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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1812_DukeMarshall_ModelingSupport_FID1616244_20211005(' DUKE ENERGY-. October 5, 2021 North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality Division of Waste Management Solid Waste Section 1646 Mail Service Center Raleigh, North Carolina 28778 Attn: Ms. Sarah Moutos (submitted electronically) Re: Groundwater Model Tech Memo Submittal Permit to Construct Modification — Industrial Landfill No. 1 Phase 2 Expansion Permit No.: 1812-INDUS-2008 Marshall Steam Station Terrell, North Carolina 28682 Dear Ms. Moutos: 526 South Church St. Charlotte, NC 28202 Mailing Address P.O. Box 1006 Mail Code EC 13K. Charlotte, NC 28201-1006 717-982-0986 This submittal includes the groundwater modeling tech memo, prepared by SynTerra Corporation (SynTerra) on behalf of Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC (Duke Energy), with the subject: Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications. Groundwater modeling was completed by SynTerra to support design modifications included in the Permit to Construct (PTC) Modification Request for the Marshall Steam Station Industrial Landfill No.1 (1812-INDUS-2008) Phase 2 expansion. Upon completion of the modeling evaluation in early September 2021, an overview of the groundwater model setup and results were presented by SynTerra during a meeting between the Solid Waste Section (Section), Duke Energy, and SynTerra on September 9, 2021. The modeling presentation and AQUAVEO GMS MODFLOW modeling files were submitted to the Section as part of the overall PTC Modification Request submittal package for review on September 9, 2021 and September 14, 2021, respectively. Although approval for the Permit to Construct design modifications has been issued by the Section in a letter titled Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modification, Approval and dated September 17, 2021, Duke Energy is submitting the this tech memo to complete the PTC Modification Request submittal package. Additionally, this tech memo provides further detail on the groundwater modeling set up, methods and depiction of results. If you have any questions or need any clarification regarding this submittal, please contact me at (717) 982-0986 or by email at Ashley.Albert(a�duke-energy.com. Respectfully submitted, 4f Ashley Albert, P.G. Environmental Services Attachments: ILF Phase 2 PTC Mod. Modeling Support (SynTerra, 2021) cc (via e-mail): Ben Jackson, NCDEQ Larry Frost, NCDEQ Ed Mussler, NCDEQ Sherri Stanley, NCDEQ www.duke-energy.com Page 1 of 2 Kyle Baucom, Duke Energy Johnathan Ebenhack, SynTerra Chris Varner, Duke Energy Ryan Czop, Duke Energy Bryson Allison, Duke Energy Ed Sullivan, Duke Energy www.duke-energy.com Page 2 of 2 L� synTerra Date: October 5, 2021 Science & Engineering Consultants 148 River St., Suite 220, Greenville, SC 29601 1864.421.9999 TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM File: 0083.46.02 To: Ashley Albert, P.G. NSF Cc: Kathy Webb, P.G. (SynTerra) SEA. n i 272� '� a From: Johnathan Ebenhack, P.G., Senior Project Scientist FQL0r,7`�_ �aZ' Thomas Colton, Project Manager - Craig Eady, Senior Peer Review A4811 - Subject: Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Con truct Modifications This technical memorandum presents results from modeling to support the Industrial Landfill (ILF) Phase 2 Cell 5 Permit to Construct (PTC) modifications for the Marshall Steam Station (Marshall or Site) (Figure 1). At the request of Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC (Duke Energy), SynTerra Corporation (SynTerra) conducted groundwater flow modeling to evaluate the performance and operational life of a proposed blanket underdrain beneath Cell 5 of the ILF Phase 2. The proposed blanket underdrain would be constructed to control groundwater elevations below Cell 5 of the ILF Phase 2. Model results indicate the estimated steady-state flowrate to the blanket underdrain is approximately 18 gallons per minutes (gpm). Transient simulations indicate that the initial flowrate to the Cell 5 blanket underdrain can potentially exceed 100 gpm but that flowrates to the underdrain will significantly decrease within a short period of time (days to months) and will continue to decrease over time (within the first year). Simulation results indicate that the Cell 5 blanket underdrain will stop receiving flow after approximately 1.5 years after operation begins. Furthermore, this evaluation indicates that the proposed underdrains beneath the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions are capable of maintaining groundwater elevations low enough in the Phase 2 Cell 5 footprint to prevent reactivation of the Cell 5 blanket underdrain. METHODS The groundwater flow models used to evaluate the performance and operational life of the proposed blanket underdrain beneath Cell 5 include a current conditions steady- state flow model, a steady-state current conditions model with the proposed Cell 5 synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 2 of 12 blanket underdrain operating, and near -term and long-term predictive transient flow models. MODEL CONSTRUCTION AND CONDITIONS The steady-state decanting flow model presented in Appendix G of the Updated 2019 Corrective Action Plan (CAP) for the Marshall Steam Station (SynTerra, 2019) was modified to conduct the evaluation of the proposed Cell 5 blanket underdrain. Modifications included recent changes at the Site, as of July 2021, to represent current conditions (i.e., material excavation, new drainage features, new recharge distributions, etc.). Current Site conditions were verified by SynTerra during a site walk on August 6, 2021, and from aerial survey data collected by Trans -Ash, Inc. (Trans -Ash) on July 20, 2021. This modified steady-state current conditions model is referred to as the current conditions model hereafter. The current conditions model was further modified to develop the steady-state current conditions model with the proposed Cell 5 blanket underdrain operating (referred to as the steady-state blanket underdrain model), and the predictive transient simulations. The numerical grid used in the models was refined from the steady-state decanting CAP flow model in the horizontal and vertical directions to improve model resolution near the area of interest. The horizontal grid spacing in the area of interest was refined from approximately 50 feet or less in the CAP model to approximately 30 feet or less. The upper layers of the vertical grid, in which the proposed blanket underdrain would be located, were refined to a grid thickness of approximately 5 feet or less. The vertical refinement increased the number of model layers from 21 to 26. Steady -State Current Conditions Mode/ The primary modifications to the CAP model to represent current conditions included edits to the hydraulic features, edits to the recharge distribution, and the inclusion of excavated areas around the Site. Hydraulic features were updated in the simulation to represent conditions in July 2021 (Figure 2). The primary hydraulic features added to the model included: • A drainage feature west of the Cell 5 footprint that directs flow into the MAR-145 stormwater basin (simulated as a drain) • A French drain feature located along the east side of the Cell 6 footprint (simulated as a drain) synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 3 of 12 • Ponded water which formed at the end of the French drain along the east side of Cell 6 (maintained at an elevation of approximately 810 feet; simulated as a general head) • Dewatering ditches installed within the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions to facilitate ash dewatering during excavation (simulated as drains) • Ponded water features in the northeastern area of the Site associated with ash excavation and site construction in the eastern most fingers of the ash basin (simulated as general heads) • A drainage feature that extends north to south located east of the 1804 Phase 2 Landfill that ties into the future MAR-152 stormwater basin (simulated as a drain) • Additional drainage features and ponded water features that have formed in the main ash basin after ash basin decanting (simulated as drains and general heads) Drainage features in the simulations are modeled using the DRAIN package in MODFLOW. Bottom elevations for drain features are set to survey data provided by Trans -Ash and Duke Energy. Drain conductance terms are assumed to be 10 feet squared per day per foot (feetz /day)/(foot). Ponded water features are simulated as general head boundaries with head -stages set to elevations from survey data and provided by Duke Energy. The recharge distribution was modified to current conditions by removing recharge from newly formed ponded water and the lined MAR-145 stormwater basin (Figure 3). To adjust for ongoing Site construction and excavation, the hydraulic conductivity field in the upper layers of the model were modified to represent excavation. Excavated areas were given a high hydraulic conductivity of 100 feet per day (feet/day) to represent excavation. The original model ground surface was compared to the current ground surface obtained from the July 2021 aerial survey data. Material was "removed" from areas where large differences in the two surfaces were identified by adjusting the hydraulic conductivity. This method is similar to that used in the 2019 CAP models to represent ash excavation during closure. Steady -State Current Conditions Model Calibration The current conditions model was calibrated to water -level data from observation wells, newly installed piezometers, and hydraulic test pits in the Cell 5 footprint. Site -wide hydraulic head data was collected from those observation points on July 20 and July 21, 2021. The current conditions model was calibrated by adjusting the hydraulic synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 4 of 12 conductivity field to improve the fit between groundwater -level measurements at observation locations and the computed heads at observation locations. A Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE) of 2.75 percent was achieved for the fit to the observed water -level data and in general a NRMSE of 10 percent or less demonstrates a good fit to the data. Figure 4 shows the computed hydraulic heads compared to the observed hydraulic heads, with those data and the residuals provided in Table 1. The calibrated current conditions model flow field was used as the starting hydraulic heads for the steady-state blanket drain model and the near -term transient models. Steady -State Blanket Underdrain Model The steady-state blanket underdrain model uses the same model setup as the current conditions model but includes the proposed blanket underdrain within the Cell 5 footprint and assumes material has been backfilled within the Cell 5 and Cell 6 ILF expansions (Figure 5). The purpose of the steady-state blanket underdrain model is to estimate the flowrate to the proposed underdrain under current conditions. The Cell 5 blanket underdrain design is based on AECOM's proposed designs provided to SynTerra by Duke Energy on August 20, 2021 (AECOM, 2021). Figure 6 shows the proposed Cell 5 blanket underdrain design. The model only incorporates the blanket stone portion of the underdrain and does not include the underlying connector pipes. This approach was taken since it is a more conservative approach when evaluating reductions in groundwater elevations caused by the proposed blanket underdrain because the underlying connector pipes have a lower elevation than the bottom elevation of the overlying blanket stone. The blanket underdrain is simulated in the model with the DRAIN package in MODFLOW. The simulated drain assumes the drain elevation is the bottom elevation of the blanket underdrain stone bed. The bottom elevation of the proposed blanket underdrain ranges from approximately 828 feet in the northeastern corner to approximately 810 feet within the sump of the drain in the southwestern corner. To simulate the change in elevation along the drain feature, the blanket underdrain is simulated using a series of polygon drain boundaries with bottom elevations corresponding to 1 foot elevation interval changes along the blanket drain (Figure 5). The blanket underdrain feature in the model assumes a conductance of 2 feet squared per day per feet squared (ft2/day)/(ft2). A hydraulic conductivity of 0.5 feet/day was applied to previously excavated regions in Cell 5 and Cell 6 to represent backfill in those areas. To be conservative, this hydraulic conductivity is the lowest value in the range of potential backfill hydraulic conductivity values provided to SynTerra by Duke Energy and AECOM. synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 5 of 12 PREDICTIVE SHORT-TERM TRANSIENT SIMULATION The predictive near -term transient model covers a period of time from current conditions until expected completion of the excavation of the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions. The model accounts for anticipated Site changes and construction activities during this period. The dates for anticipated Site events are conservative estimates of currently planned construction dates. Table 2 shows the anticipated construction activities and estimated dates for the near -term transient model. The near -term transient model described below is referred to as the "near -term base model". Table 2. Anticipated Site Activities/Construction During the Near -Term Transient Model Site Event Approximate Date of Completion Near -Term Transient Model Start 10/1/2021 Blanket Drain Installation 1/1/2022 Cell 5 Liner Installation 6/1/2022 Cell 6 Liner Installation 12/1/2022 Phase 3 through 5 Excavation 12/31/2022 PVSF Cap Installation 4/1/2023 Near -Term Transient Model End 9/30/2023 The near -term base model assumes that excavation and dewatering within the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions occur concurrently in all three phases and that excavation and dewatering occur at a constant rate. Transient drain features were used to simulate dewatering during excavation. The model assumes that the current dewatering ditches for the Phase 3 through 5 excavations are lowered as excavation progresses until they reach the estimated bottom of ash, or the original ground surface elevations. The model assumes the current configuration of the dewatering ditches stays the same throughout their operational life. The configuration of the dewatering ditches is based on observations during the site visit on August 6, 2021 and aerial survey data from Trans - Ash. The initial bottom elevations of the ditches are set to survey data from July 2021, and the elevations are lowered at a linear rate until the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansion excavations are expected to be complete on December 31, 2022. Excavation for the proposed underdrain network for the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions is expected to be completed during the excavation process. The design for the proposed Phase 3 through 5 underdrain is based on AutoCAD files provided to SynTerra by Duke Energy on 8/12/2021. The proposed Phase 3 through 5 underdrains are initially set to the synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 6 of 12 ground surface elevation in the model, and the underdrains are lowered as excavation progresses until the bottom drain elevations are approximately 1 foot below the former stream valley grades. At the beginning of the simulation, the dewatering ditches control most of the groundwater discharge in the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansion area. As the simulation progresses and the proposed Phase 3 through 5 underdrains approach the final bottom elevations located in the historical stream valleys, groundwater discharge transitions primarily to the proposed Phase 3 through 5 underdrain network. Time -dependent hydraulic conductivity fields to represent excavation and material removal are difficult to implement in the Groundwater Modeling System (GMS) software. Therefore, the model assumes that the material/ash in the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions is fully excavated at the start of the simulation. This excavated material/ash is given a high hydraulic conductivity (100 feet/day) to simulate excavation. Additional transient comparison models were developed to evaluate the effect of assuming excavation at the start of the model on the performance and operational life of the Cell 5 blanket underdrain and are discussed below. Additionally, the backfill material in Cell 5 and Cell 6 are assumed to be in place at the start of the model, and this backfill material is given a hydraulic conductivity of 0.5 feet/day. The Cell 5 blanket underdrain is assumed to be completed by January 1, 2022, and is inactive in the model until this date. To simulate placement of the Cell 5 and Cell 6 liner systems, a time -dependent recharge rate was used in the model within the footprint of those two cells. At the start of the model, the recharge rate in the footprints of those two cells is set to the background recharge rate of 0.0018 feet/day. The recharge rate in the footprint of those two cells is then reduced to near zero (1E-7 feet/day) at the dates given in Table 1. The model assumes that the French drain along the east side of Cell 6 and the ponded water that formed at the toe of this French drain are abandoned and no longer active. Figure 7 shows the important hydraulic features and Site changes associated with the near -term base model. Figure 8 shows the recharge distribution for the near -term base model. To be conservative, the model assumes a relatively high specific yield of 0.2 for the saprolite and ash material. In general, the specific yield in saprolite and ash will have the largest effect on the performance and operational life of the Cell 5 blanket underdrain compared to other storage coefficients (i.e., bedrock specific yield, specific storage coefficients). The higher the specific yield the longer it will take the system to equilibrate to dewatering in the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions, and the longer the estimated operational life. The specific yield in the bedrock is assumed to be 0.001. The synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 7 of 12 specific storage coefficients are assumed to range from 0.0001 to 0.00001 with the lowest values in bedrock. The simulated hydraulic heads from the steady-state current conditions model are assumed to be the starting heads for the near -term base model. PREDICTIVE LONG-TERM TRANSIENT SIMULATION The predictive long-term transient model (long-term base model) covers an approximately 16 year period after the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions are fully backfilled with compacted material, and the proposed Phase 3 through 5 ILF underdrain network is permanently installed. The model accounts for anticipated Site changes during this time period. The dates for Site events are conservative estimates of currently planned construction dates. Table 3 shows the anticipated construction activities and estimated dates for the long-term base model. The near -term base model was modified to develop the long-term base model. Table 3. Anticipated Site Activities/Construction During the Long -Term Transient Model Site Event Approximate Date of Completion Long -Term Transient Model Start 10/1/2023 Phase 3 through 5 backfill complete and proposed underdrains installed 10/1/2023 1804 Phase 2 Cap Installation 12/1/2023 Phase 3 Liner Installation 12/1/2024 Phase 4 Liner Installation 5/1/2026 Phase 5 Liner Installation 6/1/2027 Long -Term Transient Model End 1/1/2040 The long-term base model assumes that the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions have been backfilled to accommodate construction of the expansions. The long-term base model also assumes that the proposed Phase 3 through 5 ILF underdrains are operating but that the dewatering ditches from the near -term base model are no longer present. The backfill material was given a hydraulic conductivity of 0.5 feet/day. The remainder of the hydraulic features in the long-term base model are the same as those in the near - term base model (Figure 9). The placement of caps and liner systems are handled in the long-term base model using the same method as the near -term base model. Initial recharge rates in areas where caps synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 8 of 12 or liners are placed during the modeled period are set to the background recharge rate of 0.0018 feet/day and then reduced to near zero (1E-7 feet/day) when the cap or liner is estimated to be completed, as given in Table 3. Figure 10 gives the recharge distribution for the long-term base model. The storage coefficients for the long-term base model are the same as those used in the near -term base model. The simulated hydraulic heads from the end of the near -term base model are assumed to be the starting heads for the long-term base model. TRANSIENT COMPARISON MODELS Additional transient models were run to evaluate the effects of material/ash removal from the Phase 3 through 5 excavation and the long-term seasonal high (LTSH) recharge rate on the performance and operational life of the blanket underdrain. The comparison models evaluating the effects of material/ash removal are referred to as the near -term and long-term non -excavation models. The LTSH recharge comparison models are referred to as the near -term and long-term LTSH models. The near -term non -excavation model is run without any material/ash removed from within the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansion area. All other model conditions and hydraulic features are the same as the near -term base model. The hydraulic heads from the end of the near -term non -excavation model are used as the starting heads in the long-term non -excavation model. No additional changes were made to the long-term base model to develop the long-term non -excavation model except the starting heads for the simulation run. The LTSH comparison models are run using the same model conditions and boundaries as the near -term and long-term base models but with the estimated LTSH recharge rate of 0.0022 feet per day, which is 20 percent greater than the base recharge rate of 0.0018 feet per day. The method for determining an appropriate LTSH recharge rate is documented in the "Long -Term Seasonal High Groundwater Elevation Estimation, Marshall Steam Station" (SynTerra, 2020). RESULTS Results from the steady-state and transient models are presented below. Steady -State Model Results A hydraulic head map with residual error bars showing the approximate groundwater table elevations near the ILF expansions is shown in Figure 11. The calibrated steady- synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 9 of 12 state current conditions model gave a good fit to observed data with a NRMSE of approximately 2.75 percent. Residuals between the computed and observed heads within the area of interest generally were within two feet or less, and heads were generally overestimated by the model. Hydraulic heads from the steady-state blanket underdrain model are presented in Figure 12. The estimated steady-state flowrate to the Cell 5 blanket underdrain is approximately 18 gallons per minutes (gpm). Near -Term and Long -Term Base Model Results Hydraulic head maps showing hydraulic heads 1 month, 1 year, 1.5 years, and 5 years after operation of the proposed Cell 5 blanket underdrain begins are shown in Figure 13. The estimated flowrate to the Cell 5 blanket underdrain is shown in Figure 14. The transient models estimate an initial flowrate to the blanket underdrain of approximately 530 gpm when the underdrain becomes active. The initial estimated flowrate from the simulation is expected to be an overestimate since dewatering in the area will be necessary to install the blanket underdrain, which is not accounted for in the simulation. After approximately 3 days, this estimated flowrate decreases to approximately 100 gpm. After 1 month of drain operation, the flowrate is reduced to approximately 31 gpm. The simulated flowrate to the blanket underdrain continues to decrease over time, and only receives approximately 3 gpm after 1 year of operation. The transient models estimate that the blanket underdrain will stop receiving water after approximately 1.5 years (Figure 14). The long-term base model indicates that groundwater levels are maintained below the bottom elevation of the Cell 5 blanket underdrain after the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansions are backfilled for construction and the proposed Phase 3 through 5 ILF underdrains are installed (Figure 13 and Figure 14). These findings indicate that the proposed Phase 3 through 5 underdrains are capable of maintaining groundwater elevations low enough in the area to prevent reactivation of the Cell 5 blanket underdrain. Transient Comparison Model Results Results from the non -excavation transient models indicate that removal of material/ash has limited effects on the flowrates and operational lifetime of the Cell 5 blanket underdrain (Figure 15). Not removing material/ash from the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansion area results in slightly higher initial flowrates compared to the base transient models. Flowrates after one month of operating the Cell 5 blanket underdrain are synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 10 of 12 approximately 35 gpm and are reduced to approximately 5 gpm after one year of operation. The non -excavation models predict that the blanket underdrain will stop receiving flow after approximately 1.6 years of operation. Those results indicate that the primary reduction in flowrates to the Cell 5 blanket underdrain is the result of dewatering in the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansion area and not the removal of material from the area. The LTSH models show that increased recharge rates have an even more limited effect on the Cell 5 blanket underdrain performance and operational life compared to the effects of not removing material from the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansion area (Figure 16). After approximately 1 month of operation, flowrates to the blanket underdrain have reduced to 32 gpm. After approximately 1 year, the flowrate to the blanket underdrain is reduced to 3 gpm, and the blanket underdrain stops receiving flow after approximately 1.6 years (Figure 16). The effect of the LTSH recharge rate is limited in the area of the ILF expansions due to the installation of liner systems, which reduce the overall recharge in those regions. Phase 3 through 5 Dewatering Ditches/Underdrain Flowrates Figure 17 shows the estimated flowrates to the Phase 3 through 5 ILF expansion dewatering ditches and proposed underdrains. Model results indicate that flowrates to the dewatering ditches and proposed underdrains increase with excavation depth as expected and reach a peak after excavation is completed. As water levels around the excavated area equilibrate, those flowrates decrease with time. The combined simulated flowrate for both the dewatering ditches and proposed Phase 3 through 5 underdrains is initially around 50 gpm. As excavation progresses and the drains are lowered to the original ground surface, the combined flowrate increases to as much as 460 gpm at the end of excavation. Toward the end of the near -term base model, the combined flowrates decrease to approximately 300 gpm. The long-term base model only simulates the permanently installed underdrains, and the estimates for the total flowrate is approximately 250 gpm initially. As Site conditions stabilize, the flowrates in the proposed underdrains approach a steady-state value likely between approximately 125- 150 gpm. synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station ATTACHMENTS: Page 11 of 12 FIGURES: Figure 1- Site Location Map Figure 2 - Current Conditions Model Hydraulic Features Figure 3 - Current Conditions Model Recharge Distribution Figure 4 - Computed versus Observed Hydraulic Heads for Current Conditions Figure 5 - Steady -State Cell 5 Blanket Underdrain Model Hydraulic Features Figure 6 - Proposed Cell 5 Blanket Underdrain Design (AECOM, 2021) Figure 7 - Near -Term Transient Model Hydraulic Features and Model Setup Figure 8 - Near -Term Transient Model Recharge Distribution Figure 9 - Long -Term Transient Model Hydraulic Features and Model setup Figure 10 - Long -Term Transient Model Recharge Distribution Figure 11- Estimated Groundwater Elevations for the Current Conditions Model Figure 12 - Estimated Groundwater Elevations for the Steady -State Cell 5 Blanket Underdrain Model Figure 13 - Estimated Groundwater Elevations During Operation of the Cell 5 Blanket Underdrain Figure 14 - Simulated Flowrate to the Cell 5 Blanket Underdrain (Base Model) Figure 15 - Effect of Phase 3 through 5 Material/Ash Excavation on the Simulated Flowrate to the Cell 5 Blanket Underdrain Figure 16 - Effect of Long -Term Seasonal High Recharge on the Simulated Flowrate to the Cell 5 Blanket Underdrain Figure 17 - Estimated Flowrates to the Phase 3 through 5 Dewatering Ditches and Proposed Underdrains TABLES: Table 1- Observed and Simulated Current Conditions Hydraulic Heads and Calibration Residuals Table 2 - Anticipated Site Activities/Construction During the Near -Term Transient Model (embedded) Table 3 - Anticipated Site Activities/Construction During the Long -Term Transient Model (embedded) synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station Page 12 of 12 REFERENCES: AECOM, 2021, Industrial Landfill No.1 (1812-INDUS) Phase 2 (Cells 5 and 6) Expansion, Marshall Steam Station, Catawba County, North Carolina (Draft), 2021. SynTerra, 2019, Updated Groundwater Flow and Transport Modeling Report, Marshall Steam Station, Terrell, NC. December, 2019 SynTerra, 2020, Long -Term Seasonal High Groundwater Elevation Estimation, Marshall Steam Station, Terrell, NC. June 2020. synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station FIGURES synterracorp.com DUKE NOTES: INDUSTRIAL � ♦r. • r-• LANDFILL #1 / PHASE ENERGY CAROLINAS CELL 5 PROPERTY LINE",,," PHASE II CELL 6 �.00e PHASE 3-5 ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY • ASH BASIN s `-- 1 _ ASH BASIN cam 1 /0 I Lake Norman of Catawba 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. 2. TOPOGRAPHIC MAP SOURCE: 2019 USGS TOPOGRAPHIC MAP, TROUTMAN & LAKE NORMAN NORTH QUADRANGLE, OBTAINED FROM THE USGS NATIONAL MAP AT https://www.usgs.gov DUKE I ATCOUNTY t ENERGY CAROLINAS 0 synTerra MARSHALL ;TEAM STATION\ FIGURE 1 SITE LOCATION MAP MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 CELL 5 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION CATAWBA COUNTY, NORTH CAROLINA DRAWN BY: A. ROBINSON DATE: OS/1212019 REVISED BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/17/2021 GRAPHIC SCALE i,000 0 LE 2.000 CHECKED BY. J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EADV DATE: 09/17/2021 PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON (IN FEET) 4 EA , r a ` LEGEND •� ie WATER SUPPLY WELLS WITH SEPTIC RETURN ie SEPTIC RETURN -1 DRAIN FEATURES AND DEWATERING DITCHES ® MAR-145 STORMWATER BASIN GRAPHIC SCALE FUTURE MAR-152 STORMWATER BASIN % DUKE 390 0 390 so ENERGY (IN FEET) PONDED WATER CAROLINAS DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 pWETLANDS REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/30/2021 CHECKED BY:J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/30/2021 1804 PHASE 2 LANDFILL APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/30/2021 fff PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON AREAS OF EXCAVATED ASH/MATERIAL Terra www.synterracorp.com APPROXIMATE EXTENT OF THE PHASE 1 ILF AND PROPOSED PHASE 2-5 ILF EXPANSIONS FIGURE 2 NOTES: CURRENT CONDITIONS MODEL 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. HYDRAULIC FEATURES 2. MODELASSUMES JULY 2021 CONDITIONS AT SITE. MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT 3. FEATURES DATA, AND SITE HOWN ARE BASED ON RECENT D DATA FROM PREVIOUS MODELING EFFORTS. OBSERVATIONS IN THE FIELD, RECENT SURVEY TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS 4. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. MARS HALL TEAM STATION 5. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA COORDINATE SYSTEM FIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). i - Ponded Water Recharge = 0 feet/day Industrial Landfill �..,. t' Recharge = 1 E-7 feet/day ,. Drainage Valley ?K ` Recharge = 0.0002 feet/day Industrial Area Recharge = 0 feet/day - - * - MAR-145 Stormwater Basin .. Recharge = 0 feet/day h f Ponded Water s ti Recharge = 0 feet/day Ponded Water n 9- j zm� L: e e Ponded Water Recharge = 0 feet/day b` rBackground Recharae = 0.0018 alday - Y Constructed Wetlands o " Recharge = 0 feet/day Industrial Area 1 .: Ponded Water Recharge = 0.00022 feet/day Recharge = 0 feet/day LEGEND C-3 RECHARGE ZONES NOTES: 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. 2. MODELASSUMES JULY 2021 CONDITIONS AT SITE. 3. RECHARGE DISTRIBUTION IS BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS IN THE FIELD AND SITE DATA FROM PREVIOUS MODELING EFFORTS. 4. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. 5. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE COORDINATE SYSTEM RIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). G DUKE 390 OGRAPHICSLE 780 ENERGY. (IN FEET) CAROLINAS DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 Terra PROJECT MANAGER: T C1111 s�mwww.synterracorp.com FIGURE 3 CURRENT CONDITIONS MODEL RECHARGE DISTRIBUTION MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA 880 870 860 850 840 -0 830 N 820 v Q 810 E U 800 790 780 770 760 750 4' DUKE ENERGY 10 synTerm DRAWN BY: W. PRATER REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK CHECKED BY: J.EBENHACK APPROVED BY: C. EADY PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON DATE: 09/15/2021 DATE: 09/17/2021 DATE: 09/17/2021 DATE: 09/17/2021 www.synterracorp.com u Observed Head FIGURE 4 COMPUTED VS OBSERVED HYDRAULIC HEADS FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA Phase 1 ��� • Phase 2 Phase 2 Cell 5 / Phase 4 0 P16 r r 1* Aihmor.. r ; y L.-I .� . LEGEND I• � • PROPOSED CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN * `i WATER SUPPLY WELLS WITH SEPTIC RETURN: SEPTIC RETURN DRAIN FEATURES AND DEWATERING DITCHES �> DUKE GRAPHIC SCALE 390 0 390 780 ®MAR 145 STORMWATER BASIN ENERGY, (IN FEET) CAROLINAS =PONDED WATER DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/28/2021 p WETLANDS CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/28/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/28/2021 AREAS OF EXCAVATED ASH/MATERIAL Terra PROJECT MANAGER: T. coLroN APPROXIMATE EXTENT OF THE PHASE 1 AND www.synterracorp.com PROPOSED PHASE 2-5 ILF EXPANSIONS FIGURE 5 NOTES: STEADY-STATE CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. MODEL HYDRAULIC FEATURES 2. MODELASSUMES JULY 2021 CONDITIONS AT SITE. MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 3. FEATURES DATA, AND SITE HOWN ARE BASED ON RECENT D DATA FROM PREVIOUS MODELING EFFORTS. OBSERVATIONS IN THE FIELD, RECENT SURVEY PERMIT TO�+SCONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS 4. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. MARS HALL TEAM STATION 5. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA COORDINATE SYSTEM FIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). LEGEND ILE PHASE I VE OPERA yAC I I 1'.'S, q T t I - CELL 1 I U J — — CELL 3 j I Ij T Exi s I I W; MAR-145 1,10POHARYSTORMWATERVV; If % OND FORCE MAIN ft-, 61 1 1�,r- CELL CELL 2 v )t 8-IN CIA - - - - - - PERMITrED ILF LIMIT-OF-WABTE BOUNDARY 'UNDERDRAIN - - - - - / FIRE R�IEDHDPE (D DIVIDER GERM PIPE, TYP NOTES /rSUBCELL "L66ATE MAR-145 VORMWATER POND ORCE MAIN DOUBLE 1-4�ACE8,9 PERI ETFRBER� 1, d % T REFERENCES A UNDERDFRMAPJN FUSER PAD UNDERDRAIN PUMP L RI F P OF 1, LIND R 1, SUMP ELEVATION oog 5 FT RELOCA PHASE CLLL 5 N ____-(13.7 ACRES) PHASE 2 CELL 6 STO Rm WATER POND CELL 5 S U11F F N L�.',!TOM OF UNDERDRAIN LAYER ELkVATION = 811,5 FT `Rc 7 �17 9 ACRESI DOUBLE LANE ACCESS t P IMETERBERM EXISTING MAR-11 TEMPORARY�� STORMWATERPOND NOT FOR U��nRJC710N� COMPACTED SOIL LINER SUBGRADIE & BOTTOM LINDERDRAIN GRADING PLAN SING LANE ACCESS PROPOSED PE VIETEREEFT A.1;1. FIC.r �R117, -U ALL SfEAMBTATOx LANDFILI.1101VNA 2EXPAmMum CA7A�WUNW WMCAROLINA N 6"DIA HOP OR DERbRAIN DISCHARGE TO (0 ISCHARGE TD`AC9EAM=IN) INTOCELL5&BA C (SEE NOTE 5) OVI\L ASBESTOS LANDFILL E 31 PERMIT NO 18[A nir me 2' IS71NGc,os �j ENEIM. '=71- i�l M AIR C907;9..1107 06E 4 DUKE n ENERGY. DRAWN BY: W. PRATER REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/13/2021 DATE: 09/17/2021 C! 'JAS CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EADY PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON DATE: 09/17/2021 www.synterracorp.com WnTerm FIGURE 6 PROPOSED CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN DESIGN (AECOM, 2021) MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA } ` - Blanket Underdrain Approximate Date of - Completion: 1/1/2022 jPhase 3-5 Excavation Approximate Date of Completion: 12/31/2022 4-1 • RI .F Y' - { e a - + 4k - LEGEND i �w''Sod C PROPOSED CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN PHASE 3-5 DEWATERING DITCHES AND PROPOSED •I UNDERDRAINS .01 WATER SUPPLY WELLS WITH SEPTIC RETURN ie SEPTIC RETURN DRAIN FEATURES (> DUKE 390 GRAPHICSCALE 0 390 780 ® MAR-145 STORMWATER BASIN ENERGY (IN FEET) CAROLINAS PONDED WATER DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/28/2021 p WETLANDS �� CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/28/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/28/2021 PHASE 3-5 EXCAVATION synTerra PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON NOTES: www.synterracorp.com 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. FIGURE 7 2. THE MODEL ACCOUNTS FOR DURING THE MODELED PERIOD, ANID CIPATED THE DATES OR ANTICIPATED SITE EVENTSSITE CHANGES AND A ETIVITIES NEAR -TERM TRANSIENT MODEL CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES OF CURRENTLY PLANNED CONSTRUCTION DATES. HYDRAULIC FEATURES AND MODEL .SETUP 3. FEATURES SHOWN ARE BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS IN THE FIELD, RECENT SURVEY DATA, SITE DATA FROM PREVIOUS MODELING EFFORTS, AND ANTICIPATED FUTURE SITE MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 CONDITIONS BASED ON DUKE ENERGY'S PLANNED ACTIVITIES. 4. NEAR TERM TRANSIENT MODEL STARTS 10/1/2021 AND ENDS 9/30/2023. PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS 5. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20,2021. MARSHALL STEAM STATION 6. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA COORDINATE SYSTEM RIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). Industrial Landfill Recharqe = 1 E-7 feet/day Cell 5 Transient Recharge 10/1/2021 - 5/31/2022: 0.0018 feet/da 6/1 /2022 - 9/30/2023: 1 E-7 feet/day Industrial Area Recharge = 0 feet/day 1 MAR-145 Stormwater Recharge = fir i0feet/day . J6 4, PVSF Recharge 10/1/2023 - 3/31/2023: 0.0018 feet/day 4/1/2023 - model end: 1E-7 feet/day Industrial Area �Ponded Water Recharqe = 01 I Drainage Valley Recharge = 0.0002 feet/day Ponded Water Recharge = 0 feet/d • Cell 6 Transient Recharge 10/1/2021-11/30/2022: 0.0018 feet/day 12/1/2022 - 9/30/2023: 1 E-7 feet/day AL Background Recharge = 0.0018 feet/day Leachate Basin Recharge = 1 E-7 feet/day Background Recharge = 0.0018 feet/day Recharge = 0.00022 feet/day LEGEND L___p RECHARGE ZONES Constructed Wetlands Recharge = 0 feet/day � s MAR-152 Liner Recharge = 1 E-7 feet/day Y �. Ponded Water Recharge = 0 feet/day /d DUKE 390 GRAPHIC SCALE390 780 ENERGY (IN FEET) CAROLINAS DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 10/05/2021 CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 10/05/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 10/05/2021 PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON NOTES: FIGURE 8 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. NEAR -TERM TRANSIENT MODEL 2. THE MODEL ACCOUNTS FOR ANTICIPATED SITE CHANGES AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES DURING THE MODELED PERIOD, AND THE DATES FOR ANTICIPATED SITE EVENTS ARE RECHARGE DISTRIBUTION CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES OF CURRENTLY PLANNED CONSTRUCTION DATES. 3. RECHARGE DISTRIBUTION IS BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS IN THE FIELD, SITE DATA MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 ON DUKE ENOM EOUSRGY'S PLANNED PLAN ED ACDELING TRTSIVITIES. ITIES.D ANTICIPATED FUTURE SITE CONDITIONS BASED PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS 3. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. MARSH ALL .STEAM STATION 4. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA COORDINATE SYSTEM FIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). Phase 3-5 Backfill Approximate Date of 144 Completion: 10/1 /2023 d k. rr LEGEND ' PROPOSED CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN+ PHASE 3-5 PROPOSED UNDERDRAINS i. a WATER SUPPLY WELLS WITH SEPTIC RETURN Q� SEPTIC RETURN RAPHICSC LE DUKE 390 O390 780 DRAIN FEATURES ENERGY. ImKzzmmlzzzzz�� CAROLINAS N FEET) IM PO N D E D WATER DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 WETLANDS CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 PHASE 3-5 BACKFILLED AREA Terra synwww.synterracorp.com PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON NOTES: 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. FIGURE 9 2. THE MODEL ACCOUNTS FOR ANTICIPATED SITE CHANGES AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES LONG-TERM TRANSIENT MODEL DURING THE MODELED PERIOD, AND THE DATES FOR ANTICIPATED SITE EVENTS ARE CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES OF CURRENTLY PLANNED CONSTRUCTION DATES. HYDRAULIC FEATURES AND MODEL SETUP 3. FTURES SHOWN ARE BASED ON RECENT OSERVTIONS IN THE FIELD, SURVEY MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 DATFAA,, SITE DATA FROM PREVIOUS MODELING EFFOR SA AND ANTICIPATED FUTURENSITE CONDITIONS BASED ON DUKE ENERGY'S PLANNED ACTIVITIES. PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS, 4. LONG TERM TRANSIENT MODEL STARTS 10/1/2023 AND ENDS 1/1/2040. MARSHALL STEAM STATION 5. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA 6. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE COORDINATE SYSTEM FIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). Ponded Water arty` " Recharge = 0 feet/day Industrial Landfill Industrial Area Recharge =1 E-7 feet/day Drainage Valley -1 Recharge=y0 feet/day Recharge = 0.0002 feet/day IL 'T - Ponded Water Recharge = 0 feet/day Cell 5 and 6 Recharge = 1 E-7 feet/day MAR-145 Stormwater Basin -" 5 Recharge = 1 E-7 feet/day 1804 Phase 2 Recharge 10/1/2023-11/30/2023: 0.0018 feet/day + 12/1/2023 - model end: 1 E-7 feet/day hase 5 Recharge 0/1/2023 - 5/31/2027: 0.0018 feet/da ,, 11/2027 - model end: 1.E-7 feet/day Leachate Basin Recharge = 1 E-7 feet/day PVSF Recharge = 1 E-7 feet/day l W e 3 Recharge 4 2023 -11/30/2024: 0.0018 feet/day I 12/1/2024 -model end: 1 E-7 feet/day Phase 4 Recharge MAR 152 Liner 10/1/2023 - 4/30/2026: 0.0018 feet/dayRecharge = 1 E-7 feet/day 5/1/2026 -model end: 1E-7 feet/day. Background Recharge = 0.0018 feet/day Constructed Wetlands Recharge = 0 feet/day w - _ Industrial Area Recharge = 0.00022 feet/( rZ C. LEGEND r- .RECHARGE ZONES NOTES: 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. 2. THE MODEL ACCOUNTS FOR ANTICIPATED SITE CHANGES AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES DURING THE MODELED PERIOD, AND THE DATES FOR ANTICIPATED SITE EVENTS ARE CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES OF CURRENTLY PLANNED CONSTRUCTION DATES. 3. RECHARGE DISTRIBUTION IS BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS IN THE FIELD, SITE DATA FROM PREVIOUS MODELING EFFORTS, AND ANTICIPATED FUTURE SITE CONDITIONS BASED ON DUKE ENERGY'S PLANNED ACTIVITIES. 3. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. 4. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE COORDINATE SYSTEM FIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). l 1 Ponded Water Recharge = 0 feet/day DUKE 390 GRAPHIC SCALE390 780 ENERGY (IN FEET) CAROLINAS DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 10/05/2021 CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 10/05/2021 101 APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 10/05/2021 PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON FIGURE 10 LONG-TERM TRANSIENT MODEL RECHARGE DISTRIBUTION MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA I 5i ' LJ LE ' LEGEND 250 ORAPHICSC2 DUKE 50 500 ENERGY (IN FED ago ESTIMATED GROUNDWATER CAROLINAS ELEVATION . DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 APPROXIMATE EXTENT OF THE I APPROVED BY: C.EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 PHASE 1 ILF AND PROPOSED PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON PHASE 2-5 ILF EXPANSIONS synTena www.synterracorp.com NOTES: FIGURE 11 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. ESTIMATED GROUNDWATER ELEVATIONS 2. MODEL ASSUMES JULY 2021 CURRENT CONDITIONS AT THE SITE. FOR THE CURRENT CONDITIONS MODEL 3. GROUNDWATER ELEVATION CONTOUR INTERVAL IS 5 FEET MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT 4. APPROXIMATE FOOTPRINT OF THE PHASE 2-5 ILF EXPANSIONS BASED ON AECOM CLOSURE TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS DESIGNS (AECOM, 2021) AND CAD FILES PROVIDED TO SYNTERRA BY DUKE ENERGY ON 8/1212021. MARSHALL STEAM STATION 5. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA 6. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE COORDINATE SYSTEM FIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). LEGEND �' DUKE GRAPHIC SCALE 250 0 250 500 ENERGY j PROPOSED CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN (IN FED CAROLINAS 8zo ESTIMATED GROUNDWATER ELEVATION DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 APPROXIMATE EXTENT OF THE PHASE 1ILF AND CHECKED BY:J.EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 — PROPOSED PHASE 2-5 ILF EXPANSIONS APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 T2 synwww.synterracorp.com PROJECT MANAGER: T, COLTON NOTES: FIGURE 12 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. ESTIMATED GROUNDWATER ELEVATIONS FOR THE 2021 OPERATRRENT CONDITIONS AT THE SITE WITH THE PROPOSED CELL 2. 5BLANKET UNDERDRAIN OPERATING. 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN OPERATING. STEADY-STATE CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN MODEL 3. GROUNDWATER ELEVATION CONTOUR INTERVAL IS 5 FEET MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 FF THE PHASE 2-5 ILFIERRAONS 4. BASED ON AECOM PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS DESIGNS AECOM,20 1)AINDCADFILESPROVIDEDTOSYNTPROXIMATE BYDUKEENERGYONSURE 8/1212021. MARSHALL STEAM STATION 5. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA 6. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE COORDINATE SYSTEM FIPS 3200 (NAD83 AND NAVD88). 0 AVLxAls, LEGEND PROPOSED CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN PHASE 3-5 PROPOSED UNDERDRAINS azo ESTIMATED GROUNDWATER ELEVATION NOTES: 1. ALL BOUNDARIES ARE APPROXIMATE. 2. GROUNDWATER ELEVATION CONTOUR INTERVAL IS 5 FEET. 3. GROUNDWATER ELEVATIONS FOR 1 MONTH, 1 YEAR, AND 1.5 YEARS ARE FROM THE NEAR -TERM BASE MODEL. 4. GROUNDWATER ELEVATIONS FOR 5 YEARS ARE FROM THE LONG-TERM BASE MODEL. 5. THE MODEL ACCOUNTS FORANTICIPATED SITE CHANGES AND CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES DURING THIS PERIOD, AND THE DATES FOR ANTICIPATED SITE EVENTS ARE CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES OF CURRENTLY PLANNED CONSTRUCTION DATES. 8. PROPOSED PHASE 3-5 UNDERDRAINS BASED ON AUTOCAD FILES PROVIDED TO SYNTERRA BY DUKE ENERGY ON 8112 2021. 3. AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY PROVIDED BY TRANS ASH WAS COLLECTED ON JULY 20, 2021. 4. DRAWING HAS BEEN SET WITH A PROJECTION OF NORTH CAROLINA STATE PLANE COORDINATE SYSTEM RIPS 3200(NAD83 AND NAVD88). �80 GRAPHIC SCALE 330 0 330 660 s m errs DRAWN FEET) DRAWN BY: W. PRAYER DATE: 09/15/2021 REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 10/04/2021 DUKE CHECKED BY:J. EBENHACK DATE: 10/04/2021 APPROVED BY: C. EA 4♦ ENERGY- PROJECT MANAGER:DT. OLTON DATE: 10/04/2021 c www.synterracorp.com FIGURE 13 ESTIMATED GROUNDWATER ELEVATIONS DURING OPERATION OF THE CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA 1 Month -31 gpm n Fa CL an c ru 80 v c 4-j v 60 m ca Q] J3 .(.0 40 m LL v ru 20 �o Notes: 1. gpm = gallons per minute. 1 year 1.5 years -3 gpm <0.01 gpm I.I Start of the Long Term Transient Simulation I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I Steady -State Flow to Blanket Underdrain (-18 GPM) I I I I■ oQ h? 4� "Q a° Years of Blanket Drain Operation 4DUKE DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/13/2021 FIGURE 14 ' ENERGY REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 SIMULATED FLOWRATE TO THE CELL 5 c' CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN (BASE MODEL) APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 �� PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION synTena www.synterracorp.com TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA I X I ■ Base Mode E 100 CL do L L Qj 80 i� Ca 60 Qj i� i-j Qj i-j 40 LL v ry =; 20 E (A 1 - �O 00 y0 00 41 00 1? 00 O' ti ti ti' ti' Years of Blanket Drain Operation Notes: 1. gpm = gallons per minute. 4 n DUKE DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/13/2021 FIGURE 15 ENERGY REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 EFFECT OF PHASE 3 THROUGH 5 MATERIAL/ASH EXCAVATION ON THE c' CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 SIMULATED FLOWRATE TO THE CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 �� PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION VnTerM www.synterracorp.com TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA 100 E CL 0.0 C -o 80 L qj ru 60 Jill ca qj qj L 40 V a L'a LL m � 20 E in 0 O� C.1j' I I I I I Imo/ Start of the Long Term Transient Simulation I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ■ Base Mode ❑ Model with LTSH Recharge M0M••MM0 �O 04 h? ti ry ry rrj' rrj tic Years of Blanket Drain Operation Notes: 1. gpm = gallons per minute. 2. Long term seasonal high recharge rate = 0.0022 feet per day. �O Op O' ti 4 S DUKE DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/13/2021 FIGURE 16 ENERGY REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 EFFECT OF LONG-TERM SEASONAL HIGH RECHARGE ON THE C' CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 SIMULATED FLOWRATE TO THE CELL 5 BLANKET UNDERDRAIN APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION WnTerM www.synterracorp.com TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA 500 450 40. 35, j I 300 do 250 L c] 200 c D IIEI�1Start of the Long Term Transient Simulation 1111111111111111 1111111111111111111111111111111111 1 al 11 1111111111111111111111111111111111 11111111111111111111111111111111 11111111111111111111111111 ��1 11111111111 1111111111111111111111111111111111 1111111111111111111111111111111111 150 100 50 0 O h y h N h ^7 40 0' h h h (o h N ? W h� h d h ti h N 4i '' h', h" h� h� % h " O' ti ry. '.h. 0. 47. �0' �1' %' Q)_ y O. y n: y yry' y yam. y � , y. y �, y y. y Z ry 4. Years of Dewatering and Underdrain Operation Notes: 1. Only the proposed underdrains are present after the start of the Long Term transient model. LI' DUKE DRAWN BY: W. PRATER DATE: 09/13/2021 FIGURE 17 Z ENERGY REVISED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 ESTIMATED FLOWRATES TO THE PHASE 3 THROUGH 5 c' CHECKED BY: J. EBENHACK DATE: 09/17/2021 DEWATERING DITCHES AND PROPOSED UNDERDRAINS APPROVED BY: C. EADY DATE: 09/17/2021 MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 It � PROJECT MANAGER: T. COLTON PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION synTena www.synterracorp.com TERRELL, NORTH CAROLINA Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station TABLES synterracorp.com TABLE 1 OBSERVED AND SIMULATED CURRENT CONDITIONS HYDRAULIC HEADS AND CALIBRATION RESIDUALS MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS, LLC, TERRELL, NC Well Identification Observed Head (ft) Computed Head (ft) Residual AB-01BR 769.41 765.99 3.4 AB-01BRL 767.19 765.69 1.5 AB-01BRLL 767.24 765.69 1.6 AB-01BRLLL 768.51 765.79 2.7 AB-01 D 767.90 767.26 0.6 AB-01S 766.51 767.64 -1.1 AB-02BR 781.06 770.17 10.9 AB-02D 764.97 764.83 0.1 AB-02S 760.70 761.88 -1.2 AB-03D 787.55 788.65 -1.1 AB-04D 784.64 791.85 -7.2 AB-04S 790.29 792.08 -1.8 AB-04SL 788.87 791.84 -3.0 AB-05BR 795.86 796.98 -1.1 AB-05D 796.50 796.99 -0.5 AB-05DU 796.63 797.12 -0.5 AB-05S 796.26 797.67 -1.4 AB-06BRA 826.09 818.31 7.8 AB-06BRL 824.29 818.19 6.1 AB-06D 826.66 818.12 8.5 AB-06S 828.35 818.84 9.5 AB-07D 821.91 817.36 4.5 AB-07DU 821.78 819.20 2.6 AB-07S 823.84 818.93 4.9 AB-08D 790.48 793.77 -3.3 AB-08DU 790.40 793.76 -3.4 AB-08S 790.01 793.28 -3.3 AB-09BR 785.84 785.79 0.0 AB-09D 784.57 785.80 -1.2 AB-09S 785.58 785.89 -0.3 AB-10BR 784.37 786.15 -1.8 AB-10BRL 792.94 786.23 6.7 AB-10D 783.75 786.18 -2.4 AB-10S 785.43 786.85 -1.4 AB-10SL 784.16 786.31 -2.2 AB-13 D 799.77 804.67 -4.9 AB-13S 801.28 804.02 -2.7 AB-15BR 807.49 805.07 2.4 AB-15D 803.74 805.06 -1.3 AB-15SL 801.73 805.01 -3.3 AB-21 D 788.06 790.39 -2.3 AB-21S 786.24 790.46 -4.2 AL-01 BR 774.28 771.32 3.0 AL-01 BRL 775.28 772.54 2.7 AL-01 D 775.04 771.41 3.6 AL-01S 775.89 771.57 4.3 AL-02BR 805.62 799.29 6.3 AL-02BRL 800.07 799.42 0.7 Page 1 of 4 TABLE 1 OBSERVED AND SIMULATED CURRENT CONDITIONS HYDRAULIC HEADS AND CALIBRATION RESIDUALS MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS, LLC, TERRELL, NC Well Identification Observed Head (ft) Computed Head (ft) Residual AL-02BRLL 798.19 799.57 -1.4 AL-02BRLLL 798.20 799.56 -1.4 AL-02D 804.24 799.14 5.1 AL-02S 802.94 799.59 3.3 AL-03BR 805.15 804.74 0.4 AL-03D 806.62 806.12 0.5 AL-03S 808.19 807.15 1.0 AL-04BR 813.47 809.97 3.5 AL-04BRL 798.32 802.30 -4.0 AL-04D 817.65 810.06 7.6 BG-01 BRA 799.13 804.06 -4.9 BG-01 D 808.59 806.84 1.8 BG-01S 807.85 810.62 -2.8 BG-02BR 809.45 809.92 -0.5 BG-02S 809.07 811.19 -2.1 BG-03BR 834.93 828.10 6.8 BG-03D 829.04 829.39 -0.3 BG-03S 828.71 829.74 -1.0 C5-TP-01* 825.40 828.12 -2.7 C5-TP-02* 824.45 823.63 0.8 C5-TP-03* 821.30 822.50 -1.2 C5-TP-04* 818.45 821.04 -2.6 C5-TP-07* 819.70 820.94 -1.2 CCR-01 D 792.23 790.76 1.5 CCR-01S 795.86 790.89 5.0 CCR-02D 786.73 787.05 -0.3 CCR-02S 786.57 787.53 -1.0 CCR-03D 758.34 759.56 -1.2 CCR-03S 757.69 759.33 -1.6 CCR-04D 760.32 761.89 -1.6 CCR-04S 759.37 762.86 -3.5 CCR-05D 760.22 762.47 -2.2 CCR-05S 760.24 759.30 0.9 CCR-09DA 764.37 765.37 -1.0 CCR-09S 762.47 766.44 -4.0 CCR-15D 788.92 788.30 0.6 CCR-16D 794.08 797.18 -3.1 CLF-21-02R* 822.55 821.81 0.7 CLF-21-05R* 819.76 819.69 0.1 CLF-21-10 841.06 841.39 -0.3 CLF-21-11* 828.73 829.12 -0.4 CLF-21-12* 822.99 822.31 0.7 CLF-21-13* 820.09 820.04 0.0 CLF-21-14 821.43 821.69 -0.3 CLF-21-15 826.12 823.32 2.8 CLF-301 817.36 816.49 0.9 CLF-302 812.96 810.39 2.6 CLF-303 800.68 804.14 -3.5 Page 2 of 4 TABLE 1 OBSERVED AND SIMULATED CURRENT CONDITIONS HYDRAULIC HEADS AND CALIBRATION RESIDUALS MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS, LLC, TERRELL, NC Well Identification Observed Head (ft) Computed Head (ft) Residual CLF-304 798.68 804.64 -6.0 CLF-401 815.71 817.92 -2.2 CLF-402 812.02 812.66 -0.6 CLF-403 812.19 815.43 -3.2 CLF-404 811.39 811.97 -0.6 CP-01 D 785.92 783.97 1.9 CP-02D 797.28 794.43 2.8 CP-02S 797.38 795.40 2.0 CP-03D 795.64 791.65 4.0 CP-03S 794.89 795.88 -1.0 GP-01D 801.83 800.66 1.2 GP-01S 801.79 801.31 0.5 GP-02D 806.18 800.06 6.1 GP-02S 806.65 801.48 5.2 GP-03D 806.22 798.73 7.5 GP-03S 806.37 802.93 3.4 GWA-01 BR 764.29 763.89 0.4 GWA-01D 761.89 763.97 -2.1 GWA-01S 760.96 764.09 -3.1 GWA-02DA 804.97 798.77 6.2 GWA-02S 805.75 801.30 4.5 GWA-03D 837.72 835.97 1.7 GWA-03S 837.47 835.90 1.6 GWA-04D 851.91 850.31 1.6 GWA-04S 851.18 853.28 -2.1 GWA-05D 814.64 813.22 1.4 GWA-06D 810.58 803.61 7.0 GWA-06S 811.05 804.33 6.7 GWA-07D 803.92 797.77 6.2 GWA-07S 800.37 799.65 0.7 GWA-08D 825.52 821.91 3.6 GWA-08S 827.06 827.75 -0.7 GWA-09BR 847.55 846.39 1.2 GWA-10D 766.22 765.31 0.9 GWA-10S 764.14 764.31 -0.2 GWA-11BR 760.23 762.24 -2.0 GWA-11 D 760.46 762.08 -1.6 GWA-11S 762.64 762.23 0.4 GWA-12BR 863.23 861.07 2.2 GWA-12D 864.20 861.16 3.0 GWA-12S 877.53 870.22 7.3 GWA-13DA 868.42 866.53 1.9 GWA-13S 874.56 868.80 5.8 GWA-14D 874.22 873.50 0.7 GWA-14S 874.67 877.35 -2.7 GWA-15D 757.20 757.75 -0.6 GWA-15S 757.04 757.55 -0.5 ILF-02D 845.02 839.84 5.2 Page 3 of 4 TABLE 1 OBSERVED AND SIMULATED CURRENT CONDITIONS HYDRAULIC HEADS AND CALIBRATION RESIDUALS MODELING SUPPORT FOR THE ILF PHASE 2 PERMIT TO CONSTRUCT MODIFICATIONS MARSHALL STEAM STATION DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS, LLC, TERRELL, NC Well Identification Observed Head (ft) Computed Head (ft) Residual ILF-02S 841.79 842.97 -1.2 MAR-145-midPt 820.00 821.22 -1.2 MS-08 832.94 827.91 5.0 MS-10 834.09 833.84 0.2 MS-11 826.83 826.45 0.4 MS-13 812.46 812.13 0.3 MW-01 772.43 770.53 1.9 MW-02 785.76 787.39 -1.6 MW-03 803.69 807.30 -3.6 MW-04 831.82 833.59 -1.8 MW-04D 831.97 831.47 0.5 MW-06 (OB-02) 815.19 814.54 0.6 MW-06D 764.61 762.86 1.8 MW-06S 765.73 762.88 2.8 MW-07 (OB-03) 818.11 817.16 0.9 MW-07D 765.46 765.54 -0.1 MW-07S 760.39 766.35 -6.0 MW-08D 759.58 762.50 -2.9 MW-08S 757.83 759.95 -2.1 MW-09D 758.77 761.82 -3.0 MW-09S 760.66 759.25 1.4 MW-10D 756.29 758.51 -2.2 MW-10S 755.91 757.93 -2.0 MW-11D 845.25 844.31 0.9 MW-11S 845.34 845.38 0.0 MW-12D 856.93 859.45 -2.5 MW-12S 857.35 860.82 -3.5 MW-13D 847.05 845.32 1.7 MW-13S 846.24 844.91 1.3 MW-14BR 772.41 772.35 0.1 MW-14BRL 776.97 775.02 1.9 MW-14D 773.39 772.13 1.3 MW-14S 772.27 772.22 0.0 Pond-EofSF 823.00 823.46 -0.5 PVSF-01BR 830.29 828.48 1.8 PVSF-01D 833.76 828.76 5.0 PVSF-01S 834.63 829.36 5.3 PVSF-04BR 838.95 840.70 -1.7 PVSF-04D 851.28 842.96 8.3 PVSF-04S 851.75 844.21 7.5 Test Pit 1 Sump* 818.20 821.76 -3.6 Test Pit 2* 819.45 821.14 -1.7 RMSE 3.350 NRMSE 0.028 J Notes: Ft - feet NAVD 88 - North American Vertical Datum 1988 RMSE - Root mean squared error NRMSE - Normalized root mean square error (normalized to the range of observed hydraulic heads) *Observation point near proposed blanket underdrain in Cell 5 Prepared by: WTP Checked by: JFE Page 4 of 4 Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station TABLE 2 ANTICIPATED SITE ACTIVITIES/CONSTRUCTION DURING THE NEAR -TERM TRANSIENT MODEL PROVIDED ON PAGE 5 synterracorp.com Modeling Support for the ILF Phase 2 Permit to Construct Modifications October 5, 2021 Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Marshall Steam Station TABLE 3 ANTICIPATED SITE ACTIVITIES/CONSTRUCTION DURING THE LONG-TERM TRANSIENT MODEL PROVIDED ON PAGE 7 synterracorp.com