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Ecological Flow Science Advisory Board
April 16, 2013
Chris Goudreau, N.C. Wildlife Resources Commission
Eco-Deficit/Surplus
Vogel et al. 2007
Create a median flow duration curve of unaltered flows on an
annual (seasonal, monthly) basis
Do the same for altered flows
Difference between the curves is termed “eco-surplus” or
“eco-deficit”
It is really median flow surplus or deficit
The focus is on changes in flow magnitude
Monthly curves also reflect aspects of timing
Duration, frequency and rate of change are not fully considered
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Eco-Deficit/Surplus
“Eco-difference” is absolute value of “eco-surplus” or
“eco-deficit”
When calculated on an overall percentage basis,
eco-difference gives measure of relative change from the
unaltered condition
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Sustainability Boundaries
Richter et al. 2011
Presumptive standard concept
Deviation from inflow on a daily basis
Moderate protection: ±11-20%
High protection: ±0-10%
Maintains inter- and intra-annual flow variability
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Combining Concepts
Median flow duration curves – because based on multiple data
points, one can create a band of variability around the median
This is similar to the sustainability boundary
The width of the band should consider biological and
management aspects
In following example, using 15%
The Susquehanna Basin report (TNC 2010) used a similar
approach
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Use as a Planning Tool
Various ways to “trip the red flag”
1.Compare median altered to median unaltered (no band)
If eco-difference >15%
This is comparing the overall difference between median FDCs
It does not trip if certain parts of the FDC exceed the threshold
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Use as a Planning Tool
Various ways to “trip the red flag”
2.Compare median altered FDC to the unaltered with band
If any part outside of band
This is more stringent than option 1
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