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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20080737 All Versions_Reports_20080401 (2) 1 ' FAYETTEVILLE OUTER LOOP - NORTHERN SECTION INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS ANALYSIS UPDATE CUMBERLAND, NORTH CAROLINA ' TIP PROJECT NO. X-0002 ' PREPARED FOR: ' North Carolina Department of Transportation Division of Highways ' Project Development and Environmental Analysis Branch ' NORTH P~~OF cR~aG CO 1 z .o O OF TR ANSQ ' APRIL 2008 1 ii ' Prepared by: V ' SUntec ' Stantec Consulting Services Inc. 801 Jones Franklin Road, Suite 300 ' Raleigh, NC 27606 April 2008 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update Table of Contents Executive Summary ........................................................................................................iii 1 Introduction ..............................................................................................................1 1.1 Project Background and Purpose ......................................................................1 ' 1.2 ICE Update Study Area Boundary and Time Horizon ........................................2 1.3 No Build Alternative ..........................................................................................2 1.4 Build Alternative ................................................................................................2 1.5 Project Purpose and Need 2 2 ICE Update Study Area Characteristics ....................................................................4 2.1 Population Trends .............................................................................................4 ' 2.2 Housing Units ...................................................................................................4 3 ICE Update Study Area Notable Features ................................................................6 3.1 Water Resources 6 3.1.1 Streams 6 3.1.2 Stream Classification on . .6 3.1.3 Water Supply Watersheds .........................................................................7 3.1.4 Impaired Waters .........................................................................................7 3.2 Protected Species .............................................................................................7 3.3 Natural Heritage Sites .......................................................................................8 3.4 Soils ..................................................................................................................8 4 ICE Update Study Area Planning Context ..............................................................12 4.1 Local Regulations and Plans ...........................................................................12 4.1.1 Water Supply Watershed Management and Protection Regulations ........12 ' 4.1.2 Stormwater Management .........................................................................12 4.1.3 Cumberland County 2010 Land Use Plan ................................................13 4.1.4 North Fayetteville Area Land Use Plan ....................................................14 4.1.5 Wade Area Land Use Plan .......................................................................14 4.1.6 Eastover Area Land Use Plan ..................................................................14 4.1.7 2008 Fort Bragg/Pope Air Force Base Land Use Study Update ...............15 4.2 Sewer Service .................................................................................................16 ' 4.3 Zoning .............................................................................................................17 4.4 Other Transportation Improvement Projects ....................................................19 5 Activities Causing Effects .......................................................................................19 5.1 Proposed Development and Transportation Projects ......................................19 5.2 Project Related Environmental Effects ............................................................19 5.3 Project Related Transportation Effects ............................................................19 5.4 Potential for Project Related Induced Development ........................................21 6 Potential Indirect and Cumulative Effects ...............................................................21 7 Analysis of Indirect and Cumulative Effects ............................................................21 7.1 Existing Land Use ...........................................................................................22 ' 7.2 Build Scenario .................................................................................................23 7.3 No-Build Scenario 24 7.4 Scenario Comparisons ....................................................................................25 8 Evaluation of Analysis Results ...............................................................................31 8.1 Indirect Effects .........................................................................................31 8.2 Cumulative Effects 31 9 References ............................................................................................................33 ' 10 Appendix ............................................................................................................35 10.1 Cumberland County TIP Projects ................................................................35 i i Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update Tables Table 1. Population projections, 2005 - 2035 ..................................................................4 Table 2. Housing Units, 1990 - 2006 ...............................................................................5 Table 3. Federally protected species in Cumberland County ...........................................8 Table 4. Travel Distance/Time Analysis ........................................................................21 Table 5. Land Use Categories and Density 22 Table 6. Build and No Build Scenarios Land Use (acres) 26 Figures Exhibit 1. Vicinity and Study Area ....................................................................................1 , Exhibit 2. Project Map .....................................................................................................3 Exhibit 3. Water Resources .............................................................................................9 Exhibit 4. State Parks, Natural Heritage Areas and Element Occurences .....................10 Exhibit 5. Soil Limitations for Septic Systems ................................................................11 Exhibit 6. Sewer Services ..............................................................................................18 Figure 7. Alternate Travel Routes ..................................................................................20 Exhibit 8. Current Land Use 27 Exhibit 9. Future 'Build' Land Use 28 Exhibit 10. Future `No Build' Land Use ..........................................................................29 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ii 1 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ' ICE Analysis Update ' EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The North Carolina Department of Transportation proposes to construct a new 7.5-mile four-lane divided freeway with full access control known as TIP X-0002B/C. This project is the next phase of the Fayetteville Outer Loop. The previous phases (X-0002D/E) ' connected 1-95 in the Town of Eastover to Ramsey Street (US 401). The proposed new section will continue from Ramsey Street to Bragg Boulevard (NC24). An Indirect and Cumulative Effects Report (ICE) was completed in March 2005 ' (Fayetteville Outer Loop Indirect and Cumulative Impact Analysis - Cumberland, Hoke, and Robeson Counties, T.I.P. Project Number U-25191X-28&C) to provide an analysis of the potential long-term, induced effects of the proposed project (NCDOT 2005). ' One of the study's conclusions was that the X-0002 project in its entirety could encourage development in northeast Fayetteville. This conclusion, along with comments from the North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) have led to a shift in study ' area to encompass the entire 14.3 mile long X-0002 (B/C and D/E) portion of the Outer Loop. This document serves as an update to the original ICE and focuses on the X-0002 ' portion of the Outer Loop. In addition, an analysis of land use associated with Build and No Build scenarios was completed and analyzed for the ICE Update study area. These scenarios were used to determine how the Outer Loop might affect the level of growth in the area. A comparison between the Build and No Build scenarios indicates that growth and development will continue within the ICE Update study area regardless of the construction of the X-0002B/C section of the Outer Loop. The study area to the west of the Cape Fear River is already densely developed and plans have already been approved for the expansion of many subdivisions in the remaining undeveloped areas. While the X-00026/C section may spur the redevelopment of properties around Bragg Boulevard and Murchison Road, it is not likely to cause an increase in impervious surfaces since the existing development is high density. This redevelopment could also be spurred by the expansion of the Fort Bragg population or the widening of Murchison ' Road. Although the completed outer loop will reduce travel time and distance, it is likely that it has already opened the area east of the Cape Fear River to development by providing ' easy access to Fayetteville and Fort Bragg. It is anticipated that this growth will continue at a low rate retaining some of the rural character of the area. The widening of other roads in the study area will improve access to Fort Bragg from the area east of the river ' if the X-0002B/C portion of the Outer Loop is not constructed. The cumulative effects as noted in the original ICE study remain unchanged. While the original report stated that the entire Outer Loop may constitute a cumulative impact of ' the study area, it also noted that current development laws and regulations "will support appropriate land development and in turn minimize any development-related effects" (NCDOT 2005). ' It is important to note that the completed X-0002D/E section is one of the main drivers of these cumulative effects as it opened up a new area to development by removing the natural constraint of the Cape Fear River and creating a new artery into the City of 1 iii Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ' ICE Analysis Update Fayetteville. The U-2519 portion of the Outer Loop is also a driver of cumulative effects. ' The original ICE reported that growth around that section is high regardless of completion of the U-2519 portion. The X-0002B/C portion of the Outer Loop acts as a connector for these two growth stimulating pieces. Further, the X-0002B/C portion of the ' Outer Loop is located in one of the more developed areas of the entire proposed corridor. Finally Fort Bragg is the main employer in the county and growth related to the base can be attributed to much of the population growth in the county. For these reasons the X-0002B/C segment should not be considered a primary driver of growth or land use , impacts in the region. 1 1 iv ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 1 INTRODUCTION ' 1.1 Project Background and Purpose The entire Fayetteville Outer Loop includes approximately 35 miles of multi-lane freeway mostly on new location. The purpose of this analysis is to update and expand an existing indirect and cumulative effects (ICE) analysis that was completed in 2005 for portions equaling 27.8 miles in length of the Fayetteville Outer Loop (TIP U-2519, X-0002B, and X-0002C). The original ICE analysis identified a study area from 1-95 south of Hope Mills ' to Ramsey Street (US401) (Exhibit 1). One of the study's conclusions was that the X-0002 project in its entirety could encourage development in northeast Fayetteville. This conclusion, along with comments ' from the North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ) have led to a shift in study area to encompass the entire 14.3 mile long X-0002 portion of the Outer Loop. The TIP X-0002 is divided into a number of sections. Sections D and E are approximately 7.5 ' miles in length and start at 1-95 in the Town of Eastover cross the Cape Fear River and end at Ramsey Street (US401) in Fayetteville. Section D and E were completed 2005. Sections B and C are less than 7 miles in length and start at Ramsey Street and end just east of NC24. ' The analysis of indirect and cumulative effects associated with the X-0002 portion of the Fayetteville Outer Loop was conducted utilizing guidelines established in the NCDOT/NCDENR NEPA/SEPA/401 Eight-Step ICE Assessment Process (NCDOT 2004). In addition to a qualitative analysis of No-Build and Build scenarios, this study contains an analysis of the land use associated with the two scenarios. ' N V s n e ' MO E 401 P ke G,tQe Fear R ' Fort Bragg Military Reservati SAMP ON OUNTY + 0 24 HOK OUNTYS Exhibit 1. Vicinity Map and Study Area Fayetteville Outer Loop CUMB RLAN ICE Update Report CO NTY TIP No. X0002 Roads County boundaries X-0002B/ C Updated ICE study area ROB ON UN U-2519 Original ICE study area ' 0 5 Has Rivers 1 1 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 1.2 ICE Update Study Area Boundary and Time Horizon ' A variety of information was reviewed including the original ICE Study, area land use plans, sewer service areas, census tracts, 14-digit hydrologic unit code (HUC) boundaries, and Transportation Areas Zone (TAZ) boundaries in order to determine the appropriate ICE Update study area boundaries. To the west, Bragg Boulevard (NC24) serves as the study area boundary as this report does not examine effects regarding the U-2519 portion of the roadway. From this point east to McArthur Road, the northern and , southern limits of the study area coincide with the original ICE study area boundaries. In order to encompass the remainder of the X-0002 roadway, the study area was expanded east beyond 1-95 and north to the Cape Fear River. The boundary coincides with the ' TAZ boundaries up to the planning area limits for the Towns of Eastover and Wade. A time horizon of 2005 to 2035 was set for this analysis as it coincides with the recently released "Population and Economics Study for the Fayetteville Urbanized Area and , Cumberland County" (FAMPO 2006). Other plans are currently in progress for the ICE Update study area that contained shorter time horizons. 1.3 No Build Alternative The No-Build Alternative consists of not implementing the 7-mile stretch of the Bypass between Ramsey Street and Bragg Boulevard. Since the original ICE was completed in March 2005, the first section of the Fayetteville Outer Loop (X-0002D/E) has been completed and opened. This is the only change to the existing conditions. The appendix contains the transportation projects listed in the Draft 2009-2015 North Carolina Transportation Improvement Program for Cumberland County. Only those projects that will add capacity are included. As noted in the original ICE, Murchison Road will be widened (TIP U-4444) and Bragg Boulevard will be closed to non-military traffic between Gruber Road and Butner Road. Other projects in the study area are described in section ' 4.4. 1.4 Build Alternative , The Preferred Alternative for the X-0002 portion of the Bypass starts at Bragg Boulevard (NC 24) and continues east through an interchange at Murchison Road (NC 87/210). It then extends south of Smith Lake to an interchange with McArthur Road and then turns , northeast and parallels Andrews Road (SR 1611). The planned portion ends just west of Ramsey Street (US 401). The road has already been constructed from Ramsey Street east over the Cape Fear River, through an interchange at River Road and ending at 1-95 (Exhibit 2). 1.5 Project Purpose and Need The purpose and need of the project has not changed since the original ICE. Now that ' more than half of the X-0002 portion is complete and the U-2519 portion is due to let beginning in November 2008, a gap has been left in the Proposed Bypass in a heavily developed part of the corridor. 2 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update o / 401 ( IT, 71 Falcon > Fort Bragg f / Springzl / r~ Luke - ~1 i,- ,•ti Z T Wade, ` 1- 295 y ` ~ / - ~Z 2a ,y. tic -T 2'C 29S qNG~ US 13 - 03 ~ -po; ~ "v ~ ~ „Eastover_ 1 ~ • -41 <Fayetteville % 1 s 24 ~ r Interchanges Fort Bragg Exhibit 2. Project Map X0002 B/C (proposed) Primary Roads Fayetteville Outer Loop /N/ X0002 D/E (completed) Roads ICE Update Report ICE Update study area Municipal boundaries TIP No. X0002 ,----1 Rivers County boundaries 3 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 2 ICE UPDATE STUDY AREA CHARACTERISTICS 2.1 Population Trends ' The population of Cumberland County as a whole increased 10%, 274,566 to 302,963, from 1990 to 2000 and a little over 1%, up to 306,545 from 2000 to 2006. The City of ' Fayetteville saw a 60% (75,695 to 121,015) increase from 1990 to 2000 and a 44% increase from 2000 to 2006 (121,015 to 173,898). However, most of this increase could be attributed to annexation of developed areas that occurred during those periods. The Towns of Eastover and Wade experienced an 11 % (1,243 to 1,376) and 102% (238 to 480) growth in population respectively, from 1990 to 2000. The 2006 population municipal and county estimates are published by the North Carolina State Demographics Office. As mentioned above, FAMPO released a draft population and economics study in 2008 for the Fayetteville Urbanized Area and Cumberland County. For this report, population projections to the year 2035 were performed for each TAZ in the County. The base 2005 population is higher than that reported by the NC State Demographics Office as it was produced from projections based on Census 2000 data. These projections predict a 28% increase in the population of Cumberland County from 2005 to 2035. Within the ICE update study area, the projected increase in population outpaces that of Cumberland County, at 35% over the 30 year period (Table 1). The yearly population increase is less than 1.2% for the study area. Table 1. Population projections, 2005 - 2035 Area Po ulation 30 Year Growth 2005 2035 # people % ICE Update Stud Area 39476 53401 13925 35% Cumberland Count 319217 409267 90050 28% Defense Base Closure and Realignment Commission (BRAG) has reported that military restructuring will result in an increase of military personnel and family as well as civilian , contractors on the Fort Bragg Military Reservation by 2013. A preliminary impact assessment examined the population and housing impacts on the counties surrounding the base (BRAG 2008). Since the restructuring will be completed by 2013, the assessment period was set as 2006-2013. In that time period, the Cumberland County population is expected to increase by approximately 26,000 people with 8,000 of those people attributed to military restructuring. The 2013 population projection calculated for the impact assessment was similar to those calculated by FAMPO. This reaffirms that ' although the FAMPO 2005 estimate is higher than the State estimate, it is reasonable. 2.2 Housing Units ' The number of housing units in the region has increased substantially from 1990 to 2006. Cumberland County has seen a 33% increase in the number of households while Fayetteville has seen a 154% increase (US Census 2006). However, most of the , Fayetteville increase can be attributed to annexation. 2006 census data is not currently available for either the Town of Wade or the Town of Eastover, but 2000 Census data shows that the Town of Eastover experienced a 17% increase in housing units between 4 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 1 ICE Analysis Update 1990 and 2000, and Wade saw a 100% increase. As the number of housing units grew (faster than the rate of population increase), the household size decreased from 2.77 to 2.36 persons per household in Cumberland County. The same trend is true for the three municipalities in the ICE Update study area, where the average household sizes also ' decreased during that time period (Table 2). Residential construction activity has far outpaced the population growth in Cumberland County (BRAG 2008). ' The Fayetteville Metropolitan Planning Organization performed housing projections for the years 2005 to 2035, and based on the expected population growth in the region, predicted a 35% increase in housing units within the ICE Update study area (from 18,483 to 25,003 units) (FAMPO, 2008). The number of existing housing units and the additional units needed in each TAZ varies considerably among the TAZs in the study area. Some TAZs will see no increase in housing units while others will experience significant increases. Table 2. Housing Units, 1990 - 2006 Area No. of Housin Unitss Household Size 1990 2000 2006 1990 2000 2006 Eastover 529 621 NA 2.43 2.32 NA Wade 110 220 NA 2.36 2.45 NA 1 Fayette ille 31712 53565 80434 2.47 2.42 2.22 Cumberland County , 98360 118425 131553 2.77 2.65 2.36 NA = Not Available In addition, the Draft Fort Bragg/Pope Air Force Base Joint Land Use Study Update (RLUAC 2008) examined the housing and land use implications of the increased ' population within the five-mile buffer surrounding Fort Bragg. A five-mile buffer was selected for that study as it was assumed BRAC related growth would have a major impact on a broad area of at least five miles. It excludes from consideration the personnel who will live on Fort Bragg in new and existing base housing. The Joint Land Use Study predicted that 5,665 additional housing units would be necessary in the Cumberland County portion of the 5-mile buffer to accommodate the population by 2013. This ICE Update study area occupies approximately 27% of the Cumberland County part of the buffer. As a straight ratio, this would mean 1,530 additional housing units would be needed in the study area over the next five years. However, this assumes even distribution throughout the Cumberland County part of the buffer which is unlikely since large areas are already built out in the west while others are undeveloped. As such, it is possible that more of the BRAC growth will occur in the eastern portion of the Cumberland County buffer than in the western half. Housing needs are directly related to 1 population increase and since the population estimate from FAMPO is in line with the BRAC estimates, FAMPO's estimate of housing needs is in accord with the BRAC and Joint Land Use studies. The FAMPO housing projections were used to develop the No Build and Build scenarios as described in section 7. 5 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 , ICE Analysis Update 3 ICE UPDATE STUDY AREA NOTABLE FEATURES 3.1 Water Resources 3. 1.1 Streams , There are two sub-basins of the Cape Fear River watershed in the ICE Update study area: sub-basin 03-06-15 which drains the majority of the study area; and sub-basin 03- , 06-18 drains a small portion in the southeastern corner. The Cape Fear River flows from north to south through the middle of the ICE Update study area. Main tributaries such as Bakers Swamp, Carvers, Greens, and McPherson Creeks contribute flow to the Cape Fear River within the study area. Other main tributaries such as Cross Creek, Little Cross Creek, Flat Swamp Ditch, Gum Log Canal, and Reece Creek contribute flow to the Cape Fear River south of the study area (Exhibit 3). Tributaries in the southeastern corner include Big Creek and Little Creek. ' 3.1.2 Stream Classification NCDWQ classifies Bakers Swamp, Brachcoast Swamp, Flat Swamp Ditch, Gum Log Canal, Locks Creek, and Reece Creek as Class C waters. Big Creek and Little Creek are classified as CSw. The Cape Fear River within the ICE Update study area is mostly classified as WS-IV, with one segment classified as WS-V and another as WS-IV CA. Other WS-IV waters include Cross Creek, Little Cross Creek, McPherson Creek (College Lake), and North Prong Carvers Creek. Carvers Creek, Greens Creek, and McPherson Creek (Wooded Lake) are all classified as WS-IV&B. Stream classification definitions are found below. Streams crossed by the new portion of the Outer Loop corridor (TIP X002 B & C) include Little Cross Creek, Cross Creek, and McPherson Creek (and their unnamed tributaries). ' Main tributaries crossed by the already constructed portion of the corridor (TIP X002 D & E) include McPherson Creek, Carvers Creek, and the Cape Fear River. • WS-V - waters protected as water supplies, which are generally upstream, and , draining to Class WS-IV waters or waters used by industry to supply their employees with drinking water or as waters formerly used as water supply. • WS-IV - water sources of water supply for drinking, culinary, or food processing purposes and are generally located within moderately to highly-developed watersheds and involve no categorical restrictions on discharges. • Class B - waters protected for all Class C uses in addition to primary recreation. Primary recreational activities include swimming, skin diving, water skiing, and ' similar uses involving human body contact with water where such activities take place in an organized manner or on a frequent basis. • Class C - waters protected for secondary recreation, fishing, wildlife, fish and aquatic ' life propagation and survival, and agriculture. There are no restrictions on watershed development or types of discharges. • Sw - Swamp waters is a supplemental classification intended to recognize those waters that generally have naturally occurring very low velocities, low pH, and low- dissolved oxygen. No specific restrictions on discharge types or development are involved. • No waters classified as High Quality Waters (HQW), Trout Waters Jr), or , Outstanding Resource Waters (ORW) occur within the study area. 6 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ' ICE Analysis Update 3.1.3 Water Supply Watersheds Three water supply watersheds (Cape Fear River, Big Cross Creek, and Little Cross Creek) are located within the ICE Update study area (Exhibit 3). Each of the water supply watersheds are classified as WS-IV (see definition above). As such, these watersheds carry certain development regulations as described in section 4.1.1 in order to protect them as water supplies. 3.1.4 Impaired Waters The Draft 2008 303(d) Impaired Waters List enumerates those waterbodies in North Carolina that do not meet state water quality standards. In the study area, only one 1 stream segment was identified as not meeting water quality standards. It is a segment of Little Cross Creek from Kornbow Lake to a point 0.5 miles upstream of the backwaters of Glenville Lake (Stream Index #18-27-4-(1)e) located entirely on Fort Bragg. The segment is classified as WS-IV, and is listed as impaired for ecological/biological integrity and benthos (Exhibit 3). Outside of the study area, two other segments of Little Cross Creek are also listed as impaired. A stressor study completed in 2003 indicated that increased impervious causing bank erosion and sedimentation are likely stressors to the benthic community in Little Cross Creek. A stressor survey in 2003 also noted tannin stained waters, trash and urban debris, elevated ammonia levels, and periphyton growths (NCDWQ, 2005a). In 1998, Fayetteville received a $63,000 Clean Water Management Trust Fund (CWMTF) grant to conduct a nutrient, sediment, and bacteria susceptibility study in the Little Cross Creek watershed. The study identified 98 projects to reduce sediment loading and prioritized 35 of the projects. In 2002, Fayetteville received a $766,000 CWMTF grant to design five stormwater structures and to acquire 21 acres for one of the 1 ponds (NCDWQ, 2005a). 3.2 Protected Species There are six federally protected species listed for Cumberland County on the newest (2008) protected species list (Table 3). Another 24 species are listed as federal species of concern in the county. Sixty-six element occurrences of rare and endangered species are located within the ICE Update study area by the North Carolina Natural Heritage Program (2008). There are also 33 exemplary or unique natural ecosystems in the study area. These occurrences are concentrated mostly in the western portion of the study area (with a large number occurring on Ft. Bragg) and in areas along the Cape Fear River, such as Carvers Creek Sandhills and Cape Fear Bluff (Exhibit 4). Many of these areas are I protected from development through public ownership or conservation easements as described in the next section. In addition to the protected areas in the study area, NCDOT purchased the 2,500-acre Calloway Forest Site in 2001 and donated it to the Nature Conservancy in 2002. This site serves as mitigation for red-cockaded woodpecker impacts in the Sand Hills region. i 1 7 I Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update Table 3. Federally protected species in Cumberland County Scientific Name Common Name Federal Status Alligator mississi iensis American Alligator Threatened S/A Neon m ha mitchelli francisci St. Francis' Satyr Butterfly Endangered Picoides borealis Red-cockaded Woodpecker Endangered Lindera melissifolia Pondberr Endangered L simachia as erulaefolia Rough-leaved Loosestrife Endangered Rhus michauxii Michaux's Sumac Endangered Schwalbea americana American Chaffseed Endangered (S/A) = Threatened due to similarity of appearance. 3.3 Natural Heritage Sites The North Carolina Natural Heritage Program documents the status and distribution of , the rarest plants and animals, as well as the best examples of natural communities throughout the state. These inventories have been used to identify natural heritage sites of national, state, and regional significance. Several of these natural heritage sites are present within the ICE Update study area (Exhibit 4). The Bonnie Doone Natural Area, comprised of approximately 548 acres, lies in the southwest corner of the study area. This area is owned and protected by the City of Fayetteville. The Cape Fear River Bluff is located along the banks of the Cape Fear River in the northeast corner of the study area. Other natural heritage areas include Carvers Falls, the Fort Bragg Nea Bog Complex Natural Area, the River Road Hardwoods, the Methodist College Hardwood Slopes, and Carvers Creek Sandhills. A portion of the Methodist College Hardwood Slopes and areas immediately north have been protected with conservation easements. To date, portions of the Carvers Creek Sandhills natural heritage area have been authorized as a state park as part of the New Parks for a New Century Initiative approved by the North Carolina General Assembly in 2005 (NCDPR, 2007). A portion of this park lies within the current study area, but a master plan for the park has not yet been developed. However, there are currently several areas of interest for expansion of , the park to the west, which also lie partially within the current study area (Exhibit 4) (personal communication, John Amaroso, North Carolina Department of Parks and Recreation). 3.4 Soils Soils in the study area were reviewed for septic suitability as this can have an affect on potential development. According to the soil survey, soils within the study area have severe development limitations due to their low permeability and strength. Furthermore, the soil data shows that approximately 69.9% of the study area has severe limitations for septic tank use, 13.8% with moderate, and 13.2% with slight limitations (3.1% of the soils classes have unclassified limitations). Limitations are considered slight if soil properties and site features are generally favorable for the indicated use and limitations are minor and easily overcome. Moderate signifies soil properties or site features that are not favorable for use as a septic tank drain field and special planning, design, or maintenance is necessary to overcome or minimize limitations. Severe indicates soil properties or site features that are so unfavorable that special design, significant increases in construction cost, and possibly increased maintenance are required (USDA, 1984). A map of soil septic tank suitability within the study area is presented in Exhibit 5. 8 r r r wi tw w~ ww w w ~w IM M w Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update N- T C ~ a o r • ~1 Fort Bragg: 41 - - v ; / y / f l 4 ps J~ 11 ~ i t . !y~ fir- e ~O r - b -22.5 5 Mile - v Exhibit 3. Streams X0002 - B/C (proposed) Water Resources 303d-listed streams X0002 - D/E (completed) Fayetteville Outer Loop Water supply watersheds Major roads ICE Update Report TIP No. X0002 100-year floodplain ICE Update study area 1 Fort Bragg ' L --j boundary 9 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update f Fort Bragg 401 G°1 O C -0 0- 0 O ;J e r 2.5 X0002 - B/C (proposed) ® Park area of interest Carvers Creek Sandhills Exhibit 4. X0002 - D/E (completed) Carver Creek Sandhills State Park Carvers Falls State Parks, Natural Heritage Major roads o Natural Heritage element occurence Ft. Bragg Nea Bog Complex Areas and Element Occurences Streams Natural Heritage Areas Methodist College Hardwood Slopes Fayetteville Outer Loop ICE Update study area Bonnie Doone Natural Area River Road Hardwoods ICE Update Report TIP No. X0002 L__ I County boundary Cape Fear River Bluff Upper Cape Fear River Ft. Bragg 10 r rr rr rr r r~ ri rr rr rr rr r~ r r~ r r r Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 1 a Fort Br g 1.~v aot ` "ZIA 14 f v / / v P ~ I \V,~ 2.5 Septic limitation 0 X0002 - B/C (proposed) Exhibit 5. Soil Septic Limitation Not applicable X0002 - D/E (completed) Fayetteville Outer Loop Slight Major roads ICE Update Report Moderate Streams r Severe Fort Bragg TIP No. X0002 Q ICE Update study area County boundary ` 11 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 , ICE Analysis Update 4 ICE UPDATE STUDY AREA PLANNING CONTEXT 4.1 Local Regulations and Plans ' 4.1.1 Water Supply Watershed Management and Protection Regulations As stated in section 3.1.3, there are three water supply watersheds (WS-IV) located ' within the ICE Update study area. Development in these watersheds must adhere State of North Carolina Water Supply Watershed Protection rules for WS-IV watersheds. Low density development requires a 30-foot stream buffer while high density development requires a 100-foot buffer. Development is considered low density if there is one dwelling per half acre or 24% built upon area. If a curb and gutter street system is not installed, built upon surfaces can equal 36% or 1/3 acre lots. High-density options using engineered storm water control devices are permitted as long as it does not exceed 70 , percent built-upon area. This rule applies to new development and redevelopment. As redevelopment occurs in the western portion of the study area, stormwater control may improve since many of the areas were developed prior to implementation of water supply protections. 4.1.2 Stormwater Management In 1995, the City of Fayetteville and unincorporated areas of Cumberland County implemented a stormwater utility to provide a mechanism to fund efforts to comply with the requirements of NPDES permits issued under Phase I of the USEPA stormwater program. Stormwater Services is a joint City of Fayetteville & Cumberland County agency that provides limited assistance relating to drainage problems and assures compliance to the State issued National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) Municipal Stormwater Permit. The City and County are currently operating under a Phase I NPDES permit serving a population of over 100,000. However, since 1995 the City of Fayetteville has annexed several of its surrounding urban areas in the County. As such, the County has filed to be removed from the Phase I list to be placed , on the Phase II list (for populations under 100,000). This decision is still pending. The City of Fayetteville would remain on the Phase I list. Further details on Phase I and II rules can be found in the original ICE report. Under Phase I stormwater rules, the local government agency is required to develop, implement and enforce a stormwater management program that includes public education, illicit discharge detection and elimination, storm sewer system and land use mapping, and analytical monitoring. Under a Phase II permit, all regulated small MS4 operators must develop, implement and enforce a stormwater management program designed to reduce the discharge of ' pollutants from their MS4 to the "maximum extent practicable," to protect water quality, and to satisfy the appropriate water quality requirements of the Clean Water Act. The small MS4 stormwater management program must include the following six minimum control measures: public education and outreach; public participation/involvement; illicit , discharge detection and elimination; construction site runoff control; post-construction runoff control; and pollution prevention/good housekeeping. Finally, regulated small MS4 operators must identify its selection of BMPs (Best Management Practices) and ' measurable goals for each minimum measure in the permit application. The evaluation 12 ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update and assessment of the BMPs and measurable goals must be included in periodic reports to the NPDES permitting authority. Construction stormwater controls within the City of Fayetteville and Cumberland County ' are subject to the North Carolina Sedimentation and Erosion Act. Under this act, projects that are 5 acres or larger must obtain a permit for the discharge of stormwater from construction sites. For post-construction stormwater controls, the County is subject to NPDES Phase II stormwater controls, administered by NCDENR. The City of Fayetteville is currently developing a post-construction stormwater control ordinance, but it is yet to be implemented. Furthermore, Section 9 Part c of North Carolina Senate Bill 1566 outlines stormwater controls under the Phase II permit necessary for a project that disturbs one acre or more of land. For low-density development projects (projects with less than 24% built-upon ' area) vegetated conveyances must be used to the maximum extent practicable to transport stormwater runoff from the project. On-site stormwater treatment devices such as bioretention and infiltration areas may also be used. For high-density development (greater than 24% built-upon area) structural stormwater management systems must be used that will control and treat runoff from the first one inch of rain. As was the case with water supply protections, these stormwater management regulations apply to new development and redevelopment. Therefore stormwater control 1 may improve as redevelopment occurs. 4.1.3 Cumberland County 2010 Land Use Plan The Cumberland County 2010 Land Use Plan was developed to serve as a guide for the revitalization of existing development and a framework for future development in Cumberland County (CCJPB 1996). To those ends, the plan defined an Urban Services ' Area (USA) for the County. The USA concept divides the County into urban and rural sectors, each with their own respective development requirements. The rural sector of the County is also designated as the Farmland Protection Area (FPA). ' The plan also proposes the integration of Municipal Influence Areas (MIAs) within the USA concept. In the absence of extra-territorial jurisdiction, MIAs would provide the municipalities with the ability to set specific municipal development standards within their respective MIA. The plan recommends the use of MIAs in order to address urban sprawl issues, farmland protection, preservation of a rural atmosphere, and growth management in the County. ' Whereas previous development patterns in Cumberland County favored 'strip' development, the plan now proposes the use of the 'nodal/corridor' type for future urban development within the USA. This style of development focuses central urban ' development along major thoroughfares, with progressively lower density development moving outward from this centralized development. The land use categories in the plan include residential, commercial, office and institutional, industrial, social/governmental/recreational/open space, farmland, and activity nodes. Residential land use consists of five categories: rural residential (<2 housing units per acre), suburban (two housing units per acre), low density (up to 6 units per acre), medium density (up to 13 single and multi-family units per acre), and high density (greater than 13 per acre). Within the FPA, residential development is restricted to the rural residential category (<2 dwellings per acre). Residential development of all categories is allowed with the USA. Activity nodes are meant to encourage the 13 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 , ICE Analysis Update nodal/corridor' type of urban development, focusing concentrations of non-residential development at major intersections. The majority of the updated ICE study area is comprised of the Urban Services Area described in the 2010 Cumberland Land Use Plan. Approximately a quarter of the study area lies within the Farmland Protection Area. This section occurs east of the Cape Fear River and north of the X-0002D/E portions of the Outer Loop as well as east of 1-95. After the 2010 plan was complete, a number of small area plans were developed for specific areas around the County. The ICE Update study area falls within three small area plans, North Fayetteville, Eastover, and Wade. These plans were incorporated into the 2010 plan future land use map. The plans will continue to take precedence over the 2030 Growth Vision Plan that the County is currently preparing. 4.1.4 North Fayetteville Area Land Use Plan The North Fayetteville Land Use Plan, completed in 2002, covers an area bounded by , the Cape Fear River to the east, McArthur Road to the west, Country Club Drive (US 401) to the south, and to the north McCloskey Road. The plan also calls for improving local streets in the area of the Outer Loop. Specific plan recommendations include: (1) designation of a non-residential activity node at the proposed interchange of the Fayetteville Outer Loop and McArthur Road (SR 1600); (2) the development of incentives to promote infill development inside of the Outer Loop; (3) provide for , industrial expansion; (4) accommodate existing and future commercial needs without stripping the major corridors; (5) enable expansion of office and institutional uses; (6) concentrate higher-density residential development in areas with adequate utilities; and (7) provide environmental corridors and open space (CCJPB 2002). 4.1.5 Wade Area Land Use Plan The Wade Study Area Citizen Planning Committee developed a proposed land use plan , for the Wade area in 2003. Residential development covers the majority of the planning area. Residential densities include areas with up to 13.5 lots per acre of multi-family housing (2%), 3-4 houses per acre (9%), 2 houses per acre (1%), and one-acre lots ' (38%). Almost 19% of the Wade area is proposed for use as farmland in the northeastern and southeastern portions of area. Another 8% is denoted for open space use. Under this plan, less than 2% of the total area is recommended for commercial, office, institutional, and governmental uses (CCJPB 2003). Over 20% of the Wade area is being promoted for industrial use. Planners recognize the potential for industry placement in the Town due to the presence of large available tracts , of land that exhibit many of the necessities for mega-industries. These necessities include access to natural gas transmission lines, rail access, and the future availability of public water and sewer. The plan also notes that with the completion of the X-0002D , portion of the Outer Loop, these potential industries will have the needed access to the interstate system. As the road is constructed, it will provide a close commuting distance for the work force. Other development effects of the Outer Loop in the Wade area include a planned Activity Node at the interchange of River Road and the Outer Loop. 4.1.6 Eastover Area Land Use Plan The Eastover Plan was completed in 2000 before the town was incorporated. The plan notes that two factors that will most likely initiate growth pressures and further development in the Eastover area: 1) the construction of the Fayetteville Outer Loop that 14 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update I traverses the northern portion of the planning area and 2) the introduction of public water service to a large portion of the area west of US 301. According to the plan, Eastover is becoming one of the "choice" areas in the County for rural living. Currently, a low ' number of Armed Forces personnel live east of the Cape Fear River. Population has increased by 29% in the Eastover area from 1970 to 1990. Planners expect that growth will continue in this area "given the increases in the total population, labor force, income levels, the total number of housing units, as well as future availability of infrastructure" ' (CCJPB 2000). Since the plan was finished, the Outer Loop has been completed in the planning area and water and sewer service are more readily available. Future landuse in the study area is defined in the small area plan and the Cumberland County 2010 Land Use Plan (see section 4.1.3 for description). The plan identifies an Activity Node at the 1-95/Outer Loop interchange. The Urban Services Area, where development is promoted, covers much of the planning area. The plan notes an increase ' in development is expected once the Outer Loop provides a direct access to Fort Bragg and Fayetteville shopping areas. This direct access was achieved upon completion of the X-0002D/E portion including the new bridge crossing. 4.1.7 2008 Fort Bragg/Pope Air Force Base Land Use Study Update The US Armed Forces have been undergoing base realignment and closures, resulting in a planned increase of troops in the Ft. Bragg area. The anticipated growth of over 25,000 people is likely to have a major impact on a broader area in the region. The Fort Bragg/Pope Air Force Base Joint Land Use Study Update is an expansion of the original plan, completed in 2003, that focused on a 1-mile buffer around the military bases. The 1 2008 joint land use plan means to serve as a 'roadmap' for providing sustainable development in the Ft. Bragg area as this population increase occurs - to balance the need to protect the training mission of the fort, preserve the surrounding environment, and ensure the health, safety, and welfare of the population living near the base (BRAG 2008). The 2008 plan extends the focus out to a 5-mile buffer around Fort Bragg, identifies lands that are "critically important" (7%) or "important" (25%) to conserve, and ' land that is suitable for various forms of urban development (64%). The study notes that much of the five-mile study area is served by public water through the city system, and nearly one quarter is currently served by public sewer. Availability of ' water makes it attractive for nearly all types of urban development. But some of these areas are unsuitable due to military factors such as high-noise areas, aircraft accident potential zones, military aircraft low-level training areas, and environmental factors such I as, Red-cockaded Woodpecker foraging areas, prime farmlands, and managed forests. In order to protect these areas, the study proposes the use of "Military Impact Zoning Overlay Districts" which would place additional requirements on development in areas not suitable for most types of urban development. The study also proposes the purchase of critical/important lands from willing sellers, the leasing of development rights on critical/important lands, and the review of rezoning cases. The Notice of Land Use Planning Changes to Military Bases Law, ratified in 2004, requires that all local ' governments in North Carolina notify the commanding officer of a military base of any proposed zoning changes. Although not legally bound by the military response, the local governments must consider the military recommendation before rezoning a parcel of property within the 5-mile buffer. In response to the 2003 plan, the County produced it owns planning document for the one-mile buffer that focused more on conflicts with military uses and activities and less 15 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 , ICE Analysis Update on natural resource conservation. The County does not have to adopt the , recommendations of the 2008 land use plan either. It is unclear what the County will do with this new plan. However, they have been more active in the current planning process along with the surrounding counties and municipalities than in the previous planning , effort (personal communication, Don Belk, BRAC Regional Task Force) 4.2 Sewer Service The availability of water and sewer service will often restrict development in an area. If development does occur in the absence of water or sewer, there are limits on minimum lot sizes in order to accommodate septic systems. Much of the study area east of the Cape Fear River is currently rural with dependency on septic systems. However, sewer service is available, or will become available throughout the study area in the future. Personal communication with county planners and sewer system administrators indicated that it is not a matter of where sewer service will be offered as all are willing to ' expand along with development, but who will provide it. Water service is currently available in more areas than sewer is and will continue to expand along with the sewer service. Since sewer is the more limiting of the two utilities, it is the focus of the following discussion. The following information was accurate at the time this report was written, however the County is going through a planning process to finalize the 2030 Growth Vision Plan for ' the area. This includes discussions of who will provide sewer to specific areas in the county and how it would be regulated and funded. City of Fayetteville - PWC , Sewer service within the City of Fayetteville is provided by the Public Works Commission (PWC). The PWC also serves a few select areas in the ICE Update study area that are outside of the Fayetteville City limits, including Eureka Springs, Andrews Road, Carvers , Falls Road, and the northern Ramsey Street area. There are long-range plans to extend the system to existing developments within the ICE Update study area. Sewer service extensions outside the service area are possible, but are the responsibility of the , individual land developers/owners (personal communication, Tom Cooney, Cumberland County Public Utilities Director) (Exhibit 6). Town of Wade - NORCRESS , The North Cumberland Regional Sewer System (NORCRESS) was established to address severe sewage problems posing a health hazard in the Towns of Wade, Falcon, and Godwin by installing a sewer system in the northern portion of the County. The , NORCRESS District received a federal grant in 2002 from the Department of Agriculture - Rural Utilities Service for the development of sewer systems within the three towns. All three systems convey wastewater to PWC treatment facilities. The Wade system is the only one of the three within the ICE Update study area. The Wade system is currently in place within the town limits (Exhibit 6). Any sewer service extension outside of the District is the responsibility of the individual land developer/owner. , Town of Eastover - Eastover Sanitary District The portion of the study area east of the Cape Fear River is currently served by septic systems. However, the Eastover Sanitary District (ESD) was formed by Eastover ' residents in 1992 after the defeat of a countywide bond proposal for more than $30 million in water and sewer improvements. The boundary of the district extends from the 16 I Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update Cape Fear River in the west to the Sampson County line in the east. It extends north to the Wade Municipal Influence Area (Exhibit 6). The funds committed to this project will construct common transmission facilities to transport wastewater from the area to PWC facilities. Some funds have already been utilized for the installation of sewer. Current sewer lines extend from the intersection of 1-95 and the Outer Loop, along Dunn Road through the Town of Eastover, down to Rock Hill Road. No further extension is planned for the next few years. However, extension is planned out to River Road in future years, with eventual sewer extension in the entire sanitary district. The ESD is requesting a minimum lot size of 1 to 2-acres for new development within its boundaries in order to maintain rural density in the district. However, final say on allowable lot size for this area resides with the County, who has said that higher density development may be permitted (personal communication, Will Denning, Cumberland County Planning Department). Furthermore, `leapfrog' development is permitted in this area, provided the developer will pay for the full line of sewer extension. 4.3 Zoning City of Fayetteville 1 The portion of the ICE Update study area to the west of the Cape Fear River is primarily comprised of the City of Fayetteville. The zoning in this area includes various commercial and professional uses, manufacturing, planned unit development, and different residential densities. The majority of this section of the study area is zoned for residential use at a density of 2-4 dwellings per acre (51%). Residential uses at a density of 7-13 dwellings per acre, including single and multi-family units, comprise 15% of the City within the study area. Planned unit development is a residential use that utilizes the clustering of residences to allow for open space and complementary commercial use. Twenty percent of this area is zoned for planned unit development. The remainder of this section of the study area is zoned for commercial, professional, or manufacturing use. The distribution of these various landuses is uniform throughout this western portion of the study area. Cumberland County Zoning ordinances put forth by Cumberland County apply to all unincorporated areas in the county, including the Town of Wade. The Town of Eastover has also adopted Cumberland County zoning ordinances in its area land use plan (see section 4.2.6). I Within this portion of the study area, 71% is zoned for agriculture, 8% for rural residential density (less than 2 houses per acre), 6% for planned unit development, 3% for manufacturing, 3% for residential with up to 9 units per acre (R6 and R6A), and 1% for commercial. Another 3% of the area is zoned as a conservation district, and is located primarily within the 100-year floodplain of the Cape Fear River. Less than 0.1% of the area is zoned for office/institutional use. The remaining area is zoned for various ' residential densities 4%). The agricultural zone is distributed evenly throughout the portion of the study area east of the Cape Fear River. All other uses are focused either within or near the Towns of Eastover or Wade, or just west of the Cape Fear River. All planned unit development zones appear on the west side of the Cape Fear River. 17 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update ? ~ 4 I 0 Fort Bragg 401 Q , a ° 1 24 4 - - i Exhibit 6. Eastover Sanitary District X0002 - B/C (proposed) Sewer Services Wade sewer service area /S/ X0002 - D/E (completed) Fayetteville Outer Loop Fayetteville sewer service area Major roads ICE Update Report ICE Update study area Streams TIP No. X0002 _ : Fort Bragg ; County boundary 18 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 4.4 Other Transportation Improvement Projects ' The Fayetteville Metropolitan Area Transportation Improvement Program, updated biennially, covers a seven-year schedule in concurrence with the North Carolina State ' Transportation Improvement Program. The programs identify a priority list of specific improvements to transportation facilities including highway construction, bridge replacement, safety improvements, and transit needs among others (FAMPO, 2007). A complete list of projects which lead to an increase in roadway capacity as recorded on ' the FAMPO and State TIP lists for Cumberland County are presented in Appendix A. There are three main projects listed in the TIP that apply to the ICE Update study area. First, Bragg Boulevard (NC 24/87) will be widened to six lanes from its intersection with the US 401 Bypass to the proposed Fayetteville Outer Loop, where an interchange will be constructed. Second, Murchison Road (NC 210) will be widened to six lanes from Bragg Boulevard in Spring Lake (NC 24-87-210) to Rowan Street, with an interchange at the Outer Loop. Finally, Shaw Road (SR 1437), Shaw Mill Road (SR 1614), and Rosehill Road - Stacey Weaver Drive (SR 1615) will be interconnected and widened to multiple lanes. This improvement project will create a continuous road parallel to the Outer Loop ' from just west of the Ramsey Street to Bragg Boulevard (the X-0002B/C portion). It should be noted that the Outer Loop is also listed on the TIP and is an integral part of the planning of other improvement projects. 5 ACTIVITIES CAUSING EFFECTS ' The original ICE study was reviewed to determine if there have been any changes to the impact causing activities in the study area. The area east of the river was also examined ' to determine impact causing activities. 5.1 Proposed Development and Transportation Projects ' In addition to what is listed in the original ICE study, there are almost 500 housing units either currently under construction or recently approved for construction east of the Cape Fear River. No transportation improvements are planned east of the river now that the X- 0002D/E portion of the Outer Loop is complete. A number of improvements are planned west of the river as described in section 4.4 and Appendix A. ' 5.2 Project Related Environmental Effects There are no additional environmental effects to those listed in the original ICE due to the prior completion of the X-0002D/E in the ICE Update study area. 5.3 Project Related Transportation Effects When compared to the Build scenario, the No Build scenario would cause an increase in ' traffic volumes leading to congestion and diminished traffic carrying capacity on the streets throughout the North Fayetteville area. The military would not have a direct connection to 1-95 north of Fayetteville. Convoys would have to travel on the proposed ' southern portion of the Outer Loop or on secondary streets to the Ramsey Street/Outer Loop interchange. In comparison, the Build scenario would alleviate traffic congestion and improve accessibility to the constructed portion of the Outer Loop for commuters and the military. 19 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update , New travel patterns from current conditions are likely to occur in the No Build scenario because of the closing of Bragg Boulevard and the widening of Murchison Road. New ' travel patterns may also occur as other transportation improvement projects are implemented. The Build scenario would provide an access controlled, higher speed alternative route that would link the existing Outer Loop and Fort Bragg. Given that the , construction of the X-000213/C portion of the Outer Loop is on new location, it is anticipated that travel patterns across North Fayetteville would be altered. As noted in the original ICE, the Build alternative will reduce the average daily traffic on many of the ' roads in the study area compared to the No Build (NCDOT 2005). A simple analysis of travel distance and time was conducted for four routes from the Town of Wade to the Bragg Boulevard entrance of Fort Bragg. Three are existing routes and one takes into consideration the completion of the proposed X-000213/C portion of the Outer Loop. Route 1 is the base route that does not consider any of the Outer Loop portions. Route 2 and 3 use the completed portion of the Outer Loop (X-0002D/E) while , Route 4 uses the entire X-0002 portion of the Outer Loop (D/E and B/C) (Figure 7). An average speed of 60mph was used for 1-95 and the Outer Loop, 50mph for Business 95, and 30mph for all other streets with traffic lights. N Falco ring Lake Wade , cuter boo X00p2 DBE 401 ~eaVe D, yet~0 E , Pd 'r¢ ° Sn deb ~r Eastover r1ountN a m 24 Figure 7. Alternate Travel Routes ' Fayetteville ICE Update Report Roads Route 1 O ICE Update study area Route 2 , Municipal boundaries Route 3 0 1.5 3 6 Miles Route 4 20 ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update The analysis shows that the base route (Route 1) is the longest and requires the largest amount of travel time. The distance is reduced slightly for Routes 2 and 3 when using the completed portion of the Outer Loop (X-0002D/E) along with secondary streets through North Fayetteville. Finally Route 4 provides the route with the least distance and time needed to complete the trip (Table 4). This example shows that the Outer Loop will reduce travel distance and time. I Table 4. Travel Distance/Time Analysis Route Distance' Travel Time (miles) (minutes) 1: 1-95 to Business 95 to NC210/24 (Bragg Boulevard) 22.7 31.9 2:1-95 to Outer Loop (X-0002D/E) to 401 Bypass to 20.6 31.3 ' Bragg Blvd 3:1-95 to Outer Loop (X-0002D/E) to Stacy Weaver Dr 19 28 to Shaw Rd to Bragg Blvd 4:1-95 to Outer Loop (X-0002D/E & B/C) to Bragg Blvd 17.2 17.9 interchange 5.4 Potential for Project Related Induced Development ' Project related development has been projected and depicted on a map of the study area for the Build and No Build scenarios (see section 7). ' 6 POTENTIAL INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS The evaluation of factors that may indicate a need for additional analysis as discussed in the original ICE study have not changed significantly with the expansion in study area and therefore are not readdressed in this ICE Update. ' 7 ANALYSIS OF INDIRECT AND CUMULATIVE EFFECTS ' This chapter will compare and contrast the Build and No Build scenarios for the ICE Update study area. An existing land use layer was created first to serve as a baseline view of the study area. No Build and Build land use scenarios were developed using the categories established for the existing land use layer. The scenarios were based on the FAMPO population and housing data, zoning, future land use maps, and personal communication with local planners. The BRAC report was referred to when creating the scenarios however, as noted in section 2, the FAMPO predictions are in line with the ' BRAC population and housing projections. The existing land use layer was used as a base for both scenarios. All existing land areas that had been classified as developed were put in their same categories in the future scenarios. It was assumed that wetlands depicted on the existing land use map would remain wetlands. Buffers were assumed to remain intact and to maintain the same land cover as identified in the existing land use layer. Conservation areas and parks remained undeveloped for both scenarios. 21 i Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 , ICE Analysis Update 7.1 Existing Land Use Existing land use data was unavailable in GIS format for the study area. The County did , have extensive data on the location of all buildings in the study area. The data is used for 911 purposes and was used by FAMPO staff when creating the housing unit projections. This data, coupled with parcel data, 2006 aerial photography, water ' resource data, and field reconnaissance were used to create the existing land use/land cover layer (Exhibit 8). Land use categories are presented in Table 5. Residential land uses were divided into category based on parcel size. Residential lots , over five acres in size were examined using aerial photography to determine the dominant land use of the parcel (agriculture, forest, open). The available County data called any non-residential building commercial regardless of use. Parcel data was used , to divide these commercial buildings into two categories: office/institutional/light industrial and commercial/heavy industrial. The Division of Coastal Management wetland data and the USGS 1:24,000 water body ' data was combined with the existing land use layer. After combining the layers, the areas containing wetlands or water bodies were reviewed to determine if development had occurred there. All non-developed parcels were assigned to the wetland or water categories while developed parcels were not reassigned. All wetlands under an acre in size were deleted. The streams in the three water supply watersheds were given a 30- foot buffer as required by the State regulations. The buffers were combined with the existing land use and assigned to the forest, agriculture, or open categories based on ' land cover determined using aerial photography. Table 5. Land Use Categories and Density ' Land Land Use Category Use Density Code Residential Multi-family RMF townhouses and apartments, <0.17 acres per dwelling unit Residential Very High Density RVH 0.17 - 0.25 acres per dwelling unit Residential High Density RHD 0.25 - 0.5 acres per dwelling unit ' Residential Medium High Density RMH 0.5 - 1 acres per dwelling unit Residential Medium Low Density RML 1 - 1.5 acres per dwelling unit Residential Low Density RLD 1.5 - 2 acres per dwelling unit ' Residential Very Low Density RVL 2 - 5 acres per dwelling unit Commercial/Heavy Industrial COM N/A Office/Institutional/Li ht Industrial OFF N/A Road w/ right-of-way) ROAD N/A Barren Land BARE N/A Golf Courses GOLF N/A Open/Herbaceous OPEN N/A Forest FOR N/A Agriculture AGR N/A Wetland WET N/A Water WAT N/A , 22 , ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update ' The existing land use layer shows in general, the study area to the west of the Cape Fear River is densely developed. Field investigation revealed many under-utilized parcels with abandoned buildings and dwellings in a state of disrepair. However, development is ongoing in some of the newer subdivisions. To the east of the Cape Fear River, the study area land use consists mainly of agriculture and forested land with scattered houses along rural roads. One large subdivision is currently under construction in this area near the river. The Towns of Wade and Eastover both contain small residential areas with very limited commercial properties. One new development was under construction within the Town of Wade. In the southeast corner of the study area, east of 1-95, field reconnaissance revealed new low-density residential housing scattered throughout the area. 7.2 Build Scenario ' The Build land use scenario was developed first, as most of the planning documents for this area since the late 1980's, including the FAMPO Population and Economic Study, have been produced under the assumption that the Outer Loop would be constructed. ' The FAMPO study was the main basis for the Build scenario. Other sources of information included sewer service availability, county and area land use plans and zoning, the BRAC joint land use report, other roadway improvement projects, and field reconnaissance of land use patterns. The FAMPO study incorporates much of this information including Fort Bragg related population increases. Several assumptions were also made for the development of the future Build scenario, including: ' • Sewer availability is not a limitation in the study area, and sewer districts do not impose minimum lot size requirements on development. • Development within the 100-year floodplain is allowed unless it has been conserved as a protected area. ' The FAMPO study includes a description of how the housing and work force projections were calculated. FAMPO staff looked at existing housing in each TAZ and how much would be required to accommodate projected populations. The amount of developable land available in each TAZ and planned roadway projects were taken into consideration when determining projected housing numbers. The result is a prediction of an increase ' in housing units and workforce by TAZ. The TAZ housing and workforce predictions were utilized to determine future development in the study area, while the densities of the development were determined using area land use studies and zoning. For example, if the future land use map indicates "one-acre residential" and 100 additional houses are ' predicted for the TAZ, 100 acres of land would be assigned to the Residential Medium Low Density. Field reconnaissance was performed in order to determine where to place the predicted development in each TAZ. Areas suitable for potential commercial development, residential neighborhoods that could be easily expanded, open area available for development, and neighborhoods with redevelopment potential were noted. From the field reconnaissance, it was determined that in-fill development in many of the ' older neighborhoods east of the river was not likely to occur as many have not been maintained and there is an abundance of available developable lands to establish new neighborhoods. Therefore, the Build scenario east of the river was developed assuming ' very little in-fill of these older neighborhoods. Future housing was first placed in the handful of developments under construction and then in large undeveloped areas. Increases in workforce were predicted along 1-95. The zoning and future land use map 23 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 , ICE Analysis Update both predict commercial and industrial development in this area and at the interchange , on River Road. To accommodate these predictions, commercial land was added in this area along 1-95 and in a small area around the River Road interchange. To the west of the river, there is less available land for residential and commercial , development. Projected housing and commercial needs lead to full build out in many TAZs. In the northern part of the study area there are a number of new developments that will continue to expand. ' Commercial and other non-residential development is expected at the three Outer Loop interchanges west of the river including McArthur Road, Murchison Road, and Bragg Boulevard. Development potential is limited at the McArthur Road interchange as it is bound on one side by Fort Bragg. The Build scenario depicts commercial growth on almost all undeveloped parcels along these three roads were supported by zoning. In addition, it was assumed commercial development would replace some of the older residential units, mainly mobile home parks, located adjacent to the proposed interchanges at McArthur Road and Murchison Road. The proposed roadway is depicted on the Build scenario (Exhibit 9). The roadway will displace a number of residential units near McArthur Road and Murchison Road. 7.3 No-Build Scenario ' The No-Build scenario for the study area is almost identical to the Build scenario (Exhibit 10 and Table 6). The following discussion provides the rational for the differences and similarities between the two scenarios. In general, it should be noted that the projected , growth rate for the area over the next 30 years is low. To the east of river over a quarter of the projected future housing is already under construction or part of a multi-phase development. The already completed X-0002D/E , section of the Outer Loop provides a river crossing and access to Ramsey Street, a major artery. The Eastover sanitary district will provide sewer throughout the area which will facilitate development. Eastover will also be desirable because of its location at I- 95/Business 95 interchange. New developments along River Road have two routes into Fayetteville: 1-95 Business (to downtown) and the X-0002D/E section of the Outer Loop. Limited commercial , development is likely to occur at the River Road interchange with X-0002D/E regardless of the completion of X-0002B/C. The BRAC report indicated three areas where growth was expected to occur because of ' the Base realignment. One of these areas, Eastover, is located within the ICE Update study area. The BRAC report predicts Eastover will be more popular once it is connected to the base. The presence of the river was a commuting constraint to Fort Bragg and north Fayetteville and the completion of X-0002D/E has already provided improved access for commuter populations. Even without completion of the remaining sections of Outer Loop, there are several routes between Ramsey Street, where X-0002D/E ends, , and Murchison Road, an entrance to Fort Bragg. These include Country Club Drive (part of Route 2 Table 4) and Stacy Weaver Dr / Rosehill Road / Shaw Mill Road (part of Route 3 Table 4). To the west of the river, industrial and commercial expansion, as predicted along Ramsey Street north of the interchange, could move forward since X-0002D/E provides easy access to 1-95. The area around the Andrews Road/Ramsey Street intersection is 24 ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ' ICE Analysis Update ' already seeing new growth including single and multi-family dwellings and new commercial growth. Along McArthur Road near the proposed interchange, land use changes from current ' conditions will most likely not occur if the Outer Loop is not constructed. These parcels will remain undeveloped, as they are not suitable for residential development due to their location in designated military noise sensitive areas. Further south, the intersection of ' McArthur Road and Ramsey Street will continue to see commercial growth since Ramsey is a major artery. As noted in the original ICE study, Murchison Road is a favorable area for development due to its proximity to Fort Bragg and the expected increase in traffic once the road is widened and Bragg Boulevard is closed. Commercial development will most likely replace the old mobile home parks along Murchison Road regardless of the Outer Loop ' since it will become the main artery from Spring Lake to Fayetteville. Bragg Boulevard is also expected to see future commercial development due to its proximity to the base, despite its partial closure. While it will no longer be a connector to Spring Lake, it will continue to provide access to the base. 7.4 Scenario Comparisons Table 5 contains a summary of the acreage associated with each land use category for the Build and No Build scenarios. The acreage has been divided between the area to the east of the Cape Fear River and to the west due to their differences in land use patterns and transportation infrastructure. Blue indicates a loss in acreage in any given category ' for while red indicates an increase. There is no change between the Build and No Build scenarios east of the Cape Fear River. To the west, the most significant change is the increase in the road/ROW category associated with construction of the Outer Loop. ' There is a small increase in commercial and multi-family land uses. There is a small decrease in many of the other developed categories, as the proposed corridor will require the removal of a number of dwellings. In order to maintain consistency between TAZ housing projections and this study's land use calculations, additional dwellings were ' added to account for this loss in the affected TAZs. As per zoning in these TAZs, these additional dwellings fell under the multi-family land use category. This accounts for a majority of the increase in multi-family land use between the No Build to Build scenarios. ' The results of the land use analysis demonstrate that between the Build and No Build scenarios, the presence of the Outer Loop causes more direct effects than indirect. 25 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ' ICE Analysis Update Table 6. Build and No Build Scenarios Land Use (acres) Land Use East of Ca a Fear West of Ca a Fear Total No Build Build No Build Build No Build Build , Agriculture 9962 9962 74 74 10036 10036 Barren 0 0 15 15 15 15 Commercial/Heavy Industrial 673 673 1305 1358 1979 2032 , Forest 12440 12440 4056 3930 16495 16370 Golf Course 0 0 235 235 235 235 Multi-family 5 5 592 594 597 599 Office/Institutional/Light , Industrial 98 98 439 436 538 535 Open 3020 3020 893 819 3914 3839 Residential, high density 264 264 2792 2782 3055 3046 ' Residential, low density 400 400 119 113 519 513 Residential, medium high density 779 779 827 821 1606 1601 Residential, medium low density 1350 1350 191 182 1541 1532 Road/ROW 1537 1537 1365 1777 2902 3314 Residential, very hi h density 43 43 987 975 1030 1018 Residential, very low density 1458 1458 207 193 1664 1651 Water 580 580 369 367 949 947 Wetland 4560 4560 190 184 4750 4745 ' 'Fort Bragg, not included in this analysis, accounts for 24% of the study area. 26 ' ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update t ? 401 a - Jl Bra:gg 4 A, ,L u. ~1,7~rf r 41 Eastover ; a / 7 ~ Fa e r9 l ff 1 01 0 .5~? 1 2° es I i Exhibit 8. Current Land Use Road/ROW Residential high Golf course ® Water Major roads Fayetteville Outer Loop Commercial Residential medium high Barren Wetland Streams ICE Update Report Office Residential medium low Agriculture Ft. Bragg - developed* a ICE Update study area ' - Multi-family Residential low Open Ft. Bragg - undeveloped* Municipal boundary TIP No. X0002 ° Residential very high Residential very low ~ Forest Fort Bragg County boundary r * Land use within the Fort Bragg Reservation was not determined for this study ry da y ' 27 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ' ICE Analysis Update ?~A~ p 401 C, 7, e A Wade w t Br g9 ;fig a err. ~ i 0 Eastover ~ ~ , Fa etfeville ~ I r e - \ i 1 V o ` - 0 5 ~ 2 es ~ • ~ , X-0002 B&C - Residential very high Residential very low . Forest Major roads Exhibit 9. Future Build Land Use - Road/ROW Residential high - Golf course Water Streams ' Fayetteville Outer Loop - Commercial= Residential medium high Barren Wetland ICE Update study area ICE Update Report ' Office Residential medium low Agriculture Ft. Bragg -developed` Municipal boundary TIP No. X0002 ® Multi-family Residential low Open Ft. Bragg - undeveloped* Fort Bragg ' * , County boundary Aw` Land use within the Fort Bragg Reservation was not determined for this study L--_j 28 ' ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update b . r p , _ ° a01 1- 1 r Bra'99 W y f G' / n ? a h r i . ~ ~ Eastover ~ e , 1 ~ ~ ~ • fir. ~ ~ 3ti~ 1 V F e InR 4 b' ? \ IF I``~/~ . 9~ m 0 .5 2° es i0 - Road/ROW - Residential high - Golf course Water Major roads ' Exhibit 10. Future No Build Land Use -Commercial Residential medium high Barren Wetland Streams Fayetteville Outer Loop office Residential medium low Agriculture Ft. Bragg - developed' ICE Update study area ICE Update Report - Multi-family Residential low Open Ft. Bragg - undeveloped' Municipal boundary TIP No. X0002 - Residential very high Residential very low - Forest ; _ . Fort Bragg 'Land use within the Fort Bragg Reservation was not determined for this study County boundary ' 29 ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 1 ' 8 EVALUATION OF ANALYSIS RESULTS 8.1 Indirect Effects ' As noted in the original ICE study, the construction of the Fayetteville Outer Loop will improve overall mobility in the Fayetteville area. More specifically, the X-0002B/C section will relieve traffic congestion in a densely developed part of Fayetteville. The ' construction of this portion will also reduce travel time for commuters traveling from new developments east of the Cape Fear River. As noted previously, the X-0002B/C section along with the already completed X-0002D/E section will provide Fort Bragg with direct ' access to 1-95. The activity nodes at the six interchanges (three proposed and three completed) will ' attract commercial and non-residential development. While an increase in population is anticipated on the feeder roads west of the river, this can be attributed to normal growth and infill in an urbanized area. The proposed X-0002B/C corridor construction (Build scenario) will lead to a slight decrease in lower density residential housing units and an ' increase in higher density compared to the No Build scenario due to the loss of land associated with the proposed roadway construction. To the east of the river, growth as an indirect impact of the construction of the X-0002D/E section is already occurring. This ' section of the Outer Loop created a new bridge crossing and a new artery into the City of Fayetteville and Fort Bragg from 1-95. These indirect effects are anticipated to be in the form of complementary land ' development including residential development east of the river and limited commercial development at the interchanges. Redevelopment is possible in the area surrounding Fort Bragg but it should not result in an increase of impervious surfaces, as the existing ' development is already high density. This study concurs with the original study conclusion which states: ' As the construction of the Outer Loop has been anticipated since the late 1980s and has been programmed into land use plans and other local regulations and local officials are targeting development for the major ' feeder roads in anticipation of the construction of the loop, no further study or analysis is recommended at this time (NCDOT 2005). ' 8.2 Cumulative Effects The cumulative effects as noted in the original ICE study remain unchanged. While the original report stated that the entire Outer Loop may constitute a cumulative impact of ' the study area, it also noted that current laws and regulations "will support appropriate land development and in turn minimize any development-related effects" (NCDOT 2005). It is important to note that the completed X-0002D/E section is one of the main drivers of these cumulative effects as it opened up a new area to development by removing the natural constraint of the Cape Fear River and creating a new artery into the City of Fayetteville. The U-2519 portion of the Outer Loop is also a driver of cumulative effects. ' The original ICE reported that growth around that section is high regardless of completion of the U-2519 portion. The X-0002B/C portion of the Outer Loop acts as a connector for these two growth stimulating pieces. Further, the X-0002B/C portion of the ' Outer Loop is located in one of the more developed areas of the entire proposed 31 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ' ICE Analysis Update ' corridor. Finally Fort Bragg is the main employer in the county and growth related to the base can be attributed to much of the population growth in the county. For these reasons ' the X-00028/C segment should not be considered a primary driver of growth or land use impacts in the region. 32 ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 9 REFERENCES BRAC 2008. Preliminary Impact Assessment for the Fort Bragg Region. BRAC Regional Task Force, Fayetteville NC. Cappiella, K. and Brown, K. 2001. Impervious Cover and Land Use in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Watershed Protection Techniques. Ellicot City, MD. Cumberland County Joint Planning Board (CCJPB) 1996. Cumberland County 2010 ' Land Use Plan. Cumberland County Joint Planning Board, Cumberland County, NC. Cumberland County Joint Planning Board (CCJPB) 2000. Eastover Study Area Detailed t Land Use Plan. Cumberland County Joint Planning Board, Cumberland County, NC. Cumberland County Joint Planning Board (CCJPB) 2002. North Fayetteville Area Land Use Plan. Cumberland County Joint Planning Board, Fayetteville Planning Commission, Cumberland County, NC. ' Cumberland County Joint Planning Board (CCJPB) 2003. Wade Study Area Detailed Land Use Plan. Cumberland County Joint Planning Board, Cumberland County, ' NC. RLUAC 2008. Fort Bragg/Pope Air Force Base Joint Land Use Study Update. Prepared for the BRAC Regional Task Force. Fort Bragg/Pope Air Force Base Regional ' Land Use Advisory Commision. FAMPO 2007. Transportation Improvement Program 2007-2013. Fayetteville Area ' Metropolitan Planning Organization. FAMPO 2008. 2006-2035 Population and Economics Study for the Fayetteville ' Urbanized Area and Cumberland County. Fayetteville Metropolitan Planning Organization. ' Hunt, B. and A. Lucas. 2003. Development of a Nutrient export Model for New Developments in the Tar-Pamlico River Basin. A study completed by NC State University, Biological and Agricultural Engineering for the NC Department of ' Environment and Natural Resources. North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT) 2004. NCDOT/NCDENR Indirect and Cumulative Impact Assessment Guidance: Integrated NEPA/SEPA/402 ' Eight-Step ICE Assessment Process. North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT). 2005. Fayetteville Outer Loop ' Indirect and Cumulative Impact Analysis: Cumberland, Hoke, & Robeson Counties T.I.P. Project Number U-2519/X-2B&C. NCDOT Project Development and Environmental Analysis Branch, Raleigh, NC. ' 33 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update , North Carolina Division of Parks and Recreation (NCDPR). 2007. North Carolina Division of Parks and Recreation 2006-2007 Annual Report. ' http://www.ncparks.gov/About/docs/2007-annual_rpt.pdf North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ). 2005a. October 2005 Cape Fear ' River Basinwide Water Quality Plan. NC Department of Environment and Natural Resources Basinwide Planning Program. http://h2o.enr.state.nc.us/basinwide/draftCPFApri12005.htm North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ). 2008a. North Carolina Draft 2008 303(d) List. http://h2o.enr.state.nc.us/tmdI/documents/B.Draft2008303dList.pdf North Carolina Division of Water Quality (NCDWQ). 2008b. Universal Stormwater Program: Setback Requirement. http://h2o.enr.state.nc.us/su/usmp_SP_setback.htm ' North Carolina National Heritage Program (NCNHP) 2008. Heritage Data. http://www.ncnhp.org/Pages/heritagedata.htmi Soil Conservation Service (SCS) 1986. Urban Hydrology for Small Watersheds. Technical Release 55. Soil Conservation Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC. United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). 2001. PLOAD version 3.0 An ArcView GIS Tool to Calculate Nonpoint Sources of Pollution in Watershed and ' Stormwater Projects. User's Manual. US EPA, Washington, DC. United States Census Bureau 2006. Summary File 1. http://www.census.gov/ ' United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). 1984. Soil Survey of Cumberland and Hoke Counties, North Carolina. Soil Conservation Service. ' United States Fish & Wildlife Service (USFWS). 2006. Endangered Species, Threatened Species, and Federal Species of Concern - Cumberland County. United States , Department of the Interior, Washington, D.C. http://www.fws.gov/nc- es/es/countyfr.htmi Wu, J.S., C.J. Allan, W.L. Saunders, and J.B. Evett. 1998. Characterization and pollutant , loading estimation for highway runoff. Journal of Environmental Engineering 124(7): 584-592. 34 , ' Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update 10 APPENDIX 10.1 Cumberland County TIP Projects ' TIP Number County Description R-2303" Cumberland East of 1-95 to 1-40 at Warsaw - four lanes divided, art on new location ' R-2562* Cumberland Elizabethtown Bypass to multi-lanes at 1-95 - widen to multi-lanes R-2609 Cumberland Multi-lanes north of Fayetteville to Fuquay-Varina - ' widen to multilanes includes B-3153 U-2519 Robeson/ Outer Loop, 1-95 south of Fayetteville to east of NC Cumberland 24-87 Bra Boulevard - freeway on new location ' U-2710 Cumberland SR 1403 (Reilly Road), SR 3569 to SR 1400 (Cliffdale Road - widen to multi-lanes U-2809 Cumberland SR 1139 (Legion Road), SR 1007 (Owen Drive) to SR 1131 Camden Road - widen to multi-lanes U-2810 Cumberland SR 1003 (Camden Road), NC 59 (Hope Mills Road) to SR 1007 Owen Drive - widen to multi-lanes ' U-2811 Cumberland SR 1219 (Ireland Drive), SR 1141 (Cumberland Road) to US 401 Raeford Road - widen to multi-lanes U-2912 Cumberland Owen Drive Extension, 1-95 Business to NC 87 - ' multi-lanes on new location SR 1003 (Camden Road), Fayetteville Outer Loop (U- U-3422 Cumberland 2519) to NC 59 (Hope Mills Road) - widen roadway to ' multi-lanes U-3423 Cumberland NC 24/87 (Bragg Boulevard), US 401 Bypass to proposed Fayetteville Outer Loo - widen to six lanes U-3424 Cumberland SR 1410-SR 1411 (Bounce Road), US 401 to SR 1400 Cliffdale Road - widen to multi-lanes SR 1363 (Elk Mill Road), SR 1132 (Legion Road) to U-3849 Cumberland US 301/1-95 Business - widen to five lanes with curb ' and utter U-4403 Cumberland US 401 (Ramsey Street), NC 24/210 (Grove Street) to SR 1710 Slocomb Road - widen to multi-lanes ' U-4404 Cumberland SR 1400 (Cliffdale Road), McPherson Church Road to SR 1404 (Morganton Road - widen to multi-lanes US 401 (Raeford Road), east of US 401 Bypass ' U-4405 Cumberland (Skibo Road) to SR 1007 (All American Freeway) - widen to multi-lanes SR 1007 (All American Freeway), SR 1151 (Owen ' U-4414 Cumberland Drive) to Gruber Road - add an additional lane in each direction U-4415 Cumberland NC 53/210 (Cedar Creek Road), 1-95 eastward to NC ' 53/210 Junction - widen to multi-lanes SR 1141 (Cumberland Road), NC 59 (Hope Mills U-4421 Cumberland Road) to Hope Mills Bypass (U-620) - widen to multi- lanes 35 Fayetteville Outer Loop X-0002 ICE Analysis Update ' TIP Number Count Description SR 1592 (Glensford Road), US 401 Business ' U-4422 Cumberland (Raeford Road) to SR 1400 (Cliffdale Road) - widen to 5 lanes, art on new location U-4425 Cumberland Blanton Road Extension, Sycamore Dairy Road to NC ' 24/87 Bra Boulevard - multi-lanes on new location NC 210 (Murchison Road), Proposed Fayetteville U-4444 Cumberland Outer Loop (X-2) to NC 24-87-210 (Bragg Boulevard) in Spring Lake - widen to six-lanes U-4706 Cumberland SR 1131 (Cameron Road), SR 1132 (Legion Road) to NC 59 Main Street - widen to multi-lanes , U-4709 Cumberland SR 1112 (Rockfish Road), SR 1115 (Golfview Road) to NC 59 Main Street - widen to four lanes divided U-4710 Cumberland SR 1115 (Golfview Road), SR 1112 (Rockfish Road) to NC 59 Main Street - widen to four lanes divided SR 1404 (Morganton Road), Sycamore Dairy Road to U-4756 Cumberland SR 1596 (Glensford Drive) - add lane in each direction and replace structure No. 228 ' U-4761 Cumberland SR 1149 (Boone Trail), SR 1007(Owen Drive) to SR 1141 Cumberland Road -widen to multi-lanes NC 210 (Murchison Road), Rowan Street to the , U-5015 Cumberland proposed Fayetteville Outer Loop (X-2) - widen to multi-lanes SR 1437 (Shaw Road) - SR 1614 (Shaw Mill Road) - ' U-5101 Cumberland SR 1615 (Rosehill Road - Stacey Weaver Drive) - interconnect and widen to multi-lanes U-620 Cumberland Hope Mills Bypass, SR 1141 (Bingham Drive) to SR ' 1363 Elk Mill Road - multi-lanes on new location X-2* Cumberland West of NC 210 (Murchison Road) to 1-95 - freeway on new location with structure over Cape Fear River ' 1-95 Business (Ex 68) north of Fayetteville in Cumberland/ Cumberland County to 1-40 (Ex 81) north of Benson in 1-4745 Harnett/ Johnston Count - rehabilitate pavement and , Johnston structures, widen and upgrade interchanges and add additional lanes SR 1141 (Bingham Drive), proposed Hope Mills U-3311 Cumberland Bypass to US 401 (Raeford Road) - widen to multi- , lanes 36