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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20080868 Ver 2_2013 Annual Creek Monitoring Report_20140707PotashCorp® Helping Nature Provide Federal Express August 18, 2014 Ms. Karen Higgins Division of Water Resources North Carolina Dept. of ENR Wetlands, Buffers, Stormwater Compliance/Permits Unit 1650 Mail Service Center Raleigh, NC 27699 -1650 Dear Ms. Higgins: PotashCorp - Aurora Enclosed please find 2 hard copies and 7 CD's of a report titled "Annual Creeks Report for 2013 Monitoring Year -PCS Phosphate Company, Inc. ", prepared by CZR Incorporated. The CD contains everything that is in the hard copy, plus Appendices B -I which contain the 2013 data. Please discard the CD's that you received in early July. Substantive changes in the r2) ort since the July CD submittal include: 1) Slight change to 6 bullet of Executive Summary 2) Section I A — rearranged the order of the 4 subsections 3) Section I C — made corrections to text, numbers, and cumulative Figure I -C2 4) Vegetation — correction of transition years for Huddles Cut - removed 2010 and 2011 data and replaced affected figures and tables 5) Fish dendrograms with no significant differences were removed (old Figures III -F4 and III -F6). 6) Inclusion of benthic information (Section II C Q3 forage base benthic portion, Section III G entire). 7) Appendix A benthos methodology updated to reflect new statistical approach This report is a requirement of the March 2011 stream monitoring plan that was developed in response to 404 Permit No. SAW- 2001 -10096 issued June 10, 2009 and modified March 12, 2013, and 401 Water Quality Certification No. 3771 issued January 15, 2009. If you have any questions regarding this material, please call me at (252) 322 -8249, or Sam Cooper of CZR at (910) 392 -9253. Sincerely, G (VA4 J y . F YM e ss Senior Scientist 1330 NC nwy 306 Soum, Aurora, NC USA Zj806 T(252)322-4111 PotashCorp. I www.potashcorp.com ECEIWE AUG 19 2014 Enclosures PC: Anthony Scarbraugh — DWR, Washington Tom Steffens - COE, Washington S. Cooper - CZR 23 -01- 004 -27 T.L. Baker M. Brom w /encl. w/o encl. w/o encl. w/o encl. w/o encl. w/o encl. Vk PotashCorp Helping Nature Provide Federal Express July 3, 2014 Ms. Karen Higgins Division of Water Resources North Carolina Dept of ENR Wetlands, Buffers, Stormwater Compliance/Permits Unit 1650 Mail Service Center Raleigh, NC 27699 -1650 Dear Ms. Higgins: 2008- 086$,.2 PotashCorp Aurora Enclosed please find 7 CD's of a report titled "Annual Creeks Report for 2013 Monitoring Year - PCS Phosphate Company, Inc. ", prepared by CZR Incorporated. The CD contains the main body of the report except for the benthos section, and also includes Appendix A. The benthos section is currently being finalized. This report is a requirement of the March 2011 stream monitoring plan that was developed in response to 404 Permit No. SAW- 2001 -10096 issued June 10, 2009 and modified March 12, 2013, and 401 Water Quality Certification No. 3771 issued January 15, 2009. If you have any questions regarding this material, please call me at (252) 322 -8249, or Sam Cooper of CZR at (910) 392 -9253. Final CD's and two complete hard copies will be sent to you in approximately two weeks. Sincerely, 11 qA,-�'� y C. Furness Senior Scientist Enclosures PC: Anthony Scarbraugh — DWR, Washington Tom Steffens - COE, Washington S. Cooper - CZR 23 -01- 004 -27 T.L. Baker M. Brom w /encl. w/o encl. r ; w/o encl. w/o encl. to ��� w/o encl. 5trt�rr . anct1 w/o encl. 1530 NC Hwy 306 South, Aurora, NC USA 27806 T (252) 322 -4111 PotashCorp I www potashcorp com PotashCorp! Helping Nature Provide Federal Express July 3, 2014 Mr. Tom Steffens U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Washington Regulatory Field Office 2407 West 5h Street Washington, North Carolina 27889 Dear Mr. Steffens: 2oog - 0868 PotashCorp • Aurora Enclosed please find a CD of a report titled "Annual Creeks Report for 2013 Monitoring Year - PCS Phosphate Company, Inc. ", prepared by CZR Incorporated. The CD contains the main body of the report except for the benthos section, and also includes Appendix A. The benthos section is currently being finalized. This report is a requirement of the March 2011 stream monitoring plan that was developed in response to 404 Permit No. SAW- 2001 -10096 issued June 10, 2009 and modified March 12, 2013, and 401 Water Quality Certification No. 3771 issued January 15, 2009. If you have any questions regarding this material, please call me at (252) 322 -8249, or Sam Cooper of CZR at (910) 392 -9253. Copies are being provided separately to the current members of the Science Panel. A final CD and complete hard copy of the report will be sent to you in approximately two weeks. Sincerely, of Cq Al -11 )eYC. Furness Senior Scientist Enclosure PC: Dr. Terry West — ECU Dr. Rick Rheinhardt — ECU Anthony Scarbraugh — DWR, Washington Karen Higgins — DWR, Raleigh S. Cooper - CZR T.L. Baker M. Brom 23 -01- 004 -27 w /encl. "";,:,:; -- w /encl.�j�(7 w/o encl. �;� ,. w/o encl �°j �b . UL G' 7 2014 a' w/o encl. � NR w/o encl. WWt �°pTq ��qc �` Storm pr Branch w /encl. 1530 NC Hwy 306 South, Aurora, NC USA 27806 T(252)322-4111 PotashCorp I www potashcorp com TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION ................................................................. ............................... I -A -1 A. Background .................................................................... ............................... I -A -1 1.0 Drainage Basin Acreage Adjustments .................. ............................... I -A -1 2.0 New Format of Report ......................................... ............................... I -A -2 3.0 Pre- and Post -Mod Alt L Year Revisions ............... ............................... I -A -3 4.0 Permit Modifications .............................................. ............................... I -A -3 B. Creeks Monitored in 2013 .............................................. ............................... I -B -1 C. Cumulative and 2013 Mining, Mine - related Activities, and Drainage Basins. I -C -1 1.0 Drinkwater Creek .................................................. ............................... I -C -1 2.0 Tooley Creek ........................................................ ............................... I -C -1 D. Drought .......................................................................... ............................... I -D -1 E. Extreme Events or Storms .............................................. ............................... I -E -1 F. Rainfall ................................................................................. ..........................I -F -1 G. Tar River Discharge ....................................................... ............................... I -G -1 II. CORPS PERMIT SPECIAL CONDITIONS S SIX QUESTIONS ....................... II -A -1 A. Question 1- .................................................................... ............................... II-A-1 Has mining altered the amount or timing of water flows within the creeks? B. Question 2- .................................................................... ............................... II -13-1 Has mining altered the geomorphic or vegetative character of the creeks? C. Question 3- .................................................................... ............................... II -C -1 Has mining altered the forage base of the creeks? D. Question 4- .................................................................... ............................... II -D -1 Has mining altered the use of the creek by managed fish? E. Question 5- .................................................................... ............................... II -E -1 Has mining increased contaminate [sic] levels within creek sediments to levels that could impact fish or invertebrates? F. Question 6- ............................................ ............................... ........................III -F -1 Has mining altered overall water quality within creeks? III. ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION OF SUMMARY RESULTS BY PARAMETER..... III -A -1 A. SALINITY AND TAR RIVER DISCHARGE ................... ............................... III -A -1 1.0 Correlations with Tar River Discharge and Rainfall ........................... III -A -1 2.0 Interannual and Monthly Comparisons ............... ............................... III -A -1 a. Jacks Creek ............................................................... ............................... III -A -1 b. South Creek (SS1) (control) ...................................... ............................... III -A -2 c. Little Creek (control) .................................................. ............................... III -A -2 d. Jacobs Creek ............................................................. ............................... III -A -3 e. PA2 (control) ............................................................. ............................... III -A -3 f. Drinkwater Creek ....................................................... ............................... III -A -3 g. Long Creek ( control) .................................................. ............................... III -A -4 h. Tooley Creek ............................................................. ............................... III -A -4 i. Pamlico River (PS1) (control) .................................... ............................... III -A -5 j. Huddles Cut ............................................................... ............................... III -A -5 k. Duck Creek ( control) .................................................. ............................... III -A -6 I. Porter Creek .............................................................. ............................... III -A -6 m. Durham Creek DCS1 (control), DCUT11, and DCUT19 (control) ............. III -A -7 3.0 Summary and Conclusions ................................. ............................... III -A -7 B. WETLAND HYDROLOGY ............................................ ............................... III -13-1 1.0 Jacks Creek ........................................................ ............................... III -13-1 2.0 Jacobs Creek ...................................................... ............................... III -13-1 3.0 Drinkwater Creek ................................................ ............................... 111 -13-1 4.0 Long Creek (control) ........................................... ............................... 111 -13-1 5.0 Tooley Creek ...................................................... ............................... III -13-2 6.0 Huddles Cut ........................................................ ............................... III -13-2 a. Main Prong ................................................................ ............................... 111 -13-2 b. West Prong ................................................................ ............................... III -13-2 7.0 Duck Creek (control) ........................................... ............................... 111 -13-2 8.0 Porter Creek ....................................................... ............................... III -13-2 9.0 DCUT11 ...................................... ............................... ........................III -B -3 10.0 DCUT19 ( control) ................................................ ............................... III -13-3 C. WATER QUALITY ........................................................ ............................... III -13-1 1.0 History ......................................... ............................... ........................III -C -1 2.0 Description of Analysis Techniques .................... ............................... III -C -1 3.0 Results ........................................ ............................... ........................III -C -2 a. Temporal variability of creeks across all years .......... ............................... III -C -3 i. Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ1 .......... ............................... III -C -3 ii. Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ2 ......... ............................... III -C -3 iii. Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ1 . ............................... III -C -4 iv. Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ2 . ............................... III -C -4 v. PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1 ................. ............................... III -C -4 vi. PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2 ................ ............................... III -C -5 vii. Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1 .......................... III -C -5 viii. Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2 ......................... III -C -5 ix. Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1 ....... ............................... III -C -5 x. Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2 ........ ............................... III -C -6 A. Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1 .... ............................... III -C -6 xii. Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2 ... ............................... III -C -6 xiii. Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1 .... ............................... III -C -7 xiv. Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2 .... ............................... III -C -7 xv. Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3 ..... ............................... III -C -7 xvi. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1 ..... ............................... III -C -7 xvii. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2 ..... ............................... III -C -8 xviii. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3 .... ............................... III -C -8 xix. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4 ..... ............................... III -C -8 xx. Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1 ... ............................... III -C -9 xxi. Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2 .. ............................... III -C -9 xxii. Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1 . ............................... III -C -9 xxiii. Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2 ............................... III -C -9 xxiv. DCUT11 water quality station DC11 WQ1 . ............................... III -C -10 xxiv. DCUT19 water quality station DC19WQ1 . ............................... III -C -10 b. Spatial variability of creeks ...................................... ............................... III -C -10 i. Depth ............................................................. ............................... III -C -10 ii. Temperature .................................................. ............................... III -C -11 iii. Salinity .......................................................... ............................... III -C -11 iv. Secchi depth ................................................ ............................... III -C -11 v. Conductivity and specific conductance ......... ............................... III -C -11 vi. Turbidity ....................................................... ............................... III -C -11 vii. Dissolved oxygen and dissolved oxygen (% saturation) ............. III -C -11 viii. pH ............................................................... ............................... III -C -11 ix. NH4 (Ammonium) ......................................... ............................... III -C -11 x. NO3 (Nitrate) ................................................. ............................... III -C -12 A. DKN (dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen) ................ ............................... III -C -12 xii. PN (particulate nitrogen) .............................. ............................... III -C -12 xiii. PO4 ( orthophosphate) ................................. ............................... III -C -12 xiv. TDP (total dissolved phosphate) ................ ............................... III -C -12 xv. PP (particulate phosphate) .......................... ............................... III -C -12 xvi. Chlorophyll a .............................................. ............................... III -C -12 xvii. Dissolved organic carbon .......................... ............................... III -C -12 xviii. Total dissolved nitrogen ............................ ............................... III -C -13 c. Interannual variability at Huddles Cut, Drinkwater Creek, and Tooley Creek. III - C -13 iv i. Temperature and salinity ................................ ............................... III -C -13 ii. Conductivity and specific conductance .......... ............................... III -C -13 iii. Dissolved oxygen ......................................... ............................... III -C -13 iv. Depth and chlorophyll a ................................ ............................... III -C -13 v. Secchi depth and turbidity ............................. ............................... III -C -14 vi. pH and ammonium (NH4) ............................. ............................... III -C -14 vii. Nitrate (NO3) and particulate nitrogen (PN) . ............................... III -C -14 viii. Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN) and orthophosphate (PO4).. III -C -14 ix. Total dissolved phosphate (TDP) and particulate phosphate (PP).. III -C- v 14 4.0 Summary and Conclusions ............................... ............................... III -C -14 D. METALS ....................................................................... ............................... III -D -1 1.0 Sediment Metals ................................................. ............................... III -D -1 2.0 Water Column Metals ......................................... ............................... III -D -1 E. VEGETATION .............................................................. ............................... III -E -1 1.0 Results and Discussion ....................................... ............................... III -E -1 a. Jacks Creek ............................................................... ............................... III -E -1 b. Jacobs Creek ............................................................. ............................... III -E -3 c. Drinkwater Creek ....................................................... ............................... III -E -3 d. Tooley Creek ............................................................. ............................... III -E -3 e. Long Creek ( control) .................................................. ............................... III -E -3 f. Huddles Cut Main Prong ........................................... ............................... III -E -3 g. Huddles Cut West Prong ........................................... ............................... III -E -5 h. Porter Creek .............................................................. ............................... III -E -6 i. DCUT11 ............................................ ............................... ........................III -E -7 j. DCUT19 (control creek) ............................................. ............................... III -E -7 k. Duck Creek (control creek) ........................................ ............................... III -E -7 2.0 Summary and Conclusions ................................. ............................... III -E -7 F. FISH .............................................................................. ............................... III -F -1 1.0 Results and Discussion ................ ............................... ........................III -F -1 a. Pre -Mod Alt L Creeks ................................................. ............................... III -F -1 i. Jacks Creek ...................................................... ............................... III -F -1 ii. Jacobs Creek ................................................... ............................... III -F -2 iii. Porter Creek ............................ ............................... ........................III -F -2 iv. DCUT11 .................................. ............................... ........................III -F -3 b. Post -Mod Alt L Creeks ........................ ............................... ........................III -F -3 i. Drinkwater Creek .............................................. ............................... III -F -3 ii. Tooley Creek ............................ ............................... ........................III -F -4 iii. Huddles Cut ............................. ............................... ........................III -F -5 c. Control Creeks .................................... ............................... ........................III -F -6 i. Little Creek ................................ ............................... ........................III -F -6 v ii. PA2 .......................................... ............................... ........................III -F -6 iii. Long Creek .............................. ............................... ........................III -F -6 iv. Muddy Creek ........................... ............................... ........................III -F -6 v. Duck Creek ...................................................... ............................... III -F -7 vi. DCUT19 .................................. ............................... ........................III -F -7 2.0 Summary and Conclusions .......... ............................... ........................III -F -8 G. BENTHOS ...................................................... ............................... ........................III -G -1 VI LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure I -A1 Vicinity Map I -A -4 Figure 1 -131 Monitoring Locations in Jacks Creek I -B -2 Figure 1 -132 Monitoring Location in South Creek (Control) I -B -3 Figure 1 -133 Monitoring Locations in Little Creek (Control) I -B -4 Figure 1 -134 Monitoring Locations in Jacobs Creek I -B -5 Figure 1 -135 Monitoring Locations in PA2 (Control) I -B -6 Figure 1 -136 Monitoring Locations in Drinkwater Creek I -B -7 Figure 1 -137 Monitoring Locations in Long Creek (Control) I -B -8 Figure 1 -138 Monitoring Locations in Tooley Creek I -B -9 Figure 1 -139 Monitoring Locations in Muddy Creek I -B -10 Figure 1 -1310 Monitoring Location in Pamlico River (Control) I -B -11 Figure 1 -1311 Monitoring Locations in Huddles Cut I -B -12 Figure 1 -1312 Monitoring Locations in Duck Creek I -B -13 Figure 1 -1313 Monitoring Locations in Porter Creek I -B -14 Figure 1 -1314 Monitoring Location in Durham Creek (Control) I -B -15 Figure 1 -1315 Monitoring Locations in DCUT11 I -B -16 Figure 1 -1316 Monitoring Locations in DCUT19 (Control) I -B -17 Figure I -C1 Mine Continuation through 2013 I -C -2 Figure I -C2 Drainage Areas Impacted by Mine Activities within Monitored I -C -3 Creek Study Basins through 2013 Figure I -C3 Drinkwater Creek Drainage Areas Impacted by Mine Activities I -C -4 through 2013 Figure I -C4 Tooley Creek Drainage Areas Impacted by Mine Activities I -C -5 through 2013 Figure I -F1 Rainfall summary across years of creeks study: monthly totals I -F -2 at PCS Aurora Station 6N compared to 30 -year WETS rainfall Figure I -G1 Tar River average daily discharge at Greenville, NC and PCS I -G -2 Aurora NOAA Station 6N daily rainfall across the years of the creeks study Figure II -B1 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at II -B -5 Huddles Cut Main Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L vi Page Figure II -132 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions II -13-5 every year at Huddles Cut Main Prong with all transects combined Figure II -133 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions II -13-5 at each transect on Huddles Cut Main Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L Figure II -134 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at II -13-6 Huddles Cut West Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L Figure II -135 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions II -13-6 every year at Huddles Cut West Prong with all transects combined Figure II -136 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions II -13-6 at each transect on Huddles Cut West Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L Figure II -137 Percent of brackish intolerant species every year at each II -13-7 Huddles Cut Main Prong transect Figure II -138 Percent of brackish intolerant species every year at each II -13-8 Huddles Cut West Prong transect Figure II -139 Percent of brackish intolerant species at each Jacks Creek II -13-9 transect every year and all years combined Figure II -B10 Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and II -B -10 mean rainfall for each period in Drinkwater Creek Figure II -1311 Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and II -B -10 mean rainfall for each period in Tooley Creek Figure II -1312 Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and II -13-11 mean rainfall for each period in Huddles Cut Figure II -1313 Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and II -13-11 mean rainfall for each well in Drinkwater Creek Figure II -1314 Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and II -13-11 mean rainfall for each well in Tooley Creek relative to location in the creek system Figure II -1315 Huddles Cut main prong and west prong pre- and post -Mod Alt L II -B -12 hydrology for each well relative to location in creek system Figure II -C1 Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish II -C -3 community abundance and composition among fish species for all creeks and years sampled VII Page Figure II -D1 Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish II -D -3 community abundance and composition among managed species for all creeks and years sampled Figure II -E1 Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for three creeks II -E -3 Figure II -E2 Differences between combined post -Mod Alt L sediment metal II -E -4 data for Drinkwater, Tooley, and Huddles Cut compared to combined control creek data for the same years Figure II -E3a Water column metal means for all years (2011 -2013) for all II -E -5 creeks by type Figure II -E3b Water column metal means compared for all years II -E -5 (2011 -2013) by type without Al and Fe shown Figure II -F1 Agglomerative, hierarchical cluster analysis of each water II -F -3 quality station based on all water quality variables Figure II -F2 Comparison of pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L salinity in II -F -4 three creeks Figure II -F3 Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L conductivity and specific II -F -5 conductance in three creeks Figure II -F4 Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L dissolved oxygen in II -F -6 three creeks Figure II -F5 Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L chlorophyll a in three II -F -7 creeks Figure II -F6 Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L Kjeldahl nitrogen and II -F -8 orthophosphate in three creeks Figure II -F7 Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L TDP II -F -9 Figure III -A1 Tar River discharge, monthly rainfall statistics, and total III -A -9 annual rainfall at four long -term rain gauges over the years of the PCS creeks study Figure III -A2a Salinity at monitoring locations associated primarily with South III -A -10 Creek Figure III -A2b Salinity at monitoring locations associated primarily with Pamlico III -A -11 River Figure III -A3a Monthly salinities at non - control salinity monitoring stations III -A -12 viii Figure III -133 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek and III -13-5 Drinkwater Creek by year and total annual rainfall Figure III -134 Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek III -13-5 across all years Figure III -135 Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Long Creek III -13-5 across all years Figure III -136 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Long Creek and total III -13-6 annual rainfall Figure III -137 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Tooley Creek and total III -13-6 annual rainfall Figure III -138 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut Main Prong III -13-7 by year and total annual rainfall Figure III -139 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut West Prong III -13-7 by year and total annual rainfall Figure III -1310 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek by year III -13-8 and total annual rainfall Figure III -1311 Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek III -13-8 across all years relative to location in creek system Figure III -1312 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Porter Creek by year III -13-9 and total annual rainfall ix Page Figure III -A3b Monthly salinities at non - control salinity monitoring stations III -A -13 Figure III -A4a Monthly salinities at control salinity monitoring stations III -A -14 Figure III -A4b Monthly salinities at control salinity monitoring stations III -A -15 Figure III -A5 Salinity measured during fish trawling at Muddy Creek in April III -A -16 May, and June of 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013 Figure III -131 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Jacks Creek by year III -13-4 with total annual rainfall for each year Figure III -132 Longest combined hydroperiod across all years for each well III -13-4 in Jacks Creek relative to location in creek system Figure III -133 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek and III -13-5 Drinkwater Creek by year and total annual rainfall Figure III -134 Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek III -13-5 across all years Figure III -135 Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Long Creek III -13-5 across all years Figure III -136 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Long Creek and total III -13-6 annual rainfall Figure III -137 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Tooley Creek and total III -13-6 annual rainfall Figure III -138 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut Main Prong III -13-7 by year and total annual rainfall Figure III -139 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut West Prong III -13-7 by year and total annual rainfall Figure III -1310 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek by year III -13-8 and total annual rainfall Figure III -1311 Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek III -13-8 across all years relative to location in creek system Figure III -1312 Longest hydroperiod for each well in Porter Creek by year III -13-9 and total annual rainfall ix Page Figure III -1313 Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Porter Creek III -13-9 across all years relative to location in creek system Figure III -C1 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -17 Among all water quality variables in Jacks Creek water quality Station JWQ1 Figure III -C2 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -18 Component 2 over time at Jacks Creek Station JWQ1 Figure III -C3 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -19 among all water quality variables in Jacks Creek water quality Station JWQ2 Figure III -C4 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -20 Component 2 over time at Jacks Creek Station JWQ1 Figure III -05 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -21 among all water quality variables in Jacobs Creek water quality Station JCBWQ1 Figure III -C6 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -22 Component 2 over time at Jacobs Creek Station JCBWQ1 Figure III -C7 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -23 among all water quality variables in Jacobs Creek water quality Station JCBWQ2 Figure III -C8 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -24 Component 2 over time at Jacobs Creek Station JCBWQ2 Figure III -C9 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -25 among all water quality variables in PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1 Figure III -C10 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -26 Component 2 over time at PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1 Figure III -C11 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -27 among all water quality variables in PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2 Figure III -C12 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -28 Component 2 over time at PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2 x Page Figure III -C13 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -29 among all water quality variables at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1 Figure III -C14 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -30 Component 2 over time at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1 Figure III -C15 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -31 among all water quality variables at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2 Figure III -C16 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -32 Component 2 over time at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2 Figure III -C17 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -33 among all water quality variables at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1 Figure III -C18 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -34 Component 2 over time at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1 Figure III -C19 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -35 among all water quality variables at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2 Figure III -C20 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -36 Component 2 over time at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2 Figure III -C21 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -37 among all water quality variables at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1 Figure III -C22 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -38 Component 2 over time at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1 Figure III -C23 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -39 among all water quality variables at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2 Figure III -C24 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -40 Component 2 over time at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2 A Page Figure III -C25 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -41 among all water quality variables at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1 Figure III -C26 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -42 Component 2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1 Figure III -C27 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -43 among all water quality variables at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2 Figure III -C28 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -44 Component 2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2 Figure III -C29 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -45 among all water quality variables at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3 Figure III -C30 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -46 Component 2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3 Figure III -C31 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -47 among all water quality variables at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1 Figure III -C32 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -48 Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1 Figure III -C33 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -49 among all water quality variables at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2 Figure III -C34 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -50 Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2 Figure III -C35 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -51 among all water quality variables at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3 X11 Page Figure III -C36 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -52 Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3 Figure III -C37 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -53 among all water quality variables at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4 Figure III -C38 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -54 Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4 Figure III -C39 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -55 among all water quality variables at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1 Figure III -C40 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -56 Component 2 over time at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1 Figure III -C41 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -57 among all water quality variables at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2 Figure III -C42 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -58 Component 2 over time at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2 Figure III -C43 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -59 among all water quality variables at Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1 Figure III -C44 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -60 Component 2 over time at Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1 Figure III -C45 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -61 among all water quality variables at Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2 Figure III -C46 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -62 Component 2 over time at Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2 Figure III -C47 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -63 among all water quality variables at DCUT11 Creek water quality station DC11WQ1 xiii Page Figure III -C48 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -64 Component 2 over time at DCUT11 water quality station DC11WQ1 Figure III -C49 Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships III -C -65 among all water quality variables at DCUT11 Creek water quality station DC19WQ1 Figure III -050 Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal III -C -66 Component 2 over time at DCUT19 water quality station DC11WQ1 Figure III -051 Comparison of mean depth for group of water quality stations III -C -67 identified by cluster analysis Figure III -052 Comparison of mean temperature for group of water quality III -C -68 stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -053 Comparison of mean salinity for group of water quality stations III -C -69 identified by cluster analysis Figure III -054 Comparison of mean Secchi depth for group of water quality III -C -70 stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -055 Comparison of mean conductivity for group of water quality III -C -71 stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -056 Comparison of mean specific conductance for group of water III -C -72 quality stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -057 Comparison of mean turbidity for group of water quality stations III -C -73 identified by cluster analysis Figure III -058 Comparison of mean dissolved oxygen for group of water quality III -C -74 stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -059 Comparison of mean dissolved oxygen for group of water quality III -C -75 stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -C60 Comparison of mean pH for group of water quality stations III -C -76 identified by cluster analysis Figure III -C61 Comparison of mean NI-14 for group of water quality stations III -C -77 identified by cluster analysis Figure III -C62 Comparison of mean NOa for group of water quality stations III -C -78 identified by cluster analysis xiv Figure III -C69 Comparison of mean dissolved organic carbon for group of III -C -85 water quality stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -C70 Comparison of mean total dissolved nitrogen for group of III -C -86 water quality stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -D1 Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Drinkwater III -D -2 Creek Figure 111 -D2 Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Tooley 111 -D -2 Creek Figure III -D3 Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Huddles Cut III -D -3 Figure III -E1 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E10 at Jacks Creek transects 2000 -2005 and 2011 -2013 arranged by distance from mouth of creek Figure III -E2 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E10 every year at Jacks Creek with all transects combined Figure III -E3 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -11 every year at Jacobs Creek Figure III -E4 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -11 every year at Long Creek xv Page Figure III -C63 Comparison of mean DKN for group of water quality stations 111 -C -79 identified by cluster analysis Figure 111 -C64 Comparison of mean PN for group of water quality stations 111 -C -80 identified by cluster analysis Figure 111 -C65 Comparison of mean POa for group of water quality stations 111 -C -81 identified by cluster analysis Figure 111 -C66 Comparison of mean TDP for group of water quality stations 111 -C -82 identified by cluster analysis Figure 111 -C67 Comparison of mean PP for group of water quality stations 111 -C -83 identified by cluster analysis Figure 111 -C68 Comparison of mean chlorophyll a for group of water quality 111 -C -84 Stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -C69 Comparison of mean dissolved organic carbon for group of III -C -85 water quality stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -C70 Comparison of mean total dissolved nitrogen for group of III -C -86 water quality stations identified by cluster analysis Figure III -D1 Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Drinkwater III -D -2 Creek Figure 111 -D2 Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Tooley 111 -D -2 Creek Figure III -D3 Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Huddles Cut III -D -3 Figure III -E1 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E10 at Jacks Creek transects 2000 -2005 and 2011 -2013 arranged by distance from mouth of creek Figure III -E2 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E10 every year at Jacks Creek with all transects combined Figure III -E3 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -11 every year at Jacobs Creek Figure III -E4 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -11 every year at Long Creek xv Page Figure III -E5 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E12 at Huddles Cut transects on the main prong arranged by distance from mouth of creek for pre- and post -Mod Alt L years Figure III -E6 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E12 at Huddles Cut transects on the west prong arranged by distance from mouth of creek for pre- and post -Mod Alt L years Figure III -E7 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -13 at Porter Creek transects 2011 -2013 arranged by distance from creek mouth Figure III -E8 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -13 every year at Porter Creek with all transects combined Figure III -E9 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -14 every year at Duck Creek with all transects combined Figure III -E10 Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions III -E -14 at Duck Creek transects 2011 -2013 arranged by distance from creek mouth Figure III -F1 Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish III -F -9 community abundance and composition among all years trawled In Jacks Creek Figure III -F2 Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish III -F -10 community abundance and composition among all years trawled in Drinkwater Creek Figure III -F3 Catch -per- unit - effort for commonly captured fish species at III -F11 Drinkwater Creek with significant differences between pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years Figure III -F4 Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish III -F -12 community abundance and composition among all years trawled in Tooley Creek Figure III -F5 Catch -per- unit - effort for commonly captured fish species at III -F13 Tooley Creek with significant differences between pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years Figure III -F6 Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish III -F -14 community abundance and composition among all years sampled with fyke nets in Huddles Cut xvi Page Figure III -F7 Catch -per- unit - effort for commonly captured fish species at III -F15 Huddles Cut with significant differences between pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years Figure III -F8 Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish III -F -16 community abundance and composition among all years trawled in Muddy Creek xvi i LIST OF TABLES Page Table I -A1 Pre — and post -Mod Alt L impact monitoring by parameter and I -A -5 by creek according to the 2011 plan of study. Table 1 -131 Existing geomorphology conditions at DCUT11 transition zone 1 -13-18 on 4 February 2014. Table 1 -132 Existing geomorphology conditions at DCUT19 transition zone 1 -13-19 on 4 February 2014. Table I -D1 Drought conditions for the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013 I -D -2 Table I -E1 Extreme events or storms for the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013 I -E -2 Table I -F1 Monthly and annual rainfall totals across the years 2000 -2005 and I -F -3 2009 -2013 for NOAA Station Aurora 6N Table 11 -C1 Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) for the most abundant 11 -C -4 fish species captured across six groups identified by cluster analysis performed for all PCS fish collection sampling years April, May, and June of 2000 through 2005, and 2009 through 2013 Table 11 -C2 Summary of trawling and fyke net shrimp and crab catch frequency 11 -C -5 and score data from 2011, 2012, and 2013 Table 11 -D1 Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) for managed fish species 11 -D -3 captured across six groups identified by cluster analysis performed for all PCS fish collection sampling years April, May, and June of 2000 through 2005, and 2009 through 2013 Table II-El Means and standard deviations (SD) by year for six PCS sediment l l -E -6 metals for which Effects Range Low (ERL) and Effects Range Medium (ERM) have been determined Table II -E2 Water column metals values by year for each monitored creek II -E -7 Table II -F1 Average of water quality parameters across the six groups identified II -F -10 by the cluster analysis Table III -C1 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -87 Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ1 Table III -C2 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -88 Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ2 vi Page Table III -C3 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -89 Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ1 Table III -C4 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -90 Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ2 Table III -05 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -91 PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1 Table III -C6 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -92 PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2 Table III -C7 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -93 Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1 Table III -C8 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -94 Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2 Table III -C9 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -95 Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1 Table III -C10 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -96 Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2 Table III -C11 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -97 Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1 Table III -C12 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -98 Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2 Table III -C13 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -99 Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1 Table III -C14 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -100 Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2 Table III -C15 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -101 Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3 Table III -C16 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -102 Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1 Table III -C17 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -103 Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2 Table III -C18 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -104 Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3 vii Table III -C19 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -105 Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4 Table III -C20 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -106 Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1 Table III -C21 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -107 Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2 Table III -C22 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -108 Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1 Table III -C23 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -109 Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2 Table III -C24 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -110 DCUT11 water quality station DC11WQ1 Table III -C25 Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at III -C -111 DCUT19 water quality station DC19WQ1 Table III -D1 Sediment metal values by year for each monitored creek III -D -4 Table III -E1a Dominant herbaceous species in vegetation transects in seven creeks III -E -15 monitored pre -Mod Alt L Table III -E1 b Dominant herbaceous species in Huddles Cut vegetation transects III -E -18 monitored post -Mod Alt L Table III -E1c Dominant herbaceous species in vegetation transects in three control III -E -21 Creeks: Long and Duck Creeks and DCUT19 Table III -E2a Dominant shrub and woody vine species in vegetation transects in six III -E -22 Creeks monitored pre -Mod Alt L: Jacks Creek, Jacobs Creek, Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, Huddles Cut, Porter Creek, and one tributary to Durham Creek Table III -E2b Dominant shrub and woody vine species in Huddles Cut vegetation III -E -27 transects monitored post -Mod Alt L Table III -E2c Dominant shrub and woody vine species in the two control creeks III -E -29 monitored: Long and Duck Creeks and DCUT19 Table III -E3a Wetness and salinity tolerance characteristics of the dominant plant III -E -30 species along vegetation transects in seven creeks monitored pre -Mod Alt L Table III -E3b Wetness and salinity tolerance characteristics of the dominant plant III -E -31 species along Huddles Cut vegetation transects monitored post -Mod Alt L viii Page Table III -E3c Wetness and salinity tolerance characteristics of the dominant plant III -E -32 species along vegetation transects in three control creeks: Long and Duck Creeks and DCUT19 Table III -E4 Cumulative list of dominant species at monitored creeks since 1998 and III -E -33 Their tolerance to brackish conditions Table III -F1 Comparison of fish community structure for all creeks in Mod Alt L III -F -17 sampling years Table III -F2 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Jacks III -F -18 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2000 -2003, 2005, 2007 -2008, and 2010 -2013; 14 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2004; and 12 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2009 Table III -F3 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Jacobs III -F19 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 -2013 Table III -F4 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Porter III -F20 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 -2013 Table III -F5 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in two III -F -21 unnamed tributaries to Durham Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2013 Table III -F6 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Drinkwater III -F -22 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 -2013 Table III -F7 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Tooley III -F19 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2010 -2013 Table III -F8 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Huddles III -F -24 Cut on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2010 -2013, and 12 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2009 Table III -F9 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Little III -F -25 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 -2013 Table III -F10 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in PA2 on III -F -26 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 -2013 Table 111 -F11 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Long III -F -27 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 -2013 ix Table III -F12 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Muddy III -F -28 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2000 -2003, 2005, and 2010 -2013; 14 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2004, and 12 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2009 Table III -F13 Average catch -per- unit - effort by species for fish captured in Long III -F -29 Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 -2013 x EXECUTIVE SUMMARY • This 2013 report is the first of the annual PCS creek reports to present and emphasize primarily only summary data, in keeping with the language of the ROD Special Condition V on Reporting where "annual summaries of all data collected" is specified. • Further review of the ROD and special permit conditions also resulted in an emphasis on the current permitted mine continuation under Mod Alt L. This emphasis required a rearrangement of the years considered either pre- or post -Mod Alt L. • This summary approach is also part of the continued attempt to meet requests of the reviewers and the Science Panel to reduce the amount of material included in the report and to simplify the presentation of data. • Refinements were made to the historic drainage basins and corrections were made on the pre -Mod Alt E basins for the creeks in the NCPC Tract, which in most cases reduced the size of the pre -Mod Alt E basin. • While the 2012 report utilized multivariate techniques and Principal Components Analysis (PCA) for water quality only, this is the first report to utilize multivariate techniques for multiple monitoring parameters. These techniques will continue to be used in various combinations or across parameters in future reports. • For all parameters monitored under Mod Alt L focus, while changes have been evident such as increased salinity, no changes detected over the course of the study can be confidently connected to the mine activities, with the exception of the upper end of the west prong of Huddles Cut. The most upstream vegetation plots on this prong have undergone physical changes driven by surface depressions which result from an unstable near - surface lithology unit known as the Croatan Clay. These depressions seem to stem from proximity to the mine perimeter canal which caused dewatering and /or piping in this unit. Changes in the wetland hydroperiods in two nearby wells in this prong seems to have also been affected by either proximity to the dewatering of the Croatan Clay, or a reduction in drainage basin, or a combination of both factors. • It must be noted that the focus on Mod Alt L reduced the number of years of data available for comparison for some parameters in some creeks. Additional years of data may need to be included before changes may emerge or can be detected. However, the water quality data analyzed by Dr. David Kimmel of ECU for the 2013 report did include all years for all water quality monitoring stations; no deleterious effects related to the mine were detected. vi INTRODUCTION A. Background In November 2000, PCS applied for authorization to continue its phosphate mining operations on the Hickory Point peninsula (NCPC Tract) adjacent to the Pamlico River and South Creek once phosphate reserves were depleted under the 1997 permitted area for Alt E. In 2001, an EIS process was begun for mine continuation. The Corps established that it would be appropriate to consider holistic mine plans that included mining in more than one tract. PCS proposed alternatives for mining in two additional tracts ( Bonnerton and South of Route 33 [S33]). In January 2009 NCDWQ issued PCS a 401 Water Quality Certification ( #2008 -0868 version 2.0; Certification No. 3771) and in June of 2009, the Corps issued PCS a 404 permit (Action ID 200110096) for activities associated with Modified Alternative L (Mod Alt L) (Figure I- A1). As the Mod Alt L mine advance continues temporary drainage basin reductions for several small estuarine tributaries of South Creek and the Pamlico River, the 2009 USACE permit and the North Carolina Division of Water Quality (now Division of Water Resources - NCDWR) Water Quality Certification contained conditions that required the continuation of creeks monitoring required under the previous 1997 permit. To detect any deleterious effects on these tributaries from the Mod Alt L advance, development of a new creeks plan of study, expanded to include more creeks (from three to 13) and more parameters, and formation of an advisory Science Panel were also required. The new creeks plan of study was first approved in February 2011. After the first science panel meeting (2012) and discussion of the first annual report produced under the new plan of study (2011 year), additional revisions and clarifications were incorporated into the creeks plan of study which was finalized in September 2012. Table I -A1 shows the monitoring by parameter for each creek and Table I -A1 shows the monitoring parameters, equipment type or field methods, and monitoring frequency. In 2013, pre -Mod Alt L monitoring began in DCUT11 and its control creek, DCUT19, both of which are tributaries to Durham Creek. A new salinity monitor was also added near the downstream end of Durham Creek. With the Durham Creek watershed monitoring sites included, all equipment is now in place to monitor the entire suite of locations and parameters north of NC33 in the vicinity of the NCPC and Bonnerton tracts as specified in the final creeks monitoring plan of study (13 creeks, eight control creeks /locations). 1.0 Drainage Basin Acreage Adjustments. Progress of the mine across a watershed is determined on an annual acreage basis. As evident in Tables I -A1 and I -A2, some monitoring parameters are collected once a year only and others are collected throughout the year. Data collection for a parameter in a specific watershed may occur prior to the mine progress through that watershed for that year or, in the case of parameters collected throughout the year, mine progress through the watershed may have affected only the data collected in the last portion of the calendar year. The NCDWQ agreed during the previous study that "significant measurable results" were not likely to be determined "until 10 percent or more of the basin was impacted ". The 10 percent threshold was developed specifically for Alt E impacts in Tooley Creek yet remains an important factor in the determination of the first post -Mod Alt L year in a given creek. To determine the percentage of basin impact and to increase accuracy of analysis, drainage basin quantification is recalculated annually at the end of each mine advance year. Over the course of the creeks study, basin acreage calculations have been refined as WIN past activities were uncovered and digital tools improved (e.g., LiDAR); the 2013 data analysis was no exception. In calculation of the percent impacts to assign 2013 as pre- or post -Mod Alt L for a given creek (10 percent reduction threshold on current basin), it was discovered that the drainage basins of the NCPC creeks had actually been reduced prior to Alt E by the construction of a canal inside the Alt E boundary dug in the late 1970s or early 1980s. This canal cut off the NCPC creeks from portions of their historic drainage basin and resulted in several corrections. It reduced the historic basin acreage, the Alt E baseline acreage, and the basin remaining after Alt E for each NCPC creek shown in previous annual reports. These reductions affected the pre -Alt E and pre -Mod Alt L basins and subsequent percent reductions shown for some creeks in previous annual reports. This correction prompted PCS and CZR to re- consult the ROD and Science Panel meeting notes for additional guidance on what is most appropriate to use as the "current" basin for calculation of Mod Alt L percent reduction. For the new creeks added under the expanded creeks plan of study, the "current' basin represents conditions prior to Mod Alt L and after Alt E impacts; thus some years for creeks with longer data sets (Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, Muddy Creek, and Huddles Cut) are not included in the evaluation of Mod Alt L. Previously, construction of the perimeter canal has always been used as the first "impact" to a creek. However, at the 2013 Science Panel meeting, it was recognized that in some creeks, prior to construction of the perimeter canal, there may be other mine development activities in a basin which interrupt the surface flow of storm water downstream. These other activities may include construction of perimeter berms or roads or an internal storm water ditch. It was also agreed that there would be no effort to identify these activities retroactively; such activities would be identified and used to determine first onset of impacts only from 2013 forward. 2.0 New Format of Report. This 2013 report is presented in a format different from all previous annual creeks monitoring reports. The intention of the new format is to continue to simplify the presentation, comparison, and discussion of a complicated long -term suite of data. Traditional statistical tests are utilized with some data and as appropriate, multivariate techniques and /or principal components analysis (PCA) have been utilized to depict similarities and differences among or between creeks, sample stations, and /or parameters. The 2012 annual report was the first to utilize the PCA approach for the 2012 ECU water quality data and some of the fish data. Also, the new format is designed to be in compliance with Corps Permit Condition V (Reporting) which states that "annual summaries of all data collected" under the creeks study are to be submitted to agencies and the Science Panel members. In addition, the results section (Section III of previous reports) is organized in two different sections in the new report format. Section II includes responses to the Corps' six questions in Special Condition S of the Section 404 permit (these questions were answered in the Trend Summary in the 2012 report). The multivariate technique of cluster analysis across years for more parameters has been used for this section along with pre- and post -Mod Alt L comparisons as appropriate. Section III contains additional summary information by parameter not included in Section II. The appendices contain raw and tabular data for the current year for each parameter and other supporting graphics or statistical results. Only Appendix A is printed and included with the hard copy of the report; all other appendices are included only on the CD that accompanies the report. The CD also includes a copy of the entire printed report. W-W 3.0 Pre- and Post -Mod Alt L Year Revisions. As a result of the corrected Mod -Alt L baseline years (to represent post -Alt E or current conditions), and some revisions to drainage basins, the summary data comparisons and analysis are based on the following: • Jacks Creek: pre -Mod Alt L years = 2000 -2005 and 2011 -2013; no post- Mod -Alt L years to date. • Drinkwater Creek: pre -Mod Alt L years = 2011 -2012 (2011 data are incomplete for some parameters as the new plan was incrementally implemented in its first year); 2013 is the first post - Mod Alt L year. • Tooley Creek: pre -Mod Alt L years = 2010 and 2011; post Mod - Alt L years = 2012 and 2013. • Huddles Cut: pre -Mod Alt L year = 2009; post Mod -Alt L years = 2010 -2013. • For other creeks in the study, all years to date are pre -Mod Alt L. 4.0 Permit Modifications. In April of 2012, the Corps approved a request made by PCS for a one -time modification to Special Condition V of the 2009 permit/ROD to change the due date of the annual report from 1 May to 1 June 2012. In March of 2013, the Corps approved a request made by PCS to modify Special Conditions V and W of the 2009 permit /ROD: Special Condition V was modified to allow the annual creeks monitoring reports to be completed by 1 July (instead of 1 May) of the following year and Special Condition W was modified to allow the Science Panel to meet no later than 30 August of the following year (instead of 30 July). F-W R.- YY U W � U N W of U my W' W z - () - / W O � W J Z W = ~ H U IL L O CC Y/ Q L i 0) 5 J y� dv z� SS V cos x p W Z Z N Li z U �p Y U �Z JO _ U • Nz z W N F a� d J� Z MZ W a 00 \-\ C, - �5 llp U 3 / Y o �ALIA U Q M 2 N i > SR 1'. 0 SR M M \l-k c BAY CITY � LO N 6 SR 1928 a? V f Q J Z J U Z N n� o 0 af Q U Q N K \ti o �I � U O >0 m m ww I = Y z Z M1 U Q O I Z \i at a� — f cU c L V L Oi W 0 LL LL. a IL I y 3 � O \ L y M N Q 0 > rlr ° z 0 0 o a 0 N 0 Q U U O O V � � m OD a o 0 n BAY CITY � LO N SR 1928 a? V U- O w W � U M N 0 K O � (10 y G�J�/ /OJ G w Q Z D O OD � J Y W W J � a c) 0 J W O ry � Z O O U 0 Z w c� w J i 0 O u N 0 pre -Mod Alt L a post -Mod Alt L a control creek I -A -5 . N D . Jacks Creek Flow MUMMA Salinity Wetland water level Water quality VW WIld Vegetation WINA WE pro, VIN Fish W1r� e/Eff/I �1 rZEE, F�1 Metals 1/4 VI %// iY /. Ed Creek South Water depth Salinity Jacobs Creek Salinity Y Wetland water level Water quality Vegetation /y Fish A WIN Benthos Metals (control) Salinity Water quality Fish Benthos Metals Drinkwater Creek Fl ow Wetland water level Water quality V1E/%O� Vegetation Fish WNW VNI1 Benthos Metals 1 Creek Little i Water quality Fish Benthos ■ Metals ■ .. Creek Fl ow Salinity Wetland water level Water quality L Vegetation Fish Benthos ■ ■ Metals ■ ■ 0 pre -Mod Alt L a post -Mod Alt L a control creek I -A -5 Table I -A1. (continued) U pre -Mad Aft L a post -Mod Alt L a control creek I -A -6 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D Site /Parameter Toolev Creek Flow Salinity Wetland water level Water quality Vegetation Fish Benthos Metals �' ❑ Muddy Creek (control) Fish Benthos ❑ ❑ ❑ ❑ Metals ❑ LI A ■ ❑ Pamlico River (control) Water depth Salinity c a Huddles Cut m Fl ow v Salinity `v Wetland water level g Water quality g Vegetation N 5 Fish 9 Benthos o ❑ Metals `o Porter Creek Fl ow o E o Salinity Wetland water level F1111111171111,171A F//////7/, MEMO, Water quality Vegetation Fish p� r� "" "rr�• r(!!!!!(!!a r(!(!(!!!!0 Benthos Metals r� Duck Creek (control) Fl ow Salinity Wetland water level Water quality Pr Vegetation Fish Y Y Benthos Metals U pre -Mad Aft L a post -Mod Alt L a control creek I -A -6 Table I -A1 (concluded) apre -Mod Alt L ■ post -Mod Alt L a control creek I -A -7 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2009 2010 2011 2012 1 2012 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D IJ F M A M J J A S O N D Site /Parameter DCUT 19 (control) ❑ Flow Salinity Wetland water level Water quality ❑ Vegetation °- co Fish m Benthos Metals ❑ ❑ Durham Creek (control) °o Water depth Salinity DCUT11 0 Flow o Salinity E Wetland water level o z Water quality Vegetation Fish Benthos LI Metals apre -Mod Alt L ■ post -Mod Alt L a control creek I -A -7 B. Creeks Monitored in 2013 Monitoring locations in all monitored creeks are shown in Figures 1 -131 — 1 -1316. Pre -Mod Alt L monitoring of three creeks expected to have future drainage basin reductions due to Mod Alt L mine continuation (Jacks, Jacobs, and Porter Creeks; Figures 1 -131, 1 -134, and 1 -1313) continued in 2013 along with post -Mod Alt L monitoring in Drinkwater Creek (Figure 1 -136), Tooley Creek (Figure 1 -138), and Huddles Cut (Figure 1 -1311). Monitoring also continued in 2013 in the seven previously established control locations: South Creek (Figure 1 -132), Little Creek (Figure 1 -133), PA2 (Figure 1 -135) Long Creek (Figure 1 -137, Muddy Creek (Figure 1 -139), Pamlico River (Figure 1 -1310), and Duck Creek (Figure 1 -1312). A continuous monitor to track salinity and water depth was also installed near the mouth of Durham Creek in 2013 as a new control (Figure 1 -1314). Pre -Mod Alt L monitoring also began in two tributaries in the lower Durham Creek watershed in 2013; DCUT11 (Figure 1 -1315) and DCUT19 (Figure 1 -1316) (Durham Creek Unidentified Tributary = DCUT). The upper headwaters of DCUT11 are included within the Bonnerton Tract Mod Alt L footprint and DCUT19 serves as control for this stream and brings the total number of control creeks /locations to eight. As was done in all other creeks in the study, qualitative geomorphic characteristics were collected in DCUT11 and DCUT19 in 2013 (Tables 1 -131 and 1 -132). WN A. M i e — 0o y. . �•'. ,v u • ~•rte t Q% � � � � � z En _ U L. W a ai D IL ° O �' M • : 3►" Vii. � � �.� . � Q u, � ' %f •� ass - y �w +� - 1 � O d •� y N 0 a �� r• +f 0 LO Jk- [111►►► w 'r•, R} �41 -f 0 �•� j i ry MOO 1 �. it Y ` Vii' ,•- a t r• 'o, iiii M Of 04 LJ J' r r1 w • ~ • f"�.. U J Z Z of .i. • t AL . 1 d'F: ' N Q U i %t - W �} r, • t �p IL ,_ ,•:"•; � � �• Lam•_ " •,� dL l r ' a . � i �:ee , j �1 � , A y' • ` � 4 • 'Ci. 1 ni" "M f ' � C • 'e ' b �� r �` .ter .'J • Y� . �r. Jft It � � � � ^ a� ► �' _ ' ter} , - r.. *' •�, •r,�: '.► �•, �,� • , '•ter. r { "Ti � � `J, . jo, • M �f 3 AiC' •'� '_ '� �• 'I 4 ' yr- 4 � _ _ _ _ • IL r ` ; i e �_ . 1 . • cry a.- � . Rte' •1 ••. VIE + , ^ sj., _ "W�;; • � i . i ` ; , f`► � �� ,� � rem• � ..+Y x � '"+ •�,•. ••`� - !K� �. +t �•'� � iii 1 ' � ��ry •� :1. -t -'�s tia.+ � tilt' r 7- jyp"� N p F = r J !40301 01 O M U Z z IL U Z N lal Q w Q =Op CL I OaN dI� I O N CL N M co I m M N 9 LLI =0 > 0 GO Z = N d U Q Lil U J Z J O EE N Q t2 U 3 0 f3 6. H J � Q F- Mry N W O1. \W OI •� — LL . O C H :2 N m Q } Q Z O a� o az _ p J W Z p ai - U- � N L LLI o .L U a o o �= =} 0 IL c�.,V) Q H 0 t 0 NL N < U) O -� M o L IL o a fn p Q m m O n�I M■I !40301 01 O M U Z z IL U Z N lal Q w Q =Op CL I OaN dI� I O N CL N M co I m M N 9 LLI =0 > 0 GO Z = N d U Q Lil U J Z J O EE N Q t2 U 3 W ;• R%L -roc ,,, Ai. mu '*�. - Otk A A . . . . . . . . . . . r L 'A Ah"taka J*__ A ilk' 'A. m A, '14 ok 1 .1 —44 wo A, SOURCE: AERIALS PROVIDED BY: PCS PHOSPHATE COMPANY, INC. 1530 NC HIGHWAY 306 SOUTH, AURORA, NORTH CAROLINA 27806, 252-322-5121, DATE: 2014 Air wil .4' t .4 tir mmu r &Z a monlToring LOcaTlons in Little Creek (Control) PCS PHOSPHATE MINE CONTINUATION 400 0 400 Feet Scale: As shown —Drawn by: BFG/TLJ 71 e Wll 74547/2013 REPORT/2013 STREAM Date• 05/14/14 MONITORING/LITTLE—CREEK-2013.DWG Revision: Approved by : JPS 5-13-09 Figure I-B3 a k monlToring LOcaTlons in Little Creek (Control) PCS PHOSPHATE MINE CONTINUATION 400 0 400 Feet Scale: As shown —Drawn by: BFG/TLJ 71 e Wll 74547/2013 REPORT/2013 STREAM Date• 05/14/14 MONITORING/LITTLE—CREEK-2013.DWG Revision: Approved by : JPS 5-13-09 Figure I-B3 a ,.. VIE . - . • ', -•tom• � 1 - � � `'r}v d'•r,. ../�.•,(��'y�. 1� � �' 1 ?. % .. ` ��' � 1 1��� .�" �S �, +. .. fTs °.+ r .1 . �r, ~i' - f .-rY ,7• i Y{. ' -� �t` +1 v .111 ►' V A,4 (y IL IN - ) lr,t r �`.��+rfl'.r''1 •r l''�Sj 1'ti'J: r - J v�� .. � 'su _,� �rS�, .in r -;,x. - rs \ '�• L•. - • � `o`� , 1 •';! � Z x r, R -r• _ �.. � � ', ytl r �V, � - .acs r •\ Y • • 1 1 • • 1 • - r _ f. - a -t' J �� r _ - , r r. �• ,% fir,. • Y a • • �,y -P• ,mss .' '� .T: J - 7V iar Ark a ' R • ,. _ �f i ♦ad // ,,ter 7 -' - '+ hi � ►• 'S. �� �.d • IY"r � , � .f . .. , z• ,1 .' icy ,Sn�n. Monitoring Locations in -" Aw, XF, (A) Jacobs Creek PCS PHOSPHATE MINE CONTINUATION SOURCE: 400 0 400 Feet Scale: As shown Drawn by: BFG TLJ F 174547/2013 AERIALS PROVIDED BY: PCS PHOSPHATE COMPANY, INC. 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Existing geomorphology conditions at DCUT11 transition zone on 4 February 2014. Parameter Site 1 2 3 Well number - DC11W3B - Site location Lat. 35.373295 Long. - 76.850751 Lat. 35.372704 Long. - 76.850521 Lat. 35.371984 Long. - 76.849989 Channel width (feet) 6.0 5.0 5.0 Channel depth (feet) 0.9 0.7 0.2 Floodplain width (feet) East:5.0 West:50.0 East: 15.0 West:20.0 East:7.0 West:20 Adjacent slope ( %) 20 20 30 Channelized Yes Yes Yes Sediments ( %) detritus sand silt clay muck 5 0 10 0 85 5 0 10 0 85 10 0 10 70 10 Habitat type Marsh Marsh BLHa Transition zone lengthb fe et 525 Parameter Site 4 5 6 Well number DC11 W2B - DC11 W1 B Site location Lat. 35.370088 Long. - 76.849445 Lat. 35.36901 Long. - 76.850203 Lat. 35.387213 Long. - 76.826789 Channel width (feet) 4.0 4.0 8.0 Channel depth (feet) 0.50 0.40 0.70 Floodplain width (feet) 25.0 East: 15.0 West:25 East:20 West:50 Adjacent slope ( %) 30 East: 10.0 West:5.0 East: 10 West: 15 Channelized Yes Yes Yes Sediments ( %) detritus sand silt clay muck 10 0 5 75 10 5 5 0 90 0 10 0 5 80 5 Habitat type BLHa BLHa BLHa Transition zone lengthb fe et 525 a Bottomland hardwood b The transition zone is an estimated length within the system at the transition from little to no salt water influence (swamp forest or bottomland hardwood forest) to brackish marsh. MOM Table l-132. Existing geomorphology conditions at DCUT19 transition zone on 4 February 2014. a Bottomland hardwood b The transition zone is an estimated length within the system at the transition from little to no salt water influence (swamp forest or bottomland hardwood forest) to brackish marsh. W-Spe Site 1 2 3 Parameter Well number - - - Lat. Long. - Lat. Long. - Lat. Long. - Site location 35.387213 76.826997 35.388256 76.82747 35.388256 76.82747 Channel width feet 8.0 3.0 1.8 Channel depth (feet) 0.9 0.4 0.2 Floodplain width (feet) East:50.0 West: 10.0 East:40.0 West: 15.0 East: 15.0 West: 35.0 Adjacent slope (percent) East: 15 West: 10 20 East:20 West: 10 Channelized Yes Yes Yes Sediments ( %) detritus 5 5 5 sand 0 0 0 silt 10 10 5 clay 0 0 10 muck 85 85 80 Habitat type Marsh Marsh BLHa Transition zone lengthb (feet) 450 Site 4 5 6 Parameter Well number DC19W3B - DC19W2B Lat. Long. - Lat. Long. - Lat. Long. - Site location 35.38827 76.827351 35.389338 76.827414 35.389849 76.827399 Channel width (feet) 10.0 1.0 1.5 Channel depth feet 1.00 0.10 0.17 Floodplain width (feet) East:30.0 West:3.0 East: 10.0 West:6.0 East:25.0 West:5.0 Adjacent slope (percent) 10 East:5 West:20 10 Channelized Yes No No Sediments ( %) detritus 5 5 <5 sand 0 0 <5 silt 50 30 20 clay 30 60 70 muck 15 5 <10 Habitat type BLHa BLHa BLHa Transition zone lengthb (feet) 450 a Bottomland hardwood b The transition zone is an estimated length within the system at the transition from little to no salt water influence (swamp forest or bottomland hardwood forest) to brackish marsh. W-Spe C. Cumulative and 2013 Mining, Mine - related Activities, and Drainage Basins Previous monitoring reports frequently referenced basin reductions relative to a percent; however, because the focus of the Corps 404 permit and State 401 certification is Mod Alt L, the percent reduction can be confusing since there are several periods of reference (i.e., pre -Alt E, post -Alt E or pre -Mod Alt L, and post -Mod Alt L) with basin boundaries. Although percent reduction information is shown in Figures I -C1 and I -C2, to avoid confusion, this report emphasizes pre -Mod Alt L basin acreage and basin acreage at the end of the report year. Conditions reflecting the overall mine progress through 2013 are visible in a February 2014 aerial photograph with boundaries of the historic drainage basins, and Alt E and Mod Alt L permits shown (Figure I -C1). A summary of drainage basin alterations (prior to Alt E, Alt E, and Mod Alt L) of monitored creeks is depicted on a LiDAR base map (Figure I -C2). Drainage basin acreages have been estimated using these data. Only Tooley Creek and Drinkwater Creek were affected by continued progress of Mod Alt L in 2013 as described below. The Huddles Cut drainage basin was last reduced by Mod Alt L in 2011 and no additional reductions will occur. 1.0 Drinkwater Creek The 371.9 -acre pre -Mod Alt L Drinkwater Creek basin was reduced by 126.1 acres in 2013 and represents the first year of impacts from Mod Alt L; the current basin is 244.8 acres (Figure I -C3). Previous impacts from Alt E reduced the Drinkwater basin by 44.1 acres. The basin was reduced by approximately 189 acres with the construction of roads and drainage systems /canals prior to Alt E. 2.0 Tooley Creek The 570.6 -acre pre -Mod Alt L Tooley Creek basin was reduced by 97.5 acres in 2013 and the total watershed reduction by Mod Alt L is 313.9 acres (Figure I -C3). The current basin is 256.7 acres (Figure I -C4). Previous Mod Alt L impacts to the Tooley Creek basin were 22.2 acres in 2009, 8.02 acres in 2011, and 186.17 acres in 2012. Previous impacts from Alt E reduced the Tooley watershed by 16.4 acres. Alterations to the basin prior to Alt E increased the basin by approximately 24 acres due to the construction of road and drainage systems /canals. No additional reductions to the Tooley Creek basin will occur as a result of Mod Alt L. I -C -1 v��pM 0 DURHAM CREEK B0IN / Ni K rte... PORTER CREEK MW BASIN V r "- f S WHITEHURST CREEK AND CURRENT MINE Estimated Percent Reduction of Historic Basin through 2013 Creeks Study Creek with Impact Pre Alt E Alt E Mod Alt L Cumulative Huddles Cut 12.13 33.46 25.87 71.45 Tooley Creek 4% increase 2.91 55.76 54.27 Drinkwater Creek 31.40 7.28 20.84 59.52 Jacobs Creek 26.76 3.35 0.00 30.09 Jacks Creek 25.89 24.98 0.00 50.85 Porter Creek 27.35 5.65 0.00 32.99 PAMLICO RIVER BASIN, PORTION OF LEE CREEK BASIN AND CURRENT MINE *',4,# � 0 R,VF HUDDLES CUT 1 I'• BASIN / U' HUDDY GUT _ —1 BASIN UT4 BASIN ° - - - TOOLEY CkEK— I '" SOUTH CREEK / BASIN ` -_ BASIN DRtNkWATER CREEK BASIN \ , : / JACOB REEK / SIN �JUT3 \� J BASIN UT G* \ _ BASIN wv 00, OF / _ I // JACKS CREEK: / -e ` l BASIN \ \ ` / \ SOUTH CREEK • \_ \ BASIN \ Sw \ JSOUTH CREEK / � .. ✓✓ - "BASIN / LEGEND HISTORIC DRAINAGE BASINS BOUNDARI — — — — NCPC Mod Alt L BOUNDARY ••••••••••• NCPC Alt E BOUNDARY SOURCE: AERIALS PROVIDED BY: PCS PHOSPHATE COMPANY, INC. 1530 NC HIGHWAY 306 SOUTH, AURORA, NORTH CAROLINA 27806, 252 - 322 -5121, DATE FLOWN: FEBRUARY 2014 4CO� c� R��+ "j�� _w - < C4#' _ 3,000 0 3,000 Feet F� MINE CONTINUATION THROUGH 2013 PCS PHOSPHATE MINE CONTINUATION Date: 06/20/14 'COMBINED_HI{ST_ �. 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Drought Drought conditions are monitored nationally by several indexes. The US Drought Monitor (http: / /droughtmonitor.unl.edu) provides a synthesis of multiple indices and impacts and reflects the consensus of federal and academic scientists on regional conditions on a weekly basis (updated each Thursday). Reported drought conditions were summarized for the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013 study areas located on the south and north sides of the Pamlico River (Table I -D1). For study creeks on the south side of the Pamlico, 2002 was the driest year reported when 40 weeks (77 percent) of the year had some drought classification. The driest year reported (during monitoring at Duck Creek between 2010 and 2013) on the north side of the Pamlico River occurred in 2011 when 28 weeks (54 percent) of the year were assigned some drought classification. Study areas have never been considered in extreme or exceptional drought, and years 2000, 2003, and 2004 all had normal conditions during those entire years. I -D -1 Table I -D1. Drought conditions for the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013. The drought conditions for each week were provided by the US Drought Monitor. For some weeks, the drought status was different for Duck Creek than the other studied creeks located on the opposite side of the Pamlico River. Monitoring of Duck Creek did not begin until 2010, therefore only drought conditions for the years 2010 -2013 are included in the table. Numbers in the table represent the number of weeks given each classification for that year. 'Includes all studied creeks with the exception of Duck Creek I -D -2 Percent of Weeks Normal Abnormally Moderately Severe Extreme Exceptional with a Drought Location Year Conditions Dry (DO) Dry (D1) Drought (D2) Drought (D3) Drought (D4) Classification Study areas 2000 52 0 0 0 0 0 0 located around 2001 26 17 1 8 0 0 50 South Creek, 2002 12 5 28 7 0 0 77 south side of the 2003 52 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pamlico River' 2004 52 0 0 0 0 0 0 2005 46 6 0 0 0 0 12 2009 27 23 2 0 0 0 48 2010 30 19 3 0 0 0 42 2011 24 11 4 13 0 0 54 2012 28 4 20 0 0 0 46 2013 39 13 0 0 0 0 25 Average 35 9 5 3 0 0 32 Duck Creek, 2010 33 16 3 0 0 0 37 north side of the 2011 24 11 4 13 0 0 54 Pamlico River 2012 28 12 12 0 0 0 46 2013 41 11 0 0 0 0 21 Average 32 13 5 3 0 0 39 'Includes all studied creeks with the exception of Duck Creek I -D -2 E. Extreme Events or Storms If an extreme event or storm in Beaufort County was of the type that it may likely affect rainfall, hydrology, and /or salinity data collected for the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013 then those event dates, types, and descriptions were gathered from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) website (Table I -E1). Hurricanes and /or tropical storms were the events most likely to affect the data, and of the five hurricanes and two tropical storms recorded, Hurricane Irene near the end of August 2011 produced the largest total rainfall (11 -16 inches) and storm surges (7 -11 feet). Other extreme events reported were heavy snow /winter storms, high winds, flash flooding, and severe drought. I -E -1 Table I -E1. Extreme events or storms for the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013. Dates, event types, and event descriptions were derived from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) website. Event types selected for Beaufort County in the Storm Events Database included: Astronomical Low Tide, Blizzard, Coastal Flood, Drought, Excessive Heat, Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Flash Flood, Flood, Heavy Rain, Heavy Snow, High Wind, Hurricane (Typhoon), Storm Surge/Tide, Strong Wind, Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm, and Winter Storm. Event types were selected based on likelihood to affect rainfall, hydrology, and /or salinity data. Some events are not shown in the table if they were repeat data. For example, if a Hurricane and a Storm Surge/Tide event were on the same date, the Storm Surge/Tide event is not shown. Events that may have been severe in other counties of North Carolina, but were minor in Beaufort County, are also not shown. Date Type Event Description 3- Dec -00 Snow Average of 6 inches of snow across Coastal Plain. Reports of 9 of 13 inches were not uncommon. 23- Jan -03 Winter Storm 4 to 8 inches of snow in Beaufort County. 17- Sep -03 Hurricane Hurricane Isabel. Category 2 hurricane. Storm surge values were around 7 feet. Wind gusts around 100 mph. 7- Mar -04 High winds Wind gusts 50 to 72 mph. 3- Aug -04 Hurricane Hurricane Alex. Category 2 hurricane. Storm surge values were 1 to 3 feet. Sustained winds around 100 mph. 14- Aug -04 Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Charley. Wind gusts 40 to 50 mph. Storm rainfall 4 to 6 inches. Freshwater flooding reported. 13- Sep -05 Hurricane Hurricane Ophelia. Category 1 hurricane. Maximum sustained winds 85 mph. Total rainfall 4 to 9 inches. 8- Oct -05 Flash Flood Remnants of Tropical Storm Tammy. Over 3 days, total of 6 to 8 inches of rainfall. 12- Feb -10 Snow 4 to 7 inches of snow. 27- Sep -10 Heavy Rainfall total 6 to 8 inches. Significant flooding in low lying areas and along small streams, especially in Washington, Rain NC. Severe drought (D2) began affecting eastern NC in early June. Since the previous winter, precipitation had been well 1- Jun -11 Drought below normal. Streamflows were well below normal. Groundwater conditions were listed as much below to record low levels across the region. I -E -2 Table I -E1 (concluded). Date Event Type Event Description Severe drought (D2) began affecting eastern NC in early June. Since the previous winter, precipitation had been 1- Jul -11 Drought well below normal. Streamflows were well below normal. Groundwater conditions were listed as much below to record low levels across the region. Severe drought (D2) began affecting eastern NC in early June. Since the previous winter, precipitation had been 1- Aug -11 Drought well below normal. Streamflows were well below normal. Groundwater conditions were listed as much below to record low levels across the region. 26- Aug -11 Hurricane Hurricane Irene. Large category 1 hurricane. Storm surges 7 -11 feet along Pamlico River. Winds 50 to 60 mph with 90 mph gusts. Total rainfall 11 to 16 inches. Extensive freshwater flooding. 28- Oct -12 Hurricane Hurricane Sandy. Maximum wind gusts 50 mph. Highest storm surge measured was 2 to 3 feet. Total rainfall 2.5 inches. 6- Jun -13 Tropical Storm Tropical Storm Andrea. Sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph with 50 mph gusts. Total rainfall 3.5 inches. I -E -3 F. Rainfall For general summary information about local rainfall over the course of the study, monthly rainfall from the PCS- Aurora NOAA Station 6N was used (Figure I -F1, Table I -F1). Over the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013, annual rainfall totals from WETS station PCS- Aurora NOAA Station 6N fell below the WETS 30th percentile for five years (2001, 2002, and 2011- 2013) and were greater than the WETS 70th percentile for 2003 and 2005 (Table I -F1). Annual totals were the greatest in 2003 with nine months of above normal rainfall and the least in 2011 with eight months below normal rainfall. In 2013, a new rain gauge was installed near the monitoring locations in DCUT19 bringing the total rain gauges used in the study to seven, including PCS Aurora 6N. I -F -1 Monthly Rainfall Totals at PCS Aurora NOAA Station 6N and 30 -Year WETS Rainfall (2000 -2005) 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 • 6.00 • • 4.00 2.00 0.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 - • 6.00 4.00 2.00 — • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 0.00 • 'd, atO °1 aJ 5 ° �a 01 0 0 a� ,0 Ip 0 y0 0 , p 17 a Q Ib a� • Total Monthly Rainfall WETS 30 Percentile WETS 70 Percentile Figure I -F1. Rainfall summary across years of creeks study: monthly totals at PCS Aurora Station 6N compared to 30 -year WETS rainfall. • • • • 1 • • 411 >a� 4S1 411 >a� 49 >a� -Y 9 °J • Total Monthly Rainfall WETS 30 Percentile WETS 70 Percentile Monthly Rainfall Totals at PCS Aurora NOAA Station 6N and 30 -Year WETS Rainfall (2009 -2013) • I -F -2 Table I -F1. Monthly and annual rainfall totals across the years 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013 for NOAA Station Aurora 6N. Bolded values denote precipitation totals that fall below the WETS 30 percentile. Italicized values denote precipitation totals that are above the WETS 70 percentile. Percentiles and averages are based on rainfall data from 1973 -2000. Year January February March April May June July August September October November December Annual 2000 4.89 3.09 3.19 5.60 3.40 3.77 5.13 10.17 7.05 0.19 3.16 3.29 52.93 2001 1.60 3.06 3.08 1.73* 2.27* 10.06* 5.91 * 4.53* 0.72* 2.41 * 1.48* 0.99* 37.80 2002 4.75* 1.93* 4.87* 3.55* 2.21* 3.11* 5.10* 3.68* 3.70* 3.69* 3.30* 2.77* 42.66 2003 1.74* 5.00* 5.64* 6.21* 10.04* 3.75* 8.28* 8.62* 6.19* 4.57* 2.20* 8.44* 70.68 2004 1.56* 5.17* 2.18* 4.13* 2.31* 5.13 2.96 8.33 7.70 1.75* 3.37* 2.66* 47.25 2005 3.11 2.52* 3.55 3.39* 7.13* 5.75 5.54 3.28 4.01 12.74* 2.31 3.90 57.23 2009 2.51 0.99 4.11 1.32 7.56 5.78 5.34 8.43 2.83 1.70 7.72* 5.34* 53.63 2010 4.07 5.13 3.33 0.37* 1.48 4.76 4.85 6.21 11.36 6.83 1.14 3.06 52.59 2011 3.23* 2.38* 3.43 1.96 0.71* 1.29* 1.12* 0.71* 6.16* 0.97* 1.65* 0.46* 24.07 2012 1.59* 0.94* 0.11* 1.09* 6.91* 1.20* 5.96* 8.36* 3.16* 5.00* 0.63* 2.43* 37.38 2013 2.11 * 4.92* 1.08* 3.49* 2.38* 5.49* 4.71 * 4.18* 3.71 * 2.39* 4.18* 0.53* 39.17 WETS 30 Percentile 3.16 2.21 3.07 2.11 2.78 3.25 3.93 4.44 2.46 1.71 1.89 2.15 45.25 WETS 70 Percentile 4.99 3.71 4.77 4.00 5.12 5.51 7.02 7.54 5.56 4.04 3.48 4.04 54.09 WETS Average 4.26 3.13 4.09 3.32 4.26 4.64 5.87 6.35 4.55 3.31 2.90 3.35 50.03 *Months with at least one missing daily observation. I -F -3 G. Tar River Discharge Average daily Tar River discharge at Greenville, NC and PCS Aurora NOAA Station 6N rainfall for all years included in analysis for this report are shown in Figure I -G1 (2002 -2005 and 2009 - 2013). Rainfall upstream of the PCS weather station is not shown, but of course is often a large contributor to downstream discharge. The PCS rainfall is included to show those periods when local rainfall is coincident with increased discharge. Kruskal - Wallis one -way ANOVA on Ranks comparisons among years indicated that later years (2009 -2013) tend to be significantly different from earlier years (2000- 2005); the earlier years had higher median discharges. The later years were not significantly different from each other, with the exception of 2013, which was significantly higher than all later years and significantly different than two earlier years (higher than 2001 and lower than 2004). In the earlier years, only a few years were significantly different from each other with the exception of 2003, which was significantly higher than all other earlier years and also significantly higher than all later years. (Table I -F1 shows that 2003 Aurora Station 6N rainfall was above the WETS 30- year average for nine months of the year; a possible reflection of a regionally wet year.) Yearly average discharge ranged between 1,500 -3,000 cfs over all years. The daily discharge at Greenville, NC is typically evaluated in conjunction with salinity data to determine if there is an effect on salinity levels. This analysis is found in Section III -A. I -G -1 20000 18000 16000 14 000 12000 C) N 10000 Cy 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Tar River Average Daily Discharge and PCS- Aurora Daily Rainfall (2999 -2445 and 2499 - 2013) ................ .. . .... ... ...... ..................... ...... . . . . .. - - .. . .... - -- ........................................... .. ... ..... ..... ... ..... ..... ... ............. .......... .. ...... . _. .. ..... ..---- ..---- .------ .--- -. - - -- ............ -- - - -_.. - - - -- ..------ .. .------ ................ .......------ .. - - -- .._ ................ ._ .... .. ................. ........... ............................... ................ ......... ............. ...... ............................................................... ...... ...... ............... .......... .. O O O O O III H .'V CV CV CV CO CO C'l C) 't It U) ui L -. L i m 6i vi (m O O O - C4 N C CO O O O O Q O O O O O O O Q O O O O O O O O O - Q` O O O rn ti co co It tv w ti co CO .;d- cv r o o co to In CO o as M n un n -;I- o CO m ti u1 CO CO ti o co zt CO _ iJ] (0 m N CO (0 m N CO w m N n CO m N n N if J m N U-) m N U_j m r N in m T � PCS - Aurora Rainfall Tar River Average Daily Discharge Figure I -G1. Tar River average daily discharge at Greenville, NC and PCS Aurora NOAA Station 6N daily rainfall across the years of the creeks study. I -G -2 14.0 13.0 12.0 11.0 10.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 ,.0 0.0 .-1 N 4i t V C Oe! II. CORPS PERMIT SPECIAL CONDITIONS S SIX QUESTIONS A. Question 1- Has mining altered the amount or timing of water flows within the creeks? Flow: Monitoring since 1998 has shown that the upper systems (unidirectional stream portion) of the study creeks are driven primarily by local precipitation and baseflow. The lower estuarine portions of the systems (bidirectional creek portion) are wind -tide driven and very subject to region -wide precipitation and Tar River discharge. Monitoring of flow via weirs in Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut by Skaggs et al. from 1999- 2010 (in various combinations per creek) showed that within the unidirectional portion of the systems, approximately 1 to 3 percent of modeled flow is delivered from the upstream basins. Never having been quantified before, this percent was lower than many may have predicted or expected. Some of the weir locations were within the 2009 permit boundary and /or the drainage basin was so reduced at some other weir locations that they were abandoned. In order to continue to monitor flow via weirs, new locations would have been placed further downstream within the bidirectional portion of the systems in some instances. With these restrictions and understanding of the low percent contribution of upstream flow to the primary nursery areas, the Science Panel agreed that flow monitoring was not needed. The very shallow and intermittent nature of the upper systems of these creeks does not allow use of traditional stream gauges. PCS then elected to install a new product in beta development, a low flow gauge, to monitor the unidirectional portions of the systems. Low flow units were installed in the upper portions of two creeks in 2011 (Duck Creek and Porter Creek). Since then, the product development has been stalled; delivery and deployment of additional units is uncertain and monitoring of the installed units ceased in 2013. Beginning in March 2012, during visits to other equipment located at or near the intended low -flow gauge locations, biologists made qualitative observations of flow (none, low, medium, or high) and noted water depths. For the newly added creeks, there are no earlier flow data for comparison, but flow observation information will continue to be collected in lieu of low - flow gauges. Videos of flow are also taken at these locations throughout the year which are available upon request from CZR. Like the earlier flow monitoring done by Skaggs in the bidirectional reaches of Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut, flow events in Duck Creek and Porter Creek appear to be related to precipitation and baseflow. Answer: It appears that regional environmental differences in Tar River discharge, fluctuations in wind tides, and local precipitation continue to have a large effect on the fluctuations of flow within these creeks, which make it difficult to attribute all change directly to the activities of the mine. Appendix B contains the 2013 flow observation table. 11 B. Question 2- Has mining altered the geomorphic or vegetative character of the creeks? Geomorphology: Current geomorphology of Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut has not been compared to baseline geomorphology. Exact locations of the 1998 baseline measurements were not spatially explicit, so follow -up measurements may not be collected in the same place. In addition, while effort was made to collect useful data at the time, the measures used were fairly subjective. Replication of the effort by different biologists may indicate a "change" driven by interpretive bias. For example, the amount of water in the system at the time of measurement could affect two measures considerably: floodplain width and adjacent slope. Nonetheless, baseline geomorphology was described for all the new creeks in the study in 2011 using the same measures as in 1998. Vegetation: Due to transition years and the rearrangement of pre- and post -Mod Alt L years, Huddles Cut is the only creek with pre- and post -Mod Alt L vegetation data; Tooley Creek will have one year of post -data after 2014 sampling. The composition of dominants in the two monitored strata varies among years and within creeks with longer data sets (Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut). Preliminary SIMPER analysis shows a difference in the composition of dominant species pre- and post -Mod Alt L on both prongs of Huddles Cut. On the west prong, the two groupings were 60.6 percent dissimilar (based on the Bray- Curtis similarity measure), largely due to the presence of a brackish tolerant species, eastern baccharis ( Baccharis halimifolia), as a dominant species in the post years and not in the pre -year. That species contributed 20 percent of the dissimilarity between pre- and post - years, while the remaining species contributed 6.7 percent or less. On the main prong, the two groupings were 69.0 percent dissimilar (based on the Bray - Curtis similarity measure). No one species contributed a large amount to the difference. All species contributed 5.7 percent or less. A visual difference in the plant community in Huddles Cut between the last year of sampling (2010 main prong, 2011 west prong) and 2013 was evident, possibly due in part to Hurricane Irene in 2011. However, it does not appear that mining has altered the jurisdictional wetland status of the vegetation at Huddles Cut. Scattered over the years and along the creek, a few non - wetland species have been dominant in many transects; however, a shift towards non - wetland vegetation has not been detected. Conversely, there has been a shift in dominant species based on their tolerance to brackish conditions (Figures 11 -131, II -132, 11 -133, 11 -134, II -135 and 11 -B6). Although there are a few exceptions in the three (main prong) and four (west prong) years of data at Huddles Cut, the percentage of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions has tended to decrease over the years (Figures 11 -137, a. New dominants tend to be more tolerant of brackish conditions. At the main prong of Huddles Cut, the post -Mod Alt L percentages of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions have significantly decreased (p =0.03, Figure 11 -131). (The amounts also decreased at the west prong, but not significantly; Figure 11 -134.) The only other creek with long -term vegetation data for this report, Jacks Creek, showed strong decreasing trends in dominant brackish intolerant species over the monitoring period at two transects (Figure 11 -139). However, this change in both creeks could be driven by the regional increase in salinity due to possible sea level rise as evidenced by canopy dieback across many other creeks and estuaries within the Pamlico River basin. At the other study creeks without drainage basin impacts, where monitoring began in 2011, the percentage of dominant species intolerant of E-9 brackish conditions has stayed the same each year or fluctuated over the three monitored years without a strong trend. Except for Long Creek, the other transects are located further upstream than those at Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and Jacks Creek and increases in salinity might not reach that far upstream. The average numbers of dominant species and species present are similar among the different creeks. Also, the tree canopies at the different creeks range from sparse or non - existent to moderately dense but have similar tree species. For more information on the vegetation at the other creeks and Huddles Cut, refer to Section III -E. Hydrology: While hydrology (including salinity) strongly influences the composition of species at the creeks, detectable effects on vegetation from hydrologic alterations can be slow to appear and are dependent on the degree and speed of changes in hydrology. Many wells show similar behavior in most creeks, with upstream hydroperiods typically shorter than downstream hydroperiods. Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut are the only creeks with post -Mod Alt hydrology data. There are no significant differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L data (overall and at each well) at any of these three creeks (Figures 11-1310, 1311, and B12), although post -Mod Alt L average hydroperiods are lower than pre -Mod Alt L hydroperiods at one of the Drinkwater wells (Figure II -1313), the most upstream wells on both arms of Tooley Creek (Figure II -1314), and most Huddles Cut wells (Figure II -1315). Mod Alt L activities began in Drinkwater Creek in 2013, and by the end of 2013, the approximately 372 acre pre -Mod Alt L drainage basin had been reduced to approximately 245 acres. Mod Alt L activities in the Tooley Creek drainage basin ceased after 2013, leaving approximately 257 acres in its drainage basin out of the approximately 571 acres in the drainage basin pre -Mod Alt L. Mod Alt L activities in the Huddles Cut drainage basin ceased after 2011, leaving approximately 289 acres in its drainage basin out of the approximately 551 acres in the drainage basin pre -Mod Alt L. The reduced wetland hydroperiods for the two most upstream wells on the west prong of Huddles Cut (discussed in Section III -B) might have been a result of either drainage basin reduction or mine dewatering for the mine advance, or a combination of the two. However, one of the wells still recorded a wetland hydroperiod post - Mod Alt L. It is also possible drainage basin reductions might have influenced the shorter wetland hydroperiods at the upstream wells at Tooley Creek. Rainfall must also be considered in hydrology analysis because it can influence hydrology, at least to some degree, in most wetland systems. Only two of the earlier monitoring years (2000 -2005) had many weeks of regional drought. All of the more recent years (2009- 2013) had many weeks with some drought status, but 2013 had the least amount of regional drought weeks in recent years. However, local 2013 rainfall was the lowest or second lowest amount across all monitoring years (range of years differs among creeks). These rainfall /hydroperiod variations make it difficult to directly correlate mine activities to a decrease in wetland hydroperiod. Rainfall is not a primary influence at all wells in each creek. At Jacks Creek, six of the 14 wells continued to have a wetland hydroperiod the entire 2013 growing season while six wells recorded shorter hydroperiods in 2013 than 2012, which shows some wells are less dependent on rainfall than others. Wetland hydroperiods at one well at Drinkwater Creek (the one in the middle of the creek channel) have increased each of the three monitoring years, while the other two (on either side of the creek channel) have fluctuated (with different patterns). Wetland hydroperiods at both of the Long Creek wells have also increased each of the three monitoring years, even though rainfall was less than 2012. At Tooley Creek, five of the six wells recorded shorter wetland hydroperiods in 2013, as would be expected with less rainfall than last year. At the main prong of Huddles Cut, 11 of the 12 wells recorded longer hydroperiods than E-99 2012 or continued to have a wetland hydroperiod the entire growing season, which seems to show those wells are less dependent on rainfall. The wells on the west prong behaved differently from those on the main prong; five of the eight recorded shorter hydroperiods in 2013, and two of the five (the most upstream wells) recorded the shortest hydroperiods of the years included in this report, which might be expected based on rainfall. One of those two did not record any days with wetland water levels. These two wells are fairly close to the Mod Alt L mine boundary and presumably receive less runoff from the surrounding basin post -Mod Alt L. At Porter Creek, the newer wells, which are further downstream than the older wells, have longer wetland hydroperiods than the older wells, which typically have fairly short wetland hydroperiods. Two of the three newer wells (on either side of the creek channel) recorded shorter wetland hydroperiods in 2013, while the one in the middle of the creek continued to have a wetland hydroperiod the entire growing season. However, all six of the older wells recorded longer wetland hydroperiods in 2013 than 2012. Over the years these Porter Creek wells have not appeared to be strongly influenced by rainfall because there have been other years where rainfall has increased or decreased and the hydroperiods did the opposite of the rain. The wells at Duck Creek appear to be influenced to some degree by rainfall as seven of the eight wells recorded shorter wetland hydroperiods in 2013. Answer: Specific changes in geomorphology cannot be confidently addressed at this time due to the qualitative nature of baseline measures. However, as reported in 2012 report, in the case of the most upstream areas of the west prong of Huddles Cut, a discontinuous and unstable lithology unit called the Croatan Clay appears to have caused the formation of two depressions as the mine operations advanced through the basin. With the rearrangement of years considered post -Mod Alt L and the fact that no monitoring occurs either during a transition year or the first year after a transition year, it is premature to confidently address long term effects on vegetation in this year's report. However, a few pertinent statements can be made: after three years of adjustment to the last mine impacts which occurred in 2010, no shift to non - wetland vegetation has been detected in Huddles Cut; both Huddles Cut and Jacks Creek show a trend of fewer dominant species considered brackish intolerant, a likely effect of regional sea -level rise; and the average number of species present and dominant species are similar among the different creeks. While no significant differences were found between pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod length for any wells in the three creeks affected by Mod Alt L, the hydroperiods of one of the wells in Drinkwater Creek, the uppermost wells in Tooley Creek, and the west prong of Huddles Cut, might potentially be affected by mine dewatering and a reduced drainage basin based on their proximity to the mine advance. Except for one of the upstream wells on the west prong of Huddles Cut, all other wells at the three creeks had jurisdictional wetland hydroperiods in 2013. Many wells appear to be influenced in the short -term by large rain events, or several in a short amount of time, but some do not appear to be influenced in the long -term and their hydroperiods do not always respond logically to rainfall. These rainfall /hydroperiod variations make it difficult to directly correlate mine activities to a decrease in wetland hydroperiod in all cases. It also appears that some wells are influenced by Tar River discharge and wind tides, which adds to the interpretation difficulties. M. 100 90 V) V) o 80 a E5 70 O L 60 M w C Y E 50 Om 40 0 0 �a 30 2 d ° 20 10 0 Huddles Main Prong u Pre -Mod Alt L Post -Mod Alt L Figure II -131. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Huddles Cut Main Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L. 100 90 V) m C 80 �.O -- 80 a C 70 O U 70 L 60 Y 60 E 50 O i 50 � m 40 O O 40 C C 30 N O 30 i N 20 O 10 o_ zo 10 0 ,LAOS Vd, VI& TO" V11- TO" VIII Year Figure II -132. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Huddles Cut Main Prong with all transects combined. 110 Huddles Main Prong HMW8 HMW9 HMW6 HMW10 HMW5 HMW2 HMW12 100 rz 90 U o v 80 N 0 0-0 U) U 70 s= � 60 cvo 0 m 50 0o 0 0 40 s= � v L 30 N O 0_ 20 10 0 Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Figure II -133. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at each transect on Huddles Cut Main Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L. I 110 100 w 90 m .o 80 � C a U 70 C L C_ Y 60 E �° m 50 `o `0 40 C C 2 30 0- o 20 10 Huddles West Prong p =0.03 • Pre -Mod Alt L Post -Mod Alt L Figure II -134. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Huddles Cut West Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L. 110 100 T T N c 90 0 100 a 80 CL c 80 �_O (j 70 C 60 c Y 60 E U o 40 m 50 0 ° 30 C �5 40 PCo a 30 Q) o 0- , 20 10 0 ,Lp00 20p9 2010 211 2012 2013 201A Year Figure II -135. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Huddles Cut West Prong with all transects combined. Huddles West Prong Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Figure II -136. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at each transect on Huddles Cut West Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L. m 110 100 90 80 QC: U) U 70 C CO Y 60 ° 50 r m 40 C L 30 a) a tl c 20 10 0 Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Figure II -136. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at each transect on Huddles Cut West Prong pre- vs post -Mod Alt L. m DOWNSTREAM luu 90 80 m70 0 60 50 m 40 30 a 20 10 0 90 80 m 70 0 60 50 m 40 30 a 20 10 0 MIDSTREAM ,Lo11n 209y 2611 2011 2611 2611 261, 2006 v"', 2010 2011 2012 2013 201, 00 100 90 90 HMW9 e0 e0 m 70 m 70 0 60 60 50 • - 50 v m � m 40 m 40 30 30 a 20 a 20 10 10 0 0 20116 V& 2010 2011 201 2015 2010. 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 v", 100 90 80 m 70 0 60 - 50 m m 40 30 a 20 10 0 Year V61 2009 2010 2011 2012 201 2014 Year UPSTREAM 100 90 80 m 70 0 60 - 50 m m 40 30 a 20 10 0 200 100 90 80 m 70 0 60 - 50 m m 40 30 a 20 10 0 HMW12 2p96 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 201, Year Year Figure II -137. Percent of brackish intolerant species every year at each Huddles Cut Main Prong transect. :. 100 N c 90 O O 0 80 n c O U U 70 c s c i2 60 E U O 50 CO O 40 c c U N 30 N p 0_ c 20 10 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 110 100 N c 90 O O 0 80 c n O U U 70 c s c 60 U O 50 om a 40 c c O 30 N p o_ c zo 10 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year 110 100 N c 90 O O 0 80 n c 0 U U 70 c s c 12 60 U O o m 50 a ° 40 c c 30 U N N p o_ - zo 10 0 HWW2 (In June and July 2009, 5 of the 10 monitoring plots were eliminated by mine activities.) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 110 100 y o 90 HWW8 Y 0 80 o c • O U U 70 c s • c 60 U O 50 • 07 40 c c W m 30 O N p o_ c zo 10 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year DOWNSTREAM MIDSTREAM UPSTREAM Figure 11 -138. Percent of brackish intolerant species every year at each Huddles Cut West Prong transect. MM DOWNSTREAM 7 JW5- Pre -Mod Alt L r2 =0.2 i99 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20062010 2011 2012 2013 20 110 110 100 110 100 JW7- pre -Mod Alt L JW9- Pre -Mod Alt L 90 oso 90 rz =0.2 a 100 0 U U 0 90 0 80 70 • 0 80 0 U 70 60 • 0 U E U ❑ m 70 - y 60 O O 40 O o m - 60 = Y E 50 30 E ❑ m `o `0 30 m 50 20 40 20 • • `o ° 40 10 • 0 v 30 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 006 010 2011 2012 2013 2014 30 o_ zo o_ - - zo 10 0 0 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1 7 JW5- Pre -Mod Alt L r2 =0.2 i99 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20062010 2011 2012 2013 20 UPSTREAM JW3- Pre -Mod Alt L rz =0.8 • • • i99 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 0K2010 201 Year „o ,00 90 0 80 �a � O 70 r, U p y 60 C i2 E 50 O m ❑ 40 0 0 30 d 20 a 0 -10 UPSTREAM 4 JW9 JW5 JW7 JW3 JW2 110 100 o so a 80 U 70 0 60 JW2- Pre -Mod Alt L rz =0.8 0 50 ❑ m O O 40 30 o a 20 10 0 I4 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 01 Year Figure II -139. Percent of brackish intolerant species at each Jacks Creek transect every year and all years combined. :: . • 2011 2012 2013 2014 110 110 100 100 JW7- pre -Mod Alt L 90 oso r2 =0.01 eo a 80 U U 70 70 • m L 60 2 60 • 0 50 E U ❑ m p m $0 O O 40 O o 40 • • • m m U `m 30 • `m 30 o_ 20 a ° _ 20 • • ,o 10 • 0 0 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 006 010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1999 UPSTREAM JW3- Pre -Mod Alt L rz =0.8 • • • i99 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 0K2010 201 Year „o ,00 90 0 80 �a � O 70 r, U p y 60 C i2 E 50 O m ❑ 40 0 0 30 d 20 a 0 -10 UPSTREAM 4 JW9 JW5 JW7 JW3 JW2 110 100 o so a 80 U 70 0 60 JW2- Pre -Mod Alt L rz =0.8 0 50 ❑ m O O 40 30 o a 20 10 0 I4 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 01 Year Figure II -139. Percent of brackish intolerant species at each Jacks Creek transect every year and all years combined. :: . • 2011 2012 2013 2014 250 T CU 200 0 Q 150 0 T 2 C 100 O C 0 J 50 0 Pre -Mod Alt L Drinkwater Creek Post -Mod Alt L 100 80 c (0 C 60 CU m C C 40 Q O on co 20 Q 0 Figure II -1310. Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and mean rainfall for each period in Drinkwater Creek. 250 200 O Q 150 O T 100 N c O J 50 0 Pre Tooley Creek Post .. 80 42 60 c c 40 Q N 12 N 20 Q 0 Figure II -1311. Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and mean rainfall for each period in Tooley Creek. Huddles Cut 250 200 a a 0 a 150 0 -o 2 N 100 0 a� 0 J 50 0 100 80 m 60 .� Of m 40 Q 0 a� m 0 20 Q 0 Pre Post Pre Post Figure II -1312. Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod and mean rainfall for each period in Huddles Cut. 250 T CO 200 a 0 a 150 -`o 2 15 100 a� 0 J 50 0 Drinkwater Creek DWW1A DWW1B DWW1C TI • 1 • Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Figure II -1313. Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod for each well in Drinkwater Creek (all in same relative position across floodplain). 250 200 m a p 150 Q 0 100 2 0 50 c 0 J 0 Tooley Creek Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Figure II -1314. Longest combined pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydroperiod for each well in Tooley Creek relative to location in the creek system. 250 200 CO F., a 150 0 T 2 in 100 N O) C O J 50 0 250 > 200 F CL 150 0 T 2 C 100 a� c 0 J a nuuulub iwan i ri ui iy MW8- HMW7= HMW9- HMW6= HMW10- HMW5- HMW4- HMW3- HMW11= HMW2-HMW12 HM W1 -UPSTREAM Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Qo Huddles West Prong HWW7 - HWW6 HWW5 HWW4 = HWW3 HWW2 HWW8 HWW9 • UPSTREAM Figure II -1315. Huddles Cut main prong and west prong pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydrology for each well relative to location in creek system. II -13-11 C. Question 3- Has mining altered the forage base of the creeks? Fish: Multivariate cluster analysis of fish species composition and abundance from all creeks and all sampling years' revealed six distinct groups (Figure II -C1). Groups A, B, and C each contained only a single year. Group F consisted of all creeks /years sampled by fyke net except for one creek/year which comprised Group A. Groups D and E were the most similar among the six groups and contained 83 percent of the data set. Also of note, all Jacks Creek years (2000 -2005, 2011 -2013) and all Muddy Creek years (except for 2011 which comprised Group C), clustered together within the two groups. A summary of the average catch per unit effort (CPUE) of dominant species across the six groups is shown in Table II -C1 and can be used to see what species drive the separation of the groups. Group A (DCUT11 2013) had the least similar fish assemblage makeup from all other creeks and years and was the most dissimilar from Groups D and E driven by dissimilarities in CPUE of spot (Leiostomus xanthurus), mummichog (Fundulus heteroclitus), Atlantic croaker (Micropogonias undulates), pumpkinseed (Lepomis gibbosus), bay anchovy (Anchoa mitchilll), and pinfish (Lagodon rhomboides) (Table II -C1). Group B consisted only of PA2 2011 and was more similar to Groups D and E than Groups A and F. Differences between Group B and both Groups D and E were driven by dissimilarities in CPUE of eastern mudminnow (Umbra pygmaea), rainwater killifish (Lucania parva), inland silverside (Menidia beryllina), Atlantic croaker, mummichog, spot, and pinfish (Table II -C1). Group C consisted only of Muddy Creek 2011 and was more similar to Groups D and E than Groups A, B, and F. Differences between Group C and both Groups D and E were driven by dissimilarities in CPUE of Atlantic croaker, spot, bay anchovy, inland silverside, Atlantic menhaden (Brevoortia tyrannus), and pinfish (Table II -C1). Excluding Group A, all other fyke net creek /years clustered in Group F and these two groups were the first and second most dissimilar from all other creeks and years. Although more species contributed to dissimilarities in CPUE between Group F and Groups A, B, C, D, and E, the main difference was the abundance of mummichog collected in fyke nets from both Huddles Cut and DCUT19. All pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years at Huddles Cut clustered together in Group F and all pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years at Tooley Creek also clustered within one single group, Group D. Additionally, all Tooley Creek Mod -Alt L sampling years clustered with corresponding years from Jacks Creek (all pre -Mod Alt L years) and Muddy Creek (except for 2011) and also clustered with representative years in other sampled pre -Mod Alt L creeks and control creeks. Conversely, Drinkwater Creek pre- and post -Mod Alt L years did not cluster together; instead, both pre -Mod Alt L years clustered under Group D and the 2013 post -Mod Alt L year clustered in Group E. However, it is not valid to assume reduction of the drainage basin of Drinkwater Creek in 2013 altered the 2013 fish assemblage since the sole post -Mod Alt L year was grouped among other pre -Mod Alt L creeks /years and control creeks /years. Comparison of interannual variability by means of ANOSIM detected no spatial differences of significance between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages within drainage basins of Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and Drinkwater Creek, and therefore, do not further indicate that mining activities have altered fish communities. There is no statistical or ecological indication that there is any detectable difference between the three creeks comparing pre- and post -Mod Alt L years. II -C -1 Grass shrimp: This fauna was not enumerated as part of the creeks study until the new monitoring plan was implemented in 2011. More detailed qualitative information is now collected in conjunction with fish collections (trawling at all creeks except Huddles Cut, DCUT11, and DCUT19 where fyke nets are used). The limited data prevent detailed evaluation; however, grass shrimp were most frequently captured (100 percent) from Little Creek and least frequently captured (15 percent) from DCUT11 upstream and downstream fyke nets in 2013. Numbers were highest at both PA2 in 2011 and Jacobs Creek in 2012 (40) and lowest (2) at Porter Creek in 2011 (Table II -C2). Among the post -Mod Alt L creeks, the frequencies at which grass shrimp are captured and the numbers collected were lowest in post -Mod Alt L 2013 for Drinkwater Creek and declined at Tooley Creek for post -Mod Alt L years 2012 and 2013; 2013 was also the lowest year for all years at both Huddles Cut and for all years at Drinkwater. However, similar variability is also experienced within several other creeks. No apparent trend was detected from only three years of data. Benthos: under construction, to be included. Answer: No change in fish forage base due to mining is apparent. The multivariate cluster analysis of fish for all creeks and all sampling years reveals some differences based on gear type (fyke net vs trawl) but does not reveal distinct changes in fish assemblages due to mine activities within the drainage basins of Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and /or Drinkwater Creek. Variability in the frequency and numbers of grass shrimp collected in all creeks makes it very difficult to discern any mine related spatial patterns in the abundance of grass shrimp. Benthic answer text to be added. I I -C -2 0 20 40 �i C N 60 on., 1001 PCS Fish Collections: Managed Species Group average Pre -Mod Alt L t Post -Mod Alt L Control Creek /Year Figure II -C1. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among fish species for all creeks and years sampled [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). I I -C -3 B C D E F i M O 0 ' ' , m m ' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 , O D1 N O a 0 0 0 M) N F2 N S O O O M O O m 0 0 0 O fn O P1 fM m (� F2 O C 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N O O m p N N N N N N N 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N O N N N N N N N N N N 1 d d Q m m 0 Y C N O 9 a O V 1 J O N N N N N N N V V N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Y d d Z� N a C 'O 'O Y 'O 'O m Y Y N U 7 m O O O>> O 5'0'0 J J N >> Oz m m U O N N N N N (.4 N N N N N 3. Q V 'O Q Y O Y y U a J, a N 18-6 N J {p 7 ° ° ^ ^r7 J37777dd�J' ° t4 = 2 = ^� ?:R- A AA /��7 /���SL FSp° jQ�j ^L F {� ° 0 41uJIrt= �0 r7l'IJIQo4 Creek /Year Figure II -C1. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among fish species for all creeks and years sampled [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). I I -C -3 Table II -C1. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) for the most abundant fish species captured across six groups identified by cluster analysis performed for all PCS fish collection sampling years April, May, and June of 2000 through 2005, and 2009 through 2013. Common name Scientific name Average CPUEa Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Group F Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.94 44.11 0.27 Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 0.00 17.23 0.00 5.65 16.68 39.10 Bay anchovy Anchoa mitchilli 0.00 1.85 0.00 8.16 18.21 0.56 Eastern mudminnow Umbra pygmaea 0.08 120.15 0.85 10.46 0.29 1.27 Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 0.00 20.92 9.69 3.74 0.79 2.58 Mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus 32.54 34.77 0.08 0.17 0.00 254.86 Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 0.08 22.38 0.92 41.46 3.14 11.35 Pumpkinseed Lepomis gibbosus 12.31 0.15 0.00 0.10 0.19 2.26 Rainwater killifish Lucania parva 0.00 70.00 1.38 5.85 0.25 0.76 Sheepshead minnow Cyprinodon variegatus 0.92 1.69 0.00 0.01 0.00 25.74 Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 0.31 61.31 30.69 108.32 155.21 82.05 Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 0.00 2.62 0.00 0.10 0.02 24.46 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximately 16 hour set of fyke nets or one minute, 75 -yard trawl. I I -C -4 Table II -C2. Summary of trawling and fyke net shrimp and crab catch frequency and score data from 2011, 2012, and 2013. Fyke nets were used to fish DCUT 11, DCUT19, and Huddles Cut. "(Up)" indicates the upstream fyke net and "(Down)" indicates the downstream fyke net. Score is based on the frequency of catch and number of individuals caught and used to compare species' usage among creeks. I I -C -5 Long Creek Jacks Creek Muddy Creek (Control) Jacobs Creek Porter Little Creek (Control) PA2 Frequency % Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Frequency % Total Score Total Score Frequency % Total Score Frequency % 2012 2013 2011 2012 Total Score 2011 2012 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 8 2011 2012 2013 Penaid Shrimp 46 15 15 6 2 5 54 31 8 10 6 1 15 8 0 30 5 1 0 Grass Shrimp 69 77 85 28 28 37 77 92 77 28 40 18 92 77 85 31 40 28 24 Blue Crab 62 62 0 8 9 0 54 62 23 7 9 3 31 46 15 4 7 2 I I -C -5 Long Creek Drinkwater Creek Muddy Creek (Control) Tooley Creek Porter Little Creek (Control) Frequency % Frequency % Total Score Total Score Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Frequency % Total Score Total Score Frequency % Total Score 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 Penaid Shrimp 46 46 8 10 8 3 31 54 31 4 12 7 23 31 8 3 4 1 Grass Shrimp 69 92 46 33 30 6 77 77 54 37 27 11 54 69 100 12 23 37 Blue Crab 46 46 38 7 6 5 31 69 8 4 9 1 62 46 0 8 6 0 I I -C -5 Long Creek (Control) (Up) Muddy Creek (Control) Huddles (Down) Porter Creek (Control) Frequency % Frequency % Total Score Total Score Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Frequency % Total Score Total Score Frequency % 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 Penaid Shrimp 46 46 8 6 7 1 46 38 15 6 6 4 38 54 23 5 7 3 Grass Shrimp 54 62 62 16 19 14 46 77 77 13 27 21 15 69 46 2 19 8 Blue Crab 31 85 31 4 11 4 54 38 15 8 5 3 31 77 31 4 11 4 I I -C -5 Huddles (Up) Huddles (Down) Duck Creek (Control) Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Total Score 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 Penaid Shrimp 23 38 8 5 7 1 23 15 0 4 3 0 69 38 23 9 5 6 Grass Shrimp 62 85 54 14 35 8 77 85 69 21 31 14 23 62 85 5 13 23 Blue Crab 69 92 77 11 15 12 62 77 46 12 12 6 62 38 23 9 6 3 I I -C -5 Table II -C2 (concluded). *Score is calculated by multiplying the number of weeks each abundance category was captured by the value assigned to that abundance category. Assigned values for each category: none = 0 <10 = 1 10 -50 = 2 51 -100 = 3 >100 = 4 >200 = 5 >300 = 6 I I -C -6 DCUT 11 (Up) DCUT 11 (Down) Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Total Score 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 Penaid Shrimp — — 0 — — 0 — — 0 — — 0 Grass Shrimp — — 15 — — 4 — — 15 — — 2 Blue Crab — — 0 — — 0 — — 0 — — 0 *Score is calculated by multiplying the number of weeks each abundance category was captured by the value assigned to that abundance category. Assigned values for each category: none = 0 <10 = 1 10 -50 = 2 51 -100 = 3 >100 = 4 >200 = 5 >300 = 6 I I -C -6 DCUT 19 (Up) DCUT 19 (Down) Frequency % Total Score Frequency % Total Score 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 Penaid Shrimp — — 8 — — 1 — — 0 — — 0 Grass Shrimp — — 38 — — 6 — — 46 — — 9 Blue Crab — — 8 — — 1 — — 0 — — 0 *Score is calculated by multiplying the number of weeks each abundance category was captured by the value assigned to that abundance category. Assigned values for each category: none = 0 <10 = 1 10 -50 = 2 51 -100 = 3 >100 = 4 >200 = 5 >300 = 6 I I -C -6 D. Question 4- Has mining altered the use of the creek by managed fish? Multivariate cluster analysis of managed fish species composition and abundance from all creeks and all sampling years' also revealed six distinct groups (Figure II -D1). Fyke net creeks /years clustered in three groups, one of which also included trawl creeks /years. Group A comprised one creek/year, Group B comprised two creeks /years, and Group D included four of the seven fyke creeks /years (Huddles Cut only in Group D). Group C included 73 percent of all 2011 data. Groups E and F were the most similar among the groups and contained 67 percent of all creeks /years. Excluding 2011 which clustered in Group C, all other Jacks Creek years (2000 -2005 and 2012 -2013; all pre -Mod Alt L years) and all other Muddy Creek years clustered within Groups E and F. A summary of average CPUE of the 14 managed fish species collected across the six groups is shown in Table II -D1. Group A included only DCUT11 2013 (fyke net) and was the least similar of all other creeks /years, with only two managed fish species. Group A was the most dissimilar from Groups E and F driven by differences in CPUE of spot, Atlantic croaker, Atlantic menhaden, and summer flounder (Paralichthys dentatus) (Table II -D1). Group B included both Porter Creek 2011 and Duck Creek 2011 and was more similar to Groups C, D, E, and F than Group A. Like Group A, Group B had few managed species; however, the three dominants were represented (spot, Atlantic croaker, and Atlantic menhaden), although in low numbers compared to other groups (Table II -D1). In addition to Huddles Cut 2013 and DCUT19 2013, Group C consisted of clustered 2011 sampling events with higher CPUE of dominant managed fish species than Group B, but still relatively lower CPUE of those same dominant managed fish species than Groups E and F (Table II -D1). Group D contained Huddles Cut 2009 through 2012, and due to a higher CPUE of spot, was the most similar to Groups E and F; however, high CPUE of striped mullet (Mugil cephalus) made Group D distinct from others (Table II -D1). Excluding Huddles Cut 2013 (a post -Mod Alt L year), managed fish assemblages for all other Huddles Cut pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years clustered in Group D; conversely, Huddles Cut 2013 clustered with DCUT19 2013 (control) in Group C. Managed fish assemblages for Tooley Creek pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years clustered into Groups C, E, and F. All Tooley Creek Mod -Alt L years clustered with corresponding Jacks Creek years (2011 -2013; all pre -Mod Alt L) and Muddy Creek years (2010 -2013; control) and with representative years in other pre -Mod Alt L creeks and control creeks. As with Tooley Creek, Drinkwater Creek pre- and post -Mod Alt L years clustered into the same three groups, Groups C, E, and F, and with representative years in other pre -Mod Alt L creeks and control creeks. Comparison of interannual variability by means of ANOISM detected no spatial differences of significance between pre- and post -Mod Alt L managed fish assemblages within drainage basins of Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and Drinkwater Creek, and therefore, does not indicate that mine activities have altered managed fish communities. There is no statistical or ecological indication of detectable difference when the pre- and post -Mod Alt L years are compared in the three creeks. As the number of creeks sampled increased since 2011, capture of managed fish species also increased. In all, 14 managed species have been captured across all Mod Alt L sample years. The capture of managed fish species has ranged from a low of five species in II -D -1 2005 (Jacks and Muddy only) to a high of 12 species in 2012. Huddles Cut in 2012 had the highest number of managed species captured in an individual creek /year with nine. The most abundant managed species captured across all creeks are spot, Atlantic croaker, and Atlantic menhaden. Penaid shrimp and blue crabs (Callinectes sapidus) are also managed species but were not enumerated during the creeks study from 2000 through 2010. Collection of more detailed qualitative information on shrimp and crabs was initiated in 2011 in conjunction with fish collections (via trawl at all creeks except Huddles Cut, DCUT11, and DCUT19 which are via fyke nets). DCUT11 and DCUT19 were sampled in 2013 for the first time. The limited data prevent detailed evaluation; however, penaid shrimp were most frequently captured (54 percent) from both Jacobs Creek in 2011 and Tooley Creek in 2012 and the highest numbers of penaid shrimp collected were from Tooley Creek in 2012. No penaid shrimp were captured in 2013 from PA2, Huddles Cut downstream fyke net, DCUT19 downstream fyke net, and both DCUT11 upstream and downstream fyke nets (Table II -C2). The frequencies at which blue crab were captured and the numbers collected were both highest for Huddles Cut in 2012. No blue crab were captured in 2013 from Jacks Creek, Little Creek, DCUT19 downstream fyke net, and both DCUT11 upstream and downstream fyke nets (Table II -C2). The frequencies at which both penaid shrimp and blue crab are captured and the numbers collected were highly variable across all creeks with no apparent trends detected from only three years of data. Answer: No change in managed fish use due to mining is apparent. The multivariate cluster analysis of all creeks and all sampling years does not reveal distinct changes in managed fish assemblages due to mine activities within drainage basins of Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and /or Drinkwater Creek. Variability revealed in the frequency and numbers of both penaid shrimp and blue crab collected makes it very difficult to discern any mine related spatial patterns in the abundance of either species. 11 -D -2 181 WIQ 40 C U) 60 •, • 100 PCS Fish Collections Group average 'f Pre -Mod Alt L t Post -Mod Alt L 4 Control ABC D I E F r--------- - - - - -- ---------- - - - - -- __ r'- m O 0 ' ' N NOO NNNNN N f7 frimmm m ' ' CI mN N 0 0 n 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 O m 0 0 0000 10 N N f'100 C r 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OOH fnM 0 0 0 0 0 0 N N T N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N W U, T U, 7. T T T N 0 T Y N N T N Y 0 T N Vi N m 'a '0'0 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Ul T T T W (a q� 0 7. � m Of � Y m d m N N N N N N N 0 fA W th O v 3 Y y d m Y V m m— Y V u Y— 9 m U Y Q d Q o m o o u v e c o o o fo o v o o o c c a o a m u o m o o O m 3 p m>> u o O m >> u Y Y V V Y Y C C V C U u m o a v v u o o o v r o o m m >> 3 m m_ o J o> J o 0 N N 0 N m a v Z:5 v a c v v v ° o tt4ti1t4t4o 4t44� iQt444� tot4�4� jQt4tj = _ = 2 = ° Creek /Year Figure II -D1. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among managed species for all creeks and years sampled [Bray- Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). 11 -D -3 Table II -D1. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) for managed fish species captured across six groups identified by cluster analysis performed for all PCS fish collection sampling years April, May, and June of 2000 through 2005, and 2009 through 2013. Common name b Scientific name Average CPUE a Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Group F Alewife Alosa pseudoharengus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01 American eel Anguilla rostrata 0.08 0.00 0.97 0.16 0.11 0.33 American shad Alosa sapidissima 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 0.00 2.88 0.57 0.37 42.63 5.71 Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 0.00 8.00 26.27 13.94 13.82 2.50 Bluefish Pomatomus saltatrix 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 Crevalle jack Caranx hippos 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Red drum Sciaenops ocellatus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.01 Southern flounder Paralichthys lethostigma 0.00 0.04 0.14 1.12 0.32 0.32 Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 0.31 8.27 48.54 94.98 179.19 86.33 Spotted seatrout Cynoscion nebulosus 0.00 0.04 0.08 0.02 0.13 0.07 Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 0.00 0.00 0.79 35.44 0.02 0.18 Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.00 0.04 0.12 0.73 0.30 0.86 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximately 16 hour set of fyke nets or one minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Striped bass (Morone saxatilis) was not included due to the capture of only two individuals across all Mod Alt L sample years. um, E. Question 5- Has mining increased contaminate [sic] levels within creek sediments to levels that could impact fish or invertebrates? Figure II -E1 illustrates metal sediment data only for the three creeks for which both pre - and post -Mod Alt L data are available (Tooley Creek, Drinkwater Creek, and Huddles Cut). Data are presented as pre -Mod Alt L data compared to post -Mod Alt L data for each creek. If only one year of data was available, values represent data from that year and if multiple years of data were available, values represent average data for the multiple years. Most sediment metal concentrations are similar or slightly higher in pre -Mod Alt L years than in post -Mod Alt L years (Figure II -E1); only Cr was statistically different when pre- and post- Mod Alt L sediment metal concentrations, for all creeks combined, were compared (pre- concentration was 133 percent higher relative to post- concentration). No other individual metal was statistically different. Figure II -E2 illustrates differences between all creeks for which post -Mod Alt L data are available and all control creeks combined for all years data are available; no statistical differences were detected between post -Mod Alt L creeks and control creeks. The following should be noted: only one creek may have served as control creek or pre - Mod Alt L non - control creek for a given year, only four years and three creeks comprise the post -Mod Alt L period, and many of the creeks do exhibit some variability in metals value, often as a result of more or less sand in the samples from year to year, particularly in Huddles Cut. The appearance of variability may also have been recently introduced with the change in laboratory methods and procedures in 2011/2012. For sediment metals, summary information for all creeks by category is compared across the course of the study for six metals for which ERLs (Effects Range Low) and ERMs (Effect Range Median) have been determined (Table II -E1). These concepts represent water quality concentrations for specific elements or compounds below which adverse toxicological effects rarely occur and above which adverse toxicological effects frequently occur (NOAA 1999). The ERL is generally the 10th percentile concentration and the ERM is generally set to the 50th percentile concentration. Concentrations that occur between the ERL and ERM reflect the "possible effects range" and concentrations below the ERL reflect the "low end of a continuum roughly relating bulk chemistry with toxicity" (O'Conner 2004). Therefore, ERL and ERM are not predictive of toxicity, but do indicate sediment toxicity probability values and are guidelines that relate sediment contaminant concentration with possible toxicological outcomes in exposed organisms, either through the sediment directly or through the aquatic environment. Data in Table II -E1 indicate that the long term mean for all control creeks is below the ERL for all six metals and when one standard deviation is applied to the means, the value is slightly above the ERL for As and Cr; however, all long term values in the control creeks are well below the ERMs. For the non - control creeks, the long term pre -Mod Alt L means are at or below the ERLs for all metals with the exception of Cd (which is slightly above) and when one standard deviation is applied to the means, the pre- Mod Alt L As value is slightly above the ERL. For the non - control creeks, the long term post -Mod Alt L means are at or below the ERLs for all metals with or without the standard deviation applied. All long term pre- and post -Mod Alt L values are well below the ERMs, and in most cases, the ERLs. As shown in Table II -E2, for water column metals, only three years of data have been collected as part of this study. Figures II -E3a and II -E3b illustrate the water column metal means across the years and compares all creeks to control and impact creeks and shows that II -E -1 values are similar among the creek types. No statistical differences were found between water column metals in post -Mod Alt L creeks compared to controls. Concentrations of total recoverable Mo in an earlier study were 5 to 10 times lower than the LOQ (reporting limit/control limit) values reported by SGS Labs for the first two years, but results for Mo were higher in 2013 in Long and Duck Creeks than the previous study. While Se results for all creeks in 2013 were elevated compared to the two previous years, no comparison for the Se results can be drawn with previous studies because Se concentrations were not previously determined. Concentrations of total recoverable Zn from the earlier study were -5 to 14 times lower than the value reported in 2013 by SGS Labs Answer: Results show that neither sediment metals nor water column metals in the studied creeks are likely to cause biological effects. No statistical differences have been found to indicate that mine continuation has changed either sediment or water column metal concentration relative to changes observed in control creeks or relative to changes observed pre -Mod Alt L. II-E-2 G1 5 G1 G1 W dA , i to G1 �- Q L O _W Q G1 Huddles Cut Pre -Mod Alt L Tooley Creek Pre -Mod Alt L Drinkwater Pre -Mod Alt L 120 , 100 80 60 40 20 r 0 Huddles Cut Post -Mod Alt L Tooley Creek Post -Mod Alt L Drinkwater Post -Mod Alt L ■ Ag As Cd Cr Cu M o Se Zn I v Al Fe Impact Creeks (creeks with both pre- and post -Mod Alt L data) Cr differed statistically between pre- and post -Mod Alt L, for all creeks combined. No other metals differed statistically. (Note that Al and Fe were reported in % and not µg /g) Figure II -E1. Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for three creeks (Drinkwater, Tooley, and Huddles Cut. If only one year of data were available, that values represent data from that year; if multiple years of data were available, values represent average data for those years. If values were listed in tables as LOQ, the LOQ was used as the data point. II-E-3 ao ao G1 5 G1 E G1 G1 ao c� L Q Post -Mod Alt L Control 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Ag As Cd Cr Cu Mo Se Zn Al Fe Metal No statistical difference between post -Mod Alt L and control creeks metal concentrations when all post -Mod Alt L creeks combined and all control creeks combined across years. Note that Al and Fe were reported in %. Figure II -E2. Differences between combined post -Mod Alt L sediment metal data for Drinkwater, Tooley, and Huddles Cut compared to combined control creek data for the same years (2010- 2013). II-E-4 Water Column Metal Means All Years All Creeks 1400 1200 c 1000 0 M c 800 a� V C 0 V 600 N 2 400 01-01 0 — — — M M ■ ■ — — ■ ■ AB (µg /L) As (µg /L) Cd (µg /L) Cr (µg /L) Cu (µg /L) Fe (µg /L) Mo (µg /L) Se (µg /L) ■AII creeks Control creeks ■Other creeks Figure II -E3a. Water column metal means for all years (2011 -2013) for all creeks by type. LOQ used as data point when value was below reporting limit/control limit. Water Column Metal Means All Years All Creeks (without Fe and Al) 60 50 c 0 �z 40 c a� 30 0 V iCra+ 20 C 10 I ' ■ Ag (µg /L) As (µg /L) Cd (µg /L) Cr (µg /L) Cu (µg /L) Mo (µg /L) Se (µg /L) 2n (µg /L) ■AII creeks Control creeks ■Other creeks Figure II -E3b. Water column metal means compared for all years (2011 -2013) by type without Al and Fe shown. LOQ used as data point if value was below reporting limit/control limit. II-E-5 Table II -E1. Means and standard deviations (SD) by year for six PCS sediment metals for which Effects Range Low (ERL) and Effects Range Medium (ERM) have been determined. The current year is highlighted. For years with asterisks ( *), only the creek listed was sampled in the category, therefore no SD. Categories shown include control creeks, pre -Mod Alt L years /creeks, and post -Mod Alt L years /creeks. Only Jacks Creek was sampled for metals in 2002. As of 2013, Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut are in the post -Mod Alt L category. Huddles Cut samples were extremely sandy 2009 -2011. Creeks Year I Ag (pglg) As (pglg) Cd (pglg) Cr (pglg) Cu Wig) Zn (pglg) Control mean byyear and all years previous to current year ( +1 -SD) Muddy Creek 2000* 0.08 5.1 1.10 79.5 32.5 108.0 Muddy Creek 2001* 0.13 _ 7.2 1.30 85.6 26.8 98.7 Muddy Creek 2003* 0.21 _ 6.4 1.20 80.0 30.3 103.0 Muddy Creek 2004* 0.15 13.6 1.30 72.3 26.5 115.0 Muddy Creek 2005* 0.12 6.3 1.30 72.0 28.0 105.0 Muddy Creek 2009' 0.15 _ 6.90 1.00 86.3 27.5 120 Muddy Creek 2010* 0.18 _ 6.30 0.90 73.8 28.4 113.0 5 creeks 2011 0.09 (0.04) 5.96(l.92) 0.66 (0.31) 60.36 (22.99) 15.76 (8.31) 87.56 (33.71) 5 creeks 2012 ND 5.87 (3.49) 0.58 (0.25) 35 (8.76) 11.65 (5.02) 83.58 (19.07) 6 creeks 2013 ND 1.01 (1.03) 0.11 (0.11) 5.26 (5.16) 1.99 (2.13) 26.55 (25.16) Mean all previous years (SD) 10. 12 (0.05) 6.53 (2.74) 0.84 (0.35) 60.4 (22.6) 19.8 (9.2) 95.2(23.2) Pre -Mod Alt L mean by year and all years previous to current year (SD) Jacks 2000* 0.08 4.3 1.1 58.7 16.3 94.1 Jacks 2001* 0.1 _ 7.9 1.6 67.5 13.6 103 Jacks 2002* 0.03 _ 1 6.9 2.6 55.9 11.8 88.6 Jacks 2003* 0.16 3.5 1.3 52.8 14.6 98 Jacks 2004* 0.12 _ 7.9 1.9 58.3 14.6 106 Jacks 2005* 0.1 _T 4.4 1.2 58.6 15.5 106 Huddles Cut 2009' 0.03 0.10 0.02 2.0 0.3 2.3 Tooley 2010* 0.17 7.00 1.00 66.7 13.3 97.7 5 creeks 2011 0.09 (0.02) 7.18 (0.63) 2.08 (2.75) 68.44 (9.74) 14.12 (2.01) 99.48 (8.08) 4 creeks 2012 ND 5.85 (2.58) 0.69 (0.36) 34.63 (8.86) 9.80 (3.36) 79.93 (33.98) 4 creeks 2013 0.04 (0.02) 4.51 (1.77) 0.59 (0.25) 17.59 (7.47) 8.38 (2.9) 67.73 (28.64) Mean all previous years (SD) 0.09 (0.04) 5.96 (2.29) 1.41(l.56) 53.01 (17.8) 12.34 (4.15) 88.99 (28.59) Post -Mod Alt L mean byyear and all years previous to current year (SD) Huddles Cut 2010' 0.04 0.1 0.03 1.3 0.2 3.3 Huddles Cut 2011' 0.01 0.1 0.02 1.1 0.4 0.5 2 creeks 2012 ND 5.12(l.55) 1 (0.2) 40.35 (14.64) 9.96(l.9) 76.75 (45.61) 3 creeks 2013 0.052 2.17 (2.33) 0.30 (0.35) 11.07 (12.51) 3.69 (4.16) 39.99 (43.44) Mean all previous years (SD) 0.03 (0.02) 2.61 (3.03) 0.51 (0.57) 20.78 (24.13) 5.13 (5.68) 39.33 (50.62) ERL' 1.0 8.2 1.2 81 34 150 ERM1 3.7 _ 70.0 9.6 370 270 410 ND= non detected 1 Long et al (1995) 2 detected in only one creek (no SD) II-E-6 Table II -E2. Water column metals values by year for each monitored creek. List begins with most upstream creek on South Creek and proceeds downstream by creek to Hickory Point, then to Muddy Creek, then upstream along the Pamlico River and back towards PCS. Control creeks are so designated and the current year is highlighted. Values shown with < are LOQ (reporting limit/control limit). Mod Alt L WATER COLUMN impacts (pre Year '� Cd Cr Cu Fe Mo Se Zn post) (Ng/L) (Ng/L) (Ng/L) (Ng/L) (Ng/L) (Ng/L) (Ng/L) (Ng/L) Total Metals' NA 0.6 1.3 NA NA NA NA 4.1 Pre mean Jacks Creek Pre 2011 <5 1 <50 8.7 7.0 2110 <10 10.3 <20 2012 <5 <50 6.2 5.4 858 <10 61.5 <20 2013 <1.0 0.1 5.5 3.6 942 <10.0 61.1 4.3 Pre mean NA NA 7.5 6.2 1484 NA 35.9 NA SD NA NA 1.8 1.1 900 NA 36.2 NA i 6.0 <1000 <10 70.2 <20 Drinkwater Creek Pre 1 2011 <5 <50 6.6 7.5 1300 <10 9.9 <20 Little Creek Control 1 2011 0.32 2012 <5 7.8 1530 <10 <5 I <20 2012 �1<5 �1<50 �16.8 5.9 <1000 <10 528 <20 2013 76.6 4.7 Post mean 970 2.6 72.6 3.5 SD NA NA 0.6 1.3 NA NA NA NA 4.1 Pre mean NA NA 6.3 1 6.5 NA NA 1 39.2 1 Jacobs Creek Pre 2011 <5 <50 6.8 2012 <5 <50 6.0 2013 <1.0 0.0 Pre mean NA NA 6.4 SD NA NA 0.6 7.8 1270 <10 <5 <20 5.6 <1000 <10 68.5 <20 982 <10.0 72.8 3.9 6.7 NA NA NA NA 1.6 NA NA NA NA NA Duck Creek 0.007 PA2 Control 2011 <5 2012 <5 <50 7.0 6.9 <50 6.5 5.6 1520 <1000 <10 <10 16.7 <20 58.1 <20 2013 <1.0 0.0 6.0 Aff Mean NA NA 6.8 6.3 NA SD NA NA 0.4 0.9 NA Long Creek Control 2011 <5 84.0 4.4 NA 37.4 NA NA 29.3 NA 2012 <5 <50 5.4 6.0 <1000 <10 70.2 <20 Drinkwater Creek Pre 1 2011 <5 <50 6.6 7.5 1300 <10 9.9 <20 2012 <5 <50 5.9 5.4 <1000 <10 68.5 <20 2013 <1.0 0.0 <1.0 3.6 998 4.0 72.6 4.1 Pre mean NA NA 6.3 1 6.5 NA NA 1 39.2 1 NA SD NA NA 0.5 1.5 NA NA 41.4 NA NA NA NA NA Duck Creek 0.007 0.075 0.42 1.0 Tooley Creek lPre I Parameter added in 2011; no pre -Mod Alt L data collected Long Creek Control 2011 <5 <50 7.3 7.6 1560 <10 <5 <20 2012 <5 <50 5.4 6.0 <1000 <10 70.2 <20 Total Metalsb 2013 <1.0 0.0 5.3 3.6 916 4.1 76.8 4.1 _ Mean 3030° NA NA 6.4 6.8 NA NA NA NA SDI Porter Creek NA NA 1.3 1.1 NA NA NA NA Duck Creek 0.007 0.075 0.42 1.0 Tooley Creek lPre I Parameter added in 2011; no pre -Mod Alt L data collected 0.078 Mod Alt L impact ... 2.8 Porter Creek 0.015 0.230 0.22 1.9 Post 2011 <5 <50 6.9 7.7 1730 <10 <5 <20 0.32 2012 <5 <50 5.4 6.1 <1000 <10 69.3 <20 0.50 - 2013 <1.0 0.0 5.6 3.6 932 <10.0 76.6 4.7 Post mean NA NA 6.2 6.9 NA NA NA NA SD NA NA 1.1 1.1 NA NA NA NA Total Metalsb Duck Creek 0.001 0.34 1.4 3030° 1.0 1.4 Long Creek 0.064 1.4 0.5 5300° 1.4 4.4 Porter Creek 0.072 0.81 0.5 4400° 1.9 2.2 Dissolved Metalsb Duck Creek 0.007 0.075 0.42 1.0 0.4 Long Creek 0.032 0.078 0.26 1.4 2.8 Porter Creek 0.015 0.230 0.22 1.9 0.8 World Ocean d,e 0.002 0.068 0.32 0.12 0 11 0.16 0.38 World Riverse - 0.010 1.0 1.5 40 0.50 - 0.60 II-E-7 Table II.E2 (concluded). WATER COLUMN Mod Alt L impacts (pre post) Year � (p9 /L) Cd (p9 /L) Cr (p9 /L) Cu (p9 /L) Fe (p9 /L) Mo (p9 /L) Se (p9 /L) Zn (p9 /L) Total M etalsa Muddy Creek Control 2011 <5 <50 7.3 7.9 1560 <10 18.5 <20 2012 <5 <50 5.2 6.1 <1000 <10 59.9 <20 2013 <1.0 0.0 5.6 3.6 915 3.3 73.2 7.6 Mean NA NA 6.3 7.0 NA NA 39.2 NA SD NA NA `..e..e. 1.5 1.3 NA NA 29.3 NA Huddles Cut IPre Parameter added in 2011; no pre -Mod Alt L data collected Mod Alt L i m act;,,,,, p " "`:: >: ....... ....... .............................._....-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-..-..-..-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-.._..-..-..-..-.._ >:» > ` ` ` >:: ...... >: >: » ::::::::::::: ...... ...... .:.... ..:... ..... ....... ...... ....... ..-..-...._........_........_.. »:: >: >: »: ............... Post 2011 <5 <50 5.4 7.4 1440 <10 <5 <20 2012 <5 _. <50 5.6 ...... 5.7 1080 <10 54.7 <20 2013 <1.0 0.1 5.2 3.4 939 5.1 67.5 5.3 Post mean NA NA 5.5 6.6 1260 NA NA NA SD NA NA 01 1.2 255 NA NA NA Duck Creek Control 2011 <5 <50 8.2 7.7 3220 <10 11.9 <20 2012 <5 <50 <5 5.3 <1000 <10 44.8 <20 2013 <1.0 <1.0 4.9 3.3 947 2.6 54.7 5.8 Mean NA NA NA 6.5 NA NA 28.4 NA SD NA NA NA 1.7 NA NA 23.3 NA Porter Creek Pre 2011 <5 <50 7.4 7.3 1660 <10 11.8 <20 2012 <5 <50 5.0 5.8 <1000 <10 44.8 <20 2013 <1.0 .1 793 <10.0 66.6 Mean NA NA 6.2 6.6 NA NA r 28.3 NA SD NA NA 1.7 1.1 NA NA 23.3 NA DCUT11 Pre 2013 <1.0 <1.0 4.3 2.6 8 3.4 Mean NA NA NA NA NA 7NA NA NA SD NA NA NA NA NA NA NA DCUT19 Control 2013 <1.0 <1.0 5.0 3.5 923 <10.0 64.2 5.4 Mean NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA SD NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA Total Metalsb Duck Creek - 0.001 0.34 1.4 3030` 1.0 - 1.4 Long Creek - 0.064 1.4 0.5 5300` 1.4 - 4.4 Porter Creek - 0.072 0.81 0.5 4400` 1.9 - 2.2 Dissolved Metalsb Duck Creek - 0.007 0.075 0.42 - 1.0 - 0.4 Long Creek - 0.032 0.078 0.26 - 1.4 - 2.8 Porter Creek - 0.015 0.230 0.22 - 1.9 - 0.8 World Oceans 0.002 0.068 0.32 0.12 0 11 0.16 0.38 World Rivers - 0.010 1.0 1.5 40 0.50 - 0.60 a SGS Laboratory d Quinby -Hunt and Turekian, 1983 b Trocine and Trefry (1998) a Donat and Bruland (1995) Calculated from values for Fe in suspended sediments from b II-E-8 F. Question 6- Has mining altered overall water quality within creeks? Principal components (PC) analysis determined that across all years of the study, all stations showed a similar seasonal pattern, with minor variations on this pattern evident at each individual station due to location in the watershed. The majority of water quality stations had a data record that extended back only a few years, to late 2011. All of these stations had no discernible long -term trend in either PC1 or PC2 scores, indicating that no long -term trend in water quality appears to be present. Two creeks with longer data records, Huddles Cut and Tooley Creek, did appear to have trends present. Tooley had increasing trends in its PC scores that were most strongly correlated to increasing salinity, a trend that has been noted in past reports. Huddles Cut also showed trends in PC scores that were correlated to salinity, as well as nutrient levels and chlorophyll a. Interestingly, Jacks Creek, which also has a longer data record, did not show any significant trends in PC scores over time. The PCs consist of multiple variables, so it is difficult to ascribe the trend to any of the variables within a particular quadrant of a biplot. However, the spatial analysis and pre- and post -Mod Alt -L analysis indicate that the trend observed here is primarily due to salinity, as nutrient levels in Huddles Cut have declined over time. Cluster analysis revealed six distinct groups of water quality stations based on similarity or dissimilarity computed from the data matrix of all water quality variables (Figure II -F1). A summary of all water quality conditions across the six groups is shown in Table II -F1. Note the dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and total dissolved nitrogen (TDN) have only been collected since 2012. Group A, B, and C were similar in that they consisted of samples taken in the latter part (2011 -2013) of the data record at all stations (Figure II -F1). The main difference between these three groups is that Group A is lower in salinity and depth, and has higher chlorophyll a concentrations; Group B had the highest overall depth and salinity, and the lowest chlorophyll a and turbidity concentrations; Group C had a similar depth to A, but had the lowest overall salinity. Group C also had the highest nutrient, chlorophyll a, and turbidity concentrations (Table II -F1). Group D consists of water quality stations primarily located in Jacks, Tooley, and Huddles Cut (Figure II -F1). This group had lower salinity values, increased turbidity (compared to Groups A, B, and C), the highest chlorophyll a concentration of any group, and high nutrient levels (Table II -F1). Groups E and F were similar in that they consisted of mainly more recent samples collected at the Jacks, Tooley, and Huddles Cut stations. Also present in Groups E and F are Drinkwater water quality station 1 and Porter Creek water quality station 1 over the past 3 years (Figure II -F1). These Groups were the shallowest locations as well as the lowest in terms of salinity. The two groups were also characterized by high turbidity levels, low dissolved oxygen, and intermediate nutrient and chlorophyll a concentrations (Table II -F1). Overall, the cluster analysis reveals the long -term changes in the Huddles, Tooley, and Jacks locations with the longer data records. These locations have changed over time, as indicated by the PCA analysis, to have higher overall salinity and reduced turbidity. Changes in water quality conditions pre- and post -mod Alt L may be tracked at three Creeks: Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and Drinkwater Creek (Figures II -F2, -F3, -F4, -F5, -F6, and -F7). No changes between pre- and post -Mod Alt -L at Tooley Creek were found and only salinity and chlorophyll a were different at Drinkwater Creek, where both had declined. Major changes in Huddles Cut were observed pre- and post -Mod Alt -L. As seen in the Principal Components Analysis, salinity (as well as Conductance and Specific Conductance) has increased at the Huddles Cut stations (Figures II -F2 and II -F3). Several nutrient concentrations have significantly declined: Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen and Orthophosphate (Figure II -F6) and II -F -1 Total Dissolved Phosphorus (Figure II -F7). Finally, dissolved oxygen % saturation has increased (Figure II -F4). This indicates water quality improvements at Huddles Cut in the post - Mod Alt -L years. Answer: Overall, the interannual variability in water quality found among the creeks appears to be typical of estuarine creeks within the region, showing a distinct, identifiable seasonal pattern. The examination of longer -term data revealed that most stations do not show any long -term trends, with the exception of Tooley and Huddles Cut. It is clear that Huddles Cut, Jacks Creek, and Tooley Creek water quality was more variable in the past and that these stations are beginning to cluster with the control creeks in more recent time. This indicates that stabilization of the water quality parameters is likely to continue. Huddles Cut continues to show the most change over time with respect to pre- and post -Mod Alt -L conditions. The increase in salinity was discovered in the final analysis as in the PCA analysis, but declines in nutrient concentrations and increases in dissolved oxygen indicate that Huddles Cut water quality is improved post -Mod Alt -L. Any noted change cannot be directly attributed to mine activities. 11 -F -2 C) � � CO � � � w �- Cluster Dendrogram Figure 11-F1. Aog|onneradve, hierarchical cluster analysis of each water quality station based on all water quality variables. Six distinct clusters of water quality stations were discovered (A, B, C, D, E, F). U-F-3 00 0000-000-0 0 Figure 11-F1. Aog|onneradve, hierarchical cluster analysis of each water quality station based on all water quality variables. Six distinct clusters of water quality stations were discovered (A, B, C, D, E, F). U-F-3 a Huddles Cut Iii, Itl Tooley c Pre -Mod Alt L PoSI -Nod Alt L Figure II -F2. Comparison of pre- Mod Alt L (three creeks- all years, all sites) and post -Mod Alt -L salinity in three creeks. Error bars represent standard deviation. 11 -F -4 40 35 30 25 y E _-20 U 15 U 10 5 n 35 30 25 N E 20 S Ei 15 cg 10 5 n 40 35 30 25 E 20 15 U 10 5 0 Drinkwater Huddles Cut Pre -Mod Aft L Post -Mod Alt L Tooley E 30 8 c 25 v' U 20 V m 15 10 5 Dnnkwater N E 30 m c 25 °c 0 20 m° 15 10 5 "—IN 40 35 N E 30 m F 25 o' 0 V 20 N 15 10 5 0 Pre -Mod Alt L Post -Mod All L Figure II -F3. Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L (three creeks- all years, all sites) conductivity (m S) (left panel) and specific conductance (mS, right panel) in three creeks (all years, all sites). Error bars represent standard deviation. II -F -5 Huddles Cut Tooley Drinkwater ov m rn cv 40 x O °m 30 0 0 20 101 ------- = Huddles Cut 50 in a 40 c d O 30 c d 20 Figure II -F4. Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L (three creeks- all years, all sites) dissolved oxygen (% saturation, right panel) in three creeks (all years, all sites). Error bars represent standard deviation. 11 -F -6 Tooley 60 TII I 50 m m c 40 d m 0 O a zo to- 0- Pre -Mod Ail I Post -Mod Alt I Figure II -F4. Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L (three creeks- all years, all sites) dissolved oxygen (% saturation, right panel) in three creeks (all years, all sites). Error bars represent standard deviation. 11 -F -6 J W 3 W T O. Q O L U Huddles Cut 2 0 0 U Tooley 60 50 a � mod. s 30 t U 20 to- 0- Pre -Mod Alt I Post -Mod Aft L Figure II -F5. Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L (three creeks- all years, all sites) chlorophyll a (pg L -', right panel) in three creeks (all years, all sites). Error bars represent standard deviation. 11 -F -7 2.0 1.5 J E Z G 1.0 0.5 J E Z Y O 0.0 2.0 1.5 J E Z 6 1.0 0.5 0.0 Pre -Mad Air Post -Mod Alt L Tooley J O) E m 1v n 0 o E O J m E m iO 0 o E O ).4 � 1.2 1.0 m 0.8 E m is 0.6 0 n 0 r O 0.4 Pre -Mod Aft L Huddles Cut Post -Mod Aft L Figure II -F6. Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L (three creeks- all years, all sites) dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (mg L -') (left panel) and orthophosphate (mg L -', right panel) in three creeks (all years, all sites). Error bars represent standard deviation. II -F -8 Tooley J E E n 0 `a 0 D m 0 J E E m m n 0 a` 8 0 ffi 0 m s r Drfnkwater fooley J E m 0.8 i6 n 0 a 0.6 °m 0 m 0.4 O H 0.2 0.0 Pre -Mod Air I Post -Mod Alt Figure II -F7. Comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L (three creeks- all years, all sites) TDP (mg L -') (all years, all sites). Error bars represent standard deviation. II -F -9 Table 11 -F1. Average of water quality parameters across the six groups identified by the cluster analysis. Parameter Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E Group F Depth in 11.09 18.29 10.30 11.46 9.39 8.73 Temperature 18.39 17.23 16.86 16.62 14.31 16.26 (C) Salinity 9.81 12.95 6.40 4.46 0.76 2.69 Conductivity 13.52 19.83 9.66 6.77 1.24 3.64 (MS) Specific 15.89 23.34 11.10 7.82 1.52 4.10 Conductance (MS) Secchi depth 12.15 17.98 10.07 9.87 8.93 7.06 (in) Turbidity (NTU) 5.89 2.83 9.78 18.31 34.64 24.25 Dissolved 6.31 6.97 3.99 3.92 3.83 3.38 Oxygen (mg L- 1) Dissolved 59.74 70.89 40.54 39.48 37.87 32.79 Oxygen (% saturation) pH 7.04 7.39 6.67 6.81 6.64 6.71 Ammonium (mg 0.10 0.03 0.18 0.25 0.20 0.29 L -1 Nitrate (mg L-1) 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.02 DKN (mg L-1) 0.97 1.07 1.11 1.33 1.14 1.38 Particulate 0.37 0.27 0.48 0.46 0.38 0.49 Nitrogen (mg L- 1) Orthophosphate 0.14 0.04 0.25 0.32 0.25 0.32 (m9 L -1) Total Dissolved 0.08 0.25 0.27 0.30 0.37 Phosphate (mg 0.18 L-1) Particulate 0.12 0.09 0.25 0.27 0.30 0.27 Phosphate (mg L-1) Chlorophyll a 23.20 13.53 34.33 43.24 17.44 29.03 L -1 Dissolved 14.97 12.49 17.26 15.14 21.39 24.49 Organic Carbon (m9 L -1) Total Dissolved 0.75 0.59 0.95 1.24 0.92 1.08 Nitrogen (mg L- 1) II -F -10 III. ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION OF SUMMARY RESULTS BY PARAMETER A. SALINITY AND TAR RIVER DISCHARGE For summary information on rainfall, other weather related events, and Tar River discharge refer to Section I -D through I -G. All salinity monitoring locations are associated with South Creek or the south side of the Pamlico River with the exception of Duck Creek, which is west of the town of Bath, on the north side of the river. Appendix C contains a figure showing Tar River discharge for 2013, a table listing the monthly and yearly average, minimum, and maximum salinity levels recorded at each salinity monitor for 2013, as well as graphs depicting the semi - continuous salinity and depth data from each monitor (all appendices are included only on the CD that accompanies this report). On the appendix graphs, salinity data omitted from analysis or missing data have been categorized as one of the following: insufficient water, equipment malfunction, service error, or other. 1.0 Correlations with Tar River Discharge and Rainfall Figure III -A1 shows mean daily Tar River discharge, monthly rainfall statistics, and total annual rainfall at four long -term rain gauges over the years of the PCS creeks study Tar River discharge in 2013 was significantly negatively correlated with salinity from 17 of 25 stations, with 10 of them receiving water directly from South Creek and therefore, indirectly from the Pamlico River. Consequently, the correlations could be a coincidence at the salinity monitors on creeks connected to South Creek because when noticeable increases and decreases in discharge are compared to salinity, little to no influence is seen and those monitors are not directly in contact with water from the Pamlico River. Rainfall was significantly negatively correlated with salinity at six of the 17 stations that were significantly negatively correlated with discharge plus one additional station. Rainfall appeared to influence salinity at many of the stations (more than were significantly correlated), but usually only from large or frequent rain events. It is noted in the following section which monitors were significantly correlated with discharge and /or rainfall. 2.0 Interannual and Monthly Comparisons Figures III -A2a, A2b, III -A3a, A3b, III -A4a, and A4b display salinity across the years of the study in various groups /combinations of salinity location types (non - control vs control) and monitoring years (pre- vs post -Mod Alt Q. These data and figures are discussed in more detail below on a creek -by -creek basis. Average monthly salinities in 2013 were slightly lower (less than 3 psu different) than in 2012 for most months, but the minimum salinities decreased or increased more than 3 psu in many months. The average for the year decreased from 2012 at 14 of the 25 stations and the rest were within 1 psu of 2012. This is the first year in the past few years that salinity has not increased. In 2013, most monthly average salinities were lowest late summer and early fall and were highest from the late fall to mid - winter, which is similar to patterns in previous years. Monitors in all creeks continue to reflect the range of values from South Creek and Pamlico River. a. Jacks Creek Jacks Creek is the most upstream South Creek tributary in the study. There are two salinity monitors located in Jacks Creek -JS2 approximately 400 feet upstream of III -A -1 the mouth and JS1 approximately 2,600 feet (0.5 mile) upstream of the mouth at a split in the creek channel (Figure 1 -131). Monitors were re- installed 20 July 2011 after CAMA- approved pier construction was completed. The two monitors typically have similar salinities over the year but JS2 salinities are often slightly higher than JS1 by 1 -2 psu. Some of the 2013 minimum, maximum, and average salinities decreased from 2012 but the 2013 salinities were still in the higher range of the combined previous years' monthly and annual salinities (Figures III -A2a and III -A3a). Although rainfall was not significantly correlated with salinity at the Jacks Creek monitors, larger or frequent rainfall events appeared to occasionally influence salinity levels; salinity tended to be lower with larger amounts of rain. Salinity at both monitors generally paralleled water level fluctuations and salinity was higher during periods of decreased depths. Water levels, and consequently, salinity, at the upstream monitor fluctuated more than the downstream monitor. No Mod Alt L activities have occurred in the Jacks Creek drainage basin so no pre- versus post- comparisons were made. Tar River discharge during the combined years of 2011 -2013 was significantly lower than the combined years of 2000 -2005 (p <0.001) but rainfall was not significantly different. b. South Creek (SS1) (control) The South Creek monitor is located approximately 2,600 feet (0.5 mile) downstream from the mouth of Jacks Creek (Figure 1 -132) on the north bank of South Creek. In 2013, many of the average, maximum, and minimum values were slightly lower than 2012, except half of the minimums increased from 2012. However, most of the 2013 data were still in the higher or mid -range of the combined previous years' monthly salinities (Figure III -A2). As evident in Appendix C SS1 graphs, water depth fluctuated with rain events and although not shown on graphs, wind also affected depths at times. Both rainfall and discharge were significantly negatively correlated with salinity at SSI in 2013 (p =0.01, 0.02, respectively). Salinity at SS1 for the combined two post -Mod Alt L years for Tooley Creek was significantly higher compared to the Tooley pre -Mod Alt L years (p <0.001) and also the single post -Mod Alt L year for Drinkwater Creek was significantly higher compared to the two pre -Mod Alt L years (p <0.001) (Figure III -A2a). Conversely, salinity at SS1 for the combined two post -Mod Alt L years for Huddles Cut was significantly lower than the single pre -year (p <0.01). c. Little Creek (control) There are two salinity monitors located in Little Creek. LCS2 is approximately 1,000 feet upstream from the mouth and LCS1 is approximately 4,800 feet (0.9 mile) upstream of the mouth (Figure 1 -133). Monitors were installed 22 June 2011 after CAMA- approved pier construction was completed. The downstream station, along with one of the upstream stations at Huddles Cut, has the lowest salinities of all stations. Monthly average salinities have been higher at the downstream location than upstream over the years and also tend to fluctuate less (Figure III -A4a). Most of the monthly average, maximum, and minimum salinities at the downstream location decreased from 2012 but half or less decreased at the other stations (even fewer increased). The upper limits of salinity at both stations in 2013 were lower than the combined years (Figure III -A2a). Salinity at both Little Creek stations appeared to decrease with large amounts of rainfall and did not appear to respond to variations in Tar River discharge, III -A -2 likely due to the distance separating Pamlico River and Little Creek. Possibly coincidently, discharge and salinity at both monitors were significantly negatively correlated. d. Jacobs Creek There are two salinity monitors located in Jacobs Creek. JCB2 is approximately 400 feet upstream from the mouth and JCB1 is approximately 3,360 feet (0.6 mile) upstream of the mouth (Figure 1 -134). Monitors were installed 20 July 2011 after CAMA- approved pier construction was completed. The two monitors have similar average monthly salinities over the three years of data, with JCBS2 salinities usually 1 to 3 psu higher than JCBS1. The 2013 yearly descriptive statistics (mean, upper /lower percentiles, etc.) were similar to the combined previous years' descriptive statistics (Figure III -A2a). Salinity at the upstream station tends to fluctuate more than the downstream station, particularly in the summers. Jacobs Creek and downstream Drinkwater tend to have higher salinities than the other non - control creeks and are more similar to control stations at PA2, Long Creek, and downstream Little Creek (Figure III -A2a and III - A4a). e. PA2 (control) One salinity monitor is located near the middle of PA2, approximately 800 feet from the mouth. There is no downstream salinity monitor in PA2, but the downstream salinity monitor for Drinkwater Creek is within 200 feet of the mouth of PA2 and is used for comparison /analysis (Figure 1 -135). The monitor was installed 13 July 2011 after CAMA- approved pier construction was completed. The PA2 and the downstream Drinkwater Creek monitors had similar average monthly salinities over the 2.5 years. At PA2 in 2013, most of the monthly average, maximum, and minimum salinities, as well as the yearly average and maximum decreased from 2012. Many of the decreases in salinity tended to be associated with large amounts of rainfall and higher salinities tended to be associated with lower water depths. Salinity at PA2 for the single post -Mod Alt L year for Drinkwater Creek was significantly higher compared to the two pre -Mod Alt L years (p <0.001) (Figure III -A2a). PA2 appeared to document conditions typical of the South Creek and Pamlico River system, but with salinities in the higher ranges of values, along with the stations at Jacobs Creek, Long Creek, and downstream Drinkwater and Little Creeks (Figures III -A2a and III -A3a). Drinkwater Creek There are two salinity monitors located in Drinkwater Creek. DWS2 is located approximately 400 feet upstream from the mouth and DWS1 is located approximately 3,520 feet (0.7 mile) upstream of the mouth (Figure 1 -136). Monitors were installed 30 June 2011 after CAMA- approved pier construction was completed. The downstream monitor recorded higher salinities and smaller ranges of values than the upstream monitor (Figures III -A2a and III -A2b) over the 2.5 years. The variability in the upstream salinities could be attributed to more variable water depths and distance from the mouth of the creek (which also influences water depth). Many of the maximum, minimum, and average salinities decreased from 2012 or were similar, while few increased. The graphs depicting the descriptive statistics by pre /post years and by month shows 2013 (which is also the only post -Mod Alt L year) lower than pre -Mod Alt L years and most months in 2013 were lower than the same month with combined pre -years (Figures III -A2a III -A -3 and III -A3a). The salinity of the two combined pre -Mod Alt L years was significantly higher than the salinity of the single post -Most Alt L year at both monitors (p <0.01). The salinities of the same two years at SS1, PA2, and Little and Long Creek monitors (South Creek control locations) were also significantly higher than the same single year (p <0.01, Figure III -A2a). The Drinkwater Creek downstream monitor typically has higher salinities than most other stations, especially when all data are combined into pre- and post - years. One other non - control creek, Jacobs Creek, tends to have similar higher salinities as well, as do Long Creek and the downstream station on Little Creek, both of which are control creeks. Large amounts of rain coincided with lower salinities at both Drinkwater stations. Rainfall was not significantly different between pre- and post- Mod Alt L years (Figure III -A1). Rainfall and salinity at the downstream monitor were significantly negatively correlated with each other in 2013 (p= 0.02). Discharge was significantly higher post -Mod Alt L than pre -Mod Alt L and significantly negatively correlated with salinity at the upstream monitor (p <0.01), but that is likely a coincidence due to the distance from the Pamlico River. g. Long Creek (control) There are two salinity monitors located in Long Creek. LOCS2 is approximately 500 feet upstream from the mouth and LOCS1 is approximately 2,000 feet (0.4 mile) upstream from the mouth (Figure I -B7). Units were installed 13 July 2011 after CAMA- approved pier construction was completed. The salinities at the two monitors have mostly been within one psu of each other over the 2.5 years. Except for the monthly averages at the upstream monitor, the monthly averages, maximums, and minimums at both stations decreased from 2012 for half or more than half of the months. The yearly averages and maximums also decreased at both stations while the minimums increased. Rainfall (p =0.01, 0.02) and discharge (p <0.01) were significantly negatively correlated with salinity at both stations. h. Tooley Creek There are two salinity monitors located in Tooley Creek. TS2 is approximately 250 feet upstream of the mouth and TS1 is approximately 2,300 feet (0.4 mile) upstream of the mouth (Figure I -B8). Monitors were re- installed in 2010. Average monthly salinities at both monitors have been very similar to each other in past years. The average, maximum, and minimum monthly and yearly salinities at the upstream monitor in 2013 were within 1 psu of salinities in 2012 for most months. At the downstream monitor, most of the average and maximum monthly salinities were lower than 2012, as well as the yearly average and maximum. But salinity at both monitors remained in the upper ranges of pre -Mod Alt L salinity and within the majority of values post -Mod Alt L (Figures III -A2). With salinity combined into pre- and post - groups, salinity at the Tooley Creek monitors is in the upper ranges of the other non - control creeks associated with the Pamlico River, particularly the post -Mod Alt L and 2013 salinities (Figure III -A2a). Salinity at the downstream monitor was significantly negatively correlated with both discharge (p =0.02) and rainfall (p= 0.01). Tar River discharge does not appear to have an effect on salinity in Tooley Creek and only rainfall events producing more than 2 inches have a noticeable effect on salinity. While annual rainfall amounts vary considerably over the study period, there is no significant difference between pre- and post -Mod Alt L rainfall for Tooley Creek; however, river discharge was significantly lower in the pre -years than the post -years 111 -A -4 (Figure III -A1). Post -Mod Alt L salinities at both Tooley Creek stations are significantly higher than pre -Mod Alt L salinities (p <0.001) (Figure III -A2a). However, salinity also significantly increased over the years at the long -term control stations (South Creek and Pamlico River) grouped into the same pre- and post -years as Tooley Creek and at Huddles Cut. Additionally, salinity at Jacks Creek, which has not yet been impacted by Mod Alt L and at Muddy Creek, a control creek where only fish, sediment, and benthos data are collected, has been increasing most years (Figures III -A2a, III -A2b, III -A5). Mod -Alt L mine activities in the Tooley Creek drainage basin, most of which occurred in 2012, have reduced the basin to approximately 257 acres from the pre -Mod Alt L basin size of approximately 571 acres. i. Pamlico River (PS1) (control) The Pamlico River station is located on the south shore of the river more or less equidistant (approximately 1.7 miles) between the mouths of Huddles Cut and South Creek (Figure 1 -1310). The majority of the salinity data in 2013 was slightly lower than 2012. Long -term monthly and 2013 salinities show a similar pattern to SS1 and the other monitored creeks with long -term data (Figures III -A2a and III -A2b). Water depths tend to be greatest at this station and tend to influence salinity levels (Appendix C PS1 graphs). Salinity at PS1 was significantly negatively correlated with Tar River discharge (p <0.01), but not with rainfall. Salinity tends to briefly decrease with large jumps in Tar River discharge (Appendix C PS1 graphs). Rainfall does not appear to influence salinity levels as noticeably as discharge, most likely because there is more freshwater associated with discharge than with rainfall. j. Huddles Cut There are three salinity monitors located in Huddles Cut. HS3 is at the mouth, HS1 is approximately 2,400 feet (0.5 mile) upstream of the mouth on the main prong, and HS2 is approximately 1,800 feet (0.3 mile) upstream of the mouth on the west prong (Figure 1 -1311). The average monthly salinities did not change much from 2012 at HS1 and HS2, but most decreased at HS3, along with the yearly salinity. The maximum monthly salinities decreased most months at all three stations. Salinity in 2013 at all three stations was within the higher or middle range of post -Mod Alt L values with all months combined and in most months (Figures III -A2a and 111 -A2b). Over the course of the study, salinity at HS1 and HS2 has been the lowest among the three creeks with long -term data as well as most of the newer creeks (Figures III -A2a and III -A2b). A few instances were visible where Tar River discharge spiked and salinity decreased at HS3. Discharge was significantly negatively correlated with salinity at all three stations but was not significantly different when comparing discharge from the Huddles Cut pre -Mod Alt L years and post -Mod Alt L years (Figure III -A1). Rainfall was also associated with some of the decreases in salinity, but it was not significantly negatively correlated and rainfall was not significantly different between grouped pre- and post -Mod Alt L years (Figure III - Ll). Wind tides have been shown to occasionally influence water levels at many of the semi - continuous electronic wells upstream of the salinity monitors and it is also thought that the wind tides from easterly winds occasionally influence salinity. It appears that after water levels III -A -5 recede, watershed drainage and /or dilution results in low salinity. Pre -Mod Alt L salinities were significantly lower than post -Mod Alt L at all three Huddles monitors (p <0.001 at each) (Figure III -A2b). HS3 had the least amount of difference of the three. Salinities at SS1 for the Huddles pre -Mod Alt L years were significantly higher than the post -Mod Alt L years (p <0.001) (Figure III -A2b). Conversely, salinities at PS1 for the Huddles pre -Mod Alt L years were significantly lower than the post -Mod Alt L years (p <0.001) (Figure III -A2b). Direct mine impacts to the Huddles Cut watershed ended in 2011 and approximately 289 acres remain in the basin, out of approximately 552 -acre pre -Mod Alt L basin. As previously discussed Jacks Creek and Muddy Creek have also recorded higher salinities. k. Duck Creek (control) There are two salinity monitors located in Duck Creek. DKS2 is approximately 1,500 feet (0.28 mile) upstream from the mouth and DKS1 is approximately 6,900 feet (1.3 miles) upstream from the mouth (Figure 1 -1312). Monitors were installed 26 July 2011. Average monthly salinities have been higher at the downstream station over the 2.5 years. In 2013, six and nine of the monthly maximums decreased from 2012. With the averages and minimums, less than that increased or decreased, except most of the minimums at the downstream stations increased from 2012. Duck Creek salinities are in the lower range of salinity of all the creeks (Figure III -A2b). Variations in discharge from the river did not seem to affect salinity at the upstream location, but discharge might have slightly influenced salinity at the downstream station. Most of the large peaks in discharge also corresponded to large rainfall amounts; other rainfall events without large peaks in discharge corresponded with decreases in salinity, so discharge and rainfall might have both influenced salinity on some occasions. Discharge was significantly negatively correlated with salinity at the upstream monitor, which might have just been a coincidence. I. Porter Creek There are two salinity monitors located in Porter Creek. PCS2 is approximately 600 feet upstream from the mouth, at the outer edge of a broad expanse of the creek and PCS1 is approximately 2,600 feet (0.49 mile) upstream from the mouth in the middle of a narrow, deep channel (Figure 1 -1313). Monitors were installed 19 and 27 July 2011. The monthly average and maximum salinities in many months were lower than in 2012 at both monitors, along with the yearly average and maximum at the downstream station. The upstream monitor has tended to have slightly lower salinities than the downstream over the years. The upstream Porter station has also had one of the lowest mean and median salinities of all stations in the study (Figures III -A2b and III -A3b). The Porter Creek monitors tend to be more similar to Duck Creek monitors and the monitors associated with Durham Creek. Even though Tar River discharge and rainfall were both significantly negatively correlated with salinity at the downstream station (p >0.01, p= 0.01), and discharge was so at the upstream station (p >0.01), when the graphed salinity readings were analyzed, rainfall and Tar River discharge had almost negligible influences on salinity at either station, except large amounts of rain appeared to slightly influence lower salinities. III -A -6 M. Durham Creek DCS1 (control), DCUT11, and DCUT19 (control) In 2013, salinity monitors were installed in Durham Creek, approximately 13,717 feet upstream of the mouth of Durham Creek (DCS1, a control, Figure I -1314), in a tributary to Durham Creek, DCUT11 (DC11S1, Figure I -1315), approximately 365 feet upstream from where it drains into Durham Creek, and in a second tributary to Durham Creek, DCUT19 (DC19S1, a control, Figure I -1316), approximately 341 feet upstream from where it drains into Durham Creek. These three monitors had similar salinities that were slightly lower than most other creeks but were similar to Porter Creek, Huddles Cut, and upstream Little Creek monitors (Figures III -A2b and III -A4b). Salinity at all three monitors was significantly negatively correlated with discharge (p <0.01) but it was only significantly negatively correlated with rainfall at DCS1 (p= 0.01). Discharge did not appear to influence salinity much at either of the tributaries but did occasionally appear to influence salinity at the monitor on Durham Creek, particularly large discharges (Appendix C). Rain, especially large events or frequent events, corresponded with brief decreased salinity, particularly at DC19S1. DC19S1 was more variable than the other two Durham monitors and water levels frequently dropped below the sensor making it more difficult to determine the effect of rainfall and discharge on salinity levels. 3.0 Summary and Conclusions Salinities in 2013 were similar to, but slightly lower than 2012 salinities at most monitors for most months. In 2013, most monthly average salinities were lowest late summer and early fall and were highest from the late fall to mid - winter, which is similar to patterns in previous years. The downstream stations typically have higher salinities than their upstream counterpart, although sometimes the difference is less than 1 psu. Hurricanes in the late summer and fall or large weather systems at any time of the year, can result in high rainfall and increased river discharge, which in turn often results in decreased salinity. For example, during 2011, Hurricane Irene resulted in record rainfall across the area (18 inches of rain was recorded at the Huddles Cut rain gauge during this time). As is the case with other large weather systems, this rainfall resulted in a notable salinity decrease across almost all salinity monitoring stations. Rainfall appeared to influence salinity at many of the stations (more than the seven that were significantly correlated), but usually only from large or frequent rain events. Discharge might also slightly influence salinity at some monitors, but it is not apparent as a major factor when the data are depicted graphically, even though it was significantly negatively correlated with salinity at 17 stations. Salinity at two creeks (Tooley Creek and Huddles Cut) with pre- and post -Mod Alt L data was significantly higher post -Mod Alt L. However, salinity at the control stations was also significantly higher when grouped into the same years as each of the two creeks. Salinity also increased over the years at the two other long -term monitoring sites- Jacks Creek (not yet impacted by Mod Alt L and therefore no pre- and post -Mod Alt L comparisons) and Muddy Creek (control creek). Conversely, salinity at the third creek with pre -and post -Mod Alt L data (Drinkwater Creek) was significantly lower post -Mod Alt L and salinity at the control creeks was also significantly lower when grouped into the same years as each of the two creeks. The Drinkwater Creek pre -Mod Alt L drainage basin was approximately 372 acres and it has now been reduced by mine activities to approximately 289 acres. The Tooley Creek pre -Mod Alt L drainage basin was approximately 571 acres and has now been reduced to approximately 257 acres. The Huddles Cut pre -Mod Alt L drainage basin was approximately 552 acres and has now been reduced to approximately 289 acres. Drainage basin reductions, III -A -7 may have resulted in higher salinities due to less freshwater input, or may have combined with other environmental factors to cause a higher increase in salinity than would have naturally occurred. However, the fact that other creeks that have not been affected by Mod Alt L mine activities, or any mine activities in some cases, implies a regional change, one not directly attributable to the activities of the mine. 14000 Discharge Flow of Tar River at Greenville (Pre- and Post -Mod Alt L ajid Yearly) 12000 10000 N C 8000 *• • • • 6000 * • • • o • LL •i 4000 • it • • 2000 0 Q�e Q�e Q�e Qey Q�e Qo0 Og OSp Opp. O& Opg Opp Oy Oo ^p O ^� O ^ti Og 20 18 Jacks Creek 16 14 12 10 c c° 8 6 4 2 0 If, �o �o Year 70 60 c 50 CO c 40 c 30 c Q 0 20 10 0 20 18 16 14 S 12 10 c c° 8 Of 6 4 2 0 70 60 c - 50 40 30 c Q B 20 0 Drinkwater Cre • Year Drinkwater Creek Jacks Pre -Mod Alt L: 2000 -2005, 2012 -2013 (no post) Tooley Pre -Mod Alt L: 2010 -2011; Post Mod Alt L: 2012 -2013 Huddles Pre -Mod Alt L: 2009; Post Mod Alt L 2010 -2013 Dots = 5th and 95th outliers Lower and upper whiskers = 10th and 90th percentiles Lower and upper box edges = 25th and 75th percentiles Solid line in boxes = median Dotted line in boxes = mean 20 18 Tooley Creek 16 14 • 12 ZCO 10 • c CO of 6 4 2 ff�T • 0 N°'�`Loo`Lo`Lo`Lo`Lo`Loo� Year 70 Tooley Creek 60 50 40 '12' 30 c Q B 20 0 10 0 20 18 16 14 12 CU 10 cu c 8 6 4 2 0 70 60 c 50 c 40 ry c 30 c Q (0 20 0 10 0 Huddles Cut • Coy Op Ors O"� O`LpD O� IoCIVVVVV Io�oV�o�o�o�o QQ Year �p� p0 0� p`L Ong ODD O� - - ,\� �rL ,\"� �r� �cl, �Ib 0 O �, "� R h 1 0 O �, "� O �, 3 � i i '� O �p �p �p �p �p �p �p �p �p Ncil p� p� p� p� p� p� p� p� p� p`` p`` p`` p`` ���O�O�Oz (Z �O �O �O o3 o3 03 Year Year Year Year Figure III -A1. Tar River discharge (mean daily), monthly rainfall statistics, and total annual rainfall at four long -term rain gauges over the years of the PCS creeks study. 111 -A -9 20 18 16 14 12 10 CO c CO 8 6 4 2 0 Porter Creek ^o �o^^ �0^0,�0 ^`3 Quo Year 70 Por 60 c = 50 40 =2 30 c Q 2 20 0 10 0n n n n n n n r VOO� VOO� VOO� VOO� VO�O VO�� VO�V VO�� Year 20 15 Q 10 M CO 5 20 15 10 U) a 13 I N I .- I N I I N I T_ I N 07 I o7 I o7 I o7 I I I I I- I I I I• I I• I I i I I I I I I • • I• I• I I• I I• • I• • •� I • •I •I • I • I • I � I I I I i •• I i I i I I" i I I i I i I i I I i I i ... I ... • I I I • I I• •• i •• I • I I I• I I I I i • I I i L J LJ I i I i I I i I i I •i I •I i I i I I LJ i I• I I I I• I• I I I I I I I � I I I •• I � I i• I I i I i I • i I I � I I I I I I I I I I Long -term Control Locations SS1 ; PS1 i I •I I I I I I I I• I I I I ❑ Pre -Mod Alt L ❑ Post -Mod Alt L F-12013 0 QQ o Q bQo go Qo 5 � � p � Q � �o k' �o sQ p �o Q g o 5� go � 05 go j e � a a ono � 6\e, of 0 o-o ago .� /\o sa '0 00 a a p, ip ti p ip /\oo paa tip 20 LCS 1 15 X10 M CO ��lmom■■ 0 I I i i i I I I I I Control Locations Established in 2011 LCS2 LOCS1 i LOCS2 PA2 I I I I I I I I I I I I • •I I„ I IT I I I I I I• I I I I I I I • I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ❑ Drinkwater -Pre ❑ Drinkwater -Post ❑ 2011 -2013 ❑ 2013 • Figure III -A2a. Salinity at monitoring locations associated primarily with South Creek. Jacks Creek (JS) pre -Mod Alt L 2000 -2005, 2011 -2013, Jacobs Creek (JCBS) pre -Mod Alt L 2011 -2013; Drinkwater Creek (DW) pre -Mod Alt L 2011 -2012, post -Mod Alt L 2013; Tooley Creek (TS) pre -Mod Alt L 2010 -2011, post -Mod Alt L 2012 -2013. Long -term control locations include South Creek (SS) and Pamlico River (PS); more recent control locations include Little Creek (LC), Long Creek (LOC), and PA2. All pre- to post -Mod Alt L comparisons are significantly different. (dots =5th and 95th outliers, whiskers =10th and 90th percentiles; box edges =25th and 75th percentiles, solid line in boxes= median, dotted line= mean.) III -A -10 Q X10 M CO ��lmom■■ 0 I I i i i I I I I I Control Locations Established in 2011 LCS2 LOCS1 i LOCS2 PA2 I I I I I I I I I I I I • •I I„ I IT I I I I I I• I I I I I I I • I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ❑ Drinkwater -Pre ❑ Drinkwater -Post ❑ 2011 -2013 ❑ 2013 • Figure III -A2a. Salinity at monitoring locations associated primarily with South Creek. Jacks Creek (JS) pre -Mod Alt L 2000 -2005, 2011 -2013, Jacobs Creek (JCBS) pre -Mod Alt L 2011 -2013; Drinkwater Creek (DW) pre -Mod Alt L 2011 -2012, post -Mod Alt L 2013; Tooley Creek (TS) pre -Mod Alt L 2010 -2011, post -Mod Alt L 2012 -2013. Long -term control locations include South Creek (SS) and Pamlico River (PS); more recent control locations include Little Creek (LC), Long Creek (LOC), and PA2. All pre- to post -Mod Alt L comparisons are significantly different. (dots =5th and 95th outliers, whiskers =10th and 90th percentiles; box edges =25th and 75th percentiles, solid line in boxes= median, dotted line= mean.) III -A -10 20 15 3 Q 10 W 5 RE 20 15 Q 10 c cc U) 5 U PCS1 I PCS2 OC11 S1 I i i I • • I I I I I I I I I I p Q�2 2 Q�12 Q pip p pi0505 I • I I • • I I I • I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I • • I I I I I I I I I I p LUn -lef f 11 ULMIlf Ul LUCduUnS SS1 ; PS1 I I I • •I I I I I I I I I • I I I I I I ❑ Pre -Mod Alt L • o \0 a \0 � 0" o �N 0\0 a a\0 � ge l Q Cl' �N 'a � I A10 \� o \� o o t HS1 • HS2 • • 2 Q p Q�2 2 Q�12 Q pip p pi0505 I I • I I • t HS1 • HS2 • • ❑ Post -Mod Alt L 15 3 Q = 10 W 5 A HS3 712013 Other Control Locations DKCS1 j DKCS2 i DC19S1 DCS1 I I I I I I I I I I I I • I I I • I I • I I • I I I I I I I I I I I I .......... I I I I I I • I I I I I I I I • I I I I I I I I I I I • I I I D 2011 -2013 0 2013 Figure III -A2b. Salinity at monitoring locations associated primarily with Pamlico River. Huddles Cut (HS) pre -Mod Alt L 2009, post -Mod Alt L 2010 -2013; Porter Creek (PC) pre -Mod Alt L 2011 -2013; DCUT11 (DC11) pre - Mod Alt L 2013. Long -term control location includes Pamlico River (PS), more recent control locations include Duck Creek (DCK) since 2011, Durham Creek (DC) and DCUT19 (DC19) since 2013. All pre- to post -Mod Alt L comparisons are significantly different. (dots =5th and 95th outliers, whiskers =10th and 90th percentiles; box edges =25th and 75th percentiles, solid line in boxes= median, dotted line= mean.) III -A -11 • I I I I • I I • I I I I I I ❑ Post -Mod Alt L 15 3 Q = 10 W 5 A HS3 712013 Other Control Locations DKCS1 j DKCS2 i DC19S1 DCS1 I I I I I I I I I I I I • I I I • I I • I I • I I I I I I I I I I I I .......... I I I I I I • I I I I I I I I • I I I I I I I I I I I • I I I D 2011 -2013 0 2013 Figure III -A2b. Salinity at monitoring locations associated primarily with Pamlico River. Huddles Cut (HS) pre -Mod Alt L 2009, post -Mod Alt L 2010 -2013; Porter Creek (PC) pre -Mod Alt L 2011 -2013; DCUT11 (DC11) pre - Mod Alt L 2013. Long -term control location includes Pamlico River (PS), more recent control locations include Duck Creek (DCK) since 2011, Durham Creek (DC) and DCUT19 (DC19) since 2013. All pre- to post -Mod Alt L comparisons are significantly different. (dots =5th and 95th outliers, whiskers =10th and 90th percentiles; box edges =25th and 75th percentiles, solid line in boxes= median, dotted line= mean.) III -A -11 20 18 16 14 12 N d w 10 N 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 - U) CL 10 - c U) 8- 6- 4- 2- 0- 20 18 16 14 12 U) a 10 (n 8 6 4 2 0 Jacks Creek - JS1 Jan Feb = Mar = Apr _ May _ June July Aug Sept _ Oct Nov = Dec • • 0 Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (2000 -2005, July 2012 -Dec 2013) Lj 2013 Salinity Jacobs Creek - JCBS1 Jan Feb = Mar = Apr = May June July : Aug Sept Oct _ Nov Dec 0 Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Drinkwater Creek - DW1 Jan Feb _ Mar Apr May _ June July _ Aug Sept Oct Nov = Dec • ze • a S T� �5 lY L *fl � � � �= • • I�rS�I ' 1 ze ze ze 20 18 16 14 12 U) d 10 C 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 U) d w 10 E z U) 8 6 4 2 n 20 18 16 14 E 12 U) a 10 (n 8 6 4 2 0 Jacks Creek - JS2 Jan _ Feb = Mar = Apr _ May _ June : July Aug ; Sept ; Oct _ Nov = Dec • • • _• • • • _ • • 711 F • • • _• _• 0 Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (2000 -2005, July 2012 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Jacobs Creek - JCBS2 Jan = Feb = Mar Apr = May June July Aug Sept Oct _ Nov Dec 0 Pre -Mod Alt L Salinitv (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Drinkwater Creek - DW2 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr = May June July _ Aug Sept Oct = Nov = Dec • a S T� �5 lY L *fl � � � �= • • I�rS�I ' 1 • •3 Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (July 2011 -Dec 2012) ❑ ❑ 2013 Salinity Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (July 2011 -Dec 2012) ❑ Post -Mod Alt L Salinity (2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Figure III -A3a. Monthly salinities at non - control salinity monitoring stations. (Dots = 5th &95th outliers, upper /lower whiskers = 90th &10th percentiles, upper /lower box edges = 75th &25th percentiles, solid line in boxes = median, dotted line= mean). III -A -12 20 18 16 14 12 U) a 10 (4 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 U) d 10 c U) 8 6 4 2 0 Tooley Creek - TS1 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr May June July Aug _ Sept Oct = Nov = Dec • • E Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (2010 -2011) Huddles Cut - HS1 Jan : Feb : Mar : Apr : May June = July_ Aug : Sept:: Oct : Nov : Dec 20 18 16 14 12 d w 10 E 0 cn 8 6 4 2 0 Post -Mod Alt L Salinity (2012 -2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Huddles Cut - HS2 zo 18 16 14 12 U) CL 10 (4 8 6 4 2 n E Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (Jan 2009 -Dec 2009) 0 Post -Mod Alt L Salinity (2010 -2013) 112013 Salinity 20 18 16 14 12 N w 10 N 8 6 4 2 Porter Creek - PCS1 Tooley Creek - TS2 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr May June July Aug = Sept _ Oct = Nov = Dec • E Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (2010 -2011) Jan = Feb •_ Mar = Apr May June July Aug : Sept Oct = Nov = Dec • _• ' ' : _ ' • E Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (Jan 2009 -Dec 2009) 0 Post -Mod Alt L Salinity (2010 -2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Jan : Feb : Mar : Apr = May June July : Aug Sept Oct : Nov Dec • Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (July 2011 -Dec 2013 ❑ 2013 Salinity 20 18 16 14 12 U) a 10 (n 8 6 4 2 20 18 16 14 12 U) a 10 (4 8 6 4 2 0 Post -Mod Alt L Salinity (2012 -2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Huddles Cut - HS3 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr May June July Aug : Sept : Oct Nov Dec 1 ? ' Ir Pre -Mod Alt L Salinity (Jan 2009 -Dec 2009) 0 Post -Mod Alt L Salinity (2010 -2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Porter Creek - PCS2 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr = May June July Aug Sept Oct : Nov Dec • • • : - - • - 0 Pre -Mod Alt L Salinitv (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Figure III -A3b. Monthly salinities at non - control salinity monitoring stations. (Dots = 5th &95th outliers, upper /lower whiskers= 90th &10th percentiles, upper /lower box edges = 75th &25th percentiles, solid line in boxes = median, dotted line= mean). III -A -13 20 18 16 14 12 U) d 10 C U) 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 U) LL 10 .E 75 (4 8 6 4 2 0 PA2 Jan Feb = Mar Apr May June July _ Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 0 Salinity-All Years (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity South Creek - SS1 Jan Feb = Mar = Apr = May June = July Aug Sept Oct Nov _ Dec • • i • • 1 E Salinity-All Years (Jan 2000 -June 2002, 2007 -2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity 20 18 16 14 12 U) LL 10 CU U) 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 U) a 10 (A 8 6 4 2 0 Little Creek - LCS1 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr May June : July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec • • 0 Salinity-All Years (June 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Long Creek - LOCS1 Jan Feb = Mar =Apr May :June = July :Aug Sept Oct = Nov = Dec • 0 Salinity-All Years (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013Salinity •: 20 18 16 14 12 U) LL 10 C CU U) 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 U) a 10 o (4 8 6 4 2 0 Little Creek - LCS2 0 Salinity-All Years (June 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2012 Salinity Long Creek - LOCS2 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr May June July _ Aug Sept Oct _ Nov = Dec • i • • • 0 Salinity-All Years (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Figure III -4a. Monthly salinities at control monitoring stations. (Dots = 5th &95th outliers, upper /lower whiskers = 90th &10th percentiles, upper /lower box edges = 75th &25th percentiles, solid line in boxes = median, dotted line= mean). 20 18 16 14 12 U) a 10 C U) 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 U) d w 10 U) 8 6 4 2 0 Duck Creek - DCKS1 Jan Feb = Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec • iT • • 0 Salinity-All Years (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity 20 18 16 14 12 U) d w 10 U) 8 6 4 2 0 Pamlico River - PS1 Duck Creek - DCKS2 Jan : Feb* : Mar = Apr = May June July = Aug Sept Oct _ Nov Dec • • • • • ■ Salinity -All Years (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Jan Feb Mar Apr _ May June : July Aug Sept •Oct = Nov= • Dec • • • _• • i• • • • - 1 • • E Salinity -All Years (Jan 2000 -June 2002, 2007 -2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Durham Creek - DCS1 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct = Nov = Dec • • ❑ 2013 Salinity Durham Creek - DC19S1 20 Jan Feb = Mar Apr _ May June July Aug _ Sept Oct Nov =Dec 18 16 14 A. 12 • ' ' _ ' _ U) IL C • 6 • • 4 • 2 ❑ 2013 Salinity Figure III -A4b. Monthly salinities at control monitoring stations. (Dots = 5th &95th outliers, upper /lower whiskers= 90th &10th percentiles, upper /lower box edges = 75th &25th percentiles, solid line in boxes = median, dotted line= mean). III -A -15 20 18 16 14 12 U) w C 10 U) 8 6 4 2 0 20 18 16 14 12 U) d w 10 U) 8 6 4 2 0 Pamlico River - PS1 Duck Creek - DCKS2 Jan : Feb* : Mar = Apr = May June July = Aug Sept Oct _ Nov Dec • • • • • ■ Salinity -All Years (July 2011 -Dec 2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Jan Feb Mar Apr _ May June : July Aug Sept •Oct = Nov= • Dec • • • _• • i• • • • - 1 • • E Salinity -All Years (Jan 2000 -June 2002, 2007 -2013) ❑ 2013 Salinity Durham Creek - DCS1 Jan = Feb = Mar = Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct = Nov = Dec • • ❑ 2013 Salinity Durham Creek - DC19S1 20 Jan Feb = Mar Apr _ May June July Aug _ Sept Oct Nov =Dec 18 16 14 A. 12 • ' ' _ ' _ U) IL C • 6 • • 4 • 2 ❑ 2013 Salinity Figure III -A4b. Monthly salinities at control monitoring stations. (Dots = 5th &95th outliers, upper /lower whiskers= 90th &10th percentiles, upper /lower box edges = 75th &25th percentiles, solid line in boxes = median, dotted line= mean). III -A -15 Muddy Creek Salinity April -June 2000 -2005, 2009 -2013 14.00 0Salinity 12.00 Linear (Salinity) 10.00 R = 0.258 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 C r N CO It L7 M C r N n CD CD CD CD CD CD CD CD o 0 0 o a o a a o 0 N N N N N N N N N N N Figure III -A5. Salinity measured during fish trawling at Muddy Creek in April, May and June of 2000 -2005 and 2009 -2013. No monitoring occurred in 2006 for this study. A linear trend line is shown with the corresponding r2 value. III -A -16 B. WETLAND HYDROLOGY Section II -B contains summary information about pre- and post -Mod Alt L hydrology for Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut as it pertains to an aspect of one of the six questions. This section contains additional summary information about hydrology in each monitored creek. 1.0 Jacks Creek Years of monitoring included in this report are 2000 -2005 and 2011 -2013. No Mod Alt L activities have occurred in the Jacks Creek drainage basin so all data are pre -Mod Alt L. The second least amount of rainfall occurred in 2013 (tied with 2002) and six of the 14 wells had shorter hydroperiods than 2012 while two wells had a longer wetland hydroperiod. Wetland hydroperiods at the six wells had increased the year before, but decreased the year before that, showing those wells and some others appear to fluctuate at least partially due to rainfall (Figure III -131). The more upstream wells tended to have shorter wetland hydroperiods in all years (Figure III -132). 2.0 Jacobs Creek Monitoring of two wells in the upper reaches of Jacobs Creek has occurred since 2011 and no Mod Alt L activities have yet occurred in the drainage basin. The least amount of rainfall in the monitoring period occurred in 2013 (Figure III -133). The wells are located within 100 feet of each other, at more or less equivalent geomorphic positions in the creek system. One well has not had a wetland hydroperiod since monitoring began and one well has only had a wetland hydroperiod in 2013 and it was very short (Figures III -B3, 134). To date, hydroperiods in Jacobs Creek are the shortest among all creeks monitored for this project. 3.0 Drinkwater Creek Monitoring of three wells in Drinkwater Creek has occurred since 2011. Pre -Mod Alt L years include 2011 and 2012. The least amount of rainfall in the monitoring period occurred in 2013, which followed the highest amount in 2012. One of the wells is in the middle of the stream channel and the other two are outside of the stream channel on either side of the creek floodplain. The wetland hydroperiod at the middle well has increased each of the three monitoring years while the other two wells fluctuated (Figure III -133). The wetland hydroperiod at one increased in 2012, but then in 2013 dropped back to one day short of the 2011 hydroperiod. The other well decreased in 2012, but then increased in 2013 and was longer than the 2011 hydroperiod. 4.0 Long Creek (control) Monitoring of the two wells in Long Creek has occurred since 2011. The rainfall pattern was the same as at Jacobs and Drinkwater Creeks (highest in 2012, lowest in 2013), although the amounts were slightly different. The wetland hydroperiods at both wells have increased each of the three years of monitoring, which does not match the pattern of rainfall (Figures III -135, R. 5.0 Tooley Creek Years of monitoring included in this report are 2010 -2013, with 2010 -2011 as the pre -Mod Alt L years. The least amount of rainfall for this monitoring period occurred in 2013, which followed the highest year (Figure III -137). Wetland hydroperiods at five of the six wells decreased in 2013. The combined post -Mod Alt L average hydroperiod was higher than the pre -Mod Alt L average, but well within the upper range of pre -Mod Alt L data. Also, the range of post -Mod Alt L data encompassed the pre -Mod Alt L data (Figure II -1311). 6.0 Huddles Cut a. Main Prong Years of monitoring included in this report are 2009 -2013, with 2009 the only pre -Mod Alt L year. The least amount of rainfall for this time period occurred in 2013 but all wells except one (a mid - stream well) recorded the longest wetland hydroperiod or the same length (the entire growing season) in that year (Figure III -138). Of the 12 wells in the main prong of Huddles Cut, 11 showed wetland hydrology for the entire growing season and one for almost the entire growing season. b. West Prong Years of monitoring included in this report are 2009 -2013, with 2009 the only pre -Mod Alt L year. The least amount of rainfall for this time period occurred in 2013 (Figure III -139). The more upstream wells tended to have shorter wetland hydroperiods than the downstream wells. Of the eight wells on the west prong of Huddles Cut, three had wetland hydrology for the entire growing season and after combining all wetland hydroperiods, four had wetland hydrology 60 percent or greater of the growing season. The remaining well did not have a wetland hydroperiod. Five of the eight wells recorded shorter wetland hydroperiods than last year and two of them (most upstream wells) were the shortest hydroperiods since 2009. Except for at the three most upstream wells, there was a wide range of wetland hydroperiod lengths among the four post -Mod Alt L years. The ranges of hydroperiod length at the three most upstream wells did not overlap the 2009 values, which were higher than the post - Mod Alt L ranges. 7.0 Duck Creek (control) Monitoring of eight wells across three arrays and one additional well by itself in another location began in 2011. Rainfall was considerably less in 2013 than either of the other two monitoring years and seven of the eight wells recorded the shortest wetland hydroperiod of the monitoring period (Figure III -1319. Last year, the eighth well was the only well to decrease from 2011 and now this year, it is the only well to increase. For the first two years, this well had a wetland hydroperiod much less than most other wells, including its partner in the array but in 2013 it was similar to its partner and other wells. Duck Creek wells behaved similarly to wells at other creeks and appear to be influenced by rainfall. There does not appear to be a pattern based on distance from the mouth of the creek (Figure III -1311). 8.0 Porter Creek Pre -Mod Alt L wetland hydrology monitoring at Porter Creek began at six wells in the beginning of the 2006 growing season for another PCS project and monitoring at three new wells downstream of the existing wells began in early 2011 and continued through 2013. No Mod Alt L activities have occurred in the drainage basin. The second lowest amount of rainfall III -13-2 for the monitoring period occurred in 2013 but hydroperiods at six wells (the older wells) increased from last year (Figure III -1312). Of the three newer wells that are downstream of the older wells, two are on either side of the creek channel in the floodplain and their 2013 hydroperiods decreased from 2012. The third well is in the middle of the creek channel and its wetland hydroperiod has lasted the entire growing season since installation. Those three wells have been much wetter than the older wells all three years (Figure III -1313). The older wells have always had wetland hydroperiods less than 70 days. 9.0 DCUT11 Monitoring of this tributary to Durham Creek began in 2013. No Mod Alt L activities have occurred in its drainage basin. Porter Creek rain data are used for this creek due to its close proximity to that rain gauge. The eight wells are in three different arrays along the creek and exhibited a wide range of hydroperiods. Two of the wells did not record a wetland hydroperiod and one well had a continuous wetland hydroperiod for 100 percent of the growing season. 10.0 DCUT19 (control) Monitoring of this tributary to Durham Creek began in 2013. All six wells recorded wetland hydroperiods and they were similar to the other creeks in the study. They ranged from 25 to 87 percent of the growing season. 250 - JW1 + JW2A ' JW2B N 0 JW3 m 200 v JW4 it JWSA 0 x JWSB `m 150 o JW6 0 ❑ JW7A T • JW7B = III JW8 ro 100 O JW9A 0) X JW9B 0 ® JW10 50 D Total annual rainfall 0 Jacks Creek 100 80 c m 60 c m c 40 Q m 0 20 0 Year Figure III -B1. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Jacks Creek by year with total annual rainfall for each year. 250 co 200 0 �L C) 150 0 L 2 100 N c 0 J 50 0 Monitoring Well Jacks Creek Figure III -132. Longest combined hydroperiod across all years for each well in Jacks Creek relative to location in creek system. Jacobs and Drinkwater Creeks 250 T 200 - JCBW1A -Co + JCBW1 B i DWW1A m DWW1B 150 v DWW1C J D Total annual a o rainfall a3 0 100 Q 0 '00 T a 2 = 50 0 Jacobs and Drinkwater Creeks 100 80 c 60 c CU Of 40 Q 20 0 CU 0 F 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -133. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek and Drinkwater Creek by year and total annual rainfall. Jacobs Creek 280 260 240 D i 200 � v v v 0 t 160 100 80 c 60 c CU Of 40 Q 20 0 CU 0 F 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -133. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek and Drinkwater Creek by year and total annual rainfall. Jacobs Creek Monitoring Well Figure III -B4. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek across all years. Long Creek 280 240 T 200 a 0 a 160 a 0 '00 1 120 2 a� 80 0 J 40 0 LOCW113 LOCW2B Monitoring Well Figure III -B5. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Long Creek across all years. 280 260 240 N 220 200 � 0 180 0 160 Q 0 140 a = 120 100 0 80 0 60 40 20 0 Monitoring Well Figure III -B4. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Jacobs Creek across all years. Long Creek 280 240 T 200 a 0 a 160 a 0 '00 1 120 2 a� 80 0 J 40 0 LOCW113 LOCW2B Monitoring Well Figure III -B5. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Long Creek across all years. Long Creek 250 x 200 O 200 o O LOCW1 B 0) X TW2 X LOCW2B Q2 150 J g D Total annual o O TW4 rainfall — 150 it TW5 O 0 100 T 2 50 = 0 Long Creek 100 80 c 60 CO CO 40 c Q 20 0 m 0 H 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -136. Longest hydroperiod for each well by year in Long Creek and total annual rainfall. Tooley Creek x O 200 o X TW2 x x g 100 80 c 60 CO CO 40 c Q 20 0 m 0 H 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -136. Longest hydroperiod for each well by year in Long Creek and total annual rainfall. Tooley Creek 100 80 C m 60 c CO m c 40 Q m 0 H 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -137. Longest hydroperiod for each well by year in Tooley Creek and total annual rainfall. LUU 200 + TW1 X TW2 0 TW3 g O TW4 Q 150 it TW5 O x ❑ TW6 0 Total annual rainfall = 100 N C O O J 50 0 100 80 C m 60 c CO m c 40 Q m 0 H 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -137. Longest hydroperiod for each well by year in Tooley Creek and total annual rainfall. D x x 100 80 C m 60 c CO m c 40 Q m 0 H 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -137. Longest hydroperiod for each well by year in Tooley Creek and total annual rainfall. Huddles Main Prong 100 80 60 40 Q m 0 H 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -138. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut Main Prong by year and total annual rainfall. Huddles Cut West Prong 250 • HMW1 T + HMW2 200 HMW3 p HMW4 it HMW5 0 o HMW6 Q 150 ❑ HMW7 0 ® HMW8 O HMW9 = ® HMW10 � 100 HMW11 0) x HMW12 0 0 J J 50 0 Total annual rainfall 50 0 100 80 60 40 Q m 0 H 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -138. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut Main Prong by year and total annual rainfall. Huddles Cut West Prong 100 80 c 60 c 40 Q 0 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -139. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut West Prong by year and total annual rainfall. 250 o HWW2 T v HWW3 200 HWW4 0 HWW5 0 �L ❑ HWW6 a 150 ® HWW7 0 O HWW8 ® HWW9 = 0 C Total annual rainfall 0 100 c 0 J 50 0 100 80 c 60 c 40 Q 0 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -139. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Huddles Cut West Prong by year and total annual rainfall. 250 + DKCW1 B �I X DKCW2A m 200 A DKCW2B ❑ O DCKW3A o 4 it DKCW3B `m 150 ❑ DKCW4A 0- 0 0 DKCW4B - DKCW4C 2 0 Total annual rainfall'( 100 0) c 0 J 50 0 Duck Creek 100 80 c m 60 c CO CO 40 Q m 0 20 0 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -1310. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek by year and total annual rainfall. 280 240 200 O 160 Q O L 120 N 80 O J 40 0 Duck Creek UPSTREAM 1 pG��p6pG��DG3P3 pG��2POG�q20 OG� 10 Monitoring Well Figure III -1311. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek across all years relative to location in creek system. �I ❑ � 4 + S 100 80 c m 60 c CO CO 40 Q m 0 20 0 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -1310. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek by year and total annual rainfall. 280 240 200 O 160 Q O L 120 N 80 O J 40 0 Duck Creek UPSTREAM 1 pG��p6pG��DG3P3 pG��2POG�q20 OG� 10 Monitoring Well Figure III -1311. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Duck Creek across all years relative to location in creek system. Porter Creek 250 - PC9A 200 + PC9B C CO PC9C 4 PC4 v PC5 ro 150 it PC6 ® PC1 0 - PC2 + PC3 0 100 D Total annual t rainfall = 50 0 Porter Creek 100 80 c m 60 CO c 40 Q 20 0 CO 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -1312. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Porter Creek by year and total annual rainfall. 250 200 0 Q 150 0 2 100 0 C 0 J 50 0 PC9A PC9B PC9C PC4 PC5 PC6 PC1 PC2 PC3 Monitoring Well Figure III -1313. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Porter Creek across all years relative to location in creek system. Porter Creek uu�p 100 80 c m 60 CO c 40 Q 20 0 CO 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year Figure III -1312. Longest hydroperiod for each well in Porter Creek by year and total annual rainfall. 250 200 0 Q 150 0 2 100 0 C 0 J 50 0 PC9A PC9B PC9C PC4 PC5 PC6 PC1 PC2 PC3 Monitoring Well Figure III -1313. Longest combined hydroperiod for each well in Porter Creek across all years relative to location in creek system. Porter Creek C. WATER QUALITY (Section III. C. was prepared by Dr. David G. Kimmel, a faculty member of East Carolina University (ECU)). 1.0 History Water quality monitoring sites on three creek systems were initially established at the beginning of the creeks monitoring in 1998 as follows: (1) two locations in Jacks Creek, (2) three locations on Tooley Creek, and (3) four locations on Huddles Cut (Figures 1 -131, 1 -138, and I -B11). These stations were monitored in accordance with the 1998 plan and continued under the final 2011 plan as outlined in Table I -A1. By December 2011, two stations each in six additional creeks (three control creeks and three creeks to be impacted) had been added such that ten creeks designated for water quality monitoring were part of the regular program (no water quality samples have ever been collected in Muddy Creek). Once the salinity locations were established, collection /submission of water quality samples was gradual in order for the ECU laboratory to ramp up their analysis and throughput. Water quality stations at two locations were added in the following creeks in 2011: Little Creek- LCWQ1 and LCWQ2, one at each of the salinity stations (Figure 1 -133); Jacobs Creek- JCBWQ1 near the upstream salinity station and JCBWQ2 near the old railroad trestle (Figure 1 -134); Project Area 2 (PA2) - PA2WQ1 at the upstream end of the main channel and PA2WQ2 at the midstream salinity station (Figure 1 -135); Drinkwater Creek- DWWQ1 at the upstream well array and DWWQ2 near the upstream salinity station (Figure 1 -136); Long Creek - LOCWQ1 and LOCWQ2, one at each of the salinity stations (Figure 1 -137); Duck Creek - DKCWQ1 at the upstream salinity monitor and DKCWQ2 at the downstream salinity monitor (Figure 1 -1312); and Porter Creek- one downstream of the most upstream well array (PCWQ1) and PCWQ2 at the upstream salinity station (Figure 1 -1314). With the addition of two stations in 2013 on two small unnamed tributaries (UTs) to Durham Creek (DC11WQ1 and DC19WQ1, Figures 1 -1315 and 1 -1316), all water quality stations designated in the study plan are in place. The headwaters of the Durham Creek tributary DCUT11 will be impacted by the mine continuation and DCUT19 serves as the control. 2.0 Description of Analysis Techniques In order to reduce the amount of information presented in both graphical and table format in this section, the multivariate analysis approach was continued, with some modifications. The most significant change in this year's report was the addition of data from all years that have been sampled. In prior reports, data were summarized in up to five standard graphical formats. For this report, the data were divided into three distinct subsections: temporal variability for all water quality stations analyzed separately across all years, spatial variability for all water quality stations across all years, and temporal variability across pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years at Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut. Temporal variability at water quality stations across years was analyzed by employing a Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to recombine all water quality variables into principal components that capture the intercorrelation between variables over time. PCA has two primary uses: 1) to describe interrelationships between a matrix of intercorrelated variables and 2) data reduction, i.e. to reduce a large matrix of intercorrelated variables into linear recombinations of the original variables. PCA plots all original variables in multidimensional III -C -1 space (one dimension for each variable), and then fits a regression line through the multiple dimensions. The principle of least squares is used to fit the regression line and the resulting variance explained is recombined into a principal component. This principal component (PC) is a combination of the original variables and explains a fraction of the total variables. This procedure is repeated, i.e. a new regression line is fitted to the remaining data, and a new principal component is calculated and generated, until all variability is explained. The PCs themselves are uncorrelated to each other and therefore may be used in further modeling without violation of regression assumptions. The PCs can be related to the original variables by examining the loadings on to each PC and these values represent the degree of correlation of each original variable to the new PC. In order to examine how the PCs are related to one another, a biplot is often generated that shows how the original variables are related to the first two PCs. The final result of PCA is a set of PC values that represent new variables, made from the original variables, but fewer in number and uncorrelated to each other. Plotting the PC scores over the course of the years shows the temporal variability of multiple variables, without the need to generate numerous plots. A PCA analysis was run for each water quality station and the biplot, loadings, and PC time - series are presented. Spatial variability among stations across all years was analyzed by comparing the mean water quality parameters of each water quality monitoring station using a cluster analysis approach. The approach groups water quality monitoring stations with similar conditions together, demonstrating the relationship between each station. The benefit of doing this over using multiple years is to demonstrate how relationships between stations may change over time. Water quality conditions for each group of stations were then summarized graphically. Briefly, cluster analysis is a multivariate technique that analyzes similarity or dissimilarity computed from a data matrix. For example, a single water quality monitoring station may be characterized by multiple water quality measurements. Thus, one might ask: how similar are two water quality stations from two different creeks based on all of the water quality measurements? While it is straightforward to compare salinity values between the two creeks, the addition of more parameters makes the comparison difficult. In order to accomplish this comparison the data matrix of water quality values have been grouped by station and a dissimilarity matrix was calculated. This is done by plotting the water quality values for each parameter in multivariate space. Instead of fitting a regression line, as with PCA, the Euclidean distance is calculated between the water quality values for each station. Values that are close to each other in space have low dissimilarity and values that are for apart in space have high dissimilarity. Once the dissimilarity matrix has been computed, the dissimilarity values for each station may be clustered and displayed using a denodrogram (tree diagram). Height is typically used as the y -axis for such a graph and the higher the height of a branch split, the more dissimilar the stations that follow such a split. Finally, the interannual variability in water quality variables at Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut allows the comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L conditions. Pre- and post -mod Alt -L conditions were compared using a one -way ANOVA and t scores and p- values are presented. Differences were considered significant if p- values were < 0.05. 3.0 Results Twenty water quality parameters were analyzed for most creeks; however, since dissolved organic carbon (DOC) has only been collected for the past two years, this one parameter was not included in the analyses for the three creeks with the long -term data sets, Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut. Location of water quality sample stations are shown in Figures I -131, I -133 through I -138, and I -1311 through I -1316. Years of water quality data III -C -2 in the 2013 temporal and spatial analysis varied from creek to creek and included the following: Jacks Creek 1999 -2005 and 2011 -2013; Jacobs Creek, PA2, Drinkwater Creek, Little Creek, Long Creek, Duck Creek, and Porter Creek 2011 -2013; Tooley Creek 1999 -2002 and 2010- 2013; Huddles Cut 1999 -2002 and 2007 -2013; DCUT11 and DCUT19 2013 only. For Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut all years of available data were included for the temporal and spatial analysis for the 2013 report in order to note past trends or past variability which may have stabilized. This level of analysis was only done for the water quality data; water quality analysis in subsequent creeks reports will likely match the same years used for the other parameters. Only three creeks are considered post -Mod Alt L: Tooley Creek post -Mod Alt L years = 2012 -2013, Drinkwater Creek post -Mod Alt L years = 2013, and Huddles Cut post -Mod Alt L years = 2010 -2013. For more details on multivariate analysis methods and interpretation please refer to the water quality section of Appendix A. a. Temporal variability of creeks across all years Principal Components Analysis revealed significant interrelationships between all water quality variables and also showed the seasonal variability. The biplots of the visual relationship between the variables are shown in Figures III -C1 — III -C49. Variables with arrows pointing in the same direction are positively correlated with each other, variables with arrows pointing the opposite direction are negatively correlated with each other, and variables at right angles with each other are not correlated. Each quadrant shows the prevailing conditions when PC1 and PC2 are positive or negative. Note that some of the biplots are asymmetrical. This is because, in some cases, one PC shows a stronger relationship to the original variables resulting in one PC having higher maximum values. When graphed, this results in asymmetry of the biplot, which can be observed for some stations. The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen for each water quality station in Tables III -C1 through III -C25. A separate PCA analysis was run for each station across all years and the results are outlined below. i. Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ1 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C1). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C1). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C1. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are negative in the winter indicating a peak in dissolved oxygen; during spring, PC1 tends to remain negative, while PC2 becomes positive indicating increases in phosphorus levels, depth and pH; during summer, both PC1 and PC2 become positive, indicating peaks in temperature, turbidity, nitrogen and chlorophyll; finally, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative during fall, indicating the peak in salinity (Figures III -C1 and III -C2). There appears to be no long -term trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ1 has experienced no long -term changes in seasonal variability, though there is a gap in the data record (2006- 2011). ii. Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ2 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the 111 -C -3 variables (Figure III -C3). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C3). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C2. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are positive in the winter indicating peak in dissolved oxygen and pH; during spring, PC1 tends to become negative, while PC2 remains positive indicating increases in particulate phosphorus and turbidity; during summer, both PC1 and PC2 become negative, indicating peaks in temperature, nitrogen, phosphorus, and depth; finally, PC1 becomes positive and PC2 remains negative during fall, indicating the peak in salinity (Figures III -C3 and III -C4). There appears to be no long -term trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ2 has experienced no long -term changes in seasonal variability, though there is a gap in the data record (2006- 2011). iii. Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ1 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -05). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -05). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C3. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are negative in the winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen and salinity; during spring, PC1 remains negative, while PC2 becomes positive indicating increases in nitrogen and chlorophyll; during summer, both PC1 and PC2 become positive, indicating peaks in temperature, nitrogen, phosphorus, turbidity, and DOC; finally, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative during fall, indicating a return to winter conditions (Figures III -05 and III -C6). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ1 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. iv. Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ2 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C7). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C7). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C4. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC2 is positive in the winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen and pH; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating increases in nitrogen, turbidity, and DOC; during summer, PC1 is positive and PC2 is negative, indicating peaks in temperature and phosphorus; finally, PC1 begins to decline and PC2 begins to increase during fall, indicating the peak in salinity and conductivity (Figures III -C7 and III-C8). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ2 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. v. PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C9). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C9). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -05. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC2 is positive in the winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen, pH, and salinity; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive and PC1 tends to dominate in the summer indicating peaks in nitrogen, DOC, phosphorus, temperature, turbidity, and chlorophyll a; finally, 111 -C -4 PC1 begins to decline PC2 begins to increase during fall, indicating a return to winter conditions (Figures III -C9 and III -C10). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. A. PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C11). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C11). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C6. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC2 is positive in the winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen; during spring, PC1 begins to increase, peaking in summer, while PC2 is positive in spring and negative in summer indicating peaks in nitrogen, DOC, phosphorus, temperature, turbidity, and chlorophyll a; finally, PC1 begins to decline and PC2 is negative during fall, indicating a return to winter conditions (Figures III -C11 and III -C12). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. vii. Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C13). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C13). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C7. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC2 is positive in the winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen and Secchi depth; during spring, PC1 begins to increase, peaking in summer, while PC2 declines during summer indicating peaks in nitrogen, DOC, phosphorus, temperature, turbidity, and chlorophyll a; finally, both PC1 and PC2 begin to decline during fall, indicating a peak in salinity (Figures III -C13 and III -C14). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. viii. Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C15). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C15). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C8. The general seasonal trend is PC1 and PC2 are both negative in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen; during spring, PC1 becomes positive and PC2 remains negative indicating a peak in DOC; in summer, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in nitrogen, phosphorus, temperature, turbidity, and chlorophyll a; finally, PC1 begins to decline and PC2 remains positive during fall, indicating a peak in salinity and pH (Figures III -C15 and III -C16). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. ix. Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C17). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C17). The relationships between the principal components and III -C -5 individual variables can be seen in Table III -C9. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is positive and PC2 is negative in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 are positive indicating peaks in nitrogen and turbidity; in summer, PC1 becomes negative and PC2 remains positive indicating peaks in phosphorus, temperature, and chlorophyll a; finally, both PC1 and PC2 decline during fall, indicating a peak in salinity, pH, and Secchi depth (Figures III -C17 and III -C18). There appears to be no long -term trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1 has experienced no long -term changes in seasonal variability. x. Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C19). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C19). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C10. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC2 is positive in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen; during spring, PC1 begins to increase peaking in summer and PC2 begins to decline reaching its lowest value during summer. This indicates a transition to peaks in nitrogen, turbidity, Secchi depth, phosphorus, and temperature; finally, PC1 and PC2 are negative during fall indicating peaks in salinity and pH (Figures III -C19 and III -C20). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. xi. Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C21). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C21). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C11. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC1 is positive in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in nutrients and Secchi depth; in summer, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative indicating peaks in temperature, chlorophyll a, and turbidity; finally, both PC1 and PC2 become negative during fall, indicating peaks in salinity and pH (Figures III -C21 and III -C22). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. xii. Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C23). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C23). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C12. The general seasonal trend is dominated by PC1, with little overall change in PC2 over time. PC1 is negative during the winter /fall period indicating peaks in salinity, dissolved oxygen and DOC; during spring /summer, PC1 becomes positive indicating peaks in nutrients, temperature, Secchi depth, turbidity, and chlorophyll a (Figures III -C23 and III -C24). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. 111 -C -6 xiii. Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C25). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C25). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C13. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are negative in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen and Secchi depth; during spring, PC1 remains negative and PC2 becomes positive indicating a peak in turbidity; in summer, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in temperature, chlorophyll a, nutrients, and pH; finally, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative during fall, indicating a peak in salinity (Figures III -C25 and III -C26). There appears to be a slight upward trend in PC1 and a slight downward trend in PC2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1. These trends are most strongly correlated to a long -term increase in salinity at this location. xiv. Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C27). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C27). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C14. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are negative in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen (% saturation); during spring, PC1 remains negative and PC2 becomes positive indicating a peak in turbidity, Secchi depth, and pH; in summer, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in temperature, nutrients, and chlorophyll a; finally, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative during fall, indicating a peak in salinity (Figures III -C27 and III -C28). There appears to be a slight upward trend in PC1 and a slight downward trend in PC2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2. These trends are most strongly correlated to a long -term increase in salinity at this location. xv. Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3 A biplot of all data shows the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C29). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C29). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C15. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are negative in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen and pH; during spring, PC1 becomes positive and PC2 remains negative indicating a peak in nitrogen and turbidity; in summer, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in temperature, phosphorus, and chlorophyll a; finally, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative during fall, indicating a peak in salinity (Figures III -C29 and III -C30). There appears to be a slight downward trend in PC1 and a slight upward trend in PC2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3. These trends are most strongly correlated to a long -term increase in salinity at this location. xvi. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C31). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C31). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C16. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative 111 -C -7 and PC2 is positive in winter indicating peaks salinity and Secchi depth; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in salinity, chlorophyll a and nutrients; in summer, PC1 peaks and PC2 becomes negative indicating peaks in temperature, phosphorus, and chlorophyll a; finally, PC1 and PC2 are negative during fall, indicating a return to winter conditions (Figures III -C31 and III -C32). There appears to be a slight upward trend in PC1 and no long -term trend in PC2 at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1. This trend is correlated to nutrients, chlorophyll a, and temperature (Figure III -C31). Another notable trend is the decline in intra - annual variability observed over time (Figure III -C32), where the PC scores showed a greater range in values earlier in the data record. xvii. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C33). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C33). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C17. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is positive and PC2 is negative in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen and pH; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become negative indicating a peak in Secchi depth and phosphorus; in summer, PC1 remains negative and PC2 becomes positive indicating peaks in temperature, nitrogen, and turbidity; finally, PC1 begins to increase and PC2 declines during fall, indicating a peak in salinity (Figures III -C33 and III -C34). There appears to be a slight upward trend in both PC1 and PC2 at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2. These trends are most strongly correlated to an increase in salinity (Figure III -C33). xviii. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C35). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C35). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C18. The general seasonal trend is PC1 and PC2 are negative in winter indicating a peak in Secchi depth; during spring, PC1 remains negative while PC2 begins to increase indicating a peak in turbidity and phosphorus; in summer, PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in temperature, nitrogen, and chlorophyll a; finally, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative during fall, indicating a peak in salinity and dissolved oxygen (Figures III -C35 and III -C36). There appears to be a slight upward trend in PC1 and no long -term trend in PC2 at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3. This trend is correlated to nutrients, chlorophyll a, temperature, and salinity (Figure III -C35). xix. Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C37). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C37). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C19. The general seasonal trend appears to be dominated by PC1, with less variability in PC2 present (Figure III -C38). During the winter /spring period PC1 is negative, indicating peaks in Secchi depth and dissolved oxygen. During the summer /fall period, PC1 becomes positive indicating peaks in nutrients, turbidity, temperature, chlorophyll a, and salinity (Figures III -C37 and III -C38). There appears to be a slight downward trend in PC2 and no long -term trend in PC1 at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4. This 111 -C -8 trend is correlated to salinity (Figure III -C37). xx. Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C39). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C39). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C20. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC2 is positive in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen and nitrate; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating a peak in nitrogen and turbidity; in summer, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative indicating peaks in temperature, phosphorus, chlorophyll a, and DOC; finally, PC1 and PC2 become negative during fall, indicating a peak in Secchi depth and dissolved oxygen (Figures III -C39 and III -C40). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. xxi. Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C41). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C41). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C21. The general seasonal trend is PC1 and PC2 are negative in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen; during spring, PC1 remains negative and PC2 becomes positive indicating a peak in turbidity and DOC; in summer, PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in temperature, phosphorus, and nitrogen; finally, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative during fall, indicating a peak in chlorophyll a, Secchi depth, and salinity (Figures III -C41 and III -C42). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. xxii. Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C43). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C43). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C22. The general seasonal trend is PC1 is negative and PC2 is positive in winter indicating peaks in dissolved oxygen; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating a peak in DOC, turbidity, and nutrients; in summer, PC1 is positive and PC2 is negative indicating peaks in temperature, chlorophyll a, pH, and Secchi depth; finally, both PC1 and PC2 become negative in the fall, indicating a peak in salinity and pH (Figures III -C43 and III -C44). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. xxiii. Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C45). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C45). The relationships between the principal components and III -C -9 individual variables can be seen in Table III -C23. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are negative in winter indicating a peak in dissolved oxygen; during spring, PC1 becomes positive and PC2 remains negative indicating a peak in turbidity and nitrogen; in summer, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating peaks in temperature, chlorophyll a, phosphorus, and Secchi depth; finally, PC1 becomes negative and PC2 becomes positive in the fall, indicating a peak in salinity and pH (Figures III -C45 and III -C46). There appears to be no trend in either PC1 or PC2, indicating that Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2 has experienced no changes in seasonal variability. xxiv. DCUT11 water quality station DC11 WQ1 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C47). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C47). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C24. The general seasonal trend is PC1 negative and PC2 is positive in winter indicating a peak in nitrogen and turbidity; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating a peak in DOC and nutrients; in summer, PC1 remains positive and PC2 becomes negative indicating peaks in temperature, chlorophyll a, phosphorus, salinity, and pH; finally, PC1 and PC2 become negative in the fall, indicating a peak in dissolved oxygen and Secchi depth (Figures III -C47 and III -C48). With only one year of data, no trend can be detected. xxiv. DCUT19 water quality station DC19WQ1 A biplot of all data show the visual relationship between the variables (Figure III -C49). The temporal variability in each principal component appears to follow a seasonal pattern (Figure III -C49). The relationships between the principal components and individual variables can be seen in Table III -C25. The general seasonal trend is both PC1 and PC2 are negative in winter indicating a peak in dissolved oxygen and salinity; during spring, both PC1 and PC2 become positive indicating a peak in turbidity, nutrients, and DOC; in summer, PC1 becomes positive and PC2 becomes negative indicating peaks in temperature, chlorophyll a, and Secchi depth; finally, PC1 becomes negative and PC2 becomes positive in the fall, indicating a peak in ammonium and nitrate (Figures III -C49 and III -050). With only one year of data, no trend can be detected. b. Spatial variability of creeks A more detailed comparison of each water quality variable among the six distinct groups identified from the cluster analysis described in Section II -F is discussed below (refer to Figure II -F1 and Table II -F1). Box plots of the comparisons are used to demonstrate differences among the groups for the 23 variables (Figures II I -051 through C -70). L Depth Depth (in) varied across the six groups. Group B depths were the highest and Groups A, C, D, E and F had similar depths (Figure III -051). III -C -10 ii. Temperature Temperature (C) showed some variability across the six groups (Figure III -052). The more shallow locations, represented by Groups E and F, have lower overall temperatures (Figure III -052). This is likely due to these stations being largely upstream and therefore shaded by riparian vegetation. iii. Salinity Salinity showed considerable variability across the groups (Figure III -053). Groups A and B had very high salinity values, which indicated that these groups consisted of mostly downstream stations that are influenced by the mainstem estuary. Salinity values decreased incrementally from group C to D to F to E. Group E had the lowest overall salinites (Figure III -051. iv. Secchi depth Secchi depths (in) were similar across the majority of the groups (Figure III -054). The highest Secchi depths were observed among the stations of Group B. Secchi depths closely mirrored the water depth of each station, a fact also indicated by the PCA (see above). Therefore, the deeper a station, the deeper the Secchi depth. Secchi depth was negatively correlated to turbidity and chlorophyll a concentration, as seen in the PCA analysis. v. Conductivity and specific conductance Conductivity (mS) and Specific Conductance showed the same pattern as salinity (Figure III -055 and III -056), see Section A. 2. b. iii. above. vi. Turbidity Turbidity (NTU) was highest among the stations of Groups E and F (Figure III -057). These shallow stations appear to be subjected to muddy conditions at low water levels. The other four groups had similar turbidity values that were much lower compared to Groups E and F. vii. Dissolved oxygen and dissolved oxygen (% saturation) Dissolved oxygen (mg L -') and dissolved oxygen (% saturation) showed little variability across groups (Figure III -058 and III -059). Dissolved oxygen was similar among stations in Groups C, D, E, and F and slightly higher among the stations of Groups A and B. viii. pH pH was stable across all groups (Figure III -C60). ix. NH4 (Ammonium) NI-14 (mg L -') values showed differences among the six groups III -C -11 (Figure III -C61). Groups C, D, E, and F had higher levels of NI-14 compared to Groups A, B. The latter two groups also had lower overall variability demonstrated by the smaller standard deviations. x. NOs (Nitrate) NOa (mg L -') values were low among all groups (Figure III -C62). Slightly higher NOa values, with higher variability, were measured in Groups C, D, and E. xi. DKN (dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen) DKN (mg L -') values showed very little variability across the five groups (Figure III -C63). Overall variability in DKN values was also similar. xii. PN (particulate nitrogen) PN (mg L -') values showed little difference among the groups (Figure III -C64). Overall variability in PN values was also similar. xiii. POa (orthophosphate) POa (mg L -') showed differences among groups (Figure III -C65). Lower POa values were measured in Groups A and B, compared to Groups C, D, E, and F. The latter four groups also showed higher variability. xiv. TDP (total dissolved phosphate) TDP (mg L -') values showed the same trend among groups as was seen for POa (Figure III -C -65, III -C66). Lower TDP values were measured in Groups A and B, compared to Groups C, D, E, and F. The latter four groups also showed higher variability. xv. PP (particulate phosphate) PP (mg L -') values showed the same trend among groups as was seen for POa and TDP, (Figure III -C65, III -C66, III -C67). Lower PP values were measured in Groups A and B, compared to Groups C, D, E, and F. The latter four groups also showed higher variability. xvi. Chlorophyll a Chlorophyll a (pg L -') values were similar across the six groups (Figure III -C68). Groups A, B, and E had lower chlorophyll a (pg L -') values and reduced variability compared to slightly higher chlorophyll a (pg L -') values and increased variability among groups C, D, and F. Group D had the highest chlorophyll a (pg L -') values and variability. xvii. Dissolved organic carbon Dissolved organic carbon (DOC mg L -') values were similar III -C -12 across the six groups (Figure I II -C69). This parameter was collected only since 2012. xviii. Total dissolved nitrogen Total dissolved nitrogen (TDN mg L -') values were highest in groups C, D, E, and F and lowest in groups A and B (Figure III -C70). This parameter was collected only since 2012. C. Interannual variability at Huddles Cut, Drinkwater Creek, and Tooley Creek Among the creeks monitored for water quality in the PCS creeks study, the most data exist for Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut. While Jacks Creek is considered pre -Mod Alt L, both Tooley Creek and Huddles Cut are considered post -Mod Alt L; Tooley since 2012 and Huddles Cut since 2010. Also, Drinkwater Creek is considered post -Mod Alt L as of 2013. To compare interannual variability among these three creeks, data from all stations in each creek for each parameter for all years was combined into appropriate pre -Mod Alt L or post -Mod Alt L categories. L Temperature and salinity Temperature (C) was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (data not shown). Salinity was significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut (t = 2.18, p = 0.04), but not for Tooley and Drinkwater (Figure II -F2,). ii. Conductivity and specific conductance Conductivity (mS) was significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut (t = 2.19, p = 0.04); not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Tooley and Drinkwater (Figure II -F3, left panel). Specific conductance (mS) was significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut (t = 2.57, p = 0.02); not significantly different for Tooley and Drinkwater (Figure I I -F3, right panel). iii. Dissolved oxygen Dissolved oxygen (mg L -') was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (data not shown). Dissolved oxygen (% saturation) was significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut (t = 3.02, p = 0.007); not significantly different for Tooley and Drinkwater (Figure 11 -F4). iv. Depth and chlorophyll a Depth (in) was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (data not shown). Chlorophyll a (pg L -') was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut and Tooley and significantly different for Drinkwater (t = -2.91, p = 0.04) (Figure 11 -F5). III -C -13 v. Secchi depth and turbidity Secchi depth (in) was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (data not shown). Turbidity (NTU) was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley and Drinkwater (data not shown). vi. pH and ammonium (NH4) pH was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (data not shown). Ammonium (mg L -') was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley and Drinkwater (data not shown). vii. Nitrate (NO3) and particulate nitrogen (PN) Nitrate (mg L -') was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (data not shown). PN (mg L -') was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (data not shown). viii. Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN) and orthophosphate (PO4) DKN (mg L -') was significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut (t = -2.76, p = 0.01), but not for Tooley, and Drinkwater (Figure III -C76, left panel). Orthophosphate (mg L -') was significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut (t = -7.30, p = < 0.0001), but not for Tooley and Drinkwater (Figure II -F6, right panel). ix. Total dissolved phosphate (TDP) and particulate phosphate (PP) TDP (mg L -') was significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut (t = -6.81, p = < 0.0001), but not for Tooley, and Drinkwater (Figure II -F7). PP (mg L -') was not significantly different pre- and post -Mod Alt L for Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater (Figure II -F7). 4.0 Summary and Conclusions A Principal Components Analysis was used to examine long -term trends in water quality over time at each water quality monitoring station. Several conclusions may be drawn from this analysis. First, all stations showed a similar seasonal pattern, with minor variations on this pattern evident at each individual station due to location in the watershed. The winter period was broadly characterized by peaks in dissolved oxygen and low temperatures. Spring conditions saw temperatures rise, turbidity, Secchi depth, and nutrient concentrations increase. Summer saw temperature, nutrient concentrations, and chlorophyll a peak and dissolved oxygen decline. Fall was characterized by an overall decline in turbidity, chlorophyll a, nutrient concentrations, and a peak in salinity. The majority of water quality stations had a data record that extended back only a few years, to late 2011. All of these stations had no discernible long- term trend in either PC1 or PC2 scores, indicating that no long -term trend in water quality III -C -14 appears to be present. Two creeks with longer data records, Huddles Cut, and Tooley Creek, did appear to have trends present. Tooley had increasing trends in its PC scores that were most strongly correlated to increasing salinity, a trend that has been noted in past reports. Huddles Cut also showed trends in PC scores that were correlated to salinity, as well as nutrient levels and chlorophyll a. The PCs consist of multiple variables, so it is difficult to ascribe the trend to any of the variables within a particular quadrant of a biplot. However, the spatial analysis and pre- and post -Mod Alt -L analysis indicate that the trend observed here is primarily due to salinity, as nutrient levels in Huddles Cut have declined over time (see below). The spatial analysis provided further insight into the temporal variability revealed by the Principal Components Analysis. Cluster analysis revealed six distinct groups of water quality stations based on all water quality variables (Figure II -F1). A summary of all water quality conditions across the six groups is shown in Table II -F1. Group A, B, and C were similar in that they consisted of samples taken in the latter part (2011 -2013) of the data record at all stations (Figure II -F1). The main difference between these two groups is that Group A is lower in salinity and depth, and has higher chlorophyll a concentrations; Group B had the highest overall depth and salinity, and the lowest chlorophyll a and turbidity concentrations; Group C had a similar depth to A, but had the lowest overall salinity. Group C also had the highest nutrient, chlorophyll a, and turbidity concentrations (Table II -F1). Group D consists of water quality stations primarily located in Jacks, Tooley, and Huddles Cut (Figure II F -F1). This group had lower salinity values, increase turbidity (compared to Groups A, B, and C), the highest chlorophyll a concentration of any group, and high nutrient levels (Table II -F1). Groups E and F were similar in that consisted of mainly of more recent samples collected at the Jacks, Tooley, and Huddles Cut locations. Also present in Groups E and F are measurements from Drinkwater water quality station 1 and Porter Creek water quality station 1 over the past 3 years (Figure II -F1). These groups were the shallowest locations as well as the lowest in terms of salinity. The two groups were also characterized by high turbidity levels, low dissolved oxygen, and intermediate nutrient and chlorophyll a concentrations (Table II -F1). Overall, the cluster analysis reveals the long -term changes in the Huddles, Tooley, and Jacks locations with the longer data records. These locations have changed over time, as indicated by the PCA analysis, to have higher overall salinity and reduced turbidity. Changes in water quality conditions pre- and post -mod Alt L may be tracked at three Creeks: Huddles Cut, Tooley, and Drinkwater. No changes between pre- and post -Mod Alt -L at Tooley were found and only chlorophyll a was different at Drinkwater Creek, where it had declined. Major changes in Huddles Cut were observed pre- and post -Mod Alt -L. As seen in the Principal Components Analysis, salinity (as well as conductance and specific conductance) has increased at this location (Figures II -F2 and II -F3). Several nutrient concentrations have significantly declined: dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen and orthophosphate (Figure II -F6) and total dissolved phosphorus (Figure II -F7). Finally, dissolved oxygen % saturation has increased (Figure II -F4). This indicates significant water quality improvements at Huddles Cut in the post - Mod Alt -L years. In summary, the multivariate analysis revealed both temporal and spatial patterns within the water quality data. Overall, the interannual variability found among the creeks appears to be typical of estuarine creeks within the region, showing a distinct, identifiable seasonal pattern. The examination of longer -term data revealed that most stations do not show any long -term trends, with the exception of Tooley and Huddles Cut. Interestingly, Jacks Creek, which also has a longer data record, did not show any significant trends in PC scores over time. The long -term trend in Huddles Cut and Tooley appears to be most strongly correlated to a rise III -C -15 in salinity, a trend noted in last year's report as well. The spatial analysis found that stations grouped together in a temporal pattern. It is clear that Huddles Cut, Jacks, and Tooley water quality was more variable in the past and that these stations are beginning to cluster with the control creeks in more recent time (Figure II -F1). This indicates that stabilization of the water quality parameters is likely to continue. Huddles Cut continues to show the most change over time with respect to pre- and post -Mod Alt -L conditions. The increase in salinity was discovered in the final analysis as in the PCA analysis, but declines in nutrient concentrations and increases in dissolved oxygen indicate that Huddles Cut water quality is improved post -Mod Alt - L. (End of material prepared by Dr. David G. Kimmel). III -C -16 0 N O T O N R o 0 T 4 N Q JWQ1 Spring Summer TEMP PP DIW TD P N PN PO4 DE P CHL SECCHI SAL SOON NO3 T Winter Fall -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 PC 1 Figure III -C1. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -17 A .M 2 a -2 JWQ1 01 Jan1999 01 Jan2003 01 Jan2005 01 Jan2007 01 Jan2009 01 Jan2011 01 Jan2013 Date Figure III -C2. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Jacks Creek station JWQ1. III -C -18 -a PC -A— PC2 4 y I � � 0 M b � 01 Jan1999 01 Jan2003 01 Jan2005 01 Jan2007 01 Jan2009 01 Jan2011 01 Jan2013 Date Figure III -C2. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Jacks Creek station JWQ1. III -C -18 N _ O r _ O N O _ C r Q N Q _ JWQ2 Spring Winter TURB P'� DOSAT� PN N TDP PO4 �IW TEMP SCON SAL COND Summer Fall -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C3. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -19 M M 2 0 -2 -4 JWQ2 -a PC1 PC2 Ea ILI IN 4� r� , S ' w 4� 'Irk 0[n 0 �, ■ , t y� a o 01 Jan1999 01 Jan2003 01 Jan2005 01 Jan2007 01 Jan2009 01 Jan2011 01 Jan2013 Date Figure III -C4. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Jacks Creek station JWQ2. III -C -20 o- N CS CM O _ O N Q JCBWQ1 Spring Summer P CH L PP IW TEMP TURB TDN TDP COND PO4 SC0 SAL DOSAT H4 DEPTH SECCHI Winter Fall -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -05. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -21 N 0 2 4 I r' m 1 t r 0 °d b r r 1 r r r -2 r r 1 J t r r � -4 + r tr L�J rti ' � 4 r � 1 � 1 r ' 1 ' r ' 1 01Jan2012 01Jul2012 JCBWQ1 -a P C 1 PC 2 r, t r , ' o [ij ' 1' 1 1 C►] It ' r t ' ` EP 1 1 p 1 1 dt t r + r tr 1 tr v 01Jan2013 01Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C6. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Jacobs Creek station JCBWQ1. 111 -C -22 V o- C4 _ 0 N 0 _ C N _ Q 4 JCBWQ2 Winter Spring DO DOSAT NO3 DOC N pH TDN SAL SCON PN CI IL COND TEMP Fall Summer -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -C7. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -23 C1 0 2 U 1% E R It n rl r I r I r I r ► r � r r Q r r r Q 4 r , r � r , r Ir JCBWQ2 1 PC 1 PC 4 ' 1 , r ti m r, r � ► ' r♦ 1 I r , IZI r � m r l ' I r♦ r i ► r 1 l � ' 1 ► m 1' ' q LaJ ' I , ► I � ► 'r ,r tr I it �♦ t ► -8 D1Jan2012 01 M2012 01Jan2013 01Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C8. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Jacobs Creek station JCBWQ2. 111 -C -24 H_ 0 0 o- N N _ 4 4 PA2WQ 1 Winter Spring DEPTH ECCHI TDN N00 N PO4 DOM-60 TEMP pH RB in DIN SAL HL SOON PN Fall Summer -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C9. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -25 lei 0 2 0 -2 E Kai Y.? PA2WQ1 -o- PC 1 f� PC DlJan2012 O1Jul2012 01Jan2013 O1Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C10. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at PA water quality station PA2WQ1. 111 -C -26 c- a N C?_ c N _ Q PA2WQ2 Winter Spring SECCHI NO3 DOC N DEPTH DO MN DOSAT pH TD TRB SOON SAL EMP PN CHL ND Fall PO Summer -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -C11. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth ( SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -27 lei In m r% m j° 2 ,tr i t r t r 0 r Q rt 1 t 1 , tr r if -2 m r 1 r -4 Qfl r 1 1 6 1 �{ 1 Al S] PA2WQ2 F Q j t t a r � t , t t � 4 t , ♦r t o r ♦� Q� ♦ r -a PC 1 PC DlJan2012 O1Jul2012 01Jan2013 O1Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C12. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2. III -C -28 r♦ d ► r, rt r r � r ♦ � i , r r t, ♦ u t k � r , 1 1. m DlJan2012 O1Jul2012 01Jan2013 O1Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C12. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2. III -C -28 N U a. N _ C a It 4 DWWQ1 Winter Spring SECCHI DEPTH DOC DO TDP DOSA 03 TDN NH4DKN TEMP CHL P P SAL COND SCON PN Fall Summer -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C13. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -29 0 2 0 -2 -4 DVW1/Q 1 ° PC 1 M PC 2 r r, D1Jan2012 01Ju12012 01Jan2013 01Ju12013 01Jan2014 Dat Figure III -C14. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1. III -C -30 o- C4 _ 0 N 0 a o- N _ Q DWWQ2 Spring Summer CHL PN PP COND NEAP PH SAL RB SCO H4 HI DOSAT DOC DO Winter Fall -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -C15. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -31 DWWQ2 Date Figure III -C16. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2. 111 -C -32 PC 1 6 4 PC It it r, rl ► 1 4 ; 1 L 1 r ► ►1 r 1 , i r t ► I r 1 / 1 It It Q 2 f 1 i r l r r 1 1 Erj It t r r 1 rt t r r rt � r I `' 1 r 1 , t ► f rl t , , 1 ► I r, t r 11 ► t � i r ' 1► 1 ' t r 1 b 1 t �► t r r l i 1 � r 1 ► �► I r [b ,r 1 i �1 ,► tr r Q] t r t r ,► 1 i Ir 1 r t -2 1,P 1 , r p t► m r t r Ir 1 t r t► r t r p r 1 � -4 4 r D1Jan2012 01Jul2012 01Jan2013 01Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C16. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2. 111 -C -32 N 2 N _ C M N _ Q 4 LCWQ1 Summer Spring TDN MP DKN h H4 PO4 TURB DOC NO3 TEMP PP DEPTH Phi CH L p DOSAT DO SAL COND SOON Fall Winter -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C17. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -33 Co al 2 0 -2 rt rt r r r t 1 t Q t r r t r t r t r t CrJ ' t t -4 L7 � D1Jan2012 t � t � trr a,m to� ' r t d ♦ p d 01 Jul2012 LCWQ1 r� ♦ t r bd t t r t r r 1 r ► t t try r t , t i t r r 1 t 1 1 � t h ' r r ' ' r � ,t r r r 'r 01Jan2013 Date PC 1 PC 2 Q 1♦ r ► r 0 r C] r r 1 r r r 1 r , 1 r r r 1 r m r r ► fl tr E � m 01Jul2013 01Jan2014 Figure III -C18. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1. III -C -34 o- N _ C N O _ C N 4 _ 4 LCWQ2 Winter Spring NO3 TDN DO DT OC DOSA RB DEPTH SECCHI P DKN pH PP SOON TEMP SAL CIi4, ND rrNN Fall Summer -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -C19. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth ( SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -35 8 LCWQ2 -o- PC 1 PC 2 0 4 m rr 2 Q- ► r m b ii r ♦ r r � r r t O ' r r� ► t r L�J ♦ r + r p r + r -2 rt ► p r L r +' r► `r �r -4 r r 4 r r -6 ' Y.? Q r, r, r, r , r , ► i rt r D � f� ► t ! ♦ r+ r I � `r ► I Ir DlJan2012 O1Jul2012 01Jan2013 O1Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C20. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2. III -C -36 N _ C q- 04 V CL N W 4- LOCWQ1 Winter Spring DEPTH SECCHI NQ3 TDP M�AT N nm PH M TURB SAL CH L SCON COND PN Fall Summer -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C21. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -37 0 2 0 -2 E U LOCW01 F PC 1 PC 2 — D1Jan2012 01Jul2012 01Jan2013 01Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C22. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1. III -C -38 m o- 0 N H _ O 0 o- ry 4 LOCWQ2 Winter Spring DOC NO3 TURK DO N P PO4 TDP PP TEMP H TD �ppFall -SJ� Summer -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 PC 1 Figure III -C23. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -39 10 0 M. 4 4 181 IPA E LOCW02 -a PC 1 Pr 2 r �r r � r CrJ -6 DlJan2012 01 Ju12012 01 Jan2013 01 Ju12013 Date 01Jan2014 Figure III -C24. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2. III -C -40 N _ C r _ O O N C R r Q N _ Q TWQ 1 Spring Summer TURK PC T IN Z DDP p4EMP CHI DOIECC T D P TH COND N SAL Winter Fall -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C25. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -41 C2 rd 2 I 1% E R Ir�►T -1 -a PC1 1 PC2 M nd 1 1 11 r , r D I r Im 1 1 1� 1 r 1 1 1+ y oil ❑ 1 1 , LJ 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C26. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1. 111 -C -42 N R N _ C a N _ 4 4 TWQ2 Spring Summer TDP TURB DEPTH SECC TEMP PN pH CHL DOSAT SAL Winter Fall -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C27. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -43 0 2 0 -2 M R TWQ2 -a PC -*- PC2 0 Q ti ti r FLIf fll 1 Q 1 rh 1 r 1 f 1 f 1 I Ir y 1 f 1 I Ir 1 1 1 1 \ 1 I f 1 1 \ 1 1 \ 1 1 f 1 1 ♦\ 1 1 \ 1 I 1 4 Ir , 11 V r f 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C28. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2. III -C -44 N C _ r o- N p R C r Q N _ Q TWQ3 Spring Summer COND TEMP SE PTH SCON SAL TDP CHL pH PN RB PP DOSAT DO Winter Fall -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C29. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -45 0 2 0 -2 E 0 Ir9T[�! 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C30. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3. 111 -C -46 -a PC1 PC2 , , , , r 157 o �Lf] p ' ' irk � � b r d 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C30. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3. 111 -C -46 N _ O T o- N C oT T rs HWQ1 Winter Spring NO3 A DO FA PN N CHL sECDr DIW pH TEMP P Fall Summer -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C31. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -47 4 0 Al -2 -4 NMI O1Jan2002 O1Jan2004 O1Jan2006 O1Jan2008 01Jan2010 O1Jan2012 O1Jan2014 Date Figure III -C32. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1. 111 -C -48 Q -a PC1 ti PC2 ti ti 4 oilNMI i � r b O1Jan2002 O1Jan2004 O1Jan2006 O1Jan2008 01Jan2010 O1Jan2012 O1Jan2014 Date Figure III -C32. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1. 111 -C -48 N _ O r _ O N O _ O r 4— C4 4 HWQ2 Summer Fall TURK P NH4 SAL. D CHL �N TDP pot DO DOSAT S 1 DEPTIH Spring Winter -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 02 PC 1 Figure III -C33. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -49 6 4 2 0 -2 M HWQ2 -a PC1 PC2 4 I � 4 r � y ' �A I M � i b O1Jan2002 O1Jan2004 01Jan2006 O1Jan2008 O1Jan2010 O1Jan2012 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C34. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2. 111 -C -50 0 N _ O T_ O N O _ C r Q HWQ3 Spring Summer PN CHL TURB TDP DIN TEMP H4 p7H DO DOSAT COND SAL SCON ECC DE Winter Fall -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 PC 1 Figure III -C35. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -51 i.I M 2 A -2 M HWQ3 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C36. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3. 111 -C -52 -a PC1 r� PC2 r� ' n o , a r y ❑ �0 S Ei I 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C36. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3. 111 -C -52 as o- N _ O r o- N O o- r Q N _ Q H WQ4 Spring Summer P P D4 DIN TURB X NH4 PP PN CHL DE TEMP SEOCHI P H OS DOSAT COND SAL Winter Fall -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 PC 1 Figure III -C37. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'). III -C -53 E 0 EI 2 0 IPA 1061 HWQ4 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C38. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4. III -C -54 -0- P C 1 4 PC2 4 � Q � 4 ra 01Jan2001 01Jan2003 01Jan2005 01Jan2007 01Jan2009 01Jan2011 01Jan2013 Date Figure III -C38. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4. III -C -54 V o- a N O _ C N Q PCWQ1 Winter Spring TDN NO3 NH4 DIN RB DOSA PN DO TEMP DOC PO4 SECCHI DE COND SCON Fall Summer -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -C39. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth ( SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -55 Co CI 2 !1 0 r r41 r r Q4 � ' y , 1 r y ry ► 1 l 1 y y lr l 1 � -2 Q 1 r EP yr ' r r u PCWQ1 1 1 1 1 y 4 y y 4. y r i Q y r 1 -4 01Jan2012 01Ju12012 01Jan2013 Date -a PC 1 PC 2 R1 r � r a4 o fl r . r 1 r r C�LrI 1 y d 1 r y 1 � y 1 0 1 r Ir , 1 y 1 y 1 y 1 r 1 r y'1 yr 1 1 , y y r b 01Ju12013 01Jan2014 Figure III -C40. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1. 111 -C -56 r41 r Q4 � ' y , 1 r y ry ► 1 l 1 y y lr l 1 � 1 u PCWQ1 1 1 1 1 y 4 y y 4. y r i Q y r 1 -4 01Jan2012 01Ju12012 01Jan2013 Date -a PC 1 PC 2 R1 r � r a4 o fl r . r 1 r r C�LrI 1 y d 1 r y 1 � y 1 0 1 r Ir , 1 y 1 y 1 y 1 r 1 r y'1 yr 1 1 , y y r b 01Ju12013 01Jan2014 Figure III -C40. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1. 111 -C -56 N 2 N o- a N _ Q 4 PCWQ2 Spring Summer TDN Doc TDP TURB NO3 TEMP DIN DEPTH CCHI DOSAT CHL DO P COND SAL SOON Winter Fall -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C41. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -57 0 2 0 -2 M U PCWQ2 -a PC 1 D1Jan2012 01Jul2012 01Jan2013 01Jul2013 01Jan2014 Date Figure III -C42. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2. III -C -58 N _ C 0 o- N 4 v 4 DKCW01 Winter Spring TURB NH4 TDN DO DOC P pH COND TEMP SAL PP SCAN PN DM&I L Fall Summer -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 PC 1 Figure III -C43. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -59 4 2 0 V -4 Kai *r r r r 1 , r f r� 1 +l 1 1 , r , r , DKCWQ1 It rl IK IN r 1 it L © 1 M Dpi 1 L , •i r L r Q 1 ' 11 it 1' It PC 1 PC 2 -8 -T--j 01 Oct2011 01 Apr2012 01 Oct2012 01 Apr2013 01 Oct2013 01 Apr2014 Date Figure III -C44. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Duck Creek water quality station DCKWQ1. 111 -C -60 o- N _ O O 04 o U a N O O DKCWQ2 Fall Summer COND SAL N SOON S CCHI D P TEMP DKN pH DOSAT TUN TURB DO 03 Winter Spring -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -C45. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L-'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L-'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L-'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L-'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L-'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L-'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L-'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L-'). III -C -61 6- 4- 2- 0 -2 -4 -6 01 Oct2011 r' r I�f 4 , r 1 spa M I, ► LI ` Q r t 1 t t DKCW02 Q f ,t 1 � 1 � r � r t 1 �] � r r '1 T f m 1 E� I � r I h r r r r � n � ' f � � I f � I rIl r 1 r l �f I R I -D- PC 1 -,i-PC2 d t 1 r m � I♦ f t r f ' f 01 Apr2012 01 Oct2012 01 Apr2013 01 Oct2013 01 Apr2014 Date Figure III -C46. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at Duck Creek water quality station DCKWQ2. III -C -62 rt_ 0 C4_ 0 N IL o N _ Q 4 DC11WQ1 Winter Spring DOC TDN NH4 KN TURB MP NO3 PTEMP DO PN DOSAT CH L P COND SAL SOON DEPTH Fall SECCHI Summer -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC 1 Figure III -C47. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in DCUT11 water quality station DC11WQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -63 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 a 01 Nov2012 01 Mar2013 DC11WQ1 rtr PC 1 +• PC 2 01 Ju12013 01 Nov2013 01 Jan2014 Date Figure III -C48. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at DCUT11 water quality station DC11WQ1. 111 -C -64 V o- N _ C N 0 o- N 4 DC19WQ1 Fall Spring NH4 DOC SOON MN N AK TDP ;�; DO P C PP DOSAT D TEMP P DEPII-I Winter �ECCHI Summer -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 PC1 Figure III -C49. Principal Components Analysis biplot showing interrelationships among all water quality variables in DCUT19 water quality station DC19WQ1. Water quality variables are: Depth (DEPTH, in), Temperature (TEMP, C), Salinity (SAL), Conductivity (COND, mS), Specific Conductance (SCON, mS), Secchi Depth (SECCHI, in), Turbidity (TURB, NTU), Dissolved oxygen (DO, mg L -'), Dissolved Oxygen Percent Saturation (DOSAT), pH (pH), Ammonium (NH4, mg L -'), Nitrate (NO3, mg L -'), Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen (DKN, mg L -'), Particulate Nitrogen (PN, mg L -'), Orthophosphate (PO4, mg L -'), Total Dissolved Phosphate (TDP, mg L -'), Particulate Phosphate (PP, mg L -'), Chlorophyll a (CHL, pg L -'), Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC, mg L -'), and Total Dissolved Nitrogen (TDN, mg L -'). III -C -65 0 M 2 0 -2 -4 01 Nov2012 DC19WQ1 Q PC 1 it PC 2 A 01 Mar2013 01 Ju12013 01 Sep2013 01 Jan2014 Date Figure III -050. Interannual variability of Principal Component 1 and Principal Component 2 over time at DCUT19 water quality station DC19WQ1. 111 -C -66 25 20 15 U C L Q N 10 A B C D E F Figure III -051. Comparison of mean depth (in) for group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -67 20 15 U 0 a) c� N Q Q) 10 F- A B C D E F Figure III -052. Comparison of mean temperature (C) for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -68 16 M ME Ice >' 8 v� A B C D E F Figure III -053. Comparison of mean salinity for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -69 25 20 a) L U C s 15 a a) D L U U Q) 10 A B C D E F Figure I I I -054. Comparison of mean Secchi depth (in) for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -70 30 25 20 E a 15 0 U 10 A B C D E F Figure I I I -055. Comparison of mean conductivity (m S) for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -71 30 25 E 8 20 C CU U 7 C O 15 �U O Q M 10 A B C D E F Figure III -056. Comparison of mean specific conductance (m S) for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -72 $, z 40 30 20 Ia A B C D E F Figure III -057. Comparison of mean turbidity (NTU) for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -73 0 0 7 J 6 E C 5 a X O 4 0 Cn 3 2 A A B C D E F Figure III -058. Comparison of mean dissolved oxygen (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -74 all :e 70 ,. CU U) 50 C N O 40 a� 0 ai 30 0 20 10 A B C D E F Figure III -059. Comparison of mean dissolved oxygen (% saturation) for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -75 8 7 6 5 4 Q 3 2 0 A B C D E F Figure III -C60. Comparison of mean pH for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -76 0.5 0.4 J O7 E 0.3 O E E Q 0.2 IN M A B C D Figure III -C61. Comparison of mean NH4 (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -77 0.20 IRM J E 0.10 C� PIA 0.05 ,I 11 Figure III -C62. Comparison of mean NOa (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -78 J 1.5 rn E c 0 rn 0 L Z 0 10 1.0 (D Y m 0 U) r) 0.5 Me A B C D E Figure III -C63. Comparison of mean DKN (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -79 M 0.7 l 0.5 E c rn 2 0.4 z (D cc 0.3 CO 0- V. 0.1 'e A B C D E Figure III -C64. Comparison of mean PN (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -80 W 0.5 J 0.4 E c� a = 0.3 Q 0 Le, u 0.2 M M A B C D Figure III -C65. Comparison of mean PO4 (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -81 0.7 M J o) 0.5 E c� a 0 0.4 a 0 0 0.3 0 0 W ti M1 A B C D Figure III -C66. Comparison of mean TDP (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -82 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 E m ro 0.25 Q 0 a 0.20 m _M U 0.15 a_ 1 0.05 t 11 A B C D Figure III -C67. Comparison of mean PP (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -83 J 50 CO J+ L Q 0 40 0 30 20 10 A B C D E F Figure III -C68. Comparison of mean chlorophyll a (pg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -84 EM 35 30 J E 0 25 cz U U ro 20 21 O m 0 15 0 10 5 M A B C D E Figure III -C69. Comparison of mean dissolved organic carbon (mg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -85 1.6 1.4 1.2 J E 1.0 rn 0 z 0.8 0 D 0 0.6 0 0.4 IIVA Me A B C D E Figure III -C70. Comparison of mean total dissolved nitrogen (pg L -') for each group of water quality stations identified by cluster analysis. Error bars represent standard deviation. III -C -86 Table III -C1. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.25 0.02 Temperature (C) 0.06 0.39 Salinity 0.40 -0.07 Conductivity 0.39 -0.04 SCON 0.40 -0.08 Secchi Depth (in) -0.20 -0.002 Turbidity (NTU) 0.03 0.27 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') 0.01 -0.45 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.005 -0.44 pH -0.02 0.10 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.19 0.21 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.13 -0.16 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.28 0.28 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.24 0.18 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') -0.30 0.18 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') -0.28 0.20 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.04 0.29 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.24 0.03 III -C -87 Table III -C2. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Jacks Creek water quality station JWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.21 -0.13 Temperature (C) -0.23 -0.27 Salinity 0.34 -0.34 Conductivity 0.26 -0.43 SCON 0.33 -0.36 Secchi Depth (in) -0.15 -0.21 Turbidity (NTU) -0.18 0.31 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') 0.34 0.25 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) 0.28 0.24 pH 0.12 0.12 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') -0.14 -0.07 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.09 0.13 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') -0.08 -0.18 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.08 0.15 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') -0.36 -0.19 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -1) -0.37 -0.15 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) -0.17 0.25 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.05 0.06 III -C -88 Table III -C3. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.16 -0.25 Temperature (C) 0.09 0.30 Salinity -0.39 -0.05 Conductivity -0.28 0.12 SCON -0.39 -0.05 Secchi Depth (in) 0.16 -0.25 Turbidity (NTU) 0.13 0.27 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.11 -0.04 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.14 -0.04 pH -0.16 0.07 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.09 -0.12 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.17 0.02 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') -0.07 0.31 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') -0.17 0.41 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.37 0.09 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.36 0.16 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.02 0.40 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') -0.12 0.42 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.28 0.11 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.24 0.17 III -C -89 Table III -C4. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Jacobs Creek water quality station JCBWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.09 -0.03 Temperature (C) 0.19 -0.40 Salinity -0.33 -0.19 Conductivity -0.15 -0.45 SCON -0.33 -0.21 Secchi Depth (in) 0.10 -0.04 Turbidity (NTU) 0.18 0.10 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.26 0.36 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.25 0.33 pH -0.29 0.08 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.12 0.11 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.14 0.23 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') -0.03 -0.16 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') -0.07 -0.26 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.36 -0.09 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.37 -0.07 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.01 -0.09 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.00 -0.30 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.25 0.18 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.30 0.03 III -C -90 Table III -05. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at PA2 water quality station PA2WQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.04 0.37 Temperature (C) 0.31 0.00 Salinity -0.23 -0.30 Conductivity 0.09 -0.30 SCON -0.22 -0.31 Secchi Depth (in) 0.02 0.36 Turbidity (NTU) 0.27 -0.10 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.30 -0.04 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.31 -0.03 pH -0.15 -0.07 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.03 0.07 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.00 0.12 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.22 -0.21 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.21 -0.35 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.27 0.06 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.35 0.02 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.24 -0.29 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.25 -0.29 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.22 0.17 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.23 0.25 III -C -91 Table III -C6. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at PA2 water quality station PA2WQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.20 0.19 Temperature (C) 0.28 -0.25 Salinity -0.28 -0.23 Conductivity 0.04 -0.45 SCON -0.28 -0.24 Secchi Depth (in) 0.18 0.23 Turbidity (NTU) 0.23 -0.07 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.33 0.09 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.30 0.07 pH -0.28 -0.09 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.03 0.16 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.08 0.24 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.11 -0.15 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.11 -0.36 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.27 -0.07 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.32 -0.05 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.16 -0.23 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.13 -0.40 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.18 0.21 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.28 0.10 111 -C -92 Table III -C7. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.05 0.29 Temperature (C) 0.26 -0.18 Salinity -0.23 -0.31 Conductivity -0.20 -0.34 SCON -0.21 -0.34 Secchi Depth (in) -0.06 0.29 Turbidity (NTU) 0.12 0.00 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.29 0.14 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.23 0.09 pH 0.10 -0.05 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.20 -0.12 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.01 0.06 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.34 -0.11 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.13 -0.38 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.33 0.15 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.34 0.13 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.24 -0.31 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.14 -0.27 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.26 0.23 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.30 0.03 III -C -93 Table III -C8. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Drinkwater Creek water quality station DWWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.05 -0.01 Temperature (C) 0.20 0.29 Salinity -0.36 0.18 Conductivity -0.26 0.29 SCON -0.36 0.19 Secchi Depth (in) 0.05 -0.01 Turbidity (NTU) 0.18 0.18 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.09 -0.20 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.22 -0.15 pH -0.12 0.24 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.01 -0.01 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.01 -0.04 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.13 0.27 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.03 0.42 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.39 0.04 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.40 0.06 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.10 0.37 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.02 0.44 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.32 -0.15 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.28 0.05 III -C -94 Table III -C9. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.17 0.00 Temperature (C) -0.31 0.13 Salinity -0.28 -0.22 Conductivity -0.30 -0.23 SCON -0.20 -0.35 Secchi Depth (in) -0.11 -0.04 Turbidity (NTU) 0.18 0.25 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') 0.28 -0.17 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) 0.22 -0.16 pH -0.01 -0.14 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.05 0.32 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.27 0.21 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') -0.13 0.30 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') -0.27 -0.04 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') -0.28 0.26 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -1) -0.28 0.27 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) -0.25 0.13 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') -0.27 -0.08 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) -0.20 0.21 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.06 0.42 III -C -95 Table III -C10. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Little Creek water quality station LCWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.18 0.08 Temperature (C) 0.31 -0.25 Salinity -0.25 -0.31 Conductivity 0.01 -0.40 SCON -0.24 -0.30 Secchi Depth (in) 0.18 0.08 Turbidity (NTU) 0.18 0.10 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.32 0.21 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.27 0.15 pH -0.22 -0.16 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.10 0.11 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.10 0.35 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.18 -0.06 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.18 -0.33 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.31 0.02 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.38 -0.01 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.24 -0.20 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.16 -0.30 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.11 0.17 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.22 0.26 III -C -96 Table III -C11. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.16 0.31 Temperature (C) 0.36 -0.07 Salinity -0.23 -0.34 Conductivity 0.20 -0.35 SCON -0.23 -0.34 Secchi Depth (in) 0.12 0.33 Turbidity (NTU) 0.26 -0.19 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.35 0.05 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.25 0.10 pH -0.14 -0.09 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') -0.11 0.05 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.02 0.16 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.13 -0.04 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.24 -0.25 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.29 0.05 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.34 0.10 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.19 -0.14 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.26 -0.24 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.01 0.34 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.15 0.29 III -C -97 Table III -C12. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Long Creek water quality station LOCWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.12 -0.13 Temperature (C) 0.36 -0.13 Salinity -0.17 -0.48 Conductivity 0.18 -0.47 SCON -0.16 -0.48 Secchi Depth (in) 0.07 -0.14 Turbidity (NTU) 0.30 0.16 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.34 0.12 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.30 0.08 pH -0.10 -0.04 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') -0.06 -0.04 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.02 0.22 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') -0.01 -0.38 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.32 0.04 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.27 -0.03 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.32 -0.06 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.27 0.05 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.27 0.02 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) -0.07 0.09 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.14 0.09 III -C -98 Table III -C13. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.16 -0.06 Temperature (C) 0.34 0.10 Salinity 0.27 -0.42 Conductivity 0.33 -0.36 SCON 0.28 -0.41 Secchi Depth (in) -0.16 -0.10 Turbidity (NTU) -0.07 0.40 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.32 -0.08 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.26 -0.06 pH 0.08 0.09 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.11 0.02 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.14 -0.07 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.25 0.14 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.30 0.10 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.23 0.32 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.23 0.33 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.13 0.29 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.28 0.01 III -C -99 Table III -C14. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.25 0.16 Temperature (C) 0.36 0.09 Salinity 0.12 -0.42 Conductivity 0.14 0.03 SCON 0.14 0.02 Secchi Depth (in) -0.29 0.11 Turbidity (NTU) -0.07 0.32 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') 0.11 0.03 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.13 -0.31 pH -0.32 -0.04 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.23 -0.06 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.17 -0.01 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.34 0.01 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.40 0.05 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.05 0.50 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.12 0.44 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.03 0.33 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.38 -0.11 III -C -100 Table III -C15. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Tooley Creek water quality station TWQ3. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.04 0.34 Temperature (C) 0.20 0.42 Salinity -0.41 0.20 Conductivity -0.28 0.41 SCON -0.40 0.22 Secchi Depth (in) -0.03 0.37 Turbidity (NTU) 0.32 -0.11 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.20 -0.25 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.22 -0.26 pH -0.17 -0.06 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.07 -0.06 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.01 -0.03 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.03 0.18 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.18 0.006 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.30 0.23 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.31 0.21 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.27 -0.17 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.18 0.10 III -C -101 Table III -C16. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.23 -0.14 Temperature (C) 0.25 -0.26 Salinity 0.30 0.08 Conductivity 0.35 0.07 SCON 0.33 0.04 Secchi Depth (in) -0.23 -0.15 Turbidity (NTU) -0.003 0.11 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') 0.04 0.17 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.05 0.23 pH -0.12 -0.17 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.32 0.02 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.09 0.35 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.34 -0.14 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.34 0.09 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.04 -0.54 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.06 -0.55 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.19 0.04 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.33 0.04 III -C -102 Table III -C17. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.08 -0.32 Temperature (C) -0.12 0.23 Salinity 0.39 0.23 Conductivity 0.33 0.27 SCON 0.39 0.23 Secchi Depth (in) -0.08 -0.33 Turbidity (NTU) -0.13 0.35 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') 0.23 -0.17 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) 0.25 -0.23 pH 0.07 -0.06 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') -0.15 0.24 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.12 -0.11 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') -0.22 0.31 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') -0.02 0.33 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') -0.40 0.003 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -1) -0.40 0.03 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) -0.10 0.17 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.03 0.19 III -C -103 Table III -C18. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ3. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.30 -0.31 Temperature (C) 0.17 0.17 Salinity 0.47 -0.19 Conductivity 0.45 -0.17 SCON 0.47 -0.19 Secchi Depth (in) -0.29 -0.32 Turbidity (NTU) -0.12 0.26 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') 0.08 -0.09 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) 0.06 -0.08 pH -0.12 0.03 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.16 0.08 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.04 -0.14 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.15 0.35 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.13 0.36 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') -0.13 0.28 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -1) -0.09 0.31 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) -0.06 0.13 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.13 0.33 III -C -104 Table III -C19. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Huddles Cut water quality station HWQ4. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.38 -0.04 Temperature (C) 0.17 0.01 Salinity 0.26 -0.38 Conductivity 0.28 -0.35 SCON 0.27 -0.39 Secchi Depth (in) -0.37 -0.06 Turbidity (NTU) 0.22 0.22 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.05 -0.15 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.13 -0.28 pH -0.07 -0.11 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.27 0.18 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.005 -0.13 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.33 0.22 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.30 0.06 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') -0.02 0.39 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -1) -0.003 0.39 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.20 0.10 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.29 0.03 III -C -105 Table III -C20. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.05 -0.24 Temperature (C) 0.32 -0.01 Salinity -0.04 0.18 Conductivity 0.10 -0.33 SCON 0.06 -0.35 Secchi Depth (in) -0.19 -0.21 Turbidity (NTU) 0.31 0.12 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.33 -0.07 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.34 0.09 pH 0.04 0.00 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.11 0.39 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.13 0.41 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.15 0.21 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.37 -0.04 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.20 -0.13 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.32 -0.02 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.38 0.03 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.12 -0.02 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.13 -0.16 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.09 0.44 III -C -106 Table III -C21. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Porter Creek water quality station PCWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.18 0.02 Temperature (C) 0.34 0.12 Salinity 0.17 -0.40 Conductivity 0.26 -0.32 SCON 0.18 -0.39 Secchi Depth (in) 0.15 0.00 Turbidity (NTU) -0.07 0.18 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.31 -0.19 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.30 -0.17 pH 0.14 -0.32 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.07 0.22 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.09 0.13 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.21 0.03 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.30 -0.12 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.26 0.16 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -1) 0.28 0.24 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.29 0.13 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.32 -0.13 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.02 0.29 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.14 0.29 III -C -107 Table III -C22. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.18 -0.29 Temperature (C) 0.32 -0.22 Salinity -0.12 -0.27 Conductivity -0.21 -0.20 SCON -0.13 -0.28 Secchi Depth (in) 0.18 -0.29 Turbidity (NTU) 0.13 0.20 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.20 0.07 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.25 -0.02 pH -0.22 -0.13 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.22 0.18 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.00 0.37 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.29 0.06 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.01 -0.35 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.34 0.02 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.39 -0.02 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.19 -0.29 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.02 -0.37 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.27 0.01 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.28 0.09 III -C -108 Table III -C23. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at Duck Creek water quality station DKCWQ2. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.01 0.29 Temperature (C) 0.36 0.20 Salinity -0.24 0.38 Conductivity -0.11 0.49 SCON -0.26 0.38 Secchi Depth (in) -0.02 0.31 Turbidity (NTU) 0.23 -0.09 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.19 -0.21 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.26 0.04 pH -0.28 0.12 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') 0.04 0.14 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') 0.01 -0.24 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.16 0.14 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.26 0.05 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.32 0.10 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.34 0.23 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.21 0.07 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.23 0.07 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.14 0.10 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.24 0.04 III -C -109 Table III -C24. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at DCUT11 water quality station DC11WQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) -0.08 -0.35 Temperature (C) 0.31 -0.01 Salinity 0.21 -0.29 Conductivity 0.30 -0.25 SCON 0.22 -0.29 Secchi Depth (in) -0.08 -0.35 Turbidity (NTU) -0.18 0.16 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.33 -0.07 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.29 -0.15 pH 0.15 -0.24 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') -0.15 0.21 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.12 0.04 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.24 0.20 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.21 -0.10 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.24 0.22 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -1) 0.27 0.18 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.23 -0.03 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.23 -0.18 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.07 0.37 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.30 0.27 III -C -110 Table III -C25. Loading for each water quality variable on each principal component at DCUT19 water quality station DC19WQ1. Positive values indicate that the variable is positively correlated to the principal component. Negative values indicate that the variable is negatively correlated to the principal component. Water quality variable Principal Component 1 Principal Component 2 Depth (in) 0.07 -0.34 Temperature (C) 0.34 -0.23 Salinity -0.14 -0.11 Conductivity 0.07 -0.22 SCON -0.16 0.22 Secchi Depth (in) 0.07 -0.33 Turbidity (NTU) 0.11 0.12 Dissolved Oxygen (mg L -') -0.23 -0.13 Dissolved Oxygen (% Sat) -0.25 -0.23 pH 0.10 -0.28 Ammonium (NH4; mg L -') -0.13 0.37 Nitrate (NO3; mg L -') -0.23 0.02 Dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN; mg L -') 0.23 0.20 Particulate nitrogen (PN; mg L -') 0.28 -0.15 Orthophosphate (PO4; mg L -') 0.25 0.12 Total dissolved phosphate (TDP; mg L -') 0.37 0.14 Particulate phosphate (PP; mg L- 1) 0.29 -0.16 Chlorophyll a (tag L -') 0.24 -0.18 DOC (Dissolved Organic Carbon) 0.21 0.31 TDN (Total Dissolved Nitrogen) 0.33 0.24 III -C -111 D. METALS Additional comparisons of summary metals data were conducted and are included here for additional information. Tables or figures showing only 2013 values are included in Appendix F (only on CD). For statistical analysis of metals data, a two -way ANOVA is not possible when only one sample is collected per creek (no replicate samples) and when a year is not represented with more than two creeks. While it is possible to treat individual creeks as pseudoreplicates, for some years there are not a sufficient number of samples from the post -Mod Alt L creeks to perform a two -way ANOVA with a repeated factor. For this report, in lieu of two -way ANOVA, pairwise comparisons (i.e., Student's t- tests) were run for individual sediment metals and water column metals. However, due to the lack of replicates per creek, creeks were treated as pseudoreplicates, which does decrease the quality of the statistical analysis. A pseudoreplicate is a problem most commonly associated with environmental data, where "control" samples are collected from multiple reference sites and "impact" samples are collected from multiple impacted sites. In this analysis, data from Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and Drinkwater Creek were essentially treated as "impacted" samples and data from all control creeks were treated as control samples. Individual differences among creeks could skew the data in such a way as to increase the risk of false positive or false negative statistical findings. Note that when a metal was not detected, the LOQ /CL (reporting limit /control limit shown with < in the tables) was used as a data point for graphs and statistics. 1.0 Sediment Metals Figures III -D1, III -D2, and III -D3 illustrate pre- and post -Mod Alt L sediment metal data for Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut by year. No statistical differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sediment metal concentrations were detected in these creeks. Table III -D1 shows the sediment metals values by year for each monitored creek and the means and standard deviations of all years previous to the current year. For comparison, values for the metals sampled in a 1998 study of the Pamlico River estuary, a 1984 study on average marine sediment crust, and a 1995 study on continental crust are also shown. These previous studies show both Cd and Se to be slightly higher in the Pamlico River estuary than in marine sediment crust; this relationship seems to be also true of the creeks in this study as the means for these two metals in most creeks, including control creeks, are higher than the marine crust but often within or close the Pamlico values shown. Exceptions include Jacks Creek, Little Creek, and Muddy Creek where values for one or both of these metals were also higher than those found in the Pamlico study. 2.0 Water Column Metals No additional summary materials. III -D -1 Ag As Cd X Cr X Cu MO Se -Zn Al ♦Fe Drinkwater 100 E 90 4j m N 0 8 70 iWI t � 60 50 Q H p 40 30 W a 20 E 10 M ❑ m 120 -e -Mod Alt L Years i 2011 2012 2013 Year of Data Collection (Note that Al and Fe were reported in % and not pg /g) Post -Mod Alt L Year Figure III -D1. Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Drinkwater Creek. No statistical differences were detected between pre- and post- metal concentrations. Figure III -D2. Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Tooley Creek. No statistical differences were detected between pre- and post- metal concentrations. 111 -D -2 Ag As ♦ Cd X Cr )K Cu Tooley Creek � Mo Se -Zn —AI ♦ Fe dA 120 _ 100 _ a p 80 Q60 X Post -Mod Alt L Years M 40 Pre -Mod Alt L Years .��— 20 X O 0 —i cn 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year of Data Collection (Note that Aland Fe were reported in % and not µg /g) Figure III -D2. Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Tooley Creek. No statistical differences were detected between pre- and post- metal concentrations. 111 -D -2 (Note that Al and Fe were reported in % and not µg /g) Figure III -D3. Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Huddles Cut. No statistical differences were detected between pre- and post- metal concentrations. 111 -D -3 Ag ■ As ♦ Cd X Cr `X. Cu •Mo Se -Zn Al — ♦Fe Huddles Cut 50 45 E 40 cn 35 On 30 � 25 Pre - = 20 Mod O 15 Alt L Post -Mod Alt L Years 10 E 5 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 O Year of Data Collection (Note that Al and Fe were reported in % and not µg /g) Figure III -D3. Pre- and post -Mod Alt L metal sediment data for Huddles Cut. No statistical differences were detected between pre- and post- metal concentrations. 111 -D -3 Table III -D1. Sediment metal values by year for each monitored creek. List begins with most upstream creek on South Creek and proceeds downstream by creek to Hickory Point, then to Muddy Creek, then upstream along Pamlico River, and back towards PCS. Control creeks are so designated and the current year is highlighted. As of 2013, only Drinkwater, Tooley, and Huddles Cut are considered post -Mod Alt L. Values shown with < are LOQ /CL (reporting limit /control limit). DCUT11 and DCUT19 were sampled for the first time in 2013. Per new plan of study, 2011 was the first year samples were analyzed for bulk density and values are also shown below. Sediment Metals and Dry Bulk Density Pre -Mod Alt L Dry Post -Mod Alt L Year Al ( %) Ag As Cd Cr Cu Fe ( %) Mo Se Zn bulk or Control (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) density (g /cm3) Jacks Creek Pre 2000 6.85 0.08 4.30 1.10 58.70 16.30 3.04 2.50 1.57 94.10 2001 6.09 0.10 7.90 1.60 67.50 13.60 3.03 4.30 0.77 103.00 2002 6.29 0.03 6.90 2.60 55.90 11.80 2.73 2.40 0.71 88.60 2003 6.38 0.16 3.50 1.30 52.80 14.60 2.92 2.40 1.09 98.00 2004 6.39 0.12 7.90 1.90 58.30 14.60 2.82 2.80 1.19 106.00 2005 6.69 0.10 4.40 1.20 58.60 15.50 2.96 2.60 0.92 106.00 2011 6.64 0.08 7.20 0.90 60.10 14.00 3.14 2.70 0.82 1 113.00 1 2.36 2012 3.76 <0.36 6.97 1.14 40.10 13.00 2.71 <3.58 2.07 110.00 0.29 2013 <0.008 0.04 4.70 0.70 23.10 10.60 <0.004 <3.91 1.52 95.70 0.29 Pre mean prev yrs 6.14 0.10 6.13 1.47 56.50 14.18 2.92 2.81 1.14 102.34 1.32 S D 0.99 0.04 1.77 0.55 7.83 11 1.41 0.15 0.67 0.47 8.24 1.47 Little Creek Control 2011 7.59 0.09 6.80 1.00 74.00 14.70 1 3.07 2.80 0.74 109.00 2.31 12.10 1.01 43.80 12.20 2.46 <3.15 <0.63 99.10 0.40 2012 3.50 <0.315 L. 13 <0.001 <1.49 0.19 2013 <0.003 <0.02 Mean prev yrs 5.55 NA 9.45 1.01 58.90 13.45 2.77 NA NA 104.05 1.36 SD 2.89 NA 3.75 0.01 21.35 1.77 0.43 NA NA 7.00 1.35 Jacobs Creek Pre 2011 6.54 0.08 7.00 0.70 61.30 13.20 3.31 2.30 0.80 96.80 2.62 2012 3.41 <0.33 5.28 0.69 37.00 10.30 2.60 <3.3 0.83 89.50 0.35 2013 <0.006 0.04 4.97 0.57 24.60 9.28 <0.003 <3.13 1.45 76.20 0.32 Pre mean prev yrs 4.98 1 NA 1 6.14 1 0.70 1 49.15 1 11.75 1 2.96 1 NA 0.81 93.15 1.48 SD 2.21 NA 1.22 0.00 17.18 2.05 0.50 NA 0.02 5.16 1.61 PA2 Control 2011 3.25 0.02 2.60 0.20 21.20 3.20 0.61 1.40 0.18 28.40 2.69 2012 1.98 <0.20 4.05 0.41 25.70 5.72 1.50 <1.95 <0.39 56.90 0.65 2013 <0.004 <0.039 1.16 0.08 6.02 1.82 <0.002 <2.21 0.34 20.10 0.67 Mean prev yrs 2.62 NA 3.33 0.31 23.45 4.46 1.06 NA NA 42.65 1.67 SD 0.90 NA 1.03 0.15 3.18 1.78 0.63 NA NA 20.15 1.44 DrinkwaterCreek Pre 2011 6.69 0.08 6.50 0.70 63.90 14.00 3.14 2.40 0.86 91.60 2.43 2012 39<0.309 8.59 0.68 39.90 10.80 2.68 <3.09 <0.618 89.10 0.36 Pre mean prev yrs 5.04 NA 7.55 0.69 51.90 12.40 2.91 NA NA 90.35 1.39 SD 2.33 NA 1.48 0.01 16.97 2.26 0.33 NA NA 1.77 1.46 Mod Alt L impact _> _> _. .> ...:. ...:. .. Post 2013 <0.003 <0.031 1.65 0.17 7.06 2.48 <0.002 <1.56 0.39 28.90 0.77 Long Creek IControl 2011 7.87 0.09 7.40 0.80 72.90 14.80 3.42 2.10 0.71 99.30 2.28 2012 2.33 <0.234 4.19 0.40 28.60 7.63 1.76 <2.34 0.98 70.30 0.56 2013 <0.003 <0.033 0.52 0.04 3.37 2.06 <0.001 <1.45 0.10 7.00 1.20 Mean prev yrs 5.10 NA 5.80 0.60 50.75 11.22 2.59 NA 0.85 84.80 1.42 SD 3.92 NA 2.27 0.28 31.32 5.07 1.17 NA 0.19 20.51 1.21 Pamlico River Estuary' 7.40 0.20 6.80 0.49 78.00 23.00 3.20 1.90 0.80 125.00 0.03 2.00 0.18 1 0.19 1 6.00 1.00 1 0.30 0.20 26.00 SD 1.80 Average Marine Sediment Crust2 7.2 0.1 7.7 0.2 72.0 33.0 4.1 2.0 0.4 1 95.0 8.0 0.1 1.7 0.1 126.0 25.0 4.3 1.1 0.1 65.0 Continental Crust3 Effects Range Low4 1.0 8.2 1.2 81.0 34.0 150.0 3.7 70.0 9.6 370.0 270.0 Effects Range Median 410.0 Table III -D1 (concluded). 111 -D -5 Dry Pre -Mod Alt L Ag As Cd Cr Cu Mo Se Zn bulk Post -Mod Alt L Year Al ( %) Fe ( %) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) (Ng /g) density or Control (g /cm3) Tooley Creek Pre 2010 6.28 0.17 7.00 1.00 66.70 13.30 3.27 1.80 0.97 97.70 2011 6.97 0.08 7.00 0.90 74.10 12.00 3.14 1.70 0.64 99.50 2.60 Pre mean 6.63 0.13 7.00 0.95 70.40 12.65 3.21 1.75 0.81 98.60 NA SD 0.49 0.06 0.00 0.07 5.23 0.92 0.09 0.07 0.23 1.27 NA .................................................................................................................................................................................................. Mod AR L impact .......... ......... ..... ..... ............................... . Post 2012 4.02 <0.317 6.21 1.14 50.70 11.30 3.97 <3.17 1.17 109.00 0.43 2013 <0.007 0.05 4.72 0.70 25.10 8.32 <0.003 <3.39 1.19 87.90 0.39 Muddy Creek Control 2000 8.26 0.08 5.10 1 1.10 79.50 32.50 3.03 2.60 1.26 108.00 2_0_0_1 6.1_9_ 0.13 7.20 1.30 85.60 26.80 2.94 3.00 1.04 98.70 2003 W ._.._ 8.05 W _.... 0.21 W W W 6.40 1.20 80.00 30.30 2.83___2.70__,__1.26__,_103.00 _ _ 2004 8.07 0.15 13.60 1.30 72.30 26.50 3.00 3.90 1.15 115.00_ 2005 7.93 0.12__,___6.30__, 1.30 72.00 28.00 3.03 --- 2009 W ._._._ 7.96 W 0.15 6.90 1.00 86.30 27.50 W __2.80____1.0_1____105.00 3.35 2.50__1.09_ . _ 120.00 2010 6.64 . -_.... 0 18 __...... 6 30 0.90 733.8800 28.40 _.... ...._ 3.29 2 80 _.. 1.03 113.00 2011 7.90 0.11 6.60 0.80 75.60 25.30 3.14 2.50 0.80 108.00 2.06 2012 3.93 <0.3 4.38 0.60 44.70 14.80 2.41 r <3.0 0.63 99.50 0.39 2013 <0.005 0.03 2.73 0.31 15.10 6.10 <0.002 <2.26 0.58 52.60 0.58 Mean prev yrs 7.21 0.14 6.98 1.06 74.42 26.68 3.00 2.85 1.03 107.80 1.23 SD 1.42 0.04 2.64 1 0.25 12.34 4.94 0.28 0.46 0.21 716 118 Huddles Cut Pre 2009 0.11 0.03 0.10 0.02 2.00 0.30 0.03 0.05 0.02 2.30 .................................................................................................................................................................................................. Mod AR L impact . .... .: .. ............................... .. . Post 20_1_0_ 0.1_3_ 0.04 0.10 0.03 1.30 ` 0.20 0.05 0.09 0.07 3.30 2011 0.11 0.01 0.10 0.02 1.10 0.40 0.03 0.07 0.04 0.50 2.41 2012 2.36 <0.27 4.02 0.86 30.00 8.62 1.42 <2.7 0.62 44.50 0.47 2013 <0.003 <0.02 0.15 0.04 1.06 0.28 <0.001 <1.27 <0.47 3.17 1.49 Post mean prev yrs 0.87 0.03 1.41 0.30 10.80 3.07 0.50 0.08 0.24 16.10 1.44 SD 1.29 0.02 2.26 0.48 16.63 4.80 0.80 0.01 0.33 24.63 1.37 Duck Creek Control 2011 6.77 0.13 6.40 0.50 58.10 20.80 3.93 1.90 0.77 93.10 1 2.40 2012 2.99 <0.375 4.65 0.49 32.20 17.90 3.26 <3.75 1.35 92.10 0.27 2013 3 <0.023 0.13 <0.02 0.27 0.21 0.25 0.55 0.03 2.10 1.38 Mean 4.88 NA 5.53 0.49 45.15 19.35 3.60 NA 1.06 92.60 1.33 SD 2.67 NA 1.24 0.01 18.31 2.05 0.47 NA 0.41 0.71 1.51 Porter Creek Pre 2011 8.05 0.12 8.20 0.90 I 82.80 17.40 4.29 2.40 0.77 96.50 2.49 2012 1.46 <0.171 2.55 0.2621.50 5.08 1.35 <1.71 0.55 31.10 0.73 2013 <0.004 0.02 2.07 0.25 9.16 4.12 <0.002 <1.84 0.39 27.80 0.60 Mean 4.76 NA 5.38 0.58 52.15 11.24 2.82 NA 0.66 63.80 1.61 SD 4.66 NA 4.00 0.45 43.35 8.71 2.08 NA 0.16 46.24 1.24 DCUT11 Pre 2013 <0.013 0.07 69# 13.50 9.53 <0.007 4.55 2.34 71.20 0.17 DCUT19 Control 2013 <0.012 <0.119 <0.12 0.07 3.66 0.61 <0.006 3.11 <0.24 62.90 0.16 Pamlico River Estuary 7.4 0.2 6.8 0.5 78.0 23.0 1 3.2 1.9 1 0.8 125.0 SD 1.8 0.0 2.0 0.2 0.2 6.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 26.0 Average Marine SedimentCrust2 7.2 0.1 7.7 0.2 72.0 33.0 4.1 2.0 0.4 95.0 Continental Crust3 8.0 0.1 1.7 0.1 126.0 25.0 4.3 1.1 0.1 65.0 Effects Range Low4 1.0 8.2 1.2 81.0 34.0 150.0 Effects Range Median 3.7 70.0 9.6 370.0 270.0 410.0 1 Trocine and Trefry (1998) 2 Salamons and F6rstner (1984) 3 Wedepohl (1995) 4 Long et al (1995) 111 -D -5 E. VEGETATION 1.0 Results and Discussion Locations of the monitoring wells /vegetation transects are shown in Figures 1 -131- 1 -1316. The vegetation at most of the creeks in the study area was affected to some degree by Hurricane Irene on 26 -27 August 2011. Tables III -E1a through III -E -1c contain dominant herbaceous species and Tables III -E2a through III -E2c contain dominant shrub and woody vine species found in monitoring transect plots across the study years. Tables III -E3a through III - E3c show wetness and salinity characteristics among transects through time. Table III -E4 is a list of common and scientific names for plants encountered throughout the study period with their associated wetland indicator status and tolerance of brackish conditions. Data collected in 2013 from plots at each of the vegetation transects and 2013 photographs of the monitoring sites are found in Appendix G. For this report, two aspects are considered when analyzing changes in percentages of brackish intolerant species in transects: distance from mouth of the creek and sampling year (pre- or post -Mod Alt Q. The first aspect compares percent dominants considered freshwater in transects according to their general location in relation to each other. The second aspect compares transects over time. a. Jacks Creek All wells are in the upper two reaches of Jacks Creek. The wells /transects are numbered upstream to downstream on the two prongs. The most upstream transect, JW2 (western prong), is in the area of the creek crossed by an old state road, and is on the opposite side of the road from the other transects, but a culvert under the road allows water exchange. Two transects, JW3 (western prong) and JW7 (both considered middle transects), are on separate prongs but occupy equivalent geomorphic positions relative to the mouth, as do JW5 (western prong) and JW9, the most downstream transects. Transects appear to have standing /flowing water frequently throughout the year, which limits herbaceous growth and influences the presence or absence of particular species. No Mod Alt L drainage basin reductions have occurred in the Jacks Creek drainage basin, so comparisons over time are only among the different years and independent of Mod Alt L activities. Despite the year -to -year variations at the individual transects, the most upstream transect has had the higher percentage of dominants intolerant of brackish conditions (Figures III -E1, E2 and Figure 11 -139) while the most downstream transect did not have any dominants intolerant of brackish conditions until 2012, when shallow sedge (Carex lurida), which is not tolerant of brackish conditions, was recorded as a dominant (Figure 11 -139, Table III -E3a). The two middle transects have the widest range of percentages. Two transects had the same amount of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions as last year, which are the lowest numbers of freshwater species for those transects over the monitoring period (Table III -E3a, Figure 11 -139). Two transects had less freshwater species than last year, but both values were more typical for those transects, and one transect had more freshwater species, which was more typical of that transect. The average number of dominant brackish intolerant species in 2013 was among the lowest over the entire monitoring period and the range of percentages tied with 2011 for the shortest range with the lowest maximum percentage (Figure III -E2). III -E -1 Linear regression analysis for each transect over the years showed strong statistical trends in the two most upstream transects (Figure II -139), where percentages of brackish intolerant species have been mostly lower for the past several monitoring years. Percentages of brackish intolerant species have also been lower the past several years at JW7, but due to a high number in 2011, there was not a strong statistical trend. At JW9, excluding 2012, all percentages were zero. Since 2011, the composition of the dominant herbaceous layer in Jacks Creek has been more different than the past monitoring years (2000- 2005). Most of the 2013 dominant herbs at Jacks Creek have only been dominant in recent years, although at JW7 cane (Arundinaria gigantea) has dominated (or co- dominated in 2012 and 2013) every year except one, 2011, and Nepalese browntop (Microstegium vimineum) has dominated (or co- dominated in many years) every year except one, 2004 (Table III -E1 a). Also at JW7, poison ivy (Toxicodendron radicans) was dominant every year from 2000 -2012 but was not dominant this year. JW5 was the only transect in Jacks Creek in 2013 with a new dominant species- sturdy bulrush (Bolboshoenus robustus), which has not been dominant before at any transect in Jacks Creek. The number of dominant herbaceous species at each transect has been similar across most years, but the amount at each transect in 2013 was slightly lower than the average of each transect, except at JW2, where for the past two years, the number of dominants has been more than all other previous years (Table III -E1a). None of the individual years had significantly different amounts of dominant herbaceous species from other individual years and the amounts in combined earlier years (2000 -2005) were not significantly different from amounts in the combined recent years (2011- 2013). The composition of the dominant shrub and woody vine layer in Jacks Creek has been more different since 2011 than past years (Table III -E2a). Many of the 2013 dominant shrub /woody vine species at Jacks Creek have only been dominant in recent years, with exception of palmetto (Saba/ minor), which has been dominant every year at JW9 and JW7. JW2 was the only transect in Jacks Creek in 2013 with a new dominant species- eastern baccharis ( Baccharis halimifolia). The numbers of dominant species have been similar over the years (Table III -E2a). None of the individual years had significantly different amounts of dominant shrub /woody vine species from other individual years and the amounts in combined earlier years (2000 -2005) were not significantly different from amounts in the combined recent years (2011- 2013). Transects were fairly open (0 -65 percent tree canopy cover) with some snags remaining at some transects. The most upstream transect had the most tree canopy cover and was dominated by red maple (Acer rubrum), laurel oak (Quercus laurifolia), ironwood (Carpinus caroliniana) and American elm (Ulmus americana). One transect (second most downstream transect) had no canopy and another only had about 10 percent cover over two thirds of the transect. The two remaining transects had 20 and 15 percent cover of some of the same species already mentioned as well as green ash (Fraxinus pennsylvanica) and at one of them, eastern red cedar (Juniperus virginiana). In 2005 the dominant overstory trees were swamp tupelo (Nyssa biflora), laurel oak, and green ash. It was also noted in 2005 that the canopy shifted gradually from closed (little dieback) to open (much dieback) on a gradient from upstream to downstream. More die -back was observed during 2003, 2004, and 2005 than during survey efforts prior to 2003. The increased die -back was localized in the more downstream reaches of the survey areas on each arm of Jacks Creek, near the upper extent of open canopy usually associated with the brackish marsh complex. However, the mid - stream transects also appeared to have increased die -back in 2011 and 2012, compared to previous years. Typically, the more downstream areas are more prone to flooding from wind tides so it is III -E -2 likely that die -back is attributable to these short -term inundations by brackish water, which now reaches further upstream. Additionally, a few large trees were toppled by Hurricane Irene. The monthly average salinities at the upstream Jacks Creek AquaTROLL, which is downstream of the vegetation transects ranged from 8 -12.5 psu throughout the year in 2013. While salinity in 2013 was slightly lower than in 2012, salinity for the last few years has been higher than all other monitoring years (Section II I.A). Over all the monitoring years at Jacks Creek, including 2013, only one species (upland bentgrass [Agrostis perennans]) at one transect (JW3, second most upstream transect) in one year (2000) has had an upland status (Tables III -E1 a, E3a). b. Jacobs Creek No Mod Alt L drainage basin reduction has occurred in the Jacobs Creek drainage basin. Vegetation monitoring of a single transect at Jacobs Creek began in 2011, after Hurricane Irene. All of the dominants were considered intolerant of brackish conditions for all three monitoring years (Figure III -E3, Table III -E3a). In 2011 there was one dominant herb in the transect and one individual of a single shrub /woody vine species in one plot. Then, in 2012 there were three dominant herbs and one (new) dominant shrub /woody vine species. Results in 2013 still showed low diversity, with two dominant herb species (one new) and two dominant shrub /woody vine species (one new) (Tables III -E1 a, E2a). The herbaceous layer was dominated by an upland species and a FAC species, which reflects the dry conditions recorded by the monitoring wells at that transect. Cane remained a dominant species in the shrub /woody vine category and Alabama supplejack (Berchemia scandens) was also a dominant (Table III - E2a). Based on the fallen trees, prior to Hurricane Irene the transect canopy appeared to have been moderately dense, but since the hurricane it has been fairly open and mostly contains red maple with some green ash. One of the four dominants in 2013 was an upland species and two of the four in 2012 were upland species (one the same as 2013, Tables III -E1 a, III -E2a). C. Drinkwater Creek Drinkwater Creek was not monitored 2012 -2013 according to the plan. d. Tooley Creek Tooley Creek was not monitored 2012 -2013 according to the plan. e. Long Creek (control) Monitoring of Long Creek began in 2011. The percentage of dominant brackish intolerant species in 2013 slightly decreased from the past two years (Figure III -E4, Table III -E3c). In 2011 the single transect was dominated by cane in the herbaceous layer and in 2012, rosette grass (Dichanthelium sp.) was co- dominant with cane (Table III -E1c). The results in 2013 were similar to 2012 with the addition of a new dominant herbaceous species - sweetscent (Pluchea odorata). Wax myrtle was the sole dominant in the shrub and woody vine layer from 2011 to 2013 (Table III -E2c). None of the dominants were upland species from 2011 to 2013 (Table III -E3c). The tree canopy was moderately open (50 percent cover) and consisted mostly of swamp tupelo, red maple, sweetgum (Liquidambar styraciflua), red bay (Persea palustris), and water oak (Quercus nigra). f. Huddles Cut Main Prong Monitoring did not occur in 2011 due to the high amount of debris and standing water after Hurricane Irene, and also did not occur in 2012 because it was in a post - disturbance transition year. The only pre -Mod Alt L year is 2009. Mod Alt L activities in the III -E -3 Huddles Cut drainage basin ceased after 2011, leaving approximately 289 acres in its drainage basin out of the approximately 551 acres in the drainage basin pre -Mod Alt L. A visual difference in the plant community between the last year of sampling (2010) and 2013 was evident at the time of sampling, partly due to Hurricane Irene. The previously abundant poison ivy (Toxicodendron radicans), whorled pennywort (Hydrocotyle verticillata), wax myrtle and royal fern (Osmunda regalis) had disappeared or diminished and sweetscent, eastern baccharis, sedges, and coast cockspur grass (Echinochloa walterl) dominated the swamp. Additionally, before Hurricane Irene occurred in 2011, the overstory trees had started to die out, but Hurricane Irene toppled most of the remaining canopy at most transects. Only one of the seven transects had any canopy in 2013, and it covered only the last two plots that were in the ecotone between the swamp and surrounding forest. Prior to Hurricane Irene, dominant overstory trees included swamp tupelo, red maple, green ash, American elm, sweetgum, and a scattering of bald cypress (Taxodium distichum). A few transects also had scattered water oak (Quercus nigra). While percentages of dominant brackish intolerant species at each transect has fluctuated over the years, when distance from creek mouth is considered, there has been no discernable long -term pattern at most of the individual transects for most of the sampling years (Figure III -E5). The number of dominant plants in the herbaceous layer post - Mod Alt L has not significantly decreased from the pre -Mod Alt L year. The post -Mod Alt L average number of dominant herbaceous species was lower than pre -Mod Alt L at two of the seven transects and higher at four transects. However, the number of dominant species at each transect in 2013 was lower than the last monitoring year (2010) at five of the seven transects and higher at one. The composition of the herbaceous layer has also been changing over the years. In 2013, every transect on the main prong had at least one dominant that had never been dominant before (Tables III -E1 a, Ems. More of the newer dominant herbaceous species in recent years tend to be more tolerant of brackish conditions than those from earlier years, especially in 2013. The number of dominant plants in the shrub /woody vine layer post -Mod Alt L has significantly increased from pre -Mod Alt L (p= 0.03). The average number of dominant species before any Mod Alt L activities was 1.3 and the average after Mod Alt L activities was 2.1. The post -Mod Alt L average at five of the seven transects was higher than the pre -Mod Alt L average and lower at one of the transects, although the 2013 average at only two transects was higher than 2010 and three were lower. In 2013, like the herbaceous layer, every transect on the main prong had at least one new dominant, and for the shrubs it was usually eastern baccharis, which is tolerant of brackish conditions (Tables III -E1a, Ems. More of the dominant shrub /woody vine species in recent years tend to be more tolerant of brackish conditions than earlier years, especially in 2013. Although all Mod Alt L activities in Huddles Cut were over by 2011, the activities occurred incrementally across the sub - basins so all areas were not impacted in the same way at the same time. Therefore, it might take longer for some transects to show mine - related changes, if any changes occur. In 2013, six of the seven transects contained the least amount of dominant brackish intolerant species of all monitoring years and one had the same lowest amount as the last year of monitoring -2010 (Figure II -137, Tables III -E3a, E3b). The percentage of dominants intolerant of brackish conditions is significantly lower post -Mod Alt L (p =0.03) when all transects are combined and the years grouped pre- and post -Mod Alt L (Figure II -B1). Generally, there is a lower percentage of dominant brackish intolerant species in most areas on the main prong of Huddles Cut in post- disturbance years, which means there are III -E -4 less dominant species adapted for freshwater conditions. Over the years, there have been very few dominant species in the main prong of Huddles Cut with a wetland indicator status of upland and they have only been in the herbaceous layer (Table III -E3a, Ems. Three of the seven transects have not had any upland dominant species. There is no apparent pattern to the few occurrences of upland species, and their presence likely is due to low rainfall or opportunistic colonization of small high spots, discussed in Summary and Conclusions. g. Huddles Cut West Prong In July 2009, before the 2009 vegetation sampling survey, mine expansion activities eliminated six of the 10 plots at HWW2 and the entire transect at HWW10. The vegetation was last surveyed in 2011, just prior to Hurricane Irene. In September 2012, a surface depression appeared near HWW8. Groundwater Management Associates, Inc. was contracted by PCS to investigate. Their evaluation of that depression and another smaller one found in the area are in Appendix E of the 2012 report (CZR 2012). The vegetation was not surveyed in 2012 because it was the first year after the transition year (2011) and consequently, the effects of the depression on the vegetation in the transect were not noted in the 2012 report, but in this current report. A visual difference in the west prong of Huddles Cut was evident between the last year of surveying (2011) and 2013. The two upstream transects appeared drier than in 2011, which is supported by the hydrology data from the wells. The overstory at most transects was already fairly open prior to Hurricane Irene in 2011, but with a dense understory dominated by wax myrtle. However, the wax myrtles were beginning to die. The few dominant overstory trees included red maple, swamp tupelo, and green ash with a scattering of American elm and laurel oak along some transects. In 2013, all transects were completely open, the understory was gone and most snags and dead branches that had been scattered across the transects were no longer visible and were either underwater (in the more downstream portion of the prong) or were washed out during flooding that resulted from Hurricane Irene, or decomposed. The upper reaches of the west prong had storm - toppled trees and branches along the ecotone edge of the swamp and surrounding forest. The percentages of dominant brackish intolerant species at the transects were compared according to their general location along the creek in relation to each other (Figure III -E6). In relation to other transects, HWW7 is considered downstream, HWW2, HWW4, and HWW8 are considered in the middle, and HWW10 is considered upstream. After HWW10 was eliminated in 2009, HWW2 and HWW8 are now considered the upstream transects and are fairly close to the mine boundary. Despite the year -to -year variations at the individual wells, overall the downstream transect usually has lower percentages of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions (viz, less freshwater species, Tables III -E3a, E3b). Also in 2013, diversity was lower across the area. The surface depression at HWW8 affected one and a half plots -one plot was completely caved in, along with half of an adjoining plot, and only bare soil was visible in the depression. Baccharis, which had not been dominant before, was one of the most common dominant species in 2013 (Table III - E2a). Sweetscent and coast cockspur grass were also common dominants (Table III -E1a). Alabama supplejack had been a common dominant woody vine species at the two upstream transects in most years but was not dominant in 2013. III -E -5 The number of dominant plants in the herbaceous layer post -Mod Alt L has not significantly increased or decreased from pre -Mod Alt L, although the combined post - Mod Alt L average of all four transects is slightly lower than the combined pre -Mod Alt L average. In 2013, two transects had less dominants than the last year of monitoring (2011) and two were the same, which is also the same trend when comparing 2013 to the pre -Mod Alt L data. The number of dominant plants in the shrub /woody vine layer post -Mod Alt L were similar at all transects and the combined averages were the same so there was no significant difference in the amount of dominant species. Transects were also compared pre- and post -Mod Alt L. Only the upper half of the combined post -Mod Alt L data overlaps with the pre -Mod Alt L data, which shows that more freshwater species tended to be present pre -Mod Alt L (Figure II -134). The percentage of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions has declined every post -Mod Alt L year at three of the four transects (Figure II -138). However, at the most downstream transect, the percentage increased the second post -Mod Alt L year but then dropped to zero (Figure II -138). At all transects, the average number of dominant brackish intolerant species for the combined post -Mod Alt L years was lower than the pre -Mod Alt L number (Figure II -136) and all transects had less brackish intolerant species in 2013 than the last year of monitoring -2011 (Figure II -135). Some of the average salinities at all three Huddles Cut monitors were slightly lower in 2013 than in 2012, but the overall trend in the other post -Mod Alt L years is one of increasing salinity. Furthermore, salinity of the combined post -Mod Alt L years is significantly higher than the pre -Mod Alt L year (Section II I.A). There have only been two dominant species with a wetland indicator status of upland in three of the four years and each transect has had at least one of those species. However, despite large differences in the frequency and duration of flooding between downstream and upstream transects, all transects clearly were dominated by wetland vegetation in all years. h. Porter Creek Vegetation monitoring at Porter Creek began in 2011. No Mod Alt L drainage basin reductions have occurred in the Porter Creek basin. Both transects have mostly sparse herbaceous and shrub layers. Figure III -E7 shows the two transects in relation to the distance from the mouth of the creek and the percentage of brackish intolerant species. The amount of dominant brackish intolerant species has remained high over the three years of monitoring (Figure III -E8). One transect in 2013 had the same three dominant herbaceous species as 2012 and one of the same dominant shrub /woody vine species while the other transect had two of the same dominant herbaceous species as 2012 and one of the same dominant shrub /woody vine species, plus an additional species that has not been dominant at that transect (Table III -E1 a). At the downstream transect only the second half (upstream end) has a canopy, which is moderately dense at 75 percent coverage and is dominated by red maple, American elm, green ash, and persimmon (Diospyros virginiana). The upstream transect has a moderately dense tree canopy (70 percent coverage) for the entire transect and is dominated by red maple, green ash, and ironwood. The canopy in the surrounding area has several new large openings as a result of large ( >12 inches diameter at breast height), mature trees that fell during Hurricane Irene. Both transects and surrounding areas have abundant saplings of the dominant tree species. Neither transect had any dominant species with an upland status. No dominant species that are tolerant of brackish conditions has been recorded at the upstream transect and only one species in 2012 and 2013 has been tolerant of brackish conditions at the downstream transect (Tables III -E1 a, III -E2a). III -E -6 i. DCUT11 Vegetation monitoring at a single transect on this tributary of Durham Creek began in 2013. Nepalese browntop (Microstegium vimineum), poison ivy, and Chinese privet (Ligustrum sinense) were the dominant species, none of which are tolerant of brackish conditions or are upland species (Tables III -E1a, E2a, E3a). The transect was shaded by a fairly dense canopy dominated by green ash, southern red oak (Quercus falcata), and cherry bark oak (Quercus pagoda) with a scattering of tulip poplar (Liriodendron tulipfera). The subcanopy was comprised of mostly American holly (Ilex opaca) and Chinese privet. j. DCUT19 (control creek) Vegetation monitoring at a single transect on this tributary of Durham Creek began in 2013. This transect was more diverse than the DCUT11 transect, with four dominant herbs and three dominant shrub /woody vine species (Tables III -E1c, Ems. Only one of the dominants was tolerant of brackish conditions and none were upland species (Table III - Eac). The transect was shaded by a dense canopy dominated by tulip popular with a scattering of sweet gum. The subcanopy consisted mostly of red maple and ironwood. k. Duck Creek (control creek) Vegetation monitoring at Duck Creek began in 2011. All transects had sparse herbaceous and shrub layers and a moderately dense canopy. The dominant species in the tree canopy in 2013 varied at the different transects. The overstory tree species were similar among the transects, but in different percentages. The overstory trees included sweet gum, red maple, tulip poplar, and swamp chestnut oak (Q. michauxii). Bald cypress was also a dominant at the most downstream transect. Most transects also contained a subcanopy that consisted of younger specimens of the overstory species as well as American holly, green ash, red bay, and loblolly bay (Magnolia virginiana). In 2013, each transect had one new dominant herbaceous species as well as at least one repeat from last year (Tables III -E1c). The dominant species in the shrub and woody vine layer were also similar to last year, with the addition of one species at one transect and the removal of one from another transect (Table III -E2c). Cane was abundant at most transects in both layers, which has been the case every year. The amount of dominant brackish intolerant species has remained high over the three years (Figure III -E9). One upstream transect has only had dominant species that are not tolerant of brackish conditions while the other upstream transect had one dominant species that was tolerant of brackish conditions in 2013. One of the downstream transects had one dominant species in 2013 that was tolerant of brackish conditions while the other downstream transect had an unknown vine in 2012 that may or may not have been tolerant of brackish conditions (Tables III -E1c, Ems. Since the first year of monitoring in 2011, the most downstream transect has had one species that is considered an upland species (partridge berry [Mitchella repens)], Table III -E1c) but it was growing opportunistically in elevated drier areas, not in areas where water is occasionally present. In 2013, another upland species was also dominant in that transect- Virginia creeper (Parthenocissus quinquefolia) (Table III -E2c). 2.0 Summary and Conclusions Logs, stumps, and tree mounds (fallen and live) are common along these transects, as well as canopy gaps caused by trees and shrubs falling due to softened soil and wind storms. Over time, these factors provide establishment sites for many herbs that otherwise would not be (or had not been) able to grow within quadrats or plots along the transect. However, this microtopography is random, and while a plot in the transect might be III -E -7 bare, a tree mound a few feet away outside of the transect might have several species growing on it, or the opposite could also be true. This is one of the benefits of having several plots alternating along the transect axis so the variability will most likely be captured in survey efforts. As the stumps and logs decay and the tree mounds subside, the herbs that are intolerant of prolonged inundation are flooded out. Also, as adjacent trees, shrubs, and vines expand to fill gaps in the canopy, shade - intolerant herbs die out. These recurring processes partially influence the composition of the herbaceous layer and to a lesser extent, the shrub layer. Hurricane Irene in 2011 caused a substantial change in the vegetation community at many of the creeks, particularly in the canopy and sub - canopy. The composition of vegetative species for the creeks sampled in 2013 that have a longer data record (Jacks Creek and Huddles Cut) has been more different in recent years than previous years, although there have been few statistically significant differences. A noticeable visual change in the vegetation community from the last year of sampling was apparent at both prongs of Huddles Cut in 2013, most likely attributed to due to Hurricane Irene. Most of the dominant species in the past few years had not been recorded as dominants in earlier monitoring years and the new species tend to be those more tolerant of brackish conditions. Despite some variability at the individual transects along most creeks, the highest percentages of brackish intolerants often are found at the upstream transects and the lowest percentages are often at the downstream transects. While there are large differences in the frequency and duration of flooding at the upstream transects versus the downstream transects, all transects at all creeks clearly were dominated by wetland vegetation in all years, with only a few non - wetland species appearing as dominants at a few transects. At Jacks Creek the number of dominants intolerant of brackish conditions have mostly been lower in more recent years, particularly in the two most upstream transects where linear regression analysis showed strong downward trends. Only one dominant species at one transect in one year has had a non - wetland status, which shows the vegetation is still predominantly wetland vegetation. On the main prong of Huddles Cut, the number of dominant plants in the herbaceous layer was not significantly different between the pre -Mod Alt L year and post -Mod Alt L years but the average number of dominant species in the shrub /woody vine layer was significantly higher post -Mod Alt L. The percentage of dominant species that are considered intolerant of brackish conditions significantly decreased post -Mod Alt L. Three of the seven transects have not had any non - wetland species and there have only been a few species scattered across the years and remaining transects, so the vegetation on this prong of Huddles Cut is still predominantly wetland vegetation. On the west prong of Huddles Cut, the numbers of dominant species in both the herbaceous and shrub /woody vine layers were similar and not significantly different, although the herbaceous layer had slightly less dominant species post -Mod Alt L. The percentage of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions is lower post -Mod Alt L, but not significantly. There have only been two dominant species with a wetland indicator status of upland in three of the four years and each transect has had at least one of those species. However, despite large differences in the frequency and duration of flooding between downstream and upstream transects, all transects clearly were dominated by wetland vegetation in all years. The other creeks had similar species, but in different amounts. Jacobs Creek continued to show low diversity and had drier species than most other transects, which reflects the drier conditions recorded by the wells near the transect. One transect at Duck Creek was III -E -8 the only other place where a dominant upland species was recorded. Most of the dominant species at the other transects were also considered intolerant of brackish conditions. The tree canopy at many of the long -term monitored creeks has become more open and at least some of the die -back is likely due to increased salinities. However, Hurricane Irene in 2011 toppled much of the canopy and sub - canopy at some of the creeks, increasing the openness of the canopy. The increase in salinity and canopy dieback appears to be a regional sea level rise effect and is visually evident in many creeks and estuaries within the Pamlico River drainage basin. III -E -9 110 100 Cn 90 Cn C T .s 80 Q 0 m U 70 CO c Y 60 E v 0 m 50 o 0 40 aa)) CO a) 30 a) o a 20 10 0 JW2 JW7 JW3 • • • JW5 • • • • JW9 • • • 3200 3400 3600 3800 4000 4200 Distance from Mouth of Creek (feet) Figure III -E1. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Jacks Creek transects 2000 -2005 and 2011 -2013 arranged by distance from mouth of creek. 110 100 w c 90 a) •2 80 CL N (0 70 w 60 Y E 50 0m 40 c 0 c 0 30 C) E2 CL) 0 20 10 0 -10 Year Figure III -E2. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Jacks Creek with all transects combined. III -E -10 w N p N O Q C U c � (0 U c Y E U o M m 0 0 c � N � L N O 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 • 2010 2011 2013 Year Figure III -E3. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Jacobs Creek. N ,o N � o Y O � p m O O N � L m 0 D_ c 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 • 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year Figure III -E4. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Long Creek. III -E -11 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year Figure III -E4. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Long Creek. III -E -11 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 Distance From Mouth of Creek (ft) Figure III -E5. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Huddles Cut transects on the main prong arranged by distance from mouth of creek for pre- and post -Mod Alt L years. Huddles Cut -West Prong ivv 90 U) C: 80 U) c 80 U 70 N 0 60 U 60 0 m 50 U) 40 ,�;; 50 U E2 30 pp 40 c 20 30 0 L 0 a) 20 10 0 3600 3800 4000 4200 4400 4600 4800 5000 5200 Distance From Mouth of Creek (ft) Figure III -E5. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Huddles Cut transects on the main prong arranged by distance from mouth of creek for pre- and post -Mod Alt L years. Huddles Cut -West Prong 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400 3600 Distance from Mouth of Creek (feet) Figure III -E6. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Huddles Cut transects on the west prong arranged by distance from mouth of creek for pre- and post -Mod Alt L years. III -E -12 110 100 U) C: 90 U) a) .o a 80 U 70 c � 60 U 0 m 50 0 0 40 c c a) CU L a) 30 a) 0 G_ 20 10 0 2000 2200 2400 2600 2800 3000 3200 3400 3600 Distance from Mouth of Creek (feet) Figure III -E6. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Huddles Cut transects on the west prong arranged by distance from mouth of creek for pre- and post -Mod Alt L years. III -E -12 U) N .O �U N � O � U s= � U) E U O 12 0 CO O O s= s= N c6 U L L N ^� OLL 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 • PC5 • PC9A 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 Distance from Mouth of Creek (feet) Figure III -E7. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Porter Creek transects 2011 -2013 arranged by distance from mouth of creek. U) o N � Q C U c� U) E U O p m 0 0 0 � U L LL 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year Figure III -E8. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Porter Creek with all transects combined. III -E -13 110 100 N 90 0 80 N p 70 U N � 60 50 0 0 40 0 30 N L m 0 20 a c 10 0 -10 i I 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year Figure III -E9. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions every year at Duck Creek with all transects combined. w w C a� .o �U CL O CU Cn �U c Y E U O E2 0 CO ww 0 0 c c U L L Q 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 DKCW4B DKCW2A O O qF DKCW1 O DKCW3A V • 2011 O 2012 v 2013 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 Distance from Mouth of Creek (feet) Figure III -E10. Percent of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions at Duck Creek transects 2011 -2013 arranged by distance from mouth of creek. III -E -14 Table III -E1a. Dominant herbaceous species in vegetation transects in seven creeks monitored pre -Mod Alt L. Jacks Creek (2000 -2005; 2011 - 2013); Jacobs Creek (2011- 2013); Drinkwater Creek (2011); Tooley Creek (2010- 2011); Huddles Cut (2009); Porter Creek (2011- 2013); one tributary to Durham Creek (DCUT11, 2013). No impacts from Mod -Alt L have occurred in Jacks Creek, Jacobs Creek, Porter Creek, or Durham Creek as of 2013. Bold names and values indicate species considered intolerant of brackish conditions. An asterisk ( *) indicates a non - wetland species. III -E -15 Percent of Importance I Creek Prong/Transect Dominant species 2000 2001 2002 2003`• 2004 2005 ! 2011 1 2012 2013 Jacks /Jw2 Arundinaria gigantea 65.1 79.0 61.1 64.8 54.6 55.5 13.8 13.4 Hydrocotyie verticiiiata 19.3 Microstegium vimineum 66.9 8.53 Mania scandens 10.9 36.4 Polygonum punctatum 10.3 Jacks /Jw3 *Agrostis perennans 4.8 Andropogon virginicus Baccharis halimifolia 37.3 9.14 Carex intumescens 6.9 9.0 Carex iaevivaginata 6.1 Carex ieptaiea 5.1 Fraxinus pennsyivanica 4.2 Galium tinctorium 3.8 Giyceria striata 11.4 14.9 14.4 7.3 10.4 18.5 Hydrocotyie verticiiiata 5.2 16.2 6.4 Leersia oryzoides 5.0 7.3 11.8 Microstegium vimineum 4.7 12.5 8.6 14.4 9.78 Nbrella cerifera 18.4 Polygonum punctatum 25.2 39.4 Ptilimnium capillaceum 3.6 Saururus cernuus 14.8 12.3 9.9 9.9 8.4 Smiiaxrotundifoiia 3.7 Symphyotrichum subulatum 42.7 Toxicodendron radicans 9.8 7.7 8.8 6.8 9.0 III -E -15 Table III -E1 a (continued). III -E -16 Percent of Importance Creek Prong/Transect Dominant species 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2011 2012 2013 Jacks /JW5 Bo /boshoenusrobustus 31.7 Carexintumescens 27.7 33.1 Carex iurida 12.1 Echinocloa walteri 6.1 12.5 7.4 Hydrocotyie verticiiiata 17.6 14.7 12.0 30.9 11.0 27.5 Leersia oryzoides 15.9 32.4 Pluchea odorata 15.0 22.9 Polygonum punctatum 16.6 9.2 9.3 22.2 Samolus valerandi spp. parviflorus 11.4 12.8 18.0 Symphyotrichum subulatum 6.5 14.0 48.2 31.9 Jacks /JW7 Arundinaria gigantea 6.4 Giyceria striata 7.0 Hydrocotyie verticiiiata 7.8 10.1 Juncus coriaceus 11.3 Microstegium vimineum 9.4 25.1 10.4 6.1 11.5 17.7 19.2 45.1 Pluchea odorata 12.9 Polygonum punctatum 14.9 16.3 Samolus valerandi spp. parviflorus 5.3 Saururus cernuus 18.4 14.9 16.5 21.3 20.8 18.3 Toxicodendron radicans 17.4 16.9 25.5 14.8 17.4 18.0 12.2 11.7 Unidentified herb 7.9 Jacks /JW9 Carex iurida 17.6 Echinocloa walteri 24.2 21.1 17.5 Hydrocotyie verticiiiata 31.1 31.0 12.5 35.6 39.2 38.2 Pluchea odorata 66.4 36.7 Polygonum punctatum 31.1 31.6 8.6 17.3 Sagittaria graminea 20.7 Samolus valerandi spp. parviflorus 18.2 13.8 Typha angustifolia 16.9 III -E -16 Table III -E1 a (concluded). Percent of Im Creek Prong /Transect Dominant species 2010 2011 Jacobs /JCBW Carexintumescens 52.7 Eupatorium capillifolium G /echoma hederacea NOT Microstegium vimineum MONITORED 47.9 Drinkwater /DWW1C Arundinariagigantea Glyceria striata 10.1 Tooley/TW1 Arundinaria gigantea 26.1 27.6 Pluchea odorata 25.7 ` 54.4 Tooley/TW3 Pluchea odorata 31.0 42.8 Polygonum punctatum 42.2 Symphyotrichum sub ulatum 48.6 Tooley/TW4 Arundinaria gigantea 12.1 DATA NOT COLLECTED Polygonum punctatum 49.2 € DUE TO HIGH 42.5 AMOUNT OF Tooley/T W6 Microstegium vimineum HURRICANE Twdcodendronradicans 12.0 DEBRIS III -E -17 2012 2013 16.1 17.5 20.4 28.8 33.3 NOT MONITORED NOT MONITORED Table III -E1 b. Dominant herbaceous species in Huddles Cut vegetation transects monitored post -Mod Alt L (2010 -2011, 2013). Bold names and values indicate species considered intolerant of brackish conditions. An asterisk ( *) indicates a non - wetland species. III -E -18 Percent of Importance Creek ProngfTransect Dominant species 2010 12.1 2011 2012 2013 Huddles Cut Main /HMW2 Cicuta maculata *Eupatorium capillifolium 16.2 Echinochloa walteri 15.3 Fraxinus pennsylvanica 8.7 Hydrocotyle verticillata 18.0 *Parthenocissus quinquefolia 10.2 Pluchea odorata 33.5 Smilax rotundifolia 8.3 25.8 Huddles Cut Main /HMW5 *Eupatorium capillifolium Morella cerifera 29.9 Polygonum punctatum 31.1 Osmunda regalis 27.6 DATANOT COLLECTED Toxicodendron radicans 29.2 DUE TO NOT HIGH € MONITORED ! Huddles Cut Main /HMW6 Cyperus odoratus AMOUNT OF 32.4 HURRICANE Echinochloa walteri 13.7 DEBRIS i 40.4 Pluchea odorata 27.6 Toxicodendron radicans 12.0 12.8 Huddles Cut Main /HMW8 Echinochloa walteri Hydrocotyle verticillata 23.8 Osmunda regalis 21.6 Pluchea odorata 19.3 Symphyotrichum subulatum 9.37 Toxicodendron radicans 23.6 10.6 21.8 Huddles Cut Main /HMW9 Echinochloa walteri Hydrocotyle verticillata 43.7 Pluchea odorata 25.3 37.3 III -E -18 Table III -E1 b (continued). Creek Prong/Transect Dominant species Huddles Cut Main /HMW10 Echinochloa walteri 2010 Hydrocotyle verticillata Morella cerifera 12.1 Pluchea odorata 20.8 Symphyotrichum subulatum Huddles Cut Main /HMW12 Echinochloa walteri Hydrocotyle verticillata Osmunda regalis Pluchea odorata Huddles Cut West /HWW2 Baccharis halimifolia Microstegium vimineum 21.9 *Parthenocissus quinquefolia 11.4 Toxicodendron radicans Huddles Cut West /HWW4 Cyperus odoratus Echinochloa walteri *Eupatorium capillifolium Hydrocotyle verticillata Morella cerifera Pluchea odorata Rosa palustris Smilax rotundifolia Toxicodendron radicans Huddles Cut West /HWW7 Echinochloa walteri *Eupatorium capillifolium Hydrocotyle verticillata Pluchea odorata Polygonum punctatum III -E -19 26.1 24.2 31.5 68.1 12.3 NOT MONITORED 20.9 15.0 33.9 14.1 13.1 15.3 46.3 10.6 22.0 25.2 20.8 2013 33.4 21.7 19 40.7 15 15.6 23.9 52.7 25.8 Percent of Importanc 2010 2011 2012 12.1 20.8 259 DATANOT COLLECTED DUETO HIGH 19.3 AMOUNT OF HURRICANE 21.9 DEBRIS 11.4 26.1 24.2 31.5 68.1 12.3 NOT MONITORED 20.9 15.0 33.9 14.1 13.1 15.3 46.3 10.6 22.0 25.2 20.8 2013 33.4 21.7 19 40.7 15 15.6 23.9 52.7 25.8 Table III -E1 b (concluded). Percent of Im Creek Prongrrransect Dominant species 2010 i 2011 2012 € 2013 Hydrocotyle verticNata 27.2 22.7 Wania scandens 16.8 Huddles Cut VVest/HVVVVIO Morella cerifera 1 1 7.7 Saururus cernuus 1 37.9 III -E -20 TIMBERED TIMBERED Table III -E1c. Dominant herbaceous species in vegetation transects in three control creeks: Long and Duck Creeks (2011- 2013), DCUT19 (2013). Bold names and values indicate species considered intolerant of brackish conditions. An asterisk ( *) indicates a non - wetland species. III -E -21 Percent of Importance Creek Prongrrransect Dominant species 2011 2012 2013 Long Creek/LOCW2B Arundinaria gigantea 30.0 22.3 18.9 Dichanthelium dichotomum 30.2 18.1 Microstegium vimineum 21.9 Pluchea odorata 24.8 Durham Creek Tributary19 /DC192A Lonicerajaponica 13.6 Microstegium vimineum 11.1 Saururus cernuus 23.6 Vaccinium corymbosum 12.4 Duck Creek/DKCW1 B Arundinaria gigantea 65.5 50.2 30.3 Woodwardia areolata 31.2 Duck Creek/DKCW2A Arundinaria gigantea 40.3 26.6 26 Saururus cernuus 9.23 Toxicodendron radicans 11.9 9.2 Woodwardia areolata 18.8 18.1 Duck Creek/DKCW3A Arundinaria gigantea 23.7 10.2 Carex intumescens 15.3 Eleocharis tortilis 13.3 14.7 Juncus roemarianus 8.42 Microstegium vimineum 17.7 20.3 9.27 Woodwardia areolata 9.2 11.6 12.4 DuckCreek/DKCW4B Carexintumescens 17.3 29.8 12.6 Liriodendron tulipfera 5.76 Microstegium vimineum 15.2 25.9 Witchella repens 26.2 10.6 6.99 Toxicodendron radicans 14.3 III -E -21 Table III -E2a. Dominant shrub and woody vine species in vegetation transects in six creeks monitored pre -Mod Alt L: Jacks Creek (2000 -2005; 2011 - 2013); Jacobs Creek (2011- 2013), Drinkwater Creek (2011); Tooley Creek (2010- 2011); Huddles Cut (2009); Porter Creek (2011- 2013) and one tributary to Durham Creek (DCUT11, 2013). No impacts from Mod -Alt L have occurred in Jacks Creek, Jacobs Creek, Porter Creek, or Durham Creek as of 2013. Bold names and values indicate species considered intolerant of brackish conditions. Asterisks ( *) indicate non - wetland species. III -E -22 Percent of Importance Creek Prong/Transect Dominant species 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2011 2012 2013 Jacks /JW2 Arundinaria gigantea 26.0 Baccharis halimifolia 22.8 Berchemia scandens 17.4 15.3 27.0 24.7 29.6 27.0 19.7 Bignonia capreolata 21.5 13.9 Campsis radicans 15.6 18.3 27 Carpinus caroliniana 17.4 17.0 13.1 Quercus laurifolia 13.3 Liquidambarstyraciflua 24.8 21.7 17.3 18.6 14.7 Sabal minor 37.4 27.0 36.7 Jacks /JW3 Baccharis halimifolia 31.4 37.3 37.4 Decumaria Barbara 28.6 22.6 29.3 24.6 20.1 19.5 Morella cerifera 35.8 18.4 17.6 Smilaxrotundifolia 12.8 Toxicodendron radicans 26.9 17.7 27.5 25.6 31.8 32.9 Jacks /JW5 Baccharis halimifolia 43.2 29.0 Iva frutescens 20.6 20.0 24.0 26.7 37.8 47.7 64.4 Morella cerifera 34.1 22.6 Sabalminor 64.3 54.6 32.1 39.0 25.8 20.3 Smilaxrotundifolia Jacks /JW7 Acerrubrum 15.4 Arundinaria gigantea 27.8 29.5 27.9 Baccharis halimifolia 13.0 13.5 Decumaria Barbara 13.0 18.3 12.4 25.8 Liquidambarstyraciflua 15.4 11.3 Sabal minor 13.1 23.8 17.3 47.6 28.7 34.9 18.9 21.6 26.1 Toxicodendron radicans 14.5 17.1 18.0 25.3 Jacks /JW9 Baccharis halimifolia 24.4 Iva frutescens 26.2 29.3 Morella cerifera 25.5 16.3 20.2 29.4 22.4 Sabal minor 24.4 31.6 45.8 24.5 24.4 41.9 51.2 37.6 21.6 Toxicodendron radicans 20.2 24.0 21.9 22.9 III -E -22 Table III -E2a (continued). Creek Percent of Importance 2010 2011 2012 2013 PronglTransect Dominant species Arundinaria gigantea 64.6 € 30.1 Jacobs /JCBW NOT Berchemia scandens 37.4 MONITORED 1 specimen in Vitis rotundifolia 1 plot Drinkwater/ DWW1 C Arundinaria gigantea 62.1 61.5 Tooley/TW1 Arundinaria gigantea Toxicodendron radicans 21.8 Vitis rotundifolia 48.3 24.7 38.0 NOT MONITORED Tooley/TW3 Baccharis halimifolia Sabal minor 36.5 53.8 DATA NOT Tooley/TW4 Arundinaria gigantea 52.0 COLLECTED DUE TO HIGH AMOUNT OF Tooley/TW6 Arundinaria gigantea 64.4 HURRICANE DEBRIS III -E -23 Table III -E2a (continu Creek Prong/Transec Huddles Cut Main /HMW2 Huddles Cut Main /HMW5 Huddles Cut Main /HMW6 Huddles Cut Main /HMW8 Huddles Cut Main /HMW9 Dominant speci Acer rubrum Berchemia scandens Decumaria barbara Fraxinus pennsylvanica Morella cerifera Smilax rotundifolia Toxicodendron radicans Acer rubrum Liquidambar styraciflua Morella cerifera Toxicodendron radicans Vaccinium corymbosum Berchemia scandens Decumaria barbara Morella cerifera Persea palustris Toxicodendron radicans Morella cerifera Persea palustris Phragmites australis Toxicodendron radicans Berchemia scandens Morella cerifera Persea palustris Smilax rotundifolia Toxicodendron radicans III -E -24 2009 29.6 40.4 37.5 15.1 56.2 57.2 51.0 Percent of Im 2011 2012 2013 POST -MOD ALT L Table III -E2a (continued). Creek Prong/Transect Dominant spec Huddles Cut Main /HMW10 Morella cerifera Smilax rotundifolia Toxicodendron radicans Huddles Cut Main /HMW12 Corpus foemina Decumaria barbara Fraxinus pennsylvanica Liquidambar styraciflua Morella cerifera Smilax rotundifolia Toxicodendron radicans Huddles CUtWest/HWW2 Acerrubrum Arundinaria gigantea Berchemia scandens Corpus amomum Corpus foemina Morella cerifera Toxicodendron radicans Huddles CUtWest/HWW4 Acerrubrum Morella cerifera Smilax rotundifolia Toxicodendron radicans "Survey line cut through transect in 2008 affecting 3 plots III -E -25 2009 52.3 52.0 42.2 27.6 PLOTS 54.7 Percent of Im 2011 2012 2013 POST -MOD ALT L Table III -E2a (concluded). III -E -26 Percent of Importance Creek Prong/Transect Dominant species 2009 2011 2012 2013 Huddles Cut West/HWW7 Berchemia scandens Morella cerifera 42.3 Persea palustris Quercus laurifolia 13.0 Toxicodendron radicans Huddles CutWest/HWW8 Acerrubrum Alnus serrulata 15.6 Arundinaria gigantea Berchemia scandens 38.9 Morella cerifera POST -MOD ALT L Salix caroliniana Salix nigra Smilax rotundifolia Smilax walteri Ulmus americana Huddles Cut West/HWW10 Berchemia scandens Ilex opaca Itea virginica TIMBERED Lonicera japonica Smilax rotundifolia Porter Creek/PC5 Carpinus caroliniana 57.7 67.2 62.1 Arundinaria gigantea 32.8 NOT Porter Creek/PC9A Arundinaria gigantea 34.1 MONITORED Diospyros virginiana 53.0 75.1 47.8 Toxicodendron radicans 33.5 Durham Creek Tributary 11/ DC 112 B Ligustrum sinense 37.4 NOT MONITORED Toxicodendron radicans 29.2 III -E -26 Table III -E2b. Dominant shrub and woody vine species in Huddles Cut vegetation transects monitored post -Mod Alt L (2010 -2011, 2013). Bold names and values indicate species considered intolerant of brackish conditions. III -E -27 Percent of Importance Creek Prong /Transect Dominant species 2010 C 2011 2012 2013 Huddles Cut Main /HMW2 Baccharis halimifolia ` 66.5 Morella cerifera 24.5 Smilax rotundifolia 18.9 Toxicodendron radicans 17.2 72.9 Huddles Cut Main /HMW5 Baccharis halimifolia Morella cerifera 43.4 Ilex opaca 14.9 42.5 Huddles Cut Main /HMW6 Baccharis halimifolia Morella cerifera 64.4 17.8 13.1 Huddles Cut Main /HMW8 Arundinaria gigantea Baccharis halimifolia 34.3 DATA N OT Iva frutescens COLLECTED 26.8 DUE TO NOT Morella cerifera 30.0 HIGH MONITORED AMOUNT OF Persea borbonia 19.4 HURRICANE DEBRIS Huddles Cut Main /HMW9 Baccharis halimifolia 50.8 Morella cerifera 40.9 23.4 Persea borbonia 24.9 13.6 Huddles Cut Main /HMW10 Arundinaria gigantea Baccharis halimifolia 17.3 Berchemia scandens 11.0 Morella cerifera 41.3 13.2 Toxicodendron radicans 17 42.8 Huddles Cut Main /HMW12 Baccharis halimifolia Morella cerifera 47.2 30.4 Toxicodendron radicans 14.4 III -E -27 Table III -E2b (concluded). III -E -28 Percent of Importance Creek Prong /Transect E Dominant species 2010 2011 2012 2013 Huddles Cut West /HWW2 31.2 Arundinaria gigantea 36.4 Baccharis halimifolia Berchemia scandens 46.5 44.6 Corpus amomum 21.2 Morella cerifera 32.5 51.5 Huddles Cut West /HWW4 Baccharis halimifolia Morella cerifera 24.3 Rosa palustris 17.0 Toxicodendronradicans 22.7 30.1 NOT MONITORED E 1 stem each E Ulmus americana E in 2 plots 30.5 Huddles Cut West /HWW7 Baccharis halimifolia Morella cerifera 44.4 Phragmites australis 27.6 Rosa palustris 21.7 29.8 Toxicodendron radicans 23.1 90.8 Huddles Cut West /HWW8 Baccharis halimifolia Berchemia scandens 51.8 68.7 Huddles Cut West/ TIMBERED III -E -28 Table III -E2c. Dominant shrub and woody vine species in the two control creeks monitored: Long and Duck Creeks (2011- 2013), DCUT19 (2013). Bold names and values indicate species considered intolerant of brackish conditions. Asterisks ( *) indicate non - wetland species. III -E -29 Percent of importance Creek PronglTransect Dominant species 2011 2012 2013 Long Creek/LOCW2B Morelia cerifera 59.4 58.8 69.2 Duck Creek/DKCW1 B Arundinaria gigantea 53.7 80.4 79.6 Liquidambarstyraciflua 1 stem in 1 plot 25 21.9 DuckCreek/DKCW2A Fraxinus pennsylvanica 17.4 i 29.1 Smilax laurifolia 16.3 Arundinaria gigantea 61.1 45.4 35.6 Duck Creek/DKCW3A Liquidambar styraciflua 25.5 29.9 Berchemia scandens 47.4 Campsis radicans 1 stem in 1 plot `' 50.8 DuckCreek/DKCW4B Parthenocissusquinquefolia 24.6 Toxicodendron radicans 24.6 Unknown 1 vine 36.5 Durham Creek Tributary Carpinuscaroliniana 13.7 19/ DC192A Smilax rotundifolia NOT MONITORED 23.9 Vitis rotundifolia 19.6 III -E -29 Table III -E3a. Wetness and salinity tolerance characteristics of the dominant plant species (herbs, shrubs, woody vines) along vegetation transects in seven creeks monitored pre -Mod Alt L: Jacks Creek (2000 -2005; 2011 - 2013); Tooley Creek (2010- 2011); Huddles Cut (2009); Jacobs Creek (2011- 2013), Drinkwater Creek (2011), Porter Creek (2011- 2013), and DCUT11 (2013). Well /transects are numbered from upstream to downstream. 'Refers to wetland indicator status as defined in Reed (1988). bTolerance of brackish conditions determined bya review of habitat descriptions given in Radford et al. (1968), Beal (1977), Godfreyand Wooten (1979), Godfreyand Wooten (1981), Odum et al. (1984), and Eleuterius (1990). III -E -30 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Intolerant of Intolerant of € Intolerant of Intolerant of Intolerant of Intolerant of Intolerant of Intolerant of € Intolerant of € Intolerant of Intolerant of Intolerant of ! ! Intolerant of Creek/well transect FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or brackish FAC- or ! brackish and number driers driers driers i driers driers driers driers driers driers €conditionsb driers !conditionsb driers driers driers € conditionsb conditionsb conditionsb i conditionsb conditionsb conditionsb conditionsb conditionsb conditionsb conditionsb € condition sb Jacks /JW2 0.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 75.0 0.0 i 100.0 NOT MONITORED 0.0 75.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 € 50.0 Jacks /JW3 12.5 50.0 0.0 63.0 0.0 i 78.0 i 0.0 22.0 0.0 43.0 0.0 43.0 € 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Jacks /JW5 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 0.0 i 0.0 € 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 t 0.0 25.0 0.0 25.0 0.0 I E 0.0 Jacks /JW7 0.0 63.0 0.0 33.0 0.0 i 43.0 € 0.0 40.0 0.0 17.0 0.0 [ 17.0 t 0.0 66.7 0.0 14.0 0.0 E E 40.0 Jacks /JW9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 i 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 0.0 0.0 Jacobs /JCBW 0.0 100.0 50.0 100.0 25.0 100.0 NOT MONITORED Drinkwater /DVWV1 C 0.0 100.0 TooleyCreek/TW1 0.0 - 66.7 0.0 75.0 NOT MONITORED TooleyCreek/TW3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 NOT MONITORED TooleyCreek/TW4 0.0 66.7 DATA NOT COLLECTED DUE TO HIGH AMOUNT TooleyCreek/TW6 0.0 100.0 OF HURRICANE DEBRIS Huddles Cut 12.5 43.0 Main /HMVV2 Huddles Cut 0.0 50.0 Main /H MW5 Huddles Cut 0.0 67.0 Main /H MW6 Huddles Cut 25.0 50.0 Main /H MW8 NOT INCLUDED IN THE STUDY Huddles Cut 0.0 67.0 Main /HKAM Huddles Cut 25.0 50.0 Main /H MW10 NOT MONITORED NOT INCLUDED IN THE STUDY POST -MOD ALT L Huddles Cut 0.0 € 50.0 Main /HW12 M Huddles Cut 0.0 100.0 West/HVWV2 Huddles Cut 25.0 50.0 West/HVWV4 Huddles Cut 0.0 50.0 West/HVW V7 Huddles Cut 0.0 75.0 West/HVWV8 Huddles Cut TIMBERED West/HVWV10 PorterCreek/PC5 0.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 E 0.0 i 100.0 NOT MONITORED I E PorterCreek/PC9A 0.0 100.0 0.0 75.0 0.0 75.0 Durham Creek i NOT MONITORED 0.0 I 100.0 Tributary/DC112B 'Refers to wetland indicator status as defined in Reed (1988). bTolerance of brackish conditions determined bya review of habitat descriptions given in Radford et al. (1968), Beal (1977), Godfreyand Wooten (1979), Godfreyand Wooten (1981), Odum et al. (1984), and Eleuterius (1990). III -E -30 Table III -E3b. Wetness and salinity tolerance characteristics of the dominant plant species (herbs, shrubs, woody vines) along Huddles Cut vegetation transects monitored post -Mod Alt L (2010 -2011, 2013). Creek/welltransectand number Percent of dominants 2010 2011 2012 2013 Intolerant of FAC -or brackish drier' conditionsb Intolerant of FAC -or brackish drier' conditionsb FAC -or drier' Intolerant of brackish conditionsb Intolerant of FAC -or brackish drier' conditionsb Huddles Cut Main /HAM\2 12.5 75.0 DATA NOT COLLECTED DUE TO HIGH AMOUNT OF HURRICANE DEBRIS NOTMONITORED 25.0 25.0 Huddles Cut Main /HMIA5 20.0 40.0 33.3 0.0 Huddles Cut Main /HN M 0.0 25.0 0.0 25.0 Huddles Cut Main /HMWB 0.0 66.7 0.0 16.7 @ Huddles Cut Main /HM1J\19 0.0 50.0 0.0 0.0 Huddles Cut Main /HMW10 0.0 50.0 0.0 33.3 Huddles Cut Main /HMW12 0.0 40.0 0.0 0.0 Huddles CUtVVest/HV\M2 0.0 100.0 25.0 75.0 0.0 25.0 Huddles CUtVVest/HVWV4 0.0 I 71.0 0.0 50.0 20.0 20.0 Huddles Cut West/HVVW7 0.0 i 50.0 20.0 60.0 0.0 0.0 Huddles Cut West/HVVVVB 0.0 66.7 25.0 50.0 33.3 0.0 Huddles Cut VVest/HVWV10 TIMBERED Refers to wetland indicator status as defined in Reed (1988). Tolerance of brackish conditions determined bya review of habitat descriptions given in Radford et al. (1968), Beal (1977), Godfre and Wooten (1979), Godfre and Wooten (1981), Odum et al. (1984), and Eleuterius (1990). III -E -31 Table III -E3c. Wetness and salinity tolerance characteristics of the dominant plant species (herbs, shrubs, woody vines) along vegetation transects in three control creeks: Long and Duck Creeks (2011- 2013), and DCUT19 (2013). Monitoring began in 2011. III -E -32 Percent of dominants 2011 2012 2013 Intolerant of Intolerant of Intolerant of Creek/well transect and FAC- or ? brackish FAC- or # brackish FAC- or brackish number driers conditionsb driers # conditionsb driers conditionsb Long Creek/LOCW2B 0.0 67.0 0.0 67.0 0.0 50.0 Durham Creek NOT MONITORED NOT MONITORED 0.0 85.7 Tributary/DC192A Duck Creek/DKCW1 B 0.0 100.0 0.0 # 100.0 0.0 100.0 Duck Creek/DKCW2A 0.0 100.0 0.0 # 100.0 0.0 80.0 Duck Creek/DKCW3A 0.0 100.0 0.0 # 100.0 0.0 85.7 Duck Creek/DKCW4B 25.0 100.0 20.0 80° 28.6 100.0 Refers to wetland indicator status as defined in Reed (1988). bTolerance of brackish conditions determined by review of habitat descriptions given in Radford et al. (1968), Beal (1977), Godfrey and Wooten (1979), Godfrey and Wooten (1981), Odum et al. (1984), and Eleuterius (1990). °Percentage due to presence of one unknown species and therefore, unknown status so it was assumed to be intolerant. III -E -32 Table III -E4. Cumulative list of dominant species at monitored creeks since 1998 and their tolerance to brackish conditions (through 2013). Tolerant of Scientific Name (brackish conditions€ Intolerant of brackish conditionsa Indicator Status Acer rubrum X FAC Agrostis perennans X FACU Alnus serrulata X FACW Alternanthera philoxeroides X OBL Amaranthus cannabinus X OBL Andropogon virginicus X FAC Apios americana X FACW Arisaema triphyllum X FACW Arundinaria gigantea X FACW Asplenium platyneuron X FACU Athyrium filix- femina X FAC Azolla caroliniana X OBL Baccharis halimifolia X FAC Bacopa monnieri X OBL Berchemia scandens X FAC Bidens frondosa X FACW Bignonia capreolata X FAC Boehmeria cylindrica X FACW Bolboschoenus robustus X OBL Botrychium dissectum X FAC Botrychium virginianum X FACU Callicarpa americana X FACU Campsis radicans X FAC Carex albolutescens X FACW Carex comosa X OBL Carex complanata X FAC Carex debilis X FACW Carex intumescens X FACW Carex laevivaginata X OBL Carex leptalea X OBL Carex lurida X OBL Carex oxylepis X FACW Carex seorsa X FACW Carpinus caroliniana X FAC Cephalanthus occidentalis X OBL Chasmanthium laxum X FACW Cicuta maculata X OBL Cinna arundinacea X FACW Clethra alnifolia X FACW Comus amomum X FACW Comus foemina X FACW III -E -33 Table III -E4. (continued). Scientific Name Tolerant of brackish conditions l' Intolerant of brackish conditionsa Indicator Status Crataegus aestivalis Crataegus marshal/ii Cyperus odoratus Decumaria barbara Dichanthelium dichotomum Dichanthelium commutatum & laxiflorum Dichanthelium sp. Digitaria sanguinalis Dioscorea villosa Diospyros virginiana Echinochloa walted Eclipta prostrata Eleocharis tortillis Erechtites hieraciifolia Euonymus americanus Eupatorium capillifolium Eupatorium dubium Fimbristylis spathacea Fraxinus americana Fraxinus pennsylvanica Galium obtusum & uniflorum Galium tinctodum Gelsemium sempervirens Glechoma hederacea Glyceria striata Hydrocotyle verticillata Hydrolea quadrivalvis Hypericum walted Ilex glabra Ilex opaca Ilex verticillata Itea virginica Iva frutescens Juncus coriaceus Juncus roemerianus Juniperus virginiana Leersia oryzoides Lemna gibba Lemna minor Lemna minor, valdiviana, perpusilla Lemna sp. Lemna valdiviana Leucothoe racemosa Ligustrum sinense Liquidambar styraciflua X OBL X FAC X FACW X FACW X FAC X FAC X FACU X FACW X FAC OBL X FACW X FACW X UPL X FAC X FACU X FACW FAC X FACU X FACW X FACW FACW X FAC X FACU X OBL X OBL X OBL X OBL X FACW X FAC X FACW X FACW FACW X FACW OBL X FACU OBL X OBL X OBL X OBL X X OBL X FACW X FAC X FAC X X X X X X III -E -34 Table III -E4 (continued). Scientific Name Tolerant of Intolerant of brackish conditions brackish conditions' Indicator Status Linodendron tulipfera X FACU Lonicera japonica X FAC Ludmigia palustris X OBL Lycopus virginicus X OBL Magnolia virginiana X FACW Microstegium vimineum X FAC Mikania scandens X FACW Mitchella repens X FACU Morelia cenfera X FAC Nyssa biflora X OBL Osmunda cinnamomea X FACW Osmunda regalis X OBL Oxydendrum arboreum X FACU Parthenocissus quinquefolia X FACU Persea borbonia X FACW Persea palustris X FACW Persicaria arifolia X OBL Phragmites australis X FACW Platanthera clavellata X OBL Pleopeltis polypodioides X FAC Pluchea foetida X OBL Pluchea odorata X FACW Poa sylvestris X FACW Polygonum densiflorum X OBL Polygonum lapathifolium X FACW Polygonum pensylvanicum X FACW Polygonum punctatum X OBL Ptilimnium capillaceum X OBL Quercus laurifolia X FACW Quercus michawdi X FACW Quercus nigra X FAC Quercus phellos X FACW Quercus sp. Riccia fluitans Tolerance not known NOT LISTED Rosa palustris X OBL Rubus argutus X FAC Rubus flagellaris X UPL Rubus trivialis X FACU Rumex verticillatus X FACW Sabal minor X FACW Sagittaria graminea X OBL Salix caroliniana X OBL Salix nigra X OBL Samolus valerandi ssp. pandflorus X OBL Sanicula canadensis X FACU Saururus cemuus X OBL Scutellaria lateriflora X OBL Sisyrinchium mucronatum X FACW III -E -35 Table III -E4 (conclu Scientific Name Tolerant of brackish conditions Intolerant of brackish conditionsa Indicator Status Smilax bona -nox X FAC Smilax glauca X FAC Smilax laurifolia X FACW Smilax rotundifolia X FAC Smilax sp. - - - Smilax walteri X OBL Sparganium americanum X OBL Symphyotrichum subulatum X OBL Symplocos tinctoria X FAC Taxodium distichum X OBL Toxicodendron radicans X FAC Triadenum virginicum X OBL Triadendum walteri X OBL Typha angustifolia X OBL Ulmus americans X FAC Vaccinium corymbosum X FACW Vaccinium formosum X FAC Viola sororia X FAC Vitis rotundifolia X FAC Woodwardia areolata X OBL a Tolerances based on habitat descriptions given in the following publications Beal, E.O. 1977. A manual of marsh and aquatic vascular plants of North Carolina with habitat data. North Carolina Agricultural Research Service, Raleigh, NC 298 pp Eleuterius, L.N. 1990. Tidal marsh plants. Pelican Publishing Company, Gretna, LA, 168 pp. vodtrey, K.K. and J.vv. Wooten. 1919. Aquatic and wetland plants otthe southeastern United States — Monocotyledons. University of Georgia Press. Athens, GA, 712 pp. Godfrey, R.K. and J.W. Wooten. 1981. Aquatic and wetland plants of the southeastern United States — Dicotvledons. Universitv of Georqia Press. Athens, GA, 933 pp. Odum, W.E., T.J. Smith III, J.K. Hoover, and C.C. Mclvor. 1984 The ecology of tidal freshwater marshes of the United States east cost: a community profile. U.S. Fish Wildl. Serv. FWS /OBS- 83/17, 177 pp. Radford, A.E., H.E. Ahles, and C.R. Bell. 1964. Manual of the vascular flora of the Carolinas. University of North Carolina Press, Chapel Hill, NC, 1,183 pp. III -E -36 F. FISH Sections II -C and I I -D contain additional fish information over the course of the Mod Alt L creeks study with comparisons and conclusions drawn from multivariate techniques. Section II- C considers juvenile fish within the context of the forage base of the creeks and II -D considers managed fish over the study years. Section G of Appendix A contains a history of fish collections and a description of methods. Appendix H contains raw fisheries data collected in 2013 for all sampled creeks. Hydrographic data collected in -situ before each sample occasion in 2013 are also in Appendix H; ECU water quality data are presented in Appendix E. Only Appendix A in printed with the report, all other appendices are included only on the CD which accompanies the report. It should be noted that the ECU water quality samples are taken at various distances upstream from where any creek is sampled for fish. 1.0 Results and Discussion The cluster analysis on similarity based on species richness and total abundance revealed distinct six groups among all the sampled creeks and those groups are discussed in Section II. When appropriate, additional cluster analysis and comparisons of each particular creek for all species and /or comparisons of particular species within specific creeks was done, and if necessary, those results were compared to control creeks. Extra analyses were done to determine other differences or similarities among the creeks that were less evident when all data for all creeks were used. It should be noted that dashed lines on the cluster dendrograms represent non - significant group structure among factors (e.g., years, creeks) at the five percent level (P = 0.05). Figures III -F1 — III -F13 show the multivariate groups for years within each creek and catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) comparisons for various species in various creeks. Table III -F1 lists total abundance and species richness (fish community structure) for each creek across all years of Mod Alt L study. The results section is divided into three parts: a) creeks with only pre -Mod Alt L data, b) creeks with pre- and post -Mod Alt L data, and c) control creeks. a. Pre -Mod Alt L Creeks L Jacks Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Jacks Creek represented the ninth year of Mod Alt L fish collections. Multivariate cluster analysis using a similarity profile test (SIMPROF) of fish species composition and abundance within Jacks Creek revealed little variation of slight significance between sample years (2000 -2005 and 2010 -2013) (Figure III - F1). Jacks Creek sample years clustered into two separate groups, Group A and Group B. Comparison of interannual variability between Group A and Group B by means of similarity percentages (SIMPER) revealed 57 percent similarity with differences between years driven predominantly by CPUE of pinfish, Atlantic croaker, Atlantic menhaden, and rainwater killifish. Group A consisted of the early years (2000, 2003, 2004, and 2005) which all contained high CPUE for the same four dominant species (spot, Atlantic croaker, Atlantic menhaden, and bay anchovy) in addition to low CPUE for both pinfish and rainwater killifish (Figure III -F1). Group B formed the second cluster with a combination of both early and later years (2001, 2002 and 2011 through 2013 (Figure III -F1). Group B years had higher CPUE of pinfish and rainwater killifish than Group A; additionally, Group B had lower CPUE of both Atlantic croaker and Atlantic menhaden. III -F -1 Spot dominated fish assemblages within Jacks Creek in all years, second only to Atlantic croaker in total CPUE in 2005 (Table III -F2). During the first six years, Jacks Creek fish predominantly consisted of spot, Atlantic croaker, Atlantic menhaden, and bay anchovy, with a large influx of pinfish captured in 2002. By 2011, Atlantic croaker were replaced by pinfish, and although both Atlantic menhaden and bay anchovy remained prominent species in both 2012 and 2013, neither were one of the top four species captured as in earlier years. Conversely, the CPUE of eastern mudminnow increased in 2011 through 2013 making it one of the dominant species in the later years (Table III -F2). Community structure comparisons for Jacks Creek indicate that species richness in each of the later years was higher than all earlier years; furthermore, species richness in the later years was second highest behind only PA2 across all trawl creeks /years. Total abundance for 2003 (6,638 individuals) in Jacks Creek was the largest number of individuals captured in the creek over all nine years, and was third highest among all trawl sampled creeks for the same years, behind 2003 at Muddy Creek and 2010 at Tooley Creek (Table III -F1). Corresponding sample years for Jacks Creek were also analyzed in Muddy Creek to compare variability among fish species composition and abundance. Comparison of variability by means of similarity percentages (SIMPER) between Jacks Creek and Muddy Creek revealed 64 percent similarity with differences driven by CPUE of Atlantic croaker, pinfish, spot, and Atlantic menhaden. Comparison of variability among fish assemblages by means of ANOSIM detected no spatial differences of significance between Jacks Creek and Muddy Creek sample years; furthermore, a T -Test on the sample years found no significant difference in CPUE of individual species of dominance between the two creeks. Temporal variability among fish assemblages for Jacks Creek sample years displayed strong positive correlation (0.691) among fish assemblages and a combination of four environmental variables: water temperature, salinity, percent submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) visible on the surface, and ammonium (NI-14). ii. Jacobs Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Jacobs Creek represented the third year of Mod Alt L fish collections. Three years of Mod Alt L data revealed that fish assemblages within the Jacobs Creek drainage basin predominantly consisted of spot, pinfish, eastern mudminnow, and naked goby (Gobiosoma boscl) (Table III -F3). Community structure comparisons for Jacobs Creek indicate that species richness was lowest in 2011 (16 species) and highest in both 2012 and 2013 with 18 species captured (Table III -F1). Total abundance for 2012 (3,568 individuals) in Jacobs Creek doubled total abundance in both 2011 and 2013, and was the third largest number of individuals captured behind only PA2 (2011 and 2013) across all trawl creeks for 2011 through 2013 sample years (Table III -F1). iii. Porter Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Porter Creek represented the third year of Mod Alt L fish collections. Three years of Mod Alt L data revealed that fish assemblages within the Porter Creek drainage basin predominantly consisted of spot, Atlantic croaker, bay anchovy, and Atlantic menhaden (Table III -F4). Community structure comparisons for Porter Creek indicate that species richness has ranged from 10 species to 12 species over the three years and total abundance has increased each year from a low of 665 individuals in 2011 to a high of 3,428 individuals in 2013 (Table III -F1). Species richness for Porter Creek in 2011 equaled DCUT11 2013 for the lowest number of species captured across all Mod Alt L sampling III -F -2 creeks /years (Table III -F1). iv. DCUT11 The 2013 fyke net sampling for DCUT11 represented the first year of Mod Alt L fish collections. The first year for DCUT11 yielded a total catch of 618 individual fish, representing 10 species. Both species richness and total abundance for DCUT11 in 2013 were the lowest experienced across all Mod Alt L sampling creeks /years (Table III -F1). Mummichog was the most abundant species captured at DCUT11 in 2013, representing 68 percent of the total catch, followed by pumpkinseed at 26 percent (Appendix H, Table 1­11). b. Post -Mod Alt L Creeks L Drinkwater Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Drinkwater Creek represented the third year of Mod Alt L fish collections and the first post -Mod Alt L year. Multivariate cluster analysis using a similarity profile test (SIMPROF) of fish species composition and abundance within Drinkwater Creek revealed variable significance between years (Figure III -F2). Sample years in Drinkwater Creek clustered into two separate groups; Group A consisted of only 2013 and Group B contained both 2011 and 2012. The largest difference between Group A and Group B can be attributed to a sharp decline in CPUE of pinfish and an increase in CPUE of both spot and Atlantic croaker in post -Mod Alt L 2013. Three years of Mod Alt L sampling has revealed that fish assemblages within the Drinkwater Creek drainage basin predominantly consist of spot, pinfish, bay anchovy, and Atlantic croaker (Table III -F6). Community structure comparisons for Drinkwater Creek indicate that species richness has decreased each year from a high of 20 species in 2011 to a low of 15 species in 2013; conversely, total abundance for Drinkwater Creek has increased each year from a low of 1,745 individuals in 2011 to a high of 2,978 in 2013 (Table III -F1). Comparison of interannual variability by means of similarity percentages (SIMPER) between pre- and post -Mod Alt L Drinkwater Creek fish data revealed 52 percent similarity with differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sampling years driven by CPUE of pinfish, Atlantic croaker, spot, and eastern mudminnow. Although total CPUE for post - Mod Alt L 2013 was higher than CPUE of both pre -Mod Alt L years 2011 and 2012 in Drinkwater Creek, comparison of interannual variability by means of ANOSIM detected no spatial differences of significance between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages within Drinkwater Creek. Although interannual variability between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages at Drinkwater Creek revealed no spatial differences, there were significant differences found among CPUE for several individual species between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sampling years. Nine managed fish species were captured over the three Mod Alt L sample years in Drinkwater Creek. Of the nine managed species captured, both spot and Atlantic croaker displayed significantly higher CPUE in post -Mod Alt L 2013 than the combined pre -Mod Alt L years by means of T -Test [small(n) = 13, big(n) = 26; T = 338.5; P = 0.020 and small(n) _ 13, big(n) = 26; T = 336; P = 0.018]; conversely, CPUE for both pinfish and eastern mudminnow in post -Mod Alt L 2013 was significantly lower than combined pre -Mod Alt L sampling years [small(n) = 13, big(n) = 26; T = 121; P = <0.001 and small(n) = 13, big(n) = 26; T = 169; P = 0.003] (Figure III -F3). III -F -3 Corresponding sample years for Drinkwater Creek were also analyzed in both control creeks PA2 (adjacent to Drinkwater) and Long Creek (across from Drinkwater) to compare variability among fish species composition and abundance for spot, Atlantic croaker, pinfish, and eastern mudminnow. PA2 exhibited similar CPUE as Drinkwater Creek for all four species; however, spot catch was only greater in post -Mod Alt L years for PA2, but not significantly greater. There were no significant differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L years for any of the four species in Long Creek; however, CPUE of Atlantic croaker was higher in post -Mod Alt L years and CPUE of pinfish was lower in post -Mod Alt L years. ii. Tooley Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Tooley Creek represented the fourth year of Mod Alt L fish collections. The first two years comprise the pre -Mod Alt L period (2010- 2011) and 2012 -2013 comprise the post -Mod Alt L years. Multivariate cluster analysis using a similarity profile test ( SIMPROF) of fish species composition and abundance from fish assemblages within Tooley Creek revealed little variation and no significant differences between Mod Alt L sample years (Figure III -F4). Although SIMPROF revealed no significance among years in the dendrogram, 2012 clustered directly with 2013 due to similar total CPUE and species overlap and evenness; 2010 and 2011 each formed individual divisions separate from the cluster of 2012 and 2013 (Figure III -F4; Table III -F7). The 2011 sample year had the lowest total CPUE of all Tooley Creek Mod Alt L sample years and clustered furthest from 2012 and 2013 (Figure III -F4; Table III -F -7). High total CPUE for Tooley Creek in 2010 was attributed to an increase in CPUE of both spot and Atlantic croaker, and also due to higher CPUE of the two aforementioned species and overall species similarity. The 2010 sample year clustered adjacent to the cluster formed by 2012 and 2013. Four years of Mod Alt L sampling revealed that fish assemblages within Tooley Creek predominantly consist of spot, pinfish, and Atlantic croaker (Table III -F7). Community structure comparisons for Tooley Creek indicate that species richness has increased each year of Mod Alt L sampling to a high of 17 species captured in 2013 (Table III - F1). Total abundance for 2010 (7,437 individuals) in Tooley Creek was the largest number of individuals captured over the duration of Mod Alt L sampling within Tooley Creek, and third highest across all Mod Alt L sample creeks /years (Table III -F1). Comparison of interannual variability by means of similarity percentages (SIMPER) between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages within Tooley Creek revealed 63 percent similarity with differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sample years driven by CPUE of Atlantic croaker, pinfish, Atlantic menhaden, and spot. Although total CPUE for pre -Mod Alt L 2010 was more than four times the CPUE of all other Tooley Creek Mod Alt L sample years, comparison of interannual variability by means of ANOSIM detected no spatial differences of significance between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages within Tooley Creek. Although interannual variability between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages at Tooley Creek revealed no spatial differences, there were significant differences found among CPUE for individual species between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sample years. Of the eight managed fish species captured over the four Mod Alt L sample years in Tooley Creek, only summer flounder displayed significant differences among CPUE between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sample years by means of T -Test, with higher CPUE in the combined post -Mod Alt L years than the combined pre -Mod Alt L years [small(n) = 26, big(n) = 26; T = 598; P = 0.005] (Figure III -F5). There were no summer flounder captured in either pre -Mod Alt III -F -4 L sample years, while 12 individuals of summer flounder were captured in post -Mod Alt L years. Pinfish CPUE has declined each Mod Alt L year in Tooley Creek and CPUE in combined post - Mod Alt L years was significantly lower than combined pre -Mod Alt L years [small(n) = 26, big(n) = 26; T = 860; P = 0.002] (Figure III -F5). Temporal variability among fish assemblages for Tooley Creek in Mod Alt L sampling years displayed strong positive correlation (0.714) among fish assemblages and a combination of two environmental variables: water temperature and particulate nitrogen (PN). iii. Huddles Cut The 2013 fyke net sampling for Huddles Cut represented the fifth year of Mod Alt L fish collections. The pre -Mod Alt L period contains only 2009 and the post - Mod Alt L period is comprised of 2010 -2013. Multivariate cluster analysis using a similarity profile test ( SIMPROF) of fish species composition and abundance within Huddles Cut revealed little variation of no significant differences between Mod Alt L sample years (Figure III -F6). Although SIMPROF revealed no significance among years in the dendrogram„ 2009 clustered with 2012 as the two years with the lowest total CPUE; the three remaining Mod Alt L sample years (2010, 2011, and 2013) with higher total CPUEs formed a separate cluster with 2011 (highest total CPUE) forming an individual division within the cluster (Figure III -F6 and Table III - F8). Total CPUE for Huddles Cut in 2009 was likely immensely affected by the formation of a sandbar at the mouth of Huddles Cut, which blocked access into and out of the creek for many fish species (Table III -F8). High CPUE in 2011 can be attributed to a large influx of striped mullet, which combined with mummichog and spot, accounted for 93 percent of the total catch (Table III -F8). Five years of data revealed that fish assemblages within Huddles Cut predominantly consisted of both mummichog and spot, with CPUE for both species dominating total catch and highly influencing total CPUE of all species for each year in Huddles Cut (Table III -F8). Community structure comparisons for Huddles Cut indicate that species richness for 2013 (25 species) was the highest to date not only in Huddles Cut, but across all Mod Alt L sample creeks /years; furthermore, total abundance for 2011 (9,070 individuals) in Huddles Cut was the largest number of individuals captured across all Mod Alt L sample creeks /years (Table III -F1). Comparison of interannual variability by means of similarity percentages (SIMPER) between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages within Huddles Cut revealed 68 percent similarity with differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sample years driven by CPUE of mummichog, Atlantic silverside ( Menidia menidia), pinfish, and Atlantic menhaden. Although total CPUE for pre -Mod Alt L 2009 (only pre -Mod Alt L sample year) was the lowest CPUE over the duration of the five -year Mod Alt L period, comparison of interannual variability by means of ANOSIM detected no spatial differences of significance between pre - and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages within Huddles Cut. Despite the fact that species richness and abundance at Huddles Cut continued to remain higher than all other Mod Alt L creeks /years and interannual variability between pre- and post -Mod Alt L fish assemblages revealed no spatial differences, there were significant differences found among CPUE for individual species between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sample years. Of the 11 managed fish species captured over the five -year Mod Alt L period in Huddles Cut, only Atlantic menhaden displayed significant differences among CPUE between pre- and post -Mod Alt L sample years by means of T -Test, with higher CPUE in the combined III -F -5 post -Mod Alt L years than pre -Mod Alt L 2009 [small(n) = 12, big(n) = 52; T = 222; P = 0.001] (Figure III -F7). As with Atlantic menhaden, CPUE for both pinfish and pumpkinseed also displayed significantly higher CPUE in the combined post -Mod Alt L years than pre -Mod Alt L 2009 [small(n) = 12, big(n) = 52; T = 264; P = 0.024 and small(n) = 12, big(n) = 52; T = 295; P = 0.048]; conversely, CPUE of Atlantic silverside in the combined post -Mod Alt L years was significantly lower than pre -Mod Alt L 2009 [small(n) = 12, big(n) = 52; T = 515.5; P = 0.017] (Figure III -F7). Temporal variability among fish assemblages for Huddles Cut in Mod Alt L sample years displayed strong positive correlation (0.806) among fish assemblages and a combination of four environmental variables: water temperature, water depth, nitrate (NO3), and orthophosphate (PO4). C. Control Creeks i. Little Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Little Creek represented the third year of Mod Alt L fish collections. Three years of Mod Alt L data revealed that fish assemblages within Little Creek predominantly consisted of spot, pinfish, bay anchovy, and eastern mudminnow, with an influx of naked goby captured in 2013 (Table III -F9). Community structure comparisons for Little Creek indicate that species richness has ranged from 17 species to 19 species over the three years and total abundance has increased each year of Mod Alt L sampling from a low of 1,186 individuals captured in 2011 to a high of 2,861 in 2013 (Table III - F1). ii. PA2 The 2013 trawl sampling for PA2 represented the third year of Mod Alt L fish collections. Three years of Mod Alt L data revealed that fish assemblages within PA2 predominantly consisted of spot, eastern mudminnow, rainwater killifish, pinfish, and Atlantic menhaden, with an influx of mummichog captured in 2011 (Table III -F10). Community structure comparisons for PA2 indicate that species richness only slightly varied with 18 species captured in 2012 and 19 species for both 2011 and 2013 (Table III -F1). Total abundance ranged from 1,711 individuals in 2012 to 4,649 individuals in 2011. Both species richness and total abundance were highest for PA2 across all trawl creeks /years in 2011 through 2013 (Table III -F1). iii. Long Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Long Creek represented the third year of Mod Alt L fish collections. Three years of Mod Alt L data revealed that fish assemblages within Long Creek predominantly consisted of spot, bay anchovy, Atlantic croaker, Atlantic menhaden, and pinfish (Table III -F11). Community structure comparisons for Long Creek indicate that both species richness and total abundance have varied over three years of Mod Alt L sampling. Species richness has ranged from 12 to 17 species and total abundance has ranged from 1,613 to 2,826 individuals within Long Creek during Mod Alt L sample years Table III -F1). iv. Muddy Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Muddy Creek represented the 11th year of Mod Alt L fish collections (2000 -2005 and 2009 - 2013). Multivariate cluster analysis using a similarity profile test (SIMPROF) of fish species composition and abundance from fish assemblages within Muddy Creek revealed little variation of slight significance between Mod Alt 111 -F -6 L sampling years (Figure III -F8). Sample years in Muddy Creek clustered into two separate groups; Group A consisted of only 2011 and Group B contained all other Mod Alt L sample years. Comparison of interannual variability by means of similarity percentages (SIMPER) between both cluster Groups A and B revealed 45 percent similarity with differences between Mod Alt L sample years driven predominantly by CPUE of Atlantic croaker, spot, bay anchovy, pinfish, inland silverside, and Atlantic menhaden. The largest difference between Group A and Group B can be attributed to Atlantic croaker not being captured in 2011. Dissimilarity between Group A and Group B is also attributed to low CPUE of spot in 2011 (lowest of all Mod Alt L sample years in Muddy Creek) along with an influx of inland silverside for that same year. Eleven years of Mod Alt L data revealed that fish assemblages within Muddy Creek predominantly consisted of spot, bay anchovy, Atlantic menhaden, Atlantic croaker, and to a lesser extent, pinfish (Table III -F12). Community structure comparisons for Muddy Creek indicate that both species richness and total abundance were highest in 2003 with a total catch of 7,894 individuals, representing 18 species (Table III -F1). Species richness within the Muddy Creek drainage basin has ranged from 12 to 18 species, with a median of 14 species over the eleven years (Table III -F1). Total abundance for Muddy Creek was lowest in 2011 (1,079 individuals) and total abundance in 2003 represented the second largest number of individuals captured across all Mod Alt L sample creeks /years, behind 2011 at Huddles Cut (Table III -F1). Temporal variability among fish assemblages for Muddy Creek in Mod Alt L sample years displayed slightly positive correlation (0.467) among fish assemblages and a combination of five environmental variables (only CZR in -situ data as ECU data not collected at Muddy Creek): water temperature, dissolved oxygen (percent saturation), conductivity, salinity, and percent surface SAV. v. Duck Creek The 2013 trawl sampling for Duck Creek represented the third year of Mod Alt L fish collections. Three years of Mod Alt L data revealed that fish assemblages within Duck Creek predominantly consisted of spot, bay anchovy, Atlantic croaker, and pinfish. Atlantic menhaden had the highest total CPUE in 2011; however, Atlantic menhaden had low catches in both 2012 and 2013 (Table III -F13). Community structure comparisons for Duck Creek indicate that both species richness and total abundance have increased each year (Table III -F1). Species richness at Duck Creek increased from a low of 12 species in 2011 to a high of 19 in 2013; likewise, total abundance increased from 364 to 2,237 individuals over the same Mod Alt L period. Total abundance for Duck Creek in 2011 was the lowest across all Mod Alt L sample creeks /years (Table III -F1). vi. DCUT19 The 2013 fyke net sampling for DCUT19 represented the first year of Mod Alt L fish collections. The first year of Mod Alt L data yielded a total catch of 6,512 individuals, representing 19 species (Table III -F1; Table III -F5). Species richness at DCUT19 equaled both PA2 and Duck Creek for the second highest number of species captured behind Huddles Cut across all 2013 creeks and total abundance for 2013 was second highest across all 2013 sample creeks (Table III -F1). Mummichog was the most abundant species captured at DCUT19 in 2013, representing 39 percent of the total catch, followed closely by Atlantic menhaden at 34 percent, and sheepshead minnow (Cyprinodon variegatus) at 16 percent (Appendix H, Table H -1). III -F -7 2.0 Summary and Conclusions Dissimilarities among years in the 10 trawled creeks is mostly driven by CPUE differences among spot, croaker, bay anchovy, Atlantic menhaden, and pinfish, with other fish represented to a lesser degree in some creeks in some years. Dissimilarities among years within Huddles Cut (fyke net) are driven by mummichog, Atlantic silverside, pinfish, and Atlantic menhaden. Mummichog had the highest CPUE in all three creeks sampled by fyke net in 2013; in addition, both Huddles Cut and DCUT19 had the exact same four dominant species captured in 2013 (Atlantic menhaden, mummichog, sheepshead minnow, and spot). Overall, interannual comparisons between pre- and post -Mod Alt L years indicated no significant spatial differences for the three creeks with post -Mod Alt L data. One or two individual species displayed significant differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L years for each of the three creeks; however, similar variability is also experienced within several control creeks and makes it very difficult to discern any mine related spatial patterns in fish abundance. The fish data illustrates the extreme natural variability in fish catch among all creeks /years sampled, both control creeks and creeks with drainage basin reduction. The fish data have also established baseline ranges of CPUE for the most common species and data from future years can be compared to these abundances. Though it is not likely that small differences in abundance will be detected, it may be possible to discern large -scale changes in abundances of the dominant fish. In addition to spatial variability, the fish data also exhibit great temporal variability in catch among sampling occasions and between months for all creeks /years. Habitat use by estuarine dependent fish species is highly seasonal and juvenile marine transients generally appear in the early spring at which time both trawl and fyke net catch increases for several weeks. Temporal variability analysis on several water quality variables for the four creeks with longer data sets displayed positive correlation for all four creeks between fish assemblages and water temperature. For the other top three variables positively correlated with fish assemblages in these creeks, there is no other equally ranked variable; however, nutrient(s) rank second for Tooley Creek (PN), third and fourth for Huddles Cut (NO3 and POa), and fourth for Jacks (NH4). Water depth ranked second for Huddles Cut and salinity is ranked among the top four variables only in Muddy Creek (fourth) and Jacks Creek (second). Note that for Muddy Creek, water quality is only collected by CZR during trawling. III -F -8 50 60 70 .E CO 80 90 100 Jacks Creek Group average Year Figure III -F1. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among all years trawled in Jacks Creek [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). 111 -F -9 50 60 lI a �L C N 80 90 100 Drinkwater Creek Group average Figure III -F2. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among all years trawled in Drinkwater Creek [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). III -F -10 Atlantic Croaker Drinkwater C ree k Pre / Post: p = 0.018 0 10 20 30 40 Pinfish Pre / Post: p = <0.001 Eastern Mudminnow Pre / Post: p = 0.003 0 10 20 30 40 50 Spot Pre / Post: p = 0.020 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) CPUE 0 Pre -Mod Alt L 0 Post -Mod Alt L CPUE Figure III -F3. Catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) (median, quartiles, range, and 5th /95th percentiles) for commonly captured fish species at Drinkwater Creek with significant differences between pre -Mod Alt L and post - Mod Alt L years. Pre -Mod Alt L data for Drinkwater Creek includes 2011 and 2012. Post -Mod Alt L data for Drinkwater Creek was collected in 2013. III -F -11 Tooley Creek Group average 50 -------------------------------- 60 I I I , I , 1 I I I 70 I I 1 I I i I 1 1 E I I 1 I I 1 1 1 1 � N 1 ; 80 1 1 � 1 � 1 � I I 1 1 1 1 1 � 1 � I � 1 I 1 90 I 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 I I 1 I I 1 100 o cv CV) 0 0 0 0 N N N N Year Figure III -F4. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among all years trawled in Tooley Creek [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). III -F -12 Tooley Creek Summer Flounder Pre / Post: p = 0.005 0 1 2 3 4 Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) Pinfish Pre / Post: p = 0.002 0 100 200 300 400 500 Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) 0 Pre -Mod Alt L CPUE 0 Post -Mod Alt L CPUE Figure III -F5. Catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) (median, quartiles, range, and 5th /95th percentiles) for commonly captured fish species at Tooley Creek with significant differences between pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years. Pre -Mod Alt L data for Tooley Creek were collected in 2010 and 2011. Post -Mod Alt L data for Tooley Creek includes 2012 and 2013. III -F -13 Huddles Cut Group average 60-,- C I 1 c I I I I 1 I I I I 1 I I I I 1 I I I I I 90 ' 100 , , I 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N Year Figure III -F6. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among all years sampled with fyke nets in Huddles Cut [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). III -F -14 r------------ ----------� I 1 70 1 1 I I I 1 I I 1 I I I I 1 I I I I 1 I I I I I 1 I I I I I 1 •` I I I I I I 1 80-- I I 1 1 90 ' 100 , , I 0 0 0 0 0 N N N N Year Figure III -F6. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among all years sampled with fyke nets in Huddles Cut [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non - significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). III -F -14 Huddles Cut Atlantic Menhaden Pre / Post: p = 0.001 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) 0 20 4080 100 Catch per Unit Effort (CPUE) Atlantic Silverside Pre / Post: p = 0.017 0 10 20 30 40 Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) Pumpkinseed Pre / Post: p = 0.048 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Catch Per Unit Effort (CPUE) 0 Pre -Mod Alt L CPUE 0 Post -Mod Alt L CPUE Figure III -F7. Catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) (median, quartiles, range, and 5th /95th percentiles) for commonly captured fish species at Huddles Cut with significant differences between pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years. Pre -Mod Alt L data for Huddles Cut was collected in 2009. Post -Mod Alt L data for Huddles Cut includes 2010 through 2013. III -F -15 c� 40 .1 :1 100 o O O O j N Muddy Creek Group average M Nr O O O O �+ �+ . O N O CV) T" N O O - O o N N N CV O N NN "0 _0 _0 � "a 7D 70 _0 _0 77 a 70 Year Figure III -F8. Dendrogram of hierarchical clusters of similarity for fish community abundance and composition among all years trawled in Muddy Creek [Bray - Curtis similarity; Log(x +1)]. Solid black lines represent significant group structure and dashed red lines represent non- significant group structure at the five percent level (P = 0.05). III -F -16 Table III -F1. Comparison of fish community structure for all creeks in Mod Alt L sampling years. Post Mod -Atl L values are bold and italicized. a Control creeks b Creeks sampled using Tyke nets III -F -17 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jacks Creek Total abundance _ Species richness Jacobs Creek Total abundance Species richness PA2a Total abundance Species richness 1,350 15 - 2,049 16 _ 4,601 14 - 6,638 14 2,748 13 - 4,102 11 - 1,945 18 1,719 16 4,649 19 1,646 19 3,383 18 - 3,568 18 1,711 18 1 1,748 18 4,069 19 Drinkwater Creek Total abundance Species richness Little Creeka Total abundance Species richness 1,745 2,095 19 2,203 19 2,978 15 2,861 17 _ _ - 20 _ _ _- 1,186 18 iLong Creeka 7,437 1,613 12 _ 1,306 2,826 17 1,653 2,455 16 1,695 Total abundance Species richness Tooley Creek Total abundance Species richness - - - - - - 12 13 14 17 Muddy Creeka Total abundance Species richness 3,941 1,738 6,242 14 12 14 7,894 3,407 5,348 1,784 4,894 1,079 1,835 15 1,968 15 18 15 13 12 13 17 Huddles Cutb Total abundance Species richness - - - - - 2,155 15 7,076 19 9,070 23 3,784 23 6,998 25 - Porter Creek Total abundance Species richness 665 3,113 12 3,428 11 10 Duck Creeka Total abundance Species richness 364 12 _ 1,545 16 2,237 19 DCUT19ab Total abundance Species richness DCUT11b Total abundance Species richness - - 6,512 19 618 10 a Control creeks b Creeks sampled using Tyke nets III -F -17 Table III -F2. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Jacks Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2000 through 2003, 2005, 2007, 2008, and 2010 through 2013, 14 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2004, and 12 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2009. Common name Scientific name 2000 2001 2002 Alewife Alosa pseudoharengus 0.46 (0.00 - 0.93) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) American eel Anguilla rostrata 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.78) 0.69 (0.00 - 2.20) Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 20.85 (7.11 - 34.58) 7.85 (0.00 - 18.59) 12.77 (0.00 - 25.72) Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 16.23 (0.00 - 37.73) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.79) 0.46 (0.00 - 1.05) Atlantic silverside Menidia menidia 1.23 (0.00 - 3.91) 5.31 (0.00 - 11.62) 0.00 (NA) Banded killifish Fundulus diaphanus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Bay anchovy Anchoa mitchilli 4.38 (0.73 - 8.04) 9.38 (0.00 - 24.31) 7.15 (2.60 - 11.71) Bluefish Pomatomus saltatrix 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Bluegillb Lepomis macrochirus 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) Chain pipefish Syngnathus louisianae 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Eastern mosquitofishb Gambusia holbrooki 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) Eastern mudminnowb Umbra pygmaea 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Green goby Microgobius thalassinus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Hogchoker Trinectes maculatus 1.00 (0.26 - 1.74) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.38) Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 4.23 (0.00 - 9.30) Ladyfish Elops saurus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Largemouth bassb Micropterus salmoides 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Longnose garb Lepisosteus osseus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Naked goby Gobiosoma bosci 0.00 (NA) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.29) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.85) Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 1.23 (0.04 - 2.42) 6.54 (3.33 - 9.74) 121.08 (16.51 - 225.65) Pumpkinseed Lepomis gibbosus 2.85 (0.00 - 5.90) 2.38 (0.93 - 3.83) 0.00 (NA) Rainwater killifish Lucania parva 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 7.23 (1.69 - 12.78) 3.00 (0.00 - 6.45) Silver perch Bairdiella chrysoura 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Southern flounder Paralichthys lethostigma 0.54 (0.00 - 1.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.78) Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 54.15 (12.77 - 95.54) 111.62 (49.86 - 173.37) 202.77(68.25-337.29) Spotted seatrout Cynoscion nebulosus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.62 (0.00 - 1.34) 4.92 (1.64 - 8.21) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) White catfish Ameiurus catus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) White perch Morone americana 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Yellow bullhead Ameiurus natalis 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Yellow perch Perca flavescens 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Unidentified sunfiishb Lepomis sp. 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) All species 103.85 (45.61 - 162.08) 157.62 (94.41 - 220.82) 353.92 (132.40 - 575.44) Total number of species 15 16 14 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl b Predominantly freshwater species A 2003 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 45.77 (0.00 - 127.71) 17.08 (0.00 - 49.27) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 6.38 (0.00 - 14.46) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.08 - 0.69) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.63) 0.77 (0.06 - 1.47) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.37) 2.38 (0.00 - 5.54) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.06) 434.54 (33.52 - 835.56) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.91) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.92 (0.00 - 2.09) 510.62 (92.15 - 929.08) 14 III -F -18 CPUEa (95% confiden Pre -Mod Alt L 2004 0.00 (NA) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 15.50 (1.41 - 29.59) 68.36 (0.00 - 160.14) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 9.14 (0.52 - 17.76) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.14 (0.00 - 0.35) 0.14 (0.00 - 0.45) 0.43 (0.00 - 0.86) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.14 (0.00 - 0.35) 0.00 (NA) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 100.50 (35.67 - 165.33) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.14 (0.00 - 2.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.57 (0.00 - 1.52) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 196.29 (47.32 - 345.25) 13 cei 2005 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 205.15 (12.60 - 397.70) 26.31 (0.00 - 74.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 6.15 (1.75 - 10.56) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.15 (0.24 - 2.07) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 2.31 (0.00 - 4.63) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.54) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 73.46 (3.82 - 143.10) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 315.54 (42.19 - 588.88) 11 2011 0.00 (NA) 0.92 (0.00 - 1.86) 1.46 (0.00 - 3.23) 15.38 (0.00 - 44.17) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 12.31 (0.00 - 27.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 3.23 (0.44 - 6.02) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.54 (0.01 - 1.07) 10.62 (0.00 - 22.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 6.15 (0.00 - 17.77) 27.38 (9.33 - 45.44) 0.00 (NA) 2.08 (0.00 - 4.62) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.22) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 68.54 (1.15 - 135.92) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 149.62 (60.36 - 238.87) 18 2012 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 6.31 (0.66 - 11.96) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.22) 0.00 (NA) 6.69 (0.00 - 19.15) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 7.85 (0.00 - 18.45) 0.00 (NA) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.56) 0.69 (0.00 - 1.78) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 21.15 (3.82 - 38.49) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 8.92 (0.00 - 20.09) 0.00 (NA) 1.23 (0.00 - 2.61) 70.31 (7.16 - 133.45) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.85) 0.77 (0.02 - 1.52) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 126.62 (35.13 - 218.10) 19 2013 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.02 - 0.60) 14.62 (0.00 - 30.08) 0.85 (0.00 - 2.03) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.38) 1.62 (0.00 - 4.61) 8.08 (0.00 - 20.39) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 2.77 (0.00 - 6.51) 31.23 (3.79 - 58.67) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 3.46 (0.44 - 6.48) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.46 (0.00 - 4.65) 5.23 (0.00 - 13.96) 12.92 (1.32 - 24.52) 0.00 (NA) 6.85 (0.00 - 14.30) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 169.54 (67.28 - 271.80) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.82) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 260.23 (166.30 - 354.16) 0 Table III -F3. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Jacobs Creek on 13 sampling occasions in ni, may, ana June or ZU-i -i tnrougn zw6 mmon name - 7.59) Scientific name ierican eel 1.08 (0.14 Anguilla rostrata antic croaker 14.31 (0.00 Micropogonias undulatus antic menhaden 0.00 (NA) Brevoortia tyrannus antic silverside 11.87) Menidia menidia Bay anchovy Chain pipefish Crevalle jack Eastern mosquitofishb Eastern mudminnowb Gizzard shad Green goby Hogchoker Inland silverside Ladyfish Naked goby Pinfish Rainwater killifish Silver perch Southern flounder S pot Spotted seatrout Striped mullet Summer flounder All species Total number of species Anchoa mitchilli Syngnathus louisianae Caranx hippos Gambusia holbrooki Umbra pygmaea Dorosoma cepedianum Microgobius thalassinus Trinectes maculatus Menidia beryllina Elops saurus Gobiosoma bosci Lagodon rhomboides Lucania parva Bairdiella chrysoura Paralichthys lethostigma Leiostomus xanthurus Cynoscion nebulosus Mugil cephalus Paralichthys dentatus Average CPUEa (95% confidence interval) Pre -Mod Alt L 2011 2012 2013 3.62 (0.00 - 7.59) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 1.08 (0.14 - 2.02) 0.00 (NA) 14.31 (0.00 - 32.89) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 5.69 (0.00 - 11.87) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 5.23 (0.00 - 11.85) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 7.77 (0.00 - 23.99) 52.92 (27.64 - 78.20) 1.77 (0.00 - 3.91) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.22) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 38.69 (2.13 - 75.25) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 132.23 (79.65 - 184.81) 16 - 421.92) 1.46 (0.00 - 3.18) 2.62(0.02 -5.21) 0.00 (NA) 0.46 (0.00 - 1.14) 5.00 (0.05 - 9.95) 1.00 (0.18 - 1.82) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 23.23 (7.79 - 38.67) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 2.85 (0.00 - 6.75) 0.00 (NA) 0.46 (0.06 - 0.86) 104.77 (15.77 - 193.77) 19.46 (3.61 - 35.32) 46.92 (0.00 - 134.13) 1.23 (0.00 - 2.67) 62.85 (24.12 - 101.58) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.62) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 1.08 (0.11 - 2.05) 274.46 (127.00 - 421.92) 18 ' CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. Predominantly freshwater species III -F -19 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 12.92 (7.08 - 18.76) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.34) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.96) 3.62 (0.00 - 8.11) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 4.38 (0.00 - 10.27) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 3.46 (0.00 - 9.14) 0.00 (NA) 8.77 (0.00 - 26.63) 3.77 (0.00 - 8.50) 1.08 (0.00 - 2.37) 0.00 (NA) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.12) 92.69 (43.32 - 142.07) 0.92 (0.00 - 2.76) 0.00 (NA) 0.54 (0.07 - 1.01) 134.46 (87.29 - 181.63) 18 Table III -F4. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Porter Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 through 2013. III -F -20 Average CPUE' (95% confidence interval) Pre -Mod Alt L Common name Scientific name 2011 2012 2013 American eel Anguilla rostrata 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 4.54 (0.46 - 8.61) 108.62 (8.16 - 209.07) 112.15 (32.44 - 191.87) Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 6.08 (0.01 - 12.15) 1.23 (0.00 - 3.21) 12.54 (0.51 - 24.57) Atlantic silverside Menidia menidia 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.69 (0.00 - 2.03) Bay anchovy Anchoa mitchilli 30.46 (0.00 - 61.51) 20.46 (0.00 - 43.95) 17.85 (0.61 - 35.09) Chain pipefish Syngnathus louisianae 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Eastern mudminnowb Umbra pygmaea 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) Green goby Microgobius thalassinus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Hogchoker Trinectes maculatus 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 1.08 (0.14 - 2.02) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.69 (0.00 - 2.20) Ladyfish Elops saurus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 12.85 (0.00 - 37.79) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Rainwater killifish Lucania parva 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) Southern flounder Paralichthys lethostigma 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.69 (0.00 - 1.41) 0.54 (0.14 - 0.94) Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 9.38 (0.00 - 21.61) 93.62 (34.64 - 152.59) 118.38 (21.25 - 215.52) Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.06) 0.62 (0.09 - 1.14) All species 51.15 (18.45 - 83.86) 239.46 (67.43 - 411.49) 263.69 (103.87 - 423.51) Total number of species 10 12 11 ' CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species III -F -20 Table III -F5. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in two unnamed tributaries to Durham Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2013. a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximately 16 hour set of fyke nets. b Predominantly freshwater species III -F -21 Average CPUEa (95% confidence interval) DCUT19 DCUT11 Common name Scientific name 2013 2013 American eel Anguilla rostrata 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 169.15 (0.00 - 536.11) 0.00 (NA) Banded killifish Fundulus diaphanus 0.46 (0.00 - 1.47) 0.00 (NA) Bluegillb Lepomis macrochirus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Eastern mosquitofishb Gambusia holbrooki 6.62 (0.23 - 13.00) 0.92 (0.00 - 1.86) Eastern mudminnowb Umbra pygmaea 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 4.46 (0.00 - 11.36) 0.00 (NA) Ladyfish Elops saurus 2.38 (0.00 - 7.23) 0.00 (NA) Largemouth bassb Micropterus salmoides 0.38 (0.00 - 0.78) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) Mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus 197.77 (55.90 - 339.64) 32.54 (0.00 - 84.98) Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 1.15 (0.00 - 3.00) 0.08 ( 0.00 - 0.24) Pumpkinseed Lepomis gibbosus 3.31 (0.98 - 5.64) 12.31 (3.46 - 21.15) Sheepshead minnow Cyprinodon variegatus 79.69 (0.00 - 175.88) 0.92 (0.00 - 1.98) Silver perch Bairdiella chrysoura 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Southern flounder Paralichthys lethostigma 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 32.69 (7.26 - 58.13) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.82) Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 1.69 (0.00 - 4.51) 0.00 (NA) Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) White perch Morone americana 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) All species 500.92 (96.27 - 905.57) 47.54 (0.00 - 104.15) Total number of species 19 10 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximately 16 hour set of fyke nets. b Predominantly freshwater species III -F -21 Table III -F6. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Drinkwater Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 through 2013. Common name American eel Atlantic croaker Atlantic menhaden Atlantic needlefish Atlantic silverside Bay anchovy Bluefish Chain pipefish Eastern mosquitofishb Eastern mudminnowb Green goby Hogchoker Inland silverside Ladyfish Longnose garb Mummichog Naked goby Pinfish Rainwater killifish Silver perch Southern flounder S pot Spotted seatrout Striped mullet Summer flounder All species Total number of species Scientific name Anguilla rostrata Micropogonias undulatus Brevoortia tyrannus Strongylura manna Menidia menidia Anchoa mitchilli Pomatomus saltatrix Syngnathus louisianae Gambusia holbrooki Umbra pygmaea Microgobius thalassinus Trinectes maculatus Menidia beryllina Elops saurus Lepisosteus osseus Fundulus heteroclitus Gobiosoma bosci Lagodon rhomboides Lucania parva Bairdiella chrysoura Paralichthys lethostigma Leiostomus xanthurus Cynoscion nebulosus Mugil cephalus Paralichthys dentatus Average CPUE' (95% confidence interval) Pre -Mod Alt L Post -Mod Alt L 2011 1.46 (0.10 - 2.83) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.97) 2.54 (0.00 - 6.26) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.22) 0.00 (NA) 8.62 (0.73 - 13.08 (0.00 - 29.26) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 7.46 (0.00 - 16.46) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 23.31 (0.00 - 51.27) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 7.85 (0.00 - 20.40) 26.69 (13.22 - 40.16) 12.31 (0.00 - 30.57) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.97) 37.62 (6.20 - 69.04) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 134.23 (76.62 - 191.84) 20 2012 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 6.62 (0.00 - 13.94) 0.30 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 8.62 (0.73 - 16.50) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 3.08 (0.73 - 5.42) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.46 (0.06 - 0.86) 1.00 (0.00 - 2.83) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.46 (0.06 - 0.86) 45.00 (6.72 - 83.28) 4.38 (0.14 - 8.63) 2.62 (0.00 - 8.14) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.82) 86.62 (33.14 - 140.09) 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.97) 0.69 (0.12 - 1.26) 161.15 (72.18 - 250.13) 19 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -22 2013 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 15.31 (4.32 - 26.30) 7.38 (0.00 - 18.64) 0.00 (NA) 8.38 (0.00 - 26.65) 57.92 (0.00 - 179.26) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.98) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 1.61 (0.00 - 4.43) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 136.85 (72.27 - 201.42) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 229.08 (104.47 - 353.68) 15 Table III -F7. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Tooley Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2010 through 2013. Common name American eel Atlantic croaker Atlantic menhaden Atlantic needlefish Atlantic silverside Bay anchovy Chain pipefish Eastern mosquitofishb Eastern mudminnowb Green goby Hogchoker Inland silverside Ladyfish Naked goby Pinfish Rainwater killifish Silver perch Southern flounder S pot Spotted seatrout Striped mullet Summer flounder All species Total number of species Scientific name Anguilla rostrata undulatus Brevoortia tyrannus Strongylura manna Menidia menidia Anchoa mitchilli Syngnathus louisianae Gambusia holbrooki Umbra pygmaea Microgobius thalassinus Trinectes maculatus Menidia beryllina Elops saurus Gobiosoma bosci Lagodon rhomboides Lucania parva Bairdiella chrysoura Paralichthys lethostigma Leiostomus xanthurus Cynoscion nebulosus Mugil cephalus Paralichthys dentatus Average CPUEa (95% confidence interval) Pre -Mod Alt L I Post -Mod Alt L 2010 0.00 (NA) 139.15 (0.00 - 284.50) 56.69 (0.00 - 122.41) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 9.62(1.52- 17.71) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 95.15 (8.12 - 182.19) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.38 (0.29 - 2.48) 269.23 (18.60 - 519.86) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 572.08 (114.04 - 1,030.12) 12 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -23 2011 1.23 (0.18 - 2.28) 0.00 (NA) 2.00 (0.00 - 5.50) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 8.85 (0.00 - 25.61) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.82) 0.00 (NA) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.22) 0.00 (NA) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.25) 11.00 (0.00 - 32.82) 0.00 (NA) 2.92 (0.00 - 7.19) 35.62 (10.13 - 61.11) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 36.85 (3.41 - 70.28) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.06) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 100.46 (37.58 - 163.34) 13 2012 0.62 (0.03 - 1.20) 17.62 (1.15 - 34.08) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 14.31 (0.00 - 40.10) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 0.00 (NA) 1.15 (0.00 - 2.65) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 31.00 (0.00 - 67.30) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.41) 5.38 (0.00 - 16.24) 0.46 (0.00 - 0.93) 54.62 (0.00 - 110.92) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.69 (0.07 - 1.32) 127.15 (47.64 - 206.66) 14 2013 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 7.54 (2.15 - 12.92) 2.23 (0.00 - 4.72) 0.00 (NA) 1.38 (0.00 - 4.40) 3.23 (0.14 - 6.32) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.79) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 4.38 (0.00 - 13.58) 6.08 (0.00 - 12.62) 0.46 (0.00 - 1.14) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.41) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 102.31 (51.20 - 153.42) 0.69 (0.00 - 1.78) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 130.38 (75.43 - 185.34) 17 Table III -F8. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Huddles Cut on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2010 through 2013, and 12 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2009. Common name Scientific name Average CPUEa (95% confidence interval) Pre -Mod Alt L Post -Mod Alt L 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 American eel American shad Atlantic croaker Atlantic menhaden Atlantic needlefish Atlantic silverside Banded killifish' Bay anchovy Bluefish Bluegill' Brown bullhead' Eastern mosquitofish' Eastern mudminnow' Gizzard shad Green goby Hogchoker Inland silverside Ladyfish Mummichog Naked goby Pinfish Pumpkinseed' Rainwater killifish Red drum Redear sunfish' Sheepshead minnow Silver perch Southern flounder Spot Spotted seatrout Striped mullet Summer flounder White perch All species Anguilla rostrata Alosa sapidissima Micropogonias undulatus Brevoortia tyrannus Strongylura marina 0.25 (0.00 - 0.64) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 6.67 (0.00 - 14.53) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 1.38 (0.00 - 3.57) 50.85 (0.00 - 152.65) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 4.92 (0.41 - 9.44) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.49) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.22) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.06) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 2.92 (0.37 - 5.48) 3.08 (0.00 - 7.99) 0.00 (NA) 16.15 (0.00 - 38.18) 0.00 (NA) 2.54 (0.31 - 4.77) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 2.46 (0.00 - 7.83) 0.00 (NA) 0.69 (0.00 - 1.63) 0.31 (0.02 - 0.60) 0.69 (0.00 - 1.72) 0.00 (NA) 120.15 (0.00 - 338.37) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 5.08 (0.21 - 9.95) 1.54 (0.07 - 3.01) 4.00 (0.00 - 12.72) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.54 (0.07 - 1.01) 1.69 (0.00 - 3.53) 2.00 (0.00 - 4.65) 120.08 (56.01 - 184.14) 0.00 (NA) 4.69 (0.90 - 8.49) 1.46 (0.00 - 3.30) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 291.08 (49.46 - 532.69) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.39) 9.69 (0.00 - 24.70) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Menidia menidia Fundulus diaphanus 0.92 (0.00 - 2.07) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 13.46 (0.00 - 31.21) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 1.08 (0.00 - 2.68) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.96) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.31 (0.00 - 3.64) 0.00 (NA) 371.00 (0.00 - 748.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 5.85 (0.00 - 15.66) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 62.23 (0.00 - 176.80) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.97) Anchoa mitchilli Pomatomus saltatrix Lepomis macrochirus Ameiurus nebulosus Gambusia holbrooki 1.33 (0.00 - 2.67) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Umbra pygmaea 4.77 (0.85 - 8.69) tbrosoma cepedianum 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 8.23 (0.00 - 18.23) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 477.85 (145.52 - 810.18) 2.31 (0.00 - 5.01) 8.69 (1.88 - 15.51) Microgobius thalassinus Trinectes maculatus 0.00 (NA) Menidia beryllina Elops saurus 0.58 (0.00 - 1.32) 0.00 (NA) Fundulus heteroclitus 63.75 (24.42 - 103.08) 298.62 (35.68 - 561.55) Gobiosoma bosci 0.00 (NA) 1.33 (0.00 - 3.68) 0.00 (NA) 46.00 (0.00 - 106.07) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 6.23 (0.00 - 16.52) 0.00 (NA) 2.00 (0.69 - 3.31) 114.46 (31.02 - 197.90) 0.00 (NA) 7.38 (2.37 - 12.40) 0.00 (NA) 2.15 (1.08 - 3.22) 544.31 (154.97 - 933.65) Lagodon rhomboides Lepomis gibbosus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 8.00 (0.87 - 15.13) Lucania parva 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.08 (0.00 - 2.70) 0.00 (NA) 0.25 (0.00 - 0.54) 90.75 (48.71 - 132.79) 0.00 (NA) 13.08 (0.00 - 26.93) 0.00 (NA) 0.17 (0.00 - 0.41) 179.58 (102.32 - 256.84) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) Sciaenops ocellatus Lepomis microlophus Cyprinodon variegatus Bairdiella chrysoura Paralichthys lethostigma 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 4.69 (0.00 - 9.61) 1.23 (0.00 - 3.19) 1.85 (0.00 - 4.38) Leiostomus xanthurus 54.62 (22.22 - 87.01) 79.69 (0.00 - 193.38) Cynoscion nebulosus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 116.62 (0.00 - 277.76) 1.38 (0.00 - 3.54) 0.54 (0.07 - 1.01) 697.69 (336.04 - 1,059.34) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 3.31 (0.68 - 5.93) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.92 (0.00 - 2.31) 538.31 (70.89 - 1,005.73) Mugil cephalus Paralichthys dentatus Morone americana Total number of species 15 19 23 23 25 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximately 16 hour set of Tyke nets. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -24 Table III -F9. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Little Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April Ma , and June of 2011 through 2013. Average CPUE' (95% confidence interval) 2011 2012 2013 Common name Scientific name American eel Anguilla rostrata 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.85) Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 2.08 (0.00 - 4.60) 3.00 (0.57 - 5.43) 14.69 (3.43 - 25.96) Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 17.92 (0.00 - 44.26) 0.00 (NA) 4.46 (0.00 - 12.57) Atlantic needlefish Strongylura manna 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Atlantic silverside Menidia menidia 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.46 (0.00 - 1.47) Banded killifish Fundulus diaphanus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.22) Bay anchovy Anchoa mitchilli 21.85 (0.00 - 48.24) 9.77 (0.00 - 26.78) 9.77 (0.00 - 22.01) Chain pipefish Syngnathus louisianae 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Eastern mosquitofishb Gambusia holbrooki 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.46 (0.00 - 1.19) Eastern mudminnowb Umbra pygmaea 3.62 (0.00 - 8.33) 10.85 (2.78 - 18.92) 14.31 (0.00 - 34.06) Green goby Microgobius thalassinus 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Hogchoker Trinectes maculatus 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 0.46 (0.00 - 0.99) 0.00 (NA) Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 2.38 (0.39 - 4.38) 2.08 (0.00 - 4.51) 3.54 (0.00 - 7.38) Longnose garb Lepisosteus osseus 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) Naked goby Gobiosoma bosci 2.00 (0.27 - 3.73) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 31.46 (0.00 - 80.34) Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 2.69 (0.00 - 6.01) 61.69 (1.81 - 121.58) 15.38 (5.59 - 25.18) Rainwater killifish Lucania parva 2.38 (0.00 - 5.50) 9.69 (0.00 - 19.50) 1.69 (0.00 - 4.50) Red drum Sciaenops ocellatus 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) Sheepshead minnow Cyprinodon variegatus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Silver perch Bairdiella chrysoura 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 2.31 (0.00 - 7.16) 0.85 (0.00 - 2.69) Southern flounder Paralichthys lethostigma 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 34.77 (5.54 - 64.00) 66.85 (22.38 - 111.32) 121.00 (40.68 - 201.32) Spotted seatrout Cynoscion nebulosus 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 1.00 (0.00 - 3.00) Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.63) 0.00 (NA) White perch Morone americana 0.00 (NA) 1.00 (0.00 - 3.00) 0.00 (NA) All species 91.23 (37.36 - 145.10) 1 169.46 (57.93 - 281.00) 1 220.08 (116.24 - 323.91) Total number of species 18 19 17 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -25 Table III -F10. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPU E) by species for fish captured in PA2 on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 through 2013. a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -26 Average CPUEa (95% confidence interval) 2011 2012 2013 Common name Scientific name American eel Anguilla rostrata 1.15 (0.56 - 1.75) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.97) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 2.31 (0.00 - 6.66) Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 17.23 (0.00 - 52.09) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 25.54 (0.00 - 72.57) Atlantic needlefish Strongylura manna 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Atlantic silverside Menidia menidia 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 6.23 (0.00 - 19.45) Banded killifish Fundulus diaphanus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 2.62 (0.00 - 6.48) Bay anchovy Anchoa mitchilli 1.85 (0.09 - 3.61) 1.46 (0.12 - 2.80) 0.92 (0.00 - 2.14) Eastern mosquitofishb Gambusia holbrooki 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 2.31 (0.00 - 6.16) Eastern mudminnowb Umbra pygmaea 120.15 (39.22 - 201.09) 16.77 (4.53 - 29.01) 112.92 (0.00 - 233.82) Green goby Microgobius thalassinus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Hogchoker Trinectes maculatus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 20.92 (5.71 - 36.14) 2.15 (0.00 - 5.27) 2.31 (0.33 - 4.29) Ladyfish Elops saurus 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 2.31 (0.00 - 5.85) Mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus 34.77 (0.00 - 88.32) 2.23 (0.00 - 6.91) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Naked goby Gobiosoma bosci 2.15 (0.00 - 5.38) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.98) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 22.38 (14.65 - 30.12) 24.23 (9.24 - 39.23) 9.31 (3.46 - 15.16) Pumpkinseed Lepomis gibbosus 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) Rainwater killifish Lucania parva 70.00 (7.54 - 132.46) 18.92 (3.10 - 34.75) 2.54 (0.00 - 5.15) Sheepshead minnow Cyprinodon variegatus 1.69 (0.00 - 4.87) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Silver perch Bairdiella chrysoura 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 0.00 (NA) Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 61.31 (0.00 - 150.18) 63.92 (39.44 - 88.40) 142.85 (31.14 - 254.55) Spotted seatrout Cynoscion nebulosus 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) Striped bass Morone saxatilis 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 2.62 (0.00 - 7.26) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) White perch Morone americana 0.46 (0.00 - 1.14) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) All species 357.62 (178.30 - 536.93) 131.62 (86.50 - 176.73) 313.00 (165.98 - 460.02) Total number of species 19 18 19 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -26 Table III -F11. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Long Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 through 2013. Common name American eel Atlantic croaker Atlantic menhaden Atlantic silverside Bay anchovy Chain pipefish Eastern mosquitofishb Eastern mudminnowb Green goby Hogchoker Inland silverside Mummichog Naked goby Pinfish Rainwater killifish Red drum Silver perch Southern flounder Spot Summer flounder All species Total number of species Scientific name Anguilla rostrata Micropogonias undulatus Brevoortia tyrannus Menidia menidia Anchoa mitchilli Syngnathus louisianae Gambusia holbrooki Umbra pygmaea Microgobius thalassinus Trinectes maculatus Menidia b eryllina Fundulus heteroclitus Gobiosoma bosci Lagodon rhomboides Lucania parva Sciaenops ocellatus Bairdiella chrysoura Paralichthys lethostigma Leiostomus xanthurus Paralichthys dentatus 2011 Average CPUE' (95% confidence interval) 2012 0.00 (NA) 2.00 (0.40 - 3.60) 31.31 (0.00 - 63.21) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.98) 20.77 (2.07 - 39.47) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.77 (0.21 - 1.33) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.78) 3.31 (0.00 - 6.80) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.98) 64.54 (0.00 - 146.44) 0.00 (NA) 124.08 (39.23 - 208.92) 12 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 38.08 (22.42 - 53.74) 2.69 (0.00 - 8.04) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 23.00 (0.00 - 55.65) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.69(0.18 -1.21) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.77 (0.00 - 1.93) 0.00 (NA) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.79) 18.69 (0.41 - 36.97) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.97) 0.92 (0.25 - 1.60) 128.69 (61.15 - 196.23) 2.00 (0.14 - 3.86) 217.38 (118.63 - 316.14) 17 ' CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -27 2013 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 40.15 (15.94 - 64.36) 14.38 (0.00 - 32.64) 2.62 (0.00 - 7.96) 45.85 (0.00 - 116.31) 0.00 (NA) 0.46 (0.00 - 1.19) 0.77 (0.00 - 2.01) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.92 (0.00 - 2.76) 9.08 (0.00 - 19.60) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 73.85 (37.53 - 110.16) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 188.85 (105.88 - 271.82) 16 Table III -F12. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Muddy Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2000 through 2003, 2005, and 2010 through 2013, 14 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2004, and 12 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2009. ' CPUE equals the number of indi\iduals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -28 Average CPUE' (95% confidence interval) Common name Scientific name 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Alewife Alosa pseudoharengus 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) American eel Anguilla rostrata 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 0.00 (NA) 0.85 (0.00 - 1.83) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 63.00 (39.53 - 86.46) 8.69 (0.00 - 24.11) 8.31 (1.62 - 14.99) 19.15 (0.00 - 42.07) 26.07 (7.36 - 44.78) 30.15 (16.57 - 43.74) 0.50 (0.00 - 1.60) 11.54 (2.92 - 20.16) 0.00 (NA) 7.69 (1.14 - 14.25) 7.23 (0.00 - 14.46) Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 13.69 (4.11 - 23.27) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.26) 3.23 (0.00 - 6.70) 5.54 (0.05 - 11.03) 30.29 (0.21 - 60.36) 2.69 (0.00 - 6.18) 1.50 (0.00 - 3.27) 17.15 (2.24 - 32.06) 7.15 (0.00 - 16.82) 0.69 (0.00 - 2.03) 12.08 (0.00 - 34.87) Atlantic silverside Menidia menidia 8.15 (0.27 - 16.03) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.71) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 2.54 (0.00 - 7.04) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 2.15 (0.00 - 6.32) Banded killifish Fundulus diaphanus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Bay anchovy Anchoa mitchilli 23.07 (2.43 - 43.72) 5.92 (0.00 - 13.31) 21.31 (0.00 - 46.08) 2.92 (0.00 - 6.26) 5.93 (1.02 - 10.84) 6.46 (1.89 - 11.04) 14.00 (1.60 - 26.40) 4.54 (0.23 - 8.84) 28.23 (3.32 - 53.15) 10.31 (0.00 - 26.28) 13.92 (0.00 - 36.10) Bluefish Pomatomus saltatrix 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Brown bullhead Ameiurus nebulosus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Chain pipefish Syngnathus louisianae 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Eastern mosquitofishb Gambusia holbrooki 0.00 (NA) 2.15 (0.00 - 5.14) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.38 (0.00 - 2.99) Eastern mudminnowb Umbra pygmaea 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.85 (0.00 - 2.36) 1.85 (0.43 - 3.26) 23.92 (0.00 - 60.19) Green goby Microgobius thalassinus 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.77 (0.00 - 2.45) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Hogchoker Trinectes maculatus 0.23 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.00 (NA) Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 1.31 (0.25 - 2.37) 3.15 (0.21 - 6.10) 1.64 (0.00 - 3.60) 1.69 (0.00 - 3.75) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 9.69 (0.00 - 23.72) 0.54 (0.00 - 1.34) 16.92 (0.00 - 41.84) Ladyfish Elops saurus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.54 (0.00 - 4.89) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.91) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.27) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Mummichog Fundulus heteroclitus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Naked goby Gobiosoma bocci 0.30 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.82) 0.38 (0.00 - 0.78) 1.36 (0.00 - 3.96) 0.31 (0.02 - 0.60) 1.00 (0.14 - 1.86) 0.46 (0.00 - 1.05) 1.31 (0.44 - 2.18) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 8.69 (0.00 - 21.68) Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 0.38 (0.00 - 0.85) 9.23 (4.92 - 13.54) 234.77 (0.00 - 551.84) 1.92 (0.39 - 3.45) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 4.00 (0.51 - 7.49) 54.85 (9.47 - 100.22) 0.92 (0.00 - 1.92) 32.31 (0.00 - 86.50) 12.31 (1.95 - 22.67) Pumpkinseed Lepomis gibbosus 0.30 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Rainwater killifish Lucania parva 0.30 (0.00 - 0.69) 1.54 (0.00 - 3.60) 30.31 (0.00 - 66.31) 0.69 (0.00 - 1.72) 0.07 (0.00 - 0.23) 0.00 (NA) 1.83 (0.00 - 4.28) 2.77 (0.00 - 6.92) 1.38 (0.00 - 3.05) 2.85 (0.00 - 7.52) 7.23 (1.22 - 13.24) Silver perch Bairdiella chrysoura 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.38 (0.00 - 1.22) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 1.15 (0.00 - 3.67) 13.77 (0.00 - 35.89) 1.38 (0.00 - 4.06) Southern flounder Paralichthys lethostigma 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.00 (NA) 0.46 (0.00 - 0.99) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.69) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.50) Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 193.23 (16.51 - 369.96) 104.62 (32.90 - 170.33) 179.31 (53.48 - 305.14) 570.23 (0.00 - 1,284.48) 176.43 (69.52 - 283.34) 368.85 (132.49 - 605.20) 125.00 (17.30 - 232.70) 281.85 (99.71 - 463.98) 30.69 (8.35 - 53.03) 70.08 (7.46 - 132.70) 43.77 (14.57 - 72.97) Spotted seatrout Cynoscion nebu /osus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Striped bass Morone saxatilis 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.50 (0.00 - 1.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.29 (0.02 - 0.56) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.82) 0.00 (NA) White catfish Ameiurus catus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.39) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) White perch Morone americana 0.08 (0.00 -0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Yellow perch Perca flavescens 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Unidentified Sciaenidae sp. 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.14 (0.00 - 0.45) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Unidentified flounder Paralichthys sp. 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Unidentified sunfish Lepomis sp. 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.79 (0.00 - 2.32) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Unidentified pipefish Syngnathus sp. 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) All species 303.15 (89.95 - 516.35) 133.69 (49.10 - 218.29) 480.15 (9.32 - 950.99) 607.23 (0.00 - 1,319.55) 243.36 (112.32 - 374.39) 411.38 (164.00 - 658.77) 148.67 (42.30 - 255.04) 376.46 (142.77 - 610.15) 83.00 (46.97 - 119.03) 141.15 (15.76 - 266.54) 151.38 (70.20 - 232.57) Total number of species 14 12 14 18 15 13 12 13 17 15 15 ' CPUE equals the number of indi\iduals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -28 Table III -F13. Average catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) by species for fish captured in Duck Creek on 13 sampling occasions in April, May, and June of 2011 through 2013. a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -29 Average CPUE' (95% confidence interval) 2011 2012 2013 Common name Scientific name American eel Anguilla rostrata 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Atlantic croaker Micropogonias undulatus 1.23 (0.00 - 2.81) 5.23 (1.00 - 9.46) 11.77 (5.21 - 18.33) Atlantic menhaden Brevoortia tyrannus 9.92 (0.00 - 21.58) 0.46 (0.00 - 0.99) 1.77 (0.00 - 4.57) Atlantic silverside Menidia menidia 0.00 (NA) 0.31 (0.00 - 0.98) 1.62 (0.00 - 3.75) Bay anchovy Anchoa mitchilli 7.00 (1.20 - 12.80) 7.69 (2.62 - 12.77) 2.54 (0.00 - 5.35) Bluegillb Lepomis macrochirus 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 2.15 (0.00 - 6.67) Chain pipefish Syngnathus louisianae 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Eastern mosquitofishb Gambusia holbrooki 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.38) Eastern mudminnowb Umbra pygmaea 0.00 (NA) 1.77 (0.00 - 3.88) 2.00 (0.00 - 5.03) Green goby Microgobius thalassinus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) Hogchoker Trinectes maculatus 0.85 (0.00 - 1.70) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Inland silverside Menidia beryllina 0.92 (0.25 - 1.60) 1.00 (0.00 - 2.67) 1.23 (0.37 - 2.09) Naked goby Gobiosoma bosci 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.73) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.79) Pinfish Lagodon rhomboides 0.46 (0.06 - 0.86) 19.77 (4.60 - 34.94) 10.00 (2.00 - 18.00) Rainwater killifish Lucania parva 0.00 (NA) 3.77 (0.00 - 9.31) 0.85 (0.00 - 2.03) Silver perch Bairdiella chrysoura 0.00 (NA) 0.62 (0.00 - 1.79) 0.69 (0.00 - 2.03) Southern flounder Paralichthys lethostigma 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) Spot Leiostomus xanthurus 7.15 (1.13 - 13.18) 76.69 (20.67 - 132.71) 136.08 (2.46 - 269.69) Spotted seatrout Cynoscion nebulosus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.00 (NA) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) Striped mullet Mugil cephalus 0.00 (NA) 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) Summer flounder Paralichthys dentatus 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) 0.77 (0.00 - 1.70) 0.08 (0.00 - 0.24) White catfish Ameiurus catus 0.15 (0.00 - 0.49) 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) White perch Morone americana 0.00 (NA) 0.00 (NA) 0.23 (0.00 - 0.59) All species 28.00 (13.32 - 42.68) 118.85 (44.83 - 192.86) 172.08 (31.24 - 312.92) Total number of species 12 16 19 a CPUE equals the number of individuals caught during an approximate one - minute, 75 -yard trawl. b Predominantly freshwater species 111 -F -29 G. BENTHOS This text under construction. Will be sent separately to slip sheet into report. A new CD with entire report will also be sent at that time. III -G -1 ffil W1= DATA COLLECTION HISTORY AND METHODOLOGY BY PARAMETER APPENDIX A. HISTORY AND METHODS BY PARAMETER Progress of the mine across a watershed is determined on an annual acreage basis. Some monitoring parameters are collected once a year only and others are collected throughout the year. Data collection for a parameter in a specific watershed may occur prior to the mine progress through that watershed for that year or, in the case of parameters collected throughout the year, mine progress through the watershed may have affected only the data collected in the last portion of the calendar year. The NCDWQ agreed during the previous study that "significant measurable results" were not likely to be determined "until 10 percent or more of the basin was impacted ". The 10 percent threshold was developed specifically for Alt E impacts in Tooley Creek yet remains an important factor in the determination of the first post -Mod Alt L year in a given creek. To determine the percentage of basin impact and to increase accuracy of analysis, drainage basin quantification is recalculated annually at the end of each mine advance year. Over the course of the creeks study, basin acreage calculations have been refined as past activities were uncovered and digital tools improved (e.g., LiDAR); the 2013 data analysis was no exception. In calculation of the percent impacts to assign 2013 as pre- or post -Mod Alt L for a given creek (10 percent reduction threshold on current basin), it was discovered that the drainage basins of the NCPC creeks had actually been reduced prior to Alt E by the construction of a canal inside the Alt E boundary dug in the late 1970s or early 1980s. This canal cut off the NCPC creeks from portions of their historic drainage basin and resulted in several corrections. It reduced the historic basin acreage, the Alt E baseline acreage, and the basin remaining after Alt E for each NCPC creek shown in previous annual reports. These reductions affected the pre -Alt E and pre -Mod Alt L basins and subsequent percent reductions shown for some creeks in previous annual reports. This correction prompted PCS and CZR to re- consult the ROD and Science Panel meeting notes for additional guidance on what is most appropriate to use as the "current" basin for calculation of Mod Alt L percent reduction. For the new creeks added under the expanded creeks plan of study, the "current" basin represents conditions prior to Mod Alt L and after Alt E impacts; thus some years for creeks with longer data sets (Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, Muddy Creek, and Huddles Cut) are not included in the evaluation of Mod Alt L. Three creeks have had their drainage basins affected by mine activities: Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut. Drinkwater Creek pre -Mod Alt L years are 2011 -2012, Tooley Creek pre -Mod Alt L years are 2010 -2011, and Huddles Cut pre -Mod Alt L year is 2009. A. Low Flow Stream Monitoring 1. History With the concurrence of regulatory agencies and subsequently, the Science Panel (committee chosen to review this report), flow monitoring with weirs was discontinued at the end of 2009 in Huddles Cut and the end of 2010 in Tooley Creek. While no monitoring had occurred in Jacks Creek since 2005, the weir in Jacks Creek was removed in 2010 when the weirs in Tooley and Huddles Cut were removed. However, PCS elected to install a new device developed specifically to monitor low flow events in upper headwater stream mitigation sites in the coastal plain in appropriate creeks monitored for this study. Two flow gauges were installed in Porter Creek in April 2010 and four were installed in Duck Creek in March 2011. The most downstream gauge in Porter Creek is within the Mod Alt L boundary and will not collect any post -Mod Alt L data; and therefore is not part of the 2012 creeks report. EV The upstream Porter Creek segment monitored by the other low flow gauge is estimated to have a 117 -acre drainage basin. One Duck Creek segment with two of the four gauges is the headwaters of the northwest prong (-124 -acre basin) and the other segment is the south fork of the east prong (-151 -acre basin). Beta models of the low flow gauges were produced by Flowline Products and installed in some PCS stream and wetland mitigation sites in 2010. Refinement of the beta model and larger scale production by Remote Data Systems, Inc (RDS) has been stalled; future use of these devices is uncertain. The gauges are used to document the duration and relative magnitude of flow events occurring in shallow perennial, intermittent, and zero order stream segments. The device is based on the principles of a variable area flow measurement device and consists of a vertical baffle mounted on an axis inside a protective housing. Flow passing through the housing causes the baffle to tilt on its axis, and the degree of tilt is recorded by the internal electronics and logging device. The gauge is capable of reliably recording flows as low as 0.5 gal /min. Once a month biologists download the gauge and visually determine the relative degree of flow as well as water depth at each device location. Once downloaded from the flow gauge, the voltage setting for each gauge is calibrated during analysis such that dry conditions and times of no flow (from observer data) are graphically depicted as a "flatline" or zero. A flow event is defined as flow >_0.5 gallons per minute (gpm) unless noted otherwise. Both rainfall in the watershed and hydrology of adjacent wells are also used to double check the accuracy of the flow gauge data. By late 2013, the low flow gauges were becoming more prone to error and it was increasingly evident that production of additional units was not likely. Therefore, PCS decided to cease monitoring flow with these units as their inclusion in the creeks monitoring program was completely voluntary. 2. Methods Since March 2012 in all creeks at the intended locations of the low flow gauges shown on the monitoring figures for each creek, biologists also make qualitative observations of flow (low, medium, high) and measure water depth in the channel during the monthly download of adjacent wetland wells. They note evidence of recent flow and take photographs or video as appropriate. The observations are presented in table form on an annual basis and photographs or video are retained at CZR and made available upon request. With no further production or monitoring of the low flow gauges, these observations will continue and will serve to document flow events. B. Salinity Monitoring 1. History During 2013 salinity was monitored at seven creeks that have had or will have their watershed disturbed by Mod Alt L mine activities and at eight control creeks. Monitoring began in six of the 15 creeks for the first time in 2011. A CAMA permit (number 66 -11) was received by PCS in May 2011 for construction and /or rehabilitation of 23 piers located in the monitored creeks. Stainless steel boxes were mounted on these piers to house the water level and salinity monitoring equipment. Equipment was installed as the piers were completed. By July 2011 all salinity monitoring equipment was in place. With the exception of the control stations in South Creek, the Pamlico River, PA2, Durham Creek and the two tributaries to Durham Creek and the three stations on Huddles Cut (two upstream and one downstream, all other creeks monitored for salinity have an upstream ( #1) and a downstream ( #2) salinity station. The control locations aid in the determination of whether changes that may occur between pre- and post -Mod Alt L monitoring are also seen regionally. During the same timeframe as the monitoring on creeks that were subject to, or would be subject to, drainage basin reduction from the activities of the mine, control locations were also monitored for salinity: • one in the Pamlico River established in 1998 (PS1), • one in South Creek established in 1998 (SS1), • two in Long Creek (LOS1; LOS2) established in 2011, • two in Little Creek (LCS1; LCS2) established in 2011, • one in PA2 established in 2011, and • two in Duck Creek (DKS1; DKS2) established in 2011, • one in DCUT11 (D11S1) established in 2013, • one in DCUT19 (D19S1) established in 2013, and • one in Durham Creek (DCS1) established in 2013. Muddy Creek is another control creek; however, only fish, sediment, and benthos data are collected. Fish sampling has occurred weekly April through June every year since 1999 except for 2006, when no monitoring occurred for any parameter, and a handheld YS1 Pro Plus Quatro is used to collect water quality data, including salinity, at each visit. Therefore, salinity for those three months can be compared over the years to determine if there are any patterns in that creek. 2. Methods A YSI 600XLM multi - parameter water quality monitor (YSI) was utilized to record salinity and water depth at each monitoring location during earlier monitoring (1999 -2002) and from January 2007 to August 2008. Salinity monitoring after August 2008 was performed with In -Situ Aqua TROLL 200 water quality monitors. The YSI monitors automatically calculated salinity readings from conductivity and temperature. The salinity sensor range for each YSI was 0 -70 parts per thousand (psu), with an accuracy of +/- 1.0 percent of the reading, or 0.1 psu, whichever was greater. The resolution was 0.01 psu. The depth sensor was a stainless steel strain gauge pressure sensor with a range of 0 -30 feet, an accuracy of +/- 0.7 inch, and a resolution of 0.01 inch. The Aqua TROLL 200 is manufactured by In -Situ, Inc. Like the YSI monitors, the Aqua TROLLs generated salinity readings from temperature and conductivity. The salinity sensor range is 0 -42 practical salinity units (psu), with an accuracy of +/- 0.5 percent of the reading. The resolution is 0.001 psu. Practical salinity units (psu) are essentially equivalent to parts per thousand (psu); however, psu is considered a more appropriate descriptor since it refers to the practical salinity scale that is used to calculate salinity (Reid 2006). The depth sensor is a titanium /silicon strain gauge pressure sensor with a range of 0 -35 feet, an accuracy of +/- 0.003 inch, and a resolution of 0.001 inch. Salinity monitors were programmed to record salinity and depth every 1.5 hours (16 readings per day). Each monitor was serviced and downloaded every two weeks. The probes were also cleaned and batteries were checked and replaced as necessary. Sensors were located near the bottom of the stream to ensure continuous data collection during most low water conditions. Depth readings were compensated for the distance from the sensor to the creek bottom. Occasional gaps in the continuous data in some years exist due to dead batteries, equipment malfunctions, and low water levels not allowing sensors to be fully submerged. To aid in the interpretation of factors that may influence salinity fluctuations, continuous salinity data from each salinity monitor were displayed on graphs along with the continuous water level data from that monitor, daily rainfall from the nearest rain gauge (PCS Aurora NOAA Station), and data from the Tar River U.S. Geological Survey flow gauge at Greenville, NC (http: / /waterdata.usgs.gov /nwis /uv ?02084000 (date accessed 18 January 2013) (Appendix C). The Tar River becomes the Pamlico River at the US Hwy 17 Bridge in Washington. These graphs were used for a qualitative assessment of the relative effects of wind tides, local drainage basin input, and Tar River input on salinity fluctuations in the monitored creeks. Wind data from the PCS NOAA weather station were compared with the graphs to determine if there was any effect from wind. Spearman Rank Order correlation tests were conducted to test the correlation among rainfall, discharge, and salinity at the monitors. T -tests and ANOVAs were utilized to attempt to find differences between pre - Mod Alt L salinity and post -Mod Alt L salinity but normality failed in the t -test using either Shapiro -Wilk or Kolmogorov - Smirov, so a Mann - Whitney Rank Sum or Kruskal - Wallis One -Way ANOVA on Ranks was used at the recommendation of the SigmaPlot® software. C. Wetland Hydrology Monitoring 1. History Monitoring of wetland hydrology occurred in Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, and Huddles Cut under the 1998 plan and was expanded to include seven new creeks under the 2011 plan, two of which (DCUT11 and DCUT19) were first monitored in 2013. The location of wetland wells did not change from previous years for the three creeks monitored under the 1998 creeks study, with the exception of the loss of three well locations at Huddles Cut due to activities associated with the permitted mine advance, and the addition of four more wells at Jacks Creek. The three wells lost at Huddles were in the most upstream reaches of the west prong (HWW1, HWW10, and HWW11). Three of the new wells added in Jacks Creek (JW5, JW7, JW9) were installed in close proximity to an original well location so that a broader area of the floodplain could be monitored semi - continuously and a fourth one (JW2B) was installed a short distance upstream of what was previously the most upstream well. 2. Methods Both manual wells and semi - continuous recorders are used to monitor the water table. Each manual well consists of a 54 -inch length of 1 1/4 -inch diameter PVC well screen (0.010 -inch slots) and an 18 -inch long riser made of solid - walled 1 1/4 -inch diameter PVC pipe. The well screen and riser are connected by a PVC coupler. The manual wells were installed to a depth of 60 inches, with 12 inches of the riser extending above the ground. The top of the riser is covered by a PVC cap, and a hole in the side of the riser provides air exchange during water level fluctuations. LevelTROLL 500 water level monitors, manufactured by In -Situ Inc, were also used. The units measure water depth across an 80 -inch range with an accuracy of +/ -0.1 percent. The measurement probe is housed inside a 2 -inch diameter PVC well screen (0.010 - inch slots). Most units were installed to measure water levels within 60 inches below ground and 20 inches above ground. This installation method allows for the detection of both subsurface and surface water level fluctuations. The units record the water level every 1.5 hours (16 times per day). To prevent damage by bears, the aboveground portions of the well screens were surrounded by a 4 -by -4 -foot fence enclosure made of four metal T -posts connected with two or three strands of barbed wire. All monitoring wells were checked and downloaded once a month. Wetland hydroperiods were calculated for each monitoring well during the growing season. A hydroperiod is defined as consecutive days during the growing season that the water table is within 12 inches of the surface or the surface is inundated, and is expressed as a percentage of the growing season. For this project, the growing season is defined by the Beaufort County soil survey (Kirby 1995) as 14 March through 24 November (256 days). Growing season dates have recently been adjusted by the Regional Supplement to the Corps of Engineers Wetland Delineation Manual: Atlantic and Gulf Coastal Plain Region (Version 2.0) (USACE ERDC 2010) to match the Natural Resources Conservation Services' (NRCS) WETs tables. However, the previously established soil survey growing season dates and Corps 1987 wetland definitions will continue to be used for this report in order to maintain consistency with baseline years in hydroperiod calculations. Hydroperiods were statistically compared to explore pre- and post - disturbance differences and between creek variation. All statistical analyses were performed with Sigma Plot 11.0 using a simple t -test, Kruskal - Wallis One -way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) on Ranks or Mann - Whitney Rank sum, depending on results of normality tests and what was being compared. D. Water Quality Monitoring. (Section III. D. was prepared by Dr. David G. Kimmel, a faculty member of East Carolina University (ECU)). 1. History Water quality monitoring sites on three creek systems were initially established at the beginning of the creeks monitoring in 1998 as follows: (1) two locations in Jacks Creek, (2) three locations on Tooley Creek, and (3) four locations on Huddles. These stations were monitored in accordance with the 1998 plan and continued under the final 2011 plan. By December 2011, two stations each in six additional creeks (three control creeks and three creeks to be impacted) had been added such that ten creeks designated for water quality monitoring were part of the regular program (no water quality samples have ever been collected in Muddy Creek). Once the salinity locations were established, collection /submission of water quality samples was gradual in order for the ECU laboratory to ramp up their analysis and throughput. Water quality stations at two locations were added in the following creeks in 2011: Jacobs Creek- JCBWQ1 near the upstream salinity station and JCBWQ2 near the old railroad trestle ; Project Area 2 (PA2) - PA2WQ1 at the upstream end of the main channel and PA2WQ2 at the midstream salinity station; Drinkwater Creek- DWWQ1 at the upstream well array and DWWQ2 near the upstream salinity station; Little Creek- LCWQ1 and LCWQ2, one at each of the salinity stations; Long Creek- LOCWQ1 and LOCWQ2, one at each of the salinity stations; Porter Creek- one downstream of the most upstream well array (PCWQ1) and PCWQ2 at the upstream salinity station; and Duck Creek- DKCWQ1 at the upstream salinity monitor and DKCWQ2 at the downstream salinity monitor. With the addition of two stations in 2013 on two small unnamed tributaries (UTs) to Durham Creek (DC11WQ1 and DC19WQ1), all water quality stations designated in the study plan are in place. The headwaters of the Durham Creek tributary DCUT11 will be impacted by the mine continuation and DCUT19 serves as the control. 2. Methods Water quality data were collected from study creeks throughout the year with 26 potential sampling periods; however, insufficient water depth resulted in some sites not being sampled every period in various years. An annual summary list of samples collected from all monitoring stations is made each year and included in an appendix in the annual report. CZR biologists did all field measurements and water sample collection. Field measurements included water depth, Secchi disk depth, temperature, salinity, conductivity, turbidity, dissolved oxygen, and pH. Water depth was measured to the nearest one - quarter inch in close proximity to the site where water samples were collected and all other measurements taken. Temperature, salinity, conductivity, dissolved oxygen, and pH was measured with an YSI 85 multi - parameter water quality instrument. These measurements were made in the middle of the water column when possible. Turbidity was measured with a Hazco DRT -15 Portable Turbidimeter. Turbidity water samples were collected in the field and turbidity was measured at the time of collection. Care was taken to exclude detrital particles from the substrate and surface in turbidity samples. The creek water samples were collected in polyethylene bottles and samples were driven directly to the ECU lab at the end of each sample collection day. At the lab, subsamples were taken for the various analyses. Pre - combusted Whatman 934 -AH (glass fiber) filters were used to separate particulate and dissolved fractions. The filtrate was stored frozen in a polyethylene bottle for later analyses of total dissolved phosphorus (TDP), dissolved orthophosphate (PO4-P), ammonium nitrogen (NH4-N), nitrate nitrogen (NO3-N), and dissolved Kjeldahl nitrogen (DKN). The filter pads were also stored frozen for particulate nitrogen (PN), particulate phosphorus (PP), and chlorophyll a determinations. Techniques used for these analyses are summarized in Table -D1. These methods are identical to those used for the PCS Phosphate Pamlico River estuary water - quality monitoring program (see Stanley 1997 for example). Table -D1. Summary of techniques used for chemical and physical measurements. Parameter Technique Reference Total Dissolved Phosphorus Persulfate Digestion APHA (1998) Particulate Phosphorus Kjeldahl Digestion APHA (1998) PO4-P Molybdate EPA (1979) NH4-N Colorimetric Solorzano (1969) NO3-N Cadmium Reduction Strickland and Parsons (1972) Dissolved Kjeldahl Nitrogen Kjeldahl Digestion APHA (1998) Particulate Nitrogen Kjeldahl Digestion APHA (1998) Chlorophyll a Colorimetric Strickland and Parsons (1972) Fluoride Fluoride electrode Orion (1987) • In order to reduce the amount of information presented in both graphical and table format in this section, the multivariate analysis approach was continued, with some modifications. The most significant change in the 2013 report was the addition of data from all years that have been sampled; the data were divided into three distinct subsections: temporal variability for all water quality stations analyzed separately across all years, spatial variability for all water quality stations across all years, and temporal variability across pre -Mod Alt L and post -Mod Alt L years at Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and Drinkwater Creek. In the 2012 report, only the calendar year data were analyzed and presented with multivariate techniques. In all reports prior to 2012, data were summarized in up to five standard graphical formats and depicted with box/whisker plots and standard deviations. Temporal variability at water quality stations across years was analyzed by employing a Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to recombine all water quality variables into principal components that capture the intercorrelation between variables over time. PCA has two primary uses: 1) to describe interrelationships between a matrix of intercorrelated variables and 2) data reduction, i.e. to reduce a large matrix of intercorrelated variables into linear recombinations of the original variables. PCA plots all original variables in multidimensional space (1 dimension for each variable), and then fits a regression line through the multiple dimensions. The principle of least squares is used to fit the regression line and the resulting variance explained is recombined into a principal component. This principal component (PC) is a combination of the original variables and explains a fraction of the total variables. This procedure is repeated, i.e. a new regression line is fitted to the remaining data, and a new principal component is calculated and generated, until all variability is explained. The PCs themselves are uncorrelated to each other and therefore may be used in further modeling without violation of regression assumptions. The PCs can be related to the original variables by examining the loadings on to each PC and these values represent the degree of correlation of each original variable to the new PC. In order to examine how the PCs are related to one another, a biplot is often generated that shows how the original variables are related to the first two PCs. The final result of PCA is a set of PC values that represent new variables, made from the original variables, but fewer in number and uncorrelated to each other. Plotting the PC scores over the course of the years shows the temporal variability of multiple variables, without the need to generate numerous plots. A PCA analysis was run for each water quality station and the biplot, loadings, and PC time - series are presented. Spatial variability among stations across all years was analyzed by comparing the mean water quality parameters of each water quality monitoring station using a cluster analysis approach. The approach groups water quality monitoring stations with similar conditions together, demonstrating the relationship between each station. The benefit of doing this over using multiple years is to demonstrate how relationships between stations may change over time. Water quality conditions for each group of stations were then summarized graphically. Briefly, cluster analysis is a multivariate technique that analyzes similarity or dissimilarity computed from a data matrix. For example, a single water quality monitoring station may be characterized by multiple water quality measurements. Thus, one might ask: how similar are two water quality stations from two different creeks based on all of the water quality measurements? While it is straightforward to compare salinity values between the two creeks, the addition of more parameters makes the comparison difficult. In order to accomplish this comparison the data matrix of water quality values have been grouped by station and a dissimilarity matrix was calculated. This is done by plotting the water quality values for each parameter in multivariate space. Instead of fitting a regression line, as with PCA, the Euclidean distance is calculated between the water quality values for each station. Values that are close to I_�7 each other in space have low dissimilarity and values that are for apart in space have high dissimilarity. Once the dissimilarity matrix has been computed, the dissimilarity values for each station may be clustered and displayed using a denodrogram (tree diagram). Height is typically used as the y -axis for such a graph and the higher the height of a branch split, the more dissimilar the stations that follow such a split. Finally, the interannual variability in water quality variables at Huddles Cut, Tooley Creek, and Drinkwater Creek allows the comparison of pre- and post -Mod Alt L conditions. Pre- and post -mod Alt -L conditions were compared using a one -way ANOVA and t scores and p- values are presented. Differences were considered significant if p- values were < 0.05. E. Metals Sampling 1. History From 1998 to 2010, the PCS sediment samples were analyzed by Dr. John Trefry at the Florida Institute of Technology (FIT). In 2011 Dr. Trefry informed CZR and PCS that his workload and research interests would prevent his involvement with future PCS sediment analyses. To date, a search for an alternate university or commercial laboratory which is both interested in the work and can duplicate the FIT laboratory report and perform total metals digestion with either hydrofluoric or perchloric acid has been futile. (Commercial facilities contacted do not digest samples with these acids due to special health, safety, and instrumentation requirements; university facilities contacted either lacked the ability to commit to the project or lacked the necessary equipment.) An alternate laboratory, SGS North America, Inc. now SGS Analytical Perspectives (SGS) in Wilmington NC has performed the metals analyses since 2011 for the water column and since 2012 for the sediments. However, sediment samples analyzed by SGS follow sample preparatory method 3050B under the USEPA SW -846 series. Without the use of the stronger acid(s) used by FIT, the 305B method is not a total digestion technique but one that dissolves "elements that could become environmentally available." The remaining residue after digestion by this method is referred to as "environmentally inert material ". However, without the stronger acids, the results are not likely to be total metal concentrations, although the concentration measured is the total amount recoverable by the method used. In previous creeks annual reports, the FIT lab provided a summary report with tables of results and environmental interpretation but no raw data. Commercial facilities provide a "report" of results with no environmental interpretation. For the 2013 report, CZR contracted Dr. Jamie DeWitt of ECU Pharmacology and Toxicology, to provide environmental interpretation of the metals data and to serve as reviewer and advisor for this parameter. Elevated metal concentrations in sediments can be evaluated within the context of potentially harmful biological effects using the guidelines developed by Long et al. (1995). In these guidelines, two assessment values are listed for several metals. An effects - range -low value (ERL) and an effects - range- median value (ERM) are defined as the 10th and 50th percentile, respectively, from an ordered list of concentration of substances in sediments that are linked to a biological effect. Several authors have noted that sediment quality guidelines should be used cautiously with an appropriate understanding of their limitations. For example, Field et al. (2002) noted that the ERL is not a concentration threshold for a chemical in sediment, above which toxicity is possible and below which toxicity is impossible. Instead, according to O'Connor (2004), the ERL is a concentration "at the low end of a continuum roughly relating bulk chemistry with toxicity." The ERL and ERM values are applied to the sediments from this study with the caveats listed above. _: 2. Methods Prior to the collection of sediment samples, the water column sample is collected. Leaning over the bow of the boat while it is slowly underway, using a sample bottle provided by the laboratory which contains HNO3 preservative, a gloved biologist fills the 1L sample bottle with creek water using a separate container which has been cleaned with deionized water and alconox. The sample bottle is then sealed, labeled, and double bagged. As a back -up sample, the biologist also collects a 0.5L bottle using the same process. Samples are kept in the dark in iced coolers and shipped for receipt at the laboratory using the chain of custody form provided by the laboratory. The samples are analyzed for concentrations of silver (Ag), arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), chromium (Cr), copper (Cu), iron (Fe), molybdenum (Mo), selenium (Se), and zinc (Zn) (aluminum is not commonly analyzed in water samples). In 2013, the sediments samples were also analyzed for total organic carbon (TOC) for the first time. Standard laboratory protocols and procedures for these analyses are strictly followed. The ponar device is deployed and retrieved from the boat and the collected sediment is dumped into a plastic tray from which -0.5 gallon of sediment is scooped from the sample into a Ziploc bag using a plastic or stainless steel scoop. As the sediment sample is scooped, sediment that may have touched the metal of the ponar is avoided. Each bag is labeled with creek name and date and, to minimize the potential for leaks, each sample is double bagged. The ponar itself, plastic tray, and scoop /spoon are thoroughly rinsed with deionized water between each sample to avoid cross - contamination. A second sample is collected from each station in case there is a problem with the shipment to the laboratory or a problem encountered by the laboratory during analyses. The backup samples are kept at CZR until results of the analyses are completed at which time the samples are discarded. The sediment samples are delivered chilled to the laboratory. The samples are analyzed for concentrations of aluminum (AI), silver (Ag), arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), chromium (Cr), copper (Cu), iron (Fe), molybdenum (Mo), selenium (Se), and zinc (Zn). Standard laboratory protocols and procedures for these analyses are strictly followed. The metals laboratory may subcontract the bulk density for each sample to another suitable laboratory. For statistical analysis of data, a two -way ANOVA is not possible when only one sample is collected per creek (no replicate samples) and when a year is not represented with more than two creeks. While it is possible to treat individual creeks as pseudoreplicates, for some years there are not a sufficient number of samples from the post -Mod Alt L creeks to perform a two -way ANOVA with a repeated factor. In lieu of two -way ANOVA, pairwise comparisons (i.e., Student's t- tests) were run for individual sediment metals and water column metals. However, due to the lack of replicates per creek, creeks are treated as pseudoreplicates, which decreases the quality of the statistical analysis. F. Vegetation Monitoring 1. History Under the 2009 permit conditions, annual vegetation monitoring was no longer necessary and the Corps suggested a wider interval (approximately every three to five years) appropriate to each creek after baseline data were collected. In addition to the wider interval that began in 2010, Hurricane Irene damage in 2011 severely limited access in Tooley Creek and the main prong of Huddles Cut, both of which were on the calendar to be monitored that year. The storm damage and high amount of standing water (in the main prong of Huddles Cut) precluded any monitoring in 2011 in these areas of Tooley Creek and Huddles Cut main prong. _• Additionally, the Science Panel agreed at the 2013 annual meeting that of all the study parameters, vegetation is likely to have the longest "lag effect ", the period of time between impact and the response to that impact. Therefore, with the concurrence of the Science Panel, it was determined that from 2013 forward, vegetation also does not need to be monitored during the "lag effect ", or transition years. A transition year is considered to be the year(s) when the mine actually moves through a creek basin and also includes the first year after the mine has completed all impacts to a basin. The transition years vary depending on the size and shape of the creek basin within the permitted mine area. While Drinkwater Creek will be the first creek tracked with the transition year approach as described above, because of proximity to the mine advance, baseline data for Drinkwater Creek were only collected for one year (2011) before 2012 became the first transition year. In August 2013 wetland vegetation data were collected from five creeks (Jacks, Jacobs, Huddles, Porter, and DCUT11) that have had or will have their watershed disturbed by mining activities. Wetland vegetation monitoring was also conducted at three control creeks - Long Creek, DCUT19, and Duck Creek. After the 2011 survey, it was agreed by the Science Panel that monitoring in Drinkwater Creek, Tooley Creek and Huddles Cut would not occur in 2012. 2. Methods Drainage basin modifications are most likely to affect vegetation communities found along the relatively narrow riparian wetlands upstream of the CAMA jurisdiction markers. For this reason, vegetation assessments and monitoring sites were concentrated in these areas. Data are collected in August or September each monitoring year. Most transects are in the upper reaches of the creeks, although the distance from the mouths of the creeks differs among the creeks. Vegetation transects at Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, Long Creek, and Huddles Cut are all between 3,000 and 5,000 feet (0.5 mile to 0.9 mile) from the mouth of the creek, at Jacobs and Drinkwater Creeks between 5,000 and 6,000 feet from the mouth, and at Duck and Porter Creeks between 9,000 and 20,000 feet (1.8 miles to 3.7 miles). In August 1998, vegetation monitoring sites were established in the vicinity of each of the WL -80 continuous monitors (replaced by Ecotones in 2007 and LeveITROLLs in 2011) located in the riparian wetlands of Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek and Huddles Cut. Five vegetation transects were established in Jacks Creek, four in Tooley Creek, and 12 in Huddles Cut. In 2007, vegetation monitoring transects were re- established in Huddles Cut, in 2010, transects were re- established in Tooley Creek, and in 2011, transects were re- established in Jacks Creek. Additional vegetation monitoring transects were established in 2011 in the vicinity of LeveITROLLs in five new creeks: one vegetation transect was established in Jacobs Creek, one in Drinkwater Creek, one in Long Creek (control), two in Porter Creek, and four in Duck Creek (control). In 2013, new vegetation monitoring transects were established in DCUT11 and DCUT19. Vegetation sampling focuses on the shrub and herb layers. Compared to trees, shrubs and herbs respond more quickly to changes in salinity and hydrology, and therefore provide better indicators of changes in the vegetation over time. At each vegetation monitoring transect, 10 permanent sample quadrats were established along a 40 -meter transect that proceeds on a random compass azimuth from the well, but may be adjusted to ensure the transect stays in the floodplain. The quadrats are arranged on alternating sides of the transect axis, such that each quadrat shares a corner with the quadrat behind it and the quadrat in front of it. However, no quadrat shares a boundary with any other quadrat. Each sample quadrat l consists of a 4 -by -4 meter woody shrub vegetation plot with a 1 -by -1 meter herb plot nested in the proximal corner. These will be used throughout the duration of the study to monitor density, coverage, and species composition of the herb and shrub strata layers. Shrubs and woody vines, defined as woody plants greater than 3.2 feet in height but less than 3 inches in diameter at breast height (DBH), were inventoried in each of the 10 4- by-4 meter plots located in the vicinity of each well in the riparian wetlands. For each species, the number of stems present was counted and percent cover estimated. Herbs, defined as all herbaceous vascular plants regardless of height and woody plants less than 3.2 feet in height, were inventoried in each of the 1 -by -1 meter plots nested within the 4 -by -4 meter plots. For each species, the number of stems present was counted and percent cover estimated. Qualitative descriptions of the overstory were made in the vicinity of each electronic well. An importance value was calculated for each shrub and herb species present in each transect. Relativized values of average percent cover, average stem count, and frequency of occurrence in the 10 quadrats were used to calculate importance values. Dominant plants in each transect were determined by applying the 50/20 rule to the importance values. The 50/20 rule was described in the 1989 wetland delineation manual (Federal Interagency Committee for Wetland Delineation 1989) and is still used in delineating wetlands (Williams 1992, USACOE 2010). The 50/20 rule uses the quotient obtained from dividing each species' importance value by the sum of all of the importance values for that transect (shrubs and herbs are treated separately). This calculation expresses each species' importance value as a percentage of the cumulative importance value of the entire transect. Beginning with the species having the highest importance value and continuing in descending order, all species are listed until, cumulatively, 50 percent of the overall importance value has been reached. These species, along with any additional species that individually comprise at least 20 percent of the overall importance value, are considered to be dominant. To further assist in determining whether changes in the plant communities have occurred, the tolerance of brackish conditions was assessed for each dominant species. The determination of each species' tolerance was based on habitat descriptions provided in Radford et al. (1968), Beal (1977), Godfrey and Wooten (1979, 1981), Odum et al. (1984), and Eleuterius (1990). A species was considered tolerant of brackish conditions if any of the habitats listed were brackish, even if most of the habitats were fresh. The percentage of dominant species intolerant of brackish conditions (viz. solely freshwater species) was calculated for each transect. A linear regression analysis was performed for each transect using Sigma Plot 11.2. Pre- and post -Mod Alt L years were analyzed independently of each other so that a comparison could be made. Any significant changes in the salinity of the creek should be reflected by a shift in this percentage. Comparison of variability in the composition of the vegetative community pre- and post -Mod Alt L was determined using similarity percentages (SIMPER). SIMPER identifies the percent contribution of each individual species contributing to dissimilarity (or similarity) between groups (in this case pre and post), hence, it detects the species that are most important in causing the known dissimilarity (or similarity). Another analysis was performed using the wetland indicator status (Reed 1988) of the dominant plants. The percentage of dominant species with a wetland indicator status of FAC- or drier was calculated for each transect but linear regression analysis was not performed for this parameter. Any major change toward drier conditions should be reflected by a change in this percentage. A -11 G. Fish Monitoring 1. History Monitoring of fish assemblages occurred in Jacks Creek, Tooley Creek, Muddy Creek, and Huddles Cut under the 1998 plan and was expanded to include seven new creeks under the 2011 plan, two of which (DCUT11 and DCUT19) were first monitored in 2013. The geomorphic characteristics of these new study creeks were described in the 2011 PCS Creeks Report (CZR et al. 2012) and the geomorphic characteristics of the two DCUTs are described in Section I -B of the 2013 report. 2. Methods If a monitored stream is too shallow and narrow to sample using a trawl, fyke nets are used to sample fish (Huddles Cut, DCUT11 and DCUT19). Each fyke net sampling occasion is conducted using two fyke nets (one net fished upstream and one fished downstream) anchored for a set time of approximately 16 hours (late afternoon until the following morning). Each fyke net is deployed across the entire width of the sampled stream and consists of 0.25 -inch mesh net with four 21 -inch hoops, a 6 -inch throat, and a 22 -foot wingspan. For monitored streams large enough to trawl, each fish trawl sample is conducted using a two -seam otter trawl. The trawl was constructed with a 10.5 -foot head rope, 0.25 -inch bar mesh wings and body, and 0.12 -inch bar mesh cod end. The trawl is towed for approximately one minute, covering approximately 75 yards, from a beginning point marked in the field with flagging (GPS coordinates also known) near the mouth of each monitored creek. Tow direction is always toward the creek mouth. All fish captured by either method are identified and counted. Those that are easily identified in the field are released; others are preserved for later identification. Total length is measured to the nearest millimeter for the first 30 specimens of each species. Representative photographs of sampling stations are taken during the first sampling occasion and are on file with CZR Incorporated. Water quality data are collected with a YSI Pro Plus multi - parameter instrument prior to deployment and retrieval of fyke nets and /or before each trawl at each creek. Parameters measured include temperature, pH, salinity, conductivity, dissolved oxygen (DO), and Secchi depth. In the deeper creeks, excluding Secchi depth, measurements for all other water quality parameters are taken at both surface and near bottom levels. Estimates of the percentage of the water surface covered by submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) are also made. Water quality data are examined with regard to how well each site provided habitat appropriate for the preservation of fish communities. Particular attention is given to dissolved oxygen, as low DO levels are commonly implicated in fish kills. Multivariate cluster analysis among creeks /years analyzed spatial variability of fish species composition and abundance. Fish data are transformed to reduce the multiplicity of variance among creeks /years and assembled into a Bray - Curtis dissimilarity matrix. Bray - Curtis has the advantage of incorporating not just the presence of similar species but also the relative abundance of species found between sample locations and is therefore a comprehensive descriptor of community similarity. Bray- Curtis (Bray and Curtis 1957; Clarke et al. 2006) is defined as: A -12 Cbr= 100 *1 - E; II yi, -y2 1, where Y-i(Yil +yf2) y, and y2 are the total number of the ith species at site 1 and 2. The resulting dendrogram created from the Bray - Curtis dissimilarity matrix is tested for significant cluster /group differences among fish assemblages using a similarity profile test (SIMPROF) at the five percent level (P = 0.05). Comparison of variability between fish assemblage clusters /groups is determined by means of similarity percentages (SIMPER). Similarity percentages (SIMPER) identifies the percent contribution of each individual fish species contributing to dissimilarity (or similarity) between clusters /groups, hence, it detects the fish species that are most important in causing the known dissimilarity (or similarity). Analysis of similarity (ANOSIM) is a nonparametric test that is used to compare interannual variation in fish species abundance and composition to detect spatial differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L years for creeks with drainage basin reduction and related control creeks. Significance was set at 0.05. A two - sample t statistic (T -Test) is used to compare interannual variation in individual fish species catch -per- unit - effort (CPUE) and abundance to detect spatial differences between pre- and post -Mod Alt L years for creeks with drainage basin reduction and related control creeks. Significance is set at 0.05. When normality failed and the data do not meet assumptions for a parametric test, a nonparametric test is used (Mann - Whitney Rank Sum Test). A one -way analysis of variance ( ANOVA) is used to compare interannual variation in fish species catch -per- unit -effort (CPUE) and abundance to detect spatial differences between individual sample years within creeks that have drainage basin reduction. Significance is set at 0.05. When normality fails and the data do not meet assumptions for a parametric test, a nonparametric test is used (Kruskal- Wallis ANOVA on Ranks). When significant differences (p< 0.05) occur between variables for each year, a corresponding Tukey's or Dunn`s (post hoc) multiple pairwise comparison test is used to display the relationship between the individual means. Biota and /or environmental matching (BEST) using the BIOENV method was used to analyze the relationship between the multivariate fish data and both in -situ collected hydrographic data and ECU water quality data. As with fish data, water quality data are also transformed to reduce the multiplicity of variance among creeks /years. Following transformation of the water quality data, Euclidean distance is calculated between the water quality variables and a dissimilarity matrix is formed. BIOENV then calculates all possible combinations of variables between the two dissimilarity matrices; biota and /or environmental matching (BEST) at this moment displays the environmental variables that best correlate to the multivariate fish assemblage clusters /groups. H. Benthos Monitoring (Benthic text to be added) A -13