Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout2016-0418_Duke_App_F_Mayo_F4ERICH :_'•: •► www.haleyaldrich.com EVALUATION OF WATER SUPPLY WELLS IN THE VICINITY OF DUKE ENERGY COAL ASH BASINS IN NORTH CAROLINA APPENDIX F - MAYO STEAM ELECTRIC PLANT by Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Boston, Massachusetts for Duke Energy File No. 43239 April 2016 Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Table of Contents Page List of Tables List of Figures iii List of Attachments iv List of Acronyms v F. Mayo 1 F.1 INTRODUCTION F.1.1 Facility Location and Description F.1.1.1 Facility Setting F.1.1.2 Past and Present Operations F.1.1.3 Facility Geological/Hydrogeological Setting F.1.2 Current CAMA Status F.1.2.1 Receptor Survey, September 2014, updated November 2014 F.1.2.2 Comprehensive Site Assessment, Round 1 Sampling Event, March — September 2015 F.1.2.3 Round 2 Sampling Event, October 2015 F.1.2.4 Corrective Action Plan — Part 1, 1 December 2015 F.1.2.5 Round 3 (December 2015) and Round 4 (January 2016) Groundwater Sampling F.1.2.6 Corrective Action Plan — Part 2, February 2016 F.1.3 Investigation Results F.1.4 Selected Remedial Alternative and Recommended Interim Activities F.1.5 Risk Classification Process F.1.6 Purpose and Objectives F.2 WATER SUPPLY WELL DATA EVALUATION F.2.1 Data Sources F.2.2 Screening Levels F.2.3 Results F.3 STATISTICAL EVALUATION OF BACKGROUND F.3.1 Initial Data Evaluation F.3.1.1 Regional Background Water Supply Well Data F.3.1.2 Facility Background Monitoring Well Data F.3.2 Raw Data Evaluation F.3.2.1 Regional Background Water Supply Well Data 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 10 11 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 APRIL 2016 i %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.3.2.2 Facility Background Monitoring Well Data F.3.3 Testing of Statistical Assumptions F.3.3.1 Regional Background Water Supply Well Data F.3.3.2 Facility Background Monitoring Well Data F.3.4 BTV Estimates F.3.5 Comparison of Water Supply Well Data to the Regional and Facility -Specific BTVs F.4 GROUNDWATER FLOW EVALUATION F.4.1 Introduction F.4.2 Site Geology F.4.3 Site Hydrogeology F.4.3.1 Site Conceptual Model F.4.3.2 Groundwater Flow Direction F.4.3.3 Groundwater Seepage Velocities F.4.3.4 Constituents Associated with CCR F.4.3.5 Extent of Boron Exceedances in Groundwater F.4.3.6 Bedrock and Depth of Water Supply Wells F.4.3.7 Groundwater Mounding F.4.3.8 Summary F.4.4 Site Groundwater Model Development and Results F.4.5 Summary and Conclusions F.5 GROUNDWATER CHARACTERISTICS EVALUATION F.5.1 Evaluation Approach F.5.2 CCR -Related Constituents Screening for Signature Development F.5.3 Data Analysis Methods F.5.3.1 Data Sources F.5.3.2 Data Aggregation F.5.3.3 Box Plot F.5.3.4 Correlation Plot F.5.3.5 Piper Plot F.5.4 Evaluation Results F.5.4.1 Box Plot Comparison F.5.4.2 Correlation Plot Evaluation F.5.4.3 Piper Plot F.5.5 Conclusions F.6 SUMMARY F.7 REFERENCES 15 15 16 16 16 17 18 18 18 19 19 20 21 21 22 23 23 24 24 26 26 27 28 29 29 29 30 30 30 31 31 32 34 36 37 38 APRIL 2016 ii %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo List of Tables Title Table No. Title F2-1 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to 2L Screening Levels F2-2 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to MCL Screening Levels F2-3 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels F2-4 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to RSL Screening Levels F2-5 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to 2L Screening Levels F2-6 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to MCL Screening Levels F2-7 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels F2-8 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to RSL Screening Levels F2-9 Do Not Drink Letter Summary F3-1 Duke Energy Background Water Supply Well Data F3-2 Facility Specific Background Data for Bedrock and Deep Monitoring Wells F3-3 Background Data Statistical Evaluation F3-4 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Sampling Data to Background Threshold Values F3-5 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Sampling Data to Facility Specific Background Threshold Values F5-1 Coal Ash Indicator Concentrations Observed in the Water Supply Wells of Low Oxygen List of Figures Figure No. Title F1-1 Location Map F1-2 Key Features F1-3 Location of Water Supply Wells and Facility Groundwater Conditions F3-1 Facility Background Wells F4-1 Site Conceptual Model — Plan View F4-2 Conceptual Cross -Section A -A' F4-3 Water Supply Well Capture Zones APRIL 2016 iii %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F5-1 Pourbaix Diagrams for Manganese with Measured Eh and pH from Site Monitoring Wells F5-2 Example Box Plot and Piper Plot F5-3 Box Plot Comparison for Major Coal Ash Constituents F5-4 Box Plot Comparison for Barium and Cobalt F5-5 Box Plot Comparison for Dissolved Oxygen, Iron, and Manganese F5-6 Bedrock Groundwater Wells and Direction of Groundwater Flow F5-7 Correlation Plot for Boron and Dissolved Oxygen F5-8 Sampled Water Supply Wells F5-9 Piper Plot Evaluation - Ash Basin Porewater and Facility Downgradient Bedrock Wells F5-10 Piper Plot Evaluation - Water Supply Wells and Facility Bedrock Wells F5-11 Piper Plot Evaluation - Water Supply, Facility Bedrock, and Ash Basin Porewater Wells List of Attachments Attachment Title F-1 Histograms and Probability Plots for Selected Constituents F-2 Results of Statistical Computations F-3 Method Computation Details APRIL 2016 iv %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo List of Acronyms 213 Standards North Carolina Surface Water Quality Standards as specified in T15 NCAC 026.0211 and.0216 2L Standards North Carolina Groundwater Quality Standards as specified in Title 15A NCAC.0202L amsl Above mean sea level BR Bedrock BTV Background Threshold Value CAMA North Carolina Coal Ash Management Act of 2014 CAP Corrective Action Plan CC Confidence Coefficient CFR Code of Federal Regulations CCR Coal Combustion Residuals CSA Comprehensive Site Assessment D Deep EPRI Electric Power Research Institute GOF Goodness -Of -Fit HSL Health Screening Levels IID Independent, Identically Distributed IMAC Interim Maximum Allowable Concentrations IQR Interquartile Range KM Kaplan -Meier µg/L Micrograms per Liter MCL Maximum Contaminant Level MDL Method Detection Limit MNA Monitored Natural Attenuation NCAC North Carolina Administrative Code NCDEQ North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality ND Non -Detect NPDES National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System NCDHHS North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services PPBC Proposed Provisional Background Concentration ROS Robust Regression on Order Statistics RSL Risk -Based Screening Level S Shallow SCM Site Conceptual Model SMCL Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level TDS Total Dissolved Solids TZ Transition Zone UPL95 95% Upper Prediction Limit USEPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency USGS U.S. Geological Survey UTL95-95 Upper Tolerance Limit with 95% confidence and 95% coverage APRIL 2016 v %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F. Mayo The contents of this document supplements previous work completed by Duke Energy to meet the requirements of the North Carolina Coal Ash Management Act of 2014 (CAMA) for the Mayo Steam Electric Plant (Mayo Plant or site), a coal-fired generating station. The purpose of this document is to provide the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ) with the additional information it needs to develop a final risk classification for the Mayo ash basin under the CAMA requirements. A technical weight of evidence approach has been used to evaluate the available data for the Mayo site, and the evaluation demonstrates that groundwater utilized by local water supply wells near the Mayo coal ash impoundment is not impacted by coal ash sources. These results support the NCDEQ's Low classification for the Mayo Plant under the CAMA. F.1 INTRODUCTION The first section of this document provides a description of the facility location, setting, past and present operations, a summary of activities conducted to meet the CAMA requirements, a summary of the on- site and background data evaluation findings and recommendations of the following reports: • Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA; SynTerra Corporation, Inc. [Synterra], 2015a); • Corrective Action Plan Part 1 (CAP -1; SynTerra, 2015b); • Corrective Action Plan Part 2 (CAP -2; SynTerra, 2016); and A review of the risk classification process and the status of that process are also provided. This report provides technical evaluations in four important assessment areas: 1) an evaluation of the private and public water supply well data collected by the NCDEQ with respect to groundwater standards and screening levels; 2) additional statistical analysis of regional background groundwater data, and facility -specific background groundwater data; 3) a more comprehensive evaluation of groundwater flow with respect to local water supply wells, including a water supply well capture zone analysis; and 4) a detailed comparison of facility -specific coal ash groundwater chemistry, background groundwater chemistry (both regional and facility -specific), and water supply well chemistry. F.1.1 Facility Location and Description Duke Energy owns and operates the Mayo Plant which is located in Person County near the city of Roxboro, North Carolina (Figure F1-1). F.1.1.1 Facility Setting The Mayo Plant became fully operational in June 1983. The Mayo Plant occupies 460 acres of land and is located next to Mayo Lake or Mayo Reservoir as shown on Figure F1-2. Forested areas encircle the southeast portion of the property to the southwest, south, east, and northwest. Mayo Lake borders the entire eastern portion of this part of the site (Figure F1-2). A portion of the northern Plant property line APRIL 2016 1 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo extends to the North Carolina/Virginia state line. The site is roughly bisected by Highway 501. The majority of the site, including the power plant, the ash basin, and the majority of operational features, is located east of Highway 501 and extends to the eastern shore of Mayo Lake. The property is bounded to the north by the North Carolina/Virginia state line. Mayo Lake Road runs west to east from the intersection with Highway 501 to NC County Road 1504. The portion of the site located west of Highway 501 contains the recently operational ash monofill and a haul road that connects the monofill with the operational portion of the Mayo Plant. A railroad spur bisects the western portion of the property. RT Hester Road also cuts across the northeastern portion of the western property. Per the North Carolina Administrative Code (15A NCAC 02L.0102), "Compliance Boundary' means a boundary around a disposal system at and beyond which groundwater quality standards may not be exceeded, and only applies to facilities that have received a permit issued under the authority of North Carolina General Statute (G.S.) 143-215.1 or G.S. 130A. The ash basin compliance boundary is defined in accordance with 15A NCAC 02L.0107(a) as being established at either 500 feet from the waste boundary or at the property boundary, whichever is closer to the waste. Properties located within a 0.5 -mile radius of the Mayo Plant compliance boundary are all contained within the site with the exception of the undeveloped parcel located due north of the northern plant boundary along Mayo Lake Road. Properties adjacent to Mayo Plant are located in Person County, North Carolina and Halifax County, Virginia. Undeveloped land occurs on the site west of Highway 501 with the exception of the recently completed monofill. The closest residences to the east of the site are along the easternmost shore of Mayo Lake. Undeveloped land borders the Mayo Plant to the north. Several residences are located just outside the Plant boundaries to the south and northwest (North Carolina and Virginia). The Mayo Plant's compliance boundary encircles the ash basin and the groundwater monitoring well network, except on the northeastern edge of the site where the compliance boundary is co -located with the boundary of the site. There are 22 private water supply wells and three former water supply wells identified within a 0.5 -mile radius of the ash basin compliance boundary (Figure F1-3). There are three inactive water supply wells on the site (informally designated as DEP-1, DEP-2, and DEP-3); it is noteworthy that the wells have been out of service for a number of years, even decades; therefore, they are not currently influencing groundwater flow. F.1.1.2 Past and Present Operations The Mayo Plant began coal-fired power production in 1983. There is a single ash basin present at the site, located northwest of the Plant, that contains ash generated from historic coal combustion. No other areas of coal ash, other than possible de minimis quantities, are known to exist at the site. The ash basin is situated to the northwest of the railroad line, and the power plant and majority of supporting operational features (e.g., coal pile, cooling towers, administrative buildings, substation, etc.) are situated southeast of the railroad line. Forested areas encircle the southeast portion of the property to the southwest, south, east, and northwest. Mayo Lake borders the entire eastern portion of this part of the site (Figure F1-2). APRIL 2016 2 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo The majority of sluiced ash was discharged to the basin on the northwest side of the railroad line. An obvious "ash delta" is noted in historical photographs where active sluicing occurred. Historical photographs dated 2008 also indicate that the site appears almost identical to the present day with mostly wooded areas surrounding the ash basin and power plant areas. The ash basin is approximately half open water and half ash. The Mayo Plant ash basin, operating under National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) Permit NC0038377, is impounded by an earthen embankment system approximately 2,300 feet long, with a dam height of 110 feet, and a crest height elevation of 479.8 feet above mean sea level (amsl). The basin area is approximately 144 acres and contains approximately 6,900,000 tons of coal combustion residual (CCR) material. F.1.1.3 Facility Geological/Hydrogeologica/ Setting The Mayo Plant is located in the geologic region known as the Piedmont Province which stretches from New Jersey to central Alabama. The widest portion of the Piedmont is located in North Carolina. The overall topography of the Plant generally slopes toward the east (Mayo Lake or Mayo Reservoir) and northeast (Crutchfield Branch). The topographically highest portion of the site is along the Plant entrance road just off of Highway 501. In general, the topography slopes away from the entrance road and the power plant area towards Mayo Lake. The power plant area is situated at an approximate elevation of 520 feet amsl and Mayo Lake is at an elevation of about 435 feet amsl, a vertical difference (relief) of 85 feet. One small stream traverses the southern end of this portion of the site flowing from west to east, originating south of the coal pile, and eventually flowing into Mayo Lake. Based on the site investigation, the groundwater system in the natural materials (alluvium, soil, soil/weathered bedrock, and bedrock) at the Mayo Plant is a fractured bedrock system and is an unconfined, connected system of flow layers. The Mayo Plant groundwater system is divided into three layers referred to in this report as the shallow (S), deep transition zone (D or TZ), and bedrock (BR) flow layers to distinguish the flow layers within the connected aquifer system. The nature of the Mayo Plant ash basin and the former stream valley of Crutchfield Branch in which the basin was constructed is the primary influence on groundwater flow and constituent transport. The basin acts as a bowl -like feature towards which groundwater flows from all directions except north. Groundwater flows from the ash basin into the small valley formed by Crutchfield Branch, which flows north. More detail on the site hydrogeology is provided in Section F.4. F.1.2 Current CAMA Status The CAMA is primarily administered by the NCDEQ. The CAMA requires the NCDEQ to, as soon as practicable, but no later than 31 December 2015, prioritize for the purpose of closure and remediation CCR surface impoundments, including active and retired sites, based on these sites' risks to public health, safety, and welfare, the environment, and natural resources. APRIL 2016 3 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo To this end, CAMA includes the following requirements for coal -fueled facilities that manage coal ash or CCR, the material that results from the combustion of coal for the creation of electric energy: • An assessment of groundwater at CCR surface impoundments; and • Corrective action for the restoration of groundwater quality at CCR surface impoundments. Duke Energy owns and operates, or has operated, 14 coal -fueled electric generating facilities in the state of North Carolina. Per the CAMA, the investigation reporting milestones for each facility include the following: • Groundwater Assessment Work Plan; • Groundwater Assessment Report, referred to as a Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA); and Corrective Action Plan (CAP), Note: As agreed with NCDEQ, the CAP reports were prepared in two parts: CAP -1 and CAP -2. Duke Energy has submitted the Groundwater Assessment Work Plans, CSAs, and CAP reports as required by the CAMA schedule. The CSA reports were submitted for all facilities by 2 September 2015. The CAP - 1 reports were submitted for all facilities by 8 December 2015. CAP -2 reports were submitted by 7 March 2016. The CAP -2 reports include a site-specific human health and ecological risk assessment that will be used to inform the remedial decision making for each facility. The CAMA also requires a survey of drinking water supply wells and replacement of water supplies if NCDEQ determines a well is contaminated by CCR -derived constituents. NCDEQ has yet to make such a determination under the CAMA. Duke Energy provided the NCDEQ with an evaluation of the NCDEQ- sampled water supply well (private well) data in December 2015 (Haley & Aldrich, 2015). This report serves to augment the evaluations provided in the December 2015 report. A brief summary of the objectives and approach for the Receptor Survey, CSA, CAP -1, CAP -2, and multiple sampling events is provided below: F.1.2.1 Receptor Survey, September 2014, updated November 2014 The receptor survey was conducted by Duke Energy for the purpose of identifying drinking water wells within a 0.5 -mile (2,640 -foot) radius of the Mayo Plant ash basin compliance boundary. Supplemental receptor survey information was obtained from responses to water supply well survey questionnaires mailed to property owners within the required distance requesting information on the presence of water supply wells, well details, and well usage. There were 22 private water supply wells and three former water supply wells on the Mayo Plant property identified 0.5 miles within the compliance boundary. Additionally, one NCDEP-registered public water supply well is located at the Bethel Hill Baptist Church, approximately 0.5 miles south (upgradient) of the Site. NCDEQ has reported analytical data for three private wells in the vicinity of the Mayo Plant. Figure F1-3 shows the water supply wells within this 0.5 -mile radius. APRIL 2016 4 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.1.2.2 Comprehensive Site Assessment, Round 1 Sampling Event, March — September 2015 The purpose of the Mayo Plant CSA was to collect information necessary to characterize the extent of impacts resulting from historical production and storage of coal ash, evaluate the chemical and physical characteristics of CCR constituents, investigate the geology and hydrogeology of the site including factors relating to contaminant transport, and examine risk to potential receptors and exposure pathways. The following assessment activities were performed as part of the CSA: • Installation of 29 groundwater monitoring wells and 11 soil borings to facilitate collection and analysis of chemical, physical, and hydrogeological parameters of subsurface materials encountered within and beyond the waste and compliance boundary. • Collection of groundwater sampled from 23 groundwater monitoring wells. • Collection of seep, surface water, and sediment samples. • Evaluation of laboratory analytical data to support the development of the site conceptual model (SCM). • Completion of a screening -level human health and ecological risk assessment. F.1.2.3 Round 2 Sampling Event, October 2015 A second round of groundwater, seep, and surface water samples were collected during the Round 2 event. The locations and methods were modeled after the first data collection event conducted for the CSA (SynTerra, 2015a). Samples were analyzed for total and dissolved CCR constituents. F.1.2.4 Corrective Action Plan — Part 1, 1 December 2015 The purpose of the CAP -1 report was to summarize CSA findings, evaluate background conditions by calculating Proposed Provisional Background Concentrations (PPBCs) for soil and groundwater, evaluate exceedances per sample medium with regard to PPBCs, refine the SCM, and present the results of the groundwater flow and contaminant fate and transport model, and the groundwater to surface water interaction model. The Mayo Plant CAP -1 (SynTerra, 2015b) presented PPBCs for groundwater, and soil. The PPBCs and other applicable regulatory standards were compared to the current site data from each of these media to determine the CCR constituents to be addressed in a potential corrective action to be proposed in CAP -2. This evaluation is updated in the subsequent CAP -2 report (SynTerra, 2016), as additional data was collected and evaluated against regulatory standards for each medium. Groundwater modeling of the fate and transport of CCR constituents identified to exceed standards was conducted to inform the corrective action plan. Three modeling scenarios were completed to assess the impact of potential corrective actions as follows: existing conditions; the effect of capping the CCR source areas to reduce rainfall infiltration; and the effect of excavating CCR materials. All three scenarios were modeled over a 100 -year timeframe. APRIL 2016 5 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.1.2.5 Round 3 (December 2015) and Round 4 (January 2016) Groundwater Sampling In response to an NCDEQ request, Duke Energy collected two rounds of groundwater samples from background wells. Facility background wells within the compliance boundary were identified and based on the SCM during preparation of the CSA Work Plan (SynTerra, 2014). Groundwater sample collection and analysis were conducted using procedures described in the CSA Report. See Section F.3 for a statistical evaluation of background concentrations. F.1.2.6 Corrective Action Plan — Part 2, February 2016 The purpose of the CAP -2 report is to provide the following: • A description of exceedances of groundwater quality standards, surface water quality standards, and sample results greater than the Interim Maximum Allowable Concentrations (IMAC) and North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (NCDHHS) health screening levels (HSL); • Present Round 3 of the groundwater sampling results; • A refined SCM; • Refined groundwater flow and fate and transport model results; • Refined groundwater to surface water model results; • Site geochemical model results; • Findings of the human health and ecological risk assessment; • Evaluation of methods for achieving groundwater quality restoration; • Conceptual plan(s) for recommended proposed corrective action(s); • A schedule for implementation of the proposed corrective action(s); and • A plan for monitoring and reporting of the effectiveness of the proposed corrective action(s). Groundwater data collected during the four sampling rounds were compared to the following standards: • North Carolina Groundwater Quality Standards as specified in Title 15A NCAC.0202L (21- Standards); • I MAC; • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) National Recommended Water Quality Criteria; • North Carolina Surface Water Quality Standards as specified in T15 NCAC 0213.0211 and.0216 (amended effective January 2015) (26 Standards); and/or • Site-specific PPBCs for groundwater at the Mayo Plant. APRIL 2016 6 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Data gap wells were installed at the site in January 2016 including: Monitoring well ABMW-02BRL located in the ash basin to assess vertical extent in bedrock groundwater; and • Piezometer MW-17BR located on the west side of the Plant railroad to provide a key hydrogeologic data point for water level and flow direction between groundwater flow regimes to the north and east. In addition, a surface water sample was collected from the small tributary to Crutchfield Branch that originates east of the 1981 landfill. F.1.3 Investigation Results Based on the CSA, CAP -1, and CAP -2 results, general observations regarding the spatial distribution of constituents in groundwater at the Mayo Plant are depicted in Figure F1-3 and are described as follows: • Impacts from CCR -constituents in groundwater are spatially limited to areas beneath the ash basin and within the ash basin compliance boundary. • Groundwater impacts are present in the shallow soil/alluvium and deep soil/weathered bedrock flow layers at the site. • Surface water impacts were identified in the Crutchfield Creek. • Constituents exceeding groundwater standards were higher beneath the ash basin, and downgradient and north of the ash basin and dry ash landfill. The area where boron and total dissolved solids exceed the 2L standard is identified on Figure F1-3. • Groundwater flows north-northeast from the ash basin into the small valley formed by Crutchfield Branch. Constituents identified to exceed the applicable state and federal regulatory standards are listed by location below: • Surficial aquifer: boron, cobalt, iron, manganese, vanadium, and zinc. • Bedrock and transition zone aquifer: aluminum, antimony, barium, chromium, cobalt, iron, lead, manganese, molybdenum, vanadium, and zinc. • Ash basin water: aluminum, boron, chromium, cobalt, iron, lead, manganese, vanadium, and zinc. • Crutchfield Branch and south creek area: aluminum, cobalt, iron, manganese, and zinc. Boron exceeded its 2L Standards beneath and downgradient of the ash basin and is considered to be detection monitoring constituents in Code of Federal Regulations Title 40 (40 CFR) Section 257 Appendix III of USEPA's Hazardous and Solid Waste Management System; Disposal of Coal Combustion Residuals from Electric Utilities CCR Rule (USEPA, 2015a). The USEPA detection monitoring constituents are potential indicators of groundwater contamination from CCR as these constituents are associated APRIL 2016 7 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo with CCR and move with groundwater flow unlike other constituents whose movement is impeded by chemical or physical interactions with soil and weathered rock. F.1.4 Selected Remedial Alternative and Recommended Interim Activities The recommended remedial alternative selected for the Mayo Plant is the combination of two remediation technologies: 1) capping the ash basin, and 2) monitored natural attenuation (MNA). Groundwater modeling showed that the construction of an engineered cap to reduce infiltration would also reduce the movement of groundwater from the ash basin. MNA is deemed most appropriate on the basis of: environmental protection; closure design that can include engineering controls to minimize the amount of ash in contact with groundwater; modeling simulations that indicate basin closure (capping) will result in the retreat of constituent plume and a reduction in constituent concentrations downgradient of the ash basin; technical effectiveness and simplicity; and sustainability. A MNA program including collection and evaluation of groundwater data would be implemented until remedial objectives are reached. Additional groundwater monitoring well installation and a Tier III MNA evaluation (USEPA, 2007) was recommended for implementation in 2016. The final closure option may be modified based on the final risk classification proposed by the NCDEQ. F.1.5 Risk Classification Process Duke is required by the CAMA to close the Mayo Plant ash basin system no later than 1 August 2029 or as otherwise dictated by the NCDEQ risk ranking classification. On 31 January 2016, NCDEQ released draft proposed risk classifications for Duke Energy's coal ash impoundments in North Carolina (NCDEQ, 2016). The proposed risk classification for the Mayo Plant ash basin was Low. Risk classifications were based upon potential risk to public health and the environment. A public meeting was held by NCDEQ regarding the proposed risk classification for the Mayo Plant ash basin. NCDEQ will release the final risk classifications after review of public comments. According to the NCDEQ document "Coal Combustion Residual Impoundment Risk Classifications, January 2016" (NCDEQ 2016), the ash basin at the Mayo Plant is ranked "Low." The following are the classification factors for the Mayo Plant as provided in the NCDEQ document: Groundwater Kev Factor: • Based on the information received to date, there appears to be no downgradient receptors located 1,500 feet downgradient of the impoundment compliance boundary. Based on the data provided in CSA Report and results of the groundwater modeling results presented in the CAP Report, the number of down -gradient receptors (well users) 1,500 feet from the compliance boundary that are potentially or currently known to be exposed to impacted groundwater from source(s) or migration pathways related to the CCR impoundments: APRIL 2016 8 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo — Ash Pond. LOW RISK. There are no reported supply wells within 1,500 feet downgradient of the impoundment compliance boundary. • Exceedance of 2L Standard or IMAC at or Beyond the Established CCR Impoundment Compliance Boundary: - Ash Pond. HIGH RISK. Monitoring well CW -02 has detections of Boron greater than the 2L Standard or IMAC. CW -02 appears to be at a location near the compliance boundary but it is unclear if this well is located exactly at the compliance boundary or just inside the boundary. CW -03 has detections of vanadium greater than the IMAC. MW -16S has a detection of cobalt greater than the IMAC. • Population Served by Water Supply Wells Within 1,500 feet Up -Gradient or Side -Gradient of the Established CCR Impoundment Compliance Boundary: - Ash Pond. LOW/INTERMEDIATE RISK. Four water supply wells appear to be located within 1,500 feet of the compliance boundary. With the assumption of 2.5 users per well, there would be approximately 10 users. • Population Served by Water Supply Wells within 1,500 feet Downgradient of the Established CCR Impoundment Compliance Boundary: - Ash Pond. LOW RISK. Based on information in the CSA Report and groundwater modeling presented in the CAP Report, there are no water supply wells that are located in the overall downgradient groundwater flow direction of the impoundment compliance boundary. • Proximity of 2L Standard or IMAC Exceedances Beyond the Established CCR Impoundment Compliance Boundary with Respect to Water Supply Wells: - Ash Pond. HIGH RISK. MW-14BR has detections of vanadium, iron, manganese, and cobalt greater than the 2L Standards or IMAC. MW-14BR is expected to be in a downgradient or side -gradient location in regards to the impoundment. This monitoring well appears to be less than 500 feet from residential well DW -4 (Duke water supply well survey), although some degree of uncertainty exists for the horizontal distance given the water supply well survey map is a separate figure from the master site figure (2-1). The DW -4 location has two other water supply wells (DW -3 and DW -5) located on adjacent properties. One well is location to the north of DW -4 and one well to the south. These wells would be covered by the horizontal distance of 500 to 1,500 feet for this category. Groundwater Emanating from the Impoundment that Exceeds 2L Standard or IMAC and that Discharges into a Surface Water Body: - Ash Pond -Groundwater Risk Ranking. HIGH RISK. Identified seeps S -02B and S-08 which appear to discharge into Crutchfield Branch have detected concentrations (but not limited to) of boron and cobalt greater than the 2L Standards or IMAC. S-08 also has detections of vanadium greater than the IMAC. Engineered toe drains 5-01 and 5-02 have detected concentrations of boron (but not limited to) greater than the 2L Standard. The seeps appear to discharge into Crutchfield Branch. APRIL 2016 9 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo • Data Gaps and Uncertainty Related to Transport of Contaminants to Potential Receptors: Ash Pond, INTERMEDIATE RISK. The extent of potential contaminants in the area near the water supply well cluster on the northwest side of the facility may require additional vertical extent and possibly horizontal extent definition. CW -04 and CW - 05 are either on or very near the compliance boundary. MW-05BR is located beyond the compliance boundary at a more close location to the water supply well cluster. The following monitoring wells have detections (but not limited to) greater the 2L Standards or IMAC as listed: CW -5 (iron and manganese), MW-05BR (iron and manganese), and MW-14BR (cobalt, iron, manganese, and vanadium). The extent of potential contaminants in the area on the south side of the facility nearest the water well cluster in that area may require additional vertical and horizontal extent definition. Monitoring well pair MW -12S and MW -12D have detections of cobalt, manganese, and vanadium greater than the 2L Standards or IMAC. The intent of MW -12S and MW -12D was as a background well set for naturally occurring groundwater geochemistry in a generally upgradient (in relation to the impoundment) location. Also, boron was detected in well CW -02 at 804 micrograms per liter (µg/L), which is at a location approximately 80 feet from the compliance boundary in the upgradient direction. The result implies a 2L Standard violation may be present at the compliance boundary for boron. F.1.6 Purpose and Objectives The purpose of this document is to provide additional detailed evaluation of the Mayo Plant -related data to clarify the subjects noted in the NCDEQ risk classification comments (see previous section). More specifically, this appendix is written to provide a technical evaluation showing where water supply wells in the vicinity of the Mayo Plant may be affected by CCR constituents and provide a better understanding of those metals and other constituents that are found both in ash basin water and are naturally occurring and present in water supply wells. This document is divided into four sections: • Section F.2 provides an evaluation of the water supply well data with respect to regulatory standards and health -risk-based screening levels. • Section F.3 presents additional statistical evaluation of the water supply well data and background data to provide a more detailed and critical evaluation of constituents that may be present either due to the influence of nearby ash basins or are naturally occurring and commonly found in groundwater not affected by Mayo Plant operations. • Section F.4 provides the hydrogeologic findings of additional groundwater modeling and an additional evaluation of groundwater flow patterns in the vicinity of the Mayo Plant with respect to the locations of the water supply wells. • Section F.5 provides an evaluation of the geochemical fingerprint of pore water and groundwater at the ash basin and related coal ash facilities compared to the geochemical fingerprint of water supply wells and regional background wells. This comparison provides a statistical evaluation of constituent data for specific data sets: ash basin pore water, facility APRIL 2016 10 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo groundwater, facility background groundwater, water supply wells, and regional background groundwater, and identifies where these fingerprints are the same, similar, or significantly different. An interpretation of the data is provided together with specific conclusions regarding areas that show the potential presence of CCR constituents within and outside of the compliance boundary for the Mayo Plant. Section F.6 provides a summary of conclusions and a discussion of their potential impact on the risk classification for this site. F.2 WATER SUPPLY WELL DATA EVALUATION The purpose of this section is to evaluate data for water supply wells in the vicinity of Mayo with respect to applicable screening levels. F.2.1 Data Sources As noted above, 1 public water supply well and 22 private water supply wells are in use and located within a 0.5 -mile radius of the Mayo Plant ash basin compliance boundary (Figure F1-3). This section presents an evaluation of the water supply well data from the following two sources: • A total of 3 samples collected by the NCDEQ from 3 wells within a 0.5 -mile radius of the Mayo ash basin compliance boundary; and • A total of 14 samples collected by Duke Energy from background water supply wells located within a 2- to 10 -mile radius from the Mayo site boundary. Where there were multiple results for a single well in the NCDEQ-sampled local water supply well dataset, a representative value was identified to be used in the evaluation, which is defined as the maximum of the detected values if the analytical results are not detected values. If the analytical results are all not detected, the lowest reporting limit is defined as the representative value. F.2.2 Screening Levels Analytical data from the NCDEQ water supply wells and the background water supply wells were compared to the following state and federal drinking water levels: • North Carolina Statute 15A NCAC 02L.0202 (2L Standard) groundwater standards (NCAC, 2013), note IMACs are included when referring to 2L Standards in this report; • Federal Safe Drinking Water Act maximum contaminant levels (MCLS) and secondary drinking water standards (SMCLs) (USEPA, 2012); • NCDHHS screening levels (NCDHHS, 2015); and • USEPA Risk -Based Screening Levels (RSLs) (USEPA, 2015b). As discussed in the main report, the IMAC value used by NCDEQ and the NCDHHS screening level for vanadium has been changed, but to date the new screening level has not been released. Similarly, the NCDHHS screening level for hexavalent chromium has been changed, but to date the new screening APRIL 2016 11 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo level has not been released. Thus, these screening tables use the publicly available values for these two constituents. F.2.3 Results Tables F2-1 through F2-4 present the comparison of the data for the NCDEQ-sampled water supply wells located within a 0.5 -mile radius of the Mayo ash basin compliance boundary to 2L standards, USEPA MCLS, NCDHHS screening levels, and USEPA RSLs, respectively. Tables F2-5 through F2-8 present the comparison of the Duke Energy data for the background water supply wells to 2L standards, USEPA MCLS, NCDHHS screening levels, and USEPA RSLs, respectively. The concentration of boron and the other potential coal ash indicators (discussed in Section 3 of the main report) were low and not above screening levels in the water supply wells sampled by NCDEQ. Boron was not detected in the NCDEQ sampled water supply wells; boron was detected in 1 of the 14 Duke Energy background wells. Lead was below the drinking water standard in 2 of the 3 NCDEQ- sampled water supply wells. pH was below the drinking water standard range in 1 of the 3 NCDEQ- sampled water supply wells. This result is not unexpected, based on a study published by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) (Chapman, et al., 2013) and additional North Carolina specific studies (Briel, 1997) showing that groundwater pH in the state is commonly below the MCL range of 6.5 to 8.5. None of the NCDEQ-sampled water supply well results were above Federal primary drinking water standards (MCLS), with the exception of the pH results and lead result noted above. Two aluminum and iron results were above the SMCL, as was one of the results for manganese; however, the SMCLs are based on aesthetics, and all results but one result for manganese are below the USEPA risk-based RSLs. A "Do Not Drink" letter was issued by NCDHHS for one water supply well at Mayo Steam Station (see Table F2-9). The letter was issued for vanadium, iron, lead, and sodium, though the vanadium value was based on the now -outdated screening level, and "Do Not Drink" warnings have been lifted for vanadium. A detailed statistical evaluation of background and comparison to the water supply well data is provided in the next section. F.3 STATISTICAL EVALUATION OF BACKGROUND The purpose of the background evaluation is to develop a site-specific or facility -specific descriptor of background for constituents of interest, i.e., a background threshold value (BTV). If a sample result is below the BTV, there is reasonable confidence that the constituent concentration is consistent with background. However, a sample result above a BTV does not mean that it is not consistent with background, only which statistically it cannot be determined based on the available background dataset. APRIL 2016 12 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Two datasets are available to describe background groundwater conditions in the vicinity of Mayo: • The Duke Energy background water supply well dataset; and • The Mayo facility background monitoring wells. The Duke Energy background water supply well dataset is referred to here as regional background, and the Mayo background monitoring well dataset is referred to as facility -specific background. Eight constituents were selected for the background evaluation studies at Mayo. The subset of constituents was defined first by whether "Do Not Drink" letters were issued for those constituents, and second by the needs of the groundwater chemistry evaluation, which is presented in Section F.S. The BTV values were estimated for the eight constituents at Mayo by using a stepwise approach outlined below. 1) Initial evaluation of background input data sources. 2) Raw data evaluation by descriptive statistics, histograms, outlier tests, and trend tests. 3) Testing of statistical assumptions of the input data by checking for independent, identically distributed (IID) measurements and goodness -of -fit (GOF) distribution tests. 4) Selection of an appropriate parametric or non -parametric analysis method to estimate constituents BTVs. 5) Summarizing the statistical analysis results and drawing conclusions. The statistical methodology and the conclusions for the background evaluation are presented in the following sections. F.3.1 Initial Data Evaluation The initial statistical evaluation was performed to check the homogeneity of variance assumption for multiple groups of wells included in the Mayo facility -specific background monitoring well dataset, before combining each into a single dataset. In this step, data from discrete data sources for each background dataset were tested for statistical variations using Levine's test. The test examines if the differences in sample variances occur because of random sampling. Note that the original focus of the background evaluation was on vanadium and hexavalent chromium, as these were the two constituents for which the majority of the "Do Not Drink" letters were issued. This statistical analysis was begun prior to the lifting of the "Do Not Drink" letters, however, the use of these two constituents for the purpose of determining whether the datasets can be combined is appropriate. F.3.1.1 Regional Background Water Supply Well Data The regional background dataset for Mayo was provided by Duke Energy. As there is just one regional background dataset, a test for homogeneity is not required. Table F3-1 presents the regional background water supply well dataset for Mayo. APRIL 2016 13 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.3.1.2 Facility Background Monitoring Well Data Water supply wells in this region of North Carolina are predominantly bedrock wells. Section F.4 discusses this in more detail. Background wells sampled at Mayo for the CSA included BG -01, BG -02, MW-10BR, MW-11BR, MW- 13BR, MW -12D, MW-14BR, MW -12S, and MW-16BR. The initial facility specific background evaluation for Mayo was performed on three background deep (transition zone) wells and five background bedrock monitoring wells (BG -01, BG -02, MW-10BR, MW-11BR, MW-13BR, MW -12D, MW-14BR, and MW-16BR) (see Figure F3-1). Background wells screened in the shallow formation were excluded from the analysis to limit the data used to the same flow layer that the off-site water supply wells draw from. The facility - specific background monitoring well data that are used in the background data evaluation for Mayo are presented in Table F3-2. The sample size for both vanadium and hexavalent chromium consists of less than or equal to five samples per well. The results of the statistical computations indicated that there are no significant differences between monitoring well data for vanadium and hexavalent chromium. Although decisions based upon statistics computed using discrete data sets of small sizes (e.g., < 8) are generally not used to make decisions, based on facility -specific knowledge developed during the detailed environmental investigations and the limited statistical evaluation, the data from facility - specific background monitoring wells presented in Table F3-2 and Figure F3-1 were combined for the facility BTV estimates. The results of the Levine's test are presented in Attachment F-1. F.3.2 Raw Data Evaluation In the raw data evaluation for Mayo, the descriptive statistics for eight constituents for both the regional and facility -specific datasets were computed and tabulated in Table F3-3. The most common descriptive statistics included the following: Frequency of Detection (Column 3), Percent Non -Detects (ND) (Column 4), Range of Non -Detects (Column 5), Mean (Column 6), Variance (Column 7), Standard Deviation (Column 8), Coefficient of Variation (Column 9), 50th percentile (Column 10), 95th Percentile (Column 11), and Maximum Detects (Column 12). Critical information such as the requirement for a certain minimum number of samples and percent NDs were evaluated during this step. Ideally, 8-10 background measurements would be available, and preferably more, to perform meaningful statistical tests. In cases where there is a small fraction of non -detects in a dataset (10-15% or less) censored at a single reporting limit, simple substitution methods were utilized by substituting each non -detect with an imputed value of the method detection limit (MDL). In complicated situations such as the presence of multiple MDLs intermingled with difference non -detect levels or when the proportion of non -detects was larger, strategies such as Kaplan -Meier (KM) and Robust Regression on Order Statistics (ROS) were utilized. Visual plots such as histograms and probability plots were plotted to examine the data closely and visually determine if there were extreme outliers in the dataset. If extreme outliers were visually identified, then outlier tests (Dixon's and Rosner's) were performed to confirm if there are outliers at a 5% significance level. The decision to include or exclude outliers in statistical computations was decided by the project team based on constituent and facility -specific knowledge. If the presence of an outlier APRIL 2016 14 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo was confirmed, and if there was enough evidence to remove the outlier, then the outlier was removed from further statistical analysis. The results of the outlier tests, Outlier Presence (Column 13) and Outlier Removal (Column 14), for eight constituents for both regional and facility -specific datasets are presented in Table F3-3. Attachment F-1 presents the histograms, probability plots and outlier tests for the eight constituents. F. 3.2.1 Regional Background Water Supply Well Data The descriptive statistics indicated the presence of a high percentage of non -detects (NDs) for boron, cobalt, and nickel; boron had 1 detect, cobalt had no detects, and nickel had 3 detects out of 14 total samples. Due to the presence of a high percentage of NDs in the dataset, the outlier test statistics were computed using the detected data alone. As presented in Table F3-3 (Columns 13 -14), an analysis using visual plots and the Dixon's Outlier Test indicated the presence of outliers in the data set. However, outliers are inevitable in most environmental data and the decisions to exclude them are made based on existing knowledge about the facility and groundwater conditions. In this instance, based on existing knowledge, that these are data from background locations not adjacent to the facility, no outliers were removed from the regional water supply dataset. F.3.2.2 Facility Background Monitoring Well Data The descriptive statistics performed on facility -specific background data indicated that greater than 40 percent of samples had NDs for boron, cobalt, hexavalent chromium, lead, and nickel. Boron had 1 detect and lead had 5 detects out of 68 samples; cobalt had 5 detects out of 39 samples; hexavalent chromium had 13 detects out of 24 samples; and nickel had 16 detects out of 32 samples. Statistical computations indicated the presence of outliers in the dataset, specifically with regard to monitoring well BG -01. Sampling results from BG -01 for the October 2008 event showed significant concentration variation from the remaining sample results for this well and, therefore, the October 2008 results for this well were removed from further analysis and descriptive statistics were recalculated. F.3.3 Testing of Statistical Assumptions After performing the initial statistical evaluation and addressing outliers as discussed in the previous section, two critical statistical assumptions were tested for IID measurements and normality. In general, the background groundwater data for both the regional and facility -specific datasets were assumed to have IID measurements for statistical analysis because the design and implementation of a monitoring program typically results in IID measurements. The groundwater samples are not statistically independent when analyzed as aliquots or splits from a single physical sample. Therefore, split sample data were treated as described in Section F.2.1, such that a single value for each constituent was used in the statistical evaluations. To test for normality, the data was first analyzed visually by generating histograms and probability plots. This was followed by an evaluation using GOF tests. The GOF statistics were generated using USEPA ProUCL software (USEPA, 2013), which tests for normal, lognormal and gamma distributions to establish the appropriate distribution. If the GOF test statistics suggested the data to follow normal, lognormal or gamma distributions, parametric methods were utilized to estimate BTV values. If the normality APRIL 2016 15 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo assumption was not met the data was considered to be distribution free, and non -parametric statistical methods were used to estimate BTV values. A common difficulty in checking for normality among groundwater measurements is the frequent presence of non -detect values, known in statistical terms as left -censored (positively skewed) measurements. The magnitude of these sample concentrations is unknown and they fall somewhere between zero and the detection or reporting limit. Many positively skewed data sets follow a lognormal as well as a gamma distribution. It is well-known that for moderately skewed to highly skewed data sets, the use of a lognormal distribution tends to yield inflated and unrealistically large values of the decision statistics especially when the sample size is small (e.g., <20-30). In general, it has been observed that the use of a gamma distribution tends to yield reliable and stable values. The distributions determined by GOF tests (Column 15) for eight constituents for both regional and facility - specific datasets are presented in Table F3-3. Attachment F-2 presents the GOF tests statistics. F. 3.3.1 Regional Background Water Supply Well Data The test statistics revealed that most of the constituents follow parametric distribution except boron and cobalt; hence, parametric methods were used to compute BTVs for all constituents except boron and cobalt. No further evaluation was performed on boron and cobalt due to the presence of <_ 1 detect. F.3.3.2 Facility Background Monitoring Well Data The test statistics revealed that most of the constituents follow a parametric distribution except boron and hexavalent chromium; hence, parametric methods were used to compute BTVs for all constituents except boron and hexavalent chromium. Non -parametric test methods were used to compute the BTV for hexavalent chromium. No further evaluation was performed on boron due to the presence of only 1 detect. F.3.4 BTV Estimates In this step, an appropriate parametric or non -parametric test method to estimate BTVs was selected based on conclusions from the above sections. When selecting parametric methods or non -parametric methods, it is implicitly assumed that the background dataset used to estimate BTVs represents an unimpacted, single statistical population that is free from outliers. However, since outliers are inevitable in most environmental data (high percentage of NDs), when present, outliers were treated on a facility -specific basis using all existing knowledge about the facility, groundwater conditions, and reference areas under investigation as discussed in the previous section. The BTVs for the constituents were estimated using ProUCL (USEPA, 2013) by using one of the following methods. • Parametric or non -parametric 95 %Upper Prediction Limits (UPL95) • Parametric or non -parametric Upper Tolerance Limits (UTL95-95) with 95% confidence and 95% coverage APRIL 2016 16 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo A prediction interval is the interval (based upon background data) within which a newly and independently obtained (future observation) site observation (e.g., onsite, downgradient well) of the predicted variable (e.g., boron) falls with a given probability (or Confidence Coefficient [CC]). Prediction interval tells about the distribution of values, not the uncertainty in determining the population mean. A UPL95 represents that statistical concentration, such that an independently - collected new/future observation from the population will exhibit a concentration less than or equal to the UPL95 with a CC of 0.95. A tolerance limit is a confidence limit on a percentile of the population rather than a confidence limit on the mean. A UTL95-95 represents that statistic such that 95% of the observations (current and future) from the target population will be less than or equal to the UTL95-95 with a CC of 0.95. Stated differently, the UTL95-95 represents a 95% UCL of the 95th percentile of the data distribution. A UTL95- 95 is designed to simultaneously provide coverage for 95% of all potential observations (current and future) from the background population with a CC of 0.95. A UTL95-95 can be used when many (unknown) current or future on-site observations need to be compared with a BTV. For moderately to highly skewed data sets (high percentage of NDs), upper limits using KM estimates in gamma UCL and UTL equations provide better results, if the detected observations in the left -censored data set follow a gamma distribution. The nonparametric upper limits (e.g., UTLs, UPLs) are computed by the higher order statistics such as the largest, the second largest, the third largest, and so on of the background data. The order of the statistic used to compute a nonparametric upper limit depends on the sample size, coverage probability, and the desired CC. In practice, non -parametric upper limits do not provide the desired coverage to the population parameter (upper threshold) unless the sample size is large. Table F3-3 presents the estimated BTV values (Column 16) and applicable methods (Column 17) used in estimating the upper threshold values. Attachment F-3 presents the proUCL output of the BTVs computations. F.3.5 Comparison of Water Supply Well Data to the Regional and Facility -Specific BTVs The data for the water supply wells located within a 0.5 -mile radius from the ash basin compliance boundary were compared to the regional background BTVs and facility -specific BTVs presented in Table F3-3. Comparison to the regional background BTVs are presented in Table F3-4, and comparison to the facility -specific background BTVs are presented in Table F3-5. There are three NCDEQ-sampled water supply results. BTVs were derived for eight constituents. Two of the constituents, boron and cobalt, were not detected in the water supply wells. The results for the remaining six constituents were below the regional BTVs with the exception of two results for iron and one result for lead, and were below the facility -specific BTVs with the exception of one result for lead. APRIL 2016 17 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.4 GROUNDWATER FLOW EVALUATION [The evaluation in Section F.4, including figures and tables, was provided by SynTerra Corporation.] F.4.1 Introduction The objective of this section is to expand upon the groundwater flow and water quality data that were presented in the CSA report (SynTerra, 2015a) for the Mayo Plant to demonstrate that ash impacted groundwater associated with the ash basin system has not migrated toward or intercepted water supply wells located upgradient and side gradient of the ash basin system. The CSA was conducted to comply with the CAMA. Field work for the CSA was implemented in accordance with the NCDEQ-approved Groundwater Assessment Plan (Work Plan; SynTerra, 2014) which included an evaluation of groundwater quality and flow characteristics from 13 existing monitoring wells and the installation of 29 additional monitoring wells. The new wells were installed at specific locations and depths to delineate potential impacts to groundwater from the ash basin. Eight of the newly installed/existing monitoring wells are clearly located in upgradient locations relative to the ash basin to characterize background conditions. Ten additional site wells can be considered to be outside of any potential impact from the ash basin because they are located in separate topographic/geologic flow regimes. To date, four groundwater CSA sampling events have been conducted. Water level measurements are collected during each sampling event to evaluate the groundwater flow direction. Prior to the CSA, routine groundwater monitoring was conducted three times each year since 2010, with groundwater levels and flow direction determined for each event. The information consistently indicates the groundwater flow direction is from upland areas northwest, west, southwest, south, and southeast of the Plant toward the ash basin, as would be expected by the local topography. Groundwater flow within a distinct slope -aquifer system is directly influenced by the underlying geologic framework of the site. The geologic nature underlying the site is described in Section F.4.2. The regional groundwater system and the hydrogeological SCM are presented in Section F.4.3.1, and the location of water supply wells in the vicinity of the facility and hydrogeology of the site is presented in Section F.4.3.2. Detailed data have been used to evaluate groundwater flow direction, horizontal and vertical gradients, and the velocity of groundwater flow as described in Section F.4.3. The data were used to support the development of a groundwater flow model, which resulted in an understanding of current and potential future groundwater conditions. The model incorporated the effects of pumping from nearby water supply wells. The groundwater modeling results are discussed in Section F.4.4. F.4.2 Site Geology The Mayo site is located in the Piedmont Province of North Carolina. The geology observed during the installation of the monitoring wells is defined as: • Alluvium — Alluvium is unconsolidated sediment that has been eroded and redeposited by streams. Very thin alluvium was observed on the north side of the ash basin along Crutchfield Branch (MW -03 and MW -16S). Alluvium would be anticipated to be present in the vicinity of current and former stream channels. APRIL 2016 18 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo • Residuum (Regolith -Residual Soils) — Residuum is the shallow soil that has developed over time from the in-place weathering of the parent bedrock. Residuum was observed to very thin (less than 10 feet thick) but mostly nonexistent at the site. Where present, the residuum does not contain groundwater. • Saprolite/Weathered Rock (Regolith) — Saprolite is a soil -like material that developed by the in-place weathering of parent bedrock but still exhibits the original relic rock structure (texture and layering) from the parent rock. Saprolite, where present beneath the Mayo Plant, was observed at depths ranging from a few feet to 66 feet below ground surface (MW -12). Groundwater was rarely encountered in the saprolite beneath the Mayo Plant. • Partially Weathered/Fractured Rock — This material consists of partially weathered and/or highly fractured bedrock below the saprolite and above competent bedrock. The partially weathered/fractured rock layer is also referred to as the 'transition zone' (TZ). The thickness of the TZ ranged from about 8 feet to 20 feet. At Mayo, the presence of groundwater in the TZ is not consistent across the site area. • Bedrock — Bedrock is hard, competent rock that is unweathered to slightly weathered and mostly unfractured. The dominant rock types observed at Mayo were metamorphic granitoid gneiss and mica gneiss with less frequent mica schist and phyllite. Metavolcanics were also noted. In general, metamorphic grade increases to the southwest and west of the Plant. Within the ash basin, ash was generally found to be comprised of fine -to -medium sand -sized particles with abundant silt and clay size particles. The thickness of the ash observed during drilling activities ranged from 13 to 66 feet below ground surface. Additional information on the geologic nature of the Mayo Plant subsurface is provided in the CSA, Section 6.1 (SynTerra, 2015a). F.4.3 Site Hydrogeology F. 4.3.1 Site Conceptual Model An SCM was developed during preparation of the CSA Work Plan to inform decisions regarding the field exploration (i.e., monitoring well locations, screened intervals, target depths, etc.). The SCM was based largely on the LeGrand (1988, 1989) conceptual model of the groundwater setting in the Piedmont and incorporated Harned and Daniel's (1992) two -medium system, the overburden and competent bedrock. The generalized conceptual model defines a slope -aquifer system in which a drainage basin is contained within one or more adjacent topographic divides - located along ridge tops which serve as the upper hydraulic boundaries - and a stream, river, or lake that serves as the lower hydraulic boundary (LeGrand, 1988). Each basin is similar to adjacent basins with hydrogeologic conditions being generally repetitive from basin to basin within each ridgeline toward an adjacent surface water feature. Within a drainage basin, movement of groundwater is generally restricted to the area extending from the topographic ridges to perennial streams (LeGrand, 1988; 1989; 2004). Rarely does groundwater move beneath a perennial stream to another more distant stream or across drainage divides (LeGrand, 1989). The crests of the water table underneath topographic drainage divides represent natural groundwater divides within the slope -aquifer system and control the direction of groundwater flow within each drainage basin. The APRIL 2016 19 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo concave topographic areas between the topographic divides may be considered as flow compartments that are open-ended in the down slope direction. As a result, natural groundwater flow paths in the Piedmont are confined to the area underlying the topographic slope extending from a topographic ridge or drainage divide to an adjacent stream or water feature, with the water feature serving as the groundwater discharge location (or surface expression of groundwater). Under natural conditions, the general direction of groundwater flow can be approximated from the surface topography (LeGrand, 2004). The two -medium system consists of two interconnected layers, or mediums: (1) residual soil/saprolite and weathered fractured rock (regolith), overlying (2) fractured crystalline bedrock (Heath, 1980; Heath, 1984; Harried and Daniel, 1992). The residual soil grades into saprolite, a coarser grained material that retains the structure of the parent bedrock. Beneath the saprolite, partially weathered/fractured bedrock occurs with depth until competent bedrock is encountered. This mantle of residual soil and saprolite (regolith) is a hydrogeologic unit that covers and crosses various types of rock (LeGrand, 1988). These layers serve as the principal groundwater storage reservoir and provide an intergranular medium through which the recharge and discharge of water from the underlying fractured rock occurs (Daniel and Harned, 1998). Within the fractured crystalline bedrock layer, the fractures control both the hydraulic conductivity and storage capacity of the bedrock. A transition zone at the base of the regolith is present in many areas of the Piedmont. Harried and Daniel (1992) described the zone as "being the most permeable part of the system, even slightly more permeable than the soil zone." Additional details of the SCM are presented in Sections 5.2 and 6.4 of the CSA report (SynTerra, 2015a) and Section 3.0 of the Mayo CAP -1 (SynTerra, 2015b). Based on the results of the CSA, the groundwater system in the in-situ materials (alluvium, soil, soil/saprolite, and bedrock) and overlying ash at Mayo is consistent with the slope-aquifer/regolith- fractured rock groundwater model and is an unconfined, connected aquifer system. The hydrostratigraphic layers (layers of material that have different hydraulic parameters) at the site consist of in-situ units (alluvium, residuum [regolith -residual soil], saprolite/weathered rock [regolith], partially weathered rock/transition one, and competent bedrock), and anthropogenic units, ash, as described in Section F.4.2. These units are used in the groundwater model of the site and are discussed in Section F.4.4. Additional information concerning the development of the hydrostratigraphic layers is presented in Section 11.0 of the CSA (SynTerra, 2015a). F.4.3.2 Groundwater Flow Direction The Mayo groundwater system is divided into three flow layers referred to as the shallow (S), deep (D or TZ), and bedrock (BR) flow layers to distinguish the layers within the connected, unconfined aquifer system. Monitoring wells have been installed with screens placed in each of these flow layers. Groundwater elevations measured in monitoring wells surrounding the ash basin area show that groundwater flow, in all three flow zones, is from higher elevations to lower elevations along the northern side of the ash basin and Crutchfield Branch. Higher topographic areas serve as groundwater recharge zones, and Crutchfield Branch and its associated stream valley serve as a groundwater discharge zone. Groundwater flow direction is consistent with the slope -aquifer system (described above) and show that groundwater flow is away from off-site water supply wells and toward the ash APRIL 2016 20 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo basin and Crutchfield Branch. East of the ash basin, there is a groundwater divide that separates the Crutchfield Branch flow regime from the Mayo Lake flow regime. The vertical gradients are near equilibrium across the site indicating that there is no distinct horizontal confining layer beneath the Mayo Plant. The horizontal gradients, hydraulic conductivity, and groundwater flow velocities indicate that most of the groundwater transport occurs through the transition zone and shallow bedrock, as most of the regolith encountered is largely unsaturated. The hydrologic and hydrogeologic characteristics of the ash basin environment are the primary influence on groundwater flow and constituent transport. The basin acts as a bowl -like feature towards which groundwater flows from all directions except north. The former stream valley in which the ash basin was constructed represents a distinct slope -aquifer system in which flow of groundwater into the ash basin (former stream valley) and out of the ash basin is restricted to the local flow regime and is separate from adjacent slope -aquifer units. Flow downgradient and downstream of the ash basin is funneled into the small valley formed by Crutchfield Branch. There are no substantive differences in water level among wells completed in the different flow zones (shallow/surficial, transition zone, bedrock), and lateral groundwater movement predominates over vertical movement. The location of water supply wells and groundwater flow direction are shown on Figures F4-1 and F4-2 based upon water level measurements collected during the CSA (SynTerra, 2015a). The groundwater flow direction is consistent with the slope -aquifer system and shows that groundwater flow is away from off-site water supply wells and toward the ash basin and Crutchfield Branch. F.4.3.3 Groundwater Seepage Velocities Groundwater seepage velocities were estimated for the flow zones beneath the site. The seepage velocity is calculated using the average horizontal hydraulic conductivity values from field slug tests, average effective porosity from laboratory testing or from technical literature, and measured horizontal hydraulic gradients between well pairs. For the surficial zone, groundwater seepage velocities ranged 1.73 to 4.80 feet/year. Velocities across the site in the transition zone ranged from 4.99 to 8.23 feet/year. Velocity in bedrock ranged from 0.11 to 1.35 feet/year. The large variation in estimated velocities in bedrock is reflective of the nature of groundwater flow and fracture geometry within crystalline bedrock. Additional details on the field testing and laboratory testing for estimating hydrogeologic parameters are presented in Section 11.0 of the CSA (SynTerra, 2015a). F.4.3.4 Constituents Associated with CCR Certain constituents present in coal ash can serve as indicators of a release from a coal ash management area to groundwater; these have been used by USEPA to design the groundwater monitoring program under recent regulation. On 17 April 2015, the USEPA published its final rule "Disposal of Coal Combustion Residuals from Electric Utilities" (Final CCR Rule) to regulate the disposal of CCR as solid waste under subtitle D of the Resource APRIL 2016 21 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Conservation and Recovery Act (USEPA, 2015a). The USEPA defined a phased approach to groundwater monitoring. The first phase is detection monitoring where groundwater is monitored to detect the presence of specific constituents that are considered to be indicators of a release from a coal ash management area (e.g., metals) and other monitoring parameters (e.g., pH, total dissolved solids [TDS]). These data are used to determine if there has been a release from a coal ash management area. Detection monitoring is performed for the following list of "indicator" constituents identified in Appendix III of the CCR Rule: • Boron; • Calcium; • Chloride; • Fluoride (this constituent was not analyzed for in the CSA); • pH; • Sulfate; and • TDS. In selecting the constituents for detection monitoring, USEPA chose constituents that are present in CCR and that are more soluble and move through the soil column and with groundwater without retardation, relative to other constituents. Thus, groundwater monitoring for these constituents allows for an evaluation of whether constituents are migrating from a CCR unit. Coal ash constituents dissolve in groundwater with no measurable increase in density as compared to other constituents that would tend to "sink" in the aquifer, such as dense non -aqueous phase liquids or saltwater. Thus, releases from coal ash management areas tend to remain in the shallower groundwater flow layers. F.4.3.5 Extent of Boron Exceedances in Groundwater Groundwater at Mayo was monitored for a wide range of constituents as required by the CAMA and reported in the CSA (SynTerra, 2015a). Boron may be one of the more common indicators for evaluation of groundwater for releases from coal ash management areas due to boron concentrations in CCR leachate being usually higher than in typical groundwater. Boron also tends to be highly mobile in groundwater. For these reasons, boron is often used as an indicator constituent for CCR leachate (Electric Power Research Institute [EPRI), 2005). Boron exceedances of the 2L Standards reported in groundwater during 2015 are shown on Figure F1-3 to illustrate where this leading indicator associated with CCR is located across the site. Boron was selected since it is prevalent in CCR and is very infrequently detected in site background groundwater wells. As shown, the boron exceedances of the 2L Standard in groundwater are located beneath the ash basin and extend to near the property boundary on the north side of the site. Boron has typically not been detected in groundwater beyond the site property boundary, confirming the groundwater flow direction is not toward the supply wells located upgradient to the northwest of the ash basin and upgradient to the south of the ash basin. APRIL 2016 22 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.4.3.6 Bedrock and Depth of Water Supply Wells Monitoring wells installed during the CSA investigation were located and screened at depths to characterize potential vertical and horizontal extent of impacts from the ash basin. Monitoring wells were installed to assess groundwater in each of the three flow layers: shallow, transition zone, and deep (bedrock) where saturated conditions were observed. These monitoring wells are located in areas of suspected impacts, in presumed background areas, and in areas between the ash basin and off-site water supply wells. Water supply wells constructed in the Piedmont Province are typically drilled to greater depths than monitoring wells. Bedrock monitoring wells installed in upgradient locations between the ash basin and the water supply wells have confirmed that impacted groundwater in shallow bedrock is not flowing towards the water supply wells. Based on a survey of properties located near the Plant, up to 22 private water supply wells may be located within or in close proximity to the 0.5 -half mile survey area. Little information is available regarding well characteristics including surface casing depths, well depths, pump placement, and flow rates. Typically in the Piedmont, private water supply wells are assumed to be open boreholes installed within the upper 100 feet of bedrock; however, most are generally less than 250 feet deep with yields of 10 to 20 gallons per minute (Daniel and Dahlen, 2002). Duke Energy mailed water supply well questionnaires to surrounding well owners during the Receptor Survey in 2015; however, few questionnaires were returned with well construction information. It is our understanding that the NCDEQ requested that their third -party samplers record well construction information (if available) during sampling of the supply wells, but Duke Energy has not been provided with that data. Limited survey information from around the Mayo Plant indicates that the depths of wells range from around 60 feet (likely completed in the transition zone or shallow bedrock) to around 300 feet. In the absence of well -specific construction data, published literature (Daniel, 1989) was consulted to yield an average depth of water supply wells (for domestic, commercial -industrial, public water) as 154 feet from the ground surface with 100 feet in bedrock. Water supply wells are generally cased though the regolith (soil/saprolite), with additional boring performed as needed into bedrock to produce the desired well yield. No public supply wells were located based on the receptor survey of the Plant area conducted during the CSA, with the exception of a water supply well located at Bethel Hill Baptist Church located approximately 0.5 miles south (upgradient) of the site. The pumping rate for the public water supply well is unknown. For additional information regarding water supply wells, see CSA Section 4.0. F.4.3.7 Groundwater Mounding Groundwater mounding refers to the extent to which ash basins, or any other impoundment, may raise or variably influence the natural groundwater levels causing flow to leave the basin radially against the prevailing slope -aquifer gradient. Topographical and monitoring well groundwater data can be used establish the extent to which localized hydraulic mounding may emanate from an ash basin and if this may affect the local groundwater flow direction. A review of topographic and monitoring well groundwater data at Mayo indicate potential mounding is contained within the groundwater flow system beneath the ash basin. APRIL 2016 23 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.4.3.8 Summary The hydrogeologic SCM presented in the CSA (SynTerra, 2015a) and refined in the CAP -2 (SynTerra, 2016) describes the hydrologic and hydrogeologic characteristics of the ash basin environment as the primary influence on groundwater flow and constituent transport. Figure F4-2 depicts the SCM and the geology creating the different flow regimes beneath Mayo Plant. The basin acts as a bowl -like feature towards which groundwater flows from all directions except north. The former stream valley in which the ash basin was constructed represents a distinct slope -aquifer system in which flow of groundwater into the ash basin (former stream valley) and out of the ash basin is restricted to the local flow regime and is separate from adjacent slope -aquifer units. Flow downgradient and downstream of the ash basin is funneled into the small valley formed by Crutchfield Branch. Water supply wells are located in the opposite direction of groundwater flow, upgradient of the ash basin to the northwest and south. Groundwater flows away from the water supply wells. No water supply wells have been identified downgradient of the ash basin. F.4.4 Site Groundwater Model Development and Results Three-dimensional groundwater flow and constituent transport models were developed to predict the groundwater flow and constituent transport that will occur as a result of possible corrective actions at the site. The models have three main components: a geologic model, a groundwater flow model, and a contaminant transport model. The geologic model was based on well log information and other known surface and geologic data for the site. The model has dimensions of approximately 3 miles by 3 miles and consists of six units: Ash, Saprolite, Transition Zone, Upper Bedrock, Middle Bedrock, and Lower Bedrock. The flow model was constrained by known hydrologic features such as lakes, rivers, streams, swamps, and ditches. The flow model specifically considered the potential effects of local water table mounding from the ash basins due to enhanced infiltration from the basins. The initial conceptual flow model was calibrated by adjusting the hydraulic conductivities of the hydrostratigraphic layers and zones to best match the observed hydraulic heads in monitoring wells at the site. This refined the models and the predicted hydraulic heads were under 10 percent of the measured data. A major part of the development process was evaluating alternative conceptual models that considered various heterogeneities including fracture zones and both high and low hydraulic conductivity zones. These refinements to the flow model continued until the model accuracy could not be further improved at the site. A primary concern of the modeling effort was possible impacts to supply wells from the ash basin. The calibrated groundwater flow and transport model was used to assess possible impacts by considering pumping from supply wells within the model domain of the site. Two modeling approaches were used. The first approach included pumping wells in the calibrated flow and transport models to assess the degree to which the wells were impacted by boron and other constituents of interest that may have originated at the ash basin. No impact to supply wells above 2L standards were seen in the model simulations for the Mayo site. The flow and transport model for the Mayo site was built in a step -wise manner. The first step was to build a three-dimensional model of the site hydrostratigraphy based on field data and observations. The APRIL 2016 24 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo next step was determination of the model domain and construction of the numerical grid. The numerical grid was then populated with flow parameters which were adjusted during the steady-state flow model calibration process. Once the flow model was calibrated, the flow parameters were used to develop a transient model to replicate historical flow patterns at the site. The historical flow model was then used to provide the time -dependent flow field for the constituent transport simulations. For calibration purposes, the steady state flow model incorporated 47 water level measurements from June 2015 (SynTerra, 2015b). Certain constituents were selected during the modeling process and were based mainly on ash pore water concentrations that were significantly higher than background concentrations and if there was a distinct plume of the constituent extending downgradient from the ash basin. Site-specific constituents selected for the modeling process were boron and arsenic for the 2015 transport simulations. Manganese was added later as a modeled constituent. Boron was chosen as a main tracer for the ash basin for three main reasons: (1) boron is always present in coal ash; (2) there is typically a low background of boron concentrations; and (3) boron is the most mobile constituent. Predictive groundwater modeling demonstrates that constituents remain within the vicinity of the plant boundary through time, downgradient of the site. Further, modeling predictions indicate that the boron plume and the manganese plumes will retreat over time after ash basin closure. Attenuation mechanisms will reduce constituent concentrations over time. A second assessment approach was a numerical capture zone analysis which is similar to the first approach, but instead of using the constituent transport model to predict concentrations, a computer program called MODPATH was used with the calibrated flow model. MODPATH is a widely used United States Geological Survey (USGS) program that is designed to interface with the MODFLOW flow model that was used. MODPATH is a "particle tracking' model that traces the groundwater flow lines from any desired starting position. MODPATH can also do "reverse tracking' to identify where water originates in the flow model. MODPATH is a standard part of the modeling platform that was used to construct the flow and transport models. MODPATH can be used with the reverse tracking feature to trace the groundwater flowlines around each well to see where the water that is pumped from the well originates. This well-known procedure is called a well capture zone analysis, because it identifies the zone from which all of the water entering the well is captured. The capture zone analysis was performed for the Mayo site. Although pumping rates for the individual supply wells near the site were not available, an assumption equal to the average U.S. household water use rate of 400 gallons per day (USEPA, 2008) was used. It was assumed that all of the wells in the model domain were pumping continuously unless they were known to be inactive. A numerical capture zone analysis for the Mayo site was conducted to evaluate potential impact to upgradient water supply pumping wells. The analysis for nearby water supply wells indicates that well capture zones projected into the indefinite future are limited to the immediate vicinity of the well head and do not extend toward the ash basin and the impoundment as demonstrated in Figure F4-3. Further, none of the particle tracks originating in the ash basin or the impoundment moved into the well capture zones. APRIL 2016 25 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo F.4.5 Summary and Conclusions Major findings from the evaluation of groundwater flow at the Mayo site are as follows: • The groundwater system at Mayo is consistent with LeGrand's slope -aquifer system that describes groundwater flow conditions in the Piedmont as confined to the area underlying the topographic slope extending from a drainage divide to an adjacent stream or water feature, with the water feature serving as the groundwater discharge location. The groundwater system at Mayo is also consistent with the conceptual model of groundwater within an unconfined, two -medium system (regolith consisting of soil and saprolite overlying bedrock) separated by a transition zone of higher hydraulic conductivity (permeability) within a slope -aquifer system. Three primary flow layers (as defined by the regolith, the transition zone and bedrock) are present in the unconfined groundwater system at the site; shallow (S - water table), deep (D or TZ), and bedrock (BR). Site-specific water level measurements confirm that groundwater flow is to the north and northeast into the Crutchfield Branch stream valley and away from water supply wells located northwest and south of the ash basin. These observations and data confirm groundwater flow model predictions. The hydrogeologic characteristics of the ash basin environment serve as the primary influence on groundwater flow. The basin acts as a bowl -like feature towards which groundwater flows from all directions except north. The former stream valley in which the ash basin was constructed represents a distinct slope -aquifer system in which flow of groundwater into the ash basin (former stream valley) and out of the ash basin is restricted to the local flow regime and is separate from adjacent slope -aquifer units. Flow downgradient and downstream of the ash basin is funneled into the small valley formed by Crutchfield Branch. Water supply wells in the area are located completely opposite the direction of groundwater flow upgradient of the ash basin to the northwest and south. No water supply wells have been identified downgradient of the ash basin. The water supply well capture zone analysis, as delineated by reverse particle tracking, shows that the water supply wells are supplied with water from precipitation recharge to the regolith (soil/saprolite) surrounding the pumping well(s) and the capture zones do not intersect or originate in the coal ash sources. This analysis considered the potential combined effects of adjacent pumping wells. Site-specific water level measurements and groundwater modeling confirm that the combined pumping effect of the water supply wells is not affecting the overall site groundwater flow direction. • Based on this evidence, groundwater utilized by water supply wells near the Mayo Plant is not impacted by the Mayo Plant ash basin. F.5 GROUNDWATER CHARACTERISTICS EVALUATION The results from the local water supply well testing conducted by the NCDEQ in the vicinity of the Mayo facility indicated that some constituents were present at concentrations above state and/or federal standards and/or screening levels. As noted previously, these constituents are naturally occurring, and few can be associated with releases from coal ash basins. Thus, it is critical to understand the naturally APRIL 2016 26 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo occurring background conditions, the groundwater conditions in the tested local water supply wells, and the conditions in groundwater at the facility where CCR -impacts have been demonstrated. A detailed statistical evaluation of background groundwater data compared to the local water supply well data was presented in Section F.3. As indicated in Section F.4.3, the local water supply wells are generally cased through the regolith (soil/saprolite) and obtain water through the bedrock fractures that convey stored groundwater in the regolith. Based on the groundwater transport modeling results in Section F.4.4, the source of groundwater for the local water supply wells is not from the ash basin, and supplied by recharge falling on areas not impacted by coal ash. In this section, the chemistry of the groundwater at the facility in both CCR -impacted areas and areas not impacted by a CCR release is compared to the chemistry of the local water supply wells. The similarity or discrepancy in the chemistry of groundwater among various facility monitoring well groups and the local water supply wells is expected to provide additional insights on the extent of CCR impacted groundwater. The objective of the evaluation is to understand, from the groundwater chemistry perspective, whether the CCR -impacted groundwater at the facility has resulted in the water quality exceedances found in the local water supply wells. The evaluation consists of the following two key steps: • Identify site-specific CCR -related signature constituents that can effectively serve as indicators to evaluate the extent of the CCR -impacted groundwater. • Compare the absolute and relative abundance of major common constituents and signature constituents among various well groups to determine whether CCR -impacted groundwater at the site has resulted in the water quality exceedances found in the local water supply wells. Based on the results of this evaluation, there is no relationship between the CCR -impacted groundwater and the water quality exceedances reported in the local water supply wells, indicating that the exceedances are due to natural sources of constituents in supply well groundwater. More details regarding the evaluation approach, data analysis methods, results, and conclusions are presented below. F.5.1 Evaluation Approach A multiple -lines -of -evidence approach, as summarized below, was used to facilitate the development of chemical signatures of the CCR impacted groundwater. The approach consists of the following key components: Screen the geochemical and transport behaviors of typical CCR -related constituents to establish candidate constituents for further evaluation. • Assess the presence and magnitude or range in concentration of candidate constituents in the groundwater beneath the site as a result of a release from the ash basin by comparing the concentration magnitude of these constituents in the four major well groups below: — Ash basin porewater monitoring wells; APRIL 2016 27 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo — Other facility monitoring wells, including wells screened in the shallow flow layer (shallow wells), wells screened in the transition zones (deep wells), and bedrock wells; — Local water supply wells (data from NCDEQ); and — Regional background wells (data from Duke Energy). Note that the wells in a major group may be further divided into multiple subgroups in order to evaluate the spatial trends of the groundwater data; for example, the facility bedrock wells may be further divided into two subgroups based on the groundwater flow direction in the bedrock unit: (a) facility bedrock wells that are likely to be within the area of CCR -impacted groundwater, and (b) facility bedrock wells that are likely to be outside of this area. These designations were determined by referencing bedrock groundwater flow directions discussed in the CAP -2 (SynTerra, 2016), which are consistent with the bedrock groundwater flow model created by SynTerra and presented in Section F.S. • Identify useful reduction -oxidation (redox) constituents that can also serve as an indicator or a signature for CCR -impacted groundwater by comparing the concentration magnitude of dissolved oxygen, iron, and manganese among various well groups. • Select effective constituents that can differentiate the site -related impacts and background conditions to serve as signature constituents to assess the potential relationship between the facility CCR -impacted groundwater and the local water supply wells. • Compare the relative abundance patterns of major cations and anions in groundwater among various well groups to assess the data clustering pattern and correlation among various well groups. • Apply the site-specific geochemical principles and the knowledge of the groundwater flow field, which have been developed and documented in the CSA and CAP reports (SynTerra, 2015a, 2015b, 2016) and summarized in Section F.4, to coherently interpret the groundwater data trends and to verify or reject the connection between the CCR -impacted groundwater and the water quality exceedances found in the local water supply wells. F.5.2 CCR -Related Constituents Screening for Signature Development The first step for determining the CCR -impacted signature constituents is to identify the constituents that have the following characteristics: • They are recalcitrant to degradation and transformation under site-specific conditions. • They are very soluble and subject to little sorption. Based on the chemical properties of CCR related constituents and the site-specific geochemical evaluation (SynTerra, 2016), typical cations (e.g., sodium and calcium) and anions (e.g., chloride and sulfate), boron, manganese (under the reducing conditions), and cobalt can meet this requirement. • During the transport process, the constituents of interest are not likely subject to a mechanism that can increase or decrease their concentrations. • Their concentrations or values are substantially different from the background concentrations or values. APRIL 2016 28 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Based on these criteria and a review of the chemical data in the CSA report (SynTerra, 2015a), the following constituents are considered to be the candidates for signature development: Boron, calcium, sulfate, chloride, and TDS: Based on the understanding of the behavior of constituents that can be released from coal ash into groundwater, USEPA has identified those constituents that are considered to be indicators of a potential release from coal ash. These constituents belong to the CCR Rule Appendix III constituents (USEPA, 2015a). Of these, boron and sulfate are the most common constituents used to evaluate the potential for an ash management area impact in groundwater, as will be shown in the evaluation presented below. • Barium and cobalt: These two trace metals are less sensitive to the redox conditions and are not readily sorbed to mineral surfaces (Table F5-1), and can be associated with CCR impacts to groundwater (USEPA, 2015a). These two trace metals are also selected as candidate constituents. Total barium and cobalt concentrations were used in this evaluation. • Dissolved oxveen. dissolved iron. and dissolved manvanese: Groundwater in the ash basin area generally contains very low concentrations of dissolved oxygen, but high concentrations of dissolved iron and manganese (SynTerra, 2015a). The site-specific geochemical analysis indicates that the redox state of groundwater in the ash basin area is generally manganese reducing (Figure F5-1) (SynTerra, 2016). It is noted that, because groundwater samples collected from the regional background wells and local water supply wells only analyzed for total iron, total iron concentrations were used to conservatively represent the iron concentrations in these groundwater samples. Because the concentrations of dissolved iron and manganese are sensitive to the presence of dissolved oxygen, including the iron and manganese data used in this evaluation will help identify and compare the redox conditions of the different well groups. F.5.3 Data Analysis Methods F.5.3.1 Data Sources The groundwater analytical data used in this evaluation are from the following sources: • Facility groundwater monitoring well data; • Local water supply well data from NCDEQ; and • Duke Energy background water supply well data. F.5.3.2 Data Aggregation The general rules for data aggregation are described here. When multiple sampling events occur for a well, the following rules were used to find a representative concentration value for the box plot and correlation plot evaluations: • For boron, calcium, chloride, sulfate, TDS, barium, and cobalt, the representative value is defined as the maximum of the detected values if the analytical results are not all NDs. If the analytical results are all NDs, the lowest reporting limit is defined as the representative value. APRIL 2016 29 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Using the maximum concentrations will help not underestimate the CCR impacts to the local water supply wells and facility monitoring wells. • For dissolved oxygen, total and dissolved iron, and total and dissolved manganese, the average concentration is used as the representative value for the general conditions observed in a well. • For piper plots, the average concentration is used as the representative values for the general conditions observed in a well. • The reporting limits are used to represent the ND results. F.5.3.3 Box Plot The comparisons of the concentration magnitude among different well groups for various potential indicators were made using the box plots produced by the ProUCL software (USEPA, 2013). Figure F5-2 defines the various components of the box plot. The location of the upper whisker is the lesser of 1.5 times the interquartile range (IQR) above the 75 percentile or the maximum value; the location of the lower whisker is the greater of 1.5 times the IQR below the 25 percentile or the minimum value. This analysis includes both detected and non-detected values. F.5.3.4 Correlation Plot The constituents found to be a signature indicator of the CCR -impacted groundwater can be used to generate correlation plots to further evaluate the relationships among various data groups. To create a correlation plot, different data groups can be plotted using different symbols with the concentrations of one constituent on the x-axis and the concentrations of the other constituent on the y-axis. The clustering patterns or trends illustrate correlations among data groups. F.5.3.5 Piper Plot Piper plots have been frequently used to assess the relative abundance of general cations (sodium, potassium, magnesium, and calcium) and anions (chloride, sulfate, bicarbonate, and carbonate) in groundwater and to differentiate different water sources in hydrogeology (Domenico and Schwartz, 1998). Groundwater resulting from different water sources or in different geologic units may exhibit distinct clustering patterns on a piper plot. Because calcium and sulfate are common coal ash constituents, it is expected the CCR -impacted groundwater may show a different clustering pattern than the background groundwater or the groundwater that has not been impacted by CCR. In the CSA report, the piper plots were used to evaluate the water chemistry between the porewater in the ash basin and groundwater in other groups of facility monitoring wells. An example figure is shown in Figure F5-2, which compares the general water chemistry among the porewater in the ash basin and groundwater in the bedrock wells. The piper plot consists of three subplots: a cation composition trilinear plot in the lower left corner, an anion composition trilinear plot in the lower right corner, and a diamond plot in between. The red lines on each subplot show how to read the meanings of a data point in a subplot. For example, in the cation subplot, the data point of MW-10BR shows about 38 percent of the total cation charges from sodium and potassium, approximately 35 percent from calcium, and about 27 percent from magnesium. In the anion subplot, the same data point of MW-10BR shows about 40 percent of the total anion charges from sulfate, approximately 15 percent from chloride, and APRIL 2016 30 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo 45 percent from carbonate (CO32-)plus bicarbonate (HCO3-). In the diamond subplot, the same data point shows about 55 percent of the total anion charges from chloride and sulfate, and approximately 60 percent of the total cation charges from calcium and magnesium. The piper plots for this evaluation were generated using the GW_Chart program developed by the USGS (Winston, 2000). F.5.4 Evaluation Results F. 5.4.1 Box Plot Comparison The box plot comparison of boron, calcium, chloride, sulfate, and TDS concentrations among various well groups is shown in Figure F5-3. Boron showed the most significant concentration difference between the results of the ash basin porewater wells and the local water supply wells: boron was found to be present at significantly higher concentrations in ash basin porewater compared to regional background groundwater and local water supply wells. Calcium and TDS show only slightly elevated concentrations in the ash basin porewater compared to other on-site locations and compared to the local water supply wells, whereas chloride and sulfate demonstrate little to no change in concentrations. It is noted that the boron concentrations for the local water supply wells and regional background wells were all below 50 micrograms per liter (µg/L), as a result of that boron were not detected in several local water supply wells and regional background wells at the reporting limit of 50 µg/L. The box plot comparison of barium and cobalt is provided in Figure F5-4. The barium concentration difference between the ash basin porewater and the groundwater in local water supply wells is pronounced, but not as significant as boron. The concentration difference for cobalt is not significant. Because boron and barium are very mobile, subject to little sorption onto mineral surfaces, and not susceptible to degradation or transformation, and because they show the most elevated concentrations (relative to the concentrations found in the local water supply wells), they are thus considered to be effective signature constituents. The box plot comparison of dissolved oxygen, iron, and manganese is shown in Figure F5-5. The trend of dissolved oxygen concentrations shows that the groundwater in the local water supply wells is generally more oxygenic than in the ash basin porewater. The observed low oxygen concentrations in the ash basin porewater are consistent with the understanding that coal ash leachate is a chemically reduced solution (USEPA, 1980). The depletion of dissolved oxygen in the leachate is attributed to the occurrence of sulfite or other oxidation processes when oxygenic water contacts with coal ash (USEPA, 1980). It should be noted that Duke Energy regional background wells were not analyzed for dissolved oxygen or iron. It is noted that dissolved oxygen occurs in groundwater through recharge by precipitation and air within the unsaturated zone. Dissolved oxygen remains in groundwater until it is used by bacteria, organic material, or reduced minerals (Cunningham and Daniel, 2001). High dissolved oxygen concentrations in groundwater may indicate relatively rapid groundwater recharge (Cunningham and Daniel, 2001). The range of the dissolved oxygen concentrations observed in the local water supply wells is consistent with the range of dissolved oxygen concentrations found in the similar geologic environment (i.e., fractured APRIL 2016 31 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo crystalline rocks mantled with weathered regolith in the Piedmont Physiographic Province) by the USGS (Brief, 1997). There is some uncertainty associated with the dissolved oxygen concentrations observed in local water supply wells and regional background wells. These concentration values may be less accurate because the sampling protocol for these wells is not known and the dissolved oxygen measurements may be affected by the interference from well and plumbing configurations that admit air to the sample water (Donnahue and Kibler, 2007). Although the dissolved oxygen concentrations may be overestimated in some cases, the trend of dissolved oxygen data collected from water supply wells have been used for other studies to help understand the general geochemical conditions (Winograd and Robertson, 1982; Cunningham and Daniel, 2001; Donnahue and Kibler, 2007). The iron and manganese concentration trends are not as clear as that of dissolved oxygen; however, the median concentrations are reduced compared to those of the porewater in the ash basin. Based on the site-specific geochemical evaluation, the site groundwater is quite variable and some areas are enriched in reduced iron and manganese, which is consistent with the lower oxygen contents in groundwater in those areas. The results are consistent with the iron and manganese geochemical behavior in that they tend to form precipitates under oxygenic conditions, and are removed from the groundwater. It is noted that high concentrations of iron and manganese are a common water quality issue within the Piedmont Physiographic Province (Daniel and Dahlen, 2002). The mineral composition of the regolith and bedrock has a strong influence on groundwater quality, as it is extremely susceptible for chemical weather, which greatly impacts the dissolved constituents in groundwater (Daniel and Dahlen, 2002). Due to the variability of the reducing conditions in the groundwater at the site, the lack of dissolved oxygen in the ash basin porewater cannot serve as a very unique signature. Typically, if the groundwater obtained by a local water supply or facility monitoring well is primarily from the ash basin, it is expected that the dissolved oxygen concentration would be low, because there is no effective mass transfer process to increase the dissolved oxygen concentration during groundwater transport in the deep overburden and bedrock units. However, due to the natural variability in the reducing conditions in the vicinity of the site, a low dissolved oxygen concentration may not confirm that the source water for that well has been impacted by CCR -related constituents. In contrast, elevated iron and manganese concentrations may not directly imply that the well was impacted by the ash basin, as elevated concentrations may be due to natural processes. While the lack of dissolved oxygen may not be an indicator of CCR impact, the presence of dissolved oxygen may serve as an indicator of lack of CCR impact, as discussed below. F.5.4.2 Correlation Plot Evaluation Boron and dissolved oxygen were identified to be the most useful signature constituents to assess the extent of the CCR -impacted groundwater, within the context of the discussion above. The spatial patterns of boron and dissolved oxygen concentrations were evaluated for the ash basin monitoring, facility bedrock, and local water supply wells through a correlation plot. Duke Energy regional background wells were not analyzed for dissolved oxygen; therefore, those wells are not included in the correlation plots. APRIL 2016 32 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo In this correlation plot evaluation, the boron and dissolved oxygen concentration pairs are grouped as follows: • Ash basin porewater wells; • Local water supply wells; and • Facility bedrock wells (Figure F5-6), which are further divided into three subgroups: — Subgroup 1 (Downgradient): The bedrock wells are located beneath or hydraulically downgradient of the ash basin or ash landfill, or groundwater flowing through these wells is likely originated from the ash basin. CCR -impacted groundwater is more likely to impact these wells based on the groundwater flow field in the deep overburden and bedrock units (SynTerra, 2016). Wells ABMW-02BR, ABMW-04BR, MW-03BR, and MW- 16BR belong to this subgroup. — Subgroup 2 (Side Gradient): The wells are located cross gradient of the ash basin or groundwater flowing through these wells is not likely to subsequently flow beneath the footprint of the ash basin. These wells are not expected to be greatly influenced by the ash basin groundwater. Wells MW0713R, MW-08BR, and MW-09BR belong to this group. — Subgroup 3 (Upgradient): Groundwater flowing through the bedrock wells in this subgroup is expected to flow beneath the ash basin later. Wells MW -1013R, MW -116R, MW-13BR, MW-14BR, and MW-05BR are in this well group. The data obtained from the facility bedrock wells may help identify the potential groundwater chemistry characteristics of a CCR -impacted bedrock well and help illustrate the spatial pattern of CCR -impacted facility bedrock wells, which may be used to help assess the potential impacts to the local water supply wells. It should be noted that the subgroups formed above is to facilitate the evaluation presented below. The final well group assignment will be based on the evaluation results, as shown in Figure F5-6. The correlation plot is shown in Figure F5-7. Panel (a) shows the correlation plot for the ash basin porewater wells and the facility downgradient bedrock wells. These results are distinguished by elevated boron concentrations and relatively low dissolved oxygen concentrations for ash basin porewater wells, and downgradient facility bedrock wells containing low to non -detect boron results with relatively low dissolved oxygen concentrations. Panel (b) shows the data from the facility side gradient and upgradient bedrock wells in addition to the data in Panel (a). These added wells are distinguished by relatively low to non -detect boron concentrations and dissolved oxygen concentrations that are similar to and slightly higher than the ash basin porewater wells in Panel (a). Panel (c) shows the overlay of the data from the local water supply wells on the data in Panel (b). These added wells are distinguished by very low to non -detect levels of boron (5 µg/L), and a range of dissolved oxygen concentrations. The Panel (c) plot shows that the data are clustered in three distinct areas: Area 1 contains the data from the ash porewater wells; Area 2 contains the data from the local water supply wells; and Area 3 contains the data from the facility bedrock wells, as well as one local water supply well (MY5). The ash basin porewater data pairs tend to generally cluster together in Area 1 with a significantly different boron signature in comparison to the facility bedrock monitoring wells or local water supply wells. Area 2 contains the data clustering pattern of two local water supply wells, specifically those APRIL 2016 33 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo wells that contain higher levels of dissolved oxygen. Area 3 is defined by the data clustering pattern of all facility bedrock wells and local water supply well MY5, which displays a lower dissolved oxygen concentration. The correlation plot result shows that the low oxygen and elevated boron concentrations serve as an effective signature pair to help identify the CCR -impacted groundwater. The two local water supply wells with significantly more dissolved oxygen demonstrates that these two local water supply wells do not obtain groundwater primarily from the ash basin because no effective mass transfer mechanism can replenish oxygen during the groundwater transport from the ash basin to a local water supply well. The exponentially lower boron concentration in facility bedrock wells and local water supply wells also serves as an effective signature to demonstrate a lack of CCR -impacted groundwater in these wells. The groundwater data for local water supply well MY5 exhibits low dissolved oxygen concentrations (lower than 4,000 µg/L). The boron concentration in the well is less than 50 µg/L, suggesting that it is not likely to be affected by CCR -impacted groundwater. To further ascertain that there is no CCR impact to this well, the barium concentration in this well was used for further evaluation. Table F5-1 shows the comparison between the observed boron and barium concentrations in this well and the site-specific facility BTVs for these constituents. The results show that the boron and barium concentrations observed in these wells are below the BTVs derived in Section F.3. The sulfate concentration (5,700 µg/L) in MY5 is comparable with that of the other local water supply well MY7 (2,700 µg/L) and within the 501h percentile of the sulfate concentrations (13,000 µg/L) in groundwater in the Piedmont Province (Brief, 1997). Therefore, the sulfate concentration in MY5 is considered to be within the normal background conditions. The location of this local water supply wells is shown in Figure F5-8. Note that MY5 is located in the same area but slightly further away from the ash compliance boundary that the other two NCDEQ-sampled water supply wells. Based on Figure F5-7, CCR -impacted groundwater does not appear to be found in the facility bedrock wells that are within or downgradient of the ash basin footprint. The groundwater in the facility upgradient and side gradient bedrock wells typically display a constituent signature similar to downgradient facility bedrock wells implying that these wells are not being supplied by CCR -impacted groundwater. The correlation plots and the conceptual groundwater flow directions consistently support the conceptual groundwater transport process that the background groundwater of high and/or low dissolved oxygen and low boron concentrations is located in the bedrock units beneath the site, and that flow through or beneath the ash basin is not causing the groundwater to become enriched with boron. Note that this correlation plot evaluation uses groundwater concentration data under the influence of historic pumping of the local water supply wells. The lack of elevated concentrations of CCR -related signatures and the distinct discrepancy between the data patterns on the correlation plots indicate that the pumping of the local water supply wells does not capture the ash basin porewater. F.5.4.3 Piper Plot Two piper plots were created to evaluate the relative abundance patterns of major ions in the ash basin porewater and in the facility downgradient bedrock wells. The results are shown in Figure F5-9. Panel (a) shows the data for the ash basin porewater wells; the cation subplot shows that calcium is the APRIL 2016 34 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo dominant cation in the porewater, the diamond subplot shows that the relative abundance of calcium and magnesium in the porewater are larger than 70 percent, and the anion subplot shows that the relative abundance of chloride is generally less than 20 percent. Panel (b) shows the data for both the ash basin porewater wells and the facility downgradient bedrock wells. The data of the facility downgradient bedrock wells are clustered with those of the ash basin porewater wells in the anion subplot, but show only a loose correlation to the ash basin porewater wells in the cation and diamond subplots. The results of this piper plot show the variability of bedrock groundwater quality within and under the ash basin footprint. It is noted that piper plots are intended to represent aqueous analytical results when the sample is at equilibrium. According to electrochemical charge balance calculations completed in the CSA, only 6.4 percent of the collected samples were within the expected range (less than 10 percent charge balance error) (SynTerra, 2015a). The majority of samples collected were found to be anion deficient, which could result from multiple natural and human causes. These occurrences can include, but are not limited to, reworking of surficial soils and saprolite, calcite precipitants not taken into account during laboratory analysis (Fritz, 1994), and the effects of hydroxyl radicals (OH-) within the sample, which has no analytical method to be evaluated (SynTerra, 2015a). Due to this charge imbalance, data represented on these piper plots may not be precise and should only be used as a general guide for the relative abundance patterns within well groups. The piper plots for the local water supply, upgradient, and side gradient bedrock wells are provided in Figure F5-10. Panel (a) of Figure F5-10 shows the data for the local water supply wells. Since regional background wells were not analyzed for multiple constituents, those wells are not plotted in the following piper plots. As can be seen, these well data display limited clustering patterns, with a distinct outlier in the anion and diamond subplots (MY3, see the data in blue circles). This indicates that they have different major ion characteristics or the sample collection technique may have affected the sample. The grouping for these wells is slightly distinct from the ash basin related wells in Figure F5-9. Panel (b) of Figure F5-10 shows the data for two subgroups of the facility bedrock wells (upgradient and side gradient) on top of the data of the local water supply wells in Panel (a) of Figure F5-10. When viewed this way, it is clear that two of the local water supply wells are within the variability of the upgradient and side gradient bedrock wells; however, the few number of water supply wells sampled and the loose clustering pattern of these wells makes determining the characteristics of these well groups difficult. Figure F5-11 shows a side-by-side comparison of the ash basin related well data in Panel (a), and the local water supply well related data in Panel (b). The apparent difference in groundwater characteristics between the CCR -impacted wells and the local water supply wells is shown in their diamond subplots. The area defined by the blue dotted line in Panel (b) encloses almost all the local water supply well data, but excludes most data in Panel (a). The data for the downgradient facility bedrock wells are generally within the variability of the ash basin porewater well data. These piper plot results are consistent with the results of the correlation plots; both show a wide range of results between the facility bedrock wells and the CCR -impacted ash basin porewater wells. In the piper plots, the local water supply well and the upgradient and side gradient APRIL 2016 35 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo well data show a recognizably different cluster pattern in comparison with the data of the ash basin porewater wells, indicating that the source water for the supply wells likely is not CCR -impacted groundwater. F.5.5 Conclusions Based on this evaluation, the following key conclusions can be drawn: Boron concentrations in the ash basin groundwater are considerably higher than the maximum plausible boron concentration found in the local water supply wells. Because boron exhibits little sorption to mineral surfaces and is not expected to precipitate or be degraded under the site geochemical conditions, it is considered to be the most effective signature constituent among the coal ash related constituents for evaluating the groundwater impacts from the ash basin. Boron concentrations were not detected in the local water supply wells and barium and sulfate concentrations are both within the range of the facility background wells; therefore, the local water supply wells are considered to not be affected by CCR impacted groundwater. • Redox conditions in the ash basin porewater are generally anoxic, with the characteristics of low dissolved oxygen concentrations, and high iron and manganese concentrations. The redox conditions found in the local water supply wells are generally significantly more oxygenic. The lack of dissolved oxygen is considered to be a useful signature of CCR -impacted groundwater. This demonstrates that two of the local water supply wells do not obtain groundwater primarily from the ash basin because no effective mass transfer mechanism can replenish oxygen during the groundwater transport from the ash basin to these local water supply wells. However, due to the variability in natural redox conditions beneath the site, low dissolved oxygen concentrations in bedrock well may not imply that the supply water at the well is being sourced by CCR -impacted groundwater. • There are no definitive CCR -impacted facility bedrock wells identified using the correlation and piper plots. The local water supply wells are generally upgradient or side gradient of the ash basin. • The correlation and piper plots show recognizably different clustering patterns for the ash basin porewater wells and the local water supply wells. The source water for the local water supply wells is not CCR -impacted groundwater. • The evaluation uses groundwater concentration data under the influence of historic pumping of the local water supply wells. The lack of elevated concentrations of CCR -related signatures and the distinct discrepancy between the data patterns on the correlation plot and piper plot indicate that the pumping of the local water supply wells does not capture CCR -impacted groundwater. • This evaluation has provided additional lines of evidence, using (1) the presence of CCR signature constituents, and (2) general major ion chemistry, to support the groundwater flow and transport results presented in Section FAA APRIL 2016 36 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo It is concluded that there is no connection between the CCR -impacted groundwater and the water quality exceedances found in the local water supply wells. F.6 SUMMARY This document presents the results of supplemental technical evaluations in four important assessment areas to determine whether or not the water supply wells located within a 1,500 -foot radius of the Mayo Plant ash basin compliance boundary could be impacted by CCR releases from the ash basin. The evaluations in this document are based on the currently available data, which includes: generally one sampling round from the water supply wells (note some wells had one or more re -analyses), three to four sampling rounds from the ash basin wells, and multiple years of compliance well sampling. The conclusion from the detailed weight of evidence demonstrates that water supply wells in the vicinity of the Mayo Plant are not impacted by CCR releases from the ash basin. The evaluation of the private and public water supply well data collected by NCDEQ and the detailed statistical analysis of regional background groundwater data indicate that constituent concentrations in the water supply wells are generally consistent with background. Boron was not detected in private water supply wells located proximate to the Mayo Plant and the other potential coal ash indicators were low and not above screening levels in the water supply wells sampled by NCDEQ. None of the NCDEQ- sampled water supply well results were above Federal primary drinking water standards (MCLs), with the exception of the pH results and a single lead result. The water supply well results are consistent with regional background. The pH results are consistent with literature on the pH of groundwater in North Carolina (Briel, 1997; Chapman, et al., 2013). The comprehensive evaluation of groundwater flow with respect to local water supply wells demonstrates that groundwater flow is to the north toward Crutchfield Branch from the topographic divides south, east, and west of the ash basin system away from where the water supply wells are located. The water supply well capture zone analysis indicates that groundwater utilized by water supply wells is not impacted by the coal ash sources. Coal ash constituents do not measurably increase the density of groundwater or have a separate liquid phase in groundwater as compared to other dense liquids that would "sink" in the aquifer, like saltwater. Thus, releases from coal ash management areas tend to remain in the shallower groundwater flow layers. This conclusion is confirmed by the detailed characterization of groundwater chemistry including evaluation of CCR indicators, redox conditions, and correlation evaluations. The results of the chemical correlation analyses indicate that, based on the different constituent clustering patterns from the ash basin porewater wells and the water supply wells, the source water for the water supply wells is not CCR -impacted groundwater. Based on this combined weight of evidence, groundwater utilized by water supply wells near the coal ash impoundments is not impacted by the coal ash sources. These results provide further support for the NCDEQ Low classification for the Mayo Steam Electric Plant under the CAMA. APRIL 2016 37 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F - Mayo F.7 REFERENCES 1. Briel, L.I. 1997. Water quality in the Appalachian Valley and Ridge, the Blue Ridge, and the Piedmont physiographic provinces, eastern United States (Professional Paper No. 1422-D). U.S. Geological Survey. 2. CAMA. 2014. North Carolina Coal Ash Management Act. Senate Bill S729v7. Available at: http://www.ncleg.net/Sessions/2013/Bills/Senate/PDF/S729v7.PDF 3. Chapman, M.J., Cravotta III, C.A., Szabo, Z. and Lindsay, B.D. 2013. Naturally occurring contaminants in the Piedmont and Blue Ridge crystalline -rock aquifers and Piedmont Early Mesozoic basin siliciclastic-rock aquifers, eastern United States, 1994-2008 (Scientific Investigations Report No. 2013-5072). U.S. Geological Survey. 4. Cunningham, W.L. and Daniel, C.C. 2001. Investigation of Ground -Water Availability and Quality in Orange County, North Carolina (Water Resources Investigation No. 4286). US Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey. 5. Daniel, C.C., III. 1989. Statistical Analysis Relating Well Yield to Construction Practices and Siting of Wells in the Piedmont and Blue Ridge Provinces of North Carolina (Water -Supply Paper 2341-A). U.S. Geological Survey 6. Daniel, C.C. III and Dahlen, P. 2002. Preliminary Hydrogeologic Assessment and Study Plan for a Regional Ground -Water Resource Investigation of the Blue Ridge and Piedmont Provinces of North Carolina. USGS Water Resources Investigation Report 02-4105. 7. Daniel, C.C., III and Harned, D.A. 1998. Ground -water recharge to and storage in the regolith - fractured crystalline rock aquifer system, Guilford County, North Carolina (Water -Resources Investigations Report 97-4140, 65p.). U.S. Geological Survey. 8. Domenico, P.A. and Schwartz, F.W. 1998. Physical and chemical hydrogeology (Vol. 44). New York: Wiley. 9. Donnahue, J.C. and Kibler, S.R. 2007. Ground Water Quality in Piedmont/Blue Ridge Unconfined Aquifer System of Georgia, Georgia Department of Natural Resources, Environmental Protection Division, Watershed protection branch, regulatory support program, Circular 12U, Atlanta. 10. EPRI. 2005. Chemical Constituents in Coal Combustion Product Leachate: Boron. Electric Power Research Institute Report 1005258. March 2005. 11. Fritz, S. 1994. A Survey of Charge -Balance Errors on Published Analyses of Potable Ground and Surface Waters. Ground Water. 1994; 32(4):539-546. 12. Haley & Aldrich. 2015. Evaluation of NCDEQ Private Well Data. December 2015. APRIL 2016 38 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo 13. Harned, D.A. and Daniel, C.C., III. 1992. The transition zone between bedrock and regolith: Conduit for contamination?, p. 336-348, in Daniel, C.C., III, White, R.K., and Stone, P.A., eds., Groundwater in the Piedmont: Proceedings of a Conference on Ground Water in the Piedmont of the Eastern United States, October 16-18, 1989, Clemson University, 693p. 14. Heath, R.C. 1980. Basic elements of groundwater hydrology with reference to conditions in North Carolina (Open File Report 80-44, 86p.). U.S. Geological Survey. 15. Heath, R.C. 1984. Ground -Water Regions of the United States (Water -Supply Paper 2242, 78p.). U.S. Geological Survey. 16. LeGrand, H.E. 1988. Region 21, Piedmont and Blue Ridge. In Hydrogeology, The Geology of North America, vol. 0-2, ed. W.B. Back, J.S. Rosenshein, and P.R. Seaber, 201-207. Geological Society of America. Boulder CO: Geological Society of America. 17. LeGrand, H.E. 1989. A conceptual model of ground water settings in the Piedmont region. In Ground Water in the Piedmont, ed. C.C. Daniel III, R.K. White, and P.A. Stone, 693. Proceedings of a Conference on Ground Water in the Piedmont of the Eastern United States, Clemson University, Clemson, South Carolina. Charlotte, NC: U.S. Geological Survey. 18. LeGrand, H.E. 2004. A Master Conceptual Model for Hydrogeological Site Characterization in the Piedmont and Mountain Region of North Carolina, A Guidance Manual, North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources Division of Water Quality, Groundwater Section. 19. NCAC. 2013. 15A NCAC 02L.0202. Groundwater Standard (2L), Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. Available at: http://Portal.ncdenr.org/c/document library/get file?uuid=laa3fa13-2cOf-45b7-ae96- 5427fb1d25b4&groupld=38364 20. NCDEQ. 2016. Coal Combustion Residual Impoundment Risk Classifications. North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality. January 2016. Available at: https://ncdenr.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/document- library/1.29.16 Coal%20Combustion%20Residua 1%201mpoundment%20Class ifications.pdf 21. NCDHHS. 2015. DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. April 24, 2015. Available at: http://Portal.ncdenr.org/c/document library/get file?p I id=1169848&folderld=24814087&na me=DLFE-112704. PDF 22. SynTerra. 2014. Proposed Groundwater Assessment Work Plan — Mayo Steam Electric Plant, Roxboro, NC; NPDES Permit NC0038377. December. SynTerra Corporation. APRIL 2016 39 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F - Mayo 23. SynTerra. 2015a. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Duke Energy Mayo Steam Electric Plant, September. SynTerra Corporation. 24. SynTerra. 2015b. Corrective Action Plan Part 1, Duke Energy Mayo Steam Electric Plant, December. SynTerra Corporation. 25. SynTerra. 2016. Corrective Action Plan Part 2, Duke Energy Mayo Steam Electric Plant, February. SynTerra Corporation. 26. USEPA. 1980. Effects of Coal -ash Leachate on Ground Water Quality. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. EPA -600/7-80-066. March. 27. USEPA. 2007. Monitored Natural Attenuation of Inorganic Contaminants in Groundwater, Vol. 1: Technical Basis for Assessment. 2007. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. EPA/600/R-07/139. 28. USEPA. 2008. Indoor Water Use in the United States, EPA Water Sense. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. [Online] URL: https://www3.epa.gov/watersense/docs/ws indoor508.pdf. 29. USEPA. 2012. 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Available at: http://water.epa.gov/drink/contaminants/index.cfm 30. USEPA. 2013. Statistical Software ProUCL 5.0.00 for Environmental Applications for Data Sets with and without Nondetect Observations. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Software: http://www2.epa.gov/land-research/proucl-software, and User's Guide: https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-03/documents/proucl v5.0 tech.pdf 31. USEPA. 2015a. Coal Combustion Residual (CCR) Rule (Hazardous and Solid Waste Management System; Disposal of Coal Combustion Residuals From Electric Utilities; FR 80(74): 21302- 21501, April 19, 2015. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Available at: http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/­FR-2015-04-17/PDF/­2015-002S7.PDF 32. USEPA. 2015b. USEPA Regional Screening Levels (RSLs). November 2015. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/reg3hwmd/risk/human/rb- concentration table/Generic Tables/index.htm 33. Winograd, I.J. and Robertson, F.N. 1982. Deep oxygenated ground water: anomaly or common occurrence? Science, 216(4551), pp.1227-1230. 34. Winston, R.B. 2000. Graphical User Interface for MODFLOW, Version 4 (Open -File Report 00- 315). U.S. Geological Survey. Software: http://water.usgs.gov/nrp/gwsoftware/GW Chart/GW Chart.html APRIL 2016 40 %UICH Table F2-1 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to 2L Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Page 1 of 3 15A NCAC 02L.0202 d(a): Groundwater Standard (a) 700 NS 250 6.5-8.5 250 500 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 NS 20 0.2 Federal MCL/SMCL(b): (' denotes secondary standard) NS NS *250 6.5-8.5 *250 "500 6 30 2000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 NS 50 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 L 18 20 0.2 RSL 2015(d): 4000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3800 25 9.2 22000 6 15 5.7 100 100 0.2 Appendix III App endix IV Boron Calcium Chloride pH Sulfate Total Dissolved Solids Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury Molybdenum Selenium Thallium Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L su m L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L Mao MY3 <5 28000 40 6.42 66 293 <0.5 <0.5 78 <0.2 <0.08 0.6 <0.5 24 <0.2 <0.5 1.3 <0.1 Mayo MYS <5 84800 39.7 7.08 5.7 349 <5 <5 54.5 <2 <0.08 <50 <5 2.7 <0.2 <5 <5 <1 Mao MY7 <5 7490 5.5 6.07 2.7 88 <0.5 <0.5 30 <0.2 <0.08 0.86 <0.5 1.8 <0.2 3.8 <0.5 <0.1 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 Table F2-1 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to 2L Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 ISA NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard (a): 0.3 NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1 NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): (* denotes secondary standard) NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *5 NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): 0.3 3500 1 2500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20000 2100 1 NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): 86 20000 0.8 14000 44(e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12000 6 NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Total Vanadium Aluminum Copper Iron Hexavalent Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc Alkalinity Bicarbonate Carbonate Suspended Chromium Solids Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L m L m L m L m L m L Mao MY3 3.03 3480 0.132 1750 0.13 3600 25 1.2 1600 37000 450 0.0311 28.5 28.5 < 1 13.4 Mayo MYS < 10 430 0.0419 953 < 0.03 4830 517 <5 8350 22500 621 < 0.05 189 189 <5 11 Mao MY7 2.5 < 10 0.0678 < 50 0.63 2410 0.78 1.5 1400 9660 106 0.0364 37 37 <5 < 2.5 Page 2 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 Table F2-1 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to 2L Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Page 3 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard (a): NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): (* denotes secondary standard) NS NS NS NS N5 DHHS Screening Level (c): NS NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Oxidation Specific Dissolved Turbidity Temperature Conductance Oxygen Reduction Potential Plant Well Owner ID NTU °C umhos cm m L my Mao MY3 30 18 399 9.24 259.3 Mayo MY5 1.5 15.7 571.9 1.8 241.6 Mao MY7 <1 18 85.1 7.07 281.4 Page 3 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Station Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: A - Denotes [MAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. °C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC- Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL - Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL - Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA - Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL- Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers B Detected in method blank (MB). 1 Estimated result between PQL and MDL. 12 Spike recovery outside quality assurance limits @ 135%. Zb Sample was clear but contained sand -like particles. Zc Well depth was 635 feet per well tag. 18 Temperature of the sample was exceeded during storage. BH Method Blank (MB) greater than one half of the Reporting Level (RL), but the sample concentrations are greater than 10x the MB. ** Alkalinity = carbonate + bicarbonate. S1 Matrix spike and / or matrix spike duplicate sample recovery was not within control limits due to matrix interference. Laboratory Control Sample (LCS) was within control limits. Z Sample was re -digested and re -analyzed with similar sample and spike results. M1 Matrix spike recovery exceeded QC limits. Batch accepted based on laboratory control sample (LCS) recovery. D6 The relative percent difference (RPD) between the sample and sample duplicate exceeded laboratory control limits. < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards2012.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get_file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screening-ta ble-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http://epa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) -The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. Detected value is above the sreening level. Reporting limit is above the screening level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 4/9/2016 Table F2-2 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to MCL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Groundwater 15A"water NCAC 021 .nd.r 020 Standard a: 700 NS 250 6.S-8.5 250 500 1 30 700 4 2 30 1 15 1 NS 20 0.2 Federal MCL/SMCL(b(: " denotes secondary standard NS NS `250 6.5-8.5 '250 •500 6 10 2000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 NS 50 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 L 18 20 0.2 RSL 201S (d): 4000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3800 25 9.2 22000 6 35 5.7 100 100 0.2 Appendix III f Appendix IV Boron Calcium Chloride pH Sulfate Total Dissolved Solids Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury Molybdenum Selenium Thallium Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L su m L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L Mao MY3 <S 28000 40 6.42 66 293 <0.5 <0.5 78 <0.2 <0.08 0.6 <O.5 24 c0.2 <O.S 1.3 <0.1 Mayo MYS <5 84800 39.7 7.08 5.7 349 <5 <5 54.5 <2 <0.08 <50 <5 2.7 <0.2 <5 <5 <1 Mao MY7 <5 7490 5.5 6.07 2.7 88 <0.5 <O.S 30 <0.2 <0.08 0.86 <O.5 1.8 c0.2 3.8 <0.5 <0.1 Page 1 of 2 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 Table F2-2 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to MCL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Page 2 of 2 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 15A NCAC 02r 02020.3 Groundwater Standard a: NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL(b): * denotes secondary standard NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *5 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): 0.3 3500 1 2500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20000 2100 1 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS RSL 201S (d): 86 20000 0.8 14000 44(e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12000 6 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Total Oxidation Hexavalent Dissolved Vanadium Aluminum Copper Iron Chromium Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc Alkalinity Bicarbonate Carbonate Suspended Solids Turbidity Temperature CoSpecific nductance Oxygen Reduction Potential Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L m L m L m L m L m L NTU 'C umhos cm m L mV Mao MY3 3.03 3480 0.132 1750 0.13 3600 25 1.2 1600 37000 450 0.0311 28.5 28.5 <1 13.4 30 18 399 9.24 259.3 Mayo MY5 <10 430 0.0419 953 <0.03 4830 517 <5 8350 22500 621 <0.05 189 189 <5 11 1.5 15.7 571.9 1.8 241.6 Mao MY7 2.5 <10 0.0678 <50 0.63 2410 0.78 1.5 1 1400 9660 106 0.0364 37 37 <5 <2.5 <1 18 85.1 7.07 281.4 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Station Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: A - Denotes [MAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. °C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC- Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL - Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL - Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA - Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL- Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers B Detected in method blank (MB). 1 Estimated result between PQL and MDL. 12 Spike recovery outside quality assurance limits @ 135%. Zb Sample was clear but contained sand -like particles. Zc Well depth was 635 feet per well tag. 18 Temperature of the sample was exceeded during storage. BH Method Blank (MB) greater than one half of the Reporting Level (RL), but the sample concentrations are greater than 10x the MB. ** Alkalinity = carbonate + bicarbonate. S1 Matrix spike and / or matrix spike duplicate sample recovery was not within control limits due to matrix interference. Laboratory Control Sample (LCS) was within control limits. Z Sample was re -digested and re -analyzed with similar sample and spike results. M1 Matrix spike recovery exceeded QC limits. Batch accepted based on laboratory control sample (LCS) recovery. D6 The relative percent difference (RPD) between the sample and sample duplicate exceeded laboratory control limits. < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards2012.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get_file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screening-ta ble-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http://epa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) -The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. Detected value is above the sreen ing level. _Reporting limit is above the screening level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 4/9/2016 Table F2-3 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Page 1 of 3 15A NCAC 02L.0202 d(a): Groundwater Standard (a) 700 NS 250 6.5-8.5 250 500 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 NS 20 0.2 Federal MCL/SMCL(b): (' denotes secondary standard) NS NS *250 6.5-8.5 *250 "500 6 10 2000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 NS 50 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 30 1 15 1 L 18 20 0.2 RSL 2015(d): 4000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3800 25 9.2 22000 6 15 5.7 100 100 0.2 Appendix III App endix IV Boron Calcium Chloride pH Sulfate Total Dissolved Solids Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury Molybdenum Selenium Thallium Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L su m L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L Mao MY3 <5 28000 40 6.42 66 293 <0.5 <0.5 78 <0.2 <0.08 0.6 <0.5 24 <0.2 <0.5 1.3 <0.1 Mayo MYS <5 84800 39.7 7.08 5.7 349 <5 <5 54.5 <2 <0.08 <50 <5 2.7 <0.2 <5 <5 <1 Mao MY7 <5 7490 5.5 6.07 2.7 88 <0.5 <0.5 30 <0.2 <0.08 0.86 <0.5 1.8 <0.2 3.8 <0.5 <0.1 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 Table F2-3 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard (a): 0.3 NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1 NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): (• denotes secondary standard) NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *5 NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): 0.3 3500 1 2500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20000 2100 1 NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): 86 20000 0.8 14000 44(e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12000 6 NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Total Vanadium Aluminum Copper Iron Hexavalent Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc Alkalinity Bicarbonate Carbonate Suspended Chromium Solids Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L m L m L m L m L m L Mao MY3 3.03 3480 0.132 1750 0.13 3600 25 1.2 1600 37000 450 0.0311 28.5 28.5 < 1 13.4 Mayo MYS < 10 430 0.0419 953 < 0.03 4830 517 <5 8350 22500 621 < 0.05 189 189 <5 11 Mao MY7 2.5 < 10 0.0678 < 50 0.63 2410 0.78 1.5 1400 9660 106 0.0364 37 37 <5 < 2.5 Page 2 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 Table F2-3 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 15A NCAC 02L .020 Groundwater Standard (a): NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): (• denotes secondary standard) NS NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): NS NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Oxidation Specific Dissolved Turbidity Temperature Conductance Oxygen Reduction Potential Plant Well Owner ID NTU °C umhos cm m L my Mao MY3 30 18 399 9.24 259.3 Mayo MYS 1.5 15.7 571.9 1.8 241.6 Mao MY7 < 1 18 85.1 7.07 281.4 10 Page 3 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 11 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Station Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: A - Denotes [MAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. °C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC- Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL - Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL - Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA - Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL- Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers B Detected in method blank (MB). 1 Estimated result between PQL and MDL. 12 Spike recovery outside quality assurance limits @ 135%. Zb Sample was clear but contained sand -like particles. Zc Well depth was 635 feet per well tag. 18 Temperature of the sample was exceeded during storage. BH Method Blank (MB) greater than one half of the Reporting Level (RL), but the sample concentrations are greater than 10x the MB. ** Alkalinity = carbonate + bicarbonate. S1 Matrix spike and / or matrix spike duplicate sample recovery was not within control limits due to matrix interference. Laboratory Control Sample (LCS) was within control limits. Z Sample was re -digested and re -analyzed with similar sample and spike results. M1 Matrix spike recovery exceeded QC limits. Batch accepted based on laboratory control sample (LCS) recovery. D6 The relative percent difference (RPD) between the sample and sample duplicate exceeded laboratory control limits. < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards2012.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get_file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screening-ta ble-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http://epa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) -The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. Detected value is above the sreening level. 6.Reporti ng limit is above the screening level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 4/9/2016 Table F2-4 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to RSL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 d(a): Groundwater Standard (a) 700 NS 250 6.5-8.5 250 500 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 NS 20 0.2 Federal M L(b): (' denotes secondary standard) NS NS *250 6.5-8.5 *250 *500 6 10 2000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 NS 50 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 L 18 20 0.2 RSL 2015(d): 4000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3800 25 9.2 22000 6 15 5.7 100 100 0.2 Append x III f Appendix IV Boron Calcium Chloride pH Sulfate Total Dissolved Solids Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury Molybdenum Selenium Thallium Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L su m L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L Mao MY3 <5 28000 40 6.42 66 293 <0.5 <0.5 78 <0.2 <0.08 0.6 <0.5 24 <0.2 <0.5 1.3 <0.1 Mayo MY5 <5 84800 39.7 7.08 5.7 349 <5 <5 54.5 <2 <0.08 <50 <5 2.7 <0.2 <5 <5 <1 Mao MY7 <5 7490 5.5 6.07 2.7 88 <0.5 <0.5 30 <0.2 <0.08 0.86 <0.5 1.8 <0.2 3.8 <0.5 <0.1 12 Page 1 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 Table F2-4 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to RSL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard (a): 0.3 NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1 NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): (* denotes secondary standard) NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *5 NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): 0.3 3500 1 2500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20000 2100 1 NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): 86 20000 0.8 14000 44(e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12000 6 NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Total Vanadium Aluminum Copper Iron Hexavalent Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc Alkalinity Carbonate Suspended Chromium Solids Plant Well Owner ID u L u L m L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L u L m L m Lm kcarbonate L m L Mao MY3 3.03 3480 0.132 1750 0.13 3600 25 1.2 1600 37000 450 0.0311 28.5 < 1 13.4 Mayo MY5 < 10 430 0.0419 953 < 0.03 4830 517 <5 8350 22500 621 < 0.05 189 <5 11 Mao MY7 2.5 < 10 0.0678 < 50 0.63 2410 0.78 1.5 1400 9660 106 0.0364 37 <5 < 2.5 13 Page 2 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 Table F2-4 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to RSL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 15A NCAC 02L .020 Groundwater Standard (a): NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): (• denotes secondary standard) NS NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): NS NS NS NS NS RSL 201S (d): NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Oxidation Specific Dissolved Turbidity Temperature Conductance Oxygen Reduction Potential Plant Well Owner ID NTU °C umhos cm m L my Mao MY3 30 18 399 9.24 259.3 Mayo MY5 1.5 15.7 571.9 1.8 241.6 Mao MY7 < 1 18 85.1 7.07 281.4 14 Page 3 of 3 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2-142-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 15 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Station Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: A - Denotes [MAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. °C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC- Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL - Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL - Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA - Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL- Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers B Detected in method blank (MB). 1 Estimated result between PQL and MDL. 12 Spike recovery outside quality assurance limits @ 135%. Zb Sample was clear but contained sand -like particles. Zc Well depth was 635 feet per well tag. 18 Temperature of the sample was exceeded during storage. BH Method Blank (MB) greater than one half of the Reporting Level (RL), but the sample concentrations are greater than 10x the MB. ** Alkalinity = carbonate + bicarbonate. S1 Matrix spike and / or matrix spike duplicate sample recovery was not within control limits due to matrix interference. Laboratory Control Sample (LCS) was within control limits. Z Sample was re -digested and re -analyzed with similar sample and spike results. M1 Matrix spike recovery exceeded QC limits. Batch accepted based on laboratory control sample (LCS) recovery. D6 The relative percent difference (RPD) between the sample and sample duplicate exceeded laboratory control limits. < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards2012.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get_file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screening-ta ble-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http://epa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) -The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. Detected value is a Bove the sreeni ng level. Reporting limit is above the screeni ng level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -1-F2-4 NCDEQ Data Water Supply Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 4/9/2016 16 Table F2-5 Page 1 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to 21. Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a: 700 NS 250 6.5-8.5 250 500 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS NS *250 6.5-8.5 *250 *500 6 10 2,000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 11. RSL 2015 (d): 4,000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3,800 25 9.2 22,000 6 15 5.7 Appendix III (f) Appendix IV (g) Station Well ID Boron ug/L Calcium ug/L Chloride mg/L pH SI Units Sulfate mg/L Total Dissolved Solids mg/L Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 <50 22700 <1 <1 6 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY2 <50 83600 1.05 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 6.37 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY3 <5 8300 1.1 <0.S 23.7 <0.2 <0.08 1.7 <0.S 0.24 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY4 <5 36800 1.1 <0.5 33.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S <0.1 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MYS 12.6 89100 1 <0.S 8.3 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S 0.36 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY6 <50 24700 <1 <1 9 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.61 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY7 <50 23700 1.04 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY8 <50 2380 1.12 <1 19 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.16 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY9 <50 27600 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <50 12400 <1 <1 108 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY11 <5 1780 1.1 <0.S 20 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S 1.5 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY12 <50 12300 <1 <1 71 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY13 <5 2180 0.96 <0.S 11.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S 0.7 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <5 19100 1 <0.S 1.S <0.2 <0.08 2.6 <0.S 0.65 <0.2 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 17 Table F2-5 Page 2 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to 21. Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 15A NCAC OZL.0202 Groundwater Staandad(a): Standard a: NS 20 0.2 0.3 NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1,000 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS 50 2 NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *5000 DHHS Screening Level (c): 18 20 0.2 0.3 3,500 1 2,500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20,000 2,100 1,000 RSL 2015 (d): 100 100 0.2 86 20,000 0.8 14,000 44 (e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12,000 6,000 Appendix IV (g) Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Molybdenum Selenium ug/L ug/L Thallium ug/L Vanadium Aluminum Copper Iron Hexavalent Chromium Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc ug/L ug/L mg/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 1.12 <1 <0.2 0.409 44 '0.005 118 3420 18 <5 3050 8990 76 <5 Mayo DBKG-MY2 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 2.25 < 5 0.035 < 10 0.19 31800 < S < S 288 42000 201 1380 Mayo DBKG-MY3 1.5 <0.5 <0.1 1.6 <10 0.0031 <50 1.1 2760 12.8 2.6 2940 7160 81.2 5.6 Mayo DBKG-MY4 0.6 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 < 0.001 1090 < 0.03 7330 211 < 0.5 4880 10600 181 6.2 Mayo DBKG-MY5 0.8 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 0.0022 78.8 < 0.6 12300 47.6 < 0.5 3660 26300 268 5.4 Mayo DBKG-MY6 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.318 6 0.082 < 10 0.079 11600 < S < S 1550 13900 231 69 Mayo DBKG-MY7 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.467 < 5 < 0.005 < 10 0.41 2790 5 < 5 369 9180 107 227 Mayo DBKG-MY8 <1 <1 <0.2 <0.3 <5 0.018 18 1.5 758 <S <S 665 9680 17 225 Mayo DBKG-MY9 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 < 0.3 < 5 < 0.005 91 < 0.03 3990 9 < 5 1730 10100 107 157 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <1 <1 <0.2 14.4 116 0.019 132 0.94 5610 36 <5 17SO 13200 163 39 Mayo DBKG-MY11 '0.5 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 0.0262 < 50 < 0.6 627 11.S < 0.5 578 9260 11.1 37.8 Mayo DBKG-MY12 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 19.6 6 0.025 < 10 1.2 6120 < S < S 1230 20300 141 18 Mayo DBKG-MY13 < 0.5 < 0.5 < 0.1< 1 < 10 0.0214 132 < 0.6 634 76.8 0.63 1420 10300 20.7 133 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <0.5 <0.5 <0.1 <1 35.6 0.0223 74 1.6 7410 19 1.6 201 8970 55.1 61.5 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 18 Table F2-5 Page 3 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to 21. Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a: NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Alkalinity Bicarbonate Carbonate Total Suspended Solids mg/L Turbidity Temperature Specific Conductance Dissolved Oxygen Oxidation Reduction Potential Mayo DBKG-MY1 Mayo DBKG-MY2 Mayo DBKG-MY3 Mayo DBKG-MY4 Mayo DBKG-MY5 Mayo DBKG-MY6 Mayo DBKG-MY7 Mayo DBKG-MY8 Mayo DBKG-MY9 Mayo DBKG-MY10 Mayo DBKG-MY11 Mayo DBKG-MY12 Mayo DBKG-MY13 Mayo DBKG-MY14 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 2L April 2016 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: ^ - Denotes IMAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. 'C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC - Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL- Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL- Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA- Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL - Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards20l2.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://Portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screen ing-table-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http:Hepa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). httP://www.gPo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. Detected value is above the sreening level. _Reporting limit is above the screening level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 19 Page 1 of 1 4/10/2016 20 Table F2-6 Page 1 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to MCL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a 700 NS 250 6.5-8.5 250 500 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): ' denotes secondary standard NS NS `250 6.5-8.5 "250 `500 6 10 2000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1L RSL 2015 (d): 4,000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3,800 25 9.2 22,000 6 15 5.7 Appendix III (f) Appendix IV (g) Station Well ID Boron ug/L Calcium ug/L Chloride mg/L pH SI Units Sulfate mg/L Total Dissolved Solids mg/L Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 <50 22700 <1 <1 6 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY2 <50 83600 1.05 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 6.37 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY3 <5 8300 1.1 <0.S 23.7 <0.2 <0.08 1.7 <0.S 0.24 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY4 <5 36800 1.1 <0.5 33.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S <0.1 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MYS 12.6 89100 1 <0.S 8.3 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S 0.36 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY6 <50 24700 <1 <1 9 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.61 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY7 <50 23700 1.04 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY8 <50 2380 1.12 <1 19 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.16 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY9 <50 27600 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <50 12400 <1 <1 108 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY11 <5 1780 1.1 <0.S 20 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S 1.5 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY12 <50 12300 <1 <1 71 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY13 <5 2180 0.96 <0.S 11.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.S <0.S 0.7 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <5 19100 1 <0.S 1.S <0.2 <0.08 2.6 <0.S 0.65 <0.2 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 21 Table F2-6 Page 2 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to MCL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 15A NCAC OZL.0202 Groundwater Staandad(a): Standard a NS 20 0.2 0.3 NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1,000 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS 50 2 NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *5000 DHHS Screening Level (c): 18 20 0.2 0.3 3,500 1 2,500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20,000 2,100 1,000 RSL 2015 (d): 100 100 0.2 86 20,000 0.8 14,000 44 (e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12,000 6,000 Appendix IV (g) Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Molybdenum Selenium ug/L ug/L Thallium ug/L Vanadium Aluminum Copper Iron Hexavalent Chromium Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc ug/L ug/L mg/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 1.12 <1 <0.2 0.409 44 '0.005 118 3420 18 <5 3050 8990 76 <5 Mayo DBKG-MY2 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 2.25 < 5 0.035 < 10 0.19 31800 < 5 < 5 288 42000 201 1380 Mayo DBKG-MY3 1.5 <0.5 <0.1 1.6 <10 0.0031 <50 1.1 2760 12.8 2.6 2940 7160 81.2 5.6 Mayo DBKG-MY4 0.6 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 < 0.001 1090 < 0.03 7330 211 < 0.5 4880 10600 181 6.2 Mayo DBKG-MY5 0.8 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 0.0022 78.8 < 0.6 12300 47.6 < 0.5 3660 26300 268 5.4 Mayo DBKG-MY6 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.318 6 0.082 < 10 0.079 11600 < 5 < 5 1550 13900 231 69 Mayo DBKG-MY7 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.467 < 5 < 0.005 < 10 0.41 2790 5 < 5 369 9180 107 227 Mayo DBKG-MY8 <1 <1 <0.2 <0.3 <5 0.018 18 1.5 758 <5 <5 665 9680 17 225 Mayo DBKG-MY9 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 < 0.3 < 5 < 0.005 91 < 0.03 3990 9 < 5 1730 10100 107 157 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <1 <1 <0.2 14.4 116 0.019 132 0.94 5610 36 <5 1750 13200 163 39 Mayo DBKG-MY11 '0.5 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 0.0262 < 50 < 0.6 627 11.5 < 0.5 578 9260 11.1 37.8 Mayo DBKG-MY12 < 1 < 10.2 19.6 6 0.025 < 10 1.2 6120 < 5 < 5 1230 20300 141 18 Mayo DBKG-MY13 < 0.5 < 0.50.1 < 1 < 10 0.0214 132 < 0.6 634 76.8 0.63 1420 10300 20.7 133 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <0.5 <0.SEP 0.1 <1 35.6 0.0223 74 1.6 7410 19 1.6 201 8970 55.1 61.5 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 22 Table F2-6 Page 3 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to MCL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Alkalinity Bicarbonate Carbonate Total Suspended Solids mg/L Turbidity Temperature Specific Conductance Dissolved Oxygen Oxidation Reduction Potential Mayo DBKG-MY1 Mayo DBKG-MY2 Mayo DBKG-MY3 Mayo DBKG-MY4 Mayo DBKG-MY5 Mayo DBKG-MY6 Mayo DBKG-MY7 Mayo DBKG-MY8 Mayo DBKG-MY9 Mayo DBKG-MY10 Mayo DBKG-MY11 Mayo DBKG-MY12 Mayo DBKG-MY13 Mayo DBKG-MY14 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx MCL April 2016 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: ^ - Denotes IMAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. 'C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC - Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL- Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL- Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA- Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL - Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards20l2.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://Portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screen ing-table-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http:Hepa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). httP://www.gPo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. Detected value is above the sreening level. _ Reporting limit i s a bove the screening level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 23 Page 1 of 1 4/10/2016 24 Table F2-7 Page 1 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a 700 NS 250 6.5-8.5 250 500 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS NS *250 6.5-8.5 *250 *500 6 10 2,000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1L RSL 2015 (d): 4,000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3,800 25 9.2 22,000 6 15 5.7 Appendix III (f) Appendix IV (g) Station Well ID Boron ug/L Calcium ug/L Chloride mg/L pH SI Units Sulfate mg/L Total Dissolved Solids mg/L Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 <50 22700 <1 <1 6 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY2 <50 83600 1.05 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 6.37 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY3 <5 8300 1.1 <0.5 23.7 <0.2 <0.08 1.7 <0.5 0.24 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY4 <5 36800 1.1 <0.5 33.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 <0.1 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY5 12.6 89100 1 <0.5 8.3 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 0.36 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY6 <50 24700 <1 <1 9 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.61 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY7 <50 23700 1.04 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY8 <50 2380 1.12 <1 19 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.16 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY9 <50 27600 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <50 12400 <1 <1 108 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY11 <5 1780 1.1 <0.5 20 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 1.5 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY12 <50 12300 <1 <1 71 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY13 <5 2180 0.96 <0.5 11.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 0.7 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <5 19100 1 <0.5 1.5 <0.2 <0.08 2.6 <0.5 0.65 <0.2 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 25 Table F2-7 Page 2 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 15A NCAC OZL.0202 Groundwater Staandad(a): Standard a NS 20 0.2 0.3 NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1,000 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS 50 2 NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *S000 DHHS Screening Level (c): 18 20 0.2 0.3 3,500 1 2,500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20,000 2,100 1,000 RSL 2015 (d): 100 100 0.2 86 20,000 0.8 14,000 44 (e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12,000 6,000 Appendix IV (g) Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Molybdenum Selenium ug/L ug/L Thallium ug/L Vanadium Aluminum Copper Iron Hexavalent Chromium Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc ug/L ug/L mg/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 1.12 <1 <0.2 0.409 44 '0.005 118 3420 18 <5 3050 8990 76 <5 Mayo DBKG-MY2 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 2.25 < 5 0.035 < 10 0.19 31800 < S < S 288 42000 201 1380 Mayo DBKG-MY3 1.5 <0.5 <0.1 1.6 <10 0.0031 <50 1.1 2760 12.8 2.6 2940 7160 81.2 5.6 Mayo DBKG-MY4 0.6 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 < 0.001 1090 < 0.03 7330 1 211 < 0.5 4880 1 10600 181 1 6.2 Mayo DBKG-MY5 0.8 <0.5 <0.1 <1 <10 0.0022 78.8 <0.6 12300 47.6 <0.5 3660 26300 268 5.4 Mayo DBKG-MY6 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.318 6 0.082 < 10 0.079 11600 < S < S 1550 13900 231 69 Mayo DBKG-MY7 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.467 < 5 < 0.005 < 10 0.41 2790 5 < 5 369 9180 107 227 Mayo DBKG-MY8 <1 <1 <0.2 <0.3 <5 0.018 18 1.5 758 <S <S 665 9680 17 225 Mayo DBKG-MY9 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 < 0.3 < 5 < 0.005 91 < 0.03 3990 9 < 5 1730 10100 107 157 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <1 <1 <0.2 14.4 116 0.019 132 0.94 5610 36 <S 17SO 13200 163 39 Mayo DBKG-MY11 '0.5 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 0.0262 < 50 < 0.6 627 11.S < 0.5 578 9260 11.1 37.8 Mayo DBKG-MY12 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 19.6 6 0.025 < 10 1.2 6120 < S < S 1230 20300 141 18 Mayo DBKG-MY13 < 0.5 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 0.0214 132 < 0.6 634 76.8 0.63 1420 10300 20.7 133 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <0.5 <0.5 <0.1 <1 35.6 0.0223 74 1.6 7410 19 1 1.6 201 8970 55.1 61.5 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 26 Table F2-7 Page 3 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to DHHS Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Alkalinity Bicarbonate Carbonate Total Suspended Solids mg/L Turbidity Temperature Specific Conductance Dissolved Oxygen Oxidation Reduction Potential Mayo DBKG-MY1 Mayo DBKG-MY2 Mayo DBKG-MY3 Mayo DBKG-MY4 Mayo DBKG-MY5 Mayo DBKG-MY6 Mayo DBKG-MY7 Mayo DBKG-MY8 Mayo DBKG-MY9 Mayo DBKG-MY10 Mayo DBKG-MY11 Mayo DBKG-MY12 Mayo DBKG-MY13 Mayo DBKG-MY14 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx DHHS April 2016 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: ^ - Denotes IMAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. 'C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC - Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL- Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL- Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA- Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL - Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards20l2.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://Portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screen ing-table-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http:Hepa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). httP://www.gPo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. Detected value isatrovethasmening level. _ Reporting limit is above the screening level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 27 Page 1 of 1 4/10/2016 28 Table F2-8 Page 1 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to RSL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a 700 NS 250 6.5-8.5 250 500 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS NS *250 6.5-8.5 *250 *500 6 10 2,000 4 5 100 NS 15 2 DHHS Screening Level (c): 700 NS 250 NS 250 NS 1 10 700 4 2 10 1 15 1L RSL 2015 (d): 4,000 NS NS NS NS NS 7.8 0.052 3,800 25 9.2 22,000 6 15 5.7 Appendix III (f) Appendix IV (g) Station Well ID Boron ug/L Calcium ug/L Chloride mg/L pH SI Units Sulfate mg/L Total Dissolved Solids mg/L Antimony Arsenic Barium Beryllium Cadmium Chromium Cobalt Lead Mercury ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 <50 22700 <1 <1 6 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY2 <50 83600 1.05 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 6.37 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY3 <5 8300 1.1 <0.5 23.7 <0.2 <0.08 1.7 <0.5 0.24 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY4 <5 36800 1.1 <0.5 33.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 <0.1 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY5 12.6 89100 1 <0.5 8.3 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 0.36 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY6 <50 24700 <1 <1 9 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.61 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY7 <50 23700 1.04 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY8 <50 2380 1.12 <1 19 <1 <1 <5 <1 2.16 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY9 <50 27600 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <50 12400 <1 <1 108 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY11 <5 1780 1.1 <0.5 20 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 1.5 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY12 <50 12300 <1 <1 71 <1 <1 <5 <1 <1 <0.05 Mayo DBKG-MY13 <5 2180 0.96 <0.5 11.6 <0.2 <0.08 <0.5 <0.5 0.7 <0.2 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <5 19100 1 <0.5 1.5 <0.2 <0.08 2.6 <0.5 0.65 <0.2 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 29 Table F2-8 Page 2 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to RSL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 ISA NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a: NS 20 0.2 0.3 NS 1 300 NS NS 50 100 NS NS NS 1,000 Federal MCL/SMCL (b): • denotes secondary standardl NS 50 2 NS *50 to 200 1.3 *300 NS NS *50 NS NS NS NS *5000 DHHS Screening Level (c): 18 20 0.2 0.3 3,500 1 2,500 0.07 NS 200 100 NS 20,000 2,100 1,000 RSL 2015 (d): 100 100 0.2 86 20,000 0.8 14,000 44 (e) NS 430 390 NS NS 12,000 6,000 Appendix IV (g) Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Molybdenum Selenium y ug/L ug/L Thallium ug/L Vanadium Aluminum Co Copper Iron Hexavalent Chromium Magnesium Manganese Nickel Potassium Sodium Strontium Zinc ug/L ug/L mg/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L ug/L Mayo DBKG-MY1 1.12 <1 <0.2 0.409 44 <0.005 118 3420 18 <5 3050 8990 76 <5 Mayo DBKG-MY2 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 2.25 < 5 0.035 < 10 0.19 31800 < 5 < 5 288 42000 201 1380 Mayo DBKG-MY3 1.5 <0.5 <0.1 1.6 <10 0.0031 <50 1.1 2760 12.8 2.6 2940 7160 81.2 5.6 Mayo DBKG-MY4 0.6 < 0.5 < 0.1 < 1 < 10 < 0.001 1090 < 0.03 7330 211 < 0.5 4880 10600 181 6.2 Mayo DBKG-MY5 0.8 <0.5 <0.1 <1 <10 0.0022 78.8 <0.6 12300 47.6 <0.5 3660 26300 268 5.4 Mayo DBKG-MY6 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.318 6 0.082 < 10 0.079 11600 < 5 < 5 1550 13900 231 69 Mayo DBKG-MY7 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 0.467 < 5 < 0.005 < 10 0.41 2790 5 < 5 369 9180 107 227 Mayo DBKG-MY8 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 < 0.3 < 5 0.018 18 1.5 758 < 5 < 5 665 9680 17 225 Mayo DBKG-MY9 <1 <1 <0.2 <0.3 <5 <0.005 91 <0.03 3990 9 <5 1730 10100 107 157 Mayo DBKG-MY10 <1 <1 <0.2 14.4 116 0.019 132 0.94 5610 36 <5 1750 13200 163 39 Mayo DBKG-MY11 <0.5 <0.5 <0.1 <1 <10 0.0262 <50 <0.6 627 11.5 <0.5 578 9260 11.1 37.8 Mayo DBKG-MY12 < 1 < 1 < 0.2 19.6 6 0.025 < 10 1.2 6120 < 5 < 5 1230 20300 141 18 Mayo DBKG-MY13 <0.5 <0.5 <0.1 <1<10 0.0214 132 <0.6 634 76.8 0.63 1420 10300 20.7 133 Mayo DBKG-MY14 <0.5 <0.5 <0.1 <1 35.6 0.0223 74 1.6 7410 19 1.6 201 8970 55.1 61.5 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 30 Table F2-8 Page 3 of 3 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to RSL Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 15A NCAC 02L.0202 Groundwater Standard a NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Federal MCL/SMCL (b): * denotes secondary standard NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS DHHS Screening Level (c): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS RSL 2015(d): NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Constituents Not Identified in the CCR Rule Station Well ID Alkalinity Bicarbonate Carbonate Total Suspended Solids mg/L Turbidity Temperature Specific Conductance Dissolved Oxygen Oxidation Reduction Potential Mayo DBKG-MY1 Mayo DBKG-MY2 Mayo DBKG-MY3 Mayo DBKG-MY4 Mayo DBKG-MY5 Mayo DBKG-MY6 Mayo DBKG-MY7 Mayo DBKG-MY8 Mayo DBKG-MY9 Mayo DBKG-MY10 Mayo DBKG-MY11 Mayo DBKG-MY12 Mayo DBKG-MY13 Mayo DBKG-MY14 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx RSL April 2016 Comparison of Duke Energy Background Well Data to Screening Levels Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: ^ - Denotes IMAC value. * - Denotes SMCL value. 'C - Degrees Celsius. Blank data cells indicate no data available. CCR - Coal Combustion Residual. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. DHHS - Department of Health and Human Services. HI - Hazard Index. IMAC - Interim Maximum Allowable Concentration. MCL- Maximum Contaminant Level. MDL- Method Detection Limit. mg/L - milligrams/liter. mV - millivolts. NA- Not available. NS - No Standard Available. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. PQL - Practical Quantitation Limit (h). RSL - Risk Based Screening Level. SMCL - Secondary Maximum Contaminant Level. su - standard units. USEPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm - micromhos/centimeter. Data Qualifiers < Measurement limited by threshold (cannot detect measureable amount below this number). Actual detectable amount below threshold is unknown. (a) - Classifications and Water Quality Standards Applicable to Groundwaters of North Carolina. North Carolina Administrative Code. April 1, 2013. http://portal.ncdenr.org/web/wq/ps/csu/gwstandards (b) - USEPA 2012 Edition of the Drinking Water Standards and Health Advisories. Spring 2012. http://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-09/documents/dwstandards20l2.pdf. (c) - DHHS Screening Levels. Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Public Health, Epidemiology Section, Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch. http://Portal.ncdenr.org/c/document_library/get file?p_I_id=1169848&folderld=24814087&name=DLFE-112704.pdf (d) - USEPA Risk Based Screening Levels (November 2015). Values for tapwater. HI = 1. http://www.epa.gov/risk/risk-based-screen ing-table-generic-tables (e) - Alternative screening level calculated for hexavalent chromium using RSL calculator (http:Hepa-prgs.ornl.gov/cgi-bin/chemicals/csl_search) and current dose -response data from the USEPA's Integrated Risk Information System. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/IRIS/. The RSL for hexavalent chromium is not a drinking water standard, and the basis of the draft oral cancer toxicity value used in the calculation of the RSL has been questioned by USEPA's Science Advisory Board; therefore, RSL for Chromium (IV) is based on the noncancer values developed by USEPA. (f) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Detection Monitoring (Appendix III). httP://www.gPo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2015-04-17/pdf/2015-00257.pdf (g) - The CCR Rule lists these constituents as Constituents for Assessment Monitoring (Appendix IV). (h) - Each analytical procedure has a PQL, which is defined as "the lowest level achievable among laboratories within specified limits during routine laboratory operation". The PQL is about three to five times the calculated MDL for the analytical procedure, and represents a practical and routinely achievable reporting limit with a relatively good certainty that any reported value is reliable. ""value is above the sreening level. Reporting limit isabovethe screening level. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Tables F2 -5-F2-8 Duke Bkg Well Screen_2016-04.xlsx 31 Page 1 of 1 4/10/2016 Page 1 of 1 32 Table F2-9 Do Not Drink Letter Summary Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Constituents Listed in Part 1 of Letter Hex Facility Well ID Vanadium Chromium Chloride Chromium Cobalt Iron Lead Manganese Sodium Strontium Sulfate Thallium Zinc Mayo MY -3 X X X X Total number of Constituent Letters 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 Total Number of "Do Not Drink" Letters (Excluding Hexavalent Chromium and 1 Vanadium) Total Number of "Do Not Drink" Letters (Including Hexavalent Chromium and 1 Vanadium) Total Number of "Do Not Drink" Letters 0 for Hexavalent Chromium Total Number of "Do Not Drink" Letters 1 for Vanadium Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F2-9 Do Not Drink Summary.xlsx April 2016 33 Table F3-1 Page 1 of 2 Duke Energy Background Water Supply Well Data Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: <- Not detected, value is the reporting limit. °C - Degrees Celsius. mg/L - milligrams/liter. "i - millivolts. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. su - standard units. ug/L - micrograms/liter. umhos/cm micromhos/centimeter. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F3-1 Duke Energy Background Well Data_2016-04.xlsx April 2016 34 Table F3-1 Page 2 of 2 Duke Energy Background Water Supply Well Data Maya Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 ==MwM====MMMMM =mom Notes: <- Not detected, value is the reporting limit. °C - Degrees Celsius. mg/L - milligrams/liter. my - millivolts. NTU - Nephelometric Turbidity Units. su-standard units. ug/L- micrograms/liter. umhos/cm micromhos/centimeter. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F3-1 Duke Energy Background Well Data_2016-04.xlsx April 2016 35 Page 1 of 2 Table F3-2 Facility Specific Background Data for Bedrock and Deep Monitoring Wells Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Well ID Sample ID Date Sampled Barium (ug/L) Boron (ug/L) Cobalt (ug/L) Hexavalent Chromium (ug/L) Iron (ug/L) Lead (ug/L) Nckel, Dissolved Vanadium (ug/L) (ug/L) BG -01 BG -01-20081031 31 -Oct -08 1040 6 65700 33.1 BG -01 BG -01-20090604 04 -Jun -09 155 < 200 2100 12.9 BG -01 BG -01-20091021 21 -Oct -09 175 < 200 4610 2.3 BG -01 BG -01-20100422 22 -Apr -10 120 < 50 2000 12 BG -01 BG -01-20101206 06 -Dec -10 105 < 50 1080 < 5 BG -01 BG -01-20110420 20 -Apr -11 99.1 < 50 702 < 5 BG -01 BG -01-20110711 11 -Jul -11 101 <50 1040 <5 BG -01 BG -01-20111103 03 -Nov -11 95.4 < 50 261 < 5 BG -01 BG -01-20120404 04 -Apr -12 93 < 50 388 < 5 BG -01 BG -01-20120709 09 -Jul -12 101 <50 640 <5 BG -01 BG -01-20121105 05 -Nov -12 101 < 50 526 < 5 BG -01 BG -01-20130410 10 -Apr -13 97 < 50 323 < 1 BG -01 BG -01-20130709 09 -Jul -13 97 < 50 488 < 1 BG -01 BG -01-20131113 13 -Nov -13 95 < 50 412 < 1 BG -01 BG -01-20140401 01 -Apr -14 90 < 50 290 < 1 BG -01 BG -01-20140718 18 -Jul -14 93 < 50 325 < 1 BG -01 BG -01-20141112 12 -Nov -14 95 < 50 466 < 1 BG -01 BG -01-20150413 13 -Apr -15 90 < 50 < 1 409 < 1 BG -01 BG -01-20150707 07 -Jul -15 97 < 50 < 1 557 < 1 4.94 BG -01 BG -01-20150910 10 -Sep -15 91 < 50 < 1 300 < 1 1.46 3.93 BG -01 BG -01-20151103 03 -Nov -15 90 < 50 < 1 45 < 1 3.4 BG -01 BG -01-20151205 05 -Dec -15 94 < 50 < 0.5 0.31 350 0.13 < 2.5 4.2 BG -01 BG -01-20160108 08 -Jan -16 87 < 50 < 1 0.2 272 < 1 1.28 3.94 BG -02 BG -02 DUP-20150413 13 -Apr -15 55 < 50 < 1 546 < 1 BG -02 BG -02-20101202 02 -Dec -10 81.8 < 50 2660 < 5 BG -02 BG -02-20110420 20 -Apr -11 61.3 < 50 439 < 5 BG -02 BG -02-20110711 11 -Jul -11 64.8 <50 559 <5 BG -02 BG -02-20111103 03 -Nov -11 67.7 < SD 312 < 5 BG -02 BG -02-20120404 04 -Apr -12 61.5 < 50 152 < 5 BG -02 BG -02-20120709 09 -Jul -12 53.4 <50 460 <5 BG -02 BG -02-20121105 05 -Nov -12 60.2 < 50 759 < 5 BG -02 BG -02-20130410 10 -Apr -13 66 < 50 646 < 1 BG -02 BG -02-20130709 09 -Jul -13 69 <50 1130 <1 BG -02 BG -02-20131113 13 -Nov -13 62 < 50 841 < 1 BG -02 BG -02-20140401 01 -Apr -14 71 < 50 943 < 1 BG -02 BG -02-20140718 18 -Jul -14 65 <50 1010 <1 BG -02 BG -02-20141112 12 -Nov -14 61 < 50 647 < 1 BG -02 BG -02-20150413 13 -Apr -15 54 < 50 -<1 435 < 1 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F3.2—Facility Bkg Data.xisx April 2016 36 Page 2 of 2 Table F3-2 Facility Specific Background Data for Bedrock and Deep Monitoring Wells Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Well ID Sample ID Date Sampled Barium (ug/L) Boron (ug/L) Cobalt (ug/L) Hexavalent Chromium (ug/L) Iron (ug/L) Lead (ug/L) Nckel, Dissolved (ug/L) Vanadium (ug/L) BG -02 BG -02-20150707 07 -Jul -15 54 < 50 < 1 < 2.09999997168779E-02 467 < 1 5.88 BG -02 BG -02-20150911 11 -Sep -15 50 < 50 < 1 244 < 1 1.48 4 BG -02 BG -02-20151103 03 -Nov -15 51 < SO < 1 513 < 1 6.63 BG -02 BG -02-20151209 09 -Dec -15 60 < 50 < 0.5 < 0.03 450 < 0.1 0.96 5.8 BG -02 BG -02-20160108 08 -Jan -16 58 < 50 < 1 < 0.03 471 < 1 < 1 4.2 M W-10BR M W-IOBR-20150317 17 -Mar -15 27 < 50 < 1 883 < 1 1.91 1.66 MW-1OBR MW-10BR-20150911 11 -Sep -1S 5 < SO < 1 37 < 1 2.13 1.73 MW-1OBR M W-10BR-20151203 03 -Dec -15 < 5 < 50 < 1 < 0.03 193 < 1 1.93 1.5 M W-10BR M W-10BR-20160107 07 -Jan -16 < 5 < 50 < 1 < 0.03 33 < 1 1.88 1.68 MW-11BR MW-11BR-20150625 25 -Jun -15 44 <50 <1 115 <1 <1 2.69 MW-11BR MW-11BR-20150911 11 -Sep -15 32 <50 <1 153 <1 <1 9.15 MW-11BR MW-11BR-20151203 03 -Dec -15 22 < 50 < 1 13.6 304 < 1 < 1 12.1 MW-11BR MW-11BR-20160107 07 -Jan -16 24 < 50 < 1 12.2 98 < 1 < 1 12.7 MW -12D MW -12D DUP-20151202 02 -Dec -15 20 < 50 < 1 0.64 393 < 1 1.65 0.768 MW -12D MW -12D-20150624 24 -Jun -15 26 <50 1.37 326 <1 1.82 0.719 MW -12D MW -12D-20150625 25 -Jun -15 0.334 MW -12D MW -12D-20150910 10 -Sep -15 20 <50 <1 0.357 277 <1 1.38 0.637 MW -12D MW -12D-20151202 02 -Dec -15 21 < 50 < 1 0.55 504 < 1 1.8 1.01 MW -12D MW -12D-20151204 04 -Dec -15 20 <50 0.51 0.64 280 <0.1 2.1 <1 MW -12D MW -12D-20160107 07 -Jan -16 22 <50 < 1 0.52 968 < 1 1.18 1.65 MW-13BR MW-13BR-20150623 23 -Jun -15 40 <50 1.19 0.005 1130 <1 <1 0.381 MW-13BR MW-13BR-20150908 08 -Sep -15 51 <50 <1 2400 <1 <1 0.465 M W-13BR M W-13BR-20151202 02 -Dec -15 45 < 50 < 1 < 0.03 2490 < 1 < 1 0.429 MW-13BR MW-13BR-20160107 07 -Jan -16 42 <50 <1 <0.03 2550 <1 1.3 <0.3 MW-14BR MW-14BR-20150312 12 -Mar -15 30 <50 1.41 907 <1 <1 1.29 MW-14BR MW-14BR-20150909 09 -Sep -15 42 65 1.09 2730 <1 <1 0.469 M W-14BR M W-14BR-20151202 02 -Dec -15 22 < 50 < 1 < 0.03 396 < 1 1.03 1.82 MW-14BR MW-14BR-20160107 07 -Jan -16 17 <50 <1 <0.03 98 <1 <1 2.45 MW-16BR MW-16BR-20150623 23 -Jun -15 11 <50 < 1 0.017 80 < 1 < 1 2.79 MW-16BR MW-16BR-20150909 09 -Sep -15 7 < 50 < 1 0.013 22 < 1 < 1 2 MW-16BR MW-16BR-20151204 I 04 -Dec -15 6.2 < 50 < 0.5 < 0.03 58 0.1 < 0.5 1.2 M W-16BR MW-16BR-20160107 I 07 -Jan -16 9 < 50 < 1 < 0.03 126 < 1 < 1 1.06 Notes: <- Not Detected, value is the reporting limit. ug/L- Microgram per liter. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F3.2 -Facility Bkg Data.xisx April 2016 37 Page 1 of 1 Table F3-3 Background Data Statistical Evaluation Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 1 1 2 3 1 4 5 6 1 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Regional Background Evaluation Frequency of Detection Percent Non- Detects Range of Non -Detects KM Mean KM Variance KM Standard Deviation KM Coefficient of Variation 50th Percentile (Q2) 95th Percentile Maximum Detect Outlier Presence* Outlier Removed Distribution BTV Method Barium ug/L 66 / Variable Units Frequency of Detection Percent Non- Detects Range of Non -Detects KM Mean KM Variance KM Standard Deviation KM Coefficient of Variation 50th Percentile (Q2) 95th Percentile Maximum Detect Outlier Presence" Outlier Removed Distribution BTV Method Barium ug/L 11 / 14 21% 5 5 22.59 881.7 29.69 1.315 10.3 83.95 108 Yes No Gamma 83.03 95%Approx. Gamma UPL WH and KM Boron ug/L 1 / 14 93% 5 50 6.267 8.022 2.832 0.452 50 5o 12.6 N/A No N/A 12.6 Maximum Detect Cobalt ug/L 0 / 14 100% 0.5 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1 1 N/A N/A No N/A 1 Maximum RL Hexavalent Chromium ug/L 8 / 13 38% 0.03 0.6 0.526 1 0.342 0.585 1.113 0.6 1.535 1.6 No No Normal 1.646 95% KM UPL Iron ug/L 8 / 14 43% 10 50 128.4 73371 270.9 2.11 62 467.3 1090 Yes No Lognormal 1 537.6 195% KIM UPL Lead ug/L 8 / 14 43% 0.1 1 1.196 2.608 1.615 1.351 1 3.926 6.37 Yes No Gamma 4.078 95% Approx. Gamma UPL WH and KM Nickel ug/L 3 / 14 79% 0.5 5 1.055 0.631 0.795 0.753 S 5 2.6 No No Normal 2.512 95%KM UPL Vanadium ug/L 7 / 14 50% 0.3 1 2.96 34.13 5.842 1.974 1 16.22 19.6 Yes No I Gamma 1 11.22 95%Approx. Gamma UPL WH and KM Facility Specific Background Evaluation Variable Units Frequency of Detection Percent Non- Detects Range of Non -Detects KM Mean KM Variance KM Standard Deviation KM Coefficient of Variation 50th Percentile (Q2) 95th Percentile Maximum Detect Outlier Presence* Outlier Removed Distribution BTV Method Barium ug/L 66 / 68 3% 5 5 60.34 1327 36.43 0.604 60.1 103.6 175 Yes Yes Normal 132.9 95%UTL Boron ug/L 1 / 68 99% 50 200 50.23 3.357 1.832 0.0365 50 5o 65 N/A No N/A 65 Maximum Detect Cobalt ug/L 5 / 39 87% 0.5 1 0.581 0.0553 0.235 0.405 1 1.208 1.41 No No Normal 1.08 95% KIM UTL Hexavalent Chromium ug/L 13 / 24 46% 0.021 0.03 1.23 1 12.47 3.531 2.871 0.03 10.47 13.6 Yes No Distribution free 13.6 Maximum Detect (95% UTL) Iron ug/L 68 / 68 0% N/A N/A 717.9 677432 823.1 1.146 455 2529 4610 Yes Yes Lognormal 3780 95% UTL Lead ug/L 5 / 68 93% 0.1 5 0.511 4.413 2.101 4.108 1 5 12.9 Yes Yes Normal 4.694 95%KM UTL Nickel ug/L 16 / 32 50% 0.5 2.5 1.162 0.28 0.529 0.456 1.015 2.114 2.13 No No Normal 2.073 195% KIM UPL Vanadium ug/L 34 / 36 6% 1 0.3 1 3.058 9.304 3.05 0.997 1.775 1 9.888 12.7 Yes No I Gamma 1 11.4 95%Approx. Gamma UTL WH and KM Notes: *-Tested at 5% significance level. ug/L- Microgram per liter. BTV - Background Threshold Value. UPLs - Upper Prediction Limits. KM - Kaplan -Meier Method. UTLs - Upper Tolerance Limits. NA - Not Available. Var - Variance. RL - Reporting Limit. WH -Wilson Hilferty Transformation. BTV values and statistics were calculated using ProUCL v. 5.0.00 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F3-3_Backgr d Eval.atm May..%IS% April 2016 38 Page 1 of 1 Table F3-4 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Sampling Data to Regional Background Threshold Values Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Constituents Units Frequency of Detection (a) Range of Detected Concentrations Mean Detect 10th Percentile 25th Percentile 50th Percentile 75th Percentile 90th Percentile Regional Background Threshold Value (BTV) (b) Number of Samples Above Regional BTV Barium ug/L 3 / 3 30 - 78 S4.17 34.9 42.25 S4.S 66.25 73.3 83.03 0 Boron ug/L 0/ 3 NA - NA NA 5 5 5 5 5 12.6 0 Cobalt ug/L 0 / 3 NA - NA NA 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.75 4.1 1 0 Hexavalent Chromium ug/L 2 / 3 0.13 - 0.63 0.38 0.05 0.08 0.13 0.38 0.53 1.646 0 Iron ug/L 2 / 3 953 - 1,750 1352 230.6 501.5 953 1352 1591 537.6 2 Lead ug/L 3 / 3 1.8 - 24 9.5 1.98 2.25 2.7 13.35 19.74 4.078 1 Nickel ug/L 2 / 3 1.2 - 1.5 1.35 1.26 1.35 1.5 3.25 4.3 2.512 0 Vanadium I ug/L 1 2 / 3 1 2.5 - 3.03 1 2.765 1 2.606 1 2.765 1 3.03 1 6.515 1 8.606 1 11.22 1 0 Notes: BTV - Background Threshold Value. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. NA - Not Applicable. NC - North Carolina. ug/L - micrograms/liter. (a) - Frequency of Detection: number of detects / total number of results. (b) - BTV values shown on Table F3-3. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F3-4 NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data Compared to Regional BTVs.xlsx April 2016 39 Page 1 of 1 Table F3-5 Comparison of NCDEQ Water Supply Well Sampling Data to Facility Specific Background Threshold Values Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Constituents Units Frequency of Detection (a) Range of Detected Concentrations Mean Detect 10th Percentile 25th Percentile 50th Percentile 75th Percentile 90th Percentile Facility Specific Background Threshold Value (BTV) (b) Number of Samples Above Facility Specific BTV Barium ug/L 3 / 3 30 - 78 54.17 34.9 42.25 54.5 66.25 73.3 132.9 0 Boron ug/L 0/ 3 NA - NA NA 5 5 5 5 5 65 0 Cobalt ug/L 0 / 3 NA - NA NA 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.75 4.1 1.08 0 Hexavalent Chromium ug/L 2 / 3 0.13 - 0.63 0.38 0.05 0.08 0.13 0.38 0.53 13.6 0 Iron ug/L 2 / 3 953 - 1,750 1352 230.6 501.5 953 1352 1591 3780 0 Lead ug/L 3 / 3 1.8 - 24 9.5 1.98 2.25 2.7 13.35 19.74 4.694 1 Nickel ug/L 2 / 3 1.2 - 1.5 1.35 1.26 1.35 1.5 3.25 4.3 2.073 0 Vanadium ug/L 2 / 3 2.5 - 3.03 2.765 2.606 2.765 3.03 6.515 8.606 11.4 0 Notes: BTV - Background Threshold Value. DEQ- Department of Environmental Quality. NA - Not Applicable. NC - North Carolina. ug/L - micrograms/liter. (a) - Frequency of Detection: number of detects / total number of results. (b) - BTV values shown on Table F3-3. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F3-5 NCDEQ Water Supply Well Data Compared to Facility Specific BTVs.xlsx April 2016 Table F5-1 Coal Ash Indicator Concentrations Observed in the Water Supply Wells of Low Oxygen Mayo Steam Electric Plant Water Supply Well Evaluation Duke Energy April 2016 Notes: BTV - Background Threshold Value. µg/l_ - Micrograms per liter. a) The water supply well contains dissolved oxygen less than 4,000 microgram per liter (µg/L) b) Boron value is a non -detect (ND) concentration with a laboratory reporting limit of 50µg/L. c) BTV = background threshold value in the unit of µg/l_ determined from the facility background well data. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F5-1.xlsx Page 1 of 1 April 2016 40 Dissolved Boron (ug/ ) Barium BTV Water Supply Well (a) Oxygen Boron BTV(c) Barium 1µg/L) (b) (c) (Vg/L) MY5 1800 <50 65 54.5 132.9 Notes: BTV - Background Threshold Value. µg/l_ - Micrograms per liter. a) The water supply well contains dissolved oxygen less than 4,000 microgram per liter (µg/L) b) Boron value is a non -detect (ND) concentration with a laboratory reporting limit of 50µg/L. c) BTV = background threshold value in the unit of µg/l_ determined from the facility background well data. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Table F5-1.xlsx Page 1 of 1 April 2016 40 VIRGINIA L i, I I III i --------' --- MAYO I --------- II• ROXBORO, NC BELEWS CREEK R MORA, NC O BELEWS CREEK, NC • I • L u, L II BUCK I + + I MARSHALL SALISBURY, NC I, dl TERELL, NC � =li Dile I I •,• III• CLIFFSIDE MOORESBORO,NC ALLEN BELMONT, NC + •ai ill IIIIIII li 3' ff SOUTH CAROLINA ,III •i E NORTH CAROLINA RT HFSrFR Rp LEGEND HALIFAX CO r _ i� MAYO PLANT 11 MONOFILL f J \� /\ o _ - J J ' 0 ti CO) cl 0 f 5 NOTES 1981 � DFI J l A j MAYO LAKE 1 =� \ r` ~r---- A HALIFAX CO / PERSON CO Nan bAN \� MAYO PLANT 11 MONOFILL ' J in o 03 m° _ — J co J ' � o o 0 LEGEND ` 15 NOTES J l j MAYO LAKE 1 z ti \ r` rN Tal ITA ulky RT HFSrF� �O MW-13BR MAYO PLANT 11 MONOFILL f J MW 11BR _ - J J ' I �MW-12D o I y ` ❑ \ ` 0 ) / BMW.14BR L - HALIFAX CO -PERSON CO / LEGEND �MW-16BR � � r f 5 NOTES 1981 � DFI J l A �MW-10BR r �f� MAYO LAKE 1 =� \ r` ~r---- ,ay v • N r. r - • `' L ' O • , % Allyl-•' f ',' - A ..ss�- - � - - - � �ijr ' - � • i �a - � a �I • . - tr Air PROGR 1 f z e 1 e •t5 ` i .. Tr. t , d e v Ii I r s ■ n : " ` �' ��''+•$=.���_:._-ill � h� - _��'; ♦ i d _ _ oo o FIGURE F4-1 low 1' -. _ . O O -� _r • • .�[ e } of w e d^ ., r A A' (WEST) (EAST) DUKE ENERGY MAYO STEAM ELECTRIC PLANT PROPERTY COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY MW-14BR PROFILE BASED ON HISTORIC > WATER LEVEL USGS TOPOGRAPHIC MAP o = IS 503.88 ms/. N cn m WASTE BOUNDARY MW-09BR PROFILE BASED ON HISTORIC FMWAWliERLEVEL 1981 -► WATER LEVEL USGS TOPOGRAPHIC MAP w LANDFILL 94.54 ms/. IS 468.82mS1. m r r, M zrLn m r J co V t, a ry> REGOLITH � � Q ��L r ^- • r � ACTIVE ASH BASIN � ..r ,. .. _ TD484'msl. -- - ____________________________________TOP OF DAM 488'msl._ -- - -- WE=480'msl------------------ _ REGO�ITH� � _ . _ \ TD 466' msI. - ASH -- ` TD 465' msl. TO ±455' msL 446' msl. TD ? MAYO LAKE ` \ TOP OF DAM 444' msl_ TD ? GENERALIZED GROUNDWgTER GENERALIZED GROUNDWATER TD 435' mSI.=*11 REGOLITH WE=433' msl FLOW DIRECTION FLOW DIRECTION `\� La FORMER UNNAMEDA ASH / ERA w 1011 O/RECT/pN OUNpIIATER o_o '� _ w Ifo INTERMITTENT CREEK 0 FORMER CHANNEL OF 3 0 > ZI> CRUTCH FIELD CREEK o BEDROCK o o PROFILE BASED ON HISTORIC AREA OF BORON CONCENTRATIONS ; ; USGS TOPOGRAPHIC MAP IN GROUNDWATER ABOVE 2L PROFILE BASED ON HISTORIC BEDROCK USGS TOPOGRAPHIC MAP FORMER CHANNEL OF MAYO CREEK BEDROCK ? BEDROCK LEGEND GENERALIZED WATER TABLE MY3 NCDWR WATER SUPPLY WELL OWNER ID DW -3 NCDWR WATER SUPPLY WELL ID MW-17BR MONITORING WELL TD 233' msl. TOTAL DEPTH ELEVATION OF WELL VERTICAL EXAGGERATION 5X FIGURE F4-2 CONCEPTUAL CROSS-SECTION A -A' MAYO STEAM ELECTRIC PLANT SOURCE INFORMATION: 148 RIVER STREET, SUITE 220 GREENVILLE, SOUTH CAROLINA 29601 EXISTING GROUND SURFACE BASED ON A DRAWING PROVIDED BY THE WSP GROUP, TITLED "MAYO PLANT FINAL", DATED MAY 19, 2015. PHONE 864-421-9999 www.synterracorp.com 10660 BOSTON RD HISTORIC GROUND SURFACE BASED ON THE 7-1/2' USGS TOPOGRAPHIC MAP FOR CLUSTER SPRINGS, VA DATED 1968. Y JOHN CHAS FAIN ue DATe .4/05/2016 MONITORING WELL DATA WAS OBTAINED FROM THE COMPREHENSIVE SITE ASSESSMENT REPORT PREPAREED BY SYNTERRA, DATED SEPTEMBER 2, 2015. ROXBORO, NORTH CAROLINA PRIVATE WATER SUPPLY WELL INFORMATION WAS OBTAINED FROM A LIST PROVIDED BY DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS S nTer� PDRAWN ROJECT RY LAYOUT: SEFCTION A -A' MONITORING WELL WATER LEVELS WERE COLLECTED BY SYNTERRA ON DECEMBER 15, 2015. 04/17/2016 8:24 PM P:\Duke Energy Progress.1026\14. corporate Support\02. Management Reports\Mayo\5ECTlONS\DWG\DE MAYO CROSS-SECTIONS.dwg Figure F4-3: The supply well capture zones are represented in this figure by the yellow particle tracks. The blue arrows show the overall directions of groundwater flow. In general, the shape of a given capture zone is a function of recharge, hydraulic conductivity, flow rate, and hydraulic gradient. For Mayo, the primary influence on the shape of the capture zone is the hydraulic gradient. When the prevailing hydraulic gradient is small and relatively flat, the capture zone approaches a circular configuration. As the hydraulic gradient increases, the shape becomes elongated in a locally upgradient direction. As can be seen from this figure, the recharge areas supplying water to the private water wells are away from the direction of the ash basin due to topographic ridge lines that separate the recharge areas. 0 3 w 1 .5 0 —.5 Todorokite Mn Hausm annite dachrosit Ala bandite m (O js M OH),(a Mn(OH 25°C 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 pH NOTE DIAGRAMS ADOPTED FROM APPENDIX E OF THE CAP -2 REPORT FOR THE MAYO STEAM ELECTRIC PLANT BY SYNTERRA. Panel (a): Example Box Plot a Possible Outlier L1161l*� 1. BOX PLOT EXPLANATION DIAGRAM ADOPTED FROM HTTP:HS ITES. GOOGLE.COM/S ITE/DAVI DSSTATISTICS/HOME/ NOTCHED -BOX -PLOTS. 2. PIPER PLOT ADOPTED FROM CSA REPORT FOR MAYO STEAM ELECTRIC PLANT BY SYNTERRA. do.– Ca Panel (b): Example Piper Plot n — a '1 d MW-10BR 20% o� a Ci o b �C� a °'Q A MW-10BR — CI --0 Upper Whiskers 75th Percentile aka 3fd Quartile The "Notch" 55% Confidence Interval of . •. : Interquartile (IOR) the Median iia 1557 Pereent of Dahl Median +1- 1.57 x IQR/na.5 , ` 25th Percentile ......... aka tst Quartle Lower Whiskers L1161l*� 1. BOX PLOT EXPLANATION DIAGRAM ADOPTED FROM HTTP:HS ITES. GOOGLE.COM/S ITE/DAVI DSSTATISTICS/HOME/ NOTCHED -BOX -PLOTS. 2. PIPER PLOT ADOPTED FROM CSA REPORT FOR MAYO STEAM ELECTRIC PLANT BY SYNTERRA. do.– Ca Panel (b): Example Piper Plot n — a '1 d MW-10BR 20% o� a Ci o b �C� a °'Q A MW-10BR — CI --0 AI—AHTHnR (RANTRnWFN—nFFIfF PHX 10000000.0 MAYO Boron Calcium Chloride Sulfate Total Dissolved Solids - 10000o0_0 100000.0 T 10000.0 — J .. ... .... 3 O �� 1000.0 C . ... ... .. ... . . ... .. .. .. . ... .. ... ... V C V 100.0. -- ............ ........... ....:....... ....................... .......... r ........... ....... ... ........ 0.1 AB FM RBG WSW AB FM RBG WSW AB FM RBG WSW AB FM RBG WSW AB FM RBG WSW NOTE 1 ACRONYMS: GASH MAYO STEAM ELECTRIC PLANT m`WATER SUPPLY WELL EVALUATION UICH BASIN POREWATER WELL FM = OTHER FACILITY MONITORNG WELL DUKE ENERGY RBG = REGIONAL BACKGROUND WELL WSW = WATER SUPPLY WELL 2. NO REGIONAL BACKGROUND DATA FOR CHLORIDE, BOX PLOT COMPARISON FOR SULFATE, AND TOTAL DISSOLVED SOLIDS. MAJOR COAL ASH CONSTITUENTS 3. ALL DUKE ENERGY FACILITY MONITORING WELLS WERE NON -DETECT FOR BORON. APRIL 2016 FIGURE F5-3 10000.0 MAYO Barium Cobalt 1000.0 J 100.0 m x Z 0 is V C O C] 10.0 1-U wv 0.1 AB FM RBG WSW AB FM RBG WSW NOTE ACRONYMS: AB =ASH BASIN POREWATER WELL FM = OTHER FACILITY MONITORNG WELL RBG = REGIONAL BACKGROUND WELL WSW = WATER SUPPLY WELL 100000.0 Dissolved Oxygen 1nano .0 10.0 1.0 0.1 AB i MAYO Iron DISSOLVED DISSOLVED TOTAL TOTAL Manganese DISSOLVED DISSOLVED T TOTAL TOTAL FM RBG WSW AB FM RBG WSW AB FM RBG WSW NOTES 1. ACRONYMS: AB = ASH BASIN POREWATER WELL FM = OTHER FACILITY MONITORNG WELL RBG = REGIONAL BACKGROUND WELL WSW = WATER SUPPLY WELL 2. NO REGIONAL BACKGROUND DATA FOR DISSOLVED OXYGEN. Rr *& r'4 Rp HALIFAX CO _ s I � � PERSON CO MW-03BR MW-14BR� zS MW-13BR A( ASH AB \\\ �AB MAYO PLANT 11 MONOFILL f J BR�0 z �MW-11 _ - J J ' 0 0 0 N 'N �MW-16BR `SET^tD- MW-08BR MW-07BR® ®mw-09L �J l �\A MW-10BR J � ` � MAYO LAKE MAYO STEAM r ELECTRIC PLANT Z ti \ r` ~r---- LEGEND I --- NOTES -NOTES FN Tal ITA ulky 10000 ,)AW 7.000 6,000 5,000 4•WO ' a 3,000 7,490 1,001) 0 1 Panel (c) NOTES 1. ONLY WELLS SAMPLED FOR BOTH BORON AND DISSOLVED OXYGEN ARE PLOTTED. 2. AREA 1 IS DEFINED BY THE DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN OF THE ASH BASIN POREWATER; AREA 2 IS DEFINED BY THE DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN OF THE WATER SUPPLY WELLS; AREA 3 IS DEFINDED BY THE DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN OF ALL FACILITY BEDROCK WELLS AND WATER SUPPLY WELL MY -5. 10 Panel (b) a Ash Basln Well *Facility Bedrock Well (0owngradient) O Facility Bedrock Well (Side Gradient) •Facility Bedrock Well (li pgraclent) A A A 30 X00 1.000 10000 BarenConcalpatlora (la/Ly A Ash Basin Well O F acility Bedock Well (Oowngradlent) *Facility Bedrock Well (Side (oradient) *Facility Bedrock Well (llpgradenlj ♦ Water Supply Well 1w Bao" Cooe"Iri[Ian (up/L) r________..,,—..s Area 1 A i AA L----___�....�.,..� 1,000 10,000 Panel (a) 1$006? 10.000 A Ash Basin Well 9'040 - •Facility Bedrock W!0 (Dow"gradie"lj 9,000 - 8,000 - $,000 7,000 - 7,000 6.000 "5,000 5.000 a.0r10 a.,0lW - 3,000 3.000 25 2.000 3 2,000 - 3,000 - ■ , 1,000 • A A i 10 100 1,000 10000 1 Baro" C4nc*tMftlon (u'/L) 10000 ,)AW 7.000 6,000 5,000 4•WO ' a 3,000 7,490 1,001) 0 1 Panel (c) NOTES 1. ONLY WELLS SAMPLED FOR BOTH BORON AND DISSOLVED OXYGEN ARE PLOTTED. 2. AREA 1 IS DEFINED BY THE DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN OF THE ASH BASIN POREWATER; AREA 2 IS DEFINED BY THE DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN OF THE WATER SUPPLY WELLS; AREA 3 IS DEFINDED BY THE DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN OF ALL FACILITY BEDROCK WELLS AND WATER SUPPLY WELL MY -5. 10 Panel (b) a Ash Basln Well *Facility Bedrock Well (0owngradient) O Facility Bedrock Well (Side Gradient) •Facility Bedrock Well (li pgraclent) A A A 30 X00 1.000 10000 BarenConcalpatlora (la/Ly A Ash Basin Well O F acility Bedock Well (Oowngradlent) *Facility Bedrock Well (Side (oradient) *Facility Bedrock Well (llpgradenlj ♦ Water Supply Well 1w Bao" Cooe"Iri[Ian (up/L) r________..,,—..s Area 1 A i AA L----___�....�.,..� 1,000 10,000 0 LEGEND WATER SUPPLY WELL, SAMPLED BY NCDEQ ® WATER SUPPLY WELL, NOT SAMPLED 0' O' -4*— APPARENT DIRECTION OF GROUNDWATER FLOW — — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY MYS � O HALIFAX CO_ _ PERSON—MI Rry�ST�R L \� Rp Y u E \\ u \\ \ \ i L n Y \\u � MAYO PLANT 11 MONOFILL J S Of O 0 m° 1�� \ I �O ra o u ❑ J 0 j i LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY F --- i COUNTY BOUNDARY NOTES 1. ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARIES, ASH STORAGE AREA BOUNDARIES, AND WATER SUPPLY WELL LOCATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE. 2. THE COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY IS ESTABLISHED ACCORDING TO THE DEFINITION FOUND IN 15A NCAC 02L.01 07(a). 3. AERIAL IMAGERY SOURCE: NC ONEMAP 4. DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY WAS PROVIDED BY DUKE ENERGY REAL ESTATE VIA HDR AND SYNTERRA. 5. ALL OTHER MAP DATA WAS PROVIDED BY HDR AND SYNTERRA. 0 800 1,600 SCALE IN FEET ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY y \ ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT — — — WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0.5 -MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE (') _ BOUNDARY i LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY F --- i COUNTY BOUNDARY NOTES 1. ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARIES, ASH STORAGE AREA BOUNDARIES, AND WATER SUPPLY WELL LOCATIONS ARE APPROXIMATE. 2. THE COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY IS ESTABLISHED ACCORDING TO THE DEFINITION FOUND IN 15A NCAC 02L.01 07(a). 3. AERIAL IMAGERY SOURCE: NC ONEMAP 4. DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY WAS PROVIDED BY DUKE ENERGY REAL ESTATE VIA HDR AND SYNTERRA. 5. ALL OTHER MAP DATA WAS PROVIDED BY HDR AND SYNTERRA. 0 800 1,600 SCALE IN FEET (a) Ash Basin Porewater Wells Only EXPLANATION 100 A Ash Basin Well X u w� \ / X\ / AV / `\ \ / /\ x /\ 0 A / ` / \ \ i \ � `` 0 \/ „ \/ 100 0 i \\ `� i \\ 0 100 x 100 – – `� '– –\ / '– V-' – – (b) Ash Basin Porewater and Downgradient Facility Bedrock Wells 100 EXPLANATION A Ash Basin Well Facility Bedrock Well(Downgradient) \ / L n d,x /`\ V aP too o ; \ /"\ /�\ 0 100 0 100 100 0 0- 100 -100 0 0 100 100 Ca" CI - CATIONS ANIONS `♦ I ,A\ ---y ---2 / v ---y --- k Ca" CATIONS CATIONS 0 loo ♦� ♦� `' 100 100 0 0 100 Cl - ANIONS (a) Water Supply Wells (b) Water Supply Wells and Up- and Side Gradient Facility Bedrock Wells EXPLANATION 100 EXPLANATION 100 • Water Supply Well • Water Supply Well ■ Facility Bedrock Well (Upgradient) ❑ Facility Bedrock Well (Side Gradient) \ / O L� \ / O AMY -5 too 0 ; • ,A\ /\ 0 100 100 0; • ,A\ /� 0 100 \, \/ A \/ \/ v ^\ L� \\ i `\ i /^\ -- ------� — —— s --- --- 2 / \ --- --- s --- f ----y---- ---y-- - -------I'-----v---- - -v y ___�` ___Y•__ ___ 100 ___ ___Y___ ___ ___100 _■�_7/Y•__ 0 100 100 0 0 100 100 100 0 0 100 100 0 0 100 Cal' CI Ca" Cl - CATIONS ANIONS CATIONS ANIONS NOTE BLUE CIRCLES SHOW THE DATA THAT APPARENTLY DEVIATE FROM THE GENERAL DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN. (a) Ash Basin Porewater and Downgradient Facility Bedrock Wells (b) Water Supply Wells and Up- and Side -Gradient Facility Bedrock Wells EXPLANATION 100 EXPLANATION 100 ♦ Ash Basin Well • Water Supply Well A Facility Bedrock Well (Downgradient) ■ Facility Bedrock Well (Upgradient) ❑ Facility Bedrock Well (Side Gradient) & x ,v d,x x ,v w� ry 0 A /// v , tv 0 0 / ■ v i v //�� 0 loo 0 , ,n\ /� 0 loo 100 0 , ,A\ /\ 0 100 / e \/ v ^\ L� \\ i \\ i /^` ---y — ——/ \ ---_V — —— s ---y --- s \ , \ / �r< L \, \ / \ , \ / ter• L \ , �, Y____�___ 100 ___�____Y____{r___ ___ Y -___ 100 ___�____Y____�___ AA 0 100 100 0 0 100 100 loo 0 0 100 100 0 0 100 Cal' Cl -Ca" Cl - CATIONS ANIONS CATIONS ANIONS NOTE BLUE DIAMOND DEFINES THE GENERAL DATA CLUSTERING PATTERN OF THE WATER SUPPLY WELLS AND FACILTIY UPGRADIENT AND SIDE GRADIENT WELLS. 0 Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo ATTACHMENT F-1 Histograms and Probability Plots for Selected Constituents APRIL 2016 1 U'CH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part -1: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data Test for Equal Variances APRIL 2016 2 %UICH MAYO FACILITY BACKGROUND MONITORING WELL DATA Test for Equal Variances: Chromium (VI) - ug/L - T versus sys_loc_code Method Null hypothesis All variances are equal Alternative hypothesis At least one variance is different Significance level a = 0.05 95% Bonferroni Confidence Intervals for Standard Deviations sys loc code N StDev CI BG -01 2 0.077782 ( BG -02 3 0.005196 (0.0000011, 194.807) MW-10BR 2 0.000000 MW-11BR 2 0.989949 MW -12D 6 0.134033 (0.0464738, 0.690) MW-13BR 3 0.014434 (0.0000032, 541.130) MW-14BR 2 0.000000 ( *, *) MW-16BR 4 0.008813 (0.0018438, 0.124) Individual confidence level = 99.1667% Tests Method Multiple comparisons Levene Test Statistic P -Value - 0.000 62.26 0.000 * NOTE * The graphical summary cannot be displayed because the multiple comparison intervals cannot be calculated. Test for Equal Variances: Vanadium - ug/L - T versus sys_loc-code Method Null hypothesis All variances are equal Alternative hypothesis At least one variance is different Significance level a = 0.05 95% Bonferroni Confidence Intervals for Standard Deviations sys_loc_code N StDev CI BG -01 5 0.56091 (0.098810, 7.027) BG -02 5 1.14622 (0.381949, 7.591) MW-10BR 4 0.09946 (0.005684, 5.501) MW-11BR 4 4.58389 (0.301279, 220.421) MW -12D 6 0.36861 (0.052222, 4.780) MW-13BR 4 0.07135 (0.005715, 2.815) MW-14BR 4 0.83900 (0.069451, 32.033) MW-16BR 4 0.80043 (0.079911, 25.339) Individual confidence level = 99.375% Tests Method Multiple comparisons Levene Test Statistic P -Value — 0.000 3.60 0.007 Test for Equal Variances: Vanadium - ug/L - T vs sys_loc_code Multiple comparison intervals for the standard deviation, a = 0.05 BG -01 H Multiple Comparisons P -Value 0.000 BG -02 l.--1 Levene's Test P -Value 0.007 0 10 20 30 40 If intervals do not overlap, the corresponding stdevs are significantly different. MW-10BR H N O V I MW-11BR O -I MW -12D H LA V MW-13BR H MW-14BR H—� MW-16BR I—I 0 10 20 30 40 If intervals do not overlap, the corresponding stdevs are significantly different. Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part 2: Histograms and Probability Plots for Background Regional Background Water Supply Well Data and Facility Background Monitoring Well Data APRIL 2016 3 %UICH T c ar 7 W LL Histogram of Background Constituents- Mayo (Regional) Barium (ug/y Boron(u L) Cobalt (u y 8 8 5.0 4 4- 2.5 0.0 0 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 10 ZO 30 40 s0 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 _ Hexava lent Chromium(ug/L) Iron u L Lead(ug/L) 4- 2- 2.5 2 2.5 0 0- 0. ) 0.0 0.4 0.8 12 1.6 0 200 400 600 800 1000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Nickel (ug/L) Vanadium u 8 O 4 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 5 10 15 20 Probability Plot of of Background Constituents- Mayo Normal - 95% CI (Regional) Bariumu Boron u 99 Cobak u 90 90 90 So 50 so - 10. o 30 10 . 10- 1 1 -100 0 100 0 60 120 0.0 0.8 L6 99 C 09 a L � WwA OF 19'.4lAdo I wA to i ww o u s 99 Nickel u yy Vanadium u 90 ' 90 50- W 10 10 LS 3.0 -1000 0.0 1000 -5 . 1 1 0 5 10 -20 0 20 Histogram of Background Constituents- Mayo (Facility) Barium - ug/L - T Bor0-ug/L - T Cobalt - u L -T 40 3 50 20 LS 25 0 0 , O If PQO 9r0 '•v0 40 ob N;P T Chromium 1 -u L -T Iron - u L-7 Lead - u L -T � zo � 10 zs LL 0 0 13,,yp P,00 ya1> b,.p O 5 7 � '10 � ,60 vanadium - ug/L - T 16 10 8 s 0 0 Probability Plot of Background Constituents- Mayo Normal - 95% CI (Facility) 99.9 99.9 LZ L -x T 99 L - 99 • 99 90 90 r - ��' 90 50 So 50 ^vw .ams 10 10 10 1 1 o.l 0.1 o soo iaao o loo zao os l.o Ls .oma 99 X(VI) 9.9 99.-- • 902 Cy90SD10101 o.l oa -SO 0 30 40000 D 40000 0 20 40 99 99 . • 90 90 So So 10 10 i nvw .nom 1-_- 1 • 0 1 2 -8 0 8 PRIVLEGED &CONFIDENTIAL —ATTORNEY-CLIENT COMMUNICATION —ATTORNEY WORK PRODUCT — DO NOT DISTRIBUTE WITHOUT APPROVAL OF COUNSEL Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part 3: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data Outlier Test Statistics APRIL 2016 4 %UICH Attachment F-1: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data Outlier Test Statistics Outlier Tests for Selected Uncensored Variables User Selected Options Date/Time of Computation 4/6/2016 12:19:08 PM From File WorkSheet.xls Full Precision OFF Dixon's Outlier Test for Barium (ug/L) Number of Observations = 14 10% critical value: 0.492 5% critical value: 0.546 1 % critical value: 0.641 1. Observation Value 108 is a Potential Outlier (Upper Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.722 For 10% significance level, 108 is an outlier. For 5% significance level, 108 is an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 108 is an outlier. 2. Observation Value 1.5 is a Potential Outlier (Lower Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.109 For 10% significance level, 1.5 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 1.5 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 1.5 is not an outlier. Dixon's Outlier Test for Hexavalent Chromium (ug/L) Number of Observations = 14 10% critical value: 0.492 5% critical value: 0.546 1 % critical value: 0.641 1. Observation Value 1.6 is a Potential Outlier (Upper Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.255 For 10% significance level, 1.6 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 1.6 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 1.6 is not an outlier. 2. Observation Value 0 is a Potential Outlier (Lower Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.025 For 10% significance level, 0 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 0 is not an outlier. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Outlier test stats_regional.xlsx Page 1 of 3 4/9/2016 Attachment F-1: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data Outlier Test Statistics For 1 % significance level, 0 is not an outlier. Dixon's Outlier Test for Iron (ug/L) Number of Observations = 14 10% critical value: 0.492 5% critical value: 0.546 1 % critical value: 0.641 1. Observation Value 1090 is a Potential Outlier (Upper Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.887 For 10% significance level, 1090 is an outlier. For 5% significance level, 1090 is an outlier. For 1% significance level, 1090 is an outlier. 2. Observation Value 10 is a Potential Outlier (Lower Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.000 For 10% significance level, 10 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 10 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 10 is not an outlier. Dixon's Outlier Test for Lead (ug/L) Number of Observations = 14 10% critical value: 0.492 5% critical value: 0.546 1 % critical value: 0.641 1. Observation Value 6.37 is a Potential Outlier (Upper Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.700 For 10% significance level, 6.37 is an outlier. For 5% significance level, 6.37 is an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 6.37 is an outlier. 2. Observation Value 0.1 is a Potential Outlier (Lower Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.126 For 10% significance level, 0.1 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 0.1 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 0.1 is not an outlier. Dixon's Outlier Test for Nickel (ug/L) Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Outlier test stats_regional.xlsx Page 2 of 3 4/9/2016 Attachment F-1: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data Outlier Test Statistics Number of Observations = 14 10% critical value: 0.492 5% critical value: 0.546 1 % critical value: 0.641 1. Observation Value 5 is a Potential Outlier (Upper Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.000 For 10% significance level, 5 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 5 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 5 is not an outlier. 2. Observation Value 0.5 is a Potential Outlier (Lower Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.000 For 10% significance level, 0.5 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 0.5 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 0.5 is not an outlier. Dixon's Outlier Test for Vanadium (ug/L) Number of Observations = 14 10% critical value: 0.492 5% critical value: 0.546 1 % critical value: 0.641 1. Observation Value 19.6 is a Potential Outlier (Upper Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.900 For 10% significance level, 19.6 is an outlier. For 5% significance level, 19.6 is an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 19.6 is an outlier. 2. Observation Value 0.3 is a Potential Outlier (Lower Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.009 For 10% significance level, 0.3 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 0.3 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 0.3 is not an outlier. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Outlier test stats_regional.xlsx Page 3 of 3 4/9/2016 Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part 4: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data Outlier Test Statistics APRIL 2016 5 %UICH Attachment F-1: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data Outlier Test Statistics Outlier Tests for Selected Uncensored Variables User Selected Options Date/Time of Computation 4/6/2016 4:00:47 PM From File WorkSheet a.xls Full Precision OFF Rosner's Outlier Test for Barium - ug/L - T Mean 74.54 Standard Deviation 123.4 Number of data 69 Number of suspected outliers 1 Potential Obs. Test Critical Critical # Mean sd outlier Number value value (5%) value (1%) 1 74.54 122.5 1040 1 7.879 3.254 3.614 For 5% Significance Level, there is 1 Potential Outlier Potential outliers is: 1040 For 1 % Significance Level, there is 1 Potential Outlier Potential outliers is: 1040 Rosner's Outlier Test for Cobalt - ug/L - T Mean 0.976 Standard Deviation 0.186 Number of data 39 Number of suspected outliers 1 Potential Obs. # Mean sd outlier Number 1 0.976 0.184 0.5 5 For 5% Significance Level, there is no Potential Outlier For 1% Significance Level, there is no Potential Outlier Dixon's Outlier Test for Chromium (VI) - ug/L - T Number of Observations = 24 10% critical value: 0.367 5% critical value: 0.413 1 % critical value: 0.497 1. Observation Value 13.6 is a Potential Outlier (Upper Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.954 For 10% significance level, 13.6 is an outlier. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Outlier test stats_Facility.xlsx Test Critical Critical value value (5%) value (1%) 2.591 3.03 3.37 Page 1 of 3 4/9/2016 Attachment F-1: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data Outlier Test Statistics For 5% significance level, 13.6 is an outlier. For 1% significance level, 13.6 is an outlier. 2. Observation Value 0.005 is a Potential Outlier (Lower Tail)? Test Statistic: 0.019 For 10% significance level, 0.005 is not an outlier. For 5% significance level, 0.005 is not an outlier. For 1 % significance level, 0.005 is not an outlier. Rosner's Outlier Test for Iron - ug/L - T Mean 1660 Standard Deviation 7865 Number of data 69 Number of suspected outliers 1 Potential Obs. Test Critical Critical # Mean sd outlier Number value value (5%) value (1%) 1 1660 7808 65700 1 8.202 3.254 3.614 For 5% Significance Level, there is 1 Potential Outlier Potential outliers is: 65700 For 1 % Significance Level, there is 1 Potential Outlier Potential outliers is: 65700 Rosner's Outlier Test for Lead - ug/L - T Mean 2.576 Standard Deviation 4.457 Number of data 69 Number of suspected outliers 1 Potential Obs. Test Critical Critical # Mean sd outlier Number value value (5%) value (1%) 1 2.576 4.424 33.1 1 6.899 3.254 3.614 For 5% Significance Level, there is 1 Potential Outlier Potential outliers is: 33.1 For 1% Significance Level, there is 1 Potential Outlier Potential outliers is: 33.1 Rosner's Outlier Test for Nickel - ug/L - D Mean 1.322 Standard Deviation 0.464 Number of data 32 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Outlier test stats_Facility.xlsx Page 2 of 3 4/9/2016 Attachment F-1: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data Outlier Test Statistics Number of suspected outliers 1 Potential Obs. Test Critical Critical # Mean sd outlier Number value value (5%) value (1%) 1 1.322 0.457 2.5 2 2.581 2.94 3.27 For 5% Significance Level, there is no Potential Outlier For 1% Significance Level, there is no Potential Outlier Rosner's Outlier Test for Vanadium - ug/L - T Mean 3.071 Standard Deviation 3.083 Number of data 36 Number of suspected outliers 1 Potential Obs. Test Critical Critical # Mean sd outlier Number value value (5%) value (1%) 1 3.071 3.04 12.7 18 3.167 2.99 3.33 For 5% Significance Level, there is 1 Potential Outlier Potential outliers is: 12.7 For 1 % Significance Level, there is no Potential Outlier Haley & Aldrich, Inc. Outlier test stats_Facility.xlsx Page 3 of 3 4/9/2016 Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo ATTACHMENT F-2 Results of Statistical Computations APRIL 2016 6 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part -1: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics APRIL 2016 7 %UICH Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Goodness -of -Fit Test Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects User Selected Options Date/Time of Computation 4/6/2016 12:25:04 PM From File WorkSheet.xls Full Precision OFF Confidence Coefficient 0.95 Barium (ug/L) Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.863 0.823 0.832 0.843 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) Test value Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 0 14 11 3 21.43% Data Not Normal Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD Statistics (Non -Detects Only) 3 5 5 5 5 0 Statistics (Detects Only) 11 1.5 108 28.34 19 32.63 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) 14 1.5 108 23.34 10.3 30.29 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) 14 1.5 108 22.8 10.3 30.66 Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) 14 -38.75 108 16.87 10.3 36.93 Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) 14 0.01 108 22.27 10.3 31.06 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) 14 0.941 108 22.66 10.3 30.76 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV Statistics (Detects Only) 1.013 0.797 27.97 2.775 1.187 0.428 Statistics (NDs = DL) 0.932 0.78 25.04 2.525 1.153 0.457 Statistics (NDs = DL/2) 0.792 0.67 28.77 2.377 1.308 0.55 Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.352 0.324 63.28 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 2.291 1.434 0.626 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.863 0.823 0.832 0.843 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.754 0.85 Data Not Normal 0.284 0.267 Data Not Normal 0.691 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.281 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.703 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.274 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.903 0.874 Data Appear Normal 0.212 0.237 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2aamma RO: Correlation Coefficient R 0.983 0.975 0.982 0.99 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.304 0.751 Page 1 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) 0.162 0.262 Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) 0.575 0.763 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) 0.167 0.236 Data Appear Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) 0.432 0.769 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) 0.136 0.237 Data Appear Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.589 0.822 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) 0.192 0.246 Data Appear Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.984 0.983 0.985 0.991 Hexavalent Chromium (ug/L) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 1 13 8 5 38.46% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (NDs = DL) Statistics (NDs = DL/2) Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) Number Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.976 0.85 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.113 0.267 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.968 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.142 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.959 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.154 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.971 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.104 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. 0.01 Hexavalent Chromium (ug/L) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 1 13 8 5 38.46% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (NDs = DL) Statistics (NDs = DL/2) Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD 5 0.03 0.6 0.372 0.6 0.312 8 0.079 1.6 0.877 1.02 0.585 13 0.03 1.6 0.683 0.6 0.546 13 0.015 1.6 0.611 0.3 0.575 13 -0.776 1.6 0.44 0.347 0.772 13 0.01 1.6 0.583 0.37 0.598 13 0.0332 1.6 0.58 0.239 0.596 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV 1.5 1.021 0.585 -0.5 1.097 -2.195 0.99 0.813 0.69 -0.965 1.405 -1.456 0.802 0.668 0.762 -1.232 1.59 -1.291 0.591 0.506 0.986 -1.269 1.387 -1.093 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.97 0.971 0.938 0.988 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 2 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.916 0.818 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.168 0.313 Data Appear Normal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.921 0.866 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.176 0.246 Data Appear Normal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.859 0.866 Data Not Normal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.252 0.246 Data Not Normal Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) 0.952 0.866 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) 0.131 0.246 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma RO; Correlation Coefficient R 0.886 0.932 0.927 0.906 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Test value Crit. (0.05) 0.511 0.728 0.265 0.299 0.514 0.758 0.201 0.243 0.415 0.768 0.167 0.245 0.499 0.783 0.179 0.248 Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed Data Appear Gamma Distributed Data Appear Gamma Distributed Data Appear Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.925 0.929 0.939 0.965 Iron (ug/L) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Not Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Test value Crit. (0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.846 0.818 Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.28 0.313 Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.847 0.866 Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.242 0.246 Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.868 0.866 Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.199 0.246 Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.908 0.866 Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.193 0.246 Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. Iron (ug/L) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Not Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 3 of 9 4/9/2016 Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 0 14 8 6 42.86% Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD Statistics (Non -Detects Only) 6 10 50 23.33 10 20.66 Statistics (Detects Only) 8 18 1090 216.7 104.5 354.8 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) 14 10 1090 133.8 62 279 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 3 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) 14 5 1090 128.8 49.5 280.9 Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) 14 -768 1090 -86.09 46 460.1 Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) 14 0.01 1090 123.8 46 283.2 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) 14 2.331 1090 127.4 46 281.5 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV Statistics (Detects Only) 0.866 0.625 250.3 4.7 1.128 0.24 Statistics (NDs = DL) 0.619 0.534 216.3 3.903 1.366 0.35 Statistics (NDs = DL/2) 0.506 0.445 254.6 3.606 1.635 0.453 Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.182 0.19 681 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 3.515 1.7 0.484 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.699 0.641 0.646 0.651 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.521 0.818 Data Not Normal 0.469 0.313 Data Not Normal 0.442 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.431 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.447 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.424 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.88 0.874 Data Appear Normal 0.246 0.237 Data Not Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2aamma RO' Correlation Coefficient R 0.892 0.869 0.887 0.943 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 1.065 0.741 0.396 0.303 Data Not Gamma Distributed 1.054 0.783 0.267 0.24 Data Not Gamma Distributed 0.884 0.793 0.241 0.242 Detected Data appear Approximate Gamma Distri 1.221 0.896 0.285 0.254 Data Not Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.906 0.944 0.954 0.972 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.862 0.818 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.311 0.313 Data Appear Lognormal Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 4 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.889 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.165 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.902 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.175 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.946 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.179 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. 6.37 Lead (ug/L) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 0 14 8 6 42.86% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (NDs = DL) Statistics (NDs = DL/2) Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD 6 0.1 1 0.85 1 0.367 8 0.24 6.37 1.824 1.1 2.028 14 0.1 6.37 1.406 1 1.587 14 0.05 6.37 1.224 0.5 1.657 14 -2.456 6.37 0.821 0.656 2.115 14 0.01 6.37 1.144 0.533 1.714 14 0.0746 6.37 1.191 0.59 1.68 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV 1.123 0.785 1.624 0.0938 1.097 11.7 1.247 1.027 1.128 -0.111 1.024 -9.235 0.951 0.795 1.287 -0.408 1.162 -2.848 0.443 0.396 2.582 -0.536 1.241 -2.314 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.874 0.808 0.783 0.889 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.777 0.818 Data Not Normal 0.224 0.313 Data Appear Normal 0.679 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.315 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.636 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.338 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.907 0.874 Data Appear Normal 0.166 0.237 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma RO: Correlation Coefficient R 0.984 0.942 0.952 0.99 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 5 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) 0.272 0.734 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) 0.206 0.301 Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) 0.499 0.755 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) 0.235 0.234 Detected Data appear Approximate Gamma Distri Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) 0.86 0.762 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) 0.27 0.236 Data Not Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.431 0.804 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) 0.189 0.243 Data Appear Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.99 0.97 0.953 0.994 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.973 0.818 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.159 0.313 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.956 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.186 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.929 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.197 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.985 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.113 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. Nickel (ug/L) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 0 14 3 11 78.57% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (NDs = DL) Statistics (NDs = DL/2) Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD 11 0.5 5 3.773 5 2.102 3 0.63 2.6 1.61 1.6 0.985 14 0.5 5 3.309 5 2.097 14 0.25 2.6 1.827 2.5 1.006 14 -2.945 2.801 -0.0719 -0.0719 1.883 14 0.01 2.838 0.765 0.182 1.016 14 0.0548 3.206 0.862 0.43 1.004 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.547 1.263 2.139 0.84 1.024 1.219 1.775 1.442 1.029 0.295 0.985 3.334 0.348 0.321 2.198 -0.87 1.336 -1.535 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 1 0.856 0.834 0.731 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 6 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 1 0.767 Data Appear Normal 0.176 0.512 Data Appear Normal 0.705 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.361 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.676 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.391 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.959 0.874 Data Appear Normal 0.0984 0.237 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2aamma RO: Correlation Coefficient R N/A 0.721 0.682 0.926 Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.984 0.855 0.816 0.988 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) N/A N/A Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) N/A N/A Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) 1.93 0.75 Data Not Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) 0.363 0.233 Data Not Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) 2.385 0.748 Data Not Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) 0.397 0.232 Data Not Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) 1.337 0.823 Data Appear Lognormal Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) 0.329 0.246 Data Not Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.984 0.855 0.816 0.988 Vanadium (ug/L) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 0 14 7 7 50.00% Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD Statistics (Non -Detects Only) 7 0.3 1 0.8 1 0.342 Statistics (Detects Only) 7 0.318 19.6 5.578 1.6 7.978 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 7 of 9 4/9/2016 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) N/A N/A Lilliefors (Detects Only) N/A N/A Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.706 0.874 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.345 0.237 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.65 0.874 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.379 0.237 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.957 0.874 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.116 0.237 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. Vanadium (ug/L) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 14 0 14 7 7 50.00% Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD Statistics (Non -Detects Only) 7 0.3 1 0.8 1 0.342 Statistics (Detects Only) 7 0.318 19.6 5.578 1.6 7.978 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 7 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) 14 0.3 19.6 3.189 1 5.964 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) 14 0.15 19.6 2.989 0.5 6.05 Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) 14 -13.81 19.6 -0.632 0.364 9.273 Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) 14 0.01 19.6 2.823 0.364 6.128 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) 14 0.0161 19.6 2.884 0.37 6.101 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV Statistics (Detects Only) 0.553 0.412 10.08 0.589 1.689 2.867 Statistics (NDs = DL) 0.596 0.516 5.348 0.122 1.308 10.68 Statistics (NDs = DL/2) 0.484 0.428 6.175 -0.224 1.479 -6.599 Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.255 0.248 11.08 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) -0.923 2.161 -2.342 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.849 0.714 0.706 0.762 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.714 0.803 Data Not Normal 0.376 0.335 Data Not Normal 0.524 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.42 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.514 0.874 Data Not Normal 0.406 0.237 Data Not Normal 0.914 0.874 Data Appear Normal 0.235 0.237 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma RO: Correlation Coefficient R 0.953 0.927 0.936 0.958 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.616 0.748 0.26 0.326 Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed 1.793 0.785 0.329 0.24 Data Not Gamma Distributed 2.049 0.796 0.389 0.242 Data Not Gamma Distributed 1.093 0.854 0.244 0.25 Detected Data appear Approximate Gamma Distri Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.948 0.914 0.902 0.983 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.875 0.803 Data Appear Lognormal Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Page 8 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data GOF Statistics Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.217 0.335 Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.832 0.874 Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.252 0.237 Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.813 0.874 Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.339 0.237 Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.957 0.874 Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.114 0.237 Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DL/2 are not recommended. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF test stats_regional.xlsx Data Appear Lognormal Data Not Lognormal Data Not Lognormal Data Not Lognormal Data Not Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Data Appear Lognormal Page 9 of 9 4/9/2016 Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part -2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics APRIL 2016 8 %UICH Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Goodness -of -Fit Test Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects User Selected Options Num Obs Date/Time of Computation 4/6/2016 4:04:44 PM From File WorkSheet a.xls Full Precision OFF Confidence Coefficient 0.95 Barium - ug/L - T Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.974 0.974 0.976 0.977 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 72 4 68 66 2 2.94% 0.107 Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD Statistics (Non -Detects Only) 2 5 5 5 5 0 Statistics (Detects Only) 66 5 175 62.02 60.6 35.93 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) 68 5 175 60.34 60.1 36.7 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) 68 2.5 175 60.27 60.1 36.82 Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) 68 -32.02 175 59.41 60.1 38.49 Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) 68 5 175 60.5 60.1 36.47 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) 68 5 175 60.43 60.1 36.58 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV Statistics (Detects Only) 2.315 2.22 26.79 3.896 0.782 0.201 Statistics (NDs = DL) 1.995 1.917 30.25 3.829 0.863 0.225 Statistics (NDs = DL/2) 1.872 1.799 32.2 3.809 0.922 0.242 Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) 2.132 2.047 28.38 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 3.842 0.832 0.216 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.974 0.974 0.976 0.977 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.1 0.109 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.0993 0.107 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.0991 0.107 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) 0.0954 0.107 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma RO: Correlation Coefficient R 0.967 0.963 0.96 0.966 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 1.303 0.761 0.115 0.111 Data Not Gamma Distributed 1.517 0.763 0.126 0.109 Data Not Gamma Distributed 1.569 0.765 Page 1 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) 0.133 0.11 Data Not Gamma Distributed Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) 1.371 0.763 Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) 0.118 0.109 Data Not Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.949 0.941 0.93 0.948 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.16 0.109 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.171 0.107 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.177 0.107 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.166 0.107 Data Not Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. 39 Cobalt - ug/L - T Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 72 33 39 5 34 87.18% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (NDs = DL) Statistics (NDs = DL/2) Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD 34 0.5 1 0.956 1 0.144 5 0.51 1.41 1.114 1.19 0.362 39 0.5 1.41 0.976 1 0.186 39 0.25 1.41 0.559 0.5 0.254 39 -1.461 1.41 -0.0106 -0.0101 0.704 39 0.01 1.41 0.307 0.121 0.406 39 0.0582 1.41 0.403 0.297 0.345 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV 8.649 3.593 0.129 0.049 0.417 8.508 22 20.33 0.0444 -0.047 0.233 -4.954 7.247 6.706 0.0772 -0.651 0.356 -0.547 0.467 0.448 0.657 -1.214 0.791 -0.651 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.916 0.761 0.702 0.979 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.845 0.762 Data Appear Normal 0.274 0.396 Data Appear Normal 0.6 0.939 Data Not Normal 0.448 0.142 Data Not Normal 0.511 0.939 Data Not Normal 0.475 0.142 Data Not Normal 0.984 0.939 Data Appear Normal Page 2 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) 0.0437 0.142 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma RO; Correlation Coefficient R 0.851 0.748 0.767 0.964 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.609 0.679 0.335 0.32 0.358 Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed 8.857 0.747 Data Not Lognormal 0.471 0.141 Data Not Gamma Distributed 8.727 0.75 0.598 0.445 0.142 Data Not Gamma Distributed 2.445 0.82 Data Not Lognormal 0.277 0.15 Data Not Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.869 0.726 0.76 0.996 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.768 0.762 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.335 0.396 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.542 0.939 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.477 0.142 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.598 0.939 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.422 0.142 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.981 0.939 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.0525 0.142 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. 0.015 Chromium (VI) - ug/L - T Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 72 48 24 13 11 45.83% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD 11 0.021 0.03 0.0292 0.03 0.00271 13 0.005 13.6 2.26 0.357 4.736 24 0.005 13.6 1.238 0.03 3.604 24 0.005 13.6 1.231 0.015 3.607 24 -5.963 13.6 0.224 0.015 4.298 24 0.005 13.6 1.229 0.0115 3.607 24 6.1985E-4 13.6 1.235 0.0444 3.606 K hat Statistics (Detects Only) 0.335 Statistics (NDs = DL) 0.28 K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV 0.309 6.742 -1.204 2.33 -1.935 0.273 4.416 -2.274 2.062 -0.906 Page 3 of 9 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Statistics (NDs = DL/2) 0.253 0.249 4.863 -2.592 Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.241 0.238 5.106 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) -2.735 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.7 0.591 0.592 0.621 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) 2.283 -0.881 2.581 -0.944 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.5 0.866 Data Not Normal 0.48 0.246 Data Not Normal 0.365 0.916 Data Not Normal 0.483 0.181 Data Not Normal 0.366 0.916 Data Not Normal 0.482 0.181 Data Not Normal 0.695 0.916 Data Not Normal 0.378 0.181 Data Not Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma ROc Correlation Coefficient R 0.913 0.893 0.898 0.901 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 1.163 0.823 0.219 0.349 0.255 Data Not Gamma Distributed 3.286 0.861 Data Not Lognormal 0.31 0.194 Data Not Gamma Distributed 3.322 0.873 0.802 0.32 0.195 Data Not Gamma Distributed 3.257 0.879 Data Not Lognormal 0.305 0.196 Data Not Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.951 0.923 0.898 0.982 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.904 0.866 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.219 0.246 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.851 0.916 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.308 0.181 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.802 0.916 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.325 0.181 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.96 0.916 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.115 0.181 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Page 4 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Lead - ug/L - T Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.902 0.755 0.631 0.501 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 72 4 68 5 63 92.65% 0.107 Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD Statistics (Non -Detects Only) 63 0.1 5 1.86 1 1.699 Statistics (Detects Only) 5 0.1 12.9 5.486 2.3 6.427 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) 68 0.1 12.9 2.127 1 2.459 Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) 68 0.05 12.9 1.265 0.5 2.138 Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) 68 -17.62 12.9 -4.066 -4.031 6.167 Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) 68 0.01 12.9 0.722 0.01 2.252 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) 68 9.0233E-5 12.9 0.524 0.0259 2.125 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV Statistics (Detects Only) 0.461 0.318 11.9 0.306 2.367 7.723 Statistics (NDs = DL) 1.207 1.163 1.763 0.286 0.979 3.42 Statistics (NDs = DL/2) 0.979 0.945 1.293 -0.356 0.997 -2.799 Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.232 0.232 3.112 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) -3.67 2.549 -0.695 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.902 0.755 0.631 0.501 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.782 0.762 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.29 0.396 Data Appear Normal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) N/A N/A Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.427 0.107 Data Not Normal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) N/A N/A 0.111 Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.39 0.107 Data Not Normal Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) N/A N/A Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) 0.0319 0.107 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma RO; Correlation Coefficient R 0.836 0.9 0.828 0.943 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.479 0.716 0.26 0.373 Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed 10.21 0.776 0.411 0.111 Data Not Gamma Distributed 10.33 0.781 0.419 0.111 Data Not Gamma Distributed 14.67 0.899 0.46 0.119 Data Not Gamma Distributed Page 5 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.932 0.852 0.854 0.998 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.834 0.762 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.239 0.396 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) N/A N/A 0.403 Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.365 0.107 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) N/A N/A 0.5 Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.382 0.107 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) N/A N/A 1.056 Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.0301 0.107 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. 1.067 Nickel - ug/L - D Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 72 40 32 16 16 50.00% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (NDs = DL) Statistics (NDs = DL/2) Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD 16 0.5 2.5 1.063 1 0.403 16 0.96 2.13 1.581 1.565 0.373 32 0.5 2.5 1.322 1.015 0.464 32 0.25 2.13 1.056 0.995 0.609 32 -0.0272 2.13 1.125 1.067 0.581 32 0.277 2.13 1.181 1.095 0.515 32 0.535 2.13 1.223 1.097 0.465 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV 18.03 14.69 0.0877 0.43 0.249 0.58 8.947 8.129 0.148 0.222 0.342 1.542 2.948 2.692 0.358 -0.125 0.624 -5.008 4.833 4.4 0.244 0.131 0.383 2.918 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.983 0.922 0.927 0.983 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.949 0.887 Data Appear Normal 0.159 0.222 Data Appear Normal 0.854 0.93 Data Not Normal 0.266 0.157 Data Not Normal 0.84 0.93 Data Not Normal 0.288 0.157 Data Not Normal Page 6 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) 0.97 0.93 Data Appear Normal Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) 0.096 0.157 Data Appear Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2aamma ROc Correlation Coefficient R 0.97 0.952 0.935 0.977 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.366 0.737 0.174 0.177 0.215 Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed 2.084 0.747 Data Not Lognormal 0.258 0.156 Data Not Gamma Distributed 2.294 0.753 0.839 0.294 0.157 Data Not Gamma Distributed 0.229 0.748 Data Not Lognormal 0.0923 0.156 Data Appear Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.976 0.929 0.923 0.989 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.939 0.887 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.174 0.222 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.873 0.93 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.244 0.157 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.839 0.93 Data Not Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.287 0.157 Data Not Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.963 0.93 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.102 0.157 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. 1.775 Vanadium - ug/L - T Num Obs Num Miss Num Valid Detects NDs % NDs Raw Statistics 72 36 36 34 2 5.56% Statistics (Non -Detects Only) Statistics (Detects Only) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL value) Statistics (All: NDs treated as DL/2 value) Statistics (Normal ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Gamma ROS Imputed Data) Statistics (Lognormal ROS Imputed Data) Number Minimum Maximum Mean Median SD 2 0.3 1 0.65 0.65 0.495 34 0.381 12.7 3.214 1.91 3.114 36 0.3 12.7 3.071 1.775 3.083 36 0.15 12.7 3.053 1.775 3.098 36 -3.965 12.7 2.904 1.775 3.312 36 0.01 12.7 3.036 1.775 3.114 36 0.18 12.7 3.055 1.775 3.096 K hat K Star Theta hat Log Mean Log Stdv Log CV Statistics (Detects Only) 1.323 1.226 2.43 0.744 0.963 1.294 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Page 7 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Statistics (NDs = DL) 1.244 1.159 2.468 0.669 0.997 1.489 Statistics (NDs = DL/2) 1.168 1.09 2.613 0.631 1.058 1.678 Statistics (Gamma ROS Estimates) 0.883 0.828 3.438 Statistics (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.638 1.043 1.636 Normal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2Normal ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.891 0.886 0.889 0.891 Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) Lilliefors (Detects Only) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) Lilliefors (NDs = DL) Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) Shapiro -Wilk (Normal ROS Estimates) Lilliefors (Normal ROS Estimates) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.794 0.933 Data Not Normal 0.182 0.152 Data Not Normal 0.785 0.935 Data Not Normal 0.191 0.148 Data Not Normal 0.79 0.935 Data Not Normal 0.189 0.148 Data Not Normal 0.873 0.935 Data Not Normal 0.168 0.148 Data Not Normal Gamma GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/23amma RO: Correlation Coefficient R 0.985 0.986 0.987 0.988 Anderson -Darling (Detects Only) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Detects Only) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL) Anderson -Darling (NDs = DL/2) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (NDs = DL/2) Anderson -Darling (Gamma ROS Estimates) Kolmogorov-Smirnov (Gamma ROS Est.) Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) 0.402 0.769 0.0946 0.115 0.154 Detected Data Appear Gamma Distributed 0.43 0.771 Data Appear Lognormal 0.117 0.15 Data Appear Gamma Distributed 0.346 0.773 0.978 0.104 0.151 Data Appear Gamma Distributed 0.35 0.782 Data Appear Lognormal 0.0869 0.152 Data Appear Gamma Distributed Lognormal GOF Test Results No NDs NDs = DL NDs = DL/2 Log ROS Correlation Coefficient R 0.992 0.993 0.992 0.993 Test value Crit. (0.05) Conclusion with Alpha(0.05) Shapiro -Wilk (Detects Only) 0.968 0.933 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Detects Only) 0.0946 0.152 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL) 0.971 0.935 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL) 0.0919 0.148 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (NDs = DL/2) 0.978 0.935 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (NDs = DL/2) 0.0905 0.148 Data Appear Lognormal Shapiro -Wilk (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.978 0.935 Data Appear Lognormal Lilliefors (Lognormal ROS Estimates) 0.0915 0.148 Data Appear Lognormal Note: Substitution methods such as DL or DU2 are not recommended. Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Page 8 of 9 4/9/2016 Attachment F-2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data GOF Statistics Goodness -of -Fit Test Statistics for Uncensored Full Data Sets without Non -Detects User Selected Options Date/Time of Computation 4/6/2016 4:04:19 PM From File WorkSheet a.xls Full Precision OFF Confidence Coefficient 0.95 Iron - ug/L - T Raw Statistics 0.83 Number of Valid Observations 68 Number of Missing Observations 4 Number of Distinct Observations 66 Minimum 22 Maximum 4610 Mean of Raw Data 717.9 Standard Deviation of Raw Data 823.1 Khat 1.093 Theta hat 657.1 Kstar 1.054 Theta star 681 Mean of Log Transformed Data 6.053 Standard Deviation of Log Transformed Data 1.097 Normal GOF Test Results Correlation Coefficient R 0.83 Approximate Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.706 Approximate Shapiro Wilk P Value 0 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.24 Lilliefors Critical (0.05) Value 0.107 Data not Normal at (0.05) Significance Level Gamma GOF Test Results Correlation Coefficient R 0.968 A -D Test Statistic 1.212 A -D Critical (0.05) Value 0.778 K -S Test Statistic 0.131 K -S Critical(0.05) Value 0.111 Data not Gamma Distributed at (0.05) Significance Level Lognormal GOF Test Results Correlation Coefficient R 0.983 Approximate Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.961 Approximate Shapiro Wilk P Value 0.0915 Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.122 Lilliefors Critical (0.05) Value 0.107 Data appear Approximate—Lognormal at (0.05) Significance Level Haley & Aldrich, Inc. GOF after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx Page 9 of 9 4/9/2016 Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo ATTACHMENT F-3 Method Computation Details APRIL 2016 9 %UICH Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part -1: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data BTVs Statistics APRIL 2016 10 %UICH Attachment F-3: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data BTVs Statistics User Selected Options Date/Time of Computation From File Full Precision Confidence Coefficient Coverage Different or Future K Observations Number of Bootstrap Operations Barium (ug/L) Background Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects 4/6/2016 12:25:30 PM WorkSheet.xls OFF 95% 95% 1 2000 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.614 Page 1 of 6 Number of Missing Observations General Statistics Total Number of Observations 14 Number of Distinct Observations 12 Number of Detects 11 Number of Distinct Detects 11 Minimum Detect 1.5 Maximum Detect 108 Variance Detected 1065 Mean Detected 28.34 Mean of Detected Logged Data 2.775 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.614 Page 1 of 6 Number of Missing Observations 0 Number of Non -Detects 3 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 1 Minimum Non -Detect 5 Maximum Non -Detect 5 Percent Non -Detects 21.43% SD Detected 32.63 SD of Detected Logged Data 1.187 d2max (for USL) 2.372 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only A -D Test Statistic 0.304 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 5% A -D Critical Value 0.751 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level K -S Test Statistic 0.162 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 5% K -S Critical Value 0.262 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only k hat (MLE) 1.013 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.797 Theta hat (MLE) 27.97 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 35.54 nu hat (MLE) 22.28 nu star (bias corrected) 17.54 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 28.34 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 31.73 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 5.179 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs For gamma distributed detected data, BTVs and UCLs may be computed using gamma distribution on KM estimates Minimum 0.01 Mean 22.27 Maximum 108 Median 10.3 SD 31.06 CV 1.395 k hat (MLE) 0.352 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.324 Theta hat (MILE) 63.28 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 68.71 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV test stats_regional.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data BTVs Statistics 0.579 nu hat (KM) Page 2 of 6 nu hat (MLE) 9.852 nu star (bias corrected) 9.074 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 22.27 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 39.11 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 2.892 90% Percentile 65.02 95% Percentile 99.33 99% Percentile 187.7 The following statistics are computed using Gamma ROS Statistics on Imputed Data 135.1 Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods 1.924 WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 197.6 284.1 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 106 131.7 95% Gamma USL 165.1 227.3 General Statistics The following statistics are computed using gamma distribution and KM estimates Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods k hat (KM) 0.579 nu hat (KM) 16.2 WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 141.6 161.8 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 83.03 87.71 95% Gamma USL 121.2 135.1 95% KM USL 1.924 Hexavalent Chromium (ug/L) Mean 0.611 General Statistics 0.575 95% UTL95% Coverage Total Number of Observations 13 Number of Missing Observations 1 Number of Distinct Observations 10 1.557 Number of Detects 8 Number of Non -Detects 5 Number of Distinct Detects 8 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Detect 0.079 Minimum Non -Detect 0.03 Maximum Detect 1.6 Maximum Non -Detect 0.6 Variance Detected 0.342 Percent Non -Detects 38.46% Mean Detected 0.877 SD Detected 0.585 Mean of Detected Logged Data -0.5 SD of Detected Logged Data 1.097 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.671 d2max (for USL) 2.331 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.916 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.818 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.168 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.313 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 0.579 SD 0.577 95% UTL95% Coverage 2.12 95% KM UPL (t) 1.646 90% KM Percentile (z) 1.318 95% KM Percentile (z) 1.528 99% KM Percentile (z) 1.921 95% KM USL 1.924 DL/2 Substitution Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 0.611 SD 0.575 95% UTL95% Coverage 2.147 95% UPL (t) 1.674 90% Percentile (z) 1.348 95% Percentile (z) 1.557 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV test stats_regional.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data BTVs Statistics Iron (ug/L) Lead (ug/L) 99% Percentile (z) 1.949 DL/2 is not a recommended method. DL/2 provided for comparisons and historical reasons Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.614 Page 3 of 6 95% USL 1.951 Number of Missing Observations 0 Number of Non -Detects General Statistics Total Number of Observations 14 Number of Distinct Observations 9 Number of Detects 8 Number of Distinct Detects 7 Minimum Detect 18 Maximum Detect 1090 Variance Detected 125915 Mean Detected 216.7 Mean of Detected Logged Data 4.7 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.614 Page 3 of 6 95% USL 1.951 Number of Missing Observations 0 Number of Non -Detects 6 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Non -Detect 10 Maximum Non -Detect 50 Percent Non -Detects 42.86% SD Detected 354.8 SD of Detected Logged Data 1.128 d2max (for USL) 2.372 Lognormal GOF Test on Detected Observations Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.862 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.818 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.311 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.313 Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level Background Lognormal ROS Statistics Assuming Lognormal Distribution Using Imputed Non -Detects Mean in Original Scale 127.4 Mean in Log Scale 3.515 SD in Original Scale 281.5 SD in Log Scale 1.7 95% UTL95% Coverage 2860 95% BCA UTL95% Coverage 1090 95% Bootstrap (%) UTL95% Coverage 1090 95% UPL (t) 758.4 90% Percentile (z) 297 95% Percentile (z) 550.7 99% Percentile (z) 1754 95% USL 1894 Statistics using KM estimates on Logged Data and Assuming Lognormal Distribution KM Mean of Logged Data 3.69 95% KM UTL (Lognormal)95% Coverage 1626 KM SD of Logged Data 1.417 95% KM UPL (Lognormal) 537.6 95% KM Percentile Lognormal (z) 411.7 95% KM USL (Lognormal) 1153 Background DL/2 Statistics Assuming Lognormal Distribution Mean in Original Scale 128.8 Mean in Log Scale 3.606 SD in Original Scale 280.9 SD in Log Scale 1.635 95% UTL95% Coverage 2640 95% UPL (t) 736.6 90% Percentile (z) 299 95% Percentile (z) 541.5 99% Percentile (z) 1650 95% USL 1776 DL/2 is not a Recommended Method. DL/2 provided for comparisons and historical reasons. General Statistics Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV test stats_regional.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data BTVs Statistics Total Number of Observations 14 Number of Distinct Observations 10 Number of Detects 8 Number of Distinct Detects 8 Minimum Detect 0.24 Maximum Detect 6.37 Variance Detected 4.114 Mean Detected 1.824 Mean of Detected Logged Data 0.0938 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.614 Page 4 of 6 Number of Missing Observations 0 Number of Non -Detects 6 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Non -Detect 0.1 Maximum Non -Detect 1 Percent Non -Detects 42.86% SD Detected 2.028 SD of Detected Logged Data 1.097 d2max (for USL) 2.372 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only A -D Test Statistic 0.272 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 5% A -D Critical Value 0.734 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level K -S Test Statistic 0.206 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 5% K -S Critical Value 0.301 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only k hat (MLE) 1.123 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.785 Theta hat (MLE) 1.624 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 2.322 nu hat (MLE) 17.97 nu star (bias corrected) 12.57 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 1.824 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 2.058 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 5.129 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs For gamma distributed detected data, BTVs and UCLs may be computed using gamma distribution on KM estimates Minimum 0.01 Mean 1.144 Maximum 6.37 Median 0.533 SD 1.714 CV 1.499 k hat (MLE) 0.443 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.396 Theta hat (MLE) 2.582 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 2.891 nu hat (MLE) 12.4 nu star (bias corrected) 11.08 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 1.144 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 1.818 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 3.3 90% Percentile 3.237 95% Percentile 4.77 99% Percentile 8.63 The following statistics are computed using Gamma ROS Statistics on Imputed Data Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 9.525 12.37 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 5.167 5.939 95% Gamma USL 7.981 9.991 The following statistics are computed using gamma distribution and KM estimates Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods k hat (KM) 0.548 nu hat (KM) 15.35 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV test stats_regional.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data BTVs Statistics 1.055 SD 0.795 95% UTL95% Coverage 3.132 Page 5 of 6 WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 6.748 7.378 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 4.078 4.188 95% Gamma USL 5.823 6.241 Nickel (ug/L) 1.827 SD 1.006 95% UTL95% Coverage General Statistics 95% UPL (t) 3.672 Total Number of Observations 14 Number of Missing Observations 0 Number of Distinct Observations 5 95% USL 4.214 Number of Detects 3 Number of Non -Detects 11 Number of Distinct Detects 3 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Detect 0.63 Minimum Non -Detect 0.5 Maximum Detect 2.6 Maximum Non -Detect 5 Variance Detected 0.97 Percent Non -Detects 78.57% Mean Detected 1.61 SD Detected 0.985 Mean of Detected Logged Data 0.321 SD of Detected Logged Data 0.72 Warning: Data set has only 3 Detected Values. This is not enough to compute meaningful or reliable statistics and estimates. Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.614 d2max (for USL) 2.372 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 1 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.767 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.176 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.512 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 1.055 SD 0.795 95% UTL95% Coverage 3.132 95% KM UPL (t) 2.512 90% KM Percentile (z) 2.073 95% KM Percentile (z) 2.362 99% KM Percentile (z) 2.904 95% KM USL 2.94 DU2 Substitution Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 1.827 SD 1.006 95% UTL95% Coverage 4.458 95% UPL (t) 3.672 90% Percentile (z) 3.117 95% Percentile (z) 3.482 99% Percentile (z) 4.168 95% USL 4.214 DU2 is not a recommended method. DU2 provided for comparisons and historical reasons Vanadium (ug/L) General Statistics Total Number of Observations 14 Number of Distinct Observations 9 Number of Detects 7 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV test stats_regional.xlsx Number of Missing Observations 0 Number of Non -Detects 7 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Regional Background Water Supply Well Data BTVs Statistics Page 6 of 6 Number of Distinct Detects 7 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Detect 0.318 Minimum Non -Detect 0.3 Maximum Detect 19.6 Maximum Non -Detect 1 Variance Detected 63.64 Percent Non -Detects 50% Mean Detected 5.578 SD Detected 7.978 Mean of Detected Logged Data 0.589 SD of Detected Logged Data 1.689 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.614 d2max (for USL) 2.372 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only A -D Test Statistic 0.616 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 5% A -D Critical Value 0.748 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level K -S Test Statistic 0.26 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 5% K -S Critical Value 0.326 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only k hat (MLE) 0.553 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.412 Theta hat (MLE) 10.08 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 13.55 nu hat (MLE) 7.749 nu star (bias corrected) 5.761 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 5.578 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 8.695 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 3.386 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs For gamma distributed detected data, BTVs and UCLs may be computed using gamma distribution on KM estimates Minimum 0.01 Mean 2.823 Maximum 19.6 Median 0.364 SD 6.128 CV 2.171 k hat (MLE) 0.255 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.248 Theta hat (MILE) 11.08 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 11.39 nu hat (MLE) 7.136 nu star (bias corrected) 6.94 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 2.823 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 5.671 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 2.406 90% Percentile 8.48 95% Percentile 13.7 99% Percentile 27.62 The following statistics are computed using Gamma ROS Statistics on Imputed Data Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 26.6 32.79 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 12.91 13.68 95% Gamma USL 21.64 25.5 The following statistics are computed using gamma distribution and KM estimates Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods k hat (KM) 0.257 nu hat (KM) 7.187 WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 20.69 21.77 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 11.22 10.87 95% Gamma USL 17.33 17.77 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV test stats_regional.xlsx 4/9/2016 Evaluation of Water Supply Wells in the Vicinity of Duke Energy Coal Ash Basins Appendix F — Mayo Part -2: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data BTVs Statistics APRIL 2016 11 U'CH Attachment F-3: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data BTVs Statistics Background Statistics for Data Sets with Non -Detects User Selected Options General Statistics Date/Time of Computation 4/6/2016 4:09:36 PM From File WorkSheet a.xls Full Precision OFF Confidence Coefficient 95% Coverage 95% Different or Future K Observations 1 Number of Bootstrap Operations 2000 Barium - ug/L - T Cobalt - ug/L - T Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 1.991 Page 1 of 6 Number of Missing Observations 4 Number of Non -Detects General Statistics Total Number of Observations 68 Number of Distinct Observations 51 Number of Detects 66 Number of Distinct Detects 51 Minimum Detect 5 Maximum Detect 175 Variance Detected 1291 Mean Detected 62.02 Mean of Detected Logged Data 3.896 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 1.991 Page 1 of 6 Number of Missing Observations 4 Number of Non -Detects 2 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 1 Minimum Non -Detect 5 Maximum Non -Detect 5 Percent Non -Detects 2.941% SD Detected 35.93 SD of Detected Logged Data 0.782 d2max (for USL) 3.073 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.944 Normal GOF Test on Detected Observations Only 5% Shapiro Wilk P Value 0.0089 Data Not Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.1 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.109 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Approximate Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 60.34 SD 36.43 95% UTL95% Coverage 132.9 95% KM UPL (t) 121.6 90% KM Percentile (z) 107 95% KM Percentile (z) 120.3 99% KM Percentile (z) 145.1 95% KM USL 172.3 DL/2 Substitution Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 60.27 SD 36.82 95% UTL95% Coverage 133.6 95% UPL (t) 122.1 90% Percentile (z) 107.5 95% Percentile (z) 120.8 99% Percentile (z) 145.9 95% USL 173.4 DL/2 is not a recommended method. DL/2 provided for comparisons and historical reasons General Statistics Total Number of Observations 39 Number of Missing Observations 33 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data BTVs Statistics Chromium (VI) - ug/L - T Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.124 d2max (for USL) 2.857 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.845 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.762 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.274 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.396 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 0.581 SD Page 2 of 6 Number of Distinct Observations 7 95% KM UPL (t) 0.982 Number of Detects 5 Number of Non -Detects 34 Number of Distinct Detects 5 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Detect 0.51 Minimum Non -Detect 0.5 Maximum Detect 1.41 Maximum Non -Detect 1 Variance Detected 0.131 Percent Non -Detects 87.18% Mean Detected 1.114 SD Detected 0.362 Mean of Detected Logged Data 0.049 SD of Detected Logged Data 0.417 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.124 d2max (for USL) 2.857 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.845 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.762 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.274 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.396 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 0.581 SD 0.235 95% UTL95% Coverage 1.08 95% KM UPL (t) 0.982 90% KM Percentile (z) 0.882 95% KM Percentile (z) 0.967 99% KM Percentile (z) 1.128 95% KM USL 1.252 DU2 Substitution Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution 12 Number of Distinct Non -Detects Mean 0.559 SD 0.254 95% UTL95% Coverage 1.1 95% UPL (t) 0.994 90% Percentile (z) 0.885 95% Percentile (z) 0.978 99% Percentile (z) 1.151 95% USL 1.286 DU2 is not a recommended method. DU2 provided for comparisons and historical reasons Mean of Detected Logged Data Nonparametric Distribution Free Background Statistics Data appear to follow a Discernible Distribution at 5% Significance Level Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 General Statistics Total Number of Observations 24 Number of Missing Observations 48 Number of Distinct Observations 14 Number of Detects 13 Number of Non -Detects 11 Number of Distinct Detects 12 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Detect 0.005 Minimum Non -Detect 0.021 Maximum Detect 13.6 Maximum Non -Detect 0.03 Variance Detected 22.43 Percent Non -Detects 45.83% Mean Detected 2.26 SD Detected 4.736 Mean of Detected Logged Data -1.204 SD of Detected Logged Data 2.33 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.309 d2max (for USL) 2.644 Nonparametric Distribution Free Background Statistics Data appear to follow a Discernible Distribution at 5% Significance Level Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data BTVs Statistics Iron - ug/L - T General Statistics Lead - ug/L - T Page 3 of 6 Nonparametric Upper Limits for BTVs(no distinction made between detects and nondetects) Order of Statistic, r 24 95% UTL with95% Coverage 13.6 Approximate f 1.263 Confidence Coefficient (CC) achieved by UTL 0.708 95% UPL 13.25 95% USL 13.6 95% KM Chebyshev UPL 16.94 Note: The use of USL to estimate a BTV is recommended only when the data set represents a background data set free of outliers and consists of observations collected from clean unimpacted locations. The use of USL tends to provide a balance between false positives and false negatives provided the data represents a background data set and when many onsite observations need to be compared with the BTV. Total Number of Observations 68 Minimum 22 Second Largest 2730 Maximum 4610 Mean 717.9 Coefficient of Variation 1.146 Mean of logged Data 6.053 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 1.991 Number of Distinct Observations 66 Number of Missing Observations 4 First Quartile 279.3 Median 455 Third Quartile 851.5 SD 823.1 Skewness 2.52 SD of logged Data 1.097 d2max (for USL) 3.073 Lognormal GOF Test Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.961 Shapiro Wilk Lognormal GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk P Value 0.0915 Data appear Lognormal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.122 Lilliefors Lognormal GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.107 Data Not Lognormal at 5% Significance Level Data appear Approximate Lognormal at 5% Significance Level Background Statistics assuming Lognormal Distribution 95% UTL with 95% Coverage 3780 95% UPL (t) 2688 95% USL 12391 Total Number of Observations Number of Distinct Observations Number of Detects Number of Distinct Detects Minimum Detect Maximum Detect Variance Detected Mean Detected 90% Percentile (z) 1736 95% Percentile (z) 2586 99% Percentile (z) 5461 General Statistics 68 Number of Missing Observations 4 7 5 Number of Non -Detects 63 5 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 3 0.1 Minimum Non -Detect 0.1 12.9 Maximum Non -Detect 5 41.31 Percent Non -Detects 92.65% 5.486 SD Detected 6.427 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data BTVs Statistics Nickel - ug/L - D Page 4 of 6 Mean of Detected Logged Data 0.306 SD of Detected Logged Data 2.367 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 1.991 d2max (for USL) 3.073 Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.782 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.762 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.29 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.396 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 0.511 SD 2.101 95% UTL95% Coverage 4.694 95% KM UPL (t) 4.041 90% KM Percentile (z) 3.204 95% KM Percentile (z) 3.967 99% KM Percentile (z) 5.399 95% KM USL 6.968 DU2 Substitution Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution 1.581 Mean of Detected Logged Data Mean 1.265 SD 2.138 95% UTL95% Coverage 5.521 95% UPL (t) 4.857 90% Percentile (z) 4.005 95% Percentile (z) 4.781 99% Percentile (z) 6.238 95% USL 7.835 DU2 is not a recommended method. DU2 provided for comparisons and historical reasons Number of Missing Observations 40 Number of Non -Detects Number of Distinct Non -Detects Minimum Non -Detect Maximum Non -Detect Percent Non -Detects SD Detected SD of Detected Logged Data Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.186 d2max (for USL) Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.949 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.887 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.159 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.222 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 1.162 16 3 0.5 2.5 50% 0.373 0.249 2.773 SD 0.529 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 General Statistics Total Number of Observations 32 Number of Distinct Observations 19 Number of Detects 16 Number of Distinct Detects 16 Minimum Detect 0.96 Maximum Detect 2.13 Variance Detected 0.139 Mean Detected 1.581 Mean of Detected Logged Data 0.43 Number of Missing Observations 40 Number of Non -Detects Number of Distinct Non -Detects Minimum Non -Detect Maximum Non -Detect Percent Non -Detects SD Detected SD of Detected Logged Data Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.186 d2max (for USL) Normal GOF Test on Detects Only Shapiro Wilk Test Statistic 0.949 Shapiro Wilk GOF Test 5% Shapiro Wilk Critical Value 0.887 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Lilliefors Test Statistic 0.159 Lilliefors GOF Test 5% Lilliefors Critical Value 0.222 Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Detected Data appear Normal at 5% Significance Level Kaplan Meier (KM) Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 1.162 16 3 0.5 2.5 50% 0.373 0.249 2.773 SD 0.529 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data BTVs Statistics Vanadium - ug/L - T Page 5 of 6 95% UTL95% Coverage 2.319 95% KM UPL (t) 2.073 90% KM Percentile (z) 1.84 95% KM Percentile (z) 2.032 99% KM Percentile (z) 2.393 95% KM USL 2.629 DU2 Substitution Background Statistics Assuming Normal Distribution Mean 1.056 SD 0.609 95% UTL95% Coverage 2.388 95% UPL (t) 2.105 90% Percentile (z) 1.837 95% Percentile (z) 2.058 99% Percentile (z) 2.473 95% USL 2.745 DU2 is not a recommended method. DU2 provided for comparisons and historical reasons Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.148 d2max (for USL) 2.824 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only General Statistics 0.402 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 5% A -D Critical Value Total Number of Observations 36 Number of Missing Observations 36 Number of Distinct Observations 35 Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only k hat (MLE) Number of Detects 34 Number of Non -Detects 2 Number of Distinct Detects 33 Number of Distinct Non -Detects 2 Minimum Detect 0.381 Minimum Non -Detect 0.3 Maximum Detect 12.7 Maximum Non -Detect 1 Variance Detected 9.698 Percent Non -Detects 5.556% Mean Detected 3.214 SD Detected 3.114 Mean of Detected Logged Data 0.744 SD of Detected Logged Data 0.963 Critical Values for Background Threshold Values (BTVs) Tolerance Factor K (For UTL) 2.148 d2max (for USL) 2.824 Gamma GOF Tests on Detected Observations Only A -D Test Statistic 0.402 Anderson -Darling GOF Test 5% A -D Critical Value 0.769 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level K -S Test Statistic 0.115 Kolmogrov-Smirnoff GOF 5% K -S Critical Value 0.154 Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Detected data appear Gamma Distributed at 5% Significance Level Gamma Statistics on Detected Data Only k hat (MLE) 1.323 k star (bias corrected MLE) 1.226 Theta hat (MLE) 2.43 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 2.622 nu hat (MLE) 89.94 nu star (bias corrected) 83.34 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 3.214 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 2.903 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 6.839 Gamma ROS Statistics using Imputed Non -Detects GROS may not be used when data set has > 50% NDs with many tied observations at multiple DLs GROS may not be used when kstar of detected data is small such as < 0.1 For such situations, GROS method tends to yield inflated values of UCLs and BTVs For gamma distributed detected data, BTVs and UCLs may be computed using gamma distribution on KM estimates Minimum 0.01 Mean 3.036 Maximum 12.7 Median 1.775 SD 3.114 CV 1.026 k hat (MLE) 0.883 k star (bias corrected MLE) 0.828 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016 Attachment F-3: Mayo Facility Background Monitoring Well Data BTVs Statistics Page 6 of 6 Theta hat (MLE) 3.438 Theta star (bias corrected MLE) 3.667 nu hat (MLE) 63.58 nu star (bias corrected) 59.61 MLE Mean (bias corrected) 3.036 MLE Sd (bias corrected) 3.336 95% Percentile of Chisquare (2k) 5.306 90% Percentile 7.321 95% Percentile 9.727 99% Percentile 15.39 The following statistics are computed using Gamma ROS Statistics on Imputed Data Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 12.91 14.77 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 9.673 10.58 95% Gamma USL 19.25 23.56 The following statistics are computed using gamma distribution and KM estimates Upper Limits using Wilson Hilferty (WH) and Hawkins Wixley (HW) Methods k hat (KM) 1.005 nu hat (KM) 72.37 WH HW WH HW 95% Approx. Gamma UTL with 95% Coverage 11.4 12.1 95% Approx. Gamma UPL 8.749 9.023 95% Gamma USL 16.5 18.36 Haley & Aldrich, Inc. BTV after removing outliers test stats_Facility.xlsx 4/9/2016