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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNC0005088_7. CSS CAP Part 2_Appx D_FINAL_20160212This page intentionally left blank Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin Overview of Modeling The relatively simple morphology of the receiving waters adjacent to Cliffside Steam Station (CSS) makes this site amenable to the Mixing Model Approach. For this approach, river flow data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) were analyzed to determine upstream river design flows and assess compliance with North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ) surface water quality standards, including determination of applicable low river flow statistics. The river design flows were used along with groundwater model discharge results to calculate effluent dilution factors using the following equation: DF = Qgw+Qriver Qgw where: DF is the groundwater dilution factor; Qg, is discharge rate from the groundwater model (cubic feet per second [cfs]); and Qriver is the upstream river design flow (cfs). The mixing zone sizes presented in Section 4.2.1 of Corrective Action Plan (CAP) Part 1 for the different water quality standards were used in this equation to determine the appropriate dilution factor to assess compliance with the applicable water quality standards. The applicable dilution factor was then used with the groundwater model concentration and upstream concentration for the constituent of interest (COI) to determine the resulting surface water concentration at the edge of the mixing zone, using the following equation: (DF-1)XCriver+C CSw DF where: CSC, is the surface water concentration at the edge of the mixing zone (fag/L); Cgs is the groundwater model concentration entering the river (fag/L); Crier is the upstream (background) river concentration (fag/L); and DF is the groundwater dilution factor. Alternately, the resulting surface water concentration can be calculated using the following mass balance equation: _ QgwXCgw+QriverXCriver CSW Qgw+Qriver where: Qg, is discharge rate from the groundwater model (cfs); Cg,,is the groundwater model concentration entering the river (fag/L); Qri,eris the upstream river design flow (cfs); and C,1Ve, is the upstream (background) river concentration (fag/L). Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin For each groundwater COI that discharges to surface waters at a concentration exceeding its applicable groundwater quality standard or criteria (as outlined in Section 1.9.2 of CAP Part 1), the appropriate dilution factor and upstream (background) concentration were applied to determine the surface water concentration at the edge of the applicable mixing zone. This concentration was then compared to the applicable water quality standard or criteria to determine surface water quality standard compliance Historical river flow data were available for the Broad River near Boiling Springs, North Carolina (USGS #02151500, from 1925 to 2015), which is located approximately 4 miles downstream of the CSS site. Daily river flow data from this gage were analyzed to calculate the 1 Q10, 7Q10, and mean annual design flows for the Broad River near Boiling Springs, North Carolina. The 1Q10 flow is the annual minimum 1-day average flow that occurs once in 10 years; the 7Q10 flow is the annual minimum 7-day average flow that occurs once in 10 years; and the mean annual flow is the long-term average annual flow based on complete annual flow records. These river design flows were scaled down using a drainage area ratio to correct for additional drainage from minor tributaries between the CSS site and the downstream USGS gage location Drainage area ratios where developed using information from the USGS StreamStats web application (http://water.usgs.gov/osw/streamstats/). Suck Creek is ungaged, so to estimate the creek flow, a similar discharge scaling ratio was developed using the drainage area of Suck Creek versus the total drainage area of the USGS Broad River gage (#02151500). Key Assumptions and Limitations for Each Model The key model assumptions and limitations include, but are not limited to, the following • Groundwater flow mixing in the receiving water occurs over the entire cross-section of the mixing zone area (e.g., over 10% of the river width for the acute water quality assessment). • COI transformations are not represented in the analysis (i.e., all COls are treated as conservative substances without any decay). • The analysis is limited by the availability of surface water data used to assign upstream river COI concentrations. • When surface water data were not available, or when surface water data were reported at the method detection limit (MDL), half of the MDL was used in the mixing model calculations. • The analysis in Suck Creek is limited by a lack of gaged discharge to develop creek low -flow design statistics (i.e., 1Q10, 7Q10, and annual mean). Mixing Model Development The mixing model approach requires the assignment of upstream low river design flows for the fraction of the river as specified in Section 4.2.1 of CAP Part 1 for the acute, chronic, water supply and human health mixing zone limitations. The calculated 1Q10, 7Q10, and mean Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin annual river design flows used for the Broad River near the CSS site and Suck Creek are provided in Table 1. Table 1 Broad River and Suck Creek Design Flows Design Condition Broad River Flow (cfs) Suck Creek Flow (cfs) 1Q10 146 3.1 7Q 10 204 4.4 Mean Annual 1,031 22.1 Limited surface water quality data are available in the Broad River just upstream of the CSS site. Some historical water quality data were collected at the USGS gauge near Boiling Springs (#02151500); however, that gauge is located downstream of the CSS site and the data were collected more than 35 years ago and are not representative of present conditions. To perform mixing zone calculations for the Broad River, it was assumed that upstream surface water concentrations were equivalent to half of the MDL for each COI. Surface water samples were collected in Suck Creek at surface water sample location SW-2, which is located near the upstream extent of the Duke Energy property boundary (see Figure 1). This sampling location is upgradient of the CSS ash basins and is a suitable surface water background station for the Suck Creek mixing zone calculations. If a COI at SW-2 was reported at the MDL, then half of the MDL was used in the mixing zone calculations. Note that the upstream surface water concentrations for Suck Creek are very similar to the half MDL concentrations used for the Broad River mixing zone calculations. The CSS groundwater modeling discussed in Section 4.1 of CAP Part 1 was used to provide the groundwater flow and COI concentrations into the adjacent receiving waters (Suck Creek and Broad River). Figure 1 presents the location of the groundwater model calculated flow inputs into these adjacent receiving waters, and Table 2 presents the total groundwater flow along the two flow boundaries noted on Figure 1. These groundwater flows were used to assess the impact on surface water concentrations and compliance with the applicable water quality standards or criteria at the mixing zone boundaries in Suck Creek and the Broad River. Table 2 Model -Calculated Groundwater Flows Waterbody Groundwater Flow 3 (ft /day) (cfs) Suck Creek 12,375 0.14 Broad River Total 69,261 0.80 Notes: 1. ft3/day = cubic feet per day 2. Broad River total includes groundwater inflow to Suck Creek Total loading of groundwater COls to the Broad River at the CSS site includes direct loading to the Broad River and local loading to Suck Creek, which discharges to the Broad River. Table 3 provides flux -weighted average COI concentrations in groundwater discharging to the Broad River adjacent to the CSS site, as well as assigned upstream surface water concentrations. These values were used in the mixing zone dilution calculations presented in Section 4.2.2 of Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin CAP Part 1. Table 3 also lists for comparison the surface water quality standards or criteria applicable to each COI. Table 3 Broad River Dissolved COI Concentrations and Water Quality Standards COI Groundwater Concentration (pg/L) Surface Water Concentration (pg/L)* Acute WQS (pg/L) Chronic WQS (pg/L) HH / WS WQS (pg/L) Antimony 4.24 0.25 ns ns 640 / 5.6 Arsenic 8.50 0.25 340 150 10 / 10 Boron 81.45 25 ns ns ns / ns Total chromium 8.59 0.25 ns ns ns / ns Hexavalent chromium 1.22 0.25 16 11 ns / ns Cobalt 9.72 0.25 ns ns 4/3 Lead 8.47 0.05 14 0.54 ns / ns Nickel 8.74 0.25 140 16 ns / 25 Sulfate 32,119 500 ns ns ns / 250,000 Thallium 8.457 0.05 ns ns 0.47 / 0.24 Vanadium 9.02 0.50 ns ns ns / ns Notes: 1. All COls are shown as dissolved except for total chromium 2. * — Values set to'/z MDL, except hexavalent chromium set to'/z MDL for total chromium 3. WQS — water quality standard 4. HH / WS — Human Health / Water Supply (15A NCAC 02B .0211, 15A NCAC 02B .0216, effective January 1, 2015 5. ns — no water quality standard Mixing zone calculations were also performed separately for Suck Creek and include only COI loads from local groundwater sources. Table 4 provides model flux -weighted average COI concentrations in groundwater discharging to Suck Creek, as well as assigned upstream surface water concentrations. These values were used in the mixing zone dilution calculations presented in Section 4.2 of CAP Part 1. Table 4 also lists for comparison the surface water quality standards or criteria applicable to each COI. Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin Table 4 Suck Creek Dissolved COI Concentrations and Water Quality Standards COI Groundwater Concentration (pg/L) Surface Water Concentration (pg/L)* Acute WQS (pg/L) Chronic WQS (pg/L) HH / WS WQS (pg/L) Antimony 4.73 0.25 ns ns 640 / 5.6 Arsenic 9.82 0.21 340 150 10 / 10 Boron 44.14 25 ns ns ns / ns Total chromium 9.79 0.52 ns ns ns / ns Hexavalent chromium 1.41 0.52 16 11 ns / ns Cobalt 10.42 0.16 ns ns 4/3 Lead 9.46 0.05 14 0.54 ns / ns Nickel 9.46 0.42 140 16 ns / 25 Sulfate 7,371 1,100 ns ns ns / 250,000 Thallium 9.672 0.05 ns ns 0.47 / 0.24 Vanadium 4.88 0.56 ns ns ns / ns Notes: 1. All COls are shown as dissolved except for total chromium 2. * — Values from sampling station SW-2 or'/2 MDL, except hexavalent chromium set to SW-2 value for total chromium 3. WQS — water quality standard 4. HH / WS — Human Health / Water Supply (15A NCAC 02B .0211, 15A NCAC 02B .0216, effective January 1, 2015 5. ns — no water quality standard For both Tables 3 and 4, the aquatic life water quality standards or criteria for arsenic, hexavalent chromium, lead, and nickel assume a water effects ratio of 1, which expresses the difference between toxicity measured in a laboratory and toxicity in site water. Site -measured water effects ratios are typically less than 1 due to complexing parameters in the site water (e.g., dissolved organic carbon) that reduces site toxicity as compared to laboratory measured toxicity for metals. Thus, using a water effects ratio of 1 provides a conservative assumption in the surface water quality assessment for these COls. Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin 1 Y r 1 , ,'� ` � � 1 ! 1, — :,--- .-.. • ..., �SW-2 Lege Suck Creek GW Model Discharge Broad River GW Model Discharge 0 0.125 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 Miles Figure 1 CSS Groundwater Model Flow Locations and Surface Water Stations 6