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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMultiID#'s_Amended NEBA Report Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo_20160930NET ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES TO ADDRESS ALLEGED RELEASES FROM COAL ASH IMPOUNDMENTS AT THE ALLEN, BUCK, CLIFFSIDE, AND MAYO STEAM STATIONS AMENDED Expert Opinion of: Joseph P. Nicolette Prepared by: EPS 1050 Crown Pointe Parkway, Suite 550 Atlanta, Georgia 30338 Tel: 404-315-9113 September 30, 2016 NET ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES TO ADDRESS ALLEGED RELEASES FROM COAL ASH IMPOUNDMENTS AT THE ALLEN, BUCK, CLIFFSIDE, AND MAYO STEAM STATIONS AMENDED Expert Opinion of: Joseph P. Nicolette EPS Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. 1050 Crown Pointe Pkwy, Suite 550 Atlanta, GA 30338 Tel: 404-315-9113 September 30, 2016 EPS NET ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF PROPOSED REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVES TO ADDRESS ALLEGED RELEASES FROM COAL ASH IMPOUNDMENTS AT THE ALLEN, BUCK, CLIFFSIDE, AND MAYO STEAM STATIONS AMENDED September 30, 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION....................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Background................................................................................................1 1.2 Summary of Opinions................................................................................ 2 1.3 Qualifications............................................................................................. 4 1.3.1 General...........................................................................................4 1.3.2 NEBA and Site Remediation Experience ........................................ 4 1.3.3 Ecosystem Service Valuation.......................................................... 5 2 NEBA AND APPLICATION TO SITE REMEDIATION...................................................... 6 2.1 What is NEBA?.......................................................................................... 6 2.1.1 Why is a NEBA Analysis Necessary for Developing Appropriate Remedial Actions for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo Coal Ash Basins?........................................................................................... 8 2.1.2 Summary.......................................................................................14 2.1.3 Understanding Risks and Injury .................................................... 15 3 NEBA EVALUATION METHODS AND ANALYSIS....................................................... 17 3.1 Alternative Construction Analysis............................................................ 18 3.2 Traffic and Implementation Safety Risk Analysis ..................................... 20 3.3 Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis .................................................. 20 3.4 Human Health Risk Analysis.................................................................... 20 3.5 Ecological Habitat Service Analysis......................................................... 21 3.6 Cost Analysis........................................................................................... 35 4 NEBA SUMMARY RESULTS................................................................................... 36 4.1 Risks Driving Remedial Alternative Selection .......................................... 36 4.2 NEBA Assessment Parameter Evaluation ............................................... 46 4.2.1 Implementation Health and Safety Risks ...................................... 50 4.2.2 Truck Trips.................................................................................... 52 4.2.3 Air Emissions................................................................................ 54 4.2.4 Energy Use................................................................................... 56 DCN: HW[DENC001 A i September 30, 2016 EPS 4.2.5 Ecological Habitat Services........................................................... 58 4.2.6 Costs............................................................................................. 60 4.2.7 Each Site - Data Combined........................................................... 62 4.2.7.1 Allen Steam Station......................................................... 62 4.2.7.2 Buck Steam Station......................................................... 66 4.2.7.3 Cliffside Steam Station .................................................... 70 4.2.7.4 Mayo Steam Station........................................................ 74 4.2.8 Cumulative Assessment................................................................ 79 5 OPINIONS............................................................................................................. 80 6 REFERENCES....................................................................................................... 84 7 EXPERT REPORTS REVIEWED................................................................................ 89 Appendices Appendix A Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis Appendix B Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis Appendix C Air Emissions and Energy Analysis Appendix D Human Health Risk Analysis Appendix E Ecological Habitat Services Appendix F Joseph Nicolette CV DCN: HWIDENCOOIA ii September 30, 2016 0 I INTRODUCTION I was retained on this project to conduct a net environmental benefit analysis (NEBA) of three remedial alternatives for the Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC or Duke Energy Progress, LLC ("Duke Energy") Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo Steam Station sites. The three alternatives evaluated were monitored natural attenuation (MNA), cap -in-place with NINA (CIP), and comprehensive removal with MNA (Removal). The NEBA was used to compare how the remedial alternatives for each site differ with regard to their human and ecological chemical and physical risk profiles, environmental footprint (e.g., environmental and community benefits and costs); ecological habitat service value; human recreational use value; air emissions (e.g., greenhouse gases (GHG) and criteria pollutants); and monetary costs. Background on the development of the proposed remedial alternatives is provided in the following section, followed by a summary of my opinions, an overview of NEBA, my qualifications, the NEBA analysis, and, based on the NEBA, my overall opinions regarding appropriate remedial alternatives for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites. I reserve the right to supplement my opinions should additional information become available. 1.1 Background Coal ash stored in unlined basins associated with the Duke Energy Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites has resulted in some elevated metal concentrations in groundwater and limited on-site surface water features (e.g., seeps) at these sites. These sites are currently the subject of an enforcement action brought by the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ). Organizations represented by the Southern Environmental Law Center ("Intervenors") are also parties to this litigation. The litigation seeks to establish violations of state law concerning migration of constituents of interest from these basins to surface water and groundwater, and impose a remedy for such violations. After this litigation commenced, North Carolina enacted the Coal Ash Management Act (CAMA). CAMA, within the North Carolina General Assembly Session Law 2014-122, requires the owner of coal combustion waste surface impoundments (e.g., Duke Energy) to conduct groundwater monitoring, assessment and remedial activities as necessary at coal ash basins across the state. Duke Energy was required to submit a Groundwater Assessment Plan (GAP) to NCDEQ by December 31, 2014. Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA) documents that reported the results of site characterization activities were required to be submitted within 180 days of approval of the GAP. Information developed under the CSAs (HDR 2015a, 2015b, 2015c; SynTerra 2015a) provided the data to be used to prepare Corrective Action Plans (CAPS) that were to be submitted to NCDEQ within 90 days of submittal of the CSA. An agreement between Duke Energy and NCDEQ resulted in breaking the CAP document into two parts: Part 1 and Part 2 (HDR 2015d, 2015e, 2015f, 2016a, 2016b, 2016c; SynTerra 2015b, 2016a). The CAP documents evaluated three alternatives (for some criteria, only in a qualitative manner) for the remediation of on-site groundwater according to the following criteria: DCN: HWIDENC001A 1 September 30, 2016 0 • Effectiveness; • Implementability/feasibility; • Environmental sustainability; • Cost; and • Stakeholder input. NCDEQ classified the impoundments as either "High", "Intermediate", or "Low risk". The CAMA specifies that any impoundments classified by NCDEQ as "High" be closed no later than December 31, 2019 by dewatering the waste and either a) excavating the ash and converting the impoundment to an industrial landfill, or b) excavating and transporting the waste off-site for disposal in an appropriately licensed landfill. "Intermediate" risk impoundments are required to be closed similarly to "High" risk impoundments, but under a closure deadline of December 31, 2024. Impoundments classified as "Low" by NCDEQ must be closed by December 31, 2029 either similarly to the "High" and "Intermediate" risk sites, or by dewatering to the extent practicable and capping the waste in place. The Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites were most recently proposed (May 18, 2016) to be classified as "Intermediate" by NCDEQ, which would require closure by dewatering the waste and either a) excavating the ash and converting the impoundment to an industrial landfill, or b) excavating and transporting the waste off-site for disposal in an appropriately licensed landfill. In the May 18, 2016 proposed classifications, surface water, dam safety, and groundwater were ranked individually'. A summary of my opinions regarding the overall net benefit associated with the proposed remedies to address alleged releases to groundwater and surface water is presented below. 1.2 Summary of Opinions • The Intervenors failed to take a holistic view of all of the environmental and community impacts and risks (environmental footprint) associated with alternative implementation during their remedial evaluation stage. This has skewed their remedy selection and leads them to advocate for a remedy (Removal) that is less protective of the environment and the community. ' It should be noted that there were recent amendments to the CAMA pursuant to NC House Bill 630 (ratified July 1, 2016 and signed by the governor on July 14, 2016). Important points associated with these amendments include: under the new 130A-309.21 l (c 1), Duke Energy must provide a permanent alternative water supply to nearby residents with drinking water wells. Generally, this will be by providing connection to municipal water, but there is a provision that allows for Duke Energy to provide a filtration system at the household's election in some circumstances. Duke Energy must provide permanent alternative water supply as soon as practical but no later than October 15, 2018; however, the Department may grant an extension of time of up to a year if needed. Also, under the new 130A - 0309.213(d), no later than 30 days after the deadline set in 130A-309.211(cl) or any extension granted thereunder, the Department shall issue a final classification for each impoundment. If an impoundment has established permanent water supplies as required by 130A-309.211(cl) and if it has rectified any dam safety deficiencies, it will be classified "Low" risk. DCN: HWIDENC001A 2 September 30, 2016 0 • The Intervenors do not consider the environmental footprint of the Removal alternatives, nor do they consider methods to reduce the footprint of these alternatives at any of the four sites. Metrics that may have significant social and economic impacts (e.g., GHG emissions, extended truck traffic through local communities, pollutant emissions, energy and resource consumption) or ecological impacts (e.g., terrestrial and aquatic habitat disturbance associated with removal, capping, or the development of off-site disposal units) were not considered quantitatively by the Intervenors. • Developing a remedy should employ a NEBA evaluation to develop sustainable remedial alternatives that manage site risks while maximizing benefits and minimizing costs to the public. • Human health risks associated with implementation of the Removal alternative far outweigh the marginal, if any, human health risks given the current and projected future state of the groundwater condition. • The impact of metals in groundwater on groundwater ecosystem service flows provided by each individual site is marginal, if any. • The Removal alternative will cause more ecological injury through the destruction of habitat than the ecological injury projected by the risk assessment. • The Removal remedy that the Intervenors propose for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites does not appear to provide any net benefit to off-site ecological or human use services, over other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater harm to the environment compared to other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater risks (and nuisance) to the local community (via the extensive truck traffic) and to workers compared to other alternatives. • In comparing the CIP alternative to the Removal alternative, the Removal alternative has a much greater environmental footprint and creates significantly more environmental and community harm. This is consistent with the Tennessee Valley Authority findings in their review of CIP and Removal alternatives for coal ash as part of their programmatic Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) (Tennessee Valley Authority 2016). • The Intervenors base their arguments for Removal on risks based solely upon chemical concentrations of the constituents of interest (COIs) in groundwater and limited surface water seep areas. In doing so, they neglected to consider factors other than chemical concentrations during the implementation of their preferred remedial alternative that also have the potential to influence, either positively or negatively, human health and ecological risks and services. • The Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. • There is no need to order closure, much less closure by Removal, to remedy the alleged violations in this case. A basic NEBA demonstrates that the Intervenors' proposed remedy (Removal) is clearly disproportionate to the risk. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 3 September 30, 2016 0 1.3 Qualifications 1.3.1 General The basis for my opinions presented herein include my 30+ years of experience as an environmental consultant; my educational background; my research and professional experience in NEBA, remedial alternatives analysis, natural resource damage assessment (NRDA), and ecosystem service valuation; review of the CSA, CAP Part 1, and CAP Part 2, and supplemental CSA documents for each site (HDR 2015a through HDR 2015f, HDR 2016a through 2016f, SynTerra 2015a, b; SynTerra 2016a, b); and analyses conducted at my direction. In addition, I conducted site visits at these four locations during the period of June 7-10, 2016. 1 hold an M.S. degree in Fisheries Management from the University of Minnesota (1983), a B.S. degree in Environmental Resource Management from Penn State University (1980), and am a certified fisheries scientist with the American Fisheries Society. My CV is provided in Appendix F. 1.3.2 NEBA and Site Remediation Experience I co-authored the first formalized NEBA framework for remediation and restoration of contaminated sites with co-authors from the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory in 2003 (Efroymson et al. 2003). The formalized NEBA framework has been recognized by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the USEPA, the USEPA Science Advisory Board (USEPA SAB)3, and the Australian Maritime Safety Authority. I have over 24 years of experience in the application of NEBA concepts and ecosystem service valuation approaches on over 75 projects with experience in over 16 countries. These projects have included NEBA approaches to compare land management alternatives and remediation alternatives for groundwater, sediment, and soils and at various sites. These projects have included work for the USEPA, the U.S. Department of Defense, and private industry. Example projects include Crab Orchard National Wildlife Refuge; National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Edwards Air Force Base; NASA Marshall Space Flight Center; Army Base Realignment and Closure sites in Washington, Alabama, California, and Illinois; Prince William Sound, Alaska; Hudson River, New York; Troutdale, Oregon; Rocky Mountain Arsenal, CO; Homestead AFB, Florida; Tennessee Valley Authority, Tennessee; and Calcasieu River Estuary, Louisiana. 2 The natural resources provided by the earth's ecosystems serve as the building block upon which human well-being flows. Ecosystems represent a complex and dynamic array of animal, plant, and microbe along non -living physical elements interacting as a functioning unit. This gives rise to many benefits, known as ecosystem services, which are the benefits people obtain from naturally functioning ecosystems (Nicolette et al. 2013a). 3 United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) Science Advisory Board (SAB). 2009. Valuing the Protection of Ecological Systems and Services (EPA -SAB -09-012). Washington, DC: USEPA Science Advisory Board. DCN: HWIDENC001A 4 September 30, 2016 0 1.3.3 Ecosystem Service Valuation I pioneered the ecological service valuation method known as habitat equivalency analysis (HEA) prior to its codification into NRDA regulations in the United States. I have applied these methods to a multitude of cases across the United States as well as internationally. My experience includes over 75 NRDA-related cases, spanning from the Exxon Valdez release up through the Deepwater Horizon incident. I was the lead author of a book chapter (published in May of 2013 by the Oxford Press) that provided an overview of the NRDA regulations and the development of HEA and resource equivalency analysis (REA) approaches (Nicolette et al. 2013b). The book was entitled The EU Liability Directive: A Commentary. I led Chapter 9 that was entitled "Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage." I am a Senior Principal and Ecosystem Services Practice Director with Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. (EPS), in Atlanta, Georgia. I have served on the Steering and/or Planning Committee of the Community of Ecosystem Services sponsored by the United States Geological Survey since 2008. I bill $240 per hour through EPS for my time. DCN: HWIDENC001A 5 September 30, 2016 EPS 2 NEBA AND APPLICATION TO SITE REMEDIATION NEBA has been identified by USEPA as an important decision-making tool in the Superfund program (USEPA SAB 2009). In addition, the USEPA Superfund program supports the adoption of `green site assessment and remediation', which is defined as the practice of considering all environmental impacts of studies, selection and implementation of a given remedy, and incorporating strategies to maximize the net environmental benefit of cleanup actions. USEPA has committed to prioritizing and emphasizing green remediation approaches and maximizing the net environmental benefit of Superfund cleanups (USEPA 2013). As examples, USEPA and other federal agencies used NEBA to guide remedial decision-making, including recent remediation work on the Kalamazoo River (USEPA 2012a). The NOAA and the United States Coast Guard (USCG) identify the use of NEBA to evaluate opportunities for no net loss of resources and habitats during oil spill response planning (Aurand et al. 2000; NOAA 2011), and have used NEBA to evaluate environmental responses on the Gulf of Mexico (NOAA 2011). The United States Army Environmental Center (USAEC) also identifies NEBA as an important tool for assessing natural resource injury (USAEC 2005). 2.1 What is NEBA? In a site remediation context, a NEBA is a framework for comparing site remedial alternatives that includes the incorporation of a broad array of human, social, economic and environmental metrics to demonstrate differences among the various remedial alternatives with regard to human and ecological chemical and physical risk profiles; community and socioeconomic benefits and costs; ecological habitat value; human recreational use value; GHG emissions and criteria pollutants; and remedial costs. The formalized framework for NEBA, as recognized by the USEPA Science Advisory Board (USEPA SAB 2009), is provided in Efroymson et al. 2003 and 2004. A NEBA framework can be used to demonstrate the net positive or negative changes in ecosystem service (ecological, social, and economic) values between various remedial alternatives. A NEBA framework also is useful for assessing and comparing the sustainability of different remedial alternatives through the quantification of impacts over time associated with the implementation and long-term performance of each alternative (Efroymson et al. 2004; Nicolette et al. 2013a). NEBA has been shown to be an objective approach for evaluating the risks, benefits, and tradeoffs associated with different alternatives for remediation and environmental restoration work (Efroymson et al. 2003, 2004; USEPA 2009a; NOAA 2011). The NEBA approach is consistent with USEPA risk management objectives (USEPA 2009b) and provides a framework to help USEPA comply with its policy, guidance, and direction, particularly with large scale remedial programs where the benefits and impacts of potential alternatives are significant and need to be evaluated closely. DCN: HWIDENC001A 6 September 30, 2016 0 A NEBA framework incorporates quantified analyses that consider changes in various metrics that influence ecosystem service values which, in turn, help to highlight differences between remedial alternatives. NEBA is a systematic process for quantifying and comparing the benefits and costs among competing alternatives; it does not rely solely on monetization but rather also includes non - monetary environmental metrics. A NEBA framework for comparing each remedial alternative should include, among others, the incorporation of a broad array of metrics to demonstrate associated changes in human and ecological chemical and physical risk profiles; community and socioeconomic issues; ecological habitat value; human recreational value effects; GHG emissions; and remedial costs. NEBA is similar to cost -benefit analysis (CBA), which USEPA and other federal agencies have used for decades to support decision-making. NEBA and CBA both consider time -accumulated service flows (i.e., benefits and costs over time); since these benefits and costs occur over varying time frames, they can be normalized to their net present value using a discount rate. The NEBA approach, however, moves beyond the traditional CBA approach by demonstrating environmental stewardship and sustainability through the quantification of environmental metrics. A NEBA typically involves the comparison of several management alternatives that may include: (1) leaving the site condition "as is"; (2) physically, chemically or biologically treating the site condition; (3) improving ecological value through restoration alternatives that do not directly focus on removal of site materials; or (4) a combination of those alternatives (Efroymson et al. 2004). Understanding these benefits, and how they may change among remedial actions, maximizes benefits to the environment and the public while managing costs and site risks. As stated in Efroymson et al., 2004, "This framework for NEBA should be useful when the balance of risks and benefits from remediation of a site is ambiguous. This ambiguity arises when the contaminated site retains significant ecological value, when the remedial actions are themselves environmentally damaging, when the ecological risks from the contaminants are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to a component of the ecosystem, and when remediation or restoration might fail." As set forth more fully below, these are precisely the circumstances present with the Duke Energy sites that I have analyzed. NEBA typically considers a broader range of environmental effects than the traditional human health and ecological risk assessment processes that drive remedial action decisions. Typically, these processes consider only the remedial alternatives' ability to limit exposure and human risks from a chemical condition. The effects on other ecosystem services (e.g., human use and ecological benefits) associated with implementation of a remedial alternative are typically not considered in the traditional remedy selection process. A NEBA shows formally the positive and negative effects on ecosystem services4 and/or surrogate metrics associated with a remedial action in relation to the incremental changes in risk. By considering the effects of a given remedial alternative on all services provided by the site, the net effects on all service flows are considered, including any potential loss of services. In some cases, for example, a remedial alternative may destroy or significantly degrade the ecological landscape and achieve little or no reduction in 4 A NEBA can also be referred to as a net ecosystem service analysis (MESA) (Nicolette et al. 2013b). DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 7 September 30, 2016 0 ecological or human health risk. In simpler terms, NEBA can be used to determine, for each remedial alternative, whether "the cure is worse than the disease." 2.1.1 Why is a NEBA Analysis Necessary for Developing Appropriate Remedial Actions for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo Coal Ash Basins? 1. The effects of the Removal or CIP remedial alternatives on ecosystem services have not been fully quantified. As such, this can lead to remedial alternatives that can either: — cause more ecological injury through the destruction of habitat than the ecological injury projected by the risk assessment (e.g., "the cure is worse than the disease"), or; — provide a marginal benefit or no net increase in ecosystem service value for the effort expended; this is especially true when ecological risks from the contaminants are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to a component of the ecosystem. It is important to understand that within the regulatory cleanup framework (e.g., as applied in North Carolina), the selection of remedial alternatives to address the site condition is typically based upon the potential for the chemical to pose a human health and/or ecological risk (or in some circumstances, the remedial action is considered necessary simply to address impaired groundwater regardless of risk) and the cost of the alternative. Within this framework, the net effect that a remedial action may have on the ecosystem, positive or negative, is rarely formally quantified when considering among remedial alternatives. It is my understanding, however, that a court exercising its equity jurisdiction to fashion a remedy for a violation of environmental regulations has the ability to consider the broader implications of its actions. The NEBA fits squarely within the type of analysis that I understand a court would employ in considering injunctive relief. 2. NEBA Will Improve the Validity of the Remedial Evaluation Decision -Making Process to Stakeholders Intervenors have not fully considered the environmental impacts, health risks and socio- economic consequences of both the short-term and the long-term impacts of the remedial alternatives. Each certain or possible impact should have been included in a formal analysis using a NEBA framework. A NEBA is needed to provide a scientifically -sound basis for remedial decision-making. Specifically, and per USEPA guidance, the NEBA provides transparency and consistency in the evaluation and decision-making process so that stakeholders and the public are aware of the full extent of potential social, health, and environmental impacts of the proposed remedy. The Intervenors provide insufficient information to demonstrate that they adequately and transparently considered important factors with environmental, social and economic implications consistent with policy, guidance and direction. Specifically, they did not demonstrate (1) a preference for green remediation or a sustainable solution; (2) the environmental footprints of the various remedial alternatives; (3) the environmental and social risks associated with the various remedial alternatives; and (4) the consideration of DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 8 September 30, 2016 EPS net environmental, economic and social benefits. The court should not, therefore, adopt the Intervenors' proposed remedy. 3. NEBA Support in Decision -Making Mandated by USEPA NEBA has been conducted by several federal agencies, including USEPA, because it provides an approach for balancing the risks, benefits and tradeoffs associated with competing remedial alternatives in a transparent manner by which all stakeholders can understand the basis for a decision. The merits of using a NEBA framework (based on formally quantified metrics) for transparent decision-making associated with site remediation, compensatory restoration and ecosystem service tradeoffs have been discussed by various authors (Efroymson et al. 2003, 2004; Colombo et al. 2012; Nicolette et al. 2013a). The need for transparency in decision-making is made apparent in the 1995 USEPA Risk Characterization Program memorandum by Carol Browner, former USEPA Administrator (USEPA 1995). In the Browner memorandum, the core values that the USEPA is striving to achieve are transparency, clarity, consistency and reasonableness. These same core values have been repeated often in USEPA guidance from the 1990s to the present. Excerpts from the Memorandum Written by Former USEPA Administrator, Carol Browner (USEPA 1995) "First, we must adopt as values transparency in our decision-making process and clarity in communication with each other and the public regarding environmental risk and the uncertainties associated with our assessments of environmental risk. " "Second, because transparency in decision-making and clarity in communication will likely lead to more outside questioning of our assumptions and science policies, we must be more vigilant about ensuring that our core assumptions and science policies are consistent and comparable across programs, well grounded in science, and that they fall within a `zone of reasonableness, " While I believe that the American public expects us to err on the side of protection in the face of scientific uncertainty, I do not want our assessments to be unrealistically conservative. We cannot lead the fight for environmental protection into the next century unless we use common sense in all we do. " As an example, NEBA was used by the USEPA at the Woodlands Superfund site located in New Jersey where it was applied to assess the ecological impacts of the preferred remedial groundwater action. The NEBA demonstrated that the preferred remedy (pump and treat) would cause injury to the ecosystem, while a lower cost alternative (air sparge/vapor extraction) would not cause injury and would save $87 million in remedial costs. The Record of Decision was subsequently changed to the air sparge/vapor extraction alternative supported by the NEBA. In this case, the downgradient portion of the groundwater plumes at both sites was allowed to naturally attenuate. The USEPA deemed the application of NEBA as successful in an agency -published report describing the remedial decision at the Woodlands Superf ind site (Exhibit 1, USEPA 2001). DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 9 September 30, 2016 0 Exhibit 1. Example USEPA groundwater Record of Decision change based on a NEBA. Region 1640 12J93 :.. Cnound water state supported the Fed= 13Oe hours change The Site is ry Con. = JO Woodland%, NJ located in a [Alfa] area 1 "(ROD -A) 1+'1199 and the local populmon Est'd Sa}ings = Route ?_' suppons tau remcdsy S 81.6 M Rause i32 change. Type of Change: From - ground nater pump and treat: To - air spargingisod vapor extraction and natural attenuation - Factual Basis-. STAG memo indicated that the ground water pump and treat system would dewater the nearby wellands. In addltwn. durmg remedial &-sign. the PRP successfully identified altrruances that would. meet ROD objectives ai much lower cost 4. A systematic, transparent, and scientifically -based approach for a fully informed remedial decision-making process is needed. A NEBA is a comparative analysis that incorporates ecosystem service values and provides stakeholders a basis to balance the risks, benefits and trade-offs associated with competing management alternatives. Incorporation of ecosystem service valuation concepts with formally quantified values within an alternatives decision-making process provides decision makers with an opportunity to make informed choices about the net benefits of actions that affect the environment. By "informed," I mean an approach that is: — systematic, — transparent and understandable to stakeholders, — non -arbitrary, — scientifically -based and defendable, — quantitative in nature where possible, — based on internationally recognized concepts and approaches, and — considerate of all stakeholder concerns thus providing a holistic perspective to the decision-making process. NEBA incorporates the use of ecosystem service valuation concepts and methods that have been litigation -tested and upheld in federal court (United States 1997, 2001) to evaluate changes in habitat value over time. In addition, a variety of human use economics -based models can be incorporated into a NEBA to evaluate changes in human use value (recreational, commercial, aesthetic, educational, scientific, etc.) over time. A NEBA can also incorporate implementation risks, chemical contamination risks, and a variety of proxy metrics (e.g. GHGs) to help in differentiating between alternatives. S. It is the public policy of the State of North Carolina to carefully consider the environmental impacts associated with each remedial alternative as part of the decision-making process for selection of a preferred remedy. This is consistent with the direction and policy of the State of North Carolina Environmental Policy Act (SEPA) and Federal USEPA policy, guidance, and direction for remedial decision-making. Determining the appropriate remedy for this case requires a consistent, detailed and transparent assessment of the environmental, social and economic impacts associated with DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 10 September 30, 2016 0 remedial alternatives specified for each site. The following examples from the USEPA and the State of North Carolina illustrate the importance of providing consistent, adequate, clear, and transparent information. Example 1. Risk managers must assess and balance risks between site contaminants and proposed remedies (USEPA 1997). EPA Superfund Ecological Risk Assessment (ERA) Guidance (Step 8) specifically states that: "The risk manager must balance (1) residual risks posed by site contaminants before and after implementation of the selected remedy with (2) the potential impacts of the selected remedy on the environment independent of contaminant effects. " "In instances where substantial ecological impact will result from the remedy (e.g., dredging a wetland), the risk manager will need to consider ways to mitigate the impact of the remedy and compare mitigated impacts to the threats posed by the site contamination. " Example 2. This balance should be incorporated into the decision-making process for contaminated sites (USEPA 2005). "Project managers are encouraged to use the concept of comparing net risk reduction between alternatives as part of their decision-making process for contaminated sediment sites, within the overall framework of the NCP remedy selection criteria. Consideration should be given not only to risk reduction associated with reduced human and ecological exposure to contaminants, but also to risks introduced by implementing the alternatives [..] Evaluation of both implementation risk and residual risk are existing important parts of the NCP remedy selection process. By evaluating these two concepts in tandem, additional information may be gained to help in the remedy selection process. " Example 3. Feasibility Studies should include a comparison of environmental footprints (USEPA 2008). "Green remediation focuses on maximizing the net environmental benefit of cleanup, while preserving remedy effectiveness as part of the Agency's primary mission to protect human health and the environment [..J Key opportunities for integrating core elements of green remediation can be found when designing and implementing cleanup measures. Regulatory criteria and standards serve as a foundation for building green practices. Key elements include reducing atmospheric release of toxic or priority pollutants, and reducing emissions of greenhouse gases that contribute to climate change." DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 11 September 30, 2016 0 "In accordance with green remediation strategies, feasibility studies could include comparison of the environmental footprint expected from each cleanup alternative, including GHG emissions, carbon sequestration capability, and water drawdown (lowering of the water table or surface water levels). " Example 4: Green remediation technologies should be considered for response actions (USEPA 2011 a, 2011 b). The USEPA Superfund program supports the adoption of "green site assessment and remediation", which is defined as the practice of considering all environmental impacts of studies, selection and implementation of a given remedy, and incorporating strategies to maximize the net environmental benefit of cleanup actions. USEPA has established a "Clean & Green" policy to enhance the environmental benefits of Superfund cleanups by promoting technologies and practices that are sustainable. The policy applies to all Superfund cleanups. Under this policy, certain green remediation technologies will serve as touchstones for response actions. Example 5: USEPA has identified a framework to quantify various metrics to help understand and reduce a project's environmental footprint (USEPA 2012b). "Green remediation strategies can include a detailed analysis in which components of a remedy are closely examined and large contributions to the footprint are identified. More effective steps can then be taken to reduce the footprint while meeting regulatory requirements driving the cleanup [...J. The term "environmental footprint" as referenced in the methodology comprehensively includes metrics such as energy use and water use as well as air emissions to fully represent the effects a cleanup project may have on the environment. " "The methodology is a general framework to help site teams understand the remedy components with the greatest influence on the project's environmental footprint. Quantifying the metrics can serve as an initial step in reducing the remedy footprint. The overall process allows those involved in the remedial process to analyze a remedy from another perspective and potentially yields viable and effective improvements that may not have been identified otherwise. " Example 6: The State of North Carolina has declared, in its State Environmental Policy Act (SEPA) (§ 113A-3), that it shall be the continuing policy of the State of North Carolina to conserve and protect its natural resources (North Carolina 1971). The State of North Carolina has declared, in its SEPA (§ 113A-3), "that it shall be the continuing policy of the State of North Carolina to conserve and protect its natural resources and to create and maintain conditions under which man and nature can exist in productive harmony. Further, it shall be the policy of the State to seek, for all of its citizens, safe, healthful, productive and aesthetically pleasing surroundings; to attain DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 12 September 30, 2016 0 the widest range of beneficial uses of the environment without degradation, risk to health or safety; and to preserve the important historic and cultural elements of our common inheritance. (1971, c. 1203, s. 3.)" Consistent with this declaration and USEPA direction, the State of North Carolina Waste Management Division integrates its programs with federal cleanup programs. The question arises, have the proposed remedial solutions been properly vetted as to their protection of natural resources and are they providing the widest range of beneficial uses of the environment without degradation? For the reasons set forth in this document, the Intervenors' proposal for a remedy (Removal) fails this test. Example 7. Guidelines for establishing remediation goals at Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Hazardous Waste Sites (NCDEQ 2013) The Hazardous Waste Sites (HWS) goal is that RCRA facilities remediate all releases of hazardous waste or hazardous constituents to unrestricted use levels. For groundwater, the unrestricted use level is the North Carolina Division of Water Quality, 15A NCAC 2L groundwater standard (2L) or site-specific background concentration. For soil, the unrestricted use level is either the site-specific background concentration or the lowest of a soil screening level protective of groundwater and the health -based residential Preliminary Soil Remediation Goal (PSRG). Unrestricted use levels are the starting points for the HWS preliminary screening process. The HWS does recognize that, in some cases, it may be infeasible to remediate to unrestricted use levels. Although USEPA has classified coal ash and coal combustion residuals as non- hazardous, these guidelines represent an important reference tool for the present situation. If the HWS guidelines recognize a NEBA approach to remediation of hazardous waste, then NEBA should also apply to non -hazardous wastes as well. Example 8. Planning and Promoting Ecological Land Reuse of Remediated Sites (ITRC 2006, State of North Carolina is a Member) "The Interstate Technology and Regulatory Council (ITRC) Ecological Land Reuse Team has developed this guidance document to promote ecological land reuse as an integrated part of site remediation strategies and as an alternative to conventional property development or redevelopment. This reuse may be achieved through a design that considers natural or green technologies or through more traditional cleanup remedies. The decision process presented here helps stakeholders to integrate future land use and stakeholder input into an ecological land end -use -based remediation project. " "Ecological benefits have not traditionally been designed into, nor credited to, the value of the reusable land until successful remediation was completed. Now, natural and green technologies can improve the ecology of the site as long as they support the intent of the land's use and do not jeopardize the elimination or reduction of the human DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 13 September 30, 2016 0 or environmental risk. Consideration of ecological benefits, as well as the end use of an environmentally impacted site, is an integral component of the remediation process. This guidance raises the question, has the ecology and end land use been properly considered in the development of the remedy? It is clear that the Intervenors have not considered these values in advocating their proposed remedy. Example 9: In a recent Memorandum (August 2, 2016), the USEPA recommends approaches for Superfund programs to consider conducting a best practices or footprint analysis and using greener cleanup activities through the CERCLA cleanup process (USEPA 2016). As stated in this reference, OSWER's "... goal is to evaluate cleanup actions comprehensively to ensure protection of human health and the environment and to reduce the environmental footprint of cleanup activities, to the maximum extent possible. In considering these Principles, OSWER cleanup programs will assure that the cleanups and subsequent environmental footprint reduction occur in a manner that is consistent with statutes and regulations governing EPA cleanup programs and without compromising cleanup objectives, community interests, the reasonableness of cleanup time frames, or the protectiveness of the cleanup actions. " In addition, the memorandum outlines five key factors that regional staff should generally consider when implementing greener cleanups (i.e., minimize total energy use and maximize use of renewable energy; minimize air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions; minimize water use and impacts to water resources; reduce, reuse, and recycle materials and waste; and protect land and ecosystems). 2.1.2 Summary A NEBA should be conducted by the Court to determine the remedy for this case, since remedial decision-making policy and guidance obligates the regulatory authorities to evaluate the environmental and community impacts associated with potential remedial actions and dictates that the remedies should be sustainable and demonstrate a net environmental benefit to the public. USEPA has made "greener" cleanups part of its cleanup program mission, which the USEPA has stated strives to reduce adverse impacts on the environment, use natural resources and energy efficiently, minimize or eliminate pollution at its source, use renewable energy and recycled materials whenever possible, and reduce waste to the greatest extent possible. According to USEPA, the practice of "green remediation" involves strategies that consider all environmental effects associated with remedy implementation at contaminated sites, and the selection of alternatives that maximize the net environmental benefit of cleanup actions (USEPA 2008). The use of a NEBA evaluation ensures that on a site-specific basis, decision -makers consider, at the remedy selection stage, not only the benefits of a remedial approach, but also the residual risks DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 14 September 30, 2016 0 associated with the approach and the risks associated with implementing the remedial approach. This differs from the traditional approach of either considering implementation risks at the remedy implementation stage or assuming that remedial approaches will be 100% effective on implementation, thereby bypassing any consideration of residual risk. NEBA is consistent with the National Oil and Hazardous Substances Pollution Contingency Plan's (NCP) 9 -point criteria (40 CFR §300.430(e)(9)(iii)), which require evaluation and balancing of short-term and long-term risks and benefits, including residual risk. Failure to take a holistic view of all of the environmental and community impacts and risks associated with alternative implementation during the remedial evaluation stage can skew remedy selection and result in a remedy that is less protective of the environment and the community. The NEBA was conducted to examine key parameters associated with remedial alternatives proposed at the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites. This analysis follows; however, prior to discussing the NEBA analysis, I provide a brief discussion on the difference between "perceived" risk, "real" risk, and injury. These distinctions are important when determining appropriate remedial actions. 2.1.3 Understanding Risks and Injury It is important to understand the distinction between risk and injury and the ramifications that this distinction has on remedial alternative selection. In the 1998 USEPA Guidelines for Ecological Risk Assessment (EPA/630/R-95/002F) (an expansion and replacement for the 1992 ecological risk assessment guidelines), risk assessment is defined as "...a process that evaluates the likelihood that adverse ecological effects may occur or are occurring as a result of exposure to one or more stressors" (USEPA 1998). "Risks" result from the existence of a hazard and uncertainty about its expression. Uncertainty is defined as "Imperfect knowledge concerning the present or future state of the system under consideration; a component of risk resulting from imperfect knowledge of the degree of hazard or of its spatial and temporal pattern of expression" (Suter 1993). Since a "risk" evaluation typically looks at the "likelihood" of an adverse effect, it thus includes an implied level of uncertainty in an effect. Thus, simply put, a "risk" represents the "potential" that adverse effects may occur (with some level of uncertainty), not a definitive measure of observable effects. In many cases, uncertainty in risk assessment is handled through the use of layers of conservative assumptions (e.g., use of maximum concentrations, extended exposure periods, unrealistic exposure assumptions) that cumulatively may predict a risk when, in fact, no injury is occurring (a "perceived" risk). As such, there may be no adverse effects, and no "real" risks in an area where contaminant concentrations are above a criterion and remediation is being required. A key function in the strategic site assessment is to be able to understand and differentiate between what would be considered a "perceived" risk versus a "real" risk. The meaning of observable effect to a natural resource is very different than a "risk" to a natural resource. This distinction is important when it comes to understanding those effects that have been documented (quantified/measured) through actual field studies, versus those effects that "may have" or "potentially have" occurred, or those effects that "may" or "potentially" be occurring now and/or into the future. The differentiation between risk and observable effects (i.e., injury) has been made prominent based upon the NRDA regulations in CERCLA (43 CFR 11), where the DCN: HWIDENC001A 15 September 30, 2016 0 public is to be compensated for natural resource injury that has occurred as a result of a release. Under NKDA, the lost natural resource services (injury) are quantified so that an appropriately scaled restoration program can be developed ("service -to -service" equivalency approach). In this approach, injury must be measured (with some level of certainty) and used to develop the scale of the restoration program. Thus, there is some certainty that there is indeed injury and therefore, that restoration or remediation is required and adequate. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 16 September 30, 2016 EPS 3 NEBA EVALUATION METHODS AND ANALYSIS The basic NEBA evaluation presented herein for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo coal ash basins compared the NINA, CIP, and Removal alternatives as to how they would affect, positively or negatively, ecosystem service values (human use and ecological) and associated metrics for each site; and therefore provide an improved understanding of the environmental footprint and community risks associated with the alternatives. In order to conduct the NEBA analysis, several key factors were identified and considered to help establish an understanding of the environmental footprint that would be associated with the various alternatives. These included: 1. chemical risks associated with contaminant exposures (ecological and human); 2. health and safety and implementation risks (mortality, injuries, illness); 3. physical impacts on the habitats and related ecological services associated with the actions; 4. GHG's and other criteria air pollutants; 5. energy use; 6. community impacts (e.g., increased traffic, accidents); 7. human use value (groundwater, recreation, hunting, etc.); and 8. costs. These factors resulted in specific parameters that were considered to help assess predicted changes over time, given implementation of the remedial alternatives. For the analysis, I considered the following parameters: • human health - public off-site contaminant exposure (wader, boater, swimmer); • human health - on-site contaminant exposure (commercial industrial worker, construction worker, trespasser); • human health - fish consumption (recreational, subsistence fishermen); • human health - drinking water (i.e., from groundwater consumption); • implementation risks - truck traffic related accidents/mortality; • implementation risks - on-site worker safety; • community nuisance — truck trips (e.g., relates to noise, dust, aesthetics); • energy use — cumulative energy requirements; • GHGs; • pollutant emissions (e.g., NOX, particulate matter) - truck traffic, on-site construction (yellow iron); • ecological habitat services (terrestrial, aquatic, avian); • groundwater services; DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 17 September 30, 2016 0 • human recreational uses; and • capital costs including long-term operations and maintenance (O&M). Although the above parameters were considered in the analysis, not all were able to be quantified given the lack of available information. Therefore, the NEBA presented herein is not fully comprehensive in the scope of the supporting quantitative evaluations — the most pertinent and impactful elements are quantified. Other elements, if considered, would push the NEBA further in the disparity amongst the remedial alternatives considered. Those parameters not quantified were considered from a qualitative standpoint in support of evaluating the environmental footprint and community risks associated with the remedial alternatives. The analysis is sufficiently robust, however, to require rejection of the Intervenors' proposed remedy. 3.1 Alternative Construction Analysis As part of the evaluation, it was necessary to evaluate the construction activities, equipment necessary, etc. that would be associated with the proposed remedial alternatives in order to understand those factors that would affect the environmental footprint and associated risks associated with the proposed remedial alternatives. A construction and cost analysis for the MNA, CIP and Removal alternatives was conducted for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo Steam Stations. The three remedial alternatives evaluated were based on the remedial assessment completed by HDR Engineering, Inc. and SynTerra Corporation as detailed in the Corrective Action Plan, Part 2 for each respective steam station (HDR 2016a, 2016b, 2016c; SynTerra 2016a). The quantity of ash and land coverage of the existing ash basins for each steam station were provided by Duke Energy. The construction analysis was subdivided into three categories: land disturbance, project duration, and cost. The detailed analysis of construction implementation details for the three alternatives, for each of the four sites considered, is provided in Appendix A. This analysis developed the following information in support of the various components of the quantitative evaluation: • Types of equipment used and duration [air emissions, energy]; • Land disturbance footprint (ecological habitat alteration); • Road miles traveled [air emissions; truck trips, safety risks]; • Dimensions of work zones [safety risks]; and • Costs. As shown in Figure 1, the CIP alternative is estimated to require 5.2, 2.9, 3.0, and 2.5 years at the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites, respectively. In comparison, the Removal alternative is estimated to require 35.7, 9.8, 14.6, and 12.2 years to implement (for ash excavation and transport only) at the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites, respectively. The affected acreage for each alternative at each site, both direct on-site and off-site impacts, is presented in Figure 2 and detailed in Appendix A. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 18 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 1. Projected duration (years) of the CIP and Removal alternatives 353 i T C O + 14.6 i 12.2 � 9.8 5.2 ■ ■ 0 Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo L. CIP ■ Removal *Removal duration includes ash basin excavation and transport to landfill only. *CIP construction assumes that the capping rate is subjectto import rate of cover material and does not include preconstruction activities including basin dewatering. Figure 2. Projected acreage affected by the CIP and Removal alternatives for the duration of each alternative 700 6 319 00 N v sao 190 V M v 400 Q L C 168 R -0 300 322322 Q) 110 129-0 115 149 3 94 _N 200 180 180 189 189 153 153 ioo 0 CIP Removal CIP Removal CIP Removal CIP Removal Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo sm On-site Off-site The parameter quantification was conducted within the following analyses: implementation safety risk (fatalities, injury, illness, property damage), air emissions (truck trips, GHG emissions - CO2e, criteria pollutant emissions, energy use), human and ecological health, ecological habitat alterations, and cost. Each of these analyses are discussed, in turn, in the following sections. DCN: HWIDENC001A 19 September 30, 2016 0 3.2 Traffic and Implementation Safety Risk Analysis Multiple accidents associated with coal ash removal and management construction activities have been documented over the past 10 years and include fatalities and property damage. Selected examples of these include incidents in South Carolina, Tennessee, West Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Illinois (see "Selected Examples of Truck Traffic and Construction Implementation Related Accidents over the past 10 years" section of the Reference Section of this report). The risk of life to workers and public due to construction activities for each alternative was quantified. National statistics were used to evaluate the fatality and non -fatality (injury/illness) risks, as well as property damage incidents associated with truck traffic and onsite implementation for the four sites considered. The quantitative evaluation of implementation safety risks is provided in Appendix B with the summary results presented in Section 4.2.1. 3.3 Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis Air emissions can be divided into two separate categories, criteria pollutants and GHGs. The criteria pollutants, which were established in the Clean Air Act of 1970, consist of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOX), ozone, sulfur oxides (SOX), particulate matter (PM), and lead. These pollutants cause adverse health and environmental effects when present above specific concentrations in the atmosphere. For the purposes of this evaluation, NO, and PM were evaluated based on their expected emissions from the activities involved in the remedial activities. Based on previous experience with air emissions from remedial activities, the impacts from the other criteria pollutants were expected to be minimal and so were not included in this evaluation. Criteria pollutants are also referred to as criteria pollutants. Greenhouse gases, which consist primarily of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and fluorinated gases, were also determined by USEPA to have adverse health and environmental effects due to their contribution to climate change. The quantitative evaluation of each of these types of air emissions, as well as truck trips and energy use, for the three remedial alternatives, specific to each of the sites considered is provided in Appendix C. The results are presented in Sections 4.2.2, 4.2.3, and 4.2.4. 3.4 Human Health Risk Analysis Potential impacts to humans in contact with chemicals in environmental media were estimated for 30 years after implementation of the three remedial alternatives. A current condition (i.e., year 2015-2016) risk assessment was conducted for each site as part of each CAP Part 2 document. These risk assessments formed the basis of estimating the risks in the future for the three different remedial alternatives. It is important to note that the purpose of this risk analysis is to compare the three different remedial alternatives; the analysis does not necessarily represent the true risk remaining after implementation of a particular remedial action alternative given the numerous assumptions and data extrapolations that were necessary in order to conduct this "forward projection" analysis. DCN: HWIDENC001A 20 September 30, 2016 0 The receptors evaluated included a commercial/industrial worker, construction worker, trespasser, boater, swimmer, and waders. There were two considerations in extrapolating the current risk assessment to the future condition: the first was to forward project into the future (30 years from implementation/completion of the remedial action); the second was to project (estimate) the changes to various environmental media due to a given remedial action. The detailed evaluation of human health risks projected under each remedial action alternative, for each of the sites considered, is provided in Appendix D. The results are presented in Section 4.1. 3.5 Ecological Habitat Service Analysis The purpose of this evaluation was to understand how implementation of the Removal and CIP alternatives might affect ecological habitat service values associated with the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo Steam Station sites6. The analysis for each site consisted of three main steps as follows: 1. The first step was to identify the general habitat types existing within the areas that would be impacted by the remedial alternatives at each site and to estimate the surface area of each habitat type. This step combined habitat type boundaries presented in the CAP (available as GIS "shape" boundary layers), aerial photography reviews, site visit observations, and an updated GIS analysis. The basins that would be impacted, along with selected site specific photographs, are presented for the Allen (Figures 3-7), Buck (Figures 8-12), Cliffside (Figures 13-17), and Mayo (Figures 18-22) sites, respectively. 2. The second step was to develop assumptions regarding the timing and level of impact (i.e., projected change in ecological service value over time) that implementation of each alternative would have on the major habitat types evaluated. The general assumptions as to the timing and level of impact projected for each alternative at each site were based upon the construction analysis information provided in Appendix A and professional experience with remedial activity implementation. 3. The third step was to estimate the change (i.e., loss) in the net present value (NPV) of ecological habitat services that would be projected to occur given the habitats, acreages, and assumptions developed as part of Steps 1 and 2. An estimate of the NPV of the losses in ecological habitat value were developed through the use of the HEA methodology. In this case, projected habitat alterations (e.g., removal, displacement of habitat) were used to directly assess changes in ecological habitat quality and resulting value. My evaluation included both the major direct on-site and off-site habitat impacts. Indirect impacts associated with alternative implementation were not estimated, as such, my estimation of impacts are conservative (i.e., underestimate projected losses). s There were insufficient data to evaluate subsistence and recreational fishermen. 6 It should be noted that ecological risks, as currently understood, were used to inform the overall assessment as to how implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives might affect the current risks. This is discussed further in Section 4.1. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 21 September 30, 2016 0 The detailed quantitative evaluation of the loss of ecological habitat service value projected under the CIP and Removal alternatives, for each of the four sites, is provided in Appendix E. The results are presented in Section 4.2.5. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 22 September 30, 2016 Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. 23 Figure 3 EPS Site Reconnaissance June 2016 Allen Steam Station Belmont, NC Figure Narrative Shows vantage point locations for photographs taken during EPS site reconnaissance on June 7, 2016. Notes Legend Primary Ash Basins Name Active Basin QInactive Basin Ash Storage Units Basin Name Ash Storage Retired Ash Basin Ash — Structural Fill 1 — Structural Fill 2 Site Visit Photo Locations Blue arrows indicate the general direction that the photograph was taken N A 0 500 1,000 Feet EPS Figure 4. Wooded forest habitat growing on top of old ash basin at Allen Steam Station (Photo 1 location on Figure 3) i".p Figure 5. Vegetation growth, surface water, and wetland habitat in the active basin at Allen Steam Station (Photo 2 location on Figure 3) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 24 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 6. Permitted outfall to the Catawba River (Lake Wylie) at Allen Steam Station (Photo 3 location on Figure 3) Figure 7. Early growth vegetation in the active basin at the Allen Steam Station (Photo 4 location on Figure 3) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 25 September 30, 2016 Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. 26 Figure 8 �--� EPS Site Reconnaissance June 2016 . ,� .. Buck Steam Station Salisbury, NC �-iii+! t y "t i•� ;-,�� ' J< _ s> 3 Figure Narrative Shows vantage point locations for photographs taken during EPS site reconnaissance on June 8, 2016. Notes: Game lands are present around the site. These lands provide hunting, trapping and inland fishing opportunities for the public. Note the Heron Rookery and Eagle Nesting Site. Heron Rookery Site q s Legend e 2 Basins 11e dA Cell 1 (Active) •. Q Cell 2 (Old Primary Cell) , Eagle Nesting Site Cell 3 (Secondary Primary) Ash Fill Area (storage) Game Land y ` Site Visit Photo Locations a �b`' x Blue arrows indicate the general :•. I direction that the photograph was taken � �"t � �?� �; M _ ; ' • fir: SAN\ Dige, iEMT bed, E t star Geogr phics, - CNES/Airbus D-, SDA, AEy a tipping, Aerogrid, IGN, IG 0 500 1,000 - swisst• po, and the GdS User Community Feet Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. 26 EPS Figure 9. Wetland habitat and vegetation in active Cell l at Buck Steam Station (Photo l location on Figure 8) RIM aAll x It Figure 10. Wetland, surface water, and forest habitat over the Old Primary Ash Basin (Cell 2) at Buck Steam Station (Photo 2 location on Figure 8) DCN: HWIDENC001 A 27 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 11. Wooded forest growth over the in the Old Primary Ash Basin (Cell 2) at Buck Steam Station (Photo 3 location on Figure 8) Figure 12. Heron Rookery located adjacent to the surface water at the Old Primary Ash Basin (Cell 2) at Buck Steam Station with active nests (Photo 4 location on Figure 8) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 28 September 30, 2016 Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. 29 Figure 13 EPS Site Reconnaissance June 2016 Cliffside Steam Station Cliffside, NC Figure Narrative Shows vantage point locations for photographs taken during EPS site reconnaissance on June 6, 2016. Notes: Figure 14 was taken near the location that Figure 12 was taken. Legend Basins Active Ash Basin Unit 5 Inactive Basin Units 1-4 Inactive Basin t 7 Ash Storage Area 1 * Site Visit Photo Locations Blue arrows indicate the general direction that the photograph was taken N A 500 1,000 Feet EPS Figure 14. The Broad River at Cliffside Steam Station (Near Photo 1 location on Figure 13) Figure 15. Vegetation growing on the active ash basin (hill in background) at Cliffside Steam Station (Photo 2 location on Figure 13) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 30 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 16. Vegetation growth and wetlands/surface water habitat in the active ash basin at Cliffside Steam Station (Photo 3 location on Figure 13) Figure 17. The Broad River near the permitted outfall at the Cliffside Steam Station. (Photo 1 location on Figure 13) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 31 September 30, 2016 Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. 32 Figure 18 EPS Site Reconnaissance June 2016 Mayo Steam Station Roxboro, NC Figure Narrative Shows vantage point locations for photographs taken during EPS site reconnaissance on June 9, 2016. Notes: Note extensive gamelands adjacent to the ash ponds. Legend Active Ash Basin Active Basin Game Land Streams Site Visit Photo Locations Blue arrows indicate the general direction that the photograph was taken N A 500 1,000 Feet EPS Figure 19. Clam shells and healthy aquatic vegetation in the outlet of the active basin at Mayo Steam Station (Photo 1 location on Figure 18) Figure 20. Waterfowl on the surface water of the active basin at Mayo Steam Station (Photo 2 location on Figure 18) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 33 September 30, 2016 EPS Figure 21. Wetland habitat in the active basin at Mayo Steam Station (Photo 3 location on Figure 18) Figure 22. Crutchfield Branch (Photo 4 location on Figure 18) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 34 September 30, 2016 0 3.6 Cost Analysis The quantitative evaluation of remedial alternative cost estimates for the three remedial alternatives, for each of the four sites considered, are provided in Appendix A and presented in Section 4.2.6. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 35 September 30, 2016 0 4 NEBA SUMMARY RESULTS The analyses developed as presented in Appendices A-E provide quantification of a variety of metrics that can be used to ascertain the relative environmental footprint that one remedial alternative may have in comparison to another. In addition, we can evaluate how risks change through the implementation of the alternatives. In evaluating the information developed to date, I have developed several opinions as to the risks and benefits that would be associated with implementation of the alternatives. Prior to presenting my opinions, I provide summaries of the information that support my opinions. 4.1 Risks Driving Remedial Alternative Selection Developing an appropriate remedy is based on a solution that manages site risks while maximizing benefits to the public and minimizing cost. For the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites, risks that the final remedy should look to manage include potential human health and ecological risks. The remedy should effect a meaningful change in reducing the human health and/or ecological risk that is the basis for the remedy. Without a meaningful change in a risk parameter, the remedy should look to minimize environmental harm and reduce cost. A "forward projection" of human health risks was conducted across the progression of the more aggressive remedial action alternatives (MNA to CIP to Removal) at each of the four sites (Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo) and is presented in Figures 23-26, respectively (see Appendix D). In addition to projected human health risks, Figures 23-26 also include the estimation of current ecological risks provided in the available CAP 2 documents for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites (HDR 2016a through 2016c, and SynTerra 2016a respectively). The current ecological risk categorization depicted in the figures is based upon the lowest observed effect level (LOAEL). The LOAEL was used since all of the ecological risk assessments require additional data and further refinement is needed to address uncertainties associated with the evaluation of these scenarios such as the occurrence of the ecological receptors in the areas adjacent to the ash basins, the bioavailability of any source or background COIs applicable to the risk assessments', and refinement of the exposure and toxicity assumptions used in the ecological risk characterization. These refinements would likely reduce potential ecological risks further. That said, the ecological risk information for the Allen, Buck, and Mayo sites support a risk categorization that there is no unacceptable risk to ecological receptors at these sites in the current condition. For Cliffside, the ecological risk information supports a risk categorization that there is low risk to ecological receptors at this site in the current condition. The LOAEL risk categorization information is provided for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites in Tables 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. It is my understanding that the question of source -related versus background COIs is to be addressed by other Duke Energy experts. As such, I reserve the right to supplement my opinions on this point when their reports become available to me. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 36 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y N rY jModerate " Risk M d z Low Risk NUA Figure 23. Allen Steam Station - Human Health and Ecological Risks a a a a a a a a a a a a Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z Z MINA ■Groundwater (drinkingwater consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure NUA -No Unacceptable Risk High Risk Y N tY j Moderate R Risk d rz Low Risk NUA CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site conta minant exposure 0 Ecological Risk Figure 24. Buck Steam Station - Human Health and Ecological Risks MINA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure NUA -No Unacceptable Risk CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure 0 Ecological Risk EPS DCN: HWIDENC001A 37 September 30, 2016 3 0 J a a a a a a a a a a a z z z z > z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z z MINA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure NUA -No Unacceptable Risk CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure 0 Ecological Risk EPS DCN: HWIDENC001A 37 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y N_ Q) > Moderate ; Risk Q) Low Risk NUA MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure NUA -No Unacceptable Risk Figure 25. Cliffside Steam Station - Human Health and Ecological Risks a a a a a a ¢ a z z z z z z z z High Risk Y _N _> Moderate " Risk m v Low Risk NUA CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Figure 26. Mayo Steam Station - Human Health and Ecological Risks 3 0 a a J a > > 7 z z z MNA 10 Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure NUA - No Unacceptable Risk z Z z Z z z z Z Z Z z Z Z CIP Removal © Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecologica I Risk EPS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 38 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Allen Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)l for COPECs. Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Aquatic Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Eco Area 1 AOW Water, Sediment and Surface Water3 Aluminum 0.000002 0.0002 0.008 0.0005 Barium 0.02 0.08 0.1 0.002 Cobalt 0.000007 0.07 0.0004 0.002 Copper 0.0000002 0.008 0.00002 0.0004 Manganese 0.003 0.07 0.2 0.01 Mercury 0.0000001 0.06 0.00002 0.006 Zinc 0.002 0.02 Eco Area 2 AOW Water Aluminum 0.000000004 0.000007 0.001 0.0000009 Barium 0.00000001 0.004 0.00003 0.000004 Cobalt 0.0000000006 0.0001 0.000002 0.0000002 Copper 0.00000001 0.01 0.00007 0.00003 Manganese 0.000000004 1 0.001 1 0.0001 0.000009 Mercury 0.000000002 0.03 1 0.00003 0.0001 Eco Area 3 Sediments Barium 0.0003 0.06 0.04 0.00009 Manganese 0.00004 0.0009 0.04 0.00001 Zinc 0.00004 0.02 0.004 0.00004 Eco Area 4 Surface Water Aluminum 0.00000002 0.00004 0.006 0.000005 Barium 0.00000004 0.01 0.0001 0.00001 Cobalt 0.00000002 0.005 0.00009 0.000007 Copper 0.000000002 0.002 0.00002 0.000006 Manganese 0.00000006 1 0.02 1 0.001 0.0001 Mercury 0.00000000010 0.001 1 0.000001 0.000006 Notes: IA Hazard Quotient is estimated by dividing the Exposure Point Concentration for that species by its respective Toxicity Reference Value for the COPEC. 2 Exposures are adjusted for the proportion of this exposure area that represents the animal's home range, i.e. 1 acres/10 acres = 0.1. 3 Reproduced from Table 6-5 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Allen Steam Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). 4 Reproduced from Table 6-6 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Allen Steam Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). 5 Reproduced from Table 6-7 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Allen Steam Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). 6 Reproduced from Table 6-8 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Allen Steam Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). HQ >= 1 39 Table 2. Buck Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)1 for COPECs. Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Aquatic Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Eco Area 1 AOW Water and Sedimenta Aluminum 0.0008 0.00005 0.8 0.00007 Arsenic 0.000005 0.003 Barium 0.007 0.03 0.1 0.0004 Beryllium 0.000005 0.000002 Cadmium 0.000000002 0.0009 0.00000007 0.000004 Chromium (Total 0.003 0.0007 0.00001 0.000000003 Cobalt 0.0004 0.02 0.008 0.0003 Copper 0.001 0.02 0.04 0.0004 Lead 0.0000002 0.00002 0.00001 0.0000002 Manganese 0.001 0.0002 0.2 0.00003 Mercury 0.000000009 0.01 0.000003 0.0005 Nickel 0.0008 0.003 0.06 0.0002 Selenium 0.0000002 0.02 0.0001 0.001 Vanadium 0.00001 0.2 0.0002 0.0004 Zinc 0.0007 0.03 0.01 0.0005 Eco Area 2 AOW Water, Sediment and Surface Water Aluminum 0.003 0.00007 1 0.0002 Arsenic 0.00006 0.01 Barium 0.02 0.02 0.2 0.0005 Cadmium 0.0001 0.0008 0.0002 0.000008 Chromium (Total 0.002 0.0001 0.000002 0.000000001 Cobalt 0.0009 0.01 0.008 0.0003 Copper 0.002 0.01 0.03 0.0007 Lead 0.0000001 0.000007 0.000004 0.0000002 Manganese 0.002 0.05 0.1 0.01 Mercury 0.0000008 0.4 0.0001 0.04 Nickel 0.0009 0.0006 0.02 0.00009 Selenium 0.02 0.02 0.8 0.002 Vanadium 0.00001 0.06 0.00006 0.0002 Zinc 0.007 0.3 0.06 0.01 Eco Area 3 AOW Water and Sediments Aluminum 0.000007 0.00003 0.2 0.000004 Arsenic 0.0000004 0.007 Barium 0.0001 0.01 0.06 0.00001 Beryllium 0.000002 0.00000002 Cadmium 0.00000000004 0.0002 0.00000005 0.00000009 Chromium (Total 0.00001 0.0001 0.0000006 0.00000000004 Cobalt 0.000002 0.0002 0.001 0.0000002 Co22er 0.000008 0.0005 0.009 0.000001 Lead 0.000000001 0.000001 0.000002 0.000000002 Manganese 0.000003 0.0000003 0.01 0.000000005 Mercury 0.00000000004 0.0006 0.0000005 0.000002 Nickel 0.00001 0.00005 0.004 0.0000003 Selenium 0.00003 0.007 0.07 0.00004 Vanadium 0.0000002 0.04 0.0001 0.000005 Zinc 0.00001 1 0.003 1 0.007 0.000004 40 Page 1 of 2 41 Page 2 of 2 Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the 'Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Analyte Aquaticz Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Eco Area 4 AOW Water and Sediment Aluminum 0.002 0.002 1 0.006 Arsenic 0.00002 0.008 Barium 0.03 0.1 0.3 0.003 Beryllium 0.00003 0.00002 Cadmium 0.00000002 0.005 0.0000004 0.00005 Chromium (Total 0.0009 0.008 0.000001 0.00000006 Cobalt 0.003 1 0.04 0.03 Copper 0.0009 0.2 0.02 0.01 Lead 0.000008 0.0005 0.0003 0.00001 Manganese 0.01 0.1 1 0.03 Mercury 0.0000006 0.4 0.0001 0.03 Nickel 0.0007 0.01 0.01 0.002 Selenium 0.006 0.4 0.2 0.04 Notes: 'A Hazard Quotient is estimated by dividing the Exposure Point Concentration for that species by its respective Toxicity Reference Value for the COPEC. 2 Exposures are adjusted for the proportion of this exposure area that represents the animal's home range, i.e. 1 acres/10 acres = 0.1. s Reproduced from Table 6-5 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Buck Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). ° Reproduced from Table 6-6 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Buck Steam Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). 5 Reproduced from Table 6-7 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Buck Steam Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). 6 Reproduced from Table 6-8 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Buck Steam Station Ash Basin (February 19, 2016). HQ >= 1 41 Page 2 of 2 Table 3. Cliffside Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)1 for COPECs. Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Aquatic2 Terrestrial2 Mallard Duck I Great Blue HeronI Muskrat I River Otter American Robin Red -Tailed Hawkj Meadow Vole I Red Fox Eco Area 1 Soil, AOW Water, Sediment and Surface Water Aluminum 0.002 0.0002 0.6 0.0007 0.1 0.000003 0.8 0.0002 Arsenic 0.0003 0.03 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00002 0.09 0.002 Barium 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.002 0.000002 0.000003 Beryllium 0.00002 0.00002 0.006 0.0002 Boron 0.001 0.00001 0.0002 Cadmium 0.0002 0.003 0.0002 0.00004 0.02 0.0002 0.0002 0.00008 Chromium (Total 0.002 0.0001 0.000001 0.000000001 0.0000002 8E-1 I Cobalt 0.0007 0.2 0.005 0.007 0.03 0.0001 0.007 0.0001 Copper 0.0008 0.001 0.008 0.0001 0.04 0.001 0.01 0.0007 Lead 0.001 0.000006 0.003 0.0000002 0.1 0.002 0.004 0.0002 Manganese 0.006 0.1 0.3 0.03 0.2 0.00001 0.4 0.01 Mercury 0.0000001 0.05 0.00002 0.008 0.0000004 0.000002 Molybdenum 0.06 0.0008 0.09 0.003 Nickel 0.001 0.004 0.01 0.0009 0.1 0.0003 0.02 0.0003 Selenium 0.01 0.05 0.3 0.009 0.5 0.003 0.4 0.02 Thallium 0.0005 0.002 0.00001 Vanadium 0.000004 0.02 0.00002 0.0001 0.000002 0.0000004 Zinc 0.002 0.05 0.01 0.003 0.2 0.002 0.01 0.0007 Eco Area 2 Soil, AOW Water, Sediment and Surface Water Aluminum 0.0003 0.06 4 0.02 0.2 0.00004 8 0.006 Arsenic 0.0000002 0.006 0.002 0.0007 0.0000001 0.000008 Barium 0.0009 1 0.07 0.003 0.000004 0.000005 Beryllium 0.0003 0.00003 0.003 0.000007 Cadmium 0.00000002 0.04 0.000003 0.00005 0.0000001 0.00000007 Chromium (Total 0.0002 0.1 0.000005 0.0000001 0.00001 0.000000006 Cobalt 0.00006 0.7 0.008 0.003 0.03 0.00001 0.01 0.00002 Copper 0.0001 3 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.0001 0.03 0.0001 Lead 0.0003 0.007 0.01 0.00002 0.3 0.0002 0.02 0.00004 Manganese 0.00008 2 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.000009 0.2 0.0002 Mercury 0.000000002 0.009 0.000003 0.0001 0.000000005 0.00000003 Nickel 0.0001 0.2 0.04 0.003 0.2 0.00004 0.08 0.00008 Selenium 0.000007 2 0.01 0.03 0.000006 0.00004 Thallium 0.01 0.004 0.00003 Vanadium 0.0002 10 0.01 0.004 0.00009 0.00002 Zinc 0.0002 0.5 0.01 0.002 0.2 0.0002 0.01 0.00006 Sulfide 42 Page 1 of 2 Analyte Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level' Aquatic Terrestrial Mallard Duck I Great Blue Heronj Muskrat I River Otter American Robin Red-Tailed HawkI Meadow Vole I Red Fox Eco Area 3 Soil, AOW Water, Sediment and Surface Waters Aluminum 0.000003 0.000007 0.09 0.0000008 0.02 0.00000002 0.1 0.0000002 Barium 0.00003 0.008 0.01 0.000007 0.00000001 0.00000001 Beryllium 0.001 0.0000005 Chromium (Total 0.00002 0.00003 0.0000009 0.000000000009 0.000000001 0.0000000000006 Cobalt 9E-10 0.0002 0.000003 0.0000003 0.0000000005 0.0000000008 Copper 0.000007 0.001 0.005 0.000002 0.03 0.00001 0.006 0.000006 Lead 0.000009 0.000003 0.002 0.000000003 0.05 0.00001 0.002 0.000001 Manganese 0.000001 0.0004 0.004 0.000003 0.004 0.00000006 0.005 0.000002 Nickel 0.00002 0.00007 0.002 0.0000004 0.2 0.000002 0.003 0.0000009 Thallium 0.00003 0.000002 0.00000001 Vanadium 0.00000003 0.005 0.00001 0.0000008 0.00000002 0.000000003 Zinc 0.00001 0.003 0.004 0.000005 0.1 0.00003 0.004 0.000003 Eco Area 4 Soil, AOW Water, Sediment and Surface Water Aluminum 0.003 0.003 1 0.01 0.2 0.00003 2 0.004 Arsenic 0.00009 0.002 0.02 0.004 0.005 0.000004 0.02 0.0006 Barium 0.04 0.07 0.2 0.003 0.000004 0.000005 Beryllium 0.0002 0.0003 0.04 0.001 Boron 0.03 0.00002 0.004 Cadmium 0.0004 0.02 0.0003 0.0003 0.05 0.0003 0.0004 0.0001 Chromium (Total 0.003 0.007 0.000003 0.00000009 0.00001 0.000000006 Cobalt 0.03 0.1 0.2 0.005 1 0.02 0.2 0.004 Copper 0.002 0.04 0.02 0.003 0.08 0.002 0.02 0.002 Lead 0.004 0.0003 0.007 0.00001 0.3 0.003 0.009 0.0004 Manganese 0.02 0.2 1 0.05 0.7 0.00002 1 0.04 Mercury 0.00000007 0.02 0.000008 0.004 0.0000002 0.000001 Nickel 0.004 0.005 0.09 0.001 0.2 0.001 0.1 0.002 Selenium 0.1 0.6 3 0.1 4 0.007 3 0.2 Thallium 0.001 0.005 0.00003 Vanadium 0.0002 0.8 0.0008 0.005 0.00009 0.00002 Zinc 0.004 0.06 0.02 0.004 0.3 0.003 0.03 0.002 Sulfide Notes: IA Hazard Quotient is estimated by dividing the Exposure Point Concentration for that species by its respective Toxicity Reference Value for the COPEC. 2 Exposures are adjusted for the proportion of this exposure area that represents the animal's home range, i.e. 1 acres/10 acres = 0.1. 3 Reproduced from Table 6-5 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (February 12, 2016). 4 Reproduced from Table 6-6 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (February 12, 2016). 5 Reproduced from Table 6-7 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (February 12, 2016). e Reproduced from Table 6-8 of Appendix F of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin (February 12, 2016). HQ >= 1 43 Page 2 of 2 Table 4. Mayo Ecological Hazard Quotients (HQ)1 for COPECs. Ash Basin; Wildlife Receptor HQ Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Analyte Terrestrial2 American Robin Red -Tailed Hawk Meadow Vole Red Fox Aluminum 0.00001 0.0000002 0.002 0.00002 Manganese 0.00003 0.0000004 0.0004 0.000005 Analyte Aquatic2 Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Aluminum 0.0000003 0.00002 0.0009 0.00009 Manganese 1 0.0000008 0.005 0.0002 0.002 South Creek Downgradient4 Analyte Wildlife Receptor Hazard Quotient Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Aquatic2 Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Aluminum 0.00000 0.0002000 0.009 0.00020 Barium 0.00400 0.080 Iron Manganese 0.00000 0.0400000 0.001 0.00400 Zinc 0.00100 0.020 Crutchfield Branch Downgradient5 Analyte Wildlife Receptor Hazard Mallard Duck Quotient Estimated using the Aquatic2 Great Blue Heron "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Muskrat River Otter Aluminum 0.00000 0.0001000 0.007 0.00010 Barium 0.00300 0.100 Iron Manganese 0.00001 0.4000000 0.020 0.02000 Zinc 0.00000 0.0200000 0.000 0.00020 Crutchfield Branch 6 Analyte Wildlife Receptor Hazard American Robin Quotient Estimated using the "Lowest Observed Adverse Effects Level" Terrestrial Red -Tailed Hawk Meadow Vole Red Fox Aluminum 0.03000 0.0000040 0.400 0.00060 Arsenic 0.01000 0.0000020 0.040 0.00004 Barium 0.00100 0.0000030 0.002 0.00000 Boron 0.00300 0.000 Chromium Cobalt 0.05000 0.0000600 0.010 0.00005 Copper 0.00003 0.0000001 0.000 0.00000 Iron Lead 0.00040 0.0000020 0.000 0.00000 Manganese 0.50000 0.0000100 1.000 0.00010 Vanadium 0.10000 0.002 Zinc 0.30000 0.0005000 0.030 0.00040 44 Page 1 of 2 Analyte Aquaticz Mallard Duck Great Blue Heron Muskrat River Otter Aluminum 0.0000009 0.0002 0.01 0.0002 Arsenic 0.00001 0.01 Barium 0.006 0.2 Boron Chromium 0.0008 0.000004 Cobalt Copper 0.0000002 0.02 0.00006 0.0004 Iron Lead Manganese 0.001 0.3 0.3 0.02 Vanadium Zinc Notes: ]A Hazard Quotient is estimated by dividing the Exposure Point Concentration for that species by its respective Toxicity Reference Value for the COPC. 2 Exposures are adjusted for the proportion of this exposure area that represents the animal's home range, i.e. 1 acres/10 acres = 0.1. 3 Reproduced from Table 6-3 of Appendix E of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Mayo Steam Electric Plant (February 29, 2016). ° Reproduced from Table 6-4 of Appendix E of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Mayo Steam Electric Plant (February 29, 2016). 5 Reproduced from Table 6-5 of Appendix E of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Mayo Steam Electric Plant (February 29, 2016). 6 Reproduced from Table 6-6 of Appendix E of Corrective Action Plan Part 2: Mayo Steam Electric Plant (February 29, 2016). HQ >= 1 45 Page 2 of 2 0 As will be noted in these figures, there are no unacceptable off-site human health risks at any of the four sites$. For the on-site scenarios, nearly all forward projected risks are below the most conservative risk thresholds (i.e., a Hazard Index of unity (1) for non -carcinogens, and an Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk (ELCR) of lE-6). The only identified risk above this lower threshold was for an on-site construction worker at the Buck, Cliffside and Mayo sites where the projected risk was between 2E-6 and 3E-6. For the sake of the NEBA exercise, this level of risk was considered as "low" even though it is within the EPA accepted risk range of lE-4 to lE-6. Therefore, a more reasonable scenario would likely drive the "perceived" risk within a "no unacceptable risk" range ("real" risk range) at the four sites. Given this, it is apparent that the implementation of the remedial alternatives of CIP or Removal are not likely to provide any benefit from a risk management standpoint. Groundwater Service Value It should be recognized that a groundwater aquifer has the potential to provide a variety of service flows (USEPA 1995). The services that potentially can be provided by groundwater are listed in Table 5, including those parameters that can be evaluated to understand effects to groundwater services. As can be seen in Table 5, adverse groundwater service effects appear to be marginal if any. This is supported by the groundwater risk analysis conducted by Lisa Bradley, PhD (Haley and Aldrich 2016). Thus, the question arises, are the environmental and community risks that will arise from remedy implementation and the implementation costs worth incurring to manage what appears to be marginal levels of risk, if any? Based on the evaluation conducted herein and as demonstrated in this section, it is evident that the projected environmental and community impacts associated with implementing the Removal alternative far outweigh any benefit associated with implementation of the Removal alternative. 4.2 NEBA Assessment Parameter Evaluation I next consider how the remedial actions might affect other parameters that are important to human health, community perspectives, and ecological resources. A demonstration as to how the assessment parameters were estimated to be affected given the MNA, CIP and Removal alternatives is presented in a series of figures. In each figure, each individual parameter with the greatest adverse impact is set to 1 (on the right vertical axis), regardless of alternative. Then, all other corresponding parameter values are presented proportional to the highest value for that specific parameter. This permits multiple parameters with varying scales to be displayed on the same graph and for relative comparison of projected parameter changes between alternatives. The a Fish consumption scenarios (recreational and subsistence) were not evaluated in the "forward projection" modeling as there is too little information to estimate whether any "true" risk exists for this scenario (not likely however, as the original risk assessments were overly conservative as they used limited site data and assumed unrealistic exposures). The risk assessments included in the CAP 2 reports used two overly conservative assumptions: 1) the bioconcentration factors that were used to estimate fish tissue concentrations based on surface water concentrations were very conservative (most notably the factor used for cobalt is known to be overly conservative (ATSDR 2004) for freshwater fish), and 2) the surface water concentrations used were from limited on-site surface water sampling, not from surface water collected in the receiving stream or reservoir. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 46 September 30, 2016 Table 5. Groundwater Services, Effects, and Parameter Evaluation. FUNCTION: STORAGE OF WATER EFFECTS SERVICE FUNCTION: DISCHARGE TO EFFECTS SERVICE RESERVE (STOCK) EFFECT STREAMS/LAKES/WETLANDS EFFECT Change in Welfare from Increase or Decrease in Drinking Water through Surface Change in Welfare from Increase or Decrease in Drinking Water; Availability of Drinking Water, Change in Human No Water Supplies; Availability of Drinking Water, Change in Human No Health or Health Risks Health or Health Risks Water for Crop Irrigation; Change in Value of Crops or Production Costs, No Water for Crop Irrigation through Change in Value of Crops or Production Costs, No Change in Human Health or Health Risks Surface Water Supplies; Change in Human Health or Health Risks Change in Value of Livestock Products or Water for Livestock through Surface Change in Value of Livestock Products or Production Water for Livestock; Production Costs, Change in Human Health or No Water Supplies; Costs, Change in Human Health or Health Risks No Health Risks Water for Food Product Change in Value of Food Products or Production Water for Food Product Processing Change in Value of Food Products or Production Processing; Costs, Change in Human Health or Health Risks No through Surface Water Supplies; Costs, Change in Human Health or Health Risks No Water for Other Manufacturing Change in Value of Manufactured Goods or Water for Other Manufacturing Change in Value of Manufactured Goods or Processes; Production Costs; No Processes through Surface Water Production Costs; No Supplies; Heated Water for Geothermal Provision of Cooling Water for Power Plants; Change in Cost of Electricity Generation No Power Plants through Surface Water Change in Cost of Electricity Generation No Supplies Change in Cost of Maintaining Public or Private Cooling Water for Other Power Provision of Erosion, Flood, and Property, Change in Human Health or Health Risks Plants; Change in Cost of Electricity Generation No Storm Protection through Personal Injury Protection, Change in No Economic Output Attributable to Use of Surface Water Supplies for Disposing Wastes Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable Transport and Treatment of Wastes to Change in Surface Water Quality, Change in Water/Soil Support System Change in Cost of Maintaining Public or Private and Other By -Products of Human Animal Health or Health Risks Attributable to Change Preventing Land Subsidence; Property No Economic Activity through Surface in Surface Water Quality, Change in Economic Output No Water Supplies Attributable to Use of Surface Water Supplies for Disposing Wastes Erosion and Flood Control Change in Cost of Maintaining Public or Private Support of Recreational Swimming, Change in Quantity or Quality Recreational Activities, through Absorption of Surface Property No Boating, Fishing, Hunting, Trapping Change in Human Health or Health Risks No Water Run -Off; and Plant Gathering Medium for Wastes and Other Change in Human Health or Health Risks Support of Commercial Fishing, By -Products of Human Economic Attributable to Change in Ground water Quality No Hunting, Change in Value of Commercial Harvest or Costs No Activity; Trapping, Plant Gathering Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable to Change in Water Quality, Change Marginal, Support of On -Site Observation or Clean Water through Support of in Animal Health or Health Risks Attributable to if any, see Study of Fish, Wildlife, and Plants Change in Quantity or Quality of On -Site Observation Living Organisms; Change in Water Quality, Change in Value of Appendix for Leisure, Educational, or Scientific or No Economic Output or Productions Costs Study Activities Attributable to Change in D Purposes P Water Quality Passive or Non -Use Services Marginal, Support of Indirect, Off -Site Fish, Change in Quantity or Quality of Indirect, Off -Site (e.g., Existence or Bequest Change in Personal Utility if any Wildlife, and Plant Uses (e.g. Activities No Motivations). viewing wildlife photos) Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable Provision of Clean Air through to Support of Living Organisms Change in Air Quality, Change in Animal Health or No Health Risks Attributable to Change in Air Quality Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable to Marginal, Provision of Clean Water through Change in Water Quality, Change in Animal Health or if any, see Support of Living Organisms Health Risks Attributable to Change in Water Quality, Appendix Change in Value of Economic Output or Productions Costs D Attributable to Change in Water Quality Change in Human Health or Health Risks Attributable to Regulation of Climate through Change in Climate, Change in Animal Health or Support of Plants Health Risks Attributable to Change in Climate, No Change in Value of Economic Output or Production Costs Attributable to Change in Climate Provision of Non -Use Services (e.g., Existence Services) Associated with Marginal, Surface Water Body or Wetlands Change in Personal Utility or Satisfaction if any Environments or Ecosystems Supported by Ground water 47 0 higher a bar moves upward from the x-axis, the greater the environmental, health and safety, or social impact. This approach allows for the alternatives to be evaluated and compared visually in a holistic manner, including in comparison to changes in human and ecological risks (left vertical axis) associated with implementation of each alternative. It should be recognized that the approach taken in the overall NEBA analysis was to approximate the parameter values for each of the alternatives based upon consistent assumptions where applicable. As such, the parameter estimates are approximate values and not intended to be exact, but enough to identify impacts and differences between alternatives to a reasonable degree of certainty. The overall results of the NEBA are presented in Table 6 and the following figures demonstrate how ecological and human health risks and the estimated parameter values are projected to change given implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives. The figures are presented in turn, for each of the following parameter groups by site: implementation health and safety risks, truck trips, air emissions (criteria pollutants), energy use, ecological habitat losses, and costs (Figures 27-50). Following these figures, three graphics are presented for each site. The first displays all assessment parameters, the second compares projected health impacts between alternatives, and the third compares GHG and NOX emissions to established reporting and permitting thresholds (Figures 51- 62). Additionally, a cumulative graphic is provided that displays the combined effect across all four sites (Figure 63). DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 48 September 30, 2016 Table 6. Overall NEBA Summary Table. NEBA Considerations Ecological Risks Human Health Pathways, Risks, and Social Consequences Ecological Habitat Impacts Additional Environmental and Social Costs Consequences Groundwater Public On-Site Truck traffic Implementation Implementation Wetland and Overall EcologicalGHG emissions s/ Ecological Risk (drinking water contaminant contaminant Fish Consumption t Truck traffic incidents- risks- project Truck Trips-Public Terrestrial HabitatPriority Surface Water � carbon foot- pollutant Total Energy Capital and 0&M NEBA Framework consumption) z'4 z'a incidents -risk property accident rate Roads' Value Habitat Value Habitat Value emissions Used exposure exposure ldamage printing Environmental Justice Concerns Site Alternative Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) Metric(s) no unacceptable no unacceptable HI/ELCR -no H/ELCR -no no unacceptable risk, low risk, risk; low risk, unacceptable risk, unacceptable risk, risk, low risk, Fatalities (F) andFatalities (F) and Trips - Public Tons/yr and tons Tons/yr of NOx, Net present value moderate risk, moderate risk, low risk, moderate low risk, moderate moderate risk, injuries/illnesses(1) Incidents injuries/illnesses(1) Roads Lost dSAVs Lost dSAVs Lost dSAVs of COze emitted PM30/2.5 emitted MINI BTU in real dollars high risk high risk risk, high risk risk, high risk high risk Monitored Natural NUA NUA Baseline= Attenuation (MNA) NUA NUA 0.004/- 0.1/5E-08 Baseline Baseline Baseline 0 Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline $ 7,315,000 NUA NUA $ 154,833,594 Allen Cap-in-Place (CIP) NUA NUA F-0.10 8 F-0.07 140,401 2,477 3,212 5,690 7,376.46 tons/yr NOx-29.20 446,861 0.002/-- 0.02/lE-OS 1-2.8 1-9.6 38,302.34 tons PM10/2.5-1.01 Above Baseline NUA NUA F-0.68 F-0.23 30,940.04 tons/yr NOx-143.01 $ 1,543,608,397 Removal NUA NUA 0.001/-- 0.004/1E-10 1-19.2 56 1-61 99fi,795 3,735 3,212 6,947 465,225.76 tons PM30/2.5-6.12 51648,213 Above Baseline Monitored Natural NUA Low Risk Baseline= Attenuation (MNA) NUA NUA 0.02/2E-07 0.2/2E-06 Baseline Baseline Baseline 0 Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline $ 7,315,000 NUA NUA $ 83,948,029 Cap-in-Place (CIP) NUA NUA F-0.06 $ F-0.04 78,526 1,617 2,114 3,730 7,376.55 tons/yr NOx-29.20 242'972 Buck 0.01/4E-08 0.05/6E-07 1-1.6 1-5.4 21,422.52 tons PM30/2.5-1.01 Above Baseline NUA NUA $ 445,498,459 F-0.19 F-0.08 30,954.67 tons/yr NOx-143.05 Removal NUA NUA 0.009/2E-08 0.0006/6E-09 1-5.3-19 16 276,968 1,352 2,114 3,466 133,968.79 tons PM10/2.5-6.12 1,614,833 Above Baseline Monitored Natural NUA Low Risk Baseline= Attenuation (MNA) Low Risk NUA 0.02/6E-07 0.2/2E-06 Baseline Baseline Baseline 0 Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline $ 9,872,500 NUA NUA $ 85,897,149 Cliffside Cap-In-Place (CIP) NUA NUA F-0.06 5 F-0.04 82,459 1,476 1,460 2,936 7,446.20 tons/yr NOx-29.43 255,655 0.02/1E-07 0.04/6E-07 1-1.6 1-5.7 22,338.61 tons PM10/2.5-1.02 Above Baseline NUA NUA F-0.28 F-0.11 30,939.07 tons/yr NOx-143.00 $ 648,986,943 Removal NUA NUA 0.02/6E-08 0.01/4E-09 1-7.9 27 I -27 410,279 1,842 1,460 3,303 197,207.80 tons PM10/2.5-6.12 2,379,322 Above Baseline Monitored Natural NUA Low Risk Baseline= Attenuation (MNA) NUA NUA 0.2/- 0.3/3E-06 Baseline Baseline Baseline 0 Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline Baseline $ 7,315;000 NUA NUA F-0.05 F-0.03 7,321.77 tons/yr NO. -29.02 $ 70,423,111 Mayo Cap-In-Place (CIP) NUA NUA 02/ 0.09/7E-07 1-1.3 4 1-4.6 66,720 997 2,595 3,592 18,304.42 tons PM10/2.5-1.01 210,687 Above Baseline NUA NUA F-0:23 F-0.09 30,953.04 tons/yr NOx-143.05 $ 547,889,455 Removal NUA NUA 0.2/-- 0.0002/- 1-6.6 23 1-23 343,813 1,058 2,595 3,654 165,651.27 tons PM10/2.5-6.12 2'007'693 Above Baseline Noter. Current Baseline: Parameters are measured as a change from the current condition for each site. Footnotes: MNA - Monitored Natural Attenuation 1. Insufficient data to evaluate CIP - Cap-in-Place with MNA 2. Highest Hazard Index / ELCR 30 years after implementation Removal- Full Removal with MNA NUA: No Unacceptable Risk: HI<1; ELCR<1E-06 Abbreviations: Low Risk: 1 <HI <3; 1E-06 <ELCR <5E-05 dSAY: discounted service acre year NEBA: net environmental benefit analysis Moderate Risk: 1<HI<3; 1E-05<ELCR<1E-04 ELCR: excess lifetime cancer risk O&M: operation and management High Risk: HI>3; ELCR>3E-04 F: fatalities 3. Construction worker, Commercial/Industrial Worker or Trespasser GHG: greenhouse gas 4. Swimmer, Boater, Wader HI: hazard index S.Trucktrips include transport of cap material and liner for Capping and include transport of ash,closure/cap material, and linerfor Removal I: Injuries/illnesses 6. GHG emissions include both direct (consumption) and indirect (well-to-pump) contributions 7. Overall Ecological Habitat Value, assumes a 1:1 ratio between terrestrial and wetland/surface water habitat 4.2.1 Implementation Health and Safety Risks Figure 27. Allen Steam Station - Implementation Health and Safety Risks 0 o High Risk 1 Y N i 'a.. Moderate M Risk Low Risk NUA MINA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only h Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ® Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities NUA -No Unacceptable Risk O CL O 0.25 d 0 Figure 28. Buck Steam Station - Implementation Health and Safety Risks High Risk 1 Y _N cc 4/ Moderate m Risk v z Low Risk NUA 3 Za v v � `m m m m m z I z z MINA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities ■Trucktraffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Fatalities Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness NUA - No Unacceptable Risk 4J 0.75 00 C M L v Q! V 0.5 O a` m c 0 `o 0.25 a O 0 CL EPS DCN: HWIDENC001A 50 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y > Moderate " Risk m v Low Risk NUA Figure 29. Cliffside Steam Station - Implementation Health and Safety Risks m N W O 1 N O N 0 � N O lD l0 O ,y 3 3 v v v a 1 CPS]- High ('S a! 0.75 C m t V QJ QJ u Cu 0.5 2 0. c 0 Y O 0.25 O- O 0 MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities ■ Truck traffic incidents - Injuries/Illness 11 Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness NUA -No Unacceptable Risk Figure 30. Mayo Steam Station - Implementation Health and Safety Risks m m High Risk 1 Y N j Modera m Ri! v Low Ri NU, kI 0 0 o m 0 0 3 v v v v v \k L4. 'z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities • Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness DCN: HWIDENCOOIA CIP Removal © Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents - Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities NUA -No Unacceptable Risk 51 a a) 0.75 M S V 13 a1 u ar 0.5 O a` m c O Z O 0.25 r 0 CL September 30, 2016 4.2.2 Truck Trips High Risk Y K Ol m Moderate Risk Low Risk NUA Figure 31. Allen Steam Station -Truck Trips O a 0 a a a a a a a a a z z a z z z z z 0 MNA CIP Removal ■Groundwater(drinkingwaterconsumption) ❑Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ImplementationTruckTrips- Public Roads NUA-No Unacceptable Risk High Risk Y cc Qj > Moderate Risk v cc Low Risk NUA Figure 32. Buck Steam Station -Truck Trips 3 ¢ a z z a z o a a a a z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Implementation Truck Trips -Pub I ic Roads CIP Removal M Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA - No Unacceptable Risk N MA C 0.75 s v G/ w GJ O a` 0.5 m o_ .Y 0 C O 0.25 0- 0 0 a 0.75 oA C M s J d a-. u G/ 0.5 O a` m 0 0 �Y Q 0.25 0. O CL 0 EPS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 52 September 30, 2016 High Y > Mode I v z Figure 33. Cliffside Steam Station -Truck Trips N O V ate isk MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Implementation Truck Trips -Public Roads High Ris Y H > Moderate ra Risk d Low Ris NUA CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk NUA - No Unacceptable Risk Figure 34. Mayo Steam Station - Truck Trips I o 0 N n 3 ILII v aa a a a a a > > > > > > > > > > > z z z m z z z z z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Implementation Truck Trips -Public Roads CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure • Ecologica I Risk NUA -No Unacceptable Risk EPS 1 d 0.75 f6 L v O1 u d 0.5 O a C C 0 L O 0.25 Q O CL 0 1 Cu 0.75 C R L V N a.+ Cu 0.5 O CL c O L O 0.25 C. O CL 0 DCN: HWIDENC001A 53 September 30, 2016 C W o o Risk a a UA z z z z z z z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Implementation Truck Trips -Public Roads High Ris Y H > Moderate ra Risk d Low Ris NUA CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ Ecological Risk NUA - No Unacceptable Risk Figure 34. Mayo Steam Station - Truck Trips I o 0 N n 3 ILII v aa a a a a a > > > > > > > > > > > z z z m z z z z z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Implementation Truck Trips -Public Roads CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure • Ecologica I Risk NUA -No Unacceptable Risk EPS 1 d 0.75 f6 L v O1 u d 0.5 O a C C 0 L O 0.25 Q O CL 0 1 Cu 0.75 C R L V N a.+ Cu 0.5 O CL c O L O 0.25 C. O CL 0 DCN: HWIDENC001A 53 September 30, 2016 4.2.3 Air Emissions Figure 35. Allen Steam Station - Air Emissions 0 High Risk Y K Moderate a Risk K Low Risk ¢ a a a = _ _ = a NUA MNA ■Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑On -Site contaminant exposure ■GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx NUA -No Unacceptable Risk Hig Y K ar Moderatf @ RIO v Low Ris NUA 1 0 CIP Removal Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions -tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM 10/2.5 Figure 36. Buck Steam Station - Air Emissions o a w � 1 MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of N Ox NUA -No Unacceptable Risk ai 0.75 bo C (6 L U al V v 0.5 O a` m c 0 `O 0.25 a 0 0 CIP Removal 0 Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecologica I Risk ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM 10/2.5 0. EPS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 54 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y N jModerate m Risk v Low Ri, NU Figure 37. Cliffside Steam Station - Air Emissions m o m o e m o 3 .3 N ti k 2 2 v v z z z z z z 1 G! 0.75 c A t U G1 V 41 0.5 O a c 0 8 0.25 a O CL 0 MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions -tons/yr CO2e emitted ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM 10/2.5 NUA - No Unacceptable Risk Figure 38. Mayo Steam Station - Air Emissions m m o v High Ris Y _N v Moderate @ Risk v Low Ris NUA MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx NUA -No Unacceptable Risk DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 1 GJ 0.75 c m t U Y u G1 0.5 O L m c 0 O 0.25 0 0 CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM10/2.5 55 CL September 30, 2016 N O N V O O v a v v � a a z a = w, .w m m m m z z z z z z z i MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx NUA -No Unacceptable Risk DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 1 GJ 0.75 c m t U Y u G1 0.5 O L m c 0 O 0.25 0 0 CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM10/2.5 55 CL September 30, 2016 4.2.4 Energy Use High Risk Y i Moderate a Risk cc Low Risk NUA High Risk Y _N a Moderate +� Risk R v Figure 39. Allen Steam Station - Energy Use MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Total Energy - MMBTU Used NUA - No Unaccepta bl a Risk Low Risk NUA Figure 40. Buck Steam Station - Energy Use a cri _ N 3 a I� a — a a MNA ■ Groundwater (dd nking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Total Energy - MMBTU Used CIP Removal f Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecologica I Risk NUA -No Unacceptable Risk a m C 0.75 z v a U v 'o a` O.5 -Fa c 0 `0 CL 0 a` 0.25 0 1 v 0.75 C R t V G/ V 41 0.5 'O a` r c 0 0 0.25 0. 0 CL 0 EPS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 56 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y > Moderate Risk v Y Low Risk NUA Figure 41. Cliffside Steam Station - Energy Use I .3 .3-3 a a z z a a 'z z a a MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Total Energy - MMBTU Used High Risl K > Mode M v ate risk CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA - No Unacceptable Risk m Figure 42. Mayo Steam Station - Energy s c MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Total Energy - MMBTU Used CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA -No Unacceptable Risk 1 Gl 0.75 C M L u d u d 0.5 O CL ro c 0 Y O 0.25 G 0 CL n 1 d 0.75 L U d u N 0.5 0 a` c 0 0 0.25 0- 0 CL 0 0 DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 57 September 30, 2016 3 O tisk a J - UA m �� MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Total Energy - MMBTU Used CIP Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA -No Unacceptable Risk 1 Gl 0.75 C M L u d u d 0.5 O CL ro c 0 Y O 0.25 G 0 CL n 1 d 0.75 L U d u N 0.5 0 a` c 0 0 0.25 0- 0 CL 0 0 DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 57 September 30, 2016 4.2.5 Ecological Habitat Services Figure 43. Allen Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses High Risk Y K J Moderate a Risk Low Risk NUA MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value -lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value -lost dSAYs High Risk W d Moderate —y Risk Low Risk NUA MINA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overa II Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs CI P Removal i] Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - No Unacceptable Risk Figure 44. Buck Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses o 3 a a a — — — a a a a a a a a CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - No Unacceptable Risk t Q) NO C M 0.75 L V '0 O/ u G1 O a` 0.5 q c 0 0 CL 0 a` 025 I 0.25 0 0 a 0 CPS]- 4.2.5 PS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 58 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y N W Moderate Risk a Low Risk NUA Figure 45. Cliff side Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses 0 a . o rri 1 MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) 0 Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure 0 Ecological Risk ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - No Una ccepta bl a Ri s Figure 46. Mayo Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses N N o High Ri Y N OC v Moderat m Ris v Low Ri NU k m 3 3 a z z z m m z z z z z z z kv v v ¢ ¢ a 'yw — a a a a MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) 0 Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure 0 Ecological Risk ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - No Una ccepta bl a Ri s Figure 46. Mayo Steam Station - Ecological Habitat Service Losses N N o High Ri Y N OC v Moderat m Ris v Low Ri NU k m c a kv v v ¢ ¢ a 'yw — a a a a a a MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs DCN: HWIDENCOOIA CIP Removal 0 Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - No Unacceptable Risk 59 v ao c 0.75 m s u v v 'o 0.5 a c 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 1 CL W c 0.75 s u G! u N 'O 0.5 a c 0 O Q 0.25 2 a 0 EPS September 30, 2016 4.2.6 Costs High Risk Y 41 " Moderate v Risk Low Ri NU Figure 47. Allen Steam Station - Cost k a a a a a a a a a a a a a z z z z z z z z z z z z MNA CI P Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) E3 Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■Capital Cost -Net Present Value (Millions) NUA - No Unacceptable Risk High Risk Y N_ i Moderate io Risk CU Low Risk NUA Figure 48. Buck Steam Station - Cost 3 a n z z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) CI P Removal ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA -No Una cceptableRisk i v 00 c M 0.75 s v v v V d O a` 0.5 p c 0 `o a 0 CL 0.25 0 1 v 0.75 W C M L U d U a 0.5 O CL c 0 0 0.25 0. 0 CL 0 EPS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 60 September 30, 2016 High Risk Y H OC Moderate +, Risk m v Low Risk NUA Figure 49. Cliffside Steam Station - Cost MNA ■ Groundwater (drinkingwater consumption) 0 On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) High Risk Y y Moderate Risk v Low Risk NUA CIP Removal E3 Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA -No Unacceptable Risk Figure 50. Mayo Steam Station - Cost n 3 aanam =___� z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) 0 On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Capital Cost -Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal * Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA - No Unacceptable Risk i ar 0.75 r_ L V al V Au 0.5 O a` m c 0 `o 0.25 a 0 a 0 I ai 0.75 A L U a1 u A) 0.5 O L c 0 Y O 0.25 a 0 a 0 i EPS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 61 September 30, 2016 - - r` m Z Z N Z Z Z Z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinkingwater consumption) 0 On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) High Risk Y y Moderate Risk v Low Risk NUA CIP Removal E3 Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA -No Unacceptable Risk Figure 50. Mayo Steam Station - Cost n 3 aanam =___� z z z z MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) 0 On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Capital Cost -Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal * Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk NUA - No Unacceptable Risk i ar 0.75 r_ L V al V Au 0.5 O a` m c 0 `o 0.25 a 0 a 0 I ai 0.75 A L U a1 u A) 0.5 O L c 0 Y O 0.25 a 0 a 0 i EPS DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 61 September 30, 2016 0 4.2.7 Each Site - Data Combined This section provides a comparison, based on the evaluation conducted herein, of the potential impacts of the CIP and Removal alternatives in relation to one another and the MMA alternative for each site. 4.2.7.1 Allen Steam Station As can be seen in Figure 51, the Removal alternative provides significantly more adverse impacts when compared to the CIP alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. In addition, the CIP alternative is projected to provide significantly more impacts when compared to the NINA alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. High Ris GJ Moderat M Ris v Low Ris NU k e k 0 cn O n n o� M a co o Risk Figure 51. Allen Steam Station - Summary p O N nvrio 06�rvn� N O Of N M" M N V N �O��O � OlOtp V I� NOt A CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities ■ Truck traffic incidents - Injuries/Illness Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ® Total Energy - MMBTU Used ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) aaaa`vv`- a w w d w s a v m w `-`-`-`-`-`-`-`- ..2.. m a aaa aaaa »»v ww wwv'2 ��ZZ zzzz zzzz; mmmmommmmmmmm� -A zzzz zzzz 1 0.75 0.5 0.25 0 MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities ■ Truck traffic incidents - Injuries/Illness Truck traffic incidents - property damage only Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ® Total Energy - MMBTU Used ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) NUA -No Unacceptable Risk G1 tw C s v v v d 0 L a c 0 L 0 0- 0 L a DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 62 September 30, 2016 0 A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Allen Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 52 and by the following: The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 5E-8, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one hundred million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that five of them might get cancer (or 5 of 100,000,000). To put this into perspective, the American Cancer Society estimates the lifetime risk for a male to develop some type of cancer in their lifetime is 43.31% (or 433,100 out of 1,000,000 people)9. There will be far fewer than 100,000,000 people with exposure at the site; if one assumes that 100 people have exposure, then approximately 0.000005 people would have an increased risk of getting cancer. • Although it is unlikely that someone would get cancer due to exposure at the site, there is a real likelihood that people would be injured and possibly die under either of the two active remedial alternatives (i.e., CIP or Removal). There is a statistical likelihood that 12 people would be injured and 0.17 people might die under the capping scenario at Allen Steam Station. Similarly, it is likely that 80 people would be injured and 0.91 might die under the Removal scenario. • There is also a risk to human health from breathing in pollutants emitted into the air due to implementation of the remedial alternatives. The EPA has established threshold levels for air emissions that are to be protective of human health. In the case of NOX, the emissions under the Removal alternative are 3.6 times higher than the permitting threshold established by the USEPA to be protective of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. This means there is a real likelihood that persons working at the site or along the transportation route could incur health impacts as a result of the implementing the Removal alternative. High NOX levels can result in causing or worsening respiratory disease (such as emphysema and bronchitis), aggravating existing heart disease, and increased hospital admissions and premature deaths10. These impacts would disproportionately affect minority and economically disadvantaged people, as statistics show that such communities are more likely to live within close proximity to the routes on which trucks would transport material from the site to a disposal area". This raises significant environmental justice concerns. 9 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer i0 https://www3.epa.gov/airquality/nitrogenoxides/health.html "htlps://www3.epa. og v/airqualiiy/nitroizenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.htm DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 63 September 30, 2016 Figure 52. Allen Steam Station Number of Persons with Negative Health Impacts Projected for Proposed Alternatives 80.2 IV CL 0 v a w 0 L a �C C Z 12.4 5.00E-06 1.00E-06 0.17 1.00E-08 0.91 Cancer * Fatality Injury Cancer * Fatality Injury Cancer * Fatality Injury MNA CIP Removal * chemical exposure on-site excludes health impacts due to air pollution In regard to other impacts on the nearby community, such as noise, nuisance, etc., and overarching climate impacts, it should be recognized that: • The duration of the CIP and the Removal alternatives is projected to take a minimum of 5.2 and 35.7 years, respectively; • The evaluation estimated a projected number of truck trips on nearby public roads in the local community of over 140,401 and 996,795, for the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively, over the life of the projects; • The energy consumption of each alternative is equivalent to the energy expenditure of 1,800 and 9,700 personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively; • The estimated costs of the CIP and the Removal alternatives are projected to be about $162.2 Million and $1.55 Billion, respectively; • The projected yearly GHG emissions would exceed the USEPA established reporting threshold for the Removal alternative (Figure 53a). • The projected yearly NO, emissions would exceed the USEPA established threshold for major modifications under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program for the Removal alternative (Figure 53b). - In comparing the ecological risks to the ecological injury projected from implementation of the alternatives, the ecological injury associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at the Allen Steam Station far outweigh any ecological risks predicted with chemical concentrations. 12 The significance levels in the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program are cited for an order of magnitude comparison. I take no position on whether the activity in fact triggers the requirement for a PSD permit. DCN: HWIDENC001A 64 September 30, 2016 EPS The basic NEBA conducted herein indicates that implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives increase fatality, injury, health/illness and property damage risks of the local community, increase community nuisance such as noise and pollution, and increase ecological habitat destruction. As such, Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. 35,000 : 30,000 d W25,000 c0 } QJ 20,000 N 0 V C 15,000 F C10,000 . H E W 5,000 2 C7 0 T Figure 53a. GHG Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the GHG Reporting Threshold for Allen Steam Station 7,376 0 30,940 MINA CIP Removal GHG emissions-tons/yr CO2e emitted -GHG Reporting Threshold (25,000 tons) Figure 53b. NO, Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to IL- w1l1 n.....Y:rr.._.. TL......L-IJ C-- n II-- ea.._.Y IVIIVH Ur Kemoval Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yrof Nox -NOx Permitting Threshold (40 Tons) DCN: HWIDENC001A 65 September 30, 2016 0 4.2.7.2 Buck Steam Station As can be seen in Figure 54, the Removal alternative provides significantly more adverse impacts when compared to the CIP alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. In addition, the CIP alternative is projected to provide significantly more impacts when compared to the NINA alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. High Risk Y N al > Moderate f6 Risk v Low Risk NU.. Figure 54. Buck Steam Station - Summary M tmp N tmp � vmf m Ot Of m01 � � 0 O N � N n v'O1"am - � a 3 0 Ji as ....... ¢ cccc . mm mmmommm mm mm m`" zzzz MNA CIP ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents -Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx E Total Energy - MMBTU Used Aquatic Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) Removal ai ao 0.75 C t V aJ N u aJ 0.5 O a` c O L O 0.25 CL O a` ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents - Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yrof PM10/2.5 ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost cISAYs NUA -No Unacceptable Risk A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Buck Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 55 and by the following: • The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 2E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that two of them might DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 66 September 30, 2016 0 get cancer (or 2 of 1,000,000). To put this into perspective, the American Cancer Society 13 estimates the lifetime risk for a male to develop some type of cancer in their lifetime is 43.31% (or 433,100 out of 1,000,000 people). There will be far fewer than 1,000,000 people with exposure at the site; if one assumes that 100 people have exposure, then approximately 0.0002 people would have an increased risk of getting cancer. • Although it is unlikely that someone would get cancer due to exposure at the site, there is a real likelihood that people would be injured and possibly die due to active remediation (i.e., capping or Removal). There is a statistical likelihood that 8 people would be injured and 0.1 people might die under the capping scenario at Buck Steam Station. Similarly, it is likely that 24 people would be injured and 0.27 might die under the Removal scenario. • There is also a risk to human health from breathing in pollutants emitted into the air due to implementation of the remedial alternatives. In the case of NO,, the emissions under the Removal alternative are 3.6 times higher than the permitting threshold established by the USEPA to be protective of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. This means there is a real likelihood that persons working at the site or along the transportation route could incur health impacts as a result of the implementing the Removal alternative. High NO, levels can result in causing or worsening respiratory disease (such as emphysema and bronchitis), aggravating existing heart disease, and increased hospital admissions and premature deaths14. These impacts would disproportionately affect minority and economically disadvantaged people, as statistics show that such communities are more likely to live within close proximity to the routes on which trucks would transport material from the site to a disposal area15. This raises significant environmental justice concerns. Figure 55. Buck Steam Station Numberof Persons with Negative Health Impacts Projected for Proposed Alternatives v a 0 v a 0 v E 0 Z 0.0002 'ITINTITIT1111111111111111111=1 Cancer * Fatality Injury I Cancer * Fatality MNA I CIP * chemical exposure on-site excludes health impacts due to air pollution 24.3 7 0.0000006 0.27 Injury Cancer * Fatality Injury Re mova I 13 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer 14 https://www3.epa.aov/airgualiiy/nitrogenoxides/health.html "https://www3.epa. og v/airgualiiy/nitrolzenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.httn DCN: HWIDENC001A 67 September 30, 2016 0 In regard to other impacts on the nearby community, such as noise, nuisance, etc., it should be recognized that: • The duration of the CIP and the Removal alternatives is projected to take a minimum of 3.3 and 9.8 years, respectively; • The evaluation estimated a projected number of truck trips on nearby public roads in the local community of over 88,109 and 276,968 for the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively, over the life span of each project; • The energy consumption of each alternative is equivalent to the energy expenditure of 1,800 and 9,700 personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively; • The estimated costs of the CIP and the Removal alternatives are projected to be about $92.1 Million and $452.8 Million, respectively; • The projected yearly GHG emissions would exceed the USEPA established reporting threshold for the Removal alternative (Figure 56a). • The projected yearly NOX emissions would exceed the USEPA established threshold for major modifications under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program for the Removal alternative (Figure 56b)16 35,000 30,000 Y Y E W 25,000 d N 20,000 0 V C i—O 15,000 C O 10,000 E w l7 = 5,000 l7 Figure 56a. GHG Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to ine c nc, KeDorting I nresnoia - DUCK steam mation 30,955 7,377 MNA CIP Removal �GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted -GHG Reporting Threshold (25,000 tons) 16 The significance levels in the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program are cited for an order of magnitude comparison. I take no position on whether the activity in fact triggers the requirement for a PSD permit. DCN: HWIDENCOOlA 68 September 30, 2016 160 N 140 W 120 N X O 100 Z c 80 O F C 60 O LU 40 x O Z 20 Figure 56b. NO,, Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the NO, Permitting Threshold for Buck Steam Station 29 0 MNA CIP Removal Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx _NOx Permitting Threshold (40 Tons) EPS In comparing the ecological risks to the ecological injury projected from implementation of the alternatives, the ecological injury associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at the Buck Steam Station far outweigh any ecological risks predicted with chemical concentrations. The basic NEBA conducted herein indicates that implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives increase fatality, injury, health/illness and property damage risks of the local community, increase community nuisance such as noise and pollution, and increase ecological habitat destruction. These impacts appear to outweigh the human and ecological risks that are driving the remediation in the first place. As such, Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 69 September 30, 2016 0 4.2.7.3 Cliffside Steam Station As can be seen in Figure 57, the Removal alternative provides significantly more adverse impacts when compared to the CIP alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. In addition, the CIP alternative is projected to provide significantly more impacts when compared to the NINA alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. High Risk Y v > Moderate Risk co v Low Risk NUA Figure 57. Cliffside Steam Station - Summary n e+ o e w rvm �°'r rvma�MN onrvor�a����rv�`t-imw MNA ■Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx ® Total Energy - MMBTU Used Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal Q) tw c 0.75 s v Gl u N 0- 0.5 0.5 a` is c O E O O. 0.25 O a ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM 10/2.5 ■Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - No Una cceptableRisk A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Cliffside Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 58 and by the following: 0 The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 2E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that two of them m DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 70 September 30, 2016 a 0 0 a O1 a J w w a v m w a w a w > >> ZZ M.. � ZZZZ ZZZZ MNA ■Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx ® Total Energy - MMBTU Used Aquatic Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal Q) tw c 0.75 s v Gl u N 0- 0.5 0.5 a` is c O E O O. 0.25 O a ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of PM 10/2.5 ■Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs NUA - No Una cceptableRisk A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Cliffside Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 58 and by the following: 0 The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 2E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that two of them m DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 70 September 30, 2016 0 get cancer (or 2 of 1,000,000). To put this into perspective, the American Cancer Society" estimates the lifetime risk for a male to develop some type of cancer in their lifetime is 43.31% (or 433,100 out of 1,000,000 people). There will be far fewer than 1,000,000 people with exposure at the site; if one assumes that 100 people have exposure, then approximately 0.0002 people would have an increased risk of getting cancer. • Although it is unlikely that someone would get cancer due to exposure at the site, there is a real likelihood that people would be injured and possibly die due to active remediation (i.e., capping or Removal). There is a statistical likelihood that 7 people would be injured and 0.1 people might die under the capping scenario at Cliffside Steam Station. Similarly, it is likely that 35 people would be injured and 0.39 might die under the Removal scenario. • There is also a risk to human health from breathing in pollutants emitted into the air due to implementation of the remedial alternatives. In the case of NOx, the emissions under the Removal alternative are 3.6 times higher than the permitting threshold established by the USEPA to be protective of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. This means there is a real likelihood that persons working at the site or along the transportation route could incur health impacts as a result of the implementing the Removal alternative. High NOx levels can result in causing or worsening respiratory disease (such as emphysema and bronchitis), aggravating existing heart disease, and increased hospital admissions and premature deaths'$. These impacts would disproportionately affect minority and economically disadvantaged people, as statistics show that such communities are more likely to live within close proximity to the routes on which trucks would transport material from the site to a disposal area19. This raises significant environmental justice concerns. Figure 58. Cliffside Steam Station Number of Persons with Negative Health Impacts Projected for Proposed Alternatives 34.9 ai Q. 0 a, a 0 L ai 7.3 z 0.0002 0.00006 0.1 0.0000004 0.39 Cancer * Fatality Injury Cancer * Fatality Injury I Cancer* Fatality Injury MNA CIP I Removal * chemical exposure on-site excludes health impacts due to air pollution 17 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer 18 https://www3.epa. og v/airqualiiy/nitrogenoxides/health.html 19hllps://www3.epa. og v/airquali , /nitrogenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.htm DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 71 September 30, 2016 0 In regard to other impacts on the nearby community, such as noise, nuisance, etc., it should be recognized that: • The duration of the CIP and the Removal alternatives is projected to take a minimum of 3.0 and 14.6 years, respectively; • The evaluation estimated a projected number of truck trips on nearby public roads in the local community of over 82,459 and 410,279 for the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively, over the life span of each project; • The energy consumption of each alternative is equivalent to the energy expenditure of 1,800 and 9,700 personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively; • The estimated costs of the CIP and the Removal alternatives are projected to be about $95.7 Million and $658.8 Million, respectively. • The projected yearly GHG emissions would exceed the USEPA established reporting threshold for the Removal alternative (Figure 59a). • The projected yearly NOX emissions would exceed the USEPA established threshold for major modifications under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program for the Removal alternative (Figure 59b)20. Figure 59a. GHG Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the UHU Keporting i nresnow Tor UnrTsiae steam station 35,000 O/ +• 30,000 W 25,000 } v N 0 20,000 C O H N 15,000 C O E 10,000 W C7 2 l7 5,000 0 7,446 30,939 MNA CIP Removal �GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted -GHG Reporting Threshold (25,000 tons) 20 The significance levels in the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program are cited for an order of magnitude comparison. I take no position on whether the activity in fact triggers the requirement for a PSD permit. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 72 September 30, 2016 0 In comparing the ecological risks to the ecological injury projected from implementation of the alternatives, the ecological injury associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at the Cliffside Steam Station far outweigh any ecological risks predicted with chemical concentrations. 160 a 140 d a.+ w 120 v 100 x O z c 80 0 r 60 0 .N E 40 UJ x O z zo 0 Figure 59b. NO. Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the NU, Permitting I nresnoia Tor Clittsiae Steam Jtation 29 0 14 MNA CIP Removal Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx NOx Permitting Threshold (40 Tons) The basic NEBA conducted herein indicates that implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives increase fatality, injury, health/illness and property damage risks of the local community, increase community nuisance such as noise and pollution, and increase ecological habitat destruction. These impacts appear to outweigh the human and ecological risks that are driving the remediation in the first place. As such, Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 73 September 30, 2016 0 4.2.7.4 Mayo Steam Station As can be seen in Figure 60, the Removal alternative provides significantly more adverse impacts when compared to the CIP alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. In addition, the CIP alternative is projected to provide significantly more impacts when compared to the NINA alternative, without providing a meaningful reduction in risk. A comparison of the human health risk driving the remedial action and the risks projected from implementation of the alternatives follows. The human health risks associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at Mayo Steam Station far outweigh the human health risks that are driving a remedy in the first place. By way of example, this assertion is supported in Figure 61 and by the following: High Risk G1 >_ Moderate c*o Risk d Low Risk NUA Figure 60. Mayo Steam Station - Summary m � Nv1 -O ti00NMN O.O NO Nt�+l M.O-i .ai SON VT MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx M Total Energy - MMBTU Used Aquatic Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal v as c 0.75 m s v Gl U G1 0- 0.5 0.5 a �a c 0 L O 0. 0.25 p a ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yrof PM10/2.5 ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost cISAYs NUA - No Una cceptableRisk • The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 3E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that three of them might DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 74 September 30, 2016 0 O N N M o. m vO1i ^ a v� `ion m o J . " zz >„ z�mmmmmmmmmmmm »» zzzz »» zzzz MNA ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities Truck traffic incidents - property damage only ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx M Total Energy - MMBTU Used Aquatic Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) CIP Removal v as c 0.75 m s v Gl U G1 0- 0.5 0.5 a �a c 0 L O 0. 0.25 p a ❑ Public off-site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yrof PM10/2.5 ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost cISAYs NUA - No Una cceptableRisk • The chance that someone may get cancer due to exposure to chemicals at the site (without any active remediation) is 3E-6, assuming the scenario evaluated. This means that if one million people have significant exposure to chemicals at the site, that three of them might DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 74 September 30, 2016 0 get cancer (or 3 of 1,000,000). To put this into perspective, the American Cancer Society,I estimates the lifetime risk for a male to develop some type of cancer in their lifetime is 43.31% (or 433,100 out of 1,000,000 people). There will be far fewer than 1,000,000 people with exposure at the site; if one assumes that 100 people have exposure, then approximately 0.0003 people would have an increased risk of getting cancer. • Although it is unlikely that someone would get cancer due to exposure at the site, there is a real likelihood that people would be injured and possibly die due to active remediation (i.e., capping or Removal). There is a statistical likelihood that 6 people would be injured and 0.08 people might die under the capping scenario at Mayo Steam Station. Similarly, it is likely that 30 people would be injured and 0.32 might die under the Removal scenario. • There is also a risk to human health from breathing in pollutants emitted into the air due to implementation of the remedial alternatives. The EPA has established threshold levels for air emissions that are to be protective of human health. In the case of NOx, the emissions under the Removal alternative are 3.6 times higher than the permitting threshold established by the USEPA to be protective of the National Ambient Air Quality Standard. This means there is a real likelihood that persons working at the site or along the transportation route could incur health impacts as a result of the implementing the Removal alternative. High NOx levels can result in causing or worsening respiratory disease (such as emphysema and bronchitis), aggravating existing heart disease, and increased hospital admissions and premature deaths22. These impacts would disproportionately affect minority and economically disadvantaged people, as statistics show that such communities are more likely to live within close proximity to the routes on which trucks would transport material from the site to a disposal area 23. This raises significant environmental justice concerns. W CL 0 v a 0 0 v E 3 Z Figure 61. Mayo Steam Station Number of Persons with Negative Health Impacts Projected for Proposed Alternatives 0.0003 0.00007 0.08 Cancer * Fatality Injury Cancer * Fatality MNA CIP * chemical exposure on-site excludes health impacts due to air pollution 5.9 0 0.32 29.6 Injury Cancer * Fatality Injury Removal 21 http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer 22 https://www3.epa. og v/airqualiiy/nitrogenoxides/health.html 23https://www3.epa. og v/airquali , /nitrogenoxides/health.html https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/su6203a8.htm DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 75 September 30, 2016 0 In regard to other impacts on the nearby community, such as noise, nuisance, etc., it should be recognized that: • The duration of the CIP and the Removal alternatives is projected to take a minimum of 2.5 and 12.2 years, respectively; • The evaluation estimated a projected number of truck trips on nearby public roads in the local community of over 66,720 and 343,813 for the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively, over the life span of each project; • The energy consumption of each alternative is equivalent to the energy expenditure of 1,800 and 9,700 personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the CIP and Removal alternatives, respectively; • The estimated costs of the CIP and the Removal alternatives are projected to be about $77.7 Million and $555.2 Million, respectively. • The projected yearly GHG emissions would exceed the USEPA established reporting threshold for the Removal alternative (Figure 62a). 35,000 d 30,000 E W y 25,000 Y W N 0 20,000 C F n 15,000 C O .N ti 10,000 W 0 Figure 62a. GHG Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the GHG Reporting Threshold for Mayo Steam Station 7,322 0 30,953 MNA CIP Removal GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted -GHG Reporting Threshold (25,000 tons) DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 76 September 30, 2016 0 • The projected yearly NOx emissions would exceed the USEPA established threshold for major modifications under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program for the Removal alternative (Figure 62b)24. 160 G1 140 W L M 120 X O Z 100 H80 N v� 60 h E W X 40 O Z 20 Figure 62b. NO,, Emissions projected by remedial alternative compared to the NO, Permitting Threshold for Mayo Steam Station 29 0 143 MNA CIP Removal Criteria pollutant emissions - tons/yr of NOx �NOx Permitting Threshold (40 Tons) In comparing the ecological risks to the ecological injury projected from implementation of the alternatives, the ecological injury associated with implementing either the CIP or Removal alternatives at the Buck Steam Station far outweigh any ecological risks predicted with chemical concentrations. The basic NEBA conducted herein indicates that implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives increase fatality, injury, health/illness and property damage risks of the local community, increase community nuisance such as noise and pollution, and increase ecological habitat destruction. These impacts appear to outweigh the human and ecological risks that are driving the remediation in the first place. As such, Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. 24 The significance levels in the Prevention of Significant Deterioration program are cited for an order of magnitude comparison. I take no position on whether the activity in fact triggers the requirement for a PSD permit. DCN: HWIDENC001A 77 September 30, 2016 0 In a recent article published in the Roxboro Times, the evolution from Removal to CIP to handle coal ash was discussed by State Representative Larry Yarborough and that this change was good for the citizens of North Carolina. Several points consistent with the NEBA conducted herein were mentioned within that article (Yarborough 2016). These points included a reference to EPA studies of coal ash finding it to be non-toxic, and that removal would entail significant effort and disruption of the neighboring communities for many years (e.g., dump trucks travelling through communities, etc.). DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 78 September 30, 2016 0 4.2.8 Cumulative Assessment In order to put the cumulative effect of implementing the CIP and Removal alternatives in relation to one another, the following figure provides a comparison of the alternatives. As can be seen, the cumulative adverse impacts associated with the Removal alternative are significantly higher when compared to the CIP alternative. High Risk Y H Moderate Risk .Y m d Low Risk NUA Figure 63. Cumulative Assessment - Allen, Buck, Cliffside, 1. �nm c and Mayo combined m0N rvf v1 �D� 00 d oq C 0.75 t V ai v G1 o- 0.5 0.5 d m c O .Y O 0.25 p a MNA 3 o 0 o� C) o � a ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness aa1< vavavvavaz: aaaa aaaa ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM10/2.5 » zz > zmmmmmmmmmmmmm''" »» zzzz »» zzzz ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) NUA - No Una cceptableRisk d oq C 0.75 t V ai v G1 o- 0.5 0.5 d m c O .Y O 0.25 p a MNA CIP Removal ■ Groundwater (drinking water consumption) ❑ Public off-site contami nant exposure ❑ On -Site contaminant exposure ■ Ecological Risk ■ Truck traffic incidents - Fatalities ■ Truck traffic incidents -Injuries/Illness Truck traffic incidents -property damage only Implementation risks - Fatalities ■ Implementation risks - Injuries/Illness ■ Implementation Truck Trips - Public Roads ■ GHG emissions - tons/yr CO2e emitted ■ GHG emissions - tons of CO2e emitted Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of NOx Criteria pollutant emissions -tons/yr of PM10/2.5 ■ Total Energy - MMBTU Used ■ Terrestrial Habitat Value - lost cISAYs Aquatic Habitat Value - lost cISAYs ■ Overall Ecological Habitat Value - lost dSAYs ■ Capital Cost- Net Present Value (Millions) NUA - No Una cceptableRisk DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 79 September 30, 2016 0 5 OPINIONS • The Intervenors failed to take a holistic view of all of the environmental and community impacts and risks (environmental footprint) associated with alternative implementation during their remedial evaluation stage. This has skewed their remedy selection and leads them to advocate for a remedy (Removal) that is less protective of the environment and the community. • The Intervenors do not consider the environmental footprint of the Removal alternative, nor do they consider methods to reduce the footprint of these alternatives at any of the four sites. Metrics that may have significant social and economic impacts (e.g., GHG emissions, extended truck traffic, pollutant emissions through local communities, energy and resource consumption) or ecological impacts (e.g., terrestrial and aquatic habitat disturbance associated with removal, capping, or the development of off-site disposal units) were not considered quantitatively by the Intervenors. • Developing a remedy for the violations alleged requires employment of a NEBA evaluation to develop sustainable remedial alternatives that manage site risks while maximizing benefits and minimizing costs to the public. • The Intervenors do not address four critical aspects of large, complex projects and associated remedial evaluations: o Sustainability and green remediation practices were not evaluated quantitatively; o Social and community impacts were not evaluated quantitatively; o Environmental footprints such as carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions were not evaluated quantitatively; and, o Net environmental, economic and social benefits and costs were not evaluated either qualitatively or quantitatively. • Based upon the NEBA evaluation, the Intervenors have not considered their obligation to the public to develop sustainable remedial alternatives that manage site risks while maximizing benefits and minimizing costs to the public. • Based upon the NEBA presented herein, neither Removal or CIP is warranted as a remedy for the violations alleged. • The impact of metals in groundwater on groundwater ecosystem service flows provided by each individual site is marginal, if any. • The Removal remedy that the Intervenors propose for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites does not appear to provide any net benefit to off-site ecological or human use services, over other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater harm to the environment compared to other alternatives. o The Removal alternative will create greater risks (and nuisance) to the local community (via the extensive truck traffic) and to workers compared to other alternatives. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 80 September 30, 2016 0 • Human health and ecological risk evaluations, on which the site classifications and subsequent remedial alternatives for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites are based, use highly if not overly conservative inputs and assumptions, and mainly represent "perceived" risks, not "real" risks. • The Removal alternative will not change human or ecological risk scenarios to any meaningful level, compared to other alternatives. • Human health risks associated with implementation of the Removal alternative far outweigh the human health risks projected, given the current and projected state of groundwater contamination. • A refinement of both the human and ecological risk assessments will reduce "perceived" risks substantially, providing for the consideration of less -intrusive alternatives for managing "real" risks, if any. • The marginal benefits to the "perceived" risk profile accomplished by the Intervenors' proposed remedy do not justify the extreme differences in the cost profile, costs which are largely borne by the communities served by Duke Energy. • Based upon my evaluation, the Removal alternative would create greater environmental and human health impacts at each of the four sites, compared to other alternatives. • In comparing the CIP alternative to the Removal alternative, the Removal alternative has a much greater environmental footprint and creates significantly more environmental and community harm. This is consistent with the Tennessee Valley Authority findings in their review of CIP and Removal alternatives for coal ash as part of their programmatic EIS (Tennessee Valley Authority 2016). • At all four sites, it appears that the following will occur should the Removal remedy advocated by the Intervenors be implemented: o The Removal alternative will cause more ecological injury through the destruction of habitat than the ecological injury projected by the risk assessment, and; o The Removal alternative provides no net increase in ecosystem service value for the effort expended; the remedial actions are selected to address marginal, uncertain, and localized/limited risks. • With regard to the Removal alternative, the Intervenors have failed to demonstrate clear and transparent consideration of the following often -stated Agency objectives: Objective #1: Remedies should protect human health and the environment. Remediation work should remove unacceptable risks to human health and to the environment, with due consideration of the costs, benefits and technical feasibility of the alternatives. Objective #2: Remedies require safe working practices. Remediation work should be safe for on-site workers, local communities and the environment. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 81 September 30, 2016 0 Objective #3: Remedial decision-making should consider sustainability. Remediation decisions should be made with regard to the current and future implications of environmental, social and economic factors. A sustainable remediation solution should deliver the maximum net benefit achievable. Objective #4: Remedial decisions and their underlying foundations should be transparent. Remediation decisions, including the assumptions and supporting data used to reach them; should be documented in a clear and easily understood format. Objective #S: Remedial decisions require good governance and stakeholder involvement. Remediation decisions should be made with regard to the views of stakeholders and follow a clear process in which they can participate. In situations where a non- optimal remediation decision must be made, because of other factors that are more influential, a clear and transparent record of indicating why such a decision was taken should be a minimum requirement in any decision making process. Objective #6: Remedial decisions are based on sound science. Decisions should be made on the basis of sound science, relevant and accurate data, and clearly explained assumptions. Decisions should be based on the best available information and should be justifiable and reproducible. • Aside from recognizing the traditional requirements associated with remedial alternative selection, namely protection of human health and the environment and compliance with applicable or relevant and appropriate requirements), the Intervenors failed to present evidence of an evaluation of the significant differences (if any) in the environmental footprint when comparing the CIP and Removal alternatives that meets the requirements prescribed by federal agency guidance (USEPA 2012b). • The Intervenors base their arguments for Removal on risks based solely upon chemical concentrations of the COIs in groundwater and limited surface water seep areas, and do not provide information as to how those alternatives will change contaminant risk scenarios. In doing so, they neglected to consider factors other than chemical concentrations during the implementation of their preferred remedial alternative that also have the potential to influence, either positively or negatively, human health and ecological risks and services. • The Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites meet the definition as to when a NEBA would be of value in evaluating site remedial alternatives .25 The site information indicates that these sites retain significant ecological value in their current state. The Removal alternative proposed by the Intervenors will be environmentally damaging, the ecological risks from 21 "This framework for NEBA should be useful when the balance of risks and benefits from remediation of a site is ambiguous. This ambiguity arises when the contaminated site retains significant ecological value, when the remedial actions are themselves environmentally damaging, when the ecological risks from the contaminants are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to a component of the ecosystem, and when remediation or restoration might fail." (Efroymson et al. 2004). DCN: HWIDENC001A 82 September 30, 2016 0 the COI's are relatively small, uncertain, or limited to a component of the ecosystem, and remediation or restoration may not be fully effective in managing COI mobility. • The Intervenors' proposal for Removal is unjustified and, from a net benefit analysis, detrimental. • There is no need to order closure, much less closure by Removal, to remedy the alleged violations in this case. A basic NEBA demonstrates that the Intervenors' proposed remedy (Removal) is clearly disproportionate to the risk. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 83 September 30, 2016 0 6 REFERENCES ATSDR 2004. Cobalt Toxicity Profile (www.atsdr.cdc. og v/tomrofiles/tp33.pdf). Aurand, D., Walko, L., and Pond, R. 2000. Developing Consensus Ecological Risk Assessments: Environmental Protection in Oil Spill Response Planning A Guidebook. United States Coast Guard. Washington, DC. 148p. Colombo, F., Nicolette, J., Wenning, R., and Travers, M. 2012. Incorporating Ecosystem Valuation in the Assessment of Risk and Remedy Implementation. Chemical Engineering Transactions. 28, 55-60. DOI: 3303/CET1228010 Efroymson, R., Nicolette, J., and Suter, G. 2003. A Framework for Net Environmental Benefit Analysis for Remediation or Restoration of Petroleum -Contaminated Sites; ORNL/TM- 2003/17; Oak Ridge National Laboratory: Oak Ridge, TN, USA, 2003. Efroymson, R., Nicolette, J., and Suter, G. 2004. A Framework for Net Environmental Benefit Analysis for Remediation or Restoration of Contaminated Sites. Environmental Management. 34,315-331. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. April 2016. Report on Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Ash Basins in North Carolina. Lisa Bradley. HDR Engineering, Inc. of the Carolinas (HDR). 2015a. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Allen Steam Station Ash Basin. August 23, 2015. HDR. 2015b. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Buck Steam Station Ash Basin. August 23, 2015. HDR. 2015c. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin. August 18, 2015. HDR. 2015d. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Allen Steam Station Ash Basin. November 20, 2015. HDR. 2015e. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Buck Steam Station Ash Basin. November 20, 2015. HDR. 2015f. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin. November 16, 2015. HDR. 2016a. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Allen Steam Station Ash Basin. February 19, 2016. HDR. 2016b. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Buck Steam Station Ash Basin. February 19, 2016. HDR. 2016c. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin. February 12, 2016. HDR. 2016d. Comprehensive Site Assessment Supplement 2, Allen Steam Station Ash Basin. August 2, 2016. HDR. 2016e. Comprehensive Site Assessment Supplement 2, Buck Steam Station Ash Basin. August 2, 2016. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 84 September 30, 2016 0 HDR. 2016f. Comprehensive Site Assessment Supplement 2, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin. August 8, 2016. Interstate Technology and Regulatory Council (ITRC). 2006. Planning and Promoting Ecological Land Reuse of Remediated Sites. Washington, DC: ITRC, Ecological Reuse Team. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). 2011. (Shigenaka, G.) Summary Report for Fate and Effects of Remnant Oil Remaining in the Environment. Annex M - Net Environmental Benefit Analysis. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Nicolette, J., Burr, S., and Rockel, M. 2013a. A Practical Approach for Demonstrating Environmental Sustainability and Stewardship through a Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. Sustainability 2013, 5, 2152-2177; doi:10.3390/su5052152, Published May 10, 2013. Nicolette, J., Goldsmith, B., Wenning, R., Barber, T., and Colombo, F. 2013b. Chapter 9: Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage. In & L. Bergkamp (Ed.) & B. Goldsmith (Ed.), The EU Environmental Liability Directive: A Commentary. Oxford University Press. May 10, 2013. North Carolina. 1971. North Carolina Environmental Policy Act of 1971. (1971, c. 1203, s. 1; 1991, c. 431, s. 1.) North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ). 2013. Division of Waste Management, Hazardous Waste Section. Guidelines for Establishing Remediation Goals at RCRA Hazardous Waste Sites. December 11, 2013. Suter, G.W., II. 1993. Ecological Risk Assessment. Lewis Publishers, Boca Raton, Florida. SynTerra. 2015a. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Mayo Steam Electric Plant. September 2, 2015. SynTerra. 2015b. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Mayo Steam Electric Plant. December 1, 2015. SynTerra. 2016a. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Mayo Steam Electric Plant. February 29, 2016. SynTerra. 2016b. Comprehensive Site Assessment Supplement 1, Mayo Steam Station Ash Basin. July 7, 2016. Tennessee Valley Authority. 2016. Final Ash Impoundment Closure Environmental Impact Statement Part I — Programmatic NEPA Review. Project Number: 2015-31, June 2016. United States 1997. United States v. Melvin Fisher. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida, Key West Division Case Numbers 92-10027-CIV-DAVIS, and 95- 10051-CIV-DAVIS. Decided 30 July 1997, Filed 30 July 1997. 977 F. Supp. 1193; 1997 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 16767. United States 2001. United States of America and Internal Improvement Trust Fund v. Great Lakes Dredge and Dock Company. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida D. C. Docket No. 97 -02510 -CV -EBD. United States Army Environmental Center. 2005. United States Army Natural Resource Injury Guidance. September. http://aec.army.mil/portals/3/cleanup/nri-guide.pdf DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 85 September 30, 2016 0 United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) 1995. A Framework for Measuring the Economic Benefits of Groundwater. Office of Water and Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation. EPA 230-B-95-003. October 1995. USEPA. 1997. Ecological Risk Assessment Guidance for Superfund: Process for Designing and Conducting Ecological Risk Assessments (EPA 540-R-97-006). Washington, DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 1998. Guidelines for Ecological Risk Assessment (EPA/630/R-95/002F). Washington, DC. USEPA 2001. Updating Remedy Decision at Select Superfund Sites. Biannual Summary Report FY 1998 and FY 1999. USEPA Office of Emergency Response (OERR) (EPA 540-R-01- 00, OSWER 9355.0-76) March 2001, 84 pp. USEPA. 2005. Contaminated Sediment Remediation Guidance for Hazardous Waste Sites (EPA - 540 -R-05-012, OSWER 9355.0-85). Washington, DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 2008. Green Remediation: Incorporating Sustainable Environmental Practices into Remediation of Contaminated Sites (EPA 542-R-08-002). Washington DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 2009a. Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases Under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act. Washington DC: Federal Register 74, no. 239: 66, 496-66, 546. USEPA. 2009b. Principles for Greener Cleanups. Washington DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 2011 a. Greener Cleanups: Contracting and Administrative Toolkit. Washington, DC: USEPA, OSWER. USEPA. 201 lb. Deferral for CO2 emissions from bioenergy and other biogenic sources under the Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) and Title V programs: Proposed rule (EPA - HQ -OAR -2011-0083). Washington DC: Federal Register 76, no. 54: 15, 249-15, 266. USEPA. 2012a. "Re: Proposed Order for Recovery of Submerged Oil." Letter to Enbridge Energy, Limited Partnership. 3 Oct. 2012. MS. N.p. https://www3.epa. ovg /region5/enbridgespill/pdfs/20121003-cover-letter-re-proposed- order.pdf USEPA. 2012b. Methodology for Understanding and Reducing a Project's Environmental Footprint (EPA 542-R-12-002). Washington DC: USEPA, OSWER, Office of Superfund Remediation and Technology Innovation. USEPA. 2013. Region 4 Superfund Annual Report 2013. USEPA. http://www.epa. og v/re iog n4/soerfund/images/allmedia/pdfs/ annualreport2013 .pdf. USEPA. 2016. Consideration of Greener Cleanup Activities in the Superfund Cleanup Process. Memorandum from J. Woolford, C. Bertrand, C. Mackey, and R. Albores to the Regional DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 86 September 30, 2016 0 Superfund National Program Managers. Regions 1-10 and Regional Counsels, Region 1- 10. 14 pp. August 2, 2016. USEPA Science Advisory Board (SAB). 2009. Valuing the Protection of Ecological Systems and Services (EPA -SAB -09-012). Washington, DC: USEPA Science Advisory Board. Yarborough, Larry (North Carolina State Representative). Roxboro Courier -Times, 07-27-16. http://www.personcountylife.com/news/2016-07- 27/Editorial/Coal ash law_ changes_ are wod_for our_citizens.html DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 87 September 30, 2016 0 Selected Examples of Truck Traffic and Construction Implementation Related Accidents over the past 10 years (Web -accessed September 27, 2016) August 2016, Wisconsin http://www.wsaw. com/content/news/Truck-accident-leads-to--3 909443 31.html June 2016, South Carolina http://thejoumalonline.com/2016/06/13jM-247-fatality/ June 2016, Kansas City Missouri http: Hfox4kc. com/2016/06/20/semi-cgMing-fly-ash-involved-in-wreck-spills-it-all-over- highway/ March 2015, Pennsylvania htip: //www.wtae. com/news/triaxle-truck-crashes-spills-fly-ash-on-route-22/31754308 December 2013, West Virginia http://www.tristateodate.com/story/24295024/fatal-crash-on-i-64 jams-U-traffic-near-institute- wv-fatal-fatality-multi-vehicle July 2009, Tennessee http: //www.knoxnews. com/news/local/truck-driver-killed-in-accident-at-kingston-ash-spill-site- ep-409808217-3 5 93 05271. html July 2006, Ohio (loading dump truck with ash, pit collapsed) https://www.osha.gov/pls/imis/accidentsearch.accident detail?id=201954740 DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 88 September 30, 2016 0 7 EXPERT REPORTS REVIEWED Bedient, Philip B. 29 February 2016. Expert Opinion of Remediation of Soil and Groundwater at the Allen Steam Station Operated by Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Belmont, North Carolina. Bedient, Philip B. 29 February 2016. Expert Opinion of. Remediation of Soil and Groundwater at the Cliffside Steam Station Operated by Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Mooresboro, North Carolina. Bedient, Philip B. May 13, 2016. Expert Opinion of. Remediation of Soil and Groundwater at the Marshall Steam Station Operated by Duke Energy Carolinas, LLC, Terrell, North Carolina. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. 29 February 2016. Expert Report. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. May 12, 2016. Expert Report. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. May 12, 2016. Expert Report, Addendum #1. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Cosler, Douglas J. February 29, 2016. Expert Report of Allen Steam Station Ash Basins Belmont, North Carolina. Cosler, Douglas J. February 29, 2016. Expert Report of. Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basins Mooresboro, North Carolina. Cosler, Douglas J. April 18, 2016. Expert Report of. Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin, Terrell, North Carolina. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. April 2016. Report on Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Ash Basins in North Carolina. Lisa Bradley. Hutson, Mark A. February 2016. Expert Report of. Mayo Steam Electric Plant Roxboro, NC. Hutson, Mark A. May 2016. Expert Report of. Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin, Belews Creek, NC. Hutson, Mark A. May 2016. Expert Report of Roxboro Steam Electric Plant, Semora, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Roxboro Steam Station, Semora, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Belews Creek Steam Station, Belews Creek, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Marshall Steam Station, Terrell, NC. Parette, Robert. May 13, 2016. Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Buck Steam Station, Salisbury, NC. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 89 September 30, 2016 EPS Supplemental Expert Reports Reviewed Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. August 30, 2016. Expert Report, Addendum #1. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Campbell, Steven K. and Richard K. Spruill. August 30, 2016. Expert Report, Addendum #2. Buck Steam Station, 1555 Dukeville Road, Salisbury, NC 28146. Cosler, Douglas J August 30, 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of Allen, Cliffside, and Marshall Steam Station Ash Basins North Carolina. Hutson, Mark A. August 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of. Belews Creek Steam Station Ash Basin, Belews Creek, NC. Hutson, Mark A. August 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of. Mayo Steam Electric Plant Roxboro, NC. Hutson, Mark A. August 2016. Supplemental Expert Report of. Roxboro Steam Electric Plant, Semora, NC. Parette, Robert. August 30, 2016. Supplemental Opinions of the Appropriateness of Monitored Natural Attenuation in Conjunction with Cap -in -Place at the Allen, Belews Creek, Buck, Cliffside, Marshall, Mayo, and Roxboro Steam Station, North Carolina. DCN: HWIDENCOOIA 90 September 30, 2016 EPS APPENDIX A Remedial Alternatives Construction Analysis 0 Al REMEDIAL ALTERNATIVE CONSTRUCTION ANALYSIS A construction and cost analysis for three remedial alternatives, monitored natural attenuation (MNA), cap -in-place with MNA (CIP), and comprehensive removal with MNA (Removal) were assessed for the Allen Steam Station, Buck Steam Station, Cliffside Steam Station and Mayo Steam Station. The three remedial alternatives evaluated are based on the remedial assessment completed by HDR Engineering, Inc. and SynTerra Corporation as detailed in the Corrective Action Plan, Part 2 for each respective steam station (HDR 2016a, 2016b, 2016c; SynTerra 2016). The quantity of ash in basins and ash storage units for each steam station was provided by Duke Energy. Land coverage dimensions were determined via GIS polygon analysis from shape files provided by HDR and SynTerra (as provided in the CAP Part 2 documents). The construction analysis is subdivided into three categories as summarized in Table 1 through Table 3 following this text. Supporting calculation worksheets (Tables A-1 to A-13) are provided at the end of this Appendix. Appendix A — Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-1 September 30, 2016 A2 TABLE 1. LAND USE DISTURBANCE The first analysis task was to model the land use disturbance associated with each remedial alternative for each site, which established the basis for other tasks under the construction and cost analysis. Note that MNA only is not included in Table 1 as no significant land use disturbance occurs under this scenario. The CIP alternative involves construction of a synthetic cover system (i.e., a Subtitle D cap design) over the surface -area footprint of the ash basin(s). This alternative also involves the support of an off-site soil borrow pit to provide the material for use in the cap. The comprehensive Removal alternative involves excavation of materials contained within the ash basin(s), and transport of material to a new off-site landfill construction specifically for the purpose of the particular site's ash disposal. It was assumed that a new off-site landfill will be needed for the excavated ash because of the insufficient space on-site and the lack of available landfills capable of accepting such large volumes of material. Note that under this alternative, additional land disturbance is incurred associated with the offsite landfill. The following parameters or assumptions were applied in evaluating the land cover alteration associated with the CIP and comprehensive Removal alternatives. A2.1 CIP Assumptions: 1. The size of each cap is set equal to the current footprint of the existing ash basins. 2. The borrow material for cap construction is sourced from an off-site location 25 miles away. 3. To determine borrow area size, the borrow area is set to a maximum depth of 10 feet (ft) and a side slope of 3 ft/ft. 4. A 50 -ft perimeter buffer strip is included in the borrow area footprint. A2.2 Comprehensive Removal Assumptions: 1. A conversion of 1.2 tons per cubic yard (CY) of ash is assumed based on a study by the Electric Power Research Institute (Electric Power Research Institute 2009). 2. To determine landfill size, each landfill is limited to a maximum height of 100 ft and aside slope of 3.5 ft/ft. 3. A 300 -ft perimeter buffer strip is included in the landfill footprint. 4. To determine borrow area size, the borrow area is set to a maximum depth of 10 ft and a side slope of 3 ft/ft. 5. The borrow area is assumed to exist on the same property parcel as the off-site landfill. It is assumed this distance is 1 mile (2 -mile round trip) from the landfill proper. 6. A 50 -ft perimeter buffer strip is included in the borrow area footprint. Appendix A — Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-2 September 30, 2016 0 A3 TABLE 2. PROJECT DURATION The second analysis task modeled the anticipated duration of each remedial alternative. The Removal alternative comprises three primary tasks: 1) construction of an off-site landfill, 2) excavation, transport and placement of ash into the constructed landfill, and 3) closure of the landfill with synthetic cap. The CIP alternative comprises cap construction activities, which are assumed to be limited by the rate at which capping material (i.e. soil and clay) can be imported and placed on-site. AM Removal Assumptions: 1. Landfill construction assumes a per acre activity rate of 1 day for clear & grub, 28 days for earthwork, 7 days for survey control, 14 days for liner/leachate system installation, and 4 days for liner soil cover. Activities will occur concurrently; therefore, the rate of earthwork is the limiting factor for the construction rate. 2. Ash basin excavation, transport to landfill, and ash placement assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to the landfill (50 - mile round trip). 3. Landfill closure assumes that the landfill capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material. Import of cover material assumes an annual haul rate of 648,000 CY based on 6 trucks with 10 loads per day at 40 CY apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 1 mile from the on-site borrow area. A3.2 CIP Assumptions: 1. Cap Construction: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to the landfill (50 -mile round trip). Appendix A — Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-3 September 30, 2016 EPS A4 TABLE 3. COST SUMMARY OF ALTERNATIVE REMEDIAL ACTIONS The third analysis task was to project expenditures required to implement each remedial alternative based on the modeled parameters for land use disturbance and project duration. Construction material cost, labor and equipment rates are based on data from the Remedial Action Cost Engineering and Requirements System (RACER) Software Package, Version 11.1.12.0 and from communications with an industry expert (James R. Nelson, P.G., FGS, personal communication, June 17, 2016). Landfill construction cost is estimated based on economic data cited in U.S. Environmental Protection Agency research (USEPA 2014), which reports landfill construction cost ranges from $300,000 to $800,000 per acre. A cost per acre of $600,000 was applied to for the current cost analysis. Appendix A — Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-4 September 30, 2016 0 A5 REFERENCES Electric Power Research Institute. 2009. Coal Ash: Characteristics, Management and Environmental Issues. September 2009. HDR. 2016a. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Allen Steam Station Ash Basin. February 19, 2016. HDR. 2016b. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Buck Steam Station Ash Basin. February 19, 2016. HDR. 2016c. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Cliffside Steam Station Ash Basin. February 12, 2016. Nelson, James R. 2016. Personal communication. June 17, 2016. SynTerra. 2016. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Mayo Steam Electric Plant. February 29, 2016 USEPA. 2014. Municipal Solid Waste Landfills, Economic Impact Analysis for the Proposed New Subpart to the New Source Performance Standards. June 2014. Appendix A — Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-5 September 30, 2016 Assumption: Ash density: 1.2 tons/CY Notes: MINA: Monitored Natural Attenuation CY: Cubic Yards CIP: Cap -in -Place 1. Estimated landfill footprint based on 100' height and 3.5 side slope, plus 300' buffer for development/construction support. 2. Borrow Area: Excavation area based on 10' depth, plus 50' buffer for development/construction support. Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-7 September 30, 2016 REMOVAL CIP Site Existing Ash Pond/ Ash Fill Area Volume of Ash Landfill Construction 1 Area Landfill Cap Borrow Z Material Area Landfill Total 2 Borrow Material Area Acre CY Acre Acre Acre Acre Allen 322 16,058,333 225 93 319 190 Buck 180 4,425,000 94 35 129 110 CI iffs i d e 189 6,575,000 121 47 168 115 Mayo 153 5,500,000 108 41 149 94 Total: 844 32,558,333 549 217 766 509 Assumption: Ash density: 1.2 tons/CY Notes: MINA: Monitored Natural Attenuation CY: Cubic Yards CIP: Cap -in -Place 1. Estimated landfill footprint based on 100' height and 3.5 side slope, plus 300' buffer for development/construction support. 2. Borrow Area: Excavation area based on 10' depth, plus 50' buffer for development/construction support. Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-7 September 30, 2016 Notes: Removal: Comprehensive removal of ash CIP: Cap -in -Place MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation Model Assumptions: REMOVAL CIP REMOVAL Construction Ash Excavation &Closure/Cap Trans ort Cap Construction Work Days/Week CIP 6 Site Years Construction' Work Days Hours Ash Excavation, Transport & Placement2 Years Work Days Hours Years Closure/Cap3 Work Days Hours Years Cap Construction Work Days Hours Allen 3.6 1,078 12,936 35.7 9,635 115,620 2.0 552 6,618 5.2 1,402 16,824 Buck 1.2 368 4,416 9.8 2,655 31,860 0.7 190 2,280 2.9 784 9,409 Cliffside 1.7 506 6,075 14.6 3,945 47,340 1.0 261 3,137 3.0 823 9,881 Mayo 1.5 438 5,254 12.2 3,300 39,600 0.8 229 2,746 2.5 666 7,995 Total: 8.0 2,390.0 28,680.0 72.4 19,535.0 234,420.0 4.6 1,231.7 14,780.5 13.6 3,675.7 44,108.8 Notes: Removal: Comprehensive removal of ash CIP: Cap -in -Place MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation Model Assumptions: 1. Landfill Construction: Assumes a per acre activity rate of 1 day for clear & grub, 28 days for earthwork, 7 days for survey control, 14 days for liner/leachate system installation, and 4 days for liner soil cover. 2. Ash Basin Excavation & Transport to Landfill: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round- trip). 3. Landfill Closure: Assumes landfill capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material. Assumes an annual haul rate of 648,000 CY based on 6 trucks with 10 loads per day at 40 CY apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 1 miles from on-site borrow area. 4. CIP Cap Construction: Assumes capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material and does not included preconstruction activities including basin dewatering. Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round-trip). Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-8 September 30, 2016 REMOVAL CIP Schedule Assumptions Construction Ash Excavation &Closure/Cap Trans ort Cap Construction Work Days/Week 6 6 6 6 Work Weeks/Year 50 45 45 45 Hours/Dayl 12 12 12 12 Construction Days/Year 300 270 270 270 1. Landfill Construction: Assumes a per acre activity rate of 1 day for clear & grub, 28 days for earthwork, 7 days for survey control, 14 days for liner/leachate system installation, and 4 days for liner soil cover. 2. Ash Basin Excavation & Transport to Landfill: Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round- trip). 3. Landfill Closure: Assumes landfill capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material. Assumes an annual haul rate of 648,000 CY based on 6 trucks with 10 loads per day at 40 CY apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 1 miles from on-site borrow area. 4. CIP Cap Construction: Assumes capping rate is subject to import rate of cover material and does not included preconstruction activities including basin dewatering. Assumes an annual haul rate of 540,000 tons based on 50 trucks with 2 loads per day at 20 tons apiece, operating 12 hours per day for 270 days per year. Haul distance assumes 25 miles to landfill (50 miles round-trip). Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-8 September 30, 2016 Site M NA REMOVAL Monitoring 10% (Site Only) I Contingency TOTAL Allen CIP $665,000 $7,315,000 Site Construction Ash Excavation, Transport & Placement Closure/Cap Monitoring (Site and Landfill) ° 10% Contingency TOTAL Cap Construction Monitoring (Site Only) 10% Contingency TOTAL Allen $100,370,274 $1,213,386,592 $85,199,912 $12,070,941 $139,895,677.77 $1,550,923,397 $147,407,813 $6,650,000 $14,740,781.30 $162,148,594.28 BUCK $37,589,262 $335,265,203 $29,901,706 $10,248,951 $40,275,617.09 $453,280,739 $82,966,390 $6,650,000 $8,296,638.96 $91,263,028.55 Cliffside $49,818,330 $497,518,815 $40,574,949 $12,850,460 $58,791,209.40 $659,553,763 $87,063,317 $8,975,000 $8,706,331.75 $95,769,649.20 Mayo $43,769,723 $415,854,735 $35,710,413 $10,394,177 $49,533,487.06 $555,262,535 $70,671,010 $6,650,000 $7,067,101.04 $77,738,111.42 Total: $231,547,589 $2,462,025,345 $191,386,980 $45,564,529 $288,495,991 $3,219,020,434 $388,108,530 $28,925,000 $38,810,853 $426,919,383 Site M NA Monitoring 10% (Site Only) I Contingency TOTAL Allen $6,650,000 $665,000 $7,315,000 BUCK $6,650,000 $665,000 $7,315,000 Cliffside $8,975,000 $897,500 $9,872,500 Mayo $6,650,000 $665,000 $7,315,000 Total: $28,925,000 $2,892,500 $31,817,500 Notes: Construction and material costs developed from Remedial Action Cost Engineering and Requirements System (RACER) Software Package, Version 11.1.12.0 Project durations and equipment levels based on personal communication with industry expert Removal: Comprehensive removal of ash CIP: Cap -in -Place MNA: Monitored Natural Attenuation Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-9 September 30, 2016 Notes: Removal: Comprehensive removal of ash CIP: Cap -in -Place 1. 25 miles one-way, public roads. 2. 1 miles one-way, on-site (non-public road) travel only. 3. 100 miles one-way, public roads. Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 10 September 30, 2016 REMOVAL CIP Ash Transport Closure/Cap Material Liner Material Closure/Cap Material Liner Material Site Trips Miles' Trips Miles2 Trips Miles3 Trips Miles' Trips Miles3 Allen 963,500 48,175,000 33,091 66,182 204 40,832 140,198 7,009,888 203 40,684 Buck 265,500 13,275,000 11,398 22,797 70 13,938 78,412 3,920,586 114 22,735 Cliffside 394,500 19,725,000 15,683 31,366 96 19,175 82,340 4,117,022 119 23,824 Mayo 330,000 16,500,000 13,730 27,460 83 16,585 66,623 3,331,152 97 19,361 Total: 1,953,5001 97,675,0001 73,903 147,805 453 90,529 367,573 18,378,6471 533 106,603 Notes: Removal: Comprehensive removal of ash CIP: Cap -in -Place 1. 25 miles one-way, public roads. 2. 1 miles one-way, on-site (non-public road) travel only. 3. 100 miles one-way, public roads. Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 10 September 30, 2016 Roll Dimensions 30 mil 40 mil 60 mil 80 mil 100 mil 1. Width (feet): 23 23 23 23 23 2. Length (feet) 1000 750 500 375 300 3. Area (square feet): 23,000 17,250 11,500 8,625 6,900 4. Gross Weight (pounds, approx.) 1 3,470 1 3,470 1 3,470 1 3,470 1 3,470 Removal Alternative Site Liner Area (ft2) Cap Area Liner Rolls Cap Rolls Truck Trips Miles Allen 6,708,033 7,378,836 583 642 204 40,832 Buck 2,289,784 2,518,762 199 219 70 13,938 Cliffside 3,150,210 3,465,231 274 301 96 19,175 Mayo 2,724,615 2,997,077 237 261 83 16,585 119 23,824 Mayo 1,293 1,423 453 90,529 CIP Alternative Site Total Ash Basin Area Ash Basin (ft) Rolls Truck Trips Miles (Acres) Allen 322 14,035,895 1,221 203 40,684 Buck 180 7,843,547 682 114 22,735 Cliffside 189 8,219,196 715 119 23,824 Mayo 153 6,679,392 581 97 19,361 3,198 533 106,603 Assumptions Rolls/Truck: 6 Travel Distance (mile): 100 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 11 September 30, 2016 Landfill Monitoring Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 12 September 30, 2016 Landfill Width Well Analytical Equipment Site (ft) # MWs Installation Days/Event Cost Labor Cost Cost Reporting Events/Year Annual Cost 100 Years Allen 2,590 22 $75,541 5 $6,474.97 $8,633.29 $1,618.74 $10,000.00 2 $53,454 $5,420,941.13 Buck 1,513 10 $35,308 3 $3,026.41 $4,035.21 $756.60 $10,000.00 2 $35,636 $3,598,951.37 Cliffside 1,775 12 $41,414 3 $3,549.77 $4,733.02 $887.44 $10,000.00 2 $38,340 $3,875,459.74 Mayo 1,651 11 $38,515 3 $3,301.28 $4,401.71 $825.32 $10,000.00 2 $37,057 $3,744,177.18 MNA Monitoring Analytical Equipment Site # MWs Days/Event Cost Labor Cost Cost Reporting Events/Year Annual Cost 100 Years Allen 30 8 $9,000.00 $12,000.00 $2,250.00 $10,000.00 2 $66,500 $6,650,000 Buck 30 8 $9,000.00 $12,000.00 $2,250.00 $10,000.00 2 $66,500 $6,650,000 Cliffside 45 11 $13,500.00 $18,000.00 $3,375.00 $10,000.00 2 $89,750 $8,975,000 Mayo 30 8 $9,000.00 $12,000.00 $2,250.00 $10,000.00 2 $66,500 $6,650,000 Assumptions: Well Network Size: Assumes one well every 300 feet on down -gradient side of landfill, and one well every 600 feet per side and up -gradient side. Analytical Cost/Well: $300.00 Sample Events/Year: 2 Day Labor Rate: $1,600.00 Equipment Dy Rate: $300.00 Wells Sampled/Day: 4 Reporting Cost: $10,000 Well Install Cost: $3,500 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 12 September 30, 2016 Landfill Requirements Site Tons CY ft Allen 19,270,000 Buck 5,310,000 Cliffside 7,890,000 Mayo 6,600,000 Total: 39,070,000 Conversion tons per CY: 1.2 Landfill Parameters: Height (ft) 100 Slope: 3.5 Landfill Cost/Acre Low: $300,000 High: $600,000 Landfill Buffer Width Width (ft) 300 16,058,333 433,575,000 4,425,000 119,475,000 6,575,000 177,525,000 5,500,000 148,500,000 32,558,333 879,075,000 GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - LANDFILL GEOMETRY OUTPUT Site Bottom (Landfill Base) Top Low Cost 3 Height S1 (ft) 61 (ft) S2 (ft) B2 (ft2) Volume (ft) ) 100 2,590 6,708,033 1,890 3,572,051 433,575,000 100 1,513 2,289,784 813 661,299 119,475,000 100 1,775 3,150,210 1,075 1,155,374 177,525,000 100 1,6511 2,724,615 9511 903,7181 148,500,000 OUTPUT Site 2 Base Area (ft) Landfill Acres Low Cost High Cost g Buffer Acres Total Acreage Allen 6,708,033 154 $46,198,571 $92,397,143 71.3 225.3 Buck 2,289,784 53 $15,769,862 $31,539,723 41.7 94.3 Cliffside 3,150,210 72 $21,695,660 $43,391,319 48.9 121.2 Mayo 2,724,615 63 $18,764,5681 $37,529,136 45.51 108.0 Total: I Total: 341 $102,428,6611 $204,857,321 207.41 548.8 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 13 September 30, 2016 Site Size (Acres) Construction days Years Const. Hours Allen 154 1078.0 3.6 12,936 Buck 53 368.0 1.2 4,416 Cliffside 72 506.2 1.7 6,075 Mayo 63 437.8 1.5 5,254 Total: 341 2,390 8 28,680 Activity Duration/acre (days) Clear/Grub 1 Excavation/Earthwork: 28 Limiting factor - Used as construction rate Surveying 7 Liner/Leachate System 14 Protective Soil Liner 4 Construction Teams (sets of equipment) # Construction Teams 4 Project Duration Details Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 50 Hours/day 12 Construction days/year 300 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 14 September 30, 2016 importea import Duration Site Material Vol. (yrs) Trips Travel Miles Days Hours Allen 1,323,632 2.0 33,091 66,182 552 6,618 Buck 455,937 0.7 11,398 22.797 190 2,280 Cliffside 627,321 1.0 15,683 31,366 261 3,137 Mavo 549,210 0.8 13.730 27,460 229 2,746 Total: 2,956,100 4.6 73,903 147,805 1,232 14,781 Project Duration Details Technology Annual Haul Rate (CY): 648.000 # Trucks: 6 Truck CY: 40 Trios/Dav: 10 Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 45 Hours/dav 12 Fill Distance (miles): 1 Assumption Folder Assembly Level Data Report (RACER) Phase Technology Assembly No. Assembly vescription Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment Equip. Units Extended Cost en appingUnclassifiedi its, ite, Includes Delivery, prea ing, an en appingLoam ortopsoil, imported topsoil,deep, furnish and pace . en apping Seeding, Vegetative Cover en apping ay, Low Permeability, its, ite en Tapping Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene en apping arrow Excavation Equipment Allen Capping 17030233 Crawler -mounted 3.125 CY 245 Hydraulic Excavator 6,618 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 4 Tire Tapp -in g 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 6,618 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 2 52,202,127 Tr Fen- Tapping 17030226 988 7.0 CY Wheel Loader 6,618 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 2 TTI -e -n- Tapp i _ng 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off-highway Truck 6,618 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 2 en appingConst. Equipment en apping 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 6,618 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 Tr Fen- Tappi_ng 17030101 Row h Gradiniz, D6 Dozer 759,977 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 Allen Capping 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 6,618 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 1 5533,159 en apping 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck per Pass 157 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 en apping 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic Excavator 6,618 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 en appi­ng 33010505 50 KW 120/240 VAC Generator Daily Rental 552 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 Imported Material: 1,323,632erect ost: Direct + 717 BUCK Lapping 17030423 TTn_cT5`ss`iTi`­e_dTiT, its, ite, Includes Delivery, Spreading, an uc appingLoam ortopsoi,imported topsoil, deep,furnish and pace uc apping Seeding, Vegetative Cover uc apping ay, Low Permeability, its,Off-Site uc apping60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene Tu -7- apping arrow Excavation Equipment Buck Capping 17030233 Crawler -mounted 3.125 CY 245 Hydraulic Excavator 2,280 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 4 BUCK Lapping 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 2,280 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 2 uc app -in g 17030226 988 7.0 CY Wheel Loader 2,280 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 2 Tc apping 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off-highway Truck 2,280 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 2 uc apping oust. T gwpment uc apping 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 2,280 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 ucapping 17030101 Rou h Gradin D6 Dozer 261 796 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 Tu c17 apping 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 2,280 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 1 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 15 September 30, 2016 Phase Technology Assembly No. Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment Equip. Units Extended Cost uc apping 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 54 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 512,467 uc appi­ng 17030233 Crawler -mounted 3.125 CY 245 Hydraulic Excavator 2,280 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 TucT apping 33010505 50 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 190 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 Imported Material: 455,937 Direct ost: 7, ,5 7 Direct + si a appmgUnclassifiedi , its, ite, Includes Delivery, Spreading, an 'Miffsi a appingLoam ortopsoil, imported topsoil,deep, furnish and pace T7TfsicTe_Ta-ppmgT90TGTGT_Seeding, Vegetative Cover 'UTfsi a appmg ay, Low Permeability, its, ite 252,129 TTifsiEFe_Ta-ppmgTTGTG57T__Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 71 si a Tapping arrow Excavation Equipment Cliffside Capping 17030233 Crawler -mounted 3.125 CY 245 Hydraulic Excavator 3,137 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 4 si e Tapping 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 3,137 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 2 1 si a apping 17030226 988 7.0 CY Wheel Loader 3 137 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 2 Z Mi si Ua Tapp -in g 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off-highway Truck 3,137 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 2 UiTfs-i a Tapping onst. E gwpment si e apping 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 3,137 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 si e apping 17030101 Row h Gradiniz, D6 Dozer 360,193 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 Cliftside Capping 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 3,137 HR $0.001 $59.86 $20.70 1 TTisi a appi­ng 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truckper Pass 74 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 7s cTe apping 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic Excavator 3,137 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 si e appi­ng 33010505 50 KW 120/240 VAC Generator Daily Rental 261 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 Imported Material: 62 DirectCost: Direct + 7 746 ayo appingUnclassifiedi , s, ite, Includes uelivery, preaclmg, an0.92 _76177=1 ayo appingLoam ortopsoil, imported topsoil,deep, furnish and pace 17_ayora_ppmgT9U5UT0T_Seeding, Vegetative Cover ayo appmg ay, Low Permeability, its,Off-Site 17_ayoTa_ppmg77U70S71_Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene ayo Capping Barrow Excavation Equipment Mayo Capping 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic Excavator 2,746 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 4 51,504,065 ayo -Ca ppi­ng 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 2,746 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 2 ayo apping 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel Loader 2,746 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 2 ayo apping 17030295 35 Ton 769 Off -hi hwa Truck 2,746 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 2 ayo apping onst. quipment ayo Capping 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 2,746 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 5658,942 ayo Tapp _ng 17030101 Rough Grading, D6 Dozer 315,326 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 Mayo Capping 17030431 580K 1.0 CY Backhoe with Front-end Loader 2,746 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 1 ayo app _ng 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 65 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 515,016 ayo apping 17030233 Crawler -mounted 3.125 CY 245 Hydraulic Excavator 2,746 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 ayo Tapping 33010505 50 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 229 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 jimported Material: i 549,2101 CY I i DirectCost:j $20,957,821 Direct + Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 16 September 30, 2016 INPUT Site Imported Material Volume (CY) 3 ft Allen 11323,632 35,738,072 Buck 455,937 12,310,297 Cliffside 627,321 16,937,679 Mayo 549,210 14,828,659 Total: 2,956,100 79,814,707 Borrow Parameters: 1,3311 Height (ft) 10 1,616,288 Slope: 3 1,2481 Buffer Width Width (ft) 50 GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - BORROW PIT Height Bottom Top 3,687,830 Volume (ft) S1 (ft) 131(ft) S2 (ft) B2 (ft 2) 10 1,920 3,687,830 1,860 3,460,985 35,738,072 10 1,139 1,298,193 1,079 1,165,067 12,310,297 10 1,3311 1,772,448 1,2711 1,616,288 16,937,679 10 1,2481 1,556,522 1,1881 1,410,410 14,828,659 OUTPUT Borrow Z Area (ft) Acres Buffer Acres Total Acreage 3,687,830 85 8.8 93.5 1,298,193 30 5.2 35.0 1,772,4481 41 1 6.1 1 46.8 1,556,5221 36 1 5.7 1 41.5 Total: 1 191 1 25.9 1 217 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 17 September 30, 2016 site Ash Tons Trips Travel Miles Days Hours 963,500 48,175,000 9,635 115,620 265,500 13,275,000 2,655 31,860 394,500 19,725,000 3,945 47,340 Duration (yrs) Allen 19,270,000 35.69 Buck 5,310,000 9.83 Cliffside 7,890,000 14.61 Mavo 6.600,000 12.22 330,000 16,500,000 3,300 39,600 Total: 39,070,000 72.4 1,953,500 97,675,000 19,535 234,420 Proiect Duration Details/Assumptions: Annual Haul Rate (tons): 540,000 # On -road transport Trucks: 50 # Off-road transport trucks: 4 Truck (tons/load): 20 Truck Trips/Dav: 2 Active Excavators: 4 Active Bulldozers: 2 Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 45 Water Truck (S/dav) $100 Landfill Distance (miles): 25 Hours per work dav: 12 Hours per year: 3,240 Phase Name I Assembly No. I Assembly Description Qty UOM Materia s La or Equipment Su Bi Equip. Exten a Cost Allen 17030285 12 CY 20 Ton), Dump I ruck 115,620 HR $0.00 55.72 33.41 $0.00 50 $515,260,530 Allen 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic 115,620 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $0.00 4 $63,327,386 Allen 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 115,620 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 $0.00 2 $38,471,399 Allen 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel Loader 115,620 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 $0.00 1 $16,744,088 Allen 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off-highway Truck 115,620 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 $0.00 4 $66,971,729 Allen 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 9,635 DAY $0.00 $38.83 $100.00 $0.00 1 $1,337,627 Allen 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 115,620 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $0.00 1 $9,314,347 Allen 33010505 10 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 9,635 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $1,574,166 Allen 33230516 8" Submersible Pump Rental, Day 9,635 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $48.60 2 $936,522 Landfill Spreading/Management Allen 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 115,620 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60 $0 2 $27,744,175 Direct $741,681,970 Direct + $1,186,691,152 Phase Name I Assembly No. Assembly Description Qty DOM Materials Labor Equipment SubBid Equip. Extended Cost Buck 17030285 12 CY 20 Ton), Dump I ruck 31,860 HR $0.00 55.72 33.41 $0.00 50 5141,984,090 Buck 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic 31,860 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $0.00 4 $17,450,359 Buck 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 31,860 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 $0.00 2 $10,601,096 Buck 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel Loader 31,860 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 $0.00 1 $4,613,965 Buck 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off-highway Truck 31,860 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 $0.00 4 $18,454,586 Buck 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 2,655 DAY $0.00 $38.83 $100.00 $0.00 1 $368,594 Buck 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 31,860 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $0.00 1 $2,566,642 Buck 33010505 10 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 2,655 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $433,774 Buck 33230516 8" Submersible Pump Rental, Day 2,655 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $48.60 2 $258,066 Landfill Spreading/Management Buck 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 31,860 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60 $0 2 $7,645,126 Direct $204,376,298 Direct + $327,002,077 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 18 September 30, 2016 Phase Name I Assembly No. Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment SubBid Equip. Extended Cost Cliffside 17030285 12 CY 20 Ton , Dump Truck 47,340 HR $0.00 55.72 33.41 $0.00 50 5210,970,710 Cliffside 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic 47,340 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $0.00 4 $25,929,065 Cliffside 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 47,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 $0.00 2 $15,751,912 Cliffside 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel Loader 47,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 $0.00 1 $6,855,779 Cliffside 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off-highway Truck 47,340 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 $0.00 4 $27,421,222 Cliffside 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 3,945 DAY $0.00 $38.83 $100.00 $0.00 1 $547,684 Cliffside 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 47,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $0.00 1 $3,813,710 Cliffside 33010505 10 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 3,945 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $644,534 Cliffside 33230516 8" Submersible Pump Rental, Day 3,945 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $48.60 2 $383,454 Landfill Spreading/Management Cliffside 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 47,340 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60 $0 2 $11,359,706 Direct $303,677,776 Direct+ $485,884,442 Phase Name I Assembly No. Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment I SubBid I Equip. I Extended Cost Mayo 17030285 12 CY 20 Ton , Dump Truck 39,600 HR $0.00 55.72 33.41 $0.00 50 5176,477,400 Mayo 17030233 Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic 39,600 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 $0.00 4 $21,689,712 Mayo 17030706 D8 with U -Blade Bulldozer 39,600 HR $0.00 $59.86 $106.51 $0.00 2 $13,176,504 Mayo 17030226 988, 7.0 CY, Wheel Loader 39,600 HR $0.00 $59.86 $84.96 $0.00 1 $5,734,872 Mayo 17030295 35 Ton, 769, Off-highway Truck 39,600 HR $0.00 $55.72 $89.09 $0.00 4 $22,937,904 Mayo 18050413 Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 3,300 DAY $0.00 $38.83 $10.00 $0.00 1 $161,139 Mayo 17030431 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 39,600 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 $0.00 1 $3,190,176 Mayo 33010505 10 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 3,300 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $539,154 Mayo 33230516 8" Submersible Pump Rental, Day 3,300 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $48.60 2 $320,760 Landfill Spreading/Management Mayo 17030704 D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 39,600 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60 $0 2 $9,502,416 Direct $253,730,037 Direct+ $405,968,059 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A- 19 September 30, 2016 Landfill Construction Site Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo Design/ Planning $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $5,000,000 Landfill Construction Cost $92,397,143 $31,539,723 $43,391,319 $37,529,136 Erosion/Control Measures $450,689.48 $188,504.49 $242,427.43 $216,041.52 Engineering/Survey Oversight $2,522,442 $861,034 $1,184,583 $1,024,545 Site Total $100,370,274 $37,589,262 $49,818,330 $43,769,723 Acres (Landfill Foot Print) 225 94 121 108 Cost/Acre $445,408 $398,816 $410,996 $405,197 Total: $20,000,000 $204,857,321 $1,097,663 $5,592,605 $231,547,589 Ash Dig & Transport Design/ Erosion/Control Engineering/Survey Acres Site Planning Ash Dig &Transport Measures Oversight Site Total (Ash Ponds) Cost/Acre Allen $1,000,000 $1,186,691,152 $644,439.62 $25,051,000 $1,213,386,592 322 $3,765,711 Buck $1,000,000 $327,002,077 $360,126.12 $6,903,000 $335,265,203 180 $1,861,932 Cliffside $1,000,000 $485,884,442 $377,373.55 $10,257,000 $497,518,815 189 $2,636,744 Mayo $1,000,000 $405,968,059 $306,675.47 $8,580,000 $415,854,735 153 $2,712,018 Total: $4,000,000 $2,405,545,730 $1,688,615 $50,791,000 $2,462,025,345 Landfill Closure/Cap Design/ Erosion/Control Engineering/Survey Site Planning Closure Measures Oversight Site Total Acres (Borrow) Cost/Acre Allen $1,500,000 $82,079,021 $186,956.11 $1,433,935 $85,199,912 93 $911,443 Buck $1,500,000 $27,837,707 $70,067.45 $493,932 $29,901,706 35 $853,512 Cliffside $1,500,000 $38,301,746 $93,604.89 $679,598 $40,574,949 47 $866,941 Mayo $1,500,000 $33,532,514 $82,922.11 $594,977 $35,710,413 41 $861,300 Total: $6,000,000 $181,750,987 $433,551 $3,202,442 $191,386,980 Assumptions Erosion Meas. (per acre): $2,000 Eng/Survey Oversight Details Engineer (day) $1,500 Survey crew (day) $750 Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 52 Hours/Day 12 Annual Hours 3744 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 20 September 30, 2016 Folder Assembly Level Data Report (RACER) Phase Name Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment Equip. Units Extended Cost en Unclassitied Fill, s,Ott-Site, Includes Delivery, Ipreacling, and Compaction /66,639 A en Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 191,660 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 $5,277,131 A en See ing, Vegetative Cover 190 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57609,787 A en Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 643,977 CY 21.97 2.17 1.4016,443,644 A Fen 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 9,107,670 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 $4,650,070 45,087,989 Allen Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 574,966 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $13,580,218 A en Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 143,742 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 3,957,761 A en See ing, Vegetative Cover 143 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57457,308 A en Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 482,972 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 12,332,461 A en 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 6,830,602 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 3,487,475 33,815,224 Allen D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 16,824 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 $4,037,022.58 AlTen Rough Grading, D6 Dozer 921,406 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 $543,629.37 AlTen 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 16,824 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 1 $1,355,319.80 Allen Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 190.4 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 $43,877.19 A en Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic Excavator 16,824 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 $2,303,673.54 Allen 50 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 1,402 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $229,055.10 8,512,578 Imported Material: 2,803,955 CY Direct Cost: 587,415,791 Direct+ $139,865,265 Buc Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 404,124 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 9,545,060 Buc Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 101,031 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 2,781,771 Buc See ing, Vegetative Cover 100 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 321,447 Buc Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 339,464 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 $8,668,055 Buck 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 4,800,991 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 2,451,224 23,767,557 Buc Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 250,307 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $5,912,031 Buc Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 62,577 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 1,722,977 Buc See ing, Vegetative Cover 62 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 199,092 Buc Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 210,258 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 5,368,831 Buc 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 2,973,644 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 $1,518,242 514,721,T73- 4,721,173Buc Tuck Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 95,921 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $2,265,569 Buc Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 23,980 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 $660,268 Buc See ing, Vegetative Cover 24 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 76,288 Buc Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 80,574 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 2,057,407 Buc 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 1,139,540 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01581,811 5,641,342 -Fuck D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 9,409 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 $2,257,881.03 Buck Rough Grading, D6 Dozer 530,647 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 $313,081.68 B ucT 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 9,409 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 1 $758,021.74 Buck Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 109.6 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 $25,269.32 Buc Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic Excavator 9,409 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 $1,288,429.94 Buck 50 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 784 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $128,109.06 4,770,793 Imported Material: 1,568,234 CY Direct Cost: $48,900,864 Direct+ 78,241,383 C si e Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 487,752 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $11,520,275 CTi fFsi e Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 121,938 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 3,357,420 C i si e See 21ng, Vegetative Cover 121 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 $387,950 ICliffside IClay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 409,711 CY21.97 2.17 1.40 10,461,786 C si e 60 Mi Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 5,794,488 SF 0.40 u.zul 0.01 $2,958,470 28,685,901 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 21 September 30, 2016 Folder Assembly Level Data Report (RACER) Phase Name Assembly Description Qty UOM Materials Labor Equipment Equip. Units Extended Cost C sie Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 58,357 CY 21.97 0.92 0.721,378,340 C si e Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 14,589 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 401,697 C si e See ing, Vegetative Cover 14 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 46,421 C Ti ffs-i e Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 49,020 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 1,251,697 C si e 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 693,280 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 $353,965 3,432,120 Cliffside Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 241,838 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $5,712,016 C si e Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6deep, furnish and place 60,460 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 1,664,685 C i si e See ing, Vegetative Cover 60 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57192,355 C si e Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 203,144 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 5,187,193 C si e 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 2,873,040 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 1,466,877 $14,223,127 Cliffside D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 9,881 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 $2,371,009.28 Clittside Rough Grading, D6 Dozer 555,690 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 $327,857.28 C si e 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 9,881 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 1 $796,001.45 CTittside Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 114.8 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 $26,461.88 CTI TFsi e Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic Excavator 9,881 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 $1,352,985.08 CTittside 50 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 823 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $134,527.80 5,008,843 Imported Material: 1,646,809 CY Direct Cost: $51,349,991 Direct+ 82,159,986 Mayo Unclassified Fill, 6 Lifts, Off -Site, Includes Delivery, Spreading, and Compaction 637,541 CY 21.97 0.92 0.72 $15,058,174 Mayo Loam or topsoil, imported topsoil, 6" deep, furnish and pace 159,385 LCY 21.17 4.94 1.43 $4,388,490 Mayo Seeding, Vegetative Cover 158 ACR 2,623.43 423.05 161.57 507,097 Mayo Cay, Low Permeability, 6 Li ts, Off -Site 535,534 CY 21.97 2.17 1.40 $13,674,622 Mayo 60 Mil Polymeric Liner, High-density Polyethylene 7,573,987 SF 0.40 0.20 0.01 $3,867,022 37,495,405 Mayo D6 with A -blade Bulldozer 7,995 HR $0.00 $59.86 $60.12 2 $1,918,423.47 Mayo Rough Grading, D6 Dozer 455,264 SY $0.00 $0.28 $0.31 1 $268,605.82 Mayo 580K, 1.0 CY, Backhoe with Front-end Loader 7,995 HR $0.00 $59.86 $20.70 1 $644,058.16 Mayo Watering with 3,000 -Gallon Tank Truck, per Pass 94.1 ACR $154.66 $38.83 $36.99 1 $21,679.60 Mayo Crawler -mounted, 3.125 CY, 245 Hydraulic Excavator 7,995 HR $0.00 $57.39 $79.54 1 $1,094,722.98 Mayo 50 KW, 120/240 VAC, Generator, Daily Rental 666 DAY $0.00 $0.00 $163.38 1 $108,848.71 4,056,339 Imported Material: 1,332,461 CY Direct Cost:j $41,551,744 Direct +1 66,482,791 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 22 September 30, 2016 INPUT Borrow Parameters: Height (ft) 10 Slope: 3 Buffer Width Width (ft) 50 GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - BORROW PIT Height Imported Material 3 Site Volume (CY) ft Allen 2,803,955 75,706,791 Buck 1,568,234 42,342,326 Cliffside 1,646,809 44,463,835 Mayo 1,332,461 35,976,436 Total: 19,272,058 520,345,554 Borrow Parameters: Height (ft) 10 Slope: 3 Buffer Width Width (ft) 50 GOAL SEEK CALCULATION - BORROW PIT Height Bottom Top Buffer Acres Volume (ft) S1 (ft) B1 (ft') S2 (ft) B2 (ft) 10 2,781 7,736,365 2,721 7,406,193 75,706,791 10 1 2,088 4,358,292 21028 4,111,373 42,342,326 10 1 2,139 4,573,498 2,079 4,320,469 44,463,835 10 1 1,9271 3,712,044 1,8671 3,484,444 35,976,436 OUTPUT Site Borrow Area (ft) Z Acres Buffer Acres Total Acreage Allen 7,736,365 178 12.8 190.4 Buck 4,358,292 100 9.6 109.6 Cliffside 4,573,4981 105 1 9.8 1 114.8 Mayo 3,712,0441 85 1 8.8 1 94.1 Total: 1 468 1 41.0 1 509 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 23 September 30, 2016 *Planning, survey, permits Construction Cost Details Subtitle D (non -hazardous) cap design and construction Off -Site source of capping materials 40 Mil HDPE Liner Current scenario does not account for any consolidation of ash material Erosion/Control: Assumed cost of $2,000/acre Dewatering/Treatment Details System Mobilizatioi $150,000 Operation $3,000 day Utilization 50% Assume discharge under NPDES permit Imported Material Import Duration Site Volume (CY) (yrs) Trips Eng/Survey Oversight Details Engineer $1,500 day Survey Dewatering/ Erosion/Control Engineering/Survey Weeks/Year Site Design* Construction Cost Treatment Measures Oversight Site Total Allen $1,000,000 $139,865,265 $2,252,966 $644,440 $3,645,142 $147,407,813 Buck $1,000,000 $78,241,383 $1,326,176 $360,126 $2,038,705 $82,966,390 Cliffside $1,000,000 $82,159,986 $1,385,107 $377,374 $2,140,851 $87,063,317 Mayo $1,000,000 $66,482,791 $1,149,345 $306,675 $1,732,199 $70,671,010 Total: $4,000,000 $366,749,425 $6,113,594 $1,688,615 $9,556,896 $388,108,530 *Planning, survey, permits Construction Cost Details Subtitle D (non -hazardous) cap design and construction Off -Site source of capping materials 40 Mil HDPE Liner Current scenario does not account for any consolidation of ash material Erosion/Control: Assumed cost of $2,000/acre Dewatering/Treatment Details System Mobilizatioi $150,000 Operation $3,000 day Utilization 50% Assume discharge under NPDES permit Imported Material Import Duration Site Volume (CY) (yrs) Trips Eng/Survey Oversight Details Engineer $1,500 day Survey $750 day Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 52 Travel Miles Days Hours Allen 2,803,955 5.2 140,198 7,009,888 1,402 16,824 Buck 1,568,234 2.9 78,412 3,920,586 784 9,409 Cliffside 1,646,809 3.0 82,340 4,117,022 823 9,881 Mayo 1,332,461 2.5 66,623 3,331,152 666 7,995 Total: 7,351,459 13.6 367,573 18,378,647 3,676 44,109 Project Duration Details Annual Haul Rate (CY): 540,000 # Trucks: 50 Truck CY: 20 Trips/Day: 2 Days/Week 6 Weeks/Year 45 Hours/day 12 Fill Distance (miles): 25 Erosion Control & Measures $/acre 2,000 Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A - 24 September 30, 2016 Station Basin Approximate Volume' (Tons) Surface Area Perimeter (sq ft) (Ac) (ft) Allen Active Ash Basin 10,380,000 8,004,259 184 15,515 Inactive Ash Basin 6,160,000 6,031,636 138 13,466 Allen Basins Total 16,540,000 Ash Fill 1 430,000 Ash Fill 560,000 Ash Landfill and Sub rade 1,740,000 Allen Fills/Landfills Tota 12 2,730,000 Allen Total 19,270,000 14,035,895 322 Buck Cell 1 (Additional Primary) 2,840,000 4,232,788 97 10,468 Cell (Old Primary) 1,950,000 2,613,463 60 11,339 Cell (Secondary) 270,000 997,296 23 5,348 Buck Basins Total 5,060,000 Ash Fill Area 250,000 Buck Fills Tota 12 250,000 Buck Total 5,310,000 7,843,547 180 Cliffside Active Ash Basin 5,040,000 5,089,416 117 19,329 Units 1-4 Inactive Ash Basin 300,000 622,773 14 3,136 Unit 5 Inactive Ash Basin 2,350,000 2,507,007 58 11,316 Cliffside Basins Total 7,690,000 Ash Storage Area 1 200,000 Cliffside Fills Tota 12 200,000 Cliffside Total 7,890,000 8,219,196 189 Mayo Ash Pond 6,600,000 6,679,392 153 22,723 Mayo Total 6,600,000 6,679,392 153 Notes: 1. Ash quantities provided by Duke Energy. 2. Quantity includes ash located in permitted landfills, ash fills, and structural fills located on top of the ash basin(s). While these structures are not "CCR surface impoundments" under the Coal Ash Management Act and, therefore, not subject to the statute's closure provisions, this figure includes the quantities in these structures in the event Duke Energy is required to excavate them along with the basins. 3. Dimensions developed from GIS polygon analysis of ash basin configuration. Appendix A - Remedial Alternative Construction Analysis A-25 September 30, 2016 EPS APPENDIX B Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-1 September 30, 2016 0 B I OVERVIEW The risk to the health and life of workers and the public due to construction activities for each alternative should be considered during the remedial alternative selection process. Additionally, the risk of property damage was also evaluated. National statistics were used to evaluate the fatality, injury/illness, and property damage risks associated with truck traffic and onsite implementation for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo facilities. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-2 September 30, 2016 0 B2 TRUCK TRAFFIC RISK The risks of fatality and injury due to truck traffic associated with ash Removal and CIP are presented on Table 1 of this appendix. Data on annual fatalities and injuries associated with large - truck traffic and large -truck miles traveled per year was taken from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's (NHTSA) large truck traffic safety fact sheet for 2014 (NHTSA 2016). This is the most recent data available and accounts for fatalities and injuries for truck occupants as well as non -truck occupants. Averages of the calculated fatality and injury rates for the years 2010 through 2014 were also examined and found to be similar to the 2014 rates. The reference values used for the truck traffic risk calculations are given in Table 2 of this appendix. Total truck driving miles were calculated for the construction analysis for each facility. Significantly more truck miles are associated with Removal than with CIP. Transporting borrow pit and liner material was also considered in these calculations. In addition to the risk of health and life to the workers and the public, the risk of property damage resulting from truck traffic was also considered for both alternatives. Data for Property Damage Only (PDO) crashes involving large trucks (Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration 2016)1 was used to estimate the expected number of PDO incidents for both alternatives at each facility. The results are presented in Table 1 and the reference values are included in Table 2. 1 The most recent published PDO data (2014) were used in our analyses. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-3 September 30, 2016 0 B3 IMPLEMENTATION RISK In addition to truck traffic risks, there are substantial occupational (worker) risks associated with performing the excavation, landfill construction, and cap construction. Occupational risks calculated for remedial alternative implementation are also presented on Table 1. Data on occupational fatalities and nonfatal injuries and illnesses were gathered from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release (BLS 2015a), Fatal Occupational Injuries, Total Hours Worked, and Rates of Fatal Occupational Injuries by Selected Worker Characteristics, Occupations, and Industries, Civilian Workers, 2014 (BLS 2015b), and Employee -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses, 2014 News Release (BLS 2015c). The reference values used for the occupational risk calculations are given in Table 3. Data from the forestry and logging industry (NAICS code 113) were used to calculate the fatality and injury/illness risks associated with clearing wooded land for borrow pits and the proposed landfills (if applicable). According to the BLS, "Industries in the Forestry and Logging subsector grow and harvest timber on a long production cycle (i.e., of 10 years or more)" and include logging equipment operators and heavy truck and tractor -trailer drivers. Mature tree removal at this caliber is expected to occur at each facility where land will be cleared for a borrow pit and to prepare for landfill construction. While a landfill area will only be cleared for the removal option, a borrow pit will be needed for both alternatives (Removal and CIP). If additional tree removal will be needed that has not been accounted for in either the borrow or proposed landfills areas, the fatality and injury/illness risks will increase. Data from the construction industry (NAICS code 23) were used to calculate the fatality and injury/illness risks associated with excavation, landfill construction, and cap construction work, where relevant. According to the BLS, "The construction sector comprises establishments primarily engaged in the construction of buildings or engineering projects. Establishments primarily engaged in the preparation of sites for new construction and establishments primarily engaged in subdividing land for sale as building sites also are included in this sector." Occupations falling in this category include construction laborers, operating engineers, first-line supervisors, and heavy truck and tractor -trailer drivers. The excavation of the ash basins, construction of offsite landfills, and the construction of an in-place cap all fall under this industry and therefore construction -based risk statistics were used for these project phases in this evaluation. Time and manpower to clear the land and complete construction for each alternative were estimated based on scope and are outlined in Appendix A. A ratio of two days to clear one acre of wooded land was used to calculate the total hours worked clearing the borrow pit and proposed landfill areas. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-4 September 30, 2016 EPS B4 SAMPLE CALCULATIONS B4.1 Truck Traffic Risk Calculations B4.1.1 Fatalities due to Truck Traffic Ft,2014 Ft = x Dt Dt,2014 B4.1.2 Injuries due to Truck Traffic It,2014 It = x Dt Dt,2014 B4.1.3 PDO Truck Crashes pt,2014 Pt = X Dt Dt,2014 B4.2 Implementation Risk Calculations 134.2.1 Fatalities due to Implementation F. _ FL,2014 X T + FC,2014 x T 1 — L C TL,2014 TC,2014 B4.2.2 Injuries and Illnesses due to Implementation IIL,2014 x T+ IC,2014 x T Ii _ — L C TL,2014 TC,2014 B4.3 Definitions Ft = Fatalities resulting from truck traffic, including workers and non -workers (number of persons) Ft,2014 = Fatalities resulting from large truck traffic, including truck occupants and other people, in the United States in 2014 (number of persons) (NHTSA 2016) Dt,2014 = Large -truck miles traveled in the United States in 2014 (miles) (NHTSA 2016) Dt = Total truck distance traveled (miles), calculated (see Appendix A) It = Injuries resulting from truck traffic, including workers and non -workers (number of cases) Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-5 September 30, 2016 EPS It,2014 = Injuries resulting from large truck traffic, including truck occupants and other people, in the United States in 2014 (number of cases) (NHTSA 2016) Pt = Property damage only (PDO) truck crashes resulting from large truck traffic (number of incidents) (FMCSA 2016) P t,2014 = PDO crashes involving large trucks in the United States in 2014 (number of incidents) (FMCSA 2016) Fi = Fatalities resulting from implementation of the selected remedy (number of persons) FL,2014 = Occupational fatalities in the forestry and logging industry in the United States in 2014 (number of persons) (BLS 2015b) TL,2014 = Total hours worked in the forestry and logging industry in the United States in 2014 (hours) (BLS 2015b) TI, = Total hours worked clearing wooded land (hours), calculated based on a clearing rate of 2 acres per day and a crew size of 24 persons (see Appendix A) Fc,2014 = Occupational fatalities in the construction industry in the United States in 2014 (number of persons) (BLS 2015b) Tc,2014 = Total hours worked in the construction industry in the United States in 2014 (hours) (BLS 2015b) Tc = Total hours worked completing remedy (hours), calculated (see Appendix A) Ii = Injuries and illnesses resulting from implementation of the selected remedy (number of cases) IL,2014 = Nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses in the forestry and logging industry in the United States in 2014 (number of cases) (BLS 2015c) Ic,2014 = Nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses in the construction industry in the United States in 2014 (number of cases) (BLS 2015c) Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-6 September 30, 2016 0 B5 RESULTS The calculations show that Removal and constructing an offsite landfill will produce significantly more fatalities and injuries or illnesses for each site considered when compared to the CIP alternative. With the highest risk of personal injury (workers and the general public) and personal property damage (i.e., road accidents) over the lifespan of the project (see Table 1), the Allen facility should expect approximately 19 injuries to the general public resulting from traffic accidents and 61 worker injuries from construction activities associated with the Removal alternative. Alternately, approximately 3 injuries to the general public and 10 worker injuries from construction activities are estimated to result from -capping -in place for Allen. If all four facilities proceed with the comprehensive removal alternative, then a total of approximately 39 injuries to the general public and 131 worker injuries should be expected, along with 114 incidents of public property damage resulting from truck crashes on public roads. The CIP alternative exhibits less risk with an estimated total of 7.4 injuries to the public and 25 injuries to workers across all four sites. With the MNA alternative, the incident rates are negligible as the risks associated with trucking and construction are removed. See Table 1 for a summary of estimated injury and traffic incident rates for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo facilities. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-7 September 30, 2016 0 B6 REFERENCES Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). (2015a). National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release, available September 17, 2015. U.S. Department of Labor. BLS. (2015b). Fatal occupational injuries, total hours worked, and rates of fatal occupational injuries by selected worker characteristics, occupations, and industries, civilian workers, 2014. Retrieved from the Bureau of Labor Statistics website: http://www.bls.gov/iif/oshwc/cfoi/cfoi rates_2014hb.pdf BLS. (2015c). Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release, available October 29, 2015. U.S. Department of Labor. Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA). (2016). Large Truck and Bus Crash Facts 2014. Retrieved from the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration website: https://www.fmcsa.dot.gov National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). (2016). Traffic Safety Facts, Large Trucks, 2014 Data, DOT HS 812 279, Revised May 2016. U.S. Department of Transportation. Washington, D.C. Appendix B — Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-8 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Summary of Traffic and Implementation Risks Table 2. Truck Traffic Risk Reference Values Large -truck miles Number of truck Number of "other REMOVAL : Number of "other Total number of PDO Crashes CIP worked (millions) - Fatalities per hour Site Estimated Fatalities from Truck Traffic 1 Estimated Fatalities from Implementation 2,3 Estimated Injuries or Illnesses from Truck Traffic 1 Estimated Injuries or Illnesses from Implementation 4,6 Estimated Large- Truck Crashes Resulting in PDO Estimated Fatalities from Truck Traffic 1 Estimated Fatalities from Implementation 2,3 Estimated Injuries or Illnesses from Truck Traffic 1 Estimated Injuries or Illnesses from Implementation 4,5 Estimated Large - Truck Crashes Resulting in PDO Allen 0.68 0.23 19.2 61 56 0.10 0.07 2.8 9.6 8 Buck 0.19 0.08 5.3 19 16 0.06 0.04 1.6 5.4 5 Cliffside 0.28 0.11 7.9 27 23 0.06 0.04 1.6 5.7 5 Mayo 0.23 0.09 6.6 23 19 0.05 0.03 1.3 4.6 4 Total:l 1.4 1 0.5 1 38.9 1 131 1 114 1 0.3 1 0.2 1 7.4 1 25.2 1 22 Table 2. Truck Traffic Risk Reference Values Large -truck miles Number of truck Number of "other Number of truck Number of "other Total number of PDO Crashes Fatalities - 2014 worked (millions) - Fatalities per hour Total number incident rate - per hour worked - 2,1 (total number) traveled - 2014 occupant fatalities P people" fatalities - P P 6 occu ant injuries P 1 people" injuries - P P J injuries per truck 1 P Involving Large g g 1 1 1 fatalities per mile le 1 1 6 9 millions 2014 2014 logging 2014 2014 mile Trucks - 2014 279,132 657 1 3,246 1.40E-08 27,000 84,000 3.98E-07 326,000 Table 3. Implementation Risk Reference Values Notes: CIP - Capping -in -Place PDO - Property Damage Only Values represent total expected fatalities and injuries or illnesses over the estimated lifespan of the project, excluding post MNA activitie! (1) - Fact Sheet, Traffic Safety Facts 2014 Data. NHTSA's National Center for Statistics and Analysis, DOT HS 812 279, Washington, DC, revised May 2016 (2) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release. Table 2. Fatal occupational injuries by industry and selected event or exposure, 2014. September 17, 2015 (3) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fatal occupational injuries, total hours worked, and rates of fatal occupational injuries by selected worker characteristics, occupations, and industries, civilian workers, 2014 (4) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 2. Numbers of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (5) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 1. Incidence rates of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (6) - Calculated from data provided in reference (1) (7) - Calculated from data provided in reference (3) (8) - Calculated from data provided in references (4) and (5) (9) - Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration Analysis Division, Large Track and Bus Crash Facts 2014. March 2016. Appendix B - Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-9 September 30, 2016 Total hours Injuries/Illnesses - Injuries/Illnesses Injuries/illnesses Industry Fatalities - 2014 worked (millions) - Fatalities per hour 2014 (total incident rate - per hour worked - 2,1 (total number) 3 7 worked - 2014 6 S 2014 number)4 2014 2014 Forestry and logging 92 180 5.11E-07 2,800 5.1 2.55E-05 (NAICS code 113) Construction 874 18,168 4.81E-08 200,900 3.6 1.80E-05 (NAICS code 23) Notes: CIP - Capping -in -Place PDO - Property Damage Only Values represent total expected fatalities and injuries or illnesses over the estimated lifespan of the project, excluding post MNA activitie! (1) - Fact Sheet, Traffic Safety Facts 2014 Data. NHTSA's National Center for Statistics and Analysis, DOT HS 812 279, Washington, DC, revised May 2016 (2) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. National Consensus of Fatal Occupational Injuries in 2014 (Preliminary Results) News Release. Table 2. Fatal occupational injuries by industry and selected event or exposure, 2014. September 17, 2015 (3) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fatal occupational injuries, total hours worked, and rates of fatal occupational injuries by selected worker characteristics, occupations, and industries, civilian workers, 2014 (4) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 2. Numbers of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (5) - Bureau of Labor Statistics. Employer -Reported Workplace Injuries and Illnesses - 2014 News Release. Table 1. Incidence rates of nonfatal occupational injuries and illnesses by case type and ownership, selected industries, 2014. October 29, 2015 (6) - Calculated from data provided in reference (1) (7) - Calculated from data provided in reference (3) (8) - Calculated from data provided in references (4) and (5) (9) - Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration Analysis Division, Large Track and Bus Crash Facts 2014. March 2016. Appendix B - Traffic and Implementation Risk Analysis B-9 September 30, 2016 EPS APPENDIX C Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-1 September 30, 2016 0 C I INTRODUCTION The expected air pollutant emissions and energy consumption were estimated as part of the NEBA framework for the remedial alternatives under consideration. Air emissions can be divided into two separate categories, criteria pollutants and greenhouse gases (GHGs). C1.1 Criteria Pollutants The criteria pollutants, which were established in the Clean Air Act of 1970, consist of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NOx), ozone, sulfur oxides (SOX), particulate matter (PM), and lead. These pollutants were determined to cause adverse health & environmental effects when present above specific concentrations in the atmosphere. For the purposes of this evaluation, NOx and PM were evaluated based on their expected emissions from the activities involved in the remedial activities. Based on previous experience with air emissions from remedial activities, the impacts from the other criteria pollutants were expected to be minimal and so were not included in this evaluation. For example, the sulfur content in the fuels, that are typically converted to SOx, have been reduced by regulations to the extent that they are nearly negligible. Regulations have also significantly reduced the VOC emissions from engines to the extent that they are relatively small by comparison with NOx emissions. In addition to the harmful effects of direct exposure to NOx, their emissions are also precursors in the formation of ozone (another criteria pollutant), acid rain, and fine particulate matter. Therefore, based on the anticipated quantity of NOx emissions combined with their environmental and health effects, the NOx emissions were estimated as part of this NEBA analysis. Particulate matter is subdivided into two categories: coarse particulate matter (particles that have a diameter of 10 microns or less) also known as PM 10; and fine particulate matter (particles that have a diameter of 2.5 microns or less), also known as PM2.5. These are particles that generally pass through the throat and nose and enter the lungs. Once inhaled, these particles can affect the heart and lungs and cause serious health effects. Because the health effects and expected emissions of PM 10 and PM2.5 are significant, they have also been estimated for this NEBA analysis. C1.2 Greenhouse Gases GHGs, which consist primarily of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N20), and fluorinated gases, were also determined by USEPA to have adverse health and environmental effects due to their contribution to climate change. Climate change is expected to result in public health risks associated with heat waves, increased smog, extreme weather events, and mosquito - spread diseases among others. Climate change is also expected to affect environmental factors, such as sea level and acidity. Each of the individual GHG pollutants has a different Global Warming Potential (GWP), a relative measure of the heat trapped by each gas compared to CO2. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-2 September 30, 2016 EPS The net effect of potential GHG emissions have been normalized to a standard called "CO2 equivalent' (CO2e) based on their relative GWPs. Additionally, the analysis of GHG emissions includes both direct and indirect GHG emissions. Direct GHG emissions are those that are emitted directly from the engines used in the earth moving and material transport involved in the remedial alternatives. Indirect GHG emissions are those associated with the production of the fuel burned in the engines. These emissions are typically called "Well -to -Pump" (WTP), which refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to - Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. C1.3 Energy Consumption In addition to air emissions, the energy consumed as part of the remedial activities was assessed. Although there may be some small amounts of electricity used by the monitoring equipment, this analysis was confined to the energy in the fuels consumed by the earth moving and material transport equipment involved. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-3 September 30, 2016 0 C2 EMISSION ESTIMATION Air pollutant emissions resulting from the three remedial options were evaluated. As described above, the pollutants analyzed were restricted to nitrogen oxides (NOX), particulate matter (PM10/PM2.5), and greenhouse gases (GHG). These were selected as being the pollutants for which the impact to the environment would be significant, based on experience gained from analysis of similar projects. Appropriate emission factors were taken from a variety of regulator - approved sources, such as Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors from South Coast Air Quality Management District and Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources from USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership. The indirect GHG emissions were developed from the fuel usages that were determined as part of the energy analysis. Each emission factor source is referenced in notes below the emissions tables provided at the end of this Appendix report. C2.1 Monitored Natural Attenuation For the first remedial alternative, which consists of leaving the ash in place and periodically monitoring the groundwater (i.e., Monitored Natural Attenuation (MNA)), it was assumed that the air emissions would be negligible. Further, even if the minimal emissions associated with monitoring were evaluated, these emissions would be duplicated for the other two alternatives, as the monitoring would be required for all three options. Therefore, the first option represents the baseline for evaluating the emissions from the other two alternatives. C2.2 Cap -in -Place For the second alternative, Cap -in -Place (CIP), the emissions from the necessary on-site activities plus the emissions from the trucks transporting the cap material to the site were evaluated. The on-site activities consist of earth moving and compacting equipment, on-site trucks, a diesel generator, and the personal vehicles used by workers to commute to and from the site. For the truck emissions associated with the transportation of cap material, it was assumed that the material would be brought from a site 25 miles from the ash ponds. A liner would also be required for this project, and it is assumed that the liner would be transported from a facility 100 miles away. This evaluation focuses primarily on the direct emissions from the engines associated with the on-site activities and truck transport. Indirect GHG emissions were also analyzed and added to the direct GHG emissions to provide a more complete carbon footprint. Estimates for fugitive dust from unpaved roads and material handling are not included although it is expected that some of the dust would be PM10 or, to a significantly lesser extent, PM2.5. The duration of the project was determined based on the amount of material needed to cap the ash ponds. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-4 September 30, 2016 0 C2.3 Removal The third alternative, Removal, included emissions from on-site activities at both the ash pond location and the landfill site. The emissions from truck transport between the sites were also evaluated. It was assumed for estimating purposes that the landfill would be located 25 miles from the ash ponds. It was also assumed that the liner would be brought from a facility located 100 miles from the ash ponds, and the closure material would be taken from an adjacent land parcel approximately 1 mile from the ash ponds. The on-site activities at the ash pond includes equipment similar to what is needed for the CIP alternative. At the landfill, the analysis includes the activities required to construct the landfill, the operation of the landfill while ash is being received, and the closure of the landfill. The durations were determined based on the amount of material that would be transported during each phase. The analysis includes the direct emissions from the various activities and truck transport plus the indirect GHG emissions, but does not include fugitive dust emissions. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-5 September 30, 2016 0 C3 ENERGY ANALYSIS Energy consumption for the three remedial options was evaluated. As described previously, the energy analysis was restricted to the energy contained in the fuels combusted in various engines. The fuel usage was determined using the data developed as part of the emissions analysis. Additionally, typical fuel efficiency factors were taken from the USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics as noted in the appended calculations. Each emission factor source is referenced in notes below the emissions tables appended to this Appendix report. C3.1 MNA For the first remedial alternative, which consists of leaving the ash in place and routinely monitoring the groundwater, it was assumed that the energy consumption would be negligible. C3.2 CIP For the second alternative, CIP, the energy consumption from the necessary on-site activities plus the energy consumed by trucks transporting the cap material to the site were evaluated. The on- site activities consist of earth moving and compacting equipment, on-site trucks, a diesel generator, and the personal vehicles used by workers to commute to and from the site. The duration of the project was determined based on the amount of material needed to cap the ash ponds. C3.3 Removal The third alternative, Removal, included energy consumption from on-site activities at both the ash pond location and the landfill site. The energy consumed by truck transport between the sites were also evaluated. For the truck energy usage, the same assumptions were made regarding the transportation of ash, closure material, and liner as used in the Removal estimates. The on-site activities at the ash pond includes equipment similar to what is needed for the CIP alternative. At the landfill, the analysis includes the activities required to construct the landfill, the operation of the landfill while ash is being received, and the closure of the landfill. The durations were determined based on the amount of material that would be transported during each phase. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-6 September 30, 2016 0 C4 RESULTS The emissions estimates for each scenario are shown in the attached table, along with any assumptions and the sources of the emission factors. The results are reiterated in the following table. The PM10 and PM2.5 are combined as a single entry because the emission factor data does not distinguish between them. It can be assumed that the majority of the PM emissions are actually PM2.5, as they are they are the products of diesel fuel combustion, which primarily consists of very fine particulates. The GHG emissions are shown on an annual emissions basis (tons/yr) and cumulatively over the duration of the project, as their effects are cumulative unlike the criteria pollutants for which the impact is much shorter in duration. C4.1 Estimated Emissions The air emissions from each of the sites and for both the CIP and Removal alternatives are summarized in the table below: As shown in the table, the NO. emissions from the CIP scenario are about 29 tons/yr for each site, which is below the significance level of 40 tons/yr established in the federal Prevention of Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-7 September 30, 2016 PM10/PM2.5 Cumulative CO2e C., NO. Emissions CO2e Emissions Scenario Emissions Emissions Cn (tons/yr) (tons/yr) (tons/yr) (tons) Cap in Place 29.20 1.01 7,376 38,302 Removal 143.01 6.12 30,940 465,225 Cap in Place 29.20 1.01 7,377 21,423 U Removal 143.05 6.12 30,955 133,969 Cap in Place 29.43 1.02 7,446 22,339 w w U Removal 143.00 6.12 30,939 197,208 Cap in Place 29.02 1.01 7,322 18,304 o Removal 143.05 6.12 30,953 165,651 .� PSD Significant 40 15/10 NA NA Threshold GHG Reporting H Threshold NA NA 25,000 NA As shown in the table, the NO. emissions from the CIP scenario are about 29 tons/yr for each site, which is below the significance level of 40 tons/yr established in the federal Prevention of Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-7 September 30, 2016 0 Significant Deterioration (PSD) regulations. The emissions from the Removal alternative are much more significant and are typically about 143 tons/yr for each site, well above the PSD Threshold. Under the PSD rules, a project with emissions at this level would require an extensive permitting process, including air dispersion modeling to demonstrate that the emissions would not cause an exceedance of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards. The PM10/PM2.5 emissions for the CIP option are less than the NOX emissions, but the PSD significance thresholds are also much lower for this pollutant. As shown, the PM10/PM2.5 emissions for each site from the CIP alternative are estimated to be about 1 ton/yr and from the Removal alternative are about 6 tons/yr. It is important to remember that these values only include particulate matter from fuel combustion. If the fugitive dust emissions from material handling and unpaved roads were added, recognizing that some of this particulate matter would be larger than 10 microns, the total PM10/PM2.5 emissions would be much higher. Finally, the estimated GHG emissions from the Removal alternative is also fairly significant. Although there are few regulations limiting GHG emissions at this time, USEPA has begun requiring sources that emit 25,000 tons or more of CO2e annually to report those emissions to USEPA. This effort is being pursued by USEPA in order to develop a database of major emitters and in anticipation of future regulations. The annual GHG emissions for the CIP option (7,400 tons/yr for each site) are below this threshold, but the annual GHG emissions for the Removal option (31,000 tons/yr for each site) exceed this threshold. Based on the estimated air emissions and their comparisons with regulatory thresholds, it is apparent that the air quality impact from the CIP alternative would be considerably higher than NINA. The air emissions from Removal and transporting it to a landfill would be even more substantial. C4.2 Estimated Energy Consumption The energy consumption annually and cumulatively across the duration of the projects for both the CIP and Removal alternatives are summarized in the tables below: Annual Energy Consumed Scenario Energy Consumed (MMBtu/yr) Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo Total Cap in Place 82,040 82,040 82,574 81,621 328,274 Removal 441,541 441,652 441,533 441,640 1,766,366 Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-8 September 30, 2016 Cumulative Energy Consumed Scenario Total Energy Consumed (MMBtu) Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo Total Cap in Place 446,861 242,972 255,655 210,687 1,156,174 Removal 5,648,213 1,614,833 2,379,322 2,007,693 11,650,061 Energy Consumption Comparison Scenario Equivalent Personal Vehicles (vehicles*) Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo Total** Cap in Place 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,800 7,200 Removal 9,700 9,700 9,700 9,700 39,000 *Personal vehicles commuting five days a week for the duration of the project **Note that the projects have varying durations, and the Total only applies when all projects are occurring simultaneously As shown, the CIP alternative would consume approximately 82,000 MMBtu/yr for each individual site and about 329,000 MMBtu/yr collectively. For comparison, a personal vehicle travelling 10 miles to work and back five days a week would consume about 45.6 MMBtu/yr in gasoline. Therefore, the energy consumption for the CIP option for all three sites is equivalent to about 7,200 personal vehicles commuting five days a week. The Removal alternative would consume even more. As shown in the table, Removal at each site would consume about 442,000 MMBtu/yr, which corresponds to about 1,766,000 MMBtu/yr collectively. This is equivalent to about 39,000 vehicles commuting 5 days a week. Additionally, the second table presents the energy consumed for the entire duration of each project. As shown, the Removal alternative would consume about 11.7 million MMBtu's cumulatively; whereas the CIP alternative would consume only about 1.2 million MMBtu's. Appendix C — Air Emissions and Energy Use Analysis C-9 September 30, 2016 Table 1. Summary of Air Emissions and Energy Usage Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-10 September 30, 2016 REMOVAL CIP Site NOx Emissions (tons/yr) PM10/PM2.5 Emissions (tons/yr) Total GHG Emissions (tons CO2e/yr) Cumulative Total GHG Emissions (tons CO2e) Energy Usage (MMBtu/yr) Cumulative Energy Usage (MMBtu) NOx Emissions (tons/yr) PM10/PM2.5 Emissions (tons/yr) Total GHG Emissions (tons CO2e/yr) Cumulative Total GHG Emissions (tons CO2e) Energy Usage (MMBtu/yr) Cumulative Energy Usage (MMBtu) Allen 143.01 6.12 30,940.04 465,224.76 441,541 5,648,213 29.20 1.01 7,376.46 38,302.34 82,040 446,861 Buck 143.05 6.12 30,954.67 133,968.79 441,652 1,614,833 29.20 1.01 7,376.55 21,422.52 82,040 242,972 Cliffside 143.00 6.12 30,939.07 197,207.80 441,533 2,379,322 29.43 1.02 7,446.20 22,338.61 82,574 255,655 Mayo 143.05 6.12 30,953.04 165,651.27 441,640 2,007,693 29.02 1.01 7,321.77 18,304.42 81,621 210,687 Total 572.11 24.49 123,786.81 962,052.62 1,766,366 11,650,061 116.85 4.06 29,520.98 100,367.88 328,274 1,156,174 Thresholds PSD Significant Threshold 40 15/10 NA NA NA NA 40 15/10 NA NA NA NA GHG Reporting Threshold NA NA 25,000 NA NA NA NA NA 25,000 NA NA NA Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-10 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MNA AIR EMISSIONS - ALLEN Page 1 of 3 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 5.2 years 140198 truck trips carrying cap material 203 truck trips carrying liner material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-11 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PMID/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PMIo/PM2.5 Direct GHG (CO,e) Direct GHG 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 4030.71 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 563.07 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 563.07 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 2190.53 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 565.09 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.051 194.76 1011.30 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 2190.53 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 656.82 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5,6 121500 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 286.11 Truck Transport - Cap Materia 17,8,9,10 27000 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.255 g/truck trip 13.68 0.32 4107.41 21327.78 Truck Transport - Liner Materia p 39 truck tris r p /y 1838.201g/truck trip I 43.00 g/truck trip I 552000 g/truck trip 1.02 g/truck trip 0.08 0.00 23.79 123.53 29.20 1 1.011 6,453.24 33,508.54 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-11 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = Removal 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 3.6 years 204 truck trips carrying liner material (construction & closure) 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 35.7 years 963500 truck trips carrying ash 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2.0 years 33091 truck trips carrying closure material AIR EMISSIONS - ALLEN Page 2 of 3 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-12 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM1./PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH, Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM,O/PM2,s Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG EXCAVATION 2 Tracked Excavators' 6480 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 2.14 0.11 389.52 13905.90 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 27712.32 Wheeled Loader' 3240 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.15 0.06 176.94 6316.77 2 Dump Trucks' 6480 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.19 0.01 24.69 881.39 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 15060.55 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 3871.26 2 6-8" Pumps' 6480 hr/yr 0.3830 Ib/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 Ib/hr 1.24 0.08 161.12 5751.88 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 4515.82 15 Personal Vehicles 7,3,4,5 121500 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 1967.09 MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash p 26989 truck tri s/yr p 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.2550 g/truck trip 13.67 0.32 4105.70 146573.51 Truck Transport - Closure Materia pg/truck 16546 truck trips/yr 18.38 trip 0.43 g/truck trip 5520 g/truck trip 0.0102 g/truck trip 0.34 0.01 100.68 201.36 Truck Transport - Liner Materia p 36 truck tri s/yr p 1838.20 g/truck trip 43 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.0200 g/truck trip 0.07 0.00 22.17 124.13 LANDFILL CONSTRUCT. 8 Tracked Excavators' 28800 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 9.51 0.48 1731.20 9694.74 8 Dozers' 28800 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 30.08 1.24 3450.02 19320.13 4 Vibratory Compactors' 14400 hr/yr 0.568 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 123 Ib/hr 0.0065 Ib/hr 4.09 0.17 886.77 4965.91 4 Wheeled Loaders' 14400 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 5.12 0.27 786.40 4403.85 8 Dump Trucks' 28800 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.85 0.03 109.73 614.48 4 Water Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 10499.73 4 Wheeled Backhoes' 14400 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 2.93 0.19 481.95 2698.92 8 6-8" Pumps' 28800 hr/yr 0.3830 Ib/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 Ib/hr 5.52 0.34 716.08 4010.03 4 Maint/Service Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 10499.73 4 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 14400 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 4.39 0.31 562.19 3148.29 100 Personal Vehicles2,3,4;5 900000 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.94 0.00 408 2285.65 LANDFILL FILLING 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 27712.32 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 3871.26 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 3871.26 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 15060.55 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 3885.14 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 6952.95 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 1 2.16 0.07 421.86 15060.55 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 1 0.99 0.07 126.49 4515.82 15 Personal Vehicles2,3'4,5,6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile I 0.0452 g/mile 1 0.13 0.00 55.10 1967.09 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-12 September 30, 2016 AIR EMISSIONS - ALLEN Page 3 of 3 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission- factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016.pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_tra nsportation_statistics/htm I/ta ble_04_23. htm I. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Villa (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-13 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PMI0/PM2.5 Direct CO2 Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PMI0/PM2.5 Direct GHG (CO2e) Direct GHG LANDFILL CLOSURE 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 1552.51 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 216.88 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 216.88 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 843.73 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 217.66 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 Ib/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 389.52 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 843.73 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 Ib/hr 0.0431 Ib/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 252.99 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5,6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 110.20 143.01 6.12 23,995.46 386,564.50 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission- factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/fi les/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016.pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_tra nsportation_statistics/htm I/ta ble_04_23. htm I. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Villa (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-13 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MNA INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS -ALLEN Page 1 of 4 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 5.2 years 140198 truck trips carrying cap material 203 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 1599 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 240 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 240 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 800 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 192 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 320 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 800 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 94 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 53 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Cap Material N/A 27000 truck trips/yr 1350000 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 454 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7835 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 3 tons CO2e 923 Itons CO2e/yr 4,794 Itons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-14 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = Removal 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 12 hr/day 270 day/yr INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS -ALLEN 3.6 years 204 truck trips 35.7 years 963500 truck trips 2 years 33091 truck trips Page 2 of 4 carrying liner material carrying ash carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissions5 Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units EXCAVATION Tracked Excavators 2 6480 hr/yr 7328.0 MMBtu/yr 60825.0 GGE/yr 123 tons CO2e/yr 4398 tons CO2e Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 10995 tons CO2e Wheeled Loader 1 3240 hr/yr 3206.0 MMBtu/yr 26611.0 GGE/yr 54 tons CO2e/yr 1924 tons CO2e Dump Trucks 2 6480 hr/yr 916.0 MMBtu/yr 7603.1 GGE/yr 15 tons CO2e/yr 550 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 5497 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 1649 tons CO2e 6-8" Pumps 2 6480 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 2199 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 649 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 367 tons CO2e MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash N/A 26989 truck trips/yr 1349440 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 3118 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Closure Materia 12 N/A 16546 truck trips/yr 33091 miles/yr 2 tons CO2e/yr 4 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7291 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 3 tons CO2e LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Tracked Excavators 8 28800 hr/yr 32568.7 MMBtu/yr 270333.5 1 GGE/yr 548 tons CO2e/yr 1971 tons CO2e Dozers 8 28800 hr/yr 81421.8 MMBtu/yr 675833.9 GGE/yr 1369 tons CO2e/yr 4928 tons CO2e Vibratory Compactors 4 14400 hr/yr 9770.6 MMBtu/yr 81100.1 GGE/yr 164 tons CO2e/yr 591 tons CO2e Wheeled Loaders 4 14400 hr/yr 14248.8 MMBtu/yr 118270.9 GGE/yr 240 tons CO2e/yr 862 tons CO2e Dump Trucks 8 28800 hr/yr 4071.1 MMBtu/yr 33791.7 GGE/yr 68 tons CO2e/yr 246 tons CO2e Water Trucks 4 14400 hr/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 2464 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoes 4 14400 hr/yr 12213.3 MMBtu/yr 101375.1 GGE/yr 205 tons CO2e/yr 739 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-15 September 30, 2016 INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS -ALLEN Page 3 of 4 Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units 6-8" Pumps 8 28800 hr/yr 16284.4 MMBtu/yr 135166.8 GGE/yr 274 tons CO2e/yr 986 tons CO2e Maint/Service Trucks 4 14400 hr/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 2464 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generators 4 14400 hr/yr 4803.9 MMBtu/yr 39874.2 GGE/yr 81 tons CO2e/yr 291 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 100 900000 miles/yr 76 tons CO2e/yr 274 tons CO2e LANDFILL FILLING Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 10995 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 1649 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 1649 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 5497 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 1319 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 2199 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 5497 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 649 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 367 tons CO2e LANDFILL CLOSURE Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 616 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 92 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 92 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 308 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 74 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 123 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 308 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 36 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 1 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 21 tons CO2e 6,945 tons CO2e/yr 78,660 Itons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-16 September 30, 2016 INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS -ALLEN Page 4 of 4 Notes: 1. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 2. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 3. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 4. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_u nits. 5. GHG emission factors from Results created by ANL on 11/12/2015 using GREETI_2015 version, October 2015 release, Argonne National Laboratory, 2015. Emission Factors Well -To -Pump (WTP)16 Diesel 59 g CO2e/mi 1837 g CO2e/gge Gasoline (E10) 77 g CO2e/mi 6. Annual Total Energy Usage values taken from Energy Usage calculations. 7. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Abbreviations: GHG = Greenhouse Gas. WTP = "Well -to -Pump" (also called Well -to -Tank, or WTT), refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to -Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-17 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MINA ENERGY USAGE - ALLEN Page 1 of 4 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar energy usages are expected for each and the energy usage is not included in this estimate. It is expected that the energy usage contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other source of energy usage. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 5.2 years 140198 truck trips carrying cap material 203 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 95126 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 14269 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 14269 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 47563 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 11415 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 19025 MMBtu Maint/Service Truck s'7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 47563 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 5612 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 24419 MMBtu Truck Transport - Cap Materia 14,6,8 N/A 27000 truck trips/yr 1350000 miles/yr 232759 gal/yr 32091 MMBtu/yr 166631 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Material °' 5' 6'8 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7835 miles/yr 1351 gal/yr 186 MMBtu/yr 967 MMBtu 82,040 MMBtu/yr 446,861 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-18 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Removal Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 3.6 years Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 35.7 years Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2 years ENERGY USAGE - ALLEN Page 2 of 4 204 truck trips carrying liner material 963500 truck trips carrying ash 33091 truck trips carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units EXCAVATION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 7328 MMBtu/yr 261608 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 654020 MMBtu Wheeled Loaded'' 1 3240 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 3206 MMBtu/yr 114454 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 916 MMBtu/yr 32701 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 327010 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 98103 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 2 6480 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 130804 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 38587 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 24419.2 MMBtu MATERIAL TRANSPORT Fuel Usage Truck Transport - Ash 4,6,8 N/A 26989 truck trips/yr 1349440 miles/yr 232662 gal/yr 32077 MMBtu/yr 1145161 MMBtu Truck Transport - Closure Materia 14,6,8 N/A 16546 truck trips/yr 33091 miles/yr 5705 gal/yr 787 MMBtu/yr 1573 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7291 miles/yr 1257 gal/yr 173 MMBtu/yr 971 MMBtu LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators s'7 8 28800 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 32569 MMBtu/yr 117247 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 81422 MMBtu/yr 293118 MMBtu Vibratory Compactors'' 4 14400 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 9771 MMBtu/yr 35174 MMBtu Wheeled Loaders'' 4 14400 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 14249 MMBtu/yr 51296 MMBtu Dump Trucks s'' 8 28800 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 4071 MMBtu/yr 14656 MMBtu Water Trucks s'' 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 146559 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe S1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 12213 MMBtu/yr 43968 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpss'' 8 28800 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 16284 MMBtu/yr 58624 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 146559 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 4 14400 hr/yr 591 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 4804 MMBtu/yr 17294 MMBtu Fuel Usage Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-19 September 30, 2016 ENERGY USAGE - ALLEN Page 3 of 4 Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Personal VehicleS2'3'8 100 900000 miles/yr 42056 gal/yr 5067 MMBtu/yr 18240.3 MMBtu LANDFILL FILLING Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 654020 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 98103 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 98103 MMBtu Water Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 327010 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 78482 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 130804 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 327010 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 38587 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 24419.2 MMBtu LANDFILL CLOSURE Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 36640 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 5496 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe''? 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 5496 MMBtu Water Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 18320 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 4397 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 7328 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 18320 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 2162 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 1368.0 MMBtu 441,541 MMBtu/yr 5,648,213 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-20 September 30, 2016 ENERGY USAGE - ALLEN Page 4 of 4 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis- handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission-factors. 2. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 3. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 U.S. light-duty vehicles ( 21.4 mi/gal) from http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/files/publications/national_transportation_statistics/html/table_ 04_23.html. 4. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 5. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 6. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Transportation Energy Data Book, Edition 34, September 2015. Class 7-8 average fuel economy (2013) is 5.8 mi/gal from http://cta.ornl.gov/data/tedb34/Edition34_Chapter05.pdf. 7. USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Just the Basics Diesel Engine , 2003. Used estimated diesel engine efficiency of 45% from http://wwwl.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/pdfs/basics/J*tb_diesel_engine.pdf. 8. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 9. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-21 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MINA AIR EMISSIONS - BUCK Page 1 of 3 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2.9 years 78412 truck trips carrying cap material 114 truck trips carrying liner material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-22 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2_5 Direct CO. Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons COze) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM30/PM2,5 Direct GHG (COze) Direct GHG 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 2254.35 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 314.92 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 314.92 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1225.15 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273lb/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 lb/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 316.05 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 565.61 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1225.15 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 367.35 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5,6 121500 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile j 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 160.02 Truck Transport - Cap Materia 17,8,9,10 27000 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 1 0.255 g/truck trip 13.68 0.32 4107.41 11928.47 Truck Transport - Liner Material �'$'9''°'" 39 truck trips/yr I 1838.20 g/truck trip I 43.00 g/truck trip I 552000 g/truck trip 1 1.02 g/truck trip 0.08 0.00 23.89 69.37 2 9.2 0 1.011 6,453.331 18, 741.37 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-22 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = Removal 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 1.2 years 70 truck trips carrying liner material (construction & closure) 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 9.8 years 265500 truck trips carrying ash 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 0.7 years 11398 truck trips carrying closure material AIR EMISSIONS - BUCK Page 2 of 3 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-23 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2.5 Direct CO. Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO2e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM,,/PM,, Direct GHG (CO,e) Direct GHG EXCAVATION 2 Tracked Excavators' 6480 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 lb/hr 2.14 0.11 389.52 3817.30 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 7607.30 Wheeled Loader' 3240 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.15 0.06 176.94 1734.02 2 Dump Trucks' 6480 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.19 0.01 24.69 241.95 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 4134.27 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1062.70 2 6-8" Pumps' 6480 hr/yr 0.3830 lb/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051lb/hr 1.24 0.08 161.12 1578.95 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 1239.64 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4'5 121500 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 539.99 MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash 7,8,9,10 27092 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.2550 g/truck trip 13.72 0.32 4121.38 40389.48 Truck Transport - Closure Material 7'8""0 16283 truck trips/yr 18.38 g/truck trip 0.43 g/truck trip 5520 g/truck trip 0.0102 g/truck trip 0.33 0.01 99.081 69.36 Truck Transport - Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 37 truck trips/yr 1838.20 g/truck trip 43 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.0200 g/truck trip 0.07 0.00 22.42 42.60 LANDFILL CONSTRUCT. 8 Tracked Excavators' 28800 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 9.51 0.48 1731.20 3289.29 8 Dozers' 28800 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 30.08 1.24 3450.02 6555.05 4 Vibratory Compactors' 14400 hr/yr 0.568 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 123 Ib/hr 0.0065 lb/hr 4.09 0.17 886.77 1684.86 4 Wheeled Loaders' 14400 hr/yr 0.7114 lb/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 5.12 0.27 786.40 1494.16 8 Dump Trucks' 28800 hr/yr 0.0587 lb/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.85 0.03 109.73 208.48 4 Water Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 3562.41 4 Wheeled Backhoes' 14400 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 2.93 0.19 481.95 915.71 8 6-8" Pumps' 28800 hr/yr 0.3830 lb/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051 lb/hr 5.52 0.34 716.08 1360.54 4 M aint/Service Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 3562.41 4 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 14400 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 4.39 0.31 562.19 1068.17 100 Personal Vehicles2'3'4'5 900000 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.94 0.00 408 775.49 LANDFILL FILLING 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 7607.30 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1062.70 Wheeled Backhoel 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1062.70 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 4134.27 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273lb/hr I 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 lb/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 1066.51 Tracked Excavator' I 3240 hr/yr I 0.6603lb/hr I 0.0332 Ib/hr I 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 1908.65 M aint/Service Truck' 1 3240 hr/yr 1 1.3322 lb/hr I 0.0459 Ib/hr 1 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.861 4134.27 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102lb/hr 0.0431lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 1239.64 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-23 September 30, 2016 AIR EMISSIONS - BUCK Page 3 of 3 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/files/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/html/table_04 23.htm I. S. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Vllla (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-24 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PMlo/PMZ 5 Direct CO, Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons COze) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PMlo/PM2.5 Direct GHG (COze) Direct GHG Personal Vehicles2'3'4'5'6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 539.99 LANDFILL CLOSURE 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 543.38 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 75.91 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 75.91 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 295.30 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 76.18 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 136.33 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 295.30 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102lb/hr 0.0431lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 88.55 Personal Vehicles2'3,4,5,6 121500 miles/yr I 0.95 g/mile I 0.0045 g/mile I 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 38.57 143.05 6.12 24,009.79 111,315.58 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/files/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/html/table_04 23.htm I. S. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CO2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Vllla (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-24 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MNA INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - BUCK Page 1 of 4 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2.9 years 78412 truck trips carrying cap material 114 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissions5 Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons COze/yr 894 tons COZe Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons COze/yr 134 tons COze Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons COZe/yr 134 tons COze Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons COze/yr 447 tons COze Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons COze/yr 107 tons COze Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons COze/yr 179 tons COze Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons COze/yr 447 tons COze 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons COZe/yr 53 tons COZe Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons COze/yr 30 tons COZe Truck Transport - Cap Material2 N/A 27000 truck trips/yr 1350000 miles/yr 87 tons COZe/yr 254 tons COze 2'3 Truck Transport - Liner Material N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7828 miles/yr 0.5 tons COze/yr 1 tons COze 923 tons COZe/yr 2,681 Itons COze Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-25 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Removal Landfill Construction Duration = 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 1.2 years Excavation Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 9.8 years Closure Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 0.7 years INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - BUCK Page 2 of 4 70 truck trips carrying liner material 265500 truck trips carrying ash 11398 truck trips carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units EXCAVATION Tracked Excavators 2 6480 hr/yr 7328.0 MMBtu/yr 60825.0 GGE/yr 123 tons COZe/yr 1207 tons COZe Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons COze/yr 3018 tons COze Wheeled Loader 1 3240 hr/yr 3206.0 MMBtu/yr 26611.0 GGE/yr 54 tons COze/yr 528 tons COze Dump Trucks 2 6480 hr/yr 916.0 MMBtu/yr 7603.1 GGE/yr 15 tons COZe/yr 151 tons COze Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons COze/yr 1509 tons COze Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons COZe/yr 453 tons COZe 6-8" Pumps 2 6480 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons COze/yr 604 tons COZe 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons COze/yr 178 tons COze Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons COZe/yr 101 tons COze MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash N/A 27092 truck trips/yr 1354592 miles/yr 88 tons COze/yr 859 tons COze Truck Transport - Closure Material N/A 16283 truck trips/yr 32567 miles/yr 2 tons COze/yr 1 tons COZe Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 37 truck trips/yr 7336 miles/yr 0.5 tons COZe/yr 1 tons COze LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Tracked Excavators 8 28800 hr/yr 32568.7 MMBtu/yr 270333.5 GGE/yr 548 tons COze/yr 657 tons COze Dozers 8 28800 hr/yr 81421.8 MMBtu/yr 675833.9 GGE/yr 1369 tons COze/yr 1643 tons COze Vibratory Compactors 4 14400 hr/yr 9770.6 MMBtu/yr 81100.1 GGE/yr 164 tons COZe/yr 197 tons COZe Wheeled Loaders 4 14400 hr/yr 14248.8 MMBtu/yr 118270.9 GGE/yr 240 tons COze/yr 287 tons COZe Dump Trucks 8 1 28800 hr/yr 4071.1 MMBtu/yr 33791.7 GGE/yr 68 tons COze/yr 82 tons COze Water Trucks 4 1 14400 hr/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 684 tons COZe/yr 821 tons COze Wheeled Backhoes 4 1 14400 hr/yr 1 12213.3 MMBtu/yr 101375.1 GGE/yr 205 tons COze/yr 246 tons COze Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-26 September 30, 2016 INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - BUCK Page 3 of 4 Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units 6-8" Pumps 8 28800 hr/yr 16284.4 MMBtu/yr 135166.8 GGE/yr 274 tons COZe/yr 329 tons COZe Maint/Service Trucks 4 14400 hr/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 684 tons COze/yr 821 tons COZe 55 KVA Diesel Generators 4 14400 hr/yr 4803.9 MMBtu/yr 39874.2 GGE/yr 81 tons COze/yr 97 tons COze Personal Vehicles 100 900000 miles/yr 76 tons COZe/yr 91 tons COze LANDFILL FILLING Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons COze/yr 3018 tons COze Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons COze/yr 453 tons COze Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons COZe/yr 453 tons COZe Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons COze/yr 1509 tons COZe Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons COze/yr 362 tons COze Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons COZe/yr 604 tons COze Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons COze/yr 1509 tons COze 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons COze/yr 178 tons COze Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons COze/yr 101 tons COze LANDFILL CLOSURE Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons COze/yr 216 tons COZe Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons COze/yr 32 tons COze Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons COZe/yr 32 tons COze Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons COze/yr 108 tons COze Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons COze/yr 26 tons COze Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons COZe/yr 43 tons COze Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons COze/yr 108 tons COze 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons COZe/yr 13 tons COZe Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons COze/yr 7 tons COZe 6,945 Itons COZe/yr 22,653 Itons COZe Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-27 September 30, 2016 INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - BUCK Page 4 of 4 Notes: 1. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 2. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 3. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 4. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 5. GHG emission factors from Results created by ANL on 11/12/2015 using GREETI_2015 version, October 2015 release, Argonne National Laboratory, 2015. Emission Factors Well -To -Pump (WTP)16 Diesel 59 g CO2e/mi 1837 g CO2e/gge Gasoline (E10) 77 g CO2e/mi 6. Annual Total Energy Usage values taken from Energy Usage calculations. 7. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Abbreviations: GHG = Greenhouse Gas. WTP = "Well -to -Pump" (also called Well -to -Tank, or WTT), refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to -Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-28 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MINA ENERGY USAGE - BUCK Page 1 of 4 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar energy usages are expected for each and the energy usage is not included in this estimate. It is expected that the energy usage contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other source of energy usage. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 2.9 years 78412 truck trips carrying cap material 114 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 53203 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 7981 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 7981 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 26602 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 6384 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 10641 MMBtu Maint/Service Truck s'7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 26602 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 3139 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 6703 MMBtu Truck Transport - Cap Materia 14,6,8 N/A 27000 truck trips/yr 1350000 miles/yr 232759 gal/yr 32091 MMBtu/yr 93196 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Material °' 5' 6'8 N/A 39 truck trips/yr 7828 miles/yr 1350 gal/yr 186 MMBtu/yr 540 MMBtu 82,040 MMBtu/yr 242,972 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-29 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Removal Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = ENERGY USAGE - BUCK Page 2 of 4 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 1.2 years 70 truck trips carrying liner material 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 9.8 years 265500 truck trips carrying ash 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 0.7 years 11398 truck trips carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units EXCAVATION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 7328 MMBtu/yr 71814 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 179535 MMBtu Wheeled Loaders'' 1 3240 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 3206 MMBtu/yr 31419 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 916 MMBtu/yr 8977 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 89767 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 26930 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 2 6480 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 35907 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 10593 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 6703.3 MMBtu MATERIAL TRANSPORT Fuel Usage Truck Transport - Ash 4,6,8 N/A 27092 truck trips/yr 1354592 miles/yr 233550 gal/yr 32200 MMBtu/yr 315558 MMBtu Truck Transport - Closure Materia 14,6,8 N/A 16283 truck trips/yr 32567 miles/yr 5615 gal/yr 774 MMBtu/yr 542 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 37 truck trips/yr 7336 miles/yr 1265 gal/yr 174 MMBtu/yr 331 MMBtu LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators 1'7 8 28800 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 32569 MMBtu/yr 39082 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 81422 MMBtu/yr 97706 MMBtu Vibratory Compactors 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 9771 MMBtu/yr 11725 MMBtu Wheeled Loaders 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 14249 MMBtu/yr 17099 MMBtu Dump Trucks l'' 8 28800 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 4071 MMBtu/yr 4885 MMBtu Water Trucks l'' 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 48853 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe S1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 12213 MMBtu/yr 14656 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 8 28800 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 16284 MMBtu/yr 19541 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 48853 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators 1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 591 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 4804 MMBtu/yr 5765 MMBtu Fuel Usage Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-30 September 30, 2016 ENERGY USAGE - BUCK Page 3 of 4 Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Personal VehicleS2'3'8 100 900000 miles/yr 42056 gal/yr 5067 MMBtu/yr 6080.1 MMBtu LANDFILL FILLING Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 179535 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 26930 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 26930 MMBtu Water Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 89767 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 21544 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 35907 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 89767 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 10593 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 6703.3 MMBtu LANDFILL CLOSURE Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 12824 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 1924 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe''? 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 1924 MMBtu Water Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 6412 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 1539 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 2565 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 6412 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 757 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 478.8 MMBtu 441,652 MMBtu/yr 1,614,833 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-31 September 30, 2016 ENERGY USAGE - BUCK Page 4 of 4 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis- handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission-factors. 2. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 3. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 U.S. light-duty vehicles ( 21.4 mi/gal) from http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/files/publications/national_transportation_statistics/html/table_ 04_23.html. 4. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 5. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 6. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Transportation Energy Data Book, Edition 34, September 2015. Class 7-8 average fuel economy (2013) is 5.8 mi/gal from http://cta.ornl.gov/data/tedb34/Edition34_Chapter05.pdf. 7. USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Just the Basics Diesel Engine , 2003. Used estimated diesel engine efficiency of 45% from http://wwwl.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/pdfs/basics/jtb_diesel_engine.pdf. 8. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained- Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 9. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-32 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MNA AIR EMISSIONS - CLIFFSIDE Page 1 of 3 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 3.0 years 82340 truck trips carrying cap material 119 truck trips carrying liner material Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-33 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2_5 Direct CO. Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO,e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM10/PM2, Direct GHG (COze) Direct GHG 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 lb/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 2328.77 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 325.32 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 325.32 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1265.59 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273lb/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 lb/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 326.48 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 584.28 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 1265.59 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 379.48 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5,6 121500 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile j 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 165.30 Truck Transport - Cap Materia 17,8,9,10 27447 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.255 g/truck trip 13.90 0.33 4175.35 12526.06 Truck Transport - Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 40 truck trips/yr 1838.20 g/truck trip I 43.00 g/truck trip I 552000 g/truck trip 1 1.02 g/truck trip 0.08 0.00 24.14 72.41 29.43 1.02 6,521.54 19,564.61 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-33 September 30, 2016 Option 3: Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = Excavation and Landfill 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 1.7 years 96 truck trips carrying liner material (construction & closure) 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 14.6 years 394500 truck trips carrying ash 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 1.0 years 15683 truck trips carrying closure material AIR EMISSIONS - CLIFFSIDE Page 2 of 3 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-34 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PM10/PM2.5 Direct CO. Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons CO,e) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PMI,/PM2, Direct GHG (COze) Direct GHG EXCAVATION 2 Tracked Excavators' 6480 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 lb/hr 2.14 0.11 389.52 5687.01 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 11333.33 Wheeled Loader' 3240 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.15 0.06 176.94 2583.33 2 Dump Trucks' 6480 hr/yr 0.0587 Ib/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.19 0.01 24.69 360.46 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 6159.22 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1583.21 2 6-8" Pumps' 6480 hr/yr 0.3830 lb/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051lb/hr 1.24 0.08 161.12 2352.31 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 1846.81 15 Personal Vehicles2,3,4'5 121500 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 804.47 MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash 7,8,9,10 27021 truck trips/yr 459.55 g/truck trip 10.75 g/truck trip 138000 g/truck trip 0.2550 g/truck trip 13.69 0.32 4110.53 60013.75 Truck Transport - Closure Material 7'8'9'10 15683 truck trips/yr 18.38 g/truck trip 0.43 g/truck trip 5520 g/truck trip 0.0102 g/truck trip 0.32 0.01 95.43 95.43 Truck Transport - Liner Materia 17,8,9,10,11 36 truck trips/yr 1838.20 g/truck trip 43 g/truck trip 552000 g/truck trip 1.0200 g/truck trip 0.07 0.00 21.64 58.42 LANDFILL CONSTRUCT. 8 Tracked Excavators' 28800 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 9.51 0.48 1731.20 4674.25 8 Dozers' 28800 hr/yr 2.0891 Ib/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 30.08 1.24 3450.02 9315.06 4 Vibratory Compactors' 14400 hr/yr 0.568 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 123 Ib/hr 0.0065 lb/hr 4.09 0.17 886.77 2394.28 4 Wheeled Loaders' 14400 hr/yr 0.7114 Ib/hr 0.0375 Ib/hr 109 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 5.12 0.27 786.40 2123.29 8 Dump Trucks' 28800 hr/yr 0.0587 lb/hr 0.0024 Ib/hr 7.6 Ib/hr 0.0008 Ib/hr 0.85 0.03 109.73 296.27 4 Water Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 5062.37 4 Wheeled Backhoes' 14400 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 2.93 0.19 481.95 1301.27 8 6-8" Pumps' 28800 hr/yr 0.3830 lb/hr 0.0239 Ib/hr 49.6 Ib/hr 0.0051lb/hr 5.52 0.34 716.08 1933.41 4 M aint/Service Trucks' 14400 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 9.59 0.33 1874.95 5062.37 4 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 14400 hr/yr 0.6102 lb/hr 0.0431 lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 4.39 0.31 562.19 1517.92 100 Personal Vehicles2'3'4'5 900000 miles r /y 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.94 0.00 408 1102.01 LANDFILL FILLING 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 11333.33 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1583.21 Wheeled Backhoel 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 1583.21 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 6159.22 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273lb/hr I 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 lb/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 1588.88 Tracked Excavator' I 3240 hr/yr I 0.6603lb/hr I 0.0332 Ib/hr I 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.761 2843.50 M aint/Service Truck' 1 3240 hr/yr 1 1.3322 lb/hr I 0.0459 Ib/hr 1 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 6159.22 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102lb/hr 0.0431lb/hr 77.9 ZhrI 0.0073 Ib/hr 1 0.99 0.071 126.491 1846.81 Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-34 September 30, 2016 AIR EMISSIONS - CLIFFSIDE Page 3 of 3 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/files/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/html/table_04 23.htm I. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CC2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Vllla (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-35 September 30, 2016 Usage NOx Emission Factors PMI,/PMZ 5 Direct CO, Direct CH4 Emissions (tons/yr) Cumulative Emissions (tons COZe) Activity Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units Value Units NOx PM,,/PM,, Direct GHG (COZe) Direct GHG Personal VehicleS2'3'4'5'6 121500 miles/yr 0.95 g/mile 0.0045 g/mile 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 804.47 LANDFILL CLOSURE 2 Dozers' 6480 hr/yr 2.0891 lb/hr 0.0858 Ib/hr 239 Ib/hr 0.0234 Ib/hr 6.77 0.28 776.26 776.26 Tractor' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070lb/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 108.44 Wheeled Backhoe' 3240 hr/yr 0.4070 Ib/hr 0.0258 Ib/hr 66.8 Ib/hr 0.0055 Ib/hr 0.66 0.04 108.44 108.44 Water Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 Ib/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 421.86 Vibratory Roller' 3240 hr/yr 0.5273 Ib/hr 0.0353 Ib/hr 67 Ib/hr 0.0071 Ib/hr 0.85 0.06 108.83 108.83 Tracked Excavator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6603 lb/hr 0.0332 Ib/hr 120 Ib/hr 0.0089 Ib/hr 1.07 0.05 194.76 194.76 Maint/Service Truck' 3240 hr/yr 1.3322 lb/hr 0.0459 Ib/hr 260 Ib/hr 0.0164 Ib/hr 2.16 0.07 421.86 421.86 55 KVA Diesel Generator' 3240 hr/yr 0.6102lb/hr 0.0431lb/hr 77.9 Ib/hr 0.0073 Ib/hr 0.99 0.07 126.49 126.49 Personal Vehicles2,3,4,5,6 121500 miles/yr I 0.95 g/mile I 0.0045 g/mile I 410 g/mile 0.0452 g/mile 0.13 0.00 55.10 55.10 143.00 6.12 23,994.51 163,884.10 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis-handbook/off-road-mobile-source- emission-factors. 2. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Greenhouse Gas Inventory Guidance: Direct Emissions from Mobile Combustion Sources Tier 1 Gasoline Light -Duty Truck emission factors (0.0452 g CH4/mile) from https://www.epa.gov/sites/prod uction/files/2016-03/documents/mobi leem issions_3_2016. pdf. 3. Personally Operated Vehicle (POV) use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 4. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 (21.4 miles/gal) for POV CO2 emissions from http://www. rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov. bts/fi les/publications/nationa I_transportation_statistics/html/table_04 23.htm I. 5. 100 -yr GWP for CH4 (25 kg CC2e/kg CH4) from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), 2007. 6. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average Annual Emissions and Fuel Consumption for Gasoline -Fueled Passenger Cars and Light Trucks light-duty trucks emissions estimates for the in -use fleet as of 2008 based on https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O24.pdf. 7. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 8. USEPA Office of Transportation and Air Quality Average In -Use Emissions from Heavy -Duty Trucks NOx and PM10/PM2.5 emission factors approximated as a diesel Heavy -Duty Vehicle Class Vllla (33,001-60,000 Ib GVWR--since it is for 20 ton (40,000 Ib) material + truck) --based on the in -use fleet from July 2008 from https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/42OfO8O27.pdf. 9. USEPA Center for Corporate Climate Leadership Emission Factors for Greenhouse Gas Inventories greenhouse gas emission factors approximated as heavy duty vehicles for 1960 -present from Table 4 of https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-12/documents/emission-factors_nov_2015.pdf, dated November 2015. 10. It is assumed that the weight of the vehicle + load is approximately 60,000 Ib (20 -ton load and 10 -ton truck). Diesel heavy duty combination truck CO2 emission factor for MY2014/Class 8/Day Cab is 92 g CO2/ton-mile taken from https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2011-09-15/pdf/2011-20740.pdf (EPA/DOT Federal Register Vol. 76, No. 179, 15 September 2011). -92 g CO2/ton-mile * (30 ton*x mile)/truck trip = y g CO2/truck trip 11. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-35 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MNA INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - CLIFFSIDE Page 1 of 4 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar emissions are expected for each and the emissions are not included in this estimate. It is expected that the emissions contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other emission sources. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 3.0 years 82340 truck trips carrying cap material 119 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 924 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 139 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 139 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 462 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 111 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 185 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 462 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 55 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 31 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Cap Material N/A 27447 truck trips/yr 1372341 miles/yr 89 tons CO2e/yr 266 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 40 truck trips/yr 7941 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 2 tons CO2e 925 Itons CO2e/yr 2,774 Itons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-36 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = Removal 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 12 hr/day 270 day/yr INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - CLIFFSIDE 1.7 years 96 truck trips 14.6 years 394500 truck trips 1 years 15683 truck trips Page 2 of 4 carrying liner material carrying ash carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units EXCAVATION Tracked Excavators 2 6480 hr/yr 7328.0 MMBtu/yr 60825.0 GGE/yr 123 tons CO2e/yr 1799 tons CO2e Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 4496 tons CO2e Wheeled Loader 1 3240 hr/yr 3206.0 MMBtu/yr 26611.0 GGE/yr 54 tons CO2e/yr 787 tons CO2e Dump Trucks 2 6480 hr/yr 916.0 MMBtu/yr 7603.1 GGE/yr 15 tons CO2e/yr 225 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 2248 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 674 tons CO2e 6-8" Pumps 2 6480 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 899 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 265 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 150 tons CO2e MATERIAL TRANSPORT Truck Transport - Ash N/A 27021 truck trips/yr 1351027 miles/yr 87 tons CO2e/yr 1276 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Closure Materia 12 N/A 15683 truck trips/yr 31366 miles/yr 2 tons CO2e/yr 2 tons CO2e Truck Transport - Liner Materia 12,3 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7102 miles/yr 0.5 tons CO2e/yr 1 tons CO2e LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Tracked Excavators 8 28800 hr/yr 32568.7 MMBtu/yr 270333.5 GGE/yr 548 tons CO2e/yr 931 tons CO2e Dozers 8 28800 hr/yr 81421.8 MMBtu/yr 675833.9 GGE/yr 1369 tons CO2e/yr 2327 tons CO2e Vibratory Compactors 4 14400 hr/yr 9770.6 MMBtu/yr 81100.1 GGE/yr 164 tons CO2e/yr 279 tons CO2e Wheeled Loaders 4 14400 hr/yr 14248.8 MMBtu/yr 118270.9 GGE/yr 240 tons CO2e/yr 407 tons CO2e Dump Trucks 8 1 28800 hr/yr 4071.1 MMBtu/yr 33791.7 GGE/yr 68 tons CO2e/yr 116 tons CO2e Water Trucks 4 14400 hr/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 1163 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoes 4 14400 hr/yr 12213.3 MMBtu/yr 101375.1 GGE/yr 205 tons CO2e/yr 349 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-37 September 30, 2016 INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - CLIFFSIDE Page 3 of 4 Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project GGE Value Units WTP (Indirect) GHG Emissionss Value Units Project Indirect GHG Emissions Value Units 6-8" Pumps 8 28800 hr/yr 16284.4 MMBtu/yr 135166.8 GGE/yr 274 tons CO2e/yr 465 tons CO2e Maint/Service Trucks 4 14400 hr/yr 40710.9 MMBtu/yr 337916.9 GGE/yr 684 tons CO2e/yr 1163 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generators 4 14400 hr/yr 4803.9 MMBtu/yr 39874.2 GGE/yr 81 tons CO2e/yr 137 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 100 900000 miles/yr 76 tons CO2e/yr 129 tons CO2e LANDFILL FILLING Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 4496 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 674 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 674 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 2248 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 540 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 899 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 2248 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 265 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr 10 tons CO2e/yr 150 tons CO2e LANDFILL CLOSURE Dozers 2 6480 hr/yr 18319.9 MMBtu/yr 152062.6 GGE/yr 308 tons CO2e/yr 308 tons CO2e Tractor 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 46 tons CO2e Wheeled Backhoe 1 3240 hr/yr 2748.0 MMBtu/yr 22809.4 GGE/yr 46 tons CO2e/yr 46 tons CO2e Water Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 154 tons CO2e Vibratory Roller 1 3240 hr/yr 2198.4 MMBtu/yr 18247.5 GGE/yr 37 tons CO2e/yr 37 tons CO2e Tracked Excavator 1 3240 hr/yr 3664.0 MMBtu/yr 30412.5 GGE/yr 62 tons CO2e/yr 62 tons CO2e Maint/Service Truck 1 3240 hr/yr 9159.9 MMBtu/yr 76031.3 GGE/yr 154 tons CO2e/yr 154 tons CO2e 55 KVA Diesel Generator 1 3240 hr/yr 1080.9 MMBtu/yr 8971.7 GGE/yr 18 tons CO2e/yr 18 tons CO2e Personal Vehicles 15 121500 miles/yr I 1 10 tons CO2e/yr 10 tons CO2e 6,945 tons CO2e/yr 33,324 tons CO2e Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-38 September 30, 2016 INDIRECT GHG EMISSIONS - CLIFFSIDE Page 4 of 4 Notes: 1. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 2. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. 3. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 4. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_u nits. 5. GHG emission factors from Results created by ANL on 11/12/2015 using GREETI_2015 version, October 2015 release , Argonne National Laboratory, 2015. Emission Factors Well -To -Pump (WTP)16 Diesel 59 g CO2e/mi 1837 g CO2e/gge Gasoline (E10) 77 g CO2e/mi 6. Annual Total Energy Usage values taken from Energy Usage calculations. 7. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Abbreviations: GHG = Greenhouse Gas. WTP = "Well -to -Pump" (also called Well -to -Tank, or WTT), refers to processes and activities involved in producing a fuel through when that fuel reaches a fueling station. This may include raw material extraction, transportation, fuel production, distribution, and storage. For the purposes of this study, only WTP GHG emissions are considered as indirect emissions. Indirect emissions in the PTW (Pump -to -Wheels) stage, such as refueling and evaporation, are not included as indirect emissions. Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-39 September 30, 2016 Alternative 1: MINA ENERGY USAGE - CLIFFSIDE Page 1 of 4 Since similar monitoring would be required for each option for the project duration, similar energy usages are expected for each and the energy usage is not included in this estimate. It is expected that the energy usage contributions from personal vehicles due to monitoring would be insignificant compared to the other source of energy usage. Alternative 2: CIP CIP Duration = 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 3.0 years 82340 truck trips carrying cap material 119 truck trips carrying liner material Activity Number of Units Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage9 Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 54960 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 8244 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 8244 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 27480 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 6595 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 10992 MMBtu Maint/Service Truck s'7 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 27480 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 3243 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 9987 MMBtu Truck Transport - Cap Materia 14,6,8 N/A 27447 truck trips/yr 1372341 miles/yr 236610 gal/yr 32622 MMBtu/yr 97865 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Material °' 5' 6'8 N/A 40 truck trips/yr 7941 miles/yr 1369 gal/yr 189 MMBtu/yr 566 MMBtu 82,574 MMBtu/yr 255,655 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-40 September 30, 2016 Alternative 3: Removal Landfill Construction Duration = Excavation Duration = Closure Duration = ENERGY USAGE - CLIFFSIDE Page 2 of 4 12 hr/day 300 day/yr 1.7 years 96 truck trips carrying liner material 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 14.6 years 394500 truck trips carrying ash 12 hr/day 270 day/yr 1 years 15683 truck trips carrying closure material Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units EXCAVATION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 7328 MMBtu/yr 106988 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 267470 MMBtu Wheeled Loaded'' 1 3240 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 3206 MMBtu/yr 46807 MMBtu Dump Trucks 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 916 MMBtu/yr 13374 MMBtu Water Truck l'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 133735 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 40121 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpsl'' 2 6480 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 53494 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 15781 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 9986.6 MMBtu MATERIAL TRANSPORT Fuel Usage Truck Transport - Ash 4,6,8 N/A 27021 truck trips/yr 1351027 miles/yr 232936 gal/yr 32115 MMBtu/yr 468880 MMBtu Truck Transport - Closure Materia 14,6,8 N/A 15683 truck trips/yr 31366 miles/yr 5408 gal/yr 746 MMBtu/yr 746 MMBtu Truck Transport - Liner Materia 14,5,6,8 N/A 36 truck trips/yr 7102 miles/yr 1224 gal/yr 169 MMBtu/yr 456 MMBtu LANDFILL CONSTRUCTION Estimated Engine Size Tracked Excavators s'' 8 28800 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 32569 MMBtu/yr 55367 MMBtu Dozers 1,7 8 28800 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 81422 MMBtu/yr 138417 MMBtu Vibratory Compactors'' 4 14400 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 9771 MMBtu/yr 16610 MMBtu Wheeled Loaders'' 4 14400 hr/yr 175 HP each 1.0 MMBtu/hr 14249 MMBtu/yr 24223 MMBtu Dump Trucks s'' 8 28800 hr/yr 25 HP each 0.1 MMBtu/hr 4071 MMBtu/yr 6921 MMBtu Water Trucks s'' 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 69208 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe S1,7 4 14400 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 12213 MMBtu/yr 20763 MMBtu 6-8" Pumpss'' 8 28800 hr/yr 100 HP each 0.6 MMBtu/hr 16284 MMBtu/yr 27683 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 4 14400 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 40711 MMBtu/yr 69208 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 4 14400 hr/yr 591 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 4804 MMBtu/yr 8167 MMBtu Fuel Usage Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-41 September 30, 2016 ENERGY USAGE - CLIFFSIDE Page 3 of 4 Activity Number of Units Total Usage Value Units Value Units Hourly (per Unit) Energy Usage Value Units Annual Total Energy Usage Value Units Total Project Energy Usage Value Units Personal VehicleS2'3'8 100 900000 miles/yr 42056 gal/yr 5067 MMBtu/yr 8613.5 MMBtu LANDFILL FILLING Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 267470 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 40121 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe 1,7 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 40121 MMBtu Water Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 133735 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 32096 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 53494 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 133735 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 15781 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 9986.6 MMBtu LANDFILL CLOSURE Estimated Engine Size Dozers 1,7 2 6480 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 18320 MMBtu/yr 18320 MMBtu Tractors'' 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 2748 MMBtu Wheeled Backhoe''? 1 3240 hr/yr 150 HP each 0.8 MMBtu/hr 2748 MMBtu/yr 2748 MMBtu Water Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 9160 MMBtu Vibratory Rolled'' 1 3240 hr/yr 120 HP each 0.7 MMBtu/hr 2198 MMBtu/yr 2198 MMBtu Tracked Excavators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 200 HP each 1.1 MMBtu/hr 3664 MMBtu/yr 3664 MMBtu Maint/Service Trucks'' 1 3240 hr/yr 500 HP each 2.8 MMBtu/hr 9160 MMBtu/yr 9160 MMBtu 55 KVA Diesel Generators'' 1 3240 hr/yr 59 HP each 0.3 MMBtu/hr 1081 MMBtu/yr 1081 MMBtu Fuel Usage Personal VehicleS2'3'8 15 121500 miles/yr 5678 gal/yr 684 MMBtu/yr 684.0 MMBtu 441,533 MMBtu/yr 2,379,322 MMBtu Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-42 September 30, 2016 ENERGY USAGE - CLIFFSIDE Page 4 of 4 Notes: 1. South Coast Air Quality Management District Off -Road Model Mobile Source Emission Factors for a 2016 fleet average from http://www.agmd.gov/home/regulations/ceqa/air-quality-analysis- handbook/off-road-mobile-source-emission-factors. 2. Personally Operated Vehicle use is estimated as: -Excavation: 15 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr (it is assumed each person travels 15 -miles one-way to work); -Landfill Construction: 25 persons/day * 30 miles/person * 270 day/yr. 3. USDOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics Average Fuel Efficiency of U.S. Light Duty Vehicles for calendar year 2014 U.S. light-duty vehicles ( 21.4 mi/gal) from http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/files/publications/national_transportation_statistics/html/table_04_23.html. 4. It is assumed that the landfill location is 25 miles away, so 1 truck trip carrying ash is 50 miles, and 20 -ton trucks are used. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 3 is taken from an adjacent land parcel, thus 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material is taken to be 2 miles. It is assumed that the landfill cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken from a site 25 miles aways, so 1 truck trip carrying cap/closure material for Option 2 is taken to be 50 miles. S. It is assumed that the liner is transported 100 miles to the site/landfill on public roads and approximately 10 tons of liner are transported per trip (3240 Ib/roll * 1 ton/2000 Ib * 6 rolls/truck trip = 10 ton/truck trip). 6. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Transportation Energy Data Book, Edition 34, September 2015. Class 7-8 average fuel economy (2013) is 5.8 mi/gal from http://cta.ornl.gov/data/tedb34/Edition34_Chapter05.pdf. 7. USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, lust the Basics Diesel Engine , 2003. Used estimated diesel engine efficiency of 45% from http://wwwl.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/pdfs/basics/jtb_diesel_engine.pdf. 8. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Energy Explained - Energy Units and Calculators, 2015. Used diesel energy content of 137,871 Btu/gal and gasoline energy content of 120,476 Btu/gal from http://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/?page=about_energy_units. 9. Conversion factor used: 1 HP = 2544.43 Btu/hr Appendix C - Air Emissions and Energy Analysis C-43 September 30, 2016 EPS APPENDIX D Human Health Risk Analysis Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-1 September 30, 2016 0 DI INTRODUCTION Potential impacts to humans in contact with chemicals in environmental media were estimated for 30 years after implementation of the three remedial alternatives (Monitored Natural Attenuation (MNA), Cap -in -Place with MNA (CIP), and Removal with MNA Removal). A current condition (i.e., year 2015-2016) risk assessment was conducted for each site. These risk assessments formed the basis of estimating the risks' in the future for the three different corrective actions. It is important to note that the purpose of this analysis is to compare the three different corrective action alternatives. The purpose is not to accurately determine the actual expected risk for each alternative. The current condition risk assessments evaluated the following environmental media: (Area of Wetness (AOW)/seep soil, AOW/seep water, groundwater, sediment, surface water and fish tissue. The receptors evaluated included a commercial/industrial worker, construction worker, trespasser, boater, swimmer, wader, recreational fisher and subsistence fisher. One exposure scenario and one chemical were excluded from this risk evaluation for the Net Environmental Benefit Analysis (NEBA). Fish consumption was excluded because the risk assessment for this scenario presented in the Corrective Action Plan (CAP) documents was not based on fish tissue data and the assessment as presented was overly -conservative and not representative of the true risk. Lead was excluded because the risks due to lead are calculated differently than for other chemicals and they are not additive with other chemicals. There were two considerations in extrapolating the current risk assessment to the future condition. The first was to forward project into the future (30 years from implementation/completion of the corrective action). The second was to project the changes due to each corrective action. The information available for each site varied. Accordingly, for some environmental media different techniques were used to estimate the projected potential risks. ' Note, in risk evaluations calculations are performed differently for carcinogenic and non -carcinogenic chemicals. The Hazard Index (HI) is the measurement used to determine the hazard of non -carcinogens. The Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk (ELCR) is the measurement used for carcinogenic chemicals. For the purpose of the text of this document the term "risk" is used to generically represent both the cancer risk and hazard. However, the associated tables do differentiate between ELCR and non -carcinogenic hazard HI. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-2 September 30, 2016 EPS D2 AOW SOIL AND AOW WATER This evaluation was conducted the same for each site. It was assumed that the concentrations (and, thus, risk) for the AOWs would not change from now to 30 years in the future. For the MNA alternative it was assumed that the risk would be the same as the current risk. The CAPS indicate that most if not all AOWs would not be present under the CIP alternative. However, to be conservative it was assumed that 75% of the AOWs would be removed. Accordingly, the projected MNA risk would be 25% of the current risk. Under the Removal alternative all contaminants in soil would be removed, thus there would be no contaminants in any future AOWs. Accordingly, there is no projected Removal risk. The calculation of the projected risks for the AOW/seep Soil and Water, are shown in Table I and Table 2, respectively. The Current Risk Assessment values for AOW/seep soil for Allen and Buck were taken from their respective risk assessments. The current values for Cliffside and Mayo were revised. The revised risk calculations are shown in Table 113. Cliffside was revised to remove outliers of arsenic and cobalt that were skewing the dataset and overestimating the risk. Mayo was revised to include more data (from perimeter soil samples and ash basin ash samples) as the original dataset had only 4 samples and was not representative of a realistic exposure. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-3 September 30, 2016 0 D3 GROUNDWATER Groundwater modeling was conducted for each site projecting concentrations in groundwater into the future for the three different alternatives. However, different amounts and types of information were provided for the groundwater model output for each site. Accordingly, the projection of risks due to groundwater into the future for each alternative for each site was conducted differently. D3.1 Allen and Cliffside The CAP Part 2 report for Cliffside presented results of a groundwater model predicting concentrations under all three alternatives. The output provided contained excel spreadsheets with concentrations of each of the chemical under each alternative for specific wells at the compliance boundary for many years. The concentrations for these wells for 30 -years into the future (after the action is taken) was estimated from the model. The results from all the wells presented were averaged to determine estimated groundwater concentrations 30 years after each corrective action was completed. These concentrations were then multiplied by the Risk Based Concentrations (RBC) from the risk assessment (included in the CAP Part 2) to determine the projected risk 30 years in the future for each alternative. Not all chemicals included in the risk assessment were evaluated in the groundwater model. For these chemicals, the concentrations 30 years into the future were estimated by multiplying the current groundwater concentrations in the risk assessment by a ratio, which was based on the future modeled groundwater concentrations for the modeled chemicals divided by the groundwater concentrations used in the risk assessment. The risk calculations for the future alternatives are shown in Table 3A. The only receptor with exposure to groundwater is the construction worker. Allen is similar to Cliffside in that the output of groundwater modeling available was the same so that modeled concentrations from individual wells could be obtained for 30 years after the different correction actions. However, the CAP Part 2 report for Allen did not include the Removal alternative. The groundwater model presented in the CAP Part 1 report did include the Removal alternative. The ratio of the Removal model to the NINA model from the CAP Part 1 report was used to estimate the Removal concentrations based on the MNA model results from the CAP Part 2 report. Otherwise the risk estimations for Allen were conducted in the same manner as for Cliffside and are summarized in Table 3B. D3.2 Buck The groundwater model output for Buck was not sufficiently detailed to perform the same analysis as was conducted for Allen and Cliffside. Graphs depicting the change in concentrations over time for the three alternatives were presented for some wells and a few chemicals. These graphs for the wells closest to the downgradient edge of the plume were used to estimate an overall increase or decrease in concentrations for the different alternatives. The MNA alternative is the same alternative as the current risk assessment. However, the MNA alternative needed to be projected Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-4 September 30, 2016 0 30 years into the future. The graphs were used to determine the ratio between the concentrations for the NINA alternative 30 years from now to the concentration for the year of the risk assessment. The MNA concentrations 30 years from now was on average 1.5 times the concentrations from the year of the risk assessment. Thus, the estimated risks for the NINA alternative was determined by multiply the current risk values by 1.5. For the CIP alternative the graphs were used to estimate the ratio of the concentrations from CIP to MNA 30 years from now. The average of these ratios (0.5) was multiplied by the MNA risk to estimate the CIP risk. The same process was conducted for Removal using a multiple of 0.6. A summary of the results is presented in Table 3C. DU Mayo The output from the groundwater model for Mayo was presented as a series of figures depicting the extent of the plume at different dates for each alternative. The changes in plume size between these figures were used to estimate the projected risk between the different alternatives 30 years into the future. The risk for the MNA alternative was estimated by multiplying the current risk by 1.5. The risk for CIP was estimated by multiplying the NINA risk by 0.25. The risk for Removal was estimated by multiplying the CIP risk by 0.1. A summary of the results is presented in Table 3D. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-5 September 30, 2016 EPS D4 SEDIMENT AND SURFACE WATER - ON-SITE The on-site sediment and surface water exposure pathways were evaluated the same way for all sites. It was assumed that the concentrations (and, thus, risk) for on-site sediment and surface water would not change from now to 30 years from now. For MNA it was assumed that the risk is the same as in the current risk assessment. Under the CIP and Removal alternatives there is minimal if any risk into the future. However, to be conservative for the CIP alternative it was assumed that the risk is 25% of the MMA risk. It assumed there is no risk under the Removal alternative. The projected risk calculations for on-site soil and on-site surface water are shown in Tables 4 and 5, respectfully. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-6 September 30, 2016 0 D5 SEDIMENT - OFF-SITE The off-site sediment exposure pathway was evaluated the same way for all sites. It was assumed that the concentrations (and, thus, risk) for off-site sediment would not change from now to 30 years from now. For MNA it was assumed that the risk is the same as in the current risk assessment. Under CIP and Removal there is minimal if any risk into the future. However, to be conservative it was assumed that the risk under CIP would be 25% of the MNA risk and the risk under Removal would be 10% of the MNA risk. The projected risk calculations for off-site sediment are shown in Table 6. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-7 September 30, 2016 0 D6 SURFACE WATER — OFF-SITE D6.1 Allen and Cliffside The CAP Part 2 Report for Allen and Cliffside presented surface water mixing models that estimated the current surface water concentrations based on the current modeled groundwater concentrations. The estimated future groundwater concentrations presented in Table 3A and 3B were used as input to the surface water model to estimate surface water concentrations 30 years from implementation of the three different alternatives. These surface water concentrations were then multiplied by the RBCs from the risk assessments for each site to estimate the risk of the different alternatives in the future. A summary of these calculations is presented in Table 7A and Table 7B for Allen and Cliffside, respectively. D6.2 Buck The CAP Part 2 Report for Buck presented a surface water mixing model that estimated the current surface water concentrations based on the current modeled groundwater concentrations. However, the analytes that are constituents of potential concern (COPC) for surface water were not included in the groundwater or surface water model. Thus, the projected risks for the three alternatives in the future were estimated by applying factors to the current risks presented in the risk assessment. The results of the surface water model give a ratio of 1.05 for the 30 -year MNA surface water concentration to the current surface water concentration. Thus, the 30 -year MNA surface water concentrations for the COPCs were determined by multiplying the current risk value by 1.05. For the 30 -year CIP and Removal alternatives factors of 0.93 and 0.94 (respectively) were estimated by dividing the projected surface water concentrations for CIP and Removal by the MNA concentration. Accordingly, the 30 -year CIP and Removal alternatives for the COPCs were estimated by multiplying the 30 -year MNA risk by 0.93 and 0.94, respectively. These calculations are summarized in Table 7C. D6.3 Mayo The Mayo CAP Part 2 Report did not include a surface water model. In order to project the risk for each alternative in the future, the ratios from current year to 2030 for MNA (1.05) and for MNA to CIP (0.96) or Removal (0.94) were estimated from the surface water models from the other sites. The results of the projects for Mayo are shown in Table 7D. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-8 September 30, 2016 0 D7 SUMMARY The combined risks for each alternative where the risk for each medium is summed to determine the total risk for each receptor is shown in Tables 8A and 8B. This information is further summarized in Table 9 where the maximum risk for on-site exposure (maximum risk between commercial/industrial worker, construction worker and trespasser) and maximum risk for off-site exposure (boater, swimmer and wader) is presented. Following Table 9, graphs depicting the combined risks for each receptor in each alternative compared to acceptable risk criteria (HI of 1 and 3 and ELCR of lE-5 and 1E-4) are provided. Appendix D — Human Health Risk Analysis D-9 September 30, 2016 Table 1A. AOW/Seep Soil 1 Concentrations for current scenario updated from the original Risk Assessment (see Table 113) -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-10 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Receptor Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Allen Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.095 0.095 0.024 -- 3.6E-10 3.6E-10 9.1E-11 -- Construction Worker 0.014 0.014 0.0036 -- 7.0E-12 7.0E-12 1.8E-12 -- Trespasser 0.030 0.030 0.0076 -- 1.3E-11 1.3E-11 3.3E-12 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.19 0.19 0.048 -- 2.2E-06 2.2E-06 5.5E-07 -- Construction Worker 0.049 0.049 0.012 -- 6.6E-08 6.6E-08 1.7E-08 -- Trespasser 0.062 0.062 0.016 -- 2.7E-07 2.7E-07 6.8E-08 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Cliffside i Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.11 0.11 0.03 -- 2.3E-06 2.3E-06 5.7E-07 -- Construction Worker 0.04 0.04 0.009 -- 7.0E-08 7.0E-08 1.7E-08 -- Trespasser 0.03 0.03 0.009 -- 2.9E-07 2.9E-07 7.2E-08 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Mayo 1 Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.34 0.34 0.09 -- 2.9E-06 2.9E-06 7.3E-07 -- Construction Worker 0.26 0.26 0.064 -- 8.9E-08 8.9E-08 2.2E-08 -- Trespasser 0.11 0.11 0.028 -- 3.7E-07 3.7E-07 9.2E-08 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- 1 Concentrations for current scenario updated from the original Risk Assessment (see Table 113) -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-10 September 30, 2016 Table 1B - Revised AOW/Seep Soil Current Condition Risk Calculations Cliffside Receptor Analyte EPC (mg/kg) HI RBC ELCR RBC HI ELCR Commerical/Industrial Worker Aluminum 15674 1 1.20E+06 3.00E+02 0.013 2.9E-06 Commerical/Industrial Worker Arsenic 6.88 2 4.80E+02 3.00E+02 0.014 2.3E-06 Commerical/Industrial Worker Cobalt 22.24 2 3.50E+02 8.30E+06 0.064 2.7E-10 Commerical/Industrial Worker Manganese 1447 1 1.60E+05 0.0090 Commerical/Industrial Worker Vanadium 39.87 1 5.80E+03 0.0069 2.9E-06 Total 6.40E+02 4.40E+03 1.00E+06 9.90E+03 4.30E+08 0.11 2.3E-06 Construction Worker Aluminum 15674 1 1.50E+06 6.40E+02 9.90E+03 0.010 0.011 6.9E-08 Construction Worker Arsenic 6.88 2 Construction Worker Cobalt 22.24 2 4.40E+03 4.30E+08 0.0051 5.2E-12 Construction Worker Manganese 1447 1 2.00E+05 Trespasser Arsenic 8.8 2 0.0072 2.40E+03 Construction Worker Vanadium 39.87 1 1.50E+04 Trespasser Cobalt 112 0.0027 2.30E+08 Total 4.8E-12 Trespasser Iron 209217 1 0.036 7.0E-08 Trespasser Aluminum 156741 3.60E+06 Trespasser Manganese 60661 0.0044 1 5.00E+05 Trespasser Arsenic 6.88 2 1.50E+03 2.40E+03 0.0046 2.9E-07 Trespasser Cobalt 22.24 2 1.10E+03 2.30E+08 0.020 9.7E-12 Trespasser Manganese 14471 5.00E+05 0.0029 Trespasser Vanadium 39.871 1 1.80E+04 0.0022 Total 1 0.034 2.9E-07 Mayo Receptor Analyte EPC (mg/kg) HI RBC ELCR RBC HI ELCR Commerical/Industrial Worker Arsenic 8.8 2 4.80E+02 3.00E+02 0.018 2.9E-06 Commerical/Industrial Worker Cobalt 11 2 1.3E-10 3.50E+02 8.30E+06 0.031 Commerical/Industrial Worker Iron 209217 1 8.20E+05 0.26 Commerical/Industrial Worker Manganese 6066 1 1.60E+05 0.038 Total 0.34 2.9E-06 Construction Worker Arsenic 8.8 2 6.40E+02 4.40E+03 1.00E+06 9.90E+03 4.30E+08 0.014 8.9E-08 2.6E-12 Construction Worker Cobalt 11 2 0.0025 0.21 Construction Worker Iron 209217 1 Construction Worker Manganese 6066 1 2.00E+05 _ 0.030 Total 0.26 8.9E-08 Trespasser Arsenic 8.8 2 1.54E+03 2.40E+03 0.0057 3.7E-07 Trespasser Cobalt 112 1.10E+03 2.30E+08 0.010 4.8E-12 Trespasser Iron 209217 1 2.50E+06 0.084 Trespasser Manganese 60661 1 5.00E+05 0.012 Total 0.11 3.7E-07 Original EPC from risk assessment Revised EPC. Cliffside: with statistical outliers removed from dataset. Mayo: with additional data added to the dataset from perimeter soil samples and ash basin ash 3 EPC / HI RBC 4 EPC / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 EPC: Exposure Point Concentration RBC: Risk-based Concentration from Risk Assessment Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-11 September 30, 2016 Table 2. AOW/Seep Water -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-12 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Allen Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.00025 0.00025 0.000062 -- 2.1E-09 2.1E-09 5.4E-10 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.011 0.011 0.0028 -- 5.3E-08 5.3E-08 1.3E-08 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.0021 0.0021 0.00053 -- 2.4E-08 2.4E-08 6.0E-09 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.13 0.13 0.033 -- 6.4E-07 6.4E-07 1.6E-07 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.0036 0.0036 0.00090 -- 7.5E-08 7.5E-08 1.9E-08 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.12 0.12 0.031 -- 2.1E-06 2.1E-06 5.3E-07 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Mayo Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.000020 0.000020 0.0000050 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker 0.00000060 0.00000060 0.00000015 -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.0000020 0.0000020 0.00000050 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader I -- -- -- -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-12 September 30, 2016 Table 3A. Cliffside Groundwater Risk 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-13 September 30, 2016 Const Wkr Const Wkr 30 Year Modeled Groundwater Z 30 Year Estimated HI 3 30 Year Estimated ELCR 4 Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Vg/L µg/L µg/L Aluminum 1 96000000 27163 27138 26743 0.00028 0.00028 0.00028 Antimony 17000 5.0 5.0 4.9 0.00029 0.00029 0.00029 Arsenic 29000 450000 11 10 10 0.00037 0.00036 0.00036 2.4E-09 2.3E-09 2.3E-09 Barium 5000000 94 74 76 0.000019 0.000015 0.000015 Beryllium 480000 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.0000023 0.0000022 0.0000022 Boron 19000000 307 257 212 0.000016 0.000014 0.000011 Chromium (total) 8600000 10 10 10 0.0000011 0.0000011 0.0000011 Chromium VI 28000 76000 1.4 1.4 1.4 0.000050 0.000051 0.000051 1.9E-09 1.9E-09 1.9E-09 Cobalt 330000 22 20 20 0.000066 0.000062 0.000061 Manganese 1 2200000 9681 9672 9531 0.0044 0.0044 0.0043 Mercury 1 50000 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.000010 0.000010 0.000010 Molybdenum 1 480000 91 91 89 0.00019 0.00019 0.00019 Nickel 1000000 14 12 12 0.000014 0.000012 0.000012 Strontium 1 190000000 7723 7715 7603 0.000041 0.000041 0.000040 Vanadium 960000 5.2 5.0 5.0 0.000005 0.000005 0.000005 Zinc 1 31000000 153 153 151 0.0000050 0.0000049 0.0000049 Total for Construction Worker 0.0058 0.0057 0.0057 4.2E-09 4.2E-09 4.2E-09 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-13 September 30, 2016 Table 313. Allen Groundwater Risk 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-14 September 30, 2016 Const Wkr Const Wkr 30 Year Modeled Groundwater Z 30 Year Estimated HI 3 30 Year Estimated ELCR 4 Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Vg/L µg/L µg/L Aluminum 1 96000000 8128 7146 2735 0.000085 0.000074 0.000028 Antimony 17000 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.000075 0.000056 0.000022 Arsenic 29000 450000 4 4 1 0.00015 0.00013 0.000022 9.9E-10 8.2E-10 1.4E-10 Barium 5000000 191 173 59 0.000038 0.000035 0.000012 Beryllium 1 480000 4.0 3.6 1.4 0.0000084 0.0000074 0.0000028 Boron 19000000 438 370 0 0.000023 0.000019 0.0 Chromium (total) 8600000 10 11 0 0.0000012 0.0000013 0.0 Cobalt 330000 11.5 10.4 2.5 0.000035 0.000031 0.0000077 Manganese 1 2200000 9355 8224 3147 0.0043 0.0037 0.0014 Mercury 1 50000 253 222 85 0.0051 0.0044 0.0017 Molybdenum 1 480000 46.1 40.6 15.5 0.000096 0.000085 0.000032 Nickel 1 1000000 1222 1074 411 0.00122 0.00107 0.00041 Selenium 480000 1 1 0 0.0000016 0.0000015 0.00000044 Vanadium 960000 23.1 22.9 14.8 0.000024 0.000024 0.000015 Zinc 1 31000000 50 44 17 0.0000016 0.0000014 0.00000054 Total for Construction Worker 0.0111 0.0097 0.0037 9.9E-10 8.2E-10 1.4E-10 1 Not included in groundwater model. Concentrations estimated based on ratio of modeled analytes to current concentrations used in risk assessment. 2 Average of modeled concentrations from wells included in the model (which were all at the compliance boundary) 3 Modeled groundwater concentration / HI RBC 4 Modeled groundwater concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-14 September 30, 2016 Table 3C. Buck Groundwater Risk 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.5 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.5 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.6 Table 3D. Mayo Groundwater Risk Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Receptor Assessment MNA1 CIP2 Removal3 Assessment MNA1 CIP2 Removal3 Construction Worker 0.0007 0.0011 0.0005 0.00063 7.0E-09 1.1E-08 5.3E-09 6.3E-09 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.5 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.5 2 30 -year Cap = 30 -year MNA x 0.6 Table 3D. Mayo Groundwater Risk 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.5 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.25 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.1 -- Not applicable Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-15 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Receptor Assessment MNA1 CIP2 Removal3 Assessment MNA1 CIP2 Removal3 Construction Worker 1.00E-03 0.0015 0.0004 0.00015 -- -- -- -- 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.5 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.25 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.1 -- Not applicable Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-15 September 30, 2016 Table 4. On -Site Sediment -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-16 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Receptor Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Allen Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.000043 0.000043 0.000011 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.00059 0.00059 0.00015 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.00031 0.00031 0.000078 -- 2.6E-09 2.6E-09 6.5E-10 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.0044 0.0044 0.0011 -- 2.5E-08 0.000000025 0.0000 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.000091 0.000091 0.000023 -- 9.1E-09 9.1E-09 2.3E-09 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.0018 0.0018 0.0005 -- 8.7E-08 8.73684E-08 0.0000 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Mayo Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.00050 0.00050 0.00013 -- 2.0E-08 2.0E-08 5.0E-09 -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.0080 0.0080 0.0020 -- 1.0E-07 0.0000001 0.0000 -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader I-- -- -- -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-16 September 30, 2016 Table 5. On -Site Surface Water -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-17 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Receptor Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Allen Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.00015 0.00015 0.000036 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.0043 0.0043 0.0011 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.000061 0.000061 0.000015 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.0013 0.0013 0.0003 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.000017 0.000017 0.000004 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.00037 0.00037 0.00009 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Mayo Commerical/Industrial Worker 0.00070 0.00070 0.00018 -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser 0.020 0.020 0.0050 -- -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- Wader I-- -- -- -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-17 September 30, 2016 Table 6. Off -Site Sediment -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-18 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Site Receptor Assessment MNA CIP Removal Assessment MNA CIP Removal Allen Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater 0.00017 0.00017 0.000042 1.7E-05 -- -- -- -- Swimmer 0.0018 0.00176 0.00044 1.8E-04 -- -- -- -- Wader 0.0018 0.0018 0.00044 1.8E-04 -- -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater 0.0014 0.0014 0.00035 1.4E-04 1.6E-08 0.000000016 0.0000 1.6E-09 Swimmer 0.013 0.013 0.0033 1.3E-03 1.7E-07 1.7E-07 4.3E-08 1.7E-08 Wader 0.013 0.013 0.0033 1.3E-03 6.6E-08 6.6E-08 1.7E-08 6.6E-09 Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater 0.0010 0.0010 0.0003 1.0E-04 5.5E-08 5.53333E-08 0.0000 5.5E-09 Swimmer 0.0070 0.0070 0.0017 7.0E-04 5.9E-07 5.9E-07 1.5E-07 5.9E-08 Wader 0.0040 0.0040 0.0010 4.0E-04 2.3E-07 2.3E-07 5.8E-08 2.3E-08 Mayo Commerical/Industrial Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- Boater 0.00030 0.00030 0.000075 3.0E-05 -- -- -- -- Swimmer 0.0030 0.0030 0.00075 3.0E-04 -- -- -- -- Wader 0.0030 0.0030 0.00075 3.0E-04 -- -- -- -- -- Not Applicable 30 -year MNA: same as current risk assessment 30 -year CIP: 0.25 x 30 -year MNA 30 -year Removal: 0 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-18 September 30, 2016 Table 7A. Off -Site Surface Water: Allen 1 Not included in surface water model. Cr,,,, based on 1/2 of typical detection limits. C,w = (QGWXCGW + QriverXCriver) / Aw + Qriver) QGW (cfs) 0.64 Qriver(cfs) 137.0882 Model CGW from Table 36 Receptor Analyte 2046 MNA 30 Year Surface Water 2046 CIP 2046 Removal MNA CIP Removal Analyte Criver Model CSW CSW Chronic Model CSW CSW Chronic Model CSW CSW Chronic 1.0E-06 7.1E-06 (99A) (99A) (µ9/L) (99A) (µg/L) (µg/L) (99A) Aluminum 251 8128 63 7146 58 2735 38 Cobalt 0.25 1 12 0.30 10 0.30 2.5 0.26 Manganese 5 1 9355 48 8224 43 3147 20 Zinc 0.0051 1 50 0.24 17 0.083 44 0.21 1 Not included in surface water model. Cr,,,, based on 1/2 of typical detection limits. C,w = (QGWXCGW + QriverXCriver) / Aw + Qriver) QGW (cfs) 0.64 Qriver(cfs) 137.0882 Model CGW from Table 36 Receptor Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC 30 Year Surface Water 30 Year Estimated HI 1 30 Year Estimated ELCR 2 MNA CIP Removal µg/L µg/L µg/L MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Boater Boater Boater Aluminum Cobalt Manganese 5.6E+07 - 4.2E+04 - 63 0.30 48 58 0 43 38 0 20 1.1E-06 7.2E-06 1.0E-06 7.1E-06 6.7E-07 6.2E-06 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.1E+05 -- 1.6E-04 1.4E-04 6.3E-05 Boater Zinc 2.8E+07 -- 0.24 0 0 8.5E-09 7.5E-09 3.0E-09 Total 1.6E-04 1.5E-04 7.0E-05 -- -- -- Swimmer Swimmer Swimmer Swimmer Aluminum Cobalt Manganese Zinc 1.1E+06 -- 63 58 38 5.7E-05 8.6E-04 5.3E-05 8.5E-04 3.4E-05 7.4E-04 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.5E+02 -- 0.30 0 0 4.1E+04 -- 48 43 20 1.2E-03 1.1E-03 7.0E-07 6.2E-07 4.8E-04 2.5E-07 3.4E+05 -- 0.24 0 0 Total 2.1E-03 2.0E-03 1.3E-03 -- -- -- Wader Aluminum 1.2E+06 -- 63 58 38 5.2E-05 4.8E-05 3.1E-05 -- -- -- Wader Cobalt 3.6E+02 -- 0.30 0 0 8.4E-04 8.2E-04 7.2E-04 -- -- -- Wader Manganese 9.0E+04 -- 48 43 20 5.4E-04 4.8E-04 2.2E-04 -- -- -- Wader Zinc 3.6E+05 -- 0.24 0 01 6.6E-07 5.8E-07 2.3E-07 -- -- -- Total I I 1.4E-03 1.4E-03 9.7E-04 -- -- -- 1 Modeled surface water concentration / HI RBC 2 Modeled surface water concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-19 September 30, 2016 Table 713. Off -Site Surface Water: Cliffside Analyte Criver 2046 MNA 2046 CIP 2046 Removal Model Caw CSW Chronic Model CSW CSW Chronic Model Caw CSW Chronic MNA CIP Removal (99A) (99A) (µg/L) (99A) (µg/L) (µg/L) (99A) Aluminum 251 27163 1678 27138 1676 26743 1652 Manganese 5 1 _ 9681 594 9672 594 9531 585 Zinc 0.0051 153 9.35 153 9.34 151 9.20 1 Not included in surface water model. Criver based on 1/2 of typical detection limits. These calculations are for Suck Creek, which is more sensitive than the Broad River. Csw = (QGWXCGW + QriverXCriver) / (Qgw + Qriver) QGW (cfs) 0.14 Qf1Vef (cfs) 2.159 Model CGW from Table 3B Receptor Analyte HI RBC ELCR RBC 30 Year Surface Water 30 Year Estimated HI 1 30 Year Estimated ELCR 2 MNA CIP Removal µg/L µg/L µg/L MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal Boater Boater Boater Aluminum Manganese Zinc 5.6E+07 - 3.1E+05 - 2.8E+07 - 1678 594 9.35 1676 594 9 1652 585 9 3.0E-05 1.9E-03 3.3E-07 3.0E-05 1.9E-03 3.3E-07 3.0E-05 1.9E-03 3.3E-07 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Total 1.9E-03 1.9E-03 1.9E-03 -- -- -- Swimmer Swimmer Swimmer Aluminum Manganese Zinc 1.1E+06 - 4.1E+04 -- 1678 594 9.35 1676 594 9 1652 585 9 1.5E-03 1.4E-02 2.7E-05 1.5E-03 1.4E-02 2.7E-05 1.5E-03 1.4E-02 2.7E-05 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3.4E+05 -- Total 1.6E-02 1.6E-02 1.6E-02 -- -- -- Wader Wader Wader Aluminum Manganese_ Zinc 1.2E+06 -- 1678 594 9.35 1676 594 9 1652 585 9 1.4E-03 6.6E-03 2.6E-05 1.4E-03 6.6E-03 2.6E-05 1.4E-03 6.5E-03 2.6E-05 -- -- -- -- -- -- 9.0E+04 -- 3.6E+05 -- -- -- -- Total I 8.0E-03 8.0E-03 7.9E-03 -- -- -- 1 Modeled surface water concentration / HI RBC 2 Modeled surface water concentration / ELCR RBC x 1E-04 RBC: Risk-based concentration from risk assessement Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-20 September 30, 2016 Table 7C. Off -Site Surface Water: Buck 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.05 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.93 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.94 Factors were determined by projecting the results of the surface water model into the future for each scenario for the analytes used in the surface water model, which were not the COPCs for surface water. Table 7D. Off -Site Surface Water: Mayo Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Receptor Assessment MNA1 CIPZ Removal3 Assessment MNA1 CIPZ Removal3 Boater 0.00099 0.0010 0.0010 0.00098 -- -- -- -- Swimmer 0.0077 0.0081 0.0075 0.0076 -- -- -- -- Wader 0.0035 0.0037 0.0034 0.0035 -- -- -- -- 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.05 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.93 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.94 Factors were determined by projecting the results of the surface water model into the future for each scenario for the analytes used in the surface water model, which were not the COPCs for surface water. Table 7D. Off -Site Surface Water: Mayo 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.05 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.96 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.94 Factors were determined by projecting the results of the surface water model into the future for each scenario for the analytes used in the surface water model, Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-21 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Current Risk 30 -year 30 -year 30 -year Receptor Assessment MNA1 CIPZ Removal3 Assessment MNA1 CIPZ Removal3 Boater 0.02 0.021 0.020 0.020 -- -- -- -- Swimmer 0.2 0.21 0.20 0.20 -- -- -- -- Wader 0.1 0.11 0.10 0.10 -- -- -- -- 1 30 -year MNA = Current Risk Assessment x 1.05 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.96 2 30 -year CIP = 30 -year MNA x 0.94 Factors were determined by projecting the results of the surface water model into the future for each scenario for the analytes used in the surface water model, Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-21 September 30, 2016 Table 8A. Total Hazard Index for Each Receptor and Scenario Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-22 September 30, 2016 30 -Year Removal - HI 30 -Year MNA - HI AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water -- -- -- -- Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water HI Allen Commerical/Industrial Wkr 9.5E-02 2.5E-04 -- 4.3E-05 1.5E-04 -- -- 9.6E-02 -- Construction Worker 1.4E-02 -- 1.1E-02 -- -- -- -- 2.5E-02 Swimmer Trespasser 3.0E-02 1.1E-02 -- 5.9E-04 4.3E-03 -- -- 4.6E-02 1.8E-04 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 1.7E-04 1.6E-04 3.3E-04 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 1.8E-03 2.1E-03 3.9E-03 -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- -- -- 1.8E-03 1.4E-03 3.2E-03 Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr 1.9E-01 2.1E-03 -- 3.1E-04 6.1E-05 -- -- 1.9E-01 -- Construction Worker 4.9E-02 -- 1.1E-03 -- - -- -- 5.0E-02 0.0E+00 Trespasser 6.2E-02 1.3E-01 -- 4.4E-03 1.3E-03 -- -- 2.0E-01 -- Boater -- - -- -- -- 1.4E-03 1.0E-03 2.4E-03 1.9E-03 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 1.3E-02 8.1E-03 2.1E-02 Wader Wader -- -- -- -- - 1.3E-02 3.7E-03 1.7E-02 Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Wkr 1.1E-01 3.6E-03 -- 9.1E-05 1.7E-05 -- -- 1.1E-01 1.5E-04 Construction Worker 3.6E-02 -- 5.8E-03 -- -- -- -- 4.2E-02 -- Trespasser 3.4E-02 1.2E-01 -- 1.8E-03 3.7E-04 -- -- 1.6E-01 2.0E-01 Boater -- -- -- -- - 1.0E-03 1.9E-03 2.9E-03 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 7.0E-03 1.6E-02 2.3E-02 Wader -- -- -- -- - 4.0E-03 8.0E-03 1.2E-02 Mayo Commerical/Industrial Wkr 3.4E-01 2.0E-05 -- 5.0E-04 7.0E-04 -- -- 3.4E-01 Construction Worker 2.6E-01 6.0E-07 1.5E-03 -- -- -- -- 2.6E-01 Trespasser 1.1E-01 2.0E-06 -- 8.0E-03 2.0E-02 - -- 1.4E-01 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 3.0E-04 2.1E-02 2.1E-02 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 3.0E-03 2.1E-01 2.1E-01 Wader -- -- -- -- -- 3.0E-03 1.1E-01 1.1E-01 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-22 September 30, 2016 30 -Year Removal - HI 30 -Year CIP- HI AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water -- -- -- -- Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water HI Allen Commerical/Industrial Wkr 2.4E-02 6.2E-05 -- 1.1E-05 3.6E-05 -- - 2.4E-02 -- Construction Worker 3.6E-03 -- 9.7E-03 -- - -- -- 1.3E-02 Swimmer Trespasser 7.6E-03 2.8E-03 -- 1.5E-04 1.1E-03 -- -- 1.2E-02 1.8E-04 Boater -- -- -- -- - 4.2E-05 1.5E-04 1.9E-04 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 4.4E-04 2.0E-03 2.4E-03 -- -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- -- -- 4.4E-04 1.4E-03 1.8E-03 Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr 4.8E-02 5.3E-04 -- 7.8E-05 1.5E-05 -- -- 4.8E-02 -- Construction Worker 1.2E-02 -- 5.3E-04 -- -- -- -- 1.3E-02 0.0E+00 Trespasser 1.6E-02 3.3E-02 -- 1.1E-03 3.3E-04 -- -- 4.9E-02 -- Boater -- -- -- -- -- 3.5E-04 9.7E-04 1.3E-03 1.9E-03 Swimmer -- - -- -- -- 3.3E-03 7.5E-03 1.1E-02 Wader Wader -- -- -- -- -- 3.3E-03 3.4E-03 6.7E-03 Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Wkr 2.7E-02 9.0E-04 -- 2.3E-05 4.3E-06 -- -- 2.8E-02 1.5E-04 Construction Worker 9.0E-03 -- 5.7E-03-- - -- -- -- 1.5E-02 -- Trespasser 8.6E-03 3.1E-02 -- 4.6E-04 9.3E-05 -- -- 4.0E-02 2.0E-01 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 2.5E-04 1.9E-03 2.2E-03 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 1.7E-03 1.6E-02 1.8E-02 Wader -- -- -- -- - 1.0E-03 8.0E-03 9.0E-03 Mayo Commerical/Industrial Wkr 8.6E-02 5.0E-06 -- 1.3E-04 1.8E-04 - -- 8.6E-02 Construction Worker 6.4E-02 1.5E-07 3.8E-04 -- -- -- -- 6.4E-02 Trespasser 2.8E-02 5.0E-07 -- 2.0E-03 5.0E-03 -- -- 3.5E-02 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 7.5E-05 2.0E-02 2.0E-02 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 7.5E-04 2.0E-01 2.oE-01 Wader -- -- -- -- -- 7.5E-04 1.0E-01 1.0E-01 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-22 September 30, 2016 30 -Year Removal - HI AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water HI Allen Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0E+00 Construction Worker -- -- 3.7E-03 -- -- -- -- 3.7E-03 Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0E+00 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 1.7E-05 7.0E-05 8.7E-05 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 1.8E-04 1.3E-03 1.4E-03 Wader -- -- -- -- -- 1.8E-04 9.7E-04 1.1E-03 Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0E+00 Construction Worker -- -- 6.3E-04 -- -- -- -- 6.3E-04 Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0E+00 Boater -- -- - -- - 1.4E-04 9.8E-04 1.1E-03 Swimmer - -- -- -- -- 1.3E-03 7.6E-03 8.9E-03 Wader -- -- -- -- -- 1.3E-03 3.5E-03 4.8E-03 Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Wkr - -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0E+00 Construction Worker -- -- 5.7E-03 -- -- -- -- 5.7E-03 Trespasser -- -- -- -- - -- -- O.0E+00 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 1.0E-04 1.9E-03 2.0E-03 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 7.0E-04 1.6E-02 1.6E-02 Wader -- -- -- -- - 4.0E-04 7.9E-03 8.3E-03 Mayo Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0E+00 Construction Worker -- - 1.5E-04 -- -- -- -- 1.5E-04 Trespasser -- -- -- -- -- - -- 0.0E+00 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 3.0E-05 2.0E-02 2.0E-02 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 3.0E-04 2.0E-01 2.0E-01 Wader -- -- -- -- -- 3.0E-04 9.9E-02 9.9E-02 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-22 September 30, 2016 Table 813. Total ELCR for Each Receptor and Scenario Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-23 September 30, 2016 30-Year Removal - ELCR 30 -Year MNA - ELCR AOW AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water ELCR Allen Commerical/Industrial Wkr 3.6E-10 2.1E-09 -- -- -- -- -- 2.5E-09 -- -- Construction Worker 7.0E-12 -- 9.9E-10 -- -- -- -- 1.0E-09 Trespasser 1.3E-11 5.3E-08 -- -- -- -- -- 5.3E-08 Boater -- -- -- Wader Swimmer -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- Wader -- -- -- Construction Worker -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr 2.2E-06 2.4E-08 -- 2.6E-09 -- -- -- 2.2E-06 Construction Worker 6.6E-08 -- 1.1E-08 -- -- -- -- 7.7E-08 1.6E-09 Trespasser 2.7E-07 6.4E-07 -- 2.5E-08 -- -- -- 9.4E-07 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 1.6E-08 -- 1.6E-08 Commerical/Industrial Wkr Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 1.7E-07 -- 1.7E-07 -- Wader -- -- -- -- -- 6.6E-08 -- 6.6E-08 Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Wkr 2.3E-06 7.5E-08 -- 9.1E-09 -- -- -- 2.4E-06 5.5E-09 -- Construction Worker 7.0E-08 -- 4.2E-09 -- -- -- -- 7.4E-08 5.9E-08 Trespasser 2.9E-07 2.1E-06 -- 8.7E-08 -- -- -- 2.5E-06 Mayo Boater -- -- -- -- -- 5.5E-08 -- 5.5E-08 Construction Worker Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 5.9E-07 -- 5.9E-07 -- Wader -- -- -- -- -- 2.3E-07 -- 2.3E-07 Mayo Commerical/Industrial Wkr 2.9E-06 -- -- 2.0E-08 -- -- -- 3.0E-06 Construction Worker 8.9E-08 -- -- -- -- -- -- 8.9E-08 Trespasser 3.7E-07 -- -- 1.0E-07 -- -- -- 4.7E-07 Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-23 September 30, 2016 30-Year Removal - ELCR 30-Year CIP - ELCR AOW AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water ELCR Allen Commerical/Industrial Wkr 9.1E-11 5.4E-10 -- -- -- -- -- 6.3E-10 -- -- Construction Worker 1.8E-12 -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.8E-12 Trespasser 3.3E-12 1.3E-08 8.2E-10 -- -- -- -- 1.4E-08 Boater -- -- Wader Swimmer -- -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- Wader -- -- -- Construction Worker -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr 5.5E-07 6.0E-09 -- 6.5E-10 -- -- -- 5.6E-07 Construction Worker 1.7E-08 -- 5.3E-09 -- -- -- -- 2.2E-08 1.6E-09 Trespasser 6.8E-08 1.6E-07 -- 6.3E-09 -- -- -- 2.3E-07 Boater -- -- -- -- -- 4.0E-09 -- 4.0E-09 Commerical/Industrial Wkr Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 4.3E-08 -- 4.3E-08 -- Wader -- -- -- -- -- 1.7E-08 -- 1.7E-08 Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Wkr 5.7E-07 1.9E-08 -- 2.3E-09 -- -- -- 5.9E-07 5.5E-09 -- Construction Worker 1.7E-08 -- 4.2E-09 -- -- -- -- 2.2E-08 5.9E-08 Trespasser 7.2E-08 5.3E-07 -- 2.2E-08 -- -- -- 6.2E-07 Mayo Boater -- -- -- -- -- 1.4E-08 -- 1.4E-08 Construction Worker Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 1.5E-07 -- 1.5E-07 -- Wader -- -- -- -- -- 5.8E-08 -- 5.8E-08 Mayo Commerical/Industrial Wkr 7.3E-07 -- -- 5.0E-09 -- -- -- 7.4E-07 Construction Worker 2.2E-08 -- -- -- -- -- -- 2.2E-08 Trespasser 9.2E-08 -- -- 2.5E-08 -- -- -- 1.2E-07 Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-23 September 30, 2016 30-Year Removal - ELCR AOW AOW Groundwater On -Site On -Site Off -Site Off -Site Total Site Receptor Soil Water Sediment Surface Water Sediment Surface Water ELCR Allen Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- 1.4E-10 -- -- -- -- 1.4E-10 Trespasser -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Buck Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- 6.3E-09 -- -- -- -- 6.3E-09 Trespasser -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- -- -- 1.6E-09 -- 1.6E-09 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 1.7E-08 -- 1.7E-08 Wader -- -- -- -- -- 6.6E-09 -- 6.6E-09 Cliffside Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- 4.2E-09 -- -- -- -- 4.2E-09 Trespasser -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- -- -- 5.5E-09 -- 5.5E-09 Swimmer -- -- -- -- -- 5.9E-08 -- 5.9E-08 Wader -- -- -- -- -- 2.3E-08 -- 2.3E-08 Mayo Commerical/Industrial Wkr -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Construction Worker -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Trespasser -- -- -- -- Boater -- -- -- Swimmer -- -- -- Wader -- -- -- Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-23 September 30, 2016 Table 9. Summary of Risks for Each Scenario Allen Buck Hazard Index ELCR On -Site Off -Site On -Site Off -Site MNA 0.1 0.004 5E-08 -- CIP 0.02 0.002 1E-08 -- Removal 1 0.004 0.001 1E-10 -- Buck Cliffside Hazard Index ELCR On -Site Off -Site On -Site Off -Site MINA 0.2 0.02 2E-06 2E-07 CIP 0.05 0.01 6E-07 4E-08 Removal 10.0006 0.009 6E-09 2E-08 Cliffside Mayo Hazard Index ELCR On -Site Off -Site On -Site Off -Site MINA 0.2 0.02 2E-06 6E-07 CIP 0.04 0.02 6E-07 1E-07 Removal 10.01 0.02 4E-09 6E-08 Mayo On-Site: Maximum of commercial/industrial worker, construction worker and trespasser Off -Site: Maximum of boater, swimmer and wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-24 September 30, 2016 Hazard Index ELCR On -Site Off -Site On -Site Off -Site MINA 0.3 0.2 3E-06 -- CIP 0.09 0.2 7E-07 -- Removal 10.0002 0.21 -- On-Site: Maximum of commercial/industrial worker, construction worker and trespasser Off -Site: Maximum of boater, swimmer and wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-24 September 30, 2016 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Allen -HI -30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Buck - HI - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 2.00E-05 0.00E+00 1.00E-04 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 2.00E-05 0.00E+00 Allen - ELCR - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Buck - ELCR - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-25 September 30, 2016 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Cliffside - HI - 30 Yr 1.00E-04 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 2.00E-05 0.00E+00 Cliffside - ELCR - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Mayo - HI - 30 Yr Mayo - ELCR - 30 Yr MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader 1.00E-04 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 C411U1:11111..1 1111111:11MII11 MNA CIP Removal ■ Commerical/Industrial Wkr ■ Construction Worker ■ Trespasser Boater ■ Swimmer ■ Wader Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-26 September 30, 2016 FTWOVINTIMIM Updated EPC Calculations Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-27 September 30, 2016 Cliffside: Computation of New EPC Matrix Location Sample ID Constituent Result Result Flag for ProLICL AOW Soil S-11 S-11 SD 20150629 Arsenic 310.0 1 detect AOW Soil S-10 S-10 SD 20150627 Arsenic 250.0 1 detect AOW Soil CLFSP051 CLFSP051_SID _20150627 Arsenic 51.4 1 detect AOW Soil CLFTD052 CLFTD052_SD_20150627 Arsenic 33.2 1 detect AOW Soil CLFTDO04 CLFTDO04_SID _20150627 Arsenic 18.5 1 detect AOW Soil S-19 S-19 SD 20150603 Arsenic 10.4 1 detect AOW Soil S-3 S-3 SD 20150627 Arsenic 5.0 1 detect AOW Soil S-20 S-20 SD 20150627 Arsenic 4.4 1 detect AOW Soil S-1 S-1 SD 20150627 Arsenic 16.0 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-14 S-14 SD 20150602 Arsenic 15.9 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-17 S-17 SD 20150603 Arsenic 15.8 0 non -detect AOW Soil CLFSP059 CLFSP059_SD_20150627 Arsenic 14.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-18 S-18 SD 20150603 Arsenic 13.6 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-2 S-2 SD 20150603 Arsenic 13.5 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-12 S-12 SD 20150627 Arsenic 12.5 0 non -detect AOW Soil CLFSP061 CLFSP061_SD_20150629 Arsenic 10.8 0 non -detect AOW Soil CLFTDO05 CLFTD005_SD_20150709 Arsenic 10.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-15 S-15 SD 20150602 Arsenic 10.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-4 S-4 SD 20150629 Arsenic 10.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-5 S-5 SD 20150709 Arsenic 9.5 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-2 S-2 SD 20150627 Arsenic 9.2 0 non -detect AOW Soil CLFSTR065 CLFSTR065_SD_20150627 Arsenic 9.1 0 non -detect AOW Soil CLFSP058 CLFSP058_SD_20150627 Arsenic 8.8 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-16 S-16 SD 20150602 Arsenic 8.8 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-6 S-6 SD 20150627 Arsenic 8.8 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-9 S-9 SD 20150627 Arsenic 8.8 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-7 S-7 SD 20150627 Arsenic 7.6 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-8 S-8 SD 20150629 Arsenic 6.4 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-22 S-22 SD 20150627 Arsenic 6.0 0 non -detect User Selected Options Date/Time of Computation From File Full Precision Outlier Tests for Selected Uncensored Variables 6/21/2016 10:05:21 AM As_Co.xls OFF Rosner's Outlier Test for Arsenic For 5% significance level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 310, 250, 51.4, 33.2 For 1 % Significance Level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 310, 250, 51.4, 33.2 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-28 September 30, 2016 Mean 31.35 Standard Deviation 69.94 Number of data 29 Number of suspected outliers 4 Potential Obs. Test Critical Critical # Mean sd outlier Number value value (5%) value (1 %) 1 31.35 68.72 310 1 4.055 2.89 3.22 2 21.4 45.76 250 2 4.996 2.88 3.2 3 12.93 9.499 51.4 3 4.049 2.86 3.18 4 11.45 5.69 33.2 4 3.821 2.84 3.16 For 5% significance level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 310, 250, 51.4, 33.2 For 1 % Significance Level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 310, 250, 51.4, 33.2 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-28 September 30, 2016 Matrix Location Sample ID Constituent Result Result Flag for ProUCL AOW Soil CLFTDO04 CLFTD004_SD_20150627 Cobalt 926.0 1 detect AOW Soil S-17 S-17 SD 20150603 Cobalt 95.8 1 detect AOW Soil S-18 S-18 SD 20150603 Cobalt 88.3 1 detect AOW Soil S-2 S-2 SD 20150603 Cobalt 81.6 1 detect AOW Soil S-19 S-19 SD 20150603 Cobalt 50.4 1 detect AOW Soil S-11 S-11 SD 20150629 Cobalt 45.2 1 detect AOW Soil S-2 S-2 SD 20150627 Cobalt 45.0 1 detect AOW Soil S-3 S-3 SD 20150627 Cobalt 33.6 1 detect AOW Soil CLFTD052 CLFTDO52_SD_20150627 Cobalt 29.0 1 detect AOW Soil CLFSP051 CLFSP051_SD_20150627 Cobalt 26.3 1 detect AOW Soil S-9 S-9 SD 20150627 Cobalt 26.0 1 detect AOW Soil CLFSP061 CLFSP061_SD_20150629 Cobalt 20.3 1 detect AOW Soil S-6 S-6 SD 20150627 Cobalt 11.6 1 detect AOW Soil S-1 S-1 SD 20150627 Cobalt 11.0 1 detect AOW Soil S-20 S-20 SD 20150627 Cobalt 8.4 1 detect AOW Soil S-22 S-22 SD 20150627 Cobalt 7.2 1 detect AOW Soil S-10 S-10 SD 20150627 Cobalt 6.9 1 detect AOW Soil CLFSTR065 CLFSTR065_SD_20150627 Cobalt 6.2 1 detect AOW Soil S-5 S-5 SD 20150709 Cobalt 5.6 1 detect AOW Soil CLFSP058 CLFSP058_SD_20150627 Cobalt 4.8 1 detect AOW Soil S-14 S-14 SD 20150602 Cobalt 15.9 0 non -detect AOW Soil CLFSP059 CLFSP059_SD_20150627 Cobalt 14.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-12 S-12 SD 20150627 Cobalt 12.5 0 non -detect AOW Soil CLFTDO05 CLFTD005_SD_20150709 Cobalt 10.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-15 S-15 SD 20150602 Cobalt 10.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-4 S-4 SD 20150629 Cobalt 10.3 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-16 S-16 SD 20150602 Cobalt 8.8 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-7 S-7 SD 20150627 Cobalt 7.6 0 non -detect AOW Soil S-8 S-8 SD 20150629 Cobalt 6.4 0 non -detect User Selected Options Date/Time of Computation From File Full Precision Outlier Tests for Selected Uncensored Variables 6/21/2016 10:05:21 AM As_Co.xls OFF Rosner's Outlier Test for Cobalt Mean 56.06 Standard Deviation 169.2 Number of data 29 Number of suspected outliers 4 For 5% significance level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 926, 95.8, 88.3, 81.6 For 1 % Significance Level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 926, 95.8, 88.3, 81.6 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-29 September 30, 2016 Potential Obs. Test Critical Critical # Mean sd outlier Number value value (5%) value (1 %) 1 56.06 166.3 926 1 5.231 2.89 3.22 2 24.99 25.92 95.8 2 2.732 2.88 3.2 3 22.36 22.31 88.3 3 2.956 2.86 3.18 4 19.83 18.35 81.6 4 3.366 2.84 3.16 For 5% significance level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 926, 95.8, 88.3, 81.6 For 1 % Significance Level, there are 4 Potential Outliers Potential outliers are: 926, 95.8, 88.3, 81.6 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-29 September 30, 2016 A B C I D I E I F I G I H I I I J K L 1 ProUCL Analysis: UCL Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects 2 User Selected Options 3 Date/Time of Computation 6/23/2016 8:23:26 PM 4 From File Cliffside_As.xls 5 Full Precision OFF 6 Confidence Coefficient 95% 7 Number of Bootstrap Operations 2000 8 Arsenic - Cliffside Facility AOW Soil 9 10 General Statistics 11 Total Number of Observations 25 Number of Distinct Observations 20 12 Number of Detects 4 Number of Non -Detects 21 13 Number of Distinct Detects 4 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 16 14 Minimum Detect 4.4 Minimum Non -Detect 6 151 Maximum Detect 18.5 Maximum Non -Detect 16 16 Variance Detects 42.68 Percent Non -Detects 84% 17 Mean Detects 9.575 SD Detects 6.533 18 Median Detects 7.7 CV Detects 0.682 19 Skewness Detects 1.141 Kurtosis Detects 0.224 20 Mean of Logged Detects 2.088 SD of Logged Detects 0.671 21 22 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only 23 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.877 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 24 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.748 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level 25 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.258 Lilliefors GOF Test 26 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.443 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level 271 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level 28 29 Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics using Normal Critical Values and other Nonparametric UCLs 30 Mean 5.594 Standard Error of Mean 0.752 31 SD 2.975 95% KM (BCA) UCL N/A 32 95% KM (t) UCL 6.88 95% KM (Percentile Bootstrap) UCL N/A 331 95% KM (z) UCL 6.83 95% KM Bootstrap t UCL N/A 34 90% KM Chebyshev UCL 7.849 95% KM Chebyshev UCL 8.87 35 97.5% KM Chebyshev UCL 10.29 99% KM Chebyshev UCL 13.07 36 37 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only 38 A -D Test Statistic 0.355 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 39 5% A -D Critical Value 0.659 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 40 K -S Test Statistic 0.296 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 41 5% K -S Critical Value 0.397 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 42 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 43 44 Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only 451 k hat (MLE) 3.072 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.935 46 Theta hat (MLE) 3.117 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 10.24 47 nu hat (MLE) 24.58 nu star (bias corrected) 7.477 48 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 9.575 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 9.904 49 50 Gamma Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics 51 k hat (KM) 3.536 nu hat (KM) 176.8 52 Approximate Chi Square Value (176.82, a) 147.1 Adjusted Chi Square Value (176.82, (i) 145.2 53 95% Gamma Approximate KM -UCL (use when n-50) 6.726 95% Gamma Adjusted KM -UCL (use when n<50) 6.811 54 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-30 September 30, 2016 A B C D I E I F I G I H I I J K L 55 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects 56 GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs 57 GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 581 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs 59 For gamma distributed detected data, BTVs and UCLs may be computed using gamma distribution on KM estimates 60 Minimum 1.864 Mean 5.349 61 Maximum 18.5 Median 4.676 62 SD 3.169 CV 0.593 631 k hat (MLE) 5.039 k star (bias corrected MLE) 4.461 64 Theta hat (MLE) 1.061 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 1.199 65 nu hat (MLE) 252 nu star (bias corrected) 223.1 66 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 5.349 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 2.532 67 Adjusted Level of Significance (0) 0.0395 68 Approximate Chi Square Value (223.06, a) 189.5 Adjusted Chi Square Value (223.06, R) 187.4 691 95% Gamma Approximate UCL (use when n> 50) 6.297 95% Gamma Adjusted UCL (use when n<50) N/A 70 71 Lognormal GOF Test on Detected Observations Only 72 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.912 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 73 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.748 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 74 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.262 Lilliefors GOF Test 75 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.443 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 76 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 77 78 Lognormal ROS Statistics Using Imputed Non -Detects 79 Mean in Original Scale 5.651 Mean in Log Scale 1.657 80 SD in Original Scale 2.998 SD in Log Scale 0.345 81 95% t UCL (assumes normality of ROS data) 6.676 95% Percentile Bootstrap UCL 6.723 82 95% BCA Bootstrap UCL 7.298 95% Bootstrap t UCL 8.957 83 95% H -UCL (Log ROS) 6.338 84 85 UCLs using Lognormal Distribution and KM Estimates when Detected data are Lognormally Distributed 86 KM Mean (logged) 1.648 95% H -UCL (KM -Log) 6.192 871 KM SD (logged) 0.326 95% Critical H Value (KM -Log) 1.83 88 KM Standard Error of Mean (logged) 0.093 89 90 DL/2 Statistics 91 DL/2 Normal DL/2 Log -Transformed 92 Mean in Original Scale 6.058 Mean in Log Scale 1.717 931 SD in Original Scale 3.117 SD in Log Scale 0.388 94 95% t UCL (Assumes normality) 7.125 95% H -Stat UCL 6.961 95 DL/2 is not a recommended method, provided for comparisons and historical reasons 96 97 Nonparametric Distribution Free UCL Statistics 98 Detected Data appear Normal Distributed at 5% Significance Level 99 100 Suggested UCL to Use 101 95% KM (t) UCL 6.88 95% KM (Percentile Bootstrap) UCL N/A 102 Warning: One or more Recommended UCL(s) not available! 103 104 Note: Suggestions regarding the selection of a 95% UCL are provided to help the user to select the most appropriate 95% UCL. 1051 Recommendations are based upon data size, data distribution, and skewness. 106 These recommendations are based upon the results of the simulation studies summarized in Singh, Maichle, and Lee (2006). 107 However, simulations results will not cover all Real World data sets; for additional insight the user may want to consult a statistician. Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-31 September 30, 2016 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-32 September 30, 2016 A B C I D I E I F I G I H I I I J K L 1 ProUCL Analysis: UCL Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects 2 User Selected Options 3 Date/Time of Computation 6/23/2016 8:40:48 PM 4 From File Cliffside_AsCo.xls 5 Full Precision OFF 6 Confidence Coefficient 95% 7 Number of Bootstrap Operations 2000 8 Cobalt - Cliffside Facility AOW Soil 9 10 General Statistics 11 Total Number of Observations 25 Number of Distinct Observations 23 12 Number of Detects 16 Number of Non -Detects 9 13 Number of Distinct Detects 16 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 7 14 Minimum Detect 4.8 Minimum Non -Detect 6.4 151 Maximum Detect 50.4 Maximum Non -Detect 15.9 16 Variance Detects 250.5 Percent Non -Detects 36% 17 Mean Detects 21.09 SD Detects 15.83 18 Median Detects 15.95 CV Detects 0.75 19 Skewness Detects 0.667 Kurtosis Detects -0.959 20 Mean of Logged Detects 2.747 SD of Logged Detects 0.831 21 22 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only 23 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.866 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 24 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.887 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 25 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.226 Lilliefors GOF Test 26 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.222 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 271 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 28 29 Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics using Normal Critical Values and other Nonparametric UCLs 30 Mean 15.82 Standard Error of Mean 2.934 31 SD 14.16 95% KM (BCA) UCL 20.84 32 95% KM (t) UCL 20.84 95% KM (Percentile Bootstrap) UCL 21 331 95% KM (z) UCL 20.65 95% KM Bootstrap t UCL 21.87 34 90% KM Chebyshev UCL 24.62 95% KM Chebyshev UCL 28.61 35 97.5% KM Chebyshev UCL 34.14 99% KM Chebyshev UCL 45.01 36 37 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only 38 A -D Test Statistic 0.641 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 39 5% A -D Critical Value 0.752 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 40 K -S Test Statistic 0.181 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 41 5% K -S Critical Value 0.218 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 42 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 43 44 Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only 451 k hat (MLE) 1.806 k star (bias corrected MLE) 1.509 46 Theta hat (MLE) 11.68 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 13.98 47 nu hat (MLE) 57.79 nu star (bias corrected) 48.29 48 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 21.09 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 17.17 49 50 Gamma Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics 51 k hat (KM) 1.248 nu hat (KM) 62.42 52 Approximate Chi Square Value (62.42, a) 45.24 Adjusted Chi Square Value (62.42, (i) 44.25 53 95% Gamma Approximate KM -UCL (use when n-50) 21.83 95% Gamma Adjusted KM -UCL (use when n<50) 22.32 54 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-32 September 30, 2016 A B C D I E I F I G I H I I J K L 55 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects 56 GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs 57 GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 581 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs 59 For gamma distributed detected data, BTVs and UCLs may be computed using gamma distribution on KM estimates 60 Minimum 0.676 Mean 15.35 61 Maximum 50.4 Median 7.2 62 SD 14.84 CV 0.967 631 k hat (MLE) 1.207 k star (bias corrected MLE) 1.089 64 Theta hat (MLE) 12.71 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 14.09 65 nu hat (MLE) 60.37 nu star (bias corrected) 54.46 66 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 15.35 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 14.71 67 Adjusted Level of Significance (0) 0.0395 68 Approximate Chi Square Value (54.46, a) 38.5 Adjusted Chi Square Value (54.46, (i) 37.59 691 95% Gamma Approximate UCL (use when n> 50) 21.71 95% Gamma Adjusted UCL (use when n<50) 22.24 70 71 Lognormal GOF Test on Detected Observations Only 72 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.905 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 73 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.887 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 74 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.168 Lilliefors GOF Test 75 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.222 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 76 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 77 78 Lognormal ROS Statistics Using Imputed Non -Detects 79 Mean in Original Scale 15.96 Mean in Log Scale 2.44 80 SD in Original Scale 14.36 SD in Log Scale 0.792 81 95% t UCL (assumes normality of ROS data) 20.88 95% Percentile Bootstrap UCL 20.69 82 95% BCA Bootstrap UCL 21.23 95% Bootstrap t UCL 22.44 83 95% H -UCL (Log ROS) 22.58 84 85 UCLs using Lognormal Distribution and KM Estimates when Detected data are Lognormally Distributed 86 KM Mean (logged) 2.421 95% H -UCL (KM -Log) 21.99 871 KM SD (logged) 0.787 95% Critical H Value (KM -Log) 2.24 88 KM Standard Error of Mean (logged) 0.166 89 90 DL/2 Statistics 91 DL/2 Normal DL/2 Log -Transformed 92 Mean in Original Scale 15.43 Mean in Log Scale 2.349 931 SD in Original Scale 14.72 SD in Log Scale 0.868 94 95% t UCL (Assumes normality) 20.47 95% H -Stat UCL 23.08 95 DL/2 is not a recommended method, provided for comparisons and historical reasons 96 97 Nonparametric Distribution Free UCL Statistics 98 Detected Data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 99 100 Suggested UCL to Use 101 95% KM (Percentile Bootstrap) UCL 21.00 95% GROS Adjusted Gamma UCL 22.24 102 95% Adjusted Gamma KM -UCL 22.32 103 104 Note: Suggestions regarding the selection of a 95% UCL are provided to help the user to select the most appropriate 95% UCL. 1051 Recommendations are based upon data size, data distribution, and skewness. 106 These recommendations are based upon the results of the simulation studies summarized in Singh, Maichle, and Lee (2006). 107 However, simulations results will not cover all Real World data sets; for additional insight the user may want to consult a statistician. Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-33 September 30, 2016 Sample ID Sample Collection Date Matrix Arsenic ProUCL Flag Cobalt ProUCL Flag AB -01 (4-5) 03/19/2015 ash 3.1 0 3.1 0 AB -01 (34.3-35) 03/19/2015 ash 2.9 1 4.2 1 AB -01 (48-50) 03/19/2015 ash 2.6 1 3.4 1 AB -02 (4-5) 03/18/2015 ash 4.4 0 4.4 0 AB -02 (18-20) 03/18/2015 ash 3.3 1 4.5 1 AB -02 (32.9-33.7) 03/18/2015 ash 3.4 l 4.7 1 AB -03 (4-5) 03/18/2015 ash 3.3 0 3.3 0 AB -03 (21.6-23.4) 03/18/2015 ash 3.3 l 4 1 AB -04 (4-5) 03/17/2015 ash 3.5 0 3.5 0 AB -04 (33-35) 03/17/2015 ash 13.4 1 13.6 1 AB -04 (33-35) DUP 03/17/2015 ash 17.0 1 19.7 1 AB -04 (53-55) 03/17/2015 ash 10.0 1 12.9 1 ABMW-01 (1-1.5) 06/02/2015 ash 16.6 1 7.6 j 1 ABMW-01 (11.5-12) 06/02/2015 ash 26.2 1 8.3 1 MW-03BR (0.8-1.25) 02/05/2015 soil 3.0 0 5.4 1 MW-03BR (14.75-15) 02/05/2015 soil 2.5 0 4.3 1 MW-03BR (17-18) 02/05/2015 soil 2.7 0 3.6 1 MW-07BR (1-2) 04/23/2015 soil 5.1 0 5.1 0 MW-08BR (0.75-1.25) 02/11/2015 soil 3.2 0 21.3 1 MW-08BR (25.5-26) 02/11/2015 soil 2.7 0 32.9 1 MW-08BR (30.5-31) 02/11/2015 soil 2.7 0 7.4 1 MW-13BR (0-2) 04/12/2015 soil 6.5 0 6.5 0 MW-13BR (52-54) 04/13/2015 soil 5.1 0 6.6 1 MW-13BR (52-54) DUP 04/13/2015 soil 5.9 0 7.2 1 MW-15BR (0.5-1) 05/09/2015 soil 6.2 0 3.9 1 MW- 16BR (1-2) 04/25/2015 soil 6.5 0 6 j 1 MW-16BR (23-24) 04/26/2015 soil 5.0 0 4.6 1 MW-16BR (33-35) 04/25/2015 soil 7.5 0 12 1 MW-16BR (54.5-55.5) 04/25/2015 soil 5.2 0 19.6 1 SB -05 (1-2) 03/04/2015 soil 1.8 1 2.8 1 SB -05 (2.3-3.3) 03/04/2015 soil 1.1 1 1.7 1 SB -05 (8-9) 03/04/2015 soil 1.0 1 2.2 1 SB -06 (1-2) 03/04/2015 soil 1.2 1 2.5 1 SB -07 (1-2) 05/07/2015 soil 5.8 0 5.9 1 SB -07 (4.5-7.5) 05/07/2015 soil 6.0 0 6 0 S-01 05/12/2015 seep_soil 56.4 1 14.4 0 5-02 05/13/2015 seep_soil 6.8 0 16.4 1 S -02B 05/13/2015 seep_soil 6.3 0 4.7 1 5-08 05/13/2015 seep_soil 8.7 0 40.6 1 Notes: Ash and perimeter soil data records were added to the AOW_soil data to recompute the EPC (expand the # of data records for a more robust ProUCL statistical evaluation) Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-34 September 30, 2016 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-35 September 30, 2016 A B C D E F G H J K L 1 ProUCL: UCL Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects 2 User Selected Options 3 Date/Time of Computation 6/23/2016 5:19:22 PM 4 From File Duke_EPC.xls 5 Full Precision OFF 6 Confidence Coefficient 95% 7 Number of Bootstrap Operations 2000 8 Arsenic 9 101 General Statistics 11 Total Number of Observations 38 Number of Distinct Observations 32 12 Number of Detects 15 Number of Non -Detects 23 13 Number of Distinct Detects 14 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 19 14 Minimum Detect 1 Minimum Non -Detect 2.5 151 Maximum Detect 56.4 Maximum Non -Detect 7.5 16 Variance Detects 218.3 Percent Non -Detects 60.53% 17 Mean Detects 10.68 SD Detects 14.77 18 Median Detects 3.3 CV Detects 1.383 19 Skewness Detects 2.409 Kurtosis Detects 6.559 201 Mean of Logged Detects 1.622 SD of Logged Detects 1.259 21 22 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only 23 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.682 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 24 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.881 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 251 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.289 Lilliefors GOF Test 26 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.229 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 27 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 28 29 Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics using Normal Critical Values and other Nonparametric UCLs 30 Mean 5.304 Standard Error of Mean 1.686 31 1 SD 9.985 95% KM (BCA) UCL 8.162 32 95% KM (t) UCL 8.149 95% KM (Percentile Bootstrap) UCL 8.44 33 95% KM (z) UCL 8.077 95% KM Bootstrap t UCL 11.5 34 90% KM Chebyshev UCL 10.36 95% KM Chebyshev UCL 12.65 35 97.5% KM Chebyshev UCL 15.83 99% KM Chebyshev UCL 22.08 36 371 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only 38 A -D Test Statistic 0.735 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 39 5% A -D Critical Value 0.773 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 40 K -S Test Statistic 0.277 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 41 5% K -S Critical Value 0.23 Detected Data Not Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 42 Detected data follow Appr. Gamma Distribution at 5% Significance Level 43 44 Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only 45 k hat (MLE) 0.796 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.681 46 Theta hat (MLE) 13.42 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 15.68 47 nu hat (MLE) 23.88 nu star (bias corrected) 20.44 48 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 10.68 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 12.94 49 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-35 September 30, 2016 A B C D E I F I G I H I J K L 50 Gamma Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics 51 k hat (KM) 0.282 nu hat (KM) 21.45 52 Approximate Chi Square Value (21.45, a) 11.92 Adjusted Chi Square Value (21.45, R) 11.63 53 95% Gamma Approximate KM -UCL (use when n> 50) 9.539 95% Gamma Adjusted KM -UCL (use when n<50) 9.781 54 55 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects 56 GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs 57 GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 58 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs 59 For gamma distributed detected data, BTUs and UCLs may be computed using gamma distribution on KM estimates 601 Minimum 0.01 Mean 4.298 61 Maximum 56.4 Median 0.01 62 SD 10.49 CV 2.44 63 k hat (MLE) 0.217 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.218 64 Theta hat (MLE) 19.78 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 19.74 65 nu hat (MLE) 16.51 nu star (bias corrected) 16.54 661 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 4.298 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 9.212 67 Adjusted Level of Significance ((3) 0.0434 68 Approximate Chi Square Value (16.54, a) 8.348 Adjusted Chi Square Value (16.54, R) 8.106 69 95% Gamma Approximate UCL (use when n> 50) 8.519 95% Gamma Adjusted UCL (use when n<50) 8.773 70 71 Lognormal GOF Test on Detected Observations Only 721 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.927 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 73 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.881 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 74 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.224 Lilliefors GOF Test 75 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.229 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 76 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 77 781 Lognormal ROS Statistics Using Imputed Non -Detects 79 Mean in Original Scale 5.275 Mean in Log Scale 0.952 80 SD in Original Scale 10.12 SD in Log Scale 0.98 81 95% t UCL (assumes normality of ROS data) 8.043 95% Percentile Bootstrap UCL 8.241 82 95% BCA Bootstrap UCL 9.388 95% Bootstrap t UCL 12.13 83 95% H -UCL (Log ROS) 6.137 84 85 UCLs using Lognormal Distribution and KM Estimates when Detected data are Lognormally Distributed 86 KM Mean (logged) 0.934 95% H -UCL (KM -Log) 6.276 87 KM SD (logged) 1.006 95% Critical H Value (KM -Log) 2.402 88 KM Standard Error of Mean (logged) 0.197 89 901 DL/2 Statistics 91 DL/2 Normal DL/2 Log -Transformed 92 Mean in Original Scale 5.65 Mean in Log Scale 1.126 93 SD in Original Scale 9.996 SD in Log Scale 0.918 94 95% t UCL (Assumes normality) 8.386 95% H -Stat UCL 6.655 95 DL/2 is not a recommended method, provided for comparisons and historical reasons 96 97 Nonparametric Distribution Free UCL Statistics 98 Detected Data appear Approximate Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 99 100 Suggested UCL to Use 101 95% KM (t) UCL 8.149 95% GROS Adjusted Gamma UCL 8.773 102 95% Adjusted Gamma KM -UCL 9.781 103 104 Note: Suggestions regarding the selection of a 95% UCL are provided to help the user to select the most appropriate 95% UCL. 105 Recommendations are based upon data size, data distribution, and skewness. 106 These recommendations are based upon the results of the simulation studies summarized in Singh, Maichle, and Lee (2006). 107 However, simulations results will not cover all Real World data sets; for additional insight the user may want to consult a statistician. Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-36 September 30, 2016 A B C D E F G H J K L 108 ProUCL: UCL Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects 109 User Selected Options 110 Date/Time of Computation 6/23/2016 5:19:22 PM 111 From File Duke_EPC.xls 112 Full Precision OFF 113 Confidence Coefficient 95% 114 Number of Bootstrap Operations 2000 115 Cobalt 116 117 General Statistics 1181 Total Number of Observations 39 Number of Distinct Observations 37 119 Number of Detects 31 Number of Non -Detects 8 120 Number of Distinct Detects 30 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 8 121 Minimum Detect 1.7 Minimum Non -Detect 3.1 122 Maximum Detect 40.6 Maximum Non -Detect 14.4 123 Variance Detects 83.31 Percent Non -Detects 20.51% 1241 Mean Detects 9.5 SD Detects 9.128 125 Median Detects 5.9 CV Detects 0.961 126 Skewness Detects 2.054 Kurtosis Detects 4.294 127 Mean of Logged Detects 1.918 SD of Logged Detects 0.793 128 129 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only 1301 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.742 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 131 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.929 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 132 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.262 Lilliefors GOF Test 133 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.159 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 134 Detected Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level 135 1361 Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics using Normal Critical Values and other Nonparametric UCLs 137 Mean 8.218 Standard Error of Mean 1.376 138 SD 8.426 95% KM (BCA) UCL 10.86 139 95% KM (t) UCL 10.54 95% KM (Percentile Bootstrap) UCL 10.46 140 95% KM (z) UCL 10.48 95% KM Bootstrap t UCL 11.4 141 90% KM Chebyshev UCL 12.34 95% KM Chebyshev UCL 14.21 1421 97.5% KM Chebyshev UCL 16.81 99% KM Chebyshev UCL 21.91 143 144 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only 145 A -D Test Statistic 1.16 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 146 5% A -D Critical Value 0.762 Detected Data Not Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 147 K -S Test Statistic 0.181 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 148 5% K -S Critical Value 0.16 Detected Data Not Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 149 Detected Data Not Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level 150 151 Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only 152 k hat (MLE) 1.647 k star (bias corrected MLE) 1.509 153 Theta hat (MLE) 5.768 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 6.295 1541 nu hat (MLE) 102.1 nu star (bias corrected) 93.57 155 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 9.5 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 7.733 156 157 Gamma Kaplan -Meier (KM) Statistics 158 k hat (KM) 0.951 nu hat (KM) 74.2 159 Approximate Chi Square Value (74.20, a) 55.36 Adjusted Chi Square Value (74.20, (i) 54.72 160 95% Gamma Approximate KM -UCL (use when n>=50) 11.01 95% Gamma Adjusted KM -UCL (use when n<50) 11.14 161 162 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects 163 GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs 164 GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 165 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs 16 1 e , BTVs and UC be computed using gamma distribution on KM RSAWMher 10 ?016 Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-38 September 30, 2016 A B C D E F G H I J K L 167 Minimum 0.01 Mean 7.834 168 Maximum 40.6 Median 4.6 169 SD 8.788 CV 1.122 170 k hat (MLE) 0.742 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.702 171 Theta hat (MLE) 10.56 Theta star (bias corrected MILE) 11.16 172 nu hat (MLE) 57.87 nu star (bias corrected) 54.75 173 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 7.834 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 9.35 174 Adjusted Level of Significance ((3) 0.0437 175 Approximate Chi Square Value (54.75, a) 38.75 Adjusted Chi Square Value (54.75, (3) 38.22 176 95% Gamma Approximate UCL (use when n>=50) 11.07 95% Gamma Adjusted UCL (use when n<50) 11.22 177 178 Lognormal GOF Test on Detected Observations Only 179 Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.956 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 180 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.929 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 181 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.131 Lilliefors GOF Test 182 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.159 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 1831 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level 184 185 Lognormal ROS Statistics Using Imputed Non -Detects 186 Mean in Original Scale 8.173 Mean in Log Scale 1.742 187 SD in Original Scale 8.542 SD in Log Scale 0.8 188 95% t UCL (assumes normality of ROS data) 10.48 95% Percentile Bootstrap UCL 10.48 189 95% BCA Bootstrap UCL 10.98 95% Bootstrap t UCL 11.61 190 95% H -UCL (Log ROS) 10.44 191 192 UCLs using Lognormal Distribution and KM Estimates when Detected data are Lognormally Distributed 193 KM Mean (logged) 1.748 95% H -UCL (KM -Log) 10.41 194 KM SD (logged) 0.793 95% Critical H Value (KM -Log) 2.179 1951 KM Standard Error of Mean (logged) 0.132 196 197 DL/2 Statistics 198 DL/2 Normal DL/2 Log -Transformed 199 Mean in Original Scale 8.145 Mean in Log Scale 1.716 200 SD in Original Scale 8.585 SD in Log Scale 0.84 201 95% t UCL (Assumes normality) 10.46 95% H -Stat UCL 10.72 202 DL/2 is not a recommended method, provided for comparisons and historical reasons 203 204 Nonparametric Distribution Free UCL Statistics 205 Detected Data appear Lognormal Distributed at 5% Significance Level 206 2071 Suggested UCL to Use 208 95% KM (BCA) LICLI 10.86 209 210 Note: Suggestions regarding the selection of a 95% UCL are provided to help the user to select the most appropriate 95% UCL. 211 Recommendations are based upon data size, data distribution, and skewness. 212 These recommendations are based upon the results of the simulation studies summarized in Singh, Maichle, and Lee (2006). 12131 However, simulations results will not cover all Real World data sets; for additional insight the user may want to consult a statistician. Appendix D - Human Health Risk Analysis D-38 September 30, 2016 [EN APPENDIX E Ecological Habitat Service Analysis Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-1 September 30, 2016 0 El ECOLOGICAL HABITAT SERVICE ANALYSIS The purpose of this evaluation was to understand how the CIP and Removal alternatives might affect ecological habitat values associated with the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites. As stated in Section 3.5, the ecological habitat service analysis for each site consisted of three main steps as follows: The first step was to identify the major habitat types existing within the areas that would be impacted by the remedial alternatives at each site and to estimate the surface area of each major habitat type. 2. The second step was to develop assumptions regarding the timing and level of impact (i.e., projected change in ecological service value over time) that implementation of each alternative would have on the habitat types evaluated. 3. The third step was to estimate the change (i.e., loss) in the net present value (NPV) of ecological habitat services that would be projected to occur given the habitats, acreages, and assumptions developed as part of Steps 1 and 2. Each of these steps are discussed, in turn, in the following sections. E1.1 Habitat Types and Areas This step used a combination of existing geographic information system (GIS) habitat polygon boundary information, aerial photography reviews, site visit observations, and GIS analysis to understand the general distribution of the habitat types and their respective surface areas at each of the four sites. The GIS files for the habitats at the Allen, Buck, and Cliffside sites were provided by Duke Energy. In addition, I conducted site visits at all four sites during the June 7-10, 2016, time period. For the Mayo site, GIS habitat files were not available. Therefore, habitat polygons were developed through GIS analysis based upon the site visits and review of Google Earth aerial photography. The GIS polygons for the Allen, Buck, Cliffside, and Mayo sites are presented in Figures E1 -E4, respectively. Land habitat types were assigned to the following major categories: Terrestrial Habitats • Forest (included pine, hardwood, bottomland and mixed forest habitats) • Shrub Scrub/ Early Successional • Grass/open mowed field Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-2 September 30, 2016 IW =Mr%II y i Goosie Imagery ©2016 , DigitalGlobe, Orbis IK U.S. Geological Survey, USDA Farm Service Agency, York County Government, SC 1... i. , 41 0 X101 ._ ,A,� YyAl A. A. A. y ;.'�' / AV AVAlfa �---- a � IS, V IS, V IS, "a b,}, b,}, b'„sy�':ti g� ;moo '•y' �z � �s ' �1? 2�? - NI? 'Y 2�? mow:= A' A, A, A, A, A, A, A, A, -5 �•, w .. ,., ` .. a i _ . ...... ..:- _- 1!r;Slte'r.:_... yy� i:�:_.-: ;Slte'r.:_... ..., . Google, gical Survey, USDA Farm Service Agency -�' -�' -�' -�' -�' 'V "'2 ";� "'2 ";� wx��wa Al Al Al Al Al � IS, V IS, V IS, "a b,}, b,}, b'„sy�':ti g� ;moo '•y' �z � �s ' �1? 2�? - NI? 'Y 2�? mow:= A' A, A, A, A, A, A, A, A, -5 �•, w .. ,., ` .. a i _ . ...... ..:- _- 1!r;Slte'r.:_... yy� i:�:_.-: ;Slte'r.:_... ..., . Google, gical Survey, USDA Farm Service Agency GOOSIC, I Imagery ©2016 , DigitalGlobe, U.S. Geological Survey, USDA Farm Service Agency POW Iel A& AA 0� A� A? 00 e � 4' 1? 4' �? -1 A? Al jk 3 Al- Ae Ae Ae A? -1 %e �1? 7-- 4v. 41 AP AP 1p ,A& magery,12 J��r monwealth of Virginia, DigitalGlobe, USDA Farm Service Agency b EPS Wetlands and Surface Water • Combined emergent wetland, forested wetland and open water habitats I focused on the major habitat types that would be affected by the remedial alternatives. It should be noted that parking areas, roads, water treatment facility basins, and barren ash areas (non- vegetated) were excluded from the analysis. Through the above GIS polygon analysis, the surface area of each habitat type that was projected to be impacted by either the CIP or Removal alternative was determined for each site, including a 30 -foot work zone buffer around each basin that would be affected by each alternative. The GIS polygon data for each site were grouped by major habitat type for the purposes of the evaluation (Table E1). The focus was on how the major terrestrial and wetland/surface water habitats would be affected given implementation of the alternatives. Habitat Type by Site Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo Terrestrial Early Successional/Scrub 85 52 42 42 Forest 34 36 25 11 Open Field -Grass 88 34 52 14 Wetland and Surface Water 98 65 45 79 Total Acreage of Habitats Evaluated 305 187 163 147 The evaluation area includes only those areas that were projected to be impacted by the remedial actions, including a 30 foot buffer around the outside of each basin. Areas with roads, water treatment facilities, and barren ash were not included in the analysis. Table E1. Acreage of the selected major habitat types under the current site condition that would be physically impacted through implementation of the CIP or Removal alternatives (rounded to nearest acre). E1.2 Ecological Habitat Service Methodology and Assumptions Ecosystems provide a variety of services to humans. These services have been classified as supporting, provisioning, regulating, and cultural services as part of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005). Habitats serve as the supporting structure from which provisioning, regulating, and cultural services flow and hence provide value. That is, many human use services (bird watching, recreational fishing, etc.) are provided by the presence of the ecological habitat services. For example, state game lands provide recreational hunting and birdwatching activities that would otherwise not be present if the ecology and habitat was not in place. Thus, actions adversely Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-7 September 30, 2016 m affecting ecological habitat services can result in significant human use service losses while actions that enhance habitats can result in increased human use service value. The focus of this section is the quantification of the ecological habitat services that are projected to be impacted (either lost or gained) by the CIP and Removal remedial alternatives. Importantly, the net environmental benefits have been assessed using the current status of the environment (the project baseline) against which the potential change in environmental condition is measured. As such, projected changes in ecological habitat service values associated with implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives is compared to the current status of the habitats on-site. E1.2.1 Environmental Metric and Discounting Since ecological habitat impacts can occur over varying time frames, they can be normalized to their net present value (NPV) using a time discount rate. The discount rate is the rate at which the public is indifferent to consuming goods now or sometime in the future. An estimate of the NPV of the losses in ecological habitat value were developed through the use of the Habitat Equivalency Analysis (HEA) methodology. In this case, projected habitat alterations (e.g., removal, displacement of habitat) were used to directly assess changes in ecological habitat quality and resulting value. My evaluation included both the major direct on-site and off-site habitat impacts. Indirect impacts associated with alternative implementation were not estimated. Therefore, my estimation of impacts is conservative (i.e., underestimates projected losses). Because many ecological habitat services are not traded in the marketplace, they may not have a direct monetary value and therefore, value can be expressed using non -monetary metrics. The HEA approach is a service quantification approach that evaluates ecological habitat service losses or gains based on non -monetary metrics over time. It is important to recognize that ecosystem services are not static measurements but represent a flow of benefits over time. As such, the HEA approach uses an environmental metric to measure changes to ecological habitat services and focuses on quantifying the area (e.g., acres) and level of impact over time in units typically represented as service -acre -years (SAY'S). For this evaluation, I used the HEA methodology to quantify the relative habitat service losses associated with the CIP and Removal alternatives. Ecological service losses and gains can be measured using a variety of indicator metrics and units. In many cases, the quantification of changes in ecological service flows is based upon selecting or developing an indicator (can be one or more metrics) that acts as a surrogate to represent the ecological service flows provided over time by the habitat and expressing the changes in services (for that indicator) under the different alternatives as a percentage change from a baseline or reference condition. Ecosystem studies, literature -based information, professional experience, or a combination thereof, can be used to estimate how ecosystem services may change given an action. The metrics or indicators are selected based upon the site, habitats, and professional judgment. The metric(s) are typically developed to represent the flow of value (e.g., loss or gain of services) over time. As stated earlier, the ecological service calculations also involve a discount rate that allows for the gains and losses to be evaluated from an NPV standpoint. Within the HEA methodology, Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-8 September 30, 2016 0 calculations of ecological service losses and gains associated with a project are computed over time and represent time accumulated service flows. In these cases, the units are typically displayed as a discounted service acre year (dSAY) which represents an ecological habitat value that takes into account the time value of the habitat services. I used a 3% discount rate, this rate commonly used in NRDA cases within the United States. In evaluating ecological habitat service flows, applications of the HEA methodology must account for the absolute difference in the flow of services from the ecological resources resulting from an action and how those services are distributed over time. In addition, for any given action, it is likely that the ecological habitat service loss or gain may not always be constant over time. An assessment as to how ecological habitat service flows may change over time is thus necessary. Quantifying the ecological service value of a given action can be conducted prior to project implementation through the use of projected metrics based on scientific data and professional judgment. Use of the HEA methodology has been upheld in U.S. federal court' as an appropriate method to evaluate changes in ecological habitat services associated with actions that affect the environment and has also been incorporated into the European Union Environmental Liabilities Directive (Nicolette et al. 2013). The analysis of ecological habitat services was conducted by examining how changes to the existing habitats would occur given implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives. It should be recognized that the approach taken in the ecological analysis was to approximate the parameter values for each of the alternatives based upon consistent assumptions where applicable. As such, the parameter estimates are approximate values and not intended to be exact, but robust enough to identify impacts and differences between alternatives to a reasonable degree of certainty. My analysis focused on the major terrestrial and aquatic habitats. A discussion of the analysis of the ecological habitat service value associated with the terrestrial and aquatic habitats is provided in the following sections E1.2.2 Assumptions For the terrestrial analysis, ecological habitat service flows were modeled for each site per major habitat type (forest, shrub scrub/early successional, and mowed grass). Changes in terrestrial habitat value were compared to the baseline terrestrial habitat condition at the sites. Baseline "Current" Condition For the baseline terrestrial condition at each site, the following assumption was made: • The flow of ecological service value is consistent with the above -ground biomass of the terrestrial habitats and increases as the terrestrial system moves through successional stages. That is, as the vertical structure and complexity of the terrestrial vegetation increases, so does the ecological habitat service value. In forest ecosystems, post - United States 1997. United States v. Melvin Fisher. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida, Key West Division Case Numbers 92-10027-CIV-DAVIS, and 95-10051-CIV-DAVIS. Decided 30 July 1997, Filed 30 July 1997. 977 F. Supp. 1193; 1997 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 16767. United States 2001. United States of America and Internal Improvement Trust Fund v. Great Lakes Dredge and Dock Company. United States District Court for the Southem District of Florida D. C. Docket No. 97 -02510 -CV -EBD. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-9 September 30, 2016 0 disturbance biomass accumulation provides an index of carbon sequestration and the reestablishment of biological control over a variety of ecosystem processes, such as those controlling nutrient cycling (Johnson et al. 2000). A functional form of this relationship is presented in Figure E5 (adapted from McMahon et al. 2010). The rate and asymptote of this pattern of biomass recovery can differ across stands because of nutrient availability and species composition; however, the functional form of this response remains similar across forest types and regions (McMahon et al. 2010). Ecological succession is the process of change in the species composition of an ecological community over time. The process begins with relatively few pioneering plants and animals that develop through increasing complexity until the ecological community becomes stable as a climax stage community. Vertical and horizontal structural habitat complexity has been shown to drive biodiversity by creating a greater variety of microclimates and microhabitats, which in turn produce more diverse food and cover for a more diverse group of species (Verschuyl et al. 2008). In addition, a positive relationship between tree species richness and above -ground productivity has often been found (Parrotta 2012). One study has also shown that old growth forests (50-250 years of age) serve as a stronger sink for CO2 than a younger growth forest (i.e., 14 years of age), thus indicating a higher carbon sequestration value as the forest gets older (Law et al. 2001). The value of forest habitat in protecting biodiversity and ecosystem service values has also been demonstrated (e.g., Gibson et al., 2011). "Protecting forests will not only preserve biodiversity and defend the rights of forest communities, it's also one of the quickest and cost effective ways of halting climate change" (Greenpeace 2016). The curve used to depict the flow of ecological habitat service value is presented in Figure E5 and was kept constant among all terrestrial habitats at all sites and was selected to serve as a standard to which changes in terrestrial habitat at the sites can be evaluated and compared. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-10 September 30, 2016 100 0 V) v U j 75 L Q� CU U W 50 _O O U LU +- 25 L O LL EPS 011 1 1 1 1 1 0 50 100 150 200 250 Years Figure E5. Graphic showing the relationship between above -ground biomass (AGB) (used as a surrogate for ecological service value) and stand age of multiple forest plots in a temperate deciduous forest in Edgewater, MD. Adapted from McMahon et al. (2010). For calculation purposes, the percent (%) service value at various points along the curve was estimated as depicted in Figure ET Yearly percent habitat service estimates were generated through linear interpolation between the identified points presented in Figure E6. Interpolated from Graph s 0 50 100 ISO 200 250 Stand age (years) Figure E6. Interpolation of service values used in calculations. Years AGB % 0 0 0.00% 5 5 1.01% 10 45 9.09% 15 80 16.16% 20 110 22.22% 25 140 28.28% 30 165 33.33% 35 185 37.37% 40 205 41.41% 451 225 45.45% 50 245 49.49% 60 275 55.56% 70 305 61.62% 80 330 66.67% 90 355 71.72% 100 375 75.76% 125 415 83.84% 150 445 89.90% 175 475 95.96% 200 495 100.00% Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-11 September 30, 2016 MO The baseline ecological service value for forest habitat at the Allen site is depicted in Figure E8. Note that the value estimate starts at an approximate age of 25 years for the on-site forest stands being evaluated. This assumption was also held for offsite areas where forest habitat would be impacted. This is conservative in estimating the baseline value as the tree stands are likely older on average than 25 years of age both on- and off-site. Additionally, the flow of value, for all sites and scenarios was calculated over a 200 -year period (2016-2216). For shrub-scrub/early successional habitat, the start time on the successional curve was adjusted to 5 years to approximate the average age of the vegetation assigned to this habitat type. The conceptual model under which the forest dSAY value (591) for the Allen Steam Station was calculated (at a 3% discount rate) is presented in Figure E7. This represents the current service value projected into the future of the on-site 34.2 acres of forest habitat. The on-site shrub scrub/early successional habitat and the on-site grass/open field habitats would convert to a mowed grass habitat under the CIP alternative, or regenerate to forest under the Removal alternative. Off- site forest habitats that are impacted were assumed to reach a similar level of service value as their pre -impact condition. A similar process of calculating the projected changes in the flow of terrestrial ecological service value was conducted for all four sites adjusting for the timing of implementation and the projected level of impact to the habitat. Wetland and surface water habitat was evaluated by projecting the change in the current condition of the wetland and surface water habitat (the baseline). It was assumed that implementation of both the CIP and Removal alternatives would result in a 100% (complete) loss of both the wetland and surface water habitat on-site. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-12 September 30, 2016 EPS 100 Ln 00— (U 00*00 v •� 75 N On-site baseline value (34.2 acres) 591 dSAYs N M 50 Current age of tree Baseline forest ecological O stands O services projected into future U w 25 4- L O 0 12016 12216 50 100 150 200 250 Years Figure E7. Ecological service flow framework used as a standard to evaluate service flow changes on forest habitats at the Allen Steam Station — depicts baseline of ecological service flows projected into the future. My general assumptions for estimating the change in ecological service values for both the terrestrial and aquatic habitats, given the CIP and Removal alternatives and their on-site and off- site impacts, is detailed in Table E2 on the following page. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-13 September 30, 2016 EPS. Table E2. General assumptions used in evaluating changes in habitat values between alternatives. There are many factors that can influence the staging and timing of the construction work that would be required for the implementation of the CIP and Removal alternatives at a site. These factors include: weather conditions, contractor availability, economics, material availability, permitting, community acceptance, etc. As such, the habitat values (i.e., dSAYs) represented are based upon general assumptions with the recognition that site specific conditions and influencing factors will dictate the 1 ultimate staging and timing of the actions associated with alternative implementation. The general assumptions were kept consistent between the alternatives where applicable for the purposes of providing a comparison of the alternatives. The ecological habitat estimates are approximate and not intended to be exact, but are robust enough to identify impacts and evaluate and compare the alternatives with a reasonable degree of certainty. 2 The time frames for project implementation and completion are based upon the information presented in Appendix A. The flow of ecological service value is consistent with the above -ground biomass of the terrestrial habitats and increases as the 3 terrestrial system moves through successional stages. That is, as the vertical structure and complexity of the terrestrial vegetation increases, so does the ecological habitat service value. 4 Current on-site and off-site forest habitats were assumed to be 25 years of age. 5 Current scrub scrub habitats were assumed to be 5 years of age. For both the removal and CIP alternatives, on-site habitat impacts to each terrestrial habitat type were assumed to initiate upon implementation of the field construction activities and be completed in the first year of construction. With the CIP 6 alternative, the impacted terrestrial habitat area would eventually be converted to a mowed grass cover. With the Removal alternative, those same impacted habitat areas would eventually be managed to encourage regrowth of forest habitat, that would occur once the removal action was complete in that area and the work area developed to final grade. For both the CIP and Removal alternatives, 100% of the on-site wetland and surface water habitat services would be lost over a 7 3 year period (linear) starting with initiation of construction as water is drawn out of the basin(s) to allow for capping, Removal, and water management. 8 A 3% discount rate was used in calculating habitat values. The Removal alternative necessitates the development of a new offsite landfill to store the removed ash. It was assumed that 9 the area where the offsite landfill would be placed would be a forest habitat. This forest habitat would be lost into perpetuity and converted to a mowed grass cover upon completion of the landfill. In addition, an off-site borrow area would be required to provide material for the new landfill under the Removal alternative as 10 well as for the CIP alternative. Offsite areas serving as either borrow or landfill area were assumed to be forest habitat. This assumption was based on the "Letter Reports" prepared by Amec Foster Wheeler for each of the sites, where they show the vast majority of potentially 11 suitable sites for landfill and borrow areas involved land that is presently forested (Amec Foster Wheeler 2015a, 2015b, 2015c, and 2015d). On -Site Habitat Conversion: Conversion of both the terrestrial and wetland areas onsite would be staggered with recovery of 12 50% of the area initiating at 50% project completion, regardless whether CIP or Removal alternative. The remaining 50% of the area would initiate recovery at project completion, regardless whether the CIP or Removal alternative. On -Site Habitat Conversion: All wetland and surface water impacted habitats currently on-site will be lost into perpetuity 13 (converted to either grass or forest). The on-site CIP and offsite landfill cap areas result in a mowed grass cover. It was assumed that newly planted grass (cap cover) would mature in a linear fashion over 5 years, starting once the cap was complete, and reach a maximum service value of 10% 14 (and continue at this rate into perpetuity). That is, mature grass habitat was assumed to generate 1/10 the value of the forest habitat at maximum value at maturity. Existing mowed grass habitats currently provide a constant 10% service value (as compared to the maximum forest habitat 15 value at maturity. Offsite forest habitat removal at the new off-site landfill location will occur to 50% of the acreage during the first year of construction for the Removal alternative. Subequently, the remaining 50% of forest will be removed halfway through the 16 projected project duration. Grass cap regeneration of the area where 50% of forest was initially removed for the landfill will initiate halfway through project completion with the remaining 50% initiating recovery at project completion. Offsite removal of forest at the borrow area location for the Removal alternative would occur at the following rate: 10% would be removed upon project initiation, 45% would be removed at 40% completion and the remaining 45% of the acreage would 17 be removed at the 80% completion stage. Forest regeneration of these areas would occur with 50% of the impacted acreage initiating at 50% project completion and the remaining 50% of impacted acreage initiating recovery at project completion. Offsite forest habitat removal at the borrow area location will occur to 50% of the acreage during the first year of construction for the CIP alternative. Subequently, the remaining 50% of forest will be removed halfway through the projected project 18 duration. Forest regeneration of the area where 50% of forest was initially removed for the landfill will initiate halfway through project completion with the remaining 50% initiating recovery at project completion. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-14 September 30, 2016 0 E1.2.3 Ecological Habitat Service Analysis Results The approach taken in my analysis was developed to approximate the relative change in ecosystem service value from one alternative to another, for the general categories evaluated based upon similar assumptions where applicable. The dSAY calculations are approximate values and not intended to be exact, but robust enough to identify and understand potential impacts and compare between the alternatives. The detailed results of the analysis, by site and remedial alternative, are presented in Table E3. Forest, scrub shrub/early successional, and grass habitat values (terrestrial habitats) were combined and presented in Table E3. The forest and scrub shrub/early successional habitats fall along the same successional curve, and grass habitats were quality adjusted to the forest and scrub shrub/early successional habitats, as such, their dSAY values are directly comparable given the assumptions made. For my analysis, I calculated the wetland/surface water values separate within the table. However, since all of the wetland and surface water features will be lost as a result of both the CIP and Removal alternatives, these areas will be subsequently converted to either mowed grass (CIP alternative) or forest (Removal alternative). It should be recognized that ecological habitat service values (i.e., dSAYs) between different habitat types (e.g., wetlands and forest) may not be equivalent. Thus, care must be taken when combining dSAYs between different habitat types. A recent study of the ecosystem service values between various ecological biomes indicates that wetlands are significantly more valuable than temperate forest/woodlands (estimates ranged from about 11-15 times more valuable, based on median values) (de Groot et al. 2012). That same study also indicated that lakes and river habitats were more valuable than temperate forest/woodland habitat (estimates ranged from about 2.6 — 3.5 times more valuable, based on median values). Wetland habitat was about 4 times more valuable when compared to lake and river habitats in the de Groot study (2012). In order to put the dSAY values into perspective, for a specific habitat such as a wetland or forest functioning at 100% of its service value into perpetuity, 1 acre of that habitat is equivalent to about 34 dSAY's at a 3% discount rate. Therefore, one can infer the impact of the lost dSAYs, for each habitat type at each site by dividing the total lost dSAYs for that site by 34.2. In addition, for the purposes of comparing the change in value between the CIP and Removal alternatives, I set the wetland/surface water dSAY value to be equivalent to the dSAY value of the existing forest habitat value. This is a conservative estimate (i.e., underestimates the true impacts of both the CIP and Removal alternatives) since the wetland/surface area ecological service value is higher than the forest ecological service value. As such and as presented in Table E3, the CIP and Removal alternatives each would result, given the calculations herein, in the permanent removal of about 466 and 508 acres of old growth climax forest habitat value into perpetuity, respectively. Based on the conservatism in the analysis, these losses are likely higher. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-15 September 30, 2016 Table E3. Summary of ecological habitat service values between alternatives by site, habitat type, and on-site versus off-site impacts. ONSITE LOSSES and GAINS Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo Habitat Type by Site Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs ONSITE LOSSES Terrestrial Early Successional/Scrub 85 (981) 52 (600) 42 (485) 42 (489) Forest 34 (591) 36 (629) 25 (434) 11 (190) Mowed -Grass 88 (300) 34 (117) 52 (176) 14 (48) Terrestrial Total 207 (1,872) 123 (1,346) 119 (1,096) 67 (727) Wetland and Surface Water 98 (3,212) 65 (2,114) 45 (1,460) 79 (2,595) Total Losses Onsite (5,084) (3,460) (2,556) (3,323) ONSITE GAINS Terrestrial Cap -in -Place (CIP) - Grass Cap 305 863 187 561 163 489 147 441 Full Removal Alternative (Removal) - Forest Regeneration 305 1,441 187 1,534 163 1,210 147 1,155 NET ONSITE LOSSES CIP - Net On -Site dSAY Loss 1 (4,222) (2,899) (2,067) (2,882) Removal - Net On -Site dSAY Loss 1 (3,643) (1,926) (1,347) (2,168) Total Acreage of Onsite Habitats Evaluated 305 187 163 147 OFFSITE LOSSES AND GAINS Allen Buck Cliffside Mayo Habitat Type by Site Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs Acres dSAYs Terrestrial OFFSITE LOSSES CIP - Borrow Area - Forest 190 (3,195) 110 (1,877) 115 (1,962) 94 (1,604) Removal - Borrow Area - Forest 93 (953) 35 (531) 47 (661) 41 (355) Removal - Offsite Landfill Location 225 (3,122) 94 (1,536) 121 (1,924) 108 (1,717) OFFSITE GAINS CIP - Borrow Area - Forest Regeneration 190 1,727 110 1,045 115 1,093 94 893 Removal - Borrow Area - Forest Regeneration 93 439 35 287 47 349 41 322 Removal -Offsite Landfill Location (Grass Cap) 225 333 94 240 121 280 108 264 NET OFFSITE LOSSES CIP - Net Off -Site Net Loss (1,468) (832) (869) (711) Removal - Net Off -Site Net Loss (3,303) (1,540) (1,956) (1,485) CIP -Total Acreage of Offsite Habitats Evaluated 190 110 115 94 Removal - Total Acreage of Offsite Habitats Evaluated 319 129 168 149 CIP - Total Acreage Evaluated495 297 278 241 Removal -Total Acreage Evaluated 624 316 331 296 NET LOSSES - TERRESTRIAL AND WETLAND/SURFACE WATER CIP - Total Net Terrestrial Losses (2,477) (1,617) (1,476) (997) CIP - Total Net Wetland/Surface Water Losses (3,212) (2,114) (1,460) 1 (2,595) Removal -Total Net Terrestrial Losses (3,735) (1,352) (1,842) (1,058) Removal -Total Net Wetland/Surface Water Losses (3,212) (2,114) (1,460) (2,595) OVERALL NET LOSSES CIP - Overall Net cISAY Loss Z (5,690) (3,730) (2,936) (3,592) Removal - Overall Net cISAY LOSS Z (6,947) (3,466) (3,303) (3,654) PUTTING LOSSES IN PERSPECTIVE Cap -in -Place (CIP) - Overall - Acres of Fully Functioning Climax Forest that would be Lost into Perpetuity Z (minimum) 166 109 86 105 Full Removal - Overall - Acres of Fully Functioning Climax Forest that would be Lost into Perpetuity 2 (minimum) 203 101 97 107 'Assumes that onsite habitats are affected similarly at initiation of the construction for both the Cap -in -Place and Removal alternatives. 2Assumes that the wetland and terrestrial dSAYs are equivalent, an assumption that underestimates ecological losses. Wetlands and surface water can be 10-20 times the value of forest habitat (de Groot et al. 2012). Appendix E - Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-16 September 30, 2016 J�K E2 HUMAN RECREATIONAL SERVICES For this evaluation, since the sites are retained under private property, human recreational on-site services were not considered. However, it should be recognized that game land areas can provide significant human use value. In addition, as no off-site impacts were identified, off-site human recreational service values were not evaluated. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-17 September 30, 2016 0 E3 REFERENCES Amec Foster Wheeler, 2015a. Letter Report — Waste Strategy Analysis (Revised) Allen Steam Station. Prepared for Duke Energy April 9, 2015. Amec Foster Wheeler, 2015b. Letter Report — Waste Strategy Analysis (Revised) Buck Steam Station. Prepared for Duke Energy January 26, 2015. Amec Foster Wheeler, 2015c. Letter Report — Waste Strategy Analysis, Cliffside Steam Station. Prepared for Duke Energy April 17, 2015. Amec Foster Wheeler, 2015d. Letter Report — Waste Strategy Analysis, Mayo Steam Station. Prepared for Duke Energy March 31, 2015. de Groot, R., Brander, L., van der Ploeg, S., Costanza, R., Bernard, F., Braat, L., Christie, M., Crossman, N., Ghermandi, A., Hein, L., Hussain, S., Kumar, P., McVittie, A., Portela, R., Rodriguez, L.C., ten Brink, P., van Beukering, P., 2012. Global estimates of the value of ecosystems and their services in monetary units. Ecosyst. Serv. 1, 50-61. Envirosci. 2008. Web Accessed June 23, 2016. http://envirosci.net/111/succession/succession.htm Gibson, L., Lee, T., Koh, L., Brook, B., Gardner, T., Barlow, J., Peres, C., Bradshaw, C., Laurence, W., Lovejoy, T. and Sodhi, N.S. 2011. Primary forests are irreplaceable for sustaining tropical biodiversity. Nature 478: 378-381. Greenpeace. Web Accessed June 23, 2016. http://www. rg eenpeace.org/international/en/cainpaigns/forests/solutions/ Johnson C., Zarin D., and A. Johnson. 2000. Post -disturbance aboveground biomass accumulation in global secondary forests. Ecology 81:1395-1401. Law, B., Thornton, J., Anthoni, P. and S. Van Tuyl. 2001. Carbon storage and fluxes in ponderosa pine forests at different developmental stages. Global Change Biology. 7, pp. 755-777 McMahon, S. M., Parker, G. G., and Miller, D. R. 2010. Evidence for a recent increase in forest growth. PNAS, Edited by William H. Schlesinger, Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY, February 23, 2010, Vol. 107, No. 8, 3611-3615. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Full Report; Island Press: Washington, DC, USA, 2005. Nicolette, J., Burr, S., and Rockel, M. 2013. A Practical Approach for Demonstrating Environmental Sustainability and Stewardship through a Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. Sustainability 2013, 5, 2152-2177; doi:10.3390/su5052152, Published May 10, 2013. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-18 September 30, 2016 m Parrotta, J. 2012. Understanding Relationships between Biodiversity, Carbon, Forests and People: The Key to Achieving REDD+ Objectives. A Global Assessment Report. Prepared by the Global Forest Expert Panel on Biodiversity, Forest Management, and REDD+. Wildburger & Stephanie Mansourian (eds.) IUFRO World Series Volume 31. Vienna. 161 p. ISBN 978-3-902762-17-7, ISSN 1016-3263 Thompson, I.D., Mackey, B., McNulty, S. and Mosseler, A., 2009. Forest resilience, biodiversity, and climate change. A synthesis of the biodiversity/resilience/stability relationship in forest ecosystems. Technical Series no. 43. Montreal: Secretariat of the Convention on Biological Diversity. United States 1997. United States v. Melvin Fisher. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida, Key West Division Case Numbers 92-10027-CIV-DAVIS, and 95- 10051-CIV-DAVIS. Decided 30 July 1997, Filed 30 July 1997. 977 F. Supp. 1193; 1997 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 16767. United States 2001. United States of America and Internal Improvement Trust Fund v. Great Lakes Dredge and Dock Company. United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida D. C. Docket No. 97 -02510 -CV -EBD. Verschuyl, J., Hansen, A., McWethy, D., Sallabanks, R., and R. Hutto. 2008. Is the effect of forest structure on bird diversity modified by forest productivity? Ecological Applications, 18(5), pp. 1155-1170. Appendix E — Ecological Habitat Service Analysis E-19 September 30, 2016 0 APPENDIX F Joseph Nicolette CV Appendix F — Joseph Nicolette CV F-1 Joseph Nicolette Fields of Competence Risk management and net environmental benefit analysis (NEBA) Natural resource damage assessment (NRDA) Ecosystem service valuation Site remediation alternatives analysis Ecological and human health risk assessment evaluation CERCLA project coordination Oil spill response and planning Aquatic ecology Experience Summary Expertise: Joseph Nicolette has over 30 years of experience in the environmental consulting field with a focus on NRDA, NEBA, ecosystem service valuation, site risk management, remediation alternatives analysis, project coordination and agency relations, and aquatic ecology. He is a Senior Principal and Ecosystem Services Practice Leader at Environmental Planning Specialists, Inc. (EPS). Joe has made demonstrated contributions both nationally and internationally in developing what is known as the net environmental benefits analysis (NEBA) or net ecosystem service analysis (MESA) approaches. He co- authored the first formalized NEBA framework recognized by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), the USEPA Science Advisory Board (USEPA SAB), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Joe has focused on NEBA applications to site risk management and decision-making, incorporating ecosystem service valuation, over the past 24 years. He provides strategic advice and oversight for projects to help balance the risks, benefits and tradeoffs associated with competing alternatives (e.g., remediation actions, mitigation and restoration, oil spill response, site restoration, and decommissioning actions). He has contributed to multiple environmental assessments associated with oil and chemical releases, and has managed NEBA, NRDA and CERCLA issues on behalf of the responsible party. His role has been to provide technical direction and assist the client in coordination with Natural Resource Trustee Agencies (State and Federal), the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), state agencies, and other stakeholders in the risk management and NRDA processes. Joseph has participated in NRDA projects since 1990. He is recognized for his NRDA experience and role in pioneering NRDA injury and restoration ecological Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV economics approaches such as habitat equivalency analysis (HEA). He has been involved in the conduct of impact assessments for over 50 hazardous releases and has led projects on behalf of the client, including agency negotiations. These include assessments associated with oil and chemical releases (including petroleum products, PCB's, DDT, dioxin, metals, etc.) and damage assessments associated with releases under US NRDA regulations and the EU Environmental Liabilities Directive (ELD). He has contributed to multiple environmental assessments associated with oil releases from the Exxon Valdez up to and including the Deepwater Horizon Incident. Mr. Nicolette has managed over 50 NRDA related projects. His services include client strategy development regarding natural resource injury and environmental assessment; ecological and human health risk characterization; mitigation and remedial planning, restoration valuation and planning, allocation modeling, agency negotiations, technical assessment design, and technical data review, assessment, and interpretation. Joseph has also worked with several law firms to provide expert witness and litigation support for multiple NRDA related environmental cases. He has provided written affidavits to support his technical findings and provided testimony through deposition by the Department of Justice. He has also served as the Project Coordinator and/or risk management lead on behalf of the responsible party at multiple Superfund (CERCLA) sites. He has experience with sites in EPA Regions 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 and 10. These sites were primarily related to polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), metals, dioxin, and TCE releases to a variety of media such as soil, sediment, surface water and groundwater. These projects involved the assessment of ecological and human health risks and the feasibility of various remedies to manage potential risks. Mr. Nicolette has also provided PRP identification and remedial/NKDA liability allocation support for industrial clients. He has developed and reviewed allocation models for specific sites, determining estimates of the portion of remedial and NKDA liability associated with various PRP's at the site. Joseph is also trained in hierarchical relational scientific database design, structuring and management. F, D Joseph Nicolette Credentials M.S. Fisheries Management, 1983. University of Minnesota - related fields: statistics, computer applications, and aquatic invertebrates B.S. Environmental Resources Management, 1980. Pennsylvania State University Certifications Certified Fisheries Scientist, no. 2,042, since 1992 Career 2016 -Present Senior Principal and Ecosystem Service Practice Director Joes role is to provide strategic consultation for projects directed at managing client environmental liabilities (e.g., NEBA, NRDA, oil spill response, offshore decommissioning, remediation, risk management) and assets, including natural resource valuations of land parcels. 2009-2016 Principal, Global Ecosystem Services Director, Ramboll Environ Provided strategic consultation for projects directed at managing client environmental liabilities (e.g., NEBA, NRDA, oil spill response, offshore decommissioning, remediation, risk management) and assets, including natural resource valuations of land parcels. 1999-2009 Vice President, Natural Resource Liability and Asset Management, C112M HILL Provided strategic consultation for projects directed at managing client environmental liabilities (e.g., NEBA, NRDA, oil spill response, offshore decommissioning, remediation, risk management) and assets, including natural resource valuations of land parcels. 1998-1999 President, Nicolette Environmental, Inc. NRDA Project Strategy, Management, and Negotiations Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV 1990-1998 Senior Consultant, ENTRIX Inc. Oil Spill Response and Damage Assessment Advisor 1984-1990 Operations Supervisor, Adirondack lakes Survey Corporation Oversight of field operations, data management, and QA/QC 1983-84 North Carolina State University Acid Deposition Program. Database Manager. Developed the Fish Information Network as part of acid deposition studies in the United States. Professional Affiliations USGS sponsored ACES (a community of ecosystem services) — Steering/Planning Committees 2008 -present Net Environmental Benefits Analysis Joe's contributions to the development of NEBA approaches, aside from co-authoring the first formalized NEBA framework, includes the conduct of national and international presentations and workshops (Brazil, Canada, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Malaysia, Norway, Scotland, South Africa, Sweden, Thailand, United States, etc.) related to ecosystem service valuation, benefits assessment (i.e., NEBA), risk management, project development, resource equivalency, oil spill response and planning, site remediation and damage assessment. Joes success in this area also includes: ✓ Recognition of, and incorporation of the formalized NEBA framework by the USEPA in a report by the USEPA Science Advisory Report entitled "Valuing the Protection of Ecological Systems and Services", (2009). ✓ A chapter regarding NEBA that was integrated into Interstate Technical Regulatory Council Guidance (2006). ✓ Pilot studies evaluating appropriate metrics for NEBA for site cleanup, restoration, and remediation on behalf of the US Environmental Protection Agency (2008). ✓ Guidance for the London Energy Institute (2009 and 2010, London) on the Environmental Liability Directive and on establishing ecological baselines F, D N N I Joseph Nicolette (pre -incident) using NEBA concepts. NEBA support for the Oil and Gas Producers (2015-2016) (OGP) Joint Industry Group (JIP) related to oil spill response and planning in the Arctic. He was the lead author of a book chapter (published in March of 2013 by the Oxford Press) that provided an overview of the U.S. natural resource damage assessment regulations and the development of resource equivalency analysis approaches. The book was entitled "The E.U. Liability Directive: A Commentary". He led Chapter 9 that was entitled "Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage". The chapter also discusses the similarities and differences of the U.S. NRDA rules in relation to the ELD. Led the first NEBA studies for decommissioning of offshore oil and gas platforms in Australia and the North Sea (2014 -Present). Multiple published papers and reports related to NEBA and ecosystem service valuation. Multiple client projects using NEBA and ecosystem service valuation approaches to address remedial risk issues and manage costs Joseph has served on the Planning and Steering committees for the ACES Conferences (A Community of Ecosystem Services), working with the United States Geological Survey Conference leaders since 2008. Participated in the conduct of numerous environmental assessments associated with the development of restoration and remedial decisions. This includes the ecosystem service valuation of compensatory restoration projects related to NRDA or other resolutions. Example Projects Armstrong World Industries CERCLA OU -1 Site, Macon, Georgia. Joe served as the EPA Project Coordinator on behalf of AWI and provided oversight of Operable Unit 1 (OU -1) evaluations, including the development of the environmental engineering/cost analysis (EE/CA), remedial design/remedial action, Post - Closure, NRDA/NEBA considerations, and supporting field sampling. He assisted in negotiations with the USEPA and State agencies and coordinated OU -1 CERCLA activities, on behalf of AWI, with the USEPA and GAEPD. The primary contaminant of concern was PCBs. He provided oversight of the site characterization efforts including the development of study plans, the Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV ecological and human health risk assessments, and the site remedy with a focus on the managing potential PCB risks. BP Deepwater Horizon. Joe served as a Project Technical Lead related to selected damage assessment (NRDA) issues associated with the Deepwater Horizon Gulf of Mexico oil release. Crab Orchard National Wildlife Refuge, PCB CERCLA/NRDA Site, Marion, Illinois. Joe led PCB site characterization, remedial alternatives analysis through NEBA, remediation implementation, and NRDA liability management). Joseph served as the CERCLA Project Coordinator jointly working with two PRP's (Schlumberger and the USFWS). He helped negotiate environmental remedial and NRDA associated liabilities related to historical PCB releases at the site. In serving as the Project Coordinator, he coordinated closely with the federal (USFWS, USEPA) and state (IL DNR, IL EPA) regulatory agencies. This was a unique case in that the USFWS was a PRP and at the same time, a trustee for natural resources. Innovative risk management data collection and analysis approaches were used to support risk management decision-making and included incremental sampling study design and surface weighted area concentration (SWAG) analysis A NEBA-based approach using resource equivalency analysis was used as part of the remedial and damage assessment resolution, saving the client over $10 million dollars. Edwards Air Force Base (EAFB) and NASA CERCLA Site, California. NRDA and remedial NEBA negotiations. Joe provided NRDA and remedial NEBA support to EAFB as the responsible party at this site. Joseph developed an overarching CERCLA NRDA and NEBA strategy to EAFB and participated in agency negotiations. Major issues were related to groundwater and surface soil contamination. A NEBA was used to demonstrate that the presumptive pump and treat remedy would provide no net benefit to the public. A less intrusive NINA alternative was instituted and reduced project costs by $65 million. USEPA OSWER NEBA Studies, Colorado and Florida Joe served as the Principle Investigator for a project evaluating the metrics that can be used to evaluate changes in ecosystem services associated with site remediation and local development. This work was conducted for the F. D Joseph Nicolette USEPA OSWER group as it relates to evaluating the net environmental benefit (NEBA) associated with remedial actions at superfund sites. The USEPA was evaluating the use of NEBA to help demonstrate the benefits and environmental stewardship associated with site remediation and in the selection of site management alternatives. These studies were conducted for the USEPA at Rocky Mountain Arsenal, Colorado, and Homestead AFB, Florida. This project was directed at a "real world" evaluation of metrics that can be used to evaluate changes in ecosystem service values associated with site cleanup decision making. This project was titled "Demonstrating the Net Environmental Benefit of Site Cleanup; An Evaluation of Ecological and Economic Metrics at Two Superfund Sites" was conducted for the USEPA Superfund group as it relates to evaluating the net environmental benefit associated with remedial actions at Superfund sites and appropriate metrics. This work was developed to be consistent with the Millennium Assessment ecological service categorization. Texas: For Region 6 USEPA, Joe supported the conduct of NEBAs to evaluate remedial alternatives at two orphan sites in Texas. The NEBAs were used to demonstrate the benefitslimpacts associated with remediation. These are described below. NEBA for USEPA: Jasper Creosoting Company Superfund Site, Texas: An ecological risk assessment (ERA) for a wetland indicated low to medium risks for benthic invertebrates and a subset of upper trophic level receptors associated with exposure to dioxin and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in sediment. Joe supported the development of a NEBA for USEPA Region 6 to quantify the net present value of the ecological services associated with no further action and six remedial alternatives involving monitoring, phytoremediation and combinations of full removal, partial removal and wetland enhancement. The NEBA demonstrated that monitored natural attenuation coupled with phytoremediation would provide the greatest net environmental benefit at the least cost and decrease ecological risks over time. The cost of this alternative was estimated to be more than $2 million less than the most intrusive remedy. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV NEBA for USEPA: State Marine Superfund Site, Texas: Joe supported the development of a NEBA for the USEPA to evaluate remedial alternatives for marginal ecological risks to benthic invertebrates identified in intertidal sediments. The baseline level of ecological service associated with no further action and monitored natural attenuation was evaluated as well as the net change in ecological services that would be expected with a sediment removal action. The NEBA results indicated that the loss of ecological services associated with no further action would be minor, if injury was occurring, and that the intrusive remedy would create a greater net ecological service loss because of impacts to habitat. In this case, no further action was selected as the preferred alternative as the NEBA demonstrated that expenditure of more than $6 million on sediment removal would not be protective of the environment. Army Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) Strategy Studies Joe served as the Principal Investigator for the U.S. Department of the Army of four studies designed to understand site development and reuse strategies and integration of natural resource values to maximize the benefits associated with site natural resources and remedial strategies. For these studies, potential site remedial alternatives were evaluated in conjunction with potential reuse scenarios to reflect the interdependencies between remediation and property reuse. The goal for each site was to identify the combination of remedial action and re -use that would provide for the protection of human health and the environment while providing the greatest net ecological and human use value. This series of studies conducted over two years and included the following four Army BRAC sites: Camp Bonneville, Washington; Savanna Army Depot, Illinois; Fort Ord, California; and Fort McClellan, Alabama. The Department of the Army used the information from these analyses to develop preferred land management and remedial actions for each site that minimize remedial costs while maximizing natural resource values to the public. Passaic River, New Jersey. Joe developed a preliminary example NEBA evaluation for Passaic River remedial alternatives (large scale sediment dredging) as proposed by the USEPA. The overall goal was to demonstrate the F, D Joseph Nicolette environmental and human health cost/benefit of proposed intrusive remediation. Tennessee EIS Support Eco Asset Valuation: Comparing Economic Development and Conservation of over 300 Land Parcels Joe was the technical lead for a land eco -valuation project for a confidential client. In partnership with the client's Resource Stewardship Division, Joseph led a Land Valuation Pilot for 14,000 acres that surrounded a reservoir in Tennessee. This project was conducted as a NEBA in support of the client's NEPA documentation (e.g., supporting the preferred alternative) that will drive the management of properties surrounding the reservoir. As part of this work, he evaluated and compared the environmental (e.g., natural resource) value and real estate (e.g., "highest and best" land use) value associated with the parcels located within the project area given the three proposed land use alternative scenarios (e.g. no -action, balanced conservation and recreation, and balanced development and recreation). This analysis resulted in the development of a 4th preferred alternative that maximized ecosystem service values (ecological and human use) back to the public. Brownfield Site NEBA Options Analysis. Joe provided oversight of the incorporation of a NEBA framework for a large brownfield site. He collaboratively worked with the City of Milwaukee, the public, regulatory agencies and prospective developers as part of the City of Milwaukee's Menomonee Valley Industrial Center Redevelopment Program to create a sustainability -focused brownfield's success. Through the use of a NEBA framework, he was able to evaluate the development plans for the Brownfield site and modify/tweak the designs to maximize ecological and human use values to the public. We were able to demonstrate that the revised plan for site restoration and remediation activities created ecological, recreational and aesthetic creation/enhancement benefits estimated at over $120MM of value to the public. In addition, the NEBA also assisted in identifying over $25MM in value - engineered cost savings and new-found revenue streams from the beneficial re -use of materials. NEBA for PCB Related Dam Removal at Lake Hartwell, South Carolina. Joe assisted a client in evaluation of the ecological impacts associated with the removal of two Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV dams in South Carolina. The dam removals were being conducted as part of an NRDA settlement associated with PCB releases. Joe evaluated ongoing fish tissue PCB concentrations associated with MMA activities. Lower Passaic River, PRP Group NRDA Negotiations and Strategy Advisement, New Jersey. Joe supported a group of Cooperating PRP's in developing a strategy and negotiating with the State and federal trustees regarding the Lower Passaic River NRDA. Joseph directly interfaced with the Companies and the State and federal Trustees. His role was to assist the PRP's in developing a strategy to manage their NRDA liability at the site. He assisted with conducting preliminary evaluations of ecological and human use injury and compensatory restoration project identification. LCP CERCLA Site, Brunswick, Georgia, PCB releases. Joe provided remedial NEBA analysis and NRDA support associated with PCB releases for a client in Brunswick, GA. His role was to evaluate ecological risk data for the purposes of integrating select areas of the estuary into a NEBA sediment management approach. In addition, he also evaluated injury assessment data and developed potential compensatory restoration options as part of this project. He participated in agency meetings and discussions regarding remedial and NRDA issues. Delaware River, Pennsylvania, PCBs. Joe supported a PRP on ecological risk and NRDA issues associated with historical PCB releases at the Metals Bank site. Specifically, he evaluated potential impacts of PCBs on aquatic invertebrates, fish, and birds. A resource equivalency analysis approach was used as part of the damage assessment. Joe evaluated agency impact analyses and developed appropriate compensatory restoration. Kalamazoo River, Michigan, PCBs. Joe assisted a client on the Kalamazoo River in the evaluation of historical PCB concentrations, potential impacts to fish and terrestrial biota, development of appropriate SWAC concentrations, and remedial alternative evaluations. Joe evaluated fish tissue PCB concentrations and examined trends of PCBs in fish along the river. Sediment PCB Remedial NEBA Evaluation. Confidential Client, Portland, Oregon. Joe provided F. D Joseph Nicolette technical and strategic support to a client on the Willamette River to settle its NRDA mitigation liability. Wisconsin Tissue, Fox River PCBs. Joe provided technical and strategic advice to Wisconsin Tissue regarding the Fox River NRDA and participated in trustee negotiations on behalf of Wisconsin Tissue. Confidential Client, Calumet River CERCLA, Allocation, Remedial, and NADA Support. Joe represented a potentially responsible party (PRP) with remedial and NRDA liabilities associated with historical PCBs, metals, etc. releases. In this context, Joe reviewed allocation issues, HEA model runs, sediment ecological and water toxicity data, and sediment and water column concentration data to assist the client in responding to demands of the natural resource trustees and other PRPs. Allocation Modeling. Confidential Clients, New York, New Jersey, and Indiana: Joe has provided PRP identification and remedial liability allocation support for two major industrial clients in the states of New York, New Jersey, and Indiana. The overall purpose of these projects was to identify potential PRPs and rank them by estimated contribution in relation to one another. Based upon the information gathered during this work (e.g., volumes released, parameter toxicity, geographic location), supported the development of allocation models and the approach for determining estimates of the portion of remedial liability associated with each PRP. Colonial Pipeline Company. Senior NRDA Advisor (1993 -Present). Oil spill response, planning and assessment. Joe's responsibilities included overall project management (of oil release impact assessments, including participation in company planning and drills) for Colonial from a technical and administrative aspect, including project strategy, coordination with the governmental regulatory agencies, management of contractors, cost control and management, task management, field study coordination, risk management, technical expertise, and report generation. In addition, he provides overall management and oversight of necessary compensatory restoration required as part of a spill settlement, if any. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV Example emergency releases Joe has responded to and/or provided expertise for environmental assessments include the following: o BP, Deepwater Horizon, Gulf of Mexico o BP barge release, Elizabeth River, VA o Sugarland Run, Potomac River o Darling Creek, Louisiana o Lookout Mountain, Tennessee o Tennessee River/Goose Creek, Knoxville o Reedy River, South Carolina o San Jacinto River, Texas o Pine Bend, Tennessee o Simpsonville, South Carolina o Sun Oil, barge release, Delaware River, DE o Maritrans, tug barge release, Mississippi River, MN o Amoco Pipeline, pipeline release, Whiting, Illinois o Southern Pacific Railroad, tanker car (release of metum sodium, Sacramento River, CA) o Buckeye Pipeline release, Allegheny River, PA o Buckeye Pipeline release, Quinnipiac River, CT o EXXON, tanker, Prince William Sound, Valdez, AK o Plantation Pipeline, pipeline release, Rich Fork, NC o Plantation Pipeline, pipeline release, Ward Road, GA o Conoco. Calcasieu Estuary, Louisiana o Unocal, Guadalupe, CA o Union Pacific Railroad, 7 train derailment releases, UT, CO o Petrobras, pipeline release, Brazil Rainforest o CITGO, pipeline release, Texas o Multiple smaller releases Alabama, Marshall Space Flight Center. NRDA, NEBA, and site remediation of groundwater contamination at NASA Marshall Space Flight Center CERCLA Site in Alabama. Joe was retained to provide oversight of a NRDA for the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama. Joseph assisted in coordinating the assessment with the natural resource trustees and provided technical support for determining the potential levels of injury and potential scale of compensatory restoration. This project also entailed the use of NEBA to evaluate potential remedial alternatives associated with the site. D Joseph Nicolette Koch Site, Hastings, Minnesota Using natural resource economics -based approaches, Joe supported an assessment of the value to the public of converting a land asset along the Mississippi River to a public recreational use to obtain a consent decree, facilitate site closure, and generate substantial goodwill with the public. The fair market value of the property was $215,000 and the recreational value, given the transfer scenario, was approximately $30 million (see following press release). "Plans Announced for Koch Riverfront Park; City to Complete Bike Trail, Develop Park with Koch Petroleum Group's Gift of Land, April 20, 2000 5:46 PM EDT HASTINGS, Minn., April 20 /PRNewswire/ -- At a ceremony held today on the west bank of the Mississippi River, the City of Hastings and Koch Petroleum Group unveiled a joint initiative to develop a bike trail and a community park on riverfront property currently owned by Koch. David Robertson, president of Koch Petroleum Group, announced the company's donation of 43 acres of Mississippi riverfront land to the city. Hastings Mayor Mike Werner also announced that the city will name the area Koch Riverfront Park. The announcement ceremony, hosted by Werner and Robertson, was held at the riverfront site immediately northwest of downtown Hastings. "We sincerely hope that generations of area families will enjoy the park, and that it will serve as a gathering place that will connect community members to each other and to the river, " said Robertson. The appraised market value of the land is $215,000; its potential recreation value to the public is estimated at $30 million based on a recent study... " RMC, Troutdale Superfund Site, Oregon — CERCLA, NEBA, CWA, NRDA. Joe provided strategic advice regarding the evaluation of remediation options for RMC's 16 -acre NPDES process water pond ("Company Lake"). Regulatory agencies stated a desire to declare the pond a Water of the State. Such a determination would have eliminated RMC's ability to use the pond as part of the plant's NPDES wastewater management system. This would have required closing the plant or constructing a replacement storm water treatment system. Joseph supported a collaborative negotiation process that resulted in integrating pond remediation, continued pond use for NPDES purposes, plant storm water system upgrades, and an informal settlement of NRD claims. Direct savings to RMC in reduced project scope are estimated at more than Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV $1 million. Indirect savings associated with retaining use of Company Lake are believed to exceed $10 million. Land Transfer and Restoration Strategy, Confidential Client, Utah Joe contributed to a study whose purpose was to determine the status of real estate, contamination and natural resource conditions for a large and complex industrial site in Utah. This analysis served to develop a path forward to demonstrate and maximize the value of a site by integrating site cleanup with site reuse and future development. This study considered and integrated Property Reuse Alternatives, Alternative Remedial Approaches, Natural Resource Assets, and Liability Transfer Options. The results of the study provided the high-level framework to establish a reasonable performance target for the eventual reuse of the site and helped the client to maximize the overall ecological and human use values that the site could provide under various reuse scenarios. For most large, complex sites there is an initial degree of uncertainty associated with defining environmental remediation and the potential impact on the real estate and ecological assets of the site. The study process was developed to establish high-level opportunities for value enhancement through the development of a proactive strategy to reduce this uncertainty and effectively reposition the property for sale and future site reuse. This study was a key step in the process to ensure that the site is proactively repositioned, sold and redeveloped. The study also reduced the uncertainty associated with existing environmental remediation and restoration and provides insight into the environmental issues associated with site reuse. Tactical Oil Response Plans. Joe has led the development of tactical response plans for Colonial Pipeline for multiple locations in the SE United States. These plans have been developed with NEBA concepts in mind to assist Colonial in managing response efforts in the event of a release. Joe supports Colonial in annual spill drill events. His role is to help Colonial Pipeline manage environmental impacts and liabilities during an event, including NEBA considerations in OSRP. Pipeline Mitigation Projects Joe led a NEBA to evaluate the mitigation requirements for a pipeline expansion project in Louisiana. This project demonstrated that the compensatory restoration was 60% less than that F• D Joseph Nicolette requested by the USACE. This reduced the client project costs substantially. The results were published in the Oil and Gas Pipeline Magazine. For the same client, Joe led a NEBA to evaluate the mitigation requirements for a pipeline expansion project in Texas. This project demonstrated that the compensatory restoration was significantly less (greater than 50% less) than what was estimated to be requested by the USACE. This analysis incorporated the resource equivalency approaches and consideration of socioeconomic benefits Mitigation Bank Prospectus Development and Financial Cash Flow Analysis For a confidential client, Joe led the evaluation of the remedial liability and buffer land wetland and stream mitigation banking value associated with the clients property. Based on the evaluation, ENVIRON staff calculated the credit values for both the wetland and stream banking opportunities and developed a mitigation bank prospectus that was negotiated with the US Army Corps of Engineers. As with any mitigation banking project, the primary uncertainties in determining the cost and return of a project include: the quantity of credits that can be realized, the market available for the credits, the sale price of the credits and the cost of restoration or creating the credits. Joe conducted an analysis to understand the mitigation banking uncertainties and minimize these uncertainties. A financial cash flow analysis was conducted to bound the project uncertainties. The mitigation bank cash flow financial analysis was conducted based upon our understanding of the credit values, demand and potential site uplift (i.e., number of credits to be allocated). This analysis provided our client with the information necessary to evaluate the business case for the bank as more refined information became available. As such, it provided an "off ramp" should any information arise that would make the mitigation bank non -desirable from a financial perspective. The cash flow analysis was a critical step to determine viability of the project. The cost and returns were predicted under conservative, likely and aggressive scenarios. Confidential Railroad, Litigation Support (Utah, Nevada, Colorado). Joe was retained by a major railroad to support a major litigation case. Joe Nicolette served as Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV a technical expert for the railroad providing expertise related to the environmental effects of chemical releases to the environment (tanker car releases associated with derailments along multiple sites: diesel and sulfuric acid releases) and the NRDA process. He evaluated multiple sites regarding NRDA liability and provided strategic advice to the client regarding potential liabilities. This case was settled prior to deposition. Confidential Paper Company: Private and Public Interest Property Valuation Joe led a study for a large paper company to evaluate the natural resource value associated with buffer properties surrounding a mill that was scheduled for closure. The client was looking to capture eco -asset values not typically considered in fair market valuations. The evaluation considered multiple land parcels for several hundred acres of property and provided an assessment of the "private" and "public' interest value associated with the property. Using this information, the client was able to negotiate the sale of the property, manage site liabilities, and capture value greater than a fair market value. This project included an evaluation of wetland and stream mitigation banking value including calculation and estimation of potential credit values and potential cash-flow for the site. The eco - asset valuation estimated the minimum private interest value (based on the ranges developed in this memorandum) was estimated to be about $7,500,000. The FMV of the property was in the range of $400,000. The overall public interest value was estimated to be $5,200,000. Client used this analysis to inform negotiations regarding the sale of their property. Confidential Client, Los Angeles Harbor, California — NRDA. Joe assisted in an in-depth statistical analysis of sediment toxicity PCB and DDT concentrations. This project entailed a thorough analysis of sediment concentration threshold data and the applicability of these data to represent thresholds in sediments of the Los Angeles Harbor area. This analysis was conducted to provide a sound scientific basis to refute the apparent effects threshold (AET) levels developed by a NOAA expert witness. Statistical Analysis, Lower Bayou d7nde and Calcasieu River Estuary. Joe examined the spatial and temporal trends of hexachlorobenzene, and hexachlorobutadiene F, D Joseph Nicolette (HCB and HCBD, respectively), PCBs, and mercury in sediments and biological tissues in these waterways. Evaluated trend data in response to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) comments regarding analysis of the data. These data will be used in creating a proposed restoration -based compensation approach for the site using NEBA, HEA, and ROA. American Petroleum Institute Aquatic Toxicity Studies. Joe participated in a study to evaluate the toxicity of petroleum products on fish, invertebrates, algae, and zooplankton for use in NRDA's. The purpose of the project was to conduct a critical review of toxicity values for the purposes of identifying potential risks associated with released oil. This study screened about 8,000 references published on the fate and effects of petroleum in the environment. The study evaluated and compared toxicity values for a range of petroleum substances from crude oil to petroleum products. This analysis identified the large disparity between acute (LC50) values for a given compound for the same species and identified the likely causes associated with methods used to derive toxicity values. Conoco, Clooney Loop, Louisiana. Assisted in development of a net environmental benefits analysis to demonstrate that a less intrusive remedy for ethylene dichloride coupled with wetlands restoration resulted in greater environmental benefit than dredging remedy. Resulted in a cost savings of $19 million to Conoco. Exxon Valdez, Alaska. When the supertanker Exxon Valdez struck a rock reef and spilled approximately 11 million gallons of crude oil into Prince William Sound, Joe participated in a project to evaluate the impacts of the oil release on invertebrate populations in selected Prince William Sound areas. The purpose of the work was to collect data to contribute to a NEBA. Data were collected to describe the epifauna and epiflora, cryptic fauna, and infauna of oiled and reference beaches and to relate the composition, numbers, and vertical distribution of infauna to the amounts of subsurface oil. International Project Examples Landmark Enforcement Case, U.K. Joe provided technical oversight (2013) for a recent landmark Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV enforcement undertaking in the U.K. for a water pollution offence. This was the first enforcement undertaking accepted by the environment agency for a pollution incident. Joe led the technical effort for the client's external legal representation in assessing suitable actions to compensate for the environmental impacts of a river pollution incident. The technical basis for the resolution was the use of a resource equivalency analysis approach (i.e., habitat equivalency analysis — HEA). The Environment Agency accepted an enforcement undertaking as a practical alternative to a prosecution and fine. This was the first case in the U.K. to use this approach. Lago Maggiore, Italy Joe led a Comparative Analysis (CA) (e.g. a NEBA) to provide a formal quantification of the change in key ecosystem service values that would be associated with the implementation of a remedial action and compares those changes to costs and predicted changes in risk. The goal of a CA is to provide information to support the selection of remedial alternatives that maximize benefits to the public, while managing site risks and costs. Offshore Decommissioning O&G platforms and FPSO's in the North Sea and Western Australia Confidential Clients Joe was the Principal Investigator leading NEBA efforts associated with the decommissioning of offshore O&G platforms and FPSO's (Australia and the North Sea). These NEBA projects entail an understanding of the environmental conditions of the site; subsea infrastructure design, removal alternatives that can be considered for the site, ROV analysis, fate and transport of potential chemical releases and baseline conditions, ecological and human risk assessment evaluations for both potential chemical (NORM, petroleum, mercury, etc.) releases and physical impacts associated with removal alternative implementation; associated GHG emissions of removal alternatives; human use evaluation of the sites (e.g., commercial, recreational fisheries); Marine life and CITES evaluations; baseline and predictive impact assessment; and worker health and safety. Arctic NEBA, Oil and Gas Industry. Joe worked as part of an integrated team to develop a NEBA tool for oil spill response and planning for the Oil and Gas Producers Joseph Nicolette (OGP) Joint Industry Group (JIP) related to oil spill response and planning in the Arctic. The overall goal of the Phase 2 Project is to help evaluate oil spill response technologies, their application in the Arctic environment, and develop a decision-making tool to limit environmental and social impacts in the event of an oil release. Ecosystem Services Analysis of Chlorpyrifos Use in Citrus Production, Spain Joe led an analysis of the effects on ecosystem services (ES) of using an agricultural insecticide (chlorpyrifos) in citrus orchards in south- eastern Spain to identify risk management actions and understand the consequences of the hypothetical situation of discontinued use of chlorpyrifos. Farmers rely on chlorpyrifos to limit the occurrence of skin blemishes on the surface of citrus fruit caused by scale insects. Citrus fruit is graded for sale based on size, shape and lack of skin blemishes under European marketing regulations; farmers only make a profit when unblemished fruit is sold in Europe. ES, including income, were compared for the current status and the hypothetical scenario. The study concluded that discontinuation of chlorpyrifos use would result in significant economic losses for the region when only a small change in current orchard management, such as using a vegetated conservation area for risk mitigation, could offset potential ecological impacts while maintaining farmer's income and the recreational value of orchards to local people. The study informed advocacy discussions between the client, scientists and policy makers responsible for pesticide authorisation in Europe. Ecosystem Services Analysis of an Agricultural Molluscicide used in the UK Joe led an analysis of the effects on ecosystem services (ES) of using an agricultural molluscicide in winter wheat and oilseed rape production in the UK. These are key crops and farmers in north- western Europe rely on the control of slugs using pelleted molluscicides for crop protection. The study compared marketing leading molluscicides and presented the costs and benefits of each across a range of ecosystem services, including crop production, habitat services (e.g. indicator farmland species), soil and drinking water services. The findings informed advocacy discussions with pesticide regulators at a national level and had implications for other environmental policies, such as the European Water Framework Directive. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV Ecosystem Services Analysis of 1,3-Dichloropropene (1,3-D) Use in Tomato Production, Italy The use of 1,3- D as a soil fumigant for the control of damaging nematode pests in tomato production in Southern Italy and Sicily was evaluated using an ecosystem services approach. 1,3- D is currently approved for emergency use in Italian tomato cultivation, although its use is widespread and well established amongst growers. A field visit and interviews with farmers underpinned the socio-economic aspects of the study. The findings compared traditional chemical controls (1,3-D) with perceived `green' approaches to cultivation, such as soil solarisation (covering soil with plastic) and biofumigation (use of biological fumigants). The study provided an analysis of the costs and benefits to the environmental and socio-economic services for each alternative, which could be used to inform policy makers. Database Design and Structuring Examples Gulf of Mexico Baseline Database System Development - Deepwater Horizon (2010-2015). Based on his experience in NRDA combined with his large scale relational database training, design, and management, Joseph was assigned to serve as technical lead for the development of a baseline information management system incorporating ecological, chemical, physical, socioeconomic, and GIS mapping data in the Gulf of Mexico. This database system was used to evaluate the potential for natural resource damages associated with ecological and human use services in the Gulf of Mexico, and incorporated data from Florida, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas. North Carolina Acid Deposition Program: USEPA Acid Deposition and Fisheries Populations in the Northeast U.S. Joe designed this database system that contains chemical, physical and biological data on fish populations potentially impacted by acidic deposition. The development of this complex database required integration and coordination of multiple databases across multiple U.S. states and development of a database structure to allow data transfer. The database was used by the USEPA in evaluating acid deposition. Adirondack Lakes Acid Deposition Data Management System. This is a nationally recognized database which incorporated physical, biological and chemical data Joseph Nicolette associated with over 1,700 lakes in New York State. The database was funded by the State of New York Department of Environmental Conservation (NYDEC) and the Empire State Electric Energy Corporation (ESEERCO). The Adirondack Lake database was used primarily for acid deposition assessment by the EPA and the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP). Selected Publications and Project Reports Deacon, S., Norman, S., Nicolette, J., Reub, G., Greene, G., Osborn, R., and Andrews, P. 2015. Integrating ecosystem services into risk management decisions: Case study with Spanish citrus and the insecticide chlorpyrifos. Science of the Total Environment. Elsevier publishing. 505 (2015) 732-739. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.10.034 Nicolette, J., Burr, S., and Rockel, M. 2013. A Practical Approach for Demonstrating Environmental Sustainability and Stewardship through a Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. Sustainability 2013, 5, 2152-2177; doi:10.3390/su5052152, Published May 10, 2013. Nicolette, J., Goldsmith, B., Wenning, R., Barber, T., and Colombo, Fabio. 2013, Experience with Restoration of Environmental Damage. Chapter 9 of the book entitled "The E.U. Liability Directive: A Commentary", edited by L. Berkamp and B. Goldsmith. Published March 14, 2013, Oxford Press. Pages 181-219. Colombo, F., Nicolette, J., Wenning, R., and M. Travers. 2012. Incorporating Ecosystem Service Valuation in the Assessment of Risk and Remedy Implementation. Chemical Engineering Transactions, 28, 55-60 DOI: 10.3303/CET1228010 Nicolette, J. Rockel, M. and D. Pelletier. 2011. Incorporating Ecosystem Service Valuation into Remedial Decision -Making: Net Ecosystem Service Analysis. American Bar Association. Superfund and Natural Resource Damage Litigation Committee Newsletter, December 2011, Vol. 7. No. 1. S. Deacon, A. Goddard, N. Eury, and J. Nicolette. 2010. Assessing risks to ecosystems: Using a net Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV environmental benefit analysis framework to assist with environmental decision-making. In Restoration and Recovery: Regenerating Land and Communities. British Land Reclamation Society. Whittles Publishing, Scotland, U.K. pages 164-175. A. Campioni, J. Nicolette and V. Magar. 2010. Riparazione danno ambientale: valutazione tecnica/economica. Rifiuti e bonifiche: www.ambientesicurezza.ilsole24ore.com. Pages 57- 60. S. Deacon, N. Eury, J. Nicolette, and M. Travers. 2010. The European Environmental Liability Directive and Comparisons with U.S. Natural Resource Damage Assessment Regulations. Air and Waste Management Association. Nicolette, J. 2008. Contributing Author. Use of net environmental benefit analysis to demonstrate the Net Benefit of Site Cleanup Actions: An Evaluation of Ecological and Economic Metrics at Two Superfund Sites. US. EPA Pilot Studies Report. Nicolette, J. 2003-2004 Contributing Author.: Net environmental benefit analyses (NEBA) for 4 Army BRAC Sites: Fort McClellan, AL, Savanna Army Depot, IL and Camp Bonneville, WA. Four separate technical study reports). Technical Reports. Efroymson, R., Nicolette, J. and Suter, G. 2004. A Framework for net environmental benefit analysis for remediation or restoration of contaminated sites. Environmental Management. September 2004. Vol. 34: (3): pp 315-331. Efroymson, R.A., Nicolette, J. and Suter II, G.W. (2003). A Framework for Net Environmental Benefit Analysis for Remediation or Restoration of Petroleum -Contaminated Sites. Oak Ridge National Laboratory (TM -2003/17), Oak Ridge, Tennessee. Nicolette, J., Rockel, M. and Kealy M. 2001. Quantifying ecological changes helps determine best mitigation. Pipeline and Gas Industry Magazine. September 2001. Joseph Nicolette CH2MHILL/Marstel-Day, Inc. Contributing Author (2003-2004): Net environmental benefit analyses (NEBA) for Fort McClellan, AL, Savanna Army Depot, IL and Camp Bonneville, WA. Technical Reports. CH2MHILL. Contributing Author (2003-2004): Net environmental benefit analyses for OU6 and OU1 at Edwards Air Force Base, CA. Technical Reports. CH2M Hill. 2000. Environmental Assessment and Closure Report, Goose Creek, Knoxville, Tennessee Release Site. Prepared for the Tennessee Department of Environmental Conservation on Behalf of Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. CH2M Hill. 2000. Draft Response Action Plan. Terminal Road Site, Newington, Virginia. Prepared for the Plantation Pipeline Company. February 4. CH2M Hill. 2000. Contributing Author. Benthic Macroinvertebrate Sampling Plan, Rich Fork Release, North Carolina. Prepared for the Plantation Pipeline Company. CH2M Hill. 2000. Contributing Author. Evaluation of the Koch Hastings terminal Site with Regards to an NRDA. Prepared for Koch Petroleum. CH2M Hill. 1999-2001. Contributing Author. Quarterly Monitoring Reports aor the Darling Creek, Louisiana Site. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Quarterly Reports Beginning in First Quarter of 1999 Through 2000. CH2M Hill. 1999. Contributing Author. Net Environmental Benefits Analysis of Treatability Studies. Prepared for NASA (Marshall Space Flight Center) Superfund Site. CH2M Hill and Peacock, B. 1999. Contributing Author. Final Restoration Plan and Environmental Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline and the Natural Resource Trustees. Final Restoration Plan for the Sugarland Run Oil Spill, NRDA case. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV CH2M Hill 1999. Contributing Author. Preliminary Natural Resources Asset and Liability Management Study. Prepared for Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E). Entrix, Nicolette Environmental, Inc., and Peacock, B. 1998. Draft Restoration Plan and Environmental Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline and the Natural Resource Trustees. Draft Restoration Plan (for public review) for the Sugarland Run Oil Spill, NRDA case. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998c. Reedy River Fisheries Population Assessment. Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment, Report (Volumes I and II). Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft. April 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998d. Reedy River Ecological Assessment Studies: Conducted as part of the Reedy River NRDA. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Entrix. 1998a. Contributing Author. Water Quality Assessment: Conducted in Response to the Reedy River Incident. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft April 3. Entrix. 1998b. Contributing Author. Reedy River Aquatic Macroinvertebrate Assessment: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft April 3. Entrix. 1998c. Contributing Author. Preliminary Recreational Lost Use and Compensatory Restoration Assessment: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft April 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998a. Reedy River Corbicula Population and PAH Bioaccumulation Assessment: Conducted as Part of Joseph Nicolette the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft. April 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1998b. Reedy River Crayfish Population and PAH Bioaccumulation Assessment — Oct 1996 and Sep 1997: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft. Apr 3. Entrix and Nicolette Environmental, Inc. 1997. Quality Assurance Project Plan for the Reedy River Incident. Entrix. 1996a. Contributing Author. Reedy River Natural Resource Damage Assessment: Current Status and Proposed Approach. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft September 11. Entrix. 1996b. Contributing Author. Assessing Potential Injury to Wildlife Along the Reedy River: A discussion Prepared as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for the Natural Resource Trustees and Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Project Number 773712. Draft October 15. Entrix. 1996. Contributing Author. Natural Resource Credit Analysis for a Confidential Site. Based upon the Habitat Equivalency Analysis Framework. Confidential Client. Markarian, R.K., J.P. Nicolette, T. Barber, and L. Giese. 1995. A Critical Review of Toxicity Values and an Evaluation of the Persistence of Petroleum Products for Use in Natural Resource Damage Assessments. American Petroleum Institute (API) Publication Number 4594. January. Nicolette, J.P., T.R. Barber, R.K. Markarian, T.W. Cervino, and D.V. Pearson. 1995. A Cooperative Natural Resource Damage Assessment (NRDA) case study: Coloial pipeline release, Reston, Virginia. Proceedings: Toxic Substances in Water Environments. Assessment and Control: Water Environment Federation. Pp. 7-21 to 7-32. May. Entrix. 1995. Contributing Author. Analytical Chemistry Results: Oyster and Sediment Samples from the Quinnipiac River, Connecticut. Prepared for Buckeye Pipeline Company and the Connecticut State Department of Agriculture. Entrix. 1995.c Contributing Author. Habitat Equivalency Analysis: Overview, Definition of Terms, and Debit Calculations for Sugarland Run, NRDA. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Addendum to the Fisheries Injury Assessment for Sugarland Run. Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix, 1994. Contributing Author. Mass Balance of Spilled Diesel: Simulation Modeling. Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Fish Population Survey and Injury Assessment for Sugarland Run: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Benthic Macroinvertebrate Survey of Sugarland Run, Broad Run, and the Potomac River: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. For Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Corbicula PAH Bioaccumulation Study for Sugarland Run and the Potomac River: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. For Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Preliminary Survey: Analytical Chemistry Data Analysis for Sugarland Run and the Potomac River: Conducted as Part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV F-14pj Joseph Nicolette for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1994. Contributing Author. Vegetation Survey and Natural Communities of the Potomac River from Lowes Island to Chicamuxen Creek. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc., the USEPA, and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. NRDA Study Plan and Status: Sugarland Run and the Potomac River: Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Response Action Plan for Remediation of Spilled Diesel. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Quality Assurance Project Plan. Supplement to the Response Action Plan. Specific action to address Section 10.1 of the EPA Unilateral Order. Prepared for the Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Preliminary Survey Plan for Sugarland Run and the Potomac River in response to the EPA Administrative Order regarding the Sugarland Run oil spill. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the NR Trustees. Entrix. 1993. Contributing Author. Sediment and Water Quality Toxicity Tests for Sugarland Run. Conducted as part of the Natural Resource Damage Assessment. Prepared for Colonial Pipeline Company, Inc. and the Natural Resource Trustees. Entrix. 1992. Contributing Author. Oil Spill Response and Impact Assessment Report for British Petroleum (BP). Norfolk, Virginia Crude Oil Release. Entrix. 1992. Oil and Oil Product Toxicity Database User's Guide for OILTOX. Prepared for the American Petroleum Institute. Entrix. 1991. Contributing Author. Instream Flow Study and Gravel Enhancement on the White Salmon Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV River, Washington. FERC Relicensing Agency Review Document. Entrix. 1990. Contributing Author. Biological Data Report on the Intertidal Communities of Prince William Sound. Prepared for Exxon. Part of an evaluation of the environmental costs associated with oil cleanup in Prince William Sound as a result of the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Pilot Study Report -Predation by Piscivorous Fish in the Lower Tuolumne River, 1989. 1991. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. An Evaluation of the Effect of Gravel Ripping on Redd Distribution in the Lower Tuolumne River. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Tuolumne River Summer Flow Study. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Chinook Salmon Redd Excavations. Report for the Turlock -Modesto Irrigation District. EA Engineering, Science and Technology, Inc. 1989. Contributing Author. Adirondack Lakes Study: 1984-1987: An Evaluation of Fish Communities and Water Chemistry. Adirondack Lakes Survey Corp., NY. Final Report. Nicolette, J.P. and G.R. Spangler. 1986. Contributing Author. Population Characteristics of Adult Pink Salmon in Two Minnesota Tributaries to Lake Superior. Journal of Great Lakes Research. 12(4):237-250. Bagdovitz, M., W. Taylor, J. Nicolette, and G.R. Spangler. 1986. Contributing Author. Pink Salmon Populations in the U.S. Waters of Lake Superior, Joseph Nicolette 1981-1984. Journal of Great Lakes Research. 12(1):72-81. Nicolette, J.P. 1984. Contributing Author. A Three - Year -Old Pink Salmon In An Odd -Year Run in Lake Superior." North American Journal of Fisheries Management. Vol. 4(1):130-132. Baker, J, Harvey, T. and J.P. Nicolette. 1984. Contributing Author. Compilation of Available Data on the Status of Fish Populations in Regions of the Eastern U.S. Final Report to the Environmental Protection Agency, Corvallis, OR. Nicolette, J.P. 1983. Contributing Author. Population Dynamics of Pink Salmon in Two Minnesota Tributaries to Lake Superior. M.S. Thesis. University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN. 94 p. Appendix F - Joseph Nicolette CV F-16