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HomeMy WebLinkAboutR_2553 Kinston Bypass SCREENING INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS STUDY FOR KINSTON BYPASS LENOIR, JONES,AND CRAVEN COUNTIES NORTH CAROLINA STIP PROJECT R-2553 WBS NO. 34460 NORTH CAROLINA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AUGUST2012 Table of Contents 1.0Executive Summary........................................................................................................iii 2.0Project Overview............................................................................................................1 2.1Purpose and Need......................................................................................................1 2.2Economic Development..............................................................................................2 2.3Environmental Documentation....................................................................................2 3.0Future Land Use Study Area..........................................................................................4 4.0Time Horizon..................................................................................................................4 5.0Other Transportation and Infrastructure Projects............................................................5 6.0Transportation Impact Causing Activities........................................................................7 7.0Population Trends / Projections......................................................................................7 8.0Job Trends / Projections.................................................................................................8 9.0Municipal Utilities...........................................................................................................10 10.0Notable Features...........................................................................................................13 10.1Human Environment..................................................................................................13 10.2Natural Environment..................................................................................................16 11.0Development Regulations..............................................................................................19 11.1NC Environmental Management Commission (NCEMC)...........................................19 11.2Lenoir County............................................................................................................19 11.3City of Kinston...........................................................................................................20 11.4Craven County...........................................................................................................20 11.5Pitt County.................................................................................................................21 11.6Townof Grifton..........................................................................................................21 11.7Jones County............................................................................................................22 12.0Land Suitability..............................................................................................................22 13.0Market for Development................................................................................................25 13.1Current Development Pressures................................................................................25 13.2Development Market Assumptions............................................................................25 14.0Indirect Screening Matrix Methodology..........................................................................26 14.1UpGrade Existing Alternative.....................................................................................26 14.2Northern Alternatives.................................................................................................27 14.3Southern Alternatives................................................................................................28 14.4Conclusion.................................................................................................................28 15.0Next Steps.....................................................................................................................32 16.0Cumulative Effects Summary........................................................................................32 16.1Past Projects.............................................................................................................32 16.2Current Projects.........................................................................................................33 16.3Future Projects..........................................................................................................33 16.4Cumulative Effects Summary Statement....................................................................33 17.0Sources.........................................................................................................................36 i STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 List of Tables Table 1: Other Transportation Improvement Projects in the Vicinity of the Study Area...............5 Table 2: Summary of Transportation Impact Causing Activities..................................................7 Table 3: Population Forecasts....................................................................................................8 Table 4: Definitions of Stream Classifications...........................................................................17 Table 5: Streams listed as 303(d)..............................................................................................17 Table 6: Available Land.............................................................................................................22 Table 7: Indirect Land Use Effects Screening Tool –Kinston Bypass Upgrade Existing Alternative..................................................................................................................29 Table 8: Indirect Land Use Effects Screening Tool –Kinston Bypass Northern Alternatives.....30 Table9: Indirect Land Use Effects Screening Tool –Kinston Bypass Southern Alternatives.....31 Table 10: Summary of Past Projects.........................................................................................32 Table 11: Summary of Current Projects....................................................................................33 Table 12: Summary of Future Projects......................................................................................33 Table 13: Summary Notable Environmental Resources and Foreseeable Impacts...................34 List of Figures Figure1: Project Location..........................................................................................................3 Figure 2: Project Area STIP Projects..........................................................................................6 Figure 3: Water and Sewer Service Areas................................................................................12 Figure 4: Human Environmental Features.................................................................................15 Figure 5: Natural Environmental Features.................................................................................18 Figure 6: Vacant and Underutilized Land..................................................................................23 Figure 7: Environmental Sensitivity Screening..........................................................................24 STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 ii 1.0EXECUTIVESUMMARY The North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT) is proposing a project, STIP R-2553, termed the Kinston Bypass,that is currently planned as a four-lane, median divided freeway with full control of access on new location in Lenoir, Jones, and Craven Counties, North Carolina.Theproposed design speed ofthe project is70 miles per hour (mph). The project extendsfrom US 70 near LaGrange (in Lenoir County) to US 70 near Dover(on the Jones and Craven County Line). The project will consider alternativesnorth and south of Kinston, as well as the upgrade of existing US 70 and US 70 Bypassalternative. US 70 is designated as Strategic Highway Corridor Number 46; which runs from Raleigh to Morehead City; which involves improving US 70 to a freeway facility,is part of the North Carolina Intrastate System, and is designated as a hurricane evacuation route. Needs for the project include through traffic delays and existing capacity deficiencies along US 70 and US 70 Bypass. The project will result in a decrease in total travel time andanincrease in both property access andproperty exposure. The increase in access and exposure will be its greatest at new transportation nodeswhere the projectintersects existing highways. Separate indirect screening matrices were created to evaluate the key differences between the upgrade existing alternative, the northern alternatives, and the southern alternatives. The evaluation matrices for the northern alternatives and southern alternatives scored greater than 32, which suggestthat further examination by anIndirect Scenario Assessment is warranted. The matrix for the upgrade existing alternative scored 28, which means that an Indirect Scenario Assessment is likely warranted. The only category consistently ranked low on all three matrices was population growth. Fourcategories, scope of project, change in accessibility, available land and notable environmental resources; were ranked high on the matrices for the northern and southern alternatives.The upgrade existing alternative only had change in accessibility and available land ranked high. The FLUSA includes approximately 297,448 acres of land. Of this, approximately 129,301 acres (43.5 percent) are considered developable.The time horizon for the study was from 2000 to 2035. Notable human environmental features in the FLUSA include the Wyse Fork Battlefield, the North Carolina Global Transpark (GTP), FEMA’sHazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) buyout properties, and several Voluntary Agriculture Districts (VADs). Notable natural environmental features include the Neuse River, wetlands, floodplains, conservation easements, andSignificant Natural Heritage Areas (SNHA’s). The population growth rate for the FLUSA has a projected annual average growth rate of less than onepercent.The GTP isanticipated to continue its growthand create more jobs for Kinston and the surrounding area. The proposed projectwillimprove transportation efficiency and strengthen the area as a logistics hub. The majority of development with or without the project is expected to occur north of existing US70,particularly near the GTP and to the west of the City of Kinston.Development regulations in the area address future land use,and much of the recent infrastructure improvements and expansions have taken place in this area. The Lenoir County Watershed Protection Ordinance applies to a portion of the southwest area of the FLUSA. TheWatershed ordinance establishes density and intensity standards for residential and non-residential development within the Neuse River Water Supply Watershed WS IV-CA (critical areas) and WS IV-PA (protected areas) of the watershed. In addition, the entire FLUSAis subject to the Neuse River BufferRules. This rule requires a 50-foot riparian STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 iii area be protected and maintained alongwaterways within the river basin. A buffer mitigation rule allows some activities with prescribed mitigation(15A NCAC 2B .0233 (6)). The buffer rules are administered by the NCDWQ. Various stormwater permitting programs exist within the FLUSA, which includes Lenoir County for the area within the WS IV-CA and WS IV-PA under the Local Watershed Protection Program; the City of Kinston under the Neuse River Stormwater Program; Craven County, the Town of Dover, and Cove City under the Coastal State Permitting Program; and Pitt Countyand the Town of Grifton underthe National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES)Phase II Stormwater Permits. There are four stream segments within orpartially within the FLUSA that are on the Final North Carolina Water Quality Assessment and Impaired Waters List (2010 Integrated 305(b) and 303(d) Report), approved August 31, 2010. No Outstanding Resource Waters, High Quality Waters, or Wild and ScenicRivers exist within or within one mile of the FLUSA. This project is expected to contribute to indirect and cumulative effects of future changes within the FLUSA. The project is expected to result in travel time savings of greater than 10 minutes and will change property access and exposure and create new land use/transportation nodes. Direct environmental impacts by NCDOT projects are addressed by avoidance, minimization or mitigation, consistent with programmatic agreements with the natural resource agencies during the permitting processes. All development will be required to follow local, state,and federal guidelines and permitting requirements.The Indirect and Cumulative Effects Land Use Scenario Assessment will better discern the magnitude of the effects. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 iv 2.0PROJECT OVERVIEW The North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT) is proposing a four-lane, median divided freeway with full control of access in Lenoir, Jones and Craven Counties in North Carolinathat is being proposed as a principal arterial. The project extends from US 70, a designated principal arterial,near LaGrange (in Lenoir County) to US 70 near Dover (on the Jones and Craven County line). See Figure1for the project location. Other highways that are within the project study area includeUS 70 Business, US 258, NC 11, NC55, NC 58, and Felix Harvey Parkway Extension. The proposed action islisted in the 2012-2020 State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP) as Project Number R-2553.The projecthas adesign speed of 70 miles per hour (mph), and would serve as a bypass of Kinston from La Grange to Dover. There is potential for new location alternatives to cross the North Carolina Railroad Company/Norfolk Southern Railroad, which runs east-west through Lenoir County, as well as the CSX Railroad. The project would also involve a crossing over the Neuse River. The project is scheduled for right-of-way acquisition in FY 2020, and construction is unfunded. According to the Traffic Forecast Technical Memorandumfor the Kinston Bypass Alternatives Study, traffic on US 70 between US 258and US 70 Business had 35,600 Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) in the year 2008(NCDOT, July 2009). It is projected that this same segment will carry 62,600 AADT in the year 2035. 2.1PURPOSE AND NEED Given that the project will be a freeway facility, the proposed project would meet several important transportationneeds for Kinston and Lenoir County. US 70 is designated as Strategic Highway Corridor Number 46 (which runs from Raleigh to Morehead City), is part of the North Carolina Intrastate System, and is also designated as a hurricane evacuation route. The Strategic Highway Corridor Plan designates this portion of US 70 asa freeway. Primary needs for the project include: Existing capacity deficiencies along US 70 and US 70 Bypass. US 70 from Raleigh to Morehead City is designated as a Strategic Highway Corridor. The purpose for the project is toimprove regional mobility, connectivity, and capacity for US 70 between LaGrange and Dover in a manner that meets the intent of the North Carolina Strategic Highway Corridors Plan. The proposed action will improve regional mobility and capacity by providinga facility that allows for high-speed travel(minimum operating speed of 45 miles per hour), consists of a median-divided multi-lane roadway, limits access to major crossroadsby way of interchanges, and connects to the existing sections of US 70 that have full control of access near LaGrange and Dover. In addition to addressing the primary needs, the potential exists for additional benefits as a result of the proposed action as follows: STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 1 Emergency Evacuation The North Carolina Division of Emergency Management has identified the US 70 Corridor as amajor hurricane evacuation route. The proposed action has thepotential to reduce hurricane evacuation clearance time for residents and visitors who use the US 70 Corridor during evacuation. National Highway System’s Strategic Highway Network The National Highway System’s Strategic Highway Network (STRAHNET) has identified the US70 Corridor as a non-Interstate STRAHNET Route.STRAHNET includes a network of highways that are important to the United States’ strategic defense policy and provide defense access, continuity, and emergency capabilities for defense purposes. The proposed action has the potential to improve the mobility of armed forces located at Seymour Johnson Air Force Base and Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station. 2.2ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT While not included as part of the project’s Purpose and Need, economic development is considered a potential secondary benefit of the project. The project, as envisioned in the Strategic Highway Corridor Plan,would support the future industrial/commercial developmentin Lenoir County and Eastern North Carolinathrough increased efficiency of transporting goods and increased access to key resources.According to the Comprehensive Economic Development Strategypublished by the Eastern Carolina Council, economic interactions among the region’s urban centers have been hindered by the lack of a fully interconnected interstate- quality, four-lane highway system within the region (2007). This, in turn, has inhibited the development and/or utilization of other assets such as Global TransPark (GTP) in Lenoir County and the Port of Morehead City in Carteret County. GTPis a 2,400-acre industrial/airport site, of which 300 acres is an industrial park.GTP is envisioned as an inland port with superior air transportation. Similarly, the Port of Morehead City is also a unique asset for the region and is critical for national security serving the US Marine Corps at Camp Lejeune. The port’s primary access to the vital interstate freight transportation network of I-95 and I-40 are along US 70 and US 17. The continued investment in port facilities and related infrastructure could enhance the opportunity for this region to become a major shippinggateway. 2.3ENVIRONMENTAL DOCUMENTATION Due to the level of perceived environmental impacts, the project will require a North Carolina (State)Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for permitting. The content of the State EIS will conform to the North Carolina \[State\]Environmental Policy Act (SEPA) of 1971(North Carolina General Statute Chapter 113A, Article 1), and the Federal Highway Administration’s (FHWA’s) Guidance for Preparing and Processing Environmental and Section 4(f) Documents(Technical Advisory T6640.8A, 1987). This document can generally be classified as a “high” level environmental analysis for documentation under NEPA. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 2 3.0FUTURE LAND USE STUDY AREA The FLUSA is the area surrounding a construction project that could possibly be indirectly affected by the actions of others as a result of the completion of the project and combined projects. This study area encompasses all of the areas examined for potential increases in development pressure as a result of project construction. The area shownon Figure 1 represents the FLUSA. This area has been chosen to include planned/potential future development areasaround Kinston, including the GTP, and potential industrial/commercial/non- residential development areas; residential neighborhoods west and north of the proposed project; andrural residential areas east of the project.To the north, the FLUSAfollows the Lenoir/Greene county line, runs along the Contentnea Creek to pass just northof the Town of Grifton, and crosses the Neuse River in the northeast corner. To the east, it runs along the Pitt/Craven county line, moves east after crossing NC 55 to include the Towns of Dover and Cove City, then follows NC 41south to cross US 70 and the Craven/Jones county line. To the south, the FLUSAruns roughly parallel to US 70, between three and eight miles to the south. It runs just south of Wyse Fork Road to NC 58, follows the Blue-Gray Parkway (shown in Figure3) across US 258,crosses NC 11, and follows a portion of the Neuse River again in the southwest corner. To thewest, it follows the Wayne/Lenoir county line to cross US 70 and includes the Town of LaGrange. The FLUSAwas approvedby the NCDOT Human EnvironmentSectionat a meeting held onNovember 8,2010. The land usein Kinstonconsists of office, commercial/retail, and mixed density residential. The residential development north of US70-Businessthrough Kinston is modest single family detached homes. There are some larger, older residencesalong US 70-Business/Queen Street in Kinston. The western edge of the project study area is approximately nine miles west of Kinston where US 70 runs south of the Town of La Grange. South of La Grange, NC 903 crosses US 70, with a controlled access interchange. Control of access on US 70 ends just east of La Grange. Between La Grange and Kinston the land use is primarily agricultural, with some commercial and industrial areas mixed with scattered rural single family residential. The eastern edge of the project study area is about 16miles east of Kinston near the Town of Cove City. US 70 is located south of Cove City, and is crossed by NC 41 with a controlled access interchange. Between Cove City and Kinston the land use is primarily agricultural. Between Cove City and Kinston is the Town of Dover, where Old US 70 (now Sunset Blvd) runs parallel to the railroad tracks between Dover and Cove City, just north of current US70.Control of access on US 70 begins again nearDover. 4.0TIME HORIZON The time horizon for this analysis is between the year 2000 and the year 2035.The Census data and population projections reach from 2000 to 2030. Adopted local and regional plans relevant to the project have future planning years ranging from 2015 to 2035. TheCity of Kinston Comprehensive Transportation Plan(NCDOT, 2011) has been developed for 2030. Traffic forecasts completed for the project extend to 2035.Therefore, a range from 2000-2035 encompasses all relevant plans and data. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 4 5.0OTHER TRANSPORTATIONAND INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS Other transportation projects in and around the vicinity of the proposedproject may cause indirect and cumulative effects related to land use, transportation, human demographics,and the environment.The STIP was reviewed to identify other transportation and infrastructure projects andare listedin Table 1and shown on Figure 2.Projects listed in the City ofKinston Comprehensive Transportation Plan were not included, as it is not a fiscally constrained plan associated with any funding mechanisms. Table 1:Other Transportation Improvement Projects in the Vicinity of the Study Area ID No.DescriptionSchedule (Fiscal Years) R-2554US 70 Goldsboro Bypass, west of NC 581 in Planning/design –complete for all Wayne County to eastof SR 1323 (Promise sections Land Road) in Lenoir County –four lane divided freeway on new location. Section A: ROW in progress; Section A: west of NC 581 to east of SR Construction 2012 1300 (Salem Church Road), Section BA: Under Construction Section BA: east of SR 1300 (Salem Section BB and C: Under Church Road) to east of SR 556 (Wayne Construction Memorial Drive), Section BB: east of SR 1556 (Wayne Memorial Drive) to west of SR 1714 (Creek Road), Section C: west of SR 1714 (Creek Road) to east of SR 1323 (Promise Land Road) R-2719ANC 148(CFHarvey Parkway) in Kinston, Planning/design –complete from US 70 to US 58 -multi-lane facility on ROW -complete new location (8.4 mi). Construction –in progress U-3618Carey Road Extension, from SR 1572 Planning/design –in progress (Rouse Road) to US 258 –multi-lanes on ROW –2019 new location (1.7 miles). Construction -unfunded U-2928BNew railroad line from NC Railroad to Global Planning/design -complete TransPark ROW -complete Under Construction –in progress Sources:North Carolina Department of Transportation 2011-2020 Draft State Transportation Improvement Program. Website: www.ncdot.org/planning/development/TIP/TIP/Trans/division2.html. R–Rural Projects. U –Urban Projects. ROW –Right of Way STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 5 6.0TRANSPORTATION IMPACT CAUSING ACTIVITIES The proposed project would affect travel patterns, travel time, property access and property exposure within the FLUSA. The following table summarizes the likely changes. The location and extent of changes will vary, depending on which project corridor is ultimately selected and built. Table 2: Summary of Transportation Impact Causing Activities ActivityChanges Expected Changes Likely? Travel-TimeYesThe project will provide a controlled access freeway, which will reduce delays and increase capacity. Travel time for through-traffic will be reduced. This will improve connectivity for Kinston and GTP with the Port of Morehead City and I-95 and I-40. Property AccessYesProperty access will be altered for those properties that are along or adjacent to the project. Properties bisected by or near the project will have a new barrier that may limit their access. Other properties will experience improved access to the highway system if they are located near interchanges. Travel PatternsYesTraffic patterns will be altered by a controlled access freeway. Through traffic will likely use the proposed project over the existing US70(assumes bypass). Traffic that may currently avoid existing US 70 due to deficiencies, may now use the new roadway or choose the existing roadway over their current alternative.Other changes in travel patterns could occur on local roads due to barrier effects or reductions in connectivity on local streets. Property ExposureYesProperty exposure will increase, especially for properties located at proposed interchanges or those along thenew location roadway. Properties along existing US 70 will have adecrease in exposure from through-traffic(assumes bypass). Transportation/Land YesNew transportation/land use nodes will be created at the Use Nodesinterchanges with existing roadways and the proposed project. These nodes will be most likely to experience land use changes and support denser clusters of development that would cater to highway traffic (e.g. gas stations, restaurants, and lodging). 7.0POPULATION TRENDS / PROJECTIONS According to the North Carolina Office of State Budget and Management (OSBM), between 2000and 2010 the population of Lenoir County remained stagnant, with a loss of 80 persons, equivalent to an average annual change of .01 percent, while Jones County lost 1.1percent, Craven County grew by 13.4percent,and Pitt County grewby 26.1percent during the same period. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 7 The population of Lenoir County is projected by OSBM to modestly increase over the next twenty years:1.3 percent increasebetween 2010 and 2020and another 1.3percent between 2020 and 2030. This population change is equivalent to an average annual population increase of 0.13 percent. Population projections for the State of North Carolina, in comparison, show largerincreasesof15.4percent between 2010 and 2020 and 12.9percent between 2020 and 2030. While the OSBM projects the population of Lenoir County to experience only slight growth over the next twodecades, this could change if the GTP becomes more productive. When it was initiated, the GTP was expected to result in population and development increases in thecounty due to an increase in employment opportunities. Projections made in 2000 estimated that the population of Lenoir County would increase substantially by 2012 (annual percentage change of 1.35 percent, with a total growth of 39.9 percent over 25 years). Table 3below compares population forecasts for the state and the fourcounties included in the FLUSA (Craven, Jones, Lenoir and Pitt)between 2010 and 2030, in 10-year increments. Craven and PittCounties are expected to grow by 19.7percentand 25.7percent(respectively) over the nextdecade, while the average growth for North Carolinais 15 percentduring the same period. Table 3:Population Forecasts AreaPopulationGrowth percent 20102020DifferenceChange Craven County 104,147124,69720,55019.7 Jones County 10,15910,204450.4 Lenoir County59,49360,2707771.3 169,378212,95243,57425.7 Pitt County 9,586,22711,062,0901,475,86315.4 North Carolina percent 20202030DifferenceChange Craven County124,69720,55116.5 145,248 Jones County10,204-10.0 10,203 Lenoir County60,2707811.3 61,051 212,95243,57720.5 Pitt County 256,529 11,062,0901,429,74712.9 North Carolina 12,491,837 Source: North Carolina Office of State Budget and Management, State Demographics Unit(2011) 8.0JOB TRENDS / PROJECTIONS A breakdown of top employment sectors in Lenoir County based upon the 2007 Economic Census are manufacturing (21.3 percent), health care and social assistance (19.7 percent), and retail trade (15.4 percent). The number employed in these sectors also makesup the three highest annual payrolls, respectively. According to the Eastern Carolina Workforce Development Board (ECWDB), the largest employers in Lenoir County (in order of the number of employees) are the State of North Carolina, Lenoir County Schools, Lenoir Memorial Hospital, Electrolux Home Products, Gwaltney of Smithfield, Aristocraft/Decora/Schrock, Lenoir County, City of Kinston, Lenoir STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 8 Community College, and Wal-Mart. The largest industries are public administration, education and health services, manufacturing, and trade/transportation/utilities. According to the North Carolina Civilian Labor Force Estimates, the unemployment rate for Lenoir County in May 2012 was 10.2percent. This is down from unemployment numbers of 11.0percent and 11.7percent releasedin May 2011 and 2010, respectively. The ECWDB estimates that the entire 9-county Eastern Carolina Region had 415,440 persons employed in 2006. Projections for 2016 for the same region show employment climbing at an average annual rate of 1.7 percent to 487,500 persons. The region has seen recent economic investments in the community from new and expanding businesses. According to the City of Kinston the following investments have occurred over the last 7 years: Smithfield Packing Company, $80 million investment, and 200 jobs Sanderson Farms, $126 million investment, and 1,650 jobs Spirit Aerosystems, $570 million investment, and 1,000 jobs(by 2014) Spatial Integrated Systems, $2.75 million investment, and 37 jobs Ferguson Enterprises, $400K investment, and 30 jobs A.G. Machining of North Carolina, 1.65 million investment, and 29 jobs Commerce Overseas Corporation, $4.3 million investment, and 73 jobs West Pharmaceuticals, $18.5 million investment, and 154 jobs Extrolux, $18 million investment, and 97 jobs Dupont, $55 million investment, and 66 jobs The North Carolina Division of Veterans Affairs is currently constructing a North Carolina Veterans Home skilled nursing care facility with 100 beds, which is slated for completion in 2012. This facility will be located on a 30-acre site in western Kinston near the Caswell DevelopmentalCenter, which provides specialized residential, programmatic, and support services for people with disabilities. Further development and expansion of industry is expected at the GTP in future years. The GTP contains a roughly 300 acre industrial park that currently is home to 12 companies that employs severalhundred people, with large expansions planned for some companies (e.g. Spirit Aerosystems), which could pushtheir employment numbers over 1,000. In January 2012, a new company –Commerce OverseasCorporation–announced that it will relocate to GTP from California and will employ 72 people. Given the recent investments by new and expanding businesses in Kinston and GTP over the past few years, overall job growth is expected to continue to increase over the next several years for Lenoir County and the FLUSA. The job growth projections made by ECWDB for an STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 9 average annual employment growth of 1.7 percent for the 9-county region is an attainable goal for Lenoir County, but may not necessarily be this high. This trend is supported by the decrease in the unemployment rate over the last three years for Lenoir County. 9.0MUNICIPAL UTILITIES All of theFLUSAhas water service, with the exception of the far western portion, west of the Town of La Grange. The area in and around Kinston is served by the City of Kinston; the area south and southwest of Kinston in Lenoir County is served by Deep Run Water Corporation; the area north, northwest, and northeast of Kinston is served by North Lenoir Water Corporation; the area in Jones County is served by JonesCounty; the area in Pitt County is served by Pitt County; the area in Craven County is served by Craven County(see Figure 3). With the exception of Craven County and Jones County, all members are a part of the Neuse Regional Water and Sewer Authority (WASA). The Neuse River WASA is a cooperative partnership of water and sewer providers that was formed in 2000 to develop regional solutions for meeting future needs. There is onewater treatment plant in the FLUSA: the New Water Treatment Plantowned by Lenoir County and located about0.6 miles south of US 70 off Kennedy Home Road. Thewater treatment plant is operated by the Neuse Regional Water and Sewer Authority andbegan operation in 2008.The water plant increased the available water supply to Kinston by 3 million gallons per dayand regionally by 15 million gallons per day. Itis designed for expansion and has permitted capacity to withdraw 30 million gallons per day from the Neuse River. Through the use of its existing well field and its membership in WASA, Kinston is projected toprovide enough water service for the next 50-75 years. WASA service extends to approximately 100,000 citizens and commercial users in the area. Sewer service is only available to the areas within and immediately outside of the municipal areas(Kinston/GTP, La Grange, and Grifton)and all of Craven County. The other rural areas use septic tanks. New Bern’s sewer service reaches just to the eastern edge of the FLUSAin Cove City. Future plans to extend sewer are somewhat limited, but include small strips on US 70 (west of Kinston), US 258 (south of Kinston), NC 58 (south of Kinston), and further around the GTP(see Figure 3). There are fourwastewater treatment plants in the FLUSA; one in Kinston, one in La Grange, one along Contentnea Creek,and a small facility that serves Lenoir County High School(see Figure 3). In Kinston, the Kinston Regional Water Reclamation Facilitywas built in 2007 by expanding upon the former Northside Wastewater Treatment Plant (WWTP). The Kinston Regional Water Reclamation Facility is a state-of-the-art facility built west of the Neuse River, south of NC 55and has a daily operational capacity of 11.5 million gallons.The Kinston Regional Water Reclamation Facility also contains a 40acre site used as a spray field, where sludge generated from the plant is “land applied” rather being discharged directly into the Neuse River.The La Grange WWTP has a daily operational capacity of75,000 gallon andis located along Mosely Creek. The Contentnea MetropolitanSewerage District WWTPis located in the Town of Grifton (Pitt County) along the Contentnea Creek and has a daily operational capacity of 2.85 million gallons. Through WASA, the region expects to be able to provide all the water capacity needed to meet the demands of existing residents and industry within the FLUSA, as well as accommodate future growth and demand. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 10 The Neuse River Water Supply Watershed Protected Area (WS-IV PA) and Water Supply Watershed Critical Area (WS-IV CA) are located within the southwestern portion of the FLUSA in Lenoir County. The WS-IV PA is located along the Neuse River, which encompassesBear Creek (south of La Grange and US 70), Squirrel Creek, and Dailey’s Creek. The WS-IV CA is located in the area immediately surrounding the New Water Treatment Plant that is located south of US 70 on Kennedy Home Road. Lenoir County has a local stormwater permitting authority over this area through the Local Watershed Protection Program. Also within Lenoir County, the City of Kinston is mandated by the state to manage stormwater runoff to control Nitrogen levels in the Neuse River. New development activities within the City of Kinston are required to meet nutrient reduction goals by implementing planning strategies and best management practices per the Neuse Stormwater Rule. The City of Kinston has implemented a stormwater permitting program for areas within its municipal jurisdiction for compliance with the Neuse Stormwater Rule. Craven County, the Town of Dover, and Cove City are subject to the stormwater management requirements for development in Coastal Counties under the State Stormwater Guidelines (15A NCAC 02H .1005).Within Craven County, including the Town of Dover and Cove City, development activities are reviewed for compliance with the State Stormwater Program by the NC DWQ Regional Office in Washington. The FLUSA extends into a portion of the Town of Grifton in Pitt County. The Town of Grifton is located in a tipped in portion of Pitt County and is therefore subject to Phase II post-construction stormwater management requirements in 15A NCAC 02H .1000. Compliance with the State Stormwater Program is reviewed and approved by the NC DWQ Central Office. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 11 10.0NOTABLE FEATURES 10.1HUMAN ENVIRONMENT TheCommunity Characteristics Report(CCR)completed for STIP R-2553noted that there are several active neighborhood groups and churches located within Kinston. In particular, several African American churches and surrounding neighborhoods were active in the southeastern portion of Kinston, which are in the vicinity of theNeuse River in eastern Kinston. The Kinston Regional Jetport at Stallings Field is located just north of Kinston between NC 58 and US 258, and is owned by the North Carolina GTPAuthority. The Jetport has a lighted asphalt runway 11,500 feet in lengthand 150 feet in width, making it the longest commercial runway in North Carolina. With weight limitations of 90,000 pounds for a single-wheeled aircraft and 135,000 pounds for double-wheeled aircraft, the runway can accommodate the world’s largest cargo jets. Two freight carriers have rail lines that cross through the project study area.The North Carolina Railroad Company/Norfolk Southern Railroad has aline that runs east-westfrom New Bern to Raleigh.CSX operates a north-south line from Greenville to northern Kinston. The GTP Authority has plans to be served by two Class I railroad carriers with a spur(which is currently under construction)that will connect into the Norfolk Southern Railroad to the Port of Morehead City. Over the years, Kinston and Lenoir County havebeen subjected tosevere floodingalong the Neuse River, including two severe flood events in 1996 and 1999 following Hurricanes Fran and Floyd, respectively. Following the 500-year flood event in 1999,the community in conjunction with assistance from the federal and state government, embarked on a major relocation programutilizing the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP), which is a federalbuyout grant program,through the Federal Emergency Management Agency, used to relocate businesses and residences from the floodplain.This project included over 700 acres of land and 700 homes (Kinston, 2009).This relocation plan has been and continues to be a major issue for the community as they continue work today on its implementation.Issues with flooding still plague the community and how the new roadway may impact flooding will be a key community issueas the project moves forward. In response to the severe flooding, The Conservation Fund developed a plan entitledthe Kinston-Lenoir County Green Infrastructure Plan for the Neuse River Floodplainin 2001. The plan was developed in partnership with the University of North Carolina's Department of City and Regional Planning, Kinston, and Lenoir Countyandfocuses around three areas: heritage tourism (e.g., a Civil War site and historic buildings), passive recreation (e.g., an educational forest and nature trail), and active recreation. Hub areas were identified for appropriate activities and linked with connectors or greenway segments to allow residents and visitors to travel throughout the countyby foot, bicycle, canoe, or car to experience the diverse activities and landscapes of the region. In 2002, the same group developed another plan entitled Linking Natural and Historic Assets: Green Infrastructure As Economic Development in Lenoir County, NC. The plan identifies opportunities for the city and county to leverage existing natural and historic assets for an economic development strategy based on recreation and heritage tourism (The Conservation Fund, www.greeninfrastructure.net). Numerous historical resources are found throughout the study area, including five sites associated with the First Battle of Kinston, the Wyse Fork Battlefield, and a number of STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 13 architectural historic sites. Many are listed on the National Register of Historic Places. Existing US 70 runs through the Wyse Fork Battlefield historical area, which covers approximately 4,069 acres southeast of Kinston. This area includes several important historical sites associated with the 1865 Battle of Wyse Fork, and is currently on the Study List and is in the process of being listed in the National Register of Historic Places. There areno state or national parks or forests in the FLUSA. The only designated parkland in the study areaare thepark facilities operated by the Kinston/Lenoir County Parks & Recreation Department, which includes the Neuseway Nature Park and Campground in Kinstonand the Rotary Dog Park that are located near existing US 70.All of the park facilities operated by the Kinston/Lenoir County Parks & Recreation Departmentin the FLUSAare eligible Section 4(f) properties. Sixbicycle routes have been designated by NCDOTin Lenoir County, though no roads have dedicated bicycle lanes.The Mountains to Sea Trail, a trail that runs through North Carolina from the Great Smoky Mountains to the Outer Banks, passes through the FLUSA. This trail is a part of the North Carolina State Trails Program. SeveralVoluntary Agricultural Districts(VADs)arelocated in Jones County(Figure 4). Lands under VAD protection have a conservation agreement between the landowner and the county that prohibits non-farm use ordevelopment for a period of at least ten years. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 14 10.2NATURAL ENVIRONMENT Several natural and conservation areas are located within the study area. The Neuse River traverses the FLUSAfrom west to east, running just south of downtown Kinston. The Neuse River is classified as a Nutrient Sensitive Water and efforts have been made at the state and local levelsto work to reduce the nutrient levels of the river. In 2002, the North CarolinaDivision of Water Quality (NC DWQ) issued a watershed-based permit to the Neuse River Compliance Association(NRCA).The NRCA is a non-profit organization representing municipalities and industries located in the Neuse River Basin which work together to monitor water quality in surface waters in the Neuse River Basin. The NRCA hasmade the improvement and conservation of the river and its resources a priority.The entirety of the river within the FLUSAis designated as an Anadromous Fish Spawning Area.TheNeuse River has been subject to environmental and public health problems related to municipal and agricultural wastewater discharge, storm runoff, and other sources of pollution.Pollution was particularly highin the aftermath of Hurricanes FranandFloydin the late 1990s.The dinoflagellate Pfiesteria piscicida is present in the river, and is affected by nutrient levels in the river. This organism may be connected to fish kills as well as adverse health effects in humans. The North American Land Trust owns a parcel along the Neuse River just east of the FLUSA (Figure 5).It was purchased as ‘Farmland Preservation and Buffer.’Several easements have been purchased along Bear Creek and the Neuse River by Restoration Systems and the NC Coastal Land Trust.Two of these contain old mooring sites.A major restoration project was completed along Bear Creek in 2001 by Restoration Systems. The Core Restoration Area is 180 acres, which includes 80 acres of restored croplands. Another 800 acres of wetlands in the Bear Creek Mitigation Complex are being preserved. Several conservation areas and Significant Natural Heritage Areas (SNHAs) are present within and just outsideofthe FLUSA.A SNHA is an area of land or water identified by the NC Natural Heritage Program (NCNHP) as being importantfor their biodiversity. SNHAs contain one or more high-quality or rare natural communities, rare species, and/orspecial animal habitats.The eastern portion of the FLUSAcontains the Dover Bay Gamelands and the Dover Bay Pocosin, whichare contained within a SNHA. The Dover Bay Preserve/Gameland is a state-listed SNHA found in the Craven County portion of the study area.Several conservation properties and state/federal listed species exist in the study area. The project lies in the central portion of the Neuse River Basinwithin the Coastal Plain. The FLUSA contains portions of four North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) sub-basins, represented by six-digit sub-basin codes(See Figure 5). These include: 03-04-05, 03-04-07, 03- 04-08, and 03-04-11. The majority of the FLUSA is encompassed within sub-basin 03-04-05. Twenty-seven 14-digit Hydrologic Unit Code (HUCODE)watersheds are included in the FLUSA. Fifteen of the 27 have been designated as“Targeted Local Watersheds” by the North Carolina Ecosystem Enhancement Program (NCEEP). Targeted Local Watersheds are those that have a high need for improvement and a high potential to benefit from restoration efforts, many of which occur in the form of mitigation by the NCDOT. Local Watershed Plans (LWP) have been developedfor four of the Targeted Local Watersheds in the FLUSA:03020204030020, 03020202040010, 03020204050030, and 03020204050040. There are seventy-eight streams/stream segments that fall within or partially within the FLUSA (See Figure 5).The Neuse River is the main water source and defining feature in the FLUSA. A small portionof the Neuse Riveris designated as WS-IV,NSW, CA from the intake to the New STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 16 Water Treatment Plant for approximately one-half mile up-stream. However, the restof the Neuse River within the FLUSA is designated C; NSW. The other notable waters areBear Creek and Squirrel Creek,whicharedesignated as WS-IV;Sw, NSWfor the portions within the water supply watershed.The rest of the creeks within the FLUSA are designated as C;Sw,NSW. Table 3 defines these stream classifications. Table 4:Definitions ofStream Classifications Stream ClassificationExplanation Class CWaters protected for uses such as secondary recreation, fishing, wildlife, fish consumption, aquatic life including propagation, survival and maintenance of biological integrity, and agriculture. Secondary recreation includes wading, boating, and other uses involving human body contact with water where such activities take place in an infrequent, unorganized, or incidental manner. Sw (Swamp Waters)Supplemental classification intended to recognize those waters which have low velocities and other natural characteristics which are different from adjacent streams. Critical Area (CA)A supplemental designation used to classify waters in close proximity to a water supply intake and/or the shoreline of the reservoir in which it is located. Nutrient Sensitive Supplemental classification intended for waters needing additional nutrient Waters (NSW)management due to being subject to excessive growth of microscopic or macroscopic vegetation. Water Supply IV (WS-Waters used as sources of water supply for drinking, culinary, or food processing purposes where a WS-I, II or III classification is not feasible. IV) These waters are also protected for Class C uses. WS-IV waters are generally in moderately to highly developed watersheds orProtected Areas. Source: NCDENR, Division of Water Quality. 2011. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/classifications There are four stream segments within or partially within theFLUSA that are on the Final North Carolina Water Quality Assessment and Impaired Waters List (2010Integrated 305(b) and 303(d) Report), approved August 31, 2010.The streams and a brief description of the impairment are listed in Table 5and shown on Figure 5.No Outstanding Resource Waters, High Quality Waters, or Wild and Scenic Riversexist within or within one mile of the FLUSA. Table 5: Streams listed as 303(d) DWQ Stream StreamNameDescriptionReason for Rating Index Number 27-101-15Beaver CreekFrom source to Trent RiverSevere bio-classification 27-101-17Musselshell CreekFrom sourceto Trent RiverSevere bio-classification 27-72-(0.1)Bear CreekFrom sourceto a point 0.3 mile Fair bio-classification downstream of Lenoir County SR 1002 27-90a2Core CreekFrom upstream crossing of SR 1239 to Severe bio-classification Grape Creek Source: NCDENR, Division of Water Quality. 2011. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/mtu/assessment STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 17 11.0DEVELOPMENT REGULATIONS 11.1NC ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT COMMISSION (NCEMC) The NCEMC adopted a buffer protection rule in 1997 for the Neuse River Basin. This rule requires a 50-foot riparian area be protected and maintained alongwaterways within the river basin. A buffer mitigation rule allows some activities with prescribed mitigation. The buffer rules are administered by the NCDWQ. 11.2LENOIRCOUNTY The Lenoir County Zoning Ordinanceapplies to areasofthe FLUSAthat are in LenoirCounty and outside municipallimits.The zoning ordinance contains three zoning districts: rural, commercial and industrial.The zoning districtstandards apply to sites within the district and require minimumstandardsfor the buildings, setbacks, driveways, and permitted and special uses.The county has separate ordinances including: flooddamage and prevention ordinance, subdivision ordinance, watershed protection ordinance,andseveral others which regulate nuisance activities. The Lenoir CountyFlood Damage and Protection Ordinanceis intended to minimize both public and private losses due to flood conditions. The ordinance includes standards for development in the floodway or floodway fringe.Major provisions of the ordinance include the following: Restrict or prohibit uses which are dangerous to health, safety, and property due to water or erosion hazards, or which result in damaging increases in erosion or floor heights or velocities; Require that uses vulnerable to floods, including facilities which serve such uses, be protected against flood damage at the time of initial construction; Control the alteration of natural floodplains, stream channels, and natural protective barriers which are involved in the accommodation of flood waters; Control filling, grading, dredging, and other development which may increase erosion or flood damage; and Prevent or regulate the construction and flood barriers which will unnaturally divert flood waters or which may increase flood hazards to other lands. The Lenoir County Watershed Protection Ordinanceapplies to a portion of the southwest area of the FLUSA (Figure 5). TheWatershed ordinance establishes densityand intensity standards for residential and nonresidential development within the WS IV-CA (critical areas) and WS IV- PA (protected areas)of the watershed. Critical areas are limited to 2 dwelling units/acre and have limits of 24 percent impervious surface for nonresidential development and other residential uses.Protected Areas are limited to 3 dwelling units/acre and have limits of 36 percent impervious surface for nonresidential development and other residential development that does not have a curb and gutter street system. All development is required to have 50-foot vegetative buffers along all perennial streams. Development activities that disturb greater than one acre of land (requiring a Sedimentation/Erosion Control Plan per 15A NCAC 4) within the WS-IV PA are limited to certain low density requirements including two dwelling units of single family detached development per acre (or 24 percentBUA) or three dwelling units per acre (or 36percentBUA) for projects without curb and gutter street systems. For low density development, stormwater must be managed using vegetated conveyances. High density development is any development that STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 19 does not meet the low density requirements up to an allowable development density of 70 percent built-upon area. High density development must control and manage runoff from the first inch of rainfall using the appropriate stormwater best management practices (15A NCAC 02B .0216). Within the WS-IV CA, low density development is defined as any development requiringa Sedimentation/Erosion Control Plan and limited to no more than two dwelling units of single family detached development per acre (or 24 percentBUA) for all other residential and non- residential development. If development qualifies as low density development, stormwater runoff is managed through vegetated conveyances. Otherwise all development not meeting the low density requirement, up to an allowable density of 50percentBUA is required to use appropriate stormwater best management practices to control runoff from the first inch of rainfall (15A NCAC 02B .0216). 11.3CITY OF KINSTON Kinston uses a Unified Development Ordinanceas its basis for land development. This ordinance applies to areas within the municipal limits of Kinston, as well as within Kinston’s extraterritorial jurisdiction (ETJ). The zoning section has three broad categories of land uses: residential, commercial, and industrial. Each category has several subcategories of land uses. The objectives of the zoning is to guide appropriate use and development of parcels in a manner in which land uses would be compatible to neighboring parcels, topographic features, natural habitat, and infrastructure. The City of Kinston is currently planning to update its Unified Development Ordinance. New development activities within the City of Kinston are required to meet nutrient reduction goals by implementing planning strategies and best management practices per the Neuse Stormwater Rule. Development activities cannot exceed certain nitrogen loadloading rates. Secondly, there can be no net increase in peak flow leaving a development site as compared to pre-development conditions for the 2-year, 24-hour storm event. Lastly, a 50-foot riparian buffer must be maintained on all sides of intermittentand perennial streams, ponds, lakes, and estuaries in the Neuse River Basin. The City of Kinston has implemented a stormwater permitting program for areas within its municipal jurisdiction for compliance with the Neuse Stormwater Rule. 11.4CRAVEN COUNTY Craven County does not implement county-wide zoning. Separate ordinances regulate Subdivisions, Mobile Home Parks, Flood Damage Prevention, Off-Premise Signs, and Septic Tanks. Craven County also enacted ordinances that address encroachment issues atthe Cherry Point Marine Corp Air Station(MCAS)and the Craven Regional Airport. Craven County adopted a Coastal Area Management Act (CAMA)Core Land Use Planin 2009that establishes land use policies to guide development in the CAMA major and minor permitting process. Policies also address the need to guide development along the US 70 Corridor by enacting a corridor zoning ordinance. Craven County, the Town of Dover, and Cove City are subject to the stormwater management requirements for development in Coastal Counties under the State Stormwater Guidelines (15A NCAC 02H .1005). In these areas, (1) nonresidential development that adds more than 10,000 square feet of BUA or that requires a Sedimentation/Erosion Control Plan or a CAMA Major Permit or (2) residential development that requires a Sedimentation/Erosion Control Plan or a CAMA Major Permit must manage runoff according to the rule. Low density development is STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 20 limited to a BUA of 12 percent in areas near Outstanding Resource Waters (ORW) and within one-half mile of and draining to Class SA waters. Otherwise, low density development is limited to 24 percent BUA. Areas of low density development must manage stormwater runoff by the use of vegetated conveyance and are prohibited from using stormwater collection systems, High density development (defined as BUA that exceeds the low density BUA thresholds) must control runoff generated by the one and one-half inch storm event using specific stormwater best management practices. Development near ORWs and within one-half mile of and draining to Class SA waters also have the option to control stormwater runoff from the pre-and post- development conditions for the one-year, 24-hour storm using specific stormwater best management practices. Within Craven County, including the Town of Dover and Cove City, development activities are reviewed for compliance with the State Stormwater Program by the NC DWQ Regional Office in Washington. 11.5PITTCOUNTY The PittCounty Planning and Zoning Ordinanceapplyto areas of the FLUSA withinPittCounty and outside municipallimits. This ordinanceincludes azoning map, development standards and environmental regulations. The environmentalregulationsaresimilar to the Environmental OrdinancesofLenoir Countywith sectionson stormwater management/watershed protection, soil erosion and sedimentation control, and flood damage prevention.Pitt County also implements a separate Riparian Buffer Ordinance which implements the Tar-Pamlico and Neuse Riparian buffer requirements in Pitt County. The ordinance requires a 50-foot riparian buffer for all streams, lakes, ponds, wetlands, and estuarine waters. The ordinance requires mitigation for impacts resulting from roadway projects. PittCounty updated and adopted their Comprehensive Land Use Planin 2002. Within this plan are Future Land Use designations,including the Town of Grifton, its Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ) and Rural Residential Areas designated around these municipal areas. These are included within the northwest portion of the FLUSA. The watershed and storm water protection rulesincluded in the above-discussed ordinanceswill helpmoderate environmental impactsof the proposed project. Pitt County implements watershed and stormwater ordinances for the Town of Grifton. 11.6TOWN OF GRIFTON The Grifton Land Development Planwas adopted in 2010 andprovidesa frameworkthat encouragescompatible newdevelopmentwith a land classification system including, residential, commercial, recreational andindustrial uses.Grifton uses aZoning Ordinanceas its basis for land development. The zoning section has three broad categories of land uses: residential, business, and industrial. Each category has several subcategories of land uses. The objectives of the zoning is to guide appropriate use and development of parcels in a manner in which land uses would be compatible to neighboring parcels, topographic features, natural habitat, and infrastructure. The Town of Grifton is located in a tipped in portion of Pitt County and is therefore subject to Phase II post-construction stormwater management requirements in 15A NCAC 02H .1000. According to the Phase II requirements, low density development is defined as any development that contains no more than 24 percent BUA or not more than two dwelling units per acre. Low density projectsmust use vegetative conveyances to manage stormwater. High density development is defined as any development greater than 24 percent BUA. High density projects must use structural stormwater best management practices to control and treat runoff STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 21 from the first inch of rain. In addition, all built upon area must be 30-ft landward of all perennial and intermittent surface waters. Contentnea Creek, at the county boundary between Pitt County and Lenoir County, is aNutrient Sensitive Water (NSW). Per the Phase II requirements, development within the Pitt County portion of the Town of Grifton must implement BMPs that reduce nutrient loading. Compliance with the State Stormwater Program is reviewed and approved by the NC DWQ Central Office. 11.7JONES COUNTY Jones County does not implement county-wide zoning.The county implements a subdivision ordinance and building code. 12.0LAND SUITABILITY The FLUSA includes approximately 297,448 acres of land. Of this, approximately 129,301 acres (43.5 percent) are considered developable. Developable land was determined to include undeveloped parcels of land (those without building structures). Developable land does not include protected lands such as public parks, Voluntary Agricultural Districts (VADs),NCDOT on-site mitigation properties, orlands managed for conservation and open space. Other land that was not considered developable includes right of ways for roads and raillines, rivers and streams, floodwaysand land protected by theNeuse River buffer rules. Wetlands exist within the FLUSA and may be more difficult to develop; however, these have not been delineated and were not excluded from the land considered developable. Once identified, the amount of wetlands within the FLUSAcould lessen the developable acres. Inaddition, underutilized parcels were identified by selecting parcels in which the total value of improvements (i.e. buildings/structures) is less than the value of the parcel (i.e. land) without improvements.Table 6provides a summary of the acreages available for development and of underutilized parcels. Figure 6shows theland available for potential development. Table 6: Available Land percentof Acres FLUSA FLUSA297,448- Vacant & Developable129,30143.5 Underutilized73,66224.8 *Wetlands were not excluded from Vacant and Underutilized land. The FLUSA was also screened and evaluated for environmental sensitivity. This was completed using NC DENR’s Biodiversity and Wildlife Habitat Assessment tool, which combines different GIS data layers representing wildlife habitats and places with biological diversity. The index scores land based on its relative conservation value on a scale from 1-10, with areas rated 10 having the maximum conservation value and areas rated 1 having a moderate conservation value. Other values shown on this scale include (-1) for impervious surfaces and 0 for unrated areas. Thisassessment helps determine areas of high conservation value. Figure 7shows the environmental sensitivity screening that was completed for the FLUSA. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 22 13.0MARKET FOR DEVELOPMENT 13.1CURRENT DEVELOPMENT PRESSURES Representatives from the City of Kinstonhave indicated that most residential growth in the study area is in the area northwest of Kinston between US 258 and Aldridge Store Road(Kinston, 2009).The GTP and surrounding area (Poole Road, Dobbs Farm Road, US 258) includes business and industrial land uses. This area is also currently mixed with agricultural and residential uses. Additional industrial and business development is anticipated.Business and industrial land uses also occur on US 70 west of Kinston, on NC 11/55 south of Kinston, and on NC 11 north of Kinston near Graingers. The region has seen recent economic investments in the community from new and expanding businesses. According to the City of Kinston the following investments have occurredover the last 7 years: Smithfield Packing Company, $80 million investment, and 200 jobs Sanderson Farms, $126 million investment, and 1,650 jobs Spirit Aerosystems, $570 million investment, and 1,000 jobs Spatial Integrated Systems, $2.75 million investment, and 37 jobs Ferguson Enterprises, $400K investment, and 30 jobs A.G. Machining of North Carolina, 1.65 million investment, and 29 jobs Commerce Overseas Corporation, $4.3 million investment, and 73 jobs West Pharmaceuticals, $18.5 million investment, and 154 jobs Extrolux, $18 million investment, and 97 jobs Dupont, $55 million investment, and 66 jobs Currently, the North Carolina Division of Veterans Affairs is currently constructing a North Carolina Veterans Home nursing care facility with 100 beds. This facility is slated for completion in 2012.And, in January 2012, Commerce OverseasCorporationannounced that it was relocating to GTP and expects to bring 72 jobs to the area. 13.2DEVELOPMENT MARKET ASSUMPTIONS As previously discussed, Lenoir County is expected to see minimal population growth through 2035 (the horizon for the planning documents and projections used in the development of this report). However, the presence of the GTP has the ability to impact this projection and push growth upward if there is an uptick in employment and development. When the GTP was initially developed, it was expected to result in population and development increases in the county due to an increase in employment opportunities. Projections made in 2000 estimated that population of Lenoir County could increase substantially, by as much as 39 percent by the year 2025. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 25 In the near-term,the limited growth that is expected for Lenoir County is likely to occurnear GTP (north of Kinston) and in other areas located near transportation and utility infrastructure. This is particularly true for businesses and industry that depend on the logistical hubs of GTP and the nearby Port of Morehead City and the interstate highway system. The long-term outlook for the region is positive for economic growth with state and localplans that envision an overall improved US 70 Corridor, which will be built to freeway standards from I-40 to the coast. This will connect the GTP in Kinston to both the Port of Morehead City and I-40 and I-95; creating synergy for the region as a logistics hub. 14.0INDIRECT SCREENING MATRIXMETHODOLOGY The categories listed on the Indirect Screening Matrix (Table 9)have been shown to influence land development decisions in numerous areas statewide and nationally.The measures used to rate the impacts from a high concern for indirect effects potential to less concern for indirect effects potential are supported by the discussions presented in this document.Each characteristic is assessed individually and the results of the table are looked at comprehensively to determine the indirect effects potential of the proposed project.The scope of the project and change in accessibility categories are given extra weight to determine if future growth in the area is related to the project modifications. Given the key differences between the upgrade existing alternative, the northern alternatives, and thesouthern alternatives; a separate indirect screening matrix was created for each of these three scenarios. 14.1UPGRADE EXISTING ALTERNATIVE Scope of Project -The upgrade existing alternative will involve converting the existing US 70 to a full control of access highway; which would involvean expansion of the existing right-of-way to include service roads on both sides of the highway and the creation ofinterchanges atmultiple intersections. Thus, this category was rated medium-high. Change in Accessibility -The project would provide a controlled-access freeway, which will result in travel time savings that will exceed 10 minutes. This will improve accessibility from Kinston and GTP to the Port of Morehead City and I-95and I-40.Thereforethiscategory was rated high. Forecasted Population Growth -Populationforecasts for Lenoir Countyshow anannual growth rate of 0.13percent. Thus, this category was rated low. Forecasted Employment Growth –The Eastern Carolina Region is projected to have an average annual employment growth rate of 1.7 percent. Within the FLUSA, GTP is expected to bring a number of new jobs to the area. Other commercial and industrial areas have seen expansions over the recent years.Yetgiven the current state of the economy nationwide and within North Carolina, this category was rated medium. Available Land -It was calculated that 120,245acres of land are available for development(40 percent)within the FLUSA;including land available along the upgrade existing corridor. Thereforethis category was rated high. Water and Sewer Availability –The entire FLUSAhas water service.Wastewater/sewer service is only available within and immediately outside of Kinston/GTP, La Grange, Cove City, Dover, and Grifton,and rural areas must use septic tanks. Thus, this category was rated medium-high. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 26 Market for Development –Currently, no major developments are underwaywithin the FLUSA. Residential development is limited.Thus, this category was rated medium-low. PublicPolicy -Standard town and county ordinances exist thatprovide development and environmental regulations. Few special regulations exist, with the exception of the Neuse River BufferRules (which pertain to development within the NeuseRiver watershed). Thus, this category was rated medium. Notable Environmental Features –The Neuse River and associatedwetland systems exist within the FLUSAandwillbeimpactedby the project. Given that this alternative will be upgrading the existing roadway, thiscategory was rated medium. 14.2NORTHERN ALTERNATIVES Scope of Project -The Northern Alternatives will beabypass on new location around the northern side of the City of Kinston with multiple interchanges, so this category was rated high. Change in Accessibility -The project would provide a controlled-access freeway, which would result in travel time savings that will exceed 10 minutes. This will improve accessibility from Kinston and GTP to the Port of Morehead City and I-95 and I-40. Therefore this category was rated high. Forecasted Population Growth -Population forecasts for Lenoir County show an annual growth rate of 0.13percent. Thus, this category was rated low. Forecasted Employment Growth –The Eastern Carolina Region is projected to have an average annual employment growth rate of 1.7 percent. Within the FLUSA, GTP is expected to bring a number of new jobs to the area; and given the proximity of the Northern Alternatives to GTP, this category was rated medium-high. Available Land -It was calculated that 120,245 acres of land are available for development (40 percent); including land available along the Northern Alternatives. Therefore this category was rated high. Water and Sewer Availability –The entire FLUSA has water service. Wastewater/sewer service is only available within and immediately outside of Kinston/GTP, La Grange, Cove City, Dover, and Grifton and rural areas must use septic tanks. Thus, this category was rated medium-high. Market for Development –Currently, no major developments areunderway. Residential development is limited, but what has occurred, has been concentrated on the northwestern side of Kinston and within the GTP. Thus, this category was rated medium. Public Policy -Standard town and county ordinances exist that providedevelopment and environmental regulations. Few special regulations exist, with the exception of the Neuse River Buffer Rules (which pertain to development within the Neuse River watershed). Thus, this category was rated medium. Notable Environmental Features –The Neuse River and associated wetland systems exist within the FLUSA and will be crossed by the project, sothis category was rated high. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 27 14.3SOUTHERN ALTERNATIVES Scope of Project -The Southern Alternatives will be a bypass on new location around the southern side of the City of Kinston with multiple interchanges, so this category was rated high. Change in Accessibility -The project would provide a controlled-access freeway, which would result in travel time savings that will exceed 10 minutes. This will improve accessibility from Kinston to the Port of Morehead City and I-95 and I-40. Therefore this category was rated high. Forecasted Population Growth -Population forecasts for Lenoir County show an annual growth rate of 0.13percent. Thus, this category was rated low. Forecasted Employment Growth –The Eastern Carolina Region is projected to have an average annual employment growth rate of 1.7 percent. Within the FLUSA, GTP is expected to bring a number of new jobs to the area. Other commercial and industrial areas have seen expansions over the recent years. However, given that a Southern Alternative will not directly tie into the GTP, this category was rated medium-low. Available Land -It was calculated that 120,245 acres of land are available for development (40 percent); including land available along the Southern Alternatives. Therefore this category was rated high. Water and Sewer Availability –The entire FLUSA has water service. Wastewater/sewer service is only available within and immediately outside of Kinston/GTP, La Grange, Cove City, Dover, and Grifton and rural areas must use septic tanks. The Southern Alternatives traverse few areas which are served by wastewater/sewer service. Thus, this category was rated medium. Market for Development –Currently, no major developments are underway. Residential development is limited. Thus, this category was rated medium-low. Public Policy -Standard town and county ordinances exist that provide development and environmental regulations. Fewspecial regulations exist, with the exception of the Neuse River Buffer Rules (which pertain to development within the Neuse River watershed). Thus, this category was rated medium. Notable Environmental Features –The Neuse River and associated wetland systems exist within the FLUSA and the Southern Alternatives willpass through a particularly wide section of the Neuse River and the associated wetlands and flood plain systems, sothis category was rated high. 14.4CONCLUSION Based on the information gathered, the majority of the categories on the screening tool reflected moderate to high concern for indirect and cumulative effects potentialfor each of the three alternative types (Upgrade Existing, Northern Alternatives, and Southern Alternatives).The overall result, considering scope of the project, changes in accessibility, and the amount of land available for developmentsuggeststhat further examinationin the form of a Land Use Scenario Assessmentis warranted. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 28 STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 29 STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 30 STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 31 15.0NEXT STEPS The indirect screening tool noted that land use and development decisions in this area could be altered by construction of the project as currently proposed. An Indirect and Cumulative Effects (ICE)Land Use Scenario Assessment is recommended forthis project, which will examine probablegrowth scenarios to determine if impacts to notable features, including waterways, are likely. The ICE Land Use Scenario Assessment will look at the changes that could occur in the area with the proposed project (Build) and look at the changes that could occur in the area without (No-Build) the proposed project. 16.0CUMULATIVE EFFECTS SUMMARY The time horizon for indirect and cumulative effects is to the year 2035, which corresponds to local planning documents. Adopted local and regional plans relevant to the project have future planning years ranging from 2015 to 2035. The City of Kinston Comprehensive Transportation Plan(NCDOT, 2011) has been developed for 2030. Traffic forecasts completed for the project extend to 2035. The cumulative effects analysis includes an assessment of past, current, and future projects that are reasonably foreseeable to determine potential cumulative effects. 16.1PAST PROJECTS The following table provides a list and brief description of the major past projects that have influenced growth and development in the FLUSA. Table 10: Summary of Past Projects Past ProjectsDescription of Action US 70 BypassUS 70 Bypass from roughly Hillcrest Road, south of Kinston to S. Queen Street Global TransPark (GTP)A multi-modal industrial site that is funded by the state and aims to attract aerospace, defense, and logistics companies to the site in an effort to create askilled labor and industrial manufacturing employment center. C.F. Harvey ParkwayConstruction of a 4-lane divided facility from NC 58 to US 258 to serve GTP. FEMA’s HMGP Buy Out ProgramFollowing major flooding events after Hurricanes Fran and Floyd, the community participated in the federal buyout program for properties that were located within the Neuse River floodplain and most prone to repeated flooding. Properties which have been bought outmust remain open space/parkland with no permanent structures to be built in perpetuity. Lenoir County New Water A water treatment facility, which began operation in 2008, and Treatment Planthas increased the available water supplyfor the regionby 15 million gallons per day.It is located off of Kennedy Farm Road, south of US 70. Kinston Regional Water The former Northside Water Treatment Plan was expanded in Reclamation Facility2007 to handle 11.5 million gallons per day.The plant is located on the east side of Kinston along the Neuse River. Sanderson Farms Processing Constructed in 2010, south of US 70 to the west of the City of PlantKinston. Commercial Development along Big box retailers, general commercial strip development, and gas stations have developed along the US 70 Bypass over the last 25 US 70 years. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 32 16.2CURRENT PROJECTS The following table provides abrief description of current projects that are likely to influence growth within the FLUSA. Table 11: Summary of CurrentProjects Current ProjectsDescription of Action C.F. Harvey Parkway ExtensionExtension of the road as a controlled access facility from US 258 (STIP # R-2719A)to US 70 on new location(under construction). GTP Rail Spur(STIP # U-2928B)A rail spur that will connect GTP to the North Carolina Railroad line that runs east-west on the southern side of Kinston(under construction). Goldsboro Bypass US 70 Goldsboro Bypass, west of NC 581 in Wayne County to east of SR 1323 (Promise Land Road) in Lenoir County –four (STIP # R-2554) lane divided freeway on new location(under construction). GTPSpirit Aerosystems opened a 500,000 square foot manufacturing facility at GTP in 2010. Employment should reach over 1,000 personsover the next few years. NC Veterans HomeNC Division of Veterans Affairs is currently constructing a 100 bed facility in the City of Kinston. 16.3FUTURE PROJECTS The following table provides a list and brief description of future projects that are likely to influence growth and development within the FLUSA. Table 12: Summary of FutureProjects FutureProjectsDescription of Action Carey Road Extension Carey Road Extension from SR 1572 (Rouse Road) to US 258 – multi-lanes on new location (1.7 miles) (STIP # U-3618) GTP GTP has plans to further expand by adding more businesses and expanding existing businesses to become an aerospace manufacturing and logistics hub. NC 11/55 Skinners Bypass NCDOT proposes to bridge this intersection and construct a Interchangesquare loop intersection with NC 11/55 and US 70 in Kinston. US 70 CorridorThe vision of this corridor is to transform US 70 into a freeway from I-40 to the coast. Port of Morehead City ExpansionThe NC Ports Authority has plans to construct two berths and three warehouses on a 68 acre site on Radio Island. There are also longer term plans to possibly expand further on Radio Island, where as much as 250 acres are available for port expansion projects. 16.4CUMULATIVE EFFECTS SUMMARY STATEMENT This project is expected to contribute to indirect and cumulative effects of future changes within the FLUSA. The project is expected to result in travel time savings of greater than 10 minutes and will change property access and exposure and create new land use/transportation nodes. Table 13provides a summary of impaired and/or protected notable environmental features that are within the FLUSA and highlights likely foreseeable cumulative impacts from the proposed project. The Indirect and Cumulative Effects Land Use Scenario Assessment will better discern the magnitude of the effects. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 33 Direct environmental impacts by NCDOT projects are addressed by avoidance, minimization or mitigation, consistent with programmatic agreements with the natural resource agencies during the permitting processes. All development will be required to follow local, state and federal guidelines and permitting requirements. Table 13: Summary Notable Environmental Resourcesand Foreseeable Impacts Notable DescriptionForeseeable Impacts Environmental Resources FEMA’s Hazard Contains over 700 acres of land was No impacts are expected, as MitigationGrant purchased under FEMA HMGP, which is a regulations in place will Program (HMGP) federal buyout grant program used to continue to prohibit relocate businesses and residences from the development or alterations to Buyout Properties floodplain. Restrictive covenants are in place the HMGP Properties. which prohibits construction of any Positive resource effects, keeps floodplains and permanent structures or impervious surfaces. associated wetlands intact, helps innate functions for stormwater treatment and retention, and flood prevention and mitigation. Wyse Fork BattlefieldContains approximately 4,000 acres of land Induced development could southeast of Kinston along US 70 and has infringe on the quality of this been determined eligible for the National historic resource. Register of Historic Places. Voluntary Agriculture Several farms in Jones County are protected If the VADs are not renewed Districts (VADs)as VADs, which have a conservation and conversion to residential agreement between the landowner and the or other land use, thus county that prohibits non-farm use or reducing productive farmland. development for a period of at least ten years. Neuse River –Nutrient The portion of the Neuse River within the Increased water runoff from Sensitive WaterFLUSA is classified as a NSW. The Neuse induced growth could impact (NSW)River Compliance Association has a the water quality of the Neuse watershed based permit from the NC DWQ River. and represents local governmental units to monitor water quality within the watershed. Neuse River –The portion of the Neuse River within the New culverts built over small Anadromous Fish FLUSA is designated as an Anadromous streams can interrupt Spawning AreaFish Spawning Area. Designated migration patterns of anadromous fish spawning areas have anadromous fish, which can construction moratorium dates when lead to a decline in construction cannot occur during spawning anadromous fish and have an impact the number of fish in periods. salt water environments. Conservation Several areas of land have been purchased Nodirectimpacts are Easementsas conservation easements within the expected, as deed restrictions FLUSA, which includes wetlands, and are in place that will prohibit croplands. These lands carry deed changes in land use. restrictions, which prohibit development However, habitats on adjacent properties that are activity. unprotected could be STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 34 Notable DescriptionForeseeable Impacts Environmental Resources destroyed or impaired and effect biological diversity on the conservation easements. Signficant Natural Several SNHAs exist within the FLUSA. Induced growth could create Heritage Areas SNHAs contain one or more high-quality or development pressure to rare natural communities, rare species, develop SNHAs for active (SNHAs) land uses and/or habitat and/or special animal habitats. fragmentation could take place, which would limit the integrity of the SNHA. Targeted Local Twenty-seven 14-digit Hydrologic Unit Code Increased surface water Watershedswatershed are within the FLUSA, and fifteen runoff from induced growth have been designated as Targeted Local could further contribute to the Watersheds by the NC Ecosystem degradation of the targeted Enhancement Program. Targeted Local local watersheds. Watersheds have ahigh need for improvement and a high potential to benefit from restoration efforts, many of which occur in form of mitigation from the NCDOT. 303(d) StreamsFour streams/rivers within the FLUSA are Increased surface water listed as impaired for severe or fair bio-runoff from induced growth classification.could further contribute to the stream bio-classification. Surface WatersA portion of the FLUSA includes a portion of Induced development will a WS-IV water supply watershed which has influence growth within this portions designated both as a protected area water supply watershed, but and a critical area. Residential and growth will be constrained by commercial densities are regulated in these the density requirements of areas.the watersheds. WetlandsWetlands are located throughout the FLUSA Induced development will and are protected under Section 404 of the eliminate small wetlands, Clean Water Act.which will lead to a significant aggregate loss of wetlands. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 35 17.0SOURCES The Conservation Fund, “Kinston-Lenoir County Green Infrastructure Plan for the Neuse River Floodplain.”2001. Available at:www.greeninfrastructure.net. Craven County. “CAMA Core Land Use Plan.” August 2009. Eastern Carolina Rural Planning Organization (ECRPO). “Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy.” Available: http://www.eccog.org/document.asp?document_name=rpo/ecrpo. Accessed: August 2009. Eastern Carolina Rural Planning Organization (ECRPO). TIP 2011-2017 Priority List. Available: http://www.eccog.org/document.asp?document_id=174. Accessed: August 2009. Grifton, Town of. “Land Development Plan.” 2010. Kinston, City of. Local Planner Survey, completed by Adam Short, Kinston Planning Department. November 2011. Kinston, City of. Interview with Amanda Engesether, Planning Director. and Lynnette Batt, URS, and Kory Wilmot, URS. July 28, 2009. Kinston, City of. “Comprehensive Pedestrian Plan.” Rivers & Associates. 2008. Kinston, City of. “Retrofitting Green: Flood Plain Preservation & Conservation Plan.” 2005. Kinston, City of. “Stormwater Program for Nitrogen Control.” Available at: http://www.ci.kinston.nc.us/publicservices/Kinston_StormwaterProgramforNitrogenControl.pdf Kinston, City of. “Unified Development Ordinance.” No Date. La Grange, Town of. “Land Use Plan.” December 2008. Lenoir County. Interview with Wayland Humphrey, Lenoir County GIS/Planning Coordinator. and Lynnette Batt, URS; and Kory Wilmot, URS. July 28, 2009. Lenoir County. “Lenoir County Land Use Plan.” May 2001. Lenoir County. “Watershed Protection Ordinance.” 2003. Lenoir County. “Zoning Ordinance.” February 2003. Neuse River Foundation. Available: http://www.neuseriver.org/home.html. Accessed: August 2009. North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources, Division of Water Quality. “Redbook,” Surface Waters and Wetlands Standards. NC Administrative Code 15A NCAC 02B.0100, .0200 & .0300. Amended Effective May 1, 2007. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 36 North Carolina Department of Transportation. State Transportation Improvement Program, 2011-2020: Division 2. Available: http://www.ncdot.org/PLANNING/development/tip/TIP/Trans/division2.html. Accessed: September 2011. North Carolina Department of Transportation. Kinston Comprehensive Transportation Plan, March 2011. North Carolina Department of Transportation. Traffic Forecast Technical Memorandum for Kinston Bypass Alternatives Study. PB Americas, Incorporated. July 2009. North Carolina Employment Security Commission. Available: www.ncesc.com. Accessed: September 2011. North Carolina State Demographics Unit. Available: http://www.osbm.state.nc.us/ncosbm/facts_and_figures/socioeconomic_data/population_estimat es.shtm. Accessed: November 2011. Pitt County. “Comprehensive Land Use Plan.” 2002. Pitt County. “Zoning Ordinance.” April 2010. US Census.American Fact Finder, 1990, 2000, 2010Summary File 1and 2009 ACS. US Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration, Community Impact Assessment: A Quick Reference for Transportation, Washington, DC, 1996, Publication No. FHWA-PD-036. STIP R-2553Screening ICE –Lenoir, Craven and JonesCounties–WBS 34460 37