; Rocky Mountain 2 The natural resources provided by the earth's ecosystems serve as the building block upon which human well-being flows. Ecosystems represent a complex and dynamic array of animal, plant, and microbe along non -living physical elements interacting as a functioning unit. This gives rise to many benefits, known as ecosystem services, which are the benefits people obtain from naturally functioning ecosystems (Nicolette et al. 2013a). 3 United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) Science Advisory Board (SAB). 2009. Valuing the Protection of Ecological Systems and Services (EPA -SAB -09-012). Washington, DC: USEPA Science Advisory Board. DCN: HWIDENC002A 4 September 30, 2016 EPS Arsenal, CO; Homestead AFB, Florida; Tennessee Valley Authority, Tennessee; and Calcasieu River Estuary, Louisiana. 1.3.3 Ecosystem Service Valuation I pioneered the ecological service valuation method known as habitat equivalency analysis (HEA) prior to its codification into NRDA regulations in the United States. I have applied these methods to a multitude of cases across the United States as well as internationally. My experience includes over 75 NRDA-related cases, spanning from the Exxon Valdez release up through the Deepwater Horizon incident. I was the lead author of a book chapter (published in May of 2013 by the Oxford Press) that provided an overview of the NRDA regulations and the development of HEA and resource equivalency analysis (REA) approaches (Nicolette et al. 2013b). The book was entitled The EU Liability Directive: A Commentary. I led Chapter 9 that was entitled "Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage." I am a Senior Principal and Ecosystem Services Practice Director with Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. (EPS), in Atlanta, Georgia. I have served on the Steering and/or Planning Committee of the Community of Ecosystem Services sponsored by the United States Geological Survey since 2008. I bill $240 per hour through EPS for my time. DCN: HWIDENC002A 5 September 30, 2016 EPS 2 NEBA AND APPLICATION TO SITE REMEDIATION NEBA has been identified by USEPA as an important decision-making tool in the Superfund program (USEPA SAB 2009). In addition, the USEPA Superfund program supports the adoption of `green site assessment and remediation', which is defined as the practice of considering all environmental impacts of studies, selection and implementation of a given remedy, and incorporating strategies to maximize the net environmental benefit of cleanup actions. USEPA has committed to prioritizing and emphasizing green remediation approaches and maximizing the net environmental benefit of Superfund cleanups (USEPA 2013). As examples, USEPA and other federal agencies used NEBA to guide remedial decision-making, including recent remediation work on the Kalamazoo River (USEPA 2012a). The NOAA and the United States Coast Guard (USCG) identify the use of NEBA to evaluate opportunities for no net loss of resources and habitats during oil spill response planning (Aurand et al. 2000; NOAA 2011), and have used NEBA to evaluate environmental responses on the Gulf of Mexico (NOAA 2011). The United States Army Environmental Center (USAEC) also identifies NEBA as an important tool for assessing natural resource injury (USAEC 2005). 2.1 What is NEBA? In a site remediation context, a NEBA is a framework for comparing site remedial alternatives that includes the incorporation of a broad array of human, social, economic and environmental metrics to demonstrate differences among the various remedial alternatives with regard to human and ecological chemical and physical risk profiles; community and socioeconomic benefits and costs; ecological habitat value; human recreational use value; GHG emissions and criteria pollutants; and remedial costs. The formalized framework for NEBA, as recognized by the USEPA Science Advisory Board (USEPA SAB 2009), is provided in Efroymson et al. 2003 and 2004. A NEBA framework can be used to demonstrate the net positive or negative changes in ecosystem service (ecological, social, and economic) values between various remedial alternatives. A NEBA framework also is useful for assessing and comparing the sustainability of different remedial alternatives through the quantification of impacts over time associated with the implementation and long-term performance of each alternative (Efroymson et al. 2004; Nicolette et al. 2013a). NEBA has been shown to be an objective approach for evaluating the risks, benefits, and tradeoffs associated with different alternatives for remediation and environmental restoration work (Efroymson et al. 2003, 2004; USEPA 2009a; NOAA 2011). The NEBA approach is consistent with USEPA risk management objectives (USEPA 2009b) and provides a framework to help USEPA comply with its policy, guidance, and direction, particularly with large scale remedial programs where the benefits and impacts of potential alternatives are significant and need to be evaluated closely. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 6 September 30, 2016 0 A NEBA framework incorporates quantified analyses that consider changes in various metrics that influence ecosystem service values which, in turn, help to highlight differences between remedial alternatives. NEBA is a systematic process for quantifying and comparing the benefits and costs among competing alternatives; it does not rely solely on monetization but rather also includes non - monetary environmental metrics. A NEBA framework for comparing each remedial alternative should include, among others, the incorporation of a broad array of metrics to demonstrate associated changes in human and ecological chemical and physical risk profiles; community and socioeconomic issues; ecological habitat value; human recreational value effects; GHG emissions; and remedial costs. NEBA is similar to cost -benefit analysis (CBA), which USEPA and other federal agencies have used for decades to support decision-making. NEBA and CBA both consider time -accumulated service flows (i.e., benefits and costs over time); since these benefits and costs occur over varying time frames, they can be normalized to their net present value using a discount rate. The NEBA approach, however, moves beyond the traditional CBA approach by demonstrating environmental stewardship and sustainability through the quantification of environmental metrics. A NEBA typically involves the comparison of several management alternatives that may include: (1) leaving the site condition "as is"; (2) physically, chemically or biologically treating the site condition; (3) improving ecological value through restoration alternatives that do not directly focus on removal of site materials; or (4) a combination of those alternatives (Efroymson et al. 2004). Understanding these benefits, and how they may change among remedial actions, maximizes benefits to the environment and the public while managing costs and site risks. As stated in Efroymson et al., 2004, "This framework for NEBA should be useful when the balance of risks and benefits from remediation of a site is ambiguous. This ambiguity arises when the contaminated site retains significant ecological value, when the remedial actions are themselves environmentally damaging, when the ecological risks from the contaminants are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to a component of the ecosystem, and when remediation or restoration might fail." As set forth more fully below, these are precisely the circumstances present with the Duke Energy sites that I have analyzed. NEBA typically considers a broader range of environmental effects than the traditional human health and ecological risk assessment processes that drive remedial action decisions. Typically, these processes consider only the remedial alternatives' ability to limit exposure and human risks from a chemical condition. The effects on other ecosystem services (e.g., human use and ecological benefits) associated with implementation of a remedial alternative are typically not considered in the traditional remedy selection process. A NEBA shows formally the positive and negative effects on ecosystem services4 and/or surrogate metrics associated with a remedial action in relation to the incremental changes in risk. By considering the effects of a given remedial alternative on all services provided by the site, the net effects on all service flows are considered, including any potential loss of services. In some cases, for example, a remedial alternative may destroy or significantly degrade the ecological landscape and achieve little or no reduction in 4 A NEBA can also be referred to as a net ecosystem service analysis (MESA) (Nicolette et al. 2013b). DCN: HWIDENCO02A 7 September 30, 2016 0 ecological or human health risk. In simpler terms, NEBA can be used to determine, for each remedial alternative, whether "the cure is worse than the disease." 2.1.1 Why is a NEBA Analysis Necessary for Developing Appropriate Remedial Actions for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Coal Ash Basins? 1. The effects of the Removal or CIP remedial alternatives on ecosystem services have not been fully quantified. As such, this can lead to remedial alternatives that can either: — cause more ecological injury through the destruction of habitat than the ecological injury projected by the risk assessment (e.g., "the cure is worse than the disease"), or; — provide a marginal benefit or no net increase in ecosystem service value for the effort expended; this is especially true when ecological risks from the contaminants are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to a component of the ecosystem. It is important to understand that within the regulatory cleanup framework (e.g., as applied in North Carolina), the selection of remedial alternatives to address the site condition is typically based upon the potential for the chemical to pose a human health and/or ecological risk (or in some circumstances, the remedial action is considered necessary simply to address impaired groundwater regardless of risk) and the cost of the alternative. Within this framework, the net effect that a remedial action may have on the ecosystem, positive or negative, is rarely formally quantified when considering among remedial alternatives. It is my understanding, however, that a court exercising its equity jurisdiction to fashion a remedy for a violation of environmental regulations has the ability to consider the broader implications of its actions. The NEBA fits squarely within the type of analysis that I understand a court would employ in considering injunctive relief. 2. NEBA Will Improve the Validity of the Remedial Evaluation Decision -Making Process to Stakeholders Intervenors have not fully considered the environmental impacts, health risks and socio- economic consequences of both the short-term and the long-term impacts of the remedial alternatives. Each certain or possible impact should have been included in a formal analysis using a NEBA framework. A NEBA is needed to provide a scientifically -sound basis for remedial decision-making. Specifically, and per USEPA guidance, the NEBA provides transparency and consistency in the evaluation and decision-making process so that stakeholders and the public are aware of the full extent of potential social, health, and environmental impacts of the proposed remedy. The Intervenors provide insufficient information to demonstrate that they adequately and transparently considered important factors with environmental, social and economic implications consistent with policy, guidance and direction. Specifically, they did not demonstrate (1) a preference for green remediation or a sustainable solution; (2) the environmental footprints of the various remedial alternatives; (3) the environmental and social risks associated with the various remedial alternatives; and (4) the consideration of DCN: HWIDENCO02A 8 September 30, 2016 EPS net environmental, economic and social benefits. The court should not, therefore, adopt the Intervenors' proposed remedy. 3. NEBA Support in Decision -Making Mandated by USEPA NEBA has been conducted by several federal agencies, including USEPA, because it provides an approach for balancing the risks, benefits and tradeoffs associated with competing remedial alternatives in a transparent manner by which all stakeholders can understand the basis for a decision. The merits of using a NEBA framework (based on formally quantified metrics) for transparent decision-making associated with site remediation, compensatory restoration and ecosystem service tradeoffs have been discussed by various authors (Efroymson et al. 2003, 2004; Colombo et al. 2012; Nicolette et al. 2013a). The need for transparency in decision-making is made apparent in the 1995 USEPA Risk Characterization Program memorandum by Carol Browner, former USEPA Administrator (USEPA 1995). In the Browner memorandum, the core values that the USEPA is striving to achieve are transparency, clarity, consistency and reasonableness. These same core values have been repeated often in USEPA guidance from the 1990s to the present. Excerpts from the Memorandum Written by Former USEPA Administrator, Carol Browner (USEPA 1995) "First, we must adopt as values transparency in our decision-making process and clarity in communication with each other and the public regarding environmental risk and the uncertainties associated with our assessments of environmental risk. " "Second, because transparency in decision-making and clarity in communication will likely lead to more outside questioning of our assumptions and science policies, we must be more vigilant about ensuring that our core assumptions and science policies are consistent and comparable across programs, well grounded in science, and that they fall within a `zone of reasonableness. " While I believe that the American public expects us to err on the side of protection in the face of scientific uncertainty, I do not want our assessments to be unrealistically conservative. We cannot lead the fight for environmental protection into the next century unless we use common sense in all we do. " As an example, NEBA was used by the USEPA at the Woodlands Superfund site located in New Jersey where it was applied to assess the ecological impacts of the preferred remedial groundwater action. The NEBA demonstrated that the preferred remedy (pump and treat) would cause injury to the ecosystem, while a lower cost alternative (air sparge/vapor extraction) would not cause injury and would save $87 million in remedial costs. The Record of Decision was subsequently changed to the air sparge/vapor extraction alternative supported by the NEBA. In this case, the downgradient portion of the groundwater plumes at both sites was allowed to naturally attenuate. The USEPA deemed the application of NEBA as successful in an agency -published report describing the remedial decision at the Woodlands Superf ind site (Exhibit 1, USEPA 2001). DCN: HWIDENCO02A 9 September 30, 2016 0 Exhibit 1. Example USEPA groundwater Record of Decision change based on a NEBA. Region 1640 1293 :.. Cnound water state supported the Fed= 13Oe hours change The Site is ry Con. = JO Woodland%, NJ located in a [Alfa] area 1 "(ROD -A) 1+'1199 and the local populmon Est'd Sa}ings = Route ?_' suppons tau remcdsy S 81.6 M Rause i32 change. Type of Change: From - ground nater pump and treat: To - air spargingisod vapor extraction and natural attenuation - Factual Basis-. STAG memo indicated that the ground water pump and treat system would dewater the nearby wellands. In addltwn. durmg remedial &-sign. the PRP successfully identified altrruances that would. meet ROD objectives ai much lower cost 4. A systematic, transparent, and scientifically -based approach for a fully informed remedial decision-making process is needed. A NEBA is a comparative analysis that incorporates ecosystem service values and provides stakeholders a basis to balance the risks, benefits and trade-offs associated with competing management alternatives. Incorporation of ecosystem service valuation concepts with formally quantified values within an alternatives decision-making process provides decision makers with an opportunity to make informed choices about the net benefits of actions that affect the environment. By "informed," I mean an approach that is: — systematic, — transparent and understandable to stakeholders, — non -arbitrary, — scientifically -based and defendable, — quantitative in nature where possible, — based on internationally recognized concepts and approaches, and — considerate of all stakeholder concerns thus providing a holistic perspective to the decision-making process. NEBA incorporates the use of ecosystem service valuation concepts and methods that have been litigation -tested and upheld in federal court (United States 1997, 2001) to evaluate changes in habitat value over time. In addition, a variety of human use economics -based models can be incorporated into a NEBA to evaluate changes in human use value (recreational, commercial, aesthetic, educational, scientific, etc.) over time. A NEBA can also incorporate implementation risks, chemical contamination risks, and a variety of proxy metrics (e.g. GHGs) to help in differentiating between alternatives. S. It is the public policy of the State of North Carolina to carefully consider the environmental impacts associated with each remedial alternative as part of the decision-making process for selection of a preferred remedy. This is consistent with the direction and policy of the State of North Carolina Environmental Policy Act (SEPA) and Federal USEPA policy, guidance, and direction for remedial decision-making. Determining the appropriate remedy for this case requires a consistent, detailed and transparent assessment of the environmental, social and economic impacts associated with DCN: HWIDENC002A 10 September 30, 2016 0 remedial alternatives specified for each site. The following examples from the USEPA and the State of North Carolina illustrate the importance of providing consistent, adequate, clear, and transparent information. Example 1. Risk managers must assess and balance risks between site contaminants and proposed remedies (USEPA 1997). EPA Superfund Ecological Risk Assessment (ERA) Guidance (Step 8) specifically states that: "The risk manager must balance (1) residual risks posed by site contaminants before and after implementation of the selected remedy with (2) the potential impacts of the selected remedy on the environment independent of contaminant effects. " "In instances where substantial ecological impact will result from the remedy (e.g., dredging a wetland), the risk manager will need to consider ways to mitigate the impact of the remedy and compare mitigated impacts to the threats posed by the site contamination. " Example 2. This balance should be incorporated into the decision-making process for contaminated sites (USEPA 2005). "Project managers are encouraged to use the concept of comparing net risk reduction between alternatives as part of their decision-making process for contaminated sediment sites, within the overall framework of the NCP remedy selection criteria. Consideration should be given not only to risk reduction associated with reduced human and ecological exposure to contaminants, but also to risks introduced by implementing the alternatives [..] Evaluation of both implementation risk and residual risk are existing important parts of the NCP remedy selection process. By evaluating these two concepts in tandem, additional information may be gained to help in the remedy selection process. " Example 3. Feasibility Studies should include a comparison of environmental footprints (USEPA 2008). "Green remediation focuses on maximizing the net environmental benefit of cleanup, while preserving remedy effectiveness as part of the Agency's primary mission to protect human health and the environment [..] Key opportunities for integrating core elements of green remediation can be found when designing and implementing cleanup measures. Regulatory criteria and standards serve as a foundation for building green practices. Key elements include reducing atmospheric release of toxic or priority pollutants, and reducing emissions of greenhouse gases that contribute to climate change." DCN: HWIDENCO02A 11 September 30, 2016 0 "In accordance with green remediation strategies, feasibility studies could include comparison of the environmental footprint expected from each cleanup alternative, including GHG emissions, carbon sequestration capability, and water drawdown (lowering of the water table or surface water levels). " Example 4: Green remediation technologies should be considered for response actions (USEPA 2011 a, 2011 b). The USEPA Superfund program supports the adoption of "green site assessment and remediation", which is defined as the practice of considering all environmental impacts of studies, selection and implementation of a given remedy, and incorporating strategies to maximize the net environmental benefit of cleanup actions. USEPA has established a "Clean & Green" policy to enhance the environmental benefits of Superfund cleanups by promoting technologies and practices that are sustainable. The policy applies to all Superfund cleanups. Under this policy, certain green remediation technologies will serve as touchstones for response actions. Example 5: USEPA has identified a framework to quantify various metrics to help understand and reduce a project's environmental footprint (USEPA 2012b). "Green remediation strategies can include a detailed analysis in which components of a remedy are closely examined and large contributions to the footprint are identified. More effective steps can then be taken to reduce the footprint while meeting regulatory requirements driving the cleanup [...J. The term "environmental footprint" as referenced in the methodology comprehensively includes metrics such as energy use and water use as well as air emissions to fully represent the effects a cleanup project may have on the environment. " "The methodology is a general framework to help site teams understand the remedy components with the greatest influence on the project's environmental footprint. Quantifying the metrics can serve as an initial step in reducing the remedy footprint. The overall process allows those involved in the remedial process to analyze a remedy from another perspective and potentially yields viable and effective improvements that may not have been identified otherwise. " Example 6: The State of North Carolina has declared, in its State Environmental Policy Act (SEPA) (§ 113A-3), that it shall be the continuing policy of the State of North Carolina to conserve and protect its natural resources (North Carolina 1971). The State of North Carolina has declared, in its SEPA (§ 113A-3), "that it shall be the continuing policy of the State of North Carolina to conserve and protect its natural resources and to create and maintain conditions under which man and nature can exist in productive harmony. Further, it shall be the policy of the State to seek, for all of its citizens, safe, healthful, productive and aesthetically pleasing surroundings; to attain DCN: HWIDENCO02A 12 September 30, 2016 0 the widest range of beneficial uses of the environment without degradation, risk to health or safety; and to preserve the important historic and cultural elements of our common inheritance. (1971, c. 1203, s. 3.)" Consistent with this declaration and USEPA direction, the State of North Carolina Waste Management Division integrates its programs with federal cleanup programs. The question arises, have the proposed remedial solutions been properly vetted as to their protection of natural resources and are they providing the widest range of beneficial uses of the environment without degradation? For the reasons set forth in this document, the Intervenors' proposal for a remedy (Removal) fails this test. Example 7. Guidelines for establishing remediation goals at Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Hazardous Waste Sites (NCDEQ 2013) The Hazardous Waste Sites (HWS) goal is that RCRA facilities remediate all releases of hazardous waste or hazardous constituents to unrestricted use levels. For groundwater, the unrestricted use level is the North Carolina Division of Water Quality, 15A NCAC 2L groundwater standard (2L) or site-specific background concentration. For soil, the unrestricted use level is either the site-specific background concentration or the lowest of a soil screening level protective of groundwater and the health -based residential Preliminary Soil Remediation Goal (PSRG). Unrestricted use levels are the starting points for the HWS preliminary screening process. The HWS does recognize that, in some cases, it may be infeasible to remediate to unrestricted use levels. Although USEPA has classified coal ash and coal combustion residuals as non- hazardous, these guidelines represent an important reference tool for the present situation. If the HWS guidelines recognize a NEBA approach to remediation of hazardous waste, then NEBA should also apply to non -hazardous wastes as well. Example 8. Planning and Promoting Ecological Land Reuse of Remediated Sites (ITRC 2006, State of North Carolina is a Member) "The Interstate Technology and Regulatory Council (ITRC) Ecological Land Reuse Team has developed this guidance document to promote ecological land reuse as an integrated part of site remediation strategies and as an alternative to conventional property development or redevelopment. This reuse may be achieved through a design that considers natural or green technologies or through more traditional cleanup remedies. The decision process presented here helps stakeholders to integrate future land use and stakeholder input into an ecological land end -use -based remediation project. " "Ecological benefits have not traditionally been designed into, nor credited to, the value of the reusable land until successful remediation was completed. Now, natural and green technologies can improve the ecology of the site as long as they support the intent of the land's use and do not jeopardize the elimination or reduction of the human DCN: HWIDENCO02A 13 September 30, 2016 0 or environmental risk. Consideration of ecological benefits, as well as the end use of an environmentally impacted site, is an integral component of the remediation process. This guidance raises the question, has the ecology and end land use been properly considered in the development of the remedy? It is clear that the Intervenors have not considered these values in advocating their proposed remedy. Example 9: In a recent Memorandum (August 2, 2016), the USEPA recommends approaches for Superfund programs to consider conducting a best practices or footprint analysis and using greener cleanup activities through the CERCLA cleanup process (USEPA 2016). As stated in this reference, OSWER's "... goal is to evaluate cleanup actions comprehensively to ensure protection of human health and the environment and to reduce the environmental footprint of cleanup activities, to the maximum extent possible. In considering these Principles, OSWER cleanup programs will assure that the cleanups and subsequent environmental footprint reduction occur in a manner that is consistent with statutes and regulations governing EPA cleanup programs and without compromising cleanup objectives, community interests, the reasonableness of cleanup time frames, or the protectiveness of the cleanup actions. " In addition, the memorandum outlines five key factors that regional staff should generally consider when implementing greener cleanups (i.e., minimize total energy use and maximize use of renewable energy; minimize air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions; minimize water use and impacts to water resources; reduce, reuse, and recycle materials and waste; and protect land and ecosystems). 2.1.2 Summary A NEBA should be conducted by the Court to determine the remedy for this case, since remedial decision-making policy and guidance obligates the regulatory authorities to evaluate the environmental and community impacts associated with potential remedial actions and dictates that the remedies should be sustainable and demonstrate a net environmental benefit to the public. USEPA has made "greener" cleanups part of its cleanup program mission, which the USEPA has stated strives to reduce adverse impacts on the environment, use natural resources and energy efficiently, minimize or eliminate pollution at its source, use renewable energy and recycled materials whenever possible, and reduce waste to the greatest extent possible. According to USEPA, the practice of "green remediation" involves strategies that consider all environmental effects associated with remedy implementation at contaminated sites, and the selection of alternatives that maximize the net environmental benefit of cleanup actions (USEPA 2008). The use of a NEBA evaluation ensures that on a site-specific basis, decision -makers consider, at the remedy selection stage, not only the benefits of a remedial approach, but also the residual risks DCN: HWIDENC002A 14 September 30, 2016 0 associated with the approach and the risks associated with implementing the remedial approach. This differs from the traditional approach of either considering implementation risks at the remedy implementation stage or assuming that remedial approaches will be 100% effective on implementation, thereby bypassing any consideration of residual risk. NEBA is consistent with the National Oil and Hazardous Substances Pollution Contingency Plan's (NCP) 9 -point criteria (40 CFR §300.430(e)(9)(iii)), which require evaluation and balancing of short-term and long-term risks and benefits, including residual risk. Failure to take a holistic view of all of the environmental and community impacts and risks associated with alternative implementation during the remedial evaluation stage can skew remedy selection and result in a remedy that is less protective of the environment and the community. The NEBA was conducted to examine key parameters associated with remedial alternatives proposed at the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites. This analysis follows; however, prior to discussing the NEBA analysis, I provide a brief discussion on the difference between "perceived" risk, "real" risk, and injury. These distinctions are important when determining appropriate remedial actions. 2.1.3 Understanding Risks and Injury It is important to understand the distinction between risk and injury and the ramifications that this distinction has on remedial alternative selection. In the 1998 USEPA Guidelines for Ecological Risk Assessment (EPA/630/R-95/002F) (an expansion and replacement for the 1992 ecological risk assessment guidelines), risk assessment is defined as "...a process that evaluates the likelihood that adverse ecological effects may occur or are occurring as a result of exposure to one or more stressors" (USEPA 1998). "Risks" result from the existence of a hazard and uncertainty about its expression. Uncertainty is defined as "Imperfect knowledge concerning the present or future state of the system under consideration; a component of risk resulting from imperfect knowledge of the degree of hazard or of its spatial and temporal pattern of expression" (Suter 1993). Since a "risk" evaluation typically looks at the "likelihood" of an adverse effect, it thus includes an implied level of uncertainty in an effect. Thus, simply put, a "risk" represents the "potential" that adverse effects may occur (with some level of uncertainty), not a definitive measure of observable effects. In many cases, uncertainty in risk assessment is handled through the use of layers of conservative assumptions (e.g., use of maximum concentrations, extended exposure periods, unrealistic exposure assumptions) that cumulatively may predict a risk when, in fact, no injury is occurring (a "perceived" risk). As such, there may be no adverse effects, and no "real" risks in an area where contaminant concentrations are above a criterion and remediation is being required. A key function in the strategic site assessment is to be able to understand and differentiate between what would be considered a "perceived" risk versus a "real" risk. The meaning of observable effect to a natural resource is very different than a "risk" to a natural resource. This distinction is important when it comes to understanding those effects that have been documented (quantified/measured) through actual field studies, versus those effects that "may have" or "potentially have" occurred, or those effects that "may" or "potentially" be occurring now and/or into the future. The differentiation between risk and observable effects (i.e., injury) has been made prominent based upon the NRDA regulations in CERCLA (43 CFR 11), where the DCN: HWIDENC002A 15 September 30, 2016 0 public is to be compensated for natural resource injury that has occurred as a result of a release. Under NKDA, the lost natural resource services (injury) are quantified so that an appropriately scaled restoration program can be developed ("service -to -service" equivalency approach). In this approach, injury must be measured (with some level of certainty) and used to develop the scale of the restoration program. Thus, there is some certainty that there is indeed injury and therefore, that restoration or remediation is required and adequate. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 16 September 30, 2016 EPS 3 NEBA EVALUATION METHODS AND ANALYSIS The basic NEBA evaluation presented herein for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro coal ash basins compared the MNA, CIP, and Removal alternatives as to how they would affect, positively or negatively, ecosystem service values (human use and ecological) and associated metrics for each site; and therefore provide an improved understanding of the environmental footprint and community risks associated with the alternatives. In order to conduct the NEBA analysis, several key factors were identified and considered to help establish an understanding of the environmental footprint that would be associated with the various alternatives. These included: 1. chemical risks associated with contaminant exposures (ecological and human); 2. health and safety and implementation risks (mortality, injuries, illness); 3. physical impacts on the habitats and related ecological services associated with the actions; 4. GHG's and other criteria air pollutants; 5. energy use; 6. community impacts (e.g., increased traffic, accidents); 7. human use value (groundwater, recreation, hunting, etc.); and 8. costs. These factors resulted in specific parameters that were considered to help assess predicted changes over time, given implementation of the remedial alternatives. For the analysis, I considered the following parameters: • human health - public off-site contaminant exposure (wader, boater, swimmer); • human health - on-site contaminant exposure (commercial industrial worker, construction worker, trespasser); • human health - fish consumption (recreational, subsistence fishermen); • human health - drinking water (i.e., from groundwater consumption); • implementation risks - truck traffic related accidents/mortality; • implementation risks - on-site worker safety; • community nuisance — truck trips (e.g., relates to noise, dust, aesthetics); • energy use — cumulative energy requirements; • GHGs; • pollutant emissions (e.g., NOX, particulate matter) - truck traffic, on-site construction (yellow iron); • ecological habitat services (terrestrial, aquatic, avian); • groundwater services; DCN: HWIDENCO02A 17 September 30, 2016 0 • human recreational uses; and • capital costs including long-term operations and maintenance (O&M). Although the above parameters were considered in the analysis, not all were able to be quantified given the lack of available information. Therefore, the NEBA presented herein is not fully comprehensive in the scope of the supporting quantitative evaluations — the most pertinent and impactful elements are quantified. Other elements, if considered, would push the NEBA further in the disparity amongst the remedial alternatives considered. Those parameters not quantified were considered from a qualitative standpoint in support of evaluating the environmental footprint and community risks associated with the remedial alternatives. The analysis is sufficiently robust, however, to require rejection of the Intervenors' proposed remedy. 3.1 Alternative Construction Analysis As part of the evaluation, it was necessary to evaluate the construction activities, equipment necessary, etc. that would be associated with the proposed remedial alternatives in order to understand those factors that would affect the environmental footprint and associated risks associated with the proposed remedial alternatives. A construction and cost analysis for the MNA, CIP and Removal alternatives was conducted for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Stations. The three remedial alternatives evaluated were based on the remedial assessment completed by HDR Engineering, Inc. and SynTerra Corporation as detailed in the Corrective Action Plan, Part 2 for each respective steam station (HDR 2016a, 2016b; SynTerra 2016a). The quantity of ash and land coverage of the existing ash basins for each steam station were provided by Duke Energy. The construction analysis was subdivided into three categories: land disturbance, project duration, and cost. The detailed analysis of construction implementation details for the three alternatives, for each of the three sites considered, is provided in Appendix A. This analysis developed the following information in support of the various components of the quantitative evaluation: • Types of equipment used and duration [air emissions, energy]; • Land disturbance footprint (ecological habitat alteration); • Road miles traveled [air emissions; truck trips, safety risks]; • Dimensions of work zones [safety risks]; and • Costs. As shown in Figure 1, the CIP alternative is estimated to require 4.6, 9.3, and 8.2 years at the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites, respectively. In comparison, the Removal alternative is estimated to require 22.4, 50.7, and 63.8 years to implement (for ash excavation and transport only) at the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites, respectively. The affected acreage for each alternative at each site, both direct on-site and off-site impacts, is presented in Figure 2 and detailed in Appendix A. DCN: HWIDENC002A 18 September 30, 2016 70 60 50 Figure 1. Projected Duration (years) of the CIP and Removal alternatives 50.7 L > 40 C O +� 30 M 22.4 D 20 10 4.6 9.3 - IR 0 Belews Marshall C MINA CIP Removal *Removal with MNA duration includes ash basin excavation and transportto landfill only. Landfill construction and landfill closureare not included. 1200 N 1000 C 600 m J 400 L 3 a+ 0 200 0 EPS 63.8 Roxboro Figure 2. Projected acreage affected by the CIP and Removal alternatives 420 335 294 504 579 579 168 226 506 506 283 283 0 0 0 MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Belews Marshall Roxboro ■ On-site Off-site The parameter quantification was conducted within the following analyses: implementation safety risk (fatalities, injury, illness, property damage), air emissions (truck trips, GHG emissions - CO2e, criteria pollutant emissions, energy use), human and ecological health, ecological habitat alterations, and cost. Each of these analyses are discussed, in turn, in the following sections. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 19 September 30, 2016 0 3.2 Traffic and Implementation Safety Risk Analysis Multiple accidents associated with coal ash removal and management construction activities have been documented and include fatalities and property damage. Selected examples of these include incidents in South Carolina, Tennessee, West Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Illinois (see "Selected Examples of Truck Traffic and Construction Implementation Related Accidents over the past 10 years" section of the Reference Section of this report). The risk of life to workers and public due to construction activities for each alternative was quantified. National statistics were used to evaluate the fatality and non -fatality (injury/illness) risks, as well as property damage incidents associated with truck traffic and onsite implementation for the three sites considered. The quantitative evaluation of implementation safety risks is provided in Appendix B with the summary results presented in Section 4.2.1. 3.3 Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis Air emissions can be divided into two separate categories, criteria pollutants and GHGs. The criteria pollutants, which were established in the Clean Air Act of 1970, consist of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOX), ozone, sulfur oxides (SOX), particulate matter (PM), and lead. These pollutants cause adverse health and environmental effects when present above specific concentrations in the atmosphere. For the purposes of this evaluation, NO, and PM were evaluated based on their expected emissions from the activities involved in the remedial activities. Based on previous experience with air emissions from remedial activities, the impacts from the other criteria pollutants were expected to be minimal and so were not included in this evaluation. Criteria pollutants are also referred to as criteria pollutants. Greenhouse gases, which consist primarily of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and fluorinated gases, were also determined by USEPA to have adverse health and environmental effects due to their contribution to climate change. The quantitative evaluation of each of these types of air emissions, as well as truck trips and energy use, for the three remedial alternatives, specific to each of the sites considered is provided in Appendix C. The results are presented in Sections 4.2.2, 4.2.3, and 4.2.4. 3.4 Human Health Risk Analysis Potential impacts to humans in contact with chemicals in environmental media were estimated for 30 years after implementation of the three remedial alternatives. A current condition (i.e., year 2015-2016) risk assessment was conducted for each site as part of each CAP Part 2 document. These risk assessments formed the basis of estimating the risks in the future for the three different remedial alternatives. It is important to note that the purpose of this risk analysis is to compare the three different remedial alternatives; the analysis does not necessarily represent the true risk remaining after implementation of a particular remedial action alternative given the numerous assumptions and data extrapolations that were necessary in order to conduct this "forward projection" analysis. DCN: HWIDENC002A 20 September 30, 2016 0 The receptors evaluated included a commercial/industrial worker, construction worker, trespasser, boater, swimmer, and waders. There were two considerations in extrapolating the current risk assessment to the future condition: the first was to forward project into the future (30 years from implementation/completion of the remedial action); the second was to project (estimate) the changes to various environmental media due to a given remedial action. The detailed evaluation of human health risks projected under each remedial action alternative, for each of the sites considered, is provided in Appendix D. The results are presented in Section 4.1. 3.5 Ecological Habitat Service Analysis The purpose of this evaluation was to understand how implementation of the Removal and CIP alternatives might affect ecological habitat service values associated with the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites6. The analysis for each site consisted of three main steps as follows: 1. The first step was to identify the general habitat types existing within the areas that would be impacted by the remedial alternatives at each site and to estimate the surface area of each habitat type. This step combined habitat type boundaries presented in the CAP (available as GIS "shape" boundary layers), aerial photography reviews, site visit observations, and an updated GIS analysis. The basins that would be impacted, along with selected site specific photographs, are presented for the Belews Creek (Figures 3-7), Marshall (Figures 8-12), and Roxboro (Figures 13-17) sites, respectively. 2. The second step was to develop assumptions regarding the timing and level of impact (i.e., projected change in ecological service value over time) that implementation of each alternative would have on the major habitat types evaluated. The general assumptions as to the timing and level of impact projected for each alternative at each site were based upon the construction analysis information provided in Appendix A and professional experience with remedial activity implementation. 3. The third step was to estimate the change (i.e., loss) in the net present value (NPV) of ecological habitat services that would be projected to occur given the habitats, acreages, and assumptions developed as part of Steps 1 and 2. An estimate of the NPV of the losses in ecological habitat value were developed through the use of the HEA methodology. In this case, projected habitat alterations (e.g., removal, displacement of habitat) were used to directly assess changes in ecological habitat quality and resulting value. My evaluation included both the major direct on-site and off-site habitat impacts. Indirect impacts associated with alternative implementation were not estimated, as such, my estimation of impacts are conservative (i.e., underestimate projected losses). s There were insufficient data to evaluate subsistence and recreational fishermen. 6 It should be noted that ecological risks, as currently understood, were used to inform the overall assessment as to how implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives might affect the current risks. This is discussed further in Section 4.1. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 21 September 30, 2016 0 The detailed quantitative evaluation of the loss of ecological habitat service value projected under the CIP and Removal alternatives, for each of the three sites, is provided in Appendix E. The results are presented in Section 4.2.5. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 22 September 30, 2016 Figure 3 EPS Site Reconnaissance June 2016 Belews Creek Steam Station Belews Creek, NC Figure Narrative Shows vantage point locations for photographs taken during EPS site reconnaissance on June 9, 2016. Notes Legend Basin Stream Site Visit Photo Locations Blue arrows indicate the general direction that the photograph was taken N A 500 1,000 Feet Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 23 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 4. Belews Creek Steam Station wildlife habitat enhancement project (in partnership with the North Carolina Wildlife Resources Commission and the National Wild Turkey Federation (Photo 1 location on Figure 3) Figure 5. Wetland habitat expanse within the Belews Creek Steam Station ash basin (Photo 2 location on Figure 3) DCN: HWIDENCO02A 24 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 6. Island habitat within the Belews Creek Steam Station ash basin (Photo 3 location on Figure 3) Figure 7. Outlet stream from the ash basin at Belews Creek Steam Station (Photo 4 location on Figure 3) DCN: HWIDENC002A 25 September 30, 2016 Figure 8 EPS Site Reconnaissance June 2016 Marshall Steam Station Terrell, NC Figure Narrative Shows vantage point locations for photographs taken during EPS site reconnaissance on June 7, 2016. Notes Legend Basins =Active Ash Basin Q Dry Ash Landfill Phase 1 [Retired Landfill] Q Dry Ash Landfill Phase 2 [Retired Landfill] Q PV Structural Fill SIE Site Visit Photo Locations Blue arrows indicate the general direction that the photograph was taken N A 500 1,000 Feet Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 26 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 9. Heron nests overlooking the surface water habitat at the ash basin of the Marshall Steam Station (Photo 1 location on Figure 8) Figure 10. Close-up view of the heron nests overlooking the surface water habitat at the ash basin of the Marshall Steam Station (Photo 2 location on Figure 8) DCN: HWIDENCO02A 27 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 11. Wetland within the ash basin at the Marshall Steam Station (Photo 3 location on Figure 8) Figure 12. Forest habitat growing on ash material at the Marshall Steam Station (Photo 4 location on Figure 8) DCN: HWIDENCO02A 28 September 30, 2016 M r VWV1 ' I k'A I Q, Rr Legend Basins 1966 Semi -Active Basin ' 1973 Active Ash Basin Lined Monofill (above East Basin) 2 Unlined Monofill (above East Basin) Site Visit Photo Locations Blue arrows indicate the general direction that the ,f4 photograph was taken N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 29 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 14. View of wetlands and surface water looking into the ash basin at Roxboro Steam Station (Photo 1 location on Figure 13) Figure 15. Game land area near the Roxboro Steam Station (Photo 2 location on Figure 13) DCN: HWIDENCO02A 30 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 16. Outfall thermal mixing zone area at Roxboro Steam Station (Photo 3 location on Figure 13) Figure 17. Cormorants resting in the thermal mixing zone area (Photo 4 location on Figure 13) r M � MOL:MWO DCN: HWIDENC002A 31 September 30, 2016 0 3.6 Cost Analysis The quantitative evaluation of remedial alternative cost estimates for the three remedial alternatives, for each of the three sites considered, are provided in Appendix A and presented in Section 4.2.6. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 32 September 30, 2016 0 4 NEBA SUMMARY RESULTS The analyses developed as presented in Appendices A-E provide quantification of a variety of metrics that can be used to ascertain the relative environmental footprint that one remedial alternative may have in comparison to another. In addition, we can evaluate how risks change through the implementation of the alternatives. In evaluating the information developed to date, I have developed several opinions as to the risks and benefits that would be associated with implementation of the alternatives. Prior to presenting my opinions, I provide summaries of the information that support my opinions. 4.1 Risks Driving Remedial Alternative Selection Developing an appropriate remedy is based on a solution that manages site risks while maximizing benefits to the public and minimizing cost. For the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites, risks that the final remedy should look to manage include potential human health and ecological risks. The remedy should effect a meaningful change in reducing the human health and/or ecological risk that is the basis for the remedy. Without a meaningful change in a risk parameter, the remedy should look to minimize environmental harm and reduce cost. A "forward projection" of human health risks was conducted across the progression of the more aggressive remedial action alternatives (MNA to CIP to Removal) at each of the three sites (Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro) and is presented in Figures 18-20, respectively (see Appendix D). In addition to projected human health risks, Figures 18-20 also include the estimation of current ecological risks provided in the available CAP 2 documents for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites (HDR 2016a, 2016b, and SynTerra 2016a, respectively). The current ecological risk categorization depicted in the figures is based upon the lowest observed effect level (LOAEL). The LOAEL was used since all of the ecological risk assessments require additional data and further refinement is needed to address uncertainties associated with the evaluation of these scenarios such as the occurrence of the ecological receptors in the areas adjacent to the ash basins, the bioavailability of any source or background COIs applicable to the risk assessments, and refinement of the exposure and toxicity assumptions used in the ecological risk characterization. These refinements would likely reduce potential ecological risks further. That said, the ecological risk information for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro sites support a risk categorization that there is no unacceptable risk to ecological receptors at these sites in the current condition. The LOAEL risk categorization information is provided for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro sites in Tables 1, 2, and 3, respectively. It is my understanding that the question of source -related versus background COIs is to be addressed by other Duke Energy experts. As such, I reserve the right to supplement my opinions on this point when their reports become available to me. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 33 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y N Moderate a. Risk R ar Low Risk NUA High Y N > Mode M M a Low N Figure 18. Belews Creek Steam Station -Human Health and Ecological Risks MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk NUA - no unacceptable risk Figure 19. Marshall Steam Station - Human Health and Ecological Risks ate i s k 3 0 tisk a a a z z z lA > > j > j > j D z z z z z z z z MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure 0 Ecological Risk NUA -no unacceptable risk EPS DCN: HWIDENC002A 34 September 30, 2016 s 3 0 a a a a a a a a a a a > > z z > z > z > z > z > z > z > z > > z z MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk NUA - no unacceptable risk Figure 19. Marshall Steam Station - Human Health and Ecological Risks ate i s k 3 0 tisk a a a z z z lA > > j > j > j D z z z z z z z z MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure 0 Ecological Risk NUA -no unacceptable risk EPS DCN: HWIDENC002A 34 September 30, 2016 High Ri Y d 2 Modera m Ri w Low Ri NUA Figure 20. Roxboro Steam Station - Human Health and Ecological Risks SK to sk a 3 0 sk a a a a a a a a a a a Z D Z > Z > Z > Z n Z :DD Z Z D Z Z Z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure NUA -no unacceptable risk CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 35 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Belews Creek Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)t for COPECs. Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Aquaticz Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron I Muskrat River Otter Eco Area 1 Surface Water, AOW Water & Sediment and Sedimenta Aluminum 0.003 0.0005 0.5 0.005 Arsenic 0.0002 0.02 Barium 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.004 Beryllium 0.00006 0.0002 Boron 0.0001 0.001 0.003 0.0003 Cadmium 0.00000005 0.003 0.0000002 0.0001 Cobalt 0.000004 0.01 0.00006 0.001 Copper 0.002 0.006 0.01 0.001 Lead 0.000002 0.00002 0.00001 0.000002 Manganese 0.001 0.01 0.03 0.008 Mercury 0.00000001 0.002 0.0000006 0.0007 Nickel 0.000002 0.001 0.0002 0.0005 Selenium 0.000009 0.1 0.0005 0.04 Strontium 0.00001 0.00002 Zinc 0.0000004 0.01 0.000009 0.002 Chloride Eco Area 2 AOW Water and AOW Sediment 4 Aluminum 0.003 0.00002 1 0.00006 Arsenic 0.00009 0.02 Barium 0.01 0.2 0.1 0.004 Beryllium 0.00003 0.00003 Boron 0.0002 0.007 0.02 0.0005 Cadmium 0.00000007 0.02 0.000001 0.0002 Cobalt 0.00004 0.4 0.002 0.01 Copper 0.0007 0.002 0.01 0.0001 Lead 0.0000001 0.000007 0.000004 0.0000002 Manganese 0.0009 0.8 0.09 0.2 Mercury 0.00000006 0.03 0.00001 0.003 Nickel 0.000004 0.007 0.001 0.001 Selenium 0.00001 0.6 0.003 0.06 Strontium 0.00005 0.00002 Zinc 0.0000002 0.02 0.00002 0.0008 Chloride Eco Area 3 Surface Water, Sediment & AOWs 5 Aluminum 0.004 0.003 0.9 0.03 Arsenic 0.0002 0.02 Barium 0.03 0.2 0.09 0.02 Beryllium 0.00002 0.00004 Boron 0.01 0.1 0.4 0.03 Cadmium 0.00000005 0.005 0.0000004 0.0001 Cobalt 0.000006 0.02 0.0001 0.002 Copper 0.002 0.03 0.01 0.005 Lead 0.00001 0.0002 0.0001 0.00002 Manganese 0.002 0.4 0.05 0.2 Mercury 0.00000007 0.01 0.000005 0.004 Nickel 0.000003 0.002 0.0003 0.0006 Selenium 0.00002 0.2 0.001 0.07 Strontium 0.0007 0.0008 Zinc 0.000005 0.2 0.0001 0.02 DCN: HWIDENCO02A 36 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Belews Creek Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)l for COPECs. Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" AquaticZ Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Chloride Eco Area 4 AOW Water and AOW Sediment 6 Aluminum 0.003 0.0010 0.8 0.005 Arsenic 0.00004 0.006 Barium 0.01 0.04 0.06 0.002 Beryllium 0.00001 0.00002 Boron 0.0001 0.002 0.005 0.0002 Cadmium 0.0000001 0.01 0.000001 0.0003 Cobalt 0.000001 0.006 0.00004 0.0004 Copper 0.0009 0.02 0.008 0.002 Lead 0.000004 0.0001 0.00006 0.000005 Manganese 0.0004 0.02 0.01 0.008 Mercury 0.00000002 0.006 0.000002 0.001 Nickel 0.000003 0.003 0.0005 0.0009 Selenium 0.00002 0.5 0.003 0.1 Strontium 0.00002 0.00001 Zinc 0.000002 0.09 0.00006 0.006 Chloride Eco Area 5 AOW Water and AOW Sediment 7 Aluminum 0.002 0.00002 1.0 0.00005 Arsenic 0.00004 0.01 Barium 0.02 0.06 0.2 0.002 Beryllium 0.00003 0.00002 Boron 0.000001 0.00004 0.0001 0.000003 Cadmium 0.00000001 0.002 0.0000002 0.00003 Cobalt 0.000002 0.01 0.00009 0.0005 Copper 0.0010 0.002 0.01 0.0002 Lead 0.00000003 0.000001 0.0000007 0.00000004 Manganese 0.0006 0.09 0.04 0.02 Mercury 0.000000003 0.001 0.0000005 0.0002 Nickel 0.0000009 0.001 0.0002 0.0002 Selenium 0.000002 0.08 0.0004 0.01 Strontium 0.000008 0.000004 Zinc 0.000001 0.1 0.00008 0.005 Chloride Notes: 'A Hazard Quotient is estimated by dividing the Exposure Point Concentration for that species by its respective Toxicity Reference Value for the COPEC. 2 Exposures are adjusted for the proportion of this exposure area that represents the animal's home range, i.e. 1 acres/10 acres = 0.1. 3 Reproduced from Table 6-5 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin (March 4, 2016). 4 Reproduced from Table 6-6 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin (March 4, 2016). 5 Reproduced from Table 6-7 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin (March 4, 2016). 6 Reproduced from Table 6-8 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin (March 4, 2016). 7 Reproduced from Table 6-9 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin (March 4, 2016). HQ >= 1 DCN: HWIDENCO02A 37 September 30, 2016 Table 2. Marshall Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)t for COPECs. Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Aquatic Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Eco Area 1 AOW Water, Sediment and Surface Water Aluminum 0.000003 0.0001 0.007 0.0007 Barium 0.03 0.4 0.1 0.02 Beryllium 0.0004 0.0005 Cadmium 0.00000006 0.007 0.0000006 0.0001 Chromium (Total) 0.003 0.01 0.000002 0.0000002 Cobalt 0.00005 0.2 0.001 0.01 Copper 0.00001 0.3 0.0007 0.03 Lead 0.0001 0.003 0.002 0.0002 Manganese 0.00008 0.4 0.02 0.2 Mercury 0.0000001 0.04 0.00001 0.008 Nickel 0.000007 0.006 0.001 0.002 Selenium 0.00007 0.007 0.3 Thallium 0.02 0.08 Vanadium 0.003 0.01 0.07 Zinc 0.000005 0.2 0.0002 0.02 Chloride Eco Area 2 Surface Water Aluminum 0.0000002 0.00008 0.004 0.00006 Barium 0.0000007 0.04 0.0001 0.0002 Chromium (Total) 0.00000008 0.0001 0.000000004 3E-10 Cobalt 0.0000002 0.008 0.00005 0.00006 Copper 0.00000001 0.002 0.000006 0.00003 Lead 0.00000004 0.000009 0.000005 0.00000006 Manganese 0.0000004 0.02 0.0006 0.0008 Nickel 0.0000002 0.001 0.0002 0.00005 Selenium 0.0000002 0.04 0.0002 0.001 Thallium 0.0002 0.0001 Vanadium 0.000002 0.04 0.00004 0.00004 Zinc 0.00000002 0.008 0.000006 0.00007 Chloride Notes: IA Hazard Quotient is estimated by dividing the Exposure Point Concentration for that species by its respective Toxicity Reference Value for the COPEC. 2 Exposures are adjusted for the proportion of this exposure area that represents the animal's home range, i.e. 1 acres/10 acres = 0.1. 3 Reproduced from Table 6-5 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin (March 3, 2016). a Reproduced from Table 6-6 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin (March 3, 2016). 5 This HQ result is based on a statistical outlier. If the outlier is removed from the underlying dataset, the resulting HQ is 0.03. HQ >= 1 DCN: HWIDENCO02A 38 September 30, 2016 Table 3. Roxboro Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)I for COPECs. Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Terrestrial2 American Robin Red -Tailed Hawk Meadow Vole Red Fox Ash Basin Aluminum 0.1 0.00000004 0.9 0.000007 Boron 0.007 0.000007 0.006 0.00002 Copper 0.07 0.0005 0.02 0.0006 Lead 0.1 0.0005 0.004 0.0002 Manganese 0.08 0.000007 0.2 0.00008 Mercury 0.02 0.0006 0.007 0.001 Molybdenum 0.04 0.0002 0.06 0.002 Vanadium 0.7 0.008 Zinc 0.2 0.0008 0.01 0.0006 Gypsum Pad Aluminum 0.02 0.2 Manganese 0.5 0.000001 1.0 0.00002 Mercury 0.0000008 0.000000002 0.000004 0.000000010 Molybdenum 0.1 0.00007 0.2 0.0008 Selenium I IF= 0.0002 0.0004 Vanadium 0.2 0.003 AquatiC2 Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Hyco Reservoirs Aluminum 0.000005 0.0002 0.01 0.001 Barium 0.03 0.1 Manganese 0.003 0.06 0.1 0.02 Notes: A Hazard Quotient is estimated by dividing the Exposure Point Concentration for that species by its respective Toxicity Reference Value for the COPC. 2 Exposures are adjusted for the proportion of this exposure area that represents the animal's home range, i.e. 1 acres/10 acres = 0.1. 3 Reproduced from Table 6-3 of Appendix D of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Roxboro Steam Electric Plant (February 2016). ° Reproduced from Table 6-4 of Appendix D of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Roxboro Steam Electric Plant (February 2016). 5 Reproduced from Table 6-5 of Appendix D of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Roxboro Steam Electric Plant (February 2016). HQ >= 1 DCN: HWIDENCO02A 39 September 30, 2016 0 As will be noted in these figures, there are no unacceptable off-site human health risks at any of the three sites$. For the on-site scenarios, nearly all forward projected risks are below the most conservative risk thresholds (i.e., a Hazard Index of unity (1) for non -carcinogens, and an Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk (ELCR) of lE-6). The only identified risk above this lower threshold was for an on-site commercial/industrial worker at the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro sites where the projected risk was between 1.5E-6 and 4.9E-6. For the sake of the NEBA exercise, this level of risk was considered as "low" even though it is within the EPA accepted risk range of IE - 4 to 1 E-6. Therefore, a more reasonable scenario would likely drive the "perceived" risk within a "no unacceptable risk" range ("real" risk range) at the three sites. Given this, it is apparent that the implementation of the remedial alternatives of CIP or Removal are not likely to provide any benefit from a risk management standpoint. Groundwater Service Value It should be recognized that a groundwater aquifer has the potential to provide a variety of service flows (USEPA 1995). The services that potentially can be provided by groundwater are listed in Table 4, including those parameters that can be evaluated to understand effects to groundwater services. As can be seen in Table 4, adverse groundwater service effects appear to be marginal if any. This is supported by the groundwater risk analysis conducted by Lisa Bradley, PhD (Haley and Aldrich 2016). Thus, the question arises, are the environmental and community risks that will arise from remedy implementation and the implementation costs worth incurring to manage what appears to be marginal levels of risk, if any? Based on the evaluation conducted herein and as demonstrated in this section, it is evident that the projected environmental and community impacts associated with implementing the Removal alternative far outweigh any benefit associated with implementation of the Removal alternative. 4.2 NEBA Assessment Parameter Evaluation I next consider how the remedial actions might affect other parameters that are important to human health, community perspectives, and ecological resources. A demonstration as to how the assessment parameters were estimated to be affected given the MNA, CIP and Removal alternatives is presented in a series of figures. In each figure, each individual parameter with the greatest adverse impact is set to 1 (on the right vertical axis), regardless of alternative. Then, all other corresponding parameter values are presented proportional to the highest value for that a Fish consumption scenarios (recreational and subsistence) were not evaluated in the "forward projection" modeling as there is too little information to estimate whether any "true" risk exists for this scenario (not likely however, as the original risk assessments were overly conservative as they used limited site data and assumed unrealistic exposures). The risk assessments included in the CAP 2 reports used two overly conservative assumptions: 1) the bioconcentration factors that were used to estimate fish tissue concentrations based on surface water concentrations were very conservative (most notably the factor used for cobalt is known to be overly conservative (ATSDR 2004) for freshwater fish), and 2) the surface water concentrations used were from limited on-site surface water sampling, not from surface water collected in the receiving stream or reservoir. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 40 September 30, 2016 Table 4. Groundwater Services, Effects, and Parameter Evaluation. FUNCTION: STORAGE OF WATER EFFECTS SERVICE FUNCTION: DISCHARGE TO EFFECTS SERVICE RESERVE (STOCK) EFFECT STREAMS/LAKES/WETLANDS EFFECT Change in Welfare from Increase or Decrease in Drinking Water through Surface Change in Welfare from Increase or Decrease in Drinking Water; Availability of Drinking Water, Change in Human No Water Supplies; Availability of Drinking Water, Change in Human No Health or Health Risks Health or Health Risks Water for Crop Irrigation; Change in Value of Crops or Production Costs, No Water for Crop Irrigation through Change in Value of Crops or Production Costs, No Change in Human Health or Health Risks Surface Water Supplies; Change in Human Health or Health Risks Change in Value of Livestock Products or Water for Livestock through Surface Change in Value of Livestock Products or Production Water for Livestock; Production Costs, Change in Human Health or No Water Supplies; Costs, Change in Human Health or Health Risks No Health Risks Water for Food Product Change in Value of Food Products or Production Water for Food Product Processing Change in Value of Food Products or Production Processing; Costs, Change in Human Health or Health Risks No through Surface Water Supplies; Costs, Change in Human Health or Health Risks No Water for Other Manufacturing Change in Value of Manufactured Goods or Water for Other Manufacturing Change in Value of Manufactured Goods or Processes; Production Costs; No Processes through Surface Water Production Costs; No Supplies; Heated Water for Geothermal Provision of Cooling Water for Power Plants; Change in Cost of Electricity Generation No Power Plants through Surface Water Change in Cost of Electricity Generation No Supplies Change in Cost of Maintaining Public or Private Cooling Water for Other Power Provision of Erosion, Flood, and Property, Change in Human Health or Health Risks Plants; Change in Cost of Electricity Generation No Storm Protection through Personal Injury Protection, Change in No Economic Output Attributable to Use of Surface Water Supplies for Disposing Wastes Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable Transport and Treatment of Wastes to Change in Surface Water Quality, Change in Water/Soil Support System Change in Cost of Maintaining Public or Private and Other By -Products of Human Animal Health or Health Risks Attributable to Change Preventing Land Subsidence; Property No Economic Activity through Surface in Surface Water Quality, Change in Economic Output No Water Supplies Attributable to Use of Surface Water Supplies for Disposing Wastes Erosion and Flood Control Change in Cost of Maintaining Public or Private Support of Recreational Swimming, Change in Quantity or Quality Recreational Activities, through Absorption of Surface Property No Boating, Fishing, Hunting, Trapping Change in Human Health or Health Risks No Water Run -Off; and Plant Gathering Medium for Wastes and Other Change in Human Health or Health Risks Support of Commercial Fishing, By -Products of Human Economic Attributable to Change in Ground water Quality No Hunting, Change in Value of Commercial Harvest or Costs No Activity; Trapping, Plant Gathering Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable to Change in Water Quality, Change Marginal, Support of On -Site Observation or Clean Water through Support of in Animal Health or Health Risks Attributable to if any, see Study of Fish, Wildlife, and Plants Change in Quantity or Quality of On -Site Observation Living Organisms; Change in Water Quality, Change in Value of Appendix for Leisure, Educational, or Scientific or No Economic Output or Productions Costs Study Activities Attributable to Change in D Purposes P Water Quality Passive or Non -Use Services Marginal, Support of Indirect, Off -Site Fish, Change in Quantity or Quality of Indirect, Off -Site (e.g., Existence or Bequest Change in Personal Utility if any Wildlife, and Plant Uses (e.g. Activities No Motivations). viewing wildlife photos) Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable Provision of Clean Air through to Support of Living Organisms Change in Air Quality, Change in Animal Health or No Health Risks Attributable to Change in Air Quality Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable to Marginal, Provision of Clean Water through Change in Water Quality, Change in Animal Health or if any, see Support of Living Organisms Health Risks Attributable to Change in Water Quality, Appendix Change in Value of Economic Output or Productions Costs D Attributable to Change in Water Quality Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable to Regulation of Climate through Change in Climate, Change in Animal Health or Support of Plants Health Risks Attributable to Change in Climate, No Change in Value of Economic Output or Production Costs Attributable to Change in Climate Provision of Non -Use Services (e.g., Existence Services) Associated with Marginal, Surface Water Body or Wetlands Change in Personal Utility or Satisfaction if any Environments or Ecosystems Supported by Ground water DCN: HWIDENC002A 41 September 30, 2016 0 specific parameter. This permits multiple parameters with varying scales to be displayed on the same graph and for relative comparison of projected parameter changes between alternatives. The higher a bar moves upward from the x-axis, the greater the environmental, health and safety, or social impact. This approach allows for the alternatives to be evaluated and compared visually in a holistic manner, including in comparison to changes in human and ecological risks (left vertical axis) associated with implementation of each alternative. It should be recognized that the approach taken in the overall NEBA analysis was to approximate the parameter values for each of the alternatives based upon consistent assumptions where applicable. As such, the parameter estimates are approximate values and not intended to be exact, but enough to identify impacts and differences between alternatives to a reasonable degree of certainty. The overall results of the NEBA are presented in Table 5 and the following figures demonstrate how ecological and human health risks and the estimated parameter values are projected to change given implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives. The figures are presented in turn, for each of the following parameter groups by site: implementation health and safety risks, truck trips, air emissions (criteria pollutants), energy use, ecological habitat losses, and costs (Figures 21-38). Following these figures, three graphics are presented for each site. The first displays all assessment parameters, the second compares projected health impacts between alternatives, and the third compares GHG and NO. emissions to established reporting and permitting thresholds (Figures 39- 47). Additionally, a cumulative graphic is provided that displays the combined effect across all three sites (Figure 48). DCN: HWIDENC002A 42 September 30, 2016 Table 5. Overall NEBA Summary Table. NEBA Considerations Ecological Human Health Pathways Ecological Social Costs Pathway Habitat Services Groundwater Public off-site On -Site Truck traffic Implementation Implementation Wetland and CHC emissionss/ Ecological Risk' (drinking water contaminant contaminant Fish Consumption Truck traffic incidents- risks -project Truck Trips -Public Terrestrial Habitat Surtaca Water Overall Ecological carbon foot- Priority pollutant Total Energy Capital and 0&M NEBA Framework consumption) exposure''° exposure, r incidents -risk properton damage accident rate Roadss Value Habitat Value Habitat Value emissions Used printin g o Environmental Justice Concerns Site Alternative Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) no unacceptable no unacceptable HI/ELCR-no HI/ELCR-no no unacceptable risk, low risk, risk, low risk, unacceptable risk, unacceptable risk, risk, low risk, Fatalities (F) andFatalities Incidents (F) and Trips- Public Lost dSAYs Lost dSAYs Lost dSAYs Tons/yr and tons Tons/yr of NOx, MM BTU Net present value moderate risk, moderate risk, low risk, moderate low risk, moderate moderate risk, injuries/illnesses (I) injuries/illnesses (I) Roads of CO2e emitted PM30/2.5 emitted in real dollars high risk high risk risk, high risk risk, high risk high risk Monitored Natural NUA Low Risk Baseline= Attenuation (MINA) NUA NUA 0.028/4E-07 0.1/5E-06 Baseline Baseline Baseline 0 Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline $ 7,315,000 NUA NUA F-0.09 F-0.06 7,346.72 tons/yr NOx-29.10 $ 135,473,237 BeleWS Cap-in-Place(CIP) NUA NUA 0.023/9E-08 0.03/IE-06 I-2.5 7'2 1-84 123,502 940 7,440 8,380 33,794.90 tons PNOx-29.101 388,509 Above Baseline NUA NUA F-0.42 F-0.15 30,934.77 tons/yr NOx-142.99 $ 978,550,099 Removal NUA NUA 0.009/4E-08 0.002/7E-09 I 12 35 I 40 626,744 1,255 7,440 8,695 296,678.32 tons PM10/2.5-6.12 3,588,214 Above Baseline Monitored Natural NUA Low Risk Baseline= Attenuation (MINA) NUA NUA 0.00/- 0.3/2E-06 Baseline Baseline Baseline 0 Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline $ 9,020,000 NUA NUA $ 281,695,437 Marshall Cap -in -Plate (CIP) NUA NUA F-0.18 15 F-0.12 252,637 3,969 6,641 10,610 7,396.18 tons/yr NOx-29.26 792,688 0.00/-- 0.08/4E-07 -5.0 1-17 68,784.43 tons PM10/2.5-1.01 Above Baseline NUANUA F-0.96 F-0.32 30,942.17 tons/yr NOx-143.01 $ 2,182,785,686 Removal NUA NUA 0.001/-- 0.0002/1E-09 I 27 80 I 85 1,415,546 4,899 6,641 11,540 656,544.05 tons PM10/2.5-6.12 7,965,004 Above Baseline Monitored Natural NUA Low Risk Baseline= Attenuation (MINA) NUA NUA 0.1/-- 0.1/3E-06 Baseline Baseline Baseline 0 Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline $ 9,872,500 NUA NUA F-0.16 F-0.10 7,358.07 tons/yr NOx-29.14 $ 244,323,179 ROXbOfO Cap -in -Plate (CIP) NUA NUA 0.1/-- 0.03/8E-07 44 13 1-15 220,755 2,767 3,839 6,607 60,336.16 tons PM10/2.5-1.01 709,604 Above Baseline NUA NUA F-1.2 F-0.39 30,939.49 tons/yr NOx-143.00 $ 2,753,042,583 Removal NUA NUA 0.1/-- 0.0003/-- 34 101 1-106 1,779,563 5,163 3,839 9,002 795,005.21 tons PM10/2.5-6.12 9'977'837 Above Baseline Notes: Current Baseline: Parameters are measured as a change from the current condition for each site. Footnotes: MINA - Monitored Natural Attenuation 1. Insufficient data to evaluate CIP - Cap -in -Place with MINA 2. Highest Hazard Index / ELCR 30 years after implementation Removal- Full Removal with MINA NUA: No Unacceptable Risk: HI<1; ELCR <1E-06 Abbreviations: Low Risk: 1 < HI < 3; 1E-06 < ELCR < SE -05 DSAY: discounted service acre year Moderate Risk: 1<HI<3; 1E-05<ELCR <1E-04 ELCR: excess lifetime cancer risk High Risk: HI > 3; ELCR > 1E-04 F: fatalities 3. Construction worker, Commercial/Industrial Worker or Trespasser GHG: greenhouse gas 4. Swimmer, Boater, Wader HI: hazard index S. Truck trips include transport of cap material and linerfor Capping with MNA and include transport of ash, closure/cap material, 1: injuries/illnesses and liner for Removal with NINA NEBA: net environmental benefit analysis 6.GHG emissions include both direct(consumption) and indirect (well -to -pump) contributions O&M: operation and management 7. Based on Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part2: Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin, Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin, and Appendix D of Corrective Action Plan Part2: Roxboro Steam Electric Plant. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 43 September 30, 2016 4.2.1 Implementation Health and Safety Risks Figure 21. Belews Creek Steam Station -Implementation Health and Safety Risk o a o High Risk 1 Y d' Moderate +� Risk M v Low Risk NUA High Ri Y Moderal MRis cc oc o! Low Ri: NU, 0 0 O y � n � Y 3 a s > > , a a a z z z m m m m m z z z z z z z z MNA CI P Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Fatalities Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness NUA - no unacceptable risk Figure 22. Marshall Steam Station - Implementation Health and Safety Risks o L k 0 3 0 k>> J� m m m m > z z z z z z z MNA CIP ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness z z z z �r Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities NUA - no unacceptable risk W to 0.75 s V d u a 0.5 O a m c O Y 0.25 G O CL 0 1 d oc 0.75 s V N V Gl 0.5 O a` f6 C O 0.25 G O 0 M EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 44 September 30, 2016 Y Figure 23. Roxboro Steam Station - Implementation Health and Safety Risks a o 0 m � o I MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities n Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks- Injuries/Illness ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks- Fatalities NUA - no unacceptable risk 0.25 a 0 EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 45 September 30, 2016 4.2.2 Truck Trips Figure 24. Belews Creek Steam Station -Truck Trips 3 0 High Risk Y 0 'z a a GJ a a z z Moderate z o M Risk z v a a > > z z z > z 0 z z z z Low Risk z z z z NUA z z z z Figure 24. Belews Creek Steam Station -Truck Trips 3 0 s 3 0 0 a a a a a a a z z aa z o z z z z MNA CI P Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk Implementation Truck Trips- Public Roads NUA - no unacceptable risk High Risk Y H Moderate +� Risk ro W Low Risk NUA Figure 25. Marshall Steam Station -Truck Trips MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads NUA -no unacceptable risk 1 v to 0.75 s U v S u d 0.5 01 C C 0 Y 0.25 Q. O CL 0 1 v Oo 0.75 % L U d V ai 0.5 2 CL m c 0 .Y 0.25 C O CL 0 EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 46 September 30, 2016 s 3 0 a a a aa a a a a a a > > z z > z 0 z z z z -1:1z z z z z z z z z z z z MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads NUA -no unacceptable risk 1 v to 0.75 s U v S u d 0.5 01 C C 0 Y 0.25 Q. O CL 0 1 v Oo 0.75 % L U d V ai 0.5 2 CL m c 0 .Y 0.25 C O CL 0 EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 46 September 30, 2016 High Ri Y H j Modera m Ri v Low Ri NU Figure 26. Roxboro Steam Station -Truck Trips sk to sk n o o sk a a J a a a a a a a a a > > > > z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z 0 MNA CIP ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure Implementation Truck Trips- Public Roads Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure o Ecological Risk NUA -no unacceptable risk W 00 0.75 s u N U N 0.5 O a` m c 0 0.25 a O 0 M EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 47 September 30, 2016 MNA CIP ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure Implementation Truck Trips- Public Roads Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure o Ecological Risk NUA -no unacceptable risk W 00 0.75 s u N U N 0.5 O a` m c 0 0.25 a O 0 M EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 47 September 30, 2016 4.2.3 Air Emissions High Risk Y d Moderate f0 Risk v z Low Risk NUA Figure 27. Bel ews Creek Steam Station -Air Emissions M C O M o m v M N � a L 3 v v v v a a a 'N 'N 'N v a ¢ ¢ a > > > > z z z z z z z m m m m 1 v 0.75 t U v Y V d 0.5 2 a c 0 0 0.25 a 0 MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted ■ GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 NUA - no unacceptable risk Figure 28. Marshall Steam Station - Air Emissions o M tp High Risk 1 Low F NL skl n N ~O d W .-1 3 � v v v o isk ¢¢ a a a a a a a a a > > > > > > > > > > > z z z z z z z z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx NUA - no unacceptable risk DCN: HWIDENC002A a. 0 CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 48 CL September 30, 2016 High Risk Y H j Moderate ' Risk m a Low Risk NUA Figure 29. Roxboro Steam Station - Air Emissions o m o s r � 16 MNA CIP Removal EPS W 0.75 = M s u Ol u N 0.5 O aL m c 0 L 0 0.25 C 0 ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure 19 Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted LK GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 NUA -no unacceptable risk a DCN: HWIDENCO02A 49 September 30, 2016 N � � O N m � v o > > > z z z z z m m m m z z z z z z z MNA CIP Removal EPS W 0.75 = M s u Ol u N 0.5 O aL m c 0 L 0 0.25 C 0 ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure 19 Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted LK GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 NUA -no unacceptable risk a DCN: HWIDENCO02A 49 September 30, 2016 4.2.4 Energy Use High Risk - -19 fY N Moderate .M Risk a z Low Ri! NUA High Ri Y Cr Modera m Ri v Low Ri NU Figure 30. Belews Creek Steam Station - Energy Use MNA CIP Removal ■Groundwater(drinkingwater consumption) ❑ Pub Iicoff-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Total Energy Used - MMBtu NUA -no unacceptable risk Figure 31. Marshall Steam Station - Energy Use sk a 3 0 k ¢ ¢ a = a a a a ¢ a ¢ ¢ > z > z to > z > z > z > z > z > z > z > > z z MNA CIP Removal ■Groundwater(drinkingwater consumption) ❑ Pub Iicoff-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Total Energy Used - MMBtu NUA -no unacceptable risk Figure 31. Marshall Steam Station - Energy Use sk 8 to sk 3 o m sk a a a = a a a a ^ a a ¢ a > z > z > z > z z z z z z z z z z z z Z z z A MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure Total Energy Used - MMBtu CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure M Ecological Risk NUA - no unacceptable risk t v 00 0.75 @ t U ate.. V d 0.5 O a` m c 0 0.25 a O CL 0 I m 0.75 U V 41 V G1 0.5 a m c 0 0.25 0 CL0 CL 0 EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 50 September 30, 2016 High Ri Y j Modera +' Ri m a Low Ri NU, Figure 32. Roxboro Steam Station - Energy Use s m to s 3 o' 0 � s a a a = a a a a 0 � a a a a z z > z > z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z 0 MNA CIP ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure Total Energy Used - MM Btu Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure • Ecological Risk NUA - no unacceptable risk W oa 0.75 M U N U a) 0.5 O aL m c 0 L 0.25 0 O 0 CL EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 51 September 30, 2016 4.2.5 Ecological Habitat Services High Risk Y N > Moderate M Risk v Y Low Risk NUA Figure 33. Bel ews Creek Steam Station -Ecological Habitat Service Losses a 1 MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value- lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost cISAYs High Risk W Gl Moderate 6 Risk v Low Risk NUA CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA-no unacceptable risk a nn 0.75 s V d V d 0.5 0a c O O a 0.25 O 0 Figure 34. Marshall Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses a a v 1 K 3 3 cli > z z z > z > z > z m m > z m > > z z > z > z > > z z > z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value- lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost cISAYs High Risk W Gl Moderate 6 Risk v Low Risk NUA CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA-no unacceptable risk a nn 0.75 s V d V d 0.5 0a c O O a 0.25 O 0 Figure 34. Marshall Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses a a v 1 MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost cISAYs CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk CL v on 0.75 s V Ol V Q) O 0.5 a 75 c O Y O Q 0.25 O 0 a EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 52 September 30, 2016 K 3 cli > z z z > > z z z z z z > z z z z z z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost cISAYs CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk CL v on 0.75 s V Ol V Q) O 0.5 a 75 c O Y O Q 0.25 O 0 a EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 52 September 30, 2016 High Ri Y > Modera m Ri v Low Ri NU Figure 35. Roxboro Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses o Y K 3 _ _ z z z n MNA z z z z ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) 13 On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs CI P a 0.75 C R s u -8 N V O1 0.5 O CL` A c 0 0 0.25 C , 0 Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure r! Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk a EPS DCN: HWIDENC002A 53 September 30, 2016 4.2.6 Costs High Ris Y N Gl Moderatf M Risl d Low Risk NUA Figure 36. Belews Creek Steam Station - Costs 0 z zz z z z z V MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk ■ Capital Cost - Net Present Value (Millions) NUA - no unacceptable risk Figure 37. Marshall Steam Station - Costs High Risk Y N Moderat( Low Ris NUA MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk ■ Capital Cost - Net Present Value (Millions) NUA - no unacceptable risk DCN: HWIDENCO02A 54 1 d 0.75 c M s v d v v 0.5 01 C O M O 0.25 C O 1 W 0.75 M s u d V d 0.5 a c 0 Y Q 0.25 CL O CL 0 September 30, 2016 3 0 > > > z z z z z z> z MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk ■ Capital Cost - Net Present Value (Millions) NUA - no unacceptable risk DCN: HWIDENCO02A 54 1 d 0.75 c M s v d v v 0.5 01 C O M O 0.25 C O 1 W 0.75 M s u d V d 0.5 a c 0 Y Q 0.25 CL O CL 0 September 30, 2016 Figure 38. Roxboro Steam Station - Costs MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Capital Cost - Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure O Ecological Risk W 0.75 = t Gl V d 0.5 O a c O it O 0.25 a O 0 a EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 55 September 30, 2016 3 o � a a a a a a a a a a a > z > z > z > z z z z z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Capital Cost - Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure O Ecological Risk W 0.75 = t Gl V d 0.5 O a c O it O 0.25 a O 0 a EPS DCN: HWIDENCO02A 55 September 30, 2016 EPS 4.2.7 Each Site - Data Combined This section provides a comparison, based on the evaluation conducted herein, of the potential impacts of the CIP and Removal alternatives in relation to one another and the NINA alternative for each site. 4.2.7.1 Belews Creek Steam Station As can be seen in Figure 39, the Removal alternative provides significantly more adverse impacts when compared to the CIP alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. In addition, the CIP alternative is projected to provide significantly more impacts when compared to the NINA alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. High Risk ,Y,4 Moderate cC Risk Figure 39. Belews Creek Steam Station - Summary 7 00 I ti 't� ^ N nmioo Mo Low Risk NUA MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) 0 On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx Total Energy Used - MMBtu ■ Capital Cost - Net Present Value (Millions) 0.75 v bn C s u M a 0.5 a C O 0.25 O CL O L a 0 ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads GHG emissions -tons ofCO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost cISAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk DCN: HWIDENCO02A 56 September 30, 2016 0 A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Belews Creek Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 40 and by the following: • The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 5E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one hundred million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that five of them might get cancer (or 5 of 1,000,000). To put this into perspective, the American Cancer Society estimates the lifetime risk for a male to develop some type of cancer in their lifetime is 43.31% (or 433,100 out of 1,000,000 people)9. There will be far fewer than 1,000,000 people with exposure at the site; if one assumes that 100 people have exposure, then approximately 0.0005 people would have an increased risk of getting cancer. • Although it is unlikely that someone would get cancer due to exposure at the site, there is a real likelihood that people would be injured and possibly die under either of the two active remedial alternatives (i.e., CIP or Removal). There is a statistical likelihood that 11 people would be injured and 0.15 people might die under the capping scenario at Belews Creek Steam Station. Similarly, it is likely that 52 people would be injured and 0.57 might die under the Removal scenario. • There is also a risk to human health from breathing in pollutants emitted into the air due to implementation of the remedial alternatives. The EPA has established threshold levels for air emissions that are to be protective of human health. In the case of NOx, the emissions under the Removal alternative are 3.6 times higher than the permitting threshold established by the USEPA to be protective of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. This means there is a real likelihood that persons working at the site or along the transportation route could incur health impacts as a result of the implementing the Removal alternative. High NOx levels can result in causing or worsening respiratory disease (such as emphysema and bronchitis), aggravating existing heart disease, and increased hospital admissions and premature deaths10. These impacts would disproportionately affect minority and economically disadvantaged people, as statistics show that such communities are more likely to live within close proximity to the routes on which trucks would transport material from the site to a disposal area". This raises significant environmental justice concerns. 9 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer i0 https://www3.epa.gov/airquality/nitrogenoxides/health.html "htlps://www3.epa. og v/airqualiiy/nitroizenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.htm DCN: HWIDENC002A 57 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 40. Belews Steam Station Number of Persons with Negative Health Impacts Projected for Proposed Alternatives (excludes health impacts due to air pollution) 52 v a 0 a, a w 0 v n E Z 10.9 0.0005 0 0 0.0001 0.15 0.0000007 0.57 v c O c O= m y c O c O= a c O c O V1 2— M r6 ar ns ns 3 0 ns m = _ O2 4, 3 V m a0i E v c E M aa)i ; E aa) .F E M y ; E a0i .E E y N LL al al y N LL _N T y � LL 2T 0 M X 4. E a E O m X Q E Q E ti O M X Q E G E u w _. v ,,, .. _. u ,,, _. MNA CIP Removal In regard to other impacts on the nearby community, such as noise, nuisance, etc., and overarching climate impacts, it should be recognized that: • The duration of the CIP and the Removal alternatives is projected to take a minimum of 4.6 and 22.4 years, respectively; • The evaluation estimated a projected number of truck trips on nearby public roads in the local community of over 123,000 and 625,000, for the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively, over the life of the projects; • The energy consumption of each alternative is equivalent to the energy expenditure of 1,800 and 9,700 personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively; • The estimated costs of the CIP and the Removal alternatives are projected to be about $143 Million and $986 Million, respectively; • The projected yearly GHG emissions would exceed the USEPA established reporting threshold for the Removal alternative (Figure 41a). • The projected yearly NOx emissions would exceed the USEPA established threshold for major modifications under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program for the Removal alternative (Figure 41b). - In comparing the ecological risks to the ecological injury projected from implementation of the alternatives, the ecological injury associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at the Belews Creek Steam Station far outweigh any ecological risks predicted with chemical concentrations. 12 The significance levels in the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program are cited for an order of magnitude comparison. I take no position on whether the activity in fact triggers the requirement for a PSD permit. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 58 September 30, 2016 50,000 v M T } Fp 25,000 0 200 0 Figure 41a. GHG Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared tot he GHG Reporting Threshold - Belews Steam Station 7,347 0 30,935 MNA CIP Removal GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted —GHG Reporting Threshold (25,000 tons) Figure 41b. NOx Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the NOx Permitting Threshold - Belews Steam Station 0 MNA 29 CIP 143 Removal Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx —NOx Permitting Threshold (40 Tons) EPS The basic NEBA conducted herein indicates that implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives increase fatality, injury, health/illness and property damage risks of the local community, increase community nuisance such as noise and pollution, and increase ecological habitat destruction. As such, Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 59 September 30, 2016 0 4.2.7.2 Marshall Steam Station As can be seen in Figure 42, the Removal alternative provides significantly more adverse impacts when compared to the CIP alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. In addition, the CIP alternative is projected to provide significantly more impacts when compared to the NINA alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. High Risk Y v > Moderate Risk G1 Low Risk NUA Figure 42. Marshall Steam Station - Summary - N 80 N vivino �nvm �O N ri Ot N lG ul N �hOmN� ON V `~�NN O N Oo O W c -I tv1 l0 ri lD n ci VT 0 O r,a, M `n m 00 'D Y •-i � n N •--I O Vl e -I �� CtN 6oco N K N W 0) 3 � N vNi o m m m w m a w v m w m 1 WWWWWWO zz Zoom... mm ro ro . zzzz zzzz mmmmmommmmmm+� II MINA CIP Removal ❑ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks- Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx Total Energy Used - MM Btu ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) 1.25 N C s 0.75 Gl v N �O L 0.5 a m C O E 0.25 Q. O CL 0 ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions -tons ofCO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost cISAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Marshall Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 43 and by the following: • The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 2E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that two of them mei ht DCN: HWIDENCO02A 60 September 30, 2016 0 get cancer (or 2 of 1,000,000). To put this into perspective, the American Cancer Society 13 estimates the lifetime risk for a male to develop some type of cancer in their lifetime is 43.31% (or 433,100 out of 1,000,000 people). There will be far fewer than 1,000,000 people with exposure at the site; if one assumes that 100 people have exposure, then approximately 0.0002 people would have an increased risk of getting cancer. • Although it is unlikely that someone would get cancer due to exposure at the site, there is a real likelihood that people would be injured and possibly die due to active remediation (i.e., capping or Removal). There is a statistical likelihood that 22 people would be injured and 0.3 people might die under the capping scenario at Marshall Steam Station. Similarly, it is likely that 112 people would be injured and 1.3 might die under the Removal scenario. • There is also a risk to human health from breathing in pollutants emitted into the air due to implementation of the remedial alternatives. In the case of NO,, the emissions under the Removal alternative are 3.6 times higher than the permitting threshold established by the USEPA to be protective of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. This means there is a real likelihood that persons working at the site or along the transportation route could incur health impacts as a result of the implementing the Removal alternative. High NOx levels can result in causing or worsening respiratory disease (such as emphysema and bronchitis), aggravating existing heart disease, and increased hospital admissions and premature deaths14. These impacts would disproportionately affect minority and economically disadvantaged people, as statistics show that such communities are more likely to live within close proximity to the routes on which trucks would transport material from the site to a disposal area15. This raises significant environmental justice concerns. Figure 43. Marshall Steam Station Number of Persons with Negative Health Impacts Projected for Proposed Alternatives (excludes health impacts due to air pollution) 112 v CL O v a 0 v 3 22 z 0.0002 0 0 0.0000004 0.3 0.0000001 1.3 m y c c my c c m y c c U A:!O O u +' O O u O O s 0 c s" c s 0 c i' c s 0 = c y m y 3 v v y ca E 2 E ;, E c E �, E 'c E N y LL dy y H LL OJ GJ y N LL d d u O OC. OC. u O OC. OC. u O OC. QC CL u w w w MNA CIP Removal 13 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer 14 https://www3.epa.aov/airgualiiy/nitrogenoxides/health.html "https://www3.epa. og v/airgualiiy/nitrolzenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.httn DCN: HWIDENCO02A 61 September 30, 2016 0 In regard to other impacts on the nearby community, such as noise, nuisance, etc., it should be recognized that: • The duration of the CIP and the Removal alternatives is projected to take a minimum of 9.3 and 50.4 years, respectively; • The evaluation estimated a projected number of truck trips on nearby public roads in the local community of over 253,000 and 1,416,000 for the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively, over the life span of each project; • The energy consumption of each alternative is equivalent to the energy expenditure of 1,800 and 9,700 personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively; • The estimated costs of the CIP and the Removal alternatives are projected to be about $291 Million and $2.2 Billion, respectively; • The projected yearly GHG emissions would exceed the USEPA established reporting threshold for the Removal alternative (Figure 44a). • The projected yearly NOX emissions would exceed the USEPA established threshold for major modifications under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program for the Removal alternative (Figure 44b)16 50,000 v v T W Gl N O u a 25,000 c 0 r Figure 44 a. GHG Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the GHG Reporting Threshold - Marshall Steam Station 7,396 0 30,942 MNA CIP Removal �GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted —GHG Reporting Threshold (25,000 tons) 16 The significance levels in the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program are cited for an order of magnitude comparison. I take no position on whether the activity in fact triggers the requirement for a PSD permit. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 62 September 30, 2016 200 v T LU x O Z m 100 C O i— C O E W x O Z 0 CPS] - 200 ('S Figure 44b. NOx Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the NOx Permitting Threshold - Marshall Steam Station 29 0 143 MNA CIP Removal Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx -NOx Permitting Threshold (40 Tons) In comparing the ecological risks to the ecological injury projected from implementation of the alternatives, the ecological injury associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at the Marshall Steam Station far outweigh any ecological risks predicted with chemical concentrations. The basic NEBA conducted herein indicates that implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives increase fatality, injury, health/illness and property damage risks of the local community, increase community nuisance such as noise and pollution, and increase ecological habitat destruction. These impacts appear to outweigh the human and ecological risks that are driving the remediation in the first place. As such, Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 63 September 30, 2016 0 4.2.7.3 Roxboro Steam Station As can be seen in Figure 45, the Removal alternative provides significantly more adverse impacts when compared to the CIP alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. In addition, the CIP alternative is projected to provide significantly more impacts when compared to the NINA alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. High RisF Y Moderat +• Ris m v Low Ris NUA Figure 45. Roxboro Steam Station - Summary 0 m e k N 00 C; v1 n Y M 0 m �O10 N pl N kv� aaaa aaaa » > „ »» »» zzzz zzzz mmmmmommmmmm�n ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx FM Total Energy Used - MM13tu ■ Capital Cost - Net Present Value (Millions) m n m mmN c rrv'D N � V1M.-101p^ RO .O 100101 VT CIP Removal m c 0 0.25 0 Q. 0 CL` 0 ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost dSAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Roxboro Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 46 and by the following: • The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 3E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one DCN: HWIDENCO02A 64 September 30, 2016 0 million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that two of them might - get cancer (or 3 of 1,000,000). To put this into perspective, the American Cancer Society" estimates the lifetime risk for a male to develop some type of cancer in their lifetime is 43.31% (or 433,100 out of 1,000,000 people). There will be far fewer than 1,000,000 people with exposure at the site; if one assumes that 100 people have exposure, then approximately 0.0003 people would have an increased risk of getting cancer. • Although it is unlikely that someone would get cancer due to exposure at the site, there is a real likelihood that people would be injured and possibly die due to active remediation (i.e., capping or Removal). There is a statistical likelihood that 19 people would be injured and 0.56 people might die under the capping scenario at Roxboro Steam Station. Similarly, it is likely that 140 people would be injured and 1.6 might die under the Removal scenario. • There is also a risk to human health from breathing in pollutants emitted into the air due to implementation of the remedial alternatives. In the case of NO., the emissions under the Removal alternative are 3.6 times higher than the permitting threshold established by the USEPA to be protective of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. This means there is a real likelihood that persons working at the site or along the transportation route could incur health impacts as a result of the implementing the Removal alternative. High NOX levels can result in causing or worsening respiratory disease (such as emphysema and bronchitis), aggravating existing heart disease, and increased hospital admissions and premature deaths18. These impacts would disproportionately affect minority and economically disadvantaged people, as statistics show that such communities are more likely to live within close proximity to the routes on which trucks would transport material from the site to a disposal area19. This raises significant environmental justice concerns. Figure 46. Roxboro Steam Station Number of Persons with Negative Health Impacts Projected for Proposed Alternatives 17 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer 18 https://www3.epa. og v/airqualiiy/nitrogenoxides/health.html 19hllps://www3.epa. og v/airquali , /nitrogenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.htm DCN: HWIDENCO02A 65 September 30, 2016 (excludes health impacts due to air pollution) 140 v CL O Q) a w 0 v E z 19.4 0.0003 0 0 0.00008 0.56 dd 0 1.59 }' O O '= O O V O O L O C s' C L O C s' C L O v V f0 OJ 3 N E c E E I E E E y H LL d D1 y H LL v N y H LL 41 G1 M 2 CL E CL E 0 m O_ CL E CL E 0 M O_ CL E CL E V W V W .... V yd MNA CIP Removal 17 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer 18 https://www3.epa. og v/airqualiiy/nitrogenoxides/health.html 19hllps://www3.epa. og v/airquali , /nitrogenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.htm DCN: HWIDENCO02A 65 September 30, 2016 0 In regard to other impacts on the nearby community, such as noise, nuisance, etc., it should be recognized that: • The duration of the CIP and the Removal alternatives is projected to take a minimum of 8.2 and 63.8 years, respectively; • The evaluation estimated a projected number of truck trips on nearby public roads in the local community of over 221,000 and 1,780,000 for the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively, over the life span of each project; • The energy consumption of each alternative is equivalent to the energy expenditure of 1,800 and 9,700 personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively; • The estimated costs of the CIP and the Removal alternatives are projected to be about $254 Million and $2.763 Billion, respectively. • The projected yearly GHG emissions would exceed the USEPA established reporting threshold for the Removal alternative (Figure 47a). • The projected yearly NOX emissions would exceed the USEPA established threshold for major modifications under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program for the Removal alternative (Figure 47b)20. 50,000 v T W CL) N O v v 25,000 C c 0 .N E UJ rara (9 Figure 47a. GHG Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the GHG Reporting Threshold - Roxboro Steam Station 7,358 0 30,939 MNA CIP Removal � GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted —GHG Reporting Threshold (25,000 tons) 20 The significance levels in the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program are cited for an order of magnitude comparison. I take no position on whether the activity in fact triggers the requirement for a PSD permit. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 66 September 30, 2016 200 v LU X O Z m 100 C H C O E W X O Z 0 EPS Figure 47b. NOx Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the NOx Permitting Threshold - Roxboro Steam Station MNA CIP Removal Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx -NOx Perm ittingThreshold (40 Tons) In comparing the ecological risks to the ecological injury projected from implementation of the alternatives, the ecological injury associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at the Roxboro Steam Station far outweigh any ecological risks predicted with chemical concentrations. The basic NEBA conducted herein indicates that implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives increase fatality, injury, health/illness and property damage risks of the local community, increase community nuisance such as noise and pollution, and increase ecological habitat destruction. These impacts appear to outweigh the human and ecological risks that are driving the remediation in the first place. As such, Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. In a recent article published in the Roxboro Times, the evolution from removal to cap -in-place to handle coal ash was discussed by State Representative Larry Yarborough and that this change was good for the citizens of North Carolina. Several points consistent with the NEBA conducted herein were mentioned within that article (Yarborough 2016). These points included a reference to EPA studies of coal ash finding it to be non-toxic, and that removal would entail significant effort and disruption of the neighboring communities for many years (e.g., dump trucks travelling through communities, etc.). DCN: HWIDENCO02A 67 September 30, 2016 EPS 4.2.8 Cumulative Assessment In order to put the cumulative effect of implementing the CIP and Removal alternatives in relation to one another, a comparison of the alternatives is provided in Figure 48. As can be seen, the cumulative adverse impacts associated with the Removal alternative are significantly higher when compared to the CIP alternative. High Risk Y H fY Moderate + Risk ca a Low Risk NUA Figure 48. Cumulative Assessment - Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam StatinnS M Oo Vt V1 N O N �lpN NI�ri OOO N ti .-100 M c -I N M C 01 W �lO cyN COV �VV1M01NT �Mc-I�M�N^NOO ri .--II�OI VI .ti N^NONMp�'-IVci Ne -I -INN MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx Total Energy Used - MMBtu Aquatic Habitat Value- lost dSAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal 1 W tw 0.75 co s u M Gl u d 0.5 0 - CL a 0 ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost cISAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk DCN: HWIDENCO02A 68 September 30, 2016 N n n oo c 0 OtiM �Vf MO o ao o NQ1vNN dNNNNNNdI � C CC CC CCCCCC CC .-I �y as avvvvv avvvvvvv`� N aaaa aaaa »» Z Z Z (0 N (0 f0 f0 f0 t0 f0 l0 f0 l0 N Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx Total Energy Used - MMBtu Aquatic Habitat Value- lost dSAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal 1 W tw 0.75 co s u M Gl u d 0.5 0 - CL a 0 ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost cISAYs NUA - no unacceptable risk DCN: HWIDENCO02A 68 September 30, 2016 0 5 OPINIONS • The Intervenors failed to take a holistic view of all of the environmental and community impacts and risks (environmental footprint) associated with alternative implementation during their remedial evaluation stage. This has skewed their remedy selection and leads them to advocate for a remedy (Removal) that is less protective of the environment and the community. • The Intervenors do not consider the environmental footprint of the Removal alternative, nor do they consider methods to reduce the footprint of these alternatives at any of the three sites. Metrics that may have significant social and economic impacts (e.g., GHG emissions, extended truck traffic, pollutant emissions through local communities, energy and resource consumption) or ecological impacts (e.g., terrestrial and aquatic habitat disturbance associated with removal, capping, or the development of off-site disposal units) were not considered quantitatively by the Intervenors. • Developing a remedy for the violations alleged requires employment of a NEBA evaluation to develop sustainable remedial alternatives that manage site risks while maximizing benefits and minimizing costs to the public. • The Intervenors do not address four critical aspects of large, complex projects and associated remedial evaluations: o Sustainability and green remediation practices were not evaluated quantitatively; o Social and community impacts were not evaluated quantitatively; o Environmental footprints such as carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions were not evaluated quantitatively; and, o Net environmental, economic and social benefits and costs were not evaluated either qualitatively or quantitatively. • Based upon the NEBA evaluation, the Intervenors have not considered their obligation to the public to develop sustainable remedial alternatives that manage site risks while maximizing benefits and minimizing costs to the public. • Based upon the NEBA presented herein, neither Removal or CIP is warranted as a remedy for the violations alleged. • The impact of metals in groundwater on groundwater ecosystem service flows provided by each individual site is marginal, if any. • The Removal remedy that the Intervenors propose for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites does not appear to provide any net benefit to off-site ecological or human use services, over other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater harm to the environment compared to other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater risks (and nuisance) to the local community (via the extensive truck traffic) and to workers compared to other alternatives. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 69 September 30, 2016 0 • Human health and ecological risk evaluations, on which the site classifications and subsequent remedial alternatives for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites are based, use highly if not overly conservative inputs and assumptions, and mainly represent "perceived" risks, not "real" risks. • The Removal alternative will not change human or ecological risk scenarios to any meaningful level, compared to other alternatives. • Human health risks associated with implementation of the Removal alternative far outweigh the human health risks projected, given the current and projected state of groundwater contamination. • A refinement of both the human and ecological risk assessments will reduce "perceived" risks substantially, providing for the consideration of less -intrusive alternatives for managing "real" risks, if any. • The marginal benefits to the "perceived" risk profile accomplished by the Intervenors' proposed remedy do not justify the extreme differences in the cost profile, costs which are largely borne by the communities served by Duke Energy. • Based upon my evaluation, the Removal alternative would create greater environmental and human health impacts at each of the three sites, compared to other alternatives. • In comparing the CIP alternative to the Removal alternative, the Removal alternative has a much greater environmental footprint and creates significantly more environmental and community harm. This is consistent with the Tennessee Valley Authority findings in their review of CIP and Removal alternatives for coal ash as part of their programmatic EIS (Tennessee Valley Authority 2016). • At all three sites, it appears that the following will occur should the Removal remedy advocated by the Intervenors be implemented: o The Removal alternative will cause more ecological injury through the destruction of habitat than the ecological injury projected by the risk assessment, and; o The Removal alternative provides no net increase in ecosystem service value for the effort expended; the remedial actions are selected to address marginal, uncertain, and localized/limited risks. • With regard to the Removal alternative, the Intervenors have failed to demonstrate clear and transparent consideration of the following often -stated Agency objectives: Objective #1: Remedies should protect human health and the environment. Remediation work should remove unacceptable risks to human health and to the environment, with due consideration of the costs, benefits and technical feasibility of the alternatives. Objective #2: Remedies require safe working practices. Remediation work should be safe for on-site workers, local communities and the environment. DCN: HWIDENC002A 70 September 30, 2016 0 Objective #3: Remedial decision-making should consider sustainability. Remediation decisions should be made with regard to the current and future implications of environmental, social and economic factors. A sustainable remediation solution should deliver the maximum net benefit achievable. Objective #4: Remedial decisions and their underlying foundations should be transparent. Remediation decisions, including the assumptions and supporting data used to reach them; should be documented in a clear and easily understood format. Objective #S: Remedial decisions require good governance and stakeholder involvement. Remediation decisions should be made with regard to the views of stakeholders and follow a clear process in which they can participate. In situations where a non- optimal remediation decision must be made, because of other factors that are more influential, a clear and transparent record of indicating why such a decision was taken should be a minimum requirement in any decision making process. Objective #6: Remedial decisions are based on sound science. Decisions should be made on the basis of sound science, relevant and accurate data, and clearly explained assumptions. Decisions should be based on the best available information and should be justifiable and reproducible. • Aside from recognizing the traditional requirements associated with remedial alternative selection, namely protection of human health and the environment and compliance with applicable or relevant and appropriate requirements), the Intervenors failed to present evidence of an evaluation of the significant differences (if any) in the environmental footprint when comparing the CIP and Removal alternatives that meets the requirements prescribed by federal agency guidance (USEPA 2012b). • The Intervenors base their arguments for Removal on risks based solely upon chemical concentrations of the COIs in groundwater and limited surface water seep areas, and do not provide information as to how those alternatives will change contaminant risk scenarios. In doing so, they neglected to consider factors other than chemical concentrations during the implementation of their preferred remedial alternative that also have the potential to influence, either positively or negatively, human health and ecological risks and services. • The Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites meet the definition as to when a NEBA would be of value in evaluating site remedial alternatives .21 The site information indicates that these sites retain significant ecological value in their current state. The Removal alternative proposed by the Intervenors will be environmentally damaging, the ecological risks from the COI's are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to 21 "This framework for NEBA should be useful when the balance of risks and benefits from remediation of a site is ambiguous. This ambiguity arises when the contaminated site retains significant ecological value, when the remedial actions are themselves environmentally damaging, when the ecological risks from the contaminants are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to a component of the ecosystem, and when remediation or restoration might fail." (Efroymson et al. 2004). DCN: HWIDENC002A 71 September 30, 2016 0 a component of the ecosystem, and remediation or restoration may not be fully effective in managing COI mobility. • The Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. • There is no need to order closure, much less closure by Removal, to remedy the alleged violations in this case. A basic NEBA demonstrates that the Intervenors' proposed remedy (Removal) is clearly disproportionate to the risk. DCN: HWIDENC002A 72 September 30, 2016 0 6 REFERENCES ATSDR 2004. Cobalt Toxicity Profile (www.atsdr.cdc. og v/tomrofiles/tp33.pdf). Aurand, D., Walko, L., and Pond, R. 2000. Developing Consensus Ecological Risk Assessments: Environmental Protection in Oil Spill Response Planning A Guidebook. United States Coast Guard. Washington, DC. 148p. Colombo, F., Nicolette, J., Wenning, R., and Travers, M. 2012. Incorporating Ecosystem Valuation in the Assessment of Risk and Remedy Implementation. Chemical Engineering Transactions. 28, 55-60. DOI: 3303/CET1228010 Efroymson, R., Nicolette, J., and Suter, G. 2003. A Framework for Net Environmental Benefit Analysis for Remediation or Restoration of Petroleum -Contaminated Sites; ORNL/TM- 2003/17; Oak Ridge National Laboratory: Oak Ridge, TN, USA, 2003. Efroymson, R., Nicolette, J., and Suter, G. 2004. A Framework for Net Environmental Benefit Analysis for Remediation or Restoration of Contaminated Sites. Environmental Management. 34,315-331. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. April 2016. Report on Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Ash Basins in North Carolina. Lisa Bradley. HDR Engineering, Inc. of the Carolinas (HDR). 2015a. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin. September 9, 2015. HDR. 2015b. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin. September 8, 2015. HDR. 2015c. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin. December 8, 2015. HDR. 2015d. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin. December 7, 2015. HDR. 2016a. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin. March 4, 2016. HDR. 2016b. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin. March 3, 2016. HDR. 2016c. Comprehensive Site Assessment Supplement 2, Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin. August 11, 2016. HDR. 2016d. Comprehensive Site Assessment Supplement 2, Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin. August 4, 2016. Interstate Technology and Regulatory Council (ITRC). 2006. Planning and Promoting Ecological Land Reuse of Remediated Sites. Washington, DC: ITRC, Ecological Reuse Team. DCN: HWIDENC002A 73 September 30, 2016 0 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). 2011. (Shigenaka, G.) Summary Report for Fate and Effects of Remnant Oil Remaining in the Environment. Annex M - Net Environmental Benefit Analysis. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Nicolette, J., Burr, S., and Rockel, M. 2013a. A Practical Approach for Demonstrating Environmental Sustainability and Stewardship through a Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. Sustainability 2013, 5, 2152-2177; doi:10.3390/su5052152, Published May 10, 2013. Nicolette, J., Goldsmith, B., Wenning, R., Barber, T., and Colombo, F. 2013b. Chapter 9: Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage. In & L. Bergkamp (Ed.) & B. Goldsmith (Ed.), The EU Environmental Liability Directive: A Commentary. Oxford University Press. May 10, 2013. North Carolina. 1971. North Carolina Environmental Policy Act of 1971. (1971, c. 1203, s. 1; 1991, c. 431, s. 1.) North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ). 2013. Division of Waste Management, Hazardous Waste Section. Guidelines for Establishing Remediation Goals at RCRA Hazardous Waste Sites. December 11, 2013. Suter, G.W., II. 1993. Ecological Risk Assessment. Lewis Publishers, Boca Raton, Florida. SynTerra. 2015a. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Roxboro Steam Electric Plant. September 2, 2015. SynTerra. 2015b. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Roxboro Steam Electric Plant. December 1, 2015. SynTerra. 2016a. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Roxboro Steam Electric Plant. February 29, 2016. SynTerra. 2016b. Comprehensive Site Assessment Supplement 2, Roxboro Steam Electric Plant. August 1, 2016. Tennessee Valley Authority. 2016. Final Ash Impoundment Closure Environmental Impact Statement Part I — Programmatic NEPA Review. Project Number: 2015-31, June 2016. United States 1997. United States v. Melvin Fisher. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida, Key West Division Case Numbers 92-10027-CIV-DAVIS, and 95- 10051-CIV-DAVIS. Decided 30 July 1997, Filed 30 July 1997. 977 F. Supp. 1193; 1997 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 16767. United States 2001. United States of America and Internal Improvement Trust Fund v. Great Lakes Dredge and Dock Company. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida D. C. Docket No. 97 -02510 -CV -EBD. United States Army Environmental Center. 2005. United States Army Natural Resource Injury Guidance. September. http://aec.army.mil/portals/3/cleanup/nri-guide.pdf United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) 1995. A Framework for Measuring the Economic Benefits of Groundwater. Office of Water and Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation. EPA 230-B-95-003. October 1995. DCN: HWIDENC002A 74 September 30, 2016 0 USEPA. 1997. Ecological Risk Assessment Guidance for Superf ind: Process for Designing and Conducting Ecological Risk Assessments (EPA 540-R-97-006). Washington, DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 1998. Guidelines for Ecological Risk Assessment (EPA/630/R-95/002F). Washington, DC. USEPA 2001. Updating Remedy Decision at Select Superfund Sites. Biannual Summary Report FY 1998 and FY 1999. USEPA Office of Emergency Response (OERR) (EPA 540-R-01- 00, OSWER 9355.0-76) March 2001, 84 pp. USEPA. 2005. Contaminated Sediment Remediation Guidance for Hazardous Waste Sites (EPA - 540 -R-05-012, OSWER 9355.0-85). Washington, DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 2008. Green Remediation: Incorporating Sustainable Environmental Practices into Remediation of Contaminated Sites (EPA 542-R-08-002). Washington DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 2009a. Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases Under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act. Washington DC: Federal Register 74, no. 239: 66, 496-66, 546. USEPA. 2009b. Principles for Greener Cleanups. Washington DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 2011a. Greener Cleanups: Contracting and Administrative Toolkit. Washington, DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 201 lb. Deferral for CO2 emissions from bioenergy and other biogenic sources under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) and Title V programs: Proposed rule (EPA - HQ -OAR -2011-0083). Washington DC: Federal Register 76, no. 54: 15, 249-15, 266. USEPA. 2012a. "Re: Proposed Order for Recovery of Submerged Oil." Letter to Enbridge Energy, Limited Partnership. 3 Oct. 2012. MS. N.p. https://www3.epa. og v/region5/enbridgespill/pdfs/20121003-cover-letter-re-proposed- order.pdf USEPA. 2012b. Methodology for Understanding and Reducing a Project's Environmental Footprint (EPA 542-R-12-002). Washington DC: USEPA, OSWER, Office of Superfund Remediation and Technology Innovation. USEPA. 2013. Region 4 Superfund Annual Report 2013. USEPA. http://www.el2a. og v/region4/soerfund/images/allmedia/pdfs/ annualreport2013.pd£ USEPA. 2016. Consideration of Greener Cleanup Activities in the Superfund Cleanup Process. Memorandum from J. Woolford, C. Bertrand, C. Mackey, and R. Albores to the Regional Superfund National Program Managers. Regions 1-10 and Regional Counsels, Region 1- 10. 14 pp. August 2, 2016. USEPA Science Advisory Board (SAB). 2009. Valuing the Protection of Ecological Systems and Services (EPA -SAB -09-012). Washington, DC: USEPA Science Advisory Board. DCN: HWIDENC002A 75 September 30, 2016 EPS Yarborough, Larry (North Carolina State Representative). Roxboro Courier -Times, 07-27-16. http://www.personcountylife.com/news/2016-07- 27/Editorial/Coal ash law echan changes are _good _for our_citizens.html DCN: HWIDENCO02A 76 September 30, 2016 0 Selected Examples of Truck Traffic and Construction Implementation Related Accidents over the past 10 years (Web -accessed September 27, 2016) August 2016, Wisconsin //www.wsaw.com/content/news/Truck-accident-leads-to--39094433 I.html June 2016, South Carolina http://thejoumalonline.com/2016/06/13/hwy-247-fataliiy/ June 2016, Kansas City Missouri http: //fox4kc. com/2016/06/20/semi-carrying-fly-ash-involved-in-wreck-spills-it-all-over- highway March 2015, Pennsylvania htW: //www.wtae. com/news/triaxle-truck-crashes-spills-fly-ash-on-route-22/31754308 December 2013, West Virginia http://www.tristateupdate.com/story/24295024/fatal-crash-on-i-64 jams-up-traffic-near-institute- wv-fatal-fatality-multi-vehicle July 2009, Tennessee httD: //www.knoxnews. com/news/local/truck-driver-killed-in-accident-at-kiniiston-ash-shill-site- eep-409808217-359305271.html July 2006, Ohio (loading dump truck with ash, pit collapsed) //www.osha.L-ov/Dls/imis/accidentsearch.accident detail?id=201954740 DCN: HWIDENC002A 77 September 30, 2016 0 7 EXPERT REPORTS REVIEWED Bedient, Philip B. 29 February 2016. Expert Opinion of Remediation of Soil and Groundwater at the Allen Steam Station Operated by Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Belmont, North Carolina. Bedient, Philip B. 29 February 2016. Expert Opinion of. Remediation of Soil and Groundwater at the Cliffside Steam Station Operated by Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Mooresboro, North Carolina. Bedient, Philip B. May 13, 2016. Expert Opinion of. Remediation of Soil and Groundwater at the Marshall Steam Station Operated by Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Terrell, North Carolina. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. 29 February 2016. Expert Report. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. May 12, 2016. Expert Report. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. May 12, 2016. Expert Report, Addendum #1. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Cosler, Douglas J. February 29, 2016. Expert Report of Allen Steam Station Ash Basins Belmont, North Carolina. Cosler, Douglas J. February 29, 2016. Expert Report of. Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basins Mooresboro, North Carolina. Cosler, Douglas J. April 18, 2016. Expert Report of. Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin, Terrell, North Carolina. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. April 2016. Report on Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Ash Basins in North Carolina. Lisa Bradley. Hutson, Mark A. February 2016. Expert Report of. Mayo Steam Electric Plant Roxboro, NC. Hutson, Mark A. May 2016. Expert Report of. Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin, Belews Creek, NC. Hutson, Mark A. May 2016. Expert Report of Roxboro Steam Electric Plant, Semora, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Roxboro Steam Station, Semora, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Belews Creek Steam Station, Belews Creek, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Marshall Steam Station, Terrell, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Buck Steam Station, Salisbury, NC. DCN: HWIDENCO02A 78 September 30, 2016 EPS Supplemental Expert Reports Reviewed Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. August 30, 2016. Expert Report, Addendum #1. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. August 30, 2016. Expert Report, Addendum #2. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Cosler, Douglas J August 30, 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of Allen, Cliffside, and Marshall Steam Station Ash Basins North Carolina. Hutson, Mark A. August 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of. Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin, Belews Creek, NC. Hutson, Mark A. August 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of. Mayo Steam Electric Plant Roxboro, NC. Hutson, Mark A. August 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of. Roxboro Steam Electric Plant, Semora, NC. Parette, Robert. August 30, 2016. Supplemental Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Allen, Belews Creek, Buck, Cliffside, Marshall, Mayo, and Roxboro Steam Station, North Carolina. DCN: HWIDENC002A 79 September 30, 2016 EPS APPENDIX A Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis Appendix A — Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-1 September 30, 2016 REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVE CONSTRUCTION ANALYSIS A construction and cost analysis for three remedial alternatives, monitored natural attenuation (MNA), cap -in-place with MNA (CIP), and comprehensive removal with MNA (Removal) was conducted for the Belews Creek, Marshall and Roxboro Steam Stations. The three remedial alternatives evaluated are based on the remedial assessment completed by HDR Engineering, Inc. (HDR) and SynTerra Corporation (SynTerra) as detailed in the Corrective Action Plan (CAP), Part 2 for each respective steam station (HDR 2016a, 2016b; SynTerra 2016). The quantity of ash in the basins and ash storage units for each steam station was provided by Duke Energy. Land coverage dimensions were determined via GIS polygon analysis from shape files provided by HDR and SynTerra (as provided in the CAP Part 2 documents). The construction analysis is subdivided into three categories as summarized in Table 1 through Table 3 following this text. Supporting calculation worksheets (Tables A-1 to A-13) are provided at the end of this Appendix. Appendix A — Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-2 September 30, 2016 Al TABLE 1. LAND USE DISTURBANCE The first analysis task was to evaluate the land use disturbance associated with each remedial alternative for each site, which established the basis for other tasks under the construction and cost analysis. Note that the NINA only alternative is not included in Table 1 as no significant land use disturbance occurs under this alternative. The CIP alternative involves construction of a synthetic cover system (i.e., a Subtitle D cap design) over the surface -area footprint of the ash basin(s). This alternative also involves the support of an off-site soil borrow pit to provide the material for use in the cap. The comprehensive Removal alternative involves excavation of materials contained within the ash basin(s), and transport of the ash material to a new off-site landfill constructed specifically for the purpose of the particular site's ash disposal. It was assumed that a new off-site landfill will be needed for the excavated ash because of the insufficient space on-site and the lack of available landfills capable of accepting such large volumes of material. Note that under this alternative, additional land disturbance is incurred associated with the offsite landfill. The following parameters or assumptions were applied in evaluating the land cover alteration associated with the CIP and Removal alternatives. AM Cap -in -Place (CIP) Assumptions: 1. The size of each cap is set equal to the current footprint of the existing ash basins. 2. The borrow material for cap construction is sourced from an off-site location 25 miles away. 3. To determine borrow area size, the borrow area is set to a maximum depth of 10 feet (ft) and a side slope of 3 ft/ft. 4. A 50 -ft perimeter buffer strip is included in the borrow area footprint. A1.2 Comprehensive Removal (Removal) Assumptions: 1. A conversion of 1.2 tons per cubic yard of ash is assumed based on a study by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) (EPRI 2009). 2. To determine landfill size, each landfill is limited to a maximum height of 100 ft and a side slope of 3.5 ft/ft. 3. A 300 -ft perimeter buffer strip is included in the landfill footprint. 4. To determine borrow area size, the borrow area is set to a maximum depth of 10 ft and a side slope of 3 ft/ft. 5. The borrow area is assumed to exist on the same property parcel as the off-site landfill. It is assumed this distance is 1 mile (2 -mile round trip) from the landfill proper. 6. A 50 -ft perimeter buffer strip is included in the borrow area footprint. Appendix A — Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-3 September 30, 2016 0 A2 TABLE 2. PROJECT DURATION The second analysis task evaluated the anticipated duration of each remedial alternative. The Removal alternative comprises three primary tasks: 1) construction of an off-site landfill, 2) excavation, transport and placement of ash into the constructed landfill, and 3) closure of the landfill with a synthetic cap. The CIP alternative comprises cap construction activities, which are assumed to be limited by the rate at which capping material (i.e. soil and clay) can be imported from a borrow area and placed on-site. A2.1 Removal Assumptions: 1. Landfill construction assumes a per acre activity rate of 1 day for clear & grub, 28 days for earthwork, 7 days for survey control, 14 days for liner/leachate system installation, and 4 days for liner soil cover. Activities will occur concurrently; therefore, the rate of earthwork is the limiting factor for the construction rate. 2. Ash basin excavation, transport to landfill, and ash placement assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to the landfill (50 - mile round trip). 3. Landfill closure assumes that the landfill capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material. Import of cover material assumes an annual haul rate of 648,000 CY based on 6 trucks with 10 loads per day at 40 CY apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 1 mile from the on-site borrow area. A2.2 Cap -in -Place Assumptions: 1. Cap Construction: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to the landfill (50 -mile round trip). Appendix A — Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-4 September 30, 2016 EPS A3 TABLE 3. COST SUMMARY OF ALTERNATIVE REMEDIAL ACTIONS The third analysis task was to project expenditures required to implement each remedial alternative based on the modeled parameters for land use disturbance and project duration. Construction material cost, labor, and equipment rates are based on data from the Remedial Action Cost Engineering and Requirements System (RACER) Software Package, Version 11.1.12.0 and from communications with an industry expert (James R. Nelson, P.G., FGS, personal communication, June 17, 2016). Landfill construction cost is estimated based on economic data cited in U.S. Environmental Protection Agency research (USEPA 2014), which reports landfill construction cost ranges from $300,000 to $800,000 per acre. A cost per acre of $600,000 was applied to for the current cost analysis. Appendix A — Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-5 September 30, 2016 A4 REFERENCES Electric Power Research Institute. 2009. Environmental Issues. September 2009. 0 Coal Ash: Characteristics, Management and HDR. 2016a. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Allen Steam Station Ash Basin. February 19, 2016. HDR. 2016b. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Buck Steam Station Ash Basin. February 19, 2016. HDR. 2016c. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin. February 12, 2016. Nelson, James R. 2016. Personal communication. June 17, 2016. SynTerra. 2016. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Mayo Steam Electric Plant. February 29, 2016 USEPA. 2014. Municipal Solid Waste Landfills, Economic Impact Analysis for the Proposed New Subpart to the New Source Performance Standards. June 2014. Appendix A — Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-6 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Land Use Change Summary Assumption: Ash density: 1.2 tons/CY Notes: MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation CY: Cubic Yards CIP: Cap in Place 1. Estimated landfill footprint based on 100' height and 3.5 side slope, plus 300 foot buffer for development/construction support. 2. Borrow Area: Excavation area based on 10 depth, plus 50 foot buffer for development/construction support. September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-7 REMOVAL CIP Site Existing Ash Pond/ Ash Fill Area Volume of Ash Landfill Construction 1 Area Landfill Cap Borrow 2 Material Area Landfill Total CIP Borrow Material Areae Acre CY Acre Acres Acres Acres Belews 283 10,075,000 162 64 226 168 Marshall 579 22,825,000 293 127 420 335 Roxboro 506 28,716,667 350 154 504 294 Total: 1,368 61,616, 667 805 345 1,150 797 Assumption: Ash density: 1.2 tons/CY Notes: MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation CY: Cubic Yards CIP: Cap in Place 1. Estimated landfill footprint based on 100' height and 3.5 side slope, plus 300 foot buffer for development/construction support. 2. Borrow Area: Excavation area based on 10 depth, plus 50 foot buffer for development/construction support. September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-7 Table 2. Project Duration Summary Notes: CIP: Cap -in-place MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation Model Assumptions: REMOVAL CIP REMOVAL Construction Ash Excavation &Closure/Cap Transport Cap Construction Work Days/Week CIP 6 Site 6 Construction' 50 Ash Excavation, Transport & Placement Closure/Cap3 Hours/Day 12 Cap Construction 12 12 Years Work Days Hours Years Work Days Hours Years Work Days Hours Years Work Days Hours Belews 2.4 722 8,667 22.4 6,045 72,540 1.4 368 4,421 4.6 1,233 14,799 Marshall 4.9 1,469 17,631 50.7 13,695 164,340 2.8 763 9,154 9.3 2,523 30,273 Roxboro 6.0 1,804 21,652 63.8 17,230 206,760 3.5 937 11,244 8.2 2,204 26,452 Total: 13.3 3,995.8 47,949.9 136.9 36,970.0 443,640.0 7.7 2,068.3 24,819.2 22.1 5,960.3 71,523.6 Notes: CIP: Cap -in-place MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation Model Assumptions: 1. Landfill Construction: Assumes a per acre activity rate of 1 day for clear & grub, 28 days for earthwork, 7 days for survey control, 14 days for liner/leachate system installation, and 4 days for liner soil cover. 2. Ash Basin Excavation & Transport to Landfill: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round- trip). 3. Landfill Closure: Assumes landfill capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material. Assumes an annual haul rate of 648,000 CY based on 6 trucks with 10 loads per day at 40 CY apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 1 miles from on-site borrow area. 4. CIP Cap Construction: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round-trip). September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-8 REMOVAL CIP Schedule Assumptions Construction Ash Excavation &Closure/Cap Transport Cap Construction Work Days/Week 6 6 6 6 Work Weeks/Year 50 45 45 45 Hours/Day 12 12 12 12 Construction Days/Year 300 270 270 270 1. Landfill Construction: Assumes a per acre activity rate of 1 day for clear & grub, 28 days for earthwork, 7 days for survey control, 14 days for liner/leachate system installation, and 4 days for liner soil cover. 2. Ash Basin Excavation & Transport to Landfill: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round- trip). 3. Landfill Closure: Assumes landfill capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material. Assumes an annual haul rate of 648,000 CY based on 6 trucks with 10 loads per day at 40 CY apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 1 miles from on-site borrow area. 4. CIP Cap Construction: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round-trip). September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-8 Table 3. Cost Summary Table 4. Cost Summary Notes: Construction and materail costs developed from Remedial Action Cost Engineering and Requirements System (RACER) Software Package, Version 11.1.12.0 Project durations and equipment levels based on persoannal communication with industry expert MINA: Monitored Natural Attenuation September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-9 REMOVAL SiteMonitoring (Site Onl 10% Contingency CIP Belews $6,650,000 Site $7,315,000 Ash Excavation, $8,200,000 Monitoring (Site $9,020,000 Roxboro $8,975,000 Monitoring (Site $9,872,500 Total: $23,825,000 Construction Transport & Closure/Cap and Landfill) 10% Contingency TOTAL Cap Construction Only) 10% Contingency TOTAL Placement Belews $68,917,694 $760,845,768 $56,577,444 $10,890,101 $88,634,090.70 $985,865,099 $129,807,488 $6,650,000 $12,980,748.78 $142,788,236.5 Marshall $134,963,654 $1,726,857,881 $115,513,627 $13,395,116 $197,733,516.19 $2,188,463,794 $264,286,761 $8,200,000 $26,428,676.06 $290,715,436.64 Roxboro $164,577,744 $2,166,179,832 $167,787,319 $14,515,699 $249,854,489.45 $2,762,915,083 $231,086,981 $8,975,000 $23,108,698.10 $254,195,679.1 Total: $368,459,092 $4,653,883,481 $339,878,390 $38,800,916 $536,222,096 $5,937,243,976 $625,181,229 $23,825,000 $62,518,123 $687,699,352 Notes: Construction and materail costs developed from Remedial Action Cost Engineering and Requirements System (RACER) Software Package, Version 11.1.12.0 Project durations and equipment levels based on persoannal communication with industry expert MINA: Monitored Natural Attenuation September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-9 SiteMonitoring (Site Onl 10% Contingency TOTAL Belews $6,650,000 $665,000 $7,315,000 Marshall $8,200,000 $820,000 $9,020,000 Roxboro $8,975,000 $897,500 $9,872,500 Total: $23,825,000 $2,382,500 $26,207,500 Notes: Construction and materail costs developed from Remedial Action Cost Engineering and Requirements System (RACER) Software Package, Version 11.1.12.0 Project durations and equipment levels based on persoannal communication with industry expert MINA: Monitored Natural Attenuation September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-9 Table Al. Road Travel Summary Notes: MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation 1. 25 miles one-way, public roads. 2. 1 miles one-way, on-site (non-public road) travel only. 3. 100 miles one-way, public roads. September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-10 REMOVAL CIP Site Ash Transport Trips Miles' Closure/Cap Material Trips Miles' Liner Material Trips Miles' Closure/Cap Material Trips Miles' Liner Material Trips Miles' Belews 604,500 30,225,000 22,107 44,214 137 27,356 123,323 6,166,153 179 35,720 Marshall 1,369,500 68,475,000 45,768 91,536 278 55,654 252,271 12,613,545 366 73,152 Roxboro 1,723,000 86,150,000 56,221 112,442 342 68,344 220,436 11,021,800 319 63,898 Total: 3,697,000 184,850,000 124,096 248,192 757 151,355 596,030 29,801,497 864 172,771 Notes: MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation 1. 25 miles one-way, public roads. 2. 1 miles one-way, on-site (non-public road) travel only. 3. 100 miles one-way, public roads. September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-10 Table A2. Liner Specifications Roll Dimensions 30 Mil 40 mil 60 mil 80 mil 100 mil 1. Width (feet): 23 23 23 23 23 2. Length (feet) 1000 750 500 375 300 3. Area (square feet): 23,000 17,250 11,500 8,625 6,900 4. Gross Weight (pounds, approx.) 3,470 3,470 3,470 3,470 3,470 Landfill Option Site Liner Area (ft2) Cap Area Liner Rolls Cap Rolls Truck Trips Miles Belews 4,494,270 4,943,697 391 430 137 27,356 Marshall 9,143,180 10,057,498 795 875 278 55,654 Roxboro 11,227,990 12,350,789 976 1,074 342 68,344 2,162 2,378 757 151,355 CIP Option September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-1 1 Total Ash Basin Area Site Ash Basin (ft2) Rolls Truck Trips Miles (Acres) Belews 283 12,323,478 1,072 179 35,720 Marshall 579 25,237,583 2,195 366 73,152 Roxboro 506 22,044,845 1,917 319 63,898 5,183 864 172,771 Assumptions Rolls/Truck: 6 Travel Distance (mile): 100 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-1 1 Table A3. Monitoring Cost Estimate Landfill Monitoring Site Landfill Width (ft) # MWs Well Installation Days/Event Analytical Cost Labor Cost Equipment Cost Reporting Events/Year Annual Cost 100 Years Belews 2,120 14 $49,466 4 $4,239.94 $5,653.25 $1,059.98 $10,000.00 2 $41,906 $4,240,101.00 Marshall 3,024 20 $70,555 5 $6,047.54 $8,063.38 $1,511.88 $10,000.00 2 $51,246 $5,195,116.11 Roxboro 3,351 22 $78,186 6 $6,701.64 $8,935.52 $1,675.41 $10,000.00 2 $54,625 $5,540,699.09 MYA Monitoring Well Network Size: Assumes one well every 300 feet on down -gradient side of landfill, and one well every 600 feet per side and up -gradient side. Analytical Cost/Well: $300.00 Sample Events/Year: 2 Site # MWs Days/Event Analytical Cost Labor Cost Equipment Cost Reporting Events/Year Annual Cost 100 Years Belews 30 8 $9,000.00 $12,000.00 $2,250.00 $10,000.00 2 $66,500 $6,650,000 Marshall 40 10 $12,000.00 $16,000.00 $3,000.00 $10,000.00 2 $82,000 $8,200,000 Roxboro 45 11 $13,500.00 $18,000.00 $3,375.00 $10,000.00 2 $89,750 $8,975,000 Assumptions: Well Network Size: Assumes one well every 300 feet on down -gradient side of landfill, and one well every 600 feet per side and up -gradient side. Analytical Cost/Well: $300.00 Sample Events/Year: 2 Day Labor Rate: $1,600.00 Equipment Dy Rate: $300.00 Wells Sampled/Day: 4 Reporting Cost: $10,000 Well Install Cost: $3,500 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-12 Landfill Requirements Site Tons CY ft3 Table A4. Off -Site Landfill Size and Cost Estimate Belews 12,090,000 10,075,000 272,025,OOC Marshall 27,390,000 22,825,000 616,275,000 Roxboro 34,460,000 28,716,667 775,350,000 Total: 73,940,000 61,616,667 1,663,650,OOC OUTPUT GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - LANDFILL GEOMETRY Height Bottom (Landfill Base) S1 (ft) Bl (ft2) Top 52 (ft) B2 (ft2) Volume (ft3) 100 2,1201 4,494,270 1,420 2,016,313 272,025,000 100 3,0241 9,143,180 2,324 5,399,903 616,275,000 100 3,3511 11,227,990 2,651 7,026,843 775,350,000 Conversion tons per CY: 1.2 Landfill Parameters: Height (ft) 100 Slope: 3.5 Landfill Cost/Acre Low: High: $300,000 $600,000 Buffer Width Width (ft) 300 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-13 Table A5. Estimated Duration of Landfill Construction Site Size (Acres) Construction days Years Const. Hours Belews 103 722.2 2.4 8,667 Marshall 210 1469.3 4.9 17,631 Roxboro 258 1804.3 6.0 21,652 Total: 571 3,996 13 47,950 Activity Duration/acre (days) Clear/Grub 1 Excavation/Earthwork: 28 Limiting factor - Used as construction rate Surveying 7 Liner/Leachate System 14 Protective Soil Liner 4 Construction Teams (sets of equipment) # Construction Teams 4 Project Duration Details Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 50 Hours/day 12 Construction days/year 300 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-14 Table A6. Landfill Closure Cost Worksheet (RACER) Imported Import Duration Folder Assembly Level Data Report (RACER) Site Material Volume (yrs) Trips Travel Miles Days Hours Belews 884,289 1.4 22,107 44,214 368 4,421 Marshall 1,830,722 2.8 45,768 91,536 763 9,154 Roxboro 2,248,839 3.5 56,221 112,442 937 11,244 Total: 7,919,949 12.2 197,999 395,997 3,300 39,600 Project Duration Details 1.43 $2,912,425 Below Capping Annual Haul Rate ICY): 648,000 105 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 # Trucks: 6 $336,525 Below Capping 33080507 Truck CY: 40 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 Trips/Day: 10 Belew Capping 33080571 60 Mil Days/Week 6 0.40 0.20 0.01 Weeks/Year 45 Barrow Hours/day 12 Fill Distance (miles): Capping 17030233 Crawler- 4421 HR September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-15 Folder Assembly Level Data Report (RACER) Phase Technology Assembly No. Assembly Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment Equip. Units Extended Cost Bele. Capping 17030423 Unclassifie 423,105 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $9,993,371 Below Capping 18050301 Loam or 105,776 LCV 21.17 4.94 1.43 $2,912,425 Below Capping 18050402 Seeding, 105 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 $336,525 Below Capping 33080507 Clay, Low 355,408 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 $9,075,175 Belew Capping 33080571 60 Mil 5,026,483 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 $2,566,353 Barrow Below Capping 17030233 Crawler- 4421 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 4 $2,421,713 Belew ICapping 17030706 DS with U- 4,421 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 2 $1,471,191 Belew Capping 17030226 988 7.0 1 4,421 HR 1 $0.00 $59.861 $84.96 2 1 $1,280,627 Belew Capping 17030295 on 35 Ton. 4,421 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 2 $1,280,538 CAP Belew Capping 17030704 D6 with A- 4421 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 $1,060,970 Belew Capping 17030101 Rough 507,716 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 $299,552 Belew Capping 17030431 580K, 1.0 4,421 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $356,191 Below Capping 18050413 Watering 105 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 $24,177 Belew Capping 17030233 Crawler- 4,421 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $605,428 Belew Capping 33010505 50 KW 368 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $60,198 Imported 884,289 CY Direct Cost: $33,744,434 Direct+ $53,991,095 Marshall Capping 17030423 Unclassifie 834,161 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $19,702,170 Marshall Capping 18050301 Loam or 208,540 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 $5,741,916 Marshall Capping 18050402 Seeding, 207 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 $663,490 Marshall Capping 33080507 Clay, Low 700,695 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 $17,891,925 Marshall ICapping 33080571 60 Mil 9,909,832 SF 0.401 0.20 0.01 $5,059,626 Marshall Capping 17030423 Unclassifie 41,782 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $986,866 Marshall Capping 18050301 Loam or 10,446 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 $287,608 Marshall Capping 18050402 Seeding, 10 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 $33,235 Marshall Capping 33080507 Clay, Low 35,097 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 $896,192 Marshall Capping 33080571 40 Mil 496,375 SF 0.29 0.20 0.01 $253,433 Barrow Marshall Capping 17030233 Crawler- 9,154 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 4 $5,013,614 Marshall Capping 17030706 D8 with U- 9,154 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 2 $3,045,772 Marshall Capping 17030226 988 7.0 9154 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 2 $2,651,251 Marshall Capping 17030295 35 Ton 9,154 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 2 $2,651,068 CAP Marshall Capping 17030704 D6 with A- 9,154 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 $2,196,500 Marshall Capping 17030101 Rough 1,051,151 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 $620,179 Marshall Capping 17030431 580K 1.0 9,154 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $737,415 Marshall Capping 18050413 Watering 217 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 $50,056 Marshall Capping 17030233 Crawler- 9,154 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $1,253,404 Marshall Capping 33010505 50 KW 763 DAY $0.001 $0.00 $163.38 1 1 $124,626 Imported 1,830,722 CY Direct Cost: $69,860,346 Direct+ $111,776,553 Roxoboro Capping 17030423 Unclassifie 834,161 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $19,702,170 Roxoboro Capping 18050301 Loam or 208,540 LCV 21.17 4.94 1.43 $5,741,916 Roxoboro Capping 18050402 Seeding, 207 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 $663,490 Roxoboro Capping 33080507 Clay, Low 700,695 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 $17,891,925 Roxoboro Capping 33080571 60 Mil 9,909,832 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 $5,059,626 Roxoboro Capping 17030423 Unclassifie 241,838 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $5,712,016 Roxoboro Capping 18050301 Loam or 60,460 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 $1,664,685 Roxoboro ICapping 18050402 Seeding, 60 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 $192,355 Roxoboro Capping 33080507 Clay, Low 203,144 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 $5,187,193 Roxoboro Capping 33080571 60 Mil 2,873,040 SF 0.29 0.20 0.01 $1,466,877 Barrow Roxoboro Capping 17030233 Crawler- 11,244 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 4 $22,604,769 Roxoboro Capping 17030706 IDS with U- 11,244 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 2 $3,741,393 Roxoboro Capping 17030226 988 7.0 11,244 HR $0.001 $59.86 $84.96 2 $3,256,768 Roxoboro Capping 17030295 35 Ton, 11,244 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 2 $3,256,543 CAP Roxoboro Capping 17030704 D6with A- 11,244 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 $2,698,156 Roxoboro Capping 17030101 Rough 1,291215 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 $761,817 Roxoboro ICapping 17030431 580K, 1.0 11,244 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $905,832 Roxoboro Capping 18050413 Watering 60 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 $13,820 Roxoboro Capping 17030233 Crawler- 11,244 HR $0.00 $57.391 $79.54 $1,539,667 Roxoboro Capping 133010505 150 KW, 937 DAY $0.00 $0.001 $163.38 1 1 $153,090 Imported 2,248,839 CY I Direct Cost,I $102,214,111 Direct +1 $163,542,577 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-15 Table A7. Off -Site Landfill Closure - Borrow Area Size INPUT Site Belews Marshall Roxboro Ej Total: OUTPUT GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - BORROW PIT Height Imported Material Top S2 (ft) Site Volume (ft3) ft3 1,575 2,480,884 Volume (CY) 2,295,474 Belews 884,289 23,875,794 Marshall 1,830,722 49,429,484 Roxboro 2,248,839 60,718,640 Total: 4,963,849 134,023,918 Site Belews Marshall Roxboro Ej Total: OUTPUT GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - BORROW PIT Height Bottom S1 (ft) B1 (ft2) Top S2 (ft) B2 (ft2) Volume (ft3) 10 1,575 2,480,884 1,515 2,295,474 23,875,794 10 2,253 5,076,941 2,193 4,810,156 49,429,484 10 2,494 6,220,307 2,434 5,924,621 60,718,640 Borrow Area (ft2) Acres Buffer Acres Total Acreag 2,480,884 57 7.2 64.2 5,076,941 117 10.3 126.9 6,220,307 143 11.5 154.2 Total: 316 29 345 Borrow Parameters: Buffer Width Height (ft) 10 Width (ft) 50 Slope: 3 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-16 Table A8. Excavation, Transportation and Placement of Ash Site Ash Tons Duration (yrs) Trips Travel Miles Days Hours Belews 12,090,000 22.39 604,500 30,225,000 6,045 72,540 Marshall 27,390,000 50.72 1,369,500 68,475,000 13,695 164,340 Roxboro 34,460,000 63.81 1,723,000 86,150,000 17,230 206,760 Total: 73,940,000 137 3,697,000 184,850,000 36,970 443,640 Project Duration Details/Assumptions: Assembly Description Annual Haul Rate (tons): 540,000 # On -road transport Trucks: 50 # Off-road transport trucks: 4 Truck (tons/load): 20 Truck Trips/Day: 2 Active Excavators: 4 Actvive Bulldozers: 2 Days/Week 50 Weeks/Year 45 Water Truck($/day) $100 Landfill Distance (miles): 25 Hours per work day; 12 Hours per year: 3,240 Level 2 I Phase Name I Assembly No. Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment SubBid Equip. Units Extended Cost Duke NC Belews 17030285 12 CY (20 Ton), Dump 72,540 HR $0.00 55.72 33.41 $0.00 50 $323,274,510 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 72,540 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $0.00 4 $39,731,609 17030706 D8 with U -Blade 72,540 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 $0.00 2 $24,136,960 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel 72,540 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 $0.00 1 $10,505,243 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off- 72,540 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 $0.00 4 $42,018,070 18050413 Watering with 3,000- 6,045 DAY $0.00 $38.83 $0.00 $0.00 1 $234,727 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe 72,540 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $0.00 1 $5,843,822 33010505 10 KW, 120/240 VAC, 6,045 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $987,632 33230516 8" Submersible Pump 6,045 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $48.60 2 $587,574 Landfill 17030704 D6 with A -blade 72,540 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60 $0 2 $17,406,698 Direct Cost: $464,726,845 Direct+ $743,562,952 Level 2 I I Phase Name jAssemblyNo.j Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment SubBid Equip. Units Extended Cost Duke NC Marshall 17030285 12 CY (20 Ton), Dump 164,340 HR $0.00 55.72 33.41 $0.00 50 $732,381,210 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 164,340 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $0.00 4 $90,012,305 17030706 D8 with U -Blade 164,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 $0.00 2 $54,682,492 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel 164,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 $0.00 1 $23,799,719 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off- 164,340 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 $0.00 4 $95,192,302 18050413 Watering with 3,000- 13,695 DAY $0.00 $38.83 $0.00 $0.00 1 $531,777 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe 164,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $0.00 1 $13,239,230 33010505 10 KW, 120/240 VAC, 17,230 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $2,815,037 33230516 8" Submersible Pump 36,970 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $48.60 2 $3,593,484 Landfill 17030704 D6 with A -blade 164,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60 $0 2 $39,435,026 Direct Cost: $1,055,682,582 Direct + $1,689,092,131 Level 2 I I Phase Name I Assembly No. Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment SubBid I Equip. Units Extended Cost Duke NC Roxboro 17030285 12 CY (20 Ton), Dump 206,760 HR $0.00 55.72 33.41 $0.00 50 $921,425,94C 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 206,760 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $0.00 4 $113,246,587 17030706 D8 with U -Blade 206,760 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 $0.00 2 $68,797,322 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel 206,760 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 $0.00 1 $29,942,983 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off- 206,760 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 $0.00 4 $119,763,662 18050413 Watering with 3,000- 17,230 DAY $0.00 $38.83 $0.00 $0.00 1 $669,041 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe 206,760 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $0.00 1 $16,656,586 33010505 10 KW, 120/240 VAC, 17,230 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $2,815,037 33230516 8" Submersible Pump 17,230 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $48.60 2 $1,674,756 Landfill 17030704 D6 with A -blade 206,760 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60 $0 2 $49,614,130 Direct Cost: $1,324,606,045 Direct+ $2,119,369,672 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-17 Table A9. Landfill Cost Summary Landfill Construction Ash Dig & Transport $1500 Erosion/Control Engineering/Survey Engineering/Survey Acres (Landfill Acres (Ash Site Design/Planning Landfill Construction Cost Measures Oversight Site Total Foot Print) Cost/Acre Belews $5,000,000 $61,904,549 $323,151.22 $1,689,994 $68,917,694 162 $426,535 Marshall $5,000,000 $125,939,120 $586,395.92 $3,438,138 $134,963,654 293 $460,316 Roxboro $5,000,000 $154,655,512 $700,136.52 $4,222,095 $164,577,744 350 $470,130 Total: $15,000,000 $342,499,181 $1,609,684 $9,350,228 $368,459,092 Total: $3,000,000 Ash Dig & Transport Assumptions Erosion Meas. (per acre): $2,000 Eng/Survey Oversight Details Engineer (day) $1500 Survey crew (day) Erosion/Control Engineering/Survey 6 Acres (Ash 52 Site Design/Planning Ash Dig &Transport Measures Oversight Site Total Ponds) Cost/Acre Belews $1,000,000 $743,562,952 $565,816.25 $15,717,000 $760,845,768 283 $2,689,374 Marshall $1,000,000 $1,689,092,131 $1,158,750.37 $35,607,000 $1,726,857,881 579 $2,980,552 Roxboro $1,000,000 $2,119,369,672 $1,012,160.00 $44,798,000 $2,166,179,832 506 $4,280,311 Total: $3,000,000 $4,552,024,755 $2,736,727 $96,122,000 $4,653,883,481 Landfill Closure/Cap Erosion/Control Engineering/Survey Site Design/Planning Closure Measures Oversight Site Total Acres (Barrow) Cost/Acre Belews $1,500,000 $53,991,095 $128,370.10 $957,979 $56,577,444 64 $881,474 Marshall $1,500,000 $111,776,553 $253,791.65 $1,983,282 $115,513,627 127 $910,303 Roxboro $1,500,000 $163,542,577 $308,499.46 $2,436,242 $167,787,319 154 $1,087,764 Total: $4,500,000 $329,310,226 $690,661 $5,377,503 $339,878,390 Assumptions Erosion Meas. (per acre): $2,000 Eng/Survey Oversight Details Engineer (day) $1500 Survey crew (day) $750 Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 52 Hours/Day 12 Annual Hours 3744 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-18 Table A10. Cap Cost Worksheet (RACER) September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-19 Folder Assembly L—I Data Report (RACER) ... ............ ... ............ September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-19 Table A11. Off -Site Source Material - Borrow Area Size INPUT Site Imported Material ft3 Volume (CY) Belews 2,466,461 66,594,450 Marshall 5,045,418 136,226,281 Roxboro 4,408,720 119,035,435 Total: 11,920,599 321,856,165 OUTPUT GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - BORROW PIT Height Bottom Top Volume (ft3) S1 (ft) B1 (ft2) S2 (ft) B2 (ft2) 10 2,611 6,814,877 2,551 6,505,213 66,594,450 10 3,721 13,844,679 3,661 13,401,7771 136,226,281 10 3,480 12,111,150 3,420 11,697,137 119,035,435 Site Borrow Area (ft2) Acres Ffer Ac tal Acrea Belews 6,814,877 156 12.0 168.4 Marshall 13,844,679 318 17.1 334.9 Roxboro 12,111,150 278 16.0 294.0 Total: 752 1 45 797 Borrow Parameters: Height (ft) 10 Slope: 3 Buffer Width Width (ft) 50 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-20 Table Al2. CIP Cost Summary *Planning, survey, permits Construction Cost Details Subtitle D (non -hazardous) cap design and construction Off -Site source of capping materials 40 Mil HDPE Liner Current scenario does not account for any consolidation of ash material Erosion/Control: Assumed cost of $2,000/acre Dewatering/Treatment Details System Mobilization $150,000 Operation $3,000 day Utilization 50% Assume discharge under NPDES permit Eng/Survey Oversight Details Engineer $1,500 day Survey $750 day Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 52 Imported Material 540,000 # Trucks: Erosion/Control Engineering/Survey 20 Site Design* Construction Cost Dewatering/ Treatment Measures Oversight Site Total Belews $1,000,000 $123,035,426 $1,999,846 $565,816 $3,206,399 $129,807,488 Marshall $1,000,000 $251,634,904 $3,934,063 $1,158,750 $6,559,043 $264,286,761 Roxboro $1,000,000 $219,886,945 $3,456,540 $1,012,160 $5,731,336 $231,086,981 Total: $3,000,000 $594,557,275 $9,390,449 $2,736,727 $15,496,778 $625,181,229 *Planning, survey, permits Construction Cost Details Subtitle D (non -hazardous) cap design and construction Off -Site source of capping materials 40 Mil HDPE Liner Current scenario does not account for any consolidation of ash material Erosion/Control: Assumed cost of $2,000/acre Dewatering/Treatment Details System Mobilization $150,000 Operation $3,000 day Utilization 50% Assume discharge under NPDES permit Eng/Survey Oversight Details Engineer $1,500 day Survey $750 day Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 52 Imported Material 540,000 # Trucks: 50 Truck CY: 20 Site Volume (CY) Import Duration (yrs) Trips Travel Miles Days Hours Belews 2,466,461 4.6 123,323 6,166,153 1,233 14,799 Marshall 5,045,418 9.3 252,271 12,613,545 2,523 30,273 Roxboro 4,408,720 8.2 220,436 11,021,800 2,204 26,452 Total: 11,920,599 22 596,030 29,801,497 5,960 71,524 Project Duration Details Annual Haul Rate (CY): 540,000 # Trucks: 50 Truck CY: 20 Trips/Day: 2 Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 45 Hours/day 12 Fill Distance (miles): 25 Erosion Control & Measures $/acre 2000 September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-21 Table A13. Projected Excavation Details for Stations of Interest Station Basin Approximate Volume (Tons) Surface Area Perimeter (sq ft) (Ac) (ft) Belews Creek Active Ash Basin 12,090,000 12,323,478 283 36,884 Belews Creek Total 12,090,000 12,323,478 283 Marshall Active Ash Basin 16,020,000 19,048,749 437 64,312 Marshall Basins Total 16,020,000 Retired Landfill (Permit 18-04) 4,880,000 2,553,334 59 11,248 Structural Fill 6,490,000 3,635,500 83 8,755 Marshall Fills/Landfills Tota 14 11,370,000 Marshall Total 27,390,000 25,237,583 579 Roxboro West Ash Pond 12,540,000 8,223,139 189 26,979 East Ash Pond 6,960,000 5,842,412 134 22,456 Roxboro Basins Total 19,500,000 Unlined Monofill and Subgrade Fill( above East Pond) 7,640,000 4,917,389 113 10,124 Lined Monofill( above East Pond) 7,320,000 3,061,904 70 7,405 Roxboro Fills/Landfills Tota 14 14,960,000 Roxboro Total 34,460,000 22,044,845 506 Notes: 1. Typical Scenario assumes 500,000 tons/year excavated. This equates to approximately 50, 24ton trucks performing 2 truck turns per day while operating 12 hours per day, 6 days per week, for 45 weeks per year. 2. Aggressive Scenario assumes 1,000,000 tons/year excavated. This equates to approximately 100, 20,ton trucks performing 2 truck turns per day while operating 12 hours per day, 6 days per week, for 45 weeks per year. 3. Distance to final deposition location assumed to be 25 miles, 1 truck turn would be 50 miles. 4. Quantity includes ash located in permitted landfills, ash fills, and structural fills located on top of the ash basin(s). While these structures are not "CCR surface impoundments" under the Coal Ash Management Act and, therefore, not subject to the statute's closure provisions, this figure includes the quantities in these structures in the event Duke Energy is required to excavate them along with the basins. September 30, 2016 Appendix A -Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis A-22 EPS APPENDIX B Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis Appendix B —Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-1 September 30, 2016 0 B I OVERVIEW The risk to the health and life of workers and the public due to construction activities for each alternative should be considered during the selection process. Additionally, the risk of property damage should also be evaluated. National statistics were used to evaluate the fatality, injury/illness, and property damage risks associated with truck traffic and onsite implementation for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro facilities. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-2 September 30, 2016 0 B2 TRUCK TRAFFIC RISK The risks of fatality and injury due to truck traffic associated with ash Removal and CIP are presented on Table 1 of this appendix. Data on annual fatalities and injuries associated with large - truck traffic and large -truck miles traveled per year was taken from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's (NHTSA) large truck traffic safety fact sheet for 2014 (NHTSA 2016). This is the most recent data available and accounts for fatalities and injuries for truck occupants as well as non -truck occupants. Averages of the calculated fatality and injury rates for the years 2010 through 2014 were also examined and found to be similar to the 2014 rates. The reference values used for the truck traffic risk calculations are given in Table 2 of this appendix. Total truck driving miles were calculated for the construction analysis for each facility. Significantly more truck miles are associated with Removal than with CIP. Transporting borrow pit and liner material was also considered in these calculations. In addition to the risk of health and life to the workers and the public, the risk of property damage resulting from truck traffic was also considered for both alternatives. Data for Property Damage Only (PDO) crashes involving large trucks (Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration 2016)1 was used to estimate the expected number of PDO incidents for both alternatives at each facility. The results are presented in Table 1 and the reference values are included in Table 2. 1 The most recent published PDO data (2014) were used in our analyses. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-3 September 30, 2016 0 B3 IMPLEMENTATION RISK In addition to truck traffic risks, there are substantial occupational (worker) risks associated with performing the excavation, landfill construction, and cap construction. Occupational risks calculated for remedial alternative implementation are also presented on Table 1. Data on occupational fatalities and nonfatal injuries and illnesses were gathered from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release (BLS 2015a), Fatal Occupational Injuries, Total Hours Worked, and Rates of Fatal Occupational Injuries by Selected Worker Characteristics, Occupations, and Industries, Civilian Workers, 2014 (BLS 2015b), and Employee -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses, 2014 News Release (BLS 2015c). The reference values used for the occupational risk calculations are given in Table 3. Data from the forestry and logging industry (NAICS code 113) were used to calculate the fatality and injury/illness risks associated with clearing wooded land for borrow pits and the proposed landfills (if applicable). According to the BLS, "Industries in the Forestry and Logging subsector grow and harvest timber on a long production cycle (i.e., of 10 years or more)" and include logging equipment operators and heavy truck and tractor -trailer drivers. Mature tree removal at this caliber is expected to occur at each facility where land will be cleared for a borrow pit and to prepare for landfill construction. While a landfill area will only be cleared for the removal option, a borrow pit will be needed for both alternatives (Removal and CIP). If additional tree removal will be needed that has not been accounted for in either the borrow or proposed landfills areas, the fatality and injury/illness risks will increase. Data from the construction industry (NAICS code 23) were used to calculate the fatality and injury/illness risks associated with excavation, landfill construction, and cap construction work, where relevant. According to the BLS, "The construction sector comprises establishments primarily engaged in the construction of buildings or engineering projects. Establishments primarily engaged in the preparation of sites for new construction and establishments primarily engaged in subdividing land for sale as building sites also are included in this sector." Occupations falling in this category include construction laborers, operating engineers, first-line supervisors, and heavy truck and tractor -trailer drivers. The excavation of the ash basins, construction of offsite landfills, and the construction of an in-place cap all fall under this industry and therefore construction -based risk statistics were used for these project phases in this evaluation. Time and manpower to clear the land and complete construction for each alternative were estimated based on scope and are outlined in Appendix A. A ratio of two days to clear one acre of wooded land was used to calculate the total hours worked clearing the borrow pit and proposed landfill areas. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-4 September 30, 2016 EPS B4 SAMPLE CALCULATIONS B4.1 Truck Traffic Risk Calculations B4.1.1 Fatalities due to Truck Traffic Ft,2014 Ft = x Dt Dt,2014 B4.1.2 Injuries due to Truck Traffic It,2014 It = x Dt Dt,2014 B4.1.3 PDO Truck Crashes pt,2014 Pt = X Dt Dt,2014 B4.2 Implementation Risk Calculations 134.2.1 Fatalities due to Implementation F. _ FL,2014 X T + FC,2014 x T 1 — L C TL,2014 TC,2014 B4.2.2 Injuries and Illnesses due to Implementation IIL,2014 x T+ IC,2014 x T Ii _ - L C TL,2014 TC,2014 B4.3 Definitions Ft = Fatalities resulting from truck traffic, including workers and non -workers (number of persons) Ft,2014 = Fatalities resulting from large truck traffic, including truck occupants and other people, in the United States in 2014 (number of persons) (NHTSA 2016) Dt,2014 = Large -truck miles traveled in the United States in 2014 (miles) (NHTSA 2016) Dt = Total truck distance traveled (miles), calculated (see Appendix A) It = Injuries resulting from truck traffic, including workers and non -workers (number of cases) Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-5 September 30, 2016 EPS It,2014 = Injuries resulting from large truck traffic, including truck occupants and other people, in the United States in 2014 (number of cases) (NHTSA 2016) Pt = Property damage only (PDO) truck crashes resulting from large truck traffic (number of incidents) (FMCSA 2016) P t,2014 = PDO crashes involving large trucks in the United States in 2014 (number of incidents) (FMCSA 2016) Fi = Fatalities resulting from implementation of the selected remedy (number of persons) FL,2014 = Occupational fatalities in the forestry and logging industry in the United States in 2014 (number of persons) (BLS 2015b) TL,2014 = Total hours worked in the forestry and logging industry in the United States in 2014 (hours) (BLS 2015b) TL = Total hours worked clearing wooded land (hours), calculated based on a clearing rate of 2 acres per day and a crew size of 24 persons (see Appendix A) Fc,2014 = Occupational fatalities in the construction industry in the United States in 2014 (number of persons) (BLS 2015b) Tc,2014 = Total hours worked in the construction industry in the United States in 2014 (hours) (BLS 2015b) Tc = Total hours worked completing remedy (hours), calculated (see Appendix A) Ii = Injuries and illnesses resulting from implementation of the selected remedy (number of cases) IL,2014 = Nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses in the forestry and logging industry in the United States in 2014 (number of cases) (BLS 2015c) Ic,2014 = Nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses in the construction industry in the United States in 2014 (number of cases) (BLS 2015c) Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-6 September 30, 2016 0 B5 RESULTS The calculations show that Removal and constructing an offsite landfill will produce significantly more fatalities and injuries or illnesses for each site considered when compared to the CIP alternative. With the highest risk of personal injury (workers and the general public) and personal property damage (i.e., road accidents) over the lifespan of the project (see Table 1), the Roxboro facility should expect approximately 34 injuries to the general public (including truck occupants) resulting from traffic accidents and 106 worker injuries from construction activities associated with Removal. Alternately, approximately 4-5 injuries to the general public (including truck occupants) and 15 worker injuries from construction activities are estimated to result from CIP for Roxboro. If all three facilities proceed with the comprehensive removal alternative, then a total of approximately 74 injuries to the general public (including truck occupants) and 231 worker injuries should be expected, along with 216 incidents of public property damage resulting from truck crashes on public roads. The CIP alternative exhibits less risk with an estimated total of 12 injuries to the public (including truck occupants) and 41 injuries to workers across all three sites. A total of 3-4 fatalities may result from the Removal option while up to only one may result from the CIP option (totaling all three sites). With monitored natural attenuation, the incident rates are negligible as the risks associated with trucking and construction are removed. A summary of estimated injury and traffic incident rates for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro facilities is provided in Table 1. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-7 September 30, 2016 0 B6 REFERENCES Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). (2015a). National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release, available September 17, 2015. U.S. Department of Labor. BLS. (2015b). Fatal occupational injuries, total hours worked, and rates of fatal occupational injuries by selected worker characteristics, occupations, and industries, civilian workers, 2014. Retrieved from the Bureau of Labor Statistics website: http://www.bls.gov/iif/oshwc/cfoi/cfoi rates_2014hb.pdf BLS. (2015c). Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release, available October 29, 2015. U.S. Department of Labor. Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA). (2016). Large Truck and Bus Crash Facts 2014. Retrieved from the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration website: https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). (2016). Traffic Safety Facts, Large Trucks, 2014 Data, DOT HS 812 279, Revised May 2016. U.S. Department of Transportation. Washington, D.C. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-8 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Summary of Traffic and Implementation Risks Table 2. Truck Traffic Risk Reference Values Large -truck miles Number of truck Number of "other REMOVAL : Number of "other Total number of PDO Crashes CIP worked (millions) - Fatalities per hour Total number of Estimated Estimated Estimated Injuries Estimated Injuries Estimated Large- Estimated Estimated Estimated Injuries Estimated Injuries Estimated Large - Site Involving Large millions 1 2014 1 2014 1 fatalities per mile 2014 1 2014 1 mile 6 Trucks - 2014 9 279,132 657 Fatalities from Fatalities from or Illnesses from or Illnesses from Truck Crashes Fatalities from Fatalities from or Illnesses from or Illnesses from Truck Crashes Truck Traffic 1 Implementation 2'3 Truck Traffic 1 Implementation 4'6 Resulting in PDO Truck Traffic 1 Implementation 2,3 Truck Traffic 1 Implementation 4,5 Resulting in PDO Belews Creek 0.42 0.15 12 40 35 0.09 0.06 2.5 8.4 7.2 Marshall 0.96 0.32 27 85 80 0.18 0.12 5.0 17 15 Roxboro 1.2 0.39 34 106 101 0.16 0.10 4.4 15 13 Total: 2.6 0.86 74 231 216 0.42 0.28 12 41 35 Table 2. Truck Traffic Risk Reference Values Large -truck miles Number of truck Number of "other Number of truck Number of "other Total number of PDO Crashes Fatalities - 2014 worked (millions) - Fatalities per hour Total number of incident rate - per hour worked - 23 (total number) traveled - 2014 occupant fatalities p people" fatalities - 6 occupant injuries - people" injuries - injuries per truck Involving Large millions 1 2014 1 2014 1 fatalities per mile 2014 1 2014 1 mile 6 Trucks - 2014 9 279,132 657 1 3,246 1.40E-08 27,000 84,000 3.98E-07 326,000 Table 3. Implementation Risk Reference Values Notes: MNA - Monitored Natural Attenuation PDO - Property Damage Only Values represent total expected fatalities and injuries or illnesses over the estimated lifespan of the project, excluding post MNA activitie! (1) - Fact Sheet, Traffic Safety Facts 2014 Data. NHTSA's National Center for Statistics and Analysis, DOT HS 812 279, Washington, DC, revised May 2016 (2) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release. Table 2. Fatal occupational injuries by industry and selected event or exposure, 2014. September 17, 2015 (3) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fatal occupational injuries, total hours worked, and rates of fatal occupational injuries by selected worker characteristics, occupations, and industries, civilian workers, 2014 (4) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 2. Numbers of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (5) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 1. Incidence rates of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (6) - Calculated from data provided in reference (1) (7) - Calculated from data provided in reference (3) (8) - Calculated from data provided in references (4) and (5) (9) - Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration Analysis Division, Large Track and Bus Crash Facts 2014. March 2016. Appendix B Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-9 September 30, 2016 Total hours Injuries/Illnesses - Injuries/Illnesses Injuries/illnesses Industry Fatalities - 2014 worked (millions) - Fatalities per hour 2014 (total incident rate - per hour worked - 23 (total number) 3 7 worked - 2014 6 S 2014 number)4 2014 2014 Forestry and logging 92 180 5.11E-07 2,800 5.1 2.55E-05 (NAICS code 113) Construction 874 18,168 4.81E-08 200,900 3.6 1.80E-05 (NAICS code 23) Notes: MNA - Monitored Natural Attenuation PDO - Property Damage Only Values represent total expected fatalities and injuries or illnesses over the estimated lifespan of the project, excluding post MNA activitie! (1) - Fact Sheet, Traffic Safety Facts 2014 Data. NHTSA's National Center for Statistics and Analysis, DOT HS 812 279, Washington, DC, revised May 2016 (2) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release. Table 2. Fatal occupational injuries by industry and selected event or exposure, 2014. September 17, 2015 (3) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fatal occupational injuries, total hours worked, and rates of fatal occupational injuries by selected worker characteristics, occupations, and industries, civilian workers, 2014 (4) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 2. Numbers of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (5) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 1. Incidence rates of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (6) - Calculated from data provided in reference (1) (7) - Calculated from data provided in reference (3) (8) - Calculated from data provided in references (4) and (5) (9) - Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration Analysis Division, Large Track and Bus Crash Facts 2014. March 2016. Appendix B Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-9 September 30, 2016 EPS APPENDIX C Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis Appendix C —Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-1 September 30, 2016 0 C I INTRODUCTION The expected air pollutant emissions and energy consumption were estimated as part of the NEBA framework for the remedial alternatives under consideration. Air emissions can be divided into two separate categories, criteria pollutants and greenhouse gases (GHGs). C1.1 Criteria Pollutants The criteria pollutants, which were established in the Clean Air Act of 1970, consist of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx), ozone, sulfur oxides (SOX), particulate matter (PM), and lead. These pollutants were determined to cause adverse health & environmental effects when present above specific concentrations in the atmosphere. For the purposes of this evaluation, NOx and PM were evaluated based on their expected emissions from the activities involved in the remedial activities. Based on previous experience with air emissions from remedial activities, the impacts from the other criteria pollutants were expected to be minimal and so were not included in this evaluation. For example, the sulfur content in the fuels, that are typically converted to SOx, have been reduced by regulations to the extent that they are nearly negligible. Regulations have also significantly reduced the VOC emissions from engines to the extent that they are relatively small by comparison with NOx emissions. In addition to the harmful effects of direct exposure to NOx, their emissions are also precursors in the formation of ozone (another criteria pollutant), acid rain, and fine particulate matter. Therefore, based on the anticipated quantity of NOx emissions combined with their environmental and health effects, the NOx emissions were estimated as part of this NEBA analysis. Particulate matter is subdivided into two categories: coarse particulate matter (particles that have a diameter of 10 microns or less) also known as PM 10; and fine particulate matter (particles that have a diameter of 2.5 microns or less), also known as PM2.5. These are particles that generally pass through the throat and nose and enter the lungs. Once inhaled, these particles can affect the heart and lungs and cause serious health effects. Because the health effects and expected emissions of PM 10 and PM2.5 are significant, they have also been estimated for this NEBA analysis. C1.2 Greenhouse Gases GHGs, which consist primarily of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N20), and fluorinated gases, were also determined by USEPA to have adverse health and environmental effects due to their contribution to climate change. Climate change is expected to result in public health risks associated with heat waves, increased smog, extreme weather events, and mosquito - spread diseases among others. Climate change is also expected to affect environmental factors, such as sea level and acidity. Each of the individual GHG pollutants has a different Global Warming Potential (GWP), a relative measure of the heat trapped by each gas compared to CO2. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-2 September 30, 2016 EPS The net effect of potential GHG emissions have been normalized to a standard called "CO2 equivalent' (CO2e) based on their relative GWPs. Additionally, the analysis of GHG emissions includes both direct and indirect GHG emissions. Direct GHG emissions are those that are emitted directly from the engines used in the earth moving and material transport involved in the remedial alternatives. Indirect GHG emissions are those associated with the production of the fuel burned in the engines. These emissions are typically called "Well -to -Pump" (WTP), which refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to - Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. C1.3 Energy Consumption In addition to air emissions, the energy consumed as part of the remedial activities was assessed. Although there may be some small amounts of electricity used by the monitoring equipment, this analysis was confined to the energy in the fuels consumed by the earth moving and material transport equipment involved. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-3 September 30, 2016 0 C2 EMISSION ESTIMATION Air pollutant emissions resulting from the three remedial alternatives were evaluated. As described above, the pollutants analyzed were restricted to nitrogen oxides (NOx), particulate matter (PM 10/PM2.5), and greenhouse gases (GHG). These were selected as being the pollutants for which the impact to the environment would be significant, based on experience gained from analysis of similar projects. Appropriate emission factors were taken from a variety of regulator - approved sources, such as Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors from South Coast Air Quality Management District and Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources from USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership. The indirect GHG emissions were developed from the fuel usages that were determined as part of the energy analysis. Each emission factor source is referenced in notes below the emissions tables provided at the end of this Appendix report. C2.1 Monitoring Only For the first remedial alternative, which consists of leaving the ash in place and periodically monitoring the groundwater (i.e., Monitored Natural Attenuation (MNA)), it was assumed that the air emissions would be negligible. Further, even if the minimal emissions associated with monitoring were evaluated, these emissions would be duplicated for the other two alternatives, as the monitoring would be required for all three alternatives. Therefore, the first alternative represents the baseline for evaluating the emissions from the other two alternatives. C2.2 Cap in Place (CIP) For the second alternative, Cap -in -Place with MNA (CIP), the emissions from the necessary on- site activities plus the emissions from the trucks transporting the cap material to the site were evaluated. The on-site activities consist of earth moving and compacting equipment, on-site trucks, a diesel generator, and the personal vehicles used by workers to commute to and from the site. For the truck emissions associated with the transportation of cap material, it was assumed that the material would be brought from a site 25 miles from the ash ponds. A liner would also be required for this project, and it is assumed that the liner would be transported from a facility 100 miles away. This evaluation focuses primarily on the direct emissions from the engines associated with the on-site activities and truck transport. Indirect GHG emissions were also analyzed and added to the direct GHG emissions to provide a more complete carbon footprint. Estimates for fugitive dust from unpaved roads and material handling are not included although it is expected that some of the dust would be PM10 or, to a significantly lesser extent, PM2.5. The duration of the project was determined based on the amount of material needed to cap the ash ponds. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-4 September 30, 2016 0 C2.3 Removal The third alternative, comprehensive removal (Removal), included emissions from on-site activities at both the ash pond location and the landfill site. The emissions from truck transport between the sites were also evaluated. It was assumed for estimating purposes that the landfill would be located 25 miles from the ash ponds. It was also assumed that the liner would be brought from a facility located 100 miles from the landfill, and the cap material would be taken from an adjacent land parcel approximately 1 mile from the landfill. The on-site activities at the ash pond includes equipment similar to what is needed for the CIP alternative. At the landfill, the analysis includes the activities required to construct the landfill, the operation of the landfill while ash is being received, and the closure of the landfill. The durations were determined based on the amount of material that would be transported during each phase. The analysis includes the direct emissions from the various activities and truck transport plus the indirect GHG emissions, but does not include fugitive dust emissions. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-5 September 30, 2016 0 C3 ENERGY ANALYSIS Energy consumption for the three remedial alternatives was evaluated. As described previously, the energy analysis was restricted to the energy contained in the fuels combusted in various engines. The fuel usage was determined using the data developed as part of the emissions analysis. Additionally, typical fuel efficiency factors were taken from the USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics as noted in the appended calculations. Each emission factor source is referenced in notes below the emissions tables provided with this Appendix. C3.1 Monitoring Only For the NINA alternative, which consists of leaving the ash in place and periodically monitoring the groundwater, it was assumed that the energy consumption would be negligible. C3.2 Cap in Place (CIP) For the CIP alternative, the energy consumption from the on-site activities plus the energy consumed by trucks transporting the cap material to the site were evaluated. The on-site activities consist of earth moving and compacting equipment, on-site trucks, a diesel generator, and the personal vehicles used by workers to commute to and from the site. The duration of the project was determined based on the amount of material needed to cap the ash ponds. C3.3 Removal The Removal alternative included energy consumption from on-site activities at both the ash pond location and the landfill site. The energy consumed by truck transport between the sites were also evaluated. For the truck energy usage, the same assumptions were made regarding the transportation of ash, closure material, and liner as used in the Removal estimates. The on-site activities at the ash pond includes equipment similar to what is needed for the CIP alternative. At the landfill, the analysis includes the activities required to construct the landfill, the operation of the landfill while ash is being received, and the closure of the landfill. The durations were determined based on the amount of material that would be transported during each phase. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-6 September 30, 2016 0 C4 RESULTS The emission estimates for each alternative are shown in the attached table, along with any assumptions and the sources of the emission factors. The results are also presented in the following table. The PM10 and PM2.5 are combined as a single entry because the emission factor data does not distinguish between them. It can be assumed that the majority of the PM emissions are actually PM2.5, as they are they are the products of diesel fuel combustion, which primarily consists of very fine particulates. The GHG emissions are shown on an annual emissions basis (ton/yr) and cumulatively over the duration of the project, as their effects are cumulative unlike the criteria pollutants for which the impact is much shorter in duration. C4.1 Estimated Emissions The air emissions from each of the sites and for both the CIP and Removal alternatives are summarized in the table below: As shown in the table, the NO. emissions from the CIP alternative are about 29 tons/yr for each site, which is below the significance level of 40 tons/yr established in the federal Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) regulations. The emissions from the Removal alternative are much more significant and are typically about 143 tons/yr for each site, well above the PSD Threshold. Under the PSD rules, a project with emissions at this level would require an extensive Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-7 September 30, 2016 PM10/PM2.5 Cumulative CO2e NO. Emissions CO2e Emissions Alternative Emissions Emissions (tons/yr) (tons/yr) (tons/yr) (tons) 3 Cap in Place 29.10 1.01 7,347 33,795 Removal 142.99 6.12 30,935 296,678 Cap in Place 29.26 1.01 7,396 68,784 Removal 143.01 6.12 30,942 656,544 o Cap in Place 29.14 1.01 7,358 60,336 0 k 0 P4 Removal 143.00 6.12 30,939 795,005 ,o PSD Significant 40 15/10 NA NA Threshold GHG Reporting H Threshold NA NA 25,000 NA As shown in the table, the NO. emissions from the CIP alternative are about 29 tons/yr for each site, which is below the significance level of 40 tons/yr established in the federal Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) regulations. The emissions from the Removal alternative are much more significant and are typically about 143 tons/yr for each site, well above the PSD Threshold. Under the PSD rules, a project with emissions at this level would require an extensive Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-7 September 30, 2016 0 permitting process, including air dispersion modeling to demonstrate that the emissions would not cause an exceedance of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards. The PMIO/PM2.5 emissions for the CIP alternative are less than the NOX emissions, but the PSD significance thresholds are also much lower for this pollutant. As shown, the PMIO/PM2.5 emissions for each site from the CIP alternative are estimated to be about 1 ton/yr and from the Removal alternative are about 6 ton/yr. It is important to remember that these values only include particulate matter from fuel combustion. If the fugitive dust emissions from material handling and unpaved roads were added, recognizing that some of this particulate matter would be larger than 10 microns, the total PMIO/PM2.5 emissions would be much higher. Finally, the estimated GHG emissions from the Removal alternative is also fairly significant. Although there are few regulations limiting GHG emissions at this time, USEPA has begun requiring sources that emit 25,000 tons or more of CO2e annually to report those emissions to USEPA. This effort is being pursued by USEPA in order to develop a database of major emitters and in anticipation of future regulations. The annual GHG emissions for the CIP alternative (7,400 ton/yr for each site) are below this threshold, but the annual GHG emissions for the Removal alternative (31,000 ton/yr for each site) exceed this threshold. Based on the estimated air emissions and their comparisons with regulatory thresholds, it is apparent that the air quality impact from the CIP alternative would be considerably higher than NINA. The air emissions from Removal and transporting it to a landfill would be even more substantial. C4.2 Estimated Energy Consumption The energy consumption annually and cumulatively across the duration of the projects for both the CIP and Removal alternatives are summarized in the tables below: Annual Energy Consumed Alternative Energy Consumed (MMBtu/yr) Belews Creek Marshall Roxboro Total CIP 81,812 82,190 81,899 245,901 Removal 441,500 441,557 441,536 1,324,594 Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-8 September 30, 2016 0 Cumulative Energy Consumed Alternative Total Energy Consumed (MMBtu) Belews Creek Marshall Roxboro Total CIP 388,509 79208 709,604 1,890,801 Removal 3,588,214 7,965,004 9,977,837 21,531,054 Energy Consumption Comparison Alternative Equivalent Personal Vehicles (vehicles*) Belews Creek Marshall Roxboro Total** CIP 1,800 1,800 1,800 5,400 Removal 9,700 9,700 9,700 29,000 *Personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the project **Note that the projects have varying durations, and the Total only applies when all projects are occurring simultaneously As shown, the CIP alternative would consume approximately 82,000 MMBtu/yr for each individual site and about 246,000 MMBtu/yr collectively. For comparison, a personal vehicle travelling 10 miles to work and back five days a week would consume about 45.6 MMBtu/yr in gasoline. Therefore, the energy consumption for the CIP alternative for all three sites is equivalent to about 5,400 personal vehicles commuting five days a week. The Removal alternative would consume even more. As shown in the table above, Removal at each site would consume about 442,000 MMBtu/yr, which corresponds to about 1,325,000 MMBtu/yr, collectively. This is equivalent to about 29,000 vehicles commuting 5 days a week. Additionally, the table above also presents the energy consumed for the entire duration of each project. As shown, the Removal alternative would consume about 21.5 million MMBtu's cumulatively; whereas the CIP alternative would consume only about 1.9 million MMBtu's. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-9 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Air Emissions and Energy Usage Summary Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-10 M6 REMOVAL CIP Site NOx PM10/PM2.5 Total GHG Cumulative Total Cumulative Energy NOx PMlo/PM2,5 Total GHG Cumulative Total Cumulative Energy Emissions Emissions Emissions GHG Emissions Energy Usage Usage Emissions Emissions Emissions GHG Emissions Energy Usage Usage (tons/yr) (tons/yr) (tons CO2e/yr) (tons CO2e) (MMBtu/yr) (MMBtu) (tons/yr) (tons/yr) (tons CO2e/yr) (tons CO2e) (MMBtu/yr) (MMBtu) Belews 142.99 6.12 30,935 296,678 441,500 3,588,214 29.10 1.01 7,347 33,795 81,812 388,509 Marshall 143.01 6.12 30,942 656,544 441,557 7,965,004 29.26 1.01 7,396 68,784 82,190 792,688 Roxboro 143.00 6.12 30,939 795,005 441,536 9,977,837 29.14 1.01 7,358 60,336 81,899 709,604 Total 429.01 18.37 92,816 1,748,228 1,324,594 21,531,054 87.51 3.04 22,101 162,915 245,901 1,890,801 Thresholds PSD Significant 40 15/10 NA NA NA NA 40 15/10 NA NA NA NA Threshold GHG Reporting NA NA 25,000 NA NA NA NA NA 25,000 NA NA NA Threshold Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-10 M6 Table 2. Belews Creek Air Emissions Calculations MNA Monitor Only Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 4.6 years 123323 truck trips carrying cap material 179 truck trips carrying liner material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-11 (216 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2 5 Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM,dPMZ.s Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 3570.77 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 498.82 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 lb/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 498.82 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 lb/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1940.58 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 500.61 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 lb/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 895.90 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1940.58 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 581.87 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5,6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 253.46 Truck Transport - Cap Matedal''$'9'10 26809 truck trips/yr 459.55g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.255 g/truck trip 13.58 0.32 4078.40 18760.65 Truck Transport - Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 39 truck trips/yr I 1838.20 g/truck trip 43.00 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.02 g/truck trip 0.08 0.00 23.68 108.92 29.10 1.01 6,424.12 29,550.97 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-11 (216 Table 2. Belews Creek Air Emissions Calculations Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 2.4 years 137 truck trips carrying liner material (construction & closure) Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 22.4 years 604500 truck trips carrying ash Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 1.4 years 22107 truck trips carrying closure material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-12 (1216 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH, Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PmjO/PMZ.S Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG EXCAVATION 2 Tracked Excavators' 6480 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 lb/hr 120lb/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 2.14 0.11 389.52 8725.27 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239lb/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 17388.12 Wheeled Loader' 3240 hr/yr 0.7114 lb/hr 0.0375 lb/hr 109lb/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.15 0.06 176.94 3963.47 2 Dump Trucks' 6480 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.19 0.01 24.69 553.03 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 lb/hr 260lb/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 9449.76 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 2429.03 2 6-8" Pumps' 6480 hr/yr 0.3830 lb/hr 0.0239 lb/hr 49.6 lb/hr 0.0051 lb/hr 1.24 0.08 161.12 3609.02 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 2833.46 15 Personal Vehicles2'3,4,5 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 1234.25 MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash 7,8,9,10 26987 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.2550 g/truck trip 13.67 0.32 4105.37 91960.23 Truck Transport - Closure Materia 17,8,9,10 15791 truck trips/yr 18.38 g/truck trip 0.43 g/truck trip 5520 g/truck trip 0.0102 g/truck trip 0.32 0.01 96.09 134.52 Truck Transport - Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 36 truck trips/yr 1838.20 g/truck trip 43 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.0200 g/truck trip 0.07 0.00 21.94 83.37 LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION 8 Tracked Excavators' 28800 hr/yr 0.6603lb/hr 0.0332lb/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 9.51 0.48 1731.20 6578.58 8 Dozers' 28800 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 30.08 1.24 3450.02 13110.09 4 Vibratory Compactors' 14400 hr/yr 0.568 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 123 Ib/hr 0.0065 Ib/hr 4.09 0.17 886.77 3369.73 4 Wheeled Loaders' 14400 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 5.12 0.27 786.40 2988.33 8 Dump Trucks' 28800 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.85 0.03 109.73 416.97 4 Water Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 lb/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 7124.82 4 Wheeled Backhoes' 14400 hr/yr 0.4070lb/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 lb/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 2.93 0.19 481.95 1831.41 8 6-8" Pumps' 28800 hr/yr 0.3830 lb/hr 0.0239 lb/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 lb/hr 5.52 0.34 716.08 2721.09 4 Maint/Service Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 7124.82 4 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 14400 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 lb/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 4.39 0.31 562.19 2136.34 100 Personal Vehicles2,3'4'5 900000 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.94 0.00 408 1550.98 LANDFILL FILLING 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 17388.12 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258lb/hr 66.8lb/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 2429.03 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 2429.03 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 lb/hr 260lb/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 2.161 0.071 421.86 9449.76 Vibratory Roller' 1 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 lb/hr 0.0353lb/hr 67lb/hr 0.00711b/hr 1 0.851 0.061 3.08.831 2437.74 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-12 (1216 Table 2. Belews Creek Air Emissions Calculations Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita. dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/html/ta ble_04_23. htm I. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42ofO8o24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Villa (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-13 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2,5 Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM10/PM2.5 Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 4362.63 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 9449.76 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 lb/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 2833.46 15 Personal Vehicles2'3,4,5,6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 1234.25 LANDFILL CLOSURE 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 1086.76 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 151.81 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 151.81 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260lb/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 590.61 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.061 108.83 152.36 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603lb/hr 0.0332lb/hr 120lb/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 272.66 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 590.61 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 lb/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 177.09 15 Personal Vehicles2'3,4,5,6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 77.14 142.99 6.12 23,990.30 246,581.30 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita. dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/html/ta ble_04_23. htm I. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42ofO8o24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Villa (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-13 September 30, 2016 Table 3. Belews Creek Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions MNA Monitor Only Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 4.6 years 123323 truck trips carrying cap material 179 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissions5 Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Dozers° 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 1417 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 213 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 213 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 708 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 170 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator.4 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 283 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 708 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 84 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 47 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Cap Materia 12 N/A 26809 truck trips/yr 1340468 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 399 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7765 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 2 tons CO2e 923 tons CO2e/yr 4,244 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-14 September 30, 2016 Table 3. Belews Creek Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 2.4 years 137 truck trips Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 22.4 years 604500 truck trips Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 1.4 years 22107 truck trips carrying liner material carrying ash carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units EXCAVATION Tracked Excavators4 2 6480 hr/yr 7328.0 MMBtu/yr 60825.0 GGE/yr 123 tons CO2e/yr 2759 tons CO2e Dozers4 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 6899 tons CO2e Wheeled Loader 1 3240 hr/yr 3206.0 MMBtu/yr 26611.0 GGE/yr 54 tons CO2e/yr 1207 tons CO2e Dump Trucks4 2 6480 hr/yr 916.0 MMBtu/yr 7603.1 GGE/yr 15 tons CO2e/yr 345 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 3449 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 1035 tons CO2e 6-8" Pumps4 2 6480 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 1380 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 407 tons CO2e Personal Vehiclesl 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 230 tons CO2e MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash N/A 26987 truck trips/yr 1349330 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 1956 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Closure Materia 12 N/A 15791 truck trips/yr 31581 miles/yr 2 tons CO2e/yr 3 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7199 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 2 tons CO2e LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Tracked Excavators4 8 28800 hr/yr 32568.7 MMBtu/yr 270333.5 GGE/yr 548tons CO2e/yr 1314 tons CO2e Dozers4 8 28800 hr/yr 81421.8 MMBtu/yr 1 675833.9 GGE/yr 1369 tons CO2e/yr 3285 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-15 M6 Vibratory Compactors4 Wheeled Loaders° Dump Trucks4 Water Trucks4 Wheeled Backhoes4 6-8" Pumps4 Maint/Service Trucks4 55 KVA Diesel Generators Personal Vehicles' LANDFILL FILLING Dozers4 Tractor Wheeled Backhoe4 Water Truck Vibratory Roller Tracked Excavator Maint/Service Truck 55 KVA Diesel Generator' Personal Vehicles' LANDFILL CLOSURE Dozers4 Wheeled Backhoe" Water Truck Vibratory Roller Tracked Excavator Maint/Service Truck Table 3. Belews Creek Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Number of Units Total Usage Value Units 4 14400 hr/yr 4 14400 hr/yr 8 28800 hr/yr 4 14400 hr/yr 4 14400 hr/yr 8 28800 hr/yr 4 14400 hr/yr 4 14400 hr/yr 100 900000 miles/yr 2 6480 hr/yr 1 3240 hr/yr 1 3240 hr/yr 1 3240 hr/yr 1 3240 hr/yr 1 3240 hr/yr 1 3240 hr/yr 1 3240 hr/yr 15 121500 miles Annual Total Energy Usage Value F Units 9770.6 MMBtu/yr 14248.8 MMBtu/yr 4071.1 MMBtu/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 12213.3 MMBtu/yr 16284.4 MMBtu/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 4803.9 MMBtu/vr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr Total Project GGE Value Units 81100.1 GGE/yr 118270.9 GGE/yr 33791.7 GGE/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 101375.1 GGE/yr 135166.8 GGE/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 39874.2 GGE/vr 152062.6 GGE/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value I Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value I Units 164 tons CO2e/yr 394 tons CO2e 240 tons CO2e/yr 575 tons CO2e 68 tons CO2e/yr 164 tons CO2e 684 tons CO2e/yr 1643 tons CO2e 205 tons CO2e/yr 493 tons CO2e 274 tons CO2e/yr 657 tons CO2e 684 tons CO2e/yr 1643 tons CO2e 81 tons CO2e/yr 194 tons CO2e 76 tons CO2e/yr 183 tons CO2e 308 tons CO2e/yr 6899 tons CO2e 46 tons CO2e/yr 1035 tons CO2e 46 tons CO2e/yr 1035 tons CO2e 154 tons CO2e/yr 3449 tons CO2e 37 tons CO2e/yr 828 tons CO2e 62 tons CO2e/yr 1380 tons CO2e 154 tons CO2e/yr 3449 tons CO2e 18 tons CO2e/yr 407 tons CO2e 10 tons CO2e/vr 230 tons CO2e 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 431 tons CO2e 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 65 tons CO2e 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 65 tons CO2e 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 216 tons CO2e 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 1 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 52 tons CO2e 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 86 tons CO2e 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 216 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-16 September 30, 2016 Table 3. Belews Creek Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Activity Number of Units Total Usage Annual Total Energy Usage Total Project GGE WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 25 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 14 tons CO2e 6,944 Itons CO2e/yr 50,097 Itons CO2e Notes: 1. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 2. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Removal alternative is taken from the adjacent borrow area parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the cap is taken to be 50 miles. 3. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 4. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 5. GHG emission factors from Results created by ANL on 11/12/2015 using GREETI_2015 version, October 2015 release, Argonne National Laboratory, 2015. Emission Factors Well -To -Pump (WTP )16 Diesel 59 g CO2e/mi 1837 g CO2e/gge Gasoline (E10) 77 g CO2e/mi 6. Annual Total Energy Usage values taken from Energy Usage calculations. 7. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Abbreviations: GHG = Greenhouse Gas. WTP = "Well -to -Pump" (also called Well -to -Tank, or WTT), refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to -Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-17 September 30, 2016 MNA Monitor Only Table 4. Belews Creek Energy Usage Calculations Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar energy usages are expected for each and the energy usage is not included in this estimate. It is expected that the energy usage contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other source of energy usage. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 4.6 years 123323 truck trips carrying cap material 179 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly per Unit Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 84272 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 12641 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 12641 MMBtu Water Truck s'7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 42136 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'7 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 10113 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 16854 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'? 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 42136 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1 1081 MMBtu/yr 4972 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 15322 MMBtu Truck Transport - Cap Materia 14,6,8 N/A 26809 truck trips/yr 1340468 miles/yr 231115 gal/yr 31864 MMBtu/yr 146575 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7765 miles/yr 1339 gal/yr 185 MMBtu/yr 849 MMBtu 81,812 MMBtu/yr 1 388,509 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-18 September 30, 2016 Table 4. Belews Creek Energy Usage Calculations Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 2.4 years Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 22.4 years Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 1.4 years 137 truck trips carrying liner material 604500 truck trips carrying ash 22107 truck trips carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly per Unit Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units EXCAVATION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 7328 MMBtu/yr 164146 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 410366 MMBtu Wheeled Loaded'7 1 3240 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 3206 MMBtu/yr 71814 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 916 MMBtu/yr 20518 MMBtu Water Truck 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 205183 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe"" 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 61555 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 2 6480 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 82073 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 24212 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2,3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 15321.8 MMBtu MATERIAL TRANSPORT Fuel Usage Truck Transport - Ash 4,6,8 N/A 26987 truck trips/yr 1349330 miles/yr 232643 gal/yr 32075 MMBtu/yr 718474 MMBtu Truck Transport - Closure Materia 14,6,8 N/A 15791 truck trips/yr 31581 miles/yr 5445 gal/yr 751 MMBtu/yr 1051 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7199 miles/yr 1241 gal/yr 171 MMBtu/yr 650 MMBtu LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 32569 MMBtu/yr 78165 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 81422 MMBtu/yr 195412 MMBtu Vibratory Compactors l'' 4 14400 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 9771 MMBtu/yr 23449 MMBtu Wheeled Loaders 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 14249 MMBtu/yr 34197 MMBtu Dump Trucks1'7 8 28800 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 4071 MMBtu/yr 9771 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-19 September 30, 2016 Table 4. Belews Creek Energy Usage Calculations Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Water Trucks l'' 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HPeach 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 97706 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoesl"7 4 14400 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 12213 MMBtu/yr 29312 MMBtu 6-8" Pumps''' 8 28800 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 16284 MMBtu/yr 39082 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks''' 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 97706 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators''' 4 14400 hr/yr 591 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 4804 MMBtu/yr 11529 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3's 100 900000 miles/yr 42056 gal/yr 5067 MMBtu/yr 12160.2 MMBtu LANDFILL FILLING Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 410366 MMBtu Tractor''' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 61555 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe''? 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 61555 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 205183 MMBtu Vibratory Roller 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 49244 MMBtu Tracked Excavator''' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 82073 MMBtu Maint/Service Truck''' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 205183 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generator''' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 24212 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicle S2,3,11 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 15321.8 MMBtu LANDFILL CLOSURE Estimated Engine Size Dozers"" 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 25648 MMBtu Tractor''' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 3847 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe''' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 3847 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 12824 MMBtu Vibratory Rolle r1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 3078 MMBtu Tracked Excavator 1'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 5130 MMBtu Maint/Service Truck''' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 12824 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generator''' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 1513 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3's 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 957.6 MMBtu 441,500 MMBtu/yr 3,588,214 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-20 September 30, 2016 Table 4. Belews Creek Energy Usage Calculations Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality- analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission-factors. 2. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 3. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 U.S. light-duty vehicles ( 21.4 mi/gal) from http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/files/publications/national_transportation_statistics/html/table_ 04_23.html. 4. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is 50 miles. 5. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 6. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Transportation Energy Data Book, Edition 34, September 2015. Class 7-8 average fuel economy (2013) is 5.8 mi/gal from http://cta.ornl.gov/data/tedb34/Edition34_Chapter05.pdf. 7. USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Just the Basics Diesel Engine, 2003. Used estimated diesel engine efficiency of 45% from http://wwwl.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/pdfs/basics/jtb_diesel_engine.pdf. 8. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 9. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-21 6, 2016 MNA Monitor Only Table 5. Marshall Air Emissions Calculations Since similar monitoring would be required for each alternative for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 9.3 years 252271 truck trips carrying cap material 366 truck trips carrying liner material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-22 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CHQ Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM10/PM2s Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 7219.18 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1008.48 Wheeled Backhoel 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1008.48 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 3923.34 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.061 108.83 1012.10 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 1811.27 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 3923.34 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 1 0.99 0.07 126.49 1176.39 15 Personal Vehicles2'3,4,5'6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 512.44 Truck Transport - Cap Materia 17,8,1,10 27126 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.255 g/truck trip 13.74 0.32 4126.56 38377.01 Truck Transport - Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 39 truck trips/yr I 1838.20 g/truck trip I 3.00 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.02 g/truck trip 0.08 0.00 23.95 222.71 29.26 1.01 6,472.55 1 60,194.72 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-22 September 30, 2016 Table 5. Marshall Air Emissions Calculations Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 4.9 years 278 truck trips carrying liner material (construction & closure) Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 50.7 years 1369500 truck trips carrying ash Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2.8 years 45768 truck trips carrying closure material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-23 (216 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM10/PM2.s Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG EXCAVATION 2 Tracked Excavators' 6480 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 2.14 0.11 389.52 19748.71 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 39356.15 Wheeled Loader' 3240 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.15 0.06 176.94 8970.88 2 Dump Trucks' 6480 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.19 0.01 24.69 1251.72 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 21388.51 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 5497.84 2 6-8" Pumps' 6480 hr/yr 0.3830 Ib/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 Ib/hr 1.24 0.08 161.12 8168.64 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 1 0.99 0.07 126.49 6413.23 15 Personal Vehicles2'3'4,5 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 2793.60 MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash 7,8,9,10 27012 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.2550 g/truck trip 13.68 0.32 4109.21 208336.71 Truck Transport - Closure Materia 17,8,9,10 16346 truck trips/yr 18.38 g/truck trip 0.43 g/truck trip 5520 g/truck trip 0.0102 g/truck trip 0.33 0.01 99.46 278.50 Truck Transport- Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 36 truck trips/yr 1838.20 g/truck trip 43 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.0200 g/truck trip 0.07 0.00 21.97 169.16 LANDFILL CONSTRUCT. 8 Tracked Excavators' 28800 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 9.51 0.48 1731.20 13330.27 8 Dozers' 28800 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 30.08 1.24 3450.02 26565.18 4 Vibratory Compactors' 14400 hr/yr 0.568 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 123 Ib/hr 0.0065 Ib/hr 4.09 0.17 886.77 6828.13 4 Wheeled Loaders' 14400 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 5.12 0.27 786.40 6055.30 8 Dump Trucks' 28800 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.85 0.03 109.73 844.91 4 Water Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 14437.13 4 Wheeled Backhoesl 14400 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 2.93 0.19 481.95 3711.02 8 6-8" Pumps' 28800 hr/yr 0.3830 Ib/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 Ib/hr 5.52 0.34 716.08 5513.79 4 Maint/Service Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 14437.13 4 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 14400 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 1 4.39 0.31 562.19 4328.89 100 Personal Vehicles2'3'4'S 900000 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.94 0.00 408 3142.77 LANDFILL FILLING 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 39356.15 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.041 108.44 5497.84 Wheeled Backhoe' 1 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.041 108.44 5497.84 Water Truck' I 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr I 0.0164 Ib/hr 1 2.16 0.071 421.86 21388.51 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-23 (216 Table 5. Marshall Air Emissions Calculations Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita. dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/pu bl icati ons/national_tra nsportation_statistics/htm I/ta ble_04_23. html. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on httPs://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land borrow area, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Vllla (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material +truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-24 6, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2 s Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PMlo/PMz.s Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 5517.56 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 9874.35 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 1 2.16 0.07 421.86 21388.51 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 6413.23 15 Personal Vehicles2'1,4,5,6 121500 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 2793.60 LANDFILL CLOSURE 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 2173.52 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 303.63 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 303.63 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1181.22 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 304.72 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 545.33 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr I 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1181.22 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.491 354.18 15 Personal Vehicles2,s,4,5,6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 154.28 143.01 6.12 23,997.55 1 545,797.50 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita. dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/pu bl icati ons/national_tra nsportation_statistics/htm I/ta ble_04_23. html. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on httPs://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land borrow area, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Vllla (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material +truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-24 6, 2016 MNA Monitor Only Table 6. Marshall Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 9.3 years 252271 truck trips carrying cap material 366 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Dozers4 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 2864 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 430 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 430 tons CO2e Water Truck 4 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 1432 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 344 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator4 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 573 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 1432 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 169 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 96 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Cap Materia 12 N/A 27126 truck trips/yr 1356295 miles/yr 88 tons CO2e/yr 816 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7866 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 5 tons CO2e 924 tons CO2e/yr 8,590 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-25 M6 Table 6. Marshall Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 4.9 years 278 truck trips Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 50.7 years 1369500 truck trips Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2.8 years 45768 truck trips carrying liner material carrying ash carrying closure material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-26 (0 6 Annual Total Total Project WTP (Indirect) Project Indirect Number Total Usage Energy Usage GGE GHG Emissions5 GHG Emissions Activity of Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units EXCAVATION Tracked Excavators4 2 6480 hr/yr 7328.0 MMBtu/yr 60825.0 GGE/yr 123 tons CO2e/yr 6246 tons CO2e Dozers4 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 15614 tons CO2e Wheeled Loader 1 3240 hr/yr 3206.0 MMBtu/yr 26611.0 GGE/yr 54 tons CO2e/yr 2733 tons CO2e Dump Trucks° 2 6480 hr/yr 916.0 MMBtu/yr 7603.1 GGE/yr 15 tons CO2e/yr 781 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 7807 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 2342 tons CO2e 6-8" Pumps4 2 6480 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 3123 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 921 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 521 tons CO2e MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash N/A 27012 truck trips/yr 1350592 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 4431 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Closure Material2 N/A 16346 truck trips/yr 32691 miles/yr 2 tons CO2e/yr 6 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7228 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 4 tons CO2e LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Tracked Excavators4 8 28800 hr/yr 32568.7 MMBtu/yr 270333.5 GGE/yr 548 tons CO2e/yr 2683 tons CO2e Dozers4 8 28800 hr/yr 81421.8 MMBtu/yr 675833.9 GGE/yr 1369 tons CO2e/yr 6707 tons CO2e Vibratory Compactors4 4 14400 hr/yr 9770.6 MMBtu/yr 81100.1 GGE/yr 164 tons CO2e/yr 805 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-26 (0 6 Wheeled Loaders" Dump Trucks4 Water Trucks4 Wheeled Backhoes4 6-8" Pumps4 Maint/Service Trucks4 55 KVA Diesel Generators4 Personal Vehicles' LANDFILL FILLING Dozers4 Tractor Wheeled Backhoe4 Water Truck Vibratory Roller Maint/Service Truck" 55 KVA Diesel Generator Personal Vehicles' Number of Units 4 8 4 4 8 4 4 100 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 15 Table 6. Marshall Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Total Usage Value Units 14400 hr/yr 28800 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 28800 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 900000 miles/vr 6480 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 121500 miles Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units 14248.8 MMBtu/yr 4071.1 MMBtu/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 12213.3 MMBtu/yr 16284.4 MMBtu/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 4803.9 MMBtu/vr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/vr Total Project GGE Value Units 118270.9 GGE/yr 33791.7 GGE/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 101375.1 GGE/yr 135166.8 GGE/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 39874.2 GGE/vr 152062.6 GGE/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 8971.7 GGE/vr WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units 240 tons CO2e/yr 68 tons CO2e/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 205 tons CO2e/yr 274 tons CO2e/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 81 tons CO2e/yr 76 tons CO2e/vr Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units 1174 tons CO2e 335 tons CO2e 3353 tons CO2e 1006 tons CO2e 1341 tons CO2e 3353 tons CO2e 396 tons CO2e 373 tons CO2e 308 tons CO2e/yr 15614 tons CO2e 46 tons CO2e/yr 2342 tons CO2e 46 tons CO2e/yr 2342 tons CO2e 154 tons CO2e/yr 7807 tons CO2e 37 tons CO2e/yr 1874 tons CO2e 62 tons CO2e/yr 3123 tons CO2e 154 tons CO2e/yr 7807 tons CO2e 18 tons CO2e/yr 921 tons CO2e 10 tons CO2e/vr 521 tons CO2e LANDFILL CLOSURE Dozers4 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 862 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 129 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 129 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 431 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller4 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 103 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator4 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 172 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 431 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 51 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-27 (Z6 Table 6. Marshall Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Activity Number of Units Total Usage Annual Total Energy Usage Total Project GGE WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 29 tons CO2e 6,945 tons CO2e/yr 110,747 tons CO2e Notes: 1. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 2. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. 3. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 4. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 5. GHG emission factors from Results created by ANL on 11/12/2015 using GREETI_2015 version, October 2015 release, Argonne National Laboratory, 2015. Emission Factors Well -To -Pump (WTP)16 Diesel 59 g CO2e/mi 1837 g CO2e/gge Gasoline (E10) 77 g CO2e/mi 6. Annual Total Energy Usage values taken from Energy Usage calculations. 7. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Abbreviations: GHG = Greenhouse Gas. WTP = "Well -to -Pump" (also called Well -to -Tank, or WTT), refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to -Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-28 6, 2016 MNA Monitor Only Table 7. Marshall Energy Usage Calculations Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar energy usages are expected for each and the energy usage is not included in this estimate. It is expected that the energy usage contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other source of energy usage. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 9.3 years 252271 truck trips carrying cap material 366 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 170375 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 25556 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 25556 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 85188 MMBtu Vibratory Rollers'7 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 20445 MMBtu Tracked Excavator l'7 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 34075 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 85188 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 10052 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 34679 MMBtu Truck Transport - Cap Materia 14,6,8 N/A 27126 truck trips/yr 1356295 miles/yr 233844 gal/yr 32240 MMBtu/yr 299835 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7866 miles/yr 1356 gal/yr 187 MMBtu/yr 1739 MMBtu 82,190 MMBtu/yr 792,688 1MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-29 M6 Table 7. Marshall Energy Usage Calculations Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 4.9 years 278 truck trips carrying liner material Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 50.7 years 1369500 truck trips carrying ash Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2.8 years 45768 truck trips carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units EXCAVATION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 7328 MMBtu/yr 371527 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 928819 MMBtu Wheeled Loaded'' 1 3240 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 3206 MMBtu/yr 162543 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 916 MMBtu/yr 46441 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 464409 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1'7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 139323 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 2 6480 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 185764 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 54800 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 34679.4 MMBtu MATERIAL TRANSPORT Fuel Usage Truck Transport - Ash 4,6,8 N/A 27012 truck trips/yr 1350592 miles/yr 232861 gal/yr 32105 MMBtu/yr 1627710 MMBtu Truck Transport - Closure Materia 14,6,8 N/A 16346 truck trips/yr 32691 miles/yr 5636 gal/yr 777 MMBtu/yr 2176 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7228 miles/yr 1246 gal/yr 172 MMBtu/yr 1323 MMBtu LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators l'' 8 28800 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 32569 MMBtu/yr 159587 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 81422 MMBtu/yr 398967 MMBtu Vibratory Compactors l'' 4 14400 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 9771 MMBtu/yr 47876 MMBtu Wheeled Loadersl'' 4 14400 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 14249 MMBtu/yr 69819 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 4071 MMBtu/yr 19948 MMBtu Water Trucks l'' 4 14400 hr/yr 5001 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 199483 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-30 M6 Table 7. Marshall Energy Usage Calculations Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Wheeled Backhoesl'7 4 14400 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 12213 MMBtu/yr 59845 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 8 28800 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 16284 MMBtu/yr 79793 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 199483 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 4804 MMBtu/yr 23539 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'$ 100 900000 miles/yr 42056 gal/yr 5067 MMBtu/yr 24827.1 MMBtu LANDFILL FILLING Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 928819 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 139323 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 139323 MMBtu Water Truck 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 464409 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'7 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 111458 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 185764 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 464409 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 54800 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 34679.4 MMBtu LANDFILL CLOSURE Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 51296 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 7694 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 7694 MMBtu Water Truck 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 25648 MMBtu Vibratory Rollers'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 6155 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 10259 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 25648 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 3026 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 1915.2 MMBtu 441,557 MMBtu/yr 7,965,004 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-31 September 30, 2016 Table 7. Marshall Energy Usage Calculations Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis- handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission-factors. 2. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 3. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 U.S. light-duty vehicles ( 21.4 mi/gal) from http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/htm I/table_04_23. htm I. 4. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. 5. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 6. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Transportation Energy Data Book, Edition 34, September 2015. Class 7-8 average fuel economy (2013) is 5.8 mi/gal from http://cta.ornl.gov/data/tedb34/Edition34_Chapter05.pdf. 7. USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Just the Basics Diesel Engine , 2003. Used estimated diesel engine efficiency of 45% from http://wwwl.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/pdfs/basics/J`tb_diesel_engine.pdf. 8. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained- Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 9. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-32 September 30, 2016 MNA Monitor Only Table 8. Roxboro Air Emissions Calculations Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 8.2 years 220436 truck trips carrying cap material 319 truck trips carrying liner material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-33 (216 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM10/PM2.5 Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 6365.29 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 lb/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 889.20 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 lb/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 889.20 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 lb/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 3459.29 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353lb/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 lb/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 892.39 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 lb/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 lb/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 1597.04 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 3459.29 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 lb/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 1037.25 15 Personal Vehicles2'3'4'5'6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 451.82 Truck Transport - Cap Materia 17,8,9,10 26882 truck trips yr 459.55 g/truck trip trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.255 g/truck trip 13.62 0.32 4089.52 33534.07 Truck Transport - Liner Material''8'9'10'11 39 Itruck trips/yr I r10.75.9/truck 1838.20 g/truck trip 43.00 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.02 g/truck trip 0.08 0.00 23.67 194.11 29.14 1.01 6,435.241 52,768.94 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-33 (216 Table 8. Roxboro Air Emissions Calculations Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 6.0 years 342 truck trips carrying liner material (construction & closure) Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 63.8 years 1723000 truck trips carrying ash Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 3.5 years 56221 truck trips carrying closure material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-34 (216 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM10/PM2.5 Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG EXCAVATION 2 Tracked Excavators' 6480 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 lb/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 lb/hr 2.14 0.11 389.52 24851.43 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 49525.09 Wheeled Loader' 3240 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 lb/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.15 0.06 176.94 11288.80 2 Dump Trucks' 6480 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024lb/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 lb/hr 0.19 0.01 24.69 1575.15 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 26914.94 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 lb/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 6918.39 2 6-8" Pumps' 6480 hr/yr 0.3830 Ib/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 lb/hr 1.24 0.08 161.12 10279.27 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 lb/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 8070.29 15 Personal Vehicles2'3'4'5 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 1 0.13 0.00 55.10 3515.42 MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash 7,8,9,10 27006 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.2550 g/truck trip 13.68 0.32 4108.36 262113.29 Truck Transport - Closure Materia 17,8,9,10 16063 truck trips/yr 18.38 g/truck trip 0.43 g/truck trip 5520 g/truck trip 0.0102 g/truck trip 0.33 0.01 97.74 342.11 Truck Transport - Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 36 truck trips/yr 1838.20 g/truck trip 43 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.0200 g/truck trip 0.07 0.00 21.91 208.11 LANDFILL CONSTRUCT. 8 Tracked Excavators' 28800 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 lb/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 9.51 0.48 1731.20 16446.44 8 Dozers' 28800 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 30.08 1.24 3450.02 32775.23 4 Vibratory Compactors' 14400 hr/yr 0.568 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 123 Ib/hr 0.0065 lb/hr 4.09 0.17 886.77 8424.32 4 Wheeled Loaders' 14400 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 lb/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 5.12 0.27 786.40 7470.82 8 Dump Trucks' 28800 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 lb/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 lb/hr 0.85 0.03 109.73 1042.42 4 Water Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459lb/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 17812.04 4 Wheeled Backhoes' 14400 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 2.93 0.19 481.95 4578.53 8 6-8" Pumps' 28800 hr/yr 0.3830 Ib/hr 0.0239 lb/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 lb/hr 5.52 0.34 716.08 6802.72 4 Maint/Service Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 17812.04 4 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 14400 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 lb/hr 4.39 0.31 562.19 5340.84 100 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5 900000 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.94 0.00 408 3877.45 LANDFILL FILLING 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 49525.09 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 lb/hr 0.661 0.041 108.44 6918.39 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 lb/hr 0.661 0.041 108.44 6918.39 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 lb/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 1 2.161 0.071 421.86 26914.94 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353lb/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.00711b/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 6943.20 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-34 (216 Table 8. Roxboro Air Emissions Calculations Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobileem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/files/publications/national_tra nsportation_statistics/htmi/table 04_23.html. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. S. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Villa (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material +truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-35 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PMlo/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH, Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM10/PM2.5 Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 12425.72 Maint/Service Trucks 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 26914.94 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 8070.29 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4'5'6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 3515.42 LANDFILL CLOSURE 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 lb/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 2716.89 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 379.54 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 lb/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 lb/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 379.54 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 lb/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1476.52 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353lb/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 lb/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 380.90 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 681.66 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1476.52 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 lb/hr 0.99 0.071 126.49 442.73 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5'6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.101 192.85 143.00 6.12 23,994.921 684,258.66 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobileem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/files/publications/national_tra nsportation_statistics/htmi/table 04_23.html. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. S. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Villa (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material +truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-35 September 30, 2016 MNA Monitor Only Table 9. Roxboro Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 8.2 years 220436 truck trips carrying cap material 319 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Dozers4 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 2525 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 379 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 379 tons CO2e Water Truck 4 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 1263 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 303 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator4 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 505 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 1263 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 149 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 84 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Cap Materia 12 N/A 26882 truck trips/yr 1344122 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 713 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7792 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 4 tons CO2e 923 tons CO2e/yr 7,567 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-36 September 30, 2016 Removal Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = Table 9. Roxboro Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Excavation and Landfill 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 6 years 342 truck trips carrying liner material 63.8 years 1723000 truck trips carrying ash 3.5 years 56221 truck trips carrying closure material LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Tracked Excavators 8 28800 hr/yr 32568.7 MMBtu/yr 270333.5 GGE/yr 548 tons CO2e/yr 3285 tons CO2e Dozers4 8 28800 hr/yr 81421.8 MMBtu/yr 675833.9 GGE/yr 1369 tons CO2e/yr 8213 tons CO2e Vibratory Compactors4 4 14400 hr/yr 9770.6 MMBtu/yr 81100.1 GGE/yr 164 tons CO2e/yr 986 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-37 September 30, 2016 Annual Total Total Project WTP (Indirect) Project Indirect Number Total Usage Energy Usage GGE GHG Emissionss GHG Emissions Activity of Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units EXCAVATION Tracked Excavators 2 6480 hr/yr 7328.0 MMBtu/yr 60825.0 GGE/yr 123 tons CO2e/yr 7860 tons CO2e Dozers4 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 19649 tons CO2e Wheeled Loader 1 3240 hr/yr 3206.0 MMBtu/yr 26611.0 GGE/yr 54 tons CO2e/yr 3439 tons CO2e Dump Trucks4 2 6480 hr/yr 916.0 MMBtu/yr 7603.1 GGE/yr 15 tons CO2e/yr 982 tons CO2e Water Truck 4 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 9824 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 2947 tons CO2e 6-8" Pumps4 2 6480 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 3930 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator4 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 1159 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 656 tons CO2e MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash N/A 27006 truck trips/yr 1350313 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 5575 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Closure Materia 12 N/A 16063 truck trips/yr 32126 miles/yr 2 tons CO2e/yr 7 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7194 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 4 tons CO2e LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Tracked Excavators 8 28800 hr/yr 32568.7 MMBtu/yr 270333.5 GGE/yr 548 tons CO2e/yr 3285 tons CO2e Dozers4 8 28800 hr/yr 81421.8 MMBtu/yr 675833.9 GGE/yr 1369 tons CO2e/yr 8213 tons CO2e Vibratory Compactors4 4 14400 hr/yr 9770.6 MMBtu/yr 81100.1 GGE/yr 164 tons CO2e/yr 986 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-37 September 30, 2016 Wheeled Loaders" Dump Trucks4 Water Trucks4 Wheeled Backhoes4 6-8" Pumps4 Maint/Service Trucks4 55 KVA Diesel Generators4 Personal Vehicles' LANDFILL FILLING Dozers4 Tractor Wheeled Backhoe4 Water Truck Vibratory Roller Maint/Service Truck" 55 KVA Diesel Generator Personal Vehicles' Number of Units 4 8 4 4 8 4 4 100 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 15 Table 9. Roxboro Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Total Usage Value Units 14400 hr/yr 28800 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 28800 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 14400 hr/yr 900000 miles/vr 6480 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 3240 hr/yr 121500 miles Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units 14248.8 MMBtu/yr 4071.1 MMBtu/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 12213.3 MMBtu/yr 16284.4 MMBtu/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 4803.9 MMBtu/vr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/vr Total Project GGE Value Units 118270.9 GGE/yr 33791.7 GGE/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 101375.1 GGE/yr 135166.8 GGE/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 39874.2 GGE/vr 152062.6 GGE/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 8971.7 GGE/vr WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units 240 tons CO2e/yr 68 tons CO2e/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 205 tons CO2e/yr 274 tons CO2e/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 81 tons CO2e/yr 76 tons CO2e/vr Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units 1437 tons CO2e 411 tons CO2e 4106 tons CO2e 1232 tons CO2e 1643 tons CO2e 4106 tons CO2e 485 tons CO2e 457 tons CO2e 308 tons CO2e/yr 19649 tons CO2e 46 tons CO2e/yr 2947 tons CO2e 46 tons CO2e/yr 2947 tons CO2e 154 tons CO2e/yr 9824 tons CO2e 37 tons CO2e/yr 2358 tons CO2e 62 tons CO2e/yr 3930 tons CO2e 154 tons CO2e/yr 9824 tons CO2e 18 tons CO2e/yr 1159 tons CO2e 10 tons CO2e/vr 656 tons CO2e LANDFILL CLOSURE Dozers4 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 1078 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 162 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe4 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 162 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 539 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller4 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 129 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator4 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 216 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 539 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 64 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-38 September 30, 2016 Table 9. Roxboro Indirect Greenhouse Gas Emissions Activity Number of Units Total Usage Annual Total Energy Usage Total Project GGE WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Personal Vehicles' 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 36 tons CO2e 6,945 tons CO2e/yr 138,611 tons CO2e Notes: 1. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 2. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. 3. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 4. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 5. GHG emission factors from Results created by ANL on 11/12/2015 using GREETI_2015 version, October 2015 release, Argonne National Laboratory, 2015. Emission Factors Well -To -Pump (WTP)16 Diesel 59 g CO2e/mi 1837 g CO2e/gge Gasoline (E10) 77 g CO2e/mi 6. Annual Total Energy Usage values taken from Energy Usage calculations. 7. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Abbreviations: GHG = Greenhouse Gas. WTP = "Well -to -Pump" (also called Well -to -Tank, or WTT), refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to -Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-39 September 30, 2016 MNA Monitor Only Table 10. Roxboro Energy Usage Calculations Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar energy usages are expected for each and the energy usage is not included in this estimate. It is expected that the energy usage contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other source of energy usage. CIP Cap in Place (CIP) CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 8.2 years 220436 truck trips carrying cap material 319 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly per Unit Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 150223 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 22533 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 22533 MMBtu Water Truck 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 75112 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 18027 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 30045 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 75112 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 8863 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 43640 MMBtu Truck Transport - Cap Materia 14,6,8 N/A 26882 truck trips/yr 1344122 miles/yr 231745 gal/yr 31951 MMBtu/yr 261998 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7792 miles/yr 1344 gal/yr 185 MMBtu/yr 1519 MMBtu 81,899 MMBtu/yr 709,604 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-40 September 30, 2016 Table 10. Roxboro Energy Usage Calculations Removal Excavation and Landfill Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 6 years 342 truck trips carrying liner material Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 63.8 years 1723000 truck trips carrying ash Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 3.5 years 56221 truck trips carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units EXCAVATION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavatorsl'7 2 6480 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 7328 MMBtu/yr 467524 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 1168809 MMBtu Wheeled Loaded'' 1 3240 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 3206 MMBtu/yr 204542 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 916 MMBtu/yr 58440 MMBtu Water Truck 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 584405 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1'7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 175321 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 2 6480 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 233762 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 68960 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 43639.9 MMBtu MATERIAL TRANSPORT Fuel Usage Truck Transport - Ash 4,6,8 N/A 27006 truck trips/yr 1350313 miles/yr 232813 gal/yr 32098 MMBtu/yr 2047860 MMBtu Truck Transport - Closure Materia 14,6,8 N/A 16063 truck trips/yr 32126 miles/yr 5539 gal/yr 764 MMBtu/yr 2673 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7194 miles/yr 1240 gal/yr 171 MMBtu/yr 1625 MMBtu LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators l'' 8 28800 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 32569 MMBtu/yr 195412 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 81422 MMBtu/yr 488531 MMBtu Vibratory Compactors l'' 4 14400 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 9771 MMBtu/yr 58624 MMBtu Wheeled Loadersl'' 4 14400 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 14249 MMBtu/yr 85493 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 4071 MMBtu/yr 24427 MMBtu Water Trucks l'' 4 14400 hr/yr 5001 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 244265 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-41 September 30, 2016 Table 10. Roxboro Energy Usage Calculations Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Wheeled Backhoesl'7 4 14400 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 12213 MMBtu/yr 73280 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 8 28800 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 16284 MMBtu/yr 97706 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 244265 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 4804 MMBtu/yr 28823 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'$ 100 900000 miles/yr 42056 gal/yr 5067 MMBtu/yr 30400.5 MMBtu LANDFILL FILLING Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 1168809 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 175321 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 175321 MMBtu Water Truck 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 584405 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'7 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 140257 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 233762 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 584405 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 68960 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 43639.9 MMBtu LANDFILL CLOSURE Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 64120 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 9618 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 9618 MMBtu Water Truck 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 32060 MMBtu Vibratory Rollers'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 7694 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 12824 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 32060 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 3783 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal Vehicles2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 2394.0 MMBtu 441,536 MMBtu/yr 9,977,837 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-42 September 30, 2016 Table 10. Roxboro Energy Usage Calculations Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis- handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission-factors. 2. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 3. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 U.S. light-duty vehicles ( 21.4 mi/gal) from http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/htm I/table_04_23. htm I. 4. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the Removal alternative is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for the CIP alternative is taken to be 50 miles. 5. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 6. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Transportation Energy Data Book, Edition 34, September 2015. Class 7-8 average fuel economy (2013) is 5.8 mi/gal from http://cta.ornl.gov/data/tedb34/Edition34_Chapter05.pdf. 7. USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Just the Basics Diesel Engine , 2003. Used estimated diesel engine efficiency of 45% from http://wwwl.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/pdfs/basics/jtb_diesel_engine.pdf. 8. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 9. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-43 September 30, 2016 EPS APPENDIX D Human Health Risk Analysis Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-1 September 30, 2016 0 DI INTRODUCTION Potential impacts to humans in contact with chemicals in environmental media were estimated for 30 years after implementation of the three remedial alternatives (Monitored Natural Attenuation (MNA), Cap -in -Place with MNA (CIP), and Removal with MNA Removal). A current condition (i.e., year 2015-2016) risk assessment was conducted for each site. These risk assessments formed the basis of estimating the risks' in the future for the three different remedial alternatives. It is important to note that the purpose of this analysis is to compare the three different remedial alternatives for each site. The purpose is not to accurately determine the actual expected risk for each alternative. The current condition risk assessments evaluated the following environmental media: (Area of Wetness (AOW)/seep soil, AOW/seep water, groundwater, sediment, surface water and fish tissue. The receptors evaluated included a commercial/industrial worker, construction worker, trespasser, boater, swimmer, wader, recreational fisher and subsistence fisher. One exposure alternative and one chemical were excluded from this risk evaluation for the Net Environmental Benefit Analysis (NEBA). Fish consumption was excluded because the risk assessment for this alternative presented in the Corrective Action Plan (CAP) documents was not based on fish tissue data and the assessment as presented was overly -conservative and not representative of the true risk. Lead was excluded because the risks due to lead are calculated differently than for other chemicals and they are not additive with other chemicals. There were two considerations in extrapolating the current risk assessment to the future condition. The first was to forward project into the future (30 years from implementation/completion of the corrective action). The second was to project the changes due to each corrective action. The information available for each site varied. Accordingly, for some environmental media different techniques were used to estimate the projected potential risks. 1 Note, in risk evaluations calculations are performed differently for carcinogenic and non -carcinogenic chemicals. The Hazard Index (HI) is the measurement used to determine the hazard of non -carcinogens. The Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk (ELCR) is the measurement used for carcinogenic chemicals. For the purpose of the text of this document the term "risk" is used to generically represent both the cancer risk and hazard. However, the associated tables do differentiate between ELCR and non -carcinogenic hazard HI. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-2 September 30, 2016 0 D2 AOW SOIL AND AOW WATER This evaluation was conducted the same for each site. It was assumed that the concentrations (and, thus, risk) for the AOWs would not change from now to 30 years in the future. For the MNA alternative it was assumed that the risk would be the same as the current risk. The CAPS indicate that most if not all AOWs would not be present under the CIP alternative. However, to be conservative it was assumed that 75% of the AOWs would be removed. Accordingly, the projected MNA risk would be 25% of the current risk. Under the Removal alternative all contaminants in soil would be removed, thus there would be no contaminants in any future AOWs. Accordingly, there is no projected Removal risk. The calculation of the projected risks for the AOW/seep Soil and Water, are shown in Table I and Table 2, respectively. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-3 September 30, 2016 0 D3 GROUNDWATER Groundwater modeling was conducted for each site projecting concentrations in groundwater into the future for the three different alternatives. However, different amounts and types of information were provided for the groundwater model output for each site. Accordingly, the projection of risks due to groundwater into the future for each alternative for each site was conducted differently. D3.1 Belews and Marshall The CAP Part 2 report for Belews and Marshall presented results of a groundwater model predicting concentrations under the NINA and Cap alternative, but did not include the excavation alternative. However, the groundwater model included in the CAP Part 1 report did include the Removal alternative. The ratio of the excavation model to the MNA model from the CAP Part 1 report was used to estimate the Removal alternative concentrations based on the MNA model results from the CAP Part 2 report. The reports contained graphs showing concentrations of each of the chemical under each alternative for specific wells at the compliance boundary for many years. The concentrations for these wells for 30 -years into the future (after the action is taken) was estimated from the graphs. The results from all the wells presented were averaged to determine estimated groundwater concentrations 30 years after each corrective action was completed. These concentrations were then multiplied by the Risk Based Concentrations (RBC) from the risk assessment (included in the CAP Part 2) to determine the projected risk 30 years in the future for each alternative. Not all chemicals included in the risk assessment were evaluated in the groundwater model. For these chemicals, the concentrations 30 years into the future were estimated by multiplying the current groundwater concentrations in the risk assessment by a ratio, which was based on the future modeled groundwater concentrations for the modeled chemicals divided by the groundwater concentrations used in the risk assessment. The the risk calculations for the future alternatives are presented in Table 3A and 3B for Belews and Marshall, respectively. The only receptor with exposure to groundwater is the construction worker. D3.2 Roxboro The output from the groundwater model for Roxboro was presented as a series of figures depicting the extent of the plume at different dates for each alternative. The risk for the MNA alternative was estimated by multiplying the current risk by 1.5. The risk for the Cap alternative was estimated by multiplying the MNA risk by 0.25. The risk for the Removal alternative was estimated by multiplying the Cap risk by 0.1. A summary of the results is presented in Table 3C. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-4 September 30, 2016 EPS D4 SEDIMENT AND SURFACE WATER - ON-SITE The on-site sediment and surface water exposure pathways were evaluated the same way for all sites. It was assumed that the concentrations (and, thus, risk) for on-site sediment and surface water would not change from now to 30 years from now. For MMA it was assumed that the risk is the same as in the current risk assessment. Under the CIP and Removal alternatives there is minimal if any risk into the future. However, to be conservative for the CIP alternative it was assumed that the risk is 25% of the MMA risk. It assumed there is no risk under the Removal alternative. The projected risk calculations for on-site soil and on-site surface water are shown in Tables 4 and 5, respectfully. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-5 September 30, 2016 0 D5 SEDIMENT - OFF-SITE The off-site sediment exposure pathway was evaluated the same way for all sites. It was assumed that the concentrations (and, thus, risk) for off-site sediment would not change from now to 30 years from now. For MNA it was assumed that the risk is the same as in the current risk assessment. Under CIP and Removal there is minimal if any risk into the future. However, to be conservative it was assumed that the risk under CIP would be 25% of the MNA risk and the risk under Removal would be 10% of the MNA risk. The projected risk calculations for off-site sediment are shown in Table 6. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-6 September 30, 2016 0 D6 SURFACE WATER - OFF-SITE D6.1 Belews and Marshall The CAP Part 2 Report for Belews and Marshall presented surface water mixing models that estimated the current surface water concentrations based on the current modeled groundwater concentrations. The estimated groundwater concentrations presented in Table 3A and 3B were used as input to the surface water model to estimate surface water concentrations 30 years from implementation of the three different alternatives. These surface water concentrations were then multiplied by the RBCs from the risk assessments for each site to estimate the risk of the different alternatives in the future. A summary of these calculations is presented in Table 7A and Table 7B for Belews and Marshall, respectively. D6.2 Roxboro The Roxboro CAP Part 2 Report did not include a surface water model. In order to project the risk for each alternative in the future, the ratios from current year to 2030 for MNA (1.05) and for MNA to Cap (0.96) or Excavate (0.94) were estimated from the surface water models from the other sites. The results of the projects for Roxboro are shown in Table 7C. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-7 September 30, 2016 0 D7 SUMMARY The combined risks for each alternative where the risk for each medium is summed to determine the total risk for each receptor is shown in Tables 8A and 8B. This information is further summarized in Table 9 where the maximum risk for on-site exposure (maximum risk between commercial/industrial worker, construction worker and trespasser) and maximum risk for off-site exposure (boater, swimmer and wader) is presented. Following Table 9, graphs depicting the combined risks for each receptor in each alternative compared to acceptable risk criteria (HI of 1 and 3 and ELCR of lE-5 and 1E-4) are provided. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-8 September 30, 2016 Table 1. AOW/Seep Soil 1 Concentrations for current scenario updated from the original Risk Assessment (see Table 113) -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-9 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Receptor Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Belews Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.073 0.073 0.018 -- 4.9E-06 4.9E-06 1.2E-06 -- Construction Worker 0.038 0.038 0.0095 -- 1.5E-07 1.5E-07 3.8E-08 -- Trespasser 0.024 0.024 0.006 -- 6.1E-07 6.1E-07 1.5E-07 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Marshall Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.059 0.059 0.015 -- 1.5E-06 1.5E-06 3.8E-07 -- Construction Worker 0.011 0.011 0.0028 -- 4.4E-08 4.4E-08 1.1E-08 -- Trespasser 0.019 0.019 0.0048 -- 1.8E-07 1.8E-07 4.5E-08 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Roxboro' Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.10 0.100 0.025 -- 3.0E-06 3.0E-06 7.5E-07 -- Construction Worker 0.08 0.080 0.020 -- 9.0E-08 9.0E-08 2.3E-08 -- Trespasser 0.04 0.040 0.010 -- 4.0E-07 4.0E-07 1.0E-07 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader I -- -- -- 1 Concentrations for current scenario updated from the original Risk Assessment (see Table 113) -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-9 September 30, 2016 Table 2. AOW/Seep Water -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-10 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Belews Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.0024 0.0024 0.0006 -- 2.3E-09 2.3E-09 5.8E-10 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.10 0.10 0.025 -- 6.5E-08 6.5E-08 1.6E-08 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Marshall Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.0092 0.0092 0.0023 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.27 0.27 0.068 -- 1.4E-06 1.4E-06 3.5E-07 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.0030 0.0030 0.00075 -- 5.0E-08 5.0E-08 1.3E-08 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.090 0.090 0.023 -- 1.0E-06 1.0E-06 2.5E-07 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader I -- -- -- -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-10 September 30, 2016 Table 3A. Belews Groundwater Risk 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-11 September 30, 2016 Const Wkr Const Wkr 30 Year Modeled Groundwater 2 30 Year Estimated HI 3 30 Year Estimated ELCR 4 MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC µg/L µg/L µg/L Aluminum 1 96000000 16064 15534 1941 1.7E-04 1.6E-04 2.0E-05 Antimony i 17000 6.2 6.0 0.7 3.6E-04 3.5E-04 4.4E-05 Arsenic 29000 450000 13 12 13 4.4E-04 4.1E-04 4.4E-04 2.8E-09 2.7E-09 2.8E-09 Beryllium 480000 0.5 0.4 0.0 9.9E-07 7.8E-07 0.0E+00 Boron 19000000 5938 4500 452 3.1E-04 2.4E-04 2.4E-05 Cadmium 1 10000 2.0 1.9 0.2 2.0E-04 1.9E-04 2.4E-05 Chromium (total) 8600000 8.7 8.2 1.3 1.0E-06 9.5E-07 1.5E-07 Chromium VI 28000 76000 3.9 3.4 3.3 1.4E-04 1.2E-04 1.2E-04 5.2E-09 4.5E-09 4.3E-09 Cobalt 330000 106 94 69 3.2E-04 2.8E-04 2.1E-04 Manganese i 2200000 18359 17753 2219 8.3E-03 8.1E-03 1.0E-03 Molybdenum 1 480000 57 55 6.9 1.2E-04 1.2E-04 1.4E-05 Vanadium 1 960000 71.1 68.8 8.6 7.4E-05 7.2E-05 9.0E-06 Zinc 1 31000000 126 122 15 4.1E-06 3.9E-06 4.9E-07 Total for Construction Worker 0.0105 0.0100 0.0019 8.0E-09 7.1E-09 7.1E-09 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-11 September 30, 2016 Table 3B. Marshall Groundwater Risk 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-12 September 30, 2016 Const Wkr Const Wkr 30 Year Modeled Groundwater 2 30 Year Estimated HI 3 30 Year Estimated ELCR 4 MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC µg/L µg/L µg/L Aluminum 1 96000000 504 73 504 5.3E-06 7.6E-07 5.3E-06 Antimony 17000 0.76 0.79 0.29 4.5E-05 4.6E-05 1.7E-05 Arsenic 29000 450000 4.2 4.1 0.8 1.4E-04 1.4E-04 2.6E-05 9.3E-10 9.2E-10 1.7E-10 Barium 5000000 133 133 127 2.7E-05 2.7E-05 2.5E-05 Beryllium 480000 1.6 2.0 0.0 3.3E-06 4.2E-06 0.0E+00 Boron 19000000 710 480 191 3.7E-05 2.5E-05 1.0E-05 Chromium (total) 8600000 8.4 7.4 0 9.8E-07 8.6E-07 0.0E+00 Chromium VI 28000 7.60E+04 1.0 1.1 0.7 3.6E-05 3.8E-05 2.4E-05 1.3E-09 1.4E-09 9.0E-10 Cobalt 330000 2.9 2.4 0.13 8.7E-06 7.1E-06 3.9E-07 Manganese i 2200000 164 24 164 7.4E-05 1.1E-05 7.4E-05 Molybdenum 1 480000 4.9 0.7 4.9 1.0E-05 1.5E-06 1.0E-05 Selenium 480000 5.6 5.1 10 1.2E-05 1.1E-05 2.1E-05 Strontium i 1.90E+08 414 60 414 2.2E-06 3.1E-07 2.2E-06 Vanadium 960000 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.3E-06 3.2E-06 3.4E-06 Zinc 1 31000000 2.2 0.3 2.2 7.0E-08 1.0E-08 7.0E-08 Total for Construction Worker 0.00041 0.00032 0.00022 2.2E-09 2.3E-09 1.1E-09 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-12 September 30, 2016 Table 3C. Roxboro Groundwater Risk 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.5 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.25 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.1 -- Not applicable Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-13 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Receptor Assessment MNA1 Capt Excavate3 Assessment MNAl Ca P2 Excavate3 Construction Worker 2.00E-03 0.0030 0.00075 0.0003 -- - -- - 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.5 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.25 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.1 -- Not applicable Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-13 September 30, 2016 Site Receptor Belews Commerical/Industrial Worker 30 -year CIP Construction Worker 0.000099 0.0017 Trespasser 0.000075 0.0010 Boater 0.000019 0.00025 Swimmer Wader Marshall Commerical/Industrial Worker Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Worker Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader Table 4. On -Site Sediment -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 30 -year Current Risk Removal Assessment -- 5.7E-09 -- 5.5E-08 ELCR 30 -year MNA 5.7E-09 5.5E-08 30 -year CIP 1.4E-09 1.4E-08 30 -year Removal Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-14 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index Current Risk Assessment 30 -year MNA 30 -year CIP 0.000099 0.0017 0.000099 0.0017 0.000025 0.00043 0.000075 0.0010 0.000075 0.0010 0.000019 0.00025 -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 30 -year Current Risk Removal Assessment -- 5.7E-09 -- 5.5E-08 ELCR 30 -year MNA 5.7E-09 5.5E-08 30 -year CIP 1.4E-09 1.4E-08 30 -year Removal Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-14 September 30, 2016 Table 5. On -Site Surface Water -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-15 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Receptor Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Belews Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.00010 0.000096 0.000024 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.0047 0.0047 0.0012 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Marshall Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.00037 0.00037 0.000093 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.013 0.013 0.0033 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- - Wader -- -- -- -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-15 September 30, 2016 Table 6. Off -Site Sediment -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0.1 x 30 -year MNA Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-16 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Receptor Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Belews Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater 0.00078 0.00078 0.00020 7.8E-05 3.5E-08 3.5E-08 8.8E-09 3.5E-09 Swimmer 0.0061 0.00610 0.0015 6.1E-04 3.6E-07 3.6E-07 9.0E-08 3.6E-08 Wader 0.0042 0.0042 0.0011 4.2E-04 1.4E-07 1.4E-07 3.5E-08 1.4E-08 Marshall Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater 0.0003 0.00029 0.000073 2.9E-05 -- -- -- -- Swimmer 0.0031 0.0031 0.00078 3.1E-04 -- -- -- -- Wader 0.0031 0.0031 0.00078 3.1E-04 -- -- -- -- Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater 0.007 0.007 0.0018 7.0E-04 -- -- -- -- Swimmer 0.007 0.007 0.0018 7.0E-04 -- -- -- -- Wader 0.007 0.007 0.0018 7.0E-04 -- -- -- -- -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0.1 x 30 -year MNA Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-16 September 30, 2016 Table 7A. Off -Site Surface Water: Belews 1 Not included in surface water model. C,j... based on 1/2 of typical detection limits. Csw = (QewxCew + 4i e XC'med / (Qgw + Q'i-) QGW (cfs) 1.151 Q'i_(efs) 40.44 Model C,W from Table 36 Receptor Analyte 2046 MNA 30 Year Surface Water MNA CIP Removal µg/L µg/L µg/L 2046 CIP 2046 Removal MNA CIP Removal Analyte Criver Model Csw CSW chronic Model Csw CSW chronic Model Csw Csw chronic 1.4E-06 (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) Aluminum 251 16064 469 15534 454 1941 78 Boron 25 5938 106 18359 _ 3.19 513 4500 149 452 37 Cobalt 0.25 94 2.84 69 2.15 Manganese 51 17753 496 2219 66 Zinc 0.0051 126 3.50 122 3.38 15 0.427 1 Not included in surface water model. C,j... based on 1/2 of typical detection limits. Csw = (QewxCew + 4i e XC'med / (Qgw + Q'i-) QGW (cfs) 1.151 Q'i_(efs) 40.44 Model C,W from Table 36 Receptor Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC 30 Year Surface Water MNA CIP Removal µg/L µg/L µg/L 30 Year Estimated HI 1 30 Year Estimated ELCR 2 MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Boater Boater Aluminum Boron 5.6E+07 I.1E+071 469 0.00 454 149 78 37 8.4E-06 8.1E-06 1.4E-06 - - - 0.0E+00 1.4E-05 7.6E-05 6.8E-05 1.7E-03 1.6E-03 1.2E-07 1.2E-07 3.3E-06 5.1E-05 2.1E-04 1.5E-08 Boater Cobalt 4.2E+04 -- 3.19 3 2 Boater Manganese 3.IE+051 513 496 66 Boater Zinc 2.8E+07 3.50 3 0 Total 1.7E-03 1.7E-03 2.7E-04 Swimmer Aluminum 1.1E+06 - 469 454 78 4.3E-04 4.1E-04 7.1E-05 -- -- Swimmer Boron 2.2E+05 0.00 149 37 0.0E+00 6.8E-04 1.7E-04 -- -- Swimmer Cobalt 3.5E+02 - 3.19 3 2 9.1E-03 8.1E-03 6.2E-03 -- -- Swimmer Swimmer Manganese Zinc 4.1E+04 3.4E+05 - 513 3.50 496 3 66 0 1.3E-02 1.0E-05 1.2E-02 9.9E-06 1.6E-03 1.3E-06 - Total 2.2E-02 2.1E-02 8.0E-03 -- -- Wader Wader Aluminum Boron 1.2E+06 2.4E+051 469 0.00 454 149 78 37 3.9E-04 0.0E+00 3.8E-04 6.2E-04 6.5E-05 1.5E-04 - -- -- -- Wader Cobalt 3.6E+02 3.19 3 2 8.9E-03 7.9E-03 6.0E 03 -- -- -- Wader Manganese 9.OE+041 513 496 66 5.7E-03 5.5E-03 7.4E-04 -- -- - Wader Zinc 3.6E+05 3.50 3 0 9.7E-06 9.4E-06 1.2E-06 -- -- - Total 1.5E-02 1.4E-02 6.9E-03 - -- -- 1 Modeled surface water concentration / HI RBC 2 Modeled surface water concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-17 September 30, 2016 Table 7B. Off -Site Surface Water: Marshall 1 Not included in surface water model. Cr;,,ef based on 1/2 of typical detection limits. These calculations are for Suck Creek, whichis more sensitive than the Broad River. C"=(QGWXCGW+`*ups[r XCupstream)/(Q,+`-/r Wpstream) QGW (cfs) 0.362 Q1pS1fe,m (cfs) 753 Model CGw from Table 3B Receptor Analyte 2046 MNA HI RBC ELCR RBC 2046 CIP 2046 Removal Analyte Cupstream Model Caw CSW Chronic Model Caw CSW Chronic Model Caw CSW chronic 25 25 0.3 5 0.01 (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) (µg/L) Aluminum 251 504 25 73 25 504 25 Boron 25 710 3 25 0.3 480 25 191 25 Cobalt 0.25 2 0.3 0.1 0.2 Manganese 51 1_64 5 24 5 164 5 Zinc 0.0051 2 0.01 0 0.01 2 0.01 1 Not included in surface water model. Cr;,,ef based on 1/2 of typical detection limits. These calculations are for Suck Creek, whichis more sensitive than the Broad River. C"=(QGWXCGW+`*ups[r XCupstream)/(Q,+`-/r Wpstream) QGW (cfs) 0.362 Q1pS1fe,m (cfs) 753 Model CGw from Table 3B Receptor Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC 30 Year Surface Water 30 Year Estimated HI 1 30 Year Estimated ELCR 2 MNA CIP Removal µg/L µg/L µg/L MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Boater Boater Boater nater Boater Aluminum Boron Cobalt Manganese g Zinc 5.6E+07 1.1E+07 4.2E+04 + 2.8E+07 25 25 0.3 5 0.01 25 25 0.3 5 0.01 25 25 0.2 5 0.01 4.5E-07 4.5E-07 4.5E-07 - - 2.3E-06 2.3E-06 2.3E-06 6.0E-06 6.0E-06 6.0E-06 1.6E-05 1.6E-05 2.2E-10 1.8E-10 1.6E-05 2.2E-10 Total 2.5E-05 2.5E-05 2.5E-05 - - Swimmer Swimmer Aluminum Boron 1.1E+06 - 2.2E+051 25 25 25 25 25 25 2.3E-05 1.2E-04 2.3E-05 1.1E-04 2.3E-05 1.1E-04 -- -- Swimmer Cobalt 3.5E+02 0.3 0.3 0.2 7.2E-04 7.2E-04 7.1E-04 -- -- Swimmer Manganese 4.1E+04 - 5 5 5 1.2E-04 1.2E-04 1.2E-04 - -- - Swimmer Zinc 3.4E+05 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.8E-08 1.5E-08 1.8E-08 -- Total 9.8E-04 9.8E-04 9.7E-04 -- Wader Wader Aluminum Boron 1.2E+06 2.4E+05 25 25 25 25 25 25 2.1E-05 1.1E-04 2.1E-05 1.1E-04 2.1E-05 1.0E-04 -- -- -- -- Wader Cobalt 3.6E+02 0.3 0.3 0.2 7.0E-04 7.0E-04 6.9E-04 -- -- - Wader Manganese 9.0E+04 - 5 5 5 5.6E-05 5.6E-05 5.6E-05 -- -- - Wader Zinc 3.6E+05 -- 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.7E-08 1.4E-08 1.7E-08 -- -- Total 8.8E-04 8.8E-04 8.8E-04 - -- -- 1 Modeled surface water concentration / HI RBC 2 Modeled surface water concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-18 September 30, 2016 Table 7C. Off -Site Surface Water: Roxboro 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.05 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.96 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.94 Factors were determined by projecting the results of the surface water model into the future for each scenario for the analytes used in the surface water model, which were not the COPCs for surface water. Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-19 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Receptor Assessment MNAI CIP2 Removal3 Assessment MNAI CIP2 Removal3 Boater 0.004 0.0042 0.0040 0.0039 Swimmer 0.06 0.063 0.060 0.059 Wader 1 0.04 0.042 0.040 0.039 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.05 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.96 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.94 Factors were determined by projecting the results of the surface water model into the future for each scenario for the analytes used in the surface water model, which were not the COPCs for surface water. Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-19 September 30, 2016 Table 8A. Total Hazard Index for Each Receptor and Scenario Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-20 September 30, 2016 30 -Year Removal - HI 30 -Year MNA - HI AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Stu ftwilotar Soil Water Trespasser Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water HI Belews Commerical/Industrial Wkr 7.3E-02 2.4E-03 Swimmer 9.9E-05 9.6E-05 Wader 7.6E-02 Construction Worker 3.8E-02 Commerical/Industrial Wkr 1.0E-02 0.0E+00 Construction Worker 2.2E-04 4.8E-02 Trespasser 2.4E-02 1.0E-01 0.0E+00 1.7E-03 4.7E-03 2.9E-05 2.5E-05 5.4E -OS 1.3E-01 Boater 3.1E-04 9.7E-04 1.3E-03 Wader 3.1E-04 8.8E-04 7.8E-04 1.7E-03 2.5E-03 Swimmer 0.0E+00 Construction Worker 3.0E-04 3.0E-04 6.1E-03 2.2E-02 2.8E-02 Wader Boater 7.0E-04 3.9E-03 4.6E-03 4.2E-03 1.5E-02 1.9E-02 Marshall Commerical/Industrial Wkr 5.9E-02 9.2E-03 4.0E-02 7.5E-05 3.7E-04 6.9E-02 Construction Worker 1.1E-02 4.1E-04 1.1E-02 Trespasser 1.9E-02 2.7E-01 1.0E-03 1.3E-02 3.0E-01 Boater 2.9E-04 2.5E-05 3.2E-04 Swimmer 3.1E-03 9.8E-04 4.1E-03 Wader 3.1E-03 8.8E-04 4.0E-03 Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Wkr 1.0E-01 3.0E-03 1.0E-01 Construction Worker 8.0E-02 3.0E-03 8.3E-02 Trespasser 4.0E-02 9.0E-02 1.3E-01 Boater 7.0E-03 4.2E-03 1.1E-02 Swimmer 7.0E-03 6.3E-02 7.0E-02 Wader 7.0E-03 4.2E-02 4.9E-02 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-20 September 30, 2016 30 -Year Removal - HI 30 -Year CIP - HI AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water Trespasser Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water HI Belews Commerical/Industrial Wkr 1.8E-02 6.0E-04 Swimmer 2.5E-05 2.4E-05 Wader 1.9E-02 Construction Worker 9.5E-03 Commerical/Industrial Wkr 1.0E-02 0.0E+00 Construction Worker 2.2E-04 2.0E-02 Trespasser 6.0E-03 2.5E-02 0.0E+00 4.3E-04 1.2E-03 2.9E-05 2.5E-05 5.4E -OS 3.3E-02 Boater 3.1E-04 9.7E-04 1.3E-03 Wader 3.1E-04 8.8E-04 2.0E-04 1.7E-03 1.9E-03 Swimmer 0.0E+00 Construction Worker 3.0E-04 3.0E-04 1.5E-03 2.1E-02 2.3E-02 Wader Boater 7.0E-04 3.9E-03 4.6E-03 1.1E-03 1.4E-02 1.5E-02 Marshall Commerical/Industrial Wkr 1.5E-02 2.3E-03 4.0E-02 1.9E-05 9.3E-05 1.7E-02 Construction Worker 2.8E-03 3.2E-04 3.1E-03 Trespasser 4.8E-03 6.8E-02 2.5E-04 3.3E-03 7.6E-02 Boater 7.3E-05 2.5E-05 9.7E-05 Swimmer 7.8E-04 9.8E-04 1.8E-03 Wader 7.8E-04 8.8E-04 1.7E-03 Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Wkr 2.5E-02 7.5E-04 2.6E-02 Construction Worker 2.0E-02 7.5E-04 2.1E-02 Trespasser 1.0E-02 2.3E-02 3.3E-02 Boater 1.8E-03 4.0E-03 5.8E-03 Swimmer 1.8E-03 6.0E-02 6.2E-02 Wader 1.8E-03 4.0E-02 4.2E-02 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-20 September 30, 2016 30 -Year Removal - HI AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water HI Belews Commerical/Industrial Wkr 0.0E+00 Construction Worker 1.9E-03 1.9E-03 Trespasser 0.0E+00 Boater 7.8E-05 2.7E-04 3.5E-04 Swimmer 6.1E-04 8.0E-03 8.6E-03 Wader 4.2E-04 6.9E-03 7.4E-03 Marshall Commerical/Industrial Wkr 0.0E+00 Construction Worker 2.2E-04 2.2E-04 Trespasser 0.0E+00 Boater 2.9E-05 2.5E-05 5.4E -OS Swimmer 3.1E-04 9.7E-04 1.3E-03 Wader 3.1E-04 8.8E-04 1.2E-03 Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Wkr 0.0E+00 Construction Worker 3.0E-04 3.0E-04 Trespasser 0.0E+00 Boater 7.0E-04 3.9E-03 4.6E-03 Swimmer 7.0E-04 5.9E-02 6.0E-02 Wader 7.0E-04 3.9E-02 4.0E-02 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-20 September 30, 2016 Table 8B. Total ELCR for Each Receptor and Scenario Site Receptor 30 -Year Removal - ELCR Total ELCR 30 -Year MNA - ELCR Total ELCR AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water Belews Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 4.9E-06 1.5E-07 6.1E-07 2.3E-09 6.5E-08 5.7E-09 8.0E-09 5.5E-08 3.5E-08 3.6E-07 1.4E-07 4.9E-06 1.6E-07 7.3E-07 3.5E-08 3.6E-07 1.4E-07 Marshall Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 1.5E-06 4.4E-08 1.8E-07 1.4E-06 2.2E-09 1.5E-06 4.6E-08 1.6E-06 Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 3.0E-06 9.0E-08 4.0E-07 5.0E-08 1.0E-06 1.3E-08 2.5E-07 3.1E-06 9.0E-08 1.4E-06 3.5E-07 Site Receptor 30 -Year Removal - ELCR Total ELCR 30 -Year CIP - ELCR Total ELCR AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water Belews Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 1.2E-06 3.8E-08 1.5E-07 5.8E-10 1.6E-08 1.4E-09 7.1E-09 1.4E-08 8.8E-09 9.0E-08 3.5E-08 1.2E-06 4.5E-08 1.8E-07 8.8E-09 9.0E-08 3.5E-08 Marshall Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 3.8E-07 1.1E-08 4.5E-08 3.5E-07 2.3E-09 3.8E-07 1.3E-08 4.0E-07 Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 7.5E-07 2.3E-08 1.0E-07 1.3E-08 2.5E-07 7.6E-07 2.3E-08 3.5E-07 Site Receptor 30 -Year Removal - ELCR Total ELCR AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water Belews Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 7.1E-09 3.5E-09 3.6E-08 1.4E-08 7.1E-09 3.5E-09 3.6E-08 1.4E-08 Marshall Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader 1.1E-09 1.1E-09 Roxboro Commerical/Industrial Wkr Construction Worker Trespasser Boater Swimmer Wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-21 September 30, 2016 Table 9. Summary of Risks for Each Scenario Belews Marshall Hazard Index ELCR On -Site Off -Site On -Site Off -Site MNA 0.1 0.03 5E-06 4E-07 CIP 0.03 0.02 1E-06 9E-08 Removal 1 0.002 0.009 7E-09 4E-08 Marshall Roxboro Hazard Index ELCR On -Site Off -Site On -Site Off -Site MNA 0.3 0.004 2E-06 -- CIP 0.08 0.002 4E-07 -- Removal 1 0.0002 0.001 1E-09 -- Roxboro On-Site: Maximum of commercial/industrial worker, construction worker and trespasser Off -Site: Maximum of boater, swimmer and wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-22 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR On -Site Off -Site On -Site Off -Site MNA 0.1 0.07 3E-06 -- CIP 0.03 0.06 8E-07 -- Removal 10.0003 0.06 -- -- On-Site: Maximum of commercial/industrial worker, construction worker and trespasser Off -Site: Maximum of boater, swimmer and wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-22 September 30, 2016 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Belews - HI - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Marshall - HI - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-23 September 30, 2016 2.S 1.5 0.5 Roxboro - HI - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker 0 Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-24 September 30, 2016 1.00E-04 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 2.00E-05 0.00E+00 1.00E-04 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 2.00E-05 0.00E+00 Belews - ELCR - 30 Yr MINA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker w Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Marshall - ELCR - 30 Yr MINA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-25 September 30, 2016 1.00E-04 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 2.00E-05 0.00E+00 — l Roxboro - ELCR - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-26 September 30, 2016 [EN APPENDIX E Ecological Habitat Service Analysis Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-1 September 30, 2016 m El ECOLOGICAL HABITAT SERVICE ANALYSIS The purpose of this evaluation was to understand how the CIP and Removal alternatives might affect ecological habitat values associated with the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites. As stated in Section 3.5 of the report, the ecological habitat service analysis for each site consisted of three main steps as follows: The first step was to identify the major habitat types existing within the areas that would be impacted by the remedial alternatives at each site and to estimate the surface area of each major habitat type. 2. The second step was to develop assumptions regarding the timing and level of impact (i.e., projected change in ecological service value over time) that implementation of each alternative would have on the habitat types evaluated. 3. The third step was to estimate the change (i.e., loss) in the net present value (NPV) of ecological habitat services that would be projected to occur given the habitats, acreages, and assumptions developed as part of Steps 1 and 2. Each of these steps are discussed, in turn, in the following sections. E1.1 Habitat Types and Areas This step used a combination of existing geographic information system (GIS) habitat polygon boundary information, aerial photography reviews, site visit observations, and GIS analysis to understand the general distribution of the habitat types and their respective surface areas at each of the four sites. The GIS files for the habitats at the Belews Creek and Marshall Steam Station sites were provided by Duke Energy. In addition, I conducted site visits at all three sites during the June 7-10, 2016, time period. For the Roxboro site, GIS habitat files were not available. Therefore, habitat polygons were developed through GIS analysis based upon the site visits and review of Google Earth aerial photography. The GIS polygons for the Belews Creek, Marshall, and Roxboro Steam Station sites are presented in Figures E1 -E3, respectively. Land habitat types were assigned to the following major categories: Terrestrial Habitats • Forest (included pine, hardwood, bottomland and mixed forest habitats) • Shrub Scrub/ Early Successional • Grass/open mowed field Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-2 September 30, 2016 'T NO& A: A. ...a& . ..... f1lo Imagery @2016, DigitalGlobe, U.S. Geological Survey, USDA Farm Service _Agency wa5 / / 0- . A� . ---5 §--5:� A -ILI A au .... ...... 4 ' A& 4 AMP-- RM '0 Google, ol ;0011 Imagery @2016 , DigitalGlobeOrbis Inc, USDA Farm Service Agency A 6 k qM I I mrL �, I Ji 1 -7, -2� L -N 01 IJ& � Z 00 00 J&. . . ..... J& ill, 15 k"Oun-410,- /0 .. ...... .... ..... Imagery @2016 , Commonwealth of Virginia, DigitalGlobe, USDA Farm Service Agency EPS Wetlands and Surface Water • Combined emergent wetland, forested wetland and open water habitats I focused on the major habitat types that would be affected by the remedial alternatives. It should be noted that parking areas, roads, water treatment facility basins, and barren ash areas (non- vegetated) were excluded from the analysis. Through the above GIS polygon analysis, the surface area of each habitat type that was projected to be impacted by either the CIP or Removal alternative was determined for each site, including a 30 -foot work zone buffer around each basin that would be affected by each alternative. The GIS polygon data for each site were grouped by major habitat type for the purposes of the evaluation (Table E1). The focus was on how the major terrestrial and wetland/surface water habitats would be affected given implementation of the alternatives. Table E1. Acreage of the selected major habitat types under the current site condition that would be physically impacted through implementation of the CIP or Removal alternatives (rounded to nearest acre) Site Belews Marshall Roxboro Terrestrial Early Successional/Scrub 0.06 30 10 Forest 19 95 45 Open Field -Grass 13.4 157 159 Wetland and Surface Water 227 203 117 Total Acreage of Habitats Evaluated 260 486 330 The evaluation area includes only those areas that were projected to be impacted by the remedial actions, including a 30 foot buffer around the outside of each basin. Areas with roads, water treatment facilities, and barren ash were not included in the analysis. E1.2 Ecological Habitat Service Methodology and Assumptions Ecosystems provide a variety of services to humans. These services have been classified as supporting, provisioning, regulating, and cultural services as part of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005). Habitats serve as the supporting structure from which provisioning, regulating, and cultural services flow and hence provide value. That is, many human use services (bird watching, recreational fishing, etc.) are provided by the presence of the ecological habitat services. For example, state game lands provide recreational hunting and birdwatching activities that would otherwise not be present if the ecology and habitat was not in place. Thus, actions adversely affecting ecological habitat services can result in significant human use service losses while actions Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-6 September 30, 2016 m that enhance habitats can result in increased human use service value. The focus of this section is the quantification of the ecological habitat services that are projected to be impacted (either lost or gained) by the CIP and Removal remedial alternatives. Importantly, the net environmental benefits have been assessed using the current status of the environment (the project baseline) against which the potential change in environmental condition is measured. As such, projected changes in ecological habitat service values associated with implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives is compared to the current status of the habitats on-site. E1.2.1 Environmental Metric and Discounting Since ecological habitat impacts can occur over varying time frames, they can be normalized to their net present value (NPV) using a time discount rate. The discount rate is the rate at which the public is indifferent to consuming goods now or sometime in the future. An estimate of the NPV of the losses in ecological habitat value were developed through the use of the Habitat Equivalency Analysis (HEA) methodology. In this case, projected habitat alterations (e.g., removal, displacement of habitat) were used to directly assess changes in ecological habitat quality and resulting value. My evaluation included both the major direct on-site and off-site habitat impacts. Indirect impacts associated with alternative implementation were not estimated. Therefore, my estimation of impacts is conservative (i.e., underestimates projected losses). Because many ecological habitat services are not traded in the marketplace, they may not have a direct monetary value and therefore, value can be expressed using non -monetary metrics. The HEA approach is a service quantification approach that evaluates ecological habitat service losses or gains based on non -monetary metrics over time. It is important to recognize that ecosystem services are not static measurements but represent a flow of benefits over time. As such, the HEA approach uses an environmental metric to measure changes to ecological habitat services and focuses on quantifying the area (e.g., acres) and level of impact over time in units typically represented as service -acre -years (SAY'S). For this evaluation, I used the HEA methodology to quantify the relative habitat service losses associated with the CIP and Removal alternatives. Ecological service losses and gains can be measured using a variety of indicator metrics and units. In many cases, the quantification of changes in ecological service flows is based upon selecting or developing an indicator (can be one or more metrics) that acts as a surrogate to represent the ecological service flows provided over time by the habitat and expressing the changes in services (for that indicator) under the different alternatives as a percentage change from a baseline or reference condition. Ecosystem studies, literature -based information, professional experience, or a combination thereof, can be used to estimate how ecosystem services may change given an action. The metrics or indicators are selected based upon the site, habitats, and professional judgment. The metric(s) are typically developed to represent the flow of value (e.g., loss or gain of services) over time. As stated earlier, the ecological service calculations also involve a discount rate that allows for the gains and losses to be evaluated from an NPV standpoint. Within the HEA methodology, calculations of ecological service losses and gains associated with a project are computed over Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-7 September 30, 2016 0 time and represent time accumulated service flows. In these cases, the units are typically displayed as a discounted service acre year (dSAY) which represents an ecological habitat value that takes into account the time value of the habitat services. I used a 3% discount rate, this rate commonly used in NRDA cases within the United States. In evaluating ecological habitat service flows, applications of the HEA methodology must account for the absolute difference in the flow of services from the ecological resources resulting from an action and how those services are distributed over time. In addition, for any given action, it is likely that the ecological habitat service loss or gain may not always be constant over time. An assessment as to how ecological habitat service flows may change over time is thus necessary. Quantifying the ecological service value of a given action can be conducted prior to project implementation through the use of projected metrics based on scientific data and professional judgment. Use of the HEA methodology has been upheld in U.S. federal court' as an appropriate method to evaluate changes in ecological habitat services associated with actions that affect the environment and has also been incorporated into the European Union Environmental Liabilities Directive (Nicolette et al. 2013). The analysis of ecological habitat services was conducted by examining how changes to the existing habitats would occur given implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives. It should be recognized that the approach taken in the ecological analysis was to approximate the parameter values for each of the alternatives based upon consistent assumptions where applicable. As such, the parameter estimates are approximate values and not intended to be exact, but robust enough to identify impacts and differences between alternatives to a reasonable degree of certainty. My analysis focused on the major terrestrial and aquatic habitats. A discussion of the analysis of the ecological habitat service value associated with the terrestrial and aquatic habitats is provided in the following sections E1.2.2 Assumptions For the terrestrial analysis, ecological habitat service flows were modeled for each site per major habitat type (forest, shrub scrub/early successional, and mowed grass). Changes in terrestrial habitat value were compared to the baseline terrestrial habitat condition at the sites. Baseline "Current" Condition For the baseline terrestrial condition at each site, the following general assumption was made: • The flow of ecological service value is consistent with the above -ground biomass of the terrestrial habitats and increases as the terrestrial system moves through successional stages. That is, as the vertical structure and complexity of the terrestrial vegetation increases, so does the ecological habitat service value. In forest ecosystems, post - disturbance biomass accumulation provides an index of carbon sequestration and the United States 1997. United States v. Melvin Fisher. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida, Key West Division Case Numbers 92-10027-CIV-DAVIS, and 95-10051-CIV-DAVIS. Decided 30 July 1997, Filed 30 July 1997. 977 F. Supp. 1193; 1997 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 16767. United States 2001. United States of America and Internal Improvement Trust Fund v. Great Lakes Dredge and Dock Company. United States District Court for the Southem District of Florida D. C. Docket No. 97 -02510 -CV -EBD. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-8 September 30, 2016 0 reestablishment of biological control over a variety of ecosystem processes, such as those controlling nutrient cycling (Johnson et al. 2000). A functional form of this relationship is presented in Figure E5 (adapted from McMahon et al. 2010). The rate and asymptote of this pattern of biomass recovery can differ across stands because of nutrient availability and species composition; however, the functional form of this response remains similar across forest types and regions (McMahon et al. 2010). Ecological succession is the process of change in the species composition of an ecological community over time. The process begins with relatively few pioneering plants and animals that develop through increasing complexity until the ecological community becomes stable as a climax stage community. Vertical and horizontal structural habitat complexity has been shown to drive biodiversity by creating a greater variety of microclimates and microhabitats, which in turn produce more diverse food and cover for a more diverse group of species (Verschuyl et al. 2008). In addition, a positive relationship between tree species richness and above -ground productivity has often been found (Parrotta 2012). One study has also shown that old growth forests (50-250 years of age) serve as a stronger sink for CO2 than a younger growth forest (i.e., 14 years of age), thus indicating a higher carbon sequestration value as the forest gets older (Law et al. 2001). The value of forest habitat in protecting biodiversity and ecosystem service values has also been demonstrated (e.g., Gibson et al., 2011). Greenpeace (2016) also states that "Protecting forests will not only preserve biodiversity and defend the rights of forest communities, it's also one of the quickest and cost effective ways of halting climate change". The curve used to depict the flow of ecological habitat service value is presented in Figure E4 and was kept constant among all terrestrial habitats at all sites and was selected to serve as a standard to which changes in terrestrial habitat at the sites can be evaluated and compared. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-9 September 30, 2016 100 0 V) v U j 75 L Q� CU U W 50 _O O U LU +- 25 L O LL EPS 011 1 1 1 1 1 0 50 100 150 200 250 Years Figure E4. Graphic showing the relationship between above -ground biomass (AGB) (used as a surrogate for ecological service value) and stand age of multiple forest plots in a temperate deciduous forest in Edgewater, MD. Adapted from McMahon et al. (2010). For calculation purposes, the percent (%) service value at various points along the curve was estimated as depicted in Figure ET Yearly percent habitat service estimates were generated through linear interpolation between the identified points presented in Figure E5. Interpolated from Graph s 0 50 100 ISO 200 250 Stand age (years) Figure E5. Interpolation of service values used in calculations. Years AGB % 0 0 0.00% 5 5 1.01% 10 45 9.09% 15 80 16.16% 20 110 22.22% 25 140 28.28% 30 165 33.33% 35 185 37.37% 40 205 41.41% 451 225 45.45% 50 245 49.49% 60 275 55.56% 70 305 61.62% 80 330 66.67% 90 355 71.72% 100 375 75.76% 125 415 83.84% 150 445 89.90% 175 475 95.96% 200 495 100.00% Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-10 September 30, 2016 MO The baseline ecological service value for forest habitat at the Belews Creek site is depicted in Figure E8. Note that the value estimate starts at an approximate age of 25 years for the on-site forest stands being evaluated. This assumption was also held for offsite areas where forest habitat would be impacted. This is conservative in estimating the baseline value as the tree stands are likely older on average than 25 years of age both on- and off-site. Additionally, the flow of value, for all sites and scenarios was calculated over a 200 -year period (2016-2216). For shrub-scrub/early successional habitat, the start time on the successional curve was adjusted to 5 years to approximate the average age of the vegetation assigned to this habitat type. The conceptual model under which the forest dSAY value (330) for the Belews Creek Steam Station was calculated (at a 3% discount rate) is presented in Figure E6. This represents the current service value projected into the future of the on-site 19.0 acres of forest habitat. The on-site shrub scrub/early successional habitat and the on-site grass/open field habitats would convert to a mowed grass habitat under the CIP alternative, or regenerate to forest under the Removal alternative. Off- site forest habitats that are impacted were assumed to reach a similar level of service value as their pre -impact condition. A similar process of calculating the projected changes in the flow of terrestrial ecological service value was conducted for all four sites adjusting for the timing of implementation and the projected level of impact to the habitat. Wetland and surface water habitat was evaluated by projecting the change in the current condition of the wetland and surface water habitat (the baseline). It was assumed that implementation of both the CIP and Removal alternatives would result in a 100% (complete) loss of both the wetland and surface water habitat on-site. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-11 September 30, 2016 0 100- F N v v 75 L On-site baseline value (19.0 acres) 330 dSAYs M LJ 50 0 Current age of tree Baseline forest ecological LU stands services projected into future vii 25 N L 0 LL 0 0 12016 12216 50 100 150 200 250 Years Figure E6. Ecological service flow framework used as a standard to evaluate service flow changes on forest habitats at the Belews Creek Steam Station — depicts baseline of ecological service flows projected into the future. My general assumptions for estimating the change in ecological service values for both the terrestrial and aquatic habitats, given the CIP and Removal alternatives and their on-site and off- site impacts, is detailed in Table E2 on the following page. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-12 September 30, 2016 EPS. Table E2. General assumptions used in evaluating changes in habitat values between alternatives. There are many factors that can influence the staging and timing of the construction work that would be required for the implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives at a site. These factors include: weather conditions, contractor availability, economics, material availability, permitting, community acceptance, etc. As such, the habitat values (i.e., dSAYs) represented are based upon general assumptions with the recognition that site specific conditions and influencing factors will dictate the 1 ultimate staging and timing of the actions associated with alternative implementation. The general assumptions were kept consistent between the alternatives where applicable for the purposes of providing a comparison of the alternatives. The ecological habitat estimates are approximate and not intended to be exact, but are robust enough to identify impacts and evaluate and compare the alternatives with a reasonable degree of certainty. 2 The time frames for project implementation and completion are based upon the information presented in Appendix A. The flow of ecological service value is consistent with the above -ground biomass of the terrestrial habitats and increases as the 3 terrestrial system moves through successional stages. That is, as the vertical structure and complexity of the terrestrial vegetation increases, so does the ecological habitat service value. 4 Current on-site and off-site forest habitats were assumed to be 25 years of age. 5 Current scrub scrub habitats were assumed to be 5 years of age. For both the removal and CIP alternatives, on-site habitat impacts to each terrestrial habitat type were assumed to initiate upon implementation of the field construction activities and be completed in the first year of construction. With the CIP 6 alternative, the impacted terrestrial habitat area would eventually be converted to a mowed grass cover. With the Removal alternative, those same impacted habitat areas would eventually be managed to encourage regrowth of forest habitat, that would occur once the removal action was complete in that area and the work area developed to final grade. For both the CIP and Removal alternatives, 100% of the on-site wetland and surface water habitat services would be lost over a 7 3 year period (linear) starting with initiation of construction as water is drawn out of the basin(s) to allow for capping, Removal, and water management. 8 A 3% discount rate was used in calculating habitat values. The Removal alternative necessitates the development of a new offsite landfill to store the removed ash. It was assumed that 9 the area where the offsite landfill would be placed would be a forest habitat. This forest habitat would be lost into perpetuity and converted to a mowed grass cover upon completion of the landfill. In addition, an off-site borrow area would be required to provide material for the new landfill under the Removal alternative as 10 well as for the CIP alternative. Offsite areas serving as either borrow or landfill area were assumed to be forest habitat. This assumption was based on the "Letter Reports" prepared by Amec Foster Wheeler for each of the sites, where they show the vast majority of potentially 11 suitable sites for landfill and borrow areas involved land that is presently forested (Amec Foster Wheeler 2015a, 2015b, and 2015c). On -Site Habitat Conversion: Conversion of both the terrestrial and wetland areas onsite would be staggered with recovery of 12 50% of the area initiating at 50% project completion, regardless whether CIP or Removal alternative. The remaining 50% of the area would initiate recovery at project completion, regardless whether the CIP or Removal alternative. On -Site Habitat Conversion: All wetland and surface water impacted habitats currently on-site will be lost into perpetuity 13 (converted to either grass or forest). The on-site CIP and offsite landfill cap areas result in a mowed grass cover. It was assumed that newly planted grass (cap cover) would mature in a linear fashion over 5 years, starting once the cap was complete, and reach a maximum service value of 10% 14 (and continue at this rate into perpetuity). That is, mature grass habitat was assumed to generate 1/10 the value of the forest habitat at maximum value at maturity. Existing mowed grass habitats currently provide a constant 10% service value (as compared to the maximum forest habitat 15 value at maturity. Offsite forest habitat removal at the new off-site landfill location will occur to 50% of the acreage during the first year of construction for the Removal alternative. Subequently, the remaining 50% of forest will be removed halfway through the 16 projected project duration. Grass cap regeneration of the area where 50% of forest was initially removed for the landfill will initiate halfway through project completion with the remaining 50% initiating recovery at project completion. Offsite removal of forest at the borrow area location for the Removal alternative would occur at the following rate: 10% would be removed upon project initiation, 45% would be removed at 40% completion and the remaining 45% of the acreage would 17 be removed at the 80% completion stage. Forest regeneration of these areas would occur with 50% of the impacted acreage initiating at 50% project completion and the remaining 50% of impacted acreage initiating recovery at project completion. Offsite forest habitat removal at the borrow area location will occur to 50% of the acreage during the first year of construction for the CIP alternative. Subequently, the remaining 50% of forest will be removed halfway through the projected project 18 duration. Forest regeneration of the area where 50% of forest was initially removed for the landfill will initiate halfway through project completion with the remaining 50% initiating recovery at project completion. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-13 September 30, 2016 0 E1.2.3 Ecological Habitat Service Analysis Results The detailed results of the analysis, by site and remedial alternative, are presented in Table E3. Forest, scrub shrub/early successional, and grass habitat values (terrestrial habitats) were combined and presented in Table E3. The forest and scrub shrub/early successional habitats fall along the same successional curve, and grass habitats were quality adjusted to the forest and scrub shrub/early successional habitats, as such, their dSAY values are directly comparable given the assumptions made. For my analysis, I calculated the wetland/surface water values separate within the table. However, since all of the wetland and surface water features will be lost as a result of both the CIP and Removal alternatives, these areas will be subsequently converted to either mowed grass (CIP alternative) or forest (Removal alternative). It should be recognized that ecological habitat service values (i.e., dSAYs) between different habitat types (e.g., wetlands and forest) may not be equivalent. Thus, care must be taken when combining dSAYs between different habitat types. A recent study of the ecosystem service values between various ecological biomes indicates that wetlands are significantly more valuable than temperate forest/woodlands (estimates ranged from about 11-15 times more valuable, based on median values) (de Groot et al. 2012). That same study also indicated that lakes and river habitats were more valuable than temperate forest/woodland habitat (estimates ranged from about 2.6 — 3.5 times more valuable, based on median values). Wetland habitat was about 4 times more valuable when compared to lake and river habitats in the de Groot study (2012). In order to put the dSAY values into perspective, for a specific habitat such as a wetland or forest functioning at 100% of its service value into perpetuity, 1 acre of that habitat is equivalent to about 34 dSAY's at a 3% discount rate. Therefore, one can infer the impact of the lost dSAYs, for each habitat type at each site by dividing the total lost dSAYs for that site by 34.2. In addition, for the purposes of comparing the change in value between the CIP and Removal alternatives, I set the wetland/surface water dSAY value to be equivalent to the dSAY value of the existing forest habitat value. This is a conservative estimate (i.e., underestimates the true impacts of both the CIP and Removal alternatives) since the wetland/surface area ecological service value is higher than the forest ecological service value. As such and as presented in Table E3, the CIP and Removal alternatives each would result, given the calculations herein, in the permanent removal of about 750 and 510 acres of old growth climax forest habitat value into perpetuity, respectively. Based on the conservatism in the analysis, these losses are likely higher. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-14 September 30, 2016 EPS. Table E3. Summary of ecological habitat service values between alternatives by site, habitat type, and on-site versus off-site impacts. ONSITE LOSSES and GAINS Belews Creek Marshall Roxboro Habitat Type by Site Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs ONSITE LOSSES Terrestrial Early Successional/Scrub 0.06 (1) 30 (349) 10 (112) Forest 19 (330) 95 (1,651) 45 (773) Mowed -Grass 13 (46) 157 (539) 159 (544) Terrestrial Total 32 (376) 283 (2,539) 213 (1,429) Wetland and Surface Water 227 (7,440) 203 (6,641) 117 (3,839) Total Losses Onsite' (7,816) (9,181) (5,268) ONSITE GAINS Terrestrial Cap -in -Place (CIP) - Grass Cap 260 734 486 1,259 330 881 Removal Alternative - Forest Regeneration 260 1,643 486 1,710 330 890 NET ONSITE LOSSES Cap -in -Place (CIP) -Total On -Site dSAY Loss' (7,082) (7,922) (4,386) Removal -Total On -Site dSAY Loss' (6,172) (7,471) (4,378) Total Acreage of Onsite Habitats Evaluated 260 486 330 OFFSITE LOSSES AND GAINS Belews Creek Marshall Roxboro Habitat Type by Site Acres cISAYs Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs Terrestrial OFFSITE LOSSES Cap -in -Place (CIP) - Borrow Area - Forest 168 (2,825) 335 (5,475) 294 (4,740) Removal Alternative - Borrow Area - Forest 64 (804) 127 (1,091) 154 (1,105) Removal Alternative - Offsite Landfill Location 162 (2,444) 293 (3,741) 350 (4,232) OFFSITE GAINS Cap -in -Place (CIP) - Borrow Area - Forest Regeneration 168 1,527 335 2,787 294 2,520 Removal Alternative - Borrow Area - Forest Regeneration 64 405 127 438 154 415 Removal Alternative -Offsite Landfill Location (Grass Cap) 162 320 293 324 350 298 NET OFFSITE LOSSES Cap -in -Place (CIP) - Net Off -Site Net Loss (1,298) (2,688) (2,220) Removal - Net Off -Site Net Loss (2,523) (4,070) (4,624) CIP -Total Acreage of Offsite Habitats Evaluated 168 335 294 Removal -Total Acreage of Offsite Habitats Evaluated 226 420 504 CIP -Total Acreage Evaluated 428 821 624 Removal -Total Acreage Evaluated 486 906 834 NET LOSSES - TERRESTRIAL AND WETLAND/SURFACE WATER Cap -in -Place -Total Net Terrestrial Losses (940) (3,969) (2,767) Cap -in -Place -Total Net Wetland/Surface Water Losses (7,440) (6,641) (3,839) Removal -Total Net Terrestrial Losses (1,255) (4,899) (5,163) Removal -Total Net Wetland/Surface Water Losses (7,440) (6,641) (3,839) OVERALL NET LOSSES Cap -in -Place (CIP) Overall Net cISAY Loss 2 (8,380) (10,610) (6,607) Removal - Overall Net dSAY Loss 2 (8,695) (11,540) (9,002) PUTTING LOSSES INTO PERSPECTIVE Cap -in -Place (CIP) - Overall - Acres of Fully Functioning Climax Forest that would be Lost into Perpetuity 2 (minimum) 245 310 193 Removal - Overall - Acres of Fully Functioning Climax Forest that would be Lost into Perpetuity 2 (minimum) 254 337 263 1 Assumes that onsite habitats are affected similarly at initiation of the construction for both the Cap -in -Place and Removal alternatives. 2Assumes that the wetland and terrestrial dSAYs are equivalent, an assumption that underestimates ecological losses. Wetlands and surface water can be 10-20 times the value of forest habitat (DeGroot et al. 2012). Appendix E - Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-15 September 30, 2016 J�K E2 HUMAN RECREATIONAL SERVICES For this evaluation, since the sites are retained under private property, human recreational on-site services were not considered. However, it should be recognized that game land areas can provide significant human use value. In addition, as no off-site impacts were identified, off-site human recreational service values were not evaluated. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-16 September 30, 2016 0 E3 REFERENCES Amec Foster Wheeler, 2015a. Letter Report — Waste Strategy Analysis — Belews Creek Steam Station. Prepared for Duke Energy March 12, 2015. Amec Foster Wheeler, 2015b. Letter Report — Waste Strategy Analysis (Revised) Marshall Steam Station. Prepared for Duke Energy July 22, 2015. Amec Foster Wheeler, 2015c. Letter Report — Waste Strategy Analysis, (Revised) Roxboro Steam Station — Ash Basin Closure Response. Prepared for Duke Energy March 25, 2015. de Groot, R., Brander, L., van der Ploeg, S., Costanza, R., Bernard, F., Braat, L., Christie, M., Crossman, N., Ghermandi, A., Hein, L., Hussain, S., Kumar, P., McVittie, A., Portela, R., Rodriguez, L.C., ten Brink, P., van Beukering, P., 2012. Global estimates of the value of ecosystems and their services in monetary units. Ecosyst. Serv. 1, 50-61. Gibson, L., Lee, T., Koh, L., Brook, B., Gardner, T., Barlow, J., Peres, C., Bradshaw, C., Laurence, W., Lovejoy, T. and Sodhi, N.S. 2011. Primary forests are irreplaceable for sustaining tropical biodiversity. Nature 478: 378-381. Greenpeace. Web Accessed June 23, 2016. http://www. rg eenpeace.org/international/en/campaigns/forests/solutions/ Johnson C., Zarin D., and A. Johnson. 2000. Post -disturbance aboveground biomass accumulation in global secondary forests. Ecology 81:1395-1401. Law, B., Thornton, J., Anthoni, P. and S. Van Tuyl. 2001. Carbon storage and fluxes in ponderosa pine forests at different developmental stages. Global Change Biology. 7, pp. 755-777 McMahon, S. M., Parker, G. G., and Miller, D. R. 2010. Evidence for a recent increase in forest growth. PNAS, Edited by William H. Schlesinger, Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY, February 23, 2010, Vol. 107, No. 8, 3611-3615. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Full Report; Island Press: Washington, DC, USA, 2005. Nicolette, J., Burr, S., and Rockel, M. 2013. A Practical Approach for Demonstrating Environmental Sustainability and Stewardship through a Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. Sustainability 2013, 5, 2152-2177; doi:10.3390/su5052152, Published May 10, 2013. Parrotta, J. 2012. Understanding Relationships between Biodiversity, Carbon, Forests and People: The Key to Achieving REDD+ Objectives. A Global Assessment Report. Prepared by the Global Forest Expert Panel on Biodiversity, Forest Management, and REDD+. Wildburger & Stephanie Mansourian (eds.) IUFRO World Series Volume 31. Vienna. 161 p. ISBN 978-3-902762-17-7, ISSN 1016-3263 Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-17 September 30, 2016 0 Thompson, I.D., Mackey, B., McNulty, S. and Mosseler, A., 2009. Forest resilience, biodiversity, and climate change. A synthesis of the biodiversity/resilience/stability relationship in forest ecosystems. Technical Series no. 43. Montreal: Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity. United States 1997. United States v. Melvin Fisher. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida, Key West Division Case Numbers 92-10027-CIV-DAVIS, and 95- 10051-CIV-DAVIS. Decided 30 July 1997, Filed 30 July 1997. 977 F. Supp. 1193; 1997 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 16767. United States 2001. United States of America and Internal Improvement Trust Fund v. Great Lakes Dredge and Dock Company. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida D. C. Docket No. 97 -02510 -CV -EBD. Verschuyl, J., Hansen, A., McWethy, D., Sallabanks, R., and R. Hutto. 2008. Is the effect of forest structure on bird diversity modified by forest productivity? Ecological Applications, 18(5), pp. 1155-1170. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-18 September 30, 2016 0 APPENDIX F Joseph Nicolette CV Appendix F — Joseph Nicolette CV F-1 Joseph Nicolette Fields of Competence Risk management and net environmental benefit analysis (NEBA) Natural resource damage assessment (NRDA) Ecosystem service valuation Site remediation alternatives analysis Ecological and human health risk assessment evaluation CERCLA project coordination Oil spill response and planning Aquatic ecology Experience Summary Expertise: Joseph Nicolette has over 30 years of experience in the environmental consulting field with a focus on NRDA, NEBA, ecosystem service valuation, site risk management, remediation alternatives analysis, project coordination and agency relations, and aquatic ecology. He is a Senior Principal and Ecosystem Services Practice Leader at Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. (EPS). Joe has made demonstrated contributions both nationally and internationally in developing what is known as the net environmental benefits analysis (NEBA) or net ecosystem service analysis (MESA) approaches. He co- authored the first formalized NEBA framework recognized by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), the USEPA Science Advisory Board (USEPA SAB), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Joe has focused on NEBA applications to site risk management and decision-making, incorporating ecosystem service valuation, over the past 24 years. He provides strategic advice and oversight for projects to help balance the risks, benefits and tradeoffs associated with competing alternatives (e.g., remediation actions, mitigation and restoration, oil spill response, site restoration, and decommissioning actions). He has contributed to multiple environmental assessments associated with oil and chemical releases, and has managed NEBA, NRDA and CERCLA issues on behalf of the responsible party. His role has been to provide technical direction and assist the client in coordination with Natural Resource Trustee Agencies (State and Federal), the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), state agencies, and other stakeholders in the risk management and NRDA processes. Joseph has participated in NRDA projects since 1990. He is recognized for his NRDA experience and role in pioneering NRDA injury and restoration ecological Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV economics approaches such as habitat equivalency analysis (HEA). He has been involved in the conduct of impact assessments for over 50 hazardous releases and has led projects on behalf of the client, including agency negotiations. These include assessments associated with oil and chemical releases (including petroleum products, PCB's, DDT, dioxin, metals, etc.) and damage assessments associated with releases under US NRDA regulations and the EU Environmental Liabilities Directive (ELD). He has contributed to multiple environmental assessments associated with oil releases from the Exxon Valdez up to and including the Deepwater Horizon Incident. Mr. Nicolette has managed over 50 NRDA related projects. His services include client strategy development regarding natural resource injury and environmental assessment; ecological and human health risk characterization; mitigation and remedial planning, restoration valuation and planning, allocation modeling, agency negotiations, technical assessment design, and technical data review, assessment, and interpretation. Joseph has also worked with several law firms to provide expert witness and litigation support for multiple NRDA related environmental cases. He has provided written affidavits to support his technical findings and provided testimony through deposition by the Department of Justice. He has also served as the Project Coordinator and/or risk management lead on behalf of the responsible party at multiple Superfund (CERCLA) sites. He has experience with sites in EPA Regions 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 and 10. These sites were primarily related to polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), metals, dioxin, and TCE releases to a variety of media such as soil, sediment, surface water and groundwater. These projects involved the assessment of ecological and human health risks and the feasibility of various remedies to manage potential risks. Mr. Nicolette has also provided PRP identification and remedial/NKDA liability allocation support for industrial clients. He has developed and reviewed allocation models for specific sites, determining estimates of the portion of remedial and NKDA liability associated with various PRP's at the site. Joseph is also trained in hierarchical relational scientific database design, structuring and management. F, D Joseph Nicolette Credentials M.S. Fisheries Management, 1983. University of Minnesota - related fields: statistics, computer applications, and aquatic invertebrates B.S. Environmental Resources Management, 1980. Pennsylvania State University Certifications Certified Fisheries Scientist, no. 2,042, since 1992 Career 2016 -Present Senior Principal and Ecosystem Service Practice Director Joes role is to provide strategic consultation for projects directed at managing client environmental liabilities (e.g., NEBA, NRDA, oil spill response, offshore decommissioning, remediation, risk management) and assets, including natural resource valuations of land parcels. 2009-2016 Principal, Global Ecosystem Services Director, Ramboll Environ Provided strategic consultation for projects directed at managing client environmental liabilities (e.g., NEBA, NRDA, oil spill response, offshore decommissioning, remediation, risk management) and assets, including natural resource valuations of land parcels. 1999-2009 Vice President, Natural Resource Liability and Asset Management, C112M HILL Provided strategic consultation for projects directed at managing client environmental liabilities (e.g., NEBA, NRDA, oil spill response, offshore decommissioning, remediation, risk management) and assets, including natural resource valuations of land parcels. 1998-1999 President, Nicolette Environmental, Inc. NRDA Project Strategy, Management, and Negotiations Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV 1990-1998 Senior Consultant, ENTRIX Inc. Oil Spill Response and Damage Assessment Advisor 1984-1990 Operations Supervisor, Adirondack lakes Survey Corporation Oversight of field operations, data management, and QA/QC 1983-84 North Carolina State University Acid Deposition Program. Database Manager. Developed the Fish Information Network as part of acid deposition studies in the United States. Professional Affiliations USGS sponsored ACES (a community of ecosystem services) — Steering/Planning Committees 2008 -present Net Environmental Benefits Analysis Joe's contributions to the development of NEBA approaches, aside from co-authoring the first formalized NEBA framework, includes the conduct of national and international presentations and workshops (Brazil, Canada, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Malaysia, Norway, Scotland, South Africa, Sweden, Thailand, United States, etc.) related to ecosystem service valuation, benefits assessment (i.e., NEBA), risk management, project development, resource equivalency, oil spill response and planning, site remediation and damage assessment. Joes success in this area also includes: ✓ Recognition of, and incorporation of the formalized NEBA framework by the USEPA in a report by the USEPA Science Advisory Report entitled "Valuing the Protection of Ecological Systems and Services", (2009). ✓ A chapter regarding NEBA that was integrated into Interstate Technical Regulatory Council Guidance (2006). ✓ Pilot studies evaluating appropriate metrics for NEBA for site cleanup, restoration, and remediation on behalf of the US Environmental Protection Agency (2008). ✓ Guidance for the London Energy Institute (2009 and 2010, London) on the Environmental Liability Directive and on establishing ecological baselines F, D N N I Joseph Nicolette (pre -incident) using NEBA concepts. NEBA support for the Oil and Gas Producers (2015-2016) (OGP) Joint Industry Group (JIP) related to oil spill response and planning in the Arctic. He was the lead author of a book chapter (published in March of 2013 by the Oxford Press) that provided an overview of the U.S. natural resource damage assessment regulations and the development of resource equivalency analysis approaches. The book was entitled "The E.U. Liability Directive: A Commentary". He led Chapter 9 that was entitled "Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage". The chapter also discusses the similarities and differences of the U.S. NRDA rules in relation to the ELD. Led the first NEBA studies for decommissioning of offshore oil and gas platforms in Australia and the North Sea (2014 -Present). Multiple published papers and reports related to NEBA and ecosystem service valuation. Multiple client projects using NEBA and ecosystem service valuation approaches to address remedial risk issues and manage costs Joseph has served on the Planning and Steering committees for the ACES Conferences (A Community of Ecosystem Services), working with the United States Geological Survey Conference leaders since 2008. Participated in the conduct of numerous environmental assessments associated with the development of restoration and remedial decisions. This includes the ecosystem service valuation of compensatory restoration projects related to NRDA or other resolutions. Example Projects Armstrong World Industries CERCLA OU -1 Site, Macon, Georgia. Joe served as the EPA Project Coordinator on behalf of AWI and provided oversight of Operable Unit 1 (OU -1) evaluations, including the development of the environmental engineering/cost analysis (EE/CA), remedial design/remedial action, Post - Closure, NRDA/NEBA considerations, and supporting field sampling. He assisted in negotiations with the USEPA and State agencies and coordinated OU -1 CERCLA activities, on behalf of AWI, with the USEPA and GAEPD. The primary contaminant of concern was PCBs. He provided oversight of the site characterization efforts including the development of study plans, the Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV ecological and human health risk assessments, and the site remedy with a focus on the managing potential PCB risks. BP Deepwater Horizon. Joe served as a Project Technical Lead related to selected damage assessment (NRDA) issues associated with the Deepwater Horizon Gulf of Mexico oil release. Crab Orchard National Wildlife Refuge, PCB CERCLA/NRDA Site, Marion, Illinois. Joe led PCB site characterization, remedial alternatives analysis through NEBA, remediation implementation, and NRDA liability management). Joseph served as the CERCLA Project Coordinator jointly working with two PRP's (Schlumberger and the USFWS). He helped negotiate environmental remedial and NRDA associated liabilities related to historical PCB releases at the site. In serving as the Project Coordinator, he coordinated closely with the federal (USFWS, USEPA) and state (IL DNR, IL EPA) regulatory agencies. This was a unique case in that the USFWS was a PRP and at the same time, a trustee for natural resources. Innovative risk management data collection and analysis approaches were used to support risk management decision-making and included incremental sampling study design and surface weighted area concentration (SWAG) analysis A NEBA-based approach using resource equivalency analysis was used as part of the remedial and damage assessment resolution, saving the client over $10 million dollars. Edwards Air Force Base (EAFB) and NASA CERCLA Site, California. NRDA and remedial NEBA negotiations. Joe provided NRDA and remedial NEBA support to EAFB as the responsible party at this site. Joseph developed an overarching CERCLA NRDA and NEBA strategy to EAFB and participated in agency negotiations. Major issues were related to groundwater and surface soil contamination. A NEBA was used to demonstrate that the presumptive pump and treat remedy would provide no net benefit to the public. A less intrusive NINA alternative was instituted and reduced project costs by $65 million. USEPA OSWER NEBA Studies, Colorado and Florida Joe served as the Principle Investigator for a project evaluating the metrics that can be used to evaluate changes in ecosystem services associated with site remediation and local development. This work was conducted for the F. D Joseph Nicolette USEPA OSWER group as it relates to evaluating the net environmental benefit (NEBA) associated with remedial actions at superfund sites. The USEPA was evaluating the use of NEBA to help demonstrate the benefits and environmental stewardship associated with site remediation and in the selection of site management alternatives. These studies were conducted for the USEPA at Rocky Mountain Arsenal, Colorado, and Homestead AFB, Florida. This project was directed at a "real world" evaluation of metrics that can be used to evaluate changes in ecosystem service values associated with site cleanup decision making. This project was titled "Demonstrating the Net Environmental Benefit of Site Cleanup; An Evaluation of Ecological and Economic Metrics at Two Superfund Sites" was conducted for the USEPA Superfund group as it relates to evaluating the net environmental benefit associated with remedial actions at Superfund sites and appropriate metrics. This work was developed to be consistent with the Millennium Assessment ecological service categorization. Texas: For Region 6 USEPA, Joe supported the conduct of NEBAs to evaluate remedial alternatives at two orphan sites in Texas. The NEBAs were used to demonstrate the benefitslimpacts associated with remediation. These are described below. NEBA for USEPA: Jasper Creosoting Company Superfund Site, Texas: An ecological risk assessment (ERA) for a wetland indicated low to medium risks for benthic invertebrates and a subset of upper trophic level receptors associated with exposure to dioxin and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in sediment. Joe supported the development of a NEBA for USEPA Region 6 to quantify the net present value of the ecological services associated with no further action and six remedial alternatives involving monitoring, phytoremediation and combinations of full removal, partial removal and wetland enhancement. The NEBA demonstrated that monitored natural attenuation coupled with phytoremediation would provide the greatest net environmental benefit at the least cost and decrease ecological risks over time. The cost of this alternative was estimated to be more than $2 million less than the most intrusive remedy. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV NEBA for USEPA: State Marine Superfund Site, Texas: Joe supported the development of a NEBA for the USEPA to evaluate remedial alternatives for marginal ecological risks to benthic invertebrates identified in intertidal sediments. The baseline level of ecological service associated with no further action and monitored natural attenuation was evaluated as well as the net change in ecological services that would be expected with a sediment removal action. The NEBA results indicated that the loss of ecological services associated with no further action would be minor, if injury was occurring, and that the intrusive remedy would create a greater net ecological service loss because of impacts to habitat. In this case, no further action was selected as the preferred alternative as the NEBA demonstrated that expenditure of more than $6 million on sediment removal would not be protective of the environment. Army Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) Strategy Studies Joe served as the Principal Investigator for the U.S. Department of the Army of four studies designed to understand site development and reuse strategies and integration of natural resource values to maximize the benefits associated with site natural resources and remedial strategies. For these studies, potential site remedial alternatives were evaluated in conjunction with potential reuse scenarios to reflect the interdependencies between remediation and property reuse. The goal for each site was to identify the combination of remedial action and re -use that would provide for the protection of human health and the environment while providing the greatest net ecological and human use value. This series of studies conducted over two years and included the following four Army BRAC sites: Camp Bonneville, Washington; Savanna Army Depot, Illinois; Fort Ord, California; and Fort McClellan, Alabama. The Department of the Army used the information from these analyses to develop preferred land management and remedial actions for each site that minimize remedial costs while maximizing natural resource values to the public. Passaic River, New Jersey. Joe developed a preliminary example NEBA evaluation for Passaic River remedial alternatives (large scale sediment dredging) as proposed by the USEPA. The overall goal was to demonstrate the F, D Joseph Nicolette environmental and human health cost/benefit of proposed intrusive remediation. Tennessee EIS Support Eco Asset Valuation: Comparing Economic Development and Conservation of over 300 Land Parcels Joe was the technical lead for a land eco -valuation project for a confidential client. In partnership with the client's Resource Stewardship Division, Joseph led a Land Valuation Pilot for 14,000 acres that surrounded a reservoir in Tennessee. This project was conducted as a NEBA in support of the client's NEPA documentation (e.g., supporting the preferred alternative) that will drive the management of properties surrounding the reservoir. As part of this work, he evaluated and compared the environmental (e.g., natural resource) value and real estate (e.g., "highest and best" land use) value associated with the parcels located within the project area given the three proposed land use alternative scenarios (e.g. no -action, balanced conservation and recreation, and balanced development and recreation). This analysis resulted in the development of a 4th preferred alternative that maximized ecosystem service values (ecological and human use) back to the public. Brownfield Site NEBA Options Analysis. Joe provided oversight of the incorporation of a NEBA framework for a large brownfield site. He collaboratively worked with the City of Milwaukee, the public, regulatory agencies and prospective developers as part of the City of Milwaukee's Menomonee Valley Industrial Center Redevelopment Program to create a sustainability -focused brownfield's success. Through the use of a NEBA framework, he was able to evaluate the development plans for the Brownfield site and modify/tweak the designs to maximize ecological and human use values to the public. We were able to demonstrate that the revised plan for site restoration and remediation activities created ecological, recreational and aesthetic creation/enhancement benefits estimated at over $120MM of value to the public. In addition, the NEBA also assisted in identifying over $25MM in value - engineered cost savings and new-found revenue streams from the beneficial re -use of materials. NEBA for PCB Related Dam Removal at Lake Hartwell, South Carolina. Joe assisted a client in evaluation of the ecological impacts associated with the removal of two Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV dams in South Carolina. The dam removals were being conducted as part of an NRDA settlement associated with PCB releases. Joe evaluated ongoing fish tissue PCB concentrations associated with MMA activities. Lower Passaic River, PRP Group NRDA Negotiations and Strategy Advisement, New Jersey. Joe supported a group of Cooperating PRP's in developing a strategy and negotiating with the State and federal trustees regarding the Lower Passaic River NRDA. Joseph directly interfaced with the Companies and the State and federal Trustees. His role was to assist the PRP's in developing a strategy to manage their NRDA liability at the site. He assisted with conducting preliminary evaluations of ecological and human use injury and compensatory restoration project identification. LCP CERCLA Site, Brunswick, Georgia, PCB releases. Joe provided remedial NEBA analysis and NRDA support associated with PCB releases for a client in Brunswick, GA. His role was to evaluate ecological risk data for the purposes of integrating select areas of the estuary into a NEBA sediment management approach. In addition, he also evaluated injury assessment data and developed potential compensatory restoration options as part of this project. He participated in agency meetings and discussions regarding remedial and NRDA issues. Delaware River, Pennsylvania, PCBs. Joe supported a PRP on ecological risk and NRDA issues associated with historical PCB releases at the Metals Bank site. Specifically, he evaluated potential impacts of PCBs on aquatic invertebrates, fish, and birds. A resource equivalency analysis approach was used as part of the damage assessment. Joe evaluated agency impact analyses and developed appropriate compensatory restoration. Kalamazoo River, Michigan, PCBs. Joe assisted a client on the Kalamazoo River in the evaluation of historical PCB concentrations, potential impacts to fish and terrestrial biota, development of appropriate SWAC concentrations, and remedial alternative evaluations. Joe evaluated fish tissue PCB concentrations and examined trends of PCBs in fish along the river. Sediment PCB Remedial NEBA Evaluation. Confidential Client, Portland, Oregon. Joe provided F. D Joseph Nicolette technical and strategic support to a client on the Willamette River to settle its NRDA mitigation liability. Wisconsin Tissue, Fox River PCBs. Joe provided technical and strategic advice to Wisconsin Tissue regarding the Fox River NRDA and participated in trustee negotiations on behalf of Wisconsin Tissue. Confidential Client, Calumet River CERCLA, Allocation, Remedial, and NADA Support. Joe represented a potentially responsible party (PRP) with remedial and NRDA liabilities associated with historical PCBs, metals, etc. releases. In this context, Joe reviewed allocation issues, HEA model runs, sediment ecological and water toxicity data, and sediment and water column concentration data to assist the client in responding to demands of the natural resource trustees and other PRPs. Allocation Modeling. Confidential Clients, New York, New Jersey, and Indiana: Joe has provided PRP identification and remedial liability allocation support for two major industrial clients in the states of New York, New Jersey, and Indiana. The overall purpose of these projects was to identify potential PRPs and rank them by estimated contribution in relation to one another. Based upon the information gathered during this work (e.g., volumes released, parameter toxicity, geographic location), supported the development of allocation models and the approach for determining estimates of the portion of remedial liability associated with each PRP. Colonial Pipeline Company. Senior NRDA Advisor (1993 -Present). Oil spill response, planning and assessment. Joe's responsibilities included overall project management (of oil release impact assessments, including participation in company planning and drills) for Colonial from a technical and administrative aspect, including project strategy, coordination with the governmental regulatory agencies, management of contractors, cost control and management, task management, field study coordination, risk management, technical expertise, and report generation. In addition, he provides overall management and oversight of necessary compensatory restoration required as part of a spill settlement, if any. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV Example emergency releases Joe has responded to and/or provided expertise for environmental assessments include the following: o BP, Deepwater Horizon, Gulf of Mexico o BP barge release, Elizabeth River, VA o Sugarland Run, Potomac River o Darling Creek, Louisiana o Lookout Mountain, Tennessee o Tennessee River/Goose Creek, Knoxville o Reedy River, South Carolina o San Jacinto River, Texas o Pine Bend, Tennessee o Simpsonville, South Carolina o Sun Oil, barge release, Delaware River, DE o Maritrans, tug barge release, Mississippi River, MN o Amoco Pipeline, pipeline release, Whiting, Illinois o Southern Pacific Railroad, tanker car (release of metum sodium, Sacramento River, CA) o Buckeye Pipeline release, Allegheny River, PA o Buckeye Pipeline release, Quinnipiac River, CT o EXXON, tanker, Prince William Sound, Valdez, AK o Plantation Pipeline, pipeline release, Rich Fork, NC o Plantation Pipeline, pipeline release, Ward Road, GA o Conoco. Calcasieu Estuary, Louisiana o Unocal, Guadalupe, CA o Union Pacific Railroad, 7 train derailment releases, UT, CO o Petrobras, pipeline release, Brazil Rainforest o CITGO, pipeline release, Texas o Multiple smaller releases Alabama, Marshall Space Flight Center. NRDA, NEBA, and site remediation of groundwater contamination at NASA Marshall Space Flight Center CERCLA Site in Alabama. Joe was retained to provide oversight of a NRDA for the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama. Joseph assisted in coordinating the assessment with the natural resource trustees and provided technical support for determining the potential levels of injury and potential scale of compensatory restoration. This project also entailed the use of NEBA to evaluate potential remedial alternatives associated with the site. D Joseph Nicolette Koch Site, Hastings, Minnesota Using natural resource economics -based approaches, Joe supported an assessment of the value to the public of converting a land asset along the Mississippi River to a public recreational use to obtain a consent decree, facilitate site closure, and generate substantial goodwill with the public. The fair market value of the property was $215,000 and the recreational value, given the transfer scenario, was approximately $30 million (see following press release). "Plans Announced for Koch Riverfront Park; City to Complete Bike Trail, Develop Park with Koch Petroleum Group's Gift of Land, April 20, 2000 5:46 PM EDT HASTINGS, Minn., April 20 /PRNewswire/ -- At a ceremony held today on the west bank of the Mississippi River, the City of Hastings and Koch Petroleum Group unveiled a joint initiative to develop a bike trail and a community park on riverfront property currently owned by Koch. David Robertson, president of Koch Petroleum Group, announced the company's donation of 43 acres of Mississippi riverfront land to the city. Hastings Mayor Mike Werner also announced that the city will name the area Koch Riverfront Park. The announcement ceremony, hosted by Werner and Robertson, was held at the riverfront site immediately northwest of downtown Hastings. "We sincerely hope that generations of area families will enjoy the park, and that it will serve as a gathering place that will connect community members to each other and to the river, " said Robertson. The appraised market value of the land is $215,000; its potential recreation value to the public is estimated at $30 million based on a recent study... " RMC, Troutdale Superfund Site, Oregon — CERCLA, NEBA, CWA, NRDA. Joe provided strategic advice regarding the evaluation of remediation options for RMC's 16 -acre NPDES process water pond ("Company Lake"). Regulatory agencies stated a desire to declare the pond a Water of the State. Such a determination would have eliminated RMC's ability to use the pond as part of the plant's NPDES wastewater management system. This would have required closing the plant or constructing a replacement storm water treatment system. Joseph supported a collaborative negotiation process that resulted in integrating pond remediation, continued pond use for NPDES purposes, plant storm water system upgrades, and an informal settlement of NRD claims. Direct savings to RMC in reduced project scope are estimated at more than Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV $1 million. Indirect savings associated with retaining use of Company Lake are believed to exceed $10 million. Land Transfer and Restoration Strategy, Confidential Client, Utah Joe contributed to a study whose purpose was to determine the status of real estate, contamination and natural resource conditions for a large and complex industrial site in Utah. This analysis served to develop a path forward to demonstrate and maximize the value of a site by integrating site cleanup with site reuse and future development. This study considered and integrated Property Reuse Alternatives, Alternative Remedial Approaches, Natural Resource Assets, and Liability Transfer Options. The results of the study provided the high-level framework to establish a reasonable performance target for the eventual reuse of the site and helped the client to maximize the overall ecological and human use values that the site could provide under various reuse scenarios. For most large, complex sites there is an initial degree of uncertainty associated with defining environmental remediation and the potential impact on the real estate and ecological assets of the site. The study process was developed to establish high-level opportunities for value enhancement through the development of a proactive strategy to reduce this uncertainty and effectively reposition the property for sale and future site reuse. This study was a key step in the process to ensure that the site is proactively repositioned, sold and redeveloped. The study also reduced the uncertainty associated with existing environmental remediation and restoration and provides insight into the environmental issues associated with site reuse. Tactical Oil Response Plans. Joe has led the development of tactical response plans for Colonial Pipeline for multiple locations in the SE United States. These plans have been developed with NEBA concepts in mind to assist Colonial in managing response efforts in the event of a release. Joe supports Colonial in annual spill drill events. His role is to help Colonial Pipeline manage environmental impacts and liabilities during an event, including NEBA considerations in OSRP. Pipeline Mitigation Projects Joe led a NEBA to evaluate the mitigation requirements for a pipeline expansion project in Louisiana. This project demonstrated that the compensatory restoration was 60% less than that F• D Joseph Nicolette requested by the USACE. This reduced the client project costs substantially. The results were published in the Oil and Gas Pipeline Magazine. For the same client, Joe led a NEBA to evaluate the mitigation requirements for a pipeline expansion project in Texas. This project demonstrated that the compensatory restoration was significantly less (greater than 50% less) than what was estimated to be requested by the USACE. This analysis incorporated the resource equivalency approaches and consideration of socioeconomic benefits Mitigation Bank Prospectus Development and Financial Cash Flow Analysis For a confidential client, Joe led the evaluation of the remedial liability and buffer land wetland and stream mitigation banking value associated with the clients property. Based on the evaluation, ENVIRON staff calculated the credit values for both the wetland and stream banking opportunities and developed a mitigation bank prospectus that was negotiated with the US Army Corps of Engineers. As with any mitigation banking project, the primary uncertainties in determining the cost and return of a project include: the quantity of credits that can be realized, the market available for the credits, the sale price of the credits and the cost of restoration or creating the credits. Joe conducted an analysis to understand the mitigation banking uncertainties and minimize these uncertainties. A financial cash flow analysis was conducted to bound the project uncertainties. The mitigation bank cash flow financial analysis was conducted based upon our understanding of the credit values, demand and potential site uplift (i.e., number of credits to be allocated). This analysis provided our client with the information necessary to evaluate the business case for the bank as more refined information became available. As such, it provided an "off ramp" should any information arise that would make the mitigation bank non -desirable from a financial perspective. The cash flow analysis was a critical step to determine viability of the project. The cost and returns were predicted under conservative, likely and aggressive scenarios. Confidential Railroad, Litigation Support (Utah, Nevada, Colorado). Joe was retained by a major railroad to support a major litigation case. Joe Nicolette served as Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV a technical expert for the railroad providing expertise related to the environmental effects of chemical releases to the environment (tanker car releases associated with derailments along multiple sites: diesel and sulfuric acid releases) and the NRDA process. He evaluated multiple sites regarding NRDA liability and provided strategic advice to the client regarding potential liabilities. This case was settled prior to deposition. Confidential Paper Company: Private and Public Interest Property Valuation Joe led a study for a large paper company to evaluate the natural resource value associated with buffer properties surrounding a mill that was scheduled for closure. The client was looking to capture eco -asset values not typically considered in fair market valuations. The evaluation considered multiple land parcels for several hundred acres of property and provided an assessment of the "private" and "public' interest value associated with the property. Using this information, the client was able to negotiate the sale of the property, manage site liabilities, and capture value greater than a fair market value. This project included an evaluation of wetland and stream mitigation banking value including calculation and estimation of potential credit values and potential cash-flow for the site. The eco - asset valuation estimated the minimum private interest value (based on the ranges developed in this memorandum) was estimated to be about $7,500,000. The FMV of the property was in the range of $400,000. The overall public interest value was estimated to be $5,200,000. Client used this analysis to inform negotiations regarding the sale of their property. Confidential Client, Los Angeles Harbor, California — NRDA. Joe assisted in an in-depth statistical analysis of sediment toxicity PCB and DDT concentrations. This project entailed a thorough analysis of sediment concentration threshold data and the applicability of these data to represent thresholds in sediments of the Los Angeles Harbor area. This analysis was conducted to provide a sound scientific basis to refute the apparent effects threshold (AET) levels developed by a NOAA expert witness. Statistical Analysis, Lower Bayou d7nde and Calcasieu River Estuary. Joe examined the spatial and temporal trends of hexachlorobenzene, and hexachlorobutadiene F, D Joseph Nicolette (HCB and HCBD, respectively), PCBs, and mercury in sediments and biological tissues in these waterways. Evaluated trend data in response to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) comments regarding analysis of the data. These data will be used in creating a proposed restoration -based compensation approach for the site using NEBA, HEA, and ROA. American Petroleum Institute Aquatic Toxicity Studies. Joe participated in a study to evaluate the toxicity of petroleum products on fish, invertebrates, algae, and zooplankton for use in NRDA's. The purpose of the project was to conduct a critical review of toxicity values for the purposes of identifying potential risks associated with released oil. This study screened about 8,000 references published on the fate and effects of petroleum in the environment. The study evaluated and compared toxicity values for a range of petroleum substances from crude oil to petroleum products. This analysis identified the large disparity between acute (LC50) values for a given compound for the same species and identified the likely causes associated with methods used to derive toxicity values. Conoco, Clooney Loop, Louisiana. Assisted in development of a net environmental benefits analysis to demonstrate that a less intrusive remedy for ethylene dichloride coupled with wetlands restoration resulted in greater environmental benefit than dredging remedy. Resulted in a cost savings of $19 million to Conoco. Exxon Valdez, Alaska. When the supertanker Exxon Valdez struck a rock reef and spilled approximately 11 million gallons of crude oil into Prince William Sound, Joe participated in a project to evaluate the impacts of the oil release on invertebrate populations in selected Prince William Sound areas. The purpose of the work was to collect data to contribute to a NEBA. Data were collected to describe the epifauna and epiflora, cryptic fauna, and infauna of oiled and reference beaches and to relate the composition, numbers, and vertical distribution of infauna to the amounts of subsurface oil. International Project Examples Landmark Enforcement Case, U.K. Joe provided technical oversight (2013) for a recent landmark Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV enforcement undertaking in the U.K. for a water pollution offence. This was the first enforcement undertaking accepted by the environment agency for a pollution incident. Joe led the technical effort for the client's external legal representation in assessing suitable actions to compensate for the environmental impacts of a river pollution incident. The technical basis for the resolution was the use of a resource equivalency analysis approach (i.e., habitat equivalency analysis — HEA). The Environment Agency accepted an enforcement undertaking as a practical alternative to a prosecution and fine. This was the first case in the U.K. to use this approach. Lago Maggiore, Italy Joe led a Comparative Analysis (CA) (e.g. a NEBA) to provide a formal quantification of the change in key ecosystem service values that would be associated with the implementation of a remedial action and compares those changes to costs and predicted changes in risk. The goal of a CA is to provide information to support the selection of remedial alternatives that maximize benefits to the public, while managing site risks and costs. Offshore Decommissioning O&G platforms and FPSO's in the North Sea and Western Australia Confidential Clients Joe was the Principal Investigator leading NEBA efforts associated with the decommissioning of offshore O&G platforms and FPSO's (Australia and the North Sea). These NEBA projects entail an understanding of the environmental conditions of the site; subsea infrastructure design, removal alternatives that can be considered for the site, ROV analysis, fate and transport of potential chemical releases and baseline conditions, ecological and human risk assessment evaluations for both potential chemical (NORM, petroleum, mercury, etc.) releases and physical impacts associated with removal alternative implementation; associated GHG emissions of removal alternatives; human use evaluation of the sites (e.g., commercial, recreational fisheries); Marine life and CITES evaluations; baseline and predictive impact assessment; and worker health and safety. Arctic NEBA, Oil and Gas Industry. Joe worked as part of an integrated team to develop a NEBA tool for oil spill response and planning for the Oil and Gas Producers Joseph Nicolette (OGP) Joint Industry Group (JIP) related to oil spill response and planning in the Arctic. The overall goal of the Phase 2 Project is to help evaluate oil spill response technologies, their application in the Arctic environment, and develop a decision-making tool to limit environmental and social impacts in the event of an oil release. Ecosystem Services Analysis of Chlorpyrifos Use in Citrus Production, Spain Joe led an analysis of the effects on ecosystem services (ES) of using an agricultural insecticide (chlorpyrifos) in citrus orchards in south- eastern Spain to identify risk management actions and understand the consequences of the hypothetical situation of discontinued use of chlorpyrifos. Farmers rely on chlorpyrifos to limit the occurrence of skin blemishes on the surface of citrus fruit caused by scale insects. Citrus fruit is graded for sale based on size, shape and lack of skin blemishes under European marketing regulations; farmers only make a profit when unblemished fruit is sold in Europe. ES, including income, were compared for the current status and the hypothetical scenario. The study concluded that discontinuation of chlorpyrifos use would result in significant economic losses for the region when only a small change in current orchard management, such as using a vegetated conservation area for risk mitigation, could offset potential ecological impacts while maintaining farmer's income and the recreational value of orchards to local people. The study informed advocacy discussions between the client, scientists and policy makers responsible for pesticide authorisation in Europe. Ecosystem Services Analysis of an Agricultural Molluscicide used in the UK Joe led an analysis of the effects on ecosystem services (ES) of using an agricultural molluscicide in winter wheat and oilseed rape production in the UK. These are key crops and farmers in north- western Europe rely on the control of slugs using pelleted molluscicides for crop protection. The study compared marketing leading molluscicides and presented the costs and benefits of each across a range of ecosystem services, including crop production, habitat services (e.g. indicator farmland species), soil and drinking water services. The findings informed advocacy discussions with pesticide regulators at a national level and had implications for other environmental policies, such as the European Water Framework Directive. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV Ecosystem Services Analysis of 1,3-Dichloropropene (1,3-D) Use in Tomato Production, Italy The use of 1,3- D as a soil fumigant for the control of damaging nematode pests in tomato production in Southern Italy and Sicily was evaluated using an ecosystem services approach. 1,3- D is currently approved for emergency use in Italian tomato cultivation, although its use is widespread and well established amongst growers. A field visit and interviews with farmers underpinned the socio-economic aspects of the study. The findings compared traditional chemical controls (1,3-D) with perceived `green' approaches to cultivation, such as soil solarisation (covering soil with plastic) and biofumigation (use of biological fumigants). The study provided an analysis of the costs and benefits to the environmental and socio-economic services for each alternative, which could be used to inform policy makers. Database Design and Structuring Examples Gulf of Mexico Baseline Database System Development - Deepwater Horizon (2010-2015). Based on his experience in NRDA combined with his large scale relational database training, design, and management, Joseph was assigned to serve as technical lead for the development of a baseline information management system incorporating ecological, chemical, physical, socioeconomic, and GIS mapping data in the Gulf of Mexico. This database system was used to evaluate the potential for natural resource damages associated with ecological and human use services in the Gulf of Mexico, and incorporated data from Florida, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas. North Carolina Acid Deposition Program: USEPA Acid Deposition and Fisheries Populations in the Northeast U.S. Joe designed this database system that contains chemical, physical and biological data on fish populations potentially impacted by acidic deposition. The development of this complex database required integration and coordination of multiple databases across multiple U.S. states and development of a database structure to allow data transfer. The database was used by the USEPA in evaluating acid deposition. Adirondack Lakes Acid Deposition Data Management System. This is a nationally recognized database which incorporated physical, biological and chemical data Joseph Nicolette associated with over 1,700 lakes in New York State. The database was funded by the State of New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NYDEC) and the Empire State Electric Energy Corporation (ESEERCO). The Adirondack Lake database was used primarily for acid deposition assessment by the EPA and the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP). Selected Publications and Project Reports Deacon, S., Norman, S., Nicolette, J., Reub, G., Greene, G., Osborn, R., and Andrews, P. 2015. Integrating ecosystem services into risk management decisions: Case study with Spanish citrus and the insecticide chlorpyrifos. Science of the Total Environment. Elsevier publishing. 505 (2015) 732-739. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.10.034 Nicolette, J., Burr, S., and Rockel, M. 2013. A Practical Approach for Demonstrating Environmental Sustainability and Stewardship through a Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. Sustainability 2013, 5, 2152-2177; doi:10.3390/su5052152, Published May 10, 2013. Nicolette, J., Goldsmith, B., Wenning, R., Barber, T., and Colombo, Fabio. 2013, Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage. Chapter 9 of the book entitled "The E.U. Liability Directive: A Commentary", edited by L. Berkamp and B. Goldsmith. Published March 14, 2013, Oxford Press. Pages 181-219. Colombo, F., Nicolette, J., Wenning, R., and M. Travers. 2012. Incorporating Ecosystem Service Valuation in the Assessment of Risk and Remedy Implementation. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 28, 55-60 DOI: 10.3303/CET1228010 Nicolette, J. Rockel, M. and D. Pelletier. 2011. Incorporating Ecosystem Service Valuation into Remedial Decision -Making: Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. American Bar Association. Superfund and Natural Resource Damage Litigation Committee Newsletter, December 2011, Vol. 7. No. 1. S. Deacon, A. Goddard, N. Eury, and J. Nicolette. 2010. Assessing risks to ecosystems: Using a net Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV environmental benefit analysis framework to assist with environmental decision-making. In Restoration and Recovery: Regenerating Land and Communities. British Land Reclamation Society. Whittles Publishing, Scotland, U.K. pages 164-175. A. Campioni, J. Nicolette and V. Magar. 2010. Riparazione danno ambientale: valutazione tecnica/economica. Rifiuti e bonifiche: www.ambientesicurezza.ilsole24ore.com. Pages 57- 60. S. Deacon, N. Eury, J. Nicolette, and M. Travers. 2010. The European Environmental Liability Directive and Comparisons with U.S. Natural Resource Damage Assessment Regulations. Air and Waste Management Association. Nicolette, J. 2008. Contributing Author. Use of net environmental benefit analysis to demonstrate the Net Benefit of Site Cleanup Actions: An Evaluation of Ecological and Economic Metrics at Two Superfund Sites. US. EPA Pilot Studies Report. Nicolette, J. 2003-2004 Contributing Author.: Net environmental benefit analyses (NEBA) for 4 Army BRAC Sites: Fort McClellan, AL, Savanna Army Depot, IL and Camp Bonneville, WA. Four separate technical study reports). Technical Reports. Efroymson, R., Nicolette, J. and Suter, G. 2004. A Framework for net environmental benefit analysis for remediation or restoration of contaminated sites. Environmental Management. September 2004. Vol. 34: (3): pp 315-331. Efroymson, R.A., Nicolette, J. and Suter II, G.W. (2003). A Framework for Net Environmental Benefit Analysis for Remediation or Restoration of Petroleum -Contaminated Sites. Oak Ridge National Laboratory (TM -2003/17), Oak Ridge, Tennessee. Nicolette, J., Rockel, M. and Kealy M. 2001. Quantifying ecological changes helps determine best mitigation. Pipeline and Gas Industry Magazine. September 2001. Joseph Nicolette CH2MHILL/Marstel-Day, Inc. Contributing Author (2003-2004): Net environmental benefit analyses (NEBA) for Fort McClellan, AL, Savanna Army Depot, IL and Camp Bonneville, WA. Technical Reports. CH2MHILL. Contributing Author (2003-2004): Net environmental benefit analyses for OU6 and OU1 at Edwards Air Force Base, CA. Technical Reports. CH2M Hill. 2000. Environmental Assessment and Closure Report, Goose Creek, Knoxville, Tennessee Release Site. Prepared for the Tennessee Department of Environmental Conservation on Behalf of Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. CH2M Hill. 2000. Draft Response Action Plan. Terminal Road Site, Newington, Virginia. Prepared for the Plantation Pipeline Company. February 4. CH2M Hill. 2000. Contributing Author. Benthic Macroinvertebrate Sampling Plan, Rich Fork Release, North Carolina. Prepared for the Plantation Pipeline Company. CH2M Hill. 2000. Contributing Author. Evaluation of the Koch Hastings terminal Site with Regards to an NRDA. Prepared for Koch Petroleum. CH2M Hill. 1999-2001. Contributing Author. Quarterly Monitoring Reports aor the Darling Creek, Louisiana Site. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Quarterly Reports Beginning in First Quarter of 1999 Through 2000. CH2M Hill. 1999. Contributing Author. Net Environmental Benefits Analysis of Treatability Studies. Prepared for NASA (Marshall Space Flight Center) Superfund Site. CH2M Hill and Peacock, B. 1999. Contributing Author. Final Restoration Plan and Environmental Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline and the Natural Resource Trustees. Final Restoration Plan for the Sugarland Run Oil Spill, NRDA case. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV CH2M Hill 1999. Contributing Author. Preliminary Natural Resources Asset and Liability Management Study. Prepared for Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E). Entrix, Nicolette Environmental, Inc., and Peacock, B. 1998. Draft Restoration Plan and Environmental Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline and the Natural Resource Trustees. Draft Restoration Plan (for public review) for the Sugarland Run Oil Spill, NRDA case. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998c. Reedy River Fisheries Population Assessment. Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment, Report (Volumes I and II). Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft. April 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998d. Reedy River Ecological Assessment Studies: Conducted as part of the Reedy River NRDA. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Entrix. 1998a. Contributing Author. Water Quality Assessment: Conducted in Response to the Reedy River Incident. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft April 3. Entrix. 1998b. Contributing Author. Reedy River Aquatic Macroinvertebrate Assessment: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft April 3. Entrix. 1998c. Contributing Author. Preliminary Recreational Lost Use and Compensatory Restoration Assessment: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft April 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998a. Reedy River Corbicula Population and PAH Bioaccumulation Assessment: Conducted as Part of Joseph Nicolette the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft. April 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998b. Reedy River Crayfish Population and PAH Bioaccumulation Assessment — Oct 1996 and Sep 1997: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft. Apr 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1997. Quality Assurance Project Plan for the Reedy River Incident. Entrix. 1996a. Contributing Author. Reedy River Natural Resource Damage Assessment: Current Status and Proposed Approach. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft September 11. Entrix. 1996b. Contributing Author. Assessing Potential Injury to Wildlife Along the Reedy River: A discussion Prepared as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft October 15. Entrix. 1996. Contributing Author. Natural Resource Credit Analysis for a Confidential Site. Based upon the Habitat Equivalency Analysis Framework. Confidential Client. Markarian, R.K., J.P. Nicolette, T. Barber, and L. Giese. 1995. A Critical Review of Toxicity Values and an Evaluation of the Persistence of Petroleum Products for Use in Natural Resource Damage Assessments. American Petroleum Institute (API) Publication Number 4594. January. Nicolette, J.P., T.R. Barber, R.K. Markarian, T.W. Cervino, and D.V. Pearson. 1995. A Cooperative Natural Resource Damage Assessment (NRDA) case study: Coloial pipeline release, Reston, Virginia. Proceedings: Toxic Substances in Water Environments. Assessment and Control: Water Environment Federation. Pp. 7-21 to 7-32. May. Entrix. 1995. Contributing Author. Analytical Chemistry Results: Oyster and Sediment Samples from the Quinnipiac River, Connecticut. Prepared for Buckeye Pipeline Company and the Connecticut State Department of Agriculture. Entrix. 1995.c Contributing Author. Habitat Equivalency Analysis: Overview, Definition of Terms, and Debit Calculations for Sugarland Run, NRDA. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Addendum to the Fisheries Injury Assessment for Sugarland Run. Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix, 1994. Contributing Author. Mass Balance of Spilled Diesel: Simulation Modeling. Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Fish Population Survey and Injury Assessment for Sugarland Run: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Benthic Macroinvertebrate Survey of Sugarland Run, Broad Run, and the Potomac River: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. For Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Corbicula PAH Bioaccumulation Study for Sugarland Run and the Potomac River: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. For Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Preliminary Survey: Analytical Chemistry Data Analysis for Sugarland Run and the Potomac River: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV F -14i Joseph Nicolette for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Vegetation Survey and Natural Communities of the Potomac River from Lowes Island to Chicamuxen Creek. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc., the USEPA, and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. NRDA Study Plan and Status: Sugarland Run and the Potomac River: Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Response Action Plan for Remediation of Spilled Diesel. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Quality Assurance Project Plan. Supplement to the Response Action Plan. Specific action to address Section 10.1 of the EPA Unilateral Order. Prepared for the Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Preliminary Survey Plan for Sugarland Run and the Potomac River in response to the EPA Administrative Order regarding the Sugarland Run oil spill. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the NR Trustees. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Sediment and Water Quality Toxicity Tests for Sugarland Run. Conducted as part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1992. Contributing Author. Oil Spill Response and Impact Assessment Report for British Petroleum (BP). Norfolk, Virginia Crude Oil Release. Entrix. 1992. Oil and Oil Product Toxicity Database User's Guide for OILTOX. Prepared for the American Petroleum Institute. Entrix. 1991. Contributing Author. Instream Flow Study and Gravel Enhancement on the White Salmon Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV River, Washington. FERC Relicensing Agency Review Document. Entrix. 1990. Contributing Author. Biological Data Report on the Intertidal Communities of Prince William Sound. Prepared for Exxon. Part of an evaluation of the environmental costs associated with oil cleanup in Prince William Sound as a result of the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Pilot Study Report -Predation by Piscivorous Fish in the Lower Tuolumne River, 1989. 1991. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. An Evaluation of the Effect of Gravel Ripping on Redd Distribution in the Lower Tuolumne River. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Tuolumne River Summer Flow Study. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Chinook Salmon Redd Excavations. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Adirondack Lakes Study: 1984-1987: An Evaluation of Fish Communities and Water Chemistry. Adirondack Lakes Survey Corp., NY. Final Report. Nicolette, J.P. and G.R. Spangler. 1986. Contributing Author. Population Characteristics of Adult Pink Salmon in Two Minnesota Tributaries to Lake Superior. Journal of Great Lakes Research. 12(4):237-250. Bagdovitz, M., W. Taylor, J. Nicolette, and G.R. Spangler. 1986. Contributing Author. Pink Salmon Populations in the U.S. Waters of Lake Superior, Joseph Nicolette 1981-1984. Journal of Great Lakes Research. 12(1):72-81. Nicolette, J.P. 1984. Contributing Author. A Three - Year -Old Pink Salmon In An Odd -Year Run in Lake Superior." North American Journal of Fisheries Management. Vol. 4(1):130-132. Baker, J, Harvey, T. and J.P. Nicolette. 1984. Contributing Author. Compilation of Available Data on the Status of Fish Populations in Regions of the Eastern U.S. Final Report to the Environmental Protection Agency, Corvallis, OR. Nicolette, J.P. 1983. Contributing Author. Population Dynamics of Pink Salmon in Two Minnesota Tributaries to Lake Superior. M.S. Thesis. University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN. 94 p. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV F-16