HomeMy WebLinkAbout20200555 Ver 1_U-5808 Forecast Final_1272017_20200426Final Forecast
NCDOT State TIP Project No. U-5808
Chestnut Lane Connector Forecast
1 \
PREPARED FOR
Union County
JANUARY 2017
PREPARED BY
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January 26, 2016 Vlib.
MEMORANDUM TO: Michael Wray, PE
Project Planning Engineer, Western Region
Project Development & Environmental Analysis Unit
North Carolina Department of Transportation
FROM: Taruna Tayal
VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
SUBJECT: Traffic Forecast for U-5808 (Chestnut Lane Connector), Union County
Please find attached the 2016 / 2040 Traffic Forecast for the above mentioned project. TIP Project No.
U-5808 is proposed as Chestnut Lane Connector from SR 1367 (Matthews -Indian Trail Road) to Gribble
Road in Indian Trail, North Carolina. The 0.33-mile project is located in Union County (NCDOT Division
10) within the Town of Indian Trail. The portion of the Connector from Gribble Road to SR 1109 (Old
Monroe Road) is being constructed as a separate project. This forecast covers the entire Chestnut Lane
Connector from SR 1009 (Old Monroe Road) to SR 1367 (Matthews Indian Trail) and beyond to US 74
(Independence Boulevard); it also includes the parallel route of SR 1008 (Indian Trail Road) between the
same extents. Subject project TIP U-5808 is in the current 2016-2025 STIP and is not included in the
CRTPO 2040 MTP list. This project lies within the Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Authority
(CRTPO). This forecast has been reviewed and approved by the Transportation Planning Branch on
January 17, 2017.
Stuart L. Basham (NCDOT-Division 10 Planning Engineer), Sean Epperson, PE (Division Traffic Engineer)
and Rox Burhans, AICP (Senior Planner - Town of Indian Trail) were consulted during the development of
this forecast.
The following scenarios are provided in this forecast:
1. 2016 Base Year No -Build
2. 2016 Base Year Build
3. 2040 Future Year No -Build (Fiscally UnConstrained)
4. 2040 Future Year Build (Idealized and Representative of Superstreet) (Fiscally UnConstrained)
5. 2040 Future Year No -Build (Fiscally Constrained)
6. 2040 Future Year Build (Idealized and Representative of Superstreet) (Fiscally Constrained)
Fiscal Constraint: Within an MPO, the future year forecasts assume construction of projects as listed
within the MPO's Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP, previously called LRTP). This forecast is
consistent with CRTPO current MTP, adopted (April 2014) and fiscally unconstrained projects listed in
4000 WestChase Boulevard
Suite 530
Engineers I Scientists I Planners I Designers Raleigh, North Carolina 27607
P 919.829.0328
F 919.833.0034
Michael Wray
Ref: 38588.00
January 26, 2017
Page 2
I
the Union County Transportation Plan dated July 2014. Projects in the MTP which may affect this facility
include:
a. SR 1008 (Indian Trail Road Widening)
b. R-3329/R-2559: Monroe Connector/Bypass
c. U-2509B: US 74 (Independence Boulevard)
d. U-3467C: NC 84 (Weddington Road Widening)
e. U-4714: SR 1009 (Old Monroe Road) Superstreet Conversion
Future Conditions and Development Activity: No specific information was provided regarding planned
and approved developments in the area. Therefore, it was assumed that the growth and development
proposed in the MRM15v1.1 is correct. The socioeconomic data from the model was not revised during
the development of this forecast.
Forecast Methodology: The Base Year No -Build traffic forecasts were developed primarily based upon
traffic counts taken for this forecast, and available historic traffic counts information. The Design Year 2040
traffic forecasts are developed based upon the modeling results, existing traffic data, as well as the expected
traffic pattern change. The MRM15v1.1 (developed in April 2016) was used as a tool in the development of
the traffic forecasts.
Interpolation: To determine any intermediate years straight-line interpolation may be used. AADT
volumes may be extrapolated for up to two years immediately following 2040. If it is determined that any
of these assumptions have become inconsistent with the project and surrounding area activity, please
request updated projections at this location.
For future reference this forecast will be saved in Project Store in the Long RangePlanning\ Traffic
Forecasts folder, under project U-5808.
If you have any questions or I can be of further assistance, please do not hesitate to call me at
919.741.5525, or e-mail me at ttayal@vhb.com.
cc: (via e-mail as PDF attachments):
Glen Mumford, PE, Highway Design Branch
Keith G. Dixon, PE, State Traffic Forecast Engineer, Transportation Planning Branch
James Dunlop, PE, Congestion Management
Clark Morrison, PhD, PE, Pavement Management
Stuart L. Basham, Division 10 Planning Engineer
Brian M. Wert, PE, Western Planning Group Supervisor, TPB
File Copy: U-5808 Union
\\vhh\proj\Raleigh\38588.00 M&H U-5808 Chestnut
Lane\NCDOT\Traffic\Forecasting\Report\Report Final 1262017\U-5808 Coverletter.docx
P
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SR 1009 SR 1368
(Old Monroe Road) (Gribble Road) Matthews Indian Trail Road
191 t4��rl
53
ChestnuChestnut LaneLane ConnectorWilliams 592 — -------------
Rescue RoadPnn 11 �1- 65 Park Road W
7 —�6
240 a1N 30 3
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— 113
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(3,1)
213 N
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ss (3,1) 712
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34
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a r`i
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(Southfork Road)
55 M 7
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SR 1372
(Park Road E)
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(3,1)
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(2,1)
— 2 —
Chestnut
Parkway
US 74
(Independence Boulevard)
N 0
596 ° a v
*AADT includes
U-turn volume
ut of 100
1�
1
594 dla
55 —7 556M 7
(3,1) 50 } I � 42 (3,1)
125 2 �► 130 —
SR 1008 21� 434
(Indian Trail Road)
90 °
a v
u,
SR 1367
(Unionville Indian Trail Road)
2016 Average Annual Daily Traffic
L E G E N D
Indian
6UI
18
K PAD
(d, t)
Trail Unionville
###
No. of Vehicles per Day
PM
PM Peak Hour
intongq
Mineral 75
Monroe-� hv' Ile
—
VPD in 100s Forecast
( ) (Forecast)(
Existing Roadway
D
Peak Hour Directional Split )
o Indicates Direction of D
Springs
--
Proposed Roadway
(d,t)
Duals, TTSTs (%)
wa�xhaw
K
Design Hour Factor (%)
[200
X
Movement Prohibited
07 60,
1-
Less than 50 VPD
557
a v
US 74
(Independence Boulevard)
P
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E
N
D
No -Build Alternative
(Scenario 1) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808
COUNTY: Union
DATE: 1/26/2017
WBS: 32572.1
DIVISION: 10
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from
SR 1009 (Old Monroe Rd) to US 74 (Independence Blvd)
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
S
T
A
R
T
SR 1009
SR 1368
(Old Monroe Road)
(Gribble Road)
Matthews Indian
Trail Road
216
14
a a
74
a1M
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d1N
Chestnut Lane PM
Lane 2V �82
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7
Connector (3,1)
53,11
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7 P"" 30
498 P—�60
31�
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46
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(3,1)
7
(3,1)
N
Park Road W
243
V
79 °v
3 a M
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6V i25
128 72
ss--*-,1 7
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221 N
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121
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SR 1371
SR 1372
(Southfork Road)
(Park Road E)
55 —PM 7
(3,1)
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95
a d
SR 1367
(Unionville Indian Trail Road)
2016 Average Annual Daily Traffic
L E G E N D
74 �Faview
5ta l l i ngs
601
PM
Indian 18
K D
(d, t)
Trail Unionville
### No. of Vehicles per Day
PM
PM Peak Hour
in ton 84 Marsh ills
u,
(VPD) in 100s (Forecast)
D
Peak Hour Directional Split (%)
Mineral 75 Monroe ^
— Existing Roadway
o Indicates Direction of D
Springs
-- Proposed Roadway
(d,t)
Duals, TTSTs (%)
Waxhaw
K
Design Hour Factor (%)
200
X
Movement Prohibited
07 sn,
1-
Less than 50 VPD
US 74
(Independence Boulevard)
r, — 0
556'
PM
a v
*AADT includes
U-turn volume
7-� 60 of 100
(31) 6�
136
Chestnut 681
Parkway
P
a V R
554 O
ss--ili PM 7
(3,1)
50 7
127
SR 1008 20 434
(Indian Trail Road)
527 d1a
US 74
(Independence Boulevard)
J
E
C
122 T
PM
56�t7
)
E
N
D
Build Alternative
(Scenario 2) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808 I WBS: 32572.1
COUNTY: Union I DIVISION: 10
DATE: 1/26/2017
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from
SR 1009 (Old Monroe Rd) to US 74 (Independence Blvd)
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
S
T
A
R
T
SR 1009 Matthews Indian
(Old Monroe Road) Trail Road
I N Gribble Road I
358
4—a
102
k
4 Williams
Rescue Road
PM
7 P�
04
11 (14,1)6s
(3,1)
N
444 4-21i
55--* PM 7
6V
i130
304
399
469
44�
Indian Trail 1�
ss fPM 7
Road
�� 40
Chestnut Lane a�e 12 PM�6
(2,1)
Connector
— — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 16
Park Road W i 10 Chestnut
I Parkway
u,
y'-e
�
28 6 a m 44 0
PM PM
�1 $5�1� 7 � 55�7 2V �O
429 429
US 74
I
546*
a a
8�
1
544
a a
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55 �7 N
15V t0
325
50 6 6 96 8 SR 1008
(Indian Trail Road)
(4,1>
14
112
68
a�V
a�v
367
a1N
I
u,
I �
SR 1009
SR 1371
SR 1372
Unionville Indian
(Old Monroe Road)
(Southfork Road)
(Park Road E)
Trail Road
M i nera
Spring:
Waxhaw
Un
2040 Average Annual Daily Traffic
Unconstrained
L E G E N D
### No. of Vehicles per Day
(VPD) in 100s (Forecast)
Existing Roadway
PM
K (d I D
PM
PM Peak Hour
D
Peak Hour Directional Split (%)
o
Indicates Direction of D
(d,t)
Duals, TTSTs (%)
K
Design Hour Factor (%)
X
Movement Prohibited
1-
Less than 50 VPD
0
*AADT includes
U-turn volume
of 100
K AADT includes
Left Turn U-turn
volume of 100
,hi �
72 _4 55 PM 7
7un (3,1)
458
a�a
US 74
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
E
N
D
No -Build Alternative
(Scenario 3) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808
COUNTY: Union
DATE: 1/26/2017
WBS: 32572.1
DIVISION: 10
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from
SR 1009 (Old Monroe Road) to US 74
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
S
T
A
R
T
SR 1009
Matthews Indian
(Old Monroe Road)
Gribble Road
Trail Road
US 74
Chestnut 363
20
a a 87
426
a�a
N
Lane a M
rl
d1�
Chestnut Lane PM
PM�60
1�
�50
°'
i8
7 60
Connector (3)
5V
28
7
(3,1)
6V
'^
— 103
--
168 —
——
— —
— — — —- 186- — — —
— ——
158
7 70 �
r102
7
18�
434
6�
r4
Chestnut
(3M)►60
(P-3M�60
94�
Park Road W
Parkway
468 a1�
58 i N
6
15 ��
456
1
^
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134 87
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297
297
194
70� 54
Indian Trail
.�
19 � 437
6 i i 6
98� i q
SR 1008
40� ' 18
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55f-7
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c
ID
r
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(Indian Trail Road)
371 a�m
64 d N
rl
14 a `
104 a�a
396
d
^
SR 1009
SR 1371
SR 1372
SR 1367
US 74
(Old Monroe Road)
(Southfork Road)
(Park Road E)
(Unionville Indian Trail Road)
(Independence Boulevard)
2040 Average Annual Daily Traffic
Unconstrained
L E G E N D
Indian
6UI
18
K PAD
(d, t)
Trail
Unionville
###
No. of Vehicles per Day
PM
PM Peak Hour
in ton gq
ille
VPD in 100s Forecast
( ) (Forecast)
D
Peak Hour Directional
Mineral 7S
�Marshv,
Monroe
—
Existing Roadway
Split (%)
Springs
--
Proposed Roadway
Po Indicates Direction of D
waxhaw
(d,t)
Duals, TTSTs (%)
200
K
Design Hour Factor (%)
07 60,
X
Movement Prohibited
1-
Less than 50 VPD
126
ss fPM 7
(3,1)
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
E
N
D
Build Alternative
(Scenario 4 - Idealized) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808
COUNTY: Union
DATE: 1/26/2017
WBS: 32572.1
DIVISION: 10
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from SR
1009 (Old Monroe Road) to US 74
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
S
T
A
R
T
SR 1009 Matthews Indian US 74
(Old Monroe Road) Gribble Road Trail Road
Chestnut 363 2 20 87 426
T1/ a a a a
Lane a rNri a N Chestnut Lane 7 PM 60 7 PM�60
1� �50 °' i8 Connector (31) 5V �28 (3,1) 32
103 -- 168 — ——— — — — — —- 186- — — — — —— 158
7 (3M)►60 70 � r102 7 (PM -'0'60 18� 434 6� r4 Chestnut 94�
N Park Road W Parkway 32 520
^
I N
45 -1 a�=
468 58 6 a1V 15 a
610
134 } 87 ss �7 5 } 45 ss �M 7PM 3�
./ (3.1) ./ (3,1) J2�2 55 7 11 } �2 ° ss�3M) 7 4� 6 �45
302 239 297 297 194
pM 70 S4 Indian Trail 19Z ' 37 SR 1008 98 i - 34
66-7
(3,1) Road o (Indian Trail 77 614 31
^ Road) °
371 N 64 14 104 77
6 N N
32
396 a a
I ^_
SR .009 SR 1371 SR 1372 SR 1367 US 74
(Old Monroe Road) (Southfork Road) (Park Road E) (Unionville Indian Trail Road) (Independence Boulevard)
M i nera
Spring:
Waxhaw
Un
2040 Average Annual Daily Traffic
Unconstrained
L E G E N D
### No. of Vehicles per Day
(VPD) in 100s (Forecast)
Existing Roadway
--- Proposed Roadway
PM
K (d I D
PM PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional
Split (%)
j Indicates Direction of D
(d,t) Duals, TTSTs (%)
K Design Hour Factor (%)
X Movement Prohibited
1- Less than 50 VPD
P
R
O
J
E
126 C
ssf3M 7
(3,1) T
E
N
D
Build Alternative
(Scenario 4 - Representative) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808
COUNTY: Union
DATE: 1/26/2017
WBS: 32572.1
DIVISION: 10
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from SR
1009 (Old Monroe Road) to US 74
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
S
T
A
R
T
SR 1009 Matthews Indian
(Old Monroe Road) Trail Road
I N Gribble Road 1
a,
364 d a 28
+8_ 4—a
Chestnut Lane 12 PM
— 96 4 — Williams — — — — —— —Hector — — — — — -— 10 24
Rescue Road
11 PM Park Road W i 14 Chestnut
65
7 P—�6(14,1)'- Parkway
un 4_1`6
� a v
424 i N 37 un 3 i m 32
�V Un
55 �M7 PM PM
6� �0 (31) 1� 4 ss 1) 7 ss ) 1V �4
150 172 176 176
US 74
I
478*
a v
12
12-�
1
476
a a
u,
55 �7 N
4V �22
154
38 44 Indian Trail 16 28 4 4 56 30 SR 1008
s$�PM 7 Road (Indian Trail Road)
(4,1)
0
9
94
57
a
a
362 N
I
V
v
u,
I �
SR 1009
SR 1371
SR 1372
Unionville Indian
(Old Monroe Road)
(Southfork Road)
(Park Road E)
Trail Road
M i nera
Spring:
Waxhaw
Un
2040 Average Annual Daily Traffic
Fiscally Constrained
L E G E N D
### No. of Vehicles per Day
(VPD) in 100s (Forecast)
Existing Roadway
PM
K (d I D
PM
PM Peak Hour
D
Peak Hour Directional Split (%)
o
Indicates Direction of D
(d,t)
Duals, TTSTs (%)
K
Design Hour Factor (%)
X
Movement Prohibited
1-
Less than 50 VPD
0
*AADT includes
U-turn volume
of 100
K AADT includes
Left Turn U-turn
volume of 100
� 121
40 36 55 PM 7
7un (3,1)
489
a�a
US 74
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
E
N
D
No -Build Alternative
(Scenario 5) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808
COUNTY: Union
DATE: 1/26/2017
WBS: 32572.1
DIVISION: 10
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from
SR 1009 (Old Monroe Road) to US 74
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
R
O
J
E
C
T
S
T
A
R
T
SR 1009 Matthews Indian US 74
(Old Monroe Road) Gribble Road Trail Road
Chestnut 347 17 a a 79 428 a�a
N rl
Lane a M d1� Chestnut Lane 7 PM 60 7 PM�60
2� �16 °' �13 Connector (31) 7V k4 (31> 6�
108 -- 206 — ——— — — — — —- 245- — — — — —— 162
7 (3M)►60 6/ 4122 7 (P-3M�60 6� + 34 15� + 2 Chestnut 96
Park Road W Parkway
447 d1� 42 i N 3 18 I �� 458
1/TT1� � 1 ^ my alum, a
101 50 ss �7 6 28 ss �M 7 ~ PM � ss fPM 7
(3,1) - (3,1) s5�7 10 } (3,1) 5a) � j7
Ad Ilk A
164 107 137
PM 7736 Indian Trail 23� 431 4� r 4
ss �7 Road (3,1) c
h ID r
rl
N
374 id
62 9 a
6 N i
SR 1009 SR 1371 SR 1372
(Old Monroe Road) (Southfork Road) (Park Road E)
137 114
53� • 436 SR 1008 24� rr32
(Indian Trail Road)
Io
93 i a
SR 1367
(Unionville Indian Trail Road)
2040 Average Annual Daily Traffic
Fiscally Constrained
L E G E N D
Indian
6UI
18
K PAD
(d, t)
Trail
Unionville
###
No. of Vehicles per Day
PM
PM Peak Hour
in ton gq
ille
VPD in 100s Forecast
( ) (Forecast)
D
Peak Hour Directional
Mineral 7S
�Marshv,
Monroe
—
Existing Roadway
Split (%)
Springs
--
Proposed Roadway
Po Indicates Direction of D
waxhaw
(d,t)
Duals, TTSTs (%)
200
K
Design Hour Factor (%)
07 60,
X
Movement Prohibited
1-
Less than 50 VPD
403
a�a
^
US 74
(Independence Boulevard)
125
SS�PM
7
(3,1)
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
E
N
D
Build Alternative
(Scenario 6 - Idealized) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808
COUNTY: Union
DATE: 1/26/2017
WBS: 32572.1
DIVISION: 10
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from SR
1009 (Old Monroe Road) to US 74
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
P
R
O
J
E
C
T
S
T
A
R
T
SR 1009 Matthews Indian US 74
(Old Monroe Road) Gribble Road Trail Road
Chestnut 347 17 a 79 v 428 a a
N � •i
Lane a M d N Chestnut Lane PM 7 PM�60
2� �66 �13 Connector 7 (3�60 7V �4 (3'1) 33
108 -- 206 — ——— — — — — —— 245- — — — — —— 162
7 (3M)►60 6/ r122 7 (P-3M�60 6"* + 34 10 + 2 Chestnut 96
N Park Road W Parkway 33 524
^
I N
a m a N �� 34 a�=
447 42 3 V 18 a1i
592
101 50 ss �7 6 28 ss �M 7 PM 1�
.� (3.1) .� (3,1) s57 10 } �4 ° ss�3M) 7 2� �57 �34
164 107 137 137 114 ��•
pM 42 36 Indian Trail 23 ` 31 4 SR 1008 53� '6 24� �6
55 � 7
(3,1) Road o (Indian Trail 45 559 18
Road) °'
374 N 62 9 93 45
N 33
396 a a
I ^_
SR .009 SR 1371 SR 1372 SR 1367 US 74
(Old Monroe Road) (Southfork Road) (Park Road E) (Unionville Indian Trail Road) (Independence Boulevard)
M i nera
Spring:
Waxhaw
Un
2040 Average Annual Daily Traffic
Fiscally Constrained
L E G E N D
### No. of Vehicles per Day
(VPD) in 100s (Forecast)
Existing Roadway
--- Proposed Roadway
PM
K (d I D
PM PM Peak Hour
D Peak Hour Directional
Split (%)
j Indicates Direction of D
(d,t) Duals, TTSTs (%)
K Design Hour Factor (%)
X Movement Prohibited
1- Less than 50 VPD
P
R
O
J
E
125 C
ssf3M 7
(3,1) T
E
N
D
Build Alternative
(Scenario 6 - Representative) SHEET 1 OF 1
TIP: U-5808
COUNTY: Union
DATE: 1/26/2017
WBS: 32572.1
DIVISION: 10
PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.
LOCATION: SR 1362 (Chestnut Lane Connector) from SR
1009 (Old Monroe Road) to US 74
PROJECT: Chestnut Lane Connector
485
m
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