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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNC0004961_RBSS CAP Part I_Appx E_Final_20151116 Appendix E Surface Water Modeling Methods This page intentionally left blank 1 Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Riverbend Steam Station Overview of Modeling The relatively simple morphology of the receiving waters adjacent to Riverbend Steam Station (RBSS) makes this site amenable to the Mixing Model Approach. For this approach, river flow data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) was analyzed to determine upstream river design flows and assess compliance with North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ) surface water quality standards, including determination of applicable low river flow statistics. The river design flows were used along with groundwater model discharge results to calculate effluent dilution factors using the following equation: ܦܨ ൌ ொ೒ೢାொೝ೔ೡ೐ೝ ொ೒ೢ where: DF is the groundwater dilution factor; Qgw is discharge rate from the groundwater model (cubic feet per second [cfs]); and Qriver is the upstream river design flow (cfs). The mixing zone sizes presented in Section 4.2.1 for the different water quality standards were used in this equation to determine the appropriate dilution factor to assess compliance with the applicable water quality standards. The applicable dilution factor was then used with the groundwater model concentration and upstream concentration for the constituent of interest (COI) to determine the resulting surface water concentration at the edge of the mixing zone, using the following equation: ܥ௦௪ ൌ ሺ஽ிିଵሻൈ஼ೝ೔ೡ೐ೝ ା஼೒ೢ ஽ி where: Csw is the surface water concentration at the edge of the mixing zone (µg/L); Cgw is the groundwater model concentration entering the river (µg/L); Criver is the upstream (background) river concentration (µg/L); and DF is the groundwater dilution factor. Alternately, the resulting surface water concentration can be calculated using the following mass balance equation: ܥ௦௪ ൌ ொ೒ೢൈ஼೒ೢାொೝ೔ೡ೐ೝ ൈ஼ೝ೔ೡ೐ೝ ொ೒ೢାொೝ೔ೡ೐ೝ where: Qgw is discharge rate from the groundwater model (cfs); Cgw is the groundwater model concentration entering the river (µg/L); Qriver is the upstream river design flow (cfs); and Criver is the upstream (background) river concentration (µg/L). 2 For each groundwater COI that discharges to surface waters at a concentration exceeding its applicable groundwater quality standard or criteria (as outlined in Section 1.9.2), the appropriate dilution factor and upstream (background) concentration were applied to determine the surface water concentration at the edge of the applicable mixing zone. This concentration was then compared to the applicable water quality standard or criteria to determine surface water quality standard (WQS) compliance. Historical river flow data were available for the Catawba River at Catawba, North Carolina (USGS #02142500, from 1896 to 1962 with gaps from 1900 to 1935), which is located approximately 34 miles upstream of the RBSS site. Flows prior to 1935 appear to have been unregulated and would not have been representative of present day conditions and were not used. Daily river flow data from this gage for 1935 to 1962 were analyzed to calculate the 1Q10, 7Q10 and mean annual river design flows for the Catawba River at Catawba, North Carolina. The 1Q10 flow is the annual minimum 1-day average flow that occurs once in ten years; the 7Q10 flow is the annual minimum 7-day average flow that occurs once in ten years; and the mean annual flow is the long-term average annual flow based on complete annual flow records. These river design flows were scaled up using a drainage area ratio to account for additional drainage from minor tributaries between the USGS gage location and the RBSS site. Drainage area ratios where developed using information from the USGS StreamStats web application (http://water.usgs.gov/osw/streamstats/). Key Assumptions and Limitations for Each Model The key model assumptions and limitations include, but are not limited to, the following:  Groundwater flow mixing in the receiving water occurs over the entire cross-section of the mixing zone area (e.g., over 10% of the river width for the acute water quality assessment);  COI transformations are not represented in the analysis (i.e., all COIs are treated as conservative substances without any decay);  The analysis is limited by the availability of surface water data used to assign upstream river COI concentrations;  When surface water data were not available, or when surface water data were reported at the method detection limit (MDL), half of the MDL was used in the mixing model calculations; and  The analysis is limited by the availability of contemporary USGS gage data to develop low river design flow statistics (i.e., 1Q10, 7Q10, and annual mean). Mixing Model Development The mixing model approach requires the assignment of upstream low river design flows for the fraction of the river as specified in Section 4.2.1 for the acute, chronic, water supply and human health mixing zone limitations. The calculated 1Q10, 7Q10, and mean annual river design flows used for the Catawba River near the RBSS site are provided in Table E-1. 3 Table E-1. Catawba River Design Flows Design Condition Catawba River Design Flow (cfs) 1Q10 121 7Q10 229 Mean Annual 2,622 Notes: 1. cfs = cubic feet per second Limited surface water quality data are available in the Catawba River at the RBSS site; however two National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) water quality monitoring stations sampled by Duke Energy are located nearby, one just upstream and one just downstream from the RBSS site. For those COIs sampled, upstream concentrations for dilution calculations are based on the maximum concentration reported at the NPDES station 278.0 from February 2011 to February 2015. If the upstream concentrations were reported at the method detection limits (MDL), then the concentrations used for the dilution calculations were equivalent to half of the MDL for each COI. The RBSS groundwater modeling discussed in Section 4.1 was used to provide the groundwater flow and COI concentrations into the adjacent receiving waters (Catawba River and East Basin). Figure E-1 presents the location of the groundwater model calculated flow inputs into these adjacent receiving waters, and Table E-2 presents the total groundwater flow along the two flow boundaries noted on Figure E-1. These groundwater flows were used to assess the impact on surface water concentrations and compliance with the applicable water quality standards or criteria at the mixing zone boundaries in the Catawba River and East Basin. Table E-2. Model-Calculated Groundwater Flows Waterbody Groundwater Flow (ft3/day) (cfs) Catawba River Upstream 5,376 0.062 East Basin 4,196 0.049 Catawba River Total 9,572 0.111 Notes: 1. ft3/day = cubic feet per day 2. cfs = cubic feet per second Total loading of groundwater COIs to the Catawba River at the RBSS site includes direct loading to the Catawba River, local loading to the East Basin, and local loading to an unnamed tributary that discharges to the East Basin. As noted in Section 4.2.2, concentrations of COIs from the groundwater model already met applicable water quality standards or criteria at the discharge locations of groundwater to surface receiving waters, so further dispersion and dilution of COIs within the Catawba River was not required. Nevertheless, representative mixing zone dilution calculations for the Catawba River were performed to show expected COI concentrations at the edges of the surface water mixing zones. Table E-3 provides flux- weighted average COI concentrations in groundwater discharging to the Catawba River adjacent to the RBSS site, as well as assigned upstream surface water concentrations. These 4 values were used in the mixing zone dilution calculations presented in Section 4.2.2. Table E-3 also lists for comparison the surface water quality standards or criteria applicable to each COI. Table E-3. Catawba River Dissolved COI Concentrations and WQS COI Groundwater Concentration (µg/L) Surface Water Concentration (µg/L)* Acute WQS (µg/L) Chronic WQS (µg/L) HH / WS WQS (µg/L) Antimony 1.20 0.25 ns ns 640 / 5.6 Total Chromium 0.28 0.50 ns ns ns / ns Sulfate 45,524 500 ns ns ns / 250,000 Notes: 1. All COIs are shown as dissolved except for total chromium 2. * – Data from upstream NPDES station 278.0 (maximum total recoverable) or ½ MDL 3. HH / WS – human health / water supply 4. ns – no water quality standard Mixing zone calculations for the East Basin first required performing mixing zone calculations for COI loads to the Catawba River upstream of the inflow channel to the East Basin. For this assessment, inflow to the East Basin was assumed to be 10% of the river design flow for the Catawba River. Bear in mind, however, that concentrations of groundwater COIs at locations of discharge to the East Basin (and its associated unnamed stream) already met applicable water quality standards or criteria, so further dispersion and dilution within the East Basin was not actually required. Table E-4 provides flux-weighted average COI concentrations in groundwater discharging to the East Basin, as well as calculated upstream surface water concentrations entering through the inflow channel. These values were used in the mixing zone dilution calculations presented in Section 4.2.2. Table E-4 also lists for comparison the surface water quality standards or criteria applicable to each COI. Table E-4. East Basin Dissolved COI Concentrations & WQS COI Groundwater Concentration (µg/L) Surface Water Concentration (µg/L)* Acute WQS (µg/L) Chronic WQS (µg/L) HH / WS WQS (µg/L) Antimony 1.72 0.25 ns ns 640 / 5.6 Total Chromium 0.28 0.50 ns ns ns / ns Sulfate 33,486 530 ns ns ns / 250,000 Notes: 1. All COIs are shown as dissolved except for total chromium 2. * – Mixing-zone concentrations from upstream loading to the Catawba River 3. HH / WS – human health / water supply 4. ns – no water quality standard ! ! ! S-8 278.0 277.5 Source: Esri, DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Earthstar Geographics, CNES/Airbus DS, USDA, USGS, AEX, Getmapping, Aerogrid, IGN, IGP, swisstopo, and the GIS User Community ± Legend East Basin GW Model Discharge Main River GW Model Discharge 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 10.125 Miles