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HomeMy WebLinkAboutEcodifference_trial_balloon Ecological Flow Science Advisory Board April 16, 2013 Chris Goudreau, N.C. Wildlife Resources Commission Eco-Deficit/Surplus Vogel et al. 2007 Create a median flow duration curve of unaltered flows on an annual (seasonal, monthly) basis Do the same for altered flows Difference between the curves is termed “eco-surplus” or “eco-deficit” It is really median flow surplus or deficit The focus is on changes in flow magnitude Monthly curves also reflect aspects of timing Duration, frequency and rate of change are not fully considered 2 3 4 5 Eco-Deficit/Surplus “Eco-difference” is absolute value of “eco-surplus” or “eco-deficit” When calculated on an overall percentage basis, eco-difference gives measure of relative change from the unaltered condition 6 7 8 Sustainability Boundaries Richter et al. 2011 Presumptive standard concept Deviation from inflow on a daily basis Moderate protection: ±11-20% High protection: ±0-10% Maintains inter- and intra-annual flow variability 9 Combining Concepts Median flow duration curves – because based on multiple data points, one can create a band of variability around the median This is similar to the sustainability boundary The width of the band should consider biological and management aspects In following example, using 15% The Susquehanna Basin report (TNC 2010) used a similar approach 10 11 Use as a Planning Tool Various ways to “trip the red flag” 1.Compare median altered to median unaltered (no band) If eco-difference >15% This is comparing the overall difference between median FDCs It does not trip if certain parts of the FDC exceed the threshold 12 13 Use as a Planning Tool Various ways to “trip the red flag” 2.Compare median altered FDC to the unaltered with band If any part outside of band This is more stringent than option 1 14 15 16