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HomeMy WebLinkAboutDEQ-CFW_000218942015, and Comparison to Statewide Rates Background and Summary This summary was prepared to answer questions about cancer rates in four counties that have arisen during the ongoing investigation of GenX in the Cape Fear River. Central Cancer Registry data do not include information about causes of cancer or associations with specific exposures; therefore, no conclusions can be drawn about the association between GenX or other exposures and the cancer rates described here. The North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (NC DHHS) examined data from the North Carolina Central Cancer Registry to determine how rates of certain cancers in four counties compared with state-wide cancer rates during 1996-2015. The incidence of pancreatic, liver, uterine, testicular and kidney cancers were examined in Bladen, Brunswick, New Hanover, and Pender Counties. The incidence rates were compiled for the entire ZU-yearperiod and separately for each 5'yearinterval therein (1996- 2DOO,2DD1-2UO5,2UU6-2OlUand 2U11-2Ul5). Overall, cancer rates inthe four counties were similar tostate rates. There were two exceptions where the county incidence rates were higher than the state and four where the incidence rates were lower: Higher New Hanover County had a higher 20-year rate of testicular cancer during 1996-2015 and a higher 5-year rate of liver cancers during 2006-2010 compared with the state. Rates ofboth cancers were similar tothe state rates during the most recent period (2011'2015). Lower * Brunswick County had a lower 20-year rate of pancreatic cancer during 1996-2015; a lower 5- yearrateofuterinecancerdurin8JOO6—Z01U;anda|ovver5-yearrateofpancreadccancer during 2011-2D1Scompared with the state. * Bladen County had a lower 20-year rate of kidney cancer during 1996-2015 compared with the state. During the most recent five-year interval (2011-2015), no county -specific cancer rates examined were significantly higher than state rates. Although the information in this summary describes cancer rates in these counties over time, only comprehensive research study can provide information about whether a specific exposure is associated with increased rates of cancer. It should be noted that liver cancer incidence rates have increased in North Carolina and in the United States during the period of 1996-2015. State and national increases in liver cancer are due in part to the aging of the baby boomer population (persons born between 1945 and 1965). This population is at least five times more likely to have hepatitis C (a leading cause of liver cancer) as compared to other ad UltS.2 The overall increasing liver cancer rate in New Hanover County during the period examined might also be related to the increasing proportion of the population >65 years of age in that county- from 12.8% in 2000to16.296in2015.3 Epidemio|ogstsatNCDHH8examinedaBe'adjustedcancerincidencerates(reportedcasesper1OOOOO population) during 1996-2015 for the state of North Carolina and specifically for Bladen, Brunswick, New Hanover, and Pender counties. Rates were age -adjusted to the US Census 2000 population. Data OEQ-CFVV_00021894 were provided bythe North Carolina Central Cancer Registry. We focused on cancers ofthe liver, pancreas, testes, and uterus due to findings reported in laboratory animals during GenX exposure studies. Kidney cancer was examined because epiclemiologic studies of exposure to perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) have found associations with increased occurrence of kidney cancers.' For each cancer type, we examined the overall 20-year rate (1996-2015). To describe trends over time, we also looked at rates in 5-year intervals during the same period. We compared county -specific rates to the state rate by determining if the 95Y6 confidence intervals (Cis) around the county -specific rate overlapped with the 95Y6 Os around the state rate for the same period. If no overlap occurred, the rates were considered significantly different. Findings Z&-yearIates All 20-year (1996-2015) county -specific incidence rates were similar to state rates except as noted * The 20-year rate of testicular cancer in New Hanover County was greater than the state rate. Rates were not significantly different from the state rate when examined for any of the individual S'yearperiods. w The 20-year rate of pancreatic cancer in Brunswick County and the 20-year rate of kidney cancer in Bladen County were lower than the state rates Trends over time All 5-year county -specific incidence rates were similar to state rates except as noted below: * The liver cancer rate in New Hanover County was significantly higher than the state liver cancer rate during ZOU6—IO1O,but was similar tuthe state rate in1996—ZOUU ZOO1—IOOS,and ZU11— ZO1S. * The Brunswick County uterine cancer rate during 2006-2010 and the Brunswick County pancreatic cancer rate during 2011-2015 were significantly lower than the state rates during the same periods. The county -specific cancer rates examined here were not significantly higher than state rates, with the exceptions of testicular and liver cancers in New Hanover County during specific periods. During the most recent five-year interval (2011-2015), no county -specific cancer rates examined were significantly higher than state rates. Although the information in this summary describes cancer rates in these counties over time, only a comprehensive research study can provide information about whether any specific exposure is associated with increased rates of cancer. 1. Viral Hepatitis and Liver Cancer. CDC Fact Sheet: z. U5Census Bureau. Quick Facts. New Hanover County, North Carolina: Envirnnmpnta|ProtpcdnnAgency.DrinkinDwaterhea|thadvisoryforperf|ouronctannicacid(PFOA).PWay 2016:health advisory final- --------------- OEQ-CFVV_OOO218Q5 Table 1. Twenty-year age -adjusted incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population) for selected cancers in Bladen, Brunswick, New Hanover, and Pender Counties and North Carolina (1996-2015).* Rates were age adjusted to the US 2000 Census. Rates significantly different from state-wide rates are highlighted. Cancer Site Population Cases 95% CI Liver 8|aden 36 4.5 3.1 , 6] Brunswick 146 5.4 4.5 , 6.5 New Hanover 258 6.3 5.6 , 72 Pender 66 EO 4.5 , 7.4 NORTHCARO Pancreas 8|aden 77 9.9 7.8 , 12.4 Brunswick 266 9.6 8.4 , 10.9 New Hanover 421 10.4 9.5 , 11.5 Pender 122 10.8 9.0 , 13.0 NORTHCAR{JL|NA 20,835 11.3 11.2 , 11.5 Testes B|aden lZ 4.2 2.2 , 7.3 Brunswick 27 3.5 2.3 , 5.1 New Hanover 118 6.2 52 , 7.5 Pender 22 5.0 3.2 , 7.6 NOBTHCAROL|NA 4,108 4.7 4.6 4.9 Kidney B|aden 94 11.9 9.6 , 14.6 Brunswick 420 15.4 13.8 , 17.1 New Hanover 584 14.5 13.4 , 15.8 Pender 130 lSJ 13.4 , 13.2 NORTHCAROLINA 2 Uterus 8|aden 92 20.9 16.8 , 25.8 Brunswick 319 21.4 18.9 , 24.1 New Hanover 499 22.2 ZU] , 243 Pender 135 21.8 18] , 25.9 NOBTHCAROL|NA 23,090 22.4 22.1 , 22.7 Rates were produced by the NC Central Cancer Registry (June 20I7); numbers are subject to change asfiles are updated. Amodified gamma interval was used to calculate the confidence intervals; Vintage2OI5 bridged -race postcensal population estimates were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics OEQ-CFVV_00021896 Table 2. Five-year age -adjusted incidence rates (cases per 100,000 population) for selected cancers for Bladen, Brunswick, New Hanover, and Pender Counties and North Carolina (1996-2015).* Rates were age adjusted to the US 2000 Census. Rates significantly different from state-wide rates are highlighted. Cancer Site Population Cases Rate 95% Cl Cases Rate 95% CI Cases Rate 95% CI Cases Rate 95% CI Rates were oroduced bv the NC Central Cancer Reeistry (June 2017): numbers are subiect to chanee as files are uodated. A modified eamma interval was used to calculate the confidence intervals; Vintage 2015 bridged -race postcensal population estimates were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics t Counts fewer than 5 are suppressed; no rate was estimated. 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