Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout20020672 Ver 3_SELC Comments on 401_20141202�3 SOUTHERN ENVIRONMENTAL LAW CENTER Telephone 919 -967 -1450 601 WEST ROSEMARY STREET, SUITE 220 Facsimile 919 -929 -9421 CHAPEL HILL, NC 27516 -2356 November 24, 2014 VIA E -MAIL AND U.S. MAIL Amy Chapman North Carolina Division of Water Resources Transportation Permitting Unit 1617 Mail Service Center Raleigh, NC 27699 -1617 amy.chapman@ncdenr.gov Re: Monroe Bypass — § 401 Water Quality Certification Dear Ms. Chapman: On behalf of Clean Air Carolina, the Yadkin Riverkeeper, and North Carolina Wildlife Federation, the Southern Environmental Law Center ( "SELC ") submits the following comments on the application of the North Carolina Department of Transportation ( "NCDOT ") for a § 401 Water Quality Certification for the Monroe Bypass. These comments incorporate by reference our earlier comments concerning the These comments incorporate by reference our earlier comments concerning the NEPA review for this project that were submitted to NCDOT on November 30, 2012;1 January 6, 2014;2 April 8, 2014;3 April 10, 2014;4 and June 9, 2014.5 For the reasons outlined below the North Carolina Division of Water Resources ( "NCDWR ") cannot legally issue a § 401 Certification for the Monroe Bypass at this time. 'Letter from Frank Holleman and Kym Hunter, SELC, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT, Monroe Connector /Bypass: Supplemental Environmental Analysis (Nov. 30, 2012) [hereinafter "SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments "]. 2 Letter from Kym Hunter and Kate Asquith, SELC, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT, Monroe Connector /Bypass: Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (Jan. 6, 2014) [hereinafter "SELC Jan. 6, 20I4 Comments "]. 3 Letter from Kym Hunter and Kate Asquith, SELC, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT, Request for a Supplement to the Draft Supplemental Final Environmental Impact Statement for the Monroe Connector /Bypass (Apr. 8, 2014) [hereinafter "SELC Apr. 8, 2014 Comments "]. 4 E -mail from Kate Asquith, SELC, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT, RE: Monroe Connector /Bypass - Draft Supplemental Final EIS (Apr. 10, 2014) [hereinafter "SELC Apr. 10, 2014 Addendum Comments "]. 5 Letter from Kym Hunter and Kate Asquith, SELC, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT, and John Sullivan, FHWA, Monroe Connector /Bypass: Request for a Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (June 9, 2014) [hereinafter "SELC June 9, 2014 Comments "]. Charlottesville • Chapel Hill • Atlanta - Asheville • Birmingham • Charleston • Nashville * Richmond • Washington, DC NCDWR cannot issue a certification because NCDOT has failed to show that there is no practical alternative to the proposed project that would result in less adverse impact. As explained below, the alternatives analysis is flawed in several specific ways. First, NCDOT has failed to demonstrate a need for the project, instead improperly relying on significantly flawed and outdated traffic and socio - economic data to justify its selected alternative. Second, NCDOT used these flawed traffic forecasts to eliminate many practical project alternatives improperly. Third, the alternatives analysis fails to include reasonable alternatives such as a suite of improvements including upgrades to the existing U.S. 74 Corridor, though recent traffic data has made it increasingly clear that such alternatives are reasonable and should be considered. Additionally, NCDOT has failed to show that the indirect and cumulative effects ( "ICE ") from the project will not degrade downstream water quality. While we recognize NCDOT has updated the explanation of the methodology underlying the ICE analysis since its first NEPA analysis, the analysis itself remains little changed. And, now that the facts are laid bare it is more evident than ever that NCDOT has failed to present an accurate picture of the ICE expected to result from construction of the road. The ICE analysis is based on the assumption that the road will result in negligible overall growth and development in the area defined in the NEPA analyses of the Bypass project (hereinafter "Study Area, ") — an assumption that is fundamentally inconsistent with the many other analyses, including those which underpin the rationale to construct the road. Even more, NCDOT has also failed to account for the ICE that will result from the shift in growth to more rural areas of Union County. Furthermore, despite having pursued the issue for many years, NCDOT has failed to provide adequate details about the mitigation that will be used to offset the project's impacts on wetlands and streams. The failure to provide details about impacts and mitigation leaves open important questions about both the availability and adequacy of the proposed mitigation, and improperly segments the permitting process. Such details must be provided before NCDWR can make a determination as to whether the proposed compensatory mitigation is adequate to offset the impacts of the project. 1. A $ 401 Water Quality Certification Cannot Be Issued because NCDOT Has Not Shown that There Is No Practical Alternative to the Proposed Toll Road NCDWR may not issue a certification until the agency determines that there is no practical alternative to the project. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506(b)(1); (c)(1); (d)(1). A lack of practical alternatives may be shown by demonstrating that, considering the potential for a reduction in size, configuration or density of the proposed activity and all alternative designs the basic project purpose cannot be practically accomplished in a manner which would avoid or result in less adverse impact to surface waters or wetlands. Id. 2H.0506(f). NCDOT has failed to demonstrate that there is no practical alternative to the proposed project. 2 A. NCDOT Has Not Demonstrated a Purpose or Need for the Project First, NCDOT has failed to demonstrate an enduring purpose or need for the project. The demonstration of a project's purpose and need is of critical importance because it serves as the touchstone for the analysis of practical alternatives. Here, the project's Statement of Purpose and Need guiding NCDOT's alternatives analysis was initially contrived in 2007 with a Final Statement published in 2008. NCDOT has long justified construction of the Bypass by explaining that the U.S. 74 Corridor must operate as a high speed corridor, which requires traffic move at 50 miles per hour.6 Since NCDOT initially developed this Statement of Purpose and Need and selected the Bypass as the preferred alternative, considerable changes in project Study Area have established that circumstances do not justify construction of the Monroe Bypass, As explained below, changes in growth expectations, current levels of traffic and congestion, future traffic and the success of alternatives all add up to a significantly changed state of affairs in Union County. In light of these changes, NCDOT has failed to demonstrate that the $800 million new - location Bypass is even necessary. 1. Outdated Traffic Forecasts NCDOT's justification for constructing the Bypass is based on a series of traffic forecasts, plainly shown through the most recent NEPA process to be significantly outdated. During NCDOT's NEPA review of the project, we asked transportation expert Dr. David T. Hartgen, Ph.D., to review NCDOT's traffic forecasts for the Monroe Bypass.7 Dr. Hartgen has 45 years of experience in transportation planning and analysis and is a Professor Emeritus at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte and a retired engineer.$ He is familiar with the Bypass project and the U.S. 74 Corridor and in fact is cited often by NCDOT in the agency's NEPA review.10 After his review of the Draft Supplemental Final Environmental Impact Statement ( "DSFEIS "), Dr. Hartgen concluded that "traffic forecasts presented in NCDOT's NEPA review are too uncertain and insufficiently supported to be the basis for decision - making regarding the Monroe ConnectorlBypass "E1 explaining that the documents "simply ignoref] the last 12 years 6 NCDOT has based this need by expressly relying on the Corridor's designation as a Strategic Highway Corridor ( "SHC ") and as part of the North Carolina Intrastate System. In the most recent NEPA analysis NCDOT again initially relied on these designations in the recent NEPA analysis. Draft Supplemental Final Environmental Impact Statement [hereinafter `DSFEIS "] at 1 -2, available at http: / /www.ncdot.goy/projects /monroeconnector /. Yet this ignores the fact that the North Carolina General Assembly had repealed the Intrastate System legislation. North Carolina Session Law 2013 -183 at Section 4.9 (repealing N.C. Gen. Stat. 136 -179). Following our comments highlighting this mistake, NCDOT acknowledged its error in its FSFEIS errata, and continues to base the need for the Bypass on the SHC designation's call for a high -speed corridor. 7 David T. Hartgen, Review of Traffic Forecasting: Monroe Connector/Bypass Draft Supplemental Final EIS, November 2013 (Dec. 26, 2013) [hereinafter "Hartgen Report 2013 "], Attachment 1 to SELC Jan, 6, 2014 Comments; Dr. David T. Hartgen, Reply to Response to Comments, "Revietiv of Traffic Forecasting: Monroe ConnectorlBypass, DFFEIS, December 26, 2013 (June 9, 2014) [hereinafter "Hartgen Report 2014 "], Attachment 2 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. s Hartgen Report 2013, at 35 -38, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan, 6, 2014 Comments. Please note Dr. Hartgen was a licensed engineer by the state of Maine before retiring, 9 Id. at 3. o See, e.g., ICE Appendix L. ' Hartgen Report 2013, at 4, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan, 6, 2014 Comments. of history regarding traffic trends on U.S 74. ,12 He reiterated this point after reviewing the Final Supplemental Final EIS and Record of Decision, 13 stating that he was compelled to stand by his original overall assessment. 14 Dr. Hartgen found that, rather than conduct updated traffic forecasts that reflect current growth trends, socioeconomic projections, or a more realistic vision of the expected future transportation network, NCDOT has attempted to preserve its faulty analysis by merely brushing off the many significant flaws highlighted in his original review. Nor has NCDOT any attempt to fix these significant flaws in the application now before NCDWR. In fact, since NCDOT first developed these traffic forecasts, current observed speeds show traffic is now moving much more quickly through the Corridor, with many areas approaching the 50 miles per hour high speed corridor requirement. As such, actual conditions in the Corridor have proven quite contrary to NCDOT's predictions underlying the NEPA analysis and this permit application. Outdated traffic data NCDOT based its initial Statement of Purpose and Need on travel time data from 2007. At that time the agency showed peak travel time along the U.S. 74 Corridor as 50 minutes, with an average peak speed of 24 miles per hour, and expected that by 2030 the travel time would increase to 70 minutes, with an average speed of 17 miles per hour.15 These projections are now shown to be dramatically overstated. For example, NCDOT's own observed traffic counts demonstrate the rate of growth in traffic volume originally forecast for the U.S. 74 Corridor is wildly out of sync with reality. Dr. Hartgen noted that NCDOT's observed traffic data since 2000 shows that along the portion of U.S. 74 at the Mecklenburg - Union line, just west of the project end, the traffic has grown on average just 0.15% /year (a total of 1.8% in 12 years), and has actually declined since 2005.16 He also noted that near the city of Monroe, growth has been modest at approximately 0.4 % /year.17 Dr. Hartgen also demonstrated in his reports that observed traffic volumes at the eastern edge of the project have declined since 2000.18 Yet the traffic forecasts NCDOT used to analyze alternatives in the NEPA analysis require traffic volumes to skyrocket. As demonstrated in HNTB's Traffic Forecast Summary, the percent volume increase from NCDOT's 2012 AADT that must be realized to reach the 2035 No -Build Projection ranges from 22% to 81%, with an average of 53% increase in volume. 19 Dr. Hartgen explains that the implied percent changes from current volumes, which range from 1.3 12 Id. at 18. 13 NCDOT, Final Supplemental Final Environmental Impact Statement and Record of Decision (May 2014) [hereinafter "FSFEIS" and "ROD "] available at http://www nedot.gov/pro'ects/monroeconnector/pro'ectresources.html. 14 Hartgen Report 2014, Attachment 2 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. i5 DEIS (2009) at 1 -18 (table 1 -5). id Id. at 17. " Id. 18 Id. at 17 -18; Hartgen Report 2014, at 2, Attachment 2 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. "DSFEIS at G -9 and G -22, table 5. 4 to 5.4% per year, are 5 -10 times faster than the recent twelve years of observed traffic volumes. 20 Though the DSFEIS recognizes that traffic counts from 2007 to 2012 show "zero change,i21 the transportation agencies have offered no explanation of how to reconcile their projections of radical increases in traffic volume with the reality of flat -lined growth rates over the last twelve years. Dr. Hartgen also notes that these trends pre -date the 2008 recession, and have continued in the recession's wake, providing strong evidence these trends do not represent a short term shift, but rather "a huge change in prior trends. "22 Further, Union County is no longer experiencing anywhere near the level of growth as in 2008, indicating that expectations of massive increases in traffic are no longer justifiable. As Dr. Hartgen notes, Union County's growth rate has fallen sharply since NCDOT's initial NEPA analysis, falling from 4.9% /year from 2000 -2010 to just 1.7 %/year, based on the most recent census data. 23 Even when Union County's population was growing, traffic volumes remained stable. As Dr. Hartgen details in his 2013 report, in spite of the previous high growth in Union County "traffic on U.S 74 has not increased substantially since 2000. "24 NCDOT has never explained why, in the face of such evidence, increased population would necessarily result in more drivers using the U.S. 74 Corridor. With population growth now slowing, the huge increase in drivers seems even less likely. Dr. Hartgen has also outlined other significant flaws in the traffic forecasts. Importantly, the traffic forecasts do not factor in the majority of traffic improvements already instituted along the U.S. 74 Corridor, nor do they anticipate future planned improvements. 25 As detailed below, NCDOT has instituted a wide range of small -scale improvements along U.S. 74, such that traffic conditions on U.S. 74 are now vastly different from the environment in which the transportation agencies' consultants first developed the future No -Build traffic forecasts. Dr. Hartgen explains that it is "likely that the improvements made so far also helped to improve the current operating speeds in the 44 -mph range, �iven that traffic volumes have not increased and INRIX speeds show an increase over time." 6 As such, Dr. Hartgen argues that "at the very least, the planned improvements should be coded into the regional network and used as the basis for all forecasts . "27 Moreover, future planned improvements, such as the superstreet installations described below, may be "equally effective" at improving traffic condition such that they also should be considered in the traffic forecasts.28 We applaud NCDOT's efforts to improve traffic conditions in the U.S. 74 Corridor, and recognize that traffic experts such as Dr. Hartgen anticipate future planned improvements will surely continue to dramatically improve traffic conditions .29 When these improvements are 20 Hartgen Report 2013, at 18, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 21 DSFEIS at 4 -20. 22 Hartgen Report 2013, at 18, Attachment I to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 231d. at 14 (citing www.cenus.gov). 24 Id. at 17 (emphasis in original). 25 Id. at 13. 26 Id. (citing DSFEIS at 1 -6). 27 Id. 28 Hartgen Report 2013, at 13, Attachment I to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 29 Id. paired with the steady to declining traffic volumes observed over the past twelve years, the result is a significant, sustained divergence from the 2008 traffic forecasts underpinning NCDOT's justification for constructing the road. b. Outdated socio- economic data Additionally, NCDOT itself admits its traffic forecasts underlying the permit application are not based on the most recent available socio- economic data. 30 The traffic forecasts underlying the NCDOT analysis of practical alternatives are based on 2005 socio - economic data, though NCDOT has verified that it could have, at the very least, updated its model with 2009 socio- economic data, 31 and has acknowledged that the Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization ( "CRTPO ") was in the process of finalizing even more recent socio- economic projections as NCDOT conducted its NEPA review. 32 Yet the transportation agencies considered the 2009 socio - economic data in the NEPA analysis only to verify a continued demand on the U.S. 74 Corridor. 33 Similarly, while NCDOT summarily reviewed the 2014 CRTPO socio - economic projections in response to comments by the Conservation Groups the arbitrarily concluded that new traffic forecasting was not warranted despite this changed data.3 NCDOT did nothing to quantify or otherwise detail any differences that the use of such data might make on the forecasts themselves. Critically, the new CRTPO projections show considerably lower growth rates than previously forecast, and indicate that the growth that is expected to occur in Union County will be located close to Mecklenburg, rather than in the eastern part of the County. 35 These projections fit recently observed county growth patterns; for example, as Dr. Hartgen notes, the recent (2010 -12) population growth rate for Union County has been much slower at just 1.7% /year, calling into serious question NCDOT's continued reliance on outdated socio- economic data. 36 Indeed, as Dr. Hartgen has detailed in his reports, the population forecasts NCDOT used to forecast traffic are "probably significantly overstated. ,37 Dr. Hartgen has detailed several " DSFEIS at G- 12 -G -13; FSFEIS at Section 2.2, Appendix E2; FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELC Letter dated Jayne 9, 2014, at 10 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 3 1 Id. 32 See FSFEIS at Appendix E2. 33 DSFEIS at G- 12- -G -13; FSFEIS at Section 2.2, Appendix E2; FHWA, Comment and Response Gridfor SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 10 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 34 See FSFEIS at 2 -19, Appendix E -4, E -8; see also FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 1 -2 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. "See discussion in SELC Comments, Nov. 2012, at 15 -16, citing e -mail from Stephen Appold to Bjorn Hansen, Scot R. Sibert, Anna Gallup, Ruchi Agarwal, Amy Helms, C. Chorak, Robert Cook, Dana Stoogenke, D. Hooper, D. Ritsema, K. Wolf, Evan Lowry, M. Sandy, Wendy Bell, Bernie Yacobucci, Nadine Bennett, Joe McLelland, R. Black (Oct. 17, 2012), Attachment 24 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; see also Dr. Steve Appold, Projections Compared Excel Sheet, at "counties" sheet (Sept. 20, 2012), Attachment 25 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments ( Appold projects 70,176 jobs in Union County in 2035, whereas Hammer projects 141,704; Appold projects 66,730 jobs in Union County in 2030, whereas Hammer projects 128,494); see also Hartgen Report 2014 at 120, Attachment 2 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. 36 Hartgen Report 2013, at 14, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan, 6, 2014 Comments. 37 Id. at 20. 6 critical and flawed assumptions underlying the projections relied upon by NCDOT. 38 For example, Dr. Hartgen explains that the assumption underlying the "top- down" forecasts that the United States will maintain past growth rates is now untenable, given the recent recession. 39 Dr. Hartgen also criticizes the assumption that the Charlotte region will continue to excel relative to other regions, 40 explaining that the Charlotte region in particular "was very hard -hit in the recession, with large banks and other employers shedding jobs inordinately, and unemployment remains significantly above the U.S. and NC levels," having the effect of "slow[ing] the local employment growth to a crawl," none of which was considered in NCDOT's projections.41 Additionally, Dr. Hartgen questioned the assumption that Union County will attract a relatively large share of regional growth,42 explaining that the majority of Union County's recent growth "was driven not by local county economic activity but by proximity to Charlotte, particularly in the Ballantyne area," which has now slowed significantly. 4 3 Dr. Hartgen also questions NCDOT's reliance on these projections for the purposes of traffic forecasts for the Study Area, as the projections do not separate the location of that growth within Union County and thus "overlook the fact that the most of the Union County growth has been outside of the Bypass study area. "44 NCDOT claims that because the area is expected to still experience some socio- economic growth in the future, there is no need to reevaluate its conclusions drawn from studies based on outdated projections of prodigious growth.45 Yet to fully evaluate practical alternatives, it is necessary to clearly define the full scale of growth to be expected, otherwise NCDWR cannot properly evaluate whether other, less destructive alternatives could meet the articulated need. 2. Decreased Congestion in the U.S. 74 Corridor Another fundamental flaw in NCDOT's traffic forecasts underlying the permit application is that while traffic volumes in Union County have remained fairly stable since NCDOT's original analysis, improvements in the Corridor have caused travel speeds to improve dramatically. NCDOT's recent 2013 data shows that current travel time along U.S. 74 is now 30 minutes at peak, with an average 4peak speed of about 44 miles per hour— 20 miles per hour faster than was observed in 2007, 6 and just six miles per hour under the arbitrary 50- mile -per- hour "high -speed corridor" standard. As NCDOT recognizes in the NEPA analysis, with just these minimal improvements, peak travel time speeds are now closely approaching the speed limit throughout much of the U.S. 74 Corridor. Further, the NEPA analysis demonstrates that " Id. at 21 -23. 39 Id. at 22. 40 DSFEIS, ICE Appendix H, at 6. 41 Hartgen Report 2013, at 22, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 42 Id. 43 Id. as Id. (emphasis added). 45 See FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 2 -3 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 46 Memorandum from Bradley Reynolds, HNTB, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT, RE: U.S. 74 Corridor Travel Time Comparison (Oct. 2013), at 2, available at http: / /www.nedot.pov/ projects /monroeconnector /download /U.S. 74CorridorTravelTimeMemoFinal t02413tpdf. congestion is not prevalent throughout the Study Area, but rather is limited to a few key hot- spots. 47 In other parts of the Corridor, the sought -after speed of 50 miles per hour is already accomplished, and in several more sections it is close. 49 As such, it is likely that NCDOT's predictions of 70 minute travel times and speeds of 17 miles per hour by 2035 are also greatly overstated. As mentioned, traffic volumes in the Corridor have seen very little increase in the past ten years, and there is no evidence presented in the NEPA analysis or permit application as to why they continue to expect the dramatic levels previously forecast. Yet NCDOT continues to state the project is necessary because some portions of U.S. 74 currently experience congestion during peak periods, and because the Corridor does not currently operate as a high -speed corridor, any growth in traffic volume would exacerbate the need for the road .49 But this ignores the fact that understanding the scale of future growth is essential to determining how best to address the documented need. The need for some project to address Corridor congestion not necessary equate with the need for construction of the Bypass in particular. NCDOT must therefore analyze and document the degree of future congestion before NCDWR can properly determine whether there is no practical alternative to the project. a. Success of alternatives along U.S. 74 Before NCDWR can make its determination regarding practical alternatives, NCDOT must develop traffic projections which take into account the recent improvements to the U.S. 74 Corridor as well as foreseeable improvements that have been scheduled and funded in the near future. NCDOT's failure to do so in the most recent NEPA analysis served to overstate the congestion problem in the Corridor. In fact, recent improvements along existing U.S. 74 have served well to address much of the current area congestion. Following the recommendations of the Stantec Study, NCDOT has implemented to great effect a wide variety of targeted, relatively low cost traffic improvements throughout the U.S. 74 Corridor in the project Study Area. Even just these minimal improvements have proven to be quite successful. For example, NCDOT has optimized signal timing along at least 23 intersections along the length of U.S. 74 through the Study Area. 50 Traffic signal optimization involves the implementation of ideal timing settings to govern the operation of a traffic signal. This process can minimize stops and delays, fuel consumption, and air pollution emissions, and can maximize progression along an arterial like U.S. 74. Signal optimization has been found to be an incredibly cost- effective congestion management effort, especially in comparison to expensive alternatives like new construction. In fact, FHWA has noted that the benefit ratio can be as high as 40 to 1.51 And because traffic signals can be easily " DSFEIS at 1- 9 -1 -12. as Id. A9 FSFEIS at Section 1.1.1; see also FHWA, Comment and Response Grid far SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 3, 6 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. so Richard W. Baucom, US 74 Highway Improvements in Union County, NC: 2007 - March 2013, table (Mar. 25, 2013), Attachment 17 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, 51 S. Lawrence Paulson, Managing Traffic Flow Through Signal Timing, FHWA's PUBLIC ROADS, Vol. 65 No. 4 (Jan./Feb. 2002), availahle at http://www fhwa.dot.gov/t)ublicatioiis/publicroads/02janfeb/timing,cfm. optimized without any changes to the roadway's existing footprint, the effort successfully maintains access to existing businesses. NCDOT has also added additional turn -lanes and turn -lane storage for several U.S. 74 intersections such as at Unionville- Indian Trail Road, Faith Church Road/Harris Teeter Distribution Center, Wesley Chapel- Stouts Road /Sardis Church Road, Chamber Drive, Rocky River Road, Poplin Place /Wellness Boulevard, Hanover Drive, and Dickerson Boulevard. 52 Similarly, NCDOT has reconfigured lane assignments at U.S. 74's intersections with Stallings Road, Unionville- Indian Trail Road, and Poplin Place /Wellness Boulevard.53 NCDOT has also implemented signal phasing changes on U.S. 74 at Main Street in Wingate. 54 NCDOT's past experience with this type of improvement has proven to reduce accidents at the intersection, improving safety as well as preventing the inevitable traffic slow -downs associated with even the most minor accidents. 55 NCDOT should expect similar improvements in traffic flow from this project and incorporate these expectations into future traffic forecasts. Additionally, NCDOT's outdated traffic projections do not take into account the impact of Union County's bus service to Charlotte. Since 2008, the Charlotte Area Transit System ( "CATS ") has provided the 74X Union County Regional Transit Service. The bus service visits two locations in Union County — the Monroe K -Mart and Union Town Center --- and transports riders to several locations in Charlotte, including the Charlotte Transportation Center and the major intersection of College and 11th, thereby removing many vehicles from U.S. 74 during peak travel times.56 Recently, Union County extended its contract with CATS to continue this service. 57 NCDOT discusses this service as inconsequential based on CATS data showing 2013 ridership of 42,000, an average of 142 daily riders. 58 This ignores the great impact of removing so many individual drivers from the Corridor during peak travel periods. Further, the greater flaw is NCDOT's failure to consider the impact of future transit ridership in its long -term traffic forecasts. Transportation analysts have suggested that demand for increased transit services will continue to grow in Union County as it continues to develop, and CATS representatives have stated that more commuters can be lured to use transit if there were "a robust transit system [] created in collaboration with other jurisdictions in Union County, Mecklenburg County, Town of Matthews, City of Charlotte, and CATS .,,59 Transit ridership in general is expected to continue to increase in the future as gasoline prices increase. Such an effect is surely even more likely in " Richard W. Baucom, US 74 Highway Improvements in Union County, NC: 2007 - March 2013, table (Mar. 25, 2013), Attachment 17 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 53 Id 54 NCDOT, NCDOT to Make Signal Phasing Changes at Union County Intersection (May 13, 2014), available at httt)s: // apps. ncdot. gov /newsreleases /detaits.aspx ?t -9831, Attachment 16 from SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. 55 Id. 56 Union County, July 24 Union Update, County Extends Contract with CATSfor Bus Set-vice to Charlotte (July 24, 2013), Attachment 18 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 57 Id "FSFEIS at A2 -241. 59 US -74 Corridor Revitalization Study: Corridor Revitalization Plan, Project Overview, available at http: / /www.co.union nc.us /Portals /0/ Planning / Documents lUS- 74%20Corridor %20Study.pdf, Attachment 2 [hereinafter "U.S. 74 Revitalization Plan "]. we the highly congested future scenario NCDOT has projected: It is reasonable to expect that the impetus to pursue alternative modes of transportation will increase if automobile congestion in the U.S. 74 Corridor skyrockets as NCDOT continues to project. The fact that NCDOT never considered the long -term impact of transit on traffic patterns in the Corridor simply because of current ridership numbers, demonstrates its failure to evaluate adequately the future need for the project. The observed impacts of the improvements to U.S. 74 have been striking. As noted above, travel speeds in the Corridor are now much higher than when NCDOT first began the NEPA process many years ago. It is not surprising, therefore, that one engineer, discussing the improvements, noted that the dramatic results jeopardized NCDOT's ability to prove a need for the Bypass, stating: "I just hope the Toll Road Authority does not get wind of what we have done to move traffic on U.S. 74, they may object strenuously !,,60 And yet more improvements are forthcoming. As NCDOT has acknowledged in the NEPA analysis, six million dollars in superstreet improvements have been scheduled to improve the section of U.S. 74 that runs through Indian Trail .61 The superstreets will be implemented in 2015, before the proposed Bypass would be built. 62 NCDOT has estimated that 20 percent more vehicles will get through a superstreet intersection during rush hour than a traditional intersection, indicating that these planned superstreets are likely to have a substantial effect on peak congestion in the U.S. 74 Corridor that NCDOT has also failed to incorporate into its traffic forecasts. b3 NCDOT has also announced plans to proposed improve several intersections along existing U.S. 74 between Fowler Secrest Road and N.C. 200 (Morgan Mill Road).ba NCDOT is also close to finalizing funding for additional area improvements. North Carolina has recently instituted the new STI transportation prioritization and funding program. While the scoring process is ongoing, the recently released final STI project scores offer information on the likelihood of funding for the full range of proposed projects statewide. NCDOT has relied on these scores in selecting several additional targeted improvements to the U.S. 74 Corridor that will be constructed within the next several years. For example, NCDOT has stated that it plans to implement a superstreet intersection upgrade at the U.S. 74 /Rocky River Road intersection, a project that will function well with the other four superstreets planned and funded for U.S. 74 in Indian Trai1.65 It has publicly stated that this project is fully funded for 60 E -mail from Wilbur C. Garner, Moffatt & Nichol, to Dean Harris, NCDOT, RE: U.S. 74 @ Stallings (Apr. 8, 2011), Attachment 19 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. " DSFEIS at 2 -12; MUMPO, Aug. 21, 2013 Summary Meeting Minutes, at 2, Attachment 20 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 62 DSFEIS at 2 -12. 61 Carl Gibilaro, MonroeBypassFacts. corn Meeting Summary, prepared for NCDOT (Dec. 3, 2012), Attachment 21 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 64 NCDOT, NCDOT Will Hold Informational Workshop for Proposed Safety Improvements on U.S. 74 in Union County (Oct. 2, 2014), available at https://apps ncdot. ov /newsreleases /details.as x ?r= 10359, Attachment 3. 65 NCDOT, Highway Scoring Spreadsheet (May 14, 2014), available at htt s:l /connect ncdot. ovl rolects/ lannin Pa es /ResourcesMPO- RPO.as x, Attachment 17 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments (see SPOT ID H141897). 10 construction within the next 10 years. 66 As we have demonstrated, superstreet installations greatly improve traffic flow and safety, thereby reducing the number of accidents and associated slow-down S.67 Similarly, NCDOT has announced that an interchange improvement at the existing U.S. 74 /U.S. 601 interchange is also fully funded for construction in the next ten years. NCDOT must likewise analyze the expected travel benefit from this foreseeable project and incorporate it into future traffic forecasts. The final project scores also indicate other projects in the Corridor are very likely to be funded as well. For example, the proposed Monroe Northern Loop has scored well enough at the Regional Impacts funding tier that funding is likely. 68 The project requires the construction of over five miles of new location roadway from U.S 74 to Walkup Avenue at Bivens Roads. 6' The project scored so well because it received the full allocation of local priority points from both the NCDOT Division Engineer and the local MPO.70 A project to widen approximately three miles of U.S. 74 in the Study Area also scored quite well in the highway ranking process, such that it is very likely to be funded for construction in the near future as well.71 The project would widen U.S. 74 to six lanes through the length of Monroe,72 which NCDOT's own traffic data demonstrate is among the most congested portions of the Corridor. 73 The project would also include a median, bike lanes, and sidewalks from Hanover Drive to Rocky River Road.74 This project scored well because it also received the full allocation of local priority points from the NCDOT Division Engineer and local MP0.75 The Division Engineer and MPO similarly prioritized NCDOT's plan to extend turn lane storage at U.S. 74's intersection with Stanback Ferry Road in Union County, so that the project is also likely to be funded at the Regional Impacts funding tier in the near future. 76 Certainly these foreseeable projects would have significant impacts on traffic flow through the U.S. 74 Corridor that must be incorporated into future traffic forecasts. 66 Id, 67 SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 12. 6' NCDOT, P3.0 Total Scores (Sept. 24, 2014), available at https:/ /connect ncdot. gov / projects / planning /Pages /ResourcesMPO- RPO.aspx, Attachment 4 (see SPOT 1D H090344). 69 Id. 70 Id 71 NCDOT, P3.0 Total Scores (Sept. 24, 2014), available at htt s:/ /connect ncdot.gov/proiects/plaiiiiingZPages/ResourcesMPO-RPO.aVx, Attachment 4 (see SPOT ID HI 11190). 72 Id. 7' DSFEIS at 1 -9— 1 -] 0. 74 NCDOT, P3.0 Total Scores (Sept. 24, 2014), available at https:/ /connect nedot.gov/ projects/ planning /Pages /ResourcesMPO- RPO.aspx, Attachment 4 (see SPOT ID HI 11190). 7s Id 76 Id. (see SPOT ID H142085). II NCDOT has dismissed any need to consider many of these projects in its NEPA analysis because these scores were still in draft form, 77 but they were finalized as of September 24, 2014, well before this permit application was submitted in final form for public comment. Thus, even if NCDOT (improperly) neglected to include these foreseeable projects in its NEPA analysis, that omission provides no excuse for failing to account for their impacts in this permit application. NCDOT should also consider the impacts of other planned improvements to the road network served by U.S. 74. For example, NCDOT must analyze projects such as the proposed "Southern Connector Two," which would provide a new route from NC 200 to Old Pageland Road .78 Another planned network improvement to consider is the planned extension of Secrest Avenue from Walkup Avenue to Olive Branch Road, with an interchange for the Bypass .79 NCDOT also has plans to widen Rocky River Road from Old Charlotte Highway to U.S. 74, strengthening the connection and improving capacity between two major Union County roadways.80 This project would function well with an additional planned improvement to widen SR -1009, which parallels U.S. 74, from Rocky River Road to Wesley Chapel- Stouts Road,81 as well as from Seymour Street to NC 200.82 These projects could greatly improve travel speeds on U.S. 74 by providing a stronger parallel route to U.S. 74 through a congested portion of Union County. NCDOT must fully consider these foreseeable projects in new traffic forecasts. NCDOT must also consider how other area improvements, such as the I -485 HOT lanes project detailed below, may also significantly improve traffic conditions in the Corridor. As Dr. Hartgen's recent analysis of NCDOT's FSFEIS demonstrates, NCDOT did not incorporate any of these completed Corridor improvements or foreseeable planned future Corridor improvements into the traffic forecasts used to justify the need for the Bypass. 83 NCDOT has provided no additional evaluation in the permit application. Yet before NCDOT can rely on future traffic projections to demonstrate a need for the Bypass, it must first fully evaluate the significant impact these Corridor improvements are sure to have on future Corridor traffic patterns. b. Reduced growth in Union County In addition to NCDOT's failure to look at improved travel speeds and the success of alternative solutions, it has also failed to consider the dramatic changes in Union County growth trends that further undercut any need for the Monroe Bypass. In its NEPA analysis, NCDOT considered data on Union County's population growth through only 2010,89 failing to recognize 77 FSFEIS at Section 2.2, Appendix E2; PH WA, Comment and Response Grid far SELC Lefler dated Jayne 9, 2014, at 22 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 78 NCDOT, P3.0 Total Scores (Sept. 24, 2014), available at hat s: //connect ncdot.gov/t)roiects/vlanniDg/Pages/ResourcesMPO-RPO.aspx, Attachment 4 (see SPOT ID H090701). 79 Id. (see SPOT ID H090434). 8° Id. (see SPOT ID H090594). 81 Id. (see SPOT ID HI 11195). 82 Id. (see SPOT ID H140416). 83 Hartgen Report 2014 at 36 -37, 41 -42, 44 -45. "DSFEIS at 1 -4. 12 the major changes in Union County growth trends since 2010. This is exemplified by the fact that the 2013 DSFEIS incorrectly stated that Union County is the fastest growing county in North Carolina. 85 Though this statistic may have been true several years ago, today there are at least 10 counties that are growing faster than Union County. 86 While NCDOT acknowledged this error in the FSFEIS, it failed to address the flawed analysis based on outdated growth data, and it continues to maintain Union County's growth rate justifies construction of the Bypass. 87 In fact growth in Union County has slowed considerably to an average annual growth rate of 1.7 percent between 2010 and 2012.85 Growth in the Study Area has slowed even more significantly, with much of the new growth on the southern and western edges of the county not an area expected to have any great impact U.S. 74 traffic.89 Further, despite Union County's previous experience of high growth rates, traffic volumes in the project area have remained steady. In November 2012, NCDOT's Congestion Management Section reported that after analyzing the Average Annual Daily Traffic Maps for the previous 10 years, it found that traffic volumes on U.S. 74 had remained steady for the past decade.90 Reasons given for this apparent contradiction include the fact that a smaller percentage of workers are now commuting from Union County to Charlotte 91 and the hypothesis that drivers may be finding alternative routes to avoid U.S. 74.92 Whatever the reason, if traffic volumes in the Corridor were not increasing when socio- economic growth was high, it seems unlikely that traffic volumes would increase at a much greater rate now that socio - economic growth has slowed. Dr. Hartgen's most recent report highlights how NCDOT has failed to address these flaws or otherwise provide any justification for its continued expectation of such dramatic growth in traffic volumes. In the FSFEIS, NCDOT agreed that traffic volumes on U.S. 74 have not increased since 2000, and that traffic - volume growth rates do not follow population- growth patterns in the county. 93 Though these observed growth patterns directly contradict the fundamental assumption underlying NCDOT's forecasts, it has offered no additional information or explanation in the NEPA analysis,99 nor has it addressed these flaws in the permit application. As such, we remain concerned that NCDOT has still not reconciled data showing no increase in traffic volume for more than a decade with its own projection that traffic volumes in the Corridor will skyrocket in the future. 85 DSFEIS at 1 -2. $� Hartgen Report 2013, at 6, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. &' FSFETS at A2 -242. 88 E -mail from Ken Gilland, Baker Corporation, to Scudder Wagg et. al., Baker Corporation, RE: DRAFT US,ACE Presentation (Population estimates) (Feb. 14, 2013), Attachment 22 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 89 Hartgen Report 2013, at 14, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 90 Memorandum from Michael Reese, NCDOT, to Sean Epperson, NCDOT, US. 74 Corridor Superstreet and Traditional Intersection Capacity Analysis, at I (Nov. 5, 2012), Attachment 23 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 9' DSFEIS at 1 -4. 92 Wilbur Smith Associates, Proposed Monroe Connector /Bypass Comprehensive Traffic and Revenue Study, prepared for NCTA, at 2 -5 (2010), available at http: / /www ncdot. goy/ proiects/ monroeconnectorldownload /monroe FEIS ComprehensiveTrafficRevenue Study. vdf [hereinafter Traffic and Revenue Study 20101. 43 Hartgen Report 2014, at 13 -14, 49, 65, Attachment 2 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. g' Id. at 1 -14, 49, 65. 13 In sum, the growth experienced over the past seven years has been vastly different from the forecast underlying the original need NCDOT articulated to justify construction of the - - - -- Monroe Bypass. Traffic volumes have not increased, but traffic speeds have. Small -scale improvements have been planned and implemented along U.S. 74 and have been successful. Population growth in the Study Area has slowed. Congestion is mostly found in key hotspots, and there are potential alternatives, smaller scale and less expensive than the Bypass, which might address this congestion. Further, the average travel speed in the Corridor is fast approaching the sought after 50 miles per hour, and indeed over half the Corridor is now running at that speed. In light of these changes, construction of the Monroe Bypass simply is no longer necessary or even justifiable. As such, NCDWR must require NCDOT fully analyze the traffic and growth forecasts supporting its stated purpose and need for the project before it determine whether there is any other practical alternative to the project. B. NCDOT Used Flawed Traffic Forecasts Improperly to Eliminate Many Practical Project Alternatives. NCDOT's alternatives analysis is based on flawed traffic forecasts NCDOT's analysis of practical alternatives supporting its permit application was conducted as part of its NEPA review. Underlying this analysis are historic traffic volumes and future traffic forecasts for both the Build and No -Build scenarios, developed in 2008 based on data available at that time. 95 The primary forecasts used to analyze project alternatives were the MartinlAlexiou /Bryson 2030 No -Build traffic forecasts, which showed significant congestion in the U.S. 74 Corridor. This projected congestion, which has since been disproven, was used by NCDOT both to demonstrate a need for the project and to eliminate project alternatives. 96 NCDOT later conducted a 2035 No -Build as an update to these forecasts, the sole purpose of which was to confirm the "assumption that the traffic volumes on existing U.S. 74 would stay the same or increase from 2030 to 2035 if no roadway improvements took place. "97 NCDOT has since asserted that the 2035 forecasts remain valid for comparing alternatives, explaining that the forecasts were "only used to show that conditions will worsen in the future," and that "additional future traffic analyses were not needed to document the present need for the project. "98 In fact, NCDOT selectively relied only on those questionable forecasts that predicted traffic volumes would increase, and selectively ignored any data to the contrary that might have led to a different conclusion. The critical deficiency in NCDOT's alternatives analysis is that it still relies on the 2008 projections for 2030, which have since been discredited, and the permit application includes no additional studies. As outlined above, these traffic forecasts are significantly flawed in a variety of ways, and NCDOT's permit application demonstrates the agency has done nothing since the NEPA analysis to fix the fundamental flaws underlying the traffic forecasts. a. The alternatives analysis is skewed by flawed socio- economic data 95 DSFEIS at G -5; see SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments at 14 -22 for more detail. 96 DSFEIS at G -35. 97 Id 98 Id. at G -2. 14 As detailed above, the validity of the traffic forecasts is further undercut by several flaws in the underlying socio - economic data, causing NCDOT to overstate significantly the expected growth in the Study Area and, thus, the ineffectiveness of project alternatives. Additionally, NCDOT's analysis of the growth that would be induced by different project alternatives is fundamentally flawed due to an improper assumption in the "No- Build" forecast. As detailed below, NCDOT admits that its growth forecast failed to take into account the constraining effect heavily congested infrastructure might have on future growth.99 Instead, NCDOT developed its No -Build scenario based on the nonsensical assumption that construction of a major highway in a new location through an undeveloped area, with nine interchanges, would result in negligible growth. In so doing, NCDOT has vastly overstated the levels of growth that would likely occur without construction of the Bypass. Its analysis severely downplayed the differences among the various project alternatives. Thus, when NCDOT's consultants examined the impact of induced growth on NCDOT's traffic forecasts, they were working with flawed data which showed an improperly low level of growth attributable to the Bypass.100 Moreover, the consultants failed to conduct a proper analysis of how the Bypass itself — with its miles of new highway, nine new interchanges, and thousands of acres of open land newly made available to development — will likely redistribute growth and, consequently, traffic patterns and volume.101 Additionally, even if NCDOT's cursory analysis of this issue were sufficient, we disagree that the difference of 3 to 4% in traffic volumes between the Build and No -Build scenarios is so negligible that it need not be given any consideration or further study. 102 Moreover, the 3 to 4% difference presented is for Union County as a whole; the percentage difference is likely much higher in the Study Area. 103 NCDWR must require NCDOT to analyze these issues fully before it can evaluate the practicability of different project alternatives. b. NCDOT's flawed traffic forecasts bias the agency's analysis of practical alternatives Even if NCDOT is correct that the U.S. 74 Corridor will continue to experience congestion, a point not clear in light of the agency's grave failure to evaluate the impacts of planned future transportation improvements outlined above, this conclusion does not support NCDOT's decision to perform no new traffic forecasts. The No -Build forecasts are necessary not only to evaluate NCDOT's contention that increasing traffic volumes on U.S. 74 require some solution, but also to evaluate the range of practical alternatives to address the problem. Rather than using accurate forecasts to compare a range of practical alternatives transparently, NCDOT has used its bogus, overstated projections to justify its choice of a new - location bypass as the only practical alternative to address area congestion. 104 NCDOT's 99 FSFFIS at A2 -251. "" DSFEIS at G- 16 -G -17. 101 Id 102 Id. 103 Id 104 DEIS (2009) at 2- 3 -2 -4. 15 development and evaluation of practical alternatives began with its selection of the Detailed Study Alternatives ( "DSA ") included in the DEIS, as documented in the Alternatives Development and Analysis Report (PBS &J, April 2008),05 as well as the agency's further studies of existing U.S. 74 documented in the Upgrade Existing U.S. 74 Alternatives Study (HNTB, April 2009).106 The process documented in these studies demonstrates that NCDOT's analysis of potential alternatives explicitly relied upon the 2035 traffic forecasts created in 2007, as well as a separate forecast for the Improve Existing U.S. 74 Alternative. 107 NCDOT used these forecasts to help determine each alternative's potential to meet initial criteria, including whether the alternative addressed the need to improve mobility and capacity in the U.S. 74 Corridor. 108 The Draft EIS specified that, to be carried forward, "an alternative must provide more than a minor improvement" as compared to the future No -Build scenario, indicating that the degree to which the alternative was able to address mobility and capacity in the Corridor was of particular importance. 109 For example, NCDOT eliminated alternatives such as the Transportation Management System ( "TSM ") Alternative, which consists of low -cost, minor transportation improvements to increase the capacity of the existing facility, in the First Qualitative Screening because "the amount of traffic projected for 2030 along U.S. 74 would overwhelm the effectiveness of minor TSM improvements."' 10 Similar reasoning was cited as part of the decision to eliminate the Mass Transit /Multi -Modal Alternative.) i 1 As such, the traffic forecasts were integral not just to determining if there was any need for the project, but also in screening and analyzing the practicality of different project alternatives. Accordingly, simply verifying that the U.S. 74 Corridor will continue to experience high demand may "substantiate the viability of and need for" some sort ofproject in the Corridor, 112 but it does nothing to reevaluate transparently and publicly the relevant success of different practical project alternatives. The vast disparity between observed recent traffic patterns and the traffic projections used in the NEPA analysis demonstrates that NCDOT's alternatives analysis is insufficient to satisfy the requirements to receive a Water Quality Certification. By relying on outdated and flawed projections that vastly overstate future traffic volumes, NCDOT makes practical alternatives to the Bypass that would result in less adverse impacts look less promising. Instead, NCDWR must require NCDOT to reevaluate alternatives based on realistic, up -to -date traffic projections grounded in valid assumptions about growth and traffic volumes before it can consider granting a Water Quality Certification. 2. NCDOT's alternatives analysis fails to analyze patterns of traffic in the Corridor "" DSFEIS at 2 -1. foe Id io7 DEIS (2009) at 2 -3. 08 Id at 2 -4. fog Id. 10 Monroe Connector /Bypass Project Alternatives Development and Analysis Report, at 1 -7 -1 -8 (Apr. 2008), available at http: /lwww ncdot.gov /projects /monroeconnector /download /monroe DEIS AltsReport Rev.pdf. ... Id. at 1 -10. 12 DSFEIS at G -13. 16 In addition to its reliance on outdated and fundamentally flawed traffic forecasts, NCDOT's alternatives analysis also fails to answer a key question: Where are travelers in the U.S. 74 Corridor going? The NEPA analysis and permit application fail entirely to evaluate the percentage of traffic in the Corridor that is local, i.e., moving within a town or traveling from one town along U.S. 74 to another; the percentage that is commuting into Charlotte; and the percentage that is traveling through the Corridor to a destination beyond the Corridor. Without some knowledge of this basic information, it is impossible to evaluate fully an alternative's practicality. When the Conservation Groups raised this point to NCDOT, 113 NCDOT asserted that no further analysis is necessary, as Mecklenburg -Union Metropolitan Planning Organization (MUMPO, now reorganized as CRTPO) supports the project and the Traffic & Revenue Study shows the project to be financially feasible with tolls. 114 NCDOT has also pointed to its October 24, 2012 response letter to Lynda Paxton, then Mayor of Stallings, for "[djetails about traffic patterns, mixes and volumes," 115 and appear to rely solely on this letter to address the issue.1 6 Yet as the confused smokescreen of percentages listed without explanation in NCDOT's letter to Mayor Paxton demonstrates,' 17 NCDOT has never studied the existing or projected percentages of local versus through - traffic, nor has NCDOT ever applied these limited findings in its analysis of project alternatives. The data cited in the letter to Mayor Paxton were collected as part of an extremely limited Origin - Destination Study in the course of WSA's Comprehensive Traffic & Revenue Study.' 18 In a report to NCDOT by its consultant CDM Smith (formerly Wilbur Smith Associates, who performed the Traffic & Revenue Study),' 19 the consultant noted the deficiencies of the study, admitting that the Origin - Destination Study provides Iittle to no information on truck traffic. 120 The consultant explained that "[t]ypically truck drivers do not respond to mail -back survey requests" of the type used in the Traffic & Revenue Study, citing the response rate at about 1 to 2 %.121 The consultant further admitted that the survey was specifically "geared toward obtaining a successful survey of passenger vehicles," not data on trucks, which likely make up much of the through - traffic in the Corridor, 122 Similarly, the survey was conducted in March and April, months that are certainly not representative of levels of through - traffic passenger cars headed to the coast during peak beach season (Memorial Day to Labor Day). 123 NCDOT has also publicly SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments, at 38 -39; SELC Ian. 6, 2014 Comments, at 23 -35. 114 DSFEIS at Al -85. n s Id. 16 DSFEIS at G -2 ( "Mr. Gardner [FHWA] asked how local traffic vs. through traffic was addressed in the traffic impact analysis and upon review of the letter to Mayor Paxton (Oct. 24, 2012) found the explanation included to have adequately addressed this issue. "); FSFEIS at A2- 254 -55. DSFEIS at C3- 6 —C3 -7. DSFEIS at 0-1, 3 -6 (Traffic and Revenue Study 2010). "9 9 Id. at A 1 -25. 121, Id. at A 1 -26. ]21 Id. 122 Id. NCDOT says this overstates the importance of truck traffic. FSFEIS at A2 -255. Yet NCDOT's own data projects nearly 20% of the Bypass traffic will result from trucks. Id. 123 Traffic and Revenue Study 2010, at 3 -1. - 17 admitted outside of the NEPA process that it "has not projected the amount of traffic that will travel throughout (end to end) the entire corridor versus accessing within the corridor at interchanges." 124 The engineering firm O'Connell & Lawrence ( "OCL ") also critiqued NCDOT's origin - destination study in a recent report on several grounds. One concern OCL raised was the substantial disparity between the number of trips originating and ending in Charlotte, the dominant employment and population center in the region.' 5 OCL found that this disparity indicates that the survey handout locations should have been adjusted to provide a better cross - section of drivers. 126 OCL also noted the low percentage of trucks as opposed to passenger vehicles responding to the survey was alarming, as it was significantly different from the percentage breakdown among actual vehicles on the road. 127 NCDOT's failure to analyze the percentages of local and through traffic necessarily undercuts the validity and thoroughness of its alternatives analysis. Without any comprehensive study of where traffic is going in the U.S. 74 Corridor, NCDOT has no clear documentation of the actual usage of U.S. 74. In fact, this point is made within the Traffic & Revenue Study itself, As the "Report of Independent Economist," completed as part of the Comprehensive Traffic & Revenue Study, recognizes "the U.S. 74 corridor handles a significant volume of extra - regional traffic," referring specifically to the traffic going from the Charlotte area to the Port of Wilmington and the beaches near Wilmington and Myrtle Beach, and vice versa. 128 The report explains that "no good source of data for drivers of long distances travel through US 74 exists." 129 Because the avowed intent of the project is to speed travel from one end of the U.S. 74 Corridor to another, knowledge about the percentage of traffic making that complete trip is necessary for projecting usage of the facility and divergence of traffic from existing U.S. 74, both key to determining how well different practical project alternatives meet the stated purpose and need. Because NCDOT has not yet analyzed how much local traffic is on U.S. 74, it is currently unclear who will be best served by the Bypass or the various project alternatives. NCDOT itself admits that most local drivers will not save much travel time by using the Bypass. Such information is also essential for determining the impacts of different project alternatives, specifically, how much traffic is expected to remain on U.S. 74 and whether levels of truck traffic will decline. 124 US -74 Corridor Revitalization Study Stakeholder Interviews: Transportation Meeting Notes, at 3 (Jan. 18, 2012), Attachment 28 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 125 O'Connell & Lawrence, Inc., A Closer Look at U.S. 74: Challenges & Opportunities, prepared for SELC, at 15 (2013), [hereinafter "OCL report "]. 2s id, 127 Id. at 16. 126 DSFEIS at ICE Appendix K; Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise, Technical Memorandum: Proposed Monroe Connector/Bypass Comprehensive Traffic and Revenue Study Initial Report of Independent Economist, prepared for NCTA, at 31 (updated Mar. I, 2010), available at http: / /www ncdot.pov /projects /monroeconnector/ download/ ICEAppendixKReportlndepEco.pdf. W Accordingly, before NCDWR can issue a Water Quality Certification for the Bypass, it must require NCDOT to analyze who, exactly, would use it. Only then can it perform a thorough analysis of the practicality of different alternative solutions. To do so, NCDOT must conduct a full origin - destination study to determine whether this is indeed the case. We have detailed several suggestions for such a study in our past comments. 130 C. NCDOT Did Not Adequately Consider All Practical Alternatives NCDOT also failed to conduct a sufficient alternatives analysis in its NEPA review and has failed to provide any deeper analysis of practical alternatives in this application. NCDWR must also ensure full consideration of other alternatives which "avoid or result in less adverse impact to surface waters or wetlands" that also fail to meet the project purpose in its entirety. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506(f). Unfortunately, NCDOT failed to consider a number of alternative options that would reduce the size and density of the project, but that would nonetheless satisfy the project purpose of providing high -speed travel in the U.S. 74 Corridor in a manner which would avoid or result in less adverse impact to water resources in the Study Area. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506(f). In light of NCDOT's failure to fully consider these options it has failed to adequately demonstrate that there is no practical alternative to the proposed project. The alternatives analysis in NCDOT's NEPA review was guided by an improperly narrow statement of purpose and need As noted above, NCDOT's analysis of practical project alternatives occurred as part of the NEPA evaluation, the scope of which was guided by the project's Statement of Purpose and Need. See 40 C.P.R. § 1502.13. As such, the agency's delineation of the project's purpose was an essential step in discerning practical project alternatives. Yet here, NCDOT improperly narrowed the project purpose, thereby precluding meaningful consideration of a full range of alternatives. The stated purposes of the Monroe Connector /Bypass in the most recent NEPA analysis remain unchanged from the previous EIS, and are: 1) To construct a facility that allows for safe, reliable, high -speed regional travel in the U.S. 74 Corridor between I -485 in Mecklenburg County and the Town of Marshville in Union County, in a manner consistent with the North Carolina Strategic Highway Corridors Vision Plan for U.S. 74 and the designation of U.S. 74 on the North Carolina Intrastate System. 2) Improve mobility in the U.S. 74 Corridor within the project study area, while maintaining access to properties along existing U.S. 74. T1311 This statement includes so many specific elements there is no chance that any option other than the predetermined new - location Bypass could meet the requirements. The project 130 SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 23 -25. 131 See NCDOT, Final Statement of Purpose and Need for the Monroe Connector/Bypass (Feb. 2008), available at htt : / /www ncdot. ov/ roicets /monroeconnector /download /FinalMonroe PN 020608. df. 19 must apparently allow for "high- speed" travel. 132 The project must extend from one very specific location (I -485) to another specific location (Marshville). 133 And the project must maintain access to properties along U.S. 74.134 Each of these elements is arbitrary, and in combination they form a statement that is so unreasonably narrow that all non -new location toll highway alternatives were never seriously considered. For example, as noted, the "high- speed" element, with its very specific speed limit of 50 miles per hour, is claimed to have its origin in the Strategic Highway Corridor ( "SHC ") Vision Plan. But this designation is based in a past planning product that was never subject to public comment and consideration, 135 rather than any need determined from the NEPA analysis. Additionally, as detailed above, the Corridor is in fact currently operating at an average speed of 44 miles per hour, a vast improvement over past years, and significant additional improvements are planned and funded for next year. By setting 50 miles per hour as a requirement, it seems that NCDOT has hoped to avoid consideration of many lower impact solutions that would not require a toll and would provide real congestion relief to Union County drivers. Removal of this artificial limit would allow a more comprehensive approach to solutions for the Corridor, and a truly unconstrained look at the costs and benefits of different options. The Bypass beginning and end points mandated in the Statement of Purpose and Need are similarly arbitrary. NCDOT has articulated no rational reason why the small rural town of Marshville must be the end of the project. NCDOT's own analysis demonstrates that the majority of Corridor congestion occurs around Monroe. 136 Long before Marshville, the speed of traffic along U.S. 74 increases to 50 miles per hour and higher.] 7 By prescribing these two arbitrary points as project termini in the Statement of Purpose and Need, NCDOT precluded consideration of many lower impact alternatives that would address the true congestion hotspots in the U.S. 74 Corridor. The most arbitrary of the constraints placed in the Statement of Purpose and Need is the requirement that any alternatives must "maintain access to properties along existing U.S. 74." Requiring that access be maintained to properties along existing U.S. 74, while neglecting the many properties that must be taken to construct a new - Location Bypass, has no rational basis. Many of the farms and homes that stand in the path of the highway, as currently planned, have been in their owners' families for over 100years. The only basis for valuing the businesses along U.S. 74 and giving no value to the homes, farms, and businesses that must be taken by the Bypass is to preclude consideration of alternatives that focus on improvements to existing U.S. 74. The arbitrary nature of these requirements is further exacerbated by the fact that they have little to do with the project's stated need. As discussed above, to establish a "need" for the Bypass, NCDOT has set forth (now quite outdated) data showing that U.S. 74 is congested, but 133 DSFEIS at 1 -3, 2 -3. 133 Id. 134 Id. 135 Id, 136 DSFEIS at 1- 9 -1 -12. 137 Id. 20 has then constructed a project purpose that does not address the stated need. In fact, as explained, many of the constraints actually serve to eliminate consideration of practical alternatives that would meet the stated need. We understand NCDOT has been charged by the Legislature to build the Monroe Bypass, but despite the deference that is generally accorded to an agency's selection of purpose and need, that deference does not go so far as to give agencies Iicense to disregard the requirement that they select the a less destructive practical alternative. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506(b)(1); (c)(1); (d)(1). 2. NCDOT must consider a full range of reasonable alternatives and combinations of alternatives As detailed in our earlier comments, NCDOT's NEPA analysis failed entirely to provide any empirical data or specific justifications as to why a suite of alternatives such as targeted Corridor improvements, increased mass transit, and multi -modal options would not function together to provide high -speed travel in the U.S. 74 Corridor. 138 Despite the significant changes in the Study Area, NCDOT never evaluated the ability of such alternatives to work together, instead Iimiting its cursory analysis of alternatives to how each might function individually. Additionally, NCDOT's review of a range of alternatives has not been updated in almost a decade. The alternatives analysis now presented to NCDWR is largely recycled from previous studies. For example, the analysis supporting the 2009 EIS was comes primarily from the analysis that came before it, with decisions made to eliminate alternatives before the NEPA process even formally began. 139 NCDOT again resuscitated this old analysis and again imported it wholesale into its most recent NEPA analysis, giving no true consideration to any transportation improvement other than the Bypass and no fresh evaluation of these old alternatives. Despite our comments calling for real study of a detailed list of practical project alternatives, loo NCDOT failed to correct this truncated alternatives analysis in its NEPA review or in the permit application. These alternatives have therefore not been studied at a level sufficient for NCDWR to assess adequately whether there is no practical alternative to the project. Given the outdated nature of NCDOT's alternatives analysis and the changed circumstance described above, NCDWR must require NCDOT to reinitiate its alternative analysis from the beginning and use updated traffic and socio- economic forecasts to consider a full range of alternatives, and combinations of those alternatives, before the NCDWR can issue a Water Quality Certification. In our many past comment letters to NCDOT, we have regularly suggested a variety of alternatives which NCDOT must consider. These alternatives are highlighted below. 138 SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 25 -36. 139 Memorandum from Jill Gurak and Carl Gibilaro, PBS &J, to Jennifer Harris, NCDOT (Oct. 19, 2006). Attachment 29 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. "" See, e.g., SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 25 -36. 21 a. Improvements to existing U.S. 74 To start, NCDWR must require NCDOT to give full consideration to upgrades to existing U.S. 74. As discussed above, we have already begun to see that the implementation of a wide variety of recent small - scale, low -cost traffic improvements to the Corridor has dramatically improved traffic flow along U.S. 74. NCDOT's measures to implement many of the improvements, such as those upgrades suggested in the Stantec Study, have been a great success, and other planned and funded improvements are likely to have an even greater impact, 141 NCDOT recognizes there has been a reduction in congestion, but claims that the improvements implemented thus far have not yet met the project need, and therefore there is no reason to evaluate further such improvements. 142 Yet these observed effects, when coupled with steady -to- waning traffic volumes noted above, indicate that a renewed study of the Improve Existing U.S. 74 alternatives based on updated traffic and socio - economic forecasts is necessary. Additionally, as described above, NCDOT's most recent data demonstrate that the U.S. 74 Corridor is hampered by patches of congestion in specific hot - spots, rather than corridor -wide traffic problems. As such, NCDOT's alternative analysis must seriously consider a series of targeted improvements to address congestion hot - spots. One problem area we have suggested NCDOT target is the stretch of existing U.S. 74 from Fowler Secrest Road to US 601. As NCDOT has recognized, much of the slowdown in this area is due to the density of traffic lights between Fowler Secrest Road and US 601.143 The DSFEIS noted that the two densest areas of traffic signals are from Fowler Secrest Road east to Secrest Shortcut Road (3.5 traffic signals per mile), and from Stafford Road just east of US 601 North to Campus Park Drive just west of US 601 South (3.7 traffic signals per mile)."' The DSFEIS quantified the impact of this spacing as placing an extra 9 to 16 percent travel time on Corridor users. 145 Though we raised this point with NCDOT in our comments on the DSFEIS, "' NCDOT has not addressed this improvement. 147 NCDWR must ensure the alternatives analysis for this project considers this and similar targeted hot - spots, such as another superstreet facility in addition to those planned for Indian Trail, or eliminating some of the dense signalized crossings throughout the existing facility, to address particular hot - spots. NCDOT has dismissed these targeted, small -scale alternatives out of hand because, it claims, they fail to meet the project's arbitrary purpose and need. 148 Yet this assessment is based entirely on outdated, inaccurate traffic forecasts.149 For example, in an October 2012 141 See id. 14z FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 10 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 147 DSFEIS at 1 -13. 144 Id. 145 Id. 146 SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 26 -27. 147 See FSFEIS at A2 -259. 148 See FSFEIS at A2 -260; see also FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 149 Id. at 2 -9; Memorandum from Bradley Reynolds, HNTB, to Christy Shumate, NCDOT, STIP R- 3329IR -2559 Monroe Connector /Bypass (Oct. 18, 2012), available at http: / /www nedot. ov /projects /monrocconnector /dowli load /MemotafileStanteeU.S. 74CorridorStudy 10 1 812.pdf. [hereinafter "Stantec Memo "]. 22 memorandum evaluating the Stantec Study, NCDOT staff dismissed the traffic improvements suggested in the Stantec Study as failing to provide any long -term benefit because the road would be "overwhelmed by projected traffic in the corridor," relying explicitly on a comparison with old traffic forecasts performed for the original NEPA analysis, now shown to be significantly outdated. 150 To ensure a proper examination of this practical alternative, NCDWR must require NCDOT to take a fresh look at the ability of a suite of such improvements based on valid updated traffic forecasts, and taking into account the success of the improvements that have been implemented to date. b. U.S. 74 Revitalization Study NCDOT's re- analysis of practical alternatives must also consider those improvements suggested in the U.S. 74 Revitalization Study. Since publication of the original EIS, four local government entities representing communities along U.S. 74 in the Study Area have begun their own investigation into improving existing U.S. 74 by funding the U.S. 74 Revitalization Study.151 The Study is a coordinated effort on the part of Union County, the Town of Stallings, the Town of Indian Trail, the City of Monroe, MUMPO and NCDOT.1 r 2 It was intended to develop a coordinated land -use, urban design, economic development, and multi -modal transportation plan, to be implemented by the local governments and NCDOT. 153 For example, Union County has incorporated the final plan into its recent growth management planning effort. 1-14 Though NCDOT correctly notes that it was not the purpose of the U.S. 74 study to develop alternatives to the Bypass, 155 the final plan catalogues a series of feasible upgrades to improve traffic flow along U.S. 74 in the Bypass Study Area that NCDOT should have evaluated as part of a suite of improvements to the existing facility.' 56 For example, one specific alternative recommendation included in the U.S. 74 Revitalization Study (as well as in Dr. Hartgen's 2013 report) is the development of frontage roads along portions of U.S. 74. A frontage road, also known as a local access or service road, is a local road that runs parallel to a higher - speed, limited - access road, and is intended to maintain access to business or other locations along the Corridor. As Dr. Hartgen has illustrated, NCDOT has failed to consider frontage roads, or even partial frontage roads, as part of a suite of improvements along U.S. 74.157 He notes that the alternatives analysis should rightly include evaluation of such options that may take a minimal, or minor, number of existing properties lso Stantec Memo, at 3. 15' See U.S. 74 Revitalization Plan, Attachment 2. 152 Id. 153 Id 154 See, e.g., Adam Bell, Union Counly adopts growth management plans (Oct. 24, 2014), CHARLOTTE OBSERVER, available at htt : / /www.charlotteobserver.com /2014 /10124 /5264728 /union -coup -ado ts- rowth- management.html #.VGzJM nF93B, Attachment 5. "" DSFEIS at Al -84; FSFEIS at A2 -261. 156 U.S. 74 Revitalization Plan, Attachment 2; see also HNTB, Union County Commissioners Progress Briefing (May 7, 2013), Attachment 31 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 157 Hartgen Report 2013, at 8, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 23 along existing U.S. 74.158 Such consideration would be logical, given the vast number of properties that would be taken by the Bypass. NCDOT has implemented similar upgrades on current alignment along U.S. 74 in the adjacent Mecklenburg County, yet did not consider them as an alternative, or as part of a suite of alternatives, for this project. For example, as part of a suite of improvements to Independence Boulevard (U.S. 74 in Mecklenburg County), NCDOT intends to convert a portion of Independence Boulevard to an expressway. 159 Its plan involves several particular improvements functioning together to improve traffic flow. NCDOT's plan would remove existing traffic signals at Sharon Amity Road and Idlewild Road, 160 and would widen the existing six -lane roadway to include four general purpose lanes and one bus lane in each direction. 161 The agency will also build bridges, or grade separations, at interchanges with Sharon Amity Road, Idlewild Road, and Conference Drive.162 Yet NCDOT has offered no explanation as to why such alternatives were possible (and in fact preferable) along one stretch of U.S. 74, but were given scant attention as an alternative for improving the stretch of U.S. 74 at issue here, just one county over. Development of a Parallel Road Network NCDOT must also evaluate, as part of a suite of improvements, options to strengthen the parallel road network. For example, improvements to other Union County roads could provide local drivers with alternative routes and thereby lessen local traffic congestion on U.S. 74. In conjunction with other targeted improvements to U.S. 74 itself, such upgrades could leave U.S. 74 to serve as a high -speed corridor while still maintaining access to existing businesses. On several occasions, we have detailed to NCDOT specific suggestions of such improvements. 163 NCDOT has regularly dismissed each individual improvement as insufficient to address the project's stated purpose and need. 164 We raised the consideration of improvements to Old Monroe Road and Old Charlotte Highway in our November 2012 comment letter, 165 but received the response, without analysis, that such improvements were found not to meet the project purpose and need. 166 This response fails to recognize that a parallel road network, in combination with other specific improvements, could serve to meet the project's purpose and need. Rankin v. Coleman, 394 F. Supp. 647, 657 -59 (E.D.N.C. 1975). 15s Id. 119 NCDOT, U.S. 74 Widening & Improvements, available at http : / /www.ncdot.aov /proiects /U.S. 74Wideninglmprovements /, Attachment 32 to SELL Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; see also, CRTPO, Independence Blvd. Widening (Sharon Amity to Conference Drive), available at littl)://www.crtpo,or.giindepeiideiice-blvd-widening- sha ron-ann i - conference- drive, Attachment 33 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 160 NCDOT will begin setting barrier halls on Independence Boulevard in Mecklenburg County (June 12, 2013), available at https: Happs. ncdot. gov /newsreleases /details.asi)x ?r =8383, Attachment 34 to SELL Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 161 Id. 162 Id. 163 See, e.g., SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 30 -32. 164 See, e.g., FSFEIS at A2 -263. 161 See SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments, at 35 -36. 166 DSFEIS at A 1 -83; FSFEIS at A2 -263. 24 NCDOT has stated it need not evaluate such a suite of improvements because "SELC failed] to provide any analysis to support their assertion that a combination of a parallel road network, working together with targeted improvements, could serve to meet the project's purpose and need . "167 This statement demonstrates NCDOT's fundamental misunderstanding of its duties under NEPA to evaluate alternatives and further underscores its failure to consider fully all practical project alternatives. NCDWR must require NCDOT to evaluate such practical alternatives before it may grant a CIean Water Certification. For example, such an evaluation must include options to improve Old Monroe Road, which runs parallel to U.S. 74 along its southwestern side, crossing the entire length of the City of Monroe, thus offering the opportunity to address one of the greatest congestion hot -spots along U.S. 74.168 Such improvements would provide local traffic with a neighboring alternative to some of the most congested portions of existing U.S. 74, allowing local travelers the option to move more easily through Monroe's core business district without relying on U.S. 74. Similar results may be realized through the Monroe Road Loop, which is now likely to be funded. Suggested improvements to Secrest Shortcut could also address congestion hot -spots on existing U.S. 74.169 Another parallel road that could greatly alleviate a congestion hot -spot is the Monroe Road Loop. The project would be a new road to continue the recently completed Martin Luther King Boulevard from Secrest Short Cut Road near Monroe Mall to Walkup Road at the east end of Monroe. This project is already included on the 2440 MTP Candidate Projects List. 170 Much smaller and less expensive than the Monroe Bypass, this "mini- bypass" would create additional access in the most congested part of the Corridor, helping to alleviate one of the biggest congestion hot - spots. These suggested improvements can be seen in Figure 1, below. Other potential improvements to the parallel road network are detailed in the U.S. 74 Revitalization Study. 171 167 FSFEIS at A2 -263. 'G8 For more detail, see Business leaders, NCDOT discuss Monroe Bypass, UNION COUNTY WEEKLY (Feb. 8, 2013), Attachment 35 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Indian Trail, Stallings, NCDOT working on Old Monroe plans, UNION COUNTY WEEKLY (Nov. 30, 2012), Attachment 36 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Widening coming for Old Monroe Road ?, UNION COUNTY WEEKLY (Aug. 24, 2013), Attachment 37 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Heather Smith, Charrette weighs plans for Old Monroe Road, THE ENQUIRER JOURNAL (Aug. 31, 2013), Attachment 38 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; NCDOT, Notice of Multi-Day Design Charrette for E. John Street /Old Monroe Road (State Road 1009) Improvements Through Matthews, Stallings, and Indian Trail, Attachment 39 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 69 See SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 30 -32. "0 CRTPO 2040 MTP Candidate Projects (Aug. 21, 2913), available at http://www,crtpo.org/PDFs/LRTP/2040/2040 MTP Candidate Projects List. pd Attachment 40 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. "' U.S. 74 Revitalization Plan, at 63 -71, Attachment 2. 25 LEURD US-74 Traffic Volumes' 1 • 1, Y5 Ti Avna7r Spretl ln`Onf �� � _� � - -I Atonroc COnnrltm,B1'Mnerehrzm Axwcalnr f \ 1 1 l{ � runarE SUArsh. etlmr<rhaage Sumird Pa +Nkl Apad P,aJrrt a �� L'nwnHkll,C,�n Ldi11.1115M,rtt $hurl cut RJ `. \\ 'JraNU Ydume darn shown on ll RallRm reLle} -/ {` ♦ I I l NIheLS7n Cw,bM t— t, A Yi An KptteGe12 011 I �5,.�1 .4 s".,u �` 1 r�u�j slotw. va.nxatgwplgnnrmomaerq,+neaarr Qp n1 ,4VS74Cp d dwT,.TVMt, N,maT02417.pdT JS } \ r �. ;` ,� �• �- 4 Laatlun � l ` �` � • 4 1 I z - sc.. e 't151nn}Nrn '• I t I w Figure 1. Examples of projects to develop a parallel road network, such as along Old Charlotte Hwy /Old Monroe Rd (in red), Secrest Short Cut Rd (in green), and the Monroe Rd Loop (in blue), which could make significant strides towards targeting congestion hot -spots on U.S. 74. d. Expanded Transit As recommended in our comments on the NEPA analysis and in the U.S. 74 Revitalization Study, NCDWR must require NCDOT to consider transit options in the Corridor as part of a comprehensive solution to address the project's purpose and need. The transportation agencies eliminated this solution from further study in the First Qualitative Screening, citing its inability to "noticeably improve mobility and capacity in the project study area as well as a finding that it would not divert enough vehicular traffic . "172 Such a response ignores the viability of increased transit as one part of a comprehensive solution. Similarly, NCDOT's dismissal of the Revitalization Study ignores the fact, however the study's purpose was defined, it reached a well - supported conclusion that increased transit may be a viable option to address transportation concerns in the U.S. 74 Corridor.' 73 While Union County transit ridership may currently be slightly lower than other surrounding areas, it has been increasing. 174 In fact, the transportation experts who compiled the U.S. 74 Revitalization Study found that demand for increased transit services will continue to 172 See id. at 2 -8, AI -84; NCTA, Draft Alternatives Development and Analysis Report (Nov. 5, 2007), at 1- 9 -1 -11, available at http://wwwncdot.gov/proaects/monrocconiiector/download/monroe archives A1tsDevR tAllScreenin s110607. df. 173 U.S. 74 Revitalization Plan, at 3, Attachment 2. 174 Id. at 16. 26 grow in Union County as it continues to develop, and CATS representatives interviewed as part of the study stated they believed more commuters could be persuaded to use transit if there were "a robust transit system [] created in collaboration with other jurisdictions in Union County, Mecklenburg County, Town of Matthews, City of Charlotte, and CATS. "17s NCDWR must encourage NCDOT to evaluate the role it can play in supporting and expanding transit use in the U.S. 74 Corridor. As we have noted to NCDOT, the agency has done well to promote transportation alternatives in conjunction with the Fortify project in the Raleigh area.' 76 NCDOT dismisses these activities as a "temporary initiative, "1 7 but has never addressed why such efforts would not function as part of a comprehensive package of improvements to the U.S. 74 Corridor. NCDOT must also evaluate increased rail freight options that could help alleviate some of the truck traffic from U.S. 74. Again, while NCDOT has considered freight rail individually, it has never evaluated freight rail projects as part of a suite of Corridor improvements.17' While we agree that freight rail alone will not solve transportation problems in the U.S. 74 Corridor, NCDOT has still failed to provide any analysis of how expanded freight rail, in combination with other alternatives, could form an important part of the solution. Transportation Demand Management NCDOT's NEPA analysis also reveals that it did not conduct a sufficient study of Transportation Demand Management ( "TDM ") options that might work in conjunction with other alternatives by reducing demand for the road infrastructure. Dr. Hartgen's study suggests options such as staggered or flexible works schedules could be effective in the Study Area as part of a suite of alternatives, 179 yet discussion of such options is conspicuously absent from the alternatives analysis. Yet as we have noted in our comments on the NEPA analysis, NCDOT has spent significant resources promoting the values of staggered or flexible work schedules to employers within the Raleigh area as part of its recent "Fortify" effort, indicating that they understand these TDM options can have significant impacts on peak traffic - demand 175 Id. at 78. 176 See SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 33; see also NCDOT, Forte Frequently Asked Questions, available at http: / /ncdot.gov /fortifvnc/ resources /docs /Forti , FA .pdf , Attachment 41 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Dawn Kurry, Free bus may be faster than Fortify traffic freeze, TRIANGLE BUSINESS JOURNAL, Attachment 42 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; NCDOT, Fortify: Transit Options, available at http://ncdot.gov/fortifync/transit- o tp ions /, Attachment 43 to SFLC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; NCDOT, Fortes Powerpoint Presentation, available at htt : / /ncdot. ov /ford ne/ resources / docs /NCDOTPowerPointFORTIFYl 182013. t, Attachment 44 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; NCDOT, Fort: Driver Information, available at http:/ /ncdot.gov /fortifync /driver - info/, Attachment 45 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Dawn Curry, Massive 1- 401440 rebuild means Raleigh must 'Fortify' through 2016, TRIANGLE BUSINESS JOURNAL (Oct. 28, 2013), Attachment 46 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Bruce Siceloff, Road Worrier: NCDOT says not to worry about 3 years of Beldine misery — be happy!, NEWS & OBSERVER (Oct. 28, 2013), Attachment 47 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 177 FSFEIS at A2 -265. "'See, e.g., FSFEIS at A2-266-67; FEIS (2010), Appendix B, at B-3-34—B-3-35. 179 Hartgen Report 2013, at 11, Attachment I to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 27 management, 180 Accordingly, NCDWR must require NCDOT devote the same consideration of these options in regard to this project before issuing a Water Quality Certification. f. Reduced Interchanges NCDOT should also fully evaluate alternative designs for the proposed toll road. The current design includes nine separate interchanges, though NCDOT has not articulated why so many interchanges are needed if the purpose of the road is to provide a high -speed facility through undeveloped land from I -485 to Marshville. Each of the 25 variations on a new- location highway considered as preliminary study alternatives in the Third Quantitative Screening involved between seven and 10 interchanges.' 81 NCDOT has asserted that the interchanges are necessary to serve projected traffic demand in the target year, as well as to support the toll revenue bonds required to finance the project. 182 And yet, because NCDOT is ignorant of the traffic patterns in the Corridor, and the extent to which traffic is local, there is nothing in the NEPA analysis or permit application to point to the elimination of interchanges undercutting the project's purpose and need. As with other alternatives, NCDOT has improperly dismissed this alternative out of hand because of its reliance on faulty traffic forecasts. Thus, NCDWR must require NCDOT to perform a full evaluation of alternative toll road designs that may have less harmful environmental impacts before it can properly make its determination regarding practical alternatives. D. NCDOT Has Not Adequately Compared the Financial Practicability of Various Project Alternatives Additionally, NCDWR's comparison of practical alternatives must also consider project cost. As we have detailed in our comments to NCDOT, other practical project alternatives would be significantly most cost effective than construction of the Bypass, and in fact it the Bypass's financial picture now appears quite unstable. In light of North Carolina's substantial shortfall in transportation funding — most recent figures show approximately $70 billion in transportation needs and just over $12 billion in available funding for the next decade18, — it is increasingly clear that available funding must be prioritized for only the most meritorious projects. NCDOT has stated that Bypass construction will cost approximately $838 million, only a fraction of which will be covered by revenues generated from tolling. The remainder of the cost will be borne by an annual appropriation, saddling taxpayers with debt for the next several decades. Though NCDOT has not analyzed the cost of a package of targeted Corridor "' NCDOT, Fort: Employer Resources, Attachment 52 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; NCDOT, Fort Powerpoint Presentation, available at http://iicdot.gov/fortifync/ resources /docs/NCDOTPowerPointFORTIFYI 182013. t, Attachment 44 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Bruce Siceloff, Road Worrier: NCDOT says not to worry about 3 years of Beltline miswy — be happy!, Nsws & OBSERVER (Oct. 28, 2013), Attachment 47 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 18' DEIS (2009) at 2 -26. 182 DSFEIS at A 1 -85. 'S3 Calvin Leggett, NCDOT, Projected Revenues and STIP Budget 2016 -2025, presentation to the North Carolina Board of Transportation Funding & Appropriations Strategies Committee (June 4, 2014), Attachment 1 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. 28 improvements, as described above, this alternative is likely to be significantly less expansive that construction of the new - location Bypass. For example, the full menu of improvements recommended in the Stantec Study was estimated to cost approximately $15 million, 184 a substantial departure from the Bypass's large price tag. And in fact, taxpayers may be burdened with even higher debt if the Bypass does not live up to expectations. As outlined in our comments on the NEPA analysis, the 2010 Traffic & Revenue study supporting the project's financial plan behind the project is deeply flawed and significantly outdated. 185 Several of the key assumptions behind this study are no longer valid. The study asserted to analyze the potential future growth in the Study Area, future traffic patterns and the willingness of future travelers to pay the toll to use the road. The study relied on 2010 operating speeds and traffic projections in the U.S. 74 Corridor, which as detailed above, are significantly different from current projections.' 86 Moreover, the Traffic and Revenue Study was based on a number of findings that were questionable in 2010 and are even more so today. In addition, the report acknowledged that it relied on a series of assumptions and explained that if any of those assumptions changed the report and its findings would no longer be valid. For example, one fundamental assumption in the Traffic and Revenue Study is that there will be no "additional capacity" added or improvements made to competing roadways such as U.S. 74.187 Yet as detailed above, a number of improvements have been made on U.S. 74 since 2010, and traffic flow has improved substantially. And more improvements are planned, as outlined above. The change in these travel time savings has serious implications for the project's revenue projections, as drivers are less likely to pay as high a toll for less of a travel time benefit. The Traffic and Revenue Study also requires traffic volumes to continue to grow, 188 yet as demonstrated, traffic levels along U.S. 74 have essentially been stable in the past decade, with some periods of decline. Likewise, the study relied on high estimates of future economic growth now shown to be unlikely.189 Another issue complicating continued reliance on the study is that it is based on the assumption that the Bypass will open to traffic in 2015, a scenario which is now impossible.190 Additionally, the study assumes that gas will remain at $3 a gallon in 2010 dollars, another assumption that has not held true.191 In light of North Carolina's significant transportation funding shortfall, it is simply not in the public interest to construct such a large, expensive project, particularly in light of dubious financial data. Moreover, the transportation agencies also appear to currently be in the process of negotiating an escalation price with the project contractor, indicating the project cost is likely to increase significantly. Further, NCDOT's actions appear to overlook the continued viability of the contractor's bid. We note too that the local member of the contractor joint venture, Boggs ... Stantec, US 74 Corridor Study (July, 2007), Attachment 5a. 1S5 See details at SELL Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 55 -60. 186 Traffic and Revenue Study 2010, at 4 -9, Attachment 84 to SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments. a' Id. at 6 -4. 1S. Id. at 6 -5. 1 a9 Id. i90 Id. at 6 -4. i9i Id. at 6 -5. 09 Paving, and several of its top employees have all recently plead guilty in a major federal fraud scheme involving the Bypass. 192 Styx Cuthbertson Trucking, Inc., a named co- conspirator who recently pled guilty as well, was originally included as a subcontractor on the Monroe Bypass bid.1 ' Thus far NCDOT has refused to rebid the contract, and has offered no statement as to how the guilty pleas by the project contractor's local arm may affect the'project Cost .194 As such, the cost of the Bypass is sure to continue to escalate, perhaps to the point that the project is not, in fact, practical. NCDWR must require NCDOT to evaluate the practicability of other, less costly alternatives in light of this information. H. NCDWR Cannot Issue a Water Quality Certification Because NCDOT Has Failed to Demonstrate that the Monroe Bypass Will Not Substantially Impair Downstream Water Qualify North Carolina law does not permit NCDWR to issue a § 401 certification for an activity which results in "cumulative impacts, based upon past or reasonably anticipated future impacts, that cause or will cause a violation of downstream water quality standards." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506(b)(4), 21-1.0506(c)(4). Upon consideration of this factor, NCDWR must deny NCDOT's permit application. First, the agency based its analysis of indirect and cumulative impacts on a flawed process which has incorrectly minimized the impacts to downstream water 192 US v. Boggs Paving, Inc., Bill of indictment, No. 3:13CR204_MOC -DSC (W.D.N.C. Jul. 25, 2013), Attachment 6; Boggs Paving official pleads guilty to federal charges (Jul. 22, 2014), ENQUIRER JOURNAL, available at http: / /www.enquirerlournal.com /news /x 143264263Boggs- Paving - official - pleads- guiliy-to- federal - charges, Attachment 7; U.S. Attorney, Former Chief Financial Officer for Boggs Paving, Inc. Pleads Guilty in Connection with $ &7 Million Fraud Scheme Involving Government - Funded Construction Projects (Jul. 22, 2014), available at http: / /www fbi.gov/ charlotte /press - releases /2014 /former- chief - financial- officer - for - boggs- paving -ine.- pleads- Puilty- in- connection- with,87 -mil lion - fraud - scheme- involvine- Rovernment- funded- construction- projects, Attachment 8; Blake Hanson, Boggs Paving vice president pleads guilty to frazid (Jul. 24, 2014), WSOCTV, available at http: / /www.wsoctv.com /news /news /local /bogp,s -pavin -vg ice- president- pleads - guilty - fraud /ngmyf /, Attachment 9; Kathryn Burcham, Paving company facing federal fraud charges recently awarded multimillion - dollar contract (Jul. 26, 2014), WSOCTV, available at http://www.wsoctv.com/news/news/locat/ avin -cons an -facin - federal - fraud- charees- recent/nY5K4 /, Attachment 10; Elizabeth DePompei, Fourth paving company executive pleads guilty in federal frazid case (Aug. 5, 2014), CHARLOTTE OBSERVER, available at http: / /www.charlotteobserver .com /20I4/08/04/5086366/fotirth- paving - company- executive htnil #.0 3w1U1.OWHt, Attachment 11; Kathryn Burcham, 5 indicted in alleged scheme to defraud the government in paving contracts (Aug. 20, 2014), WSOCTV, available at http: / /www.wsogtv.com /news /news /local /5- indicted - alleged - scheme- defraud- government- pavin /nZTZx/, Attachment 12; Michael Gordon, `Drew' Boggs, paving company CFO, to plead guilty Thursday (Aug. 26, 2014), CHARLOTTE OBSERVER, available at htt :// www .charlotteobserver.com /2014/08 /2615131242 /drew -bo s avin - ceo -to- lead html #.0 3WT01 OVA , Attachment 13; When Boss Hog and the Good Old Boys Decide to Hoodwink Uncle Sam on Road Contracts... (Aug. 27, 2014), CHESAPEAKE TODAY, available at http:/ /www. the- chesapeake. com / 2014 /07/23 /boss- liog_good- old -boys- decide - hoodwink - uncle -sam -road- contracts /, Attachment 14; Michael Gordon and Steve Harrison, Boggs Paving CEO pleads guilty in minority contractor fraud (Aug. 28, 2014), CHARLOTTE OBSERVER, available at htt : / /www.charlotteobserver .corn /2014/08/28 /5134655 /bo s- avin -ceo leads- uiIt .htin19.VADmwOIOUnU, Attachment 15; Heather Smith, Drew Boggs pleads guilty to two felonies (Aug. 28, 2014), ENQUIRER JOURNAL, available at http: / /www.enauireriournal.com /news /local /x1788471605 /Drew- Boggs - pleads - Guilty -to- two - felonies, Attachment 16. 193 Id.; see also excerpt from Monroe Bypass contract, Attachment 253 to SELL Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 194 See, e.g., Steve Harrison, NC DOT chair won't discuss Boggs Paving contract (Oct. 7, 2014), CHARLOTTE OBSERVER, available at http: / /www.charlotteobserver .com /2014/10/07 /5226728/no- dot - chair - wont- discuss- bogas html #.VDUyn010wnU, Attachment 17. IN quality. Second, NCDOT failed to account for those impacts to downstream water quality that do, nonetheless, appear in its flawed analysis. A. NCDOT's Flawed Indirect and Cumulative Impacts Analysis Minimized the Project's Impacts to Downstream Water Quality 1. Flawed "No- Build" Scenario Elsewhere herein we have demonstrated that NCDOT's growth projections, based on disproven traffic forecasts and outdated socio - economic data for the Study Area, are wildly inflated to justify the avowed purpose and need for the new Bypass. Now we turn to similar deficiencies in the "No- Build" scenario NCDOT constructed to support its analysis of indirect and cumulative impacts ( "ICE "). In its May 3, 2012 ruling rejecting NCDOT's NEPA analysis, the United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit explained that NCDOT had misled the public with regard to key assumptions underlying the analysis of ICE. N.C. Wildlife Fed'n v. NCDOT, 677 F.3d 596, 604 (4th Cir. 2012). In response, NCDOT has now laid out in detail the true nature of those assumptions. By laying bare the full process, NCDOT has revealed that its ICE analysis is in fact nonsensical. The analysis, which purportedly considered the impact of transportation infrastructure on growth and development, was in fact based on data that completely ignored the impact of transportation infrastructure. As explained below, transportation infrastructure affects growth. If traffic congestion in an area increases, it attracts fewer new residents and new businesses, and growth slows. Thus it is just as important to know how the Study Area would grow without the new road (the "No- Build" scenario) as it is to determine how much it will grow with the road. By focusing only on the adequacy of the `Build" scenario, NCDOT completely neglected a key component of the analysis. In the NEPA analysis, NCDOT spent considerable time explaining that while the data used to create a "No- Build" scenario assumed that the Bypass had been built, that assumption was not important because transportation infrastructure essentially had almost no impact on the forecasts of future growth used in the ICE analysis. For example, the DSFEIS goes to great lengths to explain how transportation infrastructure was not factored in at each step of the analysis. The document explains that Dr. Hammer's "top down" projections were not sensitive to factors such as "large scale transportation projects. "19 Similarly, the document explains that Paul Smith's "bottom up" allocation of growth was also barely influenced by transportation infrastructure. The one factor that might have included transportation infrastructure, "travel time to employment," was found not to have figured into the analysis to any great extent. 196 In sum, the DSFEIS reports that "the methodology used does not incorporate the full accessibility impacts of major roadway projects.s197 19' DSFEIS at E1- 59— E1 -64. `' Id. at E1- 64-- EI -69. 197 Id. at E 1 -79. 31 This failure is staggering considering that in its previous E[S for this project, NCDOT repeatedly explained how important transportation infrastructure is to influencing levels and distribution of development. In the 2009 Qualitative ICE study, for example, NCDOT explained time after time that improving travel time to major employment centers through infrastructure investments would be one of the primary factors in determining where growth would go. 198 Similarly, outside this particular NEPA analysis, NCDOT and State officials regularly recognize that infrastructure drives growth. Most recently, NCDOT staff and Governor McCrory have spent the last several months emphasizing the important role transportation plays in promoting development in their statewide efforts to roll out the Governor's 25 -Year Vision Plan.199 For example, Secretary Tata explained that "[a] key element of the governor's 25 -year vision is recognition that transportation systems can stimulate the economy by building infrastructure to attract business and create or provide access to jobs.i200 He emphasized that this is especially true of infrastructure projects that "help connect rural areas to jobs, healthcare, and education centers. "201 Governor McCrory has highlighted that he expects enhancing flow through the U.S. 74 Corridor statewide will be an important part of this effort. 202 NCDOT is also relying on the base assumption that transportation infrastructure causes growth in its recent project prioritization process; in fact, the assumption is the foundation for the model used to calculate each project's score. 203 198 See, e.g., Qualitative ICE analysis (2009) at 6 -7. 199 Jenny Callison, McCrory, Tata unveil 'Road map' for state's transportation fixture (Sept. 17, 2014), GREATER WILMINGTON BUSINESS JOURNAL, available at http:llwww. wilmingtonbiz. com /goveminent/2014 /09 /17 /mccrory tata unveil %C3 %83 %C2 %oA2 %C3 %A2 %E2 %8 0 %9A %C2 %AC %C3 %8B %C5 %93road map %C3 %83 %C2 %A2 %C3 %vA2 %oE2 %80 %9A %C2 %AC %C3 %A2 %F2 %80 %9E %C2 %A2 for state% C3% 83% C2% A2% C3% A2% E2 %80 %9A %C2 %AC %C3 %A2 %E2 %80 %9E %C2% A2s transportation future /12328, Attachment 18; Bruce Siceloff, Tata fleshes out McCrory proposal for $IB in NC transportation bonds (Sept. 20, 2014), NEWS & OBSERVER, available at http://www newsobserver,com/20 1 4/0 9/20/4 1 67449/tata- fleshes- out -mccro - ro osal html ?rh =1, Attachment 19; Steve Harrison, Gov. Pat McCrory's road plan could advance low - scaring projects (Sept. 22, 2014), CHARLOTTE OBSERVER, available at http:l/www.charlotteobserver.com/2014/09/22/5193183/gov- pat- mccrorys- road -plan- could.html #.VCWaK0I OXTt, Attachment 20; Jim E.ongworth, Governor McCrory speaks out on Triad Today (Oct. 29, 2014), YES WEEKLY, available at htt :II esweek] .comlarticle- 18976- overnor -mccro -s eaks- out -on- triad- today.html, Attachment 21; Jackie Bridges, US 74 Bypass construction 'generally on schedule' (Oct. 3, 2014), SHELBY STAR, available at http: / /www. she lbystar.com /news /local /us -74- bypass- construction - generally schedule- 1.381994, Attachment 22; Office of the Governor, Governor McCrory to Northeast NC Tomorrow to Talk Transportation, Jobs and Coast Guard (Oct. 30, 2014), available at http://www. governor, state. nc.uslnewsrooml ress- releases /201410301 overnor- mccror - northeast -nc- tomorrow -talk- transportation jobs -and, Attachment 23. 200 Bruce Siceloff, Tata fleshes out McCrory proposal for $IB in AIC transportation bonds (Sept. 20, 2014), NEWS & OBSERVER, available at http:// www. newsobserver.com /2014/09/20/4167449/tata- fleshes - out- mccrorv- proposal html ?rh=1, Attachment 19. 701 Id. 202 Jenny Callison, A1cCrory, Tata unveil 'Road map'for state's transportation fixture (Sept. 17, 2014), GREATER WILMINGTON BUSINESS JOURNAL, available at http://www.wilmingtonbiz.com/governiTient/2014/09/17/mccroa tata unveil %C3 %83 %C2 %oA2 %C3 %A2 %oE2 %8 0 %9A %C2 %AC %C3 %8B %C5 %93road ma % C3% 83% C2% vA2 %C3 %A2 %E2 %80 %9A %C2 %AC %C3 %A2 %E2 %80 %9E %C2 %A2 for state% C3% 83% C2 %A2 %C3 %A2 %E2 %80 %9A %C2 %AC %C3 %A2 %oE2 %80 %9E %C2% A2s transportation future /12328, Attachment 18. 203 NCDOT, How NCDOT uses the TREDIS to Calculate Economic Competitiveness in the Strategic 32 In its review of NCDOT's new explanation of the methodology in the NEPA documents, FHWA appeared to recognize that the failure to assess the impact of transportation infrastructure on development might be a problem for an EIS that deals with a major new highway project. FHWA noted that the new explanation may "raise the question why this model was used as the basis for analyzing the impact of a road project intended to move people over a twenty -mile distance to a job center in Charlotte . "204 NCDOT responded that, because a different methodology was used for the `Build" scenario, any concern about the "No- Build" scenario is irrelevant. This explanation missed the point. The Fourth Circuit has recognized that, to conduct an adequate assessment of environmental impacts from a proposed project, it is necessary to have both an accurate "Build" scenario and an accurate "No- Build" scenario. Only by doing so can a reviewing agency can determine the impact attributable to the project. See, e.g., Friends of Back Bay v. U.S. Army Corps ofEng'rs, 68I F.3d 581, 588 (4th Cir. 2012) (explaining the importance of accurate baseline data to impacts analysis). By focusing only on the adequacy of the "Build" scenario, NCDOT completely neglected a key component of the analysis. It is just as important to know how the Study Area would grow without the road as it is to determine how much it will grow with the road. By its own adamant admission, NCDOT's "No- Build" scenario is based on analysis that does not take into account the impact of transportation infrastructure. In other words, NCDOT's analysis assumes that growth will continue on unabated regardless of how congested the infrastructure in the county would get in the absence of improvements or construction of the Bypass. This assumption is particularly staggering in light of NCDOT's own (albeit flawed) analysis suggesting that by 2035 U.S. 74 will become so congested in the absence of the Bypass or other improvements that traffic speeds will be as low as 17 miles per hour, and travel times through the Corridor will be as high as 70 minute S.206 The idea that just as many people would want to move to Union County if it were on average a 25- minute commute to Charlotte as they would if the commute were over an hour defies simple common sense and Iong- observed growth patterns. Indeed, NCDOT's NEPA documents demonstrate just how absurd and contradictory the analysis really is. For example, to support the idea that transportation infrastructure has no impact on growth in Union County, it states that "most of the county is already highly accessible, with a well - connected roadway network and no major barriers limiting access from Union County to the major employment centers in Mecklenburg County. "207 This statement apparently ignores findings elsewhere in the EIS that, without the Bypass or other improvements to U.S. 74, traffic speeds are expected to decrease to less than 20 miles per hour and two thirds of intersections are expected to operate at Level of Service E or F.208 The very impetus for building the Bypass was the expectation that, without significant transportation investments, congestion in Prioritization Process (Mar. 15, 2013), Attachment 24. 204 FHWA, NCDOT and Atkins, Comment Chart, excel sheet, Attachment 53 to SELL Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 205 Id. 20' DEIS (2009) at 1 -18 (table 1 -5). 201 See, e.g., DSFEIS at BI -84. 208 FEIS (2010) at 1. 1.2 and 1. 1.8 (referenced by DSFEIS at 2 -13). 33 the Corridor will become a "major barrier limiting access from Union County to the major employment centers in Mecklenburg county. "209 The opinions of officials and planning staff in Union County similarly belie NCDOT's assumption that future levels of congestion would not constrain levels of growth. Local planners, interviewed as part of the most recent NEPA analysis make this clear. For example, Union County planners state that in the absence of the Bypass, growth will be extremely limited in the eastern part of the county. 210 Similarly, planners from Marshville state that congestion on U.S. 74 currently is an impediment to development .21 1 Likewise, the past president of the Union County Chamber of Commerce stated that Union County often loses development projects "just because of travel time on U.S. 74. "212 Union County's new Comprehensive Plan and Multi Modal Transportation Plan also both recognize that the shift of through- traffic to the Bypass integral to the County's expected new growth.213 If current congestion on U.S. 74 is constraining development, it seems impossible that it would not be further constrained given NCDOT's future projections. Courts have recognized the absurdity of an analysis that fails to consider the impact on infrastructure in absence of new highway investments. For example, in Highway J Citizens Group v. U.S. DOT, a federal district court rejected a State Department of Transportation's argument that development in two Wisconsin counties would continue to occur at its previous pace, regardless of whether additional infrastructure was added. 656 F. Supp. 2d 868, 887 -88 (E.D. Wis. 2009). Refusing to accept this counterintuitive and highly unlikely reasoning, the court stated, "One need not be an expert to reasonably suspect that if Highway 164 were not expanded development in the region would be constricted. Presumably, congestion on a two - lane Highway 164 would discourage development in the area, whereas expansion of the highway to four lanes would cause development to continue unabated." Id. at 878. If U.S. 74 traffic were free-flowing and expected to continue in that state, it might be reasonable for NCDOT to exclude consideration of the impact of infrastructure in its No -Build analysis. But it is not, and NCDOT itself predicts that, without additional investments, U.S. 74 will get increasingly congested to the extent that commutes into Charlotte could take well over an hour. Given these predictions it seems highly unlikely that growth would continue to occur at the same rate it has in the past, and much more likely that growth would be limited by much longer travel times to the major employment center. Certainly, NCDOT has not presented any credible evidence to suggest why such congestion would not, in fact, be relevant. zo9 DSFEIS at E1 -84. z1 ° Id. at ICE Appendix A, regarding Union County. 211 Id. at ICE Appendix A, regarding Marshville. 212 E -mail blast from Sharon Rosch6, Union County Chamber of Commerce, RE: Monroe Bypass — Let's }vork to get this project moving! (Mar. 5, 2013), Attachment 54 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 213 See, e.g., LandDesign, Union County Comprehensive Plan, at 19 (Jul. 2014), prepared for Union County, available at littp://www.co.union nc.us /Portals /O /Planninag/ plans/ UnionCountyFinalDraftReport9- 22.pdf, Attachment 25; see also Stantec, Union County Multimodal Transportation Plan (Oct. 2014) , prepared for Union County, available at littp: / /www.co. union. nc. us / Portals /O/ Planning//pl ans/ UnionCountyTransportationPlanDraftlO- 14- 14.pdf, Attachment 26. 34 Outdated Socio- Economic Forecasts NCDOT's ICE analysis is also problematic because it relies on forecasts of future socio- economic growth that have been shown to be vastly overstated. Union County is no longer the fastest growing county in the state — it grew 2.2 %214 or Iess215 between 2010 and 2012. Other forecasts of growth have accounted for this shift — the Traffic and Revenue Study adjusted its forecasts of growth downward (although not sufficiently), acknowledging that growth had slowed considerably due to the recession. 216 FHWA, taking note of these data, asked if perhaps NCDOT should also adjust the socio- economic forecasts downward in light of the recession. 217 NCDOT admitted that it "would be more accurate to so. "218 Nonetheless, NCDOT decided not to make any adjustment based on the unsupported rationale that both "No- Build" and "Build" forecasts would be affected equally. NCDOT's decision entirely overlooks the purpose of such an analysis. First, as explained above, the alternatives analysis would be significantly affected by slower rates of socio- economic growth post - recession. One of NCDOT's primary reasons for eliminating a variety of alternatives is that traffic growth is expected to be so significant that only a new - location Bypass will satisfy future needs. Second, an accurate impacts analysis is necessary to present a clear and accurate picture of what the future will look like with and without the Bypass. By continuing to use growth forecasts that all admit are overstated, NCDOT fails to present accurately the reasonable analysis of impacts that NCDWR must consider in evaluating this permit application. NCDOT's refusal to address these significant changes is made more egregious by the fact that, during the agency's NEPA review, experts were working on, and were close to finalizing, updated estimates of growth for Union County that are significantly lower than those NCDOT used in its NEPA review.219 The group of Charlotte -area planning organizations, the Charlotte Regional Alliance for Transportation ( "CRAFT "), commissioned Dr. Stephen Appold to create new updated socio- economic forecasts for the region to replace those currently employed by NCDOT. These new projections show growth occurring at a significantly lower rate than those used in the NEPA analysis. Indeed, the new projections suggest that growth previously anticipated to occur by 2030 will not occur, if at all, until 2040, a full decade later.220 NCDOT has attempted to justify its failure to use these forecasts by explaining that the forecasts had not yet been fully finalized when it was completing the NEPA analysis. 214 E -mail from Ken Gilland, Baker Corporation, to Scudder Wagg et. al., Baker Corporation (Feb. 14, 2013), RE: DRAFT USACE Presentation (Population estimates), Attachment 22 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 2'5 Dr. Hartgen calculates the growth rate as 1.7% in his report. Hartgen Report 2013 at 6, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 116 ICE Appendix K, at 29 -30. "' FHWA, NCDOT and Atkins, Comment Chart, excel sheet, at Question 60, Attachment 53 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 21$ Id at response to Question 60. "' See DSFEIS at C1 -7 (describing Dr. Appold's work as "analyzing the effects of the recession, which followed the very high growth period beforehand "). 211 Id. at A 1 -74. 35 It is absurd to use significantly incorrect forecasts knowingly just because the available and more accurate forecasts are not yet final, particularly when the accurate forecasts suggest a very different conclusion. Yet NCDOT has relied on data that are well understood to be entirely incorrect for the heart of its analysis. Even more, as NCDOT has recognized, the updated socio- economic data were finalized and available in April 2014, well before NCDOT submitted this permit application. 221 Even if NCDOT chooses to rely on inaccurate and outdated data in the NEPA analysis, NCDWR cannot issue a Clean Water Certification until NCDOT has evaluated the impacts based on the appropriate socio- economic data. 3. Location of Growth NCDOT's forecasts of future growth may also be greatly overstated because they wrongly equate growth in Union County overall with growth in the Study Area. The DSFEIS failed entirely to acknowledge that there are significant differences between the make -up of the county as a whole and the make -up of the Study Area. For example, the DSFEIS asserts that one reason the Study Area will continue to see strong growth in absence of the Bypass is that median household income is much higher than in other counties in the Charlotte area. 22 But within Union County, median income is much higher on the western edge of the county, in areas outside of the Study Area. Dr. Hartgen made note of this error in his critique, explaining that much of the growth in Union County has been in places not served by the Bypass'23 Thus, again NCDOT's impacts analysis ignores the growth that construction of the Bypass may induce in the Study Area in particular. NCDWR must require NCDOT to analyze the impacts that may be induced in the Study Area itself. 4. Redistributed growth In addition to NCDOT's flawed analysis of induced growth, the agency has also failed to examine properly how growth would be redistributed if the Bypass were constructed. NCDOT states that it employed a "conservative approach" to its growth analysis because it did not "reallocate growth" to locations further east, despite the growth to be expected due to increased accessibility occasioned by the Bypass . 224 While this may be a conservative approach overall, and is certainly conservative in terms of the Goose Creek watershed, the approach likely vastly underestimates impacts in the Study Area. Although there is some discussion of this likely phenomenon in the ICE analysis,225 it is incomplete. The ICE analysis looks at how growth may be redistributed based on increased levels of accessibility. A map shows that, because of improved accessibility provided by the Bypass, growth is expected to shift to the east, towards Wingate and Marshville.226 The travel - time savings used for this accessibility analysis, however, range from 0 to10 minutes. While this 221 FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELL Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 8 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 222 Id. at C1 -31. 223 Hartgen Report 2013, at lb, Attachment 1 to SELC Jan. b, 2014 Comments. 224 DSFEIS at EI -7. 22s DSFEIS at C2 -203. "' DSFFIS at C2 -244 (Map 14). 36 may be in line with what NCDOT expects to see at opening year, other data in the NEPA analysis suggest that travel time savings would be significantly higher by 2035. No explanation is given as to why these greater travel time savings are not used to analyze the redistribution of growth. Other than this exceedingly rough analysis, NCDOT has presented no description of what redistributed growth might look like, and how communities that were previously seeing strong growth rates may feel the impact of the Bypass. For example, there is no consideration given to how Stallin s or Indian Trail may be affected as land in Marshville and Wingate becomes more desirable. 22f A previous draft of the DSFEIS included a reference to growth migrating away from Downtown Monroe. 228 Though NCDOT deleted this projection from the final draft of the DSFEIS after the Conservation Groups brought attention to it in public meetings,229 the NCDWR must require NCDOT to analyze this expected change in growth patterns fully and publicly. Growth shifting east, and away from current population centers and downtowns, will necessarily result in more impervious surfaces in what were formerly less - developed areas. Both the Environmental Protection Agency and the North Carolina Division of Water Resources have made clear that a detailed analysis of redistributed growth is important for fully disclosing environmental effects such as impacts to water quality and endangered species.230 Without an accurate analysis of the development likely to result from the Bypass, there can be no thorough analysis of the increase in impervious surfaces and associated impacts to water quality. Accordingly, NCDWR must require NCDOT to clearly and transparently examine and explain these impacts before it can evaluate the permit application. 5. Conflicting Growth Projections As detailed in our various comments to NCDOT on the NEPA analysis, outside of the NEPA process local stakeholders and state -level officials have widely claimed that the Bypass will drive dramatic new economic development in Union County and across the state. 231 NCDOT is regularly confronted with the fact that knowledgeable stakeholders throughout Union County and the state strongly believe that constructing the Monroe Bypass will result in dramatic economic development, yet it has failed to adjust the assumptions underlying its analysis or otherwise to reconcile publicly the disparity between this widespread understanding of the Bypass's likely impacts with its own projections of negligible growth. Worse, NCDOT itself regularly espouses contradictory positions. 2u DSFEiS at E1 -87. 228 Compare NCDOT, Appendix A - Comments Since the Final EIS, Draft (June 2013), at 3, Attachment 55 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, with DSFFTS at Appendix A. 229 See, e.g., SELC, Presentation to Unionville and Fairview Town Councils (Oct. 1, 2013), at slide 18, Attachment 56 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 230 E -mail from Chris Militscher, EPA, to Christy Shumate, NCDOT, RE: Monroe ConnectorBypass (R- 3329/R- 2559) Update and Documentation (Feb. 28, 2013), Attachment 57 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; DSFEIS at C1- 95 (Memo from Alan Johnson, DWQ). 231 See, e.g., SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 41 -47. 37 a. Local voices This understanding of the Monroe Bypass continues to pervade Union County. For example, as noted above, at least eight communities and organizations -- including the MUMPO, the City of Monroe, the Union County Board of Commissioners, the Indian Trail Town Council, the Town of Stallings, the Town of Marshville, and the Town of Waxhaw — have all passed versions of a resolution supporting construction of the Bypass in part because "the Monroe Bypass will stimulate economic and commercial development . „232 In the DSFEIS, the transportation agencies continue to dismiss the extensive and detailed demonstration of local stakeholders' widespread belief presented in our November 2012 comment letter , 233 stating only that the NCDOT analysis is more correct because "numerous local planners and others were interviewed and current adopted planning documents were reviewed” and that the DSFEIS "presents data and analysis. "234 A review of this "data and analysis," however, confirms that local planners (1) have noticed a significant slowing of growth since the original EIS and (2) expect the Bypass to affect their communities. Planners from the Charlotte Mecklenburg Planning Board '235 the City of Monroe,236 the Town of StallingS,237 and Union County 238 all noted that growth projections have slowed since the original analysis of the Bypass was performed. Likewise, many local planning officials interviewed in the NEPA analysis appear to disagree with NCDOT's finding that the Bypass will have minimal impact. Planners from Fairview stated that they expect to see an impact, but are unsure what it will be. 239 Planners from Marshville stated expressly that "future growth in Marshville [is] dependent on implementation of the Bypass" and noted that congestion on U.S. 74 currently is an impediment to development.240 Those planners also maintained that the town would increase utility capacity if the Bypass is constructed. Union County planners stated that in absence of the Bypass, growth will be extremely limited in the eastern part of the county. 241 The same planners expect growth 232 See, e.g., Mecklenburg -Union Metropolitan Planning Organization, Resohrtion to Support Prompt Action for the Construction of the Monroe Bypass (Mar. 20, 2013), Attachment 13 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Union County Board of Commissioners, Resolution to Support the Development of an Alliance of Local Government and Business Leaders to Review and Promote Improvements to a South Economic Development Corridor from I -26 to Wilmington Along the Existing Highway 74 Corridor (2013), Attachment 92 to SELC Jan, 6, 2014 Comments; Town of Indian Trail, Resolution (Apr. 9, 2013), Attachment 5 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Town of Stallings, Resohrtion Opposing the Monroe Bypass Project (Mar. 24, 2014), Attachment 9 to SELC Apr. 8, 2014 Comments. Town of Marshville, Resohrtion in Support of the Marshville Town Council in Support of the Monroe Connector - Bopass & Request to Expedite Project Construction (Mar. 4, 2013), Attachment 6 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. 2 3 SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments, at 3 -I4. 234 See, e.g., DSFEIS at Al -65, Comment No. 2 & 3. 235 DSFEIS, ICE Appendix A, regarding Charlotte- Mecklenburg Planning and Development. 236 Id. ICE Appendix A, regarding City of Monroe. 237 Id ICE Appendix A, regarding Town of Stallings. 21 Id. ICE Appendix A, regarding Union County. 239 Id. ICE Appendix A, regarding Town of Fairview. 240 Id. ICE Appendix A, regarding Town of Marshville. 241 Id. ICE Appendix A. 38 to slow throughout Union County if the Bypass is not constructed . 242 Chris Plate, the Executive Director of Monroe Union County Economic Development ( "MUCED "), reported similar expectations, 243 These surveys of local planners, were simply dumped in to NCDOT's NEPA analysis with no analysis of conclusions drawn. 244 NCDOT has given no indication as to how the opinions of the planners were incorporated into the NEPA analysis, nor any explanation as to why many of the opinions of the local planners sit in direct opposition with NCDOT's own assumptions and methodologies. Outside of the NEPA process, groups with specialized knowledge about Union County's potential for economic growth have also continued to tout the Bypass as a likely driver of economic growth. For example, the recently published Union County Comprehensive Plan, the Bypass is described as "creat[ing] the potential to open up new areas for business and industrial development and significantly enhance access to Charlotte and beyond . 245 Similarly, the MUCED group mentioned above has recognized that the Bypass is key to the planned economic development efforts detailed in its 2013 -2015 workplan.24b And publicly, the MUCED has dedicated itself to continuing to support Bypass construction, recognizing the project would "bolster the county's attractiveness for logistics work. "247 The MUCED also uses the Bypass on its website to attract new business to the area. 248 Former President of the Union County Chamber of Commerce, Sharon Roschd, was also convinced that the Bypass would bring dramatic growth and development to Union County. When asked about the studies conducted by NCDOT finding the Bypass would result in negligible economic growth, Roschd "maintained that the bypass would bring new businesses and industry to Union County," explaining that "[y]ou can do all the studies in the world but the reality is that I've got towns in Union County that have purchased water opportunities and sewer and are ready to build as soon as this thing goes over.i2 s Rosche, as president of the Union County Chamber, was arguably one of the individuals most tapped into the details of county's economic potential and most knowledgeable about planned growth. She called the project "vital" to Union County, 250 and noted that the region is experiencing growth in anticipation of 242 Id. ICE Appendix A. 243 Id. ICE Appendix A, regarding MUCED. 244 Id. ICE Appendix A. 245 Land Design, Union County Comprehensive Plan, at 11 (Jul. 2014), prepared for Union County, available at htto: / /www.co.union nc.us/ Portal s /0 /Planning/ plans/ UnionCountyp 'inalDrafiRet)ort9- 22.pdf Attachment 25. 246 Monroe -Union County Economic Development, Work Plan 2013 -15 (Jul. 2013), Attachment 58 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 247 Adam Bell, Monroe -Union County Economic Development ready far action, ROCK HILL HERALD ONLINE (Aug. 8, 2013), Attachment 59 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, 248 Monroe Union County Economic Development, Highway Access (2013), Attachment 60 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 149 Heather Smith, Chamber resolution draws fire from Bypass opponent, THE ENQUIRER JOURNAL (Mar. 6, 2013), Attachment 61 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 2"' Adam Bell, Despite handles, Union County Chamber pushes bypass plan, CHARLOTTE OBSERVER (Apr. 16, 2013), Attachment 62 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Adam Bell, Chamber sticks by bypass plan, CHARLOTTE OBSERVER (Apr. 17, 2013), Attachment 63 to SELC Jan, 6, 2014 Comments. 39 the Bypass, stating that developers have purchased land along the bypass footprint, specifically in anticipation of a higher demand.251 Indeed, Union County has begun planning for infrastructure to support the growth occasioned by the Bypass. 2S2 For example, Union County's Comprehensive Water and Wastewater Master Plan, recognizing the Bypass as a "growth driver" and a "[d]evelopment initiative," details plans to extend water and sewer service to the areas at the By ass's proposed interchanges as well as residential development along the major feeder routes.25 The Plan projects that "[a]s a result of the development anticipated with the Monroe Bypass service area and in general on the eastside, the projected County wastewater flows going to the Monroe [wastewater treatment plant] will double over the planning period. ,254 In recognition of this expanded infrastructure need, the FY 2014 -2019 Union County Capital Improvement Program allocates over $1 million to increase wastewater capacity specifically to address "the need for an additional 3.0 MGD of capacity from the City of Monroe as a result of the Development anticipated with the Monroe Bypass. "255 The plan also allocates over $5 million to expand sewer services in the Lake Twitty Sewershed, justified by "the need for providing a new Sewer Service area for new Commercial development expected in the immediate vicinity of the Monroe Bypass. "256 Yet these significant recognitions of impending growth and associated pressure on water resources are not addressed in the NEPA analysis or permit application.2s7 Elsewhere in the study area, local elected officials also see the Bypass as a driver of growth in Union County, and not just in the eastern part of the county. For example, Indian Trail Mayor Michael Alvarez has stated that constructing the road will "promote business development in Indian Trail and throughout the county .,,258 And the new Indian Trail comprehensive plan estimates that Indian Trail's population will greatly increase by 2030, from 21' Heather Smith, Chamber resolution draws fire from Bypass opponent, THE ENQUIRER JOURNAL (Mar. 6, 2013), available at http://www.enquirermo.urnal.com/news/local/x]942451769/Chamber-resolution-draws-fire-froni- By pass- opponent, Attachment 61 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 252 Union County Chamber of Commerce, Union County NOW: Comprehensive Guide to our Community, at 24 (2012 - 2013), Attachment 64 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments at 54; see also http: / /www.co.union nc.us/ Portal s /O /Planning_/ plans/ UnionCountvFina ]DraftRe[)ort9- 22.pdf. 251 Black & Veatch, Comprehensive Water and Wastewater Master Plan, prepared for Union County, NC, at ES -4, ES -8, 4, 19, 3 -9, 5 -3 (Dec. 2011), Attachment 65 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, 2sa Id at ES -8, 255 Union County, Proposed FY2014 -2019 Union County Capital Improvement Program, at 35, available at http://www.co.union ne.us /Portals /O /Finance /Pro posed FY2014toFY2019UCCIP %2004032013 df, Attachment 66 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; adopted at May 6, 2013 Union County Board of Commissioners Meeting, minutes, at 54, Attachment 67 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 256 Id. at 45. 211 See FSFEIS at A2 -203 (ignoring, SELC comments on this topic). 251 Mayor Michael L. Alvarez, Indian Trail, Facebook post (Oct. 9, 2013), Attachment 68 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 40 approximately 35,000 residents to 60- 50,000 residents, in a large part due to "the changes brought by the planned Monroe Bypass. "254 In fact, Indian Trail officials so strongly believe in the Bypass's potential to drive growth in Union County that in October 2013, the Indian Trail Town Council meeting hosted presentations on the Bypass by NCDOT as well as three different pro - growth groups: MUCED, Union County Chamber of Commerce, and the Indian Trail Business Association.260 NCDOT staff sat by as Pat Kahle, the current president of the Union County Chamber of Commerce, discussed "gridlock on Highway 74" and the significant commuting times in Union County as reasons why the Chamber supported the Bypass, noting that building the Bypass can enhance business in Union County .2b1 Both Chris Plate of the MUCED and Indian Trail Business Association echoed these sentiments, focusing on the importance of the Bypass to expanding the local business community . 262 Former Indian Trail Councilwoman Darlene Luther echoed these beliefs, stating: "Everybody supports it for the development and economic vitality it brings.... And it will bring economic development. There's no way that it can't.... We're getting a bypass that can bring economic development and it doesn't cost the town a penny. "263 Though several NCDOT staff were present and presented other information about the Bypass at the meeting, none made any attempt to publicly address or explore these beliefs either at the meeting or in the NEPA analysis and permit application. 264 We appreciate that NCDOT "does not have the legal authority to control the beliefs, statements, or resolutions developed by the public, organizations, or local government. "265 Still, when called upon to address misconceptions the Department has regularly failed to do so. This is particularly problematic, as NCDOT has made a point to publicly address such misconceptions with other projects when such information would help to move its project forward . 266 b. Contradictory Positions at the State Level 259 Heather Smith, Indian Trail plans far 80,000 by 2030, ENQUIRER JOURNAL (Aug. 29, 2013), Attachment 69 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; see also Indian Trail, Draft Comprehensive Plan Update, Chapter 4: Market and Economic Analysis, Attachment 70 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Indian Trail, Draft Comprehensive Plan Update, Chapter 6: Transportation, Attachment 71 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 260 Indian Trail Town Council, Minutes of Town Council (Oct. 8, 2013), Attachment 72 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 261 Indian Trail Town Council, Minutes of Town Council (Oct. 22, 2013), Attachment 73 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; also see Payton Guion, Monroe Bypass supporters make presentation at Indian Trail meeting; opposition not invited, MECKLENBURG TIMES (Oct. 24, 2013), Attachment 74 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 262 Indian Trail Town Council, Oct. 22, 2013 Agenda (Oct. 22, 2013), Attachment 73 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 263 Monroe, Indian Trail snub bypass opponents, ENQUIRER JOURNAL (Oct. 12, 2013), Attachment 75 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 264 Indian Trail Town Council, Minutes of Town Council (Oct. 22, 2013), Attachment 73 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 265 FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 7 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 266 See, e.g., NCDOT, Correction About Personal Information and the I -77 Managed Lanes Project (Jul. 29, 2014), available at https://apps.ncdot.gov/newst,eleases/details.aspx?r=10144, Attachment 27. 41 Even more, NCDOT has also failed to reconcile its predictions of minimal growth within the NEPA process with those espoused elsewhere by both the Department of Transportation itself and other state departments and officials, over whom it certainly does have control. Most recently, NCDOT and Governor Pat McCrory developed a 25 -Year Vision plan which highlights that improving "traffic bottlenecks" and improving transportation services in North Carolina's Central Region is necessary to attract new business and residents to relocate to the area, highlighting the U.S. 74 Corridor in particular. 267 And as noted, NCDOT's new project prioritization system relies on the base assumption that transportation infrastructure causes growth . 269 The State Logistics Task Force Report is a planning document still very much in use at NCDOT, for example as part of the development of the Governor's recently announced 25 -Year Vision plan .269 This document highlights the Monroe Bypass as being "important or critical" for growth and development in Union County and beyond. In response to our raising this apparent conflict NCDOT's only response is to state in the NEPA analysis that the scale of the Logistics Task Force Report is different to that of the EIS, and that "the report provides no specific reasons or supporting data for the key nature of the Monroe Connector/ Bypass . "271 A similar response was given to the conflicting statements about the importance of the Bypass as noted in the state's recent "Seven Portals Study .,,272 This sentiment is undermined by NCDOT's continued reliance on these documents for ongoing planning efforts. Like the State Logistics Task Force Report,.the Seven Portals study was also used as part of the development of the Governor's 25 -Year Vision plan. 273 NCDOT's response to other contradictory statements has likewise been unsatisfactory. For example, in our 2012 comments to NCDOT regarding the NEPA process, we noted that while NCDOT stated in the initial EIS that the Bypass would result in minimal growth and development, it painted an entirely different picture in its application for federal TIFIA funds.z7a The TIFIA application touted the economic growth benefits of the Bypass, specifically mentioning the proposed Legacy Park. NCDOT's response to our concern about these contradictory statements was simply to state that because the project was ultimately unsuccessful 267 Gov. McCrory's 25 Year Vision For North Carolina: Mapping Our Future, at 22 (Sept. 2014), availahle at http: /lwww ncdot .eov /ncvision25 /ncvision25.pdf, Attachment 28; see also Section I1.A.1, above. 26s NCDOT, How NCDOT uses the TREDIS to Calculate Economic Competitiveness in the Strategic Prioritization Process (Mar. 15, 2013), Attachment 24. '69 See, e.g., NCDOT presentation before NC Board of Transportation, Economic Development & Intergovernmental Relations Committee, Implementing Vision for Strategic Transportation Investments: a 25 year infrastructure plan (Nov. 6 -7, 2013), at slides 8 -9, Attachment 76 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; NC Board of Transportation Economic Development & Intergovernmental Relations Committee, Minutes of Oct. 2, 2013 Meeting, Attachment 77 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; Handout from NC Board of Transportation Economic Development & Intergovermmental Relations Committee Oct. 2, 2013 Meeting, summary of recent statewide planning documents, prepared by NCDOT staff, Attachment 78 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 70 SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments, at 5. zn DSFEIS at Al -67. 171 Id at Al -67. 17' NC Board of Transportation Economic Development & Intergovernmental Relations Committee, Minutes of Dec. 4, 2013 Meeting, Attachment 79 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 271 SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments, at 14. 42 in securing transportation funding it did not matter that two opposing assessments of the growth potential were presented in the different federal documents . 275 Even while the NEPA analysis was ongoing, NCDOT persisted in publicly presenting contradictory forecasts of the growth attributable to the Bypass. As noted above, Secretary Tata has publicly touted the Bypass as necessary to bring economic development to Union County. And on numerous occasions the Chair of the Board of Transportation, Ned Curran, has explained that the Bypass is important not just in bringing economic development to Union County, but also to Anson County and several counties beyond. NCDOT's Division 10 Engineer, Louis Mitchell, has made similar claims. As such, even NCDOT does not fully agree with the impacts analysis underlying this permit application. NCDWR must require clarity on this issue, as it cannot rely on the current analysis based on such a strongly disputed assumption. B. Cumulative Impacts North Carolina law does not permit NCDWR to issue a § 401 certification for an activity which results in "cumulative impacts, based upon past or reasonably anticipated future impacts, that cause or will cause a violation of downstream water quality standards." 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506(b)(4), 2H.0506(c)(4). NCDOT's NEPA analysis included almost no discussion of cumulative impacts other than vague generalizations lumped into the ICE analysis, nor was any additional analysis included in the permit application. Below we have listed several impacts associated with the Bypass that NCDWR must require NCDOT to address before it can comply with its duty to fully evaluate the project's secondary effects to water resources. 1. HOT Lanes: 485 and U.S. 74 For example, NCDOT is currently planning a system of High Occupancy Toll ( "HOT ") lanes in the Charlotte metro region. Substantial planning has taken place for the projects and they are funded as part of CRTPO's fiscally constrained MTP, and a portion of this project is on track to be completed this December .276 The system would include sections of 1 -485, and the stretch of U.S. 741 Independence Boulevard inside the beltway. In a May 5, 2012 presentation NCDOT explained that the Independence Boulevard HOT lanes would connect with the Monroe Bypass .277 The HOT lanes on I -485 would also extend around to Independence Boulevard, completing the system. Plans have continued to develop since that time with focus groups, design, and traffic and revenue studies for the protects 278 NCDOT has stated that this project is funded for construction within the next ten years. 79 275 DSFEIS, Appendix A at Al -73; FSFEIS at A2 -282. 276 Ryan Pitkin, Netiv Lanes on 1 -485 set to open by end ofyear (Nov. 17, 2014), SOUTH CHARLOTTE WEEKLY, available at http : / /www.thecharlotteweekly.com /news /2014/1 l /new- lanes -on -i -485- set -to- open -by- end -of yearl, Attachment 29; see also Tony Burbeck, Toll lanes on Independence Boulevard? (Nov. 17, 2014), WCNC, available at htt : / /www.wcne.com/stor /news /traffc /2014 /11117 /toll- lanes- on -inde endence- boulevard /19187483/, Attachment 30. 277 Charlotte Fast Lanes Sturdy: Phase III Results Summary, Attachment 96 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 276 Presentation to MUMPO Technical Coordinating Committee, Charlotte Region Fast Lanes Study: Phase III (Feb. 7, 2013), Attachment 97 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 279 See NCDOT, P3.0 Total Scores (Sept. 24, 2014), available at littps: / /connect ncdot.eov/ projects /planning Pages /ResourcesMPO- RPO.aspx, Attachment 4. 43 While we recognize that NCDOT has analyzed the- I -485 widening to some extent, recently available data demonstrates this analysis did not encompass the entire funded project. NCDOT noted that it studied the cumulative impacts of the I -485 HOT lanes project in 2010,28° but it failed to address how these projects have evolved since that 2010 analysis. 8' For example, while NCDOT did consider the impacts of widening a 5 -mile stretch of I -485 from NC 16 (Providence Road) to U.S. 74,282 the local MPO has expanded this project through several TIP amendments in 2012.283 The new project, known in the STI ranking process as I -5507, would widen I -485 for over 16 miles to connect I -77 with U.S. 74 right before the western end of the Monroe Bypass. As such, the project will without doubt result in secondary impacts exacerbated by the construction of the Bypass. NCDOT recognizes that the I -485 project has changed significantly since it was analyzed for the purposes of this study but claims, without any study, that these modifications does not significantly change how the I -485 project may directly or indirectly affect land use in the FLUSA. "284 Yet outside the Monroe Bypass NEPA analysis, NCDOT itself has stated that it expects the 1 -485 project's impacts will be significant: Together these three components were given a "Long Term Employment" score of over 2,500 additional jobs, indicating the project is likely to result in substantial development. 285 In addition to the HOT lanes, there are several other road projects which should be included as part of a proper secondary effects analysis, as detailed above. For example, NCDOT has never evaluated whether the improved traffic flow occasioned by these projects together may increase the level of growth or traffic volumes in the Study Area. Accordingly, NCDWR must require NCDOT to provide a complete analysis of these projects' cumulative effects in order to satisfy its duty to consider all secondary effects to the aquatic ecosystem. 2. Legacy Park NCDWR must also consider the cumulative effects of the proposed Legacy Park development, a proposed 5,000 acre business park which would be directly served by the Monroe Bypass. While the size of the development has varied since SELC first raised this issue to NCDOT in 2012,286 we remain concerned that NCDOT has failed to analyze the secondary impacts that could be expected to result from this project and which would be exacerbated by construction of the Bypass. We strongly disagree with NCDOT's conclusion that the project is not reasonably foreseeable. In NEPA documents NCDOT has stated that Legacy Park is "highly speculative" and "not a reasonably foreseeable development, "287 but recently available NCDOT 280 FSFEIS at A2 -284 (citing Michael Baker Engineering, Indirect and Cumulative Effects (ICE) Quantitative Analysis (Apr. 2010), Appendix D ( "Other Federal Actions Summary ")). 281 See SELC Jun, 9, 2014 Comments, at 14 -17. 282 Michael Baker Engineering, Indirect and Cumulative ,Effects (ICE) Quantitative analysis (Apr. 2010), Appendix D ( "Other Federal Actions Summary "), at 6. z88 MUMPO, MUMPO 2012 -2018 TIP amendments (July 2013), available at littp://www.crtpo.ot,g/PDFs/TIP/2012- 201812012 -2018 TIP Amendments.pdf, Attachment 18 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. 184 FSFEIS at Section 2.2, Appendix E2; FHWA, Comment and Response Grid for SELC Letter dated June 9, 2014, at 25 (Oct. 30, 2014), Attachment 1. 285 Id. 286 See detailed discussion of this project at SELC Nov. 30, 2012 Comments. 287 See; e.g., Michael Baker Engineering, Inc., Monroe Connector /Bypass Indirect and Cumulative Effects Quantitative Analysis Update, at 61 -62 (Nov. 2013). 44 planning documents demonstrate that outside the NEPA process NCDOT has continued to plan with development of the site in mind. For example, the site continues was discussed in detail in both the Governor's Logistics Task Force and Seven Portals Study reports, which as noted were heavily relied upon by NCDOT in the recent development the Governor's 25 -Year Vision Plan. 288 NCDOT's recent NCTN planning efforts have also featured draft maps highlighting the Legacy Park site's statewide importance. 289 In the draft materials, Legacy Park.was marked as one of only a handful of "potential logistics sites" available for development statewide,290 guiding NCDOT in its decision to designate "Corridor U" (U.S. 74 W /U.S. 74 E /Future I -74) as a corridor of statewide importance as it develops the NCTN.291 In particular, Legacy Park helped contribute to Corridor U's high economic prosperity score (rated 7 out of 10) in the planning process, supporting the Corridor's rank in the draft materials as fourth highest rated Strategic Transportation Corridor ( "STC ") in the state.292 This designation is of particular importance to the Bypass's NEPA evaluation because the STC program is NCDOT's latest effort to update the Strategic Highway Corridor ( "SHC ") program, which has long served as a key aspect of the Bypass's stated purpose and need.293 Similarly, CSX has noted that the Legacy site is one of the "best" in the Charlotte region. 294 As such, NCDOT cannot simply deny that development at the site is foreseeable, nor can it assume the abbreviated scale contemplated in the NEPA analysis. 295 Instead, NCDWR must require NCDOT to analyze the cumulative impacts associated with development of the Legacy Park site reflecting the full scale of development which it and other decisionmakers statewide have envisioned and planned around. Even more, NCDOT must account for the Bypass's role in encouraging this development: As we have documented, planners and statewide officials have regularly acknowledged that development at the Legacy Park site simply cannot proceed without construction of the Bypass .296 Even if the full 5000 -acre site may no longer go ahead as previously planned, there has been recent discussion of a new smaller 200 -300 acre plan for the site.297 Regardless, NCDOT must provide a thorough analysis of the expected impacts. 288 See, e.g., SELC June 9, 2014 Comments, at 18. 289 NCDOT, North Carolina Transportation Network: Regional Meetings, at slide 24 (May 2014), Attachment 22 to SELC June 9, 2014 Comments. 290 Id. 291 Id.. at slide 28. 292 Id. 293 Id. at slide 7. 294 NCDOT, Appendix D, Response to comments (DRAFT), at 9 (Response to Comment 20), Attachment 102 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 295 See, e.g., Michael Baker Engineering, Inc., Monroe Connector /Bypass Indirect and Cumulative Effects Quantitative Analysis Update, at 63 (Nov. 2013). 296 See, e.g., SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, at 46. 297 See e -mail from Colin Mellor (NCDOT) to Scudder Wagg (Atkins), re: Response to UST WS letter comments (Aug. 23, 2013) Attachment 103 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; e -mail from Chris Plate (MUCED) to Jamal Alavi (NCDOT), re: Legacy Park (Aug. 21, 2013) Attachment 104 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 45 C. Goose Creek NCDOT's failure to consider cumulative impacts, as detailed above, has particular importance for water quality and endangered species concerns. NCDOT has also failed to fully analyze in either the NEPA analysis or the permit application the impacts associated with lifting of the moratorium restricting the Goose Creek sub -basin from the Inter -Basin Transfer ( "IBT ") between the Catawba River basin and the Rocky River basin. 298 During the environmental review process, the United States Fish and Wildlife Service ( "USFWS ") strongly objected to the "Finding of No Significant Impact" ( "FONSI ") ascribed to the lifting of the moratorium.299 In comments, USFWS noted that the Site Specific Water Quality Management Plan ( "SSWQMP ") for Goose Creek was insufficient to protect the federally endangered Carolina heelsplitter, and was therefore insufficient to support a FONSI.300 USFWS outlined suggestions of improvements to the SSWQMP that would better protect the heelsplitter. 301 ,Without those improvements, USFWS declined to endorse the installation of water lines into the Goose Creek watershed noting that it would "contribute to already degraded conditions and further compr[om]ise habitat in the Goose Creek system. "302 Despite these strong concerns by a federal agency, there is no substantive analysis in the NEPA documents of the cumulative impact of building the Monroe Bypass and the installation of new water lines with regards to water quality and endangered species. 303 While NCDOT has asserted that growth attributable to the Bypass will largely be in the eastern part of the county and thus well away from Goose Creek,304 the HOT Lane projects connect to the Bypass in Mecklenburg County, and thus more likely to encourage growth in the western part of Union County, exactly where the Carolina heelsplitter population is located. Any significant study of the combined cumulative effects of these major infrastructure investments and the installation of new water lines in the Goose Creek basin is absent from the NEPA analysis. Yet NCDWR must analyze precisely such impacts before issuing a Water Quality Certification. NCDOT also suffers from overreliance on the SSWQMP as a surefire way to protect the Carolina heelsplitter from any impacts that the Bypass may have. For example, with regard to direct impacts of construction, the DSFEIS states that impacts will be avoided due to the SSWQMP.305 As noted by USFWS, however, the SSWQMP is insufficient to protect the "' See North Carolina Environmental Management Commission, Hearing Officer's Deport (Apr. 2013), Attachment 109 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments; see also FSFEIS at A2 -287. 299 Letter from Brian P. Cole, USFWS, to Lyn Hardison, NCDENR, RE; Environment Assessment for the Addition of the Goose Creek Watershed to the Interbasin Transfer Certificate under Provisions of G.S. 143 - 215.221, Mecklenburg and Union Counties, North Carolina (Jan, 18, 2013), Attachment 110 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 300 Id 301 Id. 302 Id. 303 See FSFEIS at A2 -287. 304 DSFEIS, Appendix A, Map 14, E1 -87. 3os DSFEIS at C2 -113. 46 Carolina heelsplitter.306 Similarly, NCDOT's claim that it will "strongly discourage" its contractors from working in the Goose Creek watershed has no meaning. 307 Without an outright prohibition.in the contract NCDOT's discouragement is inadequate. Yet no such prohibition is present in the NEPA analysis, 308 nor is it contemplated in the permit application. In fact, the DSFEIS specifically anticipates that "construction, staging, storage, refueling, borrow pit or spoil areas" may be used in the Goose Creek and Sixmile Creek watersheds by the contractor. 309 As such, the NCDOT has failed to provide sufficient information upon which NCDWR can comply with its duty to consider 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506(b)(4), 2H.0506(c)(4). D. NCDOT has Not Analyzed the Impacts of the Fully Designed Project The analysis of water quality is also incomplete. As noted in the EIS, the full project has not yet actually been designed.310 Final design will be completed by the design -build team. As such, important details about bridge crossings, dredge and fill locations, run -off and stormwater management are all currently unknown. NCDOT has brushed off this failure in the NEPA analysis, stating only that it is "not unusual" for NCDOT to conduct quantitative water quality analyses on a project before that project's design is available. 311 Instead, NCDOT states that it regularly relies on what it considers to be "plausible estimates" rather than actual design plans.312 NCDOT's permit application does not address the fact that it is based entirely on such estimations rather than actual design, nor does it suggest that the project may be modified from the design presented in the application materials. NCDWR cannot issue a Water Quality Certification based on these approximations because without full project details, it will be unable to make the required finding that impacts are avoided and minimized to the greatest extent possible. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 2H.0506. We believe this segmented approach to the permitting is being performed to do an "end -run" around the requirement by North Carolina's Local Government Commission that a project have permits in place before any financing options can be pursued. This is not sufficient basis for an approach that even NCDOT itself believes may not be legal.313 We know that NCDWR has been reluctant to pursue a phased permit both for this project, and for the Garden Parkway project, noting that the approach allows NCDOT to "game the system. "314 We urge NCDWR to remain firm on this 30'5 Letter from Brian P. Cole, USFWS, to Lyn Hardison, NCDENR, Re: Environment Assessment for the Addition of the Goose Creek Watershed to the Interbasin Transfer Certificate under Provisions of G.S. 143 - 215.221, Mecklenburg and Union Counties, North Carolina (Jan. 18, 2013), Attachment 110 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments, 307 Biological Assessment for the Monroe Bypass (2013) at 68, available at http://www ncdot. ovl rolects /unonroeconnector /download /DraftMonroeBA102313. df. 301 See FSFEIS at A2 -288. 309 DSFEIS at PC -2. 310 DSFEIS at 3 -11 to 3 -12; FSFEIS at A2 -285. 31 ` FSFEIS at A2 -285 to A2 -286. 312 Id, 313 See Memorandum and e-mail from Ronald Ferrell to NCTA July 6, 2010; discussing the problems associated with a tiered approach and noting that the approach could be challenged in court, Attachments 31 & 32. 314 See e -mail from Brian Wrenn to Cyndi Karoly, June 9, 2010, Attachment 33; e-mail from Brian Wrenn to Christy Shumate, Oct. 31, 2011, Attachment 34; e -mail from Brian Wrenn to Christy Shumate (June 22, 2010), Attachment 35. 47 issue, and not pursue this illegal segmented approach to the 401 certification. NCDWR should, thus, refrain from considering the permit application until a comprehensive analysis of the entire, fully designed project has been completed. We also note that while generally future modifications are supposed to decrease environmental impacts, recent experience with a similar NCDOT - proposed toll highway, the Garden Parkway, shows otherwise. As reflected in the meeting minutes from a November 2011 meeting between NCDWQ, the United States Army Corps of Engineers ( "Corps "), and NCDOT, the impacts to streams from the Garden Parkway were greater in the permit application than they were in the NEPA document .315 Even more troubling was the fact that the Corps appears to anticipate that "future modifications" may "result in larger impacts" requiring the agencies to revisit "previous decisions /concurrence points.s316 As such, we strongly encourage NCDWR to require NCDOT to conduct quantitative water quality analyses for the proposal based on the fully designed project, rather than a mere estimation, before NCDWR can evaluate the Water Quality Certification application. III. A 4 441 Water Quality Certification Cannot Be Issued Because the Agency Failed to Provide Adequate Detail About Mitigation Before it can issue that approval, NCDWR must determine that existing uses of streams and wetlands are not removed or degraded. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02H.0506(b), (c). An essential part of that determination is whether the proposed mitigation will be sufficient to replace the unavoidable loss of existing uses. Applicants for § 401 certifications are thus required to produce detailed mitigation plans for any unavoidable impacts to surface waters. The permit application for the Monroe Bypass fails to document the intended mitigation for the project. Neither the NEPA documents nor the permit application include a mitigation plan for the project. While it is noted that mitigation credits have been purchased from EE p,317 there is no explanation as to where the mitigation is to be located or of what it will consist. Nor does NCDOT's application provide assurance that NCEEP credits are still an option for this project, as NCEEP had not yet acceded to providing mitigation at the time of this application. Rather than provide any further detail about mitigation from the NCEEP program, the permit application simply refers to a letter from NCEEP dated June 24, 20 10.3 18 NCDOT claims it has submitted a revised request to NCEEP, but had not received a revised acceptance letter at the time of the present permit application. 319 The permit assures that NCDOT will be "provided upon receipt," with no regard to ensuring information regarding the revised EEP agreement is available to the public during the comment period on the application.320 715 Meeting Minutes, Meeting between NCTA, DWQ, USACE (Nov. 22, 2011), Attachment 107 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 316 E -mail from Monte Matthews, USACE, to Christy Shumate, NCDOT (Nov. 30, 2011), Attachment 108 to SELC Jan. 6, 2014 Comments. 317 Permit Application at 24. 316 id. 319 Id. 320 Id 48 The 2010 letter was insufficient then and is certainly insufficient now. Under the MOU that establishes the NCEEP program, mitigation must be implemented before a permit is issued. However, despite working to secure mitigation for this project for several years, NCEEP has still failed to demonstrate that sufficient appropriate mitigation is, in fact, available. Nor has NCEEP ever detailed the specifics of the mitigation that will be performed to support the credits. Additionally, even at this late stage in the permitting process, not one of the mitigation sites appears to have been acquired. Thus at this time there is therefore insufficient information in the permit application regarding mitigation for NCDWR to grant a Water Quality Certification. If NCDOT wishes to proceed with the project, it must first determine the amount of mitigation required for the project. As noted above, NCDOT's submitted project plans are based only on what it considers "plausible estimations," rather than true project design. The agency has not fully analyzed the actual impacts on water resources this proposed project would have. As such, it is currently unclear from the permit application the exact amount of mitigation required. It is improper for NCDOT to rely on future modifications of the permit at the outset of the project. State regulations governing the issuance of § 401 certifications clearly do not anticipate modifications being used in such a way. The language governing modifications makes it apparent that modifications can only take place takes place if there is a violation of water quality standards, if information contained in the application is incorrect, or, if conditions under which the certification was issued have changed. 15A N.C. Admin. Code 02H.0507(d). None of these circumstances apply to the situation at hand. Nowhere do the regulations suggest that a modification can be used to allow applicants to limit their initial permit application to plausible estimations. Id. Instead, NCDOT must update the permit application to reflect more than merely plausible estimations of the project design. Once NCDOT has fully detailed the amount of mitigation required based on concrete design plans, it must determine if that program has sufficient appropriate mitigation available for the project and carefully document exactly what that mitigation is, and how it will compensate for the loss of aquatic resource functions that will occur as a result of construction of the Monroe Bypass. This is particularly important in light of the proposed shift of liability for EEP mitigation project from NCDOT will further increase the likelihood of poor mitigation. 3zi Additionally, this information must be submitted during a public comment period, rather than providing merely a promise to submit the information at a later date. 322 As outlined above, we have substantial concerns about the issuance of a § 401 Water Quality Certification at this time. We appreciate the opportunity to express these concerns in this letter and we look forward to meeting with you, your staff and your attorneys on May 10, 2012 to further discuss this project. 32 'Michael Ellison, Ecosystem Enhancement Program Director, NCEEP Budget Update and NCDOT /NCEEP Operational Process Improvement, presentation to the North Carolina Department of Transportation (June 4, 2014), Attachment 36. 322 See Permit Application at 24. 49 Sincerely, yrIk0:Z:)__ Kym Hunter Staff Attorney r Kate Asquith Associate Attorney cc: Via Email and U.S. Mail General Anthony Tata, Secretary, NCDOT Clayton Sommers, NCDOT Jennifer Harris, NCDOT Alan Johnson, NCDWR Carl Pruitt, USACE Marella Buncick, USFWS Chris Militscher, EPA June Blotnick, Clean Air Carolina Terry Lansdell, Clean Air Carolina Terri Pratt, Yadkin Riverkeeper Will Scott, Yadkin Riverkeeper Tim Gestwicki, North Carolina Wildlife Federation Encls. 50