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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNC0004979_Allen CAP Part 1_Appx E_Final_20151120This page intentionally left blank Surface Water Mixing Model Approach Allen Steam Station Overview of Modeling The relatively simple morphology of the receiving waters adjacent to Allen Steam Station (Allen) makes this site amenable to the Mixing Model Approach. For this approach, river flow data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) were analyzed to determine upstream river design flows and assess compliance with North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (NCDEQ) surface water quality standards, including determination of applicable river flow statistics. The river design flows were used along with groundwater model discharge results to calculate effluent dilution factors using the following equation: DF = Qgw+Qriver Qgw where: DF is the groundwater dilution factor; Qgw is discharge rate from the groundwater model (cubic feet per second [cfs]); and Qriver is the upstream river design flow (cfs). The mixing zone sizes presented in Section 4.2.1 for the different water quality standards were used in this equation to determine the appropriate dilution factor to assess compliance with the applicable water quality standards. The applicable dilution factor was then used with the groundwater model concentration and upstream concentration for the constituent of interest (COI) to determine the resulting surface water concentration at the edge of the mixing zone, using the following equation: (DF-1)XCriver+Cgw CSW DF where: Csw is the surface water concentration at the edge of the mixing zone (fag/L); Cgw is the groundwater model concentration entering the river (fag/L); Craver is the upstream (background) river concentration (fag/L); and DF is the groundwater dilution factor. Alternately, the resulting surface water concentration can be calculated using the following mass balance equation: _ QgwXCgw+QriverXCriver CSW Qgw+Qriver where: Qgw is discharge rate from the groundwater model (cfs); Cgw is the groundwater model concentration entering the river (Ng/L); Qriver is the upstream river design flow (cfs); and Criver is the upstream (background) river concentration (fag/L). For each groundwater Constituent of Interest (COI) that discharges to surface waters at a concentration exceeding the North Carolina Groundwater Quality Standards, as specified in T15A NCAC .0202L (2L Standards), the appropriate dilution factor and upstream (background) concentration were applied to determine the surface water concentration at the edge of the applicable mixing zone. This concentration was then compared to the applicable water quality standards to determine surface water quality standard (WQS) compliance. Historical river flow data are available for the Catawba River at Catawba, North Carolina (USGS #02142500; 1896 to 1962 with gaps from 1900 to 1935), which is located approximately 52 miles upstream of the Allen site. Daily river flow data from this gage (from 1935 to 1962)' were analyzed to calculate the 1Q10, 7Q10 and mean annual river design flows for the Catawba River at Catawba, North Carolina. The 1 Q1 0 flow is the annual minimum 1-day average flow that occurs once in ten years; the 7Q10 flow is the annual minimum 7-day average flow that occurs once in ten years; and the mean annual flow is the long-term average annual flow based on complete annual flow records. These river design flows were scaled up using a drainage area ratio to account for additional drainage from minor tributaries between the USGS gage location and the Allen site. Drainage area ratios where developed using information from the USGS StreamStats web application (http://water.usgs.gov/osw/streamstats/). Key Assumptions and Limitations for Each Model The key model assumptions and limitations include, but are not limited to, the following: • Groundwater flow mixing in the receiving water occurs over the entire cross-section of the mixing zone area (e.g., over 10% of the river width for the acute water quality assessment); • COI transformations are not represented in the analysis (i.e., all COls are treated as conservative substances without any decay); • The analysis is limited by the availability of surface water data used to assign upstream river COI concentrations; • When surface water data were not available, or when surface water data were reported at the method detection limit (MDL), half of the MDL was used in the mixing model calculations; and • The analysis is limited by the availability of contemporary USGS gage data to develop river design flows of interest (i.e., 1Q10, 7Q10, and annual mean). Flows prior to 1935 appear to have been unregulated and are unrepresentative of present conditions. 2 Mixing Model Development The mixing model approach requires the assignment of upstream river design flows for the fraction of the river as specified in Section 4.2.1 for the acute, chronic, water supply, and human health mixing zone limitations. The calculated 1Q10, 7Q10, and mean annual river design flows used for the Catawba River (Upper Lake Wylie) are provided in Table E-1. Table E-1. Catawba River Design Flows Design Condition Catawba River Flow (cfs) 1Q10 139 7Q10 263 Mean Annual 3,011 No site -specific surface water quality data were available in the Catawba River just upstream of the Allen site. Therefore, to perform mixing zone calculations, it was assumed that upstream surface water concentrations were equivalent to half of the MDL for each COI. The Allen groundwater modeling discussed in Section 4.1 was used to provide the groundwater flow and COI concentrations into the adjacent receiving waters (i.e., Catawba River at Upper Lake Wylie). Figure E-1 provides the location of the groundwater model calculated flow inputs into the adjacent receiving waters, and Table E-2 provides the total groundwater flow along the flow boundary noted on Figure E-1. These groundwater flows were used to assess the impact on surface water concentrations and compliance with the applicable water quality standards2 or criteria at the mixing zone boundaries in the Catawba River (Upper Lake Wylie). Table E-2. Model -Calculated Groundwater Flows Waterbody Groundwater Flow 3 (ft /day) (cfs) Catawba River 41,029 0.48 Notes: 1. ft3/day = cubic feet per day 2. cfs = cubic feet per second Table E-3 provides flux -weighted average COI concentrations in groundwater discharging to the Catawba River adjacent to the Allen site, as well as assigned upstream surface water concentrations. These values were used in the mixing zone dilution calculations presented in Section 4.2.2. Table E-3 also lists for comparison the surface water quality standards or criteria applicable to each COI. 2 Water quality standards were published by NCDEQ in North Carolina Administrative Code 15A NCAC 2B, amended effective January 1, 2015. 3 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) National Recommended Water Quality Criteria. Table E-3. Catawba River Dissolved COI Concentrations & WQS COI Groundwater Concentration (pg/L) Surface Water Concentration (pg/L)* Acute WQS (pg/L) Chronic WQS (pg/L) HH / WS WQS (pg/L) Antimony 5.19 0.25 ns ns 640 / 5.6 Arsenic 11.64 0.25 340 150 10 / 10 Barium 30.63 4.5 ns ns 200,000 / 1,000 Boron 823 25 ns ns ns / ns Chromium (VI) 2.62 0.25 16 11 ns / ns Cobalt 12.23 0.25 ns ns 4/3 Selenium 7.18 0.25 ns 5 ns / ns Sulfate 96,964 500 ns ns ns / 250,000 Vanadium 7.73 0.50 ns ns ns / ns Notes: 1. All COIs are shown as dissolved fraction except for total chromium, which is total recoverable metal 2. * — Values set to'/z MDL, except chromium (VI) set to'/2 MDL for total chromium 3. HH / WS —human health / water supply 4. ns — no water quality standard In Table E-3, the water quality standards for arsenic and chromium (VI) assume a water effects ratio (WER) of 1, which expresses the difference between toxicity measured in a laboratory and toxicity in site water. Site -measured WER are typically less than 1 due to complexing parameters in the site water (e.g., dissolved organic carbon) that reduces site toxicity as compared to laboratory measured toxicity for metals. Thus, using a WER of 1 provides a conservative assumption in the surface water quality assessment for these COls. r•_ e� E. Legend GW Model Output 0 0.125 0.25 0.5 0.75'