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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2023-2-24-SAC Meeting SummaryNC Nutrient Criteria Development Plan – Scientific Advisory Council (SAC) 2/24/2023 Page 1 of 6 Attendees SAC members in attendance: Jim Bowen Jud Kenworthy (SAC Co-Chair) Jessie Jarvis Martin Lebo Lauren Petter Michael O’Driscoll Fritz Rohde Hans Paerl (SAC Co-Chair) Marcelo Ardon NCDEQ staff in attendance: Note: may not have captured all DEQ staff in attendance Rich Gannon Chris Ventaloro Susie Meadows (note taker) Pam Behm Nora Deamer Anne Deaton Charlie Deaton Timothy Ellis Karen Higgins Paul Cough Heather Jennings Mark Vander Borgh Elizabeth Kountis Paul Wojoski Jill Paxson Others: Nathan Hall (UNC), Anne Coan, Clifton Bell, TJ Lynch, Andy McDaniels, Doug Durbin SAC meeting facilitator: Emily Barrett Meeting notes ***All questions, comments and answers are paraphrased*** 1) Convene (Emily Barrett) • DEQ/SAC introductions 2) Recap of the SAC Charter (Emily Barrett): • Approval of last meetings minutes: Jud motioned for approval, second from Lauren and all in favor. • Striving for Consensus. An option is a 5-finger voting method: 1= 100% happy, 2= I like it, 3= I can live with it, 4= I disagree & I want it noted but I’m willing to go with the group, 5= I disagree. 3) Scientific Support Document for the SAV Water Clarity Standard (Jud): • Members need to decide if they want to comment more or approve it. NC Nutrient Criteria Development Plan – Scientific Advisory Council (SAC) 2/24/2023 Page 2 of 6 o Jim: No objection, however, an alternative of 1 in 3 is not to exceed. Some folks don’t like it that much. o Lauren: Agree with Jim that there could be a concern about that, but the document looked good. o Marcelo: Also agree, but the separation between low & high salinity, not sure if it’s in there (a definition or by reference). o Jud: The difference between them isn’t as critical in this document as it will be in the implementation steps. o Marcelo: Makes sense. o Hans: Quick clarification on thought process. It’s tied into the nutrient criteria development process. Wanted to emphasize this is to be able to link into criteria development. o Jud: Comments on expectations on moving forward. Will we be involved in implementation steps of the criteria? o Chris: Yes, we’ll carry on the conversation of SAC providing input on monitoring and things to consider with assessment and the nutrient criteria development. o Jud: Something to think about, we should have a serious discussion on low and high salinity implementation of the criteria and unshackling them. Our monitoring program and understanding of the abundance and status of our high salinity SAV resource is much more advanced than it is for our low salinity SAV resource. We have a good monitoring program established in the APNEP partnership, to move faster with the high salinity then low salinity. o Jud: I think we have a consensus on the document. o Official approvals: • Marcelo Approve with 1 • Jim B: Approve with 1 • Rachael G: not present but communicated with Jud that she was in full support of the document. • Jesse: Approve with 1 • Jud: Approve with 1 • Martin: Approve with 2 • Michael: Approve with 1 • Hans: Approve with 1 • Lauren: Approve with 1 • Fritz: Approve with 1 • Wilson: not present NC Nutrient Criteria Development Plan – Scientific Advisory Council (SAC) 2/24/2023 Page 3 of 6 4) Results of Albemarle-Pamlico National Estuary Partnership (APNEP) Study and Implications to Assessment Variability: (Nathan)(Slides shown): (Slides shown) Presenting some of the data on kPAR, looking at special and seasonal variability throughout Albemarle-Pamlico for low salinity clarity standard. There hasn’t been a lot of PAR attenuation measurements made. Most of the data for low salinity is from secchi disk data collected by NCDWR and NCDMF over the last 20-30 yrs (so a lot of secchi data). But, secchi disk depth isn’t always the best predicter of PAR attenuation. These systems that vary in color and amount of suspended sediment they have; that variability can really throw off relationships between secchi depth and PAR. So, it means we need real PAR attenuation data. • We have some PAR through: EPA Coastal Condition Assessment (every 5 yr snap shot at a few estuarine locations since 2010), ModMon (Neuse River Modeling and Monitoring (~20 yrs, biweekly/monthly in Neuse & southwest Pamlico), a special study with APNEP to look at PAR attenuation data (2021 & 2022, 5 station in Pamlico, 7 station in Albemarle). And Hans and I have study going on in Albemarle, spring through fall project looking at blooms. US Army Corp put out instruments to measure continuous PAR attenuation with 3 years of data at 2 sites and a less data at 3 other sites. Showing slides of APNEP/DWR special study from Chowan River and Albemarle Sound. Two lines on the graph shown, the solid represents 1.36 /meter PAR which is the current proposed standard for clarity (that gets 13% of PAR down to a depth of 1.5 meters). Jud requested inclusion of a dashed line which is at 1.61/m (that gets 13% of PAR down to the depth of the median SAV distribution that’s been measured in the low salinity areas). The Chowan River, Alligator River and western part Albemarle Sound are going to fail these criteria based on the data, they are well above the 1.36/m proposed criteria. The middle and eastern part are really close to the criteria. • Jim: Repeat what the 1.61 represents. • Nathan: It’s the median of the measured SAV depth distribution. 50% are shallower than that depth and 50% are deeper. Average over the whole low salinity area. • Jud: That line is the median detected depth distribution, the actual maximum depth distribution is closer to the solid line in the graph shown. Gives a better feel for the center of gravity. • Nathan: The median depth of the SAV distribution is 1.36/m, the PAR attenuation of 1.61/m gets you 13% of light down to 1.36 meters. • Jim: And the 1.36 is the median of the SAV out there now, but not the median of the depth distribution. • Jud: right. • Pam: These look like established station numbers, are they mid-channel? • Nathan: Yes, they are mid-channel. NC Nutrient Criteria Development Plan – Scientific Advisory Council (SAC) 2/24/2023 Page 4 of 6 • Martin: This is a full year for 2021. If you just took data from the growing season, how would the graph change? • Nathan: Doesn’t change a lot. Western failing, center and eastern part meet flow standard. • Emily: Wanted to draw SAC member attention to the chat. From Clifton: In case my question can be considered: As proposed, pass/fail would be based on the “worst” year in a multi-year assessment period. Do these data give any sense of the interannual variability? Are these maps “optimistic” since they are not necessarily based on the “worst year? • Nathan: This is 1 year of data I’m showing now, so there’s no way to assess interannual variability. Not sure how 2021 would stack up to other years. Next slide: This is 2 years (2021 & 2022) of data, April through November, at 10 stations including some tribs. Same story, western part failed, center & eastern parts are going to pass and all the tribs will fail. In Pasquotank, Scuppernong & Alligator rivers have really high CDOM concentrations (looks like coffee). How much is natural CDOM? Probably very high, especially in Pasquotank, like 90%. • Jesse: Were there any observations of SAVs with these? • Nathan: No, the only station, at mouth of alligator river, is close to high seagrass levels. • Martin: The slide is indicating that 2022 has less light clarity? • Nathan: Right, there is some variability based on the sampling date that effects this comparison. Next Slide: Plotted raw data versus the time of year so we can see the seasonality. The winter may have been more turbid, late December was the clearest time of year, whereas late Jan- Feb was worst clarity. Not a lot of seasonality. Pamlico River shows the upper areas are meeting the criteria and the lower are not. This is 12 months of data. Then just during growing season. Neuse river looks similar, just 2021 data, upstream stations are not meeting std, but downstream are. Some evidence of seasonality. ModMon data 2021-2022: no strong seasonality. Overall: the picture emerging from this data: upstream of our rivers are not meeting std, but downstream is. Corroborates previous analysis based on KdPAR estimates from Secchi disk. Conclusions: Upper parts of tribs currently would fail proposed clarity std. Open waters of Albemarle Sound are borderline. Lower parts of Neuse & Pamlico will pass. Hints of seasonality in some areas. Continued work in collaboration with APNEP, NCDWR & ModMon to recalibrate bio-optical model for low salinity areas and KPAR data from 2022 is coming. • Nora: How will the model help us understand what’s happening to concentrations in the meadows? NC Nutrient Criteria Development Plan – Scientific Advisory Council (SAC) 2/24/2023 Page 5 of 6 • Nathan: Model will help us breakdown the PAR attenuation and different components. One way it could help understand what’s going on in the meadow versus out in the deep water… if CDOM is the main light attenuating substance in some of these areas, I don’t think it’s going to change in the shallow vs the deep. That could help us know that the CDOM is the main light attenuating substance in the shallows. We’re not sampling in the shoals/shallow areas. • Nora: How close to an SAV bed do we have to have data for? • Nathan: Don’t know. • Jud: In designing the monitoring program for application to SAV there’s lots of evidence that the meadows themselves are engineering the environment they are living in and control the optical characteristics. Especially suspended sediments. Going to be very important to have stations imbedded in the monitoring network that align with stem channel stations so that we can see the effect of the SAV. • Pam: Focusing on application of the standard, what’s appropriate, where it needs to be monitored, how it needs to be monitored needs to be set in place first before we start talking about assessment. Nervous we’re jumping to assessment too quickly. • Hans: Secchi vs PAR in Pamilco would be additionally useful. • Nathan: Did it and can send it to you. • Jesse: Having the water quality data without having compared SAV data only gives half the story and especially if we’re trying to make clarity for that. In future efforts when we’re doing this, I think need to show all of it, how it works with the SAV. • Nathan: Question – what happens if you go outside of the seagrass bed and measure light attenuation and it’s terrible, then you come into he seagrass bed and it’s great, what do you say in terms of impairment or not? • Jesse: For a lot of water clarity standards when they are using SAV as a metric they consider both the presence of SAV as meeting the metric and the water quality standard also meeting the metric. Best to have inside and outside measurements. If you have grass, there then it’s meeting the requirements of the grass. The frequency becomes an issue. 5) Wrapping up (Jud): Challenge is in the low salinity areas, which have a compounding factor of CDOM. Might be good to unshackle these 2 criteria. Problems seem to be mostly in low salinity areas. When Nathan did this exercise, it was surprising and tells us we need to move forward with higher salinity protection while working out the low salinity issues. 6) Next Steps (Emily Barrett): NC Nutrient Criteria Development Plan – Scientific Advisory Council (SAC) 2/24/2023 Page 6 of 6 • Next meeting is a HOLD for March 31, 2023 at 9am-12pm. Until will can assess Staff’s availability. Right now, it is setup as virtual. 7) Closing (Emily Barrett) 8) Meeting Adjourned (Emily Barrett)