Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutFlood Mitigation Plan- 2017 This Floodplain Management Plan was prepared by the Town of Morehead City under grant award #NA14NOS4190076 to the Department of Environmental Quality, Division of Coastal Management from the Office for Coastal Management, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The statements, findings, conclusions, and recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of DEQ, OCM, or NOAA. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | i Floodplain Management Plan February 2017 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of this Floodplain Management Plan is to reduce or eliminate risk to people and property from flood hazards. Every community faces different hazards and every community has different resources to draw upon in combating problems along with different interests that influence the solutions to those problems. Because there are many ways to deal with flood hazards and many agencies that can help, there is no one solution for managing or mitigating their effects. Planning is one of the best ways to develop a customized program that will mitigate the impacts of flood hazards while taking into account the unique character of a community. The plan provides a framework for all interested parties to work together and reach consensus on how to move forward. A well-prepared Floodplain Management Plan will ensure that all possible activities are reviewed and implemented so that the problem is addressed by the most appropriate and efficient solutions. It can also ensure t hat activities are coordinated with each other and with other goals and activities, preventing conflicts and reducing the costs of implementing each individual activity. The Town of Morehead City followed the planning process prescribed by the Federal Emer gency Management Agency (FEMA), and this plan was developed under the guidance of a Floodplain Management Planning Committee (FMPC) comprised of representatives of Town Departments, citizens and other stakeholders. The FMPC conducted a risk assessment that identified and profiled flood hazards that pose a risk to the Town, assessed the Town’s vulnerability to these hazards, and examined the capabilities in place to mitigate them. The flood hazards profiled in this plan include: • Climate Change and Sea Level Rise • Dam/Levee Failure • Flood: 100-/500-year • Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding • Hurricane and Tropical Storm • Stream Bank Erosion This plan identifies activities that can be undertaken to reduce safety hazards, health hazards, and property damage caused by floods. Based on the risk assessment developed for each of the flood hazards identified above, the FMPC identified goals and objectives for reducing the Town’s vulnerability to the hazards. The goals and objectives are summarized as follows: Goal 1 – Reduce vulnerability and exposure to flood hazards in order to protect the health, safety and welfare of residents and guests. Objective 1.1: Advise the community of the safety and health precautions to implement before, during, and after a flood. Objective 1.2: Publish the locations (roads and intersections) which often flood after heavy rain events or major storms. Objective 1.3: Educate everyone on the benefits of improved water quality and associated habitat. Objective 1.4: Identify the location of vulnerable populations to aid in emergency evacuations. Objective 1.5: Conduct site investigations, research exposure and hazard data, and evaluate proposed modifications to repair and mitigate stormwater management problems. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | ii Floodplain Management Plan February 2017 To meet the identified goals, this plan recommends 18 mitigation actions, which are summarized in the table that follows. Note: Item number does not indicate an order of priority. Goal 2 – Reduce damage to development through flood resilient strategies and measures. Objective 2.1: Prioritize capital improvement projects to address areas where poor drainage causes substantial flooding. Objective 2.2: Encourage development outside the special flood hazard area (1%-annual-chance flood). Objective 2.3: Use the most effective approaches to protect buildings from flood damage, including elevation, acquisition, and other retrofitting techniques where appropriate. Objective 2.4: Encourage property owners to assume an appropriate level of responsibility for their own protection, including the purchase of flood insurance. Goal 3 – Protect natural resources by employing watershed-based approaches that balance environmental, economic and engineering considerations. Objective 3.1: Maintain and enforce regulations to protect and restore wetlands and ecological functions for long-term environmental, economic and recreational values. Objective 3.2: Pursue water management approaches and techniques that improve water quality and protect public health. Objective 3.3: Preserve and maintain open space in flood prone areas to reduce flood damage to buildings and to provide recreational benefits. Objective 3.4: Continue to protect wetlands and environmentally sensitive areas from encroachment of development by requiring buffers and other setback mechanisms. Goal 4 – Encourage property owners, through education and outreach measures, to protect their homes and businesses from flood damage. Objective 4.1: Educate property owners, including repetitive loss properties, on FEMA grant programs and other methods in order to mitigate possible flood damage. Objective 4.2: Provide current flood-proofing and retrofitting information to property owners. Objective 4.3: Effectively communicate flood risk to residents, businesses, contractors, realtors and prospective buyers. Objective 4.4: Enhance community websites to provide comprehensive flood protection and flood preparedness information. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | iii Floodplain Management Plan February 2017 Action Item No. Action Related to Goal Address Current Development Address Future Development Continued Compliance with NFIP Mitigation Category 1 Provide flood emergency information to the public on health, safety, evacuation routes and home safety through a variety of outreach materials including direct mail, websites and through other outside agencies 1, 2 ✓ ✓ Emergency Services 2 Maintain and update the Morehead City Continuity of Operations plan to ensure that Town governmental operations can be ongoing after a flooding event including post-disaster reconstruction policies 1, 2 ✓ Emergency Services 3 Maintain and/or establish backup generators at all community designated critical facilities including those which will house displaced victims from flood events 1, 2 ✓ Emergency Services 4 Keep on call qualified post-disaster contractor to include essential services and equipment and the ability to help secure reimbursement of NCEM and FEMA funding 1, 2 Emergency Services 5 The FMPC will meet quarterly to ensure implementation of the Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan 1, 2, 3, 4 ✓ ✓ ✓ Prevention, Property Protection, Natural Resources, Structural Projects, Emergency Services & Outreach Projects 6 Integrate new greenway and public park improvements into comprehensive planning and capital improvement Planning and coordinate with CAMA Land Use Planning 1, 3 ✓ ✓ Prevention & Natural Resources 7 Review and update Town’s Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance to ensure compliance with FEMA and NCEM requirements and/or to add new higher regulatory standards 1, 2, 3, 4 ✓ ✓ Prevention & Property Protection 8 Promote grant funding to target repetitive loss property owners to mitigate against future flooding 1, 2, & 4 ✓ Property Protection Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | iv Floodplain Management Plan February 2017 Action Item No. Action Related to Goal Address Current Development Address Future Development Continued Compliance with NFIP Mitigation Category 9 Send Flood Outreach Brochure to all residents within the SFHA, Repetitive Loss Areas and those in Dam Inundation Zone to education them on how to better protect themselves from flood damage 1, 2, 3, 4 ✓ ✓ Prevention, Property Protection, Natural Resources, Outreach Projects 10 Church Street Drainage Improvement Project to improve localized stormwater flooding 1, 2 ✓ ✓ ✓ Structural Projects 11 Blair Farms Parkway Culvert Replacement Project to improve localized stormwater flooding 1, 2 ✓ ✓ ✓ Structural Projects 12 Test additional flap/tidal gates at end of stormwater outlets that outfall into the sound around the 9th and 14th street areas to help eliminate localized stormwater flooding 1, 2 ✓ ✓ ✓ Property Protection & Structural Projects 13 Investigate the implementation of pump stations at various locations where there are localized stormwater flooding problems 1, 2 ✓ Property Protection & Structural Projects 14 Where possible encourage Low Impact Development (LID) techniques to promote a natural approach to stormwater management 1,2, 3 ✓ ✓ Prevention, Property Protection and Natural Resources 15 Consider where appropriate shoreline restoration bringing the coastline back to a natural setting 1, 2, 3 ✓ ✓ ✓ Property Protection and Natural Resources 16 Educate public that ¾” of rain in one hour can cause significant stormwater flooding issues in the 14 identified “hot spot” areas 1, 2, 4 ✓ ✓ Property Protection and Outreach Projects 17 Educate public that nothing should go down the storm drains except rainwater including installing no dumping sign on top of drains 1, 2, 3, 4 ✓ ✓ Property Protection, Natural Resources and Outreach Projects 18 Protect wetlands and conservation areas through enforcement of the comprehensive and zoning regulations in the Town and consider additional set back regulations to protect other water features 1, 2 ✓ ✓ ✓ Prevention and Natural resources Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | v Floodplain Management Plan The following table provides the 10-step CRS planning credit activity checklist and the section/page number within this plan that describes the completion of each planning step in more detail. CRS Planning Credit Activity Checklist CRS Step Section/Page 1. Organize to prepare the plan. a. Involvement of office responsible for community planning Section 2.1 b. Planning committee of department staff Section 2.1 c. Process formally created by the community’s governing board Section 2.2.1 2. Involve the public. a. Planning process conducted through a planning committee Section 2.1 / Table 2.1 / Appendix A b. Public meetings held at the beginning of the planning process Section 2.2.1 / Table 2.5 / Appendix A c. Public meeting held on draft plan Section 2.2.1 / Table 2.5 / Appendix A d. Other public information activities to encourage input Section 2.2.1 / Table 2.6 / Appendix A 3. Coordinate with other agencies. a. Review of existing studies and plans Section 2.2.1 b. Coordinating with communities and other agencies Section 2.2.1 / Appendix A 4. Assess the hazard. a. Plan includes an assessment of the flood hazard with: Sections 5.1 – 5.7 (1) A map of known flood hazards Sections 5.1 – 5.7 (2) A description of known flood hazards Sections 5.1 – 5.7 (3) A discussion of past floods Sections 5.1 – 5.7 b. Plan includes assessment of less frequent floods Section 5.2 / 5.6 c. Plan includes assessment of areas likely to flood Section 5.7 d. The plan describes other natural hazards ---- 5. Assess the problem. a. Summary of each hazard identified in the hazard assessment and Section 6.4 their community impact b. Description of the impact of the hazards on: (1) Life, safety, health, procedures for warning and evacuation Sections 5.1 – 5.6 / 8.1.2 (2) Public health including health hazards to floodwaters/mold Sections 5.1 – 5.6 (3) Critical facilities and infrastructure Section 6.2.2 / 6.4.2 (4) The community’s economy and tax base Section 6.4 (5) Number and type of affected buildings Section 6.4 c. Review of all damaged buildings/flood insurance claims Section 6.4.2 d. Areas that provide natural floodplain functions Section 3.1.3 / 5.7 e. Development/Redevelopment/Population Trends Sections 3.1.7 – 3.1.8 / 6.3 / 5.7 f. Impact of future flooding conditions outlined in Step 4, item c Sections 5.1 – 5.7 6. Set goals. Section 8.2 7. Review possible activities. a. Preventive activities Section 8.3 / Appendix B b. Floodplain Management Regulatory/current & future conditions Section 8.3 / Appendix B Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | vi Floodplain Management Plan CRS Step Section/Page c. Property protection activities Section 8.3 / Appendix B d. Natural resource protection activities Section 8.3 / Appendix B e. Emergency services activities Section 8.3 / Appendix B f. Structural projects Section 8.3 / Appendix B g. Public information activities Section 8.3 / Appendix B 8. Draft an action plan. a. Actions must be prioritized Section 8.3.1 / Appendix B (1) Recommendations for activities from two of the six categories Section 8.4 / Appendix B (2) Recommendations for activities from three of the six categories Section 8.4 / Appendix B (3) Recommendations for activities from four of the six categories Section 8.4 / Appendix B (4) Recommendations for activities from five of the six categories Section 8.4 / Appendix B b. Post-disaster mitigation policies and procedures Sections 8.1.2 c. Action items for mitigation of other hazards Sections 8.4 / Appendix B 9. Adopt the plan. Section 9 10. Implement, evaluate and revise. a. Procedures to monitor and recommend revisions Sections 10.1 – 10.2 b. Same planning committee or successor committee that qualifies Section 10.1.2 under Section 511.a.2 (a) does the evaluation Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | vii Floodplain Management Plan TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTERS 1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Purpose and Authority .................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Background ................................................................................................................................... 1 1.3 Scope ............................................................................................................................................. 2 1.4 References .................................................................................................................................... 2 1.5 Plan Organization .......................................................................................................................... 2 2 Planning Process ................................................................................................................................... 3 2.1 Local Government Participation ................................................................................................... 3 2.2 The 10-Step Planning Process ....................................................................................................... 5 Phase I – Planning Process .................................................................................................... 5 Phase II – Risk Assessment .................................................................................................. 10 Phase III – Mitigation Strategy ............................................................................................ 10 Phase IV – Plan Maintenance .............................................................................................. 11 3 Community Profile .............................................................................................................................. 12 Overview of the Community ............................................................................................... 12 Topography and Climate ..................................................................................................... 12 Cultural, Historic and Natural Resources ............................................................................ 16 History ................................................................................................................................. 17 Economy .............................................................................................................................. 18 Housing ............................................................................................................................... 18 Population ........................................................................................................................... 19 Growth and Development Trends ...................................................................................... 19 4 Hazard Identification ........................................................................................................................... 21 4.1 Results and Methodology ........................................................................................................... 21 4.2 Disaster Declaration History ....................................................................................................... 22 5 Hazard Profiles .................................................................................................................................... 23 5.1 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise ............................................................................................. 24 5.2 Dam/Levee Failure ...................................................................................................................... 29 5.3 Flood: 100-/500-year ................................................................................................................. 33 5.4 Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding ...................................................................................... 41 5.5 Hurricane and Tropical Storm ..................................................................................................... 43 5.6 Coastal/Stream Bank Erosion ...................................................................................................... 52 5.7 Assessment of Areas Likely to Flood ........................................................................................... 58 5.8 Flood Hazards Profile Summary .................................................................................................. 60 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | viii Floodplain Management Plan 6 Vulnerability Assessment .................................................................................................................... 61 6.1 Methodology ............................................................................................................................... 61 6.2 Asset Inventory ........................................................................................................................... 62 Properties at Risk ................................................................................................................ 62 Critical Facilities at Risk ....................................................................................................... 64 6.3 Land Use ...................................................................................................................................... 67 6.4 Vulnerability Assessment Results ............................................................................................... 70 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise ..................................................................................... 72 Flood: 100-/500-year ......................................................................................................... 76 Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding ............................................................................ 116 Dam Failure ....................................................................................................................... 120 Hurricane/Tropical Storm ................................................................................................. 122 6.5 Priority Risk Index Results ......................................................................................................... 130 7 Capability Assessment ...................................................................................................................... 131 Administrative/Technical Mitigation Capabilities ............................................................. 131 Fiscal Mitigation Capabilities ............................................................................................ 132 8 Mitigation Strategy ........................................................................................................................... 133 8.1 Mitigation Strategy: Overview ................................................................................................. 133 Continued Compliance with the NFIP ............................................................................... 133 Post-Disaster Recovery and Mitigation ............................................................................. 135 8.2 Goals and Objectives ................................................................................................................. 138 Coordination with Other Planning Efforts ........................................................................ 138 Goal Setting Exercise ......................................................................................................... 138 Resulting Goals and Objectives ......................................................................................... 139 8.3 Identification and Analysis of Mitigation Activities .................................................................. 144 Prioritization Process ........................................................................................................ 144 8.4 Mitigation Action Plan .............................................................................................................. 146 8.5 Detailed Mitigation Actions ...................................................................................................... 150 9 Plan Adoption .................................................................................................................................... 157 10 Plan Implementation and Maintenance ....................................................................................... 158 10.1 Implementation ........................................................................................................................ 158 Responsibility for Implementation of Goals and Activities ............................................... 158 Role of FMPC in Implementation, Monitoring and Maintenance .................................... 159 10.2 Maintenance ............................................................................................................................. 159 Maintenance Schedule...................................................................................................... 159 Maintenance Evaluation Process ...................................................................................... 159 Incorporation into Existing Planning Mechanisms ............................................................ 161 Continued Public Involvement .......................................................................................... 161 Appendix A Planning Process ............................................................................................................... 163 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | ix Floodplain Management Plan Appendix B Mitigation Strategy ........................................................................................................... 202 B.1 Risk Assessment Methodology ................................................................................................ 202 B.2 Mitigation Goals Development ................................................................................................. 204 Appendix C: References ........................................................................................................................... 227 List of Tables Table 2.1 – FMPC Meeting Attendance Record ............................................................................................ 4 Table 2.2 – Town of Morehead City Staff Capability with Six Mitigation Categories ................................... 4 Table 2.3 – Mitigation Planning and CRS 10-Step Process Reference Table ................................................ 5 Table 2.4 – Summary of FMPC Meeting Dates ............................................................................................. 7 Table 2.5 – Summary of Public Meeting Dates ............................................................................................. 7 Table 2.6 – Public Outreach Efforts .............................................................................................................. 8 Table 3.1 – Threatened and Endangered Species ....................................................................................... 17 Table 3.2 – Employment and Occupation Statistics for Morehead City, NC .............................................. 18 Table 3.3 – Major Employers in Carteret County, 2015 .............................................................................. 18 Table 3.4 – Morehead City Demographic Profile Data, 2015 ..................................................................... 19 Table 4.1 – Summary of Flood Hazard Evaluation ...................................................................................... 22 Table 4.2 – FEMA Major Disaster Declarations including Carteret County, 1966 – 2016 .......................... 22 Table 5.1 – NCEI Severe Weather Reports for Carteret County, January 1996 – November 2016 ............ 24 Table 5.2 – Dam Hazards Classification ...................................................................................................... 30 Table 5.3 – North Carolina Dam Inventory for Carteret County, NC .......................................................... 30 Table 5.4 – Mapped Flood Insurance Zones within Morehead City, NC .................................................... 35 Table 5.5 – Flood Zone Acreage in Morehead City, Effective and Preliminary ........................................... 36 Table 5.6 – NCEI Flooding in Carteret County – January 1996 to November 2016 .................................... 39 Table 5.7 – Areas of Localized Flooding ...................................................................................................... 41 Table 5.8 – NCEI Flash Flooding in Carteret County – January 1996 to November 2016 ........................... 43 Table 5.9 – Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, 2012 ............................................................................. 44 Table 5.10 – Hurricane Type & Frequency .................................................................................................. 47 Table 5.11 – Historical Hurricane Tracks Near Morehead City, NC ............................................................ 49 Table 5.12 – NCEI Hurricane/Tropical Storm Data for Carteret County ..................................................... 51 Table 5.13 – Summary of Flood Hazard Profile Results .............................................................................. 60 Table 6.1 – Town of Morehead City Properties at Risk............................................................................... 62 Table 6.2 –Town of Morehead City Properties at Risk ............................................................................... 63 Table 6.3 – Critical Facilities at Risk in Morehead City ............................................................................... 64 Table 6.4 – Priority Risk Index ..................................................................................................................... 70 Table 6.5 – Content Replacement Factors .................................................................................................. 76 Table 6.6 – Estimated Building Damage and Content Loss ......................................................................... 79 Table 6.7 – Estimated Building Damage and Content Loss ......................................................................... 79 Table 6.8 – Morehead City Population at Risk to Flood.............................................................................. 80 Table 6.9 – Critical Facilities by Flood Zone ................................................................................................ 83 Table 6.10 – Critical Facilities by Flood Zone .............................................................................................. 85 Table 6.11 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data by Occupancy Type – Town of Morehead City ......................... 89 Table 6.12 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data by Flood Zone – Town of Morehead City ................................. 89 Table 6.13 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data Pre-FIRM – Town of Morehead City ......................................... 89 Table 6.14 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data Post-FIRM – Town of Morehead City ....................................... 90 Table 6.15 – Unmitigated Repetitive Loss Summary .................................................................................. 91 Table 6.16 – Structures in Repetitive Loss Areas ........................................................................................ 92 Table 6.17 – Properties at Risk to Category 1 Storm Surge ...................................................................... 123 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | x Floodplain Management Plan Table 6.18 – Properties at Risk to Category 2 Storm Surge ...................................................................... 123 Table 6.19 – Properties at Risk to Category 3 Storm Surge ...................................................................... 123 Table 6.20 – Properties at Risk to Category 4 Storm Surge ...................................................................... 124 Table 6.21 – Properties at Risk to Category 5 Storm Surge ...................................................................... 124 Table 6.22 – Summary of PRI Results ........................................................................................................ 130 Table 6.23 – Summary of Hazard Risk Classification ................................................................................. 130 Table 7.1 – Regulatory Mitigation Capabilities ......................................................................................... 131 Table 7.2 – Administrative/Technical Capabilities .................................................................................... 131 Table 7.3 – Fiscal Mitigation Capabilities .................................................................................................. 132 Table 8.1 – Goal Setting Response Summary ........................................................................................... 143 Table 8.2 – Potential Goals Response Summary ....................................................................................... 143 Table 8.3 – Summary of Town of Morehead City Mitigation Actions ....................................................... 147 List of Figures Figure 2.1 – Public Survey ............................................................................................................................. 9 Figure 3.1 – Location Map .......................................................................................................................... 13 Figure 3.2 – Base Map ................................................................................................................................. 14 Figure 3.3 – HUC-6 Drainage Basins ............................................................................................................ 15 Figure 3.4 – Population Projections for Morehead City, NC ....................................................................... 20 Figure 5.1 – Gulf/Atlantic Coast Sea Level Trends ...................................................................................... 25 Figure 5.2 – Mean Sea Level Trend for Beaufort, NC .................................................................................. 26 Figure 5.3 – Previous Mean Sea Level Trends for Beaufort, NC ................................................................. 26 Figure 5.4 – Temperature Change in the United States, 1901-2015 .......................................................... 27 Figure 5.5 – Precipitation Change Projections for 2070-2099 .................................................................... 28 Figure 5.6 – North Carolina Dam Inventory for Town of Morehead City, NC ............................................. 31 Figure 5.7 – Components of a Typical Levee .............................................................................................. 32 Figure 5.8 – Characteristics of a Floodplain ................................................................................................ 34 Figure 5.9 – Morehead City Effective DFIRM Flood Zones ......................................................................... 37 Figure 5.10 – Morehead City Preliminary DFIRM Flood Zones ................................................................... 38 Figure 5.11 – Localized Flooding Locations .................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. Figure 5.12 – Components of Hurricane Storm Surge ................................................................................ 45 Figure 5.13 – SLOSH Storm Surge Model for a Category 3 Storm .............................................................. 46 Figure 5.14 – SLOSH Storm Surge Model for a Category 4 Storm .............................................................. 46 Figure 5.15 – SLOSH Storm Surge Model for a Category 5 Storm .............................................................. 47 Figure 5.16 – Historical Hurricane Tracks (1851-2016) ............................................................................... 48 Figure 5.17 – Stream Meanders .................................................................................................................. 53 Figure 5.18 – Sea Level Rise and Coastal Erosion of Dunes ........................................................................ 57 Figure 5.19 – General Areas of Repetitive Flooding in Morehead City ...................................................... 59 Figure 6.1 – Morehead City Critical Facilities .............................................................................................. 66 Figure 6.2 – Town of Morehead City Existing Land Use Map ..................................................................... 68 Figure 6.3 – Town of Morehead City Future Land Use ............................................................................... 69 Figure 6.4 – Estimated Impact of 1 Foot SLR on Morehead City ................................................................ 73 Figure 6.5 – Estimated Impact of 2 Feet SLR on Morehead City ................................................................ 74 Figure 6.6 – Estimated Impact of 3 Feet SLR on Morehead City ................................................................ 75 Figure 6.7 – 100-yr Effective Flood Depths for the Town of Morehead City .............................................. 77 Figure 6.8 – 100-yr Preliminary Flood Depths for the Town of Morehead City ......................................... 78 Figure 6.9 – Critical Facilities and FEMA Flood Zones, Effective FIRM ....................................................... 81 Figure 6.10 – Critical Facilities and FEMA Flood Zones, Preliminary FIRM ................................................. 82 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | xi Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.11 – Morehead City Repetitive Loss Areas ................................................................................... 93 Figure 6.12 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping Index ..................................................................................... 94 Figure 6.13 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 1 .................................................................................. 95 Figure 6.14 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 2 .................................................................................. 96 Figure 6.15 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 3 .................................................................................. 97 Figure 6.16 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 4 .................................................................................. 98 Figure 6.17 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 5 .................................................................................. 99 Figure 6.18 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 6 ................................................................................ 100 Figure 6.19 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 7 ................................................................................ 101 Figure 6.20 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 8 ................................................................................ 102 Figure 6.21 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 9 ................................................................................ 103 Figure 6.22 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 10 .............................................................................. 104 Figure 6.23 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 11 .............................................................................. 105 Figure 6.24 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 12 .............................................................................. 106 Figure 6.25 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 13 .............................................................................. 107 Figure 6.26 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 14 .............................................................................. 108 Figure 6.27 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 15 .............................................................................. 109 Figure 6.28 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 16 .............................................................................. 110 Figure 6.29 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 17 .............................................................................. 111 Figure 6.30 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 18 .............................................................................. 112 Figure 6.31 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 19 .............................................................................. 113 Figure 6.32 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 20 .............................................................................. 114 Figure 6.33 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 21 .............................................................................. 115 Figure 6.34 – Localized Flooding and Repetitive Loss Locations .............................................................. 117 Figure 6.35 – Repetitive Loss Areas and Stormwater Hotspots ................................................................ 119 Figure 6.36 – Potential Flood Inundation Map for Walker Millpond Dam ............................................... 121 Figure 6.37 – Average Number of Tropical Storms per Year (Atlantic Basin) ........................................... 122 Figure 6.38 – Category 1 Storm Surge ...................................................................................................... 125 Figure 6.39 – Category 2 Storm Surge ...................................................................................................... 126 Figure 6.40 – Category 3 Storm Surge ...................................................................................................... 127 Figure 6.41 – Category 4 Storm Surge ...................................................................................................... 128 Figure 6.42 – Category 5 Storm Surge ...................................................................................................... 129 Figure 8.1 – Evacuation Routes ................................................................................................................. 136 Figure 8.2 – Handout for Goals Exercise, Part 1 ....................................................................................... 141 Figure 8.3 – Handout for Goals Exercise, Part 2 ....................................................................................... 142 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 1 Floodplain Management Plan 1 INTRODUCTION Chapter 1 provides a general introduction to hazard mitigation and an introduction to the Town of Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan. This chapter contains the following subsections:  1.1 Purpose and Authority  1.2 Background  1.3 Scope  1.4 References  1.5 Plan Organization 1.1 PURPOSE AND AUTHORITY As defined by FEMA, “hazard mitigation” means any sustained action taken to reduce or eliminate the long-term risk to life and property from a hazard event. Hazard mitigation planning is the process through which hazards are identified, likely impacts determined, mitigation goals set, and appropriate mitigation strategies determined, prioritized, and implemented. The purpose of this plan is to identify, assess and mitigate flood risk to better protect the people and property of the Town of Morehead City from the effects of flood hazards. This plan documents Morehead City’s hazard mitigation planning process and identifies relevant flood hazards and vulnerabilities and strategies the Town will use to decrease vulnerability and increase resiliency and sustainability. This Plan was developed in a joint and cooperative venture by members of a Floodplain Management Planning Committee (FMPC) which included representatives of Town departments, federal and state agencies, citizens and other stakeholders. This Plan will ensure Morehead City’s continued eligibility for federal disaster assistance including the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP), Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program (PDM), and the Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMA). This Plan has been prepared in compliance with Section 322 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (Stafford Act or the Act), 42 U.S.C. 5165, enacted under Section 104 of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000, (DMA 2000) Public Law 106 -390 of October 30, 2000, as implemented at CFR 201.6 and 201.7 dated October 2007. 1.2 BACKGROUND The Town of Morehead City currently participates in the National Flood Insurance Program’s (NFIP) Community Rating System (CRS), and qualifies for a Class 8 Rating. The CRS recognizes and encourages community floodplain management activities that exceed the minimum standards. Under the CRS, flood insurance premium rates are adjusted to reflect the reduced flood risk resulting from community activities that (1) reduce flood losses, (2) facilitate accurate insurance ratings, and (3) promote the awareness of flood insurance. As part of the qualification for a Class 8 Rating and having 10 or more repetitive loss properties, Morehead City is required to prepare and maintain a Floodplain Management Plan (FMP). It is the goal of the FMPC to continue to work to make improvements to this plan so as to better serve the citizens of Morehead City, and to strive to improve the Class Rating for the Town, so that the highest reduction in flood insurance premium rates can be available for its citizens. Through the Town’s participation in the NFIP and a Class 8 rating with the CRS, owners of properties in the Town’s Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHA) are entitled to a 10% discount on their flood insurance premiums. Non-SFHA policies (Standard X Zone policies) receive a 5% discount, and preferred risk policies receive no discount because they already have premiums lower than other policies. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 2 Floodplain Management Plan 1.3 SCOPE This document comprises a Floodplain Management Plan for the Town of Morehead City. Due to the small geographic scope of Morehead City and the larger regional extent of many hazard events, many of the hazard profiles are conducted on a county level. This was done to ensure an accurate estimation of risk for the Town. The subsequent vulnerability assessment and mitigation actions are specific to Morehead City. 1.4 REFERENCES The following FEMA guides and reference documents were used to prepare this document:  FEMA 386-1: Getting Started. September 2002.  FEMA 386-2: Understanding Your Risks: Identifying Hazards and Estimating Losses. August 2001.  FEMA 386-3: Developing the Mitigation Plan. April 2003.  FEMA 386-4: Bringing the Plan to Life. August 2003.  FEMA 386-5: Using Benefit-Cost Review in Mitigation Planning. May 2007.  FEMA 386-6: Integrating Historic Property and Cultural Resource Consideratio ns into Hazard Mitigation Planning. May 2005.  FEMA 386-7: Integrating Manmade Hazards into Mitigation Planning. September 2003.  FEMA 386-8: Multijurisdictional Mitigation Planning. August 2006.  FEMA 386-9: Using the Hazard Mitigation Plan to Prepare Successful Mitigation Projects. August 2008.  FEMA. Local Mitigation Planning Handbook. March 2013.  FEMA. Local Mitigation Plan Review Guide. October 1, 2011.  FEMA National Fire Incident Reporting System 5.0: Complete Reference Guide. January, 2008.  FEMA Hazard Mitigation Assistance Unified Guidance. June 1, 2010.  FEMA. Integrating Hazard Mitigation into Local Planning: Case Studies and Tools for Community Officials. March 1, 2013.  FEMA. Mitigation Ideas. A Resource for Reducing Risk to Natural Hazards. January 2013. 1.5 PLAN ORGANIZATION The Town of Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan is organized as follows: • Chapter 2: Planning Process • Chapter 3: Community Profile • Chapter 4: Hazard Identification • Chapter 5: Hazard Profiles • Chapter 6: Vulnerability Assessment • Chapter 7: Capability Assessment • Chapter 8: Mitigation Strategy • Chapter 9: Plan Adoption • Chapter 10: Plan Implementation and Maintenance • Appendix A: Planning Process • Appendix B: Mitigation Strategy • Appendix C: References Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 3 Floodplain Management Plan 2 PLANNING PROCESS This Floodplain Management Plan was developed under the guidance of a Floodplain Management Planning Committee (FMPC). The Committee’s representatives included representatives of Town Departments, federal and state agencies, citizens and other stakeholders. Information in this plan will be used to help guide and coordinate mitigation activities and decisions for local land use policy in the future. Proactive mitigation planning will help reduce the cost of disaster response and recovery to communities and their residents by protecting critical community facilities, reducing liability exposure, and minimizing overall community impacts and disruptions. This plan identifies activities that can be undertaken by both the public and the private sectors to reduce safety hazards, health hazards, and property damage caused by floods. 2.1 LOCAL GOVERNMENT PARTICIPATION The DMA planning regulations and guidance stress that each local government seeking FEMA approval of their mitigation plan must participate in the planning effort in the following ways: • Participate in the process as part of the FMPC; • Detail where within the planning area the risk differs from that facing the entire area; • Identify potential mitigation actions; and • Formally adopt the plan. For the Town of Morehead City FMPC, “participation” meant the following:  Providing facilities for meetings;  Attending and participating in the FMPC meetings;  Collecting and providing requested data (as available);  Managing administrative details;  Making decisions on plan process and content;  Identifying mitigation actions for the plan;  Reviewing and providing comments on plan drafts;  Informing the public, local officials, and other interested parties about the planning process and providing opportunity for them to comment on the plan;  Coordinating, and participating in the public input process; and  Coordinating the formal adoption of the plan by the City Council. Requirement §201.6(b): An open public involvement process is essential to the development of an effective plan. To develop a more comprehensive approach to reducing the effects of natural disasters, the planning process shall include: 1) An opportunity for the public to comment on the plan during the drafting stage and prior to plan approval; 2) An opportunity for neighboring communities, local and regional agencies involved in hazard mitigation activities, and agencies that have the authority to regulate development, as well as businesses, academia, and other private and nonprofit interests to be involved in the planning process; and 3) Review and incorporation, if appropriate, of existing plans, studies, reports, and technical information. Requirement §201.6(c)(1): The plan shall include the following: 1) Documentation of the planning process used to develop the plan, including how it was prepared, who was involved in the process, and how the public was involved. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 4 Floodplain Management Plan The FMPC met the above participation requirements. The FMPC included representatives from key City departments, city stakeholders, the insurance and real estate industries as well as mortgage lenders. The participants comprising the Town of Morehead City FMPC included the following: 1. Sandi Watkins – Town of Morehead City, Planning & Inspections 2. Linda Staab – Town of Morehead City, Planning & Inspections 3. Robert Davis – Town of Morehead City, Planning & Inspections 4. Dale Price – Town of Morehead City 5. Dykeman Baily – Town of Morehead City, Fire Department 6. Whitney Jenkins – NC Coastal Reserve 7. Rachel Love-Adrick – NC Coastal Management 8. Scot Alexander Brennan – NC Farm Bureau Insurance 9. Michael Lupton – Putnam Real Estate 10. Ronald Cullipher – Stroud Engineering 11. John Odom – Prestige Land Surveying Table 2.1 details the FMPC meeting dates and the FMPC members in attendance. A more detailed summary of FMPC meeting dates including topics discussed and meeting locations follows in Table 2.4. Meeting sign-in sheets have been included in Appendix A. Table 2.1 – FMPC Meeting Attendance Record Member Name Affiliation Meeting Date 1/12/17 2/16/17 4/3/17 5/24/17 6/22/17 Sandi Watkins Town of Morehead City ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Linda Staab Town of Morehead City ✓ ✓ ✓ Robert Davis Town of Morehead City ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Dale Price Town of Morehead City ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Dykeman Baily Town of Morehead City ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Whitney Jenkins NC Coastal Reserve ✓ ✓ Rachel Love-Adrick NC Coastal Management ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Scot Brennan NC Farm Bureau Insurance ✓ ✓ Michael Lupton Putnam Real Estate ✓ ✓ Ronald Cullipher Stroud Engineering ✓ ✓ ✓ John Odom Prestige Land Surveying ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Based on the area of expertise of each Town representative participating on the FMPC, Table 2.2 demonstrates the Town staff’s capability in the six mitigation categories (Prevention, Property Protection, Natural Resource Protection, Emergency Services, Structural Flood Control Projects and Public Information). Table 2.2 – Town of Morehead City Staff Capability with Six Mitigation Categories Community Department/Office Prevention Property Protection Natural Resource Protection Emergency Services Structural Flood Control Projects Public Information Planning & Inspections ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Police, Fire & EMS ✓ ✓ ✓ Public Works ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Parks & Recreation ✓ ✓ ✓ Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 5 Floodplain Management Plan Appendix A provides additional information and documentation of the planning process that was implemented for the development of this FMP. 2.2 THE 10-STEP PLANNING PROCESS The planning process for preparing the Town of Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan was based on DMA planning requirements and FEMA’s associated guidance. This guidance is structured around a four-phase process: 1) Planning Process; 2) Risk Assessment; 3) Mitigation Strategy; and 4) Plan Maintenance. Into this process, the Town integrated a more detailed 10-step planning process used for FEMA’s Community Rating System (CRS) and Flood Mitigation Assistance programs. Thus, the modified 10-step process used for this plan meets the requirements of six major programs: FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Grant Program; Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program; Community Rating System; Flood Mitigation Assistance Program; Severe Repetitive Loss Program; and new flood control projects authorized by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Table 2.3 shows how the 10-step CRS planning process aligns with the four phases of hazard mitigation planning pursuant to the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000. Table 2.3 – Mitigation Planning and CRS 10-Step Process Reference Table DMA Process CRS Process Phase I – Planning Process §201.6(c)(1) Step 1. Organize to Prepare the Plan §201.6(b)(1) Step 2. Involve the Public §201.6(b)(2) & (3) Step 3. Coordinate Phase II – Risk Assessment §201.6(c)(2)(i) Step 4. Assess the Hazard §201.6(c)(2)(ii) & (iii) Step 5. Assess the Problem Phase III – Mitigation Strategy §201.6(c)(3)(i) Step 6. Set Goals §201.6(c)(3)(ii) Step 7. Review Possible Activities §201.6(c)(3)(iii) Step 8. Draft an Action Plan Phase IV – Plan Maintenance §201.6(c)(5) Step 9. Adopt the Plan §201.6(c)(4) Step 10. Implement, Evaluate and Revise the Plan Phase I – Planning Process Planning Step 1: Organize to Prepare the Plan With the Town of Morehead City’s commitment to participate in the DMA planning process and the CRS, Town officials worked to establish the framework and organization for development of the plan. An initial meeting was held with key community representatives to discuss the organizational aspects of the plan development process. At the beginning of this planning process, the Town passed a resolution establishing the planning process and the FMPC. This resolution is included in Appendix A. Invitations to participate on the FMPC were extended to Town officials, citizens, and federal, state, and local stakeholders that might have an interest in participating in the planning process. The full list of initial Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 6 Floodplain Management Plan invitees is included in Appendix A. The following local stakeholders were invited to provide technical information and to participate on the FMPC: Neighboring Communities Carteret County Town of Beaufort Town of Newport Town of Atlantic Beach Town of Pine Knoll Shores Town of Emerald Isle Town of Cedar Point Town of Indian Beach State and Federal Government North Carolina Division of Emergency Management North Carolina State Hazard Mitigation Planning North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality FEMA Region IV USGS ISO/CRS NOAA U.S. Army Corps of Engineers National Weather Service Educational Institutions Duke University Nicholas School UNC Institute of Marine Sciences Carteret Community College North Carolina State University Center for Marine Sciences and Technology Other Stakeholder Representatives American Red Cross Carteret County News-Times Crystal Coast Habitat for Humanity Coastal Community Action North Carolina Coastal Federation Carteret County Homebuilders Association Downtown Morehead City Revitalization Association The FMPC kick-off meeting was held on January 12, 2017 at 4:30 p.m. in the Morehead City Municipal Chambers. The meeting covered the scope of work and an introduction to the DMA, CRS, and FMA requirements. During the planning process, the FMPC communicated through face-to-face meetings, email and telephone conversations. Draft documents were posted on the Town’s website so that the FMPC members could easily access and review them. The formal FMPC meetings followed the CRS Planning Steps. Agendas and sign in sheets for the FMPC meetings are included in Appendix A. The meeting dates and topics discussed are summarized below in Table 2.4. All FMPC meetings were open to the public and all public meetings were properly advertised in the newspaper and on the Town’s website. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 7 Floodplain Management Plan Table 2.4 – Summary of FMPC Meeting Dates Meeting Type Meeting Topic Meeting Date Meeting Location FMPC #1 (Kick-off) 1) Introduction to DMA, CRS and the planning process January 12, 2017 4:30 – 5:30 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 1) Organize resources: the role of the FMPC, planning for public involvement, and coordinating with other agencies and stakeholders FMPC #2 1) Discussion of Program for Public Information (PPI) February 16, 2017 4:00 – 5:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 1) Discuss/develop mitigation goals for the 2017 FMP FMPC #3 1) Review preliminary goals April 3, 2017 10:30 – 11:30 a.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Review/discussion of Flood Risk Assessment (Assess the Hazard) 3) Review/discussion of Vulnerability Assessment (Assess the Problem) FMPC #4 1) Review/discussion of Flood Risk and Vulnerability Assessment May 24, 2017 4:00 – 5:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Discuss/develop mitigation strategies for the 2017 FMP FMPC #5 1) Review “Draft” Floodplain Management Plan June 22, 2017 4:00 – 5:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Solicit comments and feedback from the FMPC Planning Step 2: Involve the Public The planning process officially began with a public meeting held on January 12, 2017 at 5:30PM. A public notice was posted in the local newspaper, the Carteret County News-Times, on January 11, 2017 inviting members of the public to attend this kickoff meeting as documented in Appendix A. Information about the public meeting was also posted on the Town’s website and additional social media. The formal public meetings held during the planning process are summarized in Table 2.5. Table 2.5 – Summary of Public Meeting Dates Meeting Type Meeting Topic Meeting Date Meeting Locations Public Meeting #1 1) Introduction to DMA, CRS and the planning process January 12, 2017 5:30 – 6:30 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Introduction to hazard identification Public Meeting #2 1) Review “Draft” Floodplain Management Plan June 22, 2017 5:00 – 6:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Solicit comments and feedback from the FMPC Involving the Public beyond Attending Public Meetings Early discussions with the FMPC established the initial plan for public involvement. The FMPC agreed to an approach using established public information mechanisms and resources within the community. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 8 Floodplain Management Plan Public involvement activities for this plan update included press releases, stakeholder and public meetings, public surveys, and the collection of public and stakeholder comments on the draft plan. The FMPC found seven different ways to involve the public beyond attending public meetings. Documentation to support the additional public outreach efforts can be found in Appendix A. The public outreach activities beyond the formal public meetings are summarized below in Table 2.6. Table 2.6 – Public Outreach Efforts Location Event/Message Date 1 Articles in Carteret County News-Times News articles providing information on first public meeting and second FMPC meeting. January 2017 2 Planning & Inspections Dept. Facebook Page Meeting times, locations, and descriptions advertised to encourage public attendance/comment January 2017 3 Town of Morehead City website Flood Protection Questionnaire posted on website February 2017 4 Articles in Carteret County News-Times Report came to April meeting to report on progress of the FMP. April 2017 5 Town of Morehead City website Draft Risk Assessment posted on website with request for public review/comment May 2017 6 Coastal Chapter of NC Surveyors Assn meeting Request for input into FMP planning process shared at meeting June 2017 7 Town of Morehead City website Posted draft plan on the website June 2017 8 Town Hall Hard copy of plan located in Town Hall for review June 2017 9 Planning & Inspections Dept. Facebook Page Announced availability of the draft plan on Town website and called for public comments; announced final public meeting June 2017 The public survey which requested public input into the Floodplain Management Plan planning process and the identification of mitigation activities to lessen the risk and impact of future flood hazard events is shown in Figure 2.1. The Town of Morehead City placed the survey on its website, Facebook page, and on the front counter of the Planning and Inspections Department office at City Hall, but no one completed the survey. Therefore, a copy of the complete survey is presented in Appendix A, but no summary of the results could be completed. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 9 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 2.1 – Public Survey Planning Step 3: Coordinate Early in the planning process, the FMPC determined that the risk assessment, mitigation strategy development, and plan approval would be greatly enhanced by inviting other local, state and federal agencies and organizations to participate in the process. A detailed list of agency coordination is provided above under Planning Step 1: Organize to Prepare the Plan. Coordination involved contacting these agencies through a variety of mechanisms and informing them on how to participate in the plan development process. Coordination with these groups included holding face-to-face meetings, sending outreach letters, and making phone calls alone to out of area agencies. These groups and agencies were solicited asking for their assistance (did they have documentation to support the planning process) and input and telling them how to become involved in the plan development process. A sample coordination letter is provided in Appendix A. A perfect example of this coordination in the planning process is that Belkys Melendez, a meteorologist from NOAA and the National Weather Service, started attending the FMPC meetings after receiving this letter from Morehead City. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 10 Floodplain Management Plan Coordination with Other Community Planning Efforts and Hazard Mitigation Activities Coordination with other community planning efforts is also paramount to the success of this plan. Mitigation planning involves identifying existing policies, tools, and actions that will reduce a community’s risk and vulnerability to hazards. The Town of Morehead City uses a variety of comprehensive planning mechanisms, such as a Comprehensive Plan and land development regulations and ordinances to guide growth and development. Integrating existing planning efforts and mitigation policies and action strategies into this plan establishes a credible and comprehensive plan that ties into and supports other community programs. The development of this plan incorporated information from the following existing plans, studies, reports, and initiatives as well as other relevant data from neighboring communities and other jurisdictions.  Town of Morehead City CAMA Land Use Plan, Adopted 2007  Town of Morehead City Unified Development Ordinance, Adopted 2001 o Zoning Ordinance o Subdivision Ordinance o Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance  Carteret County Comprehensive Plan, 2004  Pamlico Sound Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2015 These and other documents were reviewed and considered, as appropriate, during the collection of data to support Planning Steps 4 and 5, which include the hazard identification, vulnerability assessment, and capability assessment. Data from these plans and ordinances were incorporated into the risk assessment and hazard vulnerability sections of the plan as appropriate. The data was also used in deter mining the capability of the community in being able to implement certain mitigation strategies. The Capability Assessment can be found in Section 3.4. Phase II – Risk Assessment Planning Steps 4 and 5: Identify/Assess the Hazard and Assess the Problem The FMPC completed a comprehensive effort to identify, document, and profile all flood hazards that have, or could have, an impact on the planning area. Data collection worksheets were developed and used in this effort to aid in determining hazards and vulnerabilities and where the risk varies across the planning area. Geographic information systems (GIS) were used to display, analyze, and quantify hazards and vulnerabilities. A draft of the risk and vulnerability assessment was posted on the Town’s website for FMPC and public review and comment. The FMPC also conducted a capability assessment to review and document the planning area’s current capabilities to mitigate risk from and vulnerability to hazards. By collecting information about existing government programs, policies, regulations, ordinances, and emergency plans, the FMPC could assess those activities and measures already in place that contribute to mitigating some of the risks and vulnerabilities identified. A more detailed description of the risk assessment process and the results are included in Section 3 Flood Risk Assessment. Phase III – Mitigation Strategy Planning Steps 6 and 7: Set Goals and Review Possible Activities Amec Foster Wheeler facilitated brainstorming and discussion sessions with the FMPC that described the purpose and process of developing planning goals and objectives, a comprehensive range of mitigation alternatives, and a method of selecting and defending recommended mitigation actions using a series of selection criteria. This information is included in Section 4 Mitigation Strategy. Additional documentation on the process the FMPC used to develop the goals and strategy has been included in Appendix B. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 11 Floodplain Management Plan Planning Step 8: Draft an Action Plan A complete first draft of the plan was prepared based on input from the FMPC regarding the draft risk assessment and the goals and activities identified in Planning Steps 6 and 7. This draft was posted for FMPC and public review and comment on the Town’s website. Other agencies were invited to comment on this draft as well. FMPC, public and agency comments were integrated into the final draft for the NCEM and FEMA Region IV to review and approve, contingent upon final adoption by the Town. Phase IV – Plan Maintenance Planning Step 9: Adopt the Plan To secure buy-in and officially implement the plan, the plan was reviewed and adopted by the Town of Morehead City on the dates included in the corresponding resolution in Section 5 Plan Adoption. Planning Step 10: Implement, Evaluate and Revise the Plan Implementation and maintenance of the plan is critical to the overall success of hazard mitigation planning. Up to this point in the planning process, the FMPC’s efforts have been directed at researching data, coordinating input from participating entities, and developing appropriate mitigation actions. Section 6 Plan Implementation and Maintenance provides an overview of the overall strategy for plan implementation and maintenance and outlines the method and schedule for monitoring, updating, and evaluating the plan. The Section also discusses incorporating the plan into existing planning mechanisms and how to address continued public involvement. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 12 Floodplain Management Plan 3 COMMUNITY PROFILE 3.1 OVERVIEW OF THE COMMUNITY The Town of Morehead City, situated in the Outer Coastal Plain of eastern North Carolina, is a port town in Carteret County on North Carolina’s Crystal Coast. The Town has a total land area of approximately 6.8 square miles and is located at the mouth of the Newport River on the Bogue Sound, directly inland from the barrier island community of Atlantic Beach. The Town is served by U.S. highway 70 and North Carolina highway 24. US-70 connects Morehead City to the Cities of Havelock and New Bern to the west and to the Core Sound communities to the northeast. NC-24 connects Morehead City west to the City of Jacksonville. According to the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, the Town had a total population of 9,162 in 2015; the population of the Morehead City planning jurisdiction, including the extra-territorial jurisdiction (ETJ), was projected to be 16,166. These figures are discussed in more detail in Section 3.8. Figure 3.1 reflects the Town of Morehead City’s location within Carteret County and in relation to the surrounding cities and towns. Figure 3.2Figure 3.2 – Base Map provides a base map for the Town showing the town limits and the extent of the town’s extra-territorial jurisdiction (ETJ). 3.2 TOPOGRAPHY AND CLIMATE The Town of Morehead City has a moderate climate, with an average annual temperature of 63.75 degrees Fahrenheit. Average annual rainfall is approximately 59 inches. The Town has a generally flat topography with elevation ranging between 3 and 30 feet above sea level. Morehead City is located completely within the White Oak River Basin, which covers 1,382 square miles and spans 6 counties and 24 municipalities. The White Oak Basin contains four subbasins: the New River, the White Oak River, the Newport River, and the North River, as well as the Bogue, Back, and Core Sounds. Figure 3.3 illustrates the HUC-12 drainage basins and drainage features in and around Morehead City. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 13 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 3.1 – Location Map Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 14 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 3.2 – Base Map Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 15 Floodplain Management Plan Data Source: USGS, 2015 Figure 3.3 – HUC-12 Drainage Basins Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 16 Floodplain Management Plan 3.3 CULTURAL, HISTORIC AND NATURAL RESOURCES Historic Resources The Town of Morehead City has two listings on the National Register of Historic Districts: the Morehead City Municipal Building and the Morehead City Historic District, which includes 123 contributing structures. Listing on the National Register signifies that these structures and districts have been determined to be worthy of preservation for their historical values. Cultural Resources Morehead City is home to several facilities for higher education in marine research, including University of North Carolina’s Institute of Marine Sciences and North Carolina State University’s Center for Marine Sciences and Technology. Duke University’s Marine Lab is in nearby Beaufort, while Morehead City is also home to Carteret Community College. The Town is also known as a destination for recreational fishing, due to its unique ecological setting. Tourists also visit Morehead City for scuba diving, particularly because a few famous shipwrecks are located nearby offshore. Located in town are five art galleries, the Webb Memorial Library and Civic Center, and the History Museum of Carteret County. Every year, Morehead City hosts the North Carolina Seafood Festival. Many of the Town’s cultural and historical assets are located in the Downtown from 5th Street to 12th Street, and draw visitors and residents to the area. Natural Features and Resources Parks, Preserve and Conservation According to the Parks and Recreation Department website, the Town manages 86.87 acres of parkland. The Town’s Parks and Recreation Department manages and operates an array of parks and recreation facilities, including: 3 mini parks, 6 neighborhood parks, 2 community parks, 1 specialty park. Public recreational facilities include 5 playgrounds, 10 picnic areas, 4 soccer fields, 4 tennis courts, a ball field, and 3 basketball courts, as well as trails, boat launches, and other amenities. There are also three Significant Natural Heritage Areas, as defined by the NC Natural Heritage Program, within the Morehead City planning area. Two are located in wetlands on the eastern edge of the planning area, and a third is located on Radio Island. Water Bodies and Floodplains Within the Town’s jurisdiction are 1,229 acres of conservation lands and open space, including coastal wetlands, estuarine waters, estuarine shoreline, public trust areas, and federally-regulated wetlands. These lands make up approximately 13% of the Town’s planning jurisdiction. Traditional land uses are not desirable in these areas, but some development, such as public buildings or facilities to support existing uses, are allowable according to the Town’s 2007 Land Use Plan. These lands are primarily found in the northern and eastern portions of the Town’s planning jurisdiction. According to effective FIRMs, over 6,600 acres of the land within the Town is located within a 100-yr or 500-yr special flood hazard area. A summary of acreage by flood zone is as follows: Zone VE (205 acres); Zone AE (5,907 acres); Zone X 500-yr (515 acres); and Zone X Unshaded (6,888 acres). Natural and Beneficial Floodplain Functions: Under natural conditions, a flood causes little or no damage in floodplains. Nature ensures that floodplain flora and fauna can survive the more frequent inundations, and the vegetation stabilizes soils during flooding. Floodplains reduce flood damage by allowing flood Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 17 Floodplain Management Plan waters to spread over a large area. This reduces flood velocities and provides flood storage to reduce peak flows downstream. Wetlands Wetlands in Morehead City generally follow the major hydrology and are found within areas that are deemed flood hazard areas which provide additional regulations that make these areas difficult to develop. According to the Town’s 2007 Core Land Use Plan, the Town’s planning jurisdiction contain s approximately 1,229 acres of wetlands. Natural and Beneficial Wetland Functions: The benefits of wetlands are hard to overestimate. They provide critical habitat for many plant and animal species that could not survive in other habitats. They are also critical for water management as they absorb and store vast quantities of storm water, helping reduce floods and recharge aquifers. Not only do wetlands store water like sponges, they also filter and clean water as well, absorbing toxins and other pollutants. Threatened and Endangered Species The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service maintains a regular listing of threatened species, endangered species, species of concern, and candidate species for counties across the United States. Carteret County has 12 species that are listed with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Services. Table 3.1 below shows the species identified as threatened, endangered, or other classification in Carteret County. Table 3.1 – Threatened and Endangered Species Common Name Scientific Name Federal Status Red-cockaded woodpecker Picoides borealis Endangered Piping Plover Charadrius melodus Threatened Roseate tern Sterna dougallii dougallii Endangered Red knot Calidris canutus rufa Threatened Rough-leaved loosestrife Lysimachia asperulaefolia Endangered Seabeach amaranth Amaranthus pumilus Threatened West Indian Manatee Trichechus manatus Endangered American alligator Alligator mississippiensis Similarity of Appearance (Threatened) Hawksbill sea turtle Eretmochelys imbricata Endangered Leatherback sea turtle Dermochelys coriacea Endangered Kemp's ridley sea turtle Lepidochelys kempii Endangered Loggerhead sea turtle Caretta caretta Threatened Source: U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service (https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp0/reports/species-by-current-range-county?fips=37031) 3.4 HISTORY For centuries before non-natives moved into the Carolinas, native Tuscarora Indians inhabited the area that became Morehead City. In the early 18th century, white settlers began arriving in the region, often migrating south from existing northern colonies. New settlers included those of German, Scotch-Irish, French, and English descent, as well as families of Quakers. Morehead City was envisioned and planned as a port city by the 29th Governor of North Carolina, John Motley Morehead. In 1853, Morehead purchased 600 acres of land on Shepherd’s Point and by 1857, the first lots were sold. At that same time, the North Carolina legislature approved and partially funded construction of a railroad across the state with its terminus at Shepherd’s Point, improving access to the new port town. State level support coupled with Morehead City’s natural locational attributes led to its eventual development. The port at Shepherd’s Point, where the Newport River reached up to 20 feet deep Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 18 Floodplain Management Plan and had a mile-wide channel, proved more accessible than the shallower Beaufort and Carolina City channels. The Town was established in 1858 and officially incorporated on February 20, 1861, with Bridges Arendell, Jr. as its first mayor. The port supported Morehead City and Carteret County’s growth, with exports including tobacco, grains, salted meats and fish, and lumber. The most significant industry was naval stores-tar, pitch, rosin, and turpentine. Today, tourism has replaced exporting as Carteret County’s largest industry. 3.5 ECONOMY Wages and Employment Per the 2011-2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, the mean household income for the Town of Morehead City is $39,117. 23.6% of the population is considered to be living below the poverty level. Table 3.2 shows employment and unemployment rates along with industry employment by major classification for the Town. Major employers for Carteret County are listed in Table 3.3. Fishing and Tourism also account for seasonal adjustments in the economy of Morehead City. Table 3.2 – Employment and Occupation Statistics for Morehead City, NC Employment Status Percentage In labor force 62.3 Employed 56.1 Unemployed 5.1 Armed Forces 1.1 Not in labor force 37.7 Occupation Management, business, science and arts 35.8 Service 17.7 Sales and office 23.0 Natural resources, construction and maintenance 11.2 Production, transportation and material moving 12.1 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011-2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Table 3.3 – Major Employers in Carteret County, 2015 Corporation/Organization Service/Product by SIC Code # of Employees Carteret County Public Schools Education & Health Services 1,054 Carteret General Hospital Education & Health Services 1,022 Carteret County Government Public Administration 547 Carteret Community College Education & Health Services 373 United States Coast Guard Public Administration 370 Source: Carteret Economic Development Council; Access NC 3.6 HOUSING According to the 2011-2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, there are 5,296 housing units in the Town of Morehead City, 78.1% of which are occupied. Approximately 50.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, indicating a high level of pre- and post-disaster vulnerability. Median home value in Morehead City is $197,900. Of the Town’s owner-occupied housing units, 53.6% have a mortgage. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 19 Floodplain Management Plan The majority of householders moved into their current homes in the last 17 years; 36.6% moved in between 2000 and 2009, and 36.9% moved in between 2010 and 2014. Householders of nearly 9% of occupied housing units have no vehicle available to them, which suggests these residents may have difficulty in the event of an evacuation. 3.7 POPULATION The Town of Morehead City had 8,661 residents at the time of the 2010 U.S. Census and an estimated population of 9,162 in 2015. As of 2015, the Morehead City population density is 1,347 persons per square mile, which is much higher than the state average density of 254 persons per square mile. Table 3.4 provides demographic profile data from the 2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. Table 3.4 – Morehead City Demographic Profile Data, 2015 Demographic Morehead City Gender/Age Male 46.7% Female 53.3% Median Age (years) 43.3 Under 5 Years 6.2% 65 Years and Over 20.0% Race/Ethnicity (One Race) White 81.0% Black or African American 12.7% Asian 2.6% American Indian/Alaska Native 0.6% Other Race 6.0% Hispanic or Latino 7.4% Education High School Graduate or Higher 88.2% Bachelor’s Degree or Higher 28.2% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011-2015 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 1Hispanics may be of any race, so also are included in applicable race categories. 3.8 GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT TRENDS As of 2015, the Town of Morehead City ranked 90th in size among North Carolina’s 500-plus municipalities. From 2010 to 2015 the Town grew at a rate of 8.09%. Morehead City accounts for 1 3.4% of Carteret County’s population, up slightly from 13.0% in 2010. According to the Town Land Use Plan, the population in Morehead City is expected to reach 9,446 by 2030. In that time, the Morehead City planning jurisdiction is expected to reach 17,315. Population projections from the Town Land Use Plan are shown in Figure 3.4. Given that Morehead City surpassed its projected 2020 population by 2015, the actual 2020- 2030 population will likely exceed these estimates. The major growth in Morehead City occurs along its major thoroughfare of Highway 70 and its secondary major thoroughfare Highway 24. Additionally, because of the Town’s location (bordered by 3 bodies of water), many commercial and housing developments are subject to inundation from coastal storms and localized stormwater issues. Through the central and far eastern part of town, a rail line divides Highway 70 which makes crossing from one side to the other dangerous. Newer development is occurring on the western edge of town while the eastern side of Morehead City is the more established area with an older building stock. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 20 Floodplain Management Plan Over time, Morehead City will most likely expand further into its Extra Territorial Jurisdiction (ETJ). As the Town continues to expand in the future, it can be expected that older housing stock will be replaced with newer housing stock, especially for those units close to the water. Source: Morehead City Land Use Plan, 2007; U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Census Figure 3.4 – Population Projections for Morehead City, NC 8,523 8,819 9,093 9,292 9,446 15,622 16,166 16,668 17,033 17,315 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 MOREHEAD CITY POPULATION PROJECTIONS Morehead City Corporate Area Morehead City Planning Jurisdiction Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 21 Floodplain Management Plan 4 HAZARD IDENTIFICATION This section describes the Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment process for the development of the Town of Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan. It describes how the Town met the following requirements from the 10-step planning process: • Planning Step 4: Assess the Hazard • Planning Step 5: Assess the Problem As defined by FEMA, risk is a combination of hazard, vulnerability, and exposure. “It is the impact that a hazard would have on people, services, facilities, and structures in a community and refers to the likelihood of a hazard event resulting in an adverse condition that causes injury or damage.” This flood risk assessment covers the entire geographical area of the Town of Morehead City. The risk assessment process identifies and profiles relevant hazards and assesses the exposure of lives, property, and infrastructure to these hazards. The process allows for a better understanding of a jurisdiction‘s potential risk to natural hazards and provides a framework for developing and prioritizing mitigation actions to reduce risk from future hazard events. This risk assessment followed the methodology described in the FEMA publication Understanding Your Risks—Identifying Hazards and Estimating Losses (FEMA 386-2, 2002), which breaks the assessment down to a four-step process: Data collected through this process has been incorporated into the following sections of this chapter:  Section 4: Hazard Identification identifies the natural flood hazards that threaten the planning area.  Section 5: Hazard Profiles discusses the threat to the planning area and describes previous occurrences of flood hazard events and the likelihood of future occurrences.  Section 6: Vulnerability Assessment assesses the planning area’s exposure to natural flood hazards; considering assets at risk, critical facilities, and future development trends.  Section 7: Capability Assessment inventories existing mitigation activities and policies, regulations, and plans that pertain to mitigation and can affect net vulnerability. The Town of Morehead City’s FMPC conducted a hazard identification study to determine the natural flood hazards that threaten the planning area. 4.1 RESULTS AND METHODOLOGY Using existing flood hazard data and input gained through planning meetings, the FMPC agreed upon a list of natural flood hazards that could affect the Town. Flood hazard data from the Pamlico Sound Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan, the North Carolina Division of Emergency Management (NCEM), FEMA, the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), and other sources were examined to assess 1. Identify Hazards 2. Profile Hazard Events 3. Inventory Assets 4. Estimate Losses Requirement §201.6(c)(2): [The plan shall include] A risk assessment that provides the factual basis for activities proposed in the strategy to reduce losses from identified hazards. Local risk assessments must provide sufficient information to enable the jurisdiction to identify and prioritize appropriate mitigation actions to reduce losses from identified hazards. Requirement §201.6(c)(2)(i): [The risk assessment shall include a] description of the type…of all natural hazards that can affect the jurisdiction. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 22 Floodplain Management Plan the significance of these hazards to the planning area. Significance was measured in general terms and focused on key criteria such as frequency and resulting damage, which includes deaths and injuries, as well as property and economic damage. The flood hazards identified in Table 4.1 were evaluated as part of this plan. Only the more significant hazards with the potential to cause significant human and/or monetary losses in the future have a more detailed hazard profile and are analyzed further in Section 6 Vulnerability Assessment. Table 4.1 – Summary of Flood Hazard Evaluation Flood Hazard Included in 2013 State Plan? Included in Pamlico Sound Regional HMP? Identified as a Significant Hazard to be included in the Morehead City FMP? Flood: 100-/500-year Yes Yes Yes Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding No No Yes Coastal/Stream Bank Erosion No Yes Yes Dam/Levee Failure Yes Yes Yes Hurricane/Tropical Storm Yes Yes Yes 4.2 DISASTER DECLARATION HISTORY The FMPC researched past events that resulted in a federal and/or state emergency or disaster declaration in the planning area for Morehead City in order to identify known flood hazards. Federal and/or state disaster declarations may be granted when the Governor certifies that the combined local, county and state resources are insufficient and that the situation is beyond their recovery capabilities. When the local government‘s capacity has been surpassed, a state disaster declaration may be issued, allowing for the provision of state assistance. If the disaster is so severe that both the local and state government capacities are exceeded, a federal emergency or disaster declaration may be issued allowing for the provision of federal assistance. Table 4.2 displays flood-related major disaster declarations that included Carteret County as a designated area. This table reflects the vulnerability and historic patterns of flood hazards for the County. Table 4.2 – FEMA Major Disaster Declarations including Carteret County, 1966 – 2016 Hazard Type Disaster # Date Hurricane Matthew DR-4285 October 10, 2016 Hurricane Irene DR-4019 August 31, 2011 Hurricane Ophelia DR-1608 October 7, 2005 Hurricane Isabel DR-1490 September 18, 2003 Hurricane Floyd & Irene DR-1292 September 16, 1999 Hurricane Dennis DR-1291 September 9, 1999 Hurricane Bonnie DR-1240 August 27, 1998 Hurricane Fran DR-1134 September 6, 1996 Hurricane Bertha DR-1127 July 18, 1996 Source: FEMA (https://www.fema.gov/disasters) Note: The date column indicates the date of the disaster declaration, which may not coincide with the actual date of the event. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 23 Floodplain Management Plan 5 HAZARD PROFILES The hazards identified in Section 4 Hazard Identification, are profiled individually in this section. Information provided by members of the FMPC has been integrated into this section with information from other data sources. Each hazard is profiled in the following format: Hazard Description This section provides a description of the hazard followed by details specific to the Morehead City planning area. Where available, this section also includes information on the hazard extent, seasonal patterns, speed of onset/duration, magnitude and any secondary effects. Past Occurrences This section contains information on historical events, including the extent or location of the hazard within or near the Morehead City planning area. Probability of Future Occurrence This section gauges the likelihood of future occurrences based on past events and existing data. The frequency is determined by dividing the number of events observed by the number of years on record and multiplying by 100. This provides the percent chance of the event happening in any given year (e.g. 10 hurricanes or tropical storms over a 30-year period equates to a 33 percent chance of experiencing a hurricane or tropical storm in any given year). The likelihood of future occurrences is categorized into one of the classifications as follows: • Highly Likely – Near 100 percent chance of occurrence within the next year • Likely – Between 10 and 100 percent chance of occurrence within the next year (recurrence interval of 10 years or less) • Possible – Between 1 and 10 percent chance of occurrence within the next year (recurrence interval of 11 to 100 years) • Unlikely – Less than 1 percent chance or occurrence within the next 100 years (recurrence interval of greater than every 100 years) Those hazards determined to be of high or medium significance were characterized as priority hazards that required further evaluation in Section 6 Vulnerability Assessment. Significance was determined by frequency of the hazard and resulting damage, including deaths/injuries and property, crop and economic damage. Hazards occurring infrequently or having little to no impact on the Morehead City planning area were determined to be of low significance and not considered a priority hazard. These criteria allowed the FMPC to prioritize hazards of greatest significance and focus resources where they are most needed. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration‘s National Center for Environmental Information (NCEI) has been tracking various types of severe weather since 1950. Their Storm Events Database contains an archive of destructive storm or weather data and information which includes local, intense and damaging events. NCEI receives storm data from the National Weather Service (NWS). The NWS receives their information from a variety of sources, which include but are not limited to: county, state Requirement §201.6(c)(2)(i): [The risk assessment shall include a] description of the…location and extent of all natural hazards that can affect the jurisdiction. The plan shall include information on previous occurrences of hazard events and on the probability of future hazard events. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 24 Floodplain Management Plan and federal emergency management officials, local law enforcement officials, SkyWarn spotters, NWS damage surveys, newspaper clipping services, the insurance industry and the general public, among others. This database contains 34 flood related severe weather events that occurred in Carteret County between January 1950 and November 2014. Table 5.1 summarizes these events. Table 5.1 – NCEI Severe Weather Reports for Carteret County, January 1996 – November 2016 Type # of Events Property Damage Crop Damage Deaths Injuries Coastal Flood 9 $1,000 $0 0 0 Flash Flood 16 $10,000 $0 0 0 Flood 16 $5,000 $0 0 0 Heavy Rain 5 $25,000 $0 0 0 Hurricane/Typhoon 11 $322,175,000 $13,050,000 0 5 Storm Surge/Tide 5 $25,000,000 $0 0 0 Tropical Storm 13 $6,362,000 $3,700,000 0 0 Total: 74 $353,578,000 $16,750,000 0 5 Source: National Center for Environmental Information Events Database, October 2016 Note: Losses reflect totals for all impacted areas within Carteret County. The following subsections provide profiles of the natural flood hazards that the FMPC identified in Table 4.1 Summary of Flood Hazard Evaluation. 5.1 CLIMATE CHANGE AND SEA LEVEL RISE Hazard Description Climate change refers to a change in the state of the climate that can be identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties, and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer. Climate change may be due to natural internal processes or external forces such as modulations of the solar cycles, volcanic eruptions, and persistent anthropogenic changes in the composition of the atmosphere or in land use (IPCC, 2014). Climate change is a natural occurrence in which the earth has warmed and cooled periodically over geologic time. The recent and rapid warming of the earth over the past century has been cause for concern, as this warming is due to the accumulation of human-caused greenhouse gases, such as CO2, in the atmosphere (IPCC, 2007). This warming is occurring almost everywhere in the world which suggests a global cause rather than changes in localized weather patterns. Due to sea-level rise projected throughout the 21st century and beyond, coastal systems and low-lying areas will increasingly experience adverse impacts such as submergence, coastal flooding, and coastal erosion. The population and assets projected to be exposed to coastal risks as well as human pressures on coastal ecosystems will increase significantly in the coming decades due to population growth, economic development, and urbanization (IPCC, 2014). It can reasonably be assumed that the following climate risks could impact the Morehead City planning area: 1) increasing temperatures; 2) increasing frequency and strength of severe weather events; 3) more heavy rain/flooding; and 4) more frequent and prolonged drought. A discussion of the effect of these climate risks on the individual hazards profiled in this plan has been included in the “Frequency/Likelihood of Future Occurrence” subsection for each flood hazard as applicable. Past Occurrences There are generally two separate mechanics involved in global sea level rise. The first is directly attributed to global temperature increases, which warm the oceans waters and cause them to expand. The second is attributed to the melting of ice over land which simply adds water to the oceans. Global sea level rise Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 25 Floodplain Management Plan is likely caused by a combination of these two mechanics and can be exasperated on the local level by factors such as erosion and subsidence. The rate of sea level rise has varied throughout geologic history, and studies have shown that global temperature and sea level are strongly correlated. Historic trends in local MSL are best determined from tide gauge records. The Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services (CO-OPS) has been measuring sea level for over 150 years, with tide stations operating on all U.S. coasts. Changes in Mean Sea Level (MSL), either a sea level rise or sea level fall, have been computed at 128 long-term water level stations using a minimum span of 30 years of observations at each location. These measurements have been averaged by month to remove the effect of higher frequency phenomena (e.g. storm surge) in order to compute an accurate linear sea level trend. Figure 5.1 illustrates regional trends in sea level from NOAA. At the Beaufort, NC station (indicated by the green arrow), the mean sea level trend is 2.89 mm/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.36 mm/year based on monthly mean sea level data from 1953 to 2015 which is equivalent to a change of 0.95 feet in 100 years. Source: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.shtml Figure 5.1 – Gulf/Atlantic Coast Sea Level Trends Figure 5.2 shows the monthly mean sea level at NOAA’s Beaufort, NC station without the regular seasonal fluctuations due to coastal ocean temperatures, salinities, winds, atmospheric pressures, and ocean currents. The long-term linear trend is also shown, including its 95% confidence interval. The plotted values are relative to the most recent Mean Sea Level datum established by CO-OPS. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 26 Floodplain Management Plan As more data are collected at water level stations, the linear mean sea level trends can be recalculated each year. Figure 5.3 compares linear mean sea level trends and 95% confidence intervals calculated from the beginning of the Beaufort, NC station record to recent years. The values do not indicate the trend in each year, but the trend of the entire data period up to that year. Since 1901, the average surface temperature across the contiguous 48 states has risen at an average rate of 0.14°F per decade. Average temperatures have risen more quickly since the late 1970s (0.29 to 0.46°F per decade since 1979). Eight of the top 10 warmest years on record for the contiguous 48 states have occurred since 1998, and 2012 and 2015 were the two warmest years on record. Worldwide, 2015 was the warmest year on record and 2006–2015 was the warmest decade on record since thermometer-based observations began. Global average surface temperature has risen at an average rate of 0.15°F per decade since 1901, similar to the rate of warming within the contiguous 48 states. Since the late 1970s, however, the United States has warmed faster than the global rate. Source: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.shtml Figure 5.2 – Mean Sea Level Trend for Beaufort, NC Source: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.shtml Figure 5.3 – Previous Mean Sea Level Trends for Beaufort, NC Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 27 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 5.4, based on data from NOAA and prepared by the EPA, shows how annual average air temperatures have changed in different parts of the United States since 1901. Figure 5.4 – Temperature Change in the United States, 1901-2015 According to the 2014 National Climate Assessment, average annual precipitation in the U.S. has increased by 5% since 1900. However, there is significant regional variability in these changes. The sout heastern U.S. has experienced changes in the frequency and intensity of rainfall, with a 27% increase in very heavy precipitation events. Recent increases in hurricane frequency and intensity have also been recorded as a result of increased sea surface temperature. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 28 Floodplain Management Plan Probability of Future Occurrence Highly Likely – Under current climate change models, changes in global temperatures, hydrologic cycles, and storm frequency and intensity are expected to continue. Current science projects that the southeastern United States could experience a general increase in average temperatures anywhere from 4.5°F to 9°F in the coming century (Karl et al, 111). With continued high emissions, annual maximum precipitation and consecutive dry days are expected to increase in the southeastern U.S. in 2070-2099 compared to 1971-2000, as shown in Figure 5.55. Drought is also expected to increase over most of the southern U.S. Heavy rain events are expected to increase, to the average annual precipitation may remain constant. However, rainfall may also increase as a result of increased hurricane activity. The overall number of hurricanes is projected to decline slightly, but the number of strong storms (Category 4 and 5) is expected to increase. Additionally, hurricane precipitation rates are expected to increase by up to 20%. The combination of higher temperatures and increased incidence of drought along with increased heavy precipitation events suggests that the likelihood of flood events may increase as a result of climate change. Source: National Climate Assessment, 2014 Figure 5.5 – Precipitation Change Projections for 2070-2099 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 29 Floodplain Management Plan 5.2 DAM/LEVEE FAILURE Hazard Description Dam Failure A dam is a barrier constructed across a watercourse that stores, controls, or diverts water. Dams are usually constructed of earth, rock, or concrete. The water impounded behind a dam is referred to as the reservoir and is measured in acre-feet. One acre-foot is the volume of water that covers one acre of land to a depth of one foot. Dams can benefit farm land, provide recreation areas, generate electrical power, and help control erosion and flooding issues. A dam failure is the collapse or breach of a dam that causes downstream flooding. Dam failures may be caused by natural events, human-caused events, or a combination. Due to the lack of advance warning, failures resulting from natural events, such as hurricanes, earthquakes, or landslides, may be particularly severe. Prolonged rainfall and subsequent flooding is the most common cause of dam failure. Dam failures usually occur when the spillway capacity is inadequate and water overtops the dam or wh en internal erosion in dam foundation occurs (also known as piping). If internal erosion or overtopping cause a full structural breach, a high-velocity, debris-laden wall of water is released and rushes downstream, damaging or destroying anything in its path. Overtopping is the primary cause of earthen dam failure in the United States. Dam failures can result from any one or a combination of the following:  Prolonged periods of rainfall and flooding;  Inadequate spillway capacity, resulting in excess overtopping flows;  Internal erosion caused by embankment or foundation leakage or piping;  Improper maintenance, including failure to remove trees, repair internal seepage problems, replace lost material from the cross-section of the dam and abutments, or maintain gates, valves, and other operational components;  Improper design, including the use of improper construction materials and construction practices;  Negligent operation, including the failure to remove or open gates or valves during high flow periods;  Failure of upstream dams on the same waterway; and  High winds, which can cause significant wave action and result in substantial erosion. Water released by a failed dam generates tremendous energy and can cause a flood that is catastrophic to life and property. A catastrophic dam failure could challenge local response capabilities and require evacuations to save lives. Impacts to life safety will depend on the warning time and the resources available to notify and evacuate the public. Major casualties and loss of life could result, as well as water quality and health issues. Potentially catastrophic effects to roads, bridges, and homes are also of major concern. Associated water quality and health concerns could also be issues. Factors that influence the potential severity of a full or partial dam failure are the amount of water impounded; the density, type, and value of development and infrastructure located downstream; and the speed of failure. Each state has definitions and methods to determine the Hazard Potential of a dam . In North Carolina, dams are regulated by the state if they are 25 feet or more in height and impound 50 acre -feet or more. Dams and impoundments smaller than that may fall under state regulation if it is determined that failure of the dam could result in loss of human life or significant damage to property below the dam. The height of a dam is from the highest point on the crest of the dam to the lowest point on the downstream toe, Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 30 Floodplain Management Plan and the storage capacity is the volume impounded at the elevation of the highest point on the crest of the dam. Dam Safety Program engineers determine the "hazard potential" of a dam, meaning the probable damage that would occur if the structure failed, in terms of loss of human life and economic loss or environmental damage. Dams are assigned one of three classes based on the nature of their hazard potential: 1. Class A (Low Hazard) includes dams located where failure may damage uninhabited low value non-residential buildings, agricultural land, or low volume roads. 2. Class B (Intermediate Hazard) includes dams located where failure may damage highways or secondary railroads, cause interruption of use or service of public utilities, cause minor damage to isolated homes, or cause minor damage to commercial and industrial buildings. Damage to these structures will be considered minor only when they are located in backwater areas not subjected to the direct path of the breach flood wave; and they will experience no more than 1.5 feet of flood rise due to breaching above the lowest ground elevation adjacent to the outside foundation walls or no more than 1.5 feet of flood rise due to breaching above the lowest floor elevation of the structure. 3. Class C (High Hazard) includes dams located where failure will likely cause loss of life or serious damage to homes, industrial and commercial buildings, important public utilities, primary highways, or major railroads. Table 5.2 – Dam Hazards Classification Hazard Classification Description Quantitative Guidelines Low Interruption of road service, low volume roads Less than 25 vehicles per day Economic damage Less than $30,000 Intermediate Damage to highways, interruption of service 25 to less than 250 vehicles per day Economic damage $30,000 to less than $200,000 Loss of human life* Probable loss of 1 or more human lives High Economic damage More than $200,000 *Probable loss of human life due to breached roadway or bridge on or below the dam 250 or more vehicles per day Source: NCDENR Table 5.3 provides details for one dam included in the North Carolina Dam Inventory that is located within Carteret County and has the potential to affect the Town if a breach were to occur. The dam is classified as high hazard and is privately owned. Error! Reference source not found. on the following page reflects the location of the dam within the County. Table 5.3 – North Carolina Dam Inventory for Carteret County, NC Dam Name NIDID Owner Height (Ft.) NID Storage (acre-feet) Hazard Description Primary Purpose River Walker Millpond Dam NC01106 Private 15 806 High Recreation Black Creek Source: North Carolina Dam Inventory, November 2016; National Inventory of Dams Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 31 Floodplain Management Plan Source: National Inventory of Dams, March 2017 Figure 5.6 – North Carolina Dam Inventory for Town of Morehead City, NC Levee Failure FEMA defines a levee as “a man-made structure, usually an earthen embankment, designed and constructed in accordance with sound engineering practices to contain, control, or divert the flow of water in order to reduce the risk from temporary flooding.” Levee systems consist of levees, floodwalls, and associated structures, such as closure and drainage devices, which are constructed and operated in accordance with sound engineering practices. Levees often have “interior drainage” systems that work in conjunction with the levees to take water from the landward side to the water side. An interior drainage system may include culverts, canals, ditches, storm sewers, and/or pumps. Levees and floodwalls are constructed from the earth, compacted soil or artificial materials, such as concrete or steel. To protect against erosion and scouring, earthen levees can be covered with grass and gravel or hard surfaces like stone, asphalt, or concrete. Levees and floodwalls are typically built parallel to a waterway, most often a river, in order to reduce the risk of flooding to the area behind it. Figure 5.7 below shows the components of a typical levee. Walker Millpond Dam Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 32 Floodplain Management Plan Source: FEMA, What is a Levee Fact Sheet, August 2011 Figure 5.7 – Components of a Typical Levee Levees provide strong flood protection, but they are not failsafe. Levees are designed to protect against a specific flood level and could be overtopped during severe weather events. Levees re duce, not eliminate, the risk to individuals and structures behind them. A levee system failure or overtopping can create severe flooding and high water velocities. It is important to remember that no levee provides protection from events for which it was not designed, and proper operation and maintenance are necessary to reduce the probability of failure. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers National Levee Database (NLD) does not identify any levees within Carteret County or the Town of Morehead City planning area. Past Occurrences There are no past reported dam breaches or levee failures within the Town of Morehead City. Probability of Future Occurrence Unlikely – There is one high hazard dam within Carteret County that could impact the Town. A flooding hazard from future dam failure is unlikely. There are no significant levees located within the County. Climate Change and Dam Failure Studies have been conducted to investigate the impact of climate change scenarios on dam safety. Dam failure is already tied to flooding and the increased pressure flooding places on dams. Climate change impacts on dam failure will most likely be those related to changes in precipitation and flood likelihood. Climate change projections suggest that precipitation may increase and occur in more extreme events, which may increase risk of flooding, putting stress on dams and increasing likelihood of dam failure. T he safety of dams for the future climate can be based on an evaluation of changes in design floods and the freeboard available to accommodate an increase in flood levels. The results from the studies indicate that the design floods with the corresponding outflow floods and flood water levels will increase in the future, and this increase will affect the safety of the dams in the future. Studies concluded that the total hydrological failure probability of a dam will increase in the future climate and that the extent and depth of flood waters will increase by the future dam break scenario (Chernet, 2013). Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 33 Floodplain Management Plan 5.3 FLOOD: 100-/500-YEAR Hazard Description Flooding is defined by the rising and overflowing of a body of water onto normally dry land. As defined by FEMA, a flood is a general and temporary condition of partial or complete inundation of 2 or more acres of normally dry land area or of 2 or more properties. Flooding can result from an overflow of inland waters or an unusual accumulation or runoff of surface waters from any source. Certain health hazards are also common to flood events. While such problems are often not reported, three general types of health hazards accompany floods. The first comes from the water itself. Floodwaters carry anything that was on the ground that the upstream runoff picked up, including dirt, oil, animal waste, and lawn, farm and industrial chemicals. Pastures and areas where farm animals are kept or their wastes are stored can contribute polluted waters to the receiving streams. Floodwaters also saturate the ground, which leads to infiltration into sanitary sewer lines. When wastewater treatment plants are flooded, there is nowhere for the sewage to flow. Infiltration and lack of treatment can lead to overloaded sewer lines that can back up into low -lying areas and homes. Even when it is diluted by flood waters, raw sewage can be a breeding ground for bacteria such as e.coli and other disease causing agents. The second type of health problem arises after most of the water has gone. Stagnant pools can become breeding grounds for mosquitoes, and wet areas of a building that have not been properly cleaned breed mold and mildew. A building that is not thoroughly cleaned becomes a health hazard, especially for small children and the elderly. Another health hazard occurs when heating ducts in a forced air system are not properly cleaned after inundation. When the furnace or air conditioner is turned on, the sediments left in the ducts are circulated throughout the building and breathed in by the occupants. If the Town water system loses pressure, a boil order may be issued to protect people and animals from contaminated water. The third problem is the long-term psychological impact of having been through a flood and seeing one‘s home damaged and personal belongings destroyed. The cost and labor needed to repair a flood-damaged home puts a severe strain on people, especially the unprepared and uninsured. There is also a long-term problem for those who know that their homes can be flooded again. The resulting stress on floodplain residents takes its toll in the form of aggravated physical and mental health problems. Sources and Types of Flooding Flooding within the Town of Morehead City can be attributed to three main sources as noted below. Flooding primarily occurs along the waterfronts of Bogue Sound, the Newport River, Calico Creek, and Dill Creek. Coastal Tidal Flooding: All lands bordering the coast along Bogue Sound are prone to tidal affects/flooding. Coastal land such as sand bars, barrier islands and deltas provi de a buffer zone to help protect human life and real property relative to the sea much as flood plains provide a buffer zone along rivers and other bodies of water. Coastal floods usually occur as a result of abnormally high tides or tidal waves, storm surge and heavy rains in combination with high tides, tropical storms and hurricanes. Riverine Flooding: The Town of Morehead City has numerous streams and tributaries running throughout its jurisdiction that are susceptible to overflowing their banks during and following excessive precipitation events. While flash flooding caused by surface water runoff is not uncommon in Morehead City, riverine flood events (such as the “100-year flood”) will cause significantly more damage and economic disruption Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 34 Floodplain Management Plan for the area. Morehead City’s floodplain maps are currently being updated by FEMA. This plan examines both the effective and the preliminary FIRMs. Flash or Rapid Flooding: Flash flooding is the result of heavy, localized rainfall, possibly from slow-moving intense thunderstorms that cause small streams and drainage systems to overflow. Flash flood hazards caused by surface water runoff are most common in urbanized cities, where greater population density generally equates to more impervious surface (e.g., pavement and buildings) which increases the amount of surface water generated. Flooding can occur when the capacity of the stormwater system is exceeded or if conveyance is obstructed by debris, sediment and other materials that limit the volume of drainage. Flooding and Floodplains In the case of riverine flooding, the area adjacent to a channel is the floodplain, as shown in Figure 5.8. A floodplain is flat or nearly flat land adjacent to a stream or river that experiences occasional or periodic flooding. It includes the floodway, which consists of the stream channel and adjacent areas that carry flood flows, and the flood fringe, which are areas covered by the flood, but which do not experience a strong current. Floodplains are made when floodwaters exceed the capacity of the main channel or escape the channel by eroding its banks. When this occurs, sediments (including rocks and debris) are deposited that gradually build up over time to create the floor of the floodplain. Floodplains generally contain unconsolidated sediments, often extending below the bed of the stream. Figure 5.8 – Characteristics of a Floodplain In coastal areas, flooding occurs due to high tides, tidal waves, storm surge, or heavy rains in combination with these other sources. In these areas, flood hazards typically include the added risk of wave action delineated by the VE Zone and Coastal A Zone. Wave height and intensity decreases as floodwaters move inland. Figure 5.9 shows the typical coastal floodplain and the breakdown of flood zones in these settings. These flood zones are discussed further in Table 5.4. Source: FEMA Figure 5.9 – Characteristics of a Coastal Floodplain Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 35 Floodplain Management Plan In its common usage, the floodplain most often refers to that area that is inundated by the “100-year flood,” which is the flood that has a 1% chance in any given year of being equaled or exceeded. The 500- year flood is the flood that has a 0.2 percent chance of being equaled or exceeded in any given year. The potential for flooding can change and increase through various land use changes and changes to land surface, which result in a change to the floodplain. A change in environment can create localized flooding problems inside and outside of natural floodplains by altering or confining natural drainage channels. These changes are most often created by human activity. The 100-year flood, which is the minimum standard used by most federal and state agencies, is used by the NFIP as the standard for floodplain management and to determine the need for flood insurance. Participation in the NFIP requires adoption and enforcement of a local floodplain management ordinance which is intended to prevent unsafe development in the floodplain, thereby reducing future flood damages. Participation in the NFIP allows for the federal government to make flood insurance available within the community as a financial protection against flood losses. Since floods have an annual probability of occurrence, have a known magnitude, depth and velocity for each event, and in most cases, have a map indicating where they will occur, they are in many ways often the most predictable and manageable hazard. Regulated floodplains are illustrated on inundation maps called Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMs). It is the official map for a community on which FEMA has delineated both the SFHAs and the risk premium zones applicable to the community. SFHAs represent the areas subject to inundation by the 100-year flood event. Structures located within the SFHA have a 26-percent chance of flooding during the life of a standard 30-year mortgage. Flood prone areas were identified within the Town of Morehead City using both the effective FIRMs and the preliminary FIRMs that are still under review. Table 5.4 summarizes the flood insurance zones identified by the DFIRMs. Table 5.4 – Mapped Flood Insurance Zones within Morehead City, NC Zone Description VE Also known as the coastal high hazard areas. They are areas subject to high velocity water including waves; they are defined by the 1% annual chance (base) flood limits (also known as the 100-year flood) and wave effects 3 feet or greater. The hazard zone is mapped with base flood elevations (BFEs) that reflect the combined influence of stillwater flood elevations, primary frontal dunes, and wave effects 3 feet or greater. AE AE Zones, also within the 100-year flood limits, are defined with BFEs that reflect the combined influence of stillwater flood elevations and wave effects less than 3 feet. The AE Zone generally extends from the landward VE zone limit to the limits of the 100-year flood from coastal sources, or until it reaches the confluence with riverine flood sources. The AE Zones also depict the SFHA due to riverine flood sources, but instead of being subdivided into separate zones of differing BFEs with possible wave effects added, they represent the flood profile determined by hydrologic and hydraulic investigations and have no wave effects. The Coastal AE Zone is differentiated from the AE Zone by the Limit of Moderate Wave Action (LiMWA), and includes areas susceptible to wave action between 1.5 to 3 feet. 0.2% Annual Chance (shaded Zone X) Moderate risk areas within the 0.2-percent-annual-chance floodplain, areas of 1-percent-annual-chance flooding where average depths are less than 1 foot, areas of 1-percent-annual-chance flooding where the contributing drainage area is less than 1 square mile, and areas protected from the 1-percent-annual- chance flood by a levee. No BFEs or base flood depths are shown within these zones. (Zone X (shaded) is used on new and revised maps in place of Zone B.) Zone X (unshaded) Minimal risk areas outside the 1-percent and .2-percent-annual-chance floodplains. No BFEs or base flood depths are shown within these zones. Zone X (unshaded) is used on new and revised maps in place of Zone C. Figure 5.10 and Figure 5.11 reflect the effective and preliminary mapped flood insurance zones, respectively, for the Town of Morehead City. Approximately 57% of the Morehead City corporate limits Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 36 Floodplain Management Plan falls within the 100-year floodplain in the preliminary FIRMs, up from 49% in the effective FIRM. Table 5.5 summarizes acreage of land area and water area by flood zone on the effective and preliminary maps. Table 5.5 – Flood Zone Acreage in Morehead City, Effective and Preliminary Jurisdiction Flood Zone Acreage Zone AE (100-year) Zone VE (100-year) Zone X Shaded (500-year) Zone X Unshaded Total Town of Morehead City (land only) (Effective 7/2/04) 4,180.07 25.64 511.66 6,886.91 11,604.28 Water Area 1,726.27 179.36 -- -- -- Town of Morehead City (land only) (Preliminary 6/30/16) 3,995.04 1,029.80 824.94 5,755.17 11,604.95 Water Area 561.71 1,345.83 -- -- -- Note: The discrepancy in total land area is due to rounding errors. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 37 Floodplain Management Plan February 2017 Figure 5.10 – Morehead City Effective DFIRM Flood Zones Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 38 Floodplain Management Plan February 2017 Figure 5.11 – Morehead City Preliminary DFIRM Flood Zones Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 39 Floodplain Management Plan The NFIP utilizes the 100-year flood as a basis for floodplain management. The Flood Insurance Study (FIS) defines the probability of flooding as flood events of a magnitude which are expected to be equaled or exceeded once on the average during any 100 year period (recurrence intervals). Or considered another way, properties within a 100-year flood zone have a one percent probability of being equaled or exceeded during any given year. Mortgage lenders require that owners of properties with federally- backed mortgages located within SFHAs purchase and maintain flood insurance policies on their properties. Consequently, newer and recently purchased properties in the community are typically insured against flooding. Past Occurrences Table 5.6 shows detail for flood events reported by the NCEI since 1996 for Carteret County. Table 5.6 – NCEI Flooding in Carteret County – January 1996 to November 2016 Location Date Event Type Injuries /Deaths Property Damage Crop Damage CARTERET (ZONE) 11/21/2006 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 5/7/2007 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 11/2/2007 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 9/24/2008 Coastal Flood 0/0 $1,000 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 9/25/2008 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 11/12/2009 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 11/14/2009 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 9/27/2015 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 10/3/2015 Coastal Flood 0/0 $0 $0 EMERALD ISLE 10/8/1996 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 5/5/1998 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 8/30/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 COUNTYWIDE 9/15/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 COUNTYWIDE 9/16/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 COUNTYWIDE 10/17/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 MOREHEAD CITY 7/27/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 MOREHEAD CITY 8/28/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 SALTER PATH 8/28/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 9/1/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 WEST CENTRAL PORTION 10/11/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 8/23/2003 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 9/18/2003 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 MOREHEAD CITY 6/30/2004 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 EAST PORTION 8/3/2004 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CAPE CARTERET 9/30/2010 Flash Flood 0/0 $10,000 $0 CARTERET (ZONE) 10/8/2005 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 BEAUFORT 9/9/2007 Flood 0/0 $5,000 $0 NEWPORT 11/12/2009 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 PELETIER 11/12/2009 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CAPE CARTERET 11/19/2009 Flood 0/0 $0 $50M TRUTTNEYS LNDG 11/19/2009 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CAPE CARTERET 9/29/2010 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 BEAUFORT 7/21/2014 Flood 0/0 $1.2M $0 BEAUFORT 7/24/2014 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 40 Floodplain Management Plan Location Date Event Type Injuries /Deaths Property Damage Crop Damage EDGEWATER 7/24/2014 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CAMP GLENN 7/23/2015 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 BEAUFORT 7/23/2015 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 ATLANTIC BEACH 7/23/2015 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CAMP GLENN 7/23/2015 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 ATLANTIC BEACH 9/27/2015 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CEDAR PT BEACH 11/19/2015 Flood 0/0 $0 $0 MOREHEAD CITY 9/3/1998 Heavy Rain 0/0 $0 $0 CORE CREEK 9/9/2007 Heavy Rain 0/0 $0 $0 CEDAR PT 9/27/2010 Heavy Rain 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 5/30/2012 Heavy Rain 0/0 $0 $0 CAMP GLENN 5/30/2012 Heavy Rain 0/0 $0 $0 Source: NCEI, February 2017 The following provides details on select flood events recorded in the NCEI database. These scenarios represent the types of flood events that can be expected in the future in the Town of Morehead City. May 5, 1998 – A slow moving cold front and a nearly stationary low pressure aloft combined to produce severe weather and heavy rains across east central North Carolina. In terms of flash flooding, the hardest hit areas were western Carteret, southern Craven and Pamlico counties, where widespread poor drainage flooding and deep ponding of water on roads occurred. Havelock recorded 6.00" of rain, Newport 5.10", and Cherry Point 4.07". July 27, 2002 – Up to 4-5 inches of rain fall over Morehead City in a 3 hour time period. This caused flooding of many major roads in Morehead City and Atlantic Beach. Numerous vehicles were flooded and abandoned. July 24, 2014 – The combination of a cold front approaching from the west and the sea breeze led to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms during the afternoon of July 24th across eastern North Carolina. Heavy rain led to flooding along Highway 70 just west of Morehead City. One car drove into a flooded ditch and stalled in water up to 3 feet deep. November 19, 2015 – Deep moisture ahead of an approaching cold front resulted in flooding rainfall across southern portions of Eastern NC primarily in Carteret County where 4-8 inches of rainfall occurred in a short period of time in the afternoon. This resulted in flooding of many roads across the county with 2-3 feet of water in some locations. In Morehead City, 15th Street and Bridges Street were blocked and flooded, and John Platt Drive and Penny Lane was flooded. Probability of Future Occurrence Possible – By definition of the 100-year flood event, SFHAs are defined as those areas that will be inundated by the flood event having a 1-percent chance of being equaled or exceeded in any given year. Properties located in these areas have a 26 percent chance of flooding over the life of a 30-year mortgage. Climate Change and Flooding It is likely (66-100% probability) that the frequency of heavy precipitation or the proportion of total rainfall from heavy falls will increase in the 21st century across the globe. More specifically, it is “very likely” (90- 100% probability) that most areas of the United States will exhibit an increase of at least 5% in the maximum 5-day precipitation by late 21st century. The mean change in the annual number of days with rainfall over 1 inch for the Southeastern United States is 0.5 to 1.5 days. As the number of heavy rain events increase, more flooding and pooling water can be expected (Romero-Lankao, et.al 2014). Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 41 Floodplain Management Plan 5.4 FLOOD: STORMWATER/LOCALIZED FLOODING Hazard Description Localized stormwater flooding can also occur throughout the Town of Morehead City. Localized stormwater flooding occurs when heavy rainfall and an accumulation of runoff overburden the stormwater drainage system. The cause of localized stormwater flooding in Morehead City can be attributed to its generally flat topography, abundance of water features, and the large amount of developed and impervious land, which limits ground absorption and increases surface water runoff. The areas of localized flooding are listed below in Table 5.7. Table 5.7 – Areas of Localized Flooding Area Street Name or Intersection Type of Flooding 1 Portion of Hwy 70 near McCabe Road Heavy Rain 2 Lowes Home Improvement Entrance on Hwy 70 Heavy Rain 3 Taylor Street Area Heavy Rain 4 Waldron Drive Area Heavy Rain 5 Portion of Country Club Road Heavy Rain 6 Joslyn Drive between Jersey St and Anne Neal Rd Heavy Rain 7 N 20th Street Near Blair Farm Parkway Heavy Rain 8 Shep Willis Road Heavy Rain 9 Portion of South Yaupon Terrace Tidal 10 Bridges Street between N 14th and N 15th Street Heavy Rain 11 South 15th Street Street End Tidal or Heavy Rain 12 Shepard St between S 8th and S 10th Street Tidal or Heavy Rain 13 Bay St and N 9th Street Area Tidal 14 Street End Area on Bay at N 6th and N 7th Street Tidal Localized flooding may be caused by the following issues: Inadequate Capacity – An undersized/under capacity pipe system can cause water to back-up behind a structure which can lead to areas of ponded water and/or overtopping of banks. Clogged Inlets – Debris covering the asphalt apron and the top of grate at catch basin inlets may contribute to an inadequate flow of stormwater into the system. Debris within the basin itself may also reduce the efficiency of the system by reducing the carrying capacity. Blocked Drainage Outfalls – Debris blockage or structural damage at drainage outfalls may prevent the system from discharging runoff, which may lead to a back-up of stormwater within the system. Improper Grade – Poorly graded asphalt around catch basin inlets may prevent stormwater from entering the catch basin as designed. Areas of settled asphalt may create low spots within the roadway that allow for areas of ponded water. Figure 5.12 on the following page depicts the areas of localized stormwater flooding identified by the FMPC. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 42 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Town of Morehead City, 2017 Figure 5.12 - Localized Flooding Locations Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 43 Floodplain Management Plan Past Occurrences Table 5.8 shows detail for flash flood events reported by the NCEI since 1996 for Carteret County. Table 5.8 – NCEI Flash Flooding in Carteret County – January 1996 to November 2016 Location Date Event Type Injuries /Deaths Property Damage Crop Damage EMERALD ISLE 10/8/1996 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 5/5/1998 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 8/30/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 COUNTYWIDE 9/15/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 COUNTYWIDE 9/16/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 COUNTYWIDE 10/17/1999 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 MOREHEAD CITY 7/27/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 MOREHEAD CITY 8/28/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 SALTER PATH 8/28/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 9/1/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 WEST CENTRAL PORTION 10/11/2002 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 8/23/2003 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 NEWPORT 9/18/2003 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 MOREHEAD CITY 6/30/2004 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 EAST PORTION 8/3/2004 Flash Flood 0/0 $0 $0 CAPE CARTERET 9/30/2010 Flash Flood 0/0 $10,000 $0 Total 0/0 $10,000 $0 Source: NCEI, February 2017 See Past Occurrences in Section 5.4 Flood: 100-/500-year for detailed descriptions of past stormwater flooding events. Probability of Future Occurrence Highly Likely – Given the 16 flash flood events and 5 heavy rain events recorded in NCEI over a 20 year period, there is a near 100 percent chance of occurrence within the next year. Precipitation resulting from heavy rainstorms, including tropical storms and hurricanes, makes it highly likely that unmitigated properties will continue to experience localized flooding. 5.5 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM Hazard Description A hurricane is a type of tropical cyclone or severe tropical storm that forms in the southern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and in the eastern Pacific Ocean. All Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico coastal areas are subject to hurricanes. The Atlantic hurricane season lasts from June to November, with the peak season from mid-August to late October. While hurricanes pose the greatest threat to life and property, tropical storms and depressions also can be devastating. A tropical disturbance can grow to a more intense stage through an increase in sustained wind speeds. The progression of a tropical disturbance is described below. • Tropical Depression: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 38 mph (33 knots) or less. • Tropical Storm: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph (34 to 63 knots). • Hurricane: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph (64 knots) or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 44 Floodplain Management Plan • Major Hurricane: A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 111 mph (96 knots) or higher, corresponding to a Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale classifies hurricanes by intensity into one of five categories as shown in Table 5.9. This scale estimates potential property damage. Hurricanes reaching Category 3 and higher are considered major hurricanes because of their potential for significant loss of life and damage. Category 1 and 2 storms are still dangerous, however, and require preventative measures. Table 5.9 – Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, 2012 Category Wind Speed (mph) Potential Damage 1 74-95 Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled. Extensive damage to power lines and poles likely will result in power outages that could last a few to several days. 2 96-110 Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near- total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks. 3 111-129 Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes. 4 130-156 Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months. 5 > 157 Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months. Source: National Hurricane Center/NOAA Storm Surge The greatest potential for loss of life related to a hurricane is from the storm surge. Storm surge is water that is pushed toward the shore by the force of the winds swirling around the storm as shown in Figure 5.13. This advancing surge combines with the normal tides to create the hurricane storm tide, which can increase the mean water level to heights impacting roads, homes and other critical infrastructure. In addition, wind driven waves are superimposed on the storm tide. This rise in water level can cause severe flooding in coastal areas, particularly when the storm tide coincides with the normal high tides. The maximum potential storm surge for a particular location depends on a number of different factors. Storm surge is a very complex phenomenon because it is sensitive to the slightest changes in storm intensity, forward speed, size (radius of maximum winds-RMW), angle of approach to the coast, central pressure (minimal contribution in comparison to the wind), and the shape and characteristics of coastal features such as bays and estuaries. Other factors which can impact storm surge are the width and slope of the continental shelf. A shallow slope will potentially produce a greater storm surge than a steep shelf. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 45 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NOAA/The COMET Program Figure 5.13 – Components of Hurricane Storm Surge Storm Surge Mapping The Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model is a computerized numerical model developed by the National Weather Service to estimate storm surge heights resulting from historical, hypothetical, or predicted hurricanes by taking into account the atmospheric pressure, size, forw ard speed, and track data. These parameters are used to create a model of the wind field which drives the storm surge. The SLOSH model consists of a set of physics equations which are applied to a specific locale's shoreline, incorporating the unique bay and river configurations, water depths, bridges, roads, levees and other physical features. The model creates outputs for all different storm simulations from all points of the compass. Each direction has a MEOW (maximum envelope of water) for each category of storm (1- 5), and all directions combined result in a MOMs (maximum of maximums) set of data. Anticipated SLOSH model surge elevations for Category 3 – Category 5 hurricanes are shown for Morehead City in Figure 5.14 through Figure 5.16 on the following pages. Given Morehead City’s coastal location and low elevation, it is very vulnerable to storm surge flooding. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 46 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NOAA/NWS/NHC Storm surge Unit Figure 5.14 – SLOSH Storm Surge Model for a Category 3 Storm Source: NOAA/NWS/NHC Storm surge Unit Figure 5.15 – SLOSH Storm Surge Model for a Category 4 Storm Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 47 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NOAA/NWS/NHC Storm surge Unit Figure 5.16 – SLOSH Storm Surge Model for a Category 5 Storm Past Occurrences Morehead City is vulnerable to flood damage from hurricane rains and storm surge. Morehead City has been exposed to 87 hurricanes/tropical storms including 32 tropical depressions since 1851. (Source: http://csc.noaa.gov/hurricanes). Type and frequency are as follows in Table 5.10. A listing of all hurricanes/tropical storms that came within 50 nautical miles of Morehead City since 1851 is provided on the following pages in Table 5.11. Table 5.10 – Hurricane Type & Frequency Storm Intensity Number of Occurrences Rate of Occurrence Tropical Storm 32 1 in 5.2 years CAT I Hurricane 23 1 in 7.2 years CAT II Hurricane 12 1 in 13.8 years CAT III Hurricane 10 1 in 16.5 years CAT IV Hurricane 9 1 in 18.3 years CAT V Hurricane 1 1 in 165 years TOTAL 87 1 in 1.9 years Figure 5.17 on the following page illustrates past hurricane strike data for land falling major hurricanes over the Town of Morehead City as provided by the National Hurricane Center (http://coast.noaa.gov/hurricanes/#). Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 48 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NOAA/National Hurricane Center Figure 5.17 – Historical Hurricane Tracks (1851-2016) Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 49 Floodplain Management Plan Table 5.11 – Historical Hurricane Tracks Near Morehead City, NC Storm Name Max Saffir-Simpson Date Unnamed 1852 H2 10/06/1852 – 10/11/1852 Unnamed 1856 H3 08/25/1856 – 09/03/1856 Unnamed 1856 TS 08/19/1856 – 08/21/1856 Unnamed 1857 H2 09/06/1857 – 09/18/1857 Unnamed 1861 H1 09/27/1861 – 09/28/1861 Unnamed 1861 H1 11/01/1861 – 11/03/1861 Unnamed 1863 TS 09/16/1863 – 09/19/1863 Unnamed 1876 H3 09/12/1876 – 09/19/1876 Unnamed 1878 H2 10/18/1878 – 10/25/1878 Unnamed 1879 H3 08/13/1879 – 08/20/1879 Unnamed 1880 H1 09/13/1880 – 09/11/1880 Unnamed 1882 TS 09/21/1882 – 09/24/1882 Unnamed 1882 H4 10/05/1882 – 10/15/1882 Unnamed 1885 H2 08/21/1885 – 08/28/1885 Unnamed 1888 H2 10/08/1888 – 10/12/1888 Unnamed 1889 H1 07/15/1889 – 07/20/1889 Unnamed 1893 H4 09/27/1893 – 10/05/1893 Unnamed 1894 H3 09/18/1894 – 10/01/1984 Unnamed 1897 TS 09/20/1897 – 09/25/1897 Unnamed 1899 TS 10/02/1899 – 10/08/1899 Unnamed 1900 TS 10/10/1900 – 10/15/1900 Unnamed 1901 H1 07/04/1901 – 07/13/1901 Unnamed 1901 H1 09/09/1901 – 09/19/1901 Unnamed 1907 TS 06/24/1907 – 06/30/1907 Unnamed 1908 H1 05/24/1908 – 05/31/1908 Unnamed 1908 H1 07/24/1908 – 08/03/1908 Unnamed 1908 TS 08/30/1908 – 19/02/1908 Unnamed 1910 TS 08/23/1910 – 08/29/1910 Unnamed 1910 H4 10/09/1910 – 10/23/1910 Unnamed 1912 TS 06/07/1912 – 06/17/1912 Unnamed 1913 H1 08/30/1913 – 09/04/1913 Unnamed 1918 H1 08/23/1918 – 08/26/1918 Unnamed 1924 H1 09/13/1924 – 09/19/1924 Unnamed 1925 TS 11/27/1925 – 12/05/1925 Unnamed 1932 TS 09/09/1932 – 09/18/1932 Unnamed 1934 TS 09/01/1934 – 09/04/1934 Unnamed 1937 TS 07/29/1937 – 08/02/1937 Unnamed 1942 TS 10/10/1942 – 10/13/1942 Unnamed 1945 H2 06/20/1945 – 07/04/1945 Unnamed 1946 H1 07/05/1946 – 07/10/1946 Unnamed 1946 H2 10/05/1946 – 10/14/1946 Unnamed 1949 H2 08/21/1949 – 08/30/1949 Barbara 1953 H1 08/11/1953 – 08/16/1953 Unnamed 1954 TS 05/28/1954 – 05/31/1954 Connie 1955 H4 08/03/1954 – 08/15/1954 Ione 1955 H4 09/10/1955 – 09/27/1955 Unnamed 1956 TS 10/14/1956 – 10/19/1956 Helene 1958 H4 09/21/1958 – 10/04/1958 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 50 Floodplain Management Plan Storm Name Max Saffir-Simpson Date Unnamed 1959 TS 08/02/1959 – 08/06/1959 Donna 1960 H3 08/29/1960 – 09/14/1960 Alma 1962 H2 08/26/1962 – 09/02/1962 Dora 1964 H4 08/28/1964 – 09/16/1964 Isbell 1964 H3 10/08/1964 – 10/17/1964 Doria 1967 H1 09/08/1967 – 09/21/1967 Gladys 1968 H1 10/13/1968 – 10/21/1968 Abby 1968 H1 06/01/1968 – 06/13/1968 Unnamed 1970 TS 08/15/1970 – 08/19/1970 Ginger 1971 H2 09/06/1971 – 10/05/1971 Doria 1971 TS 08/20/1971 – 08/29/1971 Unnamed 1972 TD 07/10/1972 – 07/12/1972 Amy 1975 TS 06/27/1975 – 07/04/1975 Clara 1977 H1 09/05/1977 – 09/12/1977 Bob 1979 H1 07/09/1979 – 07/16/1979 Dennis 1981 H1 08/07/1981 – 08/22/1981 Unnamed 1982 TS 06/18/1982 – 06/20/1982 Diana 1984 H4 09/08/1984 – 19/16/1984 Kate 1985 H3 11/15/1985 – 11/23/1985 Charley 1986 H1 08/13/1986 – 08/30/1986 Allison 1995 H1 06/03/1995 – 06/11/1995 Arthur 1996 TS 06/17/1996 – 06/23/1996 Josephine 1996 TS 10/04/1996 – 10/16/1996 Bonnie 1998 H3 08/19/1998 – 08/31/1998 Dennis 1999 H2 08/24/1999 – 09/08/1999 Floyd 1999 H4 09/07/1999 – 09/17/1999 Allison 2001 TS 06/05/2001 – 06/19/2001 Kyle 2002 H1 09/20/2002 – 10/12/2002 Arthur 2002 TS 07/14/2002 – 07/19/2002 Isabel 2003 H5 09/06/2003 – 09/20/2003 Alex 2004 H3 07/31/2004 – 08/06/2004 Bonnie 2004 TS 08/03/2004 – 08/14/2004 Ophelia 2005 H1 09/06/2005 – 09/23/2005 Barry 2007 TS 05/31/2007 – 06/05/2007 Gabrielle 2007 TS 09/08/2007 – 09/11/2007 Cristobal 2008 TS 07/19/2008 – 07/23/2008 Irene 2011 H3 08/21/2011 – 08/30/2001 Beryl 2012 TS 05/25/2012 – 06/02/2012 Arthur 2014 H2 06/28/2014 – 07/09/2014 Source: NOAA Historical Hurricane Tracks, 2016 The following is a description of past occurrences of hurricanes and tropical storms recorded by NCEI: Hurricane Dennis: Hurricane Dennis was responsible for these heavy rains across eastern North Carolina. In terms of flash flooding, the hardest hit counties were Carteret and Southern Craven. Cherry Point MCAS reported 6.09 inches of rainfall while Newport NWSO observed 7.07 inches. Hurricane Alex: Hurricane Alex, a category two storm with 100 mph sustained winds, brushed the Outer Banks of North Carolina during the late morning to early afternoon hours on August 3rd. Storm surge along the coast, along the lower reaches of the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers, and across ot her counties adjacent to the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds were estimated at 1 to 3 feet where no significant damage Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 51 Floodplain Management Plan occurred. The first outer rainbands began affecting the area during the early morning hours and continued through the day. Four to eight inches of rainfall was estimated across eastern Craven and Carteret Counties. Freshwater flooding was reported across Craven and Carteret Counties. Tropical Storm Tammy: A combination of weather systems including the remnants of Tropical Storm Tammy and low pressure associated with an approaching cold front linked up to cause flooding rains across the area. During a three day period from October 6th through the 8th portions of eastern North Carolina received up to a foot of rainfall. Six to eight inch rainfall totals were common across much of the area. This resulted in flash flooding and widespread flooding across Beaufort, Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Lenoir, Martin, Onslow, Pamlico, and Pitt counties. Many roads across the area were closed due to flooding, and property damage was reported in several counties. Tropical Storm Nicole: Torrential rain moved across most of Carteret County during the late afternoon and evening of September 30th as the remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole moved north across the region. This rain fell on saturated ground from very heavy rain the previous few days. Significant flash flooding developed especially for areas from Emerald Isle and Cape Carteret east toward Morehead City. Rapid water rises washed out several roads in the western portion of the county with some subdivisions briefly cutoff form major roads. Minor flooding of a few residences was reported over the western portion of the county. Table 5.12 shows hurricane and tropical storm data reported by NCEI since 1996 for Carteret County. Table 5.12 – NCEI Hurricane/Tropical Storm Data for Carteret County Date Event Type Deaths/ Injuries Property Damage Crop Damage 7/12/1996 Hurricane 0/0 $50,000,000 $6,000,000 8/29/1996 Hurricane 0/0 $0 $0 9/4/1996 Hurricane 0/0 $200,000,000 $0 8/26/1998 Hurricane 0/0 $0 $0 8/30/1999 Hurricane 0/0 $0 $0 9/14/1999 Hurricane 0/0 $28,000,000 $4,000,000 10/16/1999 Hurricane 0/0 $0 $0 9/17/2003 Hurricane 0/0 $16,000,000 $0 8/3/2004 Hurricane 0/0 $25,000 $0 8/14/2004 Hurricane 0/0 $250,000 $50,000 9/13/2005 Hurricane 0/5 $27,900,000 $3,000,000 6/18/1996 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 6/18/1996 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 10/8/1996 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 9/1/1999 Tropical Storm 0/0 $6,300,000 $3,700,000 9/10/2002 Tropical Storm 0/0 $2,000 $0 8/31/2006 Tropical Storm 0/0 $50,000 $0 9/5/2008 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 9/2/2010 Tropical Storm 0/0 $5,000 $0 10/28/2012 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 6/6/2013 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 5/8/2015 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 9/2/2016 Tropical Storm 0/0 $5,000 $0 10/8/2016 Tropical Storm 0/0 $0 $0 2/27/2004 Storm Surge / Tide 0/0 $0 $0 4/15/2005 Storm Surge / Tide 0/0 $0 $0 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 52 Floodplain Management Plan Date Event Type Deaths/ Injuries Property Damage Crop Damage 5/6/2005 Storm Surge / Tide 0/0 $0 $0 7/20/2006 Storm Surge / Tide 0/0 $0 $0 8/26/2011 Storm Surge / Tide 0/0 $25,000,000 $0 Total 0/5 $353,537,000 $16,750,000 Source: NCEI, November 2016 Probability of Future Occurrence Likely – Given the 24 hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge occurrences recorded by NOAA over a period of 20 years (1996-2016), hurricane-related flooding in Morehead City is likely in the future. A hurricane or tropical storm affects Morehead City on average once every 1.9 years. Climate Change and Hurricane and Tropical Storms One of the primary factors contributing to the origin and growth of tropical storm and hurricanes systems is water temperature. Sea surface temperature may increase significantly in the main hurricane development region of the North Atlantic during the next century as well as in the Gulf of Mexico. Studies suggest that there will be an increase in the number of Category 4 and 5 storms as well as an increase in rainfall rates from these storms. (Source: National Climate Assessment, 2014). 5.6 COASTAL/STREAM BANK EROSION Hazard Description Coastal Erosion Coastal erosion is a process whereby large storms, flooding, strong wave action, sea level rise, and human activities, such as inappropriate land use, alterations, and shore protection structures, wears away the beaches and bluffs along the coast. Erosion undermines and often destroys homes, businesses, and public infrastructure and can have long-term economic and social consequences. According to NOAA, coastal erosion is responsible for approximately $500 million per year in coastal property loss in the United States, including damage to structures and loss of land. To mitigate coastal erosion, the federal government spends an average of $150 million every year on beach nourishment and other shoreline erosion control measures. Coastal erosion has both natural causes and causes related to human activities. Gradual coastal erosion/replenishment results naturally from the impacts of tidal longshore currents. Severe coastal erosion can occur over a very short period of time when the state is impacted by hurricanes, tropical storms and other weather systems. Sand is continually removed by longshore currents in some areas but it is also continually replaced by sand carried in by the same type of currents. Structures such as piers or sea walls, jetties, and navigational inlets may interrupt the movement of sand. Sand can become “trapped” in one place by these types of structures. The currents will, of course, continue to flow, though depleted of sand trapped elsewhere. With significant amounts of sand trapped in the system, the continuing motion of currents (now deficient in sand) results in erosion. In this way, human construction activities that result in the unnatural trapping of sand have the potential to result in significant coastal erosion. Erosion rates and potential impacts are highly localized. Severe storms can remo ve wide beaches, along with substantial dunes, in a single event. In undeveloped areas, these high recession rates are not likely to cause significant concern, but in some heavily populated locations, one or two feet of erosion may be considered catastrophic (NOAA, 2014). Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 53 Floodplain Management Plan Stream Bank Erosion Stream banks erode by a combination of direct stream processes, like down cutting and lateral erosion, and indirect processes, like mass-wasting accompanied by transportation. When the channel bends, water on the outside of the bend (the cut-bank) flows faster and water on the inside of the bend (the point) flows slower as shown in Figure 5.18. This distribution of velocity results in erosion occurring on the outside of the bend and deposition occurring on the inside of the bend. Figure 5.18 – Stream Meanders Stream bank erosion is a natural process, but acceleration of this natural process leads to a disproportionate sediment supply, stream channel instability, land loss, habitat loss and other adverse effects. Stream bank erosion processes, although complex, are driven by two major components: stream bank characteristics (erodibility) and hydraulic/gravitational forces. Many land use activities can affect both of these components and lead to accelerated bank erosion. The vegetation rooting characteristics can protect banks from fluvial entrainment and collapse, and also provide internal bank strength. When riparian vegetation is changed from woody species to annual grasses and/or forbs, the internal strength is weakened, causing acceleration of mass wasting processes. Stream bank aggradation or degradation is often a response to stream channel instability. Since bank erosion is often a symptom of a larger, more complex problem, the long-term solutions often involve much more than just bank stabilization. Numerous studies have demonstrated that stream bank erosion contributes a large portion of the annual sediment yield. Determining the cause of accelerated streambank erosion is the first step in solving the problem. When a stream is straightened or widened, streambank erosion increases. Accelerated streambank erosion is part of the process as the stream seeks to re-establish a stable size and pattern. Damaging or removing streamside vegetation to the point where it no longer provides for bank stability can cause a dramatic increase in bank erosion. A degrading streambed results in higher and often unstable, eroding banks. When land use changes occur in a watershed, such as clearing land for agriculture or development, runoff increases. With this increase in runoff the stream channel will adjust to accommodate the additional flow, increasing streambank erosion. Addressing the problem of streambank erosion requires an understanding of both stream dynamics and the management of streamside vegetation. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 54 Floodplain Management Plan Past Occurrences The Morehead City CAMA Land Use Plan notes that all soil types in Morehead City have a slight erosion hazard. According to the Pamlico Sound Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan, of which Morehead City is a part, the average erosion rate for all co astal communities in the Pamlico Sound region is 2 feet per year. This measure alone is not sufficient to project future erosion, as future erosion rates will likely increase due to sea level rise. Erosion is generally an ongoing process rather than an episodic hazard, and its impacts are easier to see and understand over time. According to the National Weather Service (NWS) Newport/Morehead City Weather Forecast Office, Google Earth Imagery shows substantial erosion of Shackleford Banks and Sugarloaf Island over the past two decades. Since 1993, the west side of Shackleford Banks, between Bogue and Shackleford, has eroded approximately 1,980 yards. The extent of this erosion is shown in Google Earth images from 1993 and 2015 in Figure 5.19 and Figure 5.20, respectively. Sugaloaf Island has eroded mainly along 375 feet of its western-side and has lost an area of approximately 351,735 square feet. The extent of this erosion on Sugarloaf Island is shown in Google Earth images from 1993 and 2015 in Figure 5.21 and Figure 5.22, respectively. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 55 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Google Earth, NWS Figure 5.19 – Shackleford Banks, 1993 Source: Google Earth, NWS Figure 5.20 – Shackleford Banks, 2015 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 56 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Google Earth, NWS Figure 5.21 – Sugarloaf Island, 1993 Source: Google Earth, NWS Figure 5.22 – Sugarloaf Island, 2015 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 57 Floodplain Management Plan The extent of erosion along these naturally protective barriers means that with future coastal storms or tropical cyclones, there will be more water pushed into the Morehead City a rea. These impacts do not include sea level rise, which will likely further exacerbate this hazard and its impacts. Though shoreline erosion is typically an ongoing process, it can intensify during storm events, particularly with hurricane storm tides. The following events are noted in the Pamlico Sound Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan for causing significant erosion in or near the Morehead City area. July 12, 1996 – Hurricane Bertha made landfall between Surf City and North Topsail Beach, causing substantial storm surge flooding and beach erosion along the coast. September 5, 1996 – Hurricane Fran caused extensive flooding and shoreline erosion, with a storm surge reaching 7.3 feet near Morehead City. August 31, 2006 – Tropical Storm Ernesto caused minor storm surge flooding and beach erosion along the Onslow and Carteret County coastlines and the Neuse River. Storm total rainfall ranged from 4 inches to near 10 inches. Probability of Future Occurrence Possible – Erosion is a natural, dynamic, and continuous process that can be expected to occur in the future. Erosion of coastal and estuarine shorelines is an ongoing and natural process within the northeastern North Carolina coastal system. Erosion rates are extremely variable, but the majority of the coastal/estuarine shorelines are currently eroding. As noted in the Pamlico Sound Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan, the average minimum and maximum blocked erosion rate is two feet per year for all coastal communities in the Pamlico Sound region. Given Morehead City’s coastal setting and large amount of coastline along the Bogue Sound, Newport River, Calico Bay, and other inlets, the likelihood of occurrence for coastal/estuarine erosion is “possible.” Climate Change and Erosion Sea-level rise will raise all tide levels, from low tide to storm surge (see Figure 5.18). Wave action at higher tide levels may cause erosion of sandy beaches. The combined effects of wind and waves could damage dunes, leaving the beachfront more vulnerable (UF/IFAS Extension, 2013). Source: Jane Hawkey, IAN Image Library (ian.umces.edu/imagelibrary/) Figure 5.23 – Sea Level Rise and Coastal Erosion of Dunes Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 58 Floodplain Management Plan 5.7 ASSESSMENT OF AREAS LIKELY TO FLOOD The following targeted areas are identified by the FMPC as areas likely to flood in the future. Identified Area #1: 100-year SFHAs Approximately 57% of the Morehead City corporate limits falls within the 100-year floodplain in the preliminary FIRMs, up from 49% in the effective FIRM. Changes in floodplain development and future development within the watershed in general is likely to increase the size of the SFHAs due to an increase in impervious area. Identified Area #2: Areas of Localized Stormwater Flooding Due to the level topography and the heavy precipitation resulting from thunderstorms, tropical storms, and hurricanes, it is highly likely that unmitigated properties will continue to experience localized flooding. An increase in impervious area due to future development could exacerbate the localizing flooding issues unless measures are taken to reduce the volume of runoff. Identified Area #3: Repetitive Loss Areas Repetitive loss properties have a greater need for flood protection. Repetitive loss can be attributed to development within the 100-year floodplain as well as localized stormwater flooding. As mentioned above, both types of flooding could increase in the future if measures are not taken to mitigate the effects of development. Therefore, it is very likely that unmitigated repetitive loss properties will continue to flood in the future. Repetitive loss areas identified by the FMPC are shown in Figure 5.19. Impact of Future Flooding Changes in the watershed (particularly an increase in impervious area) could make these targeted areas even more likely to flood in the future. Morehead City falls within the Newport Marshes-Lower Newport River Basin, the Morehead City-Drum Shoals Basin, the Carrot Island-Beaufort Inlet Basin, the Middle Newport River Basin, and the Town of Salter Path-Jumping Run Basin. The SFHA extends along the Bogue Sound shoreline of the Town in the Morehead City-Drum Shoals Basin and the Carrot Island-Beaufort Inlet Basin, through downtown and northeast Morehead City along the Calico Bay and Newport River in the Newport Marshes-Lower Newport River Basin, and in the northwest portion of the Town in the Middle Newport River Basin. Areas of localized stormwater flooding are also located within these three basins. Repetitive loss properties and historical claims properties are also found in these three basins, with higher concentrations in the Carrot Island and Newport Marshes basins in the eastern portion of Morehead City. Based on future land use plans (discussed in further detail in Section 6.3), which recommend downtown mixed use, commercial, high density residential, medium density residential, and low density residential uses for much of the land area in these basins, each of these basins is likely to experience an increase in impervious surface. Recent years have already seen significant growth in the northeast portion of Town around the Calico Bay and Crab Point Bay. According to the Planning & Inspections Department’s 2015 Annual Report, issuance of building permits has been on the rise since 2013, with much of the growth in 2015 attributable to residential development. If these areas continue to grow, it may increase the severity of future floods by limiting the capacity of the floodplains to perform natural flood management functions. New development or redevelopment, if it occurs in or near the SFHA or localized flooding areas, could also increase exposure of people and property to flood impacts. As discussed in Section 5.1, future flood conditions in these areas will also be impacted by climate change and sea level rise. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 59 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 5.24 – General Areas of Repetitive Flooding in Morehead City Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 60 Floodplain Management Plan 5.8 FLOOD HAZARDS PROFILE SUMMARY Table 5.13 summarizes the results of the hazard profile for the Town of Morehead City based on hazard identification data and input from the FMPC. For each hazard profiled within Chapter 5, this table includes the likelihood of future occurrence and whether or not the hazard has been included in Chapter 6 Vulnerability Assessment. Table 5.13 – Summary of Flood Hazard Profile Results Hazard Likelihood of Future Occurrence Vulnerability Assessment Climate Change & Sea Level Rise Highly Likely Yes Flood: 100-/500-year Possible Yes Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding Highly Likely Yes Coastal/Stream Bank Erosion Possible No Dam/Levee Failure Unlikely Yes Hurricane/Tropical Storm Likely Yes Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 61 Floodplain Management Plan 6 VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Chapter 6 quantifies the vulnerability of The Town of Morehead City to the priority hazards identified in Table 5.13. It consists of the following subsections:  6.1 Methodology  6.2 Asset Inventory  6.3 Land Use  6.4 Vulnerability Assessment Results  6.5 Priority Risk Index Results The FMPC conducted a vulnerability assessment of the hazards identified as a priority in order to assess the impact that each hazard would have on the Town. The vulnerability assessment quantifies, to the extent feasible using best available data, assets at risk to natural hazards and estimates potential losses. The vulnerability assessments followed the methodology described in the FEMA publication Understanding Your Risks—Identifying Hazards and Estimating Losses (August 2001). The vulnerability assessment first describes the total vulnerability and values at risk and then discusses vulnerability by hazard. Data used to support this assessment included the following:  Geographic Information System (GIS) datasets, including building footprints, topography, aerial photography, and transportation layers;  Hazard layer GIS datasets from state and federal agencies;  Written descriptions of inventory and risks provided by the State Hazard Mitigation Plan; and  Written descriptions of inventory and risks provided by the Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan. 6.1 METHODOLOGY Two distinct risk assessment methodologies were used in the formation of this vulnerability assessment. The first consists of a quantitative analysis that relies upon best available data and technology, while the second approach consists of a qualitative analysis that relies on local knowledge and rational decision making. The data provided by NCEM and the Integrated Hazard Risk Management (IHRM) Program come from models and methods commonly used by government risk assessors. One of these methods is FEMA’s Hazus-MH, a nationally applicable standardized set of models for estimating potential losses from earthquakes, floods, and hurricanes. Hazus uses GIS technology to estimate physical, economic, and social impacts of disasters. IHRM focused on collecting information on specific buildings and other critical infrastructure such as public utilities so that losses from damages could be calculated for each building or piece of infrastructure. The results factor in overall risk and its components of probability , consequence, and vulnerability. 44 CFR Subsection D §201.6(c)(2)(ii): [The risk assessment shall include a] description of the jurisdiction’s vulnerability to the hazards described in paragraph (c)(2)(i) of this section. This description shall include an overall summary of each hazard and its impact on the community. Plans approved after October 1, 2008 must also address NFIP insured structures that have been repetitively damaged by floods. The plan should describe vulnerability in terms of: A) The types and numbers of existing and future buildings, infrastructure, and critical facilities located in the identified hazard areas; (B): An estimate of the potential dollar losses to vulnerable structures identified in paragraph (c)(2)(ii)(A) of this section and a description of the methodology used to prepare the estimate; and (C): Providing a general description of land uses and development trends within the community so that mitigation options can be considered in future land use decisions. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 62 Floodplain Management Plan Morehead City’s GIS-based flood risk assessment was completed using the best data made available at the time of the analysis. Digital data was collected from local, regional and national sources that included the Town of Morehead City, the NCEM, and FEMA. This analysis took advantage of the release of FEMA’s Preliminary Flood Insurance Study for Carteret County. Flood vulnerability has been considered for both the Effective and Preliminary flood maps. 6.2 ASSET INVENTORY An inventory of assets within the Town of Morehead City was compiled in order to identify those structures potentially at risk to the identified hazards. Assets include elements such as buildings, property, business/industry goods, and civil infrastructure. All buildings – residential and nonresidential – with a building footprint of 800 square feet or greater were digitized by NCEM from recent aerial imagery if they were not readily available from state or county sources. Critical infrastructure and key resources, as defined by FEMA, were the focus of the non-building data collection. By understanding the type and number of assets that exist and where they are located in relation to known hazard areas, the relative risk and vulnerability for such assets can be assessed. Properties at Risk The properties identified to be at risk include all improved properties in Morehead City according to building footprint data provided by NCEM. The information is provided for the effective FIRM and the preliminary FIRM in Table 6.1 and Table 6.2, respectively. Risk information is detailed in terms of the number of buildings by flood zone, occupancy type, and total assessed value of improvements that may be exposed to the identified hazards. The building footprint data was used to provide an accurate assessment of how many buildings are located in hazard areas. Table 6.1 – Town of Morehead City Properties at Risk (Effective July 2003 FIRM) Occupancy Type Total Number of Buildings with Loss Total Building Value Estimated Content Value Total Value Zone AE Agricultural 11 $35,688 $35,688 $71,376 Commercial 124 $51,682,375 $44,509,740 $96,192,114 Education 3 $2,126,877 $2,126,877 $4,253,755 Government 30 $135,170,427 $123,210,285 $258,380,712 Industrial 11 $2,911,999 $2,935,421 $5,847,420 Religious 3 $1,189,352 $1,189,352 $2,378,704 Residential 1,373 $308,112,094 $89,962,061 $398,074,156 Total 1,555 $501,228,812 $263,969,425 $765,198,237 Zone X (500-Year) Agricultural 0 $0 $0 $0 Commercial 16 $8,894,229 $9,013,491 $17,907,721 Education 4 $7,232,486 $8,087,384 $15,319,871 Government 14 $22,444,318 $22,444,318 $44,888,636 Industrial 2 $551,151 $525,139 $1,076,289 Religious 2 $617,758 $617,758 $1,235,515 Residential 385 $73,017,381 $25,710,464 $98,727,845 Total 423 $112,757,323 $66,398,554 $179,155,877 Zone X (Unshaded) Agricultural 2 $44,689 $44,689 $89,378 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 63 Floodplain Management Plan Source: North Carolina Emergency Management, Risk Management, 2016 Table 6.2 –Town of Morehead City Properties at Risk (Preliminary June 2016 FIRM) Commercial 552 $361,276,306 $368,696,077 $729,972,383 Education 53 $120,230,455 $112,193,447 $232,423,902 Government 19 $14,511,219 $15,638,508 $30,149,727 Industrial 105 $28,421,047 $32,567,208 $60,988,255 Religious 85 $55,968,104 $54,091,357 $110,059,460 Residential 5,477 $840,847,091 $352,761,158 $1,193,608,249 Total 6,293 $1,421,298,910 $935,992,443 $2,357,291,353 Zone VE Agricultural 0 $0 $0 $0 Commercial 0 $0 $0 $0 Education 0 $0 $0 $0 Government 0 $0 $0 $0 Industrial 0 $0 $0 $0 Religious 0 $0 $0 $0 Residential 18 $7,130,531 $1,654,248 $8,784,778 Total 18 $7,130,531 $1,654,248 $8,784,778 Occupancy Type Total Number of Buildings with Loss Total Building Value Estimated Content Value Total Value Zone AE Agricultural 11 $351,891 $351,889 $703,779 Commercial 161 $65,089,106 $56,637,577 $121,726,683 Education 6 $7,688,785 $7,708,394 $15,397,180 Government 41 $152,779,507 $140,819,366 $293,598,873 Industrial 21 $6,770,536 $6,392,166 $13,162,702 Religious 7 $3,443,348 $2,349,745 $5,793,093 Residential 1,985 $368,241,652 $125,532,956 $493,774,608 Total 2,232 $604,364,825 $339,792,093 $944,156,918 Zone X (500-Year) Agricultural 0 $0 $0 $0 Commercial 35 $20,824,216 $19,296,879 $40,121,095 Education 6 $25,043,055 $21,850,097 $46,893,152 Government 5 $5,153,252 $5,153,252 $10,306,503 Industrial 13 $3,060,130 $2,762,630 $5,822,760 Religious 13 $8,835,495 $8,763,482 $17,598,977 Residential 691 $130,991,727 $42,069,666 $173,061,392 Total 763 $193,907,875 $99,896,005 $293,803,880 Zone X (Unshaded) Agricultural 2 $44,689 $44,689 $89,378 Commercial 493 $336,050,550 $346,922,212 $682,972,761 Education 48 $96,857,979 $92,849,218 $189,707,196 Government 5 $5,153,252 $5,153,252 $10,306,503 Industrial 103 $31,868,287 $35,106,142 $66,974,429 Religious 62 $38,751,367 $38,040,237 $76,791,603 Residential 4,551 $730,762,337 $304,696,322 $1,035,458,659 Total 5,264 $1,239,488,460 $822,812,071 $2,062,300,531 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 64 Floodplain Management Plan Source: North Carolina Emergency Management, Risk Management, 2016 Note: Content value estimations are generally based on the FEMA Hazus methodology of estimating value as a percent of improved structure values by property type. The residential property type assumes a content replacement value equal to 50% of the building value. Agricultural, commercial, education, government, and religious property types assume a content replacement value equal to 100% of the building value. The industrial property type assumes a content replacement value equal to 150% of the building value. Critical Facilities at Risk Of significant concern with respect to any disaster event is the location of critical facilities in the planning area. Critical facilities are often defined as those essential services and facilities in a major emergency which, if damaged, would result in severe consequences to public health and safety or a facility which, if unusable or unreachable because of a major emergency, would seriously and adversely affect the health, safety, and welfare of the public. A list of critical facilities and the total numbers of critical facilities by type in Morehead City are listed in Table 6.3 and shown Figure 6.1. Table 6.3 – Critical Facilities at Risk in Morehead City Facility Name Count Structure Value Civic 1 $4,182,898 Education 7 $7,570,038 Fire/EMS 5 $3,080,698 Government 9 $212,735,534 Medical 2 $16,065,309 Nursing Home 4 $11,886,621 Police 5 $28,033,803 School 19 $83,451,406 Shelter (Emergency) 1 $10,626,076 Utility 27 $18,264,247 Total 80 $395,896,630 Planning for Critical Facility Protection The Town of Morehead City has several options to consider in planning to reduce the vulnerability of these critical facilities. Per FEMA guidance, of primary concern is the protection of essential systems and equipment in order to maintain the function of these critical facilities for community resilience during and after hazard events. One way to protect critical facilities is to ensure that electrical systems, mechanical systems, and other essential equipment is sufficiently elevated above the base flood elevation. Another option is to install dry floodproofing in order to protect these critical components from floodwaters, flood Zone VE Agricultural 0 $0 $0 $0 Commercial 2 $467,578 $467,578 $935,157 Education 0 $0 $0 $0 Government 0 $0 $0 $0 Industrial 0 $0 $0 $0 Religious 0 $0 $0 $0 Residential 19 $8,572,707 $2,307,289 $10,879,997 Total 21 $9,040,286 $2,774,868 $11,815,154 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 65 Floodplain Management Plan forces, and leakage. Among the components that should be considered for protection are electrical service and distribution systems; data systems; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems; water and wastewater systems; emergency power systems, and elevators. Alternatively, Morehead City can consider relocating these vulnerable critical facilities to new locations outside the floodplain. However, additional protection may still be required because areas outside the 1%-annual-chance and 0.2%-annual-chance floodplain are still at low risk to flooding. According to FEMA, properties outside of high-risk flood areas account for over 20 percent of NFIP claims and one-third of disaster assistance for flooding. The Morehead City FMPC considered these concerns in developing their mitigation strategies. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 66 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.1 – Morehead City Critical Facilities Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 67 Floodplain Management Plan 6.3 LAND USE A land use plan is intended to provide a framework that will guide local government officials and private citizens as they make day-to-day and long-term decisions affecting development. The August 2007 Core Land Use Plan serves as an overall "blueprint" for the development of Morehead City that when implemented results in the most suitable and appropriate use of the land and protection of the Town's natural resources. In addition to serving as a guide to the overall development of Morehead City, the Land Use Plan will be used by local, state and federal agencies in CAMA permitting decisions, project funding and project consistency determinations. The effective period for the 2005 Land Use Plan Update is for the ten-year period following adoption of the plan. Existing Land Use Over 50% of the total land area in Morehead City is developed. Vacant or undeveloped land makes up approximately 49% of the total area within the Morehead City planning jurisdiction. Approximately 60% of the developed area (30% of the total land area) within the Morehead City planning jurisdiction is in residential use. Commercial uses represent approximately 11 % of the developed area (5% of the total), industrial uses comprise approximately 5% of the developed area (3% of the total) and institutional uses represent 7% of the developed area (4% of the total). Agriculture/open space (which includes farming operations, parks, recreation areas and golf courses) represents approximately 17% of areas considered as developed (9% of the total area). On the following page, Figure 6.2, Existing Land Use shows the current land use for each parcel in the planning area. Future Land Use The purpose of the Future Land Use Map is to graphically depict Morehead City's policies for growth and land development and the projected patterns of future land use. The Future Land Use Map has been prepared with consideration given to land development objectives and policies, natural constraints and limitations, overall land suitability, and the ability to provide the infrastructure to support growth and development. The Town's Future Land Use Map classifications include the following categories and subcategories:  Residential  Low Density Residential  Medium Density Residential  High Density Residential  General Commercial  Downtown Mixed Use  Public and Institutional  General Industrial  Port Mixed Use  Conservation/Open Space Generally, growth and land development is anticipated to occur in all future land use categories except for the Conservation/Open Space classification. The type and intensity of projected development varies within each future land use map classification. Future Land Use projections are delineated in Figure 6.3, Future Land Use Map. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 68 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Town of Morehead City, 2017 Figure 6.2 – Town of Morehead City Existing Land Use Map Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 69 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Town of Morehead City, 2017 Figure 6.3 – Town of Morehead City Future Land Use Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 70 Floodplain Management Plan 6.4 VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT RESULTS The Disaster Mitigation Act regulations require that the FMPC evaluate the risks associated with each of the hazards identified in the planning process. This section summarizes the possible impacts and quantifies the Town’s vulnerability to each of the hazards identified as a priority hazard in Table 5.13. The hazards evaluated as part of this vulnerability assessment are:  Climate Change and Sea Level Rise  Dam Failure  Flood: 100-/500-year  Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding  Hurricane & Tropical Storm Vulnerability can be quantified in those instances where there is a known, identified hazard area, such as a mapped floodplain. In these instances, the numbers and types of buildings subject to the identified hazard can be counted and their values tabulated. Other information can be collected in regard to the hazard area, such as the location of critical facilities, historic structures, and valued natural resources (e.g., an identified wetland or endangered species habitat). Together, this information conveys the impact, or vulnerability, of that area to that hazard. The conclusions drawn from the hazard profiling and vulnerability assessment process can be used to prioritize all potential hazards to the Morehead City planning area. The Priority Risk Index (PRI) is a good practice to use when prioritizing hazards because it provides a standardized numerical value so that hazards can be compared against one another (the higher the PRI value, the greater the hazard risk). PRI values are obtained by assigning varying degrees of risk to five categories for each hazard (probability, impact, spatial extent, warning time, and duration). Each degree of risk has been assigned a value (1 to 4) and a weighting factor as summarized below in Table 6.4. Table 6.4 – Priority Risk Index RISK ASSESSMENT CATEGORY LEVEL DEGREE OF RISK CRITERIA INDEX WEIGHT PROBABILITY What is the likelihood of a hazard event occurring in a given year? UNLIKELY LESS THAN 1% ANNUAL PROBABILITY 1 30% POSSIBLE BETWEEN 1 & 10% ANNUAL PROBABILITY 2 LIKELY BETWEEN 10 &100% ANNUAL PROBABILITY 3 HIGHLY LIKELY 100% ANNUAL PROBABILTY 4 IMPACT In terms of injuries, damage, or death, would you anticipate impacts to be minor, limited, critical, or catastrophic when a significant hazard event occurs? MINOR VERY FEW INJURIES, IF ANY. ONLY MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE & MINIMAL DISRUPTION ON QUALITY OF LIFE. TEMPORARY SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES. 1 30% LIMITED MINOR INJURIES ONLY. MORE THAN 10% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED AREA DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES FOR > 1 DAY 2 CRITICAL MULTIPLE DEATHS/INJURIES POSSIBLE. MORE THAN 25% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED AREA DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES FOR > 1 WEEK. 3 CATASTROPHIC HIGH NUMBER OF DEATHS/INJURIES POSSIBLE. MORE THAN 50% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED AREA DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES > 30 DAYS. 4 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 71 Floodplain Management Plan RISK ASSESSMENT CATEGORY LEVEL DEGREE OF RISK CRITERIA INDEX WEIGHT SPATIAL EXTENT How large of an area could be impacted by a hazard event? Are impacts localized or regional? NEGLIGIBLE LESS THAN 1% OF AREA AFFECTED 1 20% SMALL BETWEEN 1 & 10% OF AREA AFFECTED 2 MODERATE BETWEEN 10 & 50% OF AREA AFFECTED 3 LARGE BETWEEN 50 & 100% OF AREA AFFECTED 4 WARNING TIME Is there usually some lead time associated with the hazard event? Have warning measures been implemented? MORE THAN 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 1 10% 12 TO 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 2 6 TO 12 HRS SELF DEFINED 3 LESS THAN 6 HRS SELF DEFINED 4 DURATION How long does the hazard event usually last? LESS THAN 6 HRS SELF DEFINED 1 10% LESS THAN 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 2 LESS THAN 1 WEEK SELF DEFINED 3 MORE THAN 1 WEEK SELF DEFINED 4 The application of the PRI results in numerical values that allow identified hazards to be ranked against one another (the higher the PRI value, the greater the hazard risk). The sum of all five risk assessment categories equals the final PRI value, demonstrated in the equation below (the highest possible PRI value is 4.0). PRI VALUE = [(PROBABILITY x .30) + (IMPACT x .30) + (SPATIAL EXTENT x .20) + (WARNING TIME x .10) + (DURATION x .10)] The purpose of the PRI is to categorize and prioritize all potential hazards for the Morehead City planning area as high, moderate, or low risk. The summary hazard classifications generated through the use of the PRI allows for the prioritization of those high hazard risks for mitigation planning purposes. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 72 Floodplain Management Plan Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Probability Impact Spatial Extent Warning Time Duration Highly Likely Minor Small > 24 hours >1 week Morehead City is vulnerable to the potential impacts of climate change and sea level rise. The climate change hazard profile in Section 5.1 discusses how climate-driven hazards such as hurricanes and flooding are likely to increase in intensity, and possibly frequency, in the future. Thus the 25-year flood of today may become the 10-year event in the future. The reader should refer to the vulnerability assessment discussions on Flood, Erosion, and Hurricane for the current exposure and risk to these hazards with the perspective that climate change has the potential to exacerbate the existing risk and vulnerabilities. The potential impacts of climate change include increased flooding frequency, potential damage to critical infrastructure, and increasing public costs associated with flood insurance claims, infrastructure repair and maintenance, environmental impacts and increased costs associated with emergency management efforts. Estimates of the impact of 1-foot, 2-foot, and 3-foot Sea Level Rise (SLR) are shown in Figure 6.4, Figure 6.5, and Figure 6.6, respectively. SLR is likely to affect marsh land along the Newport River and may also affect the Morehead City Harbor and its accessibility. While SLR alone will not directly affect many existing structures, it will likely increase future risk of flooding from the other flood hazards discussed in this chapter, as more land will have a lower elevation relative to sea level. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 73 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NOAA Office for Coastal Management Sea Level Rise Viewer, March 2017 Figure 6.4 – Estimated Impact of 1 Foot SLR on Morehead City Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 74 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NOAA Office for Coastal Management Sea Level Rise Viewer, March 2017 Figure 6.5 – Estimated Impact of 2 Feet SLR on Morehead City Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 75 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NOAA Office for Coastal Management Sea Level Rise Viewer, March 2017 Figure 6.6 – Estimated Impact of 3 Feet SLR on Morehead City Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 76 Floodplain Management Plan Flood: 100-/500-year Probability Impact Spatial Extent Warning Time Duration Possible Limited Moderate 6 to 12 hours <1 week Flood damage is directly related to the depth of flooding by the application of a depth damage curve. In applying the curve, a specific depth of water translates to a specific percent damage to the structure, which translates to the same percentage of the structure’s replacement value. Figure 6.7 depicts the depth of flooding that can be expected within the Town during the 100-year flood event based on the July 16, 2003 Effective DFIRM. Figure 6.8 depicts the depth of flooding that can be expected within the Town during the 100-year flood event based on the June 30, 2016 Preliminary DFIRM. A flood risk assessment for Morehead City was performed by NCEM Risk Management in 201 6. All building attribute data and estimated flood damages are derived from the NCEM Risk Management iRisk database. NCEM utilized land use codes provided in the Morehead City parcel data to assign each building footprint a specific occupancy class (i.e. RES1, COM4, EDU2, etc.). An occupancy class is required in order to apply the correct depth damage factor which ensures the most accurate damage assessment. Content value estimations are based on FEMA Hazus methodologies of estimating value as a percent of improved structure values by property type. Table 6.5 shows the breakdown of the different property types in Morehead City and their estimated content replacement value percentages. Table 6.5 – Content Replacement Factors Property Type Content Replacement Values Residential 50% Commercial 100% Education 100% Government 100% Religious 100% Industrial 150% Source: Hazus 2.1 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 77 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Depths derived from FEMA 2003 Effective DFIRM Figure 6.7 – 100-yr Effective Flood Depths for the Town of Morehead City Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 78 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Depths derived from FEMA 2016 Preliminary DFIRM Figure 6.8 – 100-yr Preliminary Flood Depths for the Town of Morehead City Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 79 Floodplain Management Plan Property at Risk The loss estimate for flood is based on the total of improved building value and contents value. Land value is not included in any of the loss estimates as generally the land is not subject to loss from floods. Once the potential value of affected parcels was calculated, damage factors were applied to obtain loss estimates by flood zone. Table 6.6 shows the building count, total value, estimated damages and loss ratio for buildings that fall within the 100-year floodplain of the Effective FIRM by flood zone and land use type. Table 6.7 shows these damage and loss estimates for buildings that fall within the 100 -year floodplain of the Preliminary FIRM. The loss ratio is the loss estimate divided by the total potential exposure (i.e., total of improved and contents value for all buildings located within the 100-year floodplain) and displayed as a percentage of loss. FEMA considers loss ratios greater than 10% to be significant and an indicator a community may have more difficulties recovering from a flood. Table 6.6 – Estimated Building Damage and Content Loss (Effective July 2003 FIRM) Occupancy Type Total Number of Buildings with Loss Total Value (Building & Contents) Estimated Building Damage Estimated Content Loss Estimated Total Damage Loss Ratio Agricultural 11 $71,376 $9,493 $22,660 $32,154 45.05% Commercial 116 $844,072,218 $1,137,370 $2,961,751 $4,099,121 4.26% Education 3 $4,253,755 $0 $0 $0 0.00% Government 28 $257,084,995 $0 $0 $0 0.00% Industrial 10 $5,510,550 $73,075 $68,646 $141,721 2.42% Religious 3 $2,378,704 $916 $72,123 $73,039 3.07% Residential 1,150 $303,922,040 $22,505,743 $18,214,364 $40,720,107 10.23% Total 1,555 $765,198,237 $23,726,598 $21,339,545 $45,066,142 5.89% Source: North Carolina Emergency Management, Risk Management, 2016 Table 6.7 – Estimated Building Damage and Content Loss (Preliminary June 2016 FIRM) Source: North Carolina Emergency Management, Risk Management, 2016 Occupancy Type Total Number of Buildings with Loss Total Value (Building & Contents) Estimated Building Damage Estimated Content Loss Estimated Total Damage Loss Ratio Agricultural 11 $703,780 $131,041 $245,461 $376,501 53.50% Commercial 108 $66,085,501 $3,910,747 $10,654,885 $14,565,631 22.04% Education 2 $3,921,906 $18,822 $101,641 $120,463 3.07% Government 18 $54,734,184 $426,099 $2,656,168 $3,082,266 5.63% Industrial 9 $4,856,143 $579,239 $536,925 $1,116,164 22.98% Religious 2 $1,805,293 $91,305 $279,786 $371,091 20.56% Residential 1,836 $398,457,559 $48,029,358 $34,439,750 $82,469,108 20.70% Total 1,986 $530,564,365 $53,186,610 $48,914,615 $102,101,225 19.24% Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 80 Floodplain Management Plan Population at Risk A separate analysis was performed to determine the population at risk in the individual FEMA flood zones for the Effective and Preliminary FIRMs. Using GIS, the DFIRM flood zones were intersected with the building footprint layer. Those residential buildings that intersected the flood zones were counted and multiplied by the 2011-2015 Census Bureau household factor for the Town of Morehead City (2.18) as shown in Table 6.8. Table 6.8 – Morehead City Population at Risk to Flood Flood Zone Residential Property Count Population at Risk Effective FIRM Zone VE 18 39 Zone AE 1,373 2,993 Zone X (500-yr) 385 839 Zone X (unshaded) 5,477 11,940 Total 7,253 15,811 Preliminary FIRM Zone VE 19 41 Zone AE 1,985 4,327 Zone X (500-yr) 691 1,506 Zone X (unshaded) 4,551 9,921 Total 7,246 15,795 Source: FEMA, U.S. Census Bureau 5-year Community Survey (2011-2015) Critical Facilities at Risk A separate analysis was performed to determine critical facilities located in the 100 - and 500-year floodplains. Using GIS, the DFIRM flood zones were overlaid on the critical facility location data. Figure 6.9 and Figure 6.10 depict critical facilities and flood zones for the Effective and Preliminary FIRMs, respectively. Critical facilities are detailed by facility type and flood zone for the Effective and Preliminary FIRMs in Tables 6.9 and 6.10, respectively. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 81 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Town of Morehead City, FEMA 2003 Effective DFIRM Figure 6.9 – Critical Facilities and FEMA Flood Zones, Effective FIRM Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 82 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Town of Morehead City, FEMA 2016 Preliminary DFIRM Figure 6.10 – Critical Facilities and FEMA Flood Zones, Preliminary FIRM Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 83 Floodplain Management Plan Table 6.9 – Critical Facilities by Flood Zone (Effective July 2003 FIRM) Facility Name Address Facility Type Estimated 100-yr Flood Depth (Ft) Zone AE NC State Ports Authority 0 Radio Island Rd, Morehead City, NC Port n/a NC State Ports Authority 121 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Port n/a Harborview Rehabilitation and Health Care Center 812 Shepard St, Morehead City, NC Assisted Living/ Nursing Home n/a Lift Station Dry Well (Small) 111 Port Terminal Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Morehead City Municipal Building 202 8th St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a NC State Port Police 113 Arendell St, Morehead city, NC Police n/a United States Army Reserve 400 Fisher St, Morehead City, NC Police n/a Wastewater Treatment Facility 1001 Treatment Plant Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Water Plant #4 1545 Country Club Rd, Morehead City, NC Utility n/a Zone X Shaded (500-yr) Carteret Community College 301 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College (Co-Op Extension) 303 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College 300 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead City Work Center/Century Link 1875 North 20th St, Morehead City, NC Utility n/a Wastewater Treatment Center 1002 Treatment Plant Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Wastewater Treatment Center 285 Radio Island Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Zone X Unshaded Wastewater Treatment Facility 295 Radio Island Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a St. Egberts Catholic School 1706 Evans St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Century Link 102 9th St, Morehead City, NC Utility n/a Morehead City Town Hall 706 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Carteret Community College - NC State Univ Center 303 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School n/a Crystal Coast Civic Center 3505 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Carteret Community College 3734 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College - Main 3601 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a UNC Institute of Marine Sciences 3451 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College - Pottery Building 109 Banks St, Morehead City, NC School n/a NC Division of Marine Fisheries/Welcome Center 3411 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 84 Floodplain Management Plan Facility Name Address Facility Type Estimated 100-yr Flood Depth (Ft) Carteret Community College - Wayne West Building 3505 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead Fire Station #1 1406 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Fire n/a Carteret Community College - Rhue Building 108 Banks St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College - Campus Security 115 Banks St, Morehead City, NC Police/Security n/a Coastal Academy Technology and Science School 1108 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead City Police Dept, Morehead City, NC 210 N 12th St, Morehead City, NC Police n/a Carteret Community College/Police Station 3705 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Police n/a Carteret County Economic Development 3615 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Morehead City Police/Carteret County EOC 300 N 15th St. Morehead City, NC Emergency Operations Center n/a Hospitality Mgmt/Culinary Arts 3915 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Send your Boat to College 3807 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead City Parks and Recreation 1600 Fisher St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Morehead City Community Center 1600 Fisher St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Power Sub Station (small) 209 N 24th St, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Morehead City Elementary School 316 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret County Exceptional Children Preschool 316 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead City Fire Station #2 4034 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Fire n/a Carteret Health Care Medical Center 3500 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Health n/a Carteret County Health Department 3820 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Health n/a Boy's and Girl's Club of Coastal Carolina 3321 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Lift Station Dry Well (small) 3730 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Water n/a National Guard Armory 3407 Bridges Street, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Water Treatment Plant #1 3800 Bridges St, Morehead, City, NC Water n/a Carteret Landing Assisted Living Center 221 Friendly St, Morehead City, NC Assisted Living/ Nursing Home n/a United States Post Office 3500 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a New Life Christian School 301 N 35th St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Leon Mann Jr Enrichment Senior Center 3820 Galantis Dr, Morehead City, NC Retirement Center n/a Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 85 Floodplain Management Plan Facility Name Address Facility Type Estimated 100-yr Flood Depth (Ft) Power Sub Station 479 Maple Ln, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Carolina House 107 Bryan St, Morehead City, NC Assisted Living/ Nursing Home n/a Morehead City Middle School 400 Barbour Rd, Morehead City, NC School n/a U.S. Customs and Border Protection 534 N 35th St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Morehead Primary School 4409 Country Club Rd, Morehead City, NC School n/a Wastewater Treatment Facility 228 Hwy 24, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Carolina Water Wastewater Treatment Plant 216 Hwy 24, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Excel Learning Center #4 601 N 35th St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Wastewater Treatment Facility Dirt Rd off Sleep Ct, Morehead City, NC Water n/a West Carteret High School/Bridges School 4700 Country Club Rd, Morehead City, NC School n/a Fire Station #3 5293 Hwy 70, Morehead City, NC Fire n/a Lift Station Dry Well (small) 3102 Tootle Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Highway Patrol/Driver’s License Office 5346 Hwy 70, Morehead City, NC Police/Government n/a Water Plant #3 261 Arthur Farm Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Lift Station Dry Well (Small) 261 Arthur Farm Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Duke Energy Progress 270 Arthur Farm Rd, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Power Sub Station End of Carteret Rd, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Source: Town of Morehead City, FEMA 2003 Effective DFIRM Table 6.10 – Critical Facilities by Flood Zone (Preliminary June 2016 FIRM) Facility Name Address Facility Type Estimated 100-yr Flood Depth (Ft) Zone AE NC State Ports Authority 0 Radio Island Rd, Morehead City, NC Port 8 NC State Ports Authority 121 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Port 8 Harborview Rehabilitation and Health Care Center 812 Shepard St, Morehead City, NC Assisted Living/ Nursing Home 9 Lift Station Dry Well (Small) 111 Port Terminal Rd, Morehead City, NC Water 8 Morehead City Municipal Building 202 8th St, Morehead City, NC Government 9 NC State Port Police 113 Arendell St, Morehead city, NC Police 8 United States Army Reserve 400 Fisher St, Morehead City, NC Police 8 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 86 Floodplain Management Plan Facility Name Address Facility Type Estimated 100-yr Flood Depth (Ft) Wastewater Treatment Facility 1001 Treatment Plant Rd, Morehead City, NC Water 9 Water Plant #4 1545 Country Club Rd, Morehead City, NC Utility 9 Zone X Shaded (500-yr) Carteret Community College 301 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School 9 Carteret Community College (Co-Op Extension) 303 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School 9 Carteret Community College 300 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School 9 Morehead City Work Center/Century Link 1875 North 20th St, Morehead City, NC Utility 10 Wastewater Treatment Center 1002 Treatment Plant Rd, Morehead City, NC Water 11.2 Wastewater Treatment Center 285 Radio Island Rd, Morehead City, NC Water 10 Zone X Unshaded Wastewater Treatment Facility 295 Radio Island Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a St. Egberts Catholic School 1706 Evans St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Century Link 102 9th St, Morehead City, NC Utility n/a Morehead City Town Hall 706 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Carteret Community College - NC State Univ Center 303 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School n/a Crystal Coast Civic Center 3505 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Carteret Community College 3734 College Cir, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College - Main 3601 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a UNC Institute of Marine Sciences 3451 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College - Pottery Building 109 Banks St, Morehead City, NC School n/a NC Division of Marine Fisheries/Welcome Center 3411 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Carteret Community College - Wayne West Building 3505 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead Fire Station #1 1406 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Fire n/a Carteret Community College - Rhue Building 108 Banks St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret Community College - Campus Security 115 Banks St, Morehead City, NC Police/Security n/a Coastal Academy Technology and Science School 1108 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead City Police Dept, Morehead City, NC 210 N 12th St, Morehead City, NC Police n/a Carteret Community College/Police Station 3705 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Police n/a Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 87 Floodplain Management Plan Facility Name Address Facility Type Estimated 100-yr Flood Depth (Ft) Carteret County Economic Development 3615 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Morehead City Police/Carteret County EOC 300 N 15th St. Morehead City, NC Emergency Operations Center n/a Hospitality Mgmt/Culinary Arts 3915 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Send your Boat to College 3807 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead City Parks & Rec. 1600 Fisher St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Morehead City Community Center 1600 Fisher St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Power Sub Station (small) 209 N 24th St, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Morehead City Elementary School 316 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Carteret County Exceptional Children Preschool 316 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Morehead City Fire Station #2 4034 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Fire n/a Carteret Health Care Medical Center 3500 Arendell St, Morehead City, NC Health n/a Carteret County Health Department 3820 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Health n/a Boy's and Girl's Club of Coastal Carolina 3321 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Lift Station Dry Well (small) 3730 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Water n/a National Guard Armory 3407 Bridges Street, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Water Treatment Plant #1 3800 Bridges St, Morehead, City, NC Water n/a Carteret Landing Assisted Living Center 221 Friendly St, Morehead City, NC Assisted Living/ Nursing Home n/a United States Post Office 3500 Bridges St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a New Life Christian School 301 N 35th St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Leon Mann Jr Enrichment Senior Center 3820 Galantis Dr, Morehead City, NC Retirement Center n/a Power Sub Station 479 Maple Ln, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Carolina House 107 Bryan St, Morehead City, NC Assisted Living/ Nursing Home n/a Morehead City Middle School 400 Barbour Rd, Morehead City, NC School n/a U.S. Customs and Border Protection 534 N 35th St, Morehead City, NC Government n/a Morehead Primary School 4409 Country Club Rd, Morehead City, NC School n/a Wastewater Treatment Facility 228 Hwy 24, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Carolina Water Wastewater Treatment Plant 216 Hwy 24, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Excel Learning Center #4 601 N 35th St, Morehead City, NC School n/a Wastewater Treatment Facility Dirt Rd off Sleep Ct, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 88 Floodplain Management Plan Facility Name Address Facility Type Estimated 100-yr Flood Depth (Ft) West Carteret High School/Bridges School 4700 Country Club Rd, Morehead City, NC School n/a Fire Station #3 5293 Hwy 70, Morehead City, NC Fire n/a Lift Station Dry Well (small) 3102 Tootle Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Highway Patrol/Driver’s License Office 5346 Hwy 70, Morehead City, NC Police/Government n/a Water Plant #3 261 Arthur Farm Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Lift Station Dry Well (Small) 261 Arthur Farm Rd, Morehead City, NC Water n/a Duke Energy Progress 270 Arthur Farm Rd, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Power Sub Station End of Carteret Rd, Morehead City, NC Power n/a Source: Town of Morehead City, FEMA 2016 Preliminary DFIRM Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 89 Floodplain Management Plan Flood Insurance Analysis One valuable source of information on flood hazards is current flood insurance data for active policies and past claims. Flood insurance is required as a condition of federal aid or a mortgage or loan that is federally insured for a building located in a FEMA flood zone. The Town of Morehead City has been a Regular participant in the NFIP since February 1977. Participation in the NFIP’s Community Rating System at a Class 9 or better rewards all policyholders in the Town with percent reduction in their flood insurance premiums. Morehead City is currently a Class 8 community. Table 6.11 through Table 6.14 reflect NFIP policy and claims data for the Town categorized by structure type, flood zone, Pre-FIRM and Post-FIRM. Table 6.11 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data by Occupancy Type – Town of Morehead City Occupancy Number of Policies in Force Total Premium Insurance in Force Number of Closed Paid Losses Total of Closed Paid Losses Single Family 1,101 $665,351 $303,305,000 130 $1,067,381.23 2-4 Family 57 $24,327 $10,814,600 2 $26,000.35 All Other Residential 218 $46,618 $48,315,600 4 $36,159.44 Non Residential 77 $181,352 $34,312,100 21 $429,997.95 Total 1,453 $917,648 $396,747,300 157 $1,559,537.00 Source: FEMA Community Information System as of 01/31/2017 Table 6.12 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data by Flood Zone – Town of Morehead City Flood Zone Number of Policies in Force Total Premium Total Coverage Number of Closed Paid Losses Total of Closed Paid Losses A01-30 & AE Zones 889 $621,261 $222,507,900 119 $1,147,141.02 A Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AO Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AH Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AR Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 A99 Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 V01-30 & VE Zones 5 $14,370 $1,050,000 3 $24,645.47 V Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 D Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 B, C & X Zone Standard 60 $73,312 $15,045,400 18 $244,111.26 Preferred 499 $208,705 $158,144,000 17 $143,641.22 Total 1,453 $917,648 $396,747,300 157 $1,559,538.00 Source: FEMA Community Information System as of 01/31/2017 Table 6.13 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data Pre-FIRM – Town of Morehead City Flood Zone Number of Policies in Force Total Premium Total Coverage Number of Closed Paid Losses Total of Closed Paid Losses A01-30 & AE Zones 212 $303,948 $43,948,800 97 $1,022,350.17 A Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 90 Floodplain Management Plan Flood Zone Number of Policies in Force Total Premium Total Coverage Number of Closed Paid Losses Total of Closed Paid Losses AO Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AH Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AR Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 A99 Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 V01-30 & VE Zones 1 $963 $50,000 3 $24,645.47 V Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 D Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 B, C & X Zone Standard 16 $25,458 $4,846,500 10 $198,058.99 Preferred 139 $59,158 $43,941,000 13 $81,596.32 Total 368 $389,527 $92,786,300 123 $1,326,650.00 Source: FEMA Community Information System as of 01/31/2017 Table 6.14 – NFIP Policy and Claims Data Post-FIRM – Town of Morehead City Flood Zone Number of Policies in Force Total Premium Total Coverage Number of Closed Paid Losses Total of Closed Paid Losses A01-30 & AE Zones 677 $317,313 $178,559,100 22 $124,790.85 A Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AO Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AH Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 AR Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 A99 Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 V01-30 & VE Zones 4 $13,407 $1,000,000 0 $0.00 V Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 D Zones 0 $0 $0 0 $0.00 B, C & X Zone Standard 44 $47,854 $10,198,900 8 $46,052.27 Preferred 360 $149,547 $114,203,000 4 $62,044.90 Total 1,085 $528,121 $303,961,000 34 $232,887.00 Source: FEMA Community Information System as of 01/31/2017 Repetitive Loss Analysis A repetitive loss property is a property for which two or more flood insurance claims of more than $1,000 have been paid by the NFIP within any 10-year period since 1978. An analysis of repetitive loss was completed by the Town to examine repetitive loss properties against FEMA flood zones. According to 2016 NFIP records, there are a total of 7 mitigated and 26 unmitigated repetitive loss properties within the Town of Morehead City. Table 6.15 details repetitive loss building counts, FEMA flood zones and total payment for the unmitigated properties. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 91 Floodplain Management Plan Table 6.15 – Unmitigated Repetitive Loss Summary Flood Zone1 Building Type Building Count Total Building Payment Total Content Payment Total Paid Commercial Residential Insured Uninsured AE X X 15,928.24 0.00 15,928.24 A05 X X 5,529.45 0.00 5,529.45 AE x X 53,185.64 0.00 53,185.64 X X X 5,791.64 1,246.13 7,037.77 AE x X 87,315.05 0.00 87,315.05 A06 X X 16,013.32 0.00 16,013.32 A07 X X 53,642.36 17,469.00 71,111.36 AE X X 21,004.63 0.00 21,004.63 X X X 24,393.93 15,143.59 39,537.52 AE X X 12,700.63 589.91 13,290.54 A08 X X 17,022.94 0.00 17,022.94 A07 X X 89,090.82 51,286.58 140,377.40 X X X 28,909.93 138.78 29,048.71 A07 X X 4,072.93 1,196.12 5,269.05 X X X 10,062.42 0.00 10,062.42 C X X 14,361.06 0.00 14,361.06 AE x X 81,720.75 0.00 81,720.75 A08 X X 10,195.46 0.00 10,195.46 X X X 11,943.58 0.00 11,943.58 A06 X X 6,453.32 0.00 6,453.32 A06 X X 15,955.56 329.98 16,285.54 AE X X 11,559.80 0.00 11,559.80 AE X X 30,152.30 0.00 30,152.30 A06 X X 4,237.42 0.00 4,237.42 AE X X 12,238.63 0.00 12,238.63 A06 X X 10,512.81 0.00 10,512.81 Total 3 23 18 8 $653,994.62 $87,400.09 $741,394.71 Source: NFIP Repetitive Loss Data, 11/30/2016 1Flood Zone is based on historical FIRM when first loss occurred. These zones do not reflect the current Effective FIRM zone for each property. Figure 6.11 illustrates repetitive loss areas within Morehead City and its Extra-Territorial Jurisdiction (ETJ). The repetitive loss areas were created by identifying the unmitigated repetitive loss properties, surrounding historic loss properties and additional properties that are likely to experience the same or similar flood conditions but not have had any claims paid against the NFIP. Repetitive Loss Area Mapping The above list of unmitigated repetitive loss properties is not a complete list of properties at risk to repeat flood events. In accordance with the principles outlined in the CRS guidance titled Mapping Repetitive Loss Areas dated August 15, 2008, 21 repetitive loss areas were identified in Morehead City. To classify these repetitive loss areas, the FMPC and consulting team mapped the above list of FEMA-identified repetitive loss properties along with historical claim properties (those with one claim paid against the NFIP) and identified additional surrounding properties with similar flood conditions. The resulting 21 repetitive loss areas are indexed in Figure 6.12 and shown in detail in Figure 6.13 through Figure 6.32. The structure count within each repetitive loss area is detailed in Table 6.16 below. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 92 Floodplain Management Plan Table 6.16 – Structures in Repetitive Loss Areas Repetitive Loss Area Number of Structures 1 3 2 25 3 6 4 3 5 9 6 4 7 5 8 3 9 7 10 9 11 4 12 6 13 6 14 10 15 8 16 41 17 7 18 4 19 5 20 6 21 4 Total 175 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 93 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NFIP Repetitive Loss Data, 11/30/16 Figure 6.11 – Morehead City Repetitive Loss Areas Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 94 Floodplain Management Plan Source: NFIP Repetitive Loss Data, 11/30/16 Figure 6.12 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping Index Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 95 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.13 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 1 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 96 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.14 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 2 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 97 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.15 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 3 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 98 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.16 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 4 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 99 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.17 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 5 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 100 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.18 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 6 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 101 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.19 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 7 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 102 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.20 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 8 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 103 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.21 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 9 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 104 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.22 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 10 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 105 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.23 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 11 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 106 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.24 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 12 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 107 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.25 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 13 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 108 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.26 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 14 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 109 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.27 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 15 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 110 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.28 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 16 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 111 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.29 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 17 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 112 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.30 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 18 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 113 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.31 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 19 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 114 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.32 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 20 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 115 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.33 – Repetitive Loss Area Mapping, Area 21 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 116 Floodplain Management Plan Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding Probability Impact Spatial Extent Warning Time Duration Highly Likely Minor Small 6 to 12 hours <24 hours Future Development The risk of localized flooding to future development can be minimized by accurate recordkeeping of repetitive localized storm activity and an evaluation of regional drainage issues. Mitigating the root causes of the localized flooding or choosing not to develop in areas that often are subject to localized flooding will reduce future risks of losses due to this hazard. Figure 6.12 shows repetitive loss and localized stormwater flooding in relation to future land use and watershed boundaries within the Town. An analysis of future land use along with current known flooding locations indicates that an increase in future flooding can likely be expected in the Newport Marshes-Lower Newport River and Carrot Island-Beaufort Inlet watersheds, especially in areas of high density development. Based on the land use and development mapped for these areas, not only will more property be exposed due to new construction, but the associated increase in impervious surface and reduction in flood storage are as will increase the vulnerability of existing property within these watersheds. Property at Risk Localized flooding occurs at various times throughout the year with several areas of primary concern to the Town. Localized flooding and ponding affect streets and property. Figure 6.35 depicts three areas where localized flooding and drainage problems overlap with repetitive loss properties and suggests a possible correlation between some localized flooding and repetitive loss properties. The areas of localized flooding were identified by the Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Department. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 117 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Department; NFIP Repetitive Loss Data, 11/30/2016 Figure 6.34 – Localized Flooding and Repetitive Loss Locations Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 118 Floodplain Management Plan Source: Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Department; NFIP Repetitive Loss Data, 11/30/2016 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 119 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.35 – Repetitive Loss Areas and Stormwater Hotspots Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 120 Floodplain Management Plan Dam Failure Probability Impact Spatial Extent Warning Time Duration Unlikely Minor Negligible <6 hours <6 hours Given the current dam inventory and historic data, a dam breach is unlikely (less than 1 percent annual probability) in the future. However, regular monitoring is necessary to prevent these events and they can occur. As noted in Section 5.2, there is one high hazard dam (Walker Millpond Dam) with the potential to affect the Town of Morehead City in the event of a dam failure. Walker Millpond Dam’s height is 15 feet and its storage is 806 acre-feet according to the NC Dam Inventory and the USACE National Inventory of Dams. In the event of a failure of the Walker Millpond Dam, there is one commercial structure at risk of inundation with a value of $464,159.70. Assuming a contents value of 100% the building value (per Hazus methodology) the total exposure to dam inundation is $928,319.40. The flood risk associated with Walker Millpond Dam has been determined by performing a dam breach analysis, which consists of modeling a dam failure and evaluating the resulting downstream hydraulics. The failure scenario was modeled using the Decision Support System for Water Infrastructural Security (DSS-WISE) tool. DSS-WISE uses a 2D model called CCHE2D-FLOOD, which models mixed flow regimes and wetting and drying, in combination with GIS-based decision support tools, which support flood mapping and consequence analysis. Once the failure scenario was modeled, a flood inundation map was generated to show the extent of the flooding resulting from dam failure. The flood inundation map for Walker Millpond Dam is provided in Figure 6.36 on the following page. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 121 Floodplain Management Plan Source: North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality, March 2017 Figure 6.36 – Potential Flood Inundation Map for Walker Millpond Dam Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 122 Floodplain Management Plan Hurricane/Tropical Storm Probability Impact Spatial Extent Warning Time Duration Likely Critical Large >24 hours <1 week The heavy rains associated with tropical weather systems are not only responsible for major flooding in areas where the storm initially strikes, but can also affect areas hundreds of miles inland. Torrential rains from hurricanes and tropical storms can produce extensive urban and riverine flooding, especially if the storm systems are large and slow moving. Winds from these storms located offshore can drive ocean water up the mouth of a river or canal, compounding the severity of inland overbank flooding. In addition to the combined destructive forces of wind, rain, and lightning, hurricanes can cause a surge in the ocean, which can raise the sea level as high as 25 feet or more in the strongest hurricanes. As a hurricane approaches the coast, its winds drive water toward the shore. Once the edge of the storm reaches the shallow waters of the continental shelf, the water begins to pile up. Winds of hurricane strength eventually force the water onto the shore. At first, the water level climbs slowly, but as the eye of the storm approaches, water rises rapidly. Furthermore, storm surge can also cause extensive damage on the backside of a hurricane as storm surge waters are sucked back out to sea. Natural resources, particularly beaches, are devastated by hurricanes. The erosion of the coastline is considerable due to the impact of wind, waves, and debris in a hurricane event. Storm surge and subsequent erosion of the shoreline often leads to the loss of property The Atlantic basin hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th. The Atlantic basin includes the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico. Figure 6.37 shows the progress of a typical hurricane season in terms of the total number of tropical systems and hurricanes produced throughout the year in the Atlantic basin. The curves represent the average cumulative production of all named tropical systems, all hurricanes, and those hurricanes which were Category 3 or stronger in those basins. Source: NOAA/National Hurricane Center Figure 6.37 – Average Number of Tropical Storms per Year (Atlantic Basin) Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 123 Floodplain Management Plan Properties at Risk Table 6.17 through 6.20 provide a summary of assets at risk to hurricane surge based on each hurricane category. Each hurricane category is depicted in Figures 6.16 through 6.20 on the following pages. The assets at risk estimate for each hurricane category is based on the total of improved and contents value. Table 6.17 – Properties at Risk to Category 1 Storm Surge Occupancy Type Total Building Value Estimated Content Value Total Value (Building and Contents) Agricultural $351,890.00 $351,890.00 $703,780.00 Commercial $18,633,006.00 $18,633,006.00 $37,266,012.00 Education $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Government $25,195,035.00 $25,195,035.00 $50,390,070.00 Industrial $868,656.00 $1,302,984.00 $2,171,640.00 Religious $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Residential $77,371,495.00 $38,685,747.50 $116,057,242.50 Total $122,420,082.00 $84,168,662.50 $206,588,744.50 Table 6.18 – Properties at Risk to Category 2 Storm Surge Occupancy Type Total Building Value Estimated Content Value Total Value (Building and Contents) Agricultural $351,890.00 $351,890.00 $703,780.00 Commercial $58,755,336.00 $58,755,336.00 $117,510,672.00 Education $28,066,076.00 $28,066,076.00 $56,132,152.00 Government $40,031,122.00 $40,031,122.00 $80,062,244.00 Industrial $5,591,919.00 $8,387,878.50 $13,979,797.50 Religious $8,342,884.00 $8,342,884.00 $16,685,768.00 Residential $629,356,951.00 $314,678,475.50 $944,035,426.50 Total $770,496,178.00 $458,613,662.00 $1,229,109,840.00 Table 6.19 – Properties at Risk to Category 3 Storm Surge Occupancy Type Total Building Value Estimated Content Value Total Value (Building and Contents) Agricultural $396,579.00 $396,579.00 $793,158.00 Commercial $95,169,468.00 $95,169,468.00 $190,338,936.00 Education $41,472,713.00 $41,472,713.00 $82,945,426.00 Government $44,200,248.00 $44,200,248.00 $88,400,496.00 Industrial $13,636,419.00 $20,454,628.50 $34,091,047.50 Religious $17,840,667.00 $17,840,667.00 $35,681,334.00 Residential $793,432,540.00 $396,716,270.00 $1,190,148,810.00 Total $1,006,148,634.00 $616,250,573.50 $1,622,399,207.50 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 124 Floodplain Management Plan Table 6.20 – Properties at Risk to Category 4 Storm Surge Occupancy Type Total Building Value Estimated Content Value Total Value (Building and Contents) Agricultural $396,579.00 $396,579.00 $793,158.00 Commercial $164,620,042.00 $164,620,042.00 $329,240,084.00 Education $68,582,610.00 $68,582,610.00 $137,165,220.00 Government $45,031,099.00 $45,031,099.00 $90,062,198.00 Industrial $23,100,693.00 $34,651,039.50 $57,751,732.50 Religious $26,781,189.00 $26,781,189.00 $53,562,378.00 Residential $1,129,963,786.00 $564,981,893.00 $1,694,945,679.00 Total $1,458,475,998.00 $905,044,451.50 $2,363,520,449.50 Table 6.21 – Properties at Risk to Category 5 Storm Surge Occupancy Type Total Building Value Estimated Content Value Total Value (Building and Contents) Agricultural $396,579.00 $396,579.00 $793,158.00 Commercial $205,601,094.00 $205,601,094.00 $411,202,188.00 Education $103,587,656.00 $103,587,656.00 $207,175,312.00 Government $46,345,555.00 $46,345,555.00 $92,691,110.00 Industrial $24,940,070.00 $37,410,105.00 $62,350,175.00 Religious $28,815,653.00 $28,815,653.00 $57,631,306.00 Residential $1,249,556,953.00 $624,778,476.50 $1,874,335,429.50 Total $1,659,243,560.00 $1,046,935,118.50 $2,706,178,678.50 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 125 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.38 – Category 1 Storm Surge Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 126 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.39 – Category 2 Storm Surge Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 127 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.40 – Category 3 Storm Surge Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 128 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.41 – Category 4 Storm Surge Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 129 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 6.42 – Category 5 Storm Surge Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 130 Floodplain Management Plan 6.5 PRIORITY RISK INDEX RESULTS Table 6.21 summarizes the degree of risk assigned to each identified hazard using the PRI method. Table 6.22 – Summary of PRI Results Hazard Probability Impact Spatial Extent Warning Time Duration PRI Score Climate Change/Sea Level Rise Highly Likely Minor Small >24 hours >1 week 2.4 100-/500-year Flood Possible Limited Moderate 6 to 12 hours <1 week 2.4 Stormwater/Localized Flooding Highly Likely Minor Small 6 to 12 hours <24 hours 2.4 Dam Failure Unlikely Minor Negligible <6 hours <6 hours 1.3 Hurricane/Tropical Storm Likely Critical Large >24 hours <1 week 3.0 The results from the PRI have been classified into three categories based on the assigned risk value which are summarized in Table 6.22 below:  Low Risk – Minimal potential impact. The occurrence and potential cost of damage to life and property is minimal.  Medium Risk – Moderate potential impact. This ranking carries a moderate threat level to the general population and/or built environment. Here the potential damage is more isolated and less costly than a more widespread disaster.  High Risk – Widespread potential impact. This ranking carries a high threat to the general population and/or built environment. The potential for damage is widespread. Table 6.23 – Summary of Hazard Risk Classification High Risk (2.5 – 3.0) Hurricane/Tropical Storm Moderate Risk (2.0 – 2.4) Climate Change/Sea Level Rise 100-/500-year Flood Stormwater/Localized Flooding Low Risk ( < 2.0) Dam Failure Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 131 Floodplain Management Plan 7 CAPABILITY ASSESSMENT Table 3.27 lists regulatory mitigation capabilities, including planning and land management tools, typically used by local jurisdictions to implement hazard mitigation activities and indicates those that are in place in the Town of Morehead City. Table 7.1 – Regulatory Mitigation Capabilities Regulatory Tool (ordinances, codes, plans) Y/N Date Comments Comprehensive Plan N Land Use Plan Y 2007 Core Land Use Plan Zoning Ordinance Y 2001 Town of Morehead City Unified Development Ordinance (UDO) Subdivision Ordinance Y 2001 Town of Morehead City UDO Floodplain Ordinance Y 2001 Town of Morehead City UDO Stormwater Ordinance Y 2001 Town of Morehead City UDO, State regulatory standards applied Erosion, Sedimentation and Pollution Control Ordinance Y 2001 Town of Morehead City UDO, State regulatory standards applied Building Code Y 2001 North Carolina State Building Code BCEGS Rating Y 2009 7 – Residential, 7 - Commercial Stormwater Management Program N Site Plan Review Requirements Y 2001 Town of Morehead City UDO Capital Improvements Plan Y Local Emergency Operations Plan Y 2015, 2016 Police Department Disaster Response Plan, Police Department Hazard Plan, Fire Department Operations Guide Flood Insurance Study or Other Engineering Study for Streams Y 2004 FEMA Flood Insurance Study Repetitive Loss Plan Y 2016 Repetitive Loss Area Analysis (internal) Elevation Certificates Y Administrative/Technical Mitigation Capabilities Table 3.28 identifies personnel responsible for activities related to mitigation and loss prevention in the Town of Morehead City. Table 7.2 – Administrative/Technical Capabilities Resource Y/N Responsible Department Planner or Engineer with knowledge of land development/land management practices Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Engineer or Professional trained in construction practices related to buildings and/or infrastructure Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Planner, Engineer, or Scientist with an understanding of natural hazards Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Personnel skilled in GIS Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Full time building official Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Floodplain Manager Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Emergency Manager Y Carteret County Emergency Management Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 132 Floodplain Management Plan Resource Y/N Responsible Department Grant writer Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections GIS data – Flood Hazard areas Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections GIS data – Critical facilities Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections GIS data – Land use Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections GIS data – Building footprints Y Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections GIS data – Links to Assessor’s data Y Carteret County Emergency Management Warning Systems/Services (CTY System) Y Carteret County Emergency Management Fiscal Mitigation Capabilities Table 3.29 identifies financial tools or resources that the Town could potentially use to help fund mitigation activities. Table 7.3 – Fiscal Mitigation Capabilities Resource Accessible/Eligible to Use (Y/N) Community Development Block Grants Y Capital improvements project funding Y Authority to levy taxes for specific purposes Y* Fees for water, sewer, gas or electric services Y Impact fees for new development Y** Incur debt through general obligation bonds Y Incur debt through special tax bonds Y Incur debt through private activity bonds n/a * Could be done with the establishment of a Municipal Service District, but no such District currently exists ** Impact fees are collected for parks and water access areas if the development does not provide such areas Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 133 Floodplain Management Plan 8 MITIGATION STRATEGY This section describes the mitigation strategy process and mitigation action plan for the Town of Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan. It describes how the Town met the following requirements from the 10-step planning process: • Planning Step 6: Set Goals • Planning Step 7: Review Possible Activities • Planning Step 8: Draft an Action Plan 8.1 MITIGATION STRATEGY: OVERVIEW The results of the planning process, the risk assessment, the goal setting, and the identification of mitigation actions led to the mitigation strategy and mitigation action plan for this FMP. Section 8.2 below identifies the goals and objectives of this plan and Section 8.4 details the new mitigation action plan. The following umbrella mitigation strategy was developed for this FMP: Communicate the hazard information collected and analyzed through this planning process as well as FMPC success stories so that the community better understands what can happen where and what they themselves can do to be better prepared. Implement the action plan recommendations of this plan. Use existing rules, regulations, policies, and procedures already in existence. Monitor multi-objective management opportunities so that funding opportunities may be shared and packaged and broader constituent support may be garnered. Continued Compliance with the NFIP Given the flood hazards in the planning area, an emphasis will be placed on continued compliance with the NFIP and participation in the CRS. The Town meets or exceeds the following minimum requirements as set by the NFIP: • Issuing or denying floodplain development/building permits • Inspecting all development to assure compliance with the local ordinance • Maintaining records of floodplain development • Assisting in the preparation and revision of floodplain maps • Helping residents obtain information on flood hazards, floodplain map data, flood insurance and proper construction measures The Town of Morehead City’s Planning and Inspections Department is responsible for the review and approval of all development applications to the Town. Once a development begins construction, there are multiple, periodic on-site inspections performed by trained inspection staff to ensure compliance before construction can proceed toward completion. The Planning and Inspections Department also maintains the record of all map revisions and changes received from FEMA. As a part of the services offered to the public, the Department provides FEMA floodplain mapping information, flood insurance Requirement §201.6(c)(3): [The plan shall include] a mitigation strategy that provides the jurisdiction’s blueprint for reducing the potential losses identified in the risk assessment, based on existing authorities, policies, programs and resources, and its ability to expand on and improve these existing tools. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 134 Floodplain Management Plan program information, flooding hazards, and proper construction methods within the special flood hazard area. The CRS was created in 1990. It is designed to recognize floodplain management activities that are above and beyond the NFIP’s minimum requirements. The Town of Morehead City is currently classified as a Class 8 community, which gives a 10% premium discount to individuals in the Special Flood Hazard Area, and a 5% discount to policyholders outside the Special Flood Hazard Area. The following is a summary of the CRS Activities for which the Town of Morehead City currently receives credit based on the 2012 verification report: Activity 310 – Elevation Certificates: The Town of Morehead City Inspections Department maintains elevation certificates for new and substantially improved buildings. Copies of elevation certificates are made available upon request. Activity 320 – Map Information Service: Credit is provided for furnishing inquirers with flood zone information from the community’s latest FIRM, publicizing the service annually and maintaining records. Activity 330 – Outreach Projects: A community brochure is mailed to all properties in the community on an annual basis. An outreach brochure is distributed annually to all properties in the community’s SFHA. The community also provides flood information through displays at public buildings. Activity 340 – Hazard Disclosure: Credit is provided for state and community regulations requiring disclosure of flood hazards. Activity 350 – Flood Protection Information: Documents relating to floodplain management are available in the reference section of the Carteret County Library. Credit is also provided for floodplain information displayed on the community’s website. Activity 410 – Additional Flood Data: Credit is provided for conducting and adopting flood studies for areas not included on the FIRMs and that exceed minimum mapping standards. Credit is also provided for cooperating technical partnership agreements with FEMA. Activity 420 – Open Space Preservation: Credit is provided for preserving approximately 13 acres in the SFHA as open space. Credit is also provided for open space land that is deed restricted and preserved in a natural state. Activity 430 – Higher Regulatory Standards: Credit is provided for enforcing regulations that require freeboard for new and substantial improvement construction, protection of natural and beneficial functions, and state mandated regulatory standards. Credit is also provided for the adoption and implementation of the International Series of Building Codes. Activity 440 – Flood Data Maintenance: Credit is provided for maintaining and using GIS maps in the day to day management of the floodplain. Activity 450 – Stormwater Management: The community enforces regulations for soil and erosion control and water quality. Activity 510 – Floodplain Management Planning: Based on the updates made to the NFIP Report of Repetitive Losses as of January 31, 2011, the Town of Morehead City has 18 repetitive loss properties and is a Category C community for CRS purposes. All requirements for the 201 2 cycle have been met. Credit is provided for the adoption and implementation of the Floodplain Management Plan. Since the Town of Morehead City is a Category C community with an approved Floodplain Management/Hazard Mitigation Plan, a progress report must be submitted on an annual basis. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 135 Floodplain Management Plan Activity 540 – Drainage System Maintenance: A portion of the community’s drainage system is inspected regularly throughout the year and maintenance is performed as needed by the Morehead City Public Works Department. Records are being maintained for both inspections and required maintenance. The community also enforces a regulation prohibiting dumping in the drainage system. Activity 610 – Flood Warning Program: Credit is provided for a program that provides timely identification of impending flood threats, disseminates warnings to appropriate floodplain residents, and coordinates flood response activities. Activity 630 – Dam Safety: All North Carolina communities currently receive CRS credit for the State’s dam safety program. Post-Disaster Response, Recovery and Mitigation The Town of Morehead City also seeks to incorporate actions associated with emergency services in its floodplain management planning. The Town has already developed multiple plans for post-disaster emergency management, including a Disaster Response Plan (2016), a Hazard Plan (2016), and a Fire Department Operations Guide (2015). These plans establish the duties of all personnel involved in disaster response and clarify all pertinent procedures, including communications, evacuation, and sheltering. The Town of Morehead City is also included in regional plans to address emergency management, namely NCEM’s Coastal Region Evacuation and Sheltering Field Operation Guide (2011), which identifies evacuation routes (highways 70 and 24), shelters, and action items to improve emergency transportation. Evacuation routes for the Town of Morehead City, as identified in the NCEM Coastal Region Evacuation and Sheltering Field Operation Guide, are shown in Figure 8.1 on the following page. Hurricane storm surge models, shown in Section 6.4.5 Hurricane/Tropical Storm indicate areas likely to require evacuation in the event of a hurricane. Based on these models, a category 1 storm would require minimal evacuation. A category 2 storm could require some residents to seek local sheltering, and may result in an influx of residents from nearby barrier island communities seeking temporary shelter. A category 3 storm is likely to require more substantial evacuation or sheltering of residents near all waterfront areas of the Town due to storm surge along the Bogue Sound, Calico Creek, and Newport River. A category 4 or category 5 storm will likely require a full evacuation of Morehead City. It should be noted that these models do not predict storm surge, and actual storm surge heights may exceed the estimates shown. Additionally, these storm surge models do not incorporate other hurricane impacts that may exacerbate flooding and necessitate evacuation, including hurricane strength winds and rain. Therefore, these models should be interpreted as a minimum impact scenario. Actual evacuation advisories are issued by emergency management in the event of a storm. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 136 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 8.1 – Evacuation Routes Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 137 Floodplain Management Plan Additionally, the Town of Morehead City has a qualified, on-call post-disaster contractor to coordinate immediate response and recovery in the event of a disaster. Also related to emergency services are post-disaster redevelopment and mitigation procedures. After a disaster, communities should undertake activities to protect public health and safety and facilitate recovery. Appropriate response measures followed by the Town of Morehead City include: • Providing safe drinking water • Monitoring for diseases • Vaccinating residents for tetanus and other diseases • Clearing streets • Cleaning up debris and garbage Following a disaster, there should also be an effort to help prepare people and property for future hazards. The Town of Morehead City’s disaster recovery procedures include the following actions: • Public information activities to advise residents about mitigation measures they can incorporate into their reconstruction work • Evaluating damaged public facilities to identify mitigation measures that can be included during repairs • Identifying other mitigation measures that can lessen the impact of the next disaster • Acquiring substantially or repeatedly damaged properties from willing sellers • Planning for long-term mitigation activities • Applying for post-disaster mitigation funds Regulating Reconstruction The Town of Morehead City also enforces reconstruction regulations to ensure that mitigation is integrated into recovery. Requiring permits for building repairs and conducting inspections are vital activities to ensure that damaged structures are safe for people to reenter and repair. There is a special requirement to do this in floodplains, regardless of the type of disaster or the cause of damage. The NFIP requires that local officials enforce the substantial damage regulations. These rules require that if the cost to repair a building in the mapped floodplain equals or exceeds 50% of the building's market value, the building must be retrofitted to meet the standards of a new building in the floodplain. In most cases, this means that a substantially damaged building must be elevated above the base flood elevation. Local Implementation The Town’s Floodplain Management Ordinance requires that all new residential construction or substantial improvement shall have the lowest floor, including the basement, elevated to no lower than one foot above the base flood elevation. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 138 Floodplain Management Plan 8.2 GOALS AND OBJECTIVES Section 4 documents the flood hazards and associated risks that threaten the Town of Morehead City, and Section 5 assesses the vulnerability of structures, infrastructure, and critical facilities. Section 6 evaluates the capacity of the Town to reduce the impact of those hazards. The intent of Goal Setting is to identify areas where improvements to existing capabilities (policies and programs) can be made so that community vulnerability is reduced. Goals are also necessary to guide the review of possible mitigation measures. This Plan needs to make sure that recommended actions are consistent with what is appropriate for the Town. Mitigation goals need to reflect community priorities and should be consistent with other plans in the Town.  Goals are general guidelines that explain what is to be achieved. They are usually broad -based policy type statements, long term and represent global visions. Goals help define the benefits that the plan is trying to achieve.  Objectives are short term aims, when combined, form a strategy or course of action to meet a goal. Unlike goals, objectives are specific and measurable. Coordination with Other Planning Efforts The goals of this plan need to be consistent with and complement the goals of other planning efforts. The primary planning document where the goals of this Plan must complement and be consistent with is the Town of Morehead City Land Use Plan. The Land Use Plan is important as it is developed and designed to guide future growth within the community. Therefore, there should be some consistency in the overall goals and how they relate to each other. Likewise, the goals of the Pamlico Sound Regional Hazard Mitigation Plan play an important role as it also focuses on flood hazards and mitigation projects. Goal Setting Exercise On February 16, 2017, the FMPC conducted an exercise to outline and recommend goals for this Floodplain Management Plan. The first part of the exercise involved asking each committee member: “What should be the goals of our mitigation program?” Each member was given a handout which appears in Figure 8.2 along with a full summary of responses. Committee members discussed their choices with the larger committee membership. There was some consistency in the members’ topics. The committee members’ prevailing goals are listed below: • Protect people’s lives • Make sure future development doesn’t make things worse • Protect homes • Protect wetlands and environmentally sensitive areas The second part of the exercise involved asking each committee member to evaluate potential goals for Morehead City’s Floodplain Management Plan by agreeing or disagreeing with each potential goal. Committee members were also asked to suggest other goals they felt would be appropriate. Again, each member received a handout which appears in Figure 8.3 along with a full summary of responses. The goal statements selected by committee members were in line with what they wanted to see in Morehead City’s future. The exercise revealed important information to guide the planning effort. For example, members stressed the importance of protecting lives and property, as well as preserving wetlands and environmentally sensitive areas. Requirement §201.6(c)(3)(i): [The mitigation strategy section shall include a] description of mitigation goals to reduce or avoid long-term vulnerabilities to the identified hazards. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 139 Floodplain Management Plan Resulting Goals and Objectives At the end of the exercises, the FMPC agreed upon four general goals for this planning effort. The FMPC also included objectives in support of the goals. The refined goals and objectives are as follows: Goal 1 – Reduce vulnerability and exposure to flood hazards in order to protect the health, safety and welfare of residents and guests. Objective 1.1: Advise the community of the safety and health precautions to implement before, during, and after a flood. Objective 1.2: Publish the locations (roads and intersections) which often flood after heavy rain events or major storms. Objective 1.3: Educate everyone on the benefits of improved water quality and associated habitat. Objective 1.4: Identify the location of vulnerable populations to aid in emergency evacuations. Objective 1.5: Conduct site investigations, research exposure and hazard data, and evaluate proposed modifications to repair and mitigate stormwater management problems. Goal 2 – Reduce damage to development through flood resilient strategies and measures. Objective 2.1: Prioritize capital improvement projects to address areas where poor drainage causes substantial flooding. Objective 2.2: Encourage development outside the special flood hazard area (1%-annual-chance flood). Objective 2.3: Use the most effective approaches to protect buildings from flood damage, including elevation, acquisition, and other retrofitting techniques where appropriate. Objective 2.4: Encourage property owners to assume an appropriate level of responsibility for their own protection, including the purchase of flood insurance. Goal 3 – Protect natural resources by employing watershed-based approaches that balance environmental, economic and engineering considerations. Objective 3.1: Maintain and enforce regulations to protect and restore wetlands and ecological functions for long-term environmental, economic and recreational values. Objective 3.2: Pursue water management approaches and techniques that improve water quality and protect public health. Objective 3.3: Preserve and maintain open space in flood prone areas to reduce flood damage to buildings and to provide recreational benefits. Objective 3.4: Continue to protect wetlands and environmentally sensitive areas from encroachment of development by requiring buffers and other setback mechanisms. Goal 4 – Encourage property owners, through education and outreach measures, to protect their homes and businesses from flood damage. Objective 4.1: Educate property owners, including repetitive loss properties, on FEMA grant programs and other methods in order to mitigate possible flood damage. Objective 4.2: Provide current flood-proofing and retrofitting information to property owners. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 140 Floodplain Management Plan Objective 4.3: Effectively communicate flood risk to residents, businesses, contractors, realtors and prospective buyers. Objective 4.4: Enhance community web pages to provide comprehensive flood protection and flood preparedness information. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 141 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 8.2 – Handout for Goals Exercise, Part 1 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 142 Floodplain Management Plan Figure 8.3 – Handout for Goals Exercise, Part 2 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 143 Floodplain Management Plan Table 8.1 – Goal Setting Response Summary Goal Number of times selected Help people protect themselves 2 Make sure future development doesn’t make things worse 3 Maximize the share paid by benefiting property owners 1 Maximize use of state and federal funds 2 Minimize property owner’s expenditures 2 Minimize public expenditures 1 Protect businesses from damage 2 Protect homes 3 Protect new/future buildings 1 Protect people’s lives 6 Protect public health 1 Protect public services (fire, police, etc.) 2 Protect repetitively flooded areas 1 Protect wetlands/environmentally sensitive areas 3 Restrict development in hazardous areas 1 Other 1* *Response to other: “educate public on risk and retrofitting” Note: Those goal options from Figure 7.1 above that are not shown here received zero (0) votes. Table 8.2 – Potential Goals Response Summary Goal Agree Disagree Comments Reduce vulnerability and exposure to flood hazards in order to protect the health, safety and welfare of residents and guests 8 0 encourage development that avoids increasing future hazards Encourage property owners, through education and outreach measures, to protect their homes and businesses from flood damage 9 0 Reduce the vulnerability of critical facilities and infrastructure from the effects of flood hazards 7 1 reduce vulnerability of all buildings and infrastructure, including homes Protect natural resources by employing watershed-based approaches that balance environmental, economic and engineering considerations 7 0 LID Reduce damage to insurable buildings in repetitively flooded areas 5 2 educate homeowners about risk/grants to retrofit homes in repetitive loss areas; explore grants to purchase properties Expand the Town's flood hazard communication and outreach program 7 1 Reduce damage to development through flood resilient strategies and measures 7 0 Other goal suggestions 1 Protect wetlands and natural floodplain functions Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 144 Floodplain Management Plan 8.3 IDENTIFICATION AND ANALYSIS OF MITIGATION ACTIVITIES To identify and select mitigation projects that support the mitigation goals, each hazard identified in Section 4 Hazard Identification was evaluated. The following were determined to be priority flood-related hazards: • Climate Change and Sea Level Rise • Hurricane and Tropical Storm • Flood: 100-/500-year • Flood: Stormwater/ Localized Flooding • Dam/Levee Failure Once it was determined which flood hazards warranted the development of specific mitigation actions, the FMPC analyzed viable mitigation options that supported the identified goals and objectives. The FMPC was provided with the following list of mitigation categories which are utilized as part of the CRS planning process. • Prevention (Required to be evaluated) • Property Protection • Natural Resource Protection • Emergency Services • Structural Projects • Public Information and Outreach The FMPC was also provided with examples of potential mitigation actions for each of the above categories. The FMPC was instructed to consider both future and existing buildings in evaluating possible mitigation actions. A facilitated discus sion then took place to examine and analyze the options. Appendix B, Mitigation Strategy, provides a detailed discussion organized by CRS mitigation category of possible mitigation alternatives to assist the Town in the review and identification of possible mitigation activities. This comprehensive review of possible mitigation activities details why some were appropriate for implementation and why others were not. As promoted by CRS, Prevention-type mitigation alternatives were discussed for the flood hazards. This discussion was followed by a brainstorming session that generated a list of preferred mitigation actions by hazard. Prioritization Process Once the mitigation actions were identified, the FMPC was provided with several decision-making tools, including FEMA’s recommended prioritization criteria, STAPLEE sustainable disaster recovery criteria; Smart Growth principles; and others, to assist in deciding why one recommended action might be more important, more effective, or more likely to be implemented than another. STAPLEE stands for the following: • Social: Does the measure treat people fairly? (e.g. different groups, different generations) • Technical: Is the action technically feasibly? Does it solve the problem? • Administrative: Are there adequate staffing, funding and other capabilities to implement the project? Requirement §201.6(c)(3)(ii): [The mitigation strategy section shall include a] section that identifies and analyzes a comprehensive range of specific mitigation actions and projects being considered to reduce the effects of each hazard, with particular emphasis on new and existing buildings and infrastructure. All plans approved by FEMA after October 1, 2008, must also address the jurisdiction’s participation in the NFIP, and continued compliance with NFIP requirements, as appropriate. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 145 Floodplain Management Plan • Political: Who are the stakeholders? Will there be adequate political and public support for the project? • Legal: Does the jurisdiction have the legal authority to implement the action? Is it legal? • Economic: Is the action cost-beneficial? Is there funding available? Will the action contribute to the local economy? • Environmental: Does the action comply with environmental regulations? Will there be negative environmental consequences from the action? In accordance with the DMA requirements, an emphasis was placed on the importance of a benefit-cost analysis in determining action priority. It was agreed that the following four criteria would be used to determine the priority of the action items: • Contribution of the action to save life or property • Availability of funding and perceived cost-effectiveness • Available technical and administrative resources for implementation • Ability of the action to address the problem With these criteria in mind, FMPC members were asked to prioritize each mitigation project based on whether the project should be considered a short term, medium range or long range priority. The priority time frames for project implementation were determined to be as follows: Short Range = Project should be completed in le ss than one year Medium Range = Project should be completed in two to three years Long Range = Project should be completed in m ore than four years The process of identification and analysis of mitigation alternatives allowed the FMPC to come to consensus and to prioritize recommended mitigation actions. The FMPC discussed the contribution of the action to saving lives or property as first and foremost, with additional consideration given to the benefit-cost aspect of a project; however, this was not a quantitative analysis. The team agreed that prioritizing the actions collectively enabled the actions to be ranked in order of relative importance and helped steer the development of additional actions that meet the more important objectives while eliminating some of the actions which did not garner much support. Benefit-cost was also considered in greater detail in the development of the Mitigation Action Plan detailed below in Section 8 .4. The cost-effectiveness of any mitigation alternative will be considered in greater detail through performing benefit-cost project analyses when seeking FEMA mitigation grant funding for eligible actions associated with this plan. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 146 Floodplain Management Plan 8.4 MITIGATION ACTION PLAN This action plan was developed to present the recommendations developed by the FMPC for how the Town of Morehead City can reduce the risk and vulnerability of people, property, infrastructure, and natural and cultural resources to future disaster losses. Emphasis was placed on both future and existing development. The action plan summarizes who is responsible for implementing each of the prioritized actions as well as when and how the actions will be implemented. Each action summary also includes a discussion of the benefit-cost review conducted to meet the regulatory requirements of the Disaster Mitigation Act. Table 8.3 identifies the mitigation actions. It is important to note that the Town of Morehead City has many existing, detailed action descriptions, which include benefit-cost estimates, in other planning documents, such as capital improvement plans and budget reports. These actions are considered part of this plan, and the details, to avoid duplication, should be referenced in their original source document. The FMPC also realizes that new needs and priorities may arise as a result of a disaster or other circumstances and reserves the right to support new actions, as necessary, as long as they conform to the overall goals of this plan. Further, it should be clarified that the actions included in this mitigation strategy are subject to further review and refinement; alternatives analyses; and reprioritization due to funding availability and/or other criteria. The Town is not obligated by this document to implement any or all of these projects. Rather, this mitigation strategy represents the desires o f the community to mitigate the risks and vulnerabilities from identified hazards. The actual selection, prioritization, and implementation of these actions will also be further evaluated in accordance with the CRS mitigation categories and criteria contained in Appendix B. Requirement §201.6(c)(3)(iii): [The mitigation strategy section shall include an] action plan describing how the actions identified in section (c)(3)(ii) will be prioritized, implemented, and administered by the local jurisdiction. Prioritization shall include a special emphasis on the extent to which benefits are maximized according to a cost benefit review of the proposed projects and their associated costs. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 147 Floodplain Management Plan Table 8.3 – Summary of Town of Morehead City Mitigation Actions Action Item Project Priority Goals Addressed Mitigation Category Responsible Department/ Agency/Person Funding Source Timeframe 1 Provide flood emergency information to the public on health, safety, evacuation routes and home safety through a variety of outreach materials including direct mail, websites and through other outside agencies High 1, 2 Emergency Services Emergency Manger and Planning Department Operating Budget 12 months 2 Maintain and update the Carteret County Continuity of Operations plan to ensure that Morehead City governmental operations can be ongoing after a flooding event including post-disaster reconstruction policies Medium 1, 2 Emergency Services Emergency Manager and Heads from each Town Department Operating Budget 24 months 3 Maintain and/or establish backup generators at all community designated critical facilities including those which will house displaced victims from flood events Medium 1, 2 Emergency Services Public Services Operating Budget 24 to 36 months 4 Keep on call qualified post-disaster contractor to include essential services and equipment and ability to help secure reimbursement of NCEM and FEMA funding Medium 1, 2 Emergency Services Emergency Manager and Town Manager Operating Budget & FEMA Reimbursement 24 to 36 months 5 The FMPC will meet quarterly to ensure implementation of the Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan High 1, 2, 3, 4 Prevention, Property Protection, Natural Resources, Structural Projects, Emergency Services & Outreach Projects Planning Department and other staff members on the FMPC Operating Budget Quarterly Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 148 Floodplain Management Plan 6 Integrate new greenway and public park improvements into comprehensive planning and capital improvement Planning and coordinate with CAMA Land Use Planning Low 1, 3 Prevention & Natural Resources Planning Department and Parks & Recreation Department Operating Budget and the NC Parks & Recreation Trust Fund, Federal Recreation Trails Program, and the Connect NC Bond Grant Program 48 to 60 Months 7 Review and update Town’s Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance to ensure compliance with FEMA and NCEM requirements and/or to add new higher regulatory standards High 1, 2, 3, 4 Prevention & Property Protection Planning Department Staff Time 12 months 8 Promote grant funding to target repetitive loss property owners to mitigate against future flooding Low 1, 2, 4 Property Protection Planning Department FEMA/NCEM Funding 48 to 60 months 9 Send Flood Outreach Brochure to all residents within the SFHA, Repetitive Loss Areas and those in Dam Inundation Zone to education them on how to better protect themselves from flood damage High 1, 2, 3, 4 Prevention, Property Protection, Natural Resources, Outreach Projects Planning Department Staff time and Operating Budget 12 months 10 Church Street Drainage Improvement Project to improve localized stormwater flooding Medium 1, 2 Structural Projects Public Works Department CIP Funding 24 to 36 months 11 Blair Farms Parkway Culvert Replacement Project to improve localized stormwater flooding Medium 1, 2 Structural Projects Public Works Department CIP Funding 24 to 36 months 12 Test additional flap/tidal gates at end of stormwater outlets that outfall into the sound around the 9th and 14th street areas to help Medium 1, 2 Property Protection & Structural Projects Public Works Department Operating Budget 24 to 36 months Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 149 Floodplain Management Plan eliminate localized stormwater flooding 13 Investigate the implementation of pump stations at various locations where there are localized stormwater flooding problems Medium 1, 2 Property Protection & Structural Projects Public Works Department Operating Budget 24 to 36 months 14 Where possible encourage Low Impact Development (LID) techniques to promote a natural approach to stormwater management Low 1, 2, 3 Prevention, Property Protection and Natural Resources Planning Department & Public Works Department Staff Time 48 to 60 months 15 Consider where appropriate shoreline restoration bringing the coastline back to a natural setting Low 1, 2, 3 Property Protection and Natural Resources Planning Department & Public Works Department Grant Funding & Operating Budget 48 to 60 months 16 Educate public that ¾” of rain in one hour can cause significant stormwater flooding issues in the 14 identified “hot spot” areas High 1, 2, 4 Property Protection and Outreach Projects Planning Department Staff Time 12 months 17 Educate public that nothing should go down the storm drains except rainwater including installing no dumping sign on top of drains High 1, 2, 3, 4 Property Protection, Natural Resources and Outreach Projects Planning Department & Public Works Department Staff Time and Operating Budget 12 months 18 Protect wetlands and conservation areas through enforcement of the comprehensive and zoning regulations in the Town and consider additional set back regulations to protect other water features Medium 1, 2 Prevention and Natural resources Planning Department Staff Time 24 to 36 months Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 150 Floodplain Management Plan 8.5 DETAILED MITIGATION ACTIONS 1. Provide flood emergency information to the public on health, safety, evacuation routes and home safety through a variety of outreach materials including direct mail, websites and through other outside agencies Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year; Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding; Hurricane/Tropical Storm Issue/Background: Residents and visitors are more likely to take preparedness and mitigation actions if they are aware of the risk they face. Other Alternatives: No action; however, this is an on-going effort and is requested by the public. Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented : Planning & Inspections staff capabilities Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department will provide the most relevant up-to- date flood emergency preparation and response information to all residents through annual outreach and other efforts. Priority: High Cost Estimate: Staff time, funds for informational mailings Benefits (Losses Avoided): Local property owners are equipped with the information to allow them to protect themselves from losses and more quickly recover from a flood event. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town of Morehead City’s operating budget. Timeframe: 12 months 2. Maintain and update the Carteret County Continuity of Operations plan to ensure that Morehead City governmental operations can be ongoing after a flooding event including post-disaster reconstruction policies. Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year; Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding; Hurricane/Tropical Storm; Dam Failure Issue/Background: Emergency operations plans are necessary to ensure effective post-disaster response and recovery that takes advantage of opportunities for hazard mitigation. Other Alternatives: No action; coordination with Carteret County on Continuity of Operations is essential along with developing post-disaster reconstruction policies. Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented : Planning & Development Services staff capabilities Responsible Office: The Emergency Manager and heads from each Town Department Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: Staff time Benefits (Losses Avoided): Ability to have local functions operational after flood event and reduce time for recovery efforts. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town of Morehead City’s operating budget. Timeframe: 24 months 3. Maintain and/or establish backup generators at all community designated critical facilities including those which will house displaced victims from flood events. Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year; Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding; Hurricane/Tropical Storm; Dam Failure Issue/Background: Critical facilities which operate as either evacuation centers, emergency management centers, or pump flood waters or sewage should be protected from flood damage so they perform without Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 151 Floodplain Management Plan interruption. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: N/A Responsible Office: The Town Manager and Emergency Manager Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: $15,000 to $50,000 Benefits (Losses Avoided): Keeping critical facilities and evacuation centers functioning. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town of Morehead City’s operating budget. Timeframe: 24 to 36 months 4. Keep on call qualified post-disaster contractor to include essential services and equipment and the ability to help secure reimbursement of NCEM and FEMA funding. Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year, Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding; Hurricane/Tropical Storm; Dam Failure Issue/Background: It is important that a contractor is in place to manage cleanup after a flooding disaster. Other Alternatives: No action; the Town would be forced to negotiate a contract post-disaster at a time of great resource strain Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: N/A Responsible Office: Town Manager and Emergency Manager Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: Unknown Benefits (Losses Avoided): The Town is able to immediately begin response and recovery activities without time and resources lost to planning and logistics during critical post-disaster hours. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town of Morehead City’s operating budget and FEMA reimbursement. Timeframe: 24 to 36 months 5. The FMPC will meet quarterly to ensure implementation of the Morehead City Floodplain Management Plan. Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year, Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding; Hurricane/Tropical Storm; Dam Failure; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: It is important for the FMPC to meet on a regular basis to make sure the plan’s action items are being implemented. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: The Plan Maintenance Section of the Floodplain Management Plan Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department and other staff members on the FMPC. Priority: High Cost Estimate: Staff Time Benefits (Losses Avoided): The plan will receive regular attention and be integrated into Potential Funding: The project will be funded through the Town of Morehead City’s operating budget. Timeframe: Quarterly 6. Integrate new greenway and public park improvements into comprehensive planning and capital improvement planning and coordinate with CAMA Land Use Planning. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 152 Floodplain Management Plan Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year, Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding Issue/Background: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department can coordinate existing planning efforts with hazard mitigation goals in order to ensure consistency across the Town’s planning efforts and ensure land use decisions consider hazard risk and mitigation opportunities. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Planning & Inspections Department and Parks & Recreation Department staff capabilities Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department and Parks & Recreation Department Priority: Low Cost Estimate: Staff Time Benefits (Losses Avoided): Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town’s operating budget along with the NC Parks & Recreation Trust Fund, Federal Recreation Trails Program, and the Connect NC Bond Grant Program. Timeframe: 48 to 60 months 7. Review and update Town’s Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance to ensure compliance with FEMA and NCEM requirements and/or to add new higher regulatory standards. Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year, Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding Issue/Background: Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Planning & Inspections Department staff capabilities Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department Priority: High Cost Estimate: Staff time Benefits (Losses Avoided): Renters are protected from content losses in repetitively flooded areas. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for through Town staff time. Timeframe: 12 months 8. Promote grant funding to target repetitive loss property owners to mitigate against future flooding. Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year, Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding Issue/Background: Repetitive Loss Properties are a drain on the National Flood Insurance Program Funds and reducing the number of repetitive loss properties will help to increase the solvency of the fund. Other Alternatives: Reliance on property owners to mitigate Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: The City’s Stormwater Management Program Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department Priority: Low Cost Estimate: N/A Based on individual situation Benefits (Losses Avoided): Mitigation and avoidance of flood losses in repetitively flooded areas. Potential Funding: The project will be funded entirely through FEMA and NCEM funding. Timeframe: 48 to 60 months 9. Send Flood Outreach Brochure to all residents within the SFHA, Repetitive Loss Areas and those in Dam Inundation Zone to education them on how to better protect themselves from flood damage. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 153 Floodplain Management Plan Hazards Addressed: Flood: 100-/500-year, Flood: Stormwater/Localized Flooding Issue/Background: Education of residents is important so they can better protect themselves. Other Alternatives: No action; reliance on property owners to take action. Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Website and direct mail. Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department Priority: High Cost Estimate: $5,000 Benefits (Losses Avoided): Mitigation and avoidance of flood losses in repetitively flooded areas. Citizens gain open space/recreational area which improves quality of life in the City. Potential Funding: The project will be funded through staff time and the Town of Morehead City’s operating budget. Timeframe: 12 months 10. Church Street Drainage Improvement Project to improve localize stormwater flooding. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Eliminate localized stormwater flooding and draining issues which create traffic hazards. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Capital Improvements Plan Responsible Office: The Town’s Public Works Department Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: $143,000 Benefits (Losses Avoided): Reduce property damage and allow traffic to pass without travelling through the area. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by capital improvements planning funding. Timeframe: 24 to 36 months 11. Blair Farms Parkway Culvert Replacement Project to improve localized stormwater flooding. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Drainage problem on Blair Farms Parkway creates localized flooding from undersized culvert and inadequate drainage. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Capital Improvements Plan Responsible Office: The Town’s Public Works Department Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: $169,206 (Drainage portion $38,000) Benefits (Losses Avoided): Reduce property damage and allow traffic to pass without travelling through the area. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by capital improvements planning funding. Timeframe: 24 to 36 months 12. Test additional flap/tidal gates at end of stormwater outlets that outfall into the sound around the 9th and 14th street areas to help eliminate localized stormwater flooding. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Stormwater backup creates localized drainage problems in area of Morehead City Other Alternatives: No action Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 154 Floodplain Management Plan Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Capital Improvements Plan Responsible Office: The Town’s Public Works Department Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: Each flap gate - $3,700 Benefits (Losses Avoided): Reduced localized stormwater and backup storm drain flooding. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town’s operating budget. Timeframe: 24 to 36 months 13. Investigate the implementation of pump stations at various locations where there are localized stormwater flooding problems. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: 14 areas in the Town have been identified as having localized stormwater flooding where ¾” of rainfall in one hour can cause flooding in these locations. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented : Stormwater Management Regulations. Responsible Office: The Town’s Public Works Department Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: $250,000 to $1,000,000 Benefits (Losses Avoided): Reduced flooding at various locations throughout the Town. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by grant funding and the Town’s operating budget. Timeframe: 24 to 36 months 14. Where possible encourage Low Impact Development (LID) techniques to promote a natural approach to stormwater management. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Flood: 100-/500-year; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Low level stormwater flooding is increased through the addition of impervious surfaces. LID techniques help to reduce impervious surface and manage stormwater on site. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Storm Water Management Regulations Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department and Public Works Department Priority: Low Cost Estimate: N/A Developer pays for cost of LID Benefits (Losses Avoided): Decreased stormwater flooding Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town staff time. Timeframe: 48 to 60 months 15. Consider where appropriate shoreline restoration bringing the coastline back to a natural setting. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Flood: 100-/500-year; Hurricane/Tropical Storm; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Coastal flooding is a major issue as sea level rise increases along the coast Other Alternatives: Increase hardening coastlines Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Capital Improvements Plan Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department and Public Works Department Priority: Low Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 155 Floodplain Management Plan Cost Estimate: Vary by length of shoreline restored Benefits (Losses Avoided): Bring shoreline back to a natural setting to increase native plant and animal habitat and promote natural floodplain functions. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town’s operating budget and grant funding. Timeframe: 48 to 60 months 16. Educate public that ¾” of rain in one hour can cause significant stormwater flooding issues in the 14 identified “hot spot” areas. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Only a small amount of rainfall within a short one hour period can cause major flooding issues throughout the Town. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Outreach and educational materials. Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department Priority: High Cost Estimate: $1,000 to $3,000 Benefits (Losses Avoided): Better educated public along with reduced property damage and potential traffic issues. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by Town staff time. Timeframe: 12 months 17. Educate public that nothing should go down the storm drains except rainwater including installing no dumping sign on top of drains. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Property owners often dump leaves, grass clippings and other debris down storm drain inlets. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented: Outreach and educational materials. Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department and Public Works Department Priority: High: Cost Estimate: $1,000 to $3,000 Benefits (Losses Avoided): Cleaner streams and water features where storm drains outlet. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by the Town’s operating budget and staff time. Timeframe: 12 months 18. Protect wetlands and conservation areas through enforcement of the comprehensive and zoning regulations in the Town and consider additional set back regulations to protect other water features. Hazards Addressed: Flood: Localized/Stormwater; Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Issue/Background: Wetlands play a critical role in the environment as areas for flood storage which can protect other developed areas. Other Alternatives: No action Existing Planning Mechanism(s) through which Action Will Be Implemented : Zoning and Comprehensive Planning. Responsible Office: The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 156 Floodplain Management Plan Priority: Medium Cost Estimate: Staff Time Benefits (Losses Avoided): Protection of wetlands and waterways to maintain flood storage capacity and protection of the natural floodplain functions in the Town. Potential Funding: The cost will be paid for by Town staff time. Timeframe: 24 to 36 months Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 157 Floodplain Management Plan 9 PLAN ADOPTION The purpose of formally adopting this plan is to secure buy-in from the Town of Morehead City, raise awareness of the plan, and formalize the plan’s implementation. The adoption of this plan completes Planning Step 9 of the 10-step planning process: Adopt the Plan, in accordance with the requirements of DMA 2000. The Town of Morehead City Council has adopted the Floodplain Management Plan by passing a resolution. A copy of the executed resolution is shown below. Requirement §201.6(c)(5): [The plan shall include] documentation that the plan has been formally approved by the governing body of the jurisdiction requesting approval of the plan (e.g., City Council, County Commissioner, Tribal Council). Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 158 Floodplain Management Plan 10 PLAN IMPLEMENTATION AND MAINTENANCE Implementation and maintenance of the plan is critical to the overall success of hazard mitigation planning. This is Planning Step 10 of the 10-step planning process. This section provides an overview of the overall strategy for plan implementation and maintenance and outlines the method and schedule for monitoring, updating, and evaluating the plan. The section also discusses incorporating the plan into existing planning mechanisms and how to address continued public involvement. 10.1 IMPLEMENTATION Once adopted, the plan must be implemented to be effective. While this plan contains many worthwhile actions, the Town of Morehead City will need to decide which action(s) to undertake first. The priority assigned the actions in the planning process and funding availability will affect that decision. Low or no- cost actions most easily demonstrate progress toward successful plan implementation. An important implementation mechanism that is highly effective and low-cost is incorporation of the Floodplain Management Plan recommendations and their underlying principles into other plans and mechanisms, such as the Town Land Use Plan. The Town already implements policies and programs to reduce losses to life and property from hazards. This plan builds upon the momentum developed through previous and related planning efforts and mitigation programs and recommends implementing actions, where possible, through these other program mechanisms. Mitigation is most successful when it is incorporated into the day-to-day functions and priorities of government. Implementation will be accomplished by adhering to the schedules identified for each action and through constant, pervasive, and energetic efforts to network and highlight the multi-objective, win- win benefits to each program and the community. This effort is achieved through the routine actions of monitoring agendas, attending meetings, and promoting a safe, sustainable community. Additional mitigation strategies could include consistent and ongoing enforcement of existing policies and vigilant review of programs for coordination and multi-objective opportunities. Simultaneous to these efforts, it is important to maintain a constant monitoring of funding opportunities that can be leveraged to implement some of the costlier recommended actions. This will include creating and maintaining a bank of ideas on how to meet local match or participation requirements. When funding does become available, the Town will be positioned to capitalize on the opportunity. Funding opportunities to be monitored include special pre- and post-disaster funds, state and federal earmarked funds, benefit assessments, and other grant programs, including those that can serve or support multi - objective applications. Responsibility for Implementation of Goals and Activities Elected officials, officials appointed to head community departments and community staff are charged with implementation of various activities in the plan. During the quarterly reviews as described later in this section, an assessment of progress on each of the goals and activities in the plan will be determined and noted. At that time, recommendations will be made to modify timeframes for completion of activities, funding resources, and responsible entities. On a quarterly basis, the priority standing of various activities may also be changed. Some activities that are found not to be doable may be deleted from the plan entirely and activities addressing problems unforeseen during plan development may be added. Requirement §201.6(c)(4): [The plan maintenance process shall include a] section describing the method and schedule of monitoring, evaluating, and updating the mitigation plan within a five-year cycle. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 159 Floodplain Management Plan Role of FMPC in Implementation, Monitoring and Maintenance With adoption of this plan, the Town will be responsible for the plan implementation and maintenance. The FMPC identified in Section 2 will reconvene quarterly each year to ensure that mitigation strategies are being implemented and that the Town continues to maintain compliance with the NFIP. As such, the Town agrees to continue its relationship with the FMPC and: • Act as a forum for flood mitigation issues; • Disseminate flood mitigation ideas and activities to all participants; • Pursue the implementation of high-priority, low/no-cost recommended actions; • Ensure flood mitigation remains a consideration for community decision makers; • Maintain a vigilant monitoring of multi-objective cost-share opportunities to help the community implement the plan’s recommended actions for which no current funding exists; • Monitor and assist in implementation and update of this plan; • Report on plan progress and recommended revisions to the City Council; and • Inform and solicit input from the public. The FMPC’s primary duty moving forward is to see the plan successfully carried out and report to the Town Council, NCEM, FEMA, and the public on the status of plan implementation and mitigation opportunities. Other duties include reviewing and promoting mitigation proposals, considering stakeholder concerns about flood mitigation, passing concerns on to appropriate entities, and posting relevant information on the Town’s website (and others as appropriate). 10.2 MAINTENANCE Plan maintenance implies an ongoing effort to monitor and evaluate plan implementation and to update the plan as progress, roadblocks, or changing circumstances are recognized. Maintenance Schedule The Town of Morehead City’s Planning & Inspections Department is responsible for initiating plan reviews. In order to monitor progress and update the mitigation strategies identified in the action plan, the Town will revisit this plan quarterly and following a hazard event. The Town will submit a five-year written update to NCEM and FEMA Region IV, unless disaster or other circumstances (e.g., changing regulations) require a change to this schedule. With this plan update anticipated to be fully approved and adopted in 2017, the next plan update for Morehead City will occur in 2022. Maintenance Evaluation Process Evaluation of progress can be achieved by monitoring changes in vulnerabilities identified in the plan. Changes in vulnerability can be identified by noting: • Decreased vulnerability as a result of implementing recommended actions; • Increased vulnerability as a result of failed or ineffective mitigation actions; and/or • Increased vulnerability as a result of new development (and/or further annexation). Updates to this plan will: • Consider changes in vulnerability due to action implementation; • Document success stories where mitigation efforts have proven effective; • Document areas where mitigation actions were not effective; • Document any new hazards that may arise or were previously overlooked; • Incorporate new data or studies on hazards and risks; • Incorporate new capabilities or changes in capabilities; Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 160 Floodplain Management Plan • Incorporate growth and development-related changes to infrastructure inventories; and • Incorporate new action recommendations or changes in action prioritization. Changes will be made to the plan during the update process to accommodate for actions that have failed or are not considered feasible after a review of their consistency with established criteria, time frame, community priorities, and/or funding resources. Actions that were not ranked high but were identified as potential mitigation activities will be reviewed as well during the monitoring and update of this plan to determine feasibility of future implementation. Updating of the plan will be by written changes and submissions, as is appropriate and necessary, and as approved by the Town Council. In keeping with the five-year update process, the FMPC or similar committee will convene public meetings to solicit public input on the plan and its routine maintenance and the final product will be adopted by the Town Council. Specifically, the Town will adhere to the following process for the next update of this FMP: Quarterly Plan Review Process For the 2017 Floodplain Management Plan update review process, the Town of Morehead City’s Planning & Inspections Department will be responsible for facilitating, coordinating, and scheduling reviews and maintenance of the plan. The review of the Floodplain Management Plan will be conducted as follows: • The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department will reconvene the FMPC or similar committee to meet and review the progress toward implementation of the plan’s mitigation action plan. This review will evaluate the progress made on implementation of each mitigation action listed in Section 8.4 Mitigation Action Plan. • Meetings of the FMPC shall be published in accordance with local rules regarding public notice. • Prior to the review, department heads and others tasked with implementation of the various activities will be queried concerning progress on each activity in their area of responsibility and asked to present a report at the review meeting. • After each quarterly meeting, minutes of the meeting and a status report will be prepare d by the Town’s Planning & Inspections Department. • The results of each quarterly FMPC meeting will be made available to the local news media and the Town Council for informational purposes. • The Town’s Planning & Inspections Department will maintain copies of minutes and status reports to provide to ISO/FEMA as part of the community’s annual recertification to the CRS program. Criteria for Annual Reviews in Preparation for 5-Year Update The criteria recommended in 44 CFR 201 and 206 will be utilized in reviewing and updating the plan. More specifically, annual reviews will monitor changes to the following information: • Community growth or change in the past quarter. • The number of substantially damaged or substantially improved structures by flood zone. • The renovations to public infrastructure including water, sewer, drainage, roads, bridges, gas lines, and buildings. • Natural hazard occurrences that required activation of the Emergency Operations Center (EOC) and whether the event resulted in a presidential disaster declaration. • Natural hazard occurrences that were not of a magnitude to warrant activation of the EOC or a federal disaster declaration but were severe enough to cause damage in the community or closure of businesses, schools, or public services. • The dates of hazard events descriptions. • Documented damages due to the event. • Closures of places of employment or schools and the number of days closed. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 161 Floodplain Management Plan • Road or bridge closures due to the hazard and the length of time closed. • Assessment of the number of private and public buildings damaged and whether the damage was minor, substantial, major, or if buildings were destroyed. The assessment will include residences, mobile homes, commercial structures, industrial structures, and public buildings, such as schools and public safety buildings. • Review of any changes in federal, state, and local policies to determine the impact of these policies on the community and how and if the policy changes can or should be incorporated into the Floodplain Management Plan. Review of the status of implementation of projects (mitigation strategies) including projects completed will be noted. Projects behind schedule will include a reason for delay of implementation. Incorporation into Existing Planning Mechanisms Another important implementation mechanism that is highly effective and low-cost is incorporation of the Floodplain Management Plan recommendations and their underlying principles into other plans and mechanisms. Where possible, plan participants will use existing plans and/or programs to implement hazard mitigation actions. As previously stated, mitigation is most successful when it is incorporated into the day-to-day functions and priorities of government and development. As described in this plan’s capability assessment, the Town of Morehead City already implements policies and programs to reduce losses to life and property from hazards. This plan builds upon the momentum developed through previous and related planning efforts and mitigation programs and recommends implementing actions, where possible, through these other program mechanisms. These existing mechanisms include: • Hazard Mitigation Plans • Land Use Plans • Emergency Management Plans • Ordinances • Other plans, regulations, and practices with a mitigation focus Those involved in these other planning mechanisms will be responsible for integrating the findings and recommendations of this plan with these other plans, programs, etc., as appropriate. As described in Section 10.1 Implementation, incorporation into existing planning mechanisms will be done through the routine actions of: • Monitoring other planning/program agendas; • Attending other planning/program meetings; • Participating in other planning processes; and • Monitoring community budget meetings for other community program opportunities. The successful implementation of this mitigation strategy will require constant and vigilant review of existing plans and programs for coordination and multi-objective opportunities that promote a safe, sustainable community. Efforts should continuously be made to monitor the progress of mitigation actions implemented through other planning mechanisms and, where appropriate, their priority actions should be incorporated into updates of this Floodplain Management Plan. Continued Public Involvement Continued public involvement is imperative to the overall success of the plan’s implementation. The update process provides an opportunity to solicit participation from new and existing stakeholders and to publicize success stories from the plan implementation and seek additional public comment. The plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 162 Floodplain Management Plan maintenance and update process will include continued public and stakeholder involvement and input through attendance at designated committee meetings, web postings, press releases to local media, and through public hearings. Public Involvement Process for Quarterly Reviews The public will be noticed by placing an advertisement on the Town’s website specifying the date and time for the review and inviting public participation. Public Involvement for Five-year Update When the FMPC reconvenes for the five-year update, they will coordinate with all stakeholders participating in the planning process—including those that joined the committee since the planning process began—to update and revise the plan. In reconvening, the FMPC will be responsible for coordinating the activities necessary to involve the greater public, including disseminating information through a variety of media channels detailing the plan update process. As part of this effort, public meetings will be held and public comments will be solicited on the plan update draft. The subcommittee will also coordinate this public outreach process with the program for public information established pursuant to the most current guidelines from the CRS. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 163 Floodplain Management Plan APPENDIX A PLANNING PROCESS Planning Step 1: Organize to Prepare the Plan Council Resolution Supporting the Plan Development Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 164 Floodplain Management Plan Council Resolution Authorizing the Plan Development Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 165 Floodplain Management Plan Council Minutes Appointing the FMPC Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 166 Floodplain Management Plan Table A-1: FMPC Meeting Dates Note: All FMPC Meetings were open to the public. Meeting Type Meeting Topic Meeting Date Meeting Location FMPC #1 (Kick-off) 2) Introduction to DMA, CRS and the planning process January 12, 2017 4:30 – 5:30 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Organize resources: the role of the FMPC, planning for public involvement, and coordinating with other agencies and stakeholders FMPC #2 2) Discussion of Program for Public Information (PPI) February 16, 2017 4:00 – 5:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Discuss/develop mitigation goals for the 2017 FMP FMPC #3 4) Review preliminary goals April 3, 2017 10:30 – 11:30 a.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 5) Review/discussion of Flood Risk Assessment (Assess the Hazard) 6) Review/discussion of Vulnerability Assessment (Assess the Problem) FMPC #4 3) Review/discussion of Flood Risk and Vulnerability Assessment May 24, 2017 4:00 – 5:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 4) Discuss/develop mitigation strategies for the 2017 FMP FMPC #5 3) Review “Draft” Floodplain Management Plan June 22, 2017 4:00 – 5:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 4) Solicit comments and feedback from the FMPC Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 167 Floodplain Management Plan Table A-2: FMPC Documentation Request and Invitation List First Name Last Name Organization/Position Email Address 1 Address 2 TOWN OF MOREHEAD CITY, NC FLOODPLAIN MANAGMENT PLAN LIST OF STAKEHOLDERS Educational Institutions 1 Andy Read Director, Duke University Nicholas School aread@duke.edu 135 Duke Marine Lab Rd Beaufort, NC 28516 2 Rick Luettich Director, UNC Institute of Marine Sciences rick_luettich@unc.edu 3431 Arendell Street Morehead City, NC 28557 3 Dr. Kerry Youngblood President, Carteret Community College youngbloodk@carteret.edu 3505 Arendell Street Morehead City, NC 28557 4 David Eggleston Director, North Carolina State University Center eggleston@ncsu.edu 303 College Circle Morehead City, NC 28557 Neighboring Communities 5 Mark Mansfield Carteret County Board of Commissioners Chairman mark.mansfield@carteretcountync.gov 302 Courthouse Square Beaufort, NC 28516 6 Richard Stanley Beaufort, Mayor r.stanley@beaufortnc.org 701 Front Street Beaufort, NC 28516 7 Angela Christian Newport, Town Manager achristian@townofnewport.com PO Box 1869 Newport, NC 28570 8 Trace Cooper, III Atlantic Beach, Mayor Tcooper@atlanticbeach-nc.com PO Box 10 Atlantic Beach, NC 28512 9 Kendall Jones Pine Knoll Shores, Mayor admin@townofpks.com 100 Municipal Circle Pine Knoll Shores, NC 28512 10 Eddie Barber Emerald Isle, Mayor ebarber@emeraldisle-nc.org 7500 Emerald Isle Drive Emerald Isle, NC 28594 11 Scott Hatsell Cedar Point, Mayor shatsell@cedarpointnc.org PO Box 1687 Cedar Point, NC 28584 12 Stewart Pickett Indian Beach, Mayor admin@indianbeach.org 1400 Salter Path Road Indian Beach, NC 28512 Federal Government 13 Susan Wilson FEMA Region IV, Chief, Floodplain Management & Insurance Branch susan.wilson@fema.dhs.gov 3003 Chamblee Tucker Rd. - Hollins Bldg. Atlanta, GA 30341 14 Janice Mitchell FEMA Region IV, Mitigation Division janice.mitchell@fema.dhs.gov 3003 Chamblee Tucker Rd. - Hollins Bldg. Atlanta, GA 30341 15 Mandy Todd ISO/CRS Specialist ktodd@iso.com 1993 Meadowood Lane Longs, SC 29568 16 Mike Bratcher ISO/CRS Specialist jbratcher@iso.com 213 West Broad Street Beulaville, NC 28518 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 168 Floodplain Management Plan First Name Last Name Organization/Position Email Address 1 Address 2 17 Eric Strom USGS - Raleigh Field Office dc_nc@usgs.gov 3916 Sunset Ridge Rd Raleigh, N.C. 27607 18 Belkys Melendez NOAA - National Weather Service belkys.melendez@noaa.gov 533 Roberts Road Newport, NC 28570 19 Tom Charles U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Regulatory Program thomas.p.charles@usace.army.mil 69 Darlington Avenue Wilmington, NC 28403 State Government 20 John Gerber State NFIP Coordinator john.gerber@ncdps.gov 4218 Mail Service Center Raleigh, NC 27699-4218 21 Chris Crew State Hazard Mitigation Officer john.crew@ncdps.gov 4218 Mail Service Center Raleigh, NC 27699-4218 22 Ryan Cox State Hazard Mitigation Planning Supervisor ryan.cox@ncdps.gov 4218 Mail Service Center Raleigh, NC 27699-4218 23 Georgette Scott NCDEQ Regional Office - Land Quality Section georgette.scott@ncdenr.gov 127 Cardinal Drive Ext. Wilmington, NC 28405 Business Community & Non-Profits Organizations 24 Vicki Labelle American Red Cross vicki.labelle@redcross.org 1102 South 16th Street Wilmington, NC 28401 25 Anna Harvey Carteret County News-Times anna@thenewstimes.com PO Box 1679 Morehead City, NC 28557 26 Kris Durham Crystal Coast Habitat for Humanity director@crystalcoasthabitat.org PO Box 789 Newport, NC 28570 27 Mr. Stacey Ellege Coastal Community Action stacey.ellege@coastalcommunityaction.com PO Box 729 Newport, NC 28570 28 Dr. Lexia Weaver North Carolina Coastal Federation lexiaw@nccoast.org 3609 Highway 24 Newport, NC 28570 29 Terry Edwards Carteret County Homebuilders Association admin@carterethba.com PO Box 1348 Morehead City, NC 28557 30 Lisa Rueh Downtown Morehead City Revitalization Association lisa@downtownmoreheadcity.com 1001 Arendell Street Morehead City, NC 28557 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 169 Floodplain Management Plan FMPC Meeting Agendas, Minutes and Sign-in Sheets Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 170 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 171 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 172 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 173 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 174 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 175 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 176 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 177 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 178 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 179 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 180 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 181 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 182 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 183 Floodplain Management Plan FMPC Meeting Pictures January 12, 2017 Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 184 Floodplain Management Plan Planning Step 2: Involve the Public Table A-3: Public Meeting Dates Meeting Type Meeting Topic Meeting Date Meeting Locations Public Meeting #1 1) Introduction to DMA, CRS and the planning process January 12, 2017 5:30 – 6:30 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Introduction to hazard identification Public Meeting #2 1) Review “Draft” Floodplain Management Plan June 22, 2017 5:00 – 6:00 p.m. Municipal Chambers 202 South 8th Street 2) Solicit comments and feedback from the FMPC Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 185 Floodplain Management Plan Meeting Advertisements on Town Website Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 186 Floodplain Management Plan Public Meeting Advertisement on Town Facebook Page Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 187 Floodplain Management Plan Local Newspaper Articles Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 188 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 189 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 190 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 191 Floodplain Management Plan Public Meeting Agendas, Minutes and Sign-in Sheets Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 192 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 193 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 194 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 195 Floodplain Management Plan Public Survey The Town of Morehead City distributed a public survey that requested public input into the Floodplain Management Plan planning process and the identification of mitigation activities that could lessen the risk and impact of future flood hazard events. The survey was provided on the Town’s website and at the front desk of Town Hall. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 196 Floodplain Management Plan Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 197 Floodplain Management Plan Public Survey posted on Town’s website CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 198 Floodplain Management Plan The Draft Risk and Vulnerability Assessment was posted for public review and comment on the Town website, and a copy was made available at Town Hall. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 199 Floodplain Management Plan The Town of Morehead City posted the entire Draft Floodplain Management Plan on its website for public review and comment. The plan was advertised on several web pages and on the Planning & Inspections Department’s Facebook page. A copy of the plan was also made available at Town Hall. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 200 Floodplain Management Plan CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 201 Floodplain Management Plan Planning Step 3: Coordinate This planning step credits the incorporation of other plans and other agencies’ efforts into the development of the Floodplain Management Plan. Other agencies and organizations must be contacted to determine if they have studies, plans and information pertinent to the Floodplain Management Plan, to determine if their programs or initiatives may affect the community’s program, and to see if they could support the community’s efforts. A sample coordination letter is provided below. A copy of all coordination letters can be provided upon request by the Town of Morehead City Planning & Inspections Department. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 202 Floodplain Management Plan APPENDIX B MITIGATION STRATEGY B.1 RISK ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY The conclusions drawn from the hazard profiling and vulnerability assessment process were used to prioritize all potential hazards to the Morehead City planning area. The Priority Risk Index (PRI) was applied to prioritize hazards because it provides a standardized numerical value so that hazards can be compared against one another (the higher the PRI value, the greater the hazard risk). PRI values are obtained by assigning varying degrees of risk to five categories for each hazard (probability, impact, spatial extent, warning time, and duration). Each degree of risk was assigned a value (1 to 4) and a weighting factor as summarized below in Table B.1. Table B.1 – Priority Risk Index RISK ASSESSMENT CATEGORY LEVEL DEGREE OF RISK CRITERIA INDEX WEIGHT PROBABILITY What is the likelihood of a hazard event occurring in a given year? UNLIKELY LESS THAN 1% ANNUAL PROBABILITY 1 30% POSSIBLE BETWEEN 1 & 10% ANNUAL PROBABILITY 2 LIKELY BETWEEN 10 &100% ANNUAL PROBABILITY 3 HIGHLY LIKELY 100% ANNUAL PROBABILTY 4 IMPACT In terms of injuries, damage, or death, would you anticipate impacts to be minor, limited, critical, or catastrophic when a significant hazard event occurs? MINOR VERY FEW INJURIES, IF ANY. ONLY MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE & MINIMAL DISRUPTION ON QUALITY OF LIFE. TEMPORARY SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES. 1 30% LIMITED MINOR INJURIES ONLY. MORE THAN 10% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED AREA DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES FOR > 1 DAY 2 CRITICAL MULTIPLE DEATHS/INJURIES POSSIBLE. MORE THAN 25% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED AREA DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES FOR > 1 WEEK. 3 CATASTROPHIC HIGH NUMBER OF DEATHS/INJURIES POSSIBLE. MORE THAN 50% OF PROPERTY IN AFFECTED AREA DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. COMPLETE SHUTDOWN OF CRITICAL FACILITIES > 30 DAYS. 4 SPATIAL EXTENT How large of an area could be impacted by a hazard event? Are impacts localized or regional? NEGLIGIBLE LESS THAN 1% OF AREA AFFECTED 1 20% SMALL BETWEEN 1 & 10% OF AREA AFFECTED 2 MODERATE BETWEEN 10 & 50% OF AREA AFFECTED 3 LARGE BETWEEN 50 & 100% OF AREA AFFECTED 4 WARNING TIME Is there usually some lead time associated with the hazard event? Have warning measures been implemented? MORE THAN 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 1 10% 12 TO 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 2 6 TO 12 HRS SELF DEFINED 3 LESS THAN 6 HRS SELF DEFINED 4 DURATION How long does the hazard event usually last? LESS THAN 6 HRS SELF DEFINED 1 10% LESS THAN 24 HRS SELF DEFINED 2 CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 203 Floodplain Management Plan RISK ASSESSMENT CATEGORY LEVEL DEGREE OF RISK CRITERIA INDEX WEIGHT LESS THAN 1 WEEK SELF DEFINED 3 MORE THAN 1 WEEK SELF DEFINED 4 The application of the PRI results in numerical values that allow identified hazards to be ranked, where the higher the PRI value, the greater the hazard risk. The sum of all five risk assessment categories equals the final PRI value, demonstrated in the equation below (the highest possible PRI value is 4.0). PRI VALUE = [(PROBABILITY x .30) + (IMPACT x .30) + (SPATIAL EXTENT x .20) + (WARNING TIME x .10) + (DURATION x .10)] The purpose of the PRI is to categorize and prioritize all potential hazards for the Morehead City planning area as high, moderate, or low risk, defined as follows:  Low Risk – Minimal potential impact. The occurrence and potential cost of damage to life and property is minimal.  Medium Risk – Moderate potential impact. This ranking carries a moderate threat level to the general population and/or built environment. Here the potential damage is more isolated and less costly than a more widespread disaster.  High Risk – Widespread potential impact. This ranking carries a high threat to the general population and/or built environment. The potential for damage is widespread. The summary hazard classifications generated through the use of the PRI allows for the prioritization of those high hazard risks for mitigation planning purposes. The following tables summarize the PRI results and the resulting Hazard Risk Classifications. Table B.2 – Summary of PRI Results Hazard Probability Impact Spatial Extent Warning Time Duration PRI Score Climate Change/Sea Level Rise Highly Likely Minor Small >24 hours >1 week 2.4 100-/500-year Flood Possible Limited Moderate 6 to 12 hours <1 week 2.4 Stormwater/Localized Flooding Highly Likely Minor Small 6 to 12 hours <24 hours 2.4 Dam Failure Unlikely Minor Negligible <6 hours <6 hours 1.3 Hurricane/Tropical Storm Likely Critical Large >24 hours <1 week 3.0 Table B.3 – Summary of Hazard Risk Classification High Risk (2.5 – 3.0) Hurricane/Tropical Storm Moderate Risk (2.0 – 2.4) Climate Change/Sea Level Rise 100-/500-year Flood Stormwater/Localized Flooding Low Risk ( < 2.0) Dam Failure CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 204 Floodplain Management Plan B.2 MITIGATION GOALS DEVELOPMENT B.2.1 Formulating Mitigation Goals On February 16, 2017, the FMPC conducted an exercise to outline and recommend goals for this Floodplain Management Plan. The first part of the exercise involved asking each committee member: “What should be the goals of our mitigation program?” Each member was given a handout which appears in Figure 7.1 along with a full summary of responses. Committee members discussed their choices with the larger committee membership. There was some consistency in the members’ topics. The committee members’ prevailing goals are listed below: • Protect people’s lives • Make sure future development doesn’t make things worse • Protect homes • Protect wetlands and environmentally sensitive areas The second part of the exercise involved asking each committee member to evaluate potential goals for Morehead City’s Floodplain Management Plan by agreeing or disagreeing with each potential goal. Committee members were also asked to suggest other goals they felt would be appropriate. Again, e ach member received a handout which appears in Figure 7.2 along with a full summary of responses. The goal statements selected by committee members were in line with what they wanted to see in Morehead City’s future. The exercise revealed important information to guide the planning effort. For example, members stressed the importance of protecting lives and property, as well as preserving wetlands and environmentally sensitive areas. GOALS: Goals are stated without regard for implementation; that is, implementation cost, schedule, and means are not considered. Goals are defined before considering how to accomplish them so tha t the goals are not dependent on the means of achievement. Goals are public policy statements that: • Represent basic desires of the jurisdiction; • Encompass all aspects of planning area, public and private; • Are nonspecific, in that they refer to the quality (not the quantity) of the outcome; • Are future-oriented, in that they are achievable in the future; and • Are time-independent, in that they are not scheduled events. B.2.2 Resulting Goals and Objectives At the end of the exercises, the FMPC agreed upon four general goals for this planning effort. The FMPC also included objectives in support of the goals. The refined goals and objectives for the Town of Morehead City are as follows: Goal 1 – Reduce vulnerability and exposure to flood hazards in order to protect the health, safety and welfare of residents and guests. Objective 1.1: Advise the community of the safety and health precautions to implement before, during, and after a flood. Objective 1.2: Publish the locations (roads and intersections) which often flood after heavy rain events or major storms. Objective 1.3: Educate everyone on the benefits of improved water quality and associated habitat. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 205 Floodplain Management Plan Objective 1.4: Identify the location of vulnerable populations to aid in emergency evacuations. Objective 1.5: Conduct site investigations, research exposure and hazard data, and evaluate proposed modifications to repair and mitigate stormwater management problems. Goal 2 – Reduce damage to development through flood resilient strategies and measures. Objective 2.1: Prioritize capital improvement projects to address areas where poor drainage causes substantial flooding. Objective 2.2: Encourage development outside the special flood hazard area (1%-annual-chance flood). Objective 2.3: Use the most effective approaches to protect buildings from flood damage, including elevation, acquisition, and other retrofitting techniques where appropriate. Objective 2.4: Encourage property owners to assume an appropriate level of responsibility for their own protection, including the purchase of flood insurance. Goal 3 – Protect natural resources by employing watershed-based approaches that balance environmental, economic and engineering considerations. Objective 3.1: Maintain and enforce regulations to protect and restore wetlands and ecological functions for long-term environmental, economic and recreational values. Objective 3.2: Pursue water management approaches and techniques that improve water quality and protect public health. Objective 3.3: Preserve and maintain open space in flood prone areas to reduce flood damage to buildings and to provide recreational benefits. Objective 3.4: Continue to protect wetlands and environmentally sensitive areas from encroachment of development by requiring buffers and other setback mechanisms. Goal 4 – Encourage property owners, through education and outreach measures, to protect their homes and businesses from flood damage. Objective 4.1: Educate property owners, including repetitive loss properties, on FEMA grant programs and other methods in order to mitigate possible flood damage. Objective 4.2: Provide current flood-proofing and retrofitting information to property owners. Objective 4.3: Effectively communicate flood risk to residents, businesses, contractors, realtors and prospective buyers. Objective 4.4: Enhance community websites to provide comprehensive flood protection and flood preparedness information. B.3 Categories of Mitigation Measures Considered The following categories are based on the Community Rating System. • Prevention • Property Protection • Natural Resource Protection • Emergency Services CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 206 Floodplain Management Plan • Structural Projects • Public Information and Outreach B.4 Alternative Mitigation Measures per Category Note: the CRS Credit Sections are based on the 2017 CRS Coordinator’s Manual. B.4.1 Preventative and Regulatory Measures Preventative measures are designed to keep a problem - such as flooding - from occurring or from getting worse. The objective of preventative measures is to ensure that future development is not exposed to damage and does not cause an increase in damages to other properties. Building, zoning, planning and code enforcement offices usually administer preventative measures. Some examples of types of preventative measures include: • Building codes • Zoning ordinance • Comprehensive or land use plan • Open space preservation • Floodplain regulations • Subdivision regulations • Stormwater management regulations Building Codes Building codes provide one of the best methods for addressing natural hazards. When properly designed and constructed according to code, the average building can withstand many of the impacts of natural hazards. Hazard protection standards for all new and improved or repaired buildings can be incorporated into the local building code. Building codes can ensure that the first floors of new buildings are constructed to be higher than the elevation of the 100-year flood (the flood that is expected to have a one percent chance of occurring in any given year). This is shown in Figure B.1. Just as important as having code standards is the enforcement of the code. Adequate inspections are needed during the course of construction to ensure that the builder understands the requirements and is following them. Making sure a structure is properly elevated and anchored requires site inspections at each step. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 207 Floodplain Management Plan Source: FEMA Publication: Above the Flood: Elevating Your Floodprone House, 2000 The Town of Morehead City has adopted the 2012 North Carolina Building Codes. In accordance with the 2012 North Carolina Building Code (Section 1804), the ground immediately adjacent to the foundation shall be sloped away from the building at a slope of not less than 5-percent for a minimum distance of 10 feet. For buildings and structures in flood hazard areas, the finished ground level of an under-floor space such as a crawl space shall be equal to or higher than the outside finished ground level on at least one side (Section 1805). In accordance with the 2012 North Carolina Residential Code (Section R401), lots shall be graded to drain surface water away from foundation walls. The grade shall fall a minimum of 6 inches within the first 10 feet. In accordance with the Town’s Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance (adopted June 2003), in all special flood hazard areas where BFE data has been provided, the elevation to which all structures and other development located within the special flood hazard areas must be elevated, or floodproofed if non- residential, shall be the BFE plus 1.0 feet of freeboard. Comprehensive or Land Use Plan Building codes provide guidance on how to build in hazardous areas. Planning and zoning activities direct development away from these areas, particularly floodplains and wetlands. They do this by designating land uses that are compatible with the natural conditions of land that is prone to flooding, such as open space or recreation. Planning and zoning activities can also provide benefits by simply allowing developers more flexibility in arranging improvements on a parcel of land through the planned deve lopment approach. Figure B.1 – Building Codes and Flood Elevations CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 208 Floodplain Management Plan The Morehead City Core Land Use Plan, was adopted in August of 2007. The plan was a requirement under the Coastal Area Management Act (CAMA). Morehead City decided to adopt a separate land use plan from Carteret County. This plan examined both existing and future conditions that could impact the County and Town such as housing, population characteristics and economic conditions. The Comprehensive Plan is intended to ensure that the Town grows in ways that enhances the community’s vitality and overall quality of life. The plan addresses neighborhood preservation, economic opportunities, a transportation system, development of parks and recreation facilities, and the protection of natural resources and environmental quality. Open Space Preservation Keeping the floodplain and other hazardous areas open and free from development is the best approach to preventing damage to new developments. Open space can be maintained in agricultural use or can serve as parks, greenway corridors and golf courses. Comprehensive and capital improvement plans should identify areas to be preserved by acquisition and other means, such as purchasing an easement. With an easement, the owner is free to develop and use private property, but property taxes are reduced or a payment is made to the owner if the owner agrees to not build on the part set aside in the easement. Although there are some federal programs that can help acquire or reserve open lands, open space lands and easements do not always have to be purchased. Developers can be encouraged to dedicate park land and required to dedicate easements for drainage and maintenance purposes. The Town of Morehead City has several parks and other public lands designated as open space. Along some water features such as marsh lands, certain portions of lots have restrictive regulations which prohibit any development including placement of fill (buffer requirements). Zoning Ordinance Morehead City zoning consists of both a zoning map and a written ordinance that divides the jurisdictions into zoning districts, including various residential, commercial, mixed-use and industrial districts. The zoning regulations describe what type of land use and specific activities are permitted in each district, and how to regulate how buildings, signs, parking, and other construction may be placed on a lot. The zoning regulations also provide procedures for rezoning and other planning applications. The zoning map and zoning regulations provide properties in Morehead City’s planning and zoning jurisdiction with certain rights to development. The Town’s planning area also includes an extraterritorial jurisdiction (ETJ) which encompasses an extra 7,681.9 acres surrounding the Town. The ETJ provides for a control on development adjacent to the City. Floodplain Regulations The Town of Morehead City’s UDO also contains flood damage prevention standards which apply to all special flood hazard areas within the Town and its extraterritorial jurisdiction. In all special flood hazard areas where Base Flood Elevation (BFE) data has been provided, the elevation to which all structures and other development located within the special flood hazard areas must be elevated, or floodproofed if non-residential, shall be the BFE plus 1.0 feet of freeboard. The ordinance also contains provisions for V- Zones which provide one extra foot of freeboard since these buildings are measured from the lowest horizontal member. Stormwater Management Regulations Stormwater runoff is increased when natural ground cover is replaced by urban development. Development in the watershed that drains to a river can aggravate downstream flooding, overload the CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 209 Floodplain Management Plan community's drainage system, cause erosion, and impair water quality. There are three ways to prevent flooding problems caused by stormwater runoff: 1) Regulating development in the floodplain to ensure that it will be protected from flooding and that it won't divert floodwaters onto other properties; 2) Regulating all development to ensure that the post-development peak runoff will not be greater than it was under pre-development conditions; and 3) Set construction standards so buildings are protected from shallow water. As required by state regulations, the Town monitors its drainage outfall into the White Oak River drainage basin, and manages development in water supply watersheds within its jurisdiction. The Town’s UDO requires that developments shall meet the North Carolina Stormwater Runoff Regulations and the Town’s Standards and Specifications for streets, sidewalks and drainage. Reducing Future Flood Losses Future flood losses in Morehead City will be reduced through the implementation of the 2012 North Carolina Building Code and the City’s 2003 Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance. Enforcement of the first floor elevation requirement will provide an extra level of protection for buildings constructed in the Town. Zoning and comprehensive planning can work together to reduce future flood losses by directing development away from hazard prone areas. Creating or maintaining open space is the primary way to reduce future flood losses. The Town of Morehead City has many open space and natural parcels which serve to reduce future flood losses by remaining open. These parks and natural preserved areas create opportunities for the public to benefit from education and recreation while eliminating poten tial for future flooding. Stormwater management and the requirement that post development runoff cannot exceed pre- development conditions is one way to prevent future flood losses. Retention and detention requirements also help to reduce future flood losses. CRS Credit The CRS encourages strong building codes. It provides credit in two ways: points are awarded based on the community's Building Code Effectiveness Grading Schedule (BCEGS) classification and points are awarded for adopting the International Code series. Morehead City’s BCEGS rating is a Class 7 for both residential and commercial. The FMPC did not recommend any projects related to the building code since the City is implementing the State of North Carolina Building Code. CRS credits are available for regulations that encourage developers to preserve floodplains or other hazardous areas away from development. There is no credit for a plan, only for the enforceable regulations that are adopted pursuant to a plan. Morehead City currently receives credit for Activity 430 – Higher Regulatory Standards. Additionally, Morehead City currently receives credit for Activity 420 – Open Space Preservation. Preserving flood prone areas as open space is one of the highest priorities of the Community Rating System. The credits in the 2017 manual have doubled for OSP (Open Space Preservation). The City also currently receives credit for Activity 450 – Stormwater Management. The community enforces regulations for stormwater management, soil and erosion control and water quality. The FMPC did not recommend any changes to the city’s Comprehensive Plan, Zoning Ordinance, Subdivision Ordinance or Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance. Conclusions • The zoning ordinance designates floodplain as a special type of district. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 210 Floodplain Management Plan • Conservation is designated as a special type of district on the future land use map. Recommendations • The City should continue to implement activities in the CRS Program under the guidance of the 2017 CRS Coordinator’s Manual • The City should consider creating an Open Space Plan and preserving conservation lands. • The FMPC recommended that the city continue to create open space through a variety of measures including buying out repetitive loss properties. B.4.2 Property Protection Measures Property protection measures are used to modify buildings or property subject to damage. Property protection measures fall under three approaches: • Modify the site to keep the hazard from reaching the building; • Modify the building (retrofit) so it can withstand the impacts of the hazard; and • Insure the property to provide financial relief after the damage occurs. Property protection measures are normally implemented by the property owner, although in many cases technical and financial assistance can be provided by a government agency. Keeping the Hazard Away Generally, natural hazards do not damage vacant areas. As noted earlier, the major impact of hazards is to people and improved property. In some cases, properties can be modified so the hazard does not reach the damage-prone improvements. For example, a berm can be built to prevent floodwaters from reaching a house. Flooding There are five common methods to keep a flood from reaching and damaging a building: • Erect a barrier between the building and the source of the flooding. • Move the building out of the flood-prone area. • Elevate the building above the flood level. • Demolish the building. • Replace the building with a new one that is elevated above the flood level. The last 3 approaches are the most effective types to consider in Morehead City. Barriers A flood protection barrier can be built of dirt or soil (a "berm") or concrete or steel (a "floodwall"). Careful design is needed so as not to create flooding or drainage problems on neighboring properties. Depending on how porous the ground is, if floodwaters will stay up for more than an hour or two, the design needs to account for leaks, seepage of water underneath, and rainwater that will fall inside the perimeter. This is usually done with a sump or drain to collect the internal groundwater and surface water and a pump and pipe to pump the internal drainage over the barrier. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 211 Floodplain Management Plan Barriers can only be built so high. They can be overtopped by a flood higher than expected. Barriers made of earth are susceptible to erosion from rain and floodwaters if not properly sloped, covered with grass, and properly maintained. Relocation Moving a building to higher ground is the surest and safest way to protect it from flooding. While almost any building can be moved, the cost increases for heavier structures, such as those with exterior brick and stone walls, and for large or irregularly shaped buildings. Relocation is also preferred for large lots that include buildable areas outside the floodplain or where the owner has a new flood-free lot (or portion of the existing lot) available. Building Elevation Raising a building above the flood level can be almost as effective as moving it out of the floodplain. Water flows under the building, causing little or no damage to the structure or its contents. Raising a building above the flood level is cheaper than moving it and can be less disruptive to a neighborhood. Elevation has proven to be an acceptable and reasonable means of complying with floodplain regulations that require new, substantially improved, and substantially damaged buildings to be elevated above the base flood elevation. Demolition Some buildings, especially heavily damaged or repetitively flooded ones, are not worth the expense to protect them from future damages. It is cheaper to demolish them and either replace them with new, flood protected structures, or relocate the occupants to a safer site. Demolition is also appropriate for buildings that are difficult to move - such as larger, slab foundation or masonry structures - and for dilapidated structures that are not worth protecting. Pilot Reconstruction If a building is not in good shape, elevating it may not be worthwhile or it may even be dangerous. An alternative is to demolish the structure and build a new one on the site that meets or exceeds all flood protection codes. FEMA funding programs refer to this approach as "pilot reconstruction." It is still a pilot program, and not a regularly funded option. Certain rules must be followed to qualify for federal funds for pilot reconstruction. Retrofitting An alternative to keeping the hazard away from a building is to modify or retrofit the site or building to minimize or prevent damage. There are a variety of techniques to do this, as described below. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 212 Floodplain Management Plan  Dry Floodproofing Dry floodproofing means making all areas below the flood protection level watertight. Walls are coated with waterproofing compounds or plastic sheeting. Openings, such as doors, windows and vents, are closed, either permanently, with removable shields, or with sandbags. Dry floodproofing of new and existing nonresidential buildings in the regulatory floodplain is permitted under state, FEMA and local regulations. Dry floodproofing of existing residential buildings in the floodplain is also permitted as long as the building is not substantially damaged or being substantially improved. Owners of buildings located outside the regulatory floodplain can always use dry floodproofing techniques. Dry floodproofing is only effective for shallow flooding, such as repetitive drainage problems. It does not protect from the deep flooding along lakes and larger rivers caused by hurricanes or other storms.  Wet Floodproofing The alternative to dry floodproofing is wet floodproofing: water is let in and everything that could be damaged by a flood is removed or elevated above the flood level. Structural components below the flood level are replaced with materials that are not subject to water damage. For example, concrete block walls are used instead of wooden studs and gypsum wallboard. The furnace, water heater and laundry facilities are permanently relocated to a higher floor. Where the flooding is not deep, these appliances can be raised on blocks or platforms.  Insurance Technically, insurance does not mitigate damage caused by a natural hazard. However, it does hel p the owner repair, rebuild, and hopefully afford to incorporate some of the other property protection measures in the process. Insurance offers the advantage of protecting the property, so long as the policy is in force, without requiring human intervention for the measure to work. Private Property Although most homeowner's insurance policies do not cover a property for flood damage, an owner can insure a building for damage by surface flooding through the NFIP. Flood insurance coverage is provided for buildings and their contents damaged by a "general condition of surface flooding" in the area. Most people purchase flood insurance because it is required by the bank when they get a mortgage or home improvement loan. Usually these policies just cover the building's structure and not the contents. Contents coverage can be purchased separately. Renters can buy contents coverage, even if the owner does not buy structural coverage on the building. Most people don't realize that there is a 30-day waiting period to purchase a flood insurance policy and there are limits on coverage. Public Property Governments can purchase commercial insurance policies. Larger local governments often self- insure and absorb the cost of damage to one facility, but if many properties are exposed to damage, self-insurance can drain the government's budget. Communities cannot expect federal disaster assistance to make up the difference after a flood. Local Implementation/CRS Credit The CRS provides the most credit points for acquisition and relocation under Activity 520, because this measure permanently removes insurable buildings from the floodplain. Morehead City does currently receive credit for Activity 520 – Acquisition and Relocation. The FMPC recommended that the Town continue to prepare a plan for the purchase of repetitive loss buildings and other buildings which are subject to flood damage. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 213 Floodplain Management Plan The CRS credits barriers and elevating existing buildings under Activity 530. The credit for Activity 530 is based on the combination of flood protection techniques used and the level of flood protection provided. Points are calculated for each protected building. Bonus points are provided for the protection of repetitive loss buildings and critical facilities. Morehead City does not currently receive credit for Activity 530 – Flood Protection. The Town staff has the technical expertise to provide advice and assistance to homeowners who may want to flood proof their home or business. The FMPC recommends that the Town continue to publicize technical assistance for Activity 360 Flood Protection Assistance. Flood insurance information for the Town is provided in Section 6.4.2. Morehead City publicizes the requirement for flood insurance to those requesting FIRM information through the Mandatory Purchase Requirement and through outreach brochures to floodplain residents and repetitive loss areas. Since numerous buildings in the repetitive loss areas may not owned by the occupant, a new outreach will focus on renters. There is no credit for purchasing flood insurance, but the CRS does provide credit for local public information programs that explain flood insurance to property owners and preparing plans to increase coverage. The CRS also reduces the premiums for those people who do buy NFIP coverage. Morehead City currently receives credit for Activity 330 – Outreach Projects. The FMPC would like to focus outreach to renters to explain that NFIP renter’s insurance is available to protect valuables inside the home. Conclusions • There are several ways to protect properties from flood damage. The advantages and disadvantages of each should be carefully examined for each situation. • Property owners can implement some property protection measures at little cost, especially for sites in areas of low level flooding. • Approximately 57% of properties located in the Zone AE and XE flood zones (effective FIRM) have a flood insurance policy; approximately 55% of properties located in the Zone X 500-yr and Zone X Unshaded flood zones have flood insurance. • The local government can promote and support property protection through outreach and financial incentives. • Property protection measures can protect the most flood-prone buildings in the Town such as those which are repetitively flooded. Recommendations • Encourage homeowners to take responsibility for protecting their own properties by providing retrofitting advice and assistance. • Encourage the promotion of flood insurance to renters to cover their personal belongings. • Target Repetitive loss properties by leveraging, local, state, and federal funding opportunities. • Continue to provide retrofitting advice to residents in the Town. B.4.3 Natural Resource Protection Resource protection activities are generally aimed at preserving (or in some cases restoring) natural areas. These activities enable the naturally beneficial functions of fields, floodplains, wetlands, and other natural lands to operate more effectively. Natural and beneficial functions of watersheds, floodplains and wetlands include: • Reduction in runoff from rainwater and stormwater in pervious areas CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 214 Floodplain Management Plan • Infiltration that absorbs overland flood flow • Removal and filtering of excess nutrients, pollutants and sediments • Storage of floodwaters • Absorption of flood energy and reduction in flood scour • Water quality improvement • Groundwater recharge • Habitat for flora and fauna • Recreational and aesthetic opportunities As development occurs, many of the above benefits can be achieved through regulatory steps for protecting natural areas or natural functions. This section covers the resource protection programs and standards that can help mitigate the impact of natural hazards, while they improve the overall environment. Six areas were reviewed: • Wetland protection • Erosion and sedimentation control • Stream/River restoration • Best management practices • Dumping regulations • Farmland protection Wetland Protection Wetlands are often found in floodplains and topographically depressed areas of a watershed. Many wetlands receive and store floodwaters, thus slowing and reducing downstream flows. They also serve as a natural filter, which helps to improve water quality, and they provide habitat for many species of fish, wildlife and plants. Morehead City and its ETJ contains several acres of wetlands, floodplains and land in the White Oak River basin. Erosion and Sedimentation Control Farmlands and construction sites typically contain large areas of bare exposed soil. Surface water runoff can erode soil from these sites, sending sediment into downstream waterways. Erosion also occurs along stream banks and shorelines as the volume and velocity of flow or wave action destabilize and wash away the soil. Sediment suspended in the water tends to settle out where flowing water slows down. This can clog storm drains, drain tiles, culverts and ditches and reduce the water transport and storage capacity of river and stream channels, lakes and wetlands. There are two principal strategies to address these problems: minimize erosion and control sedimentation. Techniques to minimize erosion include phased construction, minimal land clearing, and stabilizing bare ground as soon as possible with vegetation and other soil stabilizing practices. Stream/River Restoration There is a growing movement that has several names, such as "stream conservation," "bioengineering," or "riparian corridor restoration." The objective of these approaches is to return streams, stream banks and adjacent land to a more natural condition, including the natural meanders. Another term is "ecological restoration," which restores native indigenous plants and animals to an area. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 215 Floodplain Management Plan A key component of these efforts is to use appropriate native plantings along the banks that resist erosion. This may involve retrofitting the shoreline with willow cuttings, wetland plants, or rolls of landscape material covered with a natural fabric that decomposes after the banks are stabilized with plant roots. In all, restoring the right vegetation to a stream has the following advantages: • Reduces the amount of sediment and pollutants entering the water • Enhances aquatic habitat by cooling water temperature • Provides food and shelter for both aquatic and terrestrial wildlife • Can reduce flood damage by slowing the velocity of water • Increases the beauty of the land and its property value • Prevents property loss due to erosion • Provides recreational opportunities, such as hunting, fishing and bird watching • Reduces long-term maintenance costs As required by state regulations, the Morehead City monitors its drainage outfalls into the White Oak River drainage basin, and manages development in water supply watersheds within its jurisdiction. Best Management Practices Point source pollutants come from pipes such as the outfall of a municipal wastewater treatment plant. They are regulated by the US EPA. Nonpoint source pollutants come from non-specific locations and harder to regulate. Examples of nonpoint source pollutants are lawn fertilizers, pesticides, other chemicals, animal wastes, oils from street surfaces and industrial areas, and sediment from agriculture, construction, mining and forestry. These pollutants are washed off the ground's surface by stormwater and flushed into receiving storm sewers, ditches and streams. The term "best management practices" (BMPs) refers to design, construction and maintenance practices and criteria that minimize the impact of stormwater runoff rates and volumes, prevent erosion, protect natural resources and capture nonpoint source pollutants (including sediment). They can prevent increases in downstream flooding by attenuating runoff and enhancing infiltration of stormwater. They also minimize water quality degradation, preserve beneficial natural features onsite, maintain natural base flows, minimize habitat loss, and provide multiple usages of drainage and storage facilities. The Town’s UDO contains regulations for stormwater BMPs. Because of Morehead City’s unique geologic and hydrologic conditions (i.e., poorly drained soils and a shallow water table), the types of appropriate BMPs that can be effectively utilized in Morehead City are limited. Dumping Regulations BMPs usually address pollutants that are liquids or are suspended in water that are washed into a lake or stream. Dumping regulations address solid matter, such as shopping carts, appliances and landscape waste that can be accidentally or intentionally thrown into channels or wetlands. Such materials may not pollute the water, but they can obstruct even low flows and reduce the channels' and wetlands' abilities to convey or clean stormwater. Many cities have nuisance ordinances that prohibit dumping garbage or other "objectionable waste" on public or private property. Waterway dumping regulations need to also apply to "non-objectionable" materials, such as grass clippings or tree branches, which can kill ground cover or cause obstructions in channels. Regular inspections to catch violations should be scheduled. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 216 Floodplain Management Plan Many people do not realize the consequences of their actions. They may, for example, fill in the ditch in their front yard without realizing that is needed to drain street runoff. They may not understand how regarding their yard, filling a wetland, or discarding leaves or branches in a watercourse can cause a problem to themselves and others. Therefore, a dumping enforcement program should include public information materials that explain the reasons for the rules as well as the penalties. Farmland Protection Farmland protection is an important piece of comprehensive planning and zoning throughout the United States. The purpose of farmland protection is to provide mechanisms for prime, unique, or important agricultural land to remain as such, and to be protected from conversion to nonagricultural uses. Frequently, farm owners sell their land to residential or commercial developers and the property is converted to non-agricultural land uses. With development comes more buildings, roads and other infrastructure. Urban sprawl occurs, which can lead to additional stormwater runoff and emergency management difficulties. Farms on the edge of cities are often appraised based on the price they could be sold for to urban developers. This may drive farmers to sell to developers because their marginal farm operations cannot afford to be taxed as urban land. The Farmland Protection Program in the United States Department of Agriculture's 2002 Farm Bill (Part 519) allows for funds to go to state, tribal, and local governments as well as nonprofit organizations to help purchase easements on agricultural land to protect against the development of the land. The FMPC did not recommend any projects related to farmland protection. Local Implementation/CRS Credit There is credit for preserving open space in its natural condition or restored to a state approximating its natural condition. The credit is based on the percentage of the floodplain that can be documented as wetlands protected from development by ownership or local regulations. Morehead City currently receives credit for Activity 420 – Open Space Preservation for preserving part of the SFHA as open space. The FMPC did recommend a project related to the protection of wetlands. Morehead City currently receives credit for Activity 540 – Drainage System Maintenance. A portion of the Town’s drainage system is inspected regularly throughout the year and maintenance is performed as needed by the Town of Morehead City Public Services Department. The Town also enforces a regulation prohibiting dumping in the drainage system. Credit is available for the Erosion and Sediment Control (ESC) element under Activity 450 for regulating activities throughout the watershed to minimize erosion on construction sites that result could in sedimentation and water pollution. Morehead City does currently receive credit for soil and erosion control regulations under Activity 450 – Stormwater Management. The Town of Morehead City’s UDO refers to the North Carolina Erosion and Sedimentation Control Act. The regulations address identification of critical areas, limiting amount and time of exposure, and control of surface water runoff. The FMPC propose protecting wetland and conservation areas along with adopting setback buffers to protect these natural floodplain functions. Conclusions • Flood hazard mitigation projects can use resource protection programs to support protecting natural features that can mitigate the impacts of flooding. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 217 Floodplain Management Plan • Morehead City ordinances prohibit illicit discharges into public drainage areas or onto public or private property. • Preserving open space and natural areas will serve to benefit the natural resource areas and protect natural occurring processes and help to protect certain species of plants and animals. Recommendations • Morehead City should identify additional parcels that will not be well suited for development and encourage a public/private partnership to maintain them as open space. • The Town should target outreach to its residents on the benefits of natural resource protection. • The Town should target outreach to its residents regarding illicit discharges into public drainage areas or onto public or private property. • The Town should continue to implement the Program for Public Information (PPI). • The Town should encourage Low Impact Development (LID) techniques to maintain natural areas. B.4.4 Emergency Services Measures Emergency services measures protect people during and after a disaster. A good emergency management program addresses all hazards, and it involves all local government departments. This section reviews emergency services measures following a chronological order of responding to an emergency. It starts with identifying an impending problem (threat recognition) and continues through post-disaster activities. Threat Recognition The first step in responding to a flood is to know when weather conditions are such that an event could occur. With a proper and timely threat recognition system, adequate warnings can be disseminated. The National Weather Service (NWS) is the prime agency for detecting meteorological threats. Severe weather warnings are transmitted through NOAA's Weather Radio System. Local emergency managers can then provide more site-specific and timely recognition after the Weather Service issues a watch or a warning. A flood threat recognition system predicts the time and height of a flood crest. This can be done by measuring rainfall, soil moisture, and stream flows upstream of the community and calculating the subsequent flood levels. On smaller rivers and streams, locally established rainfall and river gauges are needed to establish a flood threat recognition system. The NWS may issue a "flash flood watch." This is issued to indicate current or developing hydrologic conditions that are favorable for flash flooding in and close to the watch area, but the occurrence is neither certain nor imminent. These events are so localized and so rapid that a "flash flood warning" may not be issued, especially if no remote threat recognition equipment is available. In the absence of a gauging system on small streams, the best threat recognition system is to have local personnel monitor rainfall and stream conditions. While specific flood crests and times will not be predicted, this approach will provide advance notice of potential local or flash flooding. Warning The next step in emergency response following threat recognition is to notify the public and staff of other agencies and critical facilities. More people can implement protection measures if warnings are early and include specific detail. The NWS issues notices to the public using two levels of notification: • Watch: conditions are right for flooding, thunderstorms, tornadoes or winter storms. • Warning: a flood, tornado, etc., has started or been observed. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 218 Floodplain Management Plan A more specific warning may be disseminated by the community in a variety of ways. The following are the more common methods: • CodeRED countywide mass telephone emergency communication system • Commercial or public radio or TV stations • The Weather Channel • Cable TV emergency news inserts • Telephone trees/mass telephone notification • NOAA Weather Radio • Tone activated receivers in key facilities • Outdoor warning sirens • Sirens on public safety vehicles • Door-to-door contact • Mobile public address systems • Email notifications Just as important as issuing a warning is telling people what to do in case of an emergency. A warning program should include a public information component. StormReady The National Weather Service established the StormReady program to help local governments improve the timeliness and effectiveness of hazardous weather related warnings for the public. To be officially StormReady, a community must: • Establish a 24-hour warning point and emergency operations center • Have more than one way to receive severe weather warnings and forecasts and to alert the public • Create a system that monitors weather conditions locally • Promote the importance of public readiness through community seminars • Develop a formal hazardous weather plan, which includes training severe weather spotters and holding emergency exercises Being designated a StormReady community by the National Weather Service is a good measure of a community's emergency warning program for weather hazards. Morehead City is not credited by NOAA as a StormReady community. Response The protection of life and property is the most important task of emergency responders. Concurrent with threat recognition and issuing warnings, a community should respond with actions that can prevent or reduce damage and injuries. Typical actions and responding parties include the following: • Activating the emergency operations center (emergency preparedness) • Closing streets or bridges (police or public works) • Shutting off power to threatened areas (utility company) • Passing out sand and sandbags (public works) • Holding children at school or releasing children from school (school superintendent) • Opening evacuation shelters (the American Red Cross) • Monitoring water levels (public works) • Establishing security and other protection measures (police) CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 219 Floodplain Management Plan An emergency action plan ensures that all bases are covered and that the response activities are appropriate for the expected threat. These plans are developed in coordination with the agencies or offices that are given various responsibilities. Emergency response plans should be updated annually to keep contact names and telephone numbers current and to ensure that supplies and equipment that will be needed are still available. They should be critiqued and revised after disasters and exercises to take advantage of the lessons learned and of changing conditions. The end result is a coordinated effort implemented by people who have experience working together so that available resources will be used in the most efficient manner possible. Evacuation and Shelter There are six key components to a successful evacuation: • Adequate warning • Adequate routes • Proper timing to ensure the routes are clear • Traffic control • Knowledgeable travelers • Care for special populations (e.g., the handicapped, prisoners, hospital patients, and schoolchildren) Those who cannot get out of harm's way need shelter. Typically, the American Red Cross will staff a shelter and ensure that there is adequate food, bedding, and wash facilities. Shelter management is a specialized skill. Managers must deal with problems like scared children, families that want to bring in their pets, and the potential for an overcrowded facility. Post-Disaster Recovery and Mitigation After a disaster, communities should undertake activities to protect public health and safety and facilitate recovery. Appropriate measures include: • Patrolling evacuated areas to prevent looting • Providing safe drinking water • Monitoring for diseases • Vaccinating residents for tetanus and other diseases • Clearing streets • Cleaning up debris and garbage Following a disaster, there should be an effort to help prepare people and property for the next disaster. Such an effort would include: • Public information activities to advise residents about mitigation measures they can incorporate into their reconstruction work. • Evaluating damaged public facilities to identify mitigation measures that can be included during repairs. • Identifying other mitigation measures that can lessen the impact of the next disaster. • Acquiring substantially or repeatedly damaged properties from willing sellers. • Planning for long-term mitigation activities. • Applying for post-disaster mitigation funds. Regulating Reconstruction Requiring permits for building repairs and conducting inspections are vital activities to ensure that damaged structures are safe for people to reenter and repair. There is a special requirement to do this in CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 220 Floodplain Management Plan floodplains, regardless of the type of disaster or the cause of damage. The NFIP requires that local officials enforce the substantial damage regulations. These rules require that if the cost to repair a building in the mapped floodplain equals or exceeds 50% of the building's market value, the building must be retrofitted to meet the standards of a new building in the floodplain. In most cases, this means that a substantially damaged building must be elevated above the base flood elevation. Local Implementation /CRS Credit Flash flood warnings are issued by National Weather Service Offices, which have the local and county warning responsibility. Flood warnings are forecasts of coming floods, and are distributed to the p ublic by the NOAA Weather Radio, commercial radio and television, and through local emergency agencies. The warning message tells the expected degree of flooding, the affected river, when and where flooding will begin, and the expected maximum river level at specific forecast points during flood crest. The FMPC did not recommend any projects related to threat recognition as this service is carried out by Carteret County Emergency Management. The incident commander at the scene of an emergency in Carteret County has the authority to order an evacuation. If the evacuation involved more than one jurisdiction, the order will be issued on the County level. There are several highway routes allowing evacuation from various parts of the County. However; in Morehead City Highways 70 and 24 are the routes for evacuation from the Town. Morehead City currently receives credit for Activity 610 – Flood Warning Program based on the program implemented by Carteret County. Community Rating System credits are based on the number and types of warning media that can reach the community's flood prone population. Depending on the location, communities can receive credit for the telephone calling system and more credits if there are additional measures, like telephone trees. Being designated as a StormReady community can provide additional credits. The FMPC did not recommend any projects related to flood warning. Conclusions • Carteret County performs most emergency management functions for Morehead City. • Morehead City should continue to coordinate with Carteret County on all Emergency Management functions. Recommendations • The FMPC recommended that the Town publicize flood emergency evacuation routes and the hazards associated with flood events along with critical facilities – shelter locations. • Morehead City should work with the County to protect critical facilities and infrastructure that are potentially exposed to flood damage. • Morehead City should continue to maintain emergency generators at sites and to have an on call post-disaster contractor ready to clean up after a flood event. B.4.5 Structural Projects Four general types of flood control projects are reviewed here: levees, reservoirs, diversions, and dredging. These projects have three advantages not provided by other mitigation measures: • They can stop most flooding, protecting streets and landscaping in addition to buildings. • Many projects can be built without disrupting citizens' homes and businesses. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 221 Floodplain Management Plan • They are constructed and maintained by a government agency, a more dependable long-term management arrangement than depending on many individual private property owners. However, as shown below, structural measures also have shortcomings. The appropriateness of using flood control depends on individual project area circumstances. • Advantages o They may provide the greatest amount of protection for land area used o Because of land limitations, they may be the only practical solution in some circumstances o They can incorporate other benefits into structural project design, such as water supply and recreational uses o Regional detention may be more cost-efficient and effective than requiring numerous small detention basins • Disadvantages o They can disturb the land and disrupt the natural water flows, often destroying wildlife habitat o They require regular maintenance o They are built to a certain flood protection level that can be exceeded by larger floods o They can create a false sense of security o They promote more intensive land use and development in the floodplain Levees and Floodwalls Probably the best known flood control measure is a barrier of earth (levee) or concrete (floodwall) erected between the watercourse and the property to be protected. Levees and floodwalls confine water to the stream channel by raising its banks. They must be well designed to account for large floods, underground seepage, pumping of internal drainage, and erosion and scour. Reservoirs and Detention Reservoirs reduce flooding by temporarily storing flood waters behind dams or in storage or detention basins. Reservoirs lower flood heights by holding back, or detaining, runoff before it can flow downstream. Flood waters are detained until the flood has subsided, and then the water in the reservoir or detention basin is released or pumped out slowly at a rate that the river can accommodate downstream. Reservoirs can be dry and remain idle until a large rain event occurs. Or they may be designed so that a lake or pond is created. The lake may provide recreational benefits or water supply (which could also help mitigate a drought). Flood control reservoirs are most commonly built for one of two purposes. Large reservoirs are constructed to protect property from existing flood problems. Smaller reservoirs, or detention basins, are built to protect property from the stormwater runoff impacts of new development. Diversion A diversion is a new channel that sends floodwaters to a different location, there by reducing flooding along an existing watercourse. Diversions can be surface channels, overflow weirs, or tunnels. During normal flows, the water stays in the old channel. During floods, the floodwaters spill over to the diversion channel or tunnel, which carries the excess water to a receiving lake or river. Retention pond CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 222 Floodplain Management Plan Local Implementation /CRS Credit Morehead City does not currently receive credit for Activity 530 - Flood Protection. Structural flood control projects that provide 100-year flood protection and that result in revisions to the Flood Insurance Rate Map are not credited by the CRS so as not to duplicate the larger premium reduction provided by removing properties from the mapped floodplain. Conclusions • There are many areas identified that experience flooding due to overburdened channels and/or inadequate drainage systems. Recommendations • The FMPC recommended prioritization of capital improvement projects to address drainage, including the Church Street and Blair Farms drainage improvement projects. • Install storm drain outfall flap gates at different locations to prevent water from backing up through the storm drainage system. B.4.6 Public Information Outreach Projects Outreach projects are the first step in the process of orienting property owners to the hazards they face and to the concept of property protection. They are designed to encourage people to seek out more information in order to take steps to protect themselves and their properties. Awareness of the hazard is not enough; people need to be told what they can do about the hazard. Thus, projects should include information on safety, health and property protection measures. Research has shown that a properly run local information program is more effective than national advertising or publicity campaigns. Therefore, outreach projects should be locally designed and tailored to meet local conditions. Community newsletters/direct mailings: The most effective types of outreach projects are mailed or distributed to everyone in the community. In the case of floods, they can be sent only to floodplain property owners. News media: Local newspapers can be strong allies in efforts to inform the public. Local radio stations and cable TV channels can also help. These media offer interview formats and cable TV may be willing to broadcast videos on the hazards. Libraries and Websites The two previous activities tell people that they are exposed to a hazard. The next step is to provide information to those who want to know more. The community library and local websites are obvious places for residents to seek information on hazards, hazard protection, and protecting natural resources. Books and pamphlets on hazard mitigation can be given to libraries, and many of these can be obtained for free from state and federal agencies. Libraries also have their own public information campaigns with displays, lectures and other projects, which can augment the activities of the local government. Today, websites are commonly used as research tools. They provide fast access to a wealth of public and private sites for information. Through links to other websites, there is almost no limit to the amount of up to date information that can be accessed on the Internet. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 223 Floodplain Management Plan In addition to online floodplain maps, websites can link to information for homeowners on how to retrofit for floods or a website about floods for children. Technical Assistance Hazard Information Residents and business owners that are aware of the potential hazards can take steps to avoid problems or reduce their exposure to flooding. Communities can easily provide map information from FEMA's FIRMs and Flood Insurance Studies. They may also assist residents in submitting requests for map amendments and revisions when they are needed to show that a building is located outside the mapped floodplain. Some communities supplement what is shown on the FIRM with information on additional hazards, flooding outside mapped areas and zoning. When the map information is provided, community staff can explain insurance, property protection measures and mitigation options that are available to property owners. They should also remind inquirers that being outside the mapped floodplain is no guarantee that a property will never flood. Property Protection Assistance While general information provided by outreach projects or the library is beneficial, most property owners do not feel ready to retrofit their buildings without more specific guidance. Local building department staffs are experts in construction. They can provide free advice, not necessarily to design a protection measure, but to steer the owner onto the right track. Building or public works department staffs can provide the following types of assistance: • Visit properties and offer protection suggestions • Recommend or identify qualified or licensed contractors • Inspect homes for anchoring of roofing and the home to the foundation • Explain when building permits are needed for home improvements. Public Information Program A Program for Public Information (PPI) is a document that receives CRS credit. It is a review of local conditions, local public information needs, and a recommended plan of activities. A PPI consists of the following parts, which are incorporated into this plan: • The local flood hazard • The property protection measures appropriate for the flood hazard • Flood safety measures appropriate for the local situation • The public information activities currently being implemented within the community, including those being carried out by non-government agencies • Goals for the community's public information program • The outreach projects that will be done each year to reach the goals • The process that will be followed to monitor and evaluate the projects Local Implementation /CRS Credit Morehead City currently receives credit under Activity 330 – Outreach Projects as well as Activity 350 – Flood Protection Information. The FMPC recently participated in the development of a PPI to direct outreach within and outside the community. A community brochure is mailed to all properties in the SFHA, to repetitive loss area and to areas of dam inundation on an annual basis. Documents relating to floodplain management are available in the Carteret County Public Library. Credit is also provided for floodplain information displayed on the Town’s website. Morehead City maintains a website that CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 224 Floodplain Management Plan provides flood protection information including flood insurance, property protection, flood warning system, permit requirements, and drainage system maintenance. Conclusions • Morehead City has a public awareness and outreach program. • The City targets citizens through its website, news media, public meetings, neighborhood meetings, and special events. Recommendations • Work to improve flood insurance coverage in Morehead City. • Continue to implement the Program for Public Information (PPI) to better educate the public about the flood hazards. • Send targeted outreach materials to the SFHA, Repetitive Loss Areas and those exposed to dam inundation. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 225 Floodplain Management Plan B.5 Mitigation Alternative Selection Criteria The process for evaluating mitigation alternatives is described in Section 8.3. The following criteria were used to select and prioritize proposed mitigation measures: STAPLEE • Social: Does the measure treat people fairly? (different groups, different generations) • Technical: Will it work? (Does it solve the problem? Is it feasible?) • Administrative: Do you have the capacity to implement and manage project? • Political: Who are the stakeholders? Did they get to participate? Is there public support? Is political leadership willing to support? • Legal: Does the organization have the authority to implement? Is it legal? Are there liability implications? • Economic: Is it cost-beneficial? Is there funding? Does it contribute to the local economy or economic development? • Environmental: Does it comply with environmental regulations? Sustainable Disaster Recovery • Quality of life • Social equity • Hazard mitigation • Economic development • Environmental protection/enhancement • Community participation Smart Growth Principles • Infill versus sprawl • Efficient use of land resources • Full use of urban resources • Mixed uses of land • Transportation options • Detailed, human-scale design Other • Does measure address area with highest risk? • Does measure protect… o The largest # of people exposed to risk? o The largest # of buildings? o The largest # of jobs? o The largest tax income? o The largest average annual loss potential? o The area impacted most frequently? o Critical infrastructure • What is timing of available funding? • What is visibility of project? • Community credibility CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 226 Floodplain Management Plan Prioritization Process Since there was a FMPC that developed this Floodplain Management Plan, a thorough discussion of each mitigation category occurred. Then within each specific mitigation category, a variety of projects were discussed and debated. Consensus was reached on the specific projects identified in the mitigation action plan. The prioritization of Short, Range, Medium Range and Long Range was reached based on the significance of the project and the overall impact to the goals and objectives of the plan. The FMPC was given this guidance for prioritization: Priority Classification Short Range = Project should be completed in less than one year Medium Range = Project should be completed in two to three years Long Range = Project should be completed in more than four years If the FMPC felt the project warranted a certain classification, they may have extended the timeframe for completion beyond what is described above because they believed the project was significant and would have an impact on reducing flooding in Morehead City. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 227 Floodplain Management Plan APPENDIX C: REFERENCES National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center, Storm Events Database, 2017. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census 2010. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, National Inventory of Dams, 2017. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, National Levee Database, 2017. Federal Emergency Management Agency. Flood Insurance Study Report: Carteret County, North Carolina and Incorporated Areas. July 2, 2004. Federal Emergency Management Agency. Flood Insurance Study Report: Carteret County, North Carolina and Incorporated Areas. Preliminary June 30, 2016. Federal Emergency Management Agency, Community Information System, 2017. Federal Emergency Management Agency, What is a Levee Fact Sheet, August 2011. Town of Morehead City, North Carolina Core Land Use Plan, August 2007. North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources – Division of Energy, Mineral and Land Resources. 2017. (portal.ncdenr.org/web/lr/dams) Melillo, Jerry M., Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and Gary W. Yohe, Eds., 2014: Highlights of Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, 148 pp. IPCC, 2014. Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, 2007a. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L. A-2 EC 1165-2-212 1 Oct 11 Miller, eds.).Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. IPCC, 2007b. IPCC Fourth Assessment Report Annex 1: Glossary. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller, eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. IPCC, 2007c. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.” (M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden and C. E. Hanson, eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. CHAPTER 6: VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Town of Morehead City, North Carolina P a g e | 228 Floodplain Management Plan J.D. Garbrecht, M.A. Nearing, F. Douglas Shields, Jr., M.D. Tomer, E.J. Sadler, J.V. Bonta, and C. Baffaut. Impact of weather and climate scenarios on conservation assessment outcomes. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation September/October 2014 vol. 69 no. 5 374-392. Chernet, Haregewoin Haile. 2013. The Impact of Climate Change on Dam Safety and Hydropower. (http://hdl.handle.net/11250/242445). Trenberth, Kevin E., John T. Fasullo, and Jessica Mackaro, 2011: Atmospheric Moisture Transports from Ocean to Land and Global Energy Flows in Reanalyses. J. Climate, 24, 4907–4924. Vose, R. S. et al., 2013: Monitoring and understanding changes in extremes: Extratropical storms, winds, and waves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. March 2014. Karl, T.R., Melillo, J.M., Peterson, T.C., 2009. Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States. Cambridge University Press. Romero-Lankao, Patricia, et al., et al. Summary for Policy Makers. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part B: Regional Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014. pp. 1439-1498. Stockdon, H.F., Doran, K.J., Thompson, D.M., Sopkin, K.L., and Plant, N.G., 2013, National Assessment of Hurricane-Induced Coastal Erosion Hazards: Southeast Atlantic Coast: U.S. Geological Survey Open –File Report 2013-1130, 28 p., http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2013/1130.