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HomeMy WebLinkAboutLink_Eco._Responses_&_Flow Deficits_to_Eco._ConditionRELEVANCE: NEED TO LINK ECOLOGICAL RESPONSES (E.G., EPT RICHNESS) AND FLOW DEFICITS (I.E., QUANTILE REGRESSIONS) TO ECOLOGICAL CONDITION DWQ HAS ESTABLISHED INVERTEBRATE CONDITION CLASSES BASED ON EPT TAXA RICHNESS • DWQ uses EPT richness as one means of establishing condition classes: • DWQ has condition rankings for most sites and dates used in EF-SAB analyses Mountain Piedmont Coastal Plain Excellent >35 >27 >23 Good 28-35 21-27 18-23 Good-Fair 19-27 14-20 12-17 Fair 11-18 7-13 6-11 Poor 0-10 0-6 0-5 THEREFORE, WE CAN CALCULATE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR CONDITION CLASSES IN EACH ECOREGION 14 Mountains: 66 (Blue Ridge), Piedmont: 45, Coastal Plain: 63 (Mid Atlantic Coastal Plain) + 65 (Southern Plain) STANDARDIZE FOR 90TH PERCENTILE CONDITION IN EACH CONDITION CLASS WITHIN EACH ECOREGION 15 DERIVE STATE-WIDE CONDITION CLASSES BASED ON AVERAGE STANDARDIZED VALUES 16 STATE-WIDE CONDITION CLASSES BASED ON 90TH PERCENTILE 17 EPT richness1 Excellent ≥ 0.868 Good 0.868 - 0.675 Good-Fair 0.675 - 0.469 Fair 0.469 - 0.249 Poor < 0.249 Screening criteria: if a planned water withdrawal results in a flow deficit (annual, summer, winter, etc.) that pushes the site into a lower condition class then a site-specific flow-ecology study is warranted (e.g., PHABSim). 1EPT taxa richness scaled by 90th percentile in mountains, Piedmont, and Coastal Plain STATE-WIDE CONDITION CLASSES BASED ON 90TH PERCENTILE 18 Note: Thresholds for Good-Fair to Fair and Fair to Poor are not reached within 100% decrease in Annual EcoDeficit ADVANTAGES OF APPROACH 19 • Data-driven approach for establishing ecological flows • Relates back to NC DWQ concept of biological condition classes • Uses state-wide flow-biology relationships for fish and benthos (based on RTI flow-biology methodology) to support determination of ecological flows • Guards against further degradation, while taking into account of current conditions • On-going process (adaptive management)