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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20170239 Ver 1_NC119_sICE- Final_20150223INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS SCREENING REPORT Proposed Relocation Project TIP U-3109, WBS 34900.1.1 119 Relocation from I-85/I-40 to South of SR 1918 Mebane, Alamance County Submitted by: VHB Engineering NC, P.C. Date: January 2015 Executive Summary North Carolina State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP) Project U-3109 proposes relocating a section of NC 119 from I-85/I-40 to south of SR 1918 (Mrs. White Lane) to a new section. The current corridor is located in the City of Mebane (Alamance County) and is appro�mately 5.6 miles long. The proposed relocation is west of the current location, and largely outside of the city limits. The proposed relocation would also expand the current two-lane cross section to a four- to six-lane median divided facility, with partial control of access. The purpose of the project is to provide the City of Mebane and eastern Alamance County with a primary north/south route to meet both local and regional needs. Additionally, the project will provide safety benefits and could potentially encourage economic development. The indirect and cumulative effects analysis for this project looks at the potential for development and possible trends with a time horizon of 25 years, which corresponds with the City of Mebane's 2035 Long Range Ti^ansportation Plan Update and addresses current and future traffic congestion. The Future Land Use Study Area (FLUSA) is the area surrounding a construction project that could possibly be indirectly affected by the actions of others as a result of the completion of the project. For this project, the FLUSA aligns with manmade boundaries, such as the Alamance/Orange County boundary, and natural boundaries, such as Back Creek (Graham- Mebane Reservoir) and Stagg Creek (see Figure 1). Notable features within the FLUSA include 4 schools, 2 historic districts, and 12 churches. Furthermore, the majority of the northern part of the FLUSA is designated as a Protected Water Supply Watershed as part of the Cape Fear River basin. The portion of the FLUSA around the Graham-Mebane Reservoir is designated as a Critical Water Supply Watershed. These are designated as WS-II, NSW Water Supply Watersheds (see Figure 2). The FLUSA for this project is approximately 10,854 acres, with 704 acres dedicated to water features and 50-foot riparian buffers and 3,352 acres of developable land. The majority of the land falls under the City of Mebane's land use policies and regulations; however, a small portion is regulated by Alamance County. All developments in the FLUSA will be required to follow local, state, and federal guidelines and permitting regulations. STIP U-3109 will require the relocation of some water and sewer, although the impacts are minimal. Population and job growth in the area has been slow and the project is expected to positively impact tra�el times and accessibility. There are development pressures in the southern portion of the FLUSA, particularly near the I-85/I-40 interchanges, including commercial and industrial developments. In addition to the watersheds, prime farmland soils and soils of statewide importance occur throughout the FLUSA. Based on this information, the ICE Screening Tool results recommend a"Likely Indirect Scenario Assessment." This project is expected to result in minimal cumulative effects to notable 1 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment environmental features. Direct natural environmental impacts by NCDOT projects would be addressed by avoidance, minimization, or mitigation, consistent with programmatic agreements with the natural resource agencies during the Merger and Permitting processes. A Land Use Scenario Assessment is recommended. 2 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Project Overview STIP Project U-3109 proposes relocating a section ofNC 119 from I-85/I-40 to South of SR 1918 (Mrs. White Lane) in Alamance County to new location. The current NC 119 corridor is located primarily within Mebane's city limits and runs through the central business district. The current cross section is a two-lane road. The proj ect is approximately 5.6 miles long. The proposed relocation is west of the current location, and largely outside of the City of Mebane but largely within the City's Extraterritorial Jurisdiction. The proposed cross section would be a four- to six-lane median divided facility with two to three lanes in each direction of tra�el and a grass median. The proposed facility would be similar to a parkway with partial control of access and possible landscaping in the median. A bridge is proposed over the railroad line, US 70, and Holt Street. In an effort to limit property impacts, an access road will connect US 70 with the new facility rather than an interchange with ramps. The purpose of the project is to provide the City of Mebane and eastern Alamance County with a primary north/south route to meet both local and regional needs. Additionally, the project will provide safety benefits, and could potentially encourage economic development. The project is needed to relieve current and future traffic congestion in downtown Mebane on the current location of NC 119, where sections of the current alignment are projected to reach an appro�mate a�erage daily traffic volume of between 32,000 and 36,100 vehicles a day and operate at a level of service of F by the year 2030. Widening the current facility would impact a substantial number of homes, businesses, and historic properties in downtown Mebane. The new facility would move traffic away from this area and reduce congestion through downtown Mebane. The new location will also provide access to the local area and provide a railroad crossing that is not at grade. Providing a bridge over the railroad is increasingly important because all other crossings in Mebane are at grade and the railroad is part of the future Southeast High Speed Rail Study Corridor between Washington, DC and Charlotte, NC. Currently, motorists and emergency vehicles may not be able to get to all parts of Mebane without experiencing train delays at existing at-grade railroad crossings. NC 119 provides one of the few north/south routes in this region. The current NC 119 location winds through downtown Mebane and includes an at-grade railroad crossing. The central business district of Mebane is a traditional commercial downtown that is primarily near the railroad line. Development in outlying areas of Mebane is primarily single family homes, but there is commercial development near the NC 119 and I-85/I-40 interchange. New development has been largely influenced by I-85/I-40 towards the south side of Mebane. Mebane has experienced notable growth in recent years due to the proximity between the urbanizing Triangle and Triad areas, making Mebane an attractive "bedroom community" for people who travel to these areas for employment, shopping, and entertainment. Future Land Use Study Area The Future Land Use Study Area (FLUSA) is the area surrounding a construction project that could possibly be indirectly affected by the actions of others as a result of the completion of the project and combined projects. This study area encompasses all of the areas examined for potential increases in development pressure as a result of project construction. The area outlined in orange on Figure 1 has been chosen as the FLUSA. The FLUSA for this project is based upon land use and transportation plans and the natural environment. In general, the FLUSA aligns with manmade boundaries, such as the Alamance/Orange County boundary, and natural boundaries, such as Back Creek (Graham-Mebane Reservoir) and Stagg Creek. U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Figure 1: Future Land Use Study Area Time Horizon The indirect and cumulative effects analysis for this project looks at the potential for development and possible trends with a time horizon of 25 years. Local plans have used a range of time horizons. Ala�nance County Land Develop�nent Plan, from 2006, used a 20 year time horizon while the City of Mebane's 2035 Long Ti^ansportation Plan Update (updated in 2012) used three 4 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment time horizons: 15, 25, and 30. Similarly, the Burlington Graha�n Urban Area Co�nprehensive Plan, also known as the Thoroughfare Plan, examines the transportation system at a 25-year horizon. This was last updated in 2004. A 25-year time horizon for this project aligns most closely with local plans and proj ections. Other Transportation and Infrastructure Projects There are no current NCDOT major projects currently underway or planned near the project study area or Alamance County. However, I-5711, which proposes interchange improvements on SR 1007, is included in the Draft 10-Year State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP). This proj ect is east of the study area. The City of Mebane has prepared a S�nall Area Thoroughfare Plan, which includes the proposed Cameron Lane Extension, and which proposes adding additional intersections along the existing NC 119 alignment. Additionally, the Draft Mebane Bicycle and Pedestrian Plan is currently underway. A proposed shared use trail appears to follow the proposed NC 119 alignment just north of the I- 85/I-40 interchange. The proposed realignment would then cross the proposed mixed use trail in the northern portion of the study area. Transportation Impact Causing Activities The proposed new facility will result in tra�el time sa�ings for tra�el through the FLUSA. An analysis of e�sting tra�el time and future travel time at the expected posted speed limit determined a tra�el time savings of approximately 2.5 minutes when tra�eling the length of the corridor. The existing alignment is proj ected to experience substantial congestion and delay in models of future conditions; under the No Build Alternative, all seven signalized intersections in the e�sting corridor would operate under a Level of Service (LOS) F during the 2030 peak hour. The new facility would relieve congestion on e�sting roads and ha�e capacity to handle the expected volume of future traffic with less delay. Because the proposed facility will be on a new location, this project will open up access to new parcels. The portion of the new alignment north of US 70 is proposed to be limited access, which will control some access to parcels in this area and limit development potential. The proposed proj ect will likely alter tra�el patterns in the area by encouraging through traffic to a�oid downtown Mebane. This is expected to reduce traffic congestion in downtown Mebane, with the unintended consequence of reducing the visibility of downtown businesses and properties. The proposed alignment may affect exposure to the western portion of the FLUSA, particularly the parcels in the southwest portion of the FLUSA near the proposed new alignment. It is not anticipated that the project would result in new land use nodes in the project corridor. Population Trends / Projections According to 2000 US Census Data, the population in Alamance County was 130,800 in 2000. In 2010, the County population rose 15.5 percent to 151,131, which is a 1.5 percent a�erage annual change. According to the North Carolina Office of State Budget and Management, the population in Alamance County is proj ected to increase by approximately seven percent between 2014 and 2034. This is an annual population growth of 0.4 percent. The City of Mebane's population grew from 7,284 in 2000 to 11,393 in 2010, according to US Census data. This is equal to a 56.4 percent increase over the span of 10 years, or an a�erage annual change of 4.6 percent. While the City of Mebane experienced a large population growth between 2000 and 2010, the Census Tracts in the Demographic Study Area experienced a growth more similar to that of the County. In 2000, the population total of the seven Block Groups was 12,658. In the 2010 Census, new Census Tracts and Block groups were established to cover the same appro�mate geographic area. Although the 2000 Census Tracts covered a larger geographic area, the population in 2010 5 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment grew to 14,672. This reflects a 15.9 percent population change between 2000 and 2010, with an annualized population growth of 1.5 percent. Job Trends / Projections According to the NC Division of Employment Security (NC Civilian Labor Force Estimates), the October 2014 total labor force in Alamance County was 72,442 with an unemployment rate of 5.5 percent. The job market in Alamance County has changed over the past decade. Manufacturing jobs once made up 28.1 percent of the jobs in 2002, but dropped to 17.5 percent by 2012. On the other hand, retail trade increased 33 percent from 13. 4 to 16.7 percent and health care and social assistance increased 5.1 percent from 113 to 16.4 percent—over the same time period. The Burlington-Graham Metropolitan Planning Organization (BGMPO)—which includes Alamance County and the City of Mebane—released the 2035 Long Range Ti^ansportation Plan Update in November 2012. That report states that the Burlington-Graham Urban Area (BGUA) has moved towards an office and service-based economy over the past years and anticipates only medium growth for industrial jobs and more rapid growth for office, healthcare, and retaiUservice j obs. By 2035, the BGMPO proj ects retail j obs will comprise 29 percent of the labor market, service j obs at 21 percent, industrial j obs at 19 percent, highway retail at 18 percent, and the remaining 14 percent office. Despite the projected shift in job markets, job growth has remained relatively flat over the years and the unemployment rate is slightly higher than that of the state. The Regional Partnership Workforce Development Board (RPWDB) projects employment growth for five central piedmont counties, including Alamance County. Between 2010 and 2020, RPWDB projects employment to increase from 219,660 to 241,850 jobs. This is a 10.1 percent change, or 1.0 percent per year. Municipai Utilities Water The public water system is co-managed by the City of Mebane and the City of Graham. In 2013, the City of Mebane increased their ownership of the Graham-Mebane Water Treatment Plant from one- third to one-hal£ The main water source is the Graham-Mebane Reservoir. While the plant has a six million gallons per day (MGD) capacity, usage is currently at appro�mately 1.5 MGD. In preparation for this proj ect, the City of Mebane previously prepared plans to relocate several water lines along the proposed new NC 119 alignment. The proposal includes relocation of 10 fire hydrants and a 12 inch waterline near Holmes Road. The proj ect has since been on hold but Darrell Russell—City Engineer for Mebane—stated that in total, the realignment would ha�e a relatively small impact on the e�sting facilities. Wastewater The 2014 annual report for the City of Mebane Wastewater Collection and Treatment Facility states that the City operates 15 pumping stations, over 76 miles of gra�ity sewer lines, and manages a treatment facility that is designed to handle 2.5 million gallons of wastewater a day. E�sting flows are currently near half capacity, or 1.1 – 12 MGD. Mr. Russell noted that the City is in the very early stages of investigating upgrading the capacity another .5 MGD. The City also has an e�sting agreement with the Town of Haw River that would allow S MGDs to be sent to Haw River's treatment facilities. A line connection would be needed if the agreement were ever enacted. The City of Mebane and the City of Graham also ha�e an agreement that allows wastewater from some areas in Mebane to be sent to Graham. Line connections are established and this agreement is active in the southwestern part of the City in a newly developed area. 6 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County – Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment As regulated by North Carolina Administrative Code 2H.0900, the City of Mebane Industrial Pretreatment Program is enacted to prevent industrial wastewater discharges from affecting the local municipal water. Notabie Features Hu�nan Environ�nental Features The majority of the parcels within the FLUSA are within the jurisdiction of the City of Mebane, either within its boundaries or within its extraterritorial jurisdiction. The parcels not under the jurisdiction of Mebane are under the jurisdiction of Alamance County. The City of Mebane is the only municipality within the FLUSA. Mebane is located on the eastern border of Alamance County and some portions of the city extend into Orange County. The city is primarily located north of I-85/I-40, but some portions of the city extend south of this interstate. The Town of Haw River, the Town of Green Level, and the City of Graham are all located just west of the FLUSA. The maj ority of the southern part of the FLUSA is commercial and industrial development, although there are new subdivisions or single-family residential. The central part of the FLUSA is primarily commercial development surrounded by single-family residential. The northern and western parts of the FLUSA are more rural and residential in nature. There are four public schools within the FLUSA: Woodlawn Middle School, Eastern Alamance High School, South Mebane Elementary School, and E.M. Yoder Elementary School. The Bradford Academy, a private K-7 school, is also within the FLUSA. There are 12 churches within the FLUSA. There are two historic districts in Mebane registered on the National Register of Historic Places - Mebane Commercial Historic District and Old South Mebane Historic District. The Mebane Commercial Historic District includes 31 buildings and covers two city blocks between East and West Center Streets, North Third and Fourth Streets, and East and West Clay Streets. The Old South Mebane Historic District is larger, with 117 properties. The Old South Mebane Historic District was first listed in 2011 and then expanded in 2013 to a larger area. Both historic districts are located near US 70 and NC 119. In addition to the two historic districts, there are four properties that are listed on the National Register of Historic Places. The Woodlawn School is located on Mebane-Rogers Road, west of the proposed facility. Charles F. and Howard Cates Farm is located on Mebane-Rogers Road; a portion of the northwest corner of this property would be impacted under the preferred alternative for the new facility. The White Furniture Company and Durham Hosiery Mill No. 15 are both historic properties located in downtown Mebane, near US 70 and the two historic districts in Mebane. The Mebane Fire Department and the Mebane Fire Department Headquarters are both located within the FLUSA near downtown Mebane. The Mebane branch of the Alamance County Library is also located within the FLUSA near downtown Mebane. Hurdle Airfield, a small, privately-owned, turf airfield, is located within the FLUSA just to the north of I-85/I-40. The Tanger Outlets, a major retail outlet mall, is located in the southeastern portion of the FLUSA near the Mebane Oaks Road interchange with I-85/I-40. Natural Environ�nent The maj ority of the northern part of the FLUSA is designated as a Protected Water Supply Watershed as part of the Cape Fear river basin. The portion of the FLUSA around the Graham- Mebane Reservoir is designated as a Critical Water Supply Watershed. These are designated as WS-II, NSW Water Supply Watersheds. This designation relates to the public water supply site and means that the waters subj ect to runoff in this area are used for drinking, culinary, or food processing purposes. As part of the WS-II designation, the waters are categorized as High-Quality 7 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Waters by supplemental designation. The NSW designation signifies that these are nutrient sensitive waters which need additional nutrient management due to being subj ect to excessive growth of microscopic or macroscopic vegetation. There are five creeks that cross through the FLUSA. These creeks are: • Back Creek • Mill Creek • Unnamed Tributary to Mill Creek • MoAdams Creek • Little Haw Creek The Graham-Mebane Reservoir is also listed on the 2012 North Carolina 303(d) List of impaired waterways. These waters are classified as Class 4 and Class 5 waters, with Class 5 being the highest level of impairment attainable. The impairment reason is listed as a standard violation for turbidity. The FLUSA contains prime farmland soils and soils of statewide importance. These soils are located throughout the FLUSA. Prime farmland is land that has the best combination of physical and chemical characteristics for producing food, forage, fiber, and oilseed crops. Factors that affect classification as prime farmland include soil type, the presence of development, slope, growing season, moisture supply, erodibility, and permeability. Figure 2 shows the Natural Features for U-3109. U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Figure 2: U-3109 Natural Features Development Regulations The majority of the FLUSA is under the City of Mebane's planning jurisdiction, and a small portion of the FLUSA falls under Alamance County's jurisdiction. The small area of the FLUSA that is under Alamance County is regulated by two Alamance County ordinances: the Hea�y Industrial Development Ordinance and the Watershed Protection Ordinance. U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment The Hea�y Industrial Development Ordinance (2011) outlines regulations that promote health and safety by limiting and controlling the development of industrial development and associated land uses. Regulated land uses include inert debris landfills, chemical manufacturing, waste facilities, metal salvaging and salvage facilities. . The purpose of the Alamance County Watershed Protection Ordinance (2013) is to maintain a predominately undeveloped land use pattern and limit the size and type of residential and non- residential development within the watershed areas of the county. This ordinance establishes a 50- foot riparian buffer around streams and ponds and a 100-foot buffer around lakes and all water supply reservoirs. New development within the buffer is prohibited, except for several exceptions including public proj ects such as road crossings. There is a portion of the proposed realignment that falls within the Watershed Critical Area (WCA), which covers the area one mile from the normal elevation of the water supply or one mile from the stream or river intake. Development is limited within the WCA to single-family and multi-family residential and non-residential development at a ma�mum of one dwelling per two acres. Residential development is also limited to a maximum of six percent of the lot area. The City of Mebane updated the Unified Development Ordinance (UDO) in May 2014. Article 3 of this document establishes zoning districts and designations, purposes, and regulations for the corresponding zones. The proposed realignment falls into the following zoning districts: B-2 (General Business District), M-1 (Hea�y Manufacturing District), M-2 (Light Manufacturing District), R-20, Watershed Balance, and Watershed Critical. In November 2010, the City of Mebane also established the City of Mebane Riparian Buffer Protection Ordinance for the purpose of protecting and preserving e�sting riparian buffers throughout the Jordan Watershed. This establishes a 50-foot wide riparian buffer adjacent to surface waters and prohibits impervious surfaces to be added in this protected area. New or altered drainage ditches, roadside ditches, and stormwater outfalls are allowable, if stormwater management facilities are installed. Additionally, the Ordinance allows for road impacts with mitigation. Availabie Land The FLUSA for this project is approximately 10,854 acres. Of this, approximately 6,030 acres (56 percent) are developed or protected land, 767 acres are road right-of-way (7 percent) and 704 acres are dedicated to water features and 50-foot riparian buffers (6 percent). The remaining 3,352 acres, or 31 percent of the FLUSA, is land that is a�ailable to be developed. Most of the developable land is located in the western and northern parts of the FLUSA, outside the Mebane city limits. 10 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Figure 3: U-3109 Available Land 11 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Market for Development Current Develop�nent Pressures There is current development happening in the western portion of the FLUSA. There is a large industrial development under construction near US 70 and Latham Road. This area is part of the North Carolina Industrial Center which has seen several new industrial businesses in recent years, including the announcement of a 450,000 square foot Walmart distribution center and a Cambro manufacturing plant. There is also a subdivision under construction near the intersection of Mebane-Rogers Road and Dodson Road. Land clearance has begun for this project. There has been recent commercial development in the southeastern portion of the FLUSA, most notably the Tanger Outlets which opened in 2010. Develop�nent Market Assu�nptions It is likely that the southern portion of the FLUSA near I-85/I-40 will continue to see commercial and industrial development. The western portions of the FLUSA may also see new industrial development. This assumption is based on e�sting plans for development in the area and the zoning ordinances and land use vision set forth by Alamance County and Mebane documents. The northern portion of the FLUSA is likely to retain its largely residential and rural characteristics. Indirect Screening Matrix Methodology The categories listed on the Indirect Screening Matrix ha�e been shown to influence land development decisions in numerous areas statewide and nationally. The measures used to rate the impacts from a high concern for indirect effects potential to less concern for indirect effects potential are supported by documentation sections. Each characteristic is assessed individually and the results of the table are examined comprehensively to determine the indirect effects potential of the proposed project. The scope of the project and change in accessibility categories are given extra weight to determine if future growth in the area is related to the project modifications. 12 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Screening Matrix Resuits The Future Land Use Study Area (FLUSA) was analyzed in order to determine potential indirect effects of the proj ect. The results of the screening matrix suggest that the proj ect would alter the study area and that an indirect scenario assessment is likely needed. Additional details on the nine categories analyzed is provided below. Scope of the project: TIP Proj ect U-3109 is a proposed realignment of NC 119. The proposed alignment would be 5.6 miles long and expand the facility from two lanes to four to six lanes. A new bridge would be constructed over US 70 and the railroad line. The current facility is two lanes and the route is through downtown Mebane. The proposed alignment would be to the west of downtown Mebane and four- to six-lanes. Change in Accessibility: The proposed proj ect will likely alter tra�el patterns in the area by encouraging through traffic to a�oid downtown Mebane. This is expected to reduce traffic congestion in downtown Mebane. The new alignment should reduce tra�el times for tra�el through the FLUSA. An assessment of current tra�el times and future tra�el times at the posted speed limit determined that the proj ect is expected to reduce tra�el time around 2.5 minutes when tra�eling the length of the corridor. The proposed alignment may affect exposure to the western portion of the FLUSA, particularly the parcels in the southwest portion of the FLUSA near the proposed new alignment. It is not anticipated that the proj ect would result in new land use nodes in the proj ect corridor. Forecasted Population Growth: The population in the Demographic Study Area increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent between 2000 and 2010. Alamance County is projected to grow by 0.4 percent between 2014 and 2034. Forecasted E�nploy�nent Growth: The North Carolina Department of Commerce provides Labor and Economic Analysis reports at the regional level. Alamance County is part of the Regional Partnership Workforce Development Board, where employment is expected to increase at an annualized growth rate of 1.0 percent from 2010 to 2020. This growth is over a large geographic region and county data is not available. Available Land: There is approximately 10,854 acres of land in the FLUSA, 3,352 acres (31 percent) of this land that is a�ailable to be developed. Approximately 56 percent of the land is already developed or part of a park or historic register site. Approximately 767 acres are road right-of-way (7 percent) and 704 acres are dedicated to water features and 50-foot riparian buffers (6 percent). Water Sewer Availability: Both water and sewer service are currently available for the planned relocation of US 119. Market for Develop�nent: There are development pressures in the southern portion of the FLUSA, particularly near the I-85/I-40 interchanges. There are new industrial developments in this area and several new industrial developments that are planned for the near future including a 450,000 square-foot Walmart distribution center. Recently, there ha�e been commercial developments, such as the Tanger Outlets which was opened in 2010. Public Policy: Both the City of Mebane and Alamance County ha�e developed land use plans and long range transportation plans that direct development and land management. Both the City of Mebane and Alamance County have established 50-foot riparian buffers around streams and ponds and 100-foot buffers around water supply and lakes. Additionally, the Alamance County WCA establishes density regulations to limit residential and non-residential development. Ordinances and policies such as these direct industrial and commercial development and protect the natural environment. 13 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Notable Environ�nental Features: About half of the FLUSA is located in a WS-II, NSW Protected Water Supply Watershed and part of the western portion of the FLUSA is located in a WS-II, NSW Critical Water Supply Watershed. These relate to the Graham-Mebane Reservoir, which is also listed on the 2012 North Carolina 303(d) list of impaired waters as a Category 5 rating for a standard violation for turbidity. There are five streams which cross through the FLUSA, which require 50-foot riparian buffers. There are prime farmland soils and soils of statewide importance throughout the FLUSA. Indirect Summary Statement This document analyzes the potential for indirect and cumulative effects of relocating NC 119 in Alamance County. The new facility is proposed to be a four- to six-lane facility with a grass median and partial access control. The current facility is a two-lane road. The new facility would also include a bridge over US 70 and the railroad line. This analysis suggests that commercial development would likely still occur without the proposed project, but may be accelerated by the completion of the proposed project. Commercial and industrial developments are planned for the southern portion of the FLUSA, in areas with access to I-85/I-40. Development is expected to occur at a rate consistent with past development experience through the project timeline of 2030, subj ect to market forces. Based on the information analyzed, the ICE Screening Tool results in a moderate concern for indirect and cumulative effects potential for this project. The proposed project may alter some traffic patterns or land use development within the FLUSA by diverting traffic from downtown Mebane and increasing access to parcels in the western portion of the FLUSA. There are a�ailable water and wastewater facilities and available capacity in the FLUSA, but some relocation of water services is planned. There are development plans and regulations in place for growth in the FLUSA. The City of Mebane and Alamance County both have land use plans and policies that limit the impact of industrial development on sensitive environmental resources. The Graham-Mebane Reservoir is listed on the 303(d) list of impaired waters and located within a WS-II, NSW Critical Water Supply Watershed. The northern half of the FLUSA is located within a WS-II, NSW Protected Water Supply Watershed. Based on the findings of the ICE Screening Matrix, a Land Use Scenario Assessment is recommended for this project. Cumulative Effects Summary Statement Indirect effects as a result of this relocation may occur in the form of increased commercial and industrial development in the southern portion of the FLUSA. These impacts may occur with or without the proposed relocation. Additionally, the relocation would direct traffic away from downtown Mebane, towards the Graham-Mebane Reservoir. However, impacts to stormwater runoff and downstream water quality are not anticipated from any change to development patterns due to the existing development regulations, policies, and riparian buffer rules. The cumulative effect of this project, when considered in the context of other past, present, and future actions, and the resulting impact to notable human and natural features, should be moderate. STIP Project U-3109 proposes relocating a section ofNC 119 from I-85/I-40 to south of SR 1918 (Mrs. White Lane) in Alamance County to new location. The project is approximately 5.6 miles long. The proposed relocation is west of the current location, and largely outside of the City of Mebane but largely within the City's Extraterritorial Jurisdiction. The proposed cross section would be a four- to six-lane median divided facility with two to three lanes in each direction of travel and a grass median. 14 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment This project had an Indirect and Cumulative Effects Report prepared in 2008. The project also had a Draft Environmental Impact Statement prepared in 2008 and a Final Environmental Impact Statement prepared in 2009. Also, a Record of Decision for the project was approved by the Federal Highway Administration on December 22, 2009 which approved Alternative 9 as the selected alternative. There is current development occurring in the western portion of the FLUSA. There is a large industrial development under construction near US 70 and Latham Road. This area is part of the North Carolina Industrial Center which has seen several new industrial businesses in recent years, including the announcement of a 450,000 square foot Walmart distribution center and a Cambro manufacturing plant. There is also a subdivision under construction near the intersection of Mebane-Rogers Road and Dodson Road. Land clearance has begun for this project. There has been recent commercial development in the southeastern portion of the FLUSA, most notably the Tanger Outlets which opened in 2010. Streams, watersheds, and other natural features are protected by watershed protection rules and plans. This proj ect is expected to result in minimal cumulative effects to notable environmental features. Direct natural environmental impacts by NCDOT projects would be addressed by a�oidance, minimization, or mitigation, consistent with programmatic agreements with the natural resource agencies during the Merger and Permitting processes. 15 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment Sources Alamance County Community Profile. 2014. l���t�://vvvvvv.alamar�ce-ffic.cssm/��lar��iffi�/vv� cssffi�effi�/���lssad�s/si�es/21/2n13/ln/2n14-�c�rn��ffii�v-]��c�filea�df. Alamance County Hea�y Industrial Development Ordinance. 2011. l���i�://vvvvvv.alamaffice- ffic.cssrnl�lar��iffi�/vv�-cssffi�effi�/��lssads/si�es/21/2n13/ln/I�I�(7 (7bdiffiaffice-(7c�ssl�eb 3 2nll.�df. Alamance County Land Development Plan. 2007. 1�����://vvvvvv.alamaffice-ffic.cssml��laffiffiiffi�/� cssffi�effi�/���lssad�s/si�es/21/2n 13/1 n/Lar�d-�evelsst�rneffi�-]�laffi.��df. Alamance County Watershed Protection Ordiance. 2013. l��t��://vvvvvv.alamar�ce- r��.�ssrri/��lar�r�ir��/vv� cssffi�effi�/���lssad�s/si�es/21/2n13/ln/i�Ja�ebsl�ed ]�bss�ec�issffi (7bdiffiaffice 2n13.�f. Burlington Graham Metropolitan Planning Organization -2035 Long Range Transportation Plan Update. November 2012. l���t�s://dl.d�bsst�l��x�sebcssffi�effi�.cssml�/�179124/2n12 LI:T]�U��da�e/LI:TI� 2n12U��da�e i�JeY�.�f. City of Mebane 2012 Annual Drinking Water Quality Report. 1����:/t /ci�v�finel�affie.cssml]��F's/2n12 affiffi�al d�bir�kiffig�vva�eb_c�:�ali�y be��ssb�.��df. City of Mebane — Planning and Zoning. 1�����://�a�a�a.citryssfrnel�ar�e.cssrnl��laffiffiiffi�-zssffiiffi�.as�. City of Mebane Wastewater Collection and Treatment Facility — For the Fiscal Year July 1, 2013 — June 30, 2014. l��t��://citry�finel�ar�e.cssml]��F's/i�Jas�e_2n13-2n14.��df. Darrell Russell, P.E., AWCK, 336-260-5449. Phone conversation on December 10, 2014. Mebane Bicycle and Pedestrian Transportation Plan.1�����://�a�a�a.rnel�affiel�ike��ed���lar�.cssrnl. Mebane Historical Society. l���t�://vvvvvv.mel�ar�el�istssbicalsc�cietr�.ssbg/��a�es/l�ab°vest-l�ss�se.l��mml. Montrena W. Hadley, MPA, CZO, City of Mebane Planning Office, 919-563-9990. Email exchange on December 10, 2014. North Carolina Department of Commerce — Labor and Economic Analysis Division. 1�����s://vvvvvv.fficescl.cssml��mi/ba�es/1�bessl�eleases/�c��ffi�v/NI2 (7c�ssY�eb2n14_�c��ffitryl�a�es_Iella�df. North Carolina Department of Commerce — Labor and Economic Analysis Division. Regional Partnership Workforce Development Board Industry Projections. 1�����://vvvvvv.fficcssrnrnebce.cssrnlleadlda�a-�ssssls/be�issffial-iffifssb-rna�issr�/be�issffial-��ab�ffiebsl�it�/iffid�stb-v- t���jec�issffis. North Carolina Office of State Budget and Management. l���t�://vvvvvv.sssl�rn.s�a�e.ffic.�s/fficsssl�rnlfac�s�ar�d fi�bes/sc�cissecssffissrnic da�a/�t��la�issr� estima�es/c ��r��v ����jec�issffis.sl��rn. North Carolina State Historic Preservation Office — National Register of Historic Places. Mebane Commercial Historic District. l���t�://�a�a�a.l�t��.fficdcb.gssv/ffib/AIelI1�9$.��df. 16 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment North Carolina State Historic Preservation Office — National Register of Historic Places. Old South Mebane Historic District. l���t�://�a�a�a.l�t��.fficdcb.gssv/ffib/AIelI2351.��df. Small Area Thoroughfare Plan — Cameron Lane Extension. 1�����://�avvvv.citry�finel�ar�e.cssml]��F'S/Iellel�affie_(7aks_1�Tssb�l�_1 n2$14.��df. 17 U-3109 Mebane, Alamance County — Screening Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment