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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAugust31_2006_CHEOPS_Modeling_Report CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 Division of Water Resources North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 1 Introduction The revised modeling analysis in this report was prepared to replace previous modeling analysis performed to assess the impacts on the Catawba River Basin of a proposed interbasin transfer (IBT) by the Cities of Concord and Kannapolis from the Catawba and Yadkin River Basins to the Rocky River Basin. Input errors were found in previous modeling work, first in the May 2006 Final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) and later in a July 2006 supplement to the Final EIS. For this reason, the inputs developed by the Division of Water Resources to perform the model runs presented in this report were reviewed and verified as accurate by Devine, Tarbell, & Associates, Inc. (DTA), the consulting firm hired by Duke Energy to develop the model. Modeling presented in this report was performed using the Catawba-Wateree CHEOPSTM Operations Model Version 8.7. This model was developed as a study tool during the ongoing Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) relicensing of Duke Energy’s hydropower projects in the Catawba-Wateree River Basin. A detailed description of the model along with the findings of DTA’s review can be found in the attached report titled Catawba-Wateree CHEOPSTM Model, Review of Input, Concord-Kannapolis, NC Final EIS for IBT Certification. The model incorporates operational strategies that were developed during the lengthy process of negotiations between stakeholders during the FERC hydropower relicensing process. A component of these operational strategies is the Low Inflow Protocol (LIP), which establishes procedures for reductions in water use and outflows during periods of low inflow. A purpose of the LIP is that all parties with interests in water quantity would share responsibility to establish priorities and conserve the limited water supply. The latest version of the model, and the version used in the analysis presented in this report is Version 8.7. Version 8.7 incorporates the operational strategies in the final negotiated settlement agreement from FERC relicensing, including the final LIP. This version of the model was used to analyze the set of operational strategies that were included in the final settlement agreement. Previous modeling in the Final EIS and the July 2006 supplement was performed using a previous of the model, Version V8.3. Model Inputs The intent of the modeling is to evaluate the impacts of varying levels of the Concord Kannapolis IBT amount. For this reason, four scenarios were modeled, each with a different IBT amount. All inputs for the four scenarios are identical, except for the Concord and Kannapolis IBT amount. The four scenarios are as follows: Scenario Name Concord Kannapolis IBT Zero IBT No IBT 10 MGD IBT 10 million gallons per day IBT average day from Lake Norman 16 MGD IBT 16 million gallons per day IBT average day from Lake Norman 22 MGD IBT 22 million gallons per day IBT average day from Lake Norman Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 2 Inflows Streamflow and climate data is available for a 75 year period of record in the Catawba Basin. This data was summarized into a set of historical streamflows from 1929-2003. The model then evaluates how the system would behave during the 75 year period of record under the set of assumptions represented in each of the four scenarios to be studied. Withdrawals Because the modeling analysis is intended to assess impacts over a 30-year planning period, 2035 projected withdrawals were used for all model runs. Withdrawals for the four scenarios were developed by modifying the projected water withdrawals in the year 2035 derived from the Duke Energy Water Supply Study developed during the FERC relicensing process. Withdrawals include all projected water uses in the basin including public water supply, industrial use, agricultural use, and power generation. The withdrawals in the study were modified to reflect the various levels of IBT by the Cities of Concord and Kannapolis to be studied. The model does not assume the IBT is withdrawn equally for every day of the year. Rather, the average annual daily withdrawal is converted to a monthly average daily withdrawal using a distribution factor multiplier to approximate the monthly pattern of water use for all water withdrawals. Distribution factors are specific to each withdrawal. Tables 1 - 4 show the distribution multipliers used for the Concord-Kannapolis IBT and the resulting monthly average daily withdrawals that were modeled for each of the four scenarios. All of the IBT by Concord and Kannapolis is assumed by the model to come from Lake Norman. The actual withdrawals used as inputs to the model from Lake Norman for the four modeling scenarios are summarized in the following four tables: Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 3Table 1: Withdrawals for Zero IBT Scenario Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Average2035 Original Wtihdrawal, cfs 189 184 169 209 216 233 229 217 195 191 172 183 199Concord Kannapolis Distribution Pattern 91% 90% 90% 101% 108% 116% 110% 111% 102% 103% 91% 88%2035 IBT amount, cfs 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.02035 IBT amount, MGD 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Mod 2035 Total Withdrawal, cfs170.49 165.58 150.08 187.95 193.61 208.64 205.74 194.29 173.56 169.49 152.61 165.04 178.09 Table 2: Withdrawals for 10 MGD IBT Scenario Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Average2035 Original Wtihdrawal, cfs 189 184 169 209 216 233 229 217 195 191 172 183 199Concord Kannapolis Distribution Pattern 91% 90% 90% 101% 108% 116% 110% 111% 102% 103% 91% 88%2035 IBT amount, cfs 14.1 13.8 13.9 15.5 16.7 17.9 16.9 17.2 15.8 15.8 14.0 13.6 15.42035 IBT amount, MGD 9.11 8.96 9.00 10.07 10.82 11.58 10.99 11.12 10.22 10.25 9.07 8.82 10.00Mod 2035 Total Withdrawal, cfs184.55 179.40 163.96 203.48 210.30 226.50 222.69 211.44 189.33 185.31 166.60 178.65 193.52 Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 4Table 3: Withdrawals for 16 MGD IBT Scenario Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Average2035 Original Wtihdrawal, cfs 189 184 169 209 216 233 229 217 195 191 172 183 199Concord Kannapolis Distribution Pattern 91% 90% 90% 101% 108% 116% 110% 111% 102% 103% 91% 88%2035 IBT amount, cfs 22.5 22.1 22.2 24.9 26.7 28.6 27.1 27.4 25.2 25.3 22.4 21.8 24.72035 IBT amount, MGD 14.58 14.33 14.39 16.11 17.31 18.53 17.58 17.79 16.36 16.40 14.51 14.11 16.00Mod 2035 Total Withdrawal, cfs192.98 187.69 172.29 212.80 220.31 237.23 232.86 221.73 198.79 194.80 175.00 186.81 202.77 Table 4: Withdrawals for 22 MGD IBT Scenario Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Average2035 Original Wtihdrawal, cfs 189 184 169 209 216 233 229 217 195 191 172 183 199Concord Kannapolis Distribution Pattern 91% 90% 90% 101% 108% 116% 110% 111% 102% 103% 91% 88%2035 IBT amount, cfs 30.9 30.4 30.5 34.2 36.7 39.3 37.3 37.7 34.7 34.8 30.8 29.9 33.92035 IBT amount, MGD 20.05 19.70 19.79 22.15 23.80 25.48 24.17 24.46 22.49 22.55 19.95 19.41 22.00Mod 2035 Total Withdrawal, cfs201.41 195.98 180.61 222.12 230.32 247.95 243.02 232.02 208.26 204.29 183.39 194.98 212.03 Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 5 Modeling Results The model was run for each of the four scenarios over the entire 75-year record. As the model runs on a 15-minute time step, a large volume of output data was generated for each run. This output was then analyzed and summarized into tables and plots that are useful in interpreting the large volume of data. The tables and plots depict in different ways the impacts of the proposed IBT and are presented in the remainder of this report. Low Inflow Protocol Impacts The Catawba LIP includes the following five stages of water use restriction: Stage 0: Low Inflow Watch Stage 1: Voluntary Restrictions Stage 2: Mandatory Restrictions Stage 3: Mandatory Restrictions Stage 4: Mandatory Restrictions Each increasing level of restriction involves an increasing degree of water use restriction and reductions in required downstream releases as indicated by the LIP agreement. A table is included totaling the number of months the model predicts that each of the five levels of LIP would be invoked. This information is depicted graphically in chronological order. It is important, therefore, to evaluate how the proposed IBT is predicted to affect the frequency of the different levels of restriction that would be implemented. Table and plots are presented indicating the predicted impacts of the IBT on LIP stage under the four IBT scenarios, both for the overall period of record and during the extreme drought period of 2001-02. Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 6 Table 5: Comparison of LIP Stage Durations by Month during 2001-2002 Drought Date Zero IBT LIP Stage 10 MGD LIP Stage 16 MGD LIP Stage 22 MGD IBT LIP Stage 06/01/2000 0 0 0 0 07/01/2000 0 0 0 0 08/01/2000 0 0 0 0 09/01/2000 0 0 0 0 10/01/2000 0 0 0 0 11/01/2000 0 0 0 1 12/01/2000 0 0 0 1 01/01/2001 0 0 0 1 02/01/2001 0 0 0 1 03/01/2001 0 0 0 1 04/01/2001 0 0 0 1 05/01/2001 0 0 0 1 06/01/2001 0 0 1 1 07/01/2001 1 1 1 1 08/01/2001 1 1 1 1 09/01/2001 1 1 1 1 10/01/2001 1 1 1 1 11/01/2001 1 1 1 1 12/01/2001 1 1 1 1 01/01/2002 1 1 1 1 02/01/2002 1 1 1 1 03/01/2002 1 1 1 1 04/01/2002 1 1 1 1 05/01/2002 1 1 1 1 06/01/2002 1 1 1 1 07/01/2002 1 1 1 1 08/01/2002 2 2 2 1 09/01/2002 2 2 2 2 10/01/2002 2 2 2 2 11/01/2002 2 2 2 2 12/01/2002 2 2 2 2 01/01/2003 1 1 1 1 02/01/2003 0 0 0 0 Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 7Figure 1: LIP Stages for IBT Runs Simulated LIP Stages-10123Jan-29 Jan-34 Jan-39 Jan-44 Jan-49 Jan-54 Jan-59 Jan-64 Jan-69 Jan-74 Jan-79 Jan-84 Jan-89 Jan-94 Jan-99TimeLIP StagesZERO IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 8 Table 6: LIP Summary for Scenario Zero IBT LIP Stage Number of Months Percent of Time -1 576 64% 0 276 31% 1435% 251% 300% 400% LIP Stage-1 0 1234 Total Number of Months 576 276 43 5 0 0 January 42 29 4000 February 45 27 3000 March 46 26 3000 April 48 24 3000 May 49 22 4000 June 47 25 3000 July 49 22 4000 August 51 20 3100 September 47 24 3100 October 51 19 4100 November 52 17 5100 December 49 21 4100 ZERO IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 LIP Stage Summary for ZERO IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 Monthly LIP Stage Summary for Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 9 Table 7: LIP Summary for Scenario 10 MGD IBT LIP Stage Summary for 10 MGD IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 LIP Stage Number of Months Percent of Time -1 574 64% 0 278 31% 1 43 5% 2 5 1% 3 0 0% 4 0 0% Monthly LIP Stage Summary for 10 MGD IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 LIP Stage -1 0 1 2 3 4 Total Number of Months 574 278 43 5 0 0 January 42 29 4 0 0 0 February 45 27 3 0 0 0 March 46 26 3 0 0 0 April 48 24 3 0 0 0 May 49 22 4 0 0 0 June 47 25 3 0 0 0 July 49 22 4 0 0 0 August 51 20 3 1 0 0 September 47 24 3 1 0 0 October 51 19 4 1 0 0 November 51 18 5 1 0 0 December 48 22 4 1 0 0 Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 10 Table 8: LIP Summary for Scenario 16 MGD IBT LIP Stage Summary for 16 MGD IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 LIP Stage Number of Months Percent of Time -1 576 64% 0 275 31% 1 44 5% 2 5 1% 3 0 0% 4 0 0% Monthly LIP Stage Summary for 16 MGD IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 LIP Stage -1 0 1 2 3 4 Total Number of Months 576 275 44 5 0 0 January 42 29 4 0 0 0 February 45 27 3 0 0 0 March 46 26 3 0 0 0 April 48 24 3 0 0 0 May 49 22 4 0 0 0 June 47 24 4 0 0 0 July 49 22 4 0 0 0 August 51 20 3 1 0 0 September 47 24 3 1 0 0 October 51 19 4 1 0 0 November 52 17 5 1 0 0 December 49 21 4 1 0 0 Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 11 Table 9: LIP Summary for Scenario 22 MGD IBT LIP Stage Number of Months Percent of Time -1 574 64% 0 270 30% 1526% 24<1% 300% 400% LIP Stage -1 0 1 2 3 4 Total Number of Months 574 270 52 4 0 0 January 42 28 5 0 0 0 February 45 26 4 0 0 0 March 46 25 4 0 0 0 April 48 23 4 0 0 0 May 49 21 5 0 0 0 June 47 24 4 0 0 0 July 49 22 4 0 0 0 August 51 20 4 0 0 0 September 47 24 3 1 0 0 October 51 19 4 1 0 0 November 51 17 6 1 0 0 December 48 21 5 1 0 0 22 MGD IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 LIP Stage Summary for 22 MGD IBT from Lake Norman 1/1/1929 to 12/1/2003 Monthly LIP Stage Summary for Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 12 Impacts on Reservoir Levels Lakes James, Norman, Wylie, and Wateree were identified as representative reservoirs for evaluating impacts in the basin. Therefore the following sets of plots are included for each of these four reservoirs. Each plot contains four curves, one for each of the four IBT scenarios. I. Elevation Duration Curves Reservoir elevation duration curves are cumulative frequency curves showing the percentage of time over the period of record that specified daily average reservoir levels are equaled or exceeded. Elevation duration curves are useful for evaluating large impacts on reservoir elevation over a long period of time. II. Outflow Duration Curves Outflow duration curves are cumulative frequency curves showing the percentage of time over the period of record that specified daily average reservoir outflows are equaled or exceeded. Outflow duration curves are useful for evaluating large impacts on reservoir outflow over a long period of time. III. Elevation Profiles An elevation profile shows the predicted reservoir elevation over the period of interest. Plots are presented both for the entire period of record and for droughts of interest. For the extreme drought of 2001-02, the plots also show when the LIP stages were invoked for each of the scenarios. Elevation profiles are useful for examining the shorter term impacts on reservoir elevation. Reservoirs and Power Generation Plants References are made in the following results to both reservoir names and the names of the power generation plants corresponding to the reservoirs. Here is a list of reservoirs and their corresponding power generation plants: Reservoir Plant Names Used [Abbrev] 01. Lake James Bridgewater [BW] 02. Lake Rhodhiss Rhodhiss [RH] 03. Lake Hickory Oxford [OX] 04. Lookout Shoals Lookout Shoals [LS] 05. Lake Norman Cowan Ford [CF] 06. Lake Mountain Island Mountain Island [MI] 07. Lake Wylie Wylie [WY] 08. Fishing Creek Reservoir Fishing Creek [FC] 09. Great Falls Reservoir Great Falls [GF] 10. Rocky Creek Reservoir Rocky Creek [RC] 11. Lake Wateree Wateree [WA] Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 13Figure 2: Elevation Duration Curve for Lake James Exceedance Curve of Lake James Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 2003118511871189119111931195119711991201120312050% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Exceedance, Percent TimeEnd of Day Elevation (ft)Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 14 Table 10: Lake James Elevation Exceedance Data, FT Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0% 1203.2 1203.2 1203.2 1203.2 1% 1200 1200 1200 1200 2% 1200 1200 1200 1200 5% 1200 1200 1200 1200 10% 1199.88 1199.88 1199.86 1199.88 20% 1197.96 1197.96 1197.95 1197.96 30% 1197.14 1197.11 1197.06 1197.07 40% 1196.12 1196.11 1196.07 1196.09 50% 1195.67 1195.66 1195.62 1195.62 60% 1195.07 1195.06 1195.06 1195.06 70% 1194.9 1194.9 1194.9 1194.91 80% 1194.21 1194.21 1194.2 1194.24 90% 1193.12 1193.11 1193.11 1193.16 95% 1192.83 1192.82 1192.83 1192.86 98% 1192.08 1192.07 1192.07 1192.08 99% 1192.01 1192.01 1192.01 1192.01 100% 1188.88 1188.77 1188.68 1188.34 Exceedance, Percent Time Lake James Levels Remain above Elevation, FT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 15Figure 3: Elevation Duration Curve for Lake Norman Exceedance Curve of Lake Norman Elevationsfor all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 20037497517537557577597610% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Exceedance, Percent TimeEnd of Day Elevation (ft)Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 16 Table 11: Lake Norman Elevation Exceedance Data, FT Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0% 760 760 760 760 1% 760 760 760 760 2% 760 760 760 760 5% 760 760 760 760 10% 759.99 759.99 759.99 759.99 20% 758.83 758.78 758.71 758.75 30% 758.02 758.02 758.02 758.02 40% 757.96 757.96 757.95 757.96 50% 757.84 757.83 757.81 757.82 60% 757.18 757.15 757.12 757.18 70% 756.46 756.45 756.41 756.51 80% 755.96 755.95 755.94 755.97 90% 755.2 755.12 755.14 755.19 95% 754.78 754.71 754.72 754.74 98% 754.34 754.29 754.32 754.35 99% 754.19 754.14 754.18 754.2 100% 751.53 750.65 751.22 752.95 Exceedance, Percent Time Lake Norman Levels Remain above Elevation, FT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 17Figure 4: Elevation Duration Curve for Lake Wylie Exceedance Curve of Lake Wylie Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 20035605625645665685700% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Exceedance, Percent TimeEnd of Day Elevation (ft)Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 18 Table 12: Lake Wylie Elevation Exceedance Data, FT Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0% 569.4 569.4 569.4 569.4 1% 569.4 569.4 569.4 569.4 2% 569.4 569.4 569.4 569.4 5% 569.4 569.4 569.4 569.4 10% 569.39 569.39 569.39 569.39 20% 568.58 568.6 568.55 568.6 30% 566.98 566.98 566.96 566.98 40% 566.5 566.5 566.49 566.5 50% 566.34 566.34 566.34 566.34 60% 566.21 566.2 566.2 566.2 70% 565.99 565.98 565.98 565.98 80% 565.51 565.46 565.47 565.45 90% 563.92 563.87 563.87 563.85 95% 563.37 563.36 563.36 563.37 98% 563.15 563.15 563.16 563.14 99% 562.99 562.99 563.01 562.98 100% 561.21 561.03 560.89 560.83 Exceedance, Percent Time Lake Wylie Levels Remain above Elevation, FT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 19Figure 5: Elevation Duration Curve for Lake Wateree Exceedance Curve of Lake Wateree Elevations for all Elevations Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 20032182202222242262282302320% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Exceedance, Percent TimeEnd of Day Elevation (ft)Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 20 Table 13: Lake Wateree Elevation Exceedance Data, FT Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0% 231.95 231.94 231.95 231.96 1% 225.56 225.56 225.55 225.56 2% 225.5 225.5 225.5 225.5 5% 225.5 225.5 225.5 225.5 10% 225.5 225.5 225.5 225.5 20% 225.5 225.5 225.5 225.5 30% 225.46 225.46 225.45 225.47 40% 223.67 223.7 223.66 223.71 50% 222.68 222.68 222.68 222.69 60% 222.43 222.43 222.43 222.43 70% 222.25 222.25 222.25 222.25 80% 221.9 221.9 221.9 221.91 90% 220.99 221 220.97 220.98 95% 220.35 220.35 220.34 220.35 98% 220.04 220.04 220.04 220.05 99% 219.91 219.92 219.91 219.92 100% 218.61 218.61 218.61 218.61 Exceedance, Percent Time Lake Wateree Levels Remain above Elevation, FT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 21Figure 6: Outflow Duration Curve for Lake James Exceedance Curve of Lake James Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 200302000400060008000100001200014000160000% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%ExceedanceDaily Avg Flow(cfs)Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 22 Table 14: Lake James Outflow Exceedance Data, FT Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0% 15,491 15,491 15,491 15,491 1% 3,238 3,246 3,232 3,246 2% 2,744 2,744 2,744 2,744 5% 2,011 2,026 2,025 2,029 10% 1,384 1,382 1,381 1,379 20% 1,071 1,070 1,069 1,069 30% 884 883 884 882 40% 729 729 730 729 50% 627 627 628 627 60% 458 457 460 462 70% 360 360 360 360 80% 237 237 237 237 90% 202 202 202 203 95% 159 159 159 159 98% 146 146 146 146 99% 140 140 140 140 100% 139 139 139 139 Exceedance, Percent Time Lake James Flow Remain above, cfs Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 23Figure 7: Outflow Duration Curve for Lake Wylie Exceedance Curve of Wylie Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 20030100002000030000400005000060000700000% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%ExceedanceDaily Avg Flow(cfs)Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 24 Table 15: Lake Wylie Outflow Exceedance Data, CFS Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0% 68,400 68,399 68,392 68,404 1% 13,093 13,094 13,073 13,100 2% 12,810 12,810 12,810 12,810 5% 10,819 10,819 10,807 10,807 10% 8,047 7,997 7,965 7,946 20% 4,870 4,837 4,818 4,803 30% 3,373 3,338 3,337 3,306 40% 2,550 2,549 2,549 2,549 50% 2,345 2,321 2,314 2,303 60% 1,761 1,745 1,743 1,743 70% 1,400 1,377 1,374 1,341 80% 1,258 1,256 1,256 1,256 90% 1,221 1,221 1,221 1,221 95% 1,205 1,205 1,205 1,204 98% 1,096 1,096 1,095 1,034 99% 1,011 1,011 1,011 995 100% 838 838 838 838 Exceedance, Percent Time Lake Wylie Flow Remain above, cfs Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 25Figure 8: Outflow Duration Curve for Lake Wateree Exceedance Curve of Wateree Outflows for all Outflows Between Jan 1,1929 and Dec 31, 20030200004000060000800001000001200000% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%ExceedanceDaily Avg Flow(cfs)Zero IBT10 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT22 MGD IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 26 Table 16: Lake Wateree Outflow Exceedance Data, CFS Zero IBT 10 MGD IBT 16 MGD IBT 22 MGD IBT 0% 119,380 119,332 119,379 119,578 1% 21,755 22,059 21,878 22,115 2% 16,489 16,418 16,355 16,405 5% 14,001 14,002 14,001 14,001 10% 12,112 12,113 12,110 12,110 20% 8,735 8,707 8,678 8,649 30% 5,992 5,974 5,955 5,935 40% 4,258 4,212 4,212 4,200 50% 3,177 3,164 3,157 3,135 60% 2,777 2,776 2,776 2,766 70% 2,248 2,233 2,239 2,209 80% 1,654 1,641 1,640 1,629 90% 1,343 1,327 1,333 1,318 95% 1,038 1,037 1,037 1,037 98% 1,005 1,005 1,005 994 99% 991 991 991 991 100% 963 963 963 963 Exceedance, Percent Time Lake Wateree Flow Remain above, cfs Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 27Figure 9: Lake James Elevation Profiles Simulated Lake James Elevation Profiles at Bridgewater Dam1,1871,1921,1971,2021/1/19291/1/19321/1/19351/1/19381/1/19411/1/19441/1/19471/1/19501/1/19531/1/19561/1/19591/1/19621/1/19651/1/19681/1/19711/1/19741/1/19771/1/19801/1/19831/1/19861/1/19891/1/19921/1/19951/1/19981/1/2001TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 28Figure 10: Lake James Elevation Profiles during 1950’s Drought Simulated Lake James Elevation Profiles at Bridgewater Dam during 1950s Drought1,1851,1901,1951,2001/1/19542/1/19543/1/19544/1/19545/1/19546/1/19547/1/19548/1/19549/1/195410/1/195411/1/195412/1/19541/1/19552/1/19553/1/19554/1/19555/1/19556/1/19557/1/19558/1/19559/1/195510/1/195511/1/195512/1/1955TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 0: (22 MGD)Stage 1: (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 29Figure 11: Lake James Elevation Profiles during 1980’s Drought Simulated Lake James Elevation Profiles at Bridgewater Dam during 1980s Drought1,1901,1921,1941,1961,1981,2001,2021/1/19873/1/19875/1/19877/1/19879/1/198711/1/19871/1/19883/1/19885/1/19887/1/19889/1/198811/1/19881/1/19893/1/19895/1/19897/1/19899/1/198911/1/1989TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 0: (22 MGD)Stage 1: (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 30 Figure 12: Lake James Elevation Profiles during 2002 Drought Simulated Lake James Elevation Profiles at Bridgewater Dam during 2002 Drought1,1901,1921,1941,1961,1981,2005/1/20007/1/20009/1/200011/1/20001/1/20013/1/20015/1/20017/1/20019/1/200111/1/20011/1/20023/1/20025/1/20027/1/20029/1/200211/1/2002TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 0 / Stage 0:(Zero / 22 MGD)Stage 1 : (22 MGD)Stage 1 : (16 MGD)Stage 1 : (Zero MGD)Stage 2: (Zero MGD)Stage 2 : (22 MGD)Stage 1 / Stage 1: (Zero / 22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 31Figure 13 Lake Norman Elevation Profiles Simulated Lake Norman Elevation Profiles at Cowans Ford Dam7507557607651/1/19291/1/19321/1/19351/1/19381/1/19411/1/19441/1/19471/1/19501/1/19531/1/19561/1/19591/1/19621/1/19651/1/19681/1/19711/1/19741/1/19771/1/19801/1/19831/1/19861/1/19891/1/19921/1/19951/1/19981/1/2001TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 32Figure 14: Lake Norman Elevation Profiles during 1950s Drought Simulated Lake Norman Elevation Profiles at Cowans Ford Dam during 1950s Drought7507557607651/1/19533/1/19535/1/19537/1/19539/1/195311/1/19531/1/19543/1/19545/1/19547/1/19549/1/195411/1/19541/1/19553/1/19555/1/19557/1/19559/1/195511/1/1955TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 33Figure 15: Lake Norman Elevation Profiles during 1980s Drought Simulated Lake Norman Elevation Profiles at Cowans Ford Dam during 1980s Drought7547567587607621/1/19873/1/19875/1/19877/1/19879/1/198711/1/19871/1/19883/1/19885/1/19887/1/19889/1/198811/1/19881/1/19893/1/19895/1/19897/1/19899/1/198911/1/1989TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 34Figure 16: Lake Norman Elevation Profiles during 2002 Drought Simulated Lake Norman Elevation Profiles at Cowans Ford Dam during 2002 Drought7507527547567587605/1/20007/1/20009/1/200011/1/20001/1/20013/1/20015/1/20017/1/20019/1/200111/1/20011/1/20023/1/20025/1/20027/1/20029/1/200211/1/2002TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 1 : (22 MGD)Stage 2: (Zero MGD)Stage 1 : (Zero MGD)Stage 2 : (22 MGD)Stage 1 / Stage 1: (Zero / 22 MGD)Stage 1 : (16 MGD)Stage 0 / Stage 0: (Zero / 22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 35Figure 17: Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles Simulated Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles5605625645665685701/1/19291/1/19321/1/19351/1/19381/1/19411/1/19441/1/19471/1/19501/1/19531/1/19561/1/19591/1/19621/1/19651/1/19681/1/19711/1/19741/1/19771/1/19801/1/19831/1/19861/1/19891/1/19921/1/19951/1/19981/1/2001TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO CF IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 36Figure 18: Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles during 1950s Drought Simulated Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles during 1950s Drought5605625645665685701/1/19534/1/19537/1/195310/1/19531/1/19544/1/19547/1/195410/1/19541/1/19554/1/19557/1/195510/1/19551/1/19564/1/19567/1/195610/1/19561/1/19574/1/19577/1/195710/1/1957TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 1 : (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD)Stage - 1 : (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD)Stage - 1 : (22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 37Figure 19: Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles during 1980s Drought Simulated Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles during 1980s Drought5605625645665685701/1/19873/1/19875/1/19877/1/19879/1/198711/1/19871/1/19883/1/19885/1/19887/1/19889/1/198811/1/19881/1/19893/1/19895/1/19897/1/19899/1/198911/1/1989TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 0: (22 MGD)Stage 1: (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD)Stage - 1 : (22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 38Figure 20: Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles during 2002 Drought Simulated Lake Wylie Elevation Profiles during 2002 Drought5605625645665685705/1/20007/1/20009/1/200011/1/20001/1/20013/1/20015/1/20017/1/20019/1/200111/1/20011/1/20023/1/20025/1/20027/1/20029/1/200211/1/2002TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 0 / Stage 0: (Zero / 22 MGD)Stage 1 : (22 MGD)Stage 1 : (16 MGD)Stage 1 : (Zero MGD)Stage 2: (Zero MGD)Stage 2 : (22 MGD)Stage 1 / Stage 1: (Zero / 22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 39 Figure 21: Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles Simulated Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles2152202252302351/1/19291/1/19321/1/19351/1/19381/1/19411/1/19441/1/19471/1/19501/1/19531/1/19561/1/19591/1/19621/1/19651/1/19681/1/19711/1/19741/1/19771/1/19801/1/19831/1/19861/1/19891/1/19921/1/19951/1/19981/1/2001TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO CF IBT Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 40Figure 22: Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles during 1950s Drought Simulated Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles during 1950s Drought2152202252301/1/19534/1/19537/1/195310/1/19531/1/19544/1/19547/1/195410/1/19541/1/19554/1/19557/1/195510/1/19551/1/19564/1/19567/1/195610/1/19561/1/19574/1/19577/1/195710/1/1957TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 1 : (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD)Stage - 1 : (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD)Stage - 1 : (22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 41Figure 23: Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles during 1980s Drought Simulated Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles during 1980s Drought2152202252301/1/19873/1/19875/1/19877/1/19879/1/198711/1/19871/1/19883/1/19885/1/19887/1/19889/1/198811/1/19881/1/19893/1/19895/1/19897/1/19899/1/198911/1/1989TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 0: (22 MGD)Stage 1: (22 MGD)Stage 0: (22 MGD)Stage - 1 : (22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 42Figure 24: Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles during 2002 Drought Simulated Lake Wateree Elevation Profiles during 2002 Drought2152202252307/1/20009/1/200011/1/20001/1/20013/1/20015/1/20017/1/20019/1/200111/1/20011/1/20023/1/20025/1/20027/1/20029/1/200211/1/20021/1/20033/1/20035/1/20037/1/20039/1/200311/1/2003TimeEnd of Day Elevation, ft22 MGD IBT16 MGD IBT10 MGD IBTZERO IBTStage 1: (22 MGD)Stage 1 : (16 MGD)Stage 1 : (Zero MGD)Stage 2: (Zero MGD)Stage 2 : (22 MGD)Stage 1 / Stage 1:(Zero / 22 MGD) Revised Report: CHEOPS Simulation of Proposed Concord - Kannapolis Interbasin Transfer from the Catawba River Basin August 31, 2006 43 Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 1 APPENDIX C: LOW INFLOW PROTOCOL (LIP) FOR THE CATAWBA-WATEREE PROJECT PURPOSE The purpose of this Low Inflow Protocol (LIP) is to establish procedures for reductions in water use during periods of low inflow to the Catawba-Wateree Project (the Project). The LIP was developed on the basis that all parties with interests in water quantity will share the responsibility to establish priorities and to conserve the limited water supply. OVERVIEW This Low Inflow Protocol provides trigger points and procedures for how the Catawba- Wateree Project will be operated by the Licensee, as well as water withdrawal reduction measures and goals for other water users during periods of low inflow (i.e., periods when there is not enough water flowing into the Project reservoirs to meet the normal water demands while maintaining Remaining Usable Storage in the reservoir system at or above a seasonal target level). The Licensee will provide flow from hydro generation and other means to support electric customer needs and the instream flow needs of the Project. During periods of normal inflow, reservoir levels will be maintained within prescribed Normal Operating Ranges. During times that inflow is not adequate to meet all of the normal demands for water and maintain reservoir levels as normally targeted the Licensee will progressively reduce hydro generation. If hydrologic conditions worsen until trigger points outlined herein are reached, the Licensee will declare a Stage 0 - Low Inflow Watch and begin meeting with the applicable agencies and water users to discuss this LIP. If hydrologic conditions continue to worsen, the Licensee will declare various stages of a Low Inflow Condition (LIC) as defined in the Procedure section of this document. Each progressive stage of the LIC will call for greater reductions in hydro station releases and water withdrawals, and allow additional use of the available water storage inventory. The goal of this staged LIP is to take the actions needed in the Catawba-Wateree River Basin to delay the point at which the Project’s usable water storage inventory is fully depleted. While there are no human actions that can guarantee that the Catawba- Wateree River Basin will never experience operability limitations at water intake structures due to low reservoir levels or low streamflows, this LIP is intended to provide additional time to allow precipitation to restore streamflow, reservoir levels, and groundwater levels to normal ranges. The amount of additional time that is gained during the LIP depends primarily on the diagnostic accuracy of the trigger points, the amount of regulatory flexibility the Licensee has to operate the Project, and the effectiveness of the Licensee and other water users in working together to implement their required actions and achieve significant water use reductions in a timely manner. To ensure continuous improvement regarding the LIP and its implementation throughout the term of the New License, the LIP will be re-evaluated and modified periodically. These re-evaluations and modifications will be as determined by the Catawba-Wateree Drought Management Advisory Group (CW-DMAG). Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 2 KEY FACTS AND DEFINITIONS 1. Human Health and Safety and the Integrity of the Public Water Supply and Electric Systems are of Utmost Importance – Nothing in this protocol will limit the Licensee’s ability to take any and all lawful actions necessary at the Project to protect human health and safety, protect its equipment from major damage, protect the equipment of the Large Water Intake Owners from major damage, and ensure the stability of the regional electric grid and public water supply systems. It is recognized that the Licensee may take the steps that are necessary to protect these things without prior consultation or notification. Likewise, nothing in this LIP will limit the States of North Carolina and South Carolina from taking any and all lawful actions necessary within their jurisdictions to protect human health and safety. It is recognized that North Carolina and South Carolina may also take the steps necessary to protect these things without prior consultation or notification. 2. No Abrogation of Statutory Authority – It is understood that the South Carolina Department of Natural Resources (SCDNR) must operate under the statutory authority of its drought response statutes, and nothing in this LIP will require the SCDNR to take any action that exceeds its authority under their drought response statute. 3. Normal Full Pond Elevation – Also referred to simply as “full pond,” this is the level of a reservoir that corresponds to the point at which water would first begin to spill from the reservoir’s dam(s) if the Licensee took no action. This level corresponds to the lowest point along the top of the spillway (including flashboards) for reservoirs without floodgates and to the lowest point along the top of the floodgates for reservoirs that have floodgates. To avoid confusion among the many reservoirs the Licensee operates, it has adopted the practice of referring to the Full Pond Elevation for all of its reservoirs as equal to 100.0 ft. relative. The Full Pond Elevations for the Catawba-Wateree Project reservoirs are as follows: Reservoir Full Pond Elevation (ft. above Mean Sea Level) Lake James 1200.0 Lake Rhodhiss 995.1 Lake Hickory 935.0 Lookout Shoals Lake 838.1 Lake Norman 760.0 Mountain Island Lake 647.5 Lake Wylie 569.4 Fishing Creek Reservoir 417.2 Great Falls Reservoir 355.8 Cedar Creek Reservoir 284.4 Lake Wateree 225.5 Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 3 4. Net Inflow – The cumulative inflow into a reservoir, expressed in acre-feet (ac-ft) per month. Net inflow is the sum of tributary stream flow, inflow from upstream hydro development releases (where applicable), groundwater inflow, precipitation falling on the reservoir surface, land surface runoff, and on-reservoir point-source return flows, less the sum of on-reservoir water withdrawals, groundwater recharge, hydro development flow releases, evaporation, and other factors. 5. Normal Minimum Elevation – The level of a reservoir (measured in feet above Mean Sea Level (MSL) or feet relative to the full pond contour with 100.0 ft. corresponding to full pond) that defines the bottom of the reservoir’s Normal Operating Range for a given day of the year. If inflows and outflows to the reservoir are kept within some reasonable range of the average or expected amounts, hydroelectric project equipment is operating properly and no protocols for abnormal conditions have been implemented, reservoir level excursions below the Normal Minimum Elevation should not occur. 6. Normal Maximum Elevation – The level of a reservoir (measured in feet above Mean Sea Level (MSL) or feet relative to the full pond contour with 100.0 ft. corresponding to full pond) that defines the top of the reservoir’s Normal Operating Range for a given day of the year. If inflows and outflows to the reservoir are kept within some reasonable range of the average or expected amounts, hydroelectric project equipment is operating properly, and no protocols for abnormal conditions have been implemented, reservoir level excursions above the Normal Maximum Elevation should not occur. 7. Normal Target Elevation – The level of a reservoir (measured in feet above Mean Sea Level (msl) or feet relative to the full pond contour with 100.0 ft corresponding to full pond) that the Licensee will endeavor in good faith to achieve, unless operating in this Low Inflow Protocol, the Maintenance and Emergency Protocol, the Spring Reservoir Level Stabilization Program (Lakes James, Norman, Wylie and Wateree only), a Spring Stable Flow Period (Lake Wateree only) or a Floodplain Inundation Period (Lake Wateree only). Since inflows vary significantly and outflow demands also vary, the Licensee will not always be able to maintain actual reservoir level at the Normal Target Elevation. The Normal Target Elevation falls within the Normal Operating Range, but it is not always the average of the Normal Minimum and Normal Maximum Elevations. 8. Normal Operating Range for Reservoir Levels – The band of reservoir levels within which the Licensee normally attempts to maintain a given reservoir that it operates on a given day. Each reservoir has its own specific Normal Operating Range, and that range is bounded by a Normal Maximum Elevation and a Normal Minimum Elevation. If inflows and outflows to the reservoir are kept within some reasonable range of the average or expected amounts, hydro project equipment is operating properly and no protocols for abnormal conditions have been implemented, reservoir level excursions outside of the Normal Operating Range should not occur. 9. Large Water Intake – Any water intake (e.g., public water supply, industrial, agricultural, power plant, etc.) having a maximum instantaneous capacity greater than or equal to one Million Gallons per Day (MGD) that withdraws water from the Catawba-Wateree River Basin. 10. Public Water Supply (PWS) – Any water delivery system owned and/or operated by any governmental or private entity that utilizes waters from the Catawba-Wateree Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 4 River Basin for the public interest including drinking water; residential, commercial, industrial, and institutional uses; irrigation, and/or other public uses. 11. Critical Reservoir Elevation – Unless it is otherwise stated as applying only to a specific intake or type of intake, the Critical Reservoir Elevation is the highest level of water in a reservoir (measured in feet above Mean Sea Level (mls) or feet relative to the full pond contour with 100.0 ft. corresponding to full pond) below which any Large Water Intake used for Public Water Supply or industrial uses, or any regional power plant intake located on the reservoir will not operate at its Licensee-approved capacity. The Critical Reservoir Elevations, as of June 1, 2006, are defined below: Reservoir Critical Reservoir Elevation (ft. relative to local datum) (100 ft = Full Pond) Type of Limit Lake James 61.0 Power Production Lake Rhodhiss 89.4 Municipal Intake Lake Hickory 94.0 Municipal Intake Lookout Shoals Lake 74.9 Municipal Intake Lake Norman 90.0 Power Production Mountain Island Lake 94.3 Power Production Lake Wylie 92.6 Industrial Intake Fishing Creek Reservoir 95.0 Municipal Intake Great Falls Reservoir 87.2 Power Production Cedar Creek Reservoir 80.3 Power Production Lake Wateree 92.5 Municipal Intake 12. Total Usable Storage (TUS) – The sum of the Project’s volume of water expressed in acre-feet (ac-ft) contained between each reservoir’s Critical Reservoir Elevation and the Full Pond Elevation. 13. Remaining Usable Storage (RUS) – The sum of the Project’s volume of water expressed in acre-feet (ac-ft) contained between each reservoir’s Critical Reservoir Elevation and the actual reservoir elevation at any given point in time. 14. Storage Index (SI) – The ratio, expressed in percent, of Remaining Usable Storage to Total Usable Storage at any given point in time. 15. Target Storage Index (TSI) – The ratio of Remaining Usable Storage to Total Usable Storage based on the Project reservoirs being at their Normal Target Elevations. The following table lists the Target Storage Index for the first day of each month: Month Target Storage Index For 1st Day of Month (%)* Jan 61 Feb 51 Mar 61 Apr 66 Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 5 Month Target Storage Index For 1st Day of Month (%)* May 75 Jun 75 Jul 75 Aug 75 Sep 75 Oct 75 Nov 69 Dec 62 * Target Storage Indices for other days of the month are determined by linear interpolation. 16. U.S. Drought Monitor – A synthesis of multiple indices, outlooks, and news accounts that represents a consensus of federal and academic scientists concerning the drought status of all parts of the United States. Typically, the U.S. Drought Monitor indicates intensity of drought as D0-Abnormally Dry, D1-Moderate, D2-Severe, D3- Extreme, and D4-Exceptional. The website address is http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html. The following federal agencies are responsible for maintaining the U.S. Drought Monitor: ƒ Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (U.S. Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) ƒ Climate Prediction Center (U.S. Department of Commerce/NOAA/National Weather Service) ƒ National Climatic Data Center (DOC/NOAA) 17. U.S. Drought Monitor Three-Month Numeric Average – If the U.S. Drought Monitor has a reading of D0-D4 as of the last day of the previous month for any part of the Catawba-Wateree River Basin that drains to Lake Wateree, the Basin will be assigned a numeric value for the current month. The numeric value will equal the highest Drought Monitor designation (e.g., D0 = 0, D4 = 4) as of the last day of the previous month that existed for any part of the Catawba-Wateree River Basin that drains to Lake Wateree. A normal condition in the Basin, defined as the absence of a Drought Monitor designation, would be assigned a numeric value of negative one (- 1). A running average numeric value of the current month and the previous two months will be monitored and designated as the U.S. Drought Monitor Three-Month Numeric Average. 18. Critical Flows – The minimum flow releases from the hydro developments that may be necessary to: a. prevent long-term or irreversible damage to aquatic communities consistent with the resource management goals and objectives for the affected stream reaches; b. provide some basic level of operability for Large Water Intakes located on the affected stream reaches; and, Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 6 c. provide some basic level of water quality maintenance in the affected stream reaches. For the purposes of this LIP, the Critical Flows are as follows: a. Linville River, below the Bridgewater Development: 75 cubic feet per second (cfs). b. Catawba River Bypassed Reach below the Bridgewater Development: 25 cfs. c. Oxford Regulated River Reach below the Oxford Development: 100 cfs. d. Lookout Shoals Regulated River Reach below the Lookout Shoals Development: 80 cfs. e. Wylie Regulated River Reach below the Wylie Development: 700 cfs. f. Great Falls Bypassed Reaches (Long and Short) at the Great Falls-Dearborn Development: 450 cfs and 80 cfs respectively. g. Wateree Regulated River Reach below the Wateree Development: 800 cfs. h. Leakage flows at the remaining Project structures. Leakage flows are defined as the flow of water through wicket gates when the hydro units are not operating and seepage through the Project structures at each development. 19. Recreation Flow Reductions – Since all recreation flow releases must be made by either releasing water through hydroelectric generation or through flow releases that bypass hydro generation equipment, reductions in Project Flow Requirements will impact recreation flow releases. 20. Organizational Abbreviations – Organizational abbreviations include the North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources (NCDENR), North Carolina Wildlife Resources Commission (NCWRC), South Carolina Department of Natural Resources (SCDNR), South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC), and the United States Geological Survey (USGS). 21. Catawba-Wateree Drought Management Advisory Group (CW-DMAG) – The CW- DMAG will be tasked with working with the Licensee when the LIP is initiated. This team will also meet as necessary to foster a basin-wide response to a Low Inflow Condition (see Procedure section of this LIP). Members of the CW-DMAG agree to comply with the conditions of this LIP. Membership on the CW-DMAG is open to the following organizations, of which each organization may have up to two members: a. NCDENR (including Division of Water Resources and the Division of Water Quality) b. NCWRC c. SCDNR d. SCDHEC e. USGS f. Each Owner of a Large Water Intake located on one of the Catawba-Wateree Project reservoirs or the main stem of the Catawba-Wateree River g. Each Owner of a Large Water Intake located on any tributary stream within the Catawba-Wateree River Basin that ultimately drains to Lake Wateree h. Licensee (CW-DMAG Coordinator) Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 7 The CW-DMAG will meet at least annually (typically during the month of May) beginning in 2007 and continuing throughout the term of the New License, regardless of the Low Inflow Condition status, to review prior year activities, discuss data input from Large Water Intake Owners, and discuss other issues relevant to the LIP. The Licensee will maintain an active roster of the CW-DMAG and update the roster as needed. The Licensee will prepare meeting summaries of all CW-DMAG meetings and will make these meeting summaries available to the public by posting on its Web site. 22. Revising the LIP – During the term of the New License, the CW-DMAG will review and update the LIP periodically to ensure continuous improvement of the LIP and its implementation. These evaluations and modifications will be considered at least once every five (5) years during the New License term. Modifications must be approved by a consensus of the participating CW-DMAG members. If the participating members cannot reach consensus, then the dispute resolution procedures set forth in Section 31.0 of the relicensing Final Agreement will apply. Approved modifications will be incorporated through revision of the LIP and the Licensee will file the revised LIP with the FERC. If any modifications of the LIP require amendment of the New License, the Licensee will: (i) provide notice to all Parties to the relicensing Final Agreement advising them of the proposed license article amendment and the Licensee’s intent to file it with the FERC; (ii) submit the modification request to the North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) and/or the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) for formal review and approval as may be required by any reopener conditions of the respective state's 401 Water Quality Certification for the Project; and (iii) file a license amendment request for FERC approval. During this process, the CW-DMAG may appoint an ad hoc committee to address issues and revisions relevant to the LIP. The filing of a revised LIP by the Licensee will not constitute or require modification to the relicensing Final Agreement and any Party to the relicensing Final Agreement may be involved in the FERC’s public process for assessing the revised LIP. Issues such as sediment fill impact on reservoir storage volume calculations, revising the groundwater monitoring plan and substitution of a regional drought monitor for the U.S. Drought Monitor, if developed in the future, are examples of items that may be addressed. 23. Water Withdrawal Data Collection and Reporting – The Licensee will maintain information on cumulative water use from Project reservoirs beginning in 2006 and continuing throughout the term of the New License and will make the information available to water intake owners and governmental agencies upon their request. The Licensee will require all owners of Large Water Intakes located within the FERC Project Boundaries to report to the Licensee, on an annual basis in MGD, their average monthly water withdrawals from and flow returns to the Project or its tributary streams that drain to Lake Wateree. The Licensee will maintain a database of this information including the Licensee’s own non-hydro water use records (i.e., water uses due to thermal power generation). These annual withdrawal summaries will be in writing, certified for accuracy by a professional engineer or other appropriate official, and will be provided to the Licensee by January 31 of each year for the preceding calendar year beginning in 2007. This information may be used to determine if future increased water withdrawals would be within the projections of the Water Supply Study conducted during the relicensing process and filed with the FERC as part of the Licensee’s Application for New License for the Project. Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 8 24. Reclaimed Water – Wastewater that has been treated to reclaimed water standards and is re-used for a designated purpose (e.g. industrial process, irrigation). Reclaimed Water will not be subject to the water use restrictions outlined in this LIP. 25. Drought Response Plan Updates – All Large Water Intake Owners will review and update their Drought Response Plans or Ordinances (or develop a plan or ordinance if they do not have one) by June 30, 2007 and within 180 days following the acceptance by the FERC of any future LIP revisions during the term of the New License to ensure compliance and coordination with the LIP, including the authority to enforce the provisions outlined herein, provided that the requirements of the LIP are consistent with state law. 26. Relationship Between the LIP and the Maintenance & Emergency Protocol (MEP) – The MEP outlines the response the Licensee will take under certain emergency and equipment failure and maintenance situations to continue practical and safe operation of the Project, to mitigate any related impacts to license conditions, and to communicate with resource agencies and the affected parties. Under the MEP, temporary modifications of prescribed flow releases and the reservoir level Normal Operating Ranges are allowed. Lowering levels of Project reservoirs caused by situations addressed under the MEP will not invoke implementation of this Low Inflow Protocol (LIP). Also, if the LIP has already been implemented at the time that a situation covered by the MEP is initiated, the Licensee will typically suspend implementation of the LIP until the MEP situation has been eliminated. The Licensee may, however, choose to continue with the LIP if desirable. 27. Consensus – Consensus is reached when all CW-DMAG members in attendance can ‘live with’ the outcome or proposal being made. The concept of consensus is more fully described in the Catawba – Wateree Hydroelectric Project Relicensing – Stakeholder Teams Charter (dated October, 2005). 28. Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages – The Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages are identified as USGS streamflow gage #’s 02145000 (South Fork Catawba River at Lowell, NC), 02137727 (Catawba River near Pleasant Gardens, NC), 02140991 (Johns River at Arney’s Store, NC), and 02147500 (Rocky Creek at Great Falls, SC). ASSUMPTIONS 1. Instream Flows for Recreation – The New License for the Catawba-Wateree Project includes recreational flow releases as listed in the proposed Recreational Flows License Article. 2. Minimum Flows – The New License for the Catawba-Wateree Project includes the minimum flow requirements as listed in the proposed Minimum Flows License Article, the proposed Wylie High Inflow Protocol License Article, and the proposed Flows Supporting Public Water Supply and Industrial Processes License Article. 3. Project Flow Requirements – These flow requirements include the Minimum Flows and the portion of the Recreational Flows that is greater than the Minimum Flows for normal conditions (i.e., conditions outside of this LIP or Maintenance and Emergency Protocol). 4. Public Information System – The New License for the Catawba-Wateree Project includes the requirement to provide information to the public as specified in the proposed Public Information License Article. Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 9 5. Normal Operating Ranges for Reservoir Levels – The New License for the Catawba- Wateree Project includes the Normal Operating Ranges for reservoir levels (i.e., Normal Minimum, Normal Maximum, and Normal Target Elevations) as listed in the proposed Reservoir Elevations License Article. 6. Spring Reservoir Level Stabilization Program – The New License for the Catawba- Wateree Project includes the reservoir level requirements in the proposed Spring Reservoir Level Stabilization Program License Article. PROCEDURE During periods of normal inflow, reservoir levels will be maintained within prescribed Normal Operating Ranges. During times that inflow is not adequate to meet all of the normal demands for water and maintain reservoir levels as normally targeted, the Licensee will progressively reduce hydro generation while meeting Project Flow Requirements. During a Low Inflow Watch or a Low Inflow Condition (LIC) (as defined below), the Licensee and other water users will follow the protocol set forth below for the Catawba-Wateree Project regarding communications and adjustments to hydro station flow releases, bypassed flow releases, minimum reservoir elevations, and other water demands. The adjustments set forth below will be made on a monthly basis and are designed to equitably allocate the impacts of reduced water availability in accordance with the purpose statement of this LIP. Trigger points that demonstrate worsening hydrologic conditions will define various stages of the Low Inflow Condition. A summary of trigger points for various stages is provided in the table below. The specific triggers required to enter successive stages are defined in the procedure for each stage. Summary of LIP Trigger Points Stage Storage Index 1 Drought Monitor 2 (3-month average) Monitored USGS 3 Streamflow Gages 04 90% < SI < 100% TSI 3mo Ave DM ≥ 0 AVG ≤ 85% LT 6mo Ave 1 75% TSI < SI ≤ 90% TSI and 3mo Ave DM ≥ 1 or AVG ≤ 78% LT 6mo Ave 2 57% TSI < SI ≤ 75% TSI and 3mo Ave DM ≥ 2 or AVG ≤ 65% LT 6mo Ave 3 42% TSI < SI ≤ 57% TSI and 3mo Ave DM ≥ 3 or AVG ≤ 55% LT 6mo Ave 4 SI ≤ 42% TSI and 3mo Ave DM = 4 or AVG ≤ 40% LT 6mo Ave 1 The ratio of Remaining Useable Storage to Total Usable Storage at a given point in time. 2 The three-month numeric average of the published U.S. Drought Monitor. 3 The sum of the rolling sixth-month average for the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages as a percentage of the period of record rolling average for the same six- month period for the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages. 4 Stage 0 is triggered when any two of the three trigger points are reached. Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 10 Stage 0 Actions The Licensee will monitor the Storage Index, the U.S. Drought Monitor, and the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages on at least a monthly basis and will declare a Stage 0 Low Inflow Watch if any two of the following conditions occur: a. On the first day of the month, Storage Index is below the Target Storage Index, but greater than 90% of the Target Storage Index, while providing the Project Flow Requirements for the previous month. b. The U.S. Drought Monitor Three-Month Numeric Average has a value greater than or equal to 0. c. The sum of the actual rolling six-month average streamflows at the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages is equal to or less than 85% of the sum of the period of record rolling average streamflows for the same six-month period. When a Low Inflow Watch has been declared: a. The Licensee will activate the CW-DMAG, including the initiation of monthly meetings or conference calls to occur on the second Tuesday of each month. These monthly discussions will focus on: ƒ Proper communication channels between the CW-DMAG members. ƒ Information reporting consistency for CW-DMAG members, including a storage index history and forecast (at least a 90-day look back and look ahead) from the Licensee, a water use history and forecast (at least a 90- day look back and look ahead) from each water user on the CW-DMAG, streamflow gage and groundwater monitoring status from the state agencies and USGS, and state-wide drought response status from the state agencies. ƒ Refresher training on this LIP. ƒ Overview discussions from each CW-DMAG member concerning their role and plans for responding if a Stage 1 or higher Low Inflow Condition is subsequently declared. b. The Licensee will reduce the prescribed recreation flow releases at the Wylie Development from 6,000 cfs to 3,000 cfs. Stage 1 Actions 1. The Licensee will declare a Stage 1 Low Inflow Condition (LIC) and notify the CW- DMAG if: a. On the first day of the month, the Storage Index is at or below 90% of the Target Storage Index, but greater than 75% of the Target Storage Index, while providing the Project Flow Requirements for the previous month. and either of the following conditions exists: b. The U.S. Drought Monitor Three-Month Numeric Average has a value greater than or equal to 1. c. The sum of the actual rolling six-month average streamflows at the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages is equal to or less than 78% of the sum of the period of record rolling average streamflows for the same six-month period. Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 11 2. The Licensee will complete the following activities within 5 days after the Stage 1 LIC declaration: a. Reduce the Project Flow Requirements by 60% of the difference between the normal Project Flow Requirements and the Critical Flows. These reduced Project Flow Requirements are referred to as Stage 1 Minimum Project Flows. b. Reduce the Normal Minimum Elevations by two feet at Lake James and Lake Norman and by one foot at each of the other Project reservoirs, but not to levels at any reservoir below the applicable Critical Reservoir Elevation. These elevations are referred to as the Stage 1 Minimum Elevations. c. Update its Web site and Interactive Voice Response (IVR) messages to account for the impacts of the LIP on reservoir levels, usability of the Licensee’s public access areas, and recreation flow schedules. d. Notify the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), the United States Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), the United States Bureau of Indian Affairs (USBIA), National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), and the Catawba Indian Nation of the Stage 1 LIC declaration. e. Provide bi-weekly (once every two weeks) information updates to owners of Large Water Intakes about reservoir levels, meteorological forecasts, and inflow of water into the system. f. In addition the Licensee may, at its sole discretion, modify or suspend its use of selected operating procedures that are designed for periods of normal or above normal inflow to optimize the water storage capabilities of the Project, including the Normal Maximum Elevations and Normal Target Elevations for reservoir levels; the Spring Reservoir Level Stabilization Program; the Wylie High Inflow Protocol and at Lake Wateree, the Spring Stable Flow Periods and Floodplain Inundation Periods. These modifications and suspensions may be used at the Licensee’s sole discretion in any Low Inflow Condition (Stages 1 through 4). 3. Owners of Public Water Supply intakes and owners of intakes used for irrigation with a capacity greater than 100,000 gallons per day will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 1 LIC declaration: a. Notify their water customers and employees of the Low Inflow Condition through public outreach and communication efforts. b. Request that their water customers and employees implement voluntary water use restrictions, in accordance with their drought response plans, which may include: ƒ Reduction of lawn and landscape irrigation to no more than two days per week (i.e. residential, multi-family, parks, streetscapes, schools, etc). ƒ Reduction of residential vehicle washing. At this stage, the goal is to reduce water usage by 3-5% (or more) from the amount that would otherwise be expected. The baseline for this comparison will be generated by each entity and will be based on existing conditions (i.e. drought conditions). For the purposes of determining ‘the amount that would Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 12 otherwise be expected’, each entity may give consideration to one or more of the following: ƒ Historical maximum daily, weekly, and monthly flows during drought conditions. ƒ Increased customer base (e.g. population growth, service area expansion) since the historical flow comparison. ƒ Changes in major water users (e.g. industrial shifts) since the historical flow comparison. ƒ Climatic conditions for the comparison period. ƒ Changes in water use since the historical flow comparison. ƒ Other system specific considerations. c. Provide a status update to the CW-DMAG on actual water withdrawal trends. Discuss plans for moving to mandatory restrictions, if required. 4. Owners of Large Water Intakes, other than those referenced in item 3 above, will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 1 LIC declaration: a. Notify their customers and employees of the Low Inflow Condition through public outreach and communication efforts. b. Request that their customers and employees conserve water through reduction of water use, electric power consumption, and other means. c. Provide a status update to the CW-DMAG on actual water withdrawal trends. Stage 2 Actions 1. The Licensee will declare a Stage 2 Low Inflow Condition (LIC) and notify the CW- DMAG if: a. On the first day of the month, the Storage Index is at or below 75% of the Target Storage Index, but greater than 57% of the Target Storage Index, while providing the Stage 1 Minimum Project Flows during the previous month. and either of the following conditions exists: b. The U.S. Drought Monitor Three-Month Numeric Average has a value greater than or equal to 2. c. The sum of the actual rolling six-month average streamflows at the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages is equal to or less than 65% of the sum of the period of record rolling average streamflows for the same six-month period. 2. The Licensee will complete the following activities within 5 days after the Stage 2 LIC declaration: a. Eliminate prescribed recreation flow releases at this stage and all subsequent stages. Reduce the Project Flow Requirements by 95% of the difference between the normal Project Flow Requirements and Critical Flows. These reduced flows are referred to as Stage 2 Minimum Project Flows. b. Reduce the Stage 1 Minimum Elevations by one additional foot at Lake James (three feet total below Normal Minimum Elevation) and two additional Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 13 feet at Lake Norman (four feet total below Normal Minimum Elevation) and by one additional foot (two feet total below Normal Minimum Elevations) at each of the other Project reservoirs but not to levels at any reservoir below the applicable Critical Reservoir Elevation. These elevations are referred to as the Stage 2 Minimum Elevations. c. Update its Web site and IVR messages to account for the impacts of the LIP on reservoir levels, usability of the Licensee’s public access areas, and recreation flow schedules. d. Notify the FERC, the USFWS, the USBIA, NMFS, and the Catawba Indian Nation of the Stage 2 LIC declaration. e. Provide bi-weekly information updates to owners of Large Water Intakes about reservoir levels, meteorological forecasts, and inflow of water into the system. f. In addition the Licensee may, at its sole discretion, modify or suspend its use of selected operating procedures that are designed for periods of normal or above normal inflow to optimize the water storage capabilities of the Project, including the Normal Maximum Elevations and Normal Target Elevations for reservoir levels; the Spring Reservoir Level Stabilization Program; the Wylie High Inflow Protocol; and at Lake Wateree, the Spring Stable Flow Periods and Floodplain Inundation Periods. These modifications and suspensions may be used at the Licensee’s sole discretion in any Low Inflow Condition (Stages 1 through 4). 3. Owners of Public Water Supply intakes and owners of intakes used for irrigation with a capacity greater than 100,000 gallons per day will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 2 LIC declaration: a. Notify their water customers and employees of the continued Low Inflow Condition and movement to mandatory water use restrictions through public outreach and communication efforts. b. Require that their water customers and employees implement mandatory water use restrictions, in accordance with their drought response plans, which may include: ƒ Limiting lawn and landscape irrigation to no more than two days per week (i.e. residential, multi-family, parks, streetscapes, schools, etc). ƒ Eliminating residential vehicle washing. ƒ Limiting public building, sidewalk, and street washing activities except as required for safety and/or to maintain regulatory compliance. At this stage, the goal is to reduce water usage by 5-10% (or more) from the amount that would otherwise be expected (as discussed in Stage 1 above). c. Enforce mandatory water use restrictions through the assessment of penalties. d. Provide a status update to the CW-DMAG on actual water withdrawal trends. 4. Owners of Large Water Intakes, other than those referenced in item 3 above, will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 2 LIC declaration: Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 14 a. Continue informing their customers and employees of the Low Inflow Condition through public outreach and communication efforts. b. Request that their customers and employees conserve water through reduction of water use, electric power consumption, and other means. c. Provide a status update to the CW-DMAG on actual water withdrawal trends. Stage 3 Actions 1. The Licensee will declare a Stage 3 Low Inflow Condition (LIC) and notify the CW- DMAG if: a. On the first day of the month, the Storage Index is at or below 57% of the Target Storage Index, but greater than 42% of the Target Storage Index, while providing the Stage 2 Minimum Project Flows during the previous month. and either of the following conditions exists: b. The U.S. Drought Monitor Three-Month Numeric Average has a value greater than or equal to 3. c. The sum of the actual rolling six-month average streamflows at the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages is equal to or less than 55% of the sum of the period of record rolling average streamflows for the same six-month period. 2. The Licensee will complete the following activities within 5 days after the Stage 3 LIC declaration: a. Reduce the Project Flow Requirements to Critical Flows. These reduced flows are referred to as Stage 3 Minimum Project Flows. b. Reduce the Stage 2 Minimum Elevations by seven additional feet at Lake James (ten feet total below Normal Minimum Elevation) and one additional foot at Lake Norman (five feet total below Normal Minimum Elevation) and by one additional foot (three feet total below Normal Minimum Elevations) at each of the other Project reservoirs but not to levels at any reservoir below the applicable Critical Reservoir Elevation. These elevations are referred to as the Stage 3 Minimum Elevations. c. Update its Web site and IVR messages to account for the impacts of the LIP on reservoir levels, usability of the Licensee’s public access areas, and recreation flow schedules. d. Notify the FERC, the USFWS, the USBIA, NMFS, and the Catawba Indian Nation of the Stage 3 LIC declaration. e. Provide bi-weekly information updates to owners of Large Water Intakes about reservoir levels, meteorological forecasts, and inflow of water into the system. f. In addition the Licensee may, at its sole discretion, modify or suspend its use of selected operating procedures that are designed for periods of normal or above normal inflow to optimize the water storage capabilities of the Project, including the Normal Maximum Elevations and Normal Target Elevations for reservoir levels; the Spring Reservoir Level Stabilization Program; the Wylie High Inflow Protocol; and at Lake Wateree, the Spring Stable Flow Periods Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 15 and Floodplain Inundation Periods. These modifications and suspensions may be used at the Licensee’s sole discretion in any Low Inflow Condition (Stages 1 through 4). 3. Owners of Public Water Supply intakes and owners of intakes used for irrigation with a capacity greater than 100,000 gallons per day will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 3 LIC declaration: a. Notify their water customers and employees of the continued Low Inflow Condition and movement to more stringent mandatory water use restrictions through public outreach and communication efforts. b. Require that their water customers and employees implement increased mandatory water use restrictions, in accordance with their drought response plans, which may include: ƒ Limiting lawn and landscape irrigation to no more than one day per week (i.e. residential, multi-family, parks, streetscapes, schools, etc). ƒ Eliminating residential vehicle washing. ƒ Limiting public building, sidewalk, and street washing activities except as required for safety and/or to maintain regulatory compliance. ƒ Limiting construction uses of water such as dust control. ƒ Limiting flushing and hydrant testing programs, except to maintain water quality or other special circumstances. ƒ Eliminating the filling of new swimming pools. At this stage, the goal is to reduce water usage by 10-20% (or more) from the amount that would otherwise be expected (as discussed in Stage 1 above). c. Enforce mandatory water use restrictions through the assessment of penalties. d. Encourage industrial/manufacturing process changes that reduce water consumption. e. Provide a status update to the CW-DMAG on actual water withdrawal trends. 4. Owners of Large Water Intakes, other than those referenced in item 3 above, will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 3 LIC declaration: a. Continue informing their customers and employees of the Low Inflow Condition through public outreach and communication efforts. b. Request that their customers and employees conserve water through reduction of water use, electric power consumption, and other means. c. Encourage industrial/manufacturing process changes that reduce water consumption. d. Provide a status update to the CW-DMAG on actual water withdrawal trends. Stage 4 Actions 1. The Licensee will declare a Stage 4 Low Inflow Condition (LIC) and notify the CW- DMAG if: Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 16 a. On the first day of the month, the Storage Index is at or below 42% of the Target Storage Index, while providing the Stage 3 Minimum Project Flows during the previous month. and either of the following conditions exists: b. The U.S. Drought Monitor Three-Month Numeric Average has a value of 4. c. The sum of the actual rolling six-month average streamflows at the Monitored USGS Streamflow Gages is equal to or less than 40% of the sum of the period of record rolling six-month average streamflows for the same six- month period. 2. The Licensee will: a. Continue to provide Critical Flows as long as possible. b. Reduce the Stage 3 Minimum Elevations to the Critical Reservoir Elevations. c. Establish a meeting date and notify the CW-DMAG within 1 day following the Stage 4 LIC declaration. d. Notify the FERC, the USFWS, the USBIA, NMFS, and the Catawba Indian Nation of the Stage 4 LIC declaration. e. Continue to update its Web site and IVR messages to account for the impacts of the LIP on reservoir levels, usability of the Licensee’s public access areas, and recreation flow schedules. f. Provide bi-weekly information updates to owners of Large Water Intakes about reservoir levels, meteorological forecasts, and inflow of water into the system. g. In addition the Licensee may, at its sole discretion, modify or suspend its use of selected operating procedures that are designed for periods of normal or above normal inflow to optimize the water storage capabilities of the Project, including the Normal Maximum Elevations and Normal Target Elevations for reservoir levels; the Spring Reservoir Level Stabilization Program; the Wylie High Inflow Protocol, and at Lake Wateree, the Spring Stable Flow Periods and Floodplain Inundation Periods. These modifications and suspensions may be used at the Licensee’s sole discretion in any Low Inflow Condition (Stages 1 through 4). Note: Once a Stage 4 LIC is declared, the Remaining Usable Storage in the reservoir system is small and can be fully depleted in a matter of weeks or months. Groundwater recharge may also contribute to declining reservoir levels. For these reasons in the Stage 4 LIC, the Licensee may not be able to ensure that flow releases from its hydro developments will meet or exceed Critical Flows or that reservoir elevations will be greater than or equal to the Critical Reservoir Elevations. 3. Owners of Public Water Supply intakes and owners of intakes used for irrigation with a capacity greater than 100,000 gallons per day will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 4 LIC declaration: a. Notify their water customers and employees of the continued Low Inflow Condition and movement to emergency water use restrictions through public outreach and communication efforts. Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 17 b. Restrict all outdoor water use. c. Implement emergency water use restrictions in accordance with their drought response plans, including enforcement of these restrictions and assessment of penalties. d. Prioritize and meet with their commercial and industrial large water customers to discuss strategies for water reduction measures including development of an activity schedule and contingency plans. e. Prepare to implement emergency plans to respond to water outages. At this level, the goal is to reduce water usage by 20-30% (or more) from the amount that would otherwise be expected (as discussed in Stage 1 above). 4. Owners of Large Water Intakes on the CW-DMAG, other than those referenced in item 3 above, will complete the following activities within 14 days after the Stage 4 LIC declaration: a. Continue informing their customers and employees of the Low Inflow Condition through public outreach and communication efforts. b. Request that their customers and employees conserve water through reduction of water use, electric power consumption, and other means. c. Encourage industrial/manufacturing process changes that reduce water consumption. d. Provide a status update to the CW-DMAG on actual water withdrawal trends. 5. The CW-DMAG will: a. Meet within 5 days after the declaration of the Stage 4 LIC and determine if there are any additional measures that can be implemented to: (1) reduce water withdrawals without creating more severe regional problems; (2) reduce water releases from the Project without creating more severe regional problems; or (3) use additional reservoir storage without creating more severe regional problems. b. Work together to develop plans and implement any additional measures identified above. Recovery from the Low Inflow Protocol 1. Recovery under the LIP as conditions improve will be accomplished by reversing the staged approach outlined above, except that: a. All three of the trigger points identified above for declaring the lower numbered stage must be met or exceeded before returning reservoir minimum elevations and Project flows to levels specified in that LIC stage, Low Inflow Watch, or Normal Conditions. b. The following groundwater level trigger points must also be attained before returning reservoir minimum elevations and Project flows to the levels specified in that LIC stage, Low Inflow Watch, or Normal Conditions: Catawba-Wateree Project (FERC No. 2232) Comprehensive Relicensing Agreement C-W Final Agreement Signature Copy 07-18-06 C - 18 USGS has reviewed available well records and has determined that there are existing wells with an adequate period that can be used for this process and has also determined that additional wells are advised in order to include groundwater data as part of the recovery. The CW-DMAG and the Catawba-Wateree Water Management Group (WMG) will work together to revise the plan for groundwater monitoring by December 31, 2007 and will update the table below. Groundwater Trigger Points (depth below land surface (feet)) for Returning to the Indicated Stage Groundwater Monitor [Reg.=regolith; BR=bedrock] Stage 3 (a) Stage 2 (b) Stage 1 (c) Stage 0 (d) Normal (d) #1 Future Well Placeholder #2 Future Well Placeholder #3 Future Well Placeholder #4 Future Well Placeholder #5 Future Well Placeholder #6 USGS Langtree Peninsula RS Reg. well MW-2 & BR well MW-2D 24.91 23.61 22.21 18.21 18.21 #7 USGS Linville RS NC-220 BR well 2.74 2.19 2.11 2.04 2.04 #8 NC DWR Glen Alpine BR well L 76G2 10.01 9.03 8.32 7.69 7.69 #9 Future Well Placeholder #10 Future Well Placeholder Note: USGS groundwater levels calculated from daily mean data. North Carolina Division of Water Resources (NCDWR) water levels calculated from hourly data. All trigger levels calculated from water levels collected through the 2005 Water Year. Trigger groundwater levels may be updated on a yearly or water-year basis. Footnotes: (a) Stage 3: Period of record low water level (b) Stage 2: 10th percentile (c) Stage 1: 25th percentile (d) Stage 0 and Normal: 50th percentile 2. The NCDENR, SCDNR, SCDHEC, USGS and the Licensee will determine when attainment of the groundwater trigger points for recovery is reached. 3. The Licensee will directly notify the CW-DMAG members within 5 days following attainment of all the trigger points necessary to recover to a lower stage of the LIC, Low Inflow Watch, or Normal Conditions. 4. The Licensee will update its Web site and IVR messages to account for the impacts of the LIP on reservoir levels, usability of the Licensee’s public access areas, and recreation flow schedules.