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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNC0000272_EPA 1994 Letter Re.: Stream Variance_19941129 `ltl A 1 1 ,'- UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY I • � `177 DOVE::} REGION IV _ Iy^- 345 COURTLAND STREET.N.E. /S ATLANTA.GEORGIA 30365 NOV 2 9 1994 /0 Mr. A. Preston Howard, Jr. , Director z North Carolina Department of Environment, �3 Health and Natural Resources 'DEC 3 t994 Division of Environmental Management P.O. Box 29535 DIY. OF ENVIRONMENTAL MGMNT. Raleigh, North Carolina 27626-0535 DIRECTORS OFFICE Dear Mr. Howard: This is in reference to the State-adopted variance for the instream color criterion for the Pigeon River. The variance was initially adopted by the State on July 13, 1988, and was continued by the Environmental Management Commission NPDES Committee on May 120, 1993. The conditions, of the initial variance require reconsideration by the State during each subsequent triennial review conducted by the State. T The continuation _of. _the variance was submitted for EPA review as a water' q"J:ity standard by letter dated June 11, 1993. The States request for review included the necessary certification that the variance was duly adopted and promulgated in accordance with applicable statutory. and regulatory provisions of the State: The variance was submitted for Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) review in conjunction with the triennial review of water quality standards for the State. On November 2, 1993, EPA acted on the revisions adopted by the State during the triennial review, with the exception of the color variance for the Pigeon River. Action on the variance was deferred by EPA pending a review of the variance by the US Fish. and Wildlife (FINS) pursuant to the provisions of the July 27, 1992 Memorandum of Agreement for coordination between the EPA, the FWS, and the National Marine Fisheries Service. That review is now complete. The letter dated March 31, 1994 sum^; izing the conclusions of the FWS review of the variance is enclosed for your information. The conclusion of the' FWS regarding the color variance is -as - follows: "Based-on the.absence of listed.species in the project area; continuation of Champion International's color variance. of• 50 .true_color.:units _at-the Canton Mill .is not likely_to.-adversely :impact•.anp.--:Federally-listed or..proposed. ' species. in-the Pigeon:River £rom the discharge location-to the North Carolina/Tennessee state line. Therefore, the (2) requirements of Section 7 of the Act have been satisfied. However, obligations under Section 7 of the Act must be reconsidered if: (1) new information reveals impacts of the identified action that may affect listed species or critical habitat in a manner not previously considered; (2) this action is subsequently modified in a manner which was not considered in the document; or (3) a new species is listed or critical habitat 'determined that may be affected by the identified action. " The applicable federal regulation regarding the State's obligation in the review and reassessment of variances is contained in 40 CFR Section 131.20(a) which states: "The State shall from time to time, but at least once every three years, hold public hearings for the purpose of reviewing applicable water quality standards and, as appropriate, modifying and adopting standards. Any water 'body segment with water quality standards that do not include the uses specified in Section 101(a) (2) of the Act shall be re-examined every three years to determine if any new information has become available. If such new information indicates that the uses specified in Section 101(a) (2) of the Act are attainable, the State shall revise its standards accordingly. " This -provision applies to "water quality standards that do not include the uses specified in Section 101(a) (2) of the Act. " . This includes State-adopted variances from water quality . criteria for specific water body segments. Title 40, CFR..Section 131.20(c) provides, in pertinent part: "The State shall submit the results of the review, any supporting analysis for the use attainability analysis. . . to the Regional Administrator for review and approval. . . " In the context of the federal regulations, EPA considers the variance to be an action taken by the State to modify a use included in Section 101(1) (2) of the Act to require less stringent criteria. The requirements for such an action are the same as for any other standards which are required to be supported by.a use attainability analysis. The information provided by Champion includes an update of the previous analysis used as a demonstration of meeting the provisions of 40 CFR Section 131.10(g) (6) . This portion of the regulation allows a revision to water quality criteria when controls more' stringent. than those required by Sections 301(b) and 306- of the-Clean Water Act would result in substantial .:' .widespread social and economic impact. The analysis is based on the configuration of the Canton Mill prior to the modernization program, which"was recently completed. (3) EPA understands that, at the time of the update to the previous analysis, production and wastewater treatment operations at the Canton Mill were in a state of flux, and that no data were available under the modernized configuration of the mill for: 1) the influent color loadings to the wastewater treatment facility, (2) the color removal efficiency of the wastewater treatment operations, (3) actual effluent color levels, (4) plant economics under the new production scenario, or (5) the effect of reduced wastewater flow on the previous wastewater treatment operations and in relation to available space at the current site for future incorporation of operations specifically designed for removal of effluent color. Based on our conversations with representatives from Champion, we also understand that the above information will be available for at least one year of operation of the modernized mill after May 1995. In reaching a determination on the color variance it is EPA's determination ' tion that the information provided by Champion and submitted to. EPA by the State is the best approximation of the economics and treatment operations of the Canton Mill at the time that the variance was continued by the State. Also, new information is not available at this time which is sufficient to indicate that the statewide color criterion is attainable in the Pigeon River. It is EPA's determination that the State's continuation of the variance complies with Section 303 of the Clean Water Act and 40 CFR Part. 131. Therefore, EPA is approving the State's continuance of the variance as a revision to State water quality standards. We .understand that Champion has announced an intention to implement a new technology to recycle the bleaching wastewaters within the operations at the Canton Mill. This step will significantly reduce wastewater flows and the influent color loading to the treatment operations, and is consistent with EPA's position that reasonable progress must be demonstrated toward meeting the statewide color criterion for the Pigeon River in order for EPA to accept and approve a continuation of the color variance. Regarding the State's nest review of the color variance, it is EPA's expectation that a detailed analysis of the economics and treatment operations at the Canton Will will be submitted to the State for consideration in the nest triennial review. Since the previous variance was continued by the State on May 12, . 1993, the variance should be reviewed and appropriate revisions be adopted by the State no later than May 12, 1996. The analysis must account for new information based on. operation of the modernized facility, including the following: (1) influent color loadings-to .the wastewater treatment facility, (2) color removal efficiency- of the wastewater (4) treatment operations, (3) actual effluent color levels, (4) the economic information necessary to reevaluate the provisions of the variance pursuant to 40 CFR Section 131.10(g) (6) under the new production scenario, and (5) the effect of reduced wastewater flow on the previous wastewater treatment operations in relation to available space at the current site for operations specifically designed for removal of effluent color. The list of treatment technologies should be agreed upon by the State and EPA prior to initiation of the evaluation of alternatives. The analysis should also address potential color prevention technologies in addition to wastewater color removal technologies. The analysis should be based on full attainment of the statewide color criterion in the Pigeon River. Should full attainment not be demonstrated to be economically achieveable, the analysis should also address interim levels of compliance with the statewide color criterion, including but not limited to: (1) attainment of the statewide criterion at a point further upstream of the North Carolina/Tennessee state line, (2) achieving a color level at the North Carolina/Tennessee state line which is more stringent than the current NPDES permit requirement, i.e. , less than 50 true color units, or (3) an instream color level at or near the discharge which will result in reduced color -levels in downstream segments of the river. i • In order for the above information to be timely and useful in the next triennial review, especially relative to-possible revisions to the variance and further-progress- towards meeting the statewide color standard, EPA is requesting, the State of North Carolina to require Champion International to submit the above information no later than September 1, 1995. This should allow Division of Environmental Management staff ample time to review the information and include a recommendation on any further continuance of the variance prior to the three year deadline for reconsideration of the variance. If you have questions regarding EPA's approval of the Pigeon River color variance or the information outlined for continuation of the variance during the State's next triennial review, please contact me at 404/347-3555, extension 6544. . Sincerely,. Robert F. McGhee Acting Director Water Management Division Enclosure - cc: Mr. Steve Tedder State of North Carolina Department of Environment, Health and Natural Resources • • Division of Environmental Management James B. Hunt,Jr., Governor Jonathan B. Howes, Secretary ID E F=I A. Preston Howard,Jr., P.E., Director December 19, 1994 Mr. Derric Brown Environmental Supervisor Champion International Corporation Canton Mill Box C-10 Canton, North Carolina 28716 Dear Mr. Brown, The United States Environmental Protection Agency(EPA)has reviewed the color variance for the instream color criterion for the Pigeon River and determined that. the state a continuation of the variance complies with Section 303 of the Clean Water Act and 40 CFR Part 131. The EPA recently approved the continuance of the color variance in a letter dated November 29, 1994 to A. Preston Howard, Jr., Director of the Division of Environmental Management. A copy of the letter has been enclosed for your information. We are pleased that EPA has approved the continuance of the variance and attribute much of their decision to the enormous improvements that your company has made to the Canton Mill. We applaud your efforts and look forward to working with you in the coming years to ensure protection of the environment is ma3dmized. I would like to take this opportunity to outline the schedule of major milestones and to summarize information that should be submitted to us as part of our Triennial Review of water quality standards. In accordance with the existing variance agreement, "Champion shall continue to study and evaluate other color removal technologies and shall report its findings to the Division of Environmental Management immediately upon discovery and annually on or before April 30 of each year." In its letter of November 29, 1994, EPA has requested that the state require you to submit specific information to us. I refer you to pages 3 and 4 of their letter for the details of this requested information. In general,you are requested to provide detailed information on economics and treatment operations at the Canton Mill. I suspect that you will provide much of this information to us in your report which is due April 30, 1995. Any information which has been requested and not submitted as part of this April 30th report shall be due to us no later than September 1, 1995. After you have had a chance to review the enclosed letter and scope of information requested, please feel free to call Forrest Westall in our Asheville Regional Office or me if you have questions. P.O.Box 29535,Rdeigh,North Carolina 27626.0535 Telephone 919-733-7016 FAX 919-733-2496 An Equal Opporhnily Affirmative Action Employer 50%recycled/10%pastconaaner paper Mr. Derric Brown December 19, 1994 Page Two As we have discussed with you in previous conversations, we expect to convene the NPDES Committee of the Environmental Management Commission(EMC) in early 1995 to begin the variance review process. The NPDES Committee will select members for a special variance review committee which will have the task of evaluating technical and economic data and other information submitted on the color variance issue. We expect to have this special committee assembled in early 1995. Our tentative schedule for other related activities include the following: • seeking permission from the EMC for approval of the French Broad River basinwide plan in April 1995, • submitting our annual status summary report to the NPDES Committee on color removal at the Canton Mill plant in June 1995, • submitting a report to EPA on the status of the variance review in December 1995, • giving public notice for the Champion permit and variance in late spring or early summer 1996, and • issuing NPDES permits for the Pigeon River drainage in October 1996. I hope that this tentative schedule will be useful to you. We look forward to working with you in the next phase of the variance review process. Sincerely, Steve W. Tedder, Chief Water Quality Section Enclosure cc Forrest Westall Paul Davis Fritz Wagner 3? SEFLOW (mgd) .- ry O O O O C 7 -- Jan-87 Apr-87 ; Jul-87 Oct-87 Jan-88 Apr-88 06 0 Jul-88 Oct-88 ' A Jan-89 Apr-89 a Jul-89 d Oct-89 W zzm a Jan-90 0 0 Apr-90 c o Jul-90 R Oct-90 CCD CCD Q m w Jan-91 Apr-91 C C 7 w Jul-91 r=1 ° PO Oct-91 w W o Jan-92 ^' a �e Apr-92 y a Jul-92 =' w Oct-92 Jan-93 'o Apr-93 Jul-93 Oct-93 v, Jan-94 Apr-94 Jul-94 Oct-94 Jan-95 `" Apr-95 SLc mg/I CD p pN O � O U 8 In p tin 8 Jan-87 Apr-87 n m Jul-87 e Oct-87 m { A Jan-88 °' z Apr-88 n y Jul-88 Z Oct-88 w A Jan-89 C" Apr-89 m Jul-89 f] o_ Oct-89 c n n � Jan-90 w Apr-go o Jul-90 w Oct-90 Jan-91 t Apr-9152. d Jul-91 A c Oct-91 Jan-92 c Apr-92 Jul-92 Oct-92 eSo Jan-93 b C Apr-93 Jul-93 Oct-93 3 Jan-94 c Apr-94 a Jul-94 Oct-94 y Jan-95 Pq Apr-95 N lA SE True Color (lbs/day) W N N W W A A U U Jan-87 Apr-87 Jul-87 Oct-87 a m Jan-88 Cr1 Apr-88 C Jul-88 Oct-88 c Jan-89 Apr-89 0 m Jul-89 a n Oct-89 ' c 3 Jan-90 ° Apr-90 c Jul-90 m A Oct-90 n T Jan-91 °° o � w Apr-91 n � o Jul-91 a Oat-91 Jan-92 Apr-92 Jul-92 A Oct-92 'w as Jan-93 Apr-93 ° 9 Jul-93 Oct-93 A Jan-94 Apr-94 Jul-94 Oct-94 Jan-95 Apr-95 zo CD Pigeon River Flowrate @ Hepco,NC mgd m A rn m O N A O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O Jan-87 Apr-87 Jul-87 b Oct-87 0 Jan-88 Apr-88 <. Jul-88 o K7 Oct-88 y� Jan-89 77 1 Apr-89 a " = Jul-89 � CD Oct-89 °� ° Jan-90 3 Apr-90 c Jul-90 A Oct-90 I A c o Jan-91 Apr-91 a i n o' x Jul-91 eDCD cm , w Oct-91 0o rj Jan-92 0 o A r-92 o P o 0 C Jul-92 = CD � o 3 Oct-92 CD Jan-93 T Apr-93 a e f Jul-93 ;a N fD Oct-93CD i y 3 Jan-94 c u� a Apr-94 o c Jul-94 Oct-94 Jan-95 I a Apr-95 .......................................... .......................... ..................:................................................................................... LIN Schedule For Champion Variance Review Process April 95 Send letter to NPDES Committee describing variance review process and nominees for Variance Review Committee. Variance Review Committee to include EHNR staff, and at least two individuals considered authorities on pulp and paper technology or environmental aspects of that industry from the university or research communities. April 30, 95 Champion to submit annual report on color removal technologies to DEM May 10, 95 Seek permission from the EMC for approval of the French Broad River basinwide plan May 10, 95 Convene NPDES Committee to begin selection process for Variance Review Committee June 95 Convene Variance Review Committee June 30, 95 Submit annual status summary report to NPDES Committee on color removal at Canton Mill plant September 1, 95 Champion to submit information as specified on pages 3-4 of EPA's November 29, 1994 letter to Preston Howard December 95 Submit a report to EPA on the status of the variance review December 95 Variance Review Committee to submit report to NPDES Committee with recommendation on adequacy of existing variance February 96 NPDES to consider Variance Review Committee's report and to determine if changes in the variance are warranted due to the effectiveness of the treatment system or because of the advances in color reduction technologies for this type wastewater March 96 Give public notice for Champion permit and variance May 1, 96 Hold hearing for Champion permit and variance June 11, 1996 Submit "3-year" package to EPA on variance review status July 12, 96 Convene NPDES committee to review'information presented at public hearing Aug 1 - Sept 1, 96 Make decision on permit and variance October 96 Issue NPDES permits for Pigeon River drainage BM, 4/6/95 HD.variance review schedule BENEFITS AND COSTS FROM THE REDUCTION OF COLOR EFFLUENT FROM THE CHAMPION MILL INTO THE PIGEON RIVER PREPARED BY NATIONAL ECONOMIC RESEARCH ASSOCIATES, INC. AT THE REQUEST OF CHAMPION INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION FEBRUARY 1998 mera TABLE OF CONTENTS Pace I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OF RESULTS I A. Introduction 1 B. Summary of the Economic and Employment 2 Impacts of Discharges from the Champion Mill C. Evaluation of the Bach and Barnett Analysis 4 D. Organization of the Report 4 II. BENEFITS 4 A. Overall Approach 5 B. Rafting and Floating 7 C. Fishing and Sightc_eeing 13 D. Property Values 14 E. Annortioning Benefits 16 F. Nonuse Value 18 III. COSTS 21 A. 50 Percent Reduction 21 B. 50 Units at the Tennessee Border 21 C. 50 Units at the Mill 23 IV. COSTS AND BENEFITS 24 V. EMPLOYMENT CONSEQUENCES 26 VI. EVALUATION OF THE BACH AND BARNETT REPORT 29 A. Discounting 29 B. Indirect Benefits 30 C. The Costs of Color Reduction 33 D. Financial Impact on Champion 33 International Corporation REFERENCES 34 n,ex" BENEFITS AND COSTS FROM THE REDUCTION OF COLOR EFFLUENT FROM THE CHAMPION MILL INTO THE PIGEON RIVER I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY OF RESULTS A. . Introduction Champion International Corporation owns and operates a paper mill at Canton, North Carolina that is sited on the Pigeon River. The mill is about 37 miles upstream of the Tennessee and North Carolina border. The United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) has proposed an NPDES permit for the mill that would significantly reduce the amount of color allowed to be discharged from the mill into the Pigeon River. One of many submissions in this permit proceeding was a report by Bach and Barnett entitled, An Economic impact Analysis on the Recreational Benefi Pigeon ti (see Reference [1]). This study concluded that levels of reduction consistent with the April 1987 USEPA proposal permit would be economic. In December 1987, USEPA published a second proposal which limited color discharges even more severely than the April proposal. At the request of Champion, National Economic Research Associates, Inc., an economic consulting firm specializing in energy and environmental economics, evaluated the economic impacts of three color reduction strategies and also reviewed and evaluated the Bach and Barnett report. First, we estimated the benefits and costs under three strategies proposed to reduce color discharges from the Champion mill. One of the plans was proposed by Champion; two were proposed by USEPA. All the plans had costs significantly greater than benefits, and the most stringent plan (i.e., the December proposal by USEPA) would have substantial unemployment impacts. However, Champion's proposal yielded benefits that were closest to cost. Second, based on our review and evaluation of the Bach and Barnett analysis, we have concluded that there were several fundamental errors that ' completely n,eir" -2- undermine their conclusion that substantial reductions in color discharges could be justified on economic grounds. B. Summary of the Economic and Emoloyment Imnactc of Reducin¢ Color Discharges_ from the Champion Mill Table I summarizes our results. The plan proposed by Champion would reduce color discharges from the mill by 50 percent on a long-term average basis. The costs associated with this program would be $38.4 million. This is the present value of the costs over a 10-year period expressed in 1988 dollars. These costs would be almost four times the benefits from the plan of $10.9 million. Thus, an expenditure of one dollar achieves only 28 cents in benefits. The two USEPA proposals would remove more color from the effluent discharge but at substantially higher costs. Also, costs would exceed benefits by a far greater margin than under Champion's proposal. Under the less stringent of the two, which would consistently achieve less than 50 color units in the Pigeon River at the Tennessee border, the cost would be $113.3 million, with corresponding benefits of only $17.3 million. This results in a benefit of 15 cents per dollar of expenditure. The most stringent proposal, contained in the second draft USEPA permit, would limit discharges at the mill to 50 units of color. This proposed effluent limit cannot be achieved with current technology and, therefore, would require that the mill be shut down. The direct cost of this proposal would then be the cost of building and operating a new facility in a different region, which would be approximately $1.4 billion. The benefits under this program would be $17.6 million. Thus, for. every dollar of expenditure, this plan would yield benefits of about one cent. These cost estimates do not include the substantial economic and social cost impacts on the city of Canton, Western North Carolina or Eastern Tennessee. nme rw -3- There are several reasons for the striking divergence between costs and benefits. On the benefit side, relatively small stretches of the Pigeon River which are immediately downstream of the Tennessee border have good recreational potential. The whitewater rafting run of five miles is comparatively short. The river is usable for rafting only when the hydroelectric electric generation demands at the Walter's Lake plant of Carolina Power and Light (CP&L) result in adequate releases. Also, other factors unrelated to color tend to make the river less attractive: the most scenic part of the river in North Carolina has virtually no water in it at all and is not affected by color discharges from the mill because of the CP&L water diversion tunnel; and low summer river levels, particularly in North Carolina, restrict its suitability for most recreation activity. On the cost side, the plant is already a low color producer in terms of pounds of color effluent per ton of product. The incremental removal of color requires increasingly more expensive and untested methods. The low river flows make the achievement of the lowest level of color impossible without a complete shutdown of the mill. Employment is another measure of the impacts of the discharge reduction plans. The lower discharges of color would increase recreational-related employment in Tennessee by 77 jobs in the 50 percent reduction plan and by 123 jobs in either of the two more stringent plans. Based upon U.S. Department of Commerce figures, the 50 percent reduction plan would increase the number of jobs in North Carolina by 176, while the 50 units at the border plan would create 539 jobs there. If the mill were to shut down, as would be required under the USEPA December proposal, the loss of employment in North Carolina would total over 12,000 jobs, with an added loss in Tennessee of over 800 paper-related jobs. Thus, under the December proposal, Tennessee would experience a net loss of almost 700 jobs. n/e rar -4- C. Evaluation of the Bach and Barnett Analysis Bach and Barnett estimate the direct and 'indirect recreational benefits from reducing color discharges from the Champion mill to meet 50 color units at the state line and the costs of achieving these benefits. Based on their analysis, they conclude that reducing the color discharges to that level is justified on economic grounds. We have reviewed and evaluated their analysis and found it to be seriously flawed. There are several key errors that cause them to incorrectly conclude that the level of color reduction they evaluated would be justified on economic grounds. They have failed to discount benefits and have overstated and miscalculated indirect economic benefits. In addition, they have utilized company- wide rather than plant-specific data to evaluate local impacts. D. Organization of the Reoort The remainder of the report is divided into five sections. Section II describes the calculation of benefits. Section III discusses the costs of each plan. Section IV compares the costs and benefits. Section V calculates employment impacts. Section VI evaluates the Bach and Barnett analysis. U. BENEFITS This section discusses how the benefits from reducing color discharges into the Pigeon River are calculated. We begin by describing our overall approach. This is followed by a discussion of our estimates of the benefits from greater recreational use and improved property value on the assumption that color discharges are eliminated entirely. We then determine the benefits associated with each of the color discharge reduction programs we evaluated. The section concludes n,e•r,-a -5- with a discussion of other possible sources of benefits -- option values and existence values. A. Overall Aooroach There are two issues regarding .the relationship between reductions in color discharges into the Pigeon River and improvements in recreational benefits and in property values. First, it is not clear to what extent reductions in color discharges from the Champion mill would be perceptible in the river. It is even less clear that incremental improvements, say from 100 to 50 units on average, would be noticeable in the river. Second, even if these changes were noticeable, there is no direct evidence that they would affect. either recreational activity or property values. Bach and Barnett allege, however, that color levels in excess of 50 units reduce the attractiveness of the Pigeon River for recreational uses (whitewater rafting in particular) and may also reduce property values for land adjacent to the river. It is important to note that these supposed adverse effects are entirely hypothetical. Despite an extensive review of the literature we can find no empirical studies which relate color to recreational activity. Indeed, we have limited evidence for certain naturally very dark rivers (the Androscoggin River in Maine for example) on which whitewater rafting and fishing are quite popular activities. While there is some limited support in the economic literature for a relation between color and property values, this may simply reflect the statistical association between color and other unrelated aspects of water quality. Despite our reservations about the actual impacts of reducing color effluents, for the purposes of this study we have adopted Bach and Barnett's thesis and have assumed that color reduction will enhance recreational activity and n-e-ra -6- property values on the Pigeon River and have attempted to quantify the maximum possible impacts of color changes. The time available for this study has made a direct investigation of the Pigeon River infeasible. Consequently, we have relied on data for other rivers to estimate the benefits from reducing color discharges into the Pigeon River. In our effort to transfer other results to the Pigeon River we have always allowed for the maximum benefit potential. The actual benefit levels are quite likely to be lower. Several recreational activities are feasible on the Pigeon River, including whitewater activities (rafting, canoeing and kayaking), floating (primarily rafting although it includes "innertubing," canoeing and kayaking), fishing and general sightseeing. To calculate the increase in usage for these activities in the absence of color effluent we used estimates of current usage on Tennessee rivers in the vicinity with no perceived elevated color levels, particularly the Ocoee and Hiawassee Rivers. Adjustments must be made to these estimates, since these rivers are different from the Pigeon River in respects other than color. To estimate the value of a visit we have utilized a variety of published sources. For the most part, they are the results of contingent valuation studies. In these studies participants in an activity are asked to estimate the value of that activity to them in excess of the costs incurred. These estimates, known as , serve to define the value of a day. Bach and Barnett also employ valuation. Multiplying the value per day by the increased number of days gives our estimate of benefits from reducing color discharges. Property value benefits presumably derive from scenic advantages of being along a river of reduced color as well as the enhanced levels of wildlife and recreation the river can support. Several studies [2,3,41 have related color and general water quality to property values along coastlines and lake fronts. We have I11VI'D " -7- calculated current values of river-front property along the impacted portion of the Pigeon River and have used these studies to estimate the increase in property values attributable to a river with no added non-natural color. B. Rafting and Floating Whitewater rafting is feasible on a 4.5 mile stretch of river about 37 miles below the Champion mill -- from River Mile (RM) 26 at the CP&L Powerhouse to RM 21.5 in Hartford, Tennessee (see Figure 1). As recently as last summer, a commercial supplier offered whitewater rafting trips on this stretch. The river below this point has too low a gradient to support whitewater rafting. Over the 37 miles between the mill and the power plant; both the gradient of the river and the volume of water are insufficient to support rafting. Rafting on the Pigeon River is further limited for two reasons. First, the climate is conducive to rafting only from April to October. Second, during this period rafting is limited to periods of discharge from the CP&L power plant. When the plant is not operating (or is operating only one of its three turbines) the depths are insufficient to support rafting. CP&L's obligation as a public utility is to generate power so as to minimize electric generation costs without regard to potential rafting activity. However, we have assumed for the purposes of this study that CP&L generates electricity during as many daylight hours as are feasible during the rafting season. The relatively short length of the Pigeon River run makes whitewater rafting less attractive than it would be on longer rivers. First, no more than a half-day trip is possible, while other rivers offer full day trips. Second, since congestion limits the number of potential rafters per mile, shorter rivers will have lower capacities. n,e�rw -8- To estimate the number of potential whitewater rafting trips for the Pigeon River we used data for the Ocoee River, which is the closest comparable river to the Pigeon River. The whitewater rafting portion of the Ocoee River, like the Pigeon River, is five miles long, allowing only half-day trips. In addition, it is also dam-constrained. Total usage on the Ocoee River for 1987 was about 120,000 visits [5]. Following Bach and Barnett, we take this figure as a limit to usage on the Pigeon River. We assumed that there is no current recreational usage on the Pigeon River and that over five years usage for whitewater activities would rise to 120,000 visits per year. Thus, we have assumed that an recreational use of the Pigeon River would be attributable to reductions in color discharges. This obviously tends to overstate the benefits from lower discharges, since there is currently recreational usage of the river. The attached brochure (Figure 2) illustrates the recreational benefits of the Pigeon available today. These visit estimates are displayed in column (1) of Table II. To estimate the value for a rafting day we used a study conducted in Colorado in 1978 [6]. This study found that the consumer surplus from a whitewater rafting trip averaged $10.94 per person per day. Once again, this represents the difference between what people would be willing to pay and what they actually had to pay for a rafting trip. The estimate was made by eliciting from rafters the amount of money in addition to what they had paid that day that would cause them to forego that trip on these rivers. Converting this value to 1988 dollars, we find that the benefits are $19.28 per tourist day. Other whitewater activities, for example, kayaking and canoeing, had similar values. The equations from which these estimates were drawn show consumers to be quite sensitive to congestion on the river. Since congestion levels on the Ocoee n�e,r�a -9- River are much higher than those observed in Colorado, we have lowered our estimate to $13 per trip. In addition to the five-mile stretch of whitewater between the power plant and Hartford, there is a more placid stretch from RM 21.5 to RM 16.5 on which floating is feasible during periods of higher water. On this stretch, the river resembles the Hiawassee River. We have estimated floating usage for the Pigeon River based on data for the Hiawassee River. While this activity may be expected to be constrained somewhat by power generation, water levels further downstream are less affected by dam activities because of the• lower gradient. Nonetheless, river levels are probably too low to achieve any significant recreation activities in August or September. Given that these months generate 35 percent of noncommercial activity, we have reduced the Hiawassee River floating usage of 80,000 visits [7] by 35 percent to 52,000. Unlike whitewater rafting, which has been growing at about 6 percent per year on the rivers for which we have visitation data over time, floating activity seems to be on the decline. On the Hiawassee River, usage has been declining by about five percent per year since 1978. In estimating floating usage for the Pigeon River, we have, therefore, assumed that after reaching capacity of 52,000 trips per year, usage declines at five percent per year Again, we assumed growth to capacity would occur over a five-year period. The resultant demands appear in column (2) of Table II. Bach and Barnett assume a value of $12.94 per tourist day for floating activity, based on Water Resources Council criteria. These values seem quite severely overstated. Based on our visits to the river, a score of 36 would seem to be a better indication of the value than their assigned score of 62. In particular: n4a,rw -10- 1) Bach and Barnett assign a score of 10 out of 30 for recreation experience, which measures crowding. The large crowds projected here should reduce this value to 5. 2) Bach and Barnett assign a score of 12 out of 18 for availability of opportunity. A 12 would indicate no floating opportunities with one hour, which seems to ignore the French Broad and Hiawassee Rivers. We find 4 to be a more objective classification. 3) Bach and Barnett assign a score of 10 out of 14 for carrying capacity. This rating reflects 'optimum facilities to conduct activity at site potential.' These facilities .are simply nonexistent. A 5, representing basic facilities, seems quite generous. 4) We accept Bach and Barnett's accessibility rating of 12 out of 18. 5) Their rating of an 18 out of 20 for outstanding esthetic quality seems highly inflated. The river would still receive municipal waste treatment discharges and both agricultural and urban runoff. We have lowered their rating to 10. The score of 36 translates to a value of $8.30 in 1982 dollars, converted to $9.76 in 1989 dollars. We have used this value in our estimate for floating activity. Table II describes the annual benefits and the present value of these benefits in 1988 dollars. The present value reflects the annual benefits over the next 10 years discounted to reflect the time value of money. We used a 10-year time frame since that is about the expected life of the investments for color discharge reduction. Discount rates reflect the rate at which benefits can be traded between years. We have discounted the benefits at an annual rate of 6.79 percent in excess of inflation. The rate used reflects the after tax cost of money to nee r/ -11- Champion (13.2 percent) net of a presumed six percent future inflation rate. The Champion rate reflects the marginal cost of capital in the private sector, since funds spent cleaning up the Pigeon River would otherwise earn these private sector rates. The benefits of cleanup should consequently be discounted at the same rate. Using this method, we derive total benefits over the next 10 years of $8.9 million for rafting and $2.7 million for floating. The annual benefits and the present value of the benefits for whitewater activity and floating are given in columns (5) and (6) of Table II. We are quite confident that these estimates overstate the actual changes in value on the Pigeon River. There are at least-six reasons why we expect the value of additional whitewater activity and floating visits to be substantially lower. Fi= we have assumed that there is currently no recreational usage on the Pigeon River. In fact, there is a commercial operation on the river today. Kayaking and canoeing have also been observed on the river. However, we have been unable to secure estimates of current usage and have therefore ignored them. Since our goal is to calculate increases in usage, the value of all current usage should be subtracted from our value estimates. Our failure to do so clearly overstates the number of trips that can be attributed to reductions in color discharge and thereby overstates benefits. Second the benefits per trip used for whitewater activity was estimated on much larger and more striking rivers in Colorado. The set of rivers on which this estimate was based includes, for example, the Yampa River, which "is among the few rivers in the U.S. on which rafters can spend from three to five days without encountering roads, private land, or other. evidence of civilization" [6, page 8] The rivers sampled averaged 42 miles in whitewater length, over eight times the length of the Pigeon River run. Trips on these rivers averaged 14 miles n.e-r/a per day. The shortest of the rivers was almost three times the length of the Pigeon River. Such unique characteristics would be expected to make this set of rivers much more valuable than the Pigeon River. Third• the $13 consumer value assumes a very modest increase in congestion. The value of a whitewater rafting day declines sharply with the number of people encountered on a trip. The Colorado study users encountered an average of only forty people on a trip. With visits of 120,000 per year, Pigeon River whitewater rafters might well encounter hundreds of people per day. In the Colorado study, a doubling of encounters reduces the benefits per day by over 40 percent. Thus, fairly moderate increases in usage could lower the benefit per day estimate substantially. Fourth. of the two methods traditionally used to estimate the value of recreational activities, we relied on the contingent valuation method which usually leads to higher values. It is subject to a number of well-known biases in which people tend to overstate the value of services. Alternatively, travel cost models which estimate the demand for a service by the distribution of distances people were willing to go to participate in an activity, typically give lower values. Eifth, the current physical facilities at both the dropoff and takeout areas are grossly inadequate to the task of accommodating the estimated number of rafters or floaters. We assume that these facilities could be developed over time if demand warrants but have not included the costs of developing these facilities. These costs would properly be a subtraction from the benefits associated with these activities. Sixth. increased recreation visits on the Pigeon River may consist largely of visits currently made to other rivers. Thus, in equilibrium, the total increase in whitewater rafting trips might be much less ,than the 120,000 visits per year n/eT..a -13- projected on the Pigeon River even if that many people do raft on the Pigeon River. Each visit "cannibalized" from the Ocoee, Hiawassee, or any other river represents no new value but merely a shifting of value from one site to another. For these reasons we consider our estimates of both usage and value per trip to be quite generous and would expect to see far less rafting and floating usage of the Pigeon River. C. Fishing and Sightseeiniz For these activities we have used both the visit estimates and value estimates. of Bach and Barnett as a base. They have scaled fishing visits to usage estimates for the Norris Dam tailwaters put-and-take fishery. Their sightseeing visits are scaled. to estimates for the Hiawassee River. The number of visits for these activities are given in columns (3) and (4) of Table II. Our only adjustment is to lower fishing values to account for the costs of the presumed put-and-take fishery. Failure to include these costs overstates potential net benefits. One study [61 suggests that these costs can range from $4.50 to $11.00 per visitor day depending on the length of the fishery. We have used the average of this range to reduce Bach and Barnett's estimate of the net benefits for a fishing day of $17.00 to $9.25. Further, while we have used Bach and Barnett's estimates for the number of additional fishermen expected, the source of their estimate is unclear. A proper estimate should take into account the fact that trout are not a viable species in the Pigeon River below the Canton Mill discharge and that put-and-take fisheries are generally less efficient in smaller bodies of water. We have accepted their estimates for lack of better data. It should be noted that fishing is a viable activity on the more scenic portions of the river only when whitewater rafting is unavailable. Excessive stream n.e ra -14- flow and heavy boating usage are detrimental to fishing quality. We do not regard this as a very serious constraint given the limited time available for whitewater rafting and have therefore made no adjustment. The annual benefits and the present values for fishing and sightseeing are described in columns (7) and (8) of Table II. The present value of fishing benefits is about $1.2 million over ten years, while sightseeing accounts for about $0.7 million. D. Property Values It has been argued that reductions in color can enhance residential values. A 1979 study [2] in Pennsylvania which focused on overall water quality rather than color indicated that a completely clean river raises adjacent residential property values about 25 percent. Similar values were obtained for apparent color in a 1985 Michigan study [3] on lake-front property and for a combined index of turbidity and distance in a 1980 study [4) of beach-front property in. Massachusetts. We have used the 25 percent figure as an upper bound on residential property improvements on the Pigeon River. We have further assumed that an property along the Pigeon River not currently blocked by roads, public land, or Champion property is transformed to residential use. This is obviously an extreme assumption and causes us to overestimate the impacts of reduced color discharge on property values. Our calculation of increased property values had three steps: 1) an inventory of property along the Pigeon River, 2) a calculation of its value for residential purposes, and 3) a calculation of the maximum increase in value attributable to reduced color. 1. Much of the land adjacent to the Pigeon River is publicly owned. Route 1-40 follows one side of the river while public forest land borders the river n�ra -1s- in many areas. The land between the dam and the powerhouse which contains no water due to the powerhouse diversion tunnel and is, therefore, unaffected by color was also excluded. Only about 50 percent of the river is adjacent to usable private land. We have also excluded plots belonging to Champion and the Cocke County School District. Since the usage of .these properties cannot be expected to change with reductions of color in the Pigeon River, we have excluded this land from our assessment. 2. We had assessed property values only for land in Tennessee and have assumed that similar values prevail in North Carolina. Residential land and property was valued at $52.49 per river-foot of frontage. We have assumed that all land along the river would have this value in residential use. In fact, nonresidential land and property in Tennessee had a value of only $32.01 per river-foot. To calculate increases in the value per river-foot of frontage, we used the 25 percent figure. This increases the value of all potential residential property by $13.12 per river-foot to $65.61. The results of this calculation are given in Table III. Property value increases, which are assumed to be instantaneous, total $2.23 million in North Carolina and $1.87 million in Tennessee. Again, we feel it quite likely that this estimate overstates potential benefits. First• we have applied residential-level benefits to agricultural and commercial land. This is based on the assumption that this land may ultimately be converted to residential use. The available studies deal exclusively with residential values. The links between property value and color are far less obvious for land used for agricultural, forestry, or industrial purposes. However, it is unclear that private land along the Pigeon River currently used for agricultural or industrial purposes will be converted to residential use. n.e r.a -16- Second. the 25 percent increase cited is partly attributable to the fact that more expensive homes are constructed on more desirable land. The net benefit, which would subtract the cost differentials, is not included here. Third color may not be the true measure of property desirability but may instead be a proxy for other measures of environmental quality. A 1973 study [8] found color much less important to property owners than the ability to sustain fish and other wildlife. The Michigan study of lakeside property owners found that turbidity was an important factor in value but notes that turbidity is highly correlated with other pollution variables which decrease both fishing and swimming uses. To the extent that these variables are not correlated here, the effects might well be less. Fourth we have included several plots of land currently inaccessible by road. Several areas of vacant land doubtless have no developed residential infrastructure -- for example, sewage, telephone and water access. The costs of providing such facilities should be subtracted from any property value increases. Given these caveats, we find it quite likely that the combined property value effects will be lower than what we have estimated. E. Aonortionin¢ Benefits The recreational and property benefits we calculated in Sections II.B. through II.D, total $17.6 million over 10 years. These estimates are based on the complete elimination of color discharges from the Champion mill. The next step is to determine the proportions of these benefits that will accrue from each of the specific proposed reduction plans. Under the most stringent reduction plan, discharges of color would be limited to no more than 50 units at the pipe. This strategy entails a reduction of 311,000 pounds of color per day on average. We have adopted the Bach and Barnett n.e r,a .17_ assumption that 50 units is the limit of color acceptability. Consequently, we have assumed that the 50 units at the pipe strategy achieves all of the S17.6 million in benefits. For the other two strategies, we have assumed that the benefits achieved are proportional to the reduction in discharges. Thus, the strategy that achieves 50 units at the border would achieve all the potential benefits in Tennessee. This includes all of the recreational benefits as well as the increase of $1.87 million in property values in Tennessee. In addition, since this plan also achieves 88 percent of the discharge reductions under the 50 units at the pipe strategy (274,000 divided by 311,000), we assume it achieves 88 percent of 'the property value benefits in North Carolina. As a result, the total benefits from the 50 units at the border strategy are $17.3 million. The 50 percent reduction plan removes 172,000 pounds of discharge per day on average. This achieves 63 percent (172,000 divided by 274,000) of the Tennessee benefits and 55 percent (172,000 divided by 311,000) of the North Carolina benefits. Thus, the total benefits from this program are $10.9 million. This proportionality assumption is somewhat arbitrary. . In the absence of specific recreational studies on color, it is unclear whether a 50 percent reduction in effluent will garner more or less than 50 percent of the benefits. Instead, there might be threshold effects. That is, below a certain color level, all benefits accrue; above a certain level, no benefits accrue. While 50 units in the stream may represent the lower threshold, we have no such upper threshold. Further, even the 50 unit lower threshold is controversial. However, we have tested several different upper thresholds in benefits. The assumption of proportionality yields larger incremental benefits than any other set of assumptions tested. n/e r. -18- F. Nonuse Value It is often asserted that there are values other than those accruing to users of the river. Bach and Barnett cite a study which estimates those benefits at five times the direct benefits. We reject the notion that there are significant nonuse benefits for the Pigeon River. First. it is unclear whether nonuse values for the Pigeon River are positive or negative. Second• even if these benefits are positive, they are not likely to be large. The economics literature considers two components of nonuse values: option values and existence values. Option value is similar to a nonrefundable admission price that must be paid before one knows. whether or not he or she will use the river. It represents for consumers the difference between (1) the willingness to pay to shield themselves from the uncertainties about their demands for the river and its availability and (2) the expected value of their benefits from the river. Substantial theoretical research indicates that option value, this difference between willingness to pay and expected value of benefits, is as likely to be negative as positive. Further, in some important cases where it is positive, it is likely to be small. Whether option values are positive or negative depends on the nature of the uncertainties confronting users and nonusers. At least five sources of uncertainty can create option values. These includes: (1) supply of the resource, (2) income, (3) taste, (4) price of the resource and (5) prices of substitutes or complements. Examples can be constructed where option value is positive, negative, or zero for reasonable uncertainty assumptions. Further, V. Kerry Smith's analysis [9] shows the importance of uniqueness and irreplaceability in assigning a positive option value. Given that the Pigeon River has no unique characteristics (especially n-er,a -19- given the abundance of substitutes) and that the level of color is reversible at any time, his analysis implies that option values are unlikely to be positive. Regarding the magnitude of the option value, in the case of uncertainty about taste, Freeman [101 points out that the conditions for a large option value are quite stringent. Option value is unlikely to be large unless "the probability of demand is low, the expected consumer surplus is large, and the individual is highly risk averse." [10, p.111 For the Pigeon River, these specific conditions are unlikely to occur. In particular, rafting on the Pigeon River is quite unlikely to have a large expected consumer surplus relative to income given the abundant potential substitutes in the area, both for whitewater recreation and for entertainment in general. Finally, the empirical evidence on option value is generally unpersuasive. While several studies (including the one cited by Bach and Barnett) have concluded that option values were positive and substantial, these studies have been poorly done and cannot be used to infer large positive values. There are various reasons for this, including the fact that the survey questions addressed the wrong issues and were posed in a confusing manner. As Smith [H] points out: Empirical efforts to measure option price (and option value) have not been clear in specifying (or attempting to determine the individual's perceptions on) the terms of access to the resource and the time horizon for future use. . . .[T]he terms of access and the individual's ability to adjust to demand uncertainty . have not been clearly described (or elicited) from the respondents involved in the surveys. . . .[T]his limitation is especially important when the option price is used to measure the value of changes in either features of the resources or in the uncertainty itself. [I1, p.81 As a result, these studies have generated estimates of surplus much too large to be easily explained on a theoretical basis. Further, applying estimates taken from these other studies to the Pigeon River would be even more tenuous. Even if the wild and scenic rivers of Colorado n.-e r,-a -20- may have significant option values, the transfer of those results to the Pigeon River is unwarranted. Considering all of these issues, we have not included any option values in our estimates. Our best reason for doing so is stated by Professor Richard Schmalansee [12] of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, one of the original contributors to the theory of option value: Individuals' option prices may exceed or fall short of the expected value of the contingent surpluses they would derive from a price change, and it is not obvious how one might judge in a real situation which was more likely. This suggests that when tastes are the main source of uncertainty, the expected value of consumer's surpluses ought to be employed as the best available approximation to the sum of their option prices . . . . Benefits will be sometimes underestimated and sometimes overestimated by this procedure, but there would appear to be no practical way to obtain superior estimates. [12, p.923] Existence values represent the utility of knowing of the existence of a resource for a person who knows he will never use it. We believe that this does not represent a significant source of benefits on the Pigeon River and have excluded them from our estimates for two reasons. First. existence value is linked to uniqueness of the resource. A resource with features available nowhere else (for example, the Grand Canyon) may have substantial psychic value to nonusers. We do not believe that nonusers place a large value on the Pigeon River given the existence of nearby alternatives. Second. little is known empirically about existence value. Testing for existence value is fraught with difficulty, since people not actually called upon to pay for improvements may systematically overstate, for any number of reasons, their willingness to pay. The most comprehensive study of existence (and option values) suggests that together they might increase benefit estimates by as much as 50 percent. Even these estimates have come under attack. We find that an n.e•ra -21- increase of this size at the Pigeon River to be highly unlikely. However, we note in passing that even a tripling of all benefits in Table I still results in an unfavorable benefit-cost ratios for all reduction plans. III. COSTS Colored effluent is the byproduct of the removal of lignin from wood chips in the pulping process. Several technologies are available for color reduction such as clarifiers. Many of them have already been installed at the mill. Currently, the mill is one of the lowest producers of pounds of color per unit of output in the United States. A. 50 Percent Reduction The primary source of color discharge is the caustic extraction stage of the bleach plant. This accounts for 62.7 percent of the color produced by the facility. Improvements proposed by Champion to cut this contribution by 90 percent would achieve an overall reduction of 50 percent. This reduction is proposed to be accomplished by the addition of oxidation chemicals. The costs of the 50 percent reduction proposal have been estimated by Champion at $10 million dollars in capital cost and $4 million per year in operating and maintenance costs. We have converted these costs into a ten year stream and discounted them at Champion's after-tax cost of money. This yields a discounted present value of expenses over a 10-year period that is directly comparable with the benefit estimates. The operating and maintenance expenses were discounted using the 6.79 percent rate. The present value of the costs of this plan is therefore $38.4 million. The costs are summarized in Table V. B. 50 Units at the Tennessee Border Other technologies that would treat more than the caustic extraction stream require far greater investments. Champion submitted to the USEPA, at the nne r,w .22. Agency's request, seven reports detailing methods of reduction sufficient to achieve no more than 50 color units at the border at any time. Of these, the USEPA deemed as potentially suitable the lime, polyamine and alum removal systems. Each technology has a different capital and operating cost, with the alum removal system being by far the lowest cost. The present value of its costs are $113 million, as opposed to $141 million for the lime reduction and $162 million for the polyamine reduction plan. Since the alum removal system is the least expensive of the three technologies that would achieve 50 color units of the border at any time, we have used it in the analysis. We should note that the alum removal process is likely to understate the cost, possibly greatly so. Fi= no alum process on this scale has ever been implemented before. Large scale experiments with new technologies often have substantial unexpected cost increases. Second byproducts of the alum process would almost certainly violate existing environmental standards. Total dissolved solids in the wastewater would rise and these discharges must be treated. Incineration of the sludge would likely cause air quality deterioration. The cost of meeting existing standards have = been included in these estimates. Champion estimates that the cost of meeting these requirements could as much as double the costs associated with the plan. We have assumed that the plant remains open at this level of expenditure. While we have not evaluated the detailed economics of plant closure under this plan, Champion has submitted to USEPA workpapers based on the USEPA gross margin test. This test compares the ratio of net operating revenues to annual pollution control costs. Where this ratio exceeds the average ratio of investment returns for the industry, "the test results indicate that pollution controls would impose severe economic impacts, [and] a more detailed plant closure analysis would n/e rw -23- be necessary." [14, page 92] Champion's submissions indicate that the 50 unit at the border strategy fails to pass this test. This raises the possibility of mill shutdown even under this plan. Were this the case, the quite substantial resource and employment costs of the more stringent-December USEPA proposal would result. Only the 50 percent reduction ,plan would have costs within a factor of 50 times benefits. C. 50 Units at the Mill Engineering judgment has determined that these color treatment schemes cannot simply be scaled up to achieve a discharge level of less than 34,000 pounds per day on the average, the amount sufficient to assure less than 50 units at Canton. Also, the mill would not be able to operate on pulp shipped in. Thus, the only method of achieving 50 units at the mill is the shutdown of the plant. In this case, the real resource cost of shutdown is the cost of constructing a new mill with replacement capacity elsewhere in the country. Champion estimates that the creation of a new mill capable of producing 600,000 tons of pulp .per year would have capital costs of $1.4 billion. To properly characterize the total resource costs, we should subtract from this estimate the present value of savings in operating and maintenance provided by a new plant. Although we have been unable to secure such an estimate, it is unlikely that this savings could total more than $200 million, since a $200 million investment to upgrade technology at the Canton mill is barely economic. Thus, we feel quite confident that the real resource costs exceed $l billion. This direct cost level is so high as to make precise calculation of its magnitude a meaningless exercise. We will use the $1.4 billion figure, noting that substantial changes in this estimate have no effect on the substance of our analysis. The additional impacts of a shutdown are discussed below. n,e:ra -24- IV. COSTS AND BENEFITS The economic criterion for undertaking any investment, including environmental enhancement programs, is that the benefits exceed the costs. Even where environmental benefits are themselves large, undertaking a project whose costs exceed its benefits is a waste of society's resources. Further, the difference between incremental costs and benefits should guide the choice between projects. While none of the three programs pass the benefit-cost test, the 50 percent reduction plan comes the closest by a wide margin. Under the 50 percent reduction plant the present value of the costs over a 10-year period are $38.4 million. These are $27.5 million greater than the benefits of $10.9 million. These costs and benefits translate into a benefit-cost ratio of 0.28 (10.9 divided by 38.4). The interpretation of this benefit-cost ratio is that a one dollar of expenditure yields 28 cents in benefits. The comparison of benefits and costs benefits are summarized in Table I. This is substantially less than one, and consequently would not pass the economic criterion for undertaking the investment. The plan to reduce discharges to 50 units at the border is even less justifiable. Its costs are 5113.3 million, and they exceed the benefits of $17.3 million by $96.0 million. This results in a benefit-cost ratio of 0.15 -- nearly half of what could be achieved under the 50 percent reduction plan. The most costly program -- 50 units at the mill -- achieves the poorest benefit-cost ratio. The costs would be much greater than either of the other plans because it would involve shutting down the Champion mill in Canton and constructing a new one. Under this program the costs would be $1.4 billion. These are S1.38 billion more than the benefits and would yield a benefit-cost ratio of .01. A very useful way to look at the alternative programs is by comparing the increase in costs and benefits that occurs from imposing increasingly stringent nee r. -25- discharge removal plans. This is a comparison of the incremental costs and benefits and describes the additional benefits and costs that accrue from removing additional color. If the additional costs exceed the additional benefits, then the incremental reduction in color is uneconomic. As we have noted above, the least stringent of the programs -- the 50 percent reduction plan -- increases costs by $38.4 million and benefits by $10.9 million for a benefit-cost ratio of 0.28. The incremental cost of removing additional color under the 50 units at the border plan is S74.9 million -- the difference between $113.3 million and $38.4 million. This added expenditure removes an additional 102.000 pounds of color per day (27.4,000 minus 172,000). However, this additional color reduction only increases benefits by $6.4 million (17.3 minus 10.9). Thus, the incremental benefit-cost ratio is 0.09 (6.4 divided by 74.9). The incremental comparison is even more unfavorable under the 50 units at the pipe plan as proposed by the USEPA. This program would increase costs by $1.29 billion -- from $113.3 million to $1.4 billion. The added expenditures would achieve an additional reduction of color discharge of only 37,000 pounds per day. However, this additional reduction would only increase benefits by $300,000. As a result, the incremental benefit-cost ratio would be virtually zero. These incremental results depend crucially on the assumption of 50 color units as an objective perceptibility standard. If, in fact, there is no perceptible difference between 50 and 100 color units, then the conclusions are even more clear. Since the 50 percent reduction plan essentially achieves 100 color units or less at the border over 95 percent of the time, this plan would achieve all benefits, no matter how large. Each of the more stringent plans, therefore, have incremental benefits of zero and cannot be justified on anv rational criterion. n/e r/a -26- In estimating the benefits and costs we have discounted the annual impacts at Champion's after-tax cost of money. Some have argued that the proper discount rate to use for the evaluation of projects should be a riskless discount rate. The basis for this argument is that since the benefits are spread over the population at large, the risk premium associated with private investment should not be included. We disagree with this argument. The reason is that funds spent on this project will deny Champion the ability to undertake other projects capable of earning the private rate of return. Hence the rate we have used is appropriate. We would agree, however, were this proposal financed with new money, but that would not be the case. Nonetheless, we have calculated the benefits and costs using a real discount rate of three percent, which is intended to represent a riskless rate. This substitution does not alter the results, and therefore our conclusions remain unchanged. Using a lower discount rate raises both the costs and benefits. For each case, the benefit-cost ratios are slightly IM favorable. Table VI compares the results at the alternative discount rates. V. EMPLOYMENT CONSEQUENCES We have also estimated employment impacts from the three color discharge reduction strategies. Employment impacts are treated separately from the benefit-cost impacts because they represent different issues. Jobs created cannot be examined in isolation. For example, the cost side of the benefit-cost calculations reflect the employment impacts of the discharge reduction plans. Higher cost levels always create more jobs, whether or not the costs were incurred efficiently. Thus, the employment consequences of a particular strategy cannot be added to benefits. Instead, they represent an alternative perspective. n.era _27_ The 50 percent reduction and 50 units at the border strategies would likely have modest employment impacts ranging from about 250 to 650 additional jobs. The 50 units at the pipe strategy would lead to a shutdown of the mill which would impose very substantial employment losses totalling over 12,000 jobs. Jobs created and lost can be broken down into direct and indirect components: the direct component consists of the jobs required either to provide recreation or to maintain color reductions. Indirect employment gains and losses relate to the employment in other sectors required to support the direct work force. The U.S. Department of Commerce has issued state- and industry-specific estimates of total direct and indirect job impacts for given, changes in output in various industries [13]. For recreation in Tennessee, we have used the hotels, lodging places and amusements multiplier. It indicates that for an increase of Sl million of expenditure in this industry group, direct and indirect employment will increase by 60.2 jobs. For discharge reduction activities, we have used the North Carolina values for the paper and allied products classification and the Tennessee value for forestry and fishing products. A $1 million expenditure in North Carolina provides 30.1 jobs, while a $1 million expenditure in Tennessee provides. 54.5 jobs. The direct employment gains in Tennessee follow from the staffing requirements of the whitewater rafting facilities. Fishing, kayaking and sightseeing generate no direct employment gains, since they have no direct costs other than the costs of transportation. Using Ocoee River figures which show commercial rafting to account for about 85 percent of whitewater activity and using the Bach and Barnett figures of $20 per trip, we derive maximum expenditures in Tennessee for whitewater rafting of $2 million (20x.85x120,000). This assumes the 120,000 visits per year associated with complete color removal. The multiplier of 60.2 direct and indirect jobs per $1 million in expenditures implies an increase of 123 jobs. ne ra .28_ The employment impacts are summarized in Table VII. Under either the 50 units at the border plan or the 50 units at the pipe plan, the concentration of color will be at the minimum levels of acceptability. Consequently, under either of these plans there will be the full employment impact of 123 jobs in Tennessee. The 50 percent reduction plan would have less of an employment impact because the benefits in Tennessee are less. Recall that we assumed that the benefits are proportional to the color reduction. Since with the 50 percent reduction plan the recreational benefits are 63 percent of those under complete color removal, the employment impacts also would be 63 percent of 123 or 77 jobs. The plan to provide 50 units at the pipe suggested by USEPA causes mill shutdown. This shutdown reduces Tennessee commercial output by $15 million as cited by the Canton Mill Operations Manager, Oliver Blackwell. This in turn causes a loss of 816 jobs, for a net loss of 693 jobs. For North Carolina the employment impacts depend on the annual capital and operating costs of a discharge reduction plan. The operating costs plus an annualized capital change represent additional employment at the mill. Under the 50 units at the border plan, the annual capital and operating costs would be $17.91 million. This translates into 539 increased jobs (direct plus indirect) given the 30.1 multiplier. Under the 50 percent reduction plan the annual costs would be $5.85 million which would result in 176 more jobs. Shutdown of the plant under the USEPA standard would have substantial employment effects in North Carolina. The mill currently employs over 2,100 workers and produces $400 million of paper products per year. Using the Department of Commerce multiplier of 30.1 jobs per million dollars of output for paper and allied products in North Carolina, a total loss of over 12,000 jobs can be nAe r/ _2g_ projected. The direct losses to the community include the $160 million currently paid to local factors. Thus, in North Carolina and Tennessee combined, the USEPA standard would lead to a loss of over 12,000 jobs as well as widespread social costs from the withdrawal of Champion's substantial support both directly and indirectly through its employees and supplies of the Western North Carolina-Eastern Tennessee infrastructure through tax payments. VI. EVALUATION OF THE BACH AND BARNETT REPORT We have reviewed and evaluated the Bach and Harnett analysis and found it to be seriously flawed. There are four key conceptual errors that undermine their conclusions that it would be economic to substantially reduce color discharges from the mill. First" they have failed to take into account the fact that benefits occurring in different years are not of equal value. Second• they have included a category of benefits (indirect benefits) which have no place in a properly designed benefit-cost study and which have been misestimated in any case. Third their examination of costs was entirely hypothetical and bears no relationship to the benefits achieved. Fourth they have employed the wrong standard in evaluating the possibility of mill shutdown. The appropriate way to evaluate discharge reduction strategies is on the basis of their impacts on the Canton mill. Bach and Barnett evaluate the strategy on a Champion-wide basis. We will address each of these issues in the following sections. A. Discounting The primary distinction in direct benefits between our analysis and that of Bach and Barnett involves discounting. Bach and Barnett simply sum the year- by-year benefits to yield a total. This is obviously incorrect. A dollar of benefits n,e ra -30- today is worth more than a dollar of benefits tomorrow, just as a dollar of income today is worth more than a dollar of income tomorrow. Discount factors which reflect the relative utility of current and future consumption must be applied to accurately measure the value of future benefits. Indeed, once appropriate discount rates are applied, the Bach and Barnett estimates of recreational benefits are slightly lower than ours. Application of our 6.79 percent discount rate lowers the Bach and Barnett direct benefit estimates from $18.3 million to $13.1 million. Our corresponding estimate of direct recreational benefits is $13.50 million (see Table II). B. Indirect Benefits Bach and Barnett add to the recreational benefits indirect benefits reflecting increased expenditures in the community resulting from the recreational activity. We have strong objections to this technique. Most importantly, this type of benefit has no place in a properly done benefit-cost study. Secondly, even were these benefits to be included, they have overstated both the level of expenditures to which these indirect multipliers should apply and have overstated the multiplier to be used. The proper standard for a benefit-cost study is the real resource costs and the real benefits. In comparing the real resource costs and benefits of the specific proposals mentioned here, we have a criterion which is independent of the indirect benefits. Au programs have indirect benefits. Removing those indirect benefits can therefore have no effect on the analysis. Since the money spent on this project will be spent in some other way, the indirect benefits are essentially independent of the program undertaken. Indirect economic multipliers represent a flawed concept taken in aggregate. The problem is that money spent on whitewater rafting does not reflect n,e-ri -31- new income but is instead the shifting of income from another purpose. A dollar spent on whitewater rafting is a dollar not spent on other outdoor activities or other recreation. The economic multiplier of the dollar spent on whitewater rafting is offset by the loss of the same multiplier from the foregone activities. In aggregate therefore, these indirect benefits should be ignored. Each dollar of indirect benefit represents an indirect dollar of loss to someone else. If one is interested in the net economic benefits for a smaller region, this can be calculated. However, we must be careful to subtract out expenditures which cancel out within the region. To the extent that persons from outside Cocke County are induced to spend money in Cocke County, those dollars will create indirect benefits in Cocke County. Only expenditures by those outside Cocke County create these spillover effects within Cocke County. However, the number of such visitors is likely to be small. Unpublished data on a nearby river indicate that 41 percent of all river users travelled less than-, one hour to the river. Using these data, we have defined the region of direct economic interest is that within one hour of the Pigeon river. Thus, multipliers would apply to only 59 percent of all expenditures. Using the average expenditure figure cited by Bach and Barnett of $20 per day, we find that a total of $8.1 million (in present value terms) should have a multiplier attached. This value likely overstatds the benefits. For those travelling in excess of three hours, it is highly unlikely that they would take a trip as short as those on the Pigeon River. The abundance of alternative fishing, floating and sightseeing areas and the comparatively low value of these activities make it unlikely that any long distance visitors would use the Pigeon River for these purposes. Either the Chattooga or French Broad on which longer trips are available should be preferred n.�ra -32- by visitors travelling long distances, especially given the uncertainty of water supply on the Pigeon River. Bach and Barnett use a multiplier of three to calculate the indirect benefits. This estimate reflects the spillover.. effects for the whole country, not just the region. The correct value is much smaller. For example, assume an individual spends $500 on a raft. If the raft was not manufactured in Tennessee, the spillover benefits will be created wherever payment for the raft goes. By the theory outlined above, inclusion of these benefits as a spillover is illegitimate, since these spillovers are exactly offset elsewhere. The U.S. Department of Commerce estimates state-by-state multipliers for hotels, lodging and amusements. For Tennessee they have calculated the direct and indirect benefits to the region as 2.1 times the dollars spent. Indirect benefits therefore are 1.1 times direct dollars expended. This is the 2.1 less the 1.0 for the direct effect. Thus, instead of using an estimate of indirect benefits equal to three times the direct benefits, a more realistic appraisal would be indirect benefits equal to at most 65 percent of the direct costs, which is 1.1 times 59 percent of the costs. Total indirect benefits would therefore total about S8.9 million. Further, these indirect benefits have offsetting indirect costs in the mill shutdown case. Given the net output losses of $400 million based on expected 1988 mill sales and using the Department of Commerce multiplier of 2.2, we project indirect losses of S480 million for the most stringent plan, resulting in combined indirect losses of over S470 million for both states. Given the importance of the mill to the local economy as the largest employer, it is possible that these values substantially understate losses associated with termination of pulping facilities. For instance, the mill pays almost S1.7 million in taxes per year to counties and municipalities over and above taxes paid n.e ra -33- by its employees. The impacts of these local tax losses on social services and education is not calculated here. C. The Costs of Color Reduction Bach and Barnett assume a capital cost of $60 million and an operating and maintenance cost of $6 million. The present value of this expenditure, $102.5 million, is insufficient even to achieve 50 units at the border. Further, we note that even by their own analysis, the costs of cleanup far exceed the benefits. D. Financial impact on Champion international Corporation In evaluating the impact of these expenditures on Champion rather than on the financial viability of the mill, Bach and ,Barnett have used the wrong standard. No matter how small the impact on Champion's overall balance sheet, the economies of the Canton mill must stand on its own merits. An incremental investment which fails to achieve a suitable rate of return is not justified. Champion has submitted to USEPA documentation supporting the fact that the 50 units at the border plan fails to pass the plant gross margin test. Under this standard, plant economics do not support even this less stringent plan. n/e r.a -35- Environmental Studies Series. EPA-600/5-73-005. (Washington: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, October 1973). [9] Smith, V. Kerry, "Option Value: A Conceptual Overview," Southern Economic Journal. Volume 49, Number 3 (January, 1983). (10] Freeman, A. Myrick, 'The Sign and Size of Option Value," i.and Economics. Volume 60, Number 1 (February, 1984). [11] Smith, V. Kerry, "Nonuse Benefits in Benefit Cost Analysis," Southern Economic Journal Volume 54, Number 1 (July ). [12] Schmalansee, Richard, "Option Demand and Consumer Surplus: Valuing Price Changes Under Uncertainty," American Economic Review Volume 65, September 1975. [13] Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Regional Multinliers: A User Handbook for the Regional Input-Outnut Modeliniz System (RIMS 11). (Washington: May 1986). [14] Office of Analysis and Evaluation, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 'Workbook for Estimating the Economic Effects of Pollution Control Costs," (Washington: USEPA, November 1983). n�ra FIGURE 1 DIAGRAM OF THE PIGEON RIVER BETWEEN CANTON, NC AND NEWPORT, TN FRENCH BROAD RIVER NEW►ORT,TM CONY CREEK a wIL1Dw CREEK N Tennessee FWW HARTFORD RM21s North Carollna owwr 0M RM 26.6.0 Tu CREEK wALTBE 0 WALTERS LAKE v 111IEs CRaEK ` Raw NE►CD BRIDGE BLOW Esau aEOGI[ JONATHAN CREEK IERIVLLI a aK7lAND CREEK DUIF R►163.1 OLT" ILOTTFARN ADDITION 7T -34- REFERENCES [1] Bach, Orville E. and Barnett, William H., "An Economic Impact Analysis on the Recreational Benefits of a Restored Pigeon River and A Financial Analysis of Champion International Corporation's Ability to Provide for a Clean Pigeon River", unpublished mimeo., May 9, . [21 Epp, Donald J. and At-Ani, K.S., "The Effect of Water Quality on Rural Nonfarm Residential Property Values," American Journal of Agricultural Economics 61. August 1979. [3] Brashares, Edith Nevins, "Estimating the Instream Value of Lake Water Quality in Southeast Michigan," Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Michigan, 1985. [4] Feenberg, Daniel and Mills, Edwin S. Measuring the Benefits of Water Pollution Abatement. New York: Academic Press, 1980. [5] Data supplied in correspondence with Eastern Professional River Outfitters and confirmed in a conversation with Bob Allen, Tennessee Department of Conservation. [6] Walsh, Richard G., Ericson, Ray K., Arosteguy, Daniel J., and Hansen, Michael P., "An Empirical Application of a Model for Estimating the Recreational Value of Instream Flow," Completion report OWRT Project No. A-036-COLO. (Colorado Water Resources Research Institute: Fort Collins Colorado, October, 1980). [7] Telephone Conversation with Bob Allen, Tennessee Department of Conservation. [81 Dornbusch, David M. and Barrager, Stephen M. Benefits of Water Pollution Control on ProDertd Value. Prepared for the Office of Research and Monitoring, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Socioeconomic nAe rEr FIGURE 2 Ga! with the*,.R.. S P.O. BOX 592 GATLINSURG. :1 I � Y TiGEON TENNESSEE RIMER 37738 t �`"`"' •�' 1•". 6751436.5008 . OUTDOOINO RR 0 TO 32 Q e . PIGEON FORGE FOOTHILLS " PARKWAY e rr + i • j- -__ HARTFORD r F• / ee ;•: TRAFFIC 2H COSBY a is?NGIR p l GATL ET INBURG WALTERM �!' ""• ;GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN PUNT e '' r With t�'r�'•:r+:4�`.�..w%is�NATfONALPARK , rs--z�.. +rr^+an!s�--�_z" `a`:,.w.:iS,� c am• <APRIL'-OCTOSER .. 104 . .,PI V`ON •^-�':;:,.:'•,,,•,•,- �• ..To Imur6 a trip rIN of v wpat You phone for Afanatloea Iaven • RIVER :}.•y :..j: ••: --manly o rats a to d aAGIsdi craRef or I will of liven if we ue �•9�s�; :;�•;+,,.-�•.Gy:a.•;}' .:yyapl.-ta raft dua.to rMr.Wndltlonr,or If SMn 10 or more days •,...�,i:Tti �; ::10eaWof cancellation.. . Ooi ueitkq WHfTEWATER RAFTING TRIPS am on a rsnic OUTDOORS -; a_� DAILY ftorn our wtpost on 73 of the BIG E.(321 RIVER. Trips At theefoot of1the r<p awuntairo,we shuttle you to the putdn where You tecaM.Iroruc- - .. _ =:i -•'..;-'-"-.. 'Nap In whiearater techniques and ufetY procedures.With a props• '-"�-��.'�:. _ .r°"�'•�'A'�'.- .•' ebnu{aide In each raft and a kayak ufatY boat to land me way,we "' -'- -' ' ' ' • ' SPLASH through TWELVE CLASS 35 AND TWO CLASS e51 LOCATED IN 4T.";-.,.-THE BIG SOFT RIVER has beautiful aemry,bu of aplatha, '�ehdLS LOTS OF�FUNI j"� Due t'Itit 1'rw fun far all-• BEGINNERS TO EXPERIENCED PADDLERS•FUN FOR THE WHOLE FAMILY!We emphasize., w•Np.EXPERIENCE'IS NECUSARYI y'Mi.jidEON RIVER OUTDOORS pmIda all safety par,helmets,and a`"'_;:DN.Iac4ra.,P1,eau:-,hear eomethiog to pt wet in, and TENNIS !r•.'w�SHO-d FaRVi&'1 ii w.pr,with raPACKAf E DIEAGATLINBURG .,bjp'1w ravids by- iilso sell and a PACKAGE DeAC ro ur BIG ' Ay' .. bey thw apids by.We also all hand-designed T•shlro with.cur BIG 3 /2 HOUR TRIPS GEON�VER RAFTING ROUTE. ^+'� .::....:-. FURTHER INFORMATON •`fS1i w•wRta for hiller Infarmadon on our otteday rattln{trip'. ^pehnlght trips,kayak and crave lesnne,group run,what to rear. atcommodadoM,and ap IhnitL5 ' 0 TABLE I COSTS AND BENEFITS OF PLANS TO REDUCE COLOR DISCHARGES INTO THE PIGEON RIVER Total Benefits and Costs Marginal Benefits and Costs Discharge Benefit/Cost Benefit/Cost Reduction Plan Benefits' Costal Ratio Benefits2 Costs2 Ratio -(Millions of -(Millions of 1988 Dollars)- 1988 Dollars)- (1)/(2) (4)/(5) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 50 Percent Reduction $10.9 $ 38.4 0.28 $10.9 $38.4 0.28 50 Units At Border 17.3 113.3 0.15 6.4 74.9 0.09 50 Units At Pipe 17.6 1,400.0 0.01 0.3 1,286.7 0.00 Sources and Notes ' Total benefits are taken from Table IV. Total costs are taken from Table V. 2 Marginal benefits and costs are the difference between the figures of a plan and the plan immediately above it. n�era TABLE II Page 1 of 2 ESTIMATES OF THE MAXIMUM BENEFITS FROM A PIGEON RIVER WITH NO COLOR DISCHARGES Visits Consumer Surplus White- White- Year water Floating Fishinrt3 Other 3 water FloatinR2 Fishing3 Other3 --------------(Thousands)----------- --------(Thousands of Dollars)------- (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) 1988 24 10 13 15 $ 312 $102 $117 $ 68 1989 48 21 14 16 624 203 126 73 1990 72 31 15 18 936 305 136 79 1991 96 42 16 19 1,248 406 147 85 1992 120 52 17 21 1,560 508 159 92 1993 120 49 19 22 1,560 482 171 99 1994 120 47 20 24 1,560 458 185 107 1995 120 45 22 26 1,560 435 200 116 1996 120 42 23 28 1,560 414 216 125 1997 120 40 25 30 1,560 393 213 135 Present Value4 $8,886 $2,676 $1,226 $711 Total Recreation Value (Millions of 1988 Dollars) $13.50 Property Enhancements5 (Millions of 1988 Dollars) Tennessee 1.87 North Carolina 2.23 Total Benefits (Millions of 1988 Dollars) $17.59 me r.-a TABLE II Page 2 of 2 ESTIMATES OF THE MAXIMU14 BENEFITS FROM A PIGEON RIVER WITH NO COLOR DISCHARGES Sources and Notes 1 Whitewater visits are set at a capacity of 120,000. This is in line with 1987 visits to the Ocoee River of 124,449 visits supplied in telephone conversation with Bob Allen at the Tennessee Department of Conservation. Value of $13 per visit derived in text. 2 Floating visits are set at a capacity of 52,000. This was set from current usage on the Hiawassee (80,000) reduced by 35 percent to account for low Pigeon River water levels in August and September. Usage declines by five percent per year after 1992. Value of 9.76 derived in text. 3 Fishing and Other taken from Bach and Barnett. 4 Present discounted values over 10 years at a real rate of 6.79 percent, derived by taking Champion's 13.2 percent after-tax cost of money and netting out an assumed 6 percent inflation rate. 5 Property value adjustment taken from Table III. n/e ra TABLE III ESTIMATES OF THE MAXIMUM IMPROVEMENTS IN PROPERTY VAIDE FROM A PIGEON RIVER WITH NO COLOR DISCHARGES (1988 DOLLARS) Increase in Value per Foot Total Miles of Valuel from Reduced Increase Frontage Per Foot Discharees2 in Value -------(Dollars/Foot)------- --(Thousand Dollars)- (2) (3) (4) North Carolina: Residential 4.33 $52.49 $12.91 $ 295 Other Private 28.32 18.78 12.91 1,931 Public Land3 38.614 NA 0 0 Total $2,230 Tennessee: Residential 5.53 52.49 12.91 377 Other Private 20.96 18.78 12.91 1,484 Public Lands 14.66 NA 0 0 Total $1,870 Total of Tennessee and North Carolina $4,100 Sources and Notes 1 Assumes same value per river foot in North Carolina as in Tennessee. 2 For residential land this value represents an increase of 24.6 percent as estimated by Epp and Al-Ani, reference (2] . For all other private land, the same absolute value per foot was applied. 3 North Carolina Public includes: Interstate 40, Highways 19 and 23, forest, mapping recon, unassigned territory, and Champion property. 4 Includes 9.34 miles to estimate the distance on missing maps. The calculation was done by noting that there are 12.5 miles from the dam to the powerhouse and subtracting from this the distances on maps we have between the dam and the powerhouse. 5 Tennessee public includes: Interstate 40, Edwina Rd. , forest, Cocke County, unassigned territory, and publicly owned property. nee.ra TABLE IV ESTIMATES OF THE BENEFITS OF PLANS TO REDUCE COLOR DISCHARGES IN THE PIGEON RIVER 50 Percent 50 Unit Maximum Reduction At Border At Pipe (1) (2) (3) Pounds Per Day Removed 172,000 274,000 311,000 Proportion of Benefitsl Tennessee 0.63 1.00 1.00 North Carolina 0.55 0.88 1.00 Total Benefits $10.91 $17.33 $17.59 Benefits Per Pound of Color Per Day Removed2 63 63 57 Marginal Benefit Per Pound Per Day3 63 63 7 Sources and Notes I Proportion of benefits is the proportion of total state benefits which would be observed under each plan. Tennessee benefits include all 2 recreation benefits in Table II. Total benefits divided by pounds per day removed. 3 Difference in benefits divided by difference in pounds per day removed from less stringent to more stringent removal. n.e r a TA,BLE V ESTIMATES OF THE COSTS OF PLANS TO REDUCE COLOR DISCHARGES IN THE PIGEON RIVER 50 Percent 50 Unit Maximum Reduction At Border At Pipe (1) (2) (3) Pounds Per Day Removedl 172,000 274,000 311,000 Capital Cost, (1988 Dollars) $10,000,000 $43,900,000 $1,400,000,000 Operating and Maintenance Cost, (1988 Dollars Per Year) 4,000,000 9,783,000 0 Present Value of Total Cost2 (1988 Dollars) 38,366,000 113,276,000 1,400,000,000 Cost Per Pound Per Day of Color Removed (1988 Dollars) 223 413 4,502 Marginal Cost Per Pound Per Day of Color Removed4 223 734 34,776 Sources and Notes 1 Pounds removed, capital and operating costs provided by the Company. 2 Total cost taken by adding capital cost to operating and maintenance cost stream discounted at 6.79 percent real discount rate for 10 years. Real discount rate assumes 6 percent inflation applied to Champion after-tax cost of money of 13.2 percent. 3 Total cost divided by pounds per day removed. 4 Difference in cost divided b difference in y pounds per day removed from less stringent to more stringent removal. n-e r. TABLE VI COSTS AND BENEFITS OF PAINS TO REDUCE COLOR DISCHARGES INTO THE PIGEON RIVER Total Benefits and Costs Marginal Benefits and Costs Discharge Benefit/Cost Benefit/Cost Reduction Plan Benefitsl Costsl Ratio Benefits2 Costs2 Ratio -(Millions of -(Millions of 1988 Dollars)- 1988 Dollars)- (1)/(2) (4)/(5) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 50 Percent Reduction $10.9 $ 38.4 0.28 $10.9 $38.4 0.28 50 Units At Border 17.3 113.3 0.15 6.4 74.9 0.09 50 Units At Pipe 17.6 1,400.0 0.01 0.3 1,286.7 0.00 Sources and Notes 1 Total benefits are taken from Table IV. Total costs are taken from Table V. 2 Marginal benefits and costs are the difference between the figures of a plan and the plan immediately above it. n�ra SUMMARY OF TENNESSEE EMPLOYMENT IMPACTS In its report, National Economic Research Associates, Inc (NERA) has estimated that approximately 816 jobs will be lost in Tennessee as a direct or indirect result of the closing of Champion' s Canton mill. That figure is based upon Champion's $15 million contribution to Tennessee' s economy and a multiplier derive by the United States Department of commerce based upon the output of -.i. the forestry industry. NERA Report, p. 28 and Table VII. This figure is also directly supported by testimony at the public hearings . Individual suppliers to Champion estimated the number of jobs lost in each of their operations as follows: Employees Transcript Witness Compan Lost Page Mr. Gordon Chalmers Valmet-Enerdry 50 283 Mr. Armistead Long James Spur, Inc. 450 309 Mr. John Baugues Coal Company 200 311 Mr. Jim Sherrer Huyck Formex 15-20 317 Mr. Randy Edgeman Diversified Energy 180 335 TOTAL EMPLOYEES 895-900 ...... Therefore, the NERA Report accurately estimated the number of direct jobs lost in Tennessee if the Canton mill closes, and probably underestimated the actual direct and indirect job losses that would result. FFB CFO - PORTER , WRIGihzq ftB ' 5� MORRIS & ARTHUR F4*Rs I153 ITN STREET,N.W. ATTORNEYS AT LAW oAN ON,D.G m 7E EPHOLECOMNE:(m1)611-0Mo l dI SOUTH HIGH STREET,COLUMBUS.OHIO 4331; TELEOJFlER:(]p1)6UA19! a1 TELECOPIER:(614)227.2100 TE2•IX(6m)4l2.17O1 •t TWX:(810)482-1702 1610ATRI MONF. 101 EASTFOURTH STREET J.JEFFREY McNEALEY DIRECT DIAL:(614)227-2074 ONOTINATI.OHIOHm1 +t- TELEPHONE:(513))6147M TELECOHER:()IH 411.0991 . 915 EUCILD AVENUE SUITE I l00 KUNTINGTON BUILDING aSVEIAND.OHIO"III 24^•'•' TELEPHONE(116)Ml-9009 February 23, 1988 MECOFlER:ry16144 "Il ems: 1100 FlRST NATIONAL BANK BUBDING P.O.BOX 1805O4501 DAYTON.N,OMO4l4B1 �.. TELEPHONE(515)UR-Mil ;. TELECOPIE2(3I3)2A.066E .Ty. Mr. John H. Wile s.�< NERA 123 Main Street White Plains, NY 10601 Re: Tennessee Impacts Dear John: Enclosed is a summary of Tennessee employment impacts as taken from the administrative record, primarily the testimony in Knoxville. As you can see, the numbers set forth in the NERA report as submitted potentially understate actual anticipated impacts, another degree of conservatism. I thought you might want to put this in your file for future reference. You should have copies of the testimony which was previously forwarded to you by Janet Henry of my office. S ffJfrey ely, j McNealey Ec: JJM:klr Enc. cc: Benjamin Bilus (w/en Richlyd Diforio (w/en o, T LE COMPARISON OF COST AND BENEFITS OF PLANS TO REDUCE COLOR DISCHARGES ' IN THE PIGEON RIVER AT ALTERNATIVE DISCOUNT RATESI me`µ 6.79% Discount Rate 38 Discount Rate Discharge Benefit/Cost Benefit/Cost Reduction Plan Benefits Costs Ratio Benefits Costs Ratio -(Millions of -(Millions of 1988 Dollars)- 1988 Dollars)- (1)/C2) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) 50 Percent Reduction $10.9 $ 38.4 0.28 $11.4 $ 45.9 0.25 50 Units at Border 17.3 113.3 0.15 18.1 135.4 0.13 50 Units at Pipe 17.6 1,400.0 0.01 18.4 1,655.9 0.01 Sources and Notes 1 See Table I. ESTIMATES OF EMPIDYMENT IMPACTS OF FLANS TO REDUCE COIOR DISCH►RGES IN THE PIGEON RIM 2;.J. Changes in Output Changes in the Number of Jobs Discharge North North Reduction Plan Tennessee' Carolina2 Tennessee3 Carolina3 Total (Millions of 1988 $) -------(Number of Jobs)-------- (3)&(4) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) , 50 Percent Reduction 1.29 5.86 77 176 253 50 Units At Border 2.04 17.94 123 539 662 50 Units At Pipe Recreation 2.04) .385.00 -693 -12,040 -12,733 y Forest -15.00 Sources and Notes 1 Changes in output for Tennessee are derived by multiplying increased visits per year (120,000) , the proportion of expenditures that are commercial (.85), the cost per trip (20) , and the proportion of benefits achieved (from Table IV) . The loss of $15 million of output in the last case is taken from Oliver Blackwell's testimony before USEPA, page 27. 2 Changes in output for North Carolina are calculated as follows: for the first two plans they are derived by adding the operating and maintenance cost of a plant and the capital cost multiplied by the capital recovery factor (.186) . For the 50 units at the mill plan, the loss in output is equivalent to the current output of the mill. 3 Multipliers are derived from RIMS manual, reference (13] . I1�eT/cr +, . .. ESTIMATES OF EXPIDTHENT IMPACTS OF PIANS : TO REDUCE COIDR DISCHARGES IN THE PIGEON RIVER - Changes in Output Changes in the Number of Jobs Discharge North North Reduction Plan Tennesseel Carolina2 Tennessee3 Carolina3 Total (Millions of 1988 $) -------(Number of Jobs)-------- - (3)&(4) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) 50 Percent Reduction 1.29 5.86 77 176 253 50 Units At Border 2.04 17.94 123 539 662 50 Units At Pip, Recreation 2.04 p Forest -15.001 -385.00 -693 -12,040 -12,733 Sources and Notes 1 Changes in output for Tennessee are derived by multiplying increased visits per year (120,000) , the proportion of expenditures that are commercial (.85) , the cost per trip (20) , and the proportion of benefits achieved (from Table IV), The loss of $15 million of output in the last case is taken from Oliver Blackwell's testimony before USEPA, page 27. 2 Changes in output for North Carolina are calculated as follows: for the first two plans they are derived by adding the operating and maintenance cost of a plant and the capital cost multiplied by the capital recovery factor (.186). For the 50 units at the mill plan, the loss in output is equivalent to the current output of the mill. 3 Multipliers are derived from RIMS manual, reference [131 . me rfa O k Tr 1 . r c t� • EJ+ Ilry �f '}.:- s, ice, ( '' r• i d� 1.�.� at � '�, Y �Ep'—�, r� r b �€" � y ��L�--���,• � 1 -� �,'>7�I)` " <z>-. �Y tt, +t e.,; d) :s .s e^ ;. 'Y 1 ti ///\\� MT�3 1 1=• V -,•-rl Ya14 ref 4•H �. p.i ,d;ll t ` a `,:}: ) L ,� ty y + 5 d es i' y{ a v �u l " 1 ''i + 1 mod. ip. The !?resident's Council on Sustainable;Development li'i ��L'< 3;v S. w! � S:.0 sY.'d 's:. 5 a. � du Te d �7"F4<-t � •s �3�+'d` R i {- } �n J +$� ,�,.! ✓j SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITIES TASK FORCE REPORT PRESIDENT'S COUNCIL ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT 730Jackson Place,NW Washington,DC 20503 202 408 5296,fx.202 408 6839 email <infopcsd®aol.com> web site <http://www.whitehouse.gov/pcsd> Dedication We dedicate this report to the memory of the late Ronald H. Brown, former Secretary of the U.S.Department of Commerce,and a Co-Chair of the Sustainable Communities Task Force. • - rtFetnrr;s�tm i Membership . CO-CHAIRS Ronald H. Brown, Secretary,U.S. Department of Commerce Thomas R. Donahue,Former President,AFL-CIO MEMBERS- John H. Adams, Executive Director,Natural Resources Defense Council D. James Baker, Under Secretary for Oceans and Atmosphere, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,U.S. Department of Commerce Richard Barth, Chairman,President,and Chief Executive Officer (Retired), Ciba-Geigy Corporation Carol M. Browner,Administrator,U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Benjamin F. Chavis,Jr.,National Chair,National African-American Leadership Summit Dianne Dillon-Ridgley, President, Zero Population Growth Judith M. Espinosa,Former Secretary of the Environment, State of New Mexico Michele A. Perrault,International Vice President, Sierra Club TAsx FoRCE LIAISONS TO CouNcn.MEMBERS Geoffrey Anderson, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency John Bullard,National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce Jacqueline Hamilton, Natural Resources Defense Council Jeffrey Hunker, U.S. Department of Commerce Michael McCloskey, Sierra Club John Mincy, Ciba-Geigy Corporation Rebecca Moser,National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce Rudy Oswald, AFL-CIO Harriet Tregoning,U.S. Environmental Protection Agency TAsx FORCE COORDINATOR Angela Park,President's Council on Sustainable Development The federal officials who served on the task force participated actively in developing the recommendations in this report, but these recommendations do not necessarily reflect Administration policy. This final report represents the consensus of the council members that served on the task force. While the task force delivered its recommendations to the council for its consideration, the entire council did not review or endorse this report. PRESIDENT'S COUNCIL ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMEN-f r SUSTAINABLL COMm uND"IIiS'f:15K FORCE RBP(IRT PRF.FA CF. Preface The strength, prosperity, and vitality of our communities is a fundamental measure of our nation's success. As part of its effort to create a national action strategy, the President's Council on Sustainable Development established the Sustainable Communities Task Force to examine and articulate the leadership role communities are playing in creating a sustainable United:States.:The_ten.Councilmembm.na.the task force.were charged with developing consensus-based policy recommendations on how the United States can create opportunities, reduce barriers, and encourage collaborative partnerships to implement sustainable development locally. The work of the task force began with a simple theory: local communities are providing much of,the initial impetus and practical leadership for implementing the concepts of sustainable development. Any national strategy for sustainable development must tap into this energy and momentum and be rooted in the lessons learned from these commu- nities. Accordingly, task force members sought input from community activists, business 'leaders, trade unionists, developers, academics, architects, policy experts, and elected officials and agency staff at all levels of government. In addition, through a series of meetings, briefings, and roundtables,the task force solicited the expertise and involve- ment of hundreds of additional community leaders throughout the.country. Many of these community leaders participated in the six working groups established by the task force as well as sharing their knowledge on innovative programs and policies that are already underway and achieving measurable results. The working groups addressed a wide range of issues relevant to building sustainable communities, including economic development and jobs, social infrastructure, environmental justice, transportation and infrastructure, housing and land use, financing, and public participation. The working groups provided the foundation for the task forte's work. In a bottom-up process, materials developed by working groups were integrated into task force draft issue state- ments, goals, and policy recommendations. To further ensure that the task forte's work was rooted in the realities facing communi- ties today, the task force worked with communities to draft case studies, and asked the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Urban and Economic Development Division to commission a compilation of 51 community profiles. The case studies and community profiles are not intended to serve as models, but rather to highlight the diversity of initia- tives already underway, and to share lessons learned by communities that are developing integrated approaches to social, economic, and environmental issues while emphasizing opportunities for broad public participation. PRESIDENT'S COUNCIL ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT T• / 4 WMAINABLE CONIMUN[TIES TASK FORCE REPORT It is with immense gratitude that we recognize and thank the hundreds of individuals who contributed to the Sustainable Communities Task Force. This final report reflects the synthesis of three years of work, and it represents the consensus of council members who served on the task force. While the task force's goals were ambitious;-its recommeadatitrns-only begin-todeal-with the-wide range of,chal- lenges facing our nation's communities. But by addressing the most important issues the task force identified, we hope this report will stimulate a national discussion on how the concepts of sustainable development can be applied in local decisionmaking to make all of our communities better places in which to live. Thomas K Donahue Task Force Co-chair Former President AFL-CIO PRESIDENT'S COUNCIL ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT EXECU VE, SUSTAINABLE COMMUNMES TASK FORCE REPORT S!,Ai tARY Executive Summary Flourishing communities are the foundation of a healthy society. One important measure of America's potential for long-term vitality will be the emergence of communities that are attractive, clean, safe, and rich in educational and employment opportunities. But before engaging in any discussion about sustainable communities, an understanding of theshared.concepts anddefinitionsof sustainable development must exist. WHAT IS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT? The term "sustainable development" and its definitions originated in an international context. The term was popularized by the World-Commission on Environment and Development,which is also known as the Bruntland Commission, named after its chair Gro Harlem Bruntland. Established by the United Nations (U.N.) General Assembly in 1984, the commission was asked to learn about the connections between the issues of environment and development. It held meetings on every continent with people from all walks of life and presented its final report, Our Common Future, to the U.N. General Assembly in 1987. In Our Common Future, the Bruntland Commission defined sustainable development as development that allows people "...to meet-the needs of the present without compro- mising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs." This definition was adopted by the President's Council on Sustainable Development in 1993 as it initiated its work. Although the Bruntland Commission's definition addresses the intergenerational and long-term aspects of sustainable development, alone it is not a comprehensive definition of the term and its affiliated concepts. Sustainable development has been described as the integration of the three e's— environ- ment, economy, and equity. In addition, a variety of themes have become closely associated with the concept of sustainable development. For development to be sustain- able, it must satisfy five criteria. Decisions must consider and account for: . . . Long-term impacts and consequences—Sustainable development requires the use of a long-term horizon for decisionmaking in which society pursues long-term aspirations rather than simply making short-term, reactive responses to problems.By keeping an eye out for the long-term,sustainable development ensures that options for future genera- tions are maintained if not improved. . . . Interdependence-Sustainable development recognizes the interdependence of economic, environmental, and social well-being.It promotes actions that expand economic opportu- nity, improve environmental quality,and increase social well-being all at the same ume, never sacking one for another. q PRESIDFNT'S COUNCIL ON SUSTAIN- FXECLTIVE SUMMARY ABLE DEVELOPMENT • • • Participation and transparency—Sustainable development depends on decisionmaking that is inclusive,participatory, and transparent. It recognizes the importance of process and decisionmaking that includes the input of the stakeholders who will be affected by decisions. • • • Equity—Sustainable development promotes equity between generations and among different groups in society. It recognizes the necessity of equality and fairness, and it reduces disparities in risks and access to benefits. • . • Proactive prevention—Sustainable development is anticipatory. It promotes efforts to prevent problems as the first course of action. Sustainable development is one of those rare ideas that could dramatically change the way we look at"what is" and."what could be:" It is about doing things in ways that work for the long run because they are better from every point of view—better economically, environmentally, and socially. It provides a new framework for working together to expand economic opportunities, rebuild communities, revitalize democracy,develop a new generation of environmentally superior technologies, link entrepreneurship to envi- ronmental stewardship, and bring our increasingly urban way of life into balance with nature. Sustainable development challenges us to envision a society superior to today's society, and to make it a reality for our children and grandchildren. WHAT ARE SUSTAINABLE COMMUNITIES? Sustainable communities are cities and towns that prosper because people work together to produce a high quality of life that they want to sustain and constantly improve. They are communities that flourish because they build a mutually supportive, dynamic balance between social well-being, economic opportunity, and environmental quality. While it is not possible today to point to a list and say, "These communities are sustainable," the emerging ideal of sustainable communities is a goal many are striving to achieve. And while there is no single template for a sustainable community, cities and towns pursuing sustainable development often have characteristics in common. Generally speaking, they integrate the five,concepts outlined above and demonstrate their application locally. Some communities have adopted sustainable community principles through legislation, executive order, or other actions. The concept of sustainable communities should be viewed as an ideal for communities to ' pursue—an ideal whose possibilities are enormously exciting. In sustainable communities, people are engaged in building a community together. They are well-informed and actively involved in making the decisions that affect their lives. In making decisions, they consider the long-term benefits to future generations as well as themselves. They understand that successful long-term solutions require partnerships and a process that allows for representatives of a community's diverse sectors to be involved in discussions, planning, and decisions that respond directly to unique local needs. They also recognize that some problems cannot be solved within the confines of their community, and that working in partnership with others in the region is necessary to deal with them effectively. : MIMCUMT SUMMARY 4 'Si In sustainable communities, people use this participatory approach to make conscious decisions about design. The concepts of efficiency and livability permeate decisions about physical structure. Development patterns promote accessibility, decrease sprawl, reduce energy costs, and foster a human-scale built environment. In sustainable communities, all people have access to educational opportunities that prepare them for jobs to support themselves and their families in a local economy that is dynamic and prepared to cope with changes in the national and global economy. In sustainable communities,partnerships involving business, government, labor, and employees promote economic development and jobs. They cooperatively plan and carry out development strategies that-create diversified local economies built on unique local advantages and environmentally superior technologies. These efforts can strengthen the local economy, buffering the effects of national and international economic trends that sometimes result in job losses in a community. Such partnerships also invest in the education and training necessary to make community members more productive, raise their earning power, and help strengthen and attract business. Use of environmentally superior technologies for transportation, industry, buildings, and agriculture boosts productivity and lowers business costs while dramatically reducing pollution, and solid and hazardous wastes. Businesses, households, and governments in sustainable communities make efficient use of land, energy, and other resources, allowing the area to achieve a high quality of life with minimal waste and environmental damage.These communities are healthy and secure and ` they provide people with clean air, clean water, and safe food. WHY ARE COMMUNITIES KEY TO SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT? Whether the United States and other nations will achieve a sustainable future largely depends on how well the concepts and principles of sustainable development are inte- grated into decisionmaking at the community level. If efforts to build a sustainable future are to take hold, they must do so in the day-to-day lives of people in their workplaces, stores, neighborhood associations, community organizations, local government, labor unions, schools, and religious institutions. ' It is in communities where people work,play, and feel most connected to society. Problems like congestion,pollution, and crime often seem abstract when they appear as national statistics, but they become personal and real at the community level. In the same. way, sustainable development may remain a remote theoretical concept for.many people until it is described in the context of community. Then it becomes more clear that sustainable development is directly related to aspects of people's daily lives and their fundamental needs, such as educational and job opportunities, health care, affordable housing, clean air and water, and convenient transportation. It is within communities that children the basic education and skills that will allow them to thrive in the changing marketplace. .y PRESIDENT'S COUNQL ON SUSTAIN- EkTCIJTIVE SLiMMARY V111 ABLE DEVELOPMENT It is within communities that people can most easily bring diverse interests together, identify and agree on goals for positive change, and organize for responsive action. While the challenges facing the nation are difficult to resolve at any level of government, local communities offer people the greatest opportunity to meet face-to-face to fashion a shared commitment to a sustainable future. Nothing could do more to foster 'sustainable devel- opment than a nationwide effort to apply this idea at the community level. Much of what is needed to create more sustainable communities is within reach if people and their community institutions join forces. Many communities are beginning to use sustainable development as a framework for thinking about their future. By building upon their leadership and innovation,marshaling and reorienting government resources, and creating new standards for process and participation, strengthened communities can provide the foundation for a stronger, revitalized America. TASK FORCE RECOMMENDATIONS POLICY RECOMMENDATION 1 Community Based Public Dialogue,Planning,Priority-Setting,and Implementation Bring people together to idcmtify,prioritize,and learn about key issues in their community; develop a vision of wbat they want their community to he;set goals for realizing that vision; establish indicators for measuring progress;identify the resources needed to reach the goals;and implement actions that will advance them. Action 1. Community-based coalitions can create educational, media, and civic journalism campaigns to encourage participation in'civil life and voting, disseminate high-quality information on community issues,and promote public discussions that will lead to the resolution of these issues. Coalitions should be as broad as possible,including industry and business,schools,newspapers,tele- vision and radio stations, community groups, labor, local government, religious institutions, and organizations working on social, economic,and environmental issues. Action 2. As part of the dialogue and planning process, community-based coalitions can work to draft an economic development strategy that will fulfill basic human needs by taking advantage of local and regional opportunities and new economic trends, such as the opening up of global markets and the improvement of environmental and communications technologies. Coalitions should include businesses, employees,unions,chambers of commerce, local government, community groups, and residents. Action 3. Federal and state governments—in consultation with local government, the private sector, and nongovernmental organizations—should support local planning that integrates economic development,environmental protection,and social equity concerns and should promote public participation in planning efforts. For example, they should reaffirm the value of such planning through the reauthorization of the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act, and they should apply the requirements of such planning to federal and state funding and incen- tives for economic development,housing,transportation, and environmental programs. Ea9iCU7I%-T SUMMARY POLICY RECOMMENDATION 2 Open and Inclusive Decisionmaking Encourage and facilitate open and inclusive decisionmaking processes. Action 1. All levels government should ensure substantial opportunity for public participation in all phases of planning and decisionmaking to allow those affected by decisions to have a voice in the outcome. Governments should create new methods and expand existing ones for getting the public involved in planning and development decisions,as well as in the legislative process,taking steps to ensure that historically under-represented groups are involved. For example, regional planning organizations, metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs), zoning boards, and other government entities that are active in the design of communities should take responsibility for ensuring that local residents have a substantive opportunity to participate in crucial early planning and development decisions. Action 2. All levels of government,but especially local government,should identify impediments to greater public involvement in decisionmaking—such as language barriers and lack of child care and transportation—and develop strategies to overcome them. Action 3. Businesses can encourage.their managers and employees to participate in community affairs and can establish advisory boards to recruit residents to provide input to the company on issues relevant to the community.In addition,businesses can give'employees flexibility to increase the time that they and their families can devote to community activities. Action 4. While working to minimize all unacceptable environmental risks,all levels of govern- ment should work with community groups and the private sector to ensure that environmental risks and benefits are more equitably distributed among and within communities. POLICY RECOMMENDATION 3 Access to Information on Sustainable Communities Increase the ability of communities to improve their economic, environmental, and social well- being by improving access to usable information about sustainable communities initiatives, and disseminating that information to interested parties and key decisionmakers. Action 1. Institutions and individuals with knowledge or expertise in sustainable community development should coordinate efforts to share and provide information to communities,decision- makers, and other relevant constituencies. They should explore ways to link currently existing databases; coordinate technical assistance; co-sponsor conferences and other meetings; take advantage of emerging communications technologies,such as the Internet; and provide easily acces- sible points of entry for those interested in this information. These institutions and individuals include government agencies,elected officials, nonprofit organi- zations,businesses,academic institutions,economic development and environmental organizations, community groups,and professional associations (from planners, architects, and engineers to ecologists and economists). Action 2. All levels of government should improve the user-friendliness of government-collected information and technologies to help communities use them to solve problems and to educate the public. Potentially useful information includes census data,Toxics Release Inventory data, other PRESE)ENT'S COUNCIL ON S[iSTAIN- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AFILE DEVELOPMENT right-to-know statistics,public investment and lending information, economic statistics, and data derived from remote sensing and satellite technologies. Potentially useful technologies for manipu- lating this data include mapping tools,geographic information systems (GIS),and customized GIS application databases (e.g.,LandView B). Action 3. Community-based coalitions should work with companies,federal and state regulatory agencies,and health risk assessors to develop profiles of neighborhoods that are environmentally high-risk as a tool for setting pollution abatement priorities. POLICY RECOMMENDATION 4 Cooperation.Among Communities.._ Encourage the communities within a region to work together on issues that transcend their political boundaries. Action 1. Communities should collaborate to identify,prioritize, and learn about key problems in their region; develop a vision of what they want their region to be like; set goals for realizing that vision; establish benchmarks for measuring progress toward these goals; ascertain the resources needed to reach the goals;and determine the actions that will advance them. Action 2. States, counties,and municipalities should collaborate to create a system of regional accounts that measures the costs and benefits of local land use, development, and economic trends, and show how these benefits and costs are distributed in the short and long run. The federal government should work with state and local governments to ensure that federal statistical resources are available and used appropriately to support the measurement of benefits and costs. Action 3. Federal and state governments should provide incentives for communities to collabo- rate on issues that transcend local political jurisdictions,such as transportation,land use, economic development, and air and water quality. Federal and state agencies responsible for environmental protection, economic development,land use, and transportation policies should work with one or more selected geographic areas to develop integrated planning and development activities, and to require region-wide cooperation in these areas. POLICY RECOMMENDATION 5 Building Design and Rehabilitation Streamline processes and encourage design and rehabilitation of new and existing buildings to use energy and maler•ials• efficiently, enhance public health.preserre historic and natural settings, and contribate to a sense of community identity: and discourage zoning and construction practices that do the opposite. Action 1. Builders, architects, and engineers should design new buildings and rehabilitate existing ones to be healthy, livable,resource-efficient, and adaptable to new uses. These buildings should feature energy efficiency, daylighting,non-toxic recycled and recyclable construction materials, and designs that promote human interaction. They should also recognize the importance of historic preservation—capturing the resource of the embodied energy of existing buildings=and promote zero-waste building practices. Action 2. Builders and landscape architects should encourage building design that recognizes the integration between the built and natural environments through landscaping techniques such as ca-vcc MW sunmAer the use of native plants,which can reduce the need for fertilizers,pesticides, and water; and shade trees which can reduce energy use. Action 3. Federal,state,and local governments should work with builders, architects,developers, contractors, materials manufacturers,service providers, community groups,and others to stream- line regulations that allow builders and architects to implement the above-outlined sustainable building and construction practices. They should publish or otherwise make available information about model building codes,zoning ordinances, and flexibility for better building permit approval processes for residential and commercial buildings—so that local decisionmakers can adapt them to reflect local conditions and values. Action 4. Lenders,community groups, and historic preservation groups can work together to identify financing for retrofitting buildings to be energy-efficient and for rehabilitating historic buildings. Local governments can enact ordinances to preserve historic buildings,adapting them for new uses whenever possible, and removing incentives for demolishing them. Action 5. Educational institutions at all levels,particularly technical and graduate schools,should provide interdisciplinary training to encourage engineers,architects, landscape artists, and other design professionals to integrate sustainable building and construction practices, as outlined above, into common use. POLICY RECOMMENDATION 6 Community Design Design new communities and improve avisting ones to use laird and infrastructure gfflciently, promote mixed-use and mired-income development, retain public open space, and provide diverse transportation options to integrate the places in which people live and tvork with the ncitural environment. Action 1.Local jurisdictions should structure or revise local zoning regulations and permit approval processes to encourage mixed-used,mixed-income development co-located with diverse transportation options in areas that are already developed and especially where transit infrastruc- ture is already in place. Action 2. Federal and state governments and the private sector should form teams to help local jurisdictions reduce sprawl, and design developments that are resource-efficient and livable. Teams should include design and financing professionals,engineers, transportation specialists, land use experts,economic development and energy-efficiency experts,retailers, natural resource managers, and others. Action 3. The federal government should change federal tax policy to provide the same tax treatment of employee parking benefits and employee benefits relating to the use of mass transit, walking,and bike riding. For example,employers currently receive a tax deduction for providing parking and most do not charge for employee parking. While a much smaller tax-free benefit(less than half the amount) is also available for transit, no such incentive exists for those who neither drive nor take transit. Action 4. The federal government should give credit toward attainment of national Clean Air Act Amendment ambient air-quality standards to communities that lower traffic by adopting zoning,building code,and other changes that encourage more efficient land use patterns that reduce air pollution from motor vehicles. LL gg PRESIDENT'S COUNCIL ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT XH SUSTAINAniSf COMM93ND7ES TASK FORCE REPORT POLICY RECOMMENDATION 7 Reduce Sprawl and Promote Smarter Growtb Reduce sprcnrl and promote smarter geogrctphical growth of existing communities and the siting of new ones to enhance economic opportunities and meet finure needs while conserving open space and respecting the camping capacity of the natural environmew. Action 1. The federal government should redirect federal policies that encourage low-density sprawl to foster investment in existing communities.For example,it should encourage shifts in transportation spending toward transit, highway maintenance and repair,and expansion of transit options rather than new highway or beltway construction.It should also change the capital gain provision in section 1034 of the Internal Revenue Service code to allow homesellers to defer tax liability even if they purchase a new home of lesser value.-Currently the code allows deferred tax liability on capital gain realized during ownership only if homesellers purchase another home priced at least equal to the one sold. Action 2. Federal agencies should work with states and communities to develop ways to evaluate the costs of infrastructure in greenfield or relatively undeveloped areas to examine subsidies and to correct market incentives in the financing of capital costs of infrastructure,such as sewers and utilities,for development of land bordering metropolitan areas.In addition, local governments and counties can work together to use community impact analyses and other information on the envi- ronmental carrying capacity of a region as the foundation for land use planning and development decisions. Federal and state governments should also help local governments develop a metropolitan or regional planning instrument to evaluate alternative modes of development,accounting for the present value and costs of infrastructure,transportation inefficiency,land consumption,provision of social services, environmental quality, congestion, and fiscal impacts, as well as the impact on access to jobs,services, open space, and social and cultural amenities. Action 3. All levels of government,policy experts,residents,and community organizations can work together to conduct analyses of how public resources for infrastructure are spent to benefit different communities—for example, comparing the center city, outer suburbs, and rural areas. These analyses can be used to reorient priorities,if necessary, and direct future expenditures. Action 4. Local governments and counties can create community partnerships to develop regional open space networks and urban growth boundaries as part of a regional framework to discourage sprawl development that threatens a region's environmental carrying capacity.These partnerships can conserve open space through acquisition of land and/or development rights. For example, public water departments can budget to acquire land necessary to protect public water supplies. Private land trusts can expand their acquisition of wetlands or other valuable open space. ERECLMVESUKIMARY - r1.:i r POLICY RECOWMI ENDATION 8 Creation of Strong,Diversified Local Economies Promote economic development strategies that capitalize on unique local attributes and on technological advancer in energy and resource efciencti; to create Jobs and build strong, diversified local economies. Action 1. Communities can conduct an assessment of their economic, natural, and human resources to identify their comparative advantages and niche in the larger regional, national,and global economies. Ideally,this inventory and assessment would be conducted as part of a public dialogue and planning process within the community and the region. Action 2. Local governments,businesses, and nonprofit organizations with relevant expertise should work together to create recycling-related manufacturing in conjunction with community- based projects to collect and recycle municipal solid waste. All levels of government should support these efforts by providing information and incentives, and by supporting pilot projects and leveraging their funding with public-private partnerships. Action 3. Federal and state agencies should assist communities that want to create eco-industrial parks that enhance economic efficiency and promote environmental responsibility.They can do so by reducing regulatory impediments to the siting of eco-industrial parks that produce low levels of pollution through a zero-waste strategy in areas with mixed-use zoning;sharing information on similar efforts;and funding pilot projects. Action 4. National business associations,large corporations, environmental groups, and federal and state agencies can work together to promote best practices and techniques in the areas of pollution prevention,materials reuse,and energy efficiency to small-and medium-sized companies. Action 5. Federal agencies should help communities with former military facilities to convert them to new uses using principles of sustainable development. They can do so by bringing together development experts from multiple agencies and providing information on the range of alternatives for redevelopment. Action 6. The federal government and businesses should improve working conditions. Govern- went,for example,should set an adequate minimum wage and proper health and safety standards;, and businesses could provide greater flexibility to telecommute,set work schedules to provide more time for community participation and/or parenting,and provide assistance with day care. Action 7. Federal, state, and local government should support job creation and minimize large disparities in the distribution of wealth through tax strategies,health and welfare programs, and other government policies. PRESIDENr'S COUtiCTI.ON SUSTA[N',\]31-E DEVELOPMFNT `..' !'• SUS'1'AINAELE COMMUNITIES TASK FORCE REPORT ' POLICY RECOMMENDATION 9 Basic Education,Job Training, and Lifelong Learning Expand and coordinate education and job training programs to allow all people to expand their knowledge and improve their ability to adapt to the changing job markel and participate in contmuni{v affairs as informed educated citizens. Action 1. Businesses;teachers'unions,school officials, students, religious institutions, and local government within a community should develop training programs to ensure that workers have the necessary skills to take advantage of current and future economic development opportunities. They should work together to integrate current training programs, and they should marshal funding from the private sector,schools, and government to fill gaps in these programs.In addition to school curriculum, the programs include school-to-work, community service, summer jobs programs,apprenticeships, and job corps opportunities. Action 2. Community-based coalitions should work together to invest in education and to link education and the community by sponsoring youth,tutoring, and other programs; directly funding projects; and providing in-kind and volunteer support. These programs should also focus on the needs of local employers. Action 3. Federal and state governments should help people pursue education and job training throughout their lives by providing tax deductions on tuition, low-interest student loans, and other kinds of financial assistance. Action 4. Federal and state governments,the private sector, and local communities should promote widespread public access to computers and computer skills training. POLICY RECOMMENDATION 10 Cleanup and Redevelopment of Brownfield Sites Create partnerships with community residents, environmental organizations, community development corporations, lenk s, businesses, and all levels of government to clean up, redevelop, or stabilize brownficld sites by eliminating bamievs and creating incentives for environmental cleanup and reorienting existing state avid federal economic development funding and programs to include these sites. Action 1. All levels of government should continue to encourage investment in brownfrelds rede- velopment by eliminating barriers to and creating incentives for the cleanup and redevelopment of brownfield sites. Current efforts,such as the 1995 EPA Brownfields Initiative, need to continue evolving to work in partnership with diverse parties to clarify important issues and find shared solutions.These issues include: lender liability for cleanup;uncertainties for investors such as consistent and quantifiable cleanup standards, enforceable indemnity agreements, and covenants- not-to-sue;timely and conclusive efforts to detect contamination to allow cleanup and property sales to proceed;realistic cleanup standards appropriate to future uses of sites; and strengthening local workforce development. Action 2. 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Community-based coalitions should work together to address disorder issues such as littering,graffiti,and loitering before they lead to criminal activities. Law enforcement officials and local governments should work with residents and businesses to identify opportunities to prevent potential problems such as improving lighting in specific areas, and cleaning up vacant lots. POLICY RECOMMENDATION 13 Community Environmental Protection Pilots Explore the feasibility and effectiveness of alternative environmental regulatory systems tln-ough community-level pilot programs that set performance-based standards that are more stringent than existing environmental standards,and that give businesses greater flexibility in meeting the netv standards. Action 1. The U.S.Environmental Protection Agency(EPA) should encourage communities to develop pilot programs for attaining one or more environmental standards that are more stringent than those set by EPA.Participants in the programs—including but not limited to industry, government agencies, and community groups—would set the standards;and would work with regulators to ensure and verify that they are met. Action 2.EPA and state environmental protection agencies should accelerate efforts to conduct a series of demonstration projects to assess the benefits and costs of alternative regulatory approaches. For example,projects could demonstrate the cost-effectiveness of setting more stringent standards while giving polluters longer time periods to achieve compliance.Another project could research and work to demonstrate the benefits (if any) of environmental performance of an entire facility rather than on separate air,water and soil requirements.Such a project might stipulate that envi- ronmental gains for an entire facility exceed what would have been achieved through source-by-source or media-specific regulations.Working with the private sector and nongovern- mental organizations,the federal government should review and evaluate the lessons learned from these demonstration projects. Based on the success of the first round of demonstration projects,a second set of projects should be launched within two years. POLICY RECOMMENDATION 14 Pollution Prevention Partnersbips Increase public private pollution prevention efforts at the community level. Action 1.Regulators, businesses,labor unions,community groups, and policy experts can create partnerships to implement programs that encourage pollution prevention. Action 2. Community-based coalitions can regularly gather data on pollution in a community and combine it with population data and relevant health statistics,including diet and lifestyle choices, to reach agreement on what programs are needed to lower local health risks. i r• L\Tci-mvr si:Nw RV c POLICY RECOMMENDATION 15 Prevention and Natural Disaster Reduction Shift the focus of the federal disaster relief system from cure to prevention. Action 1. All levels of government should identify and eliminate government incentives,such as subsidized flood plain insurance and subsidized utilities,that encourage development in areas vulnerable to natural hazards. Action 2. Accurate risk assessments can facilitate development of safe land use policies and management approaches, especially in coastal and riverine environments,and near fault zones and other geologically active sites. Action 3. Community-based coalitions can develop improved building codes and related enforce- ment, and create strategic plans for design and maintenance of community infrastructure,and support appropriate agriculture and forestry practices. For example,local regulatory agencies can adopt more rigorous building codes, to ensure that new construction minimizes the impacts of floods,hurricanes, and other natural disasters. Action 4. Federal agencies,perhaps through a specific interagency effort,should incorporate sustainable redevelopment principles into the federal disaster relief system.The interagency group should work closely with state,local, and private organizations to create a unified approach within established disaster relief mechanisms.They can package technical assistance programs from existing federal, state, and local programs,utilities, and other public and private resources. October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina I. Introduction The following report details the Canton Mill's ability to attain the lowest achievable annual average and monthly average color loading limits based on the Mill's performance from December 2001 —August 2003. Section A (8.), Paragraph 5 of the 2001 NPDES Permit provides in part, as follows: "...By October 1, 2003, the permittee shall submit to the North Carolina Division of Water Quality a report including a statistical analysis of the permittee's monthly average color discharge, mill performance as related to color, all available data necessary to derive the lowest achievable annual average and monthly average color loading limits... " This report is submitted to fulfill the requirements of Section A(8.),Paragraph 5. Based on the Mill's performance from December 2001 —August 2003 and the Mill's continued commitment to color improvement, Blue Ridge Paper Products believes an annual average color limit of 42,000 pounds per day and a monthly average color limit of 52,000 pounds per day are feasible. 1 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina Il. Color Performance Set forth below is a summary of the actions implemented and planned for further color improvement at the Canton Mill. These actions satisfy the `Highest Certainty' items recommended by the Division of Water Quality and the Technology Review Workgroup. 2.1 Process Optimizations Items The sixteen Process Optimization Items recommended in the Bleach Environmental Process Evaluation and Report prepared by Liebergott&Associates Consulting Inc. and GL&V Pulp Group Inc. have all been evaluated and implemented where appropriate. 2.2 Improved Black Liquor Leak and Spill Collection and Control This recommendation consists of four elements including: 1) Continuous improvement of operating practices so more leaks and spills are recovered rather than discharged to the sewer; 2) Improvement in preparation for planned outages to maximize capture of tank clean-out waste and routing to recovery; 3) Reduction of clean water that continuously runs into sewers to prevent dilution of smaller spills and facilitate recovery of highly colored wastewaters; and 4) Improvement in the equipment used for the handling of knot rejects to prevent black liquor leaks into the recovery sumps. The following is a discussion of actions relating to each element. 2.2.1 Continuous Improvement of Operating Practices etc. A number of Best Management Practices (BMPs)have been implemented to improve the recovery of colored discharges within the mill. These include: A) Color testing on the 2 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina Primary Influent every 2 hours;B) The use of the off-line, spare clarifier for process losses and intentional diversions; C) Piping the Hardwood Brown Spill tank to the Pine Blow Tower for additional spill collection capability and Hardwood Fiberline outage management; and D) Implementation of control logic in the Pine Brownstock area to minimize tank overflows during shutdowns. The Mill began 24-hour color testing in 2-hour increments on the primary influent in 2001. The purpose of this increased color testing is to improve the mill's ability to respond to process upsets on an immediate,real-time basis. If high 2-hour color results are detected, the Wastewater Treatment Plant(WWTP) operators communicate the information to mill operations and in-mill investigations begin. If necessary, diversion of the primary influent to the off-line, spare clarifier is initiated. The high color material that is captured in the off-line clarifier is later discharged into the system at a rate that has a minimum impact on color and is not disruptive to the WWTP system. The off-line spare clarifier is also used during outage situations when high color material cannot be recovered by the in-mill spill control systems due to upset conditions, lack of recycle or evaporator capacity or intentional diversions. In order to increase the Hardwood Fiberline's ability to recycle recovered brownstock material, piping was installed from the Hardwood Brown Spill tank to the Pine Blow Tower. Prior to installation of this piping, there was no outlet for recycled hardwood brownstock material when that system was shut down. This design allows for the Hardwood Brown Spill tank to be recycled into the Pine Blow Tower and is especially useful in hardwood outage situations when the recycle of additional recovered material is required. Color savings from this 2001 project are reflected in the improvements seen around the hardwood brownstock or 2B sewer area as well as improved color performance. 3 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina During the first quarter of 2003, additional control logic was developed and implemented on the pine brownstock system to prevent high colored filtrate tanks (ls` 2nd, and 3Td stage Pre-OZ filtrate tanks) from overflowing and potentially reaching the sewer. The control logic is designed to alert the operator when the brownstock filtrate tank(s) reach 85% with audible and visual alarms. If the tank level(s) continues to rise to 90%, the pine brownstock operators receive a"high-high" level alarm and warning text on their monitors. The control logic then automatically interlocks (i.e., shuts down) the washer stock feed pump that is associated with the high-level filtrate tank. Further, additional controls have been built into the logic for the Pine Brown Spill tank. The alarm logic for this tank checks the tank level at various times each day. If the tank level is greater than 50% at either time period, the Pine Brownstock Operator will receive an audible alarm as well as a text message stating that the"Pine Brown Spill tank level is high." The control logic will then check the level three hours later and if the level is still above 50%, the operator will receive another alarm stating that the "Pine Brown Spill tank level is still too high." In addition, if the Brown Spill tank level exceeds 80%, the operator receives a high level alarm on his/her Digital Control System (DCS) graphic. All of these control system improvements have enhanced the operator's ability to monitor the system and prevent spills and losses from these processes. 2.2.2 Improvement in Preparation for Planned Outages Color management of planned outages has improved significantly as a result of the following practices: • Increasing color testing from 2 hours to one hour before outages, during outages and upon start-up; • Improved communication between the Wastewater Treatment Plant and mill operations; • Utilization of the off-line, spare clarifier; 4 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina • Developing tank draining schedules where only the necessary vessels are emptied for inspection and scheduled maintenance; • Reducing tank levels to the lowest level possible prior to shutdown. To effectively monitor color performance during maintenance outages, the W WTP operators begin hourly color testing on the primary influent when the Recovery operation initiates its shutdown procedure. The hourly color data is posted on the mill's Plant Information(PI) System where it is widely available to operations and support personnel. If a result is greater than 300 color units, it is immediately communicated to the Recovery and Pulp Mill foremen via the mill radio system and they institute investigative action to pinpoint the source. The appropriate corrective action is then taken. The Pulp Mill and Recovery foremen also communicate their investigative findings with one another to ensure effective troubleshooting is in place. If an hourly color result is elevated and mill operations communicates that there has been a process loss, the WWTP operators will divert the primary influent flow to the 1 million gallon off-line, spare clarifier for temporary storage. There have also been instances when the WWTP operators diverted the primary influent flow without direct communication of a spill. The WWTP operators are trained to take action and route high colored primary influent to the off-line, spare clarifier when necessary. The high color material is later fed into the WWTP system at a slow, non-disruptive rate. Such a slow feed rate minimizes the material's impact on secondary effluent color and does not disrupt the WWTP process. For very high colored material captured in the off-line clarifier, polyamine may be added in small amounts. Small amounts of polyamine aid in the color removal of the concentrated material captured in the clarifier without negatively affecting the sludge quality as larger amounts of polyamine have been demonstrated to do. During normal mill operations, full-scale application of polyamine was not proven to be effective and it created unmanageable sludge conditions; however, polyamine has been effective on these higher color concentration events captured in the off-line clarifier. 5 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina Also, if at any time high colored material is seen in the primary influent, or if mill operations communicates a process loss/intentional diversion, the WWTP operators can immediately divert the primary influent flow into the off-line, spare clarifier. Improved communications between the WWTP and mill operations have allowed for optimal use of the off-line clarifier, especially in outage situations when overall spill system capacity is in demand. Tank draining schedules are developed in preparation for planned maintenance outages. Increased attention has been given to draining only the tanks and lines requiring inspection and/or maintenance rather than draining entire sequences. Draining the entire sequence was a routine approach in the past so that vessels would be empty and available for maintenance if problems were detected. The schedule has been optimized so that inspections are rotated between outages, thereby ensuring that all tanks are inspected while reducing the frequency that individual tanks must be emptied. However, issues may arise where more frequent maintenance is required on certain vessels and appurtenances and in these cases, the tanks must be drained before a scheduled inspection is due. In preparation for all scheduled outages, it is standard practice to focus on reducing tank levels to minimize the amount of material to be drained. This practice also reduces potential losses in the event of an upset process condition during shutdown, outage, or start-up periods. These practices have measurably improved outage color performance. Specifically, reductions in the color losses are demonstrated by the 2002 semi-annual shutdowns (outages performed twice per year, lasting approximately one week with each outage involving half of the mill operations). In a comparison of semi-annual outage primary influent color data, the 2002 data showed an average 38%reduction in the maximum daily primary influent color from historical performance (1996—2001). These improvements are significant given that the majority of the spill recovery systems were implemented in 1997 and 1998. 6 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina 2.2.3 Reduction of Clean Water that Continuously Runs into Sewers There has been a greater than 90,000 gallon per day reduction in the amount of clean water being sewered, primarily in the mill's digester courtyard. This reduction in flow was achieved by implementing customized Double Mechanical Seals and Water Management Systems on the 18 digester re-circulation pumps. This project has involved extensive trialing of different types and combinations of specially designed mechanical seals over the past several years. The decrease in flow from the mechanical seals is at least 3 to 4 gallons per minute per pump,which equates to a daily flow savings greater than 90,000 gallons. The removal of non-mechanical seal pump packing water from the digester sewers has also contributed to improved color performance for the area. Since complete implementation of the mechanical seals, measured color in the area has been reduced by approximately 60%. This is due in part to the removal of seal water that could be contaminated by black liquor leaks on the non-mechanical seal packing and from the recovery sumps operating more efficiently. With less clean water dilution in the sewers leading to the recovery sumps,the effective conductivity of the material increases and can be captured for re-use in the process at a greater efficiency. Customized Double Mechanical Seals and Water Management Systems have also been installed on the Knotter feed pumps for both the Pine and Hardwood Fiberlines, to further reduce water infiltration to the sewer. 2.2.4 Improvement in Equipment used for Handling Knot Rejects Two projects have been completed to improve the equipment used for handling knot rejects. Black liquor from the Knot Rejects Collection bins is routed to a dedicated U- drain, which flows to a dedicated knot bin sump pump for each Fiberline. The flow from the knot bin areas is collected and pumped to the Brown Spill tank for each respective Fiberline. Recovery of this material has contributed to improved color performance, as 7 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina demonstrated by Figure 1 below. The Hardwood Fiberline Brownstock sewer color has shown the most dramatic reduction in color, which results from: • Having the flexibility to send contents from the Hardwood Brown Spill tank to the Pine Blow Tower during shutdown and start-up from an outage; • Reducing the amount of clean water dilution by installing the Double Mechanical Seals and Water Management Systems; • Capturing the black liquor from the knot rejects system and; • Improved communication and color monitoring. Monthly Average Hardwood Brownstock and Digester Area Color Since Installation of Double Mechanical Seals and Water Management Systems 12000 10000 m 8000 9 N C n 6000 O a 4000 2000 0 O ON N COY COY O O N N N O O o o O O O O O o Q +Hardwood Brownstock and Digester Area Color Figure 1 8 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina III. Improvements in BFR�r"Reliability Approximately$1.5 Million has been spent on Bleach Filtrate Recycle process improvements for 2002—2003. This has resulted in improved BFRTm closure rates over the past year and operational variability is also showing improvement in the Metals Removal Process (MRP). In August 2003, the monthly average closure rate reached targeted levels with improved MRP uptime and equipment reliability matching Fiberline reliability. To improve process variability, a new media filter and a new ion exchange softener were installed in the MRP. Due to accelerated degradation of the original three media filters over recent months, they will also be replaced by the end of 2003. With this additional equipment,metallurgy changes and other process improvements,MRP downtime is expected to be reduced significantly. Having four media filters and three ion exchange softeners will provide enough capacity for the MRP to remain online while repairs are made to an individual media filter or softener. These projects are beginning to demonstrate improved closure rates, reduced operational variability of the MRP, and increased mechanical reliability of the MRP, all of which should aid in reducing both measured and unaccounted color. As was expected, a recent statistical evaluation demonstrated that lower closure rates are a major contributor to elevated secondary effluent color and unaccounted color, individually as a main effect and also combined with other factors as an interaction effect. These effects will be discussed in a later section. 9 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina IV. Color Challenges in 2002—2003 As a result of many years of color reduction activities and those discussed herein, the monthly average secondary effluent color for the period December 2001 through October 2002 was 39,833 lbs/day. However, due to unforeseen and complex issues discussed in this report, secondary effluent color increased in late 2002. In November 2002, secondary effluent color variability began to increase. The contributing source(s) were not readily evident. Out of the 15 sewer and process areas measured daily, there were no measured sources that were statistically out of control except for the Pine Eo filtrate, and that influent contribution was less than 5,000 lbs/day over the in-control average. Two major sewer areas, the Bleach Plant Filtrate Acid Sewer and the Hardwood Brownstock/Digester Area Sewer were actually operating below their average level of performance. The unaccounted color averaged about 23,000 lbs/day for the month(compared to a 2002 YTD average of approximately 10,000 lbs/day). A thorough review of all sewered, color-contributing sources revealed that the hardwood screen rejects were not being quantified in the daily in-mill color analysis. Data has been collected and the average color contribution from the hardwood screen rejects is 3,000 lbs/day. This source has been a small portion of the mill's unaccounted color since 1996; therefore, it is not a significant contribution to the elevated unaccounted color seen during this period. Further, the Wastewater Treatment Plant Color removal effect was dropping. Elevated unaccounted color and reduced WWTP color removal are indicators that support the presence of Sewer Generated Color(SGC), yet closure was averaging 77% and the color contribution from the Bleach Plant Filtrates, the historical pre-cursors of SGC, were running below average as illustrated in Figure 2 below. 10 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina Monthly Average Color In the Bleach Plant Acid Sewer Jan•02 through Jan•03 16000 14000 i 12000 a 10000 U 8000 6000 4000 4 9 ' t Color 6A Figure 2 As the Canton Mill has reduced releases of brown colored material, a greater percentage of the primary influent color has become unaccounted color. Color is a pH dependent parameter and Blue Ridge is in un-charted territory with such low brown color effluents and the BFRTM technology. The result of increasing the pH of an acidic bleach plant filtrate in the laboratory shows a visually significant increase in color. The Sewer Generated Color phenomenon has been duplicated on the bench in multiple studies and the National Council on Air and Stream Improvement (NCASI) supports that color is a pH dependent phenomenon. Sewer Generated Color does not disappear when the pH is adjusted from alkaline back to neutral conditions. Duke University graduate level internship and thesis studies performed at the Canton Mill in 19941 and 19952 showed, on average, Sewer Generated Color for Pine D1 filtrate was an increase of 32-47% above the original sample color and Sewer Generated Color for Hardwood Dl filtrate was 64-88%. Regarding WWTP color removal, data suggested 1 `A Laboratory Analysis of Color Removal Across a Pulp and Paper Mill Wastewater Treatment Facility" by Aimee Winter McCord 2 "A Laboratory Analysis of the Color Removal Mechanism Occurring Across the Wastewater Treatment Plan"by Chad Salisbury 11 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina some hardwood Sewer Generated Color may be removable across the WWTP (3% reduction in color after WWTP process), but pine filtrates showed an average increase in color of21% in the simulated WWTP process. Data from this study show brown source color removal up to 70% and the long-term average color removal across the WWTP from primary influent to secondary effluent is 25%. The annual Color Pies showing the breakdown of mill sewers compared to primary influent color support the presence of Sewer Generated Color as unaccounted color has averaged 25% (19,081 lbs/day) since 1996. Of this 25%, the hardwood screen rejects contribute a small amount(currently about 2,700 lbs/day). The period from November 2002 through April 2003 is evidence that specific interactions and operational conditions can significantly intensify the Sewer Generated Color effect. Bench scale studies are planned to better understand the various types and magnitudes of the major interaction effects pinpointed during the period of elevated color. It is recognized that these conditions may change and new effects may need to be studied in the future. Figure 3 below shows the trend of increasing unaccounted color and decreasing WWTP color removal that began in November 2002. 12 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina Unaccounted Color and WWTP Color Removal % 30000 Monthly Averages: Jan-02 through Feb-03 35.00% T Y 9 9 v 25000 30.00% a n 25.00%0 g 20000 c 20.00%z 4 15000 3 15.00%0 01 10000 d u 10.00%0 5000 5.00% 0 0.00% Ca 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ti Q Q co O 2 c) —�--Unaccounted Color +WWTP Color Removal °/u Figure 3 The trend of increasing unaccounted color and simultaneous decreasing WWTP color removal continued in December and a Color Team was formed including representatives from Operations, Environmental and the Technical Manufacturing Support group. This team initially audited the color measurement system as well as monitored sewer areas and related instrumentation for accuracy as well as potential unmeasured sources of color. When there were no anomalies discovered, the team focused on analyzing process parameters for shifts and deviations that could contribute to elevated color. Processes in the Fiberlines and Recovery area were reviewed in most detail while deviations from the Paper Machines were also considered. The Pine Bo filtrate was consistently the only color source that was running above its upper control limit but the causes were unlmown. Multiple statistical analyses were performed including CUSUMs or Cumulative Sum charts to identify if, in fact, statistically significant shifts were occurring. While there 13 . October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton, North Carolina were several process parameters that were discovered to be operating outside their normal ranges of variability, the most notable shifts were seen in the Fiberlines. Specifically, the Pine Fiberline Bleach Plant and the Hardwood Fiberline Pre-Bleach and Dl (first D) stages. Additional statistical studies were performed and targets were established for the above parameters as well as others, based on early 2002 when the color performance was in the 36,000—39,000 lbs/day range. As the Fiberlines began reaching the established targets, the unaccounted color remained elevated. During the latter part of 2002, the variability in the White Liquor strength and solids increased. This change was believed to be negatively impacting the Fiberline operations by causing increased carryover into the bleach plants. These issues corresponded to the decreased color performance seen beginning in November 2002. Elevated White Liquor solids were then identified as an interaction effect contributing to elevated secondary effluent and unaccounted color and this parameter was added to the Daily Color Monitoring list. Also during late 2002, the quality of purchased lime for the Causticizing operation was compromised due to flooding and other issues with the Mill's normal lime supplier. Negotiations with additional lime suppliers are ongoing to improve the quality of purchased lime. Upon startup from the Cold Mill Outage in April 2003, unaccounted color increased even further to the 35,000—40,000 lbs/day range from pre-Cold Mill levels in the 20,000 lbs/day range. Pine Eo filtrate color was back below the in-control average yet unaccounted color was still high. Detailed Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) Factorials were performed in an effort to determine which factors and combinations of factors were affecting secondary effluent color and unaccounted color significantly. For these analyses, an alpha of.05 was used. The results of the ANOVAs proved that there were multiple statistically significant main effects and interaction effects "responsible" for the elevated secondary effluent color and unaccounted color. This means that the effect impacting the dependent variables (secondary effluent and unaccounted color)was not 14 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina doing so by chance. The interaction effects involve relationships between certain parameters that significantly affect color. Subtle operational changes made in late 2002 had triggered a major Sewer Generated color problem and greater than 30 effects, including main and interaction effects, were pinpointed. The most significant main effects were BFRTM Closure,Pulp Mill Flow and Hardwood Pre-Bleach Conductivity. There were numerous significant interaction effects, some including up to four interacting factors, which is evidence of the problem's complex nature. To determine if the effects had been present during periods of"good" color performance, ANOVAs were performed on those periods as well. The only main effect that was statistically significant in impacting secondary effluent color from January 2002—July 2002 was Closure and there were no main effects nor interaction effects that were statistically significant for unaccounted color during the period of good color performance. As a result of the ANOVA studies, a daily color monitoring information report was created which tracks the color-impacting parameters via targets and 30-day trends. Closure was the most significant main effect contributing to elevated secondary effluent color. Given the increase in bleach plant filtrate that reaches the mill sewer when closure rates are low, there is a larger volume of low pH material available to undergo the Sewer Generated Color effect. Because it has been shown that Sewer Generated Color is not removed across the Wastewater Treatment Plant, lower closure rates translate into a measurable increase in secondary effluent color. In addition to being a main effect, closure was a statistically significant color-impacting variable in 13 different interaction effects as well. Pulp Mill flow was the second most significant main effect contributing to elevated secondary effluent color. Similar to closure, elevated flow from the Pulp Mill is likely to be low pH material, which is a pre-cursor for Sewer Generated Color. Hardwood Pre-Bleach Conductivity is the measure of conductivity from a pulp filtrate sample taken off of the Pre-Bleach washer. Elevated conductivity indicates increased carryover into that stage. Increased carryover from the pre-bleach stage can affect the 15 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina first stage of bleaching (D1),potentially requiring elevated acid usage on the D 1 stage. This was observed during the period of elevated color and was also a statistically significant main effect and interaction effect in the ANOVA analyses. Elevated acid use in the bleach plant could intensify the Sewer Generated Color effect by further reducing PH. Also, it was believed that start-up of the entire mill from the Cold Mill outage required adequate time to reach stable operation. This stable operation was not achieved until mid-May. Challenges from the Cold Mill start-up had to be managed before the targets from the ANOVA Factorial analyses could properly be incorporated into the daily operation. At this point unaccounted color and secondary effluent color finally began reaching normal ranges. Incorporation of the results from the ANOVA studies into the Daily Color Monitoring Information report has proven to be a useful tool for color management at the Canton Mill. It is recognized that the conditions causing these effects may change in the future and new effects may need to be studied/evaluated. Since the Daily Color Monitoring Information report has been in use, the average secondary effluent color has dropped from 49,0241bs/day (average during November 2002 through April 2003 period of elevated color) to 42,669 lbs/day. The Canton Mill is utilizing this new tool and will continue to use and develop innovative tools for troubleshooting color in the future. 16 October 1, 2003 Report Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Canton,North Carolina V. Statistical Analysis of Data The average secondary effluent color from December 2001 through August 2003, excluding the period of elevated secondary effluent and unaccounted color, is 39,833 lbs/day. Based on a statistical evaluation of the mill's monthly average color performance, for the same period, the achievable secondary effluent color using a 95`h percentile distribution is 43,189 lbs/day. The 2002 annual average secondary effluent color was 41,171 lbs/day. Blue Ridge is committed to continued color performance improvements and recommends an annual average secondary effluent limit of 42,000 lbs/day. Blue Ridge recommends a monthly average effluent limit of 52,000 lbs/day based on the color challenges encountered in the past year. Data for the December 2001 through August 2003 period is attached to this report. 17 Blue Ridge Paper Products Inc. Monthly Average Secondary Effluent Color: Dec-02 through Aug-03 Attachment 1: October 1, 2003 Report Monthly Average Ibs/day Month Secondary Effluent Color Dec-01 36,821 Jan-02 39,040 Feb-02 39,870 Mar-02 37,886 Apr-02 42,477 Monthly Average Ibs/day May-02 42,458 Secondary Effluent Color Excluding Nov-02 -Apr-03 Jun-02 41,312 Dec-01 36821 Jul-02 41,686 Jan-02 39,040 Aug-02 40,750 Feb-02 39,870 Sep-02 39,480 Mar-02 37,886 Oct-02 36,382 Apr-02 42,477 Nov-02 48,014 May-02 42,458 Dec-02 44,701 Jun-02 41,312 Jan-03 51,269 Jul-02 41,686 Feb-03 48,324 Aug-02 40,750 Mar-03 50,412 Sep-02 39,480 Apr-03 51,423 Oct-02 36,382 May-03 40,955 May-03 40,955 Jun-03 42,458 Jun-03 42,458 Jul-03 44,734 Jul-03 44,734 Aug-03 42,527 Aug-03 42,527 2002 average 41,174 95th percentile 43,189 2003 ytd average 46,513 period average 40,591 95th percentile for 2003 51,369