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HomeMy WebLinkAbout5 MSS CAP Part 2_Appx B_FINALAppendix B This page intentionally left blank ELECTRIC 01=2'1 I RESEARCH INSTITUTE Memorandum March 2, 2016 TO: Ed Sullivan and Tyler Hardin, Duke Energy FROM: Bruce Hensel, EPRI SUBJECT: MARSHALL MODEL REVIEW Summary EPRI has reviewed the revised Marshal model report and files provided by Duke Energy, HDR Engineering, and the University of North Carolina -Charlotte. The review was performed by Tim Dale (Intera), with input by Chunmiao Zheng and myself. Based on this review, it is our opinion that, subject to the caveats below, this model is set-up and meets its flow and transport calibration objectives sufficiently to meet its final objective of predicting effects of corrective action alternatives on groundwater quality. The caveat associated with this opinion is: • The use of constant concentration boundaries beneath the dry ash landfill, rather than placing these cells within these facilities, results in greater mass addition to the model than if modeled using recharge, because lateral flow through these boundaries also adds concentration to the model. This simulation approach was necessary because the facilities are above the water table. However, it is conservative because it results in greater concentration/mass addition to the model than suggested by the site conceptual model. Specific Comments Model Report, Setup, and Calibration a) Is the objective/purpose of modeling clearly defined? Yes. The objective and purpose of the modeling is clearly defined in Section 1.2 as consisting of three main activities: development of a calibrated steady-state flow model of current conditions, development of a historical transient model of constituent transport calibrated to current conditions, and predictive simulations of a cap in-place scenario. The predictive simulation was not considered as part of this review. b) Is the site description adequate? Yes. Section 2 of the model report provides a description of the site that is adequate for evaluating the model for both flow and transport purposes. c) Is the conceptual model well described with appropriate assumptions? Yes. The conceptual model section contains subsections discussing hydrogeology, the source areas, the groundwater flow system, hydrologic boundaries, hydraulic boundaries, Marshall Model Review March 2, 2016 Page 2 sources and sinks, a limited discussion of water balance, modeled constituents of interest, and constituent transport. The CSA report is referenced in describing aquifer properties. d) Is the numerical model properly set up (steady state or transient; initial condition; boundary conditions; parameterization; etc)? i) Appropriateness of the simulator The use of MODFLOW-NWT and MT3DMS to simulate groundwater flow and contaminant transport, respectively, are both appropriate for the modeling objectives and represent an industry standard in choice of simulators. However, MODFLOW-NWT has a limitation in that it does not enable use of recharge concentrations with MT3DMS. As discussed later, this effects the model simulation for some sources. ii) Discretization: temporal and spatial (x -y notably z) The 40 x 40 foot spatial discretization for this model is adequate to delineate differences in simulated heads and concentrations for all reasonable calibration and predictive purposes. For transport simulations, the Courant Number and the Grid Peclet Number can be used to determine whether discretization is numerically appropriate for a given model. In this model, transport time steps are automatically calculated by the simulator based on a specified Courant Number constraint of 1. This ensures that temporal discretization is appropriate for the spatial discretization of the model. The Grid Peclet Number (Pe_grid = Al/a) can be used to evaluate whether numerical dispersion dominates constituent transport based on spatial discretization and physical dispersion. Grid Peclet numbers preferably less than 2 and no more than 10 are generally recommended to minimize numerical dispersion. The lateral discretization (Ax = Ay = 40 feet) coupled with the longitudinal dispersivity of 70 feet for all constituents results in Grid Peclet numbers of 0.57, which fits within the criteria. The transverse lateral dispersivity of 7 feet results in Grid Peclet numbers of approximately 5.7, which is also within the criterion. The vertical discretization is more variable than the horizontal discretization. Vertical layer thickness in the primary transport zone in layers 5, 6, and 7 (saprolite and alluvium) varied from less than 1 to 38 feet. Vertical dispersivity (az) is 0.7 feet for all constituents, which results in a grid Peclet number (Pe_grid = Az/av) as high as 54. In layer 8 (transition zone), thickness ranges from less than 1 to 26 feet, resulting in vertical grid Peclet numbers of 2.5 to 12.5, and in layers 9 and 10 (bedrock) layer thickness is uniformly 100 feet and 430 feet, respectively, resulting in a vertical grid Peclet numbers gtreater than 100. These values indicate that numerical dispersion can exert an influence on vertical transport in this model, particularly in the bedrock layers, and may result in deeper transport than would occur by dispersion and flow alone. There may also be some concern that, due to their thickness, any mass transported to layers 9 and 10 will be subject to a large degree of dilution. However, the horizontal hydraulic conductivity of these layers is an order of magnitude or more lower than overlying layers, and the only source or sink boundaries in these layers are four wells, set in layer 9 near the Marshall Model Review March 2, 2016 Page 3 lateral boundaries of the model. A review of flow vectors indicates that the model predicts flow from the boundary toward these wells, which suggests that they are not expected to be affected by constituents added in the source areas. As a result, there is little impetus for mass to migrate to layers 9 and 10—other than via numerical dispersion—and they are not expected to have a significant effect on mass transport. iii) Hydrologic framework –hydraulic properties The hydrostratigraphy and hydraulic property ranges from the CSA report are discussed in adequate detail in Section 2 of the model report. Sorption coefficients used in the transport modeling differed from those presented in the geotechnical report, but were within published ranges. iv) Boundary conditions The upgradient portions of the flow model are laterally bounded by no -flow boundaries based on natural topographic features. In some cases, boundaries are relatively close to source areas. However, the potential impact of these boundaries on flow and transport is minimized by modeling them as no -flow boundaries, rather than constant head boundaries. Downgradient boundaries consist of constant head boundaries representing Lake Norman and the unnamed tributary. Upland streams are represented using drain boundaries, which do not input water to the model. As a result, the primary source of water to the model is recharge from precipitation outside the ash basins, and recharge from infiltration within the ash basins. Recharge rates were initially set based on published documents and adjusted during calibration, which is an accepted modeling practice. Modeled recharge rates were reasonable for the hydrostratigraphy of the area and conceptual model. Modeled recharge within and outside the various source areas was examined. Values were about 33,000 ft3/d for the source areas, compared to 88,000 ft3/d for the entire model domain (i.e., recharge from ash basin infiltration constituted approximately 38% of the water input to the model). These results indicate that groundwater flow for most of the model domain is derived from recharge from precipitation, and groundwater flow near the ash basins is appropriately derived from a mixture of recharge from precipitation and infiltration from the ash basins. The transport model used constant concentration boundaries to input mass/concentration from the ash basins. These boundaries were placed in layers 1 through 4 for the active ash pond and PV structural fill, and in layers 5 and 6 for all other source areas. Recharge was not used to add concentration to the model. This selection of transport model boundary conditions has three potential ramifications: • If constant concentrations cells representing a source are dry, then recharge from infiltration through the source at that grid position will enter the model with a concentration of zero, which does not agree with the conceptual model for this facility. This condition was mitigated by vertically stacking constant concentration Marshall Model Review March 2, 2016 Page 4 cells at grid positions representing source areas to assure that they intersected the water table. • For the sources simulated by constant concentration cells in layers 5 and 6, lateral flow can cause addition of mass / concentration to the model that would not occur if the source area was simulated solely using recharge. • The placement of constant concentration cells in layers 5 and 6 will inhibit the model's ability to simulate certain caps, because lateral flow through these constant concentration cells will continue to add mass/concentration to the model even though leaching and infiltration may be greatly reduced by capping. Simulation of a cap with a geomembrane barrier layer remains viable over the long term because these caps are capable of reducing leachate release to negligible volumes, and can be simulated by removing the constant concentration cells. v) Initial conditions in transient simulations The flow model was calibrated to steady state conditions, where initial conditions are not relevant apart from numerical convergence, which was achieved. The transient flow model used for transport modeling was essentially three steady state flow models strung together, where initial conditions were again not relevant. Simulation of the main ash basin begins in 1965, with other sources added over time, which matches the site conceptual model. Outside the source areas, the transient transport model assumes non -zero initial concentrations in 1965; however, concentration is not added via boundary conditions to maintain the initial concentrations. As a result, areas of the model that are not affected by the modeled sources show slowly decreasing "background" concentrations over time as concentration input via the initial condition is conceptually flushed out by added (recharge) water with a specified concentration of zero. The effect of the decreasing background concentrations within model areas affected by the source terms is conceptually dependent on the where the area lies relative to the source terms. Immediately downgradient of the source terms, concentrations are dominated by the source terms, and should not be noticeably affected by the decreasing background concentration. In concept, concentrations near the peripheries of the modeled plume may show concentration decrease over time due to the decrease in simulated background. A review of concentration vs time plots for targets within the boron model showed numerous examples outside the influence of the source term where concentration decreased during the calibration period; however reviewed targets within the influence of the source areas showed little concentration decrease prior to effects of the source, and concentration increases—not decreases—after the source term began to effect modeled concentration at those points in the model. vi) Convergence criteria and mass balance errors The head tolerance in the NWT packages of le -4 is more than adequate in ensuring head precision for the purposes of the model. The flow model mass balance discrepancy reported in the output file of 0.00 percent is more than adequate in ensuring minimal flow mass balance errors. The concentration mass balance discrepancy for MT3DMS was lower than Marshall Model Review March 2, 2016 Page 5 0.1 percent for all constituents except thallium, which indicates negligible mass -balance error. For thallium, the mass balance discrepancy was -1.7%. All of the cumulative mass balance errors are adequate in ensuring minimal constituent mass balance errors by the end of the historical simulation. e) Is the calibration done properly and adequately? For flow calibration to heads, the Normalized Root Mean Square of the Error is 5.5% percent, which is below the industry standard of 10 percent (i.e., below 10 percent is acceptable). The plot of simulated vs. observed heads shows both positive and negative residuals with very little bias in the residuals. Comparison of simulated and observed concentrations for each of the COIs is discussed by constituent. The transport calibration was primarily evaluated based on its ability to simulate high concentrations where measured concentrations are significantly above background. This comparison was performed using targets outside of source areas. Antimony: The model yielded near -background concentrations (< 3 ug/L) at the two targets with observed antimony concentrations greater than 6 ug/L. Arsenic: One of two values with observed concentration higher than 10 ug/L had a concentration higher than 10 ug/L in the calibration results, while one well with an observed concentration of less than 1 ug/L had a modeled concentration of 12 ug/L. Barium: The model only yielded one concentration outside the source areas with concentration higher than background (-160 ug/L). This result was comparable to observed (325 ug/L modeled vs 450 ug/L observed). The model did not predict concentrations appreciably higher than background for three other targets with observed concentrations between 400 and 700 ug/L. Beryllium: There was only target outside them source areas with an observed concentration higher than the modeled background value of 1.0, although it was only 1.3 ug/L. Boron: There were 39 targets with concentrations above background value of 100 ug/L and all of these were simulated with concentrations above background. For the 45 targets below background concentrations, 23 were simulated with concentrations higher than background. Chloride: The model adequately reproduced chloride concentrations lower than 100 mg/L. Concentrations higher than 100 mg/L were achieved at 1 of 5 targets with observed concentrations above 100 mg/L. Chromium: There were only two targets outside the source area with observed chromium concentrations greater than 20 ug/L, and the model predicted concentrations lower than 20 ug/L for both of these points. Cobalt: Five targets had observed cobalt concentrations greater than 10 ug/L, and the model yielded near background (simulated at 2.5 ug/L) concentrations at all five of these targets. Hexavalent Chromium: With one exception, observed concentrations for hexavalent chromium concentration were lower than modeled background. The model yielded a near simulated background result (2.3 ug/L) at this monitoring point. Marshall Model Review March 2, 2016 Page 6 Selenium: There were four targets with observed selenium concentrations higher than the simulated background value of 10 ug/L. The model did not yield concentrations higher than 10 ug/L at any targets outside the source areas. Sulfate: There were 74 targets with concentrations above background value of 1460 ug/L and 63 of these were simulated with concentrations above background. For the 11 targets below background concentrations, 10 were simulated with concentrations lower than background. Thallium: There are no modeled or observed thallium concentrations outside the source areas greater than the simulated background concentration of 0.5 ug/L. Vanadium: The model yielded vanadium concentrations at simulated background levels (2.5 ug/L) for at all eight targets where observed concentrations were greater than 10 ug/L. In summary, the transport calibration varies among the thirteen COIs. Boron and sulfate can be considered to have a good fit between measured and simulated, as low/high concentration trends are generally similar between the measured and simulated values. The other COIs had few targets with concentration higher than background that could be used for calibration In general, it is difficult to achieve strong concentration match for large numbers of modeled constituents, particularly if some are affected by geochemical reactions that are not simulated by MT3DMS. However, the constituents with good concentration match (boron and sulfate) will enable use of the model for its stated objective. i) Property/boundary condition correlation —parameter bounds The flow model was calibrated by adjusting recharge and hydraulic conductivity, an accepted modeling practice. The transport model was calibrated by adjusting source concentrations and the areas in which these concentrations occurred, effective porosity, and the distribution coefficient. The source concentration variations reflect the variable nature of the sources at the site, and the other adjustments are accepted modeling practice. ii) Discretization of calibration parameters Hydraulic conductivity varies by hydrostratigraphic unit, and model layers are used to differentiate between hydrostratigraphic units. Within a given layer, calibrated hydraulic properties are either uniform or based on zones of piece -wise constancy, depending on the properties of each hydrostratigraphic unit and calibration needs of the model. Fractured bedrock was modeled as an equivalent porous medium with very low effective porosity to represent the effect of fractures on transport. These are all accepted modeling practices. Dispersivity (longitudinal, transverse, and vertical) was simulated using a single value for the entire model domain. Effective porosity was varied by hydrostratigraphic unit, with low values for fractured media, which is standard modeling practice. Is the sensitivity analysis conducted and if so, correctly? i) Sensitivity Analysis approach (look for parameters which maybe insensitive to flow but not to transport) Sensitivity testing for the flow model varied horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity in key transport zones, and recharge by 20 percent. This is a reasonable approach for testing Marshall Model Review March 2, 2016 Page 7 flow model sensitivity. The transport model sensitivity analysis was not repeated for this version of the model. We recommend performing the sensitivity analysis for the revised model. Model Files: a) Can the model be run with the input files provided by the developer? Yes. b) Do the model results match those presented in the report? i) Independent check of input data vs. conceptual model/report Some discrepancies were noted between draft documentation and model inputs. These discrepancies do not adversely affect the ability of the model to meet its objectives, and we understand that the documentation will be revised to address the discrepancies. ii) Check of water balance vs. conceptual model All water input to the model is via recharge, and as previously noted the majority of water input to the model is by recharge outside the boundary of the ash pond. Outflows are largely to the (69%) to interior drain cells representing streams, with most of the remainder to the constant head cells representing Lake Norman and the unnamed tributary (31%), and less than 1% to wells. This indicates a model domain that largely reflects the natural flow system, and that is not overly dominated by lateral boundary effects or infiltration from the ash ponds. iii) Independent check of model results vs. those reported Independently generated model results are consistent with what is described in the report. This page intentionally left blank Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Catawba County, NC Investigators: F)l HDR Engineering, Inc. 440 S. Church St, Suite 1000 Charlotte, NC 28202 Contributors: UNC, CHARiMTE William G. Langley, Ph.D., P.E. Dongwook Kim, Ph.D. UNC Charlotte / Lee College of Engineering Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering EPIC Building 3252 9201 University City Blvd. Charlotte, NC 28223 Revised March 1, 2016 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction............................................................................................................................1 1.1 General Setting and Background...................................................................................1 1.2 Third Party Review.........................................................................................................2 2 Conceptual Model..................................................................................................................2 2.1 Geology and Hydrogeology............................................................................................2 2.2 Hydrostratigraphic Layer Development..........................................................................3 2.3 Ash Management Areas.................................................................................................4 2.3.1 Ash Basin................................................................................................................5 2.3.2 Dry Ash Landfill.......................................................................................................5 2.3.3 FGD Landfill............................................................................................................6 2.3.4 Industrial Landfill No. 1............................................................................................6 2.3.5 Demolition Landfill...................................................................................................6 2.3.6 Asbestos Landfill.....................................................................................................6 2.3.7 Photovoltaic Farm Structural Fill.............................................................................7 2.4 Groundwater Flow System.............................................................................................7 2.5 Hydrologic Boundaries...................................................................................................7 2.6 Hydraulic Boundaries.....................................................................................................7 2.7 Sources and Sinks..........................................................................................................8 2.8 Water Balance................................................................................................................8 2.9 Modeled Constituents of Interest....................................................................................8 2.10 COI Transport.................................................................................................................9 3 Computer Model..................................................................................................................10 3.1 Model Selection............................................................................................................10 3.2 Model Description.........................................................................................................10 4 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Construction........................................................10 4.1 Model Hydrostratigraphy..............................................................................................11 4.2 Groundwater Vistas Version 6......................................................................................12 4.3 Model Domain and Grid................................................................................................12 4.4 Hydraulic Parameters...................................................................................................13 4.5 Flow Model Boundary Conditions.................................................................................13 4.6 Flow Model Sources and Sinks....................................................................................14 4.7 Flow Model Calibration Targets....................................................................................14 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 4.8 Transport Model Parameters........................................................................................14 4.9 Transport Model Boundary Conditions.........................................................................16 4.10 Transport Model Sources and Sinks............................................................................16 4.11 Transport Model Calibration Targets............................................................................16 5 Model Calibration to Current Conditions..............................................................................16 5.1 Flow Model Residual Analysis......................................................................................16 5.2 Flow Model Sensitivity Analysis....................................................................................17 5.3 Transport Model Calibration and Sensitivity.................................................................18 5.4 Advective Travel Times................................................................................................19 5.5 One Year's Advective Travel Time from Residential Pumping Wells ...........................19 6 Simulations of Closure Scenarios........................................................................................19 6.1 Existing Conditions Scenario........................................................................................19 6.2 Cap -In -Place Scenario.................................................................................................20 7 Closure Scenario Results....................................................................................................20 7.1 Antimony.......................................................................................................................21 7.2 Arsenic..........................................................................................................................21 7.3 Barium..........................................................................................................................21 7.4 Beryllium.......................................................................................................................22 7.5 Boron............................................................................................................................22 7.6 Chloride........................................................................................................................22 7.7 Chromium.....................................................................................................................23 7.8 Cobalt...........................................................................................................................23 7.9 Hexavalent Chromium..................................................................................................23 7.10 Selenium.......................................................................................................................24 7.11 Sulfate..........................................................................................................................24 7.12 Thallium........................................................................................................................25 7.13 Vanadium.....................................................................................................................25 8 Summary .............................................................................................................................25 8.1 Model Assumptions and Limitations.............................................................................25 8.2 Model Predictions.........................................................................................................26 9 References..........................................................................................................................28 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin TABLES No table of figures entries found. FIGURES Figure 1 Conceptual Groundwater Flow Model/Model Domain Figure 2 Model Domain North-South Cross section A -A' through Inactive and Active Ash Basins Figure 3 Model Domain East-West Cross section B -B' through the Active Ash Basin Figure 4 Flow Model Boundary Conditions Figure 5 Model Layers 2-4 Recharge Areas and Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells) Figure 6 Model Layers 5-7 Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells) Figure 7 Observation Wells in Shallow Groundwater Flow Layer Figure 8 Observation Wells in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 9 Observation Wells in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 10 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in S Model Layers (Model Layers 2-4) Figure 11 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in M1/M2 Model Layers (Model Layers 5-7) Figure 12 Modeled Hydraulic Head vs. Observed Hydraulic Head Figure 13 Hydraulic Potentiometric Head in Shallow Groundwater Zone (Model Layer 6) Figure 14 Forward Particle Tracking Results Figure 15 One -Year Reverse Particle Tracking from Residential Wells Figure 16 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 17 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 18 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 19 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 20 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 21 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 22 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 23 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 24 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 25 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 26 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 27 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 28 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Figure 29 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 30 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 31 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 32 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 33 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 34 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 35 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 36 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone iv Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 37 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 38 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 39 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 40 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 41 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 42 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 43 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 44 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 45 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 46 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 47 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 48 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 49 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 50 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 51 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 52 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 53 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 54 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 55 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 56 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 57 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 58 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 59 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 60 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 61 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 62 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 63 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 64 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 65 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 66 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 67 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 68 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well AB -11S Figure 69 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 70 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 71 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 72 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 73 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 74 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 75 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 76 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 77 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 78 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 79 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 80 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 81 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 82 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 83 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 84 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 85 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 86 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 87 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 88 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 89 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 90 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 91 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 92 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 93 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 94 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 95 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 96 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 97 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 98 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 99 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 100 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 101 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 102 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 103 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 104 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone vi Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 105 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 106 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 107 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 108 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 109 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 110 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 111 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 112 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 113 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 114 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 115 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 116 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 117 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 118 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 119 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 120 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -IIS Figure 121 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 122 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 123 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well MW -6S3 Figure 124 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 125 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 126 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 127 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 128 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 129 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 130 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 131 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 132 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 133 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 134 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 135 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 136 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 137 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 138 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 139 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 140 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone vii Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 141 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 142 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 143 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 144 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 145 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 146 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 147 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 148 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 149 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 150 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 151 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 152 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 153 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 154 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 155 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 156 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 157 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 158 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 159 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 160 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 161 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 162 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 163 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 164 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 165 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 166 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 167 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 168 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 169 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 170 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 171 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 172 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 173 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 174 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S viii Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 175 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 176 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 177 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 178 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 179 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 180 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 181 Existing Conditionsc Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 182 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 183 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 184 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone ACRONYMS 2L North Carolina surface water standards as specified in T15 NCAC 02B .0211 and .0216 (amended effective January 2015) 3-D Three-dimensional CAP Corrective Action Plan CCR coal combustion residuals COI constituent of interest CSA comprehensive site assessment BR bedrock wells D deep wells NCDHHS North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services EPRI Electric Power Research Institute FGD flue gas desulfurization HSL health screening level IMAC interim maximum allowable concentration MW megawatt MSS Marshall Steam Station NRMSE normalized root mean square error PPBC provisional background concentration RMS root mean squared S shallow wells ix Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin INTRODUCTION The purpose of this study is to predict the groundwater flow and constituent transport that may occur as a result of different possible closure actions at the site. The study consists of three main activities: development of a calibrated steady-state flow model of site conditions observed in June 2015, development of a historical transient model for constituent transport calibrated to current conditions, and predictive simulations of the closure scenrios. 1.1 General Setting and Background Duke Energy owns and operates the Marshall Steam Station (MSS), located on a 1,446 -acre tract adjacent to Lake Norman in Catawba County near the town of Terrell, North Carolina. MSS began operation in 1965 as a coal-fired generating station and currently operates four coal-fired units. The first two units (Units 1 and 2) began operation in 1965 and 1966, generating 350 MW each. The remaining units (Units 3 and 4) began operation in 1969 and 1970, generating 648 MW each. Improvements to the plant since 1970 have increased the electric generating capacity to 2,090 MW. The coal combustion residuals (CCR) from the coal combustion process at MSS have historically been stored in the station's ash basin located to the north of the station and adjacent to Lake Norman. The ash basin at MSS consists of a single cell impounded by an earthen dike located on the southeast end of the ash basin. The ash basin was constructed in 1965 and is located north of the power plant. Inflows from the station to the ash basin are discharged into the southwest portion of the ash basin as shown on CSA Report Figures 2-1 through 2-4' (HDR 2015a). The ash basin is situated between the MSS station to the south, a topographic divide located along Sherrills Ford Road to the west, Island Point Road to the north, and Duke Energy property to the east. Natural topography at the site generally slopes downward from these divides to the ash basin and toward Lake Norman (CSA Report Figure 2-2). The ash basin is described further in Section 2.3 below. A 1954 USGS topographic map depicting the site prior to construction of the ash basin is shown on CSA Report Figure 2-3. The air pollution control system for the coal-fired units at MSS includes a flue gas desulfurization (FGD) system that was placed into operation in 2007. Coal is delivered to the station by a railroad line. Other areas of the site are occupied by facilities supporting the production or transmission of power (one switchyard and associated transmission lines), the FGD wastewater treatment system, and the gypsum handling station (associated with the FGD system). (See CSA Report Figure 2-4). Based on the CSA site investigation, the groundwater system in the natural materials (alluvium, soil, soil/saprolite, and fractured bedrock) at MSS is consistent with the regolith -fractured rock system and is an unconfined, connected system of flow layers (CSA Report Figure 5-5). The 1 Please refer to the Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin, September 2015 (HDR 2015a) for more information and referenced CSA Report figures and tables. Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin MSS groundwater system is divided into three layers referred to in the CSA as the shallow, deep (or transition zone), and bedrock flow layers to distinguish the flow layers within the connected aquifer system. In general, groundwater within the shallow, deep and bedrock layers flows from northwest and north to the southeast toward Lake Norman. 1.2 Third Party Review The calibrated flow and transport model third -party peer review team was coordinated by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and included Dr. Chunmiao Zheng from the University of Alabama, James Rumbaugh from Environmental Simulations, Inc, and experienced modelers from Intera, Inc. The reviewers were provided with the conceptual site model, the MSS Comprehensive Site Assessment (CSA) Report (HDR 2015a), a draft model report, and digital model input and output files, allowing them to reconstruct the model for independent review. During the course of the review, the reviewers communicated with the modelers in order to better understand how the model was developed and calibrated. As a result of these communications, the model was modified and recalibrated, which allowed the reviewers to conclude that the model was constructed and calibrated sufficiently to achieve its primary objective of comparing the effects of closure alternatives on nearby groundwater quality. In addition, the reviewers identified limitations with the model, which are included in the discussion of model limitations later in this documentation. After EPRI acceptance of the initial MSS groundwater model, the model was refined to incorporate post -CSA data. These changes did not change the model structure or boundaries and did not deviate from EPRI guidelines. An independent review of the refined MSS model was conducted by EPRI and found that the model was sufficient to meet the objecties of predicting effects of corrective action alternatives on groundwater quality. 2 CONCEPTUAL MODEL The site conceptual model for MSS is primarily based on the CSA Report. The CSA Report contains extensive detail and data related to most aspects of the site conceptual model that are used in this study. 2.1 Geology and Hydrogeology The MSS site is located within the Charlotte terrane, one of a number of tectonostratigraphic terranes that have been defined in the southern and central Appalachians and is in the western portion of the larger Carolina superterrane (CSA Report Figure 5-1). The Charlotte terrane is dominated by a complex sequence of plutonic rocks that intrude a suite of metaigneous rocks. A geologic map of the area around MSS is shown in CSA Report Figure 5-2. The fractured bedrock is overlain by a mantle of unconsolidated material known as regolith. The regolith includes residual soil and saprolite zones and where present, alluvial deposits. Saprolite, the product of chemical weathering of the underlying bedrock, is typically composed of clay and coarser granular material and reflects the texture and structure of the rock from which it was formed. The weathering products of granitic rocks are quartz -rich and sandy Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin textured. Rocks poor in quartz and rich in feldspar and ferro-magnesium minerals form a more clayey saprolite. The groundwater system in the Piedmont province, in most cases, is comprised of two interconnected layers, or mediums: 1) residual soil/saprolite and weathered fractured rock (regolith) overlying 2) fractured crystalline bedrock. The regolith layer is a thoroughly weathered and structureless residual soil that occurs near the ground surface with the degree of weathering decreasing with depth. The residual soil grades into saprolite, a coarser grained material that retains the structure of the parent bedrock. Beneath the saprolite, partially weathered/fractured bedrock occurs with depth until sound bedrock is encountered. This layer serves as the principal storage reservoir and provides an intergranular medium through which the recharge and discharge of water from the underlying fractured rock occurs. Within the fractured crystalline bedrock layer, the fractures control both the hydraulic conductivity and storage capacity of the rock mass. A transition zone at the base of the regolith has been interpreted to be present in many areas of the Piedmont. It is described as consisting of partially weathered/fractured bedrock and lesser amounts of saprolite that grades into bedrock and is considered to be the most permeable part of the system (HDR 2015a). 2.2 Hydrostratigraphic Layer Development Soil conditions encountered in the borings showed minimal variation across the site. Residual soil consists of clayey sand, silty sand, silty sand with gravel, micaceous silty sand, and gravel with silt and sand. The following materials were encountered during the CSA and are consistent with material descriptions from previous site exploration studies. Ash — Ash was encountered in borings advanced within the ash basin and ash storage areas, as well as through dikes. Ash was generally described as gray to dark gray, non -plastic, loose to medium dense, dry to wet, fine to coarse-grained. Fill — Fill material generally consisted of reworked silts, clays, and sands that were borrowed from one area of the site and redistributed to other areas. Fill was generally classified as silty sand, clay with sand, clay, and sandy clay on the boring logs. Fill was used in the construction of dikes, and as cover for ash storage areas. Alluvium —Alluvium encountered in borings during the project was classified as clay and sand with clay. In some cases alluvium was logged beneath ash. Residuum (Residual soils) — Residuum is the in-place weathered soil that consists primarily of silt with sand, clayey sand, sandy clay, clay with gravel, and clayey silts. Residuum varied in thickness and was relatively thin compared to the thickness of saprolite. Saprolite/Weathered Rock — Saprolite is soil developed by in-place weathering of rock that retains remnant bedrock structure. Saprolite consists primarily of medium dense to very dense silty sand, sandy silt, sand, sand with gravel, sand with clay, clay with sand, and clay. Sand particle size ranges from fine to coarse grained. Much of the saprolite is micaceous. Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Partially Weathered/Fractured Rock — Partially weathered (slight to moderate) and/or highly fractured rock encountered below auger refusal. Bedrock — Sound rock in boreholes, was generally slightly weathered to fresh and relatively unfractured. Based on the CSA, the groundwater system is consistent with the regolith -fractured bedrock system. To define the hydrostratigraphic units the following classification system was used and is based on standard penetration testing (N) values, Recovery (REC), and Rock Quality Designation (RQD) collected during the drilling and logging of boreholes. The material designations shown below (M1, M2, TZ, and BR) are used on the geologic cross- sections with transect locations in the CSA Report Figure 8-2. The ash, fill and alluvial layers are represented by A, F, and S, respectively, on cross sections and in tables in the CSA Report. The ranges of hydrostratigraphic layer properties measured at MSS are provided in CSA Report Tables 11-7 through 11-11. To further define the hydrostratigraphic units, the following classification system was used based on standard penetration testing values, recovery (REC), and rock quality designation (RQD) collected during drilling and logging of boreholes. The ash, fill, and alluvial layers are as encountered at the site. The natural system (except alluvium) includes the following layers: M1 — Soil/Saprolite: M2 — Saprolite/Weathered Rock: TZ — Transition Zone: BR — Bedrock: N<50 N>50 or REC<50% REC>50% and RQD<50% REC>85% and RQD>50%. Rock core runs that fell between the values for TZ and BR (REC<85% and RQD>50% or REC>85% and RQD<50%) were assigned a hydrostratigraphic layer based on a review of the borehole logs, rock core photographs, and geologic judgment. The same review was performed to determine the thickness of the transition zone just in case it extended into the next core run, which when reviewed alone might have met the bedrock criterion, because of potential core loss or fractured/jointed rock with indications of water movement (iron/manganese staining). 2.3 Ash Management Areas Historical and current information about the MSS ash basin system compiled by HDR was used to develop a conceptual understanding that was developed into numerical groundwater flow models. Refer to CSA Report Figures 2-2 and 2-4 for locations of the ash basin system components described below. Coal ash residue from the coal combustion process has historically been disposed in the MSS ash basin. Fly ash from the electrostatic precipitators was collected in hoppers. Bottom ash and boiler slag was collected in the bottom of the boilers. After collection, both fly ash and bottom ash/boiler slag were sluiced to the ash basin using conveyance water withdrawn from Lake Norman. Refer to CSA Report Figure 2-4 for a depiction of these features. During operation of the coal-fired units, the sluice lines discharged the water/slurry and other flows to the southwest 4 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin portion of the ash basin. Inflows to the ash basin are highly variable due to variability in station operations and weather. The ash basin at MSS consists of a single cell impounded by an earthen dike located on the southeast end of the ash basin. The ash basin is located north of the power plant. Inflows from the station to the ash basin are discharged into the southwest portion of the ash basin. Discharge from the ash basin is through a concrete discharge tower located in the eastern portion of the ash basin. The concrete discharge tower drains through a 30 -inch -diameter slip - lined corrugated metal pipe, which discharges into Lake Norman. The ash basin pond elevation is controlled by the use of concrete stoplogs in the discharge tower. The following sections provide additional details of the MSS ash basin, ash storage areas, and other waste management units. 2.3.1 Ash Basin The initial MSS ash basin was constructed in 1965 by building an earthen dike at the confluence where Holdsclaw Creek historically entered the Catawba River. The earthen dike was constructed to impound water and ash was sluiced to the basin. In general, the ash basin is located in a historical depression formed from Holdsclaw Creek and small tributaries that fed the creek. The basin has a dendritic shape consisting of coves of deposited ash, dikes that impound ash in portions of the basin, and four main areas of ponded water. The area contained within the ash basin waste boundary is approximately 394 acres All coal ash from MSS operations was disposed of in the ash basin from approximately 1965 until 1984. Fly ash precipitated from flue gas and bottom ash collected in the bottom of the boilers were sluiced to the ash basin using conveyance water withdrawn from Lake Norman. Since 1984, fly ash has mainly been disposed of in the on-site dry ash landfills (described below) and bottom ash has continued to be sluiced to the ash basin. While FGD residue is not placed in the ash basin, contact stormwater and leachate from the FGD landfill, along with FGD wastewater treatment system effluent, are routed to the ash basin. The FGD residue produced by the air treatment system at MSS is primarily gypsum (CaSO4.2H2O) and is sold for re -use or disposed of in one of the on-site landfills. Bottom ash is sluiced to concrete pits where the water is allowed to decant and then flow to the ash basin via a discharge canal. Bottom ash is then excavated from the pit and discharge canal that flows to the ash basin, and sold for off-site beneficial reuse or used for roads at the ash basin facility. During operations, the sluice water/ash slurry (and other flows) is discharged into the southwest portion of the ash basin. 2.3.2 Dry Ash Landfill Two unlined ash landfill units, referred to as the Phase I and Phase II dry ash landfill, are located adjacent to the east and northeast portions of the ash basin, respectively. Phase I contains approximately 280,000 tons of fly ash, which was placed from September 1984 to March 1986. Placement of ash in the Phase II area began in approximately March of 1986 and was completed in 1999. Phase II contains approximately 2,515,000 tons of fly ash. The approximate boundaries of Phase I and 11 landfill units are shown on CSA Report Figures 2-2 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin and 2-7. These units were constructed prior to the requirement for lining industrial landfills and were closed with a soil cover system. 2.3.3 FGD Landfill The FGD landfill (NCDEQ2 Division of Solid Waste Permit No. 1809 -INDUS) is located to the west of the ash basin. In general, the topography of this landfill site slopes from the west- northwest to the east-southeast towards the ash basin. The landfill ceased operation and was temporarily closed in October 2015. The landfill is permitted to receive the following types of waste generated at Duke Energy Corporation facilities: FGD residue (gypsum), clarifier sludge, fly ash, bottom ash, construction and demolition waste, asbestos waste, mill rejects (pyrites), waste limestone material, land clearing and inert debris, boiler slag, ball mill rejects, sand blast material, and coal waste. The landfill is constructed with an engineered liner system. Contact stormwater and leachate are collected and piped or discharged to the ash basin. 2.3.4 Industrial Landfill No. 1 The Industrial Landfill No. 1 (NCDEQ Permit No. 1812 -INDUS) is located adjacent to the north portion of the ash basin. The landfill was constructed with a leachate collection and removal system and a three -component liner system consisting of a primary geomembrane, secondary geomembrane (with a leak detection system between them), and soil liner. The landfill is permitted to receive the following types of waste generated at Duke Energy Corporation facilities: fly ash, bottom ash, FGD residue, FGD clarifier sludge, asbestos material, land clearing and inert debris, coal mill rejects, waste limestone material, boiler slag, construction and demolition waste, sand blast material, ball mill rejects, coal waste, and pyrites. The landfill was constructed over portions of residual material and over portions of the ash basin. The subgrade for portions of this landfill were constructed of fly ash under the structural fill rules found in 15A NCAC 138.1700 et seq. Contact stormwater and leachate are collected and piped to the ash basin. 2.3.5 Demolition Landfill The demolition landfill (NCDEQ Permit No. 1804 -INDUS) is located adjacent to the north portion of the ash basin directly north of the dry ash landfill (Phase II). The landfill received construction and demolition waste from MSS starting in September 1984 and was closed with a soil cap in 2008. 2.3.6 Asbestos Landfill The asbestos landfill (NCDEQ Permit No. 1804 -INDUS) is located adjacent to the north portion of the ash basin and adjacent to the demolition landfill. This landfill received asbestos waste from MSS and other Duke Energy facilities starting in December 1987. The landfill was closed with a soil cap in 2008. 2 Prior to September 18, 2015, the NCDEQ was referred to as the North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources (NCDENR). Both naming conventions are used in this report, as appropriate. M Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 2.3.7 Photovoltaic Farm Structural Fill The photovoltaic farm structural fill (PV structural fill) was constructed of fly ash under the structural fill rules found in 15A NCAC 13B.1700 et seq. and is located adjacent to and partially on top of the northwest portion of the ash basin. The PV structural fill is used for renewable energy production and contains a solar panel field on the south portion of the structural fill unit. Placement of dry ash in the structural fill began in October 2000. The structural fill was completed and closed in February 2013. 2.4 Groundwater Flow System Groundwater is recharged by infiltration where the ground surface is permeable, including the dike and ash of the ash basin system where exposed at the ground surface. After infiltrating the ground surface, water in the unsaturated zone percolates downward to the unconfined water table, except where ponded water conditions exist on portions on the ash basin. From the water table, groundwater moves downward and then laterally through unconsolidated material (residual soil/saprolite) into the weathered, fractured rock, then into fractured bedrock. Groundwater discharges where drains intersect the water table and where hydrostatigraphic layers outcrop at the unnamed stream and Lake Norman to the southeast. Mean annual recharge in the Piedmont ranges from 4.0 to 9.7 inches per year (Daniel 2001).However, given that it has not been measured or estimated in the CSA or other studies of the site, recharge to the ash basin system was estimated by considering it as a calibration parameter in the groundwater flow model. Based on the site investigation, the groundwater system in the natural materials (alluvium, soil, soil/saprolite, and bedrock) at MSS is consistent with the regolith -fractured rock system and is an unconfined, connected system of flow layers. The MSS groundwater system is divided into three layers referred to as the shallow, deep , and bedrock flow layers to distinguish the flow layers within the connected aquifer system. In general, groundwater within the shallow and deep layers (S and D wells) and bedrock layer (BR wells) flows from northwest and north to the southeast toward Lake Norman (CSA Report Figures 6-5 through 6-7). In accordance with the Piedmont Slope Aquifer System (LeGrand 2004), fractured density in bedrock decreases with depth, limiting deep groundwater flow (CSA Report Figure 5-5). 2.5 Hydrologic Boundaries The major discharge location for the groundwater system at MSS, Lake Norman to the southeast (CSA Report Figure 2-4), serves as a hydrologic boundary for the site. Drainage features within small catchments in the upland area of the site act as shallow hydrologic boundaries. In the groundwater flow model, these features are treated as internal water sinks as described in Section 4.5.Hydraulic Boundaries 2.6 Hydraulic Boundaries Hydraulic boundaries at MSS consist of liner systems beneath waste management units described in Section 2.3. These are the FGD landfill and the Industrial Landfill No. 1. In Section Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 4.6, recharge to the groundwater model is adjusted to account for a waste management unit being lined. The groundwater flow system at MSS does not have any other impermeable barriers or boundaries with the exception of bedrock at depth where fracture density, and fracture flow, is minimal. Natural groundwater divides exist along topographic divides, but are a result of local flow conditions as opposed to barriers. 2.7 Sources and Sinks Recharge, including that to the ash basin, is the major source of water for the groundwater system. Most of this water discharges to the hydrologic boundary at Lake Norman and local drains. Recharge that infiltrates the FGD landfill and Industrial Landfill No. 1 is intercepted by the liner system at depth and is diverted to the ash basin. The CSA receptor survey identified four public water supply wells and 83 private water supply wells in use, along with six assumed private water supply wells, located within the 0.5 -mile radius of the ash basin Compliance Boundary. No water supply wells (including irrigation wells and unused or abandoned wells) were identified between the source area and Lake Norman (HDR 2015a). Four private water supply wells are included in the model domain and are pumping at assumed rates of 400 gpd each based on average EPA household usage. The CSA does not consider any effect that these wells may have on groundwater flow at the site, nor does it identify other sources or sinks. The CSA does not suggest that the MSS ash basin is within the capture zone or zone of influence of any extraction well or wells. Furthermore, it states that the groundwater flow direction across the site is away from the direction of the nearest public or private water supply wells. 2.8 Water Balance Over an extended period of time, the rate of water inflow to the modeled area is equal to its rate of water outflow. That is, there is no net change in groundwater storage. Water enters the groundwater system through recharge and ultimately discharges to the Lake Norman. 2.9 Modeled Constituents of Interest As defined in the CSA, constituents are those chemicals or compounds that were identified in the approved groundwater assessment plans for sampling and analysis. If a constituent exceeded its respective regulatory standard or screening level in the medium in which it was found, the constituent was then termed a COI. The CSA found the following COls in ash basin porewater: antimony, arsenic, barium, beryllium, boron, cadmium, chloride, chromium, cobalt, iron, lead, manganese, nickel, selenium, sulfate, thallium, and vanadium. Hexavalent chromium was also included as a modeled COI due to exceedances of its North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (NCDHHS health screening level (HSL) in groundwater downgradient of the ash basin and dry ash landfill (Phase 1). Exclusive of cadmium, lead, and manganese, all of these COls were considered in the 0 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin transport simulations. Iron and manganese are naturally occurring in the groundwater system and require more complex modeling than what is currently being performed. The simulated Cols occur at elevated levels in groundwater near the ash basin (CSA Report Figures 10-75 to 10-98, 10-108 to 10-116, and 10-120 to 10-122). Boron, chloride, and sulfate are considered mobile in groundwater as they do not readily precipitate or adsorb to soils. The other COls adsorb to commonly occurring soil types based upon the linear sorption coefficient (Kd) analysis performed. 2.10 COI Transport COls entered the ash basin system in the dissolved phase and solid phase of the station's wastewater discharge. Some constituents are also present in native soils and groundwater beneath the basin. The accumulation and subsequent release of chemical constituents in the ash basin over time is complex. In the active and inactive ash basin, constituents may incur phase changes via dissolution, precipitation, chemical reactions and adsorption/desorption. Dissolved phase constituents may incur these phase changes as they are transported by advection and dispersion in groundwater flowing downgradient from the inactive/active ash basin areas. In the fate and transport model, chemical constituents enter in the dissolved phase by specifying a steady-state concentration in the ash porewater. Phases changes (dissolution, precipitation, adsorption, and desorption) are collectively taken into account by specifying a linear sorption coefficient (distribution coefficient [Kd]). The accumulation and subsequent release of chemical constituents in the ash basin over time is a complex process. In the conceptual fate and transport model, it was assumed that the entry of constituents into the ash basin is represented by a constant concentration in the saturated zone of the basin, which is flushed by recharge water infiltrating from above. At the ash storage area, leachable constituents enter the dissolved phase during transient infiltration events through the stored ash. Infiltration with constituents in solution moves downward through the stored ash and underlying, unsaturated soils and finally into groundwater at the water table. Dissolved phase constituents may incur phase changes also as they migrate through the stored ash and native soils to the water table. In the conceptual fate and transport model, it was assumed that the entry of constituents into groundwater beneath the ash storage area is represented by a constant concentration at the water table beneath the ash storage area, which is continually flushed by infiltrating recharge from above. The following approach was used for transport modeling: A "physical -type" modeling approach was used, as site-specific geochemical conditions are not understood or characterized at the scale and extent required for inclusion in the model. • The flux of contaminant mass from the ash sources is not quantified, so it is not included in the conceptual site model or represented in the numerical model. As such, a simplified approach was used and the entry of constituents was represented in the model using a constant concentration in the saturated zone of the basin (which is continually flushed by water moving through the porous media). The constant concentration cells cover the M Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin source areas and the concentrations for each of these sources were determined during transport model calibration. • The retardation effects of the COI (e.g., by adsorption onto solid surfaces) were collectively taken into account by specifying a linear soil -water partitioning coefficient (K d). 3 COMPUTER MODEL 3.1 Model Selection The computer code MODFLOW solves the system of equations that quantify the flow of groundwater in three dimensions (3-D). MODFLOW can simulate steady-state and transient flow, as well as confined and water table conditions. Additional components of groundwater can be considered, including: pumping wells, recharge, evapotranspiration, rivers, streams, springs, and lakes. The information assembled in the conceptual site model is translated into its numerical equivalent from which a solution is generated by MODFLOW. 3.2 Model Description The specific MODFLOW package chosen for the study is NWT—a Newton formulation of MODFLOW-2005 that is specifically designed for improving the stability of solutions involving drying and re -wetting under water table conditions (Niswonger et al. 2011). The numerical code selected for the transport model is MT3DMS (Zheng and Wang 1999). MT3DMS is multi - species 3-dimensional mass transport model that can simulate advection, dispersion/diffusion, and chemical reaction of COls in groundwater flow systems, and has a package that provides a link to the MODFLOW codes. The MODFLOW-NWT and MT3DMS input packages used to create the groundwater flow and transport models, and a brief description of their use, are provided in Table 1. 4 GROUNDWATER FLOW AND TRANSPORT MODEL CONSTRUCTION The flow and transport model for the study was developed through a multi -step process. First, a 3-D model of the site hydrostratigraphy was constructed based on historical site construction drawings and field data. Once the model domain was determined, a 3-D steady-state groundwater model based on the hydrostratigraphy and the site conceptual model was produced. Flow parameters, assigned to the numerical grid, were adjusted during the steady- state flow model calibration process. Once the flow model was calibrated, a transient transport simulation for the selected COls was developed, and then calibrated by adjusting transport parameters and revising flow parameters to best match the observed (2015) concentrations and water levels in selected monitoring wells. Three terrain surface models for MSS were created using geographic information systems (GIS) software: 1) current existing surface, 2) pre -construction surface without ash and ash basin dikes, and 3) pre -construction surface with dikes but without ash. An interpolation tool in ArcGIS 10 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 10.3 software was used to generate the terrain surfaces as raster datasets with 20 -foot cells Each surface was created to cover the extent of the groundwater model domain. 4.1 Model Hydrostratigraphy The model hydrostratigraphy was developed using historical site construction drawings and borehole data to construct three-dimensional surfaces representing contacts between hydrostratigraphic units with properties provided in CSA Report Tables 11-8 through 11-12 (HDR 2015a). 1) Existing Ground Surface Topographic and bathymetric elevation contours and spot elevations were produced from surveys conducted in 2014. Since these surveys did not cover the entire model extent, elevation data extracted as spot elevations from the North Carolina Floodplain Mapping Program's 2010 LiDAR elevation data were used for the areas surrounding the surveys. At MSS, simplified elevation contours were digitized along the river channels to depress the surface a small amount below water level. 2) Pre -construction Surface Elevation contours of the original ground surface were digitized in CAD from engineering drawings supplied by Duke Energy. These data were imported into GIS, and georeferenced. These contours were trimmed to the areas underlying ash basins, dams, dikes and ash storage areas. The source data used in the existing surface were then replaced by the original surface data where there was overlap. Elevation data from coal storage areas were removed. The pre - construction surface was then created using the combination of original surface elevations, 2014 survey elevations, and 2010 LiDAR elevations. 3) Pre -construction Surface with Dikes Surface models of the ash basin dams and dikes were constructed from crest elevations as determined from the 2014 survey and slopes on the engineering drawings. Only the sections of the dams and dikes facing the ash basins were modeled in this way. The 2014 survey data were used for dike/dam crests and outwardly facing surfaces. These surfaces were merged with the pre -construction surface. These GIS data sets were exported into formats readable by RockWorks and GMS MODFLOW. 4) 3-D Hydrostratigraphic Grids The natural materials in the CSA boreholes and existing boreholes were assigned a hydrostratigraphic layer using the classification scheme in Section 2,2 and. In the portions of the area to be modeled for which borehole data is not available, dummy boreholes were used to extend the model to the model boundaries. These boreholes were based on the hydrostratigraphic thickness of the existing boreholes and the elevation of the existing boreholes based on the assumption that the hydrostratigraphic layers are a subdued replica of the original topography of the site and geologic judgment. 11 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin The grid of the pre -construction ground surface (described above) was used to constrain the modeling of the natural layers. For gridding the data on a 20 feet x 20 feet grid across the area to be modeled, a hybrid algorithm was used with inverse distance weighted two (2) and triangulation weighted one (1) and declustering, smoothing, and densifying subroutines. The declustering option is used to remove duplicate points and de -cluster clustered points. The option creates a temporary grid with a z -value assigned based on the closet data point to the midpoint of a voxel. The smoothing option averages the z -values in a grid based on a filter size. For this modeling, the z -value is assigned the average of itself and that of the eight nodes immediately surrounding it. One smoothing pass is made. The densify option adds additional points to the xyz input by fitting a Delaunay triangulation network to the data and adding the midpoint of each triangle to the xyz input points. The net result is that the subsequent gridding process uses more control points and tends to constrain algorithms that may become creative in areas of little control. Only one densification pass is made. The completed model grids were exported in spreadsheet format for use in the groundwater flow and transport model. 4.2 Groundwater Vistas Version 6 Groundwater Vistas developed by ESI, Inc. was employed to carryout flow and transport modeling for this analysis phase. MODFLOW and MT3DMS files from the Corrective Action Plan (CAP) Part 1 Report (HDR 2015b) were imported to Vistas for model refinement. Full documentation of Vistas software can be found at http://groundwatermodels.com/Groundwater Vistas.php 4.3 Model Domain and Grid The model domain encompasses the MSS site, including a section of Lake Norman and all site features relevant to the assessment of groundwater associated with the ash basin. The model domain extends beyond the ash basin to hydrologic boundaries such that groundwater flow and COI transport through the area is accurately simulated without introducing artificial boundary effects. The bounding rectangle around the model domain extends 11,000 feet north to south and 12,000 feet east to west and has a grid consisting of 273,557 active cells in ten layers (Figures 1 through 3). The grid spacing is 40 feet by 40 feet. In plan view, the MSS model domain is bounded by the following hydrologic features of the site (Figure 4 and CSA Report Figure 2-4): • the northwestern shore of Lake Norman to the southeast, • an unnamed stream and groundwater divide corresponding to the topographic divide to the east, • the groundwater divide corresponding to the topographic divide to the north along Island Point Road, and • the groundwater divide corresponding to the topographic divide to the west and south along the coal delivery rail line. The domain boundary was developed by manually digitizing the topographic divides using a base map containing 2 -foot Lidar contours. The lower limit of the model domain coincides with 12 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin an assumed maximum depth of water yielding fractures in bedrock. This was estimated to be 530 feet below the base of the transition zone across the site upper limit based on a review of boring logs contained in the CSA. There are a total of 11 model layers divided among the identified hydrostratigraphic units to simulate flow with a vertical flow component. The units are represented by the model layers listed below: • Model layers 1 - 3 • Model layers 2 - 4 • Model layer 5 and 6 • Model layer 7 • Model layer 8 • Model layers 9 - 10 Ash Material Dike and Ash Storage Material M1 Saprolite and Alluvium where present M2 Saprolite TZ Transition Zone Fractured Bedrock In the groundwater flow model, fractured bedrock was simulated as an equivalent porous medium. The materials comprising each layer and typical layer thicknesses are shown in the north -south and east -west cross-sections through the active/inactive ash basin areas on Figure 2 and Figure 3. 4.4 Hydraulic Parameters Horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivities, which are specific for each hydrostratigraphic unit, are the primary determinants of groundwater flow for a given configuration of boundary conditions and sources and sinks, including recharge. Field measurements of these parameters from CSA Report Tables 11-7 through 11-11 provided guidance for their selection during the flow model calibration. The values assigned to the model are shown in Table 2. 4.5 Flow Model Boundary Conditions Boundary conditions for the MSS flow model are one of two types: constant head or drain. No - flow boundaries of the site have no prescribed boundary in the model. The outer boundary of the model domain was selected to coincide with physical hydrologic boundaries at Lake Norman and drainage features, and no flow boundaries at groundwater divides corresponding to topographic divides (flow model boundary conditions are shown on Figure 4). At Lake Norman and the cove below the unnamed stream to the east and southeast, a constant head boundary was applied at layers above fractured bedrock (layers 9 and 10) with bottom elevations below the water surface elevation, which was taken to be 755 feet as indicated on CSA Report Figures 6-5 to 6-7. Drainage features within small catchments in the upland area of the site, the unnamed stream to the east, and other selected low areas act as shallow hydrologic boundaries. Internal drain boundaries were applied at these locations to limit the rise of the modeled water table above ground surface (Figure 4). Drain boundaries were applied with an assumed conductance of 10 feet/day, an assumed bed thickness of one foot, and width equal to the model cell width. 13 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin It is noted that constant head boundary conditions may not be valid for groundwater extraction as a corrective action alternative. In this case, the constant head boundary assumption should be validated by a pump test or other means. 4.6 Flow Model Sources and Sinks Recharge is the main source considered in the model. (Drainage boundaries are described above as flow boundary conditions.) Mean annual recharge in the Piedmont ranges from 4.0 to 9.7 inches per year (Daniel 2001). Recharge applied to the inactive ash basin area of the model and areas outside the inactive ash basin were assigned a value of 6.6 inches per year; the includes dry ash landfill Phase I. Industrial Landfill No. 1 and The FGD residue landfill were constructed with liners, and as a result the model recharge was set to zero. The recharge at the PV structural fill and dry ash landfill Phase 2 are 6.6 and 4.0 inches per year, respectively. Recharge within the active ash basin was calculated using Darcy equations based on the area of the ash basin, the approximate depth of water or saturated ash, and the range of measured hydraulic conductivity values within the ash and fill. The recharge rate applied to the active ash basin area was 12.3 inches per year. The recharge areas in the model are shown on Figure 5. Pumping wells were identified in the CSA. Four residential pumping wells are within the current model domain and have been included as active pumping wells completed within the bedrock layer during calibration and predictive scenarios. Actual pumping rates are unknown, so a constant pumping rate of 400 gpd, which is the average EPA household usage, has been used. 4.7 Flow Model Calibration Targets The steady-state flow model calibration targets were the 72 water level observations made in July 2015. These wells include 33 wells screened in the ash, the dikes, and shallow zone (S/M1/M2), 30 wells in the transition zone, and 9 wells in fractured bedrock. The observation values were assigned by layer as shown in Table 3. The observation wells in shallow (M1/M2), deep (TZ), and bedrock (BR) groundwater zones are shown on Figures 7, 8, and 9. 4.8 Transport Model Parameters The calibrated, steady-state flow model was used to apply flow conditions for the transport model at the ash basin, the dry ash landfill Phases I and II, and the PV structural fill where elevated concentrations of COls were detected during the July 2015 sampling event (CSA Report Figure 2-1 and Tables 4 and 5). Although their approximate dates of operation are known, the sluiced ash loading histories for these locations are not available. In order to calibrate the transport model to existing conditions, constant concentration source zones were applied at the ash (model layer 4) in the active and inactive ash basins starting from the date when the first ash basin was placed in service (i.e., 1965). The relevant input parameters were the constant concentration at the source zone, the linear sorption coefficient (Kd) for sorptive constituents (including all COls, except for sulfate), the effective porosity, and the dispersivity tensor. The conceptual transport model specifies that COls enter the model from the shallow saturated source zones in the inactive/active ash basin.The range of Kd values applied was derived from 14 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin UNCC laboratory measured values and adjusted to achieve calibration in the model. The most appropriate method to calibrate the transport model was to use the lower limit of measured Kd values to produce an acceptable agreement between measured and modeled concentrations. Thus, an effective Kd value results that likely represents the combined result of intermittent activities over the service life of the ash basin. These may include pond dredging, dewatering for dike construction, and ash grading and placement. This approach is expected to produce conservative results, as sorbed constituent mass is released and transported downgradient. The Kd values for the COls were applied as follows: • Antimony: 1.0 mL/g • Arsenic: 480 mL/g • Barium: 1.0 mL/g • Beryllium: 1.0 mL/g • Boron: 0.1 mL/g • Hexavalent chromium: 1.0 mL/g • Chloride: conservative (sorption not modeled) • Cobalt: 1.0 mL/g • Chromium: 1.0 mL/g • Selenium: 1.0 mL/g • Sulfate: conservative (sorption not modeled) • Thallium: 70 mL/g • Vanadium: 25 mL/g The bulk density used in the model is 2.65 grams/cubic centimeter for deep and bedrock materials, 2.385 grams/cubic centimeter for the transition zone and 2.12 grams/cubic centimeter for saprolite and alluvium. The velocity of COls in groundwater is related to the effective porosity of the porous medium. Effective porosity applied was estimated based on the values reported in the CSA. All values applied to the model are shown in Table 4. Dispersivity is a physical property of the aquifer medium and is normally a fraction of the field scale problem (i.e., plume length), commonly 10% (Zheng and Bennett 2002). The dispersivity quantifies the degree to which mechanical dispersion of COls occurs. Dispersivity values of 70 feet, 7 feet, and 0.7 feet (longitudinal, transverse horizontal, transverse vertical) were applied in this model. The commonly applied estimate is 10% of the observation scale. In order to avoid artificial oscillation in the numerical solution to the advection dispersion equation, the grid Peclet number, or the ratio of grid spacing to longitudinal dispersivity, should be less than two (Zheng and Bennett 2002). The longitudinal and transverse dispersivity results in grid Peclet numbers of 0.5 and 5.0 respectively, which are within the acceptable range. Directly beneath the ash basin system, shallow groundwater flow is vertical downward. In this case, the grid Peclet number criteria will not be met due to the relatively small value for vertical dispersivity and the relatively large grid spacing, or thickness of the model layers at depth. The effect of numerical oscillation on modeled concentration and mass transport is indeterminate. However any effect is considered to be limited as vertical groundwater flow transitions to horizontal over a short distance beneath the ash basin system. 15 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 4.9 Transport Model Boundary Conditions The transport model boundary conditions have an initial concentration of zero where water leaves the model. The background concentration used as initial concentrations for each COI is the proposed provisional background concentration (PPBC) identified in the CAP Part 1. Recharge does not have a specified concentration. The background concentrations for the COls applied as initial concentrations are as follows: • Antimony: 2.5 pg/L • Arsenic: 5.0 pg/L • Barium: 157.3 pg/L • Beryllium: 1.0 pg/L • Boron: 100 pg/L • Chloride: 3,500 pg/L • Chromium: 11.3 pg/L • Cobalt: 2.5 pg/L • Hexavalent Chromium: 2.8 pg/L • Selenium: 10 pg/L • Sulfate: 1,460 pg/L • Thallium: 0.5 pg/L • Vanadium: 3.9 pg/L 4.10 Transport Model Sources and Sinks The ash basin, the dry ash landfill Phases I and 11, and the PV structural fill are the sources for COls in the model. During the transport model calibration and the existing conditions scenario, the sources were modeled as constant concentration cells in model layers 2 through 4 (Figure 5) and layers 5 through 7 (Figure 6). The concentrations are based on COI measurements in the shallow zone during the June/July 2015 sampling event. The transport model sinks correspond to the constant head boundaries of the flow model. Water and COI mass are removed from the model cells comprising these boundaries. 4.11 Transport Model Calibration Targets The calibration targets are the measured COI concentrations for the June/July 2015 sampling event as shown in CSA Report Tables 7-5 and 10-7 to 10-9. Specific calibration targets for the transport model calibration are discussed in Section 5.3. 5 MODEL CALIBRATION TO CURRENT CONDITIONS 5.1 Flow Model Residual Analysis The flow model was calibrated to the water level observations obtained during June 2015 in the shallow, deep, and bedrock wells (Table 3). The water table elevation in the ash basin cells and 16 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin selected depressions across the site were also considered as calibration targets. The observation data from this single point in time were used as a flow model calibration data set. The locations of the observation wells are shown on Figures 7, 8, and 9. The initial trial -and - error calibration assumed homogeneous conditions in each model layer. Recharge was also fixed at reasonable values early in the calibration process, and then refinements were made by adjusting hydraulic conductivity zones, as shown on Figures 10 and 11. The basis for delineating the zones in this way was to obtain the best local calibration using conductivity values within the range of measurements from monitoring well testing as documented during the CSA. The calibrated flow model parameters are provided in Table 2. Modeled and observed water levels (post -calibration) are compared in Table 3 and on Figure 12. The calibrated flow model is assumed to represent long term, steady-state flow conditions for the site and the ash basin system under long-term, average conditions. This assumption should be verified as additional data are collected from the existing and any additional monitoring wells. The square root of the average square error (also referred to as the root mean squared error, or RMS error) of the modeled versus observed water levels for wells gauged in June 2015 is also provided in Table 3. The model calibration goal is an RMS error less than 10% of the change in head across the model domain. The ratio of the average RMS error to total measured head change is the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE). The NRMSE of the calibrated model is 5.5%. Hydraulic head contours for the shallow zone of the calibrated flow model are shown on Figure 13. In the upland area of the site, groundwater flow in the shallow, deep, and fractured bedrock zones follows the original, pre -ash basin pattern of flow in the small catchments and converges on the former Holdsclaw Creek drainage basin. Thus the groundwater flow direction in the upland area is to the south, southeast, and east. After converging on the main body of the ash basin, the dominant groundwater flow direction is to the southeast toward the ash basin dike and the dry ash landfill Phase I. Locally the water table gradient is high as groundwater approaches and intercepts the dike and landfill. Groundwater passing beneath the landfill discharges to the cove and unnamed stream to the east. Groundwater passing through and beneath the dike discharges to Lake Norman. In Section 2.5, drainage features within small catchments in the upland area of the site are characterized as shallow hydrologic boundaries. These features are important elements of the model as they represent the mechanism by which shallow groundwater discharges to the surface. In the model, nearly 70% of recharge entering the basin discharges to the upland drains, which is reasonable considering that the small catchments make up about two thirds of the basin area. 5.2 Flow Model Sensitivity Analysis It is important to understand the sensitivity of the flow model parameters on the predicted hydraulic head field, so that the affects of changing the parameters are known. The sensitivity of flow model parameters was tested by varying a subset of parameters by 20% above and below 17 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin the values used in the calibrated flow model. The sensitivity was evaluated by re -running the model and comparing the NRMSE for each simulation (Table 5). A smaller NRMSE indicates that the model is better calibrated (i.e., model -predicted hydraulic head values are a better match to the actual or observed values). Using this approach, it was determined that NRMSE is maximized and the flow model is most sensitive to changes in horizontal hydraulic conductivity in the shallow aquifer, followed by changes in recharge outside of the ash basin. The least sensitive flow model parameter tested (minimized NRMSE) was changed in the vertical hydraulic conductivity in the shallow groundwater zone and transition zone. 5.3 Transport Model Calibration and Sensitivity For the transport model calibration, the calibration parameters consisted of the constant source concentrations, porosity and the linear sorption coefficient (Kd) for each COI. These parameters were adjusted to minimize residual concentrations in target wells. The model assumed initial concentrations within the groundwater system for all COls at the beginning of operations approximately 50 years ago (1965). A source term matching the porewater concentrations for each COI was applied within the active ash basin at the start of the calibration period in 1965, and the Dry Ash Landfills and PV structural fill at the time they became active in 1984 and 2000, respectively (see Section 2.3). The source concentrations were adjusted within the range of porewater concentrations to match measured values in the downgradient monitoring wells where exceedances of the 2L Standard or interim maximum allowable concentration (IMAC) were observed for Cols in June 2015. Monitoring wells with measured values below the 2L Standard or IMAC were also used during model calibration. Additionally, during transport model calibration, the flow model parameters were also modified to refine the calibration. This iterative process provided a better flow and transport calibration, as the spatial extent of elevated constituents provides insight into groundwater flow directions and velocities. The calibration results (comparing measured versus predicted model concentrations) are provided in Table 6. In addition, Table 6 shows calibration source concentrations in the active ash basin, Dry Ash landfill Phases I and II, and the PV structural fill. The locations of monitoring wells are shown on Figures 7, 8, and 9. Note that the concentrations for each COI from model calibration runs were used as initial (2015) concentrations for the Cap -in -Place scenario. Detailed sensitivity analyses for porosity, dispersivity, and sorption were not completed as part of CAP Part 2 as informal analysis indicated that sensitive parameters did not change due to revisions to the model parameters. A decrease in the sorption coefficient (Kd) resulted in an increase in the spatial extent in the modeled concentrations from the source areas. An increase in porosity and dispersivity also resulted in an increase in the spatial extent in the modeled concentrations from the source areas. 3 North Carolina Groundwater Rules; Title 15A, Subchapter 02L of the NC Administrative Code. 18 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 5.4 Advective Travel Times Particle tracking was performed during model calibration to determine if advective travel times are reasonable. Particles were placed at wells located near Lake Norman and selected upgradient locations. The particle tracks are shown on Figure 14 for 18 wells and predicted advective travel times are provided in Table 7. 5.5 One Year's Advective Travel Time from Residential Pumping Wells As previously discussed, four residential pumping wells are included in the model domain, pumping at a rate of 400 gpd each. The advective travel time one year from each well was performed using MODPATH and is shown on Figure 15. The one-year advective travel time pathlines do not intersect the Compliance Boundary at MSS. 6 SIMULATIONS OF CLOSURE SCENARIOS The groundwater model, calibrated for flow and constituent fate and transport under existing conditions, was used to evaluate two ash basin closure scenarios at MSS: the Existing Conditions scenario and the Cap -in -Place scenario. These simulations produce flow and transport results for conditions that are beyond the range of those considered during model calibration. Thus, the model should be recalibrated and verified over time as new data become available in order to reduce predictive uncertainty. The model domain developed for the Existing Conditions scenario was applied without modification for the Cap -in -Place scenario. For this scenario, recharge was set to zero over the ash basin and ash storage areas to simulate an impermeable cap. Note that source concentrations remained active in the model, as long as they remained saturated. The flow model parameters used for the Cap -in -Place model were the same as those used for the Existing Conditions model. 6.1 Existing Conditions Scenario The Existing Conditions scenario consists of modeling each constituent for 250 years into the future using the calibrated flow and transport model. This time is sufficient to reach steady-state concentrations across the site and at the Compliance Boundary. Concentrations will result in values similar to the source concentrations for this scenario with source concentrations being held at a constant value for the entire simulation period. Thereafter, the concentrations and mass flux of dissolved constituents at the Compliance Boundary remain constant. This scenario represents the most conservative scenario in terms of groundwater concentrations on- and off- site, and COls discharging to Lake Norman. The time to achieve a steady-state concentration plume depends on the source zone location relative to the Compliance Boundary and its loading history—the ash basin becomes active in 1965, whereas the dry ash landfills and PV become active in 1983 and 1996, respectively. Source zones close to the Compliance Boundary will cause steady-state conditions to be reached faster. The time to steady-state concentration is dependent on the sorptive characteristics of each COI. Sorptive COls will be transient for a longer time period as their peak breakthrough concentration travels at a rate that is less than the groundwater pore velocity. 19 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Lower effective porosity will result in shorter times to achieve steady-state for sorptive and non sorptive COIs. 6.2 Cap -In -Place Scenario The Cap -in -Place scenario simulates the effects of covering the ash basin, dry ash landfill Phases I and II, and the PV structural fill with an engineered cap. In the model, recharge at the ash basin, dry ash landfills and PV structural fill, is set to zero. Groundwater flow is affected by this scenario as the water table is lowered and groundwater velocities are reduced beneath the capped areas. The water table just upgradient of the earthen dam in the ash basin is reduced by approximately 10 feet, and in the ash basin between the PV structural fill and dry ash landfill Phase II, it is reduced by approximately 1 foot. In the model, the non-sorptive COls will move downgradient at the pore velocity of groundwater and will be displaced by the passage of a single pore volume, while sorptive COI migration in groundwater is retarded because of sorption onto and interaction with subsurface soil/rock. The predicted COI concentrations from the 2015 calibration model are used as the initial concentrations for the Cap -in -Place scenario since it is assumed (for modeling purposes) that the corrective action was implemented at that time. 7 CLOSURE SCENARIO RESULTS Closure scenario results are presented as predicted concentration versus time plots in downgradient monitoring wells and as groundwater concentration maps for each modeled COI on Figures 16 through Figure 184, as discussed in the following sub -sections. The constituent concentrations were analyzed at four downgradient monitoring wells: A13-1 S, A13 -2S, GWA-1 S, and MW -6S (Figure 7) for all COIs. Plots of concentration versus time are referenced to 1965, since that is the year that the ash basin became effective. Concentration maps are referenced to an initial time in 2015, representing the end of the calibration period. It should be noted that simulated concentrations in 2015, and thereafter can become slightly higher than the PPBC under the Industrial Landfill No. 1 and at the southeastern boundary of the domain near the cove of Lake Norman. Since there are not any source zones place in the Industrial Landfill No. 1, and there are no plumes associated with some of these anamolously high concentrations near Lake Norman, these can be regarded as inaccurately high values, and thus are considered to be lower than the PPBC. This is likely due to unsaturated (dry) cells in the shallow groundwater zone (model layers 5-7) and small numerical errors near the boundary. All COls are affected by this in at least one of these locations, except for boron, chloride, sulfate, and thallium. 20 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 7.1 Antimony Figures 16 through 19 show predicted antimony concentrations at downgradient monitoring wells AB -11S, AB -2S, GWA-1 S, and MW -6S for both Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place model scenarios. Under the Existing Conditions scenario, antimony initially exceeds the IMAC of 1 pg/L at the four downgradient wells, but then decreases below the IMAC over time. Note that the proposed PPBC used for modeling (2.5 pg/L) is two and one-half times higher than the IMAC; this results in predicted antimony concentrations that exceed the IMAC. The Cap -in - Place scenario has little effect on concentrations over time (the curves are similar to Existing Conditions). Figures 20 to 22 show initial (2015) antimony concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones. In 2015, the Existing Conditions scenario (Figures 23 to 25), and the Cap -in -Place scenario (Figures 26 to 28), antimony is predicted to remain below the PPBC, but to remain above the IMAC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in all groundwater zones. No observable changes are noted for the Cap -in -Place scenario, as compared to the Existing Conditions scenario. 7.2 Arsenic Figures 29 through 32 show predicted arsenic concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells for both model scenarios. The curves show that under the Existing Conditions scenario, arsenic concentrations are predicted to remain steady or slightly decline throughout the modeled period and do not exceed the 2L Standard (10 pg/L) or the PPBC (5 pg/L) at the downgradient well locations. The Cap -in -Place scenario has little effect on predicted arsenic concentrations (i.e., the two curves are similar). Figures 33 through 35 show arsenic in 2015, and Figures 36 through 38 show predicted arsenic in 2115 for the Existing Conditions scenario in 2115. Figures 39 through 41 show arsenic concentrations under the Cap -in -Place scenario in 2115. In 2015 and under both scenarios in 2115, in all groundwater zones, arsenic remains below the 2L Standard and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary. 7.3 Barium Figures 42 through 45 show predicted barium concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells under both scenarios. The concentration curves show that under existing conditions, barium does not exceed the 2L Standard (700 pg/L), and maintains or decreases below the PPBC (157.3 pg/L) for both scenarios. The Cap -in -Place scenario has little effect on barium concentrations as the two curves are similar. Figures 46 to 48 show initial (2015) barium concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones. Figures 49 to 54 show that barium is predicted to remain below the 2L Standard and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under the Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios (applies to all groundwater zones). For the Cap -in -Place scenario, barium concentrations remain relatively unchanged, relative to the Existing Conditionsscenario. 21 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 7.4 Beryllium Figures 55 through 58 show predicted beryllium concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells. The figures show that under both scenarios beryllium remains below the IMAC (4 pg/L) at AB -1 S, AB -2S, GWA-1 S, but exceeds the IMAC at MW -6S. Beryllium exceeds the PPBC (1 pg/L) at all of the wells with the exception of AB -2S. The Cap -in -Place scenario has little effect on predicted concentrations, except at MW -6S, where concentrations are lower for the Cap -in - Place scenario, although beryllium concentrations are predicted to remain above the IMAC. Figures 59 through 61 show predicted beryllium concentrations in shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, and Figures 62 through 64 show beryllium concentrations in 2115 (after 100 years) for the Existing Conditions scenario. Beryllium is predicted to remain below the IMAC, but to increase above the PPBC in all groundwater zones at the Compliance Boundary in 2015. Under the Existing Conditions scenario, beryllium is predicted to exceed the IMAC in 2115 in the shallow and deep groundwater zones, and to exceed the PPBC in all groundwater zones, at the model interface or Compliance Boundary. For the Cap -in -Place scenario (Figures 65 to 67), the lateral extent of the beryllium plume is slightly reduced relative to the Existing Conditions scenario, and the IMAC is not exceeded at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in the shallow and deep groundwater zones, while the PPBC is exceeded in all groundwater zones 7.5 Boron Figures 68 through 71 show predicted boron concentrations at the four downgradient monitoring wells. For the Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios, boron exceeds the 2L Standard (700 pg/L) at AB -1 S and MW -6S. Boron exceeds the PPBC (100 pg/L) for both model scenarios at all four wells, except for the Cap -in -Place scenario at GWA-1 S. The Cap -in -Place scenario shows reduced concentrations as compared to Existing Conditions results. Figures 72 through 74 show boron concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, while Figures 75 through 77 show them in 2115, or in 100 years, under the Existing Conditions scenario, and Figures 78 through 80 show them under the Cap -in -Place scenario in 2115. Boron is predicted to exceed the 2L Standard at the model interfaceor Compliance Boundary in 2015, and is predicted to exceed the 2L Standard at the model interface, in all groundwater zones for both scenarios in 2115. The lateral extent of the boron plume is slightly reduced under the Cap -in - Place scenario, relative to the Existing Conditions scenario. 7.6 Chloride Figures 81 through 84 show predicted chloride concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells for both scenarios. Chloride concentrations reach a steady-state at all four wells during the modeled period and remain below the 2L Standard (250,000 pg/L). Chloride exceeds the PPBC (3,500 pg/L) under both modeled scenarios at all of the wells over time, except for the Cap -in - Place scenario at GWA-1 S where chloride concentrations decrease to a level below the PPBC. Considering the Cap -in -Place scenario, chloride decreases substantially relative to the Existing Conditions scenario at MW -6S but exceeds the predicted Existing Conditions concentrations at AB -1 S. Figures 85 through 87 show predicted chloride concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, and Figures 88 through 90 show them in 2115 (after 100 years for Existing Conditions). Figures 91 through 93 show predicted chloride in 2115 under the Cap -in - 22 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Place scenario. Chloride is predicted to remain slightly below the 2L Standard (and exceed the PPBC) at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under both scenarios in all groundwater zones. After 100 years, the lateral extent of the chloride plume is only slightly reduced by capping the ash. 7.7 Chromium Figures 94 through 97 show predicted chromium concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells. Under the Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios, chromium exceeds the 2L Standard (10 pg/L) at GWA-1 S and MW -6S, and declines below the 2L Standard at AB -1 S and AB -2S. Note that the PPBC (11.3 pg/L) is higher than the standard; this results in predicted chromium concentrations that exceed the standard. Note that MW -6S is the only well where chromium will exceed the PPBC. For the Cap -in -Place scenario, predicted chromium concentrations are substantially lower at two of the wells (GWA-1 S and MW -6S) as compared to the Existing Conditions scenario. Figures 98 through 100 show chromium concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones in 2015, and Figures 101 through 103 show them in 2115 (after 100 years) under the Existing Conditions scenario. Figures 104 to 106 show Cap -in -Place scenario chromium concentrations in 2115. Under both scenarios chromium concentrations are predicted to exceed both the 2L Standard and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary (all groundwater zones). Under the Cap -in -Place scenario, the extent of the chromium plume in 2115 and maximum concentrations are only slightly reduced relative to the Existing Conditions scenario. 7.8 Cobalt Figures 107 through 110 show predicted cobalt concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells. For the Existing Conditions scenario, predicted cobalt concentrations increase at two wells (GWA-1 S and MW -6S) and decrease at two wells (AB -1 S and AB -2S). The cobalt at one well (AB -2S) declines below the IMAC (1 pg/L). Note that the PPBC used for modeling (2.5 pg/L) is two and one-half times higher than the standard; this results in predicted cobalt concentrations that exceed the IMAC. Under the Cap -in -Place scenario, predicted cobalt increases or remains the same in all four wells, and below the Existing Conditions concentrations at two wells (GWA-1 S and MW -6S) and increase above the Existing Conditions concentrations at the other two wells (AB -1 S and AB -2S). Figures 111 through 113 show cobalt concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, and Figures 114 through 116 show them in 2115 (after 100 years under the Existing Conditions scenario). Figures 117 to 119 show predicted cobalt under the Cap -in -Place scenario. The predicted cobalt concentrations exceed the IMAC and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in 2115 under both model scenarios (all groundwater zones). Relative the Existing Conditions scenario, the lateral extent of the cobalt plumes decrease slightly under the Cap -in -Place scenario. 7.9 Hexavalent Chromium Figures 120 through 123 show predicted hexavalent chromium concentrations at the downgradient monitoring wells. For both scenarios, hexavalent chromium is predicted to decline steeply at three of the wells over the period, while the fourth well (GWA-1 S) decreases only 23 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin slightly below the PPBC (2.8 pg/L). All four wells show that predicted hexavalent chromium remains above the NCDHHS HSL (0.07 pg/L) for the duration of the modeled period (both scenarios). Note that capping the ash has little effect on hexavalent chromium concentrations, as the two curves are similar. Figures 124 through 126 show hexavalent concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, and Figures 127 to 129 show predicted concentrations in 2115 (Existing Conditions scenario). Figures 130 to 132 show predicted hexavalent chromium concentrations in 2115. In 2015 and 2115, hexavalent chromium concentrations are predicted to exceed the NCDHHS HSL at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in all groundwater zones (both future model scenarios). Hexavalent chromium concentrations remain below the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in all groundwater zones in 2015 and in 2115 under both scenarios. For the Cap -in -Place scenario, predicted hexavalent chromium concentrations are nearly unchanged, or slightly increase relative to the Existing Conditions scenario. 7.10 Selenium Figures 133 through 136 show predicted selenium concentrations at the four downgradient monitoring wells. Under the Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios, selenium concentrations are predicted to decrease significantly at three wells, but to a lesser extent at one well (GWA-1S). The predicted selenium concentrations remain below both the IMAC (20 pg/L) and the PPBC (10 pg/L). Note that the Cap -in -Place scenario has a minimal effect on predicted selenium concentrations, as the two curves are similar. Figures 137 through 139 show predicted selenium concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, and Figures 140 through 142 show them in 2115 under the Existing Conditions scenario. Figures 143 through 145 show predicted selenium concentrations in 2115 under the Cap -in -Place scenario. Selenium is predicted to remain below the IMAC and PPBC in 2015 and 2115 at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under both modeled scenarios in all groundwater zones. 7.11 Sulfate Figures 146 through 149 show predicted sulfate concentrations at the four monitoring wells. For the Existing Conditions scenario, sulfate increases above the PPBC (1,460 pg/L) and achieves steady-state concentrations at each of the selected wells during the modeled period. Sulfate concentrations are predicted to remain below the 2L Standard (250,000 pg/L) at the four selected downgradient wells. The concentration of sulfate is predicted to decrease under the Cap -in -Place scenario in all four wells, relative to the Existing Conditions scenario. Figures 150 through 152 show predicted sulfate concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, and Figures 153 through 155 show sulfate concentrations in 2115 under the Existing Conditions scenario. Figures 156 through 158 show predicted sulfate under the Cap -in -Place scenario in 2115. Sulfate is predicted to exceed the PPBC, but to remain below the 2L Standard, at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in 2015 and 2115 (both model scenarios in all groundwater zones). Although, in the Existing Conditions scenario, predicted sulfate concentrations approach the 2L Standard at the model interface on the southern end of the site. Under the Cap -in -Place scenario, the lateral extent of the sulfate plume is somewhat reduced after 100 years, relative to the Existing Conditions scenario. 24 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 7.12 Thallium Figures 159 through 162 show predicted thallium concentrations at the four downgradient monitoring wells. Under the Existing Conditions scenario, thallium concentrations in all of the wells are predicted to remain unchanged or decrease below the PPBC (0.5 pg/L). The thallium concentrations decrease below the IMAC (0.2 pg/L) at one well (AB -2S). The Cap -in -Place scenario has little effect on concentrations, as the two curves are similar. Note that the PPBC used for modeling (0.5 pg/L) is one and one-half times higher than the IMAC; this results in predicted thallium concentrations that exceed the IMAC. Figures 163 through 165 show predicted thallium concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock groundwater zones in 2015, and Figures 166 through 168 show thallium in 2115 under the Existing Conditions scenario. Figures 169 through 171 show predicted thallium concentrations under the Cap -in -Place scenario in 2115. Thallium is predicted to exceed the IMAC, but remain below the PPBC, at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in 2015 and 2115 (both model scenarios in all groundwater zones). Under the Existing Conditions scenario, predicted thallium concentrations remain relatively unchanged from 2015 to 2115. Under the Cap -in -Place scenario, the extent of the thallium plume in 2115 is similar to that under the Existing Conditions scenario. 7.13 Vanadium Figures 172 through 175 show predicted vanadium concentrations at the four downgradient monitoring wells. Under the Existing Conditions scenario, vanadium concentrations decline below the PPBC (3.9 pg/L) in two wells (AB -1 S and AB -2S) and remain near the PPBC in the other two wells (GWA-1 S and MW -6S). Note that the PPBC used for modeling (3.9 pg/L) is 13 times higher than the IMAC of 0.3 pg/L; this results in predicted cobalt concentrations that exceed the IMAC. Figures 176 through 178 show vanadium concentrations in the shallow, deep and bedrock zones in 2015, and Figures 179 through 181 show vanadium levels in 2115 under the Existing Conditions scenario . Figures 182 through 184 show predicted vanadium concentrations under the Cap -in -Place scenario in 2115. Vanadium is predicted to exceed the IMAC, but remain below the PPBC, at the model interface or Compliance Boundary in 2015 and 2115 for both model scenarios (all groundwater zones). Under the Existing Conditions scenario, vanadium concentrations in the shallow zone increase and spread during the period from 2015 to 2115. The extent of the vanadium plume and maximum concentrations in 2115 are similar for both scenarios. 8 SUMMARY 8.1 Model Assumptions and Limitations The model assumptions include the following: • The steady-state flow model was calibrated to hydraulic heads measured at observation wells in June/July 2015 and considered the ash basin water level. The model is not calibrated to transient water levels over time, recharge or river flow. A steady-state calibration does not consider changes in groundwater storage and groundwater flux to surface water with time. 25 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin • In the MODFLOW groundwater flow model, fractured bedrock was simulated as an equivalent porous medium. • The model was calibrated by adjusting the constant source concentrations at the ash basin and ash storage areas to reasonably match 2015 COI concentrations in groundwater. • For the purposes of numerical modeling and comparing closure scenarios, it is assumed that the selected closure scenario was completed in 2015. • Predictive simulations were performed and steady-state flow conditions were assumed from the time that the ash basin and ash storage areas were placed in service (1965) through the current time until the end of the predictive simulations (2265). • COI source zone concentrations at the ash basin and ash storage areas were applied uniformly within each source area and assumed to be constant with respect to time for transport model calibration. • The uncertainty in model parameters and predictions has not been quantified; therefore, the error in the model predictions is not known. It is assumed the model results are suitable for a relative comparison of closure scenario options. • Since Lake Norman is modeled as a constant head boundary in the numerical model, it will not be possible to assess the effects of pumping wells or other groundwater sinks that are near this boundary. • The model does not account for varying geochemical conditions such as pH and redox potential that could affect COI mobility and change modeling results. As identified by HDR, site-specific geochemistry and geochemical modeling will be considered in CAP Part 2. 8.2 Model Predictions The model predictions are summarized as follows: • Antimony — The IMAC is predicted to be exceeded, while the concentrations remain below the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary for Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Arsenic — The predicted concentrations remain below the 2L Standard and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under the Existing Conditions and Cap -in - Place scenarios. • Barium — The predicted concentrations remain below the 2L Standard and the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under the Existing Conditions and the Cap- in -Place scenarios. • Beryllium — The IMAC is predicted to be exceeded, while the concentrations remain below the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary for the Existing Conditions scenario. K• Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin • Boron — The 2L Standard and PPBC are predicted to be exceeded at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under the Existing Conditions and the Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Chloride — The predicted concentrations remain below the 2L Standard, while the concentrations exceed the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under the Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Chromium — The 2L Standard and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary are predicted to be exceeded under Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Cobalt — The IMAC and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary are predicted to be exceeded for Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Hexavalent chromium — The NCDHHS HSL Standard is predicted to be exceeded, while concentrations remain below the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Selenium — The predicted concentrations remain below the IMAC and PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under the Existing Conditions and Cap -in - Place scenarios. • Sulfate — The predicted concentrations remain below the 2L Standard, but exceed the PPBC, at the model interface or Compliance Boundary under the Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Thallium — The IMAC is predicted to be exceeded, while the concentrations remain below the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary for Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. • Vanadium — The IMAC is predicted to be exceeded, while the concentrations remain below the PPBC at the model interface or Compliance Boundary for Existing Conditions and Cap -in -Place scenarios. 27 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 9 REFERENCES Daniel, C.C., III, 2001, Estimating ground -water recharge in the North Carolina Piedmont for land use planning [abs.], in 2001 Abstracts with Programs, 50th Annual Meeting, Southeastern Section, April 5-6, 2001: Raleigh, N.C., The Geological Society of America, v. 33, no. 2, p. A-80. Haven, W.T. Introduction to the North Carolina Groundwater Recharge Map -Groundwater Circular Number 19, North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources Division of Water Quality, Groundwater Section. HDR. 2015a. Comprehensive Site Assessment Report, Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin, September 2015. HDR, 2015b. Corrective Action Plan Part 1. Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin, November 20, 2015. Langley, W.G. and Oz, S. 2015. Soil Sorption Evaluation Marshall Steam Station, UNC - Charlotte, October 2015. LeGrand, H. E. 2004. A Master Conceptual Model for Hydrogeological Site Characterization in the Piedmont and Mountain Region of North Carolina, A Guidance Manual, North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources Division of Water Quality, Groundwater Section. Niswonger, R.G., Panday, S., and Ibaraki, M. 2011. MODFLOW-NWT, A Newton formulation for MODFLOW-2005: U.S. Geological Survey Techniques and Methods 6-A37, 44 p. Zheng, C. and Bennett, G. 2002. Applied Contaminant Transport Modeling, Second Edition, Wiley Interscience. Zheng, C. and Wang, P. 1999. MT3DMS, A modular three-dimensional multi -species transport model for simulation of advection, dispersion and chemical reactions of contaminants in groundwater systems, Documentation and Users Guide, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center Contract Report SERDP-99-1, Vicksburg, MS, 202 p. 28 This page intentionally left blank This page intentionally left blank Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin TABLES Table 1 MODFLOW and MT3DMS Input Packages Utilized Table 2 Model Hydraulic Conductivity Table 3 Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head Table 4 Model Effective Porosity Table 5 Flow Parameter Sensitivity Analysis Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results Table 7 Predicted Advective Travel Time to Boundary Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 1 MODFLOW and MT3DMS Input Packages Utilized MODFLOW Input Package Description Name (NAM) Contains the names of the input and output files used in the model simulation and controls the active model program Basic (BAS) Specifies input packages used, model discretization, number of model stress periods, initial heads and active cells Contains finite -difference grid information, including the number Discretization (DIS) and spacing of rows and columns, number of layers in the grid, top and bottom model layer elevations and number of stress periods Specified Head and Specifies a head and/or a concentration that remains constant Concentration (CHD) throughout the simulation Drain (DRN) Acts as a "drain" to remove water from the groundwater system. Simulates drainage areas within the model Recharge (RCH) Simulates areal distribution of recharge to the groundwater system Newton Solver (NWT) Contains input values and the Newton and matrix solver options Upstream Weighting (UPW) Replaces the LPF and/or BCF packages and contains the input required for internal flow calculations Flow Transfer Link File (LMT) Used by MTDMS to obtain the location, type, and flow rates of all sources and sinks simulated in the flow model MT31DMS Input Package Description Flow Transfer Link File (FTL) Reads the LMT file produced by MODFLOW Basic Transport Package (BTN) Reads the MODFLOW data used for transport simulations and contains transport options and parameters Advection (ADV) Reads and solves the selected advection term Dispersion (DSP) Reads and solves the dispersion using the explicit finite - difference formulation Source and Sink Mixing (SSM) Reads and solves the concentration change due to sink/source mixing using the explicit finite -difference formulation Chemical Reaction (RCT) Reads and solves the concentration change due to chemical reactions using the explicit finite -difference formulation Generalized Conjugate Gradient Solves the matrix equations resulting from the implicit solution of (GCG) Solver the transport equation Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 2 Model Hydraulic Conductivity Model Layer Hydrostrati- graphic Unit Measured Value Range' Calibrated Model Value Horizontal Hydraulic Conductivity ft/day Horizontal Hydraulic Conductivity ft/day Vertical Hydraulic Conductivity ft/day 1-4 Ash 0.67-3.72 Z-2 3.80 0.76 2-4 Fill 0.33-0.83 Z-3 0.05 0.05 Z-13 2.13 2.13 Z-14 2.15 2.15 Alluvium Z-15 11.46 1.15 Z-9 1.79 0.36 5-6 M1 4.44-2.18 Z-10 12.00 1.20 Z-4 3.05 0.31 7 M2 5.95-2.50 Z-5 7.49 0.75 Z-7 1.02 0.10 Z-16 14.00 2.80 Z-8 2.41 0.48 Z-6 5.79 1.16 8 TZ 7.7-2.3 TZ 2.50 0.25 9-10 BR 0.96-7.34 BR 0.15 0.15 'Range = geometric mean +/- one standard deviation (see CSA Report Tables 11-9 and 11-10) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 3 Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head Well Name Model Layer Measured WL ft MSL Modeled WL ft MSL Residual ft MSL AB -10D 8 789.04 791.85 -2.81 AB -10S 2 789.16 791.79 -2.63 AB-10SL 4 788.98 791.82 -2.84 AB -11 D 8 795.10 796.39 -1.29 AB -11S 6 793.18 796.22 -3.04 AB12D 8 790.86 792.73 -1.87 AB -12S 2 790.69 792.61 -1.92 AB-12SL 4 790.50 792.68 -2.18 AB -13D 8 797.67 802.25 -4.58 AB13S 2 797.30 802.08 -4.78 AB -14D 8 809.51 816.90 -7.39 AB -14S 6 808.68 816.98 -8.30 AB-15BR 9 804.03 808.21 -4.18 AB -15D 8 802.75 806.76 -4.01 AB -15S 2 804.46 806.91 -2.45 AB-15SL 5 800.89 806.66 -5.77 AB -16D 8 813.95 812.08 1.87 AB -16S 6 814.26 811.79 2.47 AB -17D 8 818.96 821.93 -2.97 AB -17S 2 818.42 821.94 -3.52 AB -18D 8 817.86 820.13 -2.27 AB -18S 6 817.69 820.12 -2.43 AB -1 BR 9 771.16 766.27 4.89 AB -1 D 8 770.08 764.81 5.27 AB -1S 6 767.10 764.74 2.36 AB -20D 8 827.48 829.91 -2.43 AB -20S 6 829.31 829.88 -0.57 AB -21 D 8 792.47 798.82 -6.35 AB -21 S 6 791.30 798.90 -7.60 AB -21D 8 766.60 767.60 -1.00 AB -2S 6 760.71 767.53 -6.82 AB -31D 8 797.23 794.34 2.89 AB -3S 2 798.48 794.60 3.88 AB -41D 8 799.61 797.83 1.78 AB -4S 2 799.61 797.80 1.81 AB-4SL 4 799.36 797.81 1.55 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 3 Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head (continued) Well Name Model Layer Measured WL ft MSL Modeled WL ft MSL Residual ft MSL AB -513R 9 799.25 801.58 -2.33 AB -51D 9 799.34 801.66 -2.32 AB -5S 2 799.45 801.75 -2.30 AB-6BR 9 817.10 813.33 3.77 A13 -61D 8 817.86 813.84 4.02 AB -6S 2 819.78 813.73 6.05 AB -7D 8 813.33 809.24 4.09 AB -7S 6 814.17 809.28 4.89 AB-9BR 9 790.62 793.02 -2.40 AB -91D 8 789.31 791.65 -2.34 AB -9S 6 789.75 791.67 -1.92 AL -1 D 8 773.72 779.96 -6.24 AL -1S 6 778.71 780.01 -1.30 AL -213R 9 803.63 799.30 4.33 AL -21D 8 801.67 799.44 2.23 AL -2S 6 800.18 799.48 0.70 AL -31D 8 805.30 804.86 0.44 AL -3S 4 805.98 804.77 1.21 AL -4D 8 812.75 804.68 8.07 GWA-1 BR 9 764.34 771.67 -7.33 GWA-1 D 8 760.78 766.48 -5.70 GWA-1 S 6 760.84 766.46 -5.62 GWA-21D 8 802.69 804.08 -1.39 GWA-2S 6 803.14 804.13 -0.99 GWA-31D 8 833.00 833.19 -0.19 GWA-3S 6 830.29 833.21 -2.92 GWA-41D 8 843.45 831.16 12.29 GWA-4S 6 843.57 831.31 12.26 GWA-51D 8 812.79 811.87 0.92 GWA-5S 6 812.57 811.99 0.58 GWA-61D 8 803.21 802.38 0.83 GWA-6S 6 803.44 802.34 1.10 GWA-7D 8 800.03 792.62 7.41 GWA7S 6 797.02 792.41 4.61 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 3 Observed vs. Predicted Hydraulic Head (continued) Max 846.36 Sum s.e Measured WL Modeled WL Residual Well Name Model Layer NRMSE 0.055 ft MSL ft MSL ft MSL GWA-9BR 9 846.36 834.66 11.70 MW-14BR 9 773.78 783.27 -9.49 Max 846.36 Sum s.e 1576.31 Min 760.71 No. of wells 72.00 Max -Min 85.65 RMSE 4.68 NRMSE 0.055 Notes: 1. S or SL — shallow groundwater zone 2. D — deep groundwater zone 3. BR — bedrock groundwater zone 4. WL — water level 5. ft - feet 6. MSL — mean sea level Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 4 Model Effective Porosity Model Layer Hydrogeologic Unit Effective Porosity 1 -3 Ash and Dike Materials 0.15 4 Dike Materials 0.15 5-6 M1 - Saprolite and Alluvium 0.15 7 M2 - Saprolite 0.15 8 Transition Zone 0.01 9-10 Bedrock 0.005 Table 5 Flow Parameter Sensitivity Analysis Notes: 1. NRMSR - normalized root mean squared error 2. Kh - horizontal hydraulic conductivity 3. Kv - vertical hydraulic conductivity Calibrated Calibrated +20% Calibrated -20% Parameter NRMSR NRMSR (Head) % NRMSR (Head) % (Head) Shallow 0.0552 1.10 0.0555 1.65 Zone Kh Shallow 0.0546 0.00 0.0546 0.00 Zone Kv Transition 0.0547 0.18 0.0546 0.00 Zone Kh 0.0546 Transition Zone 0.0546 0.00 0.0546 0.00 Kv Recharge 0.0547 0.18 0.0564 3.30 ex. Ash Bbasin Recharge 0.0544 -0.36 0.0556 1.83 Ash Bbasin Notes: 1. NRMSR - normalized root mean squared error 2. Kh - horizontal hydraulic conductivity 3. Kv - vertical hydraulic conductivity Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p/L Predicted Concentration N/L Antimony Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.5 - 25 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration = 0.5 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 25 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 1 mL/g AB -10S 0.75 0.50 AB-10SL 1.30 1.00 AB -10D 0.50 2.48 AB -11 D 0.50 2.49 AB -11 S 2.50 1.00 AB12D 0.54 2.50 AB -12S 0.50 0.50 AB-12SL 0.18 0.50 AB -13D 0.97 5.15 AB13S 21.80 20.00 AB -14D 0.66 2.47 AB -14S 1.00 1.00 AB-15BR 0.16 2.90 AB -15D 0.18 2.87 AB -15S 0.18 15.58 AB-15SL 0.25 14.46 AB -16D 0.50 2.52 AB -16s 6.20 2.64 AB -17D 0.64 2.49 AB -17S 0.50 1.00 AB -18D 0.22 2.50 AB -18S 0.50 0.50 AB -18S 0.50 0.50 AB -1 BR 0.50 2.48 AB -1 D 0.50 2.48 AB -1S 0.50 0.75 AB -20D 0.32 2.50 AB -20S 26.60 25.00 AB -21 D 0.50 2.46 AB -21 S 0.50 0.50 AB -21D 0.50 1.24 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Antimony (cont.) A13 -2S 0.22 0.36 AB -3D 0.57 2.49 AB -3S 0.50 0.50 AB -4D 0.17 2.10 AB -4S 0.30 0.50 AB-4SL 0.91 1.00 AB-5BR 0.19 2.50 AB -51D 0.16 2.22 AB -5S 2.50 1.00 AB-6BR 1.30 2.45 AB -61D 0.50 2.45 AB -6S 0.50 0.40 AB -7D 0.41 2.50 A13 -81D 0.44 2.50 AB -8S 0.50 1.00 AB-9BR 0.30 2.49 AB -91D 0.23 2.49 A13 -9S 0.50 0.22 AL -11D 0.80 2.45 AL -1S 0.30 0.52 AL -2 B R 0.31 2.50 AL -21D 0.50 2.04 AL -2S 0.40 0.50 AL -31D 0.16 2.50 AL -3S 12.20 0.37 AL -41D 0.50 2.04 GWA-1 BR 0.16 2.49 GWA-1 D 0.92 2.49 GWA-1 S 0.26 2.49 GWA-21D 4.10 1.79 GWA-2S 0.50 2.34 GWA-31D 0.50 2.08 GWA-3S 0.31 1.35 GWA-41D 0.50 0.20 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Antimony (cont.) GWA-4S 0.27 GWA-51D 0.50 0.03 GWA-5S 0.79 GWA-61D 11.40 2.50 GWA-6S 0.66 0.96 GWA-7D 0.50 2.34 GWA-7S 0.50 0.93 MW -10D 0.50 2.49 MW -10S 0.45 2.17 MW -11 D 0.50 2.08 MW -11 D 0.45 2.08 MW -12D 0.50 2.36 MW -12S 0.73 1.41 MW -13D 0.50 2.44 MW -13S 0.50 1.64 MW-14BR 0.22 2.49 MW -14D 0.23 1.89 MW -14S 2.50 1.22 MW -4D 0.50 MW -7S 0.50 0.82 Arsenic Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 10 - 6,400 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 10 - 150 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 115 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 48 mL/g AB -10D 1.2 5.0 AB -10S 410.0 400.0 AB-10SL 1330.0 1350.0 AB -11 D 0.3 5.0 AB -11S 2.8 5.0 AB -12D 1.3 5.0 AB -12S 145.0 150.0 AB-12SL 6380.0 6400.0 AB -13D 0.9 12.3 AB -13S 591.0 650.0 AB -14D 0.9 5.0 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Arsenic (cont.) AB -14S 799.0 800.0 AB-15BR 0.4 5.0 AB -15D 0.6 5.0 AB -15S 511.0 513.1 AB-15SL 864.0 353.6 AB -16D 0.1 5.0 AB -16s 0.7 5.2 AB -17D 1.5 5.0 AB -17S 238.0 240.0 AB -18D 2.8 5.0 AB -18s 2060.0 2450.0 A13-1 BR 0.3 5.0 AB -1 D 0.5 5.0 A13 -1S 5.7 4.8 AB -20D 0.2 5.0 AB -20S 95.4 115.0 AB -21 D 0.5 5.0 AB -21 S 439.0 440.0 AB -21D 0.3 5.0 A13 -2S 0.3 2.4 AB -31D 0.8 5.0 A13 -3S 2.3 10.0 AB -41D 0.4 5.0 AB -4S 1.3 10.0 AB-4SL 923.0 930.0 AB-5BR 1.7 5.0 AB -51D 2.1 5.0 A13 -5S 9.9 10.0 AB-6BR 6.6 5.1 A13 -61D 1.8 5.1 AB -6S 3180.0 3719.9 AB -7D 2.6 5.0 AB -81D 1.3 5.0 A13 -8S 103.0 105.0 AB-9BR 0.9 5.0 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration la /L Predicted Concentration N /L Arsenic (cont.) AB -91D 1.0 5.0 A13 -9S 1.0 8.8 AL -11D 0.6 5.0 AL -1S 2.7 8.9 AL -2 B R 0.7 5.0 AL -21D 0.6 5.5 AL -2S 1.2 150.0 AL -31D 0.7 5.0 AL -3S 189.0 99.9 AL -41D 0.4 5.0 GWA-1 BR 0.3 5.0 GWA-1 D 0.7 5.0 GWA-1 S 0.2 5.0 GWA-21D 0.4 5.0 GWA-2S 0.5 5.0 GWA-31D 0.5 5.0 GWA-3S 0.2 4.9 GWA-41D 2.9 3.2 GWA-4S 0.5 GWA-51D 0.2 2.2 GWA-5S 1.4 GWA-61D 0.9 5.0 GWA-6S 0.1 4.9 GWA-7D 0.9 5.0 GWA-7S 2.4 4.8 MW -10D 0.2 5.0 MW -10S 0.5 5.0 MW -11 D 1.6 5.0 MW -11 D 0.3 5.0 MW -12D 0.4 5.0 MW -12S 0.5 4.9 MW -13D 0.5 5.0 MW -13S 0.1 5.0 MW-14BR 0.3 5.0 MW -14D 0.5 5.0 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Arsenic (cont.) MW -14S 0.5 4.9 MW -4 2.5 MW -4D 0.3 MW -7S 10.4 4.9 Barium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 14 - 780 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 180 - 570 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 460 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 1 mL/g AB -10D 420.0 157.3 AB -10S 160.0 160.0 AB-10SL 370.0 380.0 AB -11 D 12.0 157.3 AB -11 S 110.0 110.0 AB -12D 180.0 157.3 AB -12S 330.0 350.0 AB-12SL 780.0 800.0 AB -13D 200.0 160.4 AB -13S 390.0 485.0 AB -14D 150.0 157.3 AB -14S 44.0 50.0 AB-15BR 130.0 157.3 AB -15D 210.0 157.3 AB -15S 580.0 382.8 AB-15SL 450.0 325.3 AB -16D 150.0 157.3 AB -17D 33.0 157.3 AB -17S 240.0 250.0 AB -18D 46.0 157.3 AB -18s 340.0 350.0 AB -1 BR 21.0 157.3 AB -1 D 440.0 157.3 AB -1S 100.0 150.4 AB -20D 58.0 157.3 AB -20S 460.0 460.0 AB -21 D 200.0 157.3 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Barium (cont.) AB -21 S 630.0 630.0 AB -21D 100.0 157.3 AB -2S 92.0 62.0 AB -31D 160.0 157.3 AB -3S 20.0 80.0 AB -41D 78.0 157.3 AB -4S 76.0 80.0 AB-4SL 88.0 85.0 AB-5BR 300.0 157.3 AB -51D 420.0 157.3 AB -5S 14.0 15.0 AB-6BR 51.0 157.3 AB -61D 170.0 157.3 AB -6S 210.0 185.9 AB -7D 110.0 157.3 AB -81D 100.0 157.3 AB -8S 87.0 85.0 AB-9BR 95.0 157.3 AB -91D 190.0 157.3 AB -9S 26.0 14.9 AL -1 D 660.0 157.3 AL -1S 280.0 268.7 AL-2BR 180.0 157.3 AL -21D 180.0 157.1 AL -2S 960.0 180.0 AL -31D 150.0 157.3 AL -3S 78.0 643.3 AL -41D 280.0 157.3 GWA-1 BR 36.0 157.3 GWA-1 D 140.0 157.3 GWA-1 S 87.0 157.3 GWA-21D 140.0 157.3 GWA-2S 100.0 157.3 GWA-61D 71.0 157.3 GWA-7D 230.0 157.3 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Barium (cont.) GWA-7S 290.0 150.5 MW -11 D 64.0 157.3 MW-14BR 23.0 157.3 Beryllium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.5 - 24 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 1 - 10 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 5 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 1 mL/g AB -10D 0.1 1.0 AB -10S 0.7 1.0 AB-10SL 0.4 0.5 AB -11 D 0.2 1.0 AB -11 S 0.7 0.5 AB -12D 0.2 1.0 AB -12S 0.1 0.5 AB-12SL 0.1 0.5 AB -13D 0.2 0.7 AB -13S 0.4 0.5 AB -14D 0.2 1.0 AB -14S 0.6 0.5 AB-15BR 0.2 1.0 AB -15D 0.2 1.0 AB -15S 0.2 0.2 AB-15SL 0.2 0.5 AB -16D 0.2 1.0 AB -17D 0.2 1.0 AB -17S 0.2 0.5 AB -18D 0.2 1.0 AB -18s 0.2 0.5 AB -1 BR 0.2 1.0 AB -1 D 0.2 1.0 AB -1S 1.3 0.7 AB -20D 0.2 1.0 AB -20S 5.4 5.0 AB -21 D 0.2 1.0 AB -21 S 0.2 0.5 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Beryllium (cont.) AB -21D 0.2 0.7 AB -2S 0.2 0.2 AB -31D 0.2 1.0 AB -3S 2.0 1.0 AB -41D 0.1 4.8 AB -4S 0.2 1.0 AB-4SL 0.2 0.5 AB-5BR 0.2 1.0 AB -51D 0.1 5.2 AB -5S 23.5 24.0 AB-6BR 0.2 1.0 AB -61D 0.3 1.0 AB -6S 0.2 0.4 AB -71D 0.2 1.0 AB -81D 0.1 1.0 AB -8S 0.1 0.5 AB-9BR 0.2 1.0 AB -91D 0.2 1.0 AB -9S 0.2 AL -11D 0.2 1.0 AL -1S 9.9 9.5 AL-2BR 0.2 1.0 AL -21D 0.2 0.9 AL -2S 1.0 1.0 AL -31D 0.2 1.0 AL -3S 1.2 0.7 AL -41D 0.2 0.8 GWA-1 BR 0.2 1.0 GWA-1 D 0.2 1.0 GWA-1S 0.5 1.0 GWA-21D 0.2 0.7 GWA-2S 0.2 0.9 GWA-61D 0.2 1.0 GWA-71D 0.2 0.9 GWA-7S 0.2 0.4 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Beryllium (cont.) MW -11 D 0.1 0.8 MW-14BR 0.2 1.0 Boron Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 50 - 66,600 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 100 - 90,00 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 41,700 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 0.1 mL/g AB -10D 1200.0 330.7 AB -10S 20600.0 20600.0 AB-10SL 9400.0 9400.0 AB -11 D 26.0 97.2 AB -11 S 50.0 50.0 AB -12D 3500.0 125.3 AB -12S 66600.0 66600.0 AB-12SL 3300.0 3300.0 AB -13D 50.0 3467.6 AB -13S 1200.0 2150.0 AB -14D 130.0 1336.0 AB -14S 10500.0 10500.0 AB-15BR 50.0 385.8 AB -15D 53.0 363.7 AB -15S 3100.0 1697.8 AB-15SL 930.0 1966.4 AB -16D 50.0 113.3 AB -16s 44.0 189.0 AB -17D 50.0 356.1 AB -17S 6000.0 6000.0 AB -18D 50.0 110.7 AB -18s 2100.0 2100.0 AB -1 BR 120.0 887.1 AB -1 D 380.0 904.5 AB -1S 5200.0 3459.6 AB -20D 50.0 125.4 AB -20S 41700.0 41700.0 AB -21 D 50.0 108.3 AB -21 S 1300.0 1300.0 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Boron (cont.) AB -21D 370.0 379.2 AB -2S 37.0 152.6 AB -31D 170.0 148.1 AB -3S 250.0 300.0 AB -41D 380.0 523.2 AB -4S 150.0 300.0 AB-4SL 850.0 500.0 AB-5BR 50.0 119.8 AB -51D 34.0 597.2 AB -5S 1500.0 1200.0 AB-6BR 93.0 413.1 AB -61D 5500.0 415.6 AB -6S 6200.0 5765.9 AB -71D 50.0 96.0 AB -81D 50.0 134.7 AB -8S 790.0 790.0 AB-9BR 50.0 119.9 AB -91D 50.0 122.7 AB -9S 50.0 30.2 AL -11D 1300.0 1038.5 AL -1S 4600.0 4673.9 AL-2BR 2100.0 327.5 AL -21D 6500.0 7134.1 AL -2S 6500.0 6500.0 AL -31D 4000.0 307.2 AL -3S 73400.0 44556.8 AL -41D 15200.0 705.7 GWA-1 BR 50.0 105.8 GWA-1 D 50.0 106.1 GWA-1S 50.0 106.5 GWA-21D 50.0 25.1 GWA-2S 50.0 45.0 GWA-31D 50.0 32.2 GWA-3S 50.0 18.4 GWA-41D 50.0 11.1 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Boron (cont.) GWA-4S 50.0 GWA-51D 50.0 11.2 GWA-5S 50.0 GWA-61D 50.0 99.6 GWA-6S 50.0 10.2 GWA-7D 45.0 68.1 GWA-7S 34.0 24.0 MW -10D 50.0 567.5 MW -10S 50.0 735.5 MW -11 D 50.0 35.1 MW -11 D 50.0 35.1 MW -12D 50.0 54.9 MW -12S 50.0 17.7 MW -13D 50.0 52.0 MW -13S 50.0 22.6 MW-14BR 29.0 240.7 MW -14D 2600.0 2178.9 MW -14S 2700.0 1848.0 MW -4D 50.0 MW -7S 5300.0 4701.9 Chloride Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 1100 - 3,650,000 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 1400 - 260,000 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 51,500 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 0 mL/g AB -10D 5100.0 4517.4 AB -10S 7400.0 7400.0 AB-10SL 7600.0 7600.0 AB -11 D 4200.0 725.8 AB -11S 1800.0 1800.0 AB -12D 464000.0 6000.8 AB -12S 3650000.0 3650000.0 AB-12SL 27800.0 27800.0 AB -13D 3400.0 6145.9 AB -13S 1100.0 1100.0 AB -14D 1800.0 9198.8 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Chloride (cont.) AB -14S 8000.0 8000.0 AB-15BR 4200.0 5643.0 AB -15D 3400.0 5477.6 AB -15S 8100.0 6712.7 AB-15SL 4200.0 7621.7 AB -16D 5200.0 360.7 AB -16s 2900.0 728.8 AB -17D 2400.0 800.3 AB -17S 9700.0 9700.0 AB -18D 3300.0 1263.9 AB -18s 8900.0 8500.0 A13-1 BR 28700.0 48054.8 AB -1 D 201000.0 46701.1 A13 -1S 223000.0 30580.5 AB -20D 1900.0 15735.5 AB -20S 51500.0 51500.0 AB -21 D 4800.0 4716.6 AB -21 S 84600.0 84600.0 AB -21D 4500.0 19866.7 A13 -2S 7800.0 7432.3 AB -31D 4500.0 25501.9 A13 -3S 4100.0 5600.0 AB -41D 8200.0 20820.9 AB -4S 7100.0 5600.0 AB-4SL 9600.0 9600.0 AB-5BR 5100.0 12067.5 AB -51D 4400.0 24153.6 A13 -5S 47400.0 47400.0 AB-6BR 12100.0 335.6 A13 -61D 4300.0 337.3 AB -6S 2900.0 2696.9 AB -7D 7300.0 593.8 AB -81D 3100.0 679.8 A13 -8S 2800.0 2800.0 AB-9BR 4300.0 1833.8 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Chloride (cont.) A13 -91D 3000.0 1896.8 A13 -9S 2400.0 1466.5 AL -11D 222000.0 169714.6 AL -1S 260000.0 250614.1 AL -2 B R 2500.0 918.8 AL -21D 3500.0 2487.3 AL -2S 1400.0 3500.0 AL -31D 2300.0 600.6 AL -3S 17300.0 951.2 AL -41D 1900.0 88.3 GWA-1 BR 3500.0 10157.7 GWA-1 D 4500.0 10349.5 GWA-1 S 3000.0 10576.6 GWA-21D 9100.0 40.4 GWA-2S 940.0 37.5 GWA-31D 3600.0 24.1 GWA-3S 2200.0 18.9 GWA-41D 5200.0 GWA-4S 3700.0 GWA-51D 1900.0 GWA-5S 6600.0 GWA-61D 7000.0 32.6 GWA-6S 3100.0 1.6 GWA-7D 3200.0 86.8 GWA-7S 3600.0 41.4 MW -10D 1300.0 70554.0 MW -10S 840.0 69132.6 MW -11 D 2000.0 12.7 MW -11 D 2000.0 11.7 MW -12D 800.0 73.4 MW -12S 1000.0 25.6 MW -13D 4300.0 36.2 MW -13S 3800.0 34.5 MW-14BR 10800.0 75821.8 MW -14D 33700.0 100061.8 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Chloride (cont.) MW -14S 82700.0 68950.7 MW -4 1900.0 MW -4D 1200.0 MW -7S 239000.0 17527.4 Chromium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.5 - 54 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 3 - 30 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 72 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 1 mL/g AB -10D 2.5 11.2 AB -10S 7.8 8.0 AB-10SL 3.8 1.0 AB -11 D 1.8 11.3 AB -11 S 4.4 4.0 AB -12D 1.7 11.3 AB -12S 0.4 0.5 AB-12SL 1.0 1.0 AB -13D 6.8 7.1 AB -13S 4.0 2.0 AB -14D 3.4 11.1 AB -14S 7.2 7.0 AB-15BR 1.3 11.0 AB -15D 2.6 11.0 AB -15S 1.1 1.4 AB-15SL 0.8 2.8 AB -16D 1.5 11.1 AB -17D 7.8 11.2 AB -17S 0.8 1.0 AB -18D 1.4 11.3 AB -18s 4.2 4.0 AB -1 BR 0.5 11.2 AB -1 D 1.1 11.2 AB -1S 1.0 3.8 AB -20D 2.0 11.3 AB -20S 71.6 72.0 AB -21 D 1.2 11.1 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Chromium (cont.) AB -21 S 0.5 0.5 A13 -21D 1.3 4.5 AB -2S 1.2 1.2 AB -31D 1.6 11.3 AB -3S 0.9 1.0 A13 -41D 0.7 17.7 AB -4S 0.7 1.0 AB-4SL 1.0 4.0 AB-5BR 2.0 11.3 A13 -51D 3.4 19.0 AB -5S 53.9 54.0 AB-6BR 7.4 11.1 AB -61D 1.2 11.1 A13 -6S 0.8 0.4 AB -7D 4.8 11.3 AB -81D 5.9 11.3 AB -8S 0.7 1.0 AB-9BR 4.4 11.2 AB -91D 6.3 11.2 A13 -9S 4.2 2.1 AL -1 D 5.0 11.2 AL -1S 30.9 28.6 AL-2BR 17.5 11.3 AL -21D 2.5 9.3 AL -2S 15.5 3.0 AL -31D 1.9 11.3 AL -3S 8.9 10.2 AL -41D 2.3 9.2 GWA-1 BR 3.6 11.3 GWA-1 D 4.0 11.3 GWA-1 S 1.8 11.3 GWA-21D 182.0 8.1 GWA-2S 2.3 10.6 GWA-31D 17.9 11.3 GWA-7D 6.7 10.6 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Chromium (cont.) GWA-7S 22.1 4.2 MW -11 D 7.6 9.4 MW-14BR 4.3 11.3 Hexavalent Chromium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.02 - 0.08 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 0.02 - 0.35 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 0.5 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 1.0 mUg AB -12D 0.031 2.80 AB -12S 0.02 1 AB-12SL 0.02 0.02 AB-15BR 0.02 2.71 AB -15D 0.02 2.72 AB-15SL 0.02 0.16 AB -1 BR 0.02 2.78 AB -1 D 0.02 2.78 AB -1S 0.02 0.69 AB -41D 0.02 2.11 AB -4S 0.082 0.09 AB-4SL 0.02 0.02 MW -10D 0.42 2.78 MW -10S 0.14 2.43 MW -11 D 4 2.33 MW -11 D 4.6 2.33 MW -12D 0.25 2.64 MW -12S 0.5 1.58 MW -13S 0.79 1.84 MW -14D 0.11 2.11 MW -14S 0.32 1.36 MW -4 1 MW -4D 0.32 Cobalt Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.5 - 134 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 4 - 16 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 425 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 1 mL/g AB -10D 6.6 2.5 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Cobalt (cont.) AB -10S 4.1 4.0 AB-10SL 3.6 4.0 AB -11 D 0.3 2.5 AB -11 S 4.4 4.0 AB -12D 0.4 2.5 AB -12S 0.3 0.5 AB-12SL 0.4 0.5 AB -13D 2.4 1.7 AB -13S 4.8 2.0 AB -14D 0.6 2.5 AB -14S 1.0 1.0 AB-15BR 0.5 2.5 AB -15D 0.6 2.5 AB -15S 2.7 1.4 AB-15SL 6.1 1.7 AB -16D 4.7 2.5 AB -16s 22.6 1.4 AB -17D 2.5 2.5 AB -17S 1.0 1.0 AB -18D 1.0 2.5 AB -18s 0.2 0.5 AB -1 BR 0.5 2.5 AB -1 D 4.3 2.5 AB -1S 27.1 1.1 AB -20D 0.5 2.5 AB -20S 423.0 425.0 AB -21 D 6.4 2.5 AB -21 S 4.1 4.0 AB -21D 0.9 1.2 AB -2S 3.1 0.4 AB -31D 0.5 2.6 AB -3S 13.5 5.0 AB -41D 0.4 24.2 A134S 0.5 5.0 AB-4SL 0.3 0.5 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Cobalt (cont.) A13 -513R 7.9 2.6 A13 -51D 9.4 26.4 AB -5S 134.0 134.0 AB-6BR 0.5 2.5 AB -61D 2.2 2.5 A13 -6S 0.2 0.4 AB -7D 0.7 2.5 AB -81D 1.4 2.5 AB -8S 45.5 45.0 AB-9BR 0.5 2.5 AB -91D 28.1 2.5 AB -9S 2.2 0.8 AL -11D 1.3 2.5 AL -1S 11.8 11.4 AL-2BR 0.2 2.5 AL -21D 15.8 2.5 AL -2S 4.4 4.0 AL -31D 1.3 2.5 AL -3S 4.1 2.7 AL -41D 7.4 2.0 GWA-1 BR 1.7 2.5 GWA-1 D 0.2 2.5 GWA-1 S 5.5 2.5 GWA-21D 0.2 1.8 GWA-2S 2.6 2.3 GWA-31D 0.5 2.1 GWA-3S 0.6 1.4 GWA-41D 0.7 0.2 GWA-4S 6.9 GWA-51D 0.2 0.0 GWA-5S 2.4 GWA-61D 1.0 2.5 GWA-6S 0.8 1.0 GWA-7D 1.0 2.3 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Cobalt (cont.) GWA-7S 8.4 0.9 MW -10D 0.5 2.5 MW -10S 0.2 2.2 MW -11 D 0.6 2.1 MW -11 D 0.6 2.1 MW -12D 2.7 2.4 MW -12S 2.0 1.4 MW -13D 0.2 2.4 MW -13S 0.2 1.6 MW-14BR 0.2 2.5 MW -14D 2.4 2.2 MW -14S 8.2 1.4 MW -4 2.5 MW -4D 0.5 MW -7S 57.6 0.8 Selenium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.5 - 12 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 10 - 110 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 454 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 1 mL/g AB -10D 0.5 9.9 AB -10S 1.8 2.0 AB-10SL 1.6 1.5 AB -11 D 0.5 10.0 AB -11S 2.5 2.5 AB -12D 0.5 10.0 AB -12S 2.2 2.0 AB-12SL 0.5 0.5 AB -13D 0.4 6.9 AB -13S 12.1 12.0 AB -14D 0.4 9.9 AB -14S 1.0 1.0 AB-15BR 0.5 9.8 AB -15D 0.5 9.8 AB -15S 0.5 0.2 AB-15SL 0.5 1.6 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Selenium (cont.) AB -16D 0.9 9.8 A13 -16s 0.2 5.0 AB -17D 0.4 9.9 AB -17S 0.5 0.5 AB -18D 0.4 10.0 A13 -18s 0.4 0.5 AB -1 BR 0.5 9.9 AB -1 D 0.5 9.9 AB -1S 6.1 3.3 AB -20D 0.5 10.0 AB -20S 454.0 454.0 AB -21 D 0.4 9.8 AB -21 S 0.2 0.5 A13 -21D 0.6 4.9 AB -2S 1.4 1.5 AB -31D 0.5 10.0 AB -3S 1.8 2.0 A13 -41D 0.5 8.1 AB -4S 3.3 2.0 AB-4SL 0.7 1.0 AB-5BR 0.5 10.0 A13 -51D 0.5 8.7 AB -5S 3.3 3.0 AB-6BR 2.7 9.8 AB -61D 0.5 9.8 A13 -6S 0.4 0.4 AB -7D 1.8 10.0 AB -81D 0.5 10.0 AB -8S 0.5 0.5 AB-9BR 0.5 9.9 AB -91D 0.8 9.9 AB -9S 0.4 AL -11D 0.5 9.8 AL -1S 1.0 9.6 AL -2 B R 24.0 10.0 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Selenium (cont.) AL -21D 13.6 9.7 AL -2S 108.0 13.0 AL -31D 16.7 10.0 AL -3S 28.5 74.0 AL -41D 9.0 8.2 GWA-1 BR 0.4 10.0 GWA-1 D 0.6 10.0 GWA-1S 0.8 10.0 GWA-21D 5.0 7.2 GWA-2S 0.3 9.3 GWA-31D 0.4 8.3 GWA-3S 0.5 5.4 GWA-41D 0.6 1.4 GWA-4S 0.5 GWA-51D 0.5 1.2 GWA-5S 0.7 GWA-61D 1.1 10.0 GWA-6S 0.5 3.8 GWA-7D 0.4 9.4 GWA-7S 0.4 3.7 MW -10D 0.3 9.9 MW -10S 0.5 8.7 MW -11 D 0.2 8.3 MW -11 D 0.2 8.3 MW -12D 0.3 9.4 MW -12S 0.5 5.6 MW -13D 0.5 9.7 MW -13S 0.5 6.6 MW-14BR 1.3 10.0 MW -14D 3.2 7.8 MW -14S 5.0 5.0 MW -4 2.5 MW -4D 0.5 MW -7S 15.0 3.3 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration la /L Predicted Concentration N /L Sulfate Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 1,200 — 8,000,000 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 60,000 — 3,300,000 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 560,000 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 0 mL/g AB -10D 11000 142366 AB -10S 857000 857000 AB-10SL 670000 520000 AB -11D 7600 53173 AB -11 S 1200 1200 AB -12D 219000 37681 AB -12S 923000 923000 AB-12SL 19600 19600 AB -13D 26800 56573 AB -13S 36100 36100 AB -14D 22800 109185 AB -14S 1180000 120000 AB-15BR 61900 24425 AB -15D 28400 23974 AB -15S 114000 90031 AB-15SL 33600 82892 AB -16D 61900 4262 AB -16s 4300 9537 AB -17D 13600 11374 AB -17S 183000 183000 AB -18D 6000 1640 AB -18s 9100 9100 AB -1 BR 37600 94414 AB -1 D 32000 94929 AB -1S 142000 62759 AB -20D 16300 175122 AB -20S 3560000 560000 AB -21D 8300 14534 AB -21 S 353000 260000 AB -21D 178000 176934 AB -2S 19600 67770 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Sulfate (cont.) AB -3D 90000 113136 A13 -3S 366000 366000 AB -41D 33300 21266 AB -4S 34500 42500 AB-4SL 42500 42500 AB-5BR 86400 53190 AB -51D 18800 110416 AB -5S 8850000 8000000 AB-6BR 98600 71950 A13 -61D 36800 72264 AB -6S 646000 600780 AB -7D 43700 7406 AB -81D 124000 30543 A13 -8S 368000 368000 AB-9BR 47500 3185 AB -91D 12900 3212 AB -9S 4600 2811 AL -11D 17100 45425 AL -1S 62200 62245 AL-2BR 176000 171473 AL -2D 386000 506484 AL -2S 979000 979000 AL -31D 402000 349713 AL -3S 3160000 2032904 AL -41D 308000 13986 GWA-1 BR 43800 96606 GWA-1 D 189000 98448 GWA-1 S 4000 100610 GWA-21D 70700 273 GWA-2S 22400 164 GWA-31D 11800 242 GWA-3S 1600 196 GWA-41D 24200 GWA-4S 1000 GWA-51D 4000 8 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Sulfate (cont.) GWA-5S 6200 GWA-61D 57100 11 GWA-6S 540 1 GWA-71D 9200 50 GWA-7S 11300 28 MW -10D 3500 59275 MW -10S 1000 35063 MW -11 D 1200 5 MW -11 D 1200 5 MW -12D 4000 25 MW -12S 650 9 MW -13D 760 235 MW -13S 1000 300 MW-14BR 12900 72118 MW -14D 207000 95818 MW -14S 223000 66107 MW -4 1000 MW -4D 1000 MW -7S 153000 91950 Thallium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.025 — 1.4 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 0.1 — 0.35 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 15 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 70 mL/g AB -10D 0.1 0.5 AB -10S 0.3 0.3 AB-10SL 0.3 0.3 AB -11D 0.1 0.5 AB -11S 0.1 0.5 AB -12D 0.1 0.5 AB -12S 0.1 0.1 AB-12SL 0.1 0.1 AB -13D 0.0 0.5 AB -13S 1.0 1.0 AB -14D 0.1 0.5 AB -14S 0.2 0.3 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Thallium (cont.) AB-15BR 0.1 0.5 AB -15D 0.1 0.5 AB -15S 0.1 AB-15SL 0.0 0.3 AB -16D 0.0 0.5 A13 -16s 0.0 0.5 AB -17D 0.0 0.5 AB -17S 0.1 0.1 AB -18D 0.0 0.5 A13 -18s 0.1 0.1 AB -1 BR 0.1 0.5 AB -1 D 0.1 0.5 AB -1S 0.3 0.5 AB -20D 0.1 0.5 AB -20S 14.8 15.0 AB -21 D 0.1 0.5 AB -21 S 0.1 0.1 A13 -21D 0.0 0.5 AB -2S 0.1 0.2 AB -3D 0.0 0.5 AB -3S 2.0 1.4 A13 -41D 0.1 0.5 AB -4S 0.8 1.4 AB-4SL 0.1 0.1 AB-5BR 0.1 0.5 A13 -51D 0.0 0.5 AB -5S 0.5 0.5 AB-6BR 0.1 0.5 AB -61D 0.0 0.5 A13 -6S 0.0 0.0 AB -7D 0.0 0.5 AB -81D 0.0 0.5 AB -8S 0.7 1.0 AB-9BR 0.0 0.5 AB -91D 0.0 0.5 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Thallium (cont.) AB -9S 0.0 AL -11D 0.1 0.5 AL -1S 0.3 0.5 AL-2BR 0.0 0.5 AL -21D 0.1 0.1 AL -2S 0.1 0.5 AL -31D 0.0 0.5 AL -3S 1.8 0.1 AL -41D 0.1 0.5 GWA-1 BR 0.1 0.5 GWA-1 D 0.0 0.5 GWA-1S 0.0 0.5 GWA-21D 0.0 0.5 GWA-2S 0.1 0.5 GWA-31D 0.1 0.5 GWA-3S 0.1 0.5 GWA-41D 0.0 0.2 GWA-4S 0.1 GWA-5D 0.1 GWA-5S 0.1 GWA-61D 0.0 0.5 GWA-6S 0.1 0.5 GWA-7D 0.1 0.5 GWA-7S 0.1 0.5 MW -10D 0.1 0.5 MW -10S 0.1 0.5 MW -11 D 0.1 0.5 MW -11 D 0.1 0.5 MW -12D 0.0 0.5 MW -12S 0.0 0.5 MW -13D 0.1 0.5 MW -13S 0.1 0.5 MW-14BR 0.1 0.5 MW -14D 0.1 0.5 MW -14S 0.1 0.5 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (pg/L Predicted Concentration N /L Thallium (cont.) MW -4 0.5 MW -41D 0.1 MW -7S 0.4 0.5 Vanadium Ash Basin Constant Concentration Range = 0.2 - 85 pg/L Ash Storage Area Concentration Range = 1 - 8.5 pg/L PV Structural Fill Concentration = 160 pg/L Sorption Coefficient [Kd] = 25 mL/g AB -10D 9.2 3.9 AB -10S 19.4 19.0 AB-10SL 12.7 13.0 AB -11 D 2.3 3.9 AB -11 S 20.8 21.0 AB -12D 2.5 3.9 AB -12S 1.1 1.0 AB-12SL 2.6 2.5 AB -13D 1.1 4.9 AB -13S 24.1 24.0 AB -14D 3.3 3.9 AB -14S 17.9 18.0 AB-15BR 1.0 3.9 AB -15D 1.4 3.9 AB -15S 1.4 0.6 AB-15SL 1.6 2.8 AB -16D 0.6 3.9 AB -16s 1.0 3.8 AB -17D 7.1 3.9 AB -17S 2.2 2.0 AB -18D 4.2 3.9 AB -18s 1.1 1.0 AB -1 BR 0.4 3.9 AB -1 D 1.1 3.9 AB -1S 1.0 3.6 AB -20D 1.1 3.9 AB -20S 157.0 160.0 AB -21 D 0.7 3.9 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration (jig/L)N Predicted Concentration /L Vanadium (cont.) AB -21 S 0.3 0.2 A13 -21D 1.8 3.9 AB -2S 1.8 1.5 AB -31D 2.3 3.9 AB -3S 0.8 1.0 A13 -41D 0.5 3.9 AB -4S 1.1 1.0 AB-4SL 10.9 11.0 AB-5BR 0.8 3.9 A13 -51D 3.4 3.9 AB -5S 83.0 85.0 AB-6BR 7.4 3.9 AB -61D 0.9 3.9 A13 -6S 1.9 1.8 AB -7D 57.5 3.9 AB -81D 5.1 3.9 AB -8S 1.5 1.5 AB-9BR 2.4 3.9 AB -91D 2.5 3.9 A13 -9S 1.0 0.2 AL -11D 1.9 3.9 AL -1S 8.5 7.7 AL-2BR 4.5 3.9 AL -21D 0.8 3.9 AL -2S 6.5 1.0 AL -31D 0.7 3.9 AL -3S 163.0 4.4 AL -41D 2.4 3.9 GWA-1 BR 3.5 3.9 GWA-1 D 9.3 3.9 GWA-1 S 1.7 3.9 GWA-21D 12.2 3.9 GWA-2S 0.3 3.9 GWA-31D 24.6 3.9 GWA-3S 0.6 3.8 GWA-41D 8.6 2.1 Continued on next page Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 6 Transport Model Calibration Results (continued) COI Monitoring Well Measured Concentration p /L Predicted Concentration N /L Vanadium (cont.) GWA-4S 19.5 GWA-51D 1.8 1.4 GWA-5S 9.2 GWA-61D 12.8 3.9 GWA-6S 0.9 3.7 GWA-7D 6.1 3.9 GWA-7S 23.7 3.6 MW -10D 3.2 3.9 MW -10S 0.3 3.9 MW -11 D 23.8 3.9 MW -11 D 23.8 3.9 MW -12D 4.6 3.9 MW -12S 0.5 3.8 MW -13D 5.9 3.9 MW -13S 4.8 3.9 MW-14BR 4.3 3.9 MW -14D 1.3 3.9 MW -14S 0.4 3.7 MW -4 2.2 MW -4D 2.8 MW -7S 4.6 3.8 Notes: 1. mL/g - milliliters per gram 2. pg/L - micrograms per liter Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Table 7 Predicted Advective Travel Time to Boundary Groundwater Zone Monitoring Well Advective Travel Time to Boundary (days) Shallow MW -14 552 AB -1S 589 AB -16S 2,567 GWA-22S 9,026 AL -2S 10,813 Deep AB -2D 439 GWA7S 639 AB -17D 1,077 AB -13D 1,773 AB -5D 7,484 AB -21 D 14,926 Bedrock AB -1 BR 33 MW14-BR 91 AB -11 D 696 AB6-BR 1,061 AB3-BR 3,998 AB12-BR 4,813 AB -20D 6,343 Note: Computed travel time over 3-D flow path using flow and transport terms from the groundwater flow and transport model. Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin FIGURES Figure 1 Conceptual Groundwater Flow Model/Model Domain Figure 2 Model Domain North-South Cross section A -A' through Inactive and Active Ash Basins Figure 3 Model Domain East-West Cross section B -B' through the Active Ash Basin Figure 4 Flow Model Boundary Conditions Figure 5 Model Layers 2-4 Recharge Areas and Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells) Figure 6 Model Layers 5-7 Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells) Figure 7 Observation Wells in Shallow Groundwater Flow Layer Figure 8 Observation Wells in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 9 Observation Wells in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 10 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in S Model Layers (Model Layers 2-4) Figure 11 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in M1/M2 Model Layers (Model Layers 5-7) Figure 12 Modeled Hydraulic Head vs. Observed Hydraulic Head Figure 13 Hydraulic Potentiometric Head in Shallow Groundwater Zone (Model Layer 6) Figure 14 Forward Particle Tracking Results Figure 15 One -Year Reverse Particle Tracking from Residential Wells Figure 16 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 17 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 18 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 19 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 20 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 21 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 22 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 23 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 24 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 25 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 26 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 27 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 28 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Figure 29 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 30 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 31 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 32 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 33 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 34 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 35 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 36 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 37 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 38 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 39 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 40 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 41 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 42 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 43 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 44 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 45 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 46 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 47 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 48 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 49 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 50 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 51 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 52 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 53 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 54 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 55 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 56 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 57 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 58 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 59 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 60 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 61 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 62 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 63 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 64 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 65 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 66 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 67 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 68 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well AB -IIS Figure 69 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 70 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 71 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 72 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 73 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 74 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 75 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 76 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 77 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 78 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 79 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 80 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 81 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well AB -11S Figure 82 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 83 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 84 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 85 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 86 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 87 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 88 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 89 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 90 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 91 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 92 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 93 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 94 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 95 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 96 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well GWA-1S Figure 97 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 98 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 99 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 100 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 101 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 102 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 103 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 104 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 105 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 106 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 107 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 108 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 109 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well GWA-1S Figure 110 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 111 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 112 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 113 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 114 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 115 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 116 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 117 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 118 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 119 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 120 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -1 S Figure 121 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 122 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 123 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well MW -6S3 Figure 124 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 125 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 126 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 127 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 128 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 129 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 130 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 131 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 132 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 133 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well AB -11S Figure 134 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 135 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 136 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 137 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 138 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 139 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 140 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 141 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 142 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 143 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 144 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 145 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 146 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well AB -1S Figure 147 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 148 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 149 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 150 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 151 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 152 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 153 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 154 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 155 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 156 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 157 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 158 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 159 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well AB -11S Figure 160 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 161 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 162 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 163 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 164 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 165 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 166 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 167 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 168 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 169 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 170 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 171 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 172 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well AB -11S Figure 173 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Figure 174 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well GWA-1 S Figure 175 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Figure 176 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 177 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 178 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 179 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 180 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Figure 181 Existing Conditionsc Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Figure 182 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Figure 183 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 184 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone l]IUUfIUWdICI Discharge Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 1 Conceptual Groundwater Flow Model/Model Domain ow ndwater charge Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin L. A' A9� Qke 5 rz BR Figure 2 Model Domain North-South Cross section A -A' through Inactive and Active Ash Basins Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin B B' L,. Figure 3 Model Domain East-West Cross section B -B' through the Active Ash Basin d B B' L,. Figure 3 Model Domain East-West Cross section B -B' through the Active Ash Basin Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 4 Flow Model Boundary Conditions IV' —7c y_ a ,,; f Recharge=O.Oinlyr t X. --eO. t Recharge=4 Recharge=6.6inlyr i/ Recharge=O.Oinlyr ' Legend DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY ASH BASIN 'PASTE BOUNDARY LANDFILLJASH STORAGE AREA BOUNDARY _ ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin .Oinlyr e � o _ a i 'sN A 750 1,500 Feet WITH DUKE ENERGY source: LvfflW,1�1 -C''TvUI}� dl I PROPERTY BOUNDARY K ,aGeograph is NESlAIrbU D USQA, USG „qE�X, E�p�JIf1Q, Constant Concentration "" 'k''�'' MODEL DOMAIN Aerogrid, IGN, IGP: sMsstopo and the GIS User Comm unity — t Figure 5 Model Layers 2-4 Recharge Areas and Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells) U_ -j Structural Fill Industrial Landfill toe - Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin "OF" i y FGD Resic # VLandfill z i t ✓ t — b d � Legend ` ti r DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY \t BOUNDARY ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY hN /• I5 LANDFILJASEH STORAGE f' AREA BOUNDARY ✓ ' ♦ 0 750 1,500 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ti ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Feet BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY , Source. ESrI, Elgltal GlO�]E, 2E'OEye. I-6D,e �p,1 h f PROPERTY BOUNDARY - Constant Concentration Geogra['hics CNESI,gIr• S. USDA USGS, AFX, Gettnap(ping MODEL DOMAIN � Aerogrid, IGN; LE -P; s i Q,-ancf khe GIS user C©Inoiunity Figure 6 Model Layers 5-7 Contaminant Source Zones (Constant Concentration Cells) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 7 Observation Wells in Shallow Groundwater Flow Layer Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 8 Observation Wells in Deep Groundwater Zone 11 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 9BR [ MW -1 4113R • AB-9BR } AB -66R` AB-5BR • • Legend DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY i BOUNDARY , ASH BASIN V% ASTE BOUNDARY LANDFILL/ASH STORAGE _ AREA BOUNDARY fl ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Figure 9 Observation Wells in Bedrock Groundwater Zone N A 750 1,500 Feet Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 10 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in S Model Layers (Model Layers 2-4) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 11 Hydraulic Conductivity Zonation in M1/M2 Model Layers (Model Layers 5-7) 850 0 830 W E 810 M = 800 a� t'a _ 790 E LA 780 770 760 750 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Modeled vs. Observed Head Y = 0.8828x+94.234 r* R'=0.9445 i*±" ' �+ r * r 750 760 770 780 790 800 810 820 Observed Heads (ft msl) Figure 12 Modeled Hydraulic Head vs. Observed Hydraulic Head 830 840 850 �a Of Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin V i Legend +. DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY t. ASH BASIN WASTE hN BOUNDARY LANDFILIJASH STORAGE _ AREA BOUNDARY _ - 0 750 1,500 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE G BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Feet BOUNDARY COINCIDENT VdTH DUKE ENERGY Soume' ESrl, QJ5011 t PROPERTY BOUNDARY G20gt"e phlGS. Clal f ' la- Bldpplh MODEL DOMAIN - A2fogrld, IGN.IIr', I Unity Figure 13 Hydraulic Potentiometric Head in Shallow Groundwater Zone (Model Layer 6) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 14 Forward Particle Tracking Results Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 15 One -Year Reverse Particle Tracking from Residential Wells 3.0 2.5 Z0 r-, 3 1,5 C O 1.0 C QJ c3 C D U ©.5 0.0 � r Ln It rD 00 M M r -I r -I Notes: 1. µg/L=mirrogramsper liter 2. Anti morry IMAC value=1 µgf L 3. Antimony PPBC=2.5 µg/L Predicted Antimony Concentration at AB -1S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin —Existing Conditions —Cap -in -Place — -Antimony IMAC O N r.0 C Q O N sip 0 O N sD 000 O O O O CD CD rl "I rl "I rl N N N N N M N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 16 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well ABAS Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Antimony Concentration at A13 -2S 2.5 —Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place 2.0 — -Antimony IMAC 1.5 to c 1.0 m c� V 0.5 0.0 - � € It a N �.D 00 o N coo 00 a N rID 00 0 rn M o o 0 o a r_4 r_� r_4 r_4 r_� N N rl rl rq m Notes: 1. pg/L=microgramsperliter Time (Years) 2. Anti monyIMAC value=l. pg/L S. Anti m ony PPBC = 2.5 pg/L Figure 17 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well A13 -2S 3.0 pmm 2.0 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Antimony Concentration at GWA-1S U 0.5 �S 00 00 00 Of] Ol d3 O O O d O N N N N N CO N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter Time (Years) 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 µg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 ug/L Figure 18 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well GWA-1S 2.5 O7 r-, 0 1.5 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Antimony Concentration at MW -6S 0.0 Ln .9t -t qt ;.0 00 c rl Cf) 0) c c rl r-4 rl rq Notes: 1. [ig/L=micrograrrsper fiter 2. Antimony IMAC ua iue=1 µg/L S. Anti monyPpBC=2.5 µg/L � cc a N C.0 o 4 qt `ta o N s�0 cc a CD o o r-� r-� r-� "I "I rl N N N N m Time (Years) Figure 19 Predicted Antimony in Monitoring Well MW -6S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 20 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter Ro 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 pg/L L �' 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L v E h cci O _I m N LEGEND m Dry Cell y – N E 11 <= 0.5 O L 0.5 - 1 (Standard) LL 1 -2.5 (Background �I Concentration) 0 2.5-5 or A EI 5-50 50-250 m L E 250- 1,000 4, - j 161,000 - 5,000 0 a 5,000 - 7,306 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH c — — BASIN COMPLIANCE N rn BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ r N BOUNDARY 0 500 1.000 U MODEL DOMAIN 1 Feet Figure 21 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L a E (6 N N O l9 LEGEND Dry Cell 0.5N O� 0.5 -1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background r Concentration) 0 2.5-5 o' a 5-50 m 50-250 ' L E 250-1,000 lT/ ISI 1,000 - 5,000 0 a 5,000 -7,306 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY ca = MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 1 N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 22 Initial (2015) Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 0.5 - 1 (Standard) 1. pg/Ljcrograms per liter 1 -2.5 (Background 2. AntiIMAC value = 1 pg/L Concentration) 3. AntiPPBC = 2.5 pg/L o E r .6 V V N I LEGEND .01 Dry Cell V1N <= 05 LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN L� 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 23 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone 0.5 - 1 (Standard) P i 1 -2.5 (Background Concentration) CI 0 2.5-5 _Y T 5-50 x 50-250 m `m 250- 1,000 s u 161,000 - 5,000 0 a 5,000 - 7,306 m E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT — ? — WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN L� 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 23 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. tag/L =micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 tag/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 tag/L E cci N N O — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 24 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone N LEGEND F m Dry Cell N O <= 0.5 L 0.5 - 1 (Standard) LL 1 -2.5 (Background Concentration) �I 2.5-5 a 5-50 m 50-250 L E 250- 1,000 - 5,000 161,000 0 a 5,000 - 7,306 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARYCOINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 24 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L a l9 LEGEND Dry Cell 0.5N O I 0.5 -1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background r Concentration) 0 2.5-5 o' a 5-50 m 50-250 ' L E 250-1,000 lT/ ISI 1,000 - 5,000 0 a 5,000 -7,306 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY V MODEL DOMAIN I 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin = J N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 25 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 pg/L E cci N N l9 N LEGEND m Dry Cell N O <= 0.5 I L 0.5 - 1 (Standard) U- 1 -2.5 (Background Concentration) V 0 2.5-5 a 5-50 m 50-250 L E 250- 1,000 - 5,000 161,000 0 a 5,000 - 7,306 E _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE L m BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 26 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 Ng/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 pg/L LEGEND a Dry Cell V <= 0.5 7 0.5 - 1 (Standard) Q 1 -2.5 (Background CI Concentration) 0 2.5-5 _Y i 5-50 Z m 50-250 in 250-1,000 s 1,000 - 5,000 0 a 5,000 - 7,306 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN i— Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 27 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. tag/L = micrograms per liter 2. Antimony IMAC value = 1 tag/L 3. Antimony PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L E (6 N N LEGEND co I Dry Cell N� — 0.5 O 0.5 - 1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background r Concentration) 0 2.5-5 E: 5-50 50-250 L E 250-1,000 lT/ ISI 1,000 - 5,000 0 a 5,000 - 7,306 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY V MODEL DOMAIN 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 28 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Antimony Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater 12.0 10.0 8.0 bo 6.0 C 0 I` 4.0 00 C 0 V 20 0.0 + Ln uO m ri Predicted Arsenic Concentration at AB -1S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place — -Arsenic 2L 00 o rrl s.D c o o rrl s.D 00 o rry ;.D W o ai o O O O O ri r -I ri r -I r -I N N N N N M r -I N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N M otes: 1. µg/L=rncrogramsperliter 2. Ars en it 2L Sta ndard = S o jig/ L S. Arsenic PRBC=54g/L Time (Years) Figure 29 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well A13 -1S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 30 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well A13 -2S Predicted Arsenic Concentration at AB -2S 12.0 10.0_-----�— —Existing Conditions $ 0 _ Cap -in -Place — -,arsenic 2L 6.0 b C O +, 4.0 ca v U Mann 2.0 0.0 -, � 00 o I'D o N I'D o N a m rn o rri 00 00 0 0 o a r -I r_� r -I r. -i r_q rq N N r� r.r r.i N r� �.D 00 N N ry ro ati c.i ry rd Notes: 1. µg/L=rnicroaranuperliker Time (Years) 2. Arsenic 2L Standard= l4 M/L S. Arsenic PPBC=5M/L Figure 30 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well A13 -2S 12.0 10.0 ouo 6.0 0 0 4.0 ar 0 V 2.0 0.0 cc�� ¢¢ 0 0000 N 000 C7 N 0�0 b N 0�0 07 0) O 'O O 0 Q .1 N N N N N M �-I —i N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2LStandard=10kg/L Time (Years) 3. Arsenic 'PPBC = 5µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Arsenic Concentration at GWA-15 Figure 31 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well GWA-1S 12.0 110111; 111 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Arsenic Concentration at MW -65 0.0 Lr)�t Tt �t z ooCD N rn CD CD rq Motes: 1. µg/L=microgramsper liter 2. Arsenic2L3tandard=10 µg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC=5M/L z 00 0 r � Kt o00 c N z X c N CD CD N N Time (Years) Figure 32 Predicted Arsenic in Monitoring Well MW -6S Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L E (6 N N N I LEGEND Dry Cell NI _ O 1-2.3 2.3 - 5 (Background r Concentration) 0 5 -10 (Standard) a 10-100 m 100-250 L E 250-500 m 500-2,500 O a 2,500 - 5,144 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 33 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone E D V V Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter ✓ ,� ! 2. Arsenic 21- Standard = 10 pg/L ! 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/LOIL~ Amer, N LEGEND n Dry Cell 14 <= 1 i 1-2-3 P 2.3 - 5 (Background CI Concentration) 0 r 5 - 10 (Standard) i 10-100 x 100-250 `m 250-500 s u 16500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY DLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ N BOUNDARY U ' MODEL DOMAIN r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 34 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L C9 N LEGEND I m Dry Cell y N o L 1-2.3 LL 2.3 - 5 (Background �I Concentration) 5 - 10 (Standard) 1 a 10-100 {1 100-250 m L E 250-500 `m ` 500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N _ BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 35 Initial (2015) Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L N I LEGEND Dry Cell NI _ O 1-2.3 LL 2.3 - 5 (Background �i Concentration) 0 5 -10 (Standard) a 10-100 100-250 m L 250-500 l9 N500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 o O.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH 0- I — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin � = J N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 36 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L N LEGEND m Dry Cell y N F� <= 1 11 o i L 1-2-3 LL 2.3 - 5 (Background �I Concentration) 0 5 - 10 (Standard) 10-100 100-250 m E 250-500 `m 16 500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY V PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH L% Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin e _ ,r • I _ t — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - \ LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY _ MODEL DOMAIN N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 37 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 21- Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N LEGEND p m Dry Cell y N o L 1-2.3 LL 2.3 - 5 (Background �I Concentration) 5 - 10 (Standard) 1 a 10-100 1l 100-250 m _ ! E 250-500 `m 16 500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY V PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ r N BOUNDARY V MODEL DOMAIN N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 38 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L E cc N N OI l9 LEGEND Dry Cell N _ OI a� 1-2.3 LL 2.3 - 5 (Background �i Concentration) 0 0 5 -10 (Standard) a 10-100 =� 100-250 m 2 250-500 N500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH r BASIN COMPLIANCE N rn BOUNDARY n o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N m BOUNDARY 0 500 1.000 U MODEL DOMAIN Feet Figure 39 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L E N N N LEGEND e m Dry Cell y N C L 1-2.3 LL 2.3 - 5 (Background �I Concentration) 5 - 10 (Standard) 1 ¢ 10-100 {l 100-250 m L E 250-500 `m ` 500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARYok Will. 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL 60MAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 40 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Arsenic 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Arsenic PPBC = 5 pg/L E cci N N Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin LEG END m Dry Cell y N <= 1 11 o L 1-2.3 LL 2.3 - 5 (Background LI Concentration) 5 - 10 (Standard) 1 a 10-100 {1 100-250 m _ E 250-500 `m 16 500-2,500 0 a 2,500 - 5,144 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY V PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH N — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY _ r MODEL DOMAIN r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 41 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Arsenic Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone 800.0 700.0 600.0 500.0 r-, � 400.0 c a +� 300.0 c m 200.0 100.0 0.0 Ln It rID0 cc ) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Barium Concentration at AB -1S Notes: 1. µ;;IL=rnicro:grarnsperliter 2. Bariurn 2L Standard = 7DD pgf L 3. Bariurn PPB C=157.3 pg/L CD N � 00 CD N � 00 o N � 00 CD Q Q CD CD Q����� N N N N r4 rn Time (Years) Figure 42 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well AB -1S r.1a411C 700.0 600.0 500.0 400.0 0 300.0 200,0 u 100.0 0.0 00CD N cr, CD CD Notes: 1. pfl/L=mieroaramsperliter 2. BaIum 2L Standard =744µg/L 3. Barium PPBC=1S 7.3 pg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Barium Concentration at AB -25 CD Q CD CD ����� N N N N N M Time (Years) Figure 43 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well AB -2S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 44 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well GWA-1S Predicted Barium Concentration at GENA -1S 8001.0 700.0 600.0 - —Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place 50101.0 r-, — -Barium 2L 470.01 m c 0 300.01 - 200.0 - 0 U 1001.0 0.0 - � 00 0 N � 00 o N � CD N � 00 CD crs m rl rl 00 o o Q CD CD r. -i T__q T__q T__q T__q N N N N n1 iV i'wl e� N CV N CV N N N N N m N N N c.l Notes: 1. [ig/L=micragramsper liter 2. B a ri urn 2L Sta ndard = 70D M/L Time (Years) 3_ &arium PPBC=157.3µg/L Figure 44 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well GWA-1S :ff f 70,0.0 r-, t 400.0 C 0 W 300.0 e� C Qv 200.0 0 U 1001.0 0.0 i Jar Lr7 qf ;t 00 CD rl 0) cr) CD CD r -I rl rJ N Notes- 1- µgj'L= m icrog ra ms p er liter 2. Barium 2LStandard=744µg/L 3. Barium PPBC=157.3 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Barium Concentration at M'wJ1f-65 Existing Conditions —Cap -in -Place — -Barium 2L 00 CD r l tD 00 CD 4 L.D 04 CD 0 O C1 r1 r_� r1 r_� r1 N rU N rel N M N N rl N N N N N N N N rl N N Time (Years) Figure 45 Predicted Barium in Monitoring Well MW -6S Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 pg/L E N N l9 LEGEND CU Dry Cell N 0 <=38.4 i P 38.4-99 99 - 157.3 (Background Concentration) r 0 157.3-250 a 250-500 m 500 - 700 (Standard) L E lT/ 700-1,000 1,000 - 1,500 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 46 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 pg/L l9 N LEGEND a Dry Cell V <=38.4 38.4-99 Q' 99 - 157.3 (Background Ci Concentration) 0 157.3-250 Y 250-500 i m 500 - 700 (Standard) ro 700-1,000 s 1,000 - 1,500 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY DLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 0 L j Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 47 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 pg/L N LEGEND p n Dry Cell V —38.4 i 38.4 - 99 P 99 - 157.3 (Background Concentration) CI r 157.3 - 250 1 {1 1 250 - 500 x 500 - 700 (Standard) m 700- 1,000 s 1,000 - 1,500 u ` 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY DLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ r N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 48 Initial (2015) Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 Ng/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 Ng/L � • _...-• .--tee,• E N N N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N of <=38.4 a� 38.4 - 99 LL 99 - 157.3 (Background Concentration) �i 157.3 - 250 a 250 - 500 =� m 500 - 700 (Standard) L E lT/ 700 - 1,000 1,000 - 1,500 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 'c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 49 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 pg/L N LEGEND e m Dry Cell y N 11 o <=38.4 i L 38.4 - 99 99 - 157 3 (Back round u- Concentration) �I 0 157.3 - 250 a 250 - 500 =� m 500 - 700 (Standard) L E l0 700- 1,000 1,000 - 1,500 ` 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 'c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 50 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 pg/L N LEGEND I m Dry Cell y N 11 o <=38.4 i 38.4 - 99 z LL 99 - 157.3 (Background �I Concentration) 157.3 - 250 — 1 a 250 - 500 {1 =� 500 - 700 (Standard) m L E 700- 1,000 l0 ` 1,000 - 1,500 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY V PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH ml IN BOUNDARY BOU LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ r N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 51 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 Ng/L E N O l9 LEGEND CU Dry Cell N 0 <=38.4 i 38.4 - 99 99 - 157.3 (Background Concentration) r 0 157.3 - 250 a 250 - 500 m 500 - 700 (Standard) L E lT/ 700 - 1,000 1,000 - 1,500 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 I LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN I Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 52 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone J es:Ig/L= micrograms per liter arium 2L Standard = 700 Ng/L arium PPBC = 157.3 pg/L E cci N N O _I m N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N of <=38.4 2 38.4 - 99 99 - 157.3 (Background VI Concentration) 0 157.3 - 250 a 250 - 500 m 500 - 700 (Standard) L E 700 - 1,000 lT/ 1,000 - 1,500 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN J J 1 #o Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 53 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. fag/L = micrograms per liter 2. Barium 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Barium PPBC = 157.3 pg/L N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N 0 <=38.4 i 38.4 - 99 99 - 157.3 (Background Concentration) r 157.3 - 250 a 250 - 500 m 500 - 700 (Standard) L E lT/ 700 - 1,000 1,000 - 1,500 0 a 1,500 - 1,891 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN 1 .11 i �, s L J� �"' ! / I Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 54 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Barium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Predicted Beryllium Concentration at AB-1S 4,5 4.0 15 10 15 an 0 2.0 m c 1.5 1.0 0.5 0,0 -I Ln It It It tD as CD N M M c CD rl r-I r.l hJ Notes: 1. �igv/L=microgramsper liter 2. BerylliumIMAEvalue=4µg/L S. Beryl lium PPBC=1 �/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Existing Conditions - Cap -in -Place — -Beryllium IMAC o c o r_� r_� r_� r_� "i N N N N N M N N N N N N N N N N el N N N Time (Years) Figure 55 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well AB-1S 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 tQ 2.0 D }, 1.5 c m c� 0 1.0 U 0.5 0.0 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Beryllium Concentration at AB-2S -Existing Conditions Cap-i n-Place -Beryllium IMAC UD 00 0 N � 00 CD N � 00 a N � 00 CD m C) ® o 0 a O ri ri ri ri ri N N N N N m r-I r-i N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes 1. IiE/L = rn icrogra rrn per liter 2. BerylliumIMAC value=4µg/L Time (Years) 3. BerylliumPPBC=1µg/L Figure 56 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well AB-2S Predicted Beryllium Concentration at GWA-IS 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 ao 2.5 3 O 2.0 L � 1.5 tr.7 1.0 0.5 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place _. -Berylliurn IIVAC 0.0 -I —� LO 7 ;8 8�rt%j 4 Z8;8 8 r-I r-1 [V N N N N N fV N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMACvalue=4 WJL Time (Years) 3. Beryllium PPBC= I µg/L Figure 57 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well GWA-IS Predicted Beryllium Concentration at MW-6 7.0 AD] 5.0 1.0 0.0 Ln I*It It 00 CD N 0) C) CD CD r-I Notes: 1. pgfL=micrtrgramsper liter 2. Beryl flu mIMAC vaWe=4µg/L S. Beryl liu rn PPBC= I pipjL Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin C� O G r-I r-I rl "I "I N N N N rJ rn rJ N N N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 58 Predicted Beryllium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMAC value = 4 pg/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 pg/L k , E (D N N N LEGEND m Dry Cell N 0 <= 0.33 4I 0.33 - 1 (Background — Concentration) CL I 1 -4 (Standard) 4-6 a 8-9 m 9-12 L E ro 12-15 16 15 - 18 a 18 - 21.5 m E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 59 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium ]MAC value = 4 pg/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 pg/L ° E D V V N I LEGEND .01 Dry Cell <= 0.33 0.33 - 1 (Background ` Concentration) rn ci 1 -4 (Standard) 0 4-6 Y i 6-9 m 9-12 C 12-15 U 15 - 18 0 ° 18 - 21.5 a E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 Y _ _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY m 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH i — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/5TRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY U N MODEL DOMAIN e Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 60 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMAC value = 4 pg/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 pg/L N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.33 0.33 - 1 (Background ` Concentration) rn CI 1 -4 (Standard) 0 N 4-6 Y T 8-9 x 9-12 m 12-15 m s 15 - 18 0 a 18 - 21.5 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 61 Initial (2015) Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L =micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMAC value = 4 Ng/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 Ng/L E + . D V N I LEGEND .01 Dry Cell V1N <= 0.33 4 0.33 - 1 (Background - Concentration) rn CI 1 -4 (Standard) 0 N 4-6 Y T 8-9 x 9-12 m 12-15 s 15 - 18 0 a 18 - 21.5 m E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT — ? — WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN z� N Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 62 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium ]MAC value = 4 pg/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 pg/L 911iF: N LEGEND n Dry Cell 4 <= 0.33 VI 0.33 - 1 (Background ` rn Concentration) CI 1 -4 (Standard) 0 4-6 it 6-9 x 9-12 m 12-15 ro s 15 - 18 0 a 18 - 21.5 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY FILL ZLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 63 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMAC value = 4 Ng/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 Ng/L w1E - D V V N I LEGEND .01 Dry Cell <= 0.33 0.33 - 1 (Background ` Concentration) rn ci 1 -4 (Standard) 0 4-6 Y i 6-9 m 9-12 C 12-15 U 15-1$ 0 ° 18 - 21.5 a m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 Y _ _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY m 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH i — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/5TRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY U N MODEL DOMAIN u Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r* 4 N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 64 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. fag/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMAC value = 4 Ng/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 gg/L V V CI N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.33 D 0.33 - 1 (Background ` Concentration) rn CI 1 -4 (Standard) 0 N 4-6 Y T 8-9 x 9-12 m 12-15 m s 15 - 18 0 a 18 - 21.5 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN k), �r 4 map- Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin NN 1 1 500 1,000 a- r - et 1a N - il Figure 65 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. ug/L =micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMAC value = 4 Ng/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 Ng/L .6 V V l9 N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.33 0I 0.33 - 1 (Background = Concentration) rn CI 1 -4 (Standard) 0 4-6 it 6-9 x 9-12 m 12-15 ro s 15 - 18 0 a 18 - 21.5 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY L m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY FILL ZLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 66 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Beryllium IMAC value = 4 Ng/L 3. Beryllium PPBC = 1 Ng/L i N I LEGEND .01 Dry Cell <= 0.33 0.33 - 1 (Background ` Concentration) rn ci 1 -4 (Standard) 0 4-6 Y i 6-9 m 9-12 C 12-15 U 15 - 18 0 ° 18 - 21.5 a m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 Y _ _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY m 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH i — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/5TRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY U N MODEL DOMAIN y 4- r Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 67 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Beryllium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Predicted Boron Concentration at AB-1S 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 aO 1,200 c O 1,000 L U 800 r- O u 600 400 200 0 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Ln lD 00 N Cf 0�0 f�V Z� 0Zo N lC1 f]� M Q Q O Q 0 c-I r-I •--I -1 -1 N N N N .--I -4 N [V rV N N N N N N N N rV N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2.Boron 2LStandard =700µg/L Time (Years) 3_ Boron PPBC= 100 µg/L Figure 68 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well ABAS Predicted Boron Concentration at AB-2S M 700 M J 500 0 400 r� r- 300 0 u 200 100 0 Sip 00 N 0000 N CO N M M Q Q O O 4 —4 —I r-I r-I r-I N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2.Boron 2LStandard =700µg/L Time (Years) 3. Boron PPBC = 100 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 69 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well AB-2S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Boron Concentration at GWA-IS s00 700 - 600 - Existing Conditions _ Cap -in -Place t 4 500 -Boron ZL O P 400 300 - G V 200 - 100 0LO - C� lD 00 N Cf 0�0 f��l 00*0 N CV) a) Q Q O Q 0 c-I r-I •--I .--I -1 N rV N N .--I .--I N [V N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter Time (Years) 2.Boron 2LStandard =700µg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 µg/L Figure 70 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well GWA-IS Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Boron Concentration at MW-65 800 700 600 500 tw 400 Existing Conditions 300 Cap -in -Place u - -Boron 2L 0 200 100 0 N ¢¢ N Cb C4 0000 t7) M 0000 0000 O O O O O N N N N r-I c-I N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter Time (rears) 2.Boron 2LStandard =700µg/L 3_ Boron PPBC= 100 µg/L Figure 71 Predicted Boron in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 pg/L V_ '1I LEGEND C N Dry Cell N C -- 50 I 50 - 100 (Background m Concentration) 100 - 350 350 - 700 (Standard) ,W 700 - 2,000 N s 2,000 - 5,000 0 5,000 - 10,000 0 a 10,000 - 20,000 c 20,000 - 90,000 'm m n DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY C � � 3 BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY L r ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE ° _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT 2 WITH DUKE ENERGY N PROPERTY BOUNDARY rn D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL N FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN III Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin ��.An N A 0 500 1,000 J � Feet Figure 72 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC - 100 pg/L '1I LEGEND / C N '_ Dry Cell in <= 50 I � 50 - 100 (Background m Concentration) 100 - 350 350 - 700 (Standard) 700 - 2,000 N s 2,000 - 5,000 1 0 5,000 - 10,000 0 a 10,000 - 20,000 E c 20,000 - 90,000 N ro n _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY C � 3 BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE 0) BOUNDARY C r ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE j BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE ° BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o i WITH DUKE ENERGY 05 I PROPERTY BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL z FILL BOUNDARY N MODEL DOMAIN I 011 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 73 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone 11111110 1 N 0 500 1,000 Feet Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 pg/L LEGEND Dry Cell V) r- - — 50 I 50 - 100 (Background m Concentration) ' 100 - 350 350 - 700 (Standard) 700 - 2,000 N s 2,000 - 5,000 0 5,000 - 10,000 0 10,000 - 20,000 c - 20,000 - 90,000 N ro n DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY C � 3 BOUNDARY oTi ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY r ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE j BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY COINCIDENT i WITH DUKE ENERGY rn PROPERTY BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL z FILL BOUNDARY N MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin s 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 74 Initial (2015) Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 pg/L LEGEND Dry Cell V) C i 50 - 100 (Background Concentration) 100 - 350 350 - 700 (Standard) 4 l\ 700 - 2,000 N s 2,000 - 5,000 0 5,000 - 10,000 0 10,000 - 20,000 c 20,000 - 90,000 'm n DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY C � � 3 BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE 0) BOUNDARY L r ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL N FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 75 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 Ng/L e "1I LEGEND C Dry Cell c c° <= 50 M 50 - 100 (Background E2 Concentration) m 100 - 350 v 350 - 700 (Standard) 700 - 2,000 E2 2,000 - 5,000 -1 0 5,000 - 10,000 a 10,000 - 20,000 E 'c 20,000 - 90,000 N ro m _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY L � BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE 0 BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE p BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT 0- WITH DUKE ENERGY .NI PROPERTY BOUNDARY rn o I LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL Z FILL BOUNDARY N r MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 1 N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 76 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 77 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 pg/L P x x E o � vi LEGEND C Dry Cell c) IL<= 50 f r m 50 - 100 (Background N Concentration) `b 100 - 350 350 - 700 (Standard) 1 t 700 - 2,000 2,000 - 5,000 N It 1 0 5,000 - 10,000 0 a 10,000 - 20,000 E 20,000 - 90,000 m m DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY _ L - BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT a WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL z FILL BOUNDARY N MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N k 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 78 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 pg/L x E N "1I LEGEND Dry Cell C c i � <= 50 i r 50 - 100 (Background N 1 Concentration) 100 - 350 350 - 700 (Standard) t 700 - 2,000 N 2,000 - 5,000 5,000 - 10,000 0 -o 10,000 - 20,000 CU _ 20,000 - 90,000 N ro DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 3 BOUNDARY rn _ ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL z FILL BOUNDARY P MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 79 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Boron 2L Standard = 700 pg/L 3. Boron PPBC = 100 pg/L LEGEND Dry Cell C c i � <= 50 i r 50 - 100 (Background N 1 Concentration) 100 - 350 350 - 700 (Standard) t 700 - 2,000 N 2,000 - 5,000 5,000 - 10,000 v 10,000 - 20,000 CU _ 20,000 - 90,000 N ro DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 3 BOUNDARY rn _ ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL z FILL BOUNDARY P MODEL DOMAIN i Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 80 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Boron Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone 34[?,4QO 25a,DDO 2GD,4Q0 r—, 3 15a,GGO O M 14C),4Q0 c3 0 V .1 11C 0 Ln tD cr) ri Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Chloride Concentration at AB-1S vt 000 CD N � 00 O N �t s.DD 00 O N w cc a a) O rD O CD O r-I r-I r-I r-I r-I N N N N N M r-I N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L=micrograrnsper liter 2.ChIoride2L5tandard=L90,ODDMJL Time (Years) 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,900 µgf L Figure 81 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well ABAS Predicted Chloride Concentration at AB-25 3(]4,DGG 250,000 gal},BI}4 3 15o,l)oa 0 M w 0 U 54,40t7 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Existing Conditions —Cap-in-Place — -Chloride A C) } �} � CO O N tZo 0 o N �.D 000 0 N ..D 00 o am rn 0 0 0 0 0 r-I r-I r_� r-I r-I N N N rwl N ro rl "I rV N N N N N N N rV N N rU N rV N rV Notes: 1. µg/L= micrograms per liter Z_Chloride2LStandard=250,000pigfL Time (Years) 3_ Chloride PPBC= 3,544 µg/L Figure 82 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well A13-2S 25 a,0OO 20a,0OO � 15Q,0OO 0 Ln It sD 00 rn am Notes: S. µg/L=rn crogramsper ter 2. ChIonde2LStandard=25b,000pg1L S. ChIoridePPEIC= 5,5W µgf L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Chloride Concentration at GWA-1 CD � voo a N s�D [ 0 CD N c�D C00 CD Ca CD CD O CD rl rl rl rl rl N r4 N N N rn N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 83 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well GWA-1S 3()0,0D'®' 250,0D0 20D,000 J ba 150,000 7 C 0 1DD,000 C s� C G V sD,000 0 Ln It CD 44 C) 01 r-I ri Predicted Chloride Concentration at MW-65 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin ons It N � 00 o N � 00 a N � 00 o CD O CD O CD ri r-I ri r-I r-I N N N N N fln N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N ates: 1. µg/L=micragramsper liter 2.Chloride2L5tartdard=250,OOOpLg/L Time (Years) S. ChlaridePPBC= 3,5W µg/L Figure 84 Predicted Chloride in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: I 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 pg/L N yy O ■� L LEGEND N ? Dry Cell m N pr — 3,500 (Background o Concentration) L 3,500 - 5,000 LL 5,000 - 9,810 a 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 a ¢ U 50,000 - 100,000 m 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) 250,000 - 500,000 4 0 a 500,000 - 751011 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 'c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE N BOUNDARY rn LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY 80 M MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin f4 A �r P- N 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 85 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: I f� 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 pg/L p C E r �j V V" N LEGEND > n Dry Cell Pr <= 3,500 (Background Concentration) 0 3,500 - 5,000 5,000 - 9,810 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) s u 4 250,000 - 500,000 0 a 500,000 - 751011 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY DLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 86 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 250,000 Ng/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 fag/L t LEGEND N A Dry Cell m N <= 3,500 (Background o Concentration) 0 3,500 - 5,000 0I L 5,000 - 9,810 R I 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 t 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) 250,000 - 500,000 0 a 500,000 - 751011 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 'c BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH 0- — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 87 Initial (2015) Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. fag/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 pg/L " N N yy O ■� L LEGEND N ? Dry Cell m N pr — 3,500 (Background o Concentration) L 3,500 - 5,000 LL 5,000 - 9,810 �I a 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 a ¢ U 50,000 - 100,000 m 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) 250,000 - 500,000 4 0 a 500,000 - 751011 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUND ARYCOINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY ZLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 88 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 Ng/L N LEGEND > n Dry Cell Pr <= 3,500 (Background Concentration) 0 3,500 - 5,000 5,000 - 9,810 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) s u 4 250,000 - 500,000 0 a 500,000 - 751011 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin i N 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 89 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY V MODEL DOMAIN Figure 90 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 pg/L E cci N N O L LEGEND ? Dry Cell m N pr — 3,500 (Background o Concentration) L 3,500 - 5,000 LL 5,000 - 9,810 �I a 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 a ¢ U 50,000 - 100,000 t 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) 250,000 - 500,000 4 0 a 500,000 - 751011 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN � ;v Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 91 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L =micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 1■..�' 250,000 pg/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 pg/L o - D ' V V LEGEND N Dry Cell D <= 3,500 (Background Concentration) W 3,500 - 5,000 5,000 - 9,810 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) s 250,000 - 500,000 0 a 500,000 - 751011 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN J i Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 92 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chloride 2L Standard = 250,000 Ng/L 3. Chloride PPBC = 3,500 Ng/L 0 E D V V LEGEND N Dry Cell a <= 3,500 (Background Concentration) 3.500 - 51000 P 5,000 - 9,810 o I 9,810 - 15,000 15,000 - 50,000 50,000 - 100,000 100,000 - 250,000 (Standard) s 250,000 - 500,000 0 a 500,000 - 751011 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 1 4i 10 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin t N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 93 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chloride Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Chromium Concentration at AB -1ST 12.0 10.0 misting Conditions Cap -in -Place 8.0 — -Chromiurm 2L 6.0 0 4.© 0 u 2.0 0.0 - C)� CD CD CD CD CD ����� N rq N rq N CD ro Mates: 1. µ-/L=microgramsperliter Time (Years) 2. Chromium2LStandard=10µdL 3. Chromium PPRC=11.3 µgJL Figure 94 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well AB -IS 12.0 11M M. ba 6.0 c 0 4.0 c �u c 0 U 20 Predicted Chromium Concentration at AB-2S Ln r4D00 c N 0) � 0 0 0 r-I Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin It It It It 4 � 4t � �t 4��t It c.a oa c N CA 40 0 N z oo a a rl rl rl r-� r-� N N r.l rJ rJ Cn r.l r.l N N r.l r.l r l r.l Notes: 1. µg{L=microgramsperliter 2.Chromium2LStenderd=10pg/L Time (Years) S. ChromiumPP8C=11.3 Ng/L Figure 95 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well A13-2S Predicted Chromium Concentration at GWA-15 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.8 10.6 r- 0 10.4 c 10.2 0 U 10.0 9.8 Ln cc a � rq rq N N ates.: 1. µg/L= micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2LStandard=1Olrg/L S. ChromiumPPBC=11.5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin It tt It It 4 Int Int Iqt t 4 �t llzt It �.D cc o N sID 00 CD N s.D 00 0 Co o r-I ri r-I ri r-I N N N N N ro N N N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 96 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well GWA-1S Predicted Chromium Concentration at MW-6S 25.0 20.0 15.0 0 L 10.0 i3 0 U 5.0 0.0 S.O 40 O N 5.O 00 rl s-I N N N N N Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin O N s.D cc O N S.D 00 O ri r-I r' r-I r' N N N N N rn N N N N N N N N N N N Notes 1. µgfL= micrograms per liter 2.Chromium2L5tarrdard=14µgfL Time (Years) 3- Chromium PPBC=11.3 ugf L Figure 97 Predicted Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 pg/L l9 ro LEGEND a Dry Cell V r 5 1.9 - 5 P 5-8 CI 8 - 10 (Standard) r 10 - 11.3 (Background i Concentration) x 11.3 - 30 m m 30 - 60 60 - 90 0 a 90 - 123 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN u f h� f Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r nN 7 N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 98 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 10 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 pg/L iP E .6 V V OI LEGEND ro a Dry Cell V r 1.9 - 5 P 5-8 C 0 8 - 10 (Standard) a r 10 - 11.3 (Background i Concentration) x 11.3 - 30 m N 30 - 60 m 60 - 90 0 a 90 - 123 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN L I Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r `!p N 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 99 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 pg/L 0 D LEGEND y ro a Dry Cell V r 1.9 - 5 P 5-8 C 0 8 - 10 (Standard) a r 10 - 11.3 (Background i Concentration) x 11.3 - 30 m m 30 - 60 60 - 90 0 a 90 - 123 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 100 Initial (2015) Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 Ng/L LEGEND s 9 Dry Cell V m 1.9 - 5 °°I 5-8 C °0 8- 10 (Standard) r 10 - 11.3 {Background T Concentration) i 11.3 - 30 30 - 60 d: 60 - 90 a 90 - 123 E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY U PROPERTY BOUNDARY w 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY LAND FILLSTRUCTURAIL FILL m BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N 0 500 1,000 ® �1 �f Feet Figure 101 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter (` y ! ! 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 pg/LOIL 0 E .6 V V l9 N LEGEND n Dry Cell y V 4 1.9-5 P 5 8 0 8- 10 (Standard) r 10 - 11.3 (Background i Concentration) x I 11-3-30 30 - 60 ro s 4 60 - 90 0 a 90-123 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N �- n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUND ARYCOINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ r n BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 102 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 Ng/L LEGEND ca Dry Cell N r o i 1.9 - 5 LL 5-8 r� a 8 - 10 (Standard) 10 - 11.3 (Background a Concentration) 11.3 - 30 m L E 30 - 60 m N 60 - 90 0 a 90 - 123 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH CL I — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 I LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY U MODEL DOMAIN Y A Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 103 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 10 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 pg/L iP i N LEGEND n Dry Cell V 1.9-5 rn 5 8 0 S- 10 (Standard) r 10 - 11.3 (Background i Concentration) x j 11.3 - 30 if) An u 4 i60 - 90 0 a 90-123 E _ _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY � BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT — — WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 104 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 pg/L E .6 V V �I LEGEND a Dry Cell V r / 1.9 - 5 P 5-8 i C 0 8 - 10 (Standard) a r 10 - 11.3 (Background i Concentration) x 11.3 - 30 ' m m 30 - 60 60 - 90 0 a 90 - 123 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin s_ ) 1! I +t N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 105 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Chromium 2L Standard = 10 pg/L 3. Chromium PPBC = 11.3 pg/L r LEGEND ca Dry Cell N o 1.9 - 5 LL 5-8 r� a 8 - 10 (Standard) 10 - 11.3 (Background a Concentration) 11.3 - 30 m L E 30 - 60 m N 60 - 90 0 a 90 - 123 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 I LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 106 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Cobalt Concentration at AB -IS 3.0 —Existing Conditions —Cap-in-Place 2.5 — -Cobalt IMAC 2.0 bo 1 1.5 C 0 c 0 U 0.5 0.0 Ln w 00 CD N � 00 o N �.D 00 a r �.D 00 o M M o CS CS CD o r.� r.� r_� r.� r.� N r.l r l r l r l ro Notes: 1. µg/L=rnicrograms. per liter 2.CottaItIMAC value=lµg/L Time (Years) S. CobaIt PPK=25 µg/L Figure 107 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well A13-1S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Cobalt Concentration at AB-2S 2.5 —Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place 2.0 — -Cobalt IMAC 1.5 to 0 1.0 -_- -f -_- L f.i 0.5 0.0 f I s ! II} ed e -Itt It CD 00 CS N CD 00 Cy N s.D 00 CS N CD 00 Cy cr) QS Cy C1 Cy C7 Cy r-I rl r-I r-I rl N N N N N C 1 rl rl N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L=micrograrnsperliter 2.CobattIMAC ualue=1M/L Time (Years) S. Coba It PPBC = 2.5 IYgf L Figure 108 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well AB-2S 6.0 5.0 I? KOM 1.0 Predicted Cobalt Concentration at GWA-1S Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place — -Cobalt IMAC 0.0 -I- Ln La am Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin cc o r � 00 o N � 00 ® N � 00 o am CD CD o a CD rl r-I rl rl rl N N N N N m rl N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Motes: 1. µglL=rnlcrograrnsperliter 2. Cobalt IMAC va lue=1 µgJL 3. CobaItPPBC=2.5 pig{L Time (Years) Figure 109 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well GWA-1S 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0► 5.0 4.0 �o Rl L 3.0► s.i a 2.0 u 1.0 U.0 It It It 00 a N a —I rl s *1 s'J Notes_ 1. µ /L=microgramsp•erliter 2. Coba It I MAC va Iu e=1 µg/L 9. CobaIt PPBC=2.5 µg/L Predicted Cobalt Concentration at MW-65 c N � co 0 Time (Years) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 00 CD N N N N N Figure 110 Predicted Cobalt in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 pg/L _I l9 N LEGEND n Dry Cell V — pow <= 0.5 0.5 - 0.7 P 0.7 - 0,9 CI 0.9 - 1 (Standard) 0 r 1 -2.5 (Background i Concentration) x 2.5 - 4 m `m 4-10.7 s 10.7 - 250 0 a 250 - 1,548 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN �Vj E' u Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 111 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. ug/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 pg/L 0 E D V V N LEGEND n Dry Cell V - pow <= 0.5 0.5 - 0.7 P 0.7 - 0,9 CI 0 0.9 - 1 (Standard) a 0 r 1 -2.5 (Background i Concentration) x 2.5 - 4 m m 4 -10.7 s 10.7 - 250 0 a 250 - 1,548 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN A Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 112 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 pg/L N LEGEND n Dry Cell V - pow <= 0.5 a) 0.5 - 0.7 0.7 - 0,9 0.9 - 1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background Concentration) 2.5 - 4 4 -10.7 s 10.7 - 250 0 a 250 - 1,548 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN A Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 113 Initial (2015) Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 Ng/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L cci N N O N LEGEND m Dry Cell N <= 0.5 O I N 0.5 - 0.7 0.7 - 0.9 0.9 - 1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background Concentration) 2.5-4 E 4 - 10.7 lt7 4 10.7 - 250 0 a 250 - 1,548 m E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N ca ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN r� Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 114 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 pg/L E N N l9 N LEGEND m Dry Cell N O <= 0.5 I N 3 0.5 - 0.7 LL 0.7 - 0.9 �I a 0.9 - 1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background a Concentration) m 2.5-4 E 4 - 10.7 lt7 10.7 - 250 4 0 a 250 - 1,548 E _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 115 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L l9 N LEGEND n Dry Cell V pow <= 0.5 a) 0.5 - 0.7 0.7 - 0,9 0.9 - 1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background Concentration) 2.5 - 4 4 -10.7 s 10.7 - 250 0 a 250 - 1,548 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN t Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin i r N 100 0 500 1.000 116, Feet Figure 116 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L =micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 Ng/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L N N l9 N LEGEND m Dry Cell N O <= 0.5 I N 3 0.5 - 0.7 LL 0.7 - 0.9 I r a 0.9 - 1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background a Concentration) m 2.5-4 E 4 - 10.7 lt7 10.7 - 250 4 0 a 250 - 1,548 m E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c N BOUNDARY ca ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY m 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN u 0 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 117 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt ]MAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 Ng/L 0 E D V V N LEGEND I n Dry Cell V <= 0.5 I N 0.5 - 0.7 3 P 0.7 - 0.9 I � C 0 0.9 - 1 (Standard) a 0 r 1 -2.5 (Background � 1 i Concentration) x 2.5-4 4 - 10.7 ro s ' 4 10.7 - 250 0 a 250 - 1,548 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY r � BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE 0 BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH ? — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin W., t. rm-, N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 118 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Cobalt IMAC value = 1 pg/L 3. Cobalt PPBC = 2.5 pg/L N LEGEND n Dry Cell V — pow <= 0.5 a) 0.5 - 0.7 0.7 - 0,9 0.9 - 1 (Standard) 1 -2.5 (Background Concentration) 2.5 - 4 4 -10.7 s 10.7 - 250 0 a 250 - 1,548 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN A Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 119 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Cobalt Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone 3.0 2.5 2.0 3 1.5 _ a }, 1.0 f� _ O 0.5 0.0 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentration at AB-15 Ln 00 CD N 0) °) CD CD Q Notes: 1. µgr`L=rnicrogramsper liter 2. Hexavalertchromium DHHSHSLvalue=0.47µgJL 3. HexavalentchromiumPH=2.9 M/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin — Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place -Chromium VI DHHS HSL Ict It00 CD N kD 00 CD N � l0 CD CD CD ,� �� ,� N N N N iq M N N rq N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 120 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well AB-1S Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentration at AB-2S 10 2.5 2.0 0.0 1 00 CD N Kt 0' � 0 CD CD CD CD Notes: 1. �kg.1L= micrograms perliter 2. HexavalentchromiumQHH5H5Lvalue=0.07µg/L S. HexavalentchromiumPP&C=2.8 µg/L Time (Years) Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin —Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place — -Chromium VI DHHS HSL 00 CD N � 00 CD N N ry N N M Figure 121 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well A13-2S 2.5 pro, IN 0.0 Ln Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentration at GWA-1S c`ta It � rl N N N N ates: 1. µg/L=rnicrogramsper liter 2. HexavalentrhromiumDHHSHSLvalue=0.07µg/L 3. HexavalentchramiurnPPBC=2.8 µg/L Existing Conditions —Cap-in-Place — -Chromium VI DHHS HSL — — It 110 — It 04 — — It 0 — I N — — — Et I'D — — st 04 — — — — — g CD ' N 't S.D "t 00 G CD s-I r-I rf s-I s-I N N N N N Cn N N N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 122 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well GWA-1S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentration at MW-65 3.0 2.5 PAI tw 0 L W 1.0 43 _ 0 U 0.5 0.0 It It 00 CD N rn C) o 0 N N Motes: 1. µg/L=Microgramsper liter 2. HexavalerrtchromiumaHHSHSLvalue =0.07µg/L S. H exavalent ch romiu m PPBC=2.8 µg/L Time (Years) Figure 123 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium in Monitoring Well MW-6S3 Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 pg/L (L/ N N N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N of <= 0.7 (Standard) 0.07 - 0.089 0.089 - 0.5 0.5 - 1.45 1.45 - 2.8 (Background Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 m 3.2 - 50 6 50 - 78 0 a 78 - 78A DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C uj ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN L J11 V H r r r 0 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 2 N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 124 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 pg/L ow N N N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N 0 <= 0.7 (Standard) i 0.07 - 0.089 LL 0.089 - 0.5 �I a 0.5 - 1.45 1.45 - 2.8 (Background a Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 m L 3.2 - 50 6 50 - 78 0 a 78 - 78A DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin :'*,7 N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 125 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 Ng/L IM N LEGEND a Dry Cell V �I <= 0.7 (Standard) 0 0.07 - 0.089 0.089 - 0.5 0.5 - 1.45 1.45 - 2.8 (Background Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 3.2 - 50 U 50-78 0 a 78 - 78A E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN A Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 126 Initial (2015) Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 pg/L N LEGEND a Dry Cell V �I <= 0.7 (Standard) 0.07 - 0.089 P 0.089 - 0.5 CI 0 0.5 - 1.45 a c r 1.45 - 2.8 (Background i Concentration) x 2.8 - 3.2 m N 3.2 - 50 50 - 78 0 a 78 - 78A DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY N MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N 0 500 1.000 5 � Feet Figure 127 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 Ng/L N N l9 N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N <= 0.7 (Standard) of 0.07 - 0.089 0.089 - 0.5 0.5 - 1.45 1.45 - 2.8 (Background Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 3.2 - 50 50 - 78 0 a 78 - 78A DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 128 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 Ng/L If N l9 N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N 0 <= 0.7 (Standard) i 0.07 - 0.089 0.089 - 0.5 0.5 - 1.45 1.45 - 2.8 (Background Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 3.2 - 50 50 - 78 0 a 78 - 78A DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C uj ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY r MODEL DOMAIN A Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 129 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L {r, - 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC I ' = 2.8 pg/L °-- CD N OI l9 N LEGEND} `° Dry Cell N — 0.7 (Standard) p. OI 'di' 0.07 - 0.089 LL 0.089 - 0.5 l ° 0.5 - 1.45 r a � 1.45 - 2.8 (Background \ Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 m \ L 2 3.2 - 50 1 6 50 - 78 I ° a f � 7a - 7a.4 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY T- r N m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C uj ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE ° BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY t 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY J 8a I = MODEL DOMAIN N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 130 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium (- DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 pg/L � 8 0 �•_ l9 N LEGEND CU Dry Cell N I <= 0.7 (Standard) of 0.07 - 0.089 I LL 0.089 - 0.5 1 1 r� 1 a 0.5 - 1.45 1.45 - 2.8 (Background \ Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 m L 2 3.2 - 50 1 6 50-78 I ° a f � 7a - 7a.4 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY r N 1 _ m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C uj ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE N rn BOUNDARY h o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ IF 'AT BOUNDARY 0 500 1,000 8a = MODEL DOMAIN EMNLiti 'may F eet ., �.. _ i V a '. 7A' Figure 131 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Hexavalent chromium DHHS HSL value = 0.07 pg/L 3. Hexavalent chromium PPBC = 2.8 pg/L l9 N LEGEND a Dry Cell V <= 0.7 (Standard) DI 00.07 - 0.089 0.089 - 0.5 0.5 - 1.45 1.45 - 2.8 (Background Concentration) 2.8 - 3.2 3.2 - 50 U 50-78 0 a 78 - 78A E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 132 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Hexavalent Chromium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Predicted Selenium Concentration at AB -IS 25.0 NIXI; 15.0 C 0 10.0 4-0 M L Q� U Q 0 5.0 0.0 ¢¢ ¢ ¢¢ �} 0 0000 d r�J 000 r A b N lL1 0�0 M Ol d O G O 0 r-I . 4 —1 —4 —1 c A N r 4 N rV rn rV N N N N N N N r 4 N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard= 20 µg/L Time (Years) 3_ Selenium PPBC 10 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 133 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well A13-1S Predicted Selenium Concentration at A13-2S 25.0 tills] 15.0 C 0 10.0 P M L- Q� U Q 0 5.0 u 0.0 1D 0000 N 0�0 N lD 10�*o N 0O0 M M 4 O Q D Q —4 —4 N N N N N Cn N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter Time (Years) 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 µg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 134 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well A13-2S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Selenium Concentration at GWA-1S 25.0 20.0 - Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place 15.0 J — -Selenium 2L as c Ip 10.0 - M L Q� U Q 5.0 0.0 - k.D ¢¢ N l07 N N 0000 d7 M Oqo 0 Q Q Q Q . -I . 4 . -I I 000 . 1 N N 0Oq0 N N N M I r1 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter Time (Years) 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 µg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 µg/L Figure 135 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well GWA-1S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 25.0 Predicted Selenium Concentration at MW-6S 20.0 Existing Conditions 15.0 - Cap -in -Place -Selenium 2L ao c c 10.0 P M L Q� U Q u 5.0 0.0 —; 0 Co 000 000 17", : 0�101 a) ❑l 0 O 0 O 0 N M �-I -i N N N N rV N N N N N N N CV N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter Time (Years) 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 µg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 µg/L Figure 136 Predicted Selenium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 pg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 Ng/L 11 N LEGEND n Dry Cell 07 I 1 0.7-1 � P 1 - 10 (Background 1 i CI Concentration) 10 - 20 (Standard) ' r 20 - 50 50 - 75 75-100 t ro s 4 100 - 250 0 a 250 - 308 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY dl s" n ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY V PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH ? — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL _ r T BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 137 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 21- Standard = 20 pg/Lr 3. Selenium PPBC 10 pg/L N LEGEND n Dry Cell V — 0.7 I 0.7-1 3 P 1 - 10 (Background CI Concentration) 1 o 1 10 - 20 (Standard) Y 1 20 - 50 x 50 - 75 m � 75-100 ro s 4 100 - 250 0 a 250 - 308 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY L m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 138 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 Ng/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 Ng/L N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.7 I 0.7-1 3 P 1 - 10 (Background 1 CI Concentration) 0 10 - 20 (Standard) _Y i 20 - 50 50 - 75 I m 75-100 ro s i 4 100 - 250 o A a 250 - 308 ` 1 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL m BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 44P 1 .armor N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 139 Initial (2015) Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 pg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 pg/L v LEGEND Dry Cell c 07 0.7-1 1 - 10 (Background Concentration) 10 - 20 (Standard) 20 - 50 50 - 75 75-100 4 100 - 250 0 a 250 - 308 E _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 ca ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL m BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 140 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes. 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 pg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 pg/L k E cci N N OI N LEGEND Dry Cell N _ O <- 0.7 I 2 0.7 - 1 1 - 10 (Background Concentration) 0 10 - 20 (Standard) a 20 - 50 50-75 m L 2 75 - 100 "9 m 100 - 250 O a 250 - 308 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY r F ■ Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH c — — BASIN COMPLIANCE N rn BOUNDARY " n o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N m BOUNDARY 0 500 1.000 U MODEL DOMAIN Feet Figure 141 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 pg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 pg/L l9' N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.7 I 0.7-1 3 P 1 - 10 (Background CI Concentration) 0 10 - 20 (Standard) Y 1 20 - 50 x 50 - 75 m ro 75-100 s 4 100 - 250 0 a 250 - 308 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN ir — 7 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 142 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 pg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 pg/L rig W N LEGEND a Dry Cell N _ `- 0.7 �I 0.7 - 1 P' 1 - 10 (Background Ci Concentration) 0 10 - 20 (Standard) _Y T 20 - 50 x 50-75 m `m 75 - 100 100 - 250 0 a 250 - 308 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Er BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin I N r 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 143 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 pg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 pg/L r 0 E D V V ml - N LEGEND a Dry Cell V _ �- 0.7 DI 2 0.7 - 1 Q 1 - 10 (Background Ci Concentration) 0 10 - 20 (Standard) Y i 20 - 50 t m 50-75 ' m 75 - 100 100 - 250 0 a 250 - 308 E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Er BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Lj a 4 ; ..�• � .ar�hor .. N 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 144 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Selenium 2L Standard = 20 pg/L 3. Selenium PPBC 10 pg/L N LEGEND n Dry Cell 4 <= 0.7 P 3 0.7-1 P i 1 - 10 (Background Concentration) CI 0 10 - 20 (Standard) Y 20 - 50 x m 50 - 75 ro 75-100 s 100 - 250 4 0 a 250 - 308 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY N BOUNDARY n ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY m 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY ZLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 145 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Selenium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone 300,000 250,000 200,000 bio 0 Iz M 150,000 C ry U C U 100,000 50,000 0 lD 00 C') 0') Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Sulfate Concentration at AB -IS 8 N 3� 8 N 4 1 8 N 3 O O O O O N N N N N N r4 N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 146 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well ABAS 3 00, 000 250,000 200,000 bD C 0 150,000 C C 0 100,000 t F�f 0 Ln I:t l0 00 C)') CY) c-I c-I Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Sulfate Concentration at A13-2S N 00 U N 00 N 0 p 0 O 0 —4 .--1 .--I .--I .--I N N rI4 r4 r'J r4 N N N N fV N N N N N fV N Time (Years) Figure 147 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well A13-2S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Sulfate Concentration at GWA-1S 300,000 250,000 - Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place 200,000 3 — -Sulfate 2L c 0 150,000 M c a) U c 100,000 u° 50,000 0Ln 0 00 ¢¢ 1070, r l 0�0 ¢¢ N lD G) O O O O O .4 r-I r-I r-I N N N N c-I c-I N N N N N N N N N rV N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter (Years) Time (nears) 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 µg/L Figure 148 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well GWA-1S 250,000 J 200,000 r_ C M 150,000 L. C dm c� C 0 100,000 5 0, 000 0 LD 00 C II 0) c-I c-I Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 µg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Sulfate Concentration at MW-6S N 00 N Co N Cr O O O O O —4 1-I —4 —4 N N N cv N N rJ N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 149 Predicted Sulfate in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: — — 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L - + 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L LEGEND a`) Dry Cell 2 ff — 970 0 -) , 970- 1,460 (Background Concentration) N 1,460 - 2,100 lil 2,100 - 10,000 x 10,000 - 30,300 m v 30,300 - 31,000 N 31,000-250,000 0 (Standard) 0 250,000 - 1,000,000 c 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 'm m n _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY C � 3 BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY L r ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY N PROPERTY BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY N MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin ��.An N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 150 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. Ng/L. = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = r-7 250,000 pg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L A z LEGEND u Dry Cell — 970 0 �I F 970 - 1,460 (Background Concentration) N 1,460 - 2,100 iil 2,100 - 10,000 x 10,000 - 30,300 m 30,300 - 31,000 N 31,000-250,000 o (Standard) 0 250,000 - 1,000,000 'm -i 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 m n _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY C � 3 BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY L r ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY N PROPERTY BOUNDARY rn LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL N FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 151 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L x E a � I C 0 LEGEND n dry Cell r �= 970 01 970- 1,460 (Background 1 t Concentration) ca 1,460 - 2,100 0- 1 2,100 - 10,000 U 10,000 - 30,300 m E2 30,300 - 31,000 , ro 31,000-250,000 o (Standard) a 250,000 - 1,000,000 E c 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 N - " m _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY L � BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 3 BOUNDARY a ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE ° _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT 2 WITH DUKE ENERGY N rn PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL m FILL BOUNDARY 1 0 500 1,000 ca MODEL DOMAIN Feet Figure 152 Initial (2015) Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L LEGEND a`) Dry Cell 2 ff — 970 0 -) , 970- 1,460 (Background N I concentration) 1,460 - 2,100 Lil 2,100 - 10,000 10,000 - 30,300 m 30,300 - 31,000 N 31,000-250,000 0 (Standard) 0 a 250,000 - 1,000,000 c 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 ro n _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY C � 3 BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY L r ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY N PROPERTY BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY N MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin ��.An N A 0 500 1,000 J � Feet Figure 153 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L �= 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L ter,.-t J N LEGEND i u Dry Cell" off — 970 j 01 970- 1,460 (Background Il -61 Concentration) e 2F 1,460 - 2,100biw 1 �� ai 2,100 - 10,000 10,000 - 30,300 N 30,300 - 31,000 m 31,000-250,000 o (Standard) rMfg I 250,000 - 1,000,000 E� 'c 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 N [� 4 t- m DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY m BOUNDARY S rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCEIN _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ram` WITH DUKE ENERGY IN PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL m FILL BOUNDARY _ 0 500 1,000 Ca MODEL DOMAIN Feet Figure 154 Existing Condition Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 4 ` 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L t - E I �, C 0 LEGEND n dry Cell c — 970 _. 0 01 970- 1,460 (Background t Concentration) P ca 1,460 - 2,100 a� 2,100 - 10,000 U 10,000 - 30,300 m E2 30,300 - 31,000 , ro 31,000-250,000 o (Standard) a 250,000 - 1,000,000 E c 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 N .. m _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY L � BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 3 BOUNDARY a ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE ° _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT 2 WITH DUKE ENERGY N rn PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL m FILL BOUNDARY 1 0 500 1,000 ca MODEL DOMAIN Feet Figure 155 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L LEGEND Dry Cell — 970 �i 970 - 1,460 (Background Concentration) N 1,460 - 2,100 ii 2,100 - 10,000 z 10,000 - 30,300 30,300 - 31,000 s 31,000-250,000 o (Standard) c 250,000 - 1,000,000 E - 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 N ro n _ _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY rn _ ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY L z ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY w PROPERTY BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL Z FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 1 r� Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin 0 500 1,000 *.' + Feet Figure 156 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L C LEGEND Dry Cell — 970 U 970 - 1,460 (Background L Concentration) 1,460 - 2,100 ai 2,100 - 10,000 10,000 - 30,300 N 30,300 - 31,000 caI 31,000-250,000 o (Standard) 250,000 - 1,000,000 E 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 N ro DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 3 BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o _ _ BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL z FILL BOUNDARY P MODEL DOMAIN e it Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 157 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Sulfate 2L Standard = 250,000 pg/L 3. Sulfate PPBC = 1,460 pg/L / v LEGEND U Dry Cell — 970 U 970 - 1,460 (Background L Concentration) 1,460 - 2,100 ai 2,100 - 10,000 10,000 - 30,300 N 30,300 - 31,000 caI 31,000-250,000 o (Standard) 250,000 - 1,000,000 E 1,000,000 - 7,700,267 N DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY 3 BOUNDARY rn ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY w Y ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o BOUNDARY u ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE o — — BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY w PROPERTY BOUNDARY o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL z FILL BOUNDARY P MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin IM N 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 158 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Sulfate Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone M. 0.4 J bo 0.3 U 0'.1 0.0 L n 'St Et 'nt CD 00 O N M C) O O r-I rl N N Notes: 1. µgfL=mitrogramsper liter 2. Thallium IMACvalue=0.2ag/L 5. Thallium PPBC=0.5 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Thallium Concentration at AB-1S LD 00 O N �T LD 00 CDN CT LD 00 O Ca O O rl r- I r- I rl r—I N N N N N C1 N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 159 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well A13-1S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Thallium Concentration at AB-2S 0.5 Existing Conditions Cap -in -Place 0.4 -Thallium IMAC 0.3 J t CIC 0 0.2 Ip M L Q� U © 0.1 - u 0.0Ln - 00 N 00 N 00 N Cfl 4} M O p p p Q -I •--I •--I •--I —4 N N N N N Cr N N N N N N N N N N Notes: 1.µg/L= micrograms per liter Time (Years) 2. Thallium IMACvalue = 0.2 F[g/L 3_Thallium PPBC=0.5pg/L Figure 160 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well A13-2S Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Thallium Concentration at G A-1S 0. 0.5 Existing Conditions 0.4 - Cap -in -Place — -Thallium IMAC b 0.3 0 0 c� 0.1 0. f' a 11t u SD 00 Cr e N SD 00 0 N � s.D 00 Cr N � S.D 00 O M Oi Cr r-I C1 Cr Cr Cr rl rI rl rI rI N del 6� iti �1I N N fV M N ftil N N Notes: 1. µafL=microgramsPer liter Time (Years) 2. Thallium IMACvalue=0.2 µ /L 3. Thallium PPBC=0.5 µgfL Figure 161 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well GWAAS Predicted Thallium Concentration at MW-65 Imi 0.4 0.1 0.4 Lr) Itt It �D 00 rq M a-, CD o r-I rl iJ r.l Notes: 1. µgfL=microgramsper liter 2. Thallium IMAC ualue=0.2 µgf L 3_ Th a Ilium PPBC= 05 Ng/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin CD a CD r-1 r-� r-1 r-q r-q N N N N r.l m rJ N r.l r � s *.l r.l nl rJ rJ rJ rJ rJ r� rJ Time Years} Figure 162 Predicted Thallium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 Ng/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 Ng/L _I N LEGEND .01 Dry Cell V1N <= 02 (Standard) 0.2 - 0.5 (Background ` Concentration) 0.5-1 C 0 1-10 Y T 10-20 x 20-30 m 30 - 40 ro s ` 40 - 50 0 a 50 - 62 m E — — DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT — — WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY m 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH ? — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY ZLANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 163 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 Ng/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 Ng/L N I LEGEND .01 Dry Cell V1N <= 02 (Standard) 0.2 - 0.5 (Background ` Concentration) rn it 05-1 C 0 1-10 _Y T 10-20 x 20-30 m 30 - 40 ro s ` 40 - 50 0 a 50 - 62 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 21 BOUNDARY L m ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT ? WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH — — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 164 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 pg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 pg/L "r I -� N LEGEND m Dry Cell N F� 0 <= 02 (Standard) i 0.2 - 0.5 (Background `— rn Concentration) "I 05-1 r 1-10 10-20 =� m 20-30 L E ro 30 - 40 40 - 50 ` 0 a 50 - 62 E _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY N BOUNDARY Co ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY w 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 165 Initial (2015) Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 Ng/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 Ng/L N O N I LEGEND €n I Dry Cell NI �' <= 02 (Standard) 0 0.2 - 0.5 (Background Concentration) L 0.5-1 r 1-10 10-20 =� 20-30 L E 30 - 40 ` 40 - 50 0 a 50 - 62 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY c BOUNDARY N Co ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENI o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM / BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 166 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L 2. = micrograms per liter Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 Ng/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 Ng/L _.r 1 I 4 k - E � N O _I m N LEGEND c2 Dry Cell N 0 � <= 02 (Standard) i 0.2 - 0.5 (Background r rn Concentration) LLI 0.5 - 1"'�` r � 1-10 1 10-20 ¢ {l =� 20-30 E L 30 - 40 ro 0 ` 40 - 50 0 a 50 - 62 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY ` BOUNDARY Y N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE El BOUNDARY w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH c — — BASIN COMPLIANCE N rn BOUNDARY n o LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY ` 0 500 1,000 U MODEL DOMAIN Feet Figure 167 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1Ng/L = micrograms per liter iThallium IMAC value = 0.2 Ng/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 pg/L D V LEGEND s .01 Dry Cell <= 02 (Standard) 0.2 - 0.5 (Background ` Concentration) rn li 05-1 C 0 1-10 Y_ i 10-20 2 m 20-30 C 30 - 40 �i 40 - 50 0 a 50 - 62 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE v BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILLfSTRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY U N MODEL DOMAIN y i—r Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 168 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Notes: 1. pg/L 2. =micrograms per liter Thalliu 3. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 pg/L m PPBC = 0.5 pg/L j V li ] it l9 N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 02 (Standard) i V) 0.2 - 0.5 (Background ` Concentration) C 0.5-1 o Y 1 _ 10 i 10-20 20-30� 30 - 40 s ` 40 - 50 o a � 50 - 62 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY ' N m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT} WITH DUKE ENERGY V PROPERTY BOUNDARY N 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE N rn BOUNDARY n D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY r 0 500 1,000 U MODEL DOMAIN l � � Feet Figure 169 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 pg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 pg/L f N I LEGEND .01 Dry Cell 141 N <= 02 (Standard) 0.2 - 0.5 (Background ` Concentration) rn CI 05-1 0 1-10 Y T 10-20 x 20-30 m 30 - 40 ro s ` 40 - 50 0 a 50 - 62 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY li 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUND ARYCOINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY E2 PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH ? — BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Y � � Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin r N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 170 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Thallium IMAC value = 0.2 pg/L 3. Thallium PPBC = 0.5 Ng/L V V N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 02 (Standard) 0.2 - 0.5 (Background ` rn Concentration) CI 05-1 0 1-10 Y T 10-20 x m 20-30 ro 30 - 40 s 40 - 50 ` 0 a 50 - 62 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY N BOUNDARY m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY L 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY m 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin ' ✓ A N A 0 500 1,000 Feet Figure 171 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Thallium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Vanadium Concentration at AB-1S 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 —Existing Conditions 2.5 —Cap-in-Place 130 — -Vanadium IMAC c 2.0 0 14 L. 1.5 0 c� 1= 1.0 0 05 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.0 1 — __T— ---T— 00 0 O N � 0 N � 0 cLn .D N spa o`t0 00 00 M M CD o 0 o CD r_� r_� r_� r_� r_� N N rU rq ro T-1 T-1 r.l r l r� r l r.l r.J rJ r.J r.l r l r.l r.l r.l rJ r l r.l Notes: 1. µg/L=microgramsper liter Time (Years) Z. Vanadium IMAC walue=0.3 wjL S. Vanadium PPBC=3.9 µ /L Figure 172 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well A13-1S 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 Predicted Vanadium Concentration at AB-25 .�t It �t o r-I r-I N N Motes: 1. [ig/L=rnicrogramsper]ter Z. Vanadium If41ACvaiue=4.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC= 3.IJ µgJL Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin G 0 o r-I r-� r-� "I r-I N N N N N ro N N N N N N N N N N N N N N Time (Years) Figure 173 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well AB-2S Predicted Vanadium Concentration at GWA-IS 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 Q 2.0 0 Ip 1.5 0 a� U © 1.0 u 0.5 0.0 �} ¢ lD 00 N lD N 0�0 N l0 0 d3 M d O d O 0 N N N N N C+! .--I —i N N N N N rV N N r4 N N N N N CV N Notes: 1. µg/L = micrograms per liter Time (Years) 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 µg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 µg/L Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Figure 174 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well GWA-1S 4,5 4.0 3,5 3.0 15 2.0 0 1.5 0 1,0 V O' 5 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Predicted Vanadium Concentration at MW-6S cccc o N It spa cc o N � cc o N spa cc 0 am 0 0 0 0 0 r-I r-I r-I r-I r-I N N N N N m r-I N N rV N N N N N rV N N N N N N N Notes: 1. µg/L=microgramsperliter Time (Years) 2. Vanadium I MAC va lu e = 0. 3 jjxJL 3. Vanadium PPBC= IS µg/L Figure 175 Predicted Vanadium in Monitoring Well MW-6S Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 Ng/L E (6 N N N LEGEND m` Dry Cell N of <= 0.3 (Standard) 0.3 - 1 Q 1 -3.9 (Background rConcentration) 3.9-5 5 - 8.8 m 8.8 - 25 L E 25 - 150 lSl m 150 - 300 O a 300 - 444 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 I LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN ,+N 6 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin � J N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 176 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 pg/L E cci N N l9 N LEGEND Ca Dry Cell N <= 0.3 (Standard) 0 i P 0.3 - 1 Q 1 -3.9 (Background rConcentration) 0 3.9-5 a 5 - 8.8 m 8.8 - 25 L E 25 - 150 lSl m ICI 150 - 300 O a 300 - 444 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN I Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin � = J N A 0 500 1.000 Figure 177 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Feet Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 Ng/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 Ng/L N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.3 (Standard) i 0.3-1 P 1 -3.9 (Background CI Concentration) r 3.9-5 1 T 5 - 8.8 {1 x 8.8 - 25 N 25 - 150 ro s ` 150 - 300 0 a 300 - 444 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL m BOUNDARY 7� MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 178 Initial (2015) Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 Ng/L E (6 N N O N LEGEND Ca Dry Cell N 0 <= 0.3 (Standard) i 0.3 - 1 1 -3.9 (Background r Concentration) 3.9-5 a 5 - 8.8 m 8.8 - 25 L E 25 - 150 lSl m ICI 150 - 300 O a 300 - 444 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT o WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 I LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 179 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. Ng/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 Ng/L l9 N LEGEND Ca Dry Cell N 0 <= 0.3 (Standard) i P 0.3 - 1 Q 1 -3.9 (Background rConcentration) 0 3.9-5 a 5 - 8.8 m 8.8 - 25 L E 25 - 150 lSl m 150 - 300 O a 300 - 444 DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY S ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY c w ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE m BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY 6 LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL BOUNDARY 8 MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin al I N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 180 Existing Conditions Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 pg/L l9' N LEGEND e n Dry Cell V <= 0.3 (Standard) i 0.3-1 P 1 -3.9 (Background CI Concentration) r 3.9-5 � 1 T 5 - 8.8 {1 x 8.8 - 25 m 25 - 150 ro s ` 150 - 300 0 a 300 - 444 m E � � DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N m ASH BASIN WASTE BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C L 0 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY COINCIDENT WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY - D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL m BOUNDARY 7� MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 181 Existing Conditionsc Scenario 1 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 Ng/L 0 7 .6 V V 1 l9 N LEGEND I n Dry Cell y V 4 <= 0.3 (Standard) U) 0.3 - 1 Q 1 -3.9 (Background Ci Concentration) r 3.9-5 t i 5 - 8.8 t m 8.8 - 25 25 - 150 �rw m s ICI 150 - 300 0 a 300 - 444 E _ DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY ` BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE m BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Er BOUNDARY ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE Y BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY _ PROPERTY BOUNDARY 2 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin Few N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 182 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Shallow Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 Ng/L _I l9 LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.3 (Standard) 0.3 - 1 I Q 1 -3.9 (Background ; ci Concentration) } 0 3.9-5 Y i 5 - 8.8 t m 8.8 - 25 m 25 - 150 ICI 150 - 300 0 a 300 - 444 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN 1 Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 183 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Deep Groundwater Zone Notes: 1. pg/L = micrograms per liter 2. Vanadium IMAC value = 0.3 pg/L 3. Vanadium PPBC = 3.9 Ng/L E D V l9 N LEGEND n Dry Cell V <= 0.3 (Standard) i 0.3 - 1 Q 1 -3.9 (Background ci Concentration) 0 3.9-5 _Y i 5 - 8.8 t m 8.8 - 25 m 25 - 150 ICI 150 - 300 0 a 300 - 444 E DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY N n ASH BASIN WASTE N BOUNDARY 3 ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE BOUNDARY C ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE 0 BOUNDARY COINCIDENT D WITH DUKE ENERGY PROPERTY BOUNDARY 0 0 0.5 MILE OFFSET FROM ASH BASIN COMPLIANCE rn BOUNDARY D LANDFILL/STRUCTURAL FILL N BOUNDARY MODEL DOMAIN I ,99 1 t Groundwater Flow and Transport Model Marshall Steam Station Ash Basin N A 0 500 1.000 Feet Figure 184 Cap -in -Place Scenario 2 - 2115 Predicted Vanadium Concentrations in Bedrock Groundwater Zone