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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20120285 Ver 1_Scoping Comments_20111122BEVERLY EAVES PERDUE GOVERNOR STATE OF NORTH CAROLINA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION TURNPIKE AUTHORITY November 22 2011 Ms Polly Lespinasse NC Department of Environment and Natural Resources Division of Water Quality Mooresville Regional Office 610 East Center Avenue — Suite 301 Mooresville NC 28115 EUGENE A CONTI 7R SFCRFTARY Ms Lespinasse Thank you for your memorandum of September 19 in response to our request for comments on the report titled Gaston East West Connector Indirect and Cumulative Effects Water Quality Analysis — Draft (Atkins August 2011) (referred to in this letter as the Water Quality Analysis) We offer the following in response to the questions and concerns raised in your letter Protect Specific Comments 1 The analysis indicates notable increases between the 2035 No Build Analysis and the 2035 Build Analysis Increases in the amount of total phosphorus (TP) are expected in the Catawba Creek (7 %) Lower Crowders Creek (5 5 %) Lake Wylie Catawba River (5 3 %) and Beaverdam Creek Catawba River (5 3 %) hydrologic units (HUs) Increases in total nitrogen (TN) are expected in the Catawba Creek (5 3 %) and Lake Wylie Catawba River (5 3 %) HUs Additionally increases in annual runoff are expected in the Beaverdam Creek Catawba River (8 73 %) Catawba Creek (7 97 %) and Lower Crowders Creek (7 28 %) HUs Catawba Creek Lower Crowders Creek Lake Wylie and Beaverdam Creek are either on North or South Carolinas 2010 303(d) list or have established TMDLs (total maximum daily loads) Catawba Creek and Lake Wylie are listed for impaired biological integrity Lower Crowders Creek is listed for impaired biological integrity throughout the reach and fecal coliform in some stream sections DWQ is very concerned with the potential indirect and cumulative impacts to both 303(d) listed streams and non 303(d) listed streams throughout the study area that may result from the construction of this road While Beaverdam Creek Catawba River is not currently on the North Carolina 303(d) list it is expected to see an increase in TP TN and annual runoff Increased pollutants in this HU as a result of the construction of this protect could result in impairment necessitating its listing on the 303(d) list The NCTA is encouraged to investigate opportunities with local governments to address the indirect and cumulative impacts to local jurisdictional resources that may be incurred as a result of this protect NORTH CAROLINA TURNPIKE AUTHORITY 1578 MAIL SERVICE CENTER RALEIGH N C 27699 1578 PHONE 919 707 2700 FAX 919 715 5511 http / /www ncturnplke org between the No Build and Build conditions was used to reallocate growth for the No Build condition representing a different pattern of household and business location decision in the absence of a Gaston East West Connector For complete technical information on the gravity model equations refer to Section 2 4 2 of the Quantitative ICE Assessment The NCDWQ requests written confirmation from each MPO that construction of the road or any portion of the road was not included to the No Build analysis Based on the specific methodology used for the Gaston East West Connector Quantitative ICE Assessment NCTA does not believe additional written confirmation from the MPOs is necessary or applicable The socioeconomic forecasts developed by the MPOs were used as the Build condition for this analysis (unlike the Monroe Connector /Bypass where it was used as the No Build condition) and documentation of the inclusion of the Garden Parkway explicitly in these forecasts and MPO concurrence with this use is provided in the Quantitative ICE Assessment as discussed above The gravity model methodology involves comparing accessibility to individual TAZs for Metrolma model runs with and without the Garden Parkway in order to allocate growth for the No Build condition So a No Build condition in this approach inherently involves removing the Garden Parkway from the model to arrive at the change in accessibility 3 Pages i and 33 of the Water Quality Analysis state that four of the five HUs with 303(d) listed stream show decreases TSS under the Budd Scenario Based on Table 20 the only 303(d) listed HU which shows a decrease in TSS is the Mill Creek — Lake Wylie HU Decreases are seen in two other HUs (Fates Creek and Lake Wylie Catawba River) but according to this document they are not 303(d) listed • NCDWQ has identified an error in the water quality report The report should state that an increase in TSS load is expected for 4 of the 5 HUs containing 303(d) listed waters The Mill Creek Lake Wylie HU is the exception as the TSS loading rate was estimated to decrease by 1 0 percent in this HU The statement will be corrected in the final version of the report General Comments These general comments also were provided to NCTA in NCDWQ s comment letter on the Final EIS (dated February 21 2011) and responses to these comments will be included in the ROD 1 In accordance with the Environmental Management Commission s Rules {15A NCAC 2H 0506(h)} mitigation will be required for impacts of greater than 150 linear feet to any single perennial stream In the event that mitigation is required the mitigation plan shall be designed to replace appropriate lost functions and values The NC Ecosystem Enhancement Program may be available for use as stream mitigation NCTA is working to identify and secure on site mitigation opportunities to proximity to the project The NC Ecosystem Enhancement Program (EEP) has committed the Beaverdam Creek mitigation project (letter dated July 11 2011 to be included in the ROD) The project is in the fifth year of monitoring and is expected to deliver 13 534 6 stream mitigation credits In June 2011 NCDOT acquired the Linwood Springs Golf Course property which will prowde for stream restoration along Crowders Creek a 303(d) listed stream The golf course property also contains several unnamed tributaries open water ponds and vegetated ditches that drain surface water to Crowders Creek In addition NCTA is continuing to pursue other adjacent parcels in this area as well as other onsite mitigation opportunities near the project 2 Future documentation including the 401 Water Quality Certification Application shall continue to include an itemized listing of the proposed wetland and stream impacts with corresponding mapping 11 I f P r //l el FA �f K a t 1 t i f i f /r I f In this comment NCDWQ voices concern over the magnitude of pollutant loading increases Please note that Gaston and Mecklenburg Counties which compose 99 percent of the water quality study area are NPDES Phase II stormwater communities (Section 2 2 2 of the Water Quality Analysts) As Phase II communities new development greater than or equal to 1 acre is subject to specific stormwater control standards The Water Quality Analysts does not account for such stormwater controls in the 2035 No Build and 2035 Preferred Alternative future scenarios As discussed in Section 3 2 10 of the report site specific information related to future development which is not available at this time is needed to appropriately model BMPs such as stormwater controls Consequently the reported results overestimate the runoff and pollutant loading from areas that would otherwise receive stormwater treatment It is not possible to determine how much the specific values for each scenario are overestimated but the relative values between the two scenarios are still valid 2 DWQ provided comments to the North Carolina Turnpike Authority (NCTA) on our review of the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) on February 21 2011 One of the comments is below Chapter 2 Page 64 of the FEIS states that interviews were conducted with the MPOs and County Planning Departments to determine whether the updated 2035 forecasts should serve as the No Build Scenario or the Build Scenario for ICE Study Area Based on these interviews the Gaston East West Connector was assumed to be completed in the allocation of future growth to specific zones NCDWQ is unclear whether this means the road was considered to be completed in the No Build Scenario Table 2 17 provides the Estimated Change in Impervious Cover by Watershed using baseline data from 2007 and the 2035 No Build and 2035 Build Scenarios Very little change in impervious cover is realized between the 2035 No Build and Build Scenarios The total increase in impervious cover from No Build to Build is 0 5% with some watersheds showing no increase in impervious cover and some showing a decrease in impervious cover This information may support the fact that the Gaston East West Connector was included in the No Build Scenario If the Gaston East West Connector was included in the No Build Scenario NCDWQ is concerned that this does not provide an accurate evaluation of the indirect and cumulative impacts associated with this project If the Gaston East West Connector was included in the models used to generate data for the No Build Scenario the NCTA will be required to provide modeling data that does not include the completion of the Gaston East West Connector as part of the No Build Scenario To our knowledge this comment has not been addressed It appears based on this analysis that the land use data input for this model was provided by the Louis Berger Group Inc DWQ is concerned that if the land use input data was generated using the amount of impervious cover from Louis Berger Group report the results of the water quality analysis may be skewed Again DWQ is unclear whether the construction of the road or portions of the road were included in the 2035 Build Scenario The Water Quality Analysis states on Page 2 that the No Build Alternative by definition is the Forecasted land use for the year 2035 without the construction of the project It is also important to note that in project discussions with other federal agencies DWQ was advised that the construction of the road was included in the No Build analysis Therefore based on the potentially conflicting information presented in the FEIS Water Quality Analysis and verbal discussions with other agencies DWQ will not consider this analysis complete until we receive written confirmation from each Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) that construction of the road or any portion of the road (i a construction of the road was allocated for within specific TAZ units only in the No Budd analysis) was not included in the No Build analysis • Responses to all comments received on the Final EIS will be included in the Record of Decision (ROD) The Gaston East West Connector was not included in the No Build condition and was not assumed to be completed in the growth allocations for the No Build scenario The Gaston East West Connector was included in the Build scenario The impervious surface cover for the No Build condition shown in Final EIS Table 2 17 does not include the project For a more detailed version of the information presented in Final EIS Table 2 17 refer to Table 9 in the Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment (Quantitative ICE Assessment) Table 9 shows the direct change in impervious cover in each watershed (e g the roadway itself) and the indirect change (e g changes due to the difference between No Build and Build household and employment distribution) that contribute to the total Build Scenario impervious surface cover One reason the difference in impervious surface maybe less than NC Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) expects is that the direct and indirect changes in impervious surface cover sometimes counteract each other For example the project adds 200 acres of impervious surface directly to the Upper Crowders Creek watershed but the indirect land use effect reduces impervious surface associated with development by 200 acres resulting in no net difference between the No Build Scenario and Build Scenario for this watershed As discussed in Section 2 4 1 of the Quantitative ICE Assessment interviews were held with planners from GUAMPO MUMPO RFATS Gaston County Mecklenburg County and York County Summaries of each meeting are provided in the report All three of the MPOs with responsibility for developing the demographic forecasts for the study area confirmed that the Gaston East West Connector was assumed to be completed in the allocation of future growth to specific zones (Note that this is was not the case for the Monroe Connector /Bypass) During the demographic forecasting efforts for the Metrolina model additional growth was added in areas that were expected to become more attractive to development with the project including southern Gaston County and northern York County This means that the indirect land use effect of the project is already reflected in the forecasts Therefore the Metrolma model forecasts were determined to represent the Build condition All the participants concurred that the forecasts represent the Build condition and it was reasonable to use the gravity model approach to redistribute households and employment for the No Build condition Also the Gaston Urban Area s 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan specifically notes that During the horizon years of 2020 and 2030 the Garden Parkway was instrumental in luring housing units (Page 7 2 of the LRTP) further supporting the fact that the socioeconomic forecasts specifically considered the Garden Parkway in allocation of growth and supporting the use of the Metrolina model socioeconomic forecasts as the Build Scenario Please note that this is a different situation and a different conclusion regarding the use of the Metrolina model socioeconomic forecasts than was reached for the Monroe Connector /Bypass For the Monroe Connector /Bypass the Metrolina model socioeconomic forecasts were demonstrated to best represent the No Build condition for that project Although different these conclusions are appropriate for each project based on review of the data and interviews with local planners for the respective areas Indirect land use effects are the difference between the No Build and Build condition allocations of growth The Build condition allocation was already known (the existing MPO socioeconomic forecasts) To determine the No Build allocation of growth to specific zones a gravity model analysis was used A key input to the gravity model is zone to zone travel time information for the No Build and Build conditions For the No Build scenario the Metrolina travel demand model was run without including the Gaston East West Connector roadway links For the Build scenario the Metrolina travel demand model was run incorporating the Gaston East West Connector roadway links The difference in accessibility MEMORANDUM To Jennifer Harris P E North Carolina Turnpike Authority From Polly Lespinasse Division of Water Quality Mooresville Regional Office Through Brian Wrenn Transportation Permitting Supervisor Division of Water Quality Subject Comments on the Indirect and Cumulative Effects Water Quantitative Analysis Related to the Proposed Gaston East West Connector Extending from 1 85 West of the City of Gastonia in Gaston County to 1 485 near the Charlotte Douglas International Airport in Mecklenburg County Mecklenburg and Gaston Counties STIP No s U 3321 This office has reviewed the referenced document dated August 2011 The NC Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) is responsible for the issuance of the Section 401 Water Quality Certification for activities that impact Waters of the U S including wetlands It is our understanding that the project as presented will result in impacts to jurisdictional wetlands streams and other surface waters NCDWQ offers the following comments based on review of the aforementioned document Project Specific Comments The analysis indicates notable increases between the 2035 No Build Analysis and the 2035 Build Analysis Increases in the amount of total phosphorus (TP) are expected in the Catawba Creek (7 %) Lower Crowders Creek (5 5 %) Lake Wylie Catawba River (5 3 %) and Beaverdam Creek Catawba River (5 3 %) hydrologic units (HUs) Increases in total nitrogen (TN) are expected in the Catawba Creek (5 3 %) and Lake Wylie Catawba River (5 3 %) HUs Additionally increases in annual runoff are expected in the Beaverdam Creek Catawba River (8 73 %) Catawba Creek (7 97 %) and Lower Crowders Creek (7 28 %) HUs Catawba Creek Lower Crowders Creek Lake Wylie and Beaverdam Creek are either on North or South Carolinas 2010 303(d) list or have established TMDLs (total maximum daily loads) Catawba Creek and Lake Wylie are listed for impaired biological integrity I ower Crowders Creek is listed for impaired biological integrity throughout the reach and fecal coliform in some stream sections DWQ is very concerned with the potential indirect and cumulative impacts to both 303(d) listed streams and non 303(d) listed streams throughout the study area that may result from the construction of this road While Beaverdam Creek Catawba River is not currently on the North Carolina 303(d) list it is expected to see an increase in TP TN and annual runoff Increased pollutants in this HU as a result of the construction of this project could result in impairment necessitating its listing on the 303(d) list The NCTA is encouraged to investigate opportunities with local governments to address the indirect and cumulative impacts to local jurisdictional resources that may be incurred as a result of this project 2 DWQ provided comments to the North Carolina Turnpike Authority (NCTA) on our review of the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) on February 21 2011 One of the comments is below Chapter 2 Page 64 of the FEIS states that interviews were conducted with the MPOs and County Planning Departments to determine whether the updated 2035 forecasts should serve as the No Build Scenano or the Mooresville Regional Office Location 610 East Center Ave Suite 301 Mooresville NC 28115 Phone (704) 663 16991 Fax (704) 663 -60401 Customer Service 1 877 623 6748 Internet www ncwaterquality org An Equal Opportunity \ Affirmative Action Employer 501 Recycled/10/ Post Consumer paper NorthCarohna Naturally are necessary it shall be noted in the document Geotechnical work is approved under 17 If foundation test borings General 401 Certification Number 3687 /Nationwide Permit No 6 for Survey Act 18 Sediment and erosion control measures ion of North Carolina Sediment and Erosion Control P ann protect water resources m ust be implemented and sufficient t maintained in accordance with the most recent versn and Design Manual and the most recent version of NCS00052a d work area Approved BMP measures from s rock 19 All work in or adjacent to stream waters shall be conducted in d to prevent excavation in flowing water the most current version of NCDOT Construction and Mainteeancep Activities manual such as sandbag berms cofferdams and other diversion structures shall s used Coastal Region Evaluation of Wetland Significance 20 While the use of National Wetland Inventory (NWI) map oil survey maps are useful toots their inherent naccuraaes require that qualified (NC CREWS) maps ands permit app personnel perform onsite wetland delineations prior to merit shall be should be operated from the bank rather therhaollutantsanto streams I This equipment minimize s hydraulic 21 Heavy equipment fuels lubricants by sedimentation and dredmaintained tolpre�e t contam natgion of surface waters from leaking inspected daily a fluids or other toxic materials precludes 22 Riprap shall not be placed in the active thalweg channel or placed in the stramaedl9ned sized randtipstalied aquatic life passage Bioengineering boulders or structures should be properly reserved to the maximum extent possible Riparian 23 Riparian vegetation (native trees and shrubs) shall be p by the end of the growing season vegetation must be reestabistrucdionithin the construction limits of the project any following completion of con you have any questions or require Provide comments on your project Should NCDWQ appreciates the opportunity top 663 1699 additional info rmation please contact Polly Lespinasse at ( 704 ) cc Liz Hair US Army Corps of Engineers Asheville Field Office electronic copy) Chris Militscher Environmental Protection Agency (electronic copy) Marla Chambers NC Wildlife Resources Servo e (electronic lectronic copy) Sonia Gregory NCDWQ Central Office (electronic copy) Sonia Greg y File Copy C'A jkan,� Gaston East -West Connector Indirect and Cumulative Effects Water Quality Analysis -Draft Cleveland, Gaston, and Mecklenburg Counties, North Carolina, York County, South Carolina (STIP U -3321) Prepared for the North Carolina Turnpike Authority NORTH CAROLINA f 0 Turnpike Authority -.. -. by 1616 East Millbrook Road Suite 310 Raleigh North Carolina 27609 August 2011 CA I Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The North Carolina Turnpike Authority (NCTA) operating as part of the North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT) proposes the Gaston East West Connector as a controlled access toll road from 1 85 west of the City of Gastonia in Gaston County NC to 1 485 near the Charlotte Douglas International Airport in Mecklenburg County NC The purpose of the Gaston East West Connector (the Project) is to improve east west transportation mobility in the area around the Gastonia and other municipalities in southern Gaston County to the City of Charlotte metropolitan area Importantly the project will establish direct access between the rapidly growing areas of southeast Gaston County and western Mecklenburg County The Gaston East West Connector which is locally known as the Garden Parkway is included in the State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP) as project U 3321 The Gaston East West Connector Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS) circulated in April 2009 included a summary of the qualitative indirect and cumulative effects (ICE) analysis prepared for the Detailed Study Alternatives (Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment for the Gaston East West Connector Louis Berger Group Inc March 2009) The U S Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) U S Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) N C Department of Environment and Natural Resources (NCDENR) and N C Wildlife Resources Commission (NCWRC) provided comments on the DEIS Regarding indirect and cumulative effects the Resource Agencies requested additional quantitative data on the Preferred Alternative A quantitative indirect and cumulative effects study was prepared for the Preferred Alternative (Gaston East West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis Louis Berger Group Inc August 2010) This report is summarized in the Projects Final EIS circulated in December 2010 In a comment letter on the Final EIS dated February 21 2011 the NCDENR Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) noted that NCDWQ will require additional modeling of pollutant loadings for this project This report presents a quantitative water quality analysis performed in response to NCDWQ s requirement and to determine how estimated induced land use changes resulting from the Project may affect water quality throughout the 265 square mile Study Area defined for this analysis The water quality analysis involved constructing watershed models for the nine 12 digit hydrologic units (HUs) comprising the Study Area using the BasinSim build of the Generalized Watershed Loading Functions (GWLF) model The watershed models were used to estimate annual runoff and annual overland pollutant loading rates of total nitrogen (TN) total phosphorus (TP) total suspended sediment (TSS) produced from the three land use scenarios a year 2006 baseline condition (Baseline Condition) year 2035 future condition without the Project (2035 No Build) and year 2035 future condition with the Project (2035 PA) Five of the nine HUs composing the Study Area contain streams or waterbodies on the 2010 North Carolina or South Carolina 303(d) list (NCDWQ 2010a SCDHEC 2010) Catawba Creek Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River Lower Crowders Creek Mill Creek Lake Wylie and Upper Crowders Creek The Project alignment intersects all five HUs Further interchanges are planned in all five HUs The watershed model results for these five HUs indicate increased runoff and TN and TP loads in the 2035 PA scenario compared to the 2035 No Build scenario while a decrease in TSS load is predicted for four of the five HUs the exception being the Upper Crowders Creek HU Of the five HUs the Catawba Creek HU experiences the largest indirect effects the HU incurs the greatest increase in urban land use and in turn the largest increase in impervious surface coverage As a result the Catawba Creek HU is projected to have the greatest increases in runoff and nutrient loading rates IL Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft 10 INTRODUCTION The North Carolina Turnpike Authority (NCTA) operating as part of the North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT) proposes the Gaston East West Connector as a controlled access toll road from 1 85 west of the City of Gastonia in Gaston County NC to 1 485 near the Charlotte Douglas International Airport in Mecklenburg County NC The purpose of the Gaston East West Connector is to improve east west transportation mobility in the area around the Gastonia and other municipalities in southern Gaston County to the City of Charlotte metropolitan area Importantly the project will establish direct access between the rapidly growing areas of southeast Gaston County and western Mecklenburg County The Gaston East West Connector which is locally known as the Garden Parkway is included in the State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP) as project U 3321 For the purposes of this report the Gaston East West Connector will be referred to as the Project The Gaston East West Connector Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS) circulated in April 2009 included a summary of the qualitative indirect and cumulative effects (ICE) analysis prepared for the Detailed Study Alternatives (Indirect and Cumulative Effects Assessment for the Gaston East West Connector Louis Berger Group Inc March 2009) The U S Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) U S Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) N C Department of Environment and Natural Resources (NCDENR) and N C Wildlife Resources Commission (NCWRC) collectively referred to as the Resource Agencies hereafter provided comments on the DEIS Regarding indirect and cumulative effects the Resource Agencies requested additional quantitative data on the Preferred Alternative A quantitative indirect and cumulative effects study was prepared for the Preferred Alternative (Gaston East West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis Louis Berger Group Inc August 2010) This report is summarized in the projects Final EIS circulated in December 2010 In a comment letter on the Final EIS dated February 21 2011 the NCDENR Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) noted that NCDWQ will require additional modeling of pollutant loadings for this project Subsequent to the August 2010 version of the quantitative ICE assessment report circulated with the Final EIS the quantitative ICE assessment was updated (Gaston East West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis Louis Berger Group Inc July 2011) to include the Fites Creek Catawba River subwatershed (Hydrologic Unit Code [HUC] 030501011405) fWRA ,b q,"A Q�- ' S L � r& ��W }) I V_d AA& � This report presents a quantitative water quality analysis performed in response to NCDWQ' requirement and to determine how estimated induced land use changes resulting from the Project may affect water quality throughout the 265 square mile Study Area defined for this analysis The water quality analysis involved constructing watershed models for the nine 12 digit hydrologic units (HUs) comprising the Study Area The watershed models were used to estimate annual runoff and annual overland pollutant loading rates of total nitrogen (TN) total phosphorus (TP) total suspended sediment (TSS) produced from the three land use scenarios described in Table 1 Comparison of the runoff and pollutant loading rates projected for the 2035 No Build Alternative (No Build) and 2035 Preferred Alternative (PA) scenarios provides an indication of the Project s potential water quality effects Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft FIGURES Figure 1 GWLF surface and sub surface hydrology and loading pathways (adapted from Haith et al 1992) 12 Figure 2 Calibration and Validation Model Monthly Streamflows Plotted with Observed Monthly Streamflow 23 TABLES Table 1 Land Use Scenarios Considered in the Quantitative Water Quality Analysis 2 Table 2 Study Area Hydrologic Units (HUs) 1 Table 3 Classifications and Use Support Ratings of Named Study Area Waterbodies in North Carolina 2 Table 4 Classifications of Study Area Waterbodies in South Carolina 4 Table 5 Study Area Waterbodies on the North Carolina 2000 — 2010 303(d) Lists 6 Table 6 Study Area Waterbodies on the South Carolina 2000 — 2010 303(d) Lists 7 Table 7 Study Area Stormwater BMPs 10 Table 8 Model Inputs and Data Sources 13 Table 9 NCLD Land Cover Categories for the Study Area 14 Table 10 Quantitative ICE Land Use Class CN Assignments 16 Table 11 LISLE Cover factors 17 Table 12 Study Area Regulated Buffer Widths 19 Table 13 Average Buffer Width by HU 20 Table 14 GWLF Buffer Reduction Efficiencies 20 Table 15 CN and Nitrogen and Phosphorus Buildup Rates for Urban Areas for the Baseline 2035 No Build (Build) and 2035 PA (PA) Scenarios 25 Table 16 Reported Significant Figures 28 Table 17 Comparison of Annual Runoff Results for Baseline Condition 2035 No Build and 2035 PA Scenarios 29 Table 18 Comparison of Annual Total Nitrogen (TN) Results for Baseline Condition 2035 No Build and 2035 PA Scenarios 30 Table 19 Comparison of Annual Total Phosphorus (TP) Results for Baseline Condition 2035 No Build and 2035 PA Scenarios 31 Table 20 Comparison of Annual Total Suspended Sediment (TSS) Results for Baseline Condition 2035 No Build and 2035 PA Scenarios 32 A Large Format Figures B Select Figures from the Gaston East West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis C GWLF E and RUNQUAL E Input Parameters D Correspondence with N C Division of Water Quality Regarding Analysis Methodology IV Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary Table of Contents Figures iv Tables iv Appendices iv 10 Introduction 1 20 Study Area 2 2 1 Study Area Definition 2 22 Water Resources 1 2 2 1 Existing Water Quality 5 2 2 2 Existing Water Quality Measures 7 30 Water Quality Analysis Approach 11 3 1 BasinSim Description 11 3 2 Input Parameters 12 32 1 Land Use 14 3 2 2 Soils 15 3 2 3 Curve Numbers 16 3 2 4 Streams 16 3 2 5 Weather Stations 16 3 2 6 Point Sources 17 3 2 7 Surface Elevation 17 3 2 8 Erosion and Sediment Yield 17 3 2 9 Septic Areas 18 3 2 10 Best Management Practice (BMP) Implementation 18 3 3 Model Calibration 21 40 Results and Discussion 23 4 1 Baseline Condition 26 4 2 2035 No Build 27 4 3 2035 Preferred Alternative (PA) 27 4 4 Results Tables 28 5 0 Conclusions 33 6 0 References 35 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft For the Study Area as a whole all nine HUs are anticipated to experience some degree of direct or indirect effects from the Project Direct effects result from the additional paved surface and right of way associated with the Project alignment Indirect effects are in the form of increased residential development or commercial /industrial /office development The result of these effects are apparent in the increases in runoff and nutrient loading rates projected for all HUs As mentioned above the Catawba Creek HU experiences the largest indirect effect and is projected to have the largest increase in runoff and nutrient loadings Over 80 percent of the land consumed by the direct and indirect effects of the project is forecasted to come from existing forest and pasture lands It should be noted that the analysis documented in this report was not conducted for the purpose of predicting the specific amount of pollutants delivered at the outlet of each modeled HU Rather the aim of the analysis was to determine the magnitude of runoff and pollutant change between the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios This measurement indicates the trend of water quality over time in each HU and the Study Area as a whole Also in terms of BMPs the analysis only considered riparian buffers No site specific BMPs — bioretention basins stormwater ponds grass swales etc — are accounted for in the results Consequently the watershed model overestimates pollutant loadings from areas that would otherwise receive stormwater treatment Site specific BMPs were omitted due to a lack information regarding the projected future development However the three of the four counties intersected by the Study Area — Gaston and Mecklenburg Counties NC and York County SC — are NPDES Phase II communities Under this designation the counties must require land disturbances greater than or equal to 1 acre to implement runoff and pollutant reduction measures (USEPA 2005) Compliance with Phase II rules would likely result in reduced runoff and nutrient loading rates compared to those produced by the modeled 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft Table 1 Land Use Scenarios Considered in the Quantitative Water Quality Analysis .. r Baseline Condition Baseline Land use conditions existing in 2006 2035 No Build Alternative 2035 No Build Forecasted land use for the year 2035 without construction of the Project Year 2035 Preferred Alternative 2035 PA Forecasted land use for the year 2035 with (PA) construction of the PA as presented in the FEIS The watershed model selected for this analysis was the Virginia Institute of Marine Science BasinSim 10 (VIMS 2000) build of the Generalized Watershed Loading Functions model (Haith and Shoemaker 1987 Haith et al 1992) GWLF is considered an effective tool for watershed planning efforts where runoff and overland pollutant loadings are primary concerns (EPA 2008) as it simulates runoff and overland nutrient (TN and TP) and sediment (TSS) loading by considering variable land uses In this analysis land use is isolated as the experimental variable As such the difference between runoff and loadings calculated by GWLF for the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios is dictated by the direct effects of the Project and Project induced development (indirect effects) captured in the 2035 PA scenario The water quality analysis scope study area and model selection were coordinated with NCDWQ at a meeting held on October 18 2010 Minutes from this meeting and follow up emails regarding the Fites Creek Catawba River subwatershed are included in Appendix C The Fites Creek Catawba River subwatershed was initially excluded from the quantitative ICE assessment study area used by Louis Berger Group Inc (Berger) due to a lack of substantial changes in travel times for the majority of this area with the completion of the Gaston East West Connector However due to the proximity of the southern boundary of the subwatershed to the Preferred Alternative it was decided that this subwatershed should be included to capture any potential induced growth that may occur in this subwatershed This water quality analysis also includes the Fites Creek Catawba River subwatershed 2 0 STUDY AREA The Study Area marks the extent of the water quality analysis The following sections describe the process by which the Study Area was defined and the condition of the Study Area water resources 2 1 Study Area Definition This water quality analysis adopted the Study Area developed for the Gaston East West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects (ICE) Analysis performed by (Berger) (Berger 2011) The primary factors considered in the defining the Study Area included the following the Natural Resources Conservation Service Watershed Boundary Dataset (NRCS WBD) Subwatershed boundaries (12 digit HUs) potential changes in accessibility and potential changes in travel times By considering these and other factors in combination Berger determined the Study Area to be the aggregate extent of the nine 12 digit HUs listed in Table 2 The Study Area is 265 square miles and contains portions of North Carolina and South Carolina From west to east the Study Area extends from Cleveland County NC through Gaston County NC into western Mecklenburg County NC From south to north it extends from the Town of Clover SC to the Town of Spence Mountain NC The North Carolina portion composes 207 square miles (78 percent) of the Study Area while South Carolina portion constitutes 58 square miles (22 percent) Municipalities located in the Study Area include the Cities of 2 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft Belmont Bessemer City Charlotte Gastionia Kings Mountain Lowell and Mount Holly and Towns of Cramerton McAdenville Ranlo and Spencer Mountain in North Carolina The Town of Clover is the only municipality in South Carolina included the Study Area The extent of the Study Area as well as municipalities and roads are depicted in Figure Al Appendix A Hydrologic. Unit Code 030501011404 Table Z Study Area Hydrologic Units (HUs) Subwatershed Name Paw Creek Lake Wylie Quality umber, 03 08 34 030501011405 Fites Creek Catawba River 03 08 34 030501011406 Lake Wylie Catawba River 03 08 34 030501011501 Upper Crowders Creek 03 08 37 030501011502 Catawba Creek 03 08 37 030501011503 Beaverdam Creek Catawba River Located in South Carolina 030501011504 Lower Crowders Creek 03 08 37 030501011505 Mill Creek Lake Wylie 03 08 34 03 08 37 030501020605 Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River 03 08 36 2 2 Water Resources The Study Area is located on the border of North and South Carolina within the Catawba Santee River Basin The entirety of the Study Area is located within the Catawba River Basin (0305) and includes portions the Catawba River Headwaters Subbasin (USGS Hydrologic Unit [HUC] 03050101) and the South Fork Catawba River Subbasin (USGS HUC 03050102) (NCDWQ 2010b) The Study Area includes the nine 12 digit HUs listed in Table 2 Streams in the North Carolina portion of the Study Area represent 76 percent of the total stream footage South Carolina contains 24 percent of the Study Area stream footage The Study Area contains 36 named streams (Table 3) from both North and South Carolina The headwaters of 26 streams occur within the Study Area Abernathy Creek Anthony Creek Beaverdam Creek Blackwood Creek Camp Run Catawba Creek Crowders Creek Duharts Creek Ferguson Branch First Creek Fites Creek Little Paw Creek McGill Creek Mill Creek Neal Branch Oates Creek Paw Creek Porter Branch Rocky Branch Shoal Branch South Crowders Creek Spring Creek Squirrel Branch Stowe Branch Studman Branch and Ticer Branch Classifications are assigned to waters of the State of North Carolina based on the existing or contemplated best usage Thirty of the named streams within the Catawba Study Area are Class C streams Class C streams are protected for secondary recreation fishing wildlife fish and aquatic life propagation and other uses (NCDWQ 2009) The Study Area also includes three WS IV (Water Supply IV) streams and three WS V (Water Supply V) streams Water Supply III and IV streams are used as sources of water supply for drinking culinary or food processing purposes and are protected through restrictions on development and waste water discharges Water Supply V streams are also used as sources of water supply but have no categorical restrictions on watershed development or wastewater discharges Local governments are not required to adopt watershed protection ordinances for Water Supply V streams but are required to do so for WS III and WS IV streams (NCDWQ 2009) Of the streams with Water Supply classifications four are also assigned a CA (Critical Area) designation CA refers to an area adjacent to the water supply intake where risk associated with pollution is greater than from the remaining portions of the watershed (NCDWQ 2007a) CAs require additional restrictions on watershed development beyond those required for a WS classification Table 3 lists the best usage classifications for all named streams within the North Carolina portion of the Study Area 1 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft The North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) has Initiated a whole basin approach to water quality management for the 17 river basins within the state Water quality for the Study Area is summarized in the Catawba River Basinwide Water Quality Plan (NCDWQ 2010b) Water quality within the Catawba River Basin is assessed by sampling of fish and benthic macroinvertebrates and data collected at ambient (chemical and physical water quality) monitoring stations The collected data Is compared against water quality standards in order to evaluate the various best uses of North Carolina waters Including aquatic life or biological integrity recreation or swimming and water supply Table 3 lists the use support categories for aquatic life recreation and water supply use for all NCDWQ evaluated waterbodies within the Study Area Blank cells indicate use support category was not rated Similarly the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) assigns use classifications to waters of the state The classifications establish the general rules and specific water quality criteria applicable to a given waterbody for protecting Its classification and existing use All Study Area streams in South Carolina carry the Freshwaters (FW) classification Freshwaters are suitable for primary and secondary contact recreation as a source of drinking water supply after conventional treatment for fishing and the survival and propagation of aquatic fauna and flora and for industrial and agricultural uses (SCDHEC 2006a 2008a) Table 4 presents the named waterbodles of the Study Area located in South Carolina Stream classifications are Included but use support ratings are not T�kio 2 rinccifientinne nnrl [Ica Ciinnnrf Ratinoc of Named Study Area Waterbodles In North Carolina Classification w Wat6riteGly v Description Classification AN 0 juat El 11 135 4a Abernethy Creek From source to First C Supporting Creek 11 135 4b Abernethy Creek From First Creek to C Supporting Crowders Creek 11 130 2 (1) Anthony Creek From source to Dam at C (Robinwood Lake) Robinwood Lake 11 130 2 (2) Anthony Creek From Dam at C Robinwood lake to Catawba Creek 11 126 Beaverdam Creek From source to Lake C Wylie Catawba River 11 135 5 Bessemer Branch From source to C Crowders Creek 11 135 7 Blackwood Creek From source to C Supporting Supporting Crowders Creek 11 130a Catawba Creek From source to C Supporting Supporting SR2446 Gaston 11 130b Catawba Creek From SR2446 Gaston C Supporting Supporting to SR2439 Gaston 11 130c Catawba Creek FromSR2439 to Lake C Supporting Wylie 11 (117) CATAWBA RIVER From Mountain Island WS IV CA Supporting Supporting Supporting (Lake Wylie below Dam to Interstate elevation 570) Highway 85 Bridge at Belmont 11 (122) CATAWBA RIVER From 185 bridge to WS IV B CA Supporting Supporting Supporting (Lake Wylie below the upstream side of elevation 570) Paw Creek Arm of Lake Wylie Catawba River N Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft Classification Index Waterbody Description Classification Use Support Ratirij, Mquatild 11 MWater Sup 11 (123 5) CATAWBA RIVER From the upstream WS V B Supporting Supporting Supporting (Lake Wylie below side of Paw Creek Arm elevation 570) of Lake Wylie to North North Carolina Carolina South portion Carolina State Line 11 135a Crowders Creek From source to C Supporting SR1118 11 135b Crowders Creek From State Route C Supporting 1118 to State Route 1122 11 135c Crowders Creek From State Route C Supporting 1122 to State Route 1131 11 135d Crowders Creek From State Route C Supporting 1131 to State Route 1108 it 135e Crowders Creek From State Route C Supporting Supporting 1108 To NC 321 11 135f Crowders Creek From State Route 321 C Supporting Supporting to State Route 2424 11 1358 Crowders Creek From State Route C Supporting Supporting 2424 to North Carolina South Carolina State Line 11 129 19 Duharts Creek From source to South WS V Supporting Supporting Supporting Fork Catawba River 11 1358 Ferguson Branch From source to C Crowders Creek 11 1354 1 First Creek From source to C Abernethy Creek it 121 (1) Fites Creek From source to a point WS IV Supporting Supporting Supporting 0 3 mile downstream of N C Hwy 273 11 121 (2) Fites Creek From source to a point WS IV CA 0 3 mile downstream of N C Hwy 273 to Lake Wylie Catawba River 11 129 17 Housers Branch From source to South C Fork Catawba River 11 126 1 Legion Lake and Entire lake and C Shoaf Lake connecting stream to Beaverdam Creek 11 125 Little Paw Creek From source to Lake C (Danga Lake) Wylie Catawba River 11 132 Long Cove From source to Lake C Wylie Catawba River 11 135 9 McGill Branch From source to C Supporting Supporting Crowders Creek 11 135 2 McGill Creek From source to C Supporting Crowders Creek 11 131 Mill Creek From source to North C Carolina South Carolina State Line Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft Classification of Study Area Waterbodies in Soutn Description The entire stream tributary to Crowders Creek caroilna FW Brown Creek The entire stream tributary Index Camp Run The entire stream tributary to Beaverdam Creek FW C y1 Wl' MPUPRItey The enitre stream tributary to Lake Wylie FW Lake Wylie The entire lake on Catawba River f 11 128 Neal Branch From source to Lake C The entire stream tributary to Crowders Creek FW (Armour Creek) Wylie Catawba River 11 135 6 Oakland Lake Entire lake and C connecting stream to Crowders Creek 11 135 5 1 Oates Creek From source to C Bessemer Branch it 124 Paw Creek From source to Lake C Wylie Catawba River 11 133 Porter Branch From source to Lake C Wylie Catawba River 11 135 11 Rocky Branch From source to North C Carolina South Carolina State Line 11 1304 Shoal Branch From source to C Catawba Creek 11 135 10 1 South Crowders From source to South C Impaired Supporting Creek Fork Crowders Creek 11 129 (15 5) South Fork From a point 0 4 mile WS V Impaired Supporting Supporting Catawba River upstream of Long Creek to Cramerton Dam and Lake Wylie at Upper Armstrong Bridge (mouth of South Fork Catawba River) 11 135 10 South Fork North Carolina Portion C Supporting Crowders Creek 11 135 1 Squirrel Branch From source to C Crowders Creek 11 127 Stowe Branch From source to Lake C Wylie Catawba River 11 134 Studman Branch From source to Lake C Wylie Catawba River 11 124 1 Ticer Branch (Tiser From source to Paw C Branch) Creek B Primary Recreation Fresh Water C Aquatic Life Secondary Recreation Fres CA Critical Area WS IV Water Supply IV Highly Developed WS V Water Supply V Upstream Table 4 Classltications Water6ody Beaverdam Creek of Study Area Waterbodies in Soutn Description The entire stream tributary to Crowders Creek caroilna FW Brown Creek The entire stream tributary FW Camp Run The entire stream tributary to Beaverdam Creek FW Crowders Creek The enitre stream tributary to Lake Wylie FW Lake Wylie The entire lake on Catawba River FW Mill Creek The emtre stream tributary to Lake Wylie FW Rocky Branch The entire stream tributary to Crowders Creek FW Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft 2 2 1 Existing Water Quality NCDWQ and SCDHEC are required by Clean Water Act Section 303(d) and 40 CFR 130 7 to maintain a list of impaired waterbodies Commonly referred to as the 303(d) list the list is typically corr3plied every two years with the last effective final list dated 2010 for North Carolina and South Carolina These lists are a comprehensive accounting of all impaired waterbodies An impaired waterbody is one that does not meet water quality standards including designated uses numeric and narrative criteria and anti degradation requirements defined in 40 CFR 131 The standard violations may be due to an individual pollutant multiple pollutants or an unknown cause of impairment The impairment could come from point sources non point sources and /or atmospheric deposition In both states inclusion to the 303(d) list is based upon use support guidelines in Section 305(b) (USEPA 841 B 97 002A and 002B) Those waterbodies only attaining Partially Supporting or Not Supporting status are included on the 303(d) list Tables 5 and 6 list the Study Area waterbodies that are found on the year 2000 to 2010 303(d) lists for North and South Carolina The waterbodies occur in the Catawba Creek Duharts Creek — South Fork Catawba River Lower Crowders Creek Mill Creek Lake Wylie and Upper Crowder Creek HUs (Figure A2 Appendix A) Review of current and past 303(d) lists as well as the NCDWQ Catawba River Basinwide Water Quality Plan and SCDHEC Catawba River Basin Watershed Water Quality Assessment provide an indication of water quality trends in the Study Area Based on inspection of Tables 5 and 6 it is apparent the number of Study Area waterbodies listed as impaired by North Carolina has increased slightly over the period from 2000 (12 listed waterbodies) to 2010 (14 listed waterbodies) (NCDWQ 2000 2003 2006 2007b 2010a 2010c) In contrast South Carolina has seen a marked reduction in the number of impaired waterbodies from six in 2000 to two in 2010 (SCDHEC 2000 2002 2004 2006b 2008b 2010) In all cases the waterbodies delisted by South Carolina between 2008 and 2010 were removed because water quality standards were attained (SCDHEC 2010) Additionally Clean Water Act Section 303(d) requires states to develop Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) for impaired waterbodies A TMDL establishes 1) the maximum amount of a pollutant a waterbody can receive and still comply with water quality standards and 2) pollutant loading limits on known sources By accounting for and limiting loadings of a pollutant steps can then be taken to restore the waterbody to its assigned uses (USEPA 1991 from Crowders Creek TMDL) The following waterbodies in the Study Area have existing TMDLs Crowders Creek Lake Wylie Beaverdam Creek and Brown Creek In 2004 NCDWQ in coordination with SCDHEC developed a TMDL for fecal coliform bacteria (FCB) for the last four miles of Crowders Creek from State Route 1108 to the North Carolina /South Carolina state line (classification indexes 11 135e g) This section of Crowders Creek in North Carolina as well as the remainder in South Carolina has historically experienced elevated FCB concentrations as indicated by its listing on the North and South Carolina 303(d) lists for over a decade and the implementation of a previous TMDL in 1996 Sources of FCB are attributed to discharge from multiple waste water treatment plants faulty sewage collection system lines septic systems biosolids application and livestock Lake Wylie has a history of nutrient enrichment problems In 1992 a report authored by the NCDWQ and SCDHEC concluded the lake s assimilative capacity for nutrients was exhausted Subsequently the Lake Wylie Nutrient Management Plan and accompanying TMDL was implemented in 1996 The nutrient management 5 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft strategy established by the TMDL targeted non point source reductions and placed stringent nutrient removal requirements on point source dischargers to the most highly eutrophic arms of the lake (NCDWQ 2010b) The latest water quality data reported in the 2010 Catawba River Basinwide Water Quality Plan (NC DWQ 2010b) indicates nutrient enrichment remains a problem in the lake Samples of the main stem of Lake Wylie produced no chlorophyll a standard exceedances yet all samples demonstrated elevated chlorophyll a Further sampling from the Crowders Creek and South Fork Catawba arms of the lake suggested localized areas of eutrophication In addition to nutrient enrichment portions of Lake Wylie have more recently been cited as impaired for aquatic life support due to water quality standard exceedances of low pH copper chlorophyll a and high water temperature SCDHEC developed FCB TMDLs for two streams in the Study Area — Beaverdam Creek and Brown Creek — in 2001 For Beaverdam Creek runoff from livestock pastures and built up land were noted as the primary and secondary FCB sources (SCDHEC 2001a) In the case of Brown Creek urban runoff as well as failing septic systems and direct sewage discharges were described as the principal sources of FCB (SCDHEC 2001b) Rl Table 5 Study Area Waterbodies on the North Carolina 2000 — 2010 303(d) Lists 00 00 2 2004 2006 00 t i list list list list list list 11 135 4b Abernethy Creek From First Creek to Impaired biological integrity No No No Yes Yes No Crowders Creek 11 130a Catawba Creek From source toSR2446 Unknown (2000 02) impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Gaston biological integrity (2004 10) 11 130b Catawba Creek From SR2446 Gaston to Unknown (2000 02) impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes SR2439 Gaston biological integrity (2004 10) 11 130c Catawba Creek FromSR2439 to Lake Unknown (2000 02) impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Wylie biological integrity (2004 10) 11 (117) Catawba River (Lake From 1 85 bridge to the Low pH No No No No Yes Yes Wylie below elevation upstream side of Paw 570) Creek Arm of Lake Wylie Catawba River 11 (123 5)b Catawba River (Lake South Fork Catawba Copper chlorophyll a (2008) No No No No Yes Yes Wylie South Fork River Arm of Lake Wylie turbidity (2008) high water Catawba arm) North temperature (2010) Carolina portion 11 135a Crowders Creek From source to SR 1118 Unknown (2000 02) impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes biological integrity (2004 10) 11 135b Crowders Creek From State Route 1118 U k ow (2000 02) mpaired Yes Yes Yes No Yes No to State Route 1122 biological integrity (2004 2008) 11 135c Crowders Creek From State Route 1122 Unknown (2000 02) impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes to State Route 1131 biological integrity (2004 10) 11 13Sd Crowders Creek From State Route 1131 Unknown (2000 02) impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes to State Route 1108 biological integrity (2004 10) 11 135e Crowders Creek From State Route 1108 Fecal Coliform impaired biological Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes To NC 321 integrity (2004 06 2010) 11 135f Crowders Creek From State Route 321 to Fecal Coliform impaired biological Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes State Route 2424 integrity (2004 06 2010) 11 135g Crowders Creek From State Route 2424 Fecal Coliform (2000 06 impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No to NC /SC Line biological integrity (2006 08) 11 135 2 McGill Creek From source to Unknown (2000 02) impaired Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Crowders Creek biological integrity (2004 10) 11 135 10 1 South Crowders Creek From source to South Low Dissolved Oxygen No No No No No Yes Fork Crowders Creek 11 129 (15S) South Fork Catawba From a point 0 4 mile Turbidity low pH (2010) No No No No Yes Yes River upstream of Long Creek Rl Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft 2 2 2 Existing Water Quality Measures As part of the preparation for the modeling effort and in order to determine whether existing regulations and ordinances are sufficient to protect water quality Atkins inventoried the variety of protective measures for riparian buffer widths and stormwater requirements of the different planning jurisdictions within the Study Area Government organizations that were considered include the North Carolina municipalities of Belmont Bessemer City Charlotte Cramerton Gastionia Kings Mountain Lowell McAdenville Mount Holly Ranlo and Spencer Mountain in South Carolina and the Town of Clover was considered Additionally EPA Phase I or Phase II Stormwater Rules are in effect in nearly the entire Study Area (99 percent) NCDWQ Identifies the City of Charlotte as a Phase I stormwater permlttee by the EPA as of 1993 As required by National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System ( NPDES) regulations Charlotte must develop and Implement a storm water program Including public education Illicit discharge detection and elimination storm sewer system and land use mapping and analytical monitoring Gaston County NC and York County SC are both Phase II stormwater permlttees NPDES regulations require them to at a minimum develop Implement and enforce a storm water program designed to reduce the discharge of pollutants from the municipal separate storm sewer system (MS4) Stormwater best management practices (BMPs) drafted by Gaston and Mecklenburg Counties are provided In Table 7 7 Table 6 Study Area Waterbodies on the South Carolina 2000 — 2010 303(d) Lists • 000 2002 2004 00 00 Station ... Watery Description Stressor list list list list list list CW 023 Crowders Creek Crowders Creek at S 46 Fecal coliform (2000 04) cadmium Yes Yes Yes Yes No 564 NE Clover (2006) copper (2006 08) CW 024 Crowders Creek Crowders Creek at S 46 Impaired biological integrity fecal Yes FYe Yes Yes Yes No 1104 coliform (2000 2004) CW 027 Lake Wylie Lake Wylie Crowders Fecal coliform (2000 04 2008 10) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Creek arm at SC 49 and copper (2006) CW 105 Brown Creek Brown Creek at S 46 228 Fecal coliform (2000) Turbidity Yes No Yes Yes Yes No (Guinn St) 0 3 mile west CW 152 Crowders Creek Crowders Creek at US Copper fecal coliform No Yes No No No No 3210 5 mile north OF NC state line CW 153 Beaverdam Creek Beaverdam Creek at S Fecal coliform (2000) turbidity Yes No No Yes Yes No 46 152 8 miles east of (2006 08) CW 192 South Fork Crowders South Fork Crowders Fecal colilform Yes Yes Yes No No No Creek Creek at S 46 79 4 5 CW 197 Lake Wylie Lake Wylie at Mill Creek Copper No No Yes Yes Yes No arm at end of S 46 557 RS 06020 Beaverdam Creek Beaverdam Creek at Impaired biological integrity No No No No Yes Yes bridge on S 46 64 3 2 2 2 2 Existing Water Quality Measures As part of the preparation for the modeling effort and in order to determine whether existing regulations and ordinances are sufficient to protect water quality Atkins inventoried the variety of protective measures for riparian buffer widths and stormwater requirements of the different planning jurisdictions within the Study Area Government organizations that were considered include the North Carolina municipalities of Belmont Bessemer City Charlotte Cramerton Gastionia Kings Mountain Lowell McAdenville Mount Holly Ranlo and Spencer Mountain in South Carolina and the Town of Clover was considered Additionally EPA Phase I or Phase II Stormwater Rules are in effect in nearly the entire Study Area (99 percent) NCDWQ Identifies the City of Charlotte as a Phase I stormwater permlttee by the EPA as of 1993 As required by National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System ( NPDES) regulations Charlotte must develop and Implement a storm water program Including public education Illicit discharge detection and elimination storm sewer system and land use mapping and analytical monitoring Gaston County NC and York County SC are both Phase II stormwater permlttees NPDES regulations require them to at a minimum develop Implement and enforce a storm water program designed to reduce the discharge of pollutants from the municipal separate storm sewer system (MS4) Stormwater best management practices (BMPs) drafted by Gaston and Mecklenburg Counties are provided In Table 7 7 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft 3 0 WATER QUALITY ANALYSIS APPROACH This section outlines the methodology used to quantify the Projects potential water quality effects The BasinSim GWLF watershed model employed in the analysis is discussed in detail The procedures used to derive model input parameters special model considerations and model calibration are also presented 3 1 BasinSim Description BasinSim is a desktop simulation system that predicts sediment and nutrient loads for small to mid sized watersheds The simulation system is based on the Generalized Watershed Loading Functions (GWLF) a tested watershed model developed by Dr Douglas Haith and his colleagues at Cornell University New York (Haith and Shoemaker 1987 Haith et al 1992) BasinSim 10 integrates an easy to use graphic Windows interface extensive databases (land uses population soils water discharge water quality climate point nutrient sources etc ) and the GWLF model (with modifications) into a single software package It was designed to enable resource managers to visualize watershed characteristics retrieve historic data (at the county and sub watershed levels) manipulate land use patterns and simulate nutrient (N P and organic C) and sediment loadings under various scenarios The latest version of BasinSim version 10 0 was released in April 1999 The GWLF model developed by Haith and Shoemaker (1987) is currently used in different platforms under different names (Dai et al 2000 Schneiderman et al 2002 Evans et al 2002 Hong and Swaney 2004 Morth et al 2007) Each version has particular modifications but all follow the same conceptual framework GWLF simulates runoff sediment delivery and average nutrient concentration based on land use Figure 1 depicts the mayor components of GWLF The model uses daily steps for weather data and water balance calculation Evapotranspiration is determined using daily weather data and a cover factor dependent upon land use /land cover type Sediment and nutrient loads are estimated monthly based on the daily water balance accumulated to monthly values GWLF has been described as an engineering compromise between the empiricism of export coefficients and the complexity of chemical simulation models (Haith and Shoemaker 1987) GWLF is considered a combined distributed /lumped parameter watershed model For surface loading it is distributed in the sense that it allows multiple land use /land cover scenarios but each area is assumed to be homogenous with regard to various attributes considered by the model The model does not spatially distribute the source areas but simply aggregates the loads from each area into a watershed total in other words there is no spatial routing Groundwater runoff and discharge are obtained from a lumped parameter watershed water balance for both shallow saturated and unsaturated zones Runoff is calculated by means of the US Soil Conservation Services (SCS) curve number equation (SCS 1986) The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) is applied to simulate erosion Rural nutrients are estimated using empirical concentrations of each land use which are based on both dissolved concentration in runoff and solid concentration in sediment Urban nutrient loads are computed by exponential accumulation and washoff functions Nutrient loads from septic systems are calculated by estimating the per capita daily load from each type of septic system and the number of people in the watershed served by each type Sub surface losses are calculated using dissolved N and P coefficients for shallow groundwater contributions to stream nutrient loads and the sub surface sub model only considers a single lumped parameter contributing area as mentioned previously GWLF does not include instream flow and transport of loads However GWLF provides for ground water discharges to stream systems offering an opportunity for calibrating instream flow volume 11 i C Cy L L O U i V QJ h �tl C O R. L O I ti O N rTT �J Wo 41 m R. E 0 f0 L Q a1 C O Y f9 � }. O nl OD Y„ u aj o =3 O j m > E ra a1 C L rYO O C 0 (L$ 7 L a) -O N L L L Y C a o a, Y ao C N a) a) -0 C N E E v U 0 Y a1 L L N Y L vn 0 N u in C n t9 0 U U C Ln 6 a) o v v v E C C C o C N > O_ a) C O 00 0 � E c O 4 aJ in D L a>i L O D C C C O C: C) (p co CD o E E� 0 O Ln Y Y tB O" Y C aCj v) 0 v N 'O 00 E p 7 H o f0 L 3 f9 E 0 Y T Y 6 5 Q — N C C L �O a) `1 L Y M �O ?, O O U N U Y f0 N 7 Q L- C �_, � L C a) aj -0 a, Y O E t � L E ra C u z U +' 7 O7 w C L T io co 4� Y (O 0 m 0 E c d OA ro L L a) Y E E " " f9 °' w > L m Y Y E E° tin ` M E o ao C o N Ln a, Q Y � L O V1 m O In w v E 00 O y, 'a o 0 o a o -0 W O +-' p_ E � +"' L �n c L �n a) a1 L L m a1 h ?i n � 0 � � � � 3 C � E Y � O ' aL+ y C --0 w m ate+ w m E a` w ate.+ 0 O — 3 w LA Q E i 0 L T- Y C cO �_a) C L a) ry L CL n Y O 6 O_ Q. -0 Ln c x 0 +°u C OD C +0 > 0 C a O CL O 0 tw N Ln Y Ql O O N T 7 W 7 v 6! O L C ro O jO N Y T E_ Z E > � Y Q C � 7 U c V C C C Q � H N v u Y C C m O C V O Q u v fD c 3 o E V O h N O T C L v ov 3 c E a O 'n Y, C7 ry O c-I Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft Figure 1 GWLF surface and sub surface hydrology and loading pathways (adapted from Haith et al 1992) BasinSim s implementation of GWLF has incorporated a variable seepage control into the model replacing a constant seepage coefficient to help with calibration of streamflow GWLF in BasinSim also supplies a time delay feature which postpones the effect of weather events on stream responses a population growth function which permits the nutrient contribution by septic systems to change over time and the ability to assign variable nutrient concentrations as a function of streamflow 3 2 Input Parameters Spatial (GIS data layers) and non spatial data were used to derive input parameters for the GWLF watershed model Data sources are listed in Table 8 and their use is described in the following sections Table 8 also lists the units significant figures and decimal places used for the model inputs Significant figures are not relevant to some of the data listed such as the aerial photography and sewer service extent data With the exception of the Study Area land use the significant figures and decimal places listed are determined by the data provider I 12 h C1 r d O i L ti O e-y ¢vi N U N � �S H 0 a V M N cl) N N a a O N a N O DD O O O O S1 L a C N N L O O ry O V u 7 C C U N LL C 7 7 o, 4 g 3 v? mo 0 o N n Q a Q y O. m m a Q fa 9 O L Q L Q a a a Q v E N d a E m 'D '= 0 C L O L O Z O Z d H a W W O Z a 0 W m a Q 9 - o m Q � �°- N � a � N to a N m f+l O tio O N N N N a a a Ln Ln > u_ u_ 7 O c c u ~ VI li O no o o a a m ° °_ a 3 v2;- o a n c Q a Q a a QQ a a > Q a -° E 3-2 " 0 C= 0 a E a>i O Z O Z d W W O a 0 m o m o F a > Ln a v v m � � o c E E a a u o E a a u r d a vai � d0 0a a c w a m a — — v m fa u lL c E t0 u a OD a u = E E Qu a Q Q a Q Q a O v b O C °- Q Q w 3 O LL v+ > E 3 ti EL a > a O fl 00 L L Z Z a '-' w a Z m .o Q Q a w a 3 0 E 0 0 E "' t L F N �a Q Q m o - 0 o m In F Q � H u 0a c_ a Q c o c a Ln °' c CL 0 v) CL Z 7 E D c aj O Da Q O p O C l7 a _ Ln C m c a v E Ln l7 � O u a C7 u v a O c 2 0 LL o O m a > 2 > a o u 0 u m 0 E a u ma m N oLn Z in C O o cr w FL- Ln c v O a v L a 7 o FL- ro Z Z Z E m ° ` m v s "° O v O 0 m m > fo L in 'D a O E K c O c O Q a C E c N a 0 _ A v w ° m m C u a c n a M �^ o o U m o u C 7 �, - O a O �n ° L 'O fo a fa u L ,� Z C w N C m u C- r c m y v u 3 o vai Q v M a m a n`o a o v o`a m Q = a 3 o c° - yv Z _ m m a L �a oa L a a s m O co 0 o m a n E M y m u m ], N O ° w 0a d a O N > l� u N d V) C) `n m = a c > Z O - 'o t Z m O u „� > O O Q a 0 c o m v o - 0 a > u N Z 3 u } d d M Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August2011 - Draft 3 2 1 Land Use Study Area land use for the Baseline Condition 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios was provided by Berger and described in the Gaston East West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis (Berger 2011) The land use datasets were developed as part of the Gaston East West Connector quantitative ICE analysis A spatially explicit Baseline Condition land use dataset was produced for the year 2006 condition of the Study Area by using high resolution aerial photography to update the 2001 National Land Cover Database (NLCD) (USGS 2003) The NLCD is a spatially explicit gridded dataset with a 30 meter resolution That is each 30 meter by 30 meter grid cell in the dataset is assigned a land cover category The update process focused on identifying large areas of land such as subdivisions and shopping centers that converted from forest to developed land cover in the interim time period The land cover categories of the NLCD grid cells were modified to reflect areas of land use conversion Fifteen NLCD 2001 land cover categories occur in the Study Area (see Table 9) Land use forecasts for the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios in contrast were developed as non spatially explicit datasets In other words the individual 30 meter by 30 meter grid cells of the spatially explicit Baseline Condition land use dataset were not changed to reflect a land use conversion in the future scenarios Instead the land use forecasts were performed at the scale of Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZs) The Study Area was found to encompass 275 TAZs The TAZ boundaries however did not necessarily conform to the HU boundaries of the Study Area To summarize the TAZ land use forecasts by HU the 275 TAZs were intersected with the nine Study Area HUs The result was 387 forecasting zones with each zone corresponding to exactly one TAZ and one HU The forecasting zones provided the geographic framework for the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA land use forecasts and are the smallest unit for which land use change results are reported Figures depicting the forecasting zones and results of the quantitative ICE analysis are provided in Appendix B Further explanation of the land use forecast can be found in the Gaston East West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis (Berger 2011) Table 9 NCLD Land Cover Categories for the Study Area r -'Diescriotiphi- All areas of open water generally with less than 25/ cover of vegetation or soil Open Water Includes areas with a mixture of some constructed materials but mostly vegetation in the form of lawn grasses Impervious surfaces account for less than 20% of total cover These areas most Developed Open Space commonly include large lot single family housing units parks golf courses and vegetation planted in developed settings for recreation erosion control or aesthetic purposes Includes areas with a mixture of constructed materials and vegetation Impervious surfaces account for 20 49/ of total cover Developed Low Intensity These areas most commonly include single family housing units Includes areas with a mixture of constructed materials and vegetation Impervious surfaces account for 50 79% of the total Developed Medium Intensity cover These areas most commonly include single family housing units 14 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August2011 -Draft N,LCD, Cate Includes highly developed areas where people reside or work in Developed High Intensity high numbers Examples include apartment complexes row houses and commercial /industrial Impervious surfaces account for 80 100/ of the total cover Barren areas of bedrock desert pavement scarps talus slides Barren Land (Rock /Sand /Clay) volcanic material glacial debris sand dunes strip mines gravel pits and other accumulations of earthen material Generally vegetation accounts for less than 15/ of total cover Areas dominated by trees generally greater than 5 meters tall and Deciduous Forest greater than 20/ of total vegetation cover More than 75/ of the tree species shed foliage simultaneously in response to seasonal change Areas dominated by trees generally greater than 5 meters tall and greater than 20% of total vegetation cover More than 75% of the Evergreen Forest tree species maintain their leaves all year Canopy is never without green foliage Areas dominated by trees generally greater than 5 meters tall and Mixed Forest greater than 20/ of total vegetation cover Neither deciduous nor evergreen species are greater than 75/0 of total tree cover Areas dominated by shrubs less than 5 meters tall with shrub Shrub /Scrub canopy typically greater than 20/ of total vegetation This class includes true shrubs young trees in an early successional stage or trees stunted from environmental conditions Areas dominated by grammanoid or herbaceous vegetation Grassland /Herbaceous generally greater than 80% of total vegetation These areas are not subject to intensive management such as tilling but can be utilized for grazing Areas of grasses legumes or grass legume mixtures planted for Pasture /Hay livestock grazing or the production of seed or hay crops typically on a perennial cycle Pasture /hay vegetation accounts for greater than 209/ of total vegetation Areas used for the production of annual crops such as corn soybeans vegetables tobacco and cotton and also perennial Cultivated Crops woody crops such as orchards and vineyards Crop vegetation accounts for greater than 209/ of total vegetation This class also includes all land being actively tilled Areas where forest or shrubland vegetation accounts for greater Woody Wetlands than 20/ of vegetative cover and the soil or substrate is periodically saturated with or covered with water Areas where perennial herbaceous vegetation accounts for greater than 80% of vegetative cover and the soil or substrate is Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands periodically saturated with or covered with water 3 2 2 Soils Spatial and tabular Soil Survey Geographic (SSURGO) soil information was downloaded from NRCS (NRCS 2010) for Cleveland Gaston and Mecklenburg Counties NC as well as York County SC The soils were clipped to the 15 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft 3 2 6 Point Sources Location of point source dischargers within the Study Area were identified by retrieving NPDES permits from NCDWQ (NCDWQ 2011a) and SCDHEC (Larry Turner SCDHEC personal communication 6/20/2011) Monthly discharge reports for all dischargers were retrieved from NCDWQ for 2009 (NCDWQ 2011b) Additionally monthly discharge permits for dischargers in the calibration watersheds were retrieved for the calibration and validation periods 1999 2003 (Jaeha Ho SCDHEC personal communication 10/7/2010) 3 2 7 Surface Elevation A 20 foot resolution Digital Elevation Model (DEM) was constructed for the Study Area Elevation data for the North Carolina portion of the Study Area were obtained from N C Floodplain Mapping Program (NCFMP) (NCFMP 2007) Elevation data for the portion of the Study Area extending to South Carolina was obtained from the U S Geologic Survey National Elevation Dataset (USGS 2009) 3 2 8 Erosion and Sediment Yield GWLF computes erosion using the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) and the sediment yield is the product of erosion and sediment delivery ratio Models derived from USLE are some of the most widely applied tools for predicting sediment yield from catchments USLE factors K LS C and P must be specified as the product K * LS * C * P for each rural runoff source area Erosion from urban land is not explicitly handled by GWLF For sediment loading from urban land uses some applications of GWLF (e g Schneiderman et al 2002) use the accumulation and washoff functions given for nutrients in the original model (Haith et al 1992) substituting sediment accumulation rates given in Haith et al (1992) for particulate nutrient accumulation rates In this application of GWLF USLE was used to compute erosion from urban areas as well Residential and rural residential land uses are not addressed directly by USLE though a number of studies have successfully applied USLE to catchments containing an urban component (Ricker et al 2008 Jackson et al 2005 Fu et al 2005 and Boyle et al 2011) Estimates of the percent tree cover bare soil grass and relative herbaceous cover based on Study Area observations and land use descriptions were used to estimate the appropriate C factors for urban land covers in this study (Table 11) in a manner similar to the method used to calculate C factors for rural land uses USLE K LS and P factors for urban land use were estimated in the same manner as for rural land uses (Appendix B) Table 11 USLE Cover factors Open Water 0 Developed High Intensity 0 Woody Wetlands 0 003 Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands 0 004 Evergreen Forest 0 004 Grassland /Herbaceous 0 004 Shrub /Scrub 0 004 Mixed Forest 0 007 Deciduous Forest 0 009 Developed Medium Intensity 002 Developed Low Intensity 003 Developed Open Space 004 Pasture /Hay 005 Cultivated Crops 024 Barren Land (Rock /Sand /Clay) 1 17 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft Study Area boundary Soil series or map units which occurred in the Study Area were assigned available water holding capacity soil erodibility (K) factor dominant hydrologic soil group and organic matter content as required by GWLF Available water holding capacity was assigned by using the Available Water Storage 0 100 cm Weighted Average value provided for each map unit in the Mapunit Aggregated Attribute table Soil erodibility (K) factor was assigned using the Kf value provided for the top horizon in the Horizon table for each map unit Dominant hydrologic soil group was assigned by using the Hydrologic Group Dominant Conditions value provided for each map unit in the Mapunit Aggregated Attribute table Organic matter content is not currently used by the model and was not assigned a value 3 2 3 Curve Numbers GWLF computes runoff from each land use class using the SCS Curve Number Equation (Ogrosky and Mockus 1964 SCS 1986) Curve Numbers (CNs) an essential component to this method were assigned to each land use class by relating the individual classes to a cover type and hydrologic condition category described in Soil Conservation Service Technical Release 55 (SCS 1986) CNs assignments are presented in Table 10 The GWLF model used in this analysis only accepts one CN per land use class As such a single area weighted average CN was calculated for each land use class of each HU based on the area of the land use class overlying the four hydrologic soil groups The resultant average CN value was provided to GWLF Table 10 Quantitative ICE Land Use Class CN Quarititative ICE Land Use Classes Open Water 100 ck, 6 100 100 100 Developed Open Space 39 61 74 80 Developed Low Intensity 57 72 81 86 Developed Medium Intensity 77 85 90 92 Developed High Intensity 89 92 94 95 Barren Land (Rock /Sand /Clay) 77 86 91 94 Deciduous Forest 30 55 70 77 Evergreen Forest 30 55 70 77 Mixed Forest 30 55 70 77 Shrub /Scrub 30 48 65 73 Grassland /Herbaceous 39 61 74 80 Pasture /Hay 49 69 79 84 Cultivated Crops 67 78 85 89 Woody Wetlands 36 60 73 79 Emergent Herbaceous Wetlands 49 69 79 84 3 2 4 Streams The stream layer was derived from the National Hydrography Dataset (NHD) (USGS 2010) by extracting the high resolution NHD flow lines from the prestaged Edisto Santee subregion The merged streams were then clipped to the Study Area boundary The clipped streams were used in delineating the extent of existing riparian buffers 3 2 5 Weather Stations The location of weather stations with daily temperature (maximum and minimum) and precipitation records for the period 1999 2010 were retrieved from State Climate Office of North Carolina (SCO) (SCO 2011) Weather data from the Gastonia Municipal Airport (KAKH) in Gaston County was formatted for use by BasinSim 16 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August2011 - Draft 3 2 9 Septic Areas GIS layers describing the extent of current and future sewer systems for the Study Area were supplied by Berger (Tidd Louis Berger Group Inc personal communication 10/15/2010) Current septic service was assumed to occupy the portion of the Study Area not served by the current sewer system and likewise for the future septic service The population served by current and future septic systems was derived from population data supplied by Berger (Tidd Louis Berger Group Inc personal communication 1/10/2011) The septic population estimates assumed that the Project will not make southern Gaston County more attractive to the types of facilities counted as group quarters (i a college dorms prisons nursing homes etc ) and that the future group quarters population is the same in the No Build and Build scenarios The group quarters facilities are assumed to be distributed proportional to land area for TAZs only partially contained within the Study Area Population in households was assumed to take into account the trend of decreasing household sizes over time in the forecasts Therefore the future population in the Study Area is based on the relationship between future population in households and future households in Metrolina Travel Demand Model estimates The analysis assumes no changes to septic areas between the future land use scenarios 3 2 10 Best Management Practice (BMP) Implementation The BasinSim GWLF build does not account for pollutant load reductions provided by BMPs For this study pollutant load reductions attributable to riparian buffers (buffers) BMPs were instead accounted for in a post processing effort in which GWLF calculated TN TP and TSS loads for a given HU were reduced according to the existing buffer characteristics of the HU The implementation of the buffer post processing calculations is described below Existing buffers were delineated and characterized in portions of the Study Area with legally protected buffers such as the main stem of the Catawba River The process was initiated by identifying buffer regulations in the various planning jurisdictions of the Study Area Table 12 summarizes the Study Area buffer regulations Using GIS the stream network represented by the NHD flowlines was buffered based on the buffer requirements applicable to the stream location The resulting buffer layer establishes the extent of regulated buffers in the Study Area However the buffer layer does not necessarily reflect the existing extent of intact buffers To delineate the existing extent of intact buffers the buffer layer was overlaid on 2009 National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) aerial photography (USDA 2009a 2009b 2009c) Areas of disturbed buffer were removed from the buffer layer leaving only intact buffers within regulated buffer areas The final buffer layer represents the Baseline Condition buffer extent It should be emphasized that only buffers in areas with legal protection were delineated Further the buffers were only delineated to their legally protected width For example a riparian buffers along the Catawba River would only be delineated to 50 feet even if the vegetated area extends beyond 50 feet This judgment was made because the vegetated area beyond 50 feet is not protected and consequently not guaranteed to persist in the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios 18 'Catawba River Basin Buffer Rules (15a ncac 02b 0243) 2Gaston County NC (2011) 3Mecklenburg County NC (1999) 4York County SC (2009) Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft 'ilurisdictional Area Table 12 Study Area Regulated Buffer Widths Criteria Willi Main Catawba River stem and the 7 main stem Catawba River' lakes below Lake James south to the NC /SC 50 border WS III 1 dwelling units (DU) /ac or 12/ built Gaston County NC2 upon area (low density) 0 5 mile critical area 30 perennial stream Gaston County NC2 WS III 1 du /0 5 ac or 24% built upon area (low 30 density) Rest of watershed perennial stream Gaston County NC2 WS IV 1 du /0 5 ac or 24/o built upon area (low 30 density) 0 5 mile critical area perennial stream WS IV (1 du /0 5 ac or 24/ built upon area with Gaston County NC2 curb and gutter) or (1 du /0 33 ac or 36/ built 30 upon area with no curb and gutter) Protected Area perennial stream Gaston County NC2 WS III 12 30% built upon area 0 5 mile critical 100 area perennial stream Gaston County NC2 WS III 24 50/ built upon area Rest of 100 watershed perennial stream Gaston County NC2 WS IV 24 50/ built upon area 0 5 mile critical 100 area perennial stream Gaston County NC2 WS IV 24 70/ built upon area 0 5 mile critical 100 area perennial stream Mecklenburg County NC3 Drainage area >= 100 acres 35 Mecklenburg County NC3 Drainage area >= 300 acres 50 Mecklenburg County NC3 Drainage area >= 640 acres 100 + 50/ floodplain fringe York County SC4 Lake Wylie 50 York County SC4 Catawba River 100 Perennial streams draining directly to the York County SC4 Catawba River or Lake Wylie Perennial streams 50 are defined as solid blue lines on USGS topographic maps 19 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft The buffered stream fraction and average buffer width was determined for each Study Area HU using the Baseline Condition buffer extent described above The buffered stream fraction was calculated as follows Buffered Stream Fraction = Buffered Stream Length in HU Total Stream Length in HU The NHD flowlines were used to determine the total HU stream length value in the above equation The average buffer width in each HU was calculated as a weighted average based on the length of the buffered stream segments Again only buffers in areas with legal protection were considered _Average buffer widths calculated for the HUs ranged from 0 feet to 76 feet The buffered stream fraction and average buffer width determined for each HU are presented in Table 13 The average buffer width for Beaverdam Creek Catawba River is reported as 0 feet because no buffer protection ordinances are in effect in this HU Table 13 Averaee Buffer Width by HU 12-digit Hydrologic Unit Code 030501011404 Subwatershed Name Paw Creek Lake Wylie Buffer Width 74 Buffered Stream Fraction 0 104 030501011405 Fites Creek Catawba River 57 0 033 030501011406 Lake Wylie Catawba River 66 0 010 030501011501 Upper Crowders Creek 22 0 023 030501011502 Catawba Creek 50 0 001 030501011503 Beaverdam Creek Catawba River 0 Not Applicable 0030501011504 Lower Crowders Creek 50 0 002 030501011505 Mill Creek Lake Wylie 76 0 012 030501020605 Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River 50 0 005 The NCDWQ Stormwater Best Management Practices Manual (2007c) provides pollutant reduction efficiencies for 50 foot riparian buffers (Table 14) The reduction efficiencies were applied in the post processing of the GWLF calculated TN TP and TSS loads to account for pollutant reduction by buffers as follows Reduced Pollutant Loading = GWLF Loading x Buffered Stream Fraction x Reduction Efficiency Pollutant reduction by buffers was only considered for HUs with an average buffer width of 50 feet or greater Upper Crowders Creek and Beaverdam Creek Catawba River HUs do not meet this criterion As such the GWLF calculated loads for these HUs were not modified Table 14 GWLF Buffer Reduction Efficiencies 20 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft Riparian buffers were the only BMP considered in this analysis Implementation of other BMPs — bioretention basins stormwater ponds grass swales etc — requires site specific information unavailable at this time Atkins believes that without site specific information simulating such BMPs for developed areas in the future land use scenarios amounts to applying a blanket pollutant loading reduction to all runoff from these areas Substantial pollutant load reductions beyond those provided by the simulated riparian buffers could be realized if the EPA Phase I and II Stormwater Rules in effect through 99 percent of the Study Area and locally mandated stormwater treatment requirements are enforced 3 3 Model Calibration A modeling analysis of any type may include a calibration procedure in which model parameters are adjusted to achieve a best fit model or a model that best accords with observed data This process occurs in two steps calibration and validation Before either is performed the observed data record is split into corresponding calibration and validation periods The observed record for model calibration consisted of daily streamflow (USGS 2010) at USGS gage 02145642 Crowders Creek (RD 1104) near Clover SC in the Lower Crowders Creek watershed (HU 030501011504) for the period 10/1/1999 through 9/30/2003 Missing observations (July 11 2000 and 17 dates in August 2000) were replaced with streamflow for same day in 2001 Since the headwaters of Crowders Creek are also contained within the Study Area (Upper Crowders Creek HU) Upper and Lower Crowders Creek were modeled and their output combined to compare to the observed streamflow from the USGS gage GWLF reports streamflow in depth (centimeters) over the modeled area As such total catchment streamflow was calculated as the area weighted average of the two watersheds This approach uses area to scale the contribution of each watershed to the total streamflow Pollutant loadings were not calibrated due to the lack of adequate monitoring data The goal of the calibration effort for this analysis was to produce the best fit between modeled monthly streamflow and observed monthly streamflow for the validation period The observed period of record was divided evenly to establish the calibration (10/1/1999 through 9/30/2001) and validation periods (10/1/2001 through 9/30/2003) During calibration model parameters are adjusted within reasonable ranges until the model results best fit the observed data of the calibration period The performance of the calibrated model is then tested in the validation step by executing the model for the validation period and comparing the results to observed data (EPA 2008) In watershed modeling studies the scope of the calibration effort depends in part on the nature of the analysis and the availability of observed data Comparative analysis such as one the described in this report often do not require a rigorous calibration effort as model error is expected to affect the study scenarios equally Calibration involved adjusting the GWLF parameters of the Upper and Lower Crowders Creek watershed models to achieve better agreement between the model monthly streamflow and observed streamflow Evapotranspiration and seepage coefficient parameters were adjusted during calibration Dai et al (2000) recommended calibrating streamflow by adjusting the seepage parameters Seepage flow in GWLF represents the water lost to the deep saturated zone (aquifer) and it may remain in the aquifer or exit the aquifer in areas other than the watershed being studied The final parameter values are listed in Appendix B The Nash Sutcliffe statistic (Nash and Sutcliffe 1970) a goodness of fit statistic recommended by the American Society of Civil Engineers (1993) for hydrologic studies was used to evaluate the fit of the modeled streamflow to observed stream The Nash Sutcliffe statistic (N S value) can range from oo to 1 The statistic measures the models predictive performance relative to the mean of the observed data A value of 1 indicates a perfect fit while a value of 0 indicates the model is predicting no better than mean of the observed data 21 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft Modeled streamflows produced for Upper and Lower Crowders Creek watersheds correlated poorly with the observed monthly streamflow (N S value = 0 26) for the calibration period Low flows during the period made the calibration difficult The root mean square error (RMSE) between the modeled and observed monthly streamflows for the calibration watershed was 0 9 cm however modeled streamflow did not provide a satisfactory fit for the calibration period (Moriasi et al 2007) RMSE observations standard deviation ratio (RSR = 0 84) (Moriasi et al 2007) was relatively small indicating that while the RMSE was small low flow rates were the mayor reason and RSR was within acceptable limits Percent bias (PBIAS = 37) measures the average tendency of the simulated data to be smaller than their observed counterparts and indicates that the underestimation provides an unsatisfactory fit Modeled streamflow generally replicated the observed streamflow response peaks and valleys (Figure 2) Modeled streamflows for the validation period correlated well with the observed monthly streamflow (N S value = 0 89) The RMSE between the modeled and observed monthly streamflows for the calibration watershed was 14 cm RSR was acceptably small (0 33) PBIAS (0 18) indicates minimal underestimation Modeled streamflow provided a satisfactory fit for the validation period (Moriasi et al 2007) Modeled monthly flows are plotted against the observed monthly streamflows of the calibration and validation periods in Figure 2 monthly precipitation is plotted along the top axis In general the peaks of the modeled streamflow align with the observed streamflow in terms of magnitude and duration although the amplitudes of the modeled peaks are often larger than those of the observed streamflow in the later portion of the calibration period The monthly streamflow values estimated by the final calibration and validation models are plotted in Figure 2 Ultimately it was concluded the watershed models constructed for the Upper and Lower Crowders Creek watersheds performed adequately well in calibration and validation procedures The ET and seepage coefficient parameter values used in the best fit models were incorporated in the watershed models constructed for the nine 12 digit HUs composing the Study Area 22 9 O A W E V 3 0 E �o d N 15 10 5 0 15 10 5 0 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft Calibration Period 10/1/1999 through 9/31/2001 Observed Monthly Streamflow vs Modeled Streamflow Precipitation — Observed Streamflow - Modeled Flow Validation Period 10/1/2001 through 9/31/2003 Observed Monthly Strearnflow vs Modeled Streamflow 0 — .— 10 L0 Precipitation —Observed Streamflow ---*---Modeled Flow 20 30 n d O 7 3 0 10 v — m 0 20 n 3 f 30 Figure 2 Calibration and Validation Model Monthly Streamflows Plotted with Observed Monthly Streamflow 4 0 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION GWLF was run for three land use scenarios Baseline Condition 2035 No Build and 2035 PA Between scenarios land use was modified to reflect forecasted land use conversions Other input parameters (Appendix B) remained constant for all modeled scenarios Simulations were run for two years using weather data for the period 2008 to 2010 Runoff and loading rates of TN TP and TSS (referred to cumulatively as pollutants ) vary as land use patterns change within the Study Area In both future scenarios increased coverage by impervious surfaces resulted in increases in runoff These results are expected as increased urbanization occurs Higher pollutant loads are anticipated as currently undeveloped unmanaged land use categories (namely forest lands) are converted to residential commercial and industrial categories Nutrient export loads from forest lands are significantly less than export loads from commercial and industrial parcels The change from undeveloped but managed land use categories (agricultural land and pasture) to developed land use categories can result in decreased pollutant loads but increases in runoff In reviewing the GWLF model output patterns emerged between the calculated runoff and nutrient loading rates and the average HU CN nitrogen buildup rate for urban areas and phosphorus buildup rate for urban areas The CN and nitrogen and phosphorus buildup rates for urban areas are parameters considered by GWLF In calculating runoff TN loading and TP loading respectively In general runoff increases as CN Increases TN loading Increases as the nitrogen buildup rate Increases and TP Increases as the phosphorus buildup rate Increases These observations are a gross simplification of the relationship between land use and runoff and pollutant loads yet the pattern generally bears out In the model results reported In Tables 17 19 Table 15 23 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft presents the CN nitrogen build rates and phosphorus buildup rates for the Baseline 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios The values are helpful in explaining differences between the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios and will be referred to throughout this section A similar trend was not found for the TSS loading rate The TSS loading rate is determined by a more complicated relationship of model parameters which makes it difficult to isolate any one parameter as a controlling factor The results of the water quality analysis are discussed individually for the three modeled land use scenarios Tables comparing the streamflow and pollutant loadings for the three scenarios are provided (Tables 17 20) The presentation format of the tables is discussed in section 4 4 Analysis results are graphically presented in Figures A4 A6 in Appendix A 24 y v c a d � �S q { OH U O C1 N � y y D rzi C O D C� H O L- m u V L/1 Q a Q a Ln m O N C m 'O 3 m m O z Ln m O N o.� e-1 N O 0 N N 00 0 m -1 0 N a--1 0 0 It N 0 0 N O 0 0 r, O 0 0 I:T O 0 0 lD N 0 0 a= II p, a) r-1 N 1n N Ln m m ri N r, r-I r1 ON I� O rI O Ql O m N =32 �'- O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 30 co 41= m N o N oho O m r1 o ^ r1 Ian O � O � O r, r1 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O ri lD O � 00 m Ln O N N O � C14 m w m .-1 r-I w 01 Ln Nr1 O ri O O O r1 O .-1 O O O O O O O r1 O I;t�llllll� �W O1 O O � ri ^m O O 0N O r1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 ��r-wwowwo C14 m O-1 O ri O O O O O O O O O O O O O O i I 00 m Ln Ln Ln l0 111 N n t i n 0000 � w�� rl U3 0 0 c� 3a F�'Ib aSj V 00 00 ri O O 01 m L(1 Lf1 00 N S- O lD O1 m Lf1 II Z N n N n r-1 00 In w W w N w .-I W 00 n 00 lD z" lu a i 1n O1 m O N Ln N V N m 00 N O N O N m 1 i lD lD � �D lD lD lD n lD L i { 0 O 0 O O O O O o 1 ri 00 ri r-I ri ri O r-I e--I O �-1 ri O r-I r, O r-I ri O r-I rl O O N O i 1-4 Ln ri Ln 1-I IUJn ri Ln r-I LL r1 r-I LUn r-1 LUf1 r-I t�11 r-1 111 O O O O O O O O O L 1 S [0 D 1 � � : S j ; co U - LL 3 Y U M U y Y v U i Y co cu 3 m N Y v 41 Y ) Y 1 s Y v 4J U 41 V U " U E -2 p U J Y v 01 U N 3 v } Y L a a w m m - 3 v L t o a LL - U N Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft 4 1 Baseline Condition The Study Area primarily consists of suburban and rural land uses (Berger 2011) Urban and suburban land uses are concentrated around Gastonia NC in the north central portion of the Study Area — an area corresponding to the Catawba Creek Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River and Upper Crowders Creek HUs In the northeastern portion of the Study Area Belmont NC and the western extent of Charlotte NC impart an urban character to the Fites Creek Catawba River and Paw Creek Lake Wylie HUs (Figures Aland A2 Appendix A) HUs containing a high percentage of impervious surface as described in Berger (2011) and high average CN value (Table 15) were found to produce the most runoff on a per acre basis (e g Lake Wylie Catawba River Fites Creek Catawba River and Paw Creek Lake Wylie) As expected these HUs correspond to the urban areas of Belmont Gastonia and Charlotte NC The Mill Creek Lake Wylie HU was found to have the second highest runoff rate despite having only the third highest percentage of impervious surface This result is explained by the large proportion of the HU comprised by Lake Wylie In the GWLF model water surfaces such as lakes yield high amounts of runoff because unlike soils water is not considered to have any absorptive capacity In effect all precipitation falling on a waterbody is treated as runoff High rates of TN loading may be attributable to several factors agricultural land high density urban land uses septic systems and point source discharges In the case of the Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River HU the high TN loading rate is caused by the presence of septic systems and multiple point source dischargers three of which are waste water treatment plants (WWTPs) The Fites Creek Catawba River HU has the second highest TN and TP loading rates of the Study Area Here the high loadings are attributable to a combination of two WWTPs urban runoff and septic systems Compared to other HUs the TN loading rate from the Paw Creek Lake Wylie HU is seemingly lower than expected the HU has the highest percentage of urban land uses but generates a relatively low amount of TN Other HUs with lower concentrations of urban land use exceed the TN loading rate of the Paw Creek Lake Wylie HU because of the presence of septic systems The pattern of TP loading rates in the HUs closely follows the average phosphorus buildup for urban areas the TP loading rate increases as the average phosphorus buildup rate increases Deviations from this relationship are the result of point source dischargers namely WWTPs For instance the Paw Creek Lake Wylie HU has the highest average phosphorus buildup rate and produces the highest rate of TP loading among the HUs without WWTPs The Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River and Fites Creek Catawba River HUs have high average phosphorus buildup rates and both contain WWTPs Discharge from the WWTPs causes these HUs to surpass the TP loading rate of the Paw Creek Lake Wylie HU TSS is calculated as a proportion of overland erosion by GWLF Overland erosion is related to runoff but is also influenced by watershed specific conditions such as slope soil properties and land use practices Agricultural lands used for crop cultivation in particular are major generators of overland erosion In urban areas developed open space and developed low intensity land uses are the largest generators of overland erosion but produce much less erosion than agricultural land uses Accordingly these land uses have the comparatively high TSS loading rates Due to watershed conditions and a relatively high composition of developed open space and developed low intensity land uses the Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River Fites Creek Catawba River and Upper Crowders Creek produce the highest TSS concentrations The Paw Creek Lake Wylie HU is notable here because the high percentage of developed open space and developed low intensity land uses would suggest that the HU rank as one of the highest TSS exporters However the slopes and soil properties of the HU are less conducive to erosion and serve to moderate the erosive potential of these land uses Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft 4 2 2035 No Build Development is predicted to increase throughout the Study Area The greatest increase in households and residential land use acreage is expected around Gastonia NC in the Catawba Creek Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River and Upper Crowders Creek HUs (Figure A2 Appendix A) The attendant increase in impervious urea results in increased modeled runoff and TN and TP loading rates across all HUs In contrast TSS loading gates decrease in all but the Beaverdam Creek Catawba River HU as a result of the conversion of agricultural land uses which generate large amounts of overland erosion relative to urban land uses The mayor contributors of runoff do not change between the Baseline and 2035 No Build scenario HUs with high impervious percentages and high average CN values (Table 15) continue to contribute high runoff (Lake Wylie Catawba River Fites Creek Catawba River and Paw Creek Lake Wylie) The Paw Creek Lake Wylie and Upper Crowders Creek HUs are projected to experience relatively large increases in urban land uses under the 2035 No Build scenario Consequently these two HUs are predicted to experience the greatest increase in runoff The largest TN exporters are unchanged in the 2035 No Build Scenario the Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River HU remains the largest exporter of TN and the Fites Creek Catawba River and Upper Crowders Creek HUs are also still among the largest exporters However in a departure from the Baseline scenario the Paw Creek Lake Wylie and Lake Wylie Catawba _River_HUs =trans it ion _fro .m low to moderate TN_ exporters These HUs experience the largest increase in TN_loading rate as a result of relatively high increases in urban land uses A similar pattern was observed for the TP loading, rates as well _The Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River HU is still projected to have the largest TP loading rate dust as in the Baseline scenario Yet as explained above for TN increases in urban land use cause the Paw Creek Lake Wylie and Lake Wylie Catawba River HUs to experience the greatest increase in TP loading rate Six of the nine HUs experience an increase in TSS loading rate as a result of the conversion of less erosive undisturbed land uses namely forestt c, mor_e_erosive developed land uses The overall pattern of TSS expos ers° changes only for the highest generators - Upper Crowders Creek Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River HUs and Fites Creek Catawba River 43 2035 Preferred Alternative (PA) The land use condition captured by the 2035 PA scenario is differentiated from the 2035 No Build scenario by construction of the Project In aggregate The 2035 PA scenario would see approximately 1 100 additional acres of residential development and approximately 100 fewer acres of commercial /industrial /office development in the Study Area as compared to the 20_35 No Build scenario The increase in residential development is expected to produce 3 300 additional households Most of the resident development (70 percent) is forecasted to occur in the Catawba Creek and Lower Crowders HUs (Berger 2011) Additionally 1500 acres of direct impacts resulting Gaston East West Connector right of way are expected Direct impacts will be distributed among the six HUs traversed by the proposed alignment Catawba Creek Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River Lake Wylie Catawba River Lower Crowders Creek Mill Creek Lake Wylie and Upper Crowders Creek HUs Five of the nine Study Area HUs add impervious surface cover in the 2035 PA scenario (Berger 2011) Beaverdam Creek Catawba Creek Lake Wylie Catawba River Lower Crowders Creek and Mill Creek Lake Wylie The Catawba Creek and_Lower Crowders Creek experience the largest area of change between the 2035 No Build and the 2035 PA scenarios Of these HUs Catawba Creek is projected to have largest increase in development density as measured 6y—change in impervious surface coverage (Berger 2011) and further evidenced by the increase in the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA CN values reported in Table 15 27 `S Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft The HU runoff and pollutant loading rates in the 2035 PA scenario for the most part mirror the pattern observed for the 2035 No Build scenario Lake Wylie Catawba River is still the largest generator of runoff Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River still has the highest TN loading rate and so on While the relationship among the HUs remains unchanged in terms of which HUs generate the largest runoff and nutrient exports the predicted runoff and nutrient loading rates have changed Differences in runoff and pollutant loading rates observed between the 2035 PA scenario and 2035 No Build scenarios reflect changes in development density and the type of land use converted Specifically differences in runoff and nutrient loads (TN and TP) are caused by increased impervious surface coverage in the 2035 PA scenario HUs with large increases in the highest density development are projected to experience the largest increase in runoff and nutrient loading The Catawba Creek HU which experiences the largest increase in impervious surface coverage demonstrates this point Catawba Creek is projected to have the largest the increase in nutrient loads and second largest increase in runoff It is more difficult to identify such a simple relationship between TSS loading rates and other model parameters as TSS loading trends are confounded by the number of factors involved in computing sediment yield Sediment transport capacity is proportional to runoff and watershed size as reflected in the sediment delivery ratio Runoff and erosion change between the No Build and Build scenarios The degree in land use change is reflected in the erosion load factors however the magnitude of that change does not directly map to the magnitude of change in TSS load 4 4 Results Tables The water quality analysis results are compared in the series of tables that follow (Tables 17 20) Each table presents the results of a single experimental parameter for the nine HUs composing the Study Area The percent difference between the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA results are reported in the rightmost column of the tables with the heading 2035 PA — 2035 No Build The values in this column quantify the water quality effects of the Project as measured by this analysis GWLF consumes the data listed in Table 8 to produce runoff and pollutant loads The number of decimal places and significant figures generally used by GWLF for reporting various model outputs are displayed in Table 16 The significant figures listed in Table 16 determined the significant figures used to report the analysis results in Tables 17 20 Some pollutant loads are presented as annual loading per unit HU area —In-these—cases pollutant, load value is divided by the HU_area which has fewer significant figures The resulting quotient should contain five significant figures as the HU area does However reported values have been truncated to three or four significant figures (i a three decimal places) to avoid excessively long decimal values Table 16 Renorted Sienificant Fieures Parameter (units) Runoff (centimeters/ year) Decimal Places 2 Significant Figures 5 Total Nitrogen (tons /year) 4 7 Total Phosphorus (tons /year) 4 6 Total Suspended Sediment (ton x 1000 /year) 1 5 Area (hectares) 1 5 28 w F� A 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O O O O O O 3 Q l0 00 W W V l0 00 N Ln ► N O N O N N N w U9 00 w v N W F- N N N 00 W O1 N W N O W 00 01 O W ► !1 N W U'i U7 O � 00 rD 7 OJ • N W N N O \ Z Ln d • • 7 L 0 4, O H n O O R O n � N n O O I b Q Z q c O a ti N tD A w N m m (�D n (D m 3 .� 3 D_ Q n ID ((D (D S m 3 = :E N CD C) (mD cr c h K = h m (D (D (D (D 3 3 n N -+ O c O a (D O D n 3 N � O7 3 Q 3 O_ � O_ N 00 O 3 d w LA L', n, m Z Q O (D cu 07 C� (A O (D 3 CD Y O On 3 In 3 C O_ D '* I ((D o 0 Ln r O z �* O m O 3 CO O I 3 W Q- 2- Dy I p N N 3 3 wo I m z d O O (D Q co Ei _K S O O Q O 3 x 3 F� _Q O .+ 0 3 00 a Ln (D 3 (D Cl O 3 CL rr O 3 x N O O N (D m 3 m ((D m (D DJ M Ll n m n p K r- ✓J W r) C � T =F — O ° (D C (D d (�° (D c�ii n n n ;7 o °' 3 o m ru m r N m N (D r m O n � n c T (D (D 27 K (D .Z7 7p (D O t� (D 1 < 01 6 cr N N V w w w w w w w w w n 0 0 0 o O O o 0 o O 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 N F--` N C) ri ri Ul Ln VI U Ln 4�- A A in O O O O O O O Ln Lrl O w NJ 0 O 3 O (D 3 3 O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O V to F� W O N O W 00 O �3 m c C o O O o O o 0 0 X Oo 0 0 O w w w N O m 00 N w w W V O N d N m 3 m CD O O O o O 0 0 0 O O o O 0 0 0 0 0' O O O O O O O O O O 3 CL M O N N N N w N W w 3 00 W I--' Ql .P W V O tD ► N N O w 00 00 Ln W W W t z O O O O O O O O o O D' O 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 o O 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0, l wO O N A to N Ol to Ln to O. N O W Lq3 O O O O O O O O O ► 00 00 00 0 0 0 0 0 0 D 0 0 0 0 0 0 m 3 W N N W W tD W N w 41 O O lD V W -I O tD O N l0 A w tD to 00 M O ► O LA -I V to 00 tD J O q r+ a� c � o n � O� i IC) c a a O tC Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft 5 0 CONCLUSIONS The water quality analysis described in this report was performed in response to the Resource Agencies request for additional quantitative data on the Preferred Alternative particularly NCDWQ s request for additional modeling of pollutant loadings attributable to the Project As such the analysis sought to determine how estimated induced land use changes resulting from the Project may affect water quality throughout the 265 square mile Study Area defined for the analysis The analysis was performed by constructing watershed models for nine 12 digit hydrologic units (HUs) composing the Study Area (Figure A2 Appendix A) using the BasinSim build of GLWF Model estimates of annual runoff and annual overland pollutant loadings of total nitrogen (TN) total phosphorus (TP) and total suspended sediment (TSS) loads produced from three land use scenarios - Baseline Condition 2035 No Build and 2035 PA (Table 1) - were reviewed to assess the Project effects Specifically model results of the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios were compared Five of the nine HUs composing the Study Area contain streams Qr waterbodies on the 2010 North Carolina or South Carolina 303'(d) list (NCDWQ 2010a SCDHEC 2010) (Figure 2A- Appgndix_A) Catawba Creek Duharts Creek South Fork Catawba River Lower Crowders Creek Mill Creek Lake Wylie and Upper Crowders Creek The Pro— c"t aahTnment intersects all five HUs Further interchanges are planned in all five HUs The watershed model results for these five HUs indicate increased runoff and TN and TP loads in the 2035 PA scenario compared to the 2035 No Build scenario In contrast a decrease in TSS load is predicted for four of the five HUs the exception being the Upper Crowders Creek HU Of the five HUs the Catawba Creek HU experiences the largest indirect effects of the Pr'oject the HU incurs the greatest increase in urban land use and in turn the largest increase-in-impervious surface coverage —As a result the - Catawba Creek HU is projected to have the great�ease_s__in_r_unotf and nutrient loading rates For the Study Area as a whole all nine HUs are anticipated to experience some degree of direct or indirect effects from the Project Direct effects result from additional paved surface and right of way associated with the Project alignment Indirect effects are in the form of increased residential development or commercial /industrial /office development The result of these effects are apparent in the increases in runoff and nutrient loading rates projected for all nine HUs As mentioned above the Catawba Creek HU experiences the largest indirect effect and is projected to have the largest increase in runoff and nutrient loadings Over 80 percent of the land consumed by the direct and indirect effects is forecasted to come from forest and pasture lands Lastly several further points warrant mentioning First the analysis documented in this report was not conducted for the purpose of predicting the specific amount of pollutants delivered at the outlet of each modeled HU Rather the aim of the analysis was to determine the magnitude of runoff and pollutant loading change between the 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios These measurements indicate the trend of water quality over time in each HU and the Study Area as a whole And second in terms of BMPs the analysis only considered riparian buffers No site specific BMPs such as bioretention basins stormwater ponds grass swales etc are accounted for in the results Consequently the watershed model overestimates pollutant _ loadings from areas that would otherwise - receive stormwater treatment Site specific BMPs were omitted due to� a lack information regarding future development However the three of the four counties intersected by the Study Area - Gaston and Mecklenburg Counties NC and York County SC - are NPDES Phase II communities Under this designation the counties must require land disturbances greater than or equal to 1 acre to implement runoff and pollutant reduction measures (USEPA 2005) Compliance with Phase II rules would likely 33 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft result in reduced runoff and nutrient loading rates compared to those produced by the modeled 2035 No Build and 2035 PA scenarios 34 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 - Draft 6 0 REFERENCES ASCE Task Committee on Definition of Criteria for Evaluation of Watershed Models of the Watershed Management Committee Irrigation and Drainage Division 1993 Criteria for evaluation of watershed models Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering 199(3) Beutow W S 2002 On site Wastewater Nitrogen Contributions to a Shallow Aquifer and Adjacent Stream MS Thesis 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(NCDWQ) 2010a NC 2010 Integrated Report (Online) Available at http / /portal ncdenr org /c/ document _library /get_file ?uuid= BffObb29 62c2 033 810c 2eee5afa75e9 &groupld =38364 [June 2011] North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) 2011a List of Active Permits (Online) Available http / /portal ncdenr org /web /wq /swp /ps /npdes [March 2011] North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) 2011b Monthly discharge reports Available NPDES state archives Archdale Bldg Raleigh NC [May 2011] Ogrosky H 0 V Mockus 1964 Hydrology of agricultural lands In V T Chow (ed ) Handbook of Applied Hydrology McGraw Hill New York Ch 21 Ricker M C B K Odhiambo and J M Church 2008 Spatial analysis of soil erosion and sediment fluxes A paired watershed study of two Tappahannock River tributaries Stafford County Virginia Environ Manage 41(5) 766 778 Schneiderman E M D C Pierson D G Lounsbury and M S Zion 2002 Modeling the hydrochemistry of the Cannonsville watershed with Generalized Watershed Loading Functions (GWLF) Journal of the American Water Resources Association 38(5) 1323 1347 Shuman L M 2002 Phosphorus and Nitrate Nitrogen in Runoff Following Fertilizer Application to Turfgrass Journal of Environmental Quality 31 1710 1715 Soil Conservation Service 1986 Urban hydrology for small watersheds Technical Release No 55 (2nd edition) U S Department of Agriculture Washington DC Soldat Douglas J and A Martin Petrovic 2008 The Fate and Transport of Phosphorus in Turfgrass Ecosystems Crop science 48(6) 2051 2065 South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2000 State of South Carolina Section 303(d) List for 2000 (Online) Available at http / /www scdhec gov /environment /water /docs /303d2000 pdf [June 2011] South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2001a Total Maximum Daily Load Development for Beaverdam Creek Station CW 153 Fecal Coliform Bacteria (Online) Available at http / /www scdhec gov /environment /water /tmdl /docs /TMDL_BeavDam pdf [June 2011] South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2001b Total Maximum Daily Load Development for Brown Creek (HUC 03050101 180 030) Station CW 105 Fecal Coliform Bacteria (Online) Available at http //www scdhec gov /environment /water /tmdl /docs /tmdl_brwn pdf [June 2011] 38 Gaston East West Connector Water Quality Analysis August 2011 -Draft South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2002 State of South Carolina Section 303(d) List for 2002 (Online) Available at http //www scdhec gov /environment /water /docs /303d2002 pdf [June 2011] South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2002 State of South Carolina Section 303(d) List for 2002 (Online) Available at http //www scdhec gov /environment /water /docs /303d2002 pdf [June 20111 South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2004 The State of South Carolina s 2004 Integrated Report (Online) Available at http //www scdhec gov /environment /water /docs /303d2004 pdf [June 2011] South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2006a R 61 68 Water South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2006b State of South Carolina Integrated Report for 2006 (Online) Available at http / /www scdhec gov /environment /water /tmdl /docs /tmdl_06 303d pdf [June 2011] South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2008a R 61 69 Classified Waters (Online) Available at http / /www scdhec gov /environment /water /regs /r61 69 pdf [June 20111 South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2008b The State of South Carolina s 2008 Integrated Report (Online) Available at http / /www scdhec gov /environment /water /tmdl /docs /tmdl_08 303d pdf [June 2011] South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC) 2010 The State of South Carolina s 2010 Integrated Report (Online) Available at http / /www scdhec gov /environment /water /tmdl /docs /tmdl_10 303d pdf [June 2011] Tetra Tech Inc 2005 Draft Mecklenburg County Site Evaluation Tool Model Documentation (Online) Available at ftp / /ftpl co mecklenburg nc us/ WaterQuality /SET2005 /Meck %20Co %20SET %20%20 %20ModeI %20Documentation %20 %20draft %2003 23 05 %20v7 pdf [June 2011] U S Department of Agriculture Soil Conservation Service (USSCS) 1975 Urban hydrology for small watersheds Technical Release 55 91 pp U S Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2009a ortho_1 1_1n_s_nc071_2009_1 (Gaston County NC) SDA FSA Aerial Photography Field Office Salt Lake City UT U S Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2009b ortho_1 1_ 1n_ s_nc119_2009_1 (Mecklenburge County NC) SDA FSA Aerial Photography Field Office Salt Lake City UT U S Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2009c ortho_1 1_1n_sc091_2009_2 (York County SC) SDA FSA Aerial Photography Field Office Salt Lake City UT U S Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 2001 Protocols for developing pathogen TMDLs EPA 841 R 00 002 Office of Water (4503 F) Washington D C 39 Gaston East West Connector Water QualityAnalysis August 2011 -Draft U S Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 2005 Stormwater Phase II Final Rule Post Construction Runoff Control Minimum Control Measure — Fact Sheet 2 7 EPA 833 F 00 009 Office of Water (4203) Washington D C U S Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) 2008 Handbook for Developing Watershed Plans to Restore and Protect Our Waters EPA 841 B 08 002 U S Environmental Protection Agency Office of Water Washington DC U S Geological Survey (USGS) 2003 National Land Cover Database Land Cover Layer USGS Earth Resources Observation & Science (EROS) Center Sioux Falls SD U S Geological Survey (USGS) 2009 National Elevation Dataset USGS Earth Resources Observation & Science (EROS) Center Sioux Falls SD U S Geological Survey (USGS) National Hydrography Dataset Pre staged Subregion NHDH0305 Available at ftp / /nhditp usgs gov /SubRegions /High/ [October 20101 Wischmeir W H and D D Smith 1978 Predicting Rainfall Erosion Losses A Guide to Conservation Planning Agricultural Handbook 537 U S Department of Agriculture Washington D C York County South Carolina 2009 York County Buffer Oridance Available at http / /www yorkcountygov com /LinkClick aspx? fileticket= 2CgZGx3faa8 %3D &tabid= 561 &mid =1203 40 Appendix A Large Format Figures ) _ - � . � � , a , m k � � • - ! � ~ - � § ®� G - / § \7( § �({ ) \) { ! {// \ � � m } / ! ) / } \ / \ }\ 7 § u LA. � ■2 � � ��� k � f � � ! ) _ - � . � � , a , m k � � • - ! � ~ - � § ®� G - / § \7( § �({ ) \) { ! {// \ � � m } / - , — , � \ } — � � \ J5 \ I 7^ ou )\ ) ! 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N •O NI O` Lo d : d f 0-0 O I J v 3� d bi OU r N G _. -m d j 1 r� no m m - pV 1 m0 � O I N R m L° M'� Qi z °na° V 1 C m C 9 cc ow E° - U WV c° m m d'9 � > in E E m c .n r o U N m O C - N � N t0 - DOp a C Q a 0 8 �a U W N m Q 0w _ O Ojj J d d L { {p lQ Lo D O • Y (10 o o r N b ro t > Cl d d d � b 3 i d m - - O O N LL O 3 V V N Y v d .J N Y 1 - d C) N 3 Ir 1 ID CD t i ,°n ry m " d. N •O NI O` Lo d : d f 0-0 O I J v 3� d bi OU r N G _. -m d j 1 r� no m m - pV 1 m0 � O I N R m L° M'� Qi z °na° V 1 C m C 9 cc ow E° - U WV c° m m d'9 � > in E E m c .n r o U N m O C - N � N t0 - DOp a C Q a 0 8 �a U W N m Q 0w ,°n ry m " d. N •O NI O` Lo d : d f 0-0 O I J v 3� d bi OU r N G _. -m d j 1 r� no m m - pV 1 m0 � O I N R m L° M'� Qi z °na° V 1 C m C 9 cc ow E° - U WV c° m m d'9 � > in E E m c .n r o U N m O C - N � N t0 - DOp a C Q a 0 8 �a U W N m Q 0w O a O 41 � Y r � O_ J O Y � d � O M (� O 10 /a I� � p m N r .d. O R r U d m � o� a ; O 10 oU o m o M f0 O Y M � H N O i m m C c�� N LL d1 N �°y d 7 i O m a < Mc ° O m I Y w a U m La O cb_ o U °n U c o d 2 0 2LL¢ � C � y O ow Ea � a ow EV >d 76 d m > 7 O O O E cz O wU Uo � � m m S NI n m i d R� Q M 3 U� Y � d o U CD E fc n 0 z � a a � 9 _ 1� <!4iJC1111 l I a Yet `p M r C LL N C4 LL 01� - Q` N o m N ai R -7J rUr /y � o U to M oM it al o N v U� M °� n w W O C- ! '" 2 li Q �Z a m U) O Y m O d o U oe m 7E � 9 oN s €s m U d = w - .p m 53 0 s ° 0 C pi m � WU LL L2 J D Q L N � I m R a m 0 m 0 Z. 0 z U C C m p N Q N CD is cU N a v10 ° o IOU om '^ a � O 9 6 � U w O C y u W U UZ 2' � N � 1 a a � H 0 ' 1 g;@_ d B In R o V, O Y'. � O d O U / 1 oE\'r d m i N o � pfd _ o Ln 51 2 3a (D OU Cl) _ '�' i m v`o m _ °U 1 wO c m Z o � VILIN `.O ° N LL L m r In o U r r U N C R Y O N I� M T N t � I o N r N Y g;@_ d B In R o V, O Y'. � O d O U / 1 oE\'r d m i N o � pfd _ o Ln 51 2 3a (D OU Cl) _ '�' i m v`o m _ °U 1 wO c m Z o � VILIN oa UoUN � O oU C D > J J O1 Cl ? O C N W i W L O UN m Q7 c d o c - J O U O O C7 v a Pv y�{( '' o m � m O N od r a MU oa cc CD m ° S 0 fil N IUD) d o N Y CD�o N lL ,'� — m r O •— in N � O m -� _... 1 _. -_ i N Y I -• O LWO r C M m ) l m r g o m m i � N n ° 1 � R O Y O O d 2 _ O'L CD cu CD _ r d s 8� m d cn U p _ N C 0 o 20 1< J ' Al All 22< U Z5 U) S `E J! o Y n Lm a ' m = ° aA Ca LL O m SS a W E ° Z a rn w l py H � 1 r '��•V t � � v C 1. • z m_ ip r t�„ 11.. ��LLR •rte 9 r � 7�,;�r• �x oV 16 , . n � A 7 u` O y O R { �` G> O ✓. � 1 � J Iwo, Cam. __ _ 1 ✓ �- _ Appendix C GWLF -E and RUNQUAL -E Input Parameters ti m Z:� m Z:� Z:� C O C O C O iC iv iC -° O Y 7m c J C 7 c O N O N c O C O 0 °o CD °o E E E o° E E E 3 0. a N N N O u O O 0 .--i d O Q O 70 70 t0 — — U z V z o ti 0 0 O -O c _0 c (7 (7 p -a D -0 7 O -0 00 0, 00 0) N o. a a o o -o a m a, cn cn o° 00 ° ^o C C C CD �C tC u v u ° L ° O O O O U V O O O m v v z Z Z lu U cu N N N N J a v v - > N > N > N 3 3 3 E E J 7 L L L 0 0 0 -a E -0 E io m ro rC � Q d m ms m v N u u u u o o u u u o 0 v v u u u z z z z u H U — ra ai m m a a a a 0 0 0 N N N N N N N N N N N J N y J J a J -o cco v v v C =a u l7 0 � r_cC � r_cC uCL V O O O O v N CL a a a, 3 > > > > rya t•OC f�C � > > > N L E E E E E v N C VI C V C N O Q O m o co @ R7 Z v E EC T O T 0 O O N N L u u E E E E E E E E 0 N N J Y Y Y Y n o_ N 01 O M O 00 m O � N N V O p ti N O O p1 ti N O O N 'y O O ° 0 0 ^ ° ° o O N O O ''"� mO 00 O Ln r+i V p O O N N Vl ° 01 N 00 M 01 O 0 H lD O O ^ p N Ci O W N 0 Q ai CL E a Y Y a C °a c c ,Nn N v N °pa Z a z d c L L °c c° m m 0 a J V E J E a E E Y .°LO °= Qj N vNi N E C 7 7 O N v?i N v?i CL E E o N = c o o N a N 'r0 C N to O O 2 ° tC H N N — tC lC — iC N N t0 N O. N N d Q vNi K O C Q m N O CL Z CL _°- O N p m N -0 L Z O Ou z a z d O O J z z v i z is c o c n c J a v o a rn c y Op O CL CL FE o rl ao N ? o cu O N Ur O O v o N O O O O N N N a1 ~ oa c QJ ~ ` Q O ° Z J vi �a 0 m m m iv O O O O O O O o O O o O o V1 U C V O O N N C N N _ N _ VI N C N j N m 1-- 01 o f J o ap E - E O O v N N v ai N C L N a d 0) "'� N V E E > > _ N O H u O F u a) m N m N m D to U f0 fU to to m !a U t0 fa V ca O u cn t0 V1 T a+ L L O a a C 2 LO C C C C L_ J C L N v _C E E E H v c E C o a .c v 3 c c c 3 - a .N.� m u C v O L O L O L v C O L al J v a c o f o f c E c p E > L r`0 C .` ro — y a`� -Fa V V m U M V M = y N U M ca �Q1 V v v v 2 u :' :� U o 3 Y °: 0 a 3 O o 3 O U - C is - 'C fa - C ja O UC to Laa N v N M N C -O � — J > a-0 cu a v o 0 o a (V 0 3 m E v E oL I V U U �L U 3o N > N N u w .� U w ca U w w w w Q u al Q a m m m m E E E C E E N _ C C w a \ 0a \ as \ 0a C E C L O C C O_ a m 01 O m O O n i ^ l0 .-y V O V1 O p •--� O O Om) Op O ^i O m O lD a) O ti 00 M V d O O I� n O O - p m O O O ti M N p O d e-c u Z d N ~ O O O a m N ai v m m a, as O 2 v E J N J H o o Z a ao � O T ° C o J CO c a1 a/ O O U O O T _ m I w 9 cu J J al cu u T M > N E .+ a p J Q a h a) O Q U 76 O 'o T c a c O a! H O a) C C O' J ' a. , O O aJ Q v d u O u O Y O O C co C fO aJ 7. ..• N E O C C O o0 O V QJ u al '� C CL O_C ✓ 'C i a1 J a) 0 O T L m E E u u N c 0 Z Z a a c 00 00 N W O � L ~ L a V) vE U Z p p � O O a D � � C C W Z = _ ° a, o N 0 E L E L N N V m 7 U V pp z 2 3 3 v o 'o CL a CL „ a a 7 o C v v pp c h � N O ip N m p) m M C C O C O O a m m E a v v v p, N a m - a - p cu Ul (v N > > u a O cup 3 a C 7 w v T u p pl H p) v Y M C O C 7 C 7 C 7 w L O m CD 'y M C . r 00 O Ln N n O V Y O � O U W V O U d Q W J W J J N W J p c Appendix D Correspondence with N.C. Division of Water Quality Regarding Analysis Methodology pBskjol an Atkins company To: Polly Lespinasse, Brian Wrenn, Colin Mellor From: Brad Allen CC: Christy Shumate, Jennifer Harris, Jill Gurack, David O'Loughlin Date: October 22, 2010; Updated MEMORANDUM Re: Minutes for Gaston ICE Water Quality Analyis Meeting with NCDWQ Attendees: • Polly Lespinasse (NCDWQ) • Brain Wrenn (NCDWQ) • Colin Mellor (NCDOT • Dave O'Loughlin (PBS &J) • Brad Allen (PBS &J) On October 18, 2010, the above personnel from the NC Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ), NC Department of Transportation (NCDOT), and PBS &J met at the NCDWQ Winston - Salem, NC office. The purpose of the meeting was to discuss issues related to the Gaston East/West Connector (the Project) indirect and cumulative effects (ICE) water quality analysis (Analysis). The meeting started with PBS &J summarizing the status of the Analysis. PBS &J explained work had begun to develop the Analysis methodology, but they had reached a point at which they would like to receive NCDWQ's approval on several key elements of the proposed Analysis before moving forward. The focus of the meeting was then turned to the following six questions identified by PBS &J as requiring resolution. 1. Is it acceptable to use the quantitative ICE boundary for the Analysis? The Gaston East -West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis (August 3, 2010) was prepared by Louis Berger Group. The report was posted on the NCTA website and environmental resource and regulatory agencies were notified and asked to review and comment. To date, no comments have been received. 2. Are the 12 -digit Hydrologic Units (HUs) acceptable reporting units for the Analysis results? 3. Is focusing the Analysis on non -point source nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment adequate for addressing regulatory agency concerns over the Project's ICE? • Page 1 4. Is it acceptable to only consider the effect of riparian buffer best management practices (BMPs) in the Analysis? 5. Is the resolution of the forecast -zone scale for which No Build and Build land use forecasts are reported adequate for the Analysis? 6. Is PBS &J's recommended approach for processing the forecast data of the future land use scenarios acceptable? The resolution and discussion corresponding to each question are summarized below 1. Is it acceptable to use the quantitative ICE boundary for the Analysis? Resolution: No resolution was reached during the meeting. Resolution Update: Brian Wrenn of NCDWQ responded to this issue in an email on October 22, 2010. In the email, he requests that the Fites Creek - Catawba River 12 -digit hydrologic unit (HUC 30501011405) be included in the study area of the ICE quantitative land use and water quality analysis. Brian's email is included at the end of this memorandum as a record of documentation. NCDWQ had questions regarding the quantitative ICE boundary and requested to withhold comments on the matter until those questions are answered . Specifically, NCDWQ questioned why the 12 -digit HUs highlighted in green and marked with asterisks in the below figure were not included in the quantitative ICE analysis. The point was made that both HUs are in the vicinity of the proposed roadway alignment, and both appear to have open space available for development. Neither Colin nor PBS &J could provide an answer, but agreed to find out why the HUs were not considered. PBS &J will inform NCDWQ of the findings. At which time, NCDWQ will then provide an opinion on the suitability of the quantitative ICE boundary for the Analysis. • Page 2 In answer to NCDWQ's questions conceming the quantitative ICE boundary, PBS &J has identified that sections 2.1.1 and 2.1.2 of the Gaston East -West Connector Quantitative Indirect and Cumulative Effects Analysis explain the exclusion of the HUs. The content of both sections is provided below. PBS &J requests that NCDWQ reply to indicate if the explanations are sufficient. 2.1.1 Gaston County In Gaston County, a small portion of the northwest corner of the qualitative ICE study area was removed, including the northern half of Bessemer City and part of Gastonia. To the east of Gastonia, a portion of Belmont and an adjacent unincorporated area along the I -85 corridor was removed. The transportation modeling conducted for the project with the Metrolina Travel Demand Model shows that the TAZs in these areas would notexperience any substantial change in travel times as a result of the Gaston East -West Connector and thus are unlikely to experience growth pressures attributable to the project. The reason this area would not experience substantial changes in accessibility is that it is already in close proximity to 1 -85, which is the existing primary east -west roadway and crossing of the Catawba River in Gaston County. The study area was expanded to the north to include the entirety of the Duharts Creek -South Fork Catawba River subwatershed (030501020605). The expanded area includes parts of Gastonia, Lowell, McAdenville, Ranlo and Spencer Mountain. This expansion of the study area was made only for the purpose of including the entire watershed in the study area, not because of accessibility changes in this area. 2.1.2 Mecklenburg County In Mecklenburg County, the study area was expanded to include the entire Paw Creek -Lake Wylie subwatershed (030501011404). Although there are not substantial accessibility changes for this watershed, it does contain part of two important No Build condition projects -- the Charlotte - Douglas International Airport third runway and intermodal freight facility. A portion of the study area to the east of 1 -485 was removed based on the results of the projected travel time improvements being the greatest around and to the east of the Gaston East -West Connector's interchange with 1 -485. The subwatersheds in this location (030501030103- Upper Sugar Creek and 030501030108- Steele Creek) are within a heavily developed portion of the City of Charlotte and would be unlikely to experience further environmental impacts from land use change because the majority of the land in these subwatersheds is already developed. While a portion of the Charlotte- Douglas International Airport is within the Upper Sugar Creek watershed, the primary considerations in terms of cumulative impacts (the new runway and the proposed intermodal facility) are not and remain within the study area for the quantitative ICE assessment. Additionally, NCDWQ mentioned that a population of Carolina heelsplitter (Lasmigona decorata) may have been found in the Catawba River; although, they were not sure of the details. The heelsplitter has hereunto not been mentioned as an issue for this project. PBS &J will investigate this matter and inform NCDWQ of the findings. • Page 3 2 Are the 12 -digit HUs acceptable reporting units for the Analysis results? Resolution: NCDWQ confirmed that the 12 -digit HUs are acceptable. This question generated little discussion as it is typical to report the results of such analyses at the 14- digit or 12 -digit HU scale. 3. Is focusing the Analysis on non -point source nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment adequate for addressing regulatory agency concerns over the Project's ICE? Resolution: NCDWQ confirmed that modeling non -point source nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment is adequate, but the analysis may need to be expanded to include metal loadings. The topic of metal pollution came up while reviewing impaired parameters for 303(d)- listed water s in the project study area; the Catawba River is impaired in part for copper standard violations. Colin mentioned metal pollution (such as copper and zinc) from highway runoff has become an issue of increasing concern at NCDOT. Yet, no previous water quality analyses performed in support of roadway ICE analyses in North Carolina have considered metal loadings. In fact, it is still unclear how metals should be addressed in such analyses or if they should be considered at all. Colin and PBS &J will continue to investigate the issue. NCDWQ recommended contacting Cindy Moore or Carol Hollenkamp in NCDWQ's Aquatic Toxicology unit for assistance. Depending on the findings, the metal loadings may be incorporated into the analysis. 4. Is it acceptable to only consider the effect of riparian buffer BMPs in the Analysis? Resolution: NCDWQ confirmed that considering only riparian buffer BMPs is acceptable. PBS &J discussed the uncertainty involved in modeling structural stormwater BMPs — bioretention basins, stormwater ponds, grass swales, etc — for future land use conditions. It was PBS &J's contention that such BMPs should not be considered in the water quality model. Instead, a qualitative discussion of these BMPs will be provided in the Analysis report. NCDWQ agreed. 5. Is the resolution of the traffic analysis zone (TAZ) (or forecast -zone) scale for which No Build and Build land use forecasts are reported adequate for the Analysis? Resolution: NCDWQ confirmed that the forecast zones used to report the No Build and Build land use forecasts were adequate. Further, NCDWQ requested that the Existing land use be aggregated to the forecast -zones too. The purpose in normalizing all the land use datasets to the forecast zones is to provide consistent reporting scale for all land use scenarios. PBS &J discussed the format of the Existing, No Build, and Build land use datasets developed by the Louis Berger Group. It was noted that the Existing land use was formatted as a spatially- explicit raster dataset with a 30 -meter resolution. In contrast, the No Build and Build land use datasets are not spatially explicit and are constructed at the much coarser resolution of the forecast zones. Because of the varying resolutions of the land use datasets, separate techniques would need to be used to generate model parameters and the reporting of results would differ too. NCDWQ expressed concern over this seeming disparity between the Existing dataset and future land use forecasts, stating that it creates doubt that a direct comparison of pollutant loadings can be made. Essentially, the Analysis would not provide an "apples to apples" comparison if the land use datasets are not normalized to a • Page 4 consistent scale. PBS &J and Colin acknowledged as much. Two solutions were then discussed: 1) spatially - explicit future land use forecasts could be generated to match the format of the Existing dataset or 2) the spatially - explicit Existing dataset could be aggregated to the forecast -zone scale to match the format of the future land use forecasts. Ultimately, it was decided to pursue the second option. 6. Is PBS &J's recommended approach for processing the forecast data of the future land use scenarios acceptable? Resolution: NCDWQ suggested the approach detailed in question 5 above. NCDWQ, as well as Colin and PBS &J, felt that PBS &J's initial recommendation to process the lower resolution future land use datasets in a different manner than the Existing dataset would introduce unnecessary confusion into the Analysis and subsequent report. All attendees concluded an alternative approach in which the Existing dataset would be aggregated to the forecast -zone scale to match the lower resolution format of the future land use forecasts should be used. By processing the Existing dataset to match the format of the future land use forecasts, the same techniques can be used to calculate the water quality model parameters for all three land use scenarios. This will eliminate the need to explain and justify the use of separate modeling techniques for the Existing and future land use scenarios. • Page 5 Allen, Thomas B From: Wrenn, Brian Sent: Friday, October 22, 2010 10:26 AM To: Allen, Thomas B; Lespinasse, Polly; Mellor, Colin Cc: jsgurak,; Shumate, Christy; Harris, Jennifer; O'Loughlin, David K Subject: RE: Minutes for Gaston WQ Analysis Meeting I have one comment regarding the minutes. For the explanation of excluding the watersheds in Gaston Co. near Bessemer City, although I can understand the travel time savings will not be significantly increased for the northern portion of the HUC, surely there will be some induced growth south of 85 and 29. 1 think this HUC should be included in the analysis. Several of the HUCs included in the analysis have portions that will not experience significant travel time savings, but they are still part of the study area. No reason for this HUC to be excluded. That being said, Polly holds the trump card in this, so if she disagrees with me, I will concede. Brian Wrenn Transportation Permitting Unit, Supervisor NC Division of Water Quality brian.wrenn @ncdenr.gov 585 Waughtown Street Winston - Salem, NC 27107 -2241 336 - 771 -4952 (Winston -Salem no.) 336 - 771 -4631 (Fax) or 2321 Crabtree Blvd., Ste 250 Raleigh, NC 27103 919 - 733 -5715 (Raleigh no.) 919 - 733 -6893 (Raleigh Fax) From: Allen, Thomas B [mailto:TBAllen @pbsj.com] Sent: Friday, October 22, 2010 10:02 AM To: Wrenn, Brian; Lespinasse, Polly; Mellor, Colin Cc: jsgurak,; Shumate, Christy; Harris, Jennifer; O'Loughlin, David K Subject: Minutes for Gaston WQ Analysis Meeting Polly, Brian, Colin: Please find attached the minutes for the Gaston East /West Connector water quality analysis meeting held on October 18, 2010. Perhaps the largest outstanding question from the meeting was why were 12 -digit HUs 030501011405 (Fites Creek -Lake Wylie) and 030501030103 (Sugar Creek Headwaters) excluded from the study area? An explanation to this question is provided in the minutes. Brian and Polly, would you please review the explanation and let me know if it is sufficient. Feel free to contact me if you have any further questions or comments. Thanks, Brad Allen, E.I. Senior Scientist PBSU - Mid - Atlantic Sciences 1616 E. Millbrook Road, Suite 310 Raleigh, NC 27609 Office: 919.876.6888 (Main) Office: 919.431.5222 (Direct) Fax: 919.878.6848 tballen@pbsi.com www.pbs'.com