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HomeMy WebLinkAboutA Plan to Make Nags Head Less Vulnerable to the Impacts of Natural Hazards-1998 A PLAN TO MAKE NAGS HEAD, NORTH CAROLINA LESS VULNERABLE TO THE E%IPACTS OF NATURAL HAZARDS Board of Commissioners Renee Cahoon, Mayor Robert W. Muller, Mayor Pro Tem George E Farah III Douglas A Remaley Brant Murray Lillie W. Gray, Former Mayor Pro Tem Town Manager I Webb Fuller Department of Planning and Development Gary Ferguson, Director Bruce M. Bortz, Planner The preparation of this report was financed in part through a grant provided by the North Carolina Coastal Management Program through funds provided by the Coastal Zone Management Act of 1972, as amended, which is administered by the Office of Ocean and Coastal Resource Management, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Prepared By David I Brower Anna K. Schwab and Bruce M. Bortz TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Introduction...................................................... 1 A. The Town of Nags Head, North Carolina ........................... 1 B. Natural Hazards and Disasters ................................... 2 C. Vulnerability to Natural Hazards .................................. 3 D. Mitigation ..................................................3 E. Windows of Opportunity for Mitigation ............................ 5 H. Goals............................................................ 7 M. Natural Hazard Mitigation Policies .................................... 11 A Introduction ................................................. 11 B. Policy Statements ............................................ 11 IV. Evaluation, Revisions, Updates .................................... 25 Appendices I. Hazard Identification, Definition, and Probability .................. 27 A. Hurricane ........................................... 27 B. Tornadoes ........................................... 34 C. Thunderstorms ......................................... 37 D. Nor'Easters........................................... 40 E. Sea. Level Rise .......................................... 43 F. Wildfire ........................................... 45 G. Flooding ........................................... 46 H. Dune Gaps ........................................... 47 I. Inlets Hazards .......................................... 47 II. Vulnerability Analysis ....................................... 51 A. Introduction ........................................... 51 B. Mapping Nags Head's Vulnerability .......................... 51 C. Charting Nags Head's Vulnerability .......................... 52 III. Capability Assessment ....................................... 53 IV. Maps and Charts ........................................... 59 V. References ........................................... 69 1 L INTRODUCTION A. The Town of Nags Head, North Carolina Nags Head is located on the Outer Banks, which is part of the chain of coastal barrier islands in North Carolina. Nags Head is approximately 50 miles south of the Virginia border and 50 miles north of Cape Hatteras. The Town stretches along the coast for a distance of 12 miles in a generally north -south direction and is bordered on the east by the Atlantic Ocean and on the west by the waters of Roanoke Sound. At its widest point, two miles separate the ocean and the sound; at its narrowest, only 1,600 feet separate these two bodies of water.' The Town of Nags Head is a unique and attractive resort community. A number of characteristics make it an attractive place to live or vacation. Among them are its proximity to water and beaches, its abundance of open spaces, its generally low density of development, and the overall quality of its natural environment. Nags Head is primarily an ocean -oriented community. The Town is fortunate to have significant natural resources, including the ocean and its beaches, the Sound, a complex natural area called Nags Head Woods (consisting of stable, productive marshlands, fresh water ponds, and steep migrating and stabilized dunes) and unique geological features like Jockey's Ridge. Nags Head is a recreational wonderland, closely tied to its natural environment. Nags Head, from its early beginnings in the 1800s, has consisted predominantly of single family cottages and a few motels. Family operated businesses and cottage courts made up the commercial sector of Nags Head. These factors contributed to a certain charm, and a slow and relaxing pace of life. The Town has been and still is an annual vacation spot for countless number of families who make repeat visits from the north. For many visitors and residents, Nags Head is a "family beach." Nags Head has been slow to develop when compared to other resort and vacation areas along the east coast, e.g., Myrtle Beach, South Carolina; Ocean City, Maryland. This slow growth has partly been a result of the remoteness of the Town. However, like all of the Dare County beach communities, Nags Head, especially during the mid- to late 1980s, experienced tremendous growth and development pressures. As an indication, the permanent population increased 80 percent between 1980 and 1990. The most significant growth pressures in the Town are, and will continue to be, generated by seasonal resort development. The 1990 and 1996 Land Use Surveys of the attitudes of residents and property owners found that most were in agreement that Nags Head should remain the family -oriented beach it has been. The survey results also highlighted the high importance placed by residents and non- resident property owners on the quality of the natural environment, including such things as access to beaches and the protection of open space in the Town. Yet, the growth pressures which 1Town of Nags Head Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan, 1988. 2 Nags Head is currently feeling indicate that the Town has been "discovered," and that if our land use policies are not adhered to, this discovery could put in jeopardy many of the features and characteristics that make the Town such an attractive place in which to live and vacation.' Local Town officials are committed to guiding the Towd's future growth so that the needs of current residents are met, that visitors are accommodated, and that the natural environment is afforded full due respect. This commitment is expressed in the Town's Vision Statement: The Town of Nags Head is working to build a community populated by diverse groups whose common bond is a love of the Outer Banks. We recognize that the Town must be a good place to live before it can be a good place to visit. We recognize that those who have lived on this land before us have forged our path and that we must learn, from them and respect their memory. We recognize that our natural environment is an integral part of our community and must be considered in all decisions. We recognize that in order to secure this future we must work together, treating all with respect and providing all with justice, keeping our common goals in front of us and our petty differences behind us. The Town of Nags Head is working to build a community with an economy based on family vacation tourism. The base of that economy is the rental of single family homes. Important elements in developing and maintaining this economy are: - An ocean front beach that is accessible and usable, not blocked by large structures. A natural environment typified by clean waters and the natural landscape of sand dunes and salt tolerant vegetation. Commercial services provided by locally owned and operated businesses that share in the building of our community. Recreational amenities and attractions, both commercial and non-commercial that are wholesome and appeal to a broad spectrum of family members. B. Natural Hazards and Disasters Natural hazards are part of the world around us, and their occurrence is inevitable. Floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, noeeasters, earthquakes, wildfires, and other hazardous events are natural phenomena which we cannot control. In addition to massive destruction of homes, businesses, and infrastructure, these events can result in much damage to the ecological environment surrounding the Town: fire can destroy forests, coastal storms can erode shorelines, create and fill inlets, and move the barrier islands; high winds and wave surge can wreak havoc in wetlands, tornadoes can uproot trees, earthquakes can alter the landscape. However, despite their destructiveness, these occurrences are part of the natural system. The natural environment is amazingly recuperative from the forces of wind, rain, fire, and earth, and can regenerate with 'Town of Nags Head 1990 Land Use Plan Update. 3 remarkable resiliency, even restoring habitat and ecosystems in time for the next generation of plant and animal life to begin anew. It is when the man-made environment intersects with these natural phenomena that "disasters" result. Disasters occur when human activity, such as buildings and infrastructure, take place in the path of the force of nature. The human environment, particularly the built environment, is not nearly as indestructible nor as recuperative as the natural one, and the occurrence of a natural hazard could result in the destruction of the entire community for many years following the event. It is therefore critical that following a natural hazard that the community be built back according to resilience and avoidance standards that help it grow in harmony with the natural environment. C. Vulnerability to Natural Hazards Vulnerability to a natural hazard can be described as the extent to which people will experience harm and property will be damaged from that hazard. A community's degree of vulnerability depends upon the risk of a natural hazard occurring in that area (including such factors as probability, frequency and severity), as well as the amount and type of development or potential development that is or could be located there. Using the latest data available, Nags Head has analyzed its degree of vulnerability in great detail, and continues to update this analysis as needed. Vulnerability to natural hazards exists both at the present time and in the future. The present level of development and amount of infrastructure in place to support that development generate a set of conditions which result in every area having some degree of vulnerability to natural hazards. That degree of vulnerability will change in the future as an area experiences greater development and/or implements greater hazard mitigation efforts. Nags Head's location in proximity to the ocean makes certain natural hazards exceedingly likely. In addition to this risk, the growth and development pressures that have been experienced by the Town over the last several years mean more people and more property have been put in harm's way. These are factors that point to increased vulnerability of the Town. However, because they are based on a thoughtful analysis of vulnerability, the hazard policies that have been in place for nearly a decade in Nags Head have significantly reduced this vulnerability, and with careful updating and implementation these mitigation policies will continue to reduce the vulnerability of Nags Head to the impacts of natural hazards. D. Mitigation While the Town of Nags Head cannot prevent natural hazards, we do have the means at hand to reduce some of their adverse consequences. The Town has been a leader in formulating a variety of tools and techniques which, when put into effect in a timely fashion, allow us to avoid the worst -case scenario when a hazard does occur. By managing the characteristics of the existing and future human environment in the community before a hazardous event occurs, we can 4 mitigate many of its negative impacts so that a disaster is less likely to result or will at least be of diminished magnitude. This pre -event planning contributes to the fulfillment of the Town's Mission Statement, which calls in part for the safety and welfare of the citizens, property owners and visitors of the Town.' The Town of Nags Head has adopted a unique and resourceful program to mitigate the potential for the loss of life and property associated with hurricanes and natural disasters. The Town is committed to actions that will not only reduce numbers of individuals at risk should a disaster occur, but also will assure that when the Town is rebuilt that it will be rebuilt in a safe manner. These actions are rather unique and innovative in that the Town of Nags Head is ensuring public safety and protecting lives and property, and preserving the natural, cultural, and economic resources through a program of land use controls and regulations. For this planning effort the Town of Nags Head was the recipient of the 1989 North Carolina American Planning Association Small Community Outstanding Planning Award and the 1990 Legislative Award from the National Hurricane Conference. The Nags Head mitigation program is a unique blend of planning management tools, Town ordinances and policies, interagency cooperative agreements, as well as specific police powers legislated to the mayor. The purpose of the program is three -fold: (1) the Town is preparing now for a major natural disaster; (2) the Town has adopted laws which will provide for an orderly response in the event of a disaster, and (3) the Town has approved planning management tools which will reduce the numbers of people and value of property at risk after a storm while protecting and enhancing the economic stability of the Town and protecting our most valuable resource - the ocean beach. A fundamental premise of Nags Head's mitigation strategy is that current time, energy and resources invested in mitigation will significantly reduce the demand for future dollars by reducing the amount needed for emergency recovery, repair and reconstruction following a disaster. Our mitigation policies also call for conservation of natural and ecologically sensitive areas, which enables the. environment to absorb some of the impact of hazard events. In this manner, the Town's mitigation programs can help the community attain a level of sustainability, ensuring long-term economic vitality and environmental health for the community as a whole. In addition to reducing the Town's vulnerability to natural hazards, the Nags Head Hazard Mitigation Plan will serve as a basis to fulfill many of the requirements of federal programs that 'The Town of Nags Head Mission Statement reads as follows: The mission of the Town of Nags Head is to provide for the health, safety and welfare of the citizens, property owners and visitors of the town, to fulfill the requirements placed on it by the State of North Carolina and to facilitate the achievement of community goals by providing municipal services in a flexible, cost effective, customer friendly manner and to achieve this through an open, consensus driven process that treats all with respect. A distribute disaster relief. For instance, creation and approval of mitigation plans are prerequisites for communities to participate in the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) and the Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMAP). Plans also facilitate the application process of the Community Rating System (CRS). Furthermore, this Hazard Mitigation Plan will aid in satisfying the statutory provisions of the North Carolina Coastal Area Management Act (CAMA), which dictate that all local governments in the North Carolina Coastal Zone prepare a local Land Use Plan, one section of which must address storm hazard mitigation. E. Windows of Opportunity for Mitigation There are many different times at which the Town of Nags Head will be able to integrate mitigation efforts with other community planning and development activities. Some of these "windows of opportunity" occur in day-to-day activities. Other opportunities arise when the Town considers projects, prepares for hazard events, responds to hazard events, and while the Town is engaged in recovery and reconstruction efforts following a disaster. The Town of Nags Head recognizes that when considering day-to-day activities, the window of opportunity is always open, except during the hazard event itself. The Town has successfully incorporated mitigation into many of its activities, especially with regards to land use policies and construction and building regulations, and the Town is constantly on the lookout for additional ways to integrate mitigation concepts into the normal function of government. By incorporating mitigation concepts into government activities today at a relatively low cost the Town has significantly reduced its vulnerability to natural hazards, thus allowing us to avoid much more costly losses from future disasters. h II. GOALS The Town of Nags Head has established the following goals as statements of desirable future conditions which are to be achieved. Many of these goals have been previously adopted by the Town; what follows is a codification of previously adopted mitigation policy as well as new policy. Some factors and decisions may be, at least in the short run, beyond the control of Nags Head. Yet while certain goals may not be achievable by Nags Head unilaterally, they may be achievable through collaboration and coordinated action with other actors and levels of government. These are goals for the Town of Nags Head to accomplish through its programs, policies and actions, and by working with and through others. 1. It is the goal of the Town of Nags Head to allow the natural processes of barrier island migration to occur.' Problems with shoreline management and protection, and therefore increased vulnerability to natural hazards, arise when the public fails to understand or acknowledge that barrier islands are dynamic and ever -changing environments. Barrier islands have been shown to migrate (Kaufinan and Pilkey, 1977), and are subject to a complex and numerous set of natural forces, e.g., washover processes, littoral drift, inlet formation, dune and beach dynamics, and are further modified by storms and hurricanes. Coastal erosion, both as a result of normal offshore littoral patterns, the occurrence of hurricanes and storms, and the general sea level rise which has been occurring (Titus, 1985), make development along the shores of barrier islands particularly tenuous. 2. It is the goal of Nags Head to reduce, to the extent possible, future damage from hurricanes and severe coastal storms It is the Town's intent to reduce these hazards both in advance of such events and to require mitigation measures during reconstruction Which reduce damages from future storms 2 The wind, wave and surge effects of a hurricane or noeeaster create serious threats to the personal safety of individuals remaining in coastal areas. Residents and visitors of the Town of Nags Head are highly vulnerable to these personal risks, and it is a primary goal of the Town to reduce, to the extent feasible, their magnitude and severity. The general public shall have sufficient opportunities to vacate the storm area since Dare County has no emergency shelters in which to weather hurricanes and other hazard events. 3. It is the goal of Nags Head to seek the provision for a street and bridge system which provides for the easy and safe movement of residents, and which permits quick 'Goal adopted 1990: Town ofNags Head Land Use Plan Update. 2Goal adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 8 evacuation of all residents and visitors of Nags Head in the event of a hurricane or severe coastal storm.' While real property can be fortified or boarded -up, and personal property can be made more secure against an impending hazard, hurricanes and other severe coastal storms pose a threat to human lives that often can only be eliminated by removal from the scene of danger. Transportation routes that are well planned and sufficiently sized to evacuate the entire population of Nags Head within the short time allowed by storm warnings are essential. However, increased road and bridge capacity will also lead to an increase in traffic, bringing more and more people into danger should a natural hazard strike. This easier access to the Town could potentially undermine the character of Nags Head, as well as endanger its inhabitants, highlighting the need for regulated development densities and other land use controls. 4. It is the goal of Nags Head to seek ways in which to increase the number of credit points the Town receives from the Community Rating System (CRS) by implementing effective flood mitigation measures By regulating new development in its floodplains, the Town of Nags Head is a participant in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), which provides federally backed flood insurance for existing and new properties. Because Nags Head undertakes floodplain mitigation activities above the minimum NFIP standards, residents of the Town are eligible for flood insurance premium discounts under the Community Rating System (CRS), administered by FEMA. Nags Head is one of only a few North Carolina communities that has received a class 7 rating, based on its comprehensive floodplain management activities. As a result, local residents receive annually a 15% reduction in their flood insurance premiums. S. The Town of Nags Head will continue to support, review and comment upon the system of post -hazard mutual aid that is being done by the North Carolina League of Municipalities The Town supports the concept of mutual aid agreements that allow communities to share building inspectors and other municipal personnel in the wake of a natural hazard and has been a leader in the effect to operationalize the system. 6. The policies and regulations for hurricane and storm mitigation that are adopted by the Town of Nags Head should be coordinated and integrated with other community goals By promoting multi -objectives, the Town will be able to expend resources more efficiently. For instance, when deciding which of several competing parcels of hurricane -prone land to purchase, the deciding factor may be which parcel will be most responsive to the Town's future recreational needs. There are myriad instances in which hazard mitigation and non -hazards mitigation objectives can be advanced through the same or similar policies and programs. The 3Goal adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 0 Town of Nags Head will constantly be aware of these interconnections and package its programs accordingly. 7. The building inspectors of Nags Head are an integral component of the Town's hazard mitigation program, and the Town will continue to maintain the high standards by which the local building inspectors enforce the North Carolina State Building Code. The Town also supports the FEMA sponsored periodic review of local building inspection practices Many structural mitigation measures involve new construction and retrofitting of existing homes, businesses and other structures according to standards designed to make the buildings more resilient to the impacts of natural hazards. Many of these standards are imposed through the building code. North Carolina has a state compulsory building code which applies throughout the state, as well as regulations which apply in coastal, flood plain and high wind zones. These regulations are enforced by local inspectors. 11 III. NATURAL HAZARD MITIGATION POLICIES A. Introduction The Town of Nags Head has developed the following policies, which will serve as the Town's principles of hazard mitigation and guide for decision -making. Some of these policies can be characterized as "avoidance policies," designed to remove at -risk structures from the line of danger, so that the impact of a natural hazard is avoided. Other policies are "resilience policies," intended to make buildings better able to withstand the impact of natural hazards. These policy statements establish the direction the Town wishes to pursue in achieving its hazard mitigation goals. Many of these policies have previously been adopted in Nags Head's 1988 Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan and/or in the Town of Nags Head 1990 Land Use Plan Update. These policies have served Nags Head well, and continue to reduce the community's vulnerability to the impact of natural hazards. Many of the following policies are the equivalent of regulations promulgated by the North Carolina General Assembly for all coastal communities through the North Carolina Coastal Area Management Act (CAMA). It is not the intent of the Town to impose an additional layer of regulation on local property owners and builders; rather, the policies contained in this mitigation plan underscore our local -based support for CAMA and its regulations. B. Policy Statements 1. Consistent with CAMA policy, it is the policy of the Town that no person or legal entity shall be permitted to build a seawall, jetty, groin or other artificial device designed to stabilize the ocean shoreline. The Town supports the current CAMA provisions which prohibit the use of shore -hardening devices' Groins and jetties are structures built perpendicular to the shoreline. Jetties are often very long and intended to keep sand from filling in inlets and shipping channels. Groins are smaller and attempt to trap sand flowing in the littoral current. Such structures are expensive, unsightly and cause extensive erosion problems down -current, as they rob these beach areas of the natural sand replenishment they would normally receive. Shoreline protection works, such as seawalls and revetments, are built parallel to the coastline and are designed to shield directly shoreline property from the ocean forces. Such structures, however, reflect wave action, and intensify currents which steepen the profile of the beach and damage the property beyond the ends of the structure. In the long run these structures serve to destroy or seriously undermine the beach, require continual maintenance and investment, and are largely ineffective in protecting property from shoreline processes without perpetual 'Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 12 nourishment of the beach seaward of the hardened shoreline, and. the portion of the beach available to the public would soon erode away. Moreover, these structures are extremely costly to build. The Coastal Resources Commission, recognizing the inappropriateness of shore - hardening devices such as wooden bulkheads, seawalls, rock or rubble revetments, jetties, groins and breakwaters, has prohibited their use on North Carolina ocean beaches. A more responsible approach is to acknowledge the natural processes and dynamics of the shoreline and to manage growth accordingly. The location, density, and configuration of development can be modified to take into consideration these valuable and important resources and to respect natural processes. Results from the 1990 Land Use Survey supported the position of retreat, but when asked about other approaches such as beach nourishment and artificial reefs, a number of respondents expressed interest in exploring these and other similar measures. 2. The Town's current land use regulations, when combined with CAMA and other state regulations, adequately protect the Town's ocean and sound shorelines as well as the islands in Roanoke Sound 2 The North Carolina Coastal Area Management Act (CAMA) requires all local governments in the North Carolina coastal zone to prepare a land use plan, one section of which must address hazard mitigation. The Land Use Plan Guidelines state that the purpose of the Storm Hazard Mitigation section of a CAMA land use plan is to develop policies that will guide the development of the community so that the risk of damage to property and the threat of harm to human life from coastal storms is kept to a minimum level. Once approved by the North Carolina Coastal Resources Commission, the local land use plan becomes part of the North Carolina Coastal Management Plan. The plans are then used as a framework that guides local leaders as they make decisions affecting development. Businesses, investors, new residents, and other private individuals, as well as other levels of government also use the plan to guide their land use decisions. 3. It is the policy of Nags Head to disallow any shoreline management strategy that damages abutting property or endangers the public beach.' 4. Consistent with CAAIA, the Town believes that a stabilized frontal dune system is important and shall take all actions to preserve and enhance this system. This will include regulating development to minimize its impacts on the frontal dune system.4 PPolicy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 'Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. Volicy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 13 Dunes, both natural and man-made, are important features with respect to property damage mitigation. Frontal dunes are the last line of defense against storm wave attack and flooding from overwash. Prior to strict coastal zone management regulations, frontal dunes were often excavated for ocean views and building sites or notched at road terminals for beach access. These artificially created dune gaps are exploited by waves and storm surge and by storm -surge ebb flows. Wherever dune removal for development has occurred, the probability is increased for complete overwash to occur, and raises the possibility of inlet formation. In addition to the damage that may occur to property located in areas of dune removal, the combined threats of storm flooding, inlet formation, and the burial of roads by overwash sand make these areas prime danger zones for evacuation in case of a hurricane warning. S. It is the policy of Nags Head to protect its ocean shoreline resources, and to interfere as little as possible with the natural processes and dynamics at work in these areas.' Preservation and enhancement of the natural features of the coastal ecosystem will entail protection of the dunes and beaches which serve to buffer wave and surge effects; wetlands; natural drainage features; and other attributes of the natural environment which reduce or lessen the impacts of hurricane forces, including flooding. 6 It is the policy of the Town that movement of beach sand out of the ocean hazard AEC shall be prohibited" 7. As prescribed by CAMA, sand pushing, the movement of sand on a particular site as a means of beach nourishment, and the use of sand bags as a temporary measure to protect a threatened structure shall be permitted until the structure can be removed from the site. These activities shall not interfere with access to and use of the beach by the public.' 8. The Town will only support those uses on 404 wetlands which are either water -dependent or those uses which enhance the estuarine shoreline experiences, such as restaurants and wildlife observation areas! Development along the estuarine shoreline and in other wetland areas is regulated under Section 404 of the Federal Clean Water Act by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Although permits are issued by the Federal government, all Volicy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. Volicy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 'Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 'Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 14 development in 404 wetlands must meet the local zoning ordinance, which may limit the intensity and types of uses allowed over 404 wetlands. The Zoning Ordinance of Nags Head applies to all territory within its jurisdiction, including wetlands. As the availability of land for development in the Town decreases, there will be more pressure to build in and over wetlands. All such development must be on pilings, and while costly now, this situation may become more cost effective as land becomes more limited. 9. It is the policy of the Town to remain open to exploration of all issues involved in a town - wide or regional beach nourishment project.9 Beach nourishment programs involve efforts to push or place sand onto the beach in an. attempt to build back former dunes and upper beach. Beach nourishment projects are typically very expensive and the results temporary and require continual renourishment. A single noeeaster may eliminate much of the sand deposited under a nourishment program. Beach nourishment programs, however, represent efforts to preserve oceanfront property without damaging neighboring property or destroying the public's use of the beach, as do shore -hardening methods of stabilization. [Note: Although beach nourishment projects may involve the placement of a groin, it is intended that this policy be consistent with policy number 1. of the plan which prohibits the building of shore -hardening devices along the ocean shoreline. 10. It is the policy of the Town that the relocation of threatened structures off the oceanfront is the preferred response to buildings threatened by erosion.10 Moving a building to safer ground is the surest way to protect it from the most direct impacts of coastal storms and daily erosion processes. Relocation as a form of mitigation is clearly the most effective manner of removing people and property from the most hazardous area of Nags Head --the ocean front. The Town recognizes "retreat" as its number one mitigative option for its most vulnerable structures. 11. The Town of Nags Head has adopted a capital improvements program which addresses steering growth away from the highest storm hazard areas, thereby minimizing the extent of public investment at -risk This includes the siting, where feasible, of public facilities such as water distribution lines, in less hazardous locations in the community.11 "Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 10Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 11Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 15 12. The Town recognizes that natural features of the barrier island such as dunes and wetlands, act to mitigate the damaging effects of hurricanes It is the Town's policy to protect and enhance these natural mitigation features 12 13. The aftermath of a storm can present an opportunity to achieve substantial progress in hazard mitigation by the rapid acquisition of land The Town will take advantage of opportunities which may arise to acquire or purchase land following a storm event. To this extent the Town will establish, prepare and identify in advance where priority areas are located and will develop in advance decision making and funding mechanisms to ensure rapid acquisition. The Town shall identify acquisition areas which would satisfy multiple community objectives including, but not limited to, open space, parks and recreation sites, historic or scenic areas, or areas for location of Town facilities and any other use allowed by law.13 14. The Town of Nags Head will identify and track all non -local (federal, state, regional) policies, programs, and decisions which will influence the local mitigation of hurricane hazards, and attempt to affect these in ways which reduce the hazard locally.1' 15. It is the policy of the Town to support the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), and the construction and mitigation measures required under it. The Town actively supports and is working with FEVA's Community Rating System (CRS) Program to prevent storm and f looding damages from occurring in the first place, rather than simply reacting after the damages have occurred 15 16. The Town opposes the construction of finger canals and will take all necessary actions to prohibit them.16 Finger canals are a man-made alteration of the barrier island morphology that cause a variety of problems. Finger canal is the term applied to the ditches or channels dug from the sound side of an island into the island proper for the purpose of maximizing the number of waterfront lots. Canals can be made by excavation alone or by a combination of excavations and 12Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 13Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan; 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. "Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 1Volicy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 16Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 16 infill of adjacent low-lying areas (usually marshes). The resulting substrate is often insufficient for anchoring building supports. Finger canals have a destabilizing effect. Where canals cut deep into the island's interior, almost to the ocean side, storm -surge ebb flow may be funneled through the canal and cut an inlet, or adjacent finger canals may lead to lateral breaching, creating small back -side islands. These finger-canaled zones of weakness in the barrier island may be breached in future storms, creating greater risk during the storms and expensive post -storm island restoration. 17. All post -storm reconstruction will be required to conform to the provisions of the North Carolina State Building Code. The Town of Nags Head will strictly enforce the code as well as continue to lobby the State for an amendment to the Building Code that will better address coastal concerns of wince, flood, and fire." Structural mitigation measures involve both new construction and retrofitting existing homes, businesses and other structures according to standards designed to make the buildings more resilient to the impacts of natural hazards. Many of these standards are imposed through the building code, and are enforced locally. 18. Damaged public facilities, including water lines, will be rebuilt consistent with the practices, adopted policies, regulations, and objectives of the Town.18 19. The Town, when considering reconstruction, will encourage redevelopment patterns which recognize and utilize the natural mitigative features of the coastal environment. Redevelopment should take into consideration arty changes in natural conditions brought about by the storm, e.g., new inlets, changes in drainage patterns.19 20. The Town of Nags Head will integrate recovery and reconstruction planning with the broader set of planning goals and objectives for the community. The Town recognizes that the aftermath of a hurricane may provide a unique opportunity to modify existing development patterns and to accomplish Town objectives that would otherwise not be possible.20 17Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 1!Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 19Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 2QPolicy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. FVl 21. It is the policy of the Town that redevelopment following a natural hazard will occur at the intensitypermitted in. that Zoning District at the time of redevelopment and the Town Will oppose any attempts to increase intensities 21 22. The Town will continue to review and update its street and drainage improvement plan. The plan identifies and prioritizes road drainage improvements designed to alleviate congestion and potential, f looding caused by increasing development and growth in the Town.22 As the permanent and seasonal populations of Nags Head expand, and the commercial areas which serve them increase in size,. traffic on Nags Head streets will become an increasingly important concern. Nags Head will encourage NC DOT to address the issue of how it will respond to the loss of one or more sections of NC 12 in the event of a coastal storm. In addition to local traffic, as the Dare beach communities grow, Nags Head will receive substantial amounts of through -traffic. Two specific traffic problems can be identified: (1) the capacity of the Town's road and bridge system to accommodate evacuation in the event of a hurricane or a severe coastal storm, and (2) the ability of South Croatan Highway (US 158) and US 64/264, and to a lesser extent South Virginia Dare Trail (NC 12), to move traffic efficiently and safely from the Whalebone Junction area to either the Kitty Hawk area or to Roanoke Island. 23. It is the Town's policy to continue to participate with Emergency Management personnel and the Dare County Control Group to evacuate the area and to discourage residents or visitors from remaining on the Outer Banks in the event of a hurricane.23 Coordinated evacuation planning efforts between municipalities, counties, and state and federal officials facilitates the evacuation process; to this end, the Town is a participant in the Dare County Hurricane Evacuation Plan. The decision to evacuate is made by a control group comprised of members of each municipality and the county. Along with other tools, the control group utilizes a "decision arc" method to determine when an evacuation is needed. The decision arc method is a hurricane planning tool which determines the evacuation "clearance time'. Evacuation clearance time is the time required to clear the roadways of all evacuating vehicles prior to the arrival of sustained 34-knot winds. Clearance time needed for evacuation is based on: (1) the hurricane category; (2) the expected evacuee response rate; (3) the tourist occupancy rate; (4) the evacuation routes available; and (5) the estimated time required along the routes. 24. The Town recognizes that evacuation planning is a regional problem and it will work with other affected jurisdictions and to lobby the North Carolina Department of 21Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 22Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 23Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 18 Transportation for improvements, not only along South Croatan Highway (US 158), South Virginia Dare Trail (NC 12), and US 641264, but also improvement to and from the mainland to provide for maximum efficiency in hurricane evacuation of the Outer Banks'4 25. The Town believes that a municipal sewer system is not affordable in Nags Head Further, the Town opposes a public sewer system in order to avoid the pressure for high density development that inevitably follows the installation. It is believed that the high density made possible by public sewer systems would only exacerbate the problems of limited capacity in other areas, i.e., hurricane evacuation, water supply.I As population and development continue to grow in Nags Head, the need for increased sewage disposal capacity will increase as well. Currently, the predominant method of sewage treatment in Nags Head is the use of septic tanks. Several package treatment plants have been built to accommodate the needs of high density development in the Town. Despite the environmental implications for water quality of heavy reliance on septic tanks, it is likely that the Town will continue to rely on this means of treatment, along with package plants for higher density uses. Based on several EPA studies26 2', the Town presently does not view the installation of a public sewage system as either economically sound or consistent with desired levels of density. 26. At this time the Town is also opposed to the concept of a regional sewer system, and believes that such a system would be too costly, and would generate more negative consequences than it would mingate.28 A regional sewer system would provide sewage capacity for increased development in the area in and around Nags Head. Since providing sewage treatment and water are perhaps the two greatest expenses for new development, the availability of these services may encourage developers who otherwise would not be able to afford to build in the area. This would increase the level of development in the region, thereby directly increasing its vulnerability to the impact of natural hazards. By placing more structures, and correspondingly, more people, in the location of 'Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. uPolicy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 'U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, North Carolina Barrier Islands Generic Environmental Impact Statement Environmental Inventory (1981). "U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, North Carolina Barrier Islands Environmental Impact Statement, Wastewater Management (EPA 904/9-84-117;1984). 'Policy adopted 1990: Town of Nags Head Land Use Plan Update. 19 potential hurricanes and other coastal storms, the region would face greater property losses, and endanger more lives in the event of a hazard. 2 Z The Town has declared that the existence of certain conditions associated with storm- or erosion -damaged structures or their resultant debris shall constitute a public nuisance.--' 28. The Town has established several types of building moratoria which address different situations which may result from a storm event.30 29. The Town has called for the creation of a reconstruction task force to be activated and mobilized upon the declaration of the initial building moratorium. The reconstruction task force will oversee the recovery and reconstruction process and serve as an advisory body to the Town Board of Commissioners on recovery/reconstruction issues A primary function of the task force is to receive and review damage reports and other analyses of post -storm circumstances and to compare these circumstances with mitigation opportunities identified prior to the storm to discern appropriate areas for post -storm change and innovation. Where needed, the reconstruction task force can review in a more speck fashion alternative mechanisms for bringing these changes about and recommend the coordination of internal and external resources for achieving these ends 31 30. Following a damaging storm and enactment of a building moratorium, it is the policy of the Town to allow rebuilding and reconstruction in an orderly manner, through the control of the building permit issuance process and upon the advice of the reconstruction task force.32 31. The Town of Nags Head will make every effort to develop its capacity to identify and orchestrate vm ious post -storm reconstruction resources, while at the same time ensuring maximum local control over the reconstruction process 33 32. Consistent with CAMA provisions, the Town of Nags Head has adopted general use 34 standards for ocean hazard areas Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 30Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Nfitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 31Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Nfitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 32Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 33Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 'Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 20 The general use standards for ocean hazard areas enumerated in the 1988 Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan establish strict conditions whereupon single family residential structures may not be permitted seaward of the applicable setback line in ocean erodible areas. Because large structures located immediately along the Atlantic Ocean present increased risk of loss of life and property, increased potential for eventual loss or damage to the public beach area and other important natural features along the oceanfront, increased potential for higher public costs for federal flood insurance, erosion control, storm protection, disaster relief and provision of public services such as water and sewer, and increased difficulty and expense of relocation in the event of future shoreline loss, a greater oceanfront setback is required and has been established for these structures than is the case with smaller structures. 33. Consistent with the provisions of CAMA and the NFIP development standards for VE zones, in order to avoid weakening the protective nature of ocean beaches and primary and frontal dunes, it is the policy of the Town that no development will be permitted that involves the removal or relocation of primary or frontal dune sand or vegetation thereon.35 34. The Town has established geographical restrictions on ocean frontage lots, requiring that in the future when land is subdivided between the Atlantic Ocean and the road which parallels the ocean, the lots shall be of uniform width and shall extend from the ocean to the road The Town of Nags Head has experienced extensive ocean beach erosion and subsequent loss of property in some areas. A majority of the loss of property has occurred on lots which do not abut both the Atlantic Ocean and the road which parallels the ocean. Many of these lots do not offer the opportunity to move the structure away from the ocean or to move the structure off the lot, the preferred method of hazard mitigation for the Town. 35. It is the policy of the Town that when a nonconforming lot is adjacent to one or more conforming or nonconforming lots under the same ownership, and when arty portion of a proposed structure or required use is located on two or more lots, the lots shall be combined into one single lot of record and a plat combining said lots shall be recorded in the Dare County Registryprior to the issuance of a building permit.37 Many of the Town's existing oceanfront lots are nonconforming, that is, they fail to meet the current requirement for lot width or area as required by the Nags Head Zoning Ordinance. Often when development occurs several of these nonconforming lots may be used for the same "Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 37Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 21 development project. The ordinance requires those nonconforming lots to be combined into one lot. The long-term outcome of this regulation will be to eventually reduce the number of nonconforming lots on the oceanfront and indirectly reduce the density of structures subjected to risk from hurricanes and storms. 36. It is the policy of the Town that prior to the consideration of an expenditure of public funds for the repair or construction of Town streets which are destroyed or damaged as a result of a severe storm event, the Town shall conduct adequate studies and explore alternative solutions, including but not limited to, abandonment procedures, special assessments, and condemnations 38 37. It shalt be a policy of the Town to retain on a yearly basis an Assistance Facilitator - Consultant who, as directed by the Town Manager, will be responsible for: 1. Determining the types of assistance available to the Town and the type of assistance most needed 2. Assisting in the coordination of federal recovery effort. 3. Coordinating federal and state programs of assistance. 4. Informing the community of types of assistance programs available. S. Recommending to the Recovery Task Force and Board of Commissioners programs which are available to the Town and then to act as facilitator in securing those programs.39 Following a major disaster there are a large number of federal and state programs available to the Town to aid in disaster relief and reconstruction. These programs can provide assistance or funds to local government units as well as provide information about assistance that is available to individuals, businesses, families, and non-profit associations. Some programs can only be implemented upon declaration of a major disaster by the President of the United States. Other programs can be made available independently of a Presidential Declaration of a major disaster or an emergency. 38. It shall be the policy of the Town not to expend public funds for the repair or reconstruction of any private road or vehicular easement which is damaged or destroyed 38Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 39Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 22 as a result of a severe storm event, except in conjunction with the repair and maintenance of the Town IS water System.40 39. The Town of Nags Head recognizes that accurate and current geographic data, especially data that is presented in the form of maps, are essential to effectively plan for natural hazards The Town will consider a policy to develop and maintain the geographic information appropriate to hazard mitigation planning in Nags Head It is also the policy of the Town to maintain an open dialogue with the Center for Geographic Information and Analysis, the North Carolina Division of Emergency Management, and the North Carolina Division of Coastal Management in the pursuit of reliable geographic information. 40. The Town of Nags Head recognizes that at the present time some structures in the Town are not built to current code standards, especially with regards to the recent amendments to the North Carolina State Building Code concerning high wind zones Because of the Tawn's firm commitment to construction standards that are designed to make buildings as least vulnerable to the impacts of natural hazards as is practicable, it is the policy of the Town to encourage all owners of structures in Nags Head to consider retrofitting their property so that it meets or exceeds the most recent building code standards Owners of current structures are further encouraged to conduct periodic inspections of their structures to assess whether their condition is adequate to withstand the impact of future storms The Town recognizes that well-informed property owners can most effectively participate in the community's mitigation efforts, and the Town will consider methods of facilitating the education of citizens regarding retrofitting their property. 41. It is the policy of the Town to encourage the development industry, as well as individuals involved in new construction within Nags Ream to build all structures so that they exceed code standards for safety and resiliency. To further this policy, the Town will facilitate education regarding best management practices for construction in the coastal region. 42. The Town of Nags Head has instituted a program for the management of storm water, and has prepared a Stormwater Management Plan Update and Stormwater Ordinance. °! The purpose of the Stormwater Management Plan is to provide the Town an analysis of stormwater management processes, status and options to aid the Town in developing appropriate policies and regulations to manage stormwater runoff through buildout of the Town. 40Policy adopted 1988: Hurricane and Storm Mitigation and Reconstruction Plan. 41Stormwater Management Plan Update; Stormwater Ordinance Update, prepared for the: Town of Nags Head and North Carolina Division of Coastal Management, 1995. 23 Throughout the analysis, attention is given to unique circumstances of the Town, including geographic location, topography, development patterns, sewage disposal methods, and the sometimes conflicting goals to (not listed in order of priority): Minimize the detrimental effects of standing stormwater on public health and safety, including street and parking lot flooding; Minimize the rate and volume of stormwater runoff into the adjacent waters (ditches, sound and ocean) and the impact,that stormwater runoff has on the waters; Minimize the incompatibility of disposing of both stormwater and sewage effluent on -site; Minimize the groundwater lowering effects of deep drainage ditches while recognizing the need to maintain existing drainage. Because of the relatively good condition of existing systems in the Town to minimize the detrimental effects of standing water on public health and safety, the last three goals are attempted to be satisfied to the extent possible without unreasonably compromising the first goal. In the fall of 1995, the Town adopted a Stormwater Management Plan and Stormwater Management Ordinance. The stormwater policies in the 1990 Land Use Plan have been incorporated into the ordinance in an attempt to minimize the rate and volume of stormwater runoff that enters into these systems thereby diminishing, to a large extent, the environmental degradation associated with it. In a broader sense, both the Plan and Ordinance support traditional development patterns, i.e., single family and duplex construction, which the Town, as a primary goal, has been encouraging through the land use planning process. These built-in incentives, for example, recognize the contribution that stormwater generates from single family development sites but regulates the subdivider, at the time of plat submission, and not the homeowner/contractor at the time of building permit issuance. A concerted effort has been made to ensure consistency between the Stormwater Management policies/ordinance and the 1990 CAMA Land Use Plan. This Stormwater Plan and Ordinance will ensure that the Town's drainage and stormwater issues are dealt with and resolved in an orderly, coordinated, and fair fashion. Fk1 IV. EVALUATION, REVISIONS, UPDATES Nag Head's existing hazard mitigation policies have kept the vulnerability of the Town at an acceptable level, especially considering the tremendous growth pressures that have been exerted in the area over the past two decades. With periodic evaluation of our policies and the data upon which they are based, the Town continues to be on the cutting edge of mitigation practice at the local level. The Town is committed to continuing this vigilant evaluation, and to undertaking regular revisions and updates to our hazard mitigation plan. 27 APPENDIX L HAZARD IDENTIFICATION, DEFINITION, AND PROBABILITY A. Hurricanes a. Description A hurricane is a cyclonic storm formed and fueled through the release of latent ocean heat from n water condensation (Simpson). These storms form in low latitudes over warm tropical ocean waters and in areas of low atmospheric pressure. Hurricanes which affect North Carolina form in the Atlantic Basin, and are characterized by a vortex of wind which rotates counter -clockwise. Wind speeds in the vortex range from 75 to 200 miles per hour, and the cloud mass of the vortex produces heavy rainfall. The center of the vortex, or the eye of the hurricane, averages 10 to 30 miles in diameter. This central region of the storm is typically associated with light winds, minimum cloud cover and minimum sea -level pressure; the latter, in more intense hurricanes, is much less than the peripheral surface pressure (Neumann). The low pressure in the eye causes a local rise of the ocean surface called storm surge. Combined with high winds, this phenomenon results in increased tide levels and waves impinging on coastal lands. The eyewall contains the most intense winds, and can extend 10 to 25 miles outward from the edge of the eye. Spiral bands of severe thunderstorms called rain bands surround the eye of the hurricane. The rotational speed of the hurricane is called the hurricane wind velocity. This is the speed of the counter -clockwise winds of the hurricane itself. While the hurricane rotates around its eye, it also moves forward from the force of regional winds at a speed called the storm -center velocity, which can range from 5 to 15 miles per hour in tropical areas, and up to speeds of 60 miles an hour in temperate zones. The heat energy that drives the wind system of a hurricane is derived from warm ocean water, and the storm loses power as it crosses land. However, the storm may regain its force if it heads back to sea. Hurricanes follow no set pattern of movement; some travel in straight lines, others loop or curve, still others move in a combination of ways. The course of a hurricane is extremely changeable, as its movements are susceptible to the air masses along its route. These air masses may cause the hurricane to change direction or to hover in one area for a time (Coch). The tracks of hurricanes are, therefore, very difficult to predict with any accuracy, and each storm track is unique. Because of the hurricane's two velocities, the hurricane -wind velocity and the storm -center velocity, wind speed on opposite sides of the storm will differ quite significantly. On the right side of a northward moving storm, the velocities add approximately to the sum of the hurricane - wind velocity plus the storm -center velocity. However, on the left side of the storm, the rotary winds are moving counter to the direction of the storm center. Thus, the net velocity on this side 28 is the hurricane -wind velocity minus the storm -center velocity. In other words, the winds are always stronger, and the destruction greater, on the right side of a moving hurricane. If a hurricane stalls, this is not true, because the net wind velocity is the same on all sides of the storm (Coch). The angle at which a hurricane approaches the coastline largely determines the level of damage that will occur. A coast parallel hurricane track is offshore and parallel to the land. In a northward moving hurricane, the weaker left side of the storm is located over the land, somewhat minimizing the damage. The more volatile right side remains over the ocean and endangers only ships at sea (Coch). As the storm approaches a given area, strong onshore winds drive water onto the land (the flood surge), causing coastal flooding from the ocean. As the hurricane leaves the area, the offshore winds drive impounded water from estuaries and bays over the coast from the land side, a phenomenon known as ebb surge (Coch). A coast -normal hurricane track is perpendicular to the coast. This angle of arrival on shore can cause heavy damage, particularly where the stronger right side of the hurricane passes (Coch). Some hurricanes can change their approach from coast -parallel to coast -normal, or vice versa, as they pass over various landfall sites. Hurricane intensity is rated by the Saffir/Simpson Scale from least intensity as category 1 to greatest intensity as category 5. Hurricanes are rated according to wind velocity, height to which the sea rises, and the type of destruction expected (Coch). (See Table) Kt TABLE The Saffir-Simpson Scale of Hurricane Intensity (from Coch; Neumann) 1 Winds 119-153 km per hour (74-95 miles/hr), or storm surge 1.2-1.5 meters (4-5 feet) above normal No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, foliage, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Low-lying coastal roads inundated, minor pier damage, some small craft in exposed anchorage torn fi om moorings. Winds 154-1771an per hour (96-110 miles/hr), or storm surge 1.8-2.4 meters (6-8 feet) above normal Some damage to roofing material, and door and window damage to buildings. Considerable damage to vegetation, exposed mobile homes, and piers. Some trees blown down. Marinas flooded Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2 to 4 hours before arrival of hurricane eye. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Evacuation of some shoreline residences and low-lying island areas required. Winds 178-2091an per hour (111-130 miles/hr), or storm surge 2.7-3.6 meters (9-12 feet) above normal Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Mobile homes are destroyed Foliage torn from trees, large trees blown down. Practically al poorly constructed signs blown down. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures, with larger structures damaged by floating debris and battering waves. Terrain continuously lower than 1.5 meters (5 feet) above sea level may be flooded inland as far as 9.6 km (6 miles). Evacuation of low- lying residences within several blocks of shoreline possibly required. Winds 210-249 km per hour (131-155 miles/hr), or storm surge 3.9-55 meters (13-18 feet) above normaL . More extensive curtainwall failures with erosion of beach areas. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore due to flooding, floating debris and wave action. Shrubs and trees blown down; all signs down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Terrain continuously below 3 meters (10 feet) above sea level may be flooded, requiring massive evacuation of residential areas inland as far as 9.6 km (6 miles). Winds greater than 249 km per hour (155 miles/hr), or storm surge greater than 5.5 meters (18 feet) above normaL Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures, with small utility buildings blown over or away. Very extensive damage to windows and doors; extensive shattering of glass. Shrubs and trees blown down; all signs down. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 4.5 meters (15 feet) above sea level and within 457 meters (500 yards) of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of areas on low ground within 8-16 km (5-10 miles) of the shoreline may be required 30 b. Effects The primary effects of coastal storms are a result of storm surge, wave action, winds, rainfall, inland flooding, and tornadoes. The attributes which influence the effects of cyclonic storms include storm intensity, storm speed, storm size, and the path or track of the storm (Friedman). IEgh wind speeds and lower barometric pressures are associated with more intense storms. Elements of storm intensity include wind and wave impacts, and storm surge flooding. Each of these is discussed in detail below. Storm speed is one characteristic which determines the amount of time a storm will create hazard conditions in any given location. Speed also affects the time available to warn of an impending threat, and to evacuate an area. Storm size determines the breadth of affected area, and the orientation of the storm path to the coastline influences storm impacts and their duration. Storm Surge The elevated ocean surface accompanying the passage or landfall of a hurricane is called the storm surge. Storm surge causes most of the structural damage at the shoreline (Coch). The National Weather Service estimates that storm surge has been responsible for nine of every ten hurricane fatalities (Frazier). As a hurricane moves over the continental shelf, it produces a buildup of water at the coastline. How high the water surface becomes elevated in a hurricane storm surge is controlled by forces of the approaching hurricane as well as the characteristics of the area. These factors include: the category of storm (higher -intensity hurricanes have greater winds to drive more water across shallow depths; higher -intensity storms also have lower central pressure, allowing the ocean surface to rise to greater levels); tidal stage (surge is superimposed on normal tides - high tide raises the ocean surface so the storm surge can penetrate farther inland); shoreline configuration (surge levels increase along concave coasts and in narrowing bays as hurricane winds force water into them). The flood surge occurs as the eye of the hurricane travels over the shore. This mass of water pushes against beaches, buildings, dunes and other impediments to its progress, and carries sediment and debris inland. Once the hurricane has passed over the area, the flood surge waters, along with the impounded water of earlier rainfall (which has often fallen for days before the approach of the hurricane eye), flow back to the ocean as an ebb surge, causing a second wave of debris and fast-moving water to assault the structures left standing on the shoreline. Ebb surge channels may be eroded through barrier islands from the sound side oceanward, fostered in part by roads and driveways built at right angles to the beach which act as channels for the receding waters. These ebb surge channels make the island susceptible to finther erosion from future storms (Coch). Three elements contribute to the damage resulting from the flood surge: 1) the battering force of wave action; 2) the upward pressure (hydraulic lift) exerted by water and waves 31 moving under elevated structures; 3) the wave energy reflected from any engineering structures such as groins and jetties. In addition, the debris that is swept along with the powerful flow of the storm surge can cause great damage as it knocks into structures. Entire buildings can be lifted from poorly designed and constructed foundations, and are washed inland to collide with other structures (Coch). Areas of Nags Head that are subject to storm surge from Category 1 and Category 3 hurricanes are illustrated by maps located in Appendix IV. Tidal inlets can be cut through barrier islands by either the flood surge or the ebb surge. Surge can also cause an existing inlet to change shape (Bush). Inlet breaching usually occurs only . in the most intense hurricanes, or if the sound behind the barrier island is wide, or when the rain preceding passage of the hurricane eye was heavy (Coch). Waves A breaking wave contains momentum, and can reach up a sloping shore to elevations higher than the height of the wave itself. The extent of wave action depends on the direction and speed of the wind and on the configuration of the coast. Wave action is magnified the deeper the ocean bottom is close into shore. Effects from waves include beach and dune erosion, overwash, destruction of vegetation, and damage to structures. Wave -generated forces on buildings are of two types: hydrostatic forces, caused by the pressure of still water against one side of a surface, and hydrodynamic forces, caused by the movement of flowing water pushing against or flowing around a surface. In addition to direct wave action, waves also cause floating debris to bash into structures, a process known as ramrodding (Bush). Wave action also scours sand and sediments from some locations and deposits them in others, depending on the angle of incidence of the waves to the shoreline, and the coastal configuration. Waves can also erode and scour roads and bridges, and damage or destroy public sewer and water lines. (See also section in this Appendix on Inlet Hazards.) Winds Hurricane winds have the potential to completely disrupt an entire region's communication, utility and transportation systems. The effects of high intensity winds can be experienced far inland as winds rip up utility lines, sever telephone wires, and block roads with debris and fallen trees (Coch). The direct wind impact as well as flying debris (known as missiling) can cause some of the most costly damage of a storm (Bush). Taller buildings are particularly to susceptible to wind damage, since velocity increases upward. In highly urbanized areas, a wind -tunnel can be created as winds are forced between tall buildings in close proximity to one another. This results in an increase in wind speed, creating an even stronger impact on any structures located behind the openings of the tunnels. Even when 32 buildings are designed and constructed to be structurally sound internally, the outer surfaces may be inadequate to withstand the pressure of hurricane force winds. As outer walls and roofing material are ripped from a structure, rain can enter the building, causing massive water damage (Cock). Hurricane winds can also blow salt spray further inland than it otherwise would occur, causing damage to the natural environment, including fresh water vegetation and crops. Salt spray and water may also be forced into estuary waters, increasing salinity to a degree that it may impact aquatic life, including fish eggs and immature fish (Coch). In addition, barrier islands may lose or gain sand as winds carry sediments and deposit them in new locations (Bush). The damage caused by tree destruction during a hurricane can be considerable. During periods of heavy saturation of the ground, as occurs with the large amount of rainfall associated with a hurricane, trees are much more susceptible to toppling over due to the force of storm winds, especially if the tree is of a variety with a shallow root system. Trees may also snap off at a weak point along the trunk, and branches and foliage are often whipped off by strong winds. Branches, foliage and tree trunks can be catapulted through the air, causing great destruction where they land. Timber companies can suffer great losses when hurricane winds break or uproot many acres of trees. Falling trees also cut power and phone lines and block highways, hampering relief operations and service restoration. The loss of trees often creates a loss of habitat for many bird species and other wildlife. (Coch). Rainfall and Inland Flooding Torrential rainfall can occur in a mature hurricane in its rainbands, the spiral bands of high wind and rain that surround the eye. Significant amounts of rainfall can occur far inland when a hurricane travels landward rather than traveling strictly along the coast. The sheer size of a hurricane also increases the likelihood of rain to fall in areas at some distance from the center of the storm. Thus, hurricanes pose the threat of flash and general flooding to a region much larger than the coast. In terms of flooding, the effects of the heavy rainfall, as well as the surge that accompanies a hurricane, are similar to riverine flooding, and will therefore be discussed in the Flood section of this appendix. In the context of hurricanes, it is important to remember that the flooding effects of rain and surge are almost always exacerbated by wave and tidal action, especially close to the coastline itself. Tornadoes Hurricanes may also spawn tornadoes. This event is most likely in areas to the forward right quadrant in advance of the eye. Hurricane -generated tornadoes are generally less severe, of shorter duration, and move along shorter, narrower paths than regular tornadoes, although they 33 can still be quite intense. For a further description of tornadoes and their effects, see section of this Appendix on "Tornadoes." 300-Foot Zone Hurricane experts (see Brower, et al., 1984) have argued that experience shows that the most extensive damages from hurricanes occur within 300 feet of the ocean, in an area variously called the "300-Foot Zone," the "CAMA Zone," or the "Neal Frank Zone." While this is more a "rule of thumb" than a scientifically -established hazard zone, it nonetheless represents a useful guide for measuring the extent of property at risk and appropriate mitigation measures. In Nags Head, South Virginia Dare Trail (NC 12) in most places is just west of the 300-foot zone. C. Probability The least intense hurricanes are those most likely to occur in any given year, category 5 storms occur far less often than do category 1 storms, but are much more destructive over a wider range when they do hit. Of course, it is important to remember that the damage that can result from a particular hurricane of any category is very site -specific. Whether the location is on the left or right side of the hurricane, the distance from the eye, as well as the degree of hurricane development all determine the level of destruction that can be anticipated (Coch). These factors are particularly difficult to predict in advance for any one particular area. Evidence indicates that the actual number of hurricanes that reach landfall on the Atlantic and Gulf coasts may be on the rise. Research into hurricane frequency indicates that there is a strong correlation between the frequency of strong Atlantic and Gulf hurricanes and West African rainfall. We may be currently near the end of a "dry cycle" in which powerful hurricanes have been far less frequent than during the previous two to three decades. This lull in major hurricane activity has coincided with an unprecedented period of development along the shoreline. The low frequency of hurricanes in recent years has decreased the "hurricane awareness" in people that is crucial to reducing loss of life and property. If we are indeed entering a "wet" period, when the frequency of major hurricanes is expected to climb, more structures and people will be vulnerable than ever before (Coch). In addition, some scientists theorize that the greenhouse effect is warming the oceans sufficiently to provide future hurricanes with even more energy and thus increasing their ability to penetrate farther north and inland than ever before (Coch). 34 B. Tornadoes a. Description Often arising out of severe thunderstorms, a tornado is a rapidly rotating vortex of air containing extremely low atmospheric pressure, extending toward the ground from a cumulonimbus cloud. The funnel -shaped vortex hangs from the cloud base, usually rotating counter -clockwise, and may touch down on the ground one or more times during the storm event. A tornado's movements are erratic and unpredictable, at speeds between 50 kilometers (30 miles) per hour to over 110 kilometers (68 miles) per hour. Tornadoes have also been known to remain stationary for a time (Coch). In North Carolina, hurricane -spawned tornadoes typically move in an easterly to westerly direction. This movement is nearly opposite to the usual movement of tornadoes in North Carolina, from the southwest toward the northeast. Tornadoes that originate over water are known as waterspouts. Waterspouts pose an infrequent hazard in North Carolina but they have occasionally moved inland from the Atlantic Ocean, causing damage in coastal counties. The very low pressure inside and the high velocity of the winds in the "walls" of the tornado make tornadoes extremely hazardous. Tornadoes produce the highest wind speeds of any geohazard (Committee on Natural Disasters). The intensity, path length, width, and damage of tornadoes are rated according to a scale developed by T. Theodore Fujita and Allen D. Pearson. (See Table) 35 TABLE The Fujita-Pearson Scale of Tornado Intensity (from Coch; Frazier, Committee on Natural Disasters) Scale Category Speed 1ni/hr Expected Damage Fl Weak 64-116km/hr Branches broken off trees; shallow -rooted trees pushed over, some windows broken. F2 Moderate 117-180 km/hr Trees snapped; surfaces peel off roofs; mobile homes pushed off foundations. F3 Strong 181-253 km/hr Large trees snapped or uprooted; mobile homes destroyed; roofs tom off frame houses. F4 Severe 254-332 km/hr Most trees uprooted, cars overtumed, roofs and walls removed from well -constructed buildings. F5 Devastating 333-418 km/hr Well constructed houses destroyed; structures blown off foundations; cars thrown, trees uprooted and carried some distance away. F6 Incredible 419-512 km/hr Structures the size of autos moved over 90 meters; strong frame houses lifted off foundations and disintegrate; auto -sized missiles carried short distances; trees debarked 36 b. Effects Tornado damage occurs in a relatively small area as compared to the damage caused by other types of natural hazards (such as hurricanes or noeeasters). However, tornadoes usually decimate the area where they do touch down. Tornados may be from a few tens of meters up to 1,500 meters (0.9 mile). Their average destructive track is about 7 kilometers (4 miles) long. Tornadoes have multiple damaging effects. The wind speeds are sufficient to blow weaker structures down or away. Mobile homes are particularly vulnerable to tornado damage. The low pressure within the tornado creates a pressure differential between the interior and exterior of buildings such that roofs are lifted and removed. The wind force and high pressure pick up smaller objects (cars, animals, small structures, people) and can transport them up to hundreds of meters (Coch). Much of the devastating damage caused by tornadoes can be attributed to wind -induced forces tearing structures apart from the outside. Evidence gathered during postevent damage surveys also suggests that a "domino effect" plays a key role in much tornado damage (Committee on Natural Disasters) - the tremendous amount of debris that becomes mobilized during a tornado becomes "shrapnel," and flies through the air, impacting nearby structures. Due to the tornadoes incredible wind speeds, normally innocuous debris such as cardboard, asphalt roofing tiles, sticks, and fine gravel can become lethal objects (Cock). c. Probability Tornadoes with extreme speeds that rate high on the Fujita scale (F5) are usually attained in only a few tornadoes nationwide each year. In 98 percent of all tornadoes, speeds near the ground are considerably less than 200 mph. In 50 percent of all tornadoes, speeds are less than 100 mph and should cause only minor damage to structures (Committee on Natural Disasters). Although tornadoes have been reported in North Carolina throughout the year, most of them have occurred in the spring, particularly in March, April, May and June. The most severe tornadoes have also taken place during the spring; more than one half of all tornadoes of intensity F2 or greater occurred during spring months. The greatest number of tornadoes have occurred during the mid to late afternoon, with the least number taking place in the night. 37 C. Thunderstorms a. Description Thunderstorm activity includes lightning, the primary hazard to people/as well as intense local winds and hail. Thunderstorms may spawn tornadoes. Thunderstorms are common throughout North Carolina, and have occurred in all months. These storms serve as a mechanism to readjust patterns of heat and moisture in the air, and to provide more stable atmospheric conditions. Atmospheric instability refers to conditions in which air temperature decreases rapidly with altitude. While air generally cools with increasing altitude, the rate of this temperature drop varies. When the rate of change is great, instability results. Air parcels are normally cooled when they rise into the atmosphere. However, if the air temperature decreases rapidly with height, a rising parcel of air will remain warmer than the air surrounding it. Normally, air parcels cool as they rise, ceasing to rise when they cool to the temperature of the surrounding air. When the air temperature drops rapidly with height, rising parcels continue their ascent, carrying with them a supply of energy in the form of water vapor. When the water vapor cools, it condenses, releasing heat energy to the surrounding air mass. It is this energy which causes hazardous effects. Afternoon thunderstorms often result from solar radiation heating the ground, and evaporating large quantities of water which condense in the atmosphere. Large quantities of heat energy are then released into the atmosphere, causing convective instability from warm air parcels located above a cooler air mass. The condensed water vapor falls as rain and creates a downdraft of air parallel to the previous updraft. This combination of updraft and downdraft forms a thunderstorm cell. Cells grow, multiply, and die in the normal course of a thunderstorm, creating wind shears and turbulence. The ground below receives rainfall, and strong gusts of cold wind rush out over the area. Lightning is generated from the clouds, and tornadoes may be created from the storm. Eventually the atmosphere becomes overtumed as the supply of warm air is eliminated and the storms cease. The most likely occurrence of atmospheric instability is along cold fronts, particularly where a polar cold front intrudes into moist tropical air. With this condition, a line of thunderstorms may exist for several hundred miles along the squall line. On a local scale, topographic conditions may contribute to atmospheric instability. Air forced over hills or mountains, or air currents merged by passing through mountainous areas may also initiate convective instability. Large cities which develop an urban heat island also attract thunderstorms. The heat island tends to initiate updrafts over the city. Thunderstorms which are developing in the area may then be attracted to this updraft. A typical thunderstorm may be three miles wide at its base, intrude 40,000 feet into the air, and contain half a million tons of condensed water. Large thunderstorms may reach as high as 60,000 feet and spread over 500 square miles. Thunderstorms contain tremendous amounts of 38 energy, acquired from heat released from the condensation of water vapor into water or ice. The condensation of a half million tons of water releases 300 trillion calories of energy, equivalent to about 100 million kilowatt hours of electricity, or several atomic bombs of the strength used over Hiroshima in World War H (Frazier). The energy represented by the motion of air within a thunderstorm is only a small fraction of the total energy generated by the system. Yet one average thunderstorm contains 100 times as much kinetic energy as a tornado. The destructive power of a tornado results from the intense concentration of energy; while thunderstorms may contain much greater amounts of energy, it is spread over a greater area and is therefore less intense. Thunderstorms themselves are not a major hazard. They do, however, give rise to other hazards such as tornados, and are the main mechanism for generating lightning and hail. In addition, large amounts of rainfall from thunderstorms may cause flash flooding. ' Lightning Thunder is generated as a result of lightning briefly heating the air to extremely high temperatures and the air in the conducting channel expanding within a few millionths of a second. This rapid expansion produces a shock wave and noise. Lightning occurs as a result of a buildup of charged ions in thunderclouds. The top portion of thunderclouds tends to become positively charged, the bottom part, negatively charged. The cause of this separation of electrical charge is unknown. As the thundercloud moves, its negatively charged base induces the buildup of a positive charge over the ground below. This distribution of ions produces an electrical gradient both within the cloud and between the area of negative charge and the areas of positive charge. Once a leader channel has been established, positive ions race along this channel, which can be up to 60 miles long. This produces the visible flash of lightning. The amount of energy concentrated in a lightning bolt varies, but can reach 250 kilowatt hours. Hail The formation of hail depends on the strength of updrafts in thunderclouds, which depend in turn, on the intensity of the heating of the earth's surface. The more intense the surface heating and the steeper the temperature gradient within the thundercloud, the more likely the occurrence of hail. Almost all hail storms form along a cold front carried aloft by the jet stream. The presence of wind shear also facilitates hail formation. The size of hail is related directly to thunderstorm severity and size. Larger hail requires winds of higher speeds to transport it within thunderclouds. Some hailstones have multiple layers, the result of many trips up and down through a thundercloud. Most hailstorms in the United States occur in late spring and early summer, as the jet stream moves northward. 39 b. Effects Lightning is a localized, repetitive hazard. Tall objects, such as radio and television towers are continually struck because of their greater proximity to negatively -charged cloud bases. When lightning strikes a structure, fire is likely to result. Lightning is also a severe hazard to trees, and can scorch or ignite vegetation and may initiate a forest fire. Lightning also kills and injures people. Lightning has killed more Americans than any other meteorological event -- tornadoes, floods, and tropical cyclones or hurricanes. Hail, on the other hand, is recorded as killing only two people in the United States. However, hail is one of the most destructive hazards to agricultural crops, causing millions of dollars of damage to the U.S. annually. Hail has also injured livestock and has caused damage to structures and vehicles. The effects of flash flooding resulting from thunderstorms varies with local floodplain characteristics, and is covered in detail in the section on flooding. - c. Probability The greatest chance of death or injury from lightning occurs during the summer months, in open outdoor locations. Statistics show that most deaths and injuries from lightning occur during the period from May through September. Lightning most often strikes people who are outdoors. In North Carolina, as in the entire nation, lightning victims are increasingly likely to have been participating in some form of outdoor recreation when they were struck. The combination of greater participation in outdoor activities and greater occurrence of thunderstorms during the summer months is responsible for the relatively high number of deaths and injuries. Lightning is a unique hazard in there being a relatively high probability of death if struck. Persons caught in hurricanes, tornadoes, and earthquakes are very likely to survive. With lightning, for every three persons injured in North Carolina, one has been killed. Livestock is also subject to death and injury from lightning. Lightning has also ignited forest fires. According to U.S. Forest Service statistics, 194 forest fires of a total of 4,773 fires in North Carolina were attributed to lightning in 1993. 40 D. Nor'easters a. Description While hurricanes form in tropical regions and move northward towards the North Carolina coast, other coastal storms are extratropical, such as nor'easters, which are massive low-pressure systems with cyclonic (counterclockwise) winds that originate in mid -latitudes and move eastwards and up the Atlantic coast. Noeeasters form in various locations, wherever unstable air produces significant temperature and pressure differences. Noeeasters which affect North Carolina generally form as a result of a low pressure area moving eastward over the Appalachian Mountains and off the coast. A blocking high-pressure system causes the low pressure system to settle over an area of warm water in the Gulf Stream. These systems intensify near the coast as a result of convection currents that are enhanced by the presence of steep topography near the coast, cold inshore upwelled water (leading to a steep sea -surface temperature gradient between the coastline and the offshore warm current) and rapid input of latent heat of evaporation obtained from winds blowing over the warm offshore current. Wind speeds of a nor'easter rarely attain hurricane level (74 miles per hour). However, their massive size affects broad coastal sections as long as 930 miles, usually for several days (Coch). Ifthe atmospheric steering currents that push noeeasters northward along the coast are not particularly strong, the storm may travel quite slowly or stall off the coast, and create substantial damage on coastal areas through large amounts of rainfall, high storm surges, strong wave action, and periods of high winds. The Dolan -Davis scale separates nor'easters into five classes, based on their power and effect (see Table). The Dolan -Davis scale is not based on wind velocity but on the size of the waves and the duration of the storm and is expressed in terms of intensity of property damage (Bush). Over 50% of noeeasters are weak systems (class 1); only 3% of all noeeasters are class 4 and 5 events, capable of great damage (Coch). 41 TABLE The Dolan -Davis Nor'easter Intensity Scale (from Davis and Dolan. 1993. American Scientist, v. 18, p. 428-39, Sept -Oct. In Coch; Bush) Storm Class Beach Erosion Dune Erosion Overwash Property Damage 1 (Weak) Minor changes None No No 2 (Moderate) Modest; mostly to Minor No Modest lower beach 3 (Significant) Erosion extends Can be significant No Loss of many across beach structures at local level 4 (Severe) Severe beach erosion Severe dune erosion On low Loss of structures and recession or destruction beaches at community scale 5 (Extreme) Extreme beach Dunes destroyed over Massive in Extensive at regional erosion extensive areas sheets and scale: millions of Channels dollars 42 b. Effects Nor'easters develop closer to the coast of the United States, and with greater speed, than do hurricanes. Nor'easters may develop rapidly, often in a matter of hours, and often form at night, when the sea water temperature gradient is greatest. While hurricanes can normally be identified and tracked for a period of several days, nor'easters usually provide much less warning time for residents of coastal areas. As a nor'easter moves along the Atlantic coast, northeasterly winds cover the coastal area with rain or snow and massive waves pound the coast, destroying structures and causing massive beach and dune erosion (Coch). Flooding and storm surge damage can be substantial. Transportation and communication systems can be destroyed due to snow and ice during a nor'easter. c. Probability Analysis of nor'easter frequency by researchers reveals fewer nor'easters during the 1980s. However, the frequency of major nor'easters (classes 4 and 5) has increased in recent years. In the period from 1987 to 1993, at least one class 4 or 5 storm has occurred each year, a situation duplicated only once in the past 50 years. Of the eight storms in class 5 during the period studied, seven (88%) have occurred since 1960 (Coch). It is unclear at this time whether these findings provide evidence that serious nor'easters will become more frequent in the near future. However, it is undisputable that more lives and property will be in danger from future storms as the coastal area becomes more developed. E. Sea Level Rise Gases (both natural and man-made) that are present in the Earth's atmosphere can act like the walls of a greenhouse by preventing heat energy from being reflected back into space. The trapped heat energy warms theair inside the "greenhouse," creating an artificially warm climate. While the greenhouse effect keeps Earth inhabitable, many scientists believe that anthropogenic activities -- especially the production of carbon dioxide (which results form the burning of fossil fuels and natural gas), tropical deforestation and burning, as well as organic material in exposed soil -- have exacerbated the greenhouse effect, and we now face a potentially serious problem (Coch). The greatest geohazard from the greenhouse effect will occur along coastlines. Warmer temperatures following the last glaciation are causing the slow melting of continental ice masses over Antarctica and Greenland. This melt -water drains into the ocean, resulting in a general sea - level rise. For the past few thousand years, sea level has risen at about 0.3 meter (1 foot) per century. The rate has been predicted to increase to 1 to 2 meters per century (3 to 6.5 feet). The greenhouse effect may accelerate sea -level rise, because global warming will accelerate ice sheet melting. Further, as ocean water heats, it expands, raising the ocean surface yet higher. This thermal expansion is predicted to contribute more to sea -level rise than the melting of ice. Very few scientists question that sea -level rise has accelerated. The only controversy is over how fast it is rising (Cock). As a consequence of sea -level rise, the shoreline along the world's oceans is migrating towards the landward side. Land, and buildings that once fronted the ocean are now or will be submerged. All structures placed in such a position will eventually be destroyed, despite temporary stop -gap measures such as engineered erosion control (Cock). Rising sea -level will also extend saltwater further onto the land. Freshwater marshes and swamps will become covered with saltier water. Animals and plants that are sensitive to salinity will find their habitats destroyed or displaced (Coch). Serious disruption will occur to drinking water supplies as sea level rises, particularly in areas that rely on coastal aquifers for their water supply. As sea level rises, saltwater will encroach into coastal aquifers, contaminating wells that are the principal water supply for many communities (Cock). Sea level rise poses a special problem for the low-lying, sandy barrier islands of the Atlantic coast. For example, on a gently sloping coastal plain, a 0.3 meter (1 foot) rise in sea level can result in a 60 to 90 meter (200 to 300 foot) landward movement of the shoreline. Thus, even houses that are elevated on pilings away from the shore today will be destroyed as water eventually reaches the pilings and scours away the sand that supports them (Coch). 44 Barrier islands respond to rising sea level by erosion on their oceanic sides and deposition of the material by overwash on their back sides. Thus, with time, the ocean front recedes and the back side of the island grows landward in a process called barrier rollover. While the island retains its width, the entire island is displaced landward with time. The bay width remains the same as well, because the landward shoreline of the bay also recedes as sea level rises. This will damage structures there too, much to the surprise of the inhabitants who thought living there would protect then from wave damage! (Cock) The barrier -migration scenario applies only to coasts where engineering structures have not been built to control erosion. Walls and other structures built to protect property prevent the overwash that allows the back side of the island to build landward as sea level rises. In short, a barrier island that is protected by engineered structures will only get narrower with time. Ironically, the only way to preserve barrier islands as sea level rises is to let their fronts erode, and allow the sediment to overwash across the island to build out the bayward side (Coch). Further implications of sea -level rise will affect communities in hurricane -prone areas. Hurricanes can cause a storm surge many meters above mean sea level. Future damage will almost certainly be greater if overall sea level has risen. The problem is even more serious because the warming of the ocean may provide more energy to generate more frequent, more intense hurricanes (Coch). 45 F. Wildfire a. Description Any instance of uncontrolled burning in grasslands, brush, or woodlands constitutes a wildfire. Wildfires are primarily rural hazard usually resulting in some damage to ecosystems. Timber and forage may be destroyed, animal habitats disrupted, soil nutrient stores depleted, and amenity value greatly decreased for years afterwards. The potential for a major fire hazard depends on the characteristics of the fuel, the climate, and fire behavior. While natural fires occur in any area in which there is vegetation, flammability varies by species, moisture content, and is influenced by the climate. Temperate, primarily deciduous forests, such as those in North Carolina are most vulnerable to fire in autumn, when the foliage dries out. Long hot summers dry vegetation and increase susceptibility to fire in the autumn. Grasses are least pone to ignition in the morning, when their moisture content is greatest. The coastal areas of North Carolina are at fairly high risk from wildfires as compared to some other areas of the state. Fire behavior and topography are instrumental in determining the final severity of the fire hazard. Fires often accelerate as the day progresses because of a decrease in the moisture content of the fuels, and wind speed and atmospheric instability increase due to diurnal heating. Wildfires radiate heat which can dry out material and can start spot fires in advance of the main fire. The rate of movement of forest fires increases exponentially in proportion to increases in wind speed, however, grass fires decelerate with winds above 30 milers per hour. Since grass fires can move up to eight times as fast as forest fires, they pose a greater threat to evacuation proceedings. Fires also move faster on an upslope than on level terrain. If a fire occurs in an area with atmospheric instability, conditions of convective instability may be created by.the fire's heating of the atmosphere. Fire whirlwinds can be generated under conditions of extreme instability, and can transport embers several hundred feet beyond the fire to unburned areas. While many wildfires have been caused by lightning strikes, humans are the greatest cause of wildfires. The progressive expansion of human activities into heavily vegetated areas has not only increased the number of wildfires but also increased the losses to life and property. Main sources of ignition have been agricultural fires and discarded cigarette butts and campfires which have gotten out of control. As development has spread into areas which were previously rural, new residents have been relatively unaware of the hazards posed by wildfires and have used highly flammable materials for constructing structures. This has not only increased the threat to life and property, but has also resulted in a greater population of people less prepared to cope with wildfire hazards. 46 b. Effects While wildfires cause disruption of natural ecosystems, the effects of these fires are usually measured in terms of loss of life, property, marketable timber, and non -timber crop value. Areas which have been burned are also subject to increased soil erosion. Erosion, besides stripping away topsoil, causes sedimentation of streams which lowers water quality and adversely affects fish and other aquatic life. G. Flooding Coastal flooding is a result of storm surge, wind -driven waves, and heavy rainfall. These conditions are produced by hurricanes during the summer and fall, and by nor'easters and other large coastal storms during the winter and spring. Storm surges may overturn barrier islands and push seawater up coastal rivers and inlets, blocking the downstream flow of island runoff. Many acres of crops and forest lands may be inundated by both saltwater and fresh water. Fresh water flooding may accompany saltwater flooding, particularly with storms having heavy rains. Escape routes, particularly from barrier islands, may be cut off quickly, stranding residents in flooded areas and hampering rescue efforts. The population which is most vulnerable to flood hazards are those people residing within coastal storm surge inundation areas. Vulnerability varies within these general areas. Depicting the topography or elevation of the land above mean sea level is an effective way to delineate areas that are vulnerable to coastal storms, and flood zones in Nags Head have been mapped for different categories of storms. Flood Zones V-Zone/Special Flood Hazard Area. This zone delineates areas of the Town which will be subject to substantial wave action during a 100-year storm (technically, areas of the coast which could be subjected to waves three feet high). The V-Zone constitutes a stretch of oceanfront from the southern to the northern borders of the Town. A-Zone/100-year Flood/Special Flood Hazard Area. This zone delineates those areas in the community which have an annual probability of one percent of being flooded, i.e., areas which will be inundated by the 100-year flood. In Nags Head these zones are located over much (66%) of the jurisdiction. Specifically, these areas include most of the land south of Jockey's Ridge (south of Soundside Road), including Cedar and Pond islands. In addition, in the northern sector of the Town, much of the land between South Croatan Highway (US 158) and South Virginia Dare Trail (NC 12) is in the A -Zone, as well as portions of the coastal dunes. X-Zone/Area of Minimal Flooding. These are areas where flooding is unlikely but are included in the analysis to complete the picture of the Town. These are areas of relatively high elevation and extend from Hockey's Ridge north and west of South Croatan Highway (US 158), 47 to the Town's northern boundary (excluding the estuarine area to the west). Also, the C-Zone constitutes a line located along most of the ocean frontal dunes and most of this area lies withing the 300-foot zone. H. Dune Gaps Notches in dunes are naturally exploited by waves and storm surge during a storm, increasing the potential for damage to development behind the notch. Plugging these notches is a simple and relatively inexpensive way to reduce the threat of waves and storm surge in these areas. Nags Head has several stretches of shoreline where dunes are missing. Although the gaps are large, they could be plugged to increase protection from moderate storms. A gap near the center of Nags Head has possible implications for evacuation as well as for property damage. The potential flooding of Whalebone Junction several hours before a storm hits while evacuation will still be ongoing is exacerbated by the lack of dunes. Building dunes to close the gap is an inexpensive way to "buy" several more hours of evacuation time (Bush, et al.). L Inlet Hazards Part of the following discussion is adapted from Bush, et al. Inlets are located between islands, connecting backwaters and ocean. Inlets require special consideration in applying principles of property damage mitigation because a special set of natural processes are at work. Communities and property owners close to existing and potential inlets face a special set of hazards. Tidal inlets are not fixed features. Inlets can migrate in one direction or another, reverse direction of migration, open and close, narrow or widen, or follow any combination of these patterns. Because of these dynamics, the North Carolina Coastal Area Management Act designates inlet hazard areas as "areas of environmental concern" which are subject to more rigorous management requirements. Relict and historical inlets are now closed; however, their location and recognition is important because inlets can re-form in previous positions, or they may leave behind a characteristic geomorphic "signal' that may influence whether or not an inlet will re -open in a nearby location. Inlets form during storms. Most probably form when a storm system passes over the island and the water piled inside the sound by landward -directed winds is suddenly forced seaward by the reversed winds. The water forced across the island catastrophically seeks out low and narrow island stretches to carve new inlets. The term relict inlet refers to any inlet that was open in the past but that is older than recorded history and does not appear on any reliable map or chart. Relict inlets are inferred from geomorphic and geologic criteria. The term historical inlet refers to open inlets observed since the time of the first reliable charts and maps, but which are now closed. Historical inlets often result in modem zones that are highly vulnerable to inlet formation. While the prediction of inlet formation and their precise location is highly uncertain, particular physical features can be used to identity likely sites (Lynch, 1983). ( Also see Table). In an analysis of potential inlets on the North Carolina coast, the Whalebone Junction area was identified based on several factors: maximum elevation, island width, canal dimensions, and rate of erosion. Width and elevation of a barrier island appear to be the most important factors. The potential Nags Head inlet identified by Lynch is a canal which enters the island near Whalebone Junction. Lynch calls this site "extremely hazardous," based on a composite of several of the crucial primary and secondary factors. Drawing a straight line across the island from this canal and placing a 425-foot erodible area (estimated width of area subject to erosion) on each side of this line yields the Whalebone Junction incipient inlet hazard zone. Although not identified by Lynch, local experience (see Brower, Collins, and Beatley, 1984) indicates that there are two other areas that should be considered. Nags Head Cove/Incipient Inlet. A second potential inlet has been identified in the Nags Head Cove area. Here finger canals have been excavated from the sound side approximately 1,000 feet perpendicular to the shoreline. This means that storm waters from the sound .would have a clear fimnel traversing the island more than halfway to the ocean. This represents a serious inlet threat, and unfortunately is located in the center of a large subdivision. Extending the path of the longest canal to the Atlantic Ocean, and placing a 325-foot erodible area (estimated width of area subject to erosion) on each side of this line, yields an identifiable hazard zone. This is a crude delineation, as is the case with the other incipient inlets, and is meant only to provide decision makers with a general idea of the geographical area of concern. Soundside Road/Incinient Inlet. A third potential inlet can be identified in the Soundside Road area just south of Jockey's Ridge State Park. This area has been identified because of its relatively frequent flooding. Extending the path of this road, and placing a 100-foot erodible area (estimated width of area subject to erosion) on each side yields an identifiable, albeit crude, hazard zone. This same area was the site of extreme flooding and damage alongside Soundside Road (Jigsaw Road) in 1962. The incipient inlets of Nags Head are indicated on maps which may be found in Appendix IV. 49 Table. RATING OF FACTORS RESPONSIBLE NEW INLET FORMATION OUTER BANKS, NORTH CAROLINA (Source: Lvnch and Benton. in Bush) PARAMETER AVERAGE DANGEROUS HAZARDOUS EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS Pril� Island width 2,300' >2,600' 2,000'-2,600' 500'-2,000' Maximum Elevation * >12.5' 7.5'-12.5' 4.5' Secondary Lagoon Width 22.4 miles 0-14 miles 14-30 miles** >30 miles Canal Approach"* 1,500' >1,500' 1,000'-1,500' 500'-1,000' Canal Width 150' <100, 100'-200' 200'-300' Erosion Ratelyear 4.5' <.O' 3.0'-6.0' >6.0' * Average 25-year storm surge is 7.5 feet above mean sea level. Average 50 year storm wave height is 12.5 feet above mean sea level ** Includes sites with lagoon widths > 30 miles in one direction *** Distance between the ocean shore and the farthest canal penetration Canal refers to finger canal. The ranking of average to extremely hazardous refers to the relative tendency for an inlet to form. 51 APPENDIX H. VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS A. Introduction Risk assessment involves a two-step process, combining information on physical hazards with information about vulnerability. As provided in Appendix I, the needed information on physical hazards includes types of processes, their intensity and frequency, plus identification of area of potential impacts. Defining the natural hazards to which the community is subject, measuring the vulnerability, and evaluating the risks are the preliminary steps leading to avoiding the hazards and/or reducing the risks and in turn the vulnerability. The vulnerability of a community refers to exposed population, the type and location of structures, critical facilities such as hospitals, shelters, and power plants, evacuation routes, and natural resources (Bush, et al., citations omitted). B. Mapping Nags Head's Vulnerability The preliminary stage of research was to procure existing maps or create new maps illustrating the various factors that determine the vulnerability of Nags Head to natural hazards, and to enter them into the computer -generated modeling system. These maps were then layered to produce a complete "picture" of Nags Head. Through this layered -map approach, we can graphically depict which geographic areas of Nags Head are most vulnerable to natural hazards, and why. Appendix IV contains hard -copy cross-section samples of some of the maps used in this analysis, although, of course, it is not possible to convey the layered effect in this document. The first step of the mapping research was to construct a basic layout of Nags Head, indicating its boundaries, major roads, and natural areas, as well as the existing zoning districts. The next step involved procuring county tax maps, which portray the location, tax value, and current use of each parcel of land within Nags Head. The tax maps also provide information regarding the date of construction of the primary buildings on each lot. This data is significant in that it allows us to determine whether a particular structure was built before or after the Federal Insurance Rate Maps were put in place. (Note that Appendix IV does not include a copy of the tax maps of Nags Head; the lot lines on the maps would be illegible if printed at a size to fit this document). We could now analyze the Town by vacant and developed parcels, by zoning district, by tax value, and by pre- and post -FIRM construction. To these maps were added hazard identification data, including the flood zones of all Nags Head property, the location of incipient inlets, and the areas subject to hurricane storm surge from both Category 1 and Category 3 hurricanes. This collective data allowed us to analyze the vulnerability of Nags Head parcel by parcel, as well as assess the vulnerability of the Town as a whole. In terms of personal safety and property damage, vacant land is presently the least vulnerable to the impact of natural hazards, although depending upon its zoning designation, land that is currently vacant may in the future be developed, thus increasing its vulnerability.' 'Note, however, that the total acreage of vacant land indicated on the maps of Nags Head is a misleading figure, since a substantial portion of this land is undevelopable wetlands, or otherwise 52 C. Charting Nags Head's Vulnerability After creating the mapping system to visually portray the vulnerability of Nags Head to natural hazards, the data was re -structured in the form of charts to summarize the potential dollar losses Nags Head could experience in the event of a natural hazard of various dimensions. These charts appear in greater detail in Appendix IV. Here we summarize the most pertinent information in the terms of tax figures. Note that this analysis does not take into account the market value of these properties, which would be considerably higher. Analysis using the most current SLOSH model report shows that 59% of all structures in Nags Head (at an aggregate tax value of $400,639,079) are vulnerable to a Category 1 hurricane, and 83% of all structures (at an aggregate tax value of $568,944,769) are likely to be impacted during a Category 3 hurricane. Analysis also indicates that 42% of all developed property in Nags Head (total tax value $290,527,689) lies within the 300-Foot Zone, while 4.5% (total tax value $30,679,090) is vulnerable to incipient inlets. Property within the VE Flood Zone is valued at $236,887,019, and property within the AE Flood Zone is valued at $254,964,860. The vulnerability of vacant areas (which make up 28% of the total acreage of Nags Head) is also significant. 48% of all vacant land in Nags Head, or 487.74 acres, is vulnerable to Category 1 hurricanes, while 89%, or 912.18 acres would be impacted during a Category 3 hurricane. 10% of Nags Head's vacant land is within the 300-Foot Zone (100.75 acres), and 3%, or 28.85 acres is subject to incipient inlets. 9% (94.57 acres) of all vacant land falls in the VE Flood Zone, and 69% (704.38 acres) within the AE Flood Zone. unavailable for development (e.g., Nags Head Woods property owned by the Town or the Nature Conservancy). 53 APPENDIX M. CAPABILITY ASSESSMENT In order to formulate and carry out an effective mitigation program, a local community must have the requisite capability to do so. For instance, whether a particular municipality will be able to implement meaningful mitigation measures depends in large part on whether funding its available. Fiscal capability can be augmented by grants and loans available from Federal and State governments for disaster relief. Nags Head has addressed this issue by stating its policy to retain an Assistance Facilitator -Consultant, who is responsible for determining and coordinating the procurement of various types of assistance as it becomes available. Another aspect of capability, and one that varies widely from community to community, involves political will. Without the commitment and dedication of civic leaders, as well as citizen support, mitigation programs can be difficult to create, and impossible to implement. In Nags Head, however, officials, planners, residents, and business leaders have realized the advantages of having a mitigation plan in place before the next disaster strikes, so that the community is less vulnerable to the impact of the hazard and also better equipped to recover from any damages that it does sustain. This commitment on the part of the Town has been articulated through many documents, plans, ordinances and policies that incorporate the concept of mitigation into daily operations, not the least of which is this Hazard Mitigation Plan. Even the most politically committed of communities are powerless to enact a hazard mitigation program without the requisite legal capability. The legal capability of a local government depends upon the general powers of governance that are bestowed upon it by its home' state, as well as the locally -enacted rules and regulations by which it operates. The following discussion outlines the basic legal capability of the Town of Nags Head to engage in mitigation. As a general rule, local governments such as Nags Head have only that legal authority which is granted to them by their home state. This principle, that all power is vested in the State and can only be exercised to the extent it is delegated, is known as "Dillon's Rule," and applies to all North Carolina's political subdivisions. It is important to note that it is State, not Federal law that controls what a local government can legally do. While various Federal laws, regulations, and programs affect local government activities, without proper delegation from the State, a local government may not act. Enabling legislation in North Carolina grants a wide array of powers to its cities, town and counties. Many of the powers enumerated in the North Carolina General Statutes can be wielded to craft hazard mitigation measures at the local level. However, local regulations which are enacted within the bounds of the states enabling authority do not automatically meet with judicial acceptance; they must fit the constitutional framework within which all acts of government take place. The Federal and North Carolina Constitutions establish a series of mandates which must be followed during any governmental undertaking. For instance, the Fifth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, and its state counterpart, require that private property be taken for a public purpose only upon payment of just compensation. This constraint on government powers applies to condemnation of property (eminent domain) and to regulations that may "take" an owner's property if they are too restrictive. The Fourteenth Amendment requires that all governmental activity be undertaken only with due process of law. Any restrictions which local governments impose on land use or building practices must follow the procedural 54 requirements of the Fourteenth Amendment, or risk invalidation. Any mitigation measures that are undertaken by the Town in its regulatory capacity must be worded and enforced carefully within the parameters established by the State and Federal Constitutions, even when such measures are enacted in order to protect the community from the impacts of natural hazards. Within the limits of Dillon's Rule and the Constitutions, local governments in North Carolina have a wide latitude within which to institute mitigation programs, policies, and actions. All local government powers fall into one of four basic groups (although some governmental activities may be classified as more than one type of power): regulation, acquisition, taxation and spending. Hazard mitigation measures can be carried out under each of the four types of powers. Regulation (General Police Power): Local governments in North Carolina have been granted broad regulatory powers in their jurisdictions. North Carolina General Statutes bestow the general police power on local governments, allowing them to enact and enforce ordinances which define, prohibit, regulate or abate acts, omissions, or conditions detrimental to the health, safety, and welfare of the people, and to define and abate nuisances (including public health nuisances). Since hazard mitigation can be included under the police power (as protection of public health, safety and welfare), the Town may include requirements for hazard mitigation in local ordinances. Local governments may also use their ordinance -making power to abate "nuisances," which could include, by local definition, any activity or condition making people or property more vulnerable to any hazard. (See, e.g., N.C.G.S. Ch. 160A Art. 8 (Delegation and Exercise of the General Power to Cities and Towns); Ch. 153A, Art. 6 (Delegation and Exercise of the General Power to Counties). Regulation (Building Codes and Building Inspection): Many structural mitigation measures involve constructing and retrofitting homes, businesses and other structures according to standards designed to make the buildings more resilient to the impacts of natural hazards. Many of these standards are imposed through the building code. North Carolina has a state compulsory building code which applies throughout the state (N.C.G.S. 143-138(c)). However, municipalities may adopt codes for their respective areas if approved by the state as providing "adequate minimum standards" (N.C.G.S. 143-138(e)). Local regulations cannot be more stringent or less restrictive than the state code. Exempted from the state code are: public utility facilities other than buildings; liquefied petroleum gas and liquid fertilizer installations; farm buildings outside municipal jurisdictions (note that exemptions apply only to state, not local permits). Local governments in North Carolina are also empowered to carry out building inspection. N.C.G.S. Ch. 160A, Art. 19, Part 5; and Ch, 153A Art 18, Part 4 empower cities and counties to create an inspection department, and enumerates its duties and responsibilities, which include enforcing state and local laws relating to the construction of buildings, installation of plumbing, electrical, heating systems, etc.; building maintenance; and other matters. Regulation (Land Use): Regulatory powers granted by the state to local governments are the most basic manner in which a local government can control the use of land within its jurisdiction. Through various land use regulatory powers, a local government can control the amount, timing, density, quality, and location of new development; all these characteristics of growth can determine the level of vulnerability of the community in the event of a natural hazard. Land use regulatory powers 55 include the power to engage in planning, enact and enforce zoning ordinances, floodplain ordinances, and subdivision controls. Zoning. Zoning is traditional and very common tool available to local governments to control the use of land. Broad enabling authority for municipalities to engage in zoning is granted in N.C.G.S. 160A-381. The statutory purpose for the grant of power is to promote health, safety, morals, or the general welfare of the community. Land "uses" controlled by zoning include the type of use (e.g., residential, commercial, industrial), as well as minimum specifications for use such as lot size, building height and set backs, density of population, and the like. The local government is authorized to divide its territorial jurisdiction into districts, and to regulate and restrict the erection, construction, reconstruction, alteration, repair or use of buildings, structures, or land within those districts (N.C.G. S. 160A-382). Districts may include general -use districts, overlay districts, and special use districts or conditional use districts. Zoning ordinances consist of maps and written text. Floodway Regulation: The North Carolina General Statutes declare that the channel and a portion of the floodplain of all the State's streams will be designated as a floodway, either by the local government or by the State. The legislatively declared purpose of designating these areas as a floodway is to help control and minimize the extent of floods by preventing obstructions which inhibit water flow and increase flood height and damage and other losses (both public and private) in flood hazard areas, azard and to promote the public health, safety, and welfare of the citizens of North Carolina in flood h areas (N.C.G.S. 143-215.51) To carry out this purpose, local governments are empowered to grant permits for the use of the floodways, including the placement of any artificial obstruction in the floodway (N.C.G.S. 143-215.53 - 215.54). No permit is required for certain uses, including agricultural, wildlife and related uses; ground level areas such as parking areas, rotary aircraft ports; lawns, gardens, golf courses, tennis courts, parks, open space, and similar private and public recreational uses (N.C.G.S. 143-215.55). The procedures that are laid out for issuing permits for floodway use require the local government to consider the dangerous effects a proposed artificial obstruction may create by causing water to be backed up or diverted; or the danger that the obstruction will be swept downstream to the injury of others; and by the injury or damage that may occur at the site of the obstruction itself. Local governments are to take into account anticipated development in the foreseeable future which may be adversely affected by the obstruction, as well as existing development (N.C.G.S. 143-215.57(a)). Planning. In order to exercise the regulatory powers conferred by the General Statutes, local governments in North Carolina are required to create or designate a planning agency (N.C.G.S. 160A- 387). The planning agency may perform a number of duties, including: make studies of the area; determine objectives; prepare and adopt plans for achieving those objectives; develop and recommend policies, ordinances, and administrative means to implement plans; and perform other related duties (N.C.G.S. 160A 361). The importance of the planning powers of local governments is emphasized in N.C.G.S. 160A-383, which requires that zoning regulations be made in accordance with a comprehensive plan. While the ordinance itself may provide the evidence that zoning is being conducted "in accordance with a plan," the existence of a separate planning document ensures that the 56 government is developing regulations and ordinances that are consistent with the overall goals of the community. Subdivision re lu ation. Subdivision regulations control the division of land into parcels for the purpose of building development or sale. Flood -related subdivision controls typically require that subdividers install adequate drainage facilities, and design water and sewer systems to minimize flood damage and contamination. They prohibit the subdivision of land subject to flooding unless flood hazards are overcome through filling or other measures and prohibit filling of floodway areas. They require that subdivision plans be approved prior to the sale of land. Subdivision regulations are a more limited tool than zoning and only indirectly affect the type of use made of land or minimum specifications for structures. Broad subdivision control enabling authority for municipalities is granted in N.C.G.S. 160-371, and in 153-330 for counties outside of municipalities and municipal extraterritorial areas. Subdivision is defined as all divisions of a tract or parcel of land into two or more lots and all divisions involving a new street (N.C.G.S. 160A-376). Acquisition: The power of acquisition can be a useful tool for pursuing mitigation goals. Often the most effective method for completely "hazard proofing" a particular piece of property or area is to acquire the property (either in fee or a lesser interest, such as an easement), thus removing the property from the private market and eliminating or reducing the possibility of inappropriate development occurring. North Carolina legislation empowers cities, towns, counties to acquire property for public purpose by gift, grant, devise, bequest, exchange, purchase, lease or eminent domain (See, e.g., N.C.G.S. Ch. 153A, At. 8; Ch. 1600A, Art. 11). Taxation: The power to levy taxes and special assessments is an important tool delegated to local governments by North Carolina law. Local governments can levy certain types of taxes and apply the revenue to hazard mitigation measures as a component of its fiscal capability. It is important to note here, however, that the power of taxation extends beyond merely the collection of revenue, and can have a profound impact on the pattern of development in the community. Many communities set preferential tax rates for areas which are unsuitable for development (e.g., agricultural land, wetlands), and can be used to discourage development in hazardous areas. Local units of government also have the authority to levy special assessments on property owners for all or part of the costs of acquiring, constructing, reconstructing, extending or otherwise building or improving beach erosion control or flood and hurricane protection works within a designated area (N.C.G.S. 160A-238). This can serve to increase the cost of building in such areas, thereby discouraging development. Spending. The fourth major power that has been delegated from the North Carolina State General Assembly to local governments is the power to make expenditures in the public interest. Hazard mitigation principles should be made a routine part of all spending decisions made by the local government, including annual budgets and capital improvement plans. 57 A capital program is a timetable by which a city indicates the timing and level of municipal services it intends to provide over a specified duration. Capital programming, by itself, can be used as a growth management technique, with a view to hazard mitigation. By tentatively committing itself to a timetable for the provision of capital to extend municipal services, a community can control its growth to some extent, especially where the surrounding area is such that the provision of on -site sewage disposal and water supply are unusually expensive. In addition to formulating a timetable for the provision of services, a local community can regulate the extension of and access to municipal services. A capital improvement program that is coordinated with extension and access policies can provide a significant degree of control over the location and timing of growth. These tools can also influence the cost of growth. If the program is effective in directing growth away from hazardous areas, it can reduce hazard -induced damage costs. 59 APPENDIX IV. MAPS AND CHARTS This Appendix contains maps and charts that illustrate some of the pertinent data collected during the formulation of the Nags Head Hazard Mitigation Plan. Because of the morphology of the island on which Nags Head is located, maps portraying the entire Town are necessarily elongated, a shape which is not conducive to illustration on standard 8X11 paper. The maps which appear in this Appendix, therefore, are cross -sections of larger maps. Full-size maps, as well as other data derived from the Geographic Information System (GIS) are available to the public in the Nags Head Planning Department. Sample Area: Nags Head, NC Zoning (labeled) Flood (restricted use) 0 A AE UNDIES ® VE X w L s 3000 0 3000 6000 Feet 3000 0 3000 6000 Feet Sample Area: Nags Head, NC Hurricane Storm Surge Category 1 - Category 3 MM Incipient Inlets 0 Zoning N W E S 3000 SPD C 6000 Feet 3000 0 Sample Area: Nags Head, NC Zoning C2: General Commercial District �`. C3: Commercial Services District C4: Village Commercial District CR: Commecial Residential District R1: Low Density Residential District JI R2: Medium Density Residential District JJ R3: High Density Residential District SED-80: Special Environmental District �7I SPD-20: Special Planned Development District JI SPD-C: Special Planned Development /Community District J N W E S 67 VULNERABILITY OF DEVELOPED PROPERTY IN NAGS HEAD Value of Developed Property (S) % Total Tax Value 677,563,019 Pre FIRM 206,205,699 30 Post FIRM 471,357,320 70 Vulnerability of Developed Property (S) % Category 1 Hurricane 400,639,079 59 Pre FIRM 138,470,259 20 Post FIRM 262,168,820 39 Category 3 Hurricane 568,944,769 83 Pre FIRM 195,883,609 29 Post FIRM 372,061,160 55 300-Foot Zone 290,527,689 42 Pre FIRM 99,250,659. 15 Post FIRM 191,277,030 28 Incipient Inlets 30,679,090 4.5 Pre FIRM 18,698,170 2.6 Post FIRM 11,980,920 1.6 VE Zone 236,887,019 34 Pre FIRM 84,949,999 12 Post FIRM 151,937,020 22 AE Zone 254,964,860 37 Pre FIRM 88,763,790 13 Post FIRM 166,201,070 25 68 VULNERABILITY OF VACANT PROPERTY IN NAGS HEAD Vacant % of Vacant Total Acres Acres Acres Total* 1026.50 100% 28% Vulnerable Areas Vacant % of Vacant % Total Acres Acres Acres (3,666) Category 1 Hurricane 487.74 48% 13.11% Category 3 Hurricane 912.18 890/0 24.52% 300-Foot Zone 100.75 10% 2.71% Incipient Inlets 28.85 3% 78% VE 94.57 9% 2.54% AE 704.38 69% 18.93% *The numbers listed in each column do not add up to the total because the areas overlap; for example the area vulnerable to a Category 1 Hurricane is also vulnerable to a Category 3 Hurricane and is shown there as well. 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