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HomeMy WebLinkAboutHurricane Response Plan-1984 ONSLOW COUNTY HURRICANE.RESPONSE PLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 PAGE RECORD CHANGES OF ANG S . . . . I. AUTHORITIES 1 II. REFERENCES . . . iIII. PURPOSE AND SCOPE 1 ' IV. ORGANIZATION ... 1 V. CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS 3 ' VI. WARNING AND ALERT SYSTEM ... 3 VII. INCREASED READINESS ACTION CHECKLIST 3 iVIII. AND SHELTER LOCATIONS 4 EVACUATION AREAS, ROUTES, IX. REENTRY . _ . . . 5 X. RESPONSIBILITIES . . . . . . . . . . . 5 1 Local . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 State and Federal Agencies . . . .` 6 COMMUNICATIONS 6 XI. . . . . . XII. PUBLIC INFORMATION 6 ' XIII. EXERCISES. ;. : 7 XIV. APPROVAL . .- 7 Attachment 1 - Line of Succession ' Attachment 2 - Warning and Alerting Flow Chart ' Attachment 3 - Increased Readiness Action Checklist Attachment 4 - Conditions Action Flow Chart 1 Attachment 5 - Evacuation Areas, Routes, and Shelter Locations - Map Attachment 5A - Hurricane Evacuation Plan Appendix A. - Memo - Planning and Research Branch N. C. Department of Transportation Attachment 6 - American National Red Cross Agreement PLAN ONSLOW COUNTY HURRICANE -RESPONSE I. AUTHORITIES A. North Carolina General Statutes, Chapter 166. B. Civil Preparedness Resolution for-Jacksonville-Onslow. ' II. REFERENCES A. North Carolina Disaster Relief and Assistance. Plan ' (NCDR&AP ) B. Jacksonville-Onslow Disaster Operations Plan. ' C. Jack sonville-Onslow - American National Red Cross Agreement. III. PURPOSE AND SCOPE A. Purpose: This Plan has been developed to provide for an. orderly and coordinated evacuation of endangered areas to minimize the effects of hurricanes on residents and visitors in Onslow County. The Plan provides for the alerting of selected officials, the evacuation of the public from danger areas, and designation of shelters for evacuees. It also provides for reentry into evacuated areas when the threat to persons is ended. Plan is -purpose B. Scope: This Hurricane Evacuation a single c nttingenc.y plan and is a part of an all encompassing local disaster operation plan which specifies functional emergency responsibilities (reference II.B.). ' IV. ORGANIZATION A. Evacuation Action: Hurricane evacuation involves all areas under County jurisdiction and Municipal jurisdic- tion. As joint action is required by County and Municipal governments, a joint organization for decision making and.. use of resources is needed. A Control Group and a Support Group are hereby established.for this purpose., B. Control Group: T 1. Mission: To exercise overall direction.and control of hurricane evacuation operations including decisions to institute county -wide increased readiness conditions. and such other actions deemed necessary in response to the situation. ' 2. Composition: a.The Chairman of the County Board of Commissioners - Group Chairman. b., The Mayors (or their representatives) of: ' -(1) Jacksonville (2) Swansboro (3) Holly Ridge (4) Richlands P. County Emergency Management Coordinator -` Advisor. 3. Line of Succession: In the event that any ;of the members of the Control Group are not available, each primary member will be succeeded by alternates who will have the responsibility and authority of the primary member (see Attachment 1). C. Support Group: 1. Mission: To provide personnel and material resources for the implementation of preplanned actions and actions as directed by the Control Group; to provide direction to personnel engaged in operations; and to provide information, data, and recommendations to the Control Group. 2. Composition: a. County Manager - Group Chief b. Sheriff I c. Director of Social Services d. Superintendent of Schools. e. County Health Director f . County Auditor g. County Tax Assessor h. County Fire Marshal i. Public Information Officer' j. Rescue Squad Representation k. State Highway Patrol Liaison Officer 1. Red Cross Liaison- officer ' m. Jacksonville City Manager n. Communications D. Operational. Locations: The Control and Support Groups will be located in the Emergency Operating Center (EOC) 'Agriculture Building to.facilitate coordination. Should it become necessary to move the groups to an alternate EOC location, the new location will be the Carolina Telephone and Telegraph Office. -2- CONCEPT OF,OPE RATIONS The Onslow County concept for hurricane evacuation calls for: A. Early alerting of officials and concerned agencies in the entire County. ' B. Overall direction and decision making by a Control Group. C. Increased readiness actions taken progressively as the hurricane approaches and as the threat of injury and damage increases. D. Evacuation of residents and visitors on beaches and in threatened low-lying areas upon decision of the Control Group. E. Movement of evacuees to designated and operating public shelters, or out of Onslow.County and the threatened area. ' F. Mass care for evacuees in predesignated shelters in accordance with agreements. - ' G. Reentry of evacuees to evacuated areas when authorized by the Control Group and when the hurricane threat has passed or damage assessments indicate that reentry is feasible. ' H. Local governments request State and/or Federal assistance, as necessary, before or after a hurricane (see NCDR&AP, Annexes D, E, F and G). VI. WARNING AND ALERT SYSTEM . The system.for dissemination of hurricane watches and warnings and for notification of departments and populace that the evacuation plan will be executed, is shown as a flow chart (see Attachment 2). VII. INCREASED READINESS ACTION CHECKLIST (See Attachment 3 Checklist and Attachment 4 - Condition/ Action Flow Chart) A. Readiness Conditions: The following increased readiness conditions.are established: Condition 5 Hurricane Season (June 1 - November 30) Condition 4 Alert - Hurricane Advisory Condition 3 Hurricane Watch Approximately 48 hours to forcasted landfall -3- Condition 2 Hurricane Warning - Approximately 24 hours to forcasted landfall Condition 1 Twelve hours or less to forecasted land- fall Condition 0 Landfall ' Reentry Threat removed or damage assessment allows B. The Control Group will declare the condition. The Support Group.will implement actions for each condition when announced. VIII. EVACUATION AREAS, ROUTES AND SHELTER LOCATIONS (See Attachment 5). A. General: 1 Evacuation routes and designated shelters for beach areas are as indicated on Attachment 5. ' 2. Other residents wishing to seek shelter (mobile home residents or persons living in any.structure which does not provide adequate protection) should go to the nearest designated shelter. B. Shelter: 1 1. A shelter is defined as a predesignated structure of sufficient strength to withstand high winds, which is. located in an area not subject to flooding or storm surge and which will safeguard a given number of evacuees. 2. Onslow County is responsible for providing shelter for all residents and visitors in Onslow County. Onslow County will also provide shelter for residents of A Pender or other surrounding counties to the maximum extent possible. 3. Shelters will be operated by the Onslow County Chapter of the American National Red Cross supplemented by school system personnel if needed as per agreement (reference II.C). 4. Shelters will be opened only on an as -needed basis. Locations of operating shelters will be announced on local radio stations. -4- 5. Evacuees will be instructed to bring blankets, light sleeping cots, battery operated radios, flashlights, and special medicinal and dietary needs (including baby needs) for the duration of the shelter period. 6. Persons living on West Onslow Beach may take shelter in Topsail High School or Topsail Elementary School in Pender County if they 'so desire. IX. REENTRY A. Upon cancellation of all hurricane warnings, and watches P which include Onslow County and when no damage has been experienced, the Control Group will authorize reentry to all evacuated areas. B. When hurricane damages have 'resulted, reentry to evacuated areas will be based upon damage assessments in any rescue or other relief operations in progress. Reentry will be authorized by Control Group to specific_ evacuated areas and under conditions specified. C. Decisions of the Control Group.will be broadcast by the ' P.I.O. X. RESPONSIBILITIES ' A. Local: 1 Control Group: Overall direction (as directed in Paragraph IV.B). 2. Support Group: As shown in responsibility blocks on ' t e Increased. -Readiness Action Checklist, Attachment 3. 3. County Emergency Management Coordinator: ' a. Serves as advisor to the Control Group. ' b. Coordinates actions of the Support Group and operio s involving local nongovernment organizations and operations of forces from outside the County. c. Operates the County EOC. d. Furnishes Situation Reports to the State EOC. e. Developes and conducts exercises to test and ' evaluate this Plan. -5- B. State and Federal Agencies: 1. National Weather Service.: Provides hurricane watches, warnings, and related weather information. I 2. U.S. Coast Guard: a. Provides warnings to ships and- boats in affected coastal areas. b. Assists in coastal evacuation upon request. 3. Commander, Marine Corps Base, Camp_Lejeune_- Commander, Marine Corps Air Station: Maintains liaison and coordinates actions with_County EOC. 4. State Highway Patrol: a. Operates State Warning Point and passes weather information via Police.. Information Network (PIN). ' b. Responsible for, traffic control on State Highway Systems. ' 5. State Division of Emergency Management: a., Receives requests for assistance, coordinates State actions, and arranges for assistance from Federal.agencies. b. Area "C" Emergency Management Coordinator: (1) Assists in coordination of evacuation efforts. (2) Assists in coordination of State assist ance. XI. COMMUNICATIONS A. Communications will be in accordance with Annex B, NCDR&AP ' and appropriate local plans. B. The Sheriff operates the County Severe Weather Warning ' System and Traffic Control Points. C. The Communications Officer will insure communications between the Control and Support Groups and shelters. XII. PUBLIC INFORMATION ' A. The Public Information Officer (PIO) will provide informa- tion to the public via the news media and otherwise based upon decisions of the Control Group to include the following: -6- ATTACHMENT NO. 1 CONTROL GROUP LINE OF SUCCESSION To assure continuity of responsibility for governmental functions of direction and control of emergency cperational efforts, the following lines of succession to offices are established: 1. Chairman of the Onslow a. Vice Chairman b. In the absence the County Board Chairman and Vice Chairman, the members present ' may choose a temporary chairman 2. Mayor of Jacksonville a. Mayor Pro Tempore b. The next senior, ' member of the council 3. Mayor of Swansboro a. The Town Commissioner b. The Chief of that received the most Police ' votes 4. e Mayor of Holly Ridge Y Y a. Ma Pro Tempore Mayor L� b. Present Town Commissioners elect temporary mayor 5. Mayor of Richlands a. Mayor Pro Tempore b. Town councilman r receiving the largest vote count 6.. Emergency Management 'a. Operations Chief b. Communications Coordinator Chief ATTACHMENT No 2 WARNING AND ALERTING FLOW CHART NWS RADIO/TV (ORIGINATES) WEATHERWIRE SUBSCRIBERS STATE WARNING COUNTY WARNING WARNING POINT POINT (SHERIFF'S SYSTEM (SWP) MUNICIPAL OFFICE) NOTE (1) - WARNING POINT (POLICE MUNICIPAL DEPT.) WARNING SYSTEM NOTE (1) STATE AREA ALERTS EOC (RALEIGH) COORDINATORS .► Chm. County Bd. of Commissioners ► Mayors ► Sheriff ► EM Coordinator P U B L I C ALERTS ALERTS ALERTS ► County .Manager ► Supt. of Schools ► State Officials Local EM ► Mayor ► County Health and Departments Coords. in ► Chief of Director ► American Nat'l all affected Police. -► Director of Social Red Cross - : and adjacent ► Fire. Services Carolinas Div. counties-: Chief :► Rep. County Vol. ► Federal Agencies ► Other Fire Departments (N.C. Offices) Dept. ► Rep. County ► Local Highway Heads Rescue Squads Patrol ► Red Cross Officer ► Other Members of This Control and Support Group . NOTE (1) County and municipal warning systems disseminate warnings to the public by use of radio/TV bulletins, news - ..paper extras, handbills, signs, loud speaker or other aural systems, and door-to-door. Law enforcement, rescue squads and volunteer citizens' organizations used tospreadwarnings when activated.by control group. INCREASED READINESS ACTION CHECKLIST AGENCY SHERIFF COMMUNICATIONS. OFFICER DMC70R OF SOCIAL SERVICES SUPERtMNOENT OF SCHOOLS COUNTY HEALTH DIRECTOR COUNTY ACCOUNTANT COUNTY TAX ASSESSOR PIO COUNTY FIRE MARSHAL CHEF OF COUNTY RESCUE SQUAD ' R OTHER RESCUE SQUAD OFFICIAL AMERICAN NATIONAL RED CROSS LOCAL CHAPTER Responsibilities: - Direction i control of evacuation Pesponsibilities: - our r >o o mmmxhications R�e_s�onsibilities: _ �ssist�irer IT ShelteL res abilities: _ pza,i aci ties to be responsibilities: - nsure t th and Aesc«nsibilities: - Maint� ain vial data. res nsibilities: - ssist er Shelter Responsibilities: - prepare or approve all responsibilities: abilities: Re nsibilitiess a reentry operations - Operate warning System. untyliaison from shelters to EX. - And any other point reguirinn operations. -provides personnel to u� as shelters. medical needs are provided - Adapt accounting system to emergency e,nperditure' operations. Provides m news releases. _ Yyinate'zi=e fighting suport thramghout the CaumtY _ hate provision of rescue support operation. -Operate designated Red Cross shelters. s - Serves as liaison officer for all communications. assist in operation of _ Provide personnel to assist in operation of during evacuation shelter ' ad reentry. provide information upon request. personnel assist in operation of (paid and, volunteer). -Assist sheriff upon request., - provide ambulance service to - provide other Red Cross law enforcement agencies within shelters and z istra- shelters. shelters and registra- transportnonmbulatory assistance. INCREASED the Oauity. - Ensure communication between Lain ci evacuees. - Provide school bus trans- tion of evacuees. READINESS ACTION Control i Support Groups, portatioan Then requested. Shelter i Traffic Control Points. 1. Upaate hurricane evacuationpiani. CONDITIOi 5 2. Check warning system and insure notification tasters are current. BEGINNING OF 3. Insure that shelters are designated IAW rid Crass Agreement and plans to operate shelters are current. HURRICANE SEASON 4. Relase general hurricane information to public through 5. Dissimination to public PIO. hurricane safety rules 5. Conduct exercise to test entire plan. and shelter Mentions. - 1. Review plans and procedures and alert personnel. CONDITION 4 1. Provide 72 hour notice to and Support Groups. 2. Coordinate preparations as necessary. 72 HOURSControl 2. Review plans and procedures. AUM 3. Review assignments. 3. Continue dissimination of the above. CONDITION 3 1. Notify Control a� SupFnrt Group 1. Check all equipment'to 1. Make contact with Red Class on using existing* 1. Dissiminate special instructions to 1. Gas up all vehicles. 1. Gas up all vehicles. 1. Hake initial contact with superintendent 46 HOURS OR mmbers at Hurricane watch hued, insure operability." schools as shelters as ' invalids: 2. Check all equipment. 2. Check all equipment. ofschools on using 2s Gas up all vehicles. planned. existing schools as HURRICANE bATCii 3. Check all equipment. shelters as lammed. 2. Designate and assign personnel to specific Shelters. I. Notify Control t Support Groups 1. Mobilize personnel. - 1. Assign personnel to 1. Close schools, send 1. Mobilize personnel. 1. Record all expenditures 1. Representative man I. Accelerate Condition 4. 1.- Mobilize, personnel. 1: Mobilize personnel. 1. Mobilize personnel. that Hurricane Warning is issued! shelters. pupils hone.' 2. Representative man EOC.. relating to hurricane in EOC. 2. Render assistance mt , 2. Move nonambulatory personnel. 2. Brief shelter managers. 2. Mobilize personnel. 2. Assign representative to 2. Mobilize. personnel, 3.' Insure adequate health separate accounts. requested. 3. Coordinate rescue operations. 3. Conduct joint inventory OoNDiTICN 2 3. Finalze plans to direct.evacua- ECC. send then to designated' personnel in shelters. 3. Coordinate firefighting 4. Assign representative to EOC. � of shelters with school Lion if ordered. shelters. 4. Insure shelters are Firm-, 2. Representative nazi EOC. activities. S. Provide other assistance as officials. 24 HOURS O1. 4. Assist aptorists presently 3. Conduct joint inspec- twined in a sanitary 4. Assign representative to requested. 4. Representative man EOC. . evauuatiog voluntarily. then er designated Rendition. EOC. 5. Upon EOC direction, HURRICANE VARNING 5.• Representative mani EOC. - shelters with Red Cross 5. Report pertinent health n and operate representatives information to officials. shelters . errEOC 4. Representative man EOC. 6Keep informed of . shelter situation. 1. Vehiccles with loudspeakers to 1. Coordinate provisions of 1. Provide personnel to 1. As Red Cross wlun- 1: Continue dissimination CONDITION 1 areas in which evacuation-. ommmmunications between assist with shelter teens, assist in the of -shelter locatiop.on ordered. shelters, checkpoints and. registration. operation of the evacuation sautes. 12 HOURS OR WM 2. Patrol evacuated area. EOC. shelter. 3. Coordinate provision of co msud-j EVACUATION cations between shelters, check-; points and EDC. 1. Maintain law and order. 1. Go into operation. 1. Dissiminate special CONDITION 0 instructions. from Control Group. -IJ4MID FALL` - 1. Prevent looting 1. Continue operations until '. Continue to assist 1. Provide personnel to 1. Evaluate and provide to 1. Assemble personnel. 1. Assemble personnel. 1. Release notices of 1. Operate shelters as 2. Check personel and equipment. relieved. Red Cross as needed. assist in the operation! the Control Group a 2. Conduct damage assess- -damaged areas, etc., long as necessary. Request needed assistance. of shelters.. recommendation on the 2. Provide financial data on vent. and reentry instnx- REERM 3. Control access to evacuated health aspects of reentry emergency expenditures to 3. Furnish damage assess- Lions. 2. Render assistance to areas. into damaged areas. Control Group. vent data to EOC. needy persons. 4. Maintain liaison with other law 4. Revise property enforcement agencies. records. ATTACHMENT NO. 3 ATTACHMENT NO. 4 CONDITIONS/ACTIONS FLOW CHART 72-HOUR CONDITION 4 ESTIMATE ACTIONS Hurricane Threat Removed ► ►. ►. ► Return to Normal FROM ADVISORY HURRICANE WATCH 48-HOUR. CONDITION 3 ACTIONS Watch Cancelled ► ► ► ►.► ► ► ► Return to Normal ESTIMATE NWS WARNINGS HURRICANE ►No Watch ► ► Return to Normal WARNING OR CONDITION 2 Warning Cancelled Hold Hold in Watch Return to 24-HOUR ACTIONS ►Watch Reinstated 0- ► Condition 2 Cancelled Normal ESTIMATE HURRICANE ►No Watch", ► ► Reentry ► ► Return to Normal WARNING OR CONDITION 1 ACTIONS Warning Cancelled 12-HOUR ESTIMATE EVACUATION ► Watch ► Hold in ► Watch ► Reentr ► Return to Y Reinstated Condition 1 Cancelled Normal CONDITION 0 DAMAGE RECOVERY SELECTIVE LANDFALL ASSESSMENT REENTRY REPAIR RESTORATION ' ATTACHMENT 5. A, HURRICANE EVACUATION PLAN I. GENERAL Certain areas of Onslow County can be termed high risk areas and should be evacuated prior to the time a hurricane strikes. The most vulnerable areas are the barrier islands (beach areas) and low lying areas adjacent to the sounds and marshes between the barrier islands and the mainland. The only developed,beach community in the County is West Onslow Beach and most of the attention relative to the evacuation of residents or occupants must concentrate on this highly vulnerable area. Attention must also be given to sound front developed areas and communities such as Sneads Ferry and Swansboro; however, multiple evacuation routes are generally available and, the areas are relatively accessible to high ground. Other areas, such as portions of the City of Jacksonville are flood prone, (either from rising water or high rainfall runoff), and limited evacuation of these areas may be required. Camp LeJeune is also subject to similar flooding problems in some areas, but local military authorities will manage this problem within this own resources; however, close coordination should be effected between Onslow County and U.S. Marine Corps Base authorities. ' II. EVACUATION PLAN The general plan for evacuation of threatened` areas of the ' County are briefly summarized in the Onslow County Hurricane _ Evacuation Plan (Attachment No. 5 of the Onslow County Hurricane Response Plan). This single page flyer is attached hereto and is also available for widespread distribution to interested and/or affected citizens throughout the County. The circumstances requiring evacuation, evacuation routes and emergency shelters are clearly depicted on the plan. III EVACUATION CONSIDERATIONS As mentioned above, evacuation of County areas other than the barrier island beaches does not appear to represent a difficult ' problem. Some access roads are low-lying and persons living below approximately six (6) feet above mean sea level (m.s.l.) should seek higher ground before flood tides reach that level. The ' Swansboro, Sneads Ferry and intervening low-lying mainland areas fall in this category. Generally, evacuation of these areas three (3) to five (5) hours before a storm is scheduled to strike the mainland should provide adequate lead time for safe evacuation of ' these areas. Development densities in these areas is low, so Attachment 5A, Continued ' traffic flow or road conjestion should not represent a problem. Persons living in these areas should be prepared to evacuate on short notice when Condition 1 is announced. ' The barrier island (beach) areas are an entirely different situation Access routes are restricted and in some cases inferior. Although the Onslow County coastline is fairly long (approximately 27 miles), less than half of this (about 12 miles) is developed or inhabited by permanent or seasonal residents. The Hammocks Beach.State Park island is undeveloped and should be evacuated and closed completely during a threatened hurricane storm period. The coastline within the Camp LeJeune Marine Base is under the jurisdiction of military authorities. Thus, the . primary area requiring careful evacuation planning is West Onslow Beach. The remainder of this discussion focuses on that area. IV. EVACUATION TIMES ANALYSISI_/ The amount of time it takes to safely evacuate an area depends ' on the level of development and number of, people in the area at any one time. It depends on the condition of roads and bridges along the evacuation route. It also depends on the attitudes of local residents and visitors and the strength of a particular' storm. ' Evacuation time has four components: mobilization time, travel time, queuing delay time, and pre -landfall hazards time. Mobilization time is that period between the issuance of the ' evacuation order and the departure time of ,the last vehicle from the vulnerable area. It depends to,a large extent.on the attitudes and response time of residents. Travel time is the period necessary for the vehicles to travel the length of the evacuation route at an anticipated operating speed assuming no traffic delays (queuing). ..Queuing delay time' is defined as. the time spent by vehicles in traffic jams resulting when the capacities of the evacuation routes are exceeded by the number of vehicles entering those routes. ' 1 William D. McEl ea David J. Brower David R. Godschalk. •/ Y r r Before the Storm; Management Development to -Reduce Hurricane Damages. Ocean and Coastal Ecology Program Center f6r Urban and Regional Studies, UNC/Chapel Hill; August 1982. ' Attachment 5A, Continued ' Mobilization time, travel time, and queuing delay time together consititute the community's clearance time -- the total time needed to move all evacuees to temporary shelter ' once an evacuation order is issued. Pre -landfall hazards time is the time before the eye of the hurricane reaches the community when the storm surge or sustained high winds.render evacuation routes impassable. The National Hurricane Center issues warnings based on its predictions of the time the..eye is expected to reach land. However, the storm surge and sustained winds can strike the community hours before the eye ' does.- This pre -landfall hazards time cannot be used for safely moving evacuees; it is greater for more intense storms. t Estimating these various components of evacuation time remains a complicated task due to uncertainty regarding the intensity, timing, and other characteristics of any particular storm and uncertainty regarding the willingness of local residents and visitors to evacuate. Current estimation techniques involve: 1. estimating storm surge levels, wind speeds, and their time ' of arrival before the eye's landfall for storms of different intensities; ' 2. identifying points along the evacuation route that are subject to flooding; ' 3. estimating the total number of people and automobiles that must be evaccated; 4. estimating the carrying capacity of roads along the ' -evacuation route; 5. identifying any.bottlenecks or other points along the ' route that could delay traffic; 6. estimating the timing of traffic movement and traffic ' levels along the route; and, 7. estimating the time it will take people.to respond to an ' evacuation order. Much of the evacuation time needed boils down to the level of development,. resident population, and visitor population in areas ' that need to be evacuated, relative to the carrying capacity of the evacuation route. If the level of development.of high hazard areas exceeds the route's capacity for safe and timely.evacuation, ' the community can expect to suffer numerous casualties during a major storm. Local officials' should bear in mind that the National Hurricane Center's hurricane warnings (usually used as the signal to evacuate) are issued 12 hours before the eye is ' Attachment 5A, Continued ' expected to hit land. Flooding and hurricane -strength winds can precede the landfall by several hours, depending on the storm's size and intensity. - The Planning and Research Branch of the North Carolina Department of Transportation (DOT), (Larry R. Goode), prepared an internal memorandum for evacuation of Onslow and Pender Counties (beach communities). A copy.of this memo is attached hereto as Appendix A. This brief study estimates an evacuation time of 7 to 9 hours for the beach complex of Topsail (Ashe) Island. The primary problem relative to the West Onslow Beach area is that the analysis credits only 1,300 people evacuating northward from the area over N.C. Highway 210. Never -the -less, the analysis gives indication of the extended time required to evacuate the area. ' Evacuation time estimatingtechniques are f urther.refined b q Y John R. Stone in his U.N.C. sea grant working paper 83-2 entitled ' "Hurricane Emergency Planning: Estimating Evacuation Times for Non -Metropolitan Coastal Communities."?• This excellent analysis closely parallelF but refines the DOT estimate approach referenced ' above. It also provides a short cut calculation method for simple evacuation networks like.West Onslow Beach. _Textural references and the evacuation time calculating technique in the following subparagraphs are borrowed from Stone's works. West Onslow Beach Evacuation Time Estimate " A. Evacuation Area: West Onslow Beach is a. barrier island which forms the southeastern border of Onslow County facing the Atlantic Ocean. Elevations range from 0 to a little over 20 ' feet m.s.l. at its highest point. The width ranges from less than one quarter to just over one half mile. The area lies entirely within the hurricane flood zone. There is a single two lane road (N.C. Highway) running north to south.over the ' entire length of the island. It is connected to the mainland by a relatively new high level fixed span two lane bridge about four miles from the north end of the island (New River Inlet). Route 210 also extends southward (through Surf City) with connections to the mainland over a two lane swing bridge at an elevation of about 14 feet above the Atlantic 2./ Also included as reference 1_1/ in a report to the Onslow County Board of Commisioners entited: Hurricane Storm Mitigation and Post -Disaster Reconstruction Plans .for Osslov'- County, North Carolina (January 1984), by Henry von Oesen and Associates, Inc. Attachment 5A, Continued ' Intracoastal Waterway (AIWW) For several reasons, it is recommended that all West Onslow Beach traffic evacuate northward as, shown on the evacuation plan map. B. Hurricane Scenario: In 1954, when. Hurricane Hazel hit North Carolina, a high-water mark from the tidal surge (excluding wave action) of 16 feet._above mean sea level was recorded at the South Brunswick County region. This is the surge expected from a Category 4 storm which could similarly effect the Topsail Island area. A storm of this magnitude could be ' expected there roughly once every 100 years. Assuming the hurricane eye from such a storm crossed over West Onslow Beach, it is likely that nearly 90 percent of the flood zone ' would be flooded. The possibility of flooding will be increased by the likelihood of torrential rains and the primary evacuation route would be completely inundated. C. Hazards Time: A complete analysis for the surge and gale - force wind hazards time components of evacuation time. would require a computer simulation of the storm. However, prior detailed analysis descriptions of a Category 4 storm suggest that low-lying escaperoutes may be cut by rising water as early as three to five hours before the hurricane eye arrives. ' This estimate for roadway inundation time is consistent with a storm which moves at a typical 10 mph forward speed and has a` surge that extends about 30 miles out from the hurricane eye. An investigation and inspection of the evacuation route (NC Highway 210) reveals that portions of the road are at eleva- -tions of about 6 to 7 feet above mean seal level. ' Fortuitously, the lowest points are at the southern boundary (at the Surf City north limit) and along much of highly developed north end of the beach area betweenthebridge crossing point and New River Inlet. In many areas, the road passes extremely close to the ocean `(where low dunes may or may not exist), which further increases the roads vulnerability to tide and wave attack. Finally, the immediate approach road section to the high _level bridge crossing is at an elevation below 8 feet m:s.l. Thus, the escape access to. the bridge itself could be inundated relatively early in the ' storm period. The excellent new high level bridge represents no inpediment to rapid evacuation of controlled vehicular traffic. ' Gale force winds and blinding rain can also combine to make it virtually impossible to drive a vehicle on the evacuation route. Wind analysis for barrier -islands and coastal areas in Florida suggest that gale -force winds may precede landfall of the eye by as much as six hours. ' Attachment 5A, Continued - Based on the above, a cut-off time of 3 to 5 hours is used in preparing this estimate. D. -Mobilization Time; As previously mentioned, mobilization time ' for a community may vary somewhat. However, actual data. suggests that.it may take over five hours for everyone 'to begin the evcuation. A value of three to four hours would find 80 percent to 90 percent of the evacuees on their way and is used in this analysis. E. Travel Time: Evacuation travel is based on the length of the evacuation route and the assumed uninterrupted operating speed of the evacuation vehicles. Assuming an evacuee lives at the southern end of NC 210 on West Onslow Beach (at Surf City Town limits) , he or she must travel six and one half (6-1/2) miles to reach the bridge. It is another seven miles to Dixon School (recommended shelter), giving a total evacuation distance `of about 14 miles. Assuming storm conditions and evcuation traffic, yet uninterrupted travel, an average operating speed of 35 mph could -be maintained on the two-way, ' two-lane rural roads of the evacuation area. The "free -flow" travel time is, therefore: Travel Time = Distance/Speed = 14 miles/35 mph = 0.40 hours = 24 minutes ' This estimate does not include queuing dela which is q g. delay .which below. ' F. Queuing Time Delay: It is anticipated that all of the evacuees will originate on West Onslow Beach. It is possible that some occupants of Surf City and Topsail Beach to the south may opt to attempt to evacuate northward over Route 210 through West Onslow Beach; however, this should be discouraged and evacuees from those communities should continue to exit ' the area over the swing span bridge and N.C. Highway 50 that serves these communities. Additionally, Highway 210 maybe flooded early in the vicinity north of the.Surf City Town limits as previously mentioned. The primary constraint to rapid evacuation of West Onslow Beach residents and visitors is the limited carrying capacity of the principal evacuation route, N.C. Highway 210. As mentioned in paragraph C rabove, extensive. portions of this road are at elevations as low as 6 feet m.s.l. and consequently may become impassabler during early tide surge and gale conditions that may exist several hours before the hurricane makes a landfall. This coupled with the marginal r rAttachment 5A, Continued condition of the road will influence queuing delay.times for the area. The Onslow County Land Use Plan projects a maximum population. density of West Onslow Beach in 1990 of 10,335 people. Based on the rapid growth experienced in the area in the past five years, this projection is considered to be quite low; however, for purposes of this analysis, a peak population of 10,000 is. used. In order to estimate the queuing delay time during a particular time. period of the evacuation, the traffic demand and the restrictive road capacity must be known. For the ' purposes of this analysis, the following will be assumed: 1 10,000 persons evacuate. 2. The average automobile occupancy is 2.5 persons per vehicle. 3. 20 percent of the evacuees leave before the order is given. 4. The remaining 80 pecent of the evacuees leave over. a 3.5 hour period. - ' 5. Traffic control officers will be stationed at inter- sections thereby mitigating the usual intersection capacity constraints. r6. Intersection turning traffic is negligible compared to the evacuation traffic. 7. Traffic moves at "level of service D to E," with one lane for evacuation and one lane for emergency vehicles. rThe evacuation rate or traffic demand is thus, Evacuation Traffic Demand (No. of evacuees/vehicle: r occupancy) x (1 percent remaining after order). ,x 0 /evacuation period) or ETD = (10,000/2.5) (.80) (1/3.5) r= 900 vehicles/hour (3,200 vehicles in 3.5 hours) 1 Attachment 5A, Continued Under the planning assumptions outlined above, DOT sources indicate.Route 210 should have a carrying capacity about 900 to 1,000 vehicles per hour under optimum conditions; however, the 22-foot width and marginal road condition would reduce this to an assumed ideal capacity of 550 to 825 vehicles per hour. If it is further assumed that under storm conditions, 1 this ideal capacity will be reduced by fluctuation in traffic demand,.wind blown debris and winds, it is.estimated that the actual evacuation capacity will be only half (50 percent) of the ideal capacity. The road carrying capacity becomes. a "bottleneck" in the evacuation process. Thus: Evacuation Capacity = Ideal capacity x 0.50 Evacuation Capacity 275 to 400 vehicles per hour (assume 300) Based on accepted prior study data, the maximum amount of individual vehicular delay is given by the following formula: Queuing delay time (Duration of bottleneck) x (1 -- Bottleneck capacity/average demand) Hence, Queuing delay time (3.5) '(1 - 300/900) = 2.hours Note: The new high level bridge carrying capacity exceeds the road carrying capacity by a considerable degree and is not ' considered to be a restricting factor. G. Total Evacuation Time: The total evacuation time is the summation olr the following components: Cut-off Time 3 5 hours Mobilization Time 3 4 hours Travel Time 0.5 hours Queuing Delay Time 2 3 hours ' Total 8 13 hours V. DISCUSSION As explained in the previously referenced Stone report, the ' evacuation time estimate of 8 to 13 hours is based on a Category 4 hurricane scenario and is dependent on a number of assumptions. These include the assumed number of evacuees, auto occupancy rate, community response, roadway inundation time, to name but a few. ' Attachment 5A, Continued Changing the assumptions will change the time estimates. It is interesting to .note, however, that certain tradeoffs. exist. For example, much importance is placed on community awareness and ' rapid response to evacuation orders. Unfortunately, it is felt that a sensitivity analysis would show that an earlier mobilization of the evacuees will lead to higher traffic demands and more queuing delay. What is gained in response time is lost to traffic delay if.bottlenecks exist on the evacuation route. Looking specifically at the West Onslow estimate of 8 to 13 hours evacuation time, it is seen that the figure is consistent with estimates for roughly similar island situations in Lee County, Florida (7). The estimate is also consistent with the Holden Beach evacuation plan which indicates that evacuation orders will be issued when a hurricane is within 12 hours of landfall. Finally, further analysis of the future development potential ..and ultimate development density of West Onslow Beach indicates that the peak summer population could reach well over 30,000 people. This population increase would seriously impact the above estimate and extend projected evacuation times. 1 1 i APPENDIX A MEMORANDUM FROM LARRY R. GOODE PLANNING AND RESEARCH BRANCH NORTH CAROLINA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION (DOT) r 1 _r r r r r Appendix A, Continued r n ESTIMATED EVACUATION TINE FOR ONSLOW AND PENDER COUNTIES r Evacuation Area rThe barrier island beaches off the coast of Onslow and. Pender Counties include Topsail Beach, Surf City, Del Mar ' Beach. and West Onslow Beach. The island is a vacation ' spot for up to 11,300 people during the peak summer season. Elevation on the island ranges from 0 to 22 feet. In the event a Category 4 storm hit the region the island would. have to be evacuated. Areas south of Surf City would be evacuated via NC 50. Areas north of Surf City would be routed on NC 210. Total , Evacuation Time rThe components of total evacuation time are hazards time, mobilization time, travel time and queuing delay `. times. The following.assumptions are made in this analysis: 1) 11,300 persons -to evacuate . 10,000 via NC 50 1,300 via.NC 210 2) Average automobile occupancy is 2.5 persons per vehicle. ' 3) 20% of the evacuees leave. before order is given. 4) The remaining 80% of the evacuees leave over a 3.5 hour period. 5) Traffic control officers will be stationed at intersec tions,'thereby reducing usual intersection capacity.. constraints. 6). .Contra flow traffic is negligible compared to evacuation r traffic. 7) Traffic moves at "level of Services D to E" ' 8) 3% of traffic is recreation veh icles. 9) Two lines oiie way on all evacuation routes. 10) Evacuation takes place daylight hours... Hazards Time Heavy rain, flooding and* gale force winds occurring ' before the eye of the storm hits may cut evacuation routes. The hazards time component of evacuation time is three to five hours before the eye of the hurricane arrives. '. ATTACHMENT 6 JOINT AGREEMENT BETWEEN LOCAL AMERICAN NATIONAL RED CROSS CHAPTERS ' AND LOCAL EMERGENCY SERVICES/CIVIL PREPAREDNESS ORGANIZATIONS JOINT OPERATING AGREEMENT Between ONSLOW COUNTY (Chapter) of the iAMERICAN NATIONAL. RED CROSS and the COUNTY OF ONSLOW STATE OF NORTH CAROLINA (Political Subdivision) Relating to Natural Disasters ' I. PURPOSE This operating arrangement describes the respective responsibilities and roles of the Onslow County Chapter of the American National Red Cross (hereinafter referred to as ANRC) and the County of Onslow, State of North Carolina in preparedness plans and operations for natural disaster emergency services. Through collaboration, the resources of the ANRC and the County of Onslow are brought to bear for. the relief of persons affected by natural disasters or other emergencies. II. RESPONSIBILITIES IN NATURAL DISASTERS A. The American National Red Cross. The act of Congress constituting the Red Cross c apter required the Red Cross to undertake relief activities for the purpose of mitigating suffering caused by disaster and obligates the Red Cross to develop and carry out measures to prevent such suffering. Public Law 93-288 in no way affects the legal status nor restricts the authority and purposes of the American National, Red Cross as set forth in that ACT. In carrying out the purposes of Public Law 93-288, and Sec. 303, (b), (3), or subsequent disaster legislation, Federal, state or local government may, by contract or otherwise, accept and utilize the services and facilities of the Red Cross, or may render through the Red Cross any assistance authorized by that Act, such as medicines, food, and other consumable supplies or emergency assistance. Attachment 6, Continued ' Aid to disaster victims is not.dependent upon a Presidential declaration of a major disaster, but is provided regardless of the size of that catastrophe or the number of people involved. ' Through a program of disaster preparedness and relief by.ANRC chapters, divisions, and areas throughout the Country, ANRC provides disaster victims with food, clothing, shelter, first aid, and supplementary.medical, nursing, and hospital care and meets other urgent immediate needs. This help may be provided on the bases of mass care in shelters and at feeding stations and aid stations and also provides food and first aid services for ' emergency workers. The Red.Cross provides blood and blood. products for disaster victims, and handles inquiries from concerned individuals outside the disaster area. Help for disaster victims may also be provided on an individual family basis, with funds or purchase orders issued to ' families for food, clothing, medical care, health items, essential household furnishings, urgently needed occupational supplies and equipment, emergency rentals for housing, transportation and temporary minor repairs to homes so that they can be reoccupied. The Red Cross will assist in providing information and federal and other resources available for additional assistance to disaster victims and will refer families to such resources. The Rea Cross will assist families in assembling needed information for applications for such aid and will help them in processing their applications if the families ask for such assistance. When there is no Presidential Declaration of a major disaster, or when such declaration has been made but a family is. not eligible for government benefits, Red Cross assistance may also include other recovery needs in addition to the emergency help already given. In such cases, the need for help will be determined by the individual casework process. All Red Cross disaster aid is on a grant basis, with no request for or expectation of repayment. Because administrative responsibility and financial control are inseparable, the Red Cross requires that all funds utilized by it in extending relief will be expended in accordance with its established policies. B. Government: 1. The maintenance or restoration of normal government services and facilities. 2. The extension or augmentation of certain normal government services when such extensions or augmentation is consistent or compatible with such normal community services. These services include: Attachment 6, Continued ' a. Warning and.evacuation. b. Search and rescue. 1 c. Police and fire protection. 1 d. Emergency medical, public health,.and sanitation. e.: Identification and dispositionofthe dead, including operation of temporary morgues. f. Institutional care for the sick, aged, and orphaned. g. Survey and damage assessment. 1 h. Engineering and public work. i. Designation of hazardous structures and area. ' j. Debris removal from public property. 5 k. Public welfare 1. Utilities. m. Supply, transportation, and communications. n. Manpower. 1 o. Immediate notification to all departments and agencies providing assistance when a,d si aster is imminent or occuring. p. Coordination and determination of priorities in allocation and use of available local resources and requests for support through other government or private agency channels. C. Red Cross Relations With The Federal Disaster Assistance Administration, State and Local Governments: 1. The Red Cross will usually have on -going working 1 relationships for disaster preparedness and relief with state and local governments. Because the Red Cross responds immediately following a disaster's occurence, the organization 1 will often be operational before a Presidential Declaration of a major disaster is made and will be working with the state and local governments before a FCO (Federal Coordinating Officer) of FDAA is designated. While the Red Cross will keep i 1 Attachment 6, Continued the FCO fully informed as to the working arrangements involved in a specific disaster situation, the ANRC will continue its direct relationships with the state and local governments. ' 2. FDAA Disaster Assistance Centers., The Red Cross will provide appropriate volunteers and/or staff to give direct service to disaster victims at all FDAA disaster assistance centers when they are established. However, if the Red Cross has opened disaster service centers in.the disaster area prior to a Presidential Declaration and/or prior to the opening of FDAA Centers, the Red Cross will continue to operate as many of its separate centers as necessary unless facilities and convenience to disaster victims are adequate in the FDAA ' center to accomodate the number of Red Cross relief personnel and disaster victims involved III. COOPERATION AND COORDINATION WITH PUBLIC AUTHORITIES The Red Cross cooperates with, all federal, state and local agencies who have any responsibilty for rendering disaster relief assistance to the disaster victims. The Red Cross is willing to accept commissions from governments and coordinate its relief effort with designated agencies. This may include acting as Agent ' for governmental units under mutually agreed _upon conditions. SIGNATORY: Coordinator o Civil Prepare ness ARC C apter Chairman Emergency Operations Date Approved Date Approved 1