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Home My WebLink AboutSummary of the Land Use Plan-1976 POTENTIAL AREAS OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERN •w£•Z pue 1Z'Z sl!q!yx3 Aq uanlS s1 asn puel uegan s,Ai!D ay uo uMopleajq V •siaaals }O sal!w £L aiaM aaayl pue `l!un lad suosiad S•£ }o aSeJane ue le `aldoad ayl asnoy of shun Su!llaMp 009`S lnoge aaaM aJayl •aldoad 00010Z s,Al!' ayl }o spaau ayl alepow033e 01 sa!l!n113e uegjn 01 palonap s! 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Ianal leaapal ayl le passed uotlelslSal ael!wis luawaldwo3 of papualui seM osle 13V ayl •alelS ayl }o suo!Saa antl3npoad Alle3lSolo!q lsow ayl Suowe aye ya!yM sapenisa ay1 Alle!3adso `seaae Ielseo3 s,alelS ayl SUI3e} sainssaid ayl Inoqe uaa3uo3 of anp (VWVD) IaV luatuaSeuPN eaJV lelseOD ayl passed ainlels!Sal eullOJeD 41JON VZ61, ayl N0113f1Q0111N1 Exhibit 2.2t: 1975 Urban Land Use In City Urban % of Land Use Category Acres Total Total urban land use 3,056 100% Residential 1,795 59% Single Family 1,560 51% Apartments 227 7% Mobile Homes 7 0.2% Commercial 263 9% .Industrial 34 1% Trans., Commun., & Util. 699 23% Streets 571 19% Rail & Utilities 128 4% Government & Institut. 242 8% Culture, Enter., & Recreat. 23 0.8% The two major land users in 1975 were residential (59%), fol- lowed by transportation (23%); together accounting for over 80 percent of all urban land area. Commercial and government uses each comprised about one -tenth of the land, while recreation and industrial were an extremely low one percent. Outside the City, but within the one -mile radius for the Jacksonville Planning Area, is an additional 12.5 square miles of land which is only 17 percent urbanized (2.1 sq. mi.). Although the urban land in this area is less than half that in Jacksonville, it has: .9 times more mobile home land about 30% more commercial land about 20% more industrial land, and .6 times more urban -type vacant parcels ready for develop- ment. LAND CAPABILITY The capability of land in the Jacksonville area to sustain future growth will be restricted only by special attention which must be given to the local soil conditions. Most of the soil is ranked as having moderate or severe limitations for urban -type construc- tion. This is caused primarily by the high water table or shrink - swell characteristics of the soil. To overcome the high water table, extensive and expensive drainage facilities are necessary. And, overcoming the shrink - swell limitations requires expensive removal and replacement of unsuitable soils, or more stringent and expensive foundation construction methods. Thus, as long as the appropriate construction techniques are used to overcome the soil limitations, the Jacksonville land is capable of accommodating future growth. PAST POPULATION TRENDS In the fifty years between 1920 and 1970, Onslow County grew from 14,703 people to 103,126-an increase of 88,423 or 600 percent. In the same time period, the City of Jacksonville grew from 656 people to 16,021-an increase of 15,365 or 2,343 percent. The tremendous growth was not equally distributed through- out this time period; but, rather was primarily concentrated in the twenty years from 1940 to 1960-and, the major reason for this was the establishment of the Marine Base known as Camp Lejeune. The 1970 U.S. Census of population showed that Jacksonville City contained about 16 percent of the County population, while the Township represented 54 percent (see Exhibit 2.4t). Overall, the military -related population accounted for 42 percent of the total, and also pushed the percentage of males, and over-18- year-olds, above the state and national average. Exhibit 2.4t: 1970 Onslow Population Breakdown Area Population and % Onslow County 103,126 100% .Jacksonville Twp. 55,737 54% ..Jacksonville City ................... 16,021 16% Camp Lejeune, CG, NR 22,534 22% ..Unincorporated area ............... 17,182 17% Swansboro Twp. 20,800 20% ..Swansboro Town .................. 1,207 ..Camp Lejeune .................... 15,352 Unincorporated area ............... 4,268 .White Oak Township 13,472 13% ..Camp Lejeune ..................... 5,362 ..Unincorporated area ............... 8,110 Stump Sound Twp. 5,545 6% ..Holly Ridge Town .................. 415 ..Camp Lejeune ..................... 0 Unincorporated area ............... 5,130 ..Onslow County ..................... 103,126 100% Military areas ...................... 43,248 42% ..Incorporated places ................ 18,578 18% ..Unincorporated area ............... 41,300 40% PRESENT POPULATION ESTIMATES Various sources have estimated the population of Onslow, Jacksonville Township, and Jacksonville City for the years 1973, 1974, and 1975. The estimates used in this plan for 1975 are: ...20,000 for Jacksonville City ...63,737 for Jacksonville Township ...112,000 for Onslow County. POPULATION PROJECTIONS The population projections to the year 2000, selected by the Jacksonville committees, show Onslow County increasing by over 26,000 people, or 26 percent, with the majority of this growth located in the Jacksonville Township (see Exhibit 2.5t). Future growth for the City of Jacksonville will depend primarily on its annexation policy, since there is little unde- veloped land remaining within the City's boundaries. As shown by Exhibit 2.4t, the "low estimate for the year 2000 is 25,000 people, an increase of 9,000 or 56 percent over 1970. This projection is based on assumptions that (1) no annexation takes place, but growth occurs on the City's remaining vacant land, or (2) the City only annexes land within its Planning Area containing 2,000 people plus the 3,000 people in Brynn Marr as of 1975. The "high estimate is for 41,000 people by 2000, an increase of 25,000 or 156 percent. This is based on annexing all of Brynn Marr (± 10,000 people ultimately) and much of the other developed land in the Jacksonville Planning Area. The projected population for the year 2020 is 56,000 people. Exhibit 2.5t: Selected Population Projections Year Onslow Jacksonville County Township Jacksonville City Low High At Year No. .1970 103,126 55,737 16,000 16,000 .1975 112,000 63,737 20,000 20,000 .1980 119,840 70,737 25,000 29,000 .1990 124,640 74,737 25,000 37,000 .2uUU 129,630 78,737 25,000 41,000 No. Change .1970-75 (8,847) (8,000) (4,000) (4,000) .1975-80 (7,840) (7,000) (5,000) (9,000) .1970-80 16,714 15,000 9,000 13,000 .1980-90 4,800 4,000 0 8,000 .1990-2000 4,990 4,000 0 4,000 .1970-2000 (26,504) (23,000) (9,000) (25,000) % Change .1970-75 (9%) (14%) (25%) (25%) .1975-80 (7%) (11%) (25%) (45%) .1970-80 16% 27% 56% 81% .1980-90 4% 6% 0 28% .1990-2000 4% 5% 0 11% .1970-2000 (26%) (41%) (56%) (156%) FUTURE LAND NEEDS The City's 1975 population of 20,000 was served by 4.8 square miles of urbanized land, which is an average of over 4,000 persons per square mile of urban land. In the next ten years, it is estimated that the City could add anywhere from 5,000 to 13,000 people, which would require 1.25 to 3.25 square miles of new urban land if the 1975 ratio is extended. In order to overcome past deficiencies in park and industrial land, however, it was decided that the 1975 ratio would not be used. Rather, a lower ratio of 3,000 persons per square mile was used. At this ratio, the new land needs by 1985 would be 1.7 square miles if only 5,000 people were added, or 4.3 square miles if the higher projection of 13,000 were realized. FUTURE SERVICES To the extent that Jacksonville's future growth comes from annexing nearby land that is already developed, the amount of needed services may or may not, be at a minimum. For completely new growth, however, the full range of public services will be needed. Some of these services, and their ability to serve new growth, are described in the following: Schools -The Onslow County Board of Education projects no increase in school enrollment by 1980. As justification for this unusual situation, one may consider that the County was estimated to have grown by 12,000 people (or 12 percent) in the last five years -but the public school enrollment stayed fairly stable. Parks -The park needs for another 13,000 people would be 130 acres, the accepted standard of 10 acres of park land needed for each 1,000 people. At this ratio, there's also a deficiency of about 177 acres for the existing 20,000 Jacksonville residents. If both needs were to be met in the next 10 years, 307 acres of new park land would have to be acquired. The Montford Point area, if ever declared surplus, would make an excellent location for a large, Citywide park. Fire Protection -In view of the City's two existing stations, and a third one proposed on the east side of town, proper fire protection services should be available for new growth. Water Supply -The City's water supply system is undergoing an expansion from 2.15 million gallons per day (mgd) to 4.11 mgd, and later planned expansion to 4.55 mgd. It is estimated that only half of the 4.11 mgd capacity will be needed to serve the existing 20,000 population. This means that ample capacity should be available to accommodate another 13,000 people by 1985. Sewage Disposal -The City's two existing sewage treatment plants have a combined capacity of 3.08 mgd, and only 67 percent of this capacity was being used in 1973 to serve an estimated 17,000 people. Also, it has been proposed that the trickling filter plant be upgraded (and the lagoon facility abandoned) to a design capacity of 4.0 mgd, which could serve approximately 30,000 people. If the projected growth of 13,000 by 1985 is realized, it may mean that additional expansion will need to be considered for the early 1980's. Streets and Highways -In 1969, the North Carolina Highway Commission prepared a Thoroughfare Plan for Jacksonville. The plan called for improvements to existing facilities, as well as proposals for new facilities in order to better serve the existing population and to accommodate expected new growth. Some of the new proposals included a freeway south of Downtown and parallel to N.C. 24, another freeway to relieve U.S. 17, and completion of Western Boulevard as a loop arterial completely around the City to U.S. 17 on the west. It is important that the cost implications of this future growth also be understood by local officials and citizens. Although certain costs will be borne, or shared, by developers and state and federal government ... other major costs will accrue to the City. LAND CLASSIFICATION On the basis of all the work completed to this point, the Coastal Resource Commission guidelines now request that all land in the Jacksonville Planning Area be classified into five categories. It is felt that this classification will assist in improving future cooperation and coordination between the City, County, state, and federal governments. The system is designed to guide governmental services and public expenditures into appropriate areas of the community. The classification scheme for Jackson- ville is shown by Exhibit 2.6m, and briefly explained in the remainder of this section. Class No. 1: Developed -This is for land that is already fully developed, with a population density of at least 2,000 persons per square mile and adequately served with public facilities. All of the urban area within Jacksonville falls into this category. Class No. 2: Transition -This is for presently undeveloped land that is expected to be urbanized in the next ten years with a density of at least 2,000 persons per square mile. The 4.3 square miles of new development estimated to be needed to serve another 13,000 people falls into this category, and is shown on the Exhibit 2.6m to be located to the north and east. Class No. 3: Community -This is for existing or new clusters of low density development at a density of one person per acre. No land is placed in this classification. Class No. 4: Rural -This is for land intended for long-term management for productive resource utilization, and land for future needs which are not currently recognized. For Jackson- ville, two large areas to the north and northwest, now used for forestry, are grouped into this classification. Class No. 5: Conservation -This identifies land which should be maintained essentially in its natural state, and where very limited, or no, public services are provided. For Jacksonville, the only areas placed in this category are the New River, its tributaries, and the flood plain areas adjacent to them. The only environmentally fragile areas in the Jacksonville area are the New River, its tributaries, and the adjacent flood plain. Within the flood plain, the only appropriate types of activities would be of an open character, such as yards, recreation areas, surface parking, farming, and similar uses. After hydrologic studies are made in the future, the flood plains may be divided into a floodway (that carries the heavy flow of a 100 year storm) and a flood fringe. Uses permitted in the floodway would be only the open type of activity. Within the flood fringe area, however, special permits could be requested for other limited types of activity. IMPLEMENTATION Responsibilities for implementing certain portions of this plan will include private enterprise, government, and governmental regulation of private actions. In order to protect the flood plains, as an environmentally sensitive area, the City will comply with the provisions of the Federal Flood Insurance Act. All building permits, subdivision plats, and zone change requests will be reviewed by the City for conformance to flood plain requirements. Development of the new residential, commercial, and industrial areas primarily will be the responsibility of private enterprise. Provision of parks, fire protection, water suply, and sewage disposal will be the responsibility of the City. Implementation of the major thoroughfare proposals will be the responsibility primarily of the State. PLAN UPDATING The Land Use Plan should be reviewed periodically, and revised to reflect any changes in life style or environmental or economic pressures. Such updating could possibly best be handled by a continuation of the organizational structure used for the preparation of this plan. This would include the cooperative efforts of the Mayor and City Council, Planning Board, Citizens' Advisory Committee and Technical Advisory Committee -with administrative coordination from the City Manager and staff support from the City Engineer. AVAILABILITY OF COMPLETE PLAN This synopsis attempts to provide the reader with a general overview of the most important portions of the Jacksonville Coastal Area Management Land Use Plan. Anyone desiring to review a copy of the complete plan may do so by visiting the City Manager's office at the Jacksonville City Hall. PLAN COORDINATION WITH COUNTY AND CAMP LEJEUNE Throughout the preparation of the Jacksonville Plan, close coordination was maintained with the Onslow County Planning Staff through informal meetings, membership on the Jackson- ville Technical Advisory Committee, correspondence, and review of partial drafts and the complete preliminary draft submitted to the Coastal Resources Commission. Special attention was paid to coordination for population breakdowns and projections, land use, land capabilities, areas of environ- mental concern, and the overall time schedule. Similar coordination and contact was maintained with the Marine Base, Camp Lejeune, through membership on the Technical Advisory Committee and review and comments on all drafts. Studies prepared by Camp Lejeune personnel were most helpful in the areas of population, land use, traffic, and other areas. This report was financed in part by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the State of North Carolina; and meets the requirements of the North Carolina Coastal Area Management Act of 1974.