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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAttachment B_Battleship Special Investigatons Final Report_January 2017US Army Corps of Engineers Wilmington District SPECIAL INVESTIGATIONS REPORT USS BATTLESHIP NORTH CAROLINA MEMORIAL HYDROLOGY AND HYDRAULICS REVIEW AND POTENTIAL STORMWATER IMPROVEMENTS January 2017 Preface The USS Battleship North Carolina Memorial is located on the west bank of the Cape Fear River in New Hanover County, directly across from the Wilmington waterfront. It is owned by the State of North Carolina and operated by state employees. The Park serves as a memorial to North Carolinians who gave their lives in World War II, as well as an education center and top tourist destination in the State of North Carolina. In February of 2016, the Wilmington District visited the USS Battleship NC Memorial Park following a request for assistance from Park officials concerning repetitive flooding events at the Park. Although flooding events have occurred through the Parks history, there was concern from Park officials that the frequency of these events had drastically increased in recent years. These flooding events are a concern to the Park because of their economic, environmental and operational impacts to the Park, as well as increased public safety concerns. The Wilmington District discussed possible options for assistance from the USACE. These options included a limited investigation through the Corps Special Investigations program, and a Section 205 Flood Risk Management project through the Corps Continuing Authorities Program. After consideration, the Battleship Memorial expressed interest in pursuing a limited investigation under the Special Investigations program which would provide an analysis of hydrology and hydraulics in the lower Cape Fear, as well as preliminary analysis on potential storm water drainage improvements on the Park property. This investigative report provides information from these analysis. The information is intended to assist with potential planning decisions as well as provide some insight into the flooding events in recent years. Contents 1.0 Background............................................................................................................................................. 4 2.0 Field Review........................................................................................................................................... 6 3.0 Flooding Sources.................................................................................................................................... 8 4.0 Water Level Analysis.............................................................................................................................. 9 4.1 Tidal Analysis...................................................................................................................................... 9 4.2 Sea Level Rise................................................................................................................................... 15 4.3 Cape Fear River Water Levels......................................................................................................... 16 4.4 Jordan Dam Releases....................................................................................................................... 17 4.5 Land Subsidence............................................................................................................................... 24 5.0 Potential Improvement Alternatives................................................................................................... 25 5.1 Alternative 1 - Stormwater Drainage Improvements..................................................................... 25 5.2 Alternative 2 - Increase Land Elevation........................................................................................... 25 5.3 Alternative 3 - Levee Protection...................................................................................................... 26 6.0 Summary and Recommendations........................................................................................................ 26 Appendix A - Battleship Aerial Plates (1-3) Appendix B - Cost Information 1.0 Background The USS Battleship North Carolina Memorial is moored adjacent to the Cape Fear River across from Wilmington, NC. As a significant tourist destination and education center it receives over one quarter -million visitors each year. Of concern is recurrent flooding of the Park property and entrance road, which according to Park officials, has increased significantly in recent years. This flooding comes primarily from the Cape Fear River during high tide events and has led to significant impacts to the Park. The following are impacts as reported by Park officials: Economic Impacts of Flooding: ➢ Lost revenue due to low or no visitation during flood events ➢ Lost revenue due to cancelled park and ship rentals ➢ Delays in deliveries of goods and services needed to operate the Memorial ➢ Delays to repair and renovations contracts ➢ Damage to facilities, ramps and maintenance vehicles ➢ Damage to landscaping — Trees and shrubs continue to die ➢ Potential loss of grants for park beautification due to risk of loss of shrubs and trees ➢ Damaged and disrupted utility services (electric, plumbing, etc.) ➢ Negative impressions among visitors & potential visitors regarding flooding will impact numbers of families planning to visit ➢ Lost revenue from water taxi sales (impacts both Battleship and Downtown Wilmington) Environmental Impacts of Flooding: ➢ Shoreline erosion ➢ Increased litter and debris in waterways ➢ Navigation hazards ➢ Erosion of visitor center support piles ➢ Sink holes in parking lot ➢ Possible sewage spills due to design of lift station Operational Impacts: ➢ Increased liability for personal injury and property damage to visitors ➢ Increased likelihood of injuries to staff and damage to personal vehicles ➢ Delays in staff reporting to work ➢ Forced closures and delayed openings ➢ Strains on the infrastructure (Mooring lines, hull, ship structure) Following a request form Park officials, US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) staff visited the Park in February 2016.The site was inspected by USACE staff both on 1 February 2016, and during severe flood conditions on 8 February 2016. The level of flooding on 8 February exceeded the normal flooding levels experienced at the park due to the addition of stormwater runoff from a recent rainfall in addition to the high tide event. The photos in Figure 1 show comparative views. Figure 1. Comparative views from the deck of the USS NC Battleship Memorial without flooding on 1 February 2016 during a lower tide, and during an extreme flooding event on 8 February 2016. After discussion with Park officials about potential options for Corps assistance, it was determined that a preliminary investigation would be conducted under the Special Investigations Program. This investigation would provide an analysis of hydrology and hydraulics in the lower Cape Fear, as well as provide a preliminary analysis on potential storm water drainage improvements on the Park property. The following sections of the report describe the analyses and findings. 2.0 Field Review This section gives an overview of the field review conducted at the outset of the investigation. During inspection at the time of flood conditions on 8 February2016, water from the Cape Fear River was noted to flow west, laterally over the river bank and into the parking area (Figure 2). Figure 2. Flooding from the Cape Fear River on 8 February 2016. View from Memorial to East. River water was also flowing in the low lying marsh areas west of the parking areas and over USS North Carolina Road (Figure 3). Figure 3. Flooded entrance USS North Carolina Road. View from memorial to South. A peak tide level of 4.24 ft NAVD88 was recorded at the NOAA National Ocean Service downtown Wilmington gage (ID: 8658120). The Wilmington tide gage is located on the Cape Fear River 0.6 miles downstream of the Battleship. Floodwater rose significantly faster than it receded along the roadways and parking areas. The receding floodwater was hindered by an undersized and damaged drainage system at the site. A second site inspection and topographic survey of the drainage features was conducted on 2 June 2016 during non -flood conditions. The survey elevation data is provided in Plate 1 in Appendix A. During the inspection it was noted that the drainage inlets and pipes at the southeast corner of the parking lot along the north side of USS North Carolina Road were damaged and undersized. Standing water was noted during low tide (figure 4). The 36" RCP at the outlet into the Cape Fear River is undersized and was partially blocked with riprap and debris (Figure 5). Figure 4. Drainage South of Memorial Parking Area. Figure 5. Drainage Outlet at Cape Fear River — undersized and partially blocked The drainage ditch along the south side of USS North Carolina Road was noted to be overgrown with vegetation and requiring clearing and re -grading to provide a constant slope. An abandoned 30" RCP driveway culvert was located 140 ft east of the Battleship Road intersection and should be removed. The 30" RCP under Battleship Road NE and the 30" outlet into the Cape Fear River are both undersized. Inadequate drainage was also noted in the northwest corner of the parking lot where elevations were under 2.0 ft NAVD88 and prone to frequent flooding. 3.0 Flooding Sources The major flooding events at the Battleship Memorial are caused by high water on the Cape Fear River. When the Cape Fear River reaches elevation 2.70 ft NAVD88, water begins to overtop its banks and flow into the vehicle parking areas and grassed park areas at the Memorial. At elevation 3.30 ft NAVD88, river water begins to overtop NCDOT roadways USS North Carolina Road and Battleship Road NE. River water can also enter the Memorial area from the low -land marsh areas west of the Battleship. A color shaded elevation map of the area surrounding the Memorial is provided in Plate 2 in Appendix A. Stormwater runoff can worsen flood conditions at the Memorial but is secondary to high River water levels. Stormwater drainage is hindered by the undersized and damaged pipe network (see section 2.0). 4.0 Water Level Analysis The purpose of this analysis was to investigate the recent flooding events at the Battleship Memorial and evaluate any increase in frequency of flooding. The analysis focused on flooding events during the following months: a. January 2015 b. September 2015 c. October 2015 d. November 2015 e. February 2016 4.1 Tidal Analysis A summary of tide datums, elevations and ranges for the Wilmington tide gage is provided in Table 1 on the following page. The mean high tide is 2.06 ft NAVD88 with a mean tide range of 4.28 ft. Flooding at the Battleship Memorial frequently occurs during periods of spring tides that occur twice a month during the full and new moons. A perigean spring tide typically occurs several times a year when the moon is closest to Earth and also occurs near a new or full moon and results in the highest tides of the year. In 2015 perigean tides occurred in January, September and October. September was a rare event in that the moon was the closest to Earth on the same day as a full moon resulting in the highest astronomical tide in six years. The next perigean tide will occur on May 25, 2017. Table 1 - Summary of Tide Elevations, Wilmington, NC Station ID: 8658120 Datum STND (ft) MLLW (ft) NAVD88 (ft) Description MHHW 7.13 4.68 2.31 Mean Higher -High Water MHW 6.88 4.43 2.06 Mean High Water MSL 4.89 2.44 0.07 Mean Sea Level NAVD88 4.82 2.37 0.00 North American Vertical Datum of 1988 DTL 4.79 2.34 -0.03 Mean Diurnal Tide Level MTL 4.74 2.29 -0.08 Mean Tide Level MLW 2.61 0.16 -2.21 Mean Low Water MLLW 2.45 0.00 -2.37 Mean Lower -Low Water STND 0.00 -2.45 -4.82 Station Datum MN 4.28 4.28 4.28 Mean Range of Tide Maximum 10.60 8.15 5.78 Highest Observed Water Level Max Date & Time 10/15/1954 12:30 Highest Observed Water Level Date/Time Minimum 0.59 -1.86 -4.23 Lowest Observed Water Level Min Date & Time 2/12/1981 10:30 Lowest Observed Water Level Date/Time HAT 8.1 5.65 3.28 Highest Astronomical Tide HAT Date & Time 4/8/1993 3:12 HAT Date and Time LAT 1.78 -0.67 -3.04 Lowest Astronomical Tide LAT Date & Time 1/21/1996 9:18 LAT Date and Time The daily mean tide levels at the Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach gages are provided in Figures 6 and 7 on the following page. From the figures, a significant spike in the tide can be noted in the fall of 2015. The repeated flooding in the fall of 2015 occurred when higher than normal astronomical tides coincided with persistent onshore winds and low pressure systems including Hurricane Joaquin. The meteorological factors compounded the high tides resulting in a long duration of elevated water levels along the mid -Atlantic coast of the US. Average Daily Water Level Wilmington (NOS 8658120) 2.5 2 T 1.5 -2 ' 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 Date (year) Data Interval Daily Figure 6 — Average Daily Water Level at Wilmington Tide Gage 1970 to 2015 2.5 00 2 00 0 Q 1.5 1 v J 0.5 m 0 awn -0.5 p -1.5 Average Daily Water Level Wrightsville Beach (NOS 8658163) I j p �. ice, .�71•�_.. . �! �• i ��.••.�_ atn i .1, ��1 ,� •4�,:,. :A� i. �'� �� �f;. ; +: i' s+•fit'! ' ; �' �a• �,;sirs �y�' � . 'r�t; • • r ss1'+ '.., ���.::.�• ��:� , it} se ';1KCr: �:='S.� �� t» '7•••r Jf=�a•••`•' t.s `�! 1K ' .._ 1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Date (year) Figure 7 — Average Daily Water Level at Wrightsville Beach Tide Gage 2004 to 2015 Figures 8 through 12 compare the recorded water level at the Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach tide gages during the five analysis months. The extreme levels approaching elevation 5.0 ft NAVD88 in September and October 2015 can be noted in Figures 9 and 10. It should also be noted that the dates of the exceptionally high tides on the Cape Fear River and the high ocean tides at Wrightsville Beach coincided. PJ -2 -3 -4 Water Level Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach 1 1 , 1 , 1; ; s � 1-Jan 5-Jan 9-Jan 13-Jan 17-Jan 21-Jan 25-Jan 29-Jan January 2015 Wrightsville Beach Downtown Wilmington Figure 8—Tide Gage Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach January 2015 5 4 3 00 00 2 0 Q z 1 v 0 v J -1 2 -3 -4 Water Level Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach i 1 , 1 ; 1 , , ' 1 1}� 1-Sep 6-Sep 11-Sep 16-Sep 21-Sep 26-Sep September 2015 Wrightsvilles Beach Downtown Wilmington Figure 9 - Tide Gage Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach September 2015 1-Oct 5 4 3 2 W M Q 1 z v O v -1 v -2 -3 -4 Water Level Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach 1 1 � 'i ' � u 1-Oct 6-Oct 11-Oct 16-Oct 21-Oct 26-Oct October 2015 -- Wrightsvilles Beach Downtown Wilmington Figure 10 - Tide Gage Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach October 2015 Water Level Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach 5 4 3 -2 -3 -4 1-Nov 6-Nov 11-Nov 16-Nov 21-Nov 26-Nov November 2015 -- Wrightsvilles Beach )owntown Wilmington Figure 11 - Tide Gage Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach November 2015 31-Oct 1-Dec Water Level Wilmington and Wrightsville Beach 5 4 3 '� 1; 1 1 I• 1 ; 1 1 1 1 � 1 / 11 ,1 11 1, 1 1 11 1, • 1 � , 1 1 1 1 •1 ' 1, 1' i 1 11 ; I 1 1 „ 1 11 1 l{( 1 / 1 1 1 / 1.M -4 1- 1-Feb 5-Feb 9-Feb 13-Feb 17-Feb 21-Feb 25-Feb Febuary 2016 Wrightsville Beach Downtown Wilmington Figure 12 - Water Level at Wrightsville Beach Tide Gage February 2016 29-Feb 4.2 Sea Level Rise A graph of the sea level trend for the Wilmington tide gage is provided in Figure 13. The mean sea level trend is increasing at 2.19 millimeters per year (0.086 inches per year). The mean monthly sea level data used in the graph extends from 1935 to 2016. For comparison the sea level trend for the Beaufort, NC tide gage (NOAA ID: 8656483) is 2.89 millimeters per year. In Figure 6 an increasing trend in the mean tide level can also be noted starting in 2011, this could be cyclical and not a part of the long-term trend. 0.60 0.45 0.30 - 0.15 N L 0.00 v - 0.15 -0.30 - -0.45 -0.60 8658120 Wilmington, North Carolina 2.19 +- 0.35 mmlyr — Linear Mean Sea Level Trend At _ — Lipper 95% Confidence Interval - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - — Lower 95% Confidence Interval _ Monthly mean sea level with the - average seasonal cycle removed - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- tt------- --------------------- 1i----------i---1---1- 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Figure 13 — Sea Level Trend Wilmington, NC (2.19 millimeters per year) 4.3 Cape Fear River Water Levels The Cape Fear River Basin experienced above average flows during the fall of 2015 and winter of 2016. The high river discharges were related to a strong El Nino Southern Oscillation that brought above average precipitation to the southeastern United States. The monthly average flows for the Cape Fear River at Lock & Dam #1 from 1981 to 2016 are provided in Table 2. Lock and Dam #1 is located about 30 miles upstream of Wilmington with a watershed area of 5,255 square miles. The monthly average discharge for November and December 2015 and January 2016 were either the highest or second highest in 35 years for that particular month. October 2015 was the fifth highest and February 2016 the seventh highest for those months. The monthly flows for all of the months were about twice the historic monthly average. During November the observed water levels at the Wilmington tide gage averaged 0.7 feet higher than predicted. The higher river flows contributed to the higher water levels seen at the Wilmington tide gage. Table 2 - Monthly Average Discharge Cape Fear River at Lock & Dam #1 near Kelly, NC (USGS Gage 02105769) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1981 1,483 1,534 3,583 1982 11,180 11,120 11,000 4,102 5,024 15,070 3,202 3,020 1,003 1,625 1,681 6,073 1983 5,553 14,970 18,230 14,100 5,142 2,454 1,666 1,046 1,123 1,139 1,991 11,050 1984 12,840 12,910 16,790 16,980 4,737 4,985 8,317 7,883 2,762 1,598 1,442 1,935 1985 1 4,894 13,220 1 3,837 1,710 1 1,843 1,552 2,615 1 6,670 2,069 1,620 8,260 7,097 1986 2,265 3,025 5,460 1,667 1,272 1,147 1,046 3,135 1,313 1,133 1,484 2,756 1987 11,110 8,389 18,130 11,050 3,302 1,562 1,329 1,325 1,675 1,068 1,398 2,207 1988 7,167 5,447 3,629 3,851 2,067 1,556 1,716 1,531 2,856 2,276 3,687 1,938 1989 3,261 6,138 20,140 12,470 12,110 5,793 7,062 5,591 3,592 9,751 5,058 9,380 1990 8,801 12,750 7,022 9,537 7,315 3,832 1,305 1,651 985 5,942 3,209 5,051 1991 13,290 4,823 9,722 9,075 3,378 2,166 2,415 3,782 2,088 1,540 1,781 1,855 1992 5,261 3,532 6,934 5,713 2,254 6,638 2,576 3,272 1,312 1,798 6,850 7,396 1993 15,190 7,284 18,320 17,730 3,289 2,024 1,620 1,253 1,303 1,272 1,831 3,109 1994 6,199 8,650 11,780 7,377 1,826 2,336 2,391 3,650 3,609 2,704 1,869 2,863 1995 9,135 14,440 11,540 2,226 1,696 1 10,440 10,860 2,132 2,689 8,785 11,390 4,744 1996 9,050 9,836 8,435 5,684 4,744 2,416 1,897 3,288 22,580 9,151 4,440 8,286 1997 8,964 10,820 8,961 5,016 8,644 2,294 4,883 2,015 1,448 1,415 2,736 4,494 1998 17,180 27,780 23,830 13,560 5,827 1,900 1,039 1,375 1,417 1,023 1,118 1,783 1999 7,826 6,504 4,884 3,516 4,279 1,044 1,152 1,024 16,740 15,080 3,131 4,360 2000 8,007 13,020 7,303 6,013 2,376 1,396 2,343 2,449 4,629 2,127 1,703 1,967 2001 1,717 2,992 6,539 7,693 1,052 1 4,284 1,967 2,559 1,574 1,121 1,062 1,111 2002 4,743 3,445 3,016 2,924 968 874 802 776 1,270 5,551 8,448 10,120 2003 41866 9,224 20,890 21,650 8,042 10,920 9,036 13,400 6,756 2,690 3,083 6,098 2004 31101 7,183 5,798 3,677 3,512 2,128 1,793 5,029 10,110 3,775 3,132 5,537 2005 6,258 4,574 9,776 7,440 1,638 2,271 1,942 2,416 1,022 1,351 1,091 6,739 2006 4,407 2,959 2,012 2,466 3,443 6,230 3,641 1,645 3,598 1,783 12,870 9,243 2007 9,850 6,521 8,659 7,494 1,591 1,191 1,017 713 686 1,115 695 1,192 2008 2,128 2,571 6,289 7,261 3,227 1,018 1,345 2,342 9,368 1,916 2,177 6,173 2009 5,242 2,746 10,940 5,793 2,068 3,759 1,043 1,505 1,117 798 6,751 12,290 2010 10,150 17,990 6,716 4,139 2,763 2,488 1,205 1,233 1,154 3,408 1,216 1,320 2011 1,513 2,915 3,345 4,487 1,615 1,055 951 1,086 1,336 1,032 1,697 3,045 2012 1,723 2,162 5,401 2,003 2,699 1,264 1,346 1,891 2,374 1,418 1,216 2,216 2013 3,939 4,314 4,759 3,669 5,214 8,955 13,450 4,119 1,333 923 1,154 3,690 2014 11,100 9,281 11,220 8,004 6,165 1,322 1,218 2,110 2,150 1,314 1,658 3,483 2015 7,811 5,078 9,388 6,707 2,547 2,117 1,632 1,273 1,245 6,844 14,052 10,729 2016 15,732 13,002 5,651 3,807 5,708 2,855 3,181 21432 Monthly Mean 7,470 8,332 9,610 7,160 3,811 3,524 3,000 2,875 3,538 3,073 3,626 4,998 4.4 Jordan Dam Releases This section attempts to ascertain whether the Jordan Dam operations may be contributing to flood events downstream in the area of the USS North Carolina Battleship Memorial. Jordan Dam is located about 174 miles upstream of Wilmington, NC. The Haw River watershed at Jordan Dam is 1,690 square miles and the Cape Fear River watershed at Wilmington is about 8,700 sq miles. The primary purpose of Jordan Dam is for flood control and to reduce downstream flood levels. High inflows from Jordan Dam's watershed are held or detained within the reservoir and then released after river conditions have peaked and flood stage downstream of Jordan Dam has subsided. During the fall of 2015 and winter of 2016, the watershed above Jordan Dam experienced high rainfall amounts related to the El Nino event. Figures 14 through 18 show the daily averaged inflow and outflow hydrographs for Jordan Dam from October 2015 to February 2016. The outflow hydrograph shows the operation of the dam reducing the peak downstream flood flows. During October the peak inflow was reduced by 70% before releasing downstream helping to decrease downstream flood levels. 40,000 35,000 30,000 —"— 25,000 v an L u 20,000 V) 15,000 10,000 5,000 7 October 2015 Jordan Dam Inflow and Outflow — Oct 2015 Inflow ---•--- Oct 2015 Outflow 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 Date Figure 14 — Daily Average Inflow and Outflow at Jordan Dam, October 2015 November 2015 Jordan Dam Inflow and Outflow 40,000 35,000 Nov 2015 Inflow 30,000 •--- Nov 2015 Outflow v 25,000 — own UU 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 V-4 Ilk . . . . . . . . . . . . '. 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 Date Figure 15 — Daily Average Inflow and Outflow at Jordan Dam, November 2015 December 2015 Jordan Dam Inflow and Outflow 40,000 35,000 Dec 2015 Inflow Dec 2015 Outflow 30,000 v 25,000 tin 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 Date Figure 16 — Daily Average Inflow and Outflow at Jordan Dam, December 2015 January 2016 Jordan Dam Inflow and Outflow 40,000 35,000 Jan 2016 Inflow 30,000 --- Jan 2016 Outflow v 25,000 own u 20,000 0 15,000 10,000 - 5,000 i •,,. • 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 Date Figure 17 Daily Average Inflow and Outflow at Jordan Dam, January 2016 Febuary 2016 Jordan Dam Inflow and Outflow 40,000 35,000 Feb 2016 Inflow 30,000 •--- Feb 2016 Outflow v 25,000 r� 20,000 U 0 15,000 i 10,000 5,000 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 Date Figure 18 — Daily Average Inflow and Outflow at Jordan Dam, February 2016 Figures 19 through 22 are additional plots of the observed Wilmington tide gage with precipitation at Jordan, Lock & Dam #3 and Wilmington and observed flow along the Cape Fear River. The dates of full moon (FM) and new moon (NM) spring tides are noted, as is the peak stage (green down arrow). The delay of the peak flow wave as it moves downstream from Jordan, to Lillington, to Lock & Dam #3, to Lock & Dam #1 and finally at the Wilmington tide gage can be noted. The plots also compare the magnitude of flow released from Jordan Dam to the flow at Lock & Dam # 3. Overall, the rainfall and flow in the upper Cape Fear basin nearest the dam are relatively smaller than what occurred in the lower Cape Fear, nearest Wilmington. Additionally, the time delay for the upper basin flows to reach the lower basin occurred after peak flows in the river system. The conclusion of this analysis is that Jordan Dam operations are not a contributing factor to high water levels in the lower Cape Fear River near Wilmington. 65 6.0 r m 5.5 m 50 4.5 40 40,000 35,000 30.000 25.000 0 20.000 L� 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 5 4 3 2 d 1 0 27 4 11 18 Sep2015 Oct2015 — WLON 14PLUS NOAA STAGE •••••• JORDAN D OUTFLOW FLOW --- MONCURE DCP FLOW LCK1 DCP FLOW —•—• LILLINGTON DCP FLOW — LK&DAM 3 DCP FLOW ...... JORDN OBSERVED PRECIP-INC — WILM CRONOS PRECIP LK&DM 3 DCP FRECIP-INC Figure 19 — Observed Wilmington Tide, Cape Fear River Discharge and Precipitation Sep -Oct 2015 6.0 5.5 m a 50 45 40 40.000 35,000 30,000 25,000 0 20.000 LL 15.000 10.000 5,000 0 2.0 15 10 m a 0.5 0.0 November 24, 2015 n FM 1.5 dy VII [-1 dy .` �-- 2 _d - i H • — WLON 14PLUS NOAA STAGE —•—• LILLINGTON DCP FLOW — LK&DM 3 DCP PRECIP-INC 8 •••••• JORDAN D OUTFLOW FLOW — LK&DAM 3 DCP FLOW 15 Nov2015 --- MONCURE DCP FLOW ...... JORDN OBSERVED PRECIP-INC 22 LCK1 DCP FLOW — WILM CRONOS PRECIP Figure 20 — Observed Wilmington Tide, Cape Fear River Discharge and Precipitation Nov 2015. 6.5 60 1✓ 5.5 m m 5.0 45 40 80,000 70.000 60.000 50,000 �F 40.000 30,000 20.000 10.000 0 2.0 0.0 January S, 2016 V N•I� I 20 27 3 10 Dec2015 Jan2016 — WLON 14PLUS NOAA STAGE •••••• JORDAN D OUTFLOW FLOW --- MONCURE DCP FLOW - - LCK1 DCP FLOW —•— LILLINGTON DCP FLOW — LK&DAM 3 DCP FLOW •••••• JORDN OBSERVED PRECIP-INC — WILM CRONOS PRECIP — LK&DM 3 DCP PRECIP-INC Figure 21 — Observed Wilmington Tide, Cape Fear River Discharge and Precipitation Jan 2016. 6` 6C 4` 4C 35,00C 30,00C 25,00C 20,00C 0 15,00C 10,00C 5.000 C 3` 3C 2` 2C a� 1: a 1C 0` 0C February 8, 2016 n NM 1W �2.Sdy� f- ti Jan2016 _ Feb2016 — WLON 14PLUS NOAA STAGE •••••• JORDAN D OUTFLOW FLOW --- MONCURE DCP FLOW ---- LCK1 DCP FLOW -•-• LILLINGTON DCP FLOW - LK&DAM 3 DCP FLOW ...... JORDN OBSERVED PRECIP-INC WILM CRONOS PRECIP - LK&DM 3 DCP FRECIP-INC Figure 22 — Observed Wilmington Tide, Cape Fear River Discharge and Precipitation Feb 2015. 4.5 Land Subsidence Much of the developed land adjacent to the Cape Fear River in Wilmington is built on material dredged from the Cape Fear River. The timing, extent and quality of the material placed in the area of the Battleship Memorial is unknown. Over time dredge material will compact and the weight of the material can also compress the underlying foundation material. This results in subsidence or a lowering in the land surface elevation. The amount of subsidence at the Battleship Memorial is unknown. The benchmarks located in the grassed area along the River have been disturbed and the original elevations were not documented to quantify the amount of subsidence. Land subsidence may be a factor in the increased flood frequency and additional research is required to quantify. If usable landmarks are discovered in the future, further analysis can be conducted to determine the potential role this may play, if any, in high tide flood events. 5.0 Potential Improvement Alternatives Three basic alternatives were preliminarily investigated in this effort. Each have the potential to help manage the flooding issues at the Battleship Memorial, although alternative 3 was deemed impractical during this preliminary analysis. 5.1 Alternative 1- Stormwater Drainage Improvements The first alternative includes upgrading the stormwater drainage system for the roadways and parking areas. The existing drainage system is damaged and undersized and does not allow for the complete drainage of the area between tide cycles. This alternative does not prevent or reduce the peak flood levels caused by high water on the Cape Fear River but it will significantly speed-up the time to drain the floodwater. Improved drainage will allow for quicker return to normal tour activities and reduced flood damage. A concept plan for improvements is provided in Plate 3 in Appendix A. The most important improvement is the removal of the damaged drainage pipes along the north side of USS North Carolina Road and enlarging the outlet pipe discharging into the River. The pipes should be replaced with a series of open grassed swales and roadway culverts under the three parking lot entrances. Open grassed swales are recommended over piped sections to avoid grated drop inlets that frequently become clogged and restrict flow. The proposed drainage improvements are a concept design and will require additional surveying and engineering design and coordination with NCDOT. A rough order of magnitude cost estimate for this alternative is approximately $290,000. Cost details are located in Appendix B. 5.2 Alternative 2 - Increase Land Elevation The second alternative is to raise the roadways and parking areas above the more frequent flood elevations using fill material. Raising the elevations to 5.0 ft NAVD88 would be 0.5 ft above the most recent floods experienced. The total amount of fill material required for the roads and parking area is estimated to be at least 26,300 cubic yards (CY). This alternative would require new pavement and landscaping. USS North Carolina Road and Battleship Road NE are both NCDOT maintained roads and would require approval and coordination with the NCDOT. Funding and/or cost -sharing would have to be determined. This alternative would also require the drainage improvements described in Section 5.1. A rough order of magnitude cost estimate for this alternative (which includes Alternative 1 measures) is approximately $2,650,000. Cost details are located in Appendix B 5.3 Alternative 3 - Levee Protection The third alternative considered includes constructing a system of levees or dikes to contain the parking area and prevent flooding from the Cape Fear River. The levee system would require pumps to remove interior stormwater. The levee system would be required to surround the parking area and would not address the issue of flooding along NCDOT roadways. This alternative is not practical because of the need to rely on pumps to remove interior drainage, therefore no cost analysis was done. However, it is assumed that costs for this alternative would be substantial, to include long-term maintenance costs of the levee system and maintenance of the interior drainage pumps. 6.0 Summary and Recommendations The frequent flooding during the fall of 2015 and winter of 2016 at the USS North Carolina Battleship Memorial was related to several factors. Flooding is caused by the Cape Fear River overtopping its banks during high tide and inundating the roadways and parking areas. Recent flooding occurred when a set of exceptionally high perigean tides coincided with above average flows on the Cape Fear River and with persistent offshore weather patterns that increased water levels along the mid -Atlantic coast. An astronomical perigean tide occurs when the moon is closest to the Earth and overlaps a typical bi-monthly spring tide. The Cape Fear River at Lock & Dam #1 recorded either the highest or second highest monthly average flow (for that month) in 35 years during November and December 2015 and January 2016. Offshore weather systems including Hurricane Joaquin caused the ocean tide gages at Wrightsville Beach, Beaufort, NC and Myrtle Beach to record water levels several feet above the predicted tide during the fall of 2015. These three factors contributed to produce the unusually high and numerous flooding events at the Memorial. Heavy rainfall in the area during a strong El Nino year compounded the flooding. The increase in flood frequency over the past decade as noted by Memorial Directors is likely related to the increase in the sea level as measured at the Wilmington tide gage. Subsidence of the land surface elevation over the past decades may also be a factor, as dredged fill material was likely used to build the roadways and parking areas. However, this could not be confirmed during this investigation. Analysis indicates that operations at Jordan Dam are not a factor. Raising the roadways and parking areas with fill material may be the most appropriate long- term solution to flooding at the Battleship Memorial, and for providing unimpeded emergency and visitor access. A phased approach with improving the stormwater drainage system first could also be one approach. The existing drainage system is damaged and undersized which prevents adequate drainage of floodwater from the roadways and parking areas. A site visit during flood conditions caused by high water on the Cape Fear River revealed standing water unable to drain quickly as the tide receded on the River. Improving the drainage system will not prevent or reduce peak flood elevations caused by high water on the Cape Fear, but it will allow flood water to drain significantly faster and allow operations to return to normal sooner. The proposed drainage improvements would be compatible with and would be required for any future raising of the roadways and parking area. APPENDIX A Battleship Aerial Plates 1-3 IF 9' { co r New 24" RCP with 0 �i- ` �s�tor Center Flap -Gate Outlet "alp. 4 USS Battleship North Carolina Memorial Concept Design Flood Drainage Improvements • New 24" RCP with AW Flap -Gate Outlet 0.0 Ad * •� I J � i y r i Legend oil Drainage Ditch 1 - +� New Culvert (RCP) y T 6 � I � mF - - - New Headwall at Outlet r j Improved Grass Swale r Upgrade Culvert ' j' * r Remove Old RCPs 3 - 36" RCP - w . New Grass Swale Upgrade Culvert = i • Remove Old RCPs 2 - 36" RCP _ Upgrade Culvert r - New Culvert p1g- 36" RCP New Grass Swale = — '- 1-24"RCP r� Upgrade Culvert 3 - 36" RCP Clear and Re -Grade s . Upgrade Culvert Drainage Ditch Improved Grass Swale (JSS North Carolina Road 2 - 36" RCP New - Headwall E - - = * _ _ _ i • _ at Outlet - Clearand Re -Grade _ t , - �. � Remove 30" RCP _ Drainage Ditch + ♦* Culvert Plate 3 dI yj M USS Battleship or Carolina ' + � 0 100 200 Concept Design USACE -Wilmington � � I � Concept Design Not for Consfirucfiion Feet Drainage Improvements Map Date: 10/6/2016 E-sri, HERE, DeLorme, M'apm India, ©OpenStreetMap contributors APPENDIX B Cost Information Print Date Thu 10 November 2016 Eff. Date 11/4/2016 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Time 16:55:52 Project: BATTLESHIP ROM ROM BATTLESHIP Title Page BATTLESHIP ROM Estimated by Susan Brokenshire Designed by Prepared by Preparation Date 11/4/2016 Effective Date of Pricing 11/4/2016 Estimated Construction Time 60 Days This report is not copyrighted, but the information contained herein is For Official Use Only. Labor ID: NC- 2015 EQ ID: EP14R03 Currency in US dollars TRACES MII Version 4.3 Print Date Thu 10 November 2016 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Eff. Date 111412016 Project: BATTLESHIP ROM ROM BATTLESHIP BATTLESHIP ROM BATTLESHIP ROM Repair RCP, asphalt and swales Public storm utility drainage piping, reinforced concrete pipe (RCP), 24" diameter, 8' lengths, class 3, excludes excavation or backfill, gaskets Public storm utility drainage piping, reinforced concrete pipe (RCP), 36" diameter, 8' lengths, class 3, excludes excavation or backfill, gaskets Selective demolition, water & sewer piping & fittings, concrete pipe end pieces, 24"-36", diameter, excludes excavation Dewatering, excavate drainage trench, with backhoe Concrete culvert, headwall concrete, precast, 30 degree skewed wingwall, 24" diameter pipe Concrete culvert, headwall concrete, precast, 30 degree skewed wingwall, 36" diameter pipe Rip -rap, random pieces, dumped from truck, 10 - 200 pound pieces Selective demolition, saw cutting, asphalt, up to 3" deep Asphalt paving, plant mixed asphaltic base courses for roadways and large paved areas, bituminous concrete, 4" thick Selective clearing, wet clearing, heavy brush and trees, excludes removal offsite Excavate and load, bank measure, medium material, 2-3/4 C.Y. bucket, track loader Hauling, excavated or borrow material, loose cubic yards, 6 mile round trip @ 40 MPH (2.1 cycles/hour), 16.5 C.Y. dump trailer, highway haulers, excludes loading MARINE EQUIPMENT, BOATS & LAUNCHES, 19' ROUSTABOUT, TRI HULL, NO CABIN, CAP 2,600 LBS, OUTBOARD, 19.4' X 8.5' X 0.8' Flap gates, hydraulic structures, aluminum, 24" diameter Mob Demob Mobilization or demobilization, delivery charge for equipment, hauled on 40-ton capacity towed trailer Toilet, portable, chemical, rent per month Mobilization or demobilization, delivery charge for small equipment, placed in rear of, or towed by pickup truck PED costs PED Costs S&A costs S&A Costs OPTION Raise parlking lot and road Compaction, 3 passes, 24" wide, 12" lifts, walk behind, vibrating roller Asphaltic concrete paving, parking lots & driveways, 6" stone base, 2" binder course, 2" topping, Seeding, mechanical seeding hydro or air seeding for large areas, includes lime, fertilizer and seed Time 16:55:52 BATTLESHIP ROM Page 1 Quantity UOM ProiectCost 2,649,619.46 1.00 EA 2,649,619.46 1.00 EA 291,028.92 310.00 LF 14,814.69 610.00 LF 65,895.27 670.00 LF 3,179.92 669.00 CY 2,518.08 18.00 EA 67,157.34 2.00 EA 8,230.64 300.00 LCY 18,398.89 980.00 LF 1,114.44 933.00 SY 24,941.94 2.00 ACR 1,491.47 1,091.00 BCY 1,208.66 1,091.00 LCY 3,064.44 4.00 WK 18,574.69 4.00 EA 27,715.99 6.00 EA 3,689.07 6.00 EA 3,293.66 2.00 MO 319.51 2.00 EA 75.90 1.00 EA 17,490.00 1.00 EA 17,490.00 1.00 EA 11,543.40 1.00 EA 11,543.40 1.00 EA 2,358,590.54 26,300.00 ECY 19,805.36 20,854.00 SY 784,008.74 3.00 ACR 13,451.26 Labor ID: NC- 2015 EQ ID: EP14R03 Currency in US dollars TRACES MII Version 4.3 Print Date Thu 10 November 2016 Eff. Date 11/4/2016 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Project: BATTLESHIP ROM ROM BATTLESHIP Cycle hauling(wait, load, travel, unload or dump & return) time per cycle, excavated or borrow, loose cubic yards, 30 min load/wait/unload, 18 C.Y. 8 wheel truck, cycle 20 miles, 45 MPH, excludes loading equipment Structural concrete, in place, spread footing (3000 psi), under 1 C.Y., includes forms(4 uses), Grade 60 rebar, concrete (Portland cement Type 1), placing and finishing In -place hot reused asphalt paving, recycle asphalt pavement at site, 4" deep, remove, rejuvenate and spread Fill, dumped material, spread, by dozer, excludes compaction Pavement markings, parking stall, paint, white, 4" wide Borrow, common earth, 1-1/2 C.Y. bucket, loading and/or spreading, shovel Light poles, anchor base, aluminum, 16' high, excl concrete bases Foundations for utility pole, to 35' h, includes excavation & concrete Mob Demob Mobilization or demobilization, delivery charge for equipment, hauled on 40-ton capacity towed trailer ONE ADDITIONAL DOZER Toilet, portable, chemical, rent per month Mobilization or demobilization, delivery charge for small equipment, placed in rear of, or towed by pickup truck FED costs PED Costs S&A costs S&A Costs Time 16:55:52 BATTLESHIP ROM Page 2 Quantity UOM ProiectCost 26,300.00 LCY 165,237.23 27.00 CY 7,471.89 20,854.00 BY 226,874.48 26,300.00 LCY 34,710.20 384.00 STL 4,352.43 26,300.00 BCY 768,137.99 27.00 EA 54,485.87 27.00 EA 42,412.29 6.00 EA 1,493.30 2.00 EA 1,097.89 2.00 MO 319.51 2.00 EA 75.90 1.00 EA 136,735.50 1.00 EA 136,735.50 1.00 EA 99,414.00 1.00 EA 99,414.00 Labor ID: NC- 2015 EQ ID: EP14R03 Currency in US dollars TRACES Mill Version 4.3 Print Date Thu 10 November 2015 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Time 16:55:52 Eff. Date 11/4/2016 Project: BATTLESHIP ROM ROM BATTLESHIP Table of Contents Description Page BATTLESHIPROM......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1 BATTLESHIP ROM ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1 Repair RCP, asphalt and swales .................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1 Mob Demob PEDcosts.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ........................................................................................................................................................................ 1 S&A costs ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1 OPTION Raise parlking lot and road 1 Mob Demob ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 2 PED costs ...........-.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... ....................................................................................................................................... 2 S&A costs 2 Labor ID: NC- 2015 ED ID: EP14R03 Currency in US dollars TRACES MII Version 4.3